Home / Leagues / MLS / 2003

2003 MLS Season

150 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

San Jose Earthquakes

2nd Title

Last Title: 2001

Runner-Up

Chicago Fire

3rd Appearance

Last Appearance: 2000

Biggest Overachiever

Chicago Fire

9.31 points above expected

53 points · 43.69 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Dallas Burn

15.65 points below expected

23 points · 38.65 expected points

Final Standings

Regular-season records by division. The vsSim column shows actual points minus the simulation's mean points — positive means the team overachieved, negative means they underperformed.

# Team W L T Pts Pt% GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Chicago Fire Conference 15 7 8 53 .589 53 43 +10 43.69 +9.31
2 New England Revolution Playoffs 12 9 9 45 .500 55 47 +8 40.94 +4.06
3 MetroStars Playoffs 11 10 9 42 .467 40 40 0 41.71 +0.29
4 DC United Playoffs 10 11 9 39 .433 38 36 +2 40.68 -1.68
5 Columbus Crew 10 12 8 38 .422 44 45 -1 41.45 -3.45
# Team W L T Pts Pt% GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 San Jose Earthquakes Conference 14 7 9 51 .567 45 35 +10 44.04 +6.96
2 Kansas City Wizards Playoffs 11 10 9 42 .467 48 44 +4 40.85 +1.15
3 Colorado Rapids Playoffs 11 12 7 40 .444 40 45 -5 39.66 +0.34
4 Los Angeles Galaxy Playoffs 9 12 9 36 .400 36 35 +1 43.02 -7.02
5 Dallas Burn 6 19 5 23 .256 35 64 -29 38.65 -15.65

Playoff Bracket

The path each team took through the postseason — reconstructed from actual playoff games, not the simulation.

Eastern Conference

Conference Semifinals

New England Revolution 2
MetroStars 0

2 games · Nov 1–Nov 9

Chicago Fire 2
DC United 0

2 games · Nov 2–Nov 9

Conference Final

Chicago Fire 1
New England Revolution 0

Nov 15

Western Conference

Conference Semifinals

San Jose Earthquakes 2
Los Angeles Galaxy 0

2 games · Nov 2–Nov 10

Kansas City Wizards 2
Colorado Rapids 0

2 games · Nov 5–Nov 9

Conference Final

San Jose Earthquakes 3
Kansas City Wizards 2

Nov 16

MLS Cup

San Jose Earthquakes 4
Chicago Fire 2

Nov 23

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort; use the dropdown to filter by Conference or Division. Luck is the team's actual outcome minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Conference Division Elo Points Avg. Pts. Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Chicago Fire Eastern 1525 53 43.69 +9.31 91.58% 20 32 39 44 48 55 69
San Jose Earthquakes Western 1522 51 44.04 +6.96 85.10% 19 32 39 44 49 56 70
New England Revolution Eastern 1508 45 40.94 +4.06 74.48% 17 29 36 41 46 53 71
Los Angeles Galaxy Western 1508 36 43.02 -7.02 18.40% 19 31 38 43 48 55 69
Columbus Crew Eastern 1501 38 41.45 -3.45 33.81% 15 30 37 41 46 53 67
MetroStars Eastern 1500 42 41.71 +0.29 54.58% 17 30 37 42 47 53 68
DC United Eastern 1497 39 40.68 -1.68 43.80% 18 29 36 41 45 52 68
Kansas City Wizards Western 1494 42 40.85 +1.15 59.87% 14 29 36 41 46 53 70
Colorado Rapids Western 1489 40 39.66 +0.34 55.66% 16 28 35 40 44 51 66
Dallas Burn Western 1455 23 38.65 -15.65 1.16% 11 27 34 38 43 50 66

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's points earned in that matchup (row vs column) and below it the expected points the model predicted based on each individual game's win, OT/SO, and loss probabilities. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin. The first matrix for each division covers within-division games; the second (when shown) covers games against teams outside that division — aggregated by division when there are many opponents, broken out team-by-team when there are few.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within Eastern

Team Fire Crew United MetroStars Revolution
Chicago Fire
5
(5.9 exp.)
4
(5.9 exp.)
10
(5.7 exp.)
4
(5.9 exp.)
Columbus Crew
5
(5.1 exp.)
7
(5.6 exp.)
4
(5.6 exp.)
4
(5.6 exp.)
DC United
7
(5.1 exp.)
4
(5.5 exp.)
4
(5.4 exp.)
7
(5.5 exp.)
MetroStars
1
(5.3 exp.)
7
(5.5 exp.)
7
(5.6 exp.)
1
(5.6 exp.)
New England Revolution
7
(5.2 exp.)
7
(5.4 exp.)
4
(5.5 exp.)
10
(5.4 exp.)

Eastern vs. Outside Teams

Team Rapids Burn Wizards Galaxy Earthquakes
Chicago Fire
7
(4.8 exp.)
3
(3.1 exp.)
6
(4.0 exp.)
9
(4.6 exp.)
5
(3.8 exp.)
Columbus Crew
3
(2.9 exp.)
7
(4.8 exp.)
4
(4.5 exp.)
1
(3.7 exp.)
3
(3.7 exp.)
DC United
5
(3.9 exp.)
4
(3.8 exp.)
2
(4.5 exp.)
3
(2.6 exp.)
3
(4.2 exp.)
MetroStars
6
(4.0 exp.)
7
(4.8 exp.)
4
(3.9 exp.)
5
(4.3 exp.)
4
(2.6 exp.)
New England Revolution
4
(4.7 exp.)
6
(4.0 exp.)
2
(2.8 exp.)
4
(3.6 exp.)
1
(4.1 exp.)

Within Western

Team Rapids Burn Wizards Galaxy Earthquakes
Colorado Rapids
6
(5.8 exp.)
7
(5.4 exp.)
7
(5.0 exp.)
7
(5.1 exp.)
Dallas Burn
6
(5.3 exp.)
3
(5.2 exp.)
2
(5.2 exp.)
0
(4.9 exp.)
Kansas City Wizards
4
(5.6 exp.)
9
(5.9 exp.)
9
(5.3 exp.)
2
(5.2 exp.)
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
(6.0 exp.)
8
(5.9 exp.)
3
(5.8 exp.)
5
(5.4 exp.)
San Jose Earthquakes
4
(6.0 exp.)
12
(6.2 exp.)
8
(5.8 exp.)
5
(5.7 exp.)

Western vs. Outside Teams

Team Fire Crew United MetroStars Revolution
Colorado Rapids
1
(3.5 exp.)
3
(2.7 exp.)
2
(4.4 exp.)
3
(4.3 exp.)
4
(3.6 exp.)
Dallas Burn
3
(2.4 exp.)
1
(3.5 exp.)
4
(4.5 exp.)
1
(3.5 exp.)
3
(4.3 exp.)
Kansas City Wizards
3
(4.2 exp.)
4
(3.7 exp.)
5
(3.8 exp.)
4
(4.4 exp.)
2
(2.7 exp.)
Los Angeles Galaxy
0
(3.7 exp.)
7
(4.6 exp.)
3
(2.9 exp.)
2
(3.9 exp.)
4
(4.7 exp.)
San Jose Earthquakes
2
(4.5 exp.)
6
(4.6 exp.)
6
(4.1 exp.)
1
(2.9 exp.)
7
(4.1 exp.)

Scoring Distribution

Histograms of goals scored and allowed, a home-vs-away score scatter (marker size grows with how often that exact score happened), and summary stats — all driven by the team filter below. Default view is league-wide.

Summary Statistics

Mean scored
Mean allowed
StdDev scored
StdDev allowed
Correlation (home vs away score)
Sample size (games)

Points vs. Goal Differential

How goals translated into points. Teams above the cluster overperformed their goals differential (often called Pythagorean luck), while teams below underperformed. Hover for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams furthest from where the simulation said they'd land — a fast read of the Luck column on top of the main season summary above.

Top Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Chicago Fire 53 43.69 +9.31
2 San Jose Earthquakes 51 44.04 +6.96
3 New England Revolution 45 40.94 +4.06
4 Kansas City Wizards 42 40.85 +1.15
5 Colorado Rapids 40 39.66 +0.34

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Dallas Burn 23 38.65 -15.65
2 Los Angeles Galaxy 36 43.02 -7.02
3 Columbus Crew 38 41.45 -3.45
4 DC United 39 40.68 -1.68
5 MetroStars 42 41.71 +0.29

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/T/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or T consecutively; Winless counts L or T consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Colorado Rapids 5 Jul 5 – Aug 10 1 in 156
2 New England Revolution 5 Sep 28 – Oct 25 1 in 106
3 MetroStars 5 Apr 26 – May 25 1 in 100
4 San Jose Earthquakes 4 Jul 19 – Aug 14 1 in 70
5 Kansas City Wizards 4 Sep 28 – Oct 19 1 in 31

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kansas City Wizards 4 Sep 1 – Sep 21 1 in 51
2 Dallas Burn 4 Jul 20 – Aug 14 1 in 38
3 Colorado Rapids 4 May 4 – May 26 1 in 25
4 Los Angeles Galaxy 3 Sep 28 – Oct 12 1 in 16
5 San Jose Earthquakes 2 May 31 – Jun 8 1 in 8

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Colorado Rapids 7 Aug 17 – Oct 2 1 in 33
2 Kansas City Wizards 7 May 4 – Jun 8 1 in 29
3 MetroStars 7 Apr 20 – Jun 1 1 in 26
4 New England Revolution 7 Sep 14 – Oct 25 1 in 26
5 San Jose Earthquakes 6 Apr 13 – May 18 1 in 16

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 New England Revolution 9 Jul 5 – Aug 23 1 in 65
2 Kansas City Wizards 9 Jul 27 – Sep 21 1 in 63
3 Columbus Crew 7 Jul 6 – Aug 17 1 in 40
4 Dallas Burn 6 Apr 12 – May 25 1 in 26
5 DC United 7 Apr 13 – Jun 1 1 in 24

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we add up those probabilities over home games and compare to actual home wins — and do the same on the road. The bar height is (home wins above expected) minus (road wins above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real Coors-style edge. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between divisions, leagues, and the overall MLS view. Rows are sorted by the simulation's average finish (best at top).

Team12345
Chicago Fire28.30%22.75%19.34%16.51%13.10%
MetroStars19.76%19.99%20.00%20.29%19.96%
Columbus Crew19.19%19.64%19.98%20.60%20.59%
New England Revolution16.36%19.58%20.44%20.80%22.82%
DC United16.39%18.04%20.24%21.80%23.53%
Team12345
San Jose Earthquakes31.53%24.43%18.96%14.56%10.52%
Los Angeles Galaxy26.87%23.07%19.86%16.80%13.40%
Kansas City Wizards17.29%20.31%20.62%21.14%20.64%
Colorado Rapids13.46%16.98%21.25%23.47%24.84%
Dallas Burn10.85%15.21%19.31%24.03%30.60%
Team12345678910
San Jose Earthquakes16.90%13.53%12.61%11.04%10.07%9.26%7.59%7.48%6.45%5.07%
Chicago Fire15.86%12.72%12.44%11.29%9.94%9.05%8.55%7.61%6.84%5.70%
Los Angeles Galaxy13.45%12.81%11.33%10.60%10.34%9.72%8.69%8.48%7.71%6.87%
MetroStars9.92%10.67%10.24%10.17%10.12%10.02%10.18%10.01%9.78%8.89%
Columbus Crew9.79%9.89%9.82%10.34%10.40%10.11%10.51%9.83%10.07%9.24%
New England Revolution8.05%9.06%9.62%10.60%10.44%10.06%10.71%10.01%10.82%10.63%
Kansas City Wizards8.04%8.94%9.45%9.65%10.23%10.51%10.85%10.71%10.37%11.25%
DC United7.64%8.94%9.88%9.39%10.17%10.08%10.82%10.77%10.69%11.62%
Colorado Rapids5.73%7.42%7.88%8.92%9.47%11.17%11.19%11.76%12.79%13.67%
Dallas Burn4.62%6.02%6.73%8.00%8.82%10.02%10.91%13.34%14.48%17.06%

Win Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed). Click a division in the legend to toggle it.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Across the 10,000 regular-season simulations, the probability that each team finished as each playoff seed (or missed the playoffs entirely). Rows sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed; teams that more often missed the playoffs sit toward the bottom.

Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 SeedMissed Playoffs
Chicago Fire28.30%22.75%19.34%16.51%13.10%
MetroStars19.76%19.99%20.00%20.29%19.96%
Columbus Crew19.19%19.64%19.98%20.60%20.59%
DC United16.39%18.04%20.24%21.80%23.53%
New England Revolution16.36%19.58%20.44%20.80%22.82%
Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 SeedMissed Playoffs
San Jose Earthquakes31.53%24.43%18.96%14.56%10.52%
Los Angeles Galaxy26.87%23.07%19.86%16.80%13.40%
Kansas City Wizards17.29%20.31%20.62%21.14%20.64%
Colorado Rapids13.46%16.98%21.25%23.47%24.84%
Dallas Burn10.85%15.21%19.31%24.03%30.60%

Points Required to Achieve Each Seed

Empirical cumulative distribution: for each seed in each division, the probability that a team holding that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of points. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median points for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual points, simulated final points, playoff probability, and division-title probability — day by day. Pick a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces every team's game-by-game Elo trajectory through their playoff run — teams eliminated early have short lines, deeper runs extend further right; click a team in the legend to isolate it. Net Elo Change summarizes the same data as one bar per team from first playoff game to last, sorted biggest gain to biggest loss.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

Across 10,000 simulations starting from preseason Elo, every team had a chance to make the playoffs based on how the regular-season Monte Carlo played out. The default view sums those simulations up: what fraction of them had each team making the playoffs, advancing each round, and winning the title. The round buttons switch to heatmaps showing how often every pair of teams faced off in each round across all sims.

Team Made Playoffs Advanced to Conference Finals Advanced to MLS Cup Won MLS Cup
Chicago Fire 86.90% 47.43% 25.92% 14.52%
San Jose Earthquakes 89.48% 49.70% 27.44% 14.17%
Los Angeles Galaxy 86.60% 45.59% 23.98% 12.22%
Columbus Crew 79.41% 38.46% 18.90% 10.12%
New England Revolution 77.18% 38.34% 18.84% 9.84%
MetroStars 80.04% 39.03% 19.11% 9.69%
DC United 76.47% 36.74% 17.23% 8.58%
Kansas City Wizards 79.36% 39.65% 19.02% 8.55%
Colorado Rapids 75.16% 36.66% 17.36% 7.76%
Dallas Burn 69.40% 28.40% 12.20% 4.55%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Chicago FireColumbus CrewDC UnitedMetroStarsNew England Revolution
Chicago Fire12.05%11.45%12.29%11.64%
Columbus Crew9.81%9.63%9.51%9.51%
DC United9.33%9.52%9.38%8.51%
MetroStars10.29%9.86%9.70%9.18%
New England Revolution10.04%9.52%8.95%9.83%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Colorado RapidsDallas BurnKansas City WizardsLos Angeles GalaxySan Jose Earthquakes
Colorado Rapids8.09%8.69%9.78%10.10%
Dallas Burn6.15%7.05%7.37%7.83%
Kansas City Wizards9.40%8.90%10.96%10.39%
Los Angeles Galaxy11.12%11.27%11.74%11.46%
San Jose Earthquakes11.83%12.74%12.23%12.90%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Chicago FireColumbus CrewDC UnitedMetroStarsNew England Revolution
Chicago Fire6.49%6.52%6.63%6.28%
Columbus Crew5.28%4.52%4.59%4.51%
DC United5.08%3.84%4.20%4.11%
MetroStars5.60%4.57%4.34%4.60%
New England Revolution5.55%4.66%4.13%4.50%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Colorado RapidsDallas BurnKansas City WizardsLos Angeles GalaxySan Jose Earthquakes
Colorado Rapids2.97%4.13%4.96%5.30%
Dallas Burn2.56%2.83%3.36%3.45%
Kansas City Wizards4.28%3.43%5.19%6.12%
Los Angeles Galaxy5.80%4.52%6.27%7.39%
San Jose Earthquakes6.66%5.28%7.40%8.10%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Chicago FireColorado RapidsColumbus CrewDC UnitedDallas BurnKansas City WizardsLos Angeles GalaxyMetroStarsNew England RevolutionSan Jose Earthquakes
Chicago Fire2.84%2.18%2.76%3.17%3.57%
Colorado Rapids1.75%1.42%1.52%1.51%1.56%
Columbus Crew1.92%1.30%1.78%2.50%2.62%
DC United1.60%1.12%1.84%2.02%2.00%
Dallas Burn1.10%1.02%0.81%0.75%0.87%
Kansas City Wizards1.99%1.58%1.71%1.75%1.52%
Los Angeles Galaxy3.08%2.27%2.19%2.40%2.28%
MetroStars1.64%1.45%2.10%2.10%2.40%
New England Revolution1.60%1.60%1.99%1.97%2.68%
San Jose Earthquakes3.48%2.49%2.42%3.01%2.77%

Actual Bracket Simulation

With the actual playoff bracket fixed in place, this second simulation re-runs each matchup 10,000 times and tallies how often each team advanced past each round and won the title. The right-most column shows what actually happened. Round buttons switch to matchup heatmaps for that round.

Team Advanced to Conference Finals Advanced to MLS Cup Won MLS Cup Actual Outcome
Chicago Fire 54.65% 34.90% 22.40% Eliminated in MLS Cup
San Jose Earthquakes 52.10% 33.43% 18.33% Won MLS Cup
New England Revolution 51.91% 24.27% 12.72% Eliminated in Conference Finals
MetroStars 48.09% 23.39% 11.53% Eliminated in Conference Semifinals
Kansas City Wizards 51.28% 24.23% 10.25% Eliminated in Conference Finals
Colorado Rapids 48.72% 22.41% 9.37% Eliminated in Conference Semifinals
Los Angeles Galaxy 47.90% 19.93% 7.99% Eliminated in Conference Semifinals
DC United 45.35% 17.44% 7.41% Eliminated in Conference Semifinals
Loser →
↓ Winner
Chicago FireDC UnitedMetroStarsNew England Revolution
Chicago Fire54.65%
DC United45.35%
MetroStars48.09%
New England Revolution51.91%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Colorado RapidsKansas City WizardsLos Angeles GalaxySan Jose Earthquakes
Colorado Rapids48.72%
Kansas City Wizards51.28%
Los Angeles Galaxy47.90%
San Jose Earthquakes52.10%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Chicago FireDC UnitedMetroStarsNew England Revolution
Chicago Fire16.36%18.54%
DC United8.34%9.10%
MetroStars9.59%13.80%
New England Revolution10.16%14.11%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Colorado RapidsKansas City WizardsLos Angeles GalaxySan Jose Earthquakes
Colorado Rapids13.47%8.94%
Kansas City Wizards14.50%9.73%
Los Angeles Galaxy9.94%9.99%
San Jose Earthquakes16.37%17.06%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Chicago FireColorado RapidsDC UnitedKansas City WizardsLos Angeles GalaxyMetroStarsNew England RevolutionSan Jose Earthquakes
Chicago Fire5.09%5.71%4.38%7.22%
Colorado Rapids2.56%2.72%1.97%2.12%
DC United1.80%1.63%2.08%1.90%
Kansas City Wizards2.87%2.50%2.58%2.30%
Los Angeles Galaxy2.67%1.30%1.81%2.21%
MetroStars2.79%3.12%2.68%2.94%
New England Revolution3.36%3.52%2.80%3.04%
San Jose Earthquakes4.40%3.51%5.50%4.92%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, the opponent they most often faced and defeated at each round across all bracket simulations. Each step shows two numbers: Matchup % is the fraction of this team's wins in this round that came against this opponent; Win % is the head-to-head probability they beat this opponent when the two meet. Note: fixed early-round matchups against bracket-determined opponents will show 100% Matchup — that's because those pairings are decided by the bracket.

Chicago Fire 22.40% chance to win
Conference Semifinals
vs. DC United
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
54.65%
Conference Finals
vs. New England Revolution
Matchup
53.12%
Win Prob
64.60%
MLS Cup
vs. San Jose Earthquakes
Matchup
32.23%
Win Prob
62.13%
San Jose Earthquakes 18.33% chance to win
Conference Semifinals
vs. Los Angeles Galaxy
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
52.10%
Conference Finals
vs. Kansas City Wizards
Matchup
51.03%
Win Prob
63.68%
MLS Cup
vs. MetroStars
Matchup
30.01%
Win Prob
65.17%
New England Revolution 12.72% chance to win
Conference Semifinals
vs. MetroStars
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
51.91%
Conference Finals
vs. DC United
Matchup
58.14%
Win Prob
60.79%
MLS Cup
vs. Kansas City Wizards
Matchup
27.67%
Win Prob
60.48%
MetroStars 11.53% chance to win
Conference Semifinals
vs. New England Revolution
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
48.09%
Conference Finals
vs. DC United
Matchup
59.00%
Win Prob
62.33%
MLS Cup
vs. Kansas City Wizards
Matchup
27.06%
Win Prob
54.74%
Kansas City Wizards 10.25% chance to win
Conference Semifinals
vs. Colorado Rapids
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
51.28%
Conference Finals
vs. Los Angeles Galaxy
Matchup
59.84%
Win Prob
59.21%
MLS Cup
vs. Chicago Fire
Matchup
28.00%
Win Prob
33.45%
Colorado Rapids 9.37% chance to win
Conference Semifinals
vs. Kansas City Wizards
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
48.72%
Conference Finals
vs. Los Angeles Galaxy
Matchup
60.11%
Win Prob
57.54%
MLS Cup
vs. DC United
Matchup
29.03%
Win Prob
60.18%
Los Angeles Galaxy 7.99% chance to win
Conference Semifinals
vs. San Jose Earthquakes
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
47.90%
Conference Finals
vs. Kansas City Wizards
Matchup
50.13%
Win Prob
40.79%
MLS Cup
vs. Chicago Fire
Matchup
33.42%
Win Prob
37.87%
DC United 7.41% chance to win
Conference Semifinals
vs. Chicago Fire
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
45.35%
Conference Finals
vs. New England Revolution
Matchup
52.18%
Win Prob
39.21%
MLS Cup
vs. Los Angeles Galaxy
Matchup
28.07%
Win Prob
61.54%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Pick a team from the dropdown — it filters every table on this tab. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2003-04-14 New England Revolution T 1-1 1508.84 1495.55 51.35% 22.17% 26.48% -0.29 1
2003-04-20 @ DC United T 0-0 1508.55 1489.23 28.70% 25.90% 45.40% +0.22 2
2003-04-27 @ Kansas City Wizards W 3-2 1508.77 1491.81 28.52% 25.67% 45.82% +2.24 5
2003-05-11 San Jose Earthquakes T 0-0 1511.01 1518.32 47.55% 24.65% 27.80% -0.26 6
2003-05-18 @ New England Revolution L 0-3 1510.75 1494.77 28.44% 25.57% 45.99% -4.73 6
2003-05-26 Colorado Rapids W 4-0 1506.02 1479.90 53.75% 20.48% 25.76% +5.32 9
2003-05-31 @ San Jose Earthquakes W 4-1 1511.34 1519.96 26.76% 22.76% 50.48% +6.12 12
2003-06-08 @ DC United L 0-2 1517.46 1485.75 29.76% 27.01% 43.23% -3.43 12
2003-06-14 @ MetroStars W 3-2 1514.03 1505.67 27.88% 24.76% 47.36% +2.28 15
2003-06-19 Dallas Burn W 4-1 1516.31 1489.12 53.96% 20.34% 25.71% +3.42 18
2003-06-22 @ Kansas City Wizards L 2-4 1519.73 1495.67 29.09% 26.35% 44.56% -2.59 18
2003-06-28 MetroStars W 2-1 1517.14 1505.06 51.12% 22.32% 26.55% +1.47 21
2003-07-06 @ San Jose Earthquakes T 0-0 1518.61 1515.97 27.48% 24.12% 48.40% +0.27 22
2003-07-13 DC United L 1-2 1518.88 1491.47 54.00% 20.31% 25.69% -2.60 22
2003-07-20 New England Revolution W 3-1 1516.28 1496.59 52.55% 21.34% 26.12% +2.49 25
2003-07-27 Kansas City Wizards W 2-0 1518.77 1504.21 51.58% 22.01% 26.41% +2.93 28
2003-08-09 MetroStars T 1-1 1521.70 1506.40 51.72% 21.91% 26.37% -0.30 29
2003-08-14 @ Columbus Crew T 2-2 1521.40 1496.24 29.18% 26.45% 44.37% +0.13 30
2003-08-17 DC United W 3-1 1521.53 1498.72 53.13% 20.92% 25.94% +2.46 33
2003-08-21 Los Angeles Galaxy W 1-0 1523.99 1514.27 50.68% 22.62% 26.70% +1.58 36
2003-08-24 @ MetroStars W 2-1 1525.57 1506.67 28.67% 25.86% 45.47% +2.35 39
2003-08-31 @ New England Revolution L 1-5 1527.92 1487.40 30.59% 27.67% 41.74% -5.59 39
2003-09-07 Columbus Crew T 1-1 1522.33 1498.44 53.33% 20.78% 25.88% -0.32 40
2003-09-14 @ Los Angeles Galaxy W 2-0 1522.01 1513.72 27.87% 24.75% 47.37% +4.81 43
2003-09-21 @ Dallas Burn L 0-2 1526.82 1458.25 33.80% 28.95% 37.25% -3.85 43
2003-10-02 @ Colorado Rapids T 1-1 1522.97 1494.14 29.50% 26.77% 43.73% +0.16 44
2003-10-05 Los Angeles Galaxy W 2-0 1523.13 1507.89 51.71% 21.92% 26.37% +2.92 47
2003-10-11 Columbus Crew W 2-0 1526.05 1496.70 54.36% 20.05% 25.59% +2.77 50
2003-10-19 Colorado Rapids W 4-3 1528.82 1491.38 55.89% 18.94% 25.17% +1.24 53
2003-10-26 @ Columbus Crew L 2-6 1530.06 1496.28 29.95% 27.18% 42.88% -4.64 53
2003-04-13 San Jose Earthquakes L 1-2 1491.61 1509.92 45.57% 25.80% 28.62% -2.35 0
2003-04-27 DC United T 1-1 1489.26 1489.02 48.93% 23.78% 27.29% -0.25 1
2003-05-04 @ MetroStars L 1-2 1489.01 1497.76 26.75% 22.74% 50.50% -1.50 1
2003-05-11 @ Columbus Crew L 0-2 1487.51 1505.90 26.19% 21.51% 52.30% -2.88 1
2003-05-17 MetroStars L 0-2 1484.63 1500.83 45.95% 25.59% 28.46% -4.73 1
2003-05-26 @ Chicago Fire L 0-4 1479.90 1506.02 25.76% 20.48% 53.75% -5.32 1
2003-06-01 Los Angeles Galaxy W 1-0 1474.58 1507.64 43.00% 27.12% 29.88% +1.83 4
2003-06-07 @ Los Angeles Galaxy L 0-2 1476.41 1505.81 25.59% 20.04% 54.37% -2.77 4
2003-06-12 DC United T 0-0 1473.64 1489.19 46.07% 25.52% 28.41% -0.23 5
2003-06-15 New England Revolution W 4-1 1473.41 1501.68 43.83% 26.72% 29.45% +4.16 8
2003-06-22 @ Dallas Burn L 1-3 1477.57 1485.70 26.79% 22.82% 50.39% -2.59 8
2003-06-26 Los Angeles Galaxy T 2-2 1474.98 1508.15 42.98% 27.13% 29.89% -0.11 9
2003-06-29 @ New England Revolution L 2-3 1474.87 1497.76 25.94% 20.91% 53.15% -1.35 9
2003-07-05 Kansas City Wizards W 3-2 1473.52 1498.60 44.38% 26.44% 29.18% +1.59 12
2003-07-10 @ Los Angeles Galaxy W 1-0 1475.11 1512.21 25.19% 18.99% 55.82% +2.81 15
2003-07-13 @ San Jose Earthquakes W 2-0 1477.92 1515.70 25.15% 18.90% 55.95% +5.31 18
2003-07-27 MetroStars W 1-0 1483.23 1508.18 44.40% 26.43% 29.16% +1.78 21
2003-08-10 Dallas Burn W 2-0 1485.01 1472.06 51.28% 22.21% 26.50% +2.95 24
2003-08-14 @ DC United L 0-1 1487.96 1497.14 26.73% 22.69% 50.58% -1.59 24
2003-08-17 Columbus Crew W 2-1 1486.37 1496.11 47.11% 24.91% 27.98% +1.60 27
2003-08-23 @ Kansas City Wizards T 2-2 1487.97 1497.43 26.71% 22.65% 50.63% +0.21 28
2003-08-31 @ San Jose Earthquakes W 2-1 1488.18 1527.10 25.09% 18.74% 56.17% +2.66 31
2003-09-07 Dallas Burn W 2-1 1490.84 1460.90 54.47% 19.97% 25.56% +1.38 34
2003-09-14 Kansas City Wizards W 1-0 1492.22 1493.18 48.71% 23.92% 27.37% +1.64 37
2003-09-19 @ New England Revolution T 0-0 1493.86 1494.15 27.29% 23.77% 48.94% +0.28 38
2003-10-02 Chicago Fire T 1-1 1494.14 1522.97 43.73% 26.77% 29.50% -0.16 39
2003-10-05 @ Kansas City Wizards L 2-4 1493.98 1488.55 27.67% 24.43% 47.89% -2.44 39
2003-10-11 San Jose Earthquakes T 0-0 1491.54 1526.97 42.60% 27.30% 30.10% -0.16 40
2003-10-19 @ Chicago Fire L 3-4 1491.38 1528.82 25.17% 18.94% 55.89% -1.24 40
2003-10-26 @ Dallas Burn L 3-4 1490.14 1453.08 30.25% 27.43% 42.32% -1.62 40
2003-04-05 Los Angeles Galaxy T 1-1 1503.68 1513.41 47.11% 24.91% 27.98% -0.22 1
2003-04-13 @ MetroStars W 1-0 1503.46 1497.85 27.69% 24.45% 47.86% +2.57 4
2003-04-19 @ New England Revolution W 2-1 1506.03 1495.84 28.01% 24.96% 47.03% +2.40 7
2003-04-26 MetroStars L 0-1 1508.43 1495.09 51.36% 22.16% 26.48% -2.68 7
2003-05-04 @ Kansas City Wizards T 2-2 1505.75 1489.57 28.46% 25.59% 45.95% +0.15 8
2003-05-11 Colorado Rapids W 2-0 1505.90 1487.51 52.30% 21.51% 26.19% +2.88 11
2003-05-18 @ San Jose Earthquakes L 3-4 1508.78 1518.58 26.69% 22.61% 50.70% -1.38 11
2003-05-25 New England Revolution L 2-3 1507.40 1499.51 50.34% 22.85% 26.81% -2.36 11
2003-06-01 MetroStars T 1-1 1505.04 1507.03 48.52% 24.04% 27.44% -0.25 12
2003-06-08 San Jose Earthquakes W 1-0 1504.79 1513.83 47.24% 24.84% 27.93% +1.69 15
2003-06-15 @ DC United L 0-3 1506.48 1489.42 28.53% 25.68% 45.80% -4.75 15
2003-06-22 @ San Jose Earthquakes L 1-2 1501.73 1514.72 26.50% 22.21% 51.29% -1.47 15
2003-06-29 DC United W 3-0 1500.26 1493.93 50.05% 23.04% 26.90% +4.38 18
2003-07-06 Dallas Burn T 0-0 1504.64 1479.93 53.49% 20.67% 25.84% -0.36 19
2003-07-20 Kansas City Wizards L 0-1 1504.28 1501.60 49.38% 23.49% 27.13% -2.62 19
2003-07-24 New England Revolution T 1-1 1501.66 1494.11 50.28% 22.89% 26.83% -0.27 20
2003-08-09 @ Los Angeles Galaxy L 1-3 1501.39 1509.40 26.80% 22.84% 50.37% -2.60 20
2003-08-10 @ Los Angeles Galaxy L 1-3 1498.79 1511.99 26.49% 22.18% 51.33% -2.55 20
2003-08-14 Chicago Fire T 2-2 1496.24 1521.40 44.37% 26.45% 29.18% -0.13 21
2003-08-17 @ Colorado Rapids L 1-2 1496.11 1486.37 27.98% 24.91% 47.11% -1.59 21
2003-08-24 @ Dallas Burn W 2-1 1494.52 1464.46 29.61% 26.88% 43.52% +2.29 24
2003-09-01 Kansas City Wizards W 1-0 1496.81 1497.22 48.81% 23.86% 27.33% +1.63 27
2003-09-07 @ Chicago Fire T 1-1 1498.44 1522.33 25.88% 20.78% 53.33% +0.32 28
2003-09-14 Dallas Burn W 3-2 1498.76 1459.52 56.23% 18.69% 25.08% +1.27 31
2003-09-21 @ MetroStars L 0-1 1500.03 1504.19 27.04% 23.31% 49.65% -1.61 31
2003-09-28 @ New England Revolution L 2-3 1498.42 1493.87 27.61% 24.33% 48.05% -1.49 31
2003-10-05 DC United T 1-1 1496.93 1501.33 48.08% 24.32% 27.60% -0.23 32
2003-10-11 @ Chicago Fire L 0-2 1496.70 1526.05 25.59% 20.05% 54.36% -2.78 32
2003-10-19 @ DC United W 3-2 1493.92 1499.93 26.92% 23.08% 49.99% +2.36 35
2003-10-26 Chicago Fire W 6-2 1496.28 1530.06 42.88% 27.18% 29.95% +4.64 38
2003-04-13 @ Kansas City Wizards L 2-3 1490.70 1490.03 27.35% 23.89% 48.76% -1.47 0
2003-04-20 Chicago Fire T 0-0 1489.23 1508.55 45.40% 25.90% 28.70% -0.21 1
2003-04-27 @ Colorado Rapids T 1-1 1489.02 1489.26 27.29% 23.78% 48.93% +0.25 2
2003-05-04 Dallas Burn T 0-0 1489.27 1495.73 47.71% 24.55% 27.74% -0.26 3
2003-05-11 @ MetroStars L 0-1 1489.01 1499.26 26.66% 22.55% 50.78% -1.58 3
2003-05-18 Kansas City Wizards T 1-1 1487.43 1493.48 47.78% 24.50% 27.72% -0.23 4
2003-06-01 @ Dallas Burn L 2-3 1487.20 1490.01 27.13% 23.47% 49.40% -1.45 4
2003-06-08 Chicago Fire W 2-0 1485.75 1517.46 43.23% 27.01% 29.76% +3.44 7
2003-06-12 @ Colorado Rapids T 0-0 1489.19 1473.64 28.41% 25.52% 46.07% +0.23 8
2003-06-15 Columbus Crew W 3-0 1489.42 1506.48 45.80% 25.68% 28.53% +4.75 11
2003-06-22 New England Revolution T 1-1 1494.17 1497.52 48.27% 24.20% 27.53% -0.24 12
2003-06-29 @ Columbus Crew L 0-3 1493.93 1500.26 26.90% 23.04% 50.05% -4.38 12
2003-07-03 @ Dallas Burn W 3-1 1489.55 1484.12 27.67% 24.43% 47.89% +4.20 15
2003-07-05 MetroStars L 2-3 1493.75 1503.46 47.12% 24.91% 27.98% -2.28 15
2003-07-13 @ Chicago Fire W 2-1 1491.47 1518.88 25.69% 20.31% 54.00% +2.60 18
2003-07-19 San Jose Earthquakes L 1-2 1494.07 1510.39 45.93% 25.60% 28.47% -2.36 18
2003-07-27 @ New England Revolution W 4-2 1491.71 1494.38 27.13% 23.49% 49.38% +3.82 21
2003-08-10 New England Revolution W 1-0 1495.53 1490.56 49.80% 23.21% 26.99% +1.61 24
2003-08-14 Colorado Rapids W 1-0 1497.14 1487.96 50.58% 22.69% 26.73% +1.58 27
2003-08-17 @ Chicago Fire L 1-3 1498.72 1521.53 25.94% 20.92% 53.13% -2.46 27
2003-08-25 @ San Jose Earthquakes L 0-1 1496.26 1525.63 25.59% 20.04% 54.37% -1.47 27
2003-09-07 Los Angeles Galaxy W 2-1 1494.79 1515.37 45.17% 26.02% 28.80% +1.66 30
2003-09-14 San Jose Earthquakes W 2-1 1496.45 1525.82 43.64% 26.82% 29.55% +1.70 33
2003-09-21 @ Los Angeles Galaxy L 0-1 1498.15 1508.90 26.63% 22.49% 50.87% -1.57 33
2003-09-26 @ MetroStars W 2-0 1496.58 1505.80 26.73% 22.68% 50.59% +5.00 36
2003-09-28 MetroStars T 1-1 1501.58 1500.79 49.03% 23.71% 27.26% -0.25 37
2003-10-05 @ Columbus Crew T 1-1 1501.33 1496.93 27.60% 24.32% 48.08% +0.24 38
2003-10-12 @ New England Revolution L 0-1 1501.57 1500.88 27.35% 23.89% 48.76% -1.64 38
2003-10-19 Columbus Crew L 2-3 1499.93 1493.92 49.99% 23.08% 26.92% -2.36 38
2003-10-26 Kansas City Wizards T 1-1 1497.57 1494.03 49.54% 23.38% 27.08% -0.26 39
2003-04-12 Los Angeles Galaxy T 1-1 1498.41 1513.63 46.12% 25.49% 28.38% -0.21 1
2003-04-27 New England Revolution L 1-2 1498.20 1493.44 49.76% 23.24% 27.00% -2.47 1
2003-05-04 @ DC United T 0-0 1495.73 1489.27 27.74% 24.55% 47.71% +0.25 2
2003-05-11 Kansas City Wizards L 1-3 1495.98 1489.42 50.10% 23.01% 26.89% -4.31 2
2003-05-18 Los Angeles Galaxy T 1-1 1491.67 1509.07 45.74% 25.71% 28.55% -0.20 3
2003-05-25 @ MetroStars L 1-2 1491.47 1505.56 26.44% 22.07% 51.50% -1.46 3
2003-06-01 DC United W 3-2 1490.01 1487.20 49.40% 23.47% 27.13% +1.45 6
2003-06-15 San Jose Earthquakes L 1-2 1491.46 1512.14 45.15% 26.03% 28.81% -2.34 6
2003-06-19 @ Chicago Fire L 1-4 1489.12 1516.31 25.71% 20.34% 53.96% -3.42 6
2003-06-22 Colorado Rapids W 3-1 1485.70 1477.57 50.39% 22.82% 26.79% +2.59 9
2003-06-29 @ Los Angeles Galaxy L 0-3 1488.29 1508.26 26.10% 21.30% 52.60% -4.17 9
2003-07-03 DC United L 1-3 1484.12 1489.55 47.89% 24.43% 27.67% -4.19 9
2003-07-06 @ Columbus Crew T 0-0 1479.93 1504.64 25.84% 20.67% 53.49% +0.36 10
2003-07-13 @ Kansas City Wizards L 1-5 1480.29 1497.01 26.28% 21.73% 51.99% -4.59 10
2003-07-16 @ New England Revolution W 2-1 1475.70 1499.17 25.91% 20.84% 53.26% +2.57 13
2003-07-20 MetroStars L 1-2 1478.27 1505.88 43.94% 26.67% 29.39% -2.30 13
2003-07-27 @ San Jose Earthquakes L 0-3 1475.97 1512.76 25.20% 19.03% 55.76% -3.91 13
2003-08-10 @ Colorado Rapids L 0-2 1472.06 1485.01 26.50% 22.21% 51.28% -2.94 13
2003-08-14 San Jose Earthquakes L 0-3 1469.12 1519.18 40.16% 28.25% 31.59% -6.31 13
2003-08-17 Kansas City Wizards W 3-2 1462.81 1499.08 42.45% 27.37% 30.18% +1.65 16
2003-08-24 Columbus Crew L 1-2 1464.46 1494.52 43.52% 26.88% 29.61% -2.29 16
2003-08-31 @ Los Angeles Galaxy L 1-2 1462.17 1514.10 24.44% 16.94% 58.62% -1.27 16
2003-09-07 @ Colorado Rapids L 1-2 1460.90 1490.84 25.56% 19.97% 54.47% -1.38 16
2003-09-14 @ Columbus Crew L 2-3 1459.52 1498.76 25.08% 18.69% 56.23% -1.27 16
2003-09-21 Chicago Fire W 2-0 1458.25 1526.82 37.25% 28.95% 33.80% +3.86 19
2003-09-28 @ San Jose Earthquakes L 2-5 1462.11 1529.68 23.67% 14.80% 61.53% -2.53 19
2003-10-05 New England Revolution L 1-4 1459.58 1495.35 42.54% 27.33% 30.13% -5.52 19
2003-10-12 @ MetroStars T 0-0 1454.06 1506.28 24.43% 16.90% 58.67% +0.44 20
2003-10-19 @ Kansas City Wizards L 0-1 1454.50 1492.61 25.14% 18.85% 56.01% -1.42 20
2003-10-26 Colorado Rapids W 4-3 1453.08 1490.14 42.32% 27.43% 30.25% +1.62 23
2003-04-13 DC United W 3-2 1490.03 1490.70 48.76% 23.89% 27.35% +1.47 3
2003-04-20 @ San Jose Earthquakes T 1-1 1491.50 1512.28 26.06% 21.19% 52.75% +0.31 4
2003-04-27 Chicago Fire L 2-3 1491.81 1508.77 45.82% 25.67% 28.52% -2.24 4
2003-05-04 Columbus Crew T 2-2 1489.57 1505.75 45.95% 25.59% 28.46% -0.15 5
2003-05-11 @ Dallas Burn W 3-1 1489.42 1495.98 26.89% 23.01% 50.10% +4.31 8
2003-05-15 New England Revolution T 1-1 1493.73 1494.53 48.74% 23.90% 27.36% -0.25 9
2003-05-18 @ DC United T 1-1 1493.48 1487.43 27.72% 24.50% 47.78% +0.23 10
2003-05-25 Los Angeles Galaxy W 2-1 1493.71 1509.26 46.07% 25.52% 28.41% +1.63 13
2003-06-01 @ New England Revolution T 2-2 1495.34 1501.88 26.89% 23.02% 50.09% +0.20 14
2003-06-08 MetroStars W 2-1 1495.54 1507.27 46.75% 25.13% 28.12% +1.61 17
2003-06-15 @ Los Angeles Galaxy L 1-2 1497.15 1508.58 26.59% 22.41% 51.00% -1.48 17
2003-06-22 Chicago Fire W 4-2 1495.67 1519.73 44.56% 26.35% 29.09% +2.59 20
2003-06-29 @ San Jose Earthquakes T 0-0 1498.26 1516.19 26.22% 21.57% 52.22% +0.34 21
2003-07-05 @ Colorado Rapids L 2-3 1498.60 1473.52 29.18% 26.44% 44.38% -1.59 21
2003-07-13 Dallas Burn W 5-1 1497.01 1480.29 51.99% 21.73% 26.28% +4.59 24
2003-07-20 @ Columbus Crew W 1-0 1501.60 1504.28 27.13% 23.49% 49.38% +2.61 27
2003-07-27 @ Chicago Fire L 0-2 1504.21 1518.77 26.41% 22.01% 51.58% -2.92 27
2003-08-09 San Jose Earthquakes L 0-1 1501.29 1516.67 46.10% 25.51% 28.40% -2.51 27
2003-08-13 @ MetroStars T 0-0 1498.78 1506.70 26.80% 22.85% 50.35% +0.30 28
2003-08-17 @ Dallas Burn L 2-3 1499.08 1462.81 30.18% 27.37% 42.45% -1.65 28
2003-08-23 Colorado Rapids T 2-2 1497.43 1487.97 50.63% 22.65% 26.71% -0.21 29
2003-09-01 @ Columbus Crew L 0-1 1497.22 1496.81 27.33% 23.86% 48.81% -1.64 29
2003-09-07 MetroStars L 1-2 1495.58 1504.32 47.29% 24.80% 27.91% -2.40 29
2003-09-14 @ Colorado Rapids L 0-1 1493.18 1492.22 27.37% 23.92% 48.71% -1.64 29
2003-09-21 San Jose Earthquakes L 1-4 1491.54 1524.11 43.08% 27.08% 29.83% -5.57 29
2003-09-28 @ Los Angeles Galaxy W 2-1 1485.97 1510.47 25.85% 20.70% 53.45% +2.58 32
2003-10-05 Colorado Rapids W 4-2 1488.55 1493.98 47.89% 24.43% 27.67% +2.44 35
2003-10-12 Los Angeles Galaxy W 2-1 1490.99 1504.97 46.35% 25.36% 28.29% +1.62 38
2003-10-19 Dallas Burn W 1-0 1492.61 1454.50 56.01% 18.85% 25.14% +1.42 41
2003-10-26 @ DC United T 1-1 1494.03 1497.57 27.08% 23.38% 49.54% +0.26 42
2003-04-05 @ Columbus Crew T 1-1 1513.41 1503.68 27.98% 24.91% 47.11% +0.22 1
2003-04-12 @ Dallas Burn T 1-1 1513.63 1498.41 28.38% 25.49% 46.12% +0.21 2
2003-04-20 @ MetroStars T 1-1 1513.84 1495.28 28.64% 25.83% 45.53% +0.19 3
2003-04-27 @ San Jose Earthquakes L 0-1 1514.03 1511.96 27.44% 24.05% 48.51% -1.65 3
2003-05-10 @ New England Revolution L 0-2 1512.38 1491.21 28.85% 26.08% 45.07% -3.31 3
2003-05-18 @ Dallas Burn T 1-1 1509.07 1491.67 28.55% 25.71% 45.74% +0.19 4
2003-05-25 @ Kansas City Wizards L 1-2 1509.26 1493.71 28.41% 25.52% 46.07% -1.62 4
2003-06-01 @ Colorado Rapids L 0-1 1507.64 1474.58 29.88% 27.12% 43.00% -1.83 4
2003-06-07 Colorado Rapids W 2-0 1505.81 1476.41 54.37% 20.04% 25.59% +2.77 7
2003-06-15 Kansas City Wizards W 2-1 1508.58 1497.15 51.00% 22.41% 26.59% +1.48 10
2003-06-19 San Jose Earthquakes T 1-1 1510.06 1514.48 48.08% 24.32% 27.60% -0.24 11
2003-06-21 @ MetroStars L 0-1 1509.82 1503.38 27.74% 24.55% 47.71% -1.67 11
2003-06-26 @ Colorado Rapids T 2-2 1508.15 1474.98 29.89% 27.13% 42.98% +0.11 12
2003-06-29 Dallas Burn W 3-0 1508.26 1488.29 52.60% 21.30% 26.10% +4.17 15
2003-07-05 New England Revolution T 2-2 1512.43 1499.10 51.35% 22.16% 26.48% -0.22 16
2003-07-10 Colorado Rapids L 0-1 1512.21 1475.11 55.82% 18.99% 25.19% -2.81 16
2003-08-09 Columbus Crew W 3-1 1509.40 1501.39 50.37% 22.84% 26.80% +2.59 19
2003-08-10 Columbus Crew W 3-1 1511.99 1498.79 51.33% 22.18% 26.49% +2.55 22
2003-08-17 MetroStars T 1-1 1514.54 1506.39 50.39% 22.82% 26.79% -0.27 23
2003-08-21 @ Chicago Fire L 0-1 1514.27 1523.99 26.70% 22.62% 50.68% -1.58 23
2003-08-23 New England Revolution W 2-1 1512.69 1488.81 53.33% 20.78% 25.88% +1.41 26
2003-08-31 Dallas Burn W 2-1 1514.10 1462.17 58.62% 16.94% 24.44% +1.27 29
2003-09-07 @ DC United L 1-2 1515.37 1494.79 28.80% 26.02% 45.17% -1.65 29
2003-09-14 Chicago Fire L 0-2 1513.72 1522.01 47.37% 24.75% 27.87% -4.82 29
2003-09-21 DC United W 1-0 1508.90 1498.15 50.87% 22.49% 26.63% +1.57 32
2003-09-28 Kansas City Wizards L 1-2 1510.47 1485.97 53.45% 20.70% 25.85% -2.58 32
2003-10-05 @ Chicago Fire L 0-2 1507.89 1523.13 26.37% 21.92% 51.71% -2.92 32
2003-10-12 @ Kansas City Wizards L 1-2 1504.97 1490.99 28.29% 25.36% 46.35% -1.62 32
2003-10-19 San Jose Earthquakes W 3-0 1503.35 1527.13 44.61% 26.32% 29.07% +4.86 35
2003-10-26 @ San Jose Earthquakes T 1-1 1508.21 1522.27 26.44% 22.07% 51.49% +0.29 36
2003-04-13 Columbus Crew L 0-1 1497.85 1503.46 47.86% 24.45% 27.69% -2.57 0
2003-04-20 Los Angeles Galaxy T 1-1 1495.28 1513.84 45.53% 25.83% 28.64% -0.19 1
2003-04-26 @ Columbus Crew W 1-0 1495.09 1508.43 26.48% 22.16% 51.36% +2.67 4
2003-05-04 Colorado Rapids W 2-1 1497.76 1489.01 50.50% 22.74% 26.75% +1.50 7
2003-05-11 DC United W 1-0 1499.26 1489.01 50.78% 22.55% 26.66% +1.57 10
2003-05-17 @ Colorado Rapids W 2-0 1500.83 1484.63 28.46% 25.59% 45.95% +4.73 13
2003-05-25 Dallas Burn W 2-1 1505.56 1491.47 51.50% 22.07% 26.44% +1.47 16
2003-06-01 @ Columbus Crew T 1-1 1507.03 1505.04 27.44% 24.04% 48.52% +0.24 17
2003-06-08 @ Kansas City Wizards L 1-2 1507.27 1495.54 28.12% 25.13% 46.75% -1.60 17
2003-06-14 Chicago Fire L 2-3 1505.67 1514.03 47.36% 24.76% 27.88% -2.29 17
2003-06-21 Los Angeles Galaxy W 1-0 1503.38 1509.82 47.71% 24.55% 27.74% +1.68 20
2003-06-28 @ Chicago Fire L 1-2 1505.06 1517.14 26.55% 22.32% 51.12% -1.48 20
2003-07-03 San Jose Earthquakes T 4-4 1503.58 1515.85 46.65% 25.18% 28.16% -0.12 21
2003-07-05 @ DC United W 3-2 1503.46 1493.75 27.98% 24.91% 47.12% +2.28 24
2003-07-12 @ New England Revolution T 3-3 1505.74 1499.32 27.74% 24.55% 47.71% +0.14 25
2003-07-20 @ Dallas Burn W 2-1 1505.88 1478.27 29.39% 26.67% 43.94% +2.30 28
2003-07-27 @ Colorado Rapids L 0-1 1508.18 1483.23 29.16% 26.43% 44.40% -1.78 28
2003-08-09 @ Chicago Fire T 1-1 1506.40 1521.70 26.37% 21.91% 51.72% +0.30 29
2003-08-13 Kansas City Wizards T 0-0 1506.70 1498.78 50.35% 22.85% 26.80% -0.31 30
2003-08-17 @ Los Angeles Galaxy T 1-1 1506.39 1514.54 26.79% 22.82% 50.39% +0.28 31
2003-08-24 Chicago Fire L 1-2 1506.67 1525.57 45.47% 25.86% 28.67% -2.35 31
2003-09-07 @ Kansas City Wizards W 2-1 1504.32 1495.58 27.91% 24.80% 47.29% +2.40 34
2003-09-14 New England Revolution L 1-2 1506.72 1491.61 51.69% 21.94% 26.38% -2.53 34
2003-09-21 Columbus Crew W 1-0 1504.19 1500.03 49.65% 23.31% 27.04% +1.61 37
2003-09-26 DC United L 0-2 1505.80 1496.58 50.59% 22.68% 26.73% -5.01 37
2003-09-28 @ DC United T 1-1 1500.79 1501.58 27.26% 23.71% 49.03% +0.25 38
2003-10-05 @ San Jose Earthquakes W 2-0 1501.04 1532.21 25.49% 19.80% 54.71% +5.24 41
2003-10-12 Dallas Burn T 0-0 1506.28 1454.06 58.67% 16.90% 24.43% -0.44 42
2003-10-19 New England Revolution L 1-2 1505.84 1502.52 49.50% 23.41% 27.09% -2.48 42
2003-10-25 @ New England Revolution L 2-5 1503.36 1504.99 27.20% 23.61% 49.18% -3.25 42
2003-04-14 @ Chicago Fire T 1-1 1495.55 1508.84 26.48% 22.17% 51.35% +0.29 1
2003-04-19 Columbus Crew L 1-2 1495.84 1506.03 47.03% 24.96% 28.01% -2.40 1
2003-04-27 @ Dallas Burn W 2-1 1493.44 1498.20 27.00% 23.24% 49.76% +2.48 4
2003-05-03 San Jose Earthquakes L 0-2 1495.92 1513.61 45.69% 25.74% 28.57% -4.71 4
2003-05-10 Los Angeles Galaxy W 2-0 1491.21 1512.38 45.07% 26.08% 28.85% +3.32 7
2003-05-15 @ Kansas City Wizards T 1-1 1494.53 1493.73 27.36% 23.90% 48.74% +0.24 8
2003-05-18 Chicago Fire W 3-0 1494.77 1510.75 45.99% 25.57% 28.44% +4.74 11
2003-05-25 @ Columbus Crew W 3-2 1499.51 1507.40 26.81% 22.85% 50.34% +2.37 14
2003-06-01 Kansas City Wizards T 2-2 1501.88 1495.34 50.09% 23.02% 26.89% -0.20 15
2003-06-15 @ Colorado Rapids L 1-4 1501.68 1473.41 29.45% 26.72% 43.83% -4.16 15
2003-06-22 @ DC United T 1-1 1497.52 1494.17 27.53% 24.20% 48.27% +0.24 16
2003-06-29 Colorado Rapids W 3-2 1497.76 1474.87 53.15% 20.91% 25.94% +1.34 19
2003-07-05 @ Los Angeles Galaxy T 2-2 1499.10 1512.43 26.48% 22.16% 51.35% +0.22 20
2003-07-12 MetroStars T 3-3 1499.32 1505.74 47.71% 24.55% 27.74% -0.15 21
2003-07-16 Dallas Burn L 1-2 1499.17 1475.70 53.26% 20.84% 25.91% -2.58 21
2003-07-20 @ Chicago Fire L 1-3 1496.59 1516.28 26.12% 21.34% 52.55% -2.48 21
2003-07-24 @ Columbus Crew T 1-1 1494.11 1501.66 26.83% 22.89% 50.28% +0.27 22
2003-07-27 DC United L 2-4 1494.38 1491.71 49.38% 23.49% 27.13% -3.82 22
2003-08-10 @ DC United L 0-1 1490.56 1495.53 26.99% 23.21% 49.80% -1.61 22
2003-08-16 San Jose Earthquakes T 1-1 1488.95 1525.49 42.41% 27.39% 30.20% -0.14 23
2003-08-23 @ Los Angeles Galaxy L 1-2 1488.81 1512.69 25.88% 20.78% 53.33% -1.41 23
2003-08-31 Chicago Fire W 5-1 1487.40 1527.92 41.74% 27.67% 30.59% +5.59 26
2003-09-07 @ San Jose Earthquakes L 1-2 1492.99 1524.44 25.48% 19.76% 54.76% -1.38 26
2003-09-14 @ MetroStars W 2-1 1491.61 1506.72 26.38% 21.94% 51.69% +2.54 29
2003-09-19 Colorado Rapids T 0-0 1494.15 1493.86 48.94% 23.77% 27.29% -0.28 30
2003-09-28 Columbus Crew W 3-2 1493.87 1498.42 48.05% 24.33% 27.61% +1.48 33
2003-10-05 @ Dallas Burn W 4-1 1495.35 1459.58 30.13% 27.33% 42.54% +5.53 36
2003-10-12 DC United W 1-0 1500.88 1501.57 48.76% 23.89% 27.35% +1.64 39
2003-10-19 @ MetroStars W 2-1 1502.52 1505.84 27.09% 23.41% 49.50% +2.47 42
2003-10-25 MetroStars W 5-2 1504.99 1503.36 49.18% 23.61% 27.20% +3.25 45
2003-04-13 @ Colorado Rapids W 2-1 1509.92 1491.61 28.62% 25.80% 45.57% +2.36 3
2003-04-20 Kansas City Wizards T 1-1 1512.28 1491.50 52.75% 21.19% 26.06% -0.32 4
2003-04-27 Los Angeles Galaxy W 1-0 1511.96 1514.03 48.51% 24.05% 27.44% +1.65 7
2003-05-03 @ New England Revolution W 2-0 1513.61 1495.92 28.57% 25.74% 45.69% +4.71 10
2003-05-11 @ Chicago Fire T 0-0 1518.32 1511.01 27.80% 24.65% 47.55% +0.26 11
2003-05-18 Columbus Crew W 4-3 1518.58 1508.78 50.70% 22.61% 26.69% +1.38 14
2003-05-31 Chicago Fire L 1-4 1519.96 1511.34 50.48% 22.76% 26.76% -6.13 14
2003-06-08 @ Columbus Crew L 0-1 1513.83 1504.79 27.93% 24.84% 47.24% -1.69 14
2003-06-15 @ Dallas Burn W 2-1 1512.14 1491.46 28.81% 26.03% 45.15% +2.34 17
2003-06-19 @ Los Angeles Galaxy T 1-1 1514.48 1510.06 27.60% 24.32% 48.08% +0.24 18
2003-06-22 Columbus Crew W 2-1 1514.72 1501.73 51.29% 22.21% 26.50% +1.47 21
2003-06-29 Kansas City Wizards T 0-0 1516.19 1498.26 52.22% 21.57% 26.22% -0.34 22
2003-07-03 @ MetroStars T 4-4 1515.85 1503.58 28.16% 25.18% 46.65% +0.12 23
2003-07-06 Chicago Fire T 0-0 1515.97 1518.61 48.40% 24.12% 27.48% -0.27 24
2003-07-13 Colorado Rapids L 0-2 1515.70 1477.92 55.95% 18.90% 25.15% -5.31 24
2003-07-19 @ DC United W 2-1 1510.39 1494.07 28.47% 25.60% 45.93% +2.37 27
2003-07-27 Dallas Burn W 3-0 1512.76 1475.97 55.76% 19.03% 25.20% +3.91 30
2003-08-09 @ Kansas City Wizards W 1-0 1516.67 1501.29 28.40% 25.51% 46.10% +2.51 33
2003-08-14 @ Dallas Burn W 3-0 1519.18 1469.12 31.59% 28.25% 40.16% +6.31 36
2003-08-16 @ New England Revolution T 1-1 1525.49 1488.95 30.20% 27.39% 42.41% +0.14 37
2003-08-25 DC United W 1-0 1525.63 1496.26 54.37% 20.04% 25.59% +1.47 40
2003-08-31 Colorado Rapids L 1-2 1527.10 1488.18 56.17% 18.74% 25.09% -2.66 40
2003-09-07 New England Revolution W 2-1 1524.44 1492.99 54.76% 19.76% 25.48% +1.38 43
2003-09-14 @ DC United L 1-2 1525.82 1496.45 29.55% 26.82% 43.64% -1.71 43
2003-09-21 @ Kansas City Wizards W 4-1 1524.11 1491.54 29.83% 27.08% 43.08% +5.57 46
2003-09-28 Dallas Burn W 5-2 1529.68 1462.11 61.53% 14.80% 23.67% +2.53 49
2003-10-05 MetroStars L 0-2 1532.21 1501.04 54.71% 19.80% 25.49% -5.24 49
2003-10-11 @ Colorado Rapids T 0-0 1526.97 1491.54 30.10% 27.30% 42.60% +0.16 50
2003-10-19 @ Los Angeles Galaxy L 0-3 1527.13 1503.35 29.07% 26.32% 44.61% -4.86 50
2003-10-26 Los Angeles Galaxy T 1-1 1522.27 1508.21 51.49% 22.07% 26.44% -0.29 51

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from each team's perspective, controlled by the team filter above. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2003-11-02 @ DC United W 2-0 1525.42 1497.31 42.49% 0.00% 57.51% +4.60 1-0
2003-11-09 DC United W 2-0 1530.02 1492.72 66.36% 0.00% 33.64% +2.69 2-0
2003-11-15 New England Revolution W 1-0 1532.71 1512.75 64.09% 0.00% 35.91% +1.52 3-0
2003-11-23 San Jose Earthquakes L 2-4 1534.23 1523.27 62.89% 0.00% 37.11% -3.89 3-1
2003-11-05 Kansas City Wizards T 1-1 1488.52 1494.29 60.62% 0.00% 39.38% -0.23 0-0
2003-11-09 @ Kansas City Wizards L 0-2 1488.29 1494.52 37.74% 0.00% 62.26% -3.02 0-1
2003-11-02 Chicago Fire L 0-2 1497.31 1525.42 57.51% 0.00% 42.49% -4.59 0-1
2003-11-09 @ Chicago Fire L 0-2 1492.72 1530.02 33.64% 0.00% 66.36% -2.69 0-2
2003-11-05 @ Colorado Rapids T 1-1 1494.29 1488.52 39.38% 0.00% 60.62% +0.23 0-0
2003-11-09 Colorado Rapids W 2-0 1494.52 1488.29 62.26% 0.00% 37.74% +3.02 1-0
2003-11-16 @ San Jose Earthquakes L 2-3 1497.54 1521.93 35.32% 0.00% 64.68% -1.34 1-1
2003-11-02 San Jose Earthquakes W 2-0 1508.50 1521.98 59.56% 0.00% 40.44% +3.23 1-0
2003-11-10 @ San Jose Earthquakes L 2-5 1511.73 1518.74 37.64% 0.00% 62.36% -3.19 1-1
2003-11-01 New England Revolution L 0-2 1500.11 1508.24 60.29% 0.00% 39.71% -4.82 0-1
2003-11-09 @ New England Revolution T 1-1 1495.29 1513.06 36.20% 0.00% 63.80% +0.31 0-1
2003-11-01 @ MetroStars W 2-0 1508.24 1500.11 39.71% 0.00% 60.29% +4.82 1-0
2003-11-09 MetroStars T 1-1 1513.06 1495.29 63.80% 0.00% 36.20% -0.31 1-0
2003-11-15 @ Chicago Fire L 0-1 1512.75 1532.71 35.91% 0.00% 64.09% -1.52 1-1
2003-11-02 @ Los Angeles Galaxy L 0-2 1521.98 1508.50 40.44% 0.00% 59.56% -3.24 0-1
2003-11-10 Los Angeles Galaxy W 5-2 1518.74 1511.73 62.36% 0.00% 37.64% +3.19 1-1
2003-11-16 Kansas City Wizards W 3-2 1521.93 1497.54 64.68% 0.00% 35.32% +1.34 2-1
2003-11-23 @ Chicago Fire W 4-2 1523.27 1534.23 37.11% 0.00% 62.89% +3.90 3-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2003-08-31 25.09% Colorado Rapids 1488.18 2 @ San Jose Earthquakes 1527.10 1
2 2003-07-13 25.15% Colorado Rapids 1477.92 2 @ San Jose Earthquakes 1515.70 0
3 2003-07-10 25.19% Colorado Rapids 1475.11 1 @ Los Angeles Galaxy 1512.21 0
4 2003-10-05 25.49% MetroStars 1501.04 2 @ San Jose Earthquakes 1532.21 0
5 2003-07-13 25.69% DC United 1491.47 2 @ Chicago Fire 1518.88 1
6 2003-09-28 25.85% Kansas City Wizards 1485.97 2 @ Los Angeles Galaxy 1510.47 1
7 2003-07-16 25.91% Dallas Burn 1475.70 2 @ New England Revolution 1499.17 1
8 2003-09-14 26.38% New England Revolution 1491.61 2 @ MetroStars 1506.72 1
9 2003-04-26 26.48% MetroStars 1495.09 1 @ Columbus Crew 1508.43 0
10 2003-09-26 26.73% DC United 1496.58 2 @ MetroStars 1505.80 0
11 2003-05-31 26.76% Chicago Fire 1511.34 4 @ San Jose Earthquakes 1519.96 1
12 2003-05-25 26.81% New England Revolution 1499.51 3 @ Columbus Crew 1507.40 2
13 2003-05-11 26.89% Kansas City Wizards 1489.42 3 @ Dallas Burn 1495.98 1
14 2003-10-19 26.92% Columbus Crew 1493.92 3 @ DC United 1499.93 2
15 2003-04-27 27.00% New England Revolution 1493.44 2 @ Dallas Burn 1498.20 1
16 2003-10-19 27.09% New England Revolution 1502.52 2 @ MetroStars 1505.84 1
17 2003-07-20 27.13% Kansas City Wizards 1501.60 1 @ Columbus Crew 1504.28 0
18 2003-07-27 27.13% DC United 1491.71 4 @ New England Revolution 1494.38 2
19 2003-07-03 27.67% DC United 1489.55 3 @ Dallas Burn 1484.12 1
20 2003-04-13 27.69% Columbus Crew 1503.46 1 @ MetroStars 1497.85 0
21 2003-09-14 27.87% Chicago Fire 1522.01 2 @ Los Angeles Galaxy 1513.72 0
22 2003-06-14 27.88% Chicago Fire 1514.03 3 @ MetroStars 1505.67 2
23 2003-09-07 27.91% MetroStars 1504.32 2 @ Kansas City Wizards 1495.58 1
24 2003-07-05 27.98% MetroStars 1503.46 3 @ DC United 1493.75 2
25 2003-04-19 28.01% Columbus Crew 1506.03 2 @ New England Revolution 1495.84 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2003-08-14 6.31 San Jose Earthquakes 3 1519.18 31.59% @ Dallas Burn 0 1469.12 40.16% 28.25%
2 2003-05-31 6.13 Chicago Fire 4 1511.34 26.76% @ San Jose Earthquakes 1 1519.96 50.48% 22.76%
3 2003-08-31 5.59 @ New England Revolution 5 1487.40 41.74% Chicago Fire 1 1527.92 30.59% 27.67%
4 2003-09-21 5.57 San Jose Earthquakes 4 1524.11 29.83% @ Kansas City Wizards 1 1491.54 43.08% 27.08%
5 2003-10-05 5.53 New England Revolution 4 1495.35 30.13% @ Dallas Burn 1 1459.58 42.54% 27.33%
6 2003-05-26 5.32 @ Chicago Fire 4 1506.02 53.75% Colorado Rapids 0 1479.90 25.76% 20.48%
7 2003-07-13 5.31 Colorado Rapids 2 1477.92 25.15% @ San Jose Earthquakes 0 1515.70 55.95% 18.90%
8 2003-10-05 5.24 MetroStars 2 1501.04 25.49% @ San Jose Earthquakes 0 1532.21 54.71% 19.80%
9 2003-09-26 5.01 DC United 2 1496.58 26.73% @ MetroStars 0 1505.80 50.59% 22.68%
10 2003-10-19 4.86 @ Los Angeles Galaxy 3 1503.35 44.61% San Jose Earthquakes 0 1527.13 29.07% 26.32%
11 2003-09-14 4.82 Chicago Fire 2 1522.01 27.87% @ Los Angeles Galaxy 0 1513.72 47.37% 24.75%
12 2003-11-01 * 4.82 New England Revolution 2 1508.24 39.71% @ MetroStars 0 1500.11 60.29% 0.00%
13 2003-06-15 4.75 @ DC United 3 1489.42 45.80% Columbus Crew 0 1506.48 28.53% 25.68%
14 2003-05-18 4.74 @ New England Revolution 3 1494.77 45.99% Chicago Fire 0 1510.75 28.44% 25.57%
15 2003-05-17 4.73 MetroStars 2 1500.83 28.46% @ Colorado Rapids 0 1484.63 45.95% 25.59%
16 2003-05-03 4.71 San Jose Earthquakes 2 1513.61 28.57% @ New England Revolution 0 1495.92 45.69% 25.74%
17 2003-10-26 4.64 @ Columbus Crew 6 1496.28 42.88% Chicago Fire 2 1530.06 29.95% 27.18%
18 2003-11-02 * 4.60 Chicago Fire 2 1525.42 42.49% @ DC United 0 1497.31 57.51% 0.00%
19 2003-07-13 4.59 @ Kansas City Wizards 5 1497.01 51.99% Dallas Burn 1 1480.29 26.28% 21.73%
20 2003-06-29 4.38 @ Columbus Crew 3 1500.26 50.05% DC United 0 1493.93 26.90% 23.04%
21 2003-05-11 4.31 Kansas City Wizards 3 1489.42 26.89% @ Dallas Burn 1 1495.98 50.10% 23.01%
22 2003-07-03 4.20 DC United 3 1489.55 27.67% @ Dallas Burn 1 1484.12 47.89% 24.43%
23 2003-06-29 4.17 @ Los Angeles Galaxy 3 1508.26 52.60% Dallas Burn 0 1488.29 26.10% 21.30%
24 2003-06-15 4.16 @ Colorado Rapids 4 1473.41 43.83% New England Revolution 1 1501.68 29.45% 26.72%
25 2003-07-27 3.91 @ San Jose Earthquakes 3 1512.76 55.76% Dallas Burn 0 1475.97 25.20% 19.03%