2017-18 Montenegrin First League Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Sutjeska

79 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Sutjeska

12.30 points above expected

79 points · 66.70 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Decic Tuzi

15.47 points below expected

21 points · 36.47 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Sutjeska	36	24	7	5	79	55	23	+32	66.70	+12.30
2	Buducnost Podgorica	36	14	15	7	57	44	30	+14	58.08	-1.08
3	Mladost Podgorica	36	12	15	9	51	42	33	+9	55.05	-4.05
4	Grbalj	36	12	14	10	50	39	39	0	46.90	+3.10
5	Rudar	36	13	10	13	49	32	28	+4	50.10	-1.10
6	Zeta	36	12	13	11	49	40	35	+5	58.22	-9.22
7	Iskra	36	12	9	15	45	33	34	-1	45.27	-0.27
8	Kom Podgorica	36	11	10	15	43	36	45	-9	33.87	+9.13
9	Petrovac	36	9	11	16	38	25	40	-15	33.66	+4.34
10	Decic Tuzi	36	3	12	21	21	25	64	-39	36.47	-15.47

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Sutjeska	79	66.70	+12.30
2	Kom Podgorica	43	33.87	+9.13
3	Petrovac	38	33.66	+4.34
4	Grbalj	50	46.90	+3.10
5	Iskra	45	45.27	-0.27

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Decic Tuzi	21	36.47	-15.47
2	Zeta	49	58.22	-9.22
3	Mladost Podgorica	51	55.05	-4.05
4	Rudar	49	50.10	-1.10
5	Buducnost Podgorica	57	58.08	-1.08

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sutjeska	9	Oct 1 – Dec 2	1 in 313
2	Petrovac	3	Apr 21 – May 5	1 in 57
3	Kom Podgorica	2	Apr 4 – Apr 7	1 in 29
4	Buducnost Podgorica	3	Aug 16 – Aug 26	1 in 20
5	Zeta	3	May 5 – May 16	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Decic Tuzi	6	Apr 28 – May 26	1 in 73
2	Petrovac	5	Aug 12 – Sep 8	1 in 55
3	Iskra	3	Apr 21 – May 5	1 in 21
4	Mladost Podgorica	2	Sep 16 – Sep 22	1 in 13
5	Zeta	2	Oct 28 – Nov 4	1 in 12

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Mladost Podgorica	14	Feb 24 – May 12	1 in 101
2	Kom Podgorica	5	Mar 31 – Apr 21	1 in 52
3	Sutjeska	17	Aug 5 – Dec 2	1 in 48
4	Petrovac	5	Oct 21 – Nov 25	1 in 26
5	Decic Tuzi	4	Oct 14 – Oct 28	1 in 13

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Decic Tuzi	12	Sep 9 – Dec 2	1 in 32
2	Zeta	6	Mar 4 – Apr 4	1 in 24
3	Rudar	7	Sep 16 – Oct 28	1 in 18
4	Sutjeska	4	Apr 28 – May 16	1 in 17
5	Grbalj	6	Apr 14 – May 16	1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Sutjeska	1357	79	-8	7	9.2	-2.2
Buducnost Podgorica	1271	57	-6	7	8.4	-1.4
Mladost Podgorica	1274	51	-9	5	7.9	-2.9
Grbalj	1212	50	+1	8	6.3	+1.7
Zeta	1247	49	+11	10	7.6	+2.4
Rudar	1225	49	+19	9	6.4	+2.6
Iskra	1202	45	+23	8	6.1	+1.9
Kom Podgorica	1126	43	+4	7	5.5	+1.5
Petrovac	1117	38	+6	7	5.4	+1.6
Decic Tuzi	1045	21	-40	0	4.4	-4.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BP	DT	GRB	ISK	KP	MP	PET	RUD	SUT	ZET
Buducnost Podgorica	—	3-1-0 7.54	2-2-0 6.46	2-1-1 6.51	3-1-0 7.74	1-3-0 5.33	0-3-1 7.73	1-2-1 6.19	1-0-3 4.13	1-2-1 5.12
Decic Tuzi	0-1-3 3.31	—	0-4-0 4.34	1-0-3 4.20	1-1-2 5.53	0-2-2 3.51	1-0-3 5.60	0-1-3 4.10	0-2-2 2.51	0-1-3 3.47
Grbalj	0-2-2 4.22	0-4-0 6.37	—	1-1-2 5.57	2-2-0 6.69	1-1-2 4.36	2-1-1 6.75	3-0-1 4.95	0-2-2 3.32	3-1-0 4.03
Iskra	1-1-2 4.19	3-0-1 6.49	2-1-1 5.08	—	1-2-1 6.63	0-1-3 4.14	1-2-1 6.52	2-1-1 4.76	0-0-4 3.29	2-1-1 3.96
Kom Podgorica	0-1-3 3.14	2-1-1 5.11	0-2-2 4.02	1-2-1 4.07	—	1-2-1 3.19	4-0-0 5.17	1-1-2 3.67	1-0-3 2.57	1-1-2 3.00
Mladost Podgorica	0-3-1 5.31	2-2-0 7.28	2-1-1 6.31	3-1-0 6.56	1-2-1 7.67	—	1-2-1 7.52	2-1-1 6.05	1-2-1 4.10	0-1-3 5.25
Petrovac	1-3-0 3.14	3-0-1 5.05	1-1-2 3.97	1-2-1 4.18	0-0-4 5.47	1-2-1 3.31	—	1-1-2 3.78	1-0-3 2.60	0-2-2 3.20
Rudar	1-2-1 4.47	3-1-0 6.61	1-0-3 5.69	1-1-2 5.90	2-1-1 7.11	1-1-2 4.60	2-1-1 6.96	—	1-0-3 3.58	1-3-0 4.48
Sutjeska	3-0-1 6.57	2-2-0 8.56	2-2-0 7.52	4-0-0 7.55	3-0-1 8.48	1-2-1 6.61	3-0-1 8.44	3-0-1 7.20	—	3-1-0 6.30
Zeta	1-2-1 5.53	3-1-0 7.34	0-1-3 6.68	1-1-2 6.75	2-1-1 7.90	3-1-0 5.40	2-2-0 7.66	0-3-1 6.19	0-1-3 4.41	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.85	+14.8
Allowed	0.77	-11.3
Differential	0.95	+7.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	12.50%	5.28%	2.22%	0.56%	0.28%	37.50%
1	12.50%	13.33%	5.83%	3.06%	1.67%	—	36.39%
2	5.28%	5.83%	1.11%	2.22%	0.28%	—	14.72%
3	2.22%	3.06%	2.22%	1.11%	—	—	8.61%
4	0.56%	1.67%	0.28%	—	—	—	2.50%
5+	0.28%	—	—	—	—	—	0.28%
Total	37.50%	36.39%	14.72%	8.61%	2.50%	0.28%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.03	1.03	+0.00
SD	1.07	1.07	1.46
CV	1.04	1.04	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	22.22%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	33.33%
1	16.67%	16.67%	2.78%	—	—	—	36.11%
2	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
3	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	13.89%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	41.67%	41.67%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.22	0.83	+0.39
SD	1.22	0.91	1.18
CV	1.00	1.09	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	—	47.22%
1	—	13.89%	8.33%	8.33%	11.11%	—	41.67%
2	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
3	—	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	33.33%	19.44%	16.67%	13.89%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.69	1.78	-1.08
SD	0.82	1.31	1.40
CV	1.18	0.74	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	19.44%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	36.11%
1	11.11%	13.89%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	33.33%
2	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
3	—	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	13.89%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	36.11%	22.22%	5.56%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.08	1.08	+0.00
SD	1.05	1.02	1.17
CV	0.97	0.95	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	19.44%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	44.44%
1	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	30.56%
2	8.33%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
3	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	41.67%	36.11%	8.33%	13.89%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.92	0.94	-0.03
SD	1.05	1.04	1.54
CV	1.15	1.10	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	19.44%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	33.33%
1	13.89%	16.67%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	36.11%
2	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	27.78%
3	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	47.22%	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.25	-0.25
SD	0.86	1.13	1.36
CV	0.86	0.90	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	30.56%
1	11.11%	22.22%	5.56%	—	—	—	38.89%
2	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
3	—	—	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	38.89%	38.89%	13.89%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.17	0.92	+0.25
SD	1.16	0.94	1.48
CV	0.99	1.02	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	25.00%	19.44%	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	52.78%
1	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	30.56%
2	5.56%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
3	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	41.67%	30.56%	11.11%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.69	1.11	-0.42
SD	0.89	1.30	1.48
CV	1.28	1.17	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	22.22%	19.44%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	55.56%
1	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
2	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	44.44%	38.89%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.89	0.78	+0.11
SD	1.21	0.87	1.62
CV	1.37	1.11	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
1	27.78%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	47.22%
2	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
3	11.11%	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	—	22.22%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	55.56%	27.78%	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.53	0.64	+0.89
SD	1.08	0.83	1.30
CV	0.71	1.30	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	27.78%
1	13.89%	19.44%	16.67%	2.78%	—	—	52.78%
2	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
3	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.11%	33.33%	27.78%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.11	0.97	+0.14
SD	1.09	0.88	1.27
CV	0.98	0.90	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Sutjeska	1357	79	66.70	+12.30	93.0%	49	52	61	66	72	80	86
Mladost Podgorica	1274	51	55.05	-4.05	30.0%	34	45	50	54	60	66	72
Buducnost Podgorica	1271	57	58.08	-1.08	41.0%	41	43	54	59	62	69	81
Zeta	1247	49	58.22	-9.22	13.0%	40	46	52	59	63	70	75
Rudar	1225	49	50.10	-1.10	46.0%	33	39	46	50	54	61	71
Grbalj	1212	50	46.90	+3.10	74.0%	28	35	43	47	51	59	68
Iskra	1202	45	45.27	-0.27	51.0%	29	33	41	45	50	58	62
Kom Podgorica	1126	43	33.87	+9.13	90.0%	20	22	29	34	39	45	49
Petrovac	1117	38	33.66	+4.34	75.0%	15	23	29	33	38	46	53
Decic Tuzi	1045	21	36.47	-15.47	0.0%	22	25	31	36	41	47	58

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+7.78%

No Edge

37.78%32.22%30.00%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 27.08 Elo pts.

218 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0600

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.24 goals

Neutral

-2+0.12+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.2

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

64%

Sutjeska, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.61/gm

Runaway

00.200.8/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.77 * Some Luck: 5.77 to 8.66 * Lucky: 8.66 to 11.55 * Wild Swing: 11.55 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.97 * Close: 0.97 to 1.45 * Off: 1.45 to 1.94 * Way Off: 1.94 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

7.78 points

Some Luck

07.2218

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.20

01.212.5

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

93.00%

Sutjeska

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

0.00%

Decic Tuzi

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.15

Even

00.130.20.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 90.61

1.94

Strong Separation

0.751.51.82.153

Interquartile Edge

67%

Slight Edge

50%63.5%74.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

86%

Clear Edge

50%85%100%

Close Games

Expected

73%

Very Frequent

0%70%100%

Blowouts

Expected 9%

Rare

0%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.64

Hard to Predict

00.632

Matchup Imbalance

0.34

Very Even

00.340.420.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.11

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.83

Near-Lock

00.380.570.71

Upset Rate

Expected

24%

Upset-Prone

0%22%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

19%

Shaky Favorites

0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.

Probability calibration

0.81

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.97

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.083

Well Within Noise

00.1340.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Sutjeska	64.00%	19.00%	7.00%	5.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Buducnost Podgorica	14.00%	23.00%	34.00%	11.00%	9.00%	3.00%	5.00%	1.00%	—	—
Mladost Podgorica	6.00%	16.00%	18.00%	28.00%	18.00%	10.00%	3.00%	—	1.00%	—
Grbalj	—	7.00%	4.00%	9.00%	18.00%	25.00%	18.00%	11.00%	4.00%	4.00%
Rudar	1.00%	6.00%	10.00%	17.00%	26.00%	17.00%	13.00%	4.00%	5.00%	1.00%
Zeta	15.00%	26.00%	18.00%	19.00%	14.00%	4.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—
Iskra	—	3.00%	7.00%	9.00%	4.00%	28.00%	27.00%	12.00%	7.00%	3.00%
Kom Podgorica	—	—	—	—	2.00%	5.00%	12.00%	27.00%	22.00%	32.00%
Petrovac	—	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	3.00%	5.00%	21.00%	32.00%	35.00%
Decic Tuzi	—	—	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	4.00%	14.00%	23.00%	29.00%	25.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Buducnost Podgorica	99.00%	1.00%	—
Mladost Podgorica	99.00%	1.00%	—
Sutjeska	100%	—	—
Zeta	99.00%	1.00%	—
Rudar	90.00%	9.00%	1.00%
Iskra	78.00%	19.00%	3.00%
Grbalj	81.00%	15.00%	4.00%
Decic Tuzi	23.00%	52.00%	25.00%
Kom Podgorica	19.00%	49.00%	32.00%
Petrovac	12.00%	53.00%	35.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2017-08-05	Iskra	W 3-0	34.1	1236	1194	42.68%	33.02%	24.31%	+0.32	+14.4	3
2017-08-05	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-3	34.1	1194	1236	24.31%	33.02%	42.68%	-0.32	-14.4	0
2017-08-05	Petrovac	L 0-2	42.1	1203	1123	47.77%	31.48%	20.74%	+0.49	-16.0	0
2017-08-05	@ Grbalj	W 2-0	42.1	1123	1203	20.74%	31.48%	47.77%	-0.49	+16.0	3
2017-08-05	Sutjeska	L 0-1	36.1	1098	1282	17.08%	28.73%	54.19%	-0.72	-3.8	0
2017-08-05	@ Kom Podgorica	W 1-0	36.1	1282	1098	54.19%	28.73%	17.08%	+0.72	+3.8	3
2017-08-05	Mladost Podgorica	L 0-1	41.7	1217	1268	29.60%	34.04%	36.35%	-0.11	-6.1	0
2017-08-05	@ Rudar	W 1-0	41.7	1268	1217	36.35%	34.04%	29.60%	+0.11	+6.1	3
2017-08-05	Zeta	L 1-4	38.7	1180	1274	24.54%	33.09%	42.37%	-0.31	-12.2	0
2017-08-05	@ Decic Tuzi	W 4-1	38.7	1274	1180	42.37%	33.09%	24.54%	+0.31	+12.2	3
2017-08-12	Buducnost Podgorica	W 1-0	40.2	1286	1250	41.79%	33.22%	24.99%	+0.29	+5.4	6
2017-08-12	@ Zeta	L 0-1	40.2	1250	1286	24.99%	33.22%	41.79%	-0.29	-5.4	3
2017-08-12	Decic Tuzi	D 0-0	47.8	1274	1167	51.27%	30.09%	18.64%	+0.61	-1.4	4
2017-08-12	@ Mladost Podgorica	D 0-0	47.8	1167	1274	18.64%	30.09%	51.27%	-0.61	+1.4	1
2017-08-12	Kom Podgorica	D 1-1	52.8	1179	1095	48.42%	31.25%	20.34%	+0.51	-1.1	1
2017-08-12	@ Iskra	D 1-1	52.8	1095	1179	20.34%	31.25%	48.42%	-0.51	+1.0	1
2017-08-12	Rudar	W 1-0	42.4	1187	1211	33.33%	34.18%	32.49%	+0.01	+6.5	3
2017-08-12	@ Grbalj	L 0-1	42.4	1211	1187	32.49%	34.18%	33.33%	-0.01	-6.5	0
2017-08-12	Sutjeska	L 0-1	37.6	1139	1286	19.68%	30.83%	49.49%	-0.55	-4.4	3
2017-08-12	@ Petrovac	W 1-0	37.6	1286	1139	49.49%	30.83%	19.68%	+0.55	+4.4	6
2017-08-16	Grbalj	D 3-3	60.8	1169	1193	33.32%	34.18%	32.50%	+0.01	-0.0	2
2017-08-16	@ Decic Tuzi	D 3-3	60.8	1193	1169	32.50%	34.18%	33.32%	-0.01	+0.0	4
2017-08-16	Iskra	W 2-1	43.2	1290	1178	51.96%	29.78%	18.26%	+0.64	+3.8	9
2017-08-16	@ Sutjeska	L 1-2	43.2	1178	1290	18.26%	29.78%	51.96%	-0.64	-3.8	1
2017-08-16	Petrovac	W 4-1	37.3	1204	1134	46.43%	31.95%	21.62%	+0.44	+11.0	3
2017-08-16	@ Rudar	L 1-4	37.3	1134	1204	21.62%	31.95%	46.43%	-0.44	-11.0	3
2017-08-16	Mladost Podgorica	W 1-0	42.9	1245	1273	32.82%	34.19%	33.00%	+0.00	+6.6	6
2017-08-16	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-1	42.9	1273	1245	33.00%	34.19%	32.82%	+0.00	-6.6	4
2017-08-16	Zeta	D 1-1	53.9	1096	1291	16.34%	27.97%	55.70%	-0.77	+1.5	2
2017-08-16	@ Kom Podgorica	D 1-1	53.9	1291	1096	55.70%	27.97%	16.34%	+0.77	-1.5	7
2017-08-19	Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-2	47.5	1193	1252	28.67%	33.94%	37.39%	-0.14	-5.6	4
2017-08-19	@ Grbalj	W 2-1	47.5	1252	1193	37.39%	33.94%	28.67%	+0.14	+5.6	9
2017-08-19	Decic Tuzi	W 4-0	34.2	1215	1169	43.27%	32.87%	23.86%	+0.34	+18.6	6
2017-08-19	@ Rudar	L 0-4	34.2	1169	1215	23.86%	32.87%	43.27%	-0.34	-18.6	2
2017-08-19	Iskra	L 0-1	41.4	1123	1175	29.61%	34.04%	36.35%	-0.11	-6.1	3
2017-08-19	@ Petrovac	W 1-0	41.4	1175	1123	36.35%	34.04%	29.61%	+0.11	+6.1	4
2017-08-19	Kom Podgorica	D 2-2	60.2	1266	1097	59.05%	26.15%	14.80%	+0.90	-1.3	5
2017-08-19	@ Mladost Podgorica	D 2-2	60.2	1097	1266	14.80%	26.15%	59.05%	-0.90	+1.3	3
2017-08-20	Sutjeska	L 1-2	50.3	1290	1294	36.18%	34.06%	29.76%	+0.10	-6.6	7
2017-08-20	@ Zeta	W 2-1	50.3	1294	1290	29.76%	34.06%	36.18%	-0.10	+6.6	12
2017-08-26	Grbalj	D 0-0	46.6	1099	1187	25.09%	33.25%	41.66%	-0.28	+0.7	4
2017-08-26	@ Kom Podgorica	D 0-0	46.6	1187	1099	41.66%	33.25%	25.09%	+0.28	-0.7	5
2017-08-26	Petrovac	W 2-1	46.0	1150	1117	41.41%	33.30%	25.28%	+0.27	+5.1	5
2017-08-26	@ Decic Tuzi	L 1-2	46.0	1117	1150	25.28%	33.30%	41.41%	-0.27	-5.1	3
2017-08-26	Rudar	W 1-0	40.6	1257	1234	40.08%	33.56%	26.36%	+0.23	+5.6	12
2017-08-26	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-1	40.6	1234	1257	26.36%	33.56%	40.08%	-0.23	-5.6	6
2017-08-26	Mladost Podgorica	D 1-1	52.9	1301	1265	41.82%	33.21%	24.96%	+0.29	-0.6	13
2017-08-26	@ Sutjeska	D 1-1	52.9	1265	1301	24.96%	33.21%	41.82%	-0.29	+0.6	6
2017-08-26	Zeta	D 1-1	52.6	1181	1283	23.65%	32.80%	43.56%	-0.35	+0.7	5
2017-08-26	@ Iskra	D 1-1	52.6	1283	1181	43.56%	32.80%	23.65%	+0.35	-0.7	8
2017-09-08	Zeta	L 0-1	36.6	1112	1283	17.96%	29.53%	52.51%	-0.66	-4.0	3
2017-09-08	@ Petrovac	W 1-0	36.6	1283	1112	52.51%	29.53%	17.96%	+0.66	+4.0	11
2017-09-09	Buducnost Podgorica	D 0-0	47.0	1155	1263	23.18%	32.63%	44.20%	-0.37	+0.9	6
2017-09-09	@ Decic Tuzi	D 0-0	47.0	1263	1155	44.20%	32.63%	23.18%	+0.37	-0.9	13
2017-09-09	Iskra	W 2-0	34.0	1265	1181	48.33%	31.28%	20.39%	+0.51	+8.5	9
2017-09-09	@ Mladost Podgorica	L 0-2	34.0	1181	1265	20.39%	31.28%	48.33%	-0.51	-8.5	5
2017-09-09	Kom Podgorica	W 1-0	36.1	1228	1099	54.12%	28.76%	17.11%	+0.71	+3.8	9
2017-09-09	@ Rudar	L 0-1	36.1	1099	1228	17.11%	28.76%	54.12%	-0.71	-3.8	4
2017-09-09	Sutjeska	D 1-1	52.8	1187	1300	22.60%	32.40%	45.00%	-0.39	+0.8	6
2017-09-09	@ Grbalj	D 1-1	52.8	1300	1187	45.00%	32.40%	22.60%	+0.39	-0.8	14
2017-09-16	Decic Tuzi	W 2-1	49.9	1095	1156	28.37%	33.90%	37.73%	-0.15	+6.8	7
2017-09-16	@ Kom Podgorica	L 1-2	49.9	1156	1095	37.73%	33.90%	28.37%	+0.15	-6.8	6
2017-09-16	Grbalj	D 0-0	46.4	1173	1188	34.67%	34.15%	31.18%	+0.06	-0.1	6
2017-09-16	@ Iskra	D 0-0	46.4	1188	1173	31.18%	34.15%	34.67%	-0.06	+0.1	7
2017-09-16	Petrovac	D 0-0	48.5	1262	1108	57.21%	27.17%	15.62%	+0.83	-1.8	14
2017-09-16	@ Buducnost Podgorica	D 0-0	48.5	1108	1262	15.62%	27.17%	57.21%	-0.83	+1.8	4
2017-09-16	Rudar	W 3-0	33.4	1299	1232	46.10%	32.06%	21.84%	+0.43	+13.2	17
2017-09-16	@ Sutjeska	L 0-3	33.4	1232	1299	21.84%	32.06%	46.10%	-0.43	-13.2	9
2017-09-16	Mladost Podgorica	W 3-0	35.8	1287	1274	38.57%	33.79%	27.63%	+0.18	+15.9	14
2017-09-16	@ Zeta	L 0-3	35.8	1274	1287	27.63%	33.79%	38.57%	-0.18	-15.9	9
2017-09-22	Iskra	L 0-1	45.2	1219	1173	43.23%	32.88%	23.89%	+0.33	-7.9	9
2017-09-22	@ Rudar	W 1-0	45.2	1173	1219	23.89%	32.88%	43.23%	-0.33	+7.9	9
2017-09-22	Kom Podgorica	W 1-0	35.0	1260	1102	57.72%	26.89%	15.39%	+0.85	+3.4	17
2017-09-22	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-1	35.0	1102	1260	15.39%	26.89%	57.72%	-0.85	-3.4	7
2017-09-22	Sutjeska	D 0-0	47.9	1149	1312	18.48%	29.96%	51.56%	-0.62	+1.4	7
2017-09-22	@ Decic Tuzi	D 0-0	47.9	1312	1149	51.56%	29.96%	18.48%	+0.62	-1.4	18
2017-09-22	Mladost Podgorica	W 1-0	46.5	1110	1258	19.60%	30.78%	49.62%	-0.55	+8.7	7
2017-09-22	@ Petrovac	L 0-1	46.5	1258	1110	49.62%	30.78%	19.60%	+0.55	-8.8	9
2017-09-22	Zeta	W 2-1	52.1	1188	1302	22.47%	32.34%	45.19%	-0.40	+7.7	10
2017-09-22	@ Grbalj	L 1-2	52.1	1302	1188	45.19%	32.34%	22.47%	+0.40	-7.7	14
2017-09-30	Decic Tuzi	W 4-1	39.0	1181	1151	40.97%	33.39%	25.64%	+0.26	+12.7	12
2017-09-30	@ Iskra	L 1-4	39.0	1151	1181	25.64%	33.39%	40.97%	-0.26	-12.7	7
2017-09-30	Grbalj	W 2-1	45.4	1249	1195	44.29%	32.60%	23.11%	+0.37	+4.8	12
2017-09-30	@ Mladost Podgorica	L 1-2	45.4	1195	1249	23.11%	32.60%	44.29%	-0.37	-4.8	10
2017-09-30	Petrovac	W 2-1	48.3	1099	1119	33.94%	34.17%	31.89%	+0.03	+6.1	10
2017-09-30	@ Kom Podgorica	L 1-2	48.3	1119	1099	31.89%	34.17%	33.94%	-0.03	-6.0	7
2017-09-30	Rudar	D 0-0	47.6	1295	1211	48.31%	31.29%	20.40%	+0.51	-1.2	15
2017-09-30	@ Zeta	D 0-0	47.6	1211	1295	20.40%	31.29%	48.31%	-0.51	+1.2	10
2017-10-01	Buducnost Podgorica	W 1-0	39.9	1311	1263	43.43%	32.83%	23.74%	+0.34	+5.2	21
2017-10-01	@ Sutjeska	L 0-1	39.9	1263	1311	23.74%	32.83%	43.43%	-0.34	-5.2	17
2017-10-13	Buducnost Podgorica	D 0-0	46.7	1193	1258	27.85%	33.83%	38.32%	-0.17	+0.4	13
2017-10-13	@ Iskra	D 0-0	46.7	1258	1193	38.32%	33.83%	27.85%	+0.17	-0.4	18
2017-10-14	Decic Tuzi	D 1-1	54.3	1294	1138	57.42%	27.06%	15.53%	+0.84	-1.6	16
2017-10-14	@ Zeta	D 1-1	54.3	1138	1294	15.53%	27.06%	57.42%	-0.84	+1.6	8
2017-10-14	Grbalj	L 2-3	50.9	1113	1191	26.31%	33.55%	40.14%	-0.23	-5.0	7
2017-10-14	@ Petrovac	W 3-2	50.9	1191	1113	40.14%	33.55%	26.31%	+0.23	+5.0	13
2017-10-14	Kom Podgorica	W 4-0	28.1	1316	1105	64.08%	23.17%	12.75%	+1.09	+9.5	24
2017-10-14	@ Sutjeska	L 0-4	28.1	1105	1316	12.75%	23.17%	64.08%	-1.09	-9.5	10
2017-10-14	Rudar	D 1-1	52.6	1254	1212	42.67%	33.02%	24.31%	+0.32	-0.7	13
2017-10-14	@ Mladost Podgorica	D 1-1	52.6	1212	1254	24.31%	33.02%	42.67%	-0.32	+0.7	11
2017-10-18	Grbalj	L 0-1	44.3	1213	1196	39.19%	33.70%	27.11%	+0.20	-7.4	11
2017-10-18	@ Rudar	W 1-0	44.3	1196	1213	27.11%	33.70%	39.19%	-0.20	+7.4	16
2017-10-18	Iskra	W 1-0	45.0	1095	1194	24.09%	32.95%	42.96%	-0.33	+7.9	13
2017-10-18	@ Kom Podgorica	L 0-1	45.0	1194	1095	42.96%	32.95%	24.09%	+0.33	-7.9	13
2017-10-18	Petrovac	W 3-0	27.5	1326	1108	64.85%	22.69%	12.46%	+1.12	+7.0	27
2017-10-18	@ Sutjeska	L 0-3	27.5	1108	1326	12.46%	22.69%	64.85%	-1.12	-7.0	7
2017-10-18	Mladost Podgorica	D 1-1	52.6	1140	1253	22.58%	32.38%	45.04%	-0.40	+0.8	9
2017-10-18	@ Decic Tuzi	D 1-1	52.6	1253	1140	45.04%	32.38%	22.58%	+0.40	-0.8	14
2017-10-18	Zeta	W 2-1	49.5	1258	1292	31.91%	34.17%	33.92%	-0.03	+6.3	21
2017-10-18	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-2	49.5	1292	1258	33.92%	34.17%	31.91%	+0.03	-6.3	16
2017-10-21	Decic Tuzi	D 1-1	52.6	1203	1141	45.45%	32.26%	22.29%	+0.41	-0.8	17
2017-10-21	@ Grbalj	D 1-1	52.6	1141	1203	22.29%	32.26%	45.45%	-0.41	+0.8	10
2017-10-21	Kom Podgorica	W 4-2	38.9	1286	1103	60.68%	25.21%	14.11%	+0.96	+4.4	19
2017-10-21	@ Zeta	L 2-4	38.9	1103	1286	14.11%	25.21%	60.68%	-0.96	-4.4	13
2017-10-21	Rudar	D 0-0	46.8	1101	1205	23.45%	32.73%	43.83%	-0.36	+0.8	8
2017-10-21	@ Petrovac	D 0-0	46.8	1205	1101	43.83%	32.73%	23.45%	+0.36	-0.8	12
2017-10-21	Sutjeska	L 0-1	37.9	1186	1333	19.69%	30.84%	49.47%	-0.55	-4.4	13
2017-10-21	@ Iskra	W 1-0	37.9	1333	1186	49.47%	30.84%	19.69%	+0.55	+4.4	30
2017-10-22	Buducnost Podgorica	D 3-3	61.1	1253	1264	35.13%	34.13%	30.74%	+0.07	-0.1	15
2017-10-22	@ Mladost Podgorica	D 3-3	61.1	1264	1253	30.74%	34.13%	35.13%	-0.07	+0.1	22
2017-10-28	Grbalj	W 4-1	37.9	1264	1202	45.40%	32.28%	22.33%	+0.41	+11.3	25
2017-10-28	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-4	37.9	1202	1264	22.33%	32.28%	45.40%	-0.41	-11.3	17
2017-10-28	Petrovac	D 0-0	47.2	1181	1102	47.79%	31.48%	20.73%	+0.49	-1.1	14
2017-10-28	@ Iskra	D 0-0	47.2	1102	1181	20.73%	31.48%	47.79%	-0.49	+1.1	9
2017-10-28	Rudar	D 0-0	46.5	1142	1204	28.10%	33.87%	38.04%	-0.16	+0.4	11
2017-10-28	@ Decic Tuzi	D 0-0	46.5	1204	1142	38.04%	33.87%	28.10%	+0.16	-0.4	13
2017-10-28	Mladost Podgorica	W 2-1	52.8	1099	1252	19.17%	30.48%	50.34%	-0.58	+8.3	16
2017-10-28	@ Kom Podgorica	L 1-2	52.8	1252	1099	50.34%	30.48%	19.17%	+0.58	-8.3	15
2017-10-28	Zeta	W 1-0	40.3	1337	1290	43.36%	32.85%	23.79%	+0.34	+5.2	33
2017-10-28	@ Sutjeska	L 0-1	40.3	1290	1337	23.79%	32.85%	43.36%	-0.34	-5.2	19
2017-11-04	Buducnost Podgorica	W 2-0	40.5	1204	1276	27.07%	33.70%	39.24%	-0.20	+13.9	16
2017-11-04	@ Rudar	L 0-2	40.5	1276	1204	39.24%	33.70%	27.07%	+0.20	-13.9	25
2017-11-04	Decic Tuzi	W 1-0	42.9	1103	1142	31.19%	34.15%	34.66%	-0.06	+6.8	12
2017-11-04	@ Petrovac	L 0-1	42.9	1142	1103	34.66%	34.15%	31.19%	+0.06	-6.8	11
2017-11-04	Iskra	L 1-2	53.1	1285	1180	51.01%	30.20%	18.79%	+0.60	-8.4	19
2017-11-04	@ Zeta	W 2-1	53.1	1180	1285	18.79%	30.20%	51.01%	-0.60	+8.4	17
2017-11-04	Kom Podgorica	W 3-2	48.4	1191	1107	48.28%	31.30%	20.42%	+0.51	+4.1	20
2017-11-04	@ Grbalj	L 2-3	48.4	1107	1191	20.42%	31.30%	48.28%	-0.51	-4.0	16
2017-11-04	Sutjeska	L 0-2	36.2	1244	1342	24.11%	32.96%	42.94%	-0.33	-9.9	15
2017-11-04	@ Mladost Podgorica	W 2-0	36.2	1342	1244	42.94%	32.96%	24.11%	+0.33	+9.9	36
2017-11-18	Decic Tuzi	W 4-1	35.2	1262	1135	53.82%	28.91%	17.27%	+0.70	+8.8	28
2017-11-18	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-4	35.2	1135	1262	17.27%	28.91%	53.82%	-0.70	-8.8	11
2017-11-18	Grbalj	W 1-0	35.5	1352	1195	57.64%	26.93%	15.43%	+0.84	+3.4	39
2017-11-18	@ Sutjeska	L 0-1	35.5	1195	1352	15.43%	26.93%	57.64%	-0.84	-3.4	20
2017-11-18	Petrovac	D 0-0	48.8	1276	1109	58.84%	26.27%	14.89%	+0.89	-1.9	20
2017-11-18	@ Zeta	D 0-0	48.8	1109	1276	14.89%	26.27%	58.84%	-0.89	+1.9	13
2017-11-18	Rudar	W 1-0	45.6	1103	1218	22.45%	32.33%	45.21%	-0.40	+8.2	19
2017-11-18	@ Kom Podgorica	L 0-1	45.6	1218	1103	45.21%	32.33%	22.45%	+0.40	-8.2	16
2017-11-18	Mladost Podgorica	L 0-1	41.8	1189	1234	30.34%	34.10%	35.56%	-0.08	-6.2	17
2017-11-18	@ Iskra	W 1-0	41.8	1234	1189	35.56%	34.10%	30.34%	+0.08	+6.2	18
2017-11-25	Buducnost Podgorica	D 0-0	47.7	1111	1270	18.76%	30.17%	51.07%	-0.60	+1.4	14
2017-11-25	@ Petrovac	D 0-0	47.7	1270	1111	51.07%	30.17%	18.76%	+0.60	-1.4	29
2017-11-25	Iskra	L 0-1	43.9	1192	1183	38.07%	33.86%	28.07%	+0.17	-7.2	20
2017-11-25	@ Grbalj	W 1-0	43.9	1183	1192	28.07%	33.86%	38.07%	-0.17	+7.2	20
2017-11-25	Kom Podgorica	D 1-1	52.1	1126	1111	38.90%	33.75%	27.35%	+0.19	-0.4	12
2017-11-25	@ Decic Tuzi	D 1-1	52.1	1111	1126	27.35%	33.75%	38.90%	-0.19	+0.4	20
2017-11-25	Sutjeska	L 0-3	32.6	1210	1356	19.79%	30.90%	49.31%	-0.54	-12.0	16
2017-11-25	@ Rudar	W 3-0	32.6	1356	1210	49.31%	30.90%	19.79%	+0.54	+12.0	42
2017-11-28	Zeta	L 0-1	42.5	1240	1275	31.91%	34.17%	33.91%	-0.03	-6.4	18
2017-11-28	@ Mladost Podgorica	W 1-0	42.5	1275	1240	33.91%	34.17%	31.91%	+0.03	+6.4	23
2017-12-01	Grbalj	D 1-1	53.3	1281	1184	49.98%	30.63%	19.39%	+0.57	-1.2	24
2017-12-01	@ Zeta	D 1-1	53.3	1184	1281	19.39%	30.63%	49.98%	-0.57	+1.2	21
2017-12-02	Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-1	37.1	1112	1269	18.89%	30.27%	50.84%	-0.60	-4.2	20
2017-12-02	@ Kom Podgorica	W 1-0	37.1	1269	1112	50.84%	30.27%	18.89%	+0.60	+4.2	32
2017-12-02	Decic Tuzi	W 3-0	26.9	1368	1126	67.52%	21.01%	11.47%	+1.23	+6.3	45
2017-12-02	@ Sutjeska	L 0-3	26.9	1126	1368	11.47%	21.01%	67.52%	-1.23	-6.3	12
2017-12-02	Petrovac	W 5-0	32.1	1234	1113	53.16%	29.22%	17.61%	+0.68	+17.2	21
2017-12-02	@ Mladost Podgorica	L 0-5	32.1	1113	1234	17.61%	29.22%	53.16%	-0.68	-17.2	14
2017-12-02	Rudar	L 0-2	39.3	1190	1198	35.64%	34.10%	30.27%	+0.09	-13.0	20
2017-12-02	@ Iskra	W 2-0	39.3	1198	1190	30.27%	34.10%	35.64%	-0.09	+13.0	19
2017-12-06	Iskra	W 3-1	45.4	1120	1177	28.83%	33.96%	37.21%	-0.14	+11.6	15
2017-12-06	@ Decic Tuzi	L 1-3	45.4	1177	1120	37.21%	33.96%	28.83%	+0.14	-11.6	20
2017-12-06	Kom Podgorica	L 0-1	43.0	1095	1108	35.06%	34.13%	30.81%	+0.07	-6.8	14
2017-12-06	@ Petrovac	W 1-0	43.0	1108	1095	30.81%	34.13%	35.06%	-0.07	+6.8	23
2017-12-06	Sutjeska	W 3-1	48.1	1273	1374	23.86%	32.87%	43.26%	-0.34	+12.9	35
2017-12-06	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-3	48.1	1374	1273	43.26%	32.87%	23.86%	+0.34	-12.9	45
2017-12-06	Mladost Podgorica	L 0-2	37.0	1185	1251	27.75%	33.81%	38.44%	-0.18	-11.0	21
2017-12-06	@ Grbalj	W 2-0	37.0	1251	1185	38.44%	33.81%	27.75%	+0.18	+11.0	24
2017-12-06	Zeta	D 0-0	46.8	1211	1280	27.37%	33.75%	38.88%	-0.19	+0.5	20
2017-12-06	@ Rudar	D 0-0	46.8	1280	1211	38.88%	33.75%	27.37%	+0.19	-0.5	25
2017-12-09	Mladost Podgorica	W 2-0	39.7	1211	1262	29.62%	34.04%	36.33%	-0.11	+13.2	23
2017-12-09	@ Rudar	L 0-2	39.7	1262	1211	36.33%	34.04%	29.62%	+0.11	-13.2	24
2017-12-09	Zeta	L 1-2	43.7	1131	1279	19.59%	30.77%	49.64%	-0.55	-4.1	15
2017-12-09	@ Decic Tuzi	W 2-1	43.7	1279	1131	49.64%	30.77%	19.59%	+0.55	+4.1	28
2017-12-10	Iskra	L 0-1	47.2	1286	1165	53.14%	29.24%	17.62%	+0.68	-9.2	35
2017-12-10	@ Buducnost Podgorica	W 1-0	47.2	1165	1286	17.62%	29.24%	53.14%	-0.68	+9.2	23
2017-12-10	Petrovac	D 0-0	47.2	1175	1089	48.57%	31.19%	20.24%	+0.52	-1.2	22
2017-12-10	@ Grbalj	D 0-0	47.2	1089	1175	20.24%	31.19%	48.57%	-0.52	+1.2	15
2017-12-10	Sutjeska	L 0-1	34.0	1114	1361	13.62%	24.51%	61.88%	-1.00	-2.9	23
2017-12-10	@ Kom Podgorica	W 1-0	34.0	1361	1114	61.88%	24.51%	13.62%	+1.00	+2.9	48
2018-02-24	Buducnost Podgorica	D 1-1	52.7	1283	1277	37.69%	33.91%	28.40%	+0.15	-0.3	29
2018-02-24	@ Zeta	D 1-1	52.7	1277	1283	28.40%	33.91%	37.69%	-0.15	+0.3	36
2018-02-24	Decic Tuzi	W 2-0	32.4	1249	1127	53.25%	29.19%	17.57%	+0.68	+7.4	27
2018-02-24	@ Mladost Podgorica	L 0-2	32.4	1127	1249	17.57%	29.19%	53.25%	-0.68	-7.4	15
2018-02-24	Kom Podgorica	W 3-0	33.1	1174	1111	45.50%	32.25%	22.26%	+0.41	+13.4	26
2018-02-24	@ Iskra	L 0-3	33.1	1111	1174	22.26%	32.25%	45.50%	-0.41	-13.4	23
2018-02-24	Rudar	W 1-0	43.5	1173	1224	29.60%	34.04%	36.36%	-0.11	+7.0	25
2018-02-24	@ Grbalj	L 0-1	43.5	1224	1173	36.36%	34.04%	29.60%	+0.11	-7.0	23
2018-02-24	Sutjeska	W 1-0	48.8	1090	1364	12.38%	22.56%	65.06%	-1.13	+10.6	18
2018-02-24	@ Petrovac	L 0-1	48.8	1364	1090	65.06%	22.56%	12.38%	+1.13	-10.5	48
2018-02-28	Grbalj	D 0-0	46.5	1120	1180	28.39%	33.91%	37.70%	-0.15	+0.4	16
2018-02-28	@ Decic Tuzi	D 0-0	46.5	1180	1120	37.70%	33.91%	28.39%	+0.15	-0.4	26
2018-02-28	Iskra	W 3-1	37.0	1353	1188	58.66%	26.37%	14.97%	+0.88	+5.3	51
2018-02-28	@ Sutjeska	L 1-3	37.0	1188	1353	14.97%	26.37%	58.66%	-0.88	-5.3	26
2018-02-28	Petrovac	W 3-1	38.3	1217	1100	52.63%	29.48%	17.90%	+0.66	+6.5	26
2018-02-28	@ Rudar	L 1-3	38.3	1100	1217	17.90%	29.48%	52.63%	-0.66	-6.5	18
2018-02-28	Mladost Podgorica	D 1-1	52.6	1277	1256	39.74%	33.62%	26.64%	+0.22	-0.5	37
2018-02-28	@ Buducnost Podgorica	D 1-1	52.6	1256	1277	26.64%	33.62%	39.74%	-0.22	+0.5	28
2018-02-28	Zeta	L 0-1	36.1	1098	1283	16.99%	28.64%	54.37%	-0.72	-3.8	23
2018-02-28	@ Kom Podgorica	W 1-0	36.1	1283	1098	54.37%	28.64%	16.99%	+0.72	+3.8	32
2018-03-04	Buducnost Podgorica	D 0-0	47.0	1180	1277	24.23%	32.99%	42.78%	-0.32	+0.8	27
2018-03-04	@ Grbalj	D 0-0	47.0	1277	1180	42.78%	32.99%	24.23%	+0.32	-0.8	38
2018-03-04	Decic Tuzi	W 1-0	37.0	1224	1120	50.93%	30.24%	18.84%	+0.60	+4.2	29
2018-03-04	@ Rudar	L 0-1	37.0	1120	1224	18.84%	30.24%	50.93%	-0.60	-4.2	16
2018-03-04	Iskra	D 0-0	46.6	1094	1182	25.13%	33.26%	41.61%	-0.28	+0.7	19
2018-03-04	@ Petrovac	D 0-0	46.6	1182	1094	41.61%	33.26%	25.13%	+0.28	-0.7	27
2018-03-04	Kom Podgorica	D 1-1	54.3	1257	1094	58.30%	26.57%	15.13%	+0.87	-1.7	29
2018-03-04	@ Mladost Podgorica	D 1-1	54.3	1094	1257	15.13%	26.57%	58.30%	-0.87	+1.7	24
2018-03-04	Sutjeska	L 0-1	41.7	1287	1359	27.05%	33.69%	39.26%	-0.20	-5.7	32
2018-03-04	@ Zeta	W 1-0	41.7	1359	1287	39.26%	33.69%	27.05%	+0.20	+5.7	54
2018-03-10	Grbalj	L 1-3	41.7	1096	1181	25.55%	33.37%	41.08%	-0.26	-8.9	24
2018-03-10	@ Kom Podgorica	W 3-1	41.7	1181	1096	41.08%	33.37%	25.55%	+0.26	+8.9	30
2018-03-10	Petrovac	L 0-1	44.3	1116	1095	39.80%	33.61%	26.59%	+0.22	-7.5	16
2018-03-10	@ Decic Tuzi	W 1-0	44.3	1095	1116	26.59%	33.61%	39.80%	-0.22	+7.5	22
2018-03-10	Rudar	D 0-0	47.1	1276	1228	43.49%	32.82%	23.69%	+0.34	-0.8	39
2018-03-10	@ Buducnost Podgorica	D 0-0	47.1	1228	1276	23.69%	32.82%	43.49%	-0.34	+0.8	30
2018-03-10	Mladost Podgorica	D 0-0	48.6	1364	1255	51.59%	29.95%	18.46%	+0.62	-1.4	55
2018-03-10	@ Sutjeska	D 0-0	48.6	1255	1364	18.46%	29.95%	51.59%	-0.62	+1.4	30
2018-03-10	Zeta	W 2-1	51.5	1182	1281	23.97%	32.91%	43.12%	-0.33	+7.5	30
2018-03-10	@ Iskra	L 1-2	51.5	1281	1182	43.12%	32.91%	23.97%	+0.33	-7.5	32
2018-03-14	Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-1	36.8	1108	1275	18.20%	29.73%	52.07%	-0.64	-4.0	16
2018-03-14	@ Decic Tuzi	W 1-0	36.8	1275	1108	52.07%	29.73%	18.20%	+0.64	+4.0	42
2018-03-14	Iskra	W 1-0	38.6	1257	1189	46.13%	32.05%	21.83%	+0.43	+4.8	33
2018-03-14	@ Mladost Podgorica	L 0-1	38.6	1189	1257	21.83%	32.05%	46.13%	-0.43	-4.8	30
2018-03-14	Kom Podgorica	D 1-1	53.9	1229	1087	55.75%	27.94%	16.31%	+0.77	-1.5	31
2018-03-14	@ Rudar	D 1-1	53.9	1087	1229	16.31%	27.94%	55.75%	-0.77	+1.5	25
2018-03-14	Sutjeska	L 2-3	47.6	1190	1363	17.77%	29.36%	52.87%	-0.67	-3.5	30
2018-03-14	@ Grbalj	W 3-2	47.6	1363	1190	52.87%	29.36%	17.77%	+0.67	+3.5	58
2018-03-14	Zeta	D 0-0	47.9	1102	1274	17.87%	29.45%	52.69%	-0.66	+1.5	23
2018-03-14	@ Petrovac	D 0-0	47.9	1274	1102	52.69%	29.45%	17.87%	+0.66	-1.5	33
2018-03-17	Decic Tuzi	L 1-2	49.0	1089	1104	34.53%	34.15%	31.32%	+0.05	-6.4	25
2018-03-17	@ Kom Podgorica	W 2-1	49.0	1104	1089	31.32%	34.15%	34.53%	-0.05	+6.4	19
2018-03-17	Grbalj	L 1-3	45.3	1184	1186	36.53%	34.03%	29.44%	+0.12	-11.5	30
2018-03-17	@ Iskra	W 3-1	45.3	1186	1184	29.44%	34.03%	36.53%	-0.12	+11.5	33
2018-03-17	Petrovac	D 1-1	54.6	1279	1103	59.92%	25.65%	14.43%	+0.93	-1.8	43
2018-03-17	@ Buducnost Podgorica	D 1-1	54.6	1103	1279	14.43%	25.65%	59.92%	-0.93	+1.8	24
2018-03-17	Mladost Podgorica	D 0-0	47.0	1272	1261	38.32%	33.83%	27.85%	+0.17	-0.4	34
2018-03-17	@ Zeta	D 0-0	47.0	1261	1272	27.85%	33.83%	38.32%	-0.17	+0.4	34
2018-03-31	Iskra	L 0-2	41.5	1227	1173	44.39%	32.57%	23.04%	+0.37	-15.2	31
2018-03-31	@ Rudar	W 2-0	41.5	1173	1227	23.04%	32.57%	44.39%	-0.37	+15.2	33
2018-03-31	Kom Podgorica	D 1-1	55.0	1278	1082	62.24%	24.29%	13.48%	+1.02	-1.9	44
2018-03-31	@ Buducnost Podgorica	D 1-1	55.0	1082	1278	13.48%	24.29%	62.24%	-1.02	+1.9	26
2018-03-31	Sutjeska	D 0-0	49.7	1111	1366	13.19%	23.86%	62.94%	-1.05	+2.2	20
2018-03-31	@ Decic Tuzi	D 0-0	49.7	1366	1111	62.94%	23.86%	13.19%	+1.05	-2.2	59
2018-03-31	Mladost Podgorica	D 0-0	47.6	1105	1262	18.95%	30.32%	50.74%	-0.59	+1.3	25
2018-03-31	@ Petrovac	D 0-0	47.6	1262	1105	50.74%	30.32%	18.95%	+0.59	-1.3	35
2018-04-01	Zeta	W 2-0	40.6	1198	1272	26.74%	33.64%	39.62%	-0.22	+14.0	36
2018-04-01	@ Grbalj	L 0-2	40.6	1272	1198	39.62%	33.64%	26.74%	+0.22	-14.0	34
2018-04-04	Buducnost Podgorica	W 3-2	49.4	1364	1276	48.92%	31.06%	20.03%	+0.53	+4.0	62
2018-04-04	@ Sutjeska	L 2-3	49.4	1276	1364	20.03%	31.06%	48.92%	-0.53	-4.0	44
2018-04-04	Decic Tuzi	W 2-0	34.2	1188	1113	47.15%	31.70%	21.15%	+0.47	+8.8	36
2018-04-04	@ Iskra	L 0-2	34.2	1113	1188	21.15%	31.70%	47.15%	-0.47	-8.8	20
2018-04-04	Grbalj	D 0-0	47.1	1260	1212	43.61%	32.78%	23.61%	+0.35	-0.8	36
2018-04-04	@ Mladost Podgorica	D 0-0	47.1	1212	1260	23.61%	32.78%	43.61%	-0.35	+0.8	37
2018-04-04	Petrovac	W 2-0	38.2	1084	1107	33.57%	34.18%	32.25%	+0.02	+12.2	29
2018-04-04	@ Kom Podgorica	L 0-2	38.2	1107	1084	32.25%	34.18%	33.57%	-0.02	-12.2	25
2018-04-04	Rudar	L 1-3	47.1	1258	1212	43.16%	32.90%	23.94%	+0.33	-12.9	34
2018-04-04	@ Zeta	W 3-1	47.1	1212	1258	23.94%	32.90%	43.16%	-0.33	+12.9	34
2018-04-07	Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-1	40.6	1197	1272	26.67%	33.62%	39.71%	-0.22	-5.7	36
2018-04-07	@ Iskra	W 1-0	40.6	1272	1197	39.71%	33.62%	26.67%	+0.22	+5.7	47
2018-04-07	Decic Tuzi	W 2-0	31.7	1245	1104	55.61%	28.01%	16.38%	+0.77	+6.8	37
2018-04-07	@ Zeta	L 0-2	31.7	1104	1245	16.38%	28.01%	55.61%	-0.77	-6.8	20
2018-04-07	Grbalj	L 0-1	38.6	1094	1212	22.16%	32.20%	45.64%	-0.42	-4.9	25
2018-04-07	@ Petrovac	W 1-0	38.6	1212	1094	45.64%	32.20%	22.16%	+0.42	+4.9	40
2018-04-07	Kom Podgorica	L 0-1	49.4	1368	1096	70.78%	18.91%	10.31%	+1.37	-11.1	62
2018-04-07	@ Sutjeska	W 1-0	49.4	1096	1368	10.31%	18.91%	70.78%	-1.37	+11.1	32
2018-04-07	Rudar	W 2-0	36.1	1260	1225	41.64%	33.25%	25.11%	+0.28	+10.2	39
2018-04-07	@ Mladost Podgorica	L 0-2	36.1	1225	1260	25.11%	33.25%	41.64%	-0.28	-10.2	34
2018-04-14	Grbalj	W 1-0	41.5	1215	1217	36.45%	34.03%	29.52%	+0.11	+6.1	37
2018-04-14	@ Rudar	L 0-1	41.5	1217	1215	29.52%	34.03%	36.45%	-0.11	-6.1	40
2018-04-14	Iskra	D 0-0	46.6	1107	1191	25.65%	33.39%	40.96%	-0.26	+0.6	33
2018-04-14	@ Kom Podgorica	D 0-0	46.6	1191	1107	40.96%	33.39%	25.65%	+0.26	-0.6	37
2018-04-14	Petrovac	W 1-0	31.4	1357	1090	70.32%	19.21%	10.47%	+1.35	+2.0	65
2018-04-14	@ Sutjeska	L 0-1	31.4	1090	1357	10.47%	19.21%	70.32%	-1.35	-2.0	25
2018-04-14	Mladost Podgorica	L 1-4	35.4	1097	1270	17.81%	29.40%	52.79%	-0.67	-9.1	20
2018-04-14	@ Decic Tuzi	W 4-1	35.4	1270	1097	52.79%	29.40%	17.81%	+0.67	+9.1	42
2018-04-14	Zeta	D 1-1	52.6	1277	1252	40.41%	33.50%	26.09%	+0.24	-0.5	48
2018-04-14	@ Buducnost Podgorica	D 1-1	52.6	1252	1277	26.09%	33.50%	40.41%	-0.24	+0.5	38
2018-04-18	Rudar	W 2-1	42.6	1359	1221	55.27%	28.19%	16.54%	+0.76	+3.5	68
2018-04-18	@ Sutjeska	L 1-2	42.6	1221	1359	16.54%	28.19%	55.27%	-0.76	-3.4	37
2018-04-21	Buducnost Podgorica	D 1-1	52.6	1279	1277	37.09%	33.97%	28.94%	+0.13	-0.3	43
2018-04-21	@ Mladost Podgorica	D 1-1	52.6	1277	1279	28.94%	33.97%	37.09%	-0.13	+0.3	49
2018-04-21	Decic Tuzi	D 1-1	53.5	1211	1088	53.38%	29.12%	17.50%	+0.69	-1.4	41
2018-04-21	@ Grbalj	D 1-1	53.5	1088	1211	17.50%	29.12%	53.38%	-0.69	+1.4	21
2018-04-21	Kom Podgorica	L 0-2	43.5	1252	1108	56.03%	27.79%	16.17%	+0.78	-18.0	38
2018-04-21	@ Zeta	W 2-0	43.5	1108	1252	16.17%	27.79%	56.03%	-0.78	+18.0	36
2018-04-21	Rudar	W 2-0	42.0	1088	1218	21.08%	31.67%	47.26%	-0.47	+15.9	28
2018-04-21	@ Petrovac	L 0-2	42.0	1218	1088	47.26%	31.67%	21.08%	+0.47	-15.9	37
2018-04-21	Sutjeska	L 0-1	37.0	1191	1363	17.85%	29.44%	52.71%	-0.66	-4.0	37
2018-04-21	@ Iskra	W 1-0	37.0	1363	1191	52.71%	29.44%	17.85%	+0.66	+4.0	71
2018-04-28	Grbalj	D 0-0	47.3	1277	1210	46.11%	32.05%	21.84%	+0.43	-1.0	50
2018-04-28	@ Buducnost Podgorica	D 0-0	47.3	1210	1277	21.84%	32.05%	46.11%	-0.43	+1.0	42
2018-04-28	Petrovac	L 2-3	56.8	1187	1103	48.23%	31.32%	20.46%	+0.51	-7.7	37
2018-04-28	@ Iskra	W 3-2	56.8	1103	1187	20.46%	31.32%	48.23%	-0.51	+7.7	31
2018-04-28	Rudar	L 1-2	45.0	1090	1202	22.71%	32.44%	44.85%	-0.39	-4.7	21
2018-04-28	@ Decic Tuzi	W 2-1	45.0	1202	1090	44.85%	32.44%	22.71%	+0.39	+4.7	40
2018-04-28	Mladost Podgorica	L 0-1	37.3	1126	1279	19.24%	30.53%	50.23%	-0.58	-4.3	36
2018-04-28	@ Kom Podgorica	W 1-0	37.3	1279	1126	50.23%	30.53%	19.24%	+0.58	+4.3	46
2018-04-28	Zeta	D 1-1	54.5	1367	1234	54.55%	28.55%	16.90%	+0.73	-1.5	72
2018-04-28	@ Sutjeska	D 1-1	54.5	1234	1367	16.90%	28.55%	54.55%	-0.73	+1.5	39
2018-05-05	Buducnost Podgorica	D 0-0	46.8	1206	1276	27.27%	33.73%	39.00%	-0.20	+0.5	41
2018-05-05	@ Rudar	D 0-0	46.8	1276	1206	39.00%	33.73%	27.27%	+0.20	-0.5	51
2018-05-05	Decic Tuzi	W 3-1	41.8	1111	1085	40.48%	33.49%	26.03%	+0.24	+9.1	34
2018-05-05	@ Petrovac	L 1-3	41.8	1085	1111	26.03%	33.49%	40.48%	-0.24	-9.1	21
2018-05-05	Iskra	W 1-0	39.0	1236	1179	44.67%	32.49%	22.84%	+0.38	+5.0	42
2018-05-05	@ Zeta	L 0-1	39.0	1179	1236	22.84%	32.49%	44.67%	-0.38	-5.0	37
2018-05-05	Kom Podgorica	D 2-2	58.7	1211	1122	49.00%	31.03%	19.98%	+0.53	-0.8	43
2018-05-05	@ Grbalj	D 2-2	58.7	1122	1211	19.98%	31.03%	49.00%	-0.53	+0.8	37
2018-05-05	Sutjeska	W 2-1	52.0	1283	1365	25.85%	33.44%	40.71%	-0.25	+7.1	49
2018-05-05	@ Mladost Podgorica	L 1-2	52.0	1365	1283	40.71%	33.44%	25.85%	+0.25	-7.1	72
2018-05-12	Decic Tuzi	W 3-1	35.3	1276	1076	62.76%	23.97%	13.27%	+1.04	+4.6	54
2018-05-12	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-3	35.3	1076	1276	13.27%	23.97%	62.76%	-1.04	-4.5	21
2018-05-12	Grbalj	D 1-1	54.6	1358	1210	56.49%	27.55%	15.96%	+0.80	-1.6	73
2018-05-12	@ Sutjeska	D 1-1	54.6	1210	1358	15.96%	27.55%	56.49%	-0.80	+1.6	44
2018-05-12	Petrovac	W 3-1	38.2	1241	1120	53.06%	29.27%	17.67%	+0.68	+6.4	45
2018-05-12	@ Zeta	L 1-3	38.2	1120	1241	17.67%	29.27%	53.06%	-0.68	-6.4	34
2018-05-12	Rudar	L 0-2	36.0	1123	1207	25.60%	33.38%	41.02%	-0.26	-10.3	37
2018-05-12	@ Kom Podgorica	W 2-0	36.0	1207	1123	41.02%	33.38%	25.60%	+0.26	+10.3	44
2018-05-12	Mladost Podgorica	D 1-1	52.8	1174	1290	22.33%	32.28%	45.39%	-0.41	+0.8	38
2018-05-12	@ Iskra	D 1-1	52.8	1290	1174	45.39%	32.28%	22.33%	+0.41	-0.8	50
2018-05-16	Buducnost Podgorica	W 2-1	53.1	1114	1280	18.23%	29.75%	52.02%	-0.64	+8.5	37
2018-05-16	@ Petrovac	L 1-2	53.1	1280	1114	52.02%	29.75%	18.23%	+0.64	-8.5	54
2018-05-16	Iskra	L 0-2	40.9	1212	1175	41.94%	33.19%	24.87%	+0.29	-14.6	44
2018-05-16	@ Grbalj	W 2-0	40.9	1175	1212	24.87%	33.19%	41.94%	-0.29	+14.6	41
2018-05-16	Kom Podgorica	L 1-3	43.5	1071	1112	30.96%	34.14%	34.91%	-0.06	-10.3	21
2018-05-16	@ Decic Tuzi	W 3-1	43.5	1112	1071	34.91%	34.14%	30.96%	+0.06	+10.3	40
2018-05-16	Sutjeska	W 2-1	53.1	1217	1356	20.31%	31.23%	48.46%	-0.51	+8.1	47
2018-05-16	@ Rudar	L 1-2	53.1	1356	1217	48.46%	31.23%	20.31%	+0.51	-8.1	73
2018-05-16	Zeta	L 2-3	56.1	1289	1247	42.70%	33.01%	24.29%	+0.32	-7.0	50
2018-05-16	@ Mladost Podgorica	W 3-2	56.1	1247	1289	24.29%	33.01%	42.70%	-0.32	+7.0	48
2018-05-19	Buducnost Podgorica	L 2-3	48.1	1123	1272	19.51%	30.71%	49.78%	-0.56	-3.9	40
2018-05-19	@ Kom Podgorica	W 3-2	48.1	1272	1123	49.78%	30.71%	19.51%	+0.56	+3.9	57
2018-05-19	Decic Tuzi	W 2-0	26.7	1348	1061	72.38%	17.87%	9.75%	+1.44	+3.5	76
2018-05-19	@ Sutjeska	L 0-2	26.7	1061	1348	9.75%	17.87%	72.38%	-1.44	-3.5	21
2018-05-19	Grbalj	L 1-2	51.9	1254	1197	44.73%	32.47%	22.80%	+0.39	-7.6	48
2018-05-19	@ Zeta	W 2-1	51.9	1197	1254	22.80%	32.47%	44.73%	-0.39	+7.7	47
2018-05-19	Petrovac	D 1-1	54.3	1282	1122	57.99%	26.74%	15.27%	+0.86	-1.7	51
2018-05-19	@ Mladost Podgorica	D 1-1	54.3	1122	1282	15.27%	26.74%	57.99%	-0.86	+1.7	38
2018-05-19	Rudar	D 0-0	46.5	1189	1225	31.67%	34.17%	34.17%	-0.04	+0.1	42
2018-05-19	@ Iskra	D 0-0	46.5	1225	1189	34.17%	34.17%	31.67%	+0.04	-0.1	48
2018-05-26	Iskra	L 0-3	32.5	1057	1190	20.91%	31.57%	47.52%	-0.48	-12.7	21
2018-05-26	@ Decic Tuzi	W 3-0	32.5	1190	1057	47.52%	31.57%	20.91%	+0.48	+12.7	45
2018-05-26	Kom Podgorica	L 0-1	43.7	1124	1119	37.54%	33.92%	28.54%	+0.15	-7.2	38
2018-05-26	@ Petrovac	W 1-0	43.7	1119	1124	28.54%	33.92%	37.54%	-0.15	+7.2	43
2018-05-26	Sutjeska	L 2-3	52.0	1276	1352	26.53%	33.59%	39.88%	-0.22	-5.0	57
2018-05-26	@ Buducnost Podgorica	W 3-2	52.0	1352	1276	39.88%	33.59%	26.53%	+0.22	+5.0	79
2018-05-26	Mladost Podgorica	W 2-1	50.8	1205	1281	26.54%	33.60%	39.87%	-0.22	+7.0	50
2018-05-26	@ Grbalj	L 1-2	50.8	1281	1205	39.87%	33.60%	26.54%	+0.22	-7.0	51
2018-05-26	Zeta	D 0-0	46.6	1225	1246	33.74%	34.18%	32.08%	+0.03	-0.1	49
2018-05-26	@ Rudar	D 0-0	46.6	1246	1225	32.08%	34.18%	33.74%	-0.03	+0.1	49

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2018-04-07	10.31%	Kom Podgorica	1096	1	@ Sutjeska	1368	0
2	2018-02-24	12.38%	@ Petrovac	1090	1	Sutjeska	1364	0
3	2018-04-21	16.17%	Kom Podgorica	1108	2	@ Zeta	1252	0
4	2017-12-10	17.62%	Iskra	1165	1	@ Buducnost Podgorica	1286	0
5	2018-05-16	18.23%	@ Petrovac	1114	2	Buducnost Podgorica	1280	1
6	2017-11-04	18.79%	Iskra	1180	2	@ Zeta	1285	1
7	2017-10-28	19.17%	@ Kom Podgorica	1099	2	Mladost Podgorica	1252	1
8	2017-09-22	19.60%	@ Petrovac	1110	1	Mladost Podgorica	1258	0
9	2018-05-16	20.31%	@ Rudar	1217	2	Sutjeska	1356	1
10	2018-04-28	20.46%	Petrovac	1103	3	@ Iskra	1187	2
11	2017-08-05	20.74%	Petrovac	1123	2	@ Grbalj	1203	0
12	2018-04-21	21.08%	@ Petrovac	1088	2	Rudar	1218	0
13	2017-11-18	22.45%	@ Kom Podgorica	1103	1	Rudar	1218	0
14	2017-09-22	22.47%	@ Grbalj	1188	2	Zeta	1302	1
15	2018-05-19	22.80%	Grbalj	1197	2	@ Zeta	1254	1
16	2018-03-31	23.04%	Iskra	1173	2	@ Rudar	1227	0
17	2017-12-06	23.86%	@ Buducnost Podgorica	1273	3	Sutjeska	1374	1
18	2017-09-22	23.89%	Iskra	1173	1	@ Rudar	1219	0
19	2018-04-04	23.94%	Rudar	1212	3	@ Zeta	1258	1
20	2018-03-10	23.97%	@ Iskra	1182	2	Zeta	1281	1
21	2017-10-18	24.09%	@ Kom Podgorica	1095	1	Iskra	1194	0
22	2018-05-16	24.29%	Zeta	1247	3	@ Mladost Podgorica	1289	2
23	2018-05-16	24.87%	Iskra	1175	2	@ Grbalj	1212	0
24	2018-05-05	25.85%	@ Mladost Podgorica	1283	2	Sutjeska	1365	1
25	2018-05-26	26.54%	@ Grbalj	1205	2	Mladost Podgorica	1281	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2017-08-19	18.56	@ Rudar	4	1215	43.27%	Decic Tuzi	0	1169	23.86%	32.87%
2	2018-04-21	18.00	Kom Podgorica	2	1108	16.17%	@ Zeta	0	1252	56.03%	27.79%
3	2017-12-02	17.25	@ Mladost Podgorica	5	1234	53.16%	Petrovac	0	1113	17.61%	29.22%
4	2017-08-05	16.04	Petrovac	2	1123	20.74%	@ Grbalj	0	1203	47.77%	31.48%
5	2018-04-21	15.92	@ Petrovac	2	1088	21.08%	Rudar	0	1218	47.26%	31.67%
6	2017-09-16	15.90	@ Zeta	3	1287	38.57%	Mladost Podgorica	0	1274	27.63%	33.79%
7	2018-03-31	15.21	Iskra	2	1173	23.04%	@ Rudar	0	1227	44.39%	32.57%
8	2018-05-16	14.60	Iskra	2	1175	24.87%	@ Grbalj	0	1212	41.94%	33.19%
9	2017-08-05	14.42	@ Buducnost Podgorica	3	1236	42.68%	Iskra	0	1194	24.31%	33.02%
10	2018-04-01	14.02	@ Grbalj	2	1198	26.74%	Zeta	0	1272	39.62%	33.64%
11	2017-11-04	13.92	@ Rudar	2	1204	27.07%	Buducnost Podgorica	0	1276	39.24%	33.70%
12	2018-02-24	13.41	@ Iskra	3	1174	45.50%	Kom Podgorica	0	1111	22.26%	32.25%
13	2017-12-09	13.21	@ Rudar	2	1211	29.62%	Mladost Podgorica	0	1262	36.33%	34.04%
14	2017-09-16	13.19	@ Sutjeska	3	1299	46.10%	Rudar	0	1232	21.84%	32.06%
15	2017-12-02	13.03	Rudar	2	1198	30.27%	@ Iskra	0	1190	35.64%	34.10%
16	2017-12-06	12.93	@ Buducnost Podgorica	3	1273	23.86%	Sutjeska	1	1374	43.26%	32.87%
17	2018-04-04	12.91	Rudar	3	1212	23.94%	@ Zeta	1	1258	43.16%	32.90%
18	2017-09-30	12.68	@ Iskra	4	1181	40.97%	Decic Tuzi	1	1151	25.64%	33.39%
19	2018-05-26	12.68	Iskra	3	1190	47.52%	@ Decic Tuzi	0	1057	20.91%	31.57%
20	2017-08-05	12.25	Zeta	4	1274	42.37%	@ Decic Tuzi	1	1180	24.54%	33.09%
21	2018-04-04	12.19	@ Kom Podgorica	2	1084	33.57%	Petrovac	0	1107	32.25%	34.18%
22	2017-11-25	12.05	Sutjeska	3	1356	49.31%	@ Rudar	0	1210	19.79%	30.90%
23	2017-12-06	11.63	@ Decic Tuzi	3	1120	28.83%	Iskra	1	1177	37.21%	33.96%
24	2018-03-17	11.48	Grbalj	3	1186	29.44%	@ Iskra	1	1184	36.53%	34.03%
25	2017-10-28	11.34	@ Buducnost Podgorica	4	1264	45.40%	Grbalj	1	1202	22.33%	32.28%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2017-10-22	61.1	@ Mladost Podgorica	3	1253	35.13%	Buducnost Podgorica	3	1264	30.74%	34.13%
2	2017-08-16	60.8	@ Decic Tuzi	3	1169	33.32%	Grbalj	3	1193	32.50%	34.18%
3	2017-08-19	60.2	@ Mladost Podgorica	2	1266	59.05%	Kom Podgorica	2	1097	14.80%	26.15%
4	2018-05-05	58.7	@ Grbalj	2	1211	49.00%	Kom Podgorica	2	1122	19.98%	31.03%
5	2018-04-28	56.8	Petrovac	3	1103	20.46%	@ Iskra	2	1187	48.23%	31.32%
6	2018-05-16	56.1	Zeta	3	1247	24.29%	@ Mladost Podgorica	2	1289	42.70%	33.01%
7	2018-03-31	55.0	@ Buducnost Podgorica	1	1278	62.24%	Kom Podgorica	1	1082	13.48%	24.29%
8	2018-03-17	54.6	@ Buducnost Podgorica	1	1279	59.92%	Petrovac	1	1103	14.43%	25.65%
9	2018-05-12	54.6	@ Sutjeska	1	1358	56.49%	Grbalj	1	1210	15.96%	27.55%
10	2018-04-28	54.5	@ Sutjeska	1	1367	54.55%	Zeta	1	1234	16.90%	28.55%
11	2017-10-14	54.3	@ Zeta	1	1294	57.42%	Decic Tuzi	1	1138	15.53%	27.06%
12	2018-03-04	54.3	@ Mladost Podgorica	1	1257	58.30%	Kom Podgorica	1	1094	15.13%	26.57%
13	2018-05-19	54.3	@ Mladost Podgorica	1	1282	57.99%	Petrovac	1	1122	15.27%	26.74%
14	2017-08-16	53.9	@ Kom Podgorica	1	1096	16.34%	Zeta	1	1291	55.70%	27.97%
15	2018-03-14	53.9	@ Rudar	1	1229	55.75%	Kom Podgorica	1	1087	16.31%	27.94%
16	2018-04-21	53.5	@ Grbalj	1	1211	53.38%	Decic Tuzi	1	1088	17.50%	29.12%
17	2017-12-01	53.3	@ Zeta	1	1281	49.98%	Grbalj	1	1184	19.39%	30.63%
18	2017-11-04	53.1	Iskra	2	1180	18.79%	@ Zeta	1	1285	51.01%	30.20%
19	2018-05-16	53.1	@ Petrovac	2	1114	18.23%	Buducnost Podgorica	1	1280	52.02%	29.75%
20	2018-05-16	53.1	@ Rudar	2	1217	20.31%	Sutjeska	1	1356	48.46%	31.23%
21	2017-08-26	52.9	@ Sutjeska	1	1301	41.82%	Mladost Podgorica	1	1265	24.96%	33.21%
22	2017-08-12	52.8	@ Iskra	1	1179	48.42%	Kom Podgorica	1	1095	20.34%	31.25%
23	2017-09-09	52.8	@ Grbalj	1	1187	22.60%	Sutjeska	1	1300	45.00%	32.40%
24	2017-10-28	52.8	@ Kom Podgorica	2	1099	19.17%	Mladost Podgorica	1	1252	50.34%	30.48%
25	2018-05-12	52.8	@ Iskra	1	1174	22.33%	Mladost Podgorica	1	1290	45.39%	32.28%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2018-05-19	26.7	@ Sutjeska	2	1348	72.38%	Decic Tuzi	0	1061	9.75%	17.87%
2	2017-12-02	26.9	@ Sutjeska	3	1368	67.52%	Decic Tuzi	0	1126	11.47%	21.01%
3	2017-10-18	27.5	@ Sutjeska	3	1326	64.85%	Petrovac	0	1108	12.46%	22.69%
4	2017-10-14	28.1	@ Sutjeska	4	1316	64.08%	Kom Podgorica	0	1105	12.75%	23.17%
5	2018-04-14	31.4	@ Sutjeska	1	1357	70.32%	Petrovac	0	1090	10.47%	19.21%
6	2018-04-07	31.7	@ Zeta	2	1245	55.61%	Decic Tuzi	0	1104	16.38%	28.01%
7	2017-12-02	32.1	@ Mladost Podgorica	5	1234	53.16%	Petrovac	0	1113	17.61%	29.22%
8	2018-02-24	32.4	@ Mladost Podgorica	2	1249	53.25%	Decic Tuzi	0	1127	17.57%	29.19%
9	2018-05-26	32.5	Iskra	3	1190	47.52%	@ Decic Tuzi	0	1057	20.91%	31.57%
10	2017-11-25	32.6	Sutjeska	3	1356	49.31%	@ Rudar	0	1210	19.79%	30.90%
11	2018-02-24	33.1	@ Iskra	3	1174	45.50%	Kom Podgorica	0	1111	22.26%	32.25%
12	2017-09-16	33.4	@ Sutjeska	3	1299	46.10%	Rudar	0	1232	21.84%	32.06%
13	2017-09-09	34.0	@ Mladost Podgorica	2	1265	48.33%	Iskra	0	1181	20.39%	31.28%
14	2017-12-10	34.0	Sutjeska	1	1361	61.88%	@ Kom Podgorica	0	1114	13.62%	24.51%
15	2017-08-05	34.1	@ Buducnost Podgorica	3	1236	42.68%	Iskra	0	1194	24.31%	33.02%
16	2017-08-19	34.2	@ Rudar	4	1215	43.27%	Decic Tuzi	0	1169	23.86%	32.87%
17	2018-04-04	34.2	@ Iskra	2	1188	47.15%	Decic Tuzi	0	1113	21.15%	31.70%
18	2017-09-22	35.0	@ Buducnost Podgorica	1	1260	57.72%	Kom Podgorica	0	1102	15.39%	26.89%
19	2017-11-18	35.2	@ Buducnost Podgorica	4	1262	53.82%	Decic Tuzi	1	1135	17.27%	28.91%
20	2018-05-12	35.3	@ Buducnost Podgorica	3	1276	62.76%	Decic Tuzi	1	1076	13.27%	23.97%
21	2018-04-14	35.4	Mladost Podgorica	4	1270	52.79%	@ Decic Tuzi	1	1097	17.81%	29.40%
22	2017-11-18	35.5	@ Sutjeska	1	1352	57.64%	Grbalj	0	1195	15.43%	26.93%
23	2017-09-16	35.8	@ Zeta	3	1287	38.57%	Mladost Podgorica	0	1274	27.63%	33.79%
24	2018-05-12	36.0	Rudar	2	1207	41.02%	@ Kom Podgorica	0	1123	25.60%	33.38%
25	2017-08-05	36.1	Sutjeska	1	1282	54.19%	@ Kom Podgorica	0	1098	17.08%	28.73%