Home / Leagues / MLS / 2004

2004 MLS Season

150 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

DC United

1st Title

Runner-Up

Kansas City Wizards

2nd Appearance

Last Appearance: 2000

Biggest Overachiever

Columbus Crew

7.11 points above expected

49 points · 41.89 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Chicago Fire

9.52 points below expected

33 points · 42.52 expected points

Final Standings

Regular-season records by division. The vsSim column shows actual points minus the simulation's mean points — positive means the team overachieved, negative means they underperformed.

# Team W L T Pts Pt% GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Columbus Crew Conference 12 5 13 49 .544 40 32 +8 41.89 +7.11
2 DC United Playoffs 11 10 9 42 .467 43 42 +1 40.68 +1.32
3 MetroStars Playoffs 11 12 7 40 .444 47 49 -2 41.57 -1.57
4 New England Revolution Playoffs 8 13 9 33 .367 42 43 -1 41.50 -8.50
5 Chicago Fire 8 13 9 33 .367 36 44 -8 42.52 -9.52
# Team W L T Pts Pt% GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Kansas City Wizards Conference 14 9 7 49 .544 38 30 +8 42.01 +6.99
2 Los Angeles Galaxy Playoffs 11 9 10 43 .478 42 40 +2 42.93 +0.07
3 Colorado Rapids Playoffs 10 9 11 41 .456 29 32 -3 40.77 +0.23
4 San Jose Earthquakes Playoffs 9 10 11 38 .422 41 35 +6 43.73 -5.73
5 Dallas Burn 10 14 6 36 .400 34 45 -11 38.89 -2.89

Playoff Bracket

The path each team took through the postseason — reconstructed from actual playoff games, not the simulation.

Eastern Conference

Conference Semifinals

New England Revolution 2
Columbus Crew 0

2 games · Oct 24–Oct 31

DC United 2
MetroStars 0

2 games · Oct 24–Oct 31

Conference Final

DC United 3
New England Revolution 3

Nov 6

Western Conference

Conference Semifinals

Los Angeles Galaxy 2
Colorado Rapids 0

2 games · Oct 23–Oct 31

Kansas City Wizards 2
San Jose Earthquakes 0

2 games · Oct 24–Oct 31

Conference Final

Kansas City Wizards 2
Los Angeles Galaxy 0

Nov 5

MLS Cup

DC United 3
Kansas City Wizards 2

Nov 14

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort; use the dropdown to filter by Conference or Division. Luck is the team's actual outcome minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Conference Division Elo Points Avg. Pts. Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
San Jose Earthquakes Western 1519 38 43.73 -5.73 22.89% 13 32 39 44 48 55 73
Columbus Crew Eastern 1515 49 41.89 +7.11 86.22% 17 31 37 42 47 54 68
Kansas City Wizards Western 1510 49 42.01 +6.99 85.82% 19 30 37 42 47 54 68
Los Angeles Galaxy Western 1505 43 42.93 +0.07 52.85% 21 32 38 43 48 54 66
MetroStars Eastern 1500 40 41.57 -1.57 43.87% 13 30 37 42 46 53 69
New England Revolution Eastern 1500 33 41.50 -8.50 12.11% 16 30 37 41 46 53 66
DC United Eastern 1497 42 40.68 +1.32 60.89% 13 29 36 41 45 53 68
Chicago Fire Eastern 1495 33 42.52 -9.52 10.00% 17 31 38 43 47 54 71
Colorado Rapids Western 1494 41 40.77 +0.23 54.27% 15 29 36 41 46 52 72
Dallas Burn Western 1465 36 38.89 -2.89 37.43% 14 28 34 39 44 51 66

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's points earned in that matchup (row vs column) and below it the expected points the model predicted based on each individual game's win, OT/SO, and loss probabilities. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin. The first matrix for each division covers within-division games; the second (when shown) covers games against teams outside that division — aggregated by division when there are many opponents, broken out team-by-team when there are few.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within Eastern

Team Fire Crew United MetroStars Revolution
Chicago Fire
1
(5.6 exp.)
9
(5.7 exp.)
5
(5.7 exp.)
4
(5.7 exp.)
Columbus Crew
10
(5.5 exp.)
5
(5.7 exp.)
5
(5.6 exp.)
8
(5.6 exp.)
DC United
3
(5.4 exp.)
5
(5.4 exp.)
9
(5.4 exp.)
8
(5.4 exp.)
MetroStars
5
(5.4 exp.)
5
(5.5 exp.)
3
(5.7 exp.)
5
(5.6 exp.)
New England Revolution
7
(5.4 exp.)
2
(5.5 exp.)
2
(5.7 exp.)
5
(5.5 exp.)

Eastern vs. Outside Teams

Team Rapids Burn Wizards Galaxy Earthquakes
Chicago Fire
3
(4.7 exp.)
0
(3.0 exp.)
5
(3.8 exp.)
1
(3.8 exp.)
5
(4.5 exp.)
Columbus Crew
2
(3.9 exp.)
5
(4.7 exp.)
4
(4.5 exp.)
4
(3.7 exp.)
6
(2.6 exp.)
DC United
4
(4.5 exp.)
4
(3.9 exp.)
3
(2.7 exp.)
2
(4.4 exp.)
4
(3.6 exp.)
MetroStars
0
(2.8 exp.)
3
(4.9 exp.)
6
(3.7 exp.)
9
(4.3 exp.)
4
(3.6 exp.)
New England Revolution
4
(3.8 exp.)
6
(4.0 exp.)
3
(4.5 exp.)
3
(2.7 exp.)
1
(4.3 exp.)

Within Western

Team Rapids Burn Wizards Galaxy Earthquakes
Colorado Rapids
5
(5.8 exp.)
3
(5.4 exp.)
3
(5.3 exp.)
5
(5.2 exp.)
Dallas Burn
5
(5.3 exp.)
3
(5.2 exp.)
3
(5.1 exp.)
4
(4.9 exp.)
Kansas City Wizards
9
(5.7 exp.)
9
(5.9 exp.)
8
(5.5 exp.)
5
(5.4 exp.)
Los Angeles Galaxy
6
(5.8 exp.)
9
(6.1 exp.)
2
(5.6 exp.)
7
(5.4 exp.)
San Jose Earthquakes
5
(5.9 exp.)
7
(6.2 exp.)
5
(5.7 exp.)
4
(5.7 exp.)

Western vs. Outside Teams

Team Fire Crew United MetroStars Revolution
Colorado Rapids
6
(3.6 exp.)
5
(4.4 exp.)
4
(3.8 exp.)
6
(2.7 exp.)
4
(4.5 exp.)
Dallas Burn
6
(2.6 exp.)
2
(3.6 exp.)
4
(4.4 exp.)
6
(3.5 exp.)
3
(4.3 exp.)
Kansas City Wizards
2
(4.4 exp.)
4
(3.8 exp.)
3
(2.9 exp.)
3
(4.6 exp.)
6
(3.8 exp.)
Los Angeles Galaxy
7
(4.5 exp.)
4
(4.6 exp.)
5
(3.9 exp.)
0
(4.0 exp.)
3
(2.8 exp.)
San Jose Earthquakes
2
(3.8 exp.)
0
(2.9 exp.)
4
(4.8 exp.)
4
(4.8 exp.)
7
(4.0 exp.)

Scoring Distribution

Histograms of goals scored and allowed, a home-vs-away score scatter (marker size grows with how often that exact score happened), and summary stats — all driven by the team filter below. Default view is league-wide.

Summary Statistics

Mean scored
Mean allowed
StdDev scored
StdDev allowed
Correlation (home vs away score)
Sample size (games)

Points vs. Goal Differential

How goals translated into points. Teams above the cluster overperformed their goals differential (often called Pythagorean luck), while teams below underperformed. Hover for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams furthest from where the simulation said they'd land — a fast read of the Luck column on top of the main season summary above.

Top Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Columbus Crew 49 41.89 +7.11
2 Kansas City Wizards 49 42.01 +6.99
3 DC United 42 40.68 +1.32
4 Colorado Rapids 41 40.77 +0.23
5 Los Angeles Galaxy 43 42.93 +0.07

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Chicago Fire 33 42.52 -9.52
2 New England Revolution 33 41.50 -8.50
3 San Jose Earthquakes 38 43.73 -5.73
4 Dallas Burn 36 38.89 -2.89
5 MetroStars 40 41.57 -1.57

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/T/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or T consecutively; Winless counts L or T consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Columbus Crew 4 May 15 – Jun 6 1 in 65
2 Colorado Rapids 3 Jun 27 – Jul 5 1 in 29
3 MetroStars 3 Jul 25 – Aug 8 1 in 16
4 DC United 3 Oct 3 – Oct 17 1 in 15
5 Los Angeles Galaxy 3 Jun 28 – Jul 11 1 in 15

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dallas Burn 4 May 8 – May 30 1 in 40
2 New England Revolution 3 Jun 6 – Jun 20 1 in 30
3 Kansas City Wizards 3 Jul 29 – Aug 19 1 in 29
4 San Jose Earthquakes 3 Jul 5 – Jul 10 1 in 18
5 MetroStars 3 Jun 27 – Jul 3 1 in 16

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Columbus Crew 18 Jul 4 – Oct 17 1 in 7,886
2 Kansas City Wizards 9 Jun 6 – Jul 25 1 in 170
3 New England Revolution 7 Jul 12 – Aug 15 1 in 75
4 Los Angeles Galaxy 6 Jun 28 – Jul 25 1 in 30
5 Colorado Rapids 5 Jun 13 – Jul 5 1 in 17

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Chicago Fire 9 Jun 12 – Jul 29 1 in 100
2 San Jose Earthquakes 7 Sep 9 – Oct 17 1 in 39
3 Los Angeles Galaxy 7 Jul 15 – Sep 5 1 in 22
4 New England Revolution 5 Aug 15 – Sep 12 1 in 15
5 Kansas City Wizards 4 Jul 25 – Aug 19 1 in 13

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we add up those probabilities over home games and compare to actual home wins — and do the same on the road. The bar height is (home wins above expected) minus (road wins above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real Coors-style edge. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between divisions, leagues, and the overall MLS view. Rows are sorted by the simulation's average finish (best at top).

Team12345
Chicago Fire23.54%21.21%20.25%18.31%16.69%
Columbus Crew20.87%20.08%20.36%19.96%18.73%
MetroStars19.54%20.29%20.25%19.70%20.22%
New England Revolution19.22%20.41%20.06%20.15%20.16%
DC United16.83%18.01%19.08%21.88%24.20%
Team12345
San Jose Earthquakes27.90%23.73%19.60%16.22%12.55%
Los Angeles Galaxy24.44%22.21%20.46%18.77%14.12%
Kansas City Wizards20.66%21.35%19.67%20.59%17.73%
Colorado Rapids15.95%18.51%21.25%21.48%22.81%
Dallas Burn11.05%14.20%19.02%22.94%32.79%
Team12345678910
San Jose Earthquakes15.07%13.22%12.07%10.97%10.50%9.24%8.34%7.92%6.83%5.84%
Los Angeles Galaxy12.46%12.03%11.29%11.22%10.64%9.55%9.62%8.16%8.12%6.91%
Chicago Fire11.96%11.53%10.67%10.25%10.20%10.04%9.78%8.80%8.76%8.01%
Kansas City Wizards10.54%10.42%10.71%10.17%10.43%9.98%9.89%9.74%8.98%9.14%
Columbus Crew10.07%10.26%10.28%10.25%10.19%10.48%9.88%9.88%9.96%8.75%
MetroStars9.63%9.66%10.19%10.46%9.91%10.02%9.97%10.33%9.75%10.08%
New England Revolution9.28%9.27%10.18%10.42%9.76%10.62%9.95%11.02%9.89%9.61%
Colorado Rapids7.88%8.77%9.08%9.53%9.73%10.16%10.49%11.35%11.56%11.45%
DC United7.97%8.63%8.80%9.02%9.84%10.00%10.78%10.94%11.47%12.55%
Dallas Burn5.14%6.21%6.73%7.71%8.80%9.91%11.30%11.86%14.68%17.66%

Win Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed). Click a division in the legend to toggle it.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Across the 10,000 regular-season simulations, the probability that each team finished as each playoff seed (or missed the playoffs entirely). Rows sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed; teams that more often missed the playoffs sit toward the bottom.

Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 SeedMissed Playoffs
Chicago Fire23.54%21.21%20.25%18.31%16.69%
Columbus Crew20.87%20.08%20.36%19.96%18.73%
MetroStars19.54%20.29%20.25%19.70%20.22%
New England Revolution19.22%20.41%20.06%20.15%20.16%
DC United16.83%18.01%19.08%21.88%24.20%
Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 SeedMissed Playoffs
San Jose Earthquakes27.90%23.73%19.60%16.22%12.55%
Los Angeles Galaxy24.44%22.21%20.46%18.77%14.12%
Kansas City Wizards20.66%21.35%19.67%20.59%17.73%
Colorado Rapids15.95%18.51%21.25%21.48%22.81%
Dallas Burn11.05%14.20%19.02%22.94%32.79%

Points Required to Achieve Each Seed

Empirical cumulative distribution: for each seed in each division, the probability that a team holding that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of points. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median points for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual points, simulated final points, playoff probability, and division-title probability — day by day. Pick a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces every team's game-by-game Elo trajectory through their playoff run — teams eliminated early have short lines, deeper runs extend further right; click a team in the legend to isolate it. Net Elo Change summarizes the same data as one bar per team from first playoff game to last, sorted biggest gain to biggest loss.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

Across 10,000 simulations starting from preseason Elo, every team had a chance to make the playoffs based on how the regular-season Monte Carlo played out. The default view sums those simulations up: what fraction of them had each team making the playoffs, advancing each round, and winning the title. The round buttons switch to heatmaps showing how often every pair of teams faced off in each round across all sims.

Team Made Playoffs Advanced to Conference Finals Advanced to MLS Cup Won MLS Cup
San Jose Earthquakes 87.45% 48.47% 26.52% 14.69%
Columbus Crew 81.27% 43.05% 22.19% 11.44%
Kansas City Wizards 82.27% 42.89% 21.49% 11.16%
Los Angeles Galaxy 85.88% 42.04% 21.51% 10.88%
Chicago Fire 83.31% 40.68% 20.05% 10.12%
New England Revolution 79.84% 39.87% 20.32% 9.53%
MetroStars 79.78% 39.01% 19.46% 9.33%
DC United 75.80% 37.39% 17.98% 9.04%
Colorado Rapids 77.19% 37.60% 18.06% 8.25%
Dallas Burn 67.21% 29.00% 12.42% 5.56%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Chicago FireColumbus CrewDC UnitedMetroStarsNew England Revolution
Chicago Fire9.66%9.85%11.19%9.98%
Columbus Crew11.73%9.61%10.82%10.89%
DC United10.20%9.41%8.77%9.01%
MetroStars10.21%9.67%9.04%10.09%
New England Revolution10.49%9.48%9.91%9.99%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Colorado RapidsDallas BurnKansas City WizardsLos Angeles GalaxySan Jose Earthquakes
Colorado Rapids7.85%9.31%10.66%9.78%
Dallas Burn6.36%6.85%8.12%7.67%
Kansas City Wizards10.66%9.66%11.81%10.76%
Los Angeles Galaxy10.85%9.47%10.95%10.77%
San Jose Earthquakes11.72%11.23%12.27%13.25%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Chicago FireColumbus CrewDC UnitedMetroStarsNew England Revolution
Chicago Fire5.47%4.81%4.60%5.17%
Columbus Crew5.89%5.32%5.21%5.77%
DC United4.72%4.73%4.48%4.05%
MetroStars5.00%5.36%4.54%4.56%
New England Revolution5.02%5.30%4.74%5.26%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Colorado RapidsDallas BurnKansas City WizardsLos Angeles GalaxySan Jose Earthquakes
Colorado Rapids3.26%4.58%4.64%5.58%
Dallas Burn2.87%3.18%3.02%3.35%
Kansas City Wizards5.09%4.33%5.52%6.55%
Los Angeles Galaxy4.99%4.15%5.90%6.47%
San Jose Earthquakes6.59%4.84%7.74%7.35%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Chicago FireColorado RapidsColumbus CrewDC UnitedDallas BurnKansas City WizardsLos Angeles GalaxyMetroStarsNew England RevolutionSan Jose Earthquakes
Chicago Fire1.82%1.37%2.23%2.14%2.56%
Colorado Rapids1.78%1.71%1.47%1.61%1.68%
Columbus Crew2.49%1.57%2.33%2.46%2.59%
DC United1.88%1.13%1.92%2.03%2.08%
Dallas Burn1.17%1.08%0.94%1.01%1.36%
Kansas City Wizards2.09%2.55%2.09%2.30%2.13%
Los Angeles Galaxy2.03%2.21%1.90%2.30%2.44%
MetroStars1.91%1.27%1.79%2.02%2.34%
New England Revolution1.71%1.52%2.06%1.98%2.26%
San Jose Earthquakes2.86%3.20%2.54%2.91%3.18%

Actual Bracket Simulation

With the actual playoff bracket fixed in place, this second simulation re-runs each matchup 10,000 times and tallies how often each team advanced past each round and won the title. The right-most column shows what actually happened. Round buttons switch to matchup heatmaps for that round.

Team Advanced to Conference Finals Advanced to MLS Cup Won MLS Cup Actual Outcome
Columbus Crew 53.70% 34.59% 20.29% Eliminated in Conference Semifinals
Kansas City Wizards 47.99% 30.23% 17.91% Eliminated in MLS Cup
Los Angeles Galaxy 51.55% 25.36% 13.98% Eliminated in Conference Finals
Colorado Rapids 48.45% 23.50% 11.15% Eliminated in Conference Semifinals
DC United 50.00% 23.97% 10.79% Won MLS Cup
MetroStars 50.00% 23.84% 10.00% Eliminated in Conference Semifinals
San Jose Earthquakes 52.01% 20.91% 9.45% Eliminated in Conference Semifinals
New England Revolution 46.30% 17.60% 6.43% Eliminated in Conference Finals
Loser →
↓ Winner
Columbus CrewDC UnitedMetroStarsNew England Revolution
Columbus Crew53.70%
DC United50.00%
MetroStars50.00%
New England Revolution46.30%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Colorado RapidsKansas City WizardsLos Angeles GalaxySan Jose Earthquakes
Colorado Rapids48.45%
Kansas City Wizards47.99%
Los Angeles Galaxy51.55%
San Jose Earthquakes52.01%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Columbus CrewDC UnitedMetroStarsNew England Revolution
Columbus Crew17.02%17.57%
DC United9.54%14.43%
MetroStars9.57%14.27%
New England Revolution9.01%8.59%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Colorado RapidsKansas City WizardsLos Angeles GalaxySan Jose Earthquakes
Colorado Rapids8.79%14.71%
Kansas City Wizards14.65%15.58%
Los Angeles Galaxy8.97%16.39%
San Jose Earthquakes10.30%10.61%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Colorado RapidsColumbus CrewDC UnitedKansas City WizardsLos Angeles GalaxyMetroStarsNew England RevolutionSan Jose Earthquakes
Colorado Rapids2.78%2.34%3.19%2.84%
Columbus Crew5.02%5.56%5.25%4.46%
DC United3.71%2.23%2.13%2.72%
Kansas City Wizards5.45%4.76%4.60%3.10%
Los Angeles Galaxy3.02%4.12%4.09%2.75%
MetroStars2.11%2.60%2.24%3.05%
New England Revolution1.51%1.93%1.76%1.23%
San Jose Earthquakes3.05%1.96%1.96%2.48%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, the opponent they most often faced and defeated at each round across all bracket simulations. Each step shows two numbers: Matchup % is the fraction of this team's wins in this round that came against this opponent; Win % is the head-to-head probability they beat this opponent when the two meet. Note: fixed early-round matchups against bracket-determined opponents will show 100% Matchup — that's because those pairings are decided by the bracket.

Columbus Crew 20.29% chance to win
Conference Semifinals
vs. New England Revolution
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
53.70%
Conference Finals
vs. MetroStars
Matchup
50.80%
Win Prob
64.74%
MLS Cup
vs. Kansas City Wizards
Matchup
27.40%
Win Prob
50.50%
Kansas City Wizards 17.91% chance to win
Conference Semifinals
vs. San Jose Earthquakes
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
47.99%
Conference Finals
vs. Los Angeles Galaxy
Matchup
51.54%
Win Prob
63.46%
MLS Cup
vs. Columbus Crew
Matchup
30.43%
Win Prob
49.50%
Los Angeles Galaxy 13.98% chance to win
Conference Semifinals
vs. Colorado Rapids
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
51.55%
Conference Finals
vs. San Jose Earthquakes
Matchup
64.63%
Win Prob
60.70%
MLS Cup
vs. DC United
Matchup
29.47%
Win Prob
65.92%
Colorado Rapids 11.15% chance to win
Conference Semifinals
vs. Los Angeles Galaxy
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
48.45%
Conference Finals
vs. San Jose Earthquakes
Matchup
62.60%
Win Prob
58.82%
MLS Cup
vs. MetroStars
Matchup
28.61%
Win Prob
60.19%
DC United 10.79% chance to win
Conference Semifinals
vs. MetroStars
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
50.00%
Conference Finals
vs. New England Revolution
Matchup
60.20%
Win Prob
61.56%
MLS Cup
vs. Colorado Rapids
Matchup
34.38%
Win Prob
61.32%
MetroStars 10.00% chance to win
Conference Semifinals
vs. DC United
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
50.00%
Conference Finals
vs. New England Revolution
Matchup
59.86%
Win Prob
62.42%
MLS Cup
vs. San Jose Earthquakes
Matchup
30.50%
Win Prob
60.88%
San Jose Earthquakes 9.45% chance to win
Conference Semifinals
vs. Kansas City Wizards
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
52.01%
Conference Finals
vs. Los Angeles Galaxy
Matchup
50.74%
Win Prob
39.30%
MLS Cup
vs. Columbus Crew
Matchup
32.28%
Win Prob
40.61%
New England Revolution 6.43% chance to win
Conference Semifinals
vs. Columbus Crew
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
46.30%
Conference Finals
vs. DC United
Matchup
51.19%
Win Prob
38.44%
MLS Cup
vs. Kansas City Wizards
Matchup
30.02%
Win Prob
38.37%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Pick a team from the dropdown — it filters every table on this tab. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2004-04-04 @ Kansas City Wizards T 0-0 1514.69 1498.20 27.08% 24.87% 48.06% +0.26 1
2004-04-10 @ San Jose Earthquakes T 0-0 1514.95 1512.11 26.40% 22.82% 50.78% +0.30 2
2004-04-18 Dallas Burn L 0-2 1515.25 1476.72 59.14% 16.19% 24.68% -5.24 2
2004-04-24 @ DC United W 1-0 1510.01 1495.73 26.96% 24.55% 48.49% +2.50 5
2004-05-02 MetroStars W 3-0 1512.51 1503.07 53.26% 20.88% 25.86% +3.94 8
2004-05-09 @ Kansas City Wizards T 2-2 1516.45 1500.60 27.04% 24.77% 48.18% +0.18 9
2004-05-16 @ MetroStars T 1-1 1516.63 1499.29 27.12% 24.99% 47.89% +0.23 10
2004-05-23 Columbus Crew L 1-3 1516.86 1493.65 56.05% 18.65% 25.30% -4.41 10
2004-05-30 Colorado Rapids W 1-0 1512.45 1492.71 55.35% 19.22% 25.44% +1.39 13
2004-06-05 DC United W 3-0 1513.84 1492.41 55.69% 18.94% 25.37% +3.77 16
2004-06-12 @ Los Angeles Galaxy L 2-3 1517.61 1512.80 26.49% 23.13% 50.38% -1.36 16
2004-06-20 San Jose Earthquakes T 1-1 1516.25 1518.89 50.81% 22.79% 26.39% -0.27 17
2004-06-28 Los Angeles Galaxy L 0-1 1515.98 1505.33 53.50% 20.69% 25.81% -2.63 17
2004-07-04 @ Columbus Crew L 0-2 1513.35 1496.84 27.08% 24.87% 48.05% -2.99 17
2004-07-12 New England Revolution T 1-1 1510.36 1491.02 55.26% 19.28% 25.45% -0.33 18
2004-07-15 @ New England Revolution L 1-3 1510.03 1491.35 27.20% 25.18% 47.63% -2.60 18
2004-07-18 MetroStars T 1-1 1507.43 1497.61 53.33% 20.82% 25.85% -0.31 19
2004-07-25 @ MetroStars L 1-2 1507.12 1497.91 26.70% 23.79% 49.50% -1.45 19
2004-07-29 @ Colorado Rapids L 0-2 1505.67 1489.66 27.05% 24.80% 48.15% -2.98 19
2004-08-12 San Jose Earthquakes W 2-1 1502.69 1516.31 48.62% 24.45% 26.93% +1.48 22
2004-08-15 Colorado Rapids L 0-3 1504.17 1488.59 54.50% 19.89% 25.61% -7.29 22
2004-08-22 @ Los Angeles Galaxy T 1-1 1496.88 1508.20 25.78% 20.58% 53.64% +0.32 23
2004-08-29 @ Dallas Burn L 1-4 1497.20 1473.28 27.49% 25.90% 46.60% -3.75 23
2004-09-02 Kansas City Wizards W 3-1 1493.45 1508.59 48.32% 24.67% 27.01% +2.57 26
2004-09-05 DC United W 3-1 1496.02 1488.97 52.77% 21.27% 25.96% +2.37 29
2004-09-19 @ DC United L 1-3 1498.39 1490.52 26.64% 23.59% 49.77% -2.50 29
2004-09-26 New England Revolution W 2-0 1495.89 1500.42 50.44% 23.08% 26.48% +2.85 32
2004-10-03 @ Columbus Crew T 3-3 1498.74 1512.04 25.70% 20.26% 54.04% +0.20 33
2004-10-07 Columbus Crew L 0-1 1498.94 1511.84 48.77% 24.34% 26.89% -2.50 33
2004-10-17 @ New England Revolution L 1-2 1496.44 1498.58 26.18% 22.05% 51.78% -1.40 33
2004-04-04 @ Dallas Burn T 1-1 1492.41 1476.96 27.02% 24.72% 48.26% +0.23 1
2004-04-18 Los Angeles Galaxy T 1-1 1492.64 1505.71 48.73% 24.37% 26.90% -0.24 2
2004-04-25 San Jose Earthquakes W 1-0 1492.40 1515.95 46.67% 25.85% 27.47% +1.62 5
2004-05-02 @ Kansas City Wizards L 0-2 1494.02 1497.83 26.10% 21.78% 52.12% -2.77 5
2004-05-08 New England Revolution T 0-0 1491.25 1502.10 49.17% 24.04% 26.79% -0.28 6
2004-05-16 @ Los Angeles Galaxy T 1-1 1490.97 1511.20 25.42% 19.14% 55.44% +0.34 7
2004-05-23 DC United W 2-1 1491.31 1491.18 51.37% 22.36% 26.27% +1.40 10
2004-05-30 @ Chicago Fire L 0-1 1492.71 1512.45 25.44% 19.22% 55.35% -1.38 10
2004-06-10 Kansas City Wizards L 0-1 1491.33 1500.20 49.57% 23.74% 26.69% -2.53 10
2004-06-13 @ DC United T 0-0 1488.80 1488.64 26.28% 22.41% 51.31% +0.31 11
2004-06-20 Dallas Burn T 1-1 1489.11 1479.82 53.23% 20.91% 25.87% -0.30 12
2004-06-27 @ Columbus Crew W 2-1 1488.81 1499.33 25.82% 20.71% 53.47% +2.48 15
2004-07-01 @ MetroStars W 3-2 1491.29 1500.81 25.86% 20.87% 53.27% +2.35 18
2004-07-05 New England Revolution W 1-0 1493.64 1492.51 51.57% 22.20% 26.22% +1.48 21
2004-07-11 @ Los Angeles Galaxy L 0-2 1495.12 1509.43 25.66% 20.10% 54.24% -2.67 21
2004-07-15 Los Angeles Galaxy T 0-0 1492.45 1512.10 47.44% 25.31% 27.25% -0.25 22
2004-07-17 @ San Jose Earthquakes L 1-3 1492.20 1511.74 25.45% 19.25% 55.30% -2.26 22
2004-07-24 Columbus Crew T 0-0 1489.94 1499.77 49.37% 23.89% 26.74% -0.28 23
2004-07-29 Chicago Fire W 2-0 1489.66 1505.67 48.15% 24.80% 27.05% +2.98 26
2004-08-08 @ Dallas Burn L 0-1 1492.64 1479.29 26.91% 24.41% 48.68% -1.57 26
2004-08-12 @ DC United L 1-3 1491.07 1486.09 26.50% 23.15% 50.34% -2.48 26
2004-08-15 @ Chicago Fire W 3-0 1488.59 1504.17 25.61% 19.89% 54.50% +7.28 29
2004-08-22 MetroStars W 1-0 1495.87 1503.38 49.84% 23.54% 26.62% +1.54 32
2004-08-29 @ San Jose Earthquakes T 0-0 1497.41 1523.13 25.20% 18.25% 56.56% +0.39 33
2004-09-05 Dallas Burn W 2-1 1497.80 1477.03 55.55% 19.05% 25.40% +1.30 36
2004-09-11 Kansas City Wizards W 3-1 1499.10 1507.49 49.66% 23.67% 26.66% +2.51 39
2004-09-19 @ New England Revolution L 1-6 1501.61 1494.84 26.59% 23.43% 49.99% -5.58 39
2004-09-26 @ Kansas City Wizards L 0-1 1496.03 1506.56 25.82% 20.71% 53.48% -1.43 39
2004-10-03 San Jose Earthquakes T 1-1 1494.60 1519.07 46.49% 25.98% 27.53% -0.22 40
2004-10-17 Columbus Crew T 1-1 1494.38 1514.59 47.33% 25.39% 27.28% -0.22 41
2004-04-04 MetroStars L 1-3 1500.57 1497.82 51.90% 21.95% 26.15% -4.23 0
2004-04-18 @ Kansas City Wizards L 0-1 1496.34 1497.94 26.20% 22.13% 51.67% -1.49 0
2004-04-25 @ Los Angeles Galaxy L 0-2 1494.85 1505.95 25.79% 20.62% 53.59% -2.69 0
2004-05-02 Dallas Burn T 0-0 1492.16 1483.54 53.09% 21.02% 25.90% -0.34 1
2004-05-09 @ DC United T 1-1 1491.82 1493.57 26.19% 22.11% 51.70% +0.28 2
2004-05-15 New England Revolution W 1-0 1492.10 1502.38 49.29% 23.96% 26.76% +1.55 5
2004-05-23 @ Chicago Fire W 3-1 1493.65 1516.86 25.30% 18.65% 56.05% +4.41 8
2004-05-30 San Jose Earthquakes W 1-0 1498.06 1518.25 47.33% 25.39% 27.28% +1.60 11
2004-06-06 @ New England Revolution W 2-1 1499.66 1500.23 26.25% 22.29% 51.46% +2.43 14
2004-06-13 Kansas City Wizards T 2-2 1502.09 1502.72 51.22% 22.48% 26.30% -0.21 15
2004-06-20 @ DC United L 1-3 1501.88 1488.33 26.92% 24.44% 48.64% -2.55 15
2004-06-27 Colorado Rapids L 1-2 1499.33 1488.81 53.47% 20.71% 25.82% -2.49 15
2004-07-04 Chicago Fire W 2-0 1496.84 1513.35 48.05% 24.87% 27.08% +2.99 18
2004-07-11 @ Dallas Burn T 0-0 1499.83 1478.50 27.34% 25.55% 47.11% +0.24 19
2004-07-18 New England Revolution T 1-1 1500.07 1493.96 52.58% 21.41% 26.00% -0.30 20
2004-07-24 @ Colorado Rapids T 0-0 1499.77 1489.94 26.74% 23.89% 49.37% +0.29 21
2004-07-29 Dallas Burn W 2-1 1500.06 1480.60 55.29% 19.26% 25.45% +1.30 24
2004-08-07 @ New England Revolution T 2-2 1501.36 1494.50 26.59% 23.44% 49.97% +0.20 25
2004-08-15 @ Los Angeles Galaxy T 0-0 1501.56 1508.54 25.97% 21.28% 52.76% +0.33 26
2004-08-19 Kansas City Wizards W 2-1 1501.89 1507.62 50.19% 23.27% 26.54% +1.44 29
2004-08-22 DC United T 2-2 1503.33 1488.38 54.37% 20.00% 25.63% -0.24 30
2004-08-29 @ MetroStars T 1-1 1503.09 1501.84 26.33% 22.58% 51.10% +0.28 31
2004-09-05 Los Angeles Galaxy W 3-1 1503.37 1507.89 50.44% 23.08% 26.48% +2.47 34
2004-09-09 @ San Jose Earthquakes W 1-0 1505.84 1525.18 25.45% 19.28% 55.26% +2.68 37
2004-09-19 MetroStars W 4-2 1508.52 1501.42 52.78% 21.26% 25.96% +2.12 40
2004-09-26 DC United W 1-0 1510.64 1493.02 54.91% 19.56% 25.52% +1.40 43
2004-10-03 Chicago Fire T 3-3 1512.04 1498.74 54.04% 20.26% 25.70% -0.20 44
2004-10-07 @ Chicago Fire W 1-0 1511.84 1498.94 26.89% 24.34% 48.77% +2.51 47
2004-10-10 @ MetroStars T 1-1 1514.35 1501.25 26.90% 24.37% 48.73% +0.24 48
2004-10-17 @ Colorado Rapids T 1-1 1514.59 1494.38 27.28% 25.39% 47.33% +0.22 49
2004-04-03 San Jose Earthquakes W 2-1 1495.23 1513.61 47.68% 25.14% 27.18% +1.50 3
2004-04-11 @ Los Angeles Galaxy T 1-1 1496.73 1506.01 25.87% 20.91% 53.22% +0.31 4
2004-04-17 @ MetroStars L 2-3 1497.04 1502.05 26.05% 21.59% 52.36% -1.31 4
2004-04-24 Chicago Fire L 0-1 1495.73 1510.01 48.49% 24.55% 26.96% -2.50 4
2004-05-01 @ San Jose Earthquakes T 1-1 1493.23 1514.33 25.38% 19.00% 55.62% +0.34 5
2004-05-09 Columbus Crew T 1-1 1493.57 1491.82 51.70% 22.11% 26.19% -0.29 6
2004-05-16 Kansas City Wizards W 1-0 1493.28 1500.43 49.91% 23.48% 26.60% +1.53 9
2004-05-20 Los Angeles Galaxy L 2-4 1494.81 1510.86 48.14% 24.80% 27.05% -3.63 9
2004-05-23 @ Colorado Rapids L 1-2 1491.18 1491.31 26.27% 22.36% 51.37% -1.40 9
2004-05-30 @ New England Revolution W 1-0 1489.78 1500.55 25.81% 20.67% 53.53% +2.63 12
2004-06-05 @ Chicago Fire L 0-3 1492.41 1513.84 25.37% 18.94% 55.69% -3.77 12
2004-06-13 Colorado Rapids T 0-0 1488.64 1488.80 51.31% 22.41% 26.28% -0.31 13
2004-06-20 Columbus Crew W 3-1 1488.33 1501.88 48.64% 24.44% 26.92% +2.55 16
2004-06-26 @ Dallas Burn T 1-1 1490.88 1480.12 26.78% 24.03% 49.19% +0.25 17
2004-07-03 MetroStars W 6-2 1491.13 1498.46 49.88% 23.51% 26.61% +3.88 20
2004-07-11 @ Kansas City Wizards L 0-1 1495.01 1511.39 25.57% 19.76% 54.66% -1.41 20
2004-07-18 Los Angeles Galaxy T 1-1 1493.60 1512.35 47.61% 25.19% 27.20% -0.22 21
2004-07-25 @ Dallas Burn L 1-5 1493.38 1475.87 27.13% 25.01% 47.86% -4.74 21
2004-08-08 @ San Jose Earthquakes L 0-2 1488.64 1513.75 25.22% 18.35% 56.43% -2.55 21
2004-08-12 Colorado Rapids W 3-1 1486.09 1491.07 50.34% 23.15% 26.50% +2.47 24
2004-08-15 New England Revolution T 2-2 1488.56 1501.16 48.83% 24.30% 26.87% -0.18 25
2004-08-22 @ Columbus Crew T 2-2 1488.38 1503.33 25.63% 20.00% 54.37% +0.24 26
2004-08-28 @ New England Revolution T 0-0 1488.62 1498.94 25.82% 20.74% 53.43% +0.35 27
2004-09-05 @ Chicago Fire L 1-3 1488.97 1496.02 25.96% 21.27% 52.77% -2.38 27
2004-09-11 Dallas Burn W 3-0 1486.59 1475.73 53.54% 20.65% 25.80% +3.93 30
2004-09-19 Chicago Fire W 3-1 1490.52 1498.39 49.77% 23.59% 26.64% +2.50 33
2004-09-26 @ Columbus Crew L 0-1 1493.02 1510.64 25.52% 19.56% 54.91% -1.39 33
2004-10-03 @ MetroStars W 1-0 1491.63 1503.90 25.74% 20.43% 53.83% +2.64 36
2004-10-10 New England Revolution W 1-0 1494.27 1500.10 50.17% 23.28% 26.54% +1.52 39
2004-10-17 MetroStars W 3-2 1495.79 1501.01 50.30% 23.19% 26.51% +1.36 42
2004-04-04 Colorado Rapids T 1-1 1476.96 1492.41 48.26% 24.72% 27.02% -0.24 1
2004-04-18 @ Chicago Fire W 2-0 1476.72 1515.25 24.68% 16.19% 59.14% +5.24 4
2004-04-25 Kansas City Wizards W 1-0 1481.96 1499.42 47.86% 25.01% 27.13% +1.58 7
2004-05-02 @ Columbus Crew T 0-0 1483.54 1492.16 25.90% 21.02% 53.09% +0.34 8
2004-05-08 Los Angeles Galaxy L 1-3 1483.88 1507.20 46.72% 25.82% 27.46% -3.99 8
2004-05-16 San Jose Earthquakes L 1-2 1479.89 1513.83 44.68% 27.20% 28.12% -2.25 8
2004-05-23 @ Kansas City Wizards L 0-2 1477.64 1498.90 25.38% 18.97% 55.65% -2.60 8
2004-05-30 @ Los Angeles Galaxy L 1-4 1475.04 1512.33 24.73% 16.38% 58.89% -2.99 8
2004-06-06 @ MetroStars W 2-0 1472.05 1500.84 25.07% 17.75% 57.18% +5.15 11
2004-06-13 New England Revolution W 3-1 1477.20 1497.80 47.25% 25.45% 27.30% +2.62 14
2004-06-20 @ Colorado Rapids T 1-1 1479.82 1489.11 25.87% 20.91% 53.23% +0.30 15
2004-06-26 DC United T 1-1 1480.12 1490.88 49.19% 24.03% 26.78% -0.25 16
2004-07-04 @ Kansas City Wizards L 1-5 1479.87 1507.38 25.12% 17.96% 56.92% -4.01 16
2004-07-08 @ San Jose Earthquakes W 2-1 1475.86 1517.39 24.55% 15.71% 59.74% +2.64 19
2004-07-11 Columbus Crew T 0-0 1478.50 1499.83 47.11% 25.55% 27.34% -0.25 20
2004-07-18 Kansas City Wizards L 0-1 1478.25 1512.79 44.57% 27.27% 28.16% -2.38 20
2004-07-25 DC United W 5-1 1475.87 1493.38 47.86% 25.01% 27.13% +4.73 23
2004-07-29 @ Columbus Crew L 1-2 1480.60 1500.06 25.45% 19.26% 55.29% -1.31 23
2004-08-08 Colorado Rapids W 1-0 1479.29 1492.64 48.68% 24.41% 26.91% +1.57 26
2004-08-12 New England Revolution L 0-3 1480.86 1494.31 48.66% 24.43% 26.92% -6.85 26
2004-08-15 @ MetroStars W 1-0 1474.01 1506.12 24.94% 17.21% 57.85% +2.74 29
2004-08-22 @ San Jose Earthquakes L 0-3 1476.75 1519.67 24.50% 15.49% 60.01% -3.47 29
2004-08-29 Chicago Fire W 4-1 1473.28 1497.20 46.60% 25.90% 27.49% +3.75 32
2004-09-05 @ Colorado Rapids L 1-2 1477.03 1497.80 25.40% 19.05% 55.55% -1.30 32
2004-09-11 @ DC United L 0-3 1475.73 1486.59 25.80% 20.65% 53.54% -3.92 32
2004-09-19 Los Angeles Galaxy W 2-0 1471.81 1506.91 44.46% 27.34% 28.20% +3.18 35
2004-09-26 MetroStars L 0-2 1474.99 1499.29 46.53% 25.96% 27.52% -4.60 35
2004-10-03 @ New England Revolution L 0-2 1470.39 1497.56 25.14% 18.01% 56.85% -2.54 35
2004-10-10 @ Los Angeles Galaxy L 0-2 1467.85 1503.83 24.78% 16.59% 58.63% -2.46 35
2004-10-17 San Jose Earthquakes T 2-2 1465.39 1518.93 41.08% 29.28% 29.63% -0.09 36
2004-04-04 Chicago Fire T 0-0 1498.20 1514.69 48.06% 24.87% 27.08% -0.26 1
2004-04-18 Columbus Crew W 1-0 1497.94 1496.34 51.67% 22.13% 26.20% +1.48 4
2004-04-25 @ Dallas Burn L 0-1 1499.42 1481.96 27.13% 25.01% 47.86% -1.59 4
2004-05-02 Colorado Rapids W 2-0 1497.83 1494.02 52.12% 21.78% 26.10% +2.77 7
2004-05-09 Chicago Fire T 2-2 1500.60 1516.45 48.18% 24.77% 27.04% -0.17 8
2004-05-16 @ DC United L 0-1 1500.43 1493.28 26.60% 23.48% 49.91% -1.53 8
2004-05-23 Dallas Burn W 2-0 1498.90 1477.64 55.65% 18.97% 25.38% +2.60 11
2004-05-31 @ MetroStars L 0-1 1501.50 1499.34 26.37% 22.72% 50.91% -1.51 11
2004-06-03 New England Revolution L 2-3 1499.99 1497.92 51.77% 22.05% 26.18% -2.31 11
2004-06-06 @ Los Angeles Galaxy W 2-1 1497.68 1515.32 25.52% 19.56% 54.92% +2.52 14
2004-06-10 @ Colorado Rapids W 1-0 1500.20 1491.33 26.69% 23.74% 49.57% +2.52 17
2004-06-13 @ Columbus Crew T 2-2 1502.72 1502.09 26.30% 22.48% 51.22% +0.21 18
2004-06-20 @ New England Revolution W 3-1 1502.93 1495.18 26.63% 23.58% 49.79% +4.14 21
2004-06-27 @ San Jose Earthquakes T 1-1 1507.07 1519.17 25.75% 20.45% 53.79% +0.31 22
2004-07-04 Dallas Burn W 5-1 1507.38 1479.87 56.92% 17.96% 25.12% +4.01 25
2004-07-11 DC United W 1-0 1511.39 1495.01 54.66% 19.76% 25.57% +1.40 28
2004-07-18 @ Dallas Burn W 1-0 1512.79 1478.25 28.16% 27.27% 44.57% +2.39 31
2004-07-25 Los Angeles Galaxy T 2-2 1515.18 1512.57 51.87% 21.97% 26.16% -0.22 32
2004-07-29 MetroStars L 1-2 1514.96 1499.37 54.50% 19.89% 25.61% -2.50 32
2004-08-14 San Jose Earthquakes L 0-2 1512.46 1514.84 50.87% 22.75% 26.38% -4.84 32
2004-08-19 @ Columbus Crew L 1-2 1507.62 1501.89 26.54% 23.27% 50.19% -1.43 32
2004-08-22 @ New England Revolution W 2-1 1506.19 1501.34 26.50% 23.13% 50.37% +2.40 35
2004-09-02 @ Chicago Fire L 1-3 1508.59 1493.45 27.01% 24.67% 48.32% -2.57 35
2004-09-05 MetroStars W 1-0 1506.02 1501.57 52.25% 21.68% 26.08% +1.47 38
2004-09-11 @ Colorado Rapids L 1-3 1507.49 1499.10 26.66% 23.67% 49.66% -2.51 38
2004-09-19 San Jose Earthquakes W 1-0 1504.98 1521.01 48.15% 24.80% 27.05% +1.58 41
2004-09-26 Colorado Rapids W 1-0 1506.56 1496.03 53.48% 20.71% 25.82% +1.43 44
2004-10-03 @ Los Angeles Galaxy T 1-1 1507.99 1504.09 26.45% 22.99% 50.56% +0.27 45
2004-10-10 @ San Jose Earthquakes T 0-0 1508.26 1519.28 25.80% 20.63% 53.58% +0.35 46
2004-10-17 Los Angeles Galaxy W 1-0 1508.61 1506.28 51.82% 22.02% 26.17% +1.48 49
2004-04-04 New England Revolution W 3-2 1504.68 1505.85 51.11% 22.56% 26.33% +1.33 3
2004-04-11 DC United T 1-1 1506.01 1496.73 53.22% 20.91% 25.87% -0.30 4
2004-04-18 @ Colorado Rapids T 1-1 1505.71 1492.64 26.90% 24.37% 48.73% +0.24 5
2004-04-25 Columbus Crew W 2-0 1505.95 1494.85 53.59% 20.62% 25.79% +2.70 8
2004-05-02 @ New England Revolution L 1-2 1508.65 1500.66 26.65% 23.61% 49.74% -1.45 8
2004-05-08 @ Dallas Burn W 3-1 1507.20 1483.88 27.46% 25.82% 46.72% +4.00 11
2004-05-16 Colorado Rapids T 1-1 1511.20 1490.97 55.44% 19.14% 25.42% -0.34 12
2004-05-20 @ DC United W 4-2 1510.86 1494.81 27.05% 24.80% 48.14% +3.63 15
2004-05-23 @ San Jose Earthquakes L 2-4 1514.49 1516.08 26.20% 22.13% 51.67% -2.16 15
2004-05-30 Dallas Burn W 4-1 1512.33 1475.04 58.89% 16.38% 24.73% +2.99 18
2004-06-06 Kansas City Wizards L 1-2 1515.32 1497.68 54.92% 19.56% 25.52% -2.52 18
2004-06-12 Chicago Fire W 3-2 1512.80 1517.61 50.38% 23.13% 26.49% +1.36 21
2004-06-19 @ MetroStars L 1-2 1514.16 1493.45 27.31% 25.46% 47.23% -1.51 21
2004-06-24 MetroStars L 0-3 1512.65 1494.96 54.93% 19.55% 25.52% -7.32 21
2004-06-28 @ Chicago Fire W 1-0 1505.33 1515.98 25.81% 20.69% 53.50% +2.64 24
2004-07-05 San Jose Earthquakes W 2-1 1507.97 1518.85 49.17% 24.05% 26.79% +1.46 27
2004-07-11 Colorado Rapids W 2-0 1509.43 1495.12 54.24% 20.10% 25.66% +2.67 30
2004-07-15 @ Colorado Rapids T 0-0 1512.10 1492.45 27.25% 25.31% 47.44% +0.25 31
2004-07-18 @ DC United T 1-1 1512.35 1493.60 27.20% 25.19% 47.61% +0.22 32
2004-07-25 @ Kansas City Wizards T 2-2 1512.57 1515.18 26.16% 21.97% 51.87% +0.22 33
2004-08-08 @ MetroStars L 0-3 1512.79 1501.87 26.79% 24.05% 49.16% -4.25 33
2004-08-15 Columbus Crew T 0-0 1508.54 1501.56 52.76% 21.28% 25.97% -0.34 34
2004-08-22 Chicago Fire T 1-1 1508.20 1496.88 53.64% 20.58% 25.78% -0.31 35
2004-09-05 @ Columbus Crew L 1-3 1507.89 1503.37 26.48% 23.08% 50.44% -2.47 35
2004-09-12 San Jose Earthquakes W 2-1 1505.42 1522.51 47.94% 24.95% 27.11% +1.49 38
2004-09-19 @ Dallas Burn L 0-2 1506.91 1471.81 28.20% 27.34% 44.46% -3.18 38
2004-09-26 @ San Jose Earthquakes T 0-0 1503.73 1519.43 25.60% 19.87% 54.53% +0.36 39
2004-10-03 Kansas City Wizards T 1-1 1504.09 1507.99 50.56% 22.99% 26.45% -0.26 40
2004-10-10 Dallas Burn W 2-0 1503.83 1467.85 58.63% 16.59% 24.78% +2.45 43
2004-10-17 @ Kansas City Wizards L 0-1 1506.28 1508.61 26.17% 22.02% 51.82% -1.48 43
2004-04-04 @ Columbus Crew W 3-1 1497.82 1500.57 26.15% 21.95% 51.90% +4.23 3
2004-04-17 DC United W 3-2 1502.05 1497.04 52.36% 21.59% 26.05% +1.31 6
2004-04-25 New England Revolution T 1-1 1503.36 1500.37 51.95% 21.91% 26.14% -0.29 7
2004-05-02 @ Chicago Fire L 0-3 1503.07 1512.51 25.86% 20.88% 53.26% -3.94 7
2004-05-09 @ San Jose Earthquakes T 5-5 1499.13 1513.99 25.64% 20.01% 54.35% +0.16 8
2004-05-16 Chicago Fire T 1-1 1499.29 1516.63 47.89% 24.99% 27.12% -0.24 9
2004-05-22 @ New England Revolution T 1-1 1499.05 1500.83 26.19% 22.10% 51.71% +0.29 10
2004-05-31 Kansas City Wizards W 1-0 1499.34 1501.50 50.91% 22.72% 26.37% +1.50 13
2004-06-06 Dallas Burn L 0-2 1500.84 1472.05 57.18% 17.75% 25.07% -5.14 13
2004-06-13 @ San Jose Earthquakes L 1-3 1495.70 1516.64 25.39% 19.02% 55.59% -2.25 13
2004-06-19 Los Angeles Galaxy W 2-1 1493.45 1514.16 47.23% 25.46% 27.31% +1.51 16
2004-06-24 @ Los Angeles Galaxy W 3-0 1494.96 1512.65 25.52% 19.55% 54.93% +7.31 19
2004-06-27 @ New England Revolution L 1-2 1502.27 1491.04 26.81% 24.10% 49.10% -1.46 19
2004-07-01 Colorado Rapids L 2-3 1500.81 1491.29 53.27% 20.87% 25.86% -2.35 19
2004-07-03 @ DC United L 2-6 1498.46 1491.13 26.61% 23.51% 49.88% -3.87 19
2004-07-10 San Jose Earthquakes W 2-0 1494.59 1514.76 47.33% 25.39% 27.28% +3.02 22
2004-07-18 @ Chicago Fire T 1-1 1497.61 1507.43 25.85% 20.82% 53.33% +0.30 23
2004-07-25 Chicago Fire W 2-1 1497.91 1507.12 49.50% 23.79% 26.70% +1.46 26
2004-07-29 @ Kansas City Wizards W 2-1 1499.37 1514.96 25.61% 19.89% 54.50% +2.50 29
2004-08-08 Los Angeles Galaxy W 3-0 1501.87 1512.79 49.16% 24.05% 26.79% +4.25 32
2004-08-15 Dallas Burn L 0-1 1506.12 1474.01 57.85% 17.21% 24.94% -2.74 32
2004-08-22 @ Colorado Rapids L 0-1 1503.38 1495.87 26.62% 23.54% 49.84% -1.54 32
2004-08-29 Columbus Crew T 1-1 1501.84 1503.09 51.10% 22.58% 26.33% -0.27 33
2004-09-05 @ Kansas City Wizards L 0-1 1501.57 1506.02 26.08% 21.68% 52.25% -1.47 33
2004-09-12 New England Revolution W 3-2 1500.10 1496.15 52.14% 21.76% 26.10% +1.32 36
2004-09-19 @ Columbus Crew L 2-4 1501.42 1508.52 25.96% 21.26% 52.78% -2.13 36
2004-09-26 @ Dallas Burn W 2-0 1499.29 1474.99 27.52% 25.96% 46.53% +4.61 39
2004-10-03 DC United L 0-1 1503.90 1491.63 53.83% 20.43% 25.74% -2.65 39
2004-10-10 Columbus Crew T 1-1 1501.25 1514.35 48.73% 24.37% 26.90% -0.24 40
2004-10-17 @ DC United L 2-3 1501.01 1495.79 26.51% 23.19% 50.30% -1.36 40
2004-04-04 @ Los Angeles Galaxy L 2-3 1505.85 1504.68 26.33% 22.56% 51.11% -1.34 0
2004-04-18 San Jose Earthquakes L 1-3 1504.51 1511.81 49.88% 23.51% 26.61% -4.14 0
2004-04-25 @ MetroStars T 1-1 1500.37 1503.36 26.14% 21.91% 51.95% +0.29 1
2004-05-02 Los Angeles Galaxy W 2-1 1500.66 1508.65 49.74% 23.61% 26.65% +1.44 4
2004-05-08 @ Colorado Rapids T 0-0 1502.10 1491.25 26.79% 24.04% 49.17% +0.28 5
2004-05-15 @ Columbus Crew L 0-1 1502.38 1492.10 26.76% 23.96% 49.29% -1.55 5
2004-05-22 MetroStars T 1-1 1500.83 1499.05 51.71% 22.10% 26.19% -0.28 6
2004-05-30 DC United L 0-1 1500.55 1489.78 53.53% 20.67% 25.81% -2.63 6
2004-06-03 @ Kansas City Wizards W 3-2 1497.92 1499.99 26.18% 22.05% 51.77% +2.31 9
2004-06-06 Columbus Crew L 1-2 1500.23 1499.66 51.46% 22.29% 26.25% -2.43 9
2004-06-13 @ Dallas Burn L 1-3 1497.80 1477.20 27.30% 25.45% 47.25% -2.62 9
2004-06-20 Kansas City Wizards L 1-3 1495.18 1502.93 49.79% 23.58% 26.63% -4.14 9
2004-06-27 MetroStars W 2-1 1491.04 1502.27 49.10% 24.10% 26.81% +1.47 12
2004-07-05 @ Colorado Rapids L 0-1 1492.51 1493.64 26.22% 22.20% 51.57% -1.49 12
2004-07-12 @ Chicago Fire T 1-1 1491.02 1510.36 25.45% 19.28% 55.26% +0.33 13
2004-07-15 Chicago Fire W 3-1 1491.35 1510.03 47.63% 25.18% 27.20% +2.61 16
2004-07-18 @ Columbus Crew T 1-1 1493.96 1500.07 26.00% 21.41% 52.58% +0.29 17
2004-07-25 @ San Jose Earthquakes T 2-2 1494.25 1514.00 25.44% 19.22% 55.35% +0.25 18
2004-08-07 Columbus Crew T 2-2 1494.50 1501.36 49.97% 23.44% 26.59% -0.19 19
2004-08-12 @ Dallas Burn W 3-0 1494.31 1480.86 26.92% 24.43% 48.66% +6.85 22
2004-08-15 @ DC United T 2-2 1501.16 1488.56 26.87% 24.30% 48.83% +0.18 23
2004-08-22 Kansas City Wizards L 1-2 1501.34 1506.19 50.37% 23.13% 26.50% -2.40 23
2004-08-28 DC United T 0-0 1498.94 1488.62 53.43% 20.74% 25.82% -0.35 24
2004-09-04 San Jose Earthquakes L 0-1 1498.59 1522.74 46.56% 25.94% 27.51% -2.44 24
2004-09-12 @ MetroStars L 2-3 1496.15 1500.10 26.10% 21.76% 52.14% -1.31 24
2004-09-19 Colorado Rapids W 6-1 1494.84 1501.61 49.99% 23.43% 26.59% +5.58 27
2004-09-26 @ Chicago Fire L 0-2 1500.42 1495.89 26.48% 23.08% 50.44% -2.86 27
2004-10-03 Dallas Burn W 2-0 1497.56 1470.39 56.85% 18.01% 25.14% +2.54 30
2004-10-10 @ DC United L 0-1 1500.10 1494.27 26.54% 23.28% 50.17% -1.52 30
2004-10-17 Chicago Fire W 2-1 1498.58 1496.44 51.78% 22.05% 26.18% +1.39 33
2004-04-03 @ DC United L 1-2 1513.61 1495.23 27.18% 25.14% 47.68% -1.50 0
2004-04-10 Chicago Fire T 0-0 1512.11 1514.95 50.78% 22.82% 26.40% -0.30 1
2004-04-18 @ New England Revolution W 3-1 1511.81 1504.51 26.61% 23.51% 49.88% +4.14 4
2004-04-25 @ Colorado Rapids L 0-1 1515.95 1492.40 27.47% 25.85% 46.67% -1.62 4
2004-05-01 DC United T 1-1 1514.33 1493.23 55.62% 19.00% 25.38% -0.34 5
2004-05-09 MetroStars T 5-5 1513.99 1499.13 54.35% 20.01% 25.64% -0.16 6
2004-05-16 @ Dallas Burn W 2-1 1513.83 1479.89 28.12% 27.20% 44.68% +2.25 9
2004-05-23 Los Angeles Galaxy W 4-2 1516.08 1514.49 51.67% 22.13% 26.20% +2.17 12
2004-05-30 @ Columbus Crew L 0-1 1518.25 1498.06 27.28% 25.39% 47.33% -1.61 12
2004-06-13 MetroStars W 3-1 1516.64 1495.70 55.59% 19.02% 25.39% +2.25 15
2004-06-20 @ Chicago Fire T 1-1 1518.89 1516.25 26.39% 22.79% 50.81% +0.28 16
2004-06-27 Kansas City Wizards T 1-1 1519.17 1507.07 53.79% 20.45% 25.75% -0.32 17
2004-07-05 @ Los Angeles Galaxy L 1-2 1518.85 1507.97 26.79% 24.05% 49.17% -1.46 17
2004-07-08 Dallas Burn L 1-2 1517.39 1475.86 59.74% 15.71% 24.55% -2.63 17
2004-07-10 @ MetroStars L 0-2 1514.76 1494.59 27.28% 25.39% 47.33% -3.02 17
2004-07-17 Colorado Rapids W 3-1 1511.74 1492.20 55.30% 19.25% 25.45% +2.26 20
2004-07-25 New England Revolution T 2-2 1514.00 1494.25 55.35% 19.22% 25.44% -0.25 21
2004-08-08 DC United W 2-0 1513.75 1488.64 56.43% 18.35% 25.22% +2.56 24
2004-08-12 @ Chicago Fire L 1-2 1516.31 1502.69 26.93% 24.45% 48.62% -1.47 24
2004-08-14 @ Kansas City Wizards W 2-0 1514.84 1512.46 26.38% 22.75% 50.87% +4.83 27
2004-08-22 Dallas Burn W 3-0 1519.67 1476.75 60.01% 15.49% 24.50% +3.46 30
2004-08-29 Colorado Rapids T 0-0 1523.13 1497.41 56.56% 18.25% 25.20% -0.39 31
2004-09-04 @ New England Revolution W 1-0 1522.74 1498.59 27.51% 25.94% 46.56% +2.44 34
2004-09-09 Columbus Crew L 0-1 1525.18 1505.84 55.26% 19.28% 25.45% -2.67 34
2004-09-12 @ Los Angeles Galaxy L 1-2 1522.51 1505.42 27.11% 24.95% 47.94% -1.50 34
2004-09-19 @ Kansas City Wizards L 0-1 1521.01 1504.98 27.05% 24.80% 48.15% -1.58 34
2004-09-26 Los Angeles Galaxy T 0-0 1519.43 1503.73 54.53% 19.87% 25.60% -0.36 35
2004-10-03 @ Colorado Rapids T 1-1 1519.07 1494.60 27.53% 25.98% 46.49% +0.21 36
2004-10-10 Kansas City Wizards T 0-0 1519.28 1508.26 53.58% 20.63% 25.80% -0.35 37
2004-10-17 @ Dallas Burn T 2-2 1518.93 1465.39 29.63% 29.28% 41.08% +0.10 38

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from each team's perspective, controlled by the team filter above. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2004-10-23 Los Angeles Galaxy W 1-0 1494.16 1504.80 61.90% 0.00% 38.10% +1.55 1-0
2004-10-31 @ Los Angeles Galaxy L 0-2 1495.71 1503.25 35.67% 0.00% 64.33% -2.73 1-1
2004-10-24 @ New England Revolution L 0-1 1514.81 1499.97 38.67% 0.00% 61.33% -1.57 0-1
2004-10-31 New England Revolution T 1-1 1513.24 1501.54 64.88% 0.00% 35.12% -0.31 0-1
2004-10-24 @ MetroStars W 2-0 1497.15 1499.65 36.33% 0.00% 63.67% +4.88 1-0
2004-10-31 MetroStars W 2-0 1502.03 1494.77 64.30% 0.00% 35.70% +2.74 2-0
2004-11-06 New England Revolution T 3-3 1504.77 1501.85 63.72% 0.00% 36.28% -0.18 2-0
2004-11-14 @ Kansas City Wizards W 3-2 1504.59 1514.42 35.36% 0.00% 64.64% +2.35 3-0
2004-10-24 @ San Jose Earthquakes L 0-2 1510.09 1519.03 35.48% 0.00% 64.52% -2.72 0-1
2004-10-31 San Jose Earthquakes W 3-0 1507.37 1521.75 61.39% 0.00% 38.61% +4.30 1-1
2004-11-05 Los Angeles Galaxy W 2-0 1511.67 1505.99 64.09% 0.00% 35.91% +2.75 2-1
2004-11-14 DC United L 2-3 1514.42 1504.59 64.64% 0.00% 35.36% -2.35 2-2
2004-10-23 @ Colorado Rapids L 0-1 1504.80 1494.16 38.10% 0.00% 61.90% -1.55 0-1
2004-10-31 Colorado Rapids W 2-0 1503.25 1495.71 64.33% 0.00% 35.67% +2.74 1-1
2004-11-05 @ Kansas City Wizards L 0-2 1505.99 1511.67 35.91% 0.00% 64.09% -2.76 1-2
2004-10-24 DC United L 0-2 1499.65 1497.15 63.67% 0.00% 36.33% -4.88 0-1
2004-10-31 @ DC United L 0-2 1494.77 1502.03 35.70% 0.00% 64.30% -2.74 0-2
2004-10-24 Columbus Crew W 1-0 1499.97 1514.81 61.33% 0.00% 38.67% +1.57 1-0
2004-10-31 @ Columbus Crew T 1-1 1501.54 1513.24 35.12% 0.00% 64.88% +0.31 1-0
2004-11-06 @ DC United T 3-3 1501.85 1504.77 36.28% 0.00% 63.72% +0.18 1-0
2004-10-24 Kansas City Wizards W 2-0 1519.03 1510.09 64.52% 0.00% 35.48% +2.72 1-0
2004-10-31 @ Kansas City Wizards L 0-3 1521.75 1507.37 38.61% 0.00% 61.39% -4.30 1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2004-07-08 24.55% Dallas Burn 1475.86 2 @ San Jose Earthquakes 1517.39 1
2 2004-04-18 24.68% Dallas Burn 1476.72 2 @ Chicago Fire 1515.25 0
3 2004-08-15 24.94% Dallas Burn 1474.01 1 @ MetroStars 1506.12 0
4 2004-06-06 25.07% Dallas Burn 1472.05 2 @ MetroStars 1500.84 0
5 2004-05-23 25.30% Columbus Crew 1493.65 3 @ Chicago Fire 1516.86 1
6 2004-09-09 25.45% Columbus Crew 1505.84 1 @ San Jose Earthquakes 1525.18 0
7 2004-06-06 25.52% Kansas City Wizards 1497.68 2 @ Los Angeles Galaxy 1515.32 1
8 2004-06-24 25.52% MetroStars 1494.96 3 @ Los Angeles Galaxy 1512.65 0
9 2004-07-29 25.61% MetroStars 1499.37 2 @ Kansas City Wizards 1514.96 1
10 2004-08-15 25.61% Colorado Rapids 1488.59 3 @ Chicago Fire 1504.17 0
11 2004-10-03 25.74% DC United 1491.63 1 @ MetroStars 1503.90 0
12 2004-05-30 25.81% DC United 1489.78 1 @ New England Revolution 1500.55 0
13 2004-06-28 25.81% Los Angeles Galaxy 1505.33 1 @ Chicago Fire 1515.98 0
14 2004-06-27 25.82% Colorado Rapids 1488.81 2 @ Columbus Crew 1499.33 1
15 2004-07-01 25.86% Colorado Rapids 1491.29 3 @ MetroStars 1500.81 2
16 2004-04-04 26.15% MetroStars 1497.82 3 @ Columbus Crew 1500.57 1
17 2004-06-03 26.18% New England Revolution 1497.92 3 @ Kansas City Wizards 1499.99 2
18 2004-06-06 26.25% Columbus Crew 1499.66 2 @ New England Revolution 1500.23 1
19 2004-08-14 26.38% San Jose Earthquakes 1514.84 2 @ Kansas City Wizards 1512.46 0
20 2004-08-22 26.50% Kansas City Wizards 1506.19 2 @ New England Revolution 1501.34 1
21 2004-04-18 26.61% San Jose Earthquakes 1511.81 3 @ New England Revolution 1504.51 1
22 2004-06-20 26.63% Kansas City Wizards 1502.93 3 @ New England Revolution 1495.18 1
23 2004-06-10 26.69% Kansas City Wizards 1500.20 1 @ Colorado Rapids 1491.33 0
24 2004-10-07 26.89% Columbus Crew 1511.84 1 @ Chicago Fire 1498.94 0
25 2004-08-12 26.92% New England Revolution 1494.31 3 @ Dallas Burn 1480.86 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2004-06-24 7.32 MetroStars 3 1494.96 25.52% @ Los Angeles Galaxy 0 1512.65 54.93% 19.55%
2 2004-08-15 7.29 Colorado Rapids 3 1488.59 25.61% @ Chicago Fire 0 1504.17 54.50% 19.89%
3 2004-08-12 6.85 New England Revolution 3 1494.31 26.92% @ Dallas Burn 0 1480.86 48.66% 24.43%
4 2004-09-19 5.58 @ New England Revolution 6 1494.84 49.99% Colorado Rapids 1 1501.61 26.59% 23.43%
5 2004-04-18 5.24 Dallas Burn 2 1476.72 24.68% @ Chicago Fire 0 1515.25 59.14% 16.19%
6 2004-06-06 5.15 Dallas Burn 2 1472.05 25.07% @ MetroStars 0 1500.84 57.18% 17.75%
7 2004-10-24 * 4.88 DC United 2 1497.15 36.33% @ MetroStars 0 1499.65 63.67% 0.00%
8 2004-08-14 4.84 San Jose Earthquakes 2 1514.84 26.38% @ Kansas City Wizards 0 1512.46 50.87% 22.75%
9 2004-07-25 4.74 @ Dallas Burn 5 1475.87 47.86% DC United 1 1493.38 27.13% 25.01%
10 2004-09-26 4.61 MetroStars 2 1499.29 27.52% @ Dallas Burn 0 1474.99 46.53% 25.96%
11 2004-05-23 4.41 Columbus Crew 3 1493.65 25.30% @ Chicago Fire 1 1516.86 56.05% 18.65%
12 2004-10-31 * 4.30 @ Kansas City Wizards 3 1507.37 61.39% San Jose Earthquakes 0 1521.75 38.61% 0.00%
13 2004-08-08 4.25 @ MetroStars 3 1501.87 49.16% Los Angeles Galaxy 0 1512.79 26.79% 24.05%
14 2004-04-04 4.23 MetroStars 3 1497.82 26.15% @ Columbus Crew 1 1500.57 51.90% 21.95%
15 2004-04-18 4.14 San Jose Earthquakes 3 1511.81 26.61% @ New England Revolution 1 1504.51 49.88% 23.51%
16 2004-06-20 4.14 Kansas City Wizards 3 1502.93 26.63% @ New England Revolution 1 1495.18 49.79% 23.58%
17 2004-07-04 4.01 @ Kansas City Wizards 5 1507.38 56.92% Dallas Burn 1 1479.87 25.12% 17.96%
18 2004-05-08 4.00 Los Angeles Galaxy 3 1507.20 27.46% @ Dallas Burn 1 1483.88 46.72% 25.82%
19 2004-05-02 3.94 @ Chicago Fire 3 1512.51 53.26% MetroStars 0 1503.07 25.86% 20.88%
20 2004-09-11 3.93 @ DC United 3 1486.59 53.54% Dallas Burn 0 1475.73 25.80% 20.65%
21 2004-07-03 3.88 @ DC United 6 1491.13 49.88% MetroStars 2 1498.46 26.61% 23.51%
22 2004-06-05 3.77 @ Chicago Fire 3 1513.84 55.69% DC United 0 1492.41 25.37% 18.94%
23 2004-08-29 3.75 @ Dallas Burn 4 1473.28 46.60% Chicago Fire 1 1497.20 27.49% 25.90%
24 2004-05-20 3.63 Los Angeles Galaxy 4 1510.86 27.05% @ DC United 2 1494.81 48.14% 24.80%
25 2004-08-22 3.47 @ San Jose Earthquakes 3 1519.67 60.01% Dallas Burn 0 1476.75 24.50% 15.49%