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2007-08 Divizia Nationala Season

165 games

Final

Champion

Sheriff Tiraspol

81 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Sheriff Tiraspol

10.51 points above expected

81 points · 70.49 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Politehnica Chisinau

12.14 points below expected

15 points · 27.14 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Sheriff Tiraspol 30 26 3 1 81 68 8 +60 70.49 +10.51
2 Dacia Chisinau 30 19 5 6 62 60 28 +32 54.16 +7.84
3 Nistru Otaci 30 17 8 5 59 34 17 +17 52.48 +6.52
4 FC Tiraspol 30 16 7 7 55 36 21 +15 48.94 +6.06
5 Zimbru 30 13 13 4 52 43 21 +22 58.60 -6.60
6 Iskra-Stal 30 9 8 13 35 23 34 -11 40.25 -5.25
7 Tiligul-Tiras 30 7 8 15 29 16 36 -20 35.65 -6.65
8 FC Olimpia Balti 30 7 6 17 27 24 46 -22 31.86 -4.86
9 Dinamo Bender 30 7 5 18 26 30 57 -27 23.09 +2.91
10 CSCA-Steaua Chisinau 30 5 3 22 18 21 55 -34 17.99 +0.01
11 Politehnica Chisinau 30 3 6 21 15 7 39 -32 27.14 -12.14

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sheriff Tiraspol 81 70.49 +10.51
2 Dacia Chisinau 62 54.16 +7.84
3 Nistru Otaci 59 52.48 +6.52
4 FC Tiraspol 55 48.94 +6.06
5 Dinamo Bender 26 23.09 +2.91

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Politehnica Chisinau 15 27.14 -12.14
2 Tiligul-Tiras 29 35.65 -6.65
3 Zimbru 52 58.60 -6.60
4 Iskra-Stal 35 40.25 -5.25
5 FC Olimpia Balti 27 31.86 -4.86

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 CSCA-Steaua Chisinau 2 Apr 30 – May 11 1 in 47
2 Dacia Chisinau 7 Nov 3 – Mar 20 1 in 34
3 Sheriff Tiraspol 11 Sep 16 – Mar 7 1 in 26
4 Nistru Otaci 4 Jul 13 – Aug 6 1 in 21
5 Dinamo Bender 2 Mar 12 – Mar 16 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dinamo Bender 8 Jul 8 – Aug 25 1 in 61
2 FC Olimpia Balti 6 Jul 4 – Aug 5 1 in 50
3 Politehnica Chisinau 6 Mar 2 – Mar 30 1 in 47
4 Iskra-Stal 4 Sep 24 – Oct 29 1 in 14
5 FC Tiraspol 2 Jul 23 – Aug 5 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dinamo Bender 4 Mar 7 – Mar 20 1 in 48
2 FC Tiraspol 8 Aug 10 – Sep 28 1 in 26
3 Nistru Otaci 6 Jul 4 – Aug 6 1 in 24
4 Politehnica Chisinau 3 Oct 29 – Nov 11 1 in 12
5 Dacia Chisinau 9 Aug 5 – Sep 16 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dacia Chisinau 6 Mar 30 – Apr 30 1 in 116
2 Politehnica Chisinau 17 Sep 2 – Apr 13 1 in 72
3 Zimbru 4 Apr 21 – May 11 1 in 34
4 Tiligul-Tiras 8 Apr 8 – May 16 1 in 15
5 Sheriff Tiraspol 2 Aug 30 – Sep 3 1 in 6

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Sheriff Tiraspol 1783 81 +15 15 13.1 +1.9
Dacia Chisinau 1543 62 -26 10 11.4 -1.4
Nistru Otaci 1527 59 +0 10 10.3 -0.3
FC Tiraspol 1501 55 +32 9 7.3 +1.7
Zimbru 1563 52 -36 6 10.2 -4.2
Iskra-Stal 1326 35 -25 2 3.2 -1.2
Tiligul-Tiras 1222 29 -17 2 2.4 -0.4
FC Olimpia Balti 1251 27 -18 2 3.9 -1.9
Dinamo Bender 1237 26 +4 6 5.0 +1.0
CSCA-Steaua Chisinau 1152 18 +57 7 3.6 +3.4
Politehnica Chisinau 1122 15 -7 4 4.4 -0.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team CC DC DB FOB FT ISK NO PC ST TIL ZIM
CSCA-Steaua Chisinau —
1-0-2
0.96
2-0-1
2.75
0-1-2
2.50
0-0-3
1.20
0-1-2
1.81
0-0-3
1.12
2-0-1
3.13
0-0-3
0.55
0-1-2
1.99
0-0-3
0.95
Dacia Chisinau
2-0-1
7.53
—
3-0-0
7.07
3-0-0
6.13
1-2-0
4.99
2-1-0
5.77
2-1-0
4.37
3-0-0
6.86
0-0-3
2.11
2-1-0
6.08
1-0-2
3.47
Dinamo Bender
1-0-2
5.58
0-0-3
1.35
—
0-0-3
3.17
0-0-3
1.75
1-2-0
2.26
0-1-2
1.53
3-0-0
3.98
0-0-3
0.73
2-0-1
2.73
0-2-1
1.09
FC Olimpia Balti
2-1-0
5.83
0-0-3
2.22
3-0-0
5.15
—
0-0-3
2.37
2-0-1
3.40
0-1-2
2.15
0-2-1
4.85
0-0-3
1.10
0-1-2
3.94
0-1-2
1.64
FC Tiraspol
3-0-0
7.25
0-2-1
3.33
3-0-0
6.64
3-0-0
5.97
—
1-0-2
5.67
1-0-2
4.10
3-0-0
6.40
0-1-2
1.87
2-1-0
5.56
0-3-0
3.15
Iskra-Stal
2-1-0
6.56
0-1-2
2.57
0-2-1
6.09
1-0-2
4.91
2-0-1
2.65
—
0-0-3
2.51
2-1-0
5.63
0-0-3
1.33
2-1-0
4.61
0-2-1
2.19
Nistru Otaci
3-0-0
7.34
0-1-2
3.94
2-1-0
6.88
2-1-0
6.22
2-0-1
4.21
3-0-0
5.83
—
2-1-0
6.48
0-1-2
2.11
1-2-0
6.26
2-1-0
3.19
Politehnica Chisinau
1-0-2
5.20
0-0-3
1.56
0-0-3
4.35
1-2-0
3.46
0-0-3
1.97
0-1-2
2.70
0-1-2
1.90
—
0-0-3
0.83
1-0-2
3.33
0-2-1
1.35
Sheriff Tiraspol
3-0-0
8.09
3-0-0
6.24
3-0-0
7.82
3-0-0
7.37
2-1-0
6.50
3-0-0
7.11
2-1-0
6.24
3-0-0
7.71
—
3-0-0
7.45
1-1-1
5.86
Tiligul-Tiras
2-1-0
6.37
0-1-2
2.27
1-0-2
5.61
2-1-0
4.36
0-1-2
2.78
0-1-2
3.70
0-2-1
2.09
2-0-1
4.98
0-0-3
1.03
—
0-1-2
1.71
Zimbru
3-0-0
7.55
2-0-1
4.85
1-2-0
7.38
2-1-0
6.75
0-3-0
5.17
1-2-0
6.16
0-1-2
5.12
1-2-0
7.09
1-1-1
2.48
2-1-0
6.68
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.82 +10.5
Allowed 0.78 -11.9
Differential 0.98 +6.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%13.94%7.27%4.85%0.61%0.91%40.91%
113.94%6.06%5.45%2.73%0.91%0.91%30.00%
27.27%5.45%1.82%0.91%0.30%—15.76%
34.85%2.73%0.91%0.61%—0.30%9.39%
40.61%0.91%0.30%———1.82%
5+0.91%0.91%—0.30%——2.12%
Total40.91%30.00%15.76%9.39%1.82%2.12%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.10 1.10 +0.00
SD 1.28 1.28 1.91
CV 1.17 1.17 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 165

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%26.67%6.67%13.33%——50.00%
13.33%6.67%6.67%6.67%6.67%3.33%33.33%
26.67%3.33%—3.33%——13.33%
33.33%—————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%36.67%13.33%23.33%6.67%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.70 1.83 -1.13
SD 0.84 1.56 1.83
CV 1.20 0.85 —
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%3.33%6.67%———20.00%
110.00%3.33%3.33%——3.33%20.00%
213.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%——26.67%
310.00%10.00%————20.00%
43.33%3.33%————6.67%
5+—3.33%—3.33%——6.67%
Total46.67%30.00%13.33%6.67%—3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 0.93 +1.07
SD 1.64 1.20 1.95
CV 0.82 1.29 —
Max 7 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.67%10.00%6.67%—3.33%33.33%
110.00%3.33%16.67%10.00%—3.33%43.33%
26.67%3.33%3.33%———13.33%
33.33%——3.33%—3.33%10.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.67%13.33%30.00%20.00%—10.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.90 -0.90
SD 0.95 1.71 1.88
CV 0.95 0.90 —
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%20.00%13.33%3.33%—3.33%46.67%
113.33%10.00%10.00%3.33%3.33%—40.00%
2——3.33%———3.33%
3—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total20.00%36.67%30.00%6.67%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.80 1.53 -0.73
SD 1.03 1.43 1.84
CV 1.29 0.93 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%6.67%6.67%—3.33%—30.00%
113.33%10.00%6.67%———30.00%
220.00%10.00%————30.00%
36.67%3.33%————10.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total53.33%30.00%13.33%—3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 0.70 +0.50
SD 1.00 0.95 1.59
CV 0.83 1.36 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%16.67%3.33%6.67%—3.33%50.00%
113.33%6.67%6.67%3.33%——30.00%
26.67%3.33%—3.33%——13.33%
33.33%—3.33%———6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total43.33%26.67%13.33%13.33%—3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 1.13 -0.37
SD 0.94 1.41 1.75
CV 1.22 1.24 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%13.33%3.33%———33.33%
123.33%3.33%————26.67%
210.00%16.67%6.67%———33.33%
33.33%3.33%————6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total53.33%36.67%10.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 0.57 +0.57
SD 0.97 0.68 1.10
CV 0.86 1.20 —
Max 3 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%30.00%23.33%10.00%——80.00%
110.00%—3.33%3.33%——16.67%
2——3.33%———3.33%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total26.67%30.00%30.00%13.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.23 1.30 -1.07
SD 0.50 1.02 1.14
CV 2.16 0.79 —
Max 2 3 +1
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%3.33%————10.00%
126.67%3.33%————30.00%
216.67%6.67%————23.33%
316.67%—————16.67%
43.33%3.33%3.33%———10.00%
5+6.67%3.33%————10.00%
Total76.67%20.00%3.33%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 0.27 +2.00
SD 1.72 0.52 1.68
CV 0.76 1.95 —
Max 7 2 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%20.00%3.33%13.33%3.33%—60.00%
113.33%6.67%6.67%3.33%——30.00%
2—6.67%————6.67%
3—3.33%————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%36.67%10.00%16.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.53 1.20 -0.67
SD 0.78 1.19 1.49
CV 1.46 0.99 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.67%6.67%3.33%———36.67%
116.67%13.33%————30.00%
2—3.33%——3.33%—6.67%
36.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%——20.00%
4———————
5+3.33%3.33%————6.67%
Total53.33%33.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 0.70 +0.73
SD 1.70 0.99 1.78
CV 1.18 1.41 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Sheriff Tiraspol 1783 81 70.49 +10.51 96.0% 55 62 66 70 75 81 84
Zimbru 1563 52 58.60 -6.60 17.0% 40 46 55 59 63 70 74
Dacia Chisinau 1543 62 54.16 +7.84 87.0% 37 43 48 54 59 67 71
Nistru Otaci 1527 59 52.48 +6.52 86.0% 35 41 49 53 57 62 66
FC Tiraspol 1501 55 48.94 +6.06 88.0% 38 41 45 49 53 57 61
Iskra-Stal 1326 35 40.25 -5.25 30.0% 25 29 35 40 45 53 64
FC Olimpia Balti 1251 27 31.86 -4.86 25.0% 19 21 27 32 36 42 47
Dinamo Bender 1237 26 23.09 +2.91 73.0% 12 14 20 23 27 33 34
Tiligul-Tiras 1222 29 35.65 -6.65 19.0% 19 24 31 36 41 45 50
CSCA-Steaua Chisinau 1152 18 17.99 +0.01 50.0% 7 8 15 18 21 26 30
Politehnica Chisinau 1122 15 27.14 -12.14 1.0% 14 17 23 26 31 37 40

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8% * Slight Edge: 8% to 10.5% * Clear Edge: 10.5% to 16% * Strong Edge: 16% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+7.88%
No Edge
43.03%21.82%35.15%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 27.43 Elo pts.
212 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.23 goals
Neutral
-2+0.13+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.37 * Comfortable: 0.37 to 0.52 * Runaway: 0.52 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.3
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
87%
Sheriff Tiraspol, 1st of 11
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.63/gm
Runaway
00.331/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.93 * Some Luck: 4.93 to 7.4 * Lucky: 7.4 to 9.87 * Wild Swing: 9.87 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.63 * Close: 0.63 to 0.94 * Off: 0.94 to 1.26 * Way Off: 1.26 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 11 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 11 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 11 * As Expected: 11 to 17.6 * Several Outliers: 17.6 to 24.2 * Many Outliers: 24.2 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.04 points
Some Luck
06.1715
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.91
Close
00.792
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.45%
96.00%
Sheriff Tiraspol
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.55%
1.00%
Politehnica Chisinau
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 11
Minimal Outliers
01.111

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.23 * Even: 0.23 to 0.26 * Top-Heavy: 0.26 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.5 * Moderate Separation: 2.5 to 2.7 * Strong Separation: 2.7 to 2.95 * Wide Separation: 2.95 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 72.5% * Slight Edge: 72.5% to 81% * Clear Edge: 81% to 85.5% * Wide Edge: 85.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 96% * Clear Edge: 96% to 98% * Strong Edge: 98% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17% * Occasional: 17% to 22% * Frequent: 22% to 26.5% * Very Frequent: 26.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.27
Top-Heavy
00.230.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 210.27
2.88
Strong Separation
12.52.953.75
Interquartile Edge
85%
Clear Edge
50%72.5%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 98%
98%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
62%
Very Frequent
0%56%100%
Blowouts
Expected
17%
Rare
0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.47 * Slight Separation: 0.47 to 0.52 * Notable Separation: 0.52 to 0.56 * Lopsided: 0.56 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.57 * Some Carryover: 0.57 to 0.75 * Strong Carryover: 0.75 to 0.84 * Near-Lock: 0.84 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 14.5% * As Expected: 14.5% to 16.5% * Upset-Prone: 16.5% to 20% * Very Upset-Prone: 20% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 11.5% * As Expected: 11.5% to 13.5% * Shaky Favorites: 13.5% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.48
Highly Predictable
00.522
Matchup Imbalance
0.55
Notable Separation
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.32
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.87
Near-Lock
00.570.751
Upset Rate
Expected
14%
Chalky
0%18%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
11%
Solid Favorites
0%15%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.48
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.40
Very Underconfident
0.4828641.001.51714
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.094
Well Within Noise
00.1220.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011
Sheriff Tiraspol87.00%10.00%3.00%————————
Dacia Chisinau5.00%25.00%27.00%19.00%21.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%———
Nistru Otaci1.00%13.00%30.00%28.00%18.00%7.00%3.00%————
FC Tiraspol—4.00%14.00%29.00%42.00%8.00%3.00%————
Zimbru7.00%47.00%24.00%15.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%————
Iskra-Stal—1.00%2.00%5.00%9.00%42.00%22.00%13.00%6.00%——
Tiligul-Tiras———3.00%6.00%21.00%30.00%25.00%12.00%1.00%2.00%
FC Olimpia Balti———1.00%—15.00%25.00%32.00%16.00%9.00%2.00%
Dinamo Bender——————5.00%7.00%24.00%42.00%22.00%
CSCA-Steaua Chisinau———————1.00%14.00%17.00%68.00%
Politehnica Chisinau—————4.00%10.00%21.00%28.00%31.00%6.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
CSCA-Steaua Chisinau 100%
Dacia Chisinau 100%
Dinamo Bender 100%
FC Olimpia Balti 100%
FC Tiraspol 100%
Iskra-Stal 100%
Nistru Otaci 100%
Politehnica Chisinau 100%
Sheriff Tiraspol 100%
Tiligul-Tiras 100%
Zimbru 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2007-07-04 FC Olimpia Balti W 2-039.8 1654 1353 72.00% 19.28% 8.72%+1.55 +7.2 3
2007-07-04 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-239.8 1353 1654 8.72% 19.28% 72.00%-1.55 -7.2 0
2007-07-04 FC Tiraspol L 0-133.3 1090 1441 8.94% 19.39% 71.67%-1.53 -3.9 0
2007-07-04 @ CSCA-Steaua Chisinau W 1-033.3 1441 1090 71.67% 19.39% 8.94%+1.53 +3.9 3
2007-07-04 Iskra-Stal D 0-052.1 1350 1359 41.16% 23.13% 35.72%+0.09 -0.5 1
2007-07-04 @ Tiligul-Tiras D 0-052.1 1359 1350 35.72% 23.13% 41.16%-0.09 +0.5 1
2007-07-04 Nistru Otaci D 1-164.7 1543 1440 55.19% 22.47% 22.34%+0.61 -2.7 1
2007-07-04 @ Zimbru D 1-164.7 1440 1543 22.34% 22.47% 55.19%-0.61 +2.7 1
2007-07-08 FC Olimpia Balti W 2-146.8 1445 1346 54.83% 22.51% 22.66%+0.60 +9.0 6
2007-07-08 @ FC Tiraspol L 1-246.8 1346 1445 22.66% 22.51% 54.83%-0.60 -9.0 0
2007-07-08 Sheriff Tiraspol D 0-064.2 1443 1661 16.86% 21.73% 61.41%-0.90 +4.2 2
2007-07-08 @ Nistru Otaci D 0-064.2 1661 1443 61.41% 21.73% 16.86%+0.90 -4.2 4
2007-07-08 Dinamo Bender W 3-042.3 1086 1240 22.72% 22.51% 54.77%-0.60 +53.9 3
2007-07-08 @ CSCA-Steaua Chisinau L 0-342.3 1240 1086 54.77% 22.51% 22.72%+0.60 -53.9 0
2007-07-08 Tiligul-Tiras L 0-144.7 1332 1350 39.78% 23.14% 37.08%+0.04 -15.0 0
2007-07-08 @ Politehnica Chisinau W 1-044.7 1350 1332 37.08% 23.14% 39.78%-0.04 +15.0 4
2007-07-08 Zimbru D 0-056.8 1359 1540 20.06% 22.22% 57.73%-0.73 +3.5 2
2007-07-08 @ Iskra-Stal D 0-056.8 1540 1359 57.73% 22.22% 20.06%+0.73 -3.5 2
2007-07-12 Iskra-Stal W 3-038.3 1657 1363 71.57% 19.42% 9.01%+1.52 +10.8 7
2007-07-12 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-338.3 1363 1657 9.01% 19.42% 71.57%-1.52 -10.8 2
2007-07-13 Nistru Otaci L 0-142.6 1337 1447 27.47% 22.86% 49.67%-0.39 -11.2 0
2007-07-13 @ FC Olimpia Balti W 1-042.6 1447 1337 49.67% 22.86% 27.47%+0.39 +11.2 5
2007-07-13 Politehnica Chisinau D 0-055.8 1536 1317 66.24% 20.85% 12.91%+1.17 -5.2 3
2007-07-13 @ Zimbru D 0-055.8 1317 1536 12.91% 20.85% 66.24%-1.17 +5.1 1
2007-07-14 FC Tiraspol L 0-330.6 1186 1454 13.32% 20.96% 65.72%-1.14 -16.0 0
2007-07-14 @ Dinamo Bender W 3-030.6 1454 1186 65.72% 20.96% 13.32%+1.14 +16.0 9
2007-07-22 FC Olimpia Balti W 2-039.0 1352 1325 45.88% 23.02% 31.09%+0.25 +23.3 5
2007-07-22 @ Iskra-Stal L 0-239.0 1325 1352 31.09% 23.02% 45.88%-0.25 -23.3 0
2007-07-22 Tiligul-Tiras L 0-136.1 1140 1365 16.34% 21.64% 62.02%-0.93 -7.1 3
2007-07-22 @ CSCA-Steaua Chisinau W 1-036.1 1365 1140 62.02% 21.64% 16.34%+0.93 +7.1 7
2007-07-23 Nistru Otaci L 1-257.3 1470 1458 43.89% 23.08% 33.03%+0.18 -15.3 9
2007-07-23 @ FC Tiraspol W 2-157.3 1458 1470 33.03% 23.08% 43.89%-0.18 +15.3 8
2007-07-28 Iskra-Stal W 1-042.6 1474 1375 54.76% 22.51% 22.72%+0.60 +9.5 11
2007-07-28 @ Nistru Otaci L 0-142.6 1375 1474 22.72% 22.51% 54.76%-0.60 -9.5 5
2007-07-28 Politehnica Chisinau L 0-144.1 1302 1322 39.51% 23.14% 37.35%+0.04 -14.9 0
2007-07-28 @ FC Olimpia Balti W 1-044.1 1322 1302 37.35% 23.14% 39.51%-0.04 +14.9 4
2007-07-28 CSCA-Steaua Chisinau W 3-134.8 1531 1133 77.43% 17.13% 5.44%+2.01 +3.8 6
2007-07-28 @ Zimbru L 1-334.8 1133 1531 5.44% 17.13% 77.43%-2.01 -3.8 3
2007-07-28 Dinamo Bender W 3-137.7 1372 1170 64.83% 21.14% 14.03%+1.08 +10.0 10
2007-07-28 @ Tiligul-Tiras L 1-337.7 1170 1372 14.03% 21.14% 64.83%-1.08 -10.0 0
2007-08-05 FC Olimpia Balti W 3-033.4 1426 1287 58.99% 22.07% 18.94%+0.78 +22.2 3
2007-08-05 @ Dacia Chisinau L 0-333.4 1287 1426 18.94% 22.07% 58.99%-0.78 -22.2 0
2007-08-05 Iskra-Stal L 0-151.2 1454 1365 53.67% 22.60% 23.73%+0.55 -19.3 9
2007-08-05 @ FC Tiraspol W 1-051.2 1365 1454 23.73% 22.60% 53.67%-0.55 +19.3 8
2007-08-06 Nistru Otaci L 0-239.0 1337 1483 23.48% 22.58% 53.94%-0.56 -18.5 4
2007-08-06 @ Politehnica Chisinau W 2-039.0 1483 1337 53.94% 22.58% 23.48%+0.56 +18.5 14
2007-08-06 Zimbru L 1-239.7 1160 1535 7.94% 18.87% 73.19%-1.64 -3.3 0
2007-08-06 @ Dinamo Bender W 2-139.7 1535 1160 73.19% 18.87% 7.94%+1.64 +3.3 9
2007-08-10 FC Tiraspol L 0-242.5 1382 1435 34.81% 23.11% 42.08%-0.12 -25.5 10
2007-08-10 @ Tiligul-Tiras W 2-042.5 1435 1382 42.08% 23.11% 34.81%+0.12 +25.5 12
2007-08-11 Dacia Chisinau L 0-154.0 1502 1448 49.43% 22.88% 27.69%+0.38 -17.9 14
2007-08-11 @ Nistru Otaci W 1-054.0 1448 1502 27.69% 22.88% 49.43%-0.38 +17.9 6
2007-08-11 Politehnica Chisinau W 1-040.8 1385 1318 50.98% 22.79% 26.23%+0.44 +10.8 11
2007-08-11 @ Iskra-Stal L 0-140.8 1318 1385 26.23% 22.79% 50.98%-0.44 -10.8 4
2007-08-11 CSCA-Steaua Chisinau W 4-136.0 1265 1129 58.73% 22.10% 19.17%+0.77 +18.9 3
2007-08-11 @ FC Olimpia Balti L 1-436.0 1129 1265 19.17% 22.10% 58.73%-0.77 -18.9 3
2007-08-12 Dinamo Bender W 5-027.9 1668 1157 82.39% 14.49% 3.11%+2.55 +5.5 10
2007-08-12 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-527.9 1157 1668 3.11% 14.49% 82.39%-2.55 -5.5 0
2007-08-16 Iskra-Stal W 2-149.6 1466 1396 51.46% 22.76% 25.78%+0.46 +10.0 9
2007-08-16 @ Dacia Chisinau L 1-249.6 1396 1466 25.78% 22.76% 51.46%-0.46 -10.0 11
2007-08-17 FC Olimpia Balti L 1-341.1 1151 1284 24.90% 22.70% 52.41%-0.50 -16.8 0
2007-08-17 @ Dinamo Bender W 3-141.1 1284 1151 52.41% 22.70% 24.90%+0.50 +16.8 6
2007-08-17 Nistru Otaci L 0-133.2 1110 1484 8.01% 18.91% 73.07%-1.63 -3.5 3
2007-08-17 @ CSCA-Steaua Chisinau W 1-033.2 1484 1110 73.07% 18.91% 8.01%+1.63 +3.5 17
2007-08-17 Politehnica Chisinau W 2-144.7 1461 1308 60.42% 21.88% 17.70%+0.85 +7.2 15
2007-08-17 @ FC Tiraspol L 1-244.7 1308 1461 17.70% 21.88% 60.42%-0.85 -7.2 4
2007-08-17 Zimbru L 0-143.1 1356 1538 19.97% 22.21% 57.83%-0.73 -8.5 10
2007-08-17 @ Tiligul-Tiras W 1-043.1 1538 1356 57.83% 22.21% 19.97%+0.73 +8.5 12
2007-08-21 Dacia Chisinau L 3-732.9 1134 1476 9.35% 19.58% 71.08%-1.48 -9.5 0
2007-08-21 @ Dinamo Bender W 7-332.9 1476 1134 71.08% 19.58% 9.35%+1.48 +9.5 12
2007-08-25 Dacia Chisinau L 0-237.0 1301 1485 19.70% 22.17% 58.13%-0.74 -15.8 4
2007-08-25 @ Politehnica Chisinau W 2-037.0 1485 1301 58.13% 22.17% 19.70%+0.74 +15.8 15
2007-08-25 CSCA-Steaua Chisinau D 1-156.6 1386 1107 70.55% 19.74% 9.71%+1.45 -5.3 12
2007-08-25 @ Iskra-Stal D 1-156.6 1107 1386 9.71% 19.74% 70.55%-1.45 +5.3 4
2007-08-25 Dinamo Bender W 3-134.9 1487 1125 75.58% 17.95% 6.47%+1.84 +4.6 20
2007-08-25 @ Nistru Otaci L 1-334.9 1125 1487 6.47% 17.95% 75.58%-1.84 -4.6 0
2007-08-26 FC Tiraspol D 1-165.9 1547 1468 52.51% 22.69% 24.80%+0.50 -2.2 13
2007-08-26 @ Zimbru D 1-165.9 1468 1547 24.80% 22.69% 52.51%-0.50 +2.2 16
2007-08-26 Tiligul-Tiras W 3-037.8 1673 1348 73.48% 18.77% 7.76%+1.67 +9.3 13
2007-08-26 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-337.8 1348 1673 7.76% 18.77% 73.48%-1.67 -9.3 10
2007-08-29 Iskra-Stal D 0-051.2 1120 1380 13.82% 21.09% 65.09%-1.10 +4.9 1
2007-08-29 @ Dinamo Bender D 0-051.2 1380 1120 65.09% 21.09% 13.82%+1.10 -4.9 13
2007-08-29 Politehnica Chisinau L 0-137.3 1112 1285 20.83% 22.31% 56.86%-0.69 -8.8 4
2007-08-29 @ CSCA-Steaua Chisinau W 1-037.3 1285 1112 56.86% 22.31% 20.83%+0.69 +8.8 7
2007-08-30 FC Olimpia Balti W 2-146.9 1339 1301 47.42% 22.97% 29.61%+0.31 +11.2 13
2007-08-30 @ Tiligul-Tiras L 1-246.9 1301 1339 29.61% 22.97% 47.42%-0.31 -11.2 6
2007-08-30 Dacia Chisinau D 1-164.1 1470 1501 37.91% 23.14% 38.95%-0.02 +0.1 17
2007-08-30 @ FC Tiraspol D 1-164.1 1501 1470 38.95% 23.14% 37.91%+0.02 -0.1 16
2007-08-30 Sheriff Tiraspol D 1-172.3 1545 1683 24.36% 22.65% 52.99%-0.52 +2.3 14
2007-08-30 @ Zimbru D 1-172.3 1683 1545 52.99% 22.65% 24.36%+0.52 -2.3 14
2007-09-02 Dinamo Bender L 0-246.4 1294 1125 61.89% 21.66% 16.45%+0.93 -41.6 7
2007-09-02 @ Politehnica Chisinau W 2-046.4 1125 1294 16.45% 21.66% 61.89%-0.93 +41.6 4
2007-09-03 FC Tiraspol D 0-065.9 1680 1470 65.48% 21.01% 13.51%+1.12 -5.0 15
2007-09-03 @ Sheriff Tiraspol D 0-065.9 1470 1680 13.51% 21.01% 65.48%-1.12 +5.0 18
2007-09-03 CSCA-Steaua Chisinau W 1-031.9 1501 1103 77.41% 17.15% 5.45%+2.01 +2.3 19
2007-09-03 @ Dacia Chisinau L 0-131.9 1103 1501 5.45% 17.15% 77.41%-2.01 -2.3 4
2007-09-03 Tiligul-Tiras D 0-055.1 1492 1350 59.33% 22.02% 18.64%+0.80 -3.8 21
2007-09-03 @ Nistru Otaci D 0-055.1 1350 1492 18.64% 22.02% 59.33%-0.80 +3.8 14
2007-09-03 Zimbru L 0-139.3 1290 1547 14.01% 21.13% 64.86%-1.09 -6.1 6
2007-09-03 @ FC Olimpia Balti W 1-039.3 1547 1290 64.86% 21.13% 14.01%+1.09 +6.1 17
2007-09-09 Dacia Chisinau D 0-055.4 1354 1503 23.12% 22.55% 54.33%-0.58 +2.8 15
2007-09-09 @ Tiligul-Tiras D 0-055.4 1503 1354 54.33% 22.55% 23.12%+0.58 -2.8 20
2007-09-16 CSCA-Steaua Chisinau W 1-032.1 1475 1101 76.20% 17.68% 6.11%+1.90 +2.6 21
2007-09-16 @ FC Tiraspol L 0-132.1 1101 1475 6.11% 17.68% 76.20%-1.90 -2.6 4
2007-09-16 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-140.4 1283 1675 7.33% 18.52% 74.15%-1.72 -3.2 6
2007-09-16 @ FC Olimpia Balti W 1-040.4 1675 1283 74.15% 18.52% 7.33%+1.72 +3.2 18
2007-09-16 Dinamo Bender W 5-130.8 1500 1167 73.98% 18.58% 7.44%+1.71 +9.7 23
2007-09-16 @ Dacia Chisinau L 1-530.8 1167 1500 7.44% 18.58% 73.98%-1.71 -9.7 4
2007-09-16 Tiligul-Tiras W 1-043.1 1375 1357 44.87% 23.05% 32.07%+0.22 +12.7 16
2007-09-16 @ Iskra-Stal L 0-143.1 1357 1375 32.07% 23.05% 44.87%-0.22 -12.7 15
2007-09-16 Zimbru W 1-055.8 1488 1553 33.19% 23.08% 43.73%-0.18 +16.2 24
2007-09-16 @ Nistru Otaci L 0-155.8 1553 1488 43.73% 23.08% 33.19%+0.18 -16.2 17
2007-09-20 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-138.8 1252 1678 6.19% 17.74% 76.06%-1.89 -2.7 7
2007-09-20 @ Politehnica Chisinau W 1-038.8 1678 1252 76.06% 17.74% 6.19%+1.89 +2.7 21
2007-09-20 Zimbru L 1-551.7 1510 1537 38.53% 23.14% 38.32%+0.00 -43.6 23
2007-09-20 @ Dacia Chisinau W 5-151.7 1537 1510 38.32% 23.14% 38.53%+0.00 +43.6 20
2007-09-23 FC Tiraspol L 0-236.1 1280 1478 18.57% 22.01% 59.42%-0.80 -15.0 6
2007-09-23 @ FC Olimpia Balti W 2-036.1 1478 1280 59.42% 22.01% 18.57%+0.80 +15.0 24
2007-09-23 CSCA-Steaua Chisinau L 1-251.8 1157 1098 50.04% 22.84% 27.11%+0.41 -17.1 4
2007-09-23 @ Dinamo Bender W 2-151.8 1098 1157 27.11% 22.84% 50.04%-0.41 +17.1 7
2007-09-24 Iskra-Stal W 1-043.8 1580 1388 64.02% 21.29% 14.69%+1.04 +6.4 23
2007-09-24 @ Zimbru L 0-143.8 1388 1580 14.69% 21.29% 64.02%-1.04 -6.4 16
2007-09-24 Nistru Otaci W 1-051.4 1681 1504 62.66% 21.53% 15.81%+0.97 +6.9 24
2007-09-24 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-151.4 1504 1681 15.81% 21.53% 62.66%-0.97 -6.9 24
2007-09-24 Politehnica Chisinau W 1-038.8 1344 1249 54.32% 22.55% 23.13%+0.58 +9.7 18
2007-09-24 @ Tiligul-Tiras L 0-138.8 1249 1344 23.13% 22.55% 54.32%-0.58 -9.7 7
2007-09-28 Dinamo Bender W 2-138.5 1493 1140 75.06% 18.16% 6.78%+1.80 +2.8 27
2007-09-28 @ FC Tiraspol L 1-238.5 1140 1493 6.78% 18.16% 75.06%-1.80 -2.8 4
2007-09-28 Tiligul-Tiras W 2-147.1 1467 1354 56.35% 22.36% 21.29%+0.66 +8.5 26
2007-09-28 @ Dacia Chisinau L 1-247.1 1354 1467 21.29% 22.36% 56.35%-0.66 -8.5 18
2007-09-29 FC Olimpia Balti D 0-053.7 1497 1265 67.21% 20.63% 12.16%+1.23 -5.3 25
2007-09-29 @ Nistru Otaci D 0-053.7 1265 1497 12.16% 20.63% 67.21%-1.23 +5.3 7
2007-09-29 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-341.0 1382 1688 11.07% 20.27% 68.66%-1.32 -13.4 16
2007-09-29 @ Iskra-Stal W 3-041.0 1688 1382 68.66% 20.27% 11.07%+1.32 +13.4 27
2007-09-29 Zimbru L 0-137.0 1240 1587 9.09% 19.46% 71.45%-1.51 -4.0 7
2007-09-29 @ Politehnica Chisinau W 1-037.0 1587 1240 71.45% 19.46% 9.09%+1.51 +4.0 26
2007-10-03 Dacia Chisinau W 2-046.9 1701 1475 66.77% 20.73% 12.50%+1.20 +10.4 30
2007-10-03 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-246.9 1475 1701 12.50% 20.73% 66.77%-1.20 -10.4 26
2007-10-21 Dacia Chisinau L 0-160.2 1591 1465 57.75% 22.21% 20.04%+0.73 -20.7 26
2007-10-21 @ Zimbru W 1-060.2 1465 1591 20.04% 22.21% 57.75%-0.73 +20.6 29
2007-10-21 FC Tiraspol W 2-156.8 1492 1496 41.79% 23.12% 35.09%+0.11 +12.8 28
2007-10-21 @ Nistru Otaci L 1-256.8 1496 1492 35.09% 23.12% 41.79%-0.11 -12.8 27
2007-10-21 Iskra-Stal W 1-046.7 1271 1368 29.02% 22.94% 48.04%-0.33 +17.5 10
2007-10-21 @ FC Olimpia Balti L 0-146.7 1368 1271 48.04% 22.94% 29.02%+0.33 -17.5 16
2007-10-21 Politehnica Chisinau W 1-037.9 1712 1236 80.98% 15.32% 3.71%+2.38 +1.5 33
2007-10-21 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-137.9 1236 1712 3.71% 15.32% 80.98%-2.38 -1.5 7
2007-10-21 CSCA-Steaua Chisinau W 1-034.4 1345 1115 67.03% 20.67% 12.30%+1.22 +5.4 21
2007-10-21 @ Tiligul-Tiras L 0-134.4 1115 1345 12.30% 20.67% 67.03%-1.22 -5.4 7
2007-10-29 FC Olimpia Balti D 0-050.7 1234 1288 34.70% 23.11% 42.19%-0.13 +0.6 8
2007-10-29 @ Politehnica Chisinau D 0-050.7 1288 1234 42.19% 23.11% 34.70%+0.13 -0.6 11
2007-10-29 Nistru Otaci L 1-248.4 1351 1505 22.67% 22.51% 54.83%-0.60 -9.0 16
2007-10-29 @ Iskra-Stal W 2-148.4 1505 1351 54.83% 22.51% 22.67%+0.60 +8.9 31
2007-10-29 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-151.8 1485 1713 16.11% 21.59% 62.30%-0.95 -7.0 29
2007-10-29 @ Dacia Chisinau W 1-051.8 1713 1485 62.30% 21.59% 16.11%+0.95 +7.0 36
2007-10-29 Zimbru L 0-327.3 1110 1570 5.25% 16.97% 77.78%-2.05 -6.1 7
2007-10-29 @ CSCA-Steaua Chisinau W 3-027.3 1570 1110 77.78% 16.97% 5.25%+2.05 +6.1 29
2007-11-03 Dacia Chisinau L 1-438.8 1287 1478 19.14% 22.09% 58.76%-0.77 -18.9 11
2007-11-03 @ FC Olimpia Balti W 4-138.8 1478 1287 58.76% 22.09% 19.14%+0.77 +18.9 32
2007-11-03 FC Tiraspol W 1-051.2 1342 1483 24.02% 22.63% 53.35%-0.54 +19.2 19
2007-11-03 @ Iskra-Stal L 0-151.2 1483 1342 53.35% 22.63% 24.02%+0.54 -19.2 27
2007-11-03 Politehnica Chisinau D 0-053.8 1514 1235 70.56% 19.73% 9.71%+1.45 -5.9 32
2007-11-03 @ Nistru Otaci D 0-053.8 1235 1514 9.71% 19.73% 70.56%-1.45 +6.0 9
2007-11-03 CSCA-Steaua Chisinau W 3-027.4 1720 1104 86.08% 12.09% 1.83%+3.04 +1.9 39
2007-11-03 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-327.4 1104 1720 1.83% 12.09% 86.08%-3.04 -1.9 7
2007-11-03 Dinamo Bender D 0-054.3 1576 1137 79.37% 16.18% 4.45%+2.21 -7.3 30
2007-11-03 @ Zimbru D 0-054.3 1137 1576 4.45% 16.18% 79.37%-2.21 +7.4 5
2007-11-11 FC Olimpia Balti L 0-137.5 1102 1268 21.42% 22.38% 56.20%-0.66 -9.0 7
2007-11-11 @ CSCA-Steaua Chisinau W 1-037.5 1268 1102 56.20% 22.38% 21.42%+0.66 +9.0 14
2007-11-11 Iskra-Stal D 0-051.2 1241 1361 26.33% 22.80% 50.87%-0.44 +2.2 10
2007-11-11 @ Politehnica Chisinau D 0-051.2 1361 1241 50.87% 22.80% 26.33%+0.44 -2.2 20
2007-11-11 Sheriff Tiraspol L 1-240.4 1144 1722 2.94% 14.22% 82.84%-2.60 -1.1 5
2007-11-11 @ Dinamo Bender W 2-140.4 1722 1144 82.84% 14.22% 2.94%+2.60 +1.1 42
2007-11-11 Tiligul-Tiras W 3-143.6 1464 1350 56.35% 22.36% 21.28%+0.66 +14.7 30
2007-11-11 @ FC Tiraspol L 1-343.6 1350 1464 21.28% 22.36% 56.35%-0.66 -14.7 21
2007-11-12 Nistru Otaci W 2-049.0 1497 1508 40.85% 23.13% 36.02%+0.08 +26.2 35
2007-11-12 @ Dacia Chisinau L 0-249.0 1508 1497 36.02% 23.13% 40.85%-0.08 -26.2 32
2007-11-15 Sheriff Tiraspol L 1-432.0 1093 1723 2.26% 13.01% 84.74%-2.85 -2.0 7
2007-11-15 @ CSCA-Steaua Chisinau W 4-132.0 1723 1093 84.74% 13.01% 2.26%+2.85 +2.0 45
2007-11-15 Tiligul-Tiras W 3-043.7 1143 1336 19.01% 22.08% 58.92%-0.78 +57.6 8
2007-11-15 @ Dinamo Bender L 0-343.7 1336 1143 58.92% 22.08% 19.01%+0.78 -57.6 21
2008-03-02 FC Tiraspol L 0-234.4 1243 1478 15.55% 21.48% 62.97%-0.98 -12.8 10
2008-03-02 @ Politehnica Chisinau W 2-034.4 1478 1243 62.97% 21.48% 15.55%+0.98 +12.8 33
2008-03-02 Dinamo Bender W 1-038.9 1278 1201 52.22% 22.71% 25.07%+0.49 +10.4 17
2008-03-02 @ FC Olimpia Balti L 0-138.9 1201 1278 25.07% 22.71% 52.22%-0.49 -10.4 8
2008-03-02 Tiligul-Tiras D 0-056.0 1569 1278 71.34% 19.49% 9.16%+1.50 -6.1 31
2008-03-02 @ Zimbru D 0-056.0 1278 1569 9.16% 19.49% 71.34%-1.50 +6.1 22
2008-03-03 Dacia Chisinau L 1-345.5 1359 1523 21.60% 22.40% 56.01%-0.65 -14.9 20
2008-03-03 @ Iskra-Stal W 3-145.5 1523 1359 56.01% 22.40% 21.60%+0.65 +14.9 38
2008-03-03 CSCA-Steaua Chisinau W 3-026.7 1482 1091 77.05% 17.31% 5.64%+1.98 +6.6 35
2008-03-03 @ Nistru Otaci L 0-326.7 1091 1482 5.64% 17.31% 77.05%-1.98 -6.6 7
2008-03-06 Zimbru D 0-062.1 1491 1563 32.29% 23.06% 44.65%-0.21 +1.1 34
2008-03-06 @ FC Tiraspol D 0-062.1 1563 1491 44.65% 23.06% 32.29%+0.21 -1.1 32
2008-03-07 Iskra-Stal L 0-231.9 1084 1344 13.86% 21.10% 65.04%-1.10 -11.5 7
2008-03-07 @ CSCA-Steaua Chisinau W 2-031.9 1344 1084 65.04% 21.10% 13.86%+1.10 +11.5 23
2008-03-07 Nistru Otaci D 2-263.0 1191 1488 11.56% 20.43% 68.01%-1.28 +3.7 9
2008-03-07 @ Dinamo Bender D 2-263.0 1488 1191 68.01% 20.43% 11.56%+1.28 -3.6 36
2008-03-07 Politehnica Chisinau W 3-137.8 1538 1230 72.44% 19.13% 8.43%+1.59 +6.0 41
2008-03-07 @ Dacia Chisinau L 1-337.8 1230 1538 8.43% 19.13% 72.44%-1.59 -6.0 10
2008-03-07 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-141.5 1284 1725 5.77% 17.41% 76.82%-1.95 -2.5 22
2008-03-07 @ Tiligul-Tiras W 1-041.5 1725 1284 76.82% 17.41% 5.77%+1.95 +2.5 48
2008-03-11 FC Tiraspol W 4-044.9 1544 1492 49.25% 22.89% 27.87%+0.38 +40.4 44
2008-03-11 @ Dacia Chisinau L 0-444.9 1492 1544 27.87% 22.89% 49.25%-0.38 -40.4 34
2008-03-11 Tiligul-Tiras D 1-156.0 1288 1282 43.15% 23.10% 33.75%+0.16 -0.7 18
2008-03-11 @ FC Olimpia Balti D 1-156.0 1282 1288 33.75% 23.10% 43.15%-0.16 +0.7 23
2008-03-12 CSCA-Steaua Chisinau L 0-245.9 1224 1073 60.26% 21.90% 17.84%+0.84 -40.5 10
2008-03-12 @ Politehnica Chisinau W 2-045.9 1073 1224 17.84% 21.90% 60.26%-0.84 +40.5 10
2008-03-12 Dinamo Bender L 0-149.7 1355 1194 61.19% 21.76% 17.04%+0.89 -21.8 23
2008-03-12 @ Iskra-Stal W 1-049.7 1194 1355 17.04% 21.76% 61.19%-0.89 +21.8 12
2008-03-12 Zimbru L 0-167.1 1728 1562 61.65% 21.70% 16.65%+0.91 -22.0 48
2008-03-12 @ Sheriff Tiraspol W 1-067.1 1562 1728 16.65% 21.70% 61.65%-0.91 +22.0 35
2008-03-16 FC Olimpia Balti W 7-033.2 1584 1287 71.72% 19.37% 8.91%+1.53 +23.7 38
2008-03-16 @ Zimbru L 0-733.2 1287 1584 8.91% 19.37% 71.72%-1.53 -23.7 18
2008-03-16 Dacia Chisinau L 0-327.4 1113 1585 4.97% 16.71% 78.32%-2.10 -5.8 10
2008-03-16 @ CSCA-Steaua Chisinau W 3-027.4 1585 1113 78.32% 16.71% 4.97%+2.10 +5.8 47
2008-03-16 Nistru Otaci L 0-139.2 1283 1484 18.19% 21.95% 59.85%-0.82 -7.8 23
2008-03-16 @ Tiligul-Tiras W 1-039.2 1484 1283 59.85% 21.95% 18.19%+0.82 +7.8 39
2008-03-16 Politehnica Chisinau W 2-037.3 1216 1184 46.71% 23.00% 30.29%+0.28 +22.8 15
2008-03-16 @ Dinamo Bender L 0-237.3 1184 1216 30.29% 23.00% 46.71%-0.28 -22.8 10
2008-03-16 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-247.0 1452 1706 14.22% 21.19% 64.59%-1.07 -11.7 34
2008-03-16 @ FC Tiraspol W 2-047.0 1706 1452 64.59% 21.19% 14.22%+1.07 +11.7 51
2008-03-20 FC Olimpia Balti W 1-037.4 1440 1263 62.61% 21.54% 15.85%+0.96 +6.9 37
2008-03-20 @ FC Tiraspol L 0-137.4 1263 1440 15.85% 21.54% 62.61%-0.96 -6.9 18
2008-03-20 Politehnica Chisinau W 2-030.1 1591 1161 78.94% 16.40% 4.66%+2.16 +3.7 50
2008-03-20 @ Dacia Chisinau L 0-230.1 1161 1591 4.66% 16.40% 78.94%-2.16 -3.7 10
2008-03-20 CSCA-Steaua Chisinau W 2-137.8 1492 1108 76.74% 17.45% 5.81%+1.95 +2.3 42
2008-03-20 @ Nistru Otaci L 1-237.8 1108 1492 5.81% 17.45% 76.74%-1.95 -2.3 10
2008-03-20 Dinamo Bender D 3-370.2 1608 1239 75.91% 17.81% 6.28%+1.87 -3.8 39
2008-03-20 @ Zimbru D 3-370.2 1239 1608 6.28% 17.81% 75.91%-1.87 +3.8 16
2008-03-20 Tiligul-Tiras W 2-145.8 1333 1275 50.06% 22.84% 27.10%+0.41 +10.4 26
2008-03-20 @ Iskra-Stal L 1-245.8 1275 1333 27.10% 22.84% 50.06%-0.41 -10.4 23
2008-03-30 Dacia Chisinau W 2-160.8 1717 1594 57.44% 22.25% 20.31%+0.71 +8.1 54
2008-03-30 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 1-260.8 1594 1717 20.31% 22.25% 57.44%-0.71 -8.1 50
2008-03-30 FC Tiraspol L 0-234.9 1243 1447 18.01% 21.93% 60.07%-0.83 -14.6 16
2008-03-30 @ Dinamo Bender W 2-034.9 1447 1243 60.07% 21.93% 18.01%+0.83 +14.6 40
2008-03-30 Iskra-Stal W 3-256.1 1257 1344 30.30% 23.00% 46.71%-0.28 +15.3 21
2008-03-30 @ FC Olimpia Balti L 2-356.1 1344 1257 46.71% 23.00% 30.30%+0.28 -15.3 26
2008-03-30 Nistru Otaci L 0-134.3 1157 1495 9.53% 19.66% 70.81%-1.47 -4.2 10
2008-03-30 @ Politehnica Chisinau W 1-034.3 1495 1157 70.81% 19.66% 9.53%+1.47 +4.2 45
2008-03-30 Zimbru L 1-334.6 1105 1604 4.35% 16.08% 79.57%-2.23 -3.0 10
2008-03-30 @ CSCA-Steaua Chisinau W 3-134.6 1604 1105 79.57% 16.08% 4.35%+2.23 +3.0 42
2008-04-03 FC Olimpia Balti W 2-148.1 1264 1272 41.26% 23.12% 35.62%+0.09 +13.0 26
2008-04-03 @ Tiligul-Tiras L 1-248.1 1272 1264 35.62% 23.12% 41.26%-0.09 -13.0 21
2008-04-03 Politehnica Chisinau D 0-055.1 1607 1153 80.02% 15.84% 4.14%+2.27 -7.4 43
2008-04-03 @ Zimbru D 0-055.1 1153 1607 4.14% 15.84% 80.02%-2.27 +7.4 11
2008-04-03 CSCA-Steaua Chisinau W 2-029.2 1461 1102 75.40% 18.02% 6.58%+1.83 +5.4 43
2008-04-03 @ FC Tiraspol L 0-229.2 1102 1461 6.58% 18.02% 75.40%-1.83 -5.4 10
2008-04-03 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-152.4 1499 1726 16.19% 21.61% 62.20%-0.94 -7.0 45
2008-04-03 @ Nistru Otaci W 1-052.4 1726 1499 62.20% 21.61% 16.19%+0.94 +7.0 57
2008-04-03 Dinamo Bender D 1-156.1 1329 1228 54.98% 22.49% 22.53%+0.60 -2.7 27
2008-04-03 @ Iskra-Stal D 1-156.1 1228 1329 22.53% 22.49% 54.98%-0.60 +2.7 17
2008-04-08 FC Tiraspol L 0-329.6 1160 1467 11.07% 20.26% 68.67%-1.32 -13.4 11
2008-04-08 @ Politehnica Chisinau W 3-029.6 1467 1160 68.67% 20.26% 11.07%+1.32 +13.4 46
2008-04-08 Iskra-Stal L 2-345.8 1097 1326 16.02% 21.58% 62.41%-0.95 -6.2 10
2008-04-08 @ CSCA-Steaua Chisinau W 3-245.8 1326 1097 62.41% 21.58% 16.02%+0.95 +6.2 30
2008-04-08 Nistru Otaci D 2-273.6 1586 1492 54.28% 22.55% 23.17%+0.58 -1.9 51
2008-04-08 @ Dacia Chisinau D 2-273.6 1492 1586 23.17% 22.55% 54.28%-0.58 +1.9 46
2008-04-08 Tiligul-Tiras W 1-044.0 1231 1277 35.73% 23.13% 41.15%-0.09 +15.4 20
2008-04-08 @ Dinamo Bender L 0-144.0 1277 1231 41.15% 23.13% 35.73%+0.09 -15.4 26
2008-04-08 Zimbru W 4-260.6 1733 1599 58.49% 22.13% 19.38%+0.76 +12.1 60
2008-04-08 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 2-460.6 1599 1733 19.38% 22.13% 58.49%-0.76 -12.1 43
2008-04-12 Dacia Chisinau W 3-267.1 1587 1584 42.72% 23.10% 34.18%+0.14 +11.9 46
2008-04-12 @ Zimbru L 2-367.1 1584 1587 34.18% 23.10% 42.72%-0.14 -11.9 51
2008-04-12 CSCA-Steaua Chisinau D 0-050.7 1262 1091 62.13% 21.62% 16.25%+0.94 -4.3 27
2008-04-12 @ Tiligul-Tiras D 0-050.7 1091 1262 16.25% 21.62% 62.13%-0.94 +4.3 11
2008-04-12 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-248.3 1480 1745 13.53% 21.01% 65.46%-1.12 -11.2 46
2008-04-12 @ FC Tiraspol W 2-048.3 1745 1480 65.46% 21.01% 13.53%+1.12 +11.2 63
2008-04-12 Dinamo Bender W 1-041.4 1259 1246 44.06% 23.08% 32.86%+0.19 +12.9 24
2008-04-12 @ FC Olimpia Balti L 0-141.4 1246 1259 32.86% 23.08% 44.06%-0.19 -12.9 20
2008-04-13 Politehnica Chisinau W 3-030.4 1332 1147 63.39% 21.41% 15.20%+1.01 +18.2 33
2008-04-13 @ Iskra-Stal L 0-330.4 1147 1332 15.20% 21.41% 63.39%-1.01 -18.2 11
2008-04-20 FC Olimpia Balti D 1-155.6 1095 1272 20.44% 22.26% 57.29%-0.71 +3.0 12
2008-04-20 @ CSCA-Steaua Chisinau D 1-155.6 1272 1095 57.29% 22.26% 20.44%+0.71 -3.1 25
2008-04-20 Tiligul-Tiras W 1-046.8 1129 1258 25.37% 22.73% 51.90%-0.48 +18.7 14
2008-04-20 @ Politehnica Chisinau L 0-146.8 1258 1129 51.90% 22.73% 25.37%+0.48 -18.7 27
2008-04-21 FC Tiraspol D 0-061.8 1572 1469 55.29% 22.46% 22.24%+0.62 -3.0 52
2008-04-21 @ Dacia Chisinau D 0-061.8 1469 1572 22.24% 22.46% 55.29%-0.62 +3.0 47
2008-04-21 Iskra-Stal W 6-039.3 1756 1350 77.79% 16.96% 5.24%+2.05 +11.7 66
2008-04-21 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-639.3 1350 1756 5.24% 16.96% 77.79%-2.05 -11.7 33
2008-04-21 Zimbru W 2-056.0 1494 1599 28.08% 22.90% 49.03%-0.37 +33.6 49
2008-04-21 @ Nistru Otaci L 0-256.0 1599 1494 49.03% 22.90% 28.08%+0.37 -33.6 46
2008-04-25 Dacia Chisinau D 0-057.3 1339 1569 15.90% 21.55% 62.55%-0.96 +4.4 34
2008-04-25 @ Iskra-Stal D 0-057.3 1569 1339 62.55% 21.55% 15.90%+0.96 -4.4 53
2008-04-25 Nistru Otaci W 1-053.8 1472 1527 34.52% 23.11% 42.37%-0.13 +15.8 50
2008-04-25 @ FC Tiraspol L 0-153.8 1527 1472 42.37% 23.11% 34.52%+0.13 -15.8 49
2008-04-25 Politehnica Chisinau D 2-261.1 1269 1148 57.23% 22.27% 20.50%+0.70 -2.3 26
2008-04-25 @ FC Olimpia Balti D 2-261.1 1148 1269 20.50% 22.27% 57.23%-0.70 +2.3 15
2008-04-25 CSCA-Steaua Chisinau W 2-142.4 1233 1098 58.66% 22.11% 19.23%+0.77 +7.8 23
2008-04-25 @ Dinamo Bender L 1-242.4 1098 1233 19.23% 22.11% 58.66%-0.77 -7.8 12
2008-04-25 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-434.3 1239 1768 3.75% 15.36% 80.89%-2.37 -5.5 27
2008-04-25 @ Tiligul-Tiras W 4-034.3 1768 1239 80.89% 15.36% 3.75%+2.37 +5.5 69
2008-04-30 Dacia Chisinau W 2-051.0 1090 1565 4.90% 16.64% 78.46%-2.11 +51.1 15
2008-04-30 @ CSCA-Steaua Chisinau L 0-251.0 1565 1090 78.46% 16.64% 4.90%+2.11 -51.1 53
2008-04-30 FC Tiraspol D 1-158.0 1233 1488 14.20% 21.18% 64.62%-1.07 +4.3 28
2008-04-30 @ Tiligul-Tiras D 1-158.0 1488 1233 64.62% 21.18% 14.20%+1.07 -4.3 51
2008-04-30 Nistru Otaci L 1-242.8 1241 1512 13.15% 20.91% 65.94%-1.15 -5.5 23
2008-04-30 @ Dinamo Bender W 2-142.8 1512 1241 65.94% 20.91% 13.15%+1.15 +5.4 52
2008-04-30 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-330.9 1150 1773 2.34% 13.16% 84.50%-2.82 -2.5 15
2008-04-30 @ Politehnica Chisinau W 3-030.9 1773 1150 84.50% 13.16% 2.34%+2.82 +2.5 72
2008-04-30 Zimbru D 1-160.4 1266 1565 11.47% 20.40% 68.12%-1.28 +4.9 27
2008-04-30 @ FC Olimpia Balti D 1-160.4 1565 1266 68.12% 20.40% 11.47%+1.28 -4.9 47
2008-05-03 FC Olimpia Balti W 1-041.3 1776 1271 82.12% 14.65% 3.22%+2.51 +1.3 75
2008-05-03 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-141.3 1271 1776 3.22% 14.65% 82.12%-2.51 -1.3 27
2008-05-03 FC Tiraspol D 0-061.9 1561 1483 52.29% 22.71% 25.01%+0.49 -2.5 48
2008-05-03 @ Zimbru D 0-061.9 1483 1561 25.01% 22.71% 52.29%-0.49 +2.5 52
2008-05-03 Iskra-Stal W 1-040.7 1517 1343 62.38% 21.58% 16.04%+0.95 +7.0 55
2008-05-03 @ Nistru Otaci L 0-140.7 1343 1517 16.04% 21.58% 62.38%-0.95 -7.0 34
2008-05-03 Dinamo Bender L 0-140.3 1147 1236 30.18% 22.99% 46.82%-0.29 -12.1 15
2008-05-03 @ Politehnica Chisinau W 1-040.3 1236 1147 46.82% 22.99% 30.18%+0.29 +12.1 26
2008-05-03 Tiligul-Tiras W 3-030.6 1514 1238 70.37% 19.79% 9.84%+1.43 +11.9 56
2008-05-03 @ Dacia Chisinau L 0-330.6 1238 1514 9.84% 19.79% 70.37%-1.43 -11.9 28
2008-05-11 Dacia Chisinau L 1-340.6 1270 1526 14.13% 21.16% 64.71%-1.08 -10.1 27
2008-05-11 @ FC Olimpia Balti W 3-140.6 1526 1270 64.71% 21.16% 14.13%+1.08 +10.1 59
2008-05-11 Nistru Otaci D 0-053.6 1226 1524 11.52% 20.42% 68.06%-1.28 +5.5 29
2008-05-11 @ Tiligul-Tiras D 0-053.6 1524 1226 68.06% 20.42% 11.52%+1.28 -5.5 56
2008-05-11 Politehnica Chisinau W 1-041.3 1141 1135 43.18% 23.09% 33.72%+0.16 +13.2 18
2008-05-11 @ CSCA-Steaua Chisinau L 0-141.3 1135 1141 33.72% 23.09% 43.18%-0.16 -13.2 15
2008-05-11 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-237.7 1248 1777 3.74% 15.35% 80.91%-2.37 -2.9 26
2008-05-11 @ Dinamo Bender W 2-037.7 1777 1248 80.91% 15.35% 3.74%+2.37 +2.9 78
2008-05-11 Zimbru D 0-056.8 1336 1558 16.56% 21.68% 61.76%-0.92 +4.3 35
2008-05-11 @ Iskra-Stal D 0-056.8 1558 1336 61.76% 21.68% 16.56%+0.92 -4.3 49
2008-05-15 Iskra-Stal W 2-037.5 1486 1340 59.70% 21.98% 18.33%+0.82 +14.9 55
2008-05-15 @ FC Tiraspol L 0-237.5 1340 1486 18.33% 21.98% 59.70%-0.82 -14.9 35
2008-05-16 FC Olimpia Balti W 2-033.5 1518 1260 69.16% 20.13% 10.71%+1.35 +8.9 59
2008-05-16 @ Nistru Otaci L 0-233.5 1260 1518 10.71% 20.13% 69.16%-1.35 -8.9 27
2008-05-16 CSCA-Steaua Chisinau W 7-131.8 1780 1155 86.35% 11.90% 1.75%+3.08 +2.9 81
2008-05-16 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 1-731.8 1155 1780 1.75% 11.90% 86.35%-3.08 -2.9 18
2008-05-16 Dinamo Bender W 2-032.9 1536 1245 71.35% 19.49% 9.16%+1.50 +7.6 62
2008-05-16 @ Dacia Chisinau L 0-232.9 1245 1536 9.16% 19.49% 71.35%-1.50 -7.6 26
2008-05-16 Tiligul-Tiras W 3-030.3 1554 1231 73.32% 18.83% 7.86%+1.65 +9.4 52
2008-05-16 @ Zimbru L 0-330.3 1231 1554 7.86% 18.83% 73.32%-1.65 -9.4 29

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2008-04-30 4.90% @ CSCA-Steaua Chisinau 1090 2 Dacia Chisinau 1565 0
2 2007-09-02 16.45% Dinamo Bender 1125 2 @ Politehnica Chisinau 1294 0
3 2008-03-12 16.65% Zimbru 1562 1 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 1728 0
4 2008-03-12 17.04% Dinamo Bender 1194 1 @ Iskra-Stal 1355 0
5 2008-03-12 17.84% CSCA-Steaua Chisinau 1073 2 @ Politehnica Chisinau 1224 0
6 2007-11-15 19.01% @ Dinamo Bender 1143 3 Tiligul-Tiras 1336 0
7 2007-10-21 20.04% Dacia Chisinau 1465 1 @ Zimbru 1591 0
8 2007-07-08 22.72% @ CSCA-Steaua Chisinau 1086 3 Dinamo Bender 1240 0
9 2007-08-05 23.73% Iskra-Stal 1365 1 @ FC Tiraspol 1454 0
10 2007-11-03 24.02% @ Iskra-Stal 1342 1 FC Tiraspol 1483 0
11 2008-04-20 25.37% @ Politehnica Chisinau 1129 1 Tiligul-Tiras 1258 0
12 2007-09-23 27.11% CSCA-Steaua Chisinau 1098 2 @ Dinamo Bender 1157 1
13 2007-08-11 27.69% Dacia Chisinau 1448 1 @ Nistru Otaci 1502 0
14 2008-04-21 28.08% @ Nistru Otaci 1494 2 Zimbru 1599 0
15 2007-10-21 29.02% @ FC Olimpia Balti 1271 1 Iskra-Stal 1368 0
16 2008-03-30 30.30% @ FC Olimpia Balti 1257 3 Iskra-Stal 1344 2
17 2007-07-23 33.03% Nistru Otaci 1458 2 @ FC Tiraspol 1470 1
18 2007-09-16 33.19% @ Nistru Otaci 1488 1 Zimbru 1553 0
19 2008-04-25 34.52% @ FC Tiraspol 1472 1 Nistru Otaci 1527 0
20 2008-04-08 35.73% @ Dinamo Bender 1231 1 Tiligul-Tiras 1277 0
21 2007-07-08 37.08% Tiligul-Tiras 1350 1 @ Politehnica Chisinau 1332 0
22 2007-07-28 37.35% Politehnica Chisinau 1322 1 @ FC Olimpia Balti 1302 0
23 2007-09-20 38.32% Zimbru 1537 5 @ Dacia Chisinau 1510 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-11-15 57.64 @ Dinamo Bender 3 1143 19.01% Tiligul-Tiras 0 1336 58.92% 22.08%
2 2007-07-08 53.86 @ CSCA-Steaua Chisinau 3 1086 22.72% Dinamo Bender 0 1240 54.77% 22.51%
3 2008-04-30 51.13 @ CSCA-Steaua Chisinau 2 1090 4.90% Dacia Chisinau 0 1565 78.46% 16.64%
4 2007-09-20 43.60 Zimbru 5 1537 38.32% @ Dacia Chisinau 1 1510 38.53% 23.14%
5 2007-09-02 41.58 Dinamo Bender 2 1125 16.45% @ Politehnica Chisinau 0 1294 61.89% 21.66%
6 2008-03-12 40.54 CSCA-Steaua Chisinau 2 1073 17.84% @ Politehnica Chisinau 0 1224 60.26% 21.90%
7 2008-03-11 40.44 @ Dacia Chisinau 4 1544 49.25% FC Tiraspol 0 1492 27.87% 22.89%
8 2008-04-21 33.59 @ Nistru Otaci 2 1494 28.08% Zimbru 0 1599 49.03% 22.90%
9 2007-11-12 26.17 @ Dacia Chisinau 2 1497 40.85% Nistru Otaci 0 1508 36.02% 23.13%
10 2007-08-10 25.48 FC Tiraspol 2 1435 42.08% @ Tiligul-Tiras 0 1382 34.81% 23.11%
11 2008-03-16 23.73 @ Zimbru 7 1584 71.72% FC Olimpia Balti 0 1287 8.91% 19.37%
12 2007-07-22 23.30 @ Iskra-Stal 2 1352 45.88% FC Olimpia Balti 0 1325 31.09% 23.02%
13 2008-03-16 22.82 @ Dinamo Bender 2 1216 46.71% Politehnica Chisinau 0 1184 30.29% 23.00%
14 2007-08-05 22.22 @ Dacia Chisinau 3 1426 58.99% FC Olimpia Balti 0 1287 18.94% 22.07%
15 2008-03-12 21.97 Zimbru 1 1562 16.65% @ Sheriff Tiraspol 0 1728 61.65% 21.70%
16 2008-03-12 21.82 Dinamo Bender 1 1194 17.04% @ Iskra-Stal 0 1355 61.19% 21.76%
17 2007-10-21 20.66 Dacia Chisinau 1 1465 20.04% @ Zimbru 0 1591 57.75% 22.21%
18 2007-08-05 19.31 Iskra-Stal 1 1365 23.73% @ FC Tiraspol 0 1454 53.67% 22.60%
19 2007-11-03 19.20 @ Iskra-Stal 1 1342 24.02% FC Tiraspol 0 1483 53.35% 22.63%
20 2007-08-11 18.94 @ FC Olimpia Balti 4 1265 58.73% CSCA-Steaua Chisinau 1 1129 19.17% 22.10%
21 2007-11-03 18.92 Dacia Chisinau 4 1478 58.76% @ FC Olimpia Balti 1 1287 19.14% 22.09%
22 2008-04-20 18.73 @ Politehnica Chisinau 1 1129 25.37% Tiligul-Tiras 0 1258 51.90% 22.73%
23 2007-08-06 18.46 Nistru Otaci 2 1483 53.94% @ Politehnica Chisinau 0 1337 23.48% 22.58%
24 2008-04-13 18.16 @ Iskra-Stal 3 1332 63.39% Politehnica Chisinau 0 1147 15.20% 21.41%
25 2007-08-11 17.94 Dacia Chisinau 1 1448 27.69% @ Nistru Otaci 0 1502 49.43% 22.88%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2008-04-08 73.6 @ Dacia Chisinau 2 1586 54.28% Nistru Otaci 2 1492 23.17% 22.55%
2 2007-08-30 72.3 @ Zimbru 1 1545 24.36% Sheriff Tiraspol 1 1683 52.99% 22.65%
3 2008-03-20 70.2 @ Zimbru 3 1608 75.91% Dinamo Bender 3 1239 6.28% 17.81%
4 2008-03-12 67.1 Zimbru 1 1562 16.65% @ Sheriff Tiraspol 0 1728 61.65% 21.70%
5 2008-04-12 67.1 @ Zimbru 3 1587 42.72% Dacia Chisinau 2 1584 34.18% 23.10%
6 2007-08-26 65.9 @ Zimbru 1 1547 52.51% FC Tiraspol 1 1468 24.80% 22.69%
7 2007-09-03 65.9 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 0 1680 65.48% FC Tiraspol 0 1470 13.51% 21.01%
8 2007-07-04 64.7 @ Zimbru 1 1543 55.19% Nistru Otaci 1 1440 22.34% 22.47%
9 2007-07-08 64.2 @ Nistru Otaci 0 1443 16.86% Sheriff Tiraspol 0 1661 61.41% 21.73%
10 2007-08-30 64.1 @ FC Tiraspol 1 1470 37.91% Dacia Chisinau 1 1501 38.95% 23.14%
11 2008-03-07 63.0 @ Dinamo Bender 2 1191 11.56% Nistru Otaci 2 1488 68.01% 20.43%
12 2008-03-06 62.1 @ FC Tiraspol 0 1491 32.29% Zimbru 0 1563 44.65% 23.06%
13 2008-05-03 61.9 @ Zimbru 0 1561 52.29% FC Tiraspol 0 1483 25.01% 22.71%
14 2008-04-21 61.8 @ Dacia Chisinau 0 1572 55.29% FC Tiraspol 0 1469 22.24% 22.46%
15 2008-04-25 61.1 @ FC Olimpia Balti 2 1269 57.23% Politehnica Chisinau 2 1148 20.50% 22.27%
16 2008-03-30 60.8 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 2 1717 57.44% Dacia Chisinau 1 1594 20.31% 22.25%
17 2008-04-08 60.6 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 4 1733 58.49% Zimbru 2 1599 19.38% 22.13%
18 2008-04-30 60.4 @ FC Olimpia Balti 1 1266 11.47% Zimbru 1 1565 68.12% 20.40%
19 2007-10-21 60.2 Dacia Chisinau 1 1465 20.04% @ Zimbru 0 1591 57.75% 22.21%
20 2008-04-30 58.0 @ Tiligul-Tiras 1 1233 14.20% FC Tiraspol 1 1488 64.62% 21.18%
21 2007-07-23 57.3 Nistru Otaci 2 1458 33.03% @ FC Tiraspol 1 1470 43.89% 23.08%
22 2008-04-25 57.3 @ Iskra-Stal 0 1339 15.90% Dacia Chisinau 0 1569 62.55% 21.55%
23 2007-07-08 56.8 @ Iskra-Stal 0 1359 20.06% Zimbru 0 1540 57.73% 22.22%
24 2007-10-21 56.8 @ Nistru Otaci 2 1492 41.79% FC Tiraspol 1 1496 35.09% 23.12%
25 2008-05-11 56.8 @ Iskra-Stal 0 1336 16.56% Zimbru 0 1558 61.76% 21.68%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2008-03-03 26.7 @ Nistru Otaci 3 1482 77.05% CSCA-Steaua Chisinau 0 1091 5.64% 17.31%
2 2007-10-29 27.3 Zimbru 3 1570 77.78% @ CSCA-Steaua Chisinau 0 1110 5.25% 16.97%
3 2007-11-03 27.4 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 3 1720 86.08% CSCA-Steaua Chisinau 0 1104 1.83% 12.09%
4 2008-03-16 27.4 Dacia Chisinau 3 1585 78.32% @ CSCA-Steaua Chisinau 0 1113 4.97% 16.71%
5 2007-08-12 27.9 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 5 1668 82.39% Dinamo Bender 0 1157 3.11% 14.49%
6 2008-04-03 29.2 @ FC Tiraspol 2 1461 75.40% CSCA-Steaua Chisinau 0 1102 6.58% 18.02%
7 2008-04-08 29.6 FC Tiraspol 3 1467 68.67% @ Politehnica Chisinau 0 1160 11.07% 20.26%
8 2008-03-20 30.1 @ Dacia Chisinau 2 1591 78.94% Politehnica Chisinau 0 1161 4.66% 16.40%
9 2008-05-16 30.3 @ Zimbru 3 1554 73.32% Tiligul-Tiras 0 1231 7.86% 18.83%
10 2008-04-13 30.4 @ Iskra-Stal 3 1332 63.39% Politehnica Chisinau 0 1147 15.20% 21.41%
11 2007-07-14 30.6 FC Tiraspol 3 1454 65.72% @ Dinamo Bender 0 1186 13.32% 20.96%
12 2008-05-03 30.6 @ Dacia Chisinau 3 1514 70.37% Tiligul-Tiras 0 1238 9.84% 19.79%
13 2007-09-16 30.8 @ Dacia Chisinau 5 1500 73.98% Dinamo Bender 1 1167 7.44% 18.58%
14 2008-04-30 30.9 Sheriff Tiraspol 3 1773 84.50% @ Politehnica Chisinau 0 1150 2.34% 13.16%
15 2008-05-16 31.8 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 7 1780 86.35% CSCA-Steaua Chisinau 1 1155 1.75% 11.90%
16 2007-09-03 31.9 @ Dacia Chisinau 1 1501 77.41% CSCA-Steaua Chisinau 0 1103 5.45% 17.15%
17 2008-03-07 31.9 Iskra-Stal 2 1344 65.04% @ CSCA-Steaua Chisinau 0 1084 13.86% 21.10%
18 2007-11-15 32.0 Sheriff Tiraspol 4 1723 84.74% @ CSCA-Steaua Chisinau 1 1093 2.26% 13.01%
19 2007-09-16 32.1 @ FC Tiraspol 1 1475 76.20% CSCA-Steaua Chisinau 0 1101 6.11% 17.68%
20 2007-08-21 32.9 Dacia Chisinau 7 1476 71.08% @ Dinamo Bender 3 1134 9.35% 19.58%
21 2008-05-16 32.9 @ Dacia Chisinau 2 1536 71.35% Dinamo Bender 0 1245 9.16% 19.49%
22 2007-08-17 33.2 Nistru Otaci 1 1484 73.07% @ CSCA-Steaua Chisinau 0 1110 8.01% 18.91%
23 2008-03-16 33.2 @ Zimbru 7 1584 71.72% FC Olimpia Balti 0 1287 8.91% 19.37%
24 2007-07-04 33.3 FC Tiraspol 1 1441 71.67% @ CSCA-Steaua Chisinau 0 1090 8.94% 19.39%
25 2007-08-05 33.4 @ Dacia Chisinau 3 1426 58.99% FC Olimpia Balti 0 1287 18.94% 22.07%