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2008-09 Montenegrin First League Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Mogren

74 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Sutjeska

17.66 points above expected

63 points · 45.34 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Zeta

7.59 points below expected

36 points · 43.59 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Mogren 33 23 5 5 74 62 24 +38 64.96 +9.04
2 Buducnost Podgorica 33 21 7 5 70 72 34 +38 64.98 +5.02
3 Sutjeska 33 18 9 6 63 45 23 +22 45.34 +17.66
4 Grbalj 33 15 5 13 50 47 34 +13 55.49 -5.49
5 Rudar 33 12 5 16 41 40 37 +3 46.50 -5.50
6 Petrovac 33 12 5 16 41 42 57 -15 39.21 +1.79
7 Lovcen 33 10 10 13 40 23 25 -2 44.76 -4.76
8 Kom Podgorica 33 10 7 16 37 34 44 -10 39.75 -2.75
9 Zeta* 33 13 7 13 36 36 41 -5 43.59 -7.59
10 Jezero 33 9 6 18 33 30 62 -32 35.94 -2.94
11 Decic Tuzi 33 9 4 20 31 24 46 -22 32.18 -1.18
12 Jedinstvo 33 7 8 18 29 28 56 -28 33.22 -4.22

* Point deductions: Zeta (-10 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sutjeska 63 45.34 +17.66
2 Mogren 74 64.96 +9.04
3 Buducnost Podgorica 70 64.98 +5.02
4 Petrovac 41 39.21 +1.79
5 Decic Tuzi 31 32.18 -1.18

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Zeta 36 43.59 -7.59
2 Rudar 41 46.50 -5.50
3 Grbalj 50 55.49 -5.49
4 Lovcen 40 44.76 -4.76
5 Jedinstvo 29 33.22 -4.22

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Petrovac 3 Aug 9 – Aug 23 1 in 34
2 Mogren 6 Oct 25 – Nov 29 1 in 26
3 Buducnost Podgorica 5 Mar 18 – Apr 11 1 in 20
4 Kom Podgorica 2 Nov 1 – Nov 8 1 in 19
5 Sutjeska 4 Apr 25 – May 9 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rudar 8 Dec 6 – Apr 8 1 in 940
2 Jezero 6 Aug 16 – Sep 27 1 in 370
3 Decic Tuzi 7 Sep 20 – Nov 1 1 in 51
4 Kom Podgorica 4 Apr 11 – May 2 1 in 47
5 Grbalj 3 Dec 6 – Mar 7 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sutjeska 17 Dec 7 – May 30 1 in 8,880
2 Decic Tuzi 6 May 2 – May 30 1 in 98
3 Buducnost Podgorica 18 Nov 29 – May 30 1 in 56
4 Jezero 5 Oct 1 – Nov 1 1 in 52
5 Lovcen 6 Sep 13 – Oct 18 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Petrovac 8 Aug 30 – Oct 25 1 in 45
2 Jezero 7 Aug 9 – Sep 27 1 in 44
3 Lovcen 7 Apr 8 – May 9 1 in 37
4 Rudar 8 Dec 6 – Apr 8 1 in 37
5 Jedinstvo 10 Sep 27 – Dec 3 1 in 22

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Mogren 1300 74 +41 15 11.0 +4.0
Buducnost Podgorica 1295 70 +22 11 11.0 -0.0
Sutjeska 1195 63 +87 13 8.6 +4.4
Grbalj 1085 50 -48 4 9.4 -5.4
Zeta 1046 46 -50 5 7.4 -2.4
Rudar 1074 41 +29 6 5.4 +0.6
Petrovac 962 41 -66 3 5.8 -2.8
Lovcen 1025 40 -26 4 6.0 -2.0
Kom Podgorica 986 37 +1 6 5.0 +1.0
Jezero 931 33 -4 4 4.2 -0.2
Decic Tuzi 949 31 +36 9 5.4 +3.6
Jedinstvo 920 29 -23 3 4.9 -1.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BP DT GRB JED JEZ KP LOV MOG PET RUD SUT ZET
Buducnost Podgorica —
3-0-0
7.06
1-1-1
4.56
3-0-0
6.70
1-2-0
6.40
3-0-0
6.06
1-1-1
5.71
1-0-2
3.77
3-0-0
6.36
2-1-0
6.10
1-2-0
6.32
2-0-1
5.37
Decic Tuzi
0-0-3
1.44
—
0-1-2
1.89
1-0-2
4.43
2-0-1
4.00
2-1-0
3.59
0-1-2
2.71
0-0-3
1.25
1-0-2
3.79
2-0-1
3.15
1-0-2
2.72
0-1-2
1.95
Grbalj
1-1-1
3.82
2-1-0
6.55
—
2-0-1
6.26
2-0-1
5.61
1-0-2
5.10
0-2-1
4.95
1-0-2
3.08
3-0-0
5.78
1-0-2
5.46
1-0-2
4.59
1-1-1
4.88
Jedinstvo
0-0-3
1.76
2-0-1
3.96
1-0-2
2.17
—
1-0-2
3.72
0-1-2
3.29
1-0-2
2.83
0-1-2
1.94
2-1-0
3.79
0-2-1
3.55
0-2-1
3.86
0-1-2
2.75
Jezero
0-2-1
2.04
1-0-2
4.39
1-0-2
2.79
2-0-1
4.67
—
1-1-1
4.28
2-1-0
3.35
0-0-3
2.36
0-0-3
3.55
0-0-3
3.18
1-0-2
3.46
1-2-0
2.58
Kom Podgorica
0-0-3
2.35
0-1-2
4.80
2-0-1
3.29
2-1-0
5.10
1-1-1
4.11
—
1-1-1
4.22
1-0-2
1.85
0-1-2
4.78
2-0-1
3.19
0-1-2
3.11
1-1-1
2.53
Lovcen
1-1-1
2.69
2-1-0
5.71
1-2-0
3.44
2-0-1
5.57
0-1-2
5.04
1-1-1
4.16
—
0-2-1
2.59
1-1-1
5.02
1-0-2
4.66
0-1-2
3.77
1-0-2
3.29
Mogren
2-0-1
4.63
3-0-0
7.25
2-0-1
5.32
2-1-0
6.50
3-0-0
6.09
2-0-1
6.60
1-2-0
5.83
—
2-1-0
5.84
3-0-0
5.30
0-1-2
5.62
3-0-0
4.46
Petrovac
0-0-3
2.09
2-0-1
4.61
0-0-3
2.63
0-1-2
4.59
3-0-0
4.85
2-1-0
3.60
1-1-1
3.38
0-1-2
2.56
—
2-0-1
4.06
0-1-2
3.96
2-0-1
3.67
Rudar
0-1-2
2.33
1-0-2
5.25
2-0-1
2.94
1-2-0
4.84
3-0-0
5.22
1-0-2
5.20
2-0-1
3.73
0-0-3
3.09
1-0-2
4.33
—
0-1-2
4.64
1-1-1
4.46
Sutjeska
0-2-1
2.12
2-0-1
5.68
2-0-1
3.81
1-2-0
4.53
2-0-1
4.93
2-1-0
5.30
2-1-0
4.63
2-1-0
2.80
2-1-0
4.43
2-1-0
3.74
—
1-0-2
3.07
Zeta
1-0-2
3.04
2-1-0
6.49
1-1-1
3.52
2-1-0
5.65
0-2-1
5.85
1-1-1
5.88
2-0-1
5.10
0-0-3
3.93
1-0-2
4.72
1-1-1
3.92
2-0-1
5.33
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.81 +9.3
Allowed 0.49 -8.2
Differential 0.91 +6.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.59%11.87%8.08%2.27%0.51%0.76%32.07%
111.87%8.59%9.09%2.02%1.26%1.01%33.84%
28.08%9.09%2.53%1.77%0.76%—22.22%
32.27%2.02%1.77%—0.76%—6.82%
40.51%1.26%0.76%0.76%——3.28%
5+0.76%1.01%————1.77%
Total32.07%33.84%22.22%6.82%3.28%1.77%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.22 +0.00
SD 1.21 1.21 1.76
CV 0.99 0.99 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%3.03%—3.03%——9.09%
19.09%12.12%6.06%———27.27%
212.12%9.09%6.06%3.03%——30.30%
39.09%3.03%6.06%———18.18%
4——3.03%3.03%——6.06%
5+3.03%6.06%————9.09%
Total36.36%33.33%21.21%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.18 1.03 +1.15
SD 1.53 0.98 1.82
CV 0.70 0.95 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%15.15%27.27%———48.48%
112.12%3.03%9.09%6.06%3.03%—33.33%
26.06%6.06%3.03%———15.15%
3——3.03%———3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total24.24%24.24%42.42%6.06%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 1.39 -0.67
SD 0.84 1.03 1.38
CV 1.15 0.74 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%21.21%3.03%———27.27%
16.06%6.06%12.12%———24.24%
212.12%15.15%6.06%———33.33%
33.03%3.03%——3.03%—9.09%
43.03%3.03%————6.06%
5+———————
Total27.27%48.48%21.21%—3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.03 +0.39
SD 1.17 0.88 1.50
CV 0.82 0.86 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%15.15%3.03%—3.03%6.06%39.39%
19.09%9.09%18.18%—3.03%—39.39%
2—9.09%3.03%—6.06%—18.18%
3—3.03%————3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total21.21%36.36%24.24%—12.12%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 1.70 -0.85
SD 0.83 1.63 1.82
CV 0.98 0.96 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%15.15%3.03%9.09%3.03%3.03%39.39%
112.12%9.09%6.06%6.06%3.03%6.06%42.42%
23.03%6.06%3.03%———12.12%
3———————
4——6.06%———6.06%
5+———————
Total21.21%30.30%18.18%15.15%6.06%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 1.88 -0.97
SD 1.04 1.69 2.05
CV 1.15 0.90 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%15.15%9.09%3.03%——39.39%
19.09%6.06%12.12%3.03%——30.30%
26.06%6.06%3.03%3.03%3.03%—21.21%
3—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
4———3.03%——3.03%
5+———————
Total27.27%30.30%27.27%12.12%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.33 -0.30
SD 1.07 1.11 1.31
CV 1.04 0.83 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%18.18%15.15%———51.52%
112.12%12.12%6.06%———30.30%
212.12%3.03%————15.15%
33.03%—————3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total45.45%33.33%21.21%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.70 0.76 -0.06
SD 0.85 0.79 1.34
CV 1.22 1.05 —
Max 3 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%3.03%3.03%———15.15%
112.12%6.06%6.06%———24.24%
221.21%18.18%—3.03%——42.42%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
4—3.03%—3.03%——6.06%
5+3.03%3.03%————6.06%
Total48.48%36.36%9.09%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.88 0.73 +1.15
SD 1.47 0.88 1.64
CV 0.78 1.20 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.06%12.12%6.06%——24.24%
19.09%15.15%9.09%6.06%3.03%6.06%48.48%
23.03%9.09%————12.12%
3—6.06%3.03%———9.09%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total12.12%42.42%24.24%12.12%3.03%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.73 -0.45
SD 1.21 1.38 2.05
CV 0.95 0.80 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%15.15%9.09%———33.33%
118.18%6.06%12.12%3.03%——39.39%
26.06%3.03%—3.03%——12.12%
33.03%———6.06%—9.09%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total39.39%27.27%21.21%6.06%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.12 +0.09
SD 1.36 1.19 1.74
CV 1.13 1.06 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%6.06%3.03%———24.24%
118.18%9.09%6.06%———33.33%
29.09%12.12%3.03%3.03%——27.27%
36.06%3.03%3.03%———12.12%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total51.52%30.30%15.15%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 0.70 +0.67
SD 1.08 0.85 1.31
CV 0.80 1.22 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%9.09%6.06%——33.33%
115.15%9.09%6.06%—3.03%—33.33%
26.06%12.12%3.03%6.06%——27.27%
3——3.03%———3.03%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total30.30%33.33%21.21%12.12%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.24 -0.15
SD 1.01 1.12 1.50
CV 0.93 0.90 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Mogren 1300 74 64.96 +9.04 87.0% 47 52 59 65 70 77 81
Buducnost Podgorica 1295 70 64.98 +5.02 79.0% 47 52 60 66 70 74 78
Sutjeska 1195 63 45.34 +17.66 100.0% 26 33 40 46 50 57 61
Grbalj 1085 50 55.49 -5.49 24.0% 37 42 51 56 60 67 76
Rudar 1074 41 46.50 -5.50 25.0% 32 34 41 47 52 59 65
Zeta 1046 36 43.59 -7.59 15.0% 27 31 39 44 48 55 57
Lovcen 1025 40 44.76 -4.76 30.0% 28 33 40 45 49 56 59
Kom Podgorica 986 37 39.75 -2.75 33.0% 22 28 35 40 44 50 56
Petrovac 962 41 39.21 +1.79 61.0% 26 29 34 39 43 51 59
Decic Tuzi 949 31 32.18 -1.18 46.0% 19 21 28 32 37 42 46
Jezero 931 33 35.94 -2.94 44.0% 18 24 31 36 41 49 55
Jedinstvo 920 29 33.22 -4.22 31.0% 17 22 28 34 37 44 51

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+31.82%
Strong Edge
56.06%19.70%24.24%
Elo Value
Home Edge
208 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0114.52600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.55 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.55+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.6
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
39%
Mogren, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.12/gm
Tight Race
00.210.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.67 * Some Luck: 5.67 to 8.5 * Lucky: 8.5 to 11.34 * Wild Swing: 11.34 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.3 * Close: 1.3 to 1.95 * Off: 1.95 to 2.6 * Way Off: 2.6 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.06 points
Some Luck
07.0918
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Pinpoint
01.624
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
Sutjeska
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
15.00%
Zeta
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Top-Heavy
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 133.63
1.97
Strong Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
71%
Clear Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 93%
90%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
67%
Very Frequent
0%60%100%
Blowouts
Expected
12%
Rare
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.55
Highly Predictable
00.562
Matchup Imbalance
0.42
Slight Separation
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.94
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.35
Weak Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
As Expected
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.81
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.01
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.097
Well Within Noise
00.1120.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Mogren39.00%41.00%16.00%2.00%1.00%—1.00%—————
Buducnost Podgorica47.00%33.00%13.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%——————
Sutjeska—2.00%9.00%20.00%15.00%17.00%8.00%7.00%12.00%3.00%7.00%—
Grbalj12.00%20.00%31.00%14.00%13.00%3.00%3.00%4.00%————
Rudar2.00%2.00%12.00%22.00%13.00%14.00%14.00%4.00%9.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%
Petrovac—1.00%2.00%6.00%4.00%11.00%14.00%20.00%9.00%14.00%11.00%8.00%
Lovcen—1.00%8.00%12.00%19.00%14.00%16.00%13.00%8.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%
Kom Podgorica——1.00%3.00%11.00%11.00%14.00%20.00%12.00%12.00%12.00%4.00%
Zeta——7.00%11.00%18.00%17.00%11.00%11.00%11.00%8.00%6.00%—
Jezero——1.00%1.00%4.00%6.00%8.00%8.00%21.00%10.00%17.00%24.00%
Decic Tuzi—————4.00%5.00%4.00%12.00%19.00%26.00%30.00%
Jedinstvo———4.00%1.00%2.00%6.00%9.00%6.00%23.00%17.00%32.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Buducnost Podgorica 100% — —
Grbalj 100% — —
Mogren 100% — —
Sutjeska 90.00% 10.00% —
Zeta 86.00% 14.00% —
Lovcen 91.00% 8.00% 1.00%
Rudar 92.00% 7.00% 1.00%
Kom Podgorica 72.00% 24.00% 4.00%
Petrovac 67.00% 25.00% 8.00%
Jezero 49.00% 27.00% 24.00%
Decic Tuzi 25.00% 45.00% 30.00%
Jedinstvo 28.00% 40.00% 32.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2008-08-09 Buducnost Podgorica W 2-145.9 1107 1192 43.77% 20.86% 35.37%+0.14 +10.6 3
2008-08-09 @ Grbalj L 1-245.9 1192 1107 35.37% 20.86% 43.77%-0.14 -10.6 0
2008-08-09 Mogren D 1-155.4 1043 1144 41.56% 20.88% 37.56%+0.07 -0.3 1
2008-08-09 @ Lovcen D 1-155.4 1144 1043 37.56% 20.88% 41.56%-0.07 +0.3 1
2008-08-09 Petrovac L 1-444.8 1008 1006 54.87% 20.42% 24.71%+0.56 -37.5 0
2008-08-09 @ Decic Tuzi W 4-144.8 1006 1008 24.71% 20.42% 54.87%-0.56 +37.6 3
2008-08-09 Rudar W 3-142.3 985 1075 42.93% 20.87% 36.20%+0.11 +18.7 3
2008-08-09 @ Kom Podgorica L 1-342.3 1075 985 36.20% 20.87% 42.93%-0.11 -18.7 0
2008-08-09 Sutjeska D 2-261.2 982 976 55.32% 20.39% 24.29%+0.58 -1.6 1
2008-08-09 @ Jedinstvo D 2-261.2 976 982 24.29% 20.39% 55.32%-0.58 +1.6 1
2008-08-09 Zeta D 1-155.4 1088 1163 45.11% 20.83% 34.06%+0.19 -0.7 1
2008-08-09 @ Jezero D 1-155.4 1163 1088 34.06% 20.83% 45.11%-0.19 +0.7 1
2008-08-16 Decic Tuzi W 2-032.8 978 971 55.47% 20.38% 24.16%+0.58 +15.4 4
2008-08-16 @ Sutjeska L 0-232.8 971 978 24.16% 20.38% 55.47%-0.58 -15.4 0
2008-08-16 Jedinstvo W 1-034.3 1057 980 62.73% 19.65% 17.62%+0.92 +6.1 3
2008-08-16 @ Rudar L 0-134.3 980 1057 17.62% 19.65% 62.73%-0.92 -6.1 1
2008-08-16 Jezero W 2-140.7 1144 1087 60.80% 19.89% 19.32%+0.82 +6.3 4
2008-08-16 @ Mogren L 1-240.7 1087 1144 19.32% 19.89% 60.80%-0.82 -6.3 1
2008-08-16 Kom Podgorica W 1-033.3 1118 1003 66.12% 19.14% 14.74%+1.10 +5.2 6
2008-08-16 @ Grbalj L 0-133.3 1003 1118 14.74% 19.14% 66.12%-1.10 -5.2 3
2008-08-16 Lovcen W 1-036.7 1044 1043 54.78% 20.42% 24.80%+0.55 +8.3 6
2008-08-16 @ Petrovac L 0-136.7 1043 1044 24.80% 20.42% 54.78%-0.55 -8.3 1
2008-08-16 Zeta W 3-030.5 1181 1164 56.67% 20.28% 23.05%+0.63 +21.4 3
2008-08-16 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-330.5 1164 1181 23.05% 20.28% 56.67%-0.63 -21.5 1
2008-08-23 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-137.6 998 1203 27.68% 20.60% 51.72%-0.43 -9.2 3
2008-08-23 @ Kom Podgorica W 1-037.6 1203 998 51.72% 20.60% 27.68%+0.43 +9.2 6
2008-08-23 Grbalj W 2-148.5 974 1123 34.74% 20.85% 44.41%-0.17 +12.7 4
2008-08-23 @ Jedinstvo L 1-248.5 1123 974 44.41% 20.85% 34.74%+0.17 -12.7 6
2008-08-23 Mogren L 1-251.2 1142 1150 53.73% 20.49% 25.78%+0.51 -15.0 1
2008-08-23 @ Zeta W 2-151.2 1150 1142 25.78% 20.49% 53.73%-0.51 +15.0 7
2008-08-23 Petrovac L 1-348.6 1081 1052 57.90% 20.18% 21.92%+0.69 -27.9 1
2008-08-23 @ Jezero W 3-148.6 1052 1081 21.92% 20.18% 57.90%-0.69 +27.9 9
2008-08-23 Rudar W 1-041.0 955 1063 40.55% 20.89% 38.56%+0.03 +12.0 3
2008-08-23 @ Decic Tuzi L 0-141.0 1063 955 38.56% 20.89% 40.55%-0.03 -12.0 3
2008-08-23 Sutjeska D 0-050.6 1035 993 59.25% 20.05% 20.69%+0.75 -3.0 2
2008-08-23 @ Lovcen D 0-050.6 993 1035 20.69% 20.05% 59.25%-0.75 +3.0 5
2008-08-30 Decic Tuzi W 2-028.9 1110 967 68.42% 18.72% 12.86%+1.24 +8.6 9
2008-08-30 @ Grbalj L 0-228.9 967 1110 12.86% 18.72% 68.42%-1.24 -8.6 3
2008-08-30 Jedinstvo W 2-142.4 989 987 54.91% 20.41% 24.67%+0.56 +7.8 6
2008-08-30 @ Kom Podgorica L 1-242.4 987 989 24.67% 20.41% 54.91%-0.56 -7.8 4
2008-08-30 Jezero W 1-038.9 996 1053 47.52% 20.77% 31.70%+0.28 +10.3 8
2008-08-30 @ Sutjeska L 0-138.9 1053 996 31.70% 20.77% 47.52%-0.28 -10.3 1
2008-08-30 Lovcen W 1-036.1 1051 1032 56.85% 20.27% 22.88%+0.64 +7.8 6
2008-08-30 @ Rudar L 0-136.1 1032 1051 22.88% 20.27% 56.85%-0.64 -7.8 2
2008-08-30 Mogren L 1-253.0 1212 1165 59.79% 20.00% 20.21%+0.77 -16.6 6
2008-08-30 @ Buducnost Podgorica W 2-153.0 1165 1212 20.21% 20.00% 59.79%-0.77 +16.6 10
2008-08-30 Zeta L 0-240.4 1080 1127 48.84% 20.73% 30.44%+0.32 -27.6 9
2008-08-30 @ Petrovac W 2-040.4 1127 1080 30.44% 20.73% 48.84%-0.32 +27.6 4
2008-09-13 Buducnost Podgorica L 1-243.0 979 1195 26.32% 20.53% 53.16%-0.49 -8.3 4
2008-09-13 @ Jedinstvo W 2-143.0 1195 979 53.16% 20.53% 26.32%+0.49 +8.3 9
2008-09-13 Grbalj D 1-155.4 1024 1119 42.33% 20.87% 36.80%+0.09 -0.4 3
2008-09-13 @ Lovcen D 1-155.4 1119 1024 36.80% 20.87% 42.33%-0.09 +0.4 10
2008-09-13 Kom Podgorica W 2-143.9 959 997 50.00% 20.68% 29.32%+0.37 +9.1 6
2008-09-13 @ Decic Tuzi L 1-243.9 997 959 29.32% 20.68% 50.00%-0.37 -9.1 6
2008-09-13 Petrovac D 1-156.0 1182 1053 67.34% 18.93% 13.73%+1.17 -3.8 11
2008-09-13 @ Mogren D 1-156.0 1053 1182 13.73% 18.93% 67.34%-1.17 +3.8 10
2008-09-13 Rudar L 1-444.2 1043 1059 52.78% 20.55% 26.67%+0.47 -36.2 1
2008-09-13 @ Jezero W 4-144.2 1059 1043 26.67% 20.55% 52.78%-0.47 +36.2 9
2008-09-13 Sutjeska W 1-032.5 1155 1006 68.85% 18.63% 12.52%+1.26 +4.4 7
2008-09-13 @ Zeta L 0-132.5 1006 1155 12.52% 18.63% 68.85%-1.26 -4.4 8
2008-09-20 Decic Tuzi W 1-036.6 971 968 54.99% 20.41% 24.60%+0.56 +8.3 7
2008-09-20 @ Jedinstvo L 0-136.6 968 971 24.60% 20.41% 54.99%-0.56 -8.3 6
2008-09-20 Lovcen D 0-050.4 988 1023 50.31% 20.67% 29.03%+0.38 -1.6 7
2008-09-20 @ Kom Podgorica D 0-050.4 1023 988 29.03% 20.67% 50.31%-0.38 +1.6 4
2008-09-20 Mogren W 2-149.6 1002 1178 31.17% 20.75% 48.08%-0.30 +13.6 11
2008-09-20 @ Sutjeska L 1-249.6 1178 1002 48.08% 20.75% 31.17%+0.30 -13.6 11
2008-09-20 Petrovac W 5-130.0 1204 1056 68.75% 18.65% 12.60%+1.26 +13.3 12
2008-09-20 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 1-530.0 1056 1204 12.60% 18.65% 68.75%-1.26 -13.3 10
2008-09-20 Zeta W 1-039.2 1095 1159 46.53% 20.80% 32.67%+0.24 +10.5 12
2008-09-20 @ Rudar L 0-139.2 1159 1095 32.67% 20.80% 46.53%-0.24 -10.5 7
2008-09-21 Jezero W 3-027.6 1119 1007 65.96% 19.17% 14.87%+1.09 +14.3 13
2008-09-21 @ Grbalj L 0-327.6 1007 1119 14.87% 19.17% 65.96%-1.09 -14.3 1
2008-09-27 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-232.1 959 1217 21.96% 20.18% 57.85%-0.69 -14.1 6
2008-09-27 @ Decic Tuzi W 2-032.1 1217 959 57.85% 20.18% 21.96%+0.69 +14.1 15
2008-09-27 Grbalj D 1-155.6 1149 1134 56.41% 20.30% 23.29%+0.62 -2.3 8
2008-09-27 @ Zeta D 1-155.6 1134 1149 23.29% 20.30% 56.41%-0.62 +2.3 14
2008-09-27 Jedinstvo W 2-141.0 1025 979 59.72% 20.00% 20.27%+0.77 +6.6 7
2008-09-27 @ Lovcen L 1-241.0 979 1025 20.27% 20.00% 59.72%-0.77 -6.6 7
2008-09-27 Kom Podgorica L 0-145.8 992 986 55.37% 20.38% 24.25%+0.58 -16.4 1
2008-09-27 @ Jezero W 1-045.8 986 992 24.25% 20.38% 55.37%-0.58 +16.4 10
2008-09-27 Rudar W 4-347.8 1164 1105 61.04% 19.86% 19.10%+0.83 +5.8 14
2008-09-27 @ Mogren L 3-447.8 1105 1164 19.10% 19.86% 61.04%-0.83 -5.8 12
2008-09-27 Sutjeska D 1-155.5 1043 1015 57.77% 20.19% 22.04%+0.68 -2.5 11
2008-09-27 @ Petrovac D 1-155.5 1015 1043 22.04% 20.19% 57.77%-0.68 +2.5 12
2008-09-30 Mogren W 2-143.9 1136 1170 50.47% 20.66% 28.86%+0.38 +9.0 17
2008-09-30 @ Grbalj L 1-243.9 1170 1136 28.86% 20.66% 50.47%-0.38 -9.0 14
2008-10-01 Jezero L 0-145.5 972 976 54.25% 20.46% 25.29%+0.53 -16.1 7
2008-10-01 @ Jedinstvo W 1-045.5 976 972 25.29% 20.46% 54.25%-0.53 +16.1 4
2008-10-01 Lovcen L 0-238.8 945 1032 43.56% 20.86% 35.58%+0.14 -25.1 6
2008-10-01 @ Decic Tuzi W 2-038.8 1032 945 35.58% 20.86% 43.56%-0.14 +25.1 10
2008-10-01 Petrovac W 2-140.6 1100 1041 61.03% 19.86% 19.11%+0.83 +6.2 15
2008-10-01 @ Rudar L 1-240.6 1041 1100 19.11% 19.86% 61.03%-0.83 -6.2 11
2008-10-01 Sutjeska W 3-241.8 1231 1018 73.32% 17.52% 9.16%+1.57 +2.9 18
2008-10-01 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 2-341.8 1018 1231 9.16% 17.52% 73.32%-1.57 -2.9 12
2008-10-01 Zeta D 2-261.1 1003 1146 35.42% 20.86% 43.73%-0.14 +0.4 11
2008-10-01 @ Kom Podgorica D 2-261.1 1146 1003 43.73% 20.86% 35.42%+0.14 -0.4 9
2008-10-04 Buducnost Podgorica W 3-038.1 1057 1234 31.02% 20.75% 48.23%-0.30 +39.7 13
2008-10-04 @ Lovcen L 0-338.1 1234 1057 48.23% 20.75% 31.02%+0.30 -39.7 18
2008-10-04 Grbalj L 0-237.8 1034 1145 40.15% 20.89% 38.96%+0.02 -23.4 11
2008-10-04 @ Petrovac W 2-037.8 1145 1034 38.96% 20.89% 40.15%-0.02 +23.5 20
2008-10-04 Jedinstvo W 4-130.7 1146 956 71.80% 17.94% 10.26%+1.46 +8.4 12
2008-10-04 @ Zeta L 1-430.7 956 1146 10.26% 17.94% 71.80%-1.46 -8.4 7
2008-10-04 Kom Podgorica W 2-138.0 1161 1003 69.58% 18.47% 11.95%+1.31 +4.0 17
2008-10-04 @ Mogren L 1-238.0 1003 1161 11.95% 18.47% 69.58%-1.31 -4.0 11
2008-10-04 Rudar W 3-250.8 1015 1106 42.93% 20.87% 36.20%+0.11 +10.2 15
2008-10-04 @ Sutjeska L 2-350.8 1106 1015 36.20% 20.87% 42.93%-0.11 -10.2 15
2008-10-05 Decic Tuzi W 1-034.4 992 920 62.27% 19.71% 18.02%+0.89 +6.3 7
2008-10-05 @ Jezero L 0-134.4 920 992 18.02% 19.71% 62.27%-0.89 -6.3 6
2008-10-18 Jezero D 0-050.8 1096 998 64.71% 19.37% 15.92%+1.02 -3.9 14
2008-10-18 @ Lovcen D 0-050.8 998 1096 15.92% 19.37% 64.71%-1.02 +3.9 8
2008-10-18 Mogren D 0-050.5 948 1165 26.22% 20.52% 53.26%-0.49 +2.0 8
2008-10-18 @ Jedinstvo D 0-050.5 1165 948 53.26% 20.52% 26.22%+0.49 -2.0 18
2008-10-18 Petrovac D 1-155.4 999 1011 53.24% 20.52% 26.24%+0.49 -1.8 12
2008-10-18 @ Kom Podgorica D 1-155.4 1011 999 26.24% 20.52% 53.24%-0.49 +1.8 12
2008-10-18 Rudar W 4-346.7 1194 1096 64.76% 19.36% 15.87%+1.02 +4.9 21
2008-10-18 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 3-446.7 1096 1194 15.87% 19.36% 64.76%-1.02 -4.9 15
2008-10-18 Sutjeska W 2-029.0 1168 1025 68.42% 18.72% 12.87%+1.24 +8.6 23
2008-10-18 @ Grbalj L 0-229.0 1025 1168 12.87% 18.72% 68.42%-1.24 -8.6 15
2008-10-18 Zeta L 0-136.3 914 1154 23.69% 20.34% 55.98%-0.60 -8.0 6
2008-10-18 @ Decic Tuzi W 1-036.3 1154 914 55.98% 20.34% 23.69%+0.60 +8.0 15
2008-10-25 Buducnost Podgorica D 1-155.4 1002 1199 28.58% 20.65% 50.77%-0.40 +1.5 9
2008-10-25 @ Jezero D 1-155.4 1199 1002 50.77% 20.65% 28.58%+0.40 -1.5 22
2008-10-25 Decic Tuzi W 2-026.7 1163 906 75.92% 16.69% 7.39%+1.78 +4.9 21
2008-10-25 @ Mogren L 0-226.7 906 1163 7.39% 16.69% 75.92%-1.78 -4.9 6
2008-10-25 Grbalj W 1-040.1 1091 1177 43.58% 20.86% 35.56%+0.14 +11.3 18
2008-10-25 @ Rudar L 0-140.1 1177 1091 35.56% 20.86% 43.58%-0.14 -11.3 23
2008-10-25 Jedinstvo D 1-155.6 1013 950 61.41% 19.82% 18.77%+0.85 -3.0 13
2008-10-25 @ Petrovac D 1-155.6 950 1013 18.77% 19.82% 61.41%-0.85 +3.0 9
2008-10-25 Kom Podgorica W 2-141.8 1017 997 56.89% 20.27% 22.85%+0.64 +7.3 18
2008-10-25 @ Sutjeska L 1-241.8 997 1017 22.85% 20.27% 56.89%-0.64 -7.3 12
2008-10-25 Lovcen W 2-030.9 1163 1092 62.12% 19.73% 18.15%+0.89 +11.9 18
2008-10-25 @ Zeta L 0-230.9 1092 1163 18.15% 19.73% 62.12%-0.89 -11.9 14
2008-11-01 Decic Tuzi W 2-139.2 1010 901 65.63% 19.23% 15.15%+1.07 +5.0 16
2008-11-01 @ Petrovac L 1-239.2 901 1010 15.15% 19.23% 65.63%-1.07 -5.0 6
2008-11-01 Grbalj D 2-261.4 1198 1165 58.26% 20.15% 21.59%+0.70 -1.9 23
2008-11-01 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 2-261.4 1165 1198 21.59% 20.15% 58.26%-0.70 +1.9 24
2008-11-01 Jedinstvo W 1-034.5 1024 953 62.22% 19.72% 18.06%+0.89 +6.3 21
2008-11-01 @ Sutjeska L 0-134.5 953 1024 18.06% 19.72% 62.22%-0.89 -6.3 9
2008-11-01 Jezero L 0-246.1 1174 1004 70.49% 18.26% 11.25%+1.37 -38.8 18
2008-11-01 @ Zeta W 2-046.1 1004 1174 11.25% 18.26% 70.49%-1.37 +38.8 12
2008-11-01 Kom Podgorica L 0-245.0 1102 990 65.93% 19.18% 14.90%+1.09 -36.5 18
2008-11-01 @ Rudar W 2-045.0 990 1102 14.90% 19.18% 65.93%-1.09 +36.5 15
2008-11-01 Lovcen W 2-030.4 1168 1081 63.75% 19.51% 16.73%+0.97 +11.0 24
2008-11-01 @ Mogren L 0-230.4 1081 1168 16.73% 19.51% 63.75%-0.97 -11.0 14
2008-11-08 Grbalj W 1-042.4 1026 1167 35.81% 20.86% 43.33%-0.13 +13.2 18
2008-11-08 @ Kom Podgorica L 0-142.4 1167 1026 43.33% 20.86% 35.81%+0.13 -13.2 24
2008-11-08 Mogren L 1-637.2 1042 1179 36.43% 20.87% 42.70%-0.11 -42.0 12
2008-11-08 @ Jezero W 6-137.2 1179 1042 42.70% 20.87% 36.43%+0.11 +42.0 27
2008-11-08 Petrovac W 1-035.0 1069 1015 60.61% 19.91% 19.48%+0.81 +6.7 17
2008-11-08 @ Lovcen L 0-135.0 1015 1069 19.48% 19.91% 60.61%-0.81 -6.7 16
2008-11-08 Rudar D 0-050.4 947 1065 38.93% 20.89% 40.18%-0.02 +0.1 10
2008-11-08 @ Jedinstvo D 0-050.4 1065 947 40.18% 20.89% 38.93%+0.02 -0.1 19
2008-11-08 Sutjeska W 1-042.1 896 1030 36.77% 20.87% 42.36%-0.09 +13.0 9
2008-11-08 @ Decic Tuzi L 0-142.1 1030 896 42.36% 20.87% 36.77%+0.09 -13.0 21
2008-11-09 Buducnost Podgorica W 3-249.7 1136 1196 47.12% 20.78% 32.10%+0.26 +9.3 21
2008-11-09 @ Zeta L 2-349.7 1196 1136 32.10% 20.78% 47.12%-0.26 -9.3 23
2008-11-15 Decic Tuzi W 1-032.3 1065 909 69.43% 18.50% 12.06%+1.30 +4.3 22
2008-11-15 @ Rudar L 0-132.3 909 1065 12.06% 18.50% 69.43%-1.30 -4.3 9
2008-11-15 Jedinstvo W 2-137.0 1154 947 72.96% 17.62% 9.42%+1.54 +3.1 27
2008-11-15 @ Grbalj L 1-237.0 947 1154 9.42% 17.62% 72.96%-1.54 -3.1 10
2008-11-15 Jezero W 5-133.9 1008 1000 55.55% 20.37% 24.08%+0.59 +24.3 19
2008-11-15 @ Petrovac L 1-533.9 1000 1008 24.08% 20.37% 55.55%-0.59 -24.3 12
2008-11-15 Kom Podgorica W 3-026.8 1186 1039 68.73% 18.65% 12.62%+1.25 +12.2 26
2008-11-15 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-326.8 1039 1186 12.62% 18.65% 68.73%-1.25 -12.2 18
2008-11-15 Lovcen W 1-039.0 1017 1076 47.28% 20.78% 31.94%+0.27 +10.3 24
2008-11-15 @ Sutjeska L 0-139.0 1076 1017 31.94% 20.78% 47.28%-0.27 -10.3 17
2008-11-15 Zeta W 2-030.8 1221 1145 62.70% 19.66% 17.64%+0.91 +11.6 30
2008-11-15 @ Mogren L 0-230.8 1145 1221 17.64% 19.66% 62.70%-0.91 -11.6 21
2008-11-22 Grbalj L 0-232.3 905 1157 22.45% 20.23% 57.32%-0.66 -14.4 9
2008-11-22 @ Decic Tuzi W 2-032.3 1157 905 57.32% 20.23% 22.45%+0.66 +14.4 30
2008-11-22 Petrovac L 1-254.2 1133 1032 64.96% 19.33% 15.71%+1.03 -18.0 21
2008-11-22 @ Zeta W 2-154.2 1032 1133 15.71% 19.33% 64.96%-1.03 +18.0 22
2008-11-22 Rudar L 0-241.9 1066 1070 54.21% 20.46% 25.33%+0.53 -30.3 17
2008-11-22 @ Lovcen W 2-041.9 1070 1066 25.33% 20.46% 54.21%-0.53 +30.3 25
2008-11-23 Buducnost Podgorica W 1-035.9 1233 1199 58.46% 20.13% 21.42%+0.71 +7.3 33
2008-11-23 @ Mogren L 0-135.9 1199 1233 21.42% 20.13% 58.46%-0.71 -7.3 26
2008-11-29 Decic Tuzi D 1-155.9 1027 890 67.95% 18.81% 13.24%+1.21 -3.9 19
2008-11-29 @ Kom Podgorica D 1-155.9 890 1027 13.24% 18.81% 67.95%-1.21 +3.9 10
2008-11-29 Jedinstvo W 4-236.1 1191 944 75.40% 16.87% 7.73%+1.74 +4.0 29
2008-11-29 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 2-436.1 944 1191 7.73% 16.87% 75.40%-1.74 -4.0 10
2008-11-29 Jezero W 3-027.3 1100 976 66.90% 19.01% 14.09%+1.14 +13.6 28
2008-11-29 @ Rudar L 0-327.3 976 1100 14.09% 19.01% 66.90%-1.14 -13.6 12
2008-11-29 Lovcen D 0-051.0 1172 1036 67.89% 18.82% 13.29%+1.20 -4.4 31
2008-11-29 @ Grbalj D 0-051.0 1036 1172 13.29% 18.82% 67.89%-1.20 +4.4 18
2008-11-29 Mogren L 1-437.3 1050 1240 29.47% 20.69% 49.84%-0.36 -22.3 22
2008-11-29 @ Petrovac W 4-137.3 1240 1050 49.84% 20.69% 29.47%+0.36 +22.3 36
2008-11-29 Zeta L 1-248.2 1028 1115 43.37% 20.86% 35.77%+0.13 -12.5 24
2008-11-29 @ Sutjeska W 2-148.2 1115 1028 35.77% 20.86% 43.37%-0.13 +12.5 24
2008-12-03 Kom Podgorica D 0-050.4 940 1023 43.91% 20.85% 35.23%+0.15 -0.6 11
2008-12-03 @ Jedinstvo D 0-050.4 1023 940 35.23% 20.85% 43.91%-0.15 +0.6 20
2008-12-03 Sutjeska W 2-144.5 962 1015 48.11% 20.75% 31.14%+0.30 +9.5 15
2008-12-03 @ Jezero L 1-244.5 1015 962 31.14% 20.75% 48.11%-0.30 -9.5 24
2008-12-06 Grbalj W 1-044.5 972 1167 28.79% 20.66% 50.55%-0.39 +15.1 18
2008-12-06 @ Jezero L 0-144.5 1167 972 50.55% 20.66% 28.79%+0.39 -15.1 31
2008-12-06 Jedinstvo L 1-249.8 894 939 49.15% 20.72% 30.13%+0.34 -13.9 10
2008-12-06 @ Decic Tuzi W 2-149.8 939 894 30.13% 20.72% 49.15%-0.34 +13.9 14
2008-12-06 Kom Podgorica W 2-032.5 1040 1024 56.49% 20.30% 23.21%+0.63 +14.9 21
2008-12-06 @ Lovcen L 0-232.5 1024 1040 23.21% 20.30% 56.49%-0.63 -14.9 20
2008-12-06 Rudar W 1-036.3 1128 1114 56.28% 20.31% 23.40%+0.62 +7.9 27
2008-12-06 @ Zeta L 0-136.3 1114 1128 23.40% 20.31% 56.28%-0.62 -7.9 28
2008-12-07 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-235.4 1028 1195 32.29% 20.79% 46.92%-0.25 -19.7 22
2008-12-07 @ Petrovac W 2-035.4 1195 1028 46.92% 20.79% 32.29%+0.25 +19.7 32
2008-12-07 Sutjeska L 0-151.0 1262 1006 75.90% 16.70% 7.40%+1.78 -22.0 36
2008-12-07 @ Mogren W 1-051.0 1006 1262 7.40% 16.70% 75.90%-1.78 +22.0 27
2009-02-28 Decic Tuzi W 3-131.2 1215 880 79.83% 15.13% 5.04%+2.15 +2.8 35
2009-02-28 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 1-331.2 880 1215 5.04% 15.13% 79.83%-2.15 -2.8 10
2009-02-28 Jezero D 0-050.6 1009 987 57.15% 20.24% 22.60%+0.65 -2.6 21
2009-02-28 @ Kom Podgorica D 0-050.6 987 1009 22.60% 20.24% 57.15%-0.65 +2.6 19
2009-02-28 Lovcen L 0-141.8 953 1055 41.35% 20.88% 37.76%+0.06 -12.7 14
2009-02-28 @ Jedinstvo W 1-041.8 1055 953 37.76% 20.88% 41.35%-0.06 +12.7 24
2009-02-28 Mogren L 1-246.3 1106 1240 36.70% 20.87% 42.42%-0.10 -10.9 28
2009-02-28 @ Rudar W 2-146.3 1240 1106 42.42% 20.87% 36.70%+0.10 +10.9 39
2009-02-28 Petrovac W 2-032.4 1028 1008 56.86% 20.27% 22.87%+0.64 +14.7 30
2009-02-28 @ Sutjeska L 0-232.4 1008 1028 22.87% 20.27% 56.86%-0.64 -14.7 22
2009-02-28 Zeta L 1-252.0 1152 1136 56.55% 20.29% 23.16%+0.63 -15.8 31
2009-02-28 @ Grbalj W 2-152.0 1136 1152 23.16% 20.29% 56.55%-0.63 +15.8 30
2009-03-07 Grbalj W 1-033.5 1251 1136 66.15% 19.14% 14.71%+1.10 +5.2 42
2009-03-07 @ Mogren L 0-133.5 1136 1251 14.71% 19.14% 66.15%-1.10 -5.2 31
2009-03-07 Jedinstvo L 0-147.1 990 940 60.09% 19.97% 19.94%+0.79 -17.7 19
2009-03-07 @ Jezero W 1-047.1 940 990 19.94% 19.97% 60.09%-0.79 +17.7 17
2009-03-07 Kom Podgorica L 2-359.9 1151 1006 68.58% 18.68% 12.74%+1.25 -18.0 30
2009-03-07 @ Zeta W 3-259.9 1006 1151 12.74% 18.68% 68.58%-1.25 +18.0 24
2009-03-07 Rudar W 1-040.7 994 1095 41.47% 20.88% 37.65%+0.06 +11.8 25
2009-03-07 @ Petrovac L 0-140.7 1095 994 37.65% 20.88% 41.47%-0.06 -11.8 28
2009-03-08 Buducnost Podgorica D 0-050.5 1042 1218 31.24% 20.76% 48.00%-0.29 +1.2 31
2009-03-08 @ Sutjeska D 0-050.5 1218 1042 48.00% 20.76% 31.24%+0.29 -1.2 36
2009-03-11 Decic Tuzi W 2-027.9 1068 878 71.81% 17.93% 10.26%+1.46 +6.9 27
2009-03-11 @ Lovcen L 0-227.9 878 1068 10.26% 17.93% 71.81%-1.46 -6.8 10
2009-03-14 Jezero W 1-040.7 871 972 41.44% 20.88% 37.68%+0.06 +11.8 13
2009-03-14 @ Decic Tuzi L 0-140.7 972 871 37.68% 20.88% 41.44%-0.06 -11.8 19
2009-03-14 Lovcen D 1-156.1 1217 1074 68.36% 18.73% 12.91%+1.23 -4.0 37
2009-03-14 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 1-156.1 1074 1217 12.91% 18.73% 68.36%-1.23 +4.0 28
2009-03-14 Mogren W 2-042.2 1024 1256 24.58% 20.41% 55.01%-0.56 +30.7 27
2009-03-14 @ Kom Podgorica L 0-242.2 1256 1024 55.01% 20.41% 24.58%+0.56 -30.7 42
2009-03-14 Petrovac W 3-135.1 1131 1005 67.06% 18.98% 13.96%+1.15 +8.0 34
2009-03-14 @ Grbalj L 1-335.1 1005 1131 13.96% 18.98% 67.06%-1.15 -8.0 25
2009-03-14 Sutjeska L 1-252.6 1083 1043 59.04% 20.07% 20.89%+0.74 -16.4 28
2009-03-14 @ Rudar W 2-152.6 1043 1083 20.89% 20.07% 59.04%-0.74 +16.4 34
2009-03-14 Zeta D 0-050.4 958 1134 31.22% 20.76% 48.02%-0.29 +1.2 18
2009-03-14 @ Jedinstvo D 0-050.4 1134 958 48.02% 20.76% 31.22%+0.29 -1.2 31
2009-03-18 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-140.0 1067 1213 35.13% 20.85% 44.02%-0.15 -11.2 28
2009-03-18 @ Rudar W 1-040.0 1213 1067 44.02% 20.85% 35.13%+0.15 +11.2 40
2009-03-18 Decic Tuzi W 2-136.2 1132 883 75.51% 16.83% 7.66%+1.75 +2.5 34
2009-03-18 @ Zeta L 1-236.2 883 1132 7.66% 16.83% 75.51%-1.75 -2.5 13
2009-03-18 Grbalj W 1-039.8 1060 1139 44.51% 20.84% 34.65%+0.17 +11.1 37
2009-03-18 @ Sutjeska L 0-139.8 1139 1060 34.65% 20.84% 44.51%-0.17 -11.0 34
2009-03-18 Jedinstvo W 6-025.5 1226 959 76.45% 16.50% 7.05%+1.83 +12.9 45
2009-03-18 @ Mogren L 0-625.5 959 1226 7.05% 16.50% 76.45%-1.83 -12.9 18
2009-03-18 Kom Podgorica W 2-035.2 997 1055 47.44% 20.77% 31.79%+0.27 +19.4 28
2009-03-18 @ Petrovac L 0-235.2 1055 997 31.79% 20.77% 47.44%-0.27 -19.4 27
2009-03-18 Lovcen W 2-147.2 960 1078 39.04% 20.89% 40.07%-0.02 +11.7 22
2009-03-18 @ Jezero L 1-247.2 1078 960 40.07% 20.89% 39.04%+0.02 -11.7 28
2009-03-21 Jezero W 3-024.7 1224 972 75.63% 16.79% 7.58%+1.76 +7.3 43
2009-03-21 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-324.7 972 1224 7.58% 16.79% 75.63%-1.76 -7.3 22
2009-03-21 Mogren L 0-229.3 880 1239 13.72% 18.92% 67.36%-1.17 -9.1 13
2009-03-21 @ Decic Tuzi W 2-029.3 1239 880 67.36% 18.92% 13.72%+1.17 +9.1 48
2009-03-21 Petrovac W 2-145.2 946 1017 45.71% 20.82% 33.47%+0.21 +10.1 21
2009-03-21 @ Jedinstvo L 1-245.2 1017 946 33.47% 20.82% 45.71%-0.21 -10.1 28
2009-03-21 Rudar W 2-140.2 1128 1055 62.39% 19.70% 17.91%+0.90 +5.9 37
2009-03-21 @ Grbalj L 1-240.2 1055 1128 17.91% 19.70% 62.39%-0.90 -5.9 28
2009-03-21 Sutjeska D 0-050.5 1036 1071 50.36% 20.67% 28.97%+0.38 -1.6 28
2009-03-21 @ Kom Podgorica D 0-050.5 1071 1036 28.97% 20.67% 50.36%-0.38 +1.6 38
2009-03-21 Zeta W 1-039.4 1067 1135 46.04% 20.81% 33.14%+0.22 +10.7 31
2009-03-21 @ Lovcen L 0-139.4 1135 1067 33.14% 20.81% 46.04%-0.22 -10.7 34
2009-04-04 Decic Tuzi W 3-130.7 1248 871 81.67% 14.25% 4.08%+2.36 +2.2 51
2009-04-04 @ Mogren L 1-330.7 871 1248 4.08% 14.25% 81.67%-2.36 -2.2 13
2009-04-04 Jedinstvo W 6-025.4 1231 956 76.88% 16.34% 6.77%+1.87 +12.4 46
2009-04-04 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-625.4 956 1231 6.77% 16.34% 76.88%-1.87 -12.4 21
2009-04-04 Jezero W 4-027.4 1073 965 65.56% 19.24% 15.20%+1.07 +19.1 41
2009-04-04 @ Sutjeska L 0-427.4 965 1073 15.20% 19.24% 65.56%-1.07 -19.1 22
2009-04-04 Kom Podgorica W 1-034.0 1124 1034 63.99% 19.48% 16.53%+0.98 +5.8 37
2009-04-04 @ Zeta L 0-134.0 1034 1124 16.53% 19.48% 63.99%-0.98 -5.8 28
2009-04-04 Petrovac W 1-033.0 1134 1007 67.20% 18.95% 13.85%+1.16 +4.9 40
2009-04-04 @ Grbalj L 0-133.0 1007 1134 13.85% 18.95% 67.20%-1.16 -4.9 28
2009-04-04 Rudar W 2-032.1 1077 1049 57.80% 20.19% 22.01%+0.68 +14.2 34
2009-04-04 @ Lovcen L 0-232.1 1049 1077 22.01% 20.19% 57.80%-0.68 -14.2 28
2009-04-08 Buducnost Podgorica L 2-356.9 1250 1243 55.42% 20.38% 24.20%+0.58 -14.7 51
2009-04-08 @ Mogren W 3-256.9 1243 1250 24.20% 20.38% 55.42%-0.58 +14.7 49
2009-04-08 Grbalj L 1-243.8 946 1139 29.01% 20.67% 50.32%-0.38 -9.0 22
2009-04-08 @ Jezero W 2-143.8 1139 946 50.32% 20.67% 29.01%+0.38 +9.0 43
2009-04-08 Lovcen W 2-144.9 1028 1092 46.71% 20.79% 32.49%+0.25 +9.9 31
2009-04-08 @ Kom Podgorica L 1-244.9 1092 1028 32.49% 20.79% 46.71%-0.25 -9.9 34
2009-04-08 Rudar W 2-039.7 869 1035 32.39% 20.79% 46.82%-0.25 +26.6 16
2009-04-08 @ Decic Tuzi L 0-239.7 1035 869 46.82% 20.79% 32.39%+0.25 -26.6 28
2009-04-08 Sutjeska D 1-155.3 944 1092 34.90% 20.85% 44.25%-0.16 +0.6 22
2009-04-08 @ Jedinstvo D 1-155.3 1092 944 44.25% 20.85% 34.90%+0.16 -0.6 42
2009-04-08 Zeta W 3-252.4 1002 1130 37.61% 20.88% 41.51%-0.07 +11.4 31
2009-04-08 @ Petrovac L 2-352.4 1130 1002 41.51% 20.88% 37.61%+0.07 -11.4 37
2009-04-11 Decic Tuzi W 2-025.2 1258 895 81.08% 14.55% 4.38%+2.29 +2.8 52
2009-04-11 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-225.2 895 1258 4.38% 14.55% 81.08%-2.29 -2.8 16
2009-04-11 Jedinstvo W 4-025.3 1148 945 72.71% 17.69% 9.60%+1.53 +12.1 46
2009-04-11 @ Grbalj L 0-425.3 945 1148 9.60% 17.69% 72.71%-1.53 -12.1 22
2009-04-11 Jezero D 1-156.2 1119 937 71.27% 18.07% 10.66%+1.42 -4.4 38
2009-04-11 @ Zeta D 1-156.2 937 1119 10.66% 18.07% 71.27%-1.42 +4.4 23
2009-04-11 Kom Podgorica W 1-037.8 1009 1038 51.08% 20.63% 28.28%+0.41 +9.3 31
2009-04-11 @ Rudar L 0-137.8 1038 1009 28.28% 20.63% 51.08%-0.41 -9.4 31
2009-04-11 Petrovac D 1-155.7 1082 1013 61.96% 19.75% 18.29%+0.88 -3.1 35
2009-04-11 @ Lovcen D 1-155.7 1013 1082 18.29% 19.75% 61.96%-0.88 +3.1 32
2009-04-12 Mogren D 0-050.5 1091 1235 35.38% 20.86% 43.76%-0.14 +0.6 43
2009-04-12 @ Sutjeska D 0-050.5 1235 1091 43.76% 20.86% 35.38%+0.14 -0.6 52
2009-04-18 Grbalj W 1-034.6 1235 1160 62.54% 19.68% 17.78%+0.91 +6.2 55
2009-04-18 @ Mogren L 0-134.6 1160 1235 17.78% 19.68% 62.54%-0.91 -6.2 46
2009-04-18 Kom Podgorica W 3-252.8 892 1029 36.47% 20.87% 42.66%-0.10 +11.7 19
2009-04-18 @ Decic Tuzi L 2-352.8 1029 892 42.66% 20.87% 36.47%+0.10 -11.7 31
2009-04-18 Lovcen W 1-042.2 941 1079 36.29% 20.87% 42.84%-0.11 +13.1 26
2009-04-18 @ Jezero L 0-142.2 1079 941 42.84% 20.87% 36.29%+0.11 -13.1 35
2009-04-18 Rudar W 2-142.6 1016 1018 54.45% 20.45% 25.10%+0.54 +8.0 35
2009-04-18 @ Petrovac L 1-242.6 1018 1016 25.10% 20.45% 54.45%-0.54 -8.0 31
2009-04-18 Sutjeska D 1-156.3 1261 1092 70.37% 18.29% 11.34%+1.36 -4.3 53
2009-04-18 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 1-156.3 1092 1261 11.34% 18.29% 70.37%-1.36 +4.3 44
2009-04-18 Zeta L 1-244.3 932 1114 30.46% 20.73% 48.81%-0.32 -9.4 22
2009-04-18 @ Jedinstvo W 2-144.3 1114 932 48.81% 20.73% 30.46%+0.32 +9.4 41
2009-04-25 Buducnost Podgorica L 1-247.8 1154 1257 41.26% 20.88% 37.86%+0.06 -12.0 46
2009-04-25 @ Grbalj W 2-147.8 1257 1154 37.86% 20.88% 41.26%-0.06 +12.0 56
2009-04-25 Decic Tuzi W 1-031.5 1096 904 71.93% 17.90% 10.17%+1.47 +3.6 47
2009-04-25 @ Sutjeska L 0-131.5 904 1096 10.17% 17.90% 71.93%-1.47 -3.6 19
2009-04-25 Jedinstvo L 0-149.3 1065 923 68.38% 18.72% 12.90%+1.23 -20.0 35
2009-04-25 @ Lovcen W 1-049.3 923 1065 12.90% 18.72% 68.38%-1.23 +20.0 25
2009-04-25 Jezero W 6-030.2 1010 954 60.74% 19.90% 19.37%+0.82 +35.1 34
2009-04-25 @ Rudar L 0-630.2 954 1010 19.37% 19.90% 60.74%-0.82 -35.1 26
2009-04-25 Mogren L 0-237.6 1124 1241 39.14% 20.89% 39.97%-0.01 -23.0 41
2009-04-25 @ Zeta W 2-037.6 1241 1124 39.97% 20.89% 39.14%+0.01 +23.0 58
2009-04-25 Petrovac L 0-145.4 1017 1024 53.83% 20.49% 25.69%+0.52 -16.0 31
2009-04-25 @ Kom Podgorica W 1-045.4 1024 1017 25.69% 20.49% 53.83%-0.52 +16.0 38
2009-05-02 Grbalj W 2-144.1 1100 1142 49.44% 20.71% 29.86%+0.35 +9.2 50
2009-05-02 @ Sutjeska L 1-244.1 1142 1100 29.86% 20.71% 49.44%-0.35 -9.2 46
2009-05-02 Kom Podgorica W 4-245.5 919 1001 44.12% 20.85% 35.03%+0.15 +16.3 29
2009-05-02 @ Jezero L 2-445.5 1001 919 35.03% 20.85% 44.12%-0.15 -16.3 31
2009-05-02 Lovcen D 0-051.5 1264 1045 73.65% 17.42% 8.93%+1.60 -5.3 59
2009-05-02 @ Mogren D 0-051.5 1045 1264 8.93% 17.42% 73.65%-1.60 +5.3 36
2009-05-02 Petrovac W 2-148.1 901 1040 36.02% 20.86% 43.12%-0.12 +12.4 22
2009-05-02 @ Decic Tuzi L 1-248.1 1040 901 43.12% 20.86% 36.02%+0.12 -12.4 38
2009-05-02 Rudar D 1-155.3 943 1045 41.33% 20.88% 37.79%+0.06 -0.2 26
2009-05-02 @ Jedinstvo D 1-155.3 1045 943 37.79% 20.88% 41.33%-0.06 +0.2 35
2009-05-03 Zeta W 1-032.2 1269 1101 70.29% 18.31% 11.40%+1.36 +4.0 59
2009-05-03 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-132.2 1101 1269 11.40% 18.31% 70.29%-1.36 -4.0 41
2009-05-06 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-233.4 1051 1273 25.69% 20.49% 53.82%-0.52 -16.2 36
2009-05-06 @ Lovcen W 2-033.4 1273 1051 53.82% 20.49% 25.69%+0.52 +16.2 62
2009-05-06 Decic Tuzi D 2-262.1 1133 913 73.73% 17.40% 8.87%+1.60 -3.5 47
2009-05-06 @ Grbalj D 2-262.1 913 1133 8.87% 17.40% 73.73%-1.60 +3.5 23
2009-05-06 Jedinstvo W 1-035.3 985 943 59.32% 20.05% 20.64%+0.75 +7.1 34
2009-05-06 @ Kom Podgorica L 0-135.3 943 985 20.64% 20.05% 59.32%-0.75 -7.1 26
2009-05-06 Jezero W 3-135.9 1028 935 64.21% 19.45% 16.34%+0.99 +9.3 41
2009-05-06 @ Petrovac L 1-335.9 935 1028 16.34% 19.45% 64.21%-0.99 -9.4 29
2009-05-06 Mogren L 0-137.4 1045 1259 26.68% 20.55% 52.78%-0.47 -8.9 35
2009-05-06 @ Rudar W 1-037.4 1259 1045 52.78% 20.55% 26.68%+0.47 +8.9 62
2009-05-06 Sutjeska L 0-339.5 1096 1109 53.20% 20.52% 26.28%+0.49 -43.3 41
2009-05-06 @ Zeta W 3-039.5 1109 1096 26.28% 20.52% 53.20%-0.49 +43.3 53
2009-05-09 Jezero W 1-037.1 917 926 53.55% 20.50% 25.95%+0.50 +8.7 26
2009-05-09 @ Decic Tuzi L 0-137.1 926 917 25.95% 20.50% 53.55%-0.50 -8.7 29
2009-05-09 Kom Podgorica W 2-026.5 1268 992 76.92% 16.33% 6.75%+1.87 +4.4 65
2009-05-09 @ Mogren L 0-226.5 992 1268 6.75% 16.33% 76.92%-1.87 -4.4 34
2009-05-09 Lovcen W 2-029.6 1152 1034 66.38% 19.10% 14.52%+1.11 +9.7 56
2009-05-09 @ Sutjeska L 0-229.6 1034 1152 14.52% 19.10% 66.38%-1.11 -9.7 36
2009-05-09 Petrovac W 3-142.7 936 1037 41.43% 20.88% 37.69%+0.06 +19.3 29
2009-05-09 @ Jedinstvo L 1-342.7 1037 936 37.69% 20.88% 41.43%-0.06 -19.3 41
2009-05-09 Zeta W 4-133.4 1129 1053 62.69% 19.66% 17.65%+0.91 +14.2 50
2009-05-09 @ Grbalj L 1-433.4 1053 1129 17.65% 19.66% 62.69%-0.91 -14.2 41
2009-05-10 Rudar D 1-156.7 1289 1036 75.66% 16.78% 7.56%+1.76 -5.0 63
2009-05-10 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 1-156.7 1036 1289 7.56% 16.78% 75.66%-1.76 +5.0 36
2009-05-16 Buducnost Podgorica L 1-240.4 988 1284 18.39% 19.76% 61.85%-0.87 -6.0 34
2009-05-16 @ Kom Podgorica W 2-140.4 1284 988 61.85% 19.76% 18.39%+0.87 +6.0 66
2009-05-16 Decic Tuzi D 0-050.9 1039 925 66.06% 19.15% 14.78%+1.10 -4.1 42
2009-05-16 @ Zeta D 0-050.9 925 1039 14.78% 19.15% 66.06%-1.10 +4.1 27
2009-05-16 Grbalj W 1-041.5 1025 1143 38.96% 20.89% 40.15%-0.02 +12.4 39
2009-05-16 @ Lovcen L 0-141.5 1143 1025 40.15% 20.89% 38.96%+0.02 -12.4 50
2009-05-16 Jedinstvo W 4-243.7 917 955 50.04% 20.68% 29.28%+0.37 +14.0 32
2009-05-16 @ Jezero L 2-443.7 955 917 29.28% 20.68% 50.04%-0.37 -14.0 29
2009-05-16 Mogren L 0-330.2 1018 1272 22.29% 20.22% 57.50%-0.67 -20.8 41
2009-05-16 @ Petrovac W 3-030.2 1272 1018 57.50% 20.22% 22.29%+0.67 +20.8 68
2009-05-16 Sutjeska D 0-050.4 1041 1162 38.74% 20.89% 40.38%-0.03 +0.1 37
2009-05-16 @ Rudar D 0-050.4 1162 1041 40.38% 20.89% 38.74%+0.03 -0.1 57
2009-05-23 Jedinstvo W 2-033.5 929 941 53.28% 20.52% 26.20%+0.49 +16.5 30
2009-05-23 @ Decic Tuzi L 0-233.5 941 929 26.20% 20.52% 53.28%-0.49 -16.5 29
2009-05-23 Jezero W 2-025.2 1293 931 81.02% 14.57% 4.40%+2.28 +2.8 71
2009-05-23 @ Mogren L 0-225.2 931 1293 4.40% 14.57% 81.02%-2.28 -2.8 32
2009-05-23 Kom Podgorica W 3-133.9 1162 982 71.13% 18.11% 10.76%+1.41 +6.2 60
2009-05-23 @ Sutjeska L 1-333.9 982 1162 10.76% 18.11% 71.13%-1.41 -6.2 34
2009-05-23 Lovcen W 1-036.8 1035 1037 54.38% 20.45% 25.17%+0.54 +8.5 45
2009-05-23 @ Zeta L 0-136.8 1037 1035 25.17% 20.45% 54.38%-0.54 -8.5 39
2009-05-23 Petrovac W 6-126.7 1290 997 77.83% 15.98% 6.19%+1.95 +7.8 69
2009-05-23 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 1-626.7 997 1290 6.19% 15.98% 77.83%-1.95 -7.9 41
2009-05-23 Rudar L 0-244.5 1131 1042 63.93% 19.49% 16.58%+0.98 -35.4 50
2009-05-23 @ Grbalj W 2-044.5 1042 1131 16.58% 19.49% 63.93%-0.98 +35.4 40
2009-05-30 Buducnost Podgorica D 2-261.7 928 1298 13.03% 18.76% 68.21%-1.22 +2.9 33
2009-05-30 @ Jezero D 2-261.7 1298 928 68.21% 18.76% 13.03%+1.22 -3.0 70
2009-05-30 Decic Tuzi D 0-050.8 1029 946 63.34% 19.57% 17.09%+0.95 -3.6 40
2009-05-30 @ Lovcen D 0-050.8 946 1029 17.09% 19.57% 63.34%-0.95 +3.7 31
2009-05-30 Grbalj W 4-354.4 975 1096 38.73% 20.89% 40.39%-0.03 +10.9 37
2009-05-30 @ Kom Podgorica L 3-454.4 1096 975 40.39% 20.89% 38.73%+0.03 -10.9 50
2009-05-30 Mogren L 1-238.4 924 1296 12.92% 18.73% 68.35%-1.23 -4.3 29
2009-05-30 @ Jedinstvo W 2-138.4 1296 924 68.35% 18.73% 12.92%+1.23 +4.3 74
2009-05-30 Sutjeska L 0-332.9 989 1168 30.85% 20.74% 48.41%-0.31 -27.5 41
2009-05-30 @ Petrovac W 3-032.9 1168 989 48.41% 20.74% 30.85%+0.31 +27.5 63
2009-05-30 Zeta D 0-050.6 1077 1043 58.42% 20.13% 21.45%+0.71 -2.8 41
2009-05-30 @ Rudar D 0-050.6 1043 1077 21.45% 20.13% 58.42%-0.71 +2.9 46

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2008-12-07 7.40% Sutjeska 1006 1 @ Mogren 1262 0
2 2008-11-01 11.25% Jezero 1004 2 @ Zeta 1174 0
3 2009-03-07 12.74% Kom Podgorica 1006 3 @ Zeta 1151 2
4 2009-04-25 12.90% Jedinstvo 923 1 @ Lovcen 1065 0
5 2008-11-01 14.90% Kom Podgorica 990 2 @ Rudar 1102 0
6 2008-11-22 15.71% Petrovac 1032 2 @ Zeta 1133 1
7 2009-05-23 16.58% Rudar 1042 2 @ Grbalj 1131 0
8 2009-03-07 19.94% Jedinstvo 940 1 @ Jezero 990 0
9 2008-08-30 20.21% Mogren 1165 2 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1212 1
10 2009-03-14 20.89% Sutjeska 1043 2 @ Rudar 1083 1
11 2008-08-23 21.92% Petrovac 1052 3 @ Jezero 1081 1
12 2009-02-28 23.16% Zeta 1136 2 @ Grbalj 1152 1
13 2009-04-08 24.20% Buducnost Podgorica 1243 3 @ Mogren 1250 2
14 2008-09-27 24.25% Kom Podgorica 986 1 @ Jezero 992 0
15 2009-03-14 24.58% @ Kom Podgorica 1024 2 Mogren 1256 0
16 2008-08-09 24.71% Petrovac 1006 4 @ Decic Tuzi 1008 1
17 2008-10-01 25.29% Jezero 976 1 @ Jedinstvo 972 0
18 2008-11-22 25.33% Rudar 1070 2 @ Lovcen 1066 0
19 2009-04-25 25.69% Petrovac 1024 1 @ Kom Podgorica 1017 0
20 2008-08-23 25.78% Mogren 1150 2 @ Zeta 1142 1
21 2009-05-06 26.28% Sutjeska 1109 3 @ Zeta 1096 0
22 2008-09-13 26.67% Rudar 1059 4 @ Jezero 1043 1
23 2008-12-06 28.79% @ Jezero 972 1 Grbalj 1167 0
24 2008-12-06 30.13% Jedinstvo 939 2 @ Decic Tuzi 894 1
25 2008-08-30 30.44% Zeta 1127 2 @ Petrovac 1080 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2009-05-06 43.29 Sutjeska 3 1109 26.28% @ Zeta 0 1096 53.20% 20.52%
2 2008-11-08 42.02 Mogren 6 1179 42.70% @ Jezero 1 1042 36.43% 20.87%
3 2008-10-04 39.68 @ Lovcen 3 1057 31.02% Buducnost Podgorica 0 1234 48.23% 20.75%
4 2008-11-01 38.84 Jezero 2 1004 11.25% @ Zeta 0 1174 70.49% 18.26%
5 2008-08-09 37.55 Petrovac 4 1006 24.71% @ Decic Tuzi 1 1008 54.87% 20.42%
6 2008-11-01 36.47 Kom Podgorica 2 990 14.90% @ Rudar 0 1102 65.93% 19.18%
7 2008-09-13 36.25 Rudar 4 1059 26.67% @ Jezero 1 1043 52.78% 20.55%
8 2009-05-23 35.40 Rudar 2 1042 16.58% @ Grbalj 0 1131 63.93% 19.49%
9 2009-04-25 35.09 @ Rudar 6 1010 60.74% Jezero 0 954 19.37% 19.90%
10 2009-03-14 30.73 @ Kom Podgorica 2 1024 24.58% Mogren 0 1256 55.01% 20.41%
11 2008-11-22 30.32 Rudar 2 1070 25.33% @ Lovcen 0 1066 54.21% 20.46%
12 2008-08-23 27.91 Petrovac 3 1052 21.92% @ Jezero 1 1081 57.90% 20.18%
13 2008-08-30 27.61 Zeta 2 1127 30.44% @ Petrovac 0 1080 48.84% 20.73%
14 2009-05-30 27.51 Sutjeska 3 1168 48.41% @ Petrovac 0 989 30.85% 20.74%
15 2009-04-08 26.63 @ Decic Tuzi 2 869 32.39% Rudar 0 1035 46.82% 20.79%
16 2008-10-01 25.06 Lovcen 2 1032 35.58% @ Decic Tuzi 0 945 43.56% 20.86%
17 2008-11-15 24.26 @ Petrovac 5 1008 55.55% Jezero 1 1000 24.08% 20.37%
18 2008-10-04 23.45 Grbalj 2 1145 38.96% @ Petrovac 0 1034 40.15% 20.89%
19 2009-04-25 22.99 Mogren 2 1241 39.97% @ Zeta 0 1124 39.14% 20.89%
20 2008-11-29 22.34 Mogren 4 1240 49.84% @ Petrovac 1 1050 29.47% 20.69%
21 2008-12-07 21.99 Sutjeska 1 1006 7.40% @ Mogren 0 1262 75.90% 16.70%
22 2008-08-16 21.45 @ Buducnost Podgorica 3 1181 56.67% Zeta 0 1164 23.05% 20.28%
23 2009-05-16 20.82 Mogren 3 1272 57.50% @ Petrovac 0 1018 22.29% 20.22%
24 2009-04-25 20.02 Jedinstvo 1 923 12.90% @ Lovcen 0 1065 68.38% 18.72%
25 2008-12-07 19.68 Buducnost Podgorica 2 1195 46.92% @ Petrovac 0 1028 32.29% 20.79%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2009-05-06 62.1 @ Grbalj 2 1133 73.73% Decic Tuzi 2 913 8.87% 17.40%
2 2009-05-30 61.7 @ Jezero 2 928 13.03% Buducnost Podgorica 2 1298 68.21% 18.76%
3 2008-11-01 61.4 @ Buducnost Podgorica 2 1198 58.26% Grbalj 2 1165 21.59% 20.15%
4 2008-08-09 61.2 @ Jedinstvo 2 982 55.32% Sutjeska 2 976 24.29% 20.39%
5 2008-10-01 61.1 @ Kom Podgorica 2 1003 35.42% Zeta 2 1146 43.73% 20.86%
6 2009-03-07 59.9 Kom Podgorica 3 1006 12.74% @ Zeta 2 1151 68.58% 18.68%
7 2009-04-08 56.9 Buducnost Podgorica 3 1243 24.20% @ Mogren 2 1250 55.42% 20.38%
8 2009-05-10 56.7 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1 1289 75.66% Rudar 1 1036 7.56% 16.78%
9 2009-04-18 56.3 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1 1261 70.37% Sutjeska 1 1092 11.34% 18.29%
10 2009-04-11 56.2 @ Zeta 1 1119 71.27% Jezero 1 937 10.66% 18.07%
11 2009-03-14 56.1 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1 1217 68.36% Lovcen 1 1074 12.91% 18.73%
12 2008-09-13 56.0 @ Mogren 1 1182 67.34% Petrovac 1 1053 13.73% 18.93%
13 2008-11-29 55.9 @ Kom Podgorica 1 1027 67.95% Decic Tuzi 1 890 13.24% 18.81%
14 2009-04-11 55.7 @ Lovcen 1 1082 61.96% Petrovac 1 1013 18.29% 19.75%
15 2008-09-27 55.6 @ Zeta 1 1149 56.41% Grbalj 1 1134 23.29% 20.30%
16 2008-10-25 55.6 @ Petrovac 1 1013 61.41% Jedinstvo 1 950 18.77% 19.82%
17 2008-09-27 55.5 @ Petrovac 1 1043 57.77% Sutjeska 1 1015 22.04% 20.19%
18 2008-08-09 55.4 @ Lovcen 1 1043 41.56% Mogren 1 1144 37.56% 20.88%
19 2008-08-09 55.4 @ Jezero 1 1088 45.11% Zeta 1 1163 34.06% 20.83%
20 2008-09-13 55.4 @ Lovcen 1 1024 42.33% Grbalj 1 1119 36.80% 20.87%
21 2008-10-18 55.4 @ Kom Podgorica 1 999 53.24% Petrovac 1 1011 26.24% 20.52%
22 2008-10-25 55.4 @ Jezero 1 1002 28.58% Buducnost Podgorica 1 1199 50.77% 20.65%
23 2009-04-08 55.3 @ Jedinstvo 1 944 34.90% Sutjeska 1 1092 44.25% 20.85%
24 2009-05-02 55.3 @ Jedinstvo 1 943 41.33% Rudar 1 1045 37.79% 20.88%
25 2009-05-30 54.4 @ Kom Podgorica 4 975 38.73% Grbalj 3 1096 40.39% 20.89%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2009-03-21 24.7 @ Buducnost Podgorica 3 1224 75.63% Jezero 0 972 7.58% 16.79%
2 2009-04-11 25.2 @ Buducnost Podgorica 2 1258 81.08% Decic Tuzi 0 895 4.38% 14.55%
3 2009-05-23 25.2 @ Mogren 2 1293 81.02% Jezero 0 931 4.40% 14.57%
4 2009-04-11 25.3 @ Grbalj 4 1148 72.71% Jedinstvo 0 945 9.60% 17.69%
5 2009-04-04 25.4 @ Buducnost Podgorica 6 1231 76.88% Jedinstvo 0 956 6.77% 16.34%
6 2009-03-18 25.5 @ Mogren 6 1226 76.45% Jedinstvo 0 959 7.05% 16.50%
7 2009-05-09 26.5 @ Mogren 2 1268 76.92% Kom Podgorica 0 992 6.75% 16.33%
8 2008-10-25 26.7 @ Mogren 2 1163 75.92% Decic Tuzi 0 906 7.39% 16.69%
9 2009-05-23 26.7 @ Buducnost Podgorica 6 1290 77.83% Petrovac 1 997 6.19% 15.98%
10 2008-11-15 26.8 @ Buducnost Podgorica 3 1186 68.73% Kom Podgorica 0 1039 12.62% 18.65%
11 2008-11-29 27.3 @ Rudar 3 1100 66.90% Jezero 0 976 14.09% 19.01%
12 2009-04-04 27.4 @ Sutjeska 4 1073 65.56% Jezero 0 965 15.20% 19.24%
13 2008-09-21 27.6 @ Grbalj 3 1119 65.96% Jezero 0 1007 14.87% 19.17%
14 2009-03-11 27.9 @ Lovcen 2 1068 71.81% Decic Tuzi 0 878 10.26% 17.93%
15 2008-08-30 28.9 @ Grbalj 2 1110 68.42% Decic Tuzi 0 967 12.86% 18.72%
16 2008-10-18 29.0 @ Grbalj 2 1168 68.42% Sutjeska 0 1025 12.87% 18.72%
17 2009-03-21 29.3 Mogren 2 1239 67.36% @ Decic Tuzi 0 880 13.72% 18.92%
18 2009-05-09 29.6 @ Sutjeska 2 1152 66.38% Lovcen 0 1034 14.52% 19.10%
19 2008-09-20 30.0 @ Buducnost Podgorica 5 1204 68.75% Petrovac 1 1056 12.60% 18.65%
20 2009-04-25 30.2 @ Rudar 6 1010 60.74% Jezero 0 954 19.37% 19.90%
21 2009-05-16 30.2 Mogren 3 1272 57.50% @ Petrovac 0 1018 22.29% 20.22%
22 2008-11-01 30.4 @ Mogren 2 1168 63.75% Lovcen 0 1081 16.73% 19.51%
23 2008-08-16 30.5 @ Buducnost Podgorica 3 1181 56.67% Zeta 0 1164 23.05% 20.28%
24 2008-10-04 30.7 @ Zeta 4 1146 71.80% Jedinstvo 1 956 10.26% 17.94%
25 2009-04-04 30.7 @ Mogren 3 1248 81.67% Decic Tuzi 1 871 4.08% 14.25%