2020-21 Montenegrin First League Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Buducnost Podgorica

85 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Buducnost Podgorica

16.19 points above expected

85 points · 68.81 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Iskra

7.97 points below expected

44 points · 51.97 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Buducnost Podgorica	36	27	4	5	85	62	29	+33	68.81	+16.19
2	Sutjeska	36	15	12	9	57	56	34	+22	64.22	-7.22
3	Decic Tuzi	36	13	15	8	54	39	28	+11	47.91	+6.09
4	Podgorica	36	15	7	14	52	39	38	+1	53.17	-1.17
5	Zeta	36	13	7	16	46	34	38	-4	49.43	-3.43
6	Rudar	36	13	6	17	45	38	50	-12	40.72	+4.28
7	Jezero	36	12	9	15	45	28	34	-6	39.20	+5.80
8	Iskra	36	9	17	10	44	28	29	-1	51.97	-7.97
9	Petrovac	36	7	11	18	32	29	45	-16	36.86	-4.86
10	Titograd	36	7	10	19	31	23	51	-28	37.96	-6.96

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Buducnost Podgorica	85	68.81	+16.19
2	Decic Tuzi	54	47.91	+6.09
3	Jezero	45	39.20	+5.80
4	Rudar	45	40.72	+4.28
5	Podgorica	52	53.17	-1.17

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Iskra	44	51.97	-7.97
2	Sutjeska	57	64.22	-7.22
3	Titograd	31	37.96	-6.96
4	Petrovac	32	36.86	-4.86
5	Zeta	46	49.43	-3.43

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Rudar	7	Dec 6 – Mar 6	1 in 5,533
2	Buducnost Podgorica	10	Oct 31 – Dec 17	1 in 599
3	Petrovac	3	Apr 25 – May 9	1 in 101
4	Decic Tuzi	3	Mar 10 – Mar 20	1 in 30
5	Titograd	2	May 19 – May 25	1 in 29

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Zeta	4	Feb 23 – Mar 10	1 in 80
2	Sutjeska	3	Oct 31 – Nov 8	1 in 57
3	Podgorica	3	Oct 25 – Nov 4	1 in 39
4	Iskra	3	Nov 29 – Dec 6	1 in 34
5	Petrovac	4	Sep 12 – Oct 4	1 in 30

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Decic Tuzi	15	Aug 14 – Nov 29	1 in 2,723
2	Rudar	10	Dec 6 – Mar 20	1 in 486
3	Buducnost Podgorica	23	Sep 12 – Mar 20	1 in 217
4	Jezero	7	Apr 11 – May 14	1 in 47
5	Petrovac	5	Apr 11 – May 9	1 in 34

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Iskra	12	Mar 6 – May 14	1 in 464
2	Titograd	13	Feb 28 – May 14	1 in 39
3	Sutjeska	5	Oct 17 – Nov 8	1 in 33
4	Podgorica	6	Oct 25 – Nov 29	1 in 25
5	Petrovac	9	Aug 15 – Oct 25	1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Buducnost Podgorica	1366	82	-6	10	10.2	-0.2
Sutjeska	1322	57	+13	9	9.2	-0.2
Decic Tuzi	1207	54	-6	5	7.3	-2.3
Podgorica	1218	52	-15	6	7.2	-1.2
Zeta	1206	46	-4	6	6.4	-0.4
Jezero	1160	45	+12	10	5.8	+4.2
Rudar	1148	45	-9	4	4.8	-0.8
Iskra	1226	44	+1	6	7.7	-1.7
Petrovac	1129	32	+9	7	5.0	+2.0
Titograd	1118	31	+6	7	4.7	+2.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BP	DT	ISK	JEZ	PET	POD	RUD	SUT	TIT	ZET
Buducnost Podgorica	—	2-1-1 7.60	3-1-0 7.16	4-0-0 8.15	3-0-1 8.63	2-0-2 7.10	3-1-0 8.14	3-1-0 5.95	4-0-0 8.17	3-0-1 7.34
Decic Tuzi	1-1-2 3.40	—	1-2-1 4.83	0-3-1 6.18	1-3-0 6.70	1-1-2 4.89	2-1-1 6.12	2-2-0 3.94	2-1-1 6.49	3-1-0 4.91
Iskra	0-1-3 3.78	1-2-1 6.03	—	2-2-0 6.52	1-1-2 6.96	1-2-1 5.34	1-1-2 6.72	1-2-1 4.25	0-4-0 6.87	2-2-0 5.45
Jezero	0-0-4 2.94	1-3-0 4.68	0-2-2 4.36	—	4-0-0 5.65	1-1-2 4.07	2-0-2 5.37	1-1-2 3.35	2-1-1 5.69	1-1-2 4.28
Petrovac	1-0-3 2.55	0-3-1 4.20	2-1-1 3.96	0-0-4 5.19	—	3-0-1 3.85	1-1-2 5.04	0-2-2 3.10	0-2-2 5.31	0-2-2 4.06
Podgorica	2-0-2 3.84	2-1-1 5.97	1-2-1 5.50	2-1-1 6.83	1-0-3 7.08	—	2-0-2 6.76	0-2-2 4.44	3-0-1 6.78	2-1-1 5.74
Rudar	0-1-3 2.95	1-1-2 4.73	2-1-1 4.18	2-0-2 5.48	2-1-1 5.81	2-0-2 4.13	—	0-1-3 3.36	3-1-0 5.49	1-0-3 4.48
Sutjeska	0-1-3 4.90	0-2-2 6.98	1-2-1 6.63	2-1-1 7.66	2-2-0 7.96	2-2-0 6.43	3-1-0 7.65	—	2-1-1 7.95	3-0-1 6.70
Titograd	0-0-4 2.93	1-1-2 4.39	0-4-0 4.04	1-1-2 5.15	2-2-0 5.53	1-0-3 4.12	0-1-3 5.35	1-1-2 3.10	—	1-0-3 4.23
Zeta	1-0-3 3.62	0-1-3 5.94	0-2-2 5.39	2-1-1 6.60	2-2-0 6.85	1-1-2 5.11	3-0-1 6.40	1-0-3 4.20	3-0-1 6.66	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.81	+10.8
Allowed	0.41	-11.4
Differential	0.86	+7.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	13.61%	7.22%	2.22%	1.94%	—	36.11%
1	13.61%	13.89%	5.83%	2.50%	0.56%	—	36.39%
2	7.22%	5.83%	1.67%	0.83%	1.11%	—	16.67%
3	2.22%	2.50%	0.83%	0.56%	0.28%	—	6.39%
4	1.94%	0.56%	1.11%	0.28%	—	—	3.89%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	0.56%	0.56%
Total	36.11%	36.39%	16.67%	6.39%	3.89%	0.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.04	1.04	+0.00
SD	1.08	1.08	1.55
CV	1.04	1.04	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	-1	-1	-4

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	2.78%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	11.11%
1	25.00%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	36.11%
2	13.89%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	—	27.78%
3	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	13.89%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%	2.78%
Total	44.44%	30.56%	19.44%	—	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.69	0.78	+0.92
SD	1.28	0.99	1.57
CV	0.76	1.27	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	-1	-1	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	22.22%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	41.67%
1	5.56%	16.67%	2.78%	—	—	—	25.00%
2	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	19.44%
3	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	44.44%	41.67%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.08	0.78	+0.31
SD	1.16	0.93	1.58
CV	1.07	1.19	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	22.22%	16.67%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	47.22%
1	8.33%	22.22%	—	—	—	—	30.56%
2	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
3	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	41.67%	44.44%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.78	0.81	-0.03
SD	0.87	0.92	1.28
CV	1.11	1.14	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	19.44%	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	—	41.67%
1	22.22%	5.56%	13.89%	—	—	—	41.67%
2	5.56%	2.78%	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	13.89%
3	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	47.22%	19.44%	27.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.78	0.94	-0.17
SD	0.80	1.07	1.16
CV	1.02	1.13	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	25.00%	11.11%	—	—	—	44.44%
1	8.33%	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	38.89%
2	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
3	—	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.44%	50.00%	19.44%	8.33%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.81	1.25	-0.44
SD	0.92	0.97	1.23
CV	1.14	0.77	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	22.22%	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	33.33%
1	13.89%	16.67%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	36.11%
2	5.56%	13.89%	—	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
3	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	55.56%	2.78%	11.11%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.08	1.06	+0.03
SD	1.02	1.01	1.65
CV	0.95	0.96	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	8.33%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	—	36.11%
1	16.67%	8.33%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	41.67%
2	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	—	11.11%
3	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	2.78%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	22.22%	25.00%	11.11%	8.33%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.06	1.39	-0.33
SD	1.17	1.29	1.82
CV	1.11	0.93	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
1	2.78%	19.44%	8.33%	—	—	—	30.56%
2	13.89%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	19.44%
3	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	13.89%
4	8.33%	—	—	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	38.89%	36.11%	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.56	0.94	+0.61
SD	1.32	0.95	1.69
CV	0.85	1.01	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	13.89%	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	—	50.00%
1	13.89%	11.11%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	38.89%
2	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	8.33%
3	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	30.56%	22.22%	11.11%	8.33%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.64	1.42	-0.78
SD	0.76	1.25	1.46
CV	1.19	0.88	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	13.89%	11.11%	—	—	—	30.56%
1	19.44%	13.89%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	44.44%
2	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	2.78%	—	16.67%
3	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%	2.78%
Total	36.11%	33.33%	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.92	1.03	-0.11
SD	0.91	1.18	1.37
CV	0.99	1.15	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	-1	-1	-2

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Buducnost Podgorica	1366	85	68.81	+16.19	99.0%	52	58	64	68	73	80	86
Sutjeska	1322	57	64.22	-7.22	17.0%	43	54	58	64	69	76	80
Iskra	1226	44	51.97	-7.97	20.0%	28	36	46	52	57	66	72
Podgorica	1218	52	53.17	-1.17	53.0%	31	40	49	52	59	65	73
Decic Tuzi	1207	54	47.91	+6.09	87.0%	21	35	44	48	52	60	65
Zeta	1206	46	49.43	-3.43	35.0%	26	37	43	49	55	63	67
Jezero	1160	45	39.20	+5.80	77.0%	21	27	33	39	45	52	60
Rudar	1148	45	40.72	+4.28	69.0%	25	28	34	40	47	52	57
Petrovac	1129	32	36.86	-4.86	22.0%	19	25	33	36	42	48	52
Titograd	1118	31	37.96	-6.96	20.0%	22	27	32	37	43	49	57

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+5.00%

No Edge

38.89%27.22%33.89%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 15.45 Elo pts.

218 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0600

Scoring Tilt

Expected

-0.03 goals

Neutral

-2+0.07+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.2

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

61%

Buducnost Podgorica, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.78/gm

Runaway

00.201.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.98 * Some Luck: 5.98 to 8.96 * Lucky: 8.96 to 11.95 * Wild Swing: 11.95 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.09 * Close: 1.09 to 1.63 * Off: 1.63 to 2.18 * Way Off: 2.18 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

7.48 points

Some Luck

07.4719

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.20

01.363

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

99.00%

Buducnost Podgorica

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

17.00%

Sutjeska

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.15

Even

00.130.20.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 80.62

1.95

Strong Separation

0.751.51.82.153

Interquartile Edge

60%

Even

50%63.5%74.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

81%

Even

50%82%100%

Close Games

Expected

69%

Very Frequent

0%67%100%

Blowouts

Expected

Rare

0%11%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.63

Hard to Predict

00.632

Matchup Imbalance

0.28

Very Even

00.340.420.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.11

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.41

Some Carryover

00.380.570.71

Upset Rate

Expected

26%

Very Upset-Prone

0%26%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

25%

Very Shaky

0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.

Probability calibration

0.61

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.94

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.121

Well Within Noise

00.1280.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Buducnost Podgorica	61.00%	26.00%	10.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Sutjeska	29.00%	44.00%	19.00%	5.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—
Decic Tuzi	—	3.00%	12.00%	17.00%	25.00%	17.00%	13.00%	6.00%	5.00%	2.00%
Podgorica	4.00%	7.00%	22.00%	25.00%	14.00%	15.00%	6.00%	2.00%	4.00%	1.00%
Zeta	1.00%	9.00%	14.00%	10.00%	17.00%	16.00%	19.00%	11.00%	1.00%	2.00%
Rudar	—	—	2.00%	5.00%	13.00%	15.00%	14.00%	17.00%	15.00%	19.00%
Jezero	—	—	3.00%	7.00%	4.00%	12.00%	14.00%	19.00%	26.00%	15.00%
Iskra	5.00%	11.00%	16.00%	23.00%	16.00%	10.00%	7.00%	6.00%	3.00%	3.00%
Petrovac	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	3.00%	7.00%	13.00%	22.00%	26.00%	26.00%
Titograd	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	6.00%	8.00%	13.00%	17.00%	20.00%	32.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Buducnost Podgorica	100%	—	—
Sutjeska	100%	—	—
Podgorica	93.00%	6.00%	1.00%
Decic Tuzi	87.00%	11.00%	2.00%
Zeta	86.00%	12.00%	2.00%
Iskra	88.00%	9.00%	3.00%
Jezero	40.00%	45.00%	15.00%
Rudar	49.00%	32.00%	19.00%
Petrovac	26.00%	48.00%	26.00%
Titograd	31.00%	37.00%	32.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2020-08-14	Buducnost Podgorica	W 2-0	43.5	1152	1320	19.18%	24.63%	56.20%	-0.70	+12.2	3
2020-08-14	@ Decic Tuzi	L 0-2	43.5	1320	1152	56.20%	24.63%	19.18%	+0.70	-12.1	0
2020-08-15	Iskra	L 0-1	42.5	1224	1238	35.75%	29.03%	35.22%	+0.01	-4.6	0
2020-08-15	@ Zeta	W 1-0	42.5	1238	1224	35.22%	29.03%	35.75%	-0.01	+4.6	3
2020-08-15	Petrovac	D 3-3	64.5	1298	1153	57.12%	24.24%	18.64%	+0.73	-0.6	1
2020-08-15	@ Sutjeska	D 3-3	64.5	1153	1298	18.64%	24.24%	57.12%	-0.73	+0.6	1
2020-08-15	Rudar	W 1-0	41.5	1152	1154	37.55%	28.99%	33.46%	+0.07	+4.4	3
2020-08-15	@ Jezero	L 0-1	41.5	1154	1152	33.46%	28.99%	37.55%	-0.07	-4.4	0
2020-08-15	Titograd	W 2-0	36.1	1225	1184	43.52%	28.37%	28.11%	+0.26	+7.2	3
2020-08-15	@ Podgorica	L 0-2	36.1	1184	1225	28.11%	28.37%	43.52%	-0.26	-7.2	0
2020-08-22	Zeta	D 1-1	54.1	1157	1219	29.23%	28.57%	42.20%	-0.22	+0.3	4
2020-08-22	@ Jezero	D 1-1	54.1	1219	1157	42.20%	28.57%	29.23%	+0.22	-0.3	1
2020-08-23	Decic Tuzi	D 0-0	48.7	1242	1164	48.62%	27.24%	24.13%	+0.43	-0.7	4
2020-08-23	@ Iskra	D 0-0	48.7	1164	1242	24.13%	27.24%	48.62%	-0.43	+0.7	4
2020-08-23	Podgorica	L 0-1	39.6	1154	1232	27.46%	28.23%	44.31%	-0.29	-3.8	1
2020-08-23	@ Petrovac	W 1-0	39.6	1232	1154	44.31%	28.23%	27.46%	+0.29	+3.8	6
2020-08-23	Sutjeska	W 1-0	41.9	1307	1297	39.22%	28.89%	31.89%	+0.12	+4.2	3
2020-08-23	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-1	41.9	1297	1307	31.89%	28.89%	39.22%	-0.12	-4.2	1
2020-08-23	Titograd	W 3-1	44.9	1149	1176	33.82%	29.01%	37.17%	-0.05	+7.7	3
2020-08-23	@ Rudar	L 1-3	44.9	1176	1149	37.17%	29.01%	33.82%	+0.05	-7.7	0
2020-08-29	Buducnost Podgorica	W 4-0	39.8	1236	1312	27.68%	28.27%	44.05%	-0.28	+19.1	9
2020-08-29	@ Podgorica	L 0-4	39.8	1312	1236	44.05%	28.27%	27.68%	+0.28	-19.1	3
2020-08-29	Jezero	D 0-0	48.1	1165	1157	38.80%	28.92%	32.28%	+0.11	-0.2	5
2020-08-29	@ Decic Tuzi	D 0-0	48.1	1157	1165	32.28%	28.92%	38.80%	-0.11	+0.2	5
2020-08-29	Petrovac	D 2-2	60.0	1169	1150	40.33%	28.79%	30.87%	+0.16	-0.2	1
2020-08-29	@ Titograd	D 2-2	60.0	1150	1169	30.87%	28.79%	40.33%	-0.16	+0.2	2
2020-09-12	Decic Tuzi	L 0-2	41.1	1219	1165	45.40%	28.01%	26.58%	+0.32	-10.3	1
2020-09-12	@ Zeta	W 2-0	41.1	1165	1219	26.58%	28.01%	45.40%	-0.32	+10.3	8
2020-09-12	Petrovac	W 1-0	41.2	1157	1151	38.62%	28.93%	32.45%	+0.10	+4.3	6
2020-09-12	@ Rudar	L 0-1	41.2	1151	1157	32.45%	28.93%	38.62%	-0.10	-4.3	2
2020-09-12	Podgorica	D 1-1	54.2	1242	1255	35.82%	29.03%	35.14%	+0.01	-0.0	5
2020-09-12	@ Iskra	D 1-1	54.2	1255	1242	35.14%	29.03%	35.82%	-0.01	+0.0	10
2020-09-12	Sutjeska	L 0-2	33.6	1157	1293	21.75%	26.19%	52.06%	-0.55	-5.8	5
2020-09-12	@ Jezero	W 2-0	33.6	1293	1157	52.06%	26.19%	21.75%	+0.55	+5.7	4
2020-09-12	Titograd	W 3-1	38.9	1292	1169	54.59%	25.27%	20.14%	+0.64	+4.6	6
2020-09-12	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-3	38.9	1169	1292	20.14%	25.27%	54.59%	-0.64	-4.6	1
2020-09-16	Iskra	W 3-2	50.8	1298	1242	45.69%	27.95%	26.35%	+0.33	+3.2	7
2020-09-16	@ Sutjeska	L 2-3	50.8	1242	1298	26.35%	27.95%	45.69%	-0.33	-3.2	5
2020-09-16	Rudar	W 2-1	46.1	1209	1161	44.45%	28.20%	27.35%	+0.29	+3.5	4
2020-09-16	@ Zeta	L 1-2	46.1	1161	1209	27.35%	28.20%	44.45%	-0.29	-3.5	6
2020-09-20	Iskra	D 1-1	54.2	1164	1238	27.85%	28.31%	43.84%	-0.27	+0.4	2
2020-09-20	@ Titograd	D 1-1	54.2	1238	1164	43.84%	28.31%	27.85%	+0.27	-0.4	6
2020-09-20	Jezero	W 1-0	37.3	1255	1151	51.93%	26.23%	21.84%	+0.55	+3.1	13
2020-09-20	@ Podgorica	L 0-1	37.3	1151	1255	21.84%	26.23%	51.93%	-0.55	-3.0	5
2020-09-20	Rudar	W 4-1	39.9	1175	1158	40.17%	28.81%	31.02%	+0.15	+9.5	11
2020-09-20	@ Decic Tuzi	L 1-4	39.9	1158	1175	31.02%	28.81%	40.17%	-0.15	-9.5	6
2020-09-20	Zeta	L 0-2	42.5	1302	1212	50.08%	26.82%	23.10%	+0.48	-11.1	7
2020-09-20	@ Sutjeska	W 2-0	42.5	1212	1302	23.10%	26.82%	50.08%	-0.48	+11.1	7
2020-09-26	Titograd	W 1-0	42.2	1148	1164	35.43%	29.04%	35.54%	+0.00	+4.6	8
2020-09-26	@ Jezero	L 0-1	42.2	1164	1148	35.54%	29.04%	35.43%	+0.00	-4.6	2
2020-09-27	Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-2	43.4	1148	1297	20.61%	25.56%	53.83%	-0.61	-2.7	6
2020-09-27	@ Rudar	W 2-1	43.4	1297	1148	53.83%	25.56%	20.61%	+0.61	+2.7	9
2020-09-27	Petrovac	W 1-0	37.7	1238	1146	50.41%	26.72%	22.87%	+0.49	+3.2	9
2020-09-27	@ Iskra	L 0-1	37.7	1146	1238	22.87%	26.72%	50.41%	-0.49	-3.2	2
2020-09-27	Podgorica	D 1-1	54.2	1223	1258	32.85%	28.96%	38.19%	-0.09	+0.1	8
2020-09-27	@ Zeta	D 1-1	54.2	1258	1223	38.19%	28.96%	32.85%	+0.09	-0.1	14
2020-09-27	Sutjeska	D 1-1	54.6	1184	1291	24.46%	27.36%	48.18%	-0.42	+0.6	12
2020-09-27	@ Decic Tuzi	D 1-1	54.6	1291	1184	48.18%	27.36%	24.46%	+0.42	-0.6	8
2020-09-30	Decic Tuzi	D 1-1	54.5	1258	1185	47.88%	27.44%	24.68%	+0.41	-0.6	15
2020-09-30	@ Podgorica	D 1-1	54.5	1185	1258	24.68%	27.44%	47.88%	-0.41	+0.6	13
2020-09-30	Iskra	W 1-0	39.5	1300	1241	45.95%	27.90%	26.15%	+0.34	+3.6	12
2020-09-30	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-1	39.5	1241	1300	26.15%	27.90%	45.95%	-0.34	-3.6	9
2020-09-30	Jezero	L 0-1	42.4	1143	1153	36.29%	29.03%	34.68%	+0.03	-4.6	2
2020-09-30	@ Petrovac	W 1-0	42.4	1153	1143	34.68%	29.03%	36.29%	-0.03	+4.6	11
2020-09-30	Rudar	W 2-0	32.0	1290	1145	57.19%	24.21%	18.60%	+0.74	+4.9	11
2020-09-30	@ Sutjeska	L 0-2	32.0	1145	1290	18.60%	24.21%	57.19%	-0.74	-4.9	6
2020-09-30	Zeta	W 1-0	44.1	1160	1224	29.10%	28.55%	42.36%	-0.22	+5.2	5
2020-09-30	@ Titograd	L 0-1	44.1	1224	1160	42.36%	28.55%	29.10%	+0.22	-5.2	8
2020-10-04	Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-2	33.2	1158	1303	20.88%	25.71%	53.41%	-0.60	-5.5	11
2020-10-04	@ Jezero	W 2-0	33.2	1303	1158	53.41%	25.71%	20.88%	+0.60	+5.5	15
2020-10-04	Iskra	W 4-0	40.1	1140	1238	25.37%	27.67%	46.97%	-0.38	+20.1	9
2020-10-04	@ Rudar	L 0-4	40.1	1238	1140	46.97%	27.67%	25.37%	+0.38	-20.1	9
2020-10-04	Petrovac	W 1-0	38.2	1218	1138	48.84%	27.18%	23.97%	+0.44	+3.3	11
2020-10-04	@ Zeta	L 0-1	38.2	1138	1218	23.97%	27.18%	48.84%	-0.44	-3.3	2
2020-10-04	Podgorica	W 3-0	35.0	1295	1257	43.04%	28.44%	28.51%	+0.24	+10.6	14
2020-10-04	@ Sutjeska	L 0-3	35.0	1257	1295	28.51%	28.44%	43.04%	-0.24	-10.6	15
2020-10-04	Titograd	W 3-0	35.2	1186	1165	40.64%	28.76%	30.60%	+0.17	+11.2	16
2020-10-04	@ Decic Tuzi	L 0-3	35.2	1165	1186	30.60%	28.76%	40.64%	-0.17	-11.2	5
2020-10-17	Zeta	FW	46.4	1309	1222	49.80%	26.91%	23.29%	+0.47	+0.0	18
2020-10-17	@ Buducnost Podgorica	FL	46.4	1222	1309	23.29%	26.91%	49.80%	-0.47	+0.0	11
2020-10-17	Decic Tuzi	D 1-1	54.0	1135	1197	29.36%	28.59%	42.06%	-0.21	+0.3	3
2020-10-17	@ Petrovac	D 1-1	54.0	1197	1135	42.06%	28.59%	29.36%	+0.21	-0.3	17
2020-10-17	Jezero	W 2-1	45.4	1218	1152	46.87%	27.69%	25.44%	+0.37	+3.3	12
2020-10-17	@ Iskra	L 1-2	45.4	1152	1218	25.44%	27.69%	46.87%	-0.37	-3.3	11
2020-10-17	Rudar	W 2-0	34.2	1247	1161	49.66%	26.95%	23.39%	+0.47	+6.2	18
2020-10-17	@ Podgorica	L 0-2	34.2	1161	1247	23.39%	26.95%	49.66%	-0.47	-6.2	9
2020-10-17	Sutjeska	D 0-0	49.3	1154	1305	20.41%	25.44%	54.15%	-0.63	+1.0	6
2020-10-17	@ Titograd	D 0-0	49.3	1305	1154	54.15%	25.44%	20.41%	+0.63	-1.0	15
2020-10-25	Decic Tuzi	D 2-2	61.2	1309	1196	53.12%	25.82%	21.06%	+0.59	-0.6	19
2020-10-25	@ Buducnost Podgorica	D 2-2	61.2	1196	1309	21.06%	25.82%	53.12%	-0.59	+0.6	18
2020-10-25	Jezero	L 0-1	43.0	1154	1149	38.51%	28.94%	32.55%	+0.10	-4.8	9
2020-10-25	@ Rudar	W 1-0	43.0	1149	1154	32.55%	28.94%	38.51%	-0.10	+4.8	14
2020-10-25	Podgorica	W 1-0	45.3	1155	1253	25.28%	27.64%	47.08%	-0.38	+5.6	9
2020-10-25	@ Titograd	L 0-1	45.3	1253	1155	47.08%	27.64%	25.28%	+0.38	-5.6	18
2020-10-25	Sutjeska	D 1-1	55.4	1135	1304	19.08%	24.56%	56.36%	-0.71	+1.0	4
2020-10-25	@ Petrovac	D 1-1	55.4	1304	1135	56.36%	24.56%	19.08%	+0.71	-1.0	16
2020-10-25	Zeta	D 0-0	48.2	1221	1222	37.58%	28.99%	33.43%	+0.07	-0.1	13
2020-10-25	@ Iskra	D 0-0	48.2	1222	1221	33.43%	28.99%	37.58%	-0.07	+0.1	12
2020-10-31	Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-1	43.5	1303	1308	37.01%	29.01%	33.98%	+0.05	-4.7	16
2020-10-31	@ Sutjeska	W 1-0	43.5	1308	1303	33.98%	29.01%	37.01%	-0.05	+4.7	22
2020-10-31	Iskra	W 2-0	38.8	1197	1221	34.33%	29.02%	36.65%	-0.04	+8.8	21
2020-10-31	@ Decic Tuzi	L 0-2	38.8	1221	1197	36.65%	29.02%	34.33%	+0.04	-8.8	13
2020-10-31	Jezero	W 1-0	38.7	1222	1154	47.26%	27.60%	25.15%	+0.38	+3.5	15
2020-10-31	@ Zeta	L 0-1	38.7	1154	1222	25.15%	27.60%	47.26%	-0.38	-3.5	14
2020-10-31	Petrovac	L 1-3	48.8	1247	1136	52.89%	25.90%	21.21%	+0.58	-10.0	18
2020-10-31	@ Podgorica	W 3-1	48.8	1136	1247	21.21%	25.90%	52.89%	-0.58	+10.0	7
2020-10-31	Rudar	L 0-2	39.4	1160	1150	39.27%	28.89%	31.84%	+0.12	-9.3	9
2020-10-31	@ Titograd	W 2-0	39.4	1150	1160	31.84%	28.89%	39.27%	-0.12	+9.2	12
2020-11-04	Decic Tuzi	D 0-0	48.2	1150	1206	30.09%	28.70%	41.22%	-0.18	+0.3	15
2020-11-04	@ Jezero	D 0-0	48.2	1206	1150	41.22%	28.70%	30.09%	+0.18	-0.3	22
2020-11-04	Podgorica	W 1-0	38.8	1313	1237	48.30%	27.33%	24.37%	+0.42	+3.4	25
2020-11-04	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-1	38.8	1237	1313	24.37%	27.33%	48.30%	-0.42	-3.4	18
2020-11-04	Sutjeska	W 3-0	39.8	1212	1299	26.46%	27.98%	45.55%	-0.33	+15.0	16
2020-11-04	@ Iskra	L 0-3	39.8	1299	1212	45.55%	27.98%	26.46%	+0.33	-15.0	16
2020-11-04	Titograd	L 1-3	44.9	1146	1151	37.04%	29.01%	33.95%	+0.05	-7.7	7
2020-11-04	@ Petrovac	W 3-1	44.9	1151	1146	33.95%	29.01%	37.04%	-0.05	+7.7	12
2020-11-04	Zeta	L 0-3	34.6	1159	1225	28.77%	28.49%	42.75%	-0.23	-10.7	12
2020-11-04	@ Rudar	W 3-0	34.6	1225	1159	42.75%	28.49%	28.77%	+0.23	+10.7	18
2020-11-08	Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-4	31.4	1159	1316	19.94%	25.14%	54.92%	-0.65	-10.0	12
2020-11-08	@ Titograd	W 4-0	31.4	1316	1159	54.92%	25.14%	19.94%	+0.65	+10.0	28
2020-11-08	Iskra	D 1-1	54.1	1234	1227	38.68%	28.93%	32.39%	+0.10	-0.2	19
2020-11-08	@ Podgorica	D 1-1	54.1	1227	1234	32.39%	28.93%	38.68%	-0.10	+0.1	17
2020-11-08	Jezero	L 0-1	47.1	1284	1150	55.77%	24.80%	19.43%	+0.68	-6.4	16
2020-11-08	@ Sutjeska	W 1-0	47.1	1150	1284	19.43%	24.80%	55.77%	-0.68	+6.4	18
2020-11-08	Rudar	D 1-1	53.8	1139	1148	36.37%	29.03%	34.60%	+0.03	-0.0	8
2020-11-08	@ Petrovac	D 1-1	53.8	1148	1139	34.60%	29.03%	36.37%	-0.03	+0.0	13
2020-11-08	Zeta	D 0-0	48.2	1206	1236	33.39%	28.99%	37.63%	-0.07	+0.1	23
2020-11-08	@ Decic Tuzi	D 0-0	48.2	1236	1206	37.63%	28.99%	33.39%	+0.07	-0.1	19
2020-11-21	Decic Tuzi	L 0-3	35.0	1148	1206	29.86%	28.66%	41.47%	-0.19	-11.0	13
2020-11-21	@ Rudar	W 3-0	35.0	1206	1148	41.47%	28.66%	29.86%	+0.19	+11.0	26
2020-11-21	Petrovac	W 2-1	40.9	1326	1139	62.41%	21.77%	15.81%	+0.93	+2.0	31
2020-11-21	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-2	40.9	1139	1326	15.81%	21.77%	62.41%	-0.93	-2.0	8
2020-11-21	Podgorica	D 0-0	48.4	1157	1234	27.59%	28.26%	44.15%	-0.28	+0.5	19
2020-11-21	@ Jezero	D 0-0	48.4	1234	1157	44.15%	28.26%	27.59%	+0.28	-0.5	20
2020-11-21	Sutjeska	L 0-1	41.4	1236	1277	31.92%	28.89%	39.19%	-0.12	-4.2	19
2020-11-21	@ Zeta	W 1-0	41.4	1277	1236	39.19%	28.89%	31.92%	+0.12	+4.2	19
2020-11-21	Titograd	D 1-1	54.5	1227	1149	48.61%	27.25%	24.14%	+0.43	-0.6	18
2020-11-21	@ Iskra	D 1-1	54.5	1149	1227	24.14%	27.25%	48.61%	-0.43	+0.6	13
2020-11-29	Decic Tuzi	D 1-1	54.6	1282	1217	46.80%	27.71%	25.49%	+0.37	-0.5	20
2020-11-29	@ Sutjeska	D 1-1	54.6	1217	1282	25.49%	27.71%	46.80%	-0.37	+0.5	27
2020-11-29	Iskra	W 1-0	45.0	1137	1226	26.14%	27.90%	45.96%	-0.34	+5.5	11
2020-11-29	@ Petrovac	L 0-1	45.0	1226	1137	45.96%	27.90%	26.14%	+0.34	-5.5	18
2020-11-29	Jezero	W 1-0	41.8	1149	1157	36.58%	29.02%	34.39%	+0.03	+4.5	16
2020-11-29	@ Titograd	L 0-1	41.8	1157	1149	34.39%	29.02%	36.58%	-0.03	-4.5	19
2020-11-29	Rudar	W 4-2	39.4	1328	1137	62.83%	21.56%	15.60%	+0.95	+3.1	34
2020-11-29	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 2-4	39.4	1137	1328	15.60%	21.56%	62.83%	-0.95	-3.1	13
2020-11-29	Zeta	L 0-1	43.1	1233	1232	37.91%	28.97%	33.11%	+0.08	-4.8	20
2020-11-29	@ Podgorica	W 1-0	43.1	1232	1233	33.11%	28.97%	37.91%	-0.08	+4.8	22
2020-12-02	Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-2	34.9	1221	1332	24.02%	27.20%	48.78%	-0.44	-6.3	18
2020-12-02	@ Iskra	W 2-0	34.9	1332	1221	48.78%	27.20%	24.02%	+0.44	+6.3	37
2020-12-02	Petrovac	W 2-0	37.2	1153	1142	39.24%	28.89%	31.87%	+0.12	+8.0	22
2020-12-02	@ Jezero	L 0-2	37.2	1142	1153	31.87%	28.89%	39.24%	-0.12	-8.0	11
2020-12-02	Podgorica	L 0-3	37.1	1217	1228	36.12%	29.03%	34.85%	+0.02	-12.7	27
2020-12-02	@ Decic Tuzi	W 3-0	37.1	1228	1217	34.85%	29.03%	36.12%	-0.02	+12.7	23
2020-12-02	Sutjeska	L 0-4	31.7	1134	1281	20.78%	25.66%	53.56%	-0.60	-10.4	13
2020-12-02	@ Rudar	W 4-0	31.7	1281	1134	53.56%	25.66%	20.78%	+0.60	+10.4	23
2020-12-02	Titograd	W 1-0	38.1	1236	1154	49.19%	27.09%	23.73%	+0.45	+3.3	25
2020-12-02	@ Zeta	L 0-1	38.1	1154	1236	23.73%	27.09%	49.19%	-0.45	-3.3	16
2020-12-06	Decic Tuzi	D 1-1	54.0	1151	1205	30.31%	28.72%	40.97%	-0.18	+0.3	17
2020-12-06	@ Titograd	D 1-1	54.0	1205	1151	40.97%	28.72%	30.31%	+0.18	-0.3	28
2020-12-06	Jezero	W 2-1	41.4	1338	1161	61.15%	22.40%	16.45%	+0.88	+2.1	40
2020-12-06	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-2	41.4	1161	1338	16.45%	22.40%	61.15%	-0.88	-2.1	22
2020-12-06	Rudar	L 0-1	45.9	1215	1124	50.31%	26.75%	22.94%	+0.49	-5.9	18
2020-12-06	@ Iskra	W 1-0	45.9	1124	1215	22.94%	26.75%	50.31%	-0.49	+5.9	16
2020-12-06	Sutjeska	D 1-1	54.4	1241	1291	30.74%	28.78%	40.48%	-0.16	+0.2	24
2020-12-06	@ Podgorica	D 1-1	54.4	1291	1241	40.48%	28.78%	30.74%	+0.16	-0.2	24
2020-12-06	Zeta	D 1-1	54.4	1134	1240	24.52%	27.38%	48.10%	-0.41	+0.6	12
2020-12-06	@ Petrovac	D 1-1	54.4	1240	1134	48.10%	27.38%	24.52%	+0.41	-0.6	26
2020-12-09	Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-2	35.5	1239	1340	24.99%	27.55%	47.46%	-0.39	-6.5	26
2020-12-09	@ Zeta	W 2-0	35.5	1340	1239	47.46%	27.55%	24.99%	+0.39	+6.5	43
2020-12-09	Iskra	L 0-2	36.9	1159	1209	30.80%	28.78%	40.41%	-0.16	-7.8	22
2020-12-09	@ Jezero	W 2-0	36.9	1209	1159	40.41%	28.78%	30.80%	+0.16	+7.8	21
2020-12-09	Petrovac	W 1-0	38.6	1204	1135	47.42%	27.55%	25.02%	+0.39	+3.5	31
2020-12-09	@ Decic Tuzi	L 0-1	38.6	1135	1204	25.02%	27.55%	47.42%	-0.39	-3.5	12
2020-12-09	Podgorica	W 1-0	45.7	1130	1241	23.92%	27.16%	48.92%	-0.44	+5.8	19
2020-12-09	@ Rudar	L 0-1	45.7	1241	1130	48.92%	27.16%	23.92%	+0.44	-5.8	24
2020-12-09	Titograd	W 3-0	30.6	1291	1151	56.66%	24.44%	18.91%	+0.72	+7.2	27
2020-12-09	@ Sutjeska	L 0-3	30.6	1151	1291	18.91%	24.44%	56.66%	-0.72	-7.2	17
2020-12-13	Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-4	32.4	1208	1347	21.46%	26.04%	52.50%	-0.57	-10.8	31
2020-12-13	@ Decic Tuzi	W 4-0	32.4	1347	1208	52.50%	26.04%	21.46%	+0.57	+10.8	46
2020-12-13	Iskra	L 0-2	39.9	1233	1216	40.02%	28.82%	31.15%	+0.15	-9.4	26
2020-12-13	@ Zeta	W 2-0	39.9	1216	1233	31.15%	28.82%	40.02%	-0.15	+9.4	24
2020-12-13	Petrovac	W 2-1	41.5	1298	1131	59.95%	22.97%	17.08%	+0.84	+2.2	30
2020-12-13	@ Sutjeska	L 1-2	41.5	1131	1298	17.08%	22.97%	59.95%	-0.84	-2.2	12
2020-12-13	Rudar	L 1-2	50.0	1151	1135	39.94%	28.83%	31.23%	+0.14	-4.7	22
2020-12-13	@ Jezero	W 2-1	50.0	1135	1151	31.23%	28.83%	39.94%	-0.14	+4.7	22
2020-12-13	Titograd	W 2-1	44.3	1235	1144	50.41%	26.72%	22.87%	+0.49	+3.0	27
2020-12-13	@ Podgorica	L 1-2	44.3	1144	1235	22.87%	26.72%	50.41%	-0.49	-3.0	17
2020-12-17	Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-1	34.0	1129	1357	15.27%	21.22%	63.51%	-0.98	-2.1	12
2020-12-17	@ Petrovac	W 1-0	34.0	1357	1129	63.51%	21.22%	15.27%	+0.98	+2.1	49
2021-02-19	Decic Tuzi	W 2-1	47.0	1226	1197	41.81%	28.62%	29.57%	+0.20	+3.8	27
2021-02-19	@ Iskra	L 1-2	47.0	1197	1226	29.57%	28.62%	41.81%	-0.20	-3.8	31
2021-02-19	Podgorica	W 2-1	52.2	1127	1238	23.95%	27.17%	48.88%	-0.44	+5.5	15
2021-02-19	@ Petrovac	L 1-2	52.2	1238	1127	48.88%	27.17%	23.95%	+0.44	-5.5	27
2021-02-19	Sutjeska	D 1-1	55.5	1359	1301	45.96%	27.90%	26.14%	+0.34	-0.5	50
2021-02-19	@ Buducnost Podgorica	D 1-1	55.5	1301	1359	26.14%	27.90%	45.96%	-0.34	+0.5	31
2021-02-19	Titograd	W 4-2	46.7	1140	1141	37.63%	28.99%	33.38%	+0.07	+6.4	25
2021-02-19	@ Rudar	L 2-4	46.7	1141	1140	33.38%	28.99%	37.63%	-0.07	-6.4	17
2021-02-19	Zeta	L 0-1	39.6	1146	1223	27.55%	28.25%	44.20%	-0.28	-3.8	22
2021-02-19	@ Jezero	W 1-0	39.6	1223	1146	44.20%	28.25%	27.55%	+0.28	+3.8	29
2021-02-23	Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-1	38.3	1233	1359	22.59%	26.60%	50.82%	-0.51	-3.2	27
2021-02-23	@ Podgorica	W 1-0	38.3	1359	1233	50.82%	26.60%	22.59%	+0.51	+3.2	53
2021-02-23	Iskra	D 2-2	60.8	1301	1230	47.71%	27.48%	24.81%	+0.40	-0.4	32
2021-02-23	@ Sutjeska	D 2-2	60.8	1230	1301	24.81%	27.48%	47.71%	-0.40	+0.4	28
2021-02-23	Jezero	D 0-0	48.3	1193	1142	44.87%	28.12%	27.01%	+0.30	-0.5	32
2021-02-23	@ Decic Tuzi	D 0-0	48.3	1142	1193	27.01%	28.12%	44.87%	-0.30	+0.5	23
2021-02-23	Petrovac	W 1-0	41.4	1134	1133	37.96%	28.97%	33.07%	+0.08	+4.3	20
2021-02-23	@ Titograd	L 0-1	41.4	1133	1134	33.07%	28.97%	37.96%	-0.08	-4.3	15
2021-02-23	Rudar	L 0-1	45.7	1227	1146	48.93%	27.16%	23.91%	+0.44	-5.8	29
2021-02-23	@ Zeta	W 1-0	45.7	1146	1227	23.91%	27.16%	48.93%	-0.44	+5.8	28
2021-02-28	Decic Tuzi	L 1-2	50.6	1221	1193	41.76%	28.63%	29.61%	+0.20	-4.8	29
2021-02-28	@ Zeta	W 2-1	50.6	1193	1221	29.61%	28.63%	41.76%	-0.20	+4.8	35
2021-02-28	Petrovac	W 2-0	36.6	1152	1128	41.13%	28.71%	30.16%	+0.18	+7.6	31
2021-02-28	@ Rudar	L 0-2	36.6	1128	1152	30.16%	28.71%	41.13%	-0.18	-7.6	15
2021-02-28	Podgorica	W 1-0	41.7	1230	1230	37.75%	28.98%	33.27%	+0.07	+4.4	31
2021-02-28	@ Iskra	L 0-1	41.7	1230	1230	33.27%	28.98%	37.75%	-0.07	-4.4	27
2021-02-28	Sutjeska	L 0-2	32.7	1143	1301	19.93%	25.14%	54.94%	-0.65	-5.3	23
2021-02-28	@ Jezero	W 2-0	32.7	1301	1143	54.94%	25.14%	19.93%	+0.65	+5.3	35
2021-02-28	Titograd	W 1-0	33.2	1362	1139	66.52%	19.64%	13.84%	+1.10	+1.8	56
2021-02-28	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-1	33.2	1139	1362	13.84%	19.64%	66.52%	-1.10	-1.8	20
2021-03-06	Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-4	32.7	1121	1364	14.43%	20.31%	65.25%	-1.05	-4.5	15
2021-03-06	@ Petrovac	W 4-1	32.7	1364	1121	65.25%	20.31%	14.43%	+1.05	+4.5	59
2021-03-06	Iskra	D 0-0	48.5	1137	1234	25.32%	27.65%	47.03%	-0.38	+0.6	21
2021-03-06	@ Titograd	D 0-0	48.5	1234	1137	47.03%	27.65%	25.32%	+0.38	-0.6	32
2021-03-06	Jezero	W 2-1	44.5	1225	1138	49.87%	26.89%	23.24%	+0.47	+3.1	30
2021-03-06	@ Podgorica	L 1-2	44.5	1138	1225	23.24%	26.89%	49.87%	-0.47	-3.1	23
2021-03-06	Rudar	L 0-1	44.3	1198	1160	43.06%	28.44%	28.50%	+0.24	-5.3	35
2021-03-06	@ Decic Tuzi	W 1-0	44.3	1160	1198	28.50%	28.44%	43.06%	-0.24	+5.2	34
2021-03-06	Zeta	W 4-3	51.1	1306	1216	50.12%	26.81%	23.07%	+0.48	+2.8	38
2021-03-06	@ Sutjeska	L 3-4	51.1	1216	1306	23.07%	26.81%	50.12%	-0.48	-2.8	29
2021-03-10	Buducnost Podgorica	D 1-1	56.2	1165	1368	16.76%	22.68%	60.57%	-0.86	+1.2	35
2021-03-10	@ Rudar	D 1-1	56.2	1368	1165	60.57%	22.68%	16.76%	+0.86	-1.2	60
2021-03-10	Petrovac	D 0-0	49.1	1234	1116	53.79%	25.57%	20.64%	+0.61	-1.0	33
2021-03-10	@ Iskra	D 0-0	49.1	1116	1234	20.64%	25.57%	53.79%	-0.61	+1.0	16
2021-03-10	Podgorica	L 1-3	44.6	1214	1228	35.57%	29.04%	35.39%	+0.00	-7.5	29
2021-03-10	@ Zeta	W 3-1	44.6	1228	1214	35.39%	29.04%	35.57%	+0.00	+7.5	33
2021-03-10	Sutjeska	W 2-1	52.7	1192	1309	23.46%	26.98%	49.56%	-0.46	+5.5	38
2021-03-10	@ Decic Tuzi	L 1-2	52.7	1309	1192	49.56%	26.98%	23.46%	+0.46	-5.5	38
2021-03-14	Decic Tuzi	L 0-3	39.0	1236	1198	43.11%	28.43%	28.46%	+0.25	-14.4	33
2021-03-14	@ Podgorica	W 3-0	39.0	1198	1236	28.46%	28.43%	43.11%	-0.25	+14.4	41
2021-03-14	Iskra	W 1-0	36.9	1367	1233	55.91%	24.75%	19.34%	+0.69	+2.7	63
2021-03-14	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-1	36.9	1233	1367	19.34%	24.75%	55.91%	-0.69	-2.7	33
2021-03-14	Jezero	L 0-2	38.2	1117	1135	35.19%	29.03%	35.78%	-0.01	-8.6	16
2021-03-14	@ Petrovac	W 2-0	38.2	1135	1117	35.78%	29.03%	35.19%	+0.01	+8.6	26
2021-03-14	Rudar	D 1-1	55.4	1303	1166	56.25%	24.61%	19.15%	+0.70	-1.0	39
2021-03-14	@ Sutjeska	D 1-1	55.4	1166	1303	19.15%	24.61%	56.25%	-0.70	+1.0	36
2021-03-14	Zeta	L 0-2	36.1	1137	1206	28.51%	28.44%	43.05%	-0.24	-7.3	21
2021-03-14	@ Titograd	W 2-0	36.1	1206	1137	43.05%	28.44%	28.51%	+0.24	+7.3	32
2021-03-20	Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-2	40.8	1143	1370	15.35%	21.31%	63.34%	-0.97	-2.0	26
2021-03-20	@ Jezero	W 2-1	40.8	1370	1143	63.34%	21.31%	15.35%	+0.97	+2.0	66
2021-03-20	Iskra	D 0-0	48.3	1167	1230	29.21%	28.56%	42.23%	-0.22	+0.3	37
2021-03-20	@ Rudar	D 0-0	48.3	1230	1167	42.23%	28.56%	29.21%	+0.22	-0.4	34
2021-03-20	Petrovac	D 1-1	54.7	1213	1108	52.14%	26.16%	21.70%	+0.55	-0.8	33
2021-03-20	@ Zeta	D 1-1	54.7	1108	1213	21.70%	26.16%	52.14%	-0.55	+0.8	17
2021-03-20	Podgorica	D 1-1	54.9	1302	1222	48.95%	27.15%	23.90%	+0.44	-0.6	40
2021-03-20	@ Sutjeska	D 1-1	54.9	1222	1302	23.90%	27.15%	48.95%	-0.44	+0.6	34
2021-03-20	Titograd	W 1-0	38.1	1212	1130	49.14%	27.10%	23.76%	+0.45	+3.3	44
2021-03-20	@ Decic Tuzi	L 0-1	38.1	1130	1212	23.76%	27.10%	49.14%	-0.45	-3.3	21
2021-04-03	Decic Tuzi	D 0-0	48.6	1109	1216	24.44%	27.36%	48.20%	-0.42	+0.7	18
2021-04-03	@ Petrovac	D 0-0	48.6	1216	1109	48.20%	27.36%	24.44%	+0.42	-0.7	45
2021-04-03	Jezero	D 1-1	54.6	1230	1141	49.98%	26.85%	23.17%	+0.48	-0.7	35
2021-04-03	@ Iskra	D 1-1	54.6	1141	1230	23.17%	26.85%	49.98%	-0.48	+0.7	27
2021-04-03	Rudar	W 2-1	45.8	1222	1168	45.40%	28.02%	26.59%	+0.32	+3.5	37
2021-04-03	@ Podgorica	L 1-2	45.8	1168	1222	26.59%	28.02%	45.40%	-0.32	-3.4	37
2021-04-03	Sutjeska	L 0-4	30.6	1127	1302	18.65%	24.25%	57.10%	-0.73	-9.3	21
2021-04-03	@ Titograd	W 4-0	30.6	1302	1127	57.10%	24.25%	18.65%	+0.73	+9.3	43
2021-04-03	Zeta	L 0-1	48.2	1372	1213	59.00%	23.41%	17.59%	+0.80	-6.7	66
2021-04-03	@ Buducnost Podgorica	W 1-0	48.2	1213	1372	17.59%	23.41%	59.00%	-0.80	+6.7	36
2021-04-07	Decic Tuzi	W 2-0	32.3	1365	1215	57.90%	23.90%	18.20%	+0.76	+4.8	69
2021-04-07	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-2	32.3	1215	1365	18.20%	23.90%	57.90%	-0.76	-4.8	45
2021-04-07	Jezero	W 4-2	45.8	1164	1142	40.87%	28.74%	30.39%	+0.17	+5.9	40
2021-04-07	@ Rudar	L 2-4	45.8	1142	1164	30.39%	28.74%	40.87%	-0.17	-5.9	27
2021-04-07	Podgorica	L 0-1	38.3	1117	1226	24.25%	27.29%	48.46%	-0.43	-3.4	21
2021-04-07	@ Titograd	W 1-0	38.3	1226	1117	48.46%	27.29%	24.25%	+0.43	+3.4	40
2021-04-07	Sutjeska	L 1-3	37.1	1110	1311	16.90%	22.81%	60.30%	-0.85	-3.8	18
2021-04-07	@ Petrovac	W 3-1	37.1	1311	1110	60.30%	22.81%	16.90%	+0.85	+3.8	46
2021-04-07	Zeta	D 1-1	54.1	1229	1219	39.11%	28.90%	31.99%	+0.12	-0.2	36
2021-04-07	@ Iskra	D 1-1	54.1	1219	1229	31.99%	28.90%	39.11%	-0.12	+0.2	37
2021-04-11	Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-1	42.1	1315	1370	30.16%	28.70%	41.14%	-0.18	-4.0	46
2021-04-11	@ Sutjeska	W 1-0	42.1	1370	1315	41.14%	28.70%	30.16%	+0.18	+4.0	72
2021-04-11	Iskra	D 0-0	48.2	1210	1229	35.02%	29.03%	35.95%	-0.02	+0.0	46
2021-04-11	@ Decic Tuzi	D 0-0	48.2	1229	1210	35.95%	29.03%	35.02%	+0.02	-0.0	37
2021-04-11	Jezero	L 0-1	45.7	1219	1136	49.31%	27.05%	23.64%	+0.45	-5.8	37
2021-04-11	@ Zeta	W 1-0	45.7	1136	1219	23.64%	27.05%	49.31%	-0.45	+5.8	30
2021-04-11	Petrovac	L 0-1	46.7	1229	1106	54.45%	25.32%	20.23%	+0.64	-6.3	40
2021-04-11	@ Podgorica	W 1-0	46.7	1106	1229	20.23%	25.32%	54.45%	-0.64	+6.3	21
2021-04-11	Rudar	D 0-0	48.1	1114	1170	30.05%	28.69%	41.26%	-0.19	+0.3	22
2021-04-11	@ Titograd	D 0-0	48.1	1170	1114	41.26%	28.69%	30.05%	+0.19	-0.3	41
2021-04-17	Decic Tuzi	W 1-0	44.3	1142	1210	28.56%	28.45%	42.99%	-0.24	+5.2	33
2021-04-17	@ Jezero	L 0-1	44.3	1210	1142	42.99%	28.45%	28.56%	+0.24	-5.2	46
2021-04-17	Podgorica	L 1-2	54.7	1374	1223	58.02%	23.85%	18.13%	+0.77	-6.2	72
2021-04-17	@ Buducnost Podgorica	W 2-1	54.7	1223	1374	18.13%	23.85%	58.02%	-0.77	+6.2	43
2021-04-17	Sutjeska	D 0-0	48.8	1229	1311	27.01%	28.12%	44.87%	-0.31	+0.5	38
2021-04-17	@ Iskra	D 0-0	48.8	1311	1229	44.87%	28.12%	27.01%	+0.31	-0.5	47
2021-04-17	Titograd	D 0-0	48.0	1112	1114	37.44%	29.00%	33.57%	+0.06	-0.1	22
2021-04-17	@ Petrovac	D 0-0	48.0	1114	1112	33.57%	29.00%	37.44%	-0.06	+0.1	23
2021-04-17	Zeta	L 0-1	41.0	1170	1214	31.59%	28.87%	39.54%	-0.13	-4.2	41
2021-04-17	@ Rudar	W 1-0	41.0	1214	1170	39.54%	28.87%	31.59%	+0.13	+4.2	40
2021-04-21	Titograd	D 0-0	48.1	1147	1114	42.34%	28.55%	29.11%	+0.22	-0.4	34
2021-04-21	@ Jezero	D 0-0	48.1	1114	1147	29.11%	28.55%	42.34%	-0.22	+0.4	24
2021-04-25	Buducnost Podgorica	L 0-2	29.4	1115	1368	13.93%	19.73%	66.34%	-1.09	-3.5	24
2021-04-25	@ Titograd	W 2-0	29.4	1368	1115	66.34%	19.73%	13.93%	+1.09	+3.5	75
2021-04-25	Iskra	W 1-0	41.7	1229	1229	37.65%	28.99%	33.36%	+0.07	+4.4	46
2021-04-25	@ Podgorica	L 0-1	41.7	1229	1229	33.36%	28.99%	37.65%	-0.07	-4.4	38
2021-04-25	Jezero	D 0-0	50.0	1310	1147	59.52%	23.17%	17.31%	+0.82	-1.2	48
2021-04-25	@ Sutjeska	D 0-0	50.0	1147	1310	17.31%	23.17%	59.52%	-0.82	+1.2	35
2021-04-25	Rudar	W 3-1	45.9	1112	1166	30.40%	28.74%	40.87%	-0.17	+8.2	25
2021-04-25	@ Petrovac	L 1-3	45.9	1166	1112	40.87%	28.74%	30.40%	+0.17	-8.3	41
2021-04-25	Zeta	W 3-1	44.4	1205	1218	35.85%	29.03%	35.11%	+0.01	+7.4	49
2021-04-25	@ Decic Tuzi	L 1-3	44.4	1218	1205	35.11%	29.03%	35.85%	-0.01	-7.4	40
2021-05-01	Decic Tuzi	D 0-0	48.2	1157	1212	30.18%	28.71%	41.11%	-0.18	+0.3	42
2021-05-01	@ Rudar	D 0-0	48.2	1212	1157	41.11%	28.71%	30.18%	+0.18	-0.3	50
2021-05-01	Petrovac	L 0-2	45.6	1371	1121	69.50%	17.99%	12.50%	+1.22	-14.1	75
2021-05-01	@ Buducnost Podgorica	W 2-0	45.6	1121	1371	12.50%	17.99%	69.50%	-1.22	+14.2	28
2021-05-01	Podgorica	W 3-2	56.1	1148	1233	26.62%	28.03%	45.35%	-0.32	+4.9	38
2021-05-01	@ Jezero	L 2-3	56.1	1233	1148	45.35%	28.03%	26.62%	+0.32	-4.9	46
2021-05-01	Sutjeska	L 0-2	35.3	1210	1309	25.22%	27.62%	47.16%	-0.38	-6.6	40
2021-05-01	@ Zeta	W 2-0	35.3	1309	1210	47.16%	27.62%	25.22%	+0.38	+6.6	51
2021-05-01	Titograd	D 1-1	54.9	1225	1111	53.27%	25.76%	20.96%	+0.59	-0.8	39
2021-05-01	@ Iskra	D 1-1	54.9	1111	1225	20.96%	25.76%	53.27%	-0.59	+0.8	25
2021-05-09	Decic Tuzi	L 1-2	53.3	1316	1212	51.97%	26.22%	21.81%	+0.55	-5.7	51
2021-05-09	@ Sutjeska	W 2-1	53.3	1212	1316	21.81%	26.22%	51.97%	-0.55	+5.7	53
2021-05-09	Iskra	W 1-0	45.0	1135	1224	26.18%	27.91%	45.91%	-0.34	+5.5	31
2021-05-09	@ Petrovac	L 0-1	45.0	1224	1135	45.91%	27.91%	26.18%	+0.34	-5.5	39
2021-05-09	Jezero	L 1-2	47.6	1112	1153	32.01%	28.90%	39.08%	-0.12	-4.0	25
2021-05-09	@ Titograd	W 2-1	47.6	1153	1112	39.08%	28.90%	32.01%	+0.12	+4.0	41
2021-05-09	Rudar	W 3-1	36.3	1357	1158	63.79%	21.08%	15.13%	+0.99	+3.3	78
2021-05-09	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 1-3	36.3	1158	1357	15.13%	21.08%	63.79%	-0.99	-3.3	42
2021-05-09	Zeta	W 2-1	47.2	1228	1204	41.21%	28.70%	30.10%	+0.18	+3.8	49
2021-05-09	@ Podgorica	L 1-2	47.2	1204	1228	30.10%	28.70%	41.21%	-0.18	-3.8	40
2021-05-14	Buducnost Podgorica	D 1-1	55.5	1219	1360	21.21%	25.90%	52.90%	-0.58	+0.8	40
2021-05-14	@ Iskra	D 1-1	55.5	1360	1219	52.90%	25.90%	21.21%	+0.58	-0.8	79
2021-05-14	Petrovac	W 1-0	40.8	1157	1140	40.08%	28.82%	31.10%	+0.15	+4.1	44
2021-05-14	@ Jezero	L 0-1	40.8	1140	1157	31.10%	28.82%	40.08%	-0.15	-4.1	31
2021-05-14	Podgorica	L 0-1	42.4	1218	1232	35.63%	29.03%	35.33%	+0.00	-4.6	53
2021-05-14	@ Decic Tuzi	W 1-0	42.4	1232	1218	35.33%	29.03%	35.63%	+0.00	+4.6	52
2021-05-14	Sutjeska	L 0-2	32.8	1154	1310	20.09%	25.24%	54.67%	-0.64	-5.3	42
2021-05-14	@ Rudar	W 2-0	32.8	1310	1154	54.67%	25.24%	20.09%	+0.64	+5.3	54
2021-05-14	Titograd	W 2-1	44.2	1200	1108	50.43%	26.72%	22.86%	+0.49	+3.0	43
2021-05-14	@ Zeta	L 1-2	44.2	1108	1200	22.86%	26.72%	50.43%	-0.49	-3.0	25
2021-05-19	Decic Tuzi	W 1-0	45.5	1105	1213	24.28%	27.30%	48.43%	-0.42	+5.7	28
2021-05-19	@ Titograd	L 0-1	45.5	1213	1105	48.43%	27.30%	24.28%	+0.42	-5.8	53
2021-05-19	Jezero	W 3-2	45.3	1360	1161	63.70%	21.12%	15.18%	+0.98	+1.8	82
2021-05-19	@ Buducnost Podgorica	L 2-3	45.3	1161	1360	15.18%	21.12%	63.70%	-0.98	-1.8	44
2021-05-19	Rudar	W 2-0	34.8	1219	1149	47.57%	27.52%	24.91%	+0.39	+6.5	43
2021-05-19	@ Iskra	L 0-2	34.8	1149	1219	24.91%	27.52%	47.57%	-0.39	-6.5	42
2021-05-19	Sutjeska	L 0-4	34.8	1237	1315	27.40%	28.21%	44.39%	-0.29	-13.4	52
2021-05-19	@ Podgorica	W 4-0	34.8	1315	1237	44.39%	28.21%	27.40%	+0.29	+13.4	57
2021-05-19	Zeta	L 0-2	36.2	1136	1203	28.72%	28.48%	42.80%	-0.24	-7.3	31
2021-05-19	@ Petrovac	W 2-0	36.2	1203	1136	42.80%	28.48%	28.72%	+0.24	+7.3	46
2021-05-25	Buducnost Podgorica	L 2-4	42.5	1210	1362	20.45%	25.46%	54.09%	-0.62	-4.2	46
2021-05-25	@ Zeta	W 4-2	42.5	1362	1210	54.09%	25.46%	20.45%	+0.62	+4.2	85
2021-05-25	Iskra	D 0-0	48.3	1159	1226	28.73%	28.48%	42.78%	-0.24	+0.4	45
2021-05-25	@ Jezero	D 0-0	48.3	1226	1159	42.78%	28.48%	28.73%	+0.24	-0.4	44
2021-05-25	Petrovac	D 1-1	54.4	1207	1129	48.66%	27.23%	24.11%	+0.43	-0.6	54
2021-05-25	@ Decic Tuzi	D 1-1	54.4	1129	1207	24.11%	27.23%	48.66%	-0.43	+0.6	32
2021-05-25	Podgorica	W 1-0	44.7	1142	1223	27.11%	28.15%	44.74%	-0.30	+5.4	45
2021-05-25	@ Rudar	L 0-1	44.7	1223	1142	44.74%	28.15%	27.11%	+0.30	-5.4	52
2021-05-25	Titograd	L 1-2	55.3	1329	1111	65.87%	19.99%	14.15%	+1.07	-6.8	57
2021-05-25	@ Sutjeska	W 2-1	55.3	1111	1329	14.15%	19.99%	65.87%	-1.07	+6.8	31

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2021-05-01	12.50%	Petrovac	1121	2	@ Buducnost Podgorica	1371	0
2	2021-05-25	14.15%	Titograd	1111	2	@ Sutjeska	1329	1
3	2021-04-03	17.59%	Zeta	1213	1	@ Buducnost Podgorica	1372	0
4	2021-04-17	18.13%	Podgorica	1223	2	@ Buducnost Podgorica	1374	1
5	2020-08-14	19.18%	@ Decic Tuzi	1152	2	Buducnost Podgorica	1320	0
6	2020-11-08	19.43%	Jezero	1150	1	@ Sutjeska	1284	0
7	2021-04-11	20.23%	Petrovac	1106	1	@ Podgorica	1229	0
8	2020-10-31	21.21%	Petrovac	1136	3	@ Podgorica	1247	1
9	2021-05-09	21.81%	Decic Tuzi	1212	2	@ Sutjeska	1316	1
10	2020-12-06	22.94%	Rudar	1124	1	@ Iskra	1215	0
11	2020-09-20	23.10%	Zeta	1212	2	@ Sutjeska	1302	0
12	2021-03-10	23.46%	@ Decic Tuzi	1192	2	Sutjeska	1309	1
13	2021-04-11	23.64%	Jezero	1136	1	@ Zeta	1219	0
14	2021-02-23	23.91%	Rudar	1146	1	@ Zeta	1227	0
15	2020-12-09	23.92%	@ Rudar	1130	1	Podgorica	1241	0
16	2021-02-19	23.95%	@ Petrovac	1127	2	Podgorica	1238	1
17	2021-05-19	24.28%	@ Titograd	1105	1	Decic Tuzi	1213	0
18	2020-10-25	25.28%	@ Titograd	1155	1	Podgorica	1253	0
19	2020-10-04	25.37%	@ Rudar	1140	4	Iskra	1238	0
20	2020-11-29	26.14%	@ Petrovac	1137	1	Iskra	1226	0
21	2021-05-09	26.18%	@ Petrovac	1135	1	Iskra	1224	0
22	2020-11-04	26.46%	@ Iskra	1212	3	Sutjeska	1299	0
23	2020-09-12	26.58%	Decic Tuzi	1165	2	@ Zeta	1219	0
24	2021-05-01	26.62%	@ Jezero	1148	3	Podgorica	1233	2
25	2021-05-25	27.11%	@ Rudar	1142	1	Podgorica	1223	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2020-10-04	20.08	@ Rudar	4	1140	25.37%	Iskra	0	1238	46.97%	27.67%
2	2020-08-29	19.14	@ Podgorica	4	1236	27.68%	Buducnost Podgorica	0	1312	44.05%	28.27%
3	2020-11-04	15.03	@ Iskra	3	1212	26.46%	Sutjeska	0	1299	45.55%	27.98%
4	2021-03-14	14.41	Decic Tuzi	3	1198	28.46%	@ Podgorica	0	1236	43.11%	28.43%
5	2021-05-01	14.15	Petrovac	2	1121	12.50%	@ Buducnost Podgorica	0	1371	69.50%	17.99%
6	2021-05-19	13.40	Sutjeska	4	1315	44.39%	@ Podgorica	0	1237	27.40%	28.21%
7	2020-12-02	12.66	Podgorica	3	1228	34.85%	@ Decic Tuzi	0	1217	36.12%	29.03%
8	2020-08-14	12.15	@ Decic Tuzi	2	1152	19.18%	Buducnost Podgorica	0	1320	56.20%	24.63%
9	2020-10-04	11.20	@ Decic Tuzi	3	1186	40.64%	Titograd	0	1165	30.60%	28.76%
10	2020-09-20	11.12	Zeta	2	1212	23.10%	@ Sutjeska	0	1302	50.08%	26.82%
11	2020-11-21	10.99	Decic Tuzi	3	1206	41.47%	@ Rudar	0	1148	29.86%	28.66%
12	2020-12-13	10.76	Buducnost Podgorica	4	1347	52.50%	@ Decic Tuzi	0	1208	21.46%	26.04%
13	2020-11-04	10.68	Zeta	3	1225	42.75%	@ Rudar	0	1159	28.77%	28.49%
14	2020-10-04	10.60	@ Sutjeska	3	1295	43.04%	Podgorica	0	1257	28.51%	28.44%
15	2020-12-02	10.43	Sutjeska	4	1281	53.56%	@ Rudar	0	1134	20.78%	25.66%
16	2020-09-12	10.32	Decic Tuzi	2	1165	26.58%	@ Zeta	0	1219	45.40%	28.01%
17	2020-10-31	10.05	Petrovac	3	1136	21.21%	@ Podgorica	1	1247	52.89%	25.90%
18	2020-11-08	10.00	Buducnost Podgorica	4	1316	54.92%	@ Titograd	0	1159	19.94%	25.14%
19	2020-09-20	9.54	@ Decic Tuzi	4	1175	40.17%	Rudar	1	1158	31.02%	28.81%
20	2020-12-13	9.38	Iskra	2	1216	31.15%	@ Zeta	0	1233	40.02%	28.82%
21	2021-04-03	9.32	Sutjeska	4	1302	57.10%	@ Titograd	0	1127	18.65%	24.25%
22	2020-10-31	9.26	Rudar	2	1150	31.84%	@ Titograd	0	1160	39.27%	28.89%
23	2020-10-31	8.80	@ Decic Tuzi	2	1197	34.33%	Iskra	0	1221	36.65%	29.02%
24	2021-03-14	8.56	Jezero	2	1135	35.78%	@ Petrovac	0	1117	35.19%	29.03%
25	2021-04-25	8.26	@ Petrovac	3	1112	30.40%	Rudar	1	1166	40.87%	28.74%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2020-08-15	64.5	@ Sutjeska	3	1298	57.12%	Petrovac	3	1153	18.64%	24.24%
2	2020-10-25	61.2	@ Buducnost Podgorica	2	1309	53.12%	Decic Tuzi	2	1196	21.06%	25.82%
3	2021-02-23	60.8	@ Sutjeska	2	1301	47.71%	Iskra	2	1230	24.81%	27.48%
4	2020-08-29	60.0	@ Titograd	2	1169	40.33%	Petrovac	2	1150	30.87%	28.79%
5	2021-03-10	56.2	@ Rudar	1	1165	16.76%	Buducnost Podgorica	1	1368	60.57%	22.68%
6	2021-05-01	56.1	@ Jezero	3	1148	26.62%	Podgorica	2	1233	45.35%	28.03%
7	2021-02-19	55.5	@ Buducnost Podgorica	1	1359	45.96%	Sutjeska	1	1301	26.14%	27.90%
8	2021-05-14	55.5	@ Iskra	1	1219	21.21%	Buducnost Podgorica	1	1360	52.90%	25.90%
9	2020-10-25	55.4	@ Petrovac	1	1135	19.08%	Sutjeska	1	1304	56.36%	24.56%
10	2021-03-14	55.4	@ Sutjeska	1	1303	56.25%	Rudar	1	1166	19.15%	24.61%
11	2021-05-25	55.3	Titograd	2	1111	14.15%	@ Sutjeska	1	1329	65.87%	19.99%
12	2021-03-20	54.9	@ Sutjeska	1	1302	48.95%	Podgorica	1	1222	23.90%	27.15%
13	2021-05-01	54.9	@ Iskra	1	1225	53.27%	Titograd	1	1111	20.96%	25.76%
14	2021-03-20	54.7	@ Zeta	1	1213	52.14%	Petrovac	1	1108	21.70%	26.16%
15	2021-04-17	54.7	Podgorica	2	1223	18.13%	@ Buducnost Podgorica	1	1374	58.02%	23.85%
16	2020-09-27	54.6	@ Decic Tuzi	1	1184	24.46%	Sutjeska	1	1291	48.18%	27.36%
17	2020-11-29	54.6	@ Sutjeska	1	1282	46.80%	Decic Tuzi	1	1217	25.49%	27.71%
18	2021-04-03	54.6	@ Iskra	1	1230	49.98%	Jezero	1	1141	23.17%	26.85%
19	2020-09-30	54.5	@ Podgorica	1	1258	47.88%	Decic Tuzi	1	1185	24.68%	27.44%
20	2020-11-21	54.5	@ Iskra	1	1227	48.61%	Titograd	1	1149	24.14%	27.25%
21	2020-12-06	54.4	@ Podgorica	1	1241	30.74%	Sutjeska	1	1291	40.48%	28.78%
22	2020-12-06	54.4	@ Petrovac	1	1134	24.52%	Zeta	1	1240	48.10%	27.38%
23	2021-05-25	54.4	@ Decic Tuzi	1	1207	48.66%	Petrovac	1	1129	24.11%	27.23%
24	2020-09-12	54.2	@ Iskra	1	1242	35.82%	Podgorica	1	1255	35.14%	29.03%
25	2020-09-20	54.2	@ Titograd	1	1164	27.85%	Iskra	1	1238	43.84%	28.31%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2021-04-25	29.4	Buducnost Podgorica	2	1368	66.34%	@ Titograd	0	1115	13.93%	19.73%
2	2020-12-09	30.6	@ Sutjeska	3	1291	56.66%	Titograd	0	1151	18.91%	24.44%
3	2021-04-03	30.6	Sutjeska	4	1302	57.10%	@ Titograd	0	1127	18.65%	24.25%
4	2020-11-08	31.4	Buducnost Podgorica	4	1316	54.92%	@ Titograd	0	1159	19.94%	25.14%
5	2020-12-02	31.7	Sutjeska	4	1281	53.56%	@ Rudar	0	1134	20.78%	25.66%
6	2020-09-30	32.0	@ Sutjeska	2	1290	57.19%	Rudar	0	1145	18.60%	24.21%
7	2021-04-07	32.3	@ Buducnost Podgorica	2	1365	57.90%	Decic Tuzi	0	1215	18.20%	23.90%
8	2020-12-13	32.4	Buducnost Podgorica	4	1347	52.50%	@ Decic Tuzi	0	1208	21.46%	26.04%
9	2021-02-28	32.7	Sutjeska	2	1301	54.94%	@ Jezero	0	1143	19.93%	25.14%
10	2021-03-06	32.7	Buducnost Podgorica	4	1364	65.25%	@ Petrovac	1	1121	14.43%	20.31%
11	2021-05-14	32.8	Sutjeska	2	1310	54.67%	@ Rudar	0	1154	20.09%	25.24%
12	2020-10-04	33.2	Buducnost Podgorica	2	1303	53.41%	@ Jezero	0	1158	20.88%	25.71%
13	2021-02-28	33.2	@ Buducnost Podgorica	1	1362	66.52%	Titograd	0	1139	13.84%	19.64%
14	2020-09-12	33.6	Sutjeska	2	1293	52.06%	@ Jezero	0	1157	21.75%	26.19%
15	2020-12-17	34.0	Buducnost Podgorica	1	1357	63.51%	@ Petrovac	0	1129	15.27%	21.22%
16	2020-10-17	34.2	@ Podgorica	2	1247	49.66%	Rudar	0	1161	23.39%	26.95%
17	2020-11-04	34.6	Zeta	3	1225	42.75%	@ Rudar	0	1159	28.77%	28.49%
18	2021-05-19	34.8	@ Iskra	2	1219	47.57%	Rudar	0	1149	24.91%	27.52%
19	2021-05-19	34.8	Sutjeska	4	1315	44.39%	@ Podgorica	0	1237	27.40%	28.21%
20	2020-12-02	34.9	Buducnost Podgorica	2	1332	48.78%	@ Iskra	0	1221	24.02%	27.20%
21	2020-10-04	35.0	@ Sutjeska	3	1295	43.04%	Podgorica	0	1257	28.51%	28.44%
22	2020-11-21	35.0	Decic Tuzi	3	1206	41.47%	@ Rudar	0	1148	29.86%	28.66%
23	2020-10-04	35.2	@ Decic Tuzi	3	1186	40.64%	Titograd	0	1165	30.60%	28.76%
24	2021-05-01	35.3	Sutjeska	2	1309	47.16%	@ Zeta	0	1210	25.22%	27.62%
25	2020-12-09	35.5	Buducnost Podgorica	2	1340	47.46%	@ Zeta	0	1239	24.99%	27.55%