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2015-16 Montenegrin First League Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Mladost Podgorica

67 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Mladost Podgorica

14.54 points above expected

67 points · 52.46 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Lovcen

10.02 points below expected

36 points · 46.02 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Mladost Podgorica 33 21 4 8 67 53 28 +25 52.46 +14.54
2 Buducnost Podgorica 33 19 6 8 63 48 21 +27 61.62 +1.38
3 Rudar 33 16 10 7 58 39 26 +13 59.96 -1.96
4 Bokelj 33 17 5 11 56 43 28 +15 46.50 +9.50
5 Sutjeska 33 15 9 9 54 46 31 +15 57.62 -3.62
6 Decic Tuzi 33 11 6 16 39 38 49 -11 38.08 +0.92
7 Grbalj 33 11 5 17 38 38 49 -11 44.79 -6.79
8 Zeta 33 10 8 15 38 37 42 -5 42.69 -4.69
9 Lovcen 33 9 9 15 36 32 42 -10 46.02 -10.02
10 Iskra 33 7 13 13 34 29 51 -22 36.95 -2.95
11 Petrovac 33 8 9 16 33 33 51 -18 35.94 -2.94
12 Mornar 33 9 6 18 33 30 48 -18 26.54 +6.46

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Mladost Podgorica 67 52.46 +14.54
2 Bokelj 56 46.50 +9.50
3 Mornar 33 26.54 +6.46
4 Buducnost Podgorica 63 61.62 +1.38
5 Decic Tuzi 39 38.08 +0.92

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Lovcen 36 46.02 -10.02
2 Grbalj 38 44.79 -6.79
3 Zeta 38 42.69 -4.69
4 Sutjeska 54 57.62 -3.62
5 Iskra 34 36.95 -2.95

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Mladost Podgorica 9 Oct 1 – Dec 6 1 in 1,759
2 Mornar 3 May 14 – May 29 1 in 265
3 Buducnost Podgorica 7 Mar 19 – May 7 1 in 58
4 Decic Tuzi 2 Aug 22 – Aug 26 1 in 18
5 Zeta 3 Apr 30 – May 11 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Zeta 5 Nov 7 – Feb 23 1 in 199
2 Decic Tuzi 6 Apr 9 – May 11 1 in 65
3 Lovcen 4 Oct 6 – Oct 31 1 in 43
4 Mornar 7 Aug 15 – Sep 26 1 in 39
5 Petrovac 5 Feb 23 – Mar 12 1 in 36

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Mladost Podgorica 13 Aug 29 – Dec 6 1 in 236
2 Lovcen 9 Nov 7 – Mar 12 1 in 116
3 Zeta 7 Apr 9 – May 14 1 in 33
4 Petrovac 5 Sep 26 – Oct 26 1 in 29
5 Buducnost Podgorica 10 Sep 19 – Nov 29 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Petrovac 11 Feb 23 – Apr 30 1 in 52
2 Iskra 10 Mar 19 – May 21 1 in 30
3 Lovcen 8 Sep 12 – Oct 31 1 in 28
4 Mornar 14 Aug 8 – Nov 7 1 in 20
5 Zeta 5 Aug 29 – Oct 1 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Mladost Podgorica 1308 67 -10 6 7.7 -1.7
Buducnost Podgorica 1376 63 -13 9 9.9 -0.9
Rudar 1341 58 -1 7 8.7 -1.7
Bokelj 1260 56 +2 9 7.8 +1.2
Sutjeska 1335 54 +18 11 9.5 +1.5
Decic Tuzi 1146 39 -8 6 6.5 -0.5
Zeta 1203 38 +14 7 5.7 +1.3
Grbalj 1200 38 -12 6 8.0 -2.0
Lovcen 1189 36 -10 7 7.2 -0.2
Iskra 1127 34 -3 5 4.8 +0.2
Mornar 1121 33 +28 9 3.7 +5.3
Petrovac 1127 33 -5 4 4.0 -0.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BOK BP DT GRB ISK LOV MP MOR PET RUD SUT ZET
Bokelj —
0-1-2
2.66
3-0-0
4.57
2-1-0
4.42
0-1-2
5.40
3-0-0
3.86
0-0-3
3.44
3-0-0
6.03
3-0-0
4.98
1-1-1
3.18
1-0-2
3.40
1-1-1
4.12
Buducnost Podgorica
2-1-0
5.67
—
3-0-0
6.06
3-0-0
5.19
3-0-0
5.75
1-2-0
5.53
0-0-3
5.11
2-0-1
6.93
2-0-1
5.95
1-0-2
4.19
1-2-0
4.23
1-1-1
5.88
Decic Tuzi
0-0-3
3.71
0-0-3
2.31
—
2-0-1
3.57
2-1-0
4.25
1-1-1
3.47
0-1-2
2.76
2-1-0
5.49
1-0-2
4.53
0-0-3
2.50
2-1-0
2.39
1-1-1
3.48
Grbalj
0-1-2
3.87
0-0-3
3.12
1-0-2
4.71
—
2-0-1
4.62
1-1-1
4.45
2-0-1
3.34
1-0-2
5.65
2-1-0
4.74
0-1-2
2.63
0-1-2
3.26
2-0-1
4.40
Iskra
2-1-0
2.93
0-0-3
2.59
0-1-2
4.03
1-0-2
3.67
—
0-2-1
3.24
0-1-2
2.86
1-1-1
5.02
1-2-0
4.01
0-3-0
2.15
0-1-2
2.54
2-1-0
3.79
Lovcen
0-0-3
4.43
0-2-1
2.79
1-1-1
4.82
1-1-1
3.84
1-2-0
5.06
—
0-0-3
3.24
3-0-0
5.44
2-0-1
5.08
0-2-1
2.84
0-1-2
2.86
1-0-2
4.26
Mladost Podgorica
3-0-0
4.86
3-0-0
3.19
2-1-0
5.58
1-0-2
4.95
2-1-0
5.47
3-0-0
5.07
—
1-0-2
6.57
1-1-1
5.44
1-1-1
3.88
2-0-1
3.47
2-0-1
5.13
Mornar
0-0-3
2.34
1-0-2
1.55
0-1-2
2.83
2-0-1
2.69
1-1-1
3.27
0-0-3
2.87
2-0-1
1.85
—
0-2-1
3.21
1-1-1
1.64
1-0-2
1.73
1-1-1
2.82
Petrovac
0-0-3
3.33
1-0-2
2.40
2-0-1
3.75
0-1-2
3.55
0-2-1
4.28
1-0-2
3.23
1-1-1
2.87
1-2-0
5.09
—
1-1-1
2.03
0-1-2
2.56
1-1-1
3.52
Rudar
1-1-1
5.13
2-0-1
4.09
3-0-0
5.85
2-1-0
5.71
0-3-0
6.24
1-2-0
5.49
1-1-1
4.40
1-1-1
6.83
1-1-1
6.38
—
2-0-1
4.66
2-0-1
5.75
Sutjeska
2-0-1
4.89
0-2-1
4.06
0-1-2
5.98
2-1-0
5.04
2-1-0
5.80
2-1-0
5.46
1-0-2
4.84
2-0-1
6.72
2-1-0
5.78
1-0-2
3.63
—
1-2-0
5.60
Zeta
1-1-1
4.16
1-1-1
2.48
1-1-1
4.82
1-0-2
3.88
0-1-2
4.50
2-0-1
4.02
1-0-2
3.19
1-1-1
5.50
1-1-1
4.77
1-0-2
2.58
0-2-1
2.73
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.83 +15.6
Allowed 0.89 -10.7
Differential 0.96 +7.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.60%11.36%8.08%2.02%1.52%0.25%32.83%
111.36%9.60%7.83%3.28%1.77%0.25%34.09%
28.08%7.83%3.54%1.26%0.51%—21.21%
32.02%3.28%1.26%—0.25%0.25%7.07%
41.52%1.77%0.51%0.25%——4.04%
5+0.25%0.25%—0.25%——0.76%
Total32.83%34.09%21.21%7.07%4.04%0.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.18 +0.00
SD 1.13 1.13 1.66
CV 0.96 0.96 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%24.24%3.03%———33.33%
112.12%9.09%3.03%———24.24%
26.06%15.15%——3.03%—24.24%
39.09%3.03%3.03%———15.15%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total33.33%54.55%9.09%—3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 0.85 +0.45
SD 1.19 0.83 1.46
CV 0.91 0.98 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%9.09%6.06%———30.30%
118.18%—6.06%3.03%——27.27%
212.12%6.06%3.03%———21.21%
36.06%3.03%————9.09%
49.09%—3.03%———12.12%
5+———————
Total60.61%18.18%18.18%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 0.64 +0.82
SD 1.35 0.90 1.70
CV 0.93 1.41 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%9.09%15.15%3.03%3.03%—33.33%
16.06%9.09%15.15%—3.03%—33.33%
26.06%6.06%6.06%———18.18%
3—12.12%3.03%———15.15%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.15%36.36%39.39%3.03%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.48 -0.33
SD 1.06 1.00 1.65
CV 0.92 0.68 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%9.09%6.06%9.09%——27.27%
16.06%12.12%12.12%15.15%——45.45%
29.09%9.09%————18.18%
3—3.03%————3.03%
4—6.06%————6.06%
5+———————
Total18.18%39.39%18.18%24.24%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.48 -0.33
SD 1.06 1.06 1.74
CV 0.92 0.72 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.21%3.03%3.03%6.06%6.06%3.03%42.42%
16.06%12.12%6.06%6.06%3.03%—33.33%
26.06%6.06%6.06%3.03%——21.21%
3———————
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+———————
Total33.33%21.21%18.18%15.15%9.09%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 1.55 -0.67
SD 0.96 1.48 1.78
CV 1.09 0.96 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%9.09%12.12%—3.03%—39.39%
112.12%6.06%15.15%—3.03%—36.36%
23.03%3.03%6.06%3.03%——15.15%
3—6.06%————6.06%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total30.30%27.27%33.33%3.03%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.27 -0.30
SD 1.05 1.13 1.51
CV 1.08 0.88 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%6.06%———21.21%
118.18%3.03%6.06%———27.27%
215.15%12.12%3.03%3.03%——33.33%
3—6.06%3.03%———9.09%
43.03%——3.03%——6.06%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total45.45%30.30%18.18%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 0.85 +0.76
SD 1.27 0.94 1.54
CV 0.79 1.11 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%15.15%12.12%3.03%——36.36%
115.15%3.03%12.12%6.06%3.03%3.03%42.42%
23.03%3.03%9.09%———15.15%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%24.24%33.33%9.09%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 1.45 -0.55
SD 0.88 1.25 1.58
CV 0.97 0.86 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%12.12%9.09%3.03%3.03%—36.36%
13.03%18.18%9.09%3.03%3.03%—36.36%
23.03%15.15%—3.03%3.03%—24.24%
3———————
4———————
5+———3.03%——3.03%
Total15.15%45.45%18.18%12.12%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.55 -0.55
SD 1.06 1.18 1.44
CV 1.06 0.76 —
Max 5 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%12.12%6.06%———27.27%
121.21%15.15%3.03%———39.39%
212.12%6.06%6.06%———24.24%
3——6.06%———6.06%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total42.42%36.36%21.21%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 0.79 +0.39
SD 1.01 0.78 1.17
CV 0.86 0.99 —
Max 4 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%9.09%6.06%—3.03%—33.33%
19.09%12.12%—3.03%3.03%—27.27%
212.12%6.06%————18.18%
33.03%3.03%——3.03%—9.09%
46.06%6.06%————12.12%
5+———————
Total45.45%36.36%6.06%3.03%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 0.94 +0.45
SD 1.37 1.22 1.92
CV 0.98 1.30 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%15.15%12.12%———33.33%
19.09%15.15%6.06%3.03%3.03%—36.36%
29.09%6.06%3.03%3.03%——21.21%
33.03%————3.03%6.06%
4———————
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total27.27%39.39%21.21%6.06%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.27 -0.15
SD 1.14 1.21 1.60
CV 1.02 0.95 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Buducnost Podgorica 1376 63 61.62 +1.38 57.0% 43 48 56 62 66 74 82
Rudar 1341 58 59.96 -1.96 42.0% 39 46 54 60 65 73 79
Sutjeska 1335 54 57.62 -3.62 34.0% 41 46 51 57 63 69 74
Mladost Podgorica 1308 67 52.46 +14.54 99.0% 36 41 47 53 57 64 68
Bokelj 1260 56 46.50 +9.50 92.0% 28 32 41 46 52 60 69
Zeta 1203 38 42.69 -4.69 29.0% 25 30 37 42 48 56 74
Grbalj 1200 38 44.79 -6.79 14.0% 26 32 40 45 48 58 64
Lovcen 1189 36 46.02 -10.02 12.0% 30 34 41 46 51 58 70
Decic Tuzi 1146 39 38.08 +0.92 55.0% 21 24 33 37 44 50 56
Petrovac 1127 33 35.94 -2.94 32.0% 20 21 31 36 40 49 54
Iskra 1127 34 36.95 -2.95 40.0% 19 25 31 36 42 49 54
Mornar 1121 33 26.54 +6.46 88.0% 13 16 22 26 29 37 47

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+12.63%
Slight Edge
44.95%22.73%32.32%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 44.10 Elo pts.
227 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.32 goals
Neutral
-2+0.19+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.6
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
6%
Mladost Podgorica, 4th of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.12/gm
Tight Race
00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.06 * Some Luck: 6.06 to 9.08 * Lucky: 9.08 to 12.11 * Wild Swing: 12.11 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.29 * Close: 1.29 to 1.94 * Off: 1.94 to 2.58 * Way Off: 2.58 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.76 points
Some Luck
07.5719
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Pinpoint
01.614
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.00%
Mladost Podgorica
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
12.00%
Lovcen
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.15
Even
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 92.90
1.67
Moderate Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
73%
Clear Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
81%
Even
50%86%100%
Close Games
Expected
64%
Frequent
0%63%100%
Blowouts
Expected
12%
Rare
0%13%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.33
Very Even
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.85
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.55
Some Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Very Upset-Prone
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Very Shaky
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.48
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.81
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.068
Well Within Noise
00.1170.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Mladost Podgorica6.00%16.00%17.00%17.00%17.00%12.00%5.00%7.00%2.00%1.00%——
Buducnost Podgorica40.00%28.00%11.00%11.00%4.00%3.00%3.00%—————
Rudar27.00%24.00%20.00%16.00%5.00%3.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%———
Bokelj2.00%4.00%12.00%9.00%13.00%19.00%10.00%7.00%9.00%12.00%3.00%—
Sutjeska21.00%21.00%23.00%13.00%13.00%5.00%4.00%—————
Decic Tuzi——1.00%2.00%7.00%7.00%11.00%12.00%19.00%15.00%18.00%8.00%
Grbalj1.00%2.00%4.00%8.00%7.00%21.00%16.00%18.00%10.00%8.00%4.00%1.00%
Zeta2.00%1.00%3.00%7.00%5.00%13.00%17.00%16.00%13.00%9.00%11.00%3.00%
Lovcen1.00%4.00%8.00%11.00%20.00%8.00%11.00%16.00%11.00%6.00%4.00%—
Iskra———4.00%3.00%6.00%15.00%8.00%15.00%16.00%23.00%10.00%
Petrovac——1.00%2.00%5.00%2.00%5.00%12.00%19.00%21.00%21.00%12.00%
Mornar————1.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%12.00%16.00%66.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Bokelj 85.00% 15.00% —
Buducnost Podgorica 100% — —
Lovcen 90.00% 10.00% —
Mladost Podgorica 99.00% 1.00% —
Rudar 100% — —
Sutjeska 100% — —
Grbalj 87.00% 12.00% 1.00%
Zeta 77.00% 20.00% 3.00%
Decic Tuzi 59.00% 33.00% 8.00%
Iskra 51.00% 39.00% 10.00%
Petrovac 46.00% 42.00% 12.00%
Mornar 6.00% 28.00% 66.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2015-08-08 Bokelj L 1-251.8 1240 1185 51.36% 23.15% 25.49%+0.43 -7.9 0
2015-08-08 @ Lovcen W 2-151.8 1185 1240 25.49% 23.15% 51.36%-0.43 +7.9 3
2015-08-08 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-237.5 1254 1317 35.34% 24.07% 40.59%-0.08 -11.7 0
2015-08-08 @ Grbalj W 2-037.5 1317 1254 40.59% 24.07% 35.34%+0.08 +11.7 3
2015-08-08 Decic Tuzi L 1-251.0 1190 1157 48.69% 23.50% 27.81%+0.34 -7.6 0
2015-08-08 @ Iskra W 2-151.0 1157 1190 27.81% 23.50% 48.69%-0.34 +7.5 3
2015-08-08 Mornar D 2-263.1 1329 1098 70.19% 17.81% 12.00%+1.21 -1.7 1
2015-08-08 @ Rudar D 2-263.1 1098 1329 12.00% 17.81% 70.19%-1.21 +1.7 1
2015-08-08 Petrovac W 2-034.4 1220 1182 49.29% 23.43% 27.28%+0.36 +9.5 3
2015-08-08 @ Zeta L 0-234.4 1182 1220 27.28% 23.43% 49.29%-0.36 -9.5 0
2015-08-09 Mladost Podgorica L 0-147.6 1334 1225 57.86% 21.88% 20.25%+0.67 -9.3 0
2015-08-09 @ Sutjeska W 1-047.6 1225 1334 20.25% 21.88% 57.86%-0.67 +9.3 3
2015-08-15 Iskra L 1-252.0 1243 1183 52.02% 23.04% 24.94%+0.46 -8.0 0
2015-08-15 @ Grbalj W 2-152.0 1183 1243 24.94% 23.04% 52.02%-0.46 +8.0 3
2015-08-15 Lovcen W 2-035.9 1235 1232 44.54% 23.88% 31.57%+0.21 +10.7 6
2015-08-15 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-235.9 1232 1235 31.57% 23.88% 44.54%-0.21 -10.7 0
2015-08-15 Rudar L 0-233.2 1164 1328 23.35% 22.72% 53.93%-0.53 -8.3 3
2015-08-15 @ Decic Tuzi W 2-033.2 1328 1164 53.93% 22.72% 23.35%+0.53 +8.3 4
2015-08-15 Sutjeska L 1-337.0 1100 1325 17.98% 21.08% 60.94%-0.80 -5.6 1
2015-08-15 @ Mornar W 3-137.0 1325 1100 60.94% 21.08% 17.98%+0.80 +5.6 3
2015-08-15 Zeta D 1-155.2 1193 1230 39.06% 24.10% 36.84%+0.03 -0.1 4
2015-08-15 @ Bokelj D 1-155.2 1230 1193 36.84% 24.10% 39.06%-0.03 +0.1 4
2015-08-16 Petrovac L 1-254.7 1329 1172 63.02% 20.45% 16.53%+0.88 -9.4 3
2015-08-16 @ Buducnost Podgorica W 2-154.7 1172 1329 16.53% 20.45% 63.02%-0.88 +9.4 3
2015-08-22 Bokelj L 0-337.1 1182 1193 42.57% 24.00% 33.43%+0.14 -19.7 3
2015-08-22 @ Petrovac W 3-037.1 1193 1182 33.43% 24.00% 42.57%-0.14 +19.7 7
2015-08-22 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-432.6 1191 1319 27.07% 23.40% 49.53%-0.37 -17.9 3
2015-08-22 @ Iskra W 4-032.6 1319 1191 49.53% 23.40% 27.07%+0.37 +17.9 6
2015-08-22 Decic Tuzi L 0-244.8 1331 1156 64.87% 19.84% 15.29%+0.96 -19.3 3
2015-08-22 @ Sutjeska W 2-044.8 1156 1331 15.29% 19.84% 64.87%-0.96 +19.3 6
2015-08-22 Grbalj W 2-142.8 1336 1235 57.03% 22.08% 20.89%+0.64 +3.7 7
2015-08-22 @ Rudar L 1-242.8 1235 1336 20.89% 22.08% 57.03%-0.64 -3.7 0
2015-08-22 Mornar W 3-137.2 1221 1095 59.88% 21.37% 18.75%+0.75 +5.8 3
2015-08-22 @ Lovcen L 1-337.2 1095 1221 18.75% 21.37% 59.88%-0.75 -5.8 1
2015-08-22 Mladost Podgorica W 1-040.7 1230 1245 41.98% 24.02% 33.99%+0.13 +6.0 7
2015-08-22 @ Zeta L 0-140.7 1245 1230 33.99% 24.02% 41.98%-0.13 -6.0 6
2015-08-26 Bokelj D 0-051.0 1337 1213 59.59% 21.45% 18.96%+0.74 -1.7 7
2015-08-26 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 0-051.0 1213 1337 18.96% 21.45% 59.59%-0.74 +1.7 8
2015-08-26 Lovcen W 3-253.2 1175 1227 36.85% 24.10% 39.05%-0.03 +6.0 9
2015-08-26 @ Decic Tuzi L 2-353.2 1227 1175 39.05% 24.10% 36.85%+0.03 -6.0 3
2015-08-26 Petrovac L 1-252.4 1239 1162 54.18% 22.67% 23.15%+0.54 -8.3 6
2015-08-26 @ Mladost Podgorica W 2-152.4 1162 1239 23.15% 22.67% 54.18%-0.54 +8.3 6
2015-08-26 Rudar D 0-050.5 1173 1340 23.02% 22.64% 54.34%-0.54 +1.3 4
2015-08-26 @ Iskra D 0-050.5 1340 1173 54.34% 22.64% 23.02%+0.54 -1.3 8
2015-08-26 Sutjeska D 1-155.6 1231 1311 32.94% 23.97% 43.09%-0.16 +0.4 1
2015-08-26 @ Grbalj D 1-155.6 1311 1231 43.09% 23.97% 32.94%+0.16 -0.4 4
2015-08-26 Zeta L 1-534.9 1089 1236 25.03% 23.06% 51.91%-0.45 -13.9 1
2015-08-26 @ Mornar W 5-134.9 1236 1089 51.91% 23.06% 25.03%+0.45 +13.9 10
2015-08-29 Buducnost Podgorica W 1-041.2 1338 1335 44.59% 23.88% 31.53%+0.21 +5.7 11
2015-08-29 @ Rudar L 0-141.2 1335 1338 31.53% 23.88% 44.59%-0.21 -5.7 7
2015-08-29 Decic Tuzi D 1-155.5 1250 1181 53.09% 22.87% 24.04%+0.50 -1.1 11
2015-08-29 @ Zeta D 1-155.5 1181 1250 24.04% 22.87% 53.09%-0.50 +1.1 10
2015-08-29 Grbalj W 3-142.5 1221 1231 42.77% 23.99% 33.24%+0.15 +9.7 6
2015-08-29 @ Lovcen L 1-342.5 1231 1221 33.24% 23.99% 42.77%-0.15 -9.7 1
2015-08-29 Iskra W 3-029.1 1311 1174 60.95% 21.07% 17.97%+0.80 +9.4 7
2015-08-29 @ Sutjeska L 0-329.1 1174 1311 17.97% 21.07% 60.95%-0.80 -9.4 4
2015-08-29 Mladost Podgorica L 0-143.0 1215 1231 41.87% 24.03% 34.10%+0.12 -7.1 8
2015-08-29 @ Bokelj W 1-043.0 1231 1215 34.10% 24.03% 41.87%-0.12 +7.1 9
2015-08-30 Mornar W 2-142.3 1170 1075 56.35% 22.23% 21.42%+0.62 +3.8 9
2015-08-30 @ Petrovac L 1-242.3 1075 1170 21.42% 22.23% 56.35%-0.62 -3.8 1
2015-09-12 Bokelj L 0-137.9 1071 1208 26.15% 23.26% 50.59%-0.41 -4.9 1
2015-09-12 @ Mornar W 1-037.9 1208 1071 50.59% 23.26% 26.15%+0.41 +4.9 11
2015-09-12 Lovcen D 0-049.8 1165 1231 34.88% 24.06% 41.06%-0.10 +0.2 5
2015-09-12 @ Iskra D 0-049.8 1231 1165 41.06% 24.06% 34.88%+0.10 -0.2 7
2015-09-12 Petrovac W 3-141.6 1182 1174 45.29% 23.83% 30.88%+0.23 +9.1 13
2015-09-12 @ Decic Tuzi L 1-341.6 1174 1182 30.88% 23.83% 45.29%-0.23 -9.1 9
2015-09-12 Sutjeska W 4-139.1 1344 1320 47.40% 23.64% 28.96%+0.30 +12.2 14
2015-09-12 @ Rudar L 1-439.1 1320 1344 28.96% 23.64% 47.40%-0.30 -12.2 7
2015-09-12 Mladost Podgorica L 1-349.2 1330 1238 55.87% 22.33% 21.80%+0.60 -14.7 7
2015-09-12 @ Buducnost Podgorica W 3-149.2 1238 1330 21.80% 22.33% 55.87%-0.60 +14.7 12
2015-09-12 Zeta W 4-140.1 1222 1249 40.38% 24.08% 35.55%+0.07 +14.4 4
2015-09-12 @ Grbalj L 1-440.1 1249 1222 35.55% 24.08% 40.38%-0.07 -14.4 11
2015-09-19 Buducnost Podgorica D 0-050.7 1308 1315 43.21% 23.97% 32.83%+0.16 -0.4 8
2015-09-19 @ Sutjeska D 0-050.7 1315 1308 32.83% 23.97% 43.21%-0.16 +0.4 8
2015-09-19 Decic Tuzi W 4-138.0 1212 1191 47.00% 23.68% 29.32%+0.29 +12.4 14
2015-09-19 @ Bokelj L 1-438.0 1191 1212 29.32% 23.68% 47.00%-0.29 -12.4 13
2015-09-19 Grbalj L 0-140.6 1165 1236 34.21% 24.03% 41.76%-0.12 -6.1 9
2015-09-19 @ Petrovac W 1-040.6 1236 1165 41.76% 24.03% 34.21%+0.12 +6.1 7
2015-09-19 Iskra L 0-242.0 1234 1165 53.18% 22.85% 23.96%+0.50 -16.3 11
2015-09-19 @ Zeta W 2-042.0 1165 1234 23.96% 22.85% 53.18%-0.50 +16.3 8
2015-09-19 Mornar W 2-139.5 1253 1066 66.09% 19.41% 14.50%+1.02 +2.6 15
2015-09-19 @ Mladost Podgorica L 1-239.5 1066 1253 14.50% 19.41% 66.09%-1.02 -2.6 1
2015-09-19 Rudar D 1-156.0 1231 1356 27.35% 23.44% 49.20%-0.36 +0.8 8
2015-09-19 @ Lovcen D 1-156.0 1356 1231 49.20% 23.44% 27.35%+0.36 -0.8 15
2015-09-26 Bokelj D 1-155.4 1242 1225 46.51% 23.73% 29.76%+0.27 -0.6 8
2015-09-26 @ Grbalj D 1-155.4 1225 1242 29.76% 23.73% 46.51%-0.27 +0.6 15
2015-09-26 Lovcen W 2-033.3 1308 1231 54.06% 22.69% 23.25%+0.53 +8.2 11
2015-09-26 @ Sutjeska L 0-233.3 1231 1308 23.25% 22.69% 54.06%-0.53 -8.3 8
2015-09-26 Mornar W 3-025.5 1315 1063 72.02% 17.02% 10.96%+1.30 +5.5 11
2015-09-26 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-325.5 1063 1315 10.96% 17.02% 72.02%-1.30 -5.5 1
2015-09-26 Petrovac D 0-049.9 1181 1159 47.19% 23.66% 29.14%+0.29 -0.7 9
2015-09-26 @ Iskra D 0-049.9 1159 1181 29.14% 23.66% 47.19%-0.29 +0.7 10
2015-09-26 Mladost Podgorica D 2-261.3 1179 1256 33.47% 24.00% 42.53%-0.14 +0.2 14
2015-09-26 @ Decic Tuzi D 2-261.3 1256 1179 42.53% 24.00% 33.47%+0.14 -0.2 16
2015-09-26 Zeta W 1-035.4 1356 1218 61.06% 21.04% 17.90%+0.80 +3.4 18
2015-09-26 @ Rudar L 0-135.4 1218 1356 17.90% 21.04% 61.06%-0.80 -3.4 11
2015-10-01 Buducnost Podgorica D 2-261.7 1223 1321 30.70% 23.81% 45.49%-0.24 +0.4 9
2015-10-01 @ Lovcen D 2-261.7 1321 1223 45.49% 23.81% 30.70%+0.24 -0.4 12
2015-10-01 Decic Tuzi D 2-261.2 1058 1179 27.86% 23.51% 48.63%-0.34 +0.6 2
2015-10-01 @ Mornar D 2-261.2 1179 1058 48.63% 23.51% 27.86%+0.34 -0.5 15
2015-10-01 Grbalj W 3-141.6 1255 1241 46.06% 23.77% 30.17%+0.26 +9.0 19
2015-10-01 @ Mladost Podgorica L 1-341.6 1241 1255 30.17% 23.77% 46.06%-0.26 -9.0 8
2015-10-01 Iskra L 1-251.4 1225 1181 50.12% 23.32% 26.56%+0.39 -7.7 15
2015-10-01 @ Bokelj W 2-151.4 1181 1225 26.56% 23.32% 50.12%-0.39 +7.7 12
2015-10-01 Rudar W 2-043.5 1160 1359 20.05% 21.82% 58.13%-0.68 +17.6 13
2015-10-01 @ Petrovac L 0-243.5 1359 1160 58.13% 21.82% 20.05%+0.68 -17.6 18
2015-10-01 Sutjeska L 0-139.7 1215 1316 30.26% 23.78% 45.96%-0.25 -5.5 11
2015-10-01 @ Zeta W 1-039.7 1316 1215 45.96% 23.78% 30.26%+0.25 +5.5 14
2015-10-06 Bokelj W 1-035.8 1341 1218 59.56% 21.46% 18.99%+0.74 +3.6 21
2015-10-06 @ Rudar L 0-135.8 1218 1341 18.99% 21.46% 59.56%-0.74 -3.6 15
2015-10-06 Decic Tuzi W 2-031.0 1321 1179 61.50% 20.92% 17.59%+0.82 +6.3 15
2015-10-06 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-231.0 1179 1321 17.59% 20.92% 61.50%-0.82 -6.3 15
2015-10-06 Mornar W 2-139.8 1232 1058 64.82% 19.86% 15.32%+0.96 +2.7 11
2015-10-06 @ Grbalj L 1-239.8 1058 1232 15.32% 19.86% 64.82%-0.96 -2.8 2
2015-10-06 Petrovac D 0-051.0 1321 1177 61.74% 20.84% 17.41%+0.83 -1.9 15
2015-10-06 @ Sutjeska D 0-051.0 1177 1321 17.41% 20.84% 61.74%-0.83 +1.9 14
2015-10-06 Mladost Podgorica L 2-351.7 1188 1264 33.54% 24.00% 42.46%-0.14 -5.3 12
2015-10-06 @ Iskra W 3-251.7 1264 1188 42.46% 24.00% 33.54%+0.14 +5.3 22
2015-10-06 Zeta L 1-250.4 1223 1209 46.13% 23.76% 30.11%+0.26 -7.2 9
2015-10-06 @ Lovcen W 2-150.4 1209 1223 30.11% 23.76% 46.13%-0.26 +7.2 14
2015-10-17 Iskra D 0-049.9 1056 1183 27.19% 23.42% 49.39%-0.37 +0.9 3
2015-10-17 @ Mornar D 0-049.9 1183 1056 49.39% 23.42% 27.19%+0.37 -0.9 13
2015-10-18 Buducnost Podgorica D 0-050.3 1216 1327 29.13% 23.66% 47.20%-0.29 +0.7 15
2015-10-18 @ Zeta D 0-050.3 1327 1216 47.20% 23.66% 29.13%+0.29 -0.7 16
2015-10-18 Grbalj W 3-144.6 1172 1235 35.32% 24.07% 40.61%-0.08 +11.3 18
2015-10-18 @ Decic Tuzi L 1-344.6 1235 1172 40.61% 24.07% 35.32%+0.08 -11.3 11
2015-10-18 Lovcen W 2-147.7 1179 1216 38.95% 24.10% 36.95%+0.03 +6.1 17
2015-10-18 @ Petrovac L 1-247.7 1216 1179 36.95% 24.10% 38.95%-0.03 -6.1 9
2015-10-18 Rudar W 1-043.9 1270 1345 33.59% 24.01% 42.40%-0.14 +7.2 25
2015-10-18 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-143.9 1345 1270 42.40% 24.01% 33.59%+0.14 -7.2 21
2015-10-18 Sutjeska W 3-146.7 1214 1320 29.75% 23.73% 46.52%-0.27 +12.6 18
2015-10-18 @ Bokelj L 1-346.7 1320 1214 46.52% 23.73% 29.75%+0.27 -12.6 15
2015-10-26 Grbalj W 3-030.5 1326 1224 57.12% 22.06% 20.82%+0.64 +10.8 19
2015-10-26 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-330.5 1224 1326 20.82% 22.06% 57.12%-0.64 -10.8 11
2015-10-26 Iskra D 1-155.1 1184 1182 44.39% 23.89% 31.71%+0.20 -0.4 19
2015-10-26 @ Decic Tuzi D 1-155.1 1182 1184 31.71% 23.89% 44.39%-0.20 +0.4 14
2015-10-26 Lovcen W 1-039.3 1227 1210 46.40% 23.74% 29.86%+0.27 +5.4 21
2015-10-26 @ Bokelj L 0-139.3 1210 1227 29.86% 23.74% 46.40%-0.27 -5.4 9
2015-10-26 Rudar L 1-239.4 1057 1338 14.12% 19.20% 66.68%-1.05 -2.5 3
2015-10-26 @ Mornar W 2-139.4 1338 1057 66.68% 19.20% 14.12%+1.05 +2.5 24
2015-10-26 Sutjeska W 4-355.0 1277 1307 39.94% 24.09% 35.97%+0.06 +5.5 28
2015-10-26 @ Mladost Podgorica L 3-455.0 1307 1277 35.97% 24.09% 39.94%-0.06 -5.5 15
2015-10-26 Zeta W 5-347.9 1185 1217 39.72% 24.09% 36.19%+0.05 +8.7 20
2015-10-26 @ Petrovac L 3-547.9 1217 1185 36.19% 24.09% 39.72%-0.05 -8.7 15
2015-10-31 Bokelj W 1-041.0 1208 1232 40.85% 24.06% 35.09%+0.09 +6.2 18
2015-10-31 @ Zeta L 0-141.0 1232 1208 35.09% 24.06% 40.85%-0.09 -6.2 21
2015-10-31 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-234.1 1194 1337 25.46% 23.14% 51.40%-0.44 -9.0 20
2015-10-31 @ Petrovac W 2-034.1 1337 1194 51.40% 23.14% 25.46%+0.44 +8.9 22
2015-10-31 Decic Tuzi W 2-030.6 1340 1183 63.10% 20.43% 16.47%+0.89 +5.9 27
2015-10-31 @ Rudar L 0-230.6 1183 1340 16.47% 20.43% 63.10%-0.89 -5.9 19
2015-10-31 Grbalj L 0-238.4 1183 1213 39.89% 24.09% 36.02%+0.06 -12.9 14
2015-10-31 @ Iskra W 2-038.4 1213 1183 36.02% 24.09% 39.89%-0.06 +12.9 14
2015-10-31 Mornar W 4-130.5 1301 1054 71.62% 17.20% 11.18%+1.28 +4.8 18
2015-10-31 @ Sutjeska L 1-430.5 1054 1301 11.18% 17.20% 71.62%-1.28 -4.8 3
2015-10-31 Mladost Podgorica L 1-246.8 1205 1282 33.32% 23.99% 42.68%-0.15 -5.6 9
2015-10-31 @ Lovcen W 2-146.8 1282 1205 42.68% 23.99% 33.32%+0.15 +5.6 31
2015-11-07 Iskra W 1-033.9 1346 1170 65.04% 19.79% 15.18%+0.97 +2.9 25
2015-11-07 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-133.9 1170 1346 15.18% 19.79% 65.04%-0.97 -2.9 14
2015-11-07 Lovcen L 0-137.3 1049 1199 24.74% 23.01% 52.25%-0.47 -4.6 3
2015-11-07 @ Mornar W 1-037.3 1199 1049 52.25% 23.01% 24.74%+0.47 +4.6 12
2015-11-07 Petrovac W 2-144.5 1226 1185 49.62% 23.39% 26.99%+0.37 +4.7 24
2015-11-07 @ Bokelj L 1-244.5 1185 1226 26.99% 23.39% 49.62%-0.37 -4.7 20
2015-11-07 Rudar L 0-139.2 1226 1346 27.98% 23.53% 48.49%-0.34 -5.2 14
2015-11-07 @ Grbalj W 1-039.2 1346 1226 48.49% 23.53% 27.98%+0.34 +5.1 30
2015-11-07 Sutjeska W 1-045.2 1177 1306 27.02% 23.39% 49.59%-0.37 +8.1 22
2015-11-07 @ Decic Tuzi L 0-145.2 1306 1177 49.59% 23.39% 27.02%+0.37 -8.1 18
2015-11-07 Zeta W 2-033.3 1288 1214 53.71% 22.76% 23.53%+0.52 +8.4 34
2015-11-07 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-233.3 1214 1288 23.53% 22.76% 53.71%-0.52 -8.3 18
2015-11-20 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-139.3 1231 1349 28.23% 23.56% 48.22%-0.33 -5.2 24
2015-11-20 @ Bokelj W 1-039.3 1349 1231 48.22% 23.56% 28.23%+0.33 +5.2 28
2015-11-20 Decic Tuzi D 0-049.9 1204 1186 46.64% 23.72% 29.64%+0.27 -0.7 13
2015-11-20 @ Lovcen D 0-049.9 1186 1204 29.64% 23.72% 46.64%-0.27 +0.7 23
2015-11-20 Grbalj W 2-033.2 1298 1221 54.17% 22.67% 23.16%+0.53 +8.2 21
2015-11-20 @ Sutjeska L 0-233.2 1221 1298 23.16% 22.67% 54.17%-0.53 -8.2 14
2015-11-20 Iskra D 2-262.9 1351 1167 65.87% 19.49% 14.64%+1.01 -1.5 31
2015-11-20 @ Rudar D 2-262.9 1167 1351 14.64% 19.49% 65.87%-1.01 +1.5 15
2015-11-20 Mornar L 1-254.4 1206 1045 63.54% 20.29% 16.17%+0.91 -9.5 18
2015-11-20 @ Zeta W 2-154.4 1045 1206 16.17% 20.29% 63.54%-0.91 +9.5 6
2015-11-20 Mladost Podgorica L 1-245.2 1180 1296 28.51% 23.59% 47.90%-0.32 -4.9 20
2015-11-20 @ Petrovac W 2-145.2 1296 1180 47.90% 23.59% 28.51%+0.32 +4.9 37
2015-11-28 Bokelj W 1-037.3 1301 1225 53.99% 22.71% 23.30%+0.53 +4.4 40
2015-11-28 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-137.3 1225 1301 23.30% 22.71% 53.99%-0.53 -4.4 24
2015-11-28 Lovcen D 0-049.9 1213 1203 45.46% 23.82% 30.72%+0.24 -0.6 15
2015-11-28 @ Grbalj D 0-049.9 1203 1213 30.72% 23.82% 45.46%-0.24 +0.6 14
2015-11-28 Petrovac D 1-155.1 1054 1175 27.89% 23.51% 48.60%-0.34 +0.7 7
2015-11-28 @ Mornar D 1-155.1 1175 1054 48.60% 23.51% 27.89%+0.34 -0.7 21
2015-11-28 Sutjeska L 0-432.1 1168 1306 26.00% 23.23% 50.76%-0.41 -17.3 15
2015-11-28 @ Iskra W 4-032.1 1306 1168 50.76% 23.23% 26.00%+0.41 +17.3 24
2015-11-28 Zeta W 3-142.4 1186 1197 42.73% 23.99% 33.28%+0.15 +9.7 26
2015-11-28 @ Decic Tuzi L 1-342.4 1197 1186 33.28% 23.99% 42.73%-0.15 -9.7 18
2015-11-29 Rudar W 2-147.7 1354 1350 44.71% 23.87% 31.42%+0.21 +5.3 31
2015-11-29 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 1-247.7 1350 1354 31.42% 23.87% 44.71%-0.21 -5.3 31
2015-12-05 Decic Tuzi W 1-040.8 1175 1196 41.20% 24.05% 34.74%+0.10 +6.1 24
2015-12-05 @ Petrovac L 0-140.8 1196 1175 34.74% 24.05% 41.20%-0.10 -6.1 26
2015-12-05 Grbalj L 1-248.8 1187 1212 40.66% 24.07% 35.27%+0.08 -6.5 18
2015-12-05 @ Zeta W 2-148.8 1212 1187 35.27% 24.07% 40.66%-0.08 +6.5 18
2015-12-05 Iskra W 4-136.7 1204 1151 51.13% 23.18% 25.69%+0.43 +11.0 17
2015-12-05 @ Lovcen L 1-436.7 1151 1204 25.69% 23.18% 51.13%-0.43 -11.0 15
2015-12-05 Rudar L 0-240.1 1324 1345 41.22% 24.05% 34.72%+0.10 -13.2 24
2015-12-05 @ Sutjeska W 2-040.1 1345 1324 34.72% 24.05% 41.22%-0.10 +13.2 34
2015-12-06 Buducnost Podgorica W 2-039.5 1305 1359 36.56% 24.10% 39.34%-0.04 +12.7 43
2015-12-06 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-239.5 1359 1305 39.34% 24.10% 36.56%+0.04 -12.7 31
2015-12-06 Mornar W 2-029.8 1221 1055 64.02% 20.13% 15.85%+0.93 +5.7 27
2015-12-06 @ Bokelj L 0-229.8 1055 1221 15.85% 20.13% 64.02%-0.93 -5.7 7
2016-02-23 Bokelj L 0-142.1 1190 1227 38.98% 24.10% 36.92%+0.03 -6.7 26
2016-02-23 @ Decic Tuzi W 1-042.1 1227 1190 36.92% 24.10% 38.98%-0.03 +6.7 30
2016-02-23 Lovcen D 1-156.6 1358 1215 61.65% 20.87% 17.48%+0.83 -1.7 35
2016-02-23 @ Rudar D 1-156.6 1215 1358 17.48% 20.87% 61.65%-0.83 +1.7 18
2016-02-23 Petrovac W 4-137.3 1219 1181 49.22% 23.44% 27.34%+0.36 +11.7 21
2016-02-23 @ Grbalj L 1-437.3 1181 1219 27.34% 23.44% 49.22%-0.36 -11.7 24
2016-02-23 Sutjeska D 0-051.2 1347 1310 49.02% 23.46% 27.51%+0.35 -0.9 32
2016-02-23 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 0-051.2 1310 1347 27.51% 23.46% 49.02%-0.35 +0.9 25
2016-02-23 Mladost Podgorica W 2-044.7 1049 1318 14.88% 19.63% 65.49%-0.99 +19.4 10
2016-02-23 @ Mornar L 0-244.7 1318 1049 65.49% 19.63% 14.88%+0.99 -19.4 43
2016-02-23 Zeta W 1-041.5 1140 1180 38.48% 24.10% 37.42%+0.02 +6.5 18
2016-02-23 @ Iskra L 0-141.5 1180 1140 37.42% 24.10% 38.48%-0.02 -6.5 18
2016-02-27 Buducnost Podgorica W 1-048.9 1069 1346 14.38% 19.34% 66.28%-1.03 +10.4 13
2016-02-27 @ Mornar L 0-148.9 1346 1069 66.28% 19.34% 14.38%+1.03 -10.4 32
2016-02-27 Decic Tuzi W 4-029.8 1299 1183 58.65% 21.69% 19.66%+0.70 +13.4 46
2016-02-27 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-429.8 1183 1299 19.66% 21.69% 58.65%-0.70 -13.4 26
2016-02-27 Grbalj W 3-033.9 1233 1230 44.60% 23.88% 31.52%+0.21 +15.5 33
2016-02-27 @ Bokelj L 0-333.9 1230 1233 31.52% 23.88% 44.60%-0.21 -15.5 21
2016-02-27 Iskra L 2-449.8 1169 1146 47.23% 23.66% 29.11%+0.29 -11.4 24
2016-02-27 @ Petrovac W 4-249.8 1146 1169 29.11% 23.66% 47.23%-0.29 +11.4 21
2016-02-27 Rudar W 2-043.1 1174 1356 21.55% 22.27% 56.18%-0.61 +17.1 21
2016-02-27 @ Zeta L 0-243.1 1356 1174 56.18% 22.27% 21.55%+0.61 -17.0 35
2016-02-27 Sutjeska D 0-050.2 1216 1311 31.08% 23.85% 45.08%-0.22 +0.5 19
2016-02-27 @ Lovcen D 0-050.2 1311 1216 45.08% 23.85% 31.08%+0.22 -0.5 26
2016-03-05 Bokelj D 0-049.9 1158 1249 31.56% 23.88% 44.56%-0.21 +0.5 22
2016-03-05 @ Iskra D 0-049.9 1249 1158 44.56% 23.88% 31.56%+0.21 -0.5 34
2016-03-05 Lovcen D 0-051.0 1335 1217 58.95% 21.62% 19.43%+0.72 -1.6 33
2016-03-05 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 0-051.0 1217 1335 19.43% 21.62% 58.95%-0.72 +1.7 20
2016-03-05 Mornar W 1-036.3 1170 1079 55.76% 22.36% 21.88%+0.59 +4.1 29
2016-03-05 @ Decic Tuzi L 0-136.3 1079 1170 21.88% 22.36% 55.76%-0.59 -4.1 13
2016-03-05 Petrovac W 3-244.9 1339 1158 65.56% 19.60% 14.84%+0.99 +2.5 38
2016-03-05 @ Rudar L 2-344.9 1158 1339 14.84% 19.60% 65.56%-0.99 -2.5 24
2016-03-05 Mladost Podgorica W 1-044.3 1215 1312 30.74% 23.82% 45.44%-0.24 +7.6 24
2016-03-05 @ Grbalj L 0-144.3 1312 1215 45.44% 23.82% 30.74%+0.24 -7.6 46
2016-03-05 Zeta D 1-156.1 1311 1191 59.10% 21.58% 19.32%+0.72 -1.5 27
2016-03-05 @ Sutjeska D 1-156.1 1191 1311 19.32% 21.58% 59.10%-0.72 +1.5 22
2016-03-09 Buducnost Podgorica L 1-243.6 1174 1334 23.71% 22.80% 53.49%-0.51 -4.2 29
2016-03-09 @ Decic Tuzi W 2-143.6 1334 1174 53.49% 22.80% 23.71%+0.51 +4.2 36
2016-03-09 Grbalj W 1-045.5 1075 1222 25.01% 23.06% 51.94%-0.45 +8.5 16
2016-03-09 @ Mornar L 0-145.5 1222 1075 51.94% 23.06% 25.01%+0.45 -8.5 24
2016-03-09 Iskra W 5-029.6 1305 1158 61.97% 20.78% 17.25%+0.84 +14.5 49
2016-03-09 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-529.6 1158 1305 17.25% 20.78% 61.97%-0.84 -14.5 22
2016-03-09 Lovcen L 0-238.6 1192 1219 40.51% 24.07% 35.42%+0.08 -13.0 22
2016-03-09 @ Zeta W 2-038.6 1219 1192 35.42% 24.07% 40.51%-0.08 +13.0 23
2016-03-09 Rudar D 1-155.8 1248 1342 31.27% 23.86% 44.86%-0.22 +0.5 35
2016-03-09 @ Bokelj D 1-155.8 1342 1248 44.86% 23.86% 31.27%+0.22 -0.5 39
2016-03-09 Sutjeska L 0-431.5 1155 1309 24.31% 22.92% 52.77%-0.48 -16.3 24
2016-03-09 @ Petrovac W 4-031.5 1309 1155 52.77% 22.92% 24.31%+0.48 +16.3 30
2016-03-12 Bokelj W 1-037.5 1325 1249 54.10% 22.69% 23.22%+0.53 +4.4 33
2016-03-12 @ Sutjeska L 0-137.5 1249 1325 23.22% 22.69% 54.10%-0.53 -4.4 35
2016-03-12 Decic Tuzi W 2-144.4 1214 1170 50.04% 23.33% 26.62%+0.39 +4.7 27
2016-03-12 @ Grbalj L 1-244.4 1170 1214 26.62% 23.33% 50.04%-0.39 -4.6 29
2016-03-12 Mornar W 2-033.4 1144 1083 52.11% 23.03% 24.86%+0.46 +8.8 25
2016-03-12 @ Iskra L 0-233.4 1083 1144 24.86% 23.03% 52.11%-0.46 -8.8 16
2016-03-12 Petrovac W 1-036.3 1232 1139 56.01% 22.30% 21.68%+0.60 +4.1 26
2016-03-12 @ Lovcen L 0-136.3 1139 1232 21.68% 22.30% 56.01%-0.60 -4.1 24
2016-03-12 Mladost Podgorica D 0-051.2 1341 1319 47.16% 23.67% 29.17%+0.29 -0.7 40
2016-03-12 @ Rudar D 0-051.2 1319 1341 29.17% 23.67% 47.16%-0.29 +0.7 50
2016-03-12 Zeta L 0-148.6 1338 1179 63.24% 20.38% 16.37%+0.89 -10.0 36
2016-03-12 @ Buducnost Podgorica W 1-048.6 1179 1338 16.37% 20.38% 63.24%-0.89 +10.0 25
2016-03-19 Bokelj L 1-249.6 1236 1244 42.95% 23.98% 33.07%+0.16 -6.8 26
2016-03-19 @ Lovcen W 2-149.6 1244 1236 33.07% 23.98% 42.95%-0.16 +6.8 38
2016-03-19 Buducnost Podgorica L 1-338.8 1153 1328 22.21% 22.44% 55.34%-0.58 -6.8 25
2016-03-19 @ Iskra W 3-138.8 1328 1153 55.34% 22.44% 22.21%+0.58 +6.9 39
2016-03-19 Mornar W 2-032.3 1165 1075 55.73% 22.36% 21.90%+0.59 +7.8 32
2016-03-19 @ Decic Tuzi L 0-232.3 1075 1165 21.90% 22.36% 55.73%-0.59 -7.8 16
2016-03-19 Rudar L 0-137.8 1189 1340 24.61% 22.98% 52.41%-0.47 -4.6 25
2016-03-19 @ Zeta W 1-037.8 1340 1189 52.41% 22.98% 24.61%+0.47 +4.6 43
2016-03-19 Sutjeska L 1-245.6 1218 1330 29.03% 23.65% 47.31%-0.30 -5.0 27
2016-03-19 @ Grbalj W 2-145.6 1330 1218 47.31% 23.65% 29.03%+0.30 +5.0 36
2016-03-19 Mladost Podgorica D 1-155.8 1135 1320 21.31% 22.20% 56.50%-0.62 +1.3 25
2016-03-19 @ Petrovac D 1-155.8 1320 1135 56.50% 22.20% 21.31%+0.62 -1.3 51
2016-04-02 Decic Tuzi D 1-156.5 1335 1173 63.62% 20.26% 16.12%+0.91 -1.8 37
2016-04-02 @ Sutjeska D 1-156.5 1173 1335 16.12% 20.26% 63.62%-0.91 +1.8 33
2016-04-02 Grbalj W 3-032.5 1251 1213 49.24% 23.44% 27.32%+0.36 +13.8 41
2016-04-02 @ Bokelj L 0-332.5 1213 1251 27.32% 23.44% 49.24%-0.36 -13.8 27
2016-04-02 Iskra D 0-051.6 1345 1146 67.28% 18.97% 13.75%+1.07 -2.3 44
2016-04-02 @ Rudar D 0-051.6 1146 1345 13.75% 18.97% 67.28%-1.07 +2.3 26
2016-04-02 Lovcen W 4-030.5 1335 1229 57.53% 21.96% 20.50%+0.66 +13.9 42
2016-04-02 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-430.5 1229 1335 20.50% 21.96% 57.53%-0.66 -13.9 26
2016-04-02 Petrovac D 0-049.7 1067 1136 34.43% 24.04% 41.53%-0.11 +0.3 17
2016-04-02 @ Mornar D 0-049.7 1136 1067 41.53% 24.04% 34.43%+0.11 -0.3 26
2016-04-02 Zeta W 2-031.2 1319 1185 60.63% 21.17% 18.20%+0.78 +6.5 54
2016-04-02 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-231.2 1185 1319 18.20% 21.17% 60.63%-0.78 -6.5 25
2016-04-09 Bokelj L 1-246.1 1175 1265 31.62% 23.89% 44.49%-0.20 -5.4 33
2016-04-09 @ Decic Tuzi W 2-146.1 1265 1175 44.49% 23.89% 31.62%+0.20 +5.4 44
2016-04-09 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-138.0 1200 1349 24.82% 23.02% 52.16%-0.46 -4.6 27
2016-04-09 @ Grbalj W 1-038.0 1349 1200 52.16% 23.02% 24.82%+0.46 +4.6 45
2016-04-09 Mornar L 0-150.1 1333 1067 73.20% 16.49% 10.31%+1.37 -11.2 37
2016-04-09 @ Sutjeska W 1-050.1 1067 1333 10.31% 16.49% 73.20%-1.37 +11.2 20
2016-04-09 Petrovac D 1-155.2 1178 1136 49.83% 23.36% 26.81%+0.38 -0.8 26
2016-04-09 @ Zeta D 1-155.2 1136 1178 26.81% 23.36% 49.83%-0.38 +0.8 27
2016-04-09 Rudar L 0-138.8 1215 1343 27.13% 23.41% 49.46%-0.37 -5.0 26
2016-04-09 @ Lovcen W 1-038.8 1343 1215 49.46% 23.41% 27.13%+0.37 +5.0 47
2016-04-09 Mladost Podgorica D 0-050.5 1148 1325 22.05% 22.40% 55.55%-0.59 +1.4 27
2016-04-09 @ Iskra D 0-050.5 1325 1148 55.55% 22.40% 22.05%+0.59 -1.4 55
2016-04-16 Decic Tuzi W 2-029.7 1353 1169 65.81% 19.51% 14.67%+1.01 +5.2 48
2016-04-16 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-229.7 1169 1353 14.67% 19.51% 65.81%-1.01 -5.2 33
2016-04-16 Grbalj D 1-156.6 1348 1195 62.67% 20.56% 16.77%+0.87 -1.7 48
2016-04-16 @ Rudar D 1-156.6 1195 1348 16.77% 20.56% 62.67%-0.87 +1.7 28
2016-04-16 Iskra D 1-155.0 1137 1149 42.39% 24.01% 33.60%+0.14 -0.3 28
2016-04-16 @ Petrovac D 1-155.0 1149 1137 33.60% 24.01% 42.39%-0.14 +0.3 28
2016-04-16 Lovcen W 1-036.0 1324 1210 58.43% 21.75% 19.82%+0.70 +3.8 58
2016-04-16 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-136.0 1210 1324 19.82% 21.75% 58.43%-0.70 -3.8 26
2016-04-16 Sutjeska L 0-238.2 1270 1322 36.92% 24.10% 38.98%-0.03 -12.1 44
2016-04-16 @ Bokelj W 2-038.2 1322 1270 38.98% 24.10% 36.92%+0.03 +12.1 40
2016-04-16 Zeta D 2-261.1 1078 1177 30.54% 23.80% 45.66%-0.24 +0.4 21
2016-04-16 @ Mornar D 2-261.1 1177 1078 45.66% 23.80% 30.54%+0.24 -0.4 27
2016-04-23 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-438.2 1334 1359 40.73% 24.07% 35.20%+0.09 -24.8 40
2016-04-23 @ Sutjeska W 4-038.2 1359 1334 35.20% 24.07% 40.73%-0.09 +24.8 51
2016-04-23 Mornar W 2-029.5 1258 1079 65.38% 19.67% 14.96%+0.99 +5.4 47
2016-04-23 @ Bokelj L 0-229.5 1079 1258 14.96% 19.67% 65.38%-0.99 -5.3 21
2016-04-23 Petrovac W 1-037.1 1206 1136 53.27% 22.84% 23.89%+0.50 +4.5 29
2016-04-23 @ Lovcen L 0-137.1 1136 1206 23.89% 22.84% 53.27%-0.50 -4.5 28
2016-04-23 Rudar L 0-136.6 1164 1346 21.57% 22.27% 56.15%-0.61 -4.1 33
2016-04-23 @ Decic Tuzi W 1-036.6 1346 1164 56.15% 22.27% 21.57%+0.61 +4.1 51
2016-04-23 Mladost Podgorica W 2-041.5 1197 1327 26.80% 23.36% 49.84%-0.38 +15.4 31
2016-04-23 @ Grbalj L 0-241.5 1327 1197 49.84% 23.36% 26.80%+0.38 -15.4 58
2016-04-23 Zeta D 1-155.0 1150 1177 40.35% 24.08% 35.57%+0.07 -0.2 29
2016-04-23 @ Iskra D 1-155.0 1177 1150 35.57% 24.08% 40.35%-0.07 +0.2 28
2016-04-30 Bokelj W 4-242.0 1383 1264 59.09% 21.58% 19.33%+0.72 +5.4 54
2016-04-30 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 2-442.0 1264 1383 19.33% 21.58% 59.09%-0.72 -5.4 47
2016-04-30 Decic Tuzi W 2-030.5 1312 1160 62.59% 20.59% 16.82%+0.86 +6.0 61
2016-04-30 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-230.5 1160 1312 16.82% 20.59% 62.59%-0.86 -6.1 33
2016-04-30 Grbalj D 1-155.1 1132 1212 32.96% 23.97% 43.07%-0.16 +0.4 29
2016-04-30 @ Petrovac D 1-155.1 1212 1132 43.07% 23.97% 32.96%+0.16 -0.3 32
2016-04-30 Iskra W 3-037.0 1073 1150 33.49% 24.00% 42.50%-0.14 +19.6 24
2016-04-30 @ Mornar L 0-337.0 1150 1073 42.50% 24.00% 33.49%+0.14 -19.6 29
2016-04-30 Lovcen W 2-037.3 1177 1211 39.47% 24.09% 36.43%+0.05 +12.0 31
2016-04-30 @ Zeta L 0-237.3 1211 1177 36.43% 24.09% 39.47%-0.05 -12.0 29
2016-04-30 Sutjeska L 0-146.3 1350 1309 49.64% 23.39% 26.97%+0.38 -8.1 51
2016-04-30 @ Rudar W 1-046.3 1309 1350 26.97% 23.39% 49.64%-0.38 +8.1 43
2016-05-07 Iskra D 2-261.4 1199 1130 53.13% 22.86% 24.01%+0.50 -0.8 30
2016-05-07 @ Lovcen D 2-261.4 1130 1199 24.01% 22.86% 53.13%-0.50 +0.8 30
2016-05-07 Mornar W 1-030.7 1389 1093 75.58% 15.36% 9.05%+1.50 +1.6 57
2016-05-07 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-130.7 1093 1389 9.05% 15.36% 75.58%-1.50 -1.6 24
2016-05-07 Petrovac L 1-250.5 1154 1132 47.10% 23.67% 29.23%+0.29 -7.3 33
2016-05-07 @ Decic Tuzi W 2-150.5 1132 1154 29.23% 23.67% 47.10%-0.29 +7.3 32
2016-05-07 Rudar W 1-044.1 1258 1342 32.51% 23.95% 43.54%-0.17 +7.3 50
2016-05-07 @ Bokelj L 0-144.1 1342 1258 43.54% 23.95% 32.51%+0.17 -7.3 51
2016-05-07 Mladost Podgorica W 2-147.2 1317 1318 44.05% 23.92% 32.03%+0.19 +5.4 46
2016-05-07 @ Sutjeska L 1-247.2 1318 1317 32.03% 23.92% 44.05%-0.19 -5.4 61
2016-05-07 Zeta L 1-250.7 1212 1189 47.22% 23.66% 29.12%+0.29 -7.4 32
2016-05-07 @ Grbalj W 2-150.7 1189 1212 29.12% 23.66% 47.22%-0.29 +7.4 34
2016-05-11 Bokelj W 1-038.6 1313 1266 50.41% 23.28% 26.30%+0.40 +4.9 64
2016-05-11 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-138.6 1266 1313 26.30% 23.28% 50.41%-0.40 -4.9 50
2016-05-11 Buducnost Podgorica W 2-040.3 1335 1390 36.31% 24.09% 39.60%-0.05 +12.8 54
2016-05-11 @ Rudar L 0-240.3 1390 1335 39.60% 24.09% 36.31%+0.05 -12.8 57
2016-05-11 Decic Tuzi W 3-031.9 1197 1146 50.80% 23.23% 25.97%+0.42 +13.2 37
2016-05-11 @ Zeta L 0-331.9 1146 1197 25.97% 23.23% 50.80%-0.42 -13.2 33
2016-05-11 Grbalj L 1-342.5 1131 1204 33.84% 24.02% 42.14%-0.13 -9.8 30
2016-05-11 @ Iskra W 3-142.5 1204 1131 42.14% 24.02% 33.84%+0.13 +9.8 35
2016-05-11 Lovcen L 0-139.0 1091 1198 29.64% 23.72% 46.65%-0.27 -5.4 24
2016-05-11 @ Mornar W 1-039.0 1198 1091 46.65% 23.72% 29.64%+0.27 +5.4 33
2016-05-11 Sutjeska L 0-232.4 1140 1323 21.48% 22.25% 56.27%-0.61 -7.7 32
2016-05-11 @ Petrovac W 2-032.4 1323 1140 56.27% 22.25% 21.48%+0.61 +7.7 49
2016-05-14 Iskra W 2-145.5 1133 1121 45.85% 23.79% 30.36%+0.25 +5.2 36
2016-05-14 @ Decic Tuzi L 1-245.5 1121 1133 30.36% 23.79% 45.85%-0.25 -5.2 30
2016-05-14 Lovcen W 2-035.5 1214 1203 45.66% 23.80% 30.54%+0.24 +10.4 38
2016-05-14 @ Grbalj L 0-235.5 1203 1214 30.54% 23.80% 45.66%-0.24 -10.4 33
2016-05-14 Mornar L 0-150.1 1347 1086 72.83% 16.66% 10.51%+1.35 -11.2 54
2016-05-14 @ Rudar W 1-050.1 1086 1347 10.51% 16.66% 72.83%-1.35 +11.2 27
2016-05-14 Petrovac W 2-141.3 1261 1132 60.11% 21.31% 18.58%+0.76 +3.3 53
2016-05-14 @ Bokelj L 1-241.3 1132 1261 18.58% 21.31% 60.11%-0.76 -3.3 32
2016-05-14 Mladost Podgorica L 1-253.5 1378 1318 52.05% 23.04% 24.91%+0.46 -8.0 57
2016-05-14 @ Buducnost Podgorica W 2-153.5 1318 1378 24.91% 23.04% 52.05%-0.46 +8.0 67
2016-05-14 Zeta D 0-051.0 1330 1210 59.19% 21.55% 19.25%+0.73 -1.7 50
2016-05-14 @ Sutjeska D 0-051.0 1210 1330 19.25% 21.55% 59.19%-0.73 +1.7 38
2016-05-21 Bokelj L 2-352.7 1211 1264 36.73% 24.10% 39.17%-0.04 -5.7 38
2016-05-21 @ Zeta W 3-252.7 1264 1211 39.17% 24.10% 36.73%+0.04 +5.7 56
2016-05-21 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-134.6 1129 1370 16.77% 20.57% 62.66%-0.87 -3.2 32
2016-05-21 @ Petrovac W 1-034.6 1370 1129 62.66% 20.57% 16.77%+0.87 +3.2 60
2016-05-21 Decic Tuzi W 2-143.9 1193 1138 51.35% 23.15% 25.50%+0.43 +4.5 36
2016-05-21 @ Lovcen L 1-243.9 1138 1193 25.50% 23.15% 51.35%-0.43 -4.5 36
2016-05-21 Grbalj W 3-147.0 1097 1225 27.17% 23.42% 49.41%-0.37 +13.2 30
2016-05-21 @ Mornar L 1-347.0 1225 1097 49.41% 23.42% 27.17%+0.37 -13.2 38
2016-05-21 Rudar L 2-355.5 1326 1336 42.68% 23.99% 33.33%+0.15 -6.4 67
2016-05-21 @ Mladost Podgorica W 3-255.5 1336 1326 33.33% 23.99% 42.68%-0.15 +6.4 57
2016-05-21 Sutjeska D 1-156.0 1116 1329 18.91% 21.43% 59.66%-0.74 +1.5 31
2016-05-21 @ Iskra D 1-156.0 1329 1116 59.66% 21.43% 18.91%+0.74 -1.5 51
2016-05-29 Grbalj W 3-145.1 1134 1211 33.34% 23.99% 42.67%-0.15 +11.7 39
2016-05-29 @ Decic Tuzi L 1-345.1 1211 1134 42.67% 23.99% 33.34%+0.15 -11.7 38
2016-05-29 Iskra L 0-148.1 1270 1117 62.63% 20.57% 16.79%+0.87 -9.9 56
2016-05-29 @ Bokelj W 1-048.1 1117 1270 16.79% 20.57% 62.63%-0.87 +9.9 34
2016-05-29 Lovcen W 4-134.3 1327 1197 60.21% 21.28% 18.50%+0.77 +8.1 54
2016-05-29 @ Sutjeska L 1-434.3 1197 1327 18.50% 21.28% 60.21%-0.77 -8.1 36
2016-05-29 Mornar L 0-149.3 1319 1110 68.16% 18.63% 13.20%+1.11 -10.6 67
2016-05-29 @ Mladost Podgorica W 1-049.3 1110 1319 13.20% 18.63% 68.16%-1.11 +10.6 33
2016-05-29 Petrovac D 1-157.0 1343 1125 68.96% 18.32% 12.72%+1.15 -2.2 58
2016-05-29 @ Rudar D 1-157.0 1125 1343 12.72% 18.32% 68.96%-1.15 +2.2 33
2016-05-29 Zeta W 1-034.5 1373 1206 64.12% 20.10% 15.78%+0.93 +3.0 63
2016-05-29 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-134.5 1206 1373 15.78% 20.10% 64.12%-0.93 -3.0 38

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2016-04-09 10.31% Mornar 1067 1 @ Sutjeska 1333 0
2 2016-05-14 10.51% Mornar 1086 1 @ Rudar 1347 0
3 2016-05-29 13.20% Mornar 1110 1 @ Mladost Podgorica 1319 0
4 2016-02-27 14.38% @ Mornar 1069 1 Buducnost Podgorica 1346 0
5 2016-02-23 14.88% @ Mornar 1049 2 Mladost Podgorica 1318 0
6 2015-08-22 15.29% Decic Tuzi 1156 2 @ Sutjeska 1331 0
7 2015-11-20 16.17% Mornar 1045 2 @ Zeta 1206 1
8 2016-03-12 16.37% Zeta 1179 1 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1338 0
9 2015-08-16 16.53% Petrovac 1172 2 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1329 1
10 2016-05-29 16.79% Iskra 1117 1 @ Bokelj 1270 0
11 2015-10-01 20.05% @ Petrovac 1160 2 Rudar 1359 0
12 2015-08-09 20.25% Mladost Podgorica 1225 1 @ Sutjeska 1334 0
13 2016-02-27 21.55% @ Zeta 1174 2 Rudar 1356 0
14 2015-09-12 21.80% Mladost Podgorica 1238 3 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1330 1
15 2015-08-26 23.15% Petrovac 1162 2 @ Mladost Podgorica 1239 1
16 2015-09-19 23.96% Iskra 1165 2 @ Zeta 1234 0
17 2016-05-14 24.91% Mladost Podgorica 1318 2 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1378 1
18 2015-08-15 24.94% Iskra 1183 2 @ Grbalj 1243 1
19 2016-03-09 25.01% @ Mornar 1075 1 Grbalj 1222 0
20 2015-08-08 25.49% Bokelj 1185 2 @ Lovcen 1240 1
21 2015-10-01 26.56% Iskra 1181 2 @ Bokelj 1225 1
22 2016-04-23 26.80% @ Grbalj 1197 2 Mladost Podgorica 1327 0
23 2016-04-30 26.97% Sutjeska 1309 1 @ Rudar 1350 0
24 2015-11-07 27.02% @ Decic Tuzi 1177 1 Sutjeska 1306 0
25 2016-05-21 27.17% @ Mornar 1097 3 Grbalj 1225 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2016-04-23 24.81 Buducnost Podgorica 4 1359 35.20% @ Sutjeska 0 1334 40.73% 24.07%
2 2015-08-22 19.66 Bokelj 3 1193 33.43% @ Petrovac 0 1182 42.57% 24.00%
3 2016-04-30 19.64 @ Mornar 3 1073 33.49% Iskra 0 1150 42.50% 24.00%
4 2016-02-23 19.43 @ Mornar 2 1049 14.88% Mladost Podgorica 0 1318 65.49% 19.63%
5 2015-08-22 19.28 Decic Tuzi 2 1156 15.29% @ Sutjeska 0 1331 64.87% 19.84%
6 2015-08-22 17.90 Buducnost Podgorica 4 1319 49.53% @ Iskra 0 1191 27.07% 23.40%
7 2015-10-01 17.57 @ Petrovac 2 1160 20.05% Rudar 0 1359 58.13% 21.82%
8 2015-11-28 17.29 Sutjeska 4 1306 50.76% @ Iskra 0 1168 26.00% 23.23%
9 2016-02-27 17.06 @ Zeta 2 1174 21.55% Rudar 0 1356 56.18% 22.27%
10 2016-03-09 16.30 Sutjeska 4 1309 52.77% @ Petrovac 0 1155 24.31% 22.92%
11 2015-09-19 16.28 Iskra 2 1165 23.96% @ Zeta 0 1234 53.18% 22.85%
12 2016-02-27 15.55 @ Bokelj 3 1233 44.60% Grbalj 0 1230 31.52% 23.88%
13 2016-04-23 15.40 @ Grbalj 2 1197 26.80% Mladost Podgorica 0 1327 49.84% 23.36%
14 2015-09-12 14.71 Mladost Podgorica 3 1238 21.80% @ Buducnost Podgorica 1 1330 55.87% 22.33%
15 2016-03-09 14.51 @ Mladost Podgorica 5 1305 61.97% Iskra 0 1158 17.25% 20.78%
16 2015-09-12 14.42 @ Grbalj 4 1222 40.38% Zeta 1 1249 35.55% 24.08%
17 2015-08-26 13.94 Zeta 5 1236 51.91% @ Mornar 1 1089 25.03% 23.06%
18 2016-04-02 13.94 @ Buducnost Podgorica 4 1335 57.53% Lovcen 0 1229 20.50% 21.96%
19 2016-04-02 13.81 @ Bokelj 3 1251 49.24% Grbalj 0 1213 27.32% 23.44%
20 2016-02-27 13.38 @ Mladost Podgorica 4 1299 58.65% Decic Tuzi 0 1183 19.66% 21.69%
21 2016-05-21 13.24 @ Mornar 3 1097 27.17% Grbalj 1 1225 49.41% 23.42%
22 2016-05-11 13.22 @ Zeta 3 1197 50.80% Decic Tuzi 0 1146 25.97% 23.23%
23 2015-12-05 13.19 Rudar 2 1345 34.72% @ Sutjeska 0 1324 41.22% 24.05%
24 2016-03-09 13.02 Lovcen 2 1219 35.42% @ Zeta 0 1192 40.51% 24.07%
25 2015-10-31 12.86 Grbalj 2 1213 36.02% @ Iskra 0 1183 39.89% 24.09%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2015-08-08 63.1 @ Rudar 2 1329 70.19% Mornar 2 1098 12.00% 17.81%
2 2015-11-20 62.9 @ Rudar 2 1351 65.87% Iskra 2 1167 14.64% 19.49%
3 2015-10-01 61.7 @ Lovcen 2 1223 30.70% Buducnost Podgorica 2 1321 45.49% 23.81%
4 2016-05-07 61.4 @ Lovcen 2 1199 53.13% Iskra 2 1130 24.01% 22.86%
5 2015-09-26 61.3 @ Decic Tuzi 2 1179 33.47% Mladost Podgorica 2 1256 42.53% 24.00%
6 2015-10-01 61.2 @ Mornar 2 1058 27.86% Decic Tuzi 2 1179 48.63% 23.51%
7 2016-04-16 61.1 @ Mornar 2 1078 30.54% Zeta 2 1177 45.66% 23.80%
8 2016-05-29 57.0 @ Rudar 1 1343 68.96% Petrovac 1 1125 12.72% 18.32%
9 2016-02-23 56.6 @ Rudar 1 1358 61.65% Lovcen 1 1215 17.48% 20.87%
10 2016-04-16 56.6 @ Rudar 1 1348 62.67% Grbalj 1 1195 16.77% 20.56%
11 2016-04-02 56.5 @ Sutjeska 1 1335 63.62% Decic Tuzi 1 1173 16.12% 20.26%
12 2016-03-05 56.1 @ Sutjeska 1 1311 59.10% Zeta 1 1191 19.32% 21.58%
13 2015-09-19 56.0 @ Lovcen 1 1231 27.35% Rudar 1 1356 49.20% 23.44%
14 2016-05-21 56.0 @ Iskra 1 1116 18.91% Sutjeska 1 1329 59.66% 21.43%
15 2016-03-09 55.8 @ Bokelj 1 1248 31.27% Rudar 1 1342 44.86% 23.86%
16 2016-03-19 55.8 @ Petrovac 1 1135 21.31% Mladost Podgorica 1 1320 56.50% 22.20%
17 2015-08-26 55.6 @ Grbalj 1 1231 32.94% Sutjeska 1 1311 43.09% 23.97%
18 2015-08-29 55.5 @ Zeta 1 1250 53.09% Decic Tuzi 1 1181 24.04% 22.87%
19 2016-05-21 55.5 Rudar 3 1336 33.33% @ Mladost Podgorica 2 1326 42.68% 23.99%
20 2015-09-26 55.4 @ Grbalj 1 1242 46.51% Bokelj 1 1225 29.76% 23.73%
21 2015-08-15 55.2 @ Bokelj 1 1193 39.06% Zeta 1 1230 36.84% 24.10%
22 2016-04-09 55.2 @ Zeta 1 1178 49.83% Petrovac 1 1136 26.81% 23.36%
23 2015-10-26 55.1 @ Decic Tuzi 1 1184 44.39% Iskra 1 1182 31.71% 23.89%
24 2015-11-28 55.1 @ Mornar 1 1054 27.89% Petrovac 1 1175 48.60% 23.51%
25 2016-04-30 55.1 @ Petrovac 1 1132 32.96% Grbalj 1 1212 43.07% 23.97%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2015-09-26 25.5 @ Buducnost Podgorica 3 1315 72.02% Mornar 0 1063 10.96% 17.02%
2 2015-08-29 29.1 @ Sutjeska 3 1311 60.95% Iskra 0 1174 17.97% 21.07%
3 2016-04-23 29.5 @ Bokelj 2 1258 65.38% Mornar 0 1079 14.96% 19.67%
4 2016-03-09 29.6 @ Mladost Podgorica 5 1305 61.97% Iskra 0 1158 17.25% 20.78%
5 2016-04-16 29.7 @ Buducnost Podgorica 2 1353 65.81% Decic Tuzi 0 1169 14.67% 19.51%
6 2015-12-06 29.8 @ Bokelj 2 1221 64.02% Mornar 0 1055 15.85% 20.13%
7 2016-02-27 29.8 @ Mladost Podgorica 4 1299 58.65% Decic Tuzi 0 1183 19.66% 21.69%
8 2015-10-26 30.5 @ Buducnost Podgorica 3 1326 57.12% Grbalj 0 1224 20.82% 22.06%
9 2015-10-31 30.5 @ Sutjeska 4 1301 71.62% Mornar 1 1054 11.18% 17.20%
10 2016-04-02 30.5 @ Buducnost Podgorica 4 1335 57.53% Lovcen 0 1229 20.50% 21.96%
11 2016-04-30 30.5 @ Mladost Podgorica 2 1312 62.59% Decic Tuzi 0 1160 16.82% 20.59%
12 2015-10-31 30.6 @ Rudar 2 1340 63.10% Decic Tuzi 0 1183 16.47% 20.43%
13 2016-05-07 30.7 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1 1389 75.58% Mornar 0 1093 9.05% 15.36%
14 2015-10-06 31.0 @ Buducnost Podgorica 2 1321 61.50% Decic Tuzi 0 1179 17.59% 20.92%
15 2016-04-02 31.2 @ Mladost Podgorica 2 1319 60.63% Zeta 0 1185 18.20% 21.17%
16 2016-03-09 31.5 Sutjeska 4 1309 52.77% @ Petrovac 0 1155 24.31% 22.92%
17 2016-05-11 31.9 @ Zeta 3 1197 50.80% Decic Tuzi 0 1146 25.97% 23.23%
18 2015-11-28 32.1 Sutjeska 4 1306 50.76% @ Iskra 0 1168 26.00% 23.23%
19 2016-03-19 32.3 @ Decic Tuzi 2 1165 55.73% Mornar 0 1075 21.90% 22.36%
20 2016-05-11 32.4 Sutjeska 2 1323 56.27% @ Petrovac 0 1140 21.48% 22.25%
21 2016-04-02 32.5 @ Bokelj 3 1251 49.24% Grbalj 0 1213 27.32% 23.44%
22 2015-08-22 32.6 Buducnost Podgorica 4 1319 49.53% @ Iskra 0 1191 27.07% 23.40%
23 2015-08-15 33.2 Rudar 2 1328 53.93% @ Decic Tuzi 0 1164 23.35% 22.72%
24 2015-11-20 33.2 @ Sutjeska 2 1298 54.17% Grbalj 0 1221 23.16% 22.67%
25 2015-09-26 33.3 @ Sutjeska 2 1308 54.06% Lovcen 0 1231 23.25% 22.69%