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2007-08 Montenegrin First League Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Buducnost Podgorica

66 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Mogren

13.01 points above expected

66 points · 52.99 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Sutjeska

8.07 points below expected

23 points · 31.07 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Buducnost Podgorica 33 18 12 3 66 43 13 +30 69.65 -3.65
2 Zeta 33 19 9 5 66 56 28 +28 67.69 -1.69
3 Mogren 33 19 9 5 66 46 21 +25 52.99 +13.01
4 Grbalj 33 14 13 6 55 40 25 +15 46.49 +8.51
5 Rudar 33 14 10 9 52 38 26 +12 49.24 +2.76
6 Lovcen 33 11 10 12 43 28 30 -2 47.39 -4.39
7 Decic Tuzi 33 10 8 15 38 26 37 -11 36.07 +1.93
8 Petrovac 33 8 12 13 36 36 46 -10 38.02 -2.02
9 Kom Podgorica 33 9 9 15 36 29 49 -20 35.75 +0.25
10 Bokelj 33 8 8 17 32 24 38 -14 38.46 -6.46
11 Sutjeska* 33 5 11 17 23 19 44 -25 31.07 -8.07
12 Mladost Podgorica 33 4 7 22 19 16 44 -28 23.05 -4.05

* Point deductions: Sutjeska (-3 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Mogren 66 52.99 +13.01
2 Grbalj 55 46.49 +8.51
3 Rudar 52 49.24 +2.76
4 Decic Tuzi 38 36.07 +1.93
5 Kom Podgorica 36 35.75 +0.25

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sutjeska 23 31.07 -8.07
2 Bokelj 32 38.46 -6.46
3 Lovcen 43 47.39 -4.39
4 Mladost Podgorica 19 23.05 -4.05
5 Buducnost Podgorica 66 69.65 -3.65

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Mladost Podgorica 2 May 3 – May 10 1 in 84
2 Mogren 4 Sep 15 – Oct 6 1 in 41
3 Decic Tuzi 3 Aug 25 – Sep 1 1 in 30
4 Kom Podgorica 2 Aug 11 – Aug 18 1 in 28
5 Grbalj 4 May 10 – May 24 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bokelj 7 Aug 25 – Oct 7 1 in 1,297
2 Rudar 3 Apr 30 – May 10 1 in 183
3 Lovcen 3 Dec 1 – Dec 15 1 in 47
4 Kom Podgorica 3 Sep 1 – Sep 22 1 in 23
5 Zeta 2 Aug 25 – Aug 29 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Grbalj 10 Nov 24 – Mar 29 1 in 39
2 Buducnost Podgorica 21 Nov 4 – May 17 1 in 25
3 Sutjeska 5 Apr 19 – May 10 1 in 24
4 Mogren 8 Oct 27 – Feb 23 1 in 23
5 Rudar 7 Mar 16 – Apr 26 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Mladost Podgorica 28 Aug 11 – Apr 30 1 in 113
2 Petrovac 10 Apr 5 – May 24 1 in 34
3 Rudar 6 Apr 19 – May 14 1 in 32
4 Bokelj 7 Aug 25 – Oct 7 1 in 16
5 Lovcen 6 Apr 26 – May 17 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Mogren 1162 66 +44 13 9.8 +3.2
Zeta 1203 66 +38 13 10.8 +2.2
Buducnost Podgorica 1243 66 -4 10 11.6 -1.6
Grbalj 1089 55 +60 13 8.6 +4.4
Rudar 1023 52 -54 4 9.3 -5.3
Lovcen 956 43 -18 5 5.0 +0.0
Decic Tuzi 886 38 -32 2 4.7 -2.7
Kom Podgorica 842 36 -43 1 4.4 -3.4
Petrovac 872 36 -53 0 3.5 -3.5
Bokelj 922 32 +22 7 5.4 +1.6
Sutjeska 809 26 -29 4 5.0 -1.0
Mladost Podgorica 785 19 +68 12 3.8 +8.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BOK BP DT GRB KP LOV MP MOG PET RUD SUT ZET
Bokelj —
1-0-2
1.57
1-1-1
4.15
0-0-3
3.19
0-1-2
4.42
1-2-0
3.11
2-0-1
5.28
0-1-2
2.61
1-1-1
3.45
0-1-2
3.39
1-1-1
4.40
1-0-2
1.60
Buducnost Podgorica
2-0-1
6.70
—
3-0-0
6.90
0-2-1
6.41
1-1-1
6.71
2-1-0
6.18
3-0-0
7.61
1-2-0
6.08
2-1-0
6.83
1-2-0
5.64
2-1-0
6.86
1-2-0
3.77
Decic Tuzi
1-1-1
3.95
0-0-3
1.43
—
1-1-1
3.53
2-0-1
4.28
2-1-0
2.70
2-1-0
5.11
0-1-2
2.60
1-2-0
4.02
0-0-3
2.86
1-1-1
4.35
0-0-3
1.86
Grbalj
3-0-0
4.90
1-2-0
1.82
1-1-1
4.54
—
1-2-0
5.52
2-0-1
4.18
3-0-0
6.30
1-1-1
3.59
1-1-1
5.18
1-2-0
3.44
0-3-0
5.26
0-1-2
2.25
Kom Podgorica
2-1-0
3.63
1-1-1
1.57
1-0-2
3.78
0-2-1
2.61
—
0-1-2
2.90
1-1-1
5.08
0-0-3
2.77
1-1-1
3.86
1-1-1
3.09
1-1-1
4.52
1-0-2
1.57
Lovcen
0-2-1
4.97
0-1-2
2.02
0-1-2
5.41
1-0-2
3.89
2-1-0
5.19
—
3-0-0
5.94
1-0-2
3.04
1-2-0
4.66
2-0-1
4.19
1-1-1
5.32
0-2-1
1.94
Mladost Podgorica
1-0-2
2.82
0-0-3
0.90
0-1-2
3.00
0-0-3
1.92
1-1-1
3.03
0-0-3
2.24
—
0-0-3
1.52
0-2-1
2.36
1-1-1
1.83
1-1-1
3.00
0-1-2
0.94
Mogren
2-1-0
5.51
0-2-1
2.09
2-1-0
5.51
1-1-1
4.48
3-0-0
5.41
2-0-1
5.08
3-0-0
6.79
—
2-0-1
5.31
1-2-0
4.28
2-1-0
5.05
1-1-1
2.53
Petrovac
1-1-1
4.65
0-1-2
1.48
0-2-1
4.04
1-1-1
2.91
1-1-1
4.20
0-2-1
3.43
1-2-0
5.77
1-0-2
2.81
—
1-0-2
2.80
2-1-0
4.00
0-1-2
1.85
Rudar
2-1-0
4.68
0-2-1
2.49
3-0-0
5.25
0-2-1
4.64
1-1-1
4.99
1-0-2
3.88
1-1-1
6.42
0-2-1
3.78
2-0-1
5.31
—
3-0-0
5.84
1-1-1
2.41
Sutjeska
1-1-1
3.69
0-1-2
1.46
1-1-1
3.71
0-3-0
2.83
1-1-1
3.56
1-1-1
2.79
1-1-1
5.09
0-1-2
3.06
0-1-2
4.07
0-0-3
2.32
—
0-0-3
1.60
Zeta
2-0-1
6.71
0-2-1
4.29
3-0-0
6.37
2-1-0
5.92
2-0-1
6.73
1-2-0
6.27
2-1-0
7.55
1-1-1
5.62
2-1-0
6.37
1-1-1
5.72
3-0-0
6.68
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.87 +13.1
Allowed 0.75 -12.7
Differential 0.97 +7.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.14%13.64%7.58%1.77%1.01%—38.13%
113.64%13.64%5.30%2.02%1.77%—36.36%
27.58%5.30%2.02%1.01%0.51%0.25%16.67%
31.77%2.02%1.01%——0.25%5.05%
41.01%1.77%0.51%———3.28%
5+——0.25%0.25%——0.51%
Total38.13%36.36%16.67%5.05%3.28%0.51%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.01 1.01 +0.00
SD 1.10 1.10 1.53
CV 1.09 1.09 —
Max 8 8 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%30.30%12.12%———57.58%
115.15%6.06%3.03%3.03%——27.27%
23.03%—3.03%———6.06%
3—————3.03%3.03%
4—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
5+———————
Total33.33%39.39%21.21%3.03%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 1.15 -0.42
SD 1.13 1.48 1.50
CV 1.55 1.29 —
Max 4 8 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%6.06%————24.24%
127.27%18.18%————45.45%
29.09%3.03%—3.03%——15.15%
36.06%—————6.06%
46.06%3.03%————9.09%
5+———————
Total66.67%30.30%—3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 0.39 +0.91
SD 1.19 0.66 1.33
CV 0.91 1.67 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%15.15%15.15%—3.03%—42.42%
115.15%15.15%6.06%3.03%3.03%—42.42%
26.06%3.03%————9.09%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%36.36%21.21%3.03%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.79 1.12 -0.33
SD 0.86 1.11 1.57
CV 1.09 0.99 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
024.24%6.06%3.03%———33.33%
19.09%15.15%3.03%———27.27%
212.12%6.06%—3.03%3.03%—24.24%
33.03%9.09%3.03%———15.15%
4———————
5+———————
Total48.48%36.36%9.09%3.03%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 0.76 +0.45
SD 1.08 0.97 1.23
CV 0.89 1.28 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%9.09%6.06%3.03%3.03%—39.39%
16.06%6.06%—12.12%9.09%—33.33%
29.09%12.12%3.03%3.03%——27.27%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%27.27%9.09%18.18%12.12%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 1.48 -0.61
SD 0.82 1.44 1.64
CV 0.93 0.97 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%21.21%12.12%—3.03%—48.48%
118.18%15.15%————33.33%
23.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
3——3.03%———3.03%
43.03%3.03%————6.06%
5+———————
Total36.36%42.42%18.18%—3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 0.91 -0.06
SD 1.12 0.91 1.54
CV 1.32 1.01 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%21.21%21.21%3.03%——60.61%
16.06%6.06%18.18%3.03%——33.33%
2—3.03%————3.03%
3——3.03%———3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total21.21%30.30%42.42%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.48 1.33 -0.85
SD 0.71 0.89 1.03
CV 1.47 0.67 —
Max 3 3 +1
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%9.09%—6.06%——27.27%
112.12%12.12%————24.24%
224.24%9.09%3.03%———36.36%
3—6.06%————6.06%
43.03%3.03%————6.06%
5+———————
Total51.52%39.39%3.03%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 0.64 +0.76
SD 1.14 0.82 1.52
CV 0.82 1.29 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%12.12%6.06%3.03%——27.27%
19.09%27.27%6.06%—3.03%—45.45%
26.06%3.03%3.03%3.03%3.03%3.03%21.21%
3—3.03%————3.03%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+———————
Total21.21%45.45%18.18%6.06%6.06%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.39 -0.30
SD 0.95 1.25 1.40
CV 0.87 0.90 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%9.09%3.03%———30.30%
115.15%9.09%12.12%3.03%——39.39%
212.12%6.06%3.03%———21.21%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
4———————
5+——3.03%———3.03%
Total48.48%27.27%21.21%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 0.79 +0.36
SD 1.12 0.89 1.32
CV 0.97 1.13 —
Max 5 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%18.18%9.09%6.06%3.03%—48.48%
19.09%21.21%9.09%—6.06%—45.45%
23.03%3.03%————6.06%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total24.24%42.42%18.18%6.06%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.58 1.33 -0.76
SD 0.61 1.19 1.39
CV 1.07 0.89 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%6.06%3.03%———18.18%
121.21%12.12%6.06%———39.39%
23.03%12.12%6.06%———21.21%
36.06%—3.03%———9.09%
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+———3.03%——3.03%
Total39.39%39.39%18.18%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.70 0.85 +0.85
SD 1.63 0.83 1.48
CV 0.96 0.98 —
Max 8 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Buducnost Podgorica 1243 66 69.65 -3.65 38.0% 54 60 64 69 74 80 87
Zeta 1203 66 67.69 -1.69 45.0% 47 57 63 68 73 79 84
Mogren 1162 66 52.99 +13.01 95.0% 37 39 48 52 58 66 72
Grbalj 1089 55 46.49 +8.51 93.0% 33 35 42 46 51 57 64
Rudar 1023 52 49.24 +2.76 70.0% 34 39 45 49 53 58 63
Lovcen 956 43 47.39 -4.39 25.0% 31 35 43 47 52 59 63
Bokelj 922 32 38.46 -6.46 17.0% 27 29 34 38 43 49 53
Decic Tuzi 886 38 36.07 +1.93 62.0% 18 25 32 36 41 45 50
Petrovac 872 36 38.02 -2.02 37.0% 20 27 32 38 43 48 57
Kom Podgorica 842 36 35.75 +0.25 56.0% 23 25 31 35 40 48 53
Sutjeska 809 23 31.07 -8.07 11.0% 8 22 27 31 35 41 54
Mladost Podgorica 785 19 23.05 -4.05 22.0% 10 13 20 22 26 31 34

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+15.66%
Slight Edge
42.93%29.80%27.27%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 54.85 Elo pts.
258 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.31 goals
Neutral
-2+0.21+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.0
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
58%
Buducnost Podgorica, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.230.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.21 * Some Luck: 5.21 to 7.82 * Lucky: 7.82 to 10.42 * Wild Swing: 10.42 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.97 * Close: 0.97 to 1.46 * Off: 1.46 to 1.94 * Way Off: 1.94 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.88 points
Some Luck
06.5116
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.83
Pinpoint
01.212.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
95.00%
Mogren
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
11.00%
Sutjeska
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Lopsided
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 158.61
2.25
Wide Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
80%
Wide Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
93%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
70%
Very Frequent
0%67%100%
Blowouts
Expected
10%
Rare
0%10%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.46
Notable Separation
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.77
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.60
Strong Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
19%
As Expected
0%19%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Solid Favorites
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.62
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.92
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.058
Well Within Noise
00.1230.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Buducnost Podgorica58.00%38.00%4.00%—————————
Zeta40.00%49.00%8.00%2.00%—1.00%——————
Mogren2.00%11.00%32.00%28.00%13.00%7.00%4.00%3.00%————
Grbalj—1.00%12.00%17.00%27.00%15.00%15.00%4.00%6.00%1.00%2.00%—
Rudar——22.00%30.00%17.00%10.00%14.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%——
Lovcen—1.00%17.00%19.00%22.00%19.00%6.00%9.00%4.00%3.00%——
Decic Tuzi———1.00%2.00%8.00%21.00%16.00%20.00%17.00%12.00%3.00%
Petrovac——2.00%1.00%4.00%19.00%16.00%16.00%12.00%16.00%14.00%—
Kom Podgorica——3.00%—4.00%7.00%8.00%16.00%21.00%21.00%15.00%5.00%
Bokelj———1.00%9.00%14.00%12.00%22.00%17.00%19.00%6.00%—
Sutjeska———1.00%2.00%—4.00%9.00%18.00%19.00%30.00%17.00%
Mladost Podgorica————————1.00%3.00%21.00%75.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Bokelj 75.00% 25.00% —
Buducnost Podgorica 100% — —
Grbalj 97.00% 3.00% —
Lovcen 97.00% 3.00% —
Mogren 100% — —
Petrovac 70.00% 30.00% —
Rudar 99.00% 1.00% —
Zeta 100% — —
Decic Tuzi 68.00% 29.00% 3.00%
Kom Podgorica 59.00% 36.00% 5.00%
Sutjeska 34.00% 49.00% 17.00%
Mladost Podgorica 1.00% 24.00% 75.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2007-08-11 Bokelj D 0-047.4 962 1007 35.86% 31.60% 32.55%+0.04 -0.3 1
2007-08-11 @ Rudar D 0-047.4 1007 962 32.55% 31.60% 35.86%-0.04 +0.3 1
2007-08-11 Buducnost Podgorica D 1-154.7 926 1222 11.74% 26.16% 62.10%-0.93 +4.3 1
2007-08-11 @ Sutjeska D 1-154.7 1222 926 62.10% 26.16% 11.74%+0.93 -4.3 1
2007-08-11 Kom Podgorica L 0-240.3 889 905 39.89% 31.43% 28.67%+0.15 -29.2 0
2007-08-11 @ Mladost Podgorica W 2-040.3 905 889 28.67% 31.43% 39.89%-0.15 +29.2 3
2007-08-11 Mogren D 1-153.1 869 990 25.82% 31.17% 43.01%-0.26 +1.3 1
2007-08-11 @ Decic Tuzi D 1-153.1 990 869 43.01% 31.17% 25.82%+0.26 -1.3 1
2007-08-11 Petrovac D 2-259.7 1007 875 57.31% 28.05% 14.64%+0.72 -2.6 1
2007-08-11 @ Lovcen D 2-259.7 875 1007 14.64% 28.05% 57.31%-0.72 +2.6 1
2007-08-11 Zeta L 1-241.4 940 1202 13.65% 27.49% 58.86%-0.80 -6.2 0
2007-08-11 @ Grbalj W 2-141.4 1202 940 58.86% 27.49% 13.65%+0.80 +6.2 3
2007-08-18 Buducnost Podgorica W 1-049.2 934 1217 12.41% 26.67% 60.92%-0.88 +21.8 6
2007-08-18 @ Kom Podgorica L 0-149.2 1217 934 60.92% 26.67% 12.41%+0.88 -21.8 1
2007-08-18 Decic Tuzi W 1-035.5 1007 870 57.84% 27.86% 14.30%+0.74 +6.8 4
2007-08-18 @ Bokelj L 0-135.5 870 1007 14.30% 27.86% 57.84%-0.74 -6.9 1
2007-08-18 Grbalj L 0-340.9 988 934 48.91% 30.31% 20.79%+0.42 -49.8 1
2007-08-18 @ Mogren W 3-040.9 934 988 20.79% 30.31% 48.91%-0.42 +49.8 3
2007-08-18 Lovcen L 0-139.1 859 1004 23.15% 30.79% 46.06%-0.35 -10.4 0
2007-08-18 @ Mladost Podgorica W 1-039.1 1004 859 46.06% 30.79% 23.15%+0.35 +10.4 4
2007-08-18 Rudar W 1-043.7 878 961 30.49% 31.53% 37.98%-0.11 +14.9 4
2007-08-18 @ Petrovac L 0-143.7 961 878 37.98% 31.53% 30.49%+0.11 -14.9 1
2007-08-18 Sutjeska W 1-031.9 1208 930 70.15% 22.03% 7.82%+1.29 +3.5 6
2007-08-18 @ Zeta L 0-131.9 930 1208 7.82% 22.03% 70.15%-1.29 -3.5 1
2007-08-25 Bokelj W 1-041.5 984 1014 37.95% 31.54% 30.51%+0.09 +12.8 6
2007-08-25 @ Grbalj L 0-141.5 1014 984 30.51% 31.54% 37.95%-0.09 -12.8 4
2007-08-25 Kom Podgorica D 0-047.9 1015 956 49.40% 30.21% 20.39%+0.44 -2.6 5
2007-08-25 @ Lovcen D 0-047.9 956 1015 20.39% 30.21% 49.40%-0.44 +2.6 7
2007-08-25 Mogren D 0-047.5 926 939 40.44% 31.40% 28.17%+0.16 -1.0 2
2007-08-25 @ Sutjeska D 0-047.5 939 926 28.17% 31.40% 40.44%-0.16 +1.0 2
2007-08-25 Petrovac W 2-147.6 863 893 38.09% 31.53% 30.38%+0.10 +12.1 4
2007-08-25 @ Decic Tuzi L 1-247.6 893 863 30.38% 31.53% 38.09%-0.10 -12.1 4
2007-08-25 Mladost Podgorica W 3-138.4 946 849 53.74% 29.17% 17.09%+0.59 +13.2 4
2007-08-25 @ Rudar L 1-338.4 849 946 17.09% 29.17% 53.74%-0.59 -13.2 0
2007-08-25 Zeta W 2-147.2 1195 1211 39.96% 31.43% 28.61%+0.15 +11.5 4
2007-08-25 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 1-247.2 1211 1195 28.61% 31.43% 39.96%-0.15 -11.5 6
2007-08-29 Buducnost Podgorica D 1-154.3 940 1207 13.30% 27.27% 59.43%-0.82 +3.9 3
2007-08-29 @ Mogren D 1-154.3 1207 940 59.43% 27.27% 13.30%+0.82 -3.9 5
2007-08-29 Decic Tuzi L 0-337.6 836 875 36.67% 31.58% 31.75%+0.06 -39.9 0
2007-08-29 @ Mladost Podgorica W 3-037.6 875 836 31.75% 31.58% 36.67%-0.06 +39.9 7
2007-08-29 Grbalj W 4-249.6 881 997 26.42% 31.24% 42.34%-0.24 +23.7 7
2007-08-29 @ Petrovac L 2-449.6 997 881 42.34% 31.24% 26.42%+0.24 -23.7 6
2007-08-29 Rudar W 1-038.3 1012 960 48.67% 30.35% 20.98%+0.42 +9.6 8
2007-08-29 @ Lovcen L 0-138.3 960 1012 20.98% 30.35% 48.67%-0.42 -9.6 4
2007-08-29 Sutjeska L 0-147.2 1001 925 51.38% 29.78% 18.85%+0.51 -18.9 4
2007-08-29 @ Bokelj W 1-047.2 925 1001 18.85% 29.78% 51.38%-0.51 +19.0 5
2007-08-29 Zeta W 2-154.5 959 1200 14.94% 28.21% 56.85%-0.72 +19.5 10
2007-08-29 @ Kom Podgorica L 1-254.5 1200 959 56.85% 28.21% 14.94%+0.72 -19.5 6
2007-09-01 Bokelj W 1-033.3 1203 982 65.51% 24.55% 9.95%+1.07 +4.7 8
2007-09-01 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-133.3 982 1203 9.95% 24.55% 65.51%-1.07 -4.7 4
2007-09-01 Kom Podgorica W 3-035.7 950 978 38.29% 31.52% 30.19%+0.10 +34.9 7
2007-09-01 @ Rudar L 0-335.7 978 950 30.19% 31.52% 38.29%-0.10 -34.9 10
2007-09-01 Lovcen W 1-044.6 915 1022 27.54% 31.35% 41.11%-0.20 +15.9 10
2007-09-01 @ Decic Tuzi L 0-144.6 1022 915 41.11% 31.35% 27.54%+0.20 -15.9 8
2007-09-01 Petrovac L 0-146.2 944 904 47.15% 30.62% 22.23%+0.37 -17.7 5
2007-09-01 @ Sutjeska W 1-046.2 904 944 22.23% 30.62% 47.15%-0.37 +17.7 10
2007-09-01 Mladost Podgorica W 2-140.5 973 796 61.63% 26.36% 12.00%+0.90 +5.4 9
2007-09-01 @ Grbalj L 1-240.5 796 973 12.00% 26.36% 61.63%-0.90 -5.4 0
2007-09-02 Mogren W 1-032.8 1180 944 66.85% 23.86% 9.30%+1.13 +4.3 9
2007-09-02 @ Zeta L 0-132.8 944 1180 9.30% 23.86% 66.85%-1.13 -4.3 3
2007-09-15 Buducnost Podgorica D 1-154.5 922 1208 12.27% 26.56% 61.17%-0.90 +4.1 11
2007-09-15 @ Petrovac D 1-154.5 1208 922 61.17% 26.56% 12.27%+0.90 -4.1 9
2007-09-15 Decic Tuzi W 2-144.3 985 931 48.81% 30.32% 20.86%+0.42 +9.0 10
2007-09-15 @ Rudar L 1-244.3 931 985 20.86% 30.32% 48.81%-0.42 -9.1 10
2007-09-15 Grbalj W 3-249.7 1006 978 45.65% 30.85% 23.50%+0.32 +9.4 11
2007-09-15 @ Lovcen L 2-349.7 978 1006 23.50% 30.85% 45.65%-0.32 -9.5 9
2007-09-15 Mogren L 1-346.7 943 939 42.60% 31.21% 26.19%+0.23 -26.6 10
2007-09-15 @ Kom Podgorica W 3-146.7 939 943 26.19% 31.21% 42.60%-0.23 +26.6 6
2007-09-15 Sutjeska D 0-047.6 790 927 24.10% 30.94% 44.96%-0.32 +1.8 1
2007-09-15 @ Mladost Podgorica D 0-047.6 927 790 44.96% 30.94% 24.10%+0.32 -1.8 6
2007-09-15 Zeta L 0-136.9 978 1185 17.44% 29.30% 53.26%-0.59 -8.2 4
2007-09-15 @ Bokelj W 1-036.9 1185 978 53.26% 29.30% 17.44%+0.59 +8.2 12
2007-09-22 Bokelj W 1-040.4 966 969 41.60% 31.31% 27.10%+0.20 +11.8 9
2007-09-22 @ Mogren L 0-140.4 969 966 27.10% 31.31% 41.60%-0.20 -11.8 4
2007-09-22 Kom Podgorica W 2-036.1 922 917 42.80% 31.19% 26.01%+0.23 +21.5 13
2007-09-22 @ Decic Tuzi L 0-236.1 917 922 26.01% 31.19% 42.80%-0.23 -21.5 10
2007-09-22 Lovcen D 1-153.0 925 1015 29.57% 31.49% 38.94%-0.14 +0.7 7
2007-09-22 @ Sutjeska D 1-153.0 1015 925 38.94% 31.49% 29.57%+0.14 -0.7 12
2007-09-22 Petrovac W 4-130.8 1193 926 69.28% 22.53% 8.19%+1.25 +8.6 15
2007-09-22 @ Zeta L 1-430.8 926 1193 8.19% 22.53% 69.28%-1.25 -8.6 11
2007-09-22 Rudar D 1-153.0 969 994 38.68% 31.50% 29.82%+0.12 -0.6 10
2007-09-22 @ Grbalj D 1-153.0 994 969 29.82% 31.50% 38.68%-0.12 +0.7 11
2007-09-22 Mladost Podgorica W 1-029.0 1204 792 79.44% 16.15% 4.41%+1.81 +1.8 12
2007-09-22 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-129.0 792 1204 4.41% 16.15% 79.44%-1.81 -1.8 1
2007-09-29 Bokelj W 2-038.9 895 958 33.38% 31.61% 35.01%-0.03 +26.6 13
2007-09-29 @ Kom Podgorica L 0-238.9 958 895 35.01% 31.61% 33.38%+0.03 -26.6 4
2007-09-29 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-137.5 1015 1205 18.78% 29.75% 51.47%-0.53 -8.8 12
2007-09-29 @ Lovcen W 1-037.5 1205 1015 51.47% 29.75% 18.78%+0.53 +8.8 15
2007-09-29 Grbalj D 0-047.5 944 968 38.76% 31.50% 29.74%+0.12 -0.7 14
2007-09-29 @ Decic Tuzi D 0-047.5 968 944 29.74% 31.50% 38.76%-0.12 +0.7 11
2007-09-29 Mogren L 0-238.6 917 978 33.75% 31.61% 34.64%-0.02 -25.9 11
2007-09-29 @ Petrovac W 2-038.6 978 917 34.64% 31.61% 33.75%+0.02 +25.9 12
2007-09-29 Sutjeska W 1-037.7 995 925 50.59% 29.96% 19.45%+0.48 +9.0 14
2007-09-29 @ Rudar L 0-137.7 925 995 19.45% 29.96% 50.59%-0.48 -9.1 7
2007-09-29 Zeta D 1-156.1 790 1201 7.21% 21.17% 71.62%-1.38 +5.5 2
2007-09-29 @ Mladost Podgorica D 1-156.1 1201 790 71.62% 21.17% 7.21%+1.38 -5.5 16
2007-10-06 Decic Tuzi W 2-037.4 916 943 38.51% 31.51% 29.98%+0.11 +23.9 10
2007-10-06 @ Sutjeska L 0-237.4 943 916 29.98% 31.51% 38.51%-0.11 -23.9 14
2007-10-06 Kom Podgorica D 0-047.8 969 922 48.04% 30.47% 21.50%+0.40 -2.3 12
2007-10-06 @ Grbalj D 0-047.8 922 969 21.50% 30.47% 48.04%-0.40 +2.3 14
2007-10-06 Lovcen W 1-034.1 1196 1006 62.81% 25.84% 11.35%+0.95 +5.4 19
2007-10-06 @ Zeta L 0-134.1 1006 1196 11.35% 25.84% 62.81%-0.95 -5.4 12
2007-10-06 Rudar D 1-155.0 1214 1004 64.63% 24.98% 10.39%+1.03 -4.6 16
2007-10-06 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 1-155.0 1004 1214 10.39% 24.98% 64.63%-1.03 +4.6 15
2007-10-06 Mladost Podgorica W 2-139.7 1004 796 64.36% 25.11% 10.53%+1.02 +4.7 15
2007-10-06 @ Mogren L 1-239.7 796 1004 10.53% 25.11% 64.36%-1.02 -4.7 2
2007-10-07 Petrovac L 0-242.3 931 892 47.10% 30.63% 22.28%+0.37 -33.3 4
2007-10-07 @ Bokelj W 2-042.3 892 931 22.28% 30.63% 47.10%-0.37 +33.3 14
2007-10-20 Bokelj L 0-140.5 791 898 27.56% 31.35% 41.09%-0.20 -11.9 2
2007-10-20 @ Mladost Podgorica W 1-040.5 898 791 41.09% 31.35% 27.56%+0.20 +11.9 7
2007-10-20 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-134.4 919 1210 12.02% 26.37% 61.61%-0.91 -5.7 14
2007-10-20 @ Decic Tuzi W 1-034.4 1210 919 61.61% 26.37% 12.02%+0.91 +5.7 19
2007-10-20 Mogren W 1-040.6 1001 1008 41.06% 31.35% 27.59%+0.18 +11.9 15
2007-10-20 @ Lovcen L 0-140.6 1008 1001 27.59% 31.35% 41.06%-0.18 -11.9 15
2007-10-21 Zeta L 1-243.5 1008 1201 18.57% 29.69% 51.74%-0.54 -8.2 15
2007-10-21 @ Rudar W 2-143.5 1201 1008 51.74% 29.69% 18.57%+0.54 +8.2 22
2007-10-27 Decic Tuzi W 2-137.5 1210 913 71.57% 21.20% 7.23%+1.36 +3.0 25
2007-10-27 @ Zeta L 1-237.5 913 1210 7.23% 21.20% 71.57%-1.36 -3.0 14
2007-10-27 Grbalj L 2-360.7 1215 967 67.84% 23.33% 8.84%+1.18 -21.2 19
2007-10-27 @ Buducnost Podgorica W 3-260.7 967 1215 8.84% 23.33% 67.84%-1.18 +21.2 15
2007-10-27 Kom Podgorica W 1-039.6 940 924 44.21% 31.04% 24.76%+0.28 +11.0 13
2007-10-27 @ Sutjeska L 0-139.6 924 940 24.76% 31.04% 44.21%-0.28 -11.0 14
2007-10-27 Lovcen D 1-153.1 910 1012 28.02% 31.39% 40.60%-0.19 +0.9 8
2007-10-27 @ Bokelj D 1-153.1 1012 910 40.60% 31.39% 28.02%+0.19 -0.9 16
2007-10-27 Rudar D 1-153.1 996 1000 41.57% 31.31% 27.12%+0.20 -1.1 16
2007-10-27 @ Mogren D 1-153.1 1000 996 27.12% 31.31% 41.57%-0.20 +1.1 16
2007-10-27 Mladost Podgorica W 2-141.4 925 779 58.65% 27.57% 13.78%+0.78 +6.2 17
2007-10-27 @ Petrovac L 1-241.4 779 925 13.78% 27.57% 58.65%-0.78 -6.2 2
2007-10-31 Sutjeska D 1-153.3 988 951 46.72% 30.69% 22.59%+0.35 -1.9 16
2007-10-31 @ Grbalj D 1-153.3 951 988 22.59% 30.69% 46.72%-0.35 +1.9 14
2007-11-03 Decic Tuzi W 2-033.2 995 910 52.39% 29.53% 18.08%+0.54 +16.0 19
2007-11-03 @ Mogren L 0-233.2 910 995 18.08% 29.53% 52.39%-0.54 -16.0 14
2007-11-03 Grbalj W 1-033.1 1213 986 66.01% 24.29% 9.70%+1.09 +4.5 28
2007-11-03 @ Zeta L 0-133.1 986 1213 9.70% 24.29% 66.01%-1.09 -4.5 16
2007-11-03 Lovcen D 1-153.0 931 1012 30.91% 31.55% 37.54%-0.10 +0.5 18
2007-11-03 @ Petrovac D 1-153.0 1012 931 37.54% 31.55% 30.91%+0.10 -0.5 17
2007-11-03 Rudar L 0-237.3 911 1001 29.58% 31.49% 38.92%-0.14 -23.6 8
2007-11-03 @ Bokelj W 2-037.3 1001 911 38.92% 31.49% 29.58%+0.14 +23.7 19
2007-11-03 Mladost Podgorica D 0-048.6 913 773 58.10% 27.77% 14.13%+0.75 -4.1 15
2007-11-03 @ Kom Podgorica D 0-048.6 773 913 14.13% 27.77% 58.10%-0.75 +4.1 3
2007-11-04 Sutjeska W 2-028.8 1194 953 67.19% 23.67% 9.13%+1.15 +8.0 22
2007-11-04 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-228.8 953 1194 9.13% 23.67% 67.19%-1.15 -8.0 14
2007-11-10 Bokelj W 3-141.7 894 887 43.01% 31.17% 25.82%+0.24 +18.5 17
2007-11-10 @ Decic Tuzi L 1-341.7 887 894 25.82% 31.17% 43.01%-0.24 -18.5 8
2007-11-10 Kom Podgorica D 0-050.5 1202 909 71.33% 21.34% 7.33%+1.35 -6.1 23
2007-11-10 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 0-050.5 909 1202 7.33% 21.34% 71.33%-1.35 +6.1 16
2007-11-10 Petrovac W 1-036.9 1025 932 53.29% 29.29% 17.42%+0.57 +8.2 22
2007-11-10 @ Rudar L 0-136.9 932 1025 17.42% 29.29% 53.29%-0.57 -8.2 18
2007-11-10 Mladost Podgorica W 2-029.0 1011 777 66.60% 23.99% 9.41%+1.12 +8.3 20
2007-11-10 @ Lovcen L 0-229.0 777 1011 9.41% 23.99% 66.60%-1.12 -8.3 3
2007-11-11 Mogren L 0-239.8 981 1011 38.02% 31.53% 30.45%+0.10 -28.2 16
2007-11-11 @ Grbalj W 2-039.8 1011 981 30.45% 31.53% 38.02%-0.10 +28.2 22
2007-11-21 Zeta L 0-329.2 945 1217 13.04% 27.10% 59.86%-0.84 -17.1 14
2007-11-21 @ Sutjeska W 3-029.2 1217 945 59.86% 27.10% 13.04%+0.84 +17.1 31
2007-11-24 Decic Tuzi D 1-153.2 923 913 43.47% 31.12% 25.41%+0.25 -1.4 19
2007-11-24 @ Petrovac D 1-153.2 913 923 25.41% 31.12% 43.47%-0.25 +1.4 18
2007-11-24 Grbalj L 0-141.4 868 953 30.36% 31.53% 38.11%-0.12 -12.8 8
2007-11-24 @ Bokelj W 1-041.4 953 868 38.11% 31.53% 30.36%+0.12 +12.8 19
2007-11-24 Lovcen L 0-435.0 915 1019 27.82% 31.37% 40.81%-0.19 -42.9 16
2007-11-24 @ Kom Podgorica W 4-035.0 1019 915 40.81% 31.37% 27.82%+0.19 +42.9 23
2007-11-24 Rudar D 0-048.7 769 1033 13.50% 27.39% 59.11%-0.81 +4.3 4
2007-11-24 @ Mladost Podgorica D 0-048.7 1033 769 59.11% 27.39% 13.50%+0.81 -4.3 23
2007-11-24 Sutjeska W 1-036.3 1039 928 55.21% 28.74% 16.05%+0.64 +7.6 25
2007-11-24 @ Mogren L 0-136.3 928 1039 16.05% 28.74% 55.21%-0.64 -7.6 14
2007-11-25 Buducnost Podgorica D 0-048.0 1234 1196 46.94% 30.65% 22.41%+0.36 -2.1 32
2007-11-25 @ Zeta D 0-048.0 1196 1234 22.41% 30.65% 46.94%-0.36 +2.1 24
2007-11-28 Petrovac W 1-042.3 872 922 35.21% 31.61% 33.19%+0.02 +13.6 19
2007-11-28 @ Kom Podgorica L 0-142.3 922 872 33.19% 31.61% 35.21%-0.02 -13.6 19
2007-12-01 Bokelj D 0-047.9 920 856 50.10% 30.06% 19.84%+0.46 -2.7 15
2007-12-01 @ Sutjeska D 0-047.9 856 920 19.84% 30.06% 50.10%-0.46 +2.7 9
2007-12-01 Kom Podgorica W 2-026.4 1232 886 75.19% 18.96% 5.85%+1.56 +4.7 35
2007-12-01 @ Zeta L 0-226.4 886 1232 5.85% 18.96% 75.19%-1.56 -4.7 19
2007-12-01 Lovcen W 2-037.7 1029 1062 37.52% 31.55% 30.93%+0.08 +24.4 26
2007-12-01 @ Rudar L 0-237.7 1062 1029 30.93% 31.55% 37.52%-0.08 -24.4 23
2007-12-01 Mogren D 1-154.3 1198 1047 59.19% 27.36% 13.45%+0.80 -3.8 25
2007-12-01 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 1-154.3 1047 1198 13.45% 27.36% 59.19%-0.80 +3.8 26
2007-12-01 Petrovac D 1-153.4 966 908 49.26% 30.24% 20.51%+0.44 -2.3 20
2007-12-01 @ Grbalj D 1-153.4 908 966 20.51% 30.24% 49.26%-0.44 +2.3 20
2007-12-01 Mladost Podgorica D 0-048.6 914 773 58.19% 27.74% 14.07%+0.76 -4.1 19
2007-12-01 @ Decic Tuzi D 0-048.6 773 914 14.07% 27.74% 58.19%-0.76 +4.1 5
2007-12-08 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-133.2 858 1194 9.90% 24.49% 65.61%-1.09 -4.6 9
2007-12-08 @ Bokelj W 1-033.2 1194 858 65.61% 24.49% 9.90%+1.09 +4.6 28
2007-12-08 Grbalj L 1-243.7 777 964 19.17% 29.87% 50.96%-0.51 -8.4 5
2007-12-08 @ Mladost Podgorica W 2-143.7 964 777 50.96% 29.87% 19.17%+0.51 +8.4 23
2007-12-08 Rudar W 2-152.9 881 1053 20.43% 30.22% 49.35%-0.45 +17.3 22
2007-12-08 @ Kom Podgorica L 1-252.9 1053 881 49.35% 30.22% 20.43%+0.45 -17.3 26
2007-12-08 Sutjeska W 2-036.6 911 918 41.12% 31.35% 27.53%+0.18 +22.4 23
2007-12-08 @ Petrovac L 0-236.6 918 911 27.53% 31.35% 41.12%-0.18 -22.5 15
2007-12-08 Zeta D 2-259.2 1051 1237 19.20% 29.88% 50.92%-0.51 +1.9 27
2007-12-08 @ Mogren D 2-259.2 1237 1051 50.92% 29.88% 19.20%+0.51 -1.9 36
2007-12-09 Decic Tuzi L 0-244.5 1038 910 56.91% 28.19% 14.90%+0.71 -38.9 23
2007-12-09 @ Lovcen W 2-044.5 910 1038 14.90% 28.19% 56.91%-0.71 +38.9 22
2007-12-15 Bokelj L 0-151.4 1235 854 77.53% 17.44% 5.04%+1.69 -25.7 36
2007-12-15 @ Zeta W 1-051.4 854 1235 5.04% 17.44% 77.53%-1.69 +25.7 12
2007-12-15 Kom Podgorica W 3-136.7 1053 898 59.53% 27.23% 13.24%+0.81 +10.4 30
2007-12-15 @ Mogren L 1-336.7 898 1053 13.24% 27.23% 59.53%-0.81 -10.4 22
2007-12-15 Lovcen W 2-037.4 972 999 38.44% 31.51% 30.05%+0.11 +23.9 26
2007-12-15 @ Grbalj L 0-237.4 999 972 30.05% 31.51% 38.44%-0.11 -23.9 23
2007-12-15 Petrovac W 1-032.1 1199 933 69.21% 22.57% 8.22%+1.24 +3.8 31
2007-12-15 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-132.1 933 1199 8.22% 22.57% 69.21%-1.24 -3.7 23
2007-12-15 Rudar L 0-141.3 949 1036 30.04% 31.51% 38.45%-0.12 -12.7 22
2007-12-15 @ Decic Tuzi W 1-041.3 1036 949 38.45% 31.51% 30.04%+0.12 +12.7 29
2007-12-19 Mladost Podgorica W 2-142.0 895 769 56.75% 28.24% 15.01%+0.70 +6.8 18
2007-12-19 @ Sutjeska L 1-242.0 769 895 15.01% 28.24% 56.75%-0.70 -6.8 5
2008-02-23 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-130.7 762 1203 6.36% 19.84% 73.79%-1.49 -2.8 5
2008-02-23 @ Mladost Podgorica W 1-030.7 1203 762 73.79% 19.84% 6.36%+1.49 +2.8 34
2008-02-23 Decic Tuzi L 0-143.0 888 936 35.44% 31.60% 32.96%+0.03 -14.2 22
2008-02-23 @ Kom Podgorica W 1-043.0 936 888 32.96% 31.60% 35.44%-0.03 +14.2 25
2008-02-23 Grbalj D 0-047.8 1049 996 48.68% 30.35% 20.97%+0.42 -2.5 30
2008-02-23 @ Rudar D 0-047.8 996 1049 20.97% 30.35% 48.68%-0.42 +2.4 27
2008-02-23 Mogren L 0-233.7 879 1063 19.38% 29.94% 50.68%-0.50 -17.0 12
2008-02-23 @ Bokelj W 2-033.7 1063 879 50.68% 29.94% 19.38%+0.50 +17.0 33
2008-02-23 Sutjeska W 4-136.2 975 902 51.03% 29.86% 19.11%+0.50 +20.6 26
2008-02-23 @ Lovcen L 1-436.2 902 975 19.11% 29.86% 51.03%-0.50 -20.6 18
2008-02-23 Zeta D 1-154.5 929 1209 12.60% 26.80% 60.61%-0.87 +4.1 24
2008-02-23 @ Petrovac D 1-154.5 1209 929 60.61% 26.80% 12.60%+0.87 -4.1 37
2008-03-01 Decic Tuzi W 3-140.1 998 950 48.13% 30.45% 21.42%+0.40 +16.0 30
2008-03-01 @ Grbalj L 1-340.1 950 998 21.42% 30.45% 48.13%-0.40 -16.0 25
2008-03-01 Kom Podgorica L 1-250.6 862 874 40.57% 31.39% 28.04%+0.17 -14.8 12
2008-03-01 @ Bokelj W 2-150.6 874 862 28.04% 31.39% 40.57%-0.17 +14.8 25
2008-03-01 Lovcen W 1-033.5 1205 996 64.56% 25.02% 10.42%+1.03 +4.9 37
2008-03-01 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-133.5 996 1205 10.42% 25.02% 64.56%-1.03 -4.9 26
2008-03-01 Rudar L 1-244.5 881 1046 21.15% 30.39% 48.46%-0.43 -9.2 18
2008-03-01 @ Sutjeska W 2-144.5 1046 881 48.46% 30.39% 21.15%+0.43 +9.2 33
2008-03-01 Mladost Podgorica W 1-028.4 1205 759 81.46% 14.75% 3.78%+1.94 +1.5 40
2008-03-01 @ Zeta L 0-128.4 759 1205 3.78% 14.75% 81.46%-1.94 -1.5 5
2008-03-02 Petrovac L 0-148.8 1080 933 58.78% 27.52% 13.70%+0.78 -21.2 33
2008-03-02 @ Mogren W 1-048.8 933 1080 13.70% 27.52% 58.78%-0.78 +21.2 27
2008-03-08 Bokelj L 2-452.6 955 848 54.75% 28.88% 16.37%+0.63 -29.2 27
2008-03-08 @ Petrovac W 4-252.6 848 955 16.37% 28.88% 54.75%-0.63 +29.2 15
2008-03-08 Grbalj D 0-047.6 888 1014 25.24% 31.10% 43.65%-0.28 +1.6 26
2008-03-08 @ Kom Podgorica D 0-047.6 1014 888 43.65% 31.10% 25.24%+0.28 -1.6 31
2008-03-08 Mogren L 0-230.2 758 1059 11.49% 25.96% 62.55%-0.95 -10.3 5
2008-03-08 @ Mladost Podgorica W 2-030.2 1059 758 62.55% 25.96% 11.49%+0.95 +10.3 36
2008-03-08 Sutjeska W 1-037.9 934 872 49.78% 30.13% 20.09%+0.45 +9.3 28
2008-03-08 @ Decic Tuzi L 0-137.9 872 934 20.09% 30.13% 49.78%-0.45 -9.3 18
2008-03-08 Zeta D 1-153.8 991 1207 16.74% 29.03% 54.22%-0.62 +3.1 27
2008-03-08 @ Lovcen D 1-153.8 1207 991 54.22% 29.03% 16.74%+0.62 -3.1 41
2008-03-09 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-138.8 1055 1210 22.10% 30.59% 47.30%-0.39 -10.1 33
2008-03-09 @ Rudar W 1-038.8 1210 1055 47.30% 30.59% 22.10%+0.39 +10.1 40
2008-03-15 Decic Tuzi W 2-028.0 1220 944 70.06% 22.08% 7.85%+1.29 +6.7 43
2008-03-15 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-228.0 944 1220 7.85% 22.08% 70.06%-1.29 -6.7 28
2008-03-15 Grbalj D 0-047.7 863 1013 22.64% 30.70% 46.66%-0.37 +2.1 19
2008-03-15 @ Sutjeska D 0-047.7 1013 863 46.66% 30.70% 22.64%+0.37 -2.1 32
2008-03-15 Kom Podgorica D 1-153.3 925 890 46.59% 30.71% 22.70%+0.35 -1.9 28
2008-03-15 @ Petrovac D 1-153.3 890 925 22.70% 30.71% 46.59%-0.35 +1.9 27
2008-03-15 Lovcen W 1-037.5 1069 994 51.33% 29.79% 18.88%+0.51 +8.8 39
2008-03-15 @ Mogren L 0-137.5 994 1069 18.88% 29.79% 51.33%-0.51 -8.8 27
2008-03-15 Mladost Podgorica W 2-031.8 877 748 57.03% 28.15% 14.82%+0.71 +13.4 18
2008-03-15 @ Bokelj L 0-231.8 748 877 14.82% 28.15% 57.03%-0.71 -13.4 5
2008-03-16 Rudar L 0-149.0 1203 1045 59.88% 27.09% 13.03%+0.83 -21.5 41
2008-03-16 @ Zeta W 1-049.0 1045 1203 13.03% 27.09% 59.88%-0.83 +21.5 36
2008-03-19 Bokelj D 0-048.1 985 890 53.45% 29.25% 17.30%+0.58 -3.3 28
2008-03-19 @ Lovcen D 0-048.1 890 985 17.30% 29.25% 53.45%-0.58 +3.3 19
2008-03-19 Buducnost Podgorica D 1-153.8 1011 1227 16.71% 29.02% 54.28%-0.63 +3.1 33
2008-03-19 @ Grbalj D 1-153.8 1227 1011 54.28% 29.02% 16.71%+0.63 -3.1 44
2008-03-19 Mogren D 0-047.5 1067 1078 40.56% 31.39% 28.05%+0.17 -1.0 37
2008-03-19 @ Rudar D 0-047.5 1078 1067 28.05% 31.39% 40.56%-0.17 +1.0 40
2008-03-19 Petrovac D 0-048.0 734 924 18.91% 29.79% 51.30%-0.52 +2.9 6
2008-03-19 @ Mladost Podgorica D 0-048.0 924 734 51.30% 29.79% 18.91%+0.52 -2.9 29
2008-03-19 Sutjeska W 2-145.3 892 865 45.53% 30.87% 23.61%+0.32 +10.0 30
2008-03-19 @ Kom Podgorica L 1-245.3 865 892 23.61% 30.87% 45.53%-0.32 -10.0 19
2008-03-19 Zeta L 0-135.7 937 1182 14.69% 28.08% 57.23%-0.74 -7.0 28
2008-03-19 @ Decic Tuzi W 1-035.7 1182 937 57.23% 28.08% 14.69%+0.74 +7.0 44
2008-03-29 Bokelj D 0-049.1 1079 893 62.43% 26.01% 11.56%+0.93 -4.8 41
2008-03-29 @ Mogren D 0-049.1 893 1079 11.56% 26.01% 62.43%-0.93 +4.8 20
2008-03-29 Decic Tuzi W 2-031.6 1066 930 57.70% 27.92% 14.39%+0.74 +13.0 40
2008-03-29 @ Rudar L 0-231.6 930 1066 14.39% 27.92% 57.70%-0.74 -13.0 28
2008-03-29 Lovcen W 2-035.1 1014 982 46.20% 30.77% 23.03%+0.34 +19.6 36
2008-03-29 @ Grbalj L 0-235.1 982 1014 23.03% 30.77% 46.20%-0.34 -19.6 28
2008-03-29 Petrovac L 1-345.9 902 921 39.56% 31.45% 28.98%+0.14 -25.2 30
2008-03-29 @ Kom Podgorica W 3-145.9 921 902 28.98% 31.45% 39.56%-0.14 +25.2 32
2008-03-29 Sutjeska W 4-024.3 1224 855 76.72% 17.97% 5.31%+1.64 +7.9 47
2008-03-29 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-424.3 855 1224 5.31% 17.97% 76.72%-1.64 -7.9 19
2008-03-29 Mladost Podgorica W 2-134.5 1189 737 81.81% 14.51% 3.68%+1.96 +1.3 47
2008-03-29 @ Zeta L 1-234.5 737 1189 3.68% 14.51% 81.81%-1.96 -1.3 6
2008-04-05 Buducnost Podgorica D 0-047.7 1190 1232 36.38% 31.59% 32.03%+0.05 -0.3 48
2008-04-05 @ Zeta D 0-047.7 1232 1190 32.03% 31.59% 36.38%-0.05 +0.4 48
2008-04-05 Grbalj W 1-045.0 917 1033 26.35% 31.23% 42.42%-0.24 +16.2 31
2008-04-05 @ Decic Tuzi L 0-145.0 1033 917 42.42% 31.23% 26.35%+0.24 -16.2 36
2008-04-05 Kom Podgorica W 1-037.1 962 877 52.41% 29.52% 18.06%+0.54 +8.5 31
2008-04-05 @ Lovcen L 0-137.1 877 962 18.06% 29.52% 52.41%-0.54 -8.5 30
2008-04-05 Mogren L 1-242.4 847 1074 15.91% 28.68% 55.41%-0.67 -7.1 19
2008-04-05 @ Sutjeska W 2-142.4 1074 847 55.41% 28.68% 15.91%+0.67 +7.2 44
2008-04-05 Petrovac D 1-153.7 736 946 17.21% 29.21% 53.58%-0.60 +3.0 7
2008-04-05 @ Mladost Podgorica D 1-153.7 946 736 53.58% 29.21% 17.21%+0.60 -3.0 33
2008-04-05 Rudar L 0-137.8 898 1079 19.68% 30.02% 50.30%-0.49 -9.1 20
2008-04-05 @ Bokelj W 1-037.8 1079 898 50.30% 30.02% 19.68%+0.49 +9.1 43
2008-04-12 Bokelj W 1-035.8 1017 889 56.93% 28.18% 14.89%+0.71 +7.1 39
2008-04-12 @ Grbalj L 0-135.8 889 1017 14.89% 28.18% 56.93%-0.71 -7.1 20
2008-04-12 Decic Tuzi W 2-039.0 868 933 33.05% 31.60% 35.34%-0.04 +26.8 33
2008-04-12 @ Kom Podgorica L 0-239.0 933 868 35.34% 31.60% 33.05%+0.04 -26.8 31
2008-04-12 Lovcen L 0-143.8 943 971 38.32% 31.52% 30.16%+0.11 -15.0 33
2008-04-12 @ Petrovac W 1-043.8 971 943 30.16% 31.52% 38.32%-0.11 +15.1 34
2008-04-12 Sutjeska W 2-028.6 1088 840 67.75% 23.37% 8.88%+1.17 +7.7 46
2008-04-12 @ Rudar L 0-228.6 840 1088 8.88% 23.37% 67.75%-1.17 -7.7 19
2008-04-12 Mladost Podgorica W 2-023.7 1232 739 84.04% 12.92% 3.04%+2.12 +2.1 51
2008-04-12 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-223.7 739 1232 3.04% 12.92% 84.04%-2.12 -2.1 7
2008-04-12 Zeta W 2-040.8 1081 1190 27.32% 31.33% 41.36%-0.21 +30.0 47
2008-04-12 @ Mogren L 0-240.8 1190 1081 41.36% 31.33% 27.32%+0.21 -30.0 48
2008-04-19 Grbalj D 1-153.6 832 1024 18.67% 29.72% 51.61%-0.53 +2.6 20
2008-04-19 @ Sutjeska D 1-153.6 1024 832 51.61% 29.72% 18.67%+0.53 -2.6 40
2008-04-19 Kom Podgorica D 2-258.7 882 895 40.34% 31.40% 28.26%+0.16 -0.7 21
2008-04-19 @ Bokelj D 2-258.7 895 882 28.26% 31.40% 40.34%-0.16 +0.7 34
2008-04-19 Lovcen L 0-135.6 737 986 14.44% 27.94% 57.61%-0.75 -6.9 7
2008-04-19 @ Mladost Podgorica W 1-035.6 986 737 57.61% 27.94% 14.44%+0.75 +6.9 37
2008-04-19 Petrovac D 1-153.0 906 928 39.21% 31.48% 29.32%+0.13 -0.7 32
2008-04-19 @ Decic Tuzi D 1-153.0 928 906 29.32% 31.48% 39.21%-0.13 +0.7 34
2008-04-19 Rudar D 2-259.2 1160 1096 50.05% 30.07% 19.88%+0.46 -1.8 49
2008-04-19 @ Zeta D 2-259.2 1096 1160 19.88% 30.07% 50.05%-0.46 +1.8 47
2008-04-20 Mogren W 3-030.4 1234 1112 56.40% 28.36% 15.24%+0.69 +19.9 54
2008-04-20 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-330.4 1112 1234 15.24% 28.36% 56.40%-0.69 -19.9 47
2008-04-26 Bokelj D 0-047.8 928 881 48.02% 30.47% 21.51%+0.40 -2.3 35
2008-04-26 @ Petrovac D 0-047.8 881 928 21.51% 30.47% 48.02%-0.40 +2.3 22
2008-04-26 Buducnost Podgorica D 0-047.9 1097 1254 21.91% 30.55% 47.53%-0.40 +2.2 48
2008-04-26 @ Rudar D 0-047.9 1254 1097 47.53% 30.55% 21.91%+0.40 -2.2 55
2008-04-26 Decic Tuzi D 0-048.1 992 906 52.58% 29.48% 17.94%+0.55 -3.1 38
2008-04-26 @ Lovcen D 0-048.1 906 992 17.94% 29.48% 52.58%-0.55 +3.1 33
2008-04-26 Sutjeska D 1-153.4 896 835 49.62% 30.16% 20.21%+0.45 -2.3 35
2008-04-26 @ Kom Podgorica D 1-153.4 835 896 20.21% 30.16% 49.62%-0.45 +2.3 21
2008-04-26 Mladost Podgorica W 2-026.1 1092 730 76.24% 18.28% 5.48%+1.61 +4.3 50
2008-04-26 @ Mogren L 0-226.1 730 1092 5.48% 18.28% 76.24%-1.61 -4.3 7
2008-04-26 Zeta D 0-047.7 1022 1158 24.07% 30.94% 45.00%-0.32 +1.8 41
2008-04-26 @ Grbalj D 0-047.7 1158 1022 45.00% 30.94% 24.07%+0.32 -1.8 50
2008-04-30 Decic Tuzi L 0-137.7 726 909 19.42% 29.95% 50.63%-0.50 -9.0 7
2008-04-30 @ Mladost Podgorica W 1-037.7 909 726 50.63% 29.95% 19.42%+0.50 +9.0 36
2008-04-30 Grbalj D 0-049.7 1252 1023 66.16% 24.21% 9.62%+1.10 -5.4 56
2008-04-30 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 0-049.7 1023 1252 9.62% 24.21% 66.16%-1.10 +5.4 42
2008-04-30 Kom Podgorica W 4-130.9 1156 893 68.98% 22.70% 8.32%+1.23 +8.8 53
2008-04-30 @ Zeta L 1-430.9 893 1156 8.32% 22.70% 68.98%-1.23 -8.8 35
2008-04-30 Lovcen W 1-044.6 884 989 27.66% 31.36% 40.98%-0.20 +15.8 25
2008-04-30 @ Bokelj L 0-144.6 989 884 40.98% 31.36% 27.66%+0.20 -15.8 38
2008-04-30 Petrovac D 1-153.0 837 926 29.81% 31.50% 38.69%-0.13 +0.6 22
2008-04-30 @ Sutjeska D 1-153.0 926 837 38.69% 31.50% 29.81%+0.13 -0.7 36
2008-04-30 Rudar W 2-036.5 1096 1100 41.59% 31.31% 27.10%+0.20 +22.2 53
2008-04-30 @ Mogren L 0-236.5 1100 1096 27.10% 31.31% 41.59%-0.20 -22.2 48
2008-05-03 Bokelj D 1-153.2 918 900 44.46% 31.01% 24.53%+0.28 -1.5 37
2008-05-03 @ Decic Tuzi D 1-153.2 900 918 24.53% 31.01% 44.46%-0.28 +1.5 26
2008-05-03 Buducnost Podgorica L 1-431.2 885 1247 8.86% 23.35% 67.79%-1.19 -9.4 35
2008-05-03 @ Kom Podgorica W 4-131.2 1247 885 67.79% 23.35% 8.86%+1.19 +9.4 59
2008-05-03 Mogren D 0-047.5 1029 1118 29.75% 31.50% 38.75%-0.13 +0.7 43
2008-05-03 @ Grbalj D 0-047.5 1118 1029 38.75% 31.50% 29.75%+0.13 -0.7 54
2008-05-03 Sutjeska L 0-148.5 974 838 57.67% 27.92% 14.40%+0.74 -20.9 38
2008-05-03 @ Lovcen W 1-048.5 838 974 14.40% 27.92% 57.67%-0.74 +20.9 25
2008-05-03 Mladost Podgorica L 1-257.3 1077 716 76.19% 18.32% 5.50%+1.61 -24.0 48
2008-05-03 @ Rudar W 2-157.3 716 1077 5.50% 18.32% 76.19%-1.61 +24.0 10
2008-05-03 Zeta L 2-346.4 925 1165 15.05% 28.26% 56.69%-0.72 -6.4 36
2008-05-03 @ Petrovac W 3-246.4 1165 925 56.69% 28.26% 15.05%+0.72 +6.4 56
2008-05-10 Bokelj W 1-046.4 740 901 21.56% 30.48% 47.96%-0.41 +17.9 13
2008-05-10 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-146.4 901 740 47.96% 30.48% 21.56%+0.41 -17.9 26
2008-05-10 Decic Tuzi D 1-153.0 859 916 34.12% 31.61% 34.27%-0.01 +0.0 26
2008-05-10 @ Sutjeska D 1-153.0 916 859 34.27% 31.61% 34.12%+0.01 -0.0 38
2008-05-10 Grbalj L 1-347.4 1053 1030 45.15% 30.92% 23.94%+0.30 -27.8 48
2008-05-10 @ Rudar W 3-147.4 1030 1053 23.94% 30.92% 45.15%-0.30 +27.9 46
2008-05-10 Kom Podgorica W 4-131.4 1117 875 67.30% 23.62% 9.08%+1.15 +9.7 57
2008-05-10 @ Mogren L 1-431.4 875 1117 9.08% 23.62% 67.30%-1.15 -9.7 35
2008-05-10 Lovcen D 1-155.1 1172 953 65.34% 24.63% 10.03%+1.06 -4.7 57
2008-05-10 @ Zeta D 1-155.1 953 1172 10.03% 24.63% 65.34%-1.06 +4.7 39
2008-05-10 Petrovac W 3-024.8 1256 919 74.54% 19.38% 6.09%+1.52 +7.1 62
2008-05-10 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-324.8 919 1256 6.09% 19.38% 74.54%-1.52 -7.1 36
2008-05-14 Buducnost Podgorica D 0-049.2 957 1263 11.25% 25.76% 62.99%-0.97 +4.9 40
2008-05-14 @ Lovcen D 0-049.2 1263 957 62.99% 25.76% 11.25%+0.97 -4.9 63
2008-05-14 Mogren L 1-242.8 912 1127 16.80% 29.05% 54.15%-0.62 -7.5 36
2008-05-14 @ Petrovac W 2-142.8 1127 912 54.15% 29.05% 16.80%+0.62 +7.5 60
2008-05-14 Rudar D 0-047.8 865 1026 21.60% 30.49% 47.92%-0.41 +2.3 36
2008-05-14 @ Kom Podgorica D 0-047.8 1026 865 47.92% 30.49% 21.60%+0.41 -2.3 49
2008-05-14 Sutjeska W 4-138.0 883 859 45.21% 30.91% 23.88%+0.31 +24.7 29
2008-05-14 @ Bokelj L 1-438.0 859 883 23.88% 30.91% 45.21%-0.31 -24.7 26
2008-05-14 Mladost Podgorica W 2-027.4 1057 758 71.77% 21.08% 7.15%+1.37 +6.0 49
2008-05-14 @ Grbalj L 0-227.4 758 1057 7.15% 21.08% 71.77%-1.37 -6.0 13
2008-05-14 Zeta L 1-434.2 916 1167 14.34% 27.89% 57.78%-0.76 -15.9 38
2008-05-14 @ Decic Tuzi W 4-134.2 1167 916 57.78% 27.89% 14.34%+0.76 +15.9 60
2008-05-17 Bokelj W 8-329.7 1183 908 69.91% 22.17% 7.92%+1.28 +9.9 63
2008-05-17 @ Zeta L 3-829.7 908 1183 7.92% 22.17% 69.91%-1.28 -9.9 29
2008-05-17 Decic Tuzi W 4-024.5 1258 900 75.98% 18.45% 5.57%+1.60 +8.4 66
2008-05-17 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-424.5 900 1258 5.57% 18.45% 75.98%-1.60 -8.4 38
2008-05-17 Kom Podgorica W 3-135.6 1063 868 63.32% 25.60% 11.07%+0.97 +8.6 52
2008-05-17 @ Grbalj L 1-335.6 868 1063 11.07% 25.60% 63.32%-0.97 -8.6 36
2008-05-17 Lovcen W 4-028.9 1135 962 61.20% 26.55% 12.25%+0.88 +21.0 63
2008-05-17 @ Mogren L 0-428.9 962 1135 12.25% 26.55% 61.20%-0.88 -21.0 40
2008-05-17 Petrovac W 5-236.6 1023 904 55.99% 28.49% 15.52%+0.67 +14.8 52
2008-05-17 @ Rudar L 2-536.6 904 1023 15.52% 28.49% 55.99%-0.67 -14.8 36
2008-05-17 Sutjeska W 1-043.6 752 834 30.74% 31.55% 37.71%-0.10 +14.9 16
2008-05-17 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-143.6 834 752 37.71% 31.55% 30.74%+0.10 -14.9 26
2008-05-24 Buducnost Podgorica W 1-050.3 898 1267 8.61% 23.06% 68.33%-1.22 +23.8 32
2008-05-24 @ Bokelj L 0-150.3 1267 898 68.33% 23.06% 8.61%+1.22 -23.8 66
2008-05-24 Grbalj L 0-233.8 890 1072 19.50% 29.97% 50.53%-0.49 -17.1 36
2008-05-24 @ Petrovac W 2-033.8 1072 890 50.53% 29.97% 19.50%+0.49 +17.1 55
2008-05-24 Mogren L 0-135.2 892 1156 13.54% 27.42% 59.05%-0.81 -6.5 38
2008-05-24 @ Decic Tuzi W 1-035.2 1156 892 59.05% 27.42% 13.54%+0.81 +6.5 66
2008-05-24 Rudar W 2-150.4 941 1038 28.79% 31.44% 39.77%-0.16 +14.6 43
2008-05-24 @ Lovcen L 1-250.4 1038 941 39.77% 31.44% 28.79%+0.16 -14.6 52
2008-05-24 Mladost Podgorica L 2-358.1 859 767 53.13% 29.33% 17.53%+0.57 -17.4 36
2008-05-24 @ Kom Podgorica W 3-258.1 767 859 17.53% 29.33% 53.13%-0.57 +17.4 19
2008-05-24 Zeta L 0-326.6 819 1193 8.45% 22.86% 68.69%-1.23 -10.6 26
2008-05-24 @ Sutjeska W 3-026.6 1193 819 68.69% 22.86% 8.45%+1.23 +10.6 66

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2007-12-15 5.04% Bokelj 854 1 @ Zeta 1235 0
2 2008-05-03 5.50% Mladost Podgorica 716 2 @ Rudar 1077 1
3 2008-05-24 8.61% @ Bokelj 898 1 Buducnost Podgorica 1267 0
4 2007-10-27 8.84% Grbalj 967 3 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1215 2
5 2007-08-18 12.41% @ Kom Podgorica 934 1 Buducnost Podgorica 1217 0
6 2008-03-16 13.03% Rudar 1045 1 @ Zeta 1203 0
7 2008-03-02 13.70% Petrovac 933 1 @ Mogren 1080 0
8 2008-05-03 14.40% Sutjeska 838 1 @ Lovcen 974 0
9 2007-12-09 14.90% Decic Tuzi 910 2 @ Lovcen 1038 0
10 2007-08-29 14.94% @ Kom Podgorica 959 2 Zeta 1200 1
11 2008-03-08 16.37% Bokelj 848 4 @ Petrovac 955 2
12 2008-05-24 17.53% Mladost Podgorica 767 3 @ Kom Podgorica 859 2
13 2007-08-29 18.85% Sutjeska 925 1 @ Bokelj 1001 0
14 2007-12-08 20.43% @ Kom Podgorica 881 2 Rudar 1053 1
15 2007-08-18 20.79% Grbalj 934 3 @ Mogren 988 0
16 2008-05-10 21.56% @ Mladost Podgorica 740 1 Bokelj 901 0
17 2007-09-01 22.23% Petrovac 904 1 @ Sutjeska 944 0
18 2007-10-07 22.28% Petrovac 892 2 @ Bokelj 931 0
19 2008-05-10 23.94% Grbalj 1030 3 @ Rudar 1053 1
20 2007-09-15 26.19% Mogren 939 3 @ Kom Podgorica 943 1
21 2008-04-05 26.35% @ Decic Tuzi 917 1 Grbalj 1033 0
22 2007-08-29 26.42% @ Petrovac 881 4 Grbalj 997 2
23 2008-04-12 27.32% @ Mogren 1081 2 Zeta 1190 0
24 2007-09-01 27.54% @ Decic Tuzi 915 1 Lovcen 1022 0
25 2008-04-30 27.66% @ Bokelj 884 1 Lovcen 989 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-08-18 49.82 Grbalj 3 934 20.79% @ Mogren 0 988 48.91% 30.31%
2 2007-11-24 42.93 Lovcen 4 1019 40.81% @ Kom Podgorica 0 915 27.82% 31.37%
3 2007-08-29 39.92 Decic Tuzi 3 875 31.75% @ Mladost Podgorica 0 836 36.67% 31.58%
4 2007-12-09 38.93 Decic Tuzi 2 910 14.90% @ Lovcen 0 1038 56.91% 28.19%
5 2007-09-01 34.86 @ Rudar 3 950 38.29% Kom Podgorica 0 978 30.19% 31.52%
6 2007-10-07 33.26 Petrovac 2 892 22.28% @ Bokelj 0 931 47.10% 30.63%
7 2008-04-12 30.03 @ Mogren 2 1081 27.32% Zeta 0 1190 41.36% 31.33%
8 2007-08-11 29.23 Kom Podgorica 2 905 28.67% @ Mladost Podgorica 0 889 39.89% 31.43%
9 2008-03-08 29.19 Bokelj 4 848 16.37% @ Petrovac 2 955 54.75% 28.88%
10 2007-11-11 28.21 Mogren 2 1011 30.45% @ Grbalj 0 981 38.02% 31.53%
11 2008-05-10 27.85 Grbalj 3 1030 23.94% @ Rudar 1 1053 45.15% 30.92%
12 2008-04-12 26.78 @ Kom Podgorica 2 868 33.05% Decic Tuzi 0 933 35.34% 31.60%
13 2007-09-29 26.61 @ Kom Podgorica 2 895 33.38% Bokelj 0 958 35.01% 31.61%
14 2007-09-15 26.61 Mogren 3 939 26.19% @ Kom Podgorica 1 943 42.60% 31.21%
15 2007-09-29 25.94 Mogren 2 978 34.64% @ Petrovac 0 917 33.75% 31.61%
16 2007-12-15 25.70 Bokelj 1 854 5.04% @ Zeta 0 1235 77.53% 17.44%
17 2008-03-29 25.16 Petrovac 3 921 28.98% @ Kom Podgorica 1 902 39.56% 31.45%
18 2008-05-14 24.71 @ Bokelj 4 883 45.21% Sutjeska 1 859 23.88% 30.91%
19 2007-12-01 24.42 @ Rudar 2 1029 37.52% Lovcen 0 1062 30.93% 31.55%
20 2008-05-03 24.01 Mladost Podgorica 2 716 5.50% @ Rudar 1 1077 76.19% 18.32%
21 2007-12-15 23.92 @ Grbalj 2 972 38.44% Lovcen 0 999 30.05% 31.51%
22 2007-10-06 23.88 @ Sutjeska 2 916 38.51% Decic Tuzi 0 943 29.98% 31.51%
23 2008-05-24 23.81 @ Bokelj 1 898 8.61% Buducnost Podgorica 0 1267 68.33% 23.06%
24 2007-08-29 23.69 @ Petrovac 4 881 26.42% Grbalj 2 997 42.34% 31.24%
25 2007-11-03 23.66 Rudar 2 1001 38.92% @ Bokelj 0 911 29.58% 31.49%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-10-27 60.7 Grbalj 3 967 8.84% @ Buducnost Podgorica 2 1215 67.84% 23.33%
2 2007-08-11 59.7 @ Lovcen 2 1007 57.31% Petrovac 2 875 14.64% 28.05%
3 2007-12-08 59.2 @ Mogren 2 1051 19.20% Zeta 2 1237 50.92% 29.88%
4 2008-04-19 59.2 @ Zeta 2 1160 50.05% Rudar 2 1096 19.88% 30.07%
5 2008-04-19 58.7 @ Bokelj 2 882 40.34% Kom Podgorica 2 895 28.26% 31.40%
6 2008-05-24 58.1 Mladost Podgorica 3 767 17.53% @ Kom Podgorica 2 859 53.13% 29.33%
7 2008-05-03 57.3 Mladost Podgorica 2 716 5.50% @ Rudar 1 1077 76.19% 18.32%
8 2007-09-29 56.1 @ Mladost Podgorica 1 790 7.21% Zeta 1 1201 71.62% 21.17%
9 2008-05-10 55.1 @ Zeta 1 1172 65.34% Lovcen 1 953 10.03% 24.63%
10 2007-10-06 55.0 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1 1214 64.63% Rudar 1 1004 10.39% 24.98%
11 2007-08-11 54.7 @ Sutjeska 1 926 11.74% Buducnost Podgorica 1 1222 62.10% 26.16%
12 2007-08-29 54.5 @ Kom Podgorica 2 959 14.94% Zeta 1 1200 56.85% 28.21%
13 2007-09-15 54.5 @ Petrovac 1 922 12.27% Buducnost Podgorica 1 1208 61.17% 26.56%
14 2008-02-23 54.5 @ Petrovac 1 929 12.60% Zeta 1 1209 60.61% 26.80%
15 2007-08-29 54.3 @ Mogren 1 940 13.30% Buducnost Podgorica 1 1207 59.43% 27.27%
16 2007-12-01 54.3 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1 1198 59.19% Mogren 1 1047 13.45% 27.36%
17 2008-03-08 53.8 @ Lovcen 1 991 16.74% Zeta 1 1207 54.22% 29.03%
18 2008-03-19 53.8 @ Grbalj 1 1011 16.71% Buducnost Podgorica 1 1227 54.28% 29.02%
19 2008-04-05 53.7 @ Mladost Podgorica 1 736 17.21% Petrovac 1 946 53.58% 29.21%
20 2008-04-19 53.6 @ Sutjeska 1 832 18.67% Grbalj 1 1024 51.61% 29.72%
21 2007-12-01 53.4 @ Grbalj 1 966 49.26% Petrovac 1 908 20.51% 30.24%
22 2008-04-26 53.4 @ Kom Podgorica 1 896 49.62% Sutjeska 1 835 20.21% 30.16%
23 2007-10-31 53.3 @ Grbalj 1 988 46.72% Sutjeska 1 951 22.59% 30.69%
24 2008-03-15 53.3 @ Petrovac 1 925 46.59% Kom Podgorica 1 890 22.70% 30.71%
25 2007-11-24 53.2 @ Petrovac 1 923 43.47% Decic Tuzi 1 913 25.41% 31.12%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2008-04-12 23.7 @ Buducnost Podgorica 2 1232 84.04% Mladost Podgorica 0 739 3.04% 12.92%
2 2008-03-29 24.3 @ Buducnost Podgorica 4 1224 76.72% Sutjeska 0 855 5.31% 17.97%
3 2008-05-17 24.5 @ Buducnost Podgorica 4 1258 75.98% Decic Tuzi 0 900 5.57% 18.45%
4 2008-05-10 24.8 @ Buducnost Podgorica 3 1256 74.54% Petrovac 0 919 6.09% 19.38%
5 2008-04-26 26.1 @ Mogren 2 1092 76.24% Mladost Podgorica 0 730 5.48% 18.28%
6 2007-12-01 26.4 @ Zeta 2 1232 75.19% Kom Podgorica 0 886 5.85% 18.96%
7 2008-05-24 26.6 Zeta 3 1193 68.69% @ Sutjeska 0 819 8.45% 22.86%
8 2008-05-14 27.4 @ Grbalj 2 1057 71.77% Mladost Podgorica 0 758 7.15% 21.08%
9 2008-03-15 28.0 @ Buducnost Podgorica 2 1220 70.06% Decic Tuzi 0 944 7.85% 22.08%
10 2008-03-01 28.4 @ Zeta 1 1205 81.46% Mladost Podgorica 0 759 3.78% 14.75%
11 2008-04-12 28.6 @ Rudar 2 1088 67.75% Sutjeska 0 840 8.88% 23.37%
12 2007-11-04 28.8 @ Buducnost Podgorica 2 1194 67.19% Sutjeska 0 953 9.13% 23.67%
13 2008-05-17 28.9 @ Mogren 4 1135 61.20% Lovcen 0 962 12.25% 26.55%
14 2007-09-22 29.0 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1 1204 79.44% Mladost Podgorica 0 792 4.41% 16.15%
15 2007-11-10 29.0 @ Lovcen 2 1011 66.60% Mladost Podgorica 0 777 9.41% 23.99%
16 2007-11-21 29.2 Zeta 3 1217 59.86% @ Sutjeska 0 945 13.04% 27.10%
17 2008-05-17 29.7 @ Zeta 8 1183 69.91% Bokelj 3 908 7.92% 22.17%
18 2008-03-08 30.2 Mogren 2 1059 62.55% @ Mladost Podgorica 0 758 11.49% 25.96%
19 2008-04-20 30.4 @ Buducnost Podgorica 3 1234 56.40% Mogren 0 1112 15.24% 28.36%
20 2008-02-23 30.7 Buducnost Podgorica 1 1203 73.79% @ Mladost Podgorica 0 762 6.36% 19.84%
21 2007-09-22 30.8 @ Zeta 4 1193 69.28% Petrovac 1 926 8.19% 22.53%
22 2008-04-30 30.9 @ Zeta 4 1156 68.98% Kom Podgorica 1 893 8.32% 22.70%
23 2008-05-03 31.2 Buducnost Podgorica 4 1247 67.79% @ Kom Podgorica 1 885 8.86% 23.35%
24 2008-05-10 31.4 @ Mogren 4 1117 67.30% Kom Podgorica 1 875 9.08% 23.62%
25 2008-03-29 31.6 @ Rudar 2 1066 57.70% Decic Tuzi 0 930 14.39% 27.92%