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2018-19 Montenegrin First League Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Sutjeska

74 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Zeta

6.52 points above expected

61 points · 54.48 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Mornar

15.32 points below expected

12 points · 27.32 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Sutjeska 36 21 11 4 74 58 21 +37 69.01 +4.99
2 Buducnost Podgorica 36 17 14 5 65 56 25 +31 62.60 +2.40
3 Zeta 36 16 13 7 61 36 21 +15 54.48 +6.52
4 Titograd 36 16 9 11 57 47 41 +6 54.12 +2.88
5 Iskra 36 13 11 12 50 46 39 +7 45.92 +4.08
6 Grbalj 36 11 15 10 48 45 36 +9 50.98 -2.98
7 Petrovac 36 13 8 15 47 40 45 -5 41.02 +5.98
8 Rudar 36 8 17 11 41 35 44 -9 44.10 -3.10
9 Lovcen 36 5 11 20 26 29 65 -36 32.26 -6.26
10 Mornar 36 1 9 26 12 17 72 -55 27.32 -15.32

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Zeta 61 54.48 +6.52
2 Petrovac 47 41.02 +5.98
3 Sutjeska 74 69.01 +4.99
4 Iskra 50 45.92 +4.08
5 Titograd 57 54.12 +2.88

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Mornar 12 27.32 -15.32
2 Lovcen 26 32.26 -6.26
3 Rudar 41 44.10 -3.10
4 Grbalj 48 50.98 -2.98
5 Buducnost Podgorica 65 62.60 +2.40

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Zeta 4 Sep 15 – Sep 29 1 in 69
2 Titograd 4 Aug 11 – Aug 25 1 in 43
3 Buducnost Podgorica 5 Feb 19 – Mar 13 1 in 42
4 Petrovac 3 Oct 20 – Nov 3 1 in 31
5 Iskra 4 May 11 – May 25 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Mornar 12 Mar 17 – May 25 1 in 254
2 Titograd 4 Oct 20 – Nov 10 1 in 57
3 Petrovac 5 Mar 30 – Apr 21 1 in 52
4 Zeta 3 Aug 15 – Aug 25 1 in 21
5 Lovcen 5 Mar 2 – Mar 30 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Zeta 15 Sep 1 – Feb 19 1 in 136
2 Buducnost Podgorica 18 Dec 5 – May 19 1 in 51
3 Sutjeska 20 Oct 27 – May 4 1 in 27
4 Grbalj 8 Sep 23 – Nov 24 1 in 16
5 Rudar 5 Sep 19 – Oct 20 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Iskra 9 Sep 19 – Nov 24 1 in 51
2 Buducnost Podgorica 7 Oct 27 – Dec 9 1 in 42
3 Lovcen 12 Aug 19 – Nov 10 1 in 35
4 Mornar 24 Oct 27 – May 25 1 in 33
5 Titograd 6 Sep 29 – Nov 10 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Sutjeska 1390 74 +8 8 9.6 -1.6
Buducnost Podgorica 1317 65 -24 6 9.2 -3.2
Zeta 1229 61 +15 9 7.9 +1.1
Titograd 1168 57 +43 11 7.9 +3.1
Iskra 1205 50 +103 13 7.7 +5.3
Grbalj 1161 48 -10 5 6.5 -1.5
Petrovac 1048 47 -22 6 5.5 +0.5
Rudar 1077 41 -29 7 7.3 -0.3
Lovcen 919 26 -32 1 3.6 -2.6
Mornar 809 12 -51 0 2.5 -2.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BP GRB ISK LOV MOR PET RUD SUT TIT ZET
Buducnost Podgorica —
2-2-0
6.65
3-1-0
6.64
1-3-0
8.18
4-0-0
8.35
1-3-0
7.54
1-2-1
7.59
0-2-2
4.56
3-0-1
6.13
2-1-1
6.30
Grbalj
0-2-2
4.03
 —
1-3-0
5.92
2-1-1
6.96
3-1-0
8.24
3-1-0
6.45
0-2-2
6.29
0-1-3
3.45
2-1-1
5.32
0-3-1
5.09
Iskra
0-1-3
4.03
0-3-1
4.70
 —
3-0-1
7.18
2-2-0
7.65
3-0-1
5.40
1-3-0
5.86
1-1-2
3.16
1-1-2
4.29
2-0-2
4.17
Lovcen
0-3-1
2.73
1-1-2
3.79
1-0-3
3.54
 —
2-1-1
6.12
0-1-3
4.30
0-1-3
3.64
0-2-2
2.45
0-2-2
3.00
1-0-3
2.84
Mornar
0-0-4
2.58
0-1-3
2.65
0-2-2
3.12
1-1-2
4.50
 —
0-0-4
3.78
0-3-1
3.07
0-1-3
2.20
0-0-4
2.71
0-1-3
2.41
Petrovac
0-3-1
3.23
0-1-3
4.20
1-0-3
5.23
3-1-0
6.38
4-0-0
6.92
 —
4-0-0
4.76
1-0-3
2.74
0-1-3
4.34
0-2-2
3.98
Rudar
1-2-1
3.18
2-2-0
4.36
0-3-1
4.76
3-1-0
7.07
1-3-0
7.71
0-0-4
5.86
 —
0-1-3
3.41
1-2-1
4.16
0-3-1
4.22
Sutjeska
2-2-0
6.08
3-1-0
7.27
2-1-1
7.62
2-2-0
8.52
3-1-0
8.82
3-0-1
8.11
3-1-0
7.35
 —
2-1-1
7.21
1-2-1
7.02
Titograd
1-0-3
4.52
1-1-2
5.31
2-1-1
6.35
2-2-0
7.79
4-0-0
8.15
3-1-0
6.31
1-2-1
6.49
1-1-2
3.55
 —
1-1-2
5.18
Zeta
1-1-2
4.34
1-3-0
5.52
2-0-2
6.48
3-0-1
8.03
3-1-0
8.55
2-2-0
6.68
1-3-0
6.43
1-2-1
3.67
2-1-1
5.45
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.83 +13.6
Allowed 0.92 -10.3
Differential 0.97 +6.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.44%10.56%4.72%3.06%2.22%0.83%35.83%
110.56%15.00%5.83%3.33%—0.83%35.56%
24.72%5.83%2.78%1.39%0.56%—15.28%
33.06%3.33%1.39%0.56%—0.28%8.61%
42.22%—0.56%———2.78%
5+0.83%0.83%—0.28%——1.94%
Total35.83%35.56%15.28%8.61%2.78%1.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.14 +0.00
SD 1.22 1.22 1.79
CV 1.07 1.07 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%2.78%5.56%———25.00%
119.44%16.67%5.56%———41.67%
2—5.56%5.56%———11.11%
38.33%2.78%————11.11%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+5.56%——2.78%——8.33%
Total52.78%27.78%16.67%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 0.69 +0.86
SD 1.65 0.86 1.84
CV 1.06 1.23 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%16.67%2.78%5.56%——41.67%
15.56%19.44%————25.00%
28.33%2.78%2.78%———13.89%
3——2.78%2.78%—2.78%8.33%
45.56%—2.78%———8.33%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total38.89%38.89%11.11%8.33%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 1.00 +0.25
SD 1.44 1.15 1.75
CV 1.15 1.15 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%13.89%2.78%—2.78%—30.56%
1—19.44%5.56%5.56%——30.56%
211.11%13.89%—2.78%——27.78%
3—5.56%————5.56%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total25.00%55.56%8.33%8.33%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.08 +0.19
SD 1.21 0.97 1.65
CV 0.95 0.89 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%8.33%8.33%2.78%2.78%5.56%44.44%
18.33%11.11%5.56%13.89%——38.89%
2——2.78%8.33%——11.11%
3—2.78%————2.78%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+———————
Total25.00%22.22%19.44%25.00%2.78%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 1.81 -1.00
SD 0.95 1.60 1.80
CV 1.18 0.89 —
Max 4 7 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%22.22%11.11%11.11%2.78%2.78%58.33%
12.78%16.67%5.56%5.56%—5.56%36.11%
2————5.56%—5.56%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total11.11%38.89%16.67%16.67%8.33%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.47 2.00 -1.53
SD 0.61 1.53 1.48
CV 1.29 0.77 —
Max 2 6 +1
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%5.56%5.56%5.56%—38.89%
116.67%8.33%13.89%———38.89%
2—2.78%————2.78%
3—8.33%2.78%2.78%——13.89%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total30.56%33.33%22.22%8.33%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.25 -0.14
SD 1.30 1.16 1.84
CV 1.17 0.92 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.22%8.33%2.78%—5.56%—38.89%
15.56%19.44%5.56%2.78%—2.78%36.11%
2—5.56%5.56%2.78%——13.89%
32.78%8.33%————11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.56%41.67%13.89%5.56%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.22 -0.25
SD 1.00 1.27 1.56
CV 1.03 1.04 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%————13.89%
113.89%19.44%5.56%———38.89%
211.11%13.89%2.78%———27.78%
38.33%2.78%————11.11%
48.33%—————8.33%
5+———————
Total50.00%41.67%8.33%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 0.58 +1.03
SD 1.13 0.65 1.42
CV 0.70 1.11 —
Max 4 2 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%5.56%2.78%2.78%—27.78%
119.44%8.33%8.33%2.78%——38.89%
2—8.33%8.33%———16.67%
35.56%2.78%5.56%———13.89%
4———————
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total33.33%30.56%27.78%5.56%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.14 +0.17
SD 1.28 1.05 1.70
CV 0.98 0.92 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
025.00%8.33%2.78%2.78%——38.89%
113.89%11.11%2.78%2.78%——30.56%
216.67%5.56%————22.22%
35.56%—2.78%———8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total61.11%25.00%8.33%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 0.58 +0.42
SD 0.99 0.87 1.36
CV 0.99 1.50 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Sutjeska 1390 74 69.01 +4.99 77.0% 55 57 64 68 73 80 85
Buducnost Podgorica 1317 65 62.60 +2.40 60.0% 41 49 57 63 67 73 82
Zeta 1229 61 54.48 +6.52 89.0% 37 41 50 54 59 67 77
Iskra 1205 50 45.92 +4.08 76.0% 27 32 41 45 50 59 66
Titograd 1168 57 54.12 +2.88 66.0% 35 44 49 54 60 64 66
Grbalj 1161 48 50.98 -2.98 33.0% 33 40 47 50 55 62 71
Rudar 1077 41 44.10 -3.10 36.0% 27 30 39 44 49 56 61
Petrovac 1048 47 41.02 +5.98 85.0% 24 31 36 41 45 51 61
Lovcen 919 26 32.26 -6.26 26.0% 15 19 26 32 36 45 49
Mornar 809 12 27.32 -15.32 0.0% 16 17 24 27 31 37 57

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
-0.56%
No Edge
33.33%32.78%33.89%
Elo Value
Home Edge: -1.93 Elo pts.
172 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.09 goals
Neutral
-2-0.01+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.9
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
67%
Sutjeska, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.25/gm
Runaway
00.210.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.62 * Some Luck: 5.62 to 8.43 * Lucky: 8.43 to 11.24 * Wild Swing: 11.24 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.83 * Close: 0.83 to 1.25 * Off: 1.25 to 1.67 * Way Off: 1.67 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.53 points
Some Luck
07.0218
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.40
Pinpoint
01.042.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
89.00%
Zeta
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
0.00%
Mornar
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Lopsided
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 175.65
2.45
Wide Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
72%
Clear Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
97%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
68%
Very Frequent
0%60%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Rare
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.40
Slight Separation
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.97
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.82
Near-Lock
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Chalky
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
13%
Solid Favorites
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.06
Borderline
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.50
Very Underconfident
0.3513041.001.6487
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.129
Well Within Noise
00.1360.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Sutjeska67.00%28.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%—————
Buducnost Podgorica26.00%39.00%20.00%5.00%5.00%3.00%2.00%———
Zeta4.00%11.00%26.00%21.00%15.00%13.00%6.00%3.00%1.00%—
Titograd1.00%11.00%27.00%21.00%20.00%10.00%9.00%1.00%——
Iskra1.00%4.00%5.00%12.00%19.00%16.00%18.00%16.00%9.00%—
Grbalj1.00%6.00%17.00%24.00%20.00%16.00%7.00%8.00%1.00%—
Petrovac———6.00%5.00%15.00%30.00%30.00%13.00%1.00%
Rudar——3.00%8.00%13.00%24.00%21.00%22.00%8.00%1.00%
Lovcen———1.00%2.00%2.00%6.00%14.00%45.00%30.00%
Mornar—1.00%———1.00%1.00%6.00%23.00%68.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Buducnost Podgorica 100% — —
Grbalj 91.00% 9.00% —
Iskra 75.00% 25.00% —
Sutjeska 100% — —
Titograd 99.00% 1.00% —
Zeta 96.00% 4.00% —
Petrovac 56.00% 43.00% 1.00%
Rudar 69.00% 30.00% 1.00%
Lovcen 11.00% 59.00% 30.00%
Mornar 3.00% 29.00% 68.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2018-08-03 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-141.0 1120 1167 26.33% 34.42% 39.25%-0.29 -11.7 0
2018-08-03 @ Iskra W 1-041.0 1167 1120 39.25% 34.42% 26.33%+0.29 +11.7 3
2018-08-04 Lovcen L 0-143.9 1125 1102 35.88% 34.67% 29.45%+0.12 -14.4 0
2018-08-04 @ Grbalj W 1-043.9 1102 1125 29.45% 34.67% 35.88%-0.12 +14.4 3
2018-08-04 Petrovac D 0-045.7 1151 1062 44.73% 33.60% 21.67%+0.51 -2.0 1
2018-08-04 @ Zeta D 0-045.7 1062 1151 21.67% 33.60% 44.73%-0.51 +2.0 1
2018-08-04 Rudar D 0-045.5 1171 1136 37.49% 34.58% 27.93%+0.19 -0.8 1
2018-08-04 @ Titograd D 0-045.5 1136 1171 27.93% 34.58% 37.49%-0.19 +0.8 1
2018-08-05 Mornar D 1-151.5 1218 1070 51.65% 31.72% 16.62%+0.85 -2.8 1
2018-08-05 @ Sutjeska D 1-151.5 1070 1218 16.62% 31.72% 51.65%-0.85 +2.8 1
2018-08-11 Grbalj L 0-141.0 1064 1111 26.38% 34.43% 39.19%-0.29 -11.7 1
2018-08-11 @ Petrovac W 1-041.0 1111 1064 39.19% 34.43% 26.38%+0.29 +11.7 3
2018-08-11 Sutjeska D 1-151.0 1117 1215 20.80% 33.37% 45.83%-0.58 +1.9 4
2018-08-11 @ Lovcen D 1-151.0 1215 1117 45.83% 33.37% 20.80%+0.58 -1.9 2
2018-08-11 Titograd L 0-140.5 1108 1170 24.65% 34.20% 41.15%-0.37 -11.2 0
2018-08-11 @ Iskra W 1-040.5 1170 1108 41.15% 34.20% 24.65%+0.37 +11.2 4
2018-08-11 Zeta D 0-045.4 1137 1149 30.91% 34.73% 34.36%-0.08 +0.3 2
2018-08-11 @ Rudar D 0-045.4 1149 1137 34.36% 34.73% 30.91%+0.08 -0.3 2
2018-08-12 Mornar W 3-034.3 1179 1073 46.82% 33.14% 20.04%+0.61 +26.1 6
2018-08-12 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-334.3 1073 1179 20.04% 33.14% 46.82%-0.61 -26.1 1
2018-08-15 Buducnost Podgorica W 1-044.1 1181 1205 29.29% 34.67% 36.04%-0.15 +14.5 7
2018-08-15 @ Titograd L 0-144.1 1205 1181 36.04% 34.67% 29.29%+0.15 -14.5 6
2018-08-15 Iskra L 1-347.8 1149 1097 39.84% 34.36% 25.80%+0.29 -25.4 2
2018-08-15 @ Zeta W 3-147.8 1097 1149 25.80% 34.36% 39.84%-0.29 +25.4 3
2018-08-15 Lovcen L 2-446.1 1047 1119 23.51% 34.00% 42.49%-0.43 -15.8 1
2018-08-15 @ Mornar W 4-246.1 1119 1047 42.49% 34.00% 23.51%+0.43 +15.8 7
2018-08-15 Petrovac W 2-142.7 1213 1052 53.12% 31.20% 15.68%+0.93 +7.2 5
2018-08-15 @ Sutjeska L 1-242.7 1052 1213 15.68% 31.20% 53.12%-0.93 -7.2 1
2018-08-15 Rudar L 0-142.4 1122 1137 30.52% 34.72% 34.76%-0.10 -13.0 3
2018-08-15 @ Grbalj W 1-042.4 1137 1122 34.76% 34.72% 30.52%+0.10 +13.0 5
2018-08-18 Grbalj D 0-045.4 1123 1109 34.50% 34.73% 30.77%+0.07 -0.3 4
2018-08-18 @ Iskra D 0-045.4 1109 1123 30.77% 34.73% 34.50%-0.07 +0.3 4
2018-08-18 Mornar W 1-042.4 1045 1031 34.59% 34.72% 30.68%+0.07 +13.0 4
2018-08-18 @ Petrovac L 0-142.4 1031 1045 30.68% 34.72% 34.59%-0.07 -13.0 1
2018-08-18 Sutjeska L 1-246.1 1150 1220 23.72% 34.04% 42.24%-0.42 -10.2 5
2018-08-18 @ Rudar W 2-146.1 1220 1150 42.24% 34.04% 23.72%+0.42 +10.2 8
2018-08-18 Zeta W 2-145.9 1196 1124 42.52% 34.00% 23.49%+0.41 +10.2 10
2018-08-18 @ Titograd L 1-245.9 1124 1196 23.49% 34.00% 42.52%-0.41 -10.2 2
2018-08-19 Lovcen D 0-045.6 1191 1134 40.47% 34.29% 25.25%+0.32 -1.3 7
2018-08-19 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 0-045.6 1134 1191 25.25% 34.29% 40.47%-0.32 +1.3 8
2018-08-25 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-139.9 1113 1189 23.05% 33.91% 43.04%-0.45 -10.6 2
2018-08-25 @ Zeta W 1-039.9 1189 1113 43.04% 33.91% 23.05%+0.45 +10.6 10
2018-08-25 Iskra L 1-252.7 1230 1122 47.04% 33.08% 19.88%+0.62 -16.6 8
2018-08-25 @ Sutjeska W 2-152.7 1122 1230 19.88% 33.08% 47.04%-0.62 +16.6 7
2018-08-25 Petrovac L 1-348.7 1136 1058 43.26% 33.87% 22.87%+0.44 -27.0 8
2018-08-25 @ Lovcen W 3-148.7 1058 1136 22.87% 33.87% 43.26%-0.44 +27.0 7
2018-08-25 Rudar D 1-151.1 1018 1140 18.65% 32.64% 48.70%-0.72 +2.4 2
2018-08-25 @ Mornar D 1-151.1 1140 1018 48.70% 32.64% 18.65%+0.72 -2.4 6
2018-08-25 Titograd L 0-139.2 1110 1206 21.02% 33.43% 45.55%-0.57 -9.9 4
2018-08-25 @ Grbalj W 1-039.2 1206 1110 45.55% 33.43% 21.02%+0.57 +9.9 13
2018-09-01 Grbalj D 0-045.4 1103 1100 33.05% 34.75% 32.20%+0.01 -0.1 3
2018-09-01 @ Zeta D 0-045.4 1100 1103 32.20% 34.75% 33.05%-0.01 +0.1 5
2018-09-01 Lovcen D 0-045.4 1138 1109 36.75% 34.63% 28.63%+0.16 -0.7 7
2018-09-01 @ Rudar D 0-045.4 1109 1138 28.63% 34.63% 36.75%-0.16 +0.7 9
2018-09-01 Mornar W 2-035.4 1139 1020 48.28% 32.76% 18.96%+0.68 +17.1 10
2018-09-01 @ Iskra L 0-235.4 1020 1139 18.96% 32.76% 48.28%-0.68 -17.1 2
2018-09-01 Petrovac D 1-151.1 1200 1085 47.90% 32.86% 19.23%+0.66 -2.2 11
2018-09-01 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 1-151.1 1085 1200 19.23% 32.86% 47.90%-0.66 +2.2 8
2018-09-02 Sutjeska D 0-045.6 1216 1214 32.89% 34.75% 32.36%+0.00 -0.0 14
2018-09-02 @ Titograd D 0-045.6 1214 1216 32.36% 34.75% 32.89%+0.00 +0.0 9
2018-09-15 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-139.1 1100 1198 20.84% 33.38% 45.79%-0.58 -9.8 5
2018-09-15 @ Grbalj W 1-039.1 1198 1100 45.79% 33.38% 20.84%+0.58 +9.8 14
2018-09-15 Iskra L 0-238.2 1109 1156 26.40% 34.43% 39.17%-0.28 -22.1 9
2018-09-15 @ Lovcen W 2-038.2 1156 1109 39.17% 34.43% 26.40%+0.28 +22.1 13
2018-09-15 Rudar W 3-147.8 1087 1137 26.00% 34.38% 39.61%-0.30 +25.3 11
2018-09-15 @ Petrovac L 1-347.8 1137 1087 39.61% 34.38% 26.00%+0.30 -25.3 7
2018-09-15 Titograd L 0-135.2 1003 1216 12.60% 28.87% 58.54%-1.25 -6.2 2
2018-09-15 @ Mornar W 1-035.2 1216 1003 58.54% 28.87% 12.60%+1.25 +6.2 17
2018-09-15 Zeta L 0-146.9 1214 1103 47.40% 32.99% 19.61%+0.64 -17.7 9
2018-09-15 @ Sutjeska W 1-046.9 1103 1214 19.61% 32.99% 47.40%-0.64 +17.7 6
2018-09-19 Lovcen D 0-046.2 1222 1087 50.16% 32.21% 17.62%+0.77 -2.9 18
2018-09-19 @ Titograd D 0-046.2 1087 1222 17.62% 32.21% 50.16%-0.77 +2.9 10
2018-09-19 Mornar W 2-035.2 1120 997 48.86% 32.60% 18.54%+0.71 +16.8 9
2018-09-19 @ Zeta L 0-235.2 997 1120 18.54% 32.60% 48.86%-0.71 -16.8 2
2018-09-19 Petrovac L 0-145.6 1178 1112 41.71% 34.12% 24.17%+0.37 -16.1 13
2018-09-19 @ Iskra W 1-045.6 1112 1178 24.17% 34.12% 41.71%-0.37 +16.1 14
2018-09-19 Rudar D 0-045.8 1208 1112 45.54% 33.43% 21.03%+0.55 -2.1 15
2018-09-19 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 0-045.8 1112 1208 21.03% 33.43% 45.54%-0.55 +2.1 8
2018-09-19 Sutjeska L 0-138.8 1090 1196 20.07% 33.15% 46.78%-0.63 -9.5 5
2018-09-19 @ Grbalj W 1-038.8 1196 1090 46.78% 33.15% 20.07%+0.63 +9.5 12
2018-09-22 Iskra D 0-045.5 1114 1162 26.23% 34.41% 39.36%-0.29 +1.1 9
2018-09-22 @ Rudar D 0-045.5 1162 1114 39.36% 34.41% 26.23%+0.29 -1.1 14
2018-09-22 Titograd L 1-245.2 1128 1219 21.56% 33.57% 44.87%-0.54 -9.5 14
2018-09-22 @ Petrovac W 2-145.2 1219 1128 44.87% 33.57% 21.56%+0.54 +9.5 21
2018-09-22 Zeta L 0-238.2 1090 1137 26.34% 34.42% 39.23%-0.29 -22.1 10
2018-09-22 @ Lovcen W 2-038.2 1137 1090 39.23% 34.42% 26.34%+0.29 +22.1 12
2018-09-23 Buducnost Podgorica W 2-149.0 1206 1206 32.64% 34.75% 32.61%-0.01 +12.8 15
2018-09-23 @ Sutjeska L 1-249.0 1206 1206 32.61% 34.75% 32.64%+0.01 -12.8 15
2018-09-23 Grbalj D 1-150.9 980 1081 20.61% 33.31% 46.09%-0.60 +2.0 3
2018-09-23 @ Mornar D 1-150.9 1081 980 46.09% 33.31% 20.61%+0.60 -2.0 6
2018-09-29 Grbalj L 0-538.1 1068 1079 31.11% 34.73% 34.15%-0.07 -57.9 10
2018-09-29 @ Lovcen W 5-038.1 1079 1068 34.15% 34.73% 31.11%+0.07 +57.9 9
2018-09-29 Iskra W 1-041.7 1193 1161 37.12% 34.60% 28.27%+0.17 +12.3 18
2018-09-29 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-141.7 1161 1193 28.27% 34.60% 37.12%-0.17 -12.3 14
2018-09-29 Sutjeska L 0-134.5 982 1218 11.43% 27.67% 60.90%-1.39 -5.5 3
2018-09-29 @ Mornar W 1-034.5 1218 982 60.90% 27.67% 11.43%+1.39 +5.5 18
2018-09-29 Titograd W 3-149.8 1115 1228 19.40% 32.92% 47.67%-0.67 +29.1 12
2018-09-29 @ Rudar L 1-349.8 1228 1115 47.67% 32.92% 19.40%+0.67 -29.1 21
2018-09-29 Zeta L 0-141.3 1119 1159 27.17% 34.51% 38.32%-0.25 -12.0 14
2018-09-29 @ Petrovac W 1-041.3 1159 1119 38.32% 34.51% 27.17%+0.25 +12.0 15
2018-10-06 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-134.7 977 1205 11.79% 28.07% 60.14%-1.34 -5.7 3
2018-10-06 @ Mornar W 1-034.7 1205 977 60.14% 28.07% 11.79%+1.34 +5.7 21
2018-10-06 Iskra D 1-150.7 1199 1149 39.69% 34.38% 25.93%+0.28 -1.0 22
2018-10-06 @ Titograd D 1-150.7 1149 1199 25.93% 34.38% 39.69%-0.28 +1.0 15
2018-10-06 Lovcen D 1-152.3 1224 1010 58.68% 28.80% 12.52%+1.24 -3.8 19
2018-10-06 @ Sutjeska D 1-152.3 1010 1224 12.52% 28.80% 58.68%-1.24 +3.8 11
2018-10-06 Petrovac W 4-037.0 1136 1107 36.82% 34.62% 28.56%+0.16 +44.3 12
2018-10-06 @ Grbalj L 0-437.0 1107 1136 28.56% 34.62% 36.82%-0.16 -44.3 14
2018-10-06 Rudar D 0-045.5 1171 1144 36.49% 34.64% 28.87%+0.15 -0.6 16
2018-10-06 @ Zeta D 0-045.5 1144 1171 28.87% 34.64% 36.49%-0.15 +0.6 13
2018-10-20 Grbalj D 0-045.5 1145 1181 27.72% 34.56% 37.72%-0.22 +0.8 14
2018-10-20 @ Rudar D 0-045.5 1181 1145 37.72% 34.56% 27.72%+0.22 -0.8 13
2018-10-20 Mornar L 0-144.7 1014 971 38.65% 34.48% 26.87%+0.24 -15.2 11
2018-10-20 @ Lovcen W 1-044.7 971 1014 26.87% 34.48% 38.65%-0.24 +15.2 6
2018-10-20 Sutjeska W 1-048.0 1063 1220 15.92% 31.34% 52.75%-0.93 +19.3 17
2018-10-20 @ Petrovac L 0-148.0 1220 1063 52.75% 31.34% 15.92%+0.93 -19.3 19
2018-10-20 Titograd W 2-148.5 1211 1198 34.42% 34.73% 30.86%+0.06 +12.3 24
2018-10-20 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 1-248.5 1198 1211 30.86% 34.73% 34.42%-0.06 -12.3 22
2018-10-20 Zeta L 1-248.0 1150 1171 29.70% 34.69% 35.61%-0.13 -12.0 15
2018-10-20 @ Iskra W 2-148.0 1171 1150 35.61% 34.69% 29.70%+0.13 +12.0 19
2018-10-27 Buducnost Podgorica D 0-047.3 999 1223 11.99% 28.27% 59.74%-1.32 +4.5 12
2018-10-27 @ Lovcen D 0-047.3 1223 999 59.74% 28.27% 11.99%+1.32 -4.5 25
2018-10-27 Iskra D 0-045.5 1180 1138 38.56% 34.49% 26.96%+0.24 -1.0 14
2018-10-27 @ Grbalj D 0-045.5 1138 1180 26.96% 34.49% 38.56%-0.24 +1.0 16
2018-10-27 Petrovac L 0-139.1 986 1082 21.05% 33.44% 45.51%-0.57 -9.9 6
2018-10-27 @ Mornar W 1-039.1 1082 986 45.51% 33.44% 21.05%+0.57 +9.9 20
2018-10-27 Rudar W 2-037.9 1201 1145 40.32% 34.30% 25.37%+0.31 +21.5 22
2018-10-27 @ Sutjeska L 0-237.9 1145 1201 25.37% 34.30% 40.32%-0.31 -21.5 14
2018-10-27 Titograd W 1-043.2 1183 1186 32.15% 34.75% 33.10%-0.03 +13.7 22
2018-10-27 @ Zeta L 0-143.2 1186 1183 33.10% 34.75% 32.15%+0.03 -13.7 22
2018-11-03 Grbalj L 0-239.9 1172 1179 31.67% 34.74% 33.58%-0.05 -25.0 22
2018-11-03 @ Titograd W 2-039.9 1179 1172 33.58% 34.74% 31.67%+0.05 +25.0 17
2018-11-03 Lovcen W 1-039.3 1092 1003 44.62% 33.62% 21.76%+0.50 +10.2 23
2018-11-03 @ Petrovac L 0-139.3 1003 1092 21.76% 33.62% 44.62%-0.50 -10.2 12
2018-11-03 Mornar D 1-151.4 1124 976 51.65% 31.72% 16.62%+0.85 -2.8 15
2018-11-03 @ Rudar D 1-151.4 976 1124 16.62% 31.72% 51.65%-0.85 +2.8 7
2018-11-03 Sutjeska L 0-434.9 1139 1222 22.26% 33.74% 44.00%-0.50 -37.0 16
2018-11-03 @ Iskra W 4-034.9 1222 1139 44.00% 33.74% 22.26%+0.50 +37.0 25
2018-11-03 Zeta L 0-241.3 1219 1196 35.80% 34.68% 29.52%+0.12 -27.2 25
2018-11-03 @ Buducnost Podgorica W 2-041.3 1196 1219 29.52% 34.68% 35.80%-0.12 +27.2 25
2018-11-10 Buducnost Podgorica D 1-150.9 1102 1192 21.65% 33.59% 44.76%-0.53 +1.8 24
2018-11-10 @ Petrovac D 1-150.9 1192 1102 44.76% 33.59% 21.65%+0.53 -1.8 26
2018-11-10 Iskra D 1-151.1 979 1102 18.61% 32.63% 48.76%-0.73 +2.4 8
2018-11-10 @ Mornar D 1-151.1 1102 979 48.76% 32.63% 18.61%+0.73 -2.4 17
2018-11-10 Rudar L 1-340.7 993 1121 18.15% 32.44% 49.41%-0.76 -14.3 12
2018-11-10 @ Lovcen W 3-140.7 1121 993 49.41% 32.44% 18.15%+0.76 +14.3 18
2018-11-10 Titograd W 3-034.2 1259 1147 47.50% 32.97% 19.53%+0.64 +25.5 28
2018-11-10 @ Sutjeska L 0-334.2 1147 1259 19.53% 32.97% 47.50%-0.64 -25.5 22
2018-11-10 Zeta D 1-150.7 1204 1224 29.91% 34.70% 35.40%-0.12 +0.4 18
2018-11-10 @ Grbalj D 1-150.7 1224 1204 35.40% 34.70% 29.91%+0.12 -0.4 26
2018-11-24 Grbalj D 1-150.7 1190 1204 30.56% 34.72% 34.72%-0.10 +0.3 27
2018-11-24 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 1-150.7 1204 1190 34.72% 34.72% 30.56%+0.10 -0.3 19
2018-11-24 Lovcen L 1-349.9 1099 979 48.52% 32.69% 18.78%+0.69 -29.5 17
2018-11-24 @ Iskra W 3-149.9 979 1099 18.78% 32.69% 48.52%-0.69 +29.5 15
2018-11-24 Mornar W 1-037.5 1122 981 50.82% 32.00% 17.18%+0.81 +8.4 25
2018-11-24 @ Titograd L 0-137.5 981 1122 17.18% 32.00% 50.82%-0.81 -8.4 8
2018-11-24 Petrovac L 0-439.5 1135 1104 37.12% 34.60% 28.28%+0.17 -52.9 18
2018-11-24 @ Rudar W 4-039.5 1104 1135 28.28% 34.60% 37.12%-0.17 +52.9 27
2018-11-24 Sutjeska D 0-046.0 1223 1285 24.64% 34.20% 41.16%-0.37 +1.4 27
2018-11-24 @ Zeta D 0-046.0 1285 1223 41.16% 34.20% 24.64%+0.37 -1.4 29
2018-12-01 Buducnost Podgorica W 2-152.7 1083 1190 19.94% 33.10% 46.95%-0.64 +16.6 21
2018-12-01 @ Rudar L 1-252.7 1190 1083 46.95% 33.10% 19.94%+0.64 -16.6 27
2018-12-01 Grbalj W 3-035.6 1283 1204 43.45% 33.84% 22.71%+0.45 +28.8 32
2018-12-01 @ Sutjeska L 0-335.6 1204 1283 22.71% 33.84% 43.45%-0.45 -28.8 19
2018-12-01 Iskra L 1-252.0 1156 1070 44.39% 33.67% 21.95%+0.49 -15.9 27
2018-12-01 @ Petrovac W 2-152.0 1070 1156 21.95% 33.67% 44.39%-0.49 +15.9 20
2018-12-01 Titograd D 2-256.7 1008 1130 18.67% 32.65% 48.68%-0.72 +1.8 16
2018-12-01 @ Lovcen D 2-256.7 1130 1008 48.68% 32.65% 18.67%+0.72 -1.8 26
2018-12-01 Zeta D 0-047.7 973 1225 10.75% 26.88% 62.37%-1.48 +4.8 9
2018-12-01 @ Mornar D 0-047.7 1225 973 62.37% 26.88% 10.75%+1.48 -4.8 28
2018-12-05 Lovcen W 3-030.8 1220 1010 58.26% 29.00% 12.74%+1.21 +17.1 31
2018-12-05 @ Zeta L 0-330.8 1010 1220 12.74% 29.00% 58.26%-1.21 -17.1 16
2018-12-05 Mornar W 2-032.8 1175 978 57.01% 29.58% 13.41%+1.14 +12.4 22
2018-12-05 @ Grbalj L 0-232.8 978 1175 13.41% 29.58% 57.01%-1.14 -12.4 9
2018-12-05 Petrovac W 3-039.1 1128 1141 30.90% 34.73% 34.37%-0.08 +38.4 29
2018-12-05 @ Titograd L 0-339.1 1141 1128 34.37% 34.73% 30.90%+0.08 -38.4 27
2018-12-05 Rudar D 1-150.5 1086 1099 30.72% 34.72% 34.55%-0.09 +0.3 21
2018-12-05 @ Iskra D 1-150.5 1099 1086 34.55% 34.72% 30.72%+0.09 -0.3 22
2018-12-05 Sutjeska D 1-151.7 1173 1312 17.31% 32.06% 50.63%-0.82 +2.7 28
2018-12-05 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 1-151.7 1312 1173 50.63% 32.06% 17.31%+0.82 -2.7 33
2018-12-08 Lovcen W 3-246.2 1188 993 56.74% 29.71% 13.55%+1.12 +6.0 25
2018-12-08 @ Grbalj L 2-346.2 993 1188 13.55% 29.71% 56.74%-1.12 -6.0 16
2018-12-08 Mornar W 2-137.4 1310 965 70.69% 21.84% 7.47%+1.99 +3.1 36
2018-12-08 @ Sutjeska L 1-237.4 965 1310 7.47% 21.84% 70.69%-1.99 -3.1 9
2018-12-08 Petrovac D 0-046.2 1237 1102 50.14% 32.22% 17.64%+0.77 -2.9 32
2018-12-08 @ Zeta D 0-046.2 1102 1237 17.64% 32.22% 50.14%-0.77 +2.9 28
2018-12-08 Rudar W 1-040.2 1167 1099 41.97% 34.08% 23.95%+0.38 +10.9 32
2018-12-08 @ Titograd L 0-140.2 1099 1167 23.95% 34.08% 41.97%-0.38 -10.9 22
2018-12-09 Buducnost Podgorica D 0-045.7 1086 1176 21.60% 33.58% 44.82%-0.54 +2.0 22
2018-12-09 @ Iskra D 0-045.7 1176 1086 44.82% 33.58% 21.60%+0.54 -2.0 29
2019-02-19 Grbalj D 3-359.8 1105 1194 21.75% 33.62% 44.63%-0.53 +1.1 29
2019-02-19 @ Petrovac D 3-359.8 1194 1105 44.63% 33.62% 21.75%+0.53 -1.1 26
2019-02-19 Mornar W 5-030.8 1174 962 58.47% 28.90% 12.63%+1.22 +27.2 32
2019-02-19 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-530.8 962 1174 12.63% 28.90% 58.47%-1.22 -27.2 9
2019-02-19 Sutjeska L 1-334.9 987 1313 8.03% 22.84% 69.13%-1.91 -5.9 16
2019-02-19 @ Lovcen W 3-134.9 1313 987 69.13% 22.84% 8.03%+1.91 +5.9 39
2019-02-19 Titograd L 2-349.8 1088 1178 21.64% 33.59% 44.77%-0.53 -9.0 22
2019-02-19 @ Iskra W 3-249.8 1178 1088 44.77% 33.59% 21.64%+0.53 +9.0 35
2019-02-19 Zeta D 1-151.5 1088 1234 16.76% 31.80% 51.44%-0.86 +2.8 23
2019-02-19 @ Rudar D 1-151.5 1234 1088 51.44% 31.80% 16.76%+0.86 -2.8 33
2019-02-26 Buducnost Podgorica L 1-248.3 1187 1201 30.56% 34.72% 34.72%-0.10 -12.2 35
2019-02-26 @ Titograd W 2-148.3 1201 1187 34.72% 34.72% 30.56%+0.10 +12.2 35
2019-02-26 Iskra L 0-245.1 1231 1079 52.15% 31.55% 16.30%+0.88 -36.0 33
2019-02-26 @ Zeta W 2-045.1 1079 1231 16.30% 31.55% 52.15%-0.88 +36.0 25
2019-02-26 Lovcen D 0-045.4 935 981 26.51% 34.44% 39.05%-0.28 +1.0 10
2019-02-26 @ Mornar D 0-045.4 981 935 39.05% 34.44% 26.51%+0.28 -1.0 17
2019-02-26 Petrovac W 2-141.3 1319 1106 58.53% 28.87% 12.60%+1.23 +5.8 42
2019-02-26 @ Sutjeska L 1-241.3 1106 1319 12.60% 28.87% 58.53%-1.23 -5.8 29
2019-02-26 Rudar D 1-151.0 1193 1091 46.27% 33.27% 20.46%+0.58 -2.0 27
2019-02-26 @ Grbalj D 1-151.0 1091 1193 20.46% 33.27% 46.27%-0.58 +2.0 24
2019-03-02 Grbalj D 1-150.8 1115 1191 23.09% 33.92% 42.99%-0.45 +1.5 26
2019-03-02 @ Iskra D 1-150.8 1191 1115 42.99% 33.92% 23.09%+0.45 -1.5 28
2019-03-02 Lovcen W 7-031.1 1214 980 60.64% 27.81% 11.55%+1.35 +33.9 38
2019-03-02 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-731.1 980 1214 11.55% 27.81% 60.64%-1.35 -33.9 17
2019-03-02 Mornar W 2-142.5 1100 936 53.47% 31.06% 15.46%+0.95 +7.1 32
2019-03-02 @ Petrovac L 1-242.5 936 1100 15.46% 31.06% 53.47%-0.95 -7.1 10
2019-03-02 Sutjeska D 1-152.8 1093 1324 11.65% 27.91% 60.44%-1.36 +4.1 25
2019-03-02 @ Rudar D 1-152.8 1324 1093 60.44% 27.91% 11.65%+1.36 -4.1 43
2019-03-02 Zeta L 0-239.4 1175 1195 29.77% 34.69% 35.54%-0.13 -24.0 35
2019-03-02 @ Titograd W 2-039.4 1195 1175 35.54% 34.69% 29.77%+0.13 +24.0 36
2019-03-08 Rudar D 0-046.5 929 1097 15.22% 30.91% 53.86%-0.99 +3.5 11
2019-03-08 @ Mornar D 0-046.5 1097 929 53.86% 30.91% 15.22%+0.99 -3.5 26
2019-03-09 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-337.6 1219 1248 28.71% 34.63% 36.66%-0.18 -34.0 36
2019-03-09 @ Zeta W 3-037.6 1248 1219 36.66% 34.63% 28.71%+0.18 +34.0 41
2019-03-09 Iskra W 2-032.9 1320 1116 57.66% 29.28% 13.06%+1.18 +12.1 46
2019-03-09 @ Sutjeska L 0-232.9 1116 1320 13.06% 29.28% 57.66%-1.18 -12.1 26
2019-03-09 Petrovac L 1-339.6 946 1108 15.65% 31.18% 53.17%-0.95 -12.5 17
2019-03-09 @ Lovcen W 3-139.6 1108 946 53.17% 31.18% 15.65%+0.95 +12.5 35
2019-03-09 Titograd W 1-041.4 1189 1150 38.07% 34.53% 27.40%+0.21 +12.0 31
2019-03-09 @ Grbalj L 0-141.4 1150 1189 27.40% 34.53% 38.07%-0.21 -12.0 35
2019-03-13 Grbalj W 1-043.8 1185 1201 30.35% 34.71% 34.94%-0.11 +14.2 39
2019-03-13 @ Zeta L 0-143.8 1201 1185 34.94% 34.71% 30.35%+0.11 -14.2 31
2019-03-13 Lovcen W 2-142.7 1093 934 52.99% 31.25% 15.77%+0.92 +7.3 29
2019-03-13 @ Rudar L 1-242.7 934 1093 15.77% 31.25% 52.99%-0.92 -7.3 17
2019-03-13 Mornar D 1-151.7 1104 933 54.30% 30.74% 14.96%+0.99 -3.2 27
2019-03-13 @ Iskra D 1-151.7 933 1104 14.96% 30.74% 54.30%-0.99 +3.2 12
2019-03-13 Petrovac W 3-032.5 1282 1120 53.18% 31.18% 15.64%+0.93 +21.0 44
2019-03-13 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-332.5 1120 1282 15.64% 31.18% 53.18%-0.93 -21.0 35
2019-03-13 Sutjeska L 0-136.1 1138 1332 13.61% 29.75% 56.63%-1.14 -6.7 35
2019-03-13 @ Titograd W 1-036.1 1332 1138 56.63% 29.75% 13.61%+1.14 +6.7 49
2019-03-17 Buducnost Podgorica D 1-151.4 1187 1303 19.22% 32.86% 47.92%-0.68 +2.2 32
2019-03-17 @ Grbalj D 1-151.4 1303 1187 47.92% 32.86% 19.22%+0.68 -2.2 45
2019-03-17 Iskra L 1-242.2 926 1101 14.76% 30.61% 54.63%-1.03 -6.8 17
2019-03-17 @ Lovcen W 2-142.2 1101 926 54.63% 30.61% 14.76%+1.03 +6.8 30
2019-03-17 Rudar W 3-253.5 1099 1101 32.40% 34.75% 32.85%-0.02 +12.2 38
2019-03-17 @ Petrovac L 2-353.5 1101 1099 32.85% 34.75% 32.40%+0.02 -12.2 29
2019-03-17 Titograd L 0-331.2 936 1132 13.49% 29.65% 56.86%-1.15 -18.1 12
2019-03-17 @ Mornar W 3-031.2 1132 936 56.86% 29.65% 13.49%+1.15 +18.1 38
2019-03-17 Zeta W 1-038.1 1339 1199 50.76% 32.02% 17.22%+0.80 +8.4 52
2019-03-17 @ Sutjeska L 0-138.1 1199 1339 17.22% 32.02% 50.76%-0.80 -8.4 39
2019-03-30 Lovcen W 3-245.1 1150 919 60.33% 27.97% 11.70%+1.33 +5.1 41
2019-03-30 @ Titograd L 2-345.1 919 1150 11.70% 27.97% 60.33%-1.33 -5.1 17
2019-03-30 Mornar W 2-030.6 1191 918 64.42% 25.72% 9.86%+1.58 +8.8 42
2019-03-30 @ Zeta L 0-230.6 918 1191 9.86% 25.72% 64.42%-1.58 -8.8 12
2019-03-30 Petrovac W 2-149.0 1108 1111 32.16% 34.75% 33.09%-0.03 +12.9 33
2019-03-30 @ Iskra L 1-249.0 1111 1108 33.09% 34.75% 32.16%+0.03 -12.9 38
2019-03-30 Rudar W 1-035.4 1300 1088 58.48% 28.90% 12.63%+1.22 +6.2 48
2019-03-30 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-135.4 1088 1300 12.63% 28.90% 58.48%-1.22 -6.2 29
2019-03-30 Sutjeska D 0-046.9 1189 1347 15.88% 31.32% 52.80%-0.93 +3.3 33
2019-03-30 @ Grbalj D 0-046.9 1347 1189 52.80% 31.32% 15.88%+0.93 -3.3 53
2019-04-03 Buducnost Podgorica D 2-257.5 1344 1306 37.91% 34.54% 27.54%+0.21 -0.6 54
2019-04-03 @ Sutjeska D 2-257.5 1306 1344 27.54% 34.54% 37.91%-0.21 +0.6 49
2019-04-03 Grbalj L 2-439.2 909 1193 9.46% 25.15% 65.39%-1.66 -6.5 12
2019-04-03 @ Mornar W 4-239.2 1193 909 65.39% 25.15% 9.46%+1.66 +6.5 36
2019-04-03 Iskra D 1-150.6 1082 1121 27.41% 34.53% 38.06%-0.24 +0.8 30
2019-04-03 @ Rudar D 1-150.6 1121 1082 38.06% 34.53% 27.41%+0.24 -0.8 34
2019-04-03 Titograd L 0-140.6 1098 1155 25.23% 34.28% 40.49%-0.34 -11.3 38
2019-04-03 @ Petrovac W 1-040.6 1155 1098 40.49% 34.28% 25.23%+0.34 +11.3 44
2019-04-03 Zeta W 1-049.9 914 1200 9.41% 25.07% 65.52%-1.67 +22.7 20
2019-04-03 @ Lovcen L 0-149.9 1200 914 65.52% 25.07% 9.41%+1.67 -22.7 42
2019-04-06 Titograd D 2-256.5 1083 1166 22.30% 33.75% 43.95%-0.50 +1.2 31
2019-04-06 @ Rudar D 2-256.5 1166 1083 43.95% 33.75% 22.30%+0.50 -1.2 45
2019-04-07 Grbalj D 1-153.0 937 1199 10.31% 26.32% 63.37%-1.54 +4.5 21
2019-04-07 @ Lovcen D 1-153.0 1199 937 63.37% 26.32% 10.31%+1.54 -4.5 37
2019-04-07 Iskra W 3-139.0 1307 1120 55.91% 30.07% 14.02%+1.08 +11.2 52
2019-04-07 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 1-339.0 1120 1307 14.02% 30.07% 55.91%-1.08 -11.2 34
2019-04-07 Sutjeska L 0-324.9 902 1344 5.05% 16.73% 78.23%-2.58 -5.4 12
2019-04-07 @ Mornar W 3-024.9 1344 902 78.23% 16.73% 5.05%+2.58 +5.4 57
2019-04-07 Zeta L 0-236.5 1087 1177 21.62% 33.59% 44.79%-0.54 -19.1 38
2019-04-07 @ Petrovac W 2-036.5 1177 1087 44.79% 33.59% 21.62%+0.54 +19.1 45
2019-04-13 Buducnost Podgorica L 0-129.7 897 1318 5.48% 17.72% 76.80%-2.47 -2.2 12
2019-04-13 @ Mornar W 1-029.7 1318 897 76.80% 17.72% 5.48%+2.47 +2.2 55
2019-04-13 Iskra L 1-251.1 1165 1109 40.44% 34.29% 25.27%+0.32 -14.8 45
2019-04-13 @ Titograd W 2-151.1 1109 1165 25.27% 34.29% 40.44%-0.32 +14.8 37
2019-04-13 Lovcen W 4-025.3 1349 942 75.76% 18.44% 5.80%+2.36 +8.5 60
2019-04-13 @ Sutjeska L 0-425.3 942 1349 5.80% 18.44% 75.76%-2.36 -8.5 21
2019-04-13 Petrovac W 2-035.2 1195 1068 49.24% 32.49% 18.27%+0.73 +16.6 40
2019-04-13 @ Grbalj L 0-235.2 1068 1195 18.27% 32.49% 49.24%-0.73 -16.6 38
2019-04-13 Rudar W 2-144.4 1196 1084 47.46% 32.98% 19.56%+0.64 +8.8 48
2019-04-13 @ Zeta L 1-244.4 1084 1196 19.56% 32.98% 47.46%-0.64 -8.8 31
2019-04-20 Grbalj W 3-043.1 1075 1211 17.54% 32.17% 50.29%-0.80 +50.9 34
2019-04-20 @ Rudar L 0-343.1 1211 1075 50.29% 32.17% 17.54%+0.80 -50.9 40
2019-04-20 Mornar W 1-041.3 933 895 38.01% 34.54% 27.45%+0.21 +12.1 24
2019-04-20 @ Lovcen L 0-141.3 895 933 27.45% 34.54% 38.01%-0.21 -12.1 12
2019-04-20 Zeta L 0-139.7 1124 1205 22.53% 33.80% 43.67%-0.48 -10.4 37
2019-04-20 @ Iskra W 1-039.7 1205 1124 43.67% 33.80% 22.53%+0.48 +10.4 51
2019-04-21 Sutjeska L 0-132.7 1051 1357 8.67% 23.93% 67.40%-1.79 -4.0 38
2019-04-21 @ Petrovac W 1-032.7 1357 1051 67.40% 23.93% 8.67%+1.79 +4.0 63
2019-04-21 Titograd W 4-032.1 1321 1150 54.12% 30.81% 15.06%+0.98 +26.4 58
2019-04-21 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 0-432.1 1150 1321 15.06% 30.81% 54.12%-0.98 -26.4 45
2019-04-27 Buducnost Podgorica D 1-155.4 945 1347 5.93% 18.73% 75.34%-2.35 +5.7 25
2019-04-27 @ Lovcen D 1-155.4 1347 945 75.34% 18.73% 5.93%+2.35 -5.7 59
2019-04-27 Iskra W 2-146.9 1160 1113 39.21% 34.43% 26.36%+0.26 +11.1 43
2019-04-27 @ Grbalj L 1-246.9 1113 1160 26.36% 34.43% 39.21%-0.26 -11.0 37
2019-04-27 Petrovac L 1-535.2 883 1047 15.43% 31.05% 53.52%-0.97 -22.5 12
2019-04-27 @ Mornar W 5-135.2 1047 883 53.52% 31.05% 15.43%+0.97 +22.6 41
2019-04-27 Rudar W 4-030.1 1361 1126 60.78% 27.74% 11.49%+1.36 +19.9 66
2019-04-27 @ Sutjeska L 0-430.1 1126 1361 11.49% 27.74% 60.78%-1.36 -19.9 34
2019-04-27 Titograd D 1-151.0 1215 1124 44.97% 33.55% 21.48%+0.52 -1.8 52
2019-04-27 @ Zeta D 1-151.0 1124 1215 21.48% 33.55% 44.97%-0.52 +1.8 46
2019-05-04 Grbalj D 2-256.3 1126 1171 26.53% 34.44% 39.03%-0.28 +0.7 47
2019-05-04 @ Titograd D 2-256.3 1171 1126 39.03% 34.44% 26.53%+0.28 -0.7 44
2019-05-04 Lovcen D 0-045.9 1070 951 48.34% 32.74% 18.91%+0.68 -2.6 42
2019-05-04 @ Petrovac D 0-045.9 951 1070 18.91% 32.74% 48.34%-0.68 +2.6 26
2019-05-04 Mornar W 3-136.9 1106 860 61.87% 27.15% 10.98%+1.42 +8.6 37
2019-05-04 @ Rudar L 1-336.9 860 1106 10.98% 27.15% 61.87%-1.42 -8.6 12
2019-05-04 Sutjeska D 1-153.7 1102 1381 9.64% 25.41% 64.96%-1.64 +4.7 38
2019-05-04 @ Iskra D 1-153.7 1381 1102 64.96% 25.41% 9.64%+1.64 -4.7 67
2019-05-04 Zeta D 0-046.7 1341 1213 49.37% 32.45% 18.18%+0.73 -2.8 60
2019-05-04 @ Buducnost Podgorica D 0-046.7 1213 1341 18.18% 32.45% 49.37%-0.73 +2.8 53
2019-05-11 Buducnost Podgorica D 0-048.2 1067 1338 9.94% 25.83% 64.22%-1.59 +5.1 43
2019-05-11 @ Petrovac D 0-048.2 1338 1067 64.22% 25.83% 9.94%+1.59 -5.1 61
2019-05-11 Iskra L 1-336.7 852 1107 10.59% 26.68% 62.74%-1.50 -8.3 12
2019-05-11 @ Mornar W 3-136.7 1107 852 62.74% 26.68% 10.59%+1.50 +8.3 41
2019-05-11 Rudar L 0-136.8 953 1115 15.64% 31.17% 53.19%-0.95 -7.7 26
2019-05-11 @ Lovcen W 1-036.8 1115 953 53.19% 31.17% 15.64%+0.95 +7.7 40
2019-05-11 Titograd L 1-255.8 1377 1126 62.25% 26.94% 10.80%+1.45 -20.6 67
2019-05-11 @ Sutjeska W 2-155.8 1126 1377 10.80% 26.94% 62.25%-1.45 +20.7 50
2019-05-11 Zeta D 0-045.6 1171 1216 26.56% 34.45% 38.99%-0.28 +1.0 45
2019-05-11 @ Grbalj D 0-045.6 1216 1171 38.99% 34.45% 26.56%+0.28 -1.0 54
2019-05-15 Grbalj W 5-344.6 1333 1172 53.19% 31.17% 15.64%+0.93 +10.6 64
2019-05-15 @ Buducnost Podgorica L 3-544.6 1172 1333 15.64% 31.17% 53.19%-0.93 -10.6 45
2019-05-15 Lovcen W 2-033.7 1115 946 54.04% 30.85% 15.12%+0.98 +14.0 44
2019-05-15 @ Iskra L 0-233.7 946 1115 15.12% 30.85% 54.04%-0.98 -14.0 26
2019-05-15 Mornar W 6-130.3 1147 843 67.19% 24.06% 8.75%+1.76 +14.7 53
2019-05-15 @ Titograd L 1-630.3 843 1147 8.75% 24.06% 67.19%-1.76 -14.7 12
2019-05-15 Petrovac L 0-145.0 1123 1072 39.64% 34.38% 25.98%+0.28 -15.5 40
2019-05-15 @ Rudar W 1-045.0 1072 1123 25.98% 34.38% 39.64%-0.28 +15.5 46
2019-05-15 Sutjeska D 1-152.1 1215 1356 17.15% 31.99% 50.87%-0.83 +2.7 55
2019-05-15 @ Zeta D 1-152.1 1356 1215 50.87% 31.99% 17.15%+0.83 -2.7 68
2019-05-19 Buducnost Podgorica D 2-258.5 1107 1344 11.41% 27.65% 60.94%-1.39 +3.1 41
2019-05-19 @ Rudar D 2-258.5 1344 1107 60.94% 27.65% 11.41%+1.39 -3.1 65
2019-05-19 Grbalj W 2-033.4 1353 1161 56.45% 29.84% 13.72%+1.11 +12.7 71
2019-05-19 @ Sutjeska L 0-233.4 1161 1353 13.72% 29.84% 56.45%-1.11 -12.7 45
2019-05-19 Iskra L 0-436.5 1088 1129 27.09% 34.50% 38.41%-0.25 -42.7 46
2019-05-19 @ Petrovac W 4-036.5 1129 1088 38.41% 34.50% 27.09%+0.25 +42.7 47
2019-05-19 Titograd L 1-337.4 932 1162 11.73% 28.00% 60.27%-1.35 -9.3 26
2019-05-19 @ Lovcen W 3-137.4 1162 932 60.27% 28.00% 11.73%+1.35 +9.3 56
2019-05-19 Zeta L 0-326.0 829 1218 6.24% 19.40% 74.36%-2.28 -7.1 12
2019-05-19 @ Mornar W 3-026.0 1218 829 74.36% 19.40% 6.24%+2.28 +7.1 58
2019-05-25 Lovcen W 3-243.1 1225 922 67.08% 24.12% 8.79%+1.75 +3.6 61
2019-05-25 @ Zeta L 2-343.1 922 1225 8.79% 24.12% 67.08%-1.75 -3.6 26
2019-05-25 Mornar W 4-027.2 1148 821 69.24% 22.78% 7.99%+1.89 +12.8 48
2019-05-25 @ Grbalj L 0-427.2 821 1148 7.99% 22.78% 69.24%-1.89 -12.8 12
2019-05-25 Petrovac D 1-151.2 1171 1045 49.13% 32.52% 18.35%+0.72 -2.4 57
2019-05-25 @ Titograd D 1-151.2 1045 1171 18.35% 32.52% 49.13%-0.72 +2.4 47
2019-05-25 Rudar W 5-139.0 1172 1110 41.14% 34.20% 24.66%+0.35 +33.3 50
2019-05-25 @ Iskra L 1-539.0 1110 1172 24.66% 34.20% 41.14%-0.35 -33.3 41
2019-05-25 Sutjeska L 0-241.0 1341 1366 29.15% 34.66% 36.19%-0.16 -23.7 65
2019-05-25 @ Buducnost Podgorica W 2-041.0 1366 1341 36.19% 34.66% 29.15%+0.16 +23.7 74

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2019-04-03 9.41% @ Lovcen 914 1 Zeta 1200 0
2 2019-05-11 10.80% Titograd 1126 2 @ Sutjeska 1377 1
3 2018-10-20 15.92% @ Petrovac 1063 1 Sutjeska 1220 0
4 2019-02-26 16.30% Iskra 1079 2 @ Zeta 1231 0
5 2019-04-20 17.54% @ Rudar 1075 3 Grbalj 1211 0
6 2018-11-24 18.78% Lovcen 979 3 @ Iskra 1099 1
7 2018-09-29 19.40% @ Rudar 1115 3 Titograd 1228 1
8 2018-09-15 19.61% Zeta 1103 1 @ Sutjeska 1214 0
9 2018-08-25 19.88% Iskra 1122 2 @ Sutjeska 1230 1
10 2018-12-01 19.94% @ Rudar 1083 2 Buducnost Podgorica 1190 1
11 2018-12-01 21.95% Iskra 1070 2 @ Petrovac 1156 1
12 2018-08-25 22.87% Petrovac 1058 3 @ Lovcen 1136 1
13 2018-09-19 24.17% Petrovac 1112 1 @ Iskra 1178 0
14 2019-04-13 25.27% Iskra 1109 2 @ Titograd 1165 1
15 2018-08-15 25.80% Iskra 1097 3 @ Zeta 1149 1
16 2019-05-15 25.98% Petrovac 1072 1 @ Rudar 1123 0
17 2018-09-15 26.00% @ Petrovac 1087 3 Rudar 1137 1
18 2018-10-20 26.87% Mornar 971 1 @ Lovcen 1014 0
19 2018-11-24 28.28% Petrovac 1104 4 @ Rudar 1135 0
20 2018-08-15 29.29% @ Titograd 1181 1 Buducnost Podgorica 1205 0
21 2018-08-04 29.45% Lovcen 1102 1 @ Grbalj 1125 0
22 2018-11-03 29.52% Zeta 1196 2 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1219 0
23 2019-03-13 30.35% @ Zeta 1185 1 Grbalj 1201 0
24 2018-12-05 30.90% @ Titograd 1128 3 Petrovac 1141 0
25 2018-10-27 32.15% @ Zeta 1183 1 Titograd 1186 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2018-09-29 57.87 Grbalj 5 1079 34.15% @ Lovcen 0 1068 31.11% 34.73%
2 2018-11-24 52.87 Petrovac 4 1104 28.28% @ Rudar 0 1135 37.12% 34.60%
3 2019-04-20 50.88 @ Rudar 3 1075 17.54% Grbalj 0 1211 50.29% 32.17%
4 2018-10-06 44.32 @ Grbalj 4 1136 36.82% Petrovac 0 1107 28.56% 34.62%
5 2019-05-19 42.72 Iskra 4 1129 38.41% @ Petrovac 0 1088 27.09% 34.50%
6 2018-12-05 38.39 @ Titograd 3 1128 30.90% Petrovac 0 1141 34.37% 34.73%
7 2018-11-03 37.00 Sutjeska 4 1222 44.00% @ Iskra 0 1139 22.26% 33.74%
8 2019-02-26 36.05 Iskra 2 1079 16.30% @ Zeta 0 1231 52.15% 31.55%
9 2019-03-09 34.05 Buducnost Podgorica 3 1248 36.66% @ Zeta 0 1219 28.71% 34.63%
10 2019-03-02 33.94 @ Buducnost Podgorica 7 1214 60.64% Lovcen 0 980 11.55% 27.81%
11 2019-05-25 33.30 @ Iskra 5 1172 41.14% Rudar 1 1110 24.66% 34.20%
12 2018-11-24 29.49 Lovcen 3 979 18.78% @ Iskra 1 1099 48.52% 32.69%
13 2018-09-29 29.08 @ Rudar 3 1115 19.40% Titograd 1 1228 47.67% 32.92%
14 2018-12-01 28.76 @ Sutjeska 3 1283 43.45% Grbalj 0 1204 22.71% 33.84%
15 2019-02-19 27.24 @ Buducnost Podgorica 5 1174 58.47% Mornar 0 962 12.63% 28.90%
16 2018-11-03 27.17 Zeta 2 1196 29.52% @ Buducnost Podgorica 0 1219 35.80% 34.68%
17 2018-08-25 26.99 Petrovac 3 1058 22.87% @ Lovcen 1 1136 43.26% 33.87%
18 2019-04-21 26.44 @ Buducnost Podgorica 4 1321 54.12% Titograd 0 1150 15.06% 30.81%
19 2018-08-12 26.06 @ Buducnost Podgorica 3 1179 46.82% Mornar 0 1073 20.04% 33.14%
20 2018-11-10 25.52 @ Sutjeska 3 1259 47.50% Titograd 0 1147 19.53% 32.97%
21 2018-08-15 25.38 Iskra 3 1097 25.80% @ Zeta 1 1149 39.84% 34.36%
22 2018-09-15 25.27 @ Petrovac 3 1087 26.00% Rudar 1 1137 39.61% 34.38%
23 2018-11-03 25.04 Grbalj 2 1179 33.58% @ Titograd 0 1172 31.67% 34.74%
24 2019-03-02 24.03 Zeta 2 1195 35.54% @ Titograd 0 1175 29.77% 34.69%
25 2019-05-25 23.69 Sutjeska 2 1366 36.19% @ Buducnost Podgorica 0 1341 29.15% 34.66%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-02-19 59.8 @ Petrovac 3 1105 21.75% Grbalj 3 1194 44.63% 33.62%
2 2019-05-19 58.5 @ Rudar 2 1107 11.41% Buducnost Podgorica 2 1344 60.94% 27.65%
3 2019-04-03 57.5 @ Sutjeska 2 1344 37.91% Buducnost Podgorica 2 1306 27.54% 34.54%
4 2018-12-01 56.7 @ Lovcen 2 1008 18.67% Titograd 2 1130 48.68% 32.65%
5 2019-04-06 56.5 @ Rudar 2 1083 22.30% Titograd 2 1166 43.95% 33.75%
6 2019-05-04 56.3 @ Titograd 2 1126 26.53% Grbalj 2 1171 39.03% 34.44%
7 2019-05-11 55.8 Titograd 2 1126 10.80% @ Sutjeska 1 1377 62.25% 26.94%
8 2019-04-27 55.4 @ Lovcen 1 945 5.93% Buducnost Podgorica 1 1347 75.34% 18.73%
9 2019-05-04 53.7 @ Iskra 1 1102 9.64% Sutjeska 1 1381 64.96% 25.41%
10 2019-03-17 53.5 @ Petrovac 3 1099 32.40% Rudar 2 1101 32.85% 34.75%
11 2019-04-07 53.0 @ Lovcen 1 937 10.31% Grbalj 1 1199 63.37% 26.32%
12 2019-03-02 52.8 @ Rudar 1 1093 11.65% Sutjeska 1 1324 60.44% 27.91%
13 2018-08-25 52.7 Iskra 2 1122 19.88% @ Sutjeska 1 1230 47.04% 33.08%
14 2018-12-01 52.7 @ Rudar 2 1083 19.94% Buducnost Podgorica 1 1190 46.95% 33.10%
15 2018-10-06 52.3 @ Sutjeska 1 1224 58.68% Lovcen 1 1010 12.52% 28.80%
16 2019-05-15 52.1 @ Zeta 1 1215 17.15% Sutjeska 1 1356 50.87% 31.99%
17 2018-12-01 52.0 Iskra 2 1070 21.95% @ Petrovac 1 1156 44.39% 33.67%
18 2018-12-05 51.7 @ Buducnost Podgorica 1 1173 17.31% Sutjeska 1 1312 50.63% 32.06%
19 2019-03-13 51.7 @ Iskra 1 1104 54.30% Mornar 1 933 14.96% 30.74%
20 2018-08-05 51.5 @ Sutjeska 1 1218 51.65% Mornar 1 1070 16.62% 31.72%
21 2019-02-19 51.5 @ Rudar 1 1088 16.76% Zeta 1 1234 51.44% 31.80%
22 2018-11-03 51.4 @ Rudar 1 1124 51.65% Mornar 1 976 16.62% 31.72%
23 2019-03-17 51.4 @ Grbalj 1 1187 19.22% Buducnost Podgorica 1 1303 47.92% 32.86%
24 2019-05-25 51.2 @ Titograd 1 1171 49.13% Petrovac 1 1045 18.35% 32.52%
25 2018-08-25 51.1 @ Mornar 1 1018 18.65% Rudar 1 1140 48.70% 32.64%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-04-07 24.9 Sutjeska 3 1344 78.23% @ Mornar 0 902 5.05% 16.73%
2 2019-04-13 25.3 @ Sutjeska 4 1349 75.76% Lovcen 0 942 5.80% 18.44%
3 2019-05-19 26.0 Zeta 3 1218 74.36% @ Mornar 0 829 6.24% 19.40%
4 2019-05-25 27.2 @ Grbalj 4 1148 69.24% Mornar 0 821 7.99% 22.78%
5 2019-04-13 29.7 Buducnost Podgorica 1 1318 76.80% @ Mornar 0 897 5.48% 17.72%
6 2019-04-27 30.1 @ Sutjeska 4 1361 60.78% Rudar 0 1126 11.49% 27.74%
7 2019-05-15 30.3 @ Titograd 6 1147 67.19% Mornar 1 843 8.75% 24.06%
8 2019-03-30 30.6 @ Zeta 2 1191 64.42% Mornar 0 918 9.86% 25.72%
9 2018-12-05 30.8 @ Zeta 3 1220 58.26% Lovcen 0 1010 12.74% 29.00%
10 2019-02-19 30.8 @ Buducnost Podgorica 5 1174 58.47% Mornar 0 962 12.63% 28.90%
11 2019-03-02 31.1 @ Buducnost Podgorica 7 1214 60.64% Lovcen 0 980 11.55% 27.81%
12 2019-03-17 31.2 Titograd 3 1132 56.86% @ Mornar 0 936 13.49% 29.65%
13 2019-04-21 32.1 @ Buducnost Podgorica 4 1321 54.12% Titograd 0 1150 15.06% 30.81%
14 2019-03-13 32.5 @ Buducnost Podgorica 3 1282 53.18% Petrovac 0 1120 15.64% 31.18%
15 2019-04-21 32.7 Sutjeska 1 1357 67.40% @ Petrovac 0 1051 8.67% 23.93%
16 2018-12-05 32.8 @ Grbalj 2 1175 57.01% Mornar 0 978 13.41% 29.58%
17 2019-03-09 32.9 @ Sutjeska 2 1320 57.66% Iskra 0 1116 13.06% 29.28%
18 2019-05-19 33.4 @ Sutjeska 2 1353 56.45% Grbalj 0 1161 13.72% 29.84%
19 2019-05-15 33.7 @ Iskra 2 1115 54.04% Lovcen 0 946 15.12% 30.85%
20 2018-11-10 34.2 @ Sutjeska 3 1259 47.50% Titograd 0 1147 19.53% 32.97%
21 2018-08-12 34.3 @ Buducnost Podgorica 3 1179 46.82% Mornar 0 1073 20.04% 33.14%
22 2018-09-29 34.5 Sutjeska 1 1218 60.90% @ Mornar 0 982 11.43% 27.67%
23 2018-10-06 34.7 Buducnost Podgorica 1 1205 60.14% @ Mornar 0 977 11.79% 28.07%
24 2018-11-03 34.9 Sutjeska 4 1222 44.00% @ Iskra 0 1139 22.26% 33.74%
25 2019-02-19 34.9 Sutjeska 3 1313 69.13% @ Lovcen 1 987 8.03% 22.84%