2025-26 Montenegrin First League Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Sutjeska

72 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Mornar

14.76 points above expected

69 points · 54.24 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Buducnost Podgorica

12.43 points below expected

48 points · 60.43 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Sutjeska	36	22	6	8	72	61	36	+25	59.55	+12.45
2	Mornar	36	20	9	7	69	51	29	+22	54.24	+14.76
3	Petrovac	36	13	12	11	51	44	36	+8	55.17	-4.17
4	Decic Tuzi	36	14	9	13	51	43	45	-2	49.69	+1.31
5	Buducnost Podgorica	36	13	9	14	48	36	35	+1	60.43	-12.43
6	Mladost DG	36	14	4	18	46	49	54	-5	42.98	+3.02
7	Arsenal Tivat	36	12	10	14	46	36	46	-10	44.11	+1.89
8	Jezero	36	10	11	15	41	38	48	-10	46.97	-5.97
9	Bokelj	36	8	12	16	36	38	48	-10	41.71	-5.71
10	Jedinstvo	36	9	8	19	35	30	49	-19	39.50	-4.50

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Mornar	69	54.24	+14.76
2	Sutjeska	72	59.55	+12.45
3	Mladost DG	46	42.98	+3.02
4	Arsenal Tivat	46	44.11	+1.89
5	Decic Tuzi	51	49.69	+1.31

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Buducnost Podgorica	48	60.43	-12.43
2	Jezero	41	46.97	-5.97
3	Bokelj	36	41.71	-5.71
4	Jedinstvo	35	39.50	-4.50
5	Petrovac	51	55.17	-4.17

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Mornar	9	Mar 11 – May 2	1 in 994
2	Jezero	4	Nov 22 – Dec 10	1 in 46
3	Sutjeska	5	Mar 7 – Apr 4	1 in 25
4	Arsenal Tivat	2	Feb 21 – Feb 25	1 in 20
5	Petrovac	4	Mar 1 – Mar 15	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Buducnost Podgorica	4	Nov 29 – Dec 14	1 in 171
2	Jezero	5	Mar 11 – Apr 8	1 in 148
3	Jedinstvo	5	Nov 1 – Dec 6	1 in 30
4	Bokelj	4	Aug 30 – Sep 21	1 in 24
5	Decic Tuzi	3	May 16 – May 24	1 in 20

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Bokelj	7	Nov 9 – Feb 25	1 in 84
2	Jedinstvo	7	Aug 24 – Oct 1	1 in 56
3	Mornar	13	Mar 11 – May 24	1 in 48
4	Jezero	6	Aug 10 – Sep 17	1 in 19
5	Sutjeska	7	Oct 18 – Dec 6	1 in 13

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Jedinstvo	13	Sep 27 – Feb 25	1 in 129
2	Buducnost Podgorica	6	Apr 12 – May 16	1 in 26
3	Bokelj	8	Aug 4 – Sep 21	1 in 23
4	Jezero	6	Sep 21 – Oct 26	1 in 16
5	Petrovac	5	Apr 12 – May 10	1 in 15

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Sutjeska	1267	72	+0	10	9.6	+0.4
Mornar	1281	69	+14	9	9.8	-0.8
Petrovac	1179	51	-5	6	7.7	-1.7
Decic Tuzi	1144	51	-14	4	6.7	-2.7
Buducnost Podgorica	1169	48	-6	6	7.6	-1.6
Mladost DG	1120	46	+43	10	5.0	+5.0
Arsenal Tivat	1103	46	-38	5	6.4	-1.4
Jezero	1083	41	-49	2	6.6	-4.6
Bokelj	1108	36	+26	7	5.1	+1.9
Jedinstvo	1087	35	+29	7	4.3	+2.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AT	BOK	BP	DT	JED	JEZ	MD	MOR	PET	SUT
Arsenal Tivat	—	2-0-2 6.00	3-0-1 3.80	1-1-2 4.75	2-2-0 5.56	0-2-2 5.29	1-1-2 5.63	1-1-2 4.65	2-1-1 4.33	0-2-2 4.00
Bokelj	2-0-2 4.96	—	2-0-2 3.68	2-2-0 4.53	0-3-1 5.80	1-2-1 4.81	1-2-1 5.42	0-2-2 4.17	0-1-3 4.15	0-0-4 3.71
Buducnost Podgorica	1-0-3 7.20	2-0-2 7.32	—	1-2-1 6.21	2-2-0 7.40	2-1-1 6.76	1-0-3 7.27	1-2-1 5.91	1-2-1 5.74	2-0-2 5.77
Decic Tuzi	2-1-1 6.21	0-2-2 6.44	1-2-1 4.75	—	4-0-0 6.52	3-0-1 5.73	2-0-2 6.34	1-1-2 5.44	0-3-1 5.02	1-0-3 4.50
Jedinstvo	0-2-2 5.39	1-3-0 5.16	0-2-2 3.61	0-0-4 4.45	—	3-0-1 4.48	1-0-3 5.15	2-0-2 4.14	1-0-3 3.81	1-1-2 3.48
Jezero	2-2-0 5.66	1-2-1 6.15	1-1-2 4.21	1-0-3 5.22	1-0-3 6.48	—	2-1-1 6.09	1-1-2 4.53	0-2-2 4.63	1-2-1 4.36
Mladost DG	2-1-1 5.32	1-2-1 5.53	3-0-1 3.74	2-0-2 4.62	3-0-1 5.81	1-1-2 4.85	—	0-0-4 4.54	2-0-2 4.19	0-0-4 3.66
Mornar	2-1-1 6.32	2-2-0 6.85	1-2-1 5.05	2-1-1 5.53	2-0-2 6.87	2-1-1 6.45	4-0-0 6.42	—	2-2-0 5.31	3-0-1 4.80
Petrovac	1-1-2 6.64	3-1-0 6.82	1-2-1 5.22	1-3-0 5.93	3-0-1 7.19	2-2-0 6.33	2-0-2 6.79	0-2-2 5.67	—	0-1-3 5.38
Sutjeska	2-2-0 6.99	4-0-0 7.30	2-0-2 5.19	3-0-1 6.47	2-1-1 7.57	1-2-1 6.63	4-0-0 7.35	1-0-3 6.16	3-1-0 5.58	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.75	+11.8
Allowed	0.57	-11.7
Differential	0.93	+8.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	11.67%	6.39%	2.50%	0.83%	—	31.39%
1	11.67%	11.11%	8.33%	3.33%	1.11%	—	35.56%
2	6.39%	8.33%	3.89%	1.39%	0.83%	0.56%	21.39%
3	2.50%	3.33%	1.39%	—	0.28%	—	7.50%
4	0.83%	1.11%	0.83%	0.28%	—	0.28%	3.33%
5+	—	—	0.56%	—	0.28%	—	0.83%
Total	31.39%	35.56%	21.39%	7.50%	3.33%	0.83%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	1.18	+0.00
SD	1.11	1.11	1.52
CV	0.94	0.94	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	11.11%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	41.67%
1	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	5.56%	—	22.22%
2	8.33%	11.11%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	30.56%
3	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	30.56%	22.22%	2.78%	11.11%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.28	-0.28
SD	0.99	1.28	1.49
CV	0.99	1.00	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	33.33%
1	8.33%	11.11%	16.67%	—	2.78%	—	38.89%
2	8.33%	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	2.78%	19.44%
3	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	38.89%	16.67%	30.56%	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.06	1.33	-0.28
SD	1.01	1.41	1.50
CV	0.96	1.06	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	22.22%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	44.44%
1	5.56%	13.89%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
2	13.89%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	22.22%
3	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.56%	47.22%	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	0.97	+0.03
SD	1.15	0.84	1.44
CV	1.15	0.87	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	33.33%
1	13.89%	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	36.11%
2	—	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
3	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	11.11%
4	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	36.11%	25.00%	5.56%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.19	1.25	-0.06
SD	1.19	1.11	1.47
CV	1.00	0.88	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	19.44%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	—	50.00%
1	8.33%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
2	2.78%	8.33%	—	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	19.44%
3	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	41.67%	16.67%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.83	1.36	-0.53
SD	1.03	1.27	1.52
CV	1.23	0.93	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	8.33%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
1	11.11%	16.67%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	44.44%
2	5.56%	8.33%	11.11%	—	—	—	25.00%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	33.33%	33.33%	11.11%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.06	1.33	-0.28
SD	0.89	0.96	1.49
CV	0.85	0.72	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	13.89%	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	25.00%
1	16.67%	—	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	—	41.67%
2	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
3	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	27.78%	25.00%	22.22%	19.44%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	1.50	-0.14
SD	1.27	1.25	1.73
CV	0.93	0.84	—
Max	5	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
1	16.67%	8.33%	11.11%	—	—	—	36.11%
2	8.33%	13.89%	5.56%	—	—	—	27.78%
3	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	44.44%	33.33%	19.44%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.42	0.81	+0.61
SD	1.00	0.86	1.38
CV	0.70	1.06	—
Max	3	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	16.67%	2.78%	—	—	—	25.00%
1	11.11%	25.00%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	44.44%
2	2.78%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
3	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	58.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.22	1.00	+0.22
SD	1.07	0.83	1.42
CV	0.88	0.83	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
1	16.67%	11.11%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	41.67%
2	11.11%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	19.44%
3	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	5.56%
Total	38.89%	33.33%	19.44%	5.56%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.69	1.00	+0.69
SD	1.31	1.04	1.43
CV	0.77	1.04	—
Max	5	4	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Mornar	1281	69	54.24	+14.76	99.0%	30	42	49	55	59	66	76
Sutjeska	1267	72	59.55	+12.45	96.0%	41	45	55	59	64	71	75
Petrovac	1179	51	55.17	-4.17	30.0%	43	44	50	55	60	66	73
Buducnost Podgorica	1169	48	60.43	-12.43	5.0%	41	48	56	60	66	72	74
Decic Tuzi	1144	51	49.69	+1.31	63.0%	37	39	45	50	54	62	68
Mladost DG	1120	46	42.98	+3.02	72.0%	26	32	38	42	47	57	60
Bokelj	1108	36	41.71	-5.71	25.0%	25	29	36	43	46	51	65
Arsenal Tivat	1103	46	44.11	+1.89	63.0%	25	31	39	44	49	58	63
Jedinstvo	1087	35	39.50	-4.50	29.0%	21	27	34	40	44	51	54
Jezero	1083	41	46.97	-5.97	23.0%	25	35	42	47	52	60	68

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+15.00%

Slight Edge

45.00%25.00%30.00%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 52.51 Elo pts.

225 Elo

0.004 goals per Elo point

0600

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.38 goals

Neutral

-2+0.23+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.9

Open

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

33%

Sutjeska, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.08/gm

Tight Race

00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.87 * Some Luck: 5.87 to 8.81 * Lucky: 8.81 to 11.75 * Wild Swing: 11.75 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.33 * Close: 1.33 to 2 * Off: 2 to 2.67 * Way Off: 2.67 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

8.05 points

Some Luck

07.3418

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.20

Pinpoint

01.674

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

99.00%

Mornar

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

5.00%

Buducnost Podgorica

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.13

Balanced

00.130.20.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 70.93

1.57

Moderate Separation

0.751.51.82.153

Interquartile Edge

60%

Even

50%63.5%74.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

76%

Even

50%79%100%

Close Games

Expected

69%

Very Frequent

0%68%100%

Blowouts

Expected 10%

10%

Rare

0%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.63

Hard to Predict

00.632

Matchup Imbalance

0.27

Very Even

00.340.420.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.18

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.44

Some Carryover

00.380.570.71

Upset Rate

Expected

30%

Very Upset-Prone

0%27%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

24%

Very Shaky

0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.

Probability calibration

0.23

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.72

Overconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.074

Well Within Noise

00.1210.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Sutjeska	33.00%	25.00%	15.00%	8.00%	11.00%	5.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—
Mornar	12.00%	16.00%	20.00%	18.00%	11.00%	6.00%	11.00%	3.00%	1.00%	2.00%
Petrovac	16.00%	11.00%	21.00%	20.00%	9.00%	13.00%	5.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—
Decic Tuzi	1.00%	5.00%	13.00%	15.00%	19.00%	12.00%	17.00%	8.00%	6.00%	4.00%
Buducnost Podgorica	33.00%	32.00%	13.00%	12.00%	4.00%	2.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—
Mladost DG	—	4.00%	2.00%	5.00%	5.00%	10.00%	14.00%	26.00%	16.00%	18.00%
Arsenal Tivat	3.00%	1.00%	5.00%	6.00%	9.00%	16.00%	13.00%	15.00%	18.00%	14.00%
Jezero	2.00%	4.00%	9.00%	8.00%	16.00%	14.00%	15.00%	12.00%	15.00%	5.00%
Bokelj	—	2.00%	2.00%	4.00%	7.00%	16.00%	11.00%	18.00%	15.00%	25.00%
Jedinstvo	—	—	—	4.00%	9.00%	6.00%	9.00%	12.00%	28.00%	32.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Buducnost Podgorica	99.00%	1.00%	—
Petrovac	95.00%	5.00%	—
Sutjeska	99.00%	1.00%	—
Mornar	94.00%	4.00%	2.00%
Decic Tuzi	82.00%	14.00%	4.00%
Jezero	68.00%	27.00%	5.00%
Arsenal Tivat	53.00%	33.00%	14.00%
Mladost DG	40.00%	42.00%	18.00%
Bokelj	42.00%	33.00%	25.00%
Jedinstvo	28.00%	40.00%	32.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2025-08-04	Jedinstvo	W 2-0	35.2	1127	1140	42.33%	26.35%	31.32%	+0.18	+14.9	3
2025-08-04	@ Arsenal Tivat	L 0-2	35.2	1140	1127	31.32%	26.35%	42.33%	-0.18	-14.9	0
2025-08-04	Mladost DG	W 3-2	47.3	1175	1104	53.07%	25.05%	21.88%	+0.55	+5.2	3
2025-08-04	@ Decic Tuzi	L 2-3	47.3	1104	1175	21.88%	25.05%	53.07%	-0.55	-5.2	0
2025-08-04	Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-2	45.3	1143	1247	29.80%	26.25%	43.95%	-0.23	-7.2	0
2025-08-04	@ Jezero	W 2-1	45.3	1247	1143	43.95%	26.25%	29.80%	+0.23	+7.2	3
2025-08-04	Bokelj	W 2-0	32.6	1176	1123	50.91%	25.43%	23.66%	+0.47	+11.9	3
2025-08-04	@ Petrovac	L 0-2	32.6	1123	1176	23.66%	25.43%	50.91%	-0.47	-11.8	0
2025-08-04	Mornar	W 3-0	31.6	1166	1139	47.61%	25.89%	26.50%	+0.35	+18.9	3
2025-08-04	@ Sutjeska	L 0-3	31.6	1139	1166	26.50%	25.89%	47.61%	-0.35	-18.9	0
2025-08-10	Mladost DG	D 2-2	60.1	1111	1099	45.76%	26.09%	28.15%	+0.29	-0.6	1
2025-08-10	@ Bokelj	D 2-2	60.1	1099	1111	28.15%	26.09%	45.76%	-0.29	+0.6	1
2025-08-10	Sutjeska	L 0-1	46.1	1254	1185	52.89%	25.09%	22.03%	+0.54	-11.9	3
2025-08-10	@ Buducnost Podgorica	W 1-0	46.1	1185	1254	22.03%	25.09%	52.89%	-0.54	+11.9	6
2025-08-10	Decic Tuzi	L 0-1	41.4	1125	1180	36.44%	26.51%	37.06%	-0.01	-8.9	0
2025-08-10	@ Jedinstvo	W 1-0	41.4	1180	1125	37.06%	26.51%	36.44%	+0.01	+8.9	6
2025-08-10	Arsenal Tivat	D 2-2	60.0	1120	1142	41.08%	26.42%	32.50%	+0.14	-0.3	1
2025-08-10	@ Mornar	D 2-2	60.0	1142	1120	32.50%	26.42%	41.08%	-0.14	+0.3	4
2025-08-10	Jezero	D 1-1	54.6	1188	1136	50.78%	25.45%	23.77%	+0.46	-1.4	4
2025-08-10	@ Petrovac	D 1-1	54.6	1136	1188	23.77%	25.45%	50.78%	-0.46	+1.3	1
2025-08-17	Buducnost Podgorica	W 1-0	43.5	1143	1242	30.33%	26.29%	43.38%	-0.21	+10.1	7
2025-08-17	@ Arsenal Tivat	L 0-1	43.5	1242	1143	43.38%	26.29%	30.33%	+0.21	-10.1	3
2025-08-17	Mornar	W 2-1	42.6	1189	1120	52.83%	25.10%	22.07%	+0.54	+5.6	9
2025-08-17	@ Decic Tuzi	L 1-2	42.6	1120	1189	22.07%	25.10%	52.83%	-0.54	-5.6	1
2025-08-17	Bokelj	D 2-2	60.2	1137	1111	47.62%	25.89%	26.49%	+0.35	-0.8	2
2025-08-17	@ Jezero	D 2-2	60.2	1111	1137	26.49%	25.89%	47.62%	-0.35	+0.8	2
2025-08-17	Jedinstvo	W 5-2	40.3	1099	1117	41.72%	26.39%	31.89%	+0.16	+16.0	4
2025-08-17	@ Mladost DG	L 2-5	40.3	1117	1099	31.89%	26.39%	41.72%	-0.16	-16.0	0
2025-08-17	Petrovac	D 1-1	54.5	1197	1187	45.47%	26.12%	28.41%	+0.28	-0.8	7
2025-08-17	@ Sutjeska	D 1-1	54.5	1187	1197	28.41%	26.12%	45.47%	-0.28	+0.8	5
2025-08-24	Jedinstvo	D 1-1	54.3	1111	1101	45.52%	26.11%	28.36%	+0.28	-0.8	3
2025-08-24	@ Bokelj	D 1-1	54.3	1101	1111	28.36%	26.11%	45.52%	-0.28	+0.8	1
2025-08-24	Decic Tuzi	W 2-0	33.3	1232	1195	49.02%	25.72%	25.27%	+0.40	+12.5	6
2025-08-24	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-2	33.3	1195	1232	25.27%	25.72%	49.02%	-0.40	-12.5	9
2025-08-24	Sutjeska	W 2-1	47.7	1137	1196	35.75%	26.50%	37.75%	-0.03	+8.6	5
2025-08-24	@ Jezero	L 1-2	47.7	1196	1137	37.75%	26.50%	35.75%	+0.03	-8.6	7
2025-08-24	Mladost DG	W 2-1	45.2	1115	1115	43.98%	26.24%	29.78%	+0.23	+7.2	4
2025-08-24	@ Mornar	L 1-2	45.2	1115	1115	29.78%	26.24%	43.98%	-0.23	-7.2	4
2025-08-24	Arsenal Tivat	D 0-0	49.4	1187	1153	48.62%	25.77%	25.61%	+0.39	-1.3	6
2025-08-24	@ Petrovac	D 0-0	49.4	1153	1187	25.61%	25.77%	48.62%	-0.39	+1.3	8
2025-08-30	Jezero	D 2-2	60.2	1154	1145	45.28%	26.14%	28.59%	+0.27	-0.6	9
2025-08-30	@ Arsenal Tivat	D 2-2	60.2	1145	1154	28.59%	26.14%	45.28%	-0.27	+0.6	6
2025-08-30	Mornar	W 2-1	46.0	1101	1122	41.31%	26.40%	32.28%	+0.14	+7.6	4
2025-08-30	@ Jedinstvo	L 1-2	46.0	1122	1101	32.28%	26.40%	41.31%	-0.14	-7.6	4
2025-08-30	Bokelj	W 5-2	36.8	1187	1110	53.78%	24.91%	21.31%	+0.58	+11.5	10
2025-08-30	@ Sutjeska	L 2-5	36.8	1110	1187	21.31%	24.91%	53.78%	-0.58	-11.5	3
2025-08-31	Petrovac	D 2-2	60.2	1182	1186	43.54%	26.28%	30.19%	+0.22	-0.5	10
2025-08-31	@ Decic Tuzi	D 2-2	60.2	1186	1182	30.19%	26.28%	43.54%	-0.22	+0.5	7
2025-08-31	Buducnost Podgorica	W 3-1	46.0	1108	1245	25.94%	25.82%	48.24%	-0.37	+18.0	7
2025-08-31	@ Mladost DG	L 1-3	46.0	1245	1108	48.24%	25.82%	25.94%	+0.37	-18.0	6
2025-09-13	Mornar	L 1-2	48.9	1099	1114	42.04%	26.37%	31.60%	+0.17	-9.3	3
2025-09-13	@ Bokelj	W 2-1	48.9	1114	1099	31.60%	26.37%	42.04%	-0.17	+9.3	7
2025-09-13	Jedinstvo	D 1-1	55.1	1227	1109	58.35%	23.82%	17.83%	+0.76	-2.1	7
2025-09-13	@ Buducnost Podgorica	D 1-1	55.1	1109	1227	17.83%	23.82%	58.35%	-0.76	+2.1	5
2025-09-13	Decic Tuzi	W 4-0	34.5	1146	1182	39.12%	26.48%	34.40%	+0.07	+30.3	9
2025-09-13	@ Jezero	L 0-4	34.5	1182	1146	34.40%	26.48%	39.12%	-0.07	-30.3	10
2025-09-13	Mladost DG	W 4-0	30.7	1187	1126	51.81%	25.28%	22.91%	+0.50	+21.9	10
2025-09-13	@ Petrovac	L 0-4	30.7	1126	1187	22.91%	25.28%	51.81%	-0.50	-21.9	7
2025-09-13	Arsenal Tivat	W 2-0	32.9	1199	1153	49.99%	25.58%	24.43%	+0.44	+12.2	13
2025-09-13	@ Sutjeska	L 0-2	32.9	1153	1199	24.43%	25.58%	49.99%	-0.44	-12.2	9
2025-09-17	Bokelj	W 2-1	43.2	1141	1090	50.73%	25.46%	23.81%	+0.46	+6.0	12
2025-09-17	@ Arsenal Tivat	L 1-2	43.2	1090	1141	23.81%	25.46%	50.73%	-0.46	-6.0	3
2025-09-17	Sutjeska	W 3-1	43.0	1151	1211	35.69%	26.50%	37.81%	-0.03	+14.9	13
2025-09-17	@ Decic Tuzi	L 1-3	43.0	1211	1151	37.81%	26.50%	35.69%	+0.03	-14.9	13
2025-09-17	Petrovac	W 1-0	43.3	1111	1208	30.65%	26.31%	43.04%	-0.20	+10.1	8
2025-09-17	@ Jedinstvo	L 0-1	43.3	1208	1111	43.04%	26.31%	30.65%	+0.20	-10.0	10
2025-09-17	Jezero	L 0-1	40.6	1104	1176	34.04%	26.47%	39.49%	-0.09	-8.4	7
2025-09-17	@ Mladost DG	W 1-0	40.6	1176	1104	39.49%	26.47%	34.04%	+0.09	+8.4	12
2025-09-17	Buducnost Podgorica	D 1-1	54.4	1123	1225	30.13%	26.27%	43.59%	-0.22	+0.6	8
2025-09-17	@ Mornar	D 1-1	54.4	1225	1123	43.59%	26.27%	30.13%	+0.22	-0.7	8
2025-09-21	Decic Tuzi	D 1-1	54.3	1147	1166	41.50%	26.40%	32.10%	+0.15	-0.4	13
2025-09-21	@ Arsenal Tivat	D 1-1	54.3	1166	1147	32.10%	26.40%	41.50%	-0.15	+0.4	14
2025-09-21	Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-2	33.3	1084	1224	25.53%	25.76%	48.71%	-0.39	-12.6	3
2025-09-21	@ Bokelj	W 2-0	33.3	1224	1084	48.71%	25.76%	25.53%	+0.39	+12.7	11
2025-09-21	Jedinstvo	L 1-2	51.6	1184	1121	52.16%	25.22%	22.62%	+0.52	-11.1	12
2025-09-21	@ Jezero	W 2-1	51.6	1121	1184	22.62%	25.22%	52.16%	-0.52	+11.1	11
2025-09-21	Mornar	D 1-1	54.7	1198	1124	53.48%	24.97%	21.55%	+0.56	-1.6	11
2025-09-21	@ Petrovac	D 1-1	54.7	1124	1198	21.55%	24.97%	53.48%	-0.56	+1.6	9
2025-09-21	Mladost DG	W 3-1	36.7	1196	1096	56.45%	24.32%	19.24%	+0.68	+8.5	16
2025-09-21	@ Sutjeska	L 1-3	36.7	1096	1196	19.24%	24.32%	56.45%	-0.68	-8.5	7
2025-09-27	Petrovac	D 1-1	54.7	1237	1197	49.30%	25.68%	25.03%	+0.41	-1.2	12
2025-09-27	@ Buducnost Podgorica	D 1-1	54.7	1197	1237	25.03%	25.68%	49.30%	-0.41	+1.2	12
2025-09-27	Bokelj	L 0-2	42.0	1167	1071	55.89%	24.45%	19.66%	+0.66	-23.5	14
2025-09-27	@ Decic Tuzi	W 2-0	42.0	1071	1167	19.66%	24.45%	55.89%	-0.66	+23.5	6
2025-09-27	Sutjeska	D 0-0	49.2	1132	1205	33.93%	26.47%	39.60%	-0.09	+0.3	12
2025-09-27	@ Jedinstvo	D 0-0	49.2	1205	1132	39.60%	26.47%	33.93%	+0.09	-0.3	17
2025-09-27	Arsenal Tivat	W 2-0	37.1	1087	1147	35.77%	26.50%	37.73%	-0.03	+17.1	10
2025-09-27	@ Mladost DG	L 0-2	37.1	1147	1087	37.73%	26.50%	35.77%	+0.03	-17.1	13
2025-09-27	Jezero	D 2-2	60.0	1126	1173	37.43%	26.51%	36.07%	+0.02	-0.0	10
2025-09-27	@ Mornar	D 2-2	60.0	1173	1126	36.07%	26.51%	37.43%	-0.02	+0.0	13
2025-10-01	Petrovac	L 1-2	45.3	1095	1198	29.89%	26.25%	43.85%	-0.23	-7.2	6
2025-10-01	@ Bokelj	W 2-1	45.3	1198	1095	43.85%	26.25%	29.89%	+0.23	+7.2	15
2025-10-01	Jezero	D 1-1	54.8	1236	1173	52.02%	25.24%	22.73%	+0.51	-1.5	13
2025-10-01	@ Buducnost Podgorica	D 1-1	54.8	1173	1236	22.73%	25.24%	52.02%	-0.51	+1.5	14
2025-10-01	Arsenal Tivat	D 0-0	49.2	1133	1130	44.49%	26.20%	29.31%	+0.25	-0.8	13
2025-10-01	@ Jedinstvo	D 0-0	49.2	1130	1133	29.31%	26.20%	44.49%	-0.25	+0.8	14
2025-10-01	Decic Tuzi	L 1-2	48.0	1104	1143	38.75%	26.49%	34.76%	+0.06	-8.7	10
2025-10-01	@ Mladost DG	W 2-1	48.0	1143	1104	34.76%	26.49%	38.75%	-0.06	+8.7	17
2025-10-01	Sutjeska	W 1-0	42.6	1126	1205	33.06%	26.44%	40.50%	-0.12	+9.6	13
2025-10-01	@ Mornar	L 0-1	42.6	1205	1126	40.50%	26.44%	33.06%	+0.12	-9.6	17
2025-10-05	Jedinstvo	W 1-0	38.5	1152	1132	46.73%	25.99%	27.27%	+0.32	+7.1	20
2025-10-05	@ Decic Tuzi	L 0-1	38.5	1132	1152	27.27%	25.99%	46.73%	-0.32	-7.1	13
2025-10-05	Petrovac	L 1-3	43.7	1175	1205	39.91%	26.46%	33.63%	+0.10	-15.5	14
2025-10-05	@ Jezero	W 3-1	43.7	1205	1175	33.63%	26.46%	39.91%	-0.10	+15.5	18
2025-10-05	Bokelj	W 3-0	32.3	1096	1088	45.19%	26.14%	28.66%	+0.27	+20.2	13
2025-10-05	@ Mladost DG	L 0-3	32.3	1088	1096	28.66%	26.14%	45.19%	-0.27	-20.2	6
2025-10-05	Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-2	37.6	1195	1234	38.66%	26.49%	34.85%	+0.06	-17.5	17
2025-10-05	@ Sutjeska	W 2-0	37.6	1234	1195	34.85%	26.49%	38.66%	-0.06	+17.4	16
2025-10-08	Mornar	L 0-1	43.4	1130	1135	43.45%	26.28%	30.27%	+0.21	-10.1	14
2025-10-08	@ Arsenal Tivat	W 1-0	43.4	1135	1130	30.27%	26.28%	43.45%	-0.21	+10.1	16
2025-10-18	Jezero	W 3-0	36.5	1067	1159	31.32%	26.35%	42.33%	-0.18	+27.2	9
2025-10-18	@ Bokelj	L 0-3	36.5	1159	1067	42.33%	26.35%	31.32%	+0.18	-27.2	14
2025-10-18	Arsenal Tivat	W 4-2	39.3	1252	1120	59.77%	23.42%	16.81%	+0.82	+6.7	19
2025-10-18	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 2-4	39.3	1120	1252	16.81%	23.42%	59.77%	-0.82	-6.7	14
2025-10-18	Mladost DG	L 0-1	43.9	1125	1116	45.26%	26.14%	28.60%	+0.27	-10.5	13
2025-10-18	@ Jedinstvo	W 1-0	43.9	1116	1125	28.60%	26.14%	45.26%	-0.27	+10.5	16
2025-10-18	Decic Tuzi	W 1-0	39.8	1145	1159	42.25%	26.36%	31.40%	+0.17	+7.9	19
2025-10-18	@ Mornar	L 0-1	39.8	1159	1145	31.40%	26.36%	42.25%	-0.17	-7.9	20
2025-10-18	Sutjeska	L 0-1	45.2	1221	1177	49.70%	25.62%	24.68%	+0.43	-11.3	18
2025-10-18	@ Petrovac	W 1-0	45.2	1177	1221	24.68%	25.62%	49.70%	-0.43	+11.3	20
2025-10-26	Bokelj	D 0-0	49.2	1114	1094	46.71%	26.00%	27.30%	+0.32	-1.1	14
2025-10-26	@ Jedinstvo	D 0-0	49.2	1094	1114	27.30%	26.00%	46.71%	-0.32	+1.1	10
2025-10-26	Mornar	L 1-3	43.7	1126	1153	40.40%	26.44%	33.16%	+0.11	-15.6	16
2025-10-26	@ Mladost DG	W 3-1	43.7	1153	1126	33.16%	26.44%	40.40%	-0.11	+15.6	22
2025-10-26	Jezero	W 1-0	37.1	1189	1132	51.35%	25.36%	23.29%	+0.49	+6.2	23
2025-10-26	@ Sutjeska	L 0-1	37.1	1132	1189	23.29%	25.36%	51.35%	-0.49	-6.2	14
2025-10-29	Petrovac	W 3-2	54.0	1114	1209	30.85%	26.32%	42.83%	-0.19	+9.0	17
2025-10-29	@ Arsenal Tivat	L 2-3	54.0	1209	1114	42.83%	26.32%	30.85%	+0.19	-9.0	18
2025-11-01	Sutjeska	L 4-5	53.2	1096	1195	30.38%	26.29%	43.33%	-0.21	-6.6	10
2025-11-01	@ Bokelj	W 5-4	53.2	1195	1096	43.33%	26.29%	30.38%	+0.21	+6.6	26
2025-11-01	Jedinstvo	W 3-1	38.3	1169	1113	51.24%	25.38%	23.38%	+0.48	+10.2	25
2025-11-01	@ Mornar	L 1-3	38.3	1113	1169	23.38%	25.38%	51.24%	-0.48	-10.2	14
2025-11-02	Mladost DG	L 0-1	47.9	1258	1111	61.43%	22.90%	15.67%	+0.89	-13.5	19
2025-11-02	@ Buducnost Podgorica	W 1-0	47.9	1111	1258	15.67%	22.90%	61.43%	-0.89	+13.5	19
2025-11-02	Arsenal Tivat	W 2-0	34.5	1126	1123	44.56%	26.20%	29.24%	+0.25	+14.1	17
2025-11-02	@ Jezero	L 0-2	34.5	1123	1126	29.24%	26.20%	44.56%	-0.25	-14.1	17
2025-11-02	Decic Tuzi	D 1-1	54.6	1200	1151	50.48%	25.50%	24.02%	+0.45	-1.3	19
2025-11-02	@ Petrovac	D 1-1	54.6	1151	1200	24.02%	25.50%	50.48%	-0.45	+1.3	21
2025-11-09	Sutjeska	D 0-0	49.2	1108	1202	31.18%	26.34%	42.48%	-0.18	+0.6	18
2025-11-09	@ Arsenal Tivat	D 0-0	49.2	1202	1108	42.48%	26.34%	31.18%	+0.18	-0.6	27
2025-11-09	Jezero	W 1-0	38.8	1152	1140	45.69%	26.10%	28.21%	+0.29	+7.3	24
2025-11-09	@ Decic Tuzi	L 0-1	38.8	1140	1152	28.21%	26.10%	45.69%	-0.29	-7.3	17
2025-11-09	Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-1	37.9	1103	1245	25.39%	25.73%	48.88%	-0.40	-6.7	14
2025-11-09	@ Jedinstvo	W 1-0	37.9	1245	1103	48.88%	25.73%	25.39%	+0.40	+6.7	22
2025-11-09	Petrovac	W 1-0	42.4	1124	1199	33.63%	26.46%	39.91%	-0.10	+9.5	22
2025-11-09	@ Mladost DG	L 0-1	42.4	1199	1124	39.91%	26.46%	33.63%	+0.10	-9.5	19
2025-11-09	Bokelj	D 0-0	49.7	1179	1089	55.29%	24.59%	20.12%	+0.63	-2.0	26
2025-11-09	@ Mornar	D 0-0	49.7	1089	1179	20.12%	24.59%	55.29%	-0.63	+2.0	11
2025-11-22	Arsenal Tivat	W 2-0	35.4	1091	1109	41.61%	26.39%	32.00%	+0.15	+15.1	14
2025-11-22	@ Bokelj	L 0-2	35.4	1109	1091	32.00%	26.39%	41.61%	-0.15	-15.1	18
2025-11-22	Mornar	W 2-0	32.0	1251	1177	53.48%	24.97%	21.55%	+0.56	+10.9	25
2025-11-22	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-2	32.0	1177	1251	21.55%	24.97%	53.48%	-0.56	-10.9	26
2025-11-22	Mladost DG	W 1-0	39.3	1133	1134	43.96%	26.25%	29.79%	+0.23	+7.6	20
2025-11-22	@ Jezero	L 0-1	39.3	1134	1133	29.79%	26.25%	43.96%	-0.23	-7.6	22
2025-11-22	Jedinstvo	W 4-0	29.5	1190	1096	55.65%	24.51%	19.85%	+0.65	+19.2	22
2025-11-22	@ Petrovac	L 0-4	29.5	1096	1190	19.85%	24.51%	55.65%	-0.65	-19.2	14
2025-11-22	Decic Tuzi	W 3-1	38.9	1201	1159	49.50%	25.65%	24.86%	+0.42	+10.7	30
2025-11-22	@ Sutjeska	L 1-3	38.9	1159	1201	24.86%	25.65%	49.50%	-0.42	-10.7	24
2025-11-29	Bokelj	L 0-1	48.0	1262	1106	62.31%	22.61%	15.08%	+0.93	-13.7	25
2025-11-29	@ Buducnost Podgorica	W 1-0	48.0	1106	1262	15.08%	22.61%	62.31%	-0.93	+13.7	17
2025-11-30	Arsenal Tivat	W 4-2	41.7	1149	1094	51.14%	25.39%	23.46%	+0.48	+9.1	27
2025-11-30	@ Decic Tuzi	L 2-4	41.7	1094	1149	23.46%	25.39%	51.14%	-0.48	-9.1	18
2025-11-30	Jezero	L 0-1	41.0	1077	1140	35.20%	26.50%	38.30%	-0.05	-8.6	14
2025-11-30	@ Jedinstvo	W 1-0	41.0	1140	1077	38.30%	26.50%	35.20%	+0.05	+8.6	23
2025-11-30	Sutjeska	L 2-3	50.8	1126	1212	32.18%	26.40%	41.42%	-0.15	-7.2	22
2025-11-30	@ Mladost DG	W 3-2	50.8	1212	1126	41.42%	26.40%	32.18%	+0.15	+7.2	33
2025-11-30	Petrovac	W 3-1	42.3	1166	1209	38.14%	26.50%	35.36%	+0.04	+14.2	29
2025-11-30	@ Mornar	L 1-3	42.3	1209	1166	35.36%	26.50%	38.14%	-0.04	-14.1	22
2025-12-06	Mladost DG	D 0-0	49.1	1085	1119	39.36%	26.47%	34.17%	+0.08	-0.3	19
2025-12-06	@ Arsenal Tivat	D 0-0	49.1	1119	1085	34.17%	26.47%	39.36%	-0.08	+0.3	23
2025-12-06	Decic Tuzi	D 1-1	54.2	1120	1158	38.80%	26.49%	34.71%	+0.06	-0.2	18
2025-12-06	@ Bokelj	D 1-1	54.2	1158	1120	34.71%	26.49%	38.80%	-0.06	+0.2	28
2025-12-06	Mornar	W 2-1	46.5	1149	1180	39.80%	26.46%	33.74%	+0.10	+7.9	26
2025-12-06	@ Jezero	L 1-2	46.5	1180	1149	33.74%	26.46%	39.80%	-0.10	-7.9	29
2025-12-06	Buducnost Podgorica	W 2-1	47.7	1195	1249	36.54%	26.51%	36.95%	-0.01	+8.4	25
2025-12-06	@ Petrovac	L 1-2	47.7	1249	1195	36.95%	26.51%	36.54%	+0.01	-8.4	25
2025-12-06	Jedinstvo	W 2-0	29.4	1219	1068	61.73%	22.80%	15.46%	+0.90	+8.0	36
2025-12-06	@ Sutjeska	L 0-2	29.4	1068	1219	15.46%	22.80%	61.73%	-0.90	-8.0	14
2025-12-10	Jedinstvo	D 0-0	49.2	1084	1060	47.26%	25.93%	26.81%	+0.34	-1.1	20
2025-12-10	@ Arsenal Tivat	D 0-0	49.2	1060	1084	26.81%	25.93%	47.26%	-0.34	+1.1	15
2025-12-10	Mladost DG	L 3-4	57.9	1158	1119	49.15%	25.70%	25.15%	+0.41	-9.8	28
2025-12-10	@ Decic Tuzi	W 4-3	57.9	1119	1158	25.15%	25.70%	49.15%	-0.41	+9.8	26
2025-12-10	Buducnost Podgorica	W 1-0	42.9	1157	1240	32.49%	26.41%	41.09%	-0.14	+9.7	29
2025-12-10	@ Jezero	L 0-1	42.9	1240	1157	41.09%	26.41%	32.49%	+0.14	-9.7	25
2025-12-10	Bokelj	D 0-0	49.7	1203	1120	54.54%	24.75%	20.71%	+0.61	-1.9	26
2025-12-10	@ Petrovac	D 0-0	49.7	1120	1203	20.71%	24.75%	54.54%	-0.61	+1.9	19
2025-12-10	Mornar	L 0-1	45.6	1227	1172	51.11%	25.40%	23.49%	+0.48	-11.6	36
2025-12-10	@ Sutjeska	W 1-0	45.6	1172	1227	23.49%	25.40%	51.11%	-0.48	+11.6	32
2025-12-14	Buducnost Podgorica	W 1-0	42.8	1148	1230	32.63%	26.42%	40.95%	-0.13	+9.7	31
2025-12-14	@ Decic Tuzi	L 0-1	42.8	1230	1148	40.95%	26.42%	32.63%	+0.13	-9.7	25
2026-02-21	Jezero	W 2-1	43.9	1201	1167	48.61%	25.77%	25.62%	+0.39	+6.3	29
2026-02-21	@ Petrovac	L 1-2	43.9	1167	1201	25.62%	25.77%	48.61%	-0.39	-6.3	29
2026-02-21	Sutjeska	W 2-1	45.2	1221	1215	44.82%	26.18%	29.00%	+0.26	+7.0	28
2026-02-21	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-2	45.2	1215	1221	29.00%	26.18%	44.82%	-0.26	-7.0	36
2026-02-21	Decic Tuzi	L 1-2	45.5	1062	1158	30.77%	26.32%	42.91%	-0.19	-7.3	15
2026-02-21	@ Jedinstvo	W 2-1	45.5	1158	1062	42.91%	26.32%	30.77%	+0.19	+7.3	34
2026-02-21	Mladost DG	D 0-0	49.2	1121	1129	43.06%	26.31%	30.63%	+0.20	-0.7	20
2026-02-21	@ Bokelj	D 0-0	49.2	1129	1121	30.63%	26.31%	43.06%	-0.20	+0.7	27
2026-02-21	Arsenal Tivat	L 1-2	52.6	1184	1083	56.46%	24.31%	19.23%	+0.68	-11.9	32
2026-02-21	@ Mornar	W 2-1	52.6	1083	1184	19.23%	24.31%	56.46%	-0.68	+11.9	23
2026-02-25	Buducnost Podgorica	W 1-0	44.6	1095	1228	26.40%	25.88%	47.71%	-0.36	+10.9	26
2026-02-25	@ Arsenal Tivat	L 0-1	44.6	1228	1095	47.71%	25.88%	26.40%	+0.36	-10.9	28
2026-02-25	Bokelj	D 1-1	54.5	1160	1121	49.24%	25.68%	25.07%	+0.41	-1.2	30
2026-02-25	@ Jezero	D 1-1	54.5	1121	1160	25.07%	25.68%	49.24%	-0.41	+1.2	21
2026-02-25	Jedinstvo	W 1-0	36.4	1130	1054	53.60%	24.95%	21.45%	+0.57	+5.8	30
2026-02-25	@ Mladost DG	L 0-1	36.4	1054	1130	21.45%	24.95%	53.60%	-0.57	-5.8	15
2026-02-25	Mornar	D 0-0	49.2	1165	1172	43.18%	26.30%	30.52%	+0.20	-0.7	35
2026-02-25	@ Decic Tuzi	D 0-0	49.2	1172	1165	30.52%	26.30%	43.18%	-0.20	+0.7	33
2026-02-25	Petrovac	W 2-1	45.3	1208	1208	44.19%	26.23%	29.58%	+0.24	+7.1	39
2026-02-25	@ Sutjeska	L 1-2	45.3	1208	1208	29.58%	26.23%	44.19%	-0.24	-7.1	29
2026-03-01	Jedinstvo	L 1-4	44.2	1122	1048	53.37%	24.99%	21.63%	+0.56	-27.7	21
2026-03-01	@ Bokelj	W 4-1	44.2	1048	1122	21.63%	24.99%	53.37%	-0.56	+27.7	18
2026-03-01	Decic Tuzi	D 0-0	49.5	1217	1165	50.82%	25.45%	23.73%	+0.47	-1.5	29
2026-03-01	@ Buducnost Podgorica	D 0-0	49.5	1165	1217	23.73%	25.45%	50.82%	-0.47	+1.5	36
2026-03-01	Mladost DG	W 3-0	31.2	1173	1135	48.95%	25.72%	25.32%	+0.40	+18.2	36
2026-03-01	@ Mornar	L 0-3	31.2	1135	1173	25.32%	25.72%	48.95%	-0.40	-18.2	30
2026-03-01	Sutjeska	D 1-1	54.3	1159	1215	36.20%	26.51%	37.29%	-0.02	+0.0	31
2026-03-01	@ Jezero	D 1-1	54.3	1215	1159	37.29%	26.51%	36.20%	+0.02	-0.0	40
2026-03-01	Arsenal Tivat	W 1-0	35.8	1200	1106	55.76%	24.48%	19.76%	+0.65	+5.4	32
2026-03-01	@ Petrovac	L 0-1	35.8	1106	1200	19.76%	24.48%	55.76%	-0.65	-5.4	26
2026-03-07	Jezero	L 1-2	47.1	1101	1159	35.91%	26.50%	37.59%	-0.03	-8.3	26
2026-03-07	@ Arsenal Tivat	W 2-1	47.1	1159	1101	37.59%	26.50%	35.91%	+0.03	+8.3	34
2026-03-07	Petrovac	L 0-1	42.1	1166	1206	38.59%	26.49%	34.92%	+0.06	-9.2	36
2026-03-07	@ Decic Tuzi	W 1-0	42.1	1206	1166	34.92%	26.49%	38.59%	-0.06	+9.2	35
2026-03-07	Bokelj	W 2-1	40.8	1215	1094	58.70%	23.73%	17.57%	+0.77	+4.5	43
2026-03-07	@ Sutjeska	L 1-2	40.8	1094	1215	17.57%	23.73%	58.70%	-0.77	-4.5	21
2026-03-07	Mornar	W 1-0	43.9	1076	1191	28.49%	26.13%	45.38%	-0.28	+10.5	21
2026-03-07	@ Jedinstvo	L 0-1	43.9	1191	1076	45.38%	26.13%	28.49%	+0.28	-10.5	36
2026-03-07	Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-4	37.8	1117	1215	30.54%	26.30%	43.16%	-0.20	-17.9	30
2026-03-07	@ Mladost DG	W 4-1	37.8	1215	1117	43.16%	26.30%	30.54%	+0.20	+17.9	32
2026-03-11	Mornar	L 1-2	45.8	1090	1180	31.50%	26.36%	42.13%	-0.17	-7.5	21
2026-03-11	@ Bokelj	W 2-1	45.8	1180	1090	42.13%	26.36%	31.50%	+0.17	+7.5	39
2026-03-11	Jedinstvo	W 3-2	44.8	1233	1087	61.34%	22.93%	15.73%	+0.89	+3.8	35
2026-03-11	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 2-3	44.8	1087	1233	15.73%	22.93%	61.34%	-0.89	-3.9	21
2026-03-11	Arsenal Tivat	W 4-1	32.9	1220	1093	59.36%	23.54%	17.10%	+0.80	+10.8	46
2026-03-11	@ Sutjeska	L 1-4	32.9	1093	1220	17.10%	23.54%	59.36%	-0.80	-10.8	26
2026-03-11	Decic Tuzi	L 1-2	49.9	1167	1157	45.50%	26.12%	28.38%	+0.28	-9.9	34
2026-03-11	@ Jezero	W 2-1	49.9	1157	1167	28.38%	26.12%	45.50%	-0.28	+9.9	39
2026-03-11	Mladost DG	W 3-1	36.3	1215	1099	58.12%	23.89%	17.99%	+0.75	+8.0	38
2026-03-11	@ Petrovac	L 1-3	36.3	1099	1215	17.99%	23.89%	58.12%	-0.75	-8.0	30
2026-03-15	Bokelj	W 1-0	39.2	1082	1082	44.02%	26.24%	29.74%	+0.23	+7.6	29
2026-03-15	@ Arsenal Tivat	L 0-1	39.2	1082	1082	29.74%	26.24%	44.02%	-0.23	-7.6	21
2026-03-15	Sutjeska	L 1-2	47.0	1167	1231	35.13%	26.49%	38.38%	-0.05	-8.1	39
2026-03-15	@ Decic Tuzi	W 2-1	47.0	1231	1167	38.38%	26.49%	35.13%	+0.05	+8.1	49
2026-03-15	Buducnost Podgorica	W 3-0	34.9	1188	1237	37.22%	26.51%	36.27%	+0.01	+24.2	42
2026-03-15	@ Mornar	L 0-3	34.9	1237	1188	36.27%	26.51%	37.22%	-0.01	-24.2	35
2026-03-15	Petrovac	L 1-2	43.8	1083	1223	25.55%	25.76%	48.69%	-0.39	-6.3	21
2026-03-15	@ Jedinstvo	W 2-1	43.8	1223	1083	48.69%	25.76%	25.55%	+0.39	+6.3	41
2026-03-15	Jezero	W 3-1	43.2	1091	1158	34.80%	26.49%	38.71%	-0.06	+15.1	33
2026-03-15	@ Mladost DG	L 1-3	43.2	1158	1091	38.71%	26.49%	34.80%	+0.06	-15.1	34
2026-03-21	Buducnost Podgorica	W 2-0	40.2	1075	1213	25.76%	25.79%	48.44%	-0.38	+20.9	24
2026-03-21	@ Bokelj	L 0-2	40.2	1213	1075	48.44%	25.79%	25.76%	+0.38	-20.9	35
2026-03-21	Decic Tuzi	L 0-1	40.7	1089	1159	34.38%	26.48%	39.14%	-0.07	-8.5	29
2026-03-21	@ Arsenal Tivat	W 1-0	40.7	1159	1089	39.14%	26.48%	34.38%	+0.07	+8.5	42
2026-03-21	Mladost DG	W 1-0	34.6	1239	1106	59.89%	23.38%	16.73%	+0.82	+4.6	52
2026-03-21	@ Sutjeska	L 0-1	34.6	1106	1239	16.73%	23.38%	59.89%	-0.82	-4.6	33
2026-03-21	Jedinstvo	L 0-1	45.7	1142	1077	52.47%	25.16%	22.37%	+0.53	-11.8	34
2026-03-21	@ Jezero	W 1-0	45.7	1077	1142	22.37%	25.16%	52.47%	-0.53	+11.8	24
2026-03-21	Mornar	L 0-2	39.8	1229	1212	46.38%	26.03%	27.59%	+0.31	-20.1	41
2026-03-21	@ Petrovac	W 2-0	39.8	1212	1229	27.59%	26.03%	46.38%	-0.31	+20.1	45
2026-04-04	Petrovac	W 1-0	40.1	1192	1209	41.74%	26.38%	31.87%	+0.16	+8.0	38
2026-04-04	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-1	40.1	1209	1192	31.87%	26.38%	41.74%	-0.16	-8.0	41
2026-04-04	Bokelj	D 0-0	49.6	1167	1096	53.15%	25.04%	21.81%	+0.55	-1.8	43
2026-04-04	@ Decic Tuzi	D 0-0	49.6	1096	1167	21.81%	25.04%	53.15%	-0.55	+1.8	25
2026-04-04	Jezero	W 2-0	31.0	1232	1131	56.58%	24.28%	19.13%	+0.69	+9.8	48
2026-04-04	@ Mornar	L 0-2	31.0	1131	1232	19.13%	24.28%	56.58%	-0.69	-9.8	34
2026-04-04	Sutjeska	L 0-2	32.8	1088	1243	23.96%	25.49%	50.54%	-0.46	-12.0	24
2026-04-04	@ Jedinstvo	W 2-0	32.8	1243	1088	50.54%	25.49%	23.96%	+0.46	+12.0	55
2026-04-04	Arsenal Tivat	L 1-2	50.2	1102	1081	46.87%	25.98%	27.15%	+0.33	-10.2	33
2026-04-04	@ Mladost DG	W 2-1	50.2	1081	1102	27.15%	25.98%	46.87%	-0.33	+10.1	32
2026-04-08	Petrovac	L 0-1	39.3	1097	1201	29.82%	26.25%	43.93%	-0.23	-7.6	25
2026-04-08	@ Bokelj	W 1-0	39.3	1201	1097	43.93%	26.25%	29.82%	+0.23	+7.6	44
2026-04-08	Jezero	W 2-0	31.7	1200	1121	54.05%	24.86%	21.10%	+0.59	+10.7	41
2026-04-08	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-2	31.7	1121	1200	21.10%	24.86%	54.05%	-0.59	-10.7	34
2026-04-08	Sutjeska	W 2-1	46.1	1242	1255	42.27%	26.36%	31.38%	+0.17	+7.5	51
2026-04-08	@ Mornar	L 1-2	46.1	1255	1242	31.38%	26.36%	42.27%	-0.17	-7.5	55
2026-04-08	Arsenal Tivat	L 0-2	38.4	1076	1091	42.09%	26.37%	31.55%	+0.17	-18.6	24
2026-04-08	@ Jedinstvo	W 2-0	38.4	1091	1076	31.55%	26.37%	42.09%	-0.17	+18.6	35
2026-04-08	Decic Tuzi	W 2-1	48.3	1092	1165	33.78%	26.46%	39.76%	-0.09	+8.9	36
2026-04-08	@ Mladost DG	L 1-2	48.3	1165	1092	39.76%	26.46%	33.78%	+0.09	-8.9	43
2026-04-12	Mornar	L 0-1	38.0	1110	1249	25.59%	25.77%	48.64%	-0.39	-6.7	35
2026-04-12	@ Arsenal Tivat	W 1-0	38.0	1249	1110	48.64%	25.77%	25.59%	+0.39	+6.7	54
2026-04-12	Jedinstvo	W 4-2	40.2	1156	1058	56.26%	24.36%	19.38%	+0.67	+7.7	46
2026-04-12	@ Decic Tuzi	L 2-4	40.2	1058	1156	19.38%	24.36%	56.26%	-0.67	-7.7	24
2026-04-12	Buducnost Podgorica	W 2-0	33.4	1248	1211	48.94%	25.73%	25.34%	+0.40	+12.6	58
2026-04-12	@ Sutjeska	L 0-2	33.4	1211	1248	25.34%	25.73%	48.94%	-0.40	-12.6	41
2026-04-12	Petrovac	D 1-1	54.3	1110	1209	30.47%	26.30%	43.23%	-0.21	+0.6	35
2026-04-12	@ Jezero	D 1-1	54.3	1209	1110	43.23%	26.30%	30.47%	+0.21	-0.6	45
2026-04-12	Bokelj	L 0-1	43.9	1101	1090	45.55%	26.11%	28.34%	+0.28	-10.5	36
2026-04-12	@ Mladost DG	W 1-0	43.9	1090	1101	28.34%	26.11%	45.55%	-0.28	+10.5	28
2026-04-18	Jezero	L 0-2	38.5	1100	1111	42.67%	26.33%	31.00%	+0.19	-18.8	28
2026-04-18	@ Bokelj	W 2-0	38.5	1111	1100	31.00%	26.33%	42.67%	-0.19	+18.8	38
2026-04-18	Arsenal Tivat	L 0-2	42.0	1198	1103	55.88%	24.45%	19.67%	+0.66	-23.5	41
2026-04-18	@ Buducnost Podgorica	W 2-0	42.0	1103	1198	19.67%	24.45%	55.88%	-0.66	+23.5	38
2026-04-18	Decic Tuzi	W 1-0	36.0	1256	1164	55.51%	24.54%	19.95%	+0.64	+5.4	57
2026-04-18	@ Mornar	L 0-1	36.0	1164	1256	19.95%	24.54%	55.51%	-0.64	-5.4	46
2026-04-18	Mladost DG	W 2-1	46.8	1050	1090	38.53%	26.49%	34.98%	+0.06	+8.1	27
2026-04-18	@ Jedinstvo	L 1-2	46.8	1090	1050	34.98%	26.49%	38.53%	-0.06	-8.1	36
2026-04-18	Sutjeska	L 0-1	41.7	1208	1260	36.78%	26.51%	36.71%	+0.00	-8.9	45
2026-04-18	@ Petrovac	W 1-0	41.7	1260	1208	36.71%	26.51%	36.78%	+0.00	+8.9	61
2026-04-26	Petrovac	W 3-1	43.5	1126	1199	33.90%	26.47%	39.64%	-0.09	+15.4	41
2026-04-26	@ Arsenal Tivat	L 1-3	43.5	1199	1126	39.64%	26.47%	33.90%	+0.09	-15.4	45
2026-04-26	Buducnost Podgorica	D 0-0	49.2	1159	1175	41.91%	26.38%	31.71%	+0.16	-0.5	47
2026-04-26	@ Decic Tuzi	D 0-0	49.2	1175	1159	31.71%	26.38%	41.91%	-0.16	+0.5	42
2026-04-26	Jezero	D 1-1	55.4	1269	1130	60.66%	23.15%	16.19%	+0.86	-2.3	62
2026-04-26	@ Sutjeska	D 1-1	55.4	1130	1269	16.19%	23.15%	60.66%	-0.86	+2.3	39
2026-04-26	Mornar	L 1-2	42.4	1082	1262	21.54%	24.97%	53.50%	-0.57	-5.5	36
2026-04-26	@ Mladost DG	W 2-1	42.4	1262	1082	53.50%	24.97%	21.54%	+0.57	+5.5	60
2026-04-26	Bokelj	D 1-1	54.2	1058	1081	40.90%	26.42%	32.68%	+0.13	-0.4	28
2026-04-26	@ Jedinstvo	D 1-1	54.2	1081	1058	32.68%	26.42%	40.90%	-0.13	+0.4	29
2026-05-02	Sutjeska	L 2-3	47.0	1082	1267	21.01%	24.83%	54.16%	-0.59	-5.1	29
2026-05-02	@ Bokelj	W 3-2	47.0	1267	1082	54.16%	24.83%	21.01%	+0.59	+5.1	65
2026-05-02	Mladost DG	L 0-1	46.7	1175	1077	56.26%	24.36%	19.38%	+0.67	-12.6	42
2026-05-02	@ Buducnost Podgorica	W 1-0	46.7	1077	1175	19.38%	24.36%	56.26%	-0.67	+12.6	39
2026-05-02	Jedinstvo	W 3-0	25.8	1267	1058	67.29%	20.72%	11.99%	+1.16	+8.9	63
2026-05-02	@ Mornar	L 0-3	25.8	1058	1267	11.99%	20.72%	67.29%	-1.16	-8.8	28
2026-05-02	Arsenal Tivat	D 0-0	49.2	1132	1142	42.72%	26.33%	30.95%	+0.19	-0.6	40
2026-05-02	@ Jezero	D 0-0	49.2	1142	1132	30.95%	26.33%	42.72%	-0.19	+0.6	42
2026-05-02	Decic Tuzi	D 1-1	54.5	1184	1158	47.48%	25.91%	26.61%	+0.35	-1.0	46
2026-05-02	@ Petrovac	D 1-1	54.5	1158	1184	26.61%	25.91%	47.48%	-0.35	+1.0	48
2026-05-09	Sutjeska	D 1-1	54.6	1143	1272	26.74%	25.93%	47.34%	-0.34	+1.0	43
2026-05-09	@ Arsenal Tivat	D 1-1	54.6	1272	1143	47.34%	25.93%	26.74%	+0.34	-1.0	66
2026-05-10	Jezero	W 3-0	31.6	1159	1131	47.78%	25.87%	26.35%	+0.36	+18.8	51
2026-05-10	@ Decic Tuzi	L 0-3	31.6	1131	1159	26.35%	25.87%	47.78%	-0.36	-18.9	40
2026-05-10	Bokelj	D 0-0	50.8	1276	1077	66.39%	21.09%	12.52%	+1.12	-3.2	64
2026-05-10	@ Mornar	D 0-0	50.8	1077	1276	12.52%	21.09%	66.39%	-1.12	+3.2	30
2026-05-10	Buducnost Podgorica	D 0-0	49.2	1049	1163	28.61%	26.14%	45.25%	-0.27	+0.9	29
2026-05-10	@ Jedinstvo	D 0-0	49.2	1163	1049	45.25%	26.14%	28.61%	+0.27	-0.9	43
2026-05-10	Petrovac	W 1-0	43.1	1089	1183	31.11%	26.34%	42.55%	-0.18	+10.0	42
2026-05-10	@ Mladost DG	L 0-1	43.1	1183	1089	42.55%	26.34%	31.11%	+0.18	-10.0	46
2026-05-16	Arsenal Tivat	W 3-0	35.3	1080	1144	35.17%	26.50%	38.34%	-0.05	+25.2	33
2026-05-16	@ Bokelj	L 0-3	35.3	1144	1080	38.34%	26.50%	35.17%	+0.05	-25.2	43
2026-05-16	Mornar	D 0-0	49.4	1162	1273	28.95%	26.17%	44.88%	-0.26	+0.9	44
2026-05-16	@ Buducnost Podgorica	D 0-0	49.4	1273	1162	44.88%	26.17%	28.95%	+0.26	-0.9	65
2026-05-16	Decic Tuzi	W 3-0	29.4	1271	1178	55.63%	24.51%	19.86%	+0.65	+14.7	69
2026-05-16	@ Sutjeska	L 0-3	29.4	1178	1271	19.86%	24.51%	55.63%	-0.65	-14.7	51
2026-05-16	Mladost DG	D 2-2	60.1	1112	1099	45.86%	26.08%	28.06%	+0.29	-0.6	41
2026-05-16	@ Jezero	D 2-2	60.1	1099	1112	28.06%	26.08%	45.86%	-0.29	+0.6	43
2026-05-16	Jedinstvo	W 1-0	34.8	1173	1050	58.91%	23.67%	17.42%	+0.78	+4.8	49
2026-05-16	@ Petrovac	L 0-1	34.8	1050	1173	17.42%	23.67%	58.91%	-0.78	-4.8	29
2026-05-20	Bokelj	W 2-1	43.0	1163	1105	51.47%	25.34%	23.19%	+0.49	+5.8	47
2026-05-20	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-2	43.0	1105	1163	23.19%	25.34%	51.47%	-0.49	-5.8	33
2026-05-20	Arsenal Tivat	L 1-2	51.1	1163	1118	49.93%	25.59%	24.49%	+0.43	-10.7	51
2026-05-20	@ Decic Tuzi	W 2-1	51.1	1118	1163	24.49%	25.59%	49.93%	-0.43	+10.7	46
2026-05-20	Petrovac	D 1-1	55.1	1272	1178	55.75%	24.48%	19.77%	+0.65	-1.8	66
2026-05-20	@ Mornar	D 1-1	55.1	1178	1272	19.77%	24.48%	55.75%	-0.65	+1.8	50
2026-05-20	Jezero	W 2-0	37.4	1045	1112	34.75%	26.49%	38.76%	-0.06	+17.5	32
2026-05-20	@ Jedinstvo	L 0-2	37.4	1112	1045	38.76%	26.49%	34.75%	+0.06	-17.5	41
2026-05-20	Sutjeska	L 0-1	36.3	1100	1286	20.93%	24.81%	54.26%	-0.59	-5.6	43
2026-05-20	@ Mladost DG	W 1-0	36.3	1286	1100	54.26%	24.81%	20.93%	+0.59	+5.6	72
2026-05-24	Decic Tuzi	W 1-0	41.5	1099	1153	36.62%	26.51%	36.87%	+0.00	+8.9	36
2026-05-24	@ Bokelj	L 0-1	41.5	1153	1099	36.87%	26.51%	36.62%	+0.00	-8.9	51
2026-05-24	Mladost DG	L 1-4	43.0	1129	1094	48.66%	25.76%	25.57%	+0.39	-25.6	46
2026-05-24	@ Arsenal Tivat	W 4-1	43.0	1094	1129	25.57%	25.76%	48.66%	-0.39	+25.7	46
2026-05-24	Jedinstvo	L 1-3	50.4	1292	1063	69.02%	19.97%	11.01%	+1.25	-24.3	72
2026-05-24	@ Sutjeska	W 3-1	50.4	1063	1292	11.01%	19.97%	69.02%	-1.25	+24.3	35
2026-05-24	Mornar	L 0-2	32.0	1094	1270	21.89%	25.05%	53.05%	-0.55	-11.1	41
2026-05-24	@ Jezero	W 2-0	32.0	1270	1094	53.05%	25.05%	21.89%	+0.55	+11.1	69
2026-05-24	Buducnost Podgorica	D 1-1	54.4	1180	1168	45.56%	26.11%	28.33%	+0.28	-0.8	51
2026-05-24	@ Petrovac	D 1-1	54.4	1168	1180	28.33%	26.11%	45.56%	-0.28	+0.8	48

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2026-05-24	11.01%	Jedinstvo	1063	3	@ Sutjeska	1292	1
2	2025-11-29	15.08%	Bokelj	1106	1	@ Buducnost Podgorica	1262	0
3	2025-11-02	15.67%	Mladost DG	1111	1	@ Buducnost Podgorica	1258	0
4	2026-02-21	19.23%	Arsenal Tivat	1083	2	@ Mornar	1184	1
5	2026-05-02	19.38%	Mladost DG	1077	1	@ Buducnost Podgorica	1175	0
6	2025-09-27	19.66%	Bokelj	1071	2	@ Decic Tuzi	1167	0
7	2026-04-18	19.67%	Arsenal Tivat	1103	2	@ Buducnost Podgorica	1198	0
8	2026-03-01	21.63%	Jedinstvo	1048	4	@ Bokelj	1122	1
9	2025-08-10	22.03%	Sutjeska	1185	1	@ Buducnost Podgorica	1254	0
10	2026-03-21	22.37%	Jedinstvo	1077	1	@ Jezero	1142	0
11	2025-09-21	22.62%	Jedinstvo	1121	2	@ Jezero	1184	1
12	2025-12-10	23.49%	Mornar	1172	1	@ Sutjeska	1227	0
13	2026-05-20	24.49%	Arsenal Tivat	1118	2	@ Decic Tuzi	1163	1
14	2025-10-18	24.68%	Sutjeska	1177	1	@ Petrovac	1221	0
15	2025-12-10	25.15%	Mladost DG	1119	4	@ Decic Tuzi	1158	3
16	2026-05-24	25.57%	Mladost DG	1094	4	@ Arsenal Tivat	1129	1
17	2026-03-21	25.76%	@ Bokelj	1075	2	Buducnost Podgorica	1213	0
18	2025-08-31	25.94%	@ Mladost DG	1108	3	Buducnost Podgorica	1245	1
19	2026-02-25	26.40%	@ Arsenal Tivat	1095	1	Buducnost Podgorica	1228	0
20	2026-04-04	27.15%	Arsenal Tivat	1081	2	@ Mladost DG	1102	1
21	2026-03-21	27.59%	Mornar	1212	2	@ Petrovac	1229	0
22	2026-04-12	28.34%	Bokelj	1090	1	@ Mladost DG	1101	0
23	2026-03-11	28.38%	Decic Tuzi	1157	2	@ Jezero	1167	1
24	2026-03-07	28.49%	@ Jedinstvo	1076	1	Mornar	1191	0
25	2025-10-18	28.60%	Mladost DG	1116	1	@ Jedinstvo	1125	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2025-09-13	30.35	@ Jezero	4	1146	39.12%	Decic Tuzi	0	1182	34.40%	26.48%
2	2026-03-01	27.73	Jedinstvo	4	1048	21.63%	@ Bokelj	1	1122	53.37%	24.99%
3	2025-10-18	27.17	@ Bokelj	3	1067	31.32%	Jezero	0	1159	42.33%	26.35%
4	2026-05-24	25.65	Mladost DG	4	1094	25.57%	@ Arsenal Tivat	1	1129	48.66%	25.76%
5	2026-05-16	25.18	@ Bokelj	3	1080	35.17%	Arsenal Tivat	0	1144	38.34%	26.50%
6	2026-05-24	24.29	Jedinstvo	3	1063	11.01%	@ Sutjeska	1	1292	69.02%	19.97%
7	2026-03-15	24.17	@ Mornar	3	1188	37.22%	Buducnost Podgorica	0	1237	36.27%	26.51%
8	2025-09-27	23.55	Bokelj	2	1071	19.66%	@ Decic Tuzi	0	1167	55.89%	24.45%
9	2026-04-18	23.54	Arsenal Tivat	2	1103	19.67%	@ Buducnost Podgorica	0	1198	55.88%	24.45%
10	2025-09-13	21.87	@ Petrovac	4	1187	51.81%	Mladost DG	0	1126	22.91%	25.28%
11	2026-03-21	20.87	@ Bokelj	2	1075	25.76%	Buducnost Podgorica	0	1213	48.44%	25.79%
12	2025-10-05	20.18	@ Mladost DG	3	1096	45.19%	Bokelj	0	1088	28.66%	26.14%
13	2026-03-21	20.13	Mornar	2	1212	27.59%	@ Petrovac	0	1229	46.38%	26.03%
14	2025-11-22	19.24	@ Petrovac	4	1190	55.65%	Jedinstvo	0	1096	19.85%	24.51%
15	2025-08-04	18.94	@ Sutjeska	3	1166	47.61%	Mornar	0	1139	26.50%	25.89%
16	2026-05-10	18.85	@ Decic Tuzi	3	1159	47.78%	Jezero	0	1131	26.35%	25.87%
17	2026-04-18	18.83	Jezero	2	1111	31.00%	@ Bokelj	0	1100	42.67%	26.33%
18	2026-04-08	18.63	Arsenal Tivat	2	1091	31.55%	@ Jedinstvo	0	1076	42.09%	26.37%
19	2026-03-01	18.24	@ Mornar	3	1173	48.95%	Mladost DG	0	1135	25.32%	25.72%
20	2025-08-31	18.01	@ Mladost DG	3	1108	25.94%	Buducnost Podgorica	1	1245	48.24%	25.82%
21	2026-03-07	17.89	Buducnost Podgorica	4	1215	43.16%	@ Mladost DG	1	1117	30.54%	26.30%
22	2026-05-20	17.49	@ Jedinstvo	2	1045	34.75%	Jezero	0	1112	38.76%	26.49%
23	2025-10-05	17.45	Buducnost Podgorica	2	1234	34.85%	@ Sutjeska	0	1195	38.66%	26.49%
24	2025-09-27	17.14	@ Mladost DG	2	1087	35.77%	Arsenal Tivat	0	1147	37.73%	26.50%
25	2025-08-17	16.02	@ Mladost DG	5	1099	41.72%	Jedinstvo	2	1117	31.89%	26.39%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2025-08-17	60.2	@ Jezero	2	1137	47.62%	Bokelj	2	1111	26.49%	25.89%
2	2025-08-30	60.2	@ Arsenal Tivat	2	1154	45.28%	Jezero	2	1145	28.59%	26.14%
3	2025-08-31	60.2	@ Decic Tuzi	2	1182	43.54%	Petrovac	2	1186	30.19%	26.28%
4	2025-08-10	60.1	@ Bokelj	2	1111	45.76%	Mladost DG	2	1099	28.15%	26.09%
5	2026-05-16	60.1	@ Jezero	2	1112	45.86%	Mladost DG	2	1099	28.06%	26.08%
6	2025-08-10	60.0	@ Mornar	2	1120	41.08%	Arsenal Tivat	2	1142	32.50%	26.42%
7	2025-09-27	60.0	@ Mornar	2	1126	37.43%	Jezero	2	1173	36.07%	26.51%
8	2025-12-10	57.9	Mladost DG	4	1119	25.15%	@ Decic Tuzi	3	1158	49.15%	25.70%
9	2026-04-26	55.4	@ Sutjeska	1	1269	60.66%	Jezero	1	1130	16.19%	23.15%
10	2025-09-13	55.1	@ Buducnost Podgorica	1	1227	58.35%	Jedinstvo	1	1109	17.83%	23.82%
11	2026-05-20	55.1	@ Mornar	1	1272	55.75%	Petrovac	1	1178	19.77%	24.48%
12	2025-10-01	54.8	@ Buducnost Podgorica	1	1236	52.02%	Jezero	1	1173	22.73%	25.24%
13	2025-09-21	54.7	@ Petrovac	1	1198	53.48%	Mornar	1	1124	21.55%	24.97%
14	2025-09-27	54.7	@ Buducnost Podgorica	1	1237	49.30%	Petrovac	1	1197	25.03%	25.68%
15	2025-08-10	54.6	@ Petrovac	1	1188	50.78%	Jezero	1	1136	23.77%	25.45%
16	2025-11-02	54.6	@ Petrovac	1	1200	50.48%	Decic Tuzi	1	1151	24.02%	25.50%
17	2026-05-09	54.6	@ Arsenal Tivat	1	1143	26.74%	Sutjeska	1	1272	47.34%	25.93%
18	2025-08-17	54.5	@ Sutjeska	1	1197	45.47%	Petrovac	1	1187	28.41%	26.12%
19	2026-02-25	54.5	@ Jezero	1	1160	49.24%	Bokelj	1	1121	25.07%	25.68%
20	2026-05-02	54.5	@ Petrovac	1	1184	47.48%	Decic Tuzi	1	1158	26.61%	25.91%
21	2025-09-17	54.4	@ Mornar	1	1123	30.13%	Buducnost Podgorica	1	1225	43.59%	26.27%
22	2026-05-24	54.4	@ Petrovac	1	1180	45.56%	Buducnost Podgorica	1	1168	28.33%	26.11%
23	2025-08-24	54.3	@ Bokelj	1	1111	45.52%	Jedinstvo	1	1101	28.36%	26.11%
24	2025-09-21	54.3	@ Arsenal Tivat	1	1147	41.50%	Decic Tuzi	1	1166	32.10%	26.40%
25	2026-03-01	54.3	@ Jezero	1	1159	36.20%	Sutjeska	1	1215	37.29%	26.51%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2026-05-02	25.8	@ Mornar	3	1267	67.29%	Jedinstvo	0	1058	11.99%	20.72%
2	2025-12-06	29.4	@ Sutjeska	2	1219	61.73%	Jedinstvo	0	1068	15.46%	22.80%
3	2026-05-16	29.4	@ Sutjeska	3	1271	55.63%	Decic Tuzi	0	1178	19.86%	24.51%
4	2025-11-22	29.5	@ Petrovac	4	1190	55.65%	Jedinstvo	0	1096	19.85%	24.51%
5	2025-09-13	30.7	@ Petrovac	4	1187	51.81%	Mladost DG	0	1126	22.91%	25.28%
6	2026-04-04	31.0	@ Mornar	2	1232	56.58%	Jezero	0	1131	19.13%	24.28%
7	2026-03-01	31.2	@ Mornar	3	1173	48.95%	Mladost DG	0	1135	25.32%	25.72%
8	2025-08-04	31.6	@ Sutjeska	3	1166	47.61%	Mornar	0	1139	26.50%	25.89%
9	2026-05-10	31.6	@ Decic Tuzi	3	1159	47.78%	Jezero	0	1131	26.35%	25.87%
10	2026-04-08	31.7	@ Buducnost Podgorica	2	1200	54.05%	Jezero	0	1121	21.10%	24.86%
11	2025-11-22	32.0	@ Buducnost Podgorica	2	1251	53.48%	Mornar	0	1177	21.55%	24.97%
12	2026-05-24	32.0	Mornar	2	1270	53.05%	@ Jezero	0	1094	21.89%	25.05%
13	2025-10-05	32.3	@ Mladost DG	3	1096	45.19%	Bokelj	0	1088	28.66%	26.14%
14	2025-08-04	32.6	@ Petrovac	2	1176	50.91%	Bokelj	0	1123	23.66%	25.43%
15	2026-04-04	32.8	Sutjeska	2	1243	50.54%	@ Jedinstvo	0	1088	23.96%	25.49%
16	2025-09-13	32.9	@ Sutjeska	2	1199	49.99%	Arsenal Tivat	0	1153	24.43%	25.58%
17	2026-03-11	32.9	@ Sutjeska	4	1220	59.36%	Arsenal Tivat	1	1093	17.10%	23.54%
18	2025-08-24	33.3	@ Buducnost Podgorica	2	1232	49.02%	Decic Tuzi	0	1195	25.27%	25.72%
19	2025-09-21	33.3	Buducnost Podgorica	2	1224	48.71%	@ Bokelj	0	1084	25.53%	25.76%
20	2026-04-12	33.4	@ Sutjeska	2	1248	48.94%	Buducnost Podgorica	0	1211	25.34%	25.73%
21	2025-09-13	34.5	@ Jezero	4	1146	39.12%	Decic Tuzi	0	1182	34.40%	26.48%
22	2025-11-02	34.5	@ Jezero	2	1126	44.56%	Arsenal Tivat	0	1123	29.24%	26.20%
23	2026-03-21	34.6	@ Sutjeska	1	1239	59.89%	Mladost DG	0	1106	16.73%	23.38%
24	2026-05-16	34.8	@ Petrovac	1	1173	58.91%	Jedinstvo	0	1050	17.42%	23.67%
25	2026-03-15	34.9	@ Mornar	3	1188	37.22%	Buducnost Podgorica	0	1237	36.27%	26.51%