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2006-07 Divizia Nationala Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Sheriff Tiraspol

92 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

FC Olimpia Balti

10.46 points above expected

42 points · 31.54 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Iskra-Stal

10.64 points below expected

31 points · 41.64 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Sheriff Tiraspol 36 28 8 0 92 70 7 +63 83.35 +8.65
2 Zimbru 36 21 8 7 71 62 23 +39 70.14 +0.86
3 Nistru Otaci 36 16 9 11 57 41 36 +5 57.12 -0.12
4 Dacia Chisinau 36 13 16 7 55 36 30 +6 51.44 +3.56
5 FC Tiraspol 36 10 16 10 46 37 32 +5 54.39 -8.39
6 FC Olimpia Balti 36 12 6 18 42 38 50 -12 31.54 +10.46
7 Politehnica Chisinau 36 7 12 17 33 29 47 -18 34.58 -1.58
8 Tiligul-Tiras 36 6 15 15 33 23 46 -23 39.66 -6.66
9 Iskra-Stal 36 6 13 17 31 22 40 -18 41.64 -10.64
10 Dinamo Bender 36 3 13 20 22 24 71 -47 27.27 -5.27

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 FC Olimpia Balti 42 31.54 +10.46
2 Sheriff Tiraspol 92 83.35 +8.65
3 Dacia Chisinau 55 51.44 +3.56
4 Zimbru 71 70.14 +0.86
5 Nistru Otaci 57 57.12 -0.12

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Iskra-Stal 31 41.64 -10.64
2 FC Tiraspol 46 54.39 -8.39
3 Tiligul-Tiras 33 39.66 -6.66
4 Dinamo Bender 22 27.27 -5.27
5 Politehnica Chisinau 33 34.58 -1.58

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 FC Olimpia Balti 3 Apr 11 – Apr 18 1 in 71
2 Zimbru 6 Oct 28 – Nov 22 1 in 30
3 Nistru Otaci 3 Aug 28 – Sep 9 1 in 27
4 Tiligul-Tiras 2 Apr 2 – Apr 11 1 in 18
5 Sheriff Tiraspol 9 Apr 1 – May 17 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Nistru Otaci 4 May 1 – May 17 1 in 248
2 Tiligul-Tiras 4 Jul 2 – Jul 23 1 in 128
3 Dacia Chisinau 4 Apr 1 – Apr 18 1 in 89
4 FC Tiraspol 3 Aug 27 – Sep 9 1 in 33
5 Iskra-Stal 3 Sep 19 – Oct 1 1 in 32

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 FC Olimpia Balti 8 Mar 3 – Apr 18 1 in 275
2 Dacia Chisinau 11 Aug 27 – Nov 11 1 in 52
3 Sheriff Tiraspol 36 Jul 2 – May 25 1 in 44
4 Dinamo Bender 5 Sep 18 – Oct 23 1 in 38
5 Zimbru 14 Sep 10 – Nov 26 1 in 33

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 FC Tiraspol 12 Mar 3 – May 13 1 in 1,145
2 Tiligul-Tiras 13 Aug 10 – Nov 10 1 in 53
3 Dacia Chisinau 7 Apr 1 – May 5 1 in 47
4 Iskra-Stal 9 Nov 10 – Apr 11 1 in 26
5 Sheriff Tiraspol 2 Mar 11 – Mar 17 1 in 25

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Sheriff Tiraspol 1734 92 +12 13 11.8 +1.2
Zimbru 1576 71 -5 9 9.4 -0.4
Dacia Chisinau 1414 55 +31 11 6.9 +4.1
Nistru Otaci 1436 54 -38 3 8.1 -5.1
FC Tiraspol 1434 46 +5 7 6.8 +0.2
FC Olimpia Balti 1306 42 -1 9 6.9 +2.1
Tiligul-Tiras 1304 33 +7 8 6.0 +2.0
Politehnica Chisinau 1272 33 -3 3 4.4 -1.4
Iskra-Stal 1314 31 +24 7 4.5 +2.5
Dinamo Bender 1135 22 -33 1 3.5 -2.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team DC DB FOB FT ISK NO PC ST TIL ZIM
Dacia Chisinau —
1-3-0
8.16
3-0-1
7.69
0-4-0
4.92
2-2-0
6.52
1-2-1
4.95
3-1-0
7.07
0-2-2
2.13
3-0-1
6.76
0-2-2
3.66
Dinamo Bender
0-3-1
2.77
 —
0-2-2
4.70
1-1-2
2.52
2-2-0
3.40
0-2-2
2.53
0-1-3
4.02
0-0-4
1.05
0-2-2
3.74
0-0-4
1.64
FC Olimpia Balti
1-0-3
3.15
2-2-0
6.01
 —
1-1-2
2.96
1-0-3
4.45
1-1-2
3.04
2-2-0
4.72
0-0-4
1.23
3-0-1
4.03
1-0-3
1.95
FC Tiraspol
0-4-0
5.73
2-1-1
8.48
2-1-1
7.92
 —
2-2-0
6.78
0-2-2
5.19
2-1-1
7.68
0-0-4
2.39
1-3-0
7.09
1-2-1
3.51
Iskra-Stal
0-2-2
4.18
0-2-2
7.39
3-0-1
6.27
0-2-2
3.94
 —
1-0-3
3.83
0-3-1
6.26
0-1-3
1.66
1-2-1
5.43
1-1-2
2.88
Nistru Otaci
1-2-1
5.72
2-2-0
8.49
2-1-1
7.82
2-2-0
5.44
3-0-1
6.89
 —
3-0-1
7.49
0-0-4
2.40
1-2-1
7.09
2-0-2
3.54
Politehnica Chisinau
0-1-3
3.67
3-1-0
6.67
0-2-2
5.96
1-1-2
3.15
1-3-0
4.41
1-0-3
3.32
 —
0-1-3
1.34
1-3-0
4.74
0-0-4
2.23
Sheriff Tiraspol
2-2-0
9.01
4-0-0
10.51
4-0-0
10.26
4-0-0
8.66
3-1-0
9.66
4-0-0
8.65
3-1-0
10.10
 —
2-2-0
9.42
2-2-0
7.26
Tiligul-Tiras
1-0-3
3.95
2-2-0
6.99
1-0-3
6.72
0-3-1
3.67
1-2-1
5.20
1-2-1
3.66
0-3-1
5.93
0-2-2
1.84
 —
0-1-3
2.66
Zimbru
2-2-0
7.09
4-0-0
9.68
3-0-1
9.26
1-2-1
7.27
2-1-1
8.03
2-0-2
7.21
4-0-0
8.87
0-2-2
3.51
3-1-0
8.31
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.92 +12.5
Allowed 0.83 -11.2
Differential 0.96 +6.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.56%11.11%6.11%2.78%2.50%1.11%39.17%
111.11%12.78%5.83%2.22%0.28%—32.22%
26.11%5.83%3.89%0.56%0.28%—16.67%
32.78%2.22%0.56%—0.56%0.28%6.39%
42.50%0.28%0.28%0.56%——3.61%
5+1.11%——0.28%—0.56%1.94%
Total39.17%32.22%16.67%6.39%3.61%1.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.06 +0.00
SD 1.18 1.18 1.73
CV 1.11 1.11 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min -1 -1 -5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.22%8.33%2.78%—2.78%—36.11%
116.67%16.67%5.56%———38.89%
25.56%5.56%5.56%———16.67%
3—5.56%————5.56%
4———2.78%——2.78%
5+———————
Total44.44%36.11%13.89%2.78%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 0.83 +0.17
SD 1.01 0.97 1.18
CV 1.01 1.17 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%13.89%5.56%5.56%13.89%5.56%52.78%
15.56%11.11%8.33%2.78%——27.78%
2—2.78%16.67%———19.44%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total13.89%27.78%30.56%8.33%13.89%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.67 1.97 -1.31
SD 0.79 1.42 1.77
CV 1.19 0.72 —
Max 2 5 +1
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%16.67%8.33%—2.78%2.78%38.89%
119.44%2.78%8.33%5.56%——36.11%
22.78%2.78%5.56%2.78%——13.89%
3—2.78%——2.78%—5.56%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———2.78%——2.78%
Total33.33%25.00%22.22%11.11%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.39 -0.33
SD 1.22 1.36 1.72
CV 1.15 0.98 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
025.00%8.33%2.78%5.56%——41.67%
18.33%16.67%5.56%2.78%——33.33%
25.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%——13.89%
3—5.56%————5.56%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total44.44%33.33%11.11%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 0.89 +0.14
SD 1.23 1.01 1.62
CV 1.20 1.13 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%19.44%5.56%5.56%2.78%—44.44%
18.33%25.00%8.33%2.78%——44.44%
25.56%2.78%————8.33%
3———————
4———————
5+—————2.78%2.78%
Total25.00%47.22%13.89%8.33%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.58 1.08 -0.50
SD 0.69 1.05 1.30
CV 1.19 0.97 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min -1 -1 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%2.78%2.78%——25.00%
113.89%11.11%11.11%5.56%——41.67%
28.33%11.11%2.78%———22.22%
3——5.56%———5.56%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+—————2.78%2.78%
Total36.11%30.56%22.22%8.33%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 0.97 +0.14
SD 1.04 1.03 1.38
CV 0.93 1.06 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%16.67%11.11%5.56%—2.78%52.78%
12.78%13.89%5.56%—2.78%—25.00%
25.56%5.56%2.78%———13.89%
3—2.78%——2.78%—5.56%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total27.78%38.89%19.44%5.56%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 1.31 -0.50
SD 1.06 1.26 1.68
CV 1.32 0.97 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.22%—————22.22%
116.67%—————16.67%
211.11%11.11%————22.22%
322.22%2.78%————25.00%
48.33%—2.78%———11.11%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total83.33%13.89%2.78%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.94 0.19 +1.75
SD 1.43 0.47 1.40
CV 0.74 2.40 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 +0

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.44%11.11%16.67%2.78%2.78%—52.78%
111.11%19.44%—2.78%——33.33%
2—5.56%2.78%—2.78%—11.11%
3—————2.78%2.78%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.56%36.11%19.44%5.56%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.64 1.28 -0.64
SD 0.80 1.28 1.27
CV 1.25 1.00 —
Max 3 5 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%5.56%———25.00%
18.33%11.11%5.56%———25.00%
216.67%8.33%————25.00%
35.56%2.78%————8.33%
45.56%2.78%—2.78%——11.11%
5+5.56%—————5.56%
Total52.78%33.33%11.11%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.72 0.64 +1.08
SD 1.50 0.80 1.81
CV 0.87 1.25 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Sheriff Tiraspol 1734 92 83.35 +8.65 92.0% 66 71 80 83 87 94 97
Zimbru 1576 71 70.14 +0.86 61.0% 50 58 66 70 75 80 95
Nistru Otaci 1436 57 57.12 -0.12 49.0% 43 45 52 58 61 68 74
FC Tiraspol 1434 46 54.39 -8.39 14.0% 42 45 49 53 59 66 71
Dacia Chisinau 1414 55 51.44 +3.56 68.0% 33 40 45 52 57 63 65
Iskra-Stal 1314 31 41.64 -10.64 9.0% 23 29 37 41 46 54 62
FC Olimpia Balti 1306 42 31.54 +10.46 94.0% 16 20 26 31 36 43 57
Tiligul-Tiras 1304 33 39.66 -6.66 21.0% 20 26 35 39 45 51 63
Politehnica Chisinau 1272 33 34.58 -1.58 40.0% 21 25 30 35 38 44 54
Dinamo Bender 1135 22 27.27 -5.27 18.0% 15 17 23 27 31 36 42

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8% * Slight Edge: 8% to 10.5% * Clear Edge: 10.5% to 16% * Strong Edge: 16% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+10.00%
Slight Edge
38.89%32.22%28.89%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 36.81 Elo pts.
198 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.29 goals
Neutral
-2+0.19+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.37 * Comfortable: 0.37 to 0.52 * Runaway: 0.52 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.2
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
92%
Sheriff Tiraspol, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.58/gm
Runaway
00.370.8/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.46 * Some Luck: 5.46 to 8.19 * Lucky: 8.19 to 10.92 * Wild Swing: 10.92 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.63 * Close: 0.63 to 0.95 * Off: 0.95 to 1.26 * Way Off: 1.26 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.69 points
Some Luck
06.8317
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Off
00.792
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
94.00%
FC Olimpia Balti
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
9.00%
Iskra-Stal
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.23 * Even: 0.23 to 0.26 * Top-Heavy: 0.26 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.5 * Moderate Separation: 2.5 to 2.7 * Strong Separation: 2.7 to 2.95 * Wide Separation: 2.95 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 72.5% * Slight Edge: 72.5% to 81% * Clear Edge: 81% to 85.5% * Wide Edge: 85.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 96% * Clear Edge: 96% to 98% * Strong Edge: 98% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17% * Occasional: 17% to 22% * Frequent: 22% to 26.5% * Very Frequent: 26.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.23
Balanced
00.230.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 168.86
2.81
Strong Separation
12.52.953.75
Interquartile Edge
68%
Even
50%72.5%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
97%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
69%
Very Frequent
0%61%100%
Blowouts
Expected
13%
Rare
0%15%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.47 * Slight Separation: 0.47 to 0.52 * Notable Separation: 0.52 to 0.56 * Lopsided: 0.56 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.57 * Some Carryover: 0.57 to 0.75 * Strong Carryover: 0.75 to 0.84 * Near-Lock: 0.84 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 14.5% * As Expected: 14.5% to 16.5% * Upset-Prone: 16.5% to 20% * Very Upset-Prone: 20% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 11.5% * As Expected: 11.5% to 13.5% * Shaky Favorites: 13.5% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.55
Highly Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.49
Slight Separation
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.97
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.77
Strong Carryover
00.570.751
Upset Rate
Expected
14%
Chalky
0%18%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Shaky Favorites
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.54
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.11
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.067
Well Within Noise
00.1270.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Sheriff Tiraspol92.00%8.00%————————
Zimbru8.00%81.00%5.00%5.00%1.00%—————
Nistru Otaci—5.00%43.00%29.00%18.00%4.00%1.00%———
Dacia Chisinau——22.00%28.00%29.00%13.00%7.00%1.00%——
FC Tiraspol—5.00%29.00%22.00%31.00%13.00%————
FC Olimpia Balti———2.00%1.00%4.00%15.00%22.00%33.00%23.00%
Politehnica Chisinau————1.00%16.00%22.00%23.00%29.00%9.00%
Tiligul-Tiras—1.00%—4.00%11.00%22.00%24.00%22.00%12.00%4.00%
Iskra-Stal——1.00%10.00%8.00%28.00%29.00%13.00%8.00%3.00%
Dinamo Bender——————2.00%19.00%18.00%61.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Dacia Chisinau 100%
Dinamo Bender 100%
FC Olimpia Balti 100%
FC Tiraspol 100%
Iskra-Stal 100%
Nistru Otaci 100%
Politehnica Chisinau 100%
Sheriff Tiraspol 100%
Tiligul-Tiras 100%
Zimbru 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2006-07-02 Dacia Chisinau L 1-342.3 1231 1381 20.02% 31.77% 48.21%-0.57 -10.0 0
2006-07-02 @ FC Olimpia Balti W 3-142.3 1381 1231 48.21% 31.77% 20.02%+0.57 +10.0 3
2006-07-02 Nistru Otaci W 2-154.8 1279 1422 20.55% 32.04% 47.42%-0.54 +11.0 3
2006-07-02 @ Politehnica Chisinau L 1-254.8 1422 1279 47.42% 32.04% 20.55%+0.54 -11.0 0
2006-07-02 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-244.3 1409 1624 15.39% 28.36% 56.25%-0.90 -8.9 0
2006-07-02 @ Tiligul-Tiras W 2-044.3 1624 1409 56.25% 28.36% 15.39%+0.90 +8.9 3
2006-07-03 Iskra-Stal D 1-159.4 1520 1382 55.90% 28.53% 15.57%+0.88 -2.2 1
2006-07-03 @ Zimbru D 1-159.4 1382 1520 15.57% 28.53% 55.90%-0.88 +2.1 1
2006-07-07 Dinamo Bender W 4-028.8 1633 1230 81.96% 12.34% 5.69%+2.22 +4.7 6
2006-07-07 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-428.8 1230 1633 5.69% 12.34% 81.96%-2.22 -4.7 0
2006-07-08 FC Olimpia Balti L 0-150.0 1400 1221 60.66% 25.99% 13.35%+1.09 -13.9 0
2006-07-08 @ Tiligul-Tiras W 1-050.0 1221 1400 13.35% 25.99% 60.66%-1.09 +13.9 3
2006-07-08 Politehnica Chisinau D 0-048.3 1385 1290 50.62% 30.89% 18.50%+0.66 -1.9 2
2006-07-08 @ Iskra-Stal D 0-048.3 1290 1385 18.50% 30.89% 50.62%-0.66 +1.9 4
2006-07-08 Zimbru D 1-158.4 1391 1518 21.98% 32.65% 45.37%-0.46 +1.2 4
2006-07-08 @ Dacia Chisinau D 1-158.4 1518 1391 45.37% 32.65% 21.98%+0.46 -1.2 2
2006-07-16 Dacia Chisinau L 0-239.2 1292 1392 24.83% 33.53% 41.65%-0.32 -13.9 4
2006-07-16 @ Politehnica Chisinau W 2-039.2 1392 1292 41.65% 33.53% 24.83%+0.32 +13.9 7
2006-07-17 Nistru Otaci D 0-048.2 1226 1412 17.24% 29.99% 52.77%-0.75 +2.1 1
2006-07-17 @ Dinamo Bender D 0-048.2 1412 1226 52.77% 29.99% 17.24%+0.75 -2.1 1
2006-07-17 Tiligul-Tiras W 4-038.2 1517 1386 55.08% 28.93% 15.99%+0.85 +17.6 5
2006-07-17 @ Zimbru L 0-438.2 1386 1517 15.99% 28.93% 55.08%-0.85 -17.6 0
2006-07-22 Dinamo Bender D 1-154.2 1383 1228 57.91% 27.50% 14.59%+0.97 -2.3 3
2006-07-22 @ Iskra-Stal D 1-154.2 1228 1383 14.59% 27.50% 57.91%-0.97 +2.3 2
2006-07-23 Politehnica Chisinau L 0-245.6 1368 1278 50.09% 31.09% 18.82%+0.64 -22.8 0
2006-07-23 @ Tiligul-Tiras W 2-045.6 1278 1368 18.82% 31.09% 50.09%-0.64 +22.8 7
2006-07-23 Zimbru L 3-448.7 1235 1535 11.27% 22.92% 65.81%-1.33 -2.8 3
2006-07-23 @ FC Olimpia Balti W 4-348.7 1535 1235 65.81% 22.92% 11.27%+1.33 +2.8 8
2006-07-26 FC Tiraspol D 0-050.6 1406 1445 32.44% 34.36% 33.20%-0.01 +0.0 8
2006-07-26 @ Dacia Chisinau D 0-050.6 1445 1406 33.20% 34.36% 32.44%+0.01 -0.0 1
2006-07-30 FC Olimpia Balti D 1-152.4 1301 1232 47.35% 32.06% 20.59%+0.53 -1.4 8
2006-07-30 @ Politehnica Chisinau D 1-152.4 1232 1301 20.59% 32.06% 47.35%-0.53 +1.4 4
2006-07-30 Dacia Chisinau D 0-048.0 1230 1406 17.97% 30.53% 51.50%-0.70 +2.0 3
2006-07-30 @ Dinamo Bender D 0-048.0 1406 1230 51.50% 30.53% 17.97%+0.70 -2.0 9
2006-07-30 Tiligul-Tiras D 1-155.7 1445 1346 51.25% 30.63% 18.11%+0.69 -1.7 2
2006-07-30 @ FC Tiraspol D 1-155.7 1346 1445 18.11% 30.63% 51.25%-0.69 +1.7 1
2006-07-31 Iskra-Stal W 2-149.8 1409 1380 42.08% 33.44% 24.48%+0.33 +6.9 4
2006-07-31 @ Nistru Otaci L 1-249.8 1380 1409 24.48% 33.44% 42.08%-0.33 -6.9 3
2006-08-05 FC Tiraspol L 0-234.9 1233 1444 15.68% 28.64% 55.68%-0.88 -9.1 4
2006-08-05 @ FC Olimpia Balti W 2-034.9 1444 1233 55.68% 28.64% 15.68%+0.88 +9.1 5
2006-08-05 Nistru Otaci D 2-261.1 1404 1416 36.31% 34.23% 29.46%+0.12 -0.2 10
2006-08-05 @ Dacia Chisinau D 2-261.1 1416 1404 29.46% 34.23% 36.31%-0.12 +0.2 5
2006-08-05 Politehnica Chisinau W 2-034.4 1538 1299 67.11% 22.11% 10.78%+1.39 +5.8 11
2006-08-05 @ Zimbru L 0-234.4 1299 1538 10.78% 22.11% 67.11%-1.39 -5.8 8
2006-08-06 Iskra-Stal W 4-037.6 1637 1374 69.77% 20.42% 9.82%+1.52 +9.6 9
2006-08-06 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-437.6 1374 1637 9.82% 20.42% 69.77%-1.52 -9.6 3
2006-08-06 Dinamo Bender W 2-143.9 1347 1232 53.18% 29.81% 17.01%+0.77 +5.0 4
2006-08-06 @ Tiligul-Tiras L 1-243.9 1232 1347 17.01% 29.81% 53.18%-0.77 -5.0 3
2006-08-10 Tiligul-Tiras D 0-049.3 1417 1352 46.76% 32.24% 21.00%+0.51 -1.5 6
2006-08-10 @ Nistru Otaci D 0-049.3 1352 1417 21.00% 32.24% 46.76%-0.51 +1.5 5
2006-08-11 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-334.8 1294 1647 9.28% 19.42% 71.30%-1.60 -6.8 8
2006-08-11 @ Politehnica Chisinau W 3-034.8 1647 1294 71.30% 19.42% 9.28%+1.60 +6.8 12
2006-08-12 FC Olimpia Balti D 2-257.3 1227 1224 38.46% 34.02% 27.52%+0.20 -0.4 4
2006-08-12 @ Dinamo Bender D 2-257.3 1224 1227 27.52% 34.02% 38.46%-0.20 +0.4 5
2006-08-12 Dacia Chisinau D 0-048.6 1364 1403 32.46% 34.36% 33.18%-0.01 +0.0 4
2006-08-12 @ Iskra-Stal D 0-048.6 1403 1364 33.18% 34.36% 32.46%+0.01 -0.0 11
2006-08-19 Dacia Chisinau W 1-044.5 1654 1403 68.40% 21.29% 10.31%+1.45 +2.9 15
2006-08-19 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-144.5 1403 1654 10.31% 21.29% 68.40%-1.45 -2.9 11
2006-08-19 Nistru Otaci W 3-151.9 1225 1415 16.94% 29.75% 53.31%-0.78 +20.7 8
2006-08-19 @ FC Olimpia Balti L 1-351.9 1415 1225 53.31% 29.75% 16.94%+0.78 -20.7 6
2006-08-19 Dinamo Bender W 2-139.6 1543 1227 74.86% 17.08% 8.06%+1.79 +2.0 14
2006-08-19 @ Zimbru L 1-239.6 1227 1543 8.06% 17.08% 74.86%-1.79 -2.0 4
2006-08-20 FC Tiraspol W 3-152.6 1287 1453 18.72% 31.03% 50.26%-0.65 +19.8 11
2006-08-20 @ Politehnica Chisinau L 1-352.6 1453 1287 50.26% 31.03% 18.72%+0.65 -19.8 5
2006-08-20 Iskra-Stal D 1-153.3 1354 1364 36.64% 34.21% 29.15%+0.13 -0.3 6
2006-08-20 @ Tiligul-Tiras D 1-153.3 1364 1354 29.15% 34.21% 36.64%-0.13 +0.4 5
2006-08-23 Sheriff Tiraspol L 1-339.2 1245 1657 7.43% 15.85% 76.71%-1.89 -3.0 8
2006-08-23 @ FC Olimpia Balti W 3-139.2 1657 1245 76.71% 15.85% 7.43%+1.89 +3.0 18
2006-08-23 Dinamo Bender W 4-030.4 1433 1225 63.91% 24.09% 12.01%+1.24 +12.6 8
2006-08-23 @ FC Tiraspol L 0-430.4 1225 1433 12.01% 24.09% 63.91%-1.24 -12.5 4
2006-08-27 Politehnica Chisinau L 0-141.1 1212 1307 25.41% 33.66% 40.93%-0.29 -7.5 4
2006-08-27 @ Dinamo Bender W 1-041.1 1307 1212 40.93% 33.66% 25.41%+0.29 +7.5 14
2006-08-27 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-345.3 1445 1660 15.43% 28.39% 56.19%-0.90 -13.0 8
2006-08-27 @ FC Tiraspol W 3-045.3 1660 1445 56.19% 28.39% 15.43%+0.90 +13.0 21
2006-08-27 Tiligul-Tiras W 1-042.2 1401 1353 44.52% 32.88% 22.60%+0.42 +6.8 14
2006-08-27 @ Dacia Chisinau L 0-142.2 1353 1401 22.60% 32.88% 44.52%-0.42 -6.8 6
2006-08-28 FC Olimpia Balti W 1-037.7 1364 1242 53.99% 29.44% 16.57%+0.80 +5.1 8
2006-08-28 @ Iskra-Stal L 0-137.7 1242 1364 16.57% 29.44% 53.99%-0.80 -5.1 8
2006-08-28 Zimbru W 2-051.8 1394 1545 19.91% 31.72% 48.37%-0.58 +22.2 9
2006-08-28 @ Nistru Otaci L 0-251.8 1545 1394 48.37% 31.72% 19.91%+0.58 -22.2 14
2006-09-05 FC Tiraspol W 1-047.0 1417 1432 35.86% 34.27% 29.88%+0.11 +8.4 12
2006-09-05 @ Nistru Otaci L 0-147.0 1432 1417 29.88% 34.27% 35.86%-0.11 -8.4 8
2006-09-09 FC Olimpia Balti W 1-036.3 1407 1237 59.65% 26.55% 13.79%+1.05 +4.2 17
2006-09-09 @ Dacia Chisinau L 0-136.3 1237 1407 13.79% 26.55% 59.65%-1.05 -4.2 8
2006-09-09 FC Tiraspol W 2-155.6 1205 1424 15.14% 28.09% 56.77%-0.92 +12.5 7
2006-09-09 @ Dinamo Bender L 1-255.6 1424 1205 56.77% 28.09% 15.14%+0.92 -12.5 8
2006-09-09 Politehnica Chisinau W 2-145.7 1425 1314 52.63% 30.05% 17.32%+0.75 +5.0 15
2006-09-09 @ Nistru Otaci L 1-245.7 1314 1425 17.32% 30.05% 52.63%-0.75 -5.0 14
2006-09-10 Tiligul-Tiras D 0-061.7 1673 1347 75.73% 16.51% 7.76%+1.84 -4.0 22
2006-09-10 @ Sheriff Tiraspol D 0-061.7 1347 1673 7.76% 16.51% 75.73%-1.84 +4.0 7
2006-09-10 Zimbru L 0-241.5 1369 1523 19.68% 31.60% 48.72%-0.59 -11.4 8
2006-09-10 @ Iskra-Stal W 2-041.5 1523 1369 48.72% 31.60% 19.68%+0.59 +11.4 17
2006-09-14 Nistru Otaci D 0-050.3 1411 1430 35.46% 34.29% 30.25%+0.09 -0.3 9
2006-09-14 @ FC Tiraspol D 0-050.3 1430 1411 30.25% 34.29% 35.46%-0.09 +0.3 16
2006-09-14 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-330.3 1217 1669 6.32% 13.61% 80.07%-2.10 -4.1 7
2006-09-14 @ Dinamo Bender W 3-030.3 1669 1217 80.07% 13.61% 6.32%+2.10 +4.1 25
2006-09-14 Tiligul-Tiras W 5-353.9 1233 1351 22.97% 33.00% 44.03%-0.41 +15.2 11
2006-09-14 @ FC Olimpia Balti L 3-553.9 1351 1233 44.03% 33.00% 22.97%+0.41 -15.2 7
2006-09-14 Zimbru D 1-159.6 1412 1534 22.44% 32.82% 44.74%-0.44 +1.1 18
2006-09-14 @ Dacia Chisinau D 1-159.6 1534 1412 44.74% 32.82% 22.44%+0.44 -1.1 18
2006-09-15 Iskra-Stal D 1-152.7 1309 1358 31.15% 34.33% 34.52%-0.06 +0.2 15
2006-09-15 @ Politehnica Chisinau D 1-152.7 1358 1309 34.52% 34.33% 31.15%+0.06 -0.2 9
2006-09-18 FC Olimpia Balti W 4-030.2 1673 1248 83.55% 11.28% 5.17%+2.33 +4.2 28
2006-09-18 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-430.2 1248 1673 5.17% 11.28% 83.55%-2.33 -4.2 11
2006-09-18 Dinamo Bender D 1-155.7 1430 1213 64.90% 23.48% 11.62%+1.28 -2.9 17
2006-09-18 @ Nistru Otaci D 1-155.7 1213 1430 11.62% 23.48% 64.90%-1.28 +2.9 8
2006-09-18 Zimbru D 1-158.1 1335 1533 16.44% 29.34% 54.21%-0.81 +2.0 8
2006-09-18 @ Tiligul-Tiras D 1-158.1 1533 1335 54.21% 29.34% 16.44%+0.81 -2.0 19
2006-09-19 FC Tiraspol L 1-348.2 1358 1411 30.54% 34.30% 35.16%-0.08 -13.9 9
2006-09-19 @ Iskra-Stal W 3-148.2 1411 1358 35.16% 34.30% 30.54%+0.08 +13.9 12
2006-09-19 Politehnica Chisinau W 1-039.6 1413 1309 51.71% 30.45% 17.84%+0.71 +5.5 21
2006-09-19 @ Dacia Chisinau L 0-139.6 1309 1413 17.84% 30.45% 51.71%-0.71 -5.5 15
2006-09-23 FC Olimpia Balti W 5-030.1 1531 1244 72.09% 18.91% 9.00%+1.64 +10.6 22
2006-09-23 @ Zimbru L 0-530.1 1244 1531 9.00% 18.91% 72.09%-1.64 -10.6 11
2006-09-23 Dacia Chisinau D 1-156.0 1425 1418 39.05% 33.95% 27.00%+0.22 -0.6 13
2006-09-23 @ FC Tiraspol D 1-156.0 1418 1425 27.00% 33.95% 39.05%-0.22 +0.6 22
2006-09-23 Iskra-Stal W 1-047.0 1216 1344 21.94% 32.64% 45.42%-0.46 +11.2 11
2006-09-23 @ Dinamo Bender L 0-147.0 1344 1216 45.42% 32.64% 21.94%+0.46 -11.2 9
2006-09-23 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-148.5 1427 1677 13.52% 26.21% 60.27%-1.08 -4.1 17
2006-09-23 @ Nistru Otaci W 1-048.5 1677 1427 60.27% 26.21% 13.52%+1.08 +4.1 31
2006-09-24 Tiligul-Tiras D 1-152.4 1304 1337 33.31% 34.36% 32.33%+0.02 -0.0 16
2006-09-24 @ Politehnica Chisinau D 1-152.4 1337 1304 32.33% 34.36% 33.31%-0.02 +0.0 9
2006-10-01 Nistru Otaci FL45.9 1333 1423 25.86% 33.75% 40.39%-0.27 +0.0 9
2006-10-01 @ Iskra-Stal FW45.9 1423 1333 40.39% 33.75% 25.86%+0.27 +0.0 20
2006-10-01 Zimbru D 0-064.3 1681 1542 56.05% 28.45% 15.49%+0.89 -2.4 32
2006-10-01 @ Sheriff Tiraspol D 0-064.3 1542 1681 15.49% 28.45% 56.05%-0.89 +2.4 23
2006-10-02 FC Tiraspol L 0-143.8 1337 1425 26.27% 33.83% 39.90%-0.25 -7.7 9
2006-10-02 @ Tiligul-Tiras W 1-043.8 1425 1337 39.90% 33.83% 26.27%+0.25 +7.7 16
2006-10-02 Dinamo Bender D 0-049.7 1419 1227 62.08% 25.17% 12.75%+1.16 -3.0 23
2006-10-02 @ Dacia Chisinau D 0-049.7 1227 1419 12.75% 25.17% 62.08%-1.16 +3.0 12
2006-10-08 Iskra-Stal D 1-155.2 1432 1333 51.24% 30.64% 18.12%+0.69 -1.7 17
2006-10-08 @ FC Tiraspol D 1-155.2 1333 1432 18.12% 30.64% 51.24%-0.69 +1.7 10
2006-10-08 Politehnica Chisinau D 0-046.3 1233 1304 28.32% 34.12% 37.56%-0.17 +0.5 12
2006-10-08 @ FC Olimpia Balti D 0-046.3 1304 1233 37.56% 34.12% 28.32%+0.17 -0.5 17
2006-10-14 FC Olimpia Balti W 2-141.7 1431 1234 62.63% 24.85% 12.52%+1.18 +3.5 20
2006-10-14 @ FC Tiraspol L 1-241.7 1234 1431 12.52% 24.85% 62.63%-1.18 -3.5 12
2006-10-14 Dacia Chisinau D 1-155.9 1423 1416 39.14% 33.94% 26.92%+0.22 -0.6 21
2006-10-14 @ Nistru Otaci D 1-155.9 1416 1423 26.92% 33.94% 39.14%-0.22 +0.6 24
2006-10-14 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-337.8 1334 1679 9.59% 20.00% 70.41%-1.55 -7.1 10
2006-10-14 @ Iskra-Stal W 3-037.8 1679 1334 70.41% 20.00% 9.59%+1.55 +7.1 35
2006-10-14 Tiligul-Tiras D 2-257.9 1230 1330 24.84% 33.53% 41.63%-0.32 +0.6 13
2006-10-14 @ Dinamo Bender D 2-257.9 1330 1230 41.63% 33.53% 24.84%+0.32 -0.6 10
2006-10-14 Zimbru L 0-139.9 1303 1544 13.95% 26.75% 59.29%-1.03 -4.2 17
2006-10-14 @ Politehnica Chisinau W 1-039.9 1544 1303 59.29% 26.75% 13.95%+1.03 +4.2 26
2006-10-23 FC Tiraspol D 0-056.3 1549 1434 53.08% 29.86% 17.06%+0.77 -2.1 27
2006-10-23 @ Zimbru D 0-056.3 1434 1549 17.06% 29.86% 53.08%-0.77 +2.1 21
2006-10-23 Nistru Otaci L 0-240.4 1329 1423 25.52% 33.68% 40.80%-0.29 -14.2 10
2006-10-23 @ Tiligul-Tiras W 2-040.4 1423 1329 40.80% 33.68% 25.52%+0.29 +14.2 24
2006-10-23 Politehnica Chisinau W 2-144.2 1686 1299 80.79% 13.13% 6.08%+2.14 +1.3 38
2006-10-23 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 1-244.2 1299 1686 6.08% 13.13% 80.79%-2.14 -1.4 17
2006-10-23 Dinamo Bender D 2-257.3 1230 1231 38.04% 34.07% 27.88%+0.18 -0.4 13
2006-10-23 @ FC Olimpia Balti D 2-257.3 1231 1230 27.88% 34.07% 38.04%-0.18 +0.4 14
2006-10-24 Iskra-Stal D 1-154.7 1416 1327 49.93% 31.15% 18.92%+0.64 -1.6 25
2006-10-24 @ Dacia Chisinau D 1-154.7 1327 1416 18.92% 31.15% 49.93%-0.64 +1.6 11
2006-10-28 FC Olimpia Balti W 3-245.9 1437 1230 63.76% 24.17% 12.06%+1.23 +3.2 27
2006-10-28 @ Nistru Otaci L 2-345.9 1230 1437 12.06% 24.17% 63.76%-1.23 -3.2 13
2006-10-28 Politehnica Chisinau W 5-034.2 1436 1298 55.96% 28.50% 15.54%+0.89 +21.1 24
2006-10-28 @ FC Tiraspol L 0-534.2 1298 1436 15.54% 28.50% 55.96%-0.89 -21.1 17
2006-10-28 Sheriff Tiraspol D 0-062.2 1415 1687 12.44% 24.73% 62.83%-1.19 +3.0 26
2006-10-28 @ Dacia Chisinau D 0-062.2 1687 1415 62.83% 24.73% 12.44%+1.19 -3.0 39
2006-10-28 Tiligul-Tiras W 2-039.2 1329 1315 40.01% 33.81% 26.18%+0.26 +14.4 14
2006-10-28 @ Iskra-Stal L 0-239.2 1315 1329 26.18% 33.81% 40.01%-0.26 -14.4 10
2006-10-28 Zimbru L 0-135.8 1231 1546 10.65% 21.90% 67.45%-1.41 -3.0 14
2006-10-28 @ Dinamo Bender W 1-035.8 1546 1231 67.45% 21.90% 10.65%+1.41 +3.0 30
2006-11-05 Dacia Chisinau L 0-238.9 1301 1418 23.00% 33.01% 43.99%-0.41 -13.0 10
2006-11-05 @ Tiligul-Tiras W 2-038.9 1418 1301 43.99% 33.01% 23.00%+0.41 +13.0 29
2006-11-05 Iskra-Stal L 0-140.5 1227 1343 23.08% 33.04% 43.88%-0.40 -6.9 13
2006-11-05 @ FC Olimpia Balti W 1-040.5 1343 1227 43.88% 33.04% 23.08%+0.40 +6.9 17
2006-11-05 Dinamo Bender W 2-037.0 1277 1228 44.69% 32.83% 22.47%+0.43 +12.8 20
2006-11-05 @ Politehnica Chisinau L 0-237.0 1228 1277 22.47% 32.83% 44.69%-0.43 -12.8 14
2006-11-06 FC Tiraspol W 3-043.5 1684 1457 65.93% 22.85% 11.22%+1.33 +8.8 42
2006-11-06 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-343.5 1457 1684 11.22% 22.85% 65.93%-1.33 -8.8 24
2006-11-06 Nistru Otaci W 2-043.8 1549 1440 52.44% 30.14% 17.42%+0.74 +10.2 33
2006-11-06 @ Zimbru L 0-243.8 1440 1549 17.42% 30.14% 52.44%-0.74 -10.2 27
2006-11-10 Iskra-Stal W 3-035.9 1560 1350 64.03% 24.01% 11.96%+1.24 +9.6 36
2006-11-10 @ Zimbru L 0-335.9 1350 1560 11.96% 24.01% 64.03%-1.24 -9.6 17
2006-11-10 Nistru Otaci L 0-140.9 1289 1430 20.80% 32.15% 47.05%-0.52 -6.4 20
2006-11-10 @ Politehnica Chisinau W 1-040.9 1430 1289 47.05% 32.15% 20.80%+0.52 +6.4 30
2006-11-10 Sheriff Tiraspol D 0-060.4 1288 1693 7.61% 16.20% 76.19%-1.86 +4.1 11
2006-11-10 @ Tiligul-Tiras D 0-060.4 1693 1288 76.19% 16.20% 7.61%+1.86 -4.1 43
2006-11-10 Dinamo Bender W 3-137.2 1448 1215 66.59% 22.44% 10.97%+1.36 +5.1 27
2006-11-10 @ FC Tiraspol L 1-337.2 1215 1448 10.97% 22.44% 66.59%-1.36 -5.1 14
2006-11-11 Dacia Chisinau L 0-137.5 1220 1431 15.64% 28.59% 55.77%-0.88 -4.8 13
2006-11-11 @ FC Olimpia Balti W 1-037.5 1431 1220 55.77% 28.59% 15.64%+0.88 +4.8 32
2006-11-14 Nistru Otaci W 2-152.8 1689 1436 68.62% 21.15% 10.23%+1.46 +2.7 46
2006-11-14 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 1-252.8 1436 1689 10.23% 21.15% 68.62%-1.46 -2.7 30
2006-11-14 Zimbru L 0-150.6 1454 1569 23.16% 33.06% 43.78%-0.40 -7.0 27
2006-11-14 @ FC Tiraspol W 1-050.6 1569 1454 43.78% 33.06% 23.16%+0.40 +7.0 39
2006-11-18 FC Olimpia Balti W 1-038.8 1292 1215 48.33% 31.73% 19.94%+0.57 +6.1 14
2006-11-18 @ Tiligul-Tiras L 0-138.8 1215 1292 19.94% 31.73% 48.33%-0.57 -6.1 13
2006-11-18 FC Tiraspol W 3-258.5 1434 1447 36.26% 34.24% 29.50%+0.12 +7.5 33
2006-11-18 @ Nistru Otaci L 2-358.5 1447 1434 29.50% 34.24% 36.26%-0.12 -7.5 27
2006-11-18 Politehnica Chisinau D 1-152.8 1341 1283 45.90% 32.50% 21.60%+0.48 -1.2 18
2006-11-18 @ Iskra-Stal D 1-152.8 1283 1341 21.60% 32.50% 45.90%-0.48 +1.2 21
2006-11-18 Dinamo Bender W 5-028.9 1692 1210 87.12% 8.88% 4.00%+2.62 +3.8 49
2006-11-18 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-528.9 1210 1692 4.00% 8.88% 87.12%-2.62 -3.8 14
2006-11-18 Zimbru L 1-255.3 1436 1576 20.81% 32.16% 47.03%-0.52 -6.0 32
2006-11-18 @ Dacia Chisinau W 2-155.3 1576 1436 47.03% 32.16% 20.81%+0.52 +6.0 42
2006-11-22 Dacia Chisinau L 3-453.3 1284 1430 20.37% 31.95% 47.68%-0.55 -5.5 21
2006-11-22 @ Politehnica Chisinau W 4-353.3 1430 1284 47.68% 31.95% 20.37%+0.55 +5.5 35
2006-11-22 Iskra-Stal W 1-040.7 1439 1339 51.25% 30.64% 18.12%+0.69 +5.6 30
2006-11-22 @ FC Tiraspol L 0-140.7 1339 1439 18.12% 30.64% 51.25%-0.69 -5.6 18
2006-11-22 Nistru Otaci L 0-136.6 1206 1441 14.29% 27.15% 58.56%-1.00 -4.3 14
2006-11-22 @ Dinamo Bender W 1-036.6 1441 1206 58.56% 27.15% 14.29%+1.00 +4.3 36
2006-11-22 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-134.6 1209 1695 5.46% 11.86% 82.68%-2.27 -1.2 13
2006-11-22 @ FC Olimpia Balti W 1-034.6 1695 1209 82.68% 11.86% 5.46%+2.27 +1.3 52
2006-11-22 Tiligul-Tiras W 2-034.2 1582 1298 71.80% 19.10% 9.10%+1.62 +4.6 45
2006-11-22 @ Zimbru L 0-234.2 1298 1582 9.10% 19.10% 71.80%-1.62 -4.6 14
2006-11-26 Sheriff Tiraspol D 0-063.9 1587 1697 23.74% 33.24% 43.01%-0.37 +1.1 46
2006-11-26 @ Zimbru D 0-063.9 1697 1587 43.01% 33.24% 23.74%+0.37 -1.1 53
2007-03-03 FC Tiraspol D 0-051.5 1435 1445 36.74% 34.20% 29.06%+0.14 -0.4 36
2007-03-03 @ Dacia Chisinau D 0-051.5 1445 1435 29.06% 34.20% 36.74%-0.14 +0.4 31
2007-03-03 Nistru Otaci W 3-042.7 1696 1445 68.37% 21.32% 10.32%+1.45 +7.9 56
2007-03-03 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-342.7 1445 1696 10.32% 21.32% 68.37%-1.45 -7.9 36
2007-03-03 Dinamo Bender D 1-153.4 1334 1202 55.17% 28.89% 15.94%+0.85 -2.1 19
2007-03-03 @ Iskra-Stal D 1-153.4 1202 1334 15.94% 28.89% 55.17%-0.85 +2.1 15
2007-03-03 Zimbru W 1-053.9 1208 1588 8.39% 17.74% 73.86%-1.73 +15.7 16
2007-03-03 @ FC Olimpia Balti L 0-153.9 1588 1208 73.86% 17.74% 8.39%+1.73 -15.7 46
2007-03-04 Politehnica Chisinau D 1-152.1 1293 1279 40.07% 33.80% 26.13%+0.26 -0.7 15
2007-03-04 @ Tiligul-Tiras D 1-152.1 1279 1293 26.13% 33.80% 40.07%-0.26 +0.7 22
2007-03-07 Dacia Chisinau L 1-242.8 1204 1435 14.51% 27.41% 58.09%-0.98 -4.2 15
2007-03-07 @ Dinamo Bender W 2-142.8 1435 1204 58.09% 27.41% 14.51%+0.98 +4.2 39
2007-03-07 Iskra-Stal W 1-040.3 1438 1332 52.01% 30.32% 17.67%+0.72 +5.5 39
2007-03-07 @ Nistru Otaci L 0-140.3 1332 1438 17.67% 30.32% 52.01%-0.72 -5.5 19
2007-03-07 Sheriff Tiraspol L 1-263.0 1572 1703 21.63% 32.51% 45.86%-0.48 -6.2 46
2007-03-07 @ Zimbru W 2-163.0 1703 1572 45.86% 32.51% 21.63%+0.48 +6.2 59
2007-03-08 FC Olimpia Balti L 0-146.8 1279 1223 45.68% 32.56% 21.76%+0.47 -11.3 22
2007-03-08 @ Politehnica Chisinau W 1-046.8 1223 1279 21.76% 32.56% 45.68%-0.47 +11.3 19
2007-03-08 Tiligul-Tiras D 0-050.1 1445 1292 57.62% 27.65% 14.73%+0.96 -2.6 32
2007-03-08 @ FC Tiraspol D 0-050.1 1292 1445 14.73% 27.65% 57.62%-0.96 +2.6 16
2007-03-11 Iskra-Stal D 0-063.3 1710 1326 80.52% 13.31% 6.17%+2.12 -4.3 60
2007-03-11 @ Sheriff Tiraspol D 0-063.3 1326 1710 6.17% 13.31% 80.52%-2.12 +4.3 20
2007-03-11 Nistru Otaci L 0-247.3 1439 1443 37.50% 34.13% 28.37%+0.17 -18.5 39
2007-03-11 @ Dacia Chisinau W 2-047.3 1443 1439 28.37% 34.13% 37.50%-0.17 +18.5 42
2007-03-12 FC Tiraspol D 0-049.0 1235 1443 15.83% 28.78% 55.39%-0.86 +2.4 20
2007-03-12 @ FC Olimpia Balti D 0-049.0 1443 1235 55.39% 28.78% 15.83%+0.86 -2.3 33
2007-03-12 Politehnica Chisinau W 4-135.5 1566 1268 73.08% 18.26% 8.66%+1.69 +5.3 49
2007-03-12 @ Zimbru L 1-435.5 1268 1566 8.66% 18.26% 73.08%-1.69 -5.3 22
2007-03-12 Dinamo Bender D 1-152.6 1295 1200 50.68% 30.86% 18.45%+0.67 -1.7 17
2007-03-12 @ Tiligul-Tiras D 1-152.6 1200 1295 18.45% 30.86% 50.68%-0.67 +1.7 16
2007-03-17 FC Olimpia Balti L 0-438.7 1202 1237 33.03% 34.36% 32.61%+0.01 -32.2 16
2007-03-17 @ Dinamo Bender W 4-038.7 1237 1202 32.61% 34.36% 33.03%-0.01 +32.2 23
2007-03-17 Dacia Chisinau L 0-143.5 1331 1420 25.96% 33.77% 40.27%-0.27 -7.6 20
2007-03-17 @ Iskra-Stal W 1-043.5 1420 1331 40.27% 33.77% 25.96%+0.27 +7.6 42
2007-03-17 Sheriff Tiraspol D 0-060.5 1263 1705 6.56% 14.11% 79.33%-2.05 +4.3 23
2007-03-17 @ Politehnica Chisinau D 0-060.5 1705 1263 79.33% 14.11% 6.56%+2.05 -4.2 61
2007-03-17 Tiligul-Tiras D 1-156.2 1462 1293 59.42% 26.68% 13.90%+1.04 -2.5 43
2007-03-17 @ Nistru Otaci D 1-156.2 1293 1462 13.90% 26.68% 59.42%-1.04 +2.5 18
2007-03-17 Zimbru D 0-056.6 1440 1571 21.67% 32.53% 45.80%-0.48 +1.4 34
2007-03-17 @ FC Tiraspol D 0-056.6 1571 1440 45.80% 32.53% 21.67%+0.48 -1.4 50
2007-04-01 Dacia Chisinau W 1-046.2 1701 1428 70.69% 19.82% 9.49%+1.57 +2.6 64
2007-04-01 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-146.2 1428 1701 9.49% 19.82% 70.69%-1.57 -2.6 42
2007-04-01 Nistru Otaci D 0-049.3 1269 1459 16.98% 29.79% 53.22%-0.77 +2.1 24
2007-04-01 @ FC Olimpia Balti D 0-049.3 1459 1269 53.22% 29.79% 16.98%+0.77 -2.1 44
2007-04-01 Dinamo Bender W 5-026.5 1570 1169 81.81% 12.45% 5.74%+2.21 +5.9 53
2007-04-01 @ Zimbru L 0-526.5 1169 1570 5.74% 12.45% 81.81%-2.21 -5.9 16
2007-04-02 FC Tiraspol D 0-048.8 1267 1442 18.07% 30.60% 51.33%-0.70 +1.9 24
2007-04-02 @ Politehnica Chisinau D 0-048.8 1442 1267 51.33% 30.60% 18.07%+0.70 -1.9 35
2007-04-02 Iskra-Stal W 2-149.8 1296 1323 34.23% 34.34% 31.43%+0.05 +8.2 21
2007-04-02 @ Tiligul-Tiras L 1-249.8 1323 1296 31.43% 34.34% 34.23%-0.05 -8.2 20
2007-04-11 FC Olimpia Balti L 0-243.9 1315 1271 44.01% 33.01% 22.98%+0.41 -20.7 20
2007-04-11 @ Iskra-Stal W 2-043.9 1271 1315 22.98% 33.01% 44.01%-0.41 +20.7 27
2007-04-11 Politehnica Chisinau D 2-257.5 1164 1269 24.21% 33.37% 42.42%-0.35 +0.7 17
2007-04-11 @ Dinamo Bender D 2-257.5 1269 1164 42.42% 33.37% 24.21%+0.35 -0.7 25
2007-04-11 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-246.3 1440 1704 12.82% 25.28% 61.90%-1.15 -7.2 35
2007-04-11 @ FC Tiraspol W 2-046.3 1704 1440 61.90% 25.28% 12.82%+1.15 +7.2 67
2007-04-11 Tiligul-Tiras L 0-150.2 1425 1304 53.92% 29.48% 16.60%+0.80 -12.8 42
2007-04-11 @ Dacia Chisinau W 1-050.2 1304 1425 16.60% 29.48% 53.92%-0.80 +12.8 24
2007-04-11 Zimbru W 2-163.4 1457 1576 22.85% 32.96% 44.18%-0.41 +10.4 47
2007-04-11 @ Nistru Otaci L 1-263.4 1576 1457 44.18% 32.96% 22.85%+0.41 -10.4 53
2007-04-14 FC Olimpia Balti L 1-256.0 1413 1292 53.81% 29.53% 16.66%+0.80 -12.0 42
2007-04-14 @ Dacia Chisinau W 2-156.0 1292 1413 16.66% 29.53% 53.81%-0.80 +12.0 30
2007-04-14 FC Tiraspol D 2-260.6 1164 1432 12.63% 25.01% 62.35%-1.17 +2.0 18
2007-04-14 @ Dinamo Bender D 2-260.6 1432 1164 62.35% 25.01% 12.63%+1.17 -2.0 36
2007-04-14 Politehnica Chisinau W 1-036.4 1467 1268 62.88% 24.70% 12.42%+1.19 +3.7 50
2007-04-14 @ Nistru Otaci L 0-136.4 1268 1467 12.42% 24.70% 62.88%-1.19 -3.7 25
2007-04-14 Tiligul-Tiras W 4-245.4 1711 1317 81.34% 12.76% 5.90%+2.18 +2.0 70
2007-04-14 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 2-445.4 1317 1711 5.90% 12.76% 81.34%-2.18 -2.0 24
2007-04-14 Zimbru W 1-054.3 1294 1565 12.50% 24.82% 62.68%-1.18 +14.2 23
2007-04-14 @ Iskra-Stal L 0-154.3 1565 1294 62.68% 24.82% 12.50%+1.18 -14.2 53
2007-04-18 Dacia Chisinau W 4-039.2 1551 1401 57.36% 27.79% 14.85%+0.95 +16.2 56
2007-04-18 @ Zimbru L 0-439.2 1401 1551 14.85% 27.79% 57.36%-0.95 -16.2 42
2007-04-18 Iskra-Stal W 2-150.2 1265 1308 31.89% 34.35% 33.75%-0.03 +8.6 28
2007-04-18 @ Politehnica Chisinau L 1-250.2 1308 1265 33.75% 34.35% 31.89%+0.03 -8.6 23
2007-04-18 Nistru Otaci D 1-157.6 1430 1471 32.31% 34.36% 33.33%-0.02 +0.0 37
2007-04-18 @ FC Tiraspol D 1-157.6 1471 1430 33.33% 34.36% 32.31%+0.02 -0.0 51
2007-04-18 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-328.2 1166 1713 4.17% 9.22% 86.61%-2.58 -2.5 18
2007-04-18 @ Dinamo Bender W 3-028.2 1713 1166 86.61% 9.22% 4.17%+2.58 +2.5 73
2007-04-18 Tiligul-Tiras W 1-043.0 1304 1315 36.59% 34.21% 29.20%+0.13 +8.3 33
2007-04-18 @ FC Olimpia Balti L 0-143.0 1315 1304 29.20% 34.21% 36.59%-0.13 -8.3 24
2007-04-26 FC Olimpia Balti W 2-036.4 1715 1312 82.00% 12.32% 5.68%+2.22 +2.5 76
2007-04-26 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-236.4 1312 1715 5.68% 12.32% 82.00%-2.22 -2.5 33
2007-04-26 Politehnica Chisinau D 0-048.4 1384 1273 52.65% 30.05% 17.30%+0.75 -2.1 43
2007-04-26 @ Dacia Chisinau D 0-048.4 1273 1384 17.30% 30.05% 52.65%-0.75 +2.1 29
2007-04-26 Zimbru L 0-335.5 1306 1567 12.98% 25.49% 61.53%-1.13 -10.6 24
2007-04-26 @ Tiligul-Tiras W 3-035.5 1567 1306 61.53% 25.49% 12.98%+1.13 +10.6 59
2007-04-27 FC Tiraspol D 1-154.0 1300 1430 21.69% 32.54% 45.77%-0.47 +1.2 24
2007-04-27 @ Iskra-Stal D 1-154.0 1430 1300 45.77% 32.54% 21.69%+0.47 -1.2 38
2007-04-27 Dinamo Bender W 4-027.2 1471 1164 73.98% 17.67% 8.35%+1.74 +7.8 54
2007-04-27 @ Nistru Otaci L 0-427.2 1164 1471 8.35% 17.67% 73.98%-1.74 -7.8 18
2007-04-30 FC Olimpia Balti W 2-144.0 1578 1310 70.17% 20.16% 9.67%+1.54 +2.5 62
2007-04-30 @ Zimbru L 1-244.0 1310 1578 9.67% 20.16% 70.17%-1.54 -2.5 33
2007-04-30 Iskra-Stal W 1-047.1 1156 1301 20.41% 31.97% 47.62%-0.55 +11.7 21
2007-04-30 @ Dinamo Bender L 0-147.1 1301 1156 47.62% 31.97% 20.41%+0.55 -11.6 24
2007-04-30 Tiligul-Tiras D 0-046.4 1275 1296 35.20% 34.30% 30.50%+0.08 -0.2 30
2007-04-30 @ Politehnica Chisinau D 0-046.4 1296 1275 30.50% 34.30% 35.20%-0.08 +0.2 25
2007-05-01 Dacia Chisinau D 1-155.5 1429 1382 44.48% 32.89% 22.63%+0.42 -1.1 39
2007-05-01 @ FC Tiraspol D 1-155.5 1382 1429 22.63% 32.89% 44.48%-0.42 +1.1 44
2007-05-01 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-151.4 1479 1718 14.05% 26.87% 59.07%-1.02 -4.3 54
2007-05-01 @ Nistru Otaci W 1-051.4 1718 1479 59.07% 26.87% 14.05%+1.02 +4.3 79
2007-05-05 FC Tiraspol D 0-048.5 1296 1428 21.57% 32.49% 45.93%-0.48 +1.4 26
2007-05-05 @ Tiligul-Tiras D 0-048.5 1428 1296 45.93% 32.49% 21.57%+0.48 -1.4 40
2007-05-05 Nistru Otaci W 2-156.7 1289 1474 17.30% 30.04% 52.66%-0.75 +11.8 27
2007-05-05 @ Iskra-Stal L 1-256.7 1474 1289 52.66% 30.04% 17.30%+0.75 -11.8 54
2007-05-05 Politehnica Chisinau W 1-040.9 1307 1275 42.52% 33.35% 24.13%+0.35 +7.2 36
2007-05-05 @ FC Olimpia Balti L 0-140.9 1275 1307 24.13% 33.35% 42.52%-0.35 -7.2 30
2007-05-05 Dinamo Bender D 2-260.8 1383 1168 64.73% 23.59% 11.68%+1.28 -2.1 45
2007-05-05 @ Dacia Chisinau D 2-260.8 1168 1383 11.68% 23.59% 64.73%-1.28 +2.1 22
2007-05-05 Zimbru W 2-051.2 1722 1580 56.35% 28.31% 15.35%+0.90 +8.9 82
2007-05-05 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-251.2 1580 1722 15.35% 28.31% 56.35%-0.90 -8.9 62
2007-05-13 FC Olimpia Balti L 0-150.2 1427 1315 52.78% 29.99% 17.23%+0.75 -12.6 40
2007-05-13 @ FC Tiraspol W 1-050.2 1315 1427 17.23% 29.99% 52.78%-0.75 +12.6 39
2007-05-13 Dacia Chisinau L 1-257.9 1463 1381 48.95% 31.52% 19.54%+0.60 -11.2 54
2007-05-13 @ Nistru Otaci W 2-157.9 1381 1463 19.54% 31.52% 48.95%-0.60 +11.2 48
2007-05-13 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-140.6 1301 1731 6.91% 14.80% 78.29%-1.99 -1.7 27
2007-05-13 @ Iskra-Stal W 1-040.6 1731 1301 78.29% 14.80% 6.91%+1.99 +1.7 85
2007-05-13 Tiligul-Tiras L 0-139.6 1170 1298 21.97% 32.65% 45.38%-0.46 -6.7 22
2007-05-13 @ Dinamo Bender W 1-039.6 1298 1170 45.38% 32.65% 21.97%+0.46 +6.7 29
2007-05-13 Zimbru L 0-234.7 1268 1571 11.12% 22.69% 66.19%-1.35 -6.0 30
2007-05-13 @ Politehnica Chisinau W 2-034.7 1571 1268 66.19% 22.69% 11.12%+1.35 +6.0 65
2007-05-17 FC Tiraspol L 0-158.3 1577 1414 58.86% 26.99% 14.15%+1.01 -13.6 65
2007-05-17 @ Zimbru W 1-058.3 1414 1577 14.15% 26.99% 58.86%-1.01 +13.6 43
2007-05-17 Iskra-Stal W 1-039.5 1392 1299 50.43% 30.96% 18.61%+0.66 +5.8 51
2007-05-17 @ Dacia Chisinau L 0-139.5 1299 1392 18.61% 30.96% 50.43%-0.66 -5.8 27
2007-05-17 Nistru Otaci W 1-049.6 1304 1451 20.22% 31.88% 47.90%-0.56 +11.7 32
2007-05-17 @ Tiligul-Tiras L 0-149.6 1451 1304 47.90% 31.88% 20.22%+0.56 -11.7 54
2007-05-17 Politehnica Chisinau W 3-032.2 1733 1262 86.49% 9.30% 4.20%+2.57 +2.5 88
2007-05-17 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-332.2 1262 1733 4.20% 9.30% 86.49%-2.57 -2.5 30
2007-05-17 Dinamo Bender W 1-035.6 1327 1163 58.96% 26.94% 14.10%+1.02 +4.3 42
2007-05-17 @ FC Olimpia Balti L 0-135.6 1163 1327 14.10% 26.94% 58.96%-1.02 -4.3 22
2007-05-21 FC Olimpia Balti W 2-146.4 1440 1332 52.30% 30.20% 17.50%+0.73 +5.1 57
2007-05-21 @ Nistru Otaci L 1-246.4 1332 1440 17.50% 30.20% 52.30%-0.73 -5.1 42
2007-05-21 Politehnica Chisinau W 2-033.9 1428 1260 59.43% 26.68% 13.89%+1.04 +7.9 46
2007-05-21 @ FC Tiraspol L 0-233.9 1260 1428 13.89% 26.68% 59.43%-1.04 -7.9 30
2007-05-21 Sheriff Tiraspol D 0-064.4 1398 1735 9.85% 20.48% 69.67%-1.52 +3.6 52
2007-05-21 @ Dacia Chisinau D 0-064.4 1735 1398 69.67% 20.48% 9.85%+1.52 -3.6 89
2007-05-21 Tiligul-Tiras D 0-046.7 1294 1316 34.94% 34.31% 30.74%+0.07 -0.2 28
2007-05-21 @ Iskra-Stal D 0-046.7 1316 1294 30.74% 34.31% 34.94%-0.07 +0.2 33
2007-05-21 Zimbru L 0-229.3 1159 1564 7.62% 16.23% 76.15%-1.86 -3.6 22
2007-05-21 @ Dinamo Bender W 2-029.3 1564 1159 76.15% 16.23% 7.62%+1.86 +3.6 68
2007-05-25 Dacia Chisinau L 1-346.0 1316 1402 26.44% 33.86% 39.71%-0.25 -12.6 33
2007-05-25 @ Tiligul-Tiras W 3-146.0 1402 1316 39.71% 33.86% 26.44%+0.25 +12.6 55
2007-05-25 FC Tiraspol W 2-152.7 1732 1436 72.91% 18.37% 8.72%+1.68 +2.2 92
2007-05-25 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 1-252.7 1436 1732 8.72% 18.37% 72.91%-1.68 -2.2 46
2007-05-25 Iskra-Stal L 0-243.8 1326 1293 42.61% 33.33% 24.06%+0.35 -20.2 42
2007-05-25 @ FC Olimpia Balti W 2-043.8 1293 1326 24.06% 33.33% 42.61%-0.35 +20.2 31
2007-05-25 Nistru Otaci W 3-150.0 1567 1445 54.07% 29.41% 16.52%+0.81 +8.3 71
2007-05-25 @ Zimbru L 1-350.0 1445 1567 16.52% 29.41% 54.07%-0.81 -8.3 57
2007-05-25 Dinamo Bender W 4-033.1 1252 1155 50.85% 30.80% 18.36%+0.67 +20.3 33
2007-05-25 @ Politehnica Chisinau L 0-433.1 1155 1252 18.36% 30.80% 50.85%-0.67 -20.3 22

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2007-03-03 8.39% @ FC Olimpia Balti 1208 1 Zimbru 1588 0
2 2007-04-14 12.50% @ Iskra-Stal 1294 1 Zimbru 1565 0
3 2006-07-08 13.35% FC Olimpia Balti 1221 1 @ Tiligul-Tiras 1400 0
4 2007-05-17 14.15% FC Tiraspol 1414 1 @ Zimbru 1577 0
5 2006-09-09 15.14% @ Dinamo Bender 1205 2 FC Tiraspol 1424 1
6 2007-04-11 16.60% Tiligul-Tiras 1304 1 @ Dacia Chisinau 1425 0
7 2007-04-14 16.66% FC Olimpia Balti 1292 2 @ Dacia Chisinau 1413 1
8 2006-08-19 16.94% @ FC Olimpia Balti 1225 3 Nistru Otaci 1415 1
9 2007-05-13 17.23% FC Olimpia Balti 1315 1 @ FC Tiraspol 1427 0
10 2007-05-05 17.30% @ Iskra-Stal 1289 2 Nistru Otaci 1474 1
11 2006-08-20 18.72% @ Politehnica Chisinau 1287 3 FC Tiraspol 1453 1
12 2006-07-23 18.82% Politehnica Chisinau 1278 2 @ Tiligul-Tiras 1368 0
13 2007-05-13 19.54% Dacia Chisinau 1381 2 @ Nistru Otaci 1463 1
14 2006-08-28 19.91% @ Nistru Otaci 1394 2 Zimbru 1545 0
15 2007-05-17 20.22% @ Tiligul-Tiras 1304 1 Nistru Otaci 1451 0
16 2007-04-30 20.41% @ Dinamo Bender 1156 1 Iskra-Stal 1301 0
17 2006-07-02 20.55% @ Politehnica Chisinau 1279 2 Nistru Otaci 1422 1
18 2007-03-08 21.76% FC Olimpia Balti 1223 1 @ Politehnica Chisinau 1279 0
19 2006-09-23 21.94% @ Dinamo Bender 1216 1 Iskra-Stal 1344 0
20 2007-04-11 22.85% @ Nistru Otaci 1457 2 Zimbru 1576 1
21 2006-09-14 22.97% @ FC Olimpia Balti 1233 5 Tiligul-Tiras 1351 3
22 2007-04-11 22.98% FC Olimpia Balti 1271 2 @ Iskra-Stal 1315 0
23 2007-05-25 24.06% Iskra-Stal 1293 2 @ FC Olimpia Balti 1326 0
24 2007-03-11 28.37% Nistru Otaci 1443 2 @ Dacia Chisinau 1439 0
25 2007-04-18 31.89% @ Politehnica Chisinau 1265 2 Iskra-Stal 1308 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-03-17 32.17 FC Olimpia Balti 4 1237 32.61% @ Dinamo Bender 0 1202 33.03% 34.36%
2 2006-07-23 22.81 Politehnica Chisinau 2 1278 18.82% @ Tiligul-Tiras 0 1368 50.09% 31.09%
3 2006-08-28 22.22 @ Nistru Otaci 2 1394 19.91% Zimbru 0 1545 48.37% 31.72%
4 2006-10-28 21.08 @ FC Tiraspol 5 1436 55.96% Politehnica Chisinau 0 1298 15.54% 28.50%
5 2007-04-11 20.72 FC Olimpia Balti 2 1271 22.98% @ Iskra-Stal 0 1315 44.01% 33.01%
6 2006-08-19 20.69 @ FC Olimpia Balti 3 1225 16.94% Nistru Otaci 1 1415 53.31% 29.75%
7 2007-05-25 20.30 @ Politehnica Chisinau 4 1252 50.85% Dinamo Bender 0 1155 18.36% 30.80%
8 2007-05-25 20.24 Iskra-Stal 2 1293 24.06% @ FC Olimpia Balti 0 1326 42.61% 33.33%
9 2006-08-20 19.80 @ Politehnica Chisinau 3 1287 18.72% FC Tiraspol 1 1453 50.26% 31.03%
10 2007-03-11 18.48 Nistru Otaci 2 1443 28.37% @ Dacia Chisinau 0 1439 37.50% 34.13%
11 2006-07-17 17.64 @ Zimbru 4 1517 55.08% Tiligul-Tiras 0 1386 15.99% 28.93%
12 2007-04-18 16.25 @ Zimbru 4 1551 57.36% Dacia Chisinau 0 1401 14.85% 27.79%
13 2007-03-03 15.73 @ FC Olimpia Balti 1 1208 8.39% Zimbru 0 1588 73.86% 17.74%
14 2006-09-14 15.17 @ FC Olimpia Balti 5 1233 22.97% Tiligul-Tiras 3 1351 44.03% 33.00%
15 2006-10-28 14.43 @ Iskra-Stal 2 1329 40.01% Tiligul-Tiras 0 1315 26.18% 33.81%
16 2007-04-14 14.22 @ Iskra-Stal 1 1294 12.50% Zimbru 0 1565 62.68% 24.82%
17 2006-10-23 14.15 Nistru Otaci 2 1423 40.80% @ Tiligul-Tiras 0 1329 25.52% 33.68%
18 2006-09-19 13.93 FC Tiraspol 3 1411 35.16% @ Iskra-Stal 1 1358 30.54% 34.30%
19 2006-07-08 13.90 FC Olimpia Balti 1 1221 13.35% @ Tiligul-Tiras 0 1400 60.66% 25.99%
20 2006-07-16 13.87 Dacia Chisinau 2 1392 41.65% @ Politehnica Chisinau 0 1292 24.83% 33.53%
21 2007-05-17 13.61 FC Tiraspol 1 1414 14.15% @ Zimbru 0 1577 58.86% 26.99%
22 2006-11-05 13.05 Dacia Chisinau 2 1418 43.99% @ Tiligul-Tiras 0 1301 23.00% 33.01%
23 2006-08-27 12.99 Sheriff Tiraspol 3 1660 56.19% @ FC Tiraspol 0 1445 15.43% 28.39%
24 2006-11-05 12.81 @ Politehnica Chisinau 2 1277 44.69% Dinamo Bender 0 1228 22.47% 32.83%
25 2007-04-11 12.78 Tiligul-Tiras 1 1304 16.60% @ Dacia Chisinau 0 1425 53.92% 29.48%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-05-21 64.4 @ Dacia Chisinau 0 1398 9.85% Sheriff Tiraspol 0 1735 69.67% 20.48%
2 2006-10-01 64.3 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 0 1681 56.05% Zimbru 0 1542 15.49% 28.45%
3 2006-11-26 63.9 @ Zimbru 0 1587 23.74% Sheriff Tiraspol 0 1697 43.01% 33.24%
4 2007-04-11 63.4 @ Nistru Otaci 2 1457 22.85% Zimbru 1 1576 44.18% 32.96%
5 2007-03-11 63.3 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 0 1710 80.52% Iskra-Stal 0 1326 6.17% 13.31%
6 2007-03-07 63.0 Sheriff Tiraspol 2 1703 45.86% @ Zimbru 1 1572 21.63% 32.51%
7 2006-10-28 62.2 @ Dacia Chisinau 0 1415 12.44% Sheriff Tiraspol 0 1687 62.83% 24.73%
8 2006-09-10 61.7 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 0 1673 75.73% Tiligul-Tiras 0 1347 7.76% 16.51%
9 2006-08-05 61.1 @ Dacia Chisinau 2 1404 36.31% Nistru Otaci 2 1416 29.46% 34.23%
10 2007-05-05 60.8 @ Dacia Chisinau 2 1383 64.73% Dinamo Bender 2 1168 11.68% 23.59%
11 2007-04-14 60.6 @ Dinamo Bender 2 1164 12.63% FC Tiraspol 2 1432 62.35% 25.01%
12 2007-03-17 60.5 @ Politehnica Chisinau 0 1263 6.56% Sheriff Tiraspol 0 1705 79.33% 14.11%
13 2006-11-10 60.4 @ Tiligul-Tiras 0 1288 7.61% Sheriff Tiraspol 0 1693 76.19% 16.20%
14 2006-09-14 59.6 @ Dacia Chisinau 1 1412 22.44% Zimbru 1 1534 44.74% 32.82%
15 2006-07-03 59.4 @ Zimbru 1 1520 55.90% Iskra-Stal 1 1382 15.57% 28.53%
16 2006-11-18 58.5 @ Nistru Otaci 3 1434 36.26% FC Tiraspol 2 1447 29.50% 34.24%
17 2006-07-08 58.4 @ Dacia Chisinau 1 1391 21.98% Zimbru 1 1518 45.37% 32.65%
18 2007-05-17 58.3 FC Tiraspol 1 1414 14.15% @ Zimbru 0 1577 58.86% 26.99%
19 2006-09-18 58.1 @ Tiligul-Tiras 1 1335 16.44% Zimbru 1 1533 54.21% 29.34%
20 2006-10-14 57.9 @ Dinamo Bender 2 1230 24.84% Tiligul-Tiras 2 1330 41.63% 33.53%
21 2007-05-13 57.9 Dacia Chisinau 2 1381 19.54% @ Nistru Otaci 1 1463 48.95% 31.52%
22 2007-04-18 57.6 @ FC Tiraspol 1 1430 32.31% Nistru Otaci 1 1471 33.33% 34.36%
23 2007-04-11 57.5 @ Dinamo Bender 2 1164 24.21% Politehnica Chisinau 2 1269 42.42% 33.37%
24 2006-08-12 57.3 @ Dinamo Bender 2 1227 38.46% FC Olimpia Balti 2 1224 27.52% 34.02%
25 2006-10-23 57.3 @ FC Olimpia Balti 2 1230 38.04% Dinamo Bender 2 1231 27.88% 34.07%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-04-01 26.5 @ Zimbru 5 1570 81.81% Dinamo Bender 0 1169 5.74% 12.45%
2 2007-04-27 27.2 @ Nistru Otaci 4 1471 73.98% Dinamo Bender 0 1164 8.35% 17.67%
3 2007-04-18 28.2 Sheriff Tiraspol 3 1713 86.61% @ Dinamo Bender 0 1166 4.17% 9.22%
4 2006-07-07 28.8 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 4 1633 81.96% Dinamo Bender 0 1230 5.69% 12.34%
5 2006-11-18 28.9 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 5 1692 87.12% Dinamo Bender 0 1210 4.00% 8.88%
6 2007-05-21 29.3 Zimbru 2 1564 76.15% @ Dinamo Bender 0 1159 7.62% 16.23%
7 2006-09-23 30.1 @ Zimbru 5 1531 72.09% FC Olimpia Balti 0 1244 9.00% 18.91%
8 2006-09-18 30.2 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 4 1673 83.55% FC Olimpia Balti 0 1248 5.17% 11.28%
9 2006-09-14 30.3 Sheriff Tiraspol 3 1669 80.07% @ Dinamo Bender 0 1217 6.32% 13.61%
10 2006-08-23 30.4 @ FC Tiraspol 4 1433 63.91% Dinamo Bender 0 1225 12.01% 24.09%
11 2007-05-17 32.2 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 3 1733 86.49% Politehnica Chisinau 0 1262 4.20% 9.30%
12 2007-05-25 33.1 @ Politehnica Chisinau 4 1252 50.85% Dinamo Bender 0 1155 18.36% 30.80%
13 2007-05-21 33.9 @ FC Tiraspol 2 1428 59.43% Politehnica Chisinau 0 1260 13.89% 26.68%
14 2006-10-28 34.2 @ FC Tiraspol 5 1436 55.96% Politehnica Chisinau 0 1298 15.54% 28.50%
15 2006-11-22 34.2 @ Zimbru 2 1582 71.80% Tiligul-Tiras 0 1298 9.10% 19.10%
16 2006-08-05 34.4 @ Zimbru 2 1538 67.11% Politehnica Chisinau 0 1299 10.78% 22.11%
17 2006-11-22 34.6 Sheriff Tiraspol 1 1695 82.68% @ FC Olimpia Balti 0 1209 5.46% 11.86%
18 2007-05-13 34.7 Zimbru 2 1571 66.19% @ Politehnica Chisinau 0 1268 11.12% 22.69%
19 2006-08-11 34.8 Sheriff Tiraspol 3 1647 71.30% @ Politehnica Chisinau 0 1294 9.28% 19.42%
20 2006-08-05 34.9 FC Tiraspol 2 1444 55.68% @ FC Olimpia Balti 0 1233 15.68% 28.64%
21 2007-03-12 35.5 @ Zimbru 4 1566 73.08% Politehnica Chisinau 1 1268 8.66% 18.26%
22 2007-04-26 35.5 Zimbru 3 1567 61.53% @ Tiligul-Tiras 0 1306 12.98% 25.49%
23 2007-05-17 35.6 @ FC Olimpia Balti 1 1327 58.96% Dinamo Bender 0 1163 14.10% 26.94%
24 2006-10-28 35.8 Zimbru 1 1546 67.45% @ Dinamo Bender 0 1231 10.65% 21.90%
25 2006-11-10 35.9 @ Zimbru 3 1560 64.03% Iskra-Stal 0 1350 11.96% 24.01%