2003 MLS Season
150 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations
Champion
San Jose Earthquakes
2nd Title
Last Title: 2001
Runner-Up
Chicago Fire
3rd Appearance
Last Appearance: 2000
Biggest Overachiever
Chicago Fire
9.31 points above expected
53 points · 43.69 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Dallas Burn
15.65 points below expected
23 points · 38.65 expected points
Final Standings
Regular-season records by division. The vsSim column shows actual points minus the simulation's mean points — positive means the team overachieved, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | W | L | T | Pts | Pt% | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago Fire Conference | 15 | 7 | 8 | 53 | .589 | 53 | 43 | +10 | 43.69 | +9.31 |
| 2 | New England Revolution Playoffs | 12 | 9 | 9 | 45 | .500 | 55 | 47 | +8 | 40.94 | +4.06 |
| 3 | MetroStars Playoffs | 11 | 10 | 9 | 42 | .467 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 41.71 | +0.29 |
| 4 | DC United Playoffs | 10 | 11 | 9 | 39 | .433 | 38 | 36 | +2 | 40.68 | -1.68 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 12 | 8 | 38 | .422 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 41.45 | -3.45 |
| # | Team | W | L | T | Pts | Pt% | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Jose Earthquakes Conference | 14 | 7 | 9 | 51 | .567 | 45 | 35 | +10 | 44.04 | +6.96 |
| 2 | Kansas City Wizards Playoffs | 11 | 10 | 9 | 42 | .467 | 48 | 44 | +4 | 40.85 | +1.15 |
| 3 | Colorado Rapids Playoffs | 11 | 12 | 7 | 40 | .444 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 39.66 | +0.34 |
| 4 | Los Angeles Galaxy Playoffs | 9 | 12 | 9 | 36 | .400 | 36 | 35 | +1 | 43.02 | -7.02 |
| 5 | Dallas Burn | 6 | 19 | 5 | 23 | .256 | 35 | 64 | -29 | 38.65 | -15.65 |
Playoff Bracket
The path each team took through the postseason — reconstructed from actual playoff games, not the simulation.
Eastern Conference
Conference Semifinals
Conference Final
Western Conference
Conference Semifinals
Conference Final
MLS Cup
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort; use the dropdown to filter by Conference or Division. Luck is the team's actual outcome minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Conference | Division | Elo | Points | Avg. Pts. | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire | Eastern | 1525 | 53 | 43.69 | +9.31 | 91.58% | 20 | 32 | 39 | 44 | 48 | 55 | 69 | |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Western | 1522 | 51 | 44.04 | +6.96 | 85.10% | 19 | 32 | 39 | 44 | 49 | 56 | 70 | |
| New England Revolution | Eastern | 1508 | 45 | 40.94 | +4.06 | 74.48% | 17 | 29 | 36 | 41 | 46 | 53 | 71 | |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Western | 1508 | 36 | 43.02 | -7.02 | 18.40% | 19 | 31 | 38 | 43 | 48 | 55 | 69 | |
| Columbus Crew | Eastern | 1501 | 38 | 41.45 | -3.45 | 33.81% | 15 | 30 | 37 | 41 | 46 | 53 | 67 | |
| MetroStars | Eastern | 1500 | 42 | 41.71 | +0.29 | 54.58% | 17 | 30 | 37 | 42 | 47 | 53 | 68 | |
| DC United | Eastern | 1497 | 39 | 40.68 | -1.68 | 43.80% | 18 | 29 | 36 | 41 | 45 | 52 | 68 | |
| Kansas City Wizards | Western | 1494 | 42 | 40.85 | +1.15 | 59.87% | 14 | 29 | 36 | 41 | 46 | 53 | 70 | |
| Colorado Rapids | Western | 1489 | 40 | 39.66 | +0.34 | 55.66% | 16 | 28 | 35 | 40 | 44 | 51 | 66 | |
| Dallas Burn | Western | 1455 | 23 | 38.65 | -15.65 | 1.16% | 11 | 27 | 34 | 38 | 43 | 50 | 66 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's points earned in that matchup (row vs column) and below it the expected points the model predicted based on each individual game's win, OT/SO, and loss probabilities. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin. The first matrix for each division covers within-division games; the second (when shown) covers games against teams outside that division — aggregated by division when there are many opponents, broken out team-by-team when there are few.
Within Eastern
| Team | Fire | Crew | United | MetroStars | Revolution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire | — |
5
(5.9 exp.)
|
4
(5.9 exp.)
|
10
(5.7 exp.)
|
4
(5.9 exp.)
|
| Columbus Crew |
5
(5.1 exp.)
|
— |
7
(5.6 exp.)
|
4
(5.6 exp.)
|
4
(5.6 exp.)
|
| DC United |
7
(5.1 exp.)
|
4
(5.5 exp.)
|
— |
4
(5.4 exp.)
|
7
(5.5 exp.)
|
| MetroStars |
1
(5.3 exp.)
|
7
(5.5 exp.)
|
7
(5.6 exp.)
|
— |
1
(5.6 exp.)
|
| New England Revolution |
7
(5.2 exp.)
|
7
(5.4 exp.)
|
4
(5.5 exp.)
|
10
(5.4 exp.)
|
— |
Eastern vs. Outside Teams
| Team | Rapids | Burn | Wizards | Galaxy | Earthquakes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire |
7
(4.8 exp.)
|
3
(3.1 exp.)
|
6
(4.0 exp.)
|
9
(4.6 exp.)
|
5
(3.8 exp.)
|
| Columbus Crew |
3
(2.9 exp.)
|
7
(4.8 exp.)
|
4
(4.5 exp.)
|
1
(3.7 exp.)
|
3
(3.7 exp.)
|
| DC United |
5
(3.9 exp.)
|
4
(3.8 exp.)
|
2
(4.5 exp.)
|
3
(2.6 exp.)
|
3
(4.2 exp.)
|
| MetroStars |
6
(4.0 exp.)
|
7
(4.8 exp.)
|
4
(3.9 exp.)
|
5
(4.3 exp.)
|
4
(2.6 exp.)
|
| New England Revolution |
4
(4.7 exp.)
|
6
(4.0 exp.)
|
2
(2.8 exp.)
|
4
(3.6 exp.)
|
1
(4.1 exp.)
|
Within Western
| Team | Rapids | Burn | Wizards | Galaxy | Earthquakes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids | — |
6
(5.8 exp.)
|
7
(5.4 exp.)
|
7
(5.0 exp.)
|
7
(5.1 exp.)
|
| Dallas Burn |
6
(5.3 exp.)
|
— |
3
(5.2 exp.)
|
2
(5.2 exp.)
|
0
(4.9 exp.)
|
| Kansas City Wizards |
4
(5.6 exp.)
|
9
(5.9 exp.)
|
— |
9
(5.3 exp.)
|
2
(5.2 exp.)
|
| Los Angeles Galaxy |
4
(6.0 exp.)
|
8
(5.9 exp.)
|
3
(5.8 exp.)
|
— |
5
(5.4 exp.)
|
| San Jose Earthquakes |
4
(6.0 exp.)
|
12
(6.2 exp.)
|
8
(5.8 exp.)
|
5
(5.7 exp.)
|
— |
Western vs. Outside Teams
| Team | Fire | Crew | United | MetroStars | Revolution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids |
1
(3.5 exp.)
|
3
(2.7 exp.)
|
2
(4.4 exp.)
|
3
(4.3 exp.)
|
4
(3.6 exp.)
|
| Dallas Burn |
3
(2.4 exp.)
|
1
(3.5 exp.)
|
4
(4.5 exp.)
|
1
(3.5 exp.)
|
3
(4.3 exp.)
|
| Kansas City Wizards |
3
(4.2 exp.)
|
4
(3.7 exp.)
|
5
(3.8 exp.)
|
4
(4.4 exp.)
|
2
(2.7 exp.)
|
| Los Angeles Galaxy |
0
(3.7 exp.)
|
7
(4.6 exp.)
|
3
(2.9 exp.)
|
2
(3.9 exp.)
|
4
(4.7 exp.)
|
| San Jose Earthquakes |
2
(4.5 exp.)
|
6
(4.6 exp.)
|
6
(4.1 exp.)
|
1
(2.9 exp.)
|
7
(4.1 exp.)
|
Scoring Distribution
Histograms of goals scored and allowed, a home-vs-away score scatter (marker size grows with how often that exact score happened), and summary stats — all driven by the team filter below. Default view is league-wide.
Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | — |
| Mean allowed | — |
| StdDev scored | — |
| StdDev allowed | — |
| Correlation (home vs away score) | — |
| Sample size (games) | — |
Points vs. Goal Differential
How goals translated into points. Teams above the cluster overperformed their goals differential (often called Pythagorean luck), while teams below underperformed. Hover for exact values.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
The teams furthest from where the simulation said they'd land — a fast read of the Luck column on top of the main season summary above.
Top Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago Fire | 53 | 43.69 | +9.31 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 51 | 44.04 | +6.96 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 45 | 40.94 | +4.06 |
| 4 | Kansas City Wizards | 42 | 40.85 | +1.15 |
| 5 | Colorado Rapids | 40 | 39.66 | +0.34 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dallas Burn | 23 | 38.65 | -15.65 |
| 2 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 36 | 43.02 | -7.02 |
| 3 | Columbus Crew | 38 | 41.45 | -3.45 |
| 4 | DC United | 39 | 40.68 | -1.68 |
| 5 | MetroStars | 42 | 41.71 | +0.29 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/T/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or T consecutively; Winless counts L or T consecutively.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colorado Rapids | 5 | Jul 5 – Aug 10 | 1 in 156 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 5 | Sep 28 – Oct 25 | 1 in 106 |
| 3 | MetroStars | 5 | Apr 26 – May 25 | 1 in 100 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 4 | Jul 19 – Aug 14 | 1 in 70 |
| 5 | Kansas City Wizards | 4 | Sep 28 – Oct 19 | 1 in 31 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kansas City Wizards | 4 | Sep 1 – Sep 21 | 1 in 51 |
| 2 | Dallas Burn | 4 | Jul 20 – Aug 14 | 1 in 38 |
| 3 | Colorado Rapids | 4 | May 4 – May 26 | 1 in 25 |
| 4 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 3 | Sep 28 – Oct 12 | 1 in 16 |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes | 2 | May 31 – Jun 8 | 1 in 8 |
Longest Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colorado Rapids | 7 | Aug 17 – Oct 2 | 1 in 33 |
| 2 | Kansas City Wizards | 7 | May 4 – Jun 8 | 1 in 29 |
| 3 | MetroStars | 7 | Apr 20 – Jun 1 | 1 in 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 7 | Sep 14 – Oct 25 | 1 in 26 |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes | 6 | Apr 13 – May 18 | 1 in 16 |
Longest Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New England Revolution | 9 | Jul 5 – Aug 23 | 1 in 65 |
| 2 | Kansas City Wizards | 9 | Jul 27 – Sep 21 | 1 in 63 |
| 3 | Columbus Crew | 7 | Jul 6 – Aug 17 | 1 in 40 |
| 4 | Dallas Burn | 6 | Apr 12 – May 25 | 1 in 26 |
| 5 | DC United | 7 | Apr 13 – Jun 1 | 1 in 24 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we add up those probabilities over home games and compare to actual home wins — and do the same on the road. The bar height is (home wins above expected) minus (road wins above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real Coors-style edge. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Finish Position Heatmaps
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between divisions, leagues, and the overall MLS view. Rows are sorted by the simulation's average finish (best at top).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire | 28.30% | 22.75% | 19.34% | 16.51% | 13.10% |
| MetroStars | 19.76% | 19.99% | 20.00% | 20.29% | 19.96% |
| Columbus Crew | 19.19% | 19.64% | 19.98% | 20.60% | 20.59% |
| New England Revolution | 16.36% | 19.58% | 20.44% | 20.80% | 22.82% |
| DC United | 16.39% | 18.04% | 20.24% | 21.80% | 23.53% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose Earthquakes | 31.53% | 24.43% | 18.96% | 14.56% | 10.52% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 26.87% | 23.07% | 19.86% | 16.80% | 13.40% |
| Kansas City Wizards | 17.29% | 20.31% | 20.62% | 21.14% | 20.64% |
| Colorado Rapids | 13.46% | 16.98% | 21.25% | 23.47% | 24.84% |
| Dallas Burn | 10.85% | 15.21% | 19.31% | 24.03% | 30.60% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose Earthquakes | 16.90% | 13.53% | 12.61% | 11.04% | 10.07% | 9.26% | 7.59% | 7.48% | 6.45% | 5.07% |
| Chicago Fire | 15.86% | 12.72% | 12.44% | 11.29% | 9.94% | 9.05% | 8.55% | 7.61% | 6.84% | 5.70% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 13.45% | 12.81% | 11.33% | 10.60% | 10.34% | 9.72% | 8.69% | 8.48% | 7.71% | 6.87% |
| MetroStars | 9.92% | 10.67% | 10.24% | 10.17% | 10.12% | 10.02% | 10.18% | 10.01% | 9.78% | 8.89% |
| Columbus Crew | 9.79% | 9.89% | 9.82% | 10.34% | 10.40% | 10.11% | 10.51% | 9.83% | 10.07% | 9.24% |
| New England Revolution | 8.05% | 9.06% | 9.62% | 10.60% | 10.44% | 10.06% | 10.71% | 10.01% | 10.82% | 10.63% |
| Kansas City Wizards | 8.04% | 8.94% | 9.45% | 9.65% | 10.23% | 10.51% | 10.85% | 10.71% | 10.37% | 11.25% |
| DC United | 7.64% | 8.94% | 9.88% | 9.39% | 10.17% | 10.08% | 10.82% | 10.77% | 10.69% | 11.62% |
| Colorado Rapids | 5.73% | 7.42% | 7.88% | 8.92% | 9.47% | 11.17% | 11.19% | 11.76% | 12.79% | 13.67% |
| Dallas Burn | 4.62% | 6.02% | 6.73% | 8.00% | 8.82% | 10.02% | 10.91% | 13.34% | 14.48% | 17.06% |
Win Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed). Click a division in the legend to toggle it.
Playoff Seed Probabilities
Across the 10,000 regular-season simulations, the probability that each team finished as each playoff seed (or missed the playoffs entirely). Rows sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed; teams that more often missed the playoffs sit toward the bottom.
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire | 28.30% | 22.75% | 19.34% | 16.51% | 13.10% |
| MetroStars | 19.76% | 19.99% | 20.00% | 20.29% | 19.96% |
| Columbus Crew | 19.19% | 19.64% | 19.98% | 20.60% | 20.59% |
| DC United | 16.39% | 18.04% | 20.24% | 21.80% | 23.53% |
| New England Revolution | 16.36% | 19.58% | 20.44% | 20.80% | 22.82% |
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose Earthquakes | 31.53% | 24.43% | 18.96% | 14.56% | 10.52% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 26.87% | 23.07% | 19.86% | 16.80% | 13.40% |
| Kansas City Wizards | 17.29% | 20.31% | 20.62% | 21.14% | 20.64% |
| Colorado Rapids | 13.46% | 16.98% | 21.25% | 23.47% | 24.84% |
| Dallas Burn | 10.85% | 15.21% | 19.31% | 24.03% | 30.60% |
Points Required to Achieve Each Seed
Empirical cumulative distribution: for each seed in each division, the probability that a team holding that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of points. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median points for that seed.
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual points, simulated final points, playoff probability, and division-title probability — day by day. Pick a division to see all five charts for its teams.
Elo Through the Playoffs
How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces every team's game-by-game Elo trajectory through their playoff run — teams eliminated early have short lines, deeper runs extend further right; click a team in the legend to isolate it. Net Elo Change summarizes the same data as one bar per team from first playoff game to last, sorted biggest gain to biggest loss.
Stochastic Playoff Outcomes
Across 10,000 simulations starting from preseason Elo, every team had a chance to make the playoffs based on how the regular-season Monte Carlo played out. The default view sums those simulations up: what fraction of them had each team making the playoffs, advancing each round, and winning the title. The round buttons switch to heatmaps showing how often every pair of teams faced off in each round across all sims.
| Team | Made Playoffs | Advanced to Conference Finals | Advanced to MLS Cup | Won MLS Cup |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire | 86.90% | 47.43% | 25.92% | 14.52% |
| San Jose Earthquakes | 89.48% | 49.70% | 27.44% | 14.17% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 86.60% | 45.59% | 23.98% | 12.22% |
| Columbus Crew | 79.41% | 38.46% | 18.90% | 10.12% |
| New England Revolution | 77.18% | 38.34% | 18.84% | 9.84% |
| MetroStars | 80.04% | 39.03% | 19.11% | 9.69% |
| DC United | 76.47% | 36.74% | 17.23% | 8.58% |
| Kansas City Wizards | 79.36% | 39.65% | 19.02% | 8.55% |
| Colorado Rapids | 75.16% | 36.66% | 17.36% | 7.76% |
| Dallas Burn | 69.40% | 28.40% | 12.20% | 4.55% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Chicago Fire | Columbus Crew | DC United | MetroStars | New England Revolution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire | 12.05% | 11.45% | 12.29% | 11.64% | |
| Columbus Crew | 9.81% | 9.63% | 9.51% | 9.51% | |
| DC United | 9.33% | 9.52% | 9.38% | 8.51% | |
| MetroStars | 10.29% | 9.86% | 9.70% | 9.18% | |
| New England Revolution | 10.04% | 9.52% | 8.95% | 9.83% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Colorado Rapids | Dallas Burn | Kansas City Wizards | Los Angeles Galaxy | San Jose Earthquakes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids | 8.09% | 8.69% | 9.78% | 10.10% | |
| Dallas Burn | 6.15% | 7.05% | 7.37% | 7.83% | |
| Kansas City Wizards | 9.40% | 8.90% | 10.96% | 10.39% | |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 11.12% | 11.27% | 11.74% | 11.46% | |
| San Jose Earthquakes | 11.83% | 12.74% | 12.23% | 12.90% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Chicago Fire | Columbus Crew | DC United | MetroStars | New England Revolution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire | 6.49% | 6.52% | 6.63% | 6.28% | |
| Columbus Crew | 5.28% | 4.52% | 4.59% | 4.51% | |
| DC United | 5.08% | 3.84% | 4.20% | 4.11% | |
| MetroStars | 5.60% | 4.57% | 4.34% | 4.60% | |
| New England Revolution | 5.55% | 4.66% | 4.13% | 4.50% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Colorado Rapids | Dallas Burn | Kansas City Wizards | Los Angeles Galaxy | San Jose Earthquakes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids | 2.97% | 4.13% | 4.96% | 5.30% | |
| Dallas Burn | 2.56% | 2.83% | 3.36% | 3.45% | |
| Kansas City Wizards | 4.28% | 3.43% | 5.19% | 6.12% | |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 5.80% | 4.52% | 6.27% | 7.39% | |
| San Jose Earthquakes | 6.66% | 5.28% | 7.40% | 8.10% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Chicago Fire | Colorado Rapids | Columbus Crew | DC United | Dallas Burn | Kansas City Wizards | Los Angeles Galaxy | MetroStars | New England Revolution | San Jose Earthquakes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire | 2.84% | 2.18% | 2.76% | 3.17% | 3.57% | |||||
| Colorado Rapids | 1.75% | 1.42% | 1.52% | 1.51% | 1.56% | |||||
| Columbus Crew | 1.92% | 1.30% | 1.78% | 2.50% | 2.62% | |||||
| DC United | 1.60% | 1.12% | 1.84% | 2.02% | 2.00% | |||||
| Dallas Burn | 1.10% | 1.02% | 0.81% | 0.75% | 0.87% | |||||
| Kansas City Wizards | 1.99% | 1.58% | 1.71% | 1.75% | 1.52% | |||||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 3.08% | 2.27% | 2.19% | 2.40% | 2.28% | |||||
| MetroStars | 1.64% | 1.45% | 2.10% | 2.10% | 2.40% | |||||
| New England Revolution | 1.60% | 1.60% | 1.99% | 1.97% | 2.68% | |||||
| San Jose Earthquakes | 3.48% | 2.49% | 2.42% | 3.01% | 2.77% |
Actual Bracket Simulation
With the actual playoff bracket fixed in place, this second simulation re-runs each matchup 10,000 times and tallies how often each team advanced past each round and won the title. The right-most column shows what actually happened. Round buttons switch to matchup heatmaps for that round.
| Team | Advanced to Conference Finals | Advanced to MLS Cup | Won MLS Cup | Actual Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire | 54.65% | 34.90% | 22.40% | Eliminated in MLS Cup |
| San Jose Earthquakes | 52.10% | 33.43% | 18.33% | Won MLS Cup |
| New England Revolution | 51.91% | 24.27% | 12.72% | Eliminated in Conference Finals |
| MetroStars | 48.09% | 23.39% | 11.53% | Eliminated in Conference Semifinals |
| Kansas City Wizards | 51.28% | 24.23% | 10.25% | Eliminated in Conference Finals |
| Colorado Rapids | 48.72% | 22.41% | 9.37% | Eliminated in Conference Semifinals |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 47.90% | 19.93% | 7.99% | Eliminated in Conference Semifinals |
| DC United | 45.35% | 17.44% | 7.41% | Eliminated in Conference Semifinals |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Chicago Fire | DC United | MetroStars | New England Revolution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire | 54.65% | |||
| DC United | 45.35% | |||
| MetroStars | 48.09% | |||
| New England Revolution | 51.91% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Colorado Rapids | Kansas City Wizards | Los Angeles Galaxy | San Jose Earthquakes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids | 48.72% | |||
| Kansas City Wizards | 51.28% | |||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 47.90% | |||
| San Jose Earthquakes | 52.10% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Chicago Fire | DC United | MetroStars | New England Revolution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire | 16.36% | 18.54% | ||
| DC United | 8.34% | 9.10% | ||
| MetroStars | 9.59% | 13.80% | ||
| New England Revolution | 10.16% | 14.11% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Colorado Rapids | Kansas City Wizards | Los Angeles Galaxy | San Jose Earthquakes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids | 13.47% | 8.94% | ||
| Kansas City Wizards | 14.50% | 9.73% | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 9.94% | 9.99% | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | 16.37% | 17.06% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Chicago Fire | Colorado Rapids | DC United | Kansas City Wizards | Los Angeles Galaxy | MetroStars | New England Revolution | San Jose Earthquakes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire | 5.09% | 5.71% | 4.38% | 7.22% | ||||
| Colorado Rapids | 2.56% | 2.72% | 1.97% | 2.12% | ||||
| DC United | 1.80% | 1.63% | 2.08% | 1.90% | ||||
| Kansas City Wizards | 2.87% | 2.50% | 2.58% | 2.30% | ||||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 2.67% | 1.30% | 1.81% | 2.21% | ||||
| MetroStars | 2.79% | 3.12% | 2.68% | 2.94% | ||||
| New England Revolution | 3.36% | 3.52% | 2.80% | 3.04% | ||||
| San Jose Earthquakes | 4.40% | 3.51% | 5.50% | 4.92% |
Most-Likely Championship Paths
For each playoff team, the opponent they most often faced and defeated at each round across all bracket simulations. Each step shows two numbers: Matchup % is the fraction of this team's wins in this round that came against this opponent; Win % is the head-to-head probability they beat this opponent when the two meet. Note: fixed early-round matchups against bracket-determined opponents will show 100% Matchup — that's because those pairings are decided by the bracket.
Regular Season Games
Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Pick a team from the dropdown — it filters every table on this tab. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003-04-14 | New England Revolution | T 1-1 | 1508.84 | 1495.55 | 51.35% | 22.17% | 26.48% | -0.29 | 1 |
| 2003-04-20 | @ DC United | T 0-0 | 1508.55 | 1489.23 | 28.70% | 25.90% | 45.40% | +0.22 | 2 |
| 2003-04-27 | @ Kansas City Wizards | W 3-2 | 1508.77 | 1491.81 | 28.52% | 25.67% | 45.82% | +2.24 | 5 |
| 2003-05-11 | San Jose Earthquakes | T 0-0 | 1511.01 | 1518.32 | 47.55% | 24.65% | 27.80% | -0.26 | 6 |
| 2003-05-18 | @ New England Revolution | L 0-3 | 1510.75 | 1494.77 | 28.44% | 25.57% | 45.99% | -4.73 | 6 |
| 2003-05-26 | Colorado Rapids | W 4-0 | 1506.02 | 1479.90 | 53.75% | 20.48% | 25.76% | +5.32 | 9 |
| 2003-05-31 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | W 4-1 | 1511.34 | 1519.96 | 26.76% | 22.76% | 50.48% | +6.12 | 12 |
| 2003-06-08 | @ DC United | L 0-2 | 1517.46 | 1485.75 | 29.76% | 27.01% | 43.23% | -3.43 | 12 |
| 2003-06-14 | @ MetroStars | W 3-2 | 1514.03 | 1505.67 | 27.88% | 24.76% | 47.36% | +2.28 | 15 |
| 2003-06-19 | Dallas Burn | W 4-1 | 1516.31 | 1489.12 | 53.96% | 20.34% | 25.71% | +3.42 | 18 |
| 2003-06-22 | @ Kansas City Wizards | L 2-4 | 1519.73 | 1495.67 | 29.09% | 26.35% | 44.56% | -2.59 | 18 |
| 2003-06-28 | MetroStars | W 2-1 | 1517.14 | 1505.06 | 51.12% | 22.32% | 26.55% | +1.47 | 21 |
| 2003-07-06 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | T 0-0 | 1518.61 | 1515.97 | 27.48% | 24.12% | 48.40% | +0.27 | 22 |
| 2003-07-13 | DC United | L 1-2 | 1518.88 | 1491.47 | 54.00% | 20.31% | 25.69% | -2.60 | 22 |
| 2003-07-20 | New England Revolution | W 3-1 | 1516.28 | 1496.59 | 52.55% | 21.34% | 26.12% | +2.49 | 25 |
| 2003-07-27 | Kansas City Wizards | W 2-0 | 1518.77 | 1504.21 | 51.58% | 22.01% | 26.41% | +2.93 | 28 |
| 2003-08-09 | MetroStars | T 1-1 | 1521.70 | 1506.40 | 51.72% | 21.91% | 26.37% | -0.30 | 29 |
| 2003-08-14 | @ Columbus Crew | T 2-2 | 1521.40 | 1496.24 | 29.18% | 26.45% | 44.37% | +0.13 | 30 |
| 2003-08-17 | DC United | W 3-1 | 1521.53 | 1498.72 | 53.13% | 20.92% | 25.94% | +2.46 | 33 |
| 2003-08-21 | Los Angeles Galaxy | W 1-0 | 1523.99 | 1514.27 | 50.68% | 22.62% | 26.70% | +1.58 | 36 |
| 2003-08-24 | @ MetroStars | W 2-1 | 1525.57 | 1506.67 | 28.67% | 25.86% | 45.47% | +2.35 | 39 |
| 2003-08-31 | @ New England Revolution | L 1-5 | 1527.92 | 1487.40 | 30.59% | 27.67% | 41.74% | -5.59 | 39 |
| 2003-09-07 | Columbus Crew | T 1-1 | 1522.33 | 1498.44 | 53.33% | 20.78% | 25.88% | -0.32 | 40 |
| 2003-09-14 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | W 2-0 | 1522.01 | 1513.72 | 27.87% | 24.75% | 47.37% | +4.81 | 43 |
| 2003-09-21 | @ Dallas Burn | L 0-2 | 1526.82 | 1458.25 | 33.80% | 28.95% | 37.25% | -3.85 | 43 |
| 2003-10-02 | @ Colorado Rapids | T 1-1 | 1522.97 | 1494.14 | 29.50% | 26.77% | 43.73% | +0.16 | 44 |
| 2003-10-05 | Los Angeles Galaxy | W 2-0 | 1523.13 | 1507.89 | 51.71% | 21.92% | 26.37% | +2.92 | 47 |
| 2003-10-11 | Columbus Crew | W 2-0 | 1526.05 | 1496.70 | 54.36% | 20.05% | 25.59% | +2.77 | 50 |
| 2003-10-19 | Colorado Rapids | W 4-3 | 1528.82 | 1491.38 | 55.89% | 18.94% | 25.17% | +1.24 | 53 |
| 2003-10-26 | @ Columbus Crew | L 2-6 | 1530.06 | 1496.28 | 29.95% | 27.18% | 42.88% | -4.64 | 53 |
| 2003-04-13 | San Jose Earthquakes | L 1-2 | 1491.61 | 1509.92 | 45.57% | 25.80% | 28.62% | -2.35 | 0 |
| 2003-04-27 | DC United | T 1-1 | 1489.26 | 1489.02 | 48.93% | 23.78% | 27.29% | -0.25 | 1 |
| 2003-05-04 | @ MetroStars | L 1-2 | 1489.01 | 1497.76 | 26.75% | 22.74% | 50.50% | -1.50 | 1 |
| 2003-05-11 | @ Columbus Crew | L 0-2 | 1487.51 | 1505.90 | 26.19% | 21.51% | 52.30% | -2.88 | 1 |
| 2003-05-17 | MetroStars | L 0-2 | 1484.63 | 1500.83 | 45.95% | 25.59% | 28.46% | -4.73 | 1 |
| 2003-05-26 | @ Chicago Fire | L 0-4 | 1479.90 | 1506.02 | 25.76% | 20.48% | 53.75% | -5.32 | 1 |
| 2003-06-01 | Los Angeles Galaxy | W 1-0 | 1474.58 | 1507.64 | 43.00% | 27.12% | 29.88% | +1.83 | 4 |
| 2003-06-07 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | L 0-2 | 1476.41 | 1505.81 | 25.59% | 20.04% | 54.37% | -2.77 | 4 |
| 2003-06-12 | DC United | T 0-0 | 1473.64 | 1489.19 | 46.07% | 25.52% | 28.41% | -0.23 | 5 |
| 2003-06-15 | New England Revolution | W 4-1 | 1473.41 | 1501.68 | 43.83% | 26.72% | 29.45% | +4.16 | 8 |
| 2003-06-22 | @ Dallas Burn | L 1-3 | 1477.57 | 1485.70 | 26.79% | 22.82% | 50.39% | -2.59 | 8 |
| 2003-06-26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | T 2-2 | 1474.98 | 1508.15 | 42.98% | 27.13% | 29.89% | -0.11 | 9 |
| 2003-06-29 | @ New England Revolution | L 2-3 | 1474.87 | 1497.76 | 25.94% | 20.91% | 53.15% | -1.35 | 9 |
| 2003-07-05 | Kansas City Wizards | W 3-2 | 1473.52 | 1498.60 | 44.38% | 26.44% | 29.18% | +1.59 | 12 |
| 2003-07-10 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | W 1-0 | 1475.11 | 1512.21 | 25.19% | 18.99% | 55.82% | +2.81 | 15 |
| 2003-07-13 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | W 2-0 | 1477.92 | 1515.70 | 25.15% | 18.90% | 55.95% | +5.31 | 18 |
| 2003-07-27 | MetroStars | W 1-0 | 1483.23 | 1508.18 | 44.40% | 26.43% | 29.16% | +1.78 | 21 |
| 2003-08-10 | Dallas Burn | W 2-0 | 1485.01 | 1472.06 | 51.28% | 22.21% | 26.50% | +2.95 | 24 |
| 2003-08-14 | @ DC United | L 0-1 | 1487.96 | 1497.14 | 26.73% | 22.69% | 50.58% | -1.59 | 24 |
| 2003-08-17 | Columbus Crew | W 2-1 | 1486.37 | 1496.11 | 47.11% | 24.91% | 27.98% | +1.60 | 27 |
| 2003-08-23 | @ Kansas City Wizards | T 2-2 | 1487.97 | 1497.43 | 26.71% | 22.65% | 50.63% | +0.21 | 28 |
| 2003-08-31 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | W 2-1 | 1488.18 | 1527.10 | 25.09% | 18.74% | 56.17% | +2.66 | 31 |
| 2003-09-07 | Dallas Burn | W 2-1 | 1490.84 | 1460.90 | 54.47% | 19.97% | 25.56% | +1.38 | 34 |
| 2003-09-14 | Kansas City Wizards | W 1-0 | 1492.22 | 1493.18 | 48.71% | 23.92% | 27.37% | +1.64 | 37 |
| 2003-09-19 | @ New England Revolution | T 0-0 | 1493.86 | 1494.15 | 27.29% | 23.77% | 48.94% | +0.28 | 38 |
| 2003-10-02 | Chicago Fire | T 1-1 | 1494.14 | 1522.97 | 43.73% | 26.77% | 29.50% | -0.16 | 39 |
| 2003-10-05 | @ Kansas City Wizards | L 2-4 | 1493.98 | 1488.55 | 27.67% | 24.43% | 47.89% | -2.44 | 39 |
| 2003-10-11 | San Jose Earthquakes | T 0-0 | 1491.54 | 1526.97 | 42.60% | 27.30% | 30.10% | -0.16 | 40 |
| 2003-10-19 | @ Chicago Fire | L 3-4 | 1491.38 | 1528.82 | 25.17% | 18.94% | 55.89% | -1.24 | 40 |
| 2003-10-26 | @ Dallas Burn | L 3-4 | 1490.14 | 1453.08 | 30.25% | 27.43% | 42.32% | -1.62 | 40 |
| 2003-04-05 | Los Angeles Galaxy | T 1-1 | 1503.68 | 1513.41 | 47.11% | 24.91% | 27.98% | -0.22 | 1 |
| 2003-04-13 | @ MetroStars | W 1-0 | 1503.46 | 1497.85 | 27.69% | 24.45% | 47.86% | +2.57 | 4 |
| 2003-04-19 | @ New England Revolution | W 2-1 | 1506.03 | 1495.84 | 28.01% | 24.96% | 47.03% | +2.40 | 7 |
| 2003-04-26 | MetroStars | L 0-1 | 1508.43 | 1495.09 | 51.36% | 22.16% | 26.48% | -2.68 | 7 |
| 2003-05-04 | @ Kansas City Wizards | T 2-2 | 1505.75 | 1489.57 | 28.46% | 25.59% | 45.95% | +0.15 | 8 |
| 2003-05-11 | Colorado Rapids | W 2-0 | 1505.90 | 1487.51 | 52.30% | 21.51% | 26.19% | +2.88 | 11 |
| 2003-05-18 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | L 3-4 | 1508.78 | 1518.58 | 26.69% | 22.61% | 50.70% | -1.38 | 11 |
| 2003-05-25 | New England Revolution | L 2-3 | 1507.40 | 1499.51 | 50.34% | 22.85% | 26.81% | -2.36 | 11 |
| 2003-06-01 | MetroStars | T 1-1 | 1505.04 | 1507.03 | 48.52% | 24.04% | 27.44% | -0.25 | 12 |
| 2003-06-08 | San Jose Earthquakes | W 1-0 | 1504.79 | 1513.83 | 47.24% | 24.84% | 27.93% | +1.69 | 15 |
| 2003-06-15 | @ DC United | L 0-3 | 1506.48 | 1489.42 | 28.53% | 25.68% | 45.80% | -4.75 | 15 |
| 2003-06-22 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | L 1-2 | 1501.73 | 1514.72 | 26.50% | 22.21% | 51.29% | -1.47 | 15 |
| 2003-06-29 | DC United | W 3-0 | 1500.26 | 1493.93 | 50.05% | 23.04% | 26.90% | +4.38 | 18 |
| 2003-07-06 | Dallas Burn | T 0-0 | 1504.64 | 1479.93 | 53.49% | 20.67% | 25.84% | -0.36 | 19 |
| 2003-07-20 | Kansas City Wizards | L 0-1 | 1504.28 | 1501.60 | 49.38% | 23.49% | 27.13% | -2.62 | 19 |
| 2003-07-24 | New England Revolution | T 1-1 | 1501.66 | 1494.11 | 50.28% | 22.89% | 26.83% | -0.27 | 20 |
| 2003-08-09 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | L 1-3 | 1501.39 | 1509.40 | 26.80% | 22.84% | 50.37% | -2.60 | 20 |
| 2003-08-10 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | L 1-3 | 1498.79 | 1511.99 | 26.49% | 22.18% | 51.33% | -2.55 | 20 |
| 2003-08-14 | Chicago Fire | T 2-2 | 1496.24 | 1521.40 | 44.37% | 26.45% | 29.18% | -0.13 | 21 |
| 2003-08-17 | @ Colorado Rapids | L 1-2 | 1496.11 | 1486.37 | 27.98% | 24.91% | 47.11% | -1.59 | 21 |
| 2003-08-24 | @ Dallas Burn | W 2-1 | 1494.52 | 1464.46 | 29.61% | 26.88% | 43.52% | +2.29 | 24 |
| 2003-09-01 | Kansas City Wizards | W 1-0 | 1496.81 | 1497.22 | 48.81% | 23.86% | 27.33% | +1.63 | 27 |
| 2003-09-07 | @ Chicago Fire | T 1-1 | 1498.44 | 1522.33 | 25.88% | 20.78% | 53.33% | +0.32 | 28 |
| 2003-09-14 | Dallas Burn | W 3-2 | 1498.76 | 1459.52 | 56.23% | 18.69% | 25.08% | +1.27 | 31 |
| 2003-09-21 | @ MetroStars | L 0-1 | 1500.03 | 1504.19 | 27.04% | 23.31% | 49.65% | -1.61 | 31 |
| 2003-09-28 | @ New England Revolution | L 2-3 | 1498.42 | 1493.87 | 27.61% | 24.33% | 48.05% | -1.49 | 31 |
| 2003-10-05 | DC United | T 1-1 | 1496.93 | 1501.33 | 48.08% | 24.32% | 27.60% | -0.23 | 32 |
| 2003-10-11 | @ Chicago Fire | L 0-2 | 1496.70 | 1526.05 | 25.59% | 20.05% | 54.36% | -2.78 | 32 |
| 2003-10-19 | @ DC United | W 3-2 | 1493.92 | 1499.93 | 26.92% | 23.08% | 49.99% | +2.36 | 35 |
| 2003-10-26 | Chicago Fire | W 6-2 | 1496.28 | 1530.06 | 42.88% | 27.18% | 29.95% | +4.64 | 38 |
| 2003-04-13 | @ Kansas City Wizards | L 2-3 | 1490.70 | 1490.03 | 27.35% | 23.89% | 48.76% | -1.47 | 0 |
| 2003-04-20 | Chicago Fire | T 0-0 | 1489.23 | 1508.55 | 45.40% | 25.90% | 28.70% | -0.21 | 1 |
| 2003-04-27 | @ Colorado Rapids | T 1-1 | 1489.02 | 1489.26 | 27.29% | 23.78% | 48.93% | +0.25 | 2 |
| 2003-05-04 | Dallas Burn | T 0-0 | 1489.27 | 1495.73 | 47.71% | 24.55% | 27.74% | -0.26 | 3 |
| 2003-05-11 | @ MetroStars | L 0-1 | 1489.01 | 1499.26 | 26.66% | 22.55% | 50.78% | -1.58 | 3 |
| 2003-05-18 | Kansas City Wizards | T 1-1 | 1487.43 | 1493.48 | 47.78% | 24.50% | 27.72% | -0.23 | 4 |
| 2003-06-01 | @ Dallas Burn | L 2-3 | 1487.20 | 1490.01 | 27.13% | 23.47% | 49.40% | -1.45 | 4 |
| 2003-06-08 | Chicago Fire | W 2-0 | 1485.75 | 1517.46 | 43.23% | 27.01% | 29.76% | +3.44 | 7 |
| 2003-06-12 | @ Colorado Rapids | T 0-0 | 1489.19 | 1473.64 | 28.41% | 25.52% | 46.07% | +0.23 | 8 |
| 2003-06-15 | Columbus Crew | W 3-0 | 1489.42 | 1506.48 | 45.80% | 25.68% | 28.53% | +4.75 | 11 |
| 2003-06-22 | New England Revolution | T 1-1 | 1494.17 | 1497.52 | 48.27% | 24.20% | 27.53% | -0.24 | 12 |
| 2003-06-29 | @ Columbus Crew | L 0-3 | 1493.93 | 1500.26 | 26.90% | 23.04% | 50.05% | -4.38 | 12 |
| 2003-07-03 | @ Dallas Burn | W 3-1 | 1489.55 | 1484.12 | 27.67% | 24.43% | 47.89% | +4.20 | 15 |
| 2003-07-05 | MetroStars | L 2-3 | 1493.75 | 1503.46 | 47.12% | 24.91% | 27.98% | -2.28 | 15 |
| 2003-07-13 | @ Chicago Fire | W 2-1 | 1491.47 | 1518.88 | 25.69% | 20.31% | 54.00% | +2.60 | 18 |
| 2003-07-19 | San Jose Earthquakes | L 1-2 | 1494.07 | 1510.39 | 45.93% | 25.60% | 28.47% | -2.36 | 18 |
| 2003-07-27 | @ New England Revolution | W 4-2 | 1491.71 | 1494.38 | 27.13% | 23.49% | 49.38% | +3.82 | 21 |
| 2003-08-10 | New England Revolution | W 1-0 | 1495.53 | 1490.56 | 49.80% | 23.21% | 26.99% | +1.61 | 24 |
| 2003-08-14 | Colorado Rapids | W 1-0 | 1497.14 | 1487.96 | 50.58% | 22.69% | 26.73% | +1.58 | 27 |
| 2003-08-17 | @ Chicago Fire | L 1-3 | 1498.72 | 1521.53 | 25.94% | 20.92% | 53.13% | -2.46 | 27 |
| 2003-08-25 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | L 0-1 | 1496.26 | 1525.63 | 25.59% | 20.04% | 54.37% | -1.47 | 27 |
| 2003-09-07 | Los Angeles Galaxy | W 2-1 | 1494.79 | 1515.37 | 45.17% | 26.02% | 28.80% | +1.66 | 30 |
| 2003-09-14 | San Jose Earthquakes | W 2-1 | 1496.45 | 1525.82 | 43.64% | 26.82% | 29.55% | +1.70 | 33 |
| 2003-09-21 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | L 0-1 | 1498.15 | 1508.90 | 26.63% | 22.49% | 50.87% | -1.57 | 33 |
| 2003-09-26 | @ MetroStars | W 2-0 | 1496.58 | 1505.80 | 26.73% | 22.68% | 50.59% | +5.00 | 36 |
| 2003-09-28 | MetroStars | T 1-1 | 1501.58 | 1500.79 | 49.03% | 23.71% | 27.26% | -0.25 | 37 |
| 2003-10-05 | @ Columbus Crew | T 1-1 | 1501.33 | 1496.93 | 27.60% | 24.32% | 48.08% | +0.24 | 38 |
| 2003-10-12 | @ New England Revolution | L 0-1 | 1501.57 | 1500.88 | 27.35% | 23.89% | 48.76% | -1.64 | 38 |
| 2003-10-19 | Columbus Crew | L 2-3 | 1499.93 | 1493.92 | 49.99% | 23.08% | 26.92% | -2.36 | 38 |
| 2003-10-26 | Kansas City Wizards | T 1-1 | 1497.57 | 1494.03 | 49.54% | 23.38% | 27.08% | -0.26 | 39 |
| 2003-04-12 | Los Angeles Galaxy | T 1-1 | 1498.41 | 1513.63 | 46.12% | 25.49% | 28.38% | -0.21 | 1 |
| 2003-04-27 | New England Revolution | L 1-2 | 1498.20 | 1493.44 | 49.76% | 23.24% | 27.00% | -2.47 | 1 |
| 2003-05-04 | @ DC United | T 0-0 | 1495.73 | 1489.27 | 27.74% | 24.55% | 47.71% | +0.25 | 2 |
| 2003-05-11 | Kansas City Wizards | L 1-3 | 1495.98 | 1489.42 | 50.10% | 23.01% | 26.89% | -4.31 | 2 |
| 2003-05-18 | Los Angeles Galaxy | T 1-1 | 1491.67 | 1509.07 | 45.74% | 25.71% | 28.55% | -0.20 | 3 |
| 2003-05-25 | @ MetroStars | L 1-2 | 1491.47 | 1505.56 | 26.44% | 22.07% | 51.50% | -1.46 | 3 |
| 2003-06-01 | DC United | W 3-2 | 1490.01 | 1487.20 | 49.40% | 23.47% | 27.13% | +1.45 | 6 |
| 2003-06-15 | San Jose Earthquakes | L 1-2 | 1491.46 | 1512.14 | 45.15% | 26.03% | 28.81% | -2.34 | 6 |
| 2003-06-19 | @ Chicago Fire | L 1-4 | 1489.12 | 1516.31 | 25.71% | 20.34% | 53.96% | -3.42 | 6 |
| 2003-06-22 | Colorado Rapids | W 3-1 | 1485.70 | 1477.57 | 50.39% | 22.82% | 26.79% | +2.59 | 9 |
| 2003-06-29 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | L 0-3 | 1488.29 | 1508.26 | 26.10% | 21.30% | 52.60% | -4.17 | 9 |
| 2003-07-03 | DC United | L 1-3 | 1484.12 | 1489.55 | 47.89% | 24.43% | 27.67% | -4.19 | 9 |
| 2003-07-06 | @ Columbus Crew | T 0-0 | 1479.93 | 1504.64 | 25.84% | 20.67% | 53.49% | +0.36 | 10 |
| 2003-07-13 | @ Kansas City Wizards | L 1-5 | 1480.29 | 1497.01 | 26.28% | 21.73% | 51.99% | -4.59 | 10 |
| 2003-07-16 | @ New England Revolution | W 2-1 | 1475.70 | 1499.17 | 25.91% | 20.84% | 53.26% | +2.57 | 13 |
| 2003-07-20 | MetroStars | L 1-2 | 1478.27 | 1505.88 | 43.94% | 26.67% | 29.39% | -2.30 | 13 |
| 2003-07-27 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | L 0-3 | 1475.97 | 1512.76 | 25.20% | 19.03% | 55.76% | -3.91 | 13 |
| 2003-08-10 | @ Colorado Rapids | L 0-2 | 1472.06 | 1485.01 | 26.50% | 22.21% | 51.28% | -2.94 | 13 |
| 2003-08-14 | San Jose Earthquakes | L 0-3 | 1469.12 | 1519.18 | 40.16% | 28.25% | 31.59% | -6.31 | 13 |
| 2003-08-17 | Kansas City Wizards | W 3-2 | 1462.81 | 1499.08 | 42.45% | 27.37% | 30.18% | +1.65 | 16 |
| 2003-08-24 | Columbus Crew | L 1-2 | 1464.46 | 1494.52 | 43.52% | 26.88% | 29.61% | -2.29 | 16 |
| 2003-08-31 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | L 1-2 | 1462.17 | 1514.10 | 24.44% | 16.94% | 58.62% | -1.27 | 16 |
| 2003-09-07 | @ Colorado Rapids | L 1-2 | 1460.90 | 1490.84 | 25.56% | 19.97% | 54.47% | -1.38 | 16 |
| 2003-09-14 | @ Columbus Crew | L 2-3 | 1459.52 | 1498.76 | 25.08% | 18.69% | 56.23% | -1.27 | 16 |
| 2003-09-21 | Chicago Fire | W 2-0 | 1458.25 | 1526.82 | 37.25% | 28.95% | 33.80% | +3.86 | 19 |
| 2003-09-28 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | L 2-5 | 1462.11 | 1529.68 | 23.67% | 14.80% | 61.53% | -2.53 | 19 |
| 2003-10-05 | New England Revolution | L 1-4 | 1459.58 | 1495.35 | 42.54% | 27.33% | 30.13% | -5.52 | 19 |
| 2003-10-12 | @ MetroStars | T 0-0 | 1454.06 | 1506.28 | 24.43% | 16.90% | 58.67% | +0.44 | 20 |
| 2003-10-19 | @ Kansas City Wizards | L 0-1 | 1454.50 | 1492.61 | 25.14% | 18.85% | 56.01% | -1.42 | 20 |
| 2003-10-26 | Colorado Rapids | W 4-3 | 1453.08 | 1490.14 | 42.32% | 27.43% | 30.25% | +1.62 | 23 |
| 2003-04-13 | DC United | W 3-2 | 1490.03 | 1490.70 | 48.76% | 23.89% | 27.35% | +1.47 | 3 |
| 2003-04-20 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | T 1-1 | 1491.50 | 1512.28 | 26.06% | 21.19% | 52.75% | +0.31 | 4 |
| 2003-04-27 | Chicago Fire | L 2-3 | 1491.81 | 1508.77 | 45.82% | 25.67% | 28.52% | -2.24 | 4 |
| 2003-05-04 | Columbus Crew | T 2-2 | 1489.57 | 1505.75 | 45.95% | 25.59% | 28.46% | -0.15 | 5 |
| 2003-05-11 | @ Dallas Burn | W 3-1 | 1489.42 | 1495.98 | 26.89% | 23.01% | 50.10% | +4.31 | 8 |
| 2003-05-15 | New England Revolution | T 1-1 | 1493.73 | 1494.53 | 48.74% | 23.90% | 27.36% | -0.25 | 9 |
| 2003-05-18 | @ DC United | T 1-1 | 1493.48 | 1487.43 | 27.72% | 24.50% | 47.78% | +0.23 | 10 |
| 2003-05-25 | Los Angeles Galaxy | W 2-1 | 1493.71 | 1509.26 | 46.07% | 25.52% | 28.41% | +1.63 | 13 |
| 2003-06-01 | @ New England Revolution | T 2-2 | 1495.34 | 1501.88 | 26.89% | 23.02% | 50.09% | +0.20 | 14 |
| 2003-06-08 | MetroStars | W 2-1 | 1495.54 | 1507.27 | 46.75% | 25.13% | 28.12% | +1.61 | 17 |
| 2003-06-15 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | L 1-2 | 1497.15 | 1508.58 | 26.59% | 22.41% | 51.00% | -1.48 | 17 |
| 2003-06-22 | Chicago Fire | W 4-2 | 1495.67 | 1519.73 | 44.56% | 26.35% | 29.09% | +2.59 | 20 |
| 2003-06-29 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | T 0-0 | 1498.26 | 1516.19 | 26.22% | 21.57% | 52.22% | +0.34 | 21 |
| 2003-07-05 | @ Colorado Rapids | L 2-3 | 1498.60 | 1473.52 | 29.18% | 26.44% | 44.38% | -1.59 | 21 |
| 2003-07-13 | Dallas Burn | W 5-1 | 1497.01 | 1480.29 | 51.99% | 21.73% | 26.28% | +4.59 | 24 |
| 2003-07-20 | @ Columbus Crew | W 1-0 | 1501.60 | 1504.28 | 27.13% | 23.49% | 49.38% | +2.61 | 27 |
| 2003-07-27 | @ Chicago Fire | L 0-2 | 1504.21 | 1518.77 | 26.41% | 22.01% | 51.58% | -2.92 | 27 |
| 2003-08-09 | San Jose Earthquakes | L 0-1 | 1501.29 | 1516.67 | 46.10% | 25.51% | 28.40% | -2.51 | 27 |
| 2003-08-13 | @ MetroStars | T 0-0 | 1498.78 | 1506.70 | 26.80% | 22.85% | 50.35% | +0.30 | 28 |
| 2003-08-17 | @ Dallas Burn | L 2-3 | 1499.08 | 1462.81 | 30.18% | 27.37% | 42.45% | -1.65 | 28 |
| 2003-08-23 | Colorado Rapids | T 2-2 | 1497.43 | 1487.97 | 50.63% | 22.65% | 26.71% | -0.21 | 29 |
| 2003-09-01 | @ Columbus Crew | L 0-1 | 1497.22 | 1496.81 | 27.33% | 23.86% | 48.81% | -1.64 | 29 |
| 2003-09-07 | MetroStars | L 1-2 | 1495.58 | 1504.32 | 47.29% | 24.80% | 27.91% | -2.40 | 29 |
| 2003-09-14 | @ Colorado Rapids | L 0-1 | 1493.18 | 1492.22 | 27.37% | 23.92% | 48.71% | -1.64 | 29 |
| 2003-09-21 | San Jose Earthquakes | L 1-4 | 1491.54 | 1524.11 | 43.08% | 27.08% | 29.83% | -5.57 | 29 |
| 2003-09-28 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | W 2-1 | 1485.97 | 1510.47 | 25.85% | 20.70% | 53.45% | +2.58 | 32 |
| 2003-10-05 | Colorado Rapids | W 4-2 | 1488.55 | 1493.98 | 47.89% | 24.43% | 27.67% | +2.44 | 35 |
| 2003-10-12 | Los Angeles Galaxy | W 2-1 | 1490.99 | 1504.97 | 46.35% | 25.36% | 28.29% | +1.62 | 38 |
| 2003-10-19 | Dallas Burn | W 1-0 | 1492.61 | 1454.50 | 56.01% | 18.85% | 25.14% | +1.42 | 41 |
| 2003-10-26 | @ DC United | T 1-1 | 1494.03 | 1497.57 | 27.08% | 23.38% | 49.54% | +0.26 | 42 |
| 2003-04-05 | @ Columbus Crew | T 1-1 | 1513.41 | 1503.68 | 27.98% | 24.91% | 47.11% | +0.22 | 1 |
| 2003-04-12 | @ Dallas Burn | T 1-1 | 1513.63 | 1498.41 | 28.38% | 25.49% | 46.12% | +0.21 | 2 |
| 2003-04-20 | @ MetroStars | T 1-1 | 1513.84 | 1495.28 | 28.64% | 25.83% | 45.53% | +0.19 | 3 |
| 2003-04-27 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | L 0-1 | 1514.03 | 1511.96 | 27.44% | 24.05% | 48.51% | -1.65 | 3 |
| 2003-05-10 | @ New England Revolution | L 0-2 | 1512.38 | 1491.21 | 28.85% | 26.08% | 45.07% | -3.31 | 3 |
| 2003-05-18 | @ Dallas Burn | T 1-1 | 1509.07 | 1491.67 | 28.55% | 25.71% | 45.74% | +0.19 | 4 |
| 2003-05-25 | @ Kansas City Wizards | L 1-2 | 1509.26 | 1493.71 | 28.41% | 25.52% | 46.07% | -1.62 | 4 |
| 2003-06-01 | @ Colorado Rapids | L 0-1 | 1507.64 | 1474.58 | 29.88% | 27.12% | 43.00% | -1.83 | 4 |
| 2003-06-07 | Colorado Rapids | W 2-0 | 1505.81 | 1476.41 | 54.37% | 20.04% | 25.59% | +2.77 | 7 |
| 2003-06-15 | Kansas City Wizards | W 2-1 | 1508.58 | 1497.15 | 51.00% | 22.41% | 26.59% | +1.48 | 10 |
| 2003-06-19 | San Jose Earthquakes | T 1-1 | 1510.06 | 1514.48 | 48.08% | 24.32% | 27.60% | -0.24 | 11 |
| 2003-06-21 | @ MetroStars | L 0-1 | 1509.82 | 1503.38 | 27.74% | 24.55% | 47.71% | -1.67 | 11 |
| 2003-06-26 | @ Colorado Rapids | T 2-2 | 1508.15 | 1474.98 | 29.89% | 27.13% | 42.98% | +0.11 | 12 |
| 2003-06-29 | Dallas Burn | W 3-0 | 1508.26 | 1488.29 | 52.60% | 21.30% | 26.10% | +4.17 | 15 |
| 2003-07-05 | New England Revolution | T 2-2 | 1512.43 | 1499.10 | 51.35% | 22.16% | 26.48% | -0.22 | 16 |
| 2003-07-10 | Colorado Rapids | L 0-1 | 1512.21 | 1475.11 | 55.82% | 18.99% | 25.19% | -2.81 | 16 |
| 2003-08-09 | Columbus Crew | W 3-1 | 1509.40 | 1501.39 | 50.37% | 22.84% | 26.80% | +2.59 | 19 |
| 2003-08-10 | Columbus Crew | W 3-1 | 1511.99 | 1498.79 | 51.33% | 22.18% | 26.49% | +2.55 | 22 |
| 2003-08-17 | MetroStars | T 1-1 | 1514.54 | 1506.39 | 50.39% | 22.82% | 26.79% | -0.27 | 23 |
| 2003-08-21 | @ Chicago Fire | L 0-1 | 1514.27 | 1523.99 | 26.70% | 22.62% | 50.68% | -1.58 | 23 |
| 2003-08-23 | New England Revolution | W 2-1 | 1512.69 | 1488.81 | 53.33% | 20.78% | 25.88% | +1.41 | 26 |
| 2003-08-31 | Dallas Burn | W 2-1 | 1514.10 | 1462.17 | 58.62% | 16.94% | 24.44% | +1.27 | 29 |
| 2003-09-07 | @ DC United | L 1-2 | 1515.37 | 1494.79 | 28.80% | 26.02% | 45.17% | -1.65 | 29 |
| 2003-09-14 | Chicago Fire | L 0-2 | 1513.72 | 1522.01 | 47.37% | 24.75% | 27.87% | -4.82 | 29 |
| 2003-09-21 | DC United | W 1-0 | 1508.90 | 1498.15 | 50.87% | 22.49% | 26.63% | +1.57 | 32 |
| 2003-09-28 | Kansas City Wizards | L 1-2 | 1510.47 | 1485.97 | 53.45% | 20.70% | 25.85% | -2.58 | 32 |
| 2003-10-05 | @ Chicago Fire | L 0-2 | 1507.89 | 1523.13 | 26.37% | 21.92% | 51.71% | -2.92 | 32 |
| 2003-10-12 | @ Kansas City Wizards | L 1-2 | 1504.97 | 1490.99 | 28.29% | 25.36% | 46.35% | -1.62 | 32 |
| 2003-10-19 | San Jose Earthquakes | W 3-0 | 1503.35 | 1527.13 | 44.61% | 26.32% | 29.07% | +4.86 | 35 |
| 2003-10-26 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | T 1-1 | 1508.21 | 1522.27 | 26.44% | 22.07% | 51.49% | +0.29 | 36 |
| 2003-04-13 | Columbus Crew | L 0-1 | 1497.85 | 1503.46 | 47.86% | 24.45% | 27.69% | -2.57 | 0 |
| 2003-04-20 | Los Angeles Galaxy | T 1-1 | 1495.28 | 1513.84 | 45.53% | 25.83% | 28.64% | -0.19 | 1 |
| 2003-04-26 | @ Columbus Crew | W 1-0 | 1495.09 | 1508.43 | 26.48% | 22.16% | 51.36% | +2.67 | 4 |
| 2003-05-04 | Colorado Rapids | W 2-1 | 1497.76 | 1489.01 | 50.50% | 22.74% | 26.75% | +1.50 | 7 |
| 2003-05-11 | DC United | W 1-0 | 1499.26 | 1489.01 | 50.78% | 22.55% | 26.66% | +1.57 | 10 |
| 2003-05-17 | @ Colorado Rapids | W 2-0 | 1500.83 | 1484.63 | 28.46% | 25.59% | 45.95% | +4.73 | 13 |
| 2003-05-25 | Dallas Burn | W 2-1 | 1505.56 | 1491.47 | 51.50% | 22.07% | 26.44% | +1.47 | 16 |
| 2003-06-01 | @ Columbus Crew | T 1-1 | 1507.03 | 1505.04 | 27.44% | 24.04% | 48.52% | +0.24 | 17 |
| 2003-06-08 | @ Kansas City Wizards | L 1-2 | 1507.27 | 1495.54 | 28.12% | 25.13% | 46.75% | -1.60 | 17 |
| 2003-06-14 | Chicago Fire | L 2-3 | 1505.67 | 1514.03 | 47.36% | 24.76% | 27.88% | -2.29 | 17 |
| 2003-06-21 | Los Angeles Galaxy | W 1-0 | 1503.38 | 1509.82 | 47.71% | 24.55% | 27.74% | +1.68 | 20 |
| 2003-06-28 | @ Chicago Fire | L 1-2 | 1505.06 | 1517.14 | 26.55% | 22.32% | 51.12% | -1.48 | 20 |
| 2003-07-03 | San Jose Earthquakes | T 4-4 | 1503.58 | 1515.85 | 46.65% | 25.18% | 28.16% | -0.12 | 21 |
| 2003-07-05 | @ DC United | W 3-2 | 1503.46 | 1493.75 | 27.98% | 24.91% | 47.12% | +2.28 | 24 |
| 2003-07-12 | @ New England Revolution | T 3-3 | 1505.74 | 1499.32 | 27.74% | 24.55% | 47.71% | +0.14 | 25 |
| 2003-07-20 | @ Dallas Burn | W 2-1 | 1505.88 | 1478.27 | 29.39% | 26.67% | 43.94% | +2.30 | 28 |
| 2003-07-27 | @ Colorado Rapids | L 0-1 | 1508.18 | 1483.23 | 29.16% | 26.43% | 44.40% | -1.78 | 28 |
| 2003-08-09 | @ Chicago Fire | T 1-1 | 1506.40 | 1521.70 | 26.37% | 21.91% | 51.72% | +0.30 | 29 |
| 2003-08-13 | Kansas City Wizards | T 0-0 | 1506.70 | 1498.78 | 50.35% | 22.85% | 26.80% | -0.31 | 30 |
| 2003-08-17 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | T 1-1 | 1506.39 | 1514.54 | 26.79% | 22.82% | 50.39% | +0.28 | 31 |
| 2003-08-24 | Chicago Fire | L 1-2 | 1506.67 | 1525.57 | 45.47% | 25.86% | 28.67% | -2.35 | 31 |
| 2003-09-07 | @ Kansas City Wizards | W 2-1 | 1504.32 | 1495.58 | 27.91% | 24.80% | 47.29% | +2.40 | 34 |
| 2003-09-14 | New England Revolution | L 1-2 | 1506.72 | 1491.61 | 51.69% | 21.94% | 26.38% | -2.53 | 34 |
| 2003-09-21 | Columbus Crew | W 1-0 | 1504.19 | 1500.03 | 49.65% | 23.31% | 27.04% | +1.61 | 37 |
| 2003-09-26 | DC United | L 0-2 | 1505.80 | 1496.58 | 50.59% | 22.68% | 26.73% | -5.01 | 37 |
| 2003-09-28 | @ DC United | T 1-1 | 1500.79 | 1501.58 | 27.26% | 23.71% | 49.03% | +0.25 | 38 |
| 2003-10-05 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | W 2-0 | 1501.04 | 1532.21 | 25.49% | 19.80% | 54.71% | +5.24 | 41 |
| 2003-10-12 | Dallas Burn | T 0-0 | 1506.28 | 1454.06 | 58.67% | 16.90% | 24.43% | -0.44 | 42 |
| 2003-10-19 | New England Revolution | L 1-2 | 1505.84 | 1502.52 | 49.50% | 23.41% | 27.09% | -2.48 | 42 |
| 2003-10-25 | @ New England Revolution | L 2-5 | 1503.36 | 1504.99 | 27.20% | 23.61% | 49.18% | -3.25 | 42 |
| 2003-04-14 | @ Chicago Fire | T 1-1 | 1495.55 | 1508.84 | 26.48% | 22.17% | 51.35% | +0.29 | 1 |
| 2003-04-19 | Columbus Crew | L 1-2 | 1495.84 | 1506.03 | 47.03% | 24.96% | 28.01% | -2.40 | 1 |
| 2003-04-27 | @ Dallas Burn | W 2-1 | 1493.44 | 1498.20 | 27.00% | 23.24% | 49.76% | +2.48 | 4 |
| 2003-05-03 | San Jose Earthquakes | L 0-2 | 1495.92 | 1513.61 | 45.69% | 25.74% | 28.57% | -4.71 | 4 |
| 2003-05-10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | W 2-0 | 1491.21 | 1512.38 | 45.07% | 26.08% | 28.85% | +3.32 | 7 |
| 2003-05-15 | @ Kansas City Wizards | T 1-1 | 1494.53 | 1493.73 | 27.36% | 23.90% | 48.74% | +0.24 | 8 |
| 2003-05-18 | Chicago Fire | W 3-0 | 1494.77 | 1510.75 | 45.99% | 25.57% | 28.44% | +4.74 | 11 |
| 2003-05-25 | @ Columbus Crew | W 3-2 | 1499.51 | 1507.40 | 26.81% | 22.85% | 50.34% | +2.37 | 14 |
| 2003-06-01 | Kansas City Wizards | T 2-2 | 1501.88 | 1495.34 | 50.09% | 23.02% | 26.89% | -0.20 | 15 |
| 2003-06-15 | @ Colorado Rapids | L 1-4 | 1501.68 | 1473.41 | 29.45% | 26.72% | 43.83% | -4.16 | 15 |
| 2003-06-22 | @ DC United | T 1-1 | 1497.52 | 1494.17 | 27.53% | 24.20% | 48.27% | +0.24 | 16 |
| 2003-06-29 | Colorado Rapids | W 3-2 | 1497.76 | 1474.87 | 53.15% | 20.91% | 25.94% | +1.34 | 19 |
| 2003-07-05 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | T 2-2 | 1499.10 | 1512.43 | 26.48% | 22.16% | 51.35% | +0.22 | 20 |
| 2003-07-12 | MetroStars | T 3-3 | 1499.32 | 1505.74 | 47.71% | 24.55% | 27.74% | -0.15 | 21 |
| 2003-07-16 | Dallas Burn | L 1-2 | 1499.17 | 1475.70 | 53.26% | 20.84% | 25.91% | -2.58 | 21 |
| 2003-07-20 | @ Chicago Fire | L 1-3 | 1496.59 | 1516.28 | 26.12% | 21.34% | 52.55% | -2.48 | 21 |
| 2003-07-24 | @ Columbus Crew | T 1-1 | 1494.11 | 1501.66 | 26.83% | 22.89% | 50.28% | +0.27 | 22 |
| 2003-07-27 | DC United | L 2-4 | 1494.38 | 1491.71 | 49.38% | 23.49% | 27.13% | -3.82 | 22 |
| 2003-08-10 | @ DC United | L 0-1 | 1490.56 | 1495.53 | 26.99% | 23.21% | 49.80% | -1.61 | 22 |
| 2003-08-16 | San Jose Earthquakes | T 1-1 | 1488.95 | 1525.49 | 42.41% | 27.39% | 30.20% | -0.14 | 23 |
| 2003-08-23 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | L 1-2 | 1488.81 | 1512.69 | 25.88% | 20.78% | 53.33% | -1.41 | 23 |
| 2003-08-31 | Chicago Fire | W 5-1 | 1487.40 | 1527.92 | 41.74% | 27.67% | 30.59% | +5.59 | 26 |
| 2003-09-07 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | L 1-2 | 1492.99 | 1524.44 | 25.48% | 19.76% | 54.76% | -1.38 | 26 |
| 2003-09-14 | @ MetroStars | W 2-1 | 1491.61 | 1506.72 | 26.38% | 21.94% | 51.69% | +2.54 | 29 |
| 2003-09-19 | Colorado Rapids | T 0-0 | 1494.15 | 1493.86 | 48.94% | 23.77% | 27.29% | -0.28 | 30 |
| 2003-09-28 | Columbus Crew | W 3-2 | 1493.87 | 1498.42 | 48.05% | 24.33% | 27.61% | +1.48 | 33 |
| 2003-10-05 | @ Dallas Burn | W 4-1 | 1495.35 | 1459.58 | 30.13% | 27.33% | 42.54% | +5.53 | 36 |
| 2003-10-12 | DC United | W 1-0 | 1500.88 | 1501.57 | 48.76% | 23.89% | 27.35% | +1.64 | 39 |
| 2003-10-19 | @ MetroStars | W 2-1 | 1502.52 | 1505.84 | 27.09% | 23.41% | 49.50% | +2.47 | 42 |
| 2003-10-25 | MetroStars | W 5-2 | 1504.99 | 1503.36 | 49.18% | 23.61% | 27.20% | +3.25 | 45 |
| 2003-04-13 | @ Colorado Rapids | W 2-1 | 1509.92 | 1491.61 | 28.62% | 25.80% | 45.57% | +2.36 | 3 |
| 2003-04-20 | Kansas City Wizards | T 1-1 | 1512.28 | 1491.50 | 52.75% | 21.19% | 26.06% | -0.32 | 4 |
| 2003-04-27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | W 1-0 | 1511.96 | 1514.03 | 48.51% | 24.05% | 27.44% | +1.65 | 7 |
| 2003-05-03 | @ New England Revolution | W 2-0 | 1513.61 | 1495.92 | 28.57% | 25.74% | 45.69% | +4.71 | 10 |
| 2003-05-11 | @ Chicago Fire | T 0-0 | 1518.32 | 1511.01 | 27.80% | 24.65% | 47.55% | +0.26 | 11 |
| 2003-05-18 | Columbus Crew | W 4-3 | 1518.58 | 1508.78 | 50.70% | 22.61% | 26.69% | +1.38 | 14 |
| 2003-05-31 | Chicago Fire | L 1-4 | 1519.96 | 1511.34 | 50.48% | 22.76% | 26.76% | -6.13 | 14 |
| 2003-06-08 | @ Columbus Crew | L 0-1 | 1513.83 | 1504.79 | 27.93% | 24.84% | 47.24% | -1.69 | 14 |
| 2003-06-15 | @ Dallas Burn | W 2-1 | 1512.14 | 1491.46 | 28.81% | 26.03% | 45.15% | +2.34 | 17 |
| 2003-06-19 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | T 1-1 | 1514.48 | 1510.06 | 27.60% | 24.32% | 48.08% | +0.24 | 18 |
| 2003-06-22 | Columbus Crew | W 2-1 | 1514.72 | 1501.73 | 51.29% | 22.21% | 26.50% | +1.47 | 21 |
| 2003-06-29 | Kansas City Wizards | T 0-0 | 1516.19 | 1498.26 | 52.22% | 21.57% | 26.22% | -0.34 | 22 |
| 2003-07-03 | @ MetroStars | T 4-4 | 1515.85 | 1503.58 | 28.16% | 25.18% | 46.65% | +0.12 | 23 |
| 2003-07-06 | Chicago Fire | T 0-0 | 1515.97 | 1518.61 | 48.40% | 24.12% | 27.48% | -0.27 | 24 |
| 2003-07-13 | Colorado Rapids | L 0-2 | 1515.70 | 1477.92 | 55.95% | 18.90% | 25.15% | -5.31 | 24 |
| 2003-07-19 | @ DC United | W 2-1 | 1510.39 | 1494.07 | 28.47% | 25.60% | 45.93% | +2.37 | 27 |
| 2003-07-27 | Dallas Burn | W 3-0 | 1512.76 | 1475.97 | 55.76% | 19.03% | 25.20% | +3.91 | 30 |
| 2003-08-09 | @ Kansas City Wizards | W 1-0 | 1516.67 | 1501.29 | 28.40% | 25.51% | 46.10% | +2.51 | 33 |
| 2003-08-14 | @ Dallas Burn | W 3-0 | 1519.18 | 1469.12 | 31.59% | 28.25% | 40.16% | +6.31 | 36 |
| 2003-08-16 | @ New England Revolution | T 1-1 | 1525.49 | 1488.95 | 30.20% | 27.39% | 42.41% | +0.14 | 37 |
| 2003-08-25 | DC United | W 1-0 | 1525.63 | 1496.26 | 54.37% | 20.04% | 25.59% | +1.47 | 40 |
| 2003-08-31 | Colorado Rapids | L 1-2 | 1527.10 | 1488.18 | 56.17% | 18.74% | 25.09% | -2.66 | 40 |
| 2003-09-07 | New England Revolution | W 2-1 | 1524.44 | 1492.99 | 54.76% | 19.76% | 25.48% | +1.38 | 43 |
| 2003-09-14 | @ DC United | L 1-2 | 1525.82 | 1496.45 | 29.55% | 26.82% | 43.64% | -1.71 | 43 |
| 2003-09-21 | @ Kansas City Wizards | W 4-1 | 1524.11 | 1491.54 | 29.83% | 27.08% | 43.08% | +5.57 | 46 |
| 2003-09-28 | Dallas Burn | W 5-2 | 1529.68 | 1462.11 | 61.53% | 14.80% | 23.67% | +2.53 | 49 |
| 2003-10-05 | MetroStars | L 0-2 | 1532.21 | 1501.04 | 54.71% | 19.80% | 25.49% | -5.24 | 49 |
| 2003-10-11 | @ Colorado Rapids | T 0-0 | 1526.97 | 1491.54 | 30.10% | 27.30% | 42.60% | +0.16 | 50 |
| 2003-10-19 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | L 0-3 | 1527.13 | 1503.35 | 29.07% | 26.32% | 44.61% | -4.86 | 50 |
| 2003-10-26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | T 1-1 | 1522.27 | 1508.21 | 51.49% | 22.07% | 26.44% | -0.29 | 51 |
Playoff Games
Every playoff game from each team's perspective, controlled by the team filter above. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003-11-02 | @ DC United | W 2-0 | 1525.42 | 1497.31 | 42.49% | 0.00% | 57.51% | +4.60 | 1-0 |
| 2003-11-09 | DC United | W 2-0 | 1530.02 | 1492.72 | 66.36% | 0.00% | 33.64% | +2.69 | 2-0 |
| 2003-11-15 | New England Revolution | W 1-0 | 1532.71 | 1512.75 | 64.09% | 0.00% | 35.91% | +1.52 | 3-0 |
| 2003-11-23 | San Jose Earthquakes | L 2-4 | 1534.23 | 1523.27 | 62.89% | 0.00% | 37.11% | -3.89 | 3-1 |
| 2003-11-05 | Kansas City Wizards | T 1-1 | 1488.52 | 1494.29 | 60.62% | 0.00% | 39.38% | -0.23 | 0-0 |
| 2003-11-09 | @ Kansas City Wizards | L 0-2 | 1488.29 | 1494.52 | 37.74% | 0.00% | 62.26% | -3.02 | 0-1 |
| 2003-11-02 | Chicago Fire | L 0-2 | 1497.31 | 1525.42 | 57.51% | 0.00% | 42.49% | -4.59 | 0-1 |
| 2003-11-09 | @ Chicago Fire | L 0-2 | 1492.72 | 1530.02 | 33.64% | 0.00% | 66.36% | -2.69 | 0-2 |
| 2003-11-05 | @ Colorado Rapids | T 1-1 | 1494.29 | 1488.52 | 39.38% | 0.00% | 60.62% | +0.23 | 0-0 |
| 2003-11-09 | Colorado Rapids | W 2-0 | 1494.52 | 1488.29 | 62.26% | 0.00% | 37.74% | +3.02 | 1-0 |
| 2003-11-16 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | L 2-3 | 1497.54 | 1521.93 | 35.32% | 0.00% | 64.68% | -1.34 | 1-1 |
| 2003-11-02 | San Jose Earthquakes | W 2-0 | 1508.50 | 1521.98 | 59.56% | 0.00% | 40.44% | +3.23 | 1-0 |
| 2003-11-10 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | L 2-5 | 1511.73 | 1518.74 | 37.64% | 0.00% | 62.36% | -3.19 | 1-1 |
| 2003-11-01 | New England Revolution | L 0-2 | 1500.11 | 1508.24 | 60.29% | 0.00% | 39.71% | -4.82 | 0-1 |
| 2003-11-09 | @ New England Revolution | T 1-1 | 1495.29 | 1513.06 | 36.20% | 0.00% | 63.80% | +0.31 | 0-1 |
| 2003-11-01 | @ MetroStars | W 2-0 | 1508.24 | 1500.11 | 39.71% | 0.00% | 60.29% | +4.82 | 1-0 |
| 2003-11-09 | MetroStars | T 1-1 | 1513.06 | 1495.29 | 63.80% | 0.00% | 36.20% | -0.31 | 1-0 |
| 2003-11-15 | @ Chicago Fire | L 0-1 | 1512.75 | 1532.71 | 35.91% | 0.00% | 64.09% | -1.52 | 1-1 |
| 2003-11-02 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | L 0-2 | 1521.98 | 1508.50 | 40.44% | 0.00% | 59.56% | -3.24 | 0-1 |
| 2003-11-10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | W 5-2 | 1518.74 | 1511.73 | 62.36% | 0.00% | 37.64% | +3.19 | 1-1 |
| 2003-11-16 | Kansas City Wizards | W 3-2 | 1521.93 | 1497.54 | 64.68% | 0.00% | 35.32% | +1.34 | 2-1 |
| 2003-11-23 | @ Chicago Fire | W 4-2 | 1523.27 | 1534.23 | 37.11% | 0.00% | 62.89% | +3.90 | 3-1 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2003-08-31 | 25.09% | Colorado Rapids | 1488.18 | 2 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | 1527.10 | 1 |
| 2 | 2003-07-13 | 25.15% | Colorado Rapids | 1477.92 | 2 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | 1515.70 | 0 |
| 3 | 2003-07-10 | 25.19% | Colorado Rapids | 1475.11 | 1 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | 1512.21 | 0 |
| 4 | 2003-10-05 | 25.49% | MetroStars | 1501.04 | 2 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | 1532.21 | 0 |
| 5 | 2003-07-13 | 25.69% | DC United | 1491.47 | 2 | @ Chicago Fire | 1518.88 | 1 |
| 6 | 2003-09-28 | 25.85% | Kansas City Wizards | 1485.97 | 2 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | 1510.47 | 1 |
| 7 | 2003-07-16 | 25.91% | Dallas Burn | 1475.70 | 2 | @ New England Revolution | 1499.17 | 1 |
| 8 | 2003-09-14 | 26.38% | New England Revolution | 1491.61 | 2 | @ MetroStars | 1506.72 | 1 |
| 9 | 2003-04-26 | 26.48% | MetroStars | 1495.09 | 1 | @ Columbus Crew | 1508.43 | 0 |
| 10 | 2003-09-26 | 26.73% | DC United | 1496.58 | 2 | @ MetroStars | 1505.80 | 0 |
| 11 | 2003-05-31 | 26.76% | Chicago Fire | 1511.34 | 4 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | 1519.96 | 1 |
| 12 | 2003-05-25 | 26.81% | New England Revolution | 1499.51 | 3 | @ Columbus Crew | 1507.40 | 2 |
| 13 | 2003-05-11 | 26.89% | Kansas City Wizards | 1489.42 | 3 | @ Dallas Burn | 1495.98 | 1 |
| 14 | 2003-10-19 | 26.92% | Columbus Crew | 1493.92 | 3 | @ DC United | 1499.93 | 2 |
| 15 | 2003-04-27 | 27.00% | New England Revolution | 1493.44 | 2 | @ Dallas Burn | 1498.20 | 1 |
| 16 | 2003-10-19 | 27.09% | New England Revolution | 1502.52 | 2 | @ MetroStars | 1505.84 | 1 |
| 17 | 2003-07-20 | 27.13% | Kansas City Wizards | 1501.60 | 1 | @ Columbus Crew | 1504.28 | 0 |
| 18 | 2003-07-27 | 27.13% | DC United | 1491.71 | 4 | @ New England Revolution | 1494.38 | 2 |
| 19 | 2003-07-03 | 27.67% | DC United | 1489.55 | 3 | @ Dallas Burn | 1484.12 | 1 |
| 20 | 2003-04-13 | 27.69% | Columbus Crew | 1503.46 | 1 | @ MetroStars | 1497.85 | 0 |
| 21 | 2003-09-14 | 27.87% | Chicago Fire | 1522.01 | 2 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | 1513.72 | 0 |
| 22 | 2003-06-14 | 27.88% | Chicago Fire | 1514.03 | 3 | @ MetroStars | 1505.67 | 2 |
| 23 | 2003-09-07 | 27.91% | MetroStars | 1504.32 | 2 | @ Kansas City Wizards | 1495.58 | 1 |
| 24 | 2003-07-05 | 27.98% | MetroStars | 1503.46 | 3 | @ DC United | 1493.75 | 2 |
| 25 | 2003-04-19 | 28.01% | Columbus Crew | 1506.03 | 2 | @ New England Revolution | 1495.84 | 1 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2003-08-14 | 6.31 | San Jose Earthquakes | 3 | 1519.18 | 31.59% | @ Dallas Burn | 0 | 1469.12 | 40.16% | 28.25% |
| 2 | 2003-05-31 | 6.13 | Chicago Fire | 4 | 1511.34 | 26.76% | @ San Jose Earthquakes | 1 | 1519.96 | 50.48% | 22.76% |
| 3 | 2003-08-31 | 5.59 | @ New England Revolution | 5 | 1487.40 | 41.74% | Chicago Fire | 1 | 1527.92 | 30.59% | 27.67% |
| 4 | 2003-09-21 | 5.57 | San Jose Earthquakes | 4 | 1524.11 | 29.83% | @ Kansas City Wizards | 1 | 1491.54 | 43.08% | 27.08% |
| 5 | 2003-10-05 | 5.53 | New England Revolution | 4 | 1495.35 | 30.13% | @ Dallas Burn | 1 | 1459.58 | 42.54% | 27.33% |
| 6 | 2003-05-26 | 5.32 | @ Chicago Fire | 4 | 1506.02 | 53.75% | Colorado Rapids | 0 | 1479.90 | 25.76% | 20.48% |
| 7 | 2003-07-13 | 5.31 | Colorado Rapids | 2 | 1477.92 | 25.15% | @ San Jose Earthquakes | 0 | 1515.70 | 55.95% | 18.90% |
| 8 | 2003-10-05 | 5.24 | MetroStars | 2 | 1501.04 | 25.49% | @ San Jose Earthquakes | 0 | 1532.21 | 54.71% | 19.80% |
| 9 | 2003-09-26 | 5.01 | DC United | 2 | 1496.58 | 26.73% | @ MetroStars | 0 | 1505.80 | 50.59% | 22.68% |
| 10 | 2003-10-19 | 4.86 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | 3 | 1503.35 | 44.61% | San Jose Earthquakes | 0 | 1527.13 | 29.07% | 26.32% |
| 11 | 2003-09-14 | 4.82 | Chicago Fire | 2 | 1522.01 | 27.87% | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | 0 | 1513.72 | 47.37% | 24.75% |
| 12 | 2003-11-01 * | 4.82 | New England Revolution | 2 | 1508.24 | 39.71% | @ MetroStars | 0 | 1500.11 | 60.29% | 0.00% |
| 13 | 2003-06-15 | 4.75 | @ DC United | 3 | 1489.42 | 45.80% | Columbus Crew | 0 | 1506.48 | 28.53% | 25.68% |
| 14 | 2003-05-18 | 4.74 | @ New England Revolution | 3 | 1494.77 | 45.99% | Chicago Fire | 0 | 1510.75 | 28.44% | 25.57% |
| 15 | 2003-05-17 | 4.73 | MetroStars | 2 | 1500.83 | 28.46% | @ Colorado Rapids | 0 | 1484.63 | 45.95% | 25.59% |
| 16 | 2003-05-03 | 4.71 | San Jose Earthquakes | 2 | 1513.61 | 28.57% | @ New England Revolution | 0 | 1495.92 | 45.69% | 25.74% |
| 17 | 2003-10-26 | 4.64 | @ Columbus Crew | 6 | 1496.28 | 42.88% | Chicago Fire | 2 | 1530.06 | 29.95% | 27.18% |
| 18 | 2003-11-02 * | 4.60 | Chicago Fire | 2 | 1525.42 | 42.49% | @ DC United | 0 | 1497.31 | 57.51% | 0.00% |
| 19 | 2003-07-13 | 4.59 | @ Kansas City Wizards | 5 | 1497.01 | 51.99% | Dallas Burn | 1 | 1480.29 | 26.28% | 21.73% |
| 20 | 2003-06-29 | 4.38 | @ Columbus Crew | 3 | 1500.26 | 50.05% | DC United | 0 | 1493.93 | 26.90% | 23.04% |
| 21 | 2003-05-11 | 4.31 | Kansas City Wizards | 3 | 1489.42 | 26.89% | @ Dallas Burn | 1 | 1495.98 | 50.10% | 23.01% |
| 22 | 2003-07-03 | 4.20 | DC United | 3 | 1489.55 | 27.67% | @ Dallas Burn | 1 | 1484.12 | 47.89% | 24.43% |
| 23 | 2003-06-29 | 4.17 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | 3 | 1508.26 | 52.60% | Dallas Burn | 0 | 1488.29 | 26.10% | 21.30% |
| 24 | 2003-06-15 | 4.16 | @ Colorado Rapids | 4 | 1473.41 | 43.83% | New England Revolution | 1 | 1501.68 | 29.45% | 26.72% |
| 25 | 2003-07-27 | 3.91 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | 3 | 1512.76 | 55.76% | Dallas Burn | 0 | 1475.97 | 25.20% | 19.03% |