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2011-12 Montenegrin First League Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Buducnost Podgorica

80 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Rudar

10.81 points above expected

77 points · 66.19 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Grbalj

7.41 points below expected

34 points · 41.41 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Buducnost Podgorica 33 25 5 3 80 82 25 +57 72.51 +7.49
2 Rudar 33 23 8 2 77 60 20 +40 66.19 +10.81
3 Zeta 33 17 9 7 60 55 40 +15 56.79 +3.21
4 Mogren 33 15 9 9 54 54 37 +17 61.03 -7.03
5 Petrovac 33 13 9 11 48 36 39 -3 47.00 +1.00
6 Lovcen 33 10 10 13 40 32 42 -10 36.79 +3.21
7 Mladost Podgorica 33 10 7 16 37 32 45 -13 38.32 -1.32
8 Sutjeska 33 9 9 15 36 29 36 -7 37.84 -1.84
9 Grbalj 33 9 7 17 34 28 49 -21 41.41 -7.41
10 Berane 33 9 5 19 32 32 51 -19 31.72 +0.28
11 Decic Tuzi 33 9 4 20 31 31 51 -20 37.12 -6.12
12 Bokelj 33 5 6 22 21 21 57 -36 23.62 -2.62

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Rudar 77 66.19 +10.81
2 Buducnost Podgorica 80 72.51 +7.49
3 Zeta 60 56.79 +3.21
4 Lovcen 40 36.79 +3.21
5 Petrovac 48 47.00 +1.00

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Grbalj 34 41.41 -7.41
2 Mogren 54 61.03 -7.03
3 Decic Tuzi 31 37.12 -6.12
4 Bokelj 21 23.62 -2.62
5 Sutjeska 36 37.84 -1.84

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lovcen 6 May 5 – May 30 1 in 12,790
2 Berane 4 Dec 7 – Mar 17 1 in 60
3 Rudar 6 Aug 13 – Sep 17 1 in 50
4 Buducnost Podgorica 10 Mar 17 – May 9 1 in 37
5 Zeta 4 Sep 10 – Oct 1 1 in 33

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Decic Tuzi 5 Nov 26 – Mar 14 1 in 113
2 Zeta 3 Aug 17 – Aug 27 1 in 86
3 Mogren 4 May 5 – May 19 1 in 86
4 Grbalj 3 Mar 17 – Mar 31 1 in 42
5 Mladost Podgorica 4 Oct 22 – Nov 19 1 in 31

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lovcen 6 May 5 – May 30 1 in 130
2 Rudar 21 Oct 15 – May 12 1 in 71
3 Sutjeska 6 May 5 – May 30 1 in 54
4 Berane 5 Dec 7 – Mar 24 1 in 27
5 Zeta 8 Sep 10 – Nov 5 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lovcen 10 Aug 6 – Oct 15 1 in 58
2 Sutjeska 12 Nov 5 – Apr 11 1 in 31
3 Mladost Podgorica 9 Oct 22 – Mar 14 1 in 30
4 Zeta 4 Aug 13 – Aug 27 1 in 22
5 Grbalj 7 Mar 10 – Apr 11 1 in 19

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Buducnost Podgorica 1550 80 -4 8 10.5 -2.5
Rudar 1510 77 +27 10 9.6 +0.4
Zeta 1356 60 -36 7 8.4 -1.4
Mogren 1359 54 -48 3 8.2 -5.2
Petrovac 1236 48 -26 7 8.2 -1.2
Lovcen 1260 40 +89 15 4.9 +10.1
Mladost Podgorica 1170 37 +16 9 7.8 +1.2
Sutjeska 1245 36 +113 13 5.3 +7.7
Grbalj 1110 34 -83 4 6.9 -2.9
Decic Tuzi 1159 31 +39 9 5.7 +3.3
Berane 1087 29 -47 1 5.3 -4.3
Bokelj 986 21 -40 0 2.5 -2.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BER BOK BP DT GRB LOV MP MOG PET RUD SUT ZET
Berane —
2-0-1
4.98
0-0-3
1.19
2-0-1
3.46
0-1-2
3.39
1-1-1
3.75
1-0-2
3.20
0-0-3
1.72
0-1-2
2.59
0-1-2
1.38
2-1-0
3.81
1-0-2
1.88
Bokelj
1-0-2
3.32
—
0-1-2
1.01
2-0-1
2.66
1-1-1
2.32
0-2-1
2.85
0-0-3
2.55
0-0-3
1.30
0-1-2
2.08
0-0-3
1.13
0-0-3
2.71
1-1-1
1.45
Buducnost Podgorica
3-0-0
7.29
2-1-0
7.51
—
3-0-0
6.98
3-0-0
6.45
2-0-1
7.08
3-0-0
6.97
2-0-1
5.50
2-1-0
6.42
0-2-1
5.13
3-0-0
7.17
2-1-0
5.71
Decic Tuzi
1-0-2
4.84
1-0-2
5.67
0-0-3
1.45
—
1-0-2
3.66
1-1-1
3.98
2-0-1
4.07
0-1-2
2.08
1-0-2
3.22
0-1-2
1.79
2-0-1
4.26
0-1-2
2.75
Grbalj
2-1-0
4.91
1-1-1
6.02
0-0-3
1.93
2-0-1
4.63
—
0-2-1
4.30
0-0-3
4.21
2-1-0
2.33
0-1-2
3.97
0-0-3
2.16
2-0-1
4.67
0-1-2
2.62
Lovcen
1-1-1
4.54
1-2-0
5.47
1-0-2
1.37
1-1-1
4.32
1-2-0
4.00
—
1-1-1
3.65
1-0-2
1.99
0-0-3
3.01
1-1-1
2.03
2-1-0
4.06
0-1-2
2.24
Mladost Podgorica
2-0-1
5.11
3-0-0
5.78
0-0-3
1.46
1-0-2
4.22
3-0-0
4.08
1-1-1
4.65
—
0-2-1
1.93
0-1-2
3.21
0-0-3
1.94
0-2-1
3.92
0-1-2
2.79
Mogren
3-0-0
6.67
3-0-0
7.15
1-0-2
2.82
2-1-0
6.28
0-1-2
6.00
2-0-1
6.37
1-2-0
6.44
—
2-1-0
5.69
0-1-2
3.88
1-1-1
6.23
0-2-1
4.85
Petrovac
2-1-0
5.73
2-1-0
6.27
0-1-2
1.95
2-0-1
5.08
2-1-0
4.32
3-0-0
5.29
2-1-0
5.09
0-1-2
2.63
—
0-1-2
2.40
0-2-1
5.09
0-0-3
3.21
Rudar
2-1-0
7.06
3-0-0
7.37
1-2-0
3.17
2-1-0
6.60
3-0-0
6.20
1-1-1
6.34
3-0-0
6.43
2-1-0
4.43
2-1-0
5.94
—
2-1-0
6.25
2-0-1
5.28
Sutjeska
0-1-2
4.49
3-0-0
5.61
0-0-3
1.29
1-0-2
4.03
1-0-2
3.62
0-1-2
4.23
1-2-0
4.37
1-1-1
2.12
1-2-0
3.22
0-1-2
2.12
—
1-1-1
2.59
Zeta
2-0-1
6.50
1-1-1
6.98
0-1-2
2.62
2-1-0
5.58
2-1-0
5.70
2-1-0
6.10
2-1-0
5.53
1-2-0
3.45
3-0-0
5.09
1-0-2
3.03
1-1-1
5.74
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.91 +9.9
Allowed 0.84 -15.8
Differential 0.97 +6.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%10.10%7.58%3.28%1.01%1.01%32.07%
110.10%9.60%6.31%4.55%1.52%0.51%32.58%
27.58%6.31%3.54%1.77%0.76%0.25%20.20%
33.28%4.55%1.77%———9.60%
41.01%1.52%0.76%———3.28%
5+1.01%0.51%0.25%——0.51%2.27%
Total32.07%32.58%20.20%9.60%3.28%2.27%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.24 +0.00
SD 1.22 1.22 1.84
CV 0.99 0.99 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min -1 -1 -6

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%18.18%9.09%———30.30%
19.09%9.09%6.06%12.12%3.03%—39.39%
29.09%3.03%3.03%3.03%6.06%—24.24%
3——3.03%———3.03%
4———————
5+—————3.03%3.03%
Total21.21%30.30%21.21%15.15%9.09%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 1.52 -0.58
SD 0.90 1.33 1.37
CV 0.96 0.87 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%18.18%12.12%9.09%—3.03%45.45%
19.09%15.15%15.15%3.03%3.03%—45.45%
23.03%3.03%———3.03%9.09%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total15.15%36.36%27.27%12.12%3.03%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.64 1.73 -1.09
SD 0.65 1.40 1.55
CV 1.03 0.81 —
Max 2 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
112.12%9.09%3.03%———24.24%
29.09%6.06%6.06%———21.21%
33.03%21.21%3.03%———27.27%
46.06%3.03%————9.09%
5+9.09%3.03%————12.12%
Total39.39%45.45%15.15%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.48 0.76 +1.73
SD 1.50 0.71 1.82
CV 0.60 0.94 —
Max 6 2 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%18.18%9.09%3.03%—3.03%39.39%
19.09%3.03%6.06%12.12%—3.03%33.33%
23.03%3.03%3.03%3.03%——12.12%
33.03%9.09%————12.12%
4———————
5+—————3.03%3.03%
Total21.21%33.33%18.18%18.18%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 1.52 -0.61
SD 1.07 1.42 1.80
CV 1.18 0.94 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min -1 -1 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%12.12%6.06%6.06%6.06%—39.39%
19.09%12.12%6.06%12.12%3.03%—42.42%
26.06%6.06%————12.12%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%33.33%12.12%18.18%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 1.48 -0.64
SD 0.87 1.33 1.78
CV 1.03 0.89 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%6.06%12.12%6.06%3.03%—42.42%
16.06%12.12%3.03%3.03%——24.24%
29.09%9.09%3.03%6.06%——27.27%
3—6.06%————6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.30%33.33%18.18%15.15%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.27 -0.30
SD 0.98 1.15 1.59
CV 1.01 0.91 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%15.15%12.12%3.03%3.03%3.03%45.45%
19.09%6.06%6.06%6.06%——27.27%
29.09%3.03%6.06%———18.18%
33.03%—————3.03%
4—6.06%————6.06%
5+———————
Total30.30%30.30%24.24%9.09%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.36 -0.39
SD 1.16 1.37 2.01
CV 1.20 1.00 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%3.03%———15.15%
16.06%18.18%9.09%3.03%3.03%—39.39%
26.06%15.15%3.03%3.03%——27.27%
36.06%3.03%————9.09%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+3.03%3.03%————6.06%
Total27.27%45.45%18.18%6.06%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.12 +0.52
SD 1.29 0.99 1.73
CV 0.79 0.89 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%6.06%9.09%———27.27%
115.15%12.12%9.09%3.03%3.03%3.03%45.45%
26.06%9.09%3.03%———18.18%
33.03%—6.06%———9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total36.36%27.27%27.27%3.03%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.18 -0.09
SD 0.91 1.24 1.51
CV 0.84 1.05 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%—————12.12%
121.21%9.09%3.03%—3.03%—36.36%
212.12%9.09%3.03%———24.24%
312.12%6.06%————18.18%
4—6.06%————6.06%
5+——3.03%———3.03%
Total57.58%30.30%9.09%—3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 0.61 +1.21
SD 1.33 0.90 1.43
CV 0.73 1.48 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%15.15%12.12%9.09%——54.55%
13.03%6.06%6.06%———15.15%
215.15%3.03%3.03%3.03%——24.24%
3———————
43.03%—3.03%———6.06%
5+———————
Total39.39%24.24%24.24%12.12%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 1.09 -0.21
SD 1.17 1.07 1.69
CV 1.33 0.98 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%3.03%3.03%3.03%—3.03%27.27%
112.12%3.03%3.03%———18.18%
23.03%6.06%9.09%3.03%3.03%—24.24%
36.06%6.06%9.09%———21.21%
43.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
5+———————
Total39.39%21.21%27.27%6.06%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.21 +0.45
SD 1.34 1.29 1.82
CV 0.80 1.07 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Buducnost Podgorica 1550 80 72.51 +7.49 86.0% 52 60 67 73 77 83 88
Rudar 1510 77 66.19 +10.81 97.0% 53 55 61 67 70 76 80
Mogren 1359 54 61.03 -7.03 18.0% 44 47 56 62 65 71 78
Zeta 1356 60 56.79 +3.21 71.0% 36 45 53 57 61 68 71
Lovcen 1260 40 36.79 +3.21 74.0% 17 24 33 38 41 46 53
Sutjeska 1245 36 37.84 -1.84 42.0% 20 25 33 38 42 51 57
Petrovac 1236 48 47.00 +1.00 63.0% 33 37 41 46 51 60 66
Mladost Podgorica 1170 37 38.32 -1.32 43.0% 20 26 32 38 44 50 52
Decic Tuzi 1159 31 37.12 -6.12 18.0% 23 27 33 37 41 46 51
Grbalj 1110 34 41.41 -7.41 16.0% 21 30 36 41 46 52 57
Berane 1087 32 31.72 +0.28 48.0% 17 20 26 32 35 42 47
Bokelj 986 21 23.62 -2.62 36.0% 11 14 20 24 27 32 41

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+7.07%
No Edge
42.42%22.22%35.35%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 26.37 Elo pts.
199 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.24 goals
Neutral
-2+0.13+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.9
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
69%
Buducnost Podgorica, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.09/gm
Tight Race
00.230.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.43 * Some Luck: 5.43 to 8.14 * Lucky: 8.14 to 10.86 * Wild Swing: 10.86 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.97 * Close: 0.97 to 1.45 * Off: 1.45 to 1.94 * Way Off: 1.94 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.39 points
As Expected
06.7917
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Close
01.212.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
97.00%
Rudar
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
16.00%
Grbalj
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Lopsided
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 168.20
2.41
Wide Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
77%
Wide Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
96%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
59%
Some Drama
0%58%100%
Blowouts
Expected
15%
Occasional
0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.55
Highly Predictable
00.562
Matchup Imbalance
0.44
Notable Separation
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.65
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.84
Near-Lock
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Chalky
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
16%
As Expected
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.21
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.16
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.100
Well Within Noise
00.1150.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Buducnost Podgorica69.00%22.00%6.00%3.00%————————
Rudar22.00%45.00%23.00%8.00%2.00%———————
Zeta2.00%9.00%31.00%39.00%14.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%———
Mogren7.00%22.00%36.00%26.00%6.00%2.00%——1.00%———
Petrovac—2.00%3.00%14.00%35.00%21.00%9.00%9.00%7.00%———
Lovcen————6.00%13.00%15.00%20.00%18.00%15.00%8.00%5.00%
Mladost Podgorica———2.00%12.00%12.00%20.00%11.00%12.00%18.00%8.00%5.00%
Sutjeska———2.00%7.00%14.00%15.00%20.00%15.00%12.00%11.00%4.00%
Grbalj——1.00%6.00%13.00%21.00%16.00%13.00%13.00%8.00%7.00%2.00%
Berane—————4.00%8.00%10.00%13.00%19.00%30.00%16.00%
Decic Tuzi————5.00%12.00%16.00%14.00%17.00%23.00%11.00%2.00%
Bokelj———————1.00%3.00%5.00%25.00%66.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Buducnost Podgorica 100% — —
Mogren 100% — —
Petrovac 100% — —
Rudar 100% — —
Zeta 100% — —
Decic Tuzi 64.00% 34.00% 2.00%
Grbalj 83.00% 15.00% 2.00%
Sutjeska 73.00% 23.00% 4.00%
Lovcen 72.00% 23.00% 5.00%
Mladost Podgorica 69.00% 26.00% 5.00%
Berane 35.00% 49.00% 16.00%
Bokelj 4.00% 30.00% 66.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2011-08-06 Berane W 2-142.3 1238 1116 57.02% 22.55% 20.44%+0.74 +6.6 3
2011-08-06 @ Petrovac L 1-242.3 1116 1238 20.44% 22.55% 57.02%-0.74 -6.6 0
2011-08-06 Bokelj W 1-035.0 1225 1064 61.07% 21.89% 17.04%+0.94 +5.9 3
2011-08-06 @ Sutjeska L 0-135.0 1064 1225 17.04% 21.89% 61.07%-0.94 -5.9 0
2011-08-06 Decic Tuzi W 5-134.0 1392 1236 60.57% 21.98% 17.45%+0.92 +18.1 3
2011-08-06 @ Mogren L 1-534.0 1236 1392 17.45% 21.98% 60.57%-0.92 -18.1 0
2011-08-06 Lovcen D 1-155.5 1340 1244 54.11% 22.91% 22.98%+0.61 -2.0 1
2011-08-06 @ Rudar D 1-155.5 1244 1340 22.98% 22.91% 54.11%-0.61 +2.0 1
2011-08-06 Zeta L 0-434.2 1216 1298 30.57% 23.52% 45.91%-0.28 -35.3 0
2011-08-06 @ Mladost Podgorica W 4-034.2 1298 1216 45.91% 23.52% 30.57%+0.28 +35.3 3
2011-08-07 Buducnost Podgorica L 1-340.9 1254 1406 22.62% 22.86% 54.52%-0.63 -12.5 0
2011-08-07 @ Grbalj W 3-140.9 1406 1254 54.52% 22.86% 22.62%+0.63 +12.5 3
2011-08-13 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-131.8 1058 1418 8.64% 18.58% 72.78%-1.67 -3.0 0
2011-08-13 @ Bokelj W 1-031.8 1418 1058 72.78% 18.58% 8.64%+1.67 +3.0 6
2011-08-13 Grbalj D 0-050.4 1333 1241 53.74% 22.95% 23.32%+0.60 -2.2 4
2011-08-13 @ Zeta D 0-050.4 1241 1333 23.32% 22.95% 53.74%-0.60 +2.2 1
2011-08-13 Petrovac L 2-353.1 1218 1244 38.13% 23.69% 38.18%+0.00 -10.5 0
2011-08-13 @ Decic Tuzi W 3-253.1 1244 1218 38.18% 23.69% 38.13%+0.00 +10.5 6
2011-08-13 Rudar L 0-139.3 1231 1338 27.61% 23.35% 49.04%-0.40 -9.1 3
2011-08-13 @ Sutjeska W 1-039.3 1338 1231 49.04% 23.35% 27.61%+0.40 +9.1 4
2011-08-13 Mladost Podgorica L 0-140.0 1109 1180 32.04% 23.58% 44.37%-0.22 -10.2 0
2011-08-13 @ Berane W 1-040.0 1180 1109 44.37% 23.58% 32.04%+0.22 +10.2 3
2011-08-14 Mogren L 0-137.9 1246 1410 21.48% 22.71% 55.81%-0.69 -7.3 1
2011-08-14 @ Lovcen W 1-037.9 1410 1246 55.81% 22.71% 21.48%+0.69 +7.3 6
2011-08-17 Berane W 1-035.6 1243 1099 59.36% 22.19% 18.45%+0.86 +6.4 4
2011-08-17 @ Grbalj L 0-135.6 1099 1243 18.45% 22.19% 59.36%-0.86 -6.4 0
2011-08-17 Bokelj W 4-131.5 1347 1055 71.74% 18.97% 9.28%+1.60 +7.5 7
2011-08-17 @ Rudar L 1-431.5 1055 1347 9.28% 18.97% 71.74%-1.60 -7.5 0
2011-08-17 Decic Tuzi W 1-041.6 1191 1207 39.59% 23.68% 36.73%+0.05 +11.4 6
2011-08-17 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-141.6 1207 1191 36.73% 23.68% 39.59%-0.05 -11.4 0
2011-08-17 Lovcen W 3-251.5 1255 1239 44.06% 23.59% 32.34%+0.21 +9.2 9
2011-08-17 @ Petrovac L 2-351.5 1239 1255 32.34% 23.59% 44.06%-0.21 -9.2 1
2011-08-17 Sutjeska W 2-141.2 1417 1222 64.19% 21.23% 14.58%+1.11 +4.8 9
2011-08-17 @ Mogren L 1-241.2 1222 1417 14.58% 21.23% 64.19%-1.11 -4.8 3
2011-08-17 Zeta W 5-034.6 1421 1331 53.49% 22.97% 23.53%+0.58 +35.0 9
2011-08-17 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-534.6 1331 1421 23.53% 22.97% 53.49%-0.58 -35.0 4
2011-08-20 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-132.0 1093 1456 8.51% 18.50% 73.00%-1.69 -3.0 0
2011-08-20 @ Berane W 1-032.0 1456 1093 73.00% 18.50% 8.51%+1.69 +2.9 12
2011-08-20 Grbalj W 3-145.8 1196 1250 34.30% 23.65% 42.05%-0.14 +20.7 3
2011-08-20 @ Decic Tuzi L 1-345.8 1250 1196 42.05% 23.65% 34.30%+0.14 -20.7 4
2011-08-20 Petrovac W 2-039.6 1217 1264 35.32% 23.67% 41.01%-0.10 +23.4 6
2011-08-20 @ Sutjeska L 0-239.6 1264 1217 41.01% 23.67% 35.32%+0.10 -23.4 9
2011-08-20 Mladost Podgorica L 0-240.9 1230 1202 45.72% 23.53% 30.74%+0.27 -25.6 1
2011-08-20 @ Lovcen W 2-040.9 1202 1230 30.74% 23.53% 45.72%-0.27 +25.6 9
2011-08-20 Zeta W 2-155.0 1048 1296 14.56% 21.22% 64.22%-1.11 +17.3 3
2011-08-20 @ Bokelj L 1-255.0 1296 1048 64.22% 21.22% 14.56%+1.11 -17.3 4
2011-08-21 Mogren W 2-043.2 1354 1422 32.45% 23.60% 43.95%-0.21 +24.8 10
2011-08-21 @ Rudar L 0-243.2 1422 1354 43.95% 23.60% 32.45%+0.21 -24.7 9
2011-08-27 Berane L 2-359.9 1279 1090 63.64% 21.36% 15.01%+1.08 -16.3 4
2011-08-27 @ Zeta W 3-259.9 1090 1279 15.01% 21.36% 63.64%-1.08 +16.3 3
2011-08-27 Bokelj W 2-137.3 1397 1065 74.43% 17.91% 7.66%+1.80 +2.5 12
2011-08-27 @ Mogren L 1-237.3 1065 1397 7.66% 17.91% 74.43%-1.80 -2.5 3
2011-08-27 Decic Tuzi W 5-029.1 1459 1216 68.14% 20.18% 11.68%+1.35 +18.1 15
2011-08-27 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-529.1 1216 1459 11.68% 20.18% 68.14%-1.35 -18.1 3
2011-08-27 Lovcen D 0-049.7 1229 1204 45.28% 23.55% 31.17%+0.26 -1.0 5
2011-08-27 @ Grbalj D 0-049.7 1204 1229 31.17% 23.55% 45.28%-0.26 +1.0 2
2011-08-27 Rudar L 0-235.0 1241 1379 24.02% 23.03% 52.96%-0.56 -15.2 9
2011-08-27 @ Petrovac W 2-035.0 1379 1241 52.96% 23.03% 24.02%+0.56 +15.2 13
2011-08-27 Sutjeska D 2-260.8 1228 1241 40.04% 23.68% 36.28%+0.07 -0.2 10
2011-08-27 @ Mladost Podgorica D 2-260.8 1241 1228 36.28% 23.68% 40.04%-0.07 +0.2 7
2011-09-10 Berane W 2-039.1 1062 1106 35.72% 23.67% 40.61%-0.09 +23.2 6
2011-09-10 @ Bokelj L 0-239.1 1106 1062 40.61% 23.67% 35.72%+0.09 -23.2 3
2011-09-10 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-231.6 1205 1477 13.06% 20.72% 66.22%-1.23 -8.7 2
2011-09-10 @ Lovcen W 2-031.6 1477 1205 66.22% 20.72% 13.06%+1.23 +8.7 18
2011-09-10 Grbalj L 0-338.3 1241 1228 43.71% 23.61% 32.69%+0.20 -35.8 7
2011-09-10 @ Sutjeska W 3-038.3 1228 1241 32.69% 23.61% 43.71%-0.20 +35.8 8
2011-09-10 Petrovac D 1-156.2 1400 1225 62.33% 21.64% 16.03%+1.01 -3.2 13
2011-09-10 @ Mogren D 1-156.2 1225 1400 16.03% 21.64% 62.33%-1.01 +3.2 10
2011-09-10 Mladost Podgorica W 3-030.4 1394 1227 61.61% 21.78% 16.61%+0.97 +15.9 16
2011-09-10 @ Rudar L 0-330.4 1227 1394 16.61% 21.78% 61.61%-0.97 -15.9 10
2011-09-10 Zeta L 1-343.1 1198 1262 32.92% 23.61% 43.46%-0.19 -17.1 3
2011-09-10 @ Decic Tuzi W 3-143.1 1262 1198 43.46% 23.61% 32.92%+0.19 +17.1 7
2011-09-17 Bokelj W 2-032.2 1228 1086 59.24% 22.21% 18.55%+0.85 +12.1 13
2011-09-17 @ Petrovac L 0-232.2 1086 1228 18.55% 22.21% 59.24%-0.85 -12.1 6
2011-09-17 Decic Tuzi W 2-041.3 1083 1181 28.60% 23.42% 47.99%-0.36 +26.6 6
2011-09-17 @ Berane L 0-241.3 1181 1083 47.99% 23.42% 28.60%+0.36 -26.6 3
2011-09-17 Lovcen W 3-032.4 1280 1197 52.64% 23.06% 24.30%+0.55 +22.3 10
2011-09-17 @ Zeta L 0-332.4 1197 1280 24.30% 23.06% 52.64%-0.55 -22.3 2
2011-09-17 Mogren D 1-155.8 1211 1397 19.47% 22.38% 58.15%-0.80 +2.6 11
2011-09-17 @ Mladost Podgorica D 1-155.8 1397 1211 58.15% 22.38% 19.47%+0.80 -2.6 14
2011-09-17 Rudar L 0-138.7 1264 1410 23.19% 22.93% 53.88%-0.60 -7.8 8
2011-09-17 @ Grbalj W 1-038.7 1410 1264 53.88% 22.93% 23.19%+0.60 +7.8 19
2011-09-17 Sutjeska W 2-030.3 1486 1205 70.96% 19.26% 9.78%+1.54 +6.5 21
2011-09-17 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-230.3 1205 1486 9.78% 19.26% 70.96%-1.54 -6.4 7
2011-09-24 Berane D 1-154.7 1174 1109 50.46% 23.25% 26.30%+0.46 -1.6 3
2011-09-24 @ Lovcen D 1-154.7 1109 1174 26.30% 23.25% 50.46%-0.46 +1.6 7
2011-09-24 Decic Tuzi L 1-342.1 1073 1154 30.74% 23.53% 45.73%-0.27 -16.2 6
2011-09-24 @ Bokelj W 3-142.1 1154 1073 45.73% 23.53% 30.74%+0.27 +16.2 6
2011-09-24 Grbalj L 0-148.9 1394 1256 58.77% 22.29% 18.95%+0.83 -16.9 14
2011-09-24 @ Mogren W 1-048.9 1256 1394 18.95% 22.29% 58.77%-0.83 +16.9 11
2011-09-24 Mladost Podgorica D 0-049.8 1241 1214 45.54% 23.54% 30.92%+0.27 -1.0 14
2011-09-24 @ Petrovac D 0-049.8 1214 1241 30.92% 23.54% 45.54%-0.27 +1.0 12
2011-09-24 Zeta L 0-139.1 1199 1302 28.01% 23.38% 48.61%-0.39 -9.2 7
2011-09-24 @ Sutjeska W 1-039.1 1302 1199 48.61% 23.38% 28.01%+0.39 +9.2 13
2011-09-25 Buducnost Podgorica D 2-267.2 1418 1492 31.61% 23.57% 44.83%-0.24 +0.6 20
2011-09-25 @ Rudar D 2-267.2 1492 1418 44.83% 23.57% 31.61%+0.24 -0.6 22
2011-10-01 Bokelj W 1-035.1 1215 1057 60.72% 21.95% 17.33%+0.92 +6.0 15
2011-10-01 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-135.1 1057 1215 17.33% 21.95% 60.72%-0.92 -6.0 6
2011-10-01 Lovcen W 3-035.4 1171 1173 41.62% 23.66% 34.72%+0.12 +29.9 9
2011-10-01 @ Decic Tuzi L 0-335.4 1173 1171 34.72% 23.66% 41.62%-0.12 -29.9 3
2011-10-01 Petrovac L 0-339.3 1273 1240 46.42% 23.50% 30.08%+0.30 -37.6 11
2011-10-01 @ Grbalj W 3-039.3 1240 1273 30.08% 23.50% 46.42%-0.30 +37.6 17
2011-10-01 Rudar W 4-146.9 1311 1419 27.48% 23.34% 49.18%-0.41 +33.3 16
2011-10-01 @ Zeta L 1-446.9 1419 1311 49.18% 23.34% 27.48%+0.41 -33.3 20
2011-10-01 Sutjeska D 1-154.6 1111 1190 31.06% 23.55% 45.40%-0.26 +0.9 8
2011-10-01 @ Berane D 1-154.6 1190 1111 45.40% 23.55% 31.06%+0.26 -0.9 8
2011-10-02 Mogren L 1-258.3 1492 1377 56.24% 22.65% 21.11%+0.71 -15.3 22
2011-10-02 @ Buducnost Podgorica W 2-158.3 1377 1492 21.11% 22.65% 56.24%-0.71 +15.3 17
2011-10-15 Berane W 1-032.6 1385 1112 70.44% 19.44% 10.12%+1.50 +3.5 23
2011-10-15 @ Rudar L 0-132.6 1112 1385 10.12% 19.44% 70.44%-1.50 -3.5 8
2011-10-15 Buducnost Podgorica D 1-157.6 1277 1476 18.27% 22.15% 59.57%-0.87 +2.8 18
2011-10-15 @ Petrovac D 1-157.6 1476 1277 59.57% 22.15% 18.27%+0.87 -2.8 23
2011-10-15 Decic Tuzi L 1-248.6 1189 1201 40.24% 23.68% 36.08%+0.07 -11.5 8
2011-10-15 @ Sutjeska W 2-148.6 1201 1189 36.08% 23.68% 40.24%-0.07 +11.5 12
2011-10-15 Grbalj W 2-038.2 1221 1235 39.93% 23.68% 36.39%+0.06 +21.3 18
2011-10-15 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-238.2 1235 1221 36.39% 23.68% 39.93%-0.06 -21.3 11
2011-10-15 Lovcen D 1-154.6 1051 1143 29.41% 23.46% 47.13%-0.33 +1.1 7
2011-10-15 @ Bokelj D 1-154.6 1143 1051 47.13% 23.46% 29.41%+0.33 -1.1 4
2011-10-15 Zeta D 2-263.0 1393 1344 48.37% 23.39% 28.24%+0.37 -1.0 18
2011-10-15 @ Mogren D 2-263.0 1344 1393 28.24% 23.39% 48.37%-0.37 +1.0 17
2011-10-22 Bokelj W 2-141.0 1214 1052 61.08% 21.89% 17.04%+0.94 +5.6 14
2011-10-22 @ Grbalj L 1-241.0 1052 1214 17.04% 21.89% 61.08%-0.94 -5.6 7
2011-10-22 Petrovac W 1-039.2 1345 1280 50.52% 23.24% 26.24%+0.46 +8.7 20
2011-10-22 @ Zeta L 0-139.2 1280 1345 26.24% 23.24% 50.52%-0.46 -8.7 18
2011-10-22 Rudar L 1-243.0 1212 1389 20.24% 22.51% 57.25%-0.76 -6.5 12
2011-10-22 @ Decic Tuzi W 2-143.0 1389 1212 57.25% 22.51% 20.24%+0.76 +6.6 26
2011-10-22 Mladost Podgorica W 3-137.8 1474 1242 67.22% 20.45% 12.33%+1.29 +7.1 26
2011-10-22 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 1-337.8 1242 1474 12.33% 20.45% 67.22%-1.29 -7.1 18
2011-10-23 Mogren L 2-439.7 1108 1392 12.38% 20.47% 67.15%-1.29 -6.4 8
2011-10-23 @ Berane W 4-239.7 1392 1108 67.15% 20.47% 12.38%+1.29 +6.4 21
2011-10-23 Sutjeska W 2-038.9 1142 1177 36.89% 23.69% 39.43%-0.05 +22.7 7
2011-10-23 @ Lovcen L 0-238.9 1177 1142 39.43% 23.69% 36.89%+0.05 -22.7 8
2011-10-29 Grbalj W 3-136.8 1481 1219 69.55% 19.74% 10.71%+1.44 +6.1 29
2011-10-29 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 1-336.8 1219 1481 10.71% 19.74% 69.55%-1.44 -6.2 14
2011-10-29 Mogren D 1-155.8 1206 1398 18.85% 22.27% 58.89%-0.83 +2.7 13
2011-10-29 @ Decic Tuzi D 1-155.8 1398 1206 58.89% 22.27% 18.85%+0.83 -2.7 22
2011-10-29 Petrovac D 2-260.9 1102 1271 20.94% 22.63% 56.43%-0.72 +1.8 9
2011-10-29 @ Berane D 2-260.9 1271 1102 56.43% 22.63% 20.94%+0.72 -1.8 19
2011-10-29 Rudar L 1-337.7 1164 1395 15.79% 21.57% 62.64%-1.03 -9.0 7
2011-10-29 @ Lovcen W 3-137.7 1395 1164 62.64% 21.57% 15.79%+1.03 +9.0 29
2011-10-29 Sutjeska L 0-235.1 1047 1154 27.48% 23.34% 49.19%-0.41 -17.0 7
2011-10-29 @ Bokelj W 2-035.1 1154 1047 49.19% 23.34% 27.48%+0.41 +17.0 11
2011-10-29 Mladost Podgorica W 2-143.1 1354 1235 56.70% 22.59% 20.71%+0.73 +6.7 23
2011-10-29 @ Zeta L 1-243.1 1235 1354 20.71% 22.59% 56.70%-0.73 -6.7 18
2011-11-05 Berane L 0-243.9 1229 1104 57.36% 22.50% 20.14%+0.76 -31.2 18
2011-11-05 @ Mladost Podgorica W 2-043.9 1104 1229 20.14% 22.50% 57.36%-0.76 +31.2 12
2011-11-05 Bokelj D 1-157.7 1487 1030 81.26% 14.51% 4.23%+2.43 -5.3 30
2011-11-05 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 1-157.7 1030 1487 4.23% 14.51% 81.26%-2.43 +5.4 8
2011-11-05 Decic Tuzi W 1-038.6 1270 1208 50.02% 23.28% 26.70%+0.44 +8.8 22
2011-11-05 @ Petrovac L 0-138.6 1208 1270 26.70% 23.28% 50.02%-0.44 -8.8 13
2011-11-05 Lovcen W 2-030.1 1395 1155 67.92% 20.25% 11.84%+1.34 +7.9 25
2011-11-05 @ Mogren L 0-230.1 1155 1395 11.84% 20.25% 67.92%-1.34 -7.9 7
2011-11-05 Sutjeska D 0-051.2 1404 1171 67.37% 20.41% 12.22%+1.30 -4.3 30
2011-11-05 @ Rudar D 0-051.2 1171 1404 12.22% 20.41% 67.37%-1.30 +4.3 12
2011-11-05 Zeta L 0-137.8 1213 1361 23.10% 22.92% 53.98%-0.61 -7.8 14
2011-11-05 @ Grbalj W 1-037.8 1361 1213 53.98% 22.92% 23.10%+0.61 +7.8 26
2011-11-19 Grbalj L 1-342.6 1135 1206 32.09% 23.59% 44.32%-0.22 -16.7 12
2011-11-19 @ Berane W 3-142.6 1206 1135 44.32% 23.59% 32.09%+0.22 +16.7 17
2011-11-19 Mogren D 0-050.9 1176 1403 16.05% 21.64% 62.30%-1.01 +3.5 13
2011-11-19 @ Sutjeska D 0-050.9 1403 1176 62.30% 21.64% 16.05%+1.01 -3.5 26
2011-11-19 Petrovac L 0-234.5 1148 1278 24.85% 23.11% 52.03%-0.52 -15.7 7
2011-11-19 @ Lovcen W 2-034.5 1278 1148 52.03% 23.11% 24.85%+0.52 +15.7 25
2011-11-19 Rudar L 1-237.6 1035 1400 8.44% 18.45% 73.11%-1.70 -2.8 8
2011-11-19 @ Bokelj W 2-137.6 1400 1035 73.11% 18.45% 8.44%+1.70 +2.8 33
2011-11-19 Mladost Podgorica W 1-040.8 1199 1197 42.18% 23.65% 34.17%+0.14 +10.8 16
2011-11-19 @ Decic Tuzi L 0-140.8 1197 1199 34.17% 23.65% 42.18%-0.14 -10.8 18
2011-11-20 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-239.8 1369 1481 26.86% 23.29% 49.85%-0.43 -16.7 26
2011-11-20 @ Zeta W 2-039.8 1481 1369 49.85% 23.29% 26.86%+0.43 +16.7 33
2011-11-26 Berane W 3-133.7 1498 1118 77.25% 16.63% 6.12%+2.04 +3.4 36
2011-11-26 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 1-333.7 1118 1498 6.12% 16.63% 77.25%-2.04 -3.4 12
2011-11-26 Bokelj D 1-156.3 1352 1032 73.59% 18.26% 8.15%+1.74 -4.6 27
2011-11-26 @ Zeta D 1-156.3 1032 1352 8.15% 18.26% 73.59%-1.74 +4.6 9
2011-11-26 Decic Tuzi W 2-037.0 1222 1210 43.59% 23.61% 32.80%+0.19 +19.7 20
2011-11-26 @ Grbalj L 0-237.0 1210 1222 32.80% 23.61% 43.59%-0.19 -19.7 16
2011-11-26 Lovcen D 2-260.6 1187 1132 49.21% 23.34% 27.46%+0.41 -1.0 19
2011-11-26 @ Mladost Podgorica D 2-260.6 1132 1187 27.46% 23.34% 49.21%-0.41 +1.0 8
2011-11-26 Sutjeska D 0-050.1 1294 1179 56.27% 22.65% 21.09%+0.71 -2.6 26
2011-11-26 @ Petrovac D 0-050.1 1179 1294 21.09% 22.65% 56.27%-0.71 +2.6 14
2011-11-27 Rudar D 1-158.2 1400 1403 41.45% 23.66% 34.89%+0.12 -0.4 27
2011-11-27 @ Mogren D 1-158.2 1403 1400 34.89% 23.66% 41.45%-0.12 +0.4 34
2011-12-03 Buducnost Podgorica L 1-336.8 1190 1502 10.87% 19.81% 69.31%-1.43 -6.2 16
2011-12-03 @ Decic Tuzi W 3-136.8 1502 1190 69.31% 19.81% 10.87%+1.43 +6.2 39
2011-12-03 Grbalj D 0-049.7 1133 1242 27.31% 23.33% 49.36%-0.41 +1.6 9
2011-12-03 @ Lovcen D 0-049.7 1242 1133 49.36% 23.33% 27.31%+0.41 -1.6 21
2011-12-03 Mogren L 0-326.2 1037 1399 8.55% 18.53% 72.92%-1.69 -8.1 9
2011-12-03 @ Bokelj W 3-026.2 1399 1037 72.92% 18.53% 8.55%+1.69 +8.1 30
2011-12-03 Petrovac W 2-144.3 1403 1291 55.96% 22.69% 21.35%+0.69 +6.9 37
2011-12-03 @ Rudar L 1-244.3 1291 1403 21.35% 22.69% 55.96%-0.69 -6.9 26
2011-12-03 Mladost Podgorica D 0-049.6 1182 1186 41.39% 23.66% 34.94%+0.11 -0.4 15
2011-12-03 @ Sutjeska D 0-049.6 1186 1182 34.94% 23.66% 41.39%-0.11 +0.4 20
2011-12-03 Zeta L 2-345.8 1115 1347 15.69% 21.55% 62.76%-1.03 -4.9 12
2011-12-03 @ Berane W 3-245.8 1347 1115 62.76% 21.55% 15.69%+1.03 +4.9 30
2011-12-07 Bokelj W 1-037.6 1110 1029 52.44% 23.08% 24.49%+0.54 +8.2 15
2011-12-07 @ Berane L 0-137.6 1029 1110 24.49% 23.08% 52.44%-0.54 -8.2 9
2011-12-07 Decic Tuzi W 1-035.3 1352 1184 61.69% 21.77% 16.54%+0.97 +5.8 33
2011-12-07 @ Zeta L 0-135.3 1184 1352 16.54% 21.77% 61.69%-0.97 -5.8 16
2011-12-07 Lovcen W 4-025.6 1508 1134 76.87% 16.81% 6.32%+2.01 +7.6 42
2011-12-07 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-425.6 1134 1508 6.32% 16.81% 76.87%-2.01 -7.6 9
2011-12-07 Mogren L 1-245.7 1285 1407 25.73% 23.20% 51.07%-0.48 -8.1 26
2011-12-07 @ Petrovac W 2-145.7 1407 1285 51.07% 23.20% 25.73%+0.48 +8.1 33
2011-12-07 Rudar L 0-232.1 1186 1410 16.30% 21.71% 62.00%-0.99 -10.7 20
2011-12-07 @ Mladost Podgorica W 2-032.1 1410 1186 62.00% 21.71% 16.30%+0.99 +10.7 40
2011-12-07 Sutjeska W 2-035.2 1240 1181 49.72% 23.30% 26.98%+0.43 +16.8 24
2011-12-07 @ Grbalj L 0-235.2 1181 1240 26.98% 23.30% 49.72%-0.43 -16.8 15
2012-03-09 Buducnost Podgorica L 2-344.3 1165 1515 9.03% 18.82% 72.15%-1.63 -2.8 15
2012-03-09 @ Sutjeska W 3-244.3 1515 1165 72.15% 18.82% 9.03%+1.63 +2.8 45
2012-03-10 Berane FL47.3 1178 1118 49.90% 23.29% 26.81%+0.43 +0.0 16
2012-03-10 @ Decic Tuzi FW47.3 1118 1178 26.81% 23.29% 49.90%-0.43 +0.0 18
2012-03-10 Grbalj W 3-031.0 1421 1257 61.30% 21.84% 16.85%+0.95 +16.1 43
2012-03-10 @ Rudar L 0-331.0 1257 1421 16.85% 21.84% 61.30%-0.95 -16.1 24
2012-03-10 Petrovac D 0-050.3 1021 1276 14.07% 21.07% 64.86%-1.15 +3.9 10
2012-03-10 @ Bokelj D 0-050.3 1276 1021 64.86% 21.07% 14.07%+1.15 -3.9 27
2012-03-10 Mladost Podgorica D 1-156.4 1415 1175 67.93% 20.24% 11.83%+1.34 -3.9 34
2012-03-10 @ Mogren D 1-156.4 1175 1415 11.83% 20.24% 67.93%-1.34 +3.9 21
2012-03-10 Zeta D 0-050.5 1127 1358 15.79% 21.57% 62.64%-1.03 +3.6 10
2012-03-10 @ Lovcen D 0-050.5 1358 1127 62.64% 21.57% 15.79%+1.03 -3.6 34
2012-03-14 Bokelj L 0-148.0 1178 1025 60.34% 22.02% 17.64%+0.90 -17.3 16
2012-03-14 @ Decic Tuzi W 1-048.0 1025 1178 17.64% 22.02% 60.34%-0.90 +17.3 13
2012-03-14 Lovcen W 2-147.2 1118 1130 40.19% 23.68% 36.13%+0.07 +10.6 21
2012-03-14 @ Berane L 1-247.2 1130 1118 36.13% 23.68% 40.19%-0.07 -10.6 10
2012-03-14 Mogren D 1-156.1 1241 1412 20.83% 22.61% 56.56%-0.72 +2.4 25
2012-03-14 @ Grbalj D 1-156.1 1412 1241 56.56% 22.61% 20.83%+0.72 -2.4 35
2012-03-14 Petrovac L 0-139.4 1179 1273 29.20% 23.45% 47.34%-0.34 -9.5 21
2012-03-14 @ Mladost Podgorica W 1-039.4 1273 1179 47.34% 23.45% 29.20%+0.34 +9.5 30
2012-03-14 Rudar L 0-250.8 1518 1437 52.44% 23.08% 24.48%+0.54 -28.8 45
2012-03-14 @ Buducnost Podgorica W 2-050.8 1437 1518 24.48% 23.08% 52.44%-0.54 +28.8 46
2012-03-14 Sutjeska D 0-050.7 1354 1162 63.95% 21.29% 14.77%+1.10 -3.8 35
2012-03-14 @ Zeta D 0-050.7 1162 1354 14.77% 21.29% 63.95%-1.10 +3.8 16
2012-03-17 Berane L 0-144.5 1166 1129 46.90% 23.48% 29.62%+0.32 -13.9 16
2012-03-17 @ Sutjeska W 1-044.5 1129 1166 29.62% 23.48% 46.90%-0.32 +13.9 24
2012-03-17 Buducnost Podgorica L 1-251.9 1409 1489 30.82% 23.53% 45.64%-0.27 -9.4 35
2012-03-17 @ Mogren W 2-151.9 1489 1409 45.64% 23.53% 30.82%+0.27 +9.4 48
2012-03-17 Decic Tuzi D 0-049.5 1120 1161 36.05% 23.68% 40.27%-0.07 +0.3 11
2012-03-17 @ Lovcen D 0-049.5 1161 1120 40.27% 23.68% 36.05%+0.07 -0.3 17
2012-03-17 Grbalj W 2-145.6 1282 1243 47.13% 23.46% 29.41%+0.33 +9.0 33
2012-03-17 @ Petrovac L 1-245.6 1243 1282 29.41% 23.46% 47.13%-0.33 -9.0 25
2012-03-17 Mladost Podgorica L 0-332.3 1042 1170 25.17% 23.15% 51.69%-0.51 -23.0 13
2012-03-17 @ Bokelj W 3-032.3 1170 1042 51.69% 23.15% 25.17%+0.51 +23.0 24
2012-03-17 Zeta W 1-040.4 1466 1351 56.33% 22.64% 21.03%+0.71 +7.2 49
2012-03-17 @ Rudar L 0-140.4 1351 1466 21.03% 22.64% 56.33%-0.71 -7.2 35
2012-03-24 Bokelj W 2-142.8 1120 1019 54.77% 22.83% 22.40%+0.64 +7.2 14
2012-03-24 @ Lovcen L 1-242.8 1019 1120 22.40% 22.83% 54.77%-0.64 -7.2 13
2012-03-24 Petrovac W 5-134.9 1499 1291 65.29% 20.96% 13.75%+1.18 +14.4 51
2012-03-24 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 1-534.9 1291 1499 13.75% 20.96% 65.29%-1.18 -14.4 33
2012-03-24 Rudar D 0-051.8 1143 1473 9.93% 19.34% 70.73%-1.53 +4.8 25
2012-03-24 @ Berane D 0-051.8 1473 1143 70.73% 19.34% 9.93%+1.53 -4.8 50
2012-03-24 Sutjeska W 1-040.4 1161 1152 43.16% 23.62% 33.21%+0.18 +10.5 20
2012-03-24 @ Decic Tuzi L 0-140.4 1152 1161 33.21% 23.62% 43.16%-0.18 -10.5 16
2012-03-24 Mladost Podgorica L 1-250.8 1234 1193 47.52% 23.44% 29.03%+0.34 -13.2 25
2012-03-24 @ Grbalj W 2-150.8 1193 1234 29.03% 23.44% 47.52%-0.34 +13.2 27
2012-03-25 Mogren D 0-052.0 1343 1400 33.97% 23.64% 42.39%-0.15 +0.6 36
2012-03-25 @ Zeta D 0-052.0 1400 1343 42.39% 23.64% 33.97%+0.15 -0.6 36
2012-03-31 Berane W 2-029.8 1399 1147 68.84% 19.97% 11.20%+1.40 +7.4 39
2012-03-31 @ Mogren L 0-229.8 1147 1399 11.20% 19.97% 68.84%-1.40 -7.4 25
2012-03-31 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-134.7 1206 1513 11.07% 19.91% 69.03%-1.41 -3.9 27
2012-03-31 @ Mladost Podgorica W 1-034.7 1513 1206 69.03% 19.91% 11.07%+1.41 +3.9 54
2012-03-31 Decic Tuzi W 1-032.9 1468 1171 72.09% 18.85% 9.06%+1.62 +3.2 53
2012-03-31 @ Rudar L 0-132.9 1171 1468 9.06% 18.85% 72.09%-1.62 -3.2 20
2012-03-31 Grbalj W 1-048.1 1012 1221 17.43% 21.97% 60.60%-0.92 +17.4 16
2012-03-31 @ Bokelj L 0-148.1 1221 1012 60.60% 21.97% 17.43%+0.92 -17.4 25
2012-03-31 Lovcen D 0-049.5 1141 1127 43.84% 23.60% 32.56%+0.20 -0.8 17
2012-03-31 @ Sutjeska D 0-049.5 1127 1141 32.56% 23.60% 43.84%-0.20 +0.8 15
2012-03-31 Zeta L 1-247.2 1277 1344 32.52% 23.60% 43.88%-0.21 -9.8 33
2012-03-31 @ Petrovac W 2-147.2 1344 1277 43.88% 23.60% 32.52%+0.21 +9.8 39
2012-04-07 Buducnost Podgorica L 1-235.8 1029 1517 4.70% 15.11% 80.18%-2.32 -1.4 16
2012-04-07 @ Bokelj W 2-135.8 1517 1029 80.18% 15.11% 4.70%+2.32 +1.4 57
2012-04-07 Lovcen L 1-348.3 1202 1128 51.58% 23.15% 25.27%+0.50 -24.5 27
2012-04-07 @ Mladost Podgorica W 3-148.3 1128 1202 25.27% 23.15% 51.58%-0.50 +24.6 18
2012-04-07 Mogren L 1-336.7 1140 1407 13.38% 20.84% 65.78%-1.21 -7.7 25
2012-04-07 @ Berane W 3-136.7 1407 1140 65.78% 20.84% 13.38%+1.21 +7.7 42
2012-04-07 Petrovac D 1-154.8 1204 1267 33.08% 23.62% 43.30%-0.18 +0.6 26
2012-04-07 @ Grbalj D 1-154.8 1267 1204 43.30% 23.62% 33.08%+0.18 -0.6 34
2012-04-07 Rudar L 0-327.6 1140 1471 9.91% 19.33% 70.77%-1.53 -9.5 17
2012-04-07 @ Sutjeska W 3-027.6 1471 1140 70.77% 19.33% 9.91%+1.53 +9.5 56
2012-04-07 Zeta D 2-261.4 1168 1354 19.46% 22.38% 58.16%-0.80 +1.9 21
2012-04-07 @ Decic Tuzi D 2-261.4 1354 1168 58.16% 22.38% 19.46%+0.80 -1.9 40
2012-04-11 Berane W 3-134.2 1481 1132 75.42% 17.48% 7.10%+1.88 +4.0 59
2012-04-11 @ Rudar L 1-334.2 1132 1481 7.10% 17.48% 75.42%-1.88 -4.0 25
2012-04-11 Bokelj D 1-154.8 1153 1028 57.38% 22.50% 20.13%+0.76 -2.5 19
2012-04-11 @ Lovcen D 1-154.8 1028 1153 20.13% 22.50% 57.38%-0.76 +2.5 17
2012-04-11 Decic Tuzi W 3-028.2 1414 1170 68.25% 20.15% 11.60%+1.36 +11.2 45
2012-04-11 @ Mogren L 0-328.2 1170 1414 11.60% 20.15% 68.25%-1.36 -11.2 21
2012-04-11 Grbalj W 3-138.6 1352 1204 59.68% 22.14% 18.18%+0.87 +10.3 43
2012-04-11 @ Zeta L 1-338.6 1204 1352 18.18% 22.14% 59.68%-0.87 -10.3 26
2012-04-11 Sutjeska W 3-025.8 1519 1131 77.68% 16.42% 5.90%+2.08 +5.4 60
2012-04-11 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-325.8 1131 1519 5.90% 16.42% 77.68%-2.08 -5.4 17
2012-04-11 Mladost Podgorica W 1-037.6 1266 1178 53.33% 22.99% 23.68%+0.58 +8.0 37
2012-04-11 @ Petrovac L 0-137.6 1178 1266 23.68% 22.99% 53.33%-0.58 -8.0 27
2012-04-14 Bokelj W 2-033.6 1126 1030 54.11% 22.91% 22.98%+0.61 +14.7 20
2012-04-14 @ Sutjeska L 0-233.6 1030 1126 22.98% 22.91% 54.11%-0.61 -14.7 17
2012-04-14 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-132.1 1128 1524 7.30% 17.64% 75.06%-1.85 -2.5 25
2012-04-14 @ Berane W 1-032.1 1524 1128 75.06% 17.64% 7.30%+1.85 +2.5 63
2012-04-14 Lovcen W 1-036.3 1274 1150 57.28% 22.51% 20.21%+0.75 +7.0 40
2012-04-14 @ Petrovac L 0-136.3 1150 1274 20.21% 22.51% 57.28%-0.75 -7.0 19
2012-04-14 Mogren W 1-049.6 1194 1425 15.76% 21.57% 62.67%-1.03 +17.9 29
2012-04-14 @ Grbalj L 0-149.6 1425 1194 62.67% 21.57% 15.76%+1.03 -18.0 45
2012-04-14 Rudar D 0-052.0 1159 1485 10.14% 19.45% 70.40%-1.50 +4.7 22
2012-04-14 @ Decic Tuzi D 0-052.0 1485 1159 70.40% 19.45% 10.14%+1.50 -4.7 60
2012-04-14 Zeta D 0-050.4 1170 1362 18.84% 22.27% 58.89%-0.83 +3.0 28
2012-04-14 @ Mladost Podgorica D 0-050.4 1362 1170 58.89% 22.27% 18.84%+0.83 -3.0 44
2012-04-21 Berane L 0-138.4 1015 1126 27.16% 23.32% 49.53%-0.42 -9.0 17
2012-04-21 @ Bokelj W 1-038.4 1126 1015 49.53% 23.32% 27.16%+0.42 +9.0 28
2012-04-21 Decic Tuzi W 3-134.7 1527 1164 76.26% 17.09% 6.64%+1.95 +3.7 66
2012-04-21 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 1-334.7 1164 1527 6.64% 17.09% 76.26%-1.95 -3.7 22
2012-04-21 Grbalj W 1-034.0 1480 1212 70.05% 19.57% 10.38%+1.48 +3.6 63
2012-04-21 @ Rudar L 0-134.0 1212 1480 10.38% 19.57% 70.05%-1.48 -3.6 29
2012-04-21 Petrovac W 2-035.5 1359 1281 52.05% 23.11% 24.84%+0.52 +15.7 47
2012-04-21 @ Zeta L 0-235.5 1281 1359 24.84% 23.11% 52.05%-0.52 -15.7 40
2012-04-21 Sutjeska W 1-040.6 1143 1140 42.33% 23.64% 34.03%+0.15 +10.7 22
2012-04-21 @ Lovcen L 0-140.6 1140 1143 34.03% 23.64% 42.33%-0.15 -10.7 20
2012-04-21 Mladost Podgorica W 2-139.8 1408 1173 67.53% 20.36% 12.11%+1.31 +4.0 48
2012-04-21 @ Mogren L 1-239.8 1173 1408 12.11% 20.36% 67.53%-1.31 -4.0 28
2012-04-28 Bokelj L 0-148.0 1160 1006 60.30% 22.03% 17.67%+0.90 -17.3 22
2012-04-28 @ Decic Tuzi W 1-048.0 1006 1160 17.67% 22.03% 60.30%-0.90 +17.3 20
2012-04-28 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-428.9 1208 1530 10.34% 19.55% 70.10%-1.48 -13.0 29
2012-04-28 @ Grbalj W 4-028.9 1530 1208 70.10% 19.55% 10.34%+1.48 +13.0 69
2012-04-28 Lovcen W 3-244.9 1375 1154 66.38% 20.68% 12.94%+1.24 +4.1 50
2012-04-28 @ Zeta L 2-344.9 1154 1375 12.94% 20.68% 66.38%-1.24 -4.1 22
2012-04-28 Mogren L 0-138.7 1265 1412 23.23% 22.94% 53.83%-0.60 -7.8 40
2012-04-28 @ Petrovac W 1-038.7 1412 1265 53.83% 22.94% 23.23%+0.60 +7.9 51
2012-04-28 Rudar L 0-133.7 1169 1484 10.66% 19.71% 69.62%-1.45 -3.7 28
2012-04-28 @ Mladost Podgorica W 1-033.7 1484 1169 69.62% 19.71% 10.66%+1.45 +3.7 66
2012-04-28 Sutjeska W 2-037.1 1135 1129 42.65% 23.64% 33.72%+0.16 +20.1 31
2012-04-28 @ Berane L 0-237.1 1129 1135 33.72% 23.64% 42.65%-0.16 -20.1 20
2012-05-05 Berane W 2-037.6 1150 1155 41.21% 23.67% 35.12%+0.11 +20.8 25
2012-05-05 @ Lovcen L 0-237.6 1155 1150 35.12% 23.67% 41.21%-0.11 -20.8 31
2012-05-05 Decic Tuzi W 2-038.7 1109 1143 37.18% 23.69% 39.13%-0.03 +22.6 23
2012-05-05 @ Sutjeska L 0-238.7 1143 1109 39.13% 23.69% 37.18%+0.03 -22.6 22
2012-05-05 Grbalj D 1-154.8 1024 1195 20.71% 22.59% 56.69%-0.73 +2.4 21
2012-05-05 @ Bokelj D 1-154.8 1195 1024 56.69% 22.59% 20.71%+0.73 -2.4 30
2012-05-05 Petrovac D 0-053.0 1488 1258 67.12% 20.48% 12.40%+1.29 -4.2 67
2012-05-05 @ Rudar D 0-053.0 1258 1488 12.40% 20.48% 67.12%-1.29 +4.2 41
2012-05-05 Mladost Podgorica W 6-027.5 1543 1165 77.16% 16.67% 6.17%+2.03 +10.9 72
2012-05-05 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-627.5 1165 1543 6.17% 16.67% 77.16%-2.03 -10.9 28
2012-05-05 Zeta L 2-359.1 1419 1379 47.39% 23.45% 29.16%+0.34 -12.5 51
2012-05-05 @ Mogren W 3-259.1 1379 1419 29.16% 23.45% 47.39%-0.34 +12.5 53
2012-05-09 Berane W 1-041.3 1120 1134 39.95% 23.68% 36.37%+0.06 +11.3 25
2012-05-09 @ Decic Tuzi L 0-141.3 1134 1120 36.37% 23.68% 39.95%-0.06 -11.3 31
2012-05-09 Bokelj W 2-032.6 1154 1026 57.66% 22.45% 19.88%+0.77 +12.9 31
2012-05-09 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-232.6 1026 1154 19.88% 22.45% 57.66%-0.77 -12.9 21
2012-05-09 Buducnost Podgorica L 1-436.5 1262 1554 11.88% 20.26% 67.86%-1.33 -9.7 41
2012-05-09 @ Petrovac W 4-136.5 1554 1262 67.86% 20.26% 11.88%+1.33 +9.7 75
2012-05-09 Lovcen L 1-256.4 1407 1171 67.63% 20.33% 12.04%+1.32 -18.1 51
2012-05-09 @ Mogren W 2-156.4 1171 1407 12.04% 20.33% 67.63%-1.32 +18.1 28
2012-05-09 Rudar L 0-339.2 1391 1483 29.36% 23.46% 47.18%-0.33 -26.1 53
2012-05-09 @ Zeta W 3-039.2 1483 1391 47.18% 23.46% 29.36%+0.33 +26.1 70
2012-05-09 Sutjeska L 0-439.5 1193 1132 50.00% 23.28% 26.72%+0.44 -52.3 30
2012-05-09 @ Grbalj W 4-039.5 1132 1193 26.72% 23.28% 50.00%-0.44 +52.3 26
2012-05-12 Decic Tuzi W 3-141.1 1189 1131 49.52% 23.32% 27.16%+0.42 +14.6 31
2012-05-12 @ Lovcen L 1-341.1 1131 1189 27.16% 23.32% 49.52%-0.42 -14.6 25
2012-05-12 Grbalj D 1-154.5 1123 1141 39.38% 23.69% 36.93%+0.04 -0.1 32
2012-05-12 @ Berane D 1-154.5 1141 1123 36.93% 23.69% 39.38%-0.04 +0.2 31
2012-05-12 Mogren W 4-142.1 1509 1389 56.91% 22.56% 20.53%+0.74 +16.3 73
2012-05-12 @ Rudar L 1-442.1 1389 1509 20.53% 22.56% 56.91%-0.74 -16.3 51
2012-05-12 Petrovac L 0-134.3 1013 1252 15.22% 21.42% 63.36%-1.07 -5.3 21
2012-05-12 @ Bokelj W 1-034.3 1252 1013 63.36% 21.42% 15.22%+1.07 +5.3 44
2012-05-12 Mladost Podgorica W 2-036.7 1184 1167 44.32% 23.59% 32.10%+0.22 +19.3 29
2012-05-12 @ Sutjeska L 0-236.7 1167 1184 32.10% 23.59% 44.32%-0.22 -19.3 31
2012-05-12 Zeta D 2-268.6 1564 1365 64.49% 21.16% 14.35%+1.13 -2.6 76
2012-05-12 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 2-268.6 1365 1564 14.35% 21.16% 64.49%-1.13 +2.6 54
2012-05-19 Berane W 4-139.3 1147 1123 45.30% 23.55% 31.15%+0.26 +23.1 34
2012-05-19 @ Mladost Podgorica L 1-439.3 1123 1147 31.15% 23.55% 45.30%-0.26 -23.1 32
2012-05-19 Bokelj W 3-025.1 1368 1008 76.08% 17.18% 6.74%+1.94 +6.3 57
2012-05-19 @ Zeta L 0-325.1 1008 1368 6.74% 17.18% 76.08%-1.94 -6.3 21
2012-05-19 Buducnost Podgorica L 1-345.8 1373 1561 19.18% 22.33% 58.49%-0.81 -10.8 51
2012-05-19 @ Mogren W 3-145.8 1561 1373 58.49% 22.33% 19.18%+0.81 +10.8 79
2012-05-19 Decic Tuzi W 2-145.8 1141 1117 45.20% 23.55% 31.24%+0.25 +9.5 34
2012-05-19 @ Grbalj L 1-245.8 1117 1141 31.24% 23.55% 45.20%-0.25 -9.5 25
2012-05-19 Lovcen L 1-259.1 1526 1203 73.78% 18.18% 8.04%+1.75 -19.5 73
2012-05-19 @ Rudar W 2-159.1 1203 1526 8.04% 18.18% 73.78%-1.75 +19.5 34
2012-05-19 Sutjeska D 1-154.9 1258 1204 49.10% 23.35% 27.55%+0.40 -1.4 45
2012-05-19 @ Petrovac D 1-154.9 1204 1258 27.55% 23.35% 49.10%-0.40 +1.4 30
2012-05-26 Grbalj W 2-034.6 1223 1150 51.40% 23.17% 25.43%+0.50 +16.0 37
2012-05-26 @ Lovcen L 0-234.6 1150 1223 25.43% 23.17% 51.40%-0.50 -16.0 34
2012-05-26 Mogren L 0-526.3 1002 1362 8.64% 18.58% 72.77%-1.67 -13.2 21
2012-05-26 @ Bokelj W 5-026.3 1362 1002 72.77% 18.58% 8.64%+1.67 +13.2 54
2012-05-26 Petrovac L 1-242.9 1100 1256 22.16% 22.80% 55.04%-0.65 -7.1 32
2012-05-26 @ Berane W 2-142.9 1256 1100 55.04% 22.80% 22.16%+0.65 +7.1 48
2012-05-26 Rudar D 1-167.4 1572 1506 50.58% 23.24% 26.19%+0.46 -1.6 80
2012-05-26 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 1-167.4 1506 1572 26.19% 23.24% 50.58%-0.46 +1.6 74
2012-05-26 Mladost Podgorica W 2-040.0 1107 1171 33.06% 23.62% 43.33%-0.18 +24.5 28
2012-05-26 @ Decic Tuzi L 0-240.0 1171 1107 43.33% 23.62% 33.06%+0.18 -24.5 34
2012-05-26 Zeta W 4-253.9 1205 1374 20.97% 22.63% 56.40%-0.72 +23.8 33
2012-05-26 @ Sutjeska L 2-453.9 1374 1205 56.40% 22.63% 20.97%+0.72 -23.8 57
2012-05-30 Berane W 4-238.9 1350 1092 69.29% 19.82% 10.89%+1.43 +5.6 60
2012-05-30 @ Zeta L 2-438.9 1092 1350 10.89% 19.82% 69.29%-1.43 -5.6 32
2012-05-30 Bokelj W 6-227.6 1508 988 84.03% 12.85% 3.12%+2.74 +2.5 77
2012-05-30 @ Rudar L 2-627.6 988 1508 3.12% 12.85% 84.03%-2.74 -2.5 21
2012-05-30 Decic Tuzi L 1-350.1 1263 1132 58.06% 22.40% 19.54%+0.79 -27.3 48
2012-05-30 @ Petrovac W 3-150.1 1132 1263 19.54% 22.40% 58.06%-0.79 +27.3 31
2012-05-30 Grbalj W 4-139.8 1146 1134 43.54% 23.61% 32.85%+0.19 +24.1 37
2012-05-30 @ Mladost Podgorica L 1-439.8 1134 1146 32.85% 23.61% 43.54%-0.19 -24.1 34
2012-05-30 Lovcen L 0-154.8 1570 1239 74.36% 17.94% 7.70%+1.80 -20.8 80
2012-05-30 @ Buducnost Podgorica W 1-054.8 1239 1570 7.70% 17.94% 74.36%-1.80 +20.8 40
2012-05-30 Sutjeska L 1-254.7 1375 1229 59.56% 22.16% 18.28%+0.87 -16.2 54
2012-05-30 @ Mogren W 2-154.7 1229 1375 18.28% 22.16% 59.56%-0.87 +16.2 36

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2012-05-30 7.70% Lovcen 1239 1 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1570 0
2 2012-05-19 8.04% Lovcen 1203 2 @ Rudar 1526 1
3 2012-05-09 12.04% Lovcen 1171 2 @ Mogren 1407 1
4 2011-08-20 14.56% @ Bokelj 1048 2 Zeta 1296 1
5 2011-08-27 15.01% Berane 1090 3 @ Zeta 1279 2
6 2012-04-14 15.76% @ Grbalj 1194 1 Mogren 1425 0
7 2012-03-31 17.43% @ Bokelj 1012 1 Grbalj 1221 0
8 2012-03-14 17.64% Bokelj 1025 1 @ Decic Tuzi 1178 0
9 2012-04-28 17.67% Bokelj 1006 1 @ Decic Tuzi 1160 0
10 2012-05-30 18.28% Sutjeska 1229 2 @ Mogren 1375 1
11 2011-09-24 18.95% Grbalj 1256 1 @ Mogren 1394 0
12 2012-05-30 19.54% Decic Tuzi 1132 3 @ Petrovac 1263 1
13 2011-11-05 20.14% Berane 1104 2 @ Mladost Podgorica 1229 0
14 2012-05-26 20.97% @ Sutjeska 1205 4 Zeta 1374 2
15 2011-10-02 21.11% Mogren 1377 2 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1492 1
16 2012-03-14 24.48% Rudar 1437 2 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1518 0
17 2012-04-07 25.27% Lovcen 1128 3 @ Mladost Podgorica 1202 1
18 2012-05-09 26.72% Sutjeska 1132 4 @ Grbalj 1193 0
19 2011-10-01 27.48% @ Zeta 1311 4 Rudar 1419 1
20 2011-09-17 28.60% @ Berane 1083 2 Decic Tuzi 1181 0
21 2012-03-24 29.03% Mladost Podgorica 1193 2 @ Grbalj 1234 1
22 2012-05-05 29.16% Zeta 1379 3 @ Mogren 1419 2
23 2012-03-17 29.62% Berane 1129 1 @ Sutjeska 1166 0
24 2011-10-01 30.08% Petrovac 1240 3 @ Grbalj 1273 0
25 2011-08-20 30.74% Mladost Podgorica 1202 2 @ Lovcen 1230 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-05-09 52.35 Sutjeska 4 1132 26.72% @ Grbalj 0 1193 50.00% 23.28%
2 2011-10-01 37.60 Petrovac 3 1240 30.08% @ Grbalj 0 1273 46.42% 23.50%
3 2011-09-10 35.78 Grbalj 3 1228 32.69% @ Sutjeska 0 1241 43.71% 23.61%
4 2011-08-06 35.28 Zeta 4 1298 45.91% @ Mladost Podgorica 0 1216 30.57% 23.52%
5 2011-08-17 34.99 @ Buducnost Podgorica 5 1421 53.49% Zeta 0 1331 23.53% 22.97%
6 2011-10-01 33.31 @ Zeta 4 1311 27.48% Rudar 1 1419 49.18% 23.34%
7 2011-11-05 31.19 Berane 2 1104 20.14% @ Mladost Podgorica 0 1229 57.36% 22.50%
8 2011-10-01 29.88 @ Decic Tuzi 3 1171 41.62% Lovcen 0 1173 34.72% 23.66%
9 2012-03-14 28.77 Rudar 2 1437 24.48% @ Buducnost Podgorica 0 1518 52.44% 23.08%
10 2012-05-30 27.32 Decic Tuzi 3 1132 19.54% @ Petrovac 1 1263 58.06% 22.40%
11 2011-09-17 26.63 @ Berane 2 1083 28.60% Decic Tuzi 0 1181 47.99% 23.42%
12 2012-05-09 26.15 Rudar 3 1483 47.18% @ Zeta 0 1391 29.36% 23.46%
13 2011-08-20 25.57 Mladost Podgorica 2 1202 30.74% @ Lovcen 0 1230 45.72% 23.53%
14 2011-08-21 24.75 @ Rudar 2 1354 32.45% Mogren 0 1422 43.95% 23.60%
15 2012-04-07 24.55 Lovcen 3 1128 25.27% @ Mladost Podgorica 1 1202 51.58% 23.15%
16 2012-05-26 24.46 @ Decic Tuzi 2 1107 33.06% Mladost Podgorica 0 1171 43.33% 23.62%
17 2012-05-30 24.13 @ Mladost Podgorica 4 1146 43.54% Grbalj 1 1134 32.85% 23.61%
18 2012-05-26 23.79 @ Sutjeska 4 1205 20.97% Zeta 2 1374 56.40% 22.63%
19 2011-08-20 23.40 @ Sutjeska 2 1217 35.32% Petrovac 0 1264 41.01% 23.67%
20 2011-09-10 23.22 @ Bokelj 2 1062 35.72% Berane 0 1106 40.61% 23.67%
21 2012-05-19 23.13 @ Mladost Podgorica 4 1147 45.30% Berane 1 1123 31.15% 23.55%
22 2012-03-17 23.02 Mladost Podgorica 3 1170 51.69% @ Bokelj 0 1042 25.17% 23.15%
23 2011-10-23 22.69 @ Lovcen 2 1142 36.89% Sutjeska 0 1177 39.43% 23.69%
24 2012-05-05 22.56 @ Sutjeska 2 1109 37.18% Decic Tuzi 0 1143 39.13% 23.69%
25 2011-09-17 22.34 @ Zeta 3 1280 52.64% Lovcen 0 1197 24.30% 23.06%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-05-12 68.6 @ Buducnost Podgorica 2 1564 64.49% Zeta 2 1365 14.35% 21.16%
2 2012-05-26 67.4 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1 1572 50.58% Rudar 1 1506 26.19% 23.24%
3 2011-09-25 67.2 @ Rudar 2 1418 31.61% Buducnost Podgorica 2 1492 44.83% 23.57%
4 2011-10-15 63.0 @ Mogren 2 1393 48.37% Zeta 2 1344 28.24% 23.39%
5 2012-04-07 61.4 @ Decic Tuzi 2 1168 19.46% Zeta 2 1354 58.16% 22.38%
6 2011-10-29 60.9 @ Berane 2 1102 20.94% Petrovac 2 1271 56.43% 22.63%
7 2011-08-27 60.8 @ Mladost Podgorica 2 1228 40.04% Sutjeska 2 1241 36.28% 23.68%
8 2011-11-26 60.6 @ Mladost Podgorica 2 1187 49.21% Lovcen 2 1132 27.46% 23.34%
9 2011-08-27 59.9 Berane 3 1090 15.01% @ Zeta 2 1279 63.64% 21.36%
10 2012-05-05 59.1 Zeta 3 1379 29.16% @ Mogren 2 1419 47.39% 23.45%
11 2012-05-19 59.1 Lovcen 2 1203 8.04% @ Rudar 1 1526 73.78% 18.18%
12 2011-10-02 58.3 Mogren 2 1377 21.11% @ Buducnost Podgorica 1 1492 56.24% 22.65%
13 2011-11-27 58.2 @ Mogren 1 1400 41.45% Rudar 1 1403 34.89% 23.66%
14 2011-11-05 57.7 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1 1487 81.26% Bokelj 1 1030 4.23% 14.51%
15 2011-10-15 57.6 @ Petrovac 1 1277 18.27% Buducnost Podgorica 1 1476 59.57% 22.15%
16 2012-03-10 56.4 @ Mogren 1 1415 67.93% Mladost Podgorica 1 1175 11.83% 20.24%
17 2012-05-09 56.4 Lovcen 2 1171 12.04% @ Mogren 1 1407 67.63% 20.33%
18 2011-11-26 56.3 @ Zeta 1 1352 73.59% Bokelj 1 1032 8.15% 18.26%
19 2011-09-10 56.2 @ Mogren 1 1400 62.33% Petrovac 1 1225 16.03% 21.64%
20 2012-03-14 56.1 @ Grbalj 1 1241 20.83% Mogren 1 1412 56.56% 22.61%
21 2011-09-17 55.8 @ Mladost Podgorica 1 1211 19.47% Mogren 1 1397 58.15% 22.38%
22 2011-10-29 55.8 @ Decic Tuzi 1 1206 18.85% Mogren 1 1398 58.89% 22.27%
23 2011-08-06 55.5 @ Rudar 1 1340 54.11% Lovcen 1 1244 22.98% 22.91%
24 2011-08-20 55.0 @ Bokelj 2 1048 14.56% Zeta 1 1296 64.22% 21.22%
25 2012-05-19 54.9 @ Petrovac 1 1258 49.10% Sutjeska 1 1204 27.55% 23.35%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-05-19 25.1 @ Zeta 3 1368 76.08% Bokelj 0 1008 6.74% 17.18%
2 2011-12-07 25.6 @ Buducnost Podgorica 4 1508 76.87% Lovcen 0 1134 6.32% 16.81%
3 2012-04-11 25.8 @ Buducnost Podgorica 3 1519 77.68% Sutjeska 0 1131 5.90% 16.42%
4 2011-12-03 26.2 Mogren 3 1399 72.92% @ Bokelj 0 1037 8.55% 18.53%
5 2012-05-26 26.3 Mogren 5 1362 72.77% @ Bokelj 0 1002 8.64% 18.58%
6 2012-05-05 27.5 @ Buducnost Podgorica 6 1543 77.16% Mladost Podgorica 0 1165 6.17% 16.67%
7 2012-04-07 27.6 Rudar 3 1471 70.77% @ Sutjeska 0 1140 9.91% 19.33%
8 2012-05-30 27.6 @ Rudar 6 1508 84.03% Bokelj 2 988 3.12% 12.85%
9 2012-04-11 28.2 @ Mogren 3 1414 68.25% Decic Tuzi 0 1170 11.60% 20.15%
10 2012-04-28 28.9 Buducnost Podgorica 4 1530 70.10% @ Grbalj 0 1208 10.34% 19.55%
11 2011-08-27 29.1 @ Buducnost Podgorica 5 1459 68.14% Decic Tuzi 0 1216 11.68% 20.18%
12 2012-03-31 29.8 @ Mogren 2 1399 68.84% Berane 0 1147 11.20% 19.97%
13 2011-11-05 30.1 @ Mogren 2 1395 67.92% Lovcen 0 1155 11.84% 20.25%
14 2011-09-17 30.3 @ Buducnost Podgorica 2 1486 70.96% Sutjeska 0 1205 9.78% 19.26%
15 2011-09-10 30.4 @ Rudar 3 1394 61.61% Mladost Podgorica 0 1227 16.61% 21.78%
16 2012-03-10 31.0 @ Rudar 3 1421 61.30% Grbalj 0 1257 16.85% 21.84%
17 2011-08-17 31.5 @ Rudar 4 1347 71.74% Bokelj 1 1055 9.28% 18.97%
18 2011-09-10 31.6 Buducnost Podgorica 2 1477 66.22% @ Lovcen 0 1205 13.06% 20.72%
19 2011-08-13 31.8 Buducnost Podgorica 1 1418 72.78% @ Bokelj 0 1058 8.64% 18.58%
20 2011-08-20 32.0 Buducnost Podgorica 1 1456 73.00% @ Berane 0 1093 8.51% 18.50%
21 2011-12-07 32.1 Rudar 2 1410 62.00% @ Mladost Podgorica 0 1186 16.30% 21.71%
22 2012-04-14 32.1 Buducnost Podgorica 1 1524 75.06% @ Berane 0 1128 7.30% 17.64%
23 2011-09-17 32.2 @ Petrovac 2 1228 59.24% Bokelj 0 1086 18.55% 22.21%
24 2012-03-17 32.3 Mladost Podgorica 3 1170 51.69% @ Bokelj 0 1042 25.17% 23.15%
25 2011-09-17 32.4 @ Zeta 3 1280 52.64% Lovcen 0 1197 24.30% 23.06%