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2006-07 Montenegrin First League Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Zeta

79 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Petrovac

11.44 points above expected

40 points · 28.56 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Kom Podgorica

13.26 points below expected

38 points · 51.26 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Zeta 33 25 4 4 79 65 18 +47 74.65 +4.35
2 Buducnost Podgorica 33 22 10 1 76 58 12 +46 77.55 -1.55
3 Grbalj 33 14 7 12 49 37 30 +7 43.46 +5.54
4 Rudar 33 14 5 14 47 37 32 +5 50.45 -3.45
5 Mogren 33 10 12 11 42 27 27 0 53.04 -11.04
6 Petrovac 33 10 10 13 40 24 37 -13 28.56 +11.44
7 Kom Podgorica 33 9 11 13 38 27 31 -4 51.26 -13.26
8 Mladost Podgorica 33 9 11 13 38 34 49 -15 30.65 +7.35
9 Sutjeska 33 10 8 15 38 24 33 -9 48.99 -10.99
10 Decic Tuzi 33 8 10 15 34 29 46 -17 26.21 +7.79
11 Jedinstvo 33 6 13 14 31 27 51 -24 32.66 -1.66
12 Berane 33 7 7 19 28 25 48 -23 26.51 +1.49

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Petrovac 40 28.56 +11.44
2 Decic Tuzi 34 26.21 +7.79
3 Mladost Podgorica 38 30.65 +7.35
4 Grbalj 49 43.46 +5.54
5 Zeta 79 74.65 +4.35

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Kom Podgorica 38 51.26 -13.26
2 Mogren 42 53.04 -11.04
3 Sutjeska 38 48.99 -10.99
4 Rudar 47 50.45 -3.45
5 Jedinstvo 31 32.66 -1.66

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Petrovac 4 Oct 1 – Oct 21 1 in 1,486
2 Mladost Podgorica 2 Sep 9 – Sep 13 1 in 226
3 Decic Tuzi 2 Apr 21 – Apr 28 1 in 57
4 Berane 2 Oct 14 – Oct 21 1 in 32
5 Rudar 3 May 9 – May 19 1 in 27

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sutjeska 4 Nov 4 – Nov 25 1 in 813
2 Mogren 3 Oct 1 – Oct 14 1 in 785
3 Rudar 4 Aug 12 – Sep 3 1 in 331
4 Kom Podgorica 2 Sep 2 – Sep 9 1 in 96
5 Zeta 2 Sep 3 – Sep 9 1 in 55

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Grbalj 8 Aug 12 – Sep 23 1 in 437
2 Petrovac 7 Sep 23 – Nov 4 1 in 98
3 Mladost Podgorica 4 Nov 11 – Mar 3 1 in 37
4 Berane 3 Oct 7 – Oct 21 1 in 10
5 Buducnost Podgorica 17 Aug 12 – Nov 25 1 in 7

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Mogren 7 Sep 16 – Oct 28 1 in 168
2 Kom Podgorica 5 Aug 26 – Sep 16 1 in 136
3 Grbalj 7 Sep 23 – Nov 5 1 in 26
4 Rudar 4 Aug 12 – Sep 3 1 in 12
5 Buducnost Podgorica 2 Nov 12 – Nov 19 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Zeta 1279 79 +22 13 12.1 +0.9
Buducnost Podgorica 1292 76 -13 11 12.1 -1.1
Grbalj 870 49 -106 7 9.6 -2.6
Rudar 905 47 +36 9 7.4 +1.6
Mogren 950 42 +32 7 5.9 +1.1
Petrovac 778 40 +65 7 5.9 +1.1
Sutjeska 849 38 +47 7 5.1 +1.9
Mladost Podgorica 793 38 +49 5 4.4 +0.6
Kom Podgorica 810 38 -34 5 5.1 -0.1
Decic Tuzi 759 34 -74 6 6.1 -0.1
Jedinstvo 829 31 +71 7 5.7 +1.3
Berane 616 28 -95 0 3.0 -3.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BER BP DT GRB JED KP MP MOG PET RUD SUT ZET
Berane —
0-0-3
0.57
1-1-1
3.76
1-0-2
3.49
1-0-2
2.59
1-2-0
1.98
1-0-2
4.03
1-1-1
1.42
0-1-2
3.70
0-2-1
1.93
1-0-2
1.38
0-0-3
0.90
Buducnost Podgorica
3-0-0
7.94
—
3-0-0
7.66
2-1-0
7.34
1-2-0
7.76
2-1-0
7.24
3-0-0
7.76
1-1-1
6.89
2-1-0
7.63
2-1-0
5.75
1-2-0
7.08
2-1-0
4.68
Decic Tuzi
1-1-1
4.39
0-0-3
0.78
—
0-1-2
1.71
0-1-2
3.97
1-1-1
2.01
2-1-0
2.78
1-2-0
1.78
1-2-0
4.03
0-1-2
2.10
2-0-1
2.87
0-0-3
0.82
Grbalj
2-0-1
4.71
0-1-2
0.99
2-1-0
6.49
—
2-1-0
4.67
0-1-2
3.38
0-0-3
5.58
1-1-1
3.69
2-1-0
6.24
2-0-1
2.13
2-1-0
3.87
1-0-2
1.59
Jedinstvo
2-0-1
5.56
0-2-1
0.70
2-1-0
4.19
0-1-2
3.61
—
1-1-1
2.34
0-2-1
4.56
1-2-0
2.12
0-1-2
4.15
0-1-2
2.13
0-2-1
2.84
0-0-3
0.95
Kom Podgorica
0-2-1
6.27
0-1-2
1.07
1-1-1
6.22
2-1-0
4.78
1-1-1
5.83
—
1-1-1
6.70
0-1-2
4.00
2-1-0
6.11
1-0-2
3.74
1-1-1
4.96
0-1-2
2.01
Mladost Podgorica
2-0-1
4.10
0-0-3
0.69
0-1-2
5.39
3-0-0
2.62
1-2-0
3.58
1-1-1
1.56
—
0-3-0
2.29
0-2-1
4.06
1-0-2
2.21
1-1-1
2.53
0-1-2
1.11
Mogren
1-1-1
6.83
1-1-1
1.36
0-2-1
6.50
1-1-1
4.47
0-2-1
6.06
2-1-0
4.14
0-3-0
5.96
—
2-0-1
5.92
1-0-2
5.11
2-0-1
4.05
0-1-2
1.68
Petrovac
2-1-0
4.44
0-1-2
0.80
0-2-1
4.12
0-1-2
1.95
2-1-0
4.04
0-1-2
2.14
1-2-0
4.08
1-0-2
2.31
—
2-0-1
2.42
1-1-1
1.69
1-0-2
0.85
Rudar
1-2-0
6.28
0-1-2
2.49
2-1-0
6.11
1-0-2
6.04
2-1-0
6.06
2-0-1
4.40
2-0-1
5.96
2-0-1
3.09
1-0-2
5.75
—
1-0-2
3.91
0-0-3
1.29
Sutjeska
2-0-1
6.89
0-2-1
1.20
1-0-2
5.38
0-1-2
4.30
1-2-0
5.34
1-1-1
3.24
1-1-1
5.72
1-0-2
4.09
1-1-1
6.59
2-0-1
4.26
—
0-0-3
1.34
Zeta
3-0-0
7.47
0-1-2
3.50
3-0-0
7.60
2-0-1
6.66
3-0-0
7.41
2-1-0
6.20
2-1-0
7.20
2-1-0
6.55
2-0-1
7.54
3-0-0
6.97
3-0-0
6.93
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.91 +11.5
Allowed 0.75 -11.5
Differential 0.98 +6.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.14%12.12%8.59%4.04%1.77%—40.66%
112.12%10.10%4.80%2.02%0.51%0.51%30.05%
28.59%4.80%3.03%1.01%0.51%—17.93%
34.04%2.02%1.01%—0.25%0.25%7.58%
41.77%0.51%0.51%0.25%——3.03%
5+—0.51%—0.25%——0.76%
Total40.66%30.05%17.93%7.58%3.03%0.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.05 +0.00
SD 1.13 1.13 1.68
CV 1.08 1.08 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%15.15%12.12%6.06%3.03%—45.45%
16.06%9.09%12.12%6.06%3.03%—36.36%
29.09%3.03%3.03%———15.15%
3—3.03%————3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total24.24%30.30%27.27%12.12%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.76 1.45 -0.70
SD 0.83 1.18 1.57
CV 1.10 0.81 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%3.03%————21.21%
115.15%12.12%————27.27%
218.18%3.03%————21.21%
315.15%—3.03%———18.18%
46.06%——3.03%——9.09%
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total72.73%21.21%3.03%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.76 0.36 +1.39
SD 1.39 0.70 1.39
CV 0.79 1.92 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%12.12%9.09%9.09%3.03%—45.45%
19.09%12.12%3.03%6.06%——30.30%
23.03%6.06%6.06%3.03%——18.18%
33.03%—————3.03%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+———————
Total27.27%30.30%21.21%18.18%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 1.39 -0.52
SD 1.02 1.17 1.60
CV 1.16 0.84 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%18.18%9.09%———39.39%
19.09%6.06%3.03%——3.03%21.21%
215.15%6.06%3.03%3.03%——27.27%
36.06%6.06%————12.12%
4———————
5+———————
Total42.42%36.36%15.15%3.03%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 0.91 +0.21
SD 1.08 1.10 1.63
CV 0.97 1.21 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%3.03%6.06%12.12%3.03%—39.39%
112.12%18.18%6.06%—3.03%3.03%42.42%
23.03%—6.06%3.03%3.03%—15.15%
33.03%—————3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%21.21%18.18%15.15%9.09%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.82 1.55 -0.73
SD 0.81 1.48 1.70
CV 0.99 0.96 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%21.21%9.09%3.03%——51.52%
112.12%9.09%6.06%———27.27%
26.06%—6.06%———12.12%
3—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total36.36%36.36%24.24%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.82 0.94 -0.12
SD 1.07 0.86 1.32
CV 1.31 0.92 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.21%3.03%6.06%9.09%6.06%—45.45%
16.06%9.09%3.03%6.06%——24.24%
26.06%6.06%3.03%—3.03%—18.18%
33.03%3.03%——3.03%—9.09%
4———————
5+———3.03%——3.03%
Total36.36%21.21%12.12%18.18%12.12%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.48 -0.45
SD 1.24 1.46 1.80
CV 1.20 0.98 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%18.18%6.06%—3.03%—45.45%
112.12%15.15%6.06%———33.33%
29.09%3.03%3.03%———15.15%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total42.42%39.39%15.15%—3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.82 0.82 +0.00
SD 0.92 0.92 1.39
CV 1.12 1.12 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.21%6.06%18.18%3.03%3.03%—51.52%
112.12%9.09%3.03%3.03%——27.27%
26.06%9.09%—3.03%——18.18%
3——3.03%———3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total39.39%24.24%24.24%9.09%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 1.12 -0.39
SD 0.88 1.14 1.46
CV 1.20 1.02 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%15.15%15.15%3.03%——42.42%
19.09%6.06%6.06%3.03%——24.24%
26.06%9.09%————15.15%
39.09%6.06%————15.15%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total36.36%36.36%21.21%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 0.97 +0.15
SD 1.22 0.92 1.80
CV 1.09 0.95 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%24.24%12.12%———45.45%
124.24%9.09%6.06%———39.39%
23.03%3.03%6.06%———12.12%
3—————3.03%3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total36.36%36.36%24.24%——3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 1.00 -0.27
SD 0.80 1.06 1.13
CV 1.10 1.06 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%—3.03%——15.15%
118.18%6.06%3.03%———27.27%
218.18%9.09%————27.27%
36.06%—3.03%———9.09%
412.12%3.03%3.03%———18.18%
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total60.61%27.27%9.09%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.97 0.55 +1.42
SD 1.42 0.79 1.68
CV 0.72 1.46 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Buducnost Podgorica 1292 76 77.55 -1.55 44.0% 66 68 73 77 82 87 90
Zeta 1279 79 74.65 +4.35 79.0% 56 66 71 74 78 84 88
Mogren 950 42 53.04 -11.04 6.0% 36 40 50 53 56 63 67
Rudar 905 47 50.45 -3.45 32.0% 36 37 46 50 55 62 68
Grbalj 870 49 43.46 +5.54 82.0% 30 34 39 43 48 54 57
Sutjeska 849 38 48.99 -10.99 3.0% 38 39 44 49 53 60 64
Jedinstvo 829 31 32.66 -1.66 41.0% 13 21 30 33 37 43 51
Kom Podgorica 810 38 51.26 -13.26 2.0% 37 40 46 51 57 62 66
Mladost Podgorica 793 38 30.65 +7.35 86.0% 17 20 27 30 35 41 45
Petrovac 778 40 28.56 +11.44 98.0% 15 20 24 28 32 37 46
Decic Tuzi 759 34 26.21 +7.79 90.0% 15 18 22 26 30 35 38
Berane 616 28 26.51 +1.49 61.0% 13 17 22 26 31 36 43

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+31.31%
Strong Edge
52.02%27.27%20.71%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 112.57 Elo pts.
439 Elo
0.002 goals per Elo point
01500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.55 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.26+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.0
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
42%
Zeta, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.09/gm
Tight Race
00.210.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.95 * Some Luck: 4.95 to 7.43 * Lucky: 7.43 to 9.91 * Wild Swing: 9.91 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.88 * Close: 0.88 to 1.32 * Off: 1.32 to 1.76 * Way Off: 1.76 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.81 points
Lucky
06.1915
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.17
Way Off
01.103
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
98.00%
Petrovac
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
2.00%
Kom Podgorica
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Top-Heavy
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 200.59
2.19
Wide Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
67%
Slight Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 98%
98%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
64%
Frequent
0%63%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Rare
0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.512
Matchup Imbalance
0.64
Lopsided
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.63
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.56
Some Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%13%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%12%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.15 * Above Noise: 0.15 to 0.21 * Well Above Noise: 0.21 and up.
Probability calibration
<0.01
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.43
Overconfident
0.2564251.001.74357
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.158
Above Noise
00.1030.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Zeta42.00%56.00%1.00%1.00%————————
Buducnost Podgorica58.00%42.00%——————————
Grbalj——4.00%4.00%16.00%30.00%30.00%9.00%5.00%2.00%——
Rudar——22.00%24.00%20.00%17.00%11.00%6.00%————
Mogren——39.00%30.00%15.00%9.00%4.00%3.00%————
Petrovac————1.00%—2.00%20.00%15.00%23.00%20.00%19.00%
Kom Podgorica—2.00%21.00%23.00%25.00%17.00%10.00%2.00%————
Mladost Podgorica—————1.00%10.00%20.00%20.00%21.00%15.00%13.00%
Sutjeska——13.00%17.00%23.00%20.00%22.00%5.00%————
Decic Tuzi——————2.00%5.00%15.00%21.00%33.00%24.00%
Jedinstvo———1.00%—5.00%8.00%23.00%31.00%15.00%6.00%11.00%
Berane—————1.00%1.00%7.00%14.00%18.00%26.00%33.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Buducnost Podgorica 100% — —
Grbalj 98.00% 2.00% —
Kom Podgorica 100% — —
Mogren 100% — —
Rudar 100% — —
Sutjeska 100% — —
Zeta 100% — —
Jedinstvo 68.00% 21.00% 11.00%
Mladost Podgorica 51.00% 36.00% 13.00%
Petrovac 38.00% 43.00% 19.00%
Decic Tuzi 22.00% 54.00% 24.00%
Berane 23.00% 44.00% 33.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2006-08-12 Berane W 2-144.8 546 546 50.01% 28.49% 21.49%+0.26 +21.4 3
2006-08-12 @ Mladost Podgorica L 1-244.8 546 546 21.49% 28.49% 50.01%-0.26 -21.4 0
2006-08-12 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-241.8 1123 1176 43.72% 28.81% 27.48%+0.14 -72.9 0
2006-08-12 @ Rudar W 2-041.8 1176 1123 27.48% 28.81% 43.72%-0.14 +72.9 3
2006-08-12 Decic Tuzi D 1-157.5 1136 546 82.05% 16.80% 1.15%+1.60 -16.5 1
2006-08-12 @ Mogren D 1-157.5 546 1136 1.15% 16.80% 82.05%-1.60 +16.5 1
2006-08-12 Grbalj L 0-347.4 1021 546 78.37% 19.59% 2.04%+1.34 -174.8 0
2006-08-12 @ Jedinstvo W 3-047.4 546 1021 2.04% 19.59% 78.37%-1.34 +174.9 3
2006-08-12 Petrovac D 1-157.6 1142 546 82.21% 16.66% 1.12%+1.61 -16.5 1
2006-08-12 @ Sutjeska D 1-157.6 546 1142 1.12% 16.66% 82.21%-1.61 +16.5 1
2006-08-12 Zeta L 0-140.1 1108 1291 26.18% 28.76% 45.06%-0.16 -26.4 0
2006-08-12 @ Kom Podgorica W 1-040.1 1291 1108 45.06% 28.76% 26.18%+0.16 +26.4 3
2006-08-19 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-324.7 563 1249 2.19% 19.93% 77.88%-1.31 -6.4 1
2006-08-19 @ Decic Tuzi W 3-024.7 1249 563 77.88% 19.93% 2.19%+1.31 +6.4 6
2006-08-19 Jedinstvo W 4-235.3 1318 846 78.25% 19.68% 2.08%+1.33 +3.2 6
2006-08-19 @ Zeta L 2-435.3 846 1318 2.08% 19.68% 78.25%-1.33 -3.2 0
2006-08-19 Petrovac W 3-131.8 1082 563 79.85% 18.51% 1.64%+1.44 +2.8 3
2006-08-19 @ Kom Podgorica L 1-331.8 563 1082 1.64% 18.51% 79.85%-1.44 -2.8 1
2006-08-19 Rudar W 3-044.2 721 1050 12.82% 27.35% 59.82%-0.49 +140.5 6
2006-08-19 @ Grbalj L 0-344.2 1050 721 59.82% 27.35% 12.82%+0.49 -140.5 0
2006-08-19 Mladost Podgorica D 0-051.6 1120 567 80.90% 17.71% 1.39%+1.52 -18.2 2
2006-08-19 @ Mogren D 0-051.6 567 1120 1.39% 17.71% 80.90%-1.52 +18.2 4
2006-08-20 Sutjeska W 1-052.4 525 1125 3.33% 22.00% 74.68%-1.11 +62.3 3
2006-08-20 @ Berane L 0-152.4 1125 525 74.68% 22.00% 3.33%+1.11 -62.3 1
2006-08-26 Berane D 1-156.8 1084 587 79.13% 19.04% 1.83%+1.39 -16.0 4
2006-08-26 @ Kom Podgorica D 1-156.8 587 1084 1.83% 19.04% 79.13%-1.39 +16.0 4
2006-08-26 Decic Tuzi D 0-048.4 586 556 53.15% 28.24% 18.62%+0.32 -7.4 5
2006-08-26 @ Mladost Podgorica D 0-048.4 556 586 18.62% 28.24% 53.15%-0.32 +7.4 2
2006-08-26 Mogren W 1-039.8 1063 1102 45.49% 28.74% 25.77%+0.17 +26.1 4
2006-08-26 @ Sutjeska L 0-139.8 1102 1063 25.77% 28.74% 45.49%-0.17 -26.1 2
2006-08-26 Petrovac D 0-049.7 843 560 70.67% 24.09% 5.23%+0.90 -15.5 1
2006-08-26 @ Jedinstvo D 0-049.7 560 843 5.23% 24.09% 70.67%-0.90 +15.5 2
2006-08-26 Zeta L 1-240.2 910 1321 8.50% 26.04% 65.47%-0.68 -9.5 0
2006-08-26 @ Rudar W 2-140.2 1321 910 65.47% 26.04% 8.50%+0.68 +9.5 9
2006-08-27 Grbalj D 0-050.4 1255 861 75.40% 21.56% 3.04%+1.15 -17.1 7
2006-08-27 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 0-050.4 861 1255 3.04% 21.56% 75.40%-1.15 +17.1 7
2006-09-02 Grbalj D 1-154.3 564 879 13.79% 27.55% 58.66%-0.46 +8.9 3
2006-09-02 @ Decic Tuzi D 1-154.3 879 564 58.66% 27.55% 13.79%+0.46 -8.9 8
2006-09-02 Jedinstvo L 0-138.4 603 827 21.57% 28.50% 49.93%-0.25 -22.7 4
2006-09-02 @ Berane W 1-038.4 827 603 49.93% 28.50% 21.57%+0.25 +22.7 4
2006-09-02 Kom Podgorica W 1-038.2 1075 1068 50.78% 28.44% 20.78%+0.27 +22.1 5
2006-09-02 @ Mogren L 0-138.2 1068 1075 20.78% 28.44% 50.78%-0.27 -22.1 4
2006-09-02 Sutjeska L 0-132.2 578 1089 5.17% 24.04% 70.79%-0.91 -6.1 5
2006-09-02 @ Mladost Podgorica W 1-032.2 1089 578 70.79% 24.04% 5.17%+0.91 +6.1 7
2006-09-03 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-344.7 1330 1238 58.86% 27.52% 13.62%+0.47 -138.3 9
2006-09-03 @ Zeta W 3-044.7 1238 1330 13.62% 27.52% 58.86%-0.47 +138.3 10
2006-09-03 Rudar W 1-049.5 575 900 13.11% 27.41% 59.48%-0.48 +51.0 5
2006-09-03 @ Petrovac L 0-149.5 900 575 59.48% 27.41% 13.11%+0.48 -51.0 0
2006-09-09 Berane W 1-032.4 849 580 70.00% 24.39% 5.61%+0.87 +6.6 3
2006-09-09 @ Rudar L 0-132.4 580 849 5.61% 24.39% 70.00%-0.87 -6.6 4
2006-09-09 Decic Tuzi W 1-029.4 1095 572 79.96% 18.43% 1.61%+1.45 +1.7 10
2006-09-09 @ Sutjeska L 0-129.4 572 1095 1.61% 18.43% 79.96%-1.45 -1.7 3
2006-09-09 Mogren D 1-154.1 850 1098 19.30% 28.31% 52.39%-0.31 +6.3 5
2006-09-09 @ Jedinstvo D 1-154.1 1098 850 52.39% 28.31% 19.30%+0.31 -6.3 6
2006-09-09 Petrovac W 3-022.2 1376 626 86.33% 13.16% 0.51%+1.97 +1.2 13
2006-09-09 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-322.2 626 1376 0.51% 13.16% 86.33%-1.97 -1.2 5
2006-09-09 Mladost Podgorica L 1-259.2 1046 572 78.34% 19.61% 2.05%+1.34 -60.2 4
2006-09-09 @ Kom Podgorica W 2-159.2 572 1046 2.05% 19.61% 78.34%-1.34 +60.2 8
2006-09-09 Zeta W 2-155.8 870 1192 13.28% 27.45% 59.28%-0.48 +47.9 11
2006-09-09 @ Grbalj L 1-255.8 1192 870 59.28% 27.45% 13.28%+0.48 -47.9 9
2006-09-12 Grbalj L 0-232.9 625 917 15.44% 27.83% 56.73%-0.41 -32.6 5
2006-09-12 @ Petrovac W 2-032.9 917 625 56.73% 27.83% 15.44%+0.41 +32.6 14
2006-09-13 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-225.4 574 1378 1.22% 17.07% 81.71%-1.58 -2.3 4
2006-09-13 @ Berane W 2-025.4 1378 574 81.71% 17.07% 1.22%+1.58 +2.3 16
2006-09-13 Jedinstvo W 3-041.6 632 856 21.61% 28.50% 49.89%-0.25 +118.4 11
2006-09-13 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-341.6 856 632 49.89% 28.50% 21.61%+0.25 -118.4 5
2006-09-13 Kom Podgorica D 0-048.7 1097 986 60.32% 27.26% 12.42%+0.51 -10.8 11
2006-09-13 @ Sutjeska D 0-048.7 986 1097 12.42% 27.26% 60.32%-0.51 +10.8 5
2006-09-13 Rudar W 3-135.3 1091 856 68.27% 25.09% 6.64%+0.79 +12.8 9
2006-09-13 @ Mogren L 1-335.3 856 1091 6.64% 25.09% 68.27%-0.79 -12.8 3
2006-09-16 Berane W 1-031.0 950 571 74.81% 21.92% 3.27%+1.12 +3.7 17
2006-09-16 @ Grbalj L 0-131.0 571 950 3.27% 21.92% 74.81%-1.12 -3.7 4
2006-09-16 Decic Tuzi L 0-152.6 997 571 76.63% 20.78% 2.59%+1.23 -63.2 5
2006-09-16 @ Kom Podgorica W 1-052.6 571 997 2.59% 20.78% 76.63%-1.23 +63.2 6
2006-09-16 Mogren W 1-032.7 1380 1104 70.32% 24.25% 5.43%+0.89 +6.4 19
2006-09-16 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-132.7 1104 1380 5.43% 24.25% 70.32%-0.89 -6.4 9
2006-09-16 Petrovac W 2-135.5 1144 592 80.88% 17.72% 1.40%+1.51 +1.3 12
2006-09-16 @ Zeta L 1-235.5 592 1144 1.40% 17.72% 80.88%-1.51 -1.3 5
2006-09-16 Sutjeska D 2-260.3 738 1086 11.68% 27.08% 61.24%-0.54 +7.5 6
2006-09-16 @ Jedinstvo D 2-260.3 1086 738 61.24% 27.08% 11.68%+0.54 -7.5 12
2006-09-16 Mladost Podgorica W 4-030.2 843 751 58.86% 27.52% 13.62%+0.47 +55.6 6
2006-09-16 @ Rudar L 0-430.2 751 843 13.62% 27.52% 58.86%-0.47 -55.5 11
2006-09-20 Zeta L 0-426.6 634 1145 5.15% 24.02% 70.82%-0.91 -21.6 6
2006-09-20 @ Decic Tuzi W 4-026.6 1145 634 70.82% 24.02% 5.15%+0.91 +21.6 15
2006-09-23 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-324.6 695 1386 2.14% 19.82% 78.05%-1.32 -6.2 11
2006-09-23 @ Mladost Podgorica W 3-024.6 1386 695 78.05% 19.82% 2.14%+1.32 +6.3 22
2006-09-23 Grbalj D 1-154.5 1098 954 62.75% 26.75% 10.50%+0.58 -10.7 10
2006-09-23 @ Mogren D 1-154.5 954 1098 10.50% 26.75% 62.75%-0.58 +10.7 18
2006-09-23 Jedinstvo W 4-132.9 934 746 65.61% 25.99% 8.40%+0.69 +22.9 8
2006-09-23 @ Kom Podgorica L 1-432.9 746 934 8.40% 25.99% 65.61%-0.69 -22.9 6
2006-09-23 Petrovac D 0-048.4 612 591 52.29% 28.31% 19.39%+0.31 -7.0 7
2006-09-23 @ Decic Tuzi D 0-048.4 591 612 19.39% 28.31% 52.29%-0.31 +7.0 6
2006-09-23 Rudar W 1-033.9 1078 899 65.09% 26.14% 8.76%+0.67 +10.3 15
2006-09-23 @ Sutjeska L 0-133.9 899 1078 8.76% 26.14% 65.09%-0.67 -10.3 6
2006-09-23 Zeta L 1-430.2 568 1167 3.35% 22.02% 74.63%-1.11 -8.7 4
2006-09-23 @ Berane W 4-130.2 1167 568 74.63% 22.02% 3.35%+1.11 +8.7 18
2006-09-30 Sutjeska W 1-032.3 1392 1089 71.63% 23.64% 4.73%+0.95 +5.5 25
2006-09-30 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-132.3 1089 1392 4.73% 23.64% 71.63%-0.95 -5.5 15
2006-10-01 Berane W 1-037.2 598 559 54.09% 28.14% 17.76%+0.35 +19.5 9
2006-10-01 @ Petrovac L 0-137.2 559 598 17.76% 28.14% 54.09%-0.35 -19.4 4
2006-10-01 Decic Tuzi W 1-035.2 723 605 60.82% 27.17% 12.01%+0.52 +13.9 9
2006-10-01 @ Jedinstvo L 0-135.2 605 723 12.01% 27.17% 60.82%-0.52 -13.9 7
2006-10-01 Kom Podgorica W 2-147.3 888 957 41.67% 28.86% 29.47%+0.10 +27.2 9
2006-10-01 @ Rudar L 1-247.3 957 888 29.47% 28.86% 41.67%-0.10 -27.2 8
2006-10-01 Mogren W 4-030.4 1176 1087 58.58% 27.56% 13.86%+0.46 +56.4 21
2006-10-01 @ Zeta L 0-430.4 1087 1176 13.86% 27.56% 58.58%-0.46 -56.4 10
2006-10-01 Mladost Podgorica L 0-151.8 964 689 70.30% 24.26% 5.44%+0.88 -59.6 18
2006-10-01 @ Grbalj W 1-051.8 689 964 5.44% 24.26% 70.30%-0.88 +59.6 14
2006-10-07 Berane D 2-260.0 592 540 55.32% 28.01% 16.67%+0.37 -5.6 8
2006-10-07 @ Decic Tuzi D 2-260.0 540 592 16.67% 28.01% 55.32%-0.37 +5.6 5
2006-10-07 Buducnost Podgorica D 1-155.2 930 1398 6.38% 24.93% 68.69%-0.81 +13.2 9
2006-10-07 @ Kom Podgorica D 1-155.2 1398 930 68.69% 24.93% 6.38%+0.81 -13.2 26
2006-10-07 Grbalj D 0-049.0 1083 905 65.01% 26.17% 8.82%+0.66 -13.0 16
2006-10-07 @ Sutjeska D 0-049.0 905 1083 8.82% 26.17% 65.01%-0.66 +13.0 19
2006-10-07 Petrovac L 1-258.9 1031 618 76.14% 21.10% 2.77%+1.20 -59.4 10
2006-10-07 @ Mogren W 2-158.9 618 1031 2.77% 21.10% 76.14%-1.20 +59.4 12
2006-10-07 Rudar D 1-153.9 736 916 26.67% 28.78% 44.55%-0.15 +3.2 10
2006-10-07 @ Jedinstvo D 1-153.9 916 736 44.55% 28.78% 26.67%+0.15 -3.2 10
2006-10-07 Zeta D 1-155.2 749 1232 5.92% 24.62% 69.46%-0.85 +13.4 15
2006-10-07 @ Mladost Podgorica D 1-155.2 1232 749 69.46% 24.62% 5.92%+0.85 -13.4 22
2006-10-14 Decic Tuzi W 3-026.2 912 586 72.64% 23.13% 4.23%+1.00 +13.4 13
2006-10-14 @ Rudar L 0-326.2 586 912 4.23% 23.13% 72.64%-1.00 -13.4 8
2006-10-14 Jedinstvo W 4-022.8 1385 740 83.62% 15.50% 0.87%+1.73 +3.0 29
2006-10-14 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-422.8 740 1385 0.87% 15.50% 83.62%-1.73 -3.0 10
2006-10-14 Kom Podgorica L 0-146.2 918 943 47.16% 28.66% 24.17%+0.20 -41.2 19
2006-10-14 @ Grbalj W 1-046.2 943 918 24.17% 28.66% 47.16%-0.20 +41.2 12
2006-10-14 Mogren W 2-047.5 545 971 7.88% 25.76% 66.36%-0.71 +106.9 8
2006-10-14 @ Berane L 0-247.5 971 545 66.36% 25.76% 7.88%+0.71 -106.9 10
2006-10-14 Sutjeska W 1-034.6 1219 1070 63.06% 26.68% 10.26%+0.59 +12.0 25
2006-10-14 @ Zeta L 0-134.6 1070 1219 10.26% 26.68% 63.06%-0.59 -12.0 16
2006-10-14 Mladost Podgorica W 2-147.9 677 762 39.39% 28.90% 31.71%+0.06 +28.7 15
2006-10-14 @ Petrovac L 1-247.9 762 677 31.71% 28.90% 39.39%-0.06 -28.7 15
2006-10-21 Jedinstvo D 0-048.8 877 737 62.48% 26.82% 10.71%+0.58 -11.8 20
2006-10-21 @ Grbalj D 0-048.8 737 877 10.71% 26.82% 62.48%-0.58 +11.8 11
2006-10-21 Kom Podgorica W 1-032.8 1231 984 68.88% 24.86% 6.26%+0.82 +7.4 28
2006-10-21 @ Zeta L 0-132.8 984 1231 6.26% 24.86% 68.88%-0.82 -7.4 12
2006-10-21 Mogren D 0-048.5 573 864 15.49% 27.84% 56.67%-0.41 +9.1 9
2006-10-21 @ Decic Tuzi D 0-048.5 864 573 56.67% 27.84% 15.49%+0.41 -9.0 11
2006-10-21 Rudar W 1-030.2 1388 926 77.92% 19.91% 2.17%+1.31 +2.3 32
2006-10-21 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-130.2 926 1388 2.17% 19.91% 77.92%-1.31 -2.3 13
2006-10-21 Sutjeska W 1-050.0 706 1058 11.40% 27.01% 61.59%-0.55 +52.8 18
2006-10-21 @ Petrovac L 0-150.0 1058 706 61.59% 27.01% 11.40%+0.55 -52.8 16
2006-10-21 Mladost Podgorica W 3-143.8 652 733 39.91% 28.90% 31.20%+0.07 +49.1 11
2006-10-21 @ Berane L 1-343.8 733 652 31.20% 28.90% 39.91%-0.07 -49.1 15
2006-10-28 Berane W 1-031.9 1006 701 71.66% 23.63% 4.71%+0.95 +5.5 19
2006-10-28 @ Sutjeska L 0-131.9 701 1006 4.71% 23.63% 71.66%-0.95 -5.5 11
2006-10-28 Decic Tuzi W 3-238.0 1390 582 87.67% 11.95% 0.38%+2.10 +0.3 35
2006-10-28 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 2-338.0 582 1390 0.38% 11.95% 87.67%-2.10 -0.3 9
2006-10-28 Grbalj W 1-036.6 923 865 55.93% 27.93% 16.14%+0.39 +18.0 16
2006-10-28 @ Rudar L 0-136.6 865 923 16.14% 27.93% 55.93%-0.39 -18.0 20
2006-10-28 Kom Podgorica D 0-048.3 758 976 22.23% 28.55% 49.22%-0.24 +5.6 19
2006-10-28 @ Petrovac D 0-048.3 976 758 49.22% 28.55% 22.23%+0.24 -5.6 13
2006-10-28 Mogren D 0-048.2 684 855 27.68% 28.81% 43.51%-0.13 +3.2 16
2006-10-28 @ Mladost Podgorica D 0-048.2 855 684 43.51% 28.81% 27.68%+0.13 -3.2 12
2006-10-28 Zeta L 0-327.1 749 1238 5.74% 24.49% 69.77%-0.86 -18.5 11
2006-10-28 @ Jedinstvo W 3-027.1 1238 749 69.77% 24.49% 5.74%+0.86 +18.5 31
2006-11-04 Jedinstvo W 3-248.2 764 730 53.58% 28.19% 18.22%+0.33 +17.8 22
2006-11-04 @ Petrovac L 2-348.2 730 764 18.22% 28.19% 53.58%-0.33 -17.8 11
2006-11-04 Kom Podgorica D 1-154.1 696 971 16.83% 28.03% 55.15%-0.37 +7.4 12
2006-11-04 @ Berane D 1-154.1 971 696 55.15% 28.03% 16.83%+0.37 -7.4 14
2006-11-04 Rudar W 2-028.3 1257 941 72.15% 23.38% 4.47%+0.98 +9.8 34
2006-11-04 @ Zeta L 0-228.3 941 1257 4.47% 23.38% 72.15%-0.98 -9.8 16
2006-11-04 Sutjeska W 1-044.7 852 1011 29.20% 28.86% 41.94%-0.11 +37.4 15
2006-11-04 @ Mogren L 0-144.7 1011 852 41.94% 28.86% 29.20%+0.11 -37.4 19
2006-11-04 Mladost Podgorica W 3-037.1 581 688 36.43% 28.93% 34.64%+0.01 +88.8 12
2006-11-04 @ Decic Tuzi L 0-337.1 688 581 34.64% 28.93% 36.43%-0.01 -88.8 16
2006-11-05 Buducnost Podgorica L 1-238.1 847 1390 4.40% 23.32% 72.28%-0.98 -4.8 20
2006-11-05 @ Grbalj W 2-138.1 1390 847 72.28% 23.32% 4.40%+0.98 +4.8 38
2006-11-11 Berane L 1-253.6 712 703 51.02% 28.42% 20.56%+0.28 -41.6 11
2006-11-11 @ Jedinstvo W 2-153.6 703 712 20.56% 28.42% 51.02%-0.28 +41.6 15
2006-11-11 Decic Tuzi W 2-140.4 842 670 64.61% 26.28% 9.11%+0.65 +10.1 23
2006-11-11 @ Grbalj L 1-240.4 670 842 9.11% 26.28% 64.61%-0.65 -10.1 12
2006-11-11 Mogren D 0-048.6 963 889 57.31% 27.75% 14.94%+0.43 -9.4 15
2006-11-11 @ Kom Podgorica D 0-048.6 889 963 14.94% 27.75% 57.31%-0.43 +9.4 16
2006-11-11 Petrovac W 2-030.9 932 782 63.15% 26.66% 10.19%+0.60 +22.5 19
2006-11-11 @ Rudar L 0-230.9 782 932 10.19% 26.66% 63.15%-0.60 -22.5 22
2006-11-11 Mladost Podgorica L 3-558.8 974 599 74.66% 22.01% 3.34%+1.11 -85.9 19
2006-11-11 @ Sutjeska W 5-358.8 599 974 3.34% 22.01% 74.66%-1.11 +85.9 19
2006-11-12 Zeta D 0-050.3 1395 1266 61.68% 26.99% 11.33%+0.55 -11.5 39
2006-11-12 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 0-050.3 1266 1395 11.33% 26.99% 61.68%-0.55 +11.5 35
2006-11-18 Grbalj W 1-030.5 1278 852 76.61% 20.79% 2.60%+1.23 +2.8 38
2006-11-18 @ Zeta L 0-130.5 852 1278 2.60% 20.79% 76.61%-1.23 -2.9 23
2006-11-18 Jedinstvo D 1-155.0 899 671 67.89% 25.23% 6.88%+0.78 -12.8 17
2006-11-18 @ Mogren D 1-155.0 671 899 6.88% 25.23% 67.89%-0.78 +12.8 12
2006-11-18 Kom Podgorica D 0-048.5 685 954 17.32% 28.09% 54.59%-0.36 +8.1 20
2006-11-18 @ Mladost Podgorica D 0-048.5 954 685 54.59% 28.09% 17.32%+0.36 -8.1 16
2006-11-18 Rudar D 0-048.3 745 954 23.17% 28.61% 48.22%-0.22 +5.2 16
2006-11-18 @ Berane D 0-048.3 954 745 48.22% 28.61% 23.17%+0.22 -5.2 20
2006-11-18 Sutjeska W 1-047.0 660 888 21.22% 28.47% 50.31%-0.26 +43.6 15
2006-11-18 @ Decic Tuzi L 0-147.0 888 660 50.31% 28.47% 21.22%+0.26 -43.6 19
2006-11-19 Buducnost Podgorica D 1-156.2 759 1384 2.96% 21.42% 75.62%-1.17 +15.4 23
2006-11-19 @ Petrovac D 1-156.2 1384 759 75.62% 21.42% 2.96%+1.17 -15.3 40
2006-11-25 Berane W 4-023.0 1368 750 82.88% 16.12% 1.00%+1.67 +3.5 43
2006-11-25 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-423.0 750 1368 1.00% 16.12% 82.88%-1.67 -3.5 16
2006-11-25 Decic Tuzi W 2-025.4 1281 703 81.67% 17.10% 1.23%+1.57 +2.3 41
2006-11-25 @ Zeta L 0-225.4 703 1281 1.23% 17.10% 81.67%-1.57 -2.3 15
2006-11-25 Mogren W 1-036.5 949 886 56.33% 27.88% 15.78%+0.40 +17.6 23
2006-11-25 @ Rudar L 0-136.5 886 949 15.78% 27.88% 56.33%-0.40 -17.6 17
2006-11-25 Petrovac D 0-048.6 849 775 57.39% 27.74% 14.87%+0.43 -9.4 24
2006-11-25 @ Grbalj D 0-048.6 775 849 14.87% 27.74% 57.39%-0.43 +9.4 24
2006-11-25 Sutjeska W 1-035.5 946 844 59.64% 27.38% 12.98%+0.49 +14.9 19
2006-11-25 @ Kom Podgorica L 0-135.5 844 946 12.98% 27.38% 59.64%-0.49 -14.9 19
2006-11-25 Mladost Podgorica D 0-048.3 684 693 48.97% 28.56% 22.46%+0.24 -5.5 13
2006-11-25 @ Jedinstvo D 0-048.3 693 684 22.46% 28.56% 48.97%-0.24 +5.5 21
2007-03-03 Buducnost Podgorica W 1-051.9 868 1372 5.36% 24.20% 70.45%-0.89 +59.7 20
2007-03-03 @ Mogren L 0-151.9 1372 868 70.45% 24.20% 5.36%+0.89 -59.7 43
2007-03-03 Grbalj W 2-038.4 746 840 38.22% 28.92% 32.86%+0.04 +58.9 19
2007-03-03 @ Berane L 0-238.4 840 746 32.86% 28.92% 38.22%-0.04 -58.9 24
2007-03-03 Jedinstvo W 1-034.4 829 678 63.25% 26.63% 10.12%+0.60 +11.9 22
2007-03-03 @ Sutjeska L 0-134.4 678 829 10.12% 26.63% 63.25%-0.60 -11.9 13
2007-03-03 Kom Podgorica D 2-260.0 701 961 18.17% 28.19% 53.65%-0.34 +5.1 16
2007-03-03 @ Decic Tuzi D 2-260.0 961 701 53.65% 28.19% 18.17%+0.34 -5.1 20
2007-03-03 Rudar W 1-048.2 698 967 17.42% 28.10% 54.48%-0.35 +46.9 24
2007-03-03 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-148.2 967 698 54.48% 28.10% 17.42%+0.35 -46.9 23
2007-03-03 Zeta W 1-051.8 784 1283 5.48% 24.29% 70.23%-0.88 +59.6 27
2007-03-03 @ Petrovac L 0-151.8 1283 784 70.23% 24.29% 5.48%+0.88 -59.6 41
2007-03-10 Berane W 2-136.9 1223 805 76.33% 20.97% 2.70%+1.21 +2.8 44
2007-03-10 @ Zeta L 1-236.9 805 1223 2.70% 20.97% 76.33%-1.21 -2.8 19
2007-03-10 Decic Tuzi L 0-150.2 844 706 62.29% 26.86% 10.85%+0.57 -53.3 27
2007-03-10 @ Petrovac W 1-050.2 706 844 10.85% 26.86% 62.29%-0.57 +53.4 19
2007-03-10 Kom Podgorica W 1-048.7 666 956 15.66% 27.86% 56.48%-0.40 +48.5 16
2007-03-10 @ Jedinstvo L 0-148.7 956 666 56.48% 27.86% 15.66%+0.40 -48.5 20
2007-03-10 Mogren W 1-044.2 781 928 30.77% 28.89% 40.34%-0.08 +36.3 27
2007-03-10 @ Grbalj L 0-144.2 928 781 40.34% 28.89% 30.77%+0.08 -36.3 20
2007-03-10 Sutjeska W 2-032.6 920 841 57.71% 27.69% 14.60%+0.44 +31.1 26
2007-03-10 @ Rudar L 0-232.6 841 920 14.60% 27.69% 57.71%-0.44 -31.1 22
2007-03-10 Mladost Podgorica W 4-341.7 1312 745 81.36% 17.35% 1.29%+1.55 +1.1 46
2007-03-10 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 3-441.7 745 1312 1.29% 17.35% 81.36%-1.55 -1.1 24
2007-03-17 Grbalj W 2-037.6 744 817 40.99% 28.88% 30.13%+0.09 +55.3 27
2007-03-17 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-237.6 817 744 30.13% 28.88% 40.99%-0.09 -55.2 27
2007-03-17 Jedinstvo D 1-154.1 760 715 54.66% 28.08% 17.26%+0.36 -7.2 20
2007-03-17 @ Decic Tuzi D 1-154.1 715 760 17.26% 28.08% 54.66%-0.36 +7.2 17
2007-03-17 Petrovac D 0-048.4 802 790 51.35% 28.39% 20.26%+0.28 -6.6 20
2007-03-17 @ Berane D 0-048.4 790 802 20.26% 28.39% 51.35%-0.28 +6.6 28
2007-03-17 Rudar W 2-036.4 907 951 44.88% 28.76% 26.35%+0.16 +50.0 23
2007-03-17 @ Kom Podgorica L 0-236.4 951 907 26.35% 28.76% 44.88%-0.16 -50.0 26
2007-03-17 Zeta D 1-154.4 892 1226 12.50% 27.28% 60.22%-0.51 +9.6 21
2007-03-17 @ Mogren D 1-154.4 1226 892 60.22% 27.28% 12.50%+0.51 -9.6 45
2007-03-18 Buducnost Podgorica D 0-049.7 810 1313 5.36% 24.20% 70.43%-0.89 +15.4 23
2007-03-18 @ Sutjeska D 0-049.7 1313 810 70.43% 24.20% 5.36%+0.89 -15.4 47
2007-03-28 Decic Tuzi W 2-033.5 796 752 54.52% 28.10% 17.38%+0.36 +36.0 23
2007-03-28 @ Berane L 0-233.5 752 796 17.38% 28.10% 54.52%-0.36 -36.0 20
2007-03-28 Jedinstvo W 3-028.5 901 722 65.03% 26.16% 8.80%+0.66 +28.5 29
2007-03-28 @ Rudar L 0-328.5 722 901 8.80% 26.16% 65.03%-0.66 -28.5 17
2007-03-28 Kom Podgorica W 2-028.0 1298 957 73.25% 22.81% 3.94%+1.03 +8.5 50
2007-03-28 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-228.0 957 1298 3.94% 22.81% 73.25%-1.03 -8.5 23
2007-03-28 Mogren L 0-239.6 797 901 36.66% 28.93% 34.41%+0.02 -63.6 28
2007-03-28 @ Petrovac W 2-039.6 901 797 34.41% 28.93% 36.66%-0.02 +63.6 24
2007-03-28 Sutjeska W 1-040.7 762 825 42.34% 28.85% 28.81%+0.11 +28.3 30
2007-03-28 @ Grbalj L 0-140.7 825 762 28.81% 28.85% 42.34%-0.11 -28.4 23
2007-03-28 Mladost Podgorica W 3-025.2 1217 799 76.30% 20.99% 2.71%+1.21 +8.2 48
2007-03-28 @ Zeta L 0-325.2 799 1217 2.71% 20.99% 76.30%-1.21 -8.2 27
2007-03-31 Berane W 3-029.4 965 832 62.00% 26.92% 11.08%+0.56 +35.3 27
2007-03-31 @ Mogren L 0-329.4 832 965 11.08% 26.92% 62.00%-0.56 -35.3 23
2007-03-31 Buducnost Podgorica D 0-050.4 693 1306 3.13% 21.70% 75.17%-1.14 +17.0 18
2007-03-31 @ Jedinstvo D 0-050.4 1306 693 75.17% 21.70% 3.13%+1.14 -17.0 51
2007-03-31 Grbalj W 1-034.3 949 791 63.72% 26.52% 9.77%+0.62 +11.5 26
2007-03-31 @ Kom Podgorica L 0-134.3 791 949 9.77% 26.52% 63.72%-0.62 -11.5 30
2007-03-31 Petrovac D 0-048.5 791 733 55.89% 27.94% 16.17%+0.39 -8.7 28
2007-03-31 @ Mladost Podgorica D 0-048.5 733 791 16.17% 27.94% 55.89%-0.39 +8.7 29
2007-03-31 Rudar L 1-341.2 716 929 22.80% 28.58% 48.62%-0.23 -38.8 20
2007-03-31 @ Decic Tuzi W 3-141.2 929 716 48.62% 28.58% 22.80%+0.23 +38.8 32
2007-03-31 Zeta L 0-230.0 797 1225 7.81% 25.73% 66.46%-0.72 -17.5 23
2007-03-31 @ Sutjeska W 2-030.0 1225 797 66.46% 25.73% 7.81%+0.72 +17.4 51
2007-04-04 Berane D 1-154.7 968 797 64.57% 26.29% 9.14%+0.65 -11.5 33
2007-04-04 @ Rudar D 1-154.7 797 968 9.14% 26.29% 64.57%-0.65 +11.5 24
2007-04-04 Decic Tuzi W 2-025.5 1242 678 81.28% 17.41% 1.31%+1.54 +2.5 54
2007-04-04 @ Zeta L 0-225.5 678 1242 1.31% 17.41% 81.28%-1.54 -2.5 20
2007-04-04 Jedinstvo D 1-157.4 1289 710 81.72% 17.06% 1.22%+1.58 -16.4 52
2007-04-04 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 1-157.4 710 1289 1.22% 17.06% 81.72%-1.58 +16.4 19
2007-04-04 Kom Podgorica L 2-349.5 742 960 22.19% 28.54% 49.27%-0.24 -20.8 29
2007-04-04 @ Petrovac W 3-249.5 960 742 49.27% 28.54% 22.19%+0.24 +20.8 29
2007-04-04 Mogren D 2-259.9 782 1000 22.24% 28.55% 49.21%-0.24 +3.7 29
2007-04-04 @ Mladost Podgorica D 2-259.9 1000 782 49.21% 28.55% 22.24%+0.24 -3.7 28
2007-04-04 Sutjeska W 2-034.9 779 780 49.95% 28.50% 21.55%+0.26 +42.8 33
2007-04-04 @ Grbalj L 0-234.9 780 779 21.55% 28.50% 49.95%-0.26 -42.8 23
2007-04-07 Grbalj L 1-348.9 808 822 48.44% 28.59% 22.96%+0.22 -68.8 24
2007-04-07 @ Berane W 3-148.9 822 808 22.96% 28.59% 48.44%-0.22 +68.8 36
2007-04-07 Mogren W 1-048.2 727 997 17.28% 28.09% 54.63%-0.36 +47.0 22
2007-04-07 @ Jedinstvo L 0-148.2 997 727 54.63% 28.09% 17.28%+0.36 -47.0 28
2007-04-07 Petrovac W 1-037.9 737 721 51.73% 28.36% 19.91%+0.29 +21.3 26
2007-04-07 @ Sutjeska L 0-137.9 721 737 19.91% 28.36% 51.73%-0.29 -21.3 29
2007-04-07 Rudar D 0-048.5 675 956 16.32% 27.96% 55.72%-0.38 +8.6 21
2007-04-07 @ Decic Tuzi D 0-048.5 956 675 55.72% 27.96% 16.32%+0.38 -8.6 34
2007-04-07 Mladost Podgorica W 2-030.1 981 786 66.01% 25.87% 8.12%+0.70 +18.1 32
2007-04-07 @ Kom Podgorica L 0-230.1 786 981 8.12% 25.87% 66.01%-0.70 -18.1 29
2007-04-07 Zeta W 1-038.0 1273 1245 53.01% 28.25% 18.74%+0.32 +20.3 55
2007-04-07 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-138.0 1245 1273 18.74% 28.25% 53.01%-0.32 -20.3 54
2007-04-14 Berane W 2-146.2 700 739 45.36% 28.74% 25.89%+0.17 +24.7 32
2007-04-14 @ Petrovac L 1-246.2 739 700 25.89% 28.74% 45.36%-0.17 -24.7 24
2007-04-14 Buducnost Podgorica D 0-048.8 948 1293 11.83% 27.12% 61.05%-0.53 +11.1 35
2007-04-14 @ Rudar D 0-048.8 1293 948 61.05% 27.12% 11.83%+0.53 -11.1 56
2007-04-14 Decic Tuzi W 3-135.8 891 684 66.71% 25.64% 7.64%+0.73 +14.8 39
2007-04-14 @ Grbalj L 1-335.8 684 891 7.64% 25.64% 66.71%-0.73 -14.8 21
2007-04-14 Jedinstvo W 5-127.6 1224 774 77.51% 20.19% 2.30%+1.28 +7.4 57
2007-04-14 @ Zeta L 1-527.6 774 1224 2.30% 20.19% 77.51%-1.28 -7.4 22
2007-04-14 Kom Podgorica W 2-036.7 950 999 44.12% 28.79% 27.08%+0.14 +51.1 31
2007-04-14 @ Mogren L 0-236.7 999 950 27.08% 28.79% 44.12%-0.14 -51.1 32
2007-04-14 Sutjeska D 1-154.0 768 758 51.10% 28.41% 20.49%+0.28 -5.8 30
2007-04-14 @ Mladost Podgorica D 1-154.0 758 768 20.49% 28.41% 51.10%-0.28 +5.8 27
2007-04-18 Grbalj W 5-128.5 1282 906 74.73% 21.97% 3.31%+1.11 +11.1 59
2007-04-18 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 1-528.5 906 1282 3.31% 21.97% 74.73%-1.11 -11.1 39
2007-04-18 Kom Podgorica D 0-048.3 766 948 26.36% 28.76% 44.87%-0.16 +3.7 23
2007-04-18 @ Jedinstvo D 0-048.3 948 766 44.87% 28.76% 26.36%+0.16 -3.7 33
2007-04-18 Mogren L 1-244.4 764 1001 20.31% 28.40% 51.29%-0.28 -20.4 27
2007-04-18 @ Sutjeska W 2-144.4 1001 764 51.29% 28.40% 20.31%+0.28 +20.4 34
2007-04-18 Petrovac D 1-153.9 669 724 43.36% 28.82% 27.82%+0.13 -2.8 22
2007-04-18 @ Decic Tuzi D 1-153.9 724 669 27.82% 28.82% 43.36%-0.13 +2.8 33
2007-04-18 Rudar W 1-032.4 1232 959 70.18% 24.31% 5.51%+0.88 +6.5 60
2007-04-18 @ Zeta L 0-132.4 959 1232 5.51% 24.31% 70.18%-0.88 -6.5 35
2007-04-18 Mladost Podgorica L 1-347.7 715 762 44.34% 28.78% 26.87%+0.15 -63.8 24
2007-04-18 @ Berane W 3-147.7 762 715 26.87% 28.78% 44.34%-0.15 +63.9 33
2007-04-21 Berane D 0-050.3 1021 651 74.48% 22.11% 3.41%+1.10 -16.8 35
2007-04-21 @ Mogren D 0-050.3 651 1021 3.41% 22.11% 74.48%-1.10 +16.8 25
2007-04-21 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-227.9 727 1293 3.94% 22.80% 73.27%-1.03 -8.5 33
2007-04-21 @ Petrovac W 2-027.9 1293 727 73.27% 22.80% 3.94%+1.03 +8.5 62
2007-04-21 Decic Tuzi L 2-455.9 826 666 63.83% 26.49% 9.68%+0.62 -79.8 33
2007-04-21 @ Mladost Podgorica W 4-255.9 666 826 9.68% 26.49% 63.83%-0.62 +79.8 25
2007-04-21 Jedinstvo W 2-140.2 953 770 65.25% 26.10% 8.65%+0.67 +9.6 38
2007-04-21 @ Rudar L 1-240.2 770 953 8.65% 26.10% 65.25%-0.67 -9.6 23
2007-04-21 Sutjeska L 0-151.1 944 743 66.36% 25.76% 7.88%+0.71 -56.7 33
2007-04-21 @ Kom Podgorica W 1-051.1 743 944 7.88% 25.76% 66.36%-0.71 +56.7 30
2007-04-21 Zeta L 2-346.0 894 1238 11.92% 27.14% 60.94%-0.53 -12.3 39
2007-04-21 @ Grbalj W 3-246.0 1238 894 60.94% 27.14% 11.92%+0.53 +12.3 63
2007-04-28 Grbalj L 0-245.6 962 882 57.85% 27.67% 14.48%+0.44 -93.6 38
2007-04-28 @ Rudar W 2-045.6 882 962 14.48% 27.67% 57.85%-0.44 +93.6 42
2007-04-28 Kom Podgorica W 1-046.8 668 888 22.02% 28.53% 49.45%-0.25 +42.9 28
2007-04-28 @ Berane L 0-146.8 888 668 49.45% 28.53% 22.02%+0.25 -42.9 33
2007-04-28 Mogren W 2-044.4 746 1004 18.28% 28.20% 53.52%-0.33 +86.9 28
2007-04-28 @ Decic Tuzi L 0-244.4 1004 746 53.52% 28.20% 18.28%+0.33 -86.9 35
2007-04-28 Petrovac W 4-023.8 1251 719 80.26% 18.20% 1.54%+1.47 +5.6 66
2007-04-28 @ Zeta L 0-423.8 719 1251 1.54% 18.20% 80.26%-1.47 -5.6 33
2007-04-28 Sutjeska D 2-259.8 761 800 45.37% 28.74% 25.89%+0.17 -2.6 24
2007-04-28 @ Jedinstvo D 2-259.8 800 761 25.89% 28.74% 45.37%-0.17 +2.6 31
2007-04-28 Mladost Podgorica W 2-025.6 1302 746 81.00% 17.63% 1.37%+1.52 +2.6 65
2007-04-28 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-225.6 746 1302 1.37% 17.63% 81.00%-1.52 -2.6 33
2007-05-05 Berane W 2-032.2 803 710 58.87% 27.51% 13.62%+0.47 +29.3 34
2007-05-05 @ Sutjeska L 0-232.2 710 803 13.62% 27.51% 58.87%-0.47 -29.3 28
2007-05-05 Buducnost Podgorica D 0-049.0 917 1304 9.59% 26.46% 63.95%-0.63 +12.6 36
2007-05-05 @ Mogren D 0-049.0 1304 917 63.95% 26.46% 9.59%+0.63 -12.6 66
2007-05-05 Decic Tuzi W 1-038.0 845 833 51.31% 28.40% 20.30%+0.28 +21.7 36
2007-05-05 @ Kom Podgorica L 0-138.0 833 845 20.30% 28.40% 51.31%-0.28 -21.7 28
2007-05-05 Jedinstvo W 2-029.7 976 758 67.32% 25.44% 7.24%+0.75 +16.2 45
2007-05-05 @ Grbalj L 0-229.7 758 976 7.24% 25.44% 67.32%-0.75 -16.2 24
2007-05-05 Rudar W 2-041.0 713 869 29.62% 28.87% 41.51%-0.10 +69.9 36
2007-05-05 @ Petrovac L 0-241.0 869 713 41.51% 28.87% 29.62%+0.10 -69.9 38
2007-05-05 Zeta L 0-426.6 744 1256 5.12% 24.00% 70.88%-0.91 -21.5 33
2007-05-05 @ Mladost Podgorica W 4-026.6 1256 744 70.88% 24.00% 5.12%+0.91 +21.5 69
2007-05-09 Berane W 2-033.1 742 681 56.13% 27.91% 15.97%+0.39 +33.6 27
2007-05-09 @ Jedinstvo L 0-233.1 681 742 15.97% 27.91% 56.13%-0.39 -33.6 28
2007-05-09 Kom Podgorica W 2-026.9 1292 866 76.60% 20.80% 2.60%+1.23 +5.4 69
2007-05-09 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-226.9 866 1292 2.60% 20.80% 76.60%-1.23 -5.4 36
2007-05-09 Mogren W 1-031.4 1278 930 73.55% 22.64% 3.81%+1.05 +4.4 72
2007-05-09 @ Zeta L 0-131.4 930 1278 3.81% 22.64% 73.55%-1.05 -4.4 36
2007-05-09 Petrovac W 2-029.8 992 783 66.83% 25.61% 7.57%+0.73 +16.9 48
2007-05-09 @ Grbalj L 0-229.8 783 992 7.57% 25.61% 66.83%-0.73 -16.9 36
2007-05-09 Sutjeska W 2-145.5 811 832 47.63% 28.64% 23.73%+0.21 +23.1 31
2007-05-09 @ Decic Tuzi L 1-245.5 832 811 23.73% 28.64% 47.63%-0.21 -23.1 34
2007-05-09 Mladost Podgorica W 3-138.5 799 722 57.53% 27.72% 14.75%+0.43 +27.2 41
2007-05-09 @ Rudar L 1-338.5 722 799 14.75% 27.72% 57.53%-0.43 -27.2 33
2007-05-12 Buducnost Podgorica D 1-155.2 809 1297 5.78% 24.52% 69.70%-0.86 +13.5 35
2007-05-12 @ Sutjeska D 1-155.2 1297 809 69.70% 24.52% 5.78%+0.86 -13.5 70
2007-05-12 Decic Tuzi L 1-246.1 648 834 25.76% 28.74% 45.50%-0.17 -24.6 28
2007-05-12 @ Berane W 2-146.1 834 648 45.50% 28.74% 25.76%+0.17 +24.6 34
2007-05-12 Grbalj W 2-045.7 695 1009 13.88% 27.57% 58.55%-0.46 +94.7 36
2007-05-12 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-245.7 1009 695 58.55% 27.57% 13.88%+0.46 -94.7 48
2007-05-12 Jedinstvo W 2-035.2 766 775 48.96% 28.56% 22.48%+0.24 +44.3 39
2007-05-12 @ Petrovac L 0-235.2 775 766 22.48% 28.56% 48.96%-0.24 -44.3 27
2007-05-12 Rudar L 1-255.8 926 826 59.47% 27.41% 13.11%+0.48 -48.1 36
2007-05-12 @ Mogren W 2-155.8 826 926 13.11% 27.41% 59.47%-0.48 +48.1 44
2007-05-12 Zeta D 0-049.2 861 1282 8.08% 25.85% 66.07%-0.70 +13.5 37
2007-05-12 @ Kom Podgorica D 0-049.2 1282 861 66.07% 25.85% 8.08%+0.70 -13.5 73
2007-05-19 Berane W 3-022.8 1284 623 84.05% 15.14% 0.81%+1.76 +2.1 73
2007-05-19 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-322.8 623 1284 0.81% 15.14% 84.05%-1.76 -2.1 28
2007-05-19 Decic Tuzi W 3-038.0 731 859 33.37% 28.92% 37.70%-0.03 +94.3 30
2007-05-19 @ Jedinstvo L 0-338.0 859 731 37.70% 28.92% 33.37%+0.03 -94.4 34
2007-05-19 Kom Podgorica W 3-033.1 874 875 49.94% 28.50% 21.56%+0.25 +62.2 47
2007-05-19 @ Rudar L 0-333.1 875 874 21.56% 28.50% 49.94%-0.25 -62.2 37
2007-05-19 Mogren L 0-148.0 914 878 53.84% 28.17% 17.99%+0.34 -46.4 48
2007-05-19 @ Grbalj W 1-048.0 878 914 17.99% 28.17% 53.84%-0.34 +46.4 39
2007-05-19 Sutjeska W 2-026.7 1269 822 77.35% 20.30% 2.35%+1.27 +4.8 76
2007-05-19 @ Zeta L 0-226.7 822 1269 2.35% 20.30% 77.35%-1.27 -4.8 35
2007-05-19 Mladost Podgorica D 0-048.4 810 790 52.21% 28.32% 19.47%+0.30 -7.0 40
2007-05-19 @ Petrovac D 0-048.4 790 810 19.47% 28.32% 52.21%-0.30 +7.0 37
2007-05-26 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-132.0 765 1286 4.91% 23.81% 71.28%-0.93 -5.7 34
2007-05-26 @ Decic Tuzi W 1-032.0 1286 765 71.28% 23.81% 4.91%+0.93 +5.7 76
2007-05-26 Grbalj D 2-259.8 812 868 43.37% 28.82% 27.81%+0.13 -2.1 38
2007-05-26 @ Kom Podgorica D 2-259.8 868 812 27.81% 28.82% 43.37%-0.13 +2.1 49
2007-05-26 Jedinstvo D 1-153.9 797 825 46.70% 28.69% 24.62%+0.19 -4.0 38
2007-05-26 @ Mladost Podgorica D 1-153.9 825 797 24.62% 28.69% 46.70%-0.19 +4.0 31
2007-05-26 Petrovac W 2-031.6 924 803 61.08% 27.11% 11.81%+0.53 +25.8 42
2007-05-26 @ Mogren L 0-231.6 803 924 11.81% 27.11% 61.08%-0.53 -25.8 40
2007-05-26 Rudar W 2-149.4 818 936 34.69% 28.93% 36.38%-0.01 +31.6 38
2007-05-26 @ Sutjeska L 1-249.4 936 818 36.38% 28.93% 34.69%+0.01 -31.6 47
2007-05-26 Zeta L 0-226.9 621 1273 2.58% 20.75% 76.67%-1.23 -5.3 28
2007-05-26 @ Berane W 2-026.9 1273 621 76.67% 20.75% 2.58%+1.23 +5.3 79

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2006-08-12 2.04% Grbalj 546 3 @ Jedinstvo 1021 0
2 2006-09-09 2.05% Mladost Podgorica 572 2 @ Kom Podgorica 1046 1
3 2006-09-16 2.59% Decic Tuzi 571 1 @ Kom Podgorica 997 0
4 2006-10-07 2.77% Petrovac 618 2 @ Mogren 1031 1
5 2006-08-20 3.33% @ Berane 525 1 Sutjeska 1125 0
6 2006-11-11 3.34% Mladost Podgorica 599 5 @ Sutjeska 974 3
7 2007-03-03 5.36% @ Mogren 868 1 Buducnost Podgorica 1372 0
8 2006-10-01 5.44% Mladost Podgorica 689 1 @ Grbalj 964 0
9 2007-03-03 5.48% @ Petrovac 784 1 Zeta 1283 0
10 2006-10-14 7.88% @ Berane 545 2 Mogren 971 0
11 2007-04-21 7.88% Sutjeska 743 1 @ Kom Podgorica 944 0
12 2007-04-21 9.68% Decic Tuzi 666 4 @ Mladost Podgorica 826 2
13 2007-03-10 10.85% Decic Tuzi 706 1 @ Petrovac 844 0
14 2006-10-21 11.40% @ Petrovac 706 1 Sutjeska 1058 0
15 2006-08-19 12.82% @ Grbalj 721 3 Rudar 1050 0
16 2006-09-03 13.11% @ Petrovac 575 1 Rudar 900 0
17 2007-05-12 13.11% Rudar 826 2 @ Mogren 926 1
18 2006-09-09 13.28% @ Grbalj 870 2 Zeta 1192 1
19 2006-09-03 13.62% Buducnost Podgorica 1238 3 @ Zeta 1330 0
20 2007-05-12 13.88% @ Mladost Podgorica 695 2 Grbalj 1009 0
21 2007-04-28 14.48% Grbalj 882 2 @ Rudar 962 0
22 2007-03-10 15.66% @ Jedinstvo 666 1 Kom Podgorica 956 0
23 2007-04-07 17.28% @ Jedinstvo 727 1 Mogren 997 0
24 2007-03-03 17.42% @ Mladost Podgorica 698 1 Rudar 967 0
25 2007-05-19 17.99% Mogren 878 1 @ Grbalj 914 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2006-08-12 174.85 Grbalj 3 546 2.04% @ Jedinstvo 0 1021 78.37% 19.59%
2 2006-08-19 140.46 @ Grbalj 3 721 12.82% Rudar 0 1050 59.82% 27.35%
3 2006-09-03 138.27 Buducnost Podgorica 3 1238 13.62% @ Zeta 0 1330 58.86% 27.52%
4 2006-09-13 118.44 @ Mladost Podgorica 3 632 21.61% Jedinstvo 0 856 49.89% 28.50%
5 2006-10-14 106.89 @ Berane 2 545 7.88% Mogren 0 971 66.36% 25.76%
6 2007-05-12 94.71 @ Mladost Podgorica 2 695 13.88% Grbalj 0 1009 58.55% 27.57%
7 2007-05-19 94.36 @ Jedinstvo 3 731 33.37% Decic Tuzi 0 859 37.70% 28.92%
8 2007-04-28 93.60 Grbalj 2 882 14.48% @ Rudar 0 962 57.85% 27.67%
9 2006-11-04 88.76 @ Decic Tuzi 3 581 36.43% Mladost Podgorica 0 688 34.64% 28.93%
10 2007-04-28 86.93 @ Decic Tuzi 2 746 18.28% Mogren 0 1004 53.52% 28.20%
11 2006-11-11 85.91 Mladost Podgorica 5 599 3.34% @ Sutjeska 3 974 74.66% 22.01%
12 2007-04-21 79.80 Decic Tuzi 4 666 9.68% @ Mladost Podgorica 2 826 63.83% 26.49%
13 2006-08-12 72.87 Buducnost Podgorica 2 1176 27.48% @ Rudar 0 1123 43.72% 28.81%
14 2007-05-05 69.92 @ Petrovac 2 713 29.62% Rudar 0 869 41.51% 28.87%
15 2007-04-07 68.82 Grbalj 3 822 22.96% @ Berane 1 808 48.44% 28.59%
16 2007-04-18 63.85 Mladost Podgorica 3 762 26.87% @ Berane 1 715 44.34% 28.78%
17 2007-03-28 63.65 Mogren 2 901 34.41% @ Petrovac 0 797 36.66% 28.93%
18 2006-09-16 63.18 Decic Tuzi 1 571 2.59% @ Kom Podgorica 0 997 76.63% 20.78%
19 2006-08-20 62.27 @ Berane 1 525 3.33% Sutjeska 0 1125 74.68% 22.00%
20 2007-05-19 62.25 @ Rudar 3 874 49.94% Kom Podgorica 0 875 21.56% 28.50%
21 2006-09-09 60.19 Mladost Podgorica 2 572 2.05% @ Kom Podgorica 1 1046 78.34% 19.61%
22 2007-03-03 59.73 @ Mogren 1 868 5.36% Buducnost Podgorica 0 1372 70.45% 24.20%
23 2006-10-01 59.62 Mladost Podgorica 1 689 5.44% @ Grbalj 0 964 70.30% 24.26%
24 2007-03-03 59.58 @ Petrovac 1 784 5.48% Zeta 0 1283 70.23% 24.29%
25 2006-10-07 59.36 Petrovac 2 618 2.77% @ Mogren 1 1031 76.14% 21.10%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2006-09-16 60.3 @ Jedinstvo 2 738 11.68% Sutjeska 2 1086 61.24% 27.08%
2 2006-10-07 60.0 @ Decic Tuzi 2 592 55.32% Berane 2 540 16.67% 28.01%
3 2007-03-03 60.0 @ Decic Tuzi 2 701 18.17% Kom Podgorica 2 961 53.65% 28.19%
4 2007-04-04 59.9 @ Mladost Podgorica 2 782 22.24% Mogren 2 1000 49.21% 28.55%
5 2007-04-28 59.8 @ Jedinstvo 2 761 45.37% Sutjeska 2 800 25.89% 28.74%
6 2007-05-26 59.8 @ Kom Podgorica 2 812 43.37% Grbalj 2 868 27.81% 28.82%
7 2006-09-09 59.2 Mladost Podgorica 2 572 2.05% @ Kom Podgorica 1 1046 78.34% 19.61%
8 2006-10-07 58.9 Petrovac 2 618 2.77% @ Mogren 1 1031 76.14% 21.10%
9 2006-11-11 58.8 Mladost Podgorica 5 599 3.34% @ Sutjeska 3 974 74.66% 22.01%
10 2006-08-12 57.6 @ Sutjeska 1 1142 82.21% Petrovac 1 546 1.12% 16.66%
11 2006-08-12 57.5 @ Mogren 1 1136 82.05% Decic Tuzi 1 546 1.15% 16.80%
12 2007-04-04 57.4 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1 1289 81.72% Jedinstvo 1 710 1.22% 17.06%
13 2006-08-26 56.8 @ Kom Podgorica 1 1084 79.13% Berane 1 587 1.83% 19.04%
14 2006-11-19 56.2 @ Petrovac 1 759 2.96% Buducnost Podgorica 1 1384 75.62% 21.42%
15 2007-04-21 55.9 Decic Tuzi 4 666 9.68% @ Mladost Podgorica 2 826 63.83% 26.49%
16 2006-09-09 55.8 @ Grbalj 2 870 13.28% Zeta 1 1192 59.28% 27.45%
17 2007-05-12 55.8 Rudar 2 826 13.11% @ Mogren 1 926 59.47% 27.41%
18 2006-10-07 55.2 @ Kom Podgorica 1 930 6.38% Buducnost Podgorica 1 1398 68.69% 24.93%
19 2006-10-07 55.2 @ Mladost Podgorica 1 749 5.92% Zeta 1 1232 69.46% 24.62%
20 2007-05-12 55.2 @ Sutjeska 1 809 5.78% Buducnost Podgorica 1 1297 69.70% 24.52%
21 2006-11-18 55.0 @ Mogren 1 899 67.89% Jedinstvo 1 671 6.88% 25.23%
22 2007-04-04 54.7 @ Rudar 1 968 64.57% Berane 1 797 9.14% 26.29%
23 2006-09-23 54.5 @ Mogren 1 1098 62.75% Grbalj 1 954 10.50% 26.75%
24 2007-03-17 54.4 @ Mogren 1 892 12.50% Zeta 1 1226 60.22% 27.28%
25 2006-09-02 54.3 @ Decic Tuzi 1 564 13.79% Grbalj 1 879 58.66% 27.55%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2006-09-09 22.2 @ Buducnost Podgorica 3 1376 86.33% Petrovac 0 626 0.51% 13.16%
2 2006-10-14 22.8 @ Buducnost Podgorica 4 1385 83.62% Jedinstvo 0 740 0.87% 15.50%
3 2007-05-19 22.8 @ Buducnost Podgorica 3 1284 84.05% Berane 0 623 0.81% 15.14%
4 2006-11-25 23.0 @ Buducnost Podgorica 4 1368 82.88% Berane 0 750 1.00% 16.12%
5 2007-04-28 23.8 @ Zeta 4 1251 80.26% Petrovac 0 719 1.54% 18.20%
6 2006-09-23 24.6 Buducnost Podgorica 3 1386 78.05% @ Mladost Podgorica 0 695 2.14% 19.82%
7 2006-08-19 24.7 Buducnost Podgorica 3 1249 77.88% @ Decic Tuzi 0 563 2.19% 19.93%
8 2007-03-28 25.2 @ Zeta 3 1217 76.30% Mladost Podgorica 0 799 2.71% 20.99%
9 2006-09-13 25.4 Buducnost Podgorica 2 1378 81.71% @ Berane 0 574 1.22% 17.07%
10 2006-11-25 25.4 @ Zeta 2 1281 81.67% Decic Tuzi 0 703 1.23% 17.10%
11 2007-04-04 25.5 @ Zeta 2 1242 81.28% Decic Tuzi 0 678 1.31% 17.41%
12 2007-04-28 25.6 @ Buducnost Podgorica 2 1302 81.00% Mladost Podgorica 0 746 1.37% 17.63%
13 2006-10-14 26.2 @ Rudar 3 912 72.64% Decic Tuzi 0 586 4.23% 23.13%
14 2006-09-20 26.6 Zeta 4 1145 70.82% @ Decic Tuzi 0 634 5.15% 24.02%
15 2007-05-05 26.6 Zeta 4 1256 70.88% @ Mladost Podgorica 0 744 5.12% 24.00%
16 2007-05-19 26.7 @ Zeta 2 1269 77.35% Sutjeska 0 822 2.35% 20.30%
17 2007-05-09 26.9 @ Buducnost Podgorica 2 1292 76.60% Kom Podgorica 0 866 2.60% 20.80%
18 2007-05-26 26.9 Zeta 2 1273 76.67% @ Berane 0 621 2.58% 20.75%
19 2006-10-28 27.1 Zeta 3 1238 69.77% @ Jedinstvo 0 749 5.74% 24.49%
20 2007-04-14 27.6 @ Zeta 5 1224 77.51% Jedinstvo 1 774 2.30% 20.19%
21 2007-04-21 27.9 Buducnost Podgorica 2 1293 73.27% @ Petrovac 0 727 3.94% 22.80%
22 2007-03-28 28.0 @ Buducnost Podgorica 2 1298 73.25% Kom Podgorica 0 957 3.94% 22.81%
23 2006-11-04 28.3 @ Zeta 2 1257 72.15% Rudar 0 941 4.47% 23.38%
24 2007-03-28 28.5 @ Rudar 3 901 65.03% Jedinstvo 0 722 8.80% 26.16%
25 2007-04-18 28.5 @ Buducnost Podgorica 5 1282 74.73% Grbalj 1 906 3.31% 21.97%