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2012-13 Montenegrin First League Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Sutjeska

65 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Sutjeska

15.34 points above expected

65 points · 49.66 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Mogren

10.66 points below expected

36 points · 46.66 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Sutjeska 33 20 5 8 65 50 31 +19 49.66 +15.34
2 Buducnost Podgorica 33 17 9 7 60 56 39 +17 57.82 +2.18
3 Celik Niksic 33 15 8 10 53 41 35 +6 47.11 +5.89
4 Grbalj 33 13 12 8 51 41 21 +20 44.72 +6.28
5 Rudar 33 15 6 12 51 42 40 +2 54.24 -3.24
6 Mladost Podgorica 33 9 12 12 39 39 48 -9 42.69 -3.69
7 Petrovac 33 8 14 11 38 36 42 -6 42.63 -4.63
8 Zeta 33 8 13 12 37 43 45 -2 43.90 -6.90
9 Lovcen 33 11 4 18 37 38 51 -13 37.15 -0.15
10 Mogren* 33 10 7 16 36 33 42 -9 46.66 -10.66
11 Mornar 33 9 9 15 36 36 47 -11 38.79 -2.79
12 Jedinstvo 33 9 9 15 36 31 45 -14 32.95 +3.05

* Point deductions: Mogren (-1 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sutjeska 65 49.66 +15.34
2 Grbalj 51 44.72 +6.28
3 Celik Niksic 53 47.11 +5.89
4 Jedinstvo 36 32.95 +3.05
5 Buducnost Podgorica 60 57.82 +2.18

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Mogren 36 46.66 -10.66
2 Zeta 37 43.90 -6.90
3 Petrovac 38 42.63 -4.63
4 Mladost Podgorica 39 42.69 -3.69
5 Rudar 51 54.24 -3.24

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sutjeska 6 Aug 11 – Sep 15 1 in 391
2 Lovcen 4 May 4 – May 25 1 in 181
3 Celik Niksic 4 Sep 30 – Oct 21 1 in 53
4 Grbalj 4 Mar 30 – Apr 20 1 in 40
5 Buducnost Podgorica 5 Oct 28 – Nov 24 1 in 38

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Mornar 9 Aug 22 – Oct 20 1 in 2,526
2 Lovcen 7 Nov 3 – Mar 2 1 in 229
3 Mogren 4 Mar 20 – Apr 13 1 in 47
4 Zeta 4 Sep 22 – Oct 13 1 in 43
5 Rudar 3 Dec 1 – Mar 2 1 in 42

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Zeta 10 Nov 3 – Mar 20 1 in 149
2 Buducnost Podgorica 16 Oct 13 – Apr 13 1 in 60
3 Grbalj 9 Sep 1 – Nov 3 1 in 57
4 Jedinstvo 6 Sep 1 – Oct 6 1 in 39
5 Petrovac 6 Nov 10 – Mar 3 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lovcen 12 Sep 29 – Mar 2 1 in 55
2 Mornar 11 Dec 2 – Apr 27 1 in 37
3 Mladost Podgorica 7 Feb 26 – Apr 6 1 in 33
4 Sutjeska 6 Apr 27 – May 25 1 in 31
5 Zeta 8 Mar 30 – May 11 1 in 28

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Sutjeska 1341 65 -13 5 7.6 -2.6
Buducnost Podgorica 1365 60 -13 9 8.6 +0.4
Celik Niksic 1287 53 -34 3 7.5 -4.5
Rudar 1300 51 -7 7 7.4 -0.4
Grbalj 1330 51 -14 6 8.3 -2.3
Mladost Podgorica 1226 39 -12 6 6.8 -0.8
Petrovac 1257 38 -4 4 6.3 -2.3
Lovcen 1267 37 +43 12 5.5 +6.5
Zeta 1291 37 +32 8 6.6 +1.4
Mogren 1248 37 -27 4 7.3 -3.3
Mornar 1249 36 +38 10 5.0 +5.0
Jedinstvo 1201 36 +10 7 4.8 +2.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BP CN GRB JED LOV MP MOG MOR PET RUD SUT ZET
Buducnost Podgorica —
1-2-0
5.06
2-0-1
5.18
2-1-0
5.85
2-0-1
5.56
2-1-0
5.27
1-0-2
5.24
2-0-1
5.70
1-2-0
5.47
1-1-1
4.53
2-0-1
4.57
1-2-0
5.18
Celik Niksic
0-2-1
3.11
—
1-0-2
4.30
2-0-1
5.26
1-1-1
4.89
3-0-0
4.63
2-1-0
4.03
1-1-1
4.86
0-1-2
4.57
2-1-0
3.91
2-0-1
3.91
1-1-1
4.53
Grbalj
1-0-2
3.01
2-0-1
3.85
—
2-1-0
5.26
2-1-0
5.00
1-2-0
4.56
1-2-0
3.82
1-0-2
4.74
0-3-0
4.21
2-0-1
3.21
0-2-1
3.87
1-1-1
4.43
Jedinstvo
0-1-2
2.41
1-0-2
2.94
0-1-2
2.94
—
2-0-1
3.55
0-3-0
3.47
1-0-2
2.91
1-1-1
3.89
3-0-0
3.19
1-1-1
2.66
0-0-3
2.74
0-2-1
3.43
Lovcen
1-0-2
2.67
1-1-1
3.30
0-1-2
3.20
1-0-2
4.60
—
1-1-1
3.22
2-0-1
3.52
2-0-1
4.11
0-1-2
3.80
1-0-2
2.82
0-0-3
3.08
2-0-1
3.61
Mladost Podgorica
0-1-2
2.93
0-0-3
3.53
0-2-1
3.60
0-3-0
4.68
1-1-1
4.97
—
3-0-0
3.66
1-2-0
4.58
1-1-1
4.31
2-0-1
3.09
1-0-2
3.16
0-2-1
3.86
Mogren
2-0-1
2.97
0-1-2
4.11
0-2-1
4.32
2-0-1
5.28
1-0-2
4.64
0-0-3
4.48
—
2-0-1
4.70
1-2-0
4.30
0-1-2
3.32
2-0-1
3.68
0-1-2
4.58
Mornar
1-0-2
2.55
1-1-1
3.30
2-0-1
3.41
1-1-1
4.27
1-0-2
4.03
0-2-1
3.56
1-0-2
3.46
—
0-2-1
3.73
0-0-3
2.80
0-2-1
3.30
2-1-0
3.38
Petrovac
0-2-1
2.74
2-1-0
3.58
0-3-0
3.92
0-0-3
4.98
2-1-0
4.34
1-1-1
3.82
0-2-1
3.84
1-2-0
4.41
—
1-0-2
3.13
0-0-3
3.27
1-2-0
3.77
Rudar
1-1-1
3.61
0-1-2
4.25
1-0-2
4.96
1-1-1
5.56
2-0-1
5.39
1-0-2
5.09
2-1-0
4.84
3-0-0
5.42
2-0-1
5.05
—
0-1-2
4.38
2-1-0
4.71
Sutjeska
1-0-2
3.59
1-0-2
4.24
1-2-0
4.27
3-0-0
5.49
3-0-0
5.10
2-0-1
5.03
1-0-2
4.46
1-2-0
4.86
3-0-0
4.89
2-1-0
3.79
—
2-0-1
4.82
Zeta
0-2-1
3.01
1-1-1
3.62
1-1-1
3.71
1-2-0
4.72
1-0-2
4.55
1-2-0
4.29
2-1-0
3.57
0-1-2
4.78
0-2-1
4.37
0-1-2
3.44
1-0-2
3.35
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.69 +12.6
Allowed 0.48 -8.8
Differential 0.83 +7.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.13%8.33%6.82%3.28%0.25%0.76%32.58%
18.33%11.11%7.83%3.54%2.53%0.25%33.59%
26.82%7.83%1.52%2.02%——18.18%
33.28%3.54%2.02%1.52%0.76%—11.11%
40.25%2.53%—0.76%——3.54%
5+0.76%0.25%————1.01%
Total32.58%33.59%18.18%11.11%3.54%1.01%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.23 +0.00
SD 1.19 1.19 1.69
CV 0.97 0.97 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%6.06%3.03%3.03%——24.24%
19.09%12.12%3.03%—6.06%—30.30%
23.03%12.12%————15.15%
3—9.09%3.03%3.03%——15.15%
4—9.09%—3.03%——12.12%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total27.27%48.48%9.09%9.09%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.70 1.18 +0.52
SD 1.47 1.13 1.79
CV 0.87 0.96 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%6.06%9.09%3.03%——30.30%
118.18%9.09%3.03%6.06%3.03%—39.39%
23.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
312.12%3.03%3.03%———18.18%
4———3.03%——3.03%
5+———————
Total45.45%21.21%18.18%12.12%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.06 +0.18
SD 1.17 1.20 1.70
CV 0.94 1.13 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
024.24%15.15%—3.03%——42.42%
16.06%12.12%3.03%———21.21%
212.12%3.03%—3.03%——18.18%
36.06%—————6.06%
43.03%9.09%————12.12%
5+———————
Total51.52%39.39%3.03%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 0.64 +0.61
SD 1.39 0.82 1.62
CV 1.12 1.29 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%9.09%9.09%3.03%—3.03%39.39%
19.09%9.09%9.09%3.03%6.06%—36.36%
26.06%6.06%—3.03%——15.15%
36.06%——3.03%——9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total36.36%24.24%18.18%12.12%6.06%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 1.36 -0.42
SD 0.97 1.41 1.77
CV 1.03 1.03 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%12.12%6.06%12.12%——36.36%
13.03%6.06%12.12%6.06%—3.03%30.30%
29.09%9.09%—3.03%——21.21%
33.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
4———————
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total24.24%30.30%21.21%21.21%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.55 -0.39
SD 1.20 1.35 2.06
CV 1.04 0.87 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%12.12%—3.03%—6.06%36.36%
1—15.15%9.09%3.03%3.03%—30.30%
29.09%3.03%————12.12%
33.03%6.06%6.06%6.06%——21.21%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%36.36%15.15%12.12%3.03%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.45 -0.27
SD 1.16 1.42 1.84
CV 0.98 0.97 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%18.18%3.03%3.03%——39.39%
16.06%3.03%12.12%6.06%3.03%—30.30%
26.06%9.09%3.03%3.03%——21.21%
3—6.06%3.03%———9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%36.36%21.21%12.12%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.27 -0.27
SD 1.00 1.10 1.38
CV 1.00 0.86 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%3.03%9.09%3.03%——30.30%
19.09%9.09%18.18%3.03%6.06%—45.45%
2—9.09%—3.03%——12.12%
33.03%3.03%—3.03%——9.09%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total27.27%27.27%27.27%12.12%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.42 -0.33
SD 1.04 1.20 1.53
CV 0.95 0.84 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%3.03%6.06%3.03%——27.27%
13.03%21.21%15.15%3.03%3.03%—45.45%
29.09%6.06%6.06%———21.21%
3—3.03%————3.03%
4———3.03%——3.03%
5+———————
Total27.27%33.33%27.27%9.09%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.27 -0.18
SD 0.95 1.07 1.31
CV 0.87 0.84 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%18.18%—3.03%—33.33%
112.12%12.12%3.03%3.03%——30.30%
29.09%6.06%————15.15%
33.03%6.06%6.06%—3.03%—18.18%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total30.30%33.33%27.27%3.03%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.21 +0.06
SD 1.21 1.11 1.71
CV 0.95 0.92 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%6.06%3.03%——21.21%
115.15%9.09%—3.03%——27.27%
212.12%24.24%—6.06%——42.42%
33.03%—————3.03%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total36.36%45.45%6.06%12.12%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.52 0.94 +0.58
SD 1.25 0.97 1.64
CV 0.83 1.03 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%3.03%12.12%———30.30%
19.09%15.15%6.06%6.06%——36.36%
23.03%3.03%6.06%3.03%——15.15%
3—3.03%—3.03%6.06%—12.12%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total30.30%27.27%24.24%12.12%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.36 -0.06
SD 1.29 1.22 1.54
CV 0.99 0.89 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Buducnost Podgorica 1365 60 57.82 +2.18 65.0% 38 46 52 57 64 69 80
Sutjeska 1341 65 49.66 +15.34 97.0% 31 36 43 50 54 63 69
Grbalj 1330 51 44.72 +6.28 84.0% 29 33 39 46 49 56 61
Rudar 1300 51 54.24 -3.24 30.0% 32 40 51 55 59 65 68
Zeta 1291 37 43.90 -6.90 16.0% 24 31 39 44 48 55 66
Celik Niksic 1287 53 47.11 +5.89 80.0% 28 33 41 48 52 60 67
Lovcen 1267 37 37.15 -0.15 52.0% 23 26 32 37 41 49 57
Petrovac 1257 38 42.63 -4.63 33.0% 29 32 37 43 47 54 57
Mornar 1249 36 38.79 -2.79 38.0% 25 29 33 39 43 51 66
Mogren 1248 36 46.66 -10.66 5.0% 33 36 42 47 50 57 65
Mladost Podgorica 1226 39 42.69 -3.69 30.0% 21 29 39 43 47 55 61
Jedinstvo 1201 36 32.95 +3.05 73.0% 17 21 28 32 37 44 50

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+9.09%
No Edge
40.91%27.27%31.82%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 31.67 Elo pts.
323 Elo
0.003 goals per Elo point
01000
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.17 goals
Neutral
-2+0.10+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.5
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
9%
Sutjeska, 3rd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.15/gm
Comfortable
00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.77 * Some Luck: 5.77 to 8.66 * Lucky: 8.66 to 11.55 * Wild Swing: 11.55 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.7 * Close: 1.7 to 2.55 * Off: 2.55 to 3.4 * Way Off: 3.4 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.70 points
Some Luck
07.2218
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.83
Close
02.135
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
97.00%
Sutjeska
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
5.00%
Mogren
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.12
Balanced
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 48.51
1.41
Coin-Flip Parity
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
58%
Even
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
72%
Even
50%72%100%
Close Games
Expected
65%
Very Frequent
0%63%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Rare
0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.65
Hard to Predict
00.642
Matchup Imbalance
0.24
Very Even
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.84
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.26
Weak Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
31%
Very Upset-Prone
0%27%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
29%
Very Shaky
0%24%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.61
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.55
Overconfident
0.4150231.001.58498
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.063
Well Within Noise
00.1140.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Sutjeska9.00%16.00%16.00%20.00%8.00%6.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%4.00%3.00%3.00%
Buducnost Podgorica46.00%28.00%8.00%7.00%3.00%3.00%4.00%——1.00%——
Celik Niksic7.00%10.00%10.00%11.00%14.00%16.00%5.00%6.00%7.00%5.00%6.00%3.00%
Grbalj3.00%5.00%11.00%7.00%11.00%13.00%14.00%10.00%9.00%10.00%4.00%3.00%
Rudar24.00%25.00%21.00%9.00%6.00%5.00%1.00%3.00%1.00%4.00%—1.00%
Mladost Podgorica2.00%2.00%6.00%6.00%10.00%15.00%14.00%9.00%12.00%11.00%3.00%10.00%
Petrovac1.00%2.00%6.00%6.00%13.00%13.00%12.00%8.00%17.00%11.00%10.00%1.00%
Zeta3.00%3.00%6.00%11.00%13.00%6.00%12.00%21.00%8.00%4.00%10.00%3.00%
Lovcen1.00%1.00%1.00%3.00%3.00%4.00%3.00%12.00%12.00%19.00%20.00%21.00%
Mogren2.00%7.00%10.00%17.00%15.00%11.00%15.00%10.00%4.00%2.00%5.00%2.00%
Mornar2.00%1.00%4.00%2.00%3.00%5.00%9.00%9.00%18.00%17.00%18.00%12.00%
Jedinstvo——1.00%1.00%1.00%3.00%6.00%7.00%7.00%12.00%21.00%41.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Buducnost Podgorica 99.00% 1.00% —
Petrovac 78.00% 21.00% 1.00%
Rudar 95.00% 4.00% 1.00%
Mogren 91.00% 7.00% 2.00%
Celik Niksic 86.00% 11.00% 3.00%
Grbalj 83.00% 14.00% 3.00%
Sutjeska 90.00% 7.00% 3.00%
Zeta 83.00% 14.00% 3.00%
Mladost Podgorica 76.00% 14.00% 10.00%
Mornar 53.00% 35.00% 12.00%
Lovcen 40.00% 39.00% 21.00%
Jedinstvo 26.00% 33.00% 41.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2012-08-11 Buducnost Podgorica W 1-045.0 1274 1353 29.21% 28.49% 42.30%-0.15 +6.7 3
2012-08-11 @ Sutjeska L 0-145.0 1353 1274 42.30% 28.49% 29.21%+0.15 -6.7 0
2012-08-11 Celik Niksic L 0-338.4 1278 1272 40.84% 28.66% 30.50%+0.12 -17.8 0
2012-08-11 @ Lovcen W 3-038.4 1272 1278 30.50% 28.66% 40.84%-0.12 +17.8 3
2012-08-11 Petrovac D 0-048.2 1238 1271 35.32% 28.93% 35.75%+0.00 +0.0 1
2012-08-11 @ Grbalj D 0-048.2 1271 1238 35.75% 28.93% 35.32%+0.00 -0.0 1
2012-08-11 Rudar L 0-234.3 1203 1345 22.57% 26.68% 50.75%-0.34 -7.7 0
2012-08-11 @ Jedinstvo W 2-034.3 1345 1203 50.75% 26.68% 22.57%+0.34 +7.7 3
2012-08-11 Mladost Podgorica L 0-340.0 1306 1255 47.03% 27.65% 25.32%+0.25 -19.9 0
2012-08-11 @ Mogren W 3-040.0 1255 1306 25.32% 27.65% 47.03%-0.25 +19.9 3
2012-08-14 Zeta W 2-148.8 1263 1302 34.56% 28.92% 36.52%-0.02 +5.7 3
2012-08-14 @ Mornar L 1-248.8 1302 1263 36.52% 28.92% 34.56%+0.02 -5.7 0
2012-08-18 Grbalj L 0-339.9 1290 1238 47.22% 27.61% 25.17%+0.26 -19.9 3
2012-08-18 @ Celik Niksic W 3-039.9 1238 1290 25.17% 27.61% 47.22%-0.26 +19.9 4
2012-08-18 Jedinstvo D 0-048.7 1269 1195 50.18% 26.85% 22.97%+0.33 -1.0 4
2012-08-18 @ Mornar D 0-048.7 1195 1269 22.97% 26.85% 50.18%-0.33 +1.0 1
2012-08-18 Lovcen W 3-140.0 1347 1260 51.82% 26.35% 21.83%+0.37 +6.5 3
2012-08-18 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 1-340.0 1260 1347 21.83% 26.35% 51.82%-0.37 -6.5 0
2012-08-18 Mogren D 0-048.4 1271 1286 37.98% 28.87% 33.15%+0.05 -0.2 2
2012-08-18 @ Petrovac D 0-048.4 1286 1271 33.15% 28.87% 37.98%-0.05 +0.2 1
2012-08-18 Sutjeska L 0-146.9 1352 1281 49.83% 26.95% 23.22%+0.32 -7.6 3
2012-08-18 @ Rudar W 1-046.9 1281 1352 23.22% 26.95% 49.83%-0.32 +7.6 6
2012-08-18 Mladost Podgorica D 0-048.7 1296 1275 43.01% 28.39% 28.59%+0.16 -0.5 1
2012-08-18 @ Zeta D 0-048.7 1275 1296 28.59% 28.39% 43.01%-0.16 +0.5 4
2012-08-22 Buducnost Podgorica L 1-246.1 1258 1353 27.36% 28.16% 44.48%-0.20 -4.5 4
2012-08-22 @ Grbalj W 2-146.1 1353 1258 44.48% 28.16% 27.36%+0.20 +4.5 6
2012-08-22 Celik Niksic L 1-250.3 1286 1270 42.31% 28.49% 29.20%+0.15 -6.3 1
2012-08-22 @ Mogren W 2-150.3 1270 1286 29.20% 28.49% 42.31%-0.15 +6.3 6
2012-08-22 Mornar W 2-146.2 1288 1268 42.90% 28.41% 28.69%+0.16 +4.7 9
2012-08-22 @ Sutjeska L 1-246.2 1268 1288 28.69% 28.41% 42.90%-0.16 -4.7 4
2012-08-22 Petrovac W 2-037.3 1276 1271 40.71% 28.67% 30.62%+0.11 +9.9 7
2012-08-22 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-237.3 1271 1276 30.62% 28.67% 40.71%-0.11 -9.9 2
2012-08-22 Rudar L 0-140.4 1253 1345 27.80% 28.25% 43.96%-0.18 -4.9 0
2012-08-22 @ Lovcen W 1-040.4 1345 1253 43.96% 28.25% 27.80%+0.18 +4.9 6
2012-08-25 Grbalj W 1-037.7 1350 1254 53.00% 25.96% 21.04%+0.40 +3.8 9
2012-08-25 @ Rudar L 0-137.7 1254 1350 21.04% 25.96% 53.00%-0.40 -3.8 4
2012-08-25 Lovcen L 1-250.1 1263 1249 42.14% 28.51% 29.35%+0.14 -6.3 4
2012-08-25 @ Mornar W 2-150.1 1249 1263 29.35% 28.51% 42.14%-0.14 +6.3 3
2012-08-25 Mogren L 0-243.3 1358 1280 50.66% 26.71% 22.63%+0.34 -14.5 6
2012-08-25 @ Buducnost Podgorica W 2-043.3 1280 1358 22.63% 26.71% 50.66%-0.34 +14.5 4
2012-08-25 Sutjeska L 0-139.6 1196 1293 27.13% 28.11% 44.76%-0.20 -4.8 1
2012-08-25 @ Jedinstvo W 1-039.6 1293 1196 44.76% 28.11% 27.13%+0.20 +4.8 12
2012-08-25 Mladost Podgorica W 3-035.9 1276 1286 38.74% 28.83% 32.43%+0.07 +15.1 9
2012-08-25 @ Celik Niksic L 0-335.9 1286 1276 32.43% 28.83% 38.74%-0.07 -15.1 7
2012-08-26 Petrovac L 3-458.1 1296 1261 44.88% 28.09% 27.04%+0.21 -6.1 1
2012-08-26 @ Zeta W 4-358.1 1261 1296 27.04% 28.09% 44.88%-0.21 +6.1 5
2012-09-01 Buducnost Podgorica D 1-153.8 1271 1343 30.03% 28.61% 41.36%-0.13 +0.4 8
2012-09-01 @ Mladost Podgorica D 1-153.8 1343 1271 41.36% 28.61% 30.03%+0.13 -0.4 7
2012-09-01 Celik Niksic D 0-048.4 1267 1292 36.62% 28.92% 34.47%+0.02 -0.1 6
2012-09-01 @ Petrovac D 0-048.4 1292 1267 34.47% 28.92% 36.62%-0.02 +0.1 10
2012-09-01 Jedinstvo L 0-145.8 1255 1191 48.80% 27.22% 23.98%+0.30 -7.5 3
2012-09-01 @ Lovcen W 1-045.8 1191 1255 23.98% 27.22% 48.80%-0.30 +7.5 4
2012-09-01 Mornar W 2-037.6 1250 1257 39.02% 28.81% 32.17%+0.08 +10.3 7
2012-09-01 @ Grbalj L 0-237.6 1257 1250 32.17% 28.81% 39.02%-0.08 -10.3 4
2012-09-01 Rudar D 0-049.1 1294 1353 31.77% 28.78% 39.45%-0.08 +0.3 5
2012-09-01 @ Mogren D 0-049.1 1353 1294 39.45% 28.78% 31.77%+0.08 -0.3 10
2012-09-02 Zeta W 2-146.9 1298 1290 41.21% 28.62% 30.17%+0.12 +4.9 15
2012-09-02 @ Sutjeska L 1-246.9 1290 1298 30.17% 28.62% 41.21%-0.12 -4.9 1
2012-09-06 Zeta D 0-048.3 1199 1285 28.39% 28.36% 43.25%-0.17 +0.5 5
2012-09-06 @ Jedinstvo D 0-048.3 1285 1199 43.25% 28.36% 28.39%+0.17 -0.5 2
2012-09-15 Celik Niksic W 3-143.6 1284 1292 39.02% 28.81% 32.16%+0.08 +8.9 5
2012-09-15 @ Zeta L 1-343.6 1292 1284 32.16% 28.81% 39.02%-0.08 -8.9 10
2012-09-15 Grbalj D 0-048.1 1199 1260 31.52% 28.76% 39.71%-0.09 +0.3 6
2012-09-15 @ Jedinstvo D 0-048.1 1260 1199 39.71% 28.76% 31.52%+0.09 -0.3 8
2012-09-15 Lovcen W 2-035.2 1303 1247 47.69% 27.50% 24.81%+0.27 +8.4 18
2012-09-15 @ Sutjeska L 0-235.2 1247 1303 24.81% 27.50% 47.69%-0.27 -8.4 3
2012-09-15 Mogren L 0-141.9 1247 1295 33.27% 28.88% 37.85%-0.05 -5.6 4
2012-09-15 @ Mornar W 1-041.9 1295 1247 37.85% 28.88% 33.27%+0.05 +5.6 8
2012-09-15 Petrovac W 4-137.6 1343 1267 50.37% 26.79% 22.84%+0.33 +9.5 10
2012-09-15 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 1-437.6 1267 1343 22.84% 26.79% 50.37%-0.33 -9.5 6
2012-09-15 Mladost Podgorica W 1-038.4 1353 1271 51.22% 26.54% 22.24%+0.35 +4.0 13
2012-09-15 @ Rudar L 0-138.4 1271 1353 22.24% 26.54% 51.22%-0.35 -4.0 8
2012-09-22 Jedinstvo L 0-146.9 1300 1199 53.60% 25.76% 20.64%+0.41 -8.0 8
2012-09-22 @ Mogren W 1-046.9 1199 1300 20.64% 25.76% 53.60%-0.41 +8.0 9
2012-09-22 Mornar W 2-145.8 1267 1241 43.67% 28.29% 28.04%+0.18 +4.6 11
2012-09-22 @ Mladost Podgorica L 1-245.8 1241 1267 28.04% 28.29% 43.67%-0.18 -4.6 4
2012-09-22 Rudar L 1-245.9 1258 1357 26.87% 28.05% 45.08%-0.21 -4.5 6
2012-09-22 @ Petrovac W 2-145.9 1357 1258 45.08% 28.05% 26.87%+0.21 +4.5 16
2012-09-22 Sutjeska D 0-048.5 1260 1311 32.79% 28.85% 38.36%-0.06 +0.2 9
2012-09-22 @ Grbalj D 0-048.5 1311 1260 38.36% 28.85% 32.79%+0.06 -0.2 19
2012-09-22 Zeta W 2-039.7 1239 1293 32.41% 28.83% 38.76%-0.07 +11.8 6
2012-09-22 @ Lovcen L 0-239.7 1293 1239 38.76% 28.83% 32.41%+0.07 -11.8 5
2012-09-23 Buducnost Podgorica D 0-049.0 1283 1352 30.39% 28.65% 40.96%-0.12 +0.4 11
2012-09-23 @ Celik Niksic D 0-049.0 1352 1283 40.96% 28.65% 30.39%+0.12 -0.4 11
2012-09-29 Buducnost Podgorica L 1-343.4 1281 1352 30.28% 28.64% 41.09%-0.12 -8.5 5
2012-09-29 @ Zeta W 3-143.4 1352 1281 41.09% 28.64% 30.28%+0.12 +8.5 14
2012-09-29 Grbalj D 0-048.3 1251 1260 38.76% 28.83% 32.41%+0.07 -0.2 7
2012-09-29 @ Lovcen D 0-048.3 1260 1251 32.41% 28.83% 38.76%-0.07 +0.2 10
2012-09-29 Mogren L 0-241.2 1311 1292 42.69% 28.44% 28.87%+0.16 -12.7 19
2012-09-29 @ Sutjeska W 2-041.2 1292 1311 28.87% 28.44% 42.69%-0.16 +12.7 11
2012-09-29 Petrovac L 1-248.8 1237 1253 37.68% 28.89% 33.44%+0.05 -5.8 4
2012-09-29 @ Mornar W 2-148.8 1253 1237 33.44% 28.89% 37.68%-0.05 +5.8 9
2012-09-29 Mladost Podgorica D 0-048.2 1208 1272 31.11% 28.73% 40.17%-0.10 +0.3 10
2012-09-29 @ Jedinstvo D 0-048.2 1272 1208 40.17% 28.73% 31.11%+0.10 -0.3 12
2012-09-30 Celik Niksic L 1-349.1 1362 1283 50.76% 26.68% 22.56%+0.34 -12.6 16
2012-09-30 @ Rudar W 3-149.1 1283 1362 22.56% 26.68% 50.76%-0.34 +12.6 14
2012-10-06 Jedinstvo L 0-339.6 1259 1208 47.14% 27.63% 25.23%+0.26 -19.9 9
2012-10-06 @ Petrovac W 3-039.6 1208 1259 25.23% 27.63% 47.14%-0.26 +19.9 13
2012-10-06 Lovcen W 3-141.0 1305 1251 47.54% 27.53% 24.92%+0.27 +7.3 14
2012-10-06 @ Mogren L 1-341.0 1251 1305 24.92% 27.53% 47.54%-0.27 -7.3 7
2012-10-06 Mornar W 3-032.7 1296 1231 48.95% 27.18% 23.86%+0.30 +11.8 17
2012-10-06 @ Celik Niksic L 0-332.7 1231 1296 23.86% 27.18% 48.95%-0.30 -11.8 4
2012-10-06 Rudar L 1-444.8 1361 1349 41.68% 28.57% 29.75%+0.13 -15.3 14
2012-10-06 @ Buducnost Podgorica W 4-144.8 1349 1361 29.75% 28.57% 41.68%-0.13 +15.3 19
2012-10-06 Sutjeska L 1-248.7 1271 1298 36.21% 28.93% 34.86%+0.01 -5.6 12
2012-10-06 @ Mladost Podgorica W 2-148.7 1298 1271 34.86% 28.93% 36.21%-0.01 +5.6 22
2012-10-06 Zeta W 2-038.0 1260 1273 38.26% 28.86% 32.88%+0.06 +10.5 13
2012-10-06 @ Grbalj L 0-238.0 1273 1260 32.88% 28.86% 38.26%-0.06 -10.5 5
2012-10-13 Buducnost Podgorica L 1-437.8 1219 1345 24.05% 27.25% 48.70%-0.29 -10.0 4
2012-10-13 @ Mornar W 4-137.8 1345 1219 48.70% 27.25% 24.05%+0.29 +10.0 17
2012-10-13 Celik Niksic L 0-140.5 1228 1307 29.17% 28.49% 42.35%-0.15 -5.1 13
2012-10-13 @ Jedinstvo W 1-040.5 1307 1228 42.35% 28.49% 29.17%+0.15 +5.1 20
2012-10-13 Mogren D 0-048.6 1271 1312 34.15% 28.91% 36.94%-0.03 +0.1 14
2012-10-13 @ Grbalj D 0-048.6 1312 1271 36.94% 28.91% 34.15%+0.03 -0.1 15
2012-10-13 Petrovac W 2-144.3 1304 1239 48.94% 27.19% 23.88%+0.30 +4.0 25
2012-10-13 @ Sutjeska L 1-244.3 1239 1304 23.88% 27.19% 48.94%-0.30 -4.1 9
2012-10-13 Rudar L 1-342.1 1262 1364 26.58% 27.99% 45.43%-0.22 -7.7 5
2012-10-13 @ Zeta W 3-142.1 1364 1262 45.43% 27.99% 26.58%+0.22 +7.7 22
2012-10-13 Mladost Podgorica L 2-353.4 1243 1266 36.88% 28.91% 34.21%+0.03 -5.4 7
2012-10-13 @ Lovcen W 3-253.4 1266 1243 34.21% 28.91% 36.88%-0.03 +5.4 15
2012-10-20 Grbalj D 0-048.4 1271 1271 40.10% 28.73% 31.17%+0.10 -0.3 16
2012-10-20 @ Mladost Podgorica D 0-048.4 1271 1271 31.17% 28.73% 40.10%-0.10 +0.3 15
2012-10-20 Jedinstvo D 0-050.0 1355 1223 57.56% 24.23% 18.21%+0.51 -1.5 18
2012-10-20 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 0-050.0 1223 1355 18.21% 24.23% 57.56%-0.51 +1.5 14
2012-10-20 Lovcen W 2-146.9 1235 1238 39.66% 28.77% 31.57%+0.09 +5.1 12
2012-10-20 @ Petrovac L 1-246.9 1238 1235 31.57% 28.77% 39.66%-0.09 -5.1 7
2012-10-20 Mornar W 3-245.7 1372 1209 61.18% 22.63% 16.20%+0.60 +2.6 25
2012-10-20 @ Rudar L 2-345.7 1209 1372 16.20% 22.63% 61.18%-0.60 -2.6 4
2012-10-20 Zeta D 1-153.8 1312 1255 47.96% 27.43% 24.60%+0.28 -0.8 16
2012-10-20 @ Mogren D 1-153.8 1255 1312 24.60% 27.43% 47.96%-0.28 +0.8 6
2012-10-21 Sutjeska W 3-035.7 1312 1308 40.69% 28.68% 30.63%+0.11 +14.4 23
2012-10-21 @ Celik Niksic L 0-335.7 1308 1312 30.63% 28.68% 40.69%-0.11 -14.5 25
2012-10-27 Grbalj D 0-048.2 1240 1271 35.65% 28.93% 35.42%+0.00 +0.0 13
2012-10-27 @ Petrovac D 0-048.2 1271 1240 35.42% 28.93% 35.65%+0.00 +0.0 16
2012-10-27 Mogren W 3-145.1 1271 1311 34.28% 28.91% 36.81%-0.03 +9.8 19
2012-10-27 @ Mladost Podgorica L 1-345.1 1311 1271 36.81% 28.91% 34.28%+0.03 -9.9 16
2012-10-27 Mornar L 0-145.4 1255 1206 46.84% 27.69% 25.47%+0.25 -7.2 6
2012-10-27 @ Zeta W 1-045.4 1206 1255 25.47% 27.69% 46.84%-0.25 +7.2 7
2012-10-28 Jedinstvo D 1-155.3 1375 1224 59.70% 23.30% 16.99%+0.56 -1.5 26
2012-10-28 @ Rudar D 1-155.3 1224 1375 16.99% 23.30% 59.70%-0.56 +1.5 15
2012-10-28 Lovcen D 1-154.2 1327 1233 52.75% 26.05% 21.20%+0.39 -1.0 24
2012-10-28 @ Celik Niksic D 1-154.2 1233 1327 21.20% 26.05% 52.75%-0.39 +1.1 8
2012-10-28 Sutjeska W 2-035.7 1354 1293 48.35% 27.34% 24.31%+0.28 +8.2 21
2012-10-28 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-235.7 1293 1354 24.31% 27.34% 48.35%-0.28 -8.2 25
2012-11-03 Buducnost Podgorica L 1-244.6 1234 1362 23.87% 27.19% 48.94%-0.30 -4.0 8
2012-11-03 @ Lovcen W 2-144.6 1362 1234 48.94% 27.19% 23.87%+0.30 +4.0 24
2012-11-03 Celik Niksic W 2-040.1 1271 1326 32.34% 28.83% 38.83%-0.07 +11.8 19
2012-11-03 @ Grbalj L 0-240.1 1326 1271 38.83% 28.83% 32.34%+0.07 -11.8 24
2012-11-03 Mornar L 1-345.9 1226 1214 41.74% 28.56% 29.70%+0.14 -10.8 15
2012-11-03 @ Jedinstvo W 3-145.9 1214 1226 29.70% 28.56% 41.74%-0.14 +10.8 10
2012-11-03 Petrovac W 3-140.6 1301 1240 48.48% 27.31% 24.22%+0.29 +7.1 19
2012-11-03 @ Mogren L 1-340.6 1240 1301 24.22% 27.31% 48.48%-0.29 -7.1 13
2012-11-03 Zeta D 1-153.5 1281 1248 44.58% 28.14% 27.28%+0.20 -0.5 20
2012-11-03 @ Mladost Podgorica D 1-153.5 1248 1281 27.28% 28.14% 44.58%-0.20 +0.5 7
2012-11-04 Rudar W 2-041.8 1285 1373 28.18% 28.32% 43.50%-0.17 +12.9 28
2012-11-04 @ Sutjeska L 0-241.8 1373 1285 43.50% 28.32% 28.18%+0.17 -12.9 26
2012-11-10 Grbalj W 1-038.6 1366 1283 51.34% 26.50% 22.16%+0.36 +4.0 27
2012-11-10 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-138.6 1283 1366 22.16% 26.50% 51.34%-0.36 -4.0 19
2012-11-10 Jedinstvo W 2-145.3 1249 1215 44.80% 28.10% 27.10%+0.20 +4.5 10
2012-11-10 @ Zeta L 1-245.3 1215 1249 27.10% 28.10% 44.80%-0.20 -4.5 15
2012-11-10 Lovcen W 3-030.5 1360 1230 57.29% 24.35% 18.37%+0.50 +9.1 29
2012-11-10 @ Rudar L 0-330.5 1230 1360 18.37% 24.35% 57.29%-0.50 -9.1 8
2012-11-10 Mogren D 0-048.9 1314 1309 40.82% 28.66% 30.51%+0.11 -0.4 25
2012-11-10 @ Celik Niksic D 0-048.9 1309 1314 30.51% 28.66% 40.82%-0.11 +0.4 20
2012-11-10 Sutjeska D 0-048.4 1224 1298 29.90% 28.59% 41.51%-0.13 +0.4 11
2012-11-10 @ Mornar D 0-048.4 1298 1224 41.51% 28.59% 29.90%+0.13 -0.4 29
2012-11-10 Mladost Podgorica W 3-145.0 1233 1280 33.39% 28.88% 37.73%-0.05 +10.0 16
2012-11-10 @ Petrovac L 1-345.0 1280 1233 37.73% 28.88% 33.39%+0.05 -10.0 20
2012-11-17 Buducnost Podgorica L 1-248.1 1309 1370 31.49% 28.76% 39.75%-0.09 -5.1 20
2012-11-17 @ Mogren W 2-148.1 1370 1309 39.75% 28.76% 31.49%+0.09 +5.1 30
2012-11-17 Celik Niksic L 0-142.3 1270 1314 33.85% 28.90% 37.24%-0.04 -5.7 20
2012-11-17 @ Mladost Podgorica W 1-042.3 1314 1270 37.24% 28.90% 33.85%+0.04 +5.7 28
2012-11-17 Jedinstvo W 3-031.8 1298 1210 51.91% 26.32% 21.77%+0.37 +10.8 32
2012-11-17 @ Sutjeska L 0-331.8 1210 1298 21.77% 26.32% 51.91%-0.37 -10.8 15
2012-11-17 Mornar L 1-249.2 1221 1225 39.48% 28.78% 31.74%+0.09 -6.0 8
2012-11-17 @ Lovcen W 2-149.2 1225 1221 31.74% 28.78% 39.48%-0.09 +6.0 14
2012-11-17 Rudar W 4-039.7 1279 1369 27.89% 28.27% 43.85%-0.18 +24.6 22
2012-11-17 @ Grbalj L 0-439.7 1369 1279 43.85% 28.27% 27.89%+0.18 -24.6 29
2012-11-17 Zeta D 0-048.2 1243 1253 38.62% 28.84% 32.54%+0.07 -0.2 17
2012-11-17 @ Petrovac D 0-048.2 1253 1243 32.54% 28.84% 38.62%-0.07 +0.2 11
2012-11-24 Grbalj W 1-044.2 1231 1304 30.02% 28.60% 41.37%-0.13 +6.6 17
2012-11-24 @ Mornar L 0-144.2 1304 1231 41.37% 28.60% 30.02%+0.13 -6.6 22
2012-11-24 Lovcen W 3-035.7 1199 1215 37.88% 28.88% 33.24%+0.05 +15.4 18
2012-11-24 @ Jedinstvo L 0-335.7 1215 1199 33.24% 28.88% 37.88%-0.05 -15.4 8
2012-11-24 Mogren W 1-040.3 1345 1304 45.75% 27.92% 26.33%+0.23 +4.7 32
2012-11-24 @ Rudar L 0-140.3 1304 1345 26.33% 27.92% 45.75%-0.23 -4.7 20
2012-11-24 Petrovac L 0-242.8 1319 1243 50.47% 26.76% 22.77%+0.33 -14.4 28
2012-11-24 @ Celik Niksic W 2-042.8 1243 1319 22.77% 26.76% 50.47%-0.33 +14.4 20
2012-11-24 Sutjeska W 1-043.7 1253 1309 32.29% 28.82% 38.88%-0.07 +6.3 14
2012-11-24 @ Zeta L 0-143.7 1309 1253 38.88% 28.82% 32.29%+0.07 -6.3 32
2012-11-24 Mladost Podgorica W 1-037.4 1375 1264 54.86% 25.30% 19.84%+0.44 +3.6 33
2012-11-24 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-137.4 1264 1375 19.84% 25.30% 54.86%-0.44 -3.6 20
2012-12-01 Buducnost Podgorica D 1-154.3 1257 1379 24.54% 27.41% 48.05%-0.28 +0.8 21
2012-12-01 @ Petrovac D 1-154.3 1379 1257 48.05% 27.41% 24.54%+0.28 -0.8 34
2012-12-01 Jedinstvo W 2-143.5 1297 1215 51.22% 26.54% 22.24%+0.35 +3.8 25
2012-12-01 @ Grbalj L 1-243.5 1215 1297 22.24% 26.54% 51.22%-0.35 -3.8 18
2012-12-01 Rudar W 2-041.5 1261 1349 28.09% 28.30% 43.61%-0.18 +12.9 23
2012-12-01 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-241.5 1349 1261 43.61% 28.30% 28.09%+0.18 -12.9 32
2012-12-01 Sutjeska L 1-636.6 1199 1302 26.49% 27.96% 45.55%-0.22 -17.1 8
2012-12-01 @ Lovcen W 6-136.6 1302 1199 45.55% 27.96% 26.49%+0.22 +17.2 35
2012-12-01 Zeta D 2-259.4 1305 1260 46.31% 27.81% 25.88%+0.24 -0.5 29
2012-12-01 @ Celik Niksic D 2-259.4 1260 1305 25.88% 27.81% 46.31%-0.24 +0.5 15
2012-12-02 Mornar W 2-144.4 1299 1237 48.54% 27.29% 24.17%+0.29 +4.1 23
2012-12-02 @ Mogren L 1-244.4 1237 1299 24.17% 27.29% 48.54%-0.29 -4.1 17
2013-02-26 Celik Niksic D 1-155.0 1378 1304 50.11% 26.87% 23.02%+0.33 -0.9 35
2013-02-26 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 1-155.0 1304 1378 23.02% 26.87% 50.11%-0.33 +0.9 30
2013-02-26 Grbalj W 1-040.9 1319 1301 42.68% 28.44% 28.88%+0.16 +5.0 38
2013-02-26 @ Sutjeska L 0-140.9 1301 1319 28.88% 28.44% 42.68%-0.16 -5.0 25
2013-02-26 Lovcen W 2-034.0 1260 1182 50.68% 26.70% 22.62%+0.34 +7.7 18
2013-02-26 @ Zeta L 0-234.0 1182 1260 22.62% 26.70% 50.68%-0.34 -7.7 8
2013-02-26 Mogren L 1-245.7 1211 1303 27.68% 28.22% 44.09%-0.19 -4.6 18
2013-02-26 @ Jedinstvo W 2-145.7 1303 1211 44.09% 28.22% 27.68%+0.19 +4.6 26
2013-02-26 Petrovac L 0-243.0 1337 1258 50.74% 26.68% 22.58%+0.34 -14.5 32
2013-02-26 @ Rudar W 2-043.0 1258 1337 22.58% 26.68% 50.74%-0.34 +14.5 24
2013-02-26 Mladost Podgorica D 0-048.2 1233 1274 34.31% 28.92% 36.78%-0.03 +0.1 18
2013-02-26 @ Mornar D 0-048.2 1274 1233 36.78% 28.92% 34.31%+0.03 -0.1 24
2013-03-02 Jedinstvo D 3-362.8 1274 1206 49.26% 27.10% 23.64%+0.31 -0.5 25
2013-03-02 @ Mladost Podgorica D 3-362.8 1206 1274 23.64% 27.10% 49.26%-0.31 +0.5 19
2013-03-02 Lovcen W 1-036.2 1296 1175 56.15% 24.81% 19.04%+0.47 +3.5 28
2013-03-02 @ Grbalj L 0-136.2 1175 1296 19.04% 24.81% 56.15%-0.47 -3.5 8
2013-03-02 Rudar W 1-042.5 1305 1322 37.67% 28.89% 33.45%+0.05 +5.6 33
2013-03-02 @ Celik Niksic L 0-142.5 1322 1305 33.45% 28.89% 37.67%-0.05 -5.6 32
2013-03-02 Sutjeska L 0-240.0 1308 1324 37.70% 28.89% 33.42%+0.05 -11.6 26
2013-03-02 @ Mogren W 2-040.0 1324 1308 33.42% 28.89% 37.70%-0.05 +11.6 41
2013-03-02 Zeta D 3-364.3 1377 1268 54.66% 25.38% 19.97%+0.44 -0.7 36
2013-03-02 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 3-364.3 1268 1377 19.97% 25.38% 54.66%-0.44 +0.7 19
2013-03-03 Mornar D 1-153.4 1273 1233 45.51% 27.97% 26.52%+0.22 -0.6 25
2013-03-03 @ Petrovac D 1-153.4 1233 1273 26.52% 27.97% 45.51%-0.22 +0.6 19
2013-03-09 Buducnost Podgorica D 0-049.6 1316 1376 31.65% 28.77% 39.57%-0.09 +0.3 33
2013-03-09 @ Rudar D 0-049.6 1376 1316 39.57% 28.77% 31.65%+0.09 -0.3 37
2013-03-09 Celik Niksic D 0-048.5 1234 1311 29.51% 28.53% 41.96%-0.14 +0.4 20
2013-03-09 @ Mornar D 0-048.5 1311 1234 41.96% 28.53% 29.51%+0.14 -0.4 34
2013-03-09 Grbalj W 1-042.7 1269 1299 35.71% 28.93% 35.36%+0.00 +5.9 22
2013-03-09 @ Zeta L 0-142.7 1299 1269 35.36% 28.93% 35.71%+0.00 -5.9 28
2013-03-09 Mogren W 1-045.8 1171 1296 24.16% 27.29% 48.55%-0.29 +7.4 11
2013-03-09 @ Lovcen L 0-145.8 1296 1171 48.55% 27.29% 24.16%+0.29 -7.4 26
2013-03-09 Petrovac W 2-040.0 1207 1272 30.98% 28.71% 40.30%-0.10 +12.2 22
2013-03-09 @ Jedinstvo L 0-240.0 1272 1207 40.30% 28.71% 30.98%+0.10 -12.2 25
2013-03-09 Mladost Podgorica W 2-144.8 1336 1273 48.71% 27.25% 24.05%+0.29 +4.1 44
2013-03-09 @ Sutjeska L 1-244.8 1273 1336 24.05% 27.25% 48.71%-0.29 -4.1 25
2013-03-16 Grbalj D 0-048.6 1289 1293 39.43% 28.79% 31.79%+0.08 -0.3 27
2013-03-16 @ Mogren D 0-048.6 1293 1289 31.79% 28.79% 39.43%-0.08 +0.3 29
2013-03-16 Jedinstvo W 2-033.7 1310 1219 52.40% 26.16% 21.43%+0.38 +7.3 37
2013-03-16 @ Celik Niksic L 0-233.7 1219 1310 21.43% 26.16% 52.40%-0.38 -7.3 22
2013-03-16 Lovcen D 0-048.9 1269 1179 52.29% 26.20% 21.51%+0.38 -1.2 26
2013-03-16 @ Mladost Podgorica D 0-048.9 1179 1269 21.51% 26.20% 52.29%-0.38 +1.2 12
2013-03-16 Mornar W 4-135.1 1376 1234 58.64% 23.77% 17.59%+0.54 +7.3 40
2013-03-16 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 1-435.1 1234 1376 17.59% 23.77% 58.64%-0.54 -7.3 20
2013-03-16 Sutjeska L 1-246.6 1260 1340 29.10% 28.47% 42.43%-0.15 -4.8 25
2013-03-16 @ Petrovac W 2-146.6 1340 1260 42.43% 28.47% 29.10%+0.15 +4.8 47
2013-03-16 Zeta D 1-153.9 1317 1275 45.91% 27.89% 26.20%+0.23 -0.6 34
2013-03-16 @ Rudar D 1-153.9 1275 1317 26.20% 27.89% 45.91%-0.23 +0.6 23
2013-03-20 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-532.0 1212 1383 20.03% 25.42% 54.55%-0.43 -16.0 22
2013-03-20 @ Jedinstvo W 5-032.0 1383 1212 54.55% 25.42% 20.03%+0.43 +16.0 43
2013-03-20 Celik Niksic W 1-041.0 1345 1318 43.85% 28.27% 27.89%+0.18 +4.9 50
2013-03-20 @ Sutjeska L 0-141.0 1318 1345 27.89% 28.27% 43.85%-0.18 -4.9 37
2013-03-20 Mogren W 1-041.9 1275 1289 38.16% 28.86% 32.98%+0.06 +5.6 26
2013-03-20 @ Zeta L 0-141.9 1289 1275 32.98% 28.86% 38.16%-0.06 -5.6 27
2013-03-20 Petrovac D 1-153.0 1180 1255 29.68% 28.56% 41.76%-0.14 +0.4 13
2013-03-20 @ Lovcen D 1-153.0 1255 1180 41.76% 28.56% 29.68%+0.14 -0.4 26
2013-03-20 Rudar L 0-236.4 1227 1316 28.06% 28.30% 43.64%-0.18 -9.3 20
2013-03-20 @ Mornar W 2-036.4 1316 1227 43.64% 28.30% 28.06%+0.18 +9.3 37
2013-03-20 Mladost Podgorica D 1-153.6 1294 1268 43.66% 28.30% 28.05%+0.18 -0.5 30
2013-03-20 @ Grbalj D 1-153.6 1268 1294 28.05% 28.30% 43.66%-0.18 +0.5 27
2013-03-30 Buducnost Podgorica L 2-346.6 1196 1399 17.67% 23.84% 58.49%-0.53 -2.8 22
2013-03-30 @ Jedinstvo W 3-246.6 1399 1196 58.49% 23.84% 17.67%+0.53 +2.8 46
2013-03-30 Celik Niksic W 2-040.0 1255 1313 31.88% 28.79% 39.33%-0.08 +11.9 29
2013-03-30 @ Petrovac L 0-240.0 1313 1255 39.33% 28.79% 31.88%+0.08 -11.9 37
2013-03-30 Grbalj L 0-143.7 1283 1293 38.63% 28.84% 32.53%+0.07 -6.2 27
2013-03-30 @ Mogren W 1-043.7 1293 1283 32.53% 28.84% 38.63%-0.07 +6.2 33
2013-03-30 Lovcen L 0-541.3 1268 1180 52.01% 26.29% 21.70%+0.37 -34.6 27
2013-03-30 @ Mladost Podgorica W 5-041.3 1180 1268 21.70% 26.29% 52.01%-0.37 +34.6 16
2013-03-30 Rudar L 0-238.6 1281 1325 33.71% 28.90% 37.39%-0.04 -10.7 26
2013-03-30 @ Zeta W 2-038.6 1325 1281 37.39% 28.90% 33.71%+0.04 +10.7 40
2013-03-30 Sutjeska D 1-154.0 1218 1350 23.50% 27.05% 49.44%-0.31 +0.9 21
2013-03-30 @ Mornar D 1-154.0 1350 1218 49.44% 27.05% 23.50%+0.31 -0.8 51
2013-04-06 Jedinstvo W 4-134.2 1349 1193 60.35% 23.01% 16.64%+0.58 +6.9 54
2013-04-06 @ Sutjeska L 1-434.2 1193 1349 16.64% 23.01% 60.35%-0.58 -6.9 22
2013-04-06 Mogren W 3-249.8 1336 1277 48.22% 27.37% 24.41%+0.28 +3.9 43
2013-04-06 @ Rudar L 2-349.8 1277 1336 24.41% 27.37% 48.22%-0.28 -3.9 27
2013-04-06 Mornar W 2-037.3 1215 1219 39.48% 28.78% 31.74%+0.09 +10.2 19
2013-04-06 @ Lovcen L 0-237.3 1219 1215 31.74% 28.78% 39.48%-0.09 -10.2 21
2013-04-06 Petrovac D 1-155.6 1402 1267 57.92% 24.08% 18.00%+0.52 -1.4 47
2013-04-06 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 1-155.6 1267 1402 18.00% 24.08% 57.92%-0.52 +1.4 30
2013-04-06 Mladost Podgorica W 4-137.5 1299 1234 49.05% 27.16% 23.79%+0.30 +9.9 36
2013-04-06 @ Grbalj L 1-437.5 1234 1299 23.79% 27.16% 49.05%-0.30 -9.9 27
2013-04-06 Zeta W 4-353.0 1301 1270 44.37% 28.18% 27.46%+0.19 +4.2 40
2013-04-06 @ Celik Niksic L 3-453.0 1270 1301 27.46% 28.18% 44.37%-0.19 -4.2 26
2013-04-13 Buducnost Podgorica D 0-049.8 1266 1401 23.20% 26.94% 49.86%-0.32 +1.0 27
2013-04-13 @ Zeta D 0-049.8 1401 1266 49.86% 26.94% 23.20%+0.32 -1.0 48
2013-04-13 Celik Niksic L 0-142.8 1273 1305 35.44% 28.93% 35.63%+0.00 -5.9 27
2013-04-13 @ Mogren W 1-042.8 1305 1273 35.63% 28.93% 35.44%+0.00 +5.9 43
2013-04-13 Lovcen W 3-032.0 1309 1225 51.50% 26.45% 22.05%+0.36 +10.9 39
2013-04-13 @ Grbalj L 0-332.0 1225 1309 22.05% 26.45% 51.50%-0.36 -10.9 19
2013-04-13 Mornar W 2-147.5 1186 1209 36.86% 28.91% 34.23%+0.03 +5.4 25
2013-04-13 @ Jedinstvo L 1-247.5 1209 1186 34.23% 28.91% 36.86%-0.03 -5.4 21
2013-04-13 Rudar W 2-042.1 1224 1340 25.08% 27.58% 47.34%-0.26 +13.7 30
2013-04-13 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-242.1 1340 1224 47.34% 27.58% 25.08%+0.26 -13.7 43
2013-04-13 Sutjeska L 1-246.5 1268 1356 28.19% 28.32% 43.48%-0.17 -4.7 30
2013-04-13 @ Petrovac W 2-146.5 1356 1268 43.48% 28.32% 28.19%+0.17 +4.7 57
2013-04-20 Grbalj L 0-241.0 1326 1320 40.92% 28.65% 30.43%+0.12 -12.3 43
2013-04-20 @ Rudar W 2-041.0 1320 1326 30.43% 28.65% 40.92%-0.12 +12.3 42
2013-04-20 Jedinstvo W 2-036.1 1214 1191 43.21% 28.36% 28.42%+0.17 +9.4 22
2013-04-20 @ Lovcen L 0-236.1 1191 1214 28.42% 28.36% 43.21%-0.17 -9.4 25
2013-04-20 Mogren L 1-254.4 1400 1267 57.60% 24.22% 18.18%+0.51 -8.0 48
2013-04-20 @ Buducnost Podgorica W 2-154.4 1267 1400 18.18% 24.22% 57.60%-0.51 +8.0 30
2013-04-20 Petrovac D 1-153.1 1203 1263 31.61% 28.77% 39.62%-0.09 +0.2 22
2013-04-20 @ Mornar D 1-153.1 1263 1203 39.62% 28.77% 31.61%+0.09 -0.2 31
2013-04-20 Mladost Podgorica W 1-038.3 1311 1238 50.08% 26.87% 23.04%+0.33 +4.2 46
2013-04-20 @ Celik Niksic L 0-138.3 1238 1311 23.04% 26.87% 50.08%-0.33 -4.1 30
2013-04-20 Zeta W 2-034.2 1360 1267 52.70% 26.07% 21.24%+0.39 +7.3 60
2013-04-20 @ Sutjeska L 0-234.2 1267 1360 21.24% 26.07% 52.70%-0.39 -7.3 27
2013-04-27 Buducnost Podgorica L 1-243.7 1233 1392 21.11% 26.00% 52.89%-0.39 -3.6 30
2013-04-27 @ Mladost Podgorica W 2-143.7 1392 1233 52.89% 26.00% 21.11%+0.39 +3.6 51
2013-04-27 Celik Niksic L 2-355.8 1332 1315 42.48% 28.47% 29.05%+0.15 -6.0 42
2013-04-27 @ Grbalj W 3-255.8 1315 1332 29.05% 28.47% 42.48%-0.15 +6.0 49
2013-04-27 Jedinstvo L 0-146.3 1263 1182 51.08% 26.58% 22.34%+0.35 -7.7 31
2013-04-27 @ Petrovac W 1-046.3 1182 1263 22.34% 26.58% 51.08%-0.35 +7.7 28
2013-04-27 Lovcen L 1-252.5 1314 1223 52.31% 26.19% 21.50%+0.38 -7.4 43
2013-04-27 @ Rudar W 2-152.5 1223 1314 21.50% 26.19% 52.31%-0.38 +7.4 25
2013-04-27 Mornar D 0-048.5 1260 1203 47.81% 27.47% 24.72%+0.27 -0.8 28
2013-04-27 @ Zeta D 0-048.5 1203 1260 24.72% 27.47% 47.81%-0.27 +0.8 23
2013-04-27 Sutjeska W 3-256.2 1275 1368 27.62% 28.21% 44.17%-0.19 +6.2 33
2013-04-27 @ Mogren L 2-356.2 1368 1275 44.17% 28.21% 27.62%+0.19 -6.2 60
2013-04-30 Mogren W 2-149.9 1204 1281 29.50% 28.53% 41.97%-0.14 +6.3 26
2013-04-30 @ Mornar L 1-249.9 1281 1204 41.97% 28.53% 29.50%+0.14 -6.3 33
2013-05-01 Grbalj L 1-446.8 1396 1326 49.52% 27.03% 23.45%+0.31 -17.4 51
2013-05-01 @ Buducnost Podgorica W 4-146.8 1326 1396 23.45% 27.03% 49.52%-0.31 +17.4 45
2013-05-01 Petrovac L 0-142.7 1231 1255 36.55% 28.92% 34.53%+0.02 -6.0 25
2013-05-01 @ Lovcen W 1-042.7 1255 1231 34.53% 28.92% 36.55%-0.02 +6.0 34
2013-05-01 Rudar D 1-153.9 1321 1306 42.13% 28.51% 29.36%+0.14 -0.4 50
2013-05-01 @ Celik Niksic D 1-153.9 1306 1321 29.36% 28.51% 42.13%-0.14 +0.4 44
2013-05-01 Mladost Podgorica L 2-358.6 1362 1230 57.44% 24.28% 18.27%+0.51 -7.6 60
2013-05-01 @ Sutjeska W 3-258.6 1230 1362 18.27% 24.28% 57.44%-0.51 +7.6 33
2013-05-01 Zeta D 1-153.0 1190 1259 30.49% 28.66% 40.85%-0.12 +0.3 29
2013-05-01 @ Jedinstvo D 1-153.0 1259 1190 40.85% 28.66% 30.49%+0.12 -0.3 29
2013-05-04 Jedinstvo W 1-037.5 1275 1190 51.56% 26.43% 22.01%+0.36 +4.0 36
2013-05-04 @ Mogren L 0-137.5 1190 1275 22.01% 26.43% 51.56%-0.36 -4.0 29
2013-05-04 Lovcen L 1-348.9 1321 1225 53.01% 25.96% 21.03%+0.40 -13.0 50
2013-05-04 @ Celik Niksic W 3-148.9 1225 1321 21.03% 25.96% 53.01%-0.40 +13.0 28
2013-05-04 Mornar D 3-362.4 1237 1210 43.83% 28.27% 27.90%+0.18 -0.3 34
2013-05-04 @ Mladost Podgorica D 3-362.4 1210 1237 27.90% 28.27% 43.83%-0.18 +0.3 27
2013-05-04 Petrovac D 2-258.9 1258 1261 39.64% 28.77% 31.59%+0.09 -0.2 30
2013-05-04 @ Zeta D 2-258.9 1261 1258 31.59% 28.77% 39.64%-0.09 +0.2 35
2013-05-04 Sutjeska D 1-154.6 1344 1354 38.62% 28.84% 32.54%+0.07 -0.2 46
2013-05-04 @ Grbalj D 1-154.6 1354 1344 32.54% 28.84% 38.62%-0.07 +0.2 61
2013-05-05 Buducnost Podgorica L 3-454.9 1307 1378 30.20% 28.63% 41.17%-0.12 -4.6 44
2013-05-05 @ Rudar W 4-354.9 1378 1307 41.17% 28.63% 30.20%+0.12 +4.6 54
2013-05-11 Celik Niksic W 1-039.4 1383 1308 50.27% 26.82% 22.91%+0.33 +4.1 57
2013-05-11 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-139.4 1308 1383 22.91% 26.82% 50.27%-0.33 -4.1 50
2013-05-11 Grbalj W 3-040.5 1211 1344 23.41% 27.02% 49.57%-0.31 +20.7 30
2013-05-11 @ Mornar L 0-340.5 1344 1211 49.57% 27.02% 23.41%+0.31 -20.7 46
2013-05-11 Mogren D 2-259.0 1262 1279 37.60% 28.89% 33.51%+0.04 -0.1 36
2013-05-11 @ Petrovac D 2-259.0 1279 1262 33.51% 28.89% 37.60%-0.04 +0.1 37
2013-05-11 Mladost Podgorica D 1-152.9 1186 1237 32.84% 28.86% 38.30%-0.06 +0.2 30
2013-05-11 @ Jedinstvo D 1-152.9 1237 1186 38.30% 28.86% 32.84%+0.06 -0.2 35
2013-05-11 Zeta W 3-252.5 1238 1258 37.14% 28.91% 33.96%+0.03 +5.1 31
2013-05-11 @ Lovcen L 2-352.5 1258 1238 33.96% 28.91% 37.14%-0.03 -5.1 30
2013-05-12 Rudar D 1-154.5 1354 1302 47.22% 27.61% 25.17%+0.26 -0.7 62
2013-05-12 @ Sutjeska D 1-154.5 1302 1354 25.17% 27.61% 47.22%-0.26 +0.7 45
2013-05-18 Jedinstvo W 4-134.7 1323 1186 58.05% 24.03% 17.92%+0.52 +7.5 49
2013-05-18 @ Grbalj L 1-434.7 1186 1323 17.92% 24.03% 58.05%-0.52 -7.5 30
2013-05-18 Lovcen L 0-342.8 1387 1243 58.93% 23.65% 17.42%+0.54 -23.6 57
2013-05-18 @ Buducnost Podgorica W 3-042.8 1243 1387 17.42% 23.65% 58.93%-0.54 +23.6 34
2013-05-18 Mornar W 3-140.2 1303 1231 49.84% 26.94% 23.21%+0.32 +6.8 48
2013-05-18 @ Rudar L 1-340.2 1231 1303 23.21% 26.94% 49.84%-0.32 -6.8 30
2013-05-18 Petrovac D 1-153.1 1237 1261 36.56% 28.92% 34.52%+0.02 -0.1 36
2013-05-18 @ Mladost Podgorica D 1-153.1 1261 1237 34.52% 28.92% 36.56%-0.02 +0.1 37
2013-05-18 Sutjeska W 1-044.2 1304 1353 33.00% 28.87% 38.13%-0.06 +6.2 53
2013-05-18 @ Celik Niksic L 0-144.2 1353 1304 38.13% 28.87% 33.00%+0.06 -6.2 62
2013-05-18 Zeta L 1-443.8 1279 1253 43.67% 28.29% 28.04%+0.18 -15.8 37
2013-05-18 @ Mogren W 4-143.8 1253 1279 28.04% 28.29% 43.67%-0.18 +15.8 33
2013-05-25 Buducnost Podgorica L 1-346.6 1347 1363 37.79% 28.88% 33.32%+0.05 -10.0 62
2013-05-25 @ Sutjeska W 3-146.6 1363 1347 33.32% 28.88% 37.79%-0.05 +10.0 60
2013-05-25 Celik Niksic W 4-143.7 1225 1310 28.50% 28.38% 43.13%-0.17 +15.7 33
2013-05-25 @ Mornar L 1-443.7 1310 1225 43.13% 28.38% 28.50%+0.17 -15.7 53
2013-05-25 Grbalj D 1-153.6 1262 1330 30.49% 28.66% 40.85%-0.12 +0.3 38
2013-05-25 @ Petrovac D 1-153.6 1330 1262 40.85% 28.66% 30.49%+0.12 -0.3 50
2013-05-25 Mogren W 2-146.8 1266 1263 40.53% 28.69% 30.78%+0.11 +5.0 37
2013-05-25 @ Lovcen L 1-246.8 1263 1266 30.78% 28.69% 40.53%-0.11 -5.0 37
2013-05-25 Rudar W 2-042.2 1179 1310 23.58% 27.08% 49.34%-0.31 +14.2 33
2013-05-25 @ Jedinstvo L 0-242.2 1310 1179 49.34% 27.08% 23.58%+0.31 -14.2 48
2013-05-25 Mladost Podgorica W 5-034.6 1269 1237 44.53% 28.15% 27.32%+0.20 +21.2 36
2013-05-25 @ Zeta L 0-534.6 1237 1269 27.32% 28.15% 44.53%-0.20 -21.2 36
2013-06-01 Jedinstvo L 1-252.6 1294 1193 53.66% 25.74% 20.61%+0.41 -7.6 53
2013-06-01 @ Celik Niksic W 2-152.6 1193 1294 20.61% 25.74% 53.66%-0.41 +7.6 36
2013-06-01 Lovcen W 2-144.7 1337 1271 49.08% 27.15% 23.77%+0.30 +4.0 65
2013-06-01 @ Sutjeska L 1-244.7 1271 1337 23.77% 27.15% 49.08%-0.30 -4.0 37
2013-06-01 Mogren W 3-144.7 1216 1258 34.00% 28.91% 37.09%-0.03 +9.9 39
2013-06-01 @ Mladost Podgorica L 1-344.7 1258 1216 37.09% 28.91% 34.00%+0.03 -9.9 37
2013-06-01 Mornar L 0-148.2 1373 1240 57.59% 24.22% 18.19%+0.51 -8.5 60
2013-06-01 @ Buducnost Podgorica W 1-048.2 1240 1373 18.19% 24.22% 57.59%-0.51 +8.5 36
2013-06-01 Petrovac W 2-145.6 1296 1262 44.78% 28.11% 27.12%+0.20 +4.5 51
2013-06-01 @ Rudar L 1-245.6 1262 1296 27.12% 28.11% 44.78%-0.20 -4.5 38
2013-06-01 Zeta D 1-154.0 1330 1290 45.61% 27.95% 26.44%+0.22 -0.6 51
2013-06-01 @ Grbalj D 1-154.0 1290 1330 26.44% 27.95% 45.61%-0.22 +0.6 37

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2013-05-18 17.42% Lovcen 1243 3 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1387 0
2 2013-04-20 18.18% Mogren 1267 2 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1400 1
3 2013-06-01 18.19% Mornar 1240 1 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1373 0
4 2013-05-01 18.27% Mladost Podgorica 1230 3 @ Sutjeska 1362 2
5 2013-06-01 20.61% Jedinstvo 1193 2 @ Celik Niksic 1294 1
6 2012-09-22 20.64% Jedinstvo 1199 1 @ Mogren 1300 0
7 2013-05-04 21.03% Lovcen 1225 3 @ Celik Niksic 1321 1
8 2013-04-27 21.50% Lovcen 1223 2 @ Rudar 1314 1
9 2013-03-30 21.70% Lovcen 1180 5 @ Mladost Podgorica 1268 0
10 2013-04-27 22.34% Jedinstvo 1182 1 @ Petrovac 1263 0
11 2012-09-30 22.56% Celik Niksic 1283 3 @ Rudar 1362 1
12 2013-02-26 22.58% Petrovac 1258 2 @ Rudar 1337 0
13 2012-08-25 22.63% Mogren 1280 2 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1358 0
14 2012-11-24 22.77% Petrovac 1243 2 @ Celik Niksic 1319 0
15 2012-08-18 23.22% Sutjeska 1281 1 @ Rudar 1352 0
16 2013-05-11 23.41% @ Mornar 1211 3 Grbalj 1344 0
17 2013-05-01 23.45% Grbalj 1326 4 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1396 1
18 2013-05-25 23.58% @ Jedinstvo 1179 2 Rudar 1310 0
19 2012-09-01 23.98% Jedinstvo 1191 1 @ Lovcen 1255 0
20 2013-03-09 24.16% @ Lovcen 1171 1 Mogren 1296 0
21 2013-04-13 25.08% @ Mladost Podgorica 1224 2 Rudar 1340 0
22 2012-08-18 25.17% Grbalj 1238 3 @ Celik Niksic 1290 0
23 2012-10-06 25.23% Jedinstvo 1208 3 @ Petrovac 1259 0
24 2012-08-11 25.32% Mladost Podgorica 1255 3 @ Mogren 1306 0
25 2012-10-27 25.47% Mornar 1206 1 @ Zeta 1255 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2013-03-30 34.57 Lovcen 5 1180 21.70% @ Mladost Podgorica 0 1268 52.01% 26.29%
2 2012-11-17 24.58 @ Grbalj 4 1279 27.89% Rudar 0 1369 43.85% 28.27%
3 2013-05-18 23.64 Lovcen 3 1243 17.42% @ Buducnost Podgorica 0 1387 58.93% 23.65%
4 2013-05-25 21.24 @ Zeta 5 1269 44.53% Mladost Podgorica 0 1237 27.32% 28.15%
5 2013-05-11 20.68 @ Mornar 3 1211 23.41% Grbalj 0 1344 49.57% 27.02%
6 2012-08-18 19.92 Grbalj 3 1238 25.17% @ Celik Niksic 0 1290 47.22% 27.61%
7 2012-10-06 19.89 Jedinstvo 3 1208 25.23% @ Petrovac 0 1259 47.14% 27.63%
8 2012-08-11 19.86 Mladost Podgorica 3 1255 25.32% @ Mogren 0 1306 47.03% 27.65%
9 2012-08-11 17.84 Celik Niksic 3 1272 30.50% @ Lovcen 0 1278 40.84% 28.66%
10 2013-05-01 17.43 Grbalj 4 1326 23.45% @ Buducnost Podgorica 1 1396 49.52% 27.03%
11 2012-12-01 17.15 Sutjeska 6 1302 45.55% @ Lovcen 1 1199 26.49% 27.96%
12 2013-03-20 16.03 Buducnost Podgorica 5 1383 54.55% @ Jedinstvo 0 1212 20.03% 25.42%
13 2013-05-18 15.82 Zeta 4 1253 28.04% @ Mogren 1 1279 43.67% 28.29%
14 2013-05-25 15.67 @ Mornar 4 1225 28.50% Celik Niksic 1 1310 43.13% 28.38%
15 2012-11-24 15.36 @ Jedinstvo 3 1199 37.88% Lovcen 0 1215 33.24% 28.88%
16 2012-10-06 15.27 Rudar 4 1349 29.75% @ Buducnost Podgorica 1 1361 41.68% 28.57%
17 2012-08-25 15.08 @ Celik Niksic 3 1276 38.74% Mladost Podgorica 0 1286 32.43% 28.83%
18 2013-02-26 14.50 Petrovac 2 1258 22.58% @ Rudar 0 1337 50.74% 26.68%
19 2012-08-25 14.48 Mogren 2 1280 22.63% @ Buducnost Podgorica 0 1358 50.66% 26.71%
20 2012-10-21 14.45 @ Celik Niksic 3 1312 40.69% Sutjeska 0 1308 30.63% 28.68%
21 2012-11-24 14.44 Petrovac 2 1243 22.77% @ Celik Niksic 0 1319 50.47% 26.76%
22 2013-05-25 14.19 @ Jedinstvo 2 1179 23.58% Rudar 0 1310 49.34% 27.08%
23 2013-04-13 13.74 @ Mladost Podgorica 2 1224 25.08% Rudar 0 1340 47.34% 27.58%
24 2013-05-04 12.99 Lovcen 3 1225 21.03% @ Celik Niksic 1 1321 53.01% 25.96%
25 2012-12-01 12.91 @ Mladost Podgorica 2 1261 28.09% Rudar 0 1349 43.61% 28.30%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2013-03-02 64.3 @ Buducnost Podgorica 3 1377 54.66% Zeta 3 1268 19.97% 25.38%
2 2013-03-02 62.8 @ Mladost Podgorica 3 1274 49.26% Jedinstvo 3 1206 23.64% 27.10%
3 2013-05-04 62.4 @ Mladost Podgorica 3 1237 43.83% Mornar 3 1210 27.90% 28.27%
4 2012-12-01 59.4 @ Celik Niksic 2 1305 46.31% Zeta 2 1260 25.88% 27.81%
5 2013-05-11 59.0 @ Petrovac 2 1262 37.60% Mogren 2 1279 33.51% 28.89%
6 2013-05-04 58.9 @ Zeta 2 1258 39.64% Petrovac 2 1261 31.59% 28.77%
7 2013-05-01 58.6 Mladost Podgorica 3 1230 18.27% @ Sutjeska 2 1362 57.44% 24.28%
8 2012-08-26 58.1 Petrovac 4 1261 27.04% @ Zeta 3 1296 44.88% 28.09%
9 2013-04-27 56.2 @ Mogren 3 1275 27.62% Sutjeska 2 1368 44.17% 28.21%
10 2013-04-27 55.8 Celik Niksic 3 1315 29.05% @ Grbalj 2 1332 42.48% 28.47%
11 2013-04-06 55.6 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1 1402 57.92% Petrovac 1 1267 18.00% 24.08%
12 2012-10-28 55.3 @ Rudar 1 1375 59.70% Jedinstvo 1 1224 16.99% 23.30%
13 2013-02-26 55.0 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1 1378 50.11% Celik Niksic 1 1304 23.02% 26.87%
14 2013-05-05 54.9 Buducnost Podgorica 4 1378 41.17% @ Rudar 3 1307 30.20% 28.63%
15 2013-05-04 54.6 @ Grbalj 1 1344 38.62% Sutjeska 1 1354 32.54% 28.84%
16 2013-05-12 54.5 @ Sutjeska 1 1354 47.22% Rudar 1 1302 25.17% 27.61%
17 2013-04-20 54.4 Mogren 2 1267 18.18% @ Buducnost Podgorica 1 1400 57.60% 24.22%
18 2012-12-01 54.3 @ Petrovac 1 1257 24.54% Buducnost Podgorica 1 1379 48.05% 27.41%
19 2012-10-28 54.2 @ Celik Niksic 1 1327 52.75% Lovcen 1 1233 21.20% 26.05%
20 2013-03-30 54.0 @ Mornar 1 1218 23.50% Sutjeska 1 1350 49.44% 27.05%
21 2013-06-01 54.0 @ Grbalj 1 1330 45.61% Zeta 1 1290 26.44% 27.95%
22 2013-03-16 53.9 @ Rudar 1 1317 45.91% Zeta 1 1275 26.20% 27.89%
23 2013-05-01 53.9 @ Celik Niksic 1 1321 42.13% Rudar 1 1306 29.36% 28.51%
24 2012-09-01 53.8 @ Mladost Podgorica 1 1271 30.03% Buducnost Podgorica 1 1343 41.36% 28.61%
25 2012-10-20 53.8 @ Mogren 1 1312 47.96% Zeta 1 1255 24.60% 27.43%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-11-10 30.5 @ Rudar 3 1360 57.29% Lovcen 0 1230 18.37% 24.35%
2 2012-11-17 31.8 @ Sutjeska 3 1298 51.91% Jedinstvo 0 1210 21.77% 26.32%
3 2013-03-20 32.0 Buducnost Podgorica 5 1383 54.55% @ Jedinstvo 0 1212 20.03% 25.42%
4 2013-04-13 32.0 @ Grbalj 3 1309 51.50% Lovcen 0 1225 22.05% 26.45%
5 2012-10-06 32.7 @ Celik Niksic 3 1296 48.95% Mornar 0 1231 23.86% 27.18%
6 2013-03-16 33.7 @ Celik Niksic 2 1310 52.40% Jedinstvo 0 1219 21.43% 26.16%
7 2013-02-26 34.0 @ Zeta 2 1260 50.68% Lovcen 0 1182 22.62% 26.70%
8 2013-04-06 34.2 @ Sutjeska 4 1349 60.35% Jedinstvo 1 1193 16.64% 23.01%
9 2013-04-20 34.2 @ Sutjeska 2 1360 52.70% Zeta 0 1267 21.24% 26.07%
10 2012-08-11 34.3 Rudar 2 1345 50.75% @ Jedinstvo 0 1203 22.57% 26.68%
11 2013-05-25 34.6 @ Zeta 5 1269 44.53% Mladost Podgorica 0 1237 27.32% 28.15%
12 2013-05-18 34.7 @ Grbalj 4 1323 58.05% Jedinstvo 1 1186 17.92% 24.03%
13 2013-03-16 35.1 @ Buducnost Podgorica 4 1376 58.64% Mornar 1 1234 17.59% 23.77%
14 2012-09-15 35.2 @ Sutjeska 2 1303 47.69% Lovcen 0 1247 24.81% 27.50%
15 2012-10-21 35.7 @ Celik Niksic 3 1312 40.69% Sutjeska 0 1308 30.63% 28.68%
16 2012-10-28 35.7 @ Buducnost Podgorica 2 1354 48.35% Sutjeska 0 1293 24.31% 27.34%
17 2012-11-24 35.7 @ Jedinstvo 3 1199 37.88% Lovcen 0 1215 33.24% 28.88%
18 2012-08-25 35.9 @ Celik Niksic 3 1276 38.74% Mladost Podgorica 0 1286 32.43% 28.83%
19 2013-04-20 36.1 @ Lovcen 2 1214 43.21% Jedinstvo 0 1191 28.42% 28.36%
20 2013-03-02 36.2 @ Grbalj 1 1296 56.15% Lovcen 0 1175 19.04% 24.81%
21 2013-03-20 36.4 Rudar 2 1316 43.64% @ Mornar 0 1227 28.06% 28.30%
22 2012-12-01 36.6 Sutjeska 6 1302 45.55% @ Lovcen 1 1199 26.49% 27.96%
23 2012-08-22 37.3 @ Mladost Podgorica 2 1276 40.71% Petrovac 0 1271 30.62% 28.67%
24 2013-04-06 37.3 @ Lovcen 2 1215 39.48% Mornar 0 1219 31.74% 28.78%
25 2012-11-24 37.4 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1 1375 54.86% Mladost Podgorica 0 1264 19.84% 25.30%