2023-24 Montenegrin First League Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Decic Tuzi

70 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Mornar

17.11 points above expected

64 points · 46.89 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Sutjeska

10.77 points below expected

53 points · 63.77 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Decic Tuzi	36	20	10	6	70	55	27	+28	56.01	+13.99
2	Mornar	36	17	13	6	64	45	32	+13	46.89	+17.11
3	Buducnost Podgorica	36	17	10	9	61	66	43	+23	61.90	-0.90
4	Sutjeska	36	13	14	9	53	46	36	+10	63.77	-10.77
5	Jezero	36	14	9	13	51	41	38	+3	48.61	+2.39
6	Petrovac	36	11	15	10	48	42	40	+2	45.28	+2.72
7	Arsenal Tivat	36	9	15	12	42	43	58	-15	45.05	-3.05
8	Jedinstvo	36	8	11	17	35	43	56	-13	39.33	-4.33
9	Mladost DG	36	9	7	20	34	37	59	-22	42.69	-8.69
10	Rudar	36	7	6	23	27	25	54	-29	35.33	-8.33

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Mornar	64	46.89	+17.11
2	Decic Tuzi	70	56.01	+13.99
3	Petrovac	48	45.28	+2.72
4	Jezero	51	48.61	+2.39
5	Buducnost Podgorica	61	61.90	-0.90

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Sutjeska	53	63.77	-10.77
2	Mladost DG	34	42.69	-8.69
3	Rudar	27	35.33	-8.33
4	Jedinstvo	35	39.33	-4.33
5	Arsenal Tivat	42	45.05	-3.05

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Decic Tuzi	7	Sep 23 – Nov 5	1 in 1,174
2	Mladost DG	3	Apr 27 – May 12	1 in 76
3	Mornar	4	May 4 – May 25	1 in 39
4	Petrovac	3	Jul 29 – Aug 12	1 in 30
5	Rudar	2	Oct 21 – Oct 28	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sutjeska	4	May 4 – May 25	1 in 757
2	Mladost DG	5	Oct 1 – Nov 4	1 in 163
3	Buducnost Podgorica	2	Feb 24 – Feb 28	1 in 40
4	Rudar	4	Jul 23 – Aug 12	1 in 30
5	Jezero	3	Apr 27 – May 12	1 in 30

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Mornar	9	Dec 4 – Mar 17	1 in 48
2	Petrovac	8	Nov 11 – Mar 3	1 in 40
3	Decic Tuzi	9	Sep 23 – Nov 26	1 in 34
4	Jezero	7	Jul 30 – Sep 16	1 in 20
5	Buducnost Podgorica	9	Aug 5 – Sep 27	1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sutjeska	6	Jul 30 – Sep 3	1 in 50
2	Petrovac	8	Oct 7 – Dec 9	1 in 22
3	Arsenal Tivat	7	Oct 1 – Nov 26	1 in 18
4	Mladost DG	8	Sep 23 – Nov 11	1 in 16
5	Buducnost Podgorica	4	Feb 18 – Mar 3	1 in 15

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Decic Tuzi	1283	70	+40	13	8.6	+4.4
Mornar	1217	64	+33	13	7.6	+5.4
Buducnost Podgorica	1244	61	-1	7	8.8	-1.8
Sutjeska	1230	53	-43	1	8.6	-7.6
Jezero	1139	51	-30	3	6.9	-3.9
Petrovac	1149	48	+22	10	6.4	+3.6
Arsenal Tivat	1078	42	-12	5	5.1	-0.1
Jedinstvo	1092	35	+9	7	5.6	+1.4
Mladost DG	1060	34	+8	9	5.8	+3.2
Rudar	1020	27	-27	3	4.1	-1.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AT	BP	DT	JED	JEZ	MD	MOR	PET	RUD	SUT
Arsenal Tivat	—	0-1-3 3.63	1-0-3 4.03	0-3-1 6.04	1-2-1 4.95	2-0-2 5.76	1-2-1 5.07	0-4-0 5.16	3-0-1 6.47	1-3-0 3.52
Buducnost Podgorica	3-1-0 7.18	—	0-3-1 6.36	4-0-0 7.84	1-1-2 6.89	1-1-2 7.37	1-1-2 7.11	2-1-1 7.39	3-0-1 8.11	2-2-0 5.14
Decic Tuzi	3-0-1 6.81	1-3-0 4.40	—	4-0-0 6.88	1-3-0 6.34	4-0-0 6.73	2-1-1 6.35	1-1-2 6.54	3-0-1 7.72	1-2-1 4.86
Jedinstvo	1-3-0 4.70	0-0-4 3.08	0-0-4 3.92	—	2-0-2 4.24	2-1-1 5.21	0-2-2 4.49	1-2-1 4.59	2-2-0 5.78	0-1-3 3.21
Jezero	1-2-1 5.78	2-1-1 3.91	0-3-1 4.43	2-0-2 6.52	—	3-0-1 6.23	1-0-3 5.39	1-1-2 5.78	4-0-0 6.97	0-2-2 3.89
Mladost DG	2-0-2 4.97	2-1-1 3.51	0-0-4 4.10	1-1-2 5.51	1-0-3 4.54	—	0-1-3 4.92	0-1-3 5.40	2-1-1 5.95	1-2-1 3.14
Mornar	1-2-1 5.65	2-1-1 3.70	1-1-2 4.39	2-2-0 6.25	3-0-1 5.35	3-1-0 5.83	—	1-3-0 5.63	2-2-0 6.87	2-1-1 3.62
Petrovac	0-4-0 5.58	1-1-2 3.45	2-1-1 4.22	1-2-1 6.14	2-1-1 4.93	3-1-0 5.32	0-3-1 5.09	—	1-1-2 6.60	1-1-2 3.62
Rudar	1-0-3 4.29	1-0-3 2.87	1-0-3 3.17	0-2-2 4.93	0-0-4 3.85	1-1-2 4.78	0-2-2 3.95	2-1-1 4.16	—	1-0-3 2.64
Sutjeska	0-3-1 7.31	0-2-2 5.58	1-2-1 5.85	3-1-0 7.68	2-2-0 6.90	1-2-1 7.76	1-1-2 7.21	2-1-1 7.21	3-0-1 8.37	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.61	+10.2
Allowed	0.78	-10.7
Differential	0.94	+7.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.44%	10.28%	6.11%	1.11%	1.39%	0.28%	28.61%
1	10.28%	14.44%	7.50%	3.61%	0.83%	0.28%	36.94%
2	6.11%	7.50%	6.11%	1.94%	0.56%	—	22.22%
3	1.11%	3.61%	1.94%	0.56%	0.83%	—	8.06%
4	1.39%	0.83%	0.56%	0.83%	—	—	3.61%
5+	0.28%	0.28%	—	—	—	—	0.56%
Total	28.61%	36.94%	22.22%	8.06%	3.61%	0.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.23	1.23	+0.00
SD	1.10	1.10	1.52
CV	0.90	0.90	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	2.78%	11.11%	—	5.56%	2.78%	25.00%
1	11.11%	22.22%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	41.67%
2	2.78%	2.78%	16.67%	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
3	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	33.33%	36.11%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.19	1.61	-0.42
SD	0.98	1.27	1.75
CV	0.82	0.79	—
Max	4	6	+2
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
1	2.78%	13.89%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
2	11.11%	8.33%	11.11%	—	—	—	30.56%
3	—	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	11.11%
4	5.56%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	25.00%	41.67%	22.22%	11.11%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.83	1.19	+0.64
SD	1.40	0.95	1.87
CV	0.77	0.80	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	2.78%	—	19.44%
1	13.89%	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	—	36.11%
2	16.67%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	22.22%
3	2.78%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	44.44%	41.67%	11.11%	—	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.53	0.75	+0.78
SD	1.16	0.87	1.51
CV	0.76	1.17	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	—	30.56%
1	5.56%	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	36.11%
2	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	19.44%
3	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	5.56%	—	11.11%
4	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.44%	33.33%	27.78%	11.11%	8.33%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.19	1.56	-0.36
SD	1.09	1.18	1.31
CV	0.91	0.76	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	33.33%
1	13.89%	11.11%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	38.89%
2	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
3	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	36.11%	22.22%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.14	1.06	+0.08
SD	1.15	0.95	1.56
CV	1.01	0.90	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	30.56%
1	5.56%	5.56%	19.44%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	41.67%
2	5.56%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
3	—	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.44%	25.00%	36.11%	13.89%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.03	1.64	-0.61
SD	0.88	1.20	1.42
CV	0.85	0.73	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	22.22%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	30.56%
1	22.22%	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	—	38.89%
2	—	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	47.22%	33.33%	5.56%	11.11%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.25	0.89	+0.36
SD	1.27	1.12	1.20
CV	1.02	1.25	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	27.78%
1	8.33%	19.44%	5.56%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	33.33%
3	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.56%	38.89%	22.22%	5.56%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.17	1.11	+0.06
SD	0.91	1.01	1.09
CV	0.78	0.91	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	22.22%	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	—	47.22%
1	11.11%	5.56%	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	—	38.89%
2	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	11.11%
3	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	30.56%	25.00%	8.33%	11.11%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.69	1.50	-0.81
SD	0.79	1.28	1.53
CV	1.13	0.85	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	16.67%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
1	8.33%	22.22%	5.56%	—	—	—	36.11%
2	5.56%	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	27.78%
3	—	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	55.56%	13.89%	5.56%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.28	1.00	+0.28
SD	1.03	0.79	1.11
CV	0.81	0.79	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Decic Tuzi	1283	70	56.01	+13.99	98.0%	39	42	49	57	61	67	77
Buducnost Podgorica	1244	61	61.90	-0.90	49.0%	42	50	58	62	66	74	83
Sutjeska	1230	53	63.77	-10.77	8.0%	44	51	58	63	68	76	83
Mornar	1217	64	46.89	+17.11	100.0%	31	35	42	47	51	62	64
Petrovac	1149	48	45.28	+2.72	69.0%	32	35	41	45	49	56	59
Jezero	1139	51	48.61	+2.39	67.0%	30	37	43	48	54	62	66
Jedinstvo	1092	35	39.33	-4.33	28.0%	27	29	35	38	44	50	59
Arsenal Tivat	1078	42	45.05	-3.05	40.0%	31	34	41	44	49	56	60
Mladost DG	1060	34	42.69	-8.69	11.0%	25	31	38	42	47	55	61
Rudar	1020	27	35.33	-8.33	11.0%	24	26	31	35	40	46	53

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+11.67%

Slight Edge

40.56%30.56%28.89%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 40.72 Elo pts.

203 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0600

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.24 goals

Neutral

-2+0.20+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.1

Open

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

19%

Decic Tuzi, 3rd of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.17/gm

Comfortable

00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.71 * Some Luck: 5.71 to 8.56 * Lucky: 8.56 to 11.41 * Wild Swing: 11.41 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.16 * Close: 1.16 to 1.74 * Off: 1.74 to 2.33 * Way Off: 2.33 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

8.90 points

Lucky

07.1318

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.20

01.453

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

100.00%

Mornar

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

8.00%

Sutjeska

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.16

Even

00.130.20.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 88.75

1.85

Strong Separation

0.751.51.82.153

Interquartile Edge

70%

Clear Edge

50%63.5%74.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

82%

Even

50%84%100%

Close Games

Expected

72%

Very Frequent

0%67%100%

Blowouts

Expected

Rare

0%10%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.63

Hard to Predict

00.632

Matchup Imbalance

0.31

Very Even

00.340.420.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.43

Chaotic

01.002

Repeatability

0.53

Some Carryover

00.380.570.71

Upset Rate

Expected

26%

Very Upset-Prone

0%24%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

24%

Very Shaky

0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.

Probability calibration

0.41

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.73

Overconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.077

Well Within Noise

00.1280.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Decic Tuzi	19.00%	19.00%	22.00%	14.00%	12.00%	8.00%	4.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—
Mornar	1.00%	9.00%	11.00%	8.00%	22.00%	11.00%	11.00%	15.00%	9.00%	3.00%
Buducnost Podgorica	31.00%	37.00%	18.00%	9.00%	—	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—
Sutjeska	43.00%	25.00%	22.00%	7.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Jezero	5.00%	5.00%	13.00%	19.00%	12.00%	18.00%	8.00%	12.00%	6.00%	2.00%
Petrovac	—	—	4.00%	18.00%	18.00%	14.00%	18.00%	13.00%	10.00%	5.00%
Arsenal Tivat	1.00%	2.00%	6.00%	9.00%	16.00%	17.00%	18.00%	15.00%	11.00%	5.00%
Jedinstvo	—	1.00%	1.00%	6.00%	6.00%	10.00%	14.00%	11.00%	25.00%	26.00%
Mladost DG	—	2.00%	3.00%	9.00%	8.00%	13.00%	19.00%	18.00%	18.00%	10.00%
Rudar	—	—	—	1.00%	4.00%	5.00%	7.00%	14.00%	20.00%	49.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Buducnost Podgorica	99.00%	1.00%	—
Decic Tuzi	98.00%	2.00%	—
Sutjeska	100%	—	—
Jezero	80.00%	18.00%	2.00%
Mornar	73.00%	24.00%	3.00%
Arsenal Tivat	69.00%	26.00%	5.00%
Petrovac	72.00%	23.00%	5.00%
Mladost DG	54.00%	36.00%	10.00%
Jedinstvo	38.00%	36.00%	26.00%
Rudar	17.00%	34.00%	49.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2023-07-22	Buducnost Podgorica	W 2-1	48.2	1161	1220	31.36%	32.35%	36.29%	-0.09	+8.1	3
2023-07-22	@ Mladost DG	L 1-2	48.2	1220	1161	36.29%	32.35%	31.36%	+0.09	-8.1	0
2023-07-22	Jedinstvo	W 2-1	43.5	1162	1110	46.62%	30.77%	22.62%	+0.46	+5.7	3
2023-07-22	@ Decic Tuzi	L 1-2	43.5	1110	1162	22.62%	30.77%	46.62%	-0.46	-5.7	0
2023-07-22	Mornar	D 0-0	46.2	1107	1120	37.84%	32.25%	29.91%	+0.14	-0.4	1
2023-07-22	@ Petrovac	D 0-0	46.2	1120	1107	29.91%	32.25%	37.84%	-0.14	+0.4	1
2023-07-23	Arsenal Tivat	L 0-1	41.0	1096	1146	32.47%	32.39%	35.14%	-0.05	-8.0	0
2023-07-23	@ Rudar	W 1-0	41.0	1146	1096	35.14%	32.39%	32.47%	+0.05	+8.0	3
2023-07-23	Sutjeska	L 0-1	39.0	1144	1245	25.99%	31.69%	42.32%	-0.30	-6.8	0
2023-07-23	@ Jezero	W 1-0	39.0	1245	1144	42.32%	31.69%	25.99%	+0.30	+6.8	3
2023-07-29	Mladost DG	W 1-0	42.3	1107	1170	30.78%	32.31%	36.91%	-0.11	+8.7	4
2023-07-29	@ Petrovac	L 0-1	42.3	1170	1107	36.91%	32.31%	30.78%	+0.11	-8.7	3
2023-07-29	Rudar	W 1-0	39.0	1104	1088	41.83%	31.77%	26.40%	+0.28	+6.9	3
2023-07-29	@ Jedinstvo	L 0-1	39.0	1088	1104	26.40%	31.77%	41.83%	-0.28	-6.9	0
2023-07-30	Jezero	D 2-2	57.3	1154	1137	41.92%	31.76%	26.32%	+0.28	-0.5	4
2023-07-30	@ Arsenal Tivat	D 2-2	57.3	1137	1154	26.32%	31.76%	41.92%	-0.28	+0.5	1
2023-07-30	Sutjeska	D 1-1	51.8	1120	1252	22.78%	30.82%	46.40%	-0.45	+1.1	2
2023-07-30	@ Mornar	D 1-1	51.8	1252	1120	46.40%	30.82%	22.78%	+0.45	-1.1	4
2023-08-05	Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-4	32.5	1081	1211	22.94%	30.88%	46.18%	-0.44	-21.9	0
2023-08-05	@ Rudar	W 4-0	32.5	1211	1081	46.18%	30.88%	22.94%	+0.44	+22.0	3
2023-08-05	Jedinstvo	W 1-0	38.6	1138	1111	43.19%	31.54%	25.27%	+0.33	+6.6	4
2023-08-05	@ Jezero	L 0-1	38.6	1111	1138	25.27%	31.54%	43.19%	-0.33	-6.6	3
2023-08-05	Mornar	D 1-1	51.6	1161	1121	44.96%	31.17%	23.87%	+0.40	-1.0	4
2023-08-05	@ Mladost DG	D 1-1	51.6	1121	1161	23.87%	31.17%	44.96%	-0.40	+1.0	3
2023-08-06	Arsenal Tivat	D 2-2	58.3	1251	1154	52.36%	28.92%	18.72%	+0.68	-1.2	5
2023-08-06	@ Sutjeska	D 2-2	58.3	1154	1251	18.72%	28.92%	52.36%	-0.68	+1.2	5
2023-08-06	Petrovac	L 1-2	50.7	1168	1116	46.63%	30.76%	22.60%	+0.46	-9.8	3
2023-08-06	@ Decic Tuzi	W 2-1	50.7	1116	1168	22.60%	30.76%	46.63%	-0.46	+9.8	7
2023-08-09	Decic Tuzi	D 1-1	52.1	1233	1158	49.59%	29.90%	20.51%	+0.57	-1.4	4
2023-08-09	@ Buducnost Podgorica	D 1-1	52.1	1158	1233	20.51%	29.90%	49.59%	-0.57	+1.4	4
2023-08-12	Arsenal Tivat	L 0-1	41.8	1122	1155	34.96%	32.39%	32.64%	+0.04	-8.4	3
2023-08-12	@ Mornar	W 1-0	41.8	1155	1122	32.64%	32.39%	34.96%	-0.04	+8.4	8
2023-08-12	Rudar	W 2-0	33.0	1126	1059	48.44%	30.25%	21.30%	+0.53	+10.9	10
2023-08-12	@ Petrovac	L 0-2	33.0	1059	1126	21.30%	30.25%	48.44%	-0.53	-10.8	0
2023-08-13	Decic Tuzi	L 0-2	39.1	1160	1160	39.61%	32.08%	28.31%	+0.20	-17.3	4
2023-08-13	@ Mladost DG	W 2-0	39.1	1160	1160	28.31%	32.08%	39.61%	-0.20	+17.3	7
2023-08-13	Jezero	D 1-1	52.2	1232	1144	51.17%	29.36%	19.47%	+0.63	-1.5	5
2023-08-13	@ Buducnost Podgorica	D 1-1	52.2	1144	1232	19.47%	29.36%	51.17%	-0.63	+1.5	5
2023-08-13	Sutjeska	D 0-0	46.8	1105	1250	21.53%	30.35%	48.12%	-0.51	+1.4	4
2023-08-13	@ Jedinstvo	D 0-0	46.8	1250	1105	48.12%	30.35%	21.53%	+0.51	-1.4	6
2023-08-20	Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-2	50.0	1248	1231	42.04%	31.74%	26.22%	+0.29	-9.0	6
2023-08-20	@ Sutjeska	W 2-1	50.0	1231	1248	26.22%	31.74%	42.04%	-0.29	+9.0	8
2023-08-20	Jedinstvo	D 2-2	57.6	1163	1106	47.27%	30.59%	22.13%	+0.48	-0.9	9
2023-08-20	@ Arsenal Tivat	D 2-2	57.6	1106	1163	22.13%	30.59%	47.27%	-0.48	+0.9	5
2023-08-20	Mladost DG	D 0-0	46.3	1049	1143	26.82%	31.85%	41.33%	-0.26	+0.7	1
2023-08-20	@ Rudar	D 0-0	46.3	1143	1049	41.33%	31.85%	26.82%	+0.26	-0.7	5
2023-08-20	Mornar	W 3-1	39.1	1177	1114	48.04%	30.38%	21.59%	+0.51	+9.5	10
2023-08-20	@ Decic Tuzi	L 1-3	39.1	1114	1177	21.59%	30.38%	48.04%	-0.51	-9.5	3
2023-08-20	Petrovac	W 2-0	35.3	1146	1136	40.88%	31.92%	27.20%	+0.25	+13.2	8
2023-08-20	@ Jezero	L 0-2	35.3	1136	1146	27.20%	31.92%	40.88%	-0.25	-13.2	10
2023-08-25	Jezero	L 1-2	48.4	1142	1159	37.16%	32.30%	30.54%	+0.12	-8.2	5
2023-08-25	@ Mladost DG	W 2-1	48.4	1159	1142	30.54%	32.30%	37.16%	-0.12	+8.2	11
2023-08-26	Arsenal Tivat	W 2-0	32.8	1240	1162	49.85%	29.81%	20.34%	+0.58	+10.4	11
2023-08-26	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-2	32.8	1162	1240	20.34%	29.81%	49.85%	-0.58	-10.4	9
2023-08-26	Jedinstvo	W 4-3	52.9	1104	1107	39.21%	32.12%	28.67%	+0.19	+6.4	6
2023-08-26	@ Mornar	L 3-4	52.9	1107	1104	28.67%	32.12%	39.21%	-0.19	-6.4	5
2023-08-26	Rudar	L 0-1	46.7	1186	1049	57.14%	26.89%	15.97%	+0.88	-12.1	10
2023-08-26	@ Decic Tuzi	W 1-0	46.7	1049	1186	15.97%	26.89%	57.14%	-0.88	+12.1	4
2023-08-26	Sutjeska	D 1-1	51.6	1123	1239	24.36%	31.31%	44.33%	-0.37	+0.9	11
2023-08-26	@ Petrovac	D 1-1	51.6	1239	1123	44.33%	31.31%	24.36%	+0.37	-0.9	7
2023-09-03	Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-4	36.4	1101	1250	21.14%	30.19%	48.67%	-0.54	-13.2	5
2023-09-03	@ Jedinstvo	W 4-1	36.4	1250	1101	48.67%	30.19%	21.14%	+0.54	+13.2	14
2023-09-03	Decic Tuzi	D 0-0	46.3	1167	1174	38.59%	32.19%	29.22%	+0.17	-0.5	12
2023-09-03	@ Jezero	D 0-0	46.3	1174	1167	29.22%	32.19%	38.59%	-0.17	+0.5	11
2023-09-03	Mladost DG	D 3-3	61.9	1238	1134	53.28%	28.56%	18.15%	+0.72	-1.0	8
2023-09-03	@ Sutjeska	D 3-3	61.9	1134	1238	18.15%	28.56%	53.28%	-0.72	+1.0	6
2023-09-03	Mornar	D 0-0	46.1	1061	1111	32.56%	32.39%	35.05%	-0.04	+0.1	5
2023-09-03	@ Rudar	D 0-0	46.1	1111	1061	35.05%	32.39%	32.56%	+0.04	-0.1	7
2023-09-03	Petrovac	D 2-2	57.4	1152	1124	43.40%	31.50%	25.10%	+0.34	-0.6	10
2023-09-03	@ Arsenal Tivat	D 2-2	57.4	1124	1152	25.10%	31.50%	43.40%	-0.34	+0.6	12
2023-09-16	Arsenal Tivat	W 2-1	46.4	1135	1151	37.23%	32.29%	30.48%	+0.12	+7.2	9
2023-09-16	@ Mladost DG	L 1-2	46.4	1151	1135	30.48%	32.29%	37.23%	-0.12	-7.2	10
2023-09-16	Buducnost Podgorica	D 0-0	47.0	1111	1263	20.86%	30.06%	49.07%	-0.55	+1.5	8
2023-09-16	@ Mornar	D 0-0	47.0	1263	1111	49.07%	30.06%	20.86%	+0.55	-1.5	15
2023-09-16	Jedinstvo	D 1-1	51.5	1125	1087	44.66%	31.24%	24.10%	+0.38	-0.9	13
2023-09-16	@ Petrovac	D 1-1	51.5	1087	1125	24.10%	31.24%	44.66%	-0.38	+0.9	6
2023-09-16	Jezero	L 0-1	38.7	1061	1167	25.53%	31.60%	42.88%	-0.32	-6.7	5
2023-09-16	@ Rudar	W 1-0	38.7	1167	1061	42.88%	31.60%	25.53%	+0.32	+6.7	15
2023-09-17	Sutjeska	L 0-4	35.4	1175	1237	30.75%	32.31%	36.93%	-0.11	-27.5	11
2023-09-17	@ Decic Tuzi	W 4-0	35.4	1237	1175	36.93%	32.31%	30.75%	+0.11	+27.5	11
2023-09-23	Decic Tuzi	L 0-1	43.0	1144	1147	39.13%	32.13%	28.74%	+0.18	-9.1	10
2023-09-23	@ Arsenal Tivat	W 1-0	43.0	1147	1144	28.74%	32.13%	39.13%	-0.18	+9.1	14
2023-09-23	Mladost DG	W 2-1	47.9	1088	1142	31.99%	32.38%	35.63%	-0.06	+8.0	9
2023-09-23	@ Jedinstvo	L 1-2	47.9	1142	1088	35.63%	32.38%	31.99%	+0.06	-8.0	9
2023-09-23	Mornar	L 0-1	45.0	1174	1112	47.83%	30.43%	21.73%	+0.50	-10.5	15
2023-09-23	@ Jezero	W 1-0	45.0	1112	1174	21.73%	30.43%	47.83%	-0.50	+10.5	11
2023-09-23	Petrovac	W 2-1	40.5	1262	1124	57.23%	26.85%	15.92%	+0.88	+4.1	18
2023-09-23	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-2	40.5	1124	1262	15.92%	26.85%	57.23%	-0.88	-4.1	13
2023-09-23	Rudar	W 1-0	32.0	1265	1055	65.30%	22.59%	12.11%	+1.24	+3.1	14
2023-09-23	@ Sutjeska	L 0-1	32.0	1055	1265	12.11%	22.59%	65.30%	-1.24	-3.1	5
2023-09-27	Decic Tuzi	L 0-1	40.6	1096	1156	31.10%	32.33%	36.56%	-0.10	-7.7	9
2023-09-27	@ Jedinstvo	W 1-0	40.6	1156	1096	36.56%	32.33%	31.10%	+0.10	+7.8	17
2023-09-27	Jezero	D 1-1	52.5	1268	1163	53.31%	28.55%	18.14%	+0.72	-1.7	15
2023-09-27	@ Sutjeska	D 1-1	52.5	1163	1268	18.14%	28.55%	53.31%	-0.72	+1.7	16
2023-09-27	Mladost DG	D 2-2	58.8	1266	1134	56.53%	27.17%	16.30%	+0.85	-1.5	19
2023-09-27	@ Buducnost Podgorica	D 2-2	58.8	1134	1266	16.30%	27.17%	56.53%	-0.85	+1.5	10
2023-09-27	Petrovac	D 0-0	46.2	1123	1120	39.99%	32.03%	27.98%	+0.22	-0.6	12
2023-09-27	@ Mornar	D 0-0	46.2	1120	1123	27.98%	32.03%	39.99%	-0.22	+0.6	14
2023-09-27	Rudar	W 2-0	32.4	1135	1052	50.64%	29.55%	19.81%	+0.61	+10.2	13
2023-09-27	@ Arsenal Tivat	L 0-2	32.4	1052	1135	19.81%	29.55%	50.64%	-0.61	-10.2	5
2023-10-01	Arsenal Tivat	D 1-1	51.4	1165	1145	42.26%	31.70%	26.04%	+0.30	-0.7	17
2023-10-01	@ Jezero	D 1-1	51.4	1145	1165	26.04%	31.70%	42.26%	-0.30	+0.7	14
2023-10-01	Buducnost Podgorica	W 2-0	40.0	1164	1264	26.12%	31.72%	42.16%	-0.29	+18.1	20
2023-10-01	@ Decic Tuzi	L 0-2	40.0	1264	1164	42.16%	31.72%	26.12%	+0.29	-18.1	19
2023-10-01	Jedinstvo	D 2-2	57.0	1041	1089	32.88%	32.40%	34.72%	-0.03	+0.1	6
2023-10-01	@ Rudar	D 2-2	57.0	1089	1041	34.72%	32.40%	32.88%	+0.03	-0.1	10
2023-10-01	Mornar	L 0-1	47.0	1266	1122	57.98%	26.49%	15.53%	+0.91	-12.2	15
2023-10-01	@ Sutjeska	W 1-0	47.0	1122	1266	15.53%	26.49%	57.98%	-0.91	+12.2	15
2023-10-01	Petrovac	L 0-2	39.6	1135	1120	41.65%	31.80%	26.54%	+0.27	-17.9	10
2023-10-01	@ Mladost DG	W 2-0	39.6	1120	1135	26.54%	31.80%	41.65%	-0.27	+17.9	17
2023-10-07	Decic Tuzi	L 2-3	52.2	1138	1182	33.32%	32.41%	34.27%	-0.02	-7.3	17
2023-10-07	@ Petrovac	W 3-2	52.2	1182	1138	34.27%	32.41%	33.32%	+0.02	+7.3	23
2023-10-07	Jezero	L 2-3	50.8	1089	1164	29.10%	32.17%	38.73%	-0.17	-6.6	10
2023-10-07	@ Jedinstvo	W 3-2	50.8	1164	1089	38.73%	32.17%	29.10%	+0.17	+6.6	20
2023-10-07	Mladost DG	W 2-1	44.9	1134	1117	41.90%	31.76%	26.33%	+0.28	+6.5	18
2023-10-07	@ Mornar	L 1-2	44.9	1117	1134	26.33%	31.76%	41.90%	-0.28	-6.5	10
2023-10-07	Sutjeska	D 1-1	51.6	1146	1254	25.22%	31.53%	43.25%	-0.33	+0.8	15
2023-10-07	@ Arsenal Tivat	D 1-1	51.6	1254	1146	43.25%	31.53%	25.22%	+0.33	-0.8	16
2023-10-08	Rudar	W 2-0	28.2	1246	1042	64.72%	22.92%	12.36%	+1.21	+6.0	22
2023-10-08	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-2	28.2	1042	1246	12.36%	22.92%	64.72%	-1.21	-6.0	6
2023-10-21	Jedinstvo	W 2-0	29.3	1253	1082	61.07%	24.93%	14.00%	+1.04	+7.0	19
2023-10-21	@ Sutjeska	L 0-2	29.3	1082	1253	14.00%	24.93%	61.07%	-1.04	-7.0	10
2023-10-21	Mladost DG	W 4-1	35.9	1189	1111	50.02%	29.76%	20.22%	+0.59	+12.7	26
2023-10-21	@ Decic Tuzi	L 1-4	35.9	1111	1189	20.22%	29.76%	50.02%	-0.59	-12.7	10
2023-10-21	Mornar	D 2-2	57.2	1147	1141	40.42%	31.98%	27.60%	+0.23	-0.4	16
2023-10-21	@ Arsenal Tivat	D 2-2	57.2	1141	1147	27.60%	31.98%	40.42%	-0.23	+0.4	19
2023-10-21	Petrovac	W 1-0	43.5	1035	1131	26.66%	31.82%	41.51%	-0.27	+9.5	9
2023-10-21	@ Rudar	L 0-1	43.5	1131	1035	41.51%	31.82%	26.66%	+0.27	-9.5	17
2023-10-22	Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-3	41.8	1171	1252	28.31%	32.08%	39.61%	-0.20	-11.8	20
2023-10-22	@ Jezero	W 3-1	41.8	1252	1171	39.61%	32.08%	28.31%	+0.20	+11.8	25
2023-10-28	Arsenal Tivat	W 3-2	53.5	1075	1146	29.60%	32.22%	38.17%	-0.15	+8.0	13
2023-10-28	@ Jedinstvo	L 2-3	53.5	1146	1075	38.17%	32.22%	29.60%	+0.15	-8.0	16
2023-10-28	Decic Tuzi	L 0-1	40.6	1141	1202	30.97%	32.33%	36.70%	-0.10	-7.7	19
2023-10-28	@ Mornar	W 1-0	40.6	1202	1141	36.70%	32.33%	30.97%	+0.10	+7.7	29
2023-10-28	Jezero	D 0-0	46.2	1121	1159	34.29%	32.41%	33.31%	+0.02	-0.0	18
2023-10-28	@ Petrovac	D 0-0	46.2	1159	1121	33.31%	32.41%	34.29%	-0.02	+0.0	21
2023-10-28	Rudar	L 0-1	44.8	1098	1045	46.78%	30.72%	22.50%	+0.46	-10.4	10
2023-10-28	@ Mladost DG	W 1-0	44.8	1045	1098	22.50%	30.72%	46.78%	-0.46	+10.4	12
2023-10-28	Sutjeska	W 1-0	40.0	1264	1260	40.09%	32.02%	27.89%	+0.22	+7.2	28
2023-10-28	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-1	40.0	1260	1264	27.89%	32.02%	40.09%	-0.22	-7.2	19
2023-11-04	Mladost DG	W 2-0	32.9	1159	1088	49.05%	30.07%	20.88%	+0.55	+10.7	24
2023-11-04	@ Jezero	L 0-2	32.9	1088	1159	20.88%	30.07%	49.05%	-0.55	-10.7	10
2023-11-05	Buducnost Podgorica	D 1-1	51.8	1138	1271	22.68%	30.79%	46.53%	-0.45	+1.1	17
2023-11-05	@ Arsenal Tivat	D 1-1	51.8	1271	1138	46.53%	30.79%	22.68%	+0.45	-1.1	29
2023-11-05	Decic Tuzi	L 0-1	36.8	1055	1210	20.69%	29.98%	49.33%	-0.56	-5.6	12
2023-11-05	@ Rudar	W 1-0	36.8	1210	1055	49.33%	29.98%	20.69%	+0.56	+5.6	32
2023-11-05	Mornar	D 1-1	51.2	1083	1133	32.41%	32.39%	35.20%	-0.05	+0.1	14
2023-11-05	@ Jedinstvo	D 1-1	51.2	1133	1083	35.20%	32.39%	32.41%	+0.05	-0.1	20
2023-11-05	Petrovac	W 3-2	45.6	1253	1121	56.52%	27.18%	16.30%	+0.85	+4.0	22
2023-11-05	@ Sutjeska	L 2-3	45.6	1121	1253	16.30%	27.18%	56.52%	-0.85	-4.0	18
2023-11-11	Arsenal Tivat	D 1-1	51.2	1117	1139	36.47%	32.34%	31.19%	+0.09	-0.2	19
2023-11-11	@ Petrovac	D 1-1	51.2	1139	1117	31.19%	32.34%	36.47%	-0.09	+0.2	18
2023-11-11	Jedinstvo	W 3-2	43.7	1270	1083	62.81%	23.99%	13.20%	+1.12	+3.1	32
2023-11-11	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 2-3	43.7	1083	1270	13.20%	23.99%	62.81%	-1.12	-3.1	14
2023-11-11	Jezero	D 0-0	46.7	1216	1169	45.82%	30.97%	23.21%	+0.43	-1.2	33
2023-11-11	@ Decic Tuzi	D 0-0	46.7	1169	1216	23.21%	30.97%	45.82%	-0.43	+1.2	25
2023-11-11	Sutjeska	D 1-1	52.3	1077	1257	18.62%	28.86%	52.51%	-0.69	+1.6	11
2023-11-11	@ Mladost DG	D 1-1	52.3	1257	1077	52.51%	28.86%	18.62%	+0.69	-1.6	23
2023-11-13	Rudar	W 2-1	42.3	1133	1050	50.65%	29.54%	19.80%	+0.61	+5.1	23
2023-11-13	@ Mornar	L 1-2	42.3	1050	1133	19.80%	29.54%	50.65%	-0.61	-5.1	12
2023-11-26	Decic Tuzi	D 1-1	51.9	1256	1214	45.19%	31.12%	23.69%	+0.40	-1.0	24
2023-11-26	@ Sutjeska	D 1-1	51.9	1214	1256	23.69%	31.12%	45.19%	-0.40	+1.0	34
2023-11-26	Mladost DG	L 0-2	41.0	1140	1079	47.76%	30.46%	21.79%	+0.50	-19.9	18
2023-11-26	@ Arsenal Tivat	W 2-0	41.0	1079	1140	21.79%	30.46%	47.76%	-0.50	+19.9	14
2023-11-26	Mornar	W 4-3	47.8	1273	1138	56.88%	27.01%	16.11%	+0.86	+3.8	35
2023-11-26	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 3-4	47.8	1138	1273	16.11%	27.01%	56.88%	-0.86	-3.8	23
2023-11-27	Rudar	W 4-1	34.1	1171	1045	55.83%	27.49%	16.68%	+0.82	+10.5	28
2023-11-27	@ Jezero	L 1-4	34.1	1045	1171	16.68%	27.49%	55.83%	-0.82	-10.5	12
2023-11-28	Petrovac	D 1-1	51.2	1080	1117	34.29%	32.41%	33.31%	+0.02	-0.0	15
2023-11-28	@ Jedinstvo	D 1-1	51.2	1117	1080	33.31%	32.41%	34.29%	-0.02	+0.0	20
2023-12-02	Arsenal Tivat	L 0-1	46.0	1215	1120	52.13%	29.01%	18.86%	+0.67	-11.3	34
2023-12-02	@ Decic Tuzi	W 1-0	46.0	1120	1215	18.86%	29.01%	52.13%	-0.67	+11.3	21
2023-12-02	Buducnost Podgorica	D 2-2	58.0	1117	1277	20.24%	29.76%	50.00%	-0.59	+1.0	21
2023-12-02	@ Petrovac	D 2-2	58.0	1277	1117	50.00%	29.76%	20.24%	+0.59	-1.0	36
2023-12-02	Jedinstvo	W 2-0	34.9	1099	1080	42.17%	31.72%	26.11%	+0.29	+12.8	17
2023-12-02	@ Mladost DG	L 0-2	34.9	1080	1099	26.11%	31.72%	42.17%	-0.29	-12.8	15
2023-12-02	Sutjeska	L 1-2	40.3	1034	1255	15.85%	26.78%	57.36%	-0.89	-4.0	12
2023-12-02	@ Rudar	W 2-1	40.3	1255	1034	57.36%	26.78%	15.85%	+0.89	+4.0	27
2023-12-04	Jezero	W 2-1	47.7	1135	1181	32.96%	32.40%	34.63%	-0.03	+7.9	26
2023-12-04	@ Mornar	L 1-2	47.7	1181	1135	34.63%	32.40%	32.96%	+0.03	-7.9	28
2023-12-09	Arsenal Tivat	W 2-0	39.7	1030	1131	26.02%	31.70%	42.27%	-0.30	+18.1	15
2023-12-09	@ Rudar	L 0-2	39.7	1131	1030	42.27%	31.70%	26.02%	+0.30	-18.1	21
2023-12-09	Jedinstvo	W 3-1	36.4	1204	1067	57.13%	26.90%	15.98%	+0.88	+7.1	37
2023-12-09	@ Decic Tuzi	L 1-3	36.4	1067	1204	15.98%	26.90%	57.13%	-0.88	-7.1	15
2023-12-09	Mornar	D 0-0	46.2	1118	1142	36.17%	32.35%	31.47%	+0.08	-0.2	22
2023-12-09	@ Petrovac	D 0-0	46.2	1142	1118	31.47%	32.35%	36.17%	-0.08	+0.2	27
2023-12-10	Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-3	38.5	1112	1276	19.85%	29.56%	50.59%	-0.61	-8.8	17
2023-12-10	@ Mladost DG	W 3-1	38.5	1276	1112	50.59%	29.56%	19.85%	+0.61	+8.8	39
2023-12-10	Sutjeska	D 0-0	46.5	1173	1259	27.85%	32.02%	40.13%	-0.22	+0.6	29
2023-12-10	@ Jezero	D 0-0	46.5	1259	1173	40.13%	32.02%	27.85%	+0.22	-0.6	28
2024-02-17	Jezero	W 3-1	44.2	1113	1174	30.99%	32.33%	36.68%	-0.10	+14.2	24
2024-02-17	@ Arsenal Tivat	L 1-3	44.2	1174	1113	36.68%	32.33%	30.99%	+0.10	-14.2	29
2024-02-17	Mladost DG	W 3-2	49.9	1118	1103	41.69%	31.80%	26.51%	+0.28	+6.2	25
2024-02-17	@ Petrovac	L 2-3	49.9	1103	1118	26.51%	31.80%	41.69%	-0.28	-6.2	17
2024-02-17	Rudar	W 1-0	39.1	1060	1048	41.20%	31.87%	26.93%	+0.26	+7.0	18
2024-02-17	@ Jedinstvo	L 0-1	39.1	1048	1060	26.93%	31.87%	41.20%	-0.26	-7.0	15
2024-02-18	Decic Tuzi	D 2-2	58.2	1285	1211	49.41%	29.96%	20.64%	+0.56	-1.0	40
2024-02-18	@ Buducnost Podgorica	D 2-2	58.2	1211	1285	20.64%	29.96%	49.41%	-0.56	+1.0	38
2024-02-18	Sutjeska	W 1-0	44.4	1143	1258	24.45%	31.33%	44.22%	-0.37	+9.9	30
2024-02-18	@ Mornar	L 0-1	44.4	1258	1143	44.22%	31.33%	24.45%	+0.37	-9.9	28
2024-02-24	Arsenal Tivat	D 1-1	52.7	1248	1127	55.23%	27.75%	17.02%	+0.80	-1.8	29
2024-02-24	@ Sutjeska	D 1-1	52.7	1127	1248	17.02%	27.75%	55.23%	-0.80	+1.8	25
2024-02-24	Buducnost Podgorica	W 3-0	41.6	1041	1284	14.56%	25.53%	59.91%	-0.99	+34.2	18
2024-02-24	@ Rudar	L 0-3	41.6	1284	1041	59.91%	25.53%	14.56%	+0.99	-34.2	40
2024-02-24	Jedinstvo	L 0-3	40.2	1160	1067	51.80%	29.13%	19.07%	+0.66	-30.7	29
2024-02-24	@ Jezero	W 3-0	40.2	1067	1160	19.07%	29.13%	51.80%	-0.66	+30.7	21
2024-02-24	Mornar	L 1-2	46.7	1097	1153	31.65%	32.36%	35.99%	-0.08	-7.4	17
2024-02-24	@ Mladost DG	W 2-1	46.7	1153	1097	35.99%	32.36%	31.65%	+0.08	+7.4	33
2024-02-25	Petrovac	D 1-1	52.2	1212	1124	51.19%	29.35%	19.45%	+0.63	-1.5	39
2024-02-25	@ Decic Tuzi	D 1-1	52.2	1124	1212	19.45%	29.35%	51.19%	-0.63	+1.5	26
2024-02-28	Arsenal Tivat	D 0-0	46.5	1160	1129	43.82%	31.41%	24.77%	+0.35	-1.0	34
2024-02-28	@ Mornar	D 0-0	46.5	1129	1160	24.77%	31.41%	43.82%	-0.35	+1.0	26
2024-02-28	Decic Tuzi	L 0-3	32.5	1089	1211	23.82%	31.16%	45.03%	-0.40	-17.3	17
2024-02-28	@ Mladost DG	W 3-0	32.5	1211	1089	45.03%	31.16%	23.82%	+0.40	+17.3	42
2024-02-28	Jezero	L 0-1	46.6	1250	1129	55.19%	27.77%	17.04%	+0.79	-11.8	40
2024-02-28	@ Buducnost Podgorica	W 1-0	46.6	1129	1250	17.04%	27.77%	55.19%	-0.79	+11.8	32
2024-02-28	Rudar	D 1-1	51.6	1126	1075	46.38%	30.83%	22.79%	+0.45	-1.1	27
2024-02-28	@ Petrovac	D 1-1	51.6	1075	1126	22.79%	30.83%	46.38%	-0.45	+1.1	19
2024-02-28	Sutjeska	L 0-1	37.0	1098	1246	21.20%	30.21%	48.58%	-0.53	-5.7	21
2024-02-28	@ Jedinstvo	W 1-0	37.0	1246	1098	48.58%	30.21%	21.20%	+0.53	+5.7	32
2024-03-03	Buducnost Podgorica	D 1-1	51.7	1252	1238	41.53%	31.82%	26.65%	+0.27	-0.7	33
2024-03-03	@ Sutjeska	D 1-1	51.7	1238	1252	26.65%	31.82%	41.53%	-0.27	+0.7	41
2024-03-03	Jedinstvo	D 1-1	51.5	1130	1092	44.77%	31.21%	24.02%	+0.39	-0.9	27
2024-03-03	@ Arsenal Tivat	D 1-1	51.5	1092	1130	24.02%	31.21%	44.77%	-0.39	+0.9	22
2024-03-03	Mladost DG	L 1-2	49.1	1077	1072	40.22%	32.00%	27.77%	+0.22	-8.7	19
2024-03-03	@ Rudar	W 2-1	49.1	1072	1077	27.77%	32.00%	40.22%	-0.22	+8.7	20
2024-03-03	Mornar	L 0-1	45.4	1228	1159	48.80%	30.15%	21.05%	+0.54	-10.7	42
2024-03-03	@ Decic Tuzi	W 1-0	45.4	1159	1228	21.05%	30.15%	48.80%	-0.54	+10.7	37
2024-03-03	Petrovac	L 0-2	39.7	1141	1125	41.80%	31.78%	26.42%	+0.28	-18.0	32
2024-03-03	@ Jezero	W 2-0	39.7	1125	1141	26.42%	31.78%	41.80%	-0.28	+18.0	30
2024-03-09	Jedinstvo	D 0-0	46.9	1170	1093	49.81%	29.83%	20.36%	+0.58	-1.5	38
2024-03-09	@ Mornar	D 0-0	46.9	1093	1170	20.36%	29.83%	49.81%	-0.58	+1.5	23
2024-03-09	Jezero	L 0-1	41.3	1081	1123	33.58%	32.41%	34.01%	-0.01	-8.2	20
2024-03-09	@ Mladost DG	W 1-0	41.3	1123	1081	34.01%	32.41%	33.58%	+0.01	+8.2	35
2024-03-09	Rudar	W 3-1	36.0	1217	1068	58.57%	26.20%	15.22%	+0.94	+6.7	45
2024-03-09	@ Decic Tuzi	L 1-3	36.0	1068	1217	15.22%	26.20%	58.57%	-0.94	-6.7	19
2024-03-09	Sutjeska	L 1-2	44.6	1143	1251	25.16%	31.51%	43.33%	-0.34	-6.2	30
2024-03-09	@ Petrovac	W 2-1	44.6	1251	1143	43.33%	31.51%	25.16%	+0.34	+6.2	36
2024-03-10	Arsenal Tivat	W 6-0	32.3	1239	1129	53.85%	28.33%	17.81%	+0.74	+25.5	44
2024-03-10	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-6	32.3	1129	1239	17.81%	28.33%	53.85%	-0.74	-25.5	27
2024-03-13	Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-2	42.2	1094	1264	19.43%	29.34%	51.23%	-0.63	-5.0	23
2024-03-13	@ Jedinstvo	W 2-1	42.2	1264	1094	51.23%	29.34%	19.43%	+0.63	+5.0	47
2024-03-13	Decic Tuzi	D 1-1	51.4	1131	1224	26.95%	31.87%	41.18%	-0.26	+0.6	36
2024-03-13	@ Jezero	D 1-1	51.4	1224	1131	41.18%	31.87%	26.95%	+0.26	-0.6	46
2024-03-13	Mladost DG	W 2-1	38.8	1258	1072	62.59%	24.11%	13.29%	+1.11	+3.3	39
2024-03-13	@ Sutjeska	L 1-2	38.8	1072	1258	13.29%	24.11%	62.59%	-1.11	-3.3	20
2024-03-13	Mornar	D 0-0	46.4	1061	1168	25.35%	31.55%	43.10%	-0.33	+0.9	20
2024-03-13	@ Rudar	D 0-0	46.4	1168	1061	43.10%	31.55%	25.35%	+0.33	-0.9	39
2024-03-13	Petrovac	D 1-1	51.2	1104	1136	34.93%	32.40%	32.67%	+0.04	-0.1	28
2024-03-13	@ Arsenal Tivat	D 1-1	51.2	1136	1104	32.67%	32.40%	34.93%	-0.04	+0.1	31
2024-03-17	Arsenal Tivat	L 1-2	47.6	1069	1103	34.71%	32.40%	32.89%	+0.03	-7.9	20
2024-03-17	@ Mladost DG	W 2-1	47.6	1103	1069	32.89%	32.40%	34.71%	-0.03	+7.9	31
2024-03-17	Buducnost Podgorica	W 1-0	44.0	1167	1269	25.95%	31.68%	42.37%	-0.30	+9.6	42
2024-03-17	@ Mornar	L 0-1	44.0	1269	1167	42.37%	31.68%	25.95%	+0.30	-9.6	47
2024-03-17	Jedinstvo	W 1-0	37.7	1136	1089	45.96%	30.93%	23.10%	+0.43	+6.2	34
2024-03-17	@ Petrovac	L 0-1	37.7	1089	1136	23.10%	30.93%	45.96%	-0.43	-6.2	23
2024-03-17	Jezero	L 0-1	40.1	1062	1132	29.84%	32.24%	37.92%	-0.14	-7.5	20
2024-03-17	@ Rudar	W 1-0	40.1	1132	1062	37.92%	32.24%	29.84%	+0.14	+7.5	39
2024-03-17	Sutjeska	D 0-0	46.5	1223	1261	34.25%	32.41%	33.35%	+0.02	-0.0	47
2024-03-17	@ Decic Tuzi	D 0-0	46.5	1261	1223	33.35%	32.41%	34.25%	-0.02	+0.0	40
2024-03-30	Decic Tuzi	L 0-2	34.5	1111	1223	24.82%	31.43%	43.76%	-0.35	-12.3	31
2024-03-30	@ Arsenal Tivat	W 2-0	34.5	1223	1111	43.76%	31.43%	24.82%	+0.35	+12.3	50
2024-03-30	Mladost DG	D 0-0	46.3	1083	1061	42.60%	31.65%	25.76%	+0.31	-0.8	24
2024-03-30	@ Jedinstvo	D 0-0	46.3	1061	1083	25.76%	31.65%	42.60%	-0.31	+0.8	21
2024-03-30	Mornar	W 3-1	43.3	1139	1177	34.22%	32.41%	33.38%	+0.01	+13.3	42
2024-03-30	@ Jezero	L 1-3	43.3	1177	1139	33.38%	32.41%	34.22%	-0.01	-13.3	42
2024-03-30	Petrovac	W 2-0	31.3	1259	1143	54.72%	27.97%	17.31%	+0.78	+8.9	50
2024-03-30	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-2	31.3	1143	1259	17.31%	27.97%	54.72%	-0.78	-8.9	34
2024-03-30	Rudar	W 2-1	38.1	1261	1054	64.91%	22.82%	12.28%	+1.22	+3.0	43
2024-03-30	@ Sutjeska	L 1-2	38.1	1054	1261	12.28%	22.82%	64.91%	-1.22	-3.0	20
2024-04-03	Decic Tuzi	L 0-2	32.9	1082	1236	20.80%	30.03%	49.17%	-0.55	-10.6	24
2024-04-03	@ Jedinstvo	W 2-0	32.9	1236	1082	49.17%	30.03%	20.80%	+0.55	+10.6	53
2024-04-03	Jezero	W 2-1	41.4	1264	1152	54.10%	28.23%	17.67%	+0.75	+4.5	46
2024-04-03	@ Sutjeska	L 1-2	41.4	1152	1264	17.67%	28.23%	54.10%	-0.75	-4.6	42
2024-04-03	Mladost DG	L 1-2	53.9	1268	1062	64.87%	22.84%	12.29%	+1.22	-12.5	50
2024-04-03	@ Buducnost Podgorica	W 2-1	53.9	1062	1268	12.29%	22.84%	64.87%	-1.22	+12.5	24
2024-04-03	Petrovac	W 1-0	38.5	1164	1134	43.67%	31.44%	24.89%	+0.35	+6.6	45
2024-04-03	@ Mornar	L 0-1	38.5	1134	1164	24.89%	31.44%	43.67%	-0.35	-6.6	34
2024-04-03	Rudar	W 4-2	43.2	1099	1051	46.02%	30.92%	23.06%	+0.43	+9.0	34
2024-04-03	@ Arsenal Tivat	L 2-4	43.2	1051	1099	23.06%	30.92%	46.02%	-0.43	-9.0	20
2024-04-07	Arsenal Tivat	W 4-0	32.8	1148	1108	45.00%	31.16%	23.84%	+0.40	+22.7	45
2024-04-07	@ Jezero	L 0-4	32.8	1108	1148	23.84%	31.16%	45.00%	-0.40	-22.7	34
2024-04-07	Jedinstvo	D 1-1	51.1	1042	1072	35.44%	32.38%	32.18%	+0.06	-0.1	21
2024-04-07	@ Rudar	D 1-1	51.1	1072	1042	32.18%	32.38%	35.44%	-0.06	+0.1	25
2024-04-07	Mornar	W 2-0	32.1	1269	1170	52.48%	28.88%	18.64%	+0.68	+9.6	49
2024-04-07	@ Sutjeska	L 0-2	32.1	1170	1269	18.64%	28.88%	52.48%	-0.68	-9.6	45
2024-04-08	Petrovac	D 0-0	46.1	1075	1127	32.11%	32.38%	35.51%	-0.06	+0.2	25
2024-04-08	@ Mladost DG	D 0-0	46.1	1127	1075	35.51%	32.38%	32.11%	+0.06	-0.2	35
2024-04-09	Buducnost Podgorica	D 1-1	51.6	1246	1256	38.23%	32.22%	29.55%	+0.15	-0.4	54
2024-04-09	@ Decic Tuzi	D 1-1	51.6	1256	1246	29.55%	32.22%	38.23%	-0.15	+0.4	51
2024-04-13	Decic Tuzi	W 2-1	50.4	1127	1246	24.09%	31.23%	44.68%	-0.38	+9.4	38
2024-04-13	@ Petrovac	L 1-2	50.4	1246	1127	44.68%	31.23%	24.09%	+0.38	-9.4	54
2024-04-13	Jezero	W 2-0	39.7	1072	1170	26.30%	31.76%	41.95%	-0.29	+18.0	28
2024-04-13	@ Jedinstvo	L 0-2	39.7	1170	1072	41.95%	31.76%	26.30%	+0.29	-18.0	45
2024-04-13	Mladost DG	W 5-1	34.6	1161	1075	50.94%	29.44%	19.62%	+0.62	+15.9	48
2024-04-13	@ Mornar	L 1-5	34.6	1075	1161	19.62%	29.44%	50.94%	-0.62	-15.9	25
2024-04-13	Rudar	W 3-1	33.8	1256	1042	65.69%	22.36%	11.94%	+1.25	+5.0	54
2024-04-13	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-3	33.8	1042	1256	11.94%	22.36%	65.69%	-1.25	-5.0	21
2024-04-14	Sutjeska	W 1-0	46.3	1085	1278	17.69%	28.25%	54.07%	-0.75	+11.6	37
2024-04-14	@ Arsenal Tivat	L 0-1	46.3	1278	1085	54.07%	28.25%	17.69%	+0.75	-11.6	49
2024-04-21	Buducnost Podgorica	W 3-1	46.1	1152	1261	25.17%	31.51%	43.32%	-0.33	+16.0	48
2024-04-21	@ Jezero	L 1-3	46.1	1261	1152	43.32%	31.51%	25.17%	+0.33	-16.0	54
2024-04-21	Jedinstvo	W 3-1	35.1	1267	1090	61.65%	24.62%	13.73%	+1.07	+6.0	52
2024-04-21	@ Sutjeska	L 1-3	35.1	1090	1267	13.73%	24.62%	61.65%	-1.07	-6.0	28
2024-04-21	Mladost DG	W 2-0	29.1	1236	1059	61.76%	24.56%	13.68%	+1.08	+6.8	57
2024-04-21	@ Decic Tuzi	L 0-2	29.1	1059	1236	13.68%	24.56%	61.76%	-1.08	-6.8	25
2024-04-21	Mornar	L 1-2	45.7	1097	1177	28.57%	32.11%	39.31%	-0.19	-6.9	37
2024-04-21	@ Arsenal Tivat	W 2-1	45.7	1177	1097	39.31%	32.11%	28.57%	+0.19	+6.9	51
2024-04-21	Petrovac	W 1-0	43.6	1037	1136	26.23%	31.74%	42.02%	-0.29	+9.6	24
2024-04-21	@ Rudar	L 0-1	43.6	1136	1037	42.02%	31.74%	26.23%	+0.29	-9.6	38
2024-04-27	Arsenal Tivat	D 1-1	51.2	1084	1090	38.72%	32.17%	29.11%	+0.17	-0.4	29
2024-04-27	@ Jedinstvo	D 1-1	51.2	1090	1084	29.11%	32.17%	38.72%	-0.17	+0.4	38
2024-04-27	Decic Tuzi	D 1-1	51.4	1183	1243	31.12%	32.34%	36.54%	-0.09	+0.2	52
2024-04-27	@ Mornar	D 1-1	51.4	1243	1183	36.54%	32.34%	31.12%	+0.09	-0.2	58
2024-04-27	Jezero	W 2-1	47.4	1127	1168	33.67%	32.41%	33.92%	+0.00	+7.7	41
2024-04-27	@ Petrovac	L 1-2	47.4	1168	1127	33.92%	32.41%	33.67%	+0.00	-7.8	48
2024-04-27	Rudar	W 1-0	39.4	1052	1047	40.28%	32.00%	27.72%	+0.23	+7.1	28
2024-04-27	@ Mladost DG	L 0-1	39.4	1047	1052	27.72%	32.00%	40.28%	-0.23	-7.1	24
2024-04-27	Sutjeska	D 2-2	57.6	1245	1272	35.73%	32.37%	31.90%	+0.07	-0.1	55
2024-04-27	@ Buducnost Podgorica	D 2-2	57.6	1272	1245	31.90%	32.37%	35.73%	-0.07	+0.1	53
2024-05-04	Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-4	31.6	1090	1245	20.68%	29.98%	49.34%	-0.56	-20.0	38
2024-05-04	@ Arsenal Tivat	W 4-0	31.6	1245	1090	49.34%	29.98%	20.68%	+0.56	+20.1	58
2024-05-04	Decic Tuzi	L 0-4	29.7	1040	1243	16.96%	27.71%	55.34%	-0.80	-16.5	24
2024-05-04	@ Rudar	W 4-0	29.7	1243	1040	55.34%	27.71%	16.96%	+0.80	+16.5	61
2024-05-04	Mladost DG	L 0-1	46.0	1161	1059	52.89%	28.72%	18.39%	+0.70	-11.4	48
2024-05-04	@ Jezero	W 1-0	46.0	1059	1161	18.39%	28.72%	52.89%	-0.70	+11.4	31
2024-05-04	Mornar	L 3-4	52.1	1084	1184	26.13%	31.72%	42.15%	-0.29	-5.9	29
2024-05-04	@ Jedinstvo	W 4-3	52.1	1184	1084	42.15%	31.72%	26.13%	+0.29	+6.0	55
2024-05-04	Petrovac	L 0-1	46.9	1273	1135	57.23%	26.85%	15.92%	+0.88	-12.1	53
2024-05-04	@ Sutjeska	W 1-0	46.9	1135	1273	15.92%	26.85%	57.23%	-0.88	+12.1	44
2024-05-12	Arsenal Tivat	D 2-2	57.8	1147	1070	49.73%	29.85%	20.42%	+0.58	-1.0	45
2024-05-12	@ Petrovac	D 2-2	57.8	1070	1147	20.42%	29.85%	49.73%	-0.58	+1.0	39
2024-05-12	Jedinstvo	W 2-0	28.8	1265	1078	62.86%	23.97%	13.17%	+1.12	+6.5	61
2024-05-12	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-2	28.8	1078	1265	13.17%	23.97%	62.86%	-1.12	-6.5	29
2024-05-12	Jezero	W 2-0	31.6	1260	1149	53.94%	28.30%	17.76%	+0.74	+9.1	64
2024-05-12	@ Decic Tuzi	L 0-2	31.6	1149	1260	17.76%	28.30%	53.94%	-0.74	-9.1	48
2024-05-12	Rudar	W 3-0	27.8	1190	1023	60.49%	25.23%	14.27%	+1.02	+10.5	58
2024-05-12	@ Mornar	L 0-3	27.8	1023	1190	14.27%	25.23%	60.49%	-1.02	-10.5	24
2024-05-12	Sutjeska	W 3-2	57.1	1070	1261	17.88%	28.38%	53.74%	-0.74	+10.3	34
2024-05-12	@ Mladost DG	L 2-3	57.1	1261	1070	53.74%	28.38%	17.88%	+0.74	-10.3	53
2024-05-18	Decic Tuzi	L 0-1	42.8	1250	1269	36.97%	32.31%	30.72%	+0.11	-8.7	53
2024-05-18	@ Sutjeska	W 1-0	42.8	1269	1250	30.72%	32.31%	36.97%	-0.11	+8.7	67
2024-05-18	Mladost DG	W 3-1	42.0	1071	1081	38.27%	32.21%	29.51%	+0.15	+12.2	42
2024-05-18	@ Arsenal Tivat	L 1-3	42.0	1081	1071	29.51%	32.21%	38.27%	-0.15	-12.2	34
2024-05-18	Mornar	L 0-1	45.6	1272	1200	49.15%	30.04%	20.81%	+0.55	-10.8	61
2024-05-18	@ Buducnost Podgorica	W 1-0	45.6	1200	1272	20.81%	30.04%	49.15%	-0.55	+10.8	61
2024-05-18	Petrovac	W 4-2	48.3	1071	1146	29.19%	32.18%	38.63%	-0.17	+13.1	32
2024-05-18	@ Jedinstvo	L 2-4	48.3	1146	1071	38.63%	32.18%	29.19%	+0.17	-13.1	45
2024-05-18	Rudar	W 2-1	40.7	1140	1013	56.00%	27.41%	16.59%	+0.83	+4.3	51
2024-05-18	@ Jezero	L 1-2	40.7	1013	1140	16.59%	27.41%	56.00%	-0.83	-4.2	24
2024-05-25	Arsenal Tivat	W 3-1	34.5	1277	1084	63.54%	23.59%	12.87%	+1.15	+5.5	70
2024-05-25	@ Decic Tuzi	L 1-3	34.5	1084	1277	12.87%	23.59%	63.54%	-1.15	-5.5	42
2024-05-25	Buducnost Podgorica	W 3-1	46.7	1133	1261	23.12%	30.94%	45.94%	-0.43	+16.7	48
2024-05-25	@ Petrovac	L 1-3	46.7	1261	1133	45.94%	30.94%	23.12%	+0.43	-16.7	61
2024-05-25	Jedinstvo	L 1-2	48.4	1069	1084	37.38%	32.28%	30.33%	+0.12	-8.3	34
2024-05-25	@ Mladost DG	W 2-1	48.4	1084	1069	30.33%	32.28%	37.38%	-0.12	+8.3	35
2024-05-25	Jezero	W 1-0	37.1	1211	1144	48.46%	30.25%	21.29%	+0.53	+5.8	64
2024-05-25	@ Mornar	L 0-1	37.1	1144	1211	21.29%	30.25%	48.46%	-0.53	-5.8	51
2024-05-25	Sutjeska	W 2-1	53.0	1008	1242	15.10%	26.09%	58.81%	-0.95	+11.6	27
2024-05-25	@ Rudar	L 1-2	53.0	1242	1008	58.81%	26.09%	15.10%	+0.95	-11.6	53

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2024-04-03	12.29%	Mladost DG	1062	2	@ Buducnost Podgorica	1268	1
2	2024-02-24	14.56%	@ Rudar	1041	3	Buducnost Podgorica	1284	0
3	2024-05-25	15.10%	@ Rudar	1008	2	Sutjeska	1242	1
4	2023-10-01	15.53%	Mornar	1122	1	@ Sutjeska	1266	0
5	2024-05-04	15.92%	Petrovac	1135	1	@ Sutjeska	1273	0
6	2023-08-26	15.97%	Rudar	1049	1	@ Decic Tuzi	1186	0
7	2024-02-28	17.04%	Jezero	1129	1	@ Buducnost Podgorica	1250	0
8	2024-04-14	17.69%	@ Arsenal Tivat	1085	1	Sutjeska	1278	0
9	2024-05-12	17.88%	@ Mladost DG	1070	3	Sutjeska	1261	2
10	2024-05-04	18.39%	Mladost DG	1059	1	@ Jezero	1161	0
11	2023-12-02	18.86%	Arsenal Tivat	1120	1	@ Decic Tuzi	1215	0
12	2024-02-24	19.07%	Jedinstvo	1067	3	@ Jezero	1160	0
13	2024-05-18	20.81%	Mornar	1200	1	@ Buducnost Podgorica	1272	0
14	2024-03-03	21.05%	Mornar	1159	1	@ Decic Tuzi	1228	0
15	2023-09-23	21.73%	Mornar	1112	1	@ Jezero	1174	0
16	2023-11-26	21.79%	Mladost DG	1079	2	@ Arsenal Tivat	1140	0
17	2023-10-28	22.50%	Rudar	1045	1	@ Mladost DG	1098	0
18	2023-08-06	22.60%	Petrovac	1116	2	@ Decic Tuzi	1168	1
19	2024-05-25	23.12%	@ Petrovac	1133	3	Buducnost Podgorica	1261	1
20	2024-04-13	24.09%	@ Petrovac	1127	2	Decic Tuzi	1246	1
21	2024-02-18	24.45%	@ Mornar	1143	1	Sutjeska	1258	0
22	2024-04-21	25.17%	@ Jezero	1152	3	Buducnost Podgorica	1261	1
23	2024-03-17	25.95%	@ Mornar	1167	1	Buducnost Podgorica	1269	0
24	2023-12-09	26.02%	@ Rudar	1030	2	Arsenal Tivat	1131	0
25	2023-10-01	26.12%	@ Decic Tuzi	1164	2	Buducnost Podgorica	1264	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2024-02-24	34.22	@ Rudar	3	1041	14.56%	Buducnost Podgorica	0	1284	59.91%	25.53%
2	2024-02-24	30.68	Jedinstvo	3	1067	19.07%	@ Jezero	0	1160	51.80%	29.13%
3	2023-09-17	27.49	Sutjeska	4	1237	36.93%	@ Decic Tuzi	0	1175	30.75%	32.31%
4	2024-03-10	25.45	@ Buducnost Podgorica	6	1239	53.85%	Arsenal Tivat	0	1129	17.81%	28.33%
5	2024-04-07	22.66	@ Jezero	4	1148	45.00%	Arsenal Tivat	0	1108	23.84%	31.16%
6	2023-08-05	21.95	Buducnost Podgorica	4	1211	46.18%	@ Rudar	0	1081	22.94%	30.88%
7	2024-05-04	20.05	Buducnost Podgorica	4	1245	49.34%	@ Arsenal Tivat	0	1090	20.68%	29.98%
8	2023-11-26	19.86	Mladost DG	2	1079	21.79%	@ Arsenal Tivat	0	1140	47.76%	30.46%
9	2023-12-09	18.12	@ Rudar	2	1030	26.02%	Arsenal Tivat	0	1131	42.27%	31.70%
10	2023-10-01	18.08	@ Decic Tuzi	2	1164	26.12%	Buducnost Podgorica	0	1264	42.16%	31.72%
11	2024-04-13	18.02	@ Jedinstvo	2	1072	26.30%	Jezero	0	1170	41.95%	31.76%
12	2024-03-03	17.97	Petrovac	2	1125	26.42%	@ Jezero	0	1141	41.80%	31.78%
13	2023-10-01	17.93	Petrovac	2	1120	26.54%	@ Mladost DG	0	1135	41.65%	31.80%
14	2024-02-28	17.33	Decic Tuzi	3	1211	45.03%	@ Mladost DG	0	1089	23.82%	31.16%
15	2023-08-13	17.28	Decic Tuzi	2	1160	28.31%	@ Mladost DG	0	1160	39.61%	32.08%
16	2024-05-25	16.70	@ Petrovac	3	1133	23.12%	Buducnost Podgorica	1	1261	45.94%	30.94%
17	2024-05-04	16.53	Decic Tuzi	4	1243	55.34%	@ Rudar	0	1040	16.96%	27.71%
18	2024-04-21	15.98	@ Jezero	3	1152	25.17%	Buducnost Podgorica	1	1261	43.32%	31.51%
19	2024-04-13	15.92	@ Mornar	5	1161	50.94%	Mladost DG	1	1075	19.62%	29.44%
20	2024-02-17	14.17	@ Arsenal Tivat	3	1113	30.99%	Jezero	1	1174	36.68%	32.33%
21	2024-03-30	13.28	@ Jezero	3	1139	34.22%	Mornar	1	1177	33.38%	32.41%
22	2023-08-20	13.25	@ Jezero	2	1146	40.88%	Petrovac	0	1136	27.20%	31.92%
23	2023-09-03	13.20	Buducnost Podgorica	4	1250	48.67%	@ Jedinstvo	1	1101	21.14%	30.19%
24	2024-05-18	13.14	@ Jedinstvo	4	1071	29.19%	Petrovac	2	1146	38.63%	32.18%
25	2023-12-02	12.84	@ Mladost DG	2	1099	42.17%	Jedinstvo	0	1080	26.11%	31.72%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2023-09-03	61.9	@ Sutjeska	3	1238	53.28%	Mladost DG	3	1134	18.15%	28.56%
2	2023-09-27	58.8	@ Buducnost Podgorica	2	1266	56.53%	Mladost DG	2	1134	16.30%	27.17%
3	2023-08-06	58.3	@ Sutjeska	2	1251	52.36%	Arsenal Tivat	2	1154	18.72%	28.92%
4	2024-02-18	58.2	@ Buducnost Podgorica	2	1285	49.41%	Decic Tuzi	2	1211	20.64%	29.96%
5	2023-12-02	58.0	@ Petrovac	2	1117	20.24%	Buducnost Podgorica	2	1277	50.00%	29.76%
6	2024-05-12	57.8	@ Petrovac	2	1147	49.73%	Arsenal Tivat	2	1070	20.42%	29.85%
7	2023-08-20	57.6	@ Arsenal Tivat	2	1163	47.27%	Jedinstvo	2	1106	22.13%	30.59%
8	2024-04-27	57.6	@ Buducnost Podgorica	2	1245	35.73%	Sutjeska	2	1272	31.90%	32.37%
9	2023-09-03	57.4	@ Arsenal Tivat	2	1152	43.40%	Petrovac	2	1124	25.10%	31.50%
10	2023-07-30	57.3	@ Arsenal Tivat	2	1154	41.92%	Jezero	2	1137	26.32%	31.76%
11	2023-10-21	57.2	@ Arsenal Tivat	2	1147	40.42%	Mornar	2	1141	27.60%	31.98%
12	2024-05-12	57.1	@ Mladost DG	3	1070	17.88%	Sutjeska	2	1261	53.74%	28.38%
13	2023-10-01	57.0	@ Rudar	2	1041	32.88%	Jedinstvo	2	1089	34.72%	32.40%
14	2024-04-03	53.9	Mladost DG	2	1062	12.29%	@ Buducnost Podgorica	1	1268	64.87%	22.84%
15	2023-10-28	53.5	@ Jedinstvo	3	1075	29.60%	Arsenal Tivat	2	1146	38.17%	32.22%
16	2024-05-25	53.0	@ Rudar	2	1008	15.10%	Sutjeska	1	1242	58.81%	26.09%
17	2023-08-26	52.9	@ Mornar	4	1104	39.21%	Jedinstvo	3	1107	28.67%	32.12%
18	2024-02-24	52.7	@ Sutjeska	1	1248	55.23%	Arsenal Tivat	1	1127	17.02%	27.75%
19	2023-09-27	52.5	@ Sutjeska	1	1268	53.31%	Jezero	1	1163	18.14%	28.55%
20	2023-11-11	52.3	@ Mladost DG	1	1077	18.62%	Sutjeska	1	1257	52.51%	28.86%
21	2023-08-13	52.2	@ Buducnost Podgorica	1	1232	51.17%	Jezero	1	1144	19.47%	29.36%
22	2023-10-07	52.2	Decic Tuzi	3	1182	34.27%	@ Petrovac	2	1138	33.32%	32.41%
23	2024-02-25	52.2	@ Decic Tuzi	1	1212	51.19%	Petrovac	1	1124	19.45%	29.35%
24	2023-08-09	52.1	@ Buducnost Podgorica	1	1233	49.59%	Decic Tuzi	1	1158	20.51%	29.90%
25	2024-05-04	52.1	Mornar	4	1184	42.15%	@ Jedinstvo	3	1084	26.13%	31.72%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2024-05-12	27.8	@ Mornar	3	1190	60.49%	Rudar	0	1023	14.27%	25.23%
2	2023-10-08	28.2	@ Buducnost Podgorica	2	1246	64.72%	Rudar	0	1042	12.36%	22.92%
3	2024-05-12	28.8	@ Buducnost Podgorica	2	1265	62.86%	Jedinstvo	0	1078	13.17%	23.97%
4	2024-04-21	29.1	@ Decic Tuzi	2	1236	61.76%	Mladost DG	0	1059	13.68%	24.56%
5	2023-10-21	29.3	@ Sutjeska	2	1253	61.07%	Jedinstvo	0	1082	14.00%	24.93%
6	2024-05-04	29.7	Decic Tuzi	4	1243	55.34%	@ Rudar	0	1040	16.96%	27.71%
7	2024-03-30	31.3	@ Buducnost Podgorica	2	1259	54.72%	Petrovac	0	1143	17.31%	27.97%
8	2024-05-04	31.6	Buducnost Podgorica	4	1245	49.34%	@ Arsenal Tivat	0	1090	20.68%	29.98%
9	2024-05-12	31.6	@ Decic Tuzi	2	1260	53.94%	Jezero	0	1149	17.76%	28.30%
10	2023-09-23	32.0	@ Sutjeska	1	1265	65.30%	Rudar	0	1055	12.11%	22.59%
11	2024-04-07	32.1	@ Sutjeska	2	1269	52.48%	Mornar	0	1170	18.64%	28.88%
12	2024-03-10	32.3	@ Buducnost Podgorica	6	1239	53.85%	Arsenal Tivat	0	1129	17.81%	28.33%
13	2023-09-27	32.4	@ Arsenal Tivat	2	1135	50.64%	Rudar	0	1052	19.81%	29.55%
14	2023-08-05	32.5	Buducnost Podgorica	4	1211	46.18%	@ Rudar	0	1081	22.94%	30.88%
15	2024-02-28	32.5	Decic Tuzi	3	1211	45.03%	@ Mladost DG	0	1089	23.82%	31.16%
16	2023-08-26	32.8	@ Buducnost Podgorica	2	1240	49.85%	Arsenal Tivat	0	1162	20.34%	29.81%
17	2024-04-07	32.8	@ Jezero	4	1148	45.00%	Arsenal Tivat	0	1108	23.84%	31.16%
18	2023-11-04	32.9	@ Jezero	2	1159	49.05%	Mladost DG	0	1088	20.88%	30.07%
19	2024-04-03	32.9	Decic Tuzi	2	1236	49.17%	@ Jedinstvo	0	1082	20.80%	30.03%
20	2023-08-12	33.0	@ Petrovac	2	1126	48.44%	Rudar	0	1059	21.30%	30.25%
21	2024-04-13	33.8	@ Buducnost Podgorica	3	1256	65.69%	Rudar	1	1042	11.94%	22.36%
22	2023-11-27	34.1	@ Jezero	4	1171	55.83%	Rudar	1	1045	16.68%	27.49%
23	2024-03-30	34.5	Decic Tuzi	2	1223	43.76%	@ Arsenal Tivat	0	1111	24.82%	31.43%
24	2024-05-25	34.5	@ Decic Tuzi	3	1277	63.54%	Arsenal Tivat	1	1084	12.87%	23.59%
25	2024-04-13	34.6	@ Mornar	5	1161	50.94%	Mladost DG	1	1075	19.62%	29.44%