1968-69 Maltese First Division Season

56 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Hibernians

21 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Gzira United

5.92 points above expected

16 points · 10.08 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

St. Georges

3.88 points below expected

5 points · 8.88 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Hibernians	14	9	3	2	21	28	11	+17	18.79	+2.21
2	Valletta	14	8	2	4	18	23	9	+14	15.31	+2.69
3	Floriana	14	7	4	3	18	19	10	+9	18.97	-0.97
4	Sliema Wanderers	14	6	5	3	17	14	8	+6	19.27	-2.27
5	Gzira United	14	8	0	6	16	21	17	+4	10.08	+5.92
6	Hamrun Spartans	14	3	4	7	10	10	17	-7	12.15	-2.15
7	Birkirkara	14	3	1	10	7	13	29	-16	8.55	-1.55
8	St. Georges	14	2	1	11	5	9	36	-27	8.88	-3.88

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Gzira United	16	10.08	+5.92
2	Valletta	18	15.31	+2.69
3	Hibernians	21	18.79	+2.21
4	Floriana	18	18.97	-0.97
5	Birkirkara	7	8.55	-1.55

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	St. Georges	5	8.88	-3.88
2	Sliema Wanderers	17	19.27	-2.27
3	Hamrun Spartans	10	12.15	-2.15
4	Birkirkara	7	8.55	-1.55
5	Floriana	18	18.97	-0.97

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Hibernians	1341	21	+39	10	7.7	+2.3
Valletta	1257	18	+44	8	6.4	+1.6
Floriana	1347	18	+10	7	6.7	+0.3
Sliema Wanderers	1311	17	-24	4	6.5	-2.5
Gzira United	1133	16	+41	6	4.3	+1.7
Hamrun Spartans	1097	10	-16	3	3.2	-0.2
Birkirkara	1003	7	+14	4	3.3	+0.7
St. Georges	969	5	-31	2	2.4	-0.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BIR	FLO	GU	HS	HIB	SW	SG	VAL
Birkirkara	—	0-1-1 0.93	1-0-1 2.47	1-0-1 1.78	0-0-2 0.95	1-0-1 0.87	0-0-2 3.00	0-0-2 1.38
Floriana	1-1-0 4.72	—	1-0-1 4.55	1-0-1 4.40	1-1-0 3.01	1-1-0 2.91	2-0-0 4.59	0-1-1 3.94
Gzira United	1-0-1 3.16	1-0-1 1.10	—	2-0-0 2.39	0-0-2 1.08	1-0-1 1.21	2-0-0 3.09	1-0-1 1.70
Hamrun Spartans	1-0-1 3.85	1-0-1 1.25	0-0-2 3.24	—	0-1-1 1.72	0-2-0 1.52	1-1-0 3.52	0-0-2 1.86
Hibernians	2-0-0 4.70	0-1-1 2.62	2-0-0 4.57	1-1-0 3.92	—	0-1-1 2.62	2-0-0 4.74	2-0-0 3.45
Sliema Wanderers	1-0-1 4.79	0-1-1 2.71	1-0-1 4.44	0-2-0 4.12	1-1-0 3.01	—	2-0-0 4.65	1-1-0 3.94
St. Georges	2-0-0 2.63	0-0-2 1.05	0-0-2 2.54	0-1-1 2.11	0-0-2 0.91	0-0-2 1.00	—	0-0-2 1.37
Valletta	2-0-0 4.26	1-1-0 1.70	1-0-1 3.94	2-0-0 3.77	0-0-2 2.18	0-1-1 1.70	2-0-0 4.26	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.74	+7.5
Allowed	0.84	-5.2
Differential	0.97	+3.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.71%	9.82%	8.04%	2.68%	—	2.68%	33.93%
1	9.82%	5.36%	11.61%	3.57%	0.89%	0.89%	32.14%
2	8.04%	11.61%	1.79%	—	—	0.89%	22.32%
3	2.68%	3.57%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
4	—	0.89%	—	—	—	—	0.89%
5+	2.68%	0.89%	0.89%	—	—	—	4.46%
Total	33.93%	32.14%	22.32%	6.25%	0.89%	4.46%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.22	1.22	+0.00
SD	1.29	1.29	2.00
CV	1.05	1.05	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 56

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	—	7.14%	35.71%
1	—	—	21.43%	7.14%	7.14%	—	35.71%
2	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	—	28.57%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	28.57%	35.71%	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.93	2.07	-1.14
SD	0.83	1.33	1.83
CV	0.89	0.64	—
Max	2	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	21.43%	14.29%	—	—	—	—	35.71%
1	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
2	21.43%	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	—	42.86%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	50.00%	28.57%	21.43%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	0.71	+0.64
SD	1.39	0.83	1.28
CV	1.03	1.16	—
Max	5	2	+3
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
1	14.29%	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	35.71%
2	7.14%	21.43%	—	—	—	—	28.57%
3	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	35.71%	21.43%	28.57%	14.29%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.21	+0.29
SD	1.34	1.12	2.23
CV	0.90	0.92	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	14.29%	14.29%	21.43%	—	—	—	50.00%
1	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	35.71%
2	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
3	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.43%	42.86%	28.57%	7.14%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.71	1.21	-0.50
SD	0.91	0.89	1.29
CV	1.28	0.74	—
Max	3	3	+2
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	21.43%
1	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	21.43%
2	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%	14.29%
3	14.29%	14.29%	—	—	—	—	28.57%
4	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
5+	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	50.00%	42.86%	—	—	—	7.14%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.00	0.79	+1.21
SD	1.57	1.31	2.01
CV	0.78	1.67	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	21.43%	14.29%	—	—	—	—	35.71%
1	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	—	28.57%
2	21.43%	14.29%	—	—	—	—	35.71%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	50.00%	42.86%	7.14%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	0.57	+0.43
SD	0.88	0.65	1.09
CV	0.88	1.13	—
Max	2	2	+2
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	21.43%	7.14%	—	14.29%	42.86%
1	7.14%	7.14%	21.43%	7.14%	—	7.14%	50.00%
2	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	14.29%	42.86%	14.29%	—	21.43%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.64	2.57	-1.93
SD	0.63	1.70	2.06
CV	0.99	0.66	—
Max	2	6	+1
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	14.29%	14.29%	—	—	—	—	28.57%
1	21.43%	—	14.29%	—	—	—	35.71%
2	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
3	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
Total	50.00%	35.71%	14.29%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	0.64	+1.00
SD	1.86	0.74	2.04
CV	1.14	1.16	—
Max	6	2	+6
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 14

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Floriana	1362	18	18.97	-0.97	39.0%	10	14	16	20	21	24	24
Hibernians	1341	21	18.79	+2.21	80.0%	11	14	17	19	20	24	26
Sliema Wanderers	1311	17	19.27	-2.27	27.0%	12	14	17	20	21	24	26
Valletta	1242	18	15.31	+2.69	83.0%	7	9	13	15	18	21	23
Gzira United	1133	16	10.08	+5.92	99.0%	2	5	8	10	12	15	17
Hamrun Spartans	1097	10	12.15	-2.15	30.0%	3	6	10	12	14	17	19
Birkirkara	1003	7	8.55	-1.55	39.0%	1	4	6	8	11	13	16
St. Georges	969	5	8.88	-3.88	13.0%	2	3	7	9	11	14	19

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under -3% * Slight Edge: -3% to 3.5% * Clear Edge: 3.5% to 8.5% * Strong Edge: 8.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

-3.57%

No Edge

39.29%17.86%42.86%

Elo Value

Home Edge: -12.41 Elo pts.

194 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

-0.02 goals

Neutral

-2-0.06+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 4th * Longshot: 5th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.21 * Comfortable: 0.21 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.3

Open

12348

Champion Preseason Odds

34%

Hibernians, 1st of 8

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.21/gm

Comfortable

00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.48 * Some Luck: 2.48 to 3.71 * Lucky: 3.71 to 4.95 * Wild Swing: 4.95 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.85 * Close: 0.85 to 1.27 * Off: 1.27 to 1.7 * Way Off: 1.7 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 8 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 8 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 8 * As Expected: 8 to 12.8 * Several Outliers: 12.8 to 17.6 * Many Outliers: 17.6 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

3.07 points

Some Luck

03.098

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.50

Off

01.062.5

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 93.75%

99.00%

Gzira United

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected

13.00%

St. Georges

06.25%50

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 8

Minimal Outliers

00.88

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.2 * Even: 0.2 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.27 * Lopsided: 0.27 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 2 * Strong Separation: 2 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 72.5% * Slight Edge: 72.5% to 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 84% * Wide Edge: 84% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 92.5% * Clear Edge: 92.5% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 98% * Dominant: 98% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 22% * Frequent: 22% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.

Gini Index

0.21

Even

00.20.270.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 152.21

1.73

Moderate Separation

0.951.6522.253

Interquartile Edge

80%

Clear Edge

50%72.5%79%84%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 94%

90%

Even

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

61%

Frequent

0%54%100%

Blowouts

Expected

16%

Rare

0%22%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.42 * Slight Separation: 0.42 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.57 * Some Carryover: 0.57 to 0.74 * Strong Carryover: 0.74 to 0.83 * Near-Lock: 0.83 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Upset-Prone: 18.5% to 23% * Very Upset-Prone: 23% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 15.5% * Shaky Favorites: 15.5% to 19.5% * Very Shaky: 19.5% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.55

Highly Predictable

00.542

Matchup Imbalance

0.46

Notable Separation

00.420.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.96

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.68

Some Carryover

00.570.741

Upset Rate

Expected

21%

Upset-Prone

0%22%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

22%

Very Shaky

0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.21 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.21 to 0.31 * Above Noise: 0.31 to 0.41 * Well Above Noise: 0.41 and up.

Probability calibration

0.42

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.83

Overconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.096

Well Within Noise

00.2060.5

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Finals

Floriana 2

Valletta 0

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
Hibernians	34.00%	22.00%	31.00%	9.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—
Valletta	5.00%	17.00%	19.00%	32.00%	14.00%	12.00%	1.00%	—
Floriana	32.00%	26.00%	22.00%	14.00%	5.00%	—	1.00%	—
Sliema Wanderers	29.00%	33.00%	20.00%	13.00%	5.00%	—	—	—
Gzira United	—	—	1.00%	9.00%	23.00%	29.00%	17.00%	21.00%
Hamrun Spartans	—	1.00%	6.00%	18.00%	30.00%	26.00%	12.00%	7.00%
Birkirkara	—	—	—	3.00%	8.00%	17.00%	37.00%	35.00%
St. Georges	—	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	13.00%	15.00%	31.00%	37.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Sliema Wanderers	100%	—
Floriana	99.00%	1.00%
Hibernians	99.00%	1.00%
Valletta	99.00%	1.00%
Hamrun Spartans	81.00%	19.00%
Gzira United	62.00%	38.00%
St. Georges	32.00%	68.00%
Birkirkara	28.00%	72.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1968-09-11	Hibernians	D 0-0	52.2	1342	1300	46.53%	18.59%	34.88%	+0.15	-0.7	1
1968-09-11	@ Floriana	D 0-0	52.2	1300	1342	34.88%	18.59%	46.53%	-0.15	+0.7	1
1968-09-11	Hamrun Spartans	D 1-1	56.4	1327	1148	62.52%	18.20%	19.28%	+0.86	-2.6	1
1968-09-11	@ Sliema Wanderers	D 1-1	56.4	1148	1327	19.28%	18.20%	62.52%	-0.86	+2.6	1
1968-09-11	Birkirkara	W 1-0	40.9	1069	1054	42.83%	18.60%	38.56%	+0.01	+10.0	2
1968-09-11	@ St. Georges	L 0-1	40.9	1054	1069	38.56%	18.60%	42.83%	-0.01	-10.0	0
1968-09-11	Gzira United	L 1-2	53.8	1196	1022	62.10%	18.22%	19.68%	+0.83	-14.5	0
1968-09-11	@ Valletta	W 2-1	53.8	1022	1196	19.68%	18.22%	62.10%	-0.83	+14.5	2
1968-09-25	Birkirkara	W 2-1	38.4	1341	1044	71.69%	17.51%	10.80%	+1.46	+3.0	3
1968-09-25	@ Floriana	L 1-2	38.4	1044	1341	10.80%	17.51%	71.69%	-1.46	-3.0	0
1968-09-25	Hibernians	L 0-3	28.2	1036	1301	12.70%	17.73%	69.57%	-1.43	-10.3	2
1968-09-25	@ Gzira United	W 3-0	28.2	1301	1036	69.57%	17.73%	12.70%	+1.43	+10.3	3
1968-09-25	St. Georges	W 3-1	41.7	1151	1079	50.48%	18.54%	30.98%	+0.30	+13.7	3
1968-09-25	@ Hamrun Spartans	L 1-3	41.7	1079	1151	30.98%	18.54%	50.48%	-0.30	-13.7	2
1968-09-25	Valletta	W 2-1	42.5	1324	1182	58.89%	18.35%	22.77%	+0.67	+6.1	3
1968-09-25	@ Sliema Wanderers	L 1-2	42.5	1182	1324	22.77%	18.35%	58.89%	-0.67	-6.0	0
1968-10-09	St. Georges	W 2-1	38.8	1344	1066	70.51%	17.64%	11.85%	+1.37	+3.3	5
1968-10-09	@ Floriana	L 1-2	38.8	1066	1344	11.85%	17.64%	70.51%	-1.37	-3.3	2
1968-10-09	Birkirkara	W 2-1	42.7	1164	1041	56.75%	18.41%	24.84%	+0.57	+6.5	5
1968-10-09	@ Hamrun Spartans	L 1-2	42.7	1041	1164	24.84%	18.41%	56.75%	-0.57	-6.5	0
1968-10-09	Gzira United	W 3-1	35.6	1311	1026	70.96%	17.59%	11.45%	+1.40	+5.6	5
1968-10-09	@ Hibernians	L 1-3	35.6	1026	1311	11.45%	17.59%	70.96%	-1.40	-5.6	2
1968-10-09	Sliema Wanderers	D 0-0	51.5	1176	1330	21.54%	18.30%	60.15%	-0.86	+2.5	1
1968-10-09	@ Valletta	D 0-0	51.5	1330	1176	60.15%	18.30%	21.54%	+0.86	-2.5	4
1968-10-16	Gzira United	L 0-5	37.0	1035	1020	42.73%	18.60%	38.66%	+0.01	-48.2	0
1968-10-16	@ Birkirkara	W 5-0	37.0	1020	1035	38.66%	18.60%	42.73%	-0.01	+48.2	4
1968-10-16	Valletta	L 0-1	48.2	1347	1178	61.60%	18.24%	20.15%	+0.81	-15.2	5
1968-10-16	@ Floriana	W 1-0	48.2	1178	1347	20.15%	18.24%	61.60%	-0.81	+15.2	3
1968-10-16	Hamrun Spartans	W 3-1	39.4	1317	1171	59.21%	18.34%	22.46%	+0.69	+10.4	7
1968-10-16	@ Hibernians	L 1-3	39.4	1171	1317	22.46%	18.34%	59.21%	-0.69	-10.4	5
1968-10-16	Sliema Wanderers	L 0-2	30.2	1062	1328	12.64%	17.72%	69.64%	-1.43	-7.1	2
1968-10-16	@ St. Georges	W 2-0	30.2	1328	1062	69.64%	17.72%	12.64%	+1.43	+7.1	6
1968-10-23	Valletta	L 0-2	33.9	1069	1193	24.67%	18.41%	56.92%	-0.71	-13.0	4
1968-10-23	@ Gzira United	W 2-0	33.9	1193	1069	56.92%	18.41%	24.67%	+0.71	+13.0	5
1968-10-23	Floriana	L 2-5	45.2	1327	1332	39.98%	18.61%	41.42%	-0.09	-20.7	7
1968-10-23	@ Hibernians	W 5-2	45.2	1332	1327	41.42%	18.61%	39.98%	+0.09	+20.7	7
1968-10-23	Birkirkara	L 1-2	57.3	1335	986	74.59%	17.12%	8.28%	+1.73	-17.5	6
1968-10-23	@ Sliema Wanderers	W 2-1	57.3	986	1335	8.28%	17.12%	74.59%	-1.73	+17.4	2
1968-10-23	Hamrun Spartans	D 1-1	56.0	1055	1161	26.86%	18.46%	54.68%	-0.61	+1.6	3
1968-10-23	@ St. Georges	D 1-1	56.0	1161	1055	54.68%	18.46%	26.86%	+0.61	-1.6	6
1968-11-07	Valletta	L 0-1	34.4	1004	1206	17.22%	18.09%	64.69%	-1.11	-5.0	2
1968-11-07	@ Birkirkara	W 1-0	34.4	1206	1004	64.69%	18.09%	17.22%	+1.11	+5.0	7
1968-11-07	Gzira United	L 1-2	56.7	1353	1056	71.72%	17.51%	10.77%	+1.47	-16.8	7
1968-11-07	@ Floriana	W 2-1	56.7	1056	1353	10.77%	17.51%	71.72%	-1.47	+16.8	6
1968-11-07	Hibernians	W 1-0	42.2	1317	1306	42.28%	18.61%	39.11%	-0.01	+10.2	8
1968-11-07	@ Sliema Wanderers	L 0-1	42.2	1306	1317	39.11%	18.61%	42.28%	+0.01	-10.2	7
1968-11-21	Floriana	D 2-2	62.4	999	1336	8.78%	17.21%	74.00%	-1.80	+3.0	3
1968-11-21	@ Birkirkara	D 2-2	62.4	1336	999	74.00%	17.21%	8.78%	+1.80	-3.0	8
1968-11-21	Sliema Wanderers	L 1-2	39.2	1072	1328	13.30%	17.79%	68.91%	-1.38	-3.7	6
1968-11-21	@ Gzira United	W 2-1	39.2	1328	1072	68.91%	17.79%	13.30%	+1.38	+3.7	10
1968-11-21	Hibernians	L 0-1	38.6	1211	1296	29.31%	18.51%	52.18%	-0.50	-8.0	7
1968-11-21	@ Valletta	W 1-0	38.6	1296	1211	52.18%	18.51%	29.31%	+0.50	+8.0	9
1968-12-05	Sliema Wanderers	L 0-2	28.9	1002	1331	9.14%	17.27%	73.59%	-1.76	-5.2	3
1968-12-05	@ Birkirkara	W 2-0	28.9	1331	1002	73.59%	17.27%	9.14%	+1.76	+5.2	12
1968-12-05	Hibernians	D 0-0	51.3	1159	1304	22.51%	18.34%	59.15%	-0.81	+2.4	7
1968-12-05	@ Hamrun Spartans	D 0-0	51.3	1304	1159	59.15%	18.34%	22.51%	+0.81	-2.4	10
1968-12-05	Gzira United	L 1-2	47.0	1057	1069	39.00%	18.61%	42.39%	-0.12	-9.6	3
1968-12-05	@ St. Georges	W 2-1	47.0	1069	1057	42.39%	18.61%	39.00%	+0.12	+9.6	8
1968-12-05	Floriana	D 0-0	51.6	1203	1333	24.15%	18.39%	57.46%	-0.73	+2.2	8
1968-12-05	@ Valletta	D 0-0	51.6	1333	1203	57.46%	18.39%	24.15%	+0.73	-2.2	9
1968-12-19	Hamrun Spartans	W 1-0	44.9	1078	1161	29.51%	18.52%	51.97%	-0.49	+13.0	10
1968-12-19	@ Gzira United	L 0-1	44.9	1161	1078	51.97%	18.52%	29.51%	+0.49	-13.0	7
1968-12-19	Sliema Wanderers	D 1-1	57.2	1302	1336	35.82%	18.59%	45.59%	-0.24	+0.5	11
1968-12-19	@ Hibernians	D 1-1	57.2	1336	1302	45.59%	18.59%	35.82%	+0.24	-0.5	13
1968-12-19	Floriana	L 0-2	29.8	1047	1331	11.54%	17.60%	70.85%	-1.52	-6.5	3
1968-12-19	@ St. Georges	W 2-0	29.8	1331	1047	70.85%	17.60%	11.54%	+1.52	+6.5	11
1968-12-19	Birkirkara	W 3-1	37.2	1205	997	65.24%	18.05%	16.70%	+1.01	+7.9	10
1968-12-19	@ Valletta	L 1-3	37.2	997	1205	16.70%	18.05%	65.24%	-1.01	-7.9	3
1969-01-09	Sliema Wanderers	W 1-0	43.0	1337	1336	40.89%	18.61%	40.50%	-0.06	+10.5	13
1969-01-09	@ Floriana	L 0-1	43.0	1336	1337	40.50%	18.61%	40.89%	+0.06	-10.5	13
1969-01-09	Birkirkara	L 1-2	51.5	1091	989	54.33%	18.47%	27.20%	+0.46	-12.7	10
1969-01-09	@ Gzira United	W 2-1	51.5	989	1091	27.20%	18.47%	54.33%	-0.46	+12.7	5
1969-01-09	Valletta	L 1-5	33.4	1041	1213	19.83%	18.23%	61.94%	-0.95	-16.9	3
1969-01-09	@ St. Georges	W 5-1	33.4	1213	1041	61.94%	18.23%	19.83%	+0.95	+16.9	12
1969-01-23	Hamrun Spartans	W 2-0	44.2	1002	1148	22.34%	18.33%	59.33%	-0.82	+27.7	7
1969-01-23	@ Birkirkara	L 0-2	44.2	1148	1002	59.33%	18.33%	22.34%	+0.82	-27.7	7
1969-01-23	St. Georges	W 3-0	34.5	1078	1024	48.29%	18.57%	33.15%	+0.22	+24.3	12
1969-01-23	@ Gzira United	L 0-3	34.5	1024	1078	33.15%	18.57%	48.29%	-0.22	-24.3	3
1969-01-23	Valletta	W 1-0	39.1	1302	1230	50.55%	18.54%	30.91%	+0.31	+8.4	13
1969-01-23	@ Hibernians	L 0-1	39.1	1230	1302	30.91%	18.54%	50.55%	-0.31	-8.4	12
1969-01-23	Floriana	D 0-0	52.5	1325	1348	37.54%	18.60%	43.86%	-0.18	+0.4	14
1969-01-23	@ Sliema Wanderers	D 0-0	52.5	1348	1325	43.86%	18.60%	37.54%	+0.18	-0.4	14
1969-01-30	Floriana	L 0-2	30.7	1103	1347	14.02%	17.85%	68.12%	-1.32	-7.8	12
1969-01-30	@ Gzira United	W 2-0	30.7	1347	1103	68.12%	17.85%	14.02%	+1.32	+7.8	16
1969-01-30	St. Georges	W 5-0	26.9	1311	1000	72.55%	17.41%	10.04%	+1.54	+13.2	15
1969-01-30	@ Hibernians	L 0-5	26.9	1000	1311	10.04%	17.41%	72.55%	-1.54	-13.2	3
1969-01-30	Hamrun Spartans	W 2-1	43.6	1222	1121	54.20%	18.48%	27.33%	+0.46	+7.1	14
1969-01-30	@ Valletta	L 1-2	43.6	1121	1222	27.33%	18.48%	54.20%	-0.46	-7.1	7
1969-02-06	Floriana	W 1-0	49.8	1114	1355	14.23%	17.87%	67.89%	-1.31	+16.8	9
1969-02-06	@ Hamrun Spartans	L 0-1	49.8	1355	1114	67.89%	17.87%	14.23%	+1.31	-16.8	16
1969-02-06	Gzira United	L 0-1	49.5	1326	1095	67.06%	17.93%	15.00%	+1.12	-16.6	14
1969-02-06	@ Sliema Wanderers	W 1-0	49.5	1095	1326	15.00%	17.93%	67.06%	-1.12	+16.6	14
1969-02-06	Hibernians	L 1-2	37.6	986	1324	8.76%	17.21%	74.03%	-1.80	-2.5	3
1969-02-06	@ St. Georges	W 2-1	37.6	1324	986	74.03%	17.21%	8.76%	+1.80	+2.5	17
1969-02-20	Sliema Wanderers	D 0-0	51.3	1130	1309	19.27%	18.20%	62.53%	-0.98	+2.9	10
1969-02-20	@ Hamrun Spartans	D 0-0	51.3	1309	1130	62.53%	18.20%	19.27%	+0.98	-2.9	15
1969-02-20	Birkirkara	W 4-1	32.5	1326	1029	71.71%	17.51%	10.78%	+1.47	+7.4	19
1969-02-20	@ Hibernians	L 1-4	32.5	1029	1326	10.78%	17.51%	71.71%	-1.47	-7.4	7
1969-02-20	St. Georges	W 6-0	28.6	1229	984	68.18%	17.85%	13.97%	+1.20	+21.6	16
1969-02-20	@ Valletta	L 0-6	28.6	984	1229	13.97%	17.85%	68.18%	-1.20	-21.6	3
1969-03-06	St. Georges	L 1-2	49.9	1022	962	48.94%	18.56%	32.50%	+0.24	-11.6	7
1969-03-06	@ Birkirkara	W 2-1	49.9	962	1022	32.50%	18.56%	48.94%	-0.24	+11.6	5
1969-03-06	Gzira United	L 0-2	39.6	1133	1112	43.78%	18.60%	37.62%	+0.05	-21.0	10
1969-03-06	@ Hamrun Spartans	W 2-0	39.6	1112	1133	37.62%	18.60%	43.78%	-0.05	+21.0	16
1969-03-20	Hibernians	L 0-3	27.1	1010	1334	9.42%	17.32%	73.27%	-1.73	-7.7	7
1969-03-20	@ Birkirkara	W 3-0	27.1	1334	1010	73.27%	17.32%	9.42%	+1.73	+7.7	21
1969-03-20	Hamrun Spartans	W 2-0	31.2	1338	1112	66.68%	17.96%	15.36%	+1.10	+8.5	18
1969-03-20	@ Floriana	L 0-2	31.2	1112	1338	15.36%	17.96%	66.68%	-1.10	-8.5	10
1969-03-20	St. Georges	W 2-0	28.8	1306	974	73.76%	17.25%	8.99%	+1.65	+5.1	17
1969-03-20	@ Sliema Wanderers	L 0-2	28.8	974	1306	8.99%	17.25%	73.76%	-1.65	-5.1	5
1969-03-27	Valletta	L 0-1	36.1	1104	1251	22.34%	18.33%	59.33%	-0.82	-6.3	10
1969-03-27	@ Hamrun Spartans	W 1-0	36.1	1251	1104	59.33%	18.33%	22.34%	+0.82	+6.3	18

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Record
1969-04-03	Valletta	W 2-0	36.0	1347	1257	52.80%	18.50%	28.70%	+0.46	+14.8	1-0
1969-04-03	@ Floriana	L 0-2	36.0	1257	1347	28.70%	18.50%	52.80%	-0.46	-14.8	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1968-10-23	8.28%	Birkirkara	986	2	@ Sliema Wanderers	1335	1
2	1968-11-07	10.77%	Gzira United	1056	2	@ Floriana	1353	1
3	1969-02-06	14.23%	@ Hamrun Spartans	1114	1	Floriana	1355	0
4	1969-02-06	15.00%	Gzira United	1095	1	@ Sliema Wanderers	1326	0
5	1968-09-11	19.68%	Gzira United	1022	2	@ Valletta	1196	1
6	1968-10-16	20.15%	Valletta	1178	1	@ Floriana	1347	0
7	1969-01-23	22.34%	@ Birkirkara	1002	2	Hamrun Spartans	1148	0
8	1969-01-09	27.20%	Birkirkara	989	2	@ Gzira United	1091	1
9	1968-12-19	29.51%	@ Gzira United	1078	1	Hamrun Spartans	1161	0
10	1969-03-06	32.50%	St. Georges	962	2	@ Birkirkara	1022	1
11	1969-03-06	37.62%	Gzira United	1112	2	@ Hamrun Spartans	1133	0
12	1968-10-16	38.66%	Gzira United	1020	5	@ Birkirkara	1035	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1968-10-16	48.21	Gzira United	5	1020	38.66%	@ Birkirkara	0	1035	42.73%	18.60%
2	1969-01-23	27.70	@ Birkirkara	2	1002	22.34%	Hamrun Spartans	0	1148	59.33%	18.33%
3	1969-01-23	24.27	@ Gzira United	3	1078	48.29%	St. Georges	0	1024	33.15%	18.57%
4	1969-02-20	21.56	@ Valletta	6	1229	68.18%	St. Georges	0	984	13.97%	17.85%
5	1969-03-06	21.04	Gzira United	2	1112	37.62%	@ Hamrun Spartans	0	1133	43.78%	18.60%
6	1968-10-23	20.70	Floriana	5	1332	41.42%	@ Hibernians	2	1327	39.98%	18.61%
7	1968-10-23	17.45	Birkirkara	2	986	8.28%	@ Sliema Wanderers	1	1335	74.59%	17.12%
8	1969-01-09	16.92	Valletta	5	1213	61.94%	@ St. Georges	1	1041	19.83%	18.23%
9	1969-02-06	16.82	@ Hamrun Spartans	1	1114	14.23%	Floriana	0	1355	67.89%	17.87%
10	1968-11-07	16.77	Gzira United	2	1056	10.77%	@ Floriana	1	1353	71.72%	17.51%
11	1969-02-06	16.61	Gzira United	1	1095	15.00%	@ Sliema Wanderers	0	1326	67.06%	17.93%
12	1968-10-16	15.25	Valletta	1	1178	20.15%	@ Floriana	0	1347	61.60%	18.24%
13	1969-04-03 *	14.80	@ Floriana	2	1347	52.80%	Valletta	0	1257	28.70%	18.50%
14	1968-09-11	14.49	Gzira United	2	1022	19.68%	@ Valletta	1	1196	62.10%	18.22%
15	1968-09-25	13.67	@ Hamrun Spartans	3	1151	50.48%	St. Georges	1	1079	30.98%	18.54%
16	1969-01-30	13.25	@ Hibernians	5	1311	72.55%	St. Georges	0	1000	10.04%	17.41%
17	1968-10-23	12.98	Valletta	2	1193	56.92%	@ Gzira United	0	1069	24.67%	18.41%
18	1968-12-19	12.97	@ Gzira United	1	1078	29.51%	Hamrun Spartans	0	1161	51.97%	18.52%
19	1969-01-09	12.74	Birkirkara	2	989	27.20%	@ Gzira United	1	1091	54.33%	18.47%
20	1969-03-06	11.59	St. Georges	2	962	32.50%	@ Birkirkara	1	1022	48.94%	18.56%
21	1969-01-09	10.47	@ Floriana	1	1337	40.89%	Sliema Wanderers	0	1336	40.50%	18.61%
22	1968-10-16	10.36	@ Hibernians	3	1317	59.21%	Hamrun Spartans	1	1171	22.46%	18.34%
23	1968-09-25	10.31	Hibernians	3	1301	69.57%	@ Gzira United	0	1036	12.70%	17.73%
24	1968-11-07	10.17	@ Sliema Wanderers	1	1317	42.28%	Hibernians	0	1306	39.11%	18.61%
25	1968-09-11	10.05	@ St. Georges	1	1069	42.83%	Birkirkara	0	1054	38.56%	18.60%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1968-11-21	62.4	@ Birkirkara	2	999	8.78%	Floriana	2	1336	74.00%	17.21%
2	1968-10-23	57.3	Birkirkara	2	986	8.28%	@ Sliema Wanderers	1	1335	74.59%	17.12%
3	1968-12-19	57.2	@ Hibernians	1	1302	35.82%	Sliema Wanderers	1	1336	45.59%	18.59%
4	1968-11-07	56.7	Gzira United	2	1056	10.77%	@ Floriana	1	1353	71.72%	17.51%
5	1968-09-11	56.4	@ Sliema Wanderers	1	1327	62.52%	Hamrun Spartans	1	1148	19.28%	18.20%
6	1968-10-23	56.0	@ St. Georges	1	1055	26.86%	Hamrun Spartans	1	1161	54.68%	18.46%
7	1968-09-11	53.8	Gzira United	2	1022	19.68%	@ Valletta	1	1196	62.10%	18.22%
8	1969-01-23	52.5	@ Sliema Wanderers	0	1325	37.54%	Floriana	0	1348	43.86%	18.60%
9	1968-09-11	52.2	@ Floriana	0	1342	46.53%	Hibernians	0	1300	34.88%	18.59%
10	1968-12-05	51.6	@ Valletta	0	1203	24.15%	Floriana	0	1333	57.46%	18.39%
11	1968-10-09	51.5	@ Valletta	0	1176	21.54%	Sliema Wanderers	0	1330	60.15%	18.30%
12	1969-01-09	51.5	Birkirkara	2	989	27.20%	@ Gzira United	1	1091	54.33%	18.47%
13	1968-12-05	51.3	@ Hamrun Spartans	0	1159	22.51%	Hibernians	0	1304	59.15%	18.34%
14	1969-02-20	51.3	@ Hamrun Spartans	0	1130	19.27%	Sliema Wanderers	0	1309	62.53%	18.20%
15	1969-03-06	49.9	St. Georges	2	962	32.50%	@ Birkirkara	1	1022	48.94%	18.56%
16	1969-02-06	49.8	@ Hamrun Spartans	1	1114	14.23%	Floriana	0	1355	67.89%	17.87%
17	1969-02-06	49.5	Gzira United	1	1095	15.00%	@ Sliema Wanderers	0	1326	67.06%	17.93%
18	1968-10-16	48.2	Valletta	1	1178	20.15%	@ Floriana	0	1347	61.60%	18.24%
19	1968-12-05	47.0	Gzira United	2	1069	42.39%	@ St. Georges	1	1057	39.00%	18.61%
20	1968-10-23	45.2	Floriana	5	1332	41.42%	@ Hibernians	2	1327	39.98%	18.61%
21	1968-12-19	44.9	@ Gzira United	1	1078	29.51%	Hamrun Spartans	0	1161	51.97%	18.52%
22	1969-01-23	44.2	@ Birkirkara	2	1002	22.34%	Hamrun Spartans	0	1148	59.33%	18.33%
23	1969-01-30	43.6	@ Valletta	2	1222	54.20%	Hamrun Spartans	1	1121	27.33%	18.48%
24	1969-01-09	43.0	@ Floriana	1	1337	40.89%	Sliema Wanderers	0	1336	40.50%	18.61%
25	1968-10-09	42.7	@ Hamrun Spartans	2	1164	56.75%	Birkirkara	1	1041	24.84%	18.41%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1969-01-30	26.9	@ Hibernians	5	1311	72.55%	St. Georges	0	1000	10.04%	17.41%
2	1969-03-20	27.1	Hibernians	3	1334	73.27%	@ Birkirkara	0	1010	9.42%	17.32%
3	1968-09-25	28.2	Hibernians	3	1301	69.57%	@ Gzira United	0	1036	12.70%	17.73%
4	1969-02-20	28.6	@ Valletta	6	1229	68.18%	St. Georges	0	984	13.97%	17.85%
5	1969-03-20	28.8	@ Sliema Wanderers	2	1306	73.76%	St. Georges	0	974	8.99%	17.25%
6	1968-12-05	28.9	Sliema Wanderers	2	1331	73.59%	@ Birkirkara	0	1002	9.14%	17.27%
7	1968-12-19	29.8	Floriana	2	1331	70.85%	@ St. Georges	0	1047	11.54%	17.60%
8	1968-10-16	30.2	Sliema Wanderers	2	1328	69.64%	@ St. Georges	0	1062	12.64%	17.72%
9	1969-01-30	30.7	Floriana	2	1347	68.12%	@ Gzira United	0	1103	14.02%	17.85%
10	1969-03-20	31.2	@ Floriana	2	1338	66.68%	Hamrun Spartans	0	1112	15.36%	17.96%
11	1969-02-20	32.5	@ Hibernians	4	1326	71.71%	Birkirkara	1	1029	10.78%	17.51%
12	1969-01-09	33.4	Valletta	5	1213	61.94%	@ St. Georges	1	1041	19.83%	18.23%
13	1968-10-23	33.9	Valletta	2	1193	56.92%	@ Gzira United	0	1069	24.67%	18.41%
14	1968-11-07	34.4	Valletta	1	1206	64.69%	@ Birkirkara	0	1004	17.22%	18.09%
15	1969-01-23	34.5	@ Gzira United	3	1078	48.29%	St. Georges	0	1024	33.15%	18.57%
16	1968-10-09	35.6	@ Hibernians	3	1311	70.96%	Gzira United	1	1026	11.45%	17.59%
17	1969-04-03 *	36.0	@ Floriana	2	1347	52.80%	Valletta	0	1257	28.70%	18.50%
18	1969-03-27	36.1	Valletta	1	1251	59.33%	@ Hamrun Spartans	0	1104	22.34%	18.33%
19	1968-10-16	37.0	Gzira United	5	1020	38.66%	@ Birkirkara	0	1035	42.73%	18.60%
20	1968-12-19	37.2	@ Valletta	3	1205	65.24%	Birkirkara	1	997	16.70%	18.05%
21	1969-02-06	37.6	Hibernians	2	1324	74.03%	@ St. Georges	1	986	8.76%	17.21%
22	1968-09-25	38.4	@ Floriana	2	1341	71.69%	Birkirkara	1	1044	10.80%	17.51%
23	1968-11-21	38.6	Hibernians	1	1296	52.18%	@ Valletta	0	1211	29.31%	18.51%
24	1968-10-09	38.8	@ Floriana	2	1344	70.51%	St. Georges	1	1066	11.85%	17.64%
25	1969-01-23	39.1	@ Hibernians	1	1302	50.55%	Valletta	0	1230	30.91%	18.54%