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2010-11 Montenegrin First League Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Mogren

73 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Mladost Podgorica

12.73 points above expected

41 points · 28.27 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Grbalj

10.82 points below expected

38 points · 48.82 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Mogren 33 22 7 4 73 60 24 +36 61.71 +11.29
2 Buducnost Podgorica 33 22 7 4 73 58 29 +29 64.22 +8.78
3 Rudar 33 16 7 10 55 44 29 +15 59.47 -4.47
4 Zeta 33 12 13 8 49 36 29 +7 51.89 -2.89
5 Mladost Podgorica 33 10 11 12 41 36 35 +1 28.27 +12.73
6 Decic Tuzi 33 10 9 14 39 24 33 -9 39.94 -0.94
7 Grbalj 33 10 8 15 38 30 35 -5 48.82 -10.82
8 Lovcen 33 9 10 14 37 29 36 -7 39.69 -2.69
9 Petrovac 33 8 11 14 35 26 38 -12 34.61 +0.39
10 Mornar 33 9 7 17 34 25 45 -20 31.98 +2.02
11 Sutjeska 33 9 7 17 34 32 54 -22 39.80 -5.80
12 Bar 33 7 11 15 32 30 43 -13 41.87 -9.87

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Mladost Podgorica 41 28.27 +12.73
2 Mogren 73 61.71 +11.29
3 Buducnost Podgorica 73 64.22 +8.78
4 Mornar 34 31.98 +2.02
5 Petrovac 35 34.61 +0.39

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Grbalj 38 48.82 -10.82
2 Bar 32 41.87 -9.87
3 Sutjeska 34 39.80 -5.80
4 Rudar 55 59.47 -4.47
5 Zeta 49 51.89 -2.89

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Mladost Podgorica 3 Aug 28 – Sep 18 1 in 201
2 Mogren 7 Oct 2 – Nov 20 1 in 140
3 Petrovac 3 Dec 4 – Mar 5 1 in 72
4 Mornar 3 Mar 19 – Apr 9 1 in 55
5 Lovcen 3 Apr 16 – Apr 30 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Grbalj 5 Oct 16 – Nov 13 1 in 409
2 Sutjeska 5 Oct 23 – Nov 20 1 in 207
3 Bar 3 Aug 25 – Sep 11 1 in 109
4 Lovcen 4 Sep 29 – Oct 23 1 in 69
5 Mogren 2 Mar 19 – Apr 2 1 in 69

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Petrovac 8 Dec 4 – Apr 3 1 in 116
2 Mogren 19 Aug 29 – Mar 16 1 in 102
3 Zeta 12 Sep 11 – Nov 27 1 in 85
4 Mladost Podgorica 5 Oct 16 – Nov 13 1 in 74
5 Decic Tuzi 7 Sep 11 – Oct 23 1 in 69

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bar 11 Aug 25 – Nov 6 1 in 209
2 Rudar 6 Apr 30 – May 28 1 in 88
3 Decic Tuzi 9 Nov 27 – Apr 2 1 in 34
4 Grbalj 6 Nov 27 – Mar 12 1 in 25
5 Lovcen 8 Sep 11 – Oct 30 1 in 23

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Buducnost Podgorica 1496 73 +26 13 9.4 +3.6
Mogren 1465 73 +11 10 9.4 +0.6
Rudar 1381 55 -36 2 8.6 -6.6
Zeta 1319 49 -6 6 7.0 -1.0
Mladost Podgorica 1190 41 +26 8 5.0 +3.0
Decic Tuzi 1226 39 -4 7 6.9 +0.1
Grbalj 1254 38 -51 6 8.1 -2.1
Lovcen 1239 37 -27 4 6.7 -2.7
Petrovac 1228 35 +0 4 6.0 -2.0
Sutjeska 1210 34 +25 8 4.7 +3.3
Mornar 1202 34 +28 7 4.1 +2.9
Bar 1239 32 +7 6 6.2 -0.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BAR BP DT GRB LOV MP MOG MOR PET RUD SUT ZET
Bar —
0-1-2
2.33
1-2-0
4.51
1-1-1
3.74
1-0-2
3.97
0-0-3
5.26
1-0-2
2.74
1-1-1
4.59
1-2-0
4.20
0-2-1
2.36
1-0-2
4.59
0-2-1
3.42
Buducnost Podgorica
2-1-0
5.92
—
1-2-0
6.01
2-0-1
5.25
3-0-0
6.13
2-1-0
7.01
1-0-2
4.18
3-0-0
6.69
2-1-0
6.56
2-0-1
4.91
3-0-0
6.37
1-2-0
4.98
Decic Tuzi
0-2-1
3.64
0-2-1
2.23
—
2-1-0
3.07
2-0-1
4.05
1-1-1
4.69
0-0-3
2.35
1-0-2
5.10
1-0-2
4.92
1-0-2
2.21
1-1-1
4.31
1-2-0
3.20
Grbalj
1-1-1
4.42
1-0-2
2.93
0-1-2
5.10
—
1-1-1
4.88
1-0-2
5.80
0-1-2
2.80
1-1-1
5.18
2-0-1
4.96
1-0-2
2.83
2-1-0
4.96
0-2-1
3.99
Lovcen
2-0-1
4.20
0-0-3
2.18
1-0-2
4.11
1-1-1
3.28
—
0-3-0
5.78
0-1-2
2.41
1-1-1
4.76
1-1-1
4.79
1-2-0
2.68
2-1-0
3.45
0-0-3
3.18
Mladost Podgorica
3-0-0
2.95
0-1-2
1.41
1-1-1
3.50
2-0-1
2.46
0-3-0
2.46
—
0-2-1
1.67
1-1-1
3.97
0-3-0
3.17
1-0-2
1.92
1-0-2
2.49
1-0-2
1.96
Mogren
2-0-1
5.53
2-0-1
3.97
3-0-0
5.89
2-1-0
5.44
2-1-0
5.83
1-2-0
6.67
—
3-0-0
6.58
1-2-0
6.08
2-0-1
4.04
2-0-1
6.13
2-1-0
5.38
Mornar
1-1-1
3.57
0-0-3
1.66
2-0-1
3.07
1-1-1
3.00
1-1-1
3.40
1-1-1
4.18
0-0-3
1.78
—
1-1-1
4.01
0-1-2
2.02
2-0-1
3.62
0-1-2
2.48
Petrovac
0-2-1
3.95
0-1-2
1.76
2-0-1
3.24
1-0-2
3.21
1-1-1
3.36
0-3-0
4.99
0-2-1
2.18
1-1-1
4.14
—
0-0-3
2.50
1-1-1
3.41
2-0-1
2.46
Rudar
1-2-0
5.88
1-0-2
3.27
2-0-1
6.05
2-0-1
5.38
0-2-1
5.52
2-0-1
6.39
1-0-2
4.12
2-1-0
6.29
3-0-0
5.73
—
1-1-1
5.47
1-1-1
5.09
Sutjeska
2-0-1
3.58
0-0-3
1.93
1-1-1
3.84
0-1-2
3.23
0-1-2
4.71
2-0-1
5.76
1-0-2
2.12
1-0-2
4.56
1-1-1
4.75
1-1-1
2.74
—
0-2-1
2.80
Zeta
1-2-0
4.74
0-2-1
3.19
0-2-1
4.95
1-2-0
4.17
3-0-0
5.00
2-0-1
6.33
0-1-2
2.82
2-1-0
5.73
1-0-2
5.76
1-1-1
3.09
1-2-0
5.39
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.92 +11.6
Allowed 0.57 -13.3
Differential 0.94 +7.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%12.12%8.59%2.02%0.51%0.76%37.63%
112.12%8.08%6.82%3.03%0.76%0.25%31.06%
28.59%6.82%4.55%0.51%0.25%0.25%20.96%
32.02%3.03%0.51%1.01%0.51%—7.07%
40.51%0.76%0.25%0.51%——2.02%
5+0.76%0.25%0.25%———1.26%
Total37.63%31.06%20.96%7.07%2.02%1.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.09 +0.00
SD 1.12 1.12 1.59
CV 1.03 1.03 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%15.15%6.06%3.03%——42.42%
19.09%9.09%6.06%9.09%——33.33%
23.03%3.03%3.03%—3.03%3.03%15.15%
36.06%——3.03%——9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total36.36%27.27%15.15%15.15%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 1.30 -0.39
SD 0.98 1.36 1.48
CV 1.08 1.04 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%6.06%3.03%———18.18%
16.06%3.03%3.03%———12.12%
221.21%21.21%6.06%———48.48%
33.03%9.09%3.03%3.03%——18.18%
4———3.03%——3.03%
5+———————
Total39.39%39.39%15.15%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.76 0.88 +0.88
SD 1.06 0.89 1.14
CV 0.60 1.02 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%18.18%12.12%3.03%—3.03%54.55%
112.12%3.03%3.03%—3.03%—21.21%
215.15%—6.06%———21.21%
33.03%—————3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total48.48%21.21%21.21%3.03%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 1.00 -0.27
SD 0.91 1.27 1.74
CV 1.25 1.27 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%18.18%12.12%———45.45%
115.15%6.06%6.06%6.06%——33.33%
2—9.09%3.03%———12.12%
33.03%———3.03%—6.06%
4———————
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total36.36%33.33%21.21%6.06%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 1.06 -0.15
SD 1.16 1.06 1.52
CV 1.27 1.00 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%21.21%12.12%———45.45%
115.15%9.09%6.06%3.03%——33.33%
23.03%3.03%9.09%———15.15%
3——3.03%———3.03%
4———————
5+——3.03%———3.03%
Total30.30%33.33%33.33%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 1.09 -0.21
SD 1.11 0.88 1.22
CV 1.26 0.81 —
Max 5 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%12.12%9.09%———36.36%
112.12%9.09%12.12%3.03%——36.36%
26.06%3.03%6.06%———15.15%
3—6.06%—3.03%——9.09%
4———————
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total33.33%33.33%27.27%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.06 +0.03
SD 1.18 0.93 1.38
CV 1.08 0.88 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%———3.03%—15.15%
121.21%6.06%6.06%3.03%——36.36%
215.15%6.06%3.03%———24.24%
3—6.06%————6.06%
4—9.09%3.03%———12.12%
5+6.06%—————6.06%
Total54.55%27.27%12.12%3.03%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 0.73 +1.09
SD 1.45 1.01 1.77
CV 0.80 1.39 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%15.15%12.12%3.03%3.03%3.03%45.45%
115.15%9.09%9.09%3.03%——36.36%
23.03%6.06%3.03%3.03%——15.15%
3—3.03%————3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%33.33%24.24%9.09%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.76 1.36 -0.61
SD 0.83 1.25 1.60
CV 1.10 0.91 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%12.12%12.12%6.06%——45.45%
19.09%18.18%3.03%3.03%——33.33%
29.09%6.06%—3.03%——18.18%
3————3.03%—3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%36.36%15.15%12.12%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.79 1.15 -0.36
SD 0.86 1.12 1.34
CV 1.09 0.97 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%18.18%6.06%———30.30%
115.15%6.06%6.06%———27.27%
29.09%9.09%9.09%———27.27%
36.06%3.03%————9.09%
43.03%——3.03%——6.06%
5+———————
Total39.39%36.36%21.21%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 0.88 +0.45
SD 1.19 0.86 1.46
CV 0.89 0.98 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%6.06%6.06%6.06%—3.03%33.33%
13.03%9.09%15.15%6.06%6.06%3.03%42.42%
29.09%9.09%————18.18%
3—6.06%————6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total24.24%30.30%21.21%12.12%6.06%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.64 -0.67
SD 0.88 1.45 1.85
CV 0.91 0.89 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.21%3.03%12.12%3.03%——39.39%
112.12%9.09%6.06%———27.27%
29.09%6.06%6.06%———21.21%
33.03%3.03%—3.03%——9.09%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total48.48%21.21%24.24%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 0.88 +0.21
SD 1.13 0.99 1.52
CV 1.03 1.13 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Buducnost Podgorica 1496 73 64.22 +8.78 92.0% 42 53 61 65 69 74 78
Mogren 1465 73 61.71 +11.29 97.0% 46 51 56 62 67 72 75
Rudar 1381 55 59.47 -4.47 27.0% 42 47 55 59 63 71 77
Zeta 1319 49 51.89 -2.89 37.0% 34 40 48 52 56 62 67
Grbalj 1254 38 48.82 -10.82 7.0% 34 38 44 49 54 60 67
Lovcen 1239 37 39.69 -2.69 42.0% 24 29 35 39 44 50 55
Bar 1239 32 41.87 -9.87 10.0% 24 30 37 42 46 53 58
Petrovac 1228 35 34.61 +0.39 56.0% 21 25 31 35 38 46 51
Decic Tuzi 1226 39 39.94 -0.94 54.0% 26 30 36 38 45 52 55
Sutjeska 1210 34 39.80 -5.80 21.0% 23 30 35 39 44 52 61
Mornar 1202 34 31.98 +2.02 64.0% 12 21 27 31 37 43 50
Mladost Podgorica 1190 41 28.27 +12.73 96.0% 13 16 24 29 32 39 45

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+21.21%
Clear Edge
46.97%27.27%25.76%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 74.83 Elo pts.
284 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.42 goals
Neutral
-2+0.26+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.8
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
34%
Mogren, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.35 * Some Luck: 5.35 to 8.02 * Lucky: 8.02 to 10.69 * Wild Swing: 10.69 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.09 * Close: 1.09 to 1.64 * Off: 1.64 to 2.19 * Way Off: 2.19 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.39 points
Some Luck
06.6817
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.00
Off
01.373
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
97.00%
Mogren
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
7.00%
Grbalj
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Even
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 104.83
1.96
Strong Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
66%
Slight Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
85%
Clear Edge
50%89%100%
Close Games
Expected
67%
Very Frequent
0%65%100%
Blowouts
Expected
9%
Rare
0%12%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.62
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.41
Slight Separation
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.18
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.46
Some Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
28%
Very Upset-Prone
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Shaky Favorites
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.58
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.72
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.095
Well Within Noise
00.1200.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Mogren34.00%24.00%28.00%9.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%—————
Buducnost Podgorica47.00%34.00%13.00%3.00%2.00%—1.00%—————
Rudar16.00%29.00%27.00%21.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%————
Zeta2.00%7.00%20.00%27.00%24.00%9.00%6.00%4.00%1.00%———
Mladost Podgorica—————2.00%4.00%4.00%7.00%10.00%29.00%44.00%
Decic Tuzi———6.00%8.00%15.00%11.00%22.00%21.00%6.00%7.00%4.00%
Grbalj1.00%4.00%6.00%20.00%27.00%20.00%14.00%2.00%4.00%—2.00%—
Lovcen——2.00%3.00%11.00%6.00%18.00%18.00%20.00%11.00%10.00%1.00%
Petrovac———1.00%3.00%4.00%7.00%8.00%21.00%21.00%22.00%13.00%
Mornar———1.00%—3.00%7.00%10.00%9.00%19.00%17.00%34.00%
Sutjeska—1.00%3.00%2.00%4.00%16.00%15.00%18.00%9.00%24.00%6.00%2.00%
Bar—1.00%1.00%7.00%15.00%22.00%15.00%13.00%8.00%9.00%7.00%2.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Buducnost Podgorica 100% — —
Grbalj 98.00% 2.00% —
Mogren 100% — —
Rudar 100% — —
Zeta 100% — —
Lovcen 78.00% 21.00% 1.00%
Bar 82.00% 16.00% 2.00%
Sutjeska 68.00% 30.00% 2.00%
Decic Tuzi 83.00% 13.00% 4.00%
Petrovac 44.00% 43.00% 13.00%
Mornar 30.00% 36.00% 34.00%
Mladost Podgorica 17.00% 39.00% 44.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2010-08-14 Grbalj W 2-145.6 1393 1340 52.30% 27.18% 20.52%+0.45 +6.3 3
2010-08-14 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 1-245.6 1340 1393 20.52% 27.18% 52.30%-0.45 -6.3 0
2010-08-14 Mogren L 2-451.2 1319 1326 44.94% 28.42% 26.65%+0.24 -17.9 0
2010-08-14 @ Bar W 4-251.2 1326 1319 26.65% 28.42% 44.94%-0.24 +17.9 3
2010-08-14 Mornar W 2-036.0 1236 1246 44.55% 28.46% 26.99%+0.23 +15.8 3
2010-08-14 @ Decic Tuzi L 0-236.0 1246 1236 26.99% 28.46% 44.55%-0.23 -15.8 0
2010-08-14 Petrovac D 1-154.9 1318 1241 55.04% 26.50% 18.46%+0.53 -2.2 1
2010-08-14 @ Sutjeska D 1-154.9 1241 1318 18.46% 26.50% 55.04%-0.53 +2.2 1
2010-08-14 Mladost Podgorica D 0-050.5 1264 1048 68.64% 21.20% 10.16%+1.02 -4.0 1
2010-08-14 @ Lovcen D 0-050.5 1048 1264 10.16% 21.20% 68.64%-1.02 +4.0 1
2010-08-15 Zeta W 2-145.6 1382 1336 51.55% 27.34% 21.10%+0.43 +6.4 3
2010-08-15 @ Rudar L 1-245.6 1336 1382 21.10% 27.34% 51.55%-0.43 -6.4 0
2010-08-21 Bar L 0-337.8 1243 1301 37.91% 28.90% 33.19%+0.06 -29.4 1
2010-08-21 @ Petrovac W 3-037.8 1301 1243 33.19% 28.90% 37.91%-0.06 +29.4 3
2010-08-21 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-240.8 1329 1399 36.26% 28.93% 34.81%+0.02 -19.6 0
2010-08-21 @ Zeta W 2-040.8 1399 1329 34.81% 28.93% 36.26%-0.02 +19.6 6
2010-08-21 Decic Tuzi W 5-031.8 1344 1252 56.70% 26.03% 17.28%+0.59 +25.1 6
2010-08-21 @ Mogren L 0-531.8 1252 1344 17.28% 26.03% 56.70%-0.59 -25.1 3
2010-08-21 Grbalj L 1-240.9 1052 1334 14.50% 24.61% 60.89%-0.73 -4.5 1
2010-08-21 @ Mladost Podgorica W 2-140.9 1334 1052 60.89% 24.61% 14.50%+0.73 +4.5 3
2010-08-21 Rudar L 0-139.8 1230 1388 24.93% 28.16% 46.91%-0.29 -7.8 0
2010-08-21 @ Mornar W 1-039.8 1388 1230 46.91% 28.16% 24.93%+0.29 +7.8 6
2010-08-21 Sutjeska D 1-154.3 1260 1316 38.23% 28.89% 32.88%+0.07 -0.3 2
2010-08-21 @ Lovcen D 1-154.3 1316 1260 32.88% 28.89% 38.23%-0.07 +0.3 2
2010-08-25 Lovcen L 2-548.9 1331 1259 54.45% 26.66% 18.89%+0.51 -28.7 3
2010-08-25 @ Bar W 5-248.9 1259 1331 18.89% 26.66% 54.45%-0.51 +28.7 5
2010-08-25 Mogren W 4-035.3 1396 1369 49.26% 27.79% 22.95%+0.36 +26.2 9
2010-08-25 @ Rudar L 0-435.3 1369 1396 22.95% 27.79% 49.26%-0.36 -26.2 6
2010-08-25 Mornar W 3-135.9 1419 1222 66.93% 22.04% 11.04%+0.95 +5.8 9
2010-08-25 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 1-335.9 1222 1419 11.04% 22.04% 66.93%-0.95 -5.8 0
2010-08-25 Petrovac W 2-035.0 1227 1214 47.51% 28.08% 24.42%+0.31 +14.5 6
2010-08-25 @ Decic Tuzi L 0-235.0 1214 1227 24.42% 28.08% 47.51%-0.31 -14.5 1
2010-08-25 Mladost Podgorica W 2-137.2 1316 1047 72.97% 18.90% 8.13%+1.21 +2.3 5
2010-08-25 @ Sutjeska L 1-237.2 1047 1316 8.13% 18.90% 72.97%-1.21 -2.4 1
2010-08-25 Zeta D 1-155.2 1338 1310 49.42% 27.76% 22.81%+0.36 -1.5 4
2010-08-25 @ Grbalj D 1-155.2 1310 1338 22.81% 27.76% 49.42%-0.36 +1.5 1
2010-08-28 Bar W 3-141.5 1318 1302 47.86% 28.02% 24.11%+0.32 +12.5 8
2010-08-28 @ Sutjeska L 1-341.5 1302 1318 24.11% 28.02% 47.86%-0.32 -12.5 3
2010-08-28 Decic Tuzi W 1-037.9 1288 1242 51.57% 27.34% 21.09%+0.43 +6.8 8
2010-08-28 @ Lovcen L 0-137.9 1242 1288 21.09% 27.34% 51.57%-0.43 -6.8 6
2010-08-28 Grbalj D 0-048.8 1217 1337 29.40% 28.70% 41.90%-0.16 +0.8 1
2010-08-28 @ Mornar D 0-048.8 1337 1217 41.90% 28.70% 29.40%+0.16 -0.8 5
2010-08-28 Rudar L 0-233.6 1199 1422 18.72% 26.60% 54.69%-0.52 -11.5 1
2010-08-28 @ Petrovac W 2-033.6 1422 1199 54.69% 26.60% 18.72%+0.52 +11.5 12
2010-08-28 Zeta W 2-044.4 1045 1311 15.52% 25.19% 59.29%-0.67 +29.0 4
2010-08-28 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-244.4 1311 1045 59.29% 25.19% 15.52%+0.67 -29.0 1
2010-08-29 Buducnost Podgorica W 2-041.5 1343 1424 34.56% 28.92% 36.52%-0.02 +19.7 9
2010-08-29 @ Mogren L 0-241.5 1424 1343 36.52% 28.92% 34.56%+0.02 -19.7 9
2010-09-11 Lovcen D 1-157.2 1434 1295 61.58% 24.35% 14.07%+0.75 -2.9 13
2010-09-11 @ Rudar D 1-157.2 1295 1434 14.07% 24.35% 61.58%-0.75 +2.9 9
2010-09-11 Mornar W 4-031.5 1282 1217 53.70% 26.85% 19.45%+0.49 +22.7 4
2010-09-11 @ Zeta L 0-431.5 1217 1282 19.45% 26.85% 53.70%-0.49 -22.7 1
2010-09-11 Petrovac W 4-345.8 1405 1188 68.74% 21.15% 10.11%+1.03 +2.8 12
2010-09-11 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 3-445.8 1188 1405 10.11% 21.15% 68.74%-1.03 -2.8 1
2010-09-11 Sutjeska W 1-043.8 1235 1331 32.58% 28.88% 38.54%-0.07 +10.9 9
2010-09-11 @ Decic Tuzi L 0-143.8 1331 1235 38.54% 28.88% 32.58%+0.07 -10.9 8
2010-09-11 Mladost Podgorica L 1-256.1 1290 1074 68.62% 21.21% 10.17%+1.02 -16.3 3
2010-09-11 @ Bar W 2-156.1 1074 1290 10.17% 21.21% 68.62%-1.02 +16.3 7
2010-09-12 Mogren L 0-146.0 1336 1362 42.30% 28.67% 29.03%+0.17 -11.7 5
2010-09-12 @ Grbalj W 1-046.0 1362 1336 29.03% 28.67% 42.30%-0.17 +11.7 12
2010-09-18 Buducnost Podgorica L 1-344.6 1298 1408 30.74% 28.79% 40.47%-0.12 -15.1 9
2010-09-18 @ Lovcen W 3-144.6 1408 1298 40.47% 28.79% 30.74%+0.12 +15.1 15
2010-09-18 Decic Tuzi D 0-048.9 1273 1246 49.32% 27.78% 22.90%+0.36 -1.7 4
2010-09-18 @ Bar D 0-048.9 1246 1273 22.90% 27.78% 49.32%-0.36 +1.7 10
2010-09-18 Grbalj L 0-140.0 1185 1324 27.06% 28.47% 44.47%-0.23 -8.4 1
2010-09-18 @ Petrovac W 1-040.0 1324 1185 44.47% 28.47% 27.06%+0.23 +8.4 8
2010-09-18 Mornar W 1-043.5 1090 1195 31.46% 28.83% 39.71%-0.10 +11.1 10
2010-09-18 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-143.5 1195 1090 39.71% 28.83% 31.46%+0.10 -11.1 1
2010-09-18 Rudar D 0-050.8 1320 1431 30.54% 28.78% 40.68%-0.13 +0.6 9
2010-09-18 @ Sutjeska D 0-050.8 1431 1320 40.68% 28.78% 30.54%+0.13 -0.6 14
2010-09-18 Zeta D 0-050.4 1374 1305 54.21% 26.72% 19.07%+0.51 -2.3 13
2010-09-18 @ Mogren D 0-050.4 1305 1374 19.07% 26.72% 54.21%-0.51 +2.3 5
2010-09-25 Bar D 0-051.6 1431 1272 63.48% 23.58% 12.94%+0.82 -3.5 15
2010-09-25 @ Rudar D 0-051.6 1272 1431 12.94% 23.58% 63.48%-0.82 +3.5 5
2010-09-25 Lovcen D 0-049.6 1333 1283 51.98% 27.25% 20.77%+0.44 -2.0 9
2010-09-25 @ Grbalj D 0-049.6 1283 1333 20.77% 27.25% 51.98%-0.44 +2.0 10
2010-09-25 Mogren L 0-533.4 1184 1372 21.83% 27.53% 50.64%-0.40 -31.0 1
2010-09-25 @ Mornar W 5-033.4 1372 1184 50.64% 27.53% 21.83%+0.40 +31.0 16
2010-09-25 Petrovac W 1-035.0 1307 1177 60.73% 24.67% 14.60%+0.72 +4.8 8
2010-09-25 @ Zeta L 0-135.0 1177 1307 14.60% 24.67% 60.73%-0.72 -4.8 1
2010-09-25 Sutjeska W 2-144.2 1423 1320 57.80% 25.68% 16.51%+0.62 +5.1 18
2010-09-25 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 1-244.2 1320 1423 16.51% 25.68% 57.80%-0.62 -5.1 9
2010-09-25 Mladost Podgorica W 1-034.3 1247 1102 62.24% 24.09% 13.67%+0.78 +4.5 13
2010-09-25 @ Decic Tuzi L 0-134.3 1102 1247 13.67% 24.09% 62.24%-0.78 -4.5 10
2010-09-29 Buducnost Podgorica D 0-050.2 1275 1428 25.55% 28.26% 46.19%-0.27 +1.3 6
2010-09-29 @ Bar D 0-050.2 1428 1275 46.19% 28.26% 25.55%+0.27 -1.3 19
2010-09-29 Grbalj L 1-252.0 1315 1331 43.80% 28.54% 27.66%+0.21 -11.3 9
2010-09-29 @ Sutjeska W 2-152.0 1331 1315 27.66% 28.54% 43.80%-0.21 +11.3 12
2010-09-29 Mogren D 2-261.3 1097 1403 13.09% 23.69% 63.23%-0.81 +2.3 11
2010-09-29 @ Mladost Podgorica D 2-261.3 1403 1097 63.23% 23.69% 13.09%+0.81 -2.3 17
2010-09-29 Mornar D 1-153.9 1172 1153 48.25% 27.96% 23.79%+0.33 -1.4 2
2010-09-29 @ Petrovac D 1-153.9 1153 1172 23.79% 27.96% 48.25%-0.33 +1.4 2
2010-09-29 Rudar W 1-047.5 1252 1427 23.13% 27.83% 49.04%-0.35 +13.1 16
2010-09-29 @ Decic Tuzi L 0-147.5 1427 1252 49.04% 27.83% 23.13%+0.35 -13.1 15
2010-09-29 Zeta L 0-241.1 1285 1312 42.20% 28.68% 29.12%+0.17 -22.0 10
2010-09-29 @ Lovcen W 2-041.1 1312 1285 29.12% 28.68% 42.20%-0.17 +22.0 11
2010-10-02 Bar W 3-032.1 1342 1277 53.77% 26.83% 19.40%+0.49 +17.3 15
2010-10-02 @ Grbalj L 0-332.1 1277 1342 19.40% 26.83% 53.77%-0.49 -17.3 6
2010-10-02 Decic Tuzi D 2-262.7 1426 1265 63.73% 23.47% 12.79%+0.83 -2.3 20
2010-10-02 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 2-262.7 1265 1426 12.79% 23.47% 63.73%-0.83 +2.3 17
2010-10-02 Lovcen W 2-149.9 1154 1263 30.86% 28.80% 40.34%-0.12 +10.6 5
2010-10-02 @ Mornar L 1-249.9 1263 1154 40.34% 28.80% 30.86%+0.12 -10.6 10
2010-10-02 Petrovac W 3-134.5 1401 1170 69.86% 20.58% 9.56%+1.07 +4.9 20
2010-10-02 @ Mogren L 1-334.5 1170 1401 9.56% 20.58% 69.86%-1.07 -4.9 2
2010-10-02 Sutjeska W 3-141.1 1334 1304 49.58% 27.73% 22.69%+0.37 +11.8 14
2010-10-02 @ Zeta L 1-341.1 1304 1334 22.69% 27.73% 49.58%-0.37 -11.8 9
2010-10-02 Mladost Podgorica W 2-136.5 1414 1099 76.43% 16.90% 6.67%+1.37 +1.9 18
2010-10-02 @ Rudar L 1-236.5 1099 1414 6.67% 16.90% 76.43%-1.37 -1.9 11
2010-10-16 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-245.5 1416 1424 44.72% 28.44% 26.84%+0.23 -23.0 18
2010-10-16 @ Rudar W 2-045.5 1424 1416 26.84% 28.44% 44.72%-0.23 +23.0 23
2010-10-16 Grbalj W 2-040.1 1267 1359 33.12% 28.90% 37.98%-0.06 +20.3 20
2010-10-16 @ Decic Tuzi L 0-240.1 1359 1267 37.98% 28.90% 33.12%+0.06 -20.3 15
2010-10-16 Mogren L 0-140.3 1252 1405 25.47% 28.25% 46.28%-0.28 -8.0 10
2010-10-16 @ Lovcen W 1-040.3 1405 1252 46.28% 28.25% 25.47%+0.28 +8.0 23
2010-10-16 Mornar W 2-031.1 1292 1165 60.43% 24.78% 14.79%+0.71 +9.2 12
2010-10-16 @ Sutjeska L 0-231.1 1165 1292 14.79% 24.78% 60.43%-0.71 -9.2 5
2010-10-16 Petrovac D 1-153.6 1097 1165 36.52% 28.92% 34.55%+0.02 -0.1 12
2010-10-16 @ Mladost Podgorica D 1-153.6 1165 1097 34.55% 28.92% 36.52%-0.02 +0.1 3
2010-10-16 Zeta D 0-049.0 1259 1346 33.86% 28.91% 37.22%-0.04 +0.2 7
2010-10-16 @ Bar D 0-049.0 1346 1259 37.22% 28.91% 33.86%+0.04 -0.2 15
2010-10-23 Bar W 1-043.6 1155 1259 31.50% 28.83% 39.67%-0.10 +11.1 8
2010-10-23 @ Mornar L 0-143.6 1259 1155 39.67% 28.83% 31.50%+0.10 -11.1 7
2010-10-23 Decic Tuzi D 0-049.8 1346 1288 52.91% 27.04% 20.05%+0.47 -2.2 16
2010-10-23 @ Zeta D 0-049.8 1288 1346 20.05% 27.04% 52.91%-0.47 +2.1 21
2010-10-23 Lovcen W 1-042.5 1166 1244 34.98% 28.93% 36.09%-0.01 +10.4 6
2010-10-23 @ Petrovac L 0-142.5 1244 1166 36.09% 28.93% 34.98%+0.01 -10.4 10
2010-10-23 Rudar L 0-145.4 1339 1393 38.53% 28.88% 32.59%+0.07 -10.9 15
2010-10-23 @ Grbalj W 1-045.4 1393 1339 32.59% 28.88% 38.53%-0.07 +10.9 21
2010-10-23 Sutjeska W 4-136.1 1413 1301 58.84% 25.34% 15.82%+0.66 +12.0 26
2010-10-23 @ Mogren L 1-436.1 1301 1413 15.82% 25.34% 58.84%-0.66 -12.1 12
2010-10-23 Mladost Podgorica D 3-367.1 1447 1097 78.87% 15.41% 5.72%+1.49 -2.8 24
2010-10-23 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 3-367.1 1097 1447 5.72% 15.41% 78.87%-1.49 +2.8 13
2010-10-30 Bar W 3-136.8 1425 1248 65.20% 22.83% 11.96%+0.89 +6.4 29
2010-10-30 @ Mogren L 1-336.8 1248 1425 11.96% 22.83% 65.20%-0.89 -6.4 7
2010-10-30 Buducnost Podgorica L 1-345.4 1328 1444 29.90% 28.74% 41.36%-0.15 -14.8 15
2010-10-30 @ Grbalj W 3-145.4 1444 1328 41.36% 28.74% 29.90%+0.15 +14.8 27
2010-10-30 Decic Tuzi W 1-044.4 1167 1290 29.01% 28.67% 42.32%-0.17 +11.7 11
2010-10-30 @ Mornar L 0-144.4 1290 1167 42.32% 28.67% 29.01%+0.17 -11.7 21
2010-10-30 Lovcen D 1-153.8 1100 1234 27.74% 28.54% 43.72%-0.21 +0.9 14
2010-10-30 @ Mladost Podgorica D 1-153.8 1234 1100 43.72% 28.54% 27.74%+0.21 -0.9 11
2010-10-30 Sutjeska W 1-044.1 1176 1289 30.26% 28.76% 40.98%-0.14 +11.4 9
2010-10-30 @ Petrovac L 0-144.1 1289 1176 40.98% 28.76% 30.26%+0.14 -11.4 12
2010-10-31 Rudar W 1-044.1 1343 1404 37.63% 28.91% 33.47%+0.05 +9.8 19
2010-10-31 @ Zeta L 0-144.1 1404 1343 33.47% 28.91% 37.63%-0.05 -9.8 21
2010-11-06 Lovcen L 1-253.1 1278 1233 51.40% 27.38% 21.23%+0.42 -12.9 12
2010-11-06 @ Sutjeska W 2-153.1 1233 1278 21.23% 27.38% 51.40%-0.42 +12.9 14
2010-11-06 Mogren L 0-140.9 1278 1432 25.42% 28.24% 46.34%-0.28 -8.0 21
2010-11-06 @ Decic Tuzi W 1-040.9 1432 1278 46.34% 28.24% 25.42%+0.28 +8.0 32
2010-11-06 Mornar W 2-139.1 1394 1178 68.62% 21.21% 10.17%+1.02 +3.1 24
2010-11-06 @ Rudar L 1-239.1 1178 1394 10.17% 21.21% 68.62%-1.02 -3.1 11
2010-11-06 Petrovac D 1-154.3 1242 1187 52.53% 27.13% 20.34%+0.46 -1.9 8
2010-11-06 @ Bar D 1-154.3 1187 1242 20.34% 27.13% 52.53%-0.46 +1.9 10
2010-11-06 Mladost Podgorica L 0-150.0 1313 1101 68.34% 21.35% 10.31%+1.01 -17.2 15
2010-11-06 @ Grbalj W 1-050.0 1101 1313 10.31% 21.35% 68.34%-1.01 +17.2 17
2010-11-06 Zeta D 0-053.0 1459 1353 58.19% 25.56% 16.25%+0.64 -2.8 28
2010-11-06 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 0-053.0 1353 1459 16.25% 25.56% 58.19%-0.64 +2.8 20
2010-11-13 Bar L 0-145.7 1246 1240 46.56% 28.21% 25.23%+0.28 -12.6 14
2010-11-13 @ Lovcen W 1-045.7 1240 1246 25.23% 28.21% 46.56%-0.28 +12.6 11
2010-11-13 Buducnost Podgorica L 1-241.9 1175 1456 14.54% 24.64% 60.82%-0.73 -4.5 11
2010-11-13 @ Mornar W 2-141.9 1456 1175 60.82% 24.64% 14.54%+0.73 +4.5 31
2010-11-13 Decic Tuzi W 2-038.9 1189 1270 34.66% 28.93% 36.42%-0.02 +19.7 13
2010-11-13 @ Petrovac L 0-238.9 1270 1189 36.42% 28.93% 34.66%+0.02 -19.7 21
2010-11-13 Grbalj W 1-038.2 1356 1296 53.14% 26.98% 19.87%+0.47 +6.5 23
2010-11-13 @ Zeta L 0-138.2 1296 1356 19.87% 26.98% 53.14%-0.47 -6.5 15
2010-11-13 Sutjeska W 5-142.6 1118 1265 26.20% 28.36% 45.45%-0.25 +36.8 20
2010-11-13 @ Mladost Podgorica L 1-542.6 1265 1118 45.45% 28.36% 26.20%+0.25 -36.8 12
2010-11-14 Rudar W 1-042.0 1440 1397 51.15% 27.43% 21.42%+0.41 +6.9 35
2010-11-14 @ Mogren L 0-142.0 1397 1440 21.42% 27.43% 51.15%-0.41 -6.9 24
2010-11-20 Lovcen W 1-038.8 1250 1233 48.01% 28.00% 23.99%+0.32 +7.6 24
2010-11-20 @ Decic Tuzi L 0-138.8 1233 1250 23.99% 28.00% 48.01%-0.32 -7.6 14
2010-11-20 Mogren L 1-258.3 1461 1447 47.61% 28.06% 24.32%+0.31 -12.1 31
2010-11-20 @ Buducnost Podgorica W 2-158.3 1447 1461 24.32% 28.06% 47.61%-0.31 +12.1 38
2010-11-20 Mornar W 1-035.3 1290 1171 59.56% 25.09% 15.35%+0.68 +5.1 18
2010-11-20 @ Grbalj L 0-135.3 1171 1290 15.35% 25.09% 59.56%-0.68 -5.1 11
2010-11-20 Petrovac W 3-028.4 1390 1209 65.56% 22.67% 11.77%+0.90 +10.5 27
2010-11-20 @ Rudar L 0-328.4 1209 1390 11.77% 22.67% 65.56%-0.90 -10.5 13
2010-11-20 Sutjeska W 2-034.7 1253 1228 48.90% 27.85% 23.25%+0.35 +14.0 14
2010-11-20 @ Bar L 0-234.7 1228 1253 23.25% 27.85% 48.90%-0.35 -14.0 12
2010-11-20 Mladost Podgorica W 2-139.1 1363 1155 67.92% 21.56% 10.52%+0.99 +3.2 26
2010-11-20 @ Zeta L 1-239.1 1155 1363 10.52% 21.56% 67.92%-0.99 -3.2 20
2010-11-27 Bar W 1-044.0 1152 1267 30.10% 28.75% 41.15%-0.14 +11.4 23
2010-11-27 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-144.0 1267 1152 41.15% 28.75% 30.10%+0.14 -11.4 14
2010-11-27 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-233.0 1198 1449 16.62% 25.73% 57.65%-0.62 -10.3 13
2010-11-27 @ Petrovac W 2-033.0 1449 1198 57.65% 25.73% 16.62%+0.62 +10.3 34
2010-11-27 Decic Tuzi W 2-147.3 1214 1258 39.93% 28.82% 31.25%+0.11 +8.8 15
2010-11-27 @ Sutjeska L 1-247.3 1258 1214 31.25% 28.82% 39.93%-0.11 -8.8 24
2010-11-27 Grbalj D 0-052.4 1459 1295 63.98% 23.37% 12.65%+0.84 -3.5 39
2010-11-27 @ Mogren D 0-052.4 1295 1459 12.65% 23.37% 63.98%-0.84 +3.5 19
2010-11-27 Rudar W 1-047.0 1226 1400 23.17% 27.84% 49.00%-0.35 +13.1 17
2010-11-27 @ Lovcen L 0-147.0 1400 1226 49.00% 27.84% 23.17%+0.35 -13.1 27
2010-11-27 Zeta D 0-049.1 1166 1366 20.71% 27.24% 52.05%-0.44 +2.0 12
2010-11-27 @ Mornar D 0-049.1 1366 1166 52.05% 27.24% 20.71%+0.44 -2.0 27
2010-12-04 Lovcen W 2-030.1 1459 1239 69.03% 21.00% 9.97%+1.04 +6.0 37
2010-12-04 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-230.1 1239 1459 9.97% 21.00% 69.03%-1.04 -6.0 17
2010-12-04 Petrovac L 1-254.6 1298 1188 58.65% 25.41% 15.95%+0.65 -14.4 19
2010-12-04 @ Grbalj W 2-154.6 1188 1298 15.95% 25.41% 58.65%-0.65 +14.4 16
2010-12-04 Sutjeska W 3-028.9 1387 1223 64.00% 23.36% 12.64%+0.84 +11.3 30
2010-12-04 @ Rudar L 0-328.9 1223 1387 12.64% 23.36% 64.00%-0.84 -11.3 15
2010-12-05 Mogren L 1-251.7 1364 1455 33.18% 28.90% 37.93%-0.06 -9.2 27
2010-12-05 @ Zeta W 2-151.7 1455 1364 37.93% 28.90% 33.18%+0.06 +9.2 42
2010-12-08 Mladost Podgorica D 0-048.4 1168 1163 46.37% 28.24% 25.39%+0.28 -1.3 13
2010-12-08 @ Mornar D 0-048.4 1163 1168 25.39% 28.24% 46.37%-0.28 +1.3 24
2010-12-12 Bar D 1-154.1 1249 1255 45.05% 28.40% 26.55%+0.24 -1.0 25
2010-12-12 @ Decic Tuzi D 1-154.1 1255 1249 26.55% 28.40% 45.05%-0.24 +1.0 15
2011-02-26 Decic Tuzi D 0-048.3 1165 1248 34.29% 28.92% 36.79%-0.03 +0.1 25
2011-02-26 @ Mladost Podgorica D 0-048.3 1248 1165 36.79% 28.92% 34.29%+0.03 -0.2 26
2011-02-26 Mornar W 2-027.5 1464 1166 75.24% 17.60% 7.16%+1.31 +4.0 45
2011-02-26 @ Mogren L 0-227.5 1166 1464 7.16% 17.60% 75.24%-1.31 -4.0 13
2011-02-26 Rudar L 0-236.9 1256 1399 26.70% 28.42% 44.87%-0.24 -15.6 15
2011-02-26 @ Bar W 2-036.9 1399 1256 44.87% 28.42% 26.70%+0.24 +15.6 33
2011-02-26 Zeta W 2-041.9 1202 1354 25.61% 28.27% 46.12%-0.27 +23.6 19
2011-02-26 @ Petrovac L 0-241.9 1354 1202 46.12% 28.27% 25.61%+0.27 -23.6 27
2011-02-27 Buducnost Podgorica L 1-243.2 1212 1465 16.41% 25.63% 57.96%-0.63 -5.1 15
2011-02-27 @ Sutjeska W 2-143.2 1465 1212 57.96% 25.63% 16.41%+0.63 +5.1 40
2011-02-27 Grbalj W 1-041.7 1233 1284 38.91% 28.87% 32.23%+0.08 +9.5 20
2011-02-27 @ Lovcen L 0-141.7 1284 1233 32.23% 28.87% 38.91%-0.08 -9.6 19
2011-03-05 Bar W 1-033.9 1470 1241 69.81% 20.60% 9.59%+1.07 +3.0 43
2011-03-05 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-133.9 1241 1470 9.59% 20.60% 69.81%-1.07 -3.0 15
2011-03-05 Decic Tuzi W 1-035.0 1414 1248 64.18% 23.28% 12.54%+0.85 +4.1 36
2011-03-05 @ Rudar L 0-135.0 1248 1414 12.54% 23.28% 64.18%-0.85 -4.1 26
2011-03-05 Lovcen W 2-032.8 1331 1242 56.35% 26.13% 17.52%+0.57 +10.9 30
2011-03-05 @ Zeta L 0-232.8 1242 1331 17.52% 26.13% 56.35%-0.57 -10.9 20
2011-03-05 Petrovac L 1-249.0 1162 1226 37.12% 28.92% 33.97%+0.04 -10.0 13
2011-03-05 @ Mornar W 2-149.0 1226 1162 33.97% 28.92% 37.12%-0.04 +10.0 22
2011-03-05 Sutjeska D 0-049.1 1274 1207 54.03% 26.77% 19.21%+0.50 -2.3 20
2011-03-05 @ Grbalj D 0-049.1 1207 1274 19.21% 26.77% 54.03%-0.50 +2.3 16
2011-03-05 Mladost Podgorica W 1-031.3 1469 1165 75.64% 17.36% 6.99%+1.33 +2.1 48
2011-03-05 @ Mogren L 0-131.3 1165 1469 6.99% 17.36% 75.64%-1.33 -2.1 25
2011-03-09 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-234.5 1244 1473 18.23% 26.41% 55.35%-0.54 -11.3 26
2011-03-09 @ Decic Tuzi W 2-034.5 1473 1244 55.35% 26.41% 18.23%+0.54 +11.3 46
2011-03-09 Grbalj W 1-040.9 1238 1272 41.21% 28.75% 30.04%+0.14 +9.1 18
2011-03-09 @ Bar L 0-140.9 1272 1238 30.04% 28.75% 41.21%-0.14 -9.1 20
2011-03-09 Mogren D 0-050.9 1236 1471 17.80% 26.25% 55.95%-0.56 +2.5 23
2011-03-09 @ Petrovac D 0-050.9 1471 1236 55.95% 26.25% 17.80%+0.56 -2.5 49
2011-03-09 Mornar D 2-260.2 1231 1152 55.32% 26.42% 18.26%+0.54 -1.6 21
2011-03-09 @ Lovcen D 2-260.2 1152 1231 18.26% 26.42% 55.32%-0.54 +1.7 14
2011-03-09 Rudar W 2-044.9 1163 1418 16.24% 25.55% 58.21%-0.64 +28.6 28
2011-03-09 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-244.9 1418 1163 58.21% 25.55% 16.24%+0.64 -28.6 36
2011-03-09 Zeta D 1-154.3 1209 1342 27.84% 28.56% 43.60%-0.20 +0.9 17
2011-03-09 @ Sutjeska D 1-154.3 1342 1209 43.60% 28.56% 27.84%+0.20 -0.9 31
2011-03-12 Bar W 2-032.7 1341 1247 56.96% 25.95% 17.09%+0.59 +10.6 34
2011-03-12 @ Zeta L 0-232.7 1247 1341 17.09% 25.95% 56.96%-0.59 -10.6 18
2011-03-12 Decic Tuzi D 2-260.1 1263 1233 49.62% 27.73% 22.65%+0.37 -1.2 21
2011-03-12 @ Grbalj D 2-260.1 1233 1263 22.65% 27.73% 49.62%-0.37 +1.2 27
2011-03-12 Lovcen D 0-052.6 1468 1230 70.53% 20.22% 9.24%+1.10 -4.2 50
2011-03-12 @ Mogren D 0-052.6 1230 1468 9.24% 20.22% 70.53%-1.10 +4.2 22
2011-03-12 Rudar L 0-153.3 1484 1390 57.00% 25.93% 17.06%+0.60 -14.9 46
2011-03-12 @ Buducnost Podgorica W 1-053.3 1390 1484 17.06% 25.93% 57.00%-0.60 +14.9 39
2011-03-12 Sutjeska W 2-147.6 1154 1210 38.23% 28.89% 32.88%+0.07 +9.1 17
2011-03-12 @ Mornar L 1-247.6 1210 1154 32.88% 28.89% 38.23%-0.07 -9.1 17
2011-03-12 Mladost Podgorica D 0-048.8 1239 1191 51.66% 27.32% 21.02%+0.43 -2.0 24
2011-03-12 @ Petrovac D 0-048.8 1191 1239 21.02% 27.32% 51.66%-0.43 +2.0 29
2011-03-16 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-232.3 1193 1470 14.86% 24.82% 60.33%-0.71 -9.2 29
2011-03-16 @ Mladost Podgorica W 2-032.3 1470 1193 60.33% 24.82% 14.86%+0.71 +9.2 49
2011-03-16 Grbalj L 0-150.2 1405 1262 61.95% 24.20% 13.85%+0.77 -16.0 39
2011-03-16 @ Rudar W 1-050.2 1262 1405 13.85% 24.20% 61.95%-0.77 +16.0 24
2011-03-16 Mogren L 1-435.5 1201 1464 15.72% 25.29% 58.99%-0.66 -12.0 17
2011-03-16 @ Sutjeska W 4-135.5 1464 1201 58.99% 25.29% 15.72%+0.66 +12.0 53
2011-03-16 Mornar W 1-036.6 1236 1163 54.62% 26.61% 18.77%+0.52 +6.1 21
2011-03-16 @ Bar L 0-136.6 1163 1236 18.77% 26.61% 54.62%-0.52 -6.1 17
2011-03-16 Petrovac D 0-048.6 1234 1237 45.49% 28.35% 26.16%+0.25 -1.2 23
2011-03-16 @ Lovcen D 0-048.6 1237 1234 26.16% 28.35% 45.49%-0.25 +1.2 25
2011-03-16 Zeta D 0-049.0 1234 1352 29.72% 28.73% 41.55%-0.15 +0.7 28
2011-03-16 @ Decic Tuzi D 0-049.0 1352 1234 41.55% 28.73% 29.72%+0.15 -0.7 35
2011-03-19 Buducnost Podgorica L 1-244.3 1242 1479 17.65% 26.18% 56.17%-0.57 -5.5 21
2011-03-19 @ Bar W 2-144.3 1479 1242 56.17% 26.18% 17.65%+0.57 +5.5 52
2011-03-19 Mogren W 3-152.0 1189 1476 14.18% 24.41% 61.41%-0.75 +25.9 20
2011-03-19 @ Sutjeska L 1-352.0 1476 1189 61.41% 24.41% 14.18%+0.75 -25.9 53
2011-03-19 Mornar L 0-147.5 1235 1157 55.15% 26.47% 18.38%+0.54 -14.5 28
2011-03-19 @ Decic Tuzi W 1-047.5 1157 1235 18.38% 26.47% 55.15%-0.54 +14.5 20
2011-03-19 Rudar D 2-260.6 1233 1389 25.18% 28.21% 46.61%-0.28 +0.9 24
2011-03-19 @ Lovcen D 2-260.6 1389 1233 46.61% 28.21% 25.18%+0.28 -0.9 40
2011-03-19 Mladost Podgorica D 0-048.9 1238 1184 52.42% 27.15% 20.43%+0.45 -2.1 26
2011-03-19 @ Petrovac D 0-048.9 1184 1238 20.43% 27.15% 52.42%-0.45 +2.1 30
2011-03-19 Zeta D 1-154.7 1278 1351 35.79% 28.93% 35.28%+0.01 -0.0 25
2011-03-19 @ Grbalj D 1-154.7 1351 1278 35.28% 28.93% 35.79%-0.01 +0.0 36
2011-04-02 Bar L 1-257.6 1450 1237 68.42% 21.31% 10.27%+1.01 -16.2 53
2011-04-02 @ Mogren W 2-157.6 1237 1450 10.27% 21.31% 68.42%-1.01 +16.2 24
2011-04-02 Decic Tuzi W 1-040.6 1186 1220 41.29% 28.74% 29.97%+0.14 +9.0 33
2011-04-02 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-140.6 1220 1186 29.97% 28.74% 41.29%-0.14 -9.0 28
2011-04-02 Grbalj W 4-349.4 1388 1278 58.63% 25.41% 15.95%+0.65 +4.6 43
2011-04-02 @ Rudar L 3-449.4 1278 1388 15.95% 25.41% 58.63%-0.65 -4.6 25
2011-04-02 Lovcen W 1-033.5 1484 1234 71.54% 19.69% 8.78%+1.14 +2.7 55
2011-04-02 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-133.5 1234 1484 8.78% 19.69% 71.54%-1.14 -2.7 24
2011-04-02 Sutjeska W 3-142.9 1171 1215 40.01% 28.82% 31.17%+0.11 +15.2 23
2011-04-02 @ Mornar L 1-342.9 1215 1171 31.17% 28.82% 40.01%-0.11 -15.2 20
2011-04-03 Petrovac L 0-149.0 1351 1236 59.16% 25.23% 15.61%+0.67 -15.4 36
2011-04-03 @ Zeta W 1-049.0 1236 1351 15.61% 25.23% 59.16%-0.67 +15.4 29
2011-04-09 Buducnost Podgorica W 1-049.8 1273 1487 19.51% 26.87% 53.63%-0.49 +14.2 28
2011-04-09 @ Grbalj L 0-149.8 1487 1273 53.63% 26.87% 19.51%+0.49 -14.2 55
2011-04-09 Mogren L 0-138.6 1231 1434 20.49% 27.17% 52.34%-0.45 -6.6 24
2011-04-09 @ Lovcen W 1-038.6 1434 1231 52.34% 27.17% 20.49%+0.45 +6.6 56
2011-04-09 Mornar L 0-145.5 1195 1187 46.92% 28.16% 24.92%+0.29 -12.7 33
2011-04-09 @ Mladost Podgorica W 1-045.5 1187 1195 24.92% 28.16% 46.92%-0.29 +12.7 26
2011-04-09 Rudar L 0-140.7 1251 1392 26.83% 28.44% 44.73%-0.23 -8.3 29
2011-04-09 @ Petrovac W 1-040.7 1392 1251 44.73% 28.44% 26.83%+0.23 +8.3 46
2011-04-09 Sutjeska L 0-147.0 1253 1199 52.40% 27.16% 20.44%+0.45 -13.9 24
2011-04-09 @ Bar W 1-047.0 1199 1253 20.44% 27.16% 52.40%-0.45 +13.9 23
2011-04-09 Zeta W 3-039.1 1211 1335 28.87% 28.66% 42.47%-0.17 +32.1 31
2011-04-09 @ Decic Tuzi L 0-339.1 1335 1211 42.47% 28.66% 28.87%+0.17 -32.1 36
2011-04-16 Bar D 1-153.8 1199 1239 40.49% 28.79% 30.72%+0.12 -0.5 27
2011-04-16 @ Mornar D 1-153.8 1239 1199 30.72% 28.79% 40.49%-0.12 +0.5 25
2011-04-16 Decic Tuzi W 2-031.2 1401 1243 63.37% 23.63% 13.00%+0.82 +8.0 49
2011-04-16 @ Rudar L 0-231.2 1243 1401 13.00% 23.63% 63.37%-0.82 -8.0 31
2011-04-16 Lovcen L 0-241.1 1213 1224 44.36% 28.48% 27.16%+0.22 -22.8 23
2011-04-16 @ Sutjeska W 2-041.1 1224 1213 27.16% 28.48% 44.36%-0.22 +22.8 27
2011-04-16 Petrovac D 1-158.1 1473 1243 69.86% 20.58% 9.57%+1.07 -3.7 56
2011-04-16 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 1-158.1 1243 1473 9.57% 20.58% 69.86%-1.07 +3.7 30
2011-04-16 Mladost Podgorica W 1-035.3 1303 1183 59.74% 25.03% 15.23%+0.69 +5.0 39
2011-04-16 @ Zeta L 0-135.3 1183 1303 15.23% 25.03% 59.74%-0.69 -5.0 33
2011-04-17 Grbalj W 2-032.3 1440 1287 62.93% 23.81% 13.26%+0.80 +8.2 59
2011-04-17 @ Mogren L 0-232.3 1287 1440 13.26% 23.81% 62.93%-0.80 -8.2 28
2011-04-23 Bar W 1-039.2 1247 1240 46.80% 28.18% 25.02%+0.29 +7.9 30
2011-04-23 @ Lovcen L 0-139.2 1240 1247 25.02% 28.18% 46.80%-0.29 -7.9 25
2011-04-23 Buducnost Podgorica D 0-050.8 1235 1469 17.85% 26.26% 55.88%-0.56 +2.5 32
2011-04-23 @ Decic Tuzi D 0-050.8 1469 1235 55.88% 26.26% 17.85%+0.56 -2.5 57
2011-04-23 Mogren D 1-155.9 1246 1449 20.54% 27.19% 52.27%-0.45 +1.8 31
2011-04-23 @ Petrovac D 1-155.9 1449 1246 52.27% 27.19% 20.54%+0.45 -1.9 60
2011-04-23 Mornar W 3-030.0 1308 1199 58.59% 25.43% 15.99%+0.65 +14.4 42
2011-04-23 @ Zeta L 0-330.0 1199 1308 15.99% 25.43% 58.59%-0.65 -14.4 27
2011-04-23 Rudar L 1-338.9 1178 1409 18.07% 26.35% 55.58%-0.55 -9.7 33
2011-04-23 @ Mladost Podgorica W 3-138.9 1409 1178 55.58% 26.35% 18.07%+0.55 +9.7 52
2011-04-23 Sutjeska W 5-031.4 1279 1190 56.36% 26.13% 17.52%+0.57 +25.4 31
2011-04-23 @ Grbalj L 0-531.4 1190 1279 17.52% 26.13% 56.36%-0.57 -25.4 23
2011-04-30 Decic Tuzi W 4-133.0 1447 1238 68.06% 21.49% 10.45%+1.00 +7.7 63
2011-04-30 @ Mogren L 1-433.0 1238 1447 10.45% 21.49% 68.06%-1.00 -7.7 32
2011-04-30 Grbalj D 0-048.7 1232 1304 35.83% 28.93% 35.24%+0.01 -0.0 26
2011-04-30 @ Bar D 0-048.7 1304 1232 35.24% 28.93% 35.83%-0.01 +0.0 32
2011-04-30 Lovcen L 0-142.6 1184 1255 36.12% 28.93% 34.95%+0.01 -10.4 27
2011-04-30 @ Mornar W 1-042.6 1255 1184 34.95% 28.93% 36.12%-0.01 +10.4 33
2011-04-30 Petrovac W 2-038.9 1165 1248 34.33% 28.92% 36.75%-0.03 +19.8 26
2011-04-30 @ Sutjeska L 0-238.9 1248 1165 36.75% 28.92% 34.33%+0.03 -19.8 31
2011-04-30 Mladost Podgorica W 2-027.6 1467 1168 75.27% 17.58% 7.15%+1.31 +4.0 60
2011-04-30 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-227.6 1168 1467 7.15% 17.58% 75.27%-1.31 -4.0 33
2011-04-30 Zeta D 2-262.7 1418 1323 57.10% 25.90% 16.99%+0.60 -1.8 53
2011-04-30 @ Rudar D 2-262.7 1323 1418 16.99% 25.90% 57.10%-0.60 +1.8 43
2011-05-04 Bar D 0-048.6 1228 1232 45.40% 28.36% 26.24%+0.25 -1.2 32
2011-05-04 @ Petrovac D 0-048.6 1232 1228 26.24% 28.36% 45.40%-0.25 +1.2 27
2011-05-04 Buducnost Podgorica D 2-263.0 1325 1471 26.30% 28.37% 45.33%-0.25 +0.8 44
2011-05-04 @ Zeta D 2-263.0 1471 1325 45.33% 28.37% 26.30%+0.25 -0.8 61
2011-05-04 Lovcen W 1-038.4 1304 1265 50.68% 27.52% 21.79%+0.40 +7.0 35
2011-05-04 @ Grbalj L 0-138.4 1265 1304 21.79% 27.52% 50.68%-0.40 -7.0 33
2011-05-04 Mogren D 1-156.0 1164 1454 13.96% 24.28% 61.76%-0.76 +2.9 34
2011-05-04 @ Mladost Podgorica D 1-156.0 1454 1164 61.76% 24.28% 13.96%+0.76 -2.9 64
2011-05-04 Mornar D 1-157.1 1417 1174 70.90% 20.03% 9.07%+1.12 -3.8 54
2011-05-04 @ Rudar D 1-157.1 1174 1417 9.07% 20.03% 70.90%-1.12 +3.8 28
2011-05-04 Sutjeska D 0-048.8 1230 1185 51.40% 27.38% 21.22%+0.42 -2.0 33
2011-05-04 @ Decic Tuzi D 0-048.8 1185 1230 21.22% 27.38% 51.40%-0.42 +2.0 27
2011-05-07 Decic Tuzi W 3-033.5 1233 1228 46.45% 28.23% 25.32%+0.28 +21.8 30
2011-05-07 @ Bar L 0-333.5 1228 1233 25.32% 28.23% 46.45%-0.28 -21.8 33
2011-05-07 Grbalj W 2-041.0 1178 1312 27.73% 28.54% 43.72%-0.21 +22.6 31
2011-05-07 @ Mornar L 0-241.0 1312 1178 43.72% 28.54% 27.73%+0.21 -22.6 35
2011-05-07 Petrovac W 3-249.0 1258 1227 49.73% 27.71% 22.56%+0.37 +6.5 36
2011-05-07 @ Lovcen L 2-349.0 1227 1258 22.56% 27.71% 49.73%-0.37 -6.5 32
2011-05-07 Rudar W 2-149.0 1470 1413 52.80% 27.07% 20.14%+0.46 +6.2 64
2011-05-07 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 1-249.0 1413 1470 20.14% 27.07% 52.80%-0.46 -6.2 54
2011-05-07 Mladost Podgorica W 2-034.6 1187 1167 48.36% 27.94% 23.69%+0.33 +14.2 30
2011-05-07 @ Sutjeska L 0-234.6 1167 1187 23.69% 27.94% 48.36%-0.33 -14.2 34
2011-05-07 Zeta W 2-034.0 1451 1325 60.27% 24.84% 14.89%+0.71 +9.3 67
2011-05-07 @ Mogren L 0-234.0 1325 1451 14.89% 24.84% 60.27%-0.71 -9.2 44
2011-05-14 Bar W 3-145.4 1153 1255 31.75% 28.85% 39.40%-0.10 +18.1 37
2011-05-14 @ Mladost Podgorica L 1-345.4 1255 1153 39.40% 28.85% 31.75%+0.10 -18.1 30
2011-05-14 Grbalj L 1-249.1 1221 1289 36.50% 28.92% 34.57%+0.02 -9.9 32
2011-05-14 @ Petrovac W 2-149.1 1289 1221 34.57% 28.92% 36.50%-0.02 +9.9 38
2011-05-14 Lovcen W 2-038.0 1206 1265 37.83% 28.90% 33.27%+0.06 +18.4 36
2011-05-14 @ Decic Tuzi L 0-238.0 1265 1206 33.27% 28.90% 37.83%-0.06 -18.4 36
2011-05-14 Mogren L 0-148.4 1407 1461 38.49% 28.88% 32.63%+0.07 -10.9 54
2011-05-14 @ Rudar W 1-048.4 1461 1407 32.63% 28.88% 38.49%-0.07 +10.9 70
2011-05-14 Mornar W 3-243.1 1476 1200 73.52% 18.59% 7.89%+1.23 +2.2 67
2011-05-14 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 2-343.1 1200 1476 7.89% 18.59% 73.52%-1.23 -2.1 31
2011-05-14 Sutjeska D 0-049.7 1316 1201 59.16% 25.23% 15.60%+0.67 -3.0 45
2011-05-14 @ Zeta D 0-049.7 1201 1316 15.60% 25.23% 59.16%-0.67 +3.0 31
2011-05-21 Buducnost Podgorica L 1-259.1 1472 1478 44.97% 28.41% 26.62%+0.24 -11.5 70
2011-05-21 @ Mogren W 2-159.1 1478 1472 26.62% 28.41% 44.97%-0.24 +11.6 70
2011-05-21 Decic Tuzi L 0-243.9 1299 1225 54.76% 26.58% 18.67%+0.52 -27.2 38
2011-05-21 @ Grbalj W 2-043.9 1225 1299 18.67% 26.58% 54.76%-0.52 +27.2 39
2011-05-21 Petrovac W 1-039.8 1198 1211 44.14% 28.50% 27.35%+0.22 +8.4 34
2011-05-21 @ Mornar L 0-139.8 1211 1198 27.35% 28.50% 44.14%-0.22 -8.4 32
2011-05-21 Rudar W 2-153.4 1204 1396 21.49% 27.45% 51.06%-0.41 +12.8 34
2011-05-21 @ Sutjeska L 1-253.4 1396 1204 51.06% 27.45% 21.49%+0.41 -12.8 54
2011-05-21 Mladost Podgorica D 2-260.3 1246 1171 54.95% 26.53% 18.53%+0.53 -1.6 37
2011-05-21 @ Lovcen D 2-260.3 1171 1246 18.53% 26.53% 54.95%-0.53 +1.6 38
2011-05-21 Zeta D 3-363.1 1237 1313 35.27% 28.93% 35.80%-0.01 +0.0 31
2011-05-21 @ Bar D 3-363.1 1313 1237 35.80% 28.93% 35.27%+0.01 -0.0 46
2011-05-28 Bar D 2-261.8 1383 1237 62.29% 24.07% 13.64%+0.78 -2.2 55
2011-05-28 @ Rudar D 2-261.8 1237 1383 13.64% 24.07% 62.29%-0.78 +2.2 32
2011-05-28 Grbalj W 3-145.4 1172 1272 32.11% 28.86% 39.03%-0.09 +17.9 41
2011-05-28 @ Mladost Podgorica L 1-345.4 1272 1172 39.03% 28.86% 32.11%+0.09 -17.9 38
2011-05-28 Lovcen W 2-143.4 1313 1245 54.10% 26.75% 19.15%+0.50 +5.9 49
2011-05-28 @ Zeta L 1-243.4 1245 1313 19.15% 26.75% 54.10%-0.50 -5.9 37
2011-05-28 Mornar W 2-028.9 1460 1207 71.77% 19.56% 8.67%+1.15 +5.1 73
2011-05-28 @ Mogren L 0-228.9 1207 1460 8.67% 19.56% 71.77%-1.15 -5.1 34
2011-05-28 Petrovac L 0-243.0 1252 1203 51.90% 27.27% 20.83%+0.44 -26.0 39
2011-05-28 @ Decic Tuzi W 2-043.0 1203 1252 20.83% 27.27% 51.90%-0.44 +26.0 35
2011-05-28 Sutjeska W 3-027.1 1490 1217 73.32% 18.70% 7.98%+1.22 +6.7 73
2011-05-28 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-327.1 1217 1490 7.98% 18.70% 73.32%-1.22 -6.7 34

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2010-09-11 10.17% Mladost Podgorica 1074 2 @ Bar 1290 1
2 2011-04-02 10.27% Bar 1237 2 @ Mogren 1450 1
3 2010-11-06 10.31% Mladost Podgorica 1101 1 @ Grbalj 1313 0
4 2011-03-16 13.85% Grbalj 1262 1 @ Rudar 1405 0
5 2011-03-19 14.18% @ Sutjeska 1189 3 Mogren 1476 1
6 2010-08-28 15.52% @ Mladost Podgorica 1045 2 Zeta 1311 0
7 2011-04-03 15.61% Petrovac 1236 1 @ Zeta 1351 0
8 2010-12-04 15.95% Petrovac 1188 2 @ Grbalj 1298 1
9 2011-03-09 16.24% @ Mladost Podgorica 1163 2 Rudar 1418 0
10 2011-03-12 17.06% Rudar 1390 1 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1484 0
11 2011-03-19 18.38% Mornar 1157 1 @ Decic Tuzi 1235 0
12 2011-05-21 18.67% Decic Tuzi 1225 2 @ Grbalj 1299 0
13 2010-08-25 18.89% Lovcen 1259 5 @ Bar 1331 2
14 2011-04-09 19.51% @ Grbalj 1273 1 Buducnost Podgorica 1487 0
15 2011-04-09 20.44% Sutjeska 1199 1 @ Bar 1253 0
16 2011-05-28 20.83% Petrovac 1203 2 @ Decic Tuzi 1252 0
17 2010-11-06 21.23% Lovcen 1233 2 @ Sutjeska 1278 1
18 2011-05-21 21.49% @ Sutjeska 1204 2 Rudar 1396 1
19 2010-09-29 23.13% @ Decic Tuzi 1252 1 Rudar 1427 0
20 2010-11-27 23.17% @ Lovcen 1226 1 Rudar 1400 0
21 2010-11-20 24.32% Mogren 1447 2 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1461 1
22 2011-04-09 24.92% Mornar 1187 1 @ Mladost Podgorica 1195 0
23 2010-11-13 25.23% Bar 1240 1 @ Lovcen 1246 0
24 2011-02-26 25.61% @ Petrovac 1202 2 Zeta 1354 0
25 2010-11-13 26.20% @ Mladost Podgorica 1118 5 Sutjeska 1265 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2010-11-13 36.83 @ Mladost Podgorica 5 1118 26.20% Sutjeska 1 1265 45.45% 28.36%
2 2011-04-09 32.07 @ Decic Tuzi 3 1211 28.87% Zeta 0 1335 42.47% 28.66%
3 2010-09-25 30.97 Mogren 5 1372 50.64% @ Mornar 0 1184 21.83% 27.53%
4 2010-08-21 29.44 Bar 3 1301 33.19% @ Petrovac 0 1243 37.91% 28.90%
5 2010-08-28 29.03 @ Mladost Podgorica 2 1045 15.52% Zeta 0 1311 59.29% 25.19%
6 2010-08-25 28.68 Lovcen 5 1259 18.89% @ Bar 2 1331 54.45% 26.66%
7 2011-03-09 28.59 @ Mladost Podgorica 2 1163 16.24% Rudar 0 1418 58.21% 25.55%
8 2011-05-21 27.17 Decic Tuzi 2 1225 18.67% @ Grbalj 0 1299 54.76% 26.58%
9 2010-08-25 26.21 @ Rudar 4 1396 49.26% Mogren 0 1369 22.95% 27.79%
10 2011-05-28 25.97 Petrovac 2 1203 20.83% @ Decic Tuzi 0 1252 51.90% 27.27%
11 2011-03-19 25.87 @ Sutjeska 3 1189 14.18% Mogren 1 1476 61.41% 24.41%
12 2011-04-23 25.39 @ Grbalj 5 1279 56.36% Sutjeska 0 1190 17.52% 26.13%
13 2010-08-21 25.06 @ Mogren 5 1344 56.70% Decic Tuzi 0 1252 17.28% 26.03%
14 2011-02-26 23.57 @ Petrovac 2 1202 25.61% Zeta 0 1354 46.12% 28.27%
15 2010-10-16 23.00 Buducnost Podgorica 2 1424 26.84% @ Rudar 0 1416 44.72% 28.44%
16 2011-04-16 22.85 Lovcen 2 1224 27.16% @ Sutjeska 0 1213 44.36% 28.48%
17 2010-09-11 22.70 @ Zeta 4 1282 53.70% Mornar 0 1217 19.45% 26.85%
18 2011-05-07 22.59 @ Mornar 2 1178 27.73% Grbalj 0 1312 43.72% 28.54%
19 2010-09-29 21.98 Zeta 2 1312 29.12% @ Lovcen 0 1285 42.20% 28.68%
20 2011-05-07 21.75 @ Bar 3 1233 46.45% Decic Tuzi 0 1228 25.32% 28.23%
21 2010-10-16 20.30 @ Decic Tuzi 2 1267 33.12% Grbalj 0 1359 37.98% 28.90%
22 2011-04-30 19.82 @ Sutjeska 2 1165 34.33% Petrovac 0 1248 36.75% 28.92%
23 2010-08-29 19.72 @ Mogren 2 1343 34.56% Buducnost Podgorica 0 1424 36.52% 28.92%
24 2010-11-13 19.69 @ Petrovac 2 1189 34.66% Decic Tuzi 0 1270 36.42% 28.93%
25 2010-08-21 19.63 Buducnost Podgorica 2 1399 34.81% @ Zeta 0 1329 36.26% 28.93%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2010-10-23 67.1 @ Buducnost Podgorica 3 1447 78.87% Mladost Podgorica 3 1097 5.72% 15.41%
2 2011-05-21 63.1 @ Bar 3 1237 35.27% Zeta 3 1313 35.80% 28.93%
3 2011-05-04 63.0 @ Zeta 2 1325 26.30% Buducnost Podgorica 2 1471 45.33% 28.37%
4 2010-10-02 62.7 @ Buducnost Podgorica 2 1426 63.73% Decic Tuzi 2 1265 12.79% 23.47%
5 2011-04-30 62.7 @ Rudar 2 1418 57.10% Zeta 2 1323 16.99% 25.90%
6 2011-05-28 61.8 @ Rudar 2 1383 62.29% Bar 2 1237 13.64% 24.07%
7 2010-09-29 61.3 @ Mladost Podgorica 2 1097 13.09% Mogren 2 1403 63.23% 23.69%
8 2011-03-19 60.6 @ Lovcen 2 1233 25.18% Rudar 2 1389 46.61% 28.21%
9 2011-05-21 60.3 @ Lovcen 2 1246 54.95% Mladost Podgorica 2 1171 18.53% 26.53%
10 2011-03-09 60.2 @ Lovcen 2 1231 55.32% Mornar 2 1152 18.26% 26.42%
11 2011-03-12 60.1 @ Grbalj 2 1263 49.62% Decic Tuzi 2 1233 22.65% 27.73%
12 2011-05-21 59.1 Buducnost Podgorica 2 1478 26.62% @ Mogren 1 1472 44.97% 28.41%
13 2010-11-20 58.3 Mogren 2 1447 24.32% @ Buducnost Podgorica 1 1461 47.61% 28.06%
14 2011-04-16 58.1 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1 1473 69.86% Petrovac 1 1243 9.57% 20.58%
15 2011-04-02 57.6 Bar 2 1237 10.27% @ Mogren 1 1450 68.42% 21.31%
16 2010-09-11 57.2 @ Rudar 1 1434 61.58% Lovcen 1 1295 14.07% 24.35%
17 2011-05-04 57.1 @ Rudar 1 1417 70.90% Mornar 1 1174 9.07% 20.03%
18 2010-09-11 56.1 Mladost Podgorica 2 1074 10.17% @ Bar 1 1290 68.62% 21.21%
19 2011-05-04 56.0 @ Mladost Podgorica 1 1164 13.96% Mogren 1 1454 61.76% 24.28%
20 2011-04-23 55.9 @ Petrovac 1 1246 20.54% Mogren 1 1449 52.27% 27.19%
21 2010-08-25 55.2 @ Grbalj 1 1338 49.42% Zeta 1 1310 22.81% 27.76%
22 2010-08-14 54.9 @ Sutjeska 1 1318 55.04% Petrovac 1 1241 18.46% 26.50%
23 2011-03-19 54.7 @ Grbalj 1 1278 35.79% Zeta 1 1351 35.28% 28.93%
24 2010-12-04 54.6 Petrovac 2 1188 15.95% @ Grbalj 1 1298 58.65% 25.41%
25 2010-08-21 54.3 @ Lovcen 1 1260 38.23% Sutjeska 1 1316 32.88% 28.89%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2011-05-28 27.1 @ Buducnost Podgorica 3 1490 73.32% Sutjeska 0 1217 7.98% 18.70%
2 2011-02-26 27.5 @ Mogren 2 1464 75.24% Mornar 0 1166 7.16% 17.60%
3 2011-04-30 27.6 @ Buducnost Podgorica 2 1467 75.27% Mladost Podgorica 0 1168 7.15% 17.58%
4 2010-11-20 28.4 @ Rudar 3 1390 65.56% Petrovac 0 1209 11.77% 22.67%
5 2010-12-04 28.9 @ Rudar 3 1387 64.00% Sutjeska 0 1223 12.64% 23.36%
6 2011-05-28 28.9 @ Mogren 2 1460 71.77% Mornar 0 1207 8.67% 19.56%
7 2011-04-23 30.0 @ Zeta 3 1308 58.59% Mornar 0 1199 15.99% 25.43%
8 2010-12-04 30.1 @ Buducnost Podgorica 2 1459 69.03% Lovcen 0 1239 9.97% 21.00%
9 2010-10-16 31.1 @ Sutjeska 2 1292 60.43% Mornar 0 1165 14.79% 24.78%
10 2011-04-16 31.2 @ Rudar 2 1401 63.37% Decic Tuzi 0 1243 13.00% 23.63%
11 2011-03-05 31.3 @ Mogren 1 1469 75.64% Mladost Podgorica 0 1165 6.99% 17.36%
12 2011-04-23 31.4 @ Grbalj 5 1279 56.36% Sutjeska 0 1190 17.52% 26.13%
13 2010-09-11 31.5 @ Zeta 4 1282 53.70% Mornar 0 1217 19.45% 26.85%
14 2010-08-21 31.8 @ Mogren 5 1344 56.70% Decic Tuzi 0 1252 17.28% 26.03%
15 2010-10-02 32.1 @ Grbalj 3 1342 53.77% Bar 0 1277 19.40% 26.83%
16 2011-03-16 32.3 Buducnost Podgorica 2 1470 60.33% @ Mladost Podgorica 0 1193 14.86% 24.82%
17 2011-04-17 32.3 @ Mogren 2 1440 62.93% Grbalj 0 1287 13.26% 23.81%
18 2011-03-12 32.7 @ Zeta 2 1341 56.96% Bar 0 1247 17.09% 25.95%
19 2011-03-05 32.8 @ Zeta 2 1331 56.35% Lovcen 0 1242 17.52% 26.13%
20 2010-11-27 33.0 Buducnost Podgorica 2 1449 57.65% @ Petrovac 0 1198 16.62% 25.73%
21 2011-04-30 33.0 @ Mogren 4 1447 68.06% Decic Tuzi 1 1238 10.45% 21.49%
22 2010-09-25 33.4 Mogren 5 1372 50.64% @ Mornar 0 1184 21.83% 27.53%
23 2011-04-02 33.5 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1 1484 71.54% Lovcen 0 1234 8.78% 19.69%
24 2011-05-07 33.5 @ Bar 3 1233 46.45% Decic Tuzi 0 1228 25.32% 28.23%
25 2010-08-28 33.6 Rudar 2 1422 54.69% @ Petrovac 0 1199 18.72% 26.60%