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2009-10 Montenegrin First League Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Rudar

71 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Rudar

12.55 points above expected

71 points · 58.45 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Kom Podgorica

14.66 points below expected

18 points · 32.66 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rudar 33 22 5 6 71 56 26 +30 58.45 +12.55
2 Buducnost Podgorica 33 21 6 6 69 67 35 +32 66.38 +2.62
3 Mogren 33 16 9 8 57 49 34 +15 59.54 -2.54
4 Zeta 33 17 6 10 57 43 33 +10 49.75 +7.25
5 Grbalj 33 15 8 10 53 66 42 +24 52.29 +0.71
6 Lovcen 33 15 7 11 52 32 37 -5 45.51 +6.49
7 Sutjeska 33 11 7 15 40 33 36 -3 48.53 -8.53
8 Petrovac 33 10 6 17 36 38 49 -11 34.17 +1.83
9 Decic Tuzi 33 8 11 14 35 27 35 -8 38.42 -3.42
10 Mornar* 33 9 8 16 34 29 49 -20 40.22 -6.22
11 Berane 33 8 6 19 30 28 49 -21 25.88 +4.12
12 Kom Podgorica 33 5 3 25 18 16 59 -43 32.66 -14.66

* Point deductions: Mornar (-1 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Rudar 71 58.45 +12.55
2 Zeta 57 49.75 +7.25
3 Lovcen 52 45.51 +6.49
4 Berane 30 25.88 +4.12
5 Buducnost Podgorica 69 66.38 +2.62

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Kom Podgorica 18 32.66 -14.66
2 Sutjeska 40 48.53 -8.53
3 Mornar 34 40.22 -6.22
4 Decic Tuzi 35 38.42 -3.42
5 Mogren 57 59.54 -2.54

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Zeta 8 Nov 28 – Mar 20 1 in 884
2 Petrovac 5 Apr 17 – May 15 1 in 258
3 Rudar 7 Oct 3 – Nov 28 1 in 150
4 Buducnost Podgorica 9 Sep 19 – Nov 21 1 in 84
5 Lovcen 4 Aug 8 – Aug 29 1 in 66

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kom Podgorica 9 Sep 12 – Nov 7 1 in 2,883
2 Sutjeska 3 Aug 8 – Aug 22 1 in 59
3 Mogren 2 Feb 28 – Mar 6 1 in 30
4 Mornar 3 Sep 10 – Sep 26 1 in 29
5 Berane 6 Nov 21 – Mar 6 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Zeta 12 Nov 21 – Apr 4 1 in 227
2 Petrovac 6 Apr 17 – May 22 1 in 71
3 Rudar 11 Oct 3 – Mar 7 1 in 68
4 Decic Tuzi 5 Aug 15 – Sep 19 1 in 20
5 Buducnost Podgorica 12 Sep 19 – Dec 12 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kom Podgorica 14 Sep 12 – Feb 28 1 in 188
2 Mogren 5 Dec 12 – Mar 17 1 in 96
3 Mornar 8 Aug 29 – Oct 24 1 in 38
4 Rudar 3 May 15 – May 29 1 in 33
5 Decic Tuzi 9 Oct 17 – Feb 27 1 in 26

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Rudar 1339 71 -50 5 11.1 -6.1
Buducnost Podgorica 1356 69 -23 8 10.2 -2.2
Mogren 1251 57 +14 12 8.8 +3.2
Zeta 1266 57 -24 5 9.0 -4.0
Grbalj 1272 53 -6 5 8.2 -3.2
Lovcen 1161 52 +37 12 6.4 +5.6
Sutjeska 1236 40 +65 10 5.7 +4.3
Petrovac 1111 36 +46 10 5.5 +4.5
Mornar 1126 35 -19 7 6.7 +0.3
Decic Tuzi 1102 35 +3 5 4.3 +0.7
Berane 1027 30 +8 3 3.9 -0.9
Kom Podgorica 946 18 -52 1 4.0 -3.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BER BP DT GRB KP LOV MOG MOR PET RUD SUT ZET
Berane —
0-0-3
1.27
1-1-1
3.20
0-1-2
1.91
2-1-0
3.28
1-0-2
2.54
0-1-2
1.61
1-0-2
2.59
1-1-1
3.89
1-0-2
1.67
1-1-1
1.88
0-0-3
2.43
Buducnost Podgorica
3-0-0
7.22
—
2-1-0
6.57
2-1-0
5.04
3-0-0
6.83
3-0-0
6.28
0-2-1
4.70
2-0-1
6.49
2-1-0
6.42
0-1-2
4.58
1-0-2
5.79
3-0-0
5.97
Decic Tuzi
1-1-1
5.16
0-1-2
1.86
—
0-1-2
2.75
2-0-1
4.62
1-1-1
3.58
1-1-1
2.01
0-2-1
3.53
1-1-1
5.12
0-2-1
2.38
1-1-1
3.67
1-0-2
3.34
Grbalj
2-1-0
6.52
0-1-2
3.32
2-1-0
5.61
—
2-0-1
5.68
1-1-1
4.45
1-0-2
3.68
2-1-0
5.58
3-0-0
5.53
1-0-2
3.25
1-2-0
4.16
0-1-2
4.16
Kom Podgorica
0-1-2
5.07
0-0-3
1.61
1-0-2
3.73
1-0-2
2.73
—
0-1-2
2.85
0-0-3
1.86
1-1-1
3.50
0-0-3
4.35
0-0-3
1.79
1-0-2
2.89
1-0-2
3.06
Lovcen
2-0-1
5.84
0-0-3
2.13
1-1-1
4.78
1-1-1
3.89
2-1-0
5.52
—
1-1-1
2.56
1-1-1
4.46
3-0-0
5.60
1-0-2
3.15
1-2-0
4.35
2-0-1
3.91
Mogren
2-1-0
6.84
1-2-0
3.64
1-1-1
6.39
2-0-1
4.69
3-0-0
6.55
1-1-1
5.82
—
2-1-0
5.88
2-1-0
6.31
0-1-2
3.78
1-0-2
5.16
1-1-1
4.77
Mornar
2-0-1
5.80
1-0-2
1.93
1-2-0
4.82
0-1-2
2.79
1-1-1
4.86
1-1-1
3.90
0-1-2
2.51
—
0-0-3
4.53
1-0-2
2.54
2-0-1
3.29
0-2-1
3.43
Petrovac
1-1-1
4.46
0-1-2
1.99
1-1-1
3.24
0-0-3
2.83
3-0-0
4.01
0-0-3
2.77
0-1-2
2.09
3-0-0
3.82
—
0-1-2
2.33
2-0-1
3.09
0-1-2
2.72
Rudar
2-0-1
6.77
2-1-0
3.77
1-2-0
6.00
2-0-1
5.11
3-0-0
6.67
2-0-1
5.20
2-1-0
4.58
2-0-1
5.83
2-1-0
6.06
—
3-0-0
5.22
1-0-2
4.80
Sutjeska
1-1-1
6.53
2-0-1
2.58
1-1-1
4.68
0-2-1
4.19
2-0-1
5.47
0-2-1
4.00
2-0-1
3.20
1-0-2
5.07
1-0-2
5.27
0-0-3
3.17
—
1-1-1
3.95
Zeta
3-0-0
5.96
0-0-3
2.41
2-0-1
5.01
2-1-0
4.18
2-0-1
5.35
1-0-2
4.44
1-1-1
3.60
1-2-0
4.93
2-1-0
5.66
2-0-1
3.56
1-1-1
4.40
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.74 +8.6
Allowed 0.70 -14.6
Differential 0.91 +6.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.61%11.11%7.07%2.53%2.27%0.76%34.34%
111.11%6.57%8.59%3.79%0.25%—30.30%
27.07%8.59%3.03%1.52%1.52%—21.72%
32.53%3.79%1.52%0.51%—0.25%8.59%
42.27%0.25%1.52%———4.04%
5+0.76%——0.25%——1.01%
Total34.34%30.30%21.72%8.59%4.04%1.01%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.22 +0.00
SD 1.26 1.26 1.88
CV 1.03 1.03 —
Max 11 11 +11
Min 0 0 -11

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%18.18%6.06%—3.03%6.06%42.42%
16.06%6.06%21.21%3.03%——36.36%
26.06%6.06%3.03%———15.15%
33.03%—3.03%———6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total24.24%30.30%33.33%3.03%3.03%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 1.48 -0.64
SD 0.91 1.33 1.76
CV 1.07 0.89 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%3.03%6.06%———15.15%
16.06%9.09%6.06%3.03%——24.24%
23.03%15.15%3.03%———21.21%
33.03%12.12%6.06%———21.21%
49.09%3.03%6.06%———18.18%
5+———————
Total27.27%42.42%27.27%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.03 1.06 +0.97
SD 1.36 0.83 1.65
CV 0.67 0.78 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%21.21%9.09%———45.45%
16.06%15.15%6.06%3.03%——30.30%
23.03%12.12%3.03%3.03%——21.21%
3—3.03%————3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total24.24%51.52%18.18%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.82 1.06 -0.24
SD 0.88 0.83 1.09
CV 1.08 0.78 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%3.03%3.03%3.03%—27.27%
16.06%3.03%3.03%—3.03%—15.15%
215.15%3.03%9.09%—3.03%—30.30%
3—6.06%—3.03%—3.03%12.12%
43.03%—3.03%———6.06%
5+9.09%—————9.09%
Total42.42%21.21%18.18%6.06%9.09%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.27 +0.73
SD 2.18 1.46 2.82
CV 1.09 1.15 —
Max 11 5 +11
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%21.21%21.21%9.09%—3.03%60.61%
112.12%3.03%12.12%6.06%——33.33%
2———3.03%——3.03%
33.03%—————3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total21.21%24.24%33.33%18.18%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.48 1.79 -1.30
SD 0.71 1.95 2.19
CV 1.47 1.09 —
Max 3 11 +3
Min 0 0 -11

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%9.09%—6.06%6.06%—33.33%
121.21%9.09%9.09%3.03%——42.42%
23.03%15.15%————18.18%
3—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total36.36%36.36%12.12%9.09%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.12 -0.15
SD 0.88 1.19 1.58
CV 0.91 1.06 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%3.03%12.12%—3.03%—36.36%
16.06%6.06%—6.06%——18.18%
26.06%15.15%3.03%———24.24%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
49.09%—3.03%———12.12%
5+———3.03%——3.03%
Total42.42%27.27%18.18%9.09%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 1.03 +0.45
SD 1.50 1.13 1.92
CV 1.01 1.10 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%12.12%6.06%6.06%6.06%—45.45%
16.06%6.06%3.03%9.09%——24.24%
29.09%12.12%—3.03%3.03%—27.27%
3———3.03%——3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.30%30.30%9.09%21.21%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 1.48 -0.61
SD 0.93 1.37 1.64
CV 1.06 0.92 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%12.12%12.12%—3.03%—30.30%
16.06%12.12%15.15%6.06%——39.39%
26.06%6.06%3.03%3.03%——18.18%
3—6.06%3.03%———9.09%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+———————
Total15.15%36.36%36.36%9.09%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.48 -0.33
SD 1.06 0.97 1.49
CV 0.92 0.65 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%3.03%3.03%———12.12%
127.27%3.03%3.03%———33.33%
29.09%6.06%6.06%3.03%6.06%—30.30%
312.12%9.09%————21.21%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total57.58%21.21%12.12%3.03%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.70 0.79 +0.91
SD 1.05 1.17 1.53
CV 0.62 1.48 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%12.12%6.06%3.03%3.03%—39.39%
112.12%3.03%15.15%3.03%——33.33%
29.09%3.03%3.03%3.03%——18.18%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total42.42%21.21%24.24%9.09%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.09 -0.09
SD 1.06 1.16 1.70
CV 1.06 1.06 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%9.09%—3.03%——24.24%
118.18%3.03%9.09%3.03%——33.33%
215.15%9.09%3.03%—6.06%—33.33%
33.03%—3.03%———6.06%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+———————
Total48.48%21.21%18.18%6.06%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.00 +0.30
SD 1.02 1.22 1.45
CV 0.78 1.22 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Buducnost Podgorica 1356 69 66.38 +2.62 70.0% 49 55 63 67 70 74 86
Rudar 1339 71 58.45 +12.55 94.0% 43 47 53 58 64 72 76
Grbalj 1272 53 52.29 +0.71 56.0% 35 41 47 52 58 62 72
Zeta 1266 57 49.75 +7.25 89.0% 33 39 45 50 53 61 69
Mogren 1251 57 59.54 -2.54 38.0% 44 47 55 59 64 71 79
Sutjeska 1236 40 48.53 -8.53 18.0% 27 36 42 49 55 60 66
Lovcen 1161 52 45.51 +6.49 84.0% 28 34 41 45 50 56 61
Mornar 1126 34 40.22 -6.22 20.0% 22 31 36 39 44 51 62
Petrovac 1111 36 34.17 +1.83 64.0% 19 22 29 34 39 48 50
Decic Tuzi 1102 35 38.42 -3.42 28.0% 21 26 34 38 43 47 50
Berane 1027 30 25.88 +4.12 78.0% 13 16 21 25 30 38 45
Kom Podgorica 946 18 32.66 -14.66 1.0% 16 23 29 32 37 42 47

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+20.71%
Clear Edge
50.00%20.71%29.29%
Elo Value
Home Edge
216 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
073.00600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.43 goals
Neutral
-2+0.34+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.5
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
15%
Rudar, 3rd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.06/gm
Tight Race
00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.52 * Some Luck: 5.52 to 8.28 * Lucky: 8.28 to 11.04 * Wild Swing: 11.04 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.04 * Close: 1.04 to 1.56 * Off: 1.56 to 2.07 * Way Off: 2.07 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.21 points
Some Luck
06.9017
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Close
01.303
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
94.00%
Rudar
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
1.00%
Kom Podgorica
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Top-Heavy
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 125.34
2.10
Strong Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
71%
Clear Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
91%
Strong Edge
50%92%100%
Close Games
Expected
63%
Frequent
0%57%100%
Blowouts
Expected
12%
Rare
0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.41
Slight Separation
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.16
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.59
Strong Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Upset-Prone
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Shaky Favorites
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
1.00
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.88
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.045
Well Within Noise
00.1190.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Rudar15.00%27.00%22.00%14.00%13.00%7.00%1.00%1.00%————
Buducnost Podgorica59.00%29.00%5.00%6.00%1.00%———————
Mogren18.00%25.00%27.00%18.00%4.00%6.00%2.00%—————
Zeta3.00%3.00%8.00%19.00%23.00%15.00%21.00%6.00%1.00%—1.00%—
Grbalj4.00%9.00%16.00%19.00%22.00%14.00%10.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%——
Lovcen—1.00%8.00%7.00%15.00%14.00%22.00%16.00%9.00%6.00%2.00%—
Sutjeska1.00%6.00%13.00%13.00%12.00%21.00%9.00%12.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%
Petrovac————3.00%6.00%4.00%13.00%9.00%25.00%27.00%13.00%
Decic Tuzi———1.00%1.00%9.00%16.00%18.00%29.00%12.00%10.00%4.00%
Mornar——1.00%3.00%6.00%7.00%11.00%23.00%24.00%16.00%7.00%2.00%
Berane———————4.00%3.00%11.00%15.00%67.00%
Kom Podgorica—————1.00%4.00%4.00%17.00%25.00%36.00%13.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Buducnost Podgorica 100% — —
Grbalj 99.00% 1.00% —
Lovcen 92.00% 8.00% —
Mogren 100% — —
Rudar 100% — —
Zeta 99.00% 1.00% —
Sutjeska 93.00% 6.00% 1.00%
Mornar 75.00% 23.00% 2.00%
Decic Tuzi 74.00% 22.00% 4.00%
Kom Podgorica 26.00% 61.00% 13.00%
Petrovac 35.00% 52.00% 13.00%
Berane 7.00% 26.00% 67.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2009-08-07 Mogren L 2-446.5 1197 1306 33.98% 21.91% 44.11%-0.17 -14.8 0
2009-08-07 @ Grbalj W 4-246.5 1306 1197 44.11% 21.91% 33.98%+0.17 +14.8 3
2009-08-08 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-137.5 1123 1303 25.29% 21.47% 53.24%-0.50 -7.9 0
2009-08-08 @ Decic Tuzi W 1-037.5 1303 1123 53.24% 21.47% 25.29%+0.50 +7.9 3
2009-08-08 Kom Podgorica L 0-342.3 1230 1146 58.77% 20.92% 20.32%+0.72 -44.0 0
2009-08-08 @ Mornar W 3-042.3 1146 1230 20.32% 20.92% 58.77%-0.72 +44.0 3
2009-08-08 Sutjeska W 2-154.2 966 1252 15.68% 20.07% 64.24%-0.99 +16.5 3
2009-08-08 @ Berane L 1-254.2 1252 966 64.24% 20.07% 15.68%+0.99 -16.5 0
2009-08-08 Zeta W 2-144.8 1167 1179 47.43% 21.80% 30.77%+0.28 +8.8 3
2009-08-08 @ Lovcen L 1-244.8 1179 1167 30.77% 21.80% 47.43%-0.28 -8.8 0
2009-08-09 Petrovac W 3-138.8 1193 1128 56.79% 21.14% 22.06%+0.64 +11.5 3
2009-08-09 @ Rudar L 1-338.8 1128 1193 22.06% 21.14% 56.79%-0.64 -11.5 0
2009-08-14 Rudar L 1-251.5 1235 1205 52.82% 21.50% 25.68%+0.48 -13.8 0
2009-08-14 @ Sutjeska W 2-151.5 1205 1235 25.68% 21.50% 52.82%-0.48 +13.8 6
2009-08-14 Zeta W 4-240.4 1311 1171 64.34% 20.06% 15.61%+0.99 +7.5 6
2009-08-14 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 2-440.4 1171 1311 15.61% 20.06% 64.34%-0.99 -7.5 0
2009-08-15 Berane W 2-139.8 1115 983 63.63% 20.19% 16.19%+0.95 +5.0 3
2009-08-15 @ Decic Tuzi L 1-239.8 983 1115 16.19% 20.19% 63.63%-0.95 -5.0 3
2009-08-15 Grbalj W 1-038.4 1190 1182 50.07% 21.68% 28.25%+0.38 +8.7 6
2009-08-15 @ Kom Podgorica L 0-138.4 1182 1190 28.25% 21.68% 50.07%-0.38 -8.7 0
2009-08-15 Lovcen L 1-351.6 1321 1176 64.73% 19.98% 15.29%+1.01 -28.7 3
2009-08-15 @ Mogren W 3-151.6 1176 1321 15.29% 19.98% 64.73%-1.01 +28.7 6
2009-08-15 Mornar W 4-247.5 1117 1186 39.60% 21.97% 38.43%+0.02 +16.3 3
2009-08-15 @ Petrovac L 2-447.5 1186 1117 38.43% 21.97% 39.60%-0.02 -16.3 0
2009-08-21 Buducnost Podgorica L 1-335.2 978 1319 12.08% 19.05% 68.87%-1.24 -6.5 3
2009-08-21 @ Berane W 3-135.2 1319 978 68.87% 19.05% 12.08%+1.24 +6.5 9
2009-08-22 Decic Tuzi D 1-155.1 1218 1120 60.29% 20.71% 18.99%+0.79 -2.7 7
2009-08-22 @ Rudar D 1-155.1 1120 1218 18.99% 20.71% 60.29%-0.79 +2.7 4
2009-08-22 Kom Podgorica W 1-038.5 1205 1199 49.74% 21.69% 28.56%+0.36 +8.8 9
2009-08-22 @ Lovcen L 0-138.5 1199 1205 28.56% 21.69% 49.74%-0.36 -8.8 6
2009-08-22 Mogren L 0-334.5 1163 1292 31.37% 21.83% 46.80%-0.26 -26.0 0
2009-08-22 @ Zeta W 3-034.5 1292 1163 46.80% 21.83% 31.37%+0.26 +26.0 6
2009-08-22 Petrovac W 2-034.0 1173 1133 54.00% 21.40% 24.59%+0.53 +14.6 3
2009-08-22 @ Grbalj L 0-234.0 1133 1173 24.59% 21.40% 54.00%-0.53 -14.6 3
2009-08-22 Sutjeska W 1-040.8 1169 1221 41.99% 21.95% 36.06%+0.10 +10.6 3
2009-08-22 @ Mornar L 0-140.8 1221 1169 36.06% 21.95% 41.99%-0.10 -10.6 0
2009-08-28 Mogren L 1-251.7 1325 1318 49.91% 21.69% 28.40%+0.37 -13.1 9
2009-08-28 @ Buducnost Podgorica W 2-151.7 1318 1325 28.40% 21.69% 49.91%-0.37 +13.1 9
2009-08-29 Grbalj D 2-260.5 1211 1188 51.88% 21.57% 26.56%+0.44 -1.2 1
2009-08-29 @ Sutjeska D 2-260.5 1188 1211 26.56% 21.57% 51.88%-0.44 +1.2 4
2009-08-29 Lovcen L 0-237.6 1118 1214 35.89% 21.95% 42.16%-0.10 -20.0 3
2009-08-29 @ Petrovac W 2-037.6 1214 1118 42.16% 21.95% 35.89%+0.10 +20.0 12
2009-08-29 Mornar D 0-049.8 1123 1180 41.31% 21.96% 36.73%+0.07 -0.3 5
2009-08-29 @ Decic Tuzi D 0-049.8 1180 1123 36.73% 21.96% 41.31%-0.07 +0.3 4
2009-08-29 Rudar L 0-135.2 971 1216 18.94% 20.71% 60.35%-0.80 -6.1 3
2009-08-29 @ Berane W 1-035.2 1216 971 60.35% 20.71% 18.94%+0.80 +6.1 10
2009-08-29 Zeta W 1-036.7 1190 1137 55.47% 21.27% 23.25%+0.58 +7.4 9
2009-08-29 @ Kom Podgorica L 0-136.7 1137 1190 23.25% 21.27% 55.47%-0.58 -7.4 0
2009-09-10 Berane L 0-246.9 1180 965 70.38% 18.65% 10.98%+1.34 -35.8 4
2009-09-10 @ Mornar W 2-046.9 965 1180 10.98% 18.65% 70.38%-1.34 +35.8 6
2009-09-11 Buducnost Podgorica W 1-042.8 1222 1312 36.57% 21.95% 41.48%-0.08 +11.9 13
2009-09-11 @ Rudar L 0-142.8 1312 1222 41.48% 21.95% 36.57%+0.08 -11.9 9
2009-09-12 Decic Tuzi D 0-050.0 1189 1123 56.97% 21.12% 21.91%+0.65 -2.5 5
2009-09-12 @ Grbalj D 0-050.0 1123 1189 21.91% 21.12% 56.97%-0.65 +2.5 6
2009-09-12 Kom Podgorica W 3-137.2 1331 1198 63.71% 20.17% 16.12%+0.96 +8.6 12
2009-09-12 @ Mogren L 1-337.2 1198 1331 16.12% 20.17% 63.71%-0.96 -8.6 9
2009-09-12 Petrovac W 2-034.3 1130 1098 52.92% 21.49% 25.59%+0.48 +15.1 3
2009-09-12 @ Zeta L 0-234.3 1098 1130 25.59% 21.49% 52.92%-0.48 -15.1 3
2009-09-12 Sutjeska D 0-050.1 1234 1210 52.02% 21.56% 26.43%+0.45 -1.8 13
2009-09-12 @ Lovcen D 0-050.1 1210 1234 26.43% 21.56% 52.02%-0.45 +1.8 2
2009-09-19 Grbalj D 2-260.4 1001 1187 24.64% 21.41% 53.95%-0.52 +1.4 7
2009-09-19 @ Berane D 2-260.4 1187 1001 53.95% 21.41% 24.64%+0.52 -1.4 6
2009-09-19 Kom Podgorica W 3-030.1 1300 1189 61.59% 20.52% 17.88%+0.85 +15.9 12
2009-09-19 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-330.1 1189 1300 17.88% 20.52% 61.59%-0.85 -15.9 9
2009-09-19 Lovcen W 2-148.7 1125 1232 34.33% 21.92% 43.75%-0.16 +11.7 9
2009-09-19 @ Decic Tuzi L 1-248.7 1232 1125 43.75% 21.92% 34.33%+0.16 -11.7 13
2009-09-19 Mogren L 1-240.7 1083 1340 17.94% 20.53% 61.53%-0.85 -5.5 3
2009-09-19 @ Petrovac W 2-140.7 1340 1083 61.53% 20.53% 17.94%+0.85 +5.5 15
2009-09-19 Mornar W 1-035.6 1234 1144 59.40% 20.84% 19.77%+0.75 +6.4 16
2009-09-19 @ Rudar L 0-135.6 1144 1234 19.77% 20.84% 59.40%-0.75 -6.4 4
2009-09-19 Zeta W 2-142.0 1211 1145 56.97% 21.12% 21.91%+0.65 +6.6 5
2009-09-19 @ Sutjeska L 1-242.0 1145 1211 21.91% 21.12% 56.97%-0.65 -6.6 3
2009-09-26 Berane W 2-137.8 1220 1002 70.57% 18.59% 10.84%+1.35 +3.4 16
2009-09-26 @ Lovcen L 1-237.8 1002 1220 10.84% 18.59% 70.57%-1.35 -3.4 7
2009-09-26 Buducnost Podgorica L 2-348.1 1138 1316 25.50% 21.48% 53.02%-0.49 -7.1 4
2009-09-26 @ Mornar W 3-248.1 1316 1138 53.02% 21.48% 25.50%+0.49 +7.1 15
2009-09-26 Decic Tuzi W 2-144.2 1138 1137 49.20% 21.72% 29.07%+0.35 +8.4 6
2009-09-26 @ Zeta L 1-244.2 1137 1138 29.07% 21.72% 49.20%-0.35 -8.4 9
2009-09-26 Petrovac L 1-253.2 1173 1078 60.01% 20.75% 19.24%+0.78 -15.5 9
2009-09-26 @ Kom Podgorica W 2-153.2 1078 1173 19.24% 20.75% 60.01%-0.78 +15.5 6
2009-09-26 Rudar W 4-247.0 1185 1240 41.62% 21.95% 36.42%+0.08 +15.6 9
2009-09-26 @ Grbalj L 2-447.0 1240 1185 36.42% 21.95% 41.62%-0.08 -15.6 16
2009-09-26 Sutjeska W 4-029.5 1345 1218 63.14% 20.27% 16.59%+0.93 +19.4 18
2009-09-26 @ Mogren L 0-429.5 1218 1345 16.59% 20.27% 63.14%-0.93 -19.4 5
2009-09-30 Grbalj D 3-363.8 1131 1201 39.43% 21.97% 38.60%+0.01 -0.0 5
2009-09-30 @ Mornar D 3-363.8 1201 1131 38.60% 21.97% 39.43%-0.01 +0.0 10
2009-09-30 Kom Podgorica W 1-037.2 1199 1158 54.06% 21.40% 24.54%+0.53 +7.7 8
2009-09-30 @ Sutjeska L 0-137.2 1158 1199 24.54% 21.40% 54.06%-0.53 -7.7 9
2009-09-30 Lovcen L 0-144.8 1224 1223 49.16% 21.73% 29.12%+0.34 -13.7 16
2009-09-30 @ Rudar W 1-044.8 1223 1224 29.12% 21.73% 49.16%-0.34 +13.7 19
2009-09-30 Mogren D 1-155.3 1128 1365 19.67% 20.82% 59.51%-0.76 +2.6 10
2009-09-30 @ Decic Tuzi D 1-155.3 1365 1128 59.51% 20.82% 19.67%+0.76 -2.6 19
2009-09-30 Petrovac W 3-242.5 1323 1093 71.43% 18.34% 10.23%+1.40 +3.0 18
2009-09-30 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 2-342.5 1093 1323 10.23% 18.34% 71.43%-1.40 -3.0 6
2009-09-30 Zeta L 1-244.1 999 1147 29.01% 21.72% 49.27%-0.35 -8.4 7
2009-09-30 @ Berane W 2-144.1 1147 999 49.27% 21.72% 29.01%+0.35 +8.4 9
2009-10-03 Berane W 4-023.9 1362 990 79.77% 15.07% 5.16%+2.06 +5.8 22
2009-10-03 @ Mogren L 0-423.9 990 1362 5.16% 15.07% 79.77%-2.06 -5.8 7
2009-10-03 Decic Tuzi L 0-145.2 1150 1131 51.41% 21.60% 26.99%+0.43 -14.2 9
2009-10-03 @ Kom Podgorica W 1-045.2 1131 1150 26.99% 21.60% 51.41%-0.43 +14.2 13
2009-10-03 Mornar W 1-035.1 1237 1131 61.11% 20.60% 18.30%+0.83 +5.9 22
2009-10-03 @ Lovcen L 0-135.1 1131 1237 18.30% 20.60% 61.11%-0.83 -5.9 5
2009-10-03 Rudar L 0-142.4 1155 1211 41.49% 21.95% 36.56%+0.08 -11.9 9
2009-10-03 @ Zeta W 1-042.4 1211 1155 36.56% 21.95% 41.49%-0.08 +11.9 19
2009-10-03 Sutjeska W 1-043.4 1090 1206 33.07% 21.89% 45.05%-0.20 +12.7 9
2009-10-03 @ Petrovac L 0-143.4 1206 1090 45.05% 21.89% 33.07%+0.20 -12.7 8
2009-10-04 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-434.4 1201 1326 31.86% 21.85% 46.30%-0.24 -34.4 10
2009-10-04 @ Grbalj W 4-034.4 1326 1201 46.30% 21.85% 31.86%+0.24 +34.4 21
2009-10-17 Kom Podgorica W 3-039.6 985 1136 28.62% 21.70% 49.68%-0.36 +37.8 10
2009-10-17 @ Berane L 0-339.6 1136 985 49.68% 21.70% 28.62%+0.36 -37.8 9
2009-10-17 Lovcen W 4-036.4 1167 1243 38.53% 21.97% 39.50%-0.02 +40.8 13
2009-10-17 @ Grbalj L 0-436.4 1243 1167 39.50% 21.97% 38.53%+0.02 -40.8 22
2009-10-17 Petrovac D 0-049.9 1145 1103 54.21% 21.39% 24.40%+0.53 -2.1 14
2009-10-17 @ Decic Tuzi D 0-049.9 1103 1145 24.40% 21.39% 54.21%-0.53 +2.1 10
2009-10-17 Sutjeska W 2-139.6 1361 1194 66.63% 19.59% 13.78%+1.11 +4.3 24
2009-10-17 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 1-239.6 1194 1361 13.78% 19.59% 66.63%-1.11 -4.3 8
2009-10-17 Zeta D 0-049.8 1125 1143 46.62% 21.84% 31.54%+0.25 -1.0 6
2009-10-17 @ Mornar D 0-049.8 1143 1125 31.54% 21.84% 46.62%-0.25 +1.0 10
2009-10-18 Mogren W 2-042.2 1223 1368 29.32% 21.74% 48.94%-0.34 +25.7 22
2009-10-18 @ Rudar L 0-242.2 1368 1223 48.94% 21.74% 29.32%+0.34 -25.7 22
2009-10-24 Berane L 1-252.8 1105 1022 58.71% 20.92% 20.37%+0.72 -15.1 10
2009-10-24 @ Petrovac W 2-152.8 1022 1105 20.37% 20.92% 58.71%-0.72 +15.1 13
2009-10-24 Buducnost Podgorica L 1-244.3 1202 1365 27.24% 21.61% 51.15%-0.42 -8.0 22
2009-10-24 @ Lovcen W 2-144.3 1365 1202 51.15% 21.61% 27.24%+0.42 +8.0 27
2009-10-24 Decic Tuzi W 2-033.8 1189 1143 54.67% 21.35% 23.98%+0.55 +14.3 11
2009-10-24 @ Sutjeska L 0-233.8 1143 1189 23.98% 21.35% 54.67%-0.55 -14.3 14
2009-10-24 Grbalj W 1-041.2 1144 1207 40.41% 21.96% 37.62%+0.05 +11.0 13
2009-10-24 @ Zeta L 0-141.2 1207 1144 37.62% 21.96% 40.41%-0.05 -11.0 13
2009-10-24 Mornar W 4-026.9 1342 1124 70.61% 18.58% 10.81%+1.35 +12.7 25
2009-10-24 @ Mogren L 0-426.9 1124 1342 10.81% 18.58% 70.61%-1.35 -12.7 6
2009-10-24 Rudar L 0-235.4 1098 1248 28.71% 21.70% 49.59%-0.36 -16.6 9
2009-10-24 @ Kom Podgorica W 2-035.4 1248 1098 49.59% 21.70% 28.71%+0.36 +16.6 25
2009-10-31 Berane W 1-033.3 1204 1038 66.54% 19.61% 13.85%+1.11 +4.6 14
2009-10-31 @ Sutjeska L 0-133.3 1038 1204 13.85% 19.61% 66.54%-1.11 -4.6 13
2009-10-31 Decic Tuzi W 2-137.6 1373 1129 72.40% 18.03% 9.57%+1.47 +3.0 30
2009-10-31 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 1-237.6 1129 1373 9.57% 18.03% 72.40%-1.47 -3.0 14
2009-10-31 Lovcen W 2-145.9 1155 1194 43.82% 21.92% 34.27%+0.16 +9.6 16
2009-10-31 @ Zeta L 1-245.9 1194 1155 34.27% 21.92% 43.82%-0.16 -9.6 22
2009-10-31 Mornar L 0-240.2 1081 1111 45.06% 21.89% 33.05%+0.20 -24.0 9
2009-10-31 @ Kom Podgorica W 2-040.2 1111 1081 33.05% 21.89% 45.06%-0.20 +23.9 9
2009-10-31 Rudar L 0-432.1 1090 1265 25.85% 21.51% 52.64%-0.47 -28.9 10
2009-10-31 @ Petrovac W 4-032.1 1265 1090 52.64% 21.51% 25.85%+0.47 +28.9 28
2009-11-01 Grbalj L 0-246.5 1355 1196 65.91% 19.74% 14.35%+1.07 -33.7 25
2009-11-01 @ Mogren W 2-046.5 1196 1355 14.35% 19.74% 65.91%-1.07 +33.7 16
2009-11-07 Decic Tuzi W 1-042.4 1033 1126 36.19% 21.95% 41.85%-0.09 +12.0 16
2009-11-07 @ Berane L 0-142.4 1126 1033 41.85% 21.95% 36.19%+0.09 -12.0 14
2009-11-07 Kom Podgorica W 1-033.2 1230 1057 67.11% 19.48% 13.41%+1.14 +4.4 19
2009-11-07 @ Grbalj L 0-133.2 1057 1230 13.41% 19.48% 67.11%-1.14 -4.4 9
2009-11-07 Mogren D 0-050.2 1185 1321 30.39% 21.79% 47.82%-0.30 +1.2 23
2009-11-07 @ Lovcen D 0-050.2 1321 1185 47.82% 21.79% 30.39%+0.30 -1.2 26
2009-11-07 Petrovac L 1-349.4 1135 1061 57.79% 21.03% 21.18%+0.68 -25.8 9
2009-11-07 @ Mornar W 3-149.4 1061 1135 21.18% 21.03% 57.79%-0.68 +25.8 13
2009-11-07 Sutjeska W 3-138.5 1294 1208 59.02% 20.88% 20.09%+0.74 +10.6 31
2009-11-07 @ Rudar L 1-338.5 1208 1294 20.09% 20.88% 59.02%-0.74 -10.6 14
2009-11-08 Buducnost Podgorica L 2-442.8 1165 1376 22.05% 21.14% 56.81%-0.64 -10.3 16
2009-11-08 @ Zeta W 4-242.8 1376 1165 56.81% 21.14% 22.05%+0.64 +10.3 33
2009-11-21 Berane W 2-135.7 1386 1045 78.21% 15.80% 5.99%+1.92 +1.8 36
2009-11-21 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 1-235.7 1045 1386 5.99% 15.80% 78.21%-1.92 -1.8 16
2009-11-21 Grbalj L 0-235.5 1087 1235 29.03% 21.72% 49.25%-0.35 -16.8 13
2009-11-21 @ Petrovac W 2-035.5 1235 1087 49.25% 21.72% 29.03%+0.35 +16.8 22
2009-11-21 Lovcen D 0-049.8 1053 1186 30.88% 21.81% 47.31%-0.28 +1.1 10
2009-11-21 @ Kom Podgorica D 0-049.8 1186 1053 47.31% 21.81% 30.88%+0.28 -1.1 24
2009-11-21 Mornar L 1-253.0 1198 1109 59.30% 20.85% 19.86%+0.75 -15.3 14
2009-11-21 @ Sutjeska W 2-153.0 1109 1198 19.86% 20.85% 59.30%-0.75 +15.3 12
2009-11-21 Rudar L 0-137.1 1114 1304 24.16% 21.36% 54.47%-0.54 -7.6 14
2009-11-21 @ Decic Tuzi W 1-037.1 1304 1114 54.47% 21.36% 24.16%+0.54 +7.6 34
2009-11-21 Zeta D 0-050.8 1320 1155 66.50% 19.62% 13.88%+1.11 -3.9 27
2009-11-21 @ Mogren D 0-050.8 1155 1320 13.88% 19.62% 66.50%-1.11 +3.9 17
2009-11-28 Berane W 1-031.2 1312 1043 74.02% 17.48% 8.50%+1.59 +2.8 37
2009-11-28 @ Rudar L 0-131.2 1043 1312 8.50% 17.48% 74.02%-1.59 -2.8 16
2009-11-28 Decic Tuzi D 0-049.8 1125 1106 51.32% 21.60% 27.08%+0.42 -1.7 13
2009-11-28 @ Mornar D 0-049.8 1106 1125 27.08% 21.60% 51.32%-0.42 +1.7 15
2009-11-28 Kom Podgorica W 2-031.9 1158 1054 60.93% 20.62% 18.45%+0.82 +11.3 20
2009-11-28 @ Zeta L 0-231.9 1054 1158 18.45% 20.62% 60.93%-0.82 -11.3 10
2009-11-28 Sutjeska D 0-050.2 1251 1182 57.25% 21.09% 21.65%+0.66 -2.5 23
2009-11-28 @ Grbalj D 0-050.2 1182 1251 21.65% 21.09% 57.25%-0.66 +2.5 15
2009-11-29 Buducnost Podgorica D 0-051.6 1316 1388 39.20% 21.97% 38.83%+0.01 -0.0 28
2009-11-29 @ Mogren D 0-051.6 1388 1316 38.83% 21.97% 39.20%-0.01 +0.0 37
2009-11-29 Petrovac W 1-034.7 1185 1070 61.92% 20.47% 17.61%+0.87 +5.7 27
2009-11-29 @ Lovcen L 0-134.7 1070 1185 17.61% 20.47% 61.92%-0.87 -5.7 13
2009-12-05 Grbalj L 1-341.4 1108 1249 29.87% 21.76% 48.36%-0.31 -14.9 15
2009-12-05 @ Decic Tuzi W 3-141.4 1249 1108 48.36% 21.76% 29.87%+0.31 +14.9 26
2009-12-05 Lovcen D 1-154.8 1185 1190 48.30% 21.77% 29.93%+0.31 -1.1 16
2009-12-05 @ Sutjeska D 1-154.8 1190 1185 29.93% 21.77% 48.30%-0.31 +1.1 28
2009-12-05 Mogren L 0-231.3 1043 1316 16.58% 20.27% 63.15%-0.93 -10.2 10
2009-12-05 @ Kom Podgorica W 2-031.3 1316 1043 63.15% 20.27% 16.58%+0.93 +10.2 31
2009-12-05 Mornar L 1-246.8 1040 1123 37.66% 21.96% 40.38%-0.04 -10.4 16
2009-12-05 @ Berane W 2-146.8 1123 1040 40.38% 21.96% 37.66%+0.04 +10.4 16
2009-12-05 Rudar D 0-051.9 1388 1315 57.69% 21.04% 21.26%+0.68 -2.6 38
2009-12-05 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 0-051.9 1315 1388 21.26% 21.04% 57.69%-0.68 +2.6 38
2009-12-05 Zeta L 0-140.2 1064 1170 34.49% 21.92% 43.59%-0.15 -10.3 13
2009-12-05 @ Petrovac W 1-040.2 1170 1064 43.59% 21.92% 34.49%+0.15 +10.3 23
2009-12-12 Berane W 5-026.6 1264 1030 71.70% 18.26% 10.05%+1.42 +14.6 29
2009-12-12 @ Grbalj L 0-526.6 1030 1264 10.05% 18.26% 71.70%-1.42 -14.6 16
2009-12-12 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-132.5 1033 1385 11.42% 18.82% 69.76%-1.30 -3.8 10
2009-12-12 @ Kom Podgorica W 1-032.5 1385 1033 69.76% 18.82% 11.42%+1.30 +3.8 41
2009-12-12 Decic Tuzi D 1-155.0 1192 1093 60.33% 20.71% 18.96%+0.79 -2.7 29
2009-12-12 @ Lovcen D 1-155.0 1093 1192 18.96% 20.71% 60.33%-0.79 +2.7 16
2009-12-12 Petrovac D 1-156.1 1326 1054 74.23% 17.41% 8.36%+1.60 -4.4 32
2009-12-12 @ Mogren D 1-156.1 1054 1326 8.36% 17.41% 74.23%-1.60 +4.4 14
2009-12-12 Rudar L 0-137.4 1133 1317 24.84% 21.43% 53.74%-0.52 -7.8 16
2009-12-12 @ Mornar W 1-037.4 1317 1133 53.74% 21.43% 24.84%+0.52 +7.8 41
2009-12-13 Sutjeska W 3-033.8 1180 1184 48.54% 21.76% 29.70%+0.32 +24.9 26
2009-12-13 @ Zeta L 0-333.8 1184 1180 29.70% 21.76% 48.54%-0.32 -24.9 16
2010-02-27 Grbalj W 1-037.8 1325 1278 54.75% 21.34% 23.91%+0.56 +7.5 44
2010-02-27 @ Rudar L 0-137.8 1278 1325 23.91% 21.34% 54.75%-0.56 -7.6 29
2010-02-27 Lovcen L 1-243.2 1015 1189 26.03% 21.52% 52.45%-0.47 -7.7 16
2010-02-27 @ Berane W 2-143.2 1189 1015 52.45% 21.52% 26.03%+0.47 +7.7 32
2010-02-27 Mornar L 0-248.0 1389 1125 73.69% 17.60% 8.71%+1.56 -37.3 41
2010-02-27 @ Buducnost Podgorica W 2-048.0 1125 1389 8.71% 17.60% 73.69%-1.56 +37.3 19
2010-02-27 Zeta L 0-237.0 1096 1205 33.99% 21.91% 44.10%-0.17 -19.1 16
2010-02-27 @ Decic Tuzi W 2-037.0 1205 1096 44.10% 21.91% 33.99%+0.17 +19.1 29
2010-02-28 Kom Podgorica W 2-034.3 1059 1029 52.73% 21.50% 25.76%+0.48 +15.2 17
2010-02-28 @ Petrovac L 0-234.3 1029 1059 25.76% 21.50% 52.73%-0.48 -15.2 10
2010-02-28 Mogren W 4-039.9 1159 1322 27.20% 21.61% 51.19%-0.42 +50.7 19
2010-02-28 @ Sutjeska L 0-439.9 1322 1159 51.19% 21.61% 27.20%+0.42 -50.7 32
2010-03-06 Berane W 1-032.1 1224 1008 70.45% 18.63% 10.93%+1.34 +3.6 32
2010-03-06 @ Zeta L 0-132.1 1008 1224 10.93% 18.63% 70.45%-1.34 -3.6 16
2010-03-06 Buducnost Podgorica D 1-155.4 1074 1352 16.23% 20.19% 63.58%-0.95 +3.1 18
2010-03-06 @ Petrovac D 1-155.4 1352 1074 63.58% 20.19% 16.23%+0.95 -3.1 42
2010-03-06 Decic Tuzi L 0-246.6 1271 1077 68.83% 19.06% 12.10%+1.24 -35.1 32
2010-03-06 @ Mogren W 2-046.6 1077 1271 12.10% 19.06% 68.83%-1.24 +35.1 19
2010-03-06 Mornar W 2-032.0 1271 1163 61.29% 20.57% 18.14%+0.84 +11.1 32
2010-03-06 @ Grbalj L 0-232.0 1163 1271 18.14% 20.57% 61.29%-0.84 -11.1 19
2010-03-07 Rudar L 0-334.4 1197 1333 30.45% 21.79% 47.76%-0.29 -25.4 32
2010-03-07 @ Lovcen W 3-034.4 1333 1197 47.76% 21.79% 30.45%+0.29 +25.4 47
2010-03-07 Sutjeska W 1-046.2 1014 1210 23.58% 21.31% 55.11%-0.57 +15.1 13
2010-03-07 @ Kom Podgorica L 0-146.2 1210 1014 55.11% 21.31% 23.58%+0.57 -15.1 19
2010-03-13 Grbalj W 4-137.0 1349 1282 57.01% 21.12% 21.87%+0.65 +16.1 45
2010-03-13 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 1-437.0 1282 1349 21.87% 21.12% 57.01%-0.65 -16.1 32
2010-03-13 Kom Podgorica W 2-141.3 1112 1029 58.75% 20.92% 20.34%+0.72 +6.2 22
2010-03-13 @ Decic Tuzi L 1-241.3 1029 1112 20.34% 20.92% 58.75%-0.72 -6.2 13
2010-03-13 Lovcen D 1-154.7 1152 1171 46.46% 21.84% 31.70%+0.25 -0.9 20
2010-03-13 @ Mornar D 1-154.7 1171 1152 31.70% 21.84% 46.46%-0.25 +0.9 33
2010-03-13 Mogren D 0-050.1 1004 1236 20.06% 20.88% 59.06%-0.74 +2.8 17
2010-03-13 @ Berane D 0-050.1 1236 1004 59.06% 20.88% 20.06%+0.74 -2.8 33
2010-03-13 Petrovac W 1-034.6 1194 1077 62.21% 20.43% 17.36%+0.88 +5.6 22
2010-03-13 @ Sutjeska L 0-134.6 1077 1194 17.36% 20.43% 62.21%-0.88 -5.7 18
2010-03-13 Zeta L 2-455.2 1358 1228 63.43% 20.22% 16.35%+0.94 -25.2 47
2010-03-13 @ Rudar W 4-255.2 1228 1358 16.35% 20.22% 63.43%-0.94 +25.2 35
2010-03-17 Berane L 2-355.4 1023 1007 50.99% 21.62% 27.38%+0.41 -12.6 13
2010-03-17 @ Kom Podgorica W 3-255.4 1007 1023 27.38% 21.62% 50.99%-0.41 +12.6 20
2010-03-17 Buducnost Podgorica W 3-148.4 1200 1365 27.00% 21.60% 51.40%-0.43 +23.2 25
2010-03-17 @ Sutjeska L 1-348.4 1365 1200 51.40% 21.60% 27.00%+0.43 -23.2 45
2010-03-17 Decic Tuzi L 1-345.2 1071 1118 42.73% 21.94% 35.33%+0.12 -19.9 18
2010-03-17 @ Petrovac W 3-145.2 1118 1071 35.33% 21.94% 42.73%-0.12 +19.8 25
2010-03-17 Grbalj D 0-050.0 1172 1266 36.08% 21.95% 41.97%-0.10 +0.4 34
2010-03-17 @ Lovcen D 0-050.0 1266 1172 41.97% 21.95% 36.08%+0.10 -0.4 33
2010-03-17 Mornar W 1-035.2 1253 1151 60.70% 20.66% 18.65%+0.81 +6.0 38
2010-03-17 @ Zeta L 0-135.2 1151 1253 18.65% 20.66% 60.70%-0.81 -6.0 20
2010-03-17 Rudar D 0-050.4 1233 1333 35.28% 21.94% 42.78%-0.12 +0.5 34
2010-03-17 @ Mogren D 0-050.4 1333 1233 42.78% 21.94% 35.28%+0.12 -0.5 48
2010-03-20 Kom Podgorica W 1-030.2 1332 1010 77.19% 16.25% 6.56%+1.83 +2.1 51
2010-03-20 @ Rudar L 0-130.2 1010 1332 6.56% 16.25% 77.19%-1.83 -2.1 13
2010-03-20 Lovcen W 3-136.2 1342 1172 66.81% 19.55% 13.64%+1.12 +7.3 48
2010-03-20 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 1-336.2 1172 1342 13.64% 19.55% 66.81%-1.12 -7.3 34
2010-03-20 Mogren L 1-246.7 1145 1234 36.71% 21.96% 41.34%-0.08 -10.2 20
2010-03-20 @ Mornar W 2-146.7 1234 1145 41.34% 21.96% 36.71%+0.08 +10.2 37
2010-03-20 Petrovac D 1-154.6 1020 1051 44.82% 21.89% 33.29%+0.19 -0.7 21
2010-03-20 @ Berane D 1-154.6 1051 1020 33.29% 21.89% 44.82%-0.19 +0.7 19
2010-03-20 Sutjeska D 0-049.8 1138 1223 37.23% 21.96% 40.81%-0.06 +0.2 26
2010-03-20 @ Decic Tuzi D 0-049.8 1223 1138 40.81% 21.96% 37.23%+0.06 -0.2 26
2010-03-20 Zeta L 0-242.1 1265 1259 49.86% 21.69% 28.45%+0.37 -26.1 33
2010-03-20 @ Grbalj W 2-042.1 1259 1265 28.45% 21.69% 49.86%-0.37 +26.1 41
2010-03-27 Berane W 2-028.9 1244 1019 71.09% 18.44% 10.47%+1.38 +6.5 40
2010-03-27 @ Mogren L 0-228.9 1019 1244 10.47% 18.44% 71.09%-1.38 -6.5 21
2010-03-27 Decic Tuzi W 1-035.2 1239 1138 60.61% 20.67% 18.72%+0.81 +6.1 36
2010-03-27 @ Grbalj L 0-135.2 1138 1239 18.72% 20.67% 60.61%-0.81 -6.1 26
2010-03-27 Kom Podgorica W 3-025.1 1335 1008 77.42% 16.15% 6.43%+1.85 +5.6 54
2010-03-27 @ Rudar L 0-325.1 1008 1335 6.43% 16.15% 77.42%-1.85 -5.6 13
2010-03-27 Mornar W 4-027.0 1349 1134 70.33% 18.66% 11.01%+1.33 +13.0 51
2010-03-27 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-427.0 1134 1349 11.01% 18.66% 70.33%-1.33 -13.0 20
2010-03-27 Petrovac D 1-155.8 1285 1052 71.63% 18.27% 10.09%+1.42 -4.1 42
2010-03-27 @ Zeta D 1-155.8 1052 1285 10.09% 18.27% 71.63%-1.42 +4.1 20
2010-03-27 Sutjeska W 3-251.5 1165 1223 41.16% 21.96% 36.88%+0.07 +9.7 37
2010-03-27 @ Lovcen L 2-351.5 1223 1165 36.88% 21.96% 41.16%-0.07 -9.7 26
2010-03-31 Buducnost Podgorica W 2-147.0 1340 1362 46.15% 21.85% 32.00%+0.24 +9.1 57
2010-03-31 @ Rudar L 1-247.0 1362 1340 32.00% 21.85% 46.15%-0.24 -9.1 51
2010-03-31 Decic Tuzi W 1-043.9 1002 1132 31.27% 21.83% 46.90%-0.26 +13.1 16
2010-03-31 @ Kom Podgorica L 0-143.9 1132 1002 46.90% 21.83% 31.27%+0.26 -13.1 26
2010-03-31 Grbalj L 0-240.5 1213 1245 44.78% 21.89% 33.33%+0.19 -23.8 26
2010-03-31 @ Sutjeska W 2-040.5 1245 1213 33.33% 21.89% 44.78%-0.19 +23.8 39
2010-03-31 Lovcen W 1-045.1 1012 1175 27.30% 21.62% 51.09%-0.41 +14.1 24
2010-03-31 @ Berane L 0-145.1 1175 1012 51.09% 21.62% 27.30%+0.41 -14.2 37
2010-03-31 Mogren L 1-242.5 1056 1251 23.74% 21.32% 54.93%-0.56 -7.1 20
2010-03-31 @ Petrovac W 2-142.5 1251 1056 54.93% 21.32% 23.74%+0.56 +7.1 43
2010-03-31 Zeta D 0-050.0 1122 1281 27.65% 21.64% 50.71%-0.40 +1.6 21
2010-03-31 @ Mornar D 0-050.0 1281 1122 50.71% 21.64% 27.65%+0.40 -1.6 43
2010-04-03 Berane W 5-026.5 1269 1027 72.30% 18.07% 9.64%+1.46 +13.9 42
2010-04-03 @ Grbalj L 0-526.5 1027 1269 9.64% 18.07% 72.30%-1.46 -13.9 24
2010-04-03 Kom Podgorica W 3-132.5 1353 1015 78.01% 15.89% 6.10%+1.90 +3.2 54
2010-04-03 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 1-332.5 1015 1353 6.10% 15.89% 78.01%-1.90 -3.2 16
2010-04-03 Mornar D 0-050.4 1258 1123 63.79% 20.16% 16.05%+0.96 -3.5 44
2010-04-03 @ Mogren D 0-050.4 1123 1258 16.05% 20.16% 63.79%-0.96 +3.5 22
2010-04-03 Petrovac W 1-034.8 1161 1049 61.63% 20.52% 17.85%+0.86 +5.8 40
2010-04-03 @ Lovcen L 0-134.8 1049 1161 17.85% 20.52% 61.63%-0.86 -5.8 20
2010-04-03 Sutjeska W 1-041.5 1119 1190 39.34% 21.97% 38.69%+0.01 +11.2 29
2010-04-03 @ Decic Tuzi L 0-141.5 1190 1119 38.69% 21.97% 39.34%-0.01 -11.2 26
2010-04-04 Rudar W 3-253.0 1279 1349 39.44% 21.97% 38.59%+0.01 +10.0 46
2010-04-04 @ Zeta L 2-353.0 1349 1279 38.59% 21.97% 39.44%-0.01 -10.0 57
2010-04-10 Decic Tuzi D 1-154.6 1013 1130 32.88% 21.88% 45.24%-0.21 +0.7 25
2010-04-10 @ Berane D 1-154.6 1130 1013 45.24% 21.88% 32.88%+0.21 -0.7 30
2010-04-10 Grbalj L 1-241.1 1043 1283 19.36% 20.77% 59.87%-0.77 -5.9 20
2010-04-10 @ Petrovac W 2-141.1 1283 1043 59.87% 20.77% 19.36%+0.77 +5.9 45
2010-04-10 Lovcen W 1-040.2 1127 1166 43.70% 21.92% 34.38%+0.15 +10.2 25
2010-04-10 @ Mornar L 0-140.2 1166 1127 34.38% 21.92% 43.70%-0.15 -10.2 40
2010-04-10 Mogren W 3-139.0 1339 1254 58.96% 20.89% 20.15%+0.73 +10.6 60
2010-04-10 @ Rudar L 1-339.0 1254 1339 20.15% 20.89% 58.96%-0.73 -10.6 44
2010-04-10 Sutjeska L 0-137.8 1012 1178 26.85% 21.59% 51.57%-0.43 -8.4 16
2010-04-10 @ Kom Podgorica W 1-037.8 1178 1012 51.57% 21.59% 26.85%+0.43 +8.3 29
2010-04-10 Zeta W 3-139.9 1356 1289 57.00% 21.12% 21.88%+0.65 +11.4 57
2010-04-10 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 1-339.9 1289 1356 21.88% 21.12% 57.00%-0.65 -11.4 46
2010-04-17 Berane D 0-050.5 1187 1013 67.14% 19.47% 13.39%+1.14 -4.0 30
2010-04-17 @ Sutjeska D 0-050.5 1013 1187 13.39% 19.47% 67.14%-1.14 +4.0 26
2010-04-17 Kom Podgorica W 2-027.9 1278 1004 74.34% 17.37% 8.29%+1.61 +5.1 49
2010-04-17 @ Zeta L 0-227.9 1004 1278 8.29% 17.37% 74.34%-1.61 -5.1 16
2010-04-17 Mornar W 3-136.4 1289 1137 65.36% 19.86% 14.78%+1.04 +7.9 48
2010-04-17 @ Grbalj L 1-336.4 1137 1289 14.78% 19.86% 65.36%-1.04 -7.9 25
2010-04-17 Petrovac L 2-357.8 1129 1037 59.67% 20.80% 19.53%+0.76 -14.6 30
2010-04-17 @ Decic Tuzi W 3-257.8 1037 1129 19.53% 20.80% 59.67%-0.76 +14.6 23
2010-04-17 Rudar L 0-332.2 1156 1350 23.82% 21.33% 54.85%-0.56 -20.6 40
2010-04-17 @ Lovcen W 3-032.2 1350 1156 54.85% 21.33% 23.82%+0.56 +20.6 63
2010-04-18 Buducnost Podgorica D 2-261.2 1244 1368 32.02% 21.85% 46.12%-0.24 +0.6 45
2010-04-18 @ Mogren D 2-261.2 1368 1244 46.12% 21.85% 32.02%+0.24 -0.6 58
2010-04-24 Berane D 0-049.7 999 1017 46.58% 21.84% 31.59%+0.25 -1.0 17
2010-04-24 @ Kom Podgorica D 0-049.7 1017 999 31.59% 21.84% 46.58%-0.25 +1.0 27
2010-04-24 Decic Tuzi W 2-034.9 1129 1115 50.82% 21.63% 27.55%+0.40 +16.1 28
2010-04-24 @ Mornar L 0-234.9 1115 1129 27.55% 21.63% 50.82%-0.40 -16.1 30
2010-04-24 Grbalj W 3-032.4 1370 1297 57.73% 21.04% 21.23%+0.68 +18.6 66
2010-04-24 @ Rudar L 0-332.4 1297 1370 21.23% 21.04% 57.73%-0.68 -18.6 48
2010-04-24 Lovcen W 4-026.7 1367 1136 71.52% 18.31% 10.17%+1.41 +12.0 61
2010-04-24 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-426.7 1136 1367 10.17% 18.31% 71.52%-1.41 -12.0 40
2010-04-24 Mogren W 1-037.6 1283 1244 53.80% 21.42% 24.78%+0.52 +7.8 52
2010-04-24 @ Zeta L 0-137.6 1244 1283 24.78% 21.42% 53.80%-0.52 -7.8 45
2010-04-24 Sutjeska W 2-149.6 1052 1183 31.15% 21.82% 47.03%-0.27 +12.4 26
2010-04-24 @ Petrovac L 1-249.6 1183 1052 47.03% 21.82% 31.15%+0.27 -12.4 30
2010-05-01 Buducnost Podgorica D 1-156.0 1278 1379 35.15% 21.93% 42.91%-0.13 +0.5 49
2010-05-01 @ Grbalj D 1-156.0 1379 1278 42.91% 21.93% 35.15%+0.13 -0.5 62
2010-05-01 Kom Podgorica W 2-137.3 1236 998 72.03% 18.15% 9.82%+1.45 +3.0 48
2010-05-01 @ Mogren L 1-237.3 998 1236 9.82% 18.15% 72.03%-1.45 -3.0 17
2010-05-01 Mornar W 3-032.7 1170 1145 52.19% 21.54% 26.26%+0.46 +22.4 33
2010-05-01 @ Sutjeska L 0-332.7 1145 1170 26.26% 21.54% 52.19%-0.46 -22.4 28
2010-05-01 Petrovac L 0-142.7 1018 1064 42.85% 21.94% 35.22%+0.13 -12.2 27
2010-05-01 @ Berane W 1-042.7 1064 1018 35.22% 21.94% 42.85%-0.13 +12.2 29
2010-05-01 Rudar D 2-261.2 1099 1389 15.33% 19.99% 64.68%-1.01 +2.4 31
2010-05-01 @ Decic Tuzi D 2-261.2 1389 1099 64.68% 19.99% 15.33%+1.01 -2.4 67
2010-05-01 Zeta W 1-045.4 1124 1291 26.74% 21.58% 51.68%-0.44 +14.3 43
2010-05-01 @ Lovcen L 0-145.4 1291 1124 51.68% 21.58% 26.74%+0.44 -14.3 52
2010-05-08 Berane W 2-140.3 1123 1006 62.09% 20.44% 17.46%+0.88 +5.4 31
2010-05-08 @ Mornar L 1-240.3 1006 1123 17.46% 20.44% 62.09%-0.88 -5.4 27
2010-05-08 Decic Tuzi D 1-156.3 1378 1101 74.54% 17.30% 8.16%+1.62 -4.5 63
2010-05-08 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 1-156.3 1101 1378 8.16% 17.30% 74.54%-1.62 +4.5 32
2010-05-08 Grbalj D 2-260.9 1276 1279 48.72% 21.75% 29.53%+0.33 -0.9 53
2010-05-08 @ Zeta D 2-260.9 1279 1276 29.53% 21.75% 48.72%-0.33 +0.9 50
2010-05-08 Lovcen W 1-035.2 1239 1138 60.64% 20.67% 18.69%+0.81 +6.1 51
2010-05-08 @ Mogren L 0-135.2 1138 1239 18.69% 20.67% 60.64%-0.81 -6.1 43
2010-05-08 Petrovac L 0-238.0 995 1077 37.75% 21.96% 40.29%-0.04 -20.8 17
2010-05-08 @ Kom Podgorica W 2-038.0 1077 995 40.29% 21.96% 37.75%+0.04 +20.8 32
2010-05-09 Sutjeska W 2-030.3 1387 1193 68.78% 19.08% 12.14%+1.24 +7.5 70
2010-05-09 @ Rudar L 0-230.3 1193 1387 12.14% 19.08% 68.78%-1.24 -7.5 33
2010-05-15 Buducnost Podgorica W 2-043.5 1185 1374 24.35% 21.38% 54.27%-0.54 +28.2 36
2010-05-15 @ Sutjeska L 0-243.5 1374 1185 54.27% 21.38% 24.35%+0.54 -28.2 63
2010-05-15 Kom Podgorica W 2-139.2 1132 974 65.86% 19.75% 14.39%+1.07 +4.5 46
2010-05-15 @ Lovcen L 1-239.2 974 1132 14.39% 19.75% 65.86%-1.07 -4.5 17
2010-05-15 Mogren L 3-553.7 1280 1246 53.26% 21.46% 25.28%+0.50 -20.3 50
2010-05-15 @ Grbalj W 5-353.7 1246 1280 25.28% 21.46% 53.26%-0.50 +20.3 54
2010-05-15 Mornar W 3-142.3 1097 1128 44.96% 21.89% 33.15%+0.20 +16.2 35
2010-05-15 @ Petrovac L 1-342.3 1128 1097 33.15% 21.89% 44.96%-0.20 -16.2 31
2010-05-15 Rudar W 2-047.5 1001 1394 9.42% 17.96% 72.62%-1.49 +36.8 30
2010-05-15 @ Berane L 0-247.5 1394 1001 72.62% 17.96% 9.42%+1.49 -36.8 70
2010-05-15 Zeta W 2-151.2 1106 1276 26.41% 21.55% 52.03%-0.45 +13.6 35
2010-05-15 @ Decic Tuzi L 1-251.2 1276 1106 52.03% 21.55% 26.41%+0.45 -13.6 53
2010-05-22 Berane W 2-027.4 1346 1038 76.38% 16.58% 7.04%+1.77 +4.3 66
2010-05-22 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-227.4 1038 1346 7.04% 16.58% 76.38%-1.77 -4.3 30
2010-05-22 Decic Tuzi W 1-033.9 1266 1119 64.88% 19.95% 15.17%+1.02 +5.0 57
2010-05-22 @ Mogren L 0-133.9 1119 1266 15.17% 19.95% 64.88%-1.02 -5.0 35
2010-05-22 Grbalj W 2-149.5 1136 1259 32.14% 21.86% 46.01%-0.23 +12.2 49
2010-05-22 @ Lovcen L 1-249.5 1259 1136 46.01% 21.86% 32.14%+0.23 -12.2 50
2010-05-22 Mornar D 1-154.6 969 1112 29.70% 21.76% 48.54%-0.32 +1.2 18
2010-05-22 @ Kom Podgorica D 1-154.6 1112 969 48.54% 21.76% 29.70%+0.32 -1.2 32
2010-05-22 Petrovac D 2-261.7 1357 1114 72.39% 18.04% 9.58%+1.47 -3.2 71
2010-05-22 @ Rudar D 2-261.7 1114 1357 9.58% 18.04% 72.39%-1.47 +3.1 36
2010-05-22 Sutjeska D 0-050.2 1262 1213 54.96% 21.32% 23.72%+0.56 -2.2 54
2010-05-22 @ Zeta D 0-050.2 1213 1262 23.72% 21.32% 54.96%-0.56 +2.2 37
2010-05-29 Buducnost Podgorica L 1-241.5 1117 1350 19.94% 20.86% 59.20%-0.74 -6.1 36
2010-05-29 @ Petrovac W 2-141.5 1350 1117 59.20% 20.86% 19.94%+0.74 +6.1 69
2010-05-29 Kom Podgorica W 11-027.6 1247 971 74.50% 17.31% 8.19%+1.62 +24.9 53
2010-05-29 @ Grbalj L 0-1127.6 971 1247 8.19% 17.31% 74.50%-1.62 -24.9 18
2010-05-29 Lovcen L 0-143.2 1114 1148 44.45% 21.90% 33.65%+0.18 -12.6 35
2010-05-29 @ Decic Tuzi W 1-043.2 1148 1114 33.65% 21.90% 44.45%-0.18 +12.5 52
2010-05-29 Mogren W 2-038.1 1216 1271 41.55% 21.95% 36.49%+0.08 +20.2 40
2010-05-29 @ Sutjeska L 0-238.1 1271 1216 36.49% 21.95% 41.55%-0.08 -20.2 57
2010-05-29 Rudar W 2-153.5 1111 1354 19.02% 20.72% 60.26%-0.79 +15.5 35
2010-05-29 @ Mornar L 1-253.5 1354 1111 60.26% 20.72% 19.02%+0.79 -15.5 71
2010-05-29 Zeta L 0-135.8 1033 1260 20.58% 20.95% 58.47%-0.71 -6.6 30
2010-05-29 @ Berane W 1-035.8 1260 1033 58.47% 20.95% 20.58%+0.71 +6.6 57

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2010-02-27 8.71% Mornar 1125 2 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1389 0
2 2010-05-15 9.42% @ Berane 1001 2 Rudar 1394 0
3 2009-09-10 10.98% Berane 965 2 @ Mornar 1180 0
4 2010-03-06 12.10% Decic Tuzi 1077 2 @ Mogren 1271 0
5 2009-11-01 14.35% Grbalj 1196 2 @ Mogren 1355 0
6 2009-08-15 15.29% Lovcen 1176 3 @ Mogren 1321 1
7 2009-08-08 15.68% @ Berane 966 2 Sutjeska 1252 1
8 2010-03-13 16.35% Zeta 1228 4 @ Rudar 1358 2
9 2010-05-29 19.02% @ Mornar 1111 2 Rudar 1354 1
10 2009-09-26 19.24% Petrovac 1078 2 @ Kom Podgorica 1173 1
11 2010-04-17 19.53% Petrovac 1037 3 @ Decic Tuzi 1129 2
12 2009-11-21 19.86% Mornar 1109 2 @ Sutjeska 1198 1
13 2009-08-08 20.32% Kom Podgorica 1146 3 @ Mornar 1230 0
14 2009-10-24 20.37% Berane 1022 2 @ Petrovac 1105 1
15 2009-11-07 21.18% Petrovac 1061 3 @ Mornar 1135 1
16 2010-03-07 23.58% @ Kom Podgorica 1014 1 Sutjeska 1210 0
17 2010-05-15 24.35% @ Sutjeska 1185 2 Buducnost Podgorica 1374 0
18 2010-05-15 25.28% Mogren 1246 5 @ Grbalj 1280 3
19 2009-08-14 25.68% Rudar 1205 2 @ Sutjeska 1235 1
20 2010-05-15 26.41% @ Decic Tuzi 1106 2 Zeta 1276 1
21 2010-05-01 26.74% @ Lovcen 1124 1 Zeta 1291 0
22 2009-10-03 26.99% Decic Tuzi 1131 1 @ Kom Podgorica 1150 0
23 2010-03-17 27.00% @ Sutjeska 1200 3 Buducnost Podgorica 1365 1
24 2010-02-28 27.20% @ Sutjeska 1159 4 Mogren 1322 0
25 2010-03-31 27.30% @ Berane 1012 1 Lovcen 1175 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2010-02-28 50.71 @ Sutjeska 4 1159 27.20% Mogren 0 1322 51.19% 21.61%
2 2009-08-08 44.01 Kom Podgorica 3 1146 20.32% @ Mornar 0 1230 58.77% 20.92%
3 2009-10-17 40.84 @ Grbalj 4 1167 38.53% Lovcen 0 1243 39.50% 21.97%
4 2009-10-17 37.81 @ Berane 3 985 28.62% Kom Podgorica 0 1136 49.68% 21.70%
5 2010-02-27 37.27 Mornar 2 1125 8.71% @ Buducnost Podgorica 0 1389 73.69% 17.60%
6 2010-05-15 36.81 @ Berane 2 1001 9.42% Rudar 0 1394 72.62% 17.96%
7 2009-09-10 35.82 Berane 2 965 10.98% @ Mornar 0 1180 70.38% 18.65%
8 2010-03-06 35.11 Decic Tuzi 2 1077 12.10% @ Mogren 0 1271 68.83% 19.06%
9 2009-10-04 34.41 Buducnost Podgorica 4 1326 46.30% @ Grbalj 0 1201 31.86% 21.85%
10 2009-11-01 33.74 Grbalj 2 1196 14.35% @ Mogren 0 1355 65.91% 19.74%
11 2009-10-31 28.90 Rudar 4 1265 52.64% @ Petrovac 0 1090 25.85% 21.51%
12 2009-08-15 28.73 Lovcen 3 1176 15.29% @ Mogren 1 1321 64.73% 19.98%
13 2010-05-15 28.16 @ Sutjeska 2 1185 24.35% Buducnost Podgorica 0 1374 54.27% 21.38%
14 2010-03-20 26.11 Zeta 2 1259 28.45% @ Grbalj 0 1265 49.86% 21.69%
15 2009-08-22 26.01 Mogren 3 1292 46.80% @ Zeta 0 1163 31.37% 21.83%
16 2009-11-07 25.84 Petrovac 3 1061 21.18% @ Mornar 1 1135 57.79% 21.03%
17 2009-10-18 25.69 @ Rudar 2 1223 29.32% Mogren 0 1368 48.94% 21.74%
18 2010-03-07 25.39 Rudar 3 1333 47.76% @ Lovcen 0 1197 30.45% 21.79%
19 2010-03-13 25.22 Zeta 4 1228 16.35% @ Rudar 2 1358 63.43% 20.22%
20 2010-05-29 24.92 @ Grbalj 11 1247 74.50% Kom Podgorica 0 971 8.19% 17.31%
21 2009-12-13 24.87 @ Zeta 3 1180 48.54% Sutjeska 0 1184 29.70% 21.76%
22 2009-10-31 23.95 Mornar 2 1111 33.05% @ Kom Podgorica 0 1081 45.06% 21.89%
23 2010-03-31 23.82 Grbalj 2 1245 33.33% @ Sutjeska 0 1213 44.78% 21.89%
24 2010-03-17 23.23 @ Sutjeska 3 1200 27.00% Buducnost Podgorica 1 1365 51.40% 21.60%
25 2010-05-01 22.43 @ Sutjeska 3 1170 52.19% Mornar 0 1145 26.26% 21.54%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2009-09-30 63.8 @ Mornar 3 1131 39.43% Grbalj 3 1201 38.60% 21.97%
2 2010-05-22 61.7 @ Rudar 2 1357 72.39% Petrovac 2 1114 9.58% 18.04%
3 2010-04-18 61.2 @ Mogren 2 1244 32.02% Buducnost Podgorica 2 1368 46.12% 21.85%
4 2010-05-01 61.2 @ Decic Tuzi 2 1099 15.33% Rudar 2 1389 64.68% 19.99%
5 2010-05-08 60.9 @ Zeta 2 1276 48.72% Grbalj 2 1279 29.53% 21.75%
6 2009-08-29 60.5 @ Sutjeska 2 1211 51.88% Grbalj 2 1188 26.56% 21.57%
7 2009-09-19 60.4 @ Berane 2 1001 24.64% Grbalj 2 1187 53.95% 21.41%
8 2010-04-17 57.8 Petrovac 3 1037 19.53% @ Decic Tuzi 2 1129 59.67% 20.80%
9 2010-05-08 56.3 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1 1378 74.54% Decic Tuzi 1 1101 8.16% 17.30%
10 2009-12-12 56.1 @ Mogren 1 1326 74.23% Petrovac 1 1054 8.36% 17.41%
11 2010-05-01 56.0 @ Grbalj 1 1278 35.15% Buducnost Podgorica 1 1379 42.91% 21.93%
12 2010-03-27 55.8 @ Zeta 1 1285 71.63% Petrovac 1 1052 10.09% 18.27%
13 2010-03-06 55.4 @ Petrovac 1 1074 16.23% Buducnost Podgorica 1 1352 63.58% 20.19%
14 2010-03-17 55.4 Berane 3 1007 27.38% @ Kom Podgorica 2 1023 50.99% 21.62%
15 2009-09-30 55.3 @ Decic Tuzi 1 1128 19.67% Mogren 1 1365 59.51% 20.82%
16 2010-03-13 55.2 Zeta 4 1228 16.35% @ Rudar 2 1358 63.43% 20.22%
17 2009-08-22 55.1 @ Rudar 1 1218 60.29% Decic Tuzi 1 1120 18.99% 20.71%
18 2009-12-12 55.0 @ Lovcen 1 1192 60.33% Decic Tuzi 1 1093 18.96% 20.71%
19 2009-12-05 54.8 @ Sutjeska 1 1185 48.30% Lovcen 1 1190 29.93% 21.77%
20 2010-03-13 54.7 @ Mornar 1 1152 46.46% Lovcen 1 1171 31.70% 21.84%
21 2010-03-20 54.6 @ Berane 1 1020 44.82% Petrovac 1 1051 33.29% 21.89%
22 2010-04-10 54.6 @ Berane 1 1013 32.88% Decic Tuzi 1 1130 45.24% 21.88%
23 2010-05-22 54.6 @ Kom Podgorica 1 969 29.70% Mornar 1 1112 48.54% 21.76%
24 2009-08-08 54.2 @ Berane 2 966 15.68% Sutjeska 1 1252 64.24% 20.07%
25 2010-05-15 53.7 Mogren 5 1246 25.28% @ Grbalj 3 1280 53.26% 21.46%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2009-10-03 23.9 @ Mogren 4 1362 79.77% Berane 0 990 5.16% 15.07%
2 2010-03-27 25.1 @ Rudar 3 1335 77.42% Kom Podgorica 0 1008 6.43% 16.15%
3 2010-04-03 26.5 @ Grbalj 5 1269 72.30% Berane 0 1027 9.64% 18.07%
4 2009-12-12 26.6 @ Grbalj 5 1264 71.70% Berane 0 1030 10.05% 18.26%
5 2010-04-24 26.7 @ Buducnost Podgorica 4 1367 71.52% Lovcen 0 1136 10.17% 18.31%
6 2009-10-24 26.9 @ Mogren 4 1342 70.61% Mornar 0 1124 10.81% 18.58%
7 2010-03-27 27.0 @ Buducnost Podgorica 4 1349 70.33% Mornar 0 1134 11.01% 18.66%
8 2010-05-22 27.4 @ Buducnost Podgorica 2 1346 76.38% Berane 0 1038 7.04% 16.58%
9 2010-05-29 27.6 @ Grbalj 11 1247 74.50% Kom Podgorica 0 971 8.19% 17.31%
10 2010-04-17 27.9 @ Zeta 2 1278 74.34% Kom Podgorica 0 1004 8.29% 17.37%
11 2010-03-27 28.9 @ Mogren 2 1244 71.09% Berane 0 1019 10.47% 18.44%
12 2009-09-26 29.5 @ Mogren 4 1345 63.14% Sutjeska 0 1218 16.59% 20.27%
13 2009-09-19 30.1 @ Buducnost Podgorica 3 1300 61.59% Kom Podgorica 0 1189 17.88% 20.52%
14 2010-03-20 30.2 @ Rudar 1 1332 77.19% Kom Podgorica 0 1010 6.56% 16.25%
15 2010-05-09 30.3 @ Rudar 2 1387 68.78% Sutjeska 0 1193 12.14% 19.08%
16 2009-11-28 31.2 @ Rudar 1 1312 74.02% Berane 0 1043 8.50% 17.48%
17 2009-12-05 31.3 Mogren 2 1316 63.15% @ Kom Podgorica 0 1043 16.58% 20.27%
18 2009-11-28 31.9 @ Zeta 2 1158 60.93% Kom Podgorica 0 1054 18.45% 20.62%
19 2010-03-06 32.0 @ Grbalj 2 1271 61.29% Mornar 0 1163 18.14% 20.57%
20 2009-10-31 32.1 Rudar 4 1265 52.64% @ Petrovac 0 1090 25.85% 21.51%
21 2010-03-06 32.1 @ Zeta 1 1224 70.45% Berane 0 1008 10.93% 18.63%
22 2010-04-17 32.2 Rudar 3 1350 54.85% @ Lovcen 0 1156 23.82% 21.33%
23 2010-04-24 32.4 @ Rudar 3 1370 57.73% Grbalj 0 1297 21.23% 21.04%
24 2009-12-12 32.5 Buducnost Podgorica 1 1385 69.76% @ Kom Podgorica 0 1033 11.42% 18.82%
25 2010-04-03 32.5 @ Buducnost Podgorica 3 1353 78.01% Kom Podgorica 1 1015 6.10% 15.89%