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Closing 2024-25 Maltese Premier League Season

96 games · 6 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Hamrun Spartans

28 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Hibernians

12.24 points above expected

22 points · 9.76 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Melita

14.97 points below expected

11 points · 25.97 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Birkirkara 11 5 4 2 19 20 10 +10 18.43 +0.57
2 Floriana 11 5 4 2 19 15 9 +6 25.37 -6.37
3 Marsaxlokk 11 6 1 4 19 18 13 +5 15.73 +3.27
4 Mosta 11 6 1 4 19 14 13 +1 12.88 +6.12
5 Sliema Wanderers 11 6 0 5 18 18 13 +5 21.92 -3.92
6 Hamrun Spartans 11 5 2 4 17 15 8 +7 23.29 -6.29
7 Hibernians 11 5 2 4 17 17 17 0 17.40 -0.40
8 St. Patrick 11 4 2 5 14 15 12 +3 10.73 +3.27
9 Gzira United 11 3 3 5 12 8 16 -8 12.21 -0.21
10 Balzan 11 2 4 5 10 11 18 -7 7.44 +2.56
11 Melita 11 2 4 5 10 15 24 -9 10.18 -0.18
12 Naxxar Lions 11 3 1 7 10 11 24 -13 7.89 +2.11
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Hamrun Spartans 16 8 4 4 28 20 9 +11 16.84 +11.16
2 Sliema Wanderers 16 9 1 6 28 27 17 +10 16.27 +11.73
3 Floriana 16 7 6 3 27 21 13 +8 18.93 +8.07
4 Marsaxlokk 16 8 2 6 26 26 18 +8 — —
5 Birkirkara 16 6 6 4 24 23 14 +9 13.32 +10.68
6 Mosta 16 6 1 9 19 15 27 -12 7.75 +11.25
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 St. Patrick 16 6 4 6 22 24 18 +6 25.29 -3.29
2 Hibernians 16 6 4 6 22 24 23 +1 — —
3 Gzira United 16 5 5 6 20 14 22 -8 31.85 -11.85
4 Naxxar Lions 16 6 2 8 20 17 27 -10 19.92 +0.08
5 Balzan 16 3 8 5 17 18 23 -5 20.18 -3.18
6 Melita 16 2 5 9 11 18 36 -18 25.97 -14.97

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Hibernians 22 9.76 +12.24
2 Sliema Wanderers 28 16.27 +11.73
3 Mosta 19 7.75 +11.25
4 Hamrun Spartans 28 16.84 +11.16
5 Birkirkara 24 13.32 +10.68

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Melita 11 25.97 -14.97
2 Gzira United 20 31.85 -11.85
3 Marsaxlokk 26 32.49 -6.49
4 St. Patrick 22 25.29 -3.29
5 Balzan 17 20.18 -3.18

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Naxxar Lions 3 Apr 11 – Apr 28 1 in 99
2 Sliema Wanderers 5 Mar 8 – Apr 13 1 in 62
3 Mosta 3 Mar 9 – Mar 29 1 in 40
4 Melita 1 Jan 18 – Jan 18 1 in 18
5 Gzira United 2 Apr 11 – Apr 19 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hamrun Spartans 3 Mar 2 – Mar 13 1 in 241
2 Melita 6 Mar 13 – Apr 28 1 in 105
3 Sliema Wanderers 3 Feb 15 – Mar 1 1 in 93
4 Floriana 1 Jan 18 – Jan 18 1 in 18
5 Naxxar Lions 5 Jan 5 – Feb 10 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Balzan 7 Mar 13 – May 3 1 in 191
2 Melita 3 Jan 18 – Feb 1 1 in 27
3 Mosta 4 Mar 2 – Mar 29 1 in 24
4 Naxxar Lions 4 Apr 11 – May 3 1 in 16
5 Sliema Wanderers 5 Mar 8 – Apr 13 1 in 6

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Melita 10 Feb 23 – May 3 1 in 60
2 Hibernians 4 Apr 11 – May 1 1 in 33
3 Hamrun Spartans 3 Mar 2 – Mar 13 1 in 19
4 Floriana 3 Mar 12 – Apr 6 1 in 12
5 Sliema Wanderers 3 Feb 15 – Mar 1 1 in 10

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Hamrun Spartans 1520 28 +16 11 8.5 +2.5
Sliema Wanderers 1510 28 +18 10 8.3 +1.7
Floriana 1546 27 -8 8 9.3 -1.3
Marsaxlokk 1377 26 +22 7 5.4 +1.6
Birkirkara 1416 24 -6 5 6.4 -1.4
St. Patrick 1237 22 +11 8 7.9 +0.1
Hibernians 1323 22 -13 5 9.9 -4.9
Naxxar Lions 1139 20 +35 10 5.2 +4.8
Gzira United 1212 20 -4 8 7.6 +0.4
Mosta 1238 19 -43 0 3.6 -3.6
Balzan 1124 17 +17 7 5.1 +1.9
Melita 1106 11 -47 1 5.6 -4.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BAL BIR FLO GU HS HIB MAR MEL MOS NL SW SP
Balzan —
0-0-1
0.52
0-1-0
0.26
0-2-0
1.90
0-0-1
0.31
0-2-0
1.31
0-0-1
0.59
1-1-0
2.28
1-0-0
0.76
1-1-0
2.65
0-0-1
0.38
0-1-1
2.06
Birkirkara
1-0-0
2.29
 —
1-1-0
1.66
0-1-0
1.96
0-1-1
1.82
1-0-0
1.58
0-2-0
3.12
0-1-0
2.11
2-0-0
3.81
0-0-1
2.39
0-0-2
2.15
1-0-0
1.97
Floriana
0-1-0
2.63
0-1-1
3.86
 —
1-0-0
2.38
0-2-0
2.89
0-1-0
2.14
2-0-0
4.11
0-0-1
2.58
1-1-0
4.68
1-0-0
2.65
1-0-1
3.30
1-0-0
2.48
Gzira United
0-2-0
3.60
0-1-0
0.81
0-0-1
0.45
 —
1-0-0
0.49
1-0-1
1.84
0-0-1
1.00
0-2-0
3.40
0-0-1
1.26
1-0-1
3.69
1-0-0
0.53
1-0-1
2.77
Hamrun Spartans
1-0-0
2.56
1-1-0
3.69
0-2-0
2.58
0-0-1
2.33
 —
1-0-0
2.04
2-0-0
3.97
0-0-1
2.48
1-0-1
4.46
1-0-0
2.50
0-1-1
2.92
1-0-0
2.46
Hibernians
0-2-0
4.26
0-0-1
1.16
0-1-0
0.65
1-0-1
3.67
0-0-1
0.73
 —
0-0-1
1.51
2-0-0
4.13
1-0-0
1.67
1-0-1
4.39
1-0-0
0.81
0-1-1
3.77
Marsaxlokk
1-0-0
2.21
0-2-0
2.36
0-0-2
1.44
1-0-0
1.75
0-0-2
1.56
1-0-0
1.23
 —
1-0-0
1.98
1-0-1
3.40
0-0-1
2.22
2-0-0
1.69
1-0-0
1.91
Melita
0-1-1
3.20
0-1-0
0.67
1-0-0
0.29
0-2-0
2.10
1-0-0
0.37
0-0-2
1.42
0-0-1
0.79
 —
0-0-1
1.04
0-0-2
3.31
0-0-1
0.46
0-1-1
2.19
Mosta
0-0-1
2.01
0-0-2
1.71
0-1-1
0.97
1-0-0
1.48
1-0-1
1.14
0-0-1
1.07
1-0-1
2.09
1-0-0
1.70
 —
1-0-0
1.98
0-0-2
1.17
1-0-0
1.55
Naxxar Lions
0-1-1
2.83
1-0-0
0.44
0-0-1
0.24
1-0-1
1.82
0-0-1
0.35
1-0-1
1.21
1-0-0
0.58
2-0-0
2.18
0-0-1
0.78
 —
0-0-1
0.34
0-1-1
1.85
Sliema Wanderers
1-0-0
2.47
2-0-0
3.34
1-0-1
2.19
0-0-1
2.28
1-1-0
2.56
0-0-1
1.95
0-0-2
3.83
1-0-0
2.37
2-0-0
4.44
1-0-0
2.52
 —
0-0-1
2.43
St. Patrick
1-1-0
3.43
0-0-1
0.80
0-0-1
0.37
1-0-1
2.71
0-0-1
0.39
1-1-0
1.75
0-0-1
0.85
1-1-0
3.30
0-0-1
1.19
1-1-0
3.66
1-0-0
0.41
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.36 +7.1
Allowed 0.82 -6.2
Differential 0.83 +4.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.29%10.42%6.77%4.17%2.60%0.52%31.77%
110.42%11.46%6.25%1.04%1.04%0.52%30.73%
26.77%6.25%6.25%2.60%0.52%1.04%23.44%
34.17%1.04%2.60%———7.81%
42.60%1.04%0.52%———4.17%
5+0.52%0.52%1.04%———2.08%
Total31.77%30.73%23.44%7.81%4.17%2.08%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.29 +0.00
SD 1.24 1.24 1.88
CV 0.97 0.97 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 96

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
025.00%6.25%—12.50%——43.75%
1—18.75%————18.75%
2——6.25%6.25%—6.25%18.75%
36.25%6.25%6.25%———18.75%
4———————
5+———————
Total31.25%31.25%12.50%18.75%—6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.44 -0.31
SD 1.20 1.46 1.66
CV 1.07 1.02 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%12.50%————18.75%
16.25%25.00%12.50%———43.75%
218.75%—6.25%———25.00%
36.25%—————6.25%
4———————
5+——6.25%———6.25%
Total37.50%37.50%25.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 0.88 +0.56
SD 1.26 0.81 1.41
CV 0.88 0.92 —
Max 5 2 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.75%—18.75%———37.50%
16.25%12.50%————18.75%
2—18.75%6.25%———25.00%
312.50%—————12.50%
46.25%—————6.25%
5+———————
Total43.75%31.25%25.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 0.81 +0.50
SD 1.30 0.83 1.75
CV 0.99 1.03 —
Max 4 2 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%12.50%6.25%12.50%——43.75%
118.75%———6.25%—25.00%
2—12.50%18.75%———31.25%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total31.25%25.00%25.00%12.50%6.25%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 1.38 -0.50
SD 0.89 1.26 1.51
CV 1.01 0.92 —
Max 2 4 +1
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.75%12.50%6.25%———37.50%
125.00%6.25%6.25%———37.50%
26.25%6.25%————12.50%
3———————
46.25%—————6.25%
5+—6.25%————6.25%
Total56.25%31.25%12.50%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 0.56 +0.69
SD 1.65 0.73 1.82
CV 1.32 1.29 —
Max 6 2 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%12.50%6.25%—6.25%—31.25%
1—12.50%12.50%———25.00%
26.25%—6.25%———12.50%
36.25%—18.75%———25.00%
4—6.25%————6.25%
5+———————
Total18.75%31.25%43.75%—6.25%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.44 +0.06
SD 1.37 1.03 1.81
CV 0.91 0.72 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—12.50%————12.50%
118.75%12.50%18.75%——6.25%56.25%
2—6.25%————6.25%
36.25%6.25%————12.50%
46.25%—————6.25%
5+6.25%—————6.25%
Total37.50%37.50%18.75%——6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 1.12 +0.50
SD 1.41 1.50 2.37
CV 0.87 1.33 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——18.75%6.25%—6.25%31.25%
1—18.75%—6.25%——25.00%
212.50%—12.50%6.25%6.25%6.25%43.75%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total12.50%18.75%31.25%18.75%6.25%12.50%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 2.25 -1.12
SD 0.89 1.53 1.86
CV 0.79 0.68 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—12.50%18.75%6.25%6.25%—43.75%
112.50%———6.25%—18.75%
26.25%18.75%6.25%6.25%——37.50%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total18.75%31.25%25.00%12.50%12.50%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 1.69 -0.75
SD 0.93 1.30 1.81
CV 0.99 0.77 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—12.50%6.25%6.25%18.75%—43.75%
112.50%12.50%————25.00%
212.50%6.25%—6.25%——25.00%
3———————
4———————
5+——6.25%———6.25%
Total25.00%31.25%12.50%12.50%18.75%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.69 -0.62
SD 1.34 1.49 2.28
CV 1.26 0.88 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—18.75%————18.75%
118.75%6.25%12.50%———37.50%
26.25%6.25%—6.25%——18.75%
3——6.25%———6.25%
46.25%6.25%6.25%———18.75%
5+———————
Total31.25%37.50%25.00%6.25%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 1.06 +0.62
SD 1.40 0.93 1.59
CV 0.83 0.87 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—12.50%—6.25%——18.75%
16.25%12.50%12.50%6.25%——37.50%
212.50%—12.50%———25.00%
312.50%—————12.50%
46.25%—————6.25%
5+———————
Total37.50%25.00%25.00%12.50%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.12 +0.38
SD 1.15 1.09 1.96
CV 0.77 0.97 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 16

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Floriana 1568 27 25.37 +1.63 5.0% 15 18 23 25 28 31 33
Hamrun Spartans 1526 28 23.29 +4.71 4.0% 16 18 21 23 26 29 31
Sliema Wanderers 1477 28 21.92 +6.08 19.0% 13 15 19 22 25 28 31
Birkirkara 1420 24 18.43 +5.57 62.0% 9 12 15 18 21 25 30
Marsaxlokk 1377 26 15.73 +10.27 86.0% 4 9 13 16 18 22 24
Hibernians 1323 22 17.40 +4.60 54.0% 7 11 15 17 20 23 27
Mosta 1238 19 12.88 +6.12 97.0% 4 6 11 12 15 19 23
St. Patrick 1237 22 10.73 +11.27 83.0% 3 4 7 10 13 18 20
Gzira United 1212 20 12.21 +7.79 51.0% 1 6 10 12 14 18 21
Naxxar Lions 1146 20 7.89 +12.11 78.0% 1 2 5 7 10 14 18
Balzan 1124 17 7.44 +9.56 82.0% 0 3 5 7 9 13 15
Melita 1099 11 10.18 +0.82 57.0% 2 5 8 10 12 16 19

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under -3% * Slight Edge: -3% to 3.5% * Clear Edge: 3.5% to 8.5% * Strong Edge: 8.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
-2.08%
Slight Edge
36.46%25.00%38.54%
Elo Value
Home Edge: -7.24 Elo pts.
319 Elo
0.003 goals per Elo point
0800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
-0.05 goals
Neutral
-2-0.02+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.21 * Comfortable: 0.21 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.6
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
24%
Hamrun Spartans, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.95 * Some Luck: 2.95 to 4.43 * Lucky: 4.43 to 5.9 * Wild Swing: 5.9 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.14 * Close: 1.14 to 1.71 * Off: 1.71 to 2.28 * Way Off: 2.28 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.72 points
Some Luck
03.699
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
01.423
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
97.00%
Mosta
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
4.00%
Hamrun Spartans
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.2 * Even: 0.2 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.27 * Lopsided: 0.27 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 2 * Strong Separation: 2 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 72.5% * Slight Edge: 72.5% to 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 84% * Wide Edge: 84% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 92.5% * Clear Edge: 92.5% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 98% * Dominant: 98% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 22% * Frequent: 22% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.
Gini Index
0.12
Balanced
00.20.270.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 156.80
0.96
Coin-Flip Parity
0.951.6522.253
Interquartile Edge
80%
Clear Edge
50%72.5%79%84%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
93%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
64%
Very Frequent
0%57%100%
Blowouts
Expected
20%
Occasional
0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.42 * Slight Separation: 0.42 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.57 * Some Carryover: 0.57 to 0.74 * Strong Carryover: 0.74 to 0.83 * Near-Lock: 0.83 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Upset-Prone: 18.5% to 23% * Very Upset-Prone: 23% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 15.5% * Shaky Favorites: 15.5% to 19.5% * Very Shaky: 19.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.65
Hard to Predict
00.552
Matchup Imbalance
0.47
Notable Separation
00.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.06
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.86
Near-Lock
00.570.741
Upset Rate
Expected
28%
Very Upset-Prone
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Very Shaky
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.17 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.17 to 0.26 * Above Noise: 0.26 to 0.35 * Well Above Noise: 0.35 and up.
Probability calibration
0.10
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.42
Overconfident
0.2452561.001.75474
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.166
Well Within Noise
00.1740.4

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Semifinals

Birkirkara 1
Sliema Wanderers 0
Floriana 0
Hamrun Spartans 0

Finals

Hamrun Spartans 1
Birkirkara 0
Floriana 4
Sliema Wanderers 0
Naxxar Lions 1
Melita 0

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team123456789101112
Hamrun Spartans24.00%33.00%25.00%15.00%3.00%———————
Sliema Wanderers18.00%21.00%24.00%16.00%14.00%4.00%3.00%—————
Floriana54.00%24.00%12.00%6.00%3.00%—1.00%—————
Birkirkara2.00%12.00%15.00%21.00%13.00%16.00%12.00%6.00%1.00%2.00%——
Hibernians1.00%7.00%8.00%19.00%26.00%12.00%15.00%6.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%
Mosta——4.00%6.00%7.00%11.00%16.00%26.00%17.00%8.00%2.00%3.00%
Marsaxlokk1.00%3.00%11.00%9.00%20.00%26.00%9.00%7.00%7.00%1.00%5.00%1.00%
St. Patrick——1.00%5.00%4.00%10.00%10.00%12.00%16.00%15.00%14.00%13.00%
Gzira United———3.00%6.00%14.00%15.00%15.00%21.00%15.00%6.00%5.00%
Naxxar Lions—————2.00%5.00%5.00%11.00%15.00%31.00%31.00%
Balzan—————1.00%5.00%7.00%7.00%19.00%26.00%35.00%
Melita————4.00%4.00%9.00%16.00%17.00%24.00%15.00%11.00%
Team123456789101112
Hamrun Spartans22.13%26.01%23.81%16.06%8.58%3.41%——————
Sliema Wanderers20.32%25.76%23.80%18.18%8.91%3.03%——————
Floriana45.72%25.41%15.66%8.57%3.67%0.97%——————
Birkirkara9.59%16.17%21.62%26.05%17.92%8.65%——————
Hibernians1.70%4.72%9.84%19.21%35.72%28.81%——————
Mosta0.54%1.93%5.27%11.93%25.20%55.13%——————
Marsaxlokk——————45.16%33.49%14.13%5.38%1.50%0.34%
St. Patrick——————4.72%12.29%25.49%29.02%18.56%9.92%
Gzira United——————41.62%33.48%15.40%6.99%2.03%0.48%
Naxxar Lions——————0.45%2.21%7.15%15.46%29.92%44.81%
Balzan——————0.66%2.41%7.85%17.61%32.98%38.49%
Melita——————7.39%16.12%29.98%25.54%15.01%5.96%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Relegated
Birkirkara 100% —
Floriana 100% —
Hamrun Spartans 100% —
Hibernians 100% —
Sliema Wanderers 100% —
Marsaxlokk 99.00% 1.00%
Mosta 94.00% 6.00%
Gzira United 87.00% 13.00%
St. Patrick 87.00% 13.00%
Melita 61.00% 39.00%
Balzan 38.00% 62.00%
Naxxar Lions 34.00% 66.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. With the league split already decided, contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles than in the full-season sim above.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Relegated
Marsaxlokk 98.16% 1.84%
Gzira United 97.49% 2.51%
Melita 79.03% 20.97%
St. Patrick 71.52% 28.48%
Balzan 28.53% 71.47%
Naxxar Lions 25.27% 74.73%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2025-01-04 Gzira United W 1-041.7 1263 1237 40.59% 26.17% 33.25%+0.06 +6.8 3
2025-01-04 @ Mosta L 0-141.7 1237 1263 33.25% 26.17% 40.59%-0.06 -6.8 0
2025-01-04 Hibernians L 2-345.3 1155 1363 15.45% 21.77% 62.78%-0.67 -3.1 0
2025-01-04 @ Melita W 3-245.3 1363 1155 62.78% 21.77% 15.45%+0.67 +3.0 3
2025-01-04 Sliema Wanderers W 1-052.6 1165 1516 8.45% 15.84% 75.71%-1.12 +12.9 3
2025-01-04 @ St. Patrick L 0-152.6 1516 1165 75.71% 15.84% 8.45%+1.12 -12.9 0
2025-01-05 Hamrun Spartans L 1-637.1 1334 1539 15.61% 21.86% 62.52%-0.67 -12.6 0
2025-01-05 @ Marsaxlokk W 6-137.1 1539 1334 62.52% 21.86% 15.61%+0.67 +12.6 3
2025-01-05 Naxxar Lions W 4-023.7 1589 1103 84.79% 10.60% 4.61%+1.50 +3.0 3
2025-01-05 @ Floriana L 0-423.7 1103 1589 4.61% 10.60% 84.79%-1.50 -3.0 0
2025-01-06 Balzan W 5-234.9 1384 1100 70.18% 18.64% 11.18%+0.87 +4.8 3
2025-01-06 @ Birkirkara L 2-534.9 1100 1384 11.18% 18.64% 70.18%-0.87 -4.8 0
2025-01-17 Mosta W 3-258.5 1095 1270 17.74% 22.96% 59.30%-0.57 +9.6 3
2025-01-17 @ Balzan L 2-358.5 1270 1095 59.30% 22.96% 17.74%+0.57 -9.6 3
2025-01-17 Naxxar Lions W 4-024.5 1503 1100 79.56% 13.71% 6.74%+1.24 +4.7 3
2025-01-17 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-424.5 1100 1503 6.74% 13.71% 79.56%-1.24 -4.7 0
2025-01-18 Floriana W 2-051.1 1152 1592 5.69% 12.24% 82.08%-1.40 +25.6 3
2025-01-18 @ Melita L 0-251.1 1592 1152 82.08% 12.24% 5.69%+1.40 -25.6 3
2025-01-18 Gzira United D 2-260.5 1389 1230 57.49% 23.50% 19.01%+0.47 -1.2 4
2025-01-18 @ Birkirkara D 2-260.5 1230 1389 19.01% 23.50% 57.49%-0.47 +1.2 1
2025-01-19 Hamrun Spartans L 1-247.6 1366 1552 16.94% 22.57% 60.49%-0.61 -3.5 3
2025-01-19 @ Hibernians W 2-147.6 1552 1366 60.49% 22.57% 16.94%+0.61 +3.5 6
2025-01-19 St. Patrick W 3-139.5 1321 1178 55.69% 23.98% 20.32%+0.43 +7.3 3
2025-01-19 @ Marsaxlokk L 1-339.5 1178 1321 20.32% 23.98% 55.69%-0.43 -7.3 3
2025-01-25 Balzan W 3-034.3 1171 1104 46.10% 25.74% 28.16%+0.18 +16.3 6
2025-01-25 @ St. Patrick L 0-334.3 1104 1171 28.16% 25.74% 46.10%-0.18 -16.3 3
2025-01-25 Hamrun Spartans D 0-062.8 1566 1555 38.45% 26.23% 35.32%+0.01 -0.1 4
2025-01-25 @ Floriana D 0-062.8 1555 1566 35.32% 26.23% 38.45%-0.01 +0.1 7
2025-01-25 Naxxar Lions W 1-037.1 1231 1096 54.85% 24.19% 20.96%+0.40 +4.6 4
2025-01-25 @ Gzira United L 0-137.1 1096 1231 20.96% 24.19% 54.85%-0.40 -4.6 0
2025-01-25 Sliema Wanderers L 0-136.4 1260 1507 13.10% 20.22% 66.68%-0.80 -2.8 3
2025-01-25 @ Mosta W 1-036.4 1507 1260 66.68% 20.22% 13.10%+0.80 +2.9 6
2025-01-26 Marsaxlokk L 0-145.5 1362 1328 41.64% 26.11% 32.24%+0.08 -8.0 3
2025-01-26 @ Hibernians W 1-045.5 1328 1362 32.24% 26.11% 41.64%-0.08 +8.0 6
2025-01-26 Melita D 1-155.2 1388 1177 63.07% 21.66% 15.27%+0.64 -2.0 5
2025-01-26 @ Birkirkara D 1-155.2 1177 1388 15.27% 21.66% 63.07%-0.64 +2.0 4
2025-01-31 Hibernians L 2-363.2 1510 1354 57.19% 23.58% 19.23%+0.47 -9.3 6
2025-01-31 @ Sliema Wanderers W 3-263.2 1354 1510 19.23% 23.58% 57.19%-0.47 +9.3 6
2025-01-31 Marsaxlokk L 0-328.3 1088 1336 13.03% 20.17% 66.80%-0.80 -7.8 3
2025-01-31 @ Balzan W 3-028.3 1336 1088 66.80% 20.17% 13.03%+0.80 +7.8 9
2025-02-01 Birkirkara D 0-057.3 1555 1386 58.67% 23.15% 18.18%+0.51 -1.9 8
2025-02-01 @ Hamrun Spartans D 0-057.3 1386 1555 18.18% 23.15% 58.67%-0.51 +1.9 6
2025-02-01 Melita D 2-258.9 1236 1179 44.83% 25.87% 29.30%+0.16 -0.5 5
2025-02-01 @ Gzira United D 2-258.9 1179 1236 29.30% 25.87% 44.83%-0.16 +0.5 5
2025-02-02 Naxxar Lions W 1-036.1 1257 1091 58.35% 23.25% 18.40%+0.50 +4.1 6
2025-02-02 @ Mosta L 0-136.1 1091 1257 18.40% 23.25% 58.35%-0.50 -4.1 0
2025-02-02 St. Patrick W 1-032.8 1566 1187 77.88% 14.66% 7.47%+1.16 +1.5 7
2025-02-02 @ Floriana L 0-132.8 1187 1566 7.47% 14.66% 77.88%-1.16 -1.5 6
2025-02-08 Hibernians L 1-437.7 1236 1363 21.71% 24.42% 53.87%-0.42 -11.0 5
2025-02-08 @ Gzira United W 4-137.7 1363 1236 53.87% 24.42% 21.71%+0.42 +11.0 9
2025-02-08 Mosta W 2-035.5 1388 1262 53.70% 24.46% 21.84%+0.37 +9.0 9
2025-02-08 @ Birkirkara L 0-235.5 1262 1388 21.84% 24.46% 53.70%-0.37 -9.0 6
2025-02-08 Sliema Wanderers L 2-439.2 1180 1501 9.58% 17.09% 73.32%-1.03 -2.9 5
2025-02-08 @ Melita W 4-239.2 1501 1180 73.32% 17.09% 9.58%+1.03 +2.9 9
2025-02-09 Hamrun Spartans L 0-132.8 1185 1553 7.84% 15.12% 77.04%-1.17 -1.6 6
2025-02-09 @ St. Patrick W 1-032.8 1553 1185 77.04% 15.12% 7.84%+1.17 +1.6 11
2025-02-09 Marsaxlokk W 2-146.3 1568 1344 64.35% 21.17% 14.48%+0.68 +3.0 10
2025-02-09 @ Floriana L 1-246.3 1344 1568 14.48% 21.17% 64.35%-0.68 -3.0 9
2025-02-10 Balzan L 0-337.3 1087 1080 37.81% 26.24% 35.95%+0.00 -20.5 0
2025-02-10 @ Naxxar Lions W 3-037.3 1080 1087 35.95% 26.24% 37.81%+0.00 +20.5 6
2025-02-14 Marsaxlokk W 2-152.0 1252 1341 25.62% 25.35% 49.03%-0.30 +8.6 9
2025-02-14 @ Mosta L 1-252.0 1341 1252 49.03% 25.35% 25.62%+0.30 -8.6 9
2025-02-15 Birkirkara W 2-156.3 1066 1397 9.22% 16.70% 74.09%-1.06 +12.0 3
2025-02-15 @ Naxxar Lions L 1-256.3 1397 1066 74.09% 16.70% 9.22%+1.06 -12.0 9
2025-02-15 Gzira United L 0-152.3 1504 1225 69.67% 18.88% 11.45%+0.85 -12.2 9
2025-02-15 @ Sliema Wanderers W 1-052.3 1225 1504 11.45% 18.88% 69.67%-0.85 +12.2 8
2025-02-15 St. Patrick L 0-443.1 1374 1184 60.95% 22.42% 16.63%+0.57 -39.3 9
2025-02-15 @ Hibernians W 4-043.1 1184 1374 16.63% 22.42% 60.95%-0.57 +39.3 9
2025-02-16 Floriana D 0-054.6 1101 1570 4.96% 11.15% 83.88%-1.49 +3.7 7
2025-02-16 @ Balzan D 0-054.6 1570 1101 83.88% 11.15% 4.96%+1.49 -3.7 11
2025-02-16 Hamrun Spartans W 2-050.3 1177 1555 7.50% 14.69% 77.81%-1.21 +24.8 8
2025-02-16 @ Melita L 0-250.3 1555 1177 77.81% 14.69% 7.50%+1.21 -24.8 11
2025-02-21 Marsaxlokk L 0-139.2 1237 1333 24.87% 25.20% 49.93%-0.32 -5.4 8
2025-02-21 @ Gzira United W 1-039.2 1333 1237 49.93% 25.20% 24.87%+0.32 +5.4 12
2025-02-22 Balzan W 1-030.3 1530 1105 81.13% 12.79% 6.07%+1.31 +1.2 14
2025-02-22 @ Hamrun Spartans L 0-130.3 1105 1530 6.07% 12.79% 81.13%-1.31 -1.2 7
2025-02-22 Floriana L 1-256.7 1492 1567 27.13% 25.59% 47.28%-0.26 -5.4 9
2025-02-22 @ Sliema Wanderers W 2-156.7 1567 1492 47.28% 25.59% 27.13%+0.26 +5.4 14
2025-02-23 Birkirkara L 0-331.7 1223 1385 18.79% 23.41% 57.80%-0.53 -11.4 9
2025-02-23 @ St. Patrick W 3-031.7 1385 1223 57.80% 23.41% 18.79%+0.53 +11.4 12
2025-02-23 Mosta W 2-037.0 1335 1261 47.10% 25.62% 27.28%+0.21 +10.9 12
2025-02-23 @ Hibernians L 0-237.0 1261 1335 27.28% 25.62% 47.10%-0.21 -10.9 9
2025-02-23 Naxxar Lions L 2-549.0 1202 1078 53.33% 24.55% 22.13%+0.36 -19.7 8
2025-02-23 @ Melita W 5-249.0 1078 1202 22.13% 24.55% 53.33%-0.36 +19.6 6
2025-03-01 Hibernians W 2-039.6 1396 1346 43.93% 25.95% 30.11%+0.13 +11.8 15
2025-03-01 @ Birkirkara L 0-239.6 1346 1396 30.11% 25.95% 43.93%-0.13 -11.8 12
2025-03-01 Marsaxlokk L 0-151.7 1486 1338 56.28% 23.83% 19.89%+0.44 -10.3 9
2025-03-01 @ Sliema Wanderers W 1-051.7 1338 1486 19.89% 23.83% 56.28%-0.44 +10.3 15
2025-03-01 Melita D 1-153.4 1103 1182 26.73% 25.53% 47.73%-0.27 +0.8 8
2025-03-01 @ Balzan D 1-153.4 1182 1103 47.73% 25.53% 26.73%+0.27 -0.8 9
2025-03-01 St. Patrick D 1-153.6 1098 1212 23.04% 24.79% 52.18%-0.38 +1.2 7
2025-03-01 @ Naxxar Lions D 1-153.6 1212 1098 52.18% 24.79% 23.04%+0.38 -1.2 10
2025-03-02 Gzira United L 0-153.2 1531 1232 71.50% 18.00% 10.49%+0.92 -12.5 14
2025-03-02 @ Hamrun Spartans W 1-053.2 1232 1531 10.49% 18.00% 71.50%-0.92 +12.5 11
2025-03-02 Mosta D 2-265.5 1572 1250 73.39% 17.06% 9.55%+0.99 -2.1 15
2025-03-02 @ Floriana D 2-265.5 1250 1572 9.55% 17.06% 73.39%-0.99 +2.1 10
2025-03-08 Floriana L 0-329.9 1244 1570 9.38% 16.88% 73.74%-1.04 -5.3 11
2025-03-08 @ Gzira United W 3-029.9 1570 1244 73.74% 16.88% 9.38%+1.04 +5.3 18
2025-03-08 Marsaxlokk D 1-155.9 1408 1348 45.22% 25.83% 28.94%+0.16 -0.6 16
2025-03-08 @ Birkirkara D 1-155.9 1348 1408 28.94% 25.83% 45.22%-0.16 +0.7 16
2025-03-08 Sliema Wanderers L 2-341.3 1104 1476 7.71% 14.96% 77.33%-1.19 -1.4 8
2025-03-08 @ Balzan W 3-241.3 1476 1104 77.33% 14.96% 7.71%+1.19 +1.4 12
2025-03-08 St. Patrick D 1-153.3 1181 1211 32.79% 26.14% 41.07%-0.12 +0.3 10
2025-03-08 @ Melita D 1-153.3 1211 1181 41.07% 26.14% 32.79%+0.12 -0.3 11
2025-03-09 Mosta L 1-258.2 1519 1252 68.52% 19.41% 12.07%+0.81 -11.4 14
2025-03-09 @ Hamrun Spartans W 2-158.2 1252 1519 12.07% 19.41% 68.52%-0.81 +11.4 13
2025-03-09 Naxxar Lions W 3-244.3 1334 1099 65.49% 20.72% 13.80%+0.71 +2.7 15
2025-03-09 @ Hibernians L 2-344.3 1099 1334 13.80% 20.72% 65.49%-0.71 -2.7 7
2025-03-12 Birkirkara L 0-254.1 1576 1407 58.53% 23.19% 18.27%+0.50 -20.0 18
2025-03-12 @ Floriana W 2-054.1 1407 1576 18.27% 23.19% 58.53%-0.50 +20.0 19
2025-03-13 Balzan D 0-050.5 1337 1103 65.41% 20.75% 13.84%+0.71 -2.5 16
2025-03-13 @ Hibernians D 0-050.5 1103 1337 13.84% 20.75% 65.41%-0.71 +2.5 9
2025-03-13 Gzira United W 3-038.5 1210 1239 32.95% 26.15% 40.90%-0.11 +21.7 14
2025-03-13 @ St. Patrick L 0-338.5 1239 1210 40.90% 26.15% 32.95%+0.11 -21.7 11
2025-03-13 Marsaxlokk W 1-049.9 1097 1349 12.82% 20.00% 67.18%-0.81 +11.9 10
2025-03-13 @ Naxxar Lions L 0-149.9 1349 1097 67.18% 20.00% 12.82%+0.81 -11.9 16
2025-03-13 Melita W 2-036.1 1264 1181 48.19% 25.47% 26.34%+0.23 +10.6 16
2025-03-13 @ Mosta L 0-236.1 1181 1264 26.34% 25.47% 48.19%-0.23 -10.6 10
2025-03-13 Sliema Wanderers L 0-153.0 1507 1477 41.17% 26.14% 32.69%+0.07 -8.0 14
2025-03-13 @ Hamrun Spartans W 1-053.0 1477 1507 32.69% 26.14% 41.17%-0.07 +8.0 15
2025-03-28 Balzan D 0-049.1 1217 1105 51.92% 24.84% 23.25%+0.33 -1.3 12
2025-03-28 @ Gzira United D 0-049.1 1105 1217 23.25% 24.84% 51.92%-0.33 +1.3 10
2025-03-29 Hibernians D 1-160.6 1555 1334 64.14% 21.26% 14.61%+0.67 -2.1 19
2025-03-29 @ Floriana D 1-160.6 1334 1555 14.61% 21.26% 64.14%-0.67 +2.1 17
2025-03-29 Mosta L 1-246.4 1232 1274 31.13% 26.04% 42.84%-0.15 -6.1 14
2025-03-29 @ St. Patrick W 2-146.4 1274 1232 42.84% 26.04% 31.13%+0.15 +6.1 19
2025-03-30 Birkirkara W 2-152.1 1485 1427 44.97% 25.86% 29.17%+0.16 +5.8 18
2025-03-30 @ Sliema Wanderers L 1-252.1 1427 1485 29.17% 25.86% 44.97%-0.16 -5.8 19
2025-03-30 Marsaxlokk L 0-530.6 1171 1337 18.43% 23.26% 58.31%-0.54 -17.9 10
2025-03-30 @ Melita W 5-030.6 1337 1171 58.31% 23.26% 18.43%+0.54 +17.9 19
2025-03-31 Naxxar Lions W 4-024.8 1500 1108 78.75% 14.17% 7.08%+1.20 +5.0 17
2025-03-31 @ Hamrun Spartans L 0-424.8 1108 1500 7.08% 14.17% 78.75%-1.20 -5.0 10

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2025-04-04 Balzan D 0-049.1 1216 1107 51.59% 24.90% 23.51%+0.32 -1.3 1
2025-04-04 @ Gzira United D 0-049.1 1107 1216 23.51% 24.90% 51.59%-0.32 +1.3 1
2025-04-04 Marsaxlokk L 0-434.4 1280 1355 27.19% 25.60% 47.20%-0.26 -20.7 0
2025-04-04 @ Mosta W 4-034.4 1355 1280 47.20% 25.60% 27.19%+0.26 +20.7 3
2025-04-05 Hamrun Spartans L 0-146.2 1422 1505 26.26% 25.46% 48.28%-0.28 -5.6 0
2025-04-05 @ Birkirkara W 1-046.2 1505 1422 48.28% 25.46% 26.26%+0.28 +5.6 3
2025-04-05 Naxxar Lions W 2-034.4 1226 1103 53.24% 24.56% 22.20%+0.36 +9.1 3
2025-04-05 @ St. Patrick L 0-234.4 1103 1226 22.20% 24.56% 53.24%-0.36 -9.1 0
2025-04-06 Melita W 3-030.4 1336 1153 60.21% 22.67% 17.12%+0.55 +10.4 3
2025-04-06 @ Hibernians L 0-330.4 1153 1336 17.12% 22.67% 60.21%-0.55 -10.4 0
2025-04-06 Sliema Wanderers L 0-253.3 1553 1491 45.57% 25.80% 28.63%+0.17 -16.3 0
2025-04-06 @ Floriana W 2-053.3 1491 1553 28.63% 25.80% 45.57%-0.17 +16.3 3
2025-04-11 Gzira United L 1-248.9 1235 1214 39.84% 26.20% 33.96%+0.04 -7.3 3
2025-04-11 @ St. Patrick W 2-148.9 1214 1235 33.96% 26.20% 39.84%-0.04 +7.3 4
2025-04-11 Naxxar Lions L 0-149.9 1347 1094 67.19% 20.00% 12.81%+0.77 -11.9 3
2025-04-11 @ Hibernians W 1-049.9 1094 1347 12.81% 20.00% 67.19%-0.77 +11.9 3
2025-04-12 Hamrun Spartans L 0-233.1 1260 1510 12.91% 20.08% 67.01%-0.81 -5.3 0
2025-04-12 @ Mosta W 2-033.1 1510 1260 67.01% 20.08% 12.91%+0.81 +5.3 6
2025-04-12 Marsaxlokk W 2-148.3 1537 1376 57.78% 23.41% 18.80%+0.48 +3.9 3
2025-04-12 @ Floriana L 1-248.3 1376 1537 18.80% 23.41% 57.78%-0.48 -3.9 3
2025-04-13 Melita W 3-146.2 1108 1143 32.10% 26.11% 41.79%-0.13 +13.2 4
2025-04-13 @ Balzan L 1-346.2 1143 1108 41.79% 26.11% 32.10%+0.13 -13.2 0
2025-04-13 Sliema Wanderers L 0-145.8 1416 1507 25.34% 25.29% 49.36%-0.31 -5.5 0
2025-04-13 @ Birkirkara W 1-045.8 1507 1416 49.36% 25.29% 25.34%+0.31 +5.4 6
2025-04-19 Balzan D 2-259.1 1228 1121 51.31% 24.96% 23.73%+0.31 -0.8 4
2025-04-19 @ St. Patrick D 2-259.1 1121 1228 23.73% 24.96% 51.31%-0.31 +0.8 5
2025-04-19 Gzira United L 1-252.5 1335 1222 52.12% 24.80% 23.09%+0.33 -9.1 3
2025-04-19 @ Hibernians W 2-152.5 1222 1335 23.09% 24.80% 52.12%-0.33 +9.1 7
2025-04-19 Mosta W 1-037.8 1411 1254 57.19% 23.58% 19.23%+0.47 +4.2 3
2025-04-19 @ Birkirkara L 0-137.8 1254 1411 19.23% 23.58% 57.19%-0.47 -4.2 0
2025-04-19 Sliema Wanderers W 2-158.5 1372 1513 20.51% 24.05% 55.44%-0.46 +9.6 6
2025-04-19 @ Marsaxlokk L 1-258.5 1513 1372 55.44% 24.05% 20.51%+0.46 -9.6 6
2025-04-21 Hamrun Spartans D 0-060.6 1541 1515 40.52% 26.17% 33.31%+0.06 -0.3 4
2025-04-21 @ Floriana D 0-060.6 1515 1541 33.31% 26.17% 40.52%-0.06 +0.3 7
2025-04-21 Melita W 2-040.2 1106 1129 33.64% 26.18% 40.18%-0.10 +14.7 6
2025-04-21 @ Naxxar Lions L 0-240.2 1129 1106 40.18% 26.18% 33.64%+0.10 -14.7 0
2025-04-27 Balzan D 1-154.7 1326 1122 62.37% 21.92% 15.71%+0.62 -2.0 4
2025-04-27 @ Hibernians D 1-154.7 1122 1326 15.71% 21.92% 62.37%-0.62 +2.0 6
2025-04-27 Hamrun Spartans D 1-163.8 1503 1516 35.10% 26.23% 38.68%-0.06 +0.1 7
2025-04-27 @ Sliema Wanderers D 1-163.8 1516 1503 38.68% 26.23% 35.10%+0.06 -0.1 8
2025-04-27 Marsaxlokk D 1-156.6 1415 1381 41.63% 26.12% 32.26%+0.08 -0.4 4
2025-04-27 @ Birkirkara D 1-156.6 1381 1415 32.26% 26.12% 41.63%-0.08 +0.4 7
2025-04-27 Mosta W 3-030.3 1541 1250 70.69% 18.40% 10.91%+0.89 +6.3 7
2025-04-27 @ Floriana L 0-330.3 1250 1541 10.91% 18.40% 70.69%-0.89 -6.3 0
2025-04-28 Melita W 2-034.8 1227 1115 52.00% 24.82% 23.18%+0.33 +9.5 7
2025-04-28 @ St. Patrick L 0-234.8 1115 1227 23.18% 24.82% 52.00%-0.33 -9.5 0
2025-04-28 Naxxar Lions L 0-243.3 1231 1121 51.68% 24.88% 23.43%+0.32 -18.0 7
2025-04-28 @ Gzira United W 2-043.3 1121 1231 23.43% 24.88% 51.68%-0.32 +18.0 9
2025-04-30 Floriana D 1-162.2 1414 1547 21.26% 24.29% 54.45%-0.44 +1.4 5
2025-04-30 @ Birkirkara D 1-162.2 1547 1414 54.45% 24.29% 21.26%+0.44 -1.4 8
2025-04-30 Hamrun Spartans L 0-143.4 1382 1516 21.14% 24.25% 54.61%-0.44 -4.6 7
2025-04-30 @ Marsaxlokk W 1-043.4 1516 1382 54.61% 24.25% 21.14%+0.44 +4.6 11
2025-04-30 Sliema Wanderers L 1-435.2 1244 1503 12.43% 19.70% 67.86%-0.84 -6.2 0
2025-04-30 @ Mosta W 4-135.2 1503 1244 67.86% 19.70% 12.43%+0.84 +6.2 10
2025-05-01 Hibernians D 2-259.5 1236 1324 25.77% 25.37% 48.86%-0.30 +0.7 8
2025-05-01 @ St. Patrick D 2-259.5 1324 1236 48.86% 25.37% 25.77%+0.30 -0.7 5
2025-05-03 Melita D 2-259.1 1213 1105 51.41% 24.94% 23.66%+0.31 -0.9 8
2025-05-03 @ Gzira United D 2-259.1 1105 1213 23.66% 24.94% 51.41%-0.31 +0.8 1
2025-05-03 Naxxar Lions D 1-153.1 1124 1139 34.74% 26.22% 39.04%-0.07 +0.2 7
2025-05-03 @ Balzan D 1-153.1 1139 1124 39.04% 26.22% 34.74%+0.07 -0.2 10

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2025-05-04 Birkirkara L 0-153.2 1510 1416 49.67% 25.24% 25.09%+0.29 -9.3 0-1
2025-05-04 @ Sliema Wanderers W 1-053.2 1416 1510 25.09% 25.24% 49.67%-0.29 +9.3 1-0
2025-05-05 Hamrun Spartans D 0-061.0 1546 1520 40.49% 26.17% 33.33%+0.08 -0.3 0-0-1
2025-05-05 @ Floriana D 0-061.0 1520 1546 33.33% 26.17% 40.49%-0.08 +0.3 0-0-1
2025-05-09 Floriana L 0-446.1 1500 1545 30.76% 26.01% 43.23%-0.14 -22.8 0-2
2025-05-09 @ Sliema Wanderers W 4-046.1 1545 1500 43.23% 26.01% 30.76%+0.14 +22.8 1-0-1
2025-05-09 Naxxar Lions L 0-141.0 1106 1139 32.34% 26.12% 41.54%-0.10 -6.6 0-1
2025-05-09 @ Melita W 1-041.0 1139 1106 41.54% 26.12% 32.34%+0.10 +6.6 1-0
2025-05-10 Birkirkara W 1-046.4 1521 1425 49.90% 25.21% 24.90%+0.30 +5.4 1-0-1
2025-05-10 @ Hamrun Spartans L 0-146.4 1425 1521 24.90% 25.21% 49.90%-0.30 -5.4 1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2025-01-18 5.69% @ Melita 1152 2 Floriana 1592 0
2 2025-02-16 7.50% @ Melita 1177 2 Hamrun Spartans 1555 0
3 2025-01-04 8.45% @ St. Patrick 1165 1 Sliema Wanderers 1516 0
4 2025-02-15 9.22% @ Naxxar Lions 1066 2 Birkirkara 1397 1
5 2025-03-02 10.49% Gzira United 1232 1 @ Hamrun Spartans 1531 0
6 2025-02-15 11.45% Gzira United 1225 1 @ Sliema Wanderers 1504 0
7 2025-03-09 12.07% Mosta 1252 2 @ Hamrun Spartans 1519 1
8 2025-04-11 12.81% Naxxar Lions 1094 1 @ Hibernians 1347 0
9 2025-03-13 12.82% @ Naxxar Lions 1097 1 Marsaxlokk 1349 0
10 2025-02-15 16.63% St. Patrick 1184 4 @ Hibernians 1374 0
11 2025-01-17 17.74% @ Balzan 1095 3 Mosta 1270 2
12 2025-03-12 18.27% Birkirkara 1407 2 @ Floriana 1576 0
13 2025-01-31 19.23% Hibernians 1354 3 @ Sliema Wanderers 1510 2
14 2025-03-01 19.89% Marsaxlokk 1338 1 @ Sliema Wanderers 1486 0
15 2025-04-19 20.51% @ Marsaxlokk 1372 2 Sliema Wanderers 1513 1
16 2025-02-23 22.13% Naxxar Lions 1078 5 @ Melita 1202 2
17 2025-04-19 23.09% Gzira United 1222 2 @ Hibernians 1335 1
18 2025-04-28 23.43% Naxxar Lions 1121 2 @ Gzira United 1231 0
19 2025-05-04 * 25.09% Birkirkara 1416 1 @ Sliema Wanderers 1510 0
20 2025-02-14 25.62% @ Mosta 1252 2 Marsaxlokk 1341 1
21 2025-04-06 28.63% Sliema Wanderers 1491 2 @ Floriana 1553 0
22 2025-04-13 32.10% @ Balzan 1108 3 Melita 1143 1
23 2025-01-26 32.24% Marsaxlokk 1328 1 @ Hibernians 1362 0
24 2025-03-13 32.69% Sliema Wanderers 1477 1 @ Hamrun Spartans 1507 0
25 2025-03-13 32.95% @ St. Patrick 1210 3 Gzira United 1239 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-02-15 39.31 St. Patrick 4 1184 16.63% @ Hibernians 0 1374 60.95% 22.42%
2 2025-01-18 25.61 @ Melita 2 1152 5.69% Floriana 0 1592 82.08% 12.24%
3 2025-02-16 24.83 @ Melita 2 1177 7.50% Hamrun Spartans 0 1555 77.81% 14.69%
4 2025-05-09 * 22.84 Floriana 4 1545 43.23% @ Sliema Wanderers 0 1500 30.76% 26.01%
5 2025-03-13 21.71 @ St. Patrick 3 1210 32.95% Gzira United 0 1239 40.90% 26.15%
6 2025-04-04 20.68 Marsaxlokk 4 1355 47.20% @ Mosta 0 1280 27.19% 25.60%
7 2025-02-10 20.45 Balzan 3 1080 35.95% @ Naxxar Lions 0 1087 37.81% 26.24%
8 2025-03-12 20.04 Birkirkara 2 1407 18.27% @ Floriana 0 1576 58.53% 23.19%
9 2025-02-23 19.65 Naxxar Lions 5 1078 22.13% @ Melita 2 1202 53.33% 24.55%
10 2025-04-28 18.05 Naxxar Lions 2 1121 23.43% @ Gzira United 0 1231 51.68% 24.88%
11 2025-03-30 17.95 Marsaxlokk 5 1337 58.31% @ Melita 0 1171 18.43% 23.26%
12 2025-01-25 16.29 @ St. Patrick 3 1171 46.10% Balzan 0 1104 28.16% 25.74%
13 2025-04-06 16.28 Sliema Wanderers 2 1491 28.63% @ Floriana 0 1553 45.57% 25.80%
14 2025-04-21 14.74 @ Naxxar Lions 2 1106 33.64% Melita 0 1129 40.18% 26.18%
15 2025-04-13 13.16 @ Balzan 3 1108 32.10% Melita 1 1143 41.79% 26.11%
16 2025-01-04 12.94 @ St. Patrick 1 1165 8.45% Sliema Wanderers 0 1516 75.71% 15.84%
17 2025-01-05 12.56 Hamrun Spartans 6 1539 62.52% @ Marsaxlokk 1 1334 15.61% 21.86%
18 2025-03-02 12.45 Gzira United 1 1232 10.49% @ Hamrun Spartans 0 1531 71.50% 18.00%
19 2025-02-15 12.22 Gzira United 1 1225 11.45% @ Sliema Wanderers 0 1504 69.67% 18.88%
20 2025-02-15 12.03 @ Naxxar Lions 2 1066 9.22% Birkirkara 1 1397 74.09% 16.70%
21 2025-03-13 11.88 @ Naxxar Lions 1 1097 12.82% Marsaxlokk 0 1349 67.18% 20.00%
22 2025-04-11 11.88 Naxxar Lions 1 1094 12.81% @ Hibernians 0 1347 67.19% 20.00%
23 2025-03-01 11.84 @ Birkirkara 2 1396 43.93% Hibernians 0 1346 30.11% 25.95%
24 2025-03-09 11.37 Mosta 2 1252 12.07% @ Hamrun Spartans 1 1519 68.52% 19.41%
25 2025-02-23 11.36 Birkirkara 3 1385 57.80% @ St. Patrick 0 1223 18.79% 23.41%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-03-02 65.5 @ Floriana 2 1572 73.39% Mosta 2 1250 9.55% 17.06%
2 2025-04-27 63.8 @ Sliema Wanderers 1 1503 35.10% Hamrun Spartans 1 1516 38.68% 26.23%
3 2025-01-31 63.2 Hibernians 3 1354 19.23% @ Sliema Wanderers 2 1510 57.19% 23.58%
4 2025-01-25 62.8 @ Floriana 0 1566 38.45% Hamrun Spartans 0 1555 35.32% 26.23%
5 2025-04-30 62.2 @ Birkirkara 1 1414 21.26% Floriana 1 1547 54.45% 24.29%
6 2025-05-05 * 61.0 @ Floriana 0 1546 40.49% Hamrun Spartans 0 1520 33.33% 26.17%
7 2025-03-29 60.6 @ Floriana 1 1555 64.14% Hibernians 1 1334 14.61% 21.26%
8 2025-04-21 60.6 @ Floriana 0 1541 40.52% Hamrun Spartans 0 1515 33.31% 26.17%
9 2025-01-18 60.5 @ Birkirkara 2 1389 57.49% Gzira United 2 1230 19.01% 23.50%
10 2025-05-01 59.5 @ St. Patrick 2 1236 25.77% Hibernians 2 1324 48.86% 25.37%
11 2025-04-19 59.1 @ St. Patrick 2 1228 51.31% Balzan 2 1121 23.73% 24.96%
12 2025-05-03 59.1 @ Gzira United 2 1213 51.41% Melita 2 1105 23.66% 24.94%
13 2025-02-01 58.9 @ Gzira United 2 1236 44.83% Melita 2 1179 29.30% 25.87%
14 2025-01-17 58.5 @ Balzan 3 1095 17.74% Mosta 2 1270 59.30% 22.96%
15 2025-04-19 58.5 @ Marsaxlokk 2 1372 20.51% Sliema Wanderers 1 1513 55.44% 24.05%
16 2025-03-09 58.2 Mosta 2 1252 12.07% @ Hamrun Spartans 1 1519 68.52% 19.41%
17 2025-02-01 57.3 @ Hamrun Spartans 0 1555 58.67% Birkirkara 0 1386 18.18% 23.15%
18 2025-02-22 56.7 Floriana 2 1567 47.28% @ Sliema Wanderers 1 1492 27.13% 25.59%
19 2025-04-27 56.6 @ Birkirkara 1 1415 41.63% Marsaxlokk 1 1381 32.26% 26.12%
20 2025-02-15 56.3 @ Naxxar Lions 2 1066 9.22% Birkirkara 1 1397 74.09% 16.70%
21 2025-03-08 55.9 @ Birkirkara 1 1408 45.22% Marsaxlokk 1 1348 28.94% 25.83%
22 2025-01-26 55.2 @ Birkirkara 1 1388 63.07% Melita 1 1177 15.27% 21.66%
23 2025-04-27 54.7 @ Hibernians 1 1326 62.37% Balzan 1 1122 15.71% 21.92%
24 2025-02-16 54.6 @ Balzan 0 1101 4.96% Floriana 0 1570 83.88% 11.15%
25 2025-03-12 54.1 Birkirkara 2 1407 18.27% @ Floriana 0 1576 58.53% 23.19%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-01-05 23.7 @ Floriana 4 1589 84.79% Naxxar Lions 0 1103 4.61% 10.60%
2 2025-01-17 24.5 @ Sliema Wanderers 4 1503 79.56% Naxxar Lions 0 1100 6.74% 13.71%
3 2025-03-31 24.8 @ Hamrun Spartans 4 1500 78.75% Naxxar Lions 0 1108 7.08% 14.17%
4 2025-01-31 28.3 Marsaxlokk 3 1336 66.80% @ Balzan 0 1088 13.03% 20.17%
5 2025-03-08 29.9 Floriana 3 1570 73.74% @ Gzira United 0 1244 9.38% 16.88%
6 2025-02-22 30.3 @ Hamrun Spartans 1 1530 81.13% Balzan 0 1105 6.07% 12.79%
7 2025-04-27 30.3 @ Floriana 3 1541 70.69% Mosta 0 1250 10.91% 18.40%
8 2025-04-06 30.4 @ Hibernians 3 1336 60.21% Melita 0 1153 17.12% 22.67%
9 2025-03-30 30.6 Marsaxlokk 5 1337 58.31% @ Melita 0 1171 18.43% 23.26%
10 2025-02-23 31.7 Birkirkara 3 1385 57.80% @ St. Patrick 0 1223 18.79% 23.41%
11 2025-02-02 32.8 @ Floriana 1 1566 77.88% St. Patrick 0 1187 7.47% 14.66%
12 2025-02-09 32.8 Hamrun Spartans 1 1553 77.04% @ St. Patrick 0 1185 7.84% 15.12%
13 2025-04-12 33.1 Hamrun Spartans 2 1510 67.01% @ Mosta 0 1260 12.91% 20.08%
14 2025-01-25 34.3 @ St. Patrick 3 1171 46.10% Balzan 0 1104 28.16% 25.74%
15 2025-04-04 34.4 Marsaxlokk 4 1355 47.20% @ Mosta 0 1280 27.19% 25.60%
16 2025-04-05 34.4 @ St. Patrick 2 1226 53.24% Naxxar Lions 0 1103 22.20% 24.56%
17 2025-04-28 34.8 @ St. Patrick 2 1227 52.00% Melita 0 1115 23.18% 24.82%
18 2025-01-06 34.9 @ Birkirkara 5 1384 70.18% Balzan 2 1100 11.18% 18.64%
19 2025-04-30 35.2 Sliema Wanderers 4 1503 67.86% @ Mosta 1 1244 12.43% 19.70%
20 2025-02-08 35.5 @ Birkirkara 2 1388 53.70% Mosta 0 1262 21.84% 24.46%
21 2025-02-02 36.1 @ Mosta 1 1257 58.35% Naxxar Lions 0 1091 18.40% 23.25%
22 2025-03-13 36.1 @ Mosta 2 1264 48.19% Melita 0 1181 26.34% 25.47%
23 2025-01-25 36.4 Sliema Wanderers 1 1507 66.68% @ Mosta 0 1260 13.10% 20.22%
24 2025-02-23 37.0 @ Hibernians 2 1335 47.10% Mosta 0 1261 27.28% 25.62%
25 2025-01-05 37.1 Hamrun Spartans 6 1539 62.52% @ Marsaxlokk 1 1334 15.61% 21.86%