2014-15 Maltese Premier League Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Hibernians

56 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Valletta

14.04 points above expected

47 points · 32.96 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Mosta

5.60 points below expected

21 points · 26.60 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Hibernians	22	19	3	0	60	68	13	+55	46.20	+13.80
2	Valletta	22	14	2	6	44	51	17	+34	47.67	-3.67
3	Birkirkara	22	13	4	5	43	41	22	+19	45.62	-2.62
4	Balzan	22	9	7	6	34	35	33	+2	27.83	+6.17
5	Floriana	22	7	8	7	29	38	41	-3	29.23	-0.23
6	Sliema Wanderers	22	7	6	9	27	26	31	-5	33.48	-6.48
7	Mosta	22	7	4	11	25	24	43	-19	29.07	-4.07
8	Naxxar Lions	22	5	7	10	22	26	34	-8	23.29	-1.29
9	Tarxien Rainbows	22	4	9	9	21	22	38	-16	27.27	-6.27
10	Pieta Hotspurs	22	5	6	11	21	19	36	-17	13.25	+7.75
11	Qormi	22	4	6	12	18	22	38	-16	26.91	-8.91
12	Zebbug Rangers	22	4	6	12	18	25	51	-26	16.67	+1.33

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Hibernians	33	27	5	1	56	97	24	+73	42.81	+13.19
2	Valletta	33	22	3	8	47	74	30	+44	32.96	+14.04
3	Birkirkara	33	19	7	7	43	59	31	+28	44.77	-1.77
4	Balzan	33	17	8	8	42	59	45	+14	46.57	-4.57
5	Floriana	33	13	11	9	36	58	51	+7	38.14	-2.14
6	Sliema Wanderers	33	10	9	14	26	50	56	-6	26.44	-0.44
7	Naxxar Lions	33	9	9	15	25	40	51	-11	27.42	-2.42
8	Qormi	33	8	9	16	24	40	55	-15	21.44	+2.56
9	Tarxien Rainbows	33	8	9	16	23	35	60	-25	22.02	+0.98
10	Mosta	33	9	6	18	21	38	72	-34	26.60	-5.60
11	Pieta Hotspurs	33	6	8	19	16	30	58	-28	21.31	-5.31
12	Zebbug Rangers	33	5	6	22	12	37	84	-47	17.39	-5.39

Phase 1 points were halved (rounded up) going into Phase 2. Phase 2 split the league into a Championship Round and a Relegation Round, each played as its own round-robin.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Valletta	47	32.96	+14.04
2	Hibernians	56	42.81	+13.19
3	Qormi	24	21.44	+2.56
4	Tarxien Rainbows	23	22.02	+0.98
5	Sliema Wanderers	26	26.44	-0.44

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Mosta	21	26.60	-5.60
2	Zebbug Rangers	12	17.39	-5.39
3	Pieta Hotspurs	16	21.31	-5.31
4	Balzan	42	46.57	-4.57
5	Naxxar Lions	25	27.42	-2.42

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Balzan	6	Mar 15 – Apr 26	1 in 202
2	Hibernians	11	Oct 25 – Jan 18	1 in 141
3	Pieta Hotspurs	1	Oct 2 – Oct 2	1 in 34
4	Qormi	3	Oct 2 – Oct 25	1 in 31
5	Mosta	3	Aug 17 – Aug 27	1 in 15

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Qormi	7	Dec 14 – Jan 31	1 in 826
2	Birkirkara	2	Nov 10 – Nov 22	1 in 201
3	Zebbug Rangers	10	Feb 28 – May 8	1 in 182
4	Valletta	2	Oct 2 – Oct 19	1 in 111
5	Mosta	5	Sep 28 – Nov 2	1 in 79

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Hibernians	30	Aug 16 – Apr 18	1 in 91
2	Pieta Hotspurs	3	Oct 2 – Oct 25	1 in 27
3	Birkirkara	18	Nov 30 – Apr 19	1 in 21
4	Floriana	9	Jan 24 – Apr 4	1 in 16
5	Tarxien Rainbows	5	Aug 16 – Sep 20	1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Qormi	15	Nov 3 – Mar 1	1 in 1,064
2	Tarxien Rainbows	8	Oct 18 – Dec 13	1 in 64
3	Balzan	9	Oct 3 – Dec 13	1 in 61
4	Valletta	3	Feb 1 – Feb 21	1 in 28
5	Sliema Wanderers	5	Aug 16 – Sep 21	1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Hibernians	1484	86	-12	10	10.3	-0.3
Valletta	1409	69	+4	10	9.1	+0.9
Birkirkara	1352	64	-33	5	9.2	-4.2
Balzan	1258	59	+91	12	6.3	+5.7
Floriana	1234	50	+18	7	7.1	-0.1
Sliema Wanderers	1112	39	-6	4	5.5	-1.5
Naxxar Lions	1064	36	-16	7	7.3	-0.3
Tarxien Rainbows	985	33	+18	12	7.1	+4.9
Qormi	1063	33	+56	10	6.5	+3.5
Mosta	958	33	-40	4	5.7	-1.7
Pieta Hotspurs	882	26	-10	4	5.2	-1.2
Zebbug Rangers	827	21	-71	0	3.9	-3.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BAL	BIR	FLO	HIB	MOS	NL	PH	QOR	SW	TR	VAL	ZR
Balzan	—	2-1-0 1.93	1-1-1 4.31	1-0-2 1.53	1-1-1 4.46	1-1-1 4.80	1-1-1 6.56	2-1-0 4.58	2-1-0 3.84	3-0-0 4.81	1-0-2 1.98	2-1-0 6.02
Birkirkara	0-1-2 6.42	—	1-1-1 6.32	0-2-1 3.51	3-0-0 6.58	3-0-0 6.80	2-0-1 7.62	2-1-0 6.91	2-1-0 6.37	2-0-1 7.07	1-1-1 3.61	3-0-0 7.46
Floriana	1-1-1 3.96	1-1-1 2.02	—	0-0-3 2.03	2-1-0 5.19	2-1-0 5.21	2-1-0 6.32	0-2-1 5.37	2-1-0 3.71	1-2-0 5.00	0-0-3 1.75	2-1-0 6.20
Hibernians	2-0-1 6.85	1-2-0 4.78	3-0-0 6.31	—	2-1-0 7.28	2-1-0 7.26	3-0-0 7.78	3-0-0 6.85	3-0-0 6.38	2-1-0 7.16	3-0-0 4.04	3-0-0 7.61
Mosta	1-1-1 3.83	0-0-3 1.78	0-1-2 3.12	0-1-2 1.18	—	0-1-2 4.44	3-0-0 5.99	1-0-2 4.72	0-0-3 3.13	1-1-1 4.08	1-0-2 1.52	2-1-0 5.67
Naxxar Lions	1-1-1 3.48	0-0-3 1.58	0-1-2 3.08	0-1-2 1.18	2-1-0 3.85	—	1-2-0 5.63	1-1-1 3.92	2-1-0 2.86	0-0-3 4.51	0-0-3 1.32	2-1-0 5.24
Pieta Hotspurs	1-1-1 1.79	1-0-2 0.89	0-1-2 2.02	0-0-3 0.77	0-0-3 2.34	0-2-1 2.67	—	1-1-1 2.20	0-1-2 1.78	0-2-1 2.46	1-0-2 0.78	2-0-1 3.95
Qormi	0-1-2 3.71	0-1-2 1.49	1-2-0 2.94	0-0-3 1.56	2-0-1 3.57	1-1-1 4.36	1-1-1 6.12	—	0-2-1 3.12	2-0-1 4.05	0-0-3 1.27	1-1-1 5.88
Sliema Wanderers	0-1-2 4.44	0-1-2 1.97	0-1-2 4.58	0-0-3 1.99	3-0-0 5.16	0-1-2 5.44	2-1-0 6.57	1-2-0 5.17	—	2-1-0 5.22	0-1-2 1.91	2-0-1 6.42
Tarxien Rainbows	0-0-3 3.48	1-0-2 1.35	0-2-1 3.30	0-1-2 1.29	1-1-1 4.20	3-0-0 3.78	1-2-0 5.85	1-0-2 4.23	0-1-2 3.07	—	0-1-2 1.44	1-1-1 5.59
Valletta	2-0-1 6.36	1-1-1 4.67	3-0-0 6.61	0-0-3 4.24	2-0-1 6.88	3-0-0 7.09	2-0-1 7.76	3-0-0 7.15	2-1-0 6.44	2-1-0 6.97	—	2-0-1 7.64
Zebbug Rangers	0-1-2 2.30	0-0-3 1.02	0-1-2 2.13	0-0-3 0.91	0-1-2 2.64	0-1-2 3.05	1-0-2 4.32	1-1-1 2.44	1-0-2 1.92	1-1-1 2.71	1-0-2 0.87	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.89	+6.6
Allowed	0.85	-7.2
Differential	0.96	+3.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.57%	5.30%	4.55%	2.02%	2.27%	2.27%	22.98%
1	5.30%	12.12%	8.08%	6.82%	1.77%	1.01%	35.10%
2	4.55%	8.08%	2.02%	2.78%	0.76%	0.25%	18.43%
3	2.02%	6.82%	2.78%	2.02%	0.51%	0.25%	14.39%
4	2.27%	1.77%	0.76%	0.51%	—	—	5.30%
5+	2.27%	1.01%	0.25%	0.25%	—	—	3.79%
Total	22.98%	35.10%	18.43%	14.39%	5.30%	3.79%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.56	1.56	+0.00
SD	1.35	1.35	2.09
CV	0.86	0.86	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	6.06%	3.03%	6.06%	3.03%	—	24.24%
1	6.06%	18.18%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	30.30%
2	—	12.12%	—	—	—	—	12.12%
3	3.03%	3.03%	12.12%	—	—	—	18.18%
4	—	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	6.06%
5+	3.03%	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	—	9.09%
Total	18.18%	45.45%	21.21%	12.12%	3.03%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.79	1.36	+0.42
SD	1.60	1.03	1.94
CV	0.89	0.75	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	6.06%	—	—	—	—	15.15%
1	9.09%	9.09%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	27.27%
2	15.15%	12.12%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	33.33%
3	3.03%	9.09%	—	—	3.03%	—	15.15%
4	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	—	—	6.06%
5+	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	39.39%	39.39%	12.12%	6.06%	3.03%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.79	0.94	+0.85
SD	1.24	1.03	1.48
CV	0.70	1.10	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	—	3.03%	18.18%
1	—	18.18%	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	—	27.27%
2	6.06%	6.06%	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	—	24.24%
3	3.03%	12.12%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	21.21%
4	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.15%	48.48%	15.15%	12.12%	6.06%	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.76	1.55	+0.21
SD	1.25	1.25	1.93
CV	0.71	0.81	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
1	3.03%	9.09%	—	3.03%	—	—	15.15%
2	6.06%	12.12%	3.03%	—	—	—	21.21%
3	9.09%	18.18%	3.03%	—	—	—	30.30%
4	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	15.15%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	21.21%
Total	42.42%	45.45%	9.09%	3.03%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.94	0.73	+2.21
SD	1.50	0.76	1.85
CV	0.51	1.05	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	9.09%	21.21%
1	9.09%	15.15%	12.12%	9.09%	3.03%	6.06%	54.55%
2	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	12.12%
3	—	9.09%	3.03%	—	—	—	12.12%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.12%	30.30%	21.21%	15.15%	6.06%	15.15%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.15	2.18	-1.03
SD	0.91	1.61	2.16
CV	0.79	0.74	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	18.18%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	33.33%
1	3.03%	15.15%	6.06%	3.03%	6.06%	3.03%	36.36%
2	—	12.12%	3.03%	—	—	—	15.15%
3	—	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	—	6.06%
4	6.06%	—	—	3.03%	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.15%	48.48%	15.15%	12.12%	6.06%	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.21	1.55	-0.33
SD	1.24	1.25	1.78
CV	1.03	0.81	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.12%	3.03%	6.06%	9.09%	3.03%	—	33.33%
1	6.06%	12.12%	18.18%	15.15%	—	—	51.52%
2	—	6.06%	—	3.03%	—	—	9.09%
3	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
4	—	—	—	3.03%	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	24.24%	24.24%	30.30%	3.03%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.91	1.76	-0.85
SD	0.91	1.17	1.42
CV	1.01	0.67	—
Max	4	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.12%	6.06%	6.06%	—	3.03%	3.03%	30.30%
1	6.06%	9.09%	15.15%	9.09%	—	3.03%	42.42%
2	—	3.03%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	12.12%
3	—	6.06%	—	—	—	—	6.06%
4	6.06%	—	3.03%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	24.24%	24.24%	30.30%	12.12%	3.03%	6.06%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.21	1.67	-0.45
SD	1.22	1.47	2.06
CV	1.01	0.88	—
Max	4	6	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.12%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	3.03%	24.24%
1	3.03%	12.12%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	33.33%
2	6.06%	6.06%	—	3.03%	3.03%	—	18.18%
3	—	3.03%	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	18.18%
4	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	21.21%	33.33%	18.18%	15.15%	6.06%	6.06%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.52	1.70	-0.18
SD	1.30	1.45	1.74
CV	0.86	0.85	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	3.03%	9.09%	—	6.06%	6.06%	33.33%
1	6.06%	15.15%	12.12%	—	3.03%	—	36.36%
2	3.03%	9.09%	—	9.09%	—	—	21.21%
3	—	6.06%	—	3.03%	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	33.33%	21.21%	12.12%	9.09%	6.06%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.06	1.82	-0.76
SD	0.97	1.53	1.94
CV	0.91	0.84	—
Max	3	6	+2
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	9.09%
1	9.09%	3.03%	9.09%	6.06%	—	—	27.27%
2	15.15%	6.06%	—	3.03%	—	—	24.24%
3	6.06%	9.09%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	21.21%
4	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	48.48%	24.24%	15.15%	12.12%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.24	0.91	+1.33
SD	1.50	1.07	2.10
CV	0.67	1.18	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	6.06%	12.12%	—	9.09%	3.03%	30.30%
1	3.03%	9.09%	3.03%	18.18%	6.06%	—	39.39%
2	—	9.09%	—	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	18.18%
3	—	—	3.03%	9.09%	—	—	12.12%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	3.03%	24.24%	18.18%	30.30%	18.18%	6.06%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.12	2.55	-1.42
SD	0.99	1.30	1.64
CV	0.89	0.51	—
Max	3	5	+1
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Hibernians	1484	56	46.20	+9.80	100.0%	33	36	41	46	51	55	59
Valletta	1409	47	47.67	-0.67	21.0%	35	39	45	47	51	54	61
Birkirkara	1352	43	45.62	-2.62	29.0%	32	37	41	46	49	55	59
Balzan	1258	42	27.83	+14.17	91.0%	16	20	24	27	30	37	44
Floriana	1234	36	29.23	+6.77	50.0%	17	20	26	29	32	38	40
Sliema Wanderers	1112	26	33.48	-7.48	15.0%	14	23	30	33	38	42	49
Naxxar Lions	1064	25	23.29	+1.71	45.0%	8	14	20	23	26	31	39
Qormi	1063	24	26.91	-2.91	4.0%	13	19	23	26	31	38	42
Tarxien Rainbows	985	23	27.27	-4.27	13.0%	15	19	23	27	31	35	38
Mosta	958	21	29.07	-8.07	29.0%	17	20	25	29	32	40	47
Pieta Hotspurs	882	16	13.25	+2.75	95.0%	1	8	10	13	16	21	28
Zebbug Rangers	827	12	16.67	-4.67	62.0%	3	8	13	17	21	25	27

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under -3% * Slight Edge: -3% to 3.5% * Clear Edge: 3.5% to 8.5% * Strong Edge: 8.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+3.54%

Clear Edge

40.40%22.73%36.87%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 12.29 Elo pts.

211 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0600

Scoring Tilt

Expected

-0.06 goals

Neutral

-2+0.06+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.21 * Comfortable: 0.21 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.8

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

38%

Hibernians, 2nd of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.27/gm

Comfortable

00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.3 * Some Luck: 4.3 to 6.45 * Lucky: 6.45 to 8.59 * Wild Swing: 8.59 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.07 * Close: 1.07 to 1.61 * Off: 1.61 to 2.15 * Way Off: 2.15 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.38 points

Some Luck

05.3713

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.50

01.343

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

100.00%

Hibernians

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

4.00%

Qormi

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.2 * Even: 0.2 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.27 * Lopsided: 0.27 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 2 * Strong Separation: 2 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 72.5% * Slight Edge: 72.5% to 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 84% * Wide Edge: 84% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 92.5% * Clear Edge: 92.5% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 98% * Dominant: 98% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 22% * Frequent: 22% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.

Gini Index

0.24

Top-Heavy

00.20.270.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 187.51

1.77

Moderate Separation

0.951.6522.253

Interquartile Edge

77%

Slight Edge

50%72.5%79%84%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 98%

96%

Strong Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

56%

Some Drama

0%52%100%

Blowouts

Expected

19%

Occasional

0%23%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.42 * Slight Separation: 0.42 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.57 * Some Carryover: 0.57 to 0.74 * Strong Carryover: 0.74 to 0.83 * Near-Lock: 0.83 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Upset-Prone: 18.5% to 23% * Very Upset-Prone: 23% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 15.5% * Shaky Favorites: 15.5% to 19.5% * Very Shaky: 19.5% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.54

Highly Predictable

00.542

Matchup Imbalance

0.51

Lopsided

00.420.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.35

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.76

Strong Carryover

00.570.741

Upset Rate

Expected

18%

As Expected

0%19%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

14%

As Expected

0%15%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.

Probability calibration

0.10

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.87

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.058

Well Within Noise

00.1090.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Hibernians	38.00%	27.00%	26.00%	6.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Valletta	42.00%	31.00%	22.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Birkirkara	20.00%	40.00%	28.00%	7.00%	5.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Balzan	—	—	5.00%	4.00%	17.00%	19.00%	17.00%	14.00%	8.00%	13.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Floriana	—	—	1.00%	18.00%	14.00%	18.00%	18.00%	14.00%	10.00%	4.00%	3.00%	—
Sliema Wanderers	—	2.00%	15.00%	30.00%	12.00%	17.00%	9.00%	7.00%	6.00%	2.00%	—	—
Naxxar Lions	—	—	—	2.00%	5.00%	6.00%	10.00%	15.00%	21.00%	24.00%	15.00%	2.00%
Qormi	—	—	—	12.00%	13.00%	7.00%	15.00%	16.00%	15.00%	13.00%	7.00%	2.00%
Tarxien Rainbows	—	—	1.00%	7.00%	16.00%	7.00%	14.00%	23.00%	16.00%	10.00%	5.00%	1.00%
Mosta	—	—	2.00%	10.00%	14.00%	26.00%	13.00%	10.00%	11.00%	12.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Pieta Hotspurs	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	7.00%	24.00%	65.00%
Zebbug Rangers	—	—	—	—	—	—	3.00%	—	11.00%	15.00%	43.00%	28.00%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Hibernians	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Valletta	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Birkirkara	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Balzan	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Floriana	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Sliema Wanderers	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Naxxar Lions	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Qormi	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Tarxien Rainbows	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Mosta	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Pieta Hotspurs	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Zebbug Rangers	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
Balzan	94.00%	6.00%	—
Birkirkara	100%	—	—
Floriana	92.00%	8.00%	—
Hibernians	100%	—	—
Sliema Wanderers	98.00%	2.00%	—
Valletta	100%	—	—
Mosta	83.00%	9.00%	8.00%
Qormi	66.00%	24.00%	10.00%
Tarxien Rainbows	74.00%	16.00%	10.00%
Naxxar Lions	71.00%	18.00%	11.00%
Zebbug Rangers	16.00%	11.00%	73.00%
Pieta Hotspurs	6.00%	6.00%	88.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
Balzan	100%	—	—
Birkirkara	100%	—	—
Hibernians	99.99%	0.01%	—
Floriana	99.95%	0.04%	0.01%
Valletta	98.97%	0.71%	0.32%
Naxxar Lions	87.49%	7.09%	5.42%
Mosta	84.42%	8.98%	6.60%
Sliema Wanderers	81.54%	9.49%	8.97%
Tarxien Rainbows	46.88%	20.42%	32.70%
Pieta Hotspurs	42.96%	21.91%	35.13%
Qormi	43.61%	19.76%	36.63%
Zebbug Rangers	14.19%	11.59%	74.22%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2014-08-16	Hibernians	L 0-3	32.7	1114	1230	24.67%	23.63%	51.70%	-0.49	-28.7	0
2014-08-16	@ Floriana	W 3-0	32.7	1230	1114	51.70%	23.63%	24.67%	+0.49	+28.7	3
2014-08-16	Pieta Hotspurs	W 2-1	34.1	1360	894	79.68%	16.15%	4.17%	+2.27	+1.7	3
2014-08-16	@ Birkirkara	L 1-2	34.1	894	1360	4.17%	16.15%	79.68%	-2.27	-1.7	0
2014-08-16	Sliema Wanderers	D 1-1	52.5	1109	1205	26.90%	23.79%	49.31%	-0.40	+1.8	1
2014-08-16	@ Tarxien Rainbows	D 1-1	52.5	1205	1109	49.31%	23.79%	26.90%	+0.40	-1.8	1
2014-08-16	Zebbug Rangers	W 4-2	44.4	1070	980	51.51%	23.64%	24.85%	+0.48	+15.4	3
2014-08-16	@ Balzan	L 2-4	44.4	980	1070	24.85%	23.64%	51.51%	-0.48	-15.4	0
2014-08-17	Naxxar Lions	W 1-0	40.0	1063	1044	42.29%	24.06%	33.64%	+0.15	+13.5	3
2014-08-17	@ Qormi	L 0-1	40.0	1044	1063	33.64%	24.06%	42.29%	-0.15	-13.5	0
2014-08-17	Valletta	W 1-0	48.9	1166	1393	14.82%	22.15%	63.03%	-1.02	+22.9	3
2014-08-17	@ Mosta	L 0-1	48.9	1393	1166	63.03%	22.15%	14.82%	+1.02	-22.9	0
2014-08-23	Balzan	D 1-1	52.4	1031	1085	32.13%	24.03%	43.84%	-0.20	+0.9	1
2014-08-23	@ Naxxar Lions	D 1-1	52.4	1085	1031	43.84%	24.03%	32.13%	+0.20	-0.9	4
2014-08-23	Birkirkara	L 0-4	25.2	965	1362	6.55%	18.49%	74.96%	-1.82	-10.4	0
2014-08-23	@ Zebbug Rangers	W 4-0	25.2	1362	965	74.96%	18.49%	6.55%	+1.82	+10.4	6
2014-08-23	Floriana	D 1-1	52.6	1204	1085	54.81%	23.35%	21.84%	+0.62	-2.8	2
2014-08-23	@ Sliema Wanderers	D 1-1	52.6	1085	1204	21.84%	23.35%	54.81%	-0.62	+2.8	1
2014-08-23	Tarxien Rainbows	D 0-0	49.4	1370	1111	67.65%	21.07%	11.28%	+1.29	-5.6	1
2014-08-23	@ Valletta	D 0-0	49.4	1111	1370	11.28%	21.07%	67.65%	-1.29	+5.6	2
2014-08-24	Mosta	L 0-1	32.1	892	1189	10.60%	20.80%	68.60%	-1.35	-4.8	0
2014-08-24	@ Pieta Hotspurs	W 1-0	32.1	1189	892	68.60%	20.80%	10.60%	+1.35	+4.8	6
2014-08-24	Qormi	W 2-1	39.6	1258	1076	61.25%	22.48%	16.27%	+0.92	+6.9	6
2014-08-24	@ Hibernians	L 1-2	39.6	1076	1258	16.27%	22.48%	61.25%	-0.92	-6.8	3
2014-08-26	Naxxar Lions	W 1-0	30.9	1372	1032	73.08%	19.27%	7.65%	+1.67	+3.4	9
2014-08-26	@ Birkirkara	L 0-1	30.9	1032	1372	7.65%	19.27%	73.08%	-1.67	-3.4	1
2014-08-26	Valletta	L 0-2	30.1	1088	1364	11.67%	21.21%	67.12%	-1.25	-10.0	1
2014-08-26	@ Floriana	W 2-0	30.1	1364	1088	67.12%	21.21%	11.67%	+1.25	+10.0	4
2014-08-27	Balzan	L 1-2	46.4	1069	1084	37.57%	24.10%	38.32%	-0.01	-13.8	3
2014-08-27	@ Qormi	W 2-1	46.4	1084	1069	38.32%	24.10%	37.57%	+0.01	+13.8	7
2014-08-27	Pieta Hotspurs	D 0-0	48.9	1116	887	65.29%	21.67%	13.05%	+1.14	-5.1	3
2014-08-27	@ Tarxien Rainbows	D 0-0	48.9	887	1116	13.05%	21.67%	65.29%	-1.14	+5.1	1
2014-08-27	Sliema Wanderers	W 3-1	41.4	1265	1201	48.39%	23.84%	27.76%	+0.36	+18.9	9
2014-08-27	@ Hibernians	L 1-3	41.4	1201	1265	27.76%	23.84%	48.39%	-0.36	-18.9	2
2014-08-27	Zebbug Rangers	W 2-0	30.1	1194	954	66.17%	21.45%	12.38%	+1.19	+10.6	9
2014-08-27	@ Mosta	L 0-2	30.1	954	1194	12.38%	21.45%	66.17%	-1.19	-10.6	0
2014-09-13	Birkirkara	W 3-2	60.0	1098	1376	11.63%	21.20%	67.18%	-1.26	+21.7	10
2014-09-13	@ Balzan	L 2-3	60.0	1376	1098	67.18%	21.20%	11.63%	+1.26	-21.7	9
2014-09-13	Floriana	L 1-3	37.9	893	1078	18.01%	22.81%	59.18%	-0.82	-13.0	1
2014-09-13	@ Pieta Hotspurs	W 3-1	37.9	1078	893	59.18%	22.81%	18.01%	+0.82	+13.0	4
2014-09-13	Mosta	D 1-1	52.7	1028	1205	18.76%	22.93%	58.30%	-0.78	+3.4	2
2014-09-13	@ Naxxar Lions	D 1-1	52.7	1205	1028	58.30%	22.93%	18.76%	+0.78	-3.4	10
2014-09-13	Qormi	D 0-0	48.4	1182	1056	55.65%	23.26%	21.09%	+0.66	-3.2	3
2014-09-13	@ Sliema Wanderers	D 0-0	48.4	1056	1182	21.09%	23.26%	55.65%	-0.66	+3.2	4
2014-09-14	Hibernians	L 1-2	51.9	1374	1284	51.55%	23.64%	24.81%	+0.49	-17.9	4
2014-09-14	@ Valletta	W 2-1	51.9	1284	1374	24.81%	23.64%	51.55%	-0.49	+17.9	12
2014-09-14	Tarxien Rainbows	D 3-3	62.6	944	1111	19.53%	23.05%	57.42%	-0.74	+2.0	1
2014-09-14	@ Zebbug Rangers	D 3-3	62.6	1111	944	57.42%	23.05%	19.53%	+0.74	-2.0	4
2014-09-20	Birkirkara	L 0-2	29.6	1059	1354	10.69%	20.83%	68.47%	-1.34	-9.1	4
2014-09-20	@ Qormi	W 2-0	29.6	1354	1059	68.47%	20.83%	10.69%	+1.34	+9.2	12
2014-09-20	Naxxar Lions	W 2-1	42.9	1109	1032	50.01%	23.75%	26.25%	+0.43	+10.4	7
2014-09-20	@ Tarxien Rainbows	L 1-2	42.9	1032	1109	26.25%	23.75%	50.01%	-0.43	-10.4	2
2014-09-20	Pieta Hotspurs	W 3-1	32.4	1302	880	77.59%	17.26%	5.15%	+2.06	+3.6	15
2014-09-20	@ Hibernians	L 1-3	32.4	880	1302	5.15%	17.26%	77.59%	-2.06	-3.6	1
2014-09-20	Zebbug Rangers	D 3-3	62.6	1091	946	57.65%	23.02%	19.33%	+0.75	-2.0	5
2014-09-20	@ Floriana	D 3-3	62.6	946	1091	19.33%	23.02%	57.65%	-0.75	+2.0	2
2014-09-21	Balzan	W 1-0	37.6	1201	1120	50.48%	23.71%	25.80%	+0.44	+10.9	13
2014-09-21	@ Mosta	L 0-1	37.6	1120	1201	25.80%	23.71%	50.48%	-0.44	-10.9	10
2014-09-21	Valletta	L 0-5	30.9	1179	1357	18.63%	22.91%	58.46%	-0.78	-36.3	3
2014-09-21	@ Sliema Wanderers	W 5-0	30.9	1357	1179	58.46%	22.91%	18.63%	+0.78	+36.3	7
2014-09-27	Floriana	D 1-1	52.4	1021	1089	30.44%	23.97%	45.59%	-0.26	+1.2	3
2014-09-27	@ Naxxar Lions	D 1-1	52.4	1089	1021	45.59%	23.97%	30.44%	+0.26	-1.2	6
2014-09-27	Hibernians	L 0-4	25.8	948	1306	7.90%	19.43%	72.67%	-1.64	-12.7	2
2014-09-27	@ Zebbug Rangers	W 4-0	25.8	1306	948	72.67%	19.43%	7.90%	+1.64	+12.7	18
2014-09-27	Qormi	W 4-0	25.9	1393	1050	73.24%	19.21%	7.55%	+1.68	+12.1	10
2014-09-27	@ Valletta	L 0-4	25.9	1050	1393	7.55%	19.21%	73.24%	-1.68	-12.1	4
2014-09-27	Tarxien Rainbows	W 3-2	51.8	1109	1120	38.19%	24.11%	37.71%	+0.01	+13.2	13
2014-09-27	@ Balzan	L 2-3	51.8	1120	1109	37.71%	24.11%	38.19%	-0.01	-13.1	7
2014-09-28	Mosta	W 2-0	33.2	1363	1212	58.24%	22.94%	18.82%	+0.77	+15.6	15
2014-09-28	@ Birkirkara	L 0-2	33.2	1212	1363	18.82%	22.94%	58.24%	-0.77	-15.6	13
2014-09-28	Sliema Wanderers	L 0-2	30.0	876	1142	12.26%	21.41%	66.33%	-1.20	-10.5	1
2014-09-28	@ Pieta Hotspurs	W 2-0	30.0	1142	876	66.33%	21.41%	12.26%	+1.20	+10.5	6
2014-10-02	Birkirkara	W 3-1	52.4	1106	1379	11.92%	21.30%	66.78%	-1.23	+39.4	10
2014-10-02	@ Tarxien Rainbows	L 1-3	52.4	1379	1106	66.78%	21.30%	11.92%	+1.23	-39.4	15
2014-10-02	Mosta	W 4-0	41.5	1038	1196	20.33%	23.16%	56.51%	-0.69	+73.9	7
2014-10-02	@ Qormi	L 0-4	41.5	1196	1038	56.51%	23.16%	20.33%	+0.69	-73.9	13
2014-10-02	Pieta Hotspurs	L 1-2	57.1	1405	865	82.79%	14.31%	2.91%	+2.61	-26.8	10
2014-10-02	@ Valletta	W 2-1	57.1	865	1405	2.91%	14.31%	82.79%	-2.61	+26.8	4
2014-10-02	Zebbug Rangers	W 1-0	33.3	1153	935	64.40%	21.87%	13.73%	+1.09	+6.2	9
2014-10-02	@ Sliema Wanderers	L 0-1	33.3	935	1153	13.73%	21.87%	64.40%	-1.09	-6.2	2
2014-10-03	Balzan	D 1-1	52.4	1088	1122	34.80%	24.08%	41.11%	-0.11	+0.5	7
2014-10-03	@ Floriana	D 1-1	52.4	1122	1088	41.11%	24.08%	34.80%	+0.11	-0.5	14
2014-10-03	Naxxar Lions	W 5-1	30.8	1318	1022	70.25%	20.29%	9.47%	+1.46	+12.8	21
2014-10-03	@ Hibernians	L 1-5	30.8	1022	1318	9.47%	20.29%	70.25%	-1.46	-12.8	3
2014-10-18	Floriana	W 4-2	47.0	1112	1088	42.98%	24.05%	32.97%	+0.17	+19.4	10
2014-10-18	@ Qormi	L 2-4	47.0	1088	1112	32.97%	24.05%	42.98%	-0.17	-19.4	7
2014-10-18	Mosta	W 4-1	40.0	1159	1123	44.75%	24.00%	31.25%	+0.23	+29.4	12
2014-10-18	@ Sliema Wanderers	L 1-4	40.0	1123	1159	31.25%	24.00%	44.75%	-0.23	-29.3	13
2014-10-18	Naxxar Lions	D 3-3	62.3	929	1010	28.74%	23.89%	47.37%	-0.33	+0.9	3
2014-10-18	@ Zebbug Rangers	D 3-3	62.3	1010	929	47.37%	23.89%	28.74%	+0.33	-0.9	4
2014-10-18	Tarxien Rainbows	D 1-1	53.2	1331	1146	61.55%	22.43%	16.03%	+0.94	-3.9	22
2014-10-18	@ Hibernians	D 1-1	53.2	1146	1331	16.03%	22.43%	61.55%	-0.94	+3.9	11
2014-10-19	Balzan	D 1-1	52.9	892	1122	14.62%	22.10%	63.28%	-1.03	+4.2	5
2014-10-19	@ Pieta Hotspurs	D 1-1	52.9	1122	892	63.28%	22.10%	14.62%	+1.03	-4.2	15
2014-10-19	Birkirkara	L 0-2	42.8	1378	1339	45.05%	23.99%	30.96%	+0.24	-31.9	10
2014-10-19	@ Valletta	W 2-0	42.8	1339	1378	30.96%	23.99%	45.05%	-0.24	+31.9	18
2014-10-25	Birkirkara	W 1-0	44.5	1327	1371	33.53%	24.06%	42.41%	-0.15	+16.1	25
2014-10-25	@ Hibernians	L 0-1	44.5	1371	1327	42.41%	24.06%	33.53%	+0.15	-16.1	18
2014-10-25	Mosta	W 3-2	52.3	1069	1093	36.21%	24.10%	39.70%	-0.06	+13.7	10
2014-10-25	@ Floriana	L 2-3	52.3	1093	1069	39.70%	24.10%	36.21%	+0.06	-13.7	13
2014-10-25	Tarxien Rainbows	W 1-0	41.6	1131	1150	37.00%	24.10%	38.90%	-0.03	+15.0	13
2014-10-25	@ Qormi	L 0-1	41.6	1150	1131	38.90%	24.10%	37.00%	+0.03	-15.1	11
2014-10-25	Zebbug Rangers	W 1-0	42.1	896	930	35.01%	24.09%	40.91%	-0.10	+15.7	8
2014-10-25	@ Pieta Hotspurs	L 0-1	42.1	930	896	40.91%	24.09%	35.01%	+0.10	-15.7	3
2014-10-26	Balzan	D 0-0	48.3	1188	1117	49.21%	23.80%	26.99%	+0.39	-2.0	13
2014-10-26	@ Sliema Wanderers	D 0-0	48.3	1117	1188	26.99%	23.80%	49.21%	-0.39	+2.0	16
2014-10-26	Naxxar Lions	W 2-0	28.2	1346	1009	72.90%	19.34%	7.76%	+1.66	+6.6	13
2014-10-26	@ Valletta	L 0-2	28.2	1009	1346	7.76%	19.34%	72.90%	-1.66	-6.6	4
2014-11-01	Pieta Hotspurs	W 4-0	32.1	1002	912	51.54%	23.64%	24.82%	+0.49	+37.7	7
2014-11-01	@ Naxxar Lions	L 0-4	32.1	912	1002	24.82%	23.64%	51.54%	-0.49	-37.7	8
2014-11-01	Valletta	L 0-2	31.2	1119	1353	14.35%	22.03%	63.62%	-1.05	-12.2	16
2014-11-01	@ Balzan	W 2-0	31.2	1353	1119	63.62%	22.03%	14.35%	+1.05	+12.2	16
2014-11-02	Floriana	D 1-1	52.4	1135	1082	46.84%	23.92%	29.24%	+0.31	-1.4	12
2014-11-02	@ Tarxien Rainbows	D 1-1	52.4	1082	1135	29.24%	23.92%	46.84%	-0.31	+1.4	11
2014-11-02	Hibernians	L 0-5	28.2	1079	1343	12.41%	21.46%	66.13%	-1.19	-24.8	13
2014-11-02	@ Mosta	W 5-0	28.2	1343	1079	66.13%	21.46%	12.41%	+1.19	+24.8	28
2014-11-03	Qormi	D 1-1	53.0	914	1146	14.44%	22.06%	63.51%	-1.04	+4.3	4
2014-11-03	@ Zebbug Rangers	D 1-1	53.0	1146	914	63.51%	22.06%	14.44%	+1.04	-4.3	14
2014-11-03	Sliema Wanderers	W 1-0	35.3	1355	1186	59.98%	22.69%	17.33%	+0.86	+7.7	21
2014-11-03	@ Birkirkara	L 0-1	35.3	1186	1355	17.33%	22.69%	59.98%	-0.86	-7.7	13
2014-11-08	Sliema Wanderers	W 1-0	46.0	1040	1179	22.28%	23.40%	54.32%	-0.60	+19.9	10
2014-11-08	@ Naxxar Lions	L 0-1	46.0	1179	1040	54.32%	23.40%	22.28%	+0.60	-19.9	13
2014-11-08	Valletta	L 0-2	26.7	918	1365	5.16%	17.27%	77.58%	-2.06	-4.2	4
2014-11-08	@ Zebbug Rangers	W 2-0	26.7	1365	918	77.58%	17.27%	5.16%	+2.06	+4.2	19
2014-11-09	Qormi	D 0-0	49.0	874	1142	12.21%	21.40%	66.39%	-1.21	+5.3	9
2014-11-09	@ Pieta Hotspurs	D 0-0	49.0	1142	874	66.39%	21.40%	12.21%	+1.21	-5.3	15
2014-11-09	Tarxien Rainbows	W 2-1	49.2	1055	1133	29.04%	23.91%	47.05%	-0.31	+16.6	16
2014-11-09	@ Mosta	L 1-2	49.2	1133	1055	47.05%	23.91%	29.04%	+0.31	-16.6	12
2014-11-10	Floriana	L 1-2	55.1	1363	1084	69.08%	20.65%	10.26%	+1.38	-23.5	21
2014-11-10	@ Birkirkara	W 2-1	55.1	1084	1363	10.26%	20.65%	69.08%	-1.38	+23.5	14
2014-11-10	Hibernians	L 0-3	28.7	1107	1368	12.58%	21.52%	65.90%	-1.18	-15.6	16
2014-11-10	@ Balzan	W 3-0	28.7	1368	1107	65.90%	21.52%	12.58%	+1.18	+15.6	31
2014-11-22	Balzan	D 1-1	52.7	914	1092	18.64%	22.91%	58.45%	-0.78	+3.4	5
2014-11-22	@ Zebbug Rangers	D 1-1	52.7	1092	914	58.45%	22.91%	18.64%	+0.78	-3.4	17
2014-11-22	Birkirkara	W 4-3	64.7	880	1339	4.85%	16.94%	78.21%	-2.12	+24.0	12
2014-11-22	@ Pieta Hotspurs	L 3-4	64.7	1339	880	78.21%	16.94%	4.85%	+2.12	-24.0	21
2014-11-22	Floriana	W 5-0	27.6	1384	1107	68.91%	20.71%	10.39%	+1.37	+20.8	34
2014-11-22	@ Hibernians	L 0-5	27.6	1107	1384	10.39%	20.71%	68.91%	-1.37	-20.8	14
2014-11-22	Tarxien Rainbows	W 2-0	36.4	1159	1117	45.48%	23.97%	30.55%	+0.26	+23.5	16
2014-11-22	@ Sliema Wanderers	L 0-2	36.4	1117	1159	30.55%	23.97%	45.48%	-0.26	-23.5	12
2014-11-23	Mosta	W 5-0	27.0	1369	1071	70.38%	20.24%	9.38%	+1.47	+18.7	22
2014-11-23	@ Valletta	L 0-5	27.0	1071	1369	9.38%	20.24%	70.38%	-1.47	-18.7	16
2014-11-23	Qormi	D 1-1	52.4	1060	1136	29.31%	23.92%	46.77%	-0.30	+1.4	11
2014-11-23	@ Naxxar Lions	D 1-1	52.4	1136	1060	46.77%	23.92%	29.31%	+0.30	-1.4	16
2014-11-29	Hibernians	L 0-6	29.0	1135	1405	12.08%	21.35%	66.57%	-1.22	-28.7	16
2014-11-29	@ Qormi	W 6-0	29.0	1405	1135	66.57%	21.35%	12.08%	+1.22	+28.7	37
2014-11-29	Naxxar Lions	L 1-3	45.9	1088	1061	43.46%	24.04%	32.51%	+0.19	-26.8	17
2014-11-29	@ Balzan	W 3-1	45.9	1061	1088	32.51%	24.04%	43.46%	-0.19	+26.8	14
2014-11-29	Pieta Hotspurs	W 3-1	38.2	1053	904	58.02%	22.97%	19.01%	+0.76	+13.7	19
2014-11-29	@ Mosta	L 1-3	38.2	904	1053	19.01%	22.97%	58.02%	-0.76	-13.7	12
2014-11-29	Valletta	L 0-6	28.2	1093	1388	10.72%	20.84%	68.44%	-1.34	-25.5	12
2014-11-29	@ Tarxien Rainbows	W 6-0	28.2	1388	1093	68.44%	20.84%	10.72%	+1.34	+25.4	25
2014-11-30	Sliema Wanderers	W 2-0	41.9	1086	1182	26.96%	23.79%	49.25%	-0.40	+34.5	17
2014-11-30	@ Floriana	L 0-2	41.9	1182	1086	49.25%	23.79%	26.96%	+0.40	-34.4	16
2014-11-30	Zebbug Rangers	W 3-1	32.8	1315	917	76.33%	17.87%	5.80%	+1.94	+4.2	24
2014-11-30	@ Birkirkara	L 1-3	32.8	917	1315	5.80%	17.87%	76.33%	-1.94	-4.2	5
2014-12-06	Floriana	W 4-1	33.0	1413	1121	70.01%	20.36%	9.63%	+1.44	+10.1	28
2014-12-06	@ Valletta	L 1-4	33.0	1121	1413	9.63%	20.36%	70.01%	-1.44	-10.1	17
2014-12-06	Hibernians	L 1-2	38.4	1148	1433	11.20%	21.04%	67.76%	-1.29	-4.8	16
2014-12-06	@ Sliema Wanderers	W 2-1	38.4	1433	1148	67.76%	21.04%	11.20%	+1.29	+4.8	40
2014-12-07	Birkirkara	L 1-3	36.8	1088	1320	14.48%	22.07%	63.46%	-1.04	-10.6	14
2014-12-07	@ Naxxar Lions	W 3-1	36.8	1320	1088	63.46%	22.07%	14.48%	+1.04	+10.7	27
2014-12-07	Mosta	D 1-1	52.6	913	1066	20.88%	23.23%	55.88%	-0.67	+2.9	6
2014-12-07	@ Zebbug Rangers	D 1-1	52.6	1066	913	55.88%	23.23%	20.88%	+0.67	-2.9	20
2014-12-07	Qormi	D 1-1	52.4	1061	1106	33.40%	24.06%	42.54%	-0.15	+0.7	18
2014-12-07	@ Balzan	D 1-1	52.4	1106	1061	42.54%	24.06%	33.40%	+0.15	-0.7	17
2014-12-07	Tarxien Rainbows	D 0-0	48.5	890	1068	18.63%	22.91%	58.46%	-0.78	+3.8	13
2014-12-07	@ Pieta Hotspurs	D 0-0	48.5	1068	890	58.46%	22.91%	18.63%	+0.78	-3.8	13
2014-12-13	Balzan	D 0-0	49.3	1330	1062	68.30%	20.88%	10.82%	+1.33	-5.7	28
2014-12-13	@ Birkirkara	D 0-0	49.3	1062	1330	10.82%	20.88%	68.30%	-1.33	+5.7	19
2014-12-13	Naxxar Lions	L 1-2	46.5	1063	1077	37.68%	24.11%	38.22%	-0.01	-13.9	20
2014-12-13	@ Mosta	W 2-1	46.5	1077	1063	38.22%	24.11%	37.68%	+0.01	+13.8	17
2014-12-13	Pieta Hotspurs	D 1-1	53.0	1111	894	64.32%	21.88%	13.80%	+1.09	-4.4	18
2014-12-13	@ Floriana	D 1-1	53.0	894	1111	13.80%	21.88%	64.32%	-1.09	+4.4	14
2014-12-13	Zebbug Rangers	L 1-2	52.2	1064	916	57.92%	22.99%	19.09%	+0.76	-19.9	13
2014-12-13	@ Tarxien Rainbows	W 2-1	52.2	916	1064	19.09%	22.99%	57.92%	-0.76	+19.9	9
2014-12-14	Sliema Wanderers	L 1-3	43.2	1106	1143	34.40%	24.08%	41.53%	-0.12	-22.4	17
2014-12-14	@ Qormi	W 3-1	43.2	1143	1106	41.53%	24.08%	34.40%	+0.12	+22.4	19
2014-12-14	Valletta	W 3-1	48.3	1438	1423	41.76%	24.07%	34.17%	+0.13	+22.3	43
2014-12-14	@ Hibernians	L 1-3	48.3	1423	1438	34.17%	24.07%	41.76%	-0.13	-22.3	28
2014-12-20	Floriana	L 1-4	36.1	936	1106	19.28%	23.01%	57.70%	-0.75	-19.6	9
2014-12-20	@ Zebbug Rangers	W 4-1	36.1	1106	936	57.70%	23.01%	19.28%	+0.75	+19.6	21
2014-12-20	Hibernians	L 0-3	23.5	898	1460	2.93%	14.35%	82.71%	-2.60	-3.3	14
2014-12-20	@ Pieta Hotspurs	W 3-0	23.5	1460	898	82.71%	14.35%	2.93%	+2.60	+3.3	46
2014-12-20	Mosta	W 1-0	40.0	1068	1049	42.28%	24.06%	33.66%	+0.15	+13.5	22
2014-12-20	@ Balzan	L 0-1	40.0	1049	1068	33.66%	24.06%	42.28%	-0.15	-13.5	20
2014-12-20	Tarxien Rainbows	L 0-1	43.7	1091	1044	46.17%	23.95%	29.89%	+0.28	-17.3	17
2014-12-20	@ Naxxar Lions	W 1-0	43.7	1044	1091	29.89%	23.95%	46.17%	-0.28	+17.3	16
2014-12-21	Qormi	W 2-0	30.3	1325	1083	66.28%	21.43%	12.29%	+1.20	+10.5	31
2014-12-21	@ Birkirkara	L 0-2	30.3	1083	1325	12.29%	21.43%	66.28%	-1.20	-10.5	17
2014-12-21	Sliema Wanderers	W 3-1	36.6	1401	1166	65.83%	21.54%	12.63%	+1.17	+9.3	31
2014-12-21	@ Valletta	L 1-3	36.6	1166	1401	12.63%	21.54%	65.83%	-1.17	-9.3	19
2015-01-03	Naxxar Lions	W 4-1	39.4	1126	1074	46.78%	23.92%	29.30%	+0.30	+27.9	24
2015-01-03	@ Floriana	L 1-4	39.4	1074	1126	29.30%	23.92%	46.78%	-0.30	-27.9	17
2015-01-03	Valletta	L 2-3	42.1	1073	1410	8.72%	19.90%	71.38%	-1.54	-3.5	17
2015-01-03	@ Qormi	W 3-2	42.1	1410	1073	71.38%	19.90%	8.72%	+1.54	+3.5	34
2015-01-04	Balzan	L 0-5	36.1	1061	1081	36.86%	24.10%	39.04%	-0.04	-63.7	16
2015-01-04	@ Tarxien Rainbows	W 5-0	36.1	1081	1061	39.04%	24.10%	36.86%	+0.04	+63.7	25
2015-01-04	Birkirkara	L 1-5	31.3	1036	1335	10.49%	20.75%	68.76%	-1.36	-14.2	20
2015-01-04	@ Mosta	W 5-1	31.3	1335	1036	68.76%	20.75%	10.49%	+1.36	+14.2	34
2015-01-04	Pieta Hotspurs	W 2-1	37.6	1156	895	67.79%	21.03%	11.18%	+1.30	+4.8	22
2015-01-04	@ Sliema Wanderers	L 1-2	37.6	895	1156	11.18%	21.03%	67.79%	-1.30	-4.8	14
2015-01-04	Zebbug Rangers	W 5-2	31.6	1464	916	83.09%	14.11%	2.80%	+2.65	+2.3	49
2015-01-04	@ Hibernians	L 2-5	31.6	916	1464	2.80%	14.11%	83.09%	-2.65	-2.3	9
2015-01-10	Qormi	W 3-1	45.7	1022	1069	33.06%	24.05%	42.89%	-0.17	+26.6	23
2015-01-10	@ Mosta	L 1-3	45.7	1069	1022	42.89%	24.05%	33.06%	+0.17	-26.6	17
2015-01-10	Sliema Wanderers	W 2-1	53.9	914	1161	13.47%	21.79%	64.74%	-1.11	+22.1	12
2015-01-10	@ Zebbug Rangers	L 1-2	53.9	1161	914	64.74%	21.79%	13.47%	+1.11	-22.1	22
2015-01-10	Tarxien Rainbows	W 2-1	35.9	1349	998	73.74%	19.00%	7.25%	+1.72	+3.0	37
2015-01-10	@ Birkirkara	L 1-2	35.9	998	1349	7.25%	19.00%	73.74%	-1.72	-3.0	16
2015-01-10	Valletta	L 0-3	23.9	890	1414	3.54%	15.32%	81.14%	-2.42	-4.0	14
2015-01-10	@ Pieta Hotspurs	W 3-0	23.9	1414	890	81.14%	15.32%	3.54%	+2.42	+4.0	37
2015-01-11	Floriana	W 3-2	51.7	1145	1154	38.44%	24.10%	37.46%	+0.02	+13.1	28
2015-01-11	@ Balzan	L 2-3	51.7	1154	1145	37.46%	24.10%	38.44%	-0.02	-13.1	24
2015-01-11	Hibernians	L 0-2	27.6	1046	1466	5.88%	17.94%	76.18%	-1.93	-4.9	17
2015-01-11	@ Naxxar Lions	W 2-0	27.6	1466	1046	76.18%	17.94%	5.88%	+1.93	+4.9	52
2015-01-17	Mosta	D 1-1	52.4	995	1048	32.22%	24.03%	43.76%	-0.20	+0.9	17
2015-01-17	@ Tarxien Rainbows	D 1-1	52.4	1048	995	43.76%	24.03%	32.22%	+0.20	-0.9	24
2015-01-17	Naxxar Lions	D 0-0	48.3	1139	1041	52.41%	23.57%	24.02%	+0.52	-2.6	23
2015-01-17	@ Sliema Wanderers	D 0-0	48.3	1041	1139	24.02%	23.57%	52.41%	-0.52	+2.6	18
2015-01-17	Pieta Hotspurs	L 0-1	47.1	1043	886	58.79%	22.87%	18.35%	+0.80	-21.4	17
2015-01-17	@ Qormi	W 1-0	47.1	886	1043	18.35%	22.87%	58.79%	-0.80	+21.4	17
2015-01-17	Zebbug Rangers	W 2-0	26.0	1418	936	80.38%	15.76%	3.86%	+2.34	+3.1	40
2015-01-17	@ Valletta	L 0-2	26.0	936	1418	3.86%	15.76%	80.38%	-2.34	-3.1	12
2015-01-18	Balzan	W 4-0	27.3	1471	1158	71.35%	19.91%	8.74%	+1.54	+14.1	55
2015-01-18	@ Hibernians	L 0-4	27.3	1158	1471	8.74%	19.91%	71.35%	-1.54	-14.1	28
2015-01-18	Birkirkara	L 1-2	39.8	1141	1352	15.91%	22.40%	61.68%	-0.94	-6.7	24
2015-01-18	@ Floriana	W 2-1	39.8	1352	1141	61.68%	22.40%	15.91%	+0.94	+6.7	40
2015-01-24	Floriana	L 1-3	41.2	1047	1134	28.06%	23.86%	48.08%	-0.35	-19.0	24
2015-01-24	@ Mosta	W 3-1	41.2	1134	1047	48.08%	23.86%	28.06%	+0.35	+19.1	27
2015-01-24	Hibernians	D 1-1	57.2	1359	1485	23.62%	23.53%	52.85%	-0.54	+2.4	41
2015-01-24	@ Birkirkara	D 1-1	57.2	1485	1359	52.85%	23.53%	23.62%	+0.54	-2.4	56
2015-01-25	Sliema Wanderers	W 5-3	49.6	1144	1136	40.80%	24.09%	35.11%	+0.10	+19.2	31
2015-01-25	@ Balzan	L 3-5	49.6	1136	1144	35.11%	24.09%	40.80%	-0.10	-19.2	23
2015-01-25	Valletta	L 0-3	26.3	1044	1421	7.21%	18.98%	73.81%	-1.73	-8.8	18
2015-01-25	@ Naxxar Lions	W 3-0	26.3	1421	1044	73.81%	18.98%	7.21%	+1.73	+8.8	43
2015-01-27	Pieta Hotspurs	W 2-1	44.9	933	908	43.28%	24.04%	32.68%	+0.18	+12.4	15
2015-01-27	@ Zebbug Rangers	L 1-2	44.9	908	933	32.68%	24.04%	43.28%	-0.18	-12.4	17
2015-01-27	Qormi	W 2-1	47.1	995	1021	36.04%	24.10%	39.86%	-0.06	+14.5	20
2015-01-27	@ Tarxien Rainbows	L 1-2	47.1	1021	995	39.86%	24.10%	36.04%	+0.06	-14.5	17
2015-01-31	Mosta	D 1-1	55.1	1482	1028	79.12%	16.46%	4.42%	+2.21	-6.7	57
2015-01-31	@ Hibernians	D 1-1	55.1	1028	1482	4.42%	16.46%	79.12%	-2.21	+6.7	25
2015-01-31	Naxxar Lions	D 1-1	52.5	895	1035	22.17%	23.39%	54.45%	-0.60	+2.7	18
2015-01-31	@ Pieta Hotspurs	D 1-1	52.5	1035	895	54.45%	23.39%	22.17%	+0.60	-2.7	19
2015-01-31	Tarxien Rainbows	D 1-1	52.7	1153	1010	57.43%	23.05%	19.52%	+0.74	-3.2	28
2015-01-31	@ Floriana	D 1-1	52.7	1010	1153	19.52%	23.05%	57.43%	-0.74	+3.2	21
2015-01-31	Zebbug Rangers	L 0-1	44.2	1007	946	47.95%	23.86%	28.18%	+0.35	-17.9	17
2015-01-31	@ Qormi	W 1-0	44.2	946	1007	28.18%	23.86%	47.95%	-0.35	+17.9	18
2015-02-01	Balzan	L 1-2	55.5	1430	1163	68.20%	20.91%	10.89%	+1.32	-23.2	43
2015-02-01	@ Valletta	W 2-1	55.5	1163	1430	10.89%	20.91%	68.20%	-1.32	+23.2	34
2015-02-01	Birkirkara	D 1-1	53.4	1117	1361	13.62%	21.83%	64.55%	-1.10	+4.5	24
2015-02-01	@ Sliema Wanderers	D 1-1	53.4	1361	1117	64.55%	21.83%	13.62%	+1.10	-4.5	42
2015-02-07	Hibernians	L 1-4	30.3	1013	1476	4.78%	16.87%	78.36%	-2.13	-4.8	21
2015-02-07	@ Tarxien Rainbows	W 4-1	30.3	1476	1013	78.36%	16.87%	4.78%	+2.13	+4.8	60
2015-02-07	Pieta Hotspurs	L 1-2	55.0	1186	898	69.74%	20.45%	9.81%	+1.43	-23.7	34
2015-02-07	@ Balzan	W 2-1	55.0	898	1186	9.81%	20.45%	69.74%	-1.43	+23.7	21
2015-02-07	Sliema Wanderers	L 1-2	43.5	1035	1121	28.09%	23.86%	48.05%	-0.35	-11.0	25
2015-02-07	@ Mosta	W 2-1	43.5	1121	1035	48.05%	23.86%	28.09%	+0.35	+11.0	27
2015-02-07	Zebbug Rangers	W 4-0	32.9	1032	964	48.94%	23.81%	27.25%	+0.38	+40.7	22
2015-02-07	@ Naxxar Lions	L 0-4	32.9	964	1032	27.25%	23.81%	48.94%	-0.38	-40.7	18
2015-02-08	Qormi	D 2-2	58.4	1150	989	59.24%	22.80%	17.96%	+0.82	-2.6	29
2015-02-08	@ Floriana	D 2-2	58.4	989	1150	17.96%	22.80%	59.24%	-0.82	+2.6	18
2015-02-08	Valletta	D 1-1	55.2	1357	1407	32.74%	24.04%	43.22%	-0.18	+0.8	43
2015-02-08	@ Birkirkara	D 1-1	55.2	1407	1357	43.22%	24.04%	32.74%	+0.18	-0.8	44

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2015-02-21	Mosta	D 1-1	52.7	1163	1024	56.97%	23.11%	19.92%	+0.72	-3.1	1
2015-02-21	@ Balzan	D 1-1	52.7	1024	1163	19.92%	23.11%	56.97%	-0.72	+3.1	1
2015-02-21	Pieta Hotspurs	W 2-0	30.4	1147	921	65.04%	21.72%	13.24%	+1.13	+11.3	3
2015-02-21	@ Floriana	L 0-2	30.4	921	1147	13.24%	21.72%	65.04%	-1.13	-11.3	0
2015-02-21	Tarxien Rainbows	W 3-2	46.6	1132	1008	55.40%	23.29%	21.31%	+0.65	+8.3	3
2015-02-21	@ Sliema Wanderers	L 2-3	46.6	1008	1132	21.31%	23.29%	55.40%	-0.65	-8.3	0
2015-02-21	Zebbug Rangers	L 2-3	62.1	1406	923	80.44%	15.72%	3.84%	+2.35	-25.0	0
2015-02-21	@ Valletta	W 3-2	62.1	923	1406	3.84%	15.72%	80.44%	-2.35	+25.0	3
2015-02-22	Naxxar Lions	W 1-0	32.1	1358	1073	69.47%	20.53%	10.00%	+1.41	+4.5	3
2015-02-22	@ Birkirkara	L 0-1	32.1	1073	1358	10.00%	20.53%	69.47%	-1.41	-4.5	0
2015-02-22	Qormi	W 2-1	34.0	1481	991	80.70%	15.57%	3.73%	+2.37	+1.5	3
2015-02-22	@ Hibernians	L 1-2	34.0	991	1481	3.73%	15.57%	80.70%	-2.37	-1.5	0
2015-02-28	Balzan	L 1-2	43.4	1069	1160	27.54%	23.83%	48.63%	-0.37	-10.8	0
2015-02-28	@ Naxxar Lions	W 2-1	43.4	1160	1069	48.63%	23.83%	27.54%	+0.37	+10.8	4
2015-02-28	Floriana	L 1-2	41.0	1000	1159	20.37%	23.17%	56.46%	-0.69	-8.4	0
2015-02-28	@ Tarxien Rainbows	W 2-1	41.0	1159	1000	56.46%	23.17%	20.37%	+0.69	+8.4	6
2015-02-28	Hibernians	L 0-5	23.6	948	1482	3.37%	15.05%	81.58%	-2.47	-6.2	3
2015-02-28	@ Zebbug Rangers	W 5-0	23.6	1482	948	81.58%	15.05%	3.37%	+2.47	+6.2	6
2015-02-28	Sliema Wanderers	D 1-1	52.9	910	1141	14.54%	22.08%	63.37%	-1.03	+4.2	1
2015-02-28	@ Pieta Hotspurs	D 1-1	52.9	1141	910	63.37%	22.08%	14.54%	+1.03	-4.2	4
2015-03-01	Birkirkara	L 0-3	26.9	1027	1362	8.83%	19.96%	71.21%	-1.53	-10.9	1
2015-03-01	@ Mosta	W 3-0	26.9	1362	1027	71.21%	19.96%	8.83%	+1.53	+10.9	6
2015-03-01	Valletta	L 1-3	33.4	990	1381	6.76%	18.65%	74.60%	-1.79	-4.9	0
2015-03-01	@ Qormi	W 3-1	33.4	1381	990	74.60%	18.65%	6.76%	+1.79	+4.9	3
2015-03-07	Floriana	L 0-3	37.5	1170	1167	40.19%	24.09%	35.71%	+0.07	-42.3	4
2015-03-07	@ Balzan	W 3-0	37.5	1167	1170	35.71%	24.09%	40.19%	-0.07	+42.3	9
2015-03-07	Pieta Hotspurs	W 3-1	30.6	1488	914	84.09%	13.46%	2.45%	+2.78	+1.6	9
2015-03-07	@ Hibernians	L 1-3	30.6	914	1488	2.45%	13.46%	84.09%	-2.78	-1.6	1
2015-03-07	Qormi	L 1-3	46.0	1016	985	44.02%	24.02%	31.96%	+0.21	-27.1	1
2015-03-07	@ Mosta	W 3-1	46.0	985	1016	31.96%	24.02%	44.02%	-0.21	+27.1	3
2015-03-07	Sliema Wanderers	W 4-2	40.5	1373	1136	65.92%	21.52%	12.57%	+1.18	+8.3	9
2015-03-07	@ Birkirkara	L 2-4	40.5	1136	1373	12.57%	21.52%	65.92%	-1.18	-8.3	4
2015-03-08	Tarxien Rainbows	W 4-0	24.9	1386	992	76.12%	17.97%	5.91%	+1.92	+9.3	6
2015-03-08	@ Valletta	L 0-4	24.9	992	1386	5.91%	17.97%	76.12%	-1.92	-9.3	0
2015-03-08	Zebbug Rangers	W 2-1	41.5	1058	942	54.53%	23.38%	22.09%	+0.61	+9.0	3
2015-03-08	@ Naxxar Lions	L 1-2	41.5	942	1058	22.09%	23.38%	54.53%	-0.61	-9.0	3
2015-03-14	Mosta	L 1-3	42.4	933	989	31.85%	24.02%	44.13%	-0.21	-21.1	3
2015-03-14	@ Zebbug Rangers	W 3-1	42.4	989	933	44.13%	24.02%	31.85%	+0.21	+21.1	4
2015-03-14	Valletta	L 1-2	34.2	913	1395	4.34%	16.37%	79.29%	-2.23	-1.7	1
2015-03-14	@ Pieta Hotspurs	W 2-1	34.2	1395	913	79.29%	16.37%	4.34%	+2.23	+1.8	9
2015-03-15	Balzan	L 1-2	47.1	1128	1128	39.71%	24.10%	36.19%	+0.06	-14.4	4
2015-03-15	@ Sliema Wanderers	W 2-1	47.1	1128	1128	36.19%	24.10%	39.71%	-0.06	+14.4	7
2015-03-15	Birkirkara	D 0-0	49.4	1209	1382	19.11%	22.99%	57.90%	-0.76	+3.7	10
2015-03-15	@ Floriana	D 0-0	49.4	1382	1209	57.90%	22.99%	19.11%	+0.76	-3.7	10
2015-03-15	Hibernians	L 0-2	26.2	982	1490	3.84%	15.73%	80.42%	-2.34	-3.1	0
2015-03-15	@ Tarxien Rainbows	W 2-0	26.2	1490	982	80.42%	15.73%	3.84%	+2.34	+3.0	12
2015-03-15	Naxxar Lions	L 1-2	44.7	1012	1067	32.11%	24.03%	43.86%	-0.20	-12.2	3
2015-03-15	@ Qormi	W 2-1	44.7	1067	1012	43.86%	24.03%	32.11%	+0.20	+12.2	6
2015-03-19	Mosta	W 3-1	33.1	1397	1010	75.72%	18.15%	6.12%	+1.89	+4.4	12
2015-03-19	@ Valletta	L 1-3	33.1	1010	1397	6.12%	18.15%	75.72%	-1.89	-4.4	4
2015-03-19	Naxxar Lions	D 2-2	60.8	1493	1079	77.15%	17.48%	5.37%	+2.02	-4.8	13
2015-03-19	@ Hibernians	D 2-2	60.8	1079	1493	5.37%	17.48%	77.15%	-2.02	+4.8	7
2015-03-19	Pieta Hotspurs	W 2-1	34.1	1378	911	79.70%	16.14%	4.16%	+2.27	+1.7	13
2015-03-19	@ Birkirkara	L 1-2	34.1	911	1378	4.16%	16.14%	79.70%	-2.27	-1.7	1
2015-03-19	Qormi	D 0-0	48.8	1213	1000	63.97%	21.96%	14.07%	+1.07	-4.9	11
2015-03-19	@ Floriana	D 0-0	48.8	1000	1213	14.07%	21.96%	63.97%	-1.07	+4.9	4
2015-03-20	Tarxien Rainbows	W 3-2	45.3	1143	979	59.44%	22.77%	17.78%	+0.83	+7.1	10
2015-03-20	@ Balzan	L 2-3	45.3	979	1143	17.78%	22.77%	59.44%	-0.83	-7.1	0
2015-03-20	Zebbug Rangers	W 3-2	44.2	1114	912	63.05%	22.15%	14.80%	+1.02	+6.0	7
2015-03-20	@ Sliema Wanderers	L 2-3	44.2	912	1114	14.80%	22.15%	63.05%	-1.02	-6.0	3
2015-04-04	Birkirkara	L 0-2	27.4	972	1380	6.25%	18.25%	75.50%	-1.87	-5.2	0
2015-04-04	@ Tarxien Rainbows	W 2-0	27.4	1380	972	75.50%	18.25%	6.25%	+1.87	+5.2	16
2015-04-04	Floriana	L 1-3	34.9	906	1208	10.32%	20.68%	69.00%	-1.37	-7.6	3
2015-04-04	@ Zebbug Rangers	W 3-1	34.9	1208	906	69.00%	20.68%	10.32%	+1.37	+7.6	14
2015-04-04	Hibernians	L 0-5	24.5	1006	1488	4.34%	16.37%	79.29%	-2.23	-8.2	4
2015-04-04	@ Mosta	W 5-0	24.5	1488	1006	79.29%	16.37%	4.34%	+2.23	+8.2	16
2015-04-04	Sliema Wanderers	D 0-0	48.3	1005	1120	24.81%	23.64%	51.55%	-0.49	+2.4	5
2015-04-04	@ Qormi	D 0-0	48.3	1120	1005	51.55%	23.64%	24.81%	+0.49	-2.5	8
2015-04-06	Balzan	L 0-3	28.9	909	1150	13.89%	21.91%	64.20%	-1.08	-17.2	1
2015-04-06	@ Pieta Hotspurs	W 3-0	28.9	1150	909	64.20%	21.91%	13.89%	+1.08	+17.2	13
2015-04-06	Valletta	L 0-1	32.0	1084	1401	9.61%	20.35%	70.04%	-1.45	-4.3	7
2015-04-06	@ Naxxar Lions	W 1-0	32.0	1401	1084	70.04%	20.35%	9.61%	+1.45	+4.4	15
2015-04-10	Mosta	L 2-3	48.0	892	998	25.87%	23.72%	50.41%	-0.44	-9.8	1
2015-04-10	@ Pieta Hotspurs	W 3-2	48.0	998	892	50.41%	23.72%	25.87%	+0.44	+9.8	7
2015-04-10	Qormi	D 2-2	59.9	1385	1007	75.22%	18.38%	6.40%	+1.85	-4.6	17
2015-04-10	@ Birkirkara	D 2-2	59.9	1007	1385	6.40%	18.38%	75.22%	-1.85	+4.6	6
2015-04-12	Floriana	W 1-0	35.2	1406	1216	61.96%	22.35%	15.69%	+0.96	+7.0	18
2015-04-12	@ Valletta	L 0-1	35.2	1216	1406	15.69%	22.35%	61.96%	-0.96	-7.0	14
2015-04-12	Sliema Wanderers	W 3-2	41.6	1496	1117	75.30%	18.34%	6.36%	+1.85	+2.5	19
2015-04-12	@ Hibernians	L 2-3	41.6	1117	1496	6.36%	18.34%	75.30%	-1.85	-2.5	8
2015-04-13	Tarxien Rainbows	L 0-1	45.9	1079	967	54.11%	23.42%	22.47%	+0.59	-19.9	7
2015-04-13	@ Naxxar Lions	W 1-0	45.9	967	1079	22.47%	23.42%	54.11%	-0.59	+19.9	3
2015-04-13	Zebbug Rangers	W 4-1	32.9	1167	898	68.35%	20.87%	10.78%	+1.33	+11.3	16
2015-04-13	@ Balzan	L 1-4	32.9	898	1167	10.78%	20.87%	68.35%	-1.33	-11.3	3
2015-04-17	Balzan	L 1-5	34.6	1012	1178	19.66%	23.07%	57.27%	-0.73	-25.7	6
2015-04-17	@ Qormi	W 5-1	34.6	1178	1012	57.27%	23.07%	19.66%	+0.73	+25.7	19
2015-04-17	Valletta	D 3-3	63.8	1115	1413	10.55%	20.77%	68.67%	-1.35	+3.2	9
2015-04-17	@ Sliema Wanderers	D 3-3	63.8	1413	1115	68.67%	20.77%	10.55%	+1.35	-3.2	19
2015-04-18	Hibernians	L 1-3	37.2	1209	1499	10.96%	20.94%	68.10%	-1.32	-8.1	14
2015-04-18	@ Floriana	W 3-1	37.2	1499	1209	68.10%	20.94%	10.96%	+1.32	+8.1	22
2015-04-18	Mosta	W 2-1	46.9	987	1007	36.79%	24.10%	39.11%	-0.04	+14.2	6
2015-04-18	@ Tarxien Rainbows	L 1-2	46.9	1007	987	39.11%	24.10%	36.79%	+0.04	-14.3	7
2015-04-19	Birkirkara	L 1-3	31.7	887	1380	4.11%	16.09%	79.80%	-2.28	-2.9	3
2015-04-19	@ Zebbug Rangers	W 3-1	31.7	1380	887	79.80%	16.09%	4.11%	+2.28	+2.9	20
2015-04-19	Naxxar Lions	D 0-0	48.5	883	1060	18.69%	22.92%	58.39%	-0.78	+3.8	2
2015-04-19	@ Pieta Hotspurs	D 0-0	48.5	1060	883	58.39%	22.92%	18.69%	+0.78	-3.8	8
2015-04-25	Birkirkara	W 2-1	48.4	1409	1383	43.39%	24.04%	32.57%	+0.18	+12.4	22
2015-04-25	@ Valletta	L 1-2	48.4	1383	1409	32.57%	24.04%	43.39%	-0.18	-12.4	20
2015-04-25	Mosta	W 5-1	35.1	1118	993	55.49%	23.28%	21.23%	+0.65	+27.5	12
2015-04-25	@ Sliema Wanderers	L 1-5	35.1	993	1118	21.23%	23.28%	55.49%	-0.65	-27.5	7
2015-04-25	Qormi	L 0-4	37.3	1001	986	41.82%	24.07%	34.11%	+0.13	-57.0	6
2015-04-25	@ Tarxien Rainbows	W 4-0	37.3	986	1001	34.11%	24.07%	41.82%	-0.13	+57.0	9
2015-04-25	Zebbug Rangers	W 3-1	43.6	886	884	40.05%	24.10%	35.85%	+0.07	+23.1	5
2015-04-25	@ Pieta Hotspurs	L 1-3	43.6	884	886	35.85%	24.10%	40.05%	-0.07	-23.1	3
2015-04-26	Balzan	L 1-3	54.9	1507	1204	70.72%	20.13%	9.15%	+1.49	-41.5	22
2015-04-26	@ Hibernians	W 3-1	54.9	1204	1507	9.15%	20.13%	70.72%	-1.49	+41.5	22
2015-04-26	Naxxar Lions	W 4-1	36.2	1201	1056	57.60%	23.03%	19.37%	+0.74	+19.7	17
2015-04-26	@ Floriana	L 1-4	36.2	1056	1201	19.37%	23.03%	57.60%	-0.74	-19.7	8
2015-05-02	Pieta Hotspurs	W 2-1	41.0	1043	909	56.45%	23.17%	20.38%	+0.69	+8.4	12
2015-05-02	@ Qormi	L 1-2	41.0	909	1043	20.38%	23.17%	56.45%	-0.69	-8.4	5
2015-05-02	Sliema Wanderers	W 4-3	58.6	1036	1145	25.42%	23.69%	50.89%	-0.46	+16.4	11
2015-05-02	@ Naxxar Lions	L 3-4	58.6	1145	1036	50.89%	23.69%	25.42%	+0.46	-16.4	12
2015-05-02	Tarxien Rainbows	L 0-2	35.6	861	944	28.44%	23.88%	47.68%	-0.34	-22.2	3
2015-05-02	@ Zebbug Rangers	W 2-0	35.6	944	861	47.68%	23.88%	28.44%	+0.34	+22.2	9
2015-05-02	Valletta	L 0-1	36.7	1245	1422	18.74%	22.93%	58.33%	-0.78	-8.3	22
2015-05-02	@ Balzan	W 1-0	36.7	1422	1245	58.33%	22.93%	18.74%	+0.78	+8.3	25
2015-05-03	Floriana	D 2-2	58.8	966	1220	12.97%	21.64%	65.39%	-1.15	+3.4	8
2015-05-03	@ Mosta	D 2-2	58.8	1220	966	65.39%	21.64%	12.97%	+1.15	-3.4	18
2015-05-03	Hibernians	D 0-0	52.7	1371	1465	27.10%	23.80%	49.10%	-0.39	+2.0	21
2015-05-03	@ Birkirkara	D 0-0	52.7	1465	1371	49.10%	23.80%	27.10%	+0.39	-2.0	23
2015-05-07	Balzan	L 0-1	47.6	1373	1237	56.64%	23.15%	20.22%	+0.70	-20.7	21
2015-05-07	@ Birkirkara	W 1-0	47.6	1237	1373	20.22%	23.15%	56.64%	-0.70	+20.7	25
2015-05-07	Sliema Wanderers	W 3-1	40.4	1217	1129	51.26%	23.66%	25.08%	+0.47	+17.4	21
2015-05-07	@ Floriana	L 1-3	40.4	1129	1217	25.08%	23.66%	51.26%	-0.47	-17.4	12
2015-05-08	Naxxar Lions	L 1-2	43.6	969	1053	28.44%	23.88%	47.68%	-0.34	-11.1	8
2015-05-08	@ Mosta	W 2-1	43.6	1053	969	47.68%	23.88%	28.44%	+0.34	+11.1	14
2015-05-08	Pieta Hotspurs	W 3-1	41.0	966	901	48.51%	23.84%	27.65%	+0.37	+18.8	12
2015-05-08	@ Tarxien Rainbows	L 1-3	41.0	901	966	27.65%	23.84%	48.51%	-0.37	-18.8	5
2015-05-08	Qormi	L 1-3	37.1	838	1052	15.79%	22.38%	61.83%	-0.95	-11.6	3
2015-05-08	@ Zebbug Rangers	W 3-1	37.1	1052	838	61.83%	22.38%	15.79%	+0.95	+11.6	15
2015-05-09	Valletta	W 3-1	48.5	1463	1430	44.30%	24.01%	31.69%	+0.22	+21.0	26
2015-05-09	@ Hibernians	L 1-3	48.5	1430	1463	31.69%	24.01%	44.30%	-0.22	-21.0	25

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2014-10-02	2.91%	Pieta Hotspurs	865	2	@ Valletta	1405	1
2	2015-02-21	3.84%	Zebbug Rangers	923	3	@ Valletta	1406	2
3	2014-11-22	4.85%	@ Pieta Hotspurs	880	4	Birkirkara	1339	3
4	2015-04-26	9.15%	Balzan	1204	3	@ Hibernians	1507	1
5	2015-02-07	9.81%	Pieta Hotspurs	898	2	@ Balzan	1186	1
6	2014-11-10	10.26%	Floriana	1084	2	@ Birkirkara	1363	1
7	2015-02-01	10.89%	Balzan	1163	2	@ Valletta	1430	1
8	2014-09-13	11.63%	@ Balzan	1098	3	Birkirkara	1376	2
9	2014-10-02	11.92%	@ Tarxien Rainbows	1106	3	Birkirkara	1379	1
10	2015-01-10	13.47%	@ Zebbug Rangers	914	2	Sliema Wanderers	1161	1
11	2014-08-17	14.82%	@ Mosta	1166	1	Valletta	1393	0
12	2015-01-17	18.35%	Pieta Hotspurs	886	1	@ Qormi	1043	0
13	2014-12-13	19.09%	Zebbug Rangers	916	2	@ Tarxien Rainbows	1064	1
14	2015-05-07	20.22%	Balzan	1237	1	@ Birkirkara	1373	0
15	2014-10-02	20.33%	@ Qormi	1038	4	Mosta	1196	0
16	2014-11-08	22.28%	@ Naxxar Lions	1040	1	Sliema Wanderers	1179	0
17	2015-04-13	22.47%	Tarxien Rainbows	967	1	@ Naxxar Lions	1079	0
18	2014-09-14	24.81%	Hibernians	1284	2	@ Valletta	1374	1
19	2015-05-02	25.42%	@ Naxxar Lions	1036	4	Sliema Wanderers	1145	3
20	2014-11-30	26.96%	@ Floriana	1086	2	Sliema Wanderers	1182	0
21	2015-01-31	28.18%	Zebbug Rangers	946	1	@ Qormi	1007	0
22	2014-11-09	29.04%	@ Mosta	1055	2	Tarxien Rainbows	1133	1
23	2014-12-20	29.89%	Tarxien Rainbows	1044	1	@ Naxxar Lions	1091	0
24	2014-10-19	30.96%	Birkirkara	1339	2	@ Valletta	1378	0
25	2015-03-07	31.96%	Qormi	985	3	@ Mosta	1016	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2014-10-02	73.94	@ Qormi	4	1038	20.33%	Mosta	0	1196	56.51%	23.16%
2	2015-01-04	63.73	Balzan	5	1081	39.04%	@ Tarxien Rainbows	0	1061	36.86%	24.10%
3	2015-04-25	57.02	Qormi	4	986	34.11%	@ Tarxien Rainbows	0	1001	41.82%	24.07%
4	2015-03-07	42.30	Floriana	3	1167	35.71%	@ Balzan	0	1170	40.19%	24.09%
5	2015-04-26	41.50	Balzan	3	1204	9.15%	@ Hibernians	1	1507	70.72%	20.13%
6	2015-02-07	40.73	@ Naxxar Lions	4	1032	48.94%	Zebbug Rangers	0	964	27.25%	23.81%
7	2014-10-02	39.44	@ Tarxien Rainbows	3	1106	11.92%	Birkirkara	1	1379	66.78%	21.30%
8	2014-11-01	37.72	@ Naxxar Lions	4	1002	51.54%	Pieta Hotspurs	0	912	24.82%	23.64%
9	2014-09-21	36.27	Valletta	5	1357	58.46%	@ Sliema Wanderers	0	1179	18.63%	22.91%
10	2014-11-30	34.45	@ Floriana	2	1086	26.96%	Sliema Wanderers	0	1182	49.25%	23.79%
11	2014-10-19	31.93	Birkirkara	2	1339	30.96%	@ Valletta	0	1378	45.05%	23.99%
12	2014-10-18	29.35	@ Sliema Wanderers	4	1159	44.75%	Mosta	1	1123	31.25%	24.00%
13	2014-08-16	28.73	Hibernians	3	1230	51.70%	@ Floriana	0	1114	24.67%	23.63%
14	2014-11-29	28.67	Hibernians	6	1405	66.57%	@ Qormi	0	1135	12.08%	21.35%
15	2015-01-03	27.89	@ Floriana	4	1126	46.78%	Naxxar Lions	1	1074	29.30%	23.92%
16	2015-04-25	27.52	@ Sliema Wanderers	5	1118	55.49%	Mosta	1	993	21.23%	23.28%
17	2015-03-07	27.13	Qormi	3	985	31.96%	@ Mosta	1	1016	44.02%	24.02%
18	2014-11-29	26.85	Naxxar Lions	3	1061	32.51%	@ Balzan	1	1088	43.46%	24.04%
19	2014-10-02	26.75	Pieta Hotspurs	2	865	2.91%	@ Valletta	1	1405	82.79%	14.31%
20	2015-01-10	26.56	@ Mosta	3	1022	33.06%	Qormi	1	1069	42.89%	24.05%
21	2015-04-17	25.73	Balzan	5	1178	57.27%	@ Qormi	1	1012	19.66%	23.07%
22	2014-11-29	25.46	Valletta	6	1388	68.44%	@ Tarxien Rainbows	0	1093	10.72%	20.84%
23	2015-02-21	24.99	Zebbug Rangers	3	923	3.84%	@ Valletta	2	1406	80.44%	15.72%
24	2014-11-02	24.78	Hibernians	5	1343	66.13%	@ Mosta	0	1079	12.41%	21.46%
25	2014-11-22	23.98	@ Pieta Hotspurs	4	880	4.85%	Birkirkara	3	1339	78.21%	16.94%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2014-11-22	64.7	@ Pieta Hotspurs	4	880	4.85%	Birkirkara	3	1339	78.21%	16.94%
2	2015-04-17	63.8	@ Sliema Wanderers	3	1115	10.55%	Valletta	3	1413	68.67%	20.77%
3	2014-09-14	62.6	@ Zebbug Rangers	3	944	19.53%	Tarxien Rainbows	3	1111	57.42%	23.05%
4	2014-09-20	62.6	@ Floriana	3	1091	57.65%	Zebbug Rangers	3	946	19.33%	23.02%
5	2014-10-18	62.3	@ Zebbug Rangers	3	929	28.74%	Naxxar Lions	3	1010	47.37%	23.89%
6	2015-02-21	62.1	Zebbug Rangers	3	923	3.84%	@ Valletta	2	1406	80.44%	15.72%
7	2015-03-19	60.8	@ Hibernians	2	1493	77.15%	Naxxar Lions	2	1079	5.37%	17.48%
8	2014-09-13	60.0	@ Balzan	3	1098	11.63%	Birkirkara	2	1376	67.18%	21.20%
9	2015-04-10	59.9	@ Birkirkara	2	1385	75.22%	Qormi	2	1007	6.40%	18.38%
10	2015-05-03	58.8	@ Mosta	2	966	12.97%	Floriana	2	1220	65.39%	21.64%
11	2015-05-02	58.6	@ Naxxar Lions	4	1036	25.42%	Sliema Wanderers	3	1145	50.89%	23.69%
12	2015-02-08	58.4	@ Floriana	2	1150	59.24%	Qormi	2	989	17.96%	22.80%
13	2015-01-24	57.2	@ Birkirkara	1	1359	23.62%	Hibernians	1	1485	52.85%	23.53%
14	2014-10-02	57.1	Pieta Hotspurs	2	865	2.91%	@ Valletta	1	1405	82.79%	14.31%
15	2015-02-01	55.5	Balzan	2	1163	10.89%	@ Valletta	1	1430	68.20%	20.91%
16	2015-02-08	55.2	@ Birkirkara	1	1357	32.74%	Valletta	1	1407	43.22%	24.04%
17	2014-11-10	55.1	Floriana	2	1084	10.26%	@ Birkirkara	1	1363	69.08%	20.65%
18	2015-01-31	55.1	@ Hibernians	1	1482	79.12%	Mosta	1	1028	4.42%	16.46%
19	2015-02-07	55.0	Pieta Hotspurs	2	898	9.81%	@ Balzan	1	1186	69.74%	20.45%
20	2015-04-26	54.9	Balzan	3	1204	9.15%	@ Hibernians	1	1507	70.72%	20.13%
21	2015-01-10	53.9	@ Zebbug Rangers	2	914	13.47%	Sliema Wanderers	1	1161	64.74%	21.79%
22	2015-02-01	53.4	@ Sliema Wanderers	1	1117	13.62%	Birkirkara	1	1361	64.55%	21.83%
23	2014-10-18	53.2	@ Hibernians	1	1331	61.55%	Tarxien Rainbows	1	1146	16.03%	22.43%
24	2014-11-03	53.0	@ Zebbug Rangers	1	914	14.44%	Qormi	1	1146	63.51%	22.06%
25	2014-12-13	53.0	@ Floriana	1	1111	64.32%	Pieta Hotspurs	1	894	13.80%	21.88%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2014-12-20	23.5	Hibernians	3	1460	82.71%	@ Pieta Hotspurs	0	898	2.93%	14.35%
2	2015-02-28	23.6	Hibernians	5	1482	81.58%	@ Zebbug Rangers	0	948	3.37%	15.05%
3	2015-01-10	23.9	Valletta	3	1414	81.14%	@ Pieta Hotspurs	0	890	3.54%	15.32%
4	2015-04-04	24.5	Hibernians	5	1488	79.29%	@ Mosta	0	1006	4.34%	16.37%
5	2015-03-08	24.9	@ Valletta	4	1386	76.12%	Tarxien Rainbows	0	992	5.91%	17.97%
6	2014-08-23	25.2	Birkirkara	4	1362	74.96%	@ Zebbug Rangers	0	965	6.55%	18.49%
7	2014-09-27	25.8	Hibernians	4	1306	72.67%	@ Zebbug Rangers	0	948	7.90%	19.43%
8	2014-09-27	25.9	@ Valletta	4	1393	73.24%	Qormi	0	1050	7.55%	19.21%
9	2015-01-17	26.0	@ Valletta	2	1418	80.38%	Zebbug Rangers	0	936	3.86%	15.76%
10	2015-03-15	26.2	Hibernians	2	1490	80.42%	@ Tarxien Rainbows	0	982	3.84%	15.73%
11	2015-01-25	26.3	Valletta	3	1421	73.81%	@ Naxxar Lions	0	1044	7.21%	18.98%
12	2014-11-08	26.7	Valletta	2	1365	77.58%	@ Zebbug Rangers	0	918	5.16%	17.27%
13	2015-03-01	26.9	Birkirkara	3	1362	71.21%	@ Mosta	0	1027	8.83%	19.96%
14	2014-11-23	27.0	@ Valletta	5	1369	70.38%	Mosta	0	1071	9.38%	20.24%
15	2015-01-18	27.3	@ Hibernians	4	1471	71.35%	Balzan	0	1158	8.74%	19.91%
16	2015-04-04	27.4	Birkirkara	2	1380	75.50%	@ Tarxien Rainbows	0	972	6.25%	18.25%
17	2014-11-22	27.6	@ Hibernians	5	1384	68.91%	Floriana	0	1107	10.39%	20.71%
18	2015-01-11	27.6	Hibernians	2	1466	76.18%	@ Naxxar Lions	0	1046	5.88%	17.94%
19	2014-10-26	28.2	@ Valletta	2	1346	72.90%	Naxxar Lions	0	1009	7.76%	19.34%
20	2014-11-02	28.2	Hibernians	5	1343	66.13%	@ Mosta	0	1079	12.41%	21.46%
21	2014-11-29	28.2	Valletta	6	1388	68.44%	@ Tarxien Rainbows	0	1093	10.72%	20.84%
22	2014-11-10	28.7	Hibernians	3	1368	65.90%	@ Balzan	0	1107	12.58%	21.52%
23	2015-04-06	28.9	Balzan	3	1150	64.20%	@ Pieta Hotspurs	0	909	13.89%	21.91%
24	2014-11-29	29.0	Hibernians	6	1405	66.57%	@ Qormi	0	1135	12.08%	21.35%
25	2014-09-20	29.6	Birkirkara	2	1354	68.47%	@ Qormi	0	1059	10.69%	20.83%