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2014-15 Montenegrin First League Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Rudar

72 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Rudar

10.28 points above expected

72 points · 61.72 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Berane

9.70 points below expected

13 points · 22.70 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rudar 33 22 6 5 72 58 18 +40 61.72 +10.28
2 Sutjeska 33 20 9 4 69 58 23 +35 60.79 +8.21
3 Buducnost Podgorica 33 18 9 6 63 46 20 +26 61.29 +1.71
4 Mladost Podgorica 33 16 9 8 57 53 36 +17 54.27 +2.73
5 Grbalj 33 15 7 11 52 52 44 +8 45.59 +6.41
6 Lovcen 33 15 5 13 50 42 32 +10 51.88 -1.88
7 Petrovac 33 12 7 14 43 30 35 -5 46.80 -3.80
8 Bokelj 33 11 8 14 41 38 45 -7 35.63 +5.37
9 Zeta 33 11 7 15 40 48 44 +4 43.14 -3.14
10 Mornar 33 9 5 19 32 32 63 -31 38.66 -6.66
11 Mogren 33 5 6 22 21 26 70 -44 30.64 -9.64
12 Berane 33 3 4 26 13 25 78 -53 22.70 -9.70

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Rudar 72 61.72 +10.28
2 Sutjeska 69 60.79 +8.21
3 Grbalj 52 45.59 +6.41
4 Bokelj 41 35.63 +5.37
5 Mladost Podgorica 57 54.27 +2.73

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Berane 13 22.70 -9.70
2 Mogren 21 30.64 -9.64
3 Mornar 32 38.66 -6.66
4 Petrovac 43 46.80 -3.80
5 Zeta 40 43.14 -3.14

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Zeta 5 Apr 18 – May 16 1 in 114
2 Rudar 6 Aug 27 – Sep 28 1 in 51
3 Grbalj 3 Mar 11 – Mar 21 1 in 23
4 Mladost Podgorica 4 Sep 17 – Oct 4 1 in 18
5 Sutjeska 5 Mar 21 – Apr 18 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Berane 8 Aug 22 – Oct 4 1 in 64
2 Lovcen 4 Oct 25 – Nov 22 1 in 48
3 Mogren 5 Sep 27 – Nov 1 1 in 30
4 Mornar 4 Aug 16 – Aug 30 1 in 26
5 Bokelj 5 Aug 27 – Sep 21 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Mladost Podgorica 15 Sep 13 – Mar 8 1 in 378
2 Sutjeska 11 Mar 21 – May 30 1 in 25
3 Rudar 12 Oct 18 – Mar 14 1 in 23
4 Buducnost Podgorica 10 Mar 31 – May 30 1 in 15
5 Zeta 5 Apr 18 – May 16 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Berane 23 Aug 9 – Mar 21 1 in 98
2 Zeta 8 Aug 27 – Oct 19 1 in 19
3 Buducnost Podgorica 4 Apr 4 – Apr 26 1 in 19
4 Petrovac 7 Mar 31 – May 9 1 in 17
5 Sutjeska 3 Dec 6 – Feb 28 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Rudar 1435 72 +0 8 9.2 -1.2
Sutjeska 1445 69 +26 11 9.7 +1.3
Buducnost Podgorica 1411 63 +29 11 9.9 +1.1
Mladost Podgorica 1268 57 -71 4 8.1 -4.1
Grbalj 1315 52 +81 12 8.7 +3.3
Lovcen 1289 50 +5 8 8.6 -0.6
Petrovac 1195 43 -30 4 7.5 -3.5
Bokelj 1200 41 -7 6 5.9 +0.1
Zeta 1257 40 +2 9 5.9 +3.1
Mornar 1055 32 -92 1 5.6 -4.6
Mogren 1061 21 +42 4 2.3 +1.7
Berane 1003 13 +16 4 2.6 +1.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BER BOK BP GRB LOV MP MOG MOR PET RUD SUT ZET
Berane —
0-1-2
2.65
0-0-3
1.15
0-0-3
1.86
0-0-3
1.56
0-0-3
1.67
1-1-1
3.51
0-1-2
2.94
1-0-2
2.04
0-0-3
1.25
0-0-3
1.25
1-1-1
2.67
Bokelj
2-1-0
5.71
—
1-1-1
2.07
1-1-1
3.04
0-1-2
3.01
0-0-3
2.30
3-0-0
4.10
1-0-2
3.78
2-1-0
3.27
1-0-2
2.24
0-2-1
1.68
0-1-2
3.75
Buducnost Podgorica
3-0-0
7.35
1-1-1
6.33
—
1-1-1
5.43
1-1-1
4.82
1-2-0
4.62
2-1-0
6.17
3-0-0
6.14
1-1-1
5.31
1-1-1
4.40
1-1-1
4.06
3-0-0
5.98
Grbalj
3-0-0
6.57
1-1-1
5.31
1-1-1
2.95
—
0-1-2
3.51
2-0-1
3.09
2-1-0
5.85
1-1-1
5.00
2-1-0
4.54
0-1-2
2.74
2-0-1
3.04
1-0-2
4.17
Lovcen
3-0-0
6.89
2-1-0
5.34
1-1-1
3.53
2-1-0
4.84
—
0-0-3
4.22
3-0-0
6.05
3-0-0
5.85
0-0-3
4.80
0-1-2
3.13
0-0-3
3.49
1-1-1
5.10
Mladost Podgorica
3-0-0
6.77
3-0-0
6.10
0-2-1
3.73
1-0-2
5.27
3-0-0
4.13
—
2-0-1
6.33
2-0-1
5.21
1-1-1
5.10
0-2-1
3.12
0-2-1
3.25
1-2-0
5.39
Mogren
1-1-1
4.84
0-0-3
4.26
0-1-2
2.23
0-1-2
2.53
0-0-3
2.34
1-0-2
2.11
—
1-1-1
2.88
0-1-2
2.76
1-0-2
1.80
0-1-2
1.46
1-0-2
2.92
Mornar
2-1-0
5.42
2-0-1
4.57
0-0-3
2.25
1-1-1
3.35
0-0-3
2.53
1-0-2
3.16
1-1-1
5.49
—
1-0-2
3.22
1-0-2
1.94
0-0-3
2.74
0-2-1
3.70
Petrovac
2-0-1
6.36
0-1-2
5.09
1-1-1
3.06
0-1-2
3.82
3-0-0
3.55
1-1-1
3.26
2-1-0
5.61
2-0-1
5.13
—
0-0-3
3.18
0-2-1
2.72
1-0-2
4.59
Rudar
3-0-0
7.25
2-0-1
6.14
1-1-1
3.94
2-1-0
5.64
2-1-0
5.22
1-2-0
5.23
2-0-1
6.62
2-0-1
6.47
3-0-0
5.17
—
1-1-1
4.18
3-0-0
5.90
Sutjeska
3-0-0
7.24
1-2-0
6.75
1-1-1
4.29
1-0-2
5.32
3-0-0
4.87
1-2-0
5.10
2-1-0
7.01
3-0-0
5.62
1-2-0
5.64
1-1-1
4.17
—
3-0-0
5.75
Zeta
1-1-1
5.71
2-1-0
4.60
0-0-3
2.40
2-0-1
4.17
1-1-1
3.25
0-2-1
2.96
2-0-1
5.44
1-2-0
4.65
2-0-1
3.76
0-0-3
2.49
0-0-3
2.62
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.80 +13.6
Allowed 0.91 -9.0
Differential 0.97 +6.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.59%10.10%6.57%4.80%1.52%1.26%32.83%
110.10%10.10%6.06%4.55%1.01%0.76%32.58%
26.57%6.06%2.02%1.77%0.76%—17.17%
34.80%4.55%1.77%—0.25%—11.36%
41.52%1.01%0.76%0.25%—0.25%3.79%
5+1.26%0.76%——0.25%—2.27%
Total32.83%32.58%17.17%11.36%3.79%2.27%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.28 +0.00
SD 1.29 1.29 1.98
CV 1.00 1.00 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—15.15%15.15%6.06%9.09%3.03%48.48%
1—6.06%9.09%6.06%6.06%3.03%30.30%
2—6.06%6.06%6.06%——18.18%
3—3.03%————3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total—30.30%30.30%18.18%15.15%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.76 2.36 -1.61
SD 0.87 1.25 1.62
CV 1.14 0.53 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 1 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%12.12%9.09%3.03%——27.27%
112.12%18.18%3.03%3.03%6.06%3.03%45.45%
26.06%6.06%3.03%—3.03%—18.18%
36.06%—————6.06%
4———————
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total30.30%36.36%15.15%6.06%9.09%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.36 -0.21
SD 1.09 1.39 1.96
CV 0.95 1.02 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%9.09%————24.24%
118.18%9.09%3.03%———30.30%
212.12%9.09%3.03%6.06%——30.30%
39.09%3.03%————12.12%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total57.58%30.30%6.06%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 0.61 +0.79
SD 1.09 0.86 1.34
CV 0.78 1.43 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%12.12%3.03%—3.03%33.33%
16.06%15.15%6.06%———27.27%
26.06%6.06%————12.12%
33.03%6.06%6.06%———15.15%
4—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
5+3.03%———3.03%—6.06%
Total24.24%39.39%27.27%3.03%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.33 +0.24
SD 1.71 1.27 2.22
CV 1.09 0.95 —
Max 7 6 +7
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%18.18%12.12%3.03%——39.39%
112.12%9.09%6.06%———27.27%
212.12%3.03%————15.15%
3—3.03%6.06%———9.09%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+3.03%3.03%————6.06%
Total33.33%39.39%24.24%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 0.97 +0.30
SD 1.46 0.85 1.83
CV 1.15 0.87 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%3.03%—3.03%——24.24%
19.09%6.06%3.03%9.09%——27.27%
29.09%6.06%3.03%—3.03%—21.21%
39.09%9.09%————18.18%
4—3.03%3.03%——3.03%9.09%
5+———————
Total45.45%27.27%9.09%12.12%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 1.09 +0.52
SD 1.30 1.35 1.66
CV 0.81 1.24 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%3.03%12.12%15.15%6.06%6.06%48.48%
13.03%9.09%12.12%6.06%——30.30%
23.03%3.03%3.03%3.03%3.03%—15.15%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.15%18.18%27.27%24.24%9.09%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.79 2.12 -1.33
SD 0.93 1.41 1.95
CV 1.18 0.66 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%12.12%6.06%12.12%3.03%3.03%42.42%
112.12%6.06%6.06%9.09%—3.03%36.36%
23.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
3——6.06%—3.03%—9.09%
4———————
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total21.21%24.24%21.21%21.21%6.06%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.91 -0.94
SD 1.19 1.63 2.11
CV 1.22 0.85 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%15.15%6.06%6.06%——36.36%
121.21%12.12%6.06%9.09%——48.48%
26.06%—————6.06%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+———————
Total39.39%30.30%15.15%15.15%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 1.06 -0.15
SD 0.98 1.09 1.54
CV 1.08 1.03 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%12.12%————30.30%
112.12%—3.03%———15.15%
29.09%9.09%————18.18%
312.12%12.12%————24.24%
43.03%3.03%—3.03%——9.09%
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total54.55%39.39%3.03%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.76 0.55 +1.21
SD 1.50 0.71 1.47
CV 0.85 1.30 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—6.06%3.03%——18.18%
115.15%18.18%—3.03%——36.36%
29.09%6.06%————15.15%
36.06%9.09%3.03%———18.18%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total51.52%33.33%9.09%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.76 0.70 +1.06
SD 1.46 0.88 1.92
CV 0.83 1.27 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%12.12%—3.03%——21.21%
1—12.12%15.15%9.09%——36.36%
23.03%15.15%3.03%6.06%——27.27%
36.06%3.03%————9.09%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total21.21%42.42%18.18%18.18%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.33 +0.12
SD 1.20 1.02 1.80
CV 0.83 0.77 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Sutjeska 1445 69 60.79 +8.21 90.0% 44 48 56 61 65 71 77
Rudar 1435 72 61.72 +10.28 95.0% 47 49 57 62 66 72 80
Buducnost Podgorica 1411 63 61.29 +1.71 59.0% 39 49 56 61 67 72 79
Grbalj 1315 52 45.59 +6.41 79.0% 30 33 40 45 51 57 61
Lovcen 1289 50 51.88 -1.88 44.0% 34 40 47 52 56 62 68
Mladost Podgorica 1268 57 54.27 +2.73 67.0% 30 40 48 54 59 69 77
Zeta 1257 40 43.14 -3.14 35.0% 25 31 38 42 48 55 63
Bokelj 1200 41 35.63 +5.37 76.0% 20 24 29 36 41 48 58
Petrovac 1195 43 46.80 -3.80 36.0% 25 35 41 47 53 58 63
Mogren 1061 21 30.64 -9.64 9.0% 12 20 25 30 35 43 52
Mornar 1055 32 38.66 -6.66 19.0% 24 28 33 38 44 50 58
Berane 1003 13 22.70 -9.70 3.0% 7 14 18 22 27 33 37

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+14.65%
Slight Edge
46.97%20.71%32.32%
Elo Value
Home Edge
180 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
051.26500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.30 goals
Neutral
-2+0.28+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.3
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
31%
Rudar, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.09/gm
Tight Race
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.76 * Some Luck: 5.76 to 8.63 * Lucky: 8.63 to 11.51 * Wild Swing: 11.51 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.07 * Close: 1.07 to 1.61 * Off: 1.61 to 2.15 * Way Off: 2.15 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.54 points
Some Luck
07.1918
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.83
Pinpoint
01.343
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
95.00%
Rudar
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
3.00%
Berane
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Lopsided
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 148.98
2.35
Wide Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
74%
Clear Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
93%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
58%
Some Drama
0%55%100%
Blowouts
Expected
19%
Frequent
0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.55
Highly Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.40
Slight Separation
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.91
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.72
Near-Lock
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Upset-Prone
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Shaky Favorites
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.23
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.07
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.109
Well Within Noise
00.1150.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Rudar31.00%26.00%25.00%4.00%8.00%6.00%——————
Sutjeska25.00%32.00%19.00%12.00%5.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%————
Buducnost Podgorica38.00%13.00%20.00%16.00%9.00%1.00%2.00%—1.00%———
Mladost Podgorica5.00%14.00%15.00%19.00%15.00%11.00%12.00%6.00%2.00%—1.00%—
Grbalj—1.00%5.00%8.00%16.00%17.00%13.00%23.00%11.00%4.00%2.00%—
Lovcen—12.00%9.00%19.00%17.00%19.00%15.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%——
Petrovac1.00%—4.00%17.00%15.00%15.00%17.00%12.00%14.00%2.00%3.00%—
Bokelj——1.00%—3.00%5.00%7.00%10.00%17.00%28.00%19.00%10.00%
Zeta—2.00%2.00%1.00%9.00%15.00%19.00%14.00%26.00%7.00%3.00%2.00%
Mornar———4.00%1.00%6.00%11.00%21.00%20.00%27.00%9.00%1.00%
Mogren————2.00%2.00%1.00%7.00%6.00%19.00%47.00%16.00%
Berane————————1.00%12.00%16.00%71.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Buducnost Podgorica 100% — —
Grbalj 94.00% 6.00% —
Lovcen 99.00% 1.00% —
Mladost Podgorica 99.00% 1.00% —
Petrovac 95.00% 5.00% —
Rudar 100% — —
Sutjeska 100% — —
Mornar 63.00% 36.00% 1.00%
Zeta 88.00% 10.00% 2.00%
Bokelj 43.00% 47.00% 10.00%
Mogren 18.00% 66.00% 16.00%
Berane 1.00% 28.00% 71.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2014-08-08 Grbalj L 0-340.1 1276 1257 48.73% 21.75% 29.52%+0.39 -37.5 0
2014-08-08 @ Petrovac W 3-040.1 1257 1276 29.52% 21.75% 48.73%-0.39 +37.5 3
2014-08-09 Berane W 5-135.4 1230 1164 54.45% 21.37% 24.18%+0.65 +23.0 3
2014-08-09 @ Mornar L 1-535.4 1164 1230 24.18% 21.37% 54.45%-0.65 -23.0 0
2014-08-09 Mogren W 3-033.2 1293 1241 52.75% 21.51% 25.75%+0.57 +22.2 3
2014-08-09 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-333.2 1241 1293 25.75% 21.51% 52.75%-0.57 -22.2 0
2014-08-09 Zeta D 1-154.9 1115 1216 32.18% 21.86% 45.97%-0.28 +0.8 1
2014-08-09 @ Bokelj D 1-154.9 1216 1115 45.97% 21.86% 32.18%+0.28 -0.8 1
2014-08-10 Lovcen W 1-043.3 1243 1312 36.50% 21.95% 41.55%-0.10 +12.0 3
2014-08-10 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-143.3 1312 1243 41.55% 21.95% 36.50%+0.10 -12.0 0
2014-08-10 Rudar L 1-349.6 1322 1264 53.56% 21.45% 24.99%+0.61 -24.3 0
2014-08-10 @ Sutjeska W 3-149.6 1264 1322 24.99% 21.45% 53.56%-0.61 +24.3 3
2014-08-16 Bokelj L 0-244.5 1219 1116 58.60% 20.94% 20.46%+0.86 -30.5 0
2014-08-16 @ Mogren W 2-044.5 1116 1219 20.46% 20.94% 58.60%-0.86 +30.5 4
2014-08-16 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-241.0 1294 1315 43.29% 21.93% 34.78%+0.17 -23.4 3
2014-08-16 @ Grbalj W 2-041.0 1315 1294 34.78% 21.93% 43.29%-0.17 +23.4 6
2014-08-16 Petrovac W 1-038.4 1288 1239 52.47% 21.53% 26.00%+0.56 +8.2 6
2014-08-16 @ Rudar L 0-138.4 1239 1288 26.00% 21.53% 52.47%-0.56 -8.2 0
2014-08-16 Sutjeska L 1-250.7 1300 1298 46.42% 21.84% 31.73%+0.30 -12.4 0
2014-08-16 @ Lovcen W 2-150.7 1298 1300 31.73% 21.84% 46.42%-0.30 +12.4 3
2014-08-16 Mladost Podgorica L 1-250.1 1253 1255 45.91% 21.86% 32.23%+0.27 -12.3 3
2014-08-16 @ Mornar W 2-150.1 1255 1253 32.23% 21.86% 45.91%-0.27 +12.3 6
2014-08-16 Zeta D 1-154.9 1141 1215 35.80% 21.95% 42.25%-0.13 +0.4 1
2014-08-16 @ Berane D 1-154.9 1215 1141 42.25% 21.95% 35.80%+0.13 -0.4 2
2014-08-22 Berane W 2-141.3 1267 1141 60.87% 20.64% 18.49%+0.98 +5.7 9
2014-08-22 @ Mladost Podgorica L 1-241.3 1141 1267 18.49% 20.64% 60.87%-0.98 -5.7 1
2014-08-23 Grbalj W 1-045.1 1146 1271 29.19% 21.73% 49.07%-0.41 +13.8 7
2014-08-23 @ Bokelj L 0-145.1 1271 1146 49.07% 21.73% 29.19%+0.41 -13.8 3
2014-08-23 Lovcen W 1-042.6 1231 1288 38.20% 21.97% 39.83%-0.03 +11.6 3
2014-08-23 @ Petrovac L 0-142.6 1288 1231 39.83% 21.97% 38.20%+0.03 -11.6 0
2014-08-23 Mogren W 3-033.8 1215 1189 49.57% 21.71% 28.72%+0.43 +24.4 5
2014-08-23 @ Zeta L 0-333.8 1189 1215 28.72% 21.71% 49.57%-0.43 -24.4 0
2014-08-23 Mornar W 3-032.6 1310 1241 54.87% 21.34% 23.80%+0.67 +20.8 6
2014-08-23 @ Sutjeska L 0-332.6 1241 1310 23.80% 21.34% 54.87%-0.67 -20.8 3
2014-08-23 Rudar W 1-039.3 1339 1296 51.62% 21.59% 26.80%+0.52 +8.4 9
2014-08-23 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-139.3 1296 1339 26.80% 21.59% 51.62%-0.52 -8.4 6
2014-08-27 Bokelj W 2-032.4 1288 1160 61.09% 20.61% 18.30%+0.99 +11.3 9
2014-08-27 @ Rudar L 0-232.4 1160 1288 18.30% 20.61% 61.09%-0.99 -11.3 7
2014-08-27 Buducnost Podgorica W 3-254.6 1276 1347 36.19% 21.95% 41.85%-0.11 +10.8 3
2014-08-27 @ Lovcen L 2-354.6 1347 1276 41.85% 21.95% 36.19%+0.11 -10.8 9
2014-08-27 Mogren L 0-239.8 1136 1164 42.25% 21.95% 35.80%+0.13 -22.9 1
2014-08-27 @ Berane W 2-039.8 1164 1136 35.80% 21.95% 42.25%-0.13 +22.9 3
2014-08-27 Petrovac L 0-143.4 1220 1242 43.13% 21.93% 34.94%+0.16 -12.4 3
2014-08-27 @ Mornar W 1-043.4 1242 1220 34.94% 21.93% 43.13%-0.16 +12.4 6
2014-08-27 Sutjeska L 1-345.2 1273 1331 38.01% 21.97% 40.03%-0.04 -18.2 9
2014-08-27 @ Mladost Podgorica W 3-145.2 1331 1273 40.03% 21.97% 38.01%+0.04 +18.2 9
2014-08-27 Zeta W 1-039.5 1257 1239 48.54% 21.76% 29.70%+0.38 +9.2 6
2014-08-27 @ Grbalj L 0-139.5 1239 1257 29.70% 21.76% 48.54%-0.38 -9.2 5
2014-08-30 Berane W 4-027.0 1349 1113 70.33% 18.68% 10.99%+1.60 +13.1 12
2014-08-30 @ Sutjeska L 0-427.0 1113 1349 10.99% 18.68% 70.33%-1.60 -13.1 1
2014-08-30 Grbalj D 0-050.3 1187 1266 35.10% 21.93% 42.96%-0.15 +0.5 4
2014-08-30 @ Mogren D 0-050.3 1266 1187 42.96% 21.93% 35.10%+0.15 -0.5 7
2014-08-30 Lovcen L 0-138.6 1149 1287 27.60% 21.64% 50.76%-0.48 -8.6 7
2014-08-30 @ Bokelj W 1-038.6 1287 1149 50.76% 21.64% 27.60%+0.48 +8.6 6
2014-08-30 Mornar W 2-032.7 1336 1208 61.18% 20.60% 18.22%+1.00 +11.3 12
2014-08-30 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-232.7 1208 1336 18.22% 20.60% 61.18%-1.00 -11.3 3
2014-08-30 Mladost Podgorica W 4-246.6 1254 1255 46.15% 21.85% 31.99%+0.28 +14.2 9
2014-08-30 @ Petrovac L 2-446.6 1255 1254 31.99% 21.85% 46.15%-0.28 -14.2 9
2014-08-31 Rudar L 1-247.4 1230 1299 36.46% 21.95% 41.58%-0.10 -10.2 5
2014-08-31 @ Zeta W 2-147.4 1299 1230 41.58% 21.95% 36.46%+0.10 +10.2 12
2014-09-13 Bokelj W 1-037.7 1196 1140 53.29% 21.47% 25.24%+0.60 +8.0 6
2014-09-13 @ Mornar L 0-137.7 1140 1196 25.24% 21.47% 53.29%-0.60 -8.0 7
2014-09-13 Buducnost Podgorica D 0-050.8 1240 1348 31.38% 21.83% 46.79%-0.31 +1.1 10
2014-09-13 @ Mladost Podgorica D 0-050.8 1348 1240 46.79% 21.83% 31.38%+0.31 -1.0 13
2014-09-13 Grbalj L 2-348.2 1100 1266 24.45% 21.40% 54.15%-0.64 -7.0 1
2014-09-13 @ Berane W 3-248.2 1266 1100 54.15% 21.40% 24.45%+0.64 +7.0 10
2014-09-13 Mogren W 2-141.6 1309 1188 60.48% 20.70% 18.82%+0.96 +5.8 15
2014-09-13 @ Rudar L 1-241.6 1188 1309 18.82% 20.70% 60.48%-0.96 -5.8 4
2014-09-13 Petrovac D 1-156.2 1362 1269 57.56% 21.07% 21.37%+0.80 -2.3 13
2014-09-13 @ Sutjeska D 1-156.2 1269 1362 21.37% 21.07% 57.56%-0.80 +2.3 10
2014-09-13 Zeta D 1-155.5 1295 1220 55.55% 21.27% 23.18%+0.70 -2.1 7
2014-09-13 @ Lovcen D 1-155.5 1220 1295 23.18% 21.27% 55.55%-0.70 +2.1 6
2014-09-17 Lovcen L 1-245.5 1182 1293 30.85% 21.81% 47.34%-0.33 -8.9 4
2014-09-17 @ Mogren W 2-145.5 1293 1182 47.34% 21.81% 30.85%+0.33 +8.9 10
2014-09-17 Mornar D 0-050.3 1222 1204 48.48% 21.76% 29.76%+0.38 -1.3 7
2014-09-17 @ Zeta D 0-050.3 1204 1222 29.76% 21.76% 48.48%-0.38 +1.3 7
2014-09-17 Rudar L 0-337.9 1273 1315 40.27% 21.96% 37.77%+0.05 -32.0 10
2014-09-17 @ Grbalj W 3-037.9 1315 1273 37.77% 21.96% 40.27%-0.05 +32.0 18
2014-09-17 Sutjeska L 1-251.2 1347 1360 44.32% 21.91% 33.78%+0.21 -11.9 13
2014-09-17 @ Buducnost Podgorica W 2-151.2 1360 1347 33.78% 21.91% 44.32%-0.21 +11.9 16
2014-09-17 Mladost Podgorica L 0-236.5 1132 1241 31.11% 21.82% 47.07%-0.32 -17.9 7
2014-09-17 @ Bokelj W 2-036.5 1241 1132 47.07% 21.82% 31.11%+0.32 +17.9 13
2014-09-18 Berane W 1-034.0 1271 1093 65.72% 19.80% 14.48%+1.27 +4.8 13
2014-09-18 @ Petrovac L 0-134.0 1093 1271 14.48% 19.80% 65.72%-1.27 -4.8 1
2014-09-21 Bokelj W 2-029.3 1372 1114 71.84% 18.24% 9.93%+1.72 +6.2 19
2014-09-21 @ Sutjeska L 0-229.3 1114 1372 9.93% 18.24% 71.84%-1.72 -6.2 7
2014-09-21 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-142.6 1276 1335 37.94% 21.97% 40.09%-0.04 -11.2 13
2014-09-21 @ Petrovac W 1-042.6 1335 1276 40.09% 21.97% 37.94%+0.04 +11.2 16
2014-09-21 Grbalj W 1-038.0 1302 1241 53.92% 21.42% 24.67%+0.63 +7.8 13
2014-09-21 @ Lovcen L 0-138.0 1241 1302 24.67% 21.42% 53.92%-0.63 -7.8 10
2014-09-21 Mogren L 1-348.1 1206 1173 50.40% 21.66% 27.94%+0.47 -23.0 7
2014-09-21 @ Mornar W 3-148.1 1173 1206 27.94% 21.66% 50.40%-0.47 +23.0 7
2014-09-21 Rudar L 0-428.9 1088 1347 16.01% 20.16% 63.83%-1.15 -18.9 1
2014-09-21 @ Berane W 4-028.9 1347 1088 63.83% 20.16% 16.01%+1.15 +18.9 21
2014-09-21 Zeta W 3-141.3 1259 1221 51.18% 21.61% 27.21%+0.50 +13.9 16
2014-09-21 @ Mladost Podgorica L 1-341.3 1221 1259 27.21% 21.61% 51.18%-0.50 -13.9 7
2014-09-27 Berane W 1-031.9 1346 1069 73.09% 17.83% 9.08%+1.82 +3.0 19
2014-09-27 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-131.9 1069 1346 9.08% 17.83% 73.09%-1.82 -3.0 1
2014-09-27 Mornar D 1-155.1 1233 1183 52.59% 21.52% 25.89%+0.56 -1.7 11
2014-09-27 @ Grbalj D 1-155.1 1183 1233 25.89% 21.52% 52.59%-0.56 +1.7 8
2014-09-27 Petrovac W 2-151.9 1108 1265 25.46% 21.48% 53.06%-0.59 +13.9 10
2014-09-27 @ Bokelj L 1-251.9 1265 1108 53.06% 21.48% 25.46%+0.59 -13.9 13
2014-09-27 Sutjeska L 2-348.7 1207 1378 23.85% 21.34% 54.81%-0.67 -6.8 7
2014-09-27 @ Zeta W 3-248.7 1378 1207 54.81% 21.34% 23.85%+0.67 +6.8 22
2014-09-27 Mladost Podgorica L 1-343.8 1196 1273 35.36% 21.94% 42.70%-0.14 -17.2 7
2014-09-27 @ Mogren W 3-143.8 1273 1196 42.70% 21.94% 35.36%+0.14 +17.2 19
2014-09-28 Lovcen W 1-039.2 1366 1310 53.29% 21.47% 25.24%+0.60 +8.0 24
2014-09-28 @ Rudar L 0-139.2 1310 1366 25.24% 21.47% 53.29%-0.60 -8.0 13
2014-10-04 Bokelj D 2-261.8 1349 1122 69.61% 18.88% 11.51%+1.54 -2.9 20
2014-10-04 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 2-261.8 1122 1349 11.51% 18.88% 69.61%-1.54 +2.9 11
2014-10-04 Grbalj W 2-034.9 1290 1231 53.66% 21.44% 24.90%+0.61 +14.9 22
2014-10-04 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-234.9 1231 1290 24.90% 21.44% 53.66%-0.61 -14.9 11
2014-10-04 Lovcen L 0-529.8 1066 1302 17.84% 20.53% 61.63%-1.02 -25.8 1
2014-10-04 @ Berane W 5-029.8 1302 1066 61.63% 20.53% 17.84%+1.02 +25.8 16
2014-10-04 Mogren W 4-028.1 1385 1179 68.03% 19.28% 12.69%+1.43 +15.1 25
2014-10-04 @ Sutjeska L 0-428.1 1179 1385 12.69% 19.28% 68.03%-1.43 -15.1 7
2014-10-04 Rudar W 2-153.4 1184 1374 21.98% 21.14% 56.88%-0.77 +14.8 11
2014-10-04 @ Mornar L 1-253.4 1374 1184 56.88% 21.14% 21.98%+0.77 -14.8 24
2014-10-04 Zeta W 1-038.1 1251 1200 52.66% 21.51% 25.82%+0.57 +8.2 16
2014-10-04 @ Petrovac L 0-138.1 1200 1251 25.82% 21.51% 52.66%-0.57 -8.1 7
2014-10-18 Berane D 1-155.0 1125 1040 56.55% 21.17% 22.27%+0.75 -2.2 12
2014-10-18 @ Bokelj D 1-155.0 1040 1125 22.27% 21.17% 56.55%-0.75 +2.2 2
2014-10-18 Mornar W 3-138.5 1328 1199 61.18% 20.60% 18.22%+1.00 +9.8 19
2014-10-18 @ Lovcen L 1-338.5 1199 1328 18.22% 20.60% 61.18%-1.00 -9.8 11
2014-10-18 Petrovac L 1-343.0 1164 1259 32.94% 21.88% 45.18%-0.24 -16.3 7
2014-10-18 @ Mogren W 3-143.0 1259 1164 45.18% 21.88% 32.94%+0.24 +16.3 19
2014-10-18 Sutjeska W 2-044.8 1216 1400 22.59% 21.21% 56.20%-0.74 +29.4 14
2014-10-18 @ Grbalj L 0-244.8 1400 1216 56.20% 21.21% 22.59%+0.74 -29.4 25
2014-10-18 Mladost Podgorica D 0-051.6 1359 1305 53.02% 21.49% 25.49%+0.58 -1.9 25
2014-10-18 @ Rudar D 0-051.6 1305 1359 25.49% 21.49% 53.02%-0.58 +1.9 23
2014-10-19 Buducnost Podgorica L 1-244.1 1192 1346 25.74% 21.51% 52.75%-0.57 -7.7 7
2014-10-19 @ Zeta W 2-144.1 1346 1192 52.75% 21.51% 25.74%+0.57 +7.7 23
2014-10-25 Bokelj W 3-140.2 1184 1123 53.91% 21.42% 24.67%+0.63 +12.8 10
2014-10-25 @ Zeta L 1-340.2 1123 1184 24.67% 21.42% 53.91%-0.63 -12.8 12
2014-10-25 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-233.3 1147 1354 20.44% 20.94% 58.61%-0.86 -12.5 7
2014-10-25 @ Mogren W 2-033.3 1354 1147 58.61% 20.94% 20.44%+0.86 +12.5 26
2014-10-25 Mornar L 2-348.8 1042 1189 26.57% 21.57% 51.86%-0.53 -7.5 2
2014-10-25 @ Berane W 3-248.8 1189 1042 51.86% 21.57% 26.57%+0.53 +7.5 14
2014-10-25 Petrovac D 1-155.3 1246 1275 42.10% 21.95% 35.95%+0.12 -0.4 15
2014-10-25 @ Grbalj D 1-155.3 1275 1246 35.95% 21.95% 42.10%-0.12 +0.4 20
2014-10-25 Mladost Podgorica L 0-146.4 1338 1307 50.11% 21.68% 28.21%+0.45 -14.0 19
2014-10-25 @ Lovcen W 1-046.4 1307 1338 28.21% 21.68% 50.11%-0.45 +14.0 26
2014-10-26 Sutjeska D 0-052.2 1357 1371 44.34% 21.91% 33.75%+0.21 -0.7 26
2014-10-26 @ Rudar D 0-052.2 1371 1357 33.75% 21.91% 44.34%-0.21 +0.7 26
2014-11-01 Berane W 3-029.2 1197 1035 64.29% 20.08% 15.63%+1.18 +14.2 13
2014-11-01 @ Zeta L 0-329.2 1035 1197 15.63% 20.08% 64.29%-1.18 -14.2 2
2014-11-01 Grbalj L 2-359.7 1366 1245 60.38% 20.71% 18.91%+0.95 -14.9 26
2014-11-01 @ Buducnost Podgorica W 3-259.7 1245 1366 18.91% 20.71% 60.38%-0.95 +14.9 18
2014-11-01 Lovcen W 2-036.6 1372 1324 52.30% 21.54% 26.16%+0.55 +15.5 29
2014-11-01 @ Sutjeska L 0-236.6 1324 1372 26.16% 21.54% 52.30%-0.55 -15.5 19
2014-11-01 Mogren W 5-035.3 1110 1135 42.73% 21.94% 35.33%+0.15 +46.5 15
2014-11-01 @ Bokelj L 0-535.3 1135 1110 35.33% 21.94% 42.73%-0.15 -46.5 7
2014-11-01 Mornar W 3-030.7 1321 1197 60.77% 20.66% 18.58%+0.98 +16.7 29
2014-11-01 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-330.7 1197 1321 18.58% 20.66% 60.77%-0.98 -16.7 14
2014-11-01 Rudar L 0-141.8 1276 1357 34.83% 21.93% 43.24%-0.17 -10.4 20
2014-11-01 @ Petrovac W 1-041.8 1357 1276 43.24% 21.93% 34.83%+0.17 +10.4 29
2014-11-08 Bokelj D 1-155.3 1260 1156 58.64% 20.94% 20.42%+0.86 -2.5 19
2014-11-08 @ Grbalj D 1-155.3 1156 1260 20.42% 20.94% 58.64%-0.86 +2.5 16
2014-11-08 Petrovac L 0-146.3 1308 1265 51.68% 21.58% 26.74%+0.52 -14.4 19
2014-11-08 @ Lovcen W 1-046.3 1265 1308 26.74% 21.58% 51.68%-0.52 +14.4 23
2014-11-08 Sutjeska L 0-136.7 1180 1387 20.36% 20.93% 58.71%-0.86 -6.6 14
2014-11-08 @ Mornar W 1-036.7 1387 1180 58.71% 20.93% 20.36%+0.86 +6.6 32
2014-11-08 Mladost Podgorica L 1-335.8 1021 1338 12.19% 19.12% 68.69%-1.48 -6.6 2
2014-11-08 @ Berane W 3-135.8 1338 1021 68.69% 19.12% 12.19%+1.48 +6.6 32
2014-11-08 Zeta W 2-150.6 1088 1211 29.45% 21.75% 48.81%-0.40 +12.9 10
2014-11-08 @ Mogren L 1-250.6 1211 1088 48.81% 21.75% 29.45%+0.40 -12.9 13
2014-11-09 Buducnost Podgorica W 1-041.3 1367 1351 48.27% 21.77% 29.96%+0.37 +9.2 32
2014-11-09 @ Rudar L 0-141.3 1351 1367 29.96% 21.77% 48.27%-0.37 -9.2 26
2014-11-22 Berane D 2-260.8 1101 1014 56.84% 21.14% 22.02%+0.77 -1.7 11
2014-11-22 @ Mogren D 2-260.8 1014 1101 22.02% 21.14% 56.84%-0.77 +1.7 3
2014-11-22 Grbalj W 2-148.3 1198 1258 37.82% 21.97% 40.22%-0.05 +11.0 16
2014-11-22 @ Zeta L 1-248.3 1258 1198 40.22% 21.97% 37.82%+0.05 -11.0 19
2014-11-22 Lovcen W 2-036.0 1342 1294 52.34% 21.54% 26.12%+0.55 +15.5 29
2014-11-22 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-236.0 1294 1342 26.12% 21.54% 52.34%-0.55 -15.5 19
2014-11-22 Mornar L 0-147.8 1280 1173 58.88% 20.91% 20.21%+0.87 -16.2 23
2014-11-22 @ Petrovac W 1-047.8 1173 1280 20.21% 20.91% 58.88%-0.87 +16.2 17
2014-11-22 Rudar L 1-534.1 1159 1376 19.41% 20.79% 59.80%-0.92 -18.9 16
2014-11-22 @ Bokelj W 5-134.1 1376 1159 59.80% 20.79% 19.41%+0.92 +18.9 35
2014-11-22 Mladost Podgorica D 0-052.5 1394 1345 52.43% 21.53% 26.04%+0.56 -1.9 33
2014-11-22 @ Sutjeska D 0-052.5 1345 1394 26.04% 21.53% 52.43%-0.56 +1.8 33
2014-11-29 Bokelj W 4-135.0 1278 1140 62.09% 20.46% 17.45%+1.05 +13.2 22
2014-11-29 @ Lovcen L 1-435.0 1140 1278 17.45% 20.46% 62.09%-1.05 -13.2 16
2014-11-29 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-137.9 1190 1357 24.27% 21.38% 54.35%-0.65 -7.7 17
2014-11-29 @ Mornar W 1-037.9 1357 1190 54.35% 21.38% 24.27%+0.65 +7.7 32
2014-11-29 Mogren W 4-241.2 1247 1100 62.93% 20.32% 16.75%+1.10 +8.1 22
2014-11-29 @ Grbalj L 2-441.2 1100 1247 16.75% 20.32% 62.93%-1.10 -8.1 11
2014-11-29 Petrovac W 2-034.6 1346 1263 56.40% 21.19% 22.41%+0.75 +13.6 36
2014-11-29 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-234.6 1263 1346 22.41% 21.19% 56.40%-0.75 -13.6 23
2014-11-29 Sutjeska L 0-228.8 1016 1392 9.22% 17.90% 72.88%-1.80 -5.8 3
2014-11-29 @ Berane W 2-028.8 1392 1016 72.88% 17.90% 9.22%+1.80 +5.8 36
2014-11-29 Zeta W 2-140.4 1395 1209 66.39% 19.66% 13.95%+1.32 +4.4 38
2014-11-29 @ Rudar L 1-240.4 1209 1395 13.95% 19.66% 66.39%-1.32 -4.4 16
2014-12-06 Berane W 1-032.4 1255 1010 70.91% 18.51% 10.58%+1.64 +3.5 25
2014-12-06 @ Grbalj L 0-132.4 1010 1255 10.58% 18.51% 70.91%-1.64 -3.5 3
2014-12-06 Lovcen L 2-351.5 1205 1291 34.08% 21.91% 44.01%-0.20 -9.2 16
2014-12-06 @ Zeta W 3-251.5 1291 1205 44.01% 21.91% 34.08%+0.20 +9.2 25
2014-12-06 Sutjeska D 1-156.2 1250 1398 26.46% 21.56% 51.98%-0.54 +1.6 24
2014-12-06 @ Petrovac D 1-156.2 1398 1250 51.98% 21.56% 26.46%+0.54 -1.6 37
2014-12-06 Mladost Podgorica D 0-052.2 1365 1360 46.84% 21.83% 31.33%+0.31 -1.1 33
2014-12-06 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 0-052.2 1360 1365 31.33% 21.83% 46.84%-0.31 +1.1 37
2014-12-10 Mornar L 0-141.8 1127 1182 38.43% 21.97% 39.60%-0.02 -11.3 16
2014-12-10 @ Bokelj W 1-041.8 1182 1127 39.60% 21.97% 38.43%+0.02 +11.3 20
2014-12-10 Rudar L 0-328.4 1092 1400 12.74% 19.30% 67.97%-1.42 -11.6 11
2014-12-10 @ Mogren W 3-028.4 1400 1092 67.97% 19.30% 12.74%+1.42 +11.6 41
2015-02-24 Bokelj W 4-239.0 1361 1115 70.99% 18.49% 10.52%+1.65 +5.1 40
2015-02-24 @ Mladost Podgorica L 2-439.0 1115 1361 10.52% 18.49% 70.99%-1.65 -5.1 16
2015-02-24 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-342.8 1396 1364 50.31% 21.67% 28.02%+0.46 -38.6 37
2015-02-24 @ Sutjeska W 3-042.8 1364 1396 28.02% 21.67% 50.31%-0.46 +38.6 36
2015-02-24 Grbalj D 0-052.0 1411 1258 63.48% 20.23% 16.29%+1.13 -3.5 42
2015-02-24 @ Rudar D 0-052.0 1258 1411 16.29% 20.23% 63.48%-1.13 +3.5 26
2015-02-24 Mogren W 1-033.0 1301 1080 69.14% 19.00% 11.86%+1.51 +4.0 28
2015-02-24 @ Lovcen L 0-133.0 1080 1301 11.86% 19.00% 69.14%-1.51 -4.0 11
2015-02-24 Petrovac L 0-134.9 1007 1251 17.13% 20.39% 62.48%-1.07 -5.6 3
2015-02-24 @ Berane W 1-034.9 1251 1007 62.48% 20.39% 17.13%+1.07 +5.6 27
2015-02-24 Zeta D 0-050.2 1193 1196 45.86% 21.86% 32.27%+0.27 -0.9 21
2015-02-24 @ Mornar D 0-050.2 1196 1193 32.27% 21.86% 45.86%-0.27 +0.9 17
2015-02-28 Berane W 3-024.5 1408 1001 80.36% 14.80% 4.84%+2.54 +4.2 45
2015-02-28 @ Rudar L 0-324.5 1001 1408 4.84% 14.80% 80.36%-2.54 -4.2 3
2015-02-28 Lovcen D 1-155.5 1262 1304 40.24% 21.96% 37.80%+0.05 -0.1 27
2015-02-28 @ Grbalj D 1-155.5 1304 1262 37.80% 21.96% 40.24%-0.05 +0.1 29
2015-02-28 Mornar D 1-154.9 1076 1192 30.22% 21.78% 47.99%-0.36 +1.1 12
2015-02-28 @ Mogren D 1-154.9 1192 1076 47.99% 21.78% 30.22%+0.36 -1.1 22
2015-02-28 Petrovac L 0-150.0 1403 1257 62.81% 20.34% 16.85%+1.09 -17.3 36
2015-02-28 @ Buducnost Podgorica W 1-050.0 1257 1403 16.85% 20.34% 62.81%-1.09 +17.3 30
2015-02-28 Sutjeska D 1-155.6 1110 1357 16.94% 20.36% 62.70%-1.09 +3.0 17
2015-02-28 @ Bokelj D 1-155.6 1357 1110 62.70% 20.36% 16.94%+1.09 -3.0 38
2015-02-28 Mladost Podgorica D 1-155.7 1196 1366 24.05% 21.36% 54.59%-0.66 +1.9 18
2015-02-28 @ Zeta D 1-155.7 1366 1196 54.59% 21.36% 24.05%+0.66 -1.9 41
2015-03-08 Bokelj L 0-343.9 1274 1113 64.21% 20.09% 15.70%+1.18 -48.3 30
2015-03-08 @ Petrovac W 3-043.9 1113 1274 15.70% 20.09% 64.21%-1.18 +48.3 20
2015-03-08 Grbalj W 2-039.9 1191 1262 36.32% 21.95% 41.73%-0.11 +22.7 25
2015-03-08 @ Mornar L 0-239.9 1262 1191 41.73% 21.95% 36.32%+0.11 -22.7 27
2015-03-08 Mogren W 3-026.6 1364 1077 73.77% 17.60% 8.63%+1.88 +7.8 44
2015-03-08 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-326.6 1077 1364 8.63% 17.60% 73.77%-1.88 -7.8 12
2015-03-08 Rudar L 0-238.6 1305 1412 31.37% 21.83% 46.80%-0.31 -18.1 29
2015-03-08 @ Lovcen W 2-038.6 1412 1305 46.80% 21.83% 31.37%+0.31 +18.1 48
2015-03-08 Zeta W 1-035.1 1354 1198 63.76% 20.18% 16.06%+1.15 +5.3 41
2015-03-08 @ Sutjeska L 0-135.1 1198 1354 16.06% 20.18% 63.76%-1.15 -5.3 18
2015-03-11 Berane W 2-028.4 1287 997 73.94% 17.54% 8.53%+1.89 +5.3 32
2015-03-11 @ Lovcen L 0-228.4 997 1287 8.53% 17.54% 73.94%-1.89 -5.3 3
2015-03-11 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-136.1 1162 1385 18.86% 20.70% 60.44%-0.96 -6.2 20
2015-03-11 @ Bokelj W 1-036.1 1385 1162 60.44% 20.70% 18.86%+0.96 +6.2 39
2015-03-11 Mornar W 3-029.1 1430 1214 68.79% 19.09% 12.12%+1.48 +11.0 51
2015-03-11 @ Rudar L 0-329.1 1214 1430 12.12% 19.09% 68.79%-1.48 -11.0 25
2015-03-11 Petrovac W 2-038.2 1193 1226 41.63% 21.95% 36.42%+0.10 +20.4 21
2015-03-11 @ Zeta L 0-238.2 1226 1193 36.42% 21.95% 41.63%-0.10 -20.4 30
2015-03-11 Sutjeska D 0-050.9 1069 1360 13.84% 19.63% 66.54%-1.33 +3.9 13
2015-03-11 @ Mogren D 0-050.9 1360 1069 66.54% 19.63% 13.84%+1.33 -3.9 42
2015-03-11 Mladost Podgorica W 5-460.2 1239 1372 28.17% 21.67% 50.16%-0.45 +12.1 30
2015-03-11 @ Grbalj L 4-560.2 1372 1239 50.16% 21.67% 28.17%+0.45 -12.1 44
2015-03-14 Bokelj L 0-234.3 991 1155 24.67% 21.42% 53.91%-0.63 -14.8 3
2015-03-14 @ Berane W 2-034.3 1155 991 53.91% 21.42% 24.67%+0.63 +14.8 23
2015-03-14 Grbalj L 0-245.4 1356 1251 58.74% 20.93% 20.33%+0.87 -30.6 42
2015-03-14 @ Sutjeska W 2-045.4 1251 1356 20.33% 20.93% 58.74%-0.87 +30.6 33
2015-03-14 Lovcen L 1-538.6 1203 1292 33.78% 21.91% 44.32%-0.21 -30.3 25
2015-03-14 @ Mornar W 5-138.6 1292 1203 44.32% 21.91% 33.78%+0.21 +30.3 35
2015-03-14 Mogren W 2-032.1 1206 1073 61.53% 20.54% 17.93%+1.02 +11.1 33
2015-03-14 @ Petrovac L 0-232.1 1073 1206 17.93% 20.54% 61.53%-1.02 -11.1 13
2015-03-14 Rudar D 0-053.6 1360 1441 34.84% 21.93% 43.23%-0.17 +0.6 45
2015-03-14 @ Mladost Podgorica D 0-053.6 1441 1360 43.23% 21.93% 34.84%+0.17 -0.6 52
2015-03-14 Zeta W 1-034.9 1392 1213 65.71% 19.80% 14.49%+1.27 +4.8 42
2015-03-14 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-134.9 1213 1392 14.49% 19.80% 65.71%-1.27 -4.8 21
2015-03-18 Buducnost Podgorica L 1-236.8 977 1396 7.47% 16.92% 75.61%-2.04 -2.3 3
2015-03-18 @ Berane W 2-136.8 1396 977 75.61% 16.92% 7.47%+2.04 +2.3 45
2015-03-21 Berane W 2-136.9 1282 974 75.01% 17.15% 7.84%+1.99 +2.4 36
2015-03-21 @ Grbalj L 1-236.9 974 1282 7.84% 17.15% 75.01%-1.99 -2.4 3
2015-03-21 Buducnost Podgorica W 1-048.8 1170 1399 18.46% 20.64% 60.91%-0.98 +16.8 26
2015-03-21 @ Bokelj L 0-148.8 1399 1170 60.91% 20.64% 18.46%+0.98 -16.8 45
2015-03-21 Lovcen W 2-041.6 1217 1322 31.60% 21.84% 46.56%-0.30 +24.8 36
2015-03-21 @ Petrovac L 0-241.6 1322 1217 46.56% 21.84% 31.60%+0.30 -24.8 35
2015-03-21 Rudar W 1-051.3 1062 1440 9.12% 17.85% 73.03%-1.81 +19.8 16
2015-03-21 @ Mogren L 0-151.3 1440 1062 73.03% 17.85% 9.12%+1.81 -19.8 52
2015-03-21 Sutjeska L 0-138.3 1173 1325 25.92% 21.52% 52.56%-0.56 -8.2 25
2015-03-21 @ Mornar W 1-038.3 1325 1173 52.56% 21.52% 25.92%+0.56 +8.2 45
2015-03-21 Mladost Podgorica D 2-261.4 1209 1361 26.00% 21.53% 52.48%-0.56 +1.2 22
2015-03-21 @ Zeta D 2-261.4 1361 1209 52.48% 21.53% 26.00%+0.56 -1.2 46
2015-03-31 Bokelj W 3-029.5 1359 1187 65.22% 19.90% 14.88%+1.24 +13.5 49
2015-03-31 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-329.5 1187 1359 14.88% 19.90% 65.22%-1.24 -13.5 26
2015-03-31 Grbalj W 1-040.0 1297 1284 47.93% 21.78% 30.28%+0.36 +9.3 38
2015-03-31 @ Lovcen L 0-140.0 1284 1297 30.28% 21.78% 47.93%-0.36 -9.3 36
2015-03-31 Mogren W 2-150.0 972 1082 31.02% 21.82% 47.16%-0.33 +12.6 6
2015-03-31 @ Berane L 1-250.0 1082 972 47.16% 21.82% 31.02%+0.33 -12.6 16
2015-03-31 Mornar W 3-136.2 1382 1164 68.90% 19.06% 12.03%+1.49 +6.5 48
2015-03-31 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 1-336.2 1164 1382 12.03% 19.06% 68.90%-1.49 -6.5 25
2015-03-31 Petrovac W 1-037.2 1333 1242 57.35% 21.09% 21.56%+0.79 +7.0 48
2015-03-31 @ Sutjeska L 0-137.2 1242 1333 21.56% 21.09% 57.35%-0.79 -7.0 36
2015-03-31 Zeta W 3-136.9 1421 1210 68.38% 19.20% 12.42%+1.45 +6.8 55
2015-03-31 @ Rudar L 1-336.9 1210 1421 12.42% 19.20% 68.38%-1.45 -6.8 22
2015-04-04 Berane W 2-027.8 1307 985 75.90% 16.80% 7.30%+2.07 +4.5 41
2015-04-04 @ Lovcen L 0-227.8 985 1307 7.30% 16.80% 75.90%-2.07 -4.5 6
2015-04-04 Buducnost Podgorica D 0-051.2 1235 1388 25.78% 21.51% 52.71%-0.57 +1.9 37
2015-04-04 @ Petrovac D 0-051.2 1388 1235 52.71% 21.51% 25.78%+0.57 -1.9 49
2015-04-04 Mogren W 5-029.7 1203 1069 61.66% 20.52% 17.81%+1.03 +25.8 25
2015-04-04 @ Zeta L 0-529.7 1069 1203 17.81% 20.52% 61.66%-1.03 -25.8 16
2015-04-04 Rudar W 1-049.6 1173 1427 16.41% 20.25% 63.34%-1.12 +17.4 29
2015-04-04 @ Bokelj L 0-149.6 1427 1173 63.34% 20.25% 16.41%+1.12 -17.4 55
2015-04-04 Sutjeska L 0-637.4 1275 1340 36.97% 21.96% 41.07%-0.08 -57.3 36
2015-04-04 @ Grbalj W 6-037.4 1340 1275 41.07% 21.96% 36.97%+0.08 +57.3 51
2015-04-04 Mladost Podgorica W 1-048.3 1158 1373 19.64% 20.83% 59.54%-0.91 +16.4 28
2015-04-04 @ Mornar L 0-148.3 1373 1158 59.54% 20.83% 19.64%+0.91 -16.4 49
2015-04-11 Bokelj L 0-332.9 1044 1191 26.53% 21.57% 51.90%-0.53 -22.8 16
2015-04-11 @ Mogren W 3-032.9 1191 1044 51.90% 21.57% 26.53%+0.53 +22.8 32
2015-04-11 Grbalj D 1-156.3 1387 1217 64.94% 19.96% 15.11%+1.22 -3.3 50
2015-04-11 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 1-156.3 1217 1387 15.11% 19.96% 64.94%-1.22 +3.3 37
2015-04-11 Lovcen W 3-033.4 1398 1311 56.77% 21.15% 22.08%+0.76 +19.5 54
2015-04-11 @ Sutjeska L 0-333.4 1311 1398 22.08% 21.15% 56.77%-0.76 -19.5 41
2015-04-11 Mornar W 4-346.5 1410 1174 70.26% 18.70% 11.04%+1.59 +3.2 58
2015-04-11 @ Rudar L 3-446.5 1174 1410 11.04% 18.70% 70.26%-1.59 -3.2 28
2015-04-11 Petrovac D 0-051.2 1356 1236 60.30% 20.72% 18.98%+0.95 -3.0 50
2015-04-11 @ Mladost Podgorica D 0-051.2 1236 1356 18.98% 20.72% 60.30%-0.95 +3.0 38
2015-04-11 Zeta W 2-154.3 980 1229 16.80% 20.33% 62.87%-1.10 +16.3 9
2015-04-11 @ Berane L 1-254.3 1229 980 62.87% 20.33% 16.80%+1.10 -16.3 25
2015-04-18 Berane W 3-132.2 1417 996 81.02% 14.47% 4.52%+2.62 +2.3 57
2015-04-18 @ Sutjeska L 1-332.2 996 1417 4.52% 14.47% 81.02%-2.62 -2.3 9
2015-04-18 Buducnost Podgorica D 0-051.6 1292 1383 33.42% 21.90% 44.68%-0.22 +0.8 42
2015-04-18 @ Lovcen D 0-051.6 1383 1292 44.68% 21.90% 33.42%+0.22 -0.8 51
2015-04-18 Mogren W 3-245.4 1171 1021 63.24% 20.27% 16.50%+1.12 +4.9 31
2015-04-18 @ Mornar L 2-345.4 1021 1171 16.50% 20.27% 63.24%-1.12 -4.9 16
2015-04-18 Rudar L 1-341.1 1239 1413 23.63% 21.32% 55.05%-0.68 -12.3 38
2015-04-18 @ Petrovac W 3-141.1 1413 1239 55.05% 21.32% 23.63%+0.68 +12.3 61
2015-04-18 Mladost Podgorica W 3-148.6 1221 1353 28.22% 21.68% 50.10%-0.45 +22.9 40
2015-04-18 @ Grbalj L 1-348.6 1353 1221 50.10% 21.68% 28.22%+0.45 -22.9 50
2015-04-18 Zeta L 1-250.0 1214 1213 46.30% 21.85% 31.85%+0.29 -12.4 32
2015-04-18 @ Bokelj W 2-150.0 1213 1214 31.85% 21.85% 46.30%-0.29 +12.4 28
2015-04-25 Bokelj L 0-136.0 994 1201 20.34% 20.93% 58.74%-0.87 -6.6 9
2015-04-25 @ Berane W 1-036.0 1201 994 58.74% 20.93% 20.34%+0.87 +6.6 35
2015-04-25 Grbalj W 2-032.2 1426 1244 66.03% 19.73% 14.23%+1.29 +8.9 64
2015-04-25 @ Rudar L 0-232.2 1244 1426 14.23% 19.73% 66.03%-1.29 -8.9 40
2015-04-25 Lovcen W 1-039.4 1330 1292 51.09% 21.62% 27.29%+0.50 +8.5 53
2015-04-25 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-139.4 1292 1330 27.29% 21.62% 51.09%-0.50 -8.5 42
2015-04-25 Mornar W 4-032.3 1225 1176 52.43% 21.53% 26.04%+0.56 +29.3 31
2015-04-25 @ Zeta L 0-432.3 1176 1225 26.04% 21.53% 52.43%-0.56 -29.4 31
2015-04-25 Petrovac D 1-155.1 1016 1227 19.97% 20.88% 59.15%-0.89 +2.5 17
2015-04-25 @ Mogren D 1-155.1 1227 1016 59.15% 20.88% 19.97%+0.89 -2.5 39
2015-04-26 Sutjeska D 1-158.4 1383 1419 41.07% 21.96% 36.97%+0.08 -0.2 52
2015-04-26 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 1-158.4 1419 1383 36.97% 21.96% 41.07%-0.08 +0.2 58
2015-05-02 Berane W 4-024.0 1382 987 79.79% 15.09% 5.13%+2.48 +5.8 55
2015-05-02 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-424.0 987 1382 5.13% 15.09% 79.79%-2.48 -5.8 9
2015-05-02 Bokelj L 1-247.3 1147 1208 37.58% 21.96% 40.45%-0.06 -10.4 31
2015-05-02 @ Mornar W 2-147.3 1208 1147 40.45% 21.96% 37.58%+0.06 +10.4 38
2015-05-02 Mogren W 2-138.8 1235 1018 68.81% 19.09% 12.10%+1.48 +3.8 43
2015-05-02 @ Grbalj L 1-238.8 1018 1235 12.10% 19.09% 68.81%-1.48 -3.8 17
2015-05-02 Rudar D 0-052.2 1284 1434 26.15% 21.54% 52.31%-0.55 +1.8 43
2015-05-02 @ Lovcen D 0-052.2 1434 1284 52.31% 21.54% 26.15%+0.55 -1.8 65
2015-05-02 Mladost Podgorica D 1-157.8 1420 1339 56.11% 21.22% 22.67%+0.73 -2.1 59
2015-05-02 @ Sutjeska D 1-157.8 1339 1420 22.67% 21.22% 56.11%-0.73 +2.1 54
2015-05-02 Zeta L 1-248.9 1225 1254 42.08% 21.95% 35.97%+0.12 -11.4 39
2015-05-02 @ Petrovac W 2-148.9 1254 1225 35.97% 21.95% 42.08%-0.12 +11.4 34
2015-05-09 Buducnost Podgorica L 1-250.1 1341 1388 39.64% 21.97% 38.39%+0.02 -10.9 54
2015-05-09 @ Mladost Podgorica W 2-150.1 1388 1341 38.39% 21.97% 39.64%-0.02 +10.9 58
2015-05-09 Grbalj W 2-144.9 1266 1239 49.73% 21.70% 28.58%+0.44 +8.4 37
2015-05-09 @ Zeta L 1-244.9 1239 1266 28.58% 21.70% 49.73%-0.44 -8.4 43
2015-05-09 Lovcen L 0-231.1 1015 1286 15.15% 19.97% 64.88%-1.22 -9.5 17
2015-05-09 @ Mogren W 2-031.1 1286 1015 64.88% 19.97% 15.15%+1.22 +9.5 46
2015-05-09 Mornar D 2-260.7 982 1136 25.70% 21.50% 52.79%-0.57 +1.3 10
2015-05-09 @ Berane D 2-260.7 1136 982 52.79% 21.50% 25.70%+0.57 -1.3 32
2015-05-09 Petrovac D 0-050.2 1218 1213 46.85% 21.83% 31.32%+0.31 -1.1 39
2015-05-09 @ Bokelj D 0-050.2 1213 1218 31.32% 21.83% 46.85%-0.31 +1.1 40
2015-05-09 Sutjeska L 0-149.5 1433 1418 48.16% 21.77% 30.06%+0.37 -13.6 65
2015-05-09 @ Rudar W 1-049.5 1418 1433 30.06% 21.77% 48.16%-0.37 +13.6 62
2015-05-16 Berane W 4-130.3 1330 983 77.33% 16.21% 6.46%+2.21 +4.8 57
2015-05-16 @ Mladost Podgorica L 1-430.3 983 1330 6.46% 16.21% 77.33%-2.21 -4.8 10
2015-05-16 Bokelj W 4-139.3 1230 1217 47.87% 21.79% 30.34%+0.36 +21.5 46
2015-05-16 @ Grbalj L 1-439.3 1217 1230 30.34% 21.79% 47.87%-0.36 -21.5 39
2015-05-16 Mogren W 4-023.7 1431 1005 81.25% 14.34% 4.40%+2.65 +4.9 65
2015-05-16 @ Sutjeska L 0-423.7 1005 1431 4.40% 14.34% 81.25%-2.65 -4.9 17
2015-05-16 Mornar W 3-031.8 1214 1135 55.97% 21.23% 22.79%+0.72 +20.0 43
2015-05-16 @ Petrovac L 0-331.8 1135 1214 22.79% 21.23% 55.97%-0.72 -20.0 32
2015-05-16 Rudar D 0-054.0 1399 1419 43.42% 21.93% 34.65%+0.17 -0.6 59
2015-05-16 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 0-054.0 1419 1399 34.65% 21.93% 43.42%-0.17 +0.6 66
2015-05-16 Zeta L 1-251.3 1295 1274 48.93% 21.74% 29.33%+0.40 -13.0 46
2015-05-16 @ Lovcen W 2-151.3 1274 1295 29.33% 21.74% 48.93%-0.40 +13.0 40
2015-05-23 Buducnost Podgorica D 1-156.3 1000 1398 8.29% 17.41% 74.30%-1.92 +4.5 18
2015-05-23 @ Mogren D 1-156.3 1398 1000 74.30% 17.41% 8.29%+1.92 -4.5 60
2015-05-23 Grbalj L 0-734.1 1115 1252 27.74% 21.65% 50.61%-0.47 -52.5 32
2015-05-23 @ Mornar W 7-034.1 1252 1115 50.61% 21.65% 27.74%+0.47 +52.5 49
2015-05-23 Lovcen D 1-155.2 1196 1282 34.10% 21.91% 43.98%-0.20 +0.6 40
2015-05-23 @ Bokelj D 1-155.2 1282 1196 43.98% 21.91% 34.10%+0.20 -0.6 47
2015-05-23 Petrovac W 3-151.4 978 1234 16.24% 20.21% 63.55%-1.14 +28.5 13
2015-05-23 @ Berane L 1-351.4 1234 978 63.55% 20.21% 16.24%+1.14 -28.5 43
2015-05-23 Sutjeska L 1-342.9 1287 1436 26.34% 21.55% 52.11%-0.54 -13.5 40
2015-05-23 @ Zeta W 3-142.9 1436 1287 52.11% 21.55% 26.34%+0.54 +13.5 68
2015-05-23 Mladost Podgorica W 3-142.0 1420 1335 56.55% 21.17% 22.27%+0.75 +11.7 69
2015-05-23 @ Rudar L 1-342.0 1335 1420 22.27% 21.17% 56.55%-0.75 -11.7 57
2015-05-30 Berane W 4-129.3 1431 1007 81.20% 14.37% 4.43%+2.64 +3.2 72
2015-05-30 @ Rudar L 1-429.3 1007 1431 4.43% 14.37% 81.20%-2.64 -3.2 13
2015-05-30 Bokelj D 1-157.1 1450 1196 71.51% 18.34% 10.16%+1.69 -4.2 69
2015-05-30 @ Sutjeska D 1-157.1 1196 1450 10.16% 18.34% 71.51%-1.69 +4.2 41
2015-05-30 Mogren L 0-346.3 1323 1005 75.70% 16.88% 7.42%+2.05 -55.9 57
2015-05-30 @ Mladost Podgorica W 3-046.3 1005 1323 7.42% 16.88% 75.70%-2.05 +55.8 21
2015-05-30 Mornar W 2-029.9 1282 1062 69.03% 19.03% 11.93%+1.50 +7.5 50
2015-05-30 @ Lovcen L 0-229.9 1062 1282 11.93% 19.03% 69.03%-1.50 -7.5 32
2015-05-30 Petrovac W 3-139.3 1304 1206 58.06% 21.01% 20.93%+0.83 +11.1 52
2015-05-30 @ Grbalj L 1-339.3 1206 1304 20.93% 21.01% 58.06%-0.83 -11.1 43
2015-05-30 Zeta W 3-031.8 1394 1274 60.34% 20.72% 18.94%+0.95 +17.0 63
2015-05-30 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-331.8 1274 1394 18.94% 20.72% 60.34%-0.95 -17.0 40

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2015-05-30 7.42% Mogren 1005 3 @ Mladost Podgorica 1323 0
2 2015-03-21 9.12% @ Mogren 1062 1 Rudar 1440 0
3 2015-03-08 15.70% Bokelj 1113 3 @ Petrovac 1274 0
4 2015-05-23 16.24% @ Berane 978 3 Petrovac 1234 1
5 2015-04-04 16.41% @ Bokelj 1173 1 Rudar 1427 0
6 2015-04-11 16.80% @ Berane 980 2 Zeta 1229 1
7 2015-02-28 16.85% Petrovac 1257 1 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1403 0
8 2015-03-21 18.46% @ Bokelj 1170 1 Buducnost Podgorica 1399 0
9 2014-11-01 18.91% Grbalj 1245 3 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1366 2
10 2015-04-04 19.64% @ Mornar 1158 1 Mladost Podgorica 1373 0
11 2014-11-22 20.21% Mornar 1173 1 @ Petrovac 1280 0
12 2015-03-14 20.33% Grbalj 1251 2 @ Sutjeska 1356 0
13 2014-08-16 20.46% Bokelj 1116 2 @ Mogren 1219 0
14 2014-10-04 21.98% @ Mornar 1184 2 Rudar 1374 1
15 2014-10-18 22.59% @ Grbalj 1216 2 Sutjeska 1400 0
16 2014-08-10 24.99% Rudar 1264 3 @ Sutjeska 1322 1
17 2014-09-27 25.46% @ Bokelj 1108 2 Petrovac 1265 1
18 2014-11-08 26.74% Petrovac 1265 1 @ Lovcen 1308 0
19 2014-09-21 27.94% Mogren 1173 3 @ Mornar 1206 1
20 2015-02-24 28.02% Buducnost Podgorica 1364 3 @ Sutjeska 1396 0
21 2015-03-11 28.17% @ Grbalj 1239 5 Mladost Podgorica 1372 4
22 2014-10-25 28.21% Mladost Podgorica 1307 1 @ Lovcen 1338 0
23 2015-04-18 28.22% @ Grbalj 1221 3 Mladost Podgorica 1353 1
24 2014-08-23 29.19% @ Bokelj 1146 1 Grbalj 1271 0
25 2015-05-16 29.33% Zeta 1274 2 @ Lovcen 1295 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2015-04-04 57.27 Sutjeska 6 1340 41.07% @ Grbalj 0 1275 36.97% 21.96%
2 2015-05-30 55.85 Mogren 3 1005 7.42% @ Mladost Podgorica 0 1323 75.70% 16.88%
3 2015-05-23 52.47 Grbalj 7 1252 50.61% @ Mornar 0 1115 27.74% 21.65%
4 2015-03-08 48.26 Bokelj 3 1113 15.70% @ Petrovac 0 1274 64.21% 20.09%
5 2014-11-01 46.53 @ Bokelj 5 1110 42.73% Mogren 0 1135 35.33% 21.94%
6 2015-02-24 38.58 Buducnost Podgorica 3 1364 28.02% @ Sutjeska 0 1396 50.31% 21.67%
7 2014-08-08 37.52 Grbalj 3 1257 29.52% @ Petrovac 0 1276 48.73% 21.75%
8 2014-09-17 32.03 Rudar 3 1315 37.77% @ Grbalj 0 1273 40.27% 21.96%
9 2015-03-14 30.57 Grbalj 2 1251 20.33% @ Sutjeska 0 1356 58.74% 20.93%
10 2014-08-16 30.51 Bokelj 2 1116 20.46% @ Mogren 0 1219 58.60% 20.94%
11 2015-03-14 30.34 Lovcen 5 1292 44.32% @ Mornar 1 1203 33.78% 21.91%
12 2014-10-18 29.35 @ Grbalj 2 1216 22.59% Sutjeska 0 1400 56.20% 21.21%
13 2015-04-25 29.35 @ Zeta 4 1225 52.43% Mornar 0 1176 26.04% 21.53%
14 2015-05-23 28.50 @ Berane 3 978 16.24% Petrovac 1 1234 63.55% 20.21%
15 2014-10-04 25.83 Lovcen 5 1302 61.63% @ Berane 0 1066 17.84% 20.53%
16 2015-04-04 25.80 @ Zeta 5 1203 61.66% Mogren 0 1069 17.81% 20.52%
17 2015-03-21 24.84 @ Petrovac 2 1217 31.60% Lovcen 0 1322 46.56% 21.84%
18 2014-08-23 24.41 @ Zeta 3 1215 49.57% Mogren 0 1189 28.72% 21.71%
19 2014-08-10 24.33 Rudar 3 1264 24.99% @ Sutjeska 1 1322 53.56% 21.45%
20 2014-08-16 23.38 Buducnost Podgorica 2 1315 34.78% @ Grbalj 0 1294 43.29% 21.93%
21 2014-09-21 23.04 Mogren 3 1173 27.94% @ Mornar 1 1206 50.40% 21.66%
22 2014-08-09 22.95 @ Mornar 5 1230 54.45% Berane 1 1164 24.18% 21.37%
23 2014-08-27 22.92 Mogren 2 1164 35.80% @ Berane 0 1136 42.25% 21.95%
24 2015-04-18 22.92 @ Grbalj 3 1221 28.22% Mladost Podgorica 1 1353 50.10% 21.68%
25 2015-04-11 22.83 Bokelj 3 1191 51.90% @ Mogren 0 1044 26.53% 21.57%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2014-10-04 61.8 @ Buducnost Podgorica 2 1349 69.61% Bokelj 2 1122 11.51% 18.88%
2 2015-03-21 61.4 @ Zeta 2 1209 26.00% Mladost Podgorica 2 1361 52.48% 21.53%
3 2014-11-22 60.8 @ Mogren 2 1101 56.84% Berane 2 1014 22.02% 21.14%
4 2015-05-09 60.7 @ Berane 2 982 25.70% Mornar 2 1136 52.79% 21.50%
5 2015-03-11 60.2 @ Grbalj 5 1239 28.17% Mladost Podgorica 4 1372 50.16% 21.67%
6 2014-11-01 59.7 Grbalj 3 1245 18.91% @ Buducnost Podgorica 2 1366 60.38% 20.71%
7 2015-04-26 58.4 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1 1383 41.07% Sutjeska 1 1419 36.97% 21.96%
8 2015-05-02 57.8 @ Sutjeska 1 1420 56.11% Mladost Podgorica 1 1339 22.67% 21.22%
9 2015-05-30 57.1 @ Sutjeska 1 1450 71.51% Bokelj 1 1196 10.16% 18.34%
10 2015-04-11 56.3 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1 1387 64.94% Grbalj 1 1217 15.11% 19.96%
11 2015-05-23 56.3 @ Mogren 1 1000 8.29% Buducnost Podgorica 1 1398 74.30% 17.41%
12 2014-09-13 56.2 @ Sutjeska 1 1362 57.56% Petrovac 1 1269 21.37% 21.07%
13 2014-12-06 56.2 @ Petrovac 1 1250 26.46% Sutjeska 1 1398 51.98% 21.56%
14 2015-02-28 55.7 @ Zeta 1 1196 24.05% Mladost Podgorica 1 1366 54.59% 21.36%
15 2015-02-28 55.6 @ Bokelj 1 1110 16.94% Sutjeska 1 1357 62.70% 20.36%
16 2014-09-13 55.5 @ Lovcen 1 1295 55.55% Zeta 1 1220 23.18% 21.27%
17 2015-02-28 55.5 @ Grbalj 1 1262 40.24% Lovcen 1 1304 37.80% 21.96%
18 2014-10-25 55.3 @ Grbalj 1 1246 42.10% Petrovac 1 1275 35.95% 21.95%
19 2014-11-08 55.3 @ Grbalj 1 1260 58.64% Bokelj 1 1156 20.42% 20.94%
20 2015-05-23 55.2 @ Bokelj 1 1196 34.10% Lovcen 1 1282 43.98% 21.91%
21 2014-09-27 55.1 @ Grbalj 1 1233 52.59% Mornar 1 1183 25.89% 21.52%
22 2015-04-25 55.1 @ Mogren 1 1016 19.97% Petrovac 1 1227 59.15% 20.88%
23 2014-10-18 55.0 @ Bokelj 1 1125 56.55% Berane 1 1040 22.27% 21.17%
24 2014-08-09 54.9 @ Bokelj 1 1115 32.18% Zeta 1 1216 45.97% 21.86%
25 2014-08-16 54.9 @ Berane 1 1141 35.80% Zeta 1 1215 42.25% 21.95%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2015-05-16 23.7 @ Sutjeska 4 1431 81.25% Mogren 0 1005 4.40% 14.34%
2 2015-05-02 24.0 @ Buducnost Podgorica 4 1382 79.79% Berane 0 987 5.13% 15.09%
3 2015-02-28 24.5 @ Rudar 3 1408 80.36% Berane 0 1001 4.84% 14.80%
4 2015-03-08 26.6 @ Mladost Podgorica 3 1364 73.77% Mogren 0 1077 8.63% 17.60%
5 2014-08-30 27.0 @ Sutjeska 4 1349 70.33% Berane 0 1113 10.99% 18.68%
6 2015-04-04 27.8 @ Lovcen 2 1307 75.90% Berane 0 985 7.30% 16.80%
7 2014-10-04 28.1 @ Sutjeska 4 1385 68.03% Mogren 0 1179 12.69% 19.28%
8 2014-12-10 28.4 Rudar 3 1400 67.97% @ Mogren 0 1092 12.74% 19.30%
9 2015-03-11 28.4 @ Lovcen 2 1287 73.94% Berane 0 997 8.53% 17.54%
10 2014-11-29 28.8 Sutjeska 2 1392 72.88% @ Berane 0 1016 9.22% 17.90%
11 2014-09-21 28.9 Rudar 4 1347 63.83% @ Berane 0 1088 16.01% 20.16%
12 2015-03-11 29.1 @ Rudar 3 1430 68.79% Mornar 0 1214 12.12% 19.09%
13 2014-11-01 29.2 @ Zeta 3 1197 64.29% Berane 0 1035 15.63% 20.08%
14 2014-09-21 29.3 @ Sutjeska 2 1372 71.84% Bokelj 0 1114 9.93% 18.24%
15 2015-05-30 29.3 @ Rudar 4 1431 81.20% Berane 1 1007 4.43% 14.37%
16 2015-03-31 29.5 @ Mladost Podgorica 3 1359 65.22% Bokelj 0 1187 14.88% 19.90%
17 2015-04-04 29.7 @ Zeta 5 1203 61.66% Mogren 0 1069 17.81% 20.52%
18 2014-10-04 29.8 Lovcen 5 1302 61.63% @ Berane 0 1066 17.84% 20.53%
19 2015-05-30 29.9 @ Lovcen 2 1282 69.03% Mornar 0 1062 11.93% 19.03%
20 2015-05-16 30.3 @ Mladost Podgorica 4 1330 77.33% Berane 1 983 6.46% 16.21%
21 2014-11-01 30.7 @ Mladost Podgorica 3 1321 60.77% Mornar 0 1197 18.58% 20.66%
22 2015-05-09 31.1 Lovcen 2 1286 64.88% @ Mogren 0 1015 15.15% 19.97%
23 2015-05-16 31.8 @ Petrovac 3 1214 55.97% Mornar 0 1135 22.79% 21.23%
24 2015-05-30 31.8 @ Buducnost Podgorica 3 1394 60.34% Zeta 0 1274 18.94% 20.72%
25 2014-09-27 31.9 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1 1346 73.09% Berane 0 1069 9.08% 17.83%