2021-22 Montenegrin First League Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Sutjeska

75 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Mornar

20.65 points above expected

50 points · 29.35 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Podgorica

6.38 points below expected

34 points · 40.38 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Sutjeska	36	22	9	5	75	64	29	+35	70.46	+4.54
2	Buducnost Podgorica	36	20	7	9	67	78	45	+33	68.20	-1.20
3	Decic Tuzi	36	15	11	10	56	54	44	+10	57.20	-1.20
4	Iskra	36	15	6	15	51	48	45	+3	56.32	-5.32
5	Mornar	36	13	11	12	50	35	39	-4	29.35	+20.65
6	Jezero	36	14	6	16	48	42	46	-4	43.52	+4.48
7	Petrovac	36	10	13	13	43	47	60	-13	47.16	-4.16
8	Rudar	36	9	9	18	36	35	56	-21	41.61	-5.61
9	Podgorica	36	8	10	18	34	38	61	-23	40.38	-6.38
10	Zeta	36	8	10	18	34	36	52	-16	39.72	-5.72

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Mornar	50	29.35	+20.65
2	Sutjeska	75	70.46	+4.54
3	Jezero	48	43.52	+4.48
4	Buducnost Podgorica	67	68.20	-1.20
5	Decic Tuzi	56	57.20	-1.20

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Podgorica	34	40.38	-6.38
2	Zeta	34	39.72	-5.72
3	Rudar	36	41.61	-5.61
4	Iskra	51	56.32	-5.32
5	Petrovac	43	47.16	-4.16

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Mornar	4	Apr 16 – May 8	1 in 209
2	Jezero	4	Mar 20 – Apr 10	1 in 158
3	Decic Tuzi	4	Apr 24 – May 14	1 in 148
4	Rudar	4	Aug 29 – Sep 25	1 in 38
5	Podgorica	3	Nov 5 – Nov 28	1 in 22

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Podgorica	4	Jul 25 – Aug 14	1 in 80
2	Rudar	5	Mar 13 – Apr 10	1 in 59
3	Jezero	4	Aug 8 – Aug 28	1 in 49
4	Decic Tuzi	2	Sep 11 – Sep 19	1 in 31
5	Sutjeska	2	May 8 – May 14	1 in 21

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Mornar	5	Jul 24 – Aug 21	1 in 97
2	Decic Tuzi	11	Sep 25 – Dec 8	1 in 46
3	Jezero	7	Mar 5 – Apr 10	1 in 34
4	Podgorica	5	Nov 5 – Dec 5	1 in 18
5	Zeta	5	Apr 30 – May 24	1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Zeta	15	Jul 24 – Nov 20	1 in 203
2	Sutjeska	5	Nov 6 – Dec 5	1 in 62
3	Petrovac	8	Mar 5 – Apr 16	1 in 48
4	Decic Tuzi	6	Aug 21 – Oct 3	1 in 45
5	Rudar	8	Mar 1 – Apr 10	1 in 19

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Sutjeska	1324	75	-57	4	10.1	-6.1
Buducnost Podgorica	1343	67	+5	7	9.4	-2.4
Decic Tuzi	1208	56	+5	9	7.6	+1.4
Iskra	1158	51	-14	6	7.8	-1.8
Mornar	1110	50	+80	12	4.4	+7.6
Jezero	1177	48	+21	10	7.9	+2.1
Petrovac	1043	43	-75	1	4.6	-3.6
Rudar	1009	36	-30	4	5.9	-1.9
Zeta	1151	34	+48	11	6.4	+4.6
Podgorica	1040	34	+17	7	4.5	+2.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BP	DT	ISK	JEZ	MOR	PET	POD	RUD	SUT	ZET
Buducnost Podgorica	—	1-1-2 6.70	2-0-2 6.69	1-0-3 8.22	3-1-0 9.06	4-0-0 7.54	4-0-0 8.27	2-1-1 8.02	1-2-1 4.64	2-2-0 8.37
Decic Tuzi	2-1-1 4.25	—	3-1-0 5.53	1-1-2 7.03	2-0-2 8.31	1-2-1 7.13	0-3-1 7.65	1-1-2 7.25	2-1-1 3.70	3-1-0 7.10
Iskra	2-0-2 4.25	0-1-3 5.39	—	1-0-3 6.99	2-1-1 8.07	4-0-0 6.13	2-1-1 7.50	3-1-0 6.85	0-1-3 3.39	1-1-2 7.40
Jezero	3-0-1 2.82	2-1-1 3.92	3-0-1 3.97	—	0-2-2 6.82	0-0-4 5.11	2-0-2 5.65	2-1-1 6.03	0-0-4 2.78	2-2-0 5.93
Mornar	0-1-3 2.09	2-0-2 2.74	1-1-2 2.95	2-2-0 4.13	—	1-2-1 3.23	2-2-0 3.80	1-1-2 4.34	1-1-2 1.99	3-1-0 4.15
Petrovac	0-0-4 3.45	1-2-1 3.84	0-0-4 4.79	4-0-0 5.81	1-2-1 7.78	—	2-2-0 6.07	1-2-1 6.36	1-3-0 2.69	0-2-2 6.66
Podgorica	0-0-4 2.77	1-3-0 3.35	1-1-2 3.48	2-0-2 5.27	0-2-2 7.15	0-2-2 4.87	—	2-1-1 5.11	0-0-4 2.95	2-1-1 5.49
Rudar	1-1-2 3.00	2-1-1 3.71	0-1-3 4.10	1-1-2 4.91	2-1-1 6.60	1-2-1 4.57	1-1-2 5.81	—	0-1-3 2.52	1-0-3 5.86
Sutjeska	1-2-1 6.29	1-1-2 7.28	3-1-0 7.59	4-0-0 8.26	2-1-1 9.18	0-3-1 8.37	4-0-0 8.08	3-1-0 8.57	—	4-0-0 8.38
Zeta	0-2-2 2.68	0-1-3 3.87	2-1-1 3.57	0-2-2 5.00	0-1-3 6.80	2-2-0 4.29	1-1-2 5.44	3-0-1 5.08	0-0-4 2.69	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.72	+8.3
Allowed	0.70	-11.7
Differential	0.96	+6.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.22%	9.17%	6.67%	2.78%	1.11%	0.28%	27.22%
1	9.17%	11.11%	9.17%	3.33%	0.56%	0.83%	34.17%
2	6.67%	9.17%	5.56%	1.39%	1.67%	—	24.44%
3	2.78%	3.33%	1.39%	1.11%	0.28%	—	8.89%
4	1.11%	0.56%	1.67%	0.28%	0.56%	—	4.17%
5+	0.28%	0.83%	—	—	—	—	1.11%
Total	27.22%	34.17%	24.44%	8.89%	4.17%	1.11%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	1.32	+0.00
SD	1.17	1.17	1.68
CV	0.88	0.88	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
1	—	5.56%	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
2	11.11%	19.44%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	41.67%
3	5.56%	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
4	—	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
Total	22.22%	38.89%	30.56%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.17	1.25	+0.92
SD	1.40	0.91	1.76
CV	0.65	0.73	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	8.33%	13.89%	11.11%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	8.33%	19.44%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	38.89%
3	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	—	—	5.56%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	38.89%	22.22%	5.56%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.22	+0.28
SD	1.03	1.10	1.34
CV	0.69	0.90	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	30.56%
1	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	—	33.33%
2	8.33%	2.78%	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	16.67%
3	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	11.11%
4	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	33.33%	13.89%	13.89%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.33	1.25	+0.08
SD	1.26	1.23	1.79
CV	0.95	0.98	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	8.33%	16.67%	—	—	—	36.11%
1	11.11%	2.78%	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	30.56%
2	—	13.89%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	19.44%
3	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	30.56%	38.89%	2.78%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.17	1.28	-0.11
SD	1.18	0.97	1.49
CV	1.01	0.76	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	—	33.33%
1	19.44%	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	—	44.44%
2	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	13.89%
3	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.56%	38.89%	25.00%	2.78%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	1.08	-0.11
SD	0.91	0.97	1.43
CV	0.94	0.89	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	30.56%
1	2.78%	16.67%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	27.78%
2	5.56%	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	27.78%
3	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.44%	36.11%	22.22%	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.31	1.67	-0.36
SD	1.17	1.43	1.78
CV	0.89	0.86	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	13.89%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	27.78%
1	8.33%	11.11%	13.89%	8.33%	—	2.78%	44.44%
2	—	11.11%	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	22.22%
3	—	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.89%	36.11%	27.78%	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.06	1.69	-0.64
SD	0.86	1.21	1.36
CV	0.81	0.72	—
Max	3	5	+1
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	11.11%	8.33%	13.89%	—	—	38.89%
1	11.11%	13.89%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	36.11%
2	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
3	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	—	5.56%
4	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.44%	33.33%	22.22%	22.22%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	1.56	-0.58
SD	1.03	1.13	1.50
CV	1.06	0.73	—
Max	4	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
1	13.89%	13.89%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	33.33%
2	22.22%	5.56%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	33.33%
3	8.33%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	52.78%	27.78%	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.78	0.81	+0.97
SD	1.22	1.09	1.72
CV	0.69	1.35	—
Max	6	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	16.67%	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	38.89%
1	5.56%	8.33%	13.89%	2.78%	—	5.56%	36.11%
2	5.56%	—	8.33%	—	—	—	13.89%
3	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	27.78%	33.33%	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.44	-0.44
SD	1.07	1.40	1.80
CV	1.07	0.97	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Buducnost Podgorica	1343	67	68.20	-1.20	45.0%	46	55	64	68	74	78	87
Sutjeska	1324	75	70.46	+4.54	74.0%	46	56	66	71	76	81	86
Decic Tuzi	1208	56	57.20	-1.20	49.0%	43	46	53	57	62	68	71
Jezero	1177	48	43.52	+4.48	74.0%	23	30	37	43	49	57	65
Iskra	1158	51	56.32	-5.32	18.0%	35	46	52	56	61	66	69
Zeta	1151	34	39.72	-5.72	24.0%	23	26	35	40	44	52	60
Mornar	1110	50	29.35	+20.65	100.0%	18	20	24	29	34	40	45
Petrovac	1043	43	47.16	-4.16	34.0%	29	34	42	48	52	60	67
Podgorica	1040	34	40.38	-6.38	22.0%	23	28	36	40	46	51	56
Rudar	1009	36	41.61	-5.61	27.0%	26	31	36	41	47	52	61

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+7.78%

No Edge

41.11%25.56%33.33%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 27.08 Elo pts.

268 Elo

0.004 goals per Elo point

0800

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.23 goals

Neutral

-2+0.10+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.3

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

56%

Sutjeska, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.22/gm

Comfortable

00.210.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.83 * Some Luck: 5.83 to 8.74 * Lucky: 8.74 to 11.65 * Wild Swing: 11.65 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.89 * Close: 0.89 to 1.34 * Off: 1.34 to 1.78 * Way Off: 1.78 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

7.88 points

Some Luck

07.2818

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.00

01.122.5

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

100.00%

Mornar

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

18.00%

Iskra

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.15

Even

00.130.20.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 113.73

1.75

Moderate Separation

0.751.51.82.153

Interquartile Edge

69%

Clear Edge

50%63.5%74.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

87%

Clear Edge

50%90%100%

Close Games

Expected

66%

Very Frequent

0%63%100%

Blowouts

Expected

11%

Rare

0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.64

Hard to Predict

00.602

Matchup Imbalance

0.40

Slight Separation

00.340.420.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.42

Chaotic

01.002

Repeatability

0.52

Some Carryover

00.380.570.71

Upset Rate

Expected

29%

Very Upset-Prone

0%22%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

26%

Very Shaky

0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.

Probability calibration

0.03

Miscalibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.53

Overconfident

0.3825711.001.61743

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.144

Near Noise Ceiling

00.1270.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Sutjeska	56.00%	32.00%	5.00%	5.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Buducnost Podgorica	34.00%	50.00%	7.00%	6.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—
Decic Tuzi	7.00%	8.00%	34.00%	28.00%	15.00%	3.00%	5.00%	—	—	—
Iskra	3.00%	6.00%	38.00%	32.00%	13.00%	5.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—
Mornar	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	6.00%	9.00%	23.00%	61.00%
Jezero	—	—	5.00%	7.00%	13.00%	25.00%	14.00%	13.00%	17.00%	6.00%
Petrovac	—	3.00%	8.00%	13.00%	24.00%	15.00%	17.00%	13.00%	5.00%	2.00%
Rudar	—	—	2.00%	5.00%	14.00%	14.00%	17.00%	24.00%	20.00%	4.00%
Podgorica	—	1.00%	—	2.00%	7.00%	24.00%	18.00%	20.00%	18.00%	10.00%
Zeta	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	12.00%	10.00%	22.00%	20.00%	16.00%	17.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Buducnost Podgorica	100%	—	—
Decic Tuzi	100%	—	—
Iskra	98.00%	2.00%	—
Sutjeska	100%	—	—
Petrovac	80.00%	18.00%	2.00%
Rudar	52.00%	44.00%	4.00%
Jezero	64.00%	30.00%	6.00%
Podgorica	52.00%	38.00%	10.00%
Zeta	47.00%	36.00%	17.00%
Mornar	7.00%	32.00%	61.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2021-07-24	Jezero	W 2-0	34.4	1187	1140	46.49%	26.68%	26.83%	+0.27	+17.9	3
2021-07-24	@ Iskra	L 0-2	34.4	1140	1187	26.83%	26.68%	46.49%	-0.27	-17.8	0
2021-07-24	Mornar	L 0-1	47.9	1121	933	62.12%	23.73%	14.15%	+0.81	-18.5	0
2021-07-24	@ Petrovac	W 1-0	47.9	933	1121	14.15%	23.73%	62.12%	-0.81	+18.5	3
2021-07-24	Zeta	W 2-0	36.2	1174	1172	40.50%	27.04%	32.46%	+0.11	+20.7	3
2021-07-24	@ Decic Tuzi	L 0-2	36.2	1172	1174	32.46%	27.04%	40.50%	-0.11	-20.7	0
2021-07-25	Podgorica	W 1-0	37.3	1257	1179	50.33%	26.26%	23.41%	+0.39	+8.5	3
2021-07-25	@ Sutjeska	L 0-1	37.3	1179	1257	23.41%	26.26%	50.33%	-0.39	-8.5	0
2021-07-31	Decic Tuzi	D 0-0	48.1	1122	1194	30.31%	26.94%	42.74%	-0.17	+0.9	1
2021-07-31	@ Jezero	D 0-0	48.1	1194	1122	42.74%	26.94%	30.31%	+0.17	-0.9	4
2021-07-31	Iskra	D 0-0	48.1	1132	1204	30.34%	26.94%	42.72%	-0.17	+0.9	1
2021-07-31	@ Rudar	D 0-0	48.1	1204	1132	42.72%	26.94%	30.34%	+0.17	-0.9	4
2021-07-31	Mornar	D 1-1	55.0	1268	951	72.50%	19.54%	7.96%	+1.29	-4.7	1
2021-07-31	@ Buducnost Podgorica	D 1-1	55.0	951	1268	7.96%	19.54%	72.50%	-1.29	+4.7	4
2021-07-31	Petrovac	L 1-3	46.8	1171	1103	49.24%	26.40%	24.37%	+0.36	-24.8	0
2021-07-31	@ Podgorica	W 3-1	46.8	1103	1171	24.37%	26.40%	49.24%	-0.36	+24.7	3
2021-08-02	Sutjeska	L 0-4	32.0	1152	1265	25.32%	26.52%	48.16%	-0.32	-32.3	0
2021-08-02	@ Zeta	W 4-0	32.0	1265	1152	48.16%	26.52%	25.32%	+0.32	+32.3	6
2021-08-07	Buducnost Podgorica	W 2-1	48.6	1204	1264	31.89%	27.02%	41.10%	-0.12	+12.3	7
2021-08-07	@ Iskra	L 1-2	48.6	1264	1204	41.10%	27.02%	31.89%	+0.12	-12.3	1
2021-08-07	Podgorica	W 3-1	48.7	956	1146	17.95%	25.10%	56.96%	-0.61	+28.1	7
2021-08-07	@ Mornar	L 1-3	48.7	1146	956	56.96%	25.10%	17.95%	+0.61	-28.1	0
2021-08-07	Rudar	W 3-0	31.9	1194	1133	48.24%	26.51%	25.25%	+0.33	+24.7	7
2021-08-07	@ Decic Tuzi	L 0-3	31.9	1133	1194	25.25%	26.51%	48.24%	-0.33	-24.7	1
2021-08-07	Zeta	D 2-2	58.6	1128	1119	41.44%	27.00%	31.55%	+0.13	-0.5	4
2021-08-07	@ Petrovac	D 2-2	58.6	1119	1128	31.55%	27.00%	41.44%	-0.13	+0.5	1
2021-08-08	Jezero	W 2-0	30.2	1298	1123	60.76%	24.13%	15.11%	+0.75	+10.8	9
2021-08-08	@ Sutjeska	L 0-2	30.2	1123	1298	15.11%	24.13%	60.76%	-0.75	-10.8	1
2021-08-14	Decic Tuzi	L 0-1	42.5	1216	1218	39.95%	27.05%	32.99%	+0.09	-12.8	7
2021-08-14	@ Iskra	W 1-0	42.5	1218	1216	32.99%	27.05%	39.95%	-0.09	+12.8	10
2021-08-14	Mornar	L 0-1	46.7	1120	984	56.90%	25.11%	17.99%	+0.61	-17.2	1
2021-08-14	@ Zeta	W 1-0	46.7	984	1120	17.99%	25.11%	56.90%	-0.61	+17.2	10
2021-08-14	Petrovac	L 1-2	47.5	1112	1127	38.23%	27.09%	34.68%	+0.05	-11.7	1
2021-08-14	@ Jezero	W 2-1	47.5	1127	1112	34.68%	27.09%	38.23%	-0.05	+11.7	7
2021-08-14	Podgorica	W 2-1	41.0	1251	1118	56.61%	25.17%	18.22%	+0.60	+6.4	4
2021-08-14	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-2	41.0	1118	1251	18.22%	25.17%	56.61%	-0.60	-6.4	0
2021-08-15	Sutjeska	L 0-1	35.0	1109	1308	17.22%	24.88%	57.90%	-0.64	-6.5	1
2021-08-15	@ Rudar	W 1-0	35.0	1308	1109	57.90%	24.88%	17.22%	+0.64	+6.5	12
2021-08-21	Buducnost Podgorica	D 2-2	59.0	1231	1258	36.52%	27.10%	36.38%	+0.00	-0.0	11
2021-08-21	@ Decic Tuzi	D 2-2	59.0	1258	1231	36.38%	27.10%	36.52%	+0.00	+0.0	5
2021-08-21	Iskra	W 3-1	38.3	1315	1203	54.31%	25.63%	20.05%	+0.52	+12.1	15
2021-08-21	@ Sutjeska	L 1-3	38.3	1203	1315	20.05%	25.63%	54.31%	-0.52	-12.1	7
2021-08-21	Jezero	W 1-0	44.1	1001	1101	26.92%	26.69%	46.39%	-0.27	+14.4	13
2021-08-21	@ Mornar	L 0-1	44.1	1101	1001	46.39%	26.69%	26.92%	+0.27	-14.4	1
2021-08-21	Rudar	W 4-3	52.0	1139	1102	45.22%	26.78%	28.00%	+0.24	+8.5	10
2021-08-21	@ Petrovac	L 3-4	52.0	1102	1139	28.00%	26.78%	45.22%	-0.24	-8.5	1
2021-08-21	Zeta	D 0-0	48.0	1112	1102	41.57%	27.00%	31.43%	+0.14	-0.7	1
2021-08-21	@ Podgorica	D 0-0	48.0	1102	1112	31.43%	27.00%	41.57%	-0.14	+0.7	2
2021-08-25	Buducnost Podgorica	D 1-1	53.2	1094	1258	20.23%	25.67%	54.10%	-0.51	+2.3	2
2021-08-25	@ Rudar	D 1-1	53.2	1258	1094	54.10%	25.67%	20.23%	+0.51	-2.3	6
2021-08-28	Petrovac	W 4-1	37.6	1191	1147	46.14%	26.71%	27.15%	+0.26	+22.1	10
2021-08-28	@ Iskra	L 1-4	37.6	1147	1191	27.15%	26.71%	46.14%	-0.26	-22.1	10
2021-08-28	Podgorica	L 1-2	47.1	1086	1111	36.80%	27.10%	36.10%	+0.01	-11.4	1
2021-08-28	@ Jezero	W 2-1	47.1	1111	1086	36.10%	27.10%	36.80%	-0.01	+11.4	4
2021-08-29	Mornar	W 2-1	42.6	1096	1016	50.72%	26.21%	23.07%	+0.40	+7.9	5
2021-08-29	@ Rudar	L 1-2	42.6	1016	1096	23.07%	26.21%	50.72%	-0.40	-7.9	13
2021-08-29	Sutjeska	D 1-1	53.5	1231	1327	27.38%	26.73%	45.89%	-0.26	+1.2	12
2021-08-29	@ Decic Tuzi	D 1-1	53.5	1327	1231	45.89%	26.73%	27.38%	+0.26	-1.2	16
2021-08-29	Zeta	W 5-1	32.6	1255	1103	58.58%	24.71%	16.70%	+0.67	+18.7	9
2021-08-29	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-5	32.6	1103	1255	16.70%	24.71%	58.58%	-0.67	-18.7	2
2021-09-11	Buducnost Podgorica	W 1-0	38.9	1326	1274	47.17%	26.62%	26.21%	+0.29	+9.3	19
2021-09-11	@ Sutjeska	L 0-1	38.9	1274	1326	26.21%	26.62%	47.17%	-0.29	-9.3	9
2021-09-11	Decic Tuzi	W 3-2	55.3	1125	1232	26.07%	26.60%	47.32%	-0.30	+13.1	13
2021-09-11	@ Petrovac	L 2-3	55.3	1232	1125	47.32%	26.60%	26.07%	+0.30	-13.1	12
2021-09-11	Iskra	L 0-1	34.6	1008	1213	16.77%	24.74%	58.49%	-0.67	-6.3	13
2021-09-11	@ Mornar	W 1-0	34.6	1213	1008	58.49%	24.74%	16.77%	+0.67	+6.3	13
2021-09-11	Jezero	L 1-2	48.4	1084	1075	41.59%	27.00%	31.42%	+0.14	-12.5	2
2021-09-11	@ Zeta	W 2-1	48.4	1075	1084	31.42%	27.00%	41.59%	-0.14	+12.5	4
2021-09-11	Rudar	L 0-1	43.1	1122	1104	42.83%	26.94%	30.24%	+0.17	-13.5	4
2021-09-11	@ Podgorica	W 1-0	43.1	1104	1122	30.24%	26.94%	42.83%	-0.17	+13.5	8
2021-09-17	Jezero	L 0-1	47.8	1265	1088	61.04%	24.05%	14.91%	+0.76	-18.3	9
2021-09-17	@ Buducnost Podgorica	W 1-0	47.8	1088	1265	14.91%	24.05%	61.04%	-0.76	+18.3	7
2021-09-18	Podgorica	W 4-2	41.7	1219	1109	54.17%	25.66%	20.17%	+0.51	+10.9	16
2021-09-18	@ Iskra	L 2-4	41.7	1109	1219	20.17%	25.66%	54.17%	-0.51	-10.9	4
2021-09-18	Zeta	W 2-0	34.3	1117	1072	46.37%	26.69%	26.94%	+0.27	+17.9	11
2021-09-18	@ Rudar	L 0-2	34.3	1072	1117	26.94%	26.69%	46.37%	-0.27	-17.9	2
2021-09-19	Mornar	L 0-1	48.4	1219	1001	64.72%	22.86%	12.42%	+0.91	-19.2	12
2021-09-19	@ Decic Tuzi	W 1-0	48.4	1001	1219	12.42%	22.86%	64.72%	-0.91	+19.2	16
2021-09-19	Petrovac	D 0-0	49.4	1335	1138	62.84%	23.50%	13.66%	+0.84	-3.9	20
2021-09-19	@ Sutjeska	D 0-0	49.4	1138	1335	13.66%	23.50%	62.84%	-0.84	+3.9	14
2021-09-24	Iskra	D 1-1	53.3	1054	1230	19.15%	25.42%	55.43%	-0.56	+2.5	3
2021-09-24	@ Zeta	D 1-1	53.3	1230	1054	55.43%	25.42%	19.15%	+0.56	-2.5	17
2021-09-25	Decic Tuzi	D 1-1	52.9	1098	1200	26.66%	26.66%	46.67%	-0.28	+1.3	5
2021-09-25	@ Podgorica	D 1-1	52.9	1200	1098	46.67%	26.66%	26.66%	+0.28	-1.3	13
2021-09-25	Rudar	L 2-4	46.9	1106	1135	36.10%	27.10%	36.80%	-0.01	-17.3	7
2021-09-25	@ Jezero	W 4-2	46.9	1135	1106	36.80%	27.10%	36.10%	+0.01	+17.3	14
2021-09-26	Buducnost Podgorica	L 2-3	49.0	1142	1246	26.40%	26.64%	46.97%	-0.29	-8.4	14
2021-09-26	@ Petrovac	W 3-2	49.0	1246	1142	46.97%	26.64%	26.40%	+0.29	+8.4	12
2021-09-26	Sutjeska	L 0-2	28.0	1021	1331	10.44%	21.62%	67.93%	-1.06	-7.4	16
2021-09-26	@ Mornar	W 2-0	28.0	1331	1021	67.93%	21.62%	10.44%	+1.06	+7.4	23
2021-10-01	Iskra	W 1-0	45.4	1088	1228	22.60%	26.13%	51.27%	-0.42	+15.7	10
2021-10-01	@ Jezero	L 0-1	45.4	1228	1088	51.27%	26.13%	22.60%	+0.42	-15.7	17
2021-10-02	Petrovac	D 0-0	48.2	1013	1134	24.54%	26.42%	49.04%	-0.35	+1.8	17
2021-10-02	@ Mornar	D 0-0	48.2	1134	1013	49.04%	26.42%	24.54%	+0.35	-1.8	15
2021-10-02	Sutjeska	L 1-2	39.6	1099	1338	14.40%	23.84%	61.77%	-0.79	-5.1	5
2021-10-02	@ Podgorica	W 2-1	39.6	1338	1099	61.77%	23.84%	14.40%	+0.79	+5.1	26
2021-10-03	Decic Tuzi	D 1-1	53.0	1057	1199	22.33%	26.08%	51.59%	-0.43	+2.0	4
2021-10-03	@ Zeta	D 1-1	53.0	1199	1057	51.59%	26.08%	22.33%	+0.43	-2.0	14
2021-10-03	Rudar	W 3-0	30.5	1255	1153	53.24%	25.82%	20.93%	+0.48	+21.1	15
2021-10-03	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-3	30.5	1153	1255	20.93%	25.82%	53.24%	-0.48	-21.1	14
2021-10-15	Podgorica	W 2-1	44.3	1132	1094	45.40%	26.77%	27.83%	+0.24	+9.2	18
2021-10-15	@ Petrovac	L 1-2	44.3	1094	1132	27.83%	26.77%	45.40%	-0.24	-9.2	5
2021-10-16	Jezero	W 2-0	32.7	1197	1104	52.14%	26.00%	21.86%	+0.45	+15.1	17
2021-10-16	@ Decic Tuzi	L 0-2	32.7	1104	1197	21.86%	26.00%	52.14%	-0.45	-15.1	10
2021-10-16	Zeta	W 2-0	27.4	1344	1059	70.16%	20.65%	9.19%	+1.17	+6.4	29
2021-10-16	@ Sutjeska	L 0-2	27.4	1059	1344	9.19%	20.65%	70.16%	-1.17	-6.4	4
2021-10-17	Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-3	27.2	1015	1276	13.05%	23.20%	63.76%	-0.87	-13.5	17
2021-10-17	@ Mornar	W 3-0	27.2	1276	1015	63.76%	23.20%	13.05%	+0.87	+13.5	18
2021-10-17	Rudar	W 1-0	37.0	1212	1132	50.72%	26.21%	23.08%	+0.40	+8.4	20
2021-10-17	@ Iskra	L 0-1	37.0	1132	1212	23.08%	26.21%	50.72%	-0.40	-8.4	14
2021-10-23	Decic Tuzi	D 1-1	52.9	1123	1212	28.26%	26.81%	44.94%	-0.23	+1.1	15
2021-10-23	@ Rudar	D 1-1	52.9	1212	1123	44.94%	26.81%	28.26%	+0.23	-1.1	18
2021-10-23	Iskra	W 4-1	37.0	1289	1220	49.34%	26.38%	24.28%	+0.36	+20.1	21
2021-10-23	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-4	37.0	1220	1289	24.28%	26.38%	49.34%	-0.36	-20.2	20
2021-10-23	Mornar	D 1-1	53.0	1085	1001	51.08%	26.16%	22.76%	+0.41	-1.9	6
2021-10-23	@ Podgorica	D 1-1	53.0	1001	1085	22.76%	26.16%	51.08%	-0.41	+1.9	18
2021-10-23	Petrovac	D 1-1	52.8	1052	1141	28.18%	26.80%	45.02%	-0.23	+1.1	5
2021-10-23	@ Zeta	D 1-1	52.8	1141	1052	45.02%	26.80%	28.18%	+0.23	-1.1	19
2021-10-23	Sutjeska	L 0-2	29.4	1089	1350	13.05%	23.20%	63.75%	-0.87	-9.3	10
2021-10-23	@ Jezero	W 2-0	29.4	1350	1089	63.75%	23.20%	13.05%	+0.87	+9.3	32
2021-10-31	Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-2	39.9	1083	1310	15.24%	24.18%	60.57%	-0.74	-5.4	6
2021-10-31	@ Podgorica	W 2-1	39.9	1310	1083	60.57%	24.18%	15.24%	+0.74	+5.4	24
2021-10-31	Iskra	D 1-1	52.9	1211	1200	41.72%	26.99%	31.29%	+0.14	-0.7	19
2021-10-31	@ Decic Tuzi	D 1-1	52.9	1200	1211	31.29%	26.99%	41.72%	-0.14	+0.7	21
2021-10-31	Jezero	W 2-0	33.8	1140	1080	48.28%	26.50%	25.22%	+0.33	+17.0	22
2021-10-31	@ Petrovac	L 0-2	33.8	1080	1140	25.22%	26.50%	48.28%	-0.33	-17.0	10
2021-10-31	Rudar	W 2-1	38.4	1359	1124	66.19%	22.32%	11.49%	+0.98	+4.1	35
2021-10-31	@ Sutjeska	L 1-2	38.4	1124	1359	11.49%	22.32%	66.19%	-0.98	-4.1	15
2021-10-31	Zeta	D 2-2	58.6	1003	1053	33.25%	27.06%	39.69%	-0.09	+0.3	19
2021-10-31	@ Mornar	D 2-2	58.6	1053	1003	39.69%	27.06%	33.25%	+0.09	-0.3	6
2021-11-05	Podgorica	L 1-2	47.0	1053	1078	36.79%	27.10%	36.11%	+0.01	-11.4	6
2021-11-05	@ Zeta	W 2-1	47.0	1078	1053	36.11%	27.10%	36.79%	-0.01	+11.3	9
2021-11-06	Decic Tuzi	L 1-2	52.2	1315	1210	53.57%	25.77%	20.67%	+0.49	-15.4	24
2021-11-06	@ Buducnost Podgorica	W 2-1	52.2	1210	1315	20.67%	25.77%	53.57%	-0.49	+15.4	22
2021-11-06	Sutjeska	D 0-0	49.1	1201	1363	20.36%	25.70%	53.93%	-0.51	+2.6	22
2021-11-06	@ Iskra	D 0-0	49.1	1363	1201	53.93%	25.70%	20.36%	+0.51	-2.6	36
2021-11-07	Mornar	D 0-0	48.1	1063	1004	48.11%	26.52%	25.37%	+0.32	-1.7	11
2021-11-07	@ Jezero	D 0-0	48.1	1004	1063	25.37%	26.52%	48.11%	-0.32	+1.7	20
2021-11-07	Petrovac	D 2-2	58.6	1120	1157	35.04%	27.09%	37.87%	-0.04	+0.1	16
2021-11-07	@ Rudar	D 2-2	58.6	1157	1120	37.87%	27.09%	35.04%	+0.04	-0.1	23
2021-11-20	Buducnost Podgorica	D 0-0	49.2	1042	1300	13.22%	23.28%	63.50%	-0.86	+4.0	7
2021-11-20	@ Zeta	D 0-0	49.2	1300	1042	63.50%	23.28%	13.22%	+0.86	-4.0	25
2021-11-20	Decic Tuzi	L 0-2	43.6	1361	1225	56.87%	25.11%	18.01%	+0.61	-32.4	36
2021-11-20	@ Sutjeska	W 2-0	43.6	1225	1361	18.01%	25.11%	56.87%	-0.61	+32.4	25
2021-11-20	Iskra	L 0-1	40.5	1157	1203	33.73%	27.07%	39.20%	-0.07	-11.3	23
2021-11-20	@ Petrovac	W 1-0	40.5	1203	1157	39.20%	27.07%	33.73%	+0.07	+11.3	25
2021-11-20	Jezero	W 1-0	38.9	1089	1061	44.09%	26.86%	29.05%	+0.21	+10.1	12
2021-11-20	@ Podgorica	L 0-1	38.9	1061	1089	29.05%	26.86%	44.09%	-0.21	-10.1	11
2021-11-20	Rudar	L 0-1	37.6	1005	1120	25.18%	26.50%	48.32%	-0.33	-9.0	20
2021-11-20	@ Mornar	W 1-0	37.6	1120	1005	48.32%	26.50%	25.18%	+0.33	+9.0	19
2021-11-28	Petrovac	D 4-4	64.6	1258	1146	54.34%	25.63%	20.03%	+0.52	-1.3	26
2021-11-28	@ Decic Tuzi	D 4-4	64.6	1146	1258	20.03%	25.63%	54.34%	-0.52	+1.3	24
2021-11-28	Podgorica	L 0-1	43.5	1129	1099	44.39%	26.84%	28.76%	+0.21	-13.9	19
2021-11-28	@ Rudar	W 1-0	43.5	1099	1129	28.76%	26.84%	44.39%	-0.21	+13.9	15
2021-11-28	Sutjeska	D 3-3	63.5	1296	1328	35.64%	27.10%	37.26%	-0.02	+0.1	26
2021-11-28	@ Buducnost Podgorica	D 3-3	63.5	1328	1296	37.26%	27.10%	35.64%	+0.02	-0.1	37
2021-12-01	Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-2	39.3	1051	1296	14.04%	23.68%	62.29%	-0.81	-5.0	11
2021-12-01	@ Jezero	W 2-1	39.3	1296	1051	62.29%	23.68%	14.04%	+0.81	+5.0	29
2021-12-01	Decic Tuzi	L 1-2	38.8	996	1256	13.10%	23.22%	63.68%	-0.87	-4.7	20
2021-12-01	@ Mornar	W 2-1	38.8	1256	996	63.68%	23.22%	13.10%	+0.87	+4.7	29
2021-12-01	Iskra	D 0-0	48.2	1113	1215	26.68%	26.67%	46.65%	-0.28	+1.5	16
2021-12-01	@ Podgorica	D 0-0	48.2	1215	1113	46.65%	26.67%	26.68%	+0.28	-1.5	26
2021-12-01	Rudar	W 2-0	39.0	1046	1115	30.61%	26.96%	42.43%	-0.16	+25.3	10
2021-12-01	@ Zeta	L 0-2	39.0	1115	1046	42.43%	26.96%	30.61%	+0.16	-25.3	19
2021-12-01	Sutjeska	W 3-0	41.0	1147	1328	18.70%	25.30%	56.00%	-0.58	+46.4	27
2021-12-01	@ Petrovac	L 0-3	41.0	1328	1147	56.00%	25.30%	18.70%	+0.58	-46.4	37
2021-12-05	Jezero	D 2-2	58.7	1090	1046	46.21%	26.71%	27.09%	+0.27	-0.9	20
2021-12-05	@ Rudar	D 2-2	58.7	1046	1090	27.09%	26.71%	46.21%	-0.27	+0.9	12
2021-12-05	Mornar	D 1-1	54.7	1282	992	70.56%	20.47%	8.97%	+1.19	-4.5	38
2021-12-05	@ Sutjeska	D 1-1	54.7	992	1282	8.97%	20.47%	70.56%	-1.19	+4.5	21
2021-12-05	Petrovac	W 2-1	42.1	1301	1193	53.82%	25.72%	20.46%	+0.50	+7.1	32
2021-12-05	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-2	42.1	1193	1301	20.46%	25.72%	53.82%	-0.50	-7.1	27
2021-12-05	Podgorica	D 2-2	59.4	1261	1114	58.03%	24.85%	17.12%	+0.65	-2.1	30
2021-12-05	@ Decic Tuzi	D 2-2	59.4	1114	1261	17.12%	24.85%	58.03%	-0.65	+2.1	17
2021-12-08	Buducnost Podgorica	W 3-1	49.5	1089	1308	15.79%	24.39%	59.81%	-0.72	+29.3	23
2021-12-08	@ Rudar	L 1-3	49.5	1308	1089	59.81%	24.39%	15.79%	+0.72	-29.3	32
2021-12-08	Jezero	L 0-1	47.5	1213	1047	59.99%	24.35%	15.66%	+0.72	-18.0	26
2021-12-08	@ Iskra	W 1-0	47.5	1047	1213	15.66%	24.35%	59.99%	-0.72	+18.0	15
2021-12-08	Mornar	W 2-0	29.6	1186	996	62.25%	23.69%	14.06%	+0.81	+10.0	30
2021-12-08	@ Petrovac	L 0-2	29.6	996	1186	14.06%	23.69%	62.25%	-0.81	-10.0	21
2021-12-08	Podgorica	W 3-0	28.6	1278	1117	59.46%	24.49%	16.05%	+0.70	+16.6	41
2021-12-08	@ Sutjeska	L 0-3	28.6	1117	1278	16.05%	24.49%	59.46%	-0.70	-16.6	17
2021-12-08	Zeta	W 1-0	33.6	1259	1071	62.06%	23.75%	14.20%	+0.80	+5.4	33
2021-12-08	@ Decic Tuzi	L 0-1	33.6	1071	1259	14.20%	23.75%	62.06%	-0.80	-5.4	10
2021-12-13	Mornar	L 0-1	48.3	1195	986	63.97%	23.13%	12.91%	+0.88	-19.0	26
2021-12-13	@ Iskra	W 1-0	48.3	986	1195	12.91%	23.13%	63.97%	-0.88	+19.0	24
2021-12-13	Zeta	W 2-1	45.8	1065	1066	40.20%	27.05%	32.75%	+0.10	+10.4	18
2021-12-13	@ Jezero	L 1-2	45.8	1066	1065	32.75%	27.05%	40.20%	-0.10	-10.4	10
2021-12-17	Zeta	W 3-1	37.5	1176	1055	55.34%	25.44%	19.22%	+0.55	+11.7	29
2021-12-17	@ Iskra	L 1-3	37.5	1055	1176	19.22%	25.44%	55.34%	-0.55	-11.7	10
2022-02-18	Decic Tuzi	W 4-2	52.6	1075	1264	18.06%	25.13%	56.81%	-0.60	+25.1	21
2022-02-18	@ Jezero	L 2-4	52.6	1264	1075	56.81%	25.13%	18.06%	+0.60	-25.1	33
2022-02-18	Iskra	L 0-3	33.6	1118	1188	30.65%	26.96%	42.39%	-0.16	-28.8	23
2022-02-18	@ Rudar	W 3-0	33.6	1188	1118	42.39%	26.96%	30.65%	+0.16	+28.8	32
2022-02-18	Mornar	W 2-1	37.1	1279	1005	69.27%	21.05%	9.68%	+1.12	+3.4	35
2022-02-18	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-2	37.1	1005	1279	9.68%	21.05%	69.27%	-1.12	-3.4	24
2022-02-18	Petrovac	D 2-2	58.7	1100	1196	27.32%	26.73%	45.95%	-0.26	+0.9	18
2022-02-18	@ Podgorica	D 2-2	58.7	1196	1100	45.95%	26.73%	27.32%	+0.26	-0.9	31
2022-02-18	Sutjeska	L 0-1	33.4	1043	1294	13.67%	23.50%	62.83%	-0.83	-5.2	10
2022-02-18	@ Zeta	W 1-0	33.4	1294	1043	62.83%	23.50%	13.67%	+0.83	+5.2	44
2022-02-24	Buducnost Podgorica	W 3-2	54.0	1217	1282	31.20%	26.99%	41.81%	-0.14	+11.9	35
2022-02-24	@ Iskra	L 2-3	54.0	1282	1217	41.81%	26.99%	31.20%	+0.14	-11.9	35
2022-02-24	Jezero	W 3-1	35.4	1299	1100	63.05%	23.43%	13.52%	+0.84	+8.3	47
2022-02-24	@ Sutjeska	L 1-3	35.4	1100	1299	13.52%	23.43%	63.05%	-0.84	-8.4	21
2022-02-24	Podgorica	D 2-2	58.7	1002	1101	26.98%	26.69%	46.32%	-0.27	+0.9	25
2022-02-24	@ Mornar	D 2-2	58.7	1101	1002	46.32%	26.69%	26.98%	+0.27	-0.9	19
2022-02-24	Rudar	L 1-2	52.9	1239	1090	58.33%	24.78%	16.90%	+0.66	-16.5	33
2022-02-24	@ Decic Tuzi	W 2-1	52.9	1090	1239	16.90%	24.78%	58.33%	-0.66	+16.5	26
2022-02-24	Zeta	L 2-4	53.0	1195	1038	59.09%	24.59%	16.33%	+0.69	-25.9	31
2022-02-24	@ Petrovac	W 4-2	53.0	1038	1195	16.33%	24.59%	59.09%	-0.69	+25.9	13
2022-03-01	Decic Tuzi	L 0-1	42.9	1229	1223	41.09%	27.02%	31.89%	+0.12	-13.1	35
2022-03-01	@ Iskra	W 1-0	42.9	1223	1229	31.89%	27.02%	41.09%	-0.12	+13.1	36
2022-03-01	Mornar	L 0-1	44.6	1064	1003	48.41%	26.49%	25.10%	+0.33	-14.9	13
2022-03-01	@ Zeta	W 1-0	44.6	1003	1064	25.10%	26.49%	48.41%	-0.33	+14.9	28
2022-03-01	Petrovac	L 0-1	39.1	1092	1169	29.63%	26.90%	43.47%	-0.19	-10.2	21
2022-03-01	@ Jezero	W 1-0	39.1	1169	1092	43.47%	26.90%	29.63%	+0.19	+10.2	34
2022-03-01	Podgorica	W 2-1	39.9	1270	1100	60.36%	24.25%	15.40%	+0.74	+5.5	38
2022-03-01	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-2	39.9	1100	1270	15.40%	24.25%	60.36%	-0.74	-5.5	19
2022-03-01	Sutjeska	D 1-1	53.6	1106	1308	17.08%	24.84%	58.08%	-0.65	+2.9	27
2022-03-01	@ Rudar	D 1-1	53.6	1308	1106	58.08%	24.84%	17.08%	+0.65	-2.9	48
2022-03-05	Iskra	W 2-0	33.2	1305	1215	51.76%	26.06%	22.18%	+0.43	+15.3	51
2022-03-05	@ Sutjeska	L 0-2	33.2	1215	1305	22.18%	26.06%	51.76%	-0.43	-15.3	35
2022-03-05	Jezero	D 1-1	52.7	1018	1082	31.34%	26.99%	41.67%	-0.14	+0.6	29
2022-03-05	@ Mornar	D 1-1	52.7	1082	1018	41.67%	26.99%	31.34%	+0.14	-0.7	22
2022-03-05	Rudar	D 1-1	53.0	1180	1109	49.53%	26.36%	24.11%	+0.36	-1.7	35
2022-03-05	@ Petrovac	D 1-1	53.0	1109	1180	24.11%	26.36%	49.53%	-0.36	+1.7	28
2022-03-05	Zeta	W 1-0	38.2	1094	1049	46.35%	26.69%	26.96%	+0.27	+9.5	22
2022-03-05	@ Podgorica	L 0-1	38.2	1049	1094	26.96%	26.69%	46.35%	-0.27	-9.5	13
2022-03-09	Mornar	D 0-0	48.3	1111	1018	52.14%	26.00%	21.86%	+0.45	-2.3	29
2022-03-09	@ Rudar	D 0-0	48.3	1018	1111	21.86%	26.00%	52.14%	-0.45	+2.3	30
2022-03-09	Petrovac	W 2-0	35.4	1200	1178	43.32%	26.91%	29.77%	+0.18	+19.4	38
2022-03-09	@ Iskra	L 0-2	35.4	1178	1200	29.77%	26.91%	43.32%	-0.18	-19.4	35
2022-03-09	Podgorica	W 4-0	35.1	1081	1104	37.06%	27.10%	35.84%	+0.02	+42.2	25
2022-03-09	@ Jezero	L 0-4	35.1	1104	1081	35.84%	27.10%	37.06%	-0.02	-42.2	22
2022-03-09	Sutjeska	L 0-2	35.6	1236	1320	28.79%	26.85%	44.37%	-0.21	-18.9	36
2022-03-09	@ Decic Tuzi	W 2-0	35.6	1320	1236	44.37%	26.85%	28.79%	+0.21	+18.9	54
2022-03-09	Zeta	W 2-1	38.1	1276	1040	66.25%	22.30%	11.45%	+0.98	+4.1	41
2022-03-09	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-2	38.1	1040	1276	11.45%	22.30%	66.25%	-0.98	-4.1	13
2022-03-13	Buducnost Podgorica	D 2-2	59.8	1339	1280	48.13%	26.52%	25.35%	+0.32	-1.1	55
2022-03-13	@ Sutjeska	D 2-2	59.8	1280	1339	25.35%	26.52%	48.13%	-0.32	+1.1	42
2022-03-13	Decic Tuzi	D 0-0	48.1	1159	1217	32.11%	27.03%	40.86%	-0.12	+0.6	36
2022-03-13	@ Petrovac	D 0-0	48.1	1217	1159	40.86%	27.03%	32.11%	+0.12	-0.6	37
2022-03-13	Iskra	D 1-1	53.4	1021	1220	17.26%	24.89%	57.85%	-0.64	+2.8	31
2022-03-13	@ Mornar	D 1-1	53.4	1220	1021	57.85%	24.89%	17.26%	+0.64	-2.8	39
2022-03-13	Jezero	D 0-0	48.0	1036	1123	28.36%	26.81%	44.83%	-0.23	+1.2	14
2022-03-13	@ Zeta	D 0-0	48.0	1123	1036	44.83%	26.81%	28.36%	+0.23	-1.2	26
2022-03-13	Rudar	W 2-1	47.8	1062	1109	33.67%	27.07%	39.25%	-0.07	+11.9	25
2022-03-13	@ Podgorica	L 1-2	47.8	1109	1062	39.25%	27.07%	33.67%	+0.07	-11.9	29
2022-03-16	Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-2	36.1	1216	1281	31.31%	26.99%	41.70%	-0.14	-20.1	37
2022-03-16	@ Decic Tuzi	W 2-0	36.1	1281	1216	41.70%	26.99%	31.31%	+0.14	+20.1	45
2022-03-20	Jezero	L 1-2	53.7	1301	1122	61.18%	24.01%	14.81%	+0.77	-17.3	45
2022-03-20	@ Buducnost Podgorica	W 2-1	53.7	1122	1301	14.81%	24.01%	61.18%	-0.77	+17.3	29
2022-03-20	Mornar	W 4-0	28.1	1196	1023	60.62%	24.17%	15.21%	+0.75	+20.6	40
2022-03-20	@ Decic Tuzi	L 0-4	28.1	1023	1196	15.21%	24.17%	60.62%	-0.75	-20.6	31
2022-03-20	Petrovac	D 1-1	54.0	1338	1159	61.16%	24.02%	14.82%	+0.77	-3.3	56
2022-03-20	@ Sutjeska	D 1-1	54.0	1159	1338	14.82%	24.02%	61.16%	-0.77	+3.3	37
2022-03-20	Podgorica	W 2-0	31.0	1217	1074	57.66%	24.93%	17.40%	+0.64	+12.3	42
2022-03-20	@ Iskra	L 0-2	31.0	1074	1217	17.40%	24.93%	57.66%	-0.64	-12.3	25
2022-03-20	Zeta	L 0-3	38.6	1097	1037	48.19%	26.51%	25.30%	+0.32	-40.8	29
2022-03-20	@ Rudar	W 3-0	38.6	1037	1097	25.30%	26.51%	48.19%	-0.32	+40.8	17
2022-04-02	Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-2	33.8	1163	1284	24.51%	26.42%	49.07%	-0.35	-16.6	37
2022-04-02	@ Petrovac	W 2-0	33.8	1284	1163	49.07%	26.42%	24.51%	+0.35	+16.6	48
2022-04-02	Decic Tuzi	D 3-3	62.8	1061	1217	21.02%	25.84%	53.14%	-0.48	+1.4	26
2022-04-02	@ Podgorica	D 3-3	62.8	1217	1061	53.14%	25.84%	21.02%	+0.48	-1.4	41
2022-04-02	Iskra	W 3-1	47.7	1078	1229	21.41%	25.92%	52.68%	-0.46	+26.2	20
2022-04-02	@ Zeta	L 1-3	47.7	1229	1078	52.68%	25.92%	21.41%	+0.46	-26.2	42
2022-04-02	Rudar	W 3-2	47.7	1139	1056	51.09%	26.16%	22.76%	+0.41	+7.4	32
2022-04-02	@ Jezero	L 2-3	47.7	1056	1139	22.76%	26.16%	51.09%	-0.41	-7.4	29
2022-04-02	Sutjeska	L 0-2	27.5	1003	1334	9.50%	20.91%	69.59%	-1.14	-6.7	31
2022-04-02	@ Mornar	W 2-0	27.5	1334	1003	69.59%	20.91%	9.50%	+1.14	+6.7	59
2022-04-06	Decic Tuzi	L 1-2	43.6	1104	1215	25.56%	26.55%	47.89%	-0.32	-8.6	20
2022-04-06	@ Zeta	W 2-1	43.6	1215	1104	47.89%	26.55%	25.56%	+0.32	+8.6	44
2022-04-06	Iskra	W 3-1	44.5	1147	1203	32.43%	27.04%	40.54%	-0.11	+21.1	35
2022-04-06	@ Jezero	L 1-3	44.5	1203	1147	40.54%	27.04%	32.43%	+0.11	-21.1	42
2022-04-06	Petrovac	D 1-1	53.0	996	1146	21.56%	25.94%	52.50%	-0.46	+2.1	32
2022-04-06	@ Mornar	D 1-1	53.0	1146	996	52.50%	25.94%	21.56%	+0.46	-2.1	38
2022-04-06	Rudar	W 2-0	28.1	1300	1048	67.56%	21.78%	10.66%	+1.04	+7.5	51
2022-04-06	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-2	28.1	1048	1300	10.66%	21.78%	67.56%	-1.04	-7.5	29
2022-04-06	Sutjeska	L 0-1	32.8	1063	1341	12.06%	22.66%	65.28%	-0.94	-4.6	26
2022-04-06	@ Podgorica	W 1-0	32.8	1341	1063	65.28%	22.66%	12.06%	+0.94	+4.5	62
2022-04-10	Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-2	27.9	998	1308	10.49%	21.66%	67.85%	-1.05	-7.4	32
2022-04-10	@ Mornar	W 2-0	27.9	1308	998	67.85%	21.66%	10.49%	+1.05	+7.4	54
2022-04-10	Jezero	L 1-2	50.3	1224	1168	47.72%	26.56%	25.72%	+0.31	-13.9	44
2022-04-10	@ Decic Tuzi	W 2-1	50.3	1168	1224	25.72%	26.56%	47.72%	-0.31	+13.9	38
2022-04-10	Podgorica	D 1-1	53.0	1144	1058	51.34%	26.12%	22.54%	+0.42	-1.9	39
2022-04-10	@ Petrovac	D 1-1	53.0	1058	1144	22.54%	26.12%	51.34%	-0.42	+1.9	27
2022-04-10	Rudar	W 3-1	36.9	1182	1041	57.42%	24.99%	17.59%	+0.63	+10.8	45
2022-04-10	@ Iskra	L 1-3	36.9	1041	1182	17.59%	24.99%	57.42%	-0.63	-10.8	29
2022-04-10	Zeta	W 6-1	29.7	1346	1095	67.45%	21.82%	10.73%	+1.04	+14.7	65
2022-04-10	@ Sutjeska	L 1-6	29.7	1095	1346	10.73%	21.82%	67.45%	-1.04	-14.7	20
2022-04-16	Decic Tuzi	W 1-0	46.5	1030	1210	18.82%	25.34%	55.84%	-0.57	+16.9	32
2022-04-16	@ Rudar	L 0-1	46.5	1210	1030	55.84%	25.34%	18.82%	+0.57	-16.9	44
2022-04-16	Iskra	W 4-2	41.7	1315	1192	55.51%	25.40%	19.08%	+0.56	+10.4	57
2022-04-16	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 2-4	41.7	1192	1315	19.08%	25.40%	55.51%	-0.56	-10.4	45
2022-04-16	Mornar	L 1-3	46.8	1060	991	49.36%	26.38%	24.26%	+0.36	-24.8	27
2022-04-16	@ Podgorica	W 3-1	46.8	991	1060	24.26%	26.38%	49.36%	-0.36	+24.8	35
2022-04-16	Petrovac	W 3-0	36.7	1081	1142	31.71%	27.01%	41.28%	-0.13	+36.0	23
2022-04-16	@ Zeta	L 0-3	36.7	1142	1081	41.28%	27.01%	31.71%	+0.13	-36.0	39
2022-04-16	Sutjeska	L 0-2	32.1	1182	1360	18.94%	25.37%	55.69%	-0.57	-13.3	38
2022-04-16	@ Jezero	W 2-0	32.1	1360	1182	55.69%	25.37%	18.94%	+0.57	+13.3	68
2022-04-24	Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-5	30.3	1035	1326	11.44%	22.29%	66.28%	-0.98	-12.8	27
2022-04-24	@ Podgorica	W 5-1	30.3	1326	1035	66.28%	22.29%	11.44%	+0.98	+12.8	60
2022-04-24	Iskra	W 2-1	45.5	1193	1182	41.82%	26.99%	31.19%	+0.14	+10.0	47
2022-04-24	@ Decic Tuzi	L 1-2	45.5	1182	1193	31.19%	26.99%	41.82%	-0.14	-10.0	45
2022-04-24	Jezero	W 2-1	48.5	1106	1169	31.54%	27.00%	41.46%	-0.13	+12.4	42
2022-04-24	@ Petrovac	L 1-2	48.5	1169	1106	41.46%	27.00%	31.54%	+0.13	-12.4	38
2022-04-24	Rudar	W 3-0	24.5	1374	1047	73.18%	19.20%	7.63%	+1.32	+7.6	71
2022-04-24	@ Sutjeska	L 0-3	24.5	1047	1374	7.63%	19.20%	73.18%	-1.32	-7.6	32
2022-04-24	Zeta	W 1-0	44.1	1016	1117	26.78%	26.68%	46.54%	-0.28	+14.5	38
2022-04-24	@ Mornar	L 0-1	44.1	1117	1016	46.54%	26.68%	26.78%	+0.28	-14.5	23
2022-04-30	Decic Tuzi	L 1-2	53.0	1338	1203	56.84%	25.12%	18.04%	+0.61	-16.2	60
2022-04-30	@ Buducnost Podgorica	W 2-1	53.0	1203	1338	18.04%	25.12%	56.84%	-0.61	+16.2	50
2022-04-30	Mornar	L 1-2	52.2	1156	1030	55.88%	25.33%	18.79%	+0.57	-15.9	38
2022-04-30	@ Jezero	W 2-1	52.2	1030	1156	18.79%	25.33%	55.88%	-0.57	+15.9	41
2022-04-30	Petrovac	W 1-0	43.3	1040	1118	29.45%	26.89%	43.66%	-0.19	+13.7	35
2022-04-30	@ Rudar	L 0-1	43.3	1118	1040	43.66%	26.89%	29.45%	+0.19	-13.7	42
2022-04-30	Podgorica	W 1-0	37.0	1102	1022	50.62%	26.22%	23.16%	+0.40	+8.4	26
2022-04-30	@ Zeta	L 0-1	37.0	1022	1102	23.16%	26.22%	50.62%	-0.40	-8.4	27
2022-04-30	Sutjeska	L 0-3	29.2	1172	1381	16.48%	24.64%	58.88%	-0.68	-17.0	45
2022-04-30	@ Iskra	W 3-0	29.2	1381	1172	58.88%	24.64%	16.48%	+0.68	+17.0	74
2022-05-08	Buducnost Podgorica	D 2-2	59.6	1110	1322	16.30%	24.58%	59.13%	-0.69	+2.2	27
2022-05-08	@ Zeta	D 2-2	59.6	1322	1110	59.13%	24.58%	16.30%	+0.69	-2.2	61
2022-05-08	Decic Tuzi	L 1-2	54.5	1398	1219	61.19%	24.01%	14.80%	+0.77	-17.3	74
2022-05-08	@ Sutjeska	W 2-1	54.5	1219	1398	14.80%	24.01%	61.19%	-0.77	+17.3	53
2022-05-08	Iskra	L 0-4	34.4	1105	1155	33.18%	27.06%	39.76%	-0.09	-39.9	42
2022-05-08	@ Petrovac	W 4-0	34.4	1155	1105	39.76%	27.06%	33.18%	+0.09	+39.9	48
2022-05-08	Jezero	L 0-1	37.2	1014	1140	23.96%	26.34%	49.70%	-0.37	-8.6	27
2022-05-08	@ Podgorica	W 1-0	37.2	1140	1014	49.70%	26.34%	23.96%	+0.37	+8.6	41
2022-05-08	Rudar	W 2-0	36.4	1046	1053	39.28%	27.07%	33.65%	+0.07	+21.2	44
2022-05-08	@ Mornar	L 0-2	36.4	1053	1046	33.65%	27.07%	39.28%	-0.07	-21.2	35
2022-05-14	Mornar	W 1-0	35.4	1195	1067	56.05%	25.29%	18.66%	+0.58	+7.0	51
2022-05-14	@ Iskra	L 0-1	35.4	1067	1195	18.66%	25.29%	56.05%	-0.58	-7.0	44
2022-05-14	Petrovac	W 2-1	39.8	1237	1065	60.53%	24.20%	15.27%	+0.74	+5.4	56
2022-05-14	@ Decic Tuzi	L 1-2	39.8	1065	1237	15.27%	24.20%	60.53%	-0.74	-5.4	42
2022-05-14	Podgorica	D 1-1	52.7	1032	1005	43.91%	26.88%	29.22%	+0.20	-1.0	36
2022-05-14	@ Rudar	D 1-1	52.7	1005	1032	29.22%	26.88%	43.91%	-0.20	+0.9	28
2022-05-14	Sutjeska	W 4-2	50.3	1320	1381	31.75%	27.01%	41.24%	-0.13	+19.2	64
2022-05-14	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 2-4	50.3	1381	1320	41.24%	27.01%	31.75%	+0.13	-19.2	74
2022-05-14	Zeta	D 0-0	48.1	1149	1113	45.17%	26.79%	28.04%	+0.24	-1.2	42
2022-05-14	@ Jezero	D 0-0	48.1	1113	1149	28.04%	26.79%	45.17%	-0.24	+1.2	28
2022-05-20	Buducnost Podgorica	W 2-1	52.9	1148	1339	17.86%	25.07%	57.06%	-0.61	+16.2	45
2022-05-20	@ Jezero	L 1-2	52.9	1339	1148	57.06%	25.07%	17.86%	+0.61	-16.2	64
2022-05-20	Decic Tuzi	W 2-1	52.3	1060	1242	18.66%	25.29%	56.04%	-0.58	+16.0	47
2022-05-20	@ Mornar	L 1-2	52.3	1242	1060	56.04%	25.29%	18.66%	+0.58	-16.0	56
2022-05-20	Iskra	W 3-2	57.7	1006	1202	17.54%	24.98%	57.49%	-0.63	+15.5	31
2022-05-20	@ Podgorica	L 2-3	57.7	1202	1006	57.49%	24.98%	17.54%	+0.63	-15.5	51
2022-05-20	Rudar	W 1-0	36.8	1114	1031	51.01%	26.17%	22.82%	+0.41	+8.3	31
2022-05-20	@ Zeta	L 0-1	36.8	1031	1114	22.82%	26.17%	51.01%	-0.41	-8.3	36
2022-05-20	Sutjeska	D 1-1	54.5	1059	1362	10.83%	21.89%	67.29%	-1.03	+4.1	43
2022-05-20	@ Petrovac	D 1-1	54.5	1362	1059	67.29%	21.89%	10.83%	+1.03	-4.1	75
2022-05-24	Jezero	L 1-3	38.7	1023	1164	22.41%	26.10%	51.49%	-0.43	-13.3	36
2022-05-24	@ Rudar	W 3-1	38.7	1164	1023	51.49%	26.10%	22.41%	+0.43	+13.3	48
2022-05-24	Mornar	L 1-3	51.5	1358	1076	69.89%	20.78%	9.34%	+1.15	-33.4	75
2022-05-24	@ Sutjeska	W 3-1	51.5	1076	1358	9.34%	20.78%	69.89%	-1.15	+33.4	50
2022-05-24	Petrovac	W 6-0	27.9	1323	1063	68.18%	21.52%	10.30%	+1.07	+20.2	67
2022-05-24	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-6	27.9	1063	1323	10.30%	21.52%	68.18%	-1.07	-20.2	43
2022-05-24	Podgorica	L 1-2	53.9	1226	1022	63.53%	23.27%	13.20%	+0.86	-17.8	56
2022-05-24	@ Decic Tuzi	W 2-1	53.9	1022	1226	13.20%	23.27%	63.53%	-0.86	+17.8	34
2022-05-24	Zeta	L 0-2	40.9	1186	1122	48.74%	26.45%	24.81%	+0.34	-28.3	51
2022-05-24	@ Iskra	W 2-0	40.9	1122	1186	24.81%	26.45%	48.74%	-0.34	+28.3	34

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2022-05-24	9.34%	Mornar	1076	3	@ Sutjeska	1358	1
2	2021-09-19	12.42%	Mornar	1001	1	@ Decic Tuzi	1219	0
3	2021-12-13	12.91%	Mornar	986	1	@ Iskra	1195	0
4	2022-05-24	13.20%	Podgorica	1022	2	@ Decic Tuzi	1226	1
5	2021-07-24	14.15%	Mornar	933	1	@ Petrovac	1121	0
6	2022-05-08	14.80%	Decic Tuzi	1219	2	@ Sutjeska	1398	1
7	2022-03-20	14.81%	Jezero	1122	2	@ Buducnost Podgorica	1301	1
8	2021-09-17	14.91%	Jezero	1088	1	@ Buducnost Podgorica	1265	0
9	2021-12-08	15.66%	Jezero	1047	1	@ Iskra	1213	0
10	2021-12-08	15.79%	@ Rudar	1089	3	Buducnost Podgorica	1308	1
11	2022-02-24	16.33%	Zeta	1038	4	@ Petrovac	1195	2
12	2022-02-24	16.90%	Rudar	1090	2	@ Decic Tuzi	1239	1
13	2022-05-20	17.54%	@ Podgorica	1006	3	Iskra	1202	2
14	2022-05-20	17.86%	@ Jezero	1148	2	Buducnost Podgorica	1339	1
15	2021-08-07	17.95%	@ Mornar	956	3	Podgorica	1146	1
16	2021-08-14	17.99%	Mornar	984	1	@ Zeta	1120	0
17	2021-11-20	18.01%	Decic Tuzi	1225	2	@ Sutjeska	1361	0
18	2022-04-30	18.04%	Decic Tuzi	1203	2	@ Buducnost Podgorica	1338	1
19	2022-02-18	18.06%	@ Jezero	1075	4	Decic Tuzi	1264	2
20	2022-05-20	18.66%	@ Mornar	1060	2	Decic Tuzi	1242	1
21	2021-12-01	18.70%	@ Petrovac	1147	3	Sutjeska	1328	0
22	2022-04-30	18.79%	Mornar	1030	2	@ Jezero	1156	1
23	2022-04-16	18.82%	@ Rudar	1030	1	Decic Tuzi	1210	0
24	2021-11-06	20.67%	Decic Tuzi	1210	2	@ Buducnost Podgorica	1315	1
25	2022-04-02	21.41%	@ Zeta	1078	3	Iskra	1229	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2021-12-01	46.39	@ Petrovac	3	1147	18.70%	Sutjeska	0	1328	56.00%	25.30%
2	2022-03-09	42.25	@ Jezero	4	1081	37.06%	Podgorica	0	1104	35.84%	27.10%
3	2022-03-20	40.75	Zeta	3	1037	25.30%	@ Rudar	0	1097	48.19%	26.51%
4	2022-05-08	39.91	Iskra	4	1155	39.76%	@ Petrovac	0	1105	33.18%	27.06%
5	2022-04-16	35.95	@ Zeta	3	1081	31.71%	Petrovac	0	1142	41.28%	27.01%
6	2022-05-24	33.38	Mornar	3	1076	9.34%	@ Sutjeska	1	1358	69.89%	20.78%
7	2021-11-20	32.38	Decic Tuzi	2	1225	18.01%	@ Sutjeska	0	1361	56.87%	25.11%
8	2021-08-02	32.32	Sutjeska	4	1265	48.16%	@ Zeta	0	1152	25.32%	26.52%
9	2021-12-08	29.31	@ Rudar	3	1089	15.79%	Buducnost Podgorica	1	1308	59.81%	24.39%
10	2022-02-18	28.77	Iskra	3	1188	42.39%	@ Rudar	0	1118	30.65%	26.96%
11	2022-05-24	28.32	Zeta	2	1122	24.81%	@ Iskra	0	1186	48.74%	26.45%
12	2021-08-07	28.08	@ Mornar	3	956	17.95%	Podgorica	1	1146	56.96%	25.10%
13	2022-04-02	26.22	@ Zeta	3	1078	21.41%	Iskra	1	1229	52.68%	25.92%
14	2022-02-24	25.93	Zeta	4	1038	16.33%	@ Petrovac	2	1195	59.09%	24.59%
15	2021-12-01	25.30	@ Zeta	2	1046	30.61%	Rudar	0	1115	42.43%	26.96%
16	2022-02-18	25.06	@ Jezero	4	1075	18.06%	Decic Tuzi	2	1264	56.81%	25.13%
17	2022-04-16	24.80	Mornar	3	991	24.26%	@ Podgorica	1	1060	49.36%	26.38%
18	2021-07-31	24.75	Petrovac	3	1103	24.37%	@ Podgorica	1	1171	49.24%	26.40%
19	2021-08-07	24.69	@ Decic Tuzi	3	1194	48.24%	Rudar	0	1133	25.25%	26.51%
20	2021-08-28	22.07	@ Iskra	4	1191	46.14%	Petrovac	1	1147	27.15%	26.71%
21	2022-05-08	21.25	@ Mornar	2	1046	39.28%	Rudar	0	1053	33.65%	27.07%
22	2022-04-06	21.14	@ Jezero	3	1147	32.43%	Iskra	1	1203	40.54%	27.04%
23	2021-10-03	21.09	@ Buducnost Podgorica	3	1255	53.24%	Rudar	0	1153	20.93%	25.82%
24	2021-07-24	20.69	@ Decic Tuzi	2	1174	40.50%	Zeta	0	1172	32.46%	27.04%
25	2022-03-20	20.56	@ Decic Tuzi	4	1196	60.62%	Mornar	0	1023	15.21%	24.17%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2021-11-28	64.6	@ Decic Tuzi	4	1258	54.34%	Petrovac	4	1146	20.03%	25.63%
2	2021-11-28	63.5	@ Buducnost Podgorica	3	1296	35.64%	Sutjeska	3	1328	37.26%	27.10%
3	2022-04-02	62.8	@ Podgorica	3	1061	21.02%	Decic Tuzi	3	1217	53.14%	25.84%
4	2022-03-13	59.8	@ Sutjeska	2	1339	48.13%	Buducnost Podgorica	2	1280	25.35%	26.52%
5	2022-05-08	59.6	@ Zeta	2	1110	16.30%	Buducnost Podgorica	2	1322	59.13%	24.58%
6	2021-12-05	59.4	@ Decic Tuzi	2	1261	58.03%	Podgorica	2	1114	17.12%	24.85%
7	2021-08-21	59.0	@ Decic Tuzi	2	1231	36.52%	Buducnost Podgorica	2	1258	36.38%	27.10%
8	2021-12-05	58.7	@ Rudar	2	1090	46.21%	Jezero	2	1046	27.09%	26.71%
9	2022-02-18	58.7	@ Podgorica	2	1100	27.32%	Petrovac	2	1196	45.95%	26.73%
10	2022-02-24	58.7	@ Mornar	2	1002	26.98%	Podgorica	2	1101	46.32%	26.69%
11	2021-08-07	58.6	@ Petrovac	2	1128	41.44%	Zeta	2	1119	31.55%	27.00%
12	2021-10-31	58.6	@ Mornar	2	1003	33.25%	Zeta	2	1053	39.69%	27.06%
13	2021-11-07	58.6	@ Rudar	2	1120	35.04%	Petrovac	2	1157	37.87%	27.09%
14	2022-05-20	57.7	@ Podgorica	3	1006	17.54%	Iskra	2	1202	57.49%	24.98%
15	2021-09-11	55.3	@ Petrovac	3	1125	26.07%	Decic Tuzi	2	1232	47.32%	26.60%
16	2021-07-31	55.0	@ Buducnost Podgorica	1	1268	72.50%	Mornar	1	951	7.96%	19.54%
17	2021-12-05	54.7	@ Sutjeska	1	1282	70.56%	Mornar	1	992	8.97%	20.47%
18	2022-05-08	54.5	Decic Tuzi	2	1219	14.80%	@ Sutjeska	1	1398	61.19%	24.01%
19	2022-05-20	54.5	@ Petrovac	1	1059	10.83%	Sutjeska	1	1362	67.29%	21.89%
20	2022-02-24	54.0	@ Iskra	3	1217	31.20%	Buducnost Podgorica	2	1282	41.81%	26.99%
21	2022-03-20	54.0	@ Sutjeska	1	1338	61.16%	Petrovac	1	1159	14.82%	24.02%
22	2022-05-24	53.9	Podgorica	2	1022	13.20%	@ Decic Tuzi	1	1226	63.53%	23.27%
23	2022-03-20	53.7	Jezero	2	1122	14.81%	@ Buducnost Podgorica	1	1301	61.18%	24.01%
24	2022-03-01	53.6	@ Rudar	1	1106	17.08%	Sutjeska	1	1308	58.08%	24.84%
25	2021-08-29	53.5	@ Decic Tuzi	1	1231	27.38%	Sutjeska	1	1327	45.89%	26.73%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2022-04-24	24.5	@ Sutjeska	3	1374	73.18%	Rudar	0	1047	7.63%	19.20%
2	2021-10-17	27.2	Buducnost Podgorica	3	1276	63.76%	@ Mornar	0	1015	13.05%	23.20%
3	2021-10-16	27.4	@ Sutjeska	2	1344	70.16%	Zeta	0	1059	9.19%	20.65%
4	2022-04-02	27.5	Sutjeska	2	1334	69.59%	@ Mornar	0	1003	9.50%	20.91%
5	2022-04-10	27.9	Buducnost Podgorica	2	1308	67.85%	@ Mornar	0	998	10.49%	21.66%
6	2022-05-24	27.9	@ Buducnost Podgorica	6	1323	68.18%	Petrovac	0	1063	10.30%	21.52%
7	2021-09-26	28.0	Sutjeska	2	1331	67.93%	@ Mornar	0	1021	10.44%	21.62%
8	2022-03-20	28.1	@ Decic Tuzi	4	1196	60.62%	Mornar	0	1023	15.21%	24.17%
9	2022-04-06	28.1	@ Buducnost Podgorica	2	1300	67.56%	Rudar	0	1048	10.66%	21.78%
10	2021-12-08	28.6	@ Sutjeska	3	1278	59.46%	Podgorica	0	1117	16.05%	24.49%
11	2022-04-30	29.2	Sutjeska	3	1381	58.88%	@ Iskra	0	1172	16.48%	24.64%
12	2021-10-23	29.4	Sutjeska	2	1350	63.75%	@ Jezero	0	1089	13.05%	23.20%
13	2021-12-08	29.6	@ Petrovac	2	1186	62.25%	Mornar	0	996	14.06%	23.69%
14	2022-04-10	29.7	@ Sutjeska	6	1346	67.45%	Zeta	1	1095	10.73%	21.82%
15	2021-08-08	30.2	@ Sutjeska	2	1298	60.76%	Jezero	0	1123	15.11%	24.13%
16	2022-04-24	30.3	Buducnost Podgorica	5	1326	66.28%	@ Podgorica	1	1035	11.44%	22.29%
17	2021-10-03	30.5	@ Buducnost Podgorica	3	1255	53.24%	Rudar	0	1153	20.93%	25.82%
18	2022-03-20	31.0	@ Iskra	2	1217	57.66%	Podgorica	0	1074	17.40%	24.93%
19	2021-08-07	31.9	@ Decic Tuzi	3	1194	48.24%	Rudar	0	1133	25.25%	26.51%
20	2021-08-02	32.0	Sutjeska	4	1265	48.16%	@ Zeta	0	1152	25.32%	26.52%
21	2022-04-16	32.1	Sutjeska	2	1360	55.69%	@ Jezero	0	1182	18.94%	25.37%
22	2021-08-29	32.6	@ Buducnost Podgorica	5	1255	58.58%	Zeta	1	1103	16.70%	24.71%
23	2021-10-16	32.7	@ Decic Tuzi	2	1197	52.14%	Jezero	0	1104	21.86%	26.00%
24	2022-04-06	32.8	Sutjeska	1	1341	65.28%	@ Podgorica	0	1063	12.06%	22.66%
25	2022-03-05	33.2	@ Sutjeska	2	1305	51.76%	Iskra	0	1215	22.18%	26.06%