2022-23 Montenegrin First League Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Buducnost Podgorica

70 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Jedinstvo

8.60 points above expected

47 points · 38.40 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Iskra

11.94 points below expected

31 points · 42.94 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Buducnost Podgorica	36	20	10	6	70	61	37	+24	66.78	+3.22
2	Sutjeska	36	20	10	6	70	75	34	+41	71.17	-1.17
3	Arsenal Tivat	36	13	11	12	50	39	39	0	46.13	+3.87
4	Decic Tuzi	36	12	14	10	50	44	37	+7	56.13	-6.13
5	Jedinstvo	36	13	8	15	47	43	54	-11	38.40	+8.60
6	Petrovac	36	11	12	13	45	50	57	-7	40.93	+4.07
7	Jezero	36	10	13	13	43	35	38	-3	48.22	-5.22
8	Mornar	36	11	9	16	42	30	41	-11	42.92	-0.92
9	Rudar	36	9	11	16	38	36	51	-15	34.73	+3.27
10	Iskra	36	7	10	19	31	33	58	-25	42.94	-11.94

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Jedinstvo	47	38.40	+8.60
2	Petrovac	45	40.93	+4.07
3	Arsenal Tivat	50	46.13	+3.87
4	Rudar	38	34.73	+3.27
5	Buducnost Podgorica	70	66.78	+3.22

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Iskra	31	42.94	-11.94
2	Decic Tuzi	50	56.13	-6.13
3	Jezero	43	48.22	-5.22
4	Sutjeska	70	71.17	-1.17
5	Mornar	42	42.92	-0.92

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Petrovac	3	Jul 23 – Aug 6	1 in 75
2	Mornar	3	Dec 10 – Feb 23	1 in 66
3	Jedinstvo	3	Oct 21 – Nov 6	1 in 58
4	Iskra	3	Dec 7 – Feb 23	1 in 56
5	Jezero	3	May 14 – May 25	1 in 49

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Decic Tuzi	4	Dec 10 – Feb 28	1 in 125
2	Iskra	4	Oct 15 – Nov 6	1 in 59
3	Jezero	3	Oct 21 – Nov 6	1 in 59
4	Buducnost Podgorica	2	Jul 31 – Aug 7	1 in 25
5	Jedinstvo	3	Jul 31 – Aug 16	1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Decic Tuzi	10	Mar 4 – Apr 29	1 in 38
2	Jedinstvo	6	Mar 18 – Apr 19	1 in 35
3	Petrovac	6	Jul 23 – Aug 27	1 in 29
4	Mornar	6	Dec 10 – Mar 8	1 in 26
5	Rudar	3	Aug 27 – Sep 11	1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Jezero	9	Oct 15 – Feb 18	1 in 69
2	Sutjeska	4	Mar 18 – Apr 9	1 in 43
3	Iskra	10	Feb 28 – Apr 23	1 in 37
4	Decic Tuzi	6	Nov 26 – Feb 28	1 in 27
5	Rudar	10	Oct 22 – Mar 4	1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Sutjeska	1316	70	+18	13	9.8	+3.2
Buducnost Podgorica	1278	70	-2	10	9.1	+0.9
Decic Tuzi	1166	50	-11	5	7.3	-2.3
Arsenal Tivat	1136	50	-9	4	6.4	-2.4
Jedinstvo	1067	47	-10	4	6.1	-2.1
Petrovac	1058	45	+3	6	5.9	+0.1
Jezero	1131	43	+17	9	6.3	+2.7
Mornar	1084	42	+0	7	6.0	+1.0
Rudar	1035	38	+9	7	4.9	+2.1
Iskra	1053	31	-15	5	6.1	-1.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AT	BP	DT	ISK	JED	JEZ	MOR	PET	RUD	SUT
Arsenal Tivat	—	0-1-3 3.48	1-2-1 4.61	3-0-1 5.82	2-2-0 6.45	1-1-2 5.21	3-1-0 5.89	2-1-1 6.07	1-1-2 6.90	0-2-2 3.11
Buducnost Podgorica	3-1-0 7.41	—	1-1-2 6.78	1-1-2 7.95	4-0-0 8.32	2-1-1 7.59	4-0-0 8.10	0-3-1 8.16	3-1-0 8.58	2-2-0 5.07
Decic Tuzi	1-2-1 6.16	2-1-1 4.03	—	2-1-1 6.42	2-1-1 7.14	0-3-1 6.09	2-1-1 6.72	1-2-1 6.96	2-2-0 7.59	0-1-3 3.98
Iskra	1-0-3 4.95	2-1-1 3.04	1-1-2 4.36	—	0-1-3 5.93	1-2-1 4.75	1-3-0 5.34	0-1-3 5.66	1-1-2 6.60	0-0-4 3.05
Jedinstvo	0-2-2 4.33	0-0-4 2.74	1-1-2 3.71	3-1-0 4.82	—	2-0-2 4.29	2-1-1 4.92	2-1-1 4.96	2-1-1 5.77	1-1-2 2.65
Jezero	2-1-1 5.53	1-1-2 3.34	1-3-0 4.66	1-2-1 6.01	2-0-2 6.51	—	1-1-2 6.08	0-2-2 6.27	1-2-1 7.02	1-1-2 3.39
Mornar	0-1-3 4.86	0-0-4 2.91	1-1-2 4.09	0-3-1 5.40	1-1-2 5.84	2-1-1 4.68	—	3-0-1 5.52	2-1-1 6.28	2-1-1 2.90
Petrovac	1-1-2 4.70	1-3-0 2.87	1-2-1 3.88	3-1-0 5.09	1-1-2 5.78	2-2-0 4.50	1-0-3 5.22	—	1-1-2 6.15	0-1-3 2.72
Rudar	2-1-1 3.92	0-1-3 2.54	0-2-2 3.32	2-1-1 4.20	1-1-2 4.99	1-2-1 3.81	1-1-2 4.49	2-1-1 4.62	—	0-1-3 2.36
Sutjeska	2-2-0 7.86	0-2-2 5.67	3-1-0 6.84	4-0-0 7.93	2-1-1 8.44	2-1-1 7.52	1-1-2 8.12	3-1-0 8.36	3-1-0 8.82	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.80	+8.0
Allowed	0.45	-9.1
Differential	0.92	+6.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.22%	9.72%	3.89%	3.33%	1.39%	0.28%	30.83%
1	9.72%	11.67%	9.17%	2.78%	0.83%	0.28%	34.44%
2	3.89%	9.17%	5.00%	1.39%	1.11%	—	20.56%
3	3.33%	2.78%	1.39%	0.56%	0.83%	—	8.89%
4	1.39%	0.83%	1.11%	0.83%	0.56%	—	4.72%
5+	0.28%	0.28%	—	—	—	—	0.56%
Total	30.83%	34.44%	20.56%	8.89%	4.72%	0.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.24	1.24	+0.00
SD	1.15	1.15	1.57
CV	0.93	0.93	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	11.11%	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	36.11%
1	16.67%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	—	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
3	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.11%	27.78%	30.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.08	1.08	+0.00
SD	1.08	1.02	1.39
CV	1.00	0.95	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	13.89%
1	16.67%	13.89%	—	2.78%	—	—	33.33%
2	11.11%	13.89%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	30.56%
3	5.56%	2.78%	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	13.89%
4	5.56%	—	—	—	2.78%	—	8.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	44.44%	33.33%	5.56%	8.33%	8.33%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.69	1.03	+0.67
SD	1.14	1.28	1.59
CV	0.67	1.24	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	19.44%	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	36.11%
1	5.56%	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	—	30.56%
2	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	16.67%
3	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	36.11%	38.89%	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.22	1.03	+0.19
SD	1.29	1.06	1.56
CV	1.06	1.03	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	36.11%
1	2.78%	11.11%	13.89%	11.11%	2.78%	—	41.67%
2	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
3	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	25.00%	25.00%	25.00%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.92	1.61	-0.69
SD	0.87	1.18	1.49
CV	0.95	0.73	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	16.67%	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	38.89%
1	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
2	2.78%	13.89%	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
3	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	13.89%
4	—	—	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.44%	44.44%	16.67%	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.19	1.50	-0.31
SD	1.19	1.30	1.77
CV	1.00	0.87	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	19.44%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	36.11%
1	8.33%	13.89%	16.67%	—	—	—	38.89%
2	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	16.67%
3	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.56%	41.67%	22.22%	2.78%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	1.06	-0.08
SD	0.94	0.95	1.18
CV	0.97	0.90	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	19.44%	5.56%	—	—	—	36.11%
1	19.44%	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	—	47.22%
2	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	13.89%
3	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	33.33%	22.22%	8.33%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.83	1.14	-0.31
SD	0.77	1.07	1.19
CV	0.93	0.94	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	19.44%
1	13.89%	16.67%	11.11%	—	—	—	41.67%
2	2.78%	8.33%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	27.78%
3	—	—	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%
4	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	8.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.44%	33.33%	25.00%	13.89%	8.33%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.39	1.58	-0.19
SD	1.10	1.20	1.45
CV	0.79	0.76	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	22.22%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	41.67%
1	5.56%	5.56%	16.67%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	36.11%
2	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
3	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.56%	25.00%	27.78%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.42	-0.42
SD	1.17	1.32	1.54
CV	1.17	0.93	—
Max	4	5	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
1	2.78%	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	—	19.44%
2	5.56%	16.67%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	33.33%
3	11.11%	—	—	—	2.78%	—	13.89%
4	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	36.11%	41.67%	16.67%	2.78%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.08	0.94	+1.14
SD	1.36	0.95	1.76
CV	0.65	1.01	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Sutjeska	1316	70	71.17	-1.17	40.0%	52	57	66	72	76	81	91
Buducnost Podgorica	1278	70	66.78	+3.22	70.0%	44	54	62	67	71	79	85
Decic Tuzi	1166	50	56.13	-6.13	23.0%	35	45	51	56	62	67	76
Arsenal Tivat	1136	50	46.13	+3.87	77.0%	26	32	42	47	50	57	63
Jezero	1131	43	48.22	-5.22	30.0%	30	36	42	49	54	61	69
Mornar	1084	42	42.92	-0.92	47.0%	22	31	38	43	47	55	58
Jedinstvo	1067	47	38.40	+8.60	91.0%	18	26	33	38	44	49	58
Petrovac	1058	45	40.93	+4.07	76.0%	26	29	37	41	45	52	58
Iskra	1053	31	42.94	-11.94	3.0%	26	32	38	43	48	54	56
Rudar	1035	38	34.73	+3.27	70.0%	22	24	30	34	40	46	48

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+11.11%

No Edge

40.56%30.00%29.44%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 38.76 Elo pts.

209 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0600

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.24 goals

Neutral

-2+0.19+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.8

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

29%

Buducnost Podgorica, 2nd of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.00/gm

Photo Finish

00.230.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.77 * Some Luck: 5.77 to 8.65 * Lucky: 8.65 to 11.54 * Wild Swing: 11.54 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.04 * Close: 1.04 to 1.57 * Off: 1.57 to 2.09 * Way Off: 2.09 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

5.79 points

Some Luck

07.2118

Average Finish Error

Expected

2.00

Off

01.303

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

91.00%

Jedinstvo

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

3.00%

Iskra

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.13

Even

00.130.20.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 96.48

1.65

Moderate Separation

0.751.51.82.153

Interquartile Edge

64%

Slight Edge

50%63.5%74.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

83%

Even

50%86%100%

Close Games

Expected

72%

Very Frequent

0%66%100%

Blowouts

Expected

12%

Rare

0%11%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.63

Hard to Predict

00.622

Matchup Imbalance

0.34

Very Even

00.340.420.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.68

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.70

Strong Carryover

00.380.570.71

Upset Rate

Expected

27%

Very Upset-Prone

0%23%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

21%

Shaky Favorites

0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.

Probability calibration

0.75

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.78

Overconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.058

Well Within Noise

00.1330.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Buducnost Podgorica	29.00%	52.00%	15.00%	3.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Sutjeska	68.00%	23.00%	5.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Arsenal Tivat	—	1.00%	14.00%	16.00%	20.00%	17.00%	13.00%	6.00%	9.00%	4.00%
Decic Tuzi	2.00%	18.00%	43.00%	15.00%	14.00%	4.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—
Jedinstvo	—	—	1.00%	4.00%	10.00%	11.00%	11.00%	20.00%	18.00%	25.00%
Petrovac	—	1.00%	1.00%	7.00%	7.00%	19.00%	17.00%	21.00%	17.00%	10.00%
Jezero	1.00%	4.00%	14.00%	23.00%	13.00%	13.00%	19.00%	9.00%	2.00%	2.00%
Mornar	—	—	3.00%	16.00%	13.00%	10.00%	21.00%	12.00%	14.00%	11.00%
Rudar	—	—	—	4.00%	4.00%	6.00%	3.00%	14.00%	28.00%	41.00%
Iskra	—	1.00%	4.00%	9.00%	18.00%	19.00%	14.00%	17.00%	11.00%	7.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Buducnost Podgorica	100%	—	—
Decic Tuzi	98.00%	2.00%	—
Sutjeska	100%	—	—
Jezero	87.00%	11.00%	2.00%
Arsenal Tivat	81.00%	15.00%	4.00%
Iskra	65.00%	28.00%	7.00%
Petrovac	52.00%	38.00%	10.00%
Mornar	63.00%	26.00%	11.00%
Jedinstvo	37.00%	38.00%	25.00%
Rudar	17.00%	42.00%	41.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2022-07-23	Petrovac	L 0-2	41.6	1133	1058	49.97%	28.95%	21.08%	+0.55	-14.1	0
2022-07-23	@ Arsenal Tivat	W 2-0	41.6	1058	1133	21.08%	28.95%	49.97%	-0.55	+14.1	3
2022-07-23	Rudar	W 3-1	37.3	1146	1035	54.46%	27.15%	18.40%	+0.71	+5.5	3
2022-07-23	@ Jezero	L 1-3	37.3	1035	1146	18.40%	27.15%	54.46%	-0.71	-5.5	0
2022-07-23	Sutjeska	D 1-1	53.1	1043	1247	17.36%	26.26%	56.38%	-0.79	+1.3	1
2022-07-23	@ Jedinstvo	D 1-1	53.1	1247	1043	56.38%	26.26%	17.36%	+0.79	-1.3	1
2022-07-24	Decic Tuzi	L 0-1	40.5	1101	1168	30.22%	31.63%	38.15%	-0.14	-5.2	0
2022-07-24	@ Mornar	W 1-0	40.5	1168	1101	38.15%	31.63%	30.22%	+0.14	+5.2	3
2022-07-30	Iskra	W 3-0	32.6	1173	1133	45.13%	30.43%	24.44%	+0.37	+12.1	6
2022-07-30	@ Decic Tuzi	L 0-3	32.6	1133	1173	24.44%	30.43%	45.13%	-0.37	-12.1	0
2022-07-30	Mornar	W 1-0	42.8	1030	1095	30.43%	31.65%	37.93%	-0.13	+6.1	3
2022-07-30	@ Rudar	L 0-1	42.8	1095	1030	37.93%	31.65%	30.43%	+0.13	-6.1	0
2022-07-31	Buducnost Podgorica	W 4-2	51.8	1072	1260	18.36%	27.11%	54.53%	-0.72	+11.6	6
2022-07-31	@ Petrovac	L 2-4	51.8	1260	1072	54.53%	27.11%	18.36%	+0.72	-11.6	0
2022-07-31	Jedinstvo	W 1-0	37.0	1119	1044	49.84%	29.00%	21.16%	+0.54	+3.9	3
2022-07-31	@ Arsenal Tivat	L 0-1	37.0	1044	1119	21.16%	29.00%	49.84%	-0.54	-3.9	1
2022-07-31	Jezero	W 3-0	30.6	1245	1151	52.32%	28.05%	19.63%	+0.63	+9.9	4
2022-07-31	@ Sutjeska	L 0-3	30.6	1151	1245	19.63%	28.05%	52.32%	-0.63	-9.9	3
2022-08-06	Arsenal Tivat	W 2-1	45.0	1142	1123	42.21%	31.07%	26.72%	+0.27	+4.5	6
2022-08-06	@ Jezero	L 1-2	45.0	1123	1142	26.72%	31.07%	42.21%	-0.27	-4.5	3
2022-08-06	Petrovac	L 0-1	41.5	1041	1083	33.53%	31.81%	34.66%	-0.02	-5.6	1
2022-08-06	@ Jedinstvo	W 1-0	41.5	1083	1041	34.66%	31.81%	33.53%	+0.02	+5.6	9
2022-08-06	Rudar	D 0-0	47.5	1121	1036	51.20%	28.49%	20.30%	+0.59	-1.1	1
2022-08-06	@ Iskra	D 0-0	47.5	1036	1121	20.30%	28.49%	51.20%	-0.59	+1.1	4
2022-08-06	Sutjeska	W 2-1	51.7	1089	1255	20.05%	28.34%	51.61%	-0.61	+7.2	3
2022-08-06	@ Mornar	L 1-2	51.7	1255	1089	51.61%	28.34%	20.05%	+0.61	-7.2	4
2022-08-07	Decic Tuzi	L 0-2	41.6	1249	1185	48.37%	29.49%	22.13%	+0.49	-13.8	0
2022-08-07	@ Buducnost Podgorica	W 2-0	41.6	1185	1249	22.13%	29.49%	48.37%	-0.49	+13.8	9
2022-08-16	Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-1	35.3	1037	1235	17.73%	26.59%	55.68%	-0.76	-3.2	4
2022-08-16	@ Rudar	W 1-0	35.3	1235	1037	55.68%	26.59%	17.73%	+0.76	+3.2	3
2022-08-16	Decic Tuzi	D 2-2	57.4	1089	1199	25.20%	30.67%	44.13%	-0.34	+0.4	10
2022-08-16	@ Petrovac	D 2-2	57.4	1199	1089	44.13%	30.67%	25.20%	+0.34	-0.4	10
2022-08-16	Iskra	W 3-0	29.3	1248	1120	56.62%	26.14%	17.23%	+0.80	+8.6	7
2022-08-16	@ Sutjeska	L 0-3	29.3	1120	1248	17.23%	26.14%	56.62%	-0.80	-8.6	1
2022-08-16	Jezero	L 0-1	38.6	1035	1146	25.07%	30.63%	44.30%	-0.35	-4.5	1
2022-08-16	@ Jedinstvo	W 1-0	38.6	1146	1035	44.30%	30.63%	25.07%	+0.35	+4.5	9
2022-08-16	Mornar	W 2-1	44.8	1119	1097	42.73%	30.97%	26.30%	+0.29	+4.4	6
2022-08-16	@ Arsenal Tivat	L 1-2	44.8	1097	1119	26.30%	30.97%	42.73%	-0.29	-4.4	3
2022-08-20	Arsenal Tivat	L 2-3	53.3	1111	1123	37.98%	31.64%	30.38%	+0.13	-5.5	1
2022-08-20	@ Iskra	W 3-2	53.3	1123	1111	30.38%	31.64%	37.98%	-0.13	+5.5	9
2022-08-20	Jedinstvo	D 2-2	57.7	1092	1030	48.09%	29.58%	22.32%	+0.48	-0.6	4
2022-08-20	@ Mornar	D 2-2	57.7	1030	1092	22.32%	29.58%	48.09%	-0.48	+0.6	2
2022-08-20	Petrovac	D 2-2	57.7	1151	1089	48.04%	29.60%	22.36%	+0.48	-0.6	10
2022-08-20	@ Jezero	D 2-2	57.7	1089	1151	22.36%	29.60%	48.04%	-0.48	+0.6	11
2022-08-20	Sutjeska	W 2-0	37.3	1238	1257	37.02%	31.72%	31.26%	+0.10	+10.1	6
2022-08-20	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-2	37.3	1257	1238	31.26%	31.72%	37.02%	-0.10	-10.1	7
2022-08-21	Rudar	W 5-1	31.5	1198	1034	61.08%	23.86%	15.06%	+0.97	+8.0	13
2022-08-21	@ Decic Tuzi	L 1-5	31.5	1034	1198	15.06%	23.86%	61.08%	-0.97	-8.0	4
2022-08-24	Buducnost Podgorica	D 1-1	52.2	1106	1248	22.04%	29.45%	48.51%	-0.49	+0.8	2
2022-08-24	@ Iskra	D 1-1	52.2	1248	1106	48.51%	29.45%	22.04%	+0.49	-0.8	7
2022-08-27	Decic Tuzi	W 3-0	32.8	1246	1206	45.20%	30.41%	24.39%	+0.38	+12.1	10
2022-08-27	@ Sutjeska	L 0-3	32.8	1206	1246	24.39%	30.41%	45.20%	-0.38	-12.1	13
2022-08-27	Mornar	W 3-1	39.3	1150	1091	47.68%	29.71%	22.61%	+0.46	+6.7	13
2022-08-27	@ Jezero	L 1-3	39.3	1091	1150	22.61%	29.71%	47.68%	-0.46	-6.7	4
2022-08-27	Rudar	D 0-0	47.2	1090	1026	48.43%	29.47%	22.09%	+0.49	-0.9	12
2022-08-27	@ Petrovac	D 0-0	47.2	1026	1090	22.09%	29.47%	48.43%	-0.49	+1.0	5
2022-08-28	Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-4	32.8	1129	1247	24.27%	30.37%	45.36%	-0.38	-15.7	9
2022-08-28	@ Arsenal Tivat	W 4-0	32.8	1247	1129	45.36%	30.37%	24.27%	+0.38	+15.7	10
2022-08-28	Iskra	W 2-1	48.8	1031	1107	29.13%	31.50%	39.38%	-0.18	+5.9	5
2022-08-28	@ Jedinstvo	L 1-2	48.8	1107	1031	39.38%	31.50%	29.13%	+0.18	-5.9	2
2022-09-03	Arsenal Tivat	L 2-4	51.1	1194	1113	50.71%	28.68%	20.61%	+0.57	-11.0	13
2022-09-03	@ Decic Tuzi	W 4-2	51.1	1113	1194	20.61%	28.68%	50.71%	-0.57	+11.0	12
2022-09-03	Jezero	W 2-1	48.1	1101	1157	31.72%	31.75%	36.53%	-0.08	+5.6	5
2022-09-03	@ Iskra	L 1-2	48.1	1157	1101	36.53%	31.75%	31.72%	+0.08	-5.6	13
2022-09-03	Sutjeska	D 0-0	48.8	1027	1259	15.63%	24.52%	59.85%	-0.92	+1.7	6
2022-09-03	@ Rudar	D 0-0	48.8	1259	1027	59.85%	24.52%	15.63%	+0.92	-1.6	11
2022-09-04	Jedinstvo	W 3-0	25.7	1263	1037	68.13%	19.81%	12.06%	+1.27	+5.6	13
2022-09-04	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-3	25.7	1037	1263	12.06%	19.81%	68.13%	-1.27	-5.5	5
2022-09-04	Petrovac	W 1-0	40.2	1085	1089	39.02%	31.54%	29.44%	+0.16	+5.1	7
2022-09-04	@ Mornar	L 0-1	40.2	1089	1085	29.44%	31.54%	39.02%	-0.16	-5.1	12
2022-09-10	Sutjeska	L 0-4	30.6	1084	1257	19.50%	27.97%	52.52%	-0.64	-12.8	12
2022-09-10	@ Petrovac	W 4-0	30.6	1257	1084	52.52%	27.97%	19.50%	+0.64	+12.8	14
2022-09-11	Buducnost Podgorica	D 0-0	47.2	1151	1269	24.40%	30.41%	45.19%	-0.38	+0.7	14
2022-09-11	@ Jezero	D 0-0	47.2	1269	1151	45.19%	30.41%	24.40%	+0.38	-0.7	14
2022-09-11	Decic Tuzi	L 1-2	42.7	1031	1183	21.21%	29.02%	49.77%	-0.54	-3.7	5
2022-09-11	@ Jedinstvo	W 2-1	42.7	1183	1031	49.77%	29.02%	21.21%	+0.54	+3.7	16
2022-09-11	Iskra	D 0-0	46.6	1090	1107	37.26%	31.70%	31.04%	+0.11	-0.2	8
2022-09-11	@ Mornar	D 0-0	46.6	1107	1090	31.04%	31.70%	37.26%	-0.11	+0.2	6
2022-09-11	Rudar	L 0-2	42.1	1124	1028	52.53%	27.97%	19.50%	+0.64	-14.6	12
2022-09-11	@ Arsenal Tivat	W 2-0	42.1	1028	1124	19.50%	27.97%	52.53%	-0.64	+14.6	9
2022-09-17	Arsenal Tivat	W 2-1	39.6	1270	1109	60.60%	24.12%	15.28%	+0.95	+2.6	17
2022-09-17	@ Sutjeska	L 1-2	39.6	1109	1270	15.28%	24.12%	60.60%	-0.95	-2.6	12
2022-09-17	Jedinstvo	L 0-3	38.0	1043	1028	41.77%	31.14%	27.08%	+0.26	-17.9	9
2022-09-17	@ Rudar	W 3-0	38.0	1028	1043	27.08%	31.14%	41.77%	-0.26	+17.9	8
2022-09-17	Jezero	D 1-1	51.9	1187	1152	44.51%	30.58%	24.91%	+0.35	-0.6	17
2022-09-17	@ Decic Tuzi	D 1-1	51.9	1152	1187	24.91%	30.58%	44.51%	-0.35	+0.6	15
2022-09-17	Mornar	W 2-0	29.3	1268	1090	62.71%	22.96%	14.33%	+1.04	+4.8	17
2022-09-17	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-2	29.3	1090	1268	14.33%	22.96%	62.71%	-1.04	-4.8	8
2022-09-17	Petrovac	L 1-2	50.1	1107	1071	44.58%	30.56%	24.85%	+0.36	-6.5	6
2022-09-17	@ Iskra	W 2-1	50.1	1071	1107	24.85%	30.56%	44.58%	-0.36	+6.5	15
2022-10-01	Arsenal Tivat	L 1-2	47.8	1078	1107	35.48%	31.79%	32.73%	+0.05	-5.5	15
2022-10-01	@ Petrovac	W 2-1	47.8	1107	1078	32.73%	31.79%	35.48%	-0.05	+5.5	15
2022-10-01	Jedinstvo	W 5-0	26.8	1272	1046	68.18%	19.78%	12.04%	+1.27	+8.9	20
2022-10-01	@ Sutjeska	L 0-5	26.8	1046	1272	12.04%	19.78%	68.18%	-1.27	-8.9	8
2022-10-01	Jezero	W 2-1	50.6	1025	1152	23.44%	30.06%	46.50%	-0.42	+6.7	12
2022-10-01	@ Rudar	L 1-2	50.6	1152	1025	46.50%	30.06%	23.44%	+0.42	-6.7	15
2022-10-01	Mornar	W 3-1	37.7	1186	1085	53.29%	27.65%	19.06%	+0.67	+5.7	20
2022-10-01	@ Decic Tuzi	L 1-3	37.7	1085	1186	19.06%	27.65%	53.29%	-0.67	-5.7	8
2022-10-02	Iskra	L 0-1	47.7	1273	1100	62.02%	23.35%	14.63%	+1.01	-8.8	17
2022-10-02	@ Buducnost Podgorica	W 1-0	47.7	1100	1273	14.63%	23.35%	62.02%	-1.01	+8.7	9
2022-10-09	Arsenal Tivat	D 2-2	57.1	1037	1112	29.17%	31.50%	39.33%	-0.18	+0.2	9
2022-10-09	@ Jedinstvo	D 2-2	57.1	1112	1037	39.33%	31.50%	29.17%	+0.18	-0.2	16
2022-10-09	Decic Tuzi	D 0-0	46.7	1109	1192	28.24%	31.36%	40.40%	-0.21	+0.4	10
2022-10-09	@ Iskra	D 0-0	46.7	1192	1109	40.40%	31.36%	28.24%	+0.21	-0.4	21
2022-10-09	Petrovac	D 3-3	63.6	1264	1072	64.28%	22.07%	13.65%	+1.10	-1.0	18
2022-10-09	@ Buducnost Podgorica	D 3-3	63.6	1072	1264	13.65%	22.07%	64.28%	-1.10	+1.1	16
2022-10-09	Rudar	D 2-2	57.5	1079	1032	46.18%	30.15%	23.67%	+0.41	-0.5	9
2022-10-09	@ Mornar	D 2-2	57.5	1032	1079	23.67%	30.15%	46.18%	-0.41	+0.5	13
2022-10-09	Sutjeska	W 1-0	45.4	1146	1281	22.66%	29.74%	47.61%	-0.46	+7.2	18
2022-10-09	@ Jezero	L 0-1	45.4	1281	1146	47.61%	29.74%	22.66%	+0.46	-7.2	20
2022-10-15	Buducnost Podgorica	D 0-0	46.9	1192	1263	29.68%	31.57%	38.75%	-0.16	+0.3	22
2022-10-15	@ Decic Tuzi	D 0-0	46.9	1263	1192	38.75%	31.57%	29.68%	+0.16	-0.3	19
2022-10-15	Iskra	W 3-1	44.9	1032	1109	28.96%	31.47%	39.56%	-0.18	+10.3	16
2022-10-15	@ Rudar	L 1-3	44.9	1109	1032	39.56%	31.47%	28.96%	+0.18	-10.3	10
2022-10-15	Jedinstvo	D 1-1	51.8	1073	1037	44.65%	30.55%	24.80%	+0.36	-0.6	17
2022-10-15	@ Petrovac	D 1-1	51.8	1037	1073	24.80%	30.55%	44.65%	-0.36	+0.6	10
2022-10-15	Jezero	D 1-1	51.4	1112	1153	33.77%	31.81%	34.41%	-0.01	+0.0	17
2022-10-15	@ Arsenal Tivat	D 1-1	51.4	1153	1112	34.41%	31.81%	33.77%	+0.01	-0.0	19
2022-10-16	Mornar	D 1-1	54.5	1274	1079	64.69%	21.84%	13.47%	+1.12	-1.7	21
2022-10-16	@ Sutjeska	D 1-1	54.5	1079	1274	13.47%	21.84%	64.69%	-1.12	+1.7	10
2022-10-21	Jedinstvo	L 0-2	42.5	1153	1038	55.05%	26.88%	18.07%	+0.74	-15.1	19
2022-10-21	@ Jezero	W 2-0	42.5	1038	1153	18.07%	26.88%	55.05%	-0.74	+15.1	13
2022-10-22	Arsenal Tivat	L 0-1	42.0	1080	1112	35.12%	31.80%	33.08%	+0.03	-5.8	10
2022-10-22	@ Mornar	W 1-0	42.0	1112	1080	33.08%	31.80%	35.12%	-0.03	+5.8	20
2022-10-22	Petrovac	D 1-1	53.0	1192	1073	55.56%	26.64%	17.79%	+0.76	-1.2	23
2022-10-22	@ Decic Tuzi	D 1-1	53.0	1073	1192	17.79%	26.64%	55.56%	-0.76	+1.2	18
2022-10-22	Rudar	W 2-1	37.4	1263	1043	67.45%	20.21%	12.33%	+1.24	+2.0	22
2022-10-22	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-2	37.4	1043	1263	12.33%	20.21%	67.45%	-1.24	-2.0	16
2022-10-22	Sutjeska	L 1-2	42.0	1099	1272	19.49%	27.96%	52.55%	-0.64	-3.4	10
2022-10-22	@ Iskra	W 2-1	42.0	1272	1099	52.55%	27.96%	19.49%	+0.64	+3.4	24
2022-10-29	Jezero	W 2-1	48.4	1074	1138	30.62%	31.67%	37.71%	-0.12	+5.7	21
2022-10-29	@ Petrovac	L 1-2	48.4	1138	1074	37.71%	31.67%	30.62%	+0.12	-5.7	19
2022-10-30	Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-1	44.2	1276	1265	41.19%	31.24%	27.57%	+0.24	-6.5	24
2022-10-30	@ Sutjeska	W 1-0	44.2	1265	1276	27.57%	31.24%	41.19%	-0.24	+6.5	25
2022-10-30	Decic Tuzi	D 1-1	52.2	1041	1191	21.36%	29.10%	49.53%	-0.53	+0.9	17
2022-10-30	@ Rudar	D 1-1	52.2	1191	1041	49.53%	29.10%	21.36%	+0.53	-0.9	24
2022-10-30	Iskra	W 3-0	33.3	1118	1096	42.70%	30.97%	26.32%	+0.29	+12.8	23
2022-10-30	@ Arsenal Tivat	L 0-3	33.3	1096	1118	26.32%	30.97%	42.70%	-0.29	-12.8	10
2022-10-30	Mornar	W 1-0	41.0	1053	1075	36.53%	31.75%	31.72%	+0.08	+5.4	16
2022-10-30	@ Jedinstvo	L 0-1	41.0	1075	1053	31.72%	31.75%	36.53%	-0.08	-5.4	10
2022-11-06	Arsenal Tivat	W 2-0	30.7	1271	1131	58.17%	25.38%	16.45%	+0.86	+5.6	28
2022-11-06	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-2	30.7	1131	1271	16.45%	25.38%	58.17%	-0.86	-5.6	23
2022-11-06	Jedinstvo	L 1-3	45.8	1083	1058	43.09%	30.89%	26.02%	+0.30	-10.9	10
2022-11-06	@ Iskra	W 3-1	45.8	1058	1083	26.02%	30.89%	43.09%	-0.30	+10.9	19
2022-11-06	Jezero	W 1-0	42.7	1069	1132	30.77%	31.68%	37.55%	-0.12	+6.1	13
2022-11-06	@ Mornar	L 0-1	42.7	1132	1069	37.55%	31.68%	30.77%	+0.12	-6.1	19
2022-11-06	Petrovac	L 0-1	41.7	1042	1080	34.21%	31.81%	33.97%	+0.00	-5.7	17
2022-11-06	@ Rudar	W 1-0	41.7	1080	1042	33.97%	31.81%	34.21%	+0.00	+5.7	24
2022-11-06	Sutjeska	L 1-2	45.9	1190	1269	28.67%	31.43%	39.90%	-0.19	-4.7	24
2022-11-06	@ Decic Tuzi	W 2-1	45.9	1269	1190	39.90%	31.43%	28.67%	+0.19	+4.7	27
2022-11-12	Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-1	35.0	1069	1277	17.10%	26.02%	56.89%	-0.81	-3.1	19
2022-11-12	@ Jedinstvo	W 1-0	35.0	1277	1069	56.89%	26.02%	17.10%	+0.81	+3.1	31
2022-11-12	Decic Tuzi	L 1-2	46.5	1125	1185	31.15%	31.71%	37.14%	-0.10	-5.0	23
2022-11-12	@ Arsenal Tivat	W 2-1	46.5	1185	1125	37.14%	31.71%	31.15%	+0.10	+5.0	27
2022-11-12	Iskra	D 0-0	47.1	1126	1072	47.07%	29.90%	23.03%	+0.44	-0.9	20
2022-11-12	@ Jezero	D 0-0	47.1	1072	1126	23.03%	29.90%	47.07%	-0.44	+0.8	11
2022-11-12	Mornar	L 1-2	49.3	1085	1075	41.03%	31.27%	27.70%	+0.23	-6.1	24
2022-11-12	@ Petrovac	W 2-1	49.3	1075	1085	27.70%	31.27%	41.03%	-0.23	+6.1	16
2022-11-12	Rudar	W 4-0	25.5	1274	1036	69.42%	19.03%	11.55%	+1.32	+6.8	30
2022-11-12	@ Sutjeska	L 0-4	25.5	1036	1274	11.55%	19.03%	69.42%	-1.32	-6.9	17
2022-11-26	Arsenal Tivat	D 0-0	46.7	1029	1120	27.30%	31.19%	41.51%	-0.25	+0.5	18
2022-11-26	@ Rudar	D 0-0	46.7	1120	1029	41.51%	31.19%	27.30%	+0.25	-0.5	24
2022-11-26	Jedinstvo	L 0-1	46.7	1190	1066	56.15%	26.37%	17.48%	+0.78	-8.1	27
2022-11-26	@ Decic Tuzi	W 1-0	46.7	1066	1190	17.48%	26.37%	56.15%	-0.78	+8.2	22
2022-11-26	Mornar	W 2-1	46.0	1073	1081	38.43%	31.60%	29.97%	+0.14	+4.9	14
2022-11-26	@ Iskra	L 1-2	46.0	1081	1073	29.97%	31.60%	38.43%	-0.14	-4.9	16
2022-11-27	Jezero	W 2-1	39.8	1280	1125	59.90%	24.49%	15.61%	+0.92	+2.6	34
2022-11-27	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-2	39.8	1125	1280	15.61%	24.49%	59.90%	-0.92	-2.6	20
2022-11-27	Petrovac	W 2-0	28.5	1281	1079	65.40%	21.42%	13.17%	+1.15	+4.3	33
2022-11-27	@ Sutjeska	L 0-2	28.5	1079	1281	13.17%	21.42%	65.40%	-1.15	-4.3	24
2022-12-03	Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-2	40.7	1076	1282	17.20%	26.11%	56.70%	-0.80	-3.0	16
2022-12-03	@ Mornar	W 2-1	40.7	1282	1076	56.70%	26.11%	17.20%	+0.80	+3.0	37
2022-12-03	Decic Tuzi	D 0-0	46.6	1122	1182	31.23%	31.71%	37.05%	-0.10	+0.2	21
2022-12-03	@ Jezero	D 0-0	46.6	1182	1122	37.05%	31.71%	31.23%	+0.10	-0.2	28
2022-12-03	Iskra	W 1-0	40.2	1075	1078	39.21%	31.52%	29.27%	+0.17	+5.1	27
2022-12-03	@ Petrovac	L 0-1	40.2	1078	1075	29.27%	31.52%	39.21%	-0.17	-5.1	14
2022-12-03	Rudar	D 0-0	47.0	1074	1030	45.81%	30.25%	23.94%	+0.40	-0.8	23
2022-12-03	@ Jedinstvo	D 0-0	47.0	1030	1074	23.94%	30.25%	45.81%	-0.40	+0.8	19
2022-12-03	Sutjeska	D 2-2	58.3	1119	1285	20.08%	28.35%	51.57%	-0.61	+0.8	25
2022-12-03	@ Arsenal Tivat	D 2-2	58.3	1285	1119	51.57%	28.35%	20.08%	+0.61	-0.8	34
2022-12-07	Buducnost Podgorica	W 3-0	41.2	1073	1285	16.77%	25.70%	57.53%	-0.83	+22.7	17
2022-12-07	@ Iskra	L 0-3	41.2	1285	1073	57.53%	25.70%	16.77%	+0.83	-22.7	37
2022-12-07	Petrovac	D 1-1	51.8	1120	1080	45.23%	30.40%	24.37%	+0.38	-0.7	26
2022-12-07	@ Arsenal Tivat	D 1-1	51.8	1080	1120	24.37%	30.40%	45.23%	-0.38	+0.7	28
2022-12-07	Rudar	D 0-0	47.6	1123	1030	52.13%	28.13%	19.74%	+0.63	-1.2	22
2022-12-07	@ Jezero	D 0-0	47.6	1030	1123	19.74%	28.13%	52.13%	-0.63	+1.2	20
2022-12-07	Sutjeska	L 0-4	29.2	1073	1284	16.88%	25.81%	57.31%	-0.82	-11.0	23
2022-12-07	@ Jedinstvo	W 4-0	29.2	1284	1073	57.31%	25.81%	16.88%	+0.82	+11.0	37
2022-12-10	Decic Tuzi	W 1-0	44.3	1073	1182	25.38%	30.72%	43.90%	-0.33	+6.8	19
2022-12-10	@ Mornar	L 0-1	44.3	1182	1073	43.90%	30.72%	25.38%	+0.33	-6.8	28
2023-02-18	Buducnost Podgorica	D 1-1	52.8	1081	1263	18.83%	27.48%	53.69%	-0.69	+1.1	29
2023-02-18	@ Petrovac	D 1-1	52.8	1263	1081	53.69%	27.48%	18.83%	+0.69	-1.1	38
2023-02-18	Iskra	L 0-2	41.8	1175	1095	50.46%	28.77%	20.77%	+0.57	-14.2	28
2023-02-18	@ Decic Tuzi	W 2-0	41.8	1095	1175	20.77%	28.77%	50.46%	-0.57	+14.2	20
2023-02-18	Jedinstvo	W 1-0	37.7	1120	1062	47.50%	29.77%	22.73%	+0.46	+4.1	29
2023-02-18	@ Arsenal Tivat	L 0-1	37.7	1062	1120	22.73%	29.77%	47.50%	-0.46	-4.2	23
2023-02-18	Jezero	W 4-2	38.7	1295	1122	62.18%	23.26%	14.56%	+1.02	+3.8	40
2023-02-18	@ Sutjeska	L 2-4	38.7	1122	1295	14.56%	23.26%	62.18%	-1.02	-3.8	22
2023-02-18	Mornar	L 0-1	41.2	1031	1080	32.67%	31.79%	35.54%	-0.05	-5.5	20
2023-02-18	@ Rudar	W 1-0	41.2	1080	1031	35.54%	31.79%	32.67%	+0.05	+5.5	22
2023-02-23	Arsenal Tivat	W 1-0	40.3	1118	1124	38.78%	31.57%	29.66%	+0.16	+5.1	25
2023-02-23	@ Jezero	L 0-1	40.3	1124	1118	29.66%	31.57%	38.78%	-0.16	-5.1	29
2023-02-23	Decic Tuzi	W 1-0	36.2	1262	1161	53.21%	27.68%	19.10%	+0.67	+3.5	41
2023-02-23	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-1	36.2	1161	1262	19.10%	27.68%	53.21%	-0.67	-3.5	28
2023-02-23	Petrovac	W 2-1	46.7	1058	1082	36.29%	31.76%	31.95%	+0.07	+5.1	26
2023-02-23	@ Jedinstvo	L 1-2	46.7	1082	1058	31.95%	31.76%	36.29%	-0.07	-5.1	29
2023-02-23	Rudar	W 2-1	42.3	1110	1026	50.99%	28.57%	20.43%	+0.59	+3.5	23
2023-02-23	@ Iskra	L 1-2	42.3	1026	1110	20.43%	28.57%	50.99%	-0.59	-3.5	20
2023-02-23	Sutjeska	W 3-2	57.5	1086	1299	16.73%	25.67%	57.60%	-0.83	+7.4	25
2023-02-23	@ Mornar	L 2-3	57.5	1299	1086	57.60%	25.67%	16.73%	+0.83	-7.4	40
2023-02-28	Decic Tuzi	W 2-1	49.0	1077	1157	28.53%	31.41%	40.06%	-0.20	+6.0	32
2023-02-28	@ Petrovac	L 1-2	49.0	1157	1077	40.06%	31.41%	28.53%	+0.20	-6.0	28
2023-02-28	Iskra	W 2-1	39.0	1292	1113	62.73%	22.95%	14.32%	+1.04	+2.4	43
2023-02-28	@ Sutjeska	L 1-2	39.0	1113	1292	14.32%	22.95%	62.73%	-1.04	-2.4	23
2023-02-28	Mornar	D 0-0	46.8	1119	1093	43.17%	30.88%	25.95%	+0.31	-0.6	30
2023-02-28	@ Arsenal Tivat	D 0-0	46.8	1093	1119	25.95%	30.88%	43.17%	-0.31	+0.6	26
2023-03-04	Arsenal Tivat	L 0-1	43.0	1111	1118	38.60%	31.58%	29.82%	+0.15	-6.2	23
2023-03-04	@ Iskra	W 1-0	43.0	1118	1111	29.82%	31.58%	38.60%	-0.15	+6.2	33
2023-03-04	Jedinstvo	W 1-0	38.8	1094	1063	43.87%	30.73%	25.40%	+0.33	+4.6	29
2023-03-04	@ Mornar	L 0-1	38.8	1063	1094	25.40%	30.73%	43.87%	-0.33	-4.5	26
2023-03-04	Petrovac	D 1-1	51.8	1123	1083	45.22%	30.40%	24.37%	+0.38	-0.7	26
2023-03-04	@ Jezero	D 1-1	51.8	1083	1123	24.37%	30.40%	45.22%	-0.38	+0.7	33
2023-03-04	Rudar	W 1-0	34.9	1151	1022	56.74%	26.09%	17.17%	+0.80	+3.1	31
2023-03-04	@ Decic Tuzi	L 0-1	34.9	1022	1151	17.17%	26.09%	56.74%	-0.80	-3.1	20
2023-03-04	Sutjeska	D 1-1	52.1	1265	1294	35.50%	31.79%	32.71%	+0.05	-0.1	42
2023-03-04	@ Buducnost Podgorica	D 1-1	52.1	1294	1265	32.71%	31.79%	35.50%	-0.05	+0.1	44
2023-03-08	Buducnost Podgorica	D 1-1	52.2	1124	1265	22.18%	29.51%	48.31%	-0.49	+0.8	34
2023-03-08	@ Arsenal Tivat	D 1-1	52.2	1265	1124	48.31%	29.51%	22.18%	+0.49	-0.8	43
2023-03-08	Decic Tuzi	D 1-1	53.6	1294	1154	58.09%	25.42%	16.49%	+0.85	-1.4	45
2023-03-08	@ Sutjeska	D 1-1	53.6	1154	1294	16.49%	25.42%	58.09%	-0.85	+1.4	32
2023-03-08	Iskra	W 2-1	47.7	1059	1105	33.10%	31.80%	35.09%	-0.03	+5.5	29
2023-03-08	@ Jedinstvo	L 1-2	47.7	1105	1059	35.09%	31.80%	33.10%	+0.03	-5.5	23
2023-03-08	Mornar	D 0-0	46.8	1122	1098	42.96%	30.92%	26.12%	+0.30	-0.6	27
2023-03-08	@ Jezero	D 0-0	46.8	1098	1122	26.12%	30.92%	42.96%	-0.30	+0.6	30
2023-03-08	Rudar	L 2-3	55.7	1083	1019	48.41%	29.48%	22.11%	+0.49	-6.5	33
2023-03-08	@ Petrovac	W 3-2	55.7	1019	1083	22.11%	29.48%	48.41%	-0.49	+6.5	23
2023-03-12	Arsenal Tivat	D 0-0	46.9	1156	1125	43.91%	30.72%	25.37%	+0.33	-0.6	33
2023-03-12	@ Decic Tuzi	D 0-0	46.9	1125	1156	25.37%	30.72%	43.91%	-0.33	+0.6	35
2023-03-12	Jedinstvo	W 4-0	26.8	1264	1064	65.20%	21.54%	13.26%	+1.14	+8.2	46
2023-03-12	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-4	26.8	1064	1264	13.26%	21.54%	65.20%	-1.14	-8.2	29
2023-03-12	Petrovac	L 0-1	44.0	1099	1077	42.74%	30.96%	26.30%	+0.29	-6.7	30
2023-03-12	@ Mornar	W 1-0	44.0	1077	1099	26.30%	30.96%	42.74%	-0.29	+6.7	36
2023-03-12	Sutjeska	L 1-4	31.8	1026	1293	13.77%	22.24%	63.99%	-1.09	-5.5	23
2023-03-12	@ Rudar	W 4-1	31.8	1293	1026	63.99%	22.24%	13.77%	+1.09	+5.5	48
2023-03-13	Jezero	D 1-1	51.4	1099	1122	36.42%	31.75%	31.83%	+0.08	-0.1	24
2023-03-13	@ Iskra	D 1-1	51.4	1122	1099	31.83%	31.75%	36.42%	-0.08	+0.1	28
2023-03-18	Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-2	42.9	1122	1272	21.32%	29.08%	49.60%	-0.53	-3.7	28
2023-03-18	@ Jezero	W 2-1	42.9	1272	1122	49.60%	29.08%	21.32%	+0.53	+3.7	49
2023-03-18	Decic Tuzi	D 0-0	46.8	1056	1155	26.38%	30.98%	42.63%	-0.29	+0.6	30
2023-03-18	@ Jedinstvo	D 0-0	46.8	1155	1056	42.63%	30.98%	26.38%	+0.29	-0.6	34
2023-03-18	Iskra	D 0-0	46.6	1092	1099	38.68%	31.58%	29.74%	+0.15	-0.3	31
2023-03-18	@ Mornar	D 0-0	46.6	1099	1092	29.74%	31.58%	38.68%	-0.15	+0.3	25
2023-03-18	Rudar	L 0-1	46.3	1126	1020	53.80%	27.43%	18.77%	+0.69	-7.9	35
2023-03-18	@ Arsenal Tivat	W 1-0	46.3	1020	1126	18.77%	27.43%	53.80%	-0.69	+7.9	26
2023-03-18	Sutjeska	D 1-1	53.4	1083	1298	16.63%	25.57%	57.80%	-0.84	+1.4	37
2023-03-18	@ Petrovac	D 1-1	53.4	1298	1083	57.80%	25.57%	16.63%	+0.84	-1.4	49
2023-04-01	Arsenal Tivat	D 2-2	59.9	1297	1118	62.80%	22.91%	14.29%	+1.04	-1.2	50
2023-04-01	@ Sutjeska	D 2-2	59.9	1118	1297	14.29%	22.91%	62.80%	-1.04	+1.2	36
2023-04-01	Jedinstvo	L 1-2	47.8	1028	1057	35.57%	31.79%	32.64%	+0.05	-5.5	26
2023-04-01	@ Rudar	W 2-1	47.8	1057	1028	32.64%	31.79%	35.57%	-0.05	+5.5	33
2023-04-01	Jezero	D 1-1	51.8	1155	1118	44.69%	30.54%	24.77%	+0.36	-0.6	35
2023-04-01	@ Decic Tuzi	D 1-1	51.8	1118	1155	24.77%	30.54%	44.69%	-0.36	+0.6	29
2023-04-01	Mornar	W 2-0	29.1	1276	1092	63.37%	22.59%	14.04%	+1.07	+4.6	52
2023-04-01	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-2	29.1	1092	1276	14.04%	22.59%	63.37%	-1.07	-4.6	31
2023-04-01	Petrovac	D 2-2	57.2	1099	1085	41.67%	31.16%	27.17%	+0.25	-0.3	26
2023-04-01	@ Iskra	D 2-2	57.2	1085	1099	27.17%	31.16%	41.67%	-0.25	+0.3	38
2023-04-05	Arsenal Tivat	L 0-3	36.1	1085	1119	34.79%	31.81%	33.40%	+0.02	-15.8	38
2023-04-05	@ Petrovac	W 3-0	36.1	1119	1085	33.40%	31.81%	34.79%	-0.02	+15.8	39
2023-04-05	Iskra	W 3-0	27.3	1281	1099	63.11%	22.74%	14.15%	+1.05	+6.8	55
2023-04-05	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-3	27.3	1099	1281	14.15%	22.74%	63.11%	-1.05	-6.8	26
2023-04-05	Jedinstvo	L 3-4	61.4	1296	1062	68.94%	19.32%	11.74%	+1.30	-8.2	50
2023-04-05	@ Sutjeska	W 4-3	61.4	1062	1296	11.74%	19.32%	68.94%	-1.30	+8.2	36
2023-04-05	Jezero	D 0-0	46.8	1023	1119	26.71%	31.06%	42.22%	-0.27	+0.5	27
2023-04-05	@ Rudar	D 0-0	46.8	1119	1023	42.22%	31.06%	26.71%	+0.27	-0.5	30
2023-04-05	Mornar	D 1-1	52.2	1154	1087	48.75%	29.37%	21.88%	+0.50	-0.9	36
2023-04-05	@ Decic Tuzi	D 1-1	52.2	1087	1154	21.88%	29.37%	48.75%	-0.50	+0.9	32
2023-04-09	Arsenal Tivat	D 0-0	46.6	1070	1135	30.57%	31.66%	37.77%	-0.12	+0.2	37
2023-04-09	@ Jedinstvo	D 0-0	46.6	1135	1070	37.77%	31.66%	30.57%	+0.12	-0.2	40
2023-04-09	Decic Tuzi	L 1-3	42.5	1092	1153	31.03%	31.70%	37.27%	-0.11	-8.7	26
2023-04-09	@ Iskra	W 3-1	42.5	1153	1092	37.27%	31.70%	31.03%	+0.11	+8.7	39
2023-04-09	Petrovac	D 4-4	65.6	1287	1069	67.25%	20.33%	12.42%	+1.23	-1.0	56
2023-04-09	@ Buducnost Podgorica	D 4-4	65.6	1069	1287	12.42%	20.33%	67.25%	-1.23	+1.0	39
2023-04-09	Rudar	W 2-0	33.4	1088	1023	48.55%	29.44%	22.02%	+0.50	+7.6	35
2023-04-09	@ Mornar	L 0-2	33.4	1023	1088	22.02%	29.44%	48.55%	-0.50	-7.6	27
2023-04-09	Sutjeska	D 0-0	47.8	1118	1287	19.79%	28.16%	52.05%	-0.62	+1.2	31
2023-04-09	@ Jezero	D 0-0	47.8	1287	1118	52.05%	28.16%	19.79%	+0.62	-1.2	51
2023-04-15	Buducnost Podgorica	W 4-3	57.9	1162	1286	23.68%	30.16%	46.16%	-0.41	+6.1	42
2023-04-15	@ Decic Tuzi	L 3-4	57.9	1286	1162	46.16%	30.16%	23.68%	+0.41	-6.2	56
2023-04-15	Iskra	W 3-1	44.5	1016	1083	30.13%	31.62%	38.25%	-0.14	+10.0	30
2023-04-15	@ Rudar	L 1-3	44.5	1083	1016	38.25%	31.62%	30.13%	+0.14	-10.0	26
2023-04-15	Jedinstvo	L 2-3	53.7	1070	1071	39.59%	31.47%	28.94%	+0.18	-5.6	39
2023-04-15	@ Petrovac	W 3-2	53.7	1071	1070	28.94%	31.47%	39.59%	-0.18	+5.6	40
2023-04-15	Jezero	W 1-0	39.4	1134	1119	41.75%	31.15%	27.10%	+0.26	+4.8	43
2023-04-15	@ Arsenal Tivat	L 0-1	39.4	1119	1134	27.10%	31.15%	41.75%	-0.26	-4.8	31
2023-04-15	Mornar	W 4-1	31.8	1286	1096	64.13%	22.16%	13.71%	+1.10	+5.5	54
2023-04-15	@ Sutjeska	L 1-4	31.8	1096	1286	13.71%	22.16%	64.13%	-1.10	-5.5	35
2023-04-19	Buducnost Podgorica	D 1-1	54.1	1026	1280	14.39%	23.04%	62.57%	-1.03	+1.6	31
2023-04-19	@ Rudar	D 1-1	54.1	1280	1026	62.57%	23.04%	14.39%	+1.03	-1.6	57
2023-04-19	Jezero	W 2-1	47.3	1076	1115	34.15%	31.81%	34.03%	+0.00	+5.3	43
2023-04-19	@ Jedinstvo	L 1-2	47.3	1115	1076	34.03%	31.81%	34.15%	+0.00	-5.3	31
2023-04-23	Arsenal Tivat	L 0-1	41.3	1090	1139	32.65%	31.79%	35.57%	-0.05	-5.5	35
2023-04-23	@ Mornar	W 1-0	41.3	1139	1090	35.57%	31.79%	32.65%	+0.05	+5.5	46
2023-04-23	Jedinstvo	W 2-1	44.5	1109	1082	43.49%	30.81%	25.70%	+0.32	+4.3	34
2023-04-23	@ Jezero	L 1-2	44.5	1082	1109	25.70%	30.81%	43.49%	-0.32	-4.3	43
2023-04-23	Petrovac	W 3-0	30.1	1168	1065	53.52%	27.56%	18.93%	+0.68	+9.5	45
2023-04-23	@ Decic Tuzi	L 0-3	30.1	1065	1168	18.93%	27.56%	53.52%	-0.68	-9.5	39
2023-04-23	Rudar	W 2-1	36.4	1279	1027	70.84%	18.16%	11.00%	+1.39	+1.7	60
2023-04-23	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-2	36.4	1027	1279	11.00%	18.16%	70.84%	-1.39	-1.7	31
2023-04-23	Sutjeska	L 0-2	30.6	1073	1292	16.42%	25.35%	58.23%	-0.86	-5.6	26
2023-04-23	@ Iskra	W 2-0	30.6	1292	1073	58.23%	25.35%	16.42%	+0.86	+5.6	57
2023-04-29	Buducnost Podgorica	D 2-2	58.0	1297	1280	42.02%	31.10%	26.88%	+0.27	-0.4	58
2023-04-29	@ Sutjeska	D 2-2	58.0	1280	1297	26.88%	31.10%	42.02%	-0.27	+0.4	61
2023-04-29	Decic Tuzi	D 0-0	47.4	1026	1177	21.21%	29.02%	49.77%	-0.54	+1.0	32
2023-04-29	@ Rudar	D 0-0	47.4	1177	1026	49.77%	29.02%	21.21%	+0.54	-1.0	46
2023-04-29	Iskra	L 2-3	56.1	1145	1068	50.13%	28.89%	20.98%	+0.55	-6.7	46
2023-04-29	@ Arsenal Tivat	W 3-2	56.1	1068	1145	20.98%	28.89%	50.13%	-0.55	+6.7	29
2023-04-29	Jezero	W 1-0	42.5	1055	1114	31.37%	31.72%	36.91%	-0.09	+6.0	42
2023-04-29	@ Petrovac	L 0-1	42.5	1114	1055	36.91%	31.72%	31.37%	+0.09	-6.0	34
2023-04-29	Mornar	W 3-1	42.0	1077	1085	38.56%	31.59%	29.86%	+0.15	+8.4	46
2023-04-29	@ Jedinstvo	L 1-3	42.0	1085	1077	29.86%	31.59%	38.56%	-0.15	-8.4	35
2023-05-07	Arsenal Tivat	W 1-0	34.6	1281	1138	58.44%	25.25%	16.31%	+0.87	+3.0	64
2023-05-07	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-1	34.6	1138	1281	16.31%	25.25%	58.44%	-0.87	-3.0	46
2023-05-07	Jedinstvo	D 1-1	51.4	1074	1086	38.05%	31.64%	30.31%	+0.13	-0.2	30
2023-05-07	@ Iskra	D 1-1	51.4	1086	1074	30.31%	31.64%	38.05%	-0.13	+0.2	47
2023-05-07	Jezero	W 1-0	41.4	1076	1108	35.18%	31.80%	33.02%	+0.04	+5.6	38
2023-05-07	@ Mornar	L 0-1	41.4	1108	1076	33.02%	31.80%	35.18%	-0.04	-5.5	34
2023-05-07	Petrovac	W 4-2	46.7	1027	1061	34.70%	31.81%	33.49%	+0.02	+8.2	35
2023-05-07	@ Rudar	L 2-4	46.7	1061	1027	33.49%	31.81%	34.70%	-0.02	-8.2	42
2023-05-07	Sutjeska	L 0-3	32.8	1176	1297	24.08%	30.30%	45.62%	-0.39	-11.9	46
2023-05-07	@ Decic Tuzi	W 3-0	32.8	1297	1176	45.62%	30.30%	24.08%	+0.39	+11.9	61
2023-05-14	Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-3	37.0	1086	1284	17.73%	26.59%	55.68%	-0.76	-5.3	47
2023-05-14	@ Jedinstvo	W 3-1	37.0	1284	1086	55.68%	26.59%	17.73%	+0.76	+5.3	67
2023-05-14	Decic Tuzi	D 0-0	46.6	1135	1164	35.46%	31.79%	32.75%	+0.05	-0.1	47
2023-05-14	@ Arsenal Tivat	D 0-0	46.6	1164	1135	32.75%	31.79%	35.46%	-0.05	+0.1	47
2023-05-14	Iskra	W 2-0	34.9	1102	1074	43.50%	30.81%	25.69%	+0.32	+8.7	37
2023-05-14	@ Jezero	L 0-2	34.9	1074	1102	25.69%	30.81%	43.50%	-0.32	-8.7	30
2023-05-14	Mornar	L 0-1	42.1	1053	1082	35.51%	31.79%	32.70%	+0.05	-5.8	42
2023-05-14	@ Petrovac	W 1-0	42.1	1082	1053	32.70%	31.79%	35.51%	-0.05	+5.8	41
2023-05-14	Rudar	W 2-1	35.7	1309	1035	73.18%	16.71%	10.10%	+1.50	+1.5	64
2023-05-14	@ Sutjeska	L 1-2	35.7	1035	1309	10.10%	16.71%	73.18%	-1.50	-1.5	35
2023-05-21	Arsenal Tivat	L 1-2	44.7	1033	1135	26.07%	30.91%	43.02%	-0.30	-4.4	35
2023-05-21	@ Rudar	W 2-1	44.7	1135	1033	43.02%	30.91%	26.07%	+0.30	+4.4	50
2023-05-21	Jedinstvo	W 2-0	32.7	1164	1081	51.04%	28.56%	20.41%	+0.59	+7.1	50
2023-05-21	@ Decic Tuzi	L 0-2	32.7	1081	1164	20.41%	28.56%	51.04%	-0.59	-7.1	47
2023-05-21	Jezero	L 1-3	49.5	1289	1111	62.71%	22.96%	14.33%	+1.04	-14.4	67
2023-05-21	@ Buducnost Podgorica	W 3-1	49.5	1111	1289	14.33%	22.96%	62.71%	-1.04	+14.4	40
2023-05-21	Mornar	D 1-1	51.4	1066	1088	36.48%	31.75%	31.77%	+0.08	-0.1	31
2023-05-21	@ Iskra	D 1-1	51.4	1088	1066	31.77%	31.75%	36.48%	-0.08	+0.1	42
2023-05-21	Petrovac	W 2-1	36.1	1311	1047	72.08%	17.40%	10.52%	+1.44	+1.6	67
2023-05-21	@ Sutjeska	L 1-2	36.1	1047	1311	10.52%	17.40%	72.08%	-1.44	-1.6	42
2023-05-25	Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-1	35.8	1088	1275	18.50%	27.22%	54.28%	-0.71	-3.4	42
2023-05-25	@ Mornar	W 1-0	35.8	1275	1088	54.28%	27.22%	18.50%	+0.71	+3.4	70
2023-05-25	Decic Tuzi	W 2-1	47.7	1125	1172	33.00%	31.80%	35.20%	-0.04	+5.5	43
2023-05-25	@ Jezero	L 1-2	47.7	1172	1125	35.20%	31.80%	33.00%	+0.04	-5.5	50
2023-05-25	Iskra	W 4-1	39.9	1046	1065	36.80%	31.73%	31.47%	+0.09	+12.4	45
2023-05-25	@ Petrovac	L 1-4	39.9	1065	1046	31.47%	31.73%	36.80%	-0.09	-12.4	31
2023-05-25	Rudar	L 3-4	57.6	1074	1029	45.81%	30.25%	23.94%	+0.40	-6.1	47
2023-05-25	@ Jedinstvo	W 4-3	57.6	1029	1074	23.94%	30.25%	45.81%	-0.40	+6.1	38
2023-05-25	Sutjeska	L 0-1	36.5	1139	1312	19.53%	27.98%	52.49%	-0.64	-3.6	50
2023-05-25	@ Arsenal Tivat	W 1-0	36.5	1312	1139	52.49%	27.98%	19.53%	+0.64	+3.6	70

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2023-04-05	11.74%	Jedinstvo	1062	4	@ Sutjeska	1296	3
2	2023-05-21	14.33%	Jezero	1111	3	@ Buducnost Podgorica	1289	1
3	2022-10-02	14.63%	Iskra	1100	1	@ Buducnost Podgorica	1273	0
4	2023-02-23	16.73%	@ Mornar	1086	3	Sutjeska	1299	2
5	2022-12-07	16.77%	@ Iskra	1073	3	Buducnost Podgorica	1285	0
6	2022-11-26	17.48%	Jedinstvo	1066	1	@ Decic Tuzi	1190	0
7	2022-10-21	18.07%	Jedinstvo	1038	2	@ Jezero	1153	0
8	2022-07-31	18.36%	@ Petrovac	1072	4	Buducnost Podgorica	1260	2
9	2023-03-18	18.77%	Rudar	1020	1	@ Arsenal Tivat	1126	0
10	2022-09-11	19.50%	Rudar	1028	2	@ Arsenal Tivat	1124	0
11	2022-08-06	20.05%	@ Mornar	1089	2	Sutjeska	1255	1
12	2022-09-03	20.61%	Arsenal Tivat	1113	4	@ Decic Tuzi	1194	2
13	2023-02-18	20.77%	Iskra	1095	2	@ Decic Tuzi	1175	0
14	2023-04-29	20.98%	Iskra	1068	3	@ Arsenal Tivat	1145	2
15	2022-07-23	21.08%	Petrovac	1058	2	@ Arsenal Tivat	1133	0
16	2023-03-08	22.11%	Rudar	1019	3	@ Petrovac	1083	2
17	2022-08-07	22.13%	Decic Tuzi	1185	2	@ Buducnost Podgorica	1249	0
18	2022-10-09	22.66%	@ Jezero	1146	1	Sutjeska	1281	0
19	2022-10-01	23.44%	@ Rudar	1025	2	Jezero	1152	1
20	2023-04-15	23.68%	@ Decic Tuzi	1162	4	Buducnost Podgorica	1286	3
21	2023-05-25	23.94%	Rudar	1029	4	@ Jedinstvo	1074	3
22	2022-09-17	24.85%	Petrovac	1071	2	@ Iskra	1107	1
23	2022-12-10	25.38%	@ Mornar	1073	1	Decic Tuzi	1182	0
24	2022-11-06	26.02%	Jedinstvo	1058	3	@ Iskra	1083	1
25	2023-03-12	26.30%	Petrovac	1077	1	@ Mornar	1099	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2022-12-07	22.72	@ Iskra	3	1073	16.77%	Buducnost Podgorica	0	1285	57.53%	25.70%
2	2022-09-17	17.93	Jedinstvo	3	1028	27.08%	@ Rudar	0	1043	41.77%	31.14%
3	2023-04-05	15.75	Arsenal Tivat	3	1119	33.40%	@ Petrovac	0	1085	34.79%	31.81%
4	2022-08-28	15.69	Buducnost Podgorica	4	1247	45.36%	@ Arsenal Tivat	0	1129	24.27%	30.37%
5	2022-10-21	15.14	Jedinstvo	2	1038	18.07%	@ Jezero	0	1153	55.05%	26.88%
6	2022-09-11	14.63	Rudar	2	1028	19.50%	@ Arsenal Tivat	0	1124	52.53%	27.97%
7	2023-05-21	14.40	Jezero	3	1111	14.33%	@ Buducnost Podgorica	1	1289	62.71%	22.96%
8	2023-02-18	14.20	Iskra	2	1095	20.77%	@ Decic Tuzi	0	1175	50.46%	28.77%
9	2022-07-23	14.10	Petrovac	2	1058	21.08%	@ Arsenal Tivat	0	1133	49.97%	28.95%
10	2022-08-07	13.76	Decic Tuzi	2	1185	22.13%	@ Buducnost Podgorica	0	1249	48.37%	29.49%
11	2022-10-30	12.85	@ Arsenal Tivat	3	1118	42.70%	Iskra	0	1096	26.32%	30.97%
12	2022-09-10	12.82	Sutjeska	4	1257	52.52%	@ Petrovac	0	1084	19.50%	27.97%
13	2023-05-25	12.39	@ Petrovac	4	1046	36.80%	Iskra	1	1065	31.47%	31.73%
14	2022-07-30	12.09	@ Decic Tuzi	3	1173	45.13%	Iskra	0	1133	24.44%	30.43%
15	2022-08-27	12.06	@ Sutjeska	3	1246	45.20%	Decic Tuzi	0	1206	24.39%	30.41%
16	2023-05-07	11.94	Sutjeska	3	1297	45.62%	@ Decic Tuzi	0	1176	24.08%	30.30%
17	2022-07-31	11.65	@ Petrovac	4	1072	18.36%	Buducnost Podgorica	2	1260	54.53%	27.11%
18	2022-09-03	11.04	Arsenal Tivat	4	1113	20.61%	@ Decic Tuzi	2	1194	50.71%	28.68%
19	2022-12-07	10.99	Sutjeska	4	1284	57.31%	@ Jedinstvo	0	1073	16.88%	25.81%
20	2022-11-06	10.93	Jedinstvo	3	1058	26.02%	@ Iskra	1	1083	43.09%	30.89%
21	2022-10-15	10.28	@ Rudar	3	1032	28.96%	Iskra	1	1109	39.56%	31.47%
22	2022-08-20	10.07	@ Buducnost Podgorica	2	1238	37.02%	Sutjeska	0	1257	31.26%	31.72%
23	2023-04-15	10.04	@ Rudar	3	1016	30.13%	Iskra	1	1083	38.25%	31.62%
24	2022-07-31	9.88	@ Sutjeska	3	1245	52.32%	Jezero	0	1151	19.63%	28.05%
25	2023-04-23	9.52	@ Decic Tuzi	3	1168	53.52%	Petrovac	0	1065	18.93%	27.56%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2023-04-09	65.6	@ Buducnost Podgorica	4	1287	67.25%	Petrovac	4	1069	12.42%	20.33%
2	2022-10-09	63.6	@ Buducnost Podgorica	3	1264	64.28%	Petrovac	3	1072	13.65%	22.07%
3	2023-04-05	61.4	Jedinstvo	4	1062	11.74%	@ Sutjeska	3	1296	68.94%	19.32%
4	2023-04-01	59.9	@ Sutjeska	2	1297	62.80%	Arsenal Tivat	2	1118	14.29%	22.91%
5	2022-12-03	58.3	@ Arsenal Tivat	2	1119	20.08%	Sutjeska	2	1285	51.57%	28.35%
6	2023-04-29	58.0	@ Sutjeska	2	1297	42.02%	Buducnost Podgorica	2	1280	26.88%	31.10%
7	2023-04-15	57.9	@ Decic Tuzi	4	1162	23.68%	Buducnost Podgorica	3	1286	46.16%	30.16%
8	2022-08-20	57.7	@ Mornar	2	1092	48.09%	Jedinstvo	2	1030	22.32%	29.58%
9	2022-08-20	57.7	@ Jezero	2	1151	48.04%	Petrovac	2	1089	22.36%	29.60%
10	2023-05-25	57.6	Rudar	4	1029	23.94%	@ Jedinstvo	3	1074	45.81%	30.25%
11	2022-10-09	57.5	@ Mornar	2	1079	46.18%	Rudar	2	1032	23.67%	30.15%
12	2023-02-23	57.5	@ Mornar	3	1086	16.73%	Sutjeska	2	1299	57.60%	25.67%
13	2022-08-16	57.4	@ Petrovac	2	1089	25.20%	Decic Tuzi	2	1199	44.13%	30.67%
14	2023-04-01	57.2	@ Iskra	2	1099	41.67%	Petrovac	2	1085	27.17%	31.16%
15	2022-10-09	57.1	@ Jedinstvo	2	1037	29.17%	Arsenal Tivat	2	1112	39.33%	31.50%
16	2023-04-29	56.1	Iskra	3	1068	20.98%	@ Arsenal Tivat	2	1145	50.13%	28.89%
17	2023-03-08	55.7	Rudar	3	1019	22.11%	@ Petrovac	2	1083	48.41%	29.48%
18	2022-10-16	54.5	@ Sutjeska	1	1274	64.69%	Mornar	1	1079	13.47%	21.84%
19	2023-04-19	54.1	@ Rudar	1	1026	14.39%	Buducnost Podgorica	1	1280	62.57%	23.04%
20	2023-04-15	53.7	Jedinstvo	3	1071	28.94%	@ Petrovac	2	1070	39.59%	31.47%
21	2023-03-08	53.6	@ Sutjeska	1	1294	58.09%	Decic Tuzi	1	1154	16.49%	25.42%
22	2023-03-18	53.4	@ Petrovac	1	1083	16.63%	Sutjeska	1	1298	57.80%	25.57%
23	2022-08-20	53.3	Arsenal Tivat	3	1123	30.38%	@ Iskra	2	1111	37.98%	31.64%
24	2022-07-23	53.1	@ Jedinstvo	1	1043	17.36%	Sutjeska	1	1247	56.38%	26.26%
25	2022-10-22	53.0	@ Decic Tuzi	1	1192	55.56%	Petrovac	1	1073	17.79%	26.64%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2022-11-12	25.5	@ Sutjeska	4	1274	69.42%	Rudar	0	1036	11.55%	19.03%
2	2022-09-04	25.7	@ Buducnost Podgorica	3	1263	68.13%	Jedinstvo	0	1037	12.06%	19.81%
3	2022-10-01	26.8	@ Sutjeska	5	1272	68.18%	Jedinstvo	0	1046	12.04%	19.78%
4	2023-03-12	26.8	@ Buducnost Podgorica	4	1264	65.20%	Jedinstvo	0	1064	13.26%	21.54%
5	2023-04-05	27.3	@ Buducnost Podgorica	3	1281	63.11%	Iskra	0	1099	14.15%	22.74%
6	2022-11-27	28.5	@ Sutjeska	2	1281	65.40%	Petrovac	0	1079	13.17%	21.42%
7	2023-04-01	29.1	@ Buducnost Podgorica	2	1276	63.37%	Mornar	0	1092	14.04%	22.59%
8	2022-12-07	29.2	Sutjeska	4	1284	57.31%	@ Jedinstvo	0	1073	16.88%	25.81%
9	2022-08-16	29.3	@ Sutjeska	3	1248	56.62%	Iskra	0	1120	17.23%	26.14%
10	2022-09-17	29.3	@ Buducnost Podgorica	2	1268	62.71%	Mornar	0	1090	14.33%	22.96%
11	2023-04-23	30.1	@ Decic Tuzi	3	1168	53.52%	Petrovac	0	1065	18.93%	27.56%
12	2022-07-31	30.6	@ Sutjeska	3	1245	52.32%	Jezero	0	1151	19.63%	28.05%
13	2022-09-10	30.6	Sutjeska	4	1257	52.52%	@ Petrovac	0	1084	19.50%	27.97%
14	2023-04-23	30.6	Sutjeska	2	1292	58.23%	@ Iskra	0	1073	16.42%	25.35%
15	2022-11-06	30.7	@ Buducnost Podgorica	2	1271	58.17%	Arsenal Tivat	0	1131	16.45%	25.38%
16	2022-08-21	31.5	@ Decic Tuzi	5	1198	61.08%	Rudar	1	1034	15.06%	23.86%
17	2023-03-12	31.8	Sutjeska	4	1293	63.99%	@ Rudar	1	1026	13.77%	22.24%
18	2023-04-15	31.8	@ Sutjeska	4	1286	64.13%	Mornar	1	1096	13.71%	22.16%
19	2022-07-30	32.6	@ Decic Tuzi	3	1173	45.13%	Iskra	0	1133	24.44%	30.43%
20	2023-05-21	32.7	@ Decic Tuzi	2	1164	51.04%	Jedinstvo	0	1081	20.41%	28.56%
21	2022-08-27	32.8	@ Sutjeska	3	1246	45.20%	Decic Tuzi	0	1206	24.39%	30.41%
22	2022-08-28	32.8	Buducnost Podgorica	4	1247	45.36%	@ Arsenal Tivat	0	1129	24.27%	30.37%
23	2023-05-07	32.8	Sutjeska	3	1297	45.62%	@ Decic Tuzi	0	1176	24.08%	30.30%
24	2022-10-30	33.3	@ Arsenal Tivat	3	1118	42.70%	Iskra	0	1096	26.32%	30.97%
25	2023-04-09	33.4	@ Mornar	2	1088	48.55%	Rudar	0	1023	22.02%	29.44%