2024-25 Montenegrin First League Season

179 games

Final

Champion

Buducnost Podgorica

84 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Buducnost Podgorica

15.69 points above expected

84 points · 68.31 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Decic Tuzi

7.27 points below expected

47 points · 54.27 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Buducnost Podgorica	35	26	6	3	84	90	29	+61	68.31	+15.69
2	Petrovac	36	17	9	10	60	50	37	+13	55.67	+4.33
3	Sutjeska	36	14	9	13	51	40	38	+2	52.68	-1.68
4	Decic Tuzi	35	10	17	8	47	34	31	+3	54.27	-7.27
5	Mornar	36	12	8	16	44	40	53	-13	46.69	-2.69
6	Bokelj	36	13	5	18	44	31	50	-19	47.87	-3.87
7	Jedinstvo	36	11	10	15	43	45	58	-13	39.06	+3.94
8	Arsenal Tivat	36	10	12	14	42	32	47	-15	42.67	-0.67
9	Jezero	36	9	12	15	39	35	44	-9	40.56	-1.56
10	Otrant	36	9	8	19	35	43	53	-10	41.69	-6.69

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Buducnost Podgorica	84	68.31	+15.69
2	Petrovac	60	55.67	+4.33
3	Jedinstvo	43	39.06	+3.94
4	Arsenal Tivat	42	42.67	-0.67
5	Jezero	39	40.56	-1.56

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Decic Tuzi	47	54.27	-7.27
2	Otrant	35	41.69	-6.69
3	Bokelj	44	47.87	-3.87
4	Mornar	44	46.69	-2.69
5	Sutjeska	51	52.68	-1.68

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Buducnost Podgorica	9	Nov 23 – Mar 12	1 in 165
2	Bokelj	3	Oct 19 – Oct 27	1 in 64
3	Arsenal Tivat	3	Nov 2 – Nov 24	1 in 41
4	Petrovac	4	Sep 29 – Oct 23	1 in 35
5	Jedinstvo	3	Sep 28 – Oct 6	1 in 35

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Mornar	6	Apr 6 – May 10	1 in 272
2	Bokelj	6	Mar 2 – Mar 29	1 in 250
3	Otrant	4	Sep 28 – Oct 19	1 in 78
4	Jezero	4	Dec 7 – Mar 2	1 in 25
5	Buducnost Podgorica	2	Oct 23 – Oct 27	1 in 24

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Buducnost Podgorica	20	Nov 2 – May 10	1 in 37
2	Jedinstvo	6	Apr 12 – May 14	1 in 28
3	Otrant	5	Apr 6 – May 4	1 in 21
4	Petrovac	9	Feb 22 – Apr 6	1 in 21
5	Mornar	6	Oct 2 – Nov 2	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Otrant	9	Aug 21 – Oct 19	1 in 57
2	Decic Tuzi	7	Sep 27 – Nov 2	1 in 52
3	Mornar	8	Apr 2 – May 14	1 in 22
4	Jezero	7	Aug 31 – Oct 6	1 in 10
5	Bokelj	6	Mar 2 – Mar 29	1 in 10

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Buducnost Podgorica	1443	84	+11	12	11.4	+0.6
Petrovac	1252	60	-33	4	9.0	-5.0
Sutjeska	1226	51	+10	10	8.5	+1.5
Decic Tuzi	1244	47	+9	7	8.2	-1.2
Mornar	1161	44	+23	7	4.8	+2.2
Bokelj	1120	44	-39	4	6.2	-2.2
Jedinstvo	1164	43	+14	8	5.0	+3.0
Arsenal Tivat	1130	42	-27	3	6.2	-3.2
Jezero	1169	39	+24	8	5.2	+2.8
Otrant	1175	35	+30	7	5.1	+1.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AT	BOK	BP	DT	JED	JEZ	MOR	OTR	PET	SUT
Arsenal Tivat	—	2-2-0 4.87	0-0-4 3.12	2-2-0 3.97	2-1-1 5.71	0-2-2 5.65	1-1-2 5.06	2-1-1 5.53	0-2-2 3.98	1-1-2 4.60
Bokelj	0-2-2 6.00	—	1-0-3 3.30	1-0-3 4.51	2-1-1 6.29	3-1-0 5.84	1-1-2 5.35	3-0-1 5.68	1-0-3 4.35	1-0-3 5.12
Buducnost Podgorica	4-0-0 7.92	3-0-1 7.71	—	2-1-0 5.19	4-0-0 8.45	1-2-1 8.45	3-0-1 7.91	3-1-0 8.12	3-1-0 6.95	3-1-0 7.12
Decic Tuzi	0-2-2 6.95	3-0-1 6.38	0-1-2 3.00	—	1-3-0 6.95	1-2-1 7.09	3-1-0 6.39	0-3-1 6.88	2-2-0 5.29	0-3-1 5.91
Jedinstvo	1-1-2 5.16	1-1-2 4.58	0-0-4 2.65	0-3-1 3.96	—	1-1-2 5.60	2-1-1 4.58	2-1-1 5.10	2-1-1 3.87	2-1-1 4.10
Jezero	2-2-0 5.22	0-1-3 5.03	1-2-1 2.67	1-2-1 3.84	2-1-1 5.27	—	1-1-2 4.71	1-1-2 5.20	0-2-2 3.90	1-0-3 4.22
Mornar	2-1-1 5.81	2-1-1 5.51	1-0-3 3.14	0-1-3 4.49	1-1-2 6.31	2-1-1 6.16	—	2-0-2 6.01	1-1-2 4.38	1-2-1 4.85
Otrant	1-1-2 5.34	1-0-3 5.19	0-1-3 2.95	1-3-0 4.03	1-1-2 5.76	2-1-1 5.67	2-0-2 4.87	—	1-0-3 4.43	0-1-3 4.59
Petrovac	2-2-0 6.95	3-0-1 6.55	0-1-3 3.97	0-2-2 5.58	1-1-2 7.06	2-2-0 7.02	2-1-1 6.52	3-0-1 6.48	—	4-0-0 5.70
Sutjeska	2-1-1 6.28	3-0-1 5.75	0-1-3 3.82	1-3-0 4.96	1-1-2 6.81	3-0-1 6.68	1-2-1 6.03	3-1-0 6.29	0-0-4 5.18	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.80	+7.3
Allowed	0.51	-10.1
Differential	0.91	+5.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.70%	10.61%	7.82%	1.68%	1.96%	0.28%	29.05%
1	10.61%	15.08%	7.82%	2.51%	0.84%	0.84%	37.71%
2	7.82%	7.82%	3.35%	1.40%	0.28%	0.56%	21.23%
3	1.68%	2.51%	1.40%	1.68%	—	—	7.26%
4	1.96%	0.84%	0.28%	—	—	—	3.07%
5+	0.28%	0.84%	0.56%	—	—	—	1.68%
Total	29.05%	37.71%	21.23%	7.26%	3.07%	1.68%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.23	1.23	+0.00
SD	1.15	1.15	1.70
CV	0.93	0.93	—
Max	6	6	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 179

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	8.33%	11.11%	—	2.78%	2.78%	41.67%
1	8.33%	16.67%	5.56%	—	2.78%	2.78%	36.11%
2	2.78%	11.11%	—	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
3	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.56%	38.89%	16.67%	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.89	1.31	-0.42
SD	0.98	1.39	1.79
CV	1.10	1.06	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	19.44%	2.78%	2.78%	8.33%	—	36.11%
1	13.89%	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	41.67%
2	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	22.22%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	41.67%	11.11%	5.56%	11.11%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.86	1.39	-0.53
SD	0.76	1.40	1.81
CV	0.88	1.01	—
Max	2	5	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	2.86%	—	—	—	—	2.86%
1	5.71%	11.43%	2.86%	—	—	—	20.00%
2	17.14%	8.57%	—	2.86%	—	—	28.57%
3	5.71%	14.29%	—	5.71%	—	—	25.71%
4	8.57%	2.86%	—	—	—	—	11.43%
5+	2.86%	5.71%	2.86%	—	—	—	11.43%
Total	40.00%	45.71%	5.71%	8.57%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.57	0.83	+1.74
SD	1.33	0.89	1.60
CV	0.52	1.07	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 35

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	14.29%	5.71%	5.71%	—	—	—	25.71%
1	20.00%	25.71%	5.71%	5.71%	—	—	57.14%
2	5.71%	—	8.57%	—	—	—	14.29%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	2.86%	—	—	—	—	—	2.86%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	42.86%	31.43%	20.00%	5.71%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	0.89	+0.09
SD	0.82	0.93	1.22
CV	0.85	1.05	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 35

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	—	25.00%
1	5.56%	16.67%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	36.11%
2	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	—	2.78%	27.78%
3	2.78%	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	38.89%	22.22%	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.25	1.61	-0.36
SD	0.97	1.25	1.61
CV	0.77	0.77	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	13.89%	11.11%	—	—	—	33.33%
1	11.11%	16.67%	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	44.44%
2	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	13.89%
3	—	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	33.33%	36.11%	5.56%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	1.22	-0.25
SD	0.91	0.90	1.11
CV	0.94	0.73	—
Max	3	3	+2
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	8.33%	16.67%	5.56%	2.78%	—	33.33%
1	8.33%	19.44%	5.56%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	—	2.78%	2.78%	27.78%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.44%	41.67%	25.00%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.11	1.47	-0.36
SD	1.06	1.30	1.87
CV	0.96	0.88	—
Max	4	6	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	19.44%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	41.67%
1	5.56%	2.78%	11.11%	2.78%	—	2.78%	25.00%
2	2.78%	5.56%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
3	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	16.67%	36.11%	36.11%	8.33%	—	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.19	1.47	-0.28
SD	1.47	1.06	1.75
CV	1.23	0.72	—
Max	6	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	19.44%
1	16.67%	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	44.44%
2	8.33%	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
3	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
4	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	38.89%	33.33%	16.67%	8.33%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.39	1.03	+0.36
SD	1.10	1.08	1.46
CV	0.79	1.05	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	8.33%	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	30.56%
1	11.11%	16.67%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	38.89%
2	11.11%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	19.44%
3	5.56%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	36.11%	22.22%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.11	1.06	+0.06
SD	0.98	0.95	1.55
CV	0.88	0.90	—
Max	3	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Buducnost Podgorica	1443	84	69.68	+14.32	96.0%	45	57	64	69	75	83	96
Petrovac	1252	60	55.67	+4.33	71.0%	33	42	49	56	61	72	76
Decic Tuzi	1244	47	55.64	-8.64	14.0%	40	44	51	55	61	68	73
Sutjeska	1226	51	52.68	-1.68	46.0%	34	41	48	52	57	66	77
Otrant	1175	35	41.69	-6.69	19.0%	25	30	37	42	46	52	60
Jezero	1169	39	40.56	-1.56	42.0%	25	28	36	40	45	51	55
Jedinstvo	1164	43	39.06	+3.94	77.0%	22	28	33	39	43	51	60
Mornar	1161	44	46.69	-2.69	38.0%	30	34	41	46	51	59	65
Arsenal Tivat	1130	42	42.67	-0.67	51.0%	23	29	39	42	47	56	62
Bokelj	1120	44	47.87	-3.87	36.0%	33	36	43	47	53	61	72

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+5.03%

No Edge

39.11%26.82%34.08%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 17.48 Elo pts.

162 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.15 goals

Neutral

-2+0.11+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.6

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

77%

Buducnost Podgorica, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.67/gm

Runaway

00.271/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.09 * Some Luck: 6.09 to 9.14 * Lucky: 9.14 to 12.19 * Wild Swing: 12.19 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.26 * Close: 1.26 to 1.89 * Off: 1.89 to 2.52 * Way Off: 2.52 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.21 points

Some Luck

07.6219

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.00

Pinpoint

01.584

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

96.00%

Buducnost Podgorica

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

14.00%

Decic Tuzi

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.13

Even

00.130.20.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 93.86

1.80

Strong Separation

0.751.51.82.153

Interquartile Edge

61%

Even

50%63.5%74.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

86%

Clear Edge

50%86%100%

Close Games

Expected

66%

Very Frequent

0%62%100%

Blowouts

Expected

12%

Rare

0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.63

Hard to Predict

00.632

Matchup Imbalance

0.26

Very Even

00.340.420.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.62

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.57

Some Carryover

00.380.570.71

Upset Rate

Expected

25%

Very Upset-Prone

0%27%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

22%

Very Shaky

0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.

Probability calibration

0.88

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.92

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.094

Well Within Noise

00.1260.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Buducnost Podgorica	77.00%	14.00%	6.00%	1.00%	—	—	2.00%	—	—	—
Petrovac	9.00%	29.00%	19.00%	14.00%	11.00%	8.00%	4.00%	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Sutjeska	4.00%	11.00%	20.00%	26.00%	14.00%	16.00%	5.00%	—	1.00%	3.00%
Decic Tuzi	7.00%	28.00%	21.00%	18.00%	10.00%	7.00%	6.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—
Mornar	2.00%	4.00%	12.00%	8.00%	19.00%	14.00%	14.00%	8.00%	11.00%	8.00%
Bokelj	1.00%	7.00%	11.00%	17.00%	11.00%	13.00%	13.00%	15.00%	7.00%	5.00%
Jedinstvo	—	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	7.00%	8.00%	14.00%	14.00%	19.00%	33.00%
Arsenal Tivat	—	3.00%	7.00%	4.00%	7.00%	10.00%	17.00%	20.00%	18.00%	14.00%
Jezero	—	1.00%	—	2.00%	12.00%	12.00%	12.00%	18.00%	25.00%	18.00%
Otrant	—	1.00%	3.00%	8.00%	9.00%	12.00%	13.00%	20.00%	16.00%	18.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Buducnost Podgorica	100%	—	—
Decic Tuzi	97.00%	3.00%	—
Petrovac	94.00%	5.00%	1.00%
Sutjeska	96.00%	1.00%	3.00%
Bokelj	73.00%	22.00%	5.00%
Mornar	73.00%	19.00%	8.00%
Arsenal Tivat	48.00%	38.00%	14.00%
Jezero	39.00%	43.00%	18.00%
Otrant	46.00%	36.00%	18.00%
Jedinstvo	34.00%	33.00%	33.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2024-08-04	Decic Tuzi	D 1-1	53.0	1232	1260	34.70%	28.43%	36.88%	-0.06	+0.1	1
2024-08-04	@ Sutjeska	D 1-1	53.0	1260	1232	36.88%	28.43%	34.70%	+0.06	-0.1	1
2024-08-04	Jedinstvo	W 2-1	47.5	1158	1169	36.97%	28.43%	34.60%	+0.04	+7.2	3
2024-08-04	@ Arsenal Tivat	L 1-2	47.5	1169	1158	34.60%	28.43%	36.97%	-0.04	-7.3	0
2024-08-04	Jezero	W 2-0	36.6	1207	1188	41.24%	28.23%	30.53%	+0.23	+13.2	3
2024-08-04	@ Bokelj	L 0-2	36.6	1188	1207	30.53%	28.23%	41.24%	-0.23	-13.2	0
2024-08-04	Otrant	L 0-1	43.3	1225	1211	40.58%	28.28%	31.15%	+0.20	-8.6	0
2024-08-04	@ Mornar	W 1-0	43.3	1211	1225	31.15%	28.28%	40.58%	-0.20	+8.6	3
2024-08-06	Petrovac	W 2-1	45.3	1240	1194	44.90%	27.85%	27.25%	+0.39	+6.0	3
2024-08-06	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-2	45.3	1194	1240	27.25%	27.85%	44.90%	-0.39	-6.0	0
2024-08-11	Bokelj	L 0-1	40.1	1162	1220	30.50%	28.23%	41.27%	-0.25	-7.0	0
2024-08-11	@ Jedinstvo	W 1-0	40.1	1220	1162	41.27%	28.23%	30.50%	+0.25	+7.0	6
2024-08-11	Otrant	W 3-2	53.5	1188	1219	34.07%	28.41%	37.51%	-0.09	+7.3	3
2024-08-11	@ Petrovac	L 2-3	53.5	1219	1188	37.51%	28.41%	34.07%	+0.09	-7.3	3
2024-08-11	Sutjeska	D 1-1	53.0	1246	1232	40.43%	28.29%	31.28%	+0.19	-0.4	4
2024-08-11	@ Buducnost Podgorica	D 1-1	53.0	1232	1246	31.28%	28.29%	40.43%	-0.19	+0.4	2
2024-08-17	Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-2	35.8	1165	1245	27.84%	27.94%	44.22%	-0.39	-12.3	3
2024-08-17	@ Arsenal Tivat	W 2-0	35.8	1245	1165	44.22%	27.94%	27.84%	+0.39	+12.3	7
2024-08-17	Jedinstvo	L 1-2	51.0	1216	1155	46.91%	27.55%	25.53%	+0.49	-9.1	0
2024-08-17	@ Mornar	W 2-1	51.0	1155	1216	25.53%	27.55%	46.91%	-0.49	+9.1	3
2024-08-17	Jezero	W 3-1	42.0	1212	1175	43.71%	28.00%	28.30%	+0.34	+10.8	6
2024-08-17	@ Otrant	L 1-3	42.0	1175	1212	28.30%	28.00%	43.71%	-0.34	-10.8	0
2024-08-17	Petrovac	L 0-2	40.6	1233	1195	43.82%	27.98%	28.20%	+0.34	-17.3	2
2024-08-17	@ Sutjeska	W 2-0	40.6	1195	1233	28.20%	27.98%	43.82%	-0.34	+17.3	6
2024-08-18	Decic Tuzi	L 0-1	41.5	1227	1259	34.02%	28.41%	37.57%	-0.09	-7.6	6
2024-08-18	@ Bokelj	W 1-0	41.5	1259	1227	37.57%	28.41%	34.02%	+0.09	+7.6	4
2024-08-21	Arsenal Tivat	L 1-2	51.0	1216	1153	47.09%	27.52%	25.39%	+0.49	-9.1	2
2024-08-21	@ Sutjeska	W 2-1	51.0	1153	1216	25.39%	27.52%	47.09%	-0.49	+9.2	6
2024-08-21	Bokelj	W 4-0	34.3	1258	1220	43.81%	27.98%	28.21%	+0.34	+23.6	10
2024-08-21	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-4	34.3	1220	1258	28.21%	27.98%	43.81%	-0.34	-23.6	6
2024-08-21	Jezero	D 1-1	53.0	1212	1164	45.19%	27.81%	27.00%	+0.40	-0.8	7
2024-08-21	@ Petrovac	D 1-1	53.0	1164	1212	27.00%	27.81%	45.19%	-0.40	+0.8	1
2024-08-21	Mornar	W 1-0	38.7	1267	1207	46.76%	27.58%	25.67%	+0.48	+6.1	7
2024-08-21	@ Decic Tuzi	L 0-1	38.7	1207	1267	25.67%	27.58%	46.76%	-0.48	-6.1	0
2024-08-21	Otrant	W 1-0	43.4	1164	1223	30.47%	28.22%	41.30%	-0.25	+8.8	6
2024-08-21	@ Jedinstvo	L 0-1	43.4	1223	1164	41.30%	28.22%	30.47%	+0.25	-8.8	6
2024-08-25	Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-2	35.9	1201	1281	27.81%	27.93%	44.26%	-0.39	-12.3	0
2024-08-25	@ Mornar	W 2-0	35.9	1281	1201	44.26%	27.93%	27.81%	+0.39	+12.3	13
2024-08-25	Decic Tuzi	D 2-2	59.2	1214	1273	30.40%	28.22%	41.38%	-0.26	+0.3	7
2024-08-25	@ Otrant	D 2-2	59.2	1273	1214	41.38%	28.22%	30.40%	+0.26	-0.3	8
2024-08-25	Jedinstvo	W 1-0	41.2	1165	1173	37.43%	28.42%	34.15%	+0.06	+7.6	4
2024-08-25	@ Jezero	L 0-1	41.2	1173	1165	34.15%	28.42%	37.43%	-0.06	-7.6	6
2024-08-25	Petrovac	D 1-1	52.8	1162	1211	31.68%	28.31%	40.01%	-0.20	+0.3	7
2024-08-25	@ Arsenal Tivat	D 1-1	52.8	1211	1162	40.01%	28.31%	31.68%	+0.20	-0.4	8
2024-08-25	Sutjeska	L 0-3	36.9	1196	1206	37.13%	28.42%	34.45%	+0.05	-22.2	6
2024-08-25	@ Bokelj	W 3-0	36.9	1206	1196	34.45%	28.42%	37.13%	-0.05	+22.2	5
2024-08-31	Bokelj	D 1-1	52.7	1163	1174	36.93%	28.43%	34.64%	+0.04	-0.1	8
2024-08-31	@ Arsenal Tivat	D 1-1	52.7	1174	1163	34.64%	28.43%	36.93%	-0.04	+0.1	7
2024-08-31	Jedinstvo	W 3-1	41.6	1211	1165	44.88%	27.85%	27.26%	+0.39	+10.5	11
2024-08-31	@ Petrovac	L 1-3	41.6	1165	1211	27.26%	27.85%	44.88%	-0.39	-10.5	6
2024-08-31	Jezero	W 1-0	37.1	1273	1173	51.86%	26.54%	21.61%	+0.73	+5.3	11
2024-08-31	@ Decic Tuzi	L 0-1	37.1	1173	1273	21.61%	26.54%	51.86%	-0.73	-5.3	4
2024-08-31	Mornar	D 1-1	53.0	1229	1189	44.09%	27.95%	27.96%	+0.35	-0.7	6
2024-08-31	@ Sutjeska	D 1-1	53.0	1189	1229	27.96%	27.95%	44.09%	-0.35	+0.7	1
2024-08-31	Otrant	D 1-1	53.5	1293	1214	49.23%	27.13%	23.64%	+0.60	-1.1	14
2024-08-31	@ Buducnost Podgorica	D 1-1	53.5	1214	1293	23.64%	27.13%	49.23%	-0.60	+1.1	8
2024-09-14	Arsenal Tivat	W 4-0	34.5	1189	1162	42.33%	28.14%	29.53%	+0.27	+24.4	4
2024-09-14	@ Mornar	L 0-4	34.5	1162	1189	29.53%	28.14%	42.33%	-0.27	-24.4	8
2024-09-14	Decic Tuzi	D 1-1	53.3	1155	1278	23.15%	27.00%	49.86%	-0.65	+1.2	7
2024-09-14	@ Jedinstvo	D 1-1	53.3	1278	1155	49.86%	27.00%	23.15%	+0.65	-1.2	12
2024-09-14	Petrovac	L 0-1	40.6	1174	1222	31.92%	28.33%	39.75%	-0.18	-7.2	7
2024-09-14	@ Bokelj	W 1-0	40.6	1222	1174	39.75%	28.33%	31.92%	+0.18	+7.2	14
2024-09-14	Sutjeska	L 1-3	44.8	1215	1228	36.81%	28.43%	34.76%	+0.03	-13.1	8
2024-09-14	@ Otrant	W 3-1	44.8	1228	1215	34.76%	28.43%	36.81%	-0.03	+13.1	9
2024-09-15	Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-2	34.1	1167	1292	22.96%	26.95%	50.09%	-0.66	-10.5	4
2024-09-15	@ Jezero	W 2-0	34.1	1292	1167	50.09%	26.95%	22.96%	+0.66	+10.5	17
2024-09-18	Arsenal Tivat	L 1-3	49.6	1277	1138	56.43%	25.22%	18.35%	+0.96	-18.4	12
2024-09-18	@ Decic Tuzi	W 3-1	49.6	1138	1277	18.35%	25.22%	56.43%	-0.96	+18.4	11
2024-09-18	Mornar	D 2-2	58.9	1157	1214	30.67%	28.24%	41.09%	-0.24	+0.3	5
2024-09-18	@ Jezero	D 2-2	58.9	1214	1157	41.09%	28.24%	30.67%	+0.24	-0.3	5
2024-09-22	Decic Tuzi	L 0-1	41.6	1229	1259	34.34%	28.42%	37.24%	-0.08	-7.6	14
2024-09-22	@ Petrovac	W 1-0	41.6	1259	1229	37.24%	28.42%	34.34%	+0.08	+7.7	15
2024-09-22	Jedinstvo	W 4-0	30.2	1303	1156	57.33%	24.92%	17.75%	+1.01	+15.6	20
2024-09-22	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-4	30.2	1156	1303	17.75%	24.92%	57.33%	-1.01	-15.6	7
2024-09-22	Jezero	W 2-1	43.7	1241	1157	49.83%	27.00%	23.17%	+0.63	+5.3	12
2024-09-22	@ Sutjeska	L 1-2	43.7	1157	1241	23.17%	27.00%	49.83%	-0.63	-5.3	5
2024-09-22	Mornar	W 2-0	39.4	1167	1214	32.03%	28.33%	39.63%	-0.18	+16.0	10
2024-09-22	@ Bokelj	L 0-2	39.4	1214	1167	39.63%	28.33%	32.03%	+0.18	-16.0	5
2024-09-22	Otrant	D 0-0	47.6	1156	1202	32.12%	28.34%	39.54%	-0.18	+0.4	12
2024-09-22	@ Arsenal Tivat	D 0-0	47.6	1202	1156	39.54%	28.34%	32.12%	+0.18	-0.3	9
2024-09-27	Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-2	37.5	1266	1318	31.28%	28.29%	40.43%	-0.21	-13.5	15
2024-09-27	@ Decic Tuzi	W 2-0	37.5	1318	1266	40.43%	28.29%	31.28%	+0.21	+13.5	23
2024-09-28	Arsenal Tivat	D 0-0	47.6	1152	1157	37.88%	28.41%	33.71%	+0.08	-0.2	6
2024-09-28	@ Jezero	D 0-0	47.6	1157	1152	33.71%	28.41%	37.88%	-0.08	+0.2	13
2024-09-28	Bokelj	L 1-2	49.5	1202	1183	41.25%	28.23%	30.53%	+0.23	-8.2	9
2024-09-28	@ Otrant	W 2-1	49.5	1183	1202	30.53%	28.23%	41.25%	-0.23	+8.2	13
2024-09-28	Sutjeska	W 2-0	41.5	1140	1246	24.93%	27.43%	47.65%	-0.55	+18.5	10
2024-09-28	@ Jedinstvo	L 0-2	41.5	1246	1140	47.65%	27.43%	24.93%	+0.55	-18.5	12
2024-09-29	Petrovac	L 0-2	38.1	1197	1221	35.19%	28.43%	36.38%	-0.04	-14.7	5
2024-09-29	@ Mornar	W 2-0	38.1	1221	1197	36.38%	28.43%	35.19%	+0.04	+14.7	17
2024-10-02	Arsenal Tivat	W 3-2	52.0	1159	1157	38.85%	28.37%	32.78%	+0.12	+6.6	13
2024-10-02	@ Jedinstvo	L 2-3	52.0	1157	1159	32.78%	28.37%	38.85%	-0.12	-6.6	13
2024-10-02	Bokelj	D 0-0	47.6	1152	1191	32.98%	28.38%	38.64%	-0.14	+0.3	7
2024-10-02	@ Jezero	D 0-0	47.6	1191	1152	38.64%	28.38%	32.98%	+0.14	-0.3	14
2024-10-02	Mornar	L 1-2	49.2	1194	1183	40.11%	28.31%	31.58%	+0.18	-8.1	9
2024-10-02	@ Otrant	W 2-1	49.2	1183	1194	31.58%	28.31%	40.11%	-0.18	+8.1	8
2024-10-02	Sutjeska	D 0-0	47.9	1253	1228	42.05%	28.16%	29.78%	+0.26	-0.6	16
2024-10-02	@ Decic Tuzi	D 0-0	47.9	1228	1253	29.78%	28.16%	42.05%	-0.26	+0.6	13
2024-10-06	Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-1	38.8	1228	1332	25.17%	27.48%	47.35%	-0.53	-6.0	13
2024-10-06	@ Sutjeska	W 1-0	38.8	1332	1228	47.35%	27.48%	25.17%	+0.53	+6.0	26
2024-10-06	Decic Tuzi	D 0-0	47.9	1150	1252	25.36%	27.52%	47.12%	-0.52	+1.1	14
2024-10-06	@ Arsenal Tivat	D 0-0	47.9	1252	1150	47.12%	27.52%	25.36%	+0.52	-1.1	17
2024-10-06	Jedinstvo	L 1-2	49.7	1191	1166	42.12%	28.16%	29.72%	+0.26	-8.4	14
2024-10-06	@ Bokelj	W 2-1	49.7	1166	1191	29.72%	28.16%	42.12%	-0.26	+8.4	16
2024-10-06	Jezero	W 2-0	35.7	1191	1152	43.97%	27.97%	28.07%	+0.35	+12.4	11
2024-10-06	@ Mornar	L 0-2	35.7	1152	1191	28.07%	27.97%	43.97%	-0.35	-12.4	7
2024-10-06	Petrovac	L 0-1	40.5	1186	1236	31.55%	28.30%	40.14%	-0.20	-7.2	9
2024-10-06	@ Otrant	W 1-0	40.5	1236	1186	40.14%	28.30%	31.55%	+0.20	+7.2	20
2024-10-19	Arsenal Tivat	W 2-1	40.4	1338	1151	61.68%	23.27%	15.05%	+1.26	+3.5	29
2024-10-19	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-2	40.4	1151	1338	15.05%	23.27%	61.68%	-1.26	-3.5	14
2024-10-19	Bokelj	L 1-2	51.3	1251	1183	47.87%	27.39%	24.74%	+0.53	-9.3	17
2024-10-19	@ Decic Tuzi	W 2-1	51.3	1183	1251	24.74%	27.39%	47.87%	-0.53	+9.3	17
2024-10-19	Mornar	L 1-2	47.5	1174	1203	34.38%	28.42%	37.19%	-0.07	-7.2	16
2024-10-19	@ Jedinstvo	W 2-1	47.5	1203	1174	37.19%	28.42%	34.38%	+0.07	+7.2	14
2024-10-19	Otrant	W 1-0	42.5	1140	1178	33.07%	28.38%	38.55%	-0.13	+8.3	10
2024-10-19	@ Jezero	L 0-1	42.5	1178	1140	38.55%	28.38%	33.07%	+0.13	-8.3	9
2024-10-19	Sutjeska	W 1-0	40.2	1243	1222	41.47%	28.21%	30.32%	+0.24	+7.0	23
2024-10-19	@ Petrovac	L 0-1	40.2	1222	1243	30.32%	28.21%	41.47%	-0.24	-7.0	13
2024-10-23	Buducnost Podgorica	W 2-1	52.9	1192	1341	20.68%	26.21%	53.11%	-0.82	+10.1	20
2024-10-23	@ Bokelj	L 1-2	52.9	1341	1192	53.11%	26.21%	20.68%	+0.82	-10.1	29
2024-10-23	Decic Tuzi	D 1-1	52.9	1210	1242	34.12%	28.42%	37.47%	-0.09	+0.1	15
2024-10-23	@ Mornar	D 1-1	52.9	1242	1210	37.47%	28.42%	34.12%	+0.09	-0.1	18
2024-10-23	Jedinstvo	W 2-1	46.9	1170	1167	39.07%	28.36%	32.57%	+0.13	+6.9	12
2024-10-23	@ Otrant	L 1-2	46.9	1167	1170	32.57%	28.36%	39.07%	-0.13	-6.9	16
2024-10-23	Petrovac	L 0-1	38.4	1148	1250	25.32%	27.51%	47.17%	-0.52	-6.0	10
2024-10-23	@ Jezero	W 1-0	38.4	1250	1148	47.17%	27.51%	25.32%	+0.52	+6.0	26
2024-10-23	Sutjeska	L 0-1	39.7	1148	1215	29.35%	28.12%	42.54%	-0.31	-6.8	14
2024-10-23	@ Arsenal Tivat	W 1-0	39.7	1215	1148	42.54%	28.12%	29.35%	+0.31	+6.8	16
2024-10-27	Arsenal Tivat	D 0-0	48.4	1256	1141	53.64%	26.07%	20.29%	+0.82	-1.7	27
2024-10-27	@ Petrovac	D 0-0	48.4	1141	1256	20.29%	26.07%	53.64%	-0.82	+1.7	15
2024-10-27	Bokelj	L 0-2	39.9	1222	1202	41.42%	28.22%	30.37%	+0.23	-16.6	16
2024-10-27	@ Sutjeska	W 2-0	39.9	1202	1222	30.37%	28.22%	41.42%	-0.23	+16.5	23
2024-10-27	Jezero	D 1-1	52.8	1160	1142	41.08%	28.24%	30.67%	+0.22	-0.4	17
2024-10-27	@ Jedinstvo	D 1-1	52.8	1142	1160	30.67%	28.24%	41.08%	-0.22	+0.4	11
2024-10-27	Mornar	L 0-1	47.0	1331	1211	54.32%	25.87%	19.81%	+0.85	-10.9	29
2024-10-27	@ Buducnost Podgorica	W 1-0	47.0	1211	1331	19.81%	25.87%	54.32%	-0.85	+10.9	18
2024-10-27	Otrant	D 0-0	48.0	1242	1177	47.36%	27.48%	25.16%	+0.51	-1.1	19
2024-10-27	@ Decic Tuzi	D 0-0	48.0	1177	1242	25.16%	27.48%	47.36%	-0.51	+1.1	13
2024-11-02	Arsenal Tivat	L 1-2	51.4	1218	1143	48.79%	27.21%	23.99%	+0.57	-9.4	23
2024-11-02	@ Bokelj	W 2-1	51.4	1143	1218	23.99%	27.21%	48.79%	-0.57	+9.4	18
2024-11-02	Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-3	31.8	1178	1320	21.34%	26.45%	52.22%	-0.77	-14.3	13
2024-11-02	@ Otrant	W 3-0	31.8	1320	1178	52.22%	26.45%	21.34%	+0.77	+14.3	32
2024-11-02	Decic Tuzi	D 1-1	53.0	1142	1241	25.74%	27.59%	46.67%	-0.50	+0.9	12
2024-11-02	@ Jezero	D 1-1	53.0	1241	1142	46.67%	27.59%	25.74%	+0.50	-0.9	20
2024-11-02	Petrovac	W 3-2	55.9	1159	1254	26.10%	27.66%	46.24%	-0.48	+8.6	20
2024-11-02	@ Jedinstvo	L 2-3	55.9	1254	1159	46.24%	27.66%	26.10%	+0.48	-8.6	27
2024-11-02	Sutjeska	W 2-1	46.5	1222	1206	40.81%	28.26%	30.93%	+0.21	+6.7	21
2024-11-02	@ Mornar	L 1-2	46.5	1206	1222	30.93%	28.26%	40.81%	-0.21	-6.7	16
2024-11-09	Jezero	D 1-1	54.6	1335	1143	62.20%	23.06%	14.74%	+1.29	-2.2	33
2024-11-09	@ Buducnost Podgorica	D 1-1	54.6	1143	1335	14.74%	23.06%	62.20%	-1.29	+2.2	13
2024-11-10	Bokelj	W 1-0	39.6	1246	1209	43.68%	28.00%	28.32%	+0.33	+6.6	30
2024-11-10	@ Petrovac	L 0-1	39.6	1209	1246	28.32%	28.00%	43.68%	-0.33	-6.6	23
2024-11-10	Jedinstvo	W 4-0	32.8	1240	1168	48.30%	27.31%	24.39%	+0.55	+20.9	23
2024-11-10	@ Decic Tuzi	L 0-4	32.8	1168	1240	24.39%	27.31%	48.30%	-0.55	-20.9	20
2024-11-10	Mornar	W 4-0	38.8	1152	1228	28.31%	28.00%	43.70%	-0.36	+32.8	21
2024-11-10	@ Arsenal Tivat	L 0-4	38.8	1228	1152	43.70%	28.00%	28.31%	+0.36	-32.7	21
2024-11-10	Otrant	D 0-0	47.7	1199	1164	43.44%	28.03%	28.54%	+0.32	-0.7	17
2024-11-10	@ Sutjeska	D 0-0	47.7	1164	1199	28.54%	28.03%	43.44%	-0.32	+0.7	14
2024-11-23	Bokelj	D 1-1	52.8	1195	1202	37.58%	28.41%	34.00%	+0.06	-0.1	22
2024-11-23	@ Mornar	D 1-1	52.8	1202	1195	34.00%	28.41%	37.58%	-0.06	+0.1	24
2024-11-23	Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-2	32.0	1147	1332	17.77%	24.93%	57.30%	-1.04	-8.3	20
2024-11-23	@ Jedinstvo	W 2-0	32.0	1332	1147	57.30%	24.93%	17.77%	+1.04	+8.2	36
2024-11-23	Petrovac	W 1-0	40.9	1261	1252	39.72%	28.33%	31.95%	+0.16	+7.2	26
2024-11-23	@ Decic Tuzi	L 0-1	40.9	1252	1261	31.95%	28.33%	39.72%	-0.16	-7.3	30
2024-11-24	Arsenal Tivat	L 0-2	38.2	1165	1185	35.67%	28.43%	35.89%	-0.02	-14.8	14
2024-11-24	@ Otrant	W 2-0	38.2	1185	1165	35.89%	28.43%	35.67%	+0.02	+14.8	24
2024-11-25	Sutjeska	L 0-1	40.3	1145	1198	31.21%	28.28%	40.51%	-0.22	-7.1	13
2024-11-25	@ Jezero	W 1-0	40.3	1198	1145	40.51%	28.28%	31.21%	+0.22	+7.1	20
2024-11-27	Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-4	39.1	1245	1341	26.05%	27.65%	46.30%	-0.48	-14.3	30
2024-11-27	@ Petrovac	W 4-1	39.1	1341	1245	46.30%	27.65%	26.05%	+0.48	+14.3	39
2024-12-01	Decic Tuzi	W 3-1	40.9	1355	1268	50.24%	26.91%	22.85%	+0.65	+9.0	42
2024-12-01	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-3	40.9	1268	1355	22.85%	26.91%	50.24%	-0.65	-9.0	26
2024-12-01	Jedinstvo	W 3-0	32.9	1205	1139	47.64%	27.43%	24.93%	+0.52	+16.3	23
2024-12-01	@ Sutjeska	L 0-3	32.9	1139	1205	24.93%	27.43%	47.64%	-0.52	-16.3	20
2024-12-01	Jezero	L 0-1	44.8	1200	1138	46.96%	27.54%	25.50%	+0.49	-9.7	24
2024-12-01	@ Arsenal Tivat	W 1-0	44.8	1138	1200	25.50%	27.54%	46.96%	-0.49	+9.7	16
2024-12-01	Mornar	W 4-2	45.7	1231	1195	43.51%	28.02%	28.47%	+0.33	+9.7	33
2024-12-01	@ Petrovac	L 2-4	45.7	1195	1231	28.47%	28.02%	43.51%	-0.33	-9.7	22
2024-12-01	Otrant	W 1-0	38.7	1203	1150	45.82%	27.72%	26.46%	+0.43	+6.3	27
2024-12-01	@ Bokelj	L 0-1	38.7	1150	1203	26.46%	27.72%	45.82%	-0.43	-6.3	14
2024-12-07	Decic Tuzi	D 1-1	53.0	1222	1259	33.31%	28.39%	38.30%	-0.12	+0.2	24
2024-12-07	@ Sutjeska	D 1-1	53.0	1259	1222	38.30%	28.39%	33.31%	+0.12	-0.2	27
2024-12-07	Jedinstvo	D 1-1	53.0	1190	1122	47.77%	27.40%	24.82%	+0.53	-1.0	25
2024-12-07	@ Arsenal Tivat	D 1-1	53.0	1122	1190	24.82%	27.40%	47.77%	-0.53	+1.0	21
2024-12-07	Jezero	W 2-1	44.6	1209	1148	46.88%	27.56%	25.56%	+0.48	+5.7	30
2024-12-07	@ Bokelj	L 1-2	44.6	1148	1209	25.56%	27.56%	46.88%	-0.48	-5.7	16
2024-12-07	Otrant	W 1-0	39.1	1186	1144	44.39%	27.92%	27.69%	+0.37	+6.5	25
2024-12-07	@ Mornar	L 0-1	39.1	1144	1186	27.69%	27.92%	44.39%	-0.37	-6.5	14
2024-12-07	Petrovac	W 3-1	39.5	1364	1241	54.64%	25.78%	19.58%	+0.87	+7.9	45
2024-12-07	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-3	39.5	1241	1364	19.58%	25.78%	54.64%	-0.87	-7.8	33
2025-02-22	Arsenal Tivat	D 0-0	48.1	1259	1189	48.01%	27.36%	24.63%	+0.54	-1.1	28
2025-02-22	@ Decic Tuzi	D 0-0	48.1	1189	1259	24.63%	27.36%	48.01%	-0.54	+1.1	26
2025-02-22	Bokelj	L 0-1	38.7	1123	1215	26.53%	27.73%	45.74%	-0.46	-6.3	21
2025-02-22	@ Jedinstvo	W 1-0	38.7	1215	1123	45.74%	27.73%	26.53%	+0.46	+6.3	33
2025-02-22	Mornar	L 1-2	46.6	1142	1192	31.59%	28.31%	40.10%	-0.20	-6.8	16
2025-02-22	@ Jezero	W 2-1	46.6	1192	1142	40.10%	28.31%	31.59%	+0.20	+6.8	28
2025-02-22	Otrant	W 2-1	43.3	1233	1137	51.31%	26.67%	22.02%	+0.70	+5.0	36
2025-02-22	@ Petrovac	L 1-2	43.3	1137	1233	22.02%	26.67%	51.31%	-0.70	-5.1	14
2025-02-22	Sutjeska	W 2-0	32.4	1372	1222	57.69%	24.80%	17.51%	+1.03	+8.1	48
2025-02-22	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-2	32.4	1222	1372	17.51%	24.80%	57.69%	-1.03	-8.1	24
2025-02-26	Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-5	34.1	1190	1380	17.45%	24.77%	57.78%	-1.06	-12.8	26
2025-02-26	@ Arsenal Tivat	W 5-1	34.1	1380	1190	57.78%	24.77%	17.45%	+1.06	+12.8	51
2025-02-26	Jedinstvo	D 1-1	53.1	1199	1117	49.57%	27.06%	23.37%	+0.61	-1.2	29
2025-02-26	@ Mornar	D 1-1	53.1	1117	1199	23.37%	27.06%	49.57%	-0.61	+1.2	22
2025-02-26	Jezero	W 1-0	41.0	1132	1135	38.09%	28.40%	33.51%	+0.09	+7.5	17
2025-02-26	@ Otrant	L 0-1	41.0	1135	1132	33.51%	28.40%	38.09%	-0.09	-7.5	16
2025-02-26	Petrovac	L 0-3	36.4	1214	1238	35.14%	28.43%	36.43%	-0.04	-21.3	24
2025-02-26	@ Sutjeska	W 3-0	36.4	1238	1214	36.43%	28.43%	35.14%	+0.04	+21.3	39
2025-03-02	Arsenal Tivat	W 2-0	36.8	1192	1177	40.69%	28.27%	31.04%	+0.20	+13.4	27
2025-03-02	@ Sutjeska	L 0-2	36.8	1177	1192	31.04%	28.27%	40.69%	-0.20	-13.4	26
2025-03-02	Bokelj	W 3-1	37.9	1393	1221	60.12%	23.90%	15.98%	+1.17	+6.4	54
2025-03-02	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-3	37.9	1221	1393	15.98%	23.90%	60.12%	-1.17	-6.4	33
2025-03-02	Jezero	W 2-1	42.0	1259	1128	55.55%	25.50%	18.95%	+0.92	+4.4	42
2025-03-02	@ Petrovac	L 1-2	42.0	1128	1259	18.95%	25.50%	55.55%	-0.92	-4.4	16
2025-03-02	Mornar	W 2-0	35.1	1257	1198	46.73%	27.58%	25.69%	+0.48	+11.5	31
2025-03-02	@ Decic Tuzi	L 0-2	35.1	1198	1257	25.69%	27.58%	46.73%	-0.48	-11.5	29
2025-03-02	Otrant	W 2-0	38.2	1118	1139	35.53%	28.43%	36.04%	-0.02	+14.9	25
2025-03-02	@ Jedinstvo	L 0-2	38.2	1139	1118	36.04%	28.43%	35.53%	+0.02	-14.9	17
2025-03-08	Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-2	41.2	1186	1399	15.85%	23.82%	60.33%	-1.21	-3.7	29
2025-03-08	@ Mornar	W 2-1	41.2	1399	1186	60.33%	23.82%	15.85%	+1.21	+3.7	57
2025-03-08	Decic Tuzi	W 2-0	42.7	1125	1269	21.14%	26.38%	52.48%	-0.78	+20.0	20
2025-03-08	@ Otrant	L 0-2	42.7	1269	1125	52.48%	26.38%	21.14%	+0.78	-20.0	31
2025-03-08	Jedinstvo	W 3-2	52.4	1124	1133	37.20%	28.42%	34.38%	+0.05	+6.8	19
2025-03-08	@ Jezero	L 2-3	52.4	1133	1124	34.38%	28.42%	37.20%	-0.05	-6.9	25
2025-03-08	Petrovac	L 1-2	44.7	1164	1264	25.61%	27.57%	46.82%	-0.51	-5.8	26
2025-03-08	@ Arsenal Tivat	W 2-1	44.7	1264	1164	46.82%	27.57%	25.61%	+0.51	+5.8	45
2025-03-08	Sutjeska	L 1-2	49.2	1214	1206	39.78%	28.33%	31.89%	+0.16	-8.0	33
2025-03-08	@ Bokelj	W 2-1	49.2	1206	1214	31.89%	28.33%	39.78%	-0.16	+8.0	30
2025-03-12	Bokelj	W 1-0	42.9	1158	1206	31.83%	28.32%	39.85%	-0.19	+8.5	29
2025-03-12	@ Arsenal Tivat	L 0-1	42.9	1206	1158	39.85%	28.32%	31.83%	+0.19	-8.5	33
2025-03-12	Jedinstvo	D 0-0	48.7	1269	1126	56.90%	25.07%	18.03%	+0.99	-2.0	46
2025-03-12	@ Petrovac	D 0-0	48.7	1126	1269	18.03%	25.07%	56.90%	-0.99	+2.0	26
2025-03-12	Jezero	L 1-2	52.7	1249	1130	54.08%	25.94%	19.98%	+0.84	-10.2	31
2025-03-12	@ Decic Tuzi	W 2-1	52.7	1130	1249	19.98%	25.94%	54.08%	-0.84	+10.2	22
2025-03-12	Mornar	D 1-1	52.9	1214	1183	42.93%	28.08%	28.99%	+0.30	-0.6	31
2025-03-12	@ Sutjeska	D 1-1	52.9	1183	1214	28.99%	28.08%	42.93%	-0.30	+0.6	30
2025-03-12	Otrant	W 5-1	30.6	1403	1145	68.84%	19.94%	11.22%	+1.70	+7.9	60
2025-03-12	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-5	30.6	1145	1403	11.22%	19.94%	68.84%	-1.70	-7.9	20
2025-03-16	Arsenal Tivat	W 1-0	40.2	1183	1167	40.87%	28.26%	30.87%	+0.21	+7.1	33
2025-03-16	@ Mornar	L 0-1	40.2	1167	1183	30.87%	28.26%	40.87%	-0.21	-7.1	29
2025-03-16	Buducnost Podgorica	D 3-3	65.1	1141	1411	12.54%	21.24%	66.22%	-1.56	+1.6	23
2025-03-16	@ Jezero	D 3-3	65.1	1411	1141	66.22%	21.24%	12.54%	+1.56	-1.6	61
2025-03-16	Decic Tuzi	D 1-1	53.1	1128	1239	24.43%	27.32%	48.25%	-0.57	+1.0	27
2025-03-16	@ Jedinstvo	D 1-1	53.1	1239	1128	48.25%	27.32%	24.43%	+0.57	-1.0	32
2025-03-16	Petrovac	L 0-4	34.6	1198	1267	29.11%	28.09%	42.80%	-0.32	-24.2	33
2025-03-16	@ Bokelj	W 4-0	34.6	1267	1198	42.80%	28.09%	29.11%	+0.32	+24.2	49
2025-03-16	Sutjeska	L 0-2	35.8	1137	1213	28.23%	27.99%	43.78%	-0.37	-12.4	20
2025-03-16	@ Otrant	W 2-0	35.8	1213	1137	43.78%	27.99%	28.23%	+0.37	+12.4	34
2025-03-24	Decic Tuzi	L 0-1	39.9	1174	1238	29.78%	28.16%	42.06%	-0.29	-6.9	33
2025-03-24	@ Bokelj	W 1-0	39.9	1238	1174	42.06%	28.16%	29.78%	+0.29	+6.9	35
2025-03-29	Decic Tuzi	D 0-0	48.2	1291	1245	45.02%	27.83%	27.14%	+0.40	-0.9	50
2025-03-29	@ Petrovac	D 0-0	48.2	1245	1291	27.14%	27.83%	45.02%	-0.40	+0.8	36
2025-03-29	Jedinstvo	W 5-2	33.7	1409	1129	70.82%	18.90%	10.28%	+1.84	+4.8	64
2025-03-29	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 2-5	33.7	1129	1409	10.28%	18.90%	70.82%	-1.84	-4.8	27
2025-03-29	Jezero	W 2-1	43.7	1226	1142	49.79%	27.01%	23.20%	+0.62	+5.3	37
2025-03-29	@ Sutjeska	L 1-2	43.7	1142	1226	23.20%	27.01%	49.79%	-0.62	-5.3	23
2025-03-29	Mornar	L 0-2	38.1	1167	1190	35.23%	28.43%	36.33%	-0.04	-14.7	33
2025-03-29	@ Bokelj	W 2-0	38.1	1190	1167	36.33%	28.43%	35.23%	+0.04	+14.7	36
2025-03-29	Otrant	W 2-1	45.5	1160	1124	43.50%	28.02%	28.48%	+0.33	+6.3	32
2025-03-29	@ Arsenal Tivat	L 1-2	45.5	1124	1160	28.48%	28.02%	43.50%	-0.33	-6.3	20
2025-04-02	Arsenal Tivat	W 2-0	38.6	1137	1166	34.42%	28.42%	37.15%	-0.07	+15.3	26
2025-04-02	@ Jezero	L 0-2	38.6	1166	1137	37.15%	28.42%	34.42%	+0.07	-15.3	32
2025-04-02	Bokelj	L 0-1	41.0	1118	1152	33.72%	28.41%	37.88%	-0.10	-7.5	20
2025-04-02	@ Otrant	W 1-0	41.0	1152	1118	37.88%	28.41%	33.72%	+0.10	+7.6	36
2025-04-02	Buducnost Podgorica	D 1-1	54.9	1245	1414	19.09%	25.57%	55.35%	-0.93	+1.7	37
2025-04-02	@ Decic Tuzi	D 1-1	54.9	1414	1245	55.35%	25.57%	19.09%	+0.93	-1.6	65
2025-04-02	Petrovac	D 1-1	53.2	1205	1291	27.17%	27.84%	45.00%	-0.42	+0.8	37
2025-04-02	@ Mornar	D 1-1	53.2	1291	1205	45.00%	27.84%	27.17%	+0.42	-0.8	51
2025-04-02	Sutjeska	W 2-1	51.2	1125	1231	24.86%	27.41%	47.73%	-0.55	+9.2	30
2025-04-02	@ Jedinstvo	L 1-2	51.2	1231	1125	47.73%	27.41%	24.86%	+0.55	-9.2	37
2025-04-06	Arsenal Tivat	L 0-1	41.8	1134	1151	36.16%	28.43%	35.40%	+0.00	-7.9	30
2025-04-06	@ Jedinstvo	W 1-0	41.8	1151	1134	35.40%	28.43%	36.16%	+0.00	+7.9	35
2025-04-06	Buducnost Podgorica	D 3-3	64.6	1290	1412	23.21%	27.01%	49.78%	-0.65	+0.7	52
2025-04-06	@ Petrovac	D 3-3	64.6	1412	1290	49.78%	27.01%	23.21%	+0.65	-0.7	66
2025-04-06	Mornar	W 6-2	44.2	1110	1206	26.08%	27.65%	46.27%	-0.48	+24.2	23
2025-04-06	@ Otrant	L 2-6	44.2	1206	1110	46.27%	27.65%	26.08%	+0.48	-24.2	37
2025-04-06	Sutjeska	L 0-1	43.8	1247	1222	42.11%	28.16%	29.73%	+0.26	-8.9	37
2025-04-06	@ Decic Tuzi	W 1-0	43.8	1222	1247	29.73%	28.16%	42.11%	-0.26	+8.9	40
2025-04-11	Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-3	39.1	1231	1412	18.11%	25.11%	56.78%	-1.01	-7.3	40
2025-04-11	@ Sutjeska	W 3-1	39.1	1412	1231	56.78%	25.11%	18.11%	+1.01	+7.3	69
2025-04-12	Decic Tuzi	W 1-0	44.2	1159	1238	27.88%	27.94%	44.18%	-0.38	+9.2	38
2025-04-12	@ Arsenal Tivat	L 0-1	44.2	1238	1159	44.18%	27.94%	27.88%	+0.38	-9.2	37
2025-04-12	Jedinstvo	D 1-1	52.8	1160	1126	43.27%	28.04%	28.68%	+0.32	-0.6	37
2025-04-12	@ Bokelj	D 1-1	52.8	1126	1160	28.68%	28.04%	43.27%	-0.32	+0.6	31
2025-04-12	Jezero	L 0-1	43.7	1181	1152	42.66%	28.11%	29.24%	+0.29	-9.0	37
2025-04-12	@ Mornar	W 1-0	43.7	1152	1181	29.24%	28.11%	42.66%	-0.29	+9.0	29
2025-04-12	Petrovac	W 2-1	52.7	1135	1291	20.13%	26.00%	53.86%	-0.85	+10.2	26
2025-04-12	@ Otrant	L 1-2	52.7	1291	1135	53.86%	26.00%	20.13%	+0.85	-10.2	52
2025-04-20	Arsenal Tivat	W 5-0	28.3	1419	1168	68.15%	20.29%	11.56%	+1.66	+12.1	72
2025-04-20	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-5	28.3	1168	1419	11.56%	20.29%	68.15%	-1.66	-12.1	38
2025-04-20	Bokelj	W 1-0	38.1	1229	1159	48.06%	27.35%	24.59%	+0.54	+5.9	40
2025-04-20	@ Decic Tuzi	L 0-1	38.1	1159	1229	24.59%	27.35%	48.06%	-0.54	-5.9	37
2025-04-20	Mornar	W 3-0	37.5	1126	1172	32.11%	28.34%	39.55%	-0.18	+23.2	34
2025-04-20	@ Jedinstvo	L 0-3	37.5	1172	1126	39.55%	28.34%	32.11%	+0.18	-23.2	37
2025-04-20	Otrant	D 2-2	58.9	1161	1145	40.86%	28.26%	30.88%	+0.21	-0.3	30
2025-04-20	@ Jezero	D 2-2	58.9	1145	1161	30.88%	28.26%	40.86%	-0.21	+0.3	27
2025-04-20	Sutjeska	W 1-0	38.9	1280	1223	46.37%	27.64%	25.99%	+0.46	+6.2	55
2025-04-20	@ Petrovac	L 0-1	38.9	1223	1280	25.99%	27.64%	46.37%	-0.46	-6.2	40
2025-04-26	Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-4	27.8	1153	1431	12.16%	20.88%	66.97%	-1.61	-10.4	37
2025-04-26	@ Bokelj	W 4-0	27.8	1431	1153	66.97%	20.88%	12.16%	+1.61	+10.4	75
2025-04-26	Decic Tuzi	L 0-2	35.5	1149	1235	27.17%	27.84%	44.99%	-0.42	-12.1	37
2025-04-26	@ Mornar	W 2-0	35.5	1235	1149	44.99%	27.84%	27.17%	+0.42	+12.1	43
2025-04-26	Jedinstvo	D 2-2	58.8	1145	1150	37.93%	28.40%	33.67%	+0.08	-0.1	28
2025-04-26	@ Otrant	D 2-2	58.8	1150	1145	33.67%	28.40%	37.93%	-0.08	+0.1	35
2025-04-26	Petrovac	D 1-1	53.4	1161	1287	22.90%	26.93%	50.18%	-0.67	+1.2	31
2025-04-26	@ Jezero	D 1-1	53.4	1287	1161	50.18%	26.93%	22.90%	+0.67	-1.2	56
2025-04-26	Sutjeska	D 1-1	52.8	1156	1217	30.11%	28.19%	41.70%	-0.27	+0.5	39
2025-04-26	@ Arsenal Tivat	D 1-1	52.8	1217	1156	41.70%	28.19%	30.11%	+0.27	-0.5	41
2025-04-30	Bokelj	L 0-2	39.8	1162	1143	41.27%	28.23%	30.50%	+0.23	-16.5	31
2025-04-30	@ Jezero	W 2-0	39.8	1143	1162	30.50%	28.23%	41.27%	-0.23	+16.5	40
2025-05-04	Arsenal Tivat	W 2-0	32.5	1285	1156	55.30%	25.58%	19.12%	+0.90	+8.9	59
2025-05-04	@ Petrovac	L 0-2	32.5	1156	1285	19.12%	25.58%	55.30%	-0.90	-8.9	39
2025-05-04	Bokelj	W 1-0	38.6	1217	1159	46.43%	27.63%	25.94%	+0.46	+6.2	44
2025-05-04	@ Sutjeska	L 0-1	38.6	1159	1217	25.94%	27.63%	46.43%	-0.46	-6.2	40
2025-05-04	Jezero	W 1-0	40.7	1150	1145	39.19%	28.36%	32.46%	+0.13	+7.3	38
2025-05-04	@ Jedinstvo	L 0-1	40.7	1145	1150	32.46%	28.36%	39.19%	-0.13	-7.3	31
2025-05-04	Mornar	W 3-0	26.0	1441	1137	72.97%	17.73%	9.30%	+1.99	+5.8	78
2025-05-04	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-3	26.0	1137	1441	9.30%	17.73%	72.97%	-1.99	-5.8	37
2025-05-04	Otrant	D 2-2	59.5	1247	1145	52.07%	26.48%	21.45%	+0.74	-1.0	44
2025-05-04	@ Decic Tuzi	D 2-2	59.5	1145	1247	21.45%	26.48%	52.07%	-0.74	+1.0	29
2025-05-10	Arsenal Tivat	D 1-1	52.7	1153	1147	39.38%	28.35%	32.27%	+0.14	-0.3	41
2025-05-10	@ Bokelj	D 1-1	52.7	1147	1153	32.27%	28.35%	39.38%	-0.14	+0.3	40
2025-05-10	Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-1	32.5	1146	1447	11.05%	19.76%	69.19%	-1.75	-2.6	29
2025-05-10	@ Otrant	W 1-0	32.5	1447	1146	69.19%	19.76%	11.05%	+1.75	+2.6	81
2025-05-10	Decic Tuzi	D 1-1	53.1	1138	1246	24.72%	27.38%	47.90%	-0.56	+1.0	32
2025-05-10	@ Jezero	D 1-1	53.1	1246	1138	47.90%	27.38%	24.72%	+0.56	-1.0	45
2025-05-10	Petrovac	W 2-1	52.3	1157	1294	21.82%	26.60%	51.58%	-0.74	+9.9	41
2025-05-10	@ Jedinstvo	L 1-2	52.3	1294	1157	51.58%	26.60%	21.82%	+0.74	-9.9	59
2025-05-10	Sutjeska	L 0-2	35.2	1131	1223	26.50%	27.73%	45.77%	-0.46	-11.8	37
2025-05-10	@ Mornar	W 2-0	35.2	1223	1131	45.77%	27.73%	26.50%	+0.46	+11.8	47
2025-05-14	Bokelj	L 0-1	46.9	1284	1153	55.58%	25.49%	18.92%	+0.92	-11.1	59
2025-05-14	@ Petrovac	W 1-0	46.9	1153	1284	18.92%	25.49%	55.58%	-0.92	+11.1	44
2025-05-14	Jedinstvo	D 2-2	59.3	1245	1167	49.07%	27.16%	23.77%	+0.59	-0.8	46
2025-05-14	@ Decic Tuzi	D 2-2	59.3	1167	1245	23.77%	27.16%	49.07%	-0.59	+0.8	42
2025-05-14	Jezero	L 2-3	61.7	1450	1139	73.52%	17.42%	9.06%	+2.03	-12.3	81
2025-05-14	@ Buducnost Podgorica	W 3-2	61.7	1139	1450	9.06%	17.42%	73.52%	-2.03	+12.3	35
2025-05-14	Mornar	D 1-1	52.8	1148	1120	42.50%	28.12%	29.38%	+0.28	-0.5	41
2025-05-14	@ Arsenal Tivat	D 1-1	52.8	1120	1148	29.38%	28.12%	42.50%	-0.28	+0.5	38
2025-05-14	Otrant	W 2-0	33.8	1235	1143	50.75%	26.80%	22.45%	+0.67	+10.3	50
2025-05-14	@ Sutjeska	L 0-2	33.8	1143	1235	22.45%	26.80%	50.75%	-0.67	-10.3	29
2025-05-18	Arsenal Tivat	W 4-1	41.2	1133	1147	36.58%	28.43%	34.99%	+0.02	+17.9	32
2025-05-18	@ Otrant	L 1-4	41.2	1147	1133	34.99%	28.43%	36.58%	-0.02	-17.9	41
2025-05-18	Bokelj	W 4-1	42.5	1120	1164	32.40%	28.35%	39.24%	-0.16	+19.5	41
2025-05-18	@ Mornar	L 1-4	42.5	1164	1120	39.24%	28.35%	32.40%	+0.16	-19.5	44
2025-05-18	Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-3	36.0	1168	1438	12.57%	21.26%	66.17%	-1.56	-4.9	42
2025-05-18	@ Jedinstvo	W 3-1	36.0	1438	1168	66.17%	21.26%	12.57%	+1.56	+4.9	84
2025-05-18	Petrovac	D 1-1	53.1	1244	1273	34.42%	28.42%	37.16%	-0.07	+0.1	47
2025-05-18	@ Decic Tuzi	D 1-1	53.1	1273	1244	37.16%	28.42%	34.42%	+0.07	-0.1	60
2025-05-18	Sutjeska	W 2-0	41.1	1151	1245	26.27%	27.69%	46.04%	-0.47	+18.0	38
2025-05-18	@ Jezero	L 0-2	41.1	1245	1151	46.04%	27.69%	26.27%	+0.47	-18.0	50
2025-05-24	Jedinstvo	D 3-3	62.7	1227	1163	47.30%	27.49%	25.21%	+0.50	-0.6	51
2025-05-24	@ Sutjeska	D 3-3	62.7	1163	1227	25.21%	27.49%	47.30%	-0.50	+0.6	43
2025-05-24	Jezero	D 0-0	47.6	1129	1169	32.90%	28.38%	38.73%	-0.14	+0.3	42
2025-05-24	@ Arsenal Tivat	D 0-0	47.6	1169	1129	38.73%	28.38%	32.90%	+0.14	-0.3	39
2025-05-24	Mornar	L 0-2	43.4	1273	1140	55.82%	25.42%	18.76%	+0.93	-21.0	60
2025-05-24	@ Petrovac	W 2-0	43.4	1140	1273	18.76%	25.42%	55.82%	-0.93	+21.0	44
2025-05-24	Otrant	L 1-5	40.5	1144	1151	37.64%	28.41%	33.95%	+0.07	-24.4	44
2025-05-24	@ Bokelj	W 5-1	40.5	1151	1144	33.95%	28.41%	37.64%	-0.07	+24.4	35

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2025-05-14	9.06%	Jezero	1139	3	@ Buducnost Podgorica	1450	2
2	2024-09-18	18.35%	Arsenal Tivat	1138	3	@ Decic Tuzi	1277	1
3	2025-05-24	18.76%	Mornar	1140	2	@ Petrovac	1273	0
4	2025-05-14	18.92%	Bokelj	1153	1	@ Petrovac	1284	0
5	2024-10-27	19.81%	Mornar	1211	1	@ Buducnost Podgorica	1331	0
6	2025-03-12	19.98%	Jezero	1130	2	@ Decic Tuzi	1249	1
7	2025-04-12	20.13%	@ Otrant	1135	2	Petrovac	1291	1
8	2024-10-23	20.68%	@ Bokelj	1192	2	Buducnost Podgorica	1341	1
9	2025-03-08	21.14%	@ Otrant	1125	2	Decic Tuzi	1269	0
10	2025-05-10	21.82%	@ Jedinstvo	1157	2	Petrovac	1294	1
11	2024-11-02	23.99%	Arsenal Tivat	1143	2	@ Bokelj	1218	1
12	2024-10-19	24.74%	Bokelj	1183	2	@ Decic Tuzi	1251	1
13	2025-04-02	24.86%	@ Jedinstvo	1125	2	Sutjeska	1231	1
14	2024-09-28	24.93%	@ Jedinstvo	1140	2	Sutjeska	1246	0
15	2024-08-21	25.39%	Arsenal Tivat	1153	2	@ Sutjeska	1216	1
16	2024-12-01	25.50%	Jezero	1138	1	@ Arsenal Tivat	1200	0
17	2024-08-17	25.53%	Jedinstvo	1155	2	@ Mornar	1216	1
18	2025-04-06	26.08%	@ Otrant	1110	6	Mornar	1206	2
19	2024-11-02	26.10%	@ Jedinstvo	1159	3	Petrovac	1254	2
20	2025-05-18	26.27%	@ Jezero	1151	2	Sutjeska	1245	0
21	2025-04-12	27.88%	@ Arsenal Tivat	1159	1	Decic Tuzi	1238	0
22	2024-08-17	28.20%	Petrovac	1195	2	@ Sutjeska	1233	0
23	2024-11-10	28.31%	@ Arsenal Tivat	1152	4	Mornar	1228	0
24	2025-04-12	29.24%	Jezero	1152	1	@ Mornar	1181	0
25	2024-10-06	29.72%	Jedinstvo	1166	2	@ Bokelj	1191	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2024-11-10	32.75	@ Arsenal Tivat	4	1152	28.31%	Mornar	0	1228	43.70%	28.00%
2	2024-09-14	24.44	@ Mornar	4	1189	42.33%	Arsenal Tivat	0	1162	29.53%	28.14%
3	2025-05-24	24.38	Otrant	5	1151	33.95%	@ Bokelj	1	1144	37.64%	28.41%
4	2025-04-06	24.22	@ Otrant	6	1110	26.08%	Mornar	2	1206	46.27%	27.65%
5	2025-03-16	24.18	Petrovac	4	1267	42.80%	@ Bokelj	0	1198	29.11%	28.09%
6	2024-08-21	23.58	@ Buducnost Podgorica	4	1258	43.81%	Bokelj	0	1220	28.21%	27.98%
7	2025-04-20	23.23	@ Jedinstvo	3	1126	32.11%	Mornar	0	1172	39.55%	28.34%
8	2024-08-25	22.17	Sutjeska	3	1206	34.45%	@ Bokelj	0	1196	37.13%	28.42%
9	2025-02-26	21.31	Petrovac	3	1238	36.43%	@ Sutjeska	0	1214	35.14%	28.43%
10	2025-05-24	21.02	Mornar	2	1140	18.76%	@ Petrovac	0	1273	55.82%	25.42%
11	2024-11-10	20.95	@ Decic Tuzi	4	1240	48.30%	Jedinstvo	0	1168	24.39%	27.31%
12	2025-03-08	19.99	@ Otrant	2	1125	21.14%	Decic Tuzi	0	1269	52.48%	26.38%
13	2025-05-18	19.48	@ Mornar	4	1120	32.40%	Bokelj	1	1164	39.24%	28.35%
14	2024-09-28	18.48	@ Jedinstvo	2	1140	24.93%	Sutjeska	0	1246	47.65%	27.43%
15	2024-09-18	18.36	Arsenal Tivat	3	1138	18.35%	@ Decic Tuzi	1	1277	56.43%	25.22%
16	2025-05-18	17.98	@ Jezero	2	1151	26.27%	Sutjeska	0	1245	46.04%	27.69%
17	2025-05-18	17.91	@ Otrant	4	1133	36.58%	Arsenal Tivat	1	1147	34.99%	28.43%
18	2024-08-17	17.29	Petrovac	2	1195	28.20%	@ Sutjeska	0	1233	43.82%	27.98%
19	2024-10-27	16.56	Bokelj	2	1202	30.37%	@ Sutjeska	0	1222	41.42%	28.22%
20	2025-04-30	16.52	Bokelj	2	1143	30.50%	@ Jezero	0	1162	41.27%	28.23%
21	2024-12-01	16.34	@ Sutjeska	3	1205	47.64%	Jedinstvo	0	1139	24.93%	27.43%
22	2024-09-22	16.02	@ Bokelj	2	1167	32.03%	Mornar	0	1214	39.63%	28.33%
23	2024-09-22	15.65	@ Buducnost Podgorica	4	1303	57.33%	Jedinstvo	0	1156	17.75%	24.92%
24	2025-04-02	15.27	@ Jezero	2	1137	34.42%	Arsenal Tivat	0	1166	37.15%	28.42%
25	2025-03-02	14.94	@ Jedinstvo	2	1118	35.53%	Otrant	0	1139	36.04%	28.43%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2025-03-16	65.1	@ Jezero	3	1141	12.54%	Buducnost Podgorica	3	1411	66.22%	21.24%
2	2025-04-06	64.6	@ Petrovac	3	1290	23.21%	Buducnost Podgorica	3	1412	49.78%	27.01%
3	2025-05-24	62.7	@ Sutjeska	3	1227	47.30%	Jedinstvo	3	1163	25.21%	27.49%
4	2025-05-14	61.7	Jezero	3	1139	9.06%	@ Buducnost Podgorica	2	1450	73.52%	17.42%
5	2025-05-04	59.5	@ Decic Tuzi	2	1247	52.07%	Otrant	2	1145	21.45%	26.48%
6	2025-05-14	59.3	@ Decic Tuzi	2	1245	49.07%	Jedinstvo	2	1167	23.77%	27.16%
7	2024-08-25	59.2	@ Otrant	2	1214	30.40%	Decic Tuzi	2	1273	41.38%	28.22%
8	2024-09-18	58.9	@ Jezero	2	1157	30.67%	Mornar	2	1214	41.09%	28.24%
9	2025-04-20	58.9	@ Jezero	2	1161	40.86%	Otrant	2	1145	30.88%	28.26%
10	2025-04-26	58.8	@ Otrant	2	1145	37.93%	Jedinstvo	2	1150	33.67%	28.40%
11	2024-11-02	55.9	@ Jedinstvo	3	1159	26.10%	Petrovac	2	1254	46.24%	27.66%
12	2025-04-02	54.9	@ Decic Tuzi	1	1245	19.09%	Buducnost Podgorica	1	1414	55.35%	25.57%
13	2024-11-09	54.6	@ Buducnost Podgorica	1	1335	62.20%	Jezero	1	1143	14.74%	23.06%
14	2024-08-11	53.5	@ Petrovac	3	1188	34.07%	Otrant	2	1219	37.51%	28.41%
15	2024-08-31	53.5	@ Buducnost Podgorica	1	1293	49.23%	Otrant	1	1214	23.64%	27.13%
16	2025-04-26	53.4	@ Jezero	1	1161	22.90%	Petrovac	1	1287	50.18%	26.93%
17	2024-09-14	53.3	@ Jedinstvo	1	1155	23.15%	Decic Tuzi	1	1278	49.86%	27.00%
18	2025-04-02	53.2	@ Mornar	1	1205	27.17%	Petrovac	1	1291	45.00%	27.84%
19	2025-02-26	53.1	@ Mornar	1	1199	49.57%	Jedinstvo	1	1117	23.37%	27.06%
20	2025-03-16	53.1	@ Jedinstvo	1	1128	24.43%	Decic Tuzi	1	1239	48.25%	27.32%
21	2025-05-10	53.1	@ Jezero	1	1138	24.72%	Decic Tuzi	1	1246	47.90%	27.38%
22	2025-05-18	53.1	@ Decic Tuzi	1	1244	34.42%	Petrovac	1	1273	37.16%	28.42%
23	2024-08-04	53.0	@ Sutjeska	1	1232	34.70%	Decic Tuzi	1	1260	36.88%	28.43%
24	2024-08-11	53.0	@ Buducnost Podgorica	1	1246	40.43%	Sutjeska	1	1232	31.28%	28.29%
25	2024-08-21	53.0	@ Petrovac	1	1212	45.19%	Jezero	1	1164	27.00%	27.81%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2025-05-04	26.0	@ Buducnost Podgorica	3	1441	72.97%	Mornar	0	1137	9.30%	17.73%
2	2025-04-26	27.8	Buducnost Podgorica	4	1431	66.97%	@ Bokelj	0	1153	12.16%	20.88%
3	2025-04-20	28.3	@ Buducnost Podgorica	5	1419	68.15%	Arsenal Tivat	0	1168	11.56%	20.29%
4	2024-09-22	30.2	@ Buducnost Podgorica	4	1303	57.33%	Jedinstvo	0	1156	17.75%	24.92%
5	2025-03-12	30.6	@ Buducnost Podgorica	5	1403	68.84%	Otrant	1	1145	11.22%	19.94%
6	2024-11-02	31.8	Buducnost Podgorica	3	1320	52.22%	@ Otrant	0	1178	21.34%	26.45%
7	2024-11-23	32.0	Buducnost Podgorica	2	1332	57.30%	@ Jedinstvo	0	1147	17.77%	24.93%
8	2025-02-22	32.4	@ Buducnost Podgorica	2	1372	57.69%	Sutjeska	0	1222	17.51%	24.80%
9	2025-05-04	32.5	@ Petrovac	2	1285	55.30%	Arsenal Tivat	0	1156	19.12%	25.58%
10	2025-05-10	32.5	Buducnost Podgorica	1	1447	69.19%	@ Otrant	0	1146	11.05%	19.76%
11	2024-11-10	32.8	@ Decic Tuzi	4	1240	48.30%	Jedinstvo	0	1168	24.39%	27.31%
12	2024-12-01	32.9	@ Sutjeska	3	1205	47.64%	Jedinstvo	0	1139	24.93%	27.43%
13	2025-03-29	33.7	@ Buducnost Podgorica	5	1409	70.82%	Jedinstvo	2	1129	10.28%	18.90%
14	2025-05-14	33.8	@ Sutjeska	2	1235	50.75%	Otrant	0	1143	22.45%	26.80%
15	2024-09-15	34.1	Buducnost Podgorica	2	1292	50.09%	@ Jezero	0	1167	22.96%	26.95%
16	2025-02-26	34.1	Buducnost Podgorica	5	1380	57.78%	@ Arsenal Tivat	1	1190	17.45%	24.77%
17	2024-08-21	34.3	@ Buducnost Podgorica	4	1258	43.81%	Bokelj	0	1220	28.21%	27.98%
18	2024-09-14	34.5	@ Mornar	4	1189	42.33%	Arsenal Tivat	0	1162	29.53%	28.14%
19	2025-03-16	34.6	Petrovac	4	1267	42.80%	@ Bokelj	0	1198	29.11%	28.09%
20	2025-03-02	35.1	@ Decic Tuzi	2	1257	46.73%	Mornar	0	1198	25.69%	27.58%
21	2025-05-10	35.2	Sutjeska	2	1223	45.77%	@ Mornar	0	1131	26.50%	27.73%
22	2025-04-26	35.5	Decic Tuzi	2	1235	44.99%	@ Mornar	0	1149	27.17%	27.84%
23	2024-10-06	35.7	@ Mornar	2	1191	43.97%	Jezero	0	1152	28.07%	27.97%
24	2024-08-17	35.8	Buducnost Podgorica	2	1245	44.22%	@ Arsenal Tivat	0	1165	27.84%	27.94%
25	2025-03-16	35.8	Sutjeska	2	1213	43.78%	@ Otrant	0	1137	28.23%	27.99%