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2020-21 Divizia Nationala Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Sheriff Tiraspol

99 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Sheriff Tiraspol

11.78 points above expected

99 points · 87.22 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Speranta Nisporeni

10.68 points below expected

23 points · 33.68 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Sheriff Tiraspol 36 32 3 1 99 116 7 +109 87.22 +11.78
2 Petrocub Hincesti 36 25 8 3 83 79 18 +61 76.39 +6.61
3 Milsami Orhei 36 22 7 7 73 71 37 +34 61.38 +11.62
4 Sfintul Gheorghe 36 21 4 11 67 62 43 +19 64.67 +2.33
5 Dacia Buiucani 36 13 9 14 48 41 45 -4 51.00 -3.00
6 Dinamo-Auto 36 12 12 12 48 53 58 -5 54.42 -6.42
7 Floresti 36 9 5 22 32 37 85 -48 34.32 -2.32
8 Zimbru 36 6 7 23 25 39 63 -24 29.03 -4.03
9 Speranta Nisporeni 36 5 8 23 23 29 75 -46 33.68 -10.68
10 Codru Lozova 36 2 3 31 9 23 119 -96 16.62 -7.62

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sheriff Tiraspol 99 87.22 +11.78
2 Milsami Orhei 73 61.38 +11.62
3 Petrocub Hincesti 83 76.39 +6.61
4 Sfintul Gheorghe 67 64.67 +2.33
5 Floresti 32 34.32 -2.32

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Speranta Nisporeni 23 33.68 -10.68
2 Codru Lozova 9 16.62 -7.62
3 Dinamo-Auto 48 54.42 -6.42
4 Zimbru 25 29.03 -4.03
5 Dacia Buiucani 48 51.00 -3.00

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Milsami Orhei 7 Jul 27 – Sep 26 1 in 234
2 Sheriff Tiraspol 15 Jul 3 – Oct 24 1 in 71
3 Petrocub Hincesti 6 Jul 8 – Aug 1 1 in 25
4 Sfintul Gheorghe 4 Jul 12 – Jul 27 1 in 13
5 Dacia Buiucani 3 May 15 – May 23 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Codru Lozova 14 Nov 28 – May 18 1 in 38
2 Floresti 4 Nov 6 – Nov 29 1 in 18
3 Dacia Buiucani 3 Jul 31 – Sep 12 1 in 12
4 Speranta Nisporeni 5 Mar 7 – Apr 23 1 in 11
5 Zimbru 6 Aug 6 – Oct 3 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Petrocub Hincesti 24 Sep 22 – May 19 1 in 72
2 Milsami Orhei 8 Jul 27 – Oct 2 1 in 30
3 Dacia Buiucani 5 Nov 7 – Feb 23 1 in 29
4 Dinamo-Auto 7 Oct 25 – Feb 24 1 in 25
5 Codru Lozova 2 Sep 20 – Sep 24 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dinamo-Auto 7 Sep 22 – Oct 31 1 in 35
2 Speranta Nisporeni 11 Nov 6 – Apr 23 1 in 31
3 Sheriff Tiraspol 2 Nov 1 – Nov 7 1 in 11
4 Floresti 9 Nov 6 – Apr 12 1 in 9
5 Dacia Buiucani 4 Nov 26 – Feb 27 1 in 6

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Sheriff Tiraspol 1773 99 +47 13 12.1 +0.9
Petrocub Hincesti 1604 80 +11 10 10.7 -0.7
Milsami Orhei 1398 73 -76 9 10.1 -1.1
Sfintul Gheorghe 1371 64 -33 6 8.4 -2.4
Dinamo-Auto 1243 48 +36 7 5.5 +1.5
Dacia Buiucani 1220 45 -3 7 5.7 +1.3
Floresti 1124 32 +22 6 4.4 +1.6
Zimbru 1127 25 -13 5 6.0 -1.0
Speranta Nisporeni 941 23 -117 4 5.2 -1.2
Codru Lozova 779 6 -34 0 1.5 -1.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team CL DB DIN FLO MO PH SG ST SN ZIM
Codru Lozova —
0-0-4
1.52
0-0-4
1.33
1-1-2
2.37
0-0-4
1.09
0-0-4
0.83
0-2-2
1.14
0-0-4
0.59
1-0-3
2.68
0-0-4
3.13
Dacia Buiucani
4-0-0
9.80
 —
2-1-1
4.62
1-1-2
7.89
0-2-2
4.34
0-1-3
2.37
1-0-3
3.58
0-2-2
1.21
2-1-1
7.87
3-1-0
8.46
Dinamo-Auto
4-0-0
10.01
1-1-2
6.58
 —
3-0-1
7.84
1-2-1
3.96
0-3-1
3.32
0-1-3
4.39
0-0-4
1.57
2-2-0
7.85
1-3-0
8.14
Floresti
2-1-1
8.88
2-1-1
3.34
1-0-3
3.39
 —
0-0-4
2.68
0-0-4
1.93
0-0-4
2.28
0-0-4
0.92
1-3-0
5.76
3-0-1
6.05
Milsami Orhei
4-0-0
10.30
2-2-0
6.88
1-2-1
7.26
4-0-0
8.58
 —
1-2-1
3.22
2-1-1
5.49
0-0-4
2.15
4-0-0
8.05
4-0-0
9.06
Petrocub Hincesti
4-0-0
10.63
3-1-0
8.90
1-3-0
7.93
4-0-0
9.39
1-2-1
8.00
 —
4-0-0
7.52
1-1-2
3.63
4-0-0
9.82
3-1-0
10.32
Sfintul Gheorghe
2-2-0
10.24
3-0-1
7.64
3-1-0
6.82
4-0-0
8.99
1-1-2
5.72
0-0-4
3.70
 —
0-0-4
2.31
4-0-0
8.97
4-0-0
9.28
Sheriff Tiraspol
4-0-0
10.95
2-2-0
10.16
4-0-0
9.76
4-0-0
10.51
4-0-0
9.12
2-1-1
7.58
4-0-0
8.94
 —
4-0-0
10.11
4-0-0
10.57
Speranta Nisporeni
3-0-1
8.58
1-1-2
3.36
0-2-2
3.38
0-3-1
5.45
0-0-4
3.21
0-0-4
1.52
0-0-4
2.31
0-0-4
1.25
 —
1-2-1
7.57
Zimbru
4-0-0
8.10
0-1-3
2.78
0-3-1
3.10
1-0-3
5.16
0-0-4
2.22
0-1-3
1.07
0-0-4
2.00
0-0-4
0.87
1-2-1
3.65
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.91 +9.9
Allowed 0.88 -8.3
Differential 0.95 +4.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.22%7.22%6.11%3.89%4.17%3.89%32.50%
17.22%7.22%5.00%3.61%2.78%1.11%26.94%
26.11%5.00%2.78%0.83%0.28%0.56%15.56%
33.89%3.61%0.83%0.56%0.28%—9.17%
44.17%2.78%0.28%0.28%0.56%—8.06%
5+3.89%1.11%0.56%——2.22%7.78%
Total32.50%26.94%15.56%9.17%8.06%7.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.51 1.51 +0.00
SD 1.75 1.75 2.78
CV 1.16 1.16 —
Max 10 10 +10
Min -1 -1 -10

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%13.89%5.56%2.78%5.56%13.89%44.44%
1—2.78%13.89%5.56%8.33%11.11%41.67%
2—2.78%2.78%—2.78%2.78%11.11%
3———————
4———————
5+—————2.78%2.78%
Total2.78%19.44%22.22%8.33%16.67%30.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.61 3.28 -2.67
SD 0.73 2.31 2.31
CV 1.19 0.71 —
Max 2 9 +1
Min -1 -1 -8

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%5.56%11.11%8.33%5.56%—44.44%
18.33%8.33%5.56%—2.78%—25.00%
22.78%5.56%2.78%———11.11%
3—2.78%————2.78%
48.33%2.78%————11.11%
5+—2.78%———2.78%5.56%
Total33.33%27.78%19.44%8.33%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.22 -0.11
SD 1.51 1.31 2.23
CV 1.36 1.07 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min -1 -1 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%2.78%—2.78%8.33%27.78%
15.56%19.44%5.56%5.56%2.78%—38.89%
25.56%5.56%2.78%———13.89%
32.78%2.78%—2.78%——8.33%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+5.56%—————5.56%
Total30.56%36.11%11.11%8.33%5.56%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.61 -0.14
SD 1.59 1.92 2.92
CV 1.08 1.19 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%5.56%5.56%8.33%13.89%8.33%44.44%
18.33%5.56%5.56%2.78%2.78%—25.00%
25.56%2.78%2.78%5.56%—2.78%19.44%
3—5.56%————5.56%
4—2.78%——2.78%—5.56%
5+———————
Total16.67%22.22%13.89%16.67%19.44%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 2.36 -1.33
SD 1.18 1.73 2.35
CV 1.15 0.73 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%2.78%——2.78%22.22%
18.33%8.33%—5.56%——22.22%
25.56%11.11%2.78%———19.44%
311.11%5.56%2.78%———19.44%
45.56%2.78%2.78%———11.11%
5+——5.56%———5.56%
Total38.89%36.11%16.67%5.56%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.97 1.03 +0.94
SD 1.66 1.23 2.12
CV 0.84 1.20 —
Max 7 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%2.78%————16.67%
113.89%8.33%2.78%—2.78%—27.78%
211.11%2.78%————13.89%
35.56%8.33%————13.89%
411.11%8.33%————19.44%
5+2.78%2.78%———2.78%8.33%
Total58.33%33.33%2.78%—2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.17 0.47 +1.69
SD 2.06 0.84 2.16
CV 0.95 1.79 —
Max 9 4 +8
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%8.33%2.78%2.78%—25.00%
15.56%5.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%—19.44%
213.89%5.56%2.78%———22.22%
32.78%8.33%5.56%———16.67%
45.56%2.78%—2.78%——11.11%
5+—2.78%———2.78%5.56%
Total30.56%33.33%19.44%8.33%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 1.17 +0.53
SD 1.51 1.21 2.06
CV 0.89 1.03 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min -1 -1 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%2.78%————8.33%
119.44%2.78%————22.22%
211.11%8.33%————19.44%
38.33%—————8.33%
48.33%5.56%————13.89%
5+27.78%—————27.78%
Total80.56%19.44%————100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.22 0.19 +3.03
SD 2.44 0.40 2.56
CV 0.76 2.06 —
Max 10 1 +10
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%8.33%11.11%5.56%5.56%44.44%
12.78%2.78%5.56%5.56%5.56%—22.22%
22.78%2.78%5.56%———11.11%
35.56%——2.78%——8.33%
4————2.78%—2.78%
5+—————11.11%11.11%
Total19.44%11.11%19.44%19.44%13.89%16.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.69 1.97 -1.28
SD 1.24 2.24 2.46
CV 1.78 1.13 —
Max 4 10 +3
Min -1 -1 -10

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%13.89%16.67%5.56%5.56%—47.22%
1—8.33%8.33%8.33%——25.00%
22.78%2.78%5.56%2.78%——13.89%
32.78%2.78%——2.78%—8.33%
4———————
5+2.78%2.78%————5.56%
Total13.89%30.56%30.56%16.67%8.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.75 -0.67
SD 1.46 1.16 2.07
CV 1.35 0.66 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Sheriff Tiraspol 1773 99 87.22 +11.78 99.0% 72 76 83 88 92 97 100
Petrocub Hincesti 1604 83 76.39 +6.61 87.0% 60 64 72 76 80 87 92
Milsami Orhei 1398 73 61.38 +11.62 94.0% 46 50 57 61 65 74 81
Sfintul Gheorghe 1371 67 64.67 +2.33 66.0% 46 52 60 64 69 75 81
Dinamo-Auto 1243 48 54.42 -6.42 17.0% 36 45 50 54 58 66 73
Dacia Buiucani 1220 48 51.00 -3.00 36.0% 35 41 47 51 56 61 67
Zimbru 1127 25 29.03 -4.03 31.0% 17 20 25 29 33 40 46
Floresti 1124 32 34.32 -2.32 36.0% 18 22 29 35 39 45 51
Speranta Nisporeni 941 23 33.68 -10.68 6.0% 15 23 28 34 38 43 52
Codru Lozova 779 9 16.62 -7.62 4.0% 7 10 13 17 20 25 31

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8% * Slight Edge: 8% to 10.5% * Clear Edge: 10.5% to 16% * Strong Edge: 16% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+3.89%
No Edge
42.78%18.33%38.89%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 13.52 Elo pts.
175 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.06 goals
Neutral
-2+0.08+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.37 * Comfortable: 0.37 to 0.52 * Runaway: 0.52 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.4
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
84%
Sheriff Tiraspol, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.44/gm
Comfortable
00.310.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.07 * Some Luck: 5.07 to 7.6 * Lucky: 7.6 to 10.14 * Wild Swing: 10.14 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.43 * Close: 0.43 to 0.64 * Off: 0.64 to 0.85 * Way Off: 0.85 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.53 points
Some Luck
06.3416
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.60
Close
00.531.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
99.00%
Sheriff Tiraspol
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
4.00%
Codru Lozova
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.23 * Even: 0.23 to 0.26 * Top-Heavy: 0.26 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.5 * Moderate Separation: 2.5 to 2.7 * Strong Separation: 2.7 to 2.95 * Wide Separation: 2.95 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 72.5% * Slight Edge: 72.5% to 81% * Clear Edge: 81% to 85.5% * Wide Edge: 85.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 96% * Clear Edge: 96% to 98% * Strong Edge: 98% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17% * Occasional: 17% to 22% * Frequent: 22% to 26.5% * Very Frequent: 26.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.31
Lopsided
00.230.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 295.25
3.55
Wide Separation
12.52.953.75
Interquartile Edge
82%
Clear Edge
50%72.5%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 100%
100%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
47%
Few
0%40%100%
Blowouts
Expected
33%
Very Frequent
0%38%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.47 * Slight Separation: 0.47 to 0.52 * Notable Separation: 0.52 to 0.56 * Lopsided: 0.56 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.57 * Some Carryover: 0.57 to 0.75 * Strong Carryover: 0.75 to 0.84 * Near-Lock: 0.84 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 14.5% * As Expected: 14.5% to 16.5% * Upset-Prone: 16.5% to 20% * Very Upset-Prone: 20% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 11.5% * As Expected: 11.5% to 13.5% * Shaky Favorites: 13.5% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.41
Highly Predictable
00.472
Matchup Imbalance
0.61
Lopsided
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.51
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.77
Strong Carryover
00.570.751
Upset Rate
Expected
9%
Chalky
0%16%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
7%
Solid Favorites
0%13%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.27
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.60
Very Underconfident
0.2187011.001.7813
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.097
Well Within Noise
00.1080.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Sheriff Tiraspol84.00%16.00%————————
Petrocub Hincesti15.00%69.00%15.00%1.00%——————
Milsami Orhei—4.00%27.00%47.00%15.00%7.00%————
Sfintul Gheorghe1.00%9.00%49.00%25.00%14.00%2.00%————
Dacia Buiucani——3.00%11.00%25.00%50.00%10.00%1.00%——
Dinamo-Auto—2.00%6.00%16.00%45.00%28.00%3.00%———
Floresti————1.00%6.00%38.00%33.00%21.00%1.00%
Zimbru—————1.00%16.00%29.00%49.00%5.00%
Speranta Nisporeni—————6.00%33.00%35.00%23.00%3.00%
Codru Lozova———————2.00%7.00%91.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Dacia Buiucani 100% —
Dinamo-Auto 100% —
Milsami Orhei 100% —
Petrocub Hincesti 100% —
Sfintul Gheorghe 100% —
Sheriff Tiraspol 100% —
Floresti 99.00% 1.00%
Speranta Nisporeni 97.00% 3.00%
Zimbru 95.00% 5.00%
Codru Lozova 9.00% 91.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2020-07-03 Floresti W 3-144.3 1335 1291 48.04% 19.82% 32.14%+0.33 +24.5 3
2020-07-03 @ Dinamo-Auto L 1-344.3 1291 1335 32.14% 19.82% 48.04%-0.33 -24.5 0
2020-07-03 Speranta Nisporeni W 2-033.1 1535 1210 73.70% 17.68% 8.61%+1.93 +8.5 3
2020-07-03 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-233.1 1210 1535 8.61% 17.68% 73.70%-1.93 -8.5 0
2020-07-04 Codru Lozova W 5-132.0 1303 975 73.91% 17.64% 8.45%+1.95 +13.1 3
2020-07-04 @ Sfintul Gheorghe L 1-532.0 975 1303 8.45% 17.64% 73.91%-1.95 -13.1 0
2020-07-04 Petrocub Hincesti D 0-051.0 1190 1357 21.23% 19.41% 59.36%-0.88 +4.3 1
2020-07-04 @ Milsami Orhei D 0-051.0 1357 1190 59.36% 19.41% 21.23%+0.88 -4.3 1
2020-07-05 Dacia Buiucani L 0-135.9 1091 1291 18.21% 19.18% 62.61%-1.06 -9.2 0
2020-07-05 @ Zimbru W 1-035.9 1291 1091 62.61% 19.18% 18.21%+1.06 +9.2 3
2020-07-07 Floresti L 0-133.3 962 1267 10.92% 18.22% 70.85%-1.66 -5.7 0
2020-07-07 @ Codru Lozova W 1-033.3 1267 962 70.85% 18.22% 10.92%+1.66 +5.7 3
2020-07-08 Dinamo-Auto W 3-147.3 1353 1360 41.03% 19.89% 39.08%+0.04 +28.8 4
2020-07-08 @ Petrocub Hincesti L 1-347.3 1360 1353 39.08% 19.89% 41.03%-0.04 -28.8 3
2020-07-08 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-140.1 1317 1543 16.03% 18.97% 65.00%-1.22 -8.1 3
2020-07-08 @ Sfintul Gheorghe W 1-040.1 1543 1317 65.00% 18.97% 16.03%+1.22 +8.2 6
2020-07-09 Milsami Orhei D 0-050.7 1301 1194 55.76% 19.59% 24.65%+0.68 -3.5 4
2020-07-09 @ Dacia Buiucani D 0-050.7 1194 1301 24.65% 19.59% 55.76%-0.68 +3.5 2
2020-07-09 Zimbru D 2-259.0 1202 1082 57.25% 19.52% 23.23%+0.76 -2.5 1
2020-07-09 @ Speranta Nisporeni D 2-259.0 1082 1202 23.23% 19.52% 57.25%-0.76 +2.5 1
2020-07-11 Codru Lozova W 6-024.7 1552 956 84.06% 13.81% 2.13%+3.47 +5.5 9
2020-07-11 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-624.7 956 1552 2.13% 13.81% 84.06%-3.47 -5.5 0
2020-07-11 Petrocub Hincesti L 0-435.7 1273 1382 27.50% 19.70% 52.80%-0.54 -47.1 3
2020-07-11 @ Floresti W 4-035.7 1382 1273 52.80% 19.70% 27.50%+0.54 +47.1 7
2020-07-12 Dacia Buiucani W 1-041.6 1331 1297 46.71% 19.84% 33.45%+0.27 +15.5 6
2020-07-12 @ Dinamo-Auto L 0-141.6 1297 1331 33.45% 19.84% 46.71%-0.27 -15.5 4
2020-07-12 Sfintul Gheorghe L 1-338.3 1085 1308 16.28% 19.00% 64.72%-1.20 -13.5 1
2020-07-12 @ Zimbru W 3-138.3 1308 1085 64.72% 19.00% 16.28%+1.20 +13.5 6
2020-07-13 Speranta Nisporeni W 3-038.8 1198 1199 41.80% 19.88% 38.32%+0.07 +47.5 5
2020-07-13 @ Milsami Orhei L 0-338.8 1199 1198 38.32% 19.88% 41.80%-0.07 -47.5 1
2020-07-17 Petrocub Hincesti L 0-725.8 951 1429 4.53% 16.01% 79.46%-2.65 -14.1 0
2020-07-17 @ Codru Lozova W 7-025.8 1429 951 79.46% 16.01% 4.53%+2.65 +14.1 10
2020-07-17 Zimbru W 2-029.6 1557 1071 80.75% 15.48% 3.77%+2.85 +3.6 12
2020-07-17 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-229.6 1071 1557 3.77% 15.48% 80.75%-2.85 -3.6 1
2020-07-18 Dinamo-Auto L 1-240.8 1152 1347 18.68% 19.22% 62.10%-1.03 -8.8 1
2020-07-18 @ Speranta Nisporeni W 2-140.8 1347 1152 62.10% 19.22% 18.68%+1.03 +8.9 9
2020-07-18 Floresti W 2-038.3 1282 1225 49.66% 19.79% 30.56%+0.40 +27.1 7
2020-07-18 @ Dacia Buiucani L 0-238.3 1225 1282 30.56% 19.79% 49.66%-0.40 -27.2 3
2020-07-19 Milsami Orhei W 3-142.6 1322 1245 52.24% 19.72% 28.04%+0.51 +21.9 9
2020-07-19 @ Sfintul Gheorghe L 1-342.6 1245 1322 28.04% 19.72% 52.24%-0.51 -21.9 5
2020-07-21 Codru Lozova W 3-140.0 1068 937 58.46% 19.46% 22.08%+0.82 +17.8 4
2020-07-21 @ Zimbru L 1-340.0 937 1068 22.08% 19.46% 58.46%-0.82 -17.8 0
2020-07-22 Dacia Buiucani W 2-037.7 1443 1309 58.79% 19.44% 21.77%+0.84 +20.3 13
2020-07-22 @ Petrocub Hincesti L 0-237.7 1309 1443 21.77% 19.44% 58.79%-0.84 -20.3 7
2020-07-22 Speranta Nisporeni D 1-154.1 1198 1143 49.55% 19.79% 30.67%+0.39 -1.8 4
2020-07-22 @ Floresti D 1-154.1 1143 1198 30.67% 19.79% 49.55%-0.39 +1.8 2
2020-07-23 Sfintul Gheorghe L 0-145.4 1355 1344 43.67% 19.87% 36.46%+0.14 -19.3 9
2020-07-23 @ Dinamo-Auto W 1-045.4 1344 1355 36.46% 19.87% 43.67%-0.14 +19.3 12
2020-07-23 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-135.9 1223 1561 9.29% 17.86% 72.85%-1.85 -4.8 5
2020-07-23 @ Milsami Orhei W 1-035.9 1561 1223 72.85% 17.86% 9.29%+1.85 +4.8 15
2020-07-25 Codru Lozova W 4-027.4 1289 919 76.03% 17.12% 6.85%+2.19 +12.7 10
2020-07-25 @ Dacia Buiucani L 0-427.4 919 1289 6.85% 17.12% 76.03%-2.19 -12.8 0
2020-07-25 Petrocub Hincesti L 1-435.3 1145 1463 10.22% 18.08% 71.70%-1.74 -12.3 2
2020-07-25 @ Speranta Nisporeni W 4-135.3 1463 1145 71.70% 18.08% 10.22%+1.74 +12.3 16
2020-07-26 Dinamo-Auto W 6-035.7 1565 1336 67.45% 18.71% 13.84%+1.39 +37.2 18
2020-07-26 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-635.7 1336 1565 13.84% 18.71% 67.45%-1.39 -37.2 9
2020-07-27 Floresti W 2-034.8 1363 1197 62.05% 19.23% 18.72%+1.03 +17.7 15
2020-07-27 @ Sfintul Gheorghe L 0-234.8 1197 1363 18.72% 19.23% 62.05%-1.03 -17.7 4
2020-07-27 Milsami Orhei L 0-137.9 1085 1218 24.75% 19.59% 55.65%-0.68 -12.0 4
2020-07-27 @ Zimbru W 1-037.9 1218 1085 55.65% 19.59% 24.75%+0.68 +12.0 8
2020-07-31 Codru Lozova W 3-135.5 1231 906 73.69% 17.69% 8.63%+1.93 +7.3 11
2020-07-31 @ Milsami Orhei L 1-335.5 906 1231 8.63% 17.69% 73.69%-1.93 -7.3 0
2020-07-31 Speranta Nisporeni L 0-345.9 1301 1133 62.26% 19.21% 18.53%+1.04 -72.9 10
2020-07-31 @ Dacia Buiucani W 3-045.9 1133 1301 18.53% 19.21% 62.26%-1.04 +72.9 5
2020-08-01 Sfintul Gheorghe W 1-043.2 1475 1381 54.39% 19.65% 25.96%+0.62 +12.5 19
2020-08-01 @ Petrocub Hincesti L 0-143.2 1381 1475 25.96% 19.65% 54.39%-0.62 -12.5 15
2020-08-01 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-134.5 1179 1603 5.98% 16.76% 77.26%-2.34 -3.1 4
2020-08-01 @ Floresti W 1-034.5 1603 1179 77.26% 16.76% 5.98%+2.34 +3.1 21
2020-08-02 Zimbru D 1-154.5 1299 1073 67.15% 18.74% 14.11%+1.36 -5.5 10
2020-08-02 @ Dinamo-Auto D 1-154.5 1073 1299 14.11% 18.74% 67.15%-1.36 +5.5 5
2020-08-04 Speranta Nisporeni L 0-133.2 899 1206 10.83% 18.21% 70.96%-1.67 -5.6 0
2020-08-04 @ Codru Lozova W 1-033.2 1206 899 70.96% 18.21% 10.83%+1.67 +5.6 8
2020-08-05 Dinamo-Auto W 1-044.8 1238 1293 34.25% 19.85% 45.90%-0.24 +20.1 14
2020-08-05 @ Milsami Orhei L 0-144.8 1293 1238 45.90% 19.85% 34.25%+0.24 -20.1 10
2020-08-05 Petrocub Hincesti W 4-152.1 1606 1488 57.06% 19.53% 23.41%+0.75 +26.5 24
2020-08-05 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 1-452.1 1488 1606 23.41% 19.53% 57.06%-0.75 -26.5 19
2020-08-06 Dacia Buiucani W 2-142.1 1368 1228 59.41% 19.40% 21.19%+0.88 +9.9 18
2020-08-06 @ Sfintul Gheorghe L 1-242.1 1228 1368 21.19% 19.40% 59.41%-0.88 -9.9 10
2020-08-06 Floresti L 0-237.4 1079 1176 28.95% 19.75% 51.30%-0.47 -26.0 5
2020-08-06 @ Zimbru W 2-037.4 1176 1079 51.30% 19.75% 28.95%+0.47 +26.0 7
2020-09-10 Sfintul Gheorghe L 0-235.8 1211 1378 21.24% 19.41% 59.35%-0.88 -19.8 8
2020-09-10 @ Speranta Nisporeni W 2-035.8 1378 1211 59.35% 19.41% 21.24%+0.88 +19.8 21
2020-09-11 Codru Lozova W 7-026.6 1273 893 76.52% 16.98% 6.50%+2.24 +20.5 13
2020-09-11 @ Dinamo-Auto L 0-726.6 893 1273 6.50% 16.98% 76.52%-2.24 -20.5 0
2020-09-12 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-333.0 1218 1632 6.30% 16.90% 76.80%-2.28 -8.9 10
2020-09-12 @ Dacia Buiucani W 3-033.0 1632 1218 76.80% 16.90% 6.30%+2.28 +9.0 27
2020-09-12 Zimbru W 2-029.9 1461 1053 77.78% 16.60% 5.62%+2.41 +5.5 22
2020-09-12 @ Petrocub Hincesti L 0-229.9 1053 1461 5.62% 16.60% 77.78%-2.41 -5.5 5
2020-09-13 Milsami Orhei L 0-436.7 1202 1258 34.14% 19.85% 46.01%-0.24 -56.5 7
2020-09-13 @ Floresti W 4-036.7 1258 1202 46.01% 19.85% 34.14%+0.24 +56.5 17
2020-09-18 Dinamo-Auto L 0-532.7 1145 1294 23.11% 19.52% 57.38%-0.77 -50.0 7
2020-09-18 @ Floresti W 5-032.7 1294 1145 57.38% 19.52% 23.11%+0.77 +50.0 16
2020-09-18 Sheriff Tiraspol L 1-239.9 1191 1641 5.23% 16.40% 78.36%-2.49 -2.5 8
2020-09-18 @ Speranta Nisporeni W 2-139.9 1641 1191 78.36% 16.40% 5.23%+2.49 +2.5 30
2020-09-19 Milsami Orhei L 1-256.2 1467 1314 60.68% 19.32% 20.00%+0.95 -24.5 22
2020-09-19 @ Petrocub Hincesti W 2-156.2 1314 1467 20.00% 19.32% 60.68%-0.95 +24.5 20
2020-09-19 Zimbru W 2-140.6 1209 1047 61.62% 19.26% 19.13%+1.00 +9.0 13
2020-09-19 @ Dacia Buiucani L 1-240.6 1047 1209 19.13% 19.26% 61.62%-1.00 -9.0 5
2020-09-20 Sfintul Gheorghe D 2-260.3 873 1398 3.55% 15.31% 81.14%-2.92 +6.2 1
2020-09-20 @ Codru Lozova D 2-260.3 1398 873 81.14% 15.31% 3.55%+2.92 -6.2 22
2020-09-22 Dacia Buiucani W 2-036.2 1339 1219 57.33% 19.52% 23.15%+0.76 +21.4 23
2020-09-22 @ Milsami Orhei L 0-236.2 1219 1339 23.15% 19.52% 57.33%-0.76 -21.4 13
2020-09-22 Petrocub Hincesti D 1-157.3 1344 1442 28.72% 19.74% 51.55%-0.49 +2.2 17
2020-09-22 @ Dinamo-Auto D 1-157.3 1442 1344 51.55% 19.74% 28.72%+0.49 -2.2 23
2020-09-23 Speranta Nisporeni L 0-235.5 1038 1189 22.92% 19.51% 57.57%-0.78 -21.2 5
2020-09-23 @ Zimbru W 2-035.5 1189 1038 57.57% 19.51% 22.92%+0.78 +21.2 11
2020-09-24 Floresti D 1-154.2 879 1095 16.87% 19.06% 64.07%-1.16 +4.9 2
2020-09-24 @ Codru Lozova D 1-154.2 1095 879 64.07% 19.06% 16.87%+1.16 -4.9 8
2020-09-26 Dinamo-Auto W 4-043.8 1197 1346 23.08% 19.51% 57.41%-0.77 +88.1 16
2020-09-26 @ Dacia Buiucani L 0-443.8 1346 1197 57.41% 19.51% 23.08%+0.77 -88.1 17
2020-09-26 Milsami Orhei L 0-137.9 1210 1360 22.91% 19.50% 57.58%-0.78 -11.3 11
2020-09-26 @ Speranta Nisporeni W 1-037.9 1360 1210 57.58% 19.50% 22.91%+0.78 +11.2 26
2020-09-27 Zimbru W 2-030.0 1392 1017 76.26% 17.05% 6.68%+2.21 +6.5 25
2020-09-27 @ Sfintul Gheorghe L 0-230.0 1017 1392 6.68% 17.05% 76.26%-2.21 -6.5 5
2020-09-28 Codru Lozova W 6-023.7 1644 884 87.86% 11.25% 0.89%+4.41 +2.2 33
2020-09-28 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-623.7 884 1644 0.89% 11.25% 87.86%-4.41 -2.2 2
2020-09-28 Floresti W 4-028.2 1440 1090 75.05% 17.37% 7.58%+2.07 +14.1 26
2020-09-28 @ Petrocub Hincesti L 0-428.2 1090 1440 7.58% 17.37% 75.05%-2.07 -14.1 8
2020-10-02 Petrocub Hincesti L 1-431.2 882 1454 2.77% 14.59% 82.64%-3.19 -3.2 2
2020-10-02 @ Codru Lozova W 4-131.2 1454 882 82.64% 14.59% 2.77%+3.19 +3.2 29
2020-10-02 Sfintul Gheorghe D 1-157.0 1372 1398 38.22% 19.88% 41.90%-0.08 +0.3 27
2020-10-02 @ Milsami Orhei D 1-157.0 1398 1372 41.90% 19.88% 38.22%+0.08 -0.3 26
2020-10-03 Dacia Buiucani W 1-049.4 1076 1285 17.46% 19.12% 63.43%-1.12 +27.1 11
2020-10-03 @ Floresti L 0-149.4 1285 1076 63.43% 19.12% 17.46%+1.12 -27.1 16
2020-10-03 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-426.2 1011 1646 2.00% 13.61% 84.39%-3.55 -3.5 5
2020-10-03 @ Zimbru W 4-026.2 1646 1011 84.39% 13.61% 2.00%+3.55 +3.5 36
2020-10-04 Speranta Nisporeni D 3-363.2 1258 1199 50.03% 19.78% 30.19%+0.41 -1.2 18
2020-10-04 @ Dinamo-Auto D 3-363.2 1199 1258 30.19% 19.78% 50.03%-0.41 +1.2 12
2020-10-16 Floresti D 0-050.3 1200 1103 54.63% 19.64% 25.74%+0.63 -3.2 13
2020-10-16 @ Speranta Nisporeni D 0-050.3 1103 1200 25.74% 19.64% 54.63%-0.63 +3.2 12
2020-10-16 Zimbru L 0-236.1 879 1007 25.24% 19.62% 55.14%-0.66 -23.1 2
2020-10-16 @ Codru Lozova W 2-036.1 1007 879 55.14% 19.62% 25.24%+0.66 +23.1 8
2020-10-17 Dinamo-Auto D 1-155.5 1398 1257 59.56% 19.40% 21.05%+0.88 -3.9 27
2020-10-17 @ Sfintul Gheorghe D 1-155.5 1257 1398 21.05% 19.40% 59.56%-0.88 +3.9 19
2020-10-17 Milsami Orhei W 1-044.0 1649 1372 70.87% 18.22% 10.91%+1.66 +5.7 39
2020-10-17 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-144.0 1372 1649 10.91% 18.22% 70.87%-1.66 -5.7 27
2020-10-18 Petrocub Hincesti D 0-052.5 1258 1457 18.27% 19.19% 62.54%-1.06 +5.1 17
2020-10-18 @ Dacia Buiucani D 0-052.5 1457 1258 62.54% 19.19% 18.27%+1.06 -5.1 30
2020-10-20 Sfintul Gheorghe L 1-435.4 1107 1394 11.91% 18.41% 69.68%-1.56 -14.2 12
2020-10-20 @ Floresti W 4-135.4 1394 1107 69.68% 18.41% 11.91%+1.56 +14.2 30
2020-10-20 Sheriff Tiraspol L 1-243.2 1260 1655 6.95% 17.15% 75.90%-2.17 -3.4 19
2020-10-20 @ Dinamo-Auto W 2-143.2 1655 1260 75.90% 17.15% 6.95%+2.17 +3.4 42
2020-10-20 Zimbru W 2-030.6 1366 1030 74.32% 17.55% 8.13%+1.99 +8.0 30
2020-10-20 @ Milsami Orhei L 0-230.6 1030 1366 8.13% 17.55% 74.32%-1.99 -8.0 8
2020-10-21 Dacia Buiucani L 0-131.5 855 1263 6.50% 16.98% 76.52%-2.25 -3.4 2
2020-10-21 @ Codru Lozova W 1-031.5 1263 855 76.52% 16.98% 6.50%+2.25 +3.4 20
2020-10-21 Speranta Nisporeni W 2-033.2 1452 1197 69.39% 18.45% 12.16%+1.54 +11.9 33
2020-10-21 @ Petrocub Hincesti L 0-233.2 1197 1452 12.16% 18.45% 69.39%-1.54 -11.9 13
2020-10-24 Floresti W 5-027.3 1659 1092 83.26% 14.26% 2.48%+3.31 +5.4 45
2020-10-24 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-527.3 1092 1659 2.48% 14.26% 83.26%-3.31 -5.4 12
2020-10-24 Milsami Orhei L 1-431.6 852 1374 3.60% 15.35% 81.04%-2.90 -4.2 2
2020-10-24 @ Codru Lozova W 4-131.6 1374 852 81.04% 15.35% 3.60%+2.90 +4.2 33
2020-10-25 Dacia Buiucani D 0-050.5 1185 1267 30.83% 19.79% 49.38%-0.39 +2.0 14
2020-10-25 @ Speranta Nisporeni D 0-050.5 1267 1185 49.38% 19.79% 30.83%+0.39 -2.0 21
2020-10-25 Dinamo-Auto D 0-050.5 1022 1257 15.43% 18.91% 65.67%-1.26 +5.8 9
2020-10-25 @ Zimbru D 0-050.5 1257 1022 65.67% 18.91% 15.43%+1.26 -5.8 20
2020-10-25 Petrocub Hincesti L 0-441.9 1408 1464 34.19% 19.85% 45.96%-0.24 -56.5 30
2020-10-25 @ Sfintul Gheorghe W 4-041.9 1464 1408 45.96% 19.85% 34.19%+0.24 +56.5 36
2020-10-31 Codru Lozova W 3-028.8 1187 848 74.48% 17.51% 8.01%+2.01 +11.4 17
2020-10-31 @ Speranta Nisporeni L 0-328.8 848 1187 8.01% 17.51% 74.48%-2.01 -11.4 2
2020-10-31 Milsami Orhei D 1-155.2 1251 1378 25.40% 19.62% 54.98%-0.65 +2.9 21
2020-10-31 @ Dinamo-Auto D 1-155.2 1378 1251 54.98% 19.62% 25.40%+0.65 -2.9 34
2020-11-01 Sfintul Gheorghe L 0-436.2 1265 1352 30.13% 19.78% 50.09%-0.42 -50.9 21
2020-11-01 @ Dacia Buiucani W 4-036.2 1352 1265 50.09% 19.78% 30.13%+0.42 +50.9 33
2020-11-01 Sheriff Tiraspol W 1-063.4 1521 1664 23.67% 19.54% 56.79%-0.74 +24.4 39
2020-11-01 @ Petrocub Hincesti L 0-163.4 1664 1521 56.79% 19.54% 23.67%+0.74 -24.4 45
2020-11-02 Zimbru W 1-039.5 1087 1028 49.99% 19.78% 30.24%+0.41 +14.3 15
2020-11-02 @ Floresti L 0-139.5 1028 1087 30.24% 19.78% 49.99%-0.41 -14.3 9
2020-11-06 Floresti W 3-030.3 1376 1101 70.66% 18.26% 11.08%+1.64 +15.7 37
2020-11-06 @ Milsami Orhei L 0-330.3 1101 1376 11.08% 18.26% 70.66%-1.64 -15.7 15
2020-11-06 Petrocub Hincesti L 0-130.8 1014 1545 3.44% 15.22% 81.35%-2.95 -1.7 9
2020-11-06 @ Zimbru W 1-030.8 1545 1014 81.35% 15.22% 3.44%+2.95 +1.7 42
2020-11-06 Speranta Nisporeni W 1-035.8 1403 1198 65.44% 18.93% 15.63%+1.24 +8.0 36
2020-11-06 @ Sfintul Gheorghe L 0-135.8 1198 1403 15.63% 18.93% 65.44%-1.24 -8.0 17
2020-11-07 Dacia Buiucani D 0-056.2 1640 1214 78.51% 16.35% 5.13%+2.51 -8.8 46
2020-11-07 @ Sheriff Tiraspol D 0-056.2 1214 1640 5.13% 16.35% 78.51%-2.51 +8.9 22
2020-11-08 Dinamo-Auto L 1-432.7 836 1254 6.17% 16.85% 76.98%-2.31 -7.4 2
2020-11-08 @ Codru Lozova W 4-132.7 1254 836 76.98% 16.85% 6.17%+2.31 +7.4 24
2020-11-20 Dacia Buiucani L 1-338.6 1012 1222 17.35% 19.11% 63.55%-1.12 -14.3 9
2020-11-20 @ Zimbru W 3-138.6 1222 1012 63.55% 19.11% 17.35%+1.12 +14.3 25
2020-11-20 Floresti W 2-140.3 1262 1085 62.95% 19.16% 17.89%+1.08 +8.5 27
2020-11-20 @ Dinamo-Auto L 1-240.3 1085 1262 17.89% 19.16% 62.95%-1.08 -8.5 15
2020-11-21 Sfintul Gheorghe D 0-051.9 829 1411 2.65% 14.45% 82.91%-3.24 +9.6 3
2020-11-21 @ Codru Lozova D 0-051.9 1411 829 82.91% 14.45% 2.65%+3.24 -9.6 37
2020-11-21 Speranta Nisporeni W 3-031.6 1631 1190 79.09% 16.15% 4.77%+2.59 +6.7 49
2020-11-21 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-331.6 1190 1631 4.77% 16.15% 79.09%-2.59 -6.7 17
2020-11-22 Petrocub Hincesti L 1-347.8 1391 1547 22.38% 19.48% 58.15%-0.81 -18.0 37
2020-11-22 @ Milsami Orhei W 3-147.8 1547 1391 58.15% 19.48% 22.38%+0.81 +18.0 45
2020-11-24 Floresti W 2-154.4 839 1077 15.17% 18.88% 65.95%-1.28 +26.6 6
2020-11-24 @ Codru Lozova L 1-254.4 1077 839 65.95% 18.88% 15.17%+1.28 -26.6 15
2020-11-25 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-244.4 1401 1637 15.30% 18.89% 65.80%-1.27 -14.7 37
2020-11-25 @ Sfintul Gheorghe W 2-044.4 1637 1401 65.80% 18.89% 15.30%+1.27 +14.7 52
2020-11-25 Zimbru D 2-259.1 1184 998 63.83% 19.08% 17.09%+1.14 -3.6 18
2020-11-25 @ Speranta Nisporeni D 2-259.1 998 1184 17.09% 19.08% 63.83%-1.14 +3.6 10
2020-11-26 Dinamo-Auto D 1-159.0 1565 1270 71.96% 18.03% 10.01%+1.76 -6.6 46
2020-11-26 @ Petrocub Hincesti D 1-159.0 1270 1565 10.01% 18.03% 71.96%-1.76 +6.6 28
2020-11-26 Milsami Orhei D 0-051.3 1237 1373 24.38% 19.58% 56.04%-0.70 +3.5 26
2020-11-26 @ Dacia Buiucani D 0-051.3 1373 1237 56.04% 19.58% 24.38%+0.70 -3.5 38
2020-11-28 Sheriff Tiraspol L 1-233.2 865 1652 0.90% 11.26% 87.84%-4.41 -0.4 6
2020-11-28 @ Codru Lozova W 2-133.2 1652 865 87.84% 11.26% 0.90%+4.41 +0.4 55
2020-11-29 Dacia Buiucani D 1-154.5 1277 1240 47.05% 19.84% 33.11%+0.28 -1.3 29
2020-11-29 @ Dinamo-Auto D 1-154.5 1240 1277 33.11% 19.84% 47.05%-0.28 +1.3 27
2020-11-29 Petrocub Hincesti L 0-131.3 1050 1558 3.88% 15.56% 80.56%-2.82 -2.0 15
2020-11-29 @ Floresti W 1-031.3 1558 1050 80.56% 15.56% 3.88%+2.82 +2.0 49
2020-11-29 Sfintul Gheorghe L 2-341.2 1001 1386 7.30% 17.28% 75.42%-2.12 -3.4 10
2020-11-29 @ Zimbru W 3-241.2 1386 1001 75.42% 17.28% 7.30%+2.12 +3.4 40
2021-02-20 Sfintul Gheorghe W 4-146.4 1653 1390 69.89% 18.38% 11.74%+1.58 +14.0 58
2021-02-20 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 1-446.4 1390 1653 11.74% 18.38% 69.89%-1.58 -14.0 40
2021-02-20 Speranta Nisporeni W 3-032.6 1370 1180 64.18% 19.05% 16.77%+1.16 +23.3 41
2021-02-20 @ Milsami Orhei L 0-332.6 1180 1370 16.77% 19.05% 64.18%-1.16 -23.3 18
2021-02-23 Floresti D 2-259.2 1242 1048 64.49% 19.02% 16.49%+1.18 -3.7 28
2021-02-23 @ Dacia Buiucani D 2-259.2 1048 1242 16.49% 19.02% 64.49%-1.18 +3.7 16
2021-02-23 Petrocub Hincesti L 1-925.1 865 1560 1.46% 12.67% 85.87%-3.89 -3.9 6
2021-02-23 @ Codru Lozova W 9-125.1 1560 865 85.87% 12.67% 1.46%+3.89 +3.9 52
2021-02-24 Dinamo-Auto L 0-434.2 1157 1275 26.37% 19.66% 53.96%-0.60 -45.5 18
2021-02-24 @ Speranta Nisporeni W 4-034.2 1275 1157 53.96% 19.66% 26.37%+0.60 +45.5 32
2021-02-24 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-426.0 998 1667 1.68% 13.09% 85.23%-3.74 -2.9 10
2021-02-24 @ Zimbru W 4-026.0 1667 998 85.23% 13.09% 1.68%+3.74 +2.9 61
2021-02-25 Milsami Orhei L 1-348.4 1376 1393 39.54% 19.89% 40.57%-0.02 -29.1 40
2021-02-25 @ Sfintul Gheorghe W 3-148.4 1393 1376 40.57% 19.89% 39.54%+0.02 +29.0 44
2021-02-27 Dacia Buiucani W 4-137.4 1564 1238 73.80% 17.66% 8.54%+1.94 +10.3 55
2021-02-27 @ Petrocub Hincesti L 1-437.4 1238 1564 8.54% 17.66% 73.80%-1.94 -10.3 28
2021-02-28 Codru Lozova W 2-141.4 995 861 58.81% 19.44% 21.75%+0.84 +10.1 13
2021-02-28 @ Zimbru L 1-241.4 861 995 21.75% 19.44% 58.81%-0.84 -10.1 6
2021-02-28 Speranta Nisporeni D 4-465.1 1052 1111 33.75% 19.84% 46.41%-0.26 +0.7 17
2021-02-28 @ Floresti D 4-465.1 1111 1052 46.41% 19.84% 33.75%+0.26 -0.7 19
2021-03-01 Sfintul Gheorghe L 0-241.7 1321 1347 38.35% 19.88% 41.77%-0.07 -32.7 32
2021-03-01 @ Dinamo-Auto W 2-041.7 1347 1321 41.77% 19.88% 38.35%+0.07 +32.7 43
2021-03-01 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-147.8 1422 1670 14.51% 18.80% 66.69%-1.33 -7.4 44
2021-03-01 @ Milsami Orhei W 1-047.8 1670 1422 66.69% 18.80% 14.51%+1.33 +7.4 64
2021-03-06 Dacia Buiucani L 1-531.6 851 1228 7.60% 17.38% 75.02%-2.07 -11.8 6
2021-03-06 @ Codru Lozova W 5-131.6 1228 851 75.02% 17.38% 7.60%+2.07 +11.8 31
2021-03-06 Dinamo-Auto W 7-035.1 1677 1288 76.92% 16.86% 6.21%+2.30 +19.5 67
2021-03-06 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-735.1 1288 1677 6.21% 16.86% 76.92%-2.30 -19.5 32
2021-03-07 Milsami Orhei L 1-236.3 1005 1415 6.44% 16.96% 76.60%-2.26 -3.2 13
2021-03-07 @ Zimbru W 2-136.3 1415 1005 76.60% 16.96% 6.44%+2.26 +3.1 47
2021-03-07 Petrocub Hincesti L 1-335.6 1111 1574 4.87% 16.21% 78.92%-2.57 -4.1 19
2021-03-07 @ Speranta Nisporeni W 3-135.6 1574 1111 78.92% 16.21% 4.87%+2.57 +4.1 58
2021-03-08 Floresti W 3-241.8 1379 1053 73.82% 17.66% 8.52%+1.94 +4.0 46
2021-03-08 @ Sfintul Gheorghe L 2-341.8 1053 1379 8.52% 17.66% 73.82%-1.94 -4.0 17
2021-03-12 Codru Lozova W 7-229.2 1418 839 83.62% 14.06% 2.32%+3.38 +3.5 50
2021-03-12 @ Milsami Orhei L 2-729.2 839 1418 2.32% 14.06% 83.62%-3.38 -3.5 6
2021-03-12 Zimbru W 3-030.2 1269 1002 70.13% 18.34% 11.53%+1.60 +16.4 35
2021-03-12 @ Dinamo-Auto L 0-330.2 1002 1269 11.53% 18.34% 70.13%-1.60 -16.3 13
2021-03-13 Sfintul Gheorghe W 2-041.9 1579 1383 64.66% 19.01% 16.33%+1.19 +15.6 61
2021-03-13 @ Petrocub Hincesti L 0-241.9 1383 1579 16.33% 19.01% 64.66%-1.19 -15.6 46
2021-03-13 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-626.6 1049 1696 1.87% 13.42% 84.71%-3.62 -4.8 17
2021-03-13 @ Floresti W 6-026.6 1696 1049 84.71% 13.42% 1.87%+3.62 +4.8 70
2021-03-14 Speranta Nisporeni W 4-138.4 1239 1106 58.68% 19.45% 21.87%+0.84 +25.0 34
2021-03-14 @ Dacia Buiucani L 1-438.4 1106 1239 21.87% 19.45% 58.68%-0.84 -25.0 19
2021-03-19 Dacia Buiucani W 2-037.3 1368 1264 55.40% 19.61% 24.99%+0.67 +22.9 49
2021-03-19 @ Sfintul Gheorghe L 0-237.3 1264 1368 24.99% 19.61% 55.40%-0.67 -22.9 34
2021-03-19 Dinamo-Auto D 2-261.0 1421 1285 59.04% 19.43% 21.53%+0.86 -2.8 51
2021-03-19 @ Milsami Orhei D 2-261.0 1285 1421 21.53% 19.43% 59.04%-0.86 +2.8 36
2021-03-19 Petrocub Hincesti D 0-068.3 1701 1594 55.83% 19.59% 24.58%+0.69 -3.5 71
2021-03-19 @ Sheriff Tiraspol D 0-068.3 1594 1701 24.58% 19.59% 55.83%-0.69 +3.5 62
2021-04-11 Codru Lozova W 1-030.6 1288 835 79.54% 15.98% 4.48%+2.66 +2.3 39
2021-04-11 @ Dinamo-Auto L 0-130.6 835 1288 4.48% 15.98% 79.54%-2.66 -2.3 6
2021-04-11 Sfintul Gheorghe L 0-330.2 1082 1391 10.71% 18.18% 71.11%-1.69 -15.2 19
2021-04-11 @ Speranta Nisporeni W 3-030.2 1391 1082 71.11% 18.18% 10.71%+1.69 +15.2 52
2021-04-11 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-434.3 1242 1698 5.07% 16.32% 78.62%-2.53 -9.3 34
2021-04-11 @ Dacia Buiucani W 4-034.3 1698 1242 78.62% 16.32% 5.07%+2.53 +9.3 74
2021-04-12 Milsami Orhei L 2-536.8 1044 1419 7.69% 17.41% 74.90%-2.06 -8.0 17
2021-04-12 @ Floresti W 5-236.8 1419 1044 74.90% 17.41% 7.69%+2.06 +8.0 54
2021-04-12 Zimbru W 3-026.6 1598 986 84.50% 13.54% 1.95%+3.57 +2.6 65
2021-04-12 @ Petrocub Hincesti L 0-326.6 986 1598 1.95% 13.54% 84.50%-3.57 -2.6 13
2021-04-15 Dinamo-Auto W 4-151.7 1036 1290 14.05% 18.73% 67.22%-1.37 +66.4 20
2021-04-15 @ Floresti L 1-451.7 1290 1036 67.22% 18.73% 14.05%+1.37 -66.4 39
2021-04-15 Sfintul Gheorghe L 1-234.3 833 1406 2.77% 14.59% 82.64%-3.19 -1.3 6
2021-04-15 @ Codru Lozova W 2-134.3 1406 833 82.64% 14.59% 2.77%+3.19 +1.3 55
2021-04-16 Milsami Orhei D 1-165.2 1600 1427 62.73% 19.17% 18.09%+1.07 -4.6 66
2021-04-16 @ Petrocub Hincesti D 1-165.2 1427 1600 18.09% 19.17% 62.73%-1.07 +4.6 55
2021-04-16 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-1027.5 1066 1707 1.94% 13.53% 84.53%-3.58 -8.1 19
2021-04-16 @ Speranta Nisporeni W 10-027.5 1707 1066 84.53% 13.53% 1.94%+3.58 +8.1 77
2021-04-16 Zimbru D 1-154.4 1232 983 68.92% 18.52% 12.57%+1.50 -5.9 35
2021-04-16 @ Dacia Buiucani D 1-154.4 983 1232 12.57% 18.52% 68.92%-1.50 +5.9 14
2021-04-23 Codru Lozova W 2-137.9 1102 832 70.40% 18.30% 11.30%+1.62 +5.5 23
2021-04-23 @ Floresti L 1-237.9 832 1102 11.30% 18.30% 70.40%-1.62 -5.5 6
2021-04-23 Petrocub Hincesti D 0-055.0 1224 1596 7.79% 17.44% 74.77%-2.05 +8.0 40
2021-04-23 @ Dinamo-Auto D 0-055.0 1596 1224 74.77% 17.44% 7.79%+2.05 -8.0 67
2021-04-23 Speranta Nisporeni W 6-039.7 989 1058 32.43% 19.82% 47.75%-0.32 +109.0 17
2021-04-23 @ Zimbru L 0-639.7 1058 989 47.75% 19.82% 32.43%+0.32 -109.0 19
2021-04-24 Dacia Buiucani W 3-032.9 1431 1226 65.48% 18.93% 15.60%+1.25 +21.8 58
2021-04-24 @ Milsami Orhei L 0-332.9 1226 1431 15.60% 18.93% 65.48%-1.25 -21.8 35
2021-04-24 Sfintul Gheorghe W 2-045.1 1715 1407 72.76% 17.88% 9.36%+1.83 +9.2 80
2021-04-24 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-245.1 1407 1715 9.36% 17.88% 72.76%-1.83 -9.2 55
2021-04-26 Speranta Nisporeni L 1-242.7 826 949 25.89% 19.64% 54.47%-0.62 -11.8 6
2021-04-26 @ Codru Lozova W 2-142.7 949 826 54.47% 19.64% 25.89%+0.62 +11.8 22
2021-04-27 Floresti W 3-039.0 1098 1108 40.64% 19.89% 39.47%+0.02 +48.6 20
2021-04-27 @ Zimbru L 0-339.0 1108 1098 39.47% 19.89% 40.64%-0.02 -48.6 23
2021-04-29 Dinamo-Auto W 2-147.8 1204 1232 38.15% 19.88% 41.97%-0.08 +17.6 38
2021-04-29 @ Dacia Buiucani L 1-247.8 1232 1204 41.97% 19.88% 38.15%+0.08 -17.6 40
2021-04-29 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-623.0 815 1724 0.46% 9.46% 90.07%-5.11 -1.1 6
2021-04-29 @ Codru Lozova W 6-023.0 1724 815 90.07% 9.46% 0.46%+5.11 +1.1 83
2021-04-30 Floresti W 4-026.8 1588 1059 82.14% 14.84% 3.02%+3.09 +5.4 70
2021-04-30 @ Petrocub Hincesti L 0-426.8 1059 1588 3.02% 14.84% 82.14%-3.09 -5.4 23
2021-04-30 Milsami Orhei L 0-426.4 961 1453 4.22% 15.80% 79.98%-2.73 -7.7 22
2021-04-30 @ Speranta Nisporeni W 4-026.4 1453 961 79.98% 15.80% 4.22%+2.73 +7.7 61
2021-04-30 Zimbru W 4-346.7 1398 1147 69.07% 18.50% 12.44%+1.51 +5.6 58
2021-04-30 @ Sfintul Gheorghe L 3-446.7 1147 1398 12.44% 18.50% 69.07%-1.51 -5.6 20
2021-05-07 Codru Lozova W 1-028.2 1593 813 88.24% 10.95% 0.80%+4.52 +0.4 73
2021-05-07 @ Petrocub Hincesti L 0-128.2 813 1593 0.80% 10.95% 88.24%-4.52 -0.4 6
2021-05-07 Dacia Buiucani W 2-046.4 1054 1222 21.12% 19.40% 59.48%-0.88 +48.0 26
2021-05-07 @ Floresti L 0-246.4 1222 1054 59.48% 19.40% 21.12%+0.88 -48.0 38
2021-05-07 Speranta Nisporeni D 0-050.7 1214 953 69.74% 18.40% 11.86%+1.56 -6.8 41
2021-05-07 @ Dinamo-Auto D 0-050.7 953 1214 11.86% 18.40% 69.74%-1.56 +6.8 23
2021-05-08 Sfintul Gheorghe W 2-149.4 1461 1403 49.77% 19.78% 30.44%+0.40 +13.5 64
2021-05-08 @ Milsami Orhei L 1-249.4 1403 1461 30.44% 19.78% 49.77%-0.40 -13.5 58
2021-05-08 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-134.9 1141 1725 2.61% 14.40% 82.99%-3.26 -1.3 20
2021-05-08 @ Zimbru W 1-034.9 1725 1141 82.99% 14.40% 2.61%+3.26 +1.3 86
2021-05-11 Floresti L 1-340.6 960 1102 23.83% 19.55% 56.62%-0.73 -19.0 23
2021-05-11 @ Speranta Nisporeni W 3-140.6 1102 960 56.62% 19.55% 23.83%+0.73 +19.0 29
2021-05-11 Petrocub Hincesti L 1-238.8 1174 1594 6.12% 16.82% 77.06%-2.32 -3.0 38
2021-05-11 @ Dacia Buiucani W 2-138.8 1594 1174 77.06% 16.82% 6.12%+2.32 +3.0 76
2021-05-12 Dinamo-Auto W 3-139.4 1390 1207 63.55% 19.11% 17.34%+1.12 +14.3 61
2021-05-12 @ Sfintul Gheorghe L 1-339.4 1207 1390 17.34% 19.11% 63.55%-1.12 -14.3 41
2021-05-12 Milsami Orhei W 6-045.1 1727 1474 69.17% 18.48% 12.35%+1.52 +33.4 89
2021-05-12 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-645.1 1474 1727 12.35% 18.48% 69.17%-1.52 -33.4 64
2021-05-12 Zimbru L 1-532.5 813 1140 9.80% 17.98% 72.22%-1.79 -15.2 6
2021-05-12 @ Codru Lozova W 5-132.5 1140 813 72.22% 17.98% 9.80%+1.79 +15.2 23
2021-05-15 Codru Lozova W 4-027.3 1171 798 76.20% 17.07% 6.73%+2.21 +12.5 41
2021-05-15 @ Dacia Buiucani L 0-427.3 798 1171 6.73% 17.07% 76.20%-2.21 -12.5 6
2021-05-15 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-733.0 1193 1760 2.85% 14.67% 82.48%-3.16 -8.7 41
2021-05-15 @ Dinamo-Auto W 7-033.0 1760 1193 82.48% 14.67% 2.85%+3.16 +8.6 92
2021-05-15 Zimbru W 2-138.5 1441 1155 71.39% 18.13% 10.47%+1.71 +5.1 67
2021-05-15 @ Milsami Orhei L 1-238.5 1155 1441 10.47% 18.13% 71.39%-1.71 -5.1 23
2021-05-16 Speranta Nisporeni FW50.8 1596 941 85.58% 12.87% 1.56%+3.82 +0.0 79
2021-05-16 @ Petrocub Hincesti FL50.8 941 1596 1.56% 12.87% 85.58%-3.82 +0.0 23
2021-05-16 Sfintul Gheorghe L 0-429.9 1121 1404 12.16% 18.45% 69.40%-1.54 -22.5 29
2021-05-16 @ Floresti W 4-029.9 1404 1121 69.40% 18.45% 12.16%+1.54 +22.5 64
2021-05-18 Dinamo-Auto D 1-154.1 1150 1184 37.13% 19.88% 42.99%-0.12 +0.6 24
2021-05-18 @ Zimbru D 1-154.1 1184 1150 42.99% 19.88% 37.13%+0.12 -0.5 42
2021-05-18 Milsami Orhei L 2-436.1 785 1446 1.75% 13.22% 85.03%-3.69 -1.2 6
2021-05-18 @ Codru Lozova W 4-236.1 1446 785 85.03% 13.22% 1.75%+3.69 +1.2 70
2021-05-19 Dacia Buiucani FL48.5 941 1184 14.87% 18.84% 66.29%-1.31 +0.0 23
2021-05-19 @ Speranta Nisporeni FW48.5 1184 941 66.29% 18.84% 14.87%+1.31 +0.0 44
2021-05-19 Floresti W 3-030.8 1769 1098 85.94% 12.63% 1.44%+3.90 +1.9 95
2021-05-19 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-330.8 1098 1769 1.44% 12.63% 85.94%-3.90 -1.9 29
2021-05-19 Petrocub Hincesti L 0-344.1 1427 1596 20.98% 19.39% 59.63%-0.89 -28.5 64
2021-05-19 @ Sfintul Gheorghe W 3-044.1 1596 1427 59.63% 19.39% 20.98%+0.89 +28.5 82
2021-05-22 Codru Lozova FL48.3 941 784 61.13% 19.29% 19.58%+0.97 +0.0 23
2021-05-22 @ Speranta Nisporeni FW48.3 784 941 19.58% 19.29% 61.13%-0.97 +0.0 9
2021-05-22 Milsami Orhei W 2-049.8 1184 1447 13.42% 18.65% 67.93%-1.43 +54.8 45
2021-05-22 @ Dinamo-Auto L 0-249.8 1447 1184 67.93% 18.65% 13.42%+1.43 -54.8 70
2021-05-22 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-156.4 1625 1771 23.40% 19.53% 57.07%-0.75 -11.5 82
2021-05-22 @ Petrocub Hincesti W 1-056.4 1771 1625 57.07% 19.53% 23.40%+0.75 +11.5 98
2021-05-23 Sfintul Gheorghe W 1-050.2 1184 1398 16.99% 19.07% 63.94%-1.15 +27.3 47
2021-05-23 @ Dacia Buiucani L 0-150.2 1398 1184 63.94% 19.07% 16.99%+1.15 -27.3 64
2021-05-23 Zimbru W 3-147.3 1096 1150 34.46% 19.85% 45.69%-0.23 +32.7 32
2021-05-23 @ Floresti L 1-347.3 1150 1096 45.69% 19.85% 34.46%+0.23 -32.7 24
2021-05-26 Speranta Nisporeni FW49.3 1371 941 78.67% 16.30% 5.04%+2.53 +0.0 67
2021-05-26 @ Sfintul Gheorghe FL49.3 941 1371 5.04% 16.30% 78.67%-2.53 +0.0 23
2021-05-26 Dacia Buiucani D 1-165.4 1782 1211 83.40% 14.18% 2.42%+3.34 -8.7 99
2021-05-26 @ Sheriff Tiraspol D 1-165.4 1211 1782 2.42% 14.18% 83.40%-3.34 +8.7 48
2021-05-26 Dinamo-Auto L 0-229.1 784 1238 5.12% 16.34% 78.54%-2.51 -5.0 9
2021-05-26 @ Codru Lozova W 2-029.1 1238 784 78.54% 16.34% 5.12%+2.51 +5.0 48
2021-05-26 Floresti W 3-243.2 1392 1129 69.91% 18.37% 11.72%+1.58 +5.4 73
2021-05-26 @ Milsami Orhei L 2-343.2 1129 1392 11.72% 18.37% 69.91%-1.58 -5.4 32
2021-05-26 Petrocub Hincesti D 0-053.8 1118 1614 4.13% 15.74% 80.13%-2.75 +9.2 25
2021-05-26 @ Zimbru D 0-053.8 1614 1118 80.13% 15.74% 4.13%+2.75 -9.1 83

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2021-05-22 13.42% @ Dinamo-Auto 1184 2 Milsami Orhei 1447 0
2 2021-04-15 14.05% @ Floresti 1036 4 Dinamo-Auto 1290 1
3 2020-11-24 15.17% @ Codru Lozova 839 2 Floresti 1077 1
4 2021-05-23 16.99% @ Dacia Buiucani 1184 1 Sfintul Gheorghe 1398 0
5 2020-10-03 17.46% @ Floresti 1076 1 Dacia Buiucani 1285 0
6 2020-07-31 18.53% Speranta Nisporeni 1133 3 @ Dacia Buiucani 1301 0
7 2020-09-19 20.00% Milsami Orhei 1314 2 @ Petrocub Hincesti 1467 1
8 2021-05-07 21.12% @ Floresti 1054 2 Dacia Buiucani 1222 0
9 2020-09-26 23.08% @ Dacia Buiucani 1197 4 Dinamo-Auto 1346 0
10 2020-11-01 23.67% @ Petrocub Hincesti 1521 1 Sheriff Tiraspol 1664 0
11 2021-04-23 32.43% @ Zimbru 989 6 Speranta Nisporeni 1058 0
12 2020-08-05 34.25% @ Milsami Orhei 1238 1 Dinamo-Auto 1293 0
13 2021-05-23 34.46% @ Floresti 1096 3 Zimbru 1150 1
14 2020-07-23 36.46% Sfintul Gheorghe 1344 1 @ Dinamo-Auto 1355 0
15 2021-04-29 38.15% @ Dacia Buiucani 1204 2 Dinamo-Auto 1232 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2021-04-23 109.01 @ Zimbru 6 989 32.43% Speranta Nisporeni 0 1058 47.75% 19.82%
2 2020-09-26 88.09 @ Dacia Buiucani 4 1197 23.08% Dinamo-Auto 0 1346 57.41% 19.51%
3 2020-07-31 72.94 Speranta Nisporeni 3 1133 18.53% @ Dacia Buiucani 0 1301 62.26% 19.21%
4 2021-04-15 66.37 @ Floresti 4 1036 14.05% Dinamo-Auto 1 1290 67.22% 18.73%
5 2020-10-25 56.55 Petrocub Hincesti 4 1464 45.96% @ Sfintul Gheorghe 0 1408 34.19% 19.85%
6 2020-09-13 56.48 Milsami Orhei 4 1258 46.01% @ Floresti 0 1202 34.14% 19.85%
7 2021-05-22 54.76 @ Dinamo-Auto 2 1184 13.42% Milsami Orhei 0 1447 67.93% 18.65%
8 2020-11-01 50.92 Sfintul Gheorghe 4 1352 50.09% @ Dacia Buiucani 0 1265 30.13% 19.78%
9 2020-09-18 49.98 Dinamo-Auto 5 1294 57.38% @ Floresti 0 1145 23.11% 19.52%
10 2021-04-27 48.65 @ Zimbru 3 1098 40.64% Floresti 0 1108 39.47% 19.89%
11 2021-05-07 48.04 @ Floresti 2 1054 21.12% Dacia Buiucani 0 1222 59.48% 19.40%
12 2020-07-13 47.50 @ Milsami Orhei 3 1198 41.80% Speranta Nisporeni 0 1199 38.32% 19.88%
13 2020-07-11 47.13 Petrocub Hincesti 4 1382 52.80% @ Floresti 0 1273 27.50% 19.70%
14 2021-02-24 45.48 Dinamo-Auto 4 1275 53.96% @ Speranta Nisporeni 0 1157 26.37% 19.66%
15 2020-07-26 37.24 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 6 1565 67.45% Dinamo-Auto 0 1336 13.84% 18.71%
16 2021-05-12 33.41 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 6 1727 69.17% Milsami Orhei 0 1474 12.35% 18.48%
17 2021-03-01 32.73 Sfintul Gheorghe 2 1347 41.77% @ Dinamo-Auto 0 1321 38.35% 19.88%
18 2021-05-23 32.73 @ Floresti 3 1096 34.46% Zimbru 1 1150 45.69% 19.85%
19 2021-02-25 29.05 Milsami Orhei 3 1393 40.57% @ Sfintul Gheorghe 1 1376 39.54% 19.89%
20 2020-07-08 28.78 @ Petrocub Hincesti 3 1353 41.03% Dinamo-Auto 1 1360 39.08% 19.89%
21 2021-05-19 28.51 Petrocub Hincesti 3 1596 59.63% @ Sfintul Gheorghe 0 1427 20.98% 19.39%
22 2021-05-23 27.34 @ Dacia Buiucani 1 1184 16.99% Sfintul Gheorghe 0 1398 63.94% 19.07%
23 2020-07-18 27.15 @ Dacia Buiucani 2 1282 49.66% Floresti 0 1225 30.56% 19.79%
24 2020-10-03 27.13 @ Floresti 1 1076 17.46% Dacia Buiucani 0 1285 63.43% 19.12%
25 2020-11-24 26.59 @ Codru Lozova 2 839 15.17% Floresti 1 1077 65.95% 18.88%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2021-03-19 68.3 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 0 1701 55.83% Petrocub Hincesti 0 1594 24.58% 19.59%
2 2021-05-26 65.4 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 1 1782 83.40% Dacia Buiucani 1 1211 2.42% 14.18%
3 2021-04-16 65.2 @ Petrocub Hincesti 1 1600 62.73% Milsami Orhei 1 1427 18.09% 19.17%
4 2021-02-28 65.1 @ Floresti 4 1052 33.75% Speranta Nisporeni 4 1111 46.41% 19.84%
5 2020-11-01 63.4 @ Petrocub Hincesti 1 1521 23.67% Sheriff Tiraspol 0 1664 56.79% 19.54%
6 2020-10-04 63.2 @ Dinamo-Auto 3 1258 50.03% Speranta Nisporeni 3 1199 30.19% 19.78%
7 2021-03-19 61.0 @ Milsami Orhei 2 1421 59.04% Dinamo-Auto 2 1285 21.53% 19.43%
8 2020-09-20 60.3 @ Codru Lozova 2 873 3.55% Sfintul Gheorghe 2 1398 81.14% 15.31%
9 2021-02-23 59.2 @ Dacia Buiucani 2 1242 64.49% Floresti 2 1048 16.49% 19.02%
10 2020-11-25 59.1 @ Speranta Nisporeni 2 1184 63.83% Zimbru 2 998 17.09% 19.08%
11 2020-07-09 59.0 @ Speranta Nisporeni 2 1202 57.25% Zimbru 2 1082 23.23% 19.52%
12 2020-11-26 59.0 @ Petrocub Hincesti 1 1565 71.96% Dinamo-Auto 1 1270 10.01% 18.03%
13 2020-09-22 57.3 @ Dinamo-Auto 1 1344 28.72% Petrocub Hincesti 1 1442 51.55% 19.74%
14 2020-10-02 57.0 @ Milsami Orhei 1 1372 38.22% Sfintul Gheorghe 1 1398 41.90% 19.88%
15 2021-05-22 56.4 Sheriff Tiraspol 1 1771 57.07% @ Petrocub Hincesti 0 1625 23.40% 19.53%
16 2020-09-19 56.2 Milsami Orhei 2 1314 20.00% @ Petrocub Hincesti 1 1467 60.68% 19.32%
17 2020-11-07 56.2 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 0 1640 78.51% Dacia Buiucani 0 1214 5.13% 16.35%
18 2020-10-17 55.5 @ Sfintul Gheorghe 1 1398 59.56% Dinamo-Auto 1 1257 21.05% 19.40%
19 2020-10-31 55.2 @ Dinamo-Auto 1 1251 25.40% Milsami Orhei 1 1378 54.98% 19.62%
20 2021-04-23 55.0 @ Dinamo-Auto 0 1224 7.79% Petrocub Hincesti 0 1596 74.77% 17.44%
21 2020-08-02 54.5 @ Dinamo-Auto 1 1299 67.15% Zimbru 1 1073 14.11% 18.74%
22 2020-11-29 54.5 @ Dinamo-Auto 1 1277 47.05% Dacia Buiucani 1 1240 33.11% 19.84%
23 2020-11-24 54.4 @ Codru Lozova 2 839 15.17% Floresti 1 1077 65.95% 18.88%
24 2021-04-16 54.4 @ Dacia Buiucani 1 1232 68.92% Zimbru 1 983 12.57% 18.52%
25 2020-09-24 54.2 @ Codru Lozova 1 879 16.87% Floresti 1 1095 64.07% 19.06%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2021-04-29 23.0 Sheriff Tiraspol 6 1724 90.07% @ Codru Lozova 0 815 0.46% 9.46%
2 2020-09-28 23.7 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 6 1644 87.86% Codru Lozova 0 884 0.89% 11.25%
3 2020-07-11 24.7 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 6 1552 84.06% Codru Lozova 0 956 2.13% 13.81%
4 2021-02-23 25.1 Petrocub Hincesti 9 1560 85.87% @ Codru Lozova 1 865 1.46% 12.67%
5 2020-07-17 25.8 Petrocub Hincesti 7 1429 79.46% @ Codru Lozova 0 951 4.53% 16.01%
6 2021-02-24 26.0 Sheriff Tiraspol 4 1667 85.23% @ Zimbru 0 998 1.68% 13.09%
7 2020-10-03 26.2 Sheriff Tiraspol 4 1646 84.39% @ Zimbru 0 1011 2.00% 13.61%
8 2021-04-30 26.4 Milsami Orhei 4 1453 79.98% @ Speranta Nisporeni 0 961 4.22% 15.80%
9 2020-09-11 26.6 @ Dinamo-Auto 7 1273 76.52% Codru Lozova 0 893 6.50% 16.98%
10 2021-03-13 26.6 Sheriff Tiraspol 6 1696 84.71% @ Floresti 0 1049 1.87% 13.42%
11 2021-04-12 26.6 @ Petrocub Hincesti 3 1598 84.50% Zimbru 0 986 1.95% 13.54%
12 2021-04-30 26.8 @ Petrocub Hincesti 4 1588 82.14% Floresti 0 1059 3.02% 14.84%
13 2020-10-24 27.3 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 5 1659 83.26% Floresti 0 1092 2.48% 14.26%
14 2021-05-15 27.3 @ Dacia Buiucani 4 1171 76.20% Codru Lozova 0 798 6.73% 17.07%
15 2020-07-25 27.4 @ Dacia Buiucani 4 1289 76.03% Codru Lozova 0 919 6.85% 17.12%
16 2021-04-16 27.5 Sheriff Tiraspol 10 1707 84.53% @ Speranta Nisporeni 0 1066 1.94% 13.53%
17 2020-09-28 28.2 @ Petrocub Hincesti 4 1440 75.05% Floresti 0 1090 7.58% 17.37%
18 2021-05-07 28.2 @ Petrocub Hincesti 1 1593 88.24% Codru Lozova 0 813 0.80% 10.95%
19 2020-10-31 28.8 @ Speranta Nisporeni 3 1187 74.48% Codru Lozova 0 848 8.01% 17.51%
20 2021-05-26 29.1 Dinamo-Auto 2 1238 78.54% @ Codru Lozova 0 784 5.12% 16.34%
21 2021-03-12 29.2 @ Milsami Orhei 7 1418 83.62% Codru Lozova 2 839 2.32% 14.06%
22 2020-07-17 29.6 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 2 1557 80.75% Zimbru 0 1071 3.77% 15.48%
23 2020-09-12 29.9 @ Petrocub Hincesti 2 1461 77.78% Zimbru 0 1053 5.62% 16.60%
24 2021-05-16 29.9 Sfintul Gheorghe 4 1404 69.40% @ Floresti 0 1121 12.16% 18.45%
25 2020-09-27 30.0 @ Sfintul Gheorghe 2 1392 76.26% Zimbru 0 1017 6.68% 17.05%