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2008-09 Divizia Nationala Season

165 games

Final

Champion

Sheriff Tiraspol

78 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Sheriff Tiraspol

10.40 points above expected

78 points · 67.60 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Nistru Otaci

12.32 points below expected

30 points · 42.32 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Sheriff Tiraspol 30 25 3 2 78 61 15 +46 67.60 +10.40
2 Dacia Chisinau 30 20 3 7 63 47 17 +30 57.39 +5.61
3 Iskra-Stal 30 14 10 6 52 28 15 +13 43.37 +8.63
4 Zimbru 30 13 7 10 46 42 30 +12 53.62 -7.62
5 Dinamo Bender 30 11 9 10 42 41 45 -4 34.96 +7.04
6 FC Olimpia Balti 30 11 7 12 40 30 31 -1 36.10 +3.90
7 FC Tiraspol 30 9 5 16 32 30 35 -5 42.99 -10.99
8 Nistru Otaci 30 8 6 16 30 30 43 -13 42.32 -12.32
9 CSCA-Rapid Chisinau 30 7 8 15 29 27 47 -20 27.50 +1.50
10 Tiligul-Tiras 30 7 4 19 25 24 60 -36 25.43 -0.43
11 Academia Chisinau 30 6 6 18 24 27 49 -22 29.96 -5.96

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sheriff Tiraspol 78 67.60 +10.40
2 Iskra-Stal 52 43.37 +8.63
3 Dinamo Bender 42 34.96 +7.04
4 Dacia Chisinau 63 57.39 +5.61
5 FC Olimpia Balti 40 36.10 +3.90

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Nistru Otaci 30 42.32 -12.32
2 FC Tiraspol 32 42.99 -10.99
3 Zimbru 46 53.62 -7.62
4 Academia Chisinau 24 29.96 -5.96
5 Tiligul-Tiras 25 25.43 -0.43

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 FC Olimpia Balti 3 Jul 17 – Jul 26 1 in 79
2 Tiligul-Tiras 3 Aug 3 – Aug 13 1 in 76
3 Dinamo Bender 4 Mar 8 – Mar 22 1 in 27
4 Academia Chisinau 2 Sep 27 – Oct 5 1 in 14
5 Sheriff Tiraspol 7 Aug 31 – Oct 5 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 FC Tiraspol 6 Aug 9 – Sep 17 1 in 636
2 Zimbru 5 Mar 18 – Apr 25 1 in 292
3 Nistru Otaci 3 Jul 26 – Aug 9 1 in 50
4 Tiligul-Tiras 5 Aug 23 – Sep 17 1 in 22
5 Academia Chisinau 5 Jul 30 – Aug 23 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 CSCA-Rapid Chisinau 6 Mar 14 – Apr 18 1 in 167
2 Iskra-Stal 7 Apr 4 – May 17 1 in 71
3 Dinamo Bender 7 Mar 4 – Apr 12 1 in 15
4 Tiligul-Tiras 3 Aug 3 – Aug 13 1 in 11
5 FC Olimpia Balti 5 Nov 9 – Mar 14 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Zimbru 7 Mar 8 – Apr 25 1 in 224
2 FC Tiraspol 6 Aug 9 – Sep 17 1 in 30
3 Nistru Otaci 5 Aug 27 – Oct 5 1 in 15
4 Dinamo Bender 6 Aug 27 – Oct 5 1 in 15
5 CSCA-Rapid Chisinau 9 Oct 19 – Mar 18 1 in 9

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Sheriff Tiraspol 1676 78 +18 13 12.5 +0.5
Dacia Chisinau 1516 63 +1 10 11.0 -1.0
Iskra-Stal 1411 52 +64 13 8.2 +4.8
Zimbru 1367 46 -21 7 8.6 -1.6
Dinamo Bender 1300 42 -23 6 4.8 +1.2
FC Olimpia Balti 1318 40 +15 7 5.6 +1.4
FC Tiraspol 1322 32 +4 7 6.1 +0.9
Nistru Otaci 1284 30 -35 3 4.9 -1.9
CSCA-Rapid Chisinau 1210 29 +4 5 5.0 -0.0
Tiligul-Tiras 1115 25 +2 3 2.8 +0.2
Academia Chisinau 1205 24 -31 2 5.7 -3.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AC CC DC DB FOB FT ISK NO ST TIL ZIM
Academia Chisinau —
1-0-2
4.25
0-0-3
1.68
0-3-0
3.17
0-0-3
4.03
0-0-3
2.84
1-1-1
2.69
1-1-1
2.97
0-1-2
1.20
1-0-2
4.68
2-0-1
1.67
CSCA-Rapid Chisinau
2-0-1
4.10
 —
0-1-2
1.71
0-2-1
3.42
2-1-0
3.02
1-0-2
2.50
0-2-1
2.65
2-0-1
2.47
0-0-3
1.05
0-1-2
4.77
0-1-2
1.55
Dacia Chisinau
3-0-0
6.75
2-1-0
6.72
 —
2-0-1
6.11
2-1-0
6.39
3-0-0
5.72
2-0-1
5.62
2-0-1
5.82
0-0-3
2.60
3-0-0
6.80
1-1-1
4.46
Dinamo Bender
0-3-0
5.18
1-2-0
4.93
1-0-2
2.27
 —
2-0-1
3.74
2-0-1
3.35
0-1-2
3.71
2-1-0
3.02
1-0-2
1.19
1-2-0
4.82
1-0-2
2.28
FC Olimpia Balti
3-0-0
4.32
0-1-2
5.34
0-1-2
2.01
1-0-2
4.61
 —
1-1-1
2.97
0-2-1
3.38
2-1-0
3.20
0-0-3
1.36
2-1-0
5.20
2-0-1
2.50
FC Tiraspol
3-0-0
5.52
2-0-1
5.88
0-0-3
2.65
1-0-2
5.01
1-1-1
5.40
 —
0-1-2
3.87
1-1-1
4.33
0-0-3
1.66
1-0-2
5.83
0-2-1
3.26
Iskra-Stal
1-1-1
5.68
1-2-0
5.72
1-0-2
2.74
2-1-0
4.64
1-2-0
4.97
2-1-0
4.48
 —
1-1-1
4.56
1-1-1
1.52
3-0-0
5.66
1-1-1
2.69
Nistru Otaci
1-1-1
5.40
1-0-2
5.90
1-0-2
2.56
0-1-2
5.34
0-1-2
5.15
1-1-1
4.02
1-1-1
3.79
 —
0-0-3
1.84
2-0-1
5.98
1-1-1
2.98
Sheriff Tiraspol
2-1-0
7.29
3-0-0
7.48
3-0-0
5.77
2-0-1
7.30
3-0-0
7.11
3-0-0
6.77
1-1-1
6.92
3-0-0
6.58
 —
3-0-0
7.64
2-1-0
5.75
Tiligul-Tiras
2-0-1
3.67
2-1-0
3.58
0-0-3
1.64
0-2-1
3.53
0-1-2
3.16
2-0-1
2.54
0-0-3
2.72
1-0-2
2.40
0-0-3
0.91
 —
0-0-3
1.78
Zimbru
1-0-2
6.77
2-1-0
6.89
1-1-1
3.89
2-0-1
6.11
1-0-2
5.89
1-2-0
5.09
1-1-1
5.68
1-1-1
5.38
0-1-2
2.62
3-0-0
6.64
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.79 +13.3
Allowed 0.76 -9.8
Differential 0.94 +6.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.30%10.91%9.70%3.33%1.52%0.30%36.06%
110.91%6.67%6.97%2.73%1.21%0.30%28.79%
29.70%6.97%2.42%2.42%—0.30%21.82%
33.33%2.73%2.42%1.21%——9.70%
41.52%1.21%————2.73%
5+0.30%0.30%0.30%———0.91%
Total36.06%28.79%21.82%9.70%2.73%0.91%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.17 +0.00
SD 1.17 1.17 1.75
CV 0.99 0.99 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 165

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%23.33%16.67%3.33%3.33%—53.33%
16.67%3.33%—3.33%—3.33%16.67%
2—3.33%6.67%6.67%——16.67%
36.67%—3.33%3.33%——13.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total20.00%30.00%26.67%16.67%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.90 1.63 -0.73
SD 1.12 1.27 1.66
CV 1.25 0.78 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%6.67%10.00%—3.33%—40.00%
16.67%6.67%6.67%6.67%6.67%—33.33%
23.33%10.00%—6.67%—3.33%23.33%
33.33%—————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%23.33%16.67%13.33%10.00%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.90 1.57 -0.67
SD 0.88 1.59 1.67
CV 0.98 1.02 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.67%6.67%———20.00%
123.33%3.33%10.00%———36.67%
216.67%—————16.67%
310.00%10.00%————20.00%
43.33%3.33%————6.67%
5+———————
Total60.00%23.33%16.67%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.57 0.57 +1.00
SD 1.22 0.77 1.60
CV 0.78 1.37 —
Max 4 2 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%3.33%13.33%6.67%——30.00%
13.33%6.67%3.33%6.67%——20.00%
23.33%23.33%13.33%———40.00%
3——3.33%3.33%——6.67%
4———————
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total16.67%33.33%33.33%16.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 1.50 -0.13
SD 1.19 0.97 1.68
CV 0.87 0.65 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%10.00%10.00%6.67%——40.00%
110.00%10.00%13.33%———33.33%
26.67%10.00%————16.67%
3—6.67%————6.67%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+———————
Total33.33%36.67%23.33%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.03 -0.03
SD 1.08 0.93 1.61
CV 1.08 0.90 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%23.33%6.67%———36.67%
110.00%10.00%16.67%———36.67%
26.67%3.33%—6.67%——16.67%
33.33%—6.67%———10.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.67%36.67%30.00%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.17 -0.17
SD 0.98 0.91 1.23
CV 0.98 0.78 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%10.00%6.67%3.33%——43.33%
123.33%6.67%————30.00%
213.33%3.33%3.33%———20.00%
33.33%—————3.33%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+———————
Total66.67%20.00%10.00%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 0.50 +0.43
SD 1.05 0.82 1.48
CV 1.12 1.64 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%16.67%10.00%6.67%——46.67%
13.33%3.33%10.00%10.00%——26.67%
26.67%3.33%————10.00%
3—3.33%6.67%3.33%——13.33%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total23.33%30.00%26.67%20.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.43 -0.43
SD 1.20 1.07 1.55
CV 1.20 0.75 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%3.33%————6.67%
116.67%3.33%3.33%———23.33%
236.67%10.00%————46.67%
36.67%3.33%—3.33%——13.33%
4—6.67%————6.67%
5+——3.33%———3.33%
Total63.33%26.67%6.67%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.03 0.50 +1.53
SD 1.22 0.78 1.17
CV 0.60 1.55 —
Max 6 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.67%16.67%3.33%10.00%3.33%46.67%
110.00%3.33%10.00%3.33%6.67%—33.33%
2—6.67%3.33%3.33%——13.33%
3—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%20.00%33.33%10.00%16.67%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.80 2.00 -1.20
SD 0.92 1.41 1.83
CV 1.16 0.71 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%10.00%10.00%6.67%——33.33%
16.67%16.67%3.33%———26.67%
213.33%3.33%—3.33%——20.00%
33.33%3.33%3.33%———10.00%
46.67%—————6.67%
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total36.67%36.67%16.67%10.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.40 1.00 +0.40
SD 1.40 0.98 1.96
CV 1.00 0.98 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Sheriff Tiraspol 1676 78 67.60 +10.40 98.0% 53 56 64 68 72 76 81
Dacia Chisinau 1516 63 57.39 +5.61 85.0% 41 48 53 58 62 67 75
Iskra-Stal 1411 52 43.37 +8.63 86.0% 25 31 38 43 49 56 60
Zimbru 1367 46 53.62 -7.62 14.0% 32 43 49 54 58 64 71
FC Tiraspol 1322 32 42.99 -10.99 3.0% 29 34 39 42 47 53 66
FC Olimpia Balti 1318 40 36.10 +3.90 76.0% 21 26 32 35 40 47 52
Dinamo Bender 1300 42 34.96 +7.04 89.0% 18 24 31 34 39 46 53
Nistru Otaci 1284 30 42.32 -12.32 7.0% 25 27 37 43 47 52 59
CSCA-Rapid Chisinau 1210 29 27.50 +1.50 65.0% 16 19 23 27 31 38 46
Academia Chisinau 1205 24 29.96 -5.96 20.0% 15 17 26 30 34 41 46
Tiligul-Tiras 1115 25 25.43 -0.43 52.0% 11 15 21 25 30 35 40

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8% * Slight Edge: 8% to 10.5% * Clear Edge: 10.5% to 16% * Strong Edge: 16% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+11.52%
Clear Edge
45.45%20.61%33.94%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 40.19 Elo pts.
225 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.20 goals
Neutral
-2+0.18+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.37 * Comfortable: 0.37 to 0.52 * Runaway: 0.52 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.4
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
84%
Sheriff Tiraspol, 1st of 11
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.50/gm
Comfortable
00.300.8/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.26 * Some Luck: 5.26 to 7.89 * Lucky: 7.89 to 10.53 * Wild Swing: 10.53 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.91 * Close: 0.91 to 1.36 * Off: 1.36 to 1.81 * Way Off: 1.81 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 11 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 11 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 11 * As Expected: 11 to 17.6 * Several Outliers: 17.6 to 24.2 * Many Outliers: 24.2 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.67 points
Some Luck
06.5816
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.27
Close
01.132.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.45%
98.00%
Sheriff Tiraspol
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.55%
3.00%
FC Tiraspol
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 11
Minimal Outliers
01.111

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.23 * Even: 0.23 to 0.26 * Top-Heavy: 0.26 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.5 * Moderate Separation: 2.5 to 2.7 * Strong Separation: 2.7 to 2.95 * Wide Separation: 2.95 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 72.5% * Slight Edge: 72.5% to 81% * Clear Edge: 81% to 85.5% * Wide Edge: 85.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 96% * Clear Edge: 96% to 98% * Strong Edge: 98% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17% * Occasional: 17% to 22% * Frequent: 22% to 26.5% * Very Frequent: 26.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Balanced
00.230.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 155.30
2.29
Coin-Flip Parity
12.52.953.75
Interquartile Edge
69%
Even
50%72.5%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
96%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
61%
Frequent
0%61%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Rare
0%15%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.47 * Slight Separation: 0.47 to 0.52 * Notable Separation: 0.52 to 0.56 * Lopsided: 0.56 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.57 * Some Carryover: 0.57 to 0.75 * Strong Carryover: 0.75 to 0.84 * Near-Lock: 0.84 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 14.5% * As Expected: 14.5% to 16.5% * Upset-Prone: 16.5% to 20% * Very Upset-Prone: 20% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 11.5% * As Expected: 11.5% to 13.5% * Shaky Favorites: 13.5% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.562
Matchup Imbalance
0.45
Very Even
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.31
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.66
Some Carryover
00.570.751
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Very Upset-Prone
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Very Shaky
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.31
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.82
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.108
Well Within Noise
00.1270.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011
Sheriff Tiraspol84.00%12.00%3.00%1.00%———————
Dacia Chisinau10.00%52.00%28.00%6.00%2.00%2.00%—————
Iskra-Stal—2.00%13.00%20.00%22.00%22.00%9.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%—
Zimbru6.00%28.00%34.00%18.00%10.00%3.00%———1.00%—
Dinamo Bender——1.00%4.00%12.00%16.00%18.00%20.00%16.00%6.00%7.00%
FC Olimpia Balti——4.00%7.00%7.00%13.00%22.00%27.00%12.00%5.00%3.00%
FC Tiraspol—4.00%9.00%18.00%19.00%22.00%16.00%8.00%3.00%1.00%—
Nistru Otaci—2.00%8.00%23.00%21.00%17.00%16.00%6.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%
CSCA-Rapid Chisinau————3.00%1.00%5.00%8.00%23.00%32.00%28.00%
Tiligul-Tiras—————3.00%2.00%9.00%14.00%25.00%47.00%
Academia Chisinau———3.00%4.00%1.00%12.00%16.00%25.00%25.00%14.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Academia Chisinau 100%
CSCA-Rapid Chisinau 100%
Dacia Chisinau 100%
Dinamo Bender 100%
FC Olimpia Balti 100%
FC Tiraspol 100%
Iskra-Stal 100%
Nistru Otaci 100%
Sheriff Tiraspol 100%
Tiligul-Tiras 100%
Zimbru 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2008-07-02 Academia Chisinau W 1-036.8 1560 1290 71.88% 18.24% 9.88%+1.38 +3.4 3
2008-07-02 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-136.8 1290 1560 9.88% 18.24% 71.88%-1.38 -3.4 0
2008-07-02 Iskra-Stal D 1-156.4 1249 1291 38.78% 21.86% 39.36%-0.01 +0.0 1
2008-07-02 @ FC Olimpia Balti D 1-156.4 1291 1249 39.36% 21.86% 38.78%+0.01 -0.0 1
2008-07-02 Nistru Otaci W 2-154.2 1242 1411 22.94% 21.16% 55.90%-0.58 +15.0 3
2008-07-02 @ Dinamo Bender L 1-254.2 1411 1242 55.90% 21.16% 22.94%+0.58 -15.0 0
2008-07-02 Tiligul-Tiras W 2-030.9 1442 1229 67.71% 19.35% 12.95%+1.13 +8.3 3
2008-07-02 @ Zimbru L 0-230.9 1229 1442 12.95% 19.35% 67.71%-1.13 -8.3 0
2008-07-06 FC Olimpia Balti W 2-032.0 1419 1249 64.05% 20.09% 15.86%+0.94 +10.1 3
2008-07-06 @ Dacia Chisinau L 0-232.0 1249 1419 15.86% 20.09% 64.05%-0.94 -10.1 1
2008-07-06 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-230.5 1195 1564 9.06% 17.86% 73.08%-1.46 -5.8 0
2008-07-06 @ CSCA-Rapid Chisinau W 2-030.5 1564 1195 73.08% 17.86% 9.06%+1.46 +5.8 6
2008-07-06 Dinamo Bender D 0-050.9 1220 1256 39.67% 21.86% 38.47%+0.02 -0.1 1
2008-07-06 @ Tiligul-Tiras D 0-050.9 1256 1220 38.47% 21.86% 39.67%-0.02 +0.1 4
2008-07-06 Zimbru D 0-053.2 1291 1450 24.03% 21.27% 54.70%-0.53 +2.2 2
2008-07-06 @ Iskra-Stal D 0-053.2 1450 1291 54.70% 21.27% 24.03%+0.53 -2.2 4
2008-07-10 Nistru Otaci W 2-039.1 1569 1396 64.33% 20.04% 15.64%+0.95 +10.0 9
2008-07-10 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-239.1 1396 1569 15.64% 20.04% 64.33%-0.95 -10.0 0
2008-07-12 Dacia Chisinau W 2-151.2 1448 1429 47.28% 21.71% 31.01%+0.26 +9.2 7
2008-07-12 @ Zimbru L 1-251.2 1429 1448 31.01% 21.71% 47.28%-0.26 -9.2 3
2008-07-12 Iskra-Stal D 2-262.5 1257 1293 39.57% 21.86% 38.57%+0.02 -0.0 5
2008-07-12 @ Dinamo Bender D 2-262.5 1293 1257 38.57% 21.86% 39.57%-0.02 +0.0 3
2008-07-12 CSCA-Rapid Chisinau L 0-243.4 1287 1189 56.80% 21.08% 22.13%+0.61 -30.4 0
2008-07-12 @ Academia Chisinau W 2-043.4 1189 1287 22.13% 21.08% 56.80%-0.61 +30.3 3
2008-07-17 FC Olimpia Balti L 1-255.9 1396 1239 62.89% 20.28% 16.83%+0.88 -16.7 0
2008-07-17 @ FC Tiraspol W 2-155.9 1239 1396 16.83% 20.28% 62.89%-0.88 +16.7 4
2008-07-21 Academia Chisinau W 3-247.8 1386 1257 60.21% 20.68% 19.11%+0.76 +5.7 3
2008-07-21 @ Nistru Otaci L 2-347.8 1257 1386 19.11% 20.68% 60.21%-0.76 -5.7 0
2008-07-21 CSCA-Rapid Chisinau W 3-246.6 1379 1220 63.09% 20.25% 16.66%+0.89 +5.0 3
2008-07-21 @ FC Tiraspol L 2-346.6 1220 1379 16.66% 20.25% 63.09%-0.89 -5.0 3
2008-07-21 Dinamo Bender W 3-030.1 1420 1256 63.45% 20.19% 16.36%+0.91 +15.1 6
2008-07-21 @ Dacia Chisinau L 0-330.1 1256 1420 16.36% 20.19% 63.45%-0.91 -15.2 5
2008-07-21 Zimbru W 1-049.6 1255 1457 19.85% 20.79% 59.36%-0.72 +16.8 7
2008-07-21 @ FC Olimpia Balti L 0-149.6 1457 1255 59.36% 20.79% 19.85%+0.72 -16.8 7
2008-07-26 FC Olimpia Balti L 1-248.9 1241 1272 40.41% 21.86% 37.73%+0.04 -11.3 5
2008-07-26 @ Dinamo Bender W 2-148.9 1272 1241 37.73% 21.86% 40.41%-0.04 +11.3 10
2008-07-26 FC Tiraspol D 1-160.2 1440 1384 51.99% 21.47% 26.54%+0.43 -1.6 8
2008-07-26 @ Zimbru D 1-160.2 1384 1440 26.54% 21.47% 51.99%-0.43 +1.6 4
2008-07-26 Nistru Otaci W 1-047.8 1215 1392 22.19% 21.08% 56.73%-0.61 +16.1 6
2008-07-26 @ CSCA-Rapid Chisinau L 0-147.8 1392 1215 56.73% 21.08% 22.19%+0.61 -16.1 3
2008-07-26 Tiligul-Tiras W 2-145.4 1251 1220 48.77% 21.65% 29.58%+0.31 +8.8 3
2008-07-26 @ Academia Chisinau L 1-245.4 1220 1251 29.58% 21.65% 48.77%-0.31 -8.8 1
2008-07-30 Academia Chisinau W 3-030.9 1386 1260 59.87% 20.72% 19.41%+0.74 +17.7 7
2008-07-30 @ FC Tiraspol L 0-330.9 1260 1386 19.41% 20.72% 59.87%-0.74 -17.8 3
2008-08-03 Academia Chisinau W 2-034.8 1293 1242 51.41% 21.51% 27.08%+0.41 +16.4 6
2008-08-03 @ Iskra-Stal L 0-234.8 1242 1293 27.08% 21.51% 51.41%-0.41 -16.4 3
2008-08-03 CSCA-Rapid Chisinau W 3-252.3 1212 1231 42.04% 21.84% 36.12%+0.09 +9.8 4
2008-08-03 @ Tiligul-Tiras L 2-352.3 1231 1212 36.12% 21.84% 42.04%-0.09 -9.8 6
2008-08-03 Dinamo Bender W 2-031.0 1439 1230 67.35% 19.43% 13.22%+1.11 +8.5 11
2008-08-03 @ Zimbru L 0-231.0 1230 1439 13.22% 19.43% 67.35%-1.11 -8.5 5
2008-08-04 Nistru Otaci W 2-038.3 1404 1376 48.43% 21.66% 29.91%+0.30 +17.8 10
2008-08-04 @ FC Tiraspol L 0-238.3 1376 1404 29.91% 21.66% 48.43%-0.30 -17.8 3
2008-08-09 Dacia Chisinau L 0-233.1 1226 1435 19.17% 20.69% 60.14%-0.75 -12.1 3
2008-08-09 @ Academia Chisinau W 2-033.1 1435 1226 60.14% 20.69% 19.17%+0.75 +12.1 9
2008-08-09 FC Tiraspol W 3-259.8 1222 1422 20.02% 20.81% 59.17%-0.71 +15.0 8
2008-08-09 @ Dinamo Bender L 2-359.8 1422 1222 59.17% 20.81% 20.02%+0.71 -15.0 10
2008-08-09 Iskra-Stal L 0-140.3 1221 1310 32.41% 21.76% 45.83%-0.22 -10.1 6
2008-08-09 @ CSCA-Rapid Chisinau W 1-040.3 1310 1221 45.83% 21.76% 32.41%+0.22 +10.1 9
2008-08-09 Tiligul-Tiras L 1-350.9 1358 1221 60.91% 20.58% 18.51%+0.79 -28.1 3
2008-08-09 @ Nistru Otaci W 3-150.9 1221 1358 18.51% 20.58% 60.91%-0.79 +28.1 7
2008-08-10 FC Olimpia Balti W 1-036.7 1579 1283 73.59% 17.69% 8.72%+1.49 +3.0 12
2008-08-10 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-136.7 1283 1579 8.72% 17.69% 73.59%-1.49 -3.0 10
2008-08-13 Nistru Otaci L 0-144.4 1320 1330 43.29% 21.82% 34.89%+0.13 -12.7 9
2008-08-13 @ Iskra-Stal W 1-044.4 1330 1320 34.89% 21.82% 43.29%-0.13 +12.7 6
2008-08-13 CSCA-Rapid Chisinau W 3-136.3 1447 1211 69.47% 18.91% 11.61%+1.23 +6.5 12
2008-08-13 @ Dacia Chisinau L 1-336.3 1211 1447 11.61% 18.91% 69.47%-1.23 -6.5 6
2008-08-13 Tiligul-Tiras L 1-256.0 1407 1249 62.87% 20.29% 16.84%+0.88 -16.7 10
2008-08-13 @ FC Tiraspol W 2-156.0 1249 1407 16.84% 20.29% 62.87%-0.88 +16.7 10
2008-08-14 Academia Chisinau W 3-140.1 1281 1213 53.32% 21.38% 25.30%+0.48 +13.4 13
2008-08-14 @ FC Olimpia Balti L 1-340.1 1213 1281 25.30% 21.38% 53.32%-0.48 -13.4 3
2008-08-14 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-245.2 1447 1582 26.71% 21.48% 51.81%-0.42 -16.2 11
2008-08-14 @ Zimbru W 2-045.2 1582 1447 51.81% 21.48% 26.71%+0.42 +16.2 15
2008-08-23 FC Olimpia Balti W 3-038.3 1204 1294 32.30% 21.76% 45.94%-0.22 +36.5 9
2008-08-23 @ CSCA-Rapid Chisinau L 0-338.3 1294 1204 45.94% 21.76% 32.30%+0.22 -36.5 13
2008-08-23 Dacia Chisinau W 2-154.4 1343 1454 29.59% 21.65% 48.76%-0.31 +13.2 9
2008-08-23 @ Nistru Otaci L 1-254.4 1454 1343 48.76% 21.65% 29.59%+0.31 -13.2 12
2008-08-23 Iskra-Stal L 0-238.7 1266 1307 38.97% 21.86% 39.17%+0.00 -22.0 10
2008-08-23 @ Tiligul-Tiras W 2-038.7 1307 1266 39.17% 21.86% 38.97%+0.00 +22.0 12
2008-08-23 Dinamo Bender L 1-262.3 1598 1236 77.45% 16.21% 6.34%+1.79 -20.1 15
2008-08-23 @ Sheriff Tiraspol W 2-162.3 1236 1598 6.34% 16.21% 77.45%-1.79 +20.1 11
2008-08-23 Zimbru L 1-533.2 1200 1431 17.36% 20.38% 62.26%-0.85 -17.4 3
2008-08-23 @ Academia Chisinau W 5-133.2 1431 1200 62.26% 20.38% 17.36%+0.85 +17.4 14
2008-08-27 Academia Chisinau D 1-156.3 1257 1183 54.12% 21.32% 24.56%+0.51 -1.9 12
2008-08-27 @ Dinamo Bender D 1-156.3 1183 1257 24.56% 21.32% 54.12%-0.51 +1.9 4
2008-08-27 Iskra-Stal L 0-147.9 1390 1329 52.57% 21.43% 25.99%+0.45 -15.0 10
2008-08-27 @ FC Tiraspol W 1-047.9 1329 1390 25.99% 21.43% 52.57%-0.45 +15.0 15
2008-08-27 Nistru Otaci D 0-051.6 1257 1356 31.11% 21.72% 47.17%-0.26 +1.1 14
2008-08-27 @ FC Olimpia Balti D 0-051.6 1356 1257 47.17% 21.72% 31.11%+0.26 -1.1 10
2008-08-27 CSCA-Rapid Chisinau W 4-028.9 1449 1241 67.25% 19.45% 13.30%+1.10 +16.2 17
2008-08-27 @ Zimbru L 0-428.9 1241 1449 13.30% 19.45% 67.25%-1.10 -16.2 9
2008-08-27 Tiligul-Tiras W 4-134.2 1440 1244 66.32% 19.65% 14.03%+1.05 +11.0 15
2008-08-27 @ Dacia Chisinau L 1-434.2 1244 1440 14.03% 19.65% 66.32%-1.05 -11.0 10
2008-08-31 FC Olimpia Balti L 1-249.0 1233 1259 41.18% 21.85% 36.97%+0.07 -11.5 10
2008-08-31 @ Tiligul-Tiras W 2-149.0 1259 1233 36.97% 21.85% 41.18%-0.07 +11.5 17
2008-08-31 Dacia Chisinau L 0-142.5 1344 1451 30.02% 21.67% 48.31%-0.30 -9.5 15
2008-08-31 @ Iskra-Stal W 1-042.5 1451 1344 48.31% 21.67% 30.02%+0.30 +9.5 18
2008-08-31 FC Tiraspol W 2-147.9 1578 1375 66.93% 19.52% 13.55%+1.08 +4.3 18
2008-08-31 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 1-247.9 1375 1578 13.55% 19.52% 66.93%-1.08 -4.4 10
2008-08-31 Dinamo Bender D 0-050.9 1225 1255 40.55% 21.86% 37.59%+0.05 -0.2 10
2008-08-31 @ CSCA-Rapid Chisinau D 0-050.9 1255 1225 37.59% 21.86% 40.55%-0.05 +0.2 13
2008-08-31 Zimbru L 0-143.0 1355 1465 29.70% 21.66% 48.64%-0.31 -9.4 10
2008-08-31 @ Nistru Otaci W 1-043.0 1465 1355 48.64% 21.66% 29.70%+0.31 +9.4 20
2008-09-13 FC Olimpia Balti W 2-034.7 1335 1270 53.02% 21.40% 25.58%+0.47 +15.6 18
2008-09-13 @ Iskra-Stal L 0-234.7 1270 1335 25.58% 21.40% 53.02%-0.47 -15.6 17
2008-09-13 Dacia Chisinau L 0-144.1 1371 1461 32.19% 21.75% 46.05%-0.22 -10.0 10
2008-09-13 @ FC Tiraspol W 1-044.1 1461 1371 46.05% 21.75% 32.19%+0.22 +10.0 21
2008-09-13 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-134.0 1185 1583 7.85% 17.21% 74.94%-1.59 -2.6 4
2008-09-13 @ Academia Chisinau W 1-034.0 1583 1185 74.94% 17.21% 7.85%+1.59 +2.6 21
2008-09-13 Dinamo Bender D 3-366.4 1346 1255 56.05% 21.15% 22.81%+0.58 -1.3 11
2008-09-13 @ Nistru Otaci D 3-366.4 1255 1346 22.81% 21.15% 56.05%-0.58 +1.3 14
2008-09-13 Zimbru L 0-429.9 1222 1474 15.70% 20.05% 64.24%-0.94 -19.0 10
2008-09-13 @ Tiligul-Tiras W 4-029.9 1474 1222 64.24% 20.05% 15.70%+0.94 +19.0 23
2008-09-17 FC Tiraspol W 2-036.6 1471 1361 58.19% 20.93% 20.88%+0.67 +13.0 24
2008-09-17 @ Dacia Chisinau L 0-236.6 1361 1471 20.88% 20.93% 58.19%-0.67 -13.0 10
2008-09-17 Sheriff Tiraspol L 1-433.6 1203 1585 8.45% 17.55% 74.00%-1.52 -6.6 10
2008-09-17 @ Tiligul-Tiras W 4-133.6 1585 1203 74.00% 17.55% 8.45%+1.52 +6.6 24
2008-09-21 Dacia Chisinau D 0-053.4 1254 1484 17.48% 20.41% 62.11%-0.84 +3.3 18
2008-09-21 @ FC Olimpia Balti D 0-053.4 1484 1254 62.11% 20.41% 17.48%+0.84 -3.3 25
2008-09-21 FC Tiraspol L 2-348.5 1182 1347 23.37% 21.21% 55.42%-0.56 -6.8 4
2008-09-21 @ Academia Chisinau W 3-248.5 1347 1182 55.42% 21.21% 23.37%+0.56 +6.8 13
2008-09-21 Iskra-Stal W 2-035.9 1493 1350 61.52% 20.49% 17.98%+0.81 +11.4 26
2008-09-21 @ Zimbru L 0-235.9 1350 1493 17.98% 20.49% 61.52%-0.81 -11.4 18
2008-09-21 CSCA-Rapid Chisinau W 6-232.6 1592 1225 77.74% 16.09% 6.17%+1.81 +5.2 27
2008-09-21 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 2-632.6 1225 1592 6.17% 16.09% 77.74%-1.81 -5.2 10
2008-09-21 Tiligul-Tiras D 2-262.3 1256 1196 52.49% 21.44% 26.07%+0.45 -1.3 15
2008-09-21 @ Dinamo Bender D 2-262.3 1196 1256 26.07% 21.44% 52.49%-0.45 +1.3 11
2008-09-26 FC Tiraspol D 0-051.6 1258 1354 31.38% 21.73% 46.90%-0.25 +1.1 19
2008-09-26 @ FC Olimpia Balti D 0-051.6 1354 1258 46.90% 21.73% 31.38%+0.25 -1.1 14
2008-09-26 Dinamo Bender W 1-037.8 1339 1255 55.27% 21.22% 23.51%+0.55 +7.7 21
2008-09-26 @ Iskra-Stal L 0-137.8 1255 1339 23.51% 21.22% 55.27%-0.55 -7.7 15
2008-09-27 Academia Chisinau L 0-145.3 1219 1175 50.54% 21.56% 27.90%+0.38 -14.5 10
2008-09-27 @ CSCA-Rapid Chisinau W 1-045.3 1175 1219 27.90% 21.56% 50.54%-0.38 +14.5 7
2008-09-27 Sheriff Tiraspol L 1-344.2 1344 1597 15.67% 20.05% 64.29%-0.95 -8.7 11
2008-09-27 @ Nistru Otaci W 3-144.2 1597 1344 64.29% 20.05% 15.67%+0.95 +8.7 30
2008-09-27 Zimbru D 1-165.2 1480 1505 41.37% 21.85% 36.78%+0.07 -0.3 26
2008-09-27 @ Dacia Chisinau D 1-165.2 1505 1480 36.78% 21.85% 41.37%-0.07 +0.3 27
2008-10-01 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-247.6 1480 1606 27.80% 21.55% 50.65%-0.38 -16.7 26
2008-10-01 @ Dacia Chisinau W 2-047.6 1606 1480 50.65% 21.55% 27.80%+0.38 +16.7 33
2008-10-05 FC Olimpia Balti W 3-029.4 1505 1259 70.20% 18.72% 11.08%+1.27 +10.3 30
2008-10-05 @ Zimbru L 0-329.4 1259 1505 11.08% 18.72% 70.20%-1.27 -10.3 19
2008-10-05 Dacia Chisinau L 1-339.5 1247 1463 18.58% 20.60% 60.82%-0.78 -10.2 15
2008-10-05 @ Dinamo Bender W 3-139.5 1463 1247 60.82% 20.60% 18.58%+0.78 +10.2 29
2008-10-05 Nistru Otaci W 1-046.4 1190 1335 25.47% 21.39% 53.13%-0.47 +15.1 10
2008-10-05 @ Academia Chisinau L 0-146.4 1335 1190 53.13% 21.39% 25.47%+0.47 -15.1 11
2008-10-05 Tiligul-Tiras W 3-027.4 1623 1197 80.61% 14.74% 4.65%+2.07 +4.1 36
2008-10-05 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-327.4 1197 1623 4.65% 14.74% 80.61%-2.07 -4.1 11
2008-10-12 FC Tiraspol W 2-152.8 1205 1353 25.22% 21.37% 53.41%-0.48 +14.3 13
2008-10-12 @ CSCA-Rapid Chisinau L 1-252.8 1353 1205 53.41% 21.37% 25.22%+0.48 -14.3 14
2008-10-19 Academia Chisinau W 1-040.8 1193 1205 43.12% 21.83% 35.05%+0.13 +10.7 14
2008-10-19 @ Tiligul-Tiras L 0-140.8 1205 1193 35.05% 21.83% 43.12%-0.13 -10.7 10
2008-10-19 CSCA-Rapid Chisinau W 4-135.9 1320 1219 57.19% 21.03% 21.77%+0.63 +16.6 14
2008-10-19 @ Nistru Otaci L 1-435.9 1219 1320 21.77% 21.03% 57.19%-0.63 -16.6 13
2008-10-19 Sheriff Tiraspol W 1-058.3 1346 1627 13.79% 19.59% 66.63%-1.07 +18.7 24
2008-10-19 @ Iskra-Stal L 0-158.3 1627 1346 66.63% 19.59% 13.79%+1.07 -18.7 36
2008-10-19 Dinamo Bender L 1-250.5 1248 1237 46.27% 21.75% 31.99%+0.23 -12.6 19
2008-10-19 @ FC Olimpia Balti W 2-150.5 1237 1248 31.99% 21.75% 46.27%-0.23 +12.7 18
2008-10-19 Zimbru L 0-141.5 1339 1515 22.28% 21.09% 56.63%-0.61 -7.3 14
2008-10-19 @ FC Tiraspol W 1-041.5 1515 1339 56.63% 21.09% 22.28%+0.61 +7.3 33
2008-10-26 Dacia Chisinau W 2-044.4 1608 1474 60.67% 20.62% 18.72%+0.78 +11.8 39
2008-10-26 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-244.4 1474 1608 18.72% 20.62% 60.67%-0.78 -11.8 29
2008-10-26 FC Tiraspol W 3-252.5 1337 1332 45.45% 21.77% 32.78%+0.20 +9.1 17
2008-10-26 @ Nistru Otaci L 2-352.5 1332 1337 32.78% 21.77% 45.45%-0.20 -9.1 14
2008-10-26 Iskra-Stal D 0-051.4 1194 1365 22.79% 21.15% 56.06%-0.58 +2.4 11
2008-10-26 @ Academia Chisinau D 0-051.4 1365 1194 56.06% 21.15% 22.79%+0.58 -2.4 25
2008-10-26 Tiligul-Tiras L 1-249.8 1203 1204 44.56% 21.80% 33.64%+0.17 -12.3 13
2008-10-26 @ CSCA-Rapid Chisinau W 2-149.8 1204 1203 33.64% 21.80% 44.56%-0.17 +12.3 17
2008-10-26 Zimbru W 2-158.5 1250 1522 14.28% 19.72% 66.00%-1.03 +17.5 21
2008-10-26 @ Dinamo Bender L 1-258.5 1522 1250 66.00% 19.72% 14.28%+1.03 -17.5 33
2008-11-01 Academia Chisinau W 1-033.4 1462 1196 71.58% 18.33% 10.09%+1.36 +3.4 32
2008-11-01 @ Dacia Chisinau L 0-133.4 1196 1462 10.09% 18.33% 71.58%-1.36 -3.4 11
2008-11-01 Nistru Otaci L 1-341.0 1216 1346 27.29% 21.52% 51.18%-0.40 -14.3 17
2008-11-01 @ Tiligul-Tiras W 3-141.0 1346 1216 51.18% 21.52% 27.29%+0.40 +14.3 20
2008-11-01 CSCA-Rapid Chisinau D 0-051.7 1363 1190 64.25% 20.05% 15.70%+0.94 -3.7 26
2008-11-01 @ Iskra-Stal D 0-051.7 1190 1363 15.70% 20.05% 64.25%-0.94 +3.7 14
2008-11-01 Sheriff Tiraspol L 1-242.5 1236 1620 8.41% 17.52% 74.07%-1.53 -2.7 19
2008-11-01 @ FC Olimpia Balti W 2-142.5 1620 1236 74.07% 17.52% 8.41%+1.53 +2.7 42
2008-11-01 Dinamo Bender W 2-035.0 1322 1267 51.89% 21.48% 26.63%+0.42 +16.1 17
2008-11-01 @ FC Tiraspol L 0-235.0 1267 1322 26.63% 21.48% 51.89%-0.42 -16.1 21
2008-11-09 FC Olimpia Balti L 0-238.2 1193 1233 39.07% 21.86% 39.07%+0.00 -22.0 11
2008-11-09 @ Academia Chisinau W 2-038.2 1233 1193 39.07% 21.86% 39.07%+0.00 +22.0 22
2008-11-09 Dacia Chisinau L 1-337.4 1194 1465 14.39% 19.74% 65.86%-1.03 -8.0 14
2008-11-09 @ CSCA-Rapid Chisinau W 3-137.4 1465 1194 65.86% 19.74% 14.39%+1.03 +8.0 35
2008-11-09 FC Tiraspol W 1-046.1 1202 1339 26.51% 21.47% 52.03%-0.43 +14.9 20
2008-11-09 @ Tiligul-Tiras L 0-146.1 1339 1202 52.03% 21.47% 26.51%+0.43 -14.9 17
2008-11-09 Iskra-Stal D 0-052.7 1360 1359 44.89% 21.79% 33.32%+0.18 -0.8 21
2008-11-09 @ Nistru Otaci D 0-052.7 1359 1360 33.32% 21.79% 44.89%-0.18 +0.8 27
2008-11-09 Zimbru D 1-170.6 1622 1505 58.95% 20.84% 20.22%+0.70 -2.6 43
2008-11-09 @ Sheriff Tiraspol D 1-170.6 1505 1622 20.22% 20.84% 58.95%-0.70 +2.6 34
2008-11-15 Academia Chisinau L 2-364.1 1508 1171 76.05% 16.79% 7.16%+1.68 -18.8 34
2008-11-15 @ Zimbru W 3-264.1 1171 1508 7.16% 16.79% 76.05%-1.68 +18.8 14
2008-11-15 Nistru Otaci W 1-040.4 1473 1359 58.56% 20.88% 20.56%+0.68 +6.8 38
2008-11-15 @ Dacia Chisinau L 0-140.4 1359 1473 20.56% 20.88% 58.56%-0.68 -6.8 21
2008-11-15 CSCA-Rapid Chisinau D 1-156.2 1255 1186 53.55% 21.36% 25.08%+0.49 -1.8 23
2008-11-15 @ FC Olimpia Balti D 1-156.2 1186 1255 25.08% 21.36% 53.55%-0.49 +1.8 15
2008-11-15 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-233.2 1251 1620 9.04% 17.85% 73.11%-1.46 -5.8 21
2008-11-15 @ Dinamo Bender W 2-033.2 1620 1251 73.11% 17.85% 9.04%+1.46 +5.8 46
2008-11-15 Tiligul-Tiras W 4-029.7 1360 1217 61.53% 20.49% 17.97%+0.82 +21.6 30
2008-11-15 @ Iskra-Stal L 0-429.7 1217 1360 17.97% 20.49% 61.53%-0.82 -21.6 20
2009-02-28 Iskra-Stal W 2-038.9 1626 1381 70.08% 18.76% 11.17%+1.27 +7.2 49
2009-02-28 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-238.9 1381 1626 11.17% 18.76% 70.08%-1.27 -7.2 30
2009-03-04 FC Olimpia Balti L 0-147.9 1353 1253 57.00% 21.05% 21.94%+0.62 -16.1 21
2009-03-04 @ Nistru Otaci W 1-047.9 1253 1353 21.94% 21.05% 57.00%-0.62 +16.1 26
2009-03-04 Dacia Chisinau L 0-428.8 1195 1480 13.48% 19.50% 67.02%-1.09 -16.4 20
2009-03-04 @ Tiligul-Tiras W 4-028.8 1480 1195 67.02% 19.50% 13.48%+1.09 +16.4 41
2009-03-04 FC Tiraspol D 1-157.8 1374 1324 51.31% 21.51% 27.18%+0.40 -1.5 31
2009-03-04 @ Iskra-Stal D 1-157.8 1324 1374 27.18% 21.51% 51.31%-0.40 +1.5 18
2009-03-04 Dinamo Bender D 2-262.1 1190 1245 36.88% 21.85% 41.27%-0.07 +0.2 15
2009-03-04 @ Academia Chisinau D 2-262.1 1245 1190 41.27% 21.85% 36.88%+0.07 -0.2 22
2009-03-04 Zimbru L 0-230.8 1188 1489 12.51% 19.21% 68.28%-1.16 -8.0 15
2009-03-04 @ CSCA-Rapid Chisinau W 2-030.8 1489 1188 68.28% 19.21% 12.51%+1.16 +8.0 37
2009-03-08 Iskra-Stal W 1-041.1 1497 1373 59.61% 20.76% 19.64%+0.73 +6.5 44
2009-03-08 @ Dacia Chisinau L 0-141.1 1373 1497 19.64% 20.76% 59.61%-0.73 -6.5 31
2009-03-08 Nistru Otaci D 1-160.7 1497 1337 63.17% 20.24% 16.59%+0.89 -3.1 38
2009-03-08 @ Zimbru D 1-160.7 1337 1497 16.59% 20.24% 63.17%-0.89 +3.1 22
2009-03-08 CSCA-Rapid Chisinau W 2-034.0 1245 1180 53.08% 21.40% 25.52%+0.47 +15.6 25
2009-03-08 @ Dinamo Bender L 0-234.0 1180 1245 25.52% 21.40% 53.08%-0.47 -15.6 15
2009-03-08 Sheriff Tiraspol L 1-247.5 1325 1633 12.11% 19.09% 68.80%-1.19 -3.9 18
2009-03-08 @ FC Tiraspol W 2-147.5 1633 1325 68.80% 19.09% 12.11%+1.19 +3.9 52
2009-03-08 Tiligul-Tiras W 2-033.1 1270 1179 56.07% 21.15% 22.79%+0.58 +14.1 29
2009-03-08 @ FC Olimpia Balti L 0-233.1 1179 1270 22.79% 21.15% 56.07%-0.58 -14.1 20
2009-03-14 Academia Chisinau W 2-029.1 1503 1190 74.66% 17.31% 8.03%+1.57 +5.1 47
2009-03-14 @ Dacia Chisinau L 0-229.1 1190 1503 8.03% 17.31% 74.66%-1.57 -5.1 15
2009-03-14 FC Tiraspol W 1-040.1 1366 1321 50.59% 21.56% 27.85%+0.38 +8.9 34
2009-03-14 @ Iskra-Stal L 0-140.1 1321 1366 27.85% 21.56% 50.59%-0.38 -8.9 18
2009-03-14 Nistru Otaci W 2-150.5 1261 1340 33.67% 21.80% 44.53%-0.17 +12.2 28
2009-03-14 @ Dinamo Bender L 1-250.5 1340 1261 44.53% 21.80% 33.67%+0.17 -12.2 22
2009-03-14 CSCA-Rapid Chisinau D 0-053.4 1494 1164 75.62% 16.95% 7.42%+1.64 -5.3 39
2009-03-14 @ Zimbru D 0-053.4 1164 1494 7.42% 16.95% 75.62%-1.64 +5.3 16
2009-03-14 Tiligul-Tiras D 1-156.4 1284 1165 59.11% 20.82% 20.07%+0.71 -2.6 30
2009-03-14 @ FC Olimpia Balti D 1-156.4 1165 1284 20.07% 20.82% 59.11%-0.71 +2.6 21
2009-03-18 FC Olimpia Balti W 1-039.7 1312 1281 48.90% 21.64% 29.46%+0.32 +9.3 21
2009-03-18 @ FC Tiraspol L 0-139.7 1281 1312 29.46% 21.64% 48.90%-0.32 -9.3 30
2009-03-18 Dacia Chisinau W 1-050.4 1637 1508 60.09% 20.69% 19.21%+0.75 +6.4 55
2009-03-18 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-150.4 1508 1637 19.21% 20.69% 60.09%-0.75 -6.4 47
2009-03-18 Iskra-Stal D 0-051.5 1170 1375 19.53% 20.74% 59.72%-0.73 +3.0 17
2009-03-18 @ CSCA-Rapid Chisinau D 0-051.5 1375 1170 59.72% 20.74% 19.53%+0.73 -3.0 35
2009-03-18 Dinamo Bender L 0-533.8 1167 1273 30.22% 21.68% 48.10%-0.29 -41.9 21
2009-03-18 @ Tiligul-Tiras W 5-033.8 1273 1167 48.10% 21.68% 30.22%+0.29 +41.9 31
2009-03-18 Zimbru W 3-045.4 1185 1488 12.34% 19.16% 68.50%-1.17 +52.5 18
2009-03-18 @ Academia Chisinau L 0-345.4 1488 1185 68.50% 19.16% 12.34%+1.17 -52.5 39
2009-03-22 Academia Chisinau L 0-342.9 1372 1237 60.71% 20.61% 18.68%+0.78 -46.9 35
2009-03-22 @ Iskra-Stal W 3-042.9 1237 1372 18.68% 20.61% 60.71%-0.78 +46.9 21
2009-03-22 FC Tiraspol W 1-041.6 1315 1322 43.76% 21.81% 34.43%+0.15 +10.6 34
2009-03-22 @ Dinamo Bender L 0-141.6 1322 1315 34.43% 21.81% 43.76%-0.15 -10.6 21
2009-03-22 CSCA-Rapid Chisinau L 1-253.4 1272 1173 56.98% 21.06% 21.97%+0.62 -15.2 30
2009-03-22 @ FC Olimpia Balti W 2-153.4 1173 1272 21.97% 21.06% 56.98%-0.62 +15.2 20
2009-03-22 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-244.6 1436 1643 19.36% 20.72% 59.92%-0.74 -12.2 39
2009-03-22 @ Zimbru W 2-044.6 1643 1436 59.92% 20.72% 19.36%+0.74 +12.2 58
2009-03-22 Tiligul-Tiras W 2-029.9 1327 1125 66.82% 19.54% 13.64%+1.08 +8.8 25
2009-03-22 @ Nistru Otaci L 0-229.9 1125 1327 13.64% 19.54% 66.82%-1.08 -8.8 21
2009-04-04 FC Olimpia Balti L 0-439.0 1284 1257 48.41% 21.67% 29.92%+0.30 -49.9 21
2009-04-04 @ Academia Chisinau W 4-039.0 1257 1284 29.92% 21.67% 48.41%-0.30 +49.9 33
2009-04-04 Iskra-Stal D 0-061.2 1655 1325 75.67% 16.93% 7.39%+1.65 -5.3 59
2009-04-04 @ Sheriff Tiraspol D 0-061.2 1325 1655 7.39% 16.93% 75.67%-1.65 +5.3 36
2009-04-04 Nistru Otaci D 0-051.8 1311 1336 41.25% 21.85% 36.90%+0.07 -0.3 22
2009-04-04 @ FC Tiraspol D 0-051.8 1336 1311 36.90% 21.85% 41.25%-0.07 +0.3 26
2009-04-04 Dinamo Bender D 1-156.4 1188 1325 26.42% 21.46% 52.12%-0.43 +1.6 21
2009-04-04 @ CSCA-Rapid Chisinau D 1-156.4 1325 1188 52.12% 21.46% 26.42%+0.43 -1.7 35
2009-04-04 Zimbru W 3-038.4 1502 1424 54.60% 21.28% 24.12%+0.53 +21.5 50
2009-04-04 @ Dacia Chisinau L 0-338.4 1424 1502 24.12% 21.28% 54.60%-0.53 -21.5 39
2009-04-12 Academia Chisinau D 2-262.7 1324 1234 55.91% 21.16% 22.93%+0.58 -1.6 36
2009-04-12 @ Dinamo Bender D 2-262.7 1234 1324 22.93% 21.16% 55.91%-0.58 +1.6 22
2009-04-12 Dacia Chisinau W 1-052.3 1330 1523 20.68% 20.90% 58.42%-0.68 +16.5 39
2009-04-12 @ Iskra-Stal L 0-152.3 1523 1330 58.42% 20.90% 20.68%+0.68 -16.5 50
2009-04-12 FC Tiraspol L 0-136.2 1116 1311 20.53% 20.88% 58.59%-0.69 -6.8 21
2009-04-12 @ Tiligul-Tiras W 1-036.2 1311 1116 58.59% 20.88% 20.53%+0.69 +6.8 25
2009-04-12 CSCA-Rapid Chisinau L 1-254.9 1336 1190 61.90% 20.44% 17.66%+0.83 -16.4 26
2009-04-12 @ Nistru Otaci W 2-154.9 1190 1336 17.66% 20.44% 61.90%-0.83 +16.5 24
2009-04-12 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-140.4 1306 1650 10.20% 18.37% 71.43%-1.35 -3.5 33
2009-04-12 @ FC Olimpia Balti W 1-040.4 1650 1306 71.43% 18.37% 10.20%+1.35 +3.5 62
2009-04-17 Nistru Otaci D 0-051.2 1236 1320 33.00% 21.78% 45.23%-0.20 +0.8 23
2009-04-17 @ Academia Chisinau D 0-051.2 1320 1236 45.23% 21.78% 33.00%+0.20 -0.8 27
2009-04-18 FC Olimpia Balti W 2-033.4 1507 1303 66.95% 19.52% 13.53%+1.09 +8.7 53
2009-04-18 @ Dacia Chisinau L 0-233.4 1303 1507 13.53% 19.52% 66.95%-1.09 -8.7 33
2009-04-18 Iskra-Stal L 0-148.1 1402 1347 51.88% 21.48% 26.64%+0.42 -14.8 39
2009-04-18 @ Zimbru W 1-048.1 1347 1402 26.64% 21.48% 51.88%-0.42 +14.8 42
2009-04-18 Dinamo Bender W 2-036.0 1654 1322 75.74% 16.91% 7.35%+1.65 +4.6 65
2009-04-18 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-236.0 1322 1654 7.35% 16.91% 75.74%-1.65 -4.7 36
2009-04-18 Tiligul-Tiras D 0-050.8 1206 1110 56.68% 21.09% 22.23%+0.61 -2.5 25
2009-04-18 @ CSCA-Rapid Chisinau D 0-050.8 1110 1206 22.23% 21.09% 56.68%-0.61 +2.5 22
2009-04-25 Academia Chisinau W 1-045.3 1112 1237 27.92% 21.56% 50.52%-0.38 +14.5 25
2009-04-25 @ Tiligul-Tiras L 0-145.3 1237 1112 50.52% 21.56% 27.92%+0.38 -14.5 23
2009-04-25 Dacia Chisinau W 2-158.1 1317 1515 20.20% 20.84% 58.96%-0.70 +15.7 39
2009-04-25 @ Dinamo Bender L 1-258.1 1515 1317 58.96% 20.84% 20.20%+0.70 -15.7 53
2009-04-25 CSCA-Rapid Chisinau W 2-142.6 1318 1203 58.61% 20.88% 20.51%+0.69 +6.4 28
2009-04-25 @ FC Tiraspol L 1-242.6 1203 1318 20.51% 20.88% 58.61%-0.69 -6.4 25
2009-04-25 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-335.3 1319 1658 10.43% 18.47% 71.10%-1.33 -9.7 27
2009-04-25 @ Nistru Otaci W 3-035.3 1658 1319 71.10% 18.47% 10.43%+1.33 +9.7 68
2009-04-25 Zimbru W 1-045.6 1294 1387 31.82% 21.74% 46.44%-0.24 +13.5 36
2009-04-25 @ FC Olimpia Balti L 0-145.6 1387 1294 46.44% 21.74% 31.82%+0.24 -13.5 39
2009-05-03 FC Olimpia Balti D 0-052.2 1362 1308 51.75% 21.49% 26.76%+0.42 -1.8 43
2009-05-03 @ Iskra-Stal D 0-052.2 1308 1362 26.76% 21.49% 51.75%-0.42 +1.8 37
2009-05-03 Nistru Otaci W 3-031.6 1500 1309 65.82% 19.75% 14.42%+1.03 +13.4 56
2009-05-03 @ Dacia Chisinau L 0-331.6 1309 1500 14.42% 19.75% 65.82%-1.03 -13.4 27
2009-05-03 Dinamo Bender W 3-142.6 1374 1333 50.08% 21.58% 28.34%+0.36 +14.7 42
2009-05-03 @ Zimbru L 1-342.6 1333 1374 28.34% 21.58% 50.08%-0.36 -14.7 39
2009-05-03 Tiligul-Tiras W 2-027.6 1668 1127 85.34% 12.06% 2.61%+2.59 +1.5 71
2009-05-03 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-227.6 1127 1668 2.61% 12.06% 85.34%-2.59 -1.5 25
2009-05-04 FC Tiraspol L 0-139.8 1222 1324 30.70% 21.70% 47.60%-0.27 -9.6 23
2009-05-04 @ Academia Chisinau W 1-039.8 1324 1222 47.60% 21.70% 30.70%+0.27 +9.6 31
2009-05-09 Academia Chisinau W 1-041.0 1197 1213 42.56% 21.83% 35.60%+0.11 +10.9 28
2009-05-09 @ CSCA-Rapid Chisinau L 0-141.0 1213 1197 35.60% 21.83% 42.56%-0.11 -10.9 23
2009-05-09 Dacia Chisinau L 0-132.4 1125 1513 8.24% 17.43% 74.32%-1.55 -2.8 25
2009-05-09 @ Tiligul-Tiras W 1-032.4 1513 1125 74.32% 17.43% 8.24%+1.55 +2.8 59
2009-05-09 Iskra-Stal L 0-337.4 1318 1360 38.88% 21.86% 39.26%-0.01 -31.9 39
2009-05-09 @ Dinamo Bender W 3-037.4 1360 1318 39.26% 21.86% 38.88%+0.01 +31.9 46
2009-05-09 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-238.5 1334 1669 10.60% 18.54% 70.86%-1.31 -6.8 31
2009-05-09 @ FC Tiraspol W 2-038.5 1669 1334 70.86% 18.54% 10.60%+1.31 +6.8 74
2009-05-09 Zimbru W 2-041.8 1296 1389 31.88% 21.74% 46.37%-0.23 +25.3 30
2009-05-09 @ Nistru Otaci L 0-241.8 1389 1296 46.37% 21.74% 31.88%+0.23 -25.3 42
2009-05-13 FC Tiraspol W 1-038.5 1516 1327 65.71% 19.77% 14.52%+1.02 +4.9 62
2009-05-13 @ Dacia Chisinau L 0-138.5 1327 1516 14.52% 19.77% 65.71%-1.02 -4.9 31
2009-05-13 Nistru Otaci W 2-035.6 1392 1321 53.73% 21.35% 24.92%+0.49 +15.2 49
2009-05-13 @ Iskra-Stal L 0-235.6 1321 1392 24.92% 21.35% 53.73%-0.49 -15.2 30
2009-05-13 CSCA-Rapid Chisinau W 4-133.6 1676 1208 82.51% 13.73% 3.76%+2.26 +2.8 77
2009-05-13 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 1-433.6 1208 1676 3.76% 13.73% 82.51%-2.26 -2.8 28
2009-05-13 Dinamo Bender L 1-251.5 1309 1287 47.79% 21.69% 30.52%+0.28 -13.0 37
2009-05-13 @ FC Olimpia Balti W 2-151.5 1287 1309 30.52% 21.69% 47.79%-0.28 +13.0 42
2009-05-13 Tiligul-Tiras W 3-244.0 1363 1122 69.83% 18.82% 11.35%+1.25 +3.5 45
2009-05-13 @ Zimbru L 2-344.0 1122 1363 11.35% 18.82% 69.83%-1.25 -3.5 25
2009-05-17 FC Olimpia Balti L 1-347.0 1306 1296 46.02% 21.75% 32.22%+0.22 -21.8 30
2009-05-17 @ Nistru Otaci W 3-147.0 1296 1306 32.22% 21.75% 46.02%-0.22 +21.8 40
2009-05-17 Dacia Chisinau D 0-053.6 1205 1521 11.65% 18.93% 69.42%-1.23 +4.5 29
2009-05-17 @ CSCA-Rapid Chisinau D 0-053.6 1521 1205 69.42% 18.93% 11.65%+1.23 -4.5 63
2009-05-17 Iskra-Stal L 1-240.1 1119 1407 13.28% 19.44% 67.28%-1.10 -4.3 25
2009-05-17 @ Tiligul-Tiras W 2-140.1 1407 1119 67.28% 19.44% 13.28%+1.10 +4.3 52
2009-05-17 Sheriff Tiraspol D 3-372.9 1202 1679 5.35% 15.41% 79.25%-1.94 +3.2 24
2009-05-17 @ Academia Chisinau D 3-372.9 1679 1202 79.25% 15.41% 5.35%+1.94 -3.2 78
2009-05-17 Zimbru D 1-157.6 1322 1367 38.43% 21.86% 39.72%-0.02 +0.1 32
2009-05-17 @ FC Tiraspol D 1-157.6 1367 1322 39.72% 21.86% 38.43%+0.02 -0.1 46

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2008-08-23 6.34% Dinamo Bender 1236 2 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 1598 1
2 2008-11-15 7.16% Academia Chisinau 1171 3 @ Zimbru 1508 2
3 2009-03-18 12.34% @ Academia Chisinau 1185 3 Zimbru 1488 0
4 2008-10-19 13.79% @ Iskra-Stal 1346 1 Sheriff Tiraspol 1627 0
5 2008-10-26 14.28% @ Dinamo Bender 1250 2 Zimbru 1522 1
6 2008-07-17 16.83% FC Olimpia Balti 1239 2 @ FC Tiraspol 1396 1
7 2008-08-13 16.84% Tiligul-Tiras 1249 2 @ FC Tiraspol 1407 1
8 2009-04-12 17.66% CSCA-Rapid Chisinau 1190 2 @ Nistru Otaci 1336 1
9 2008-08-09 18.51% Tiligul-Tiras 1221 3 @ Nistru Otaci 1358 1
10 2009-03-22 18.68% Academia Chisinau 1237 3 @ Iskra-Stal 1372 0
11 2008-07-21 19.85% @ FC Olimpia Balti 1255 1 Zimbru 1457 0
12 2008-08-09 20.02% @ Dinamo Bender 1222 3 FC Tiraspol 1422 2
13 2009-04-25 20.20% @ Dinamo Bender 1317 2 Dacia Chisinau 1515 1
14 2009-04-12 20.68% @ Iskra-Stal 1330 1 Dacia Chisinau 1523 0
15 2009-03-04 21.94% FC Olimpia Balti 1253 1 @ Nistru Otaci 1353 0
16 2009-03-22 21.97% CSCA-Rapid Chisinau 1173 2 @ FC Olimpia Balti 1272 1
17 2008-07-12 22.13% CSCA-Rapid Chisinau 1189 2 @ Academia Chisinau 1287 0
18 2008-07-26 22.19% @ CSCA-Rapid Chisinau 1215 1 Nistru Otaci 1392 0
19 2008-07-02 22.94% @ Dinamo Bender 1242 2 Nistru Otaci 1411 1
20 2008-10-12 25.22% @ CSCA-Rapid Chisinau 1205 2 FC Tiraspol 1353 1
21 2008-10-05 25.47% @ Academia Chisinau 1190 1 Nistru Otaci 1335 0
22 2008-08-27 25.99% Iskra-Stal 1329 1 @ FC Tiraspol 1390 0
23 2008-11-09 26.51% @ Tiligul-Tiras 1202 1 FC Tiraspol 1339 0
24 2009-04-18 26.64% Iskra-Stal 1347 1 @ Zimbru 1402 0
25 2008-09-27 27.90% Academia Chisinau 1175 1 @ CSCA-Rapid Chisinau 1219 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2009-03-18 52.51 @ Academia Chisinau 3 1185 12.34% Zimbru 0 1488 68.50% 19.16%
2 2009-04-04 49.90 FC Olimpia Balti 4 1257 29.92% @ Academia Chisinau 0 1284 48.41% 21.67%
3 2009-03-22 46.90 Academia Chisinau 3 1237 18.68% @ Iskra-Stal 0 1372 60.71% 20.61%
4 2009-03-18 41.94 Dinamo Bender 5 1273 48.10% @ Tiligul-Tiras 0 1167 30.22% 21.68%
5 2008-08-23 36.52 @ CSCA-Rapid Chisinau 3 1204 32.30% FC Olimpia Balti 0 1294 45.94% 21.76%
6 2009-05-09 31.89 Iskra-Stal 3 1360 39.26% @ Dinamo Bender 0 1318 38.88% 21.86%
7 2008-07-12 30.35 CSCA-Rapid Chisinau 2 1189 22.13% @ Academia Chisinau 0 1287 56.80% 21.08%
8 2008-08-09 28.05 Tiligul-Tiras 3 1221 18.51% @ Nistru Otaci 1 1358 60.91% 20.58%
9 2009-05-09 25.34 @ Nistru Otaci 2 1296 31.88% Zimbru 0 1389 46.37% 21.74%
10 2008-11-09 22.04 FC Olimpia Balti 2 1233 39.07% @ Academia Chisinau 0 1193 39.07% 21.86%
11 2008-08-23 22.00 Iskra-Stal 2 1307 39.17% @ Tiligul-Tiras 0 1266 38.97% 21.86%
12 2009-05-17 21.81 FC Olimpia Balti 3 1296 32.22% @ Nistru Otaci 1 1306 46.02% 21.75%
13 2008-11-15 21.60 @ Iskra-Stal 4 1360 61.53% Tiligul-Tiras 0 1217 17.97% 20.49%
14 2009-04-04 21.52 @ Dacia Chisinau 3 1502 54.60% Zimbru 0 1424 24.12% 21.28%
15 2008-08-23 20.06 Dinamo Bender 2 1236 6.34% @ Sheriff Tiraspol 1 1598 77.45% 16.21%
16 2008-09-13 19.04 Zimbru 4 1474 64.24% @ Tiligul-Tiras 0 1222 15.70% 20.05%
17 2008-11-15 18.77 Academia Chisinau 3 1171 7.16% @ Zimbru 2 1508 76.05% 16.79%
18 2008-10-19 18.69 @ Iskra-Stal 1 1346 13.79% Sheriff Tiraspol 0 1627 66.63% 19.59%
19 2008-08-04 17.79 @ FC Tiraspol 2 1404 48.43% Nistru Otaci 0 1376 29.91% 21.66%
20 2008-07-30 17.75 @ FC Tiraspol 3 1386 59.87% Academia Chisinau 0 1260 19.41% 20.72%
21 2008-10-26 17.47 @ Dinamo Bender 2 1250 14.28% Zimbru 1 1522 66.00% 19.72%
22 2008-08-23 17.43 Zimbru 5 1431 62.26% @ Academia Chisinau 1 1200 17.36% 20.38%
23 2008-07-21 16.77 @ FC Olimpia Balti 1 1255 19.85% Zimbru 0 1457 59.36% 20.79%
24 2008-10-01 16.73 Sheriff Tiraspol 2 1606 50.65% @ Dacia Chisinau 0 1480 27.80% 21.55%
25 2008-07-17 16.69 FC Olimpia Balti 2 1239 16.83% @ FC Tiraspol 1 1396 62.89% 20.28%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2009-05-17 72.9 @ Academia Chisinau 3 1202 5.35% Sheriff Tiraspol 3 1679 79.25% 15.41%
2 2008-11-09 70.6 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 1 1622 58.95% Zimbru 1 1505 20.22% 20.84%
3 2008-09-13 66.4 @ Nistru Otaci 3 1346 56.05% Dinamo Bender 3 1255 22.81% 21.15%
4 2008-09-27 65.2 @ Dacia Chisinau 1 1480 41.37% Zimbru 1 1505 36.78% 21.85%
5 2008-11-15 64.1 Academia Chisinau 3 1171 7.16% @ Zimbru 2 1508 76.05% 16.79%
6 2009-04-12 62.7 @ Dinamo Bender 2 1324 55.91% Academia Chisinau 2 1234 22.93% 21.16%
7 2008-07-12 62.5 @ Dinamo Bender 2 1257 39.57% Iskra-Stal 2 1293 38.57% 21.86%
8 2008-08-23 62.3 Dinamo Bender 2 1236 6.34% @ Sheriff Tiraspol 1 1598 77.45% 16.21%
9 2008-09-21 62.3 @ Dinamo Bender 2 1256 52.49% Tiligul-Tiras 2 1196 26.07% 21.44%
10 2009-03-04 62.1 @ Academia Chisinau 2 1190 36.88% Dinamo Bender 2 1245 41.27% 21.85%
11 2009-04-04 61.2 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 0 1655 75.67% Iskra-Stal 0 1325 7.39% 16.93%
12 2009-03-08 60.7 @ Zimbru 1 1497 63.17% Nistru Otaci 1 1337 16.59% 20.24%
13 2008-07-26 60.2 @ Zimbru 1 1440 51.99% FC Tiraspol 1 1384 26.54% 21.47%
14 2008-08-09 59.8 @ Dinamo Bender 3 1222 20.02% FC Tiraspol 2 1422 59.17% 20.81%
15 2008-10-26 58.5 @ Dinamo Bender 2 1250 14.28% Zimbru 1 1522 66.00% 19.72%
16 2008-10-19 58.3 @ Iskra-Stal 1 1346 13.79% Sheriff Tiraspol 0 1627 66.63% 19.59%
17 2009-04-25 58.1 @ Dinamo Bender 2 1317 20.20% Dacia Chisinau 1 1515 58.96% 20.84%
18 2009-03-04 57.8 @ Iskra-Stal 1 1374 51.31% FC Tiraspol 1 1324 27.18% 21.51%
19 2009-05-17 57.6 @ FC Tiraspol 1 1322 38.43% Zimbru 1 1367 39.72% 21.86%
20 2008-07-02 56.4 @ FC Olimpia Balti 1 1249 38.78% Iskra-Stal 1 1291 39.36% 21.86%
21 2009-03-14 56.4 @ FC Olimpia Balti 1 1284 59.11% Tiligul-Tiras 1 1165 20.07% 20.82%
22 2009-04-04 56.4 @ CSCA-Rapid Chisinau 1 1188 26.42% Dinamo Bender 1 1325 52.12% 21.46%
23 2008-08-27 56.3 @ Dinamo Bender 1 1257 54.12% Academia Chisinau 1 1183 24.56% 21.32%
24 2008-11-15 56.2 @ FC Olimpia Balti 1 1255 53.55% CSCA-Rapid Chisinau 1 1186 25.08% 21.36%
25 2008-08-13 56.0 Tiligul-Tiras 2 1249 16.84% @ FC Tiraspol 1 1407 62.87% 20.29%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2008-10-05 27.4 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 3 1623 80.61% Tiligul-Tiras 0 1197 4.65% 14.74%
2 2009-05-03 27.6 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 2 1668 85.34% Tiligul-Tiras 0 1127 2.61% 12.06%
3 2009-03-04 28.8 Dacia Chisinau 4 1480 67.02% @ Tiligul-Tiras 0 1195 13.48% 19.50%
4 2008-08-27 28.9 @ Zimbru 4 1449 67.25% CSCA-Rapid Chisinau 0 1241 13.30% 19.45%
5 2009-03-14 29.1 @ Dacia Chisinau 2 1503 74.66% Academia Chisinau 0 1190 8.03% 17.31%
6 2008-10-05 29.4 @ Zimbru 3 1505 70.20% FC Olimpia Balti 0 1259 11.08% 18.72%
7 2008-11-15 29.7 @ Iskra-Stal 4 1360 61.53% Tiligul-Tiras 0 1217 17.97% 20.49%
8 2008-09-13 29.9 Zimbru 4 1474 64.24% @ Tiligul-Tiras 0 1222 15.70% 20.05%
9 2009-03-22 29.9 @ Nistru Otaci 2 1327 66.82% Tiligul-Tiras 0 1125 13.64% 19.54%
10 2008-07-21 30.1 @ Dacia Chisinau 3 1420 63.45% Dinamo Bender 0 1256 16.36% 20.19%
11 2008-07-06 30.5 Sheriff Tiraspol 2 1564 73.08% @ CSCA-Rapid Chisinau 0 1195 9.06% 17.86%
12 2009-03-04 30.8 Zimbru 2 1489 68.28% @ CSCA-Rapid Chisinau 0 1188 12.51% 19.21%
13 2008-07-02 30.9 @ Zimbru 2 1442 67.71% Tiligul-Tiras 0 1229 12.95% 19.35%
14 2008-07-30 30.9 @ FC Tiraspol 3 1386 59.87% Academia Chisinau 0 1260 19.41% 20.72%
15 2008-08-03 31.0 @ Zimbru 2 1439 67.35% Dinamo Bender 0 1230 13.22% 19.43%
16 2009-05-03 31.6 @ Dacia Chisinau 3 1500 65.82% Nistru Otaci 0 1309 14.42% 19.75%
17 2008-07-06 32.0 @ Dacia Chisinau 2 1419 64.05% FC Olimpia Balti 0 1249 15.86% 20.09%
18 2009-05-09 32.4 Dacia Chisinau 1 1513 74.32% @ Tiligul-Tiras 0 1125 8.24% 17.43%
19 2008-09-21 32.6 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 6 1592 77.74% CSCA-Rapid Chisinau 2 1225 6.17% 16.09%
20 2008-08-09 33.1 Dacia Chisinau 2 1435 60.14% @ Academia Chisinau 0 1226 19.17% 20.69%
21 2009-03-08 33.1 @ FC Olimpia Balti 2 1270 56.07% Tiligul-Tiras 0 1179 22.79% 21.15%
22 2008-08-23 33.2 Zimbru 5 1431 62.26% @ Academia Chisinau 1 1200 17.36% 20.38%
23 2008-11-15 33.2 Sheriff Tiraspol 2 1620 73.11% @ Dinamo Bender 0 1251 9.04% 17.85%
24 2008-11-01 33.4 @ Dacia Chisinau 1 1462 71.58% Academia Chisinau 0 1196 10.09% 18.33%
25 2009-04-18 33.4 @ Dacia Chisinau 2 1507 66.95% FC Olimpia Balti 0 1303 13.53% 19.52%