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2016-17 Montenegrin First League Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Buducnost Podgorica

57 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Zeta

14.51 points above expected

57 points · 42.49 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Jedinstvo

15.00 points below expected

14 points · 29.00 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Buducnost Podgorica 33 17 6 10 57 52 28 +24 63.03 -6.03
2 Mladost Podgorica 33 16 9 8 57 46 22 +24 55.63 +1.37
3 Zeta* 33 19 6 8 57 38 17 +21 42.49 +14.51
4 Sutjeska 33 15 10 8 55 43 25 +18 56.73 -1.73
5 Decic Tuzi 33 14 8 11 50 27 32 -5 39.33 +10.67
6 Iskra 33 14 7 12 49 29 32 -3 36.75 +12.25
7 Grbalj 33 11 13 9 46 28 25 +3 44.38 +1.62
8 Rudar 33 11 9 13 42 35 31 +4 53.14 -11.14
9 Petrovac 33 11 6 16 39 30 50 -20 37.06 +1.94
10 Bokelj 33 8 12 13 36 28 34 -6 42.31 -6.31
11 Lovcen* 33 10 7 16 34 25 36 -11 35.38 -1.38
12 Jedinstvo 33 3 5 25 14 20 69 -49 29.00 -15.00

* Point deductions: Lovcen (-3 pts), Zeta (-6 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Zeta 57 42.49 +14.51
2 Iskra 49 36.75 +12.25
3 Decic Tuzi 50 39.33 +10.67
4 Petrovac 39 37.06 +1.94
5 Grbalj 46 44.38 +1.62

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Jedinstvo 14 29.00 -15.00
2 Rudar 42 53.14 -11.14
3 Bokelj 36 42.31 -6.31
4 Buducnost Podgorica 57 63.03 -6.03
5 Sutjeska 55 56.73 -1.73

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Iskra 5 Mar 11 – Apr 8 1 in 4,372
2 Zeta 7 Apr 22 – May 27 1 in 512
3 Lovcen 3 Mar 28 – Apr 8 1 in 41
4 Petrovac 4 Nov 16 – Dec 3 1 in 29
5 Decic Tuzi 3 Apr 8 – Apr 22 1 in 25

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Jedinstvo 14 Feb 21 – May 13 1 in 1,675
2 Iskra 6 Oct 29 – Dec 4 1 in 168
3 Buducnost Podgorica 3 Apr 22 – May 6 1 in 55
4 Lovcen 4 Aug 20 – Sep 10 1 in 35
5 Sutjeska 2 Apr 16 – Apr 22 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Iskra 8 Mar 11 – Apr 30 1 in 288
2 Decic Tuzi 7 Nov 5 – Feb 26 1 in 57
3 Bokelj 7 Apr 15 – May 20 1 in 41
4 Sutjeska 9 Sep 25 – Nov 26 1 in 20
5 Grbalj 5 Mar 4 – Apr 1 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Buducnost Podgorica 6 Mar 4 – Apr 8 1 in 192
2 Bokelj 11 Oct 1 – Feb 26 1 in 127
3 Rudar 7 Aug 13 – Sep 24 1 in 100
4 Mladost Podgorica 5 Mar 4 – Apr 1 1 in 70
5 Iskra 10 Sep 24 – Dec 4 1 in 42

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Zeta 1328 63 +60 15 8.5 +6.5
Mladost Podgorica 1320 57 +45 10 8.5 +1.5
Buducnost Podgorica 1269 57 -38 6 8.4 -2.4
Sutjeska 1344 55 +22 10 9.0 +1.0
Decic Tuzi 1177 50 -8 5 6.2 -1.2
Iskra 1200 49 +39 10 5.7 +4.3
Grbalj 1215 46 -42 5 7.9 -2.9
Rudar 1237 42 -12 7 8.5 -1.5
Petrovac 1079 39 -45 3 5.7 -2.7
Lovcen 1177 37 -35 3 5.7 -2.7
Bokelj 1190 36 +24 8 5.7 +2.3
Jedinstvo 981 14 -9 3 3.1 -0.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BOK BP DT GRB ISK JED LOV MP PET RUD SUT ZET
Bokelj —
0-2-1
2.23
2-1-0
4.71
0-3-0
4.49
0-1-2
4.37
2-0-1
5.17
0-1-2
4.72
1-1-1
3.03
2-1-0
4.11
1-1-1
3.49
0-1-2
2.76
0-0-3
3.48
Buducnost Podgorica
1-2-0
6.10
—
2-0-1
6.02
1-1-1
5.81
2-0-1
5.87
2-1-0
6.66
2-0-1
5.94
2-0-1
5.11
2-0-1
5.65
1-0-2
5.69
1-1-1
4.44
1-1-1
4.98
Decic Tuzi
0-1-2
3.52
1-0-2
2.29
—
2-0-1
3.50
0-2-1
4.75
3-0-0
4.99
2-1-0
4.15
1-1-1
3.02
0-1-2
4.72
1-1-1
2.98
2-1-0
3.02
2-0-1
3.03
Grbalj
0-3-0
3.74
1-1-1
2.47
1-0-2
4.73
—
1-1-1
5.00
2-1-0
5.51
1-0-2
4.98
1-2-0
3.40
1-0-2
5.16
1-2-0
3.10
0-3-0
2.76
2-0-1
3.50
Iskra
2-1-0
3.87
1-0-2
2.41
1-2-0
3.50
1-1-1
3.24
—
2-0-1
4.42
1-1-1
3.63
1-1-1
2.26
2-0-1
4.43
1-1-1
2.38
1-0-2
2.89
1-0-2
3.11
Jedinstvo
1-0-2
3.07
0-1-2
1.71
0-0-3
3.30
0-1-2
2.77
1-0-2
3.81
—
0-0-3
3.82
0-0-3
1.79
1-1-1
3.58
0-1-2
2.47
0-1-2
1.77
0-0-3
2.11
Lovcen
2-1-0
3.52
1-0-2
2.37
0-1-2
4.07
2-0-1
3.26
1-1-1
4.61
3-0-0
4.41
—
0-2-1
2.34
1-0-2
4.22
0-2-1
2.70
0-0-3
3.26
0-0-3
3.52
Mladost Podgorica
1-1-1
5.21
1-0-2
3.13
1-1-1
5.23
0-2-1
4.84
1-1-1
6.04
3-0-0
6.58
1-2-0
5.95
—
3-0-0
5.56
3-0-0
3.85
1-1-1
4.35
1-1-1
4.91
Petrovac
0-1-2
4.12
1-0-2
2.64
2-1-0
3.51
2-0-1
3.09
1-0-2
3.81
1-1-1
4.64
2-0-1
4.02
0-0-3
2.72
—
1-0-2
2.80
0-1-2
2.87
1-2-0
3.34
Rudar
1-1-1
4.75
2-0-1
2.57
1-1-1
5.28
0-2-1
5.14
1-1-1
5.90
2-1-0
5.80
1-2-0
5.58
0-0-3
4.38
2-0-1
5.45
—
1-0-2
3.38
0-1-2
4.22
Sutjeska
2-1-0
5.51
1-1-1
3.80
0-1-2
5.22
0-3-0
5.51
2-0-1
5.39
2-1-0
6.62
3-0-0
4.98
1-1-1
3.87
2-1-0
5.39
2-0-1
4.86
—
0-1-2
5.24
Zeta
3-0-0
4.78
1-1-1
3.28
1-0-2
5.22
1-0-2
4.73
2-0-1
5.12
3-0-0
6.23
3-0-0
4.72
1-1-1
3.32
0-2-1
4.89
2-1-0
4.01
2-1-0
3.01
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.61 +10.4
Allowed 0.79 -8.1
Differential 0.88 +5.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.66%14.90%6.06%3.79%0.51%1.26%42.17%
114.90%7.07%5.81%2.78%0.76%—31.31%
26.06%5.81%2.02%1.01%0.25%0.51%15.66%
33.79%2.78%1.01%———7.58%
40.51%0.76%0.25%———1.52%
5+1.26%—0.51%———1.77%
Total42.17%31.31%15.66%7.58%1.52%1.77%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.01 1.01 +0.00
SD 1.18 1.18 1.74
CV 1.17 1.17 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.21%21.21%9.09%3.03%——54.55%
13.03%9.09%3.03%3.03%——18.18%
2—9.09%6.06%———15.15%
33.03%9.09%————12.12%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%48.48%18.18%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 1.03 -0.18
SD 1.09 0.85 1.33
CV 1.29 0.82 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%21.21%6.06%3.03%——33.33%
16.06%9.09%————15.15%
218.18%6.06%6.06%———30.30%
36.06%—3.03%———9.09%
4—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
5+6.06%—————6.06%
Total39.39%39.39%18.18%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 0.85 +0.73
SD 1.50 0.83 1.91
CV 0.95 0.98 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%6.06%3.03%9.09%——36.36%
124.24%6.06%9.09%3.03%3.03%—45.45%
26.06%12.12%————18.18%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total48.48%24.24%12.12%12.12%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.82 0.97 -0.15
SD 0.73 1.19 1.46
CV 0.89 1.22 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.21%12.12%3.03%3.03%——39.39%
121.21%12.12%6.06%———39.39%
26.06%3.03%6.06%3.03%——18.18%
33.03%—————3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total51.52%27.27%15.15%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 0.76 +0.09
SD 0.83 0.94 1.18
CV 0.98 1.24 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%6.06%9.09%6.06%——39.39%
124.24%3.03%9.09%6.06%——42.42%
23.03%9.09%————12.12%
3——3.03%———3.03%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total48.48%18.18%21.21%12.12%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 0.97 -0.09
SD 0.96 1.10 1.53
CV 1.09 1.14 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%18.18%12.12%6.06%3.03%6.06%57.58%
13.03%—12.12%6.06%6.06%—27.27%
2—3.03%3.03%3.03%—3.03%12.12%
3—3.03%————3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.15%24.24%27.27%15.15%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.61 2.09 -1.48
SD 0.83 1.57 1.64
CV 1.36 0.75 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%21.21%15.15%3.03%—3.03%60.61%
112.12%3.03%3.03%———18.18%
29.09%3.03%———3.03%15.15%
33.03%—————3.03%
4———————
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total45.45%27.27%18.18%3.03%—6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.76 1.09 -0.33
SD 1.28 1.55 2.13
CV 1.68 1.42 —
Max 6 7 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
024.24%12.12%3.03%———39.39%
118.18%3.03%6.06%3.03%——30.30%
23.03%6.06%————9.09%
36.06%6.06%————12.12%
4———————
5+3.03%—6.06%———9.09%
Total54.55%27.27%15.15%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 0.67 +0.73
SD 1.80 0.85 1.77
CV 1.29 1.28 —
Max 7 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%12.12%6.06%9.09%3.03%6.06%48.48%
115.15%6.06%3.03%6.06%——30.30%
2—3.03%—3.03%——6.06%
33.03%9.09%————12.12%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total30.30%33.33%9.09%18.18%3.03%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 1.52 -0.61
SD 1.16 1.56 2.16
CV 1.27 1.03 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%15.15%3.03%3.03%——39.39%
19.09%9.09%12.12%3.03%——33.33%
212.12%3.03%—3.03%——18.18%
3——3.03%———3.03%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total42.42%30.30%18.18%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 0.94 +0.12
SD 1.22 1.00 1.60
CV 1.15 1.06 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%15.15%————27.27%
112.12%15.15%6.06%———33.33%
212.12%6.06%3.03%—3.03%—24.24%
36.06%3.03%3.03%———12.12%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total45.45%39.39%12.12%—3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 0.76 +0.55
SD 1.10 0.90 1.39
CV 0.85 1.19 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%18.18%3.03%———30.30%
130.30%9.09%—3.03%——42.42%
23.03%6.06%————9.09%
315.15%3.03%————18.18%
4———————
5+———————
Total57.58%36.36%3.03%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 0.52 +0.64
SD 1.06 0.71 1.43
CV 0.92 1.38 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Sutjeska 1344 55 56.73 -1.73 45.0% 36 42 52 56 62 72 75
Zeta 1328 57 42.49 +14.51 100.0% 26 31 38 42 47 53 57
Mladost Podgorica 1320 57 55.63 +1.37 61.0% 37 44 52 55 60 68 70
Buducnost Podgorica 1269 57 63.03 -6.03 22.0% 47 52 59 63 67 73 79
Rudar 1237 42 53.14 -11.14 10.0% 31 39 49 53 58 64 71
Grbalj 1215 46 44.38 +1.62 61.0% 30 35 39 44 49 57 63
Iskra 1200 49 36.75 +12.25 96.0% 20 23 32 36 42 49 54
Bokelj 1190 36 42.31 -6.31 25.0% 25 31 36 42 48 58 62
Lovcen 1177 34 35.38 -1.38 44.0% 20 22 30 35 40 46 55
Decic Tuzi 1177 50 39.33 +10.67 93.0% 24 26 34 39 44 51 66
Petrovac 1079 39 37.06 +1.94 63.0% 23 27 33 36 42 47 51
Jedinstvo 981 14 29.00 -15.00 1.0% 13 19 24 29 33 39 49

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+21.72%
Clear Edge
48.48%24.75%26.77%
Elo Value
Home Edge
190 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
076.67500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.40 goals
Neutral
-2+0.40+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.3
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
61%
Buducnost Podgorica, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.64 * Some Luck: 5.64 to 8.45 * Lucky: 8.45 to 11.27 * Wild Swing: 11.27 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.29 * Close: 1.29 to 1.94 * Off: 1.94 to 2.59 * Way Off: 2.59 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.72 points
Lucky
07.0518
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.83
Close
01.624
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
Zeta
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
1.00%
Jedinstvo
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.15
Even
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 104.69
1.68
Moderate Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
65%
Slight Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
89%
Clear Edge
50%89%100%
Close Games
Expected
68%
Very Frequent
0%61%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Rare
0%15%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.62
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.37
Slight Separation
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.59
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.30
Weak Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Very Upset-Prone
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Very Shaky
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.70
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.70
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.086
Well Within Noise
00.1190.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Buducnost Podgorica61.00%13.00%18.00%6.00%2.00%———————
Mladost Podgorica12.00%28.00%27.00%20.00%3.00%7.00%2.00%1.00%————
Zeta——8.00%7.00%16.00%19.00%15.00%11.00%10.00%7.00%6.00%1.00%
Sutjeska20.00%27.00%20.00%18.00%8.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%——
Decic Tuzi1.00%—1.00%4.00%11.00%10.00%13.00%17.00%13.00%18.00%8.00%4.00%
Iskra———3.00%8.00%6.00%12.00%11.00%11.00%23.00%17.00%9.00%
Grbalj—4.00%4.00%11.00%18.00%19.00%12.00%12.00%10.00%7.00%3.00%—
Rudar5.00%23.00%19.00%23.00%13.00%9.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%3.00%1.00%—
Petrovac——1.00%2.00%2.00%9.00%16.00%16.00%12.00%19.00%13.00%10.00%
Bokelj1.00%5.00%1.00%6.00%15.00%15.00%10.00%12.00%16.00%9.00%9.00%1.00%
Lovcen——1.00%—3.00%4.00%16.00%14.00%17.00%8.00%19.00%18.00%
Jedinstvo————1.00%—1.00%4.00%8.00%5.00%24.00%57.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Buducnost Podgorica 100% — —
Mladost Podgorica 99.00% 1.00% —
Sutjeska 96.00% 3.00% 1.00%
Rudar 94.00% 2.00% 4.00%
Grbalj 68.00% 22.00% 10.00%
Zeta 65.00% 21.00% 14.00%
Bokelj 53.00% 28.00% 19.00%
Decic Tuzi 40.00% 30.00% 30.00%
Petrovac 30.00% 28.00% 42.00%
Lovcen 24.00% 31.00% 45.00%
Iskra 29.00% 22.00% 49.00%
Jedinstvo 2.00% 12.00% 86.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2016-08-06 Grbalj D 0-049.6 1223 1189 51.94% 25.19% 22.87%+0.58 -1.9 1
2016-08-06 @ Bokelj D 0-049.6 1189 1223 22.87% 25.19% 51.94%-0.58 +1.9 1
2016-08-06 Iskra W 2-031.7 1293 1148 63.53% 22.44% 14.02%+1.16 +8.3 3
2016-08-06 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-231.7 1148 1293 14.02% 22.44% 63.53%-1.16 -8.3 0
2016-08-06 Jedinstvo W 5-031.9 1269 1193 56.60% 24.33% 19.07%+0.80 +26.2 3
2016-08-06 @ Rudar L 0-531.9 1193 1269 19.07% 24.33% 56.60%-0.80 -26.1 0
2016-08-06 Petrovac L 1-445.4 1160 1150 48.84% 25.60% 25.56%+0.45 -29.4 0
2016-08-06 @ Decic Tuzi W 4-145.4 1150 1160 25.56% 25.60% 48.84%-0.45 +29.4 3
2016-08-07 Lovcen W 1-036.8 1268 1183 57.58% 24.11% 18.31%+0.85 +5.7 3
2016-08-07 @ Sutjeska L 0-136.8 1183 1268 18.31% 24.11% 57.58%-0.85 -5.7 0
2016-08-07 Mladost Podgorica D 0-049.3 1191 1249 39.82% 26.21% 33.97%+0.10 -0.3 1
2016-08-07 @ Zeta D 0-049.3 1249 1191 33.97% 26.21% 39.82%-0.10 +0.4 1
2016-08-13 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-238.0 1180 1301 31.03% 26.09% 42.88%-0.24 -16.9 3
2016-08-13 @ Petrovac W 2-038.0 1301 1180 42.88% 26.09% 31.03%+0.24 +16.9 6
2016-08-13 Decic Tuzi L 0-147.0 1167 1130 52.18% 25.15% 22.67%+0.60 -13.5 0
2016-08-13 @ Jedinstvo W 1-047.0 1130 1167 22.67% 25.15% 52.18%-0.60 +13.5 3
2016-08-13 Iskra D 1-155.1 1191 1140 53.79% 24.88% 21.32%+0.67 -1.9 2
2016-08-13 @ Grbalj D 1-155.1 1140 1191 21.32% 24.88% 53.79%-0.67 +1.9 1
2016-08-13 Rudar D 0-049.4 1178 1295 31.60% 26.12% 42.28%-0.21 +0.7 1
2016-08-13 @ Lovcen D 0-049.4 1295 1178 42.28% 26.12% 31.60%+0.21 -0.7 4
2016-08-13 Sutjeska W 2-147.0 1249 1274 44.44% 26.00% 29.56%+0.27 +8.1 4
2016-08-13 @ Mladost Podgorica L 1-247.0 1274 1249 29.56% 26.00% 44.44%-0.27 -8.1 3
2016-08-13 Zeta L 0-147.0 1222 1190 51.55% 25.25% 23.21%+0.57 -13.3 1
2016-08-13 @ Bokelj W 1-047.0 1190 1222 23.21% 25.25% 51.55%-0.57 +13.3 4
2016-08-20 Bokelj W 2-034.5 1266 1208 54.58% 24.74% 20.68%+0.70 +12.0 6
2016-08-20 @ Sutjeska L 0-234.5 1208 1266 20.68% 24.74% 54.58%-0.70 -12.0 1
2016-08-20 Jedinstvo W 2-031.3 1318 1153 65.36% 21.81% 12.83%+1.27 +7.6 9
2016-08-20 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-231.3 1153 1318 12.83% 21.81% 65.36%-1.27 -7.6 0
2016-08-20 Lovcen W 2-147.0 1144 1178 43.10% 26.08% 30.82%+0.22 +8.4 6
2016-08-20 @ Decic Tuzi L 1-247.0 1178 1144 30.82% 26.08% 43.10%-0.22 -8.4 1
2016-08-20 Petrovac W 1-040.4 1142 1163 44.94% 25.96% 29.09%+0.29 +8.5 4
2016-08-20 @ Iskra L 0-140.4 1163 1142 29.09% 25.96% 44.94%-0.29 -8.5 3
2016-08-20 Mladost Podgorica L 0-147.6 1294 1257 52.21% 25.15% 22.64%+0.60 -13.5 4
2016-08-20 @ Rudar W 1-047.6 1257 1294 22.64% 25.15% 52.21%-0.60 +13.5 7
2016-08-21 Grbalj W 2-145.1 1204 1189 49.52% 25.52% 24.96%+0.48 +7.1 7
2016-08-21 @ Zeta L 1-245.1 1189 1204 24.96% 25.52% 49.52%-0.48 -7.1 2
2016-08-24 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-236.7 1170 1326 26.83% 25.75% 47.41%-0.42 -15.0 1
2016-08-24 @ Lovcen W 2-036.7 1326 1170 47.41% 25.75% 26.83%+0.42 +15.0 12
2016-08-24 Decic Tuzi W 1-035.7 1271 1152 61.04% 23.21% 15.74%+1.03 +5.0 10
2016-08-24 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-135.7 1152 1271 15.74% 23.21% 61.04%-1.03 -5.0 6
2016-08-24 Iskra L 1-251.8 1146 1150 47.08% 25.79% 27.14%+0.38 -11.6 0
2016-08-24 @ Jedinstvo W 2-151.8 1150 1146 27.14% 25.79% 47.08%-0.38 +11.6 7
2016-08-24 Petrovac L 0-146.8 1182 1154 51.06% 25.32% 23.62%+0.55 -13.2 2
2016-08-24 @ Grbalj W 1-046.8 1154 1182 23.62% 25.32% 51.06%-0.55 +13.2 6
2016-08-24 Rudar W 2-149.4 1196 1281 36.07% 26.24% 37.68%-0.04 +9.8 4
2016-08-24 @ Bokelj L 1-249.4 1281 1196 37.68% 26.24% 36.07%+0.04 -9.8 4
2016-08-24 Sutjeska W 1-042.6 1211 1278 38.56% 26.23% 35.20%+0.05 +9.8 10
2016-08-24 @ Zeta L 0-142.6 1278 1211 35.20% 26.23% 38.56%-0.05 -9.8 6
2016-08-27 Bokelj L 1-346.0 1147 1206 39.74% 26.21% 34.05%+0.09 -17.6 6
2016-08-27 @ Decic Tuzi W 3-146.0 1206 1147 34.05% 26.21% 39.74%-0.09 +17.6 7
2016-08-27 Grbalj D 1-155.6 1268 1168 59.11% 23.74% 17.15%+0.92 -2.5 7
2016-08-27 @ Sutjeska D 1-155.6 1168 1268 17.15% 23.74% 59.11%-0.92 +2.5 3
2016-08-27 Lovcen W 1-039.3 1162 1155 48.58% 25.63% 25.79%+0.44 +7.7 10
2016-08-27 @ Iskra L 0-139.3 1155 1162 25.79% 25.63% 48.58%-0.44 -7.7 1
2016-08-27 Zeta D 1-155.4 1271 1220 53.80% 24.88% 21.32%+0.67 -1.9 5
2016-08-27 @ Rudar D 1-155.4 1220 1271 21.32% 24.88% 53.80%-0.67 +1.9 11
2016-08-28 Jedinstvo D 0-049.4 1168 1134 51.77% 25.21% 23.02%+0.58 -1.8 7
2016-08-28 @ Petrovac D 0-049.4 1134 1168 23.02% 25.21% 51.77%-0.58 +1.8 1
2016-08-28 Mladost Podgorica W 1-038.2 1341 1276 55.44% 24.57% 19.99%+0.74 +6.2 15
2016-08-28 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-138.2 1276 1341 19.99% 24.57% 55.44%-0.74 -6.2 10
2016-09-10 Buducnost Podgorica D 2-260.9 1224 1347 30.80% 26.08% 43.12%-0.25 +0.5 8
2016-09-10 @ Bokelj D 2-260.9 1347 1224 43.12% 26.08% 30.80%+0.25 -0.5 16
2016-09-10 Decic Tuzi L 0-148.6 1222 1130 58.42% 23.91% 17.67%+0.89 -14.8 11
2016-09-10 @ Zeta W 1-048.6 1130 1222 17.67% 23.91% 58.42%-0.89 +14.8 9
2016-09-10 Iskra D 0-050.1 1269 1170 59.14% 23.73% 17.13%+0.93 -2.8 11
2016-09-10 @ Mladost Podgorica D 0-050.1 1170 1269 17.13% 23.73% 59.14%-0.93 +2.8 11
2016-09-10 Jedinstvo W 1-038.2 1171 1136 51.96% 25.18% 22.86%+0.59 +7.0 6
2016-09-10 @ Grbalj L 0-138.2 1136 1171 22.86% 25.18% 51.96%-0.59 -7.0 1
2016-09-10 Petrovac L 0-145.2 1147 1166 45.25% 25.94% 28.81%+0.31 -11.9 1
2016-09-10 @ Lovcen W 1-045.2 1166 1147 28.81% 25.94% 45.25%-0.31 +11.9 10
2016-09-11 Rudar W 1-040.2 1265 1269 47.18% 25.78% 27.04%+0.38 +8.0 10
2016-09-11 @ Sutjeska L 0-140.2 1269 1265 27.04% 25.78% 47.18%-0.38 -8.0 5
2016-09-17 Bokelj W 1-041.7 1173 1224 40.77% 26.18% 33.05%+0.13 +9.4 14
2016-09-17 @ Iskra L 0-141.7 1224 1173 33.05% 26.18% 40.77%-0.13 -9.4 8
2016-09-17 Grbalj D 1-155.5 1261 1178 57.41% 24.15% 18.44%+0.84 -2.3 6
2016-09-17 @ Rudar D 1-155.5 1178 1261 18.44% 24.15% 57.41%-0.84 +2.3 7
2016-09-17 Lovcen L 0-242.4 1129 1135 46.88% 25.80% 27.31%+0.37 -23.2 1
2016-09-17 @ Jedinstvo W 2-042.4 1135 1129 27.31% 25.80% 46.88%-0.37 +23.2 4
2016-09-17 Sutjeska W 1-045.0 1144 1273 30.09% 26.04% 43.88%-0.27 +11.6 12
2016-09-17 @ Decic Tuzi L 0-145.0 1273 1144 43.88% 26.04% 30.09%+0.27 -11.6 10
2016-09-17 Mladost Podgorica L 0-337.4 1178 1267 35.43% 26.24% 38.33%-0.07 -27.1 10
2016-09-17 @ Petrovac W 3-037.4 1267 1178 38.33% 26.24% 35.43%+0.07 +27.1 14
2016-09-18 Zeta W 1-035.5 1346 1207 63.01% 22.61% 14.38%+1.13 +4.5 19
2016-09-18 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-135.5 1207 1346 14.38% 22.61% 63.01%-1.13 -4.5 11
2016-09-24 Decic Tuzi D 0-050.0 1259 1156 59.46% 23.65% 16.90%+0.94 -2.8 7
2016-09-24 @ Rudar D 0-050.0 1156 1259 16.90% 23.65% 59.46%-0.94 +2.8 13
2016-09-24 Iskra W 3-141.2 1203 1182 50.29% 25.42% 24.29%+0.51 +12.0 14
2016-09-24 @ Zeta L 1-341.2 1182 1203 24.29% 25.42% 50.29%-0.51 -12.0 14
2016-09-24 Jedinstvo W 5-028.5 1294 1106 67.36% 21.05% 11.58%+1.39 +15.9 17
2016-09-24 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-528.5 1106 1294 11.58% 21.05% 67.36%-1.39 -15.9 1
2016-09-24 Lovcen W 2-035.5 1180 1158 50.39% 25.41% 24.20%+0.52 +13.8 10
2016-09-24 @ Grbalj L 0-235.5 1158 1180 24.20% 25.41% 50.39%-0.52 -13.8 4
2016-09-24 Petrovac W 3-032.2 1215 1151 55.33% 24.59% 20.07%+0.74 +17.0 11
2016-09-24 @ Bokelj L 0-332.2 1151 1215 20.07% 24.59% 55.33%-0.74 -17.0 10
2016-09-25 Buducnost Podgorica D 1-155.6 1262 1351 35.41% 26.24% 38.35%-0.07 +0.2 11
2016-09-25 @ Sutjeska D 1-155.6 1351 1262 38.35% 26.24% 35.41%+0.07 -0.2 20
2016-10-01 Bokelj W 1-045.3 1090 1232 28.53% 25.92% 45.56%-0.34 +12.0 4
2016-10-01 @ Jedinstvo L 0-145.3 1232 1090 45.56% 25.92% 28.53%+0.34 -12.0 11
2016-10-01 Grbalj W 1-041.0 1159 1194 43.02% 26.09% 30.89%+0.22 +8.9 16
2016-10-01 @ Decic Tuzi L 0-141.0 1194 1159 30.89% 26.09% 43.02%-0.22 -8.9 10
2016-10-01 Sutjeska L 0-337.3 1170 1262 35.03% 26.23% 38.74%-0.08 -26.8 14
2016-10-01 @ Iskra W 3-037.3 1262 1170 38.74% 26.23% 35.03%+0.08 +26.8 14
2016-10-01 Mladost Podgorica D 0-049.5 1145 1310 25.79% 25.63% 48.58%-0.46 +1.4 5
2016-10-01 @ Lovcen D 0-049.5 1310 1145 48.58% 25.63% 25.79%+0.46 -1.4 18
2016-10-01 Zeta D 1-154.7 1134 1215 36.53% 26.25% 37.23%-0.02 +0.0 11
2016-10-01 @ Petrovac D 1-154.7 1215 1134 37.23% 26.25% 36.53%+0.02 -0.0 15
2016-10-02 Rudar L 0-246.2 1351 1256 58.63% 23.86% 17.51%+0.90 -28.1 20
2016-10-02 @ Buducnost Podgorica W 2-046.2 1256 1351 17.51% 23.86% 58.63%-0.90 +28.1 10
2016-10-15 Buducnost Podgorica L 1-246.0 1168 1323 26.94% 25.76% 47.30%-0.41 -7.5 16
2016-10-15 @ Decic Tuzi W 2-146.0 1323 1168 47.30% 25.76% 26.94%+0.41 +7.5 23
2016-10-15 Iskra D 0-050.4 1284 1143 63.19% 22.56% 14.26%+1.14 -3.3 11
2016-10-15 @ Rudar D 0-050.4 1143 1284 14.26% 22.56% 63.19%-1.14 +3.3 15
2016-10-15 Jedinstvo W 1-035.7 1215 1102 60.46% 23.37% 16.16%+0.99 +5.1 18
2016-10-15 @ Zeta L 0-135.7 1102 1215 16.16% 23.37% 60.46%-0.99 -5.1 4
2016-10-15 Lovcen D 0-049.7 1220 1146 56.38% 24.38% 19.24%+0.79 -2.4 12
2016-10-15 @ Bokelj D 0-049.7 1146 1220 19.24% 24.38% 56.38%-0.79 +2.4 6
2016-10-15 Petrovac D 0-050.5 1289 1134 64.50% 22.12% 13.38%+1.22 -3.5 15
2016-10-15 @ Sutjeska D 0-050.5 1134 1289 13.38% 22.12% 64.50%-1.22 +3.5 12
2016-10-15 Mladost Podgorica W 1-044.9 1185 1308 30.83% 26.08% 43.08%-0.24 +11.5 13
2016-10-15 @ Grbalj L 0-144.9 1308 1185 43.08% 26.08% 30.83%+0.24 -11.5 18
2016-10-22 Bokelj W 3-139.5 1297 1217 57.02% 24.24% 18.75%+0.82 +9.5 21
2016-10-22 @ Mladost Podgorica L 1-339.5 1217 1297 18.75% 24.24% 57.02%-0.82 -9.5 12
2016-10-22 Decic Tuzi D 0-049.2 1146 1160 45.88% 25.89% 28.23%+0.33 -1.1 16
2016-10-22 @ Iskra D 0-049.2 1160 1146 28.23% 25.89% 45.88%-0.33 +1.1 17
2016-10-22 Grbalj W 2-032.3 1330 1197 62.51% 22.77% 14.72%+1.10 +8.7 26
2016-10-22 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-232.3 1197 1330 14.72% 22.77% 62.51%-1.10 -8.7 13
2016-10-22 Rudar L 1-246.3 1137 1281 28.27% 25.89% 45.84%-0.35 -7.8 12
2016-10-22 @ Petrovac W 2-146.3 1281 1137 45.84% 25.89% 28.27%+0.35 +7.8 14
2016-10-22 Sutjeska D 0-049.5 1097 1285 23.30% 25.26% 51.44%-0.59 +1.8 5
2016-10-22 @ Jedinstvo D 0-049.5 1285 1097 51.44% 25.26% 23.30%+0.59 -1.8 16
2016-10-22 Zeta L 0-143.2 1148 1220 37.94% 26.24% 35.81%+0.03 -10.4 6
2016-10-22 @ Lovcen W 1-043.2 1220 1148 35.81% 26.24% 37.94%-0.03 +10.4 21
2016-10-29 Bokelj D 0-049.3 1188 1208 45.07% 25.95% 28.98%+0.30 -1.0 14
2016-10-29 @ Grbalj D 0-049.3 1208 1188 28.98% 25.95% 45.07%-0.30 +1.0 13
2016-10-29 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-333.4 1145 1339 22.76% 25.17% 52.08%-0.61 -19.0 16
2016-10-29 @ Iskra W 3-033.4 1339 1145 52.08% 25.17% 22.76%+0.61 +19.0 29
2016-10-29 Decic Tuzi W 3-035.7 1129 1161 43.43% 26.06% 30.50%+0.23 +24.2 15
2016-10-29 @ Petrovac L 0-335.7 1161 1129 30.50% 26.06% 43.43%-0.23 -24.1 17
2016-10-29 Rudar D 0-049.5 1099 1289 23.14% 25.24% 51.62%-0.59 +1.8 6
2016-10-29 @ Jedinstvo D 0-049.5 1289 1099 51.62% 25.24% 23.14%+0.59 -1.8 15
2016-10-29 Sutjeska L 0-236.9 1138 1284 28.06% 25.88% 46.06%-0.36 -15.6 6
2016-10-29 @ Lovcen W 2-036.9 1284 1138 46.06% 25.88% 28.06%+0.36 +15.6 19
2016-10-29 Zeta W 1-037.3 1306 1230 56.63% 24.32% 19.04%+0.80 +5.9 24
2016-10-29 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-137.3 1230 1306 19.04% 24.32% 56.63%-0.80 -5.9 21
2016-11-05 Bokelj W 1-039.1 1224 1209 49.64% 25.51% 24.86%+0.49 +7.5 24
2016-11-05 @ Zeta L 0-139.1 1209 1224 24.86% 25.51% 49.64%-0.49 -7.5 13
2016-11-05 Grbalj L 0-143.6 1126 1187 39.50% 26.22% 34.28%+0.08 -10.7 16
2016-11-05 @ Iskra W 1-043.6 1187 1126 34.28% 26.22% 39.50%-0.08 +10.7 17
2016-11-05 Jedinstvo W 2-144.2 1137 1101 52.16% 25.15% 22.68%+0.59 +6.5 20
2016-11-05 @ Decic Tuzi L 1-244.2 1101 1137 22.68% 25.15% 52.16%-0.59 -6.5 6
2016-11-05 Lovcen D 1-156.1 1287 1122 65.32% 21.83% 12.85%+1.27 -3.2 16
2016-11-05 @ Rudar D 1-156.1 1122 1287 12.85% 21.83% 65.32%-1.27 +3.2 7
2016-11-05 Petrovac W 5-028.4 1358 1153 68.77% 20.48% 10.75%+1.48 +14.7 32
2016-11-05 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-528.4 1153 1358 10.75% 20.48% 68.77%-1.48 -14.7 15
2016-11-05 Mladost Podgorica D 1-155.7 1299 1312 45.96% 25.88% 28.16%+0.33 -1.0 20
2016-11-05 @ Sutjeska D 1-155.7 1312 1299 28.16% 25.88% 45.96%-0.33 +1.0 25
2016-11-16 Buducnost Podgorica D 0-050.3 1094 1373 15.60% 23.15% 61.25%-1.06 +3.1 7
2016-11-16 @ Jedinstvo D 0-050.3 1373 1094 61.25% 23.15% 15.60%+1.06 -3.1 33
2016-11-16 Decic Tuzi D 0-049.2 1126 1144 45.32% 25.94% 28.74%+0.31 -1.0 8
2016-11-16 @ Lovcen D 0-049.2 1144 1126 28.74% 25.94% 45.32%-0.31 +1.0 21
2016-11-16 Iskra W 2-144.7 1139 1116 50.54% 25.39% 24.07%+0.52 +6.9 18
2016-11-16 @ Petrovac L 1-244.7 1116 1139 24.07% 25.39% 50.54%-0.52 -6.9 16
2016-11-16 Rudar W 2-145.3 1313 1284 51.33% 25.28% 23.39%+0.56 +6.7 28
2016-11-16 @ Mladost Podgorica L 1-245.3 1284 1313 23.39% 25.28% 51.33%-0.56 -6.7 16
2016-11-16 Sutjeska L 1-248.4 1201 1298 34.35% 26.22% 39.43%-0.11 -9.1 13
2016-11-16 @ Bokelj W 2-148.4 1298 1201 39.43% 26.22% 34.35%+0.11 +9.1 23
2016-11-16 Zeta W 1-041.1 1198 1232 43.13% 26.08% 30.79%+0.22 +8.9 20
2016-11-16 @ Grbalj L 0-141.1 1232 1198 30.79% 26.08% 43.13%-0.22 -8.9 24
2016-11-19 Bokelj W 2-033.6 1277 1192 57.58% 24.11% 18.31%+0.85 +10.8 19
2016-11-19 @ Rudar L 0-233.6 1192 1277 18.31% 24.11% 57.58%-0.85 -10.8 13
2016-11-19 Grbalj W 1-042.0 1146 1206 39.45% 26.22% 34.34%+0.08 +9.7 21
2016-11-19 @ Petrovac L 0-142.0 1206 1146 34.34% 26.22% 39.45%-0.08 -9.7 20
2016-11-19 Jedinstvo L 1-252.3 1109 1097 49.13% 25.57% 25.30%+0.46 -12.0 16
2016-11-19 @ Iskra W 2-152.3 1097 1109 25.30% 25.57% 49.13%-0.46 +12.0 10
2016-11-19 Lovcen W 5-027.4 1370 1125 71.95% 19.06% 8.99%+1.69 +12.0 36
2016-11-19 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-527.4 1125 1370 8.99% 19.06% 71.95%-1.69 -12.1 8
2016-11-19 Mladost Podgorica W 2-043.5 1145 1320 24.68% 25.48% 49.84%-0.52 +24.4 24
2016-11-19 @ Decic Tuzi L 0-243.5 1320 1145 49.84% 25.48% 24.68%+0.52 -24.4 28
2016-11-19 Zeta D 0-050.2 1307 1223 57.52% 24.12% 18.36%+0.84 -2.6 24
2016-11-19 @ Sutjeska D 0-050.2 1223 1307 18.36% 24.12% 57.52%-0.84 +2.6 25
2016-11-26 Buducnost Podgorica L 1-250.0 1296 1382 35.84% 26.24% 37.92%-0.05 -9.4 28
2016-11-26 @ Mladost Podgorica W 2-150.0 1382 1296 37.92% 26.24% 35.84%+0.05 +9.4 39
2016-11-26 Decic Tuzi D 1-154.9 1181 1169 49.21% 25.56% 25.23%+0.47 -1.3 14
2016-11-26 @ Bokelj D 1-154.9 1169 1181 25.23% 25.56% 49.21%-0.47 +1.4 25
2016-11-26 Iskra W 1-038.9 1113 1097 49.66% 25.50% 24.84%+0.49 +7.5 11
2016-11-26 @ Lovcen L 0-138.9 1097 1113 24.84% 25.50% 49.66%-0.49 -7.5 16
2016-11-26 Petrovac L 1-346.5 1109 1155 41.53% 26.16% 32.32%+0.16 -18.2 10
2016-11-26 @ Jedinstvo W 3-146.5 1155 1109 32.32% 26.16% 41.53%-0.16 +18.2 24
2016-11-26 Rudar W 3-037.3 1226 1288 39.27% 26.22% 34.50%+0.08 +26.5 28
2016-11-26 @ Zeta L 0-337.3 1288 1226 34.50% 26.22% 39.27%-0.08 -26.5 19
2016-11-26 Sutjeska D 2-260.6 1197 1305 32.85% 26.18% 40.97%-0.16 +0.3 21
2016-11-26 @ Grbalj D 2-260.6 1305 1197 40.97% 26.18% 32.85%+0.16 -0.3 25
2016-12-03 Bokelj W 3-028.6 1391 1180 69.29% 20.26% 10.45%+1.51 +8.8 42
2016-12-03 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-328.6 1180 1391 10.45% 20.26% 69.29%-1.51 -8.8 14
2016-12-03 Grbalj D 2-260.2 1091 1197 33.08% 26.18% 40.74%-0.15 +0.3 11
2016-12-03 @ Jedinstvo D 2-260.2 1197 1091 40.74% 26.18% 33.08%+0.15 -0.3 22
2016-12-03 Lovcen W 1-037.6 1173 1120 54.11% 24.82% 21.06%+0.68 +6.5 27
2016-12-03 @ Petrovac L 0-137.6 1120 1173 21.06% 24.82% 54.11%-0.68 -6.5 11
2016-12-03 Sutjeska W 1-041.9 1261 1304 41.92% 26.14% 31.94%+0.18 +9.1 22
2016-12-03 @ Rudar L 0-141.9 1304 1261 31.94% 26.14% 41.92%-0.18 -9.1 25
2016-12-03 Zeta W 2-039.8 1170 1252 36.48% 26.25% 37.27%-0.03 +19.4 28
2016-12-03 @ Decic Tuzi L 0-239.8 1252 1170 37.27% 26.25% 36.48%+0.03 -19.3 28
2016-12-04 Mladost Podgorica L 1-340.5 1089 1286 22.44% 25.11% 52.46%-0.63 -11.2 16
2016-12-04 @ Iskra W 3-140.5 1286 1089 52.46% 25.11% 22.44%+0.63 +11.2 31
2017-02-21 Decic Tuzi D 1-155.8 1295 1190 59.72% 23.58% 16.70%+0.96 -2.6 26
2017-02-21 @ Sutjeska D 1-155.8 1190 1295 16.70% 23.58% 59.72%-0.96 +2.5 29
2017-02-21 Iskra L 0-148.5 1171 1078 58.46% 23.90% 17.64%+0.89 -14.9 14
2017-02-21 @ Bokelj W 1-048.5 1078 1171 17.64% 23.90% 58.46%-0.89 +14.9 19
2017-02-21 Jedinstvo W 2-035.4 1114 1091 50.45% 25.40% 24.15%+0.52 +13.8 14
2017-02-21 @ Lovcen L 0-235.4 1091 1114 24.15% 25.40% 50.45%-0.52 -13.8 11
2017-02-21 Petrovac W 1-035.8 1297 1180 60.92% 23.24% 15.83%+1.02 +5.0 34
2017-02-21 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-135.8 1180 1297 15.83% 23.24% 60.92%-1.02 -5.0 27
2017-02-21 Rudar W 2-148.9 1197 1270 37.66% 26.24% 36.10%+0.02 +9.5 25
2017-02-21 @ Grbalj L 1-248.9 1270 1197 36.10% 26.24% 37.66%-0.02 -9.5 22
2017-02-22 Buducnost Podgorica D 1-155.9 1233 1400 25.56% 25.60% 48.84%-0.48 +1.3 29
2017-02-22 @ Zeta D 1-155.9 1400 1233 48.84% 25.60% 25.56%+0.48 -1.3 43
2017-02-26 Bokelj D 1-154.9 1175 1156 49.99% 25.46% 24.55%+0.50 -1.4 28
2017-02-26 @ Petrovac D 1-154.9 1156 1175 24.55% 25.46% 49.99%-0.50 +1.4 15
2017-02-26 Grbalj W 2-148.9 1127 1206 36.88% 26.25% 36.88%-0.01 +9.6 17
2017-02-26 @ Lovcen L 1-248.9 1206 1127 36.88% 26.25% 36.88%+0.01 -9.6 25
2017-02-26 Rudar W 2-148.6 1192 1261 38.37% 26.24% 35.39%+0.04 +9.3 32
2017-02-26 @ Decic Tuzi L 1-248.6 1261 1192 35.39% 26.24% 38.37%-0.04 -9.3 22
2017-02-26 Sutjeska W 4-242.9 1399 1293 59.78% 23.56% 16.66%+0.96 +7.6 46
2017-02-26 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 2-442.9 1293 1399 16.66% 23.56% 59.78%-0.96 -7.6 26
2017-02-26 Zeta L 0-237.0 1093 1234 28.58% 25.92% 45.50%-0.34 -15.8 19
2017-02-26 @ Iskra W 2-037.0 1234 1093 45.50% 25.92% 28.58%+0.34 +15.8 32
2017-02-27 Mladost Podgorica L 0-137.2 1078 1302 19.83% 24.53% 55.64%-0.78 -6.1 11
2017-02-27 @ Jedinstvo W 1-037.2 1302 1078 55.64% 24.53% 19.83%+0.78 +6.1 37
2017-03-04 Buducnost Podgorica W 1-047.1 1252 1406 26.97% 25.77% 47.26%-0.41 +12.4 25
2017-03-04 @ Rudar L 0-147.1 1406 1252 47.26% 25.77% 26.97%+0.41 -12.4 46
2017-03-04 Decic Tuzi W 3-034.7 1197 1202 47.02% 25.79% 27.19%+0.38 +22.0 28
2017-03-04 @ Grbalj L 0-334.7 1202 1197 27.19% 25.79% 47.02%-0.38 -22.0 32
2017-03-04 Iskra W 2-139.2 1285 1077 69.04% 20.37% 10.59%+1.49 +3.1 29
2017-03-04 @ Sutjeska L 1-239.2 1077 1285 10.59% 20.37% 69.04%-1.49 -3.1 19
2017-03-04 Jedinstvo W 2-142.5 1158 1071 57.75% 24.07% 18.18%+0.86 +5.3 18
2017-03-04 @ Bokelj L 1-242.5 1071 1158 18.18% 24.07% 57.75%-0.86 -5.4 11
2017-03-04 Lovcen D 0-050.7 1308 1137 65.96% 21.59% 12.45%+1.30 -3.6 38
2017-03-04 @ Mladost Podgorica D 0-050.7 1137 1308 12.45% 21.59% 65.96%-1.30 +3.6 18
2017-03-05 Petrovac D 0-049.9 1250 1173 56.68% 24.31% 19.01%+0.80 -2.5 33
2017-03-05 @ Zeta D 0-049.9 1173 1250 19.01% 24.31% 56.68%-0.80 +2.5 29
2017-03-11 Bokelj W 2-037.2 1141 1163 44.72% 25.98% 29.30%+0.28 +16.1 21
2017-03-11 @ Lovcen L 0-237.2 1163 1141 29.30% 25.98% 44.72%-0.28 -16.1 18
2017-03-11 Decic Tuzi L 0-151.4 1394 1180 69.55% 20.15% 10.30%+1.53 -17.2 46
2017-03-11 @ Buducnost Podgorica W 1-051.4 1180 1394 10.30% 20.15% 69.55%-1.53 +17.2 35
2017-03-11 Rudar W 1-046.9 1074 1264 23.14% 25.23% 51.63%-0.59 +13.3 22
2017-03-11 @ Iskra L 0-146.9 1264 1074 51.63% 25.23% 23.14%+0.59 -13.3 25
2017-03-11 Sutjeska L 0-336.5 1176 1288 32.27% 26.15% 41.57%-0.19 -25.2 29
2017-03-11 @ Petrovac W 3-036.5 1288 1176 41.57% 26.15% 32.27%+0.19 +25.2 32
2017-03-11 Zeta L 0-333.6 1066 1247 24.02% 25.38% 50.60%-0.55 -19.9 11
2017-03-11 @ Jedinstvo W 3-033.6 1247 1066 50.60% 25.38% 24.02%+0.55 +19.9 36
2017-03-12 Grbalj D 0-050.2 1305 1219 57.72% 24.08% 18.20%+0.85 -2.6 39
2017-03-12 @ Mladost Podgorica D 0-050.2 1219 1305 18.20% 24.08% 57.72%-0.85 +2.6 29
2017-03-18 Buducnost Podgorica D 1-155.6 1221 1377 26.89% 25.76% 47.35%-0.41 +1.1 30
2017-03-18 @ Grbalj D 1-155.6 1377 1221 47.35% 25.76% 26.89%+0.41 -1.1 47
2017-03-18 Iskra L 1-255.0 1197 1087 60.13% 23.47% 16.40%+0.98 -14.3 35
2017-03-18 @ Decic Tuzi W 2-155.0 1087 1197 16.40% 23.47% 60.13%-0.98 +14.4 25
2017-03-18 Jedinstvo W 3-242.2 1313 1046 73.59% 18.27% 8.14%+1.81 +2.2 35
2017-03-18 @ Sutjeska L 2-342.2 1046 1313 8.14% 18.27% 73.59%-1.81 -2.2 11
2017-03-18 Lovcen W 1-035.9 1267 1157 60.25% 23.43% 16.32%+0.98 +5.1 39
2017-03-18 @ Zeta L 0-135.9 1157 1267 16.32% 23.43% 60.25%-0.98 -5.1 21
2017-03-18 Petrovac W 3-246.6 1251 1151 59.16% 23.72% 17.12%+0.93 +4.8 28
2017-03-18 @ Rudar L 2-346.6 1151 1251 17.12% 23.72% 59.16%-0.93 -4.8 29
2017-03-18 Mladost Podgorica W 1-046.0 1147 1302 26.92% 25.76% 47.32%-0.41 +12.4 21
2017-03-18 @ Bokelj L 0-146.0 1302 1147 47.32% 25.76% 26.92%+0.41 -12.4 39
2017-03-28 Buducnost Podgorica W 1-048.3 1152 1376 19.90% 24.55% 55.56%-0.77 +14.2 24
2017-03-28 @ Lovcen L 0-148.3 1376 1152 55.56% 24.55% 19.90%+0.77 -14.2 47
2017-03-28 Decic Tuzi W 1-037.1 1255 1182 56.30% 24.39% 19.30%+0.79 +6.0 31
2017-03-28 @ Rudar L 0-137.1 1182 1255 19.30% 24.39% 56.30%-0.79 -6.0 35
2017-03-28 Jedinstvo W 1-033.8 1222 1044 66.57% 21.36% 12.07%+1.34 +3.8 33
2017-03-28 @ Grbalj L 0-133.8 1044 1222 12.07% 21.36% 66.57%-1.34 -3.8 11
2017-03-28 Sutjeska L 0-139.3 1146 1316 25.29% 25.56% 49.15%-0.49 -7.6 29
2017-03-28 @ Petrovac W 1-039.3 1316 1146 49.15% 25.56% 25.29%+0.49 +7.6 38
2017-03-28 Mladost Podgorica D 0-049.4 1159 1290 29.91% 26.02% 44.06%-0.28 +0.9 22
2017-03-28 @ Bokelj D 0-049.4 1290 1159 44.06% 26.02% 29.91%+0.28 -0.9 40
2017-03-28 Zeta W 1-046.4 1102 1272 25.16% 25.55% 49.29%-0.49 +12.8 28
2017-03-28 @ Iskra L 0-146.4 1272 1102 49.29% 25.55% 25.16%+0.49 -12.8 39
2017-04-01 Bokelj D 2-262.4 1361 1160 68.48% 20.60% 10.92%+1.46 -2.6 48
2017-04-01 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 2-262.4 1160 1361 10.92% 20.60% 68.48%-1.46 +2.6 23
2017-04-01 Grbalj D 0-050.4 1323 1226 58.85% 23.80% 17.35%+0.91 -2.7 39
2017-04-01 @ Sutjeska D 0-050.4 1226 1323 17.35% 23.80% 58.85%-0.91 +2.7 34
2017-04-01 Iskra L 1-256.3 1289 1114 66.22% 21.50% 12.29%+1.32 -15.6 40
2017-04-01 @ Mladost Podgorica W 2-156.3 1114 1289 12.29% 21.50% 66.22%-1.32 +15.6 31
2017-04-01 Lovcen L 0-140.8 1040 1166 30.53% 26.06% 43.41%-0.26 -8.8 11
2017-04-01 @ Jedinstvo W 1-040.8 1166 1040 43.41% 26.06% 30.53%+0.26 +8.8 27
2017-04-01 Petrovac D 0-049.5 1176 1138 52.35% 25.12% 22.53%+0.60 -1.9 36
2017-04-01 @ Decic Tuzi D 0-049.5 1138 1176 22.53% 25.12% 52.35%-0.60 +1.9 30
2017-04-01 Rudar W 1-040.0 1260 1261 47.44% 25.75% 26.81%+0.39 +8.0 42
2017-04-01 @ Zeta L 0-140.0 1261 1260 26.81% 25.75% 47.44%-0.39 -8.0 31
2017-04-08 Buducnost Podgorica W 1-048.3 1130 1359 19.49% 24.44% 56.07%-0.80 +14.3 34
2017-04-08 @ Iskra L 0-148.3 1359 1130 56.07% 24.44% 19.49%+0.80 -14.3 48
2017-04-08 Decic Tuzi L 0-147.7 1229 1175 54.24% 24.80% 20.96%+0.69 -13.9 34
2017-04-08 @ Grbalj W 1-047.7 1175 1229 20.96% 24.80% 54.24%-0.69 +13.9 39
2017-04-08 Jedinstvo W 4-025.8 1320 1031 75.14% 17.48% 7.39%+1.92 +7.8 42
2017-04-08 @ Sutjeska L 0-425.8 1031 1320 7.39% 17.48% 75.14%-1.92 -7.8 11
2017-04-08 Lovcen L 0-145.5 1163 1175 46.15% 25.87% 27.98%+0.34 -12.1 23
2017-04-08 @ Bokelj W 1-045.5 1175 1163 27.98% 25.87% 46.15%-0.34 +12.1 30
2017-04-08 Mladost Podgorica L 0-145.6 1253 1273 45.06% 25.96% 28.98%+0.30 -11.9 31
2017-04-08 @ Rudar W 1-045.6 1273 1253 28.98% 25.96% 45.06%-0.30 +11.9 43
2017-04-08 Zeta W 3-147.2 1140 1268 30.30% 26.05% 43.65%-0.27 +18.9 33
2017-04-08 @ Petrovac L 1-347.2 1268 1140 43.65% 26.05% 30.30%+0.27 -18.9 42
2017-04-15 Bokelj L 1-343.0 1024 1151 30.32% 26.05% 43.63%-0.27 -14.3 11
2017-04-15 @ Jedinstvo W 3-143.0 1151 1024 43.63% 26.05% 30.32%+0.27 +14.3 26
2017-04-15 Grbalj L 0-147.2 1249 1215 51.81% 25.21% 22.98%+0.58 -13.4 42
2017-04-15 @ Zeta W 1-047.2 1215 1249 22.98% 25.21% 51.81%-0.58 +13.4 37
2017-04-15 Iskra D 0-049.5 1187 1144 52.84% 25.04% 22.11%+0.62 -2.0 31
2017-04-15 @ Lovcen D 0-049.5 1144 1187 22.11% 25.04% 52.84%-0.62 +2.0 35
2017-04-15 Petrovac W 2-032.3 1285 1159 61.77% 23.00% 15.23%+1.06 +9.0 46
2017-04-15 @ Mladost Podgorica L 0-232.3 1159 1285 15.23% 23.00% 61.77%-1.06 -9.0 33
2017-04-15 Rudar W 3-247.2 1344 1242 59.47% 23.64% 16.89%+0.94 +4.7 51
2017-04-15 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 2-347.2 1242 1344 16.89% 23.64% 59.47%-0.94 -4.7 31
2017-04-16 Sutjeska W 1-045.6 1188 1328 28.76% 25.94% 45.30%-0.33 +11.9 42
2017-04-16 @ Decic Tuzi L 0-145.6 1328 1188 45.30% 25.94% 28.76%+0.33 -11.9 42
2017-04-22 Bokelj D 0-049.2 1146 1165 45.23% 25.94% 28.83%+0.30 -1.0 36
2017-04-22 @ Iskra D 0-049.2 1165 1146 28.83% 25.94% 45.23%-0.30 +1.0 27
2017-04-22 Buducnost Podgorica W 1-047.5 1150 1349 22.23% 25.07% 52.71%-0.64 +13.6 36
2017-04-22 @ Petrovac L 0-147.5 1349 1150 52.71% 25.07% 22.23%+0.64 -13.6 51
2017-04-22 Jedinstvo W 2-139.5 1200 1009 67.65% 20.94% 11.41%+1.41 +3.3 45
2017-04-22 @ Decic Tuzi L 1-239.5 1009 1200 11.41% 20.94% 67.65%-1.41 -3.4 11
2017-04-22 Lovcen W 2-034.6 1237 1185 53.97% 24.85% 21.18%+0.68 +12.3 34
2017-04-22 @ Rudar L 0-234.6 1185 1237 21.18% 24.85% 53.97%-0.68 -12.3 31
2017-04-22 Mladost Podgorica D 0-049.6 1228 1294 38.74% 26.23% 35.03%+0.06 -0.2 38
2017-04-22 @ Grbalj D 0-049.6 1294 1228 35.03% 26.23% 38.74%-0.06 +0.2 47
2017-04-22 Zeta L 1-254.9 1316 1235 57.17% 24.20% 18.63%+0.83 -13.7 42
2017-04-22 @ Sutjeska W 2-154.9 1235 1316 18.63% 24.20% 57.17%-0.83 +13.7 45
2017-04-30 Decic Tuzi W 3-033.0 1249 1204 53.18% 24.99% 21.83%+0.64 +18.3 48
2017-04-30 @ Zeta L 0-333.0 1204 1249 21.83% 24.99% 53.18%-0.64 -18.3 45
2017-04-30 Grbalj L 0-246.3 1336 1228 59.92% 23.52% 16.56%+0.97 -28.6 51
2017-04-30 @ Buducnost Podgorica W 2-046.3 1228 1336 16.56% 23.52% 59.92%-0.97 +28.6 41
2017-04-30 Iskra L 0-237.0 1006 1145 28.79% 25.94% 45.28%-0.33 -15.9 11
2017-04-30 @ Jedinstvo W 2-037.0 1145 1006 45.28% 25.94% 28.79%+0.33 +15.9 39
2017-04-30 Petrovac W 6-034.5 1172 1164 48.77% 25.61% 25.62%+0.45 +40.1 34
2017-04-30 @ Lovcen L 0-634.5 1164 1172 25.62% 25.61% 48.77%-0.45 -40.2 36
2017-04-30 Rudar D 0-049.3 1166 1249 36.30% 26.24% 37.46%-0.03 +0.1 28
2017-04-30 @ Bokelj D 0-049.3 1249 1166 37.46% 26.24% 36.30%+0.03 -0.1 35
2017-04-30 Sutjeska L 1-348.7 1295 1302 46.64% 25.83% 27.54%+0.36 -20.0 47
2017-04-30 @ Mladost Podgorica W 3-148.7 1302 1295 27.54% 25.83% 46.64%-0.36 +20.0 45
2017-05-06 Bokelj L 1-346.6 1124 1166 42.00% 26.14% 31.86%+0.18 -18.4 36
2017-05-06 @ Petrovac W 3-146.6 1166 1124 31.86% 26.14% 42.00%-0.18 +18.4 31
2017-05-06 Buducnost Podgorica W 1-040.0 1322 1307 49.61% 25.51% 24.88%+0.48 +7.5 48
2017-05-06 @ Sutjeska L 0-140.0 1307 1322 24.88% 25.51% 49.61%-0.48 -7.5 51
2017-05-06 Iskra W 2-033.4 1249 1161 57.89% 24.04% 18.07%+0.86 +10.6 38
2017-05-06 @ Rudar L 0-233.4 1161 1249 18.07% 24.04% 57.89%-0.86 -10.6 39
2017-05-06 Jedinstvo W 3-026.4 1267 990 74.32% 17.90% 7.78%+1.86 +6.4 51
2017-05-06 @ Zeta L 0-326.4 990 1267 7.78% 17.90% 74.32%-1.86 -6.4 11
2017-05-06 Lovcen L 0-342.4 1257 1213 53.06% 25.01% 21.93%+0.63 -37.4 41
2017-05-06 @ Grbalj W 3-042.4 1213 1257 21.93% 25.01% 53.06%-0.63 +37.4 37
2017-05-06 Mladost Podgorica D 0-049.4 1185 1275 35.43% 26.24% 38.33%-0.07 +0.2 46
2017-05-06 @ Decic Tuzi D 0-049.4 1275 1185 38.33% 26.24% 35.43%+0.07 -0.2 48
2017-05-10 Decic Tuzi W 2-032.7 1299 1186 60.57% 23.34% 16.08%+1.00 +9.5 54
2017-05-10 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-232.7 1186 1299 16.08% 23.34% 60.57%-1.00 -9.5 46
2017-05-10 Grbalj D 0-049.3 1185 1219 43.05% 26.08% 30.86%+0.22 -0.7 32
2017-05-10 @ Bokelj D 0-049.3 1219 1185 30.86% 26.08% 43.05%-0.22 +0.7 42
2017-05-10 Petrovac W 4-032.3 1151 1105 53.20% 24.98% 21.81%+0.64 +23.9 42
2017-05-10 @ Iskra L 0-432.3 1105 1151 21.81% 24.98% 53.20%-0.64 -23.9 36
2017-05-10 Rudar L 1-434.7 984 1260 15.78% 23.22% 61.00%-1.05 -11.4 11
2017-05-10 @ Jedinstvo W 4-134.7 1260 984 61.00% 23.22% 15.78%+1.05 +11.4 41
2017-05-10 Sutjeska L 0-240.2 1250 1330 36.73% 26.25% 37.02%-0.02 -19.2 37
2017-05-10 @ Lovcen W 2-040.2 1330 1250 37.02% 26.25% 36.73%+0.02 +19.1 51
2017-05-10 Zeta L 0-146.4 1274 1274 47.75% 25.72% 26.53%+0.41 -12.5 48
2017-05-10 @ Mladost Podgorica W 1-046.4 1274 1274 26.53% 25.72% 47.75%-0.41 +12.5 54
2017-05-13 Bokelj D 1-156.5 1349 1184 65.41% 21.79% 12.79%+1.27 -3.2 52
2017-05-13 @ Sutjeska D 1-156.5 1184 1349 12.79% 21.79% 65.41%-1.27 +3.2 33
2017-05-13 Buducnost Podgorica W 1-041.2 1286 1309 44.68% 25.98% 29.34%+0.28 +8.6 57
2017-05-13 @ Zeta L 0-141.2 1309 1286 29.34% 25.98% 44.68%-0.28 -8.5 54
2017-05-13 Iskra L 2-357.8 1220 1175 53.23% 24.98% 21.79%+0.64 -12.2 42
2017-05-13 @ Grbalj W 3-257.8 1175 1220 21.79% 24.98% 53.23%-0.64 +12.2 45
2017-05-13 Jedinstvo W 6-229.7 1262 972 75.19% 17.45% 7.36%+1.92 +5.5 51
2017-05-13 @ Mladost Podgorica L 2-629.7 972 1262 7.36% 17.45% 75.19%-1.92 -5.5 11
2017-05-13 Lovcen W 1-041.9 1176 1231 40.31% 26.20% 33.49%+0.12 +9.5 49
2017-05-13 @ Decic Tuzi L 0-141.9 1231 1176 33.49% 26.20% 40.31%-0.12 -9.5 37
2017-05-13 Rudar W 3-149.3 1081 1271 23.15% 25.24% 51.62%-0.59 +21.8 39
2017-05-13 @ Petrovac L 1-349.3 1271 1081 51.62% 25.24% 23.15%+0.59 -21.8 41
2017-05-20 Decic Tuzi W 2-145.6 1187 1186 47.84% 25.71% 26.45%+0.41 +7.4 36
2017-05-20 @ Bokelj L 1-245.6 1186 1187 26.45% 25.71% 47.84%-0.41 -7.4 49
2017-05-20 Grbalj D 0-049.7 1249 1208 52.73% 25.06% 22.20%+0.62 -2.0 42
2017-05-20 @ Rudar D 0-049.7 1208 1249 22.20% 25.06% 52.73%-0.62 +2.0 43
2017-05-20 Petrovac W 3-147.4 967 1103 29.17% 25.97% 44.86%-0.31 +19.4 14
2017-05-20 @ Jedinstvo L 1-347.4 1103 967 44.86% 25.97% 29.17%+0.31 -19.4 39
2017-05-20 Sutjeska W 1-046.4 1187 1346 26.46% 25.71% 47.82%-0.43 +12.5 48
2017-05-20 @ Iskra L 0-146.4 1346 1187 47.82% 25.71% 26.46%+0.43 -12.5 52
2017-05-20 Mladost Podgorica L 0-342.5 1300 1267 51.75% 25.22% 23.04%+0.58 -36.6 54
2017-05-20 @ Buducnost Podgorica W 3-042.5 1267 1300 23.04% 25.22% 51.75%-0.58 +36.6 54
2017-05-20 Zeta L 0-338.3 1221 1295 37.68% 26.24% 36.08%+0.02 -28.3 37
2017-05-20 @ Lovcen W 3-038.3 1295 1221 36.08% 26.24% 37.68%-0.02 +28.3 60
2017-05-27 Bokelj W 1-035.6 1323 1194 62.02% 22.92% 15.06%+1.08 +4.7 63
2017-05-27 @ Zeta L 0-135.6 1194 1323 15.06% 22.92% 62.02%-1.08 -4.7 36
2017-05-27 Iskra D 0-049.3 1178 1199 44.91% 25.97% 29.13%+0.29 -1.0 50
2017-05-27 @ Decic Tuzi D 0-049.3 1199 1178 29.13% 25.97% 44.91%-0.29 +1.0 49
2017-05-27 Jedinstvo W 4-130.7 1264 986 74.36% 17.88% 7.76%+1.86 +5.3 57
2017-05-27 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 1-430.7 986 1264 7.76% 17.88% 74.36%-1.86 -5.4 14
2017-05-27 Lovcen W 7-233.3 1304 1193 60.28% 23.43% 16.30%+0.99 +15.6 57
2017-05-27 @ Mladost Podgorica L 2-733.3 1193 1304 16.30% 23.43% 60.28%-0.99 -15.6 37
2017-05-27 Petrovac W 1-035.3 1210 1084 61.78% 22.99% 15.22%+1.07 +4.8 46
2017-05-27 @ Grbalj L 0-135.3 1084 1210 15.22% 22.99% 61.78%-1.07 -4.8 39
2017-05-27 Rudar W 2-034.0 1333 1247 57.71% 24.08% 18.21%+0.85 +10.7 55
2017-05-27 @ Sutjeska L 0-234.0 1247 1333 18.21% 24.08% 57.71%-0.85 -10.7 42

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2017-03-11 10.30% Decic Tuzi 1180 1 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1394 0
2 2017-04-01 12.29% Iskra 1114 2 @ Mladost Podgorica 1289 1
3 2017-03-18 16.40% Iskra 1087 2 @ Decic Tuzi 1197 1
4 2017-04-30 16.56% Grbalj 1228 2 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1336 0
5 2016-10-02 17.51% Rudar 1256 2 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1351 0
6 2017-02-21 17.64% Iskra 1078 1 @ Bokelj 1171 0
7 2016-09-10 17.67% Decic Tuzi 1130 1 @ Zeta 1222 0
8 2017-04-22 18.63% Zeta 1235 2 @ Sutjeska 1316 1
9 2017-04-08 19.49% @ Iskra 1130 1 Buducnost Podgorica 1359 0
10 2017-03-28 19.90% @ Lovcen 1152 1 Buducnost Podgorica 1376 0
11 2017-04-08 20.96% Decic Tuzi 1175 1 @ Grbalj 1229 0
12 2017-05-13 21.79% Iskra 1175 3 @ Grbalj 1220 2
13 2017-05-06 21.93% Lovcen 1213 3 @ Grbalj 1257 0
14 2017-04-22 22.23% @ Petrovac 1150 1 Buducnost Podgorica 1349 0
15 2016-08-20 22.64% Mladost Podgorica 1257 1 @ Rudar 1294 0
16 2016-08-13 22.67% Decic Tuzi 1130 1 @ Jedinstvo 1167 0
17 2017-04-15 22.98% Grbalj 1215 1 @ Zeta 1249 0
18 2017-05-20 23.04% Mladost Podgorica 1267 3 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1300 0
19 2017-03-11 23.14% @ Iskra 1074 1 Rudar 1264 0
20 2017-05-13 23.15% @ Petrovac 1081 3 Rudar 1271 1
21 2016-08-13 23.21% Zeta 1190 1 @ Bokelj 1222 0
22 2016-08-24 23.62% Petrovac 1154 1 @ Grbalj 1182 0
23 2016-11-19 24.68% @ Decic Tuzi 1145 2 Mladost Podgorica 1320 0
24 2017-03-28 25.16% @ Iskra 1102 1 Zeta 1272 0
25 2016-11-19 25.30% Jedinstvo 1097 2 @ Iskra 1109 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2017-04-30 40.15 @ Lovcen 6 1172 48.77% Petrovac 0 1164 25.62% 25.61%
2 2017-05-06 37.38 Lovcen 3 1213 21.93% @ Grbalj 0 1257 53.06% 25.01%
3 2017-05-20 36.58 Mladost Podgorica 3 1267 23.04% @ Buducnost Podgorica 0 1300 51.75% 25.22%
4 2016-08-06 29.37 Petrovac 4 1150 25.56% @ Decic Tuzi 1 1160 48.84% 25.60%
5 2017-04-30 28.62 Grbalj 2 1228 16.56% @ Buducnost Podgorica 0 1336 59.92% 23.52%
6 2017-05-20 28.34 Zeta 3 1295 36.08% @ Lovcen 0 1221 37.68% 26.24%
7 2016-10-02 28.08 Rudar 2 1256 17.51% @ Buducnost Podgorica 0 1351 58.63% 23.86%
8 2016-09-17 27.07 Mladost Podgorica 3 1267 38.33% @ Petrovac 0 1178 35.43% 26.24%
9 2016-10-01 26.84 Sutjeska 3 1262 38.74% @ Iskra 0 1170 35.03% 26.23%
10 2016-11-26 26.55 @ Zeta 3 1226 39.27% Rudar 0 1288 34.50% 26.22%
11 2016-08-06 26.15 @ Rudar 5 1269 56.60% Jedinstvo 0 1193 19.07% 24.33%
12 2017-03-11 25.23 Sutjeska 3 1288 41.57% @ Petrovac 0 1176 32.27% 26.15%
13 2016-11-19 24.39 @ Decic Tuzi 2 1145 24.68% Mladost Podgorica 0 1320 49.84% 25.48%
14 2016-10-29 24.16 @ Petrovac 3 1129 43.43% Decic Tuzi 0 1161 30.50% 26.06%
15 2017-05-10 23.93 @ Iskra 4 1151 53.20% Petrovac 0 1105 21.81% 24.98%
16 2016-09-17 23.17 Lovcen 2 1135 27.31% @ Jedinstvo 0 1129 46.88% 25.80%
17 2017-03-04 22.05 @ Grbalj 3 1197 47.02% Decic Tuzi 0 1202 27.19% 25.79%
18 2017-05-13 21.77 @ Petrovac 3 1081 23.15% Rudar 1 1271 51.62% 25.24%
19 2017-04-30 19.98 Sutjeska 3 1302 27.54% @ Mladost Podgorica 1 1295 46.64% 25.83%
20 2017-03-11 19.90 Zeta 3 1247 50.60% @ Jedinstvo 0 1066 24.02% 25.38%
21 2016-12-03 19.36 @ Decic Tuzi 2 1170 36.48% Zeta 0 1252 37.27% 26.25%
22 2017-05-20 19.36 @ Jedinstvo 3 967 29.17% Petrovac 1 1103 44.86% 25.97%
23 2017-05-10 19.15 Sutjeska 2 1330 37.02% @ Lovcen 0 1250 36.73% 26.25%
24 2016-10-29 19.00 Buducnost Podgorica 3 1339 52.08% @ Iskra 0 1145 22.76% 25.17%
25 2017-04-08 18.94 @ Petrovac 3 1140 30.30% Zeta 1 1268 43.65% 26.05%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2017-04-01 62.4 @ Buducnost Podgorica 2 1361 68.48% Bokelj 2 1160 10.92% 20.60%
2 2016-09-10 60.9 @ Bokelj 2 1224 30.80% Buducnost Podgorica 2 1347 43.12% 26.08%
3 2016-11-26 60.6 @ Grbalj 2 1197 32.85% Sutjeska 2 1305 40.97% 26.18%
4 2016-12-03 60.2 @ Jedinstvo 2 1091 33.08% Grbalj 2 1197 40.74% 26.18%
5 2017-05-13 57.8 Iskra 3 1175 21.79% @ Grbalj 2 1220 53.23% 24.98%
6 2017-05-13 56.5 @ Sutjeska 1 1349 65.41% Bokelj 1 1184 12.79% 21.79%
7 2017-04-01 56.3 Iskra 2 1114 12.29% @ Mladost Podgorica 1 1289 66.22% 21.50%
8 2016-11-05 56.1 @ Rudar 1 1287 65.32% Lovcen 1 1122 12.85% 21.83%
9 2017-02-22 55.9 @ Zeta 1 1233 25.56% Buducnost Podgorica 1 1400 48.84% 25.60%
10 2017-02-21 55.8 @ Sutjeska 1 1295 59.72% Decic Tuzi 1 1190 16.70% 23.58%
11 2016-11-05 55.7 @ Sutjeska 1 1299 45.96% Mladost Podgorica 1 1312 28.16% 25.88%
12 2016-08-27 55.6 @ Sutjeska 1 1268 59.11% Grbalj 1 1168 17.15% 23.74%
13 2016-09-25 55.6 @ Sutjeska 1 1262 35.41% Buducnost Podgorica 1 1351 38.35% 26.24%
14 2017-03-18 55.6 @ Grbalj 1 1221 26.89% Buducnost Podgorica 1 1377 47.35% 25.76%
15 2016-09-17 55.5 @ Rudar 1 1261 57.41% Grbalj 1 1178 18.44% 24.15%
16 2016-08-27 55.4 @ Rudar 1 1271 53.80% Zeta 1 1220 21.32% 24.88%
17 2016-08-13 55.1 @ Grbalj 1 1191 53.79% Iskra 1 1140 21.32% 24.88%
18 2017-03-18 55.0 Iskra 2 1087 16.40% @ Decic Tuzi 1 1197 60.13% 23.47%
19 2016-11-26 54.9 @ Bokelj 1 1181 49.21% Decic Tuzi 1 1169 25.23% 25.56%
20 2017-02-26 54.9 @ Petrovac 1 1175 49.99% Bokelj 1 1156 24.55% 25.46%
21 2017-04-22 54.9 Zeta 2 1235 18.63% @ Sutjeska 1 1316 57.17% 24.20%
22 2016-10-01 54.7 @ Petrovac 1 1134 36.53% Zeta 1 1215 37.23% 26.25%
23 2016-11-19 52.3 Jedinstvo 2 1097 25.30% @ Iskra 1 1109 49.13% 25.57%
24 2016-08-24 51.8 Iskra 2 1150 27.14% @ Jedinstvo 1 1146 47.08% 25.79%
25 2017-03-11 51.4 Decic Tuzi 1 1180 10.30% @ Buducnost Podgorica 0 1394 69.55% 20.15%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2017-04-08 25.8 @ Sutjeska 4 1320 75.14% Jedinstvo 0 1031 7.39% 17.48%
2 2017-05-06 26.4 @ Zeta 3 1267 74.32% Jedinstvo 0 990 7.78% 17.90%
3 2016-11-19 27.4 @ Buducnost Podgorica 5 1370 71.95% Lovcen 0 1125 8.99% 19.06%
4 2016-11-05 28.4 @ Buducnost Podgorica 5 1358 68.77% Petrovac 0 1153 10.75% 20.48%
5 2016-09-24 28.5 @ Mladost Podgorica 5 1294 67.36% Jedinstvo 0 1106 11.58% 21.05%
6 2016-12-03 28.6 @ Buducnost Podgorica 3 1391 69.29% Bokelj 0 1180 10.45% 20.26%
7 2017-05-13 29.7 @ Mladost Podgorica 6 1262 75.19% Jedinstvo 2 972 7.36% 17.45%
8 2017-05-27 30.7 @ Buducnost Podgorica 4 1264 74.36% Jedinstvo 1 986 7.76% 17.88%
9 2016-08-20 31.3 @ Buducnost Podgorica 2 1318 65.36% Jedinstvo 0 1153 12.83% 21.81%
10 2016-08-06 31.7 @ Buducnost Podgorica 2 1293 63.53% Iskra 0 1148 14.02% 22.44%
11 2016-08-06 31.9 @ Rudar 5 1269 56.60% Jedinstvo 0 1193 19.07% 24.33%
12 2016-09-24 32.2 @ Bokelj 3 1215 55.33% Petrovac 0 1151 20.07% 24.59%
13 2016-10-22 32.3 @ Buducnost Podgorica 2 1330 62.51% Grbalj 0 1197 14.72% 22.77%
14 2017-04-15 32.3 @ Mladost Podgorica 2 1285 61.77% Petrovac 0 1159 15.23% 23.00%
15 2017-05-10 32.3 @ Iskra 4 1151 53.20% Petrovac 0 1105 21.81% 24.98%
16 2017-05-10 32.7 @ Buducnost Podgorica 2 1299 60.57% Decic Tuzi 0 1186 16.08% 23.34%
17 2017-04-30 33.0 @ Zeta 3 1249 53.18% Decic Tuzi 0 1204 21.83% 24.99%
18 2017-05-27 33.3 @ Mladost Podgorica 7 1304 60.28% Lovcen 2 1193 16.30% 23.43%
19 2016-10-29 33.4 Buducnost Podgorica 3 1339 52.08% @ Iskra 0 1145 22.76% 25.17%
20 2017-05-06 33.4 @ Rudar 2 1249 57.89% Iskra 0 1161 18.07% 24.04%
21 2016-11-19 33.6 @ Rudar 2 1277 57.58% Bokelj 0 1192 18.31% 24.11%
22 2017-03-11 33.6 Zeta 3 1247 50.60% @ Jedinstvo 0 1066 24.02% 25.38%
23 2017-03-28 33.8 @ Grbalj 1 1222 66.57% Jedinstvo 0 1044 12.07% 21.36%
24 2017-05-27 34.0 @ Sutjeska 2 1333 57.71% Rudar 0 1247 18.21% 24.08%
25 2016-08-20 34.5 @ Sutjeska 2 1266 54.58% Bokelj 0 1208 20.68% 24.74%