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2013-14 Montenegrin First League Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Sutjeska

63 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Lovcen

9.90 points above expected

59 points · 49.10 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Decic Tuzi

10.17 points below expected

24 points · 34.17 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Sutjeska 33 17 12 4 63 46 21 +25 54.84 +8.16
2 Lovcen 33 17 8 8 59 52 31 +21 49.10 +9.90
3 Celik Niksic 33 15 9 9 54 47 28 +19 51.38 +2.62
4 Buducnost Podgorica 33 16 6 11 54 36 26 +10 51.00 +3.00
5 Petrovac 33 11 13 9 46 37 31 +6 47.90 -1.90
6 Rudar 33 11 9 13 42 32 31 +1 46.91 -4.91
7 Grbalj* 33 11 10 12 40 36 40 -4 42.26 -2.26
8 Zeta 33 12 4 17 40 39 57 -18 40.99 -0.99
9 Mladost Podgorica 33 11 6 16 39 38 46 -8 38.77 +0.23
10 Mogren* 33 11 9 13 39 45 56 -11 37.38 +1.62
11 Mornar 33 9 9 15 36 35 47 -12 40.94 -4.94
12 Decic Tuzi 33 5 9 19 24 32 61 -29 34.17 -10.17

* Point deductions: Grbalj (-3 pts), Mogren (-3 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Lovcen 59 49.10 +9.90
2 Sutjeska 63 54.84 +8.16
3 Buducnost Podgorica 54 51.00 +3.00
4 Celik Niksic 54 51.38 +2.62
5 Mogren 39 37.38 +1.62

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Decic Tuzi 24 34.17 -10.17
2 Mornar 36 40.94 -4.94
3 Rudar 42 46.91 -4.91
4 Grbalj 40 42.26 -2.26
5 Petrovac 46 47.90 -1.90

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Petrovac 5 Sep 21 – Oct 19 1 in 205
2 Mogren 3 May 17 – May 31 1 in 171
3 Lovcen 6 Mar 15 – Apr 12 1 in 110
4 Celik Niksic 5 Apr 5 – May 3 1 in 49
5 Sutjeska 5 Oct 5 – Nov 9 1 in 40

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Decic Tuzi 7 Apr 19 – May 31 1 in 101
2 Mogren 5 Nov 2 – Dec 7 1 in 77
3 Petrovac 4 Apr 13 – May 3 1 in 34
4 Zeta 3 Sep 22 – Sep 28 1 in 21
5 Rudar 3 Oct 5 – Oct 26 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sutjeska 14 Sep 1 – Feb 25 1 in 127
2 Lovcen 11 Feb 25 – Apr 26 1 in 54
3 Mogren 9 Aug 10 – Sep 28 1 in 52
4 Mornar 6 Nov 2 – Feb 25 1 in 50
5 Petrovac 8 Feb 25 – Apr 5 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Petrovac 7 Nov 30 – Mar 22 1 in 49
2 Grbalj 8 Oct 19 – Feb 25 1 in 36
3 Mornar 9 Mar 29 – May 24 1 in 29
4 Mogren 6 Sep 15 – Oct 20 1 in 23
5 Decic Tuzi 9 Aug 10 – Sep 28 1 in 18

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Sutjeska 1393 63 +6 8 8.3 -0.3
Lovcen 1376 59 -15 5 8.5 -3.5
Buducnost Podgorica 1342 54 +13 12 7.6 +4.4
Celik Niksic 1356 54 -11 5 8.6 -3.6
Petrovac 1309 46 +1 5 7.3 -2.3
Grbalj 1276 43 +12 8 6.6 +1.4
Mogren 1249 42 +42 11 4.6 +6.4
Rudar 1287 42 -2 7 7.8 -0.8
Zeta 1202 40 +9 9 5.8 +3.2
Mladost Podgorica 1252 39 +8 9 5.8 +3.2
Mornar 1227 36 -29 4 7.1 -3.1
Decic Tuzi 1149 24 -34 0 4.3 -4.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BP CN DT GRB LOV MP MOG MOR PET RUD SUT ZET
Buducnost Podgorica —
1-0-2
3.79
3-0-0
5.68
2-1-0
4.78
2-0-1
4.30
2-1-0
4.78
1-0-2
5.15
0-2-1
4.80
2-0-1
4.60
0-0-3
4.53
1-2-0
3.45
2-0-1
5.26
Celik Niksic
2-0-1
4.40
—
1-2-0
5.73
1-0-2
4.34
1-1-1
4.07
2-0-1
5.52
1-1-1
4.81
2-0-1
5.29
1-1-1
4.36
2-1-0
4.62
0-2-1
4.17
2-1-0
4.42
Decic Tuzi
0-0-3
2.58
0-2-1
2.55
—
1-0-2
3.47
0-2-1
2.82
1-0-2
4.20
1-1-1
3.70
1-0-2
3.20
0-2-1
2.92
1-0-2
3.15
0-0-3
2.31
0-2-1
3.80
Grbalj
0-1-2
3.43
2-0-1
3.84
2-0-1
4.72
—
0-1-2
3.54
1-1-1
4.85
0-0-3
4.46
2-1-0
4.35
0-3-0
4.38
0-1-2
3.85
1-2-0
3.44
3-0-0
4.68
Lovcen
1-0-2
3.89
1-1-1
4.12
1-2-0
5.46
2-1-0
4.65
—
3-0-0
4.61
1-0-2
5.01
1-1-1
4.67
1-1-1
4.67
3-0-0
4.42
1-2-0
3.25
2-0-1
4.89
Mladost Podgorica
0-1-2
3.41
1-0-2
2.72
2-0-1
3.97
1-1-1
3.34
0-0-3
3.60
—
1-2-0
4.16
2-0-1
4.21
1-1-1
3.24
1-1-1
3.89
1-0-2
2.50
1-0-2
3.75
Mogren
2-0-1
3.08
1-1-1
3.40
1-1-1
4.48
3-0-0
3.72
2-0-1
3.21
0-2-1
4.02
—
0-2-1
3.92
0-2-1
3.74
0-1-2
3.58
0-0-3
3.16
2-0-1
4.38
Mornar
1-2-0
3.39
1-0-2
2.93
2-0-1
5.01
0-1-2
3.84
1-1-1
3.53
1-0-2
3.97
1-2-0
4.29
—
0-1-2
3.30
0-2-1
3.43
0-0-3
2.73
2-0-1
4.09
Petrovac
1-0-2
3.58
1-1-1
3.82
1-2-0
5.30
0-3-0
3.81
1-1-1
3.53
1-1-1
4.97
1-2-0
4.43
2-1-0
4.89
—
2-1-0
4.32
0-1-2
3.64
1-0-2
4.27
Rudar
3-0-0
3.65
0-1-2
3.58
2-0-1
5.05
2-1-0
4.33
0-0-3
3.75
1-1-1
4.29
2-1-0
4.62
1-2-0
4.77
0-1-2
3.87
—
0-2-1
2.94
0-0-3
4.64
Sutjeska
0-2-1
4.76
1-2-0
4.02
3-0-0
5.99
0-2-1
4.73
0-2-1
4.95
2-0-1
5.77
3-0-0
5.06
3-0-0
5.50
2-1-0
4.55
1-2-0
5.28
—
2-1-0
5.09
Zeta
1-0-2
2.98
0-1-2
3.75
1-2-0
4.38
0-0-3
3.52
1-0-2
3.35
2-0-1
4.42
1-0-2
3.79
1-0-2
4.10
2-0-1
3.90
3-0-0
3.54
0-1-2
3.15
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.49 +12.0
Allowed 0.74 -7.0
Differential 0.93 +6.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.60%11.11%6.82%2.27%1.26%0.25%31.31%
111.11%12.63%7.32%3.28%0.76%0.51%35.61%
26.82%7.32%4.04%1.26%1.01%0.51%20.96%
32.27%3.28%1.26%—0.51%—7.32%
41.26%0.76%1.01%0.51%——3.54%
5+0.25%0.51%0.51%———1.26%
Total31.31%35.61%20.96%7.32%3.54%1.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 1.20 +0.00
SD 1.14 1.14 1.62
CV 0.95 0.95 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%15.15%9.09%———33.33%
115.15%9.09%9.09%———33.33%
215.15%9.09%————24.24%
3—9.09%————9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total39.39%42.42%18.18%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 0.79 +0.30
SD 0.98 0.74 1.33
CV 0.90 0.94 —
Max 3 2 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%18.18%3.03%———30.30%
19.09%15.15%3.03%———27.27%
29.09%12.12%3.03%3.03%——27.27%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+3.03%3.03%————6.06%
Total33.33%51.52%12.12%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 0.85 +0.58
SD 1.39 0.76 1.56
CV 0.98 0.89 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%9.09%6.06%3.03%—33.33%
13.03%15.15%9.09%9.09%3.03%3.03%42.42%
26.06%3.03%6.06%—3.03%—18.18%
33.03%———3.03%—6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%27.27%24.24%15.15%12.12%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.85 -0.88
SD 0.88 1.39 1.65
CV 0.91 0.75 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%12.12%—3.03%3.03%—27.27%
115.15%15.15%3.03%12.12%——45.45%
26.06%3.03%6.06%3.03%——18.18%
33.03%6.06%————9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%36.36%9.09%18.18%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.21 -0.12
SD 0.91 1.19 1.56
CV 0.84 0.98 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%3.03%———21.21%
112.12%15.15%9.09%3.03%——39.39%
26.06%9.09%————15.15%
33.03%—6.06%———9.09%
46.06%3.03%6.06%———15.15%
5+———————
Total36.36%36.36%24.24%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 0.94 +0.64
SD 1.35 0.86 1.54
CV 0.85 0.92 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%15.15%9.09%3.03%——33.33%
16.06%12.12%9.09%6.06%——33.33%
23.03%12.12%——6.06%—21.21%
33.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total18.18%45.45%21.21%9.09%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.39 -0.24
SD 1.09 1.09 1.54
CV 0.95 0.78 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%3.03%12.12%6.06%——27.27%
19.09%15.15%3.03%——3.03%30.30%
23.03%3.03%6.06%6.06%3.03%3.03%24.24%
3—12.12%3.03%———15.15%
4———3.03%——3.03%
5+———————
Total18.18%33.33%24.24%15.15%3.03%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.70 -0.33
SD 1.14 1.36 1.67
CV 0.84 0.80 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%12.12%15.15%3.03%3.03%—45.45%
1—9.09%6.06%3.03%——18.18%
23.03%15.15%6.06%——3.03%27.27%
33.03%—————3.03%
43.03%—3.03%———6.06%
5+———————
Total21.21%36.36%30.30%6.06%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.42 -0.36
SD 1.20 1.17 1.75
CV 1.13 0.82 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%6.06%3.03%———24.24%
112.12%18.18%12.12%3.03%——45.45%
26.06%9.09%6.06%3.03%——24.24%
36.06%—————6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total39.39%33.33%21.21%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 0.94 +0.18
SD 0.86 0.93 1.21
CV 0.76 0.99 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%18.18%3.03%3.03%——36.36%
112.12%12.12%15.15%———39.39%
26.06%9.09%3.03%———18.18%
3—3.03%————3.03%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total33.33%42.42%21.21%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 0.94 +0.03
SD 0.98 0.83 1.36
CV 1.01 0.88 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%6.06%—3.03%——27.27%
121.21%9.09%——3.03%—33.33%
215.15%—9.09%———24.24%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
43.03%3.03%————6.06%
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total60.61%24.24%9.09%3.03%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 0.64 +0.76
SD 1.30 0.99 1.60
CV 0.93 1.56 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%9.09%15.15%—6.06%3.03%36.36%
118.18%6.06%9.09%3.03%3.03%—39.39%
23.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
3——3.03%—3.03%—6.06%
4———3.03%——3.03%
5+——6.06%———6.06%
Total24.24%18.18%36.36%6.06%12.12%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.73 -0.55
SD 1.40 1.40 1.92
CV 1.19 0.81 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Sutjeska 1393 63 54.84 +8.16 87.0% 35 43 48 54 60 69 73
Lovcen 1376 59 49.10 +9.90 93.0% 26 37 45 49 54 61 65
Celik Niksic 1356 54 51.38 +2.62 70.0% 34 40 47 51 56 61 65
Buducnost Podgorica 1342 54 51.00 +3.00 70.0% 35 39 46 51 55 63 69
Petrovac 1309 46 47.90 -1.90 42.0% 33 36 43 48 53 59 65
Rudar 1287 42 46.91 -4.91 28.0% 30 35 41 46 52 59 66
Grbalj 1276 40 42.26 -2.26 37.0% 25 32 37 42 47 52 61
Mladost Podgorica 1252 39 38.77 +0.23 56.0% 22 29 33 38 43 50 56
Mogren 1249 39 37.38 +1.62 59.0% 11 25 33 38 41 49 56
Mornar 1227 36 40.94 -4.94 30.0% 22 29 35 41 45 54 60
Zeta 1202 40 40.99 -0.99 49.0% 22 29 37 41 46 50 53
Decic Tuzi 1149 24 34.17 -10.17 6.0% 19 23 29 33 40 44 56

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+18.18%
Slight Edge
45.96%26.26%27.78%
Elo Value
Home Edge
155 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
063.88400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.47 goals
Neutral
-2+0.41+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.3
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
39%
Sutjeska, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.12/gm
Tight Race
00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.62 * Some Luck: 5.62 to 8.43 * Lucky: 8.43 to 11.24 * Wild Swing: 11.24 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.73 * Close: 1.73 to 2.59 * Off: 2.59 to 3.46 * Way Off: 3.46 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.36 points
As Expected
07.0218
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.67
Pinpoint
02.165
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
93.00%
Lovcen
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
6.00%
Decic Tuzi
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Balanced
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 73.92
1.47
Coin-Flip Parity
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
64%
Slight Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
80%
Even
50%81%100%
Close Games
Expected
67%
Very Frequent
0%64%100%
Blowouts
Expected
11%
Rare
0%12%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.62
Hard to Predict
00.632
Matchup Imbalance
0.27
Very Even
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.56
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.70
Near-Lock
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Very Upset-Prone
0%27%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Shaky Favorites
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.80
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.05
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.027
Well Within Noise
00.1130.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Sutjeska39.00%23.00%8.00%6.00%7.00%9.00%5.00%2.00%——1.00%—
Lovcen16.00%8.00%15.00%13.00%16.00%12.00%6.00%6.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%
Celik Niksic16.00%25.00%19.00%12.00%6.00%4.00%10.00%3.00%2.00%—2.00%1.00%
Buducnost Podgorica14.00%20.00%13.00%13.00%13.00%5.00%7.00%10.00%2.00%3.00%——
Petrovac6.00%12.00%10.00%15.00%16.00%17.00%3.00%6.00%6.00%4.00%3.00%2.00%
Rudar6.00%4.00%20.00%11.00%8.00%14.00%8.00%7.00%11.00%5.00%5.00%1.00%
Grbalj1.00%1.00%3.00%10.00%10.00%13.00%11.00%10.00%14.00%12.00%11.00%4.00%
Zeta—2.00%6.00%5.00%9.00%4.00%11.00%14.00%15.00%16.00%12.00%6.00%
Mladost Podgorica—2.00%—7.00%5.00%5.00%11.00%12.00%9.00%16.00%21.00%12.00%
Mogren—1.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%7.00%9.00%9.00%16.00%18.00%21.00%15.00%
Mornar2.00%1.00%5.00%6.00%6.00%9.00%11.00%13.00%13.00%14.00%10.00%10.00%
Decic Tuzi—1.00%——3.00%1.00%8.00%8.00%9.00%10.00%13.00%47.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Buducnost Podgorica 97.00% 3.00% —
Sutjeska 99.00% 1.00% —
Celik Niksic 97.00% 2.00% 1.00%
Rudar 89.00% 10.00% 1.00%
Lovcen 95.00% 3.00% 2.00%
Petrovac 91.00% 7.00% 2.00%
Grbalj 73.00% 23.00% 4.00%
Zeta 66.00% 28.00% 6.00%
Mornar 66.00% 24.00% 10.00%
Mladost Podgorica 51.00% 37.00% 12.00%
Mogren 46.00% 39.00% 15.00%
Decic Tuzi 30.00% 23.00% 47.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2013-08-10 Celik Niksic L 1-251.2 1294 1288 45.78% 27.21% 27.01%+0.45 -8.6 0
2013-08-10 @ Rudar W 2-151.2 1288 1294 27.01% 27.21% 45.78%-0.45 +8.6 3
2013-08-10 Decic Tuzi D 0-049.1 1276 1235 50.40% 26.40% 23.20%+0.68 -1.3 1
2013-08-10 @ Petrovac D 0-049.1 1235 1276 23.20% 26.40% 50.40%-0.68 +1.3 1
2013-08-10 Lovcen W 1-039.4 1290 1280 46.35% 27.13% 26.52%+0.48 +6.0 3
2013-08-10 @ Zeta L 0-139.4 1280 1290 26.52% 27.13% 46.35%-0.48 -6.0 0
2013-08-10 Mogren L 0-146.3 1311 1273 49.97% 26.49% 23.54%+0.66 -9.7 0
2013-08-10 @ Grbalj W 1-046.3 1273 1311 23.54% 26.49% 49.97%-0.66 +9.7 3
2013-08-10 Mornar W 2-034.3 1312 1273 50.06% 26.47% 23.47%+0.67 +10.2 3
2013-08-10 @ Sutjeska L 0-234.3 1273 1312 23.47% 26.47% 50.06%-0.67 -10.2 0
2013-08-11 Mladost Podgorica D 1-154.7 1323 1263 52.64% 25.88% 21.48%+0.80 -1.3 1
2013-08-11 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 1-154.7 1263 1323 21.48% 25.88% 52.64%-0.80 +1.3 1
2013-08-17 Grbalj L 1-249.4 1262 1301 39.66% 27.77% 32.56%+0.16 -7.7 0
2013-08-17 @ Mornar W 2-149.4 1301 1262 32.56% 27.77% 39.66%-0.16 +7.7 3
2013-08-17 Lovcen D 0-048.7 1236 1274 39.71% 27.77% 32.52%+0.17 -0.3 2
2013-08-17 @ Decic Tuzi D 0-048.7 1274 1236 32.52% 27.77% 39.71%-0.17 +0.3 1
2013-08-17 Rudar W 2-146.5 1264 1286 42.03% 27.62% 30.35%+0.27 +6.3 4
2013-08-17 @ Mladost Podgorica L 1-246.5 1286 1264 30.35% 27.62% 42.03%-0.27 -6.3 0
2013-08-17 Sutjeska D 2-260.1 1275 1322 38.51% 27.82% 33.67%+0.11 -0.1 2
2013-08-17 @ Petrovac D 2-260.1 1322 1275 33.67% 27.82% 38.51%-0.11 +0.1 4
2013-08-17 Zeta W 2-035.9 1297 1296 45.03% 27.31% 27.66%+0.42 +11.7 6
2013-08-17 @ Celik Niksic L 0-235.9 1296 1297 27.66% 27.31% 45.03%-0.42 -11.7 3
2013-08-18 Buducnost Podgorica W 1-041.6 1282 1321 39.63% 27.77% 32.60%+0.16 +7.0 6
2013-08-18 @ Mogren L 0-141.6 1321 1282 32.60% 27.77% 39.63%-0.16 -7.0 1
2013-08-24 Celik Niksic L 0-239.8 1275 1309 40.32% 27.74% 31.94%+0.19 -15.5 1
2013-08-24 @ Lovcen W 2-039.8 1309 1275 31.94% 27.74% 40.32%-0.19 +15.5 9
2013-08-24 Mogren D 1-154.1 1279 1289 43.65% 27.47% 28.89%+0.35 -0.6 1
2013-08-24 @ Rudar D 1-154.1 1289 1279 28.89% 27.47% 43.65%-0.35 +0.6 7
2013-08-24 Mornar L 1-252.8 1314 1255 52.58% 25.90% 21.52%+0.80 -9.6 1
2013-08-24 @ Buducnost Podgorica W 2-152.8 1255 1314 21.52% 25.90% 52.58%-0.80 +9.6 3
2013-08-24 Petrovac D 2-260.3 1309 1275 49.41% 26.60% 23.99%+0.63 -0.8 4
2013-08-24 @ Grbalj D 2-260.3 1275 1309 23.99% 26.60% 49.41%-0.63 +0.8 3
2013-08-24 Mladost Podgorica W 1-039.1 1285 1270 46.90% 27.04% 26.06%+0.51 +5.9 6
2013-08-24 @ Zeta L 0-139.1 1270 1285 26.06% 27.04% 46.90%-0.51 -5.9 4
2013-08-25 Decic Tuzi W 4-135.4 1322 1236 55.80% 25.01% 19.20%+0.97 +10.4 7
2013-08-25 @ Sutjeska L 1-435.4 1236 1322 19.20% 25.01% 55.80%-0.97 -10.4 2
2013-08-28 Buducnost Podgorica L 1-345.8 1276 1305 41.03% 27.69% 31.28%+0.23 -13.6 3
2013-08-28 @ Petrovac W 3-145.8 1305 1276 31.28% 27.69% 41.03%-0.23 +13.6 4
2013-08-28 Celik Niksic D 2-259.8 1225 1324 31.28% 27.69% 41.03%-0.23 +0.3 3
2013-08-28 @ Decic Tuzi D 2-259.8 1324 1225 41.03% 27.69% 31.28%+0.23 -0.3 10
2013-08-28 Grbalj L 0-146.3 1332 1308 48.19% 26.83% 24.98%+0.57 -9.5 7
2013-08-28 @ Sutjeska W 1-046.3 1308 1332 24.98% 26.83% 48.19%-0.57 +9.5 7
2013-08-28 Lovcen L 0-240.9 1264 1259 45.71% 27.22% 27.08%+0.45 -17.1 4
2013-08-28 @ Mladost Podgorica W 2-040.9 1259 1264 27.08% 27.22% 45.71%-0.45 +17.1 4
2013-08-28 Rudar D 0-048.9 1264 1279 43.03% 27.53% 29.44%+0.32 -0.6 4
2013-08-28 @ Mornar D 0-048.9 1279 1264 29.44% 27.53% 43.03%-0.32 +0.6 2
2013-08-28 Zeta W 4-352.9 1290 1291 44.88% 27.33% 27.79%+0.41 +5.4 10
2013-08-28 @ Mogren L 3-452.9 1291 1290 27.79% 27.33% 44.88%-0.41 -5.4 6
2013-08-31 Decic Tuzi W 3-138.1 1317 1225 56.44% 24.81% 18.75%+1.01 +7.2 10
2013-08-31 @ Grbalj L 1-338.1 1225 1317 18.75% 24.81% 56.44%-1.01 -7.2 3
2013-08-31 Mogren L 1-346.1 1276 1295 42.36% 27.59% 30.04%+0.29 -13.9 4
2013-08-31 @ Lovcen W 3-146.1 1295 1276 30.04% 27.59% 42.36%-0.29 +14.0 13
2013-08-31 Mornar W 5-240.0 1285 1264 47.81% 26.89% 25.29%+0.55 +11.5 9
2013-08-31 @ Zeta L 2-540.0 1264 1285 25.29% 26.89% 47.81%-0.55 -11.5 4
2013-08-31 Petrovac L 0-145.4 1279 1262 47.28% 26.98% 25.74%+0.53 -9.3 2
2013-08-31 @ Rudar W 1-045.4 1262 1279 25.74% 26.98% 47.28%-0.53 +9.3 6
2013-08-31 Mladost Podgorica W 3-138.7 1324 1247 54.62% 25.35% 20.03%+0.91 +7.6 13
2013-08-31 @ Celik Niksic L 1-338.7 1247 1324 20.03% 25.35% 54.62%-0.91 -7.6 4
2013-09-01 Sutjeska D 0-049.6 1318 1323 44.35% 27.39% 28.26%+0.38 -0.7 5
2013-09-01 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 0-049.6 1323 1318 28.26% 27.39% 44.35%-0.38 +0.7 8
2013-09-14 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-145.7 1325 1318 45.94% 27.19% 26.88%+0.46 -9.1 10
2013-09-14 @ Grbalj W 1-045.7 1318 1325 26.88% 27.19% 45.94%-0.46 +9.1 8
2013-09-14 Lovcen L 0-144.3 1252 1262 43.65% 27.47% 28.88%+0.35 -8.7 4
2013-09-14 @ Mornar W 1-044.3 1262 1252 28.88% 27.47% 43.65%-0.35 +8.7 7
2013-09-14 Rudar D 2-260.6 1324 1270 51.86% 26.07% 22.07%+0.76 -1.0 9
2013-09-14 @ Sutjeska D 2-260.6 1270 1324 22.07% 26.07% 51.86%-0.76 +0.9 3
2013-09-14 Mladost Podgorica L 0-143.7 1218 1240 42.07% 27.62% 30.31%+0.27 -8.5 3
2013-09-14 @ Decic Tuzi W 1-043.7 1240 1218 30.31% 27.62% 42.07%-0.27 +8.5 7
2013-09-14 Zeta L 1-250.0 1271 1297 41.52% 27.66% 30.82%+0.25 -7.9 6
2013-09-14 @ Petrovac W 2-150.0 1297 1271 30.82% 27.66% 41.52%-0.25 +7.9 12
2013-09-15 Celik Niksic D 1-154.6 1309 1331 41.98% 27.62% 30.39%+0.27 -0.5 14
2013-09-15 @ Mogren D 1-154.6 1331 1309 30.39% 27.62% 41.98%-0.27 +0.5 14
2013-09-21 Decic Tuzi W 2-031.3 1327 1210 59.23% 23.86% 16.91%+1.17 +7.5 11
2013-09-21 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-231.3 1210 1327 16.91% 23.86% 59.23%-1.17 -7.5 3
2013-09-21 Grbalj W 1-041.7 1271 1316 38.85% 27.81% 33.35%+0.13 +7.2 6
2013-09-21 @ Rudar L 0-141.7 1316 1271 33.35% 27.81% 38.85%-0.13 -7.1 10
2013-09-21 Mogren D 0-048.8 1248 1309 36.53% 27.86% 35.61%+0.02 -0.0 8
2013-09-21 @ Mladost Podgorica D 0-048.8 1309 1248 35.61% 27.86% 36.53%-0.02 +0.0 15
2013-09-21 Mornar W 3-030.6 1332 1244 56.01% 24.94% 19.05%+0.98 +12.2 17
2013-09-21 @ Celik Niksic L 0-330.6 1244 1332 19.05% 24.94% 56.01%-0.98 -12.2 4
2013-09-21 Petrovac L 0-145.0 1271 1263 45.97% 27.18% 26.85%+0.46 -9.1 7
2013-09-21 @ Lovcen W 1-045.0 1263 1271 26.85% 27.18% 45.97%-0.46 +9.1 9
2013-09-22 Sutjeska L 0-240.7 1305 1323 42.54% 27.58% 29.89%+0.30 -16.2 12
2013-09-22 @ Zeta W 2-040.7 1323 1305 29.89% 27.58% 42.54%-0.30 +16.2 12
2013-09-25 Celik Niksic W 1-043.1 1273 1344 34.99% 27.85% 37.16%-0.05 +7.7 12
2013-09-25 @ Petrovac L 0-143.1 1344 1273 37.16% 27.85% 34.99%+0.05 -7.7 17
2013-09-25 Lovcen D 0-049.9 1339 1262 54.70% 25.33% 19.97%+0.91 -1.7 13
2013-09-25 @ Sutjeska D 0-049.9 1262 1339 19.97% 25.33% 54.70%-0.91 +1.7 8
2013-09-25 Mogren D 1-153.8 1202 1309 30.29% 27.61% 42.09%-0.28 +0.5 4
2013-09-25 @ Decic Tuzi D 1-153.8 1309 1202 42.09% 27.61% 30.29%+0.28 -0.5 16
2013-09-25 Rudar L 0-147.0 1334 1278 52.15% 26.00% 21.85%+0.77 -10.1 11
2013-09-25 @ Buducnost Podgorica W 1-047.0 1278 1334 21.85% 26.00% 52.15%-0.77 +10.1 9
2013-09-25 Mladost Podgorica W 4-245.4 1231 1248 42.70% 27.56% 29.74%+0.30 +9.6 7
2013-09-25 @ Mornar L 2-445.4 1248 1231 29.74% 27.56% 42.70%-0.30 -9.6 8
2013-09-25 Zeta W 2-035.1 1308 1289 47.61% 26.93% 25.46%+0.54 +10.9 13
2013-09-25 @ Grbalj L 0-235.1 1289 1308 25.46% 26.93% 47.61%-0.54 -10.9 12
2013-09-28 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-143.4 1278 1324 38.58% 27.82% 33.61%+0.11 -7.9 12
2013-09-28 @ Zeta W 1-043.4 1324 1278 33.61% 27.82% 38.58%-0.11 +8.0 14
2013-09-28 Decic Tuzi W 2-142.2 1288 1203 55.69% 25.04% 19.27%+0.97 +4.2 12
2013-09-28 @ Rudar L 1-242.2 1203 1288 19.27% 25.04% 55.69%-0.97 -4.2 4
2013-09-28 Grbalj W 4-036.3 1263 1319 37.23% 27.85% 34.92%+0.05 +26.5 11
2013-09-28 @ Lovcen L 0-436.3 1319 1263 34.92% 27.85% 37.23%-0.05 -26.5 13
2013-09-28 Mornar D 2-260.4 1308 1241 53.56% 25.64% 20.80%+0.85 -1.1 17
2013-09-28 @ Mogren D 2-260.4 1241 1308 20.80% 25.64% 53.56%-0.85 +1.0 8
2013-09-28 Petrovac L 1-249.1 1239 1280 39.23% 27.79% 32.98%+0.14 -7.6 8
2013-09-28 @ Mladost Podgorica W 2-149.1 1280 1239 32.98% 27.79% 39.23%-0.14 +7.6 15
2013-09-29 Sutjeska D 0-049.9 1336 1337 44.86% 27.33% 27.81%+0.41 -0.8 18
2013-09-29 @ Celik Niksic D 0-049.9 1337 1336 27.81% 27.33% 44.86%-0.41 +0.8 14
2013-10-05 Celik Niksic W 1-041.9 1293 1336 39.10% 27.80% 33.10%+0.14 +7.1 16
2013-10-05 @ Grbalj L 0-141.9 1336 1293 33.10% 27.80% 39.10%-0.14 -7.1 18
2013-10-05 Lovcen W 2-144.4 1332 1290 50.43% 26.39% 23.17%+0.68 +5.0 17
2013-10-05 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 1-244.4 1290 1332 23.17% 26.39% 50.43%-0.68 -5.0 11
2013-10-05 Mornar W 2-037.1 1199 1242 39.00% 27.80% 33.20%+0.13 +13.4 7
2013-10-05 @ Decic Tuzi L 0-237.1 1242 1199 33.20% 27.80% 39.00%-0.13 -13.4 8
2013-10-05 Mladost Podgorica W 2-031.8 1338 1231 58.14% 24.25% 17.61%+1.11 +7.8 17
2013-10-05 @ Sutjeska L 0-231.8 1231 1338 17.61% 24.25% 58.14%-1.11 -7.8 8
2013-10-05 Zeta L 0-145.7 1293 1270 48.00% 26.86% 25.14%+0.56 -9.4 12
2013-10-05 @ Rudar W 1-045.7 1270 1293 25.14% 26.86% 48.00%-0.56 +9.4 15
2013-10-06 Mogren W 2-036.7 1288 1307 42.34% 27.59% 30.07%+0.29 +12.5 18
2013-10-06 @ Petrovac L 0-236.7 1307 1288 30.07% 27.59% 42.34%-0.29 -12.5 17
2013-10-19 Buducnost Podgorica W 2-146.8 1328 1337 43.83% 27.45% 28.73%+0.36 +6.0 21
2013-10-19 @ Celik Niksic L 1-246.8 1337 1328 28.73% 27.45% 43.83%-0.36 -6.0 17
2013-10-19 Decic Tuzi D 2-260.2 1279 1212 53.51% 25.66% 20.83%+0.85 -1.0 16
2013-10-19 @ Zeta D 2-260.2 1212 1279 20.83% 25.66% 53.51%-0.85 +1.0 8
2013-10-19 Grbalj D 1-153.8 1223 1300 34.25% 27.84% 37.91%-0.08 +0.1 9
2013-10-19 @ Mladost Podgorica D 1-153.8 1300 1223 37.91% 27.84% 34.25%+0.08 -0.2 17
2013-10-19 Petrovac L 0-237.9 1229 1300 34.93% 27.85% 37.21%-0.05 -14.0 8
2013-10-19 @ Mornar W 2-037.9 1300 1229 37.21% 27.85% 34.93%+0.05 +13.9 21
2013-10-19 Rudar W 2-145.7 1285 1283 45.22% 27.28% 27.50%+0.42 +5.8 14
2013-10-19 @ Lovcen L 1-245.7 1283 1285 27.50% 27.28% 45.22%-0.42 -5.8 12
2013-10-20 Sutjeska L 0-337.6 1295 1346 37.94% 27.84% 34.23%+0.08 -21.5 17
2013-10-20 @ Mogren W 3-037.6 1346 1295 34.23% 27.84% 37.94%-0.08 +21.5 20
2013-10-26 Buducnost Podgorica L 1-246.5 1223 1331 30.16% 27.60% 42.24%-0.28 -6.2 9
2013-10-26 @ Mladost Podgorica W 2-146.5 1331 1223 42.24% 27.60% 30.16%+0.28 +6.2 20
2013-10-26 Grbalj W 3-142.7 1273 1300 41.38% 27.67% 30.96%+0.24 +11.0 20
2013-10-26 @ Mogren L 1-342.7 1300 1273 30.96% 27.67% 41.38%-0.24 -11.0 17
2013-10-26 Petrovac D 1-153.9 1213 1314 30.97% 27.67% 41.36%-0.24 +0.4 9
2013-10-26 @ Decic Tuzi D 1-153.9 1314 1213 41.36% 27.67% 30.97%+0.24 -0.4 22
2013-10-26 Rudar W 2-143.8 1334 1277 52.30% 25.97% 21.74%+0.78 +4.8 24
2013-10-26 @ Celik Niksic L 1-243.8 1277 1334 21.74% 25.97% 52.30%-0.78 -4.8 12
2013-10-26 Sutjeska L 0-138.9 1215 1367 24.92% 26.82% 48.26%-0.57 -5.7 8
2013-10-26 @ Mornar W 1-038.9 1367 1215 48.26% 26.82% 24.92%+0.57 +5.7 23
2013-10-26 Zeta W 4-138.2 1291 1278 46.67% 27.08% 26.26%+0.50 +13.7 17
2013-10-26 @ Lovcen L 1-438.2 1278 1291 26.26% 27.08% 46.67%-0.50 -13.7 16
2013-11-02 Celik Niksic D 1-154.2 1264 1339 34.52% 27.84% 37.64%-0.07 +0.1 17
2013-11-02 @ Zeta D 1-154.2 1339 1264 37.64% 27.84% 34.52%+0.07 -0.1 25
2013-11-02 Decic Tuzi D 1-154.7 1304 1214 56.31% 24.85% 18.84%+1.00 -1.6 18
2013-11-02 @ Lovcen D 1-154.7 1214 1304 18.84% 24.85% 56.31%-1.00 +1.6 10
2013-11-02 Mogren W 2-034.1 1337 1284 51.77% 26.09% 22.13%+0.75 +9.7 23
2013-11-02 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-234.1 1284 1337 22.13% 26.09% 51.77%-0.75 -9.7 20
2013-11-02 Mornar D 0-049.4 1289 1209 55.03% 25.24% 19.74%+0.93 -1.7 18
2013-11-02 @ Grbalj D 0-049.4 1209 1289 19.74% 25.24% 55.03%-0.93 +1.7 9
2013-11-02 Petrovac W 2-034.5 1373 1314 52.54% 25.91% 21.56%+0.80 +9.4 26
2013-11-02 @ Sutjeska L 0-234.5 1314 1373 21.56% 25.91% 52.54%-0.80 -9.4 22
2013-11-03 Mladost Podgorica W 2-033.3 1273 1217 52.10% 26.01% 21.88%+0.77 +9.6 15
2013-11-03 @ Rudar L 0-233.3 1217 1273 21.88% 26.01% 52.10%-0.77 -9.6 9
2013-11-09 Buducnost Podgorica D 1-154.2 1211 1347 26.73% 27.16% 46.11%-0.47 +0.8 10
2013-11-09 @ Mornar D 1-154.2 1347 1211 46.11% 27.16% 26.73%+0.47 -0.8 24
2013-11-09 Lovcen L 0-146.6 1339 1303 49.71% 26.54% 23.75%+0.65 -9.7 25
2013-11-09 @ Celik Niksic W 1-046.6 1303 1339 23.75% 26.54% 49.71%-0.65 +9.7 21
2013-11-09 Rudar L 0-144.6 1275 1282 43.99% 27.43% 28.58%+0.37 -8.8 20
2013-11-09 @ Mogren W 1-044.6 1282 1275 28.58% 27.43% 43.99%-0.37 +8.8 18
2013-11-09 Sutjeska L 0-138.4 1215 1382 23.43% 26.46% 50.12%-0.67 -5.4 10
2013-11-09 @ Decic Tuzi W 1-038.4 1382 1215 50.12% 26.46% 23.43%+0.67 +5.4 29
2013-11-09 Zeta W 2-147.7 1208 1264 37.07% 27.85% 35.08%+0.04 +7.0 12
2013-11-09 @ Mladost Podgorica L 1-247.7 1264 1208 35.08% 27.85% 37.07%-0.04 -7.0 17
2013-11-10 Grbalj D 1-154.4 1304 1287 47.29% 26.98% 25.73%+0.53 -0.9 23
2013-11-10 @ Petrovac D 1-154.4 1287 1304 25.73% 26.98% 47.29%-0.53 +0.9 19
2013-11-27 Decic Tuzi D 1-155.1 1329 1210 59.54% 23.75% 16.71%+1.19 -1.9 26
2013-11-27 @ Celik Niksic D 1-155.1 1210 1329 16.71% 23.75% 59.54%-1.19 +1.9 11
2013-11-27 Mogren W 5-241.0 1257 1266 43.84% 27.45% 28.71%+0.36 +12.8 20
2013-11-27 @ Zeta L 2-541.0 1266 1257 28.71% 27.45% 43.84%-0.36 -12.8 20
2013-11-27 Petrovac L 1-252.9 1346 1304 50.49% 26.38% 23.13%+0.69 -9.3 24
2013-11-27 @ Buducnost Podgorica W 2-152.9 1304 1346 23.13% 26.38% 50.49%-0.69 +9.3 26
2013-11-27 Sutjeska D 2-260.8 1288 1388 31.15% 27.68% 41.17%-0.23 +0.3 20
2013-11-27 @ Grbalj D 2-260.8 1388 1288 41.17% 27.68% 31.15%+0.23 -0.3 30
2013-11-27 Mladost Podgorica W 1-035.9 1312 1215 57.12% 24.59% 18.29%+1.05 +4.3 24
2013-11-27 @ Lovcen L 0-135.9 1215 1312 18.29% 24.59% 57.12%-1.05 -4.3 12
2013-11-30 Celik Niksic L 0-140.0 1210 1327 28.97% 27.48% 43.55%-0.34 -6.4 12
2013-11-30 @ Mladost Podgorica W 1-040.0 1327 1210 43.55% 27.48% 28.97%+0.34 +6.4 29
2013-11-30 Grbalj W 3-036.8 1212 1288 34.27% 27.84% 37.89%-0.08 +21.5 14
2013-11-30 @ Decic Tuzi L 0-336.8 1288 1212 37.89% 27.84% 34.27%+0.08 -21.5 20
2013-11-30 Lovcen L 2-353.3 1253 1317 36.12% 27.86% 36.02%+0.00 -6.8 20
2013-11-30 @ Mogren W 3-253.3 1317 1253 36.02% 27.86% 36.12%+0.00 +6.8 27
2013-11-30 Rudar D 0-049.4 1313 1291 47.87% 26.88% 25.24%+0.55 -1.0 27
2013-11-30 @ Petrovac D 0-049.4 1291 1313 25.24% 26.88% 47.87%-0.55 +1.1 19
2013-11-30 Zeta W 4-036.0 1211 1270 36.80% 27.86% 35.35%+0.03 +26.7 13
2013-11-30 @ Mornar L 0-436.0 1270 1211 35.35% 27.86% 36.80%-0.03 -26.7 20
2013-12-01 Buducnost Podgorica D 1-156.0 1387 1337 51.51% 26.15% 22.34%+0.74 -1.2 31
2013-12-01 @ Sutjeska D 1-156.0 1337 1387 22.34% 26.15% 51.51%-0.74 +1.2 25
2013-12-04 Mornar D 1-154.4 1292 1238 51.91% 26.06% 22.03%+0.76 -1.3 20
2013-12-04 @ Rudar D 1-154.4 1238 1292 22.03% 26.06% 51.91%-0.76 +1.3 14
2013-12-07 Decic Tuzi W 3-034.6 1204 1233 40.97% 27.70% 31.33%+0.22 +18.7 15
2013-12-07 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-334.6 1233 1204 31.33% 27.70% 40.97%-0.22 -18.7 14
2013-12-07 Grbalj D 0-049.8 1338 1267 54.02% 25.52% 20.46%+0.87 -1.6 26
2013-12-07 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 0-049.8 1267 1338 20.46% 25.52% 54.02%-0.87 +1.6 21
2013-12-07 Mogren W 4-241.9 1334 1246 55.91% 24.97% 19.12%+0.98 +6.5 32
2013-12-07 @ Celik Niksic L 2-441.9 1246 1334 19.12% 24.97% 55.91%-0.98 -6.5 20
2013-12-07 Mornar L 1-253.4 1324 1239 55.53% 25.09% 19.38%+0.96 -10.0 27
2013-12-07 @ Lovcen W 2-153.4 1239 1324 19.38% 25.09% 55.53%-0.96 +10.0 17
2013-12-07 Petrovac W 3-253.4 1244 1312 35.44% 27.86% 36.70%-0.03 +6.9 23
2013-12-07 @ Zeta L 2-353.4 1312 1244 36.70% 27.86% 35.44%+0.03 -6.9 27
2013-12-07 Sutjeska L 0-142.0 1291 1386 31.72% 27.72% 40.56%-0.20 -6.9 20
2013-12-07 @ Rudar W 1-042.0 1386 1291 40.56% 27.72% 31.72%+0.20 +6.9 34
2014-02-25 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-235.9 1214 1336 28.39% 27.41% 44.20%-0.38 -11.9 14
2014-02-25 @ Decic Tuzi W 2-035.9 1336 1214 44.20% 27.41% 28.39%+0.38 +11.9 29
2014-02-25 Celik Niksic W 2-149.7 1249 1340 32.31% 27.76% 39.93%-0.18 +7.7 20
2014-02-25 @ Mornar L 1-249.7 1340 1249 39.93% 27.76% 32.31%+0.18 -7.7 32
2014-02-25 Lovcen D 1-154.5 1305 1314 43.82% 27.45% 28.73%+0.36 -0.6 28
2014-02-25 @ Petrovac D 1-154.5 1314 1305 28.73% 27.45% 43.82%-0.36 +0.6 28
2014-02-25 Rudar L 1-346.2 1268 1284 42.88% 27.54% 29.57%+0.31 -14.1 21
2014-02-25 @ Grbalj W 3-146.2 1284 1268 29.57% 27.54% 42.88%-0.31 +14.1 23
2014-02-25 Mladost Podgorica D 1-153.9 1240 1223 47.28% 26.98% 25.74%+0.53 -0.9 21
2014-02-25 @ Mogren D 1-153.9 1223 1240 25.74% 26.98% 47.28%-0.53 +0.9 16
2014-02-25 Zeta W 1-035.2 1393 1250 62.03% 22.79% 15.18%+1.34 +3.5 37
2014-02-25 @ Sutjeska L 0-135.2 1250 1393 15.18% 22.79% 62.03%-1.34 -3.5 23
2014-03-01 Buducnost Podgorica W 1-042.4 1298 1348 38.00% 27.83% 34.17%+0.09 +7.3 26
2014-03-01 @ Rudar L 0-142.4 1348 1298 34.17% 27.83% 38.00%-0.09 -7.3 29
2014-03-01 Decic Tuzi W 3-139.7 1239 1203 49.73% 26.54% 23.73%+0.65 +8.9 24
2014-03-01 @ Mogren L 1-339.7 1203 1239 23.73% 26.54% 49.73%-0.65 -8.9 14
2014-03-01 Grbalj L 0-240.4 1247 1254 43.98% 27.43% 28.59%+0.37 -16.6 23
2014-03-01 @ Zeta W 2-040.4 1254 1247 28.59% 27.43% 43.98%-0.37 +16.6 24
2014-03-01 Mornar W 2-036.8 1223 1257 40.36% 27.74% 31.90%+0.20 +13.0 19
2014-03-01 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-236.8 1257 1223 31.90% 27.74% 40.36%-0.20 -13.0 20
2014-03-01 Petrovac D 0-049.7 1333 1304 48.70% 26.74% 24.56%+0.60 -1.1 33
2014-03-01 @ Celik Niksic D 0-049.7 1304 1333 24.56% 26.74% 48.70%-0.60 +1.1 29
2014-03-01 Sutjeska W 3-038.6 1314 1397 33.46% 27.81% 38.73%-0.12 +21.8 31
2014-03-01 @ Lovcen L 0-338.6 1397 1314 38.73% 27.81% 33.46%+0.12 -21.9 37
2014-03-08 Lovcen D 0-049.1 1271 1336 35.89% 27.86% 36.25%-0.01 +0.0 25
2014-03-08 @ Grbalj D 0-049.1 1336 1271 36.25% 27.86% 35.89%+0.01 -0.0 32
2014-03-08 Mogren W 3-033.7 1244 1248 44.47% 27.38% 28.16%+0.39 +17.2 23
2014-03-08 @ Mornar L 0-333.7 1248 1244 28.16% 27.38% 44.47%-0.39 -17.2 24
2014-03-08 Rudar W 1-044.1 1194 1305 29.66% 27.55% 42.78%-0.31 +8.6 17
2014-03-08 @ Decic Tuzi L 0-144.1 1305 1194 42.78% 27.55% 29.66%+0.31 -8.6 26
2014-03-08 Mladost Podgorica D 1-154.6 1305 1236 53.74% 25.60% 20.67%+0.86 -1.4 30
2014-03-08 @ Petrovac D 1-154.6 1236 1305 20.67% 25.60% 53.74%-0.86 +1.4 20
2014-03-08 Zeta W 2-031.7 1341 1230 58.57% 24.10% 17.33%+1.13 +7.7 32
2014-03-08 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-231.7 1230 1341 17.33% 24.10% 58.57%-1.13 -7.7 23
2014-03-09 Celik Niksic W 1-039.3 1375 1332 50.59% 26.36% 23.05%+0.69 +5.3 40
2014-03-09 @ Sutjeska L 0-139.3 1332 1375 23.05% 26.36% 50.59%-0.69 -5.3 33
2014-03-15 Buducnost Podgorica W 2-037.2 1336 1349 43.26% 27.51% 29.23%+0.33 +12.2 35
2014-03-15 @ Lovcen L 0-237.2 1349 1336 29.23% 27.51% 43.26%-0.33 -12.2 32
2014-03-15 Decic Tuzi W 2-033.1 1261 1202 52.53% 25.91% 21.56%+0.79 +9.4 26
2014-03-15 @ Mornar L 0-233.1 1202 1261 21.56% 25.91% 52.53%-0.79 -9.4 17
2014-03-15 Grbalj W 1-037.8 1326 1271 52.09% 26.02% 21.89%+0.77 +5.1 36
2014-03-15 @ Celik Niksic L 0-137.8 1271 1326 21.89% 26.02% 52.09%-0.77 -5.1 25
2014-03-15 Petrovac D 0-048.7 1231 1304 34.73% 27.85% 37.43%-0.06 +0.1 25
2014-03-15 @ Mogren D 0-048.7 1304 1231 37.43% 27.85% 34.73%+0.06 -0.1 31
2014-03-15 Rudar W 2-038.6 1223 1297 34.64% 27.85% 37.52%-0.07 +14.7 26
2014-03-15 @ Zeta L 0-238.6 1297 1223 37.52% 27.85% 34.64%+0.07 -14.7 26
2014-03-15 Sutjeska W 4-144.7 1238 1380 26.06% 27.04% 46.90%-0.51 +21.4 23
2014-03-15 @ Mladost Podgorica L 1-444.7 1380 1238 46.90% 27.04% 26.06%+0.51 -21.4 40
2014-03-22 Lovcen L 1-248.7 1282 1348 35.72% 27.86% 36.42%-0.02 -7.1 26
2014-03-22 @ Rudar W 2-148.7 1348 1282 36.42% 27.86% 35.72%+0.02 +7.1 38
2014-03-22 Mogren W 5-132.9 1359 1231 60.45% 23.41% 16.14%+1.24 +11.2 43
2014-03-22 @ Sutjeska L 1-532.9 1231 1359 16.14% 23.41% 60.45%-1.24 -11.2 25
2014-03-22 Mornar D 0-049.3 1304 1271 49.32% 26.62% 24.06%+0.63 -1.2 32
2014-03-22 @ Petrovac D 0-049.3 1271 1304 24.06% 26.62% 49.32%-0.63 +1.2 27
2014-03-22 Mladost Podgorica W 3-033.4 1266 1259 45.85% 27.20% 26.95%+0.46 +16.6 28
2014-03-22 @ Grbalj L 0-333.4 1259 1266 26.95% 27.20% 45.85%-0.46 -16.6 23
2014-03-22 Zeta D 1-153.5 1193 1237 38.84% 27.81% 33.35%+0.13 -0.2 18
2014-03-22 @ Decic Tuzi D 1-153.5 1237 1193 33.35% 27.81% 38.84%-0.13 +0.2 27
2014-03-23 Celik Niksic W 2-036.3 1337 1331 45.68% 27.22% 27.10%+0.45 +11.5 35
2014-03-23 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-236.3 1331 1337 27.10% 27.22% 45.68%-0.45 -11.5 36
2014-03-26 Buducnost Podgorica W 2-039.2 1275 1348 34.75% 27.85% 37.41%-0.06 +14.7 29
2014-03-26 @ Rudar L 0-239.2 1348 1275 37.41% 27.85% 34.75%+0.06 -14.7 35
2014-03-26 Celik Niksic W 1-041.5 1282 1320 39.84% 27.76% 32.40%+0.17 +7.0 31
2014-03-26 @ Grbalj L 0-141.5 1320 1282 32.40% 27.76% 39.84%-0.17 -7.0 36
2014-03-26 Decic Tuzi W 2-142.3 1272 1193 54.96% 25.26% 19.79%+0.93 +4.4 30
2014-03-26 @ Mornar L 1-242.3 1193 1272 19.79% 25.26% 54.96%-0.93 -4.4 18
2014-03-26 Lovcen L 2-445.9 1243 1355 29.53% 27.54% 42.93%-0.32 -9.5 23
2014-03-26 @ Mladost Podgorica W 4-245.9 1355 1243 42.93% 27.54% 29.53%+0.32 +9.5 41
2014-03-26 Petrovac L 1-248.2 1238 1303 35.88% 27.86% 36.26%-0.01 -7.1 27
2014-03-26 @ Zeta W 2-148.2 1303 1238 36.26% 27.86% 35.88%+0.01 +7.1 35
2014-03-26 Sutjeska L 0-235.0 1220 1370 25.16% 26.87% 47.97%-0.56 -10.8 25
2014-03-26 @ Mogren W 2-035.0 1370 1220 47.97% 26.87% 25.16%+0.56 +10.8 46
2014-03-29 Grbalj W 3-248.4 1365 1289 54.50% 25.39% 20.11%+0.90 +4.2 44
2014-03-29 @ Lovcen L 2-348.4 1289 1365 20.11% 25.39% 54.50%-0.90 -4.2 31
2014-03-29 Mogren W 2-036.1 1188 1209 42.19% 27.61% 30.20%+0.28 +12.5 21
2014-03-29 @ Decic Tuzi L 0-236.1 1209 1188 30.20% 27.61% 42.19%-0.28 -12.5 25
2014-03-29 Mornar W 1-038.5 1310 1276 49.37% 26.61% 24.02%+0.63 +5.5 38
2014-03-29 @ Petrovac L 0-138.5 1276 1310 24.02% 26.61% 49.37%-0.63 -5.5 30
2014-03-29 Rudar D 1-154.5 1313 1289 48.06% 26.85% 25.09%+0.56 -1.0 37
2014-03-29 @ Celik Niksic D 1-154.5 1289 1313 25.09% 26.85% 48.06%-0.56 +1.0 30
2014-03-29 Zeta L 0-147.9 1333 1230 57.68% 24.40% 17.91%+1.08 -11.0 35
2014-03-29 @ Buducnost Podgorica W 1-047.9 1230 1333 17.91% 24.40% 57.68%-1.08 +11.0 30
2014-03-30 Mladost Podgorica W 1-034.8 1381 1233 62.54% 22.58% 14.88%+1.37 +3.5 49
2014-03-30 @ Sutjeska L 0-134.8 1233 1381 14.88% 22.58% 62.54%-1.37 -3.5 23
2014-04-05 Buducnost Podgorica D 0-049.1 1271 1322 37.82% 27.84% 34.34%+0.08 -0.2 31
2014-04-05 @ Mornar D 0-049.1 1322 1271 34.34% 27.84% 37.82%-0.08 +0.2 36
2014-04-05 Celik Niksic L 0-537.1 1241 1312 35.12% 27.85% 37.02%-0.04 -32.8 30
2014-04-05 @ Zeta W 5-037.1 1312 1241 37.02% 27.85% 35.12%+0.04 +32.8 40
2014-04-05 Decic Tuzi W 3-029.4 1315 1201 58.99% 23.95% 17.06%+1.15 +10.9 41
2014-04-05 @ Petrovac L 0-329.4 1201 1315 17.06% 23.95% 58.99%-1.15 -10.9 21
2014-04-05 Lovcen L 0-142.5 1290 1369 34.00% 27.83% 38.17%-0.09 -7.3 30
2014-04-05 @ Rudar W 1-042.5 1369 1290 38.17% 27.83% 34.00%+0.09 +7.3 47
2014-04-05 Mogren W 3-248.8 1230 1196 49.35% 26.61% 24.04%+0.63 +4.9 26
2014-04-05 @ Mladost Podgorica L 2-348.8 1196 1230 24.04% 26.61% 49.35%-0.63 -4.9 25
2014-04-05 Sutjeska D 1-154.9 1285 1384 31.25% 27.69% 41.05%-0.23 +0.4 32
2014-04-05 @ Grbalj D 1-154.9 1384 1285 41.05% 27.69% 31.25%+0.23 -0.4 50
2014-04-12 Grbalj W 3-145.2 1191 1286 31.88% 27.73% 40.39%-0.20 +13.5 28
2014-04-12 @ Mogren L 1-345.2 1286 1191 40.39% 27.73% 31.88%+0.20 -13.4 32
2014-04-12 Mornar W 2-033.3 1345 1271 54.34% 25.43% 20.23%+0.89 +8.9 43
2014-04-12 @ Celik Niksic L 0-233.3 1271 1345 20.23% 25.43% 54.34%-0.89 -8.9 31
2014-04-12 Rudar D 0-050.7 1384 1283 57.43% 24.49% 18.08%+1.06 -1.9 51
2014-04-12 @ Sutjeska D 0-050.7 1283 1384 18.08% 24.49% 57.43%-1.06 +1.9 31
2014-04-12 Mladost Podgorica W 2-147.1 1190 1235 38.80% 27.81% 33.39%+0.12 +6.8 24
2014-04-12 @ Decic Tuzi L 1-247.1 1235 1190 33.39% 27.81% 38.80%-0.12 -6.8 26
2014-04-12 Zeta W 4-028.1 1376 1209 64.60% 21.69% 13.71%+1.50 +11.3 50
2014-04-12 @ Lovcen L 0-428.1 1209 1376 13.71% 21.69% 64.60%-1.50 -11.3 30
2014-04-13 Petrovac W 1-040.5 1323 1326 44.48% 27.37% 28.15%+0.39 +6.3 39
2014-04-13 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-140.5 1326 1323 28.15% 27.37% 44.48%-0.39 -6.3 41
2014-04-19 Decic Tuzi W 3-136.6 1329 1197 60.91% 23.23% 15.86%+1.27 +6.0 42
2014-04-19 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 1-336.6 1197 1329 15.86% 23.23% 60.91%-1.27 -6.0 24
2014-04-19 Lovcen D 1-154.8 1262 1388 27.93% 27.34% 44.73%-0.40 +0.7 32
2014-04-19 @ Mornar D 1-154.8 1388 1262 44.73% 27.34% 27.93%+0.40 -0.7 51
2014-04-19 Mogren W 2-142.4 1285 1205 55.08% 25.22% 19.70%+0.93 +4.3 34
2014-04-19 @ Rudar L 1-242.4 1205 1285 19.70% 25.22% 55.08%-0.93 -4.3 28
2014-04-19 Sutjeska D 0-049.5 1197 1382 21.76% 25.97% 52.27%-0.78 +1.5 31
2014-04-19 @ Zeta D 0-049.5 1382 1197 52.27% 25.97% 21.76%+0.78 -1.5 52
2014-04-19 Mladost Podgorica L 1-347.9 1272 1228 50.72% 26.33% 22.95%+0.70 -16.1 32
2014-04-19 @ Grbalj W 3-147.9 1228 1272 22.95% 26.33% 50.72%-0.70 +16.1 29
2014-04-20 Celik Niksic L 1-250.5 1320 1354 40.38% 27.73% 31.88%+0.20 -7.8 41
2014-04-20 @ Petrovac W 2-150.5 1354 1320 31.88% 27.73% 40.38%-0.20 +7.8 46
2014-04-26 Buducnost Podgorica W 1-039.8 1361 1335 48.46% 26.78% 24.76%+0.58 +5.7 49
2014-04-26 @ Celik Niksic L 0-139.8 1335 1361 24.76% 26.78% 48.46%-0.58 -5.6 42
2014-04-26 Grbalj L 0-141.9 1191 1256 35.84% 27.86% 36.31%-0.01 -7.5 24
2014-04-26 @ Decic Tuzi W 1-041.9 1256 1191 36.31% 27.86% 35.84%+0.01 +7.5 35
2014-04-26 Mornar W 3-137.8 1380 1262 59.37% 23.81% 16.82%+1.18 +6.4 55
2014-04-26 @ Sutjeska L 1-337.8 1262 1380 16.82% 23.81% 59.37%-1.18 -6.4 32
2014-04-26 Petrovac W 2-144.0 1387 1312 54.41% 25.41% 20.18%+0.90 +4.4 54
2014-04-26 @ Lovcen L 1-244.0 1312 1387 20.18% 25.41% 54.41%-0.90 -4.4 41
2014-04-26 Rudar D 0-048.7 1244 1289 38.70% 27.81% 33.49%+0.12 -0.2 30
2014-04-26 @ Mladost Podgorica D 0-048.7 1289 1244 33.49% 27.81% 38.70%-0.12 +0.2 35
2014-04-26 Zeta W 1-039.2 1200 1199 45.21% 27.28% 27.51%+0.42 +6.2 31
2014-04-26 @ Mogren L 0-139.2 1199 1200 27.51% 27.28% 45.21%-0.42 -6.2 31
2014-05-03 Decic Tuzi W 5-130.9 1367 1183 66.23% 20.95% 12.82%+1.60 +8.7 52
2014-05-03 @ Celik Niksic L 1-530.9 1183 1367 12.82% 20.95% 66.23%-1.60 -8.7 24
2014-05-03 Grbalj D 1-154.3 1290 1264 48.41% 26.79% 24.80%+0.58 -1.0 36
2014-05-03 @ Rudar D 1-154.3 1264 1290 24.80% 26.79% 48.41%-0.58 +1.0 36
2014-05-03 Lovcen W 1-043.8 1329 1391 36.33% 27.86% 35.82%+0.01 +7.5 45
2014-05-03 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-143.8 1391 1329 35.82% 27.86% 36.33%-0.01 -7.5 54
2014-05-03 Mogren D 2-260.0 1256 1207 51.35% 26.19% 22.46%+0.73 -0.9 33
2014-05-03 @ Mornar D 2-260.0 1207 1256 22.46% 26.19% 51.35%-0.73 +0.9 32
2014-05-03 Sutjeska L 0-142.9 1308 1387 33.93% 27.83% 38.24%-0.10 -7.2 41
2014-05-03 @ Petrovac W 1-042.9 1387 1308 38.24% 27.83% 33.93%+0.10 +7.2 58
2014-05-03 Mladost Podgorica W 1-041.4 1193 1244 37.89% 27.84% 34.27%+0.08 +7.3 34
2014-05-03 @ Zeta L 0-141.4 1244 1193 34.27% 27.84% 37.89%-0.08 -7.3 30
2014-05-10 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-148.3 1394 1337 52.34% 25.96% 21.71%+0.78 -10.1 58
2014-05-10 @ Sutjeska W 1-048.3 1337 1394 21.71% 25.96% 52.34%-0.78 +10.1 48
2014-05-10 Celik Niksic D 1-156.3 1384 1376 46.06% 27.17% 26.77%+0.47 -0.8 55
2014-05-10 @ Lovcen D 1-156.3 1376 1384 26.77% 27.17% 46.06%-0.47 +0.8 53
2014-05-10 Mornar W 2-146.2 1236 1255 42.46% 27.58% 29.96%+0.29 +6.2 33
2014-05-10 @ Mladost Podgorica L 1-246.2 1255 1236 29.96% 27.58% 42.46%-0.29 -6.2 33
2014-05-10 Petrovac D 1-153.8 1208 1301 32.04% 27.74% 40.22%-0.19 +0.3 33
2014-05-10 @ Mogren D 1-153.8 1301 1208 40.22% 27.74% 32.04%+0.19 -0.3 42
2014-05-10 Rudar L 1-245.9 1174 1289 29.30% 27.52% 43.18%-0.33 -6.1 24
2014-05-10 @ Decic Tuzi W 2-145.9 1289 1174 43.18% 27.52% 29.30%+0.33 +6.1 39
2014-05-10 Zeta W 3-138.8 1265 1200 53.22% 25.73% 21.04%+0.83 +8.0 39
2014-05-10 @ Grbalj L 1-338.8 1200 1265 21.04% 25.73% 53.22%-0.83 -8.0 34
2014-05-17 Decic Tuzi W 4-237.7 1383 1168 69.19% 19.51% 11.30%+1.80 +3.7 58
2014-05-17 @ Lovcen L 2-437.7 1168 1383 11.30% 19.51% 69.19%-1.80 -3.7 24
2014-05-17 Grbalj L 0-143.9 1249 1273 41.75% 27.64% 30.61%+0.26 -8.5 33
2014-05-17 @ Mornar W 1-043.9 1273 1249 30.61% 27.64% 41.75%-0.26 +8.4 42
2014-05-17 Mogren L 0-244.6 1347 1208 61.63% 22.95% 15.42%+1.31 -21.8 48
2014-05-17 @ Buducnost Podgorica W 2-044.6 1208 1347 15.42% 22.95% 61.63%-1.31 +21.8 36
2014-05-17 Rudar W 1-043.7 1192 1295 30.75% 27.65% 41.59%-0.25 +8.4 37
2014-05-17 @ Zeta L 0-143.7 1295 1192 41.59% 27.65% 30.75%+0.25 -8.4 39
2014-05-17 Sutjeska D 0-051.1 1376 1384 43.97% 27.43% 28.60%+0.36 -0.7 54
2014-05-17 @ Celik Niksic D 0-051.1 1384 1376 28.60% 27.43% 43.97%-0.36 +0.7 59
2014-05-17 Mladost Podgorica L 1-252.6 1300 1243 52.36% 25.95% 21.69%+0.79 -9.5 42
2014-05-17 @ Petrovac W 2-152.6 1243 1300 21.69% 25.95% 52.36%-0.79 +9.5 36
2014-05-24 Buducnost Podgorica L 1-344.0 1252 1325 34.79% 27.85% 37.36%-0.06 -12.0 36
2014-05-24 @ Mladost Podgorica W 3-144.0 1325 1252 37.36% 27.85% 34.79%+0.06 +12.0 51
2014-05-24 Celik Niksic W 3-256.6 1230 1376 25.62% 26.96% 47.41%-0.53 +8.3 39
2014-05-24 @ Mogren L 2-356.6 1376 1230 47.41% 26.96% 25.62%+0.53 -8.3 54
2014-05-24 Lovcen D 1-156.5 1385 1387 44.72% 27.35% 27.94%+0.40 -0.7 60
2014-05-24 @ Sutjeska D 1-156.5 1387 1385 27.94% 27.35% 44.72%-0.40 +0.7 59
2014-05-24 Mornar W 4-031.9 1286 1240 50.93% 26.28% 22.78%+0.71 +18.8 42
2014-05-24 @ Rudar L 0-431.9 1240 1286 22.78% 26.28% 50.93%-0.71 -18.8 33
2014-05-24 Petrovac D 1-154.1 1281 1291 43.68% 27.46% 28.86%+0.35 -0.6 43
2014-05-24 @ Grbalj D 1-154.1 1291 1281 28.86% 27.46% 43.68%-0.35 +0.6 43
2014-05-24 Zeta L 3-456.1 1164 1200 40.05% 27.75% 32.19%+0.18 -7.1 24
2014-05-24 @ Decic Tuzi W 4-356.1 1200 1164 32.19% 27.75% 40.05%-0.18 +7.1 40
2014-05-31 Decic Tuzi W 4-026.2 1384 1157 70.29% 18.95% 10.76%+1.88 +8.6 63
2014-05-31 @ Sutjeska L 0-426.2 1157 1384 10.76% 18.95% 70.29%-1.88 -8.6 24
2014-05-31 Grbalj W 2-143.9 1337 1280 52.25% 25.98% 21.77%+0.78 +4.8 54
2014-05-31 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 1-243.9 1280 1337 21.77% 25.98% 52.25%-0.78 -4.8 43
2014-05-31 Mogren L 1-255.2 1387 1238 62.73% 22.50% 14.77%+1.38 -11.0 59
2014-05-31 @ Lovcen W 2-155.2 1238 1387 14.77% 22.50% 62.73%-1.38 +11.0 42
2014-05-31 Rudar W 3-034.6 1291 1305 43.10% 27.52% 29.37%+0.32 +17.8 46
2014-05-31 @ Petrovac L 0-334.6 1305 1291 29.37% 27.52% 43.10%-0.32 -17.8 42
2014-05-31 Mladost Podgorica L 0-148.6 1367 1240 60.38% 23.44% 16.18%+1.24 -11.4 54
2014-05-31 @ Celik Niksic W 1-048.6 1240 1367 16.18% 23.44% 60.38%-1.24 +11.4 39
2014-05-31 Zeta W 2-144.7 1222 1207 46.85% 27.05% 26.10%+0.50 +5.6 36
2014-05-31 @ Mornar L 1-244.7 1207 1222 26.10% 27.05% 46.85%-0.50 -5.6 40

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2014-05-31 14.77% Mogren 1238 2 @ Lovcen 1387 1
2 2014-05-17 15.42% Mogren 1208 2 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1347 0
3 2014-05-31 16.18% Mladost Podgorica 1240 1 @ Celik Niksic 1367 0
4 2014-03-29 17.91% Zeta 1230 1 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1333 0
5 2013-12-07 19.38% Mornar 1239 2 @ Lovcen 1324 1
6 2013-08-24 21.52% Mornar 1255 2 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1314 1
7 2014-05-17 21.69% Mladost Podgorica 1243 2 @ Petrovac 1300 1
8 2014-05-10 21.71% Buducnost Podgorica 1337 1 @ Sutjeska 1394 0
9 2013-09-25 21.85% Rudar 1278 1 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1334 0
10 2014-04-19 22.95% Mladost Podgorica 1228 3 @ Grbalj 1272 1
11 2013-11-27 23.13% Petrovac 1304 2 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1346 1
12 2013-08-10 23.54% Mogren 1273 1 @ Grbalj 1311 0
13 2013-11-09 23.75% Lovcen 1303 1 @ Celik Niksic 1339 0
14 2013-08-28 24.98% Grbalj 1308 1 @ Sutjeska 1332 0
15 2013-10-05 25.14% Zeta 1270 1 @ Rudar 1293 0
16 2014-05-24 25.62% @ Mogren 1230 3 Celik Niksic 1376 2
17 2013-08-31 25.74% Petrovac 1262 1 @ Rudar 1279 0
18 2014-03-15 26.06% @ Mladost Podgorica 1238 4 Sutjeska 1380 1
19 2013-09-21 26.85% Petrovac 1263 1 @ Lovcen 1271 0
20 2013-09-14 26.88% Buducnost Podgorica 1318 1 @ Grbalj 1325 0
21 2013-08-10 27.01% Celik Niksic 1288 2 @ Rudar 1294 1
22 2013-08-28 27.08% Lovcen 1259 2 @ Mladost Podgorica 1264 0
23 2013-11-09 28.58% Rudar 1282 1 @ Mogren 1275 0
24 2014-03-01 28.59% Grbalj 1254 2 @ Zeta 1247 0
25 2013-09-14 28.88% Lovcen 1262 1 @ Mornar 1252 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2014-04-05 32.77 Celik Niksic 5 1312 37.02% @ Zeta 0 1241 35.12% 27.85%
2 2013-11-30 26.71 @ Mornar 4 1211 36.80% Zeta 0 1270 35.35% 27.86%
3 2013-09-28 26.48 @ Lovcen 4 1263 37.23% Grbalj 0 1319 34.92% 27.85%
4 2014-03-01 21.85 @ Lovcen 3 1314 33.46% Sutjeska 0 1397 38.73% 27.81%
5 2014-05-17 21.79 Mogren 2 1208 15.42% @ Buducnost Podgorica 0 1347 61.63% 22.95%
6 2013-10-20 21.53 Sutjeska 3 1346 34.23% @ Mogren 0 1295 37.94% 27.84%
7 2013-11-30 21.50 @ Decic Tuzi 3 1212 34.27% Grbalj 0 1288 37.89% 27.84%
8 2014-03-15 21.38 @ Mladost Podgorica 4 1238 26.06% Sutjeska 1 1380 46.90% 27.04%
9 2014-05-24 18.81 @ Rudar 4 1286 50.93% Mornar 0 1240 22.78% 26.28%
10 2013-12-07 18.69 @ Mladost Podgorica 3 1204 40.97% Decic Tuzi 0 1233 31.33% 27.70%
11 2014-05-31 17.78 @ Petrovac 3 1291 43.10% Rudar 0 1305 29.37% 27.52%
12 2014-03-08 17.20 @ Mornar 3 1244 44.47% Mogren 0 1248 28.16% 27.38%
13 2013-08-28 17.10 Lovcen 2 1259 27.08% @ Mladost Podgorica 0 1264 45.71% 27.22%
14 2014-03-22 16.60 @ Grbalj 3 1266 45.85% Mladost Podgorica 0 1259 26.95% 27.20%
15 2014-03-01 16.59 Grbalj 2 1254 28.59% @ Zeta 0 1247 43.98% 27.43%
16 2013-09-22 16.16 Sutjeska 2 1323 29.89% @ Zeta 0 1305 42.54% 27.58%
17 2014-04-19 16.11 Mladost Podgorica 3 1228 22.95% @ Grbalj 1 1272 50.72% 26.33%
18 2013-08-24 15.51 Celik Niksic 2 1309 31.94% @ Lovcen 0 1275 40.32% 27.74%
19 2014-03-15 14.70 @ Zeta 2 1223 34.64% Rudar 0 1297 37.52% 27.85%
20 2014-03-26 14.67 @ Rudar 2 1275 34.75% Buducnost Podgorica 0 1348 37.41% 27.85%
21 2014-02-25 14.09 Rudar 3 1284 29.57% @ Grbalj 1 1268 42.88% 27.54%
22 2013-08-31 13.95 Mogren 3 1295 30.04% @ Lovcen 1 1276 42.36% 27.59%
23 2013-10-19 13.95 Petrovac 2 1300 37.21% @ Mornar 0 1229 34.93% 27.85%
24 2013-10-26 13.70 @ Lovcen 4 1291 46.67% Zeta 1 1278 26.26% 27.08%
25 2013-08-28 13.61 Buducnost Podgorica 3 1305 31.28% @ Petrovac 1 1276 41.03% 27.69%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2013-11-27 60.8 @ Grbalj 2 1288 31.15% Sutjeska 2 1388 41.17% 27.68%
2 2013-09-14 60.6 @ Sutjeska 2 1324 51.86% Rudar 2 1270 22.07% 26.07%
3 2013-09-28 60.4 @ Mogren 2 1308 53.56% Mornar 2 1241 20.80% 25.64%
4 2013-08-24 60.3 @ Grbalj 2 1309 49.41% Petrovac 2 1275 23.99% 26.60%
5 2013-10-19 60.2 @ Zeta 2 1279 53.51% Decic Tuzi 2 1212 20.83% 25.66%
6 2013-08-17 60.1 @ Petrovac 2 1275 38.51% Sutjeska 2 1322 33.67% 27.82%
7 2014-05-03 60.0 @ Mornar 2 1256 51.35% Mogren 2 1207 22.46% 26.19%
8 2013-08-28 59.8 @ Decic Tuzi 2 1225 31.28% Celik Niksic 2 1324 41.03% 27.69%
9 2014-05-24 56.6 @ Mogren 3 1230 25.62% Celik Niksic 2 1376 47.41% 26.96%
10 2014-05-24 56.5 @ Sutjeska 1 1385 44.72% Lovcen 1 1387 27.94% 27.35%
11 2014-05-10 56.3 @ Lovcen 1 1384 46.06% Celik Niksic 1 1376 26.77% 27.17%
12 2014-05-24 56.1 Zeta 4 1200 32.19% @ Decic Tuzi 3 1164 40.05% 27.75%
13 2013-12-01 56.0 @ Sutjeska 1 1387 51.51% Buducnost Podgorica 1 1337 22.34% 26.15%
14 2014-05-31 55.2 Mogren 2 1238 14.77% @ Lovcen 1 1387 62.73% 22.50%
15 2013-11-27 55.1 @ Celik Niksic 1 1329 59.54% Decic Tuzi 1 1210 16.71% 23.75%
16 2014-04-05 54.9 @ Grbalj 1 1285 31.25% Sutjeska 1 1384 41.05% 27.69%
17 2014-04-19 54.8 @ Mornar 1 1262 27.93% Lovcen 1 1388 44.73% 27.34%
18 2013-08-11 54.7 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1 1323 52.64% Mladost Podgorica 1 1263 21.48% 25.88%
19 2013-11-02 54.7 @ Lovcen 1 1304 56.31% Decic Tuzi 1 1214 18.84% 24.85%
20 2013-09-15 54.6 @ Mogren 1 1309 41.98% Celik Niksic 1 1331 30.39% 27.62%
21 2014-03-08 54.6 @ Petrovac 1 1305 53.74% Mladost Podgorica 1 1236 20.67% 25.60%
22 2014-02-25 54.5 @ Petrovac 1 1305 43.82% Lovcen 1 1314 28.73% 27.45%
23 2014-03-29 54.5 @ Celik Niksic 1 1313 48.06% Rudar 1 1289 25.09% 26.85%
24 2013-11-10 54.4 @ Petrovac 1 1304 47.29% Grbalj 1 1287 25.73% 26.98%
25 2013-12-04 54.4 @ Rudar 1 1292 51.91% Mornar 1 1238 22.03% 26.06%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2014-05-31 26.2 @ Sutjeska 4 1384 70.29% Decic Tuzi 0 1157 10.76% 18.95%
2 2014-04-12 28.1 @ Lovcen 4 1376 64.60% Zeta 0 1209 13.71% 21.69%
3 2014-04-05 29.4 @ Petrovac 3 1315 58.99% Decic Tuzi 0 1201 17.06% 23.95%
4 2013-09-21 30.6 @ Celik Niksic 3 1332 56.01% Mornar 0 1244 19.05% 24.94%
5 2014-05-03 30.9 @ Celik Niksic 5 1367 66.23% Decic Tuzi 1 1183 12.82% 20.95%
6 2013-09-21 31.3 @ Buducnost Podgorica 2 1327 59.23% Decic Tuzi 0 1210 16.91% 23.86%
7 2014-03-08 31.7 @ Buducnost Podgorica 2 1341 58.57% Zeta 0 1230 17.33% 24.10%
8 2013-10-05 31.8 @ Sutjeska 2 1338 58.14% Mladost Podgorica 0 1231 17.61% 24.25%
9 2014-05-24 31.9 @ Rudar 4 1286 50.93% Mornar 0 1240 22.78% 26.28%
10 2014-03-22 32.9 @ Sutjeska 5 1359 60.45% Mogren 1 1231 16.14% 23.41%
11 2014-03-15 33.1 @ Mornar 2 1261 52.53% Decic Tuzi 0 1202 21.56% 25.91%
12 2013-11-03 33.3 @ Rudar 2 1273 52.10% Mladost Podgorica 0 1217 21.88% 26.01%
13 2014-04-12 33.3 @ Celik Niksic 2 1345 54.34% Mornar 0 1271 20.23% 25.43%
14 2014-03-22 33.4 @ Grbalj 3 1266 45.85% Mladost Podgorica 0 1259 26.95% 27.20%
15 2014-03-08 33.7 @ Mornar 3 1244 44.47% Mogren 0 1248 28.16% 27.38%
16 2013-11-02 34.1 @ Buducnost Podgorica 2 1337 51.77% Mogren 0 1284 22.13% 26.09%
17 2013-08-10 34.3 @ Sutjeska 2 1312 50.06% Mornar 0 1273 23.47% 26.47%
18 2013-11-02 34.5 @ Sutjeska 2 1373 52.54% Petrovac 0 1314 21.56% 25.91%
19 2013-12-07 34.6 @ Mladost Podgorica 3 1204 40.97% Decic Tuzi 0 1233 31.33% 27.70%
20 2014-05-31 34.6 @ Petrovac 3 1291 43.10% Rudar 0 1305 29.37% 27.52%
21 2014-03-30 34.8 @ Sutjeska 1 1381 62.54% Mladost Podgorica 0 1233 14.88% 22.58%
22 2014-03-26 35.0 Sutjeska 2 1370 47.97% @ Mogren 0 1220 25.16% 26.87%
23 2013-09-25 35.1 @ Grbalj 2 1308 47.61% Zeta 0 1289 25.46% 26.93%
24 2014-02-25 35.2 @ Sutjeska 1 1393 62.03% Zeta 0 1250 15.18% 22.79%
25 2013-08-25 35.4 @ Sutjeska 4 1322 55.80% Decic Tuzi 1 1236 19.20% 25.01%