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2022-23 Eredivisie Season

306 games · 4 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Feyenoord

82 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Feyenoord

12.61 points above expected

82 points · 69.39 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Groningen

16.08 points below expected

18 points · 34.08 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Feyenoord 34 25 7 2 82 81 30 +51 69.39 +12.61
2 PSV Eindhoven 34 23 6 5 75 89 40 +49 66.10 +8.90
3 Ajax 34 20 9 5 69 86 38 +48 74.51 -5.51
4 Alkmaar 34 20 7 7 67 68 35 +33 62.36 +4.64
5 Twente 34 18 10 6 64 66 27 +39 59.47 +4.53
6 Sparta Rotterdam 34 17 8 9 59 60 37 +23 49.72 +9.28
7 Utrecht 34 15 9 10 54 55 50 +5 48.01 +5.99
8 Heerenveen 34 12 10 12 46 44 50 -6 44.47 +1.53
9 RKC Waalwijk 34 11 8 15 41 50 64 -14 42.88 -1.88
10 Vitesse 34 10 10 14 40 45 50 -5 38.57 +1.43
11 Go Ahead Eagles 34 10 10 14 40 46 56 -10 39.80 +0.20
12 NEC Nijmegen 34 8 15 11 39 42 45 -3 44.85 -5.85
13 Fortuna Sittard 34 10 6 18 36 39 62 -23 35.19 +0.81
14 Volendam 34 10 6 18 36 42 71 -29 33.85 +2.15
15 Excelsior 34 9 5 20 32 32 71 -39 33.78 -1.78
16 Emmen 34 6 10 18 28 33 65 -32 37.84 -9.84
17 Cambuur 34 5 4 25 19 26 69 -43 32.85 -13.85
18 Groningen 34 4 6 24 18 31 75 -44 34.08 -16.08

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The full Promotion / Relegation tab has matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Semifinals

Sparta Rotterdam 4
Utrecht 2

Leg 1: Utrecht 1-2 Sparta Rotterdam

Leg 2: Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 Utrecht

Twente 6
Heerenveen 1

Leg 1: Heerenveen 1-2 Twente

Leg 2: Twente 4-0 Heerenveen

Finals

Twente 2
Sparta Rotterdam 1

Leg 1: Twente 1-0 Sparta Rotterdam

Leg 2: Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 Twente

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Feyenoord 2127 82 69.39 +12.61 97.6% 43 58 65 70 74 80 92
PSV Eindhoven 2104 75 66.10 +8.90 91.2% 37 54 61 66 71 77 92
Ajax 2103 69 74.51 -5.51 22.5% 50 63 70 75 79 85 96
Twente 2072 64 59.47 +4.53 75.9% 32 48 55 59 64 71 84
Alkmaar 2036 67 62.36 +4.64 75.8% 30 51 57 62 67 74 88
Sparta Rotterdam 1953 59 49.72 +9.28 90.9% 24 38 45 50 55 62 78
Utrecht 1898 54 48.01 +5.99 81.6% 15 36 43 48 53 60 80
Vitesse 1852 40 38.57 +1.43 61.5% 15 27 34 38 43 50 68
NEC Nijmegen 1813 39 44.85 -5.85 23.3% 18 33 40 45 50 57 71
Go Ahead Eagles 1802 40 39.80 +0.20 54.3% 14 28 35 40 45 52 66
Heerenveen 1801 46 44.47 +1.53 61.6% 19 33 40 44 49 56 72
RKC Waalwijk 1755 41 42.88 -1.88 42.6% 17 31 38 43 48 55 70
Volendam 1744 36 33.85 +2.15 65.4% 11 23 29 34 38 45 59
Emmen 1732 28 37.84 -9.84 9.2% 17 26 33 38 43 50 66
Fortuna Sittard 1732 36 35.19 +0.81 58.3% 10 24 30 35 40 47 68
Excelsior 1723 32 33.78 -1.78 43.7% 13 23 29 34 38 46 62
Cambuur 1679 19 32.85 -13.85 2.0% 10 22 28 33 37 44 62
Groningen 1643 18 34.08 -16.08 0.9% 11 23 29 34 39 46 61

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AJA ALK CAM EMM EXC FEY FS GAE GRO HEE NN PE RW SR TWE UTR VIT VOL
Ajax —
0-1-1
3.68
2-0-0
4.80
1-1-0
4.83
2-0-0
4.77
0-1-1
3.12
2-0-0
4.69
0-2-0
4.72
2-0-0
4.80
2-0-0
4.61
1-1-0
4.47
0-0-2
3.49
2-0-0
4.53
2-0-0
4.40
0-1-1
3.55
2-0-0
4.29
1-1-0
4.80
1-1-0
4.91
Alkmaar
1-1-0
1.84
 —
2-0-0
4.14
2-0-0
4.02
1-0-1
4.32
0-0-2
2.44
2-0-0
4.30
2-0-0
3.87
2-0-0
4.27
1-1-0
3.80
1-1-0
3.98
1-0-1
2.30
1-0-1
3.94
1-0-1
3.68
0-1-1
3.04
1-1-0
3.76
1-1-0
4.22
1-1-0
4.47
Cambuur
0-0-2
0.85
0-0-2
1.44
 —
0-1-1
2.36
0-0-2
2.97
0-0-2
0.80
1-0-1
2.64
1-1-0
2.32
1-0-1
2.64
0-0-2
1.96
0-1-1
2.18
1-0-1
1.04
1-0-1
2.02
0-0-2
1.36
0-0-2
1.33
0-1-1
1.73
0-0-2
2.49
0-0-2
2.74
Emmen
0-1-1
0.83
0-0-2
1.54
1-1-0
3.15
 —
1-0-1
3.11
0-0-2
1.14
1-0-1
2.71
0-1-1
2.63
0-2-0
2.85
1-1-0
2.28
0-1-1
1.97
1-0-1
1.46
0-1-1
2.81
0-0-2
2.03
0-0-2
1.40
1-0-1
2.22
0-1-1
2.60
0-1-1
3.03
Excelsior
0-0-2
0.88
1-0-1
1.26
2-0-0
2.53
1-0-1
2.40
 —
0-0-2
0.81
1-0-1
2.73
1-0-1
2.28
1-0-1
2.69
0-1-1
2.04
0-1-1
2.15
0-0-2
1.27
0-1-1
2.41
0-0-2
1.65
0-1-1
1.43
0-0-2
2.11
1-1-0
2.37
1-0-1
2.81
Feyenoord
1-1-0
2.38
2-0-0
3.06
2-0-0
4.86
2-0-0
4.46
2-0-0
4.85
 —
1-1-0
4.57
2-0-0
4.53
2-0-0
4.68
1-1-0
4.24
1-1-0
4.14
0-1-1
2.95
2-0-0
4.21
2-0-0
4.07
1-1-0
3.34
1-1-0
4.11
1-0-1
4.15
2-0-0
4.74
Fortuna Sittard
0-0-2
0.95
0-0-2
1.28
1-0-1
2.86
1-0-1
2.79
1-0-1
2.76
0-1-1
1.04
 —
0-0-2
2.45
2-0-0
2.82
1-0-1
1.91
0-2-0
2.10
0-1-1
1.03
0-1-1
2.31
0-1-1
1.97
0-0-2
1.66
1-0-1
1.95
2-0-0
2.41
1-0-1
2.84
Go Ahead Eagles
0-2-0
0.91
0-0-2
1.67
0-1-1
3.18
1-1-0
2.86
1-0-1
3.23
0-0-2
1.08
2-0-0
3.06
 —
0-1-1
3.09
0-1-1
2.56
1-1-0
2.42
0-0-2
1.43
1-0-1
2.45
0-0-2
2.28
1-1-0
1.49
1-1-0
2.14
0-1-1
3.06
2-0-0
2.91
Groningen
0-0-2
0.85
0-0-2
1.31
1-0-1
2.86
0-2-0
2.65
1-0-1
2.81
0-0-2
0.95
0-0-2
2.69
1-1-0
2.43
 —
0-0-2
2.17
0-1-1
2.08
1-0-1
1.12
0-0-2
2.09
0-0-2
1.77
0-1-1
1.33
0-0-2
1.84
0-0-2
2.49
0-1-1
2.77
Heerenveen
0-0-2
1.00
0-1-1
1.74
2-0-0
3.56
0-1-1
3.23
1-1-0
3.47
0-1-1
1.33
1-0-1
3.61
1-1-0
2.94
2-0-0
3.35
 —
1-1-0
2.66
0-1-1
1.42
0-1-1
2.91
0-1-1
2.47
1-1-0
1.83
0-0-2
2.59
1-0-1
3.05
2-0-0
3.45
NEC Nijmegen
0-1-1
1.13
0-1-1
1.56
1-1-0
3.34
1-1-0
3.54
1-1-0
3.36
0-1-1
1.42
0-2-0
3.41
0-1-1
3.09
1-1-0
3.43
0-1-1
2.86
 —
0-0-2
1.58
2-0-0
2.69
0-1-1
2.42
0-0-2
1.86
0-2-0
2.59
0-1-1
3.39
2-0-0
3.09
PSV Eindhoven
2-0-0
2.03
1-0-1
3.21
1-0-1
4.58
1-0-1
4.09
2-0-0
4.33
1-1-0
2.56
1-1-0
4.59
2-0-0
4.13
1-0-1
4.48
1-1-0
4.16
2-0-0
3.96
 —
2-0-0
4.08
1-1-0
3.80
1-0-1
3.38
1-1-0
3.88
1-1-0
4.42
2-0-0
4.49
RKC Waalwijk
0-0-2
1.07
1-0-1
1.60
1-0-1
3.50
1-1-0
2.70
1-1-0
3.09
0-0-2
1.36
1-1-0
3.20
1-0-1
3.05
2-0-0
3.43
1-1-0
2.59
0-0-2
2.81
0-0-2
1.48
 —
0-2-0
2.40
0-0-2
1.65
0-1-1
2.35
1-1-0
3.09
1-0-1
3.35
Sparta Rotterdam
0-0-2
1.19
1-0-1
1.84
2-0-0
4.22
2-0-0
3.48
2-0-0
3.88
0-0-2
1.48
1-1-0
3.55
2-0-0
3.24
2-0-0
3.76
1-1-0
3.05
1-1-0
3.08
0-1-1
1.73
0-2-0
3.12
 —
0-2-0
2.25
0-0-2
2.98
2-0-0
3.35
1-0-1
3.56
Twente
1-1-0
1.97
1-1-0
2.46
2-0-0
4.25
2-0-0
4.16
1-1-0
4.12
0-1-1
2.17
2-0-0
3.87
0-1-1
4.06
1-1-0
4.23
0-1-1
3.70
2-0-0
3.67
1-0-1
2.13
2-0-0
3.88
0-2-0
3.25
 —
1-0-1
3.51
1-1-0
4.11
1-0-1
4.07
Utrecht
0-0-2
1.28
0-1-1
1.77
1-1-0
3.80
1-0-1
3.32
2-0-0
3.41
0-1-1
1.45
1-0-1
3.57
0-1-1
3.37
2-0-0
3.68
2-0-0
2.92
0-2-0
2.91
0-1-1
1.65
1-1-0
3.16
2-0-0
2.52
1-0-1
2.00
 —
1-0-1
3.37
1-1-0
3.79
Vitesse
0-1-1
0.85
0-1-1
1.35
2-0-0
3.05
1-1-0
2.90
0-1-1
3.15
1-0-1
1.43
0-0-2
3.08
1-1-0
2.45
2-0-0
3.03
1-0-1
2.46
1-1-0
2.12
0-1-1
1.17
0-1-1
2.41
0-0-2
2.16
0-1-1
1.44
1-0-1
2.14
 —
0-1-1
3.22
Volendam
0-1-1
0.76
0-1-1
1.13
2-0-0
2.78
1-1-0
2.48
1-0-1
2.70
0-0-2
0.90
1-0-1
2.66
0-0-2
2.59
1-1-0
2.73
0-0-2
2.06
0-0-2
2.43
0-0-2
1.11
1-0-1
2.15
1-0-1
1.95
1-0-1
1.50
0-1-1
1.74
1-1-0
2.28
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.92 +9.4
Allowed 0.80 -11.0
Differential 0.95 +5.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.17%6.54%5.07%4.58%2.29%1.14%27.78%
16.54%9.15%5.88%4.25%2.29%1.63%29.74%
25.07%5.88%4.58%2.45%0.82%0.65%19.44%
34.58%4.25%2.45%1.63%0.49%—13.40%
42.29%2.29%0.82%0.49%——5.88%
5+1.14%1.63%0.65%——0.33%3.76%
Total27.78%29.74%19.44%13.40%5.88%3.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.53 +0.00
SD 1.42 1.42 2.15
CV 0.93 0.93 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 306

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.82%——2.94%——11.76%
15.88%11.76%5.88%2.94%——26.47%
22.94%2.94%2.94%2.94%——11.76%
3—8.82%5.88%2.94%——17.65%
48.82%5.88%5.88%———20.59%
5+5.88%5.88%————11.76%
Total32.35%35.29%20.59%11.76%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.53 1.12 +1.41
SD 1.81 1.01 2.16
CV 0.72 0.90 —
Max 7 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.94%2.94%————5.88%
111.76%14.71%11.76%5.88%——44.12%
25.88%11.76%————17.65%
311.76%2.94%2.94%———17.65%
4—5.88%————5.88%
5+2.94%2.94%———2.94%8.82%
Total35.29%41.18%14.71%5.88%—2.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.03 +0.97
SD 1.39 1.11 1.71
CV 0.70 1.08 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.76%14.71%8.82%14.71%5.88%2.94%58.82%
12.94%—14.71%—5.88%2.94%26.47%
2—————2.94%2.94%
32.94%—————2.94%
42.94%5.88%————8.82%
5+———————
Total20.59%20.59%23.53%14.71%11.76%8.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.76 2.03 -1.26
SD 1.23 1.59 2.18
CV 1.61 0.78 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.76%2.94%11.76%5.88%2.94%—35.29%
15.88%8.82%5.88%14.71%2.94%2.94%41.18%
22.94%2.94%5.88%2.94%——14.71%
3——5.88%2.94%——8.82%
4———————
5+———————
Total20.59%14.71%29.41%26.47%5.88%2.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.91 -0.94
SD 0.94 1.33 1.54
CV 0.97 0.70 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.76%14.71%5.88%5.88%5.88%2.94%47.06%
12.94%2.94%—2.94%5.88%8.82%23.53%
25.88%8.82%—2.94%—2.94%20.59%
32.94%2.94%————5.88%
4—2.94%————2.94%
5+———————
Total23.53%32.35%5.88%11.76%11.76%14.71%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 2.09 -1.15
SD 1.10 1.99 2.38
CV 1.17 0.95 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.94%2.94%————5.88%
18.82%14.71%————23.53%
211.76%8.82%2.94%———23.53%
311.76%11.76%2.94%—2.94%—29.41%
42.94%—2.94%2.94%——8.82%
5+—5.88%2.94%———8.82%
Total38.24%44.12%11.76%2.94%2.94%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.38 0.88 +1.50
SD 1.35 0.95 1.38
CV 0.57 1.07 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.88%2.94%5.88%11.76%2.94%—29.41%
15.88%8.82%8.82%8.82%2.94%—35.29%
28.82%8.82%2.94%2.94%2.94%—26.47%
3—2.94%2.94%—2.94%—8.82%
4———————
5+———————
Total20.59%23.53%20.59%23.53%11.76%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.82 -0.68
SD 0.96 1.34 1.72
CV 0.83 0.73 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.88%5.88%11.76%2.94%——26.47%
12.94%11.76%5.88%2.94%5.88%—29.41%
211.76%2.94%8.82%——2.94%26.47%
32.94%2.94%5.88%2.94%2.94%—17.65%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.53%23.53%32.35%8.82%8.82%2.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 1.65 -0.29
SD 1.07 1.35 1.66
CV 0.79 0.82 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.94%17.65%2.94%5.88%—8.82%38.24%
15.88%11.76%11.76%5.88%2.94%2.94%41.18%
2——2.94%11.76%——14.71%
32.94%—————2.94%
4——2.94%———2.94%
5+———————
Total11.76%29.41%20.59%23.53%2.94%11.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 2.21 -1.29
SD 0.97 1.68 2.01
CV 1.06 0.76 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
017.65%5.88%5.88%—2.94%2.94%35.29%
12.94%5.88%5.88%2.94%2.94%—20.59%
25.88%14.71%—2.94%2.94%—26.47%
3—5.88%2.94%5.88%——14.71%
42.94%—————2.94%
5+———————
Total29.41%32.35%14.71%11.76%8.82%2.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.47 -0.18
SD 1.19 1.42 1.82
CV 0.92 0.97 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.71%8.82%5.88%5.88%2.94%—38.24%
15.88%23.53%——2.94%—32.35%
2——2.94%2.94%2.94%—8.82%
35.88%5.88%—2.94%——14.71%
4—2.94%————2.94%
5+—2.94%————2.94%
Total26.47%44.12%8.82%11.76%8.82%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.32 -0.09
SD 1.44 1.25 1.91
CV 1.16 0.94 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.94%5.88%—2.94%——11.76%
114.71%2.94%2.94%———20.59%
22.94%8.82%8.82%—2.94%—23.53%
35.88%2.94%2.94%2.94%——14.71%
42.94%2.94%2.94%2.94%——11.76%
5+2.94%8.82%5.88%———17.65%
Total32.35%32.35%23.53%8.82%2.94%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.62 1.18 +1.44
SD 1.92 1.09 2.13
CV 0.73 0.92 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.76%8.82%2.94%5.88%2.94%2.94%35.29%
12.94%2.94%2.94%5.88%2.94%5.88%23.53%
22.94%2.94%8.82%2.94%——17.65%
3—8.82%2.94%———11.76%
4—5.88%————5.88%
5+—2.94%2.94%———5.88%
Total17.65%32.35%20.59%14.71%5.88%8.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.88 -0.41
SD 1.52 1.57 2.35
CV 1.04 0.84 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.76%5.88%—5.88%2.94%—26.47%
18.82%5.88%2.94%5.88%——23.53%
25.88%5.88%2.94%2.94%——17.65%
32.94%8.82%—2.94%——14.71%
48.82%5.88%————14.71%
5+2.94%—————2.94%
Total41.18%32.35%5.88%17.65%2.94%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.76 1.09 +0.68
SD 1.52 1.22 2.17
CV 0.86 1.12 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.88%5.88%5.88%———17.65%
15.88%14.71%2.94%2.94%——26.47%
25.88%5.88%2.94%———14.71%
320.59%2.94%—5.88%——29.41%
48.82%—————8.82%
5+2.94%—————2.94%
Total50.00%29.41%11.76%8.82%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.94 0.79 +1.15
SD 1.39 0.98 1.92
CV 0.72 1.23 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.82%—8.82%———17.65%
114.71%2.94%8.82%5.88%—2.94%35.29%
22.94%8.82%11.76%2.94%——26.47%
35.88%2.94%2.94%———11.76%
42.94%——2.94%——5.88%
5+—————2.94%2.94%
Total35.29%14.71%32.35%11.76%—5.88%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 1.47 +0.15
SD 1.26 1.48 1.74
CV 0.78 1.01 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.88%11.76%5.88%2.94%5.88%—32.35%
15.88%8.82%5.88%5.88%——26.47%
28.82%2.94%14.71%——2.94%29.41%
32.94%2.94%————5.88%
4—2.94%————2.94%
5+2.94%—————2.94%
Total26.47%29.41%26.47%8.82%5.88%2.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.47 -0.15
SD 1.34 1.31 2.09
CV 1.01 0.89 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.94%—8.82%8.82%5.88%—26.47%
12.94%11.76%8.82%2.94%5.88%2.94%35.29%
25.88%8.82%2.94%5.88%2.94%—26.47%
32.94%2.94%5.88%———11.76%
4———————
5+———————
Total14.71%23.53%26.47%17.65%14.71%2.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 2.09 -0.85
SD 0.99 1.54 2.06
CV 0.80 0.74 —
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 34

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Feyenoord 82 69.39 +12.61
2 Sparta Rotterdam 59 49.72 +9.28
3 PSV Eindhoven 75 66.10 +8.90
4 Utrecht 54 48.01 +5.99
5 Alkmaar 67 62.36 +4.64

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Groningen 18 34.08 -16.08
2 Cambuur 19 32.85 -13.85
3 Emmen 28 37.84 -9.84
4 NEC Nijmegen 39 44.85 -5.85
5 Ajax 69 74.51 -5.51

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Feyenoord 13 Feb 12 – May 21 1 in 331
2 Vitesse 3 May 14 – May 28 1 in 35
3 Utrecht 4 Oct 23 – Nov 12 1 in 32
4 PSV Eindhoven 6 Apr 1 – May 14 1 in 29
5 Fortuna Sittard 3 Sep 17 – Oct 9 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Groningen 7 Nov 6 – Jan 29 1 in 391
2 Cambuur 9 Mar 12 – May 21 1 in 114
3 Heerenveen 4 Jan 25 – Feb 12 1 in 47
4 Fortuna Sittard 5 Aug 6 – Sep 2 1 in 30
5 Go Ahead Eagles 5 Aug 7 – Sep 3 1 in 29

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Go Ahead Eagles 11 Sep 9 – Jan 15 1 in 783
2 Feyenoord 26 Oct 2 – May 21 1 in 186
3 NEC Nijmegen 8 Aug 14 – Oct 8 1 in 94
4 Fortuna Sittard 6 Sep 10 – Oct 22 1 in 57
5 PSV Eindhoven 16 Jan 28 – May 28 1 in 53

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ajax 7 Nov 6 – Jan 26 1 in 1,931
2 NEC Nijmegen 10 Aug 26 – Oct 30 1 in 75
3 Groningen 11 Oct 30 – Feb 18 1 in 48
4 Emmen 9 Aug 27 – Oct 30 1 in 41
5 Cambuur 9 Oct 9 – Jan 21 1 in 33

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112131415161718
Feyenoord23.59%32.91%23.17%12.45%5.50%1.71%0.45%0.14%0.06%0.01%0.01%———————
PSV Eindhoven12.04%23.05%27.42%20.52%10.47%4.28%1.40%0.46%0.24%0.07%0.04%——0.01%————
Ajax57.71%24.57%11.43%4.53%1.42%0.29%0.04%0.01%——————————
Alkmaar4.61%11.56%20.06%27.20%21.09%8.76%3.79%1.54%0.75%0.35%0.12%0.04%0.09%0.01%0.03%———
Twente1.90%6.89%14.13%23.36%28.00%13.37%6.21%2.97%1.43%0.80%0.43%0.26%0.14%0.06%0.04%0.01%——
Sparta Rotterdam0.04%0.51%1.57%4.94%11.39%20.84%17.75%12.94%9.78%6.76%4.78%3.21%2.07%1.58%0.89%0.62%0.25%0.08%
Utrecht0.06%0.29%1.04%2.90%8.53%16.66%16.99%14.42%11.06%8.91%6.13%4.68%2.99%2.33%1.44%0.84%0.49%0.24%
Heerenveen0.01%0.08%0.39%1.29%3.88%8.51%12.21%12.76%13.00%11.02%9.78%7.42%6.24%5.09%3.44%2.31%1.80%0.77%
RKC Waalwijk0.01%0.04%0.18%0.65%2.64%6.21%8.97%11.80%11.94%11.74%10.50%8.85%7.85%5.89%4.86%3.89%2.41%1.57%
Vitesse0.01%0.01%0.06%0.14%0.68%2.10%4.38%6.36%7.88%9.29%10.35%10.91%9.96%10.34%9.18%7.53%6.68%4.14%
Go Ahead Eagles——0.08%0.30%1.04%3.27%5.28%7.65%9.09%9.64%11.23%10.33%10.45%8.90%7.90%6.24%5.09%3.51%
NEC Nijmegen0.01%0.08%0.43%1.43%4.05%9.62%12.88%14.15%12.23%10.68%9.00%7.37%6.02%4.17%3.20%2.31%1.63%0.74%
Fortuna Sittard——0.01%0.03%0.20%0.85%1.90%2.74%4.09%5.80%7.08%8.79%10.26%10.98%11.21%12.23%12.65%11.18%
Volendam———0.02%0.10%0.53%1.23%1.73%3.24%4.48%5.64%7.28%9.22%10.12%11.80%13.66%14.88%16.07%
Excelsior——0.01%0.03%0.14%0.47%1.18%2.11%3.12%4.19%5.28%6.78%8.25%10.10%12.26%13.62%15.02%17.44%
Emmen0.01%0.01%0.02%0.13%0.59%1.71%3.33%4.99%6.87%8.03%9.07%10.34%10.13%10.66%10.18%9.67%7.86%6.40%
Cambuur————0.07%0.32%0.80%1.26%2.40%3.43%4.87%6.29%7.68%9.64%11.63%13.97%16.78%20.86%
Groningen———0.08%0.21%0.50%1.21%1.97%2.82%4.80%5.69%7.45%8.65%10.12%11.94%13.10%14.46%17.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+13.40%
Slight Edge
44.77%23.86%31.37%
Elo Value
Home Edge
150 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
046.83400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.40 goals
Neutral
-2+0.31+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 9th * Longshot: 10th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.5
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
24%
Feyenoord, 2nd of 18
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.21/gm
Tight Race
00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.61 * Some Luck: 5.61 to 8.41 * Lucky: 8.41 to 11.21 * Wild Swing: 11.21 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.74 * Close: 1.74 to 2.6 * Off: 2.6 to 3.47 * Way Off: 3.47 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 18 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 18 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 18 * As Expected: 18 to 28.8 * Several Outliers: 28.8 to 39.6 * Many Outliers: 39.6 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.56 points
Some Luck
07.0118
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.33
Pinpoint
02.175
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 97.22%
97.63%
Feyenoord
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 2.78%
0.87%
Groningen
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 18
Minimal Outliers
01.89

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.22
Top-Heavy
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
2.15
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
83%
Wide Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
94%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
55%
Very Frequent
0%51%100%
Blowouts
Expected
25%
Very Frequent
0%25%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.55
Highly Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.41
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.20
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.68
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Chalky
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
As Expected
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.15 * Above Noise: 0.15 to 0.2 * Well Above Noise: 0.2 and up.
Probability calibration
0.70
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.33
Very Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.051
Well Within Noise
00.1010.25

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff Direct relegation
Ajax 100% — —
Alkmaar 100% — —
Feyenoord 100% — —
PSV Eindhoven 100% — —
Twente 99.99% 0.01% —
Sparta Rotterdam 99.05% 0.62% 0.33%
Utrecht 98.43% 0.84% 0.73%
NEC Nijmegen 95.32% 2.31% 2.37%
Heerenveen 95.12% 2.31% 2.57%
RKC Waalwijk 92.13% 3.89% 3.98%
Go Ahead Eagles 85.16% 6.24% 8.60%
Vitesse 81.65% 7.53% 10.82%
Fortuna Sittard 63.94% 12.23% 23.83%
Groningen 55.44% 13.10% 31.46%
Volendam 55.39% 13.66% 30.95%
Excelsior 53.92% 13.62% 32.46%
Cambuur 48.39% 13.97% 37.64%
Emmen — 100% —
Loser →
↓ Winner
ADO Den HaagAlmere CityCambuurDe GraafschapDen BoschDordrechtEmmenExcelsiorFC EindhovenFortuna SittardGo Ahead EaglesGroningenHeerenveenHeracles AlmeloMVV MaastrichtNAC BredaNEC NijmegenRKC WaalwijkRoda JC KerkradeTOP OssTelstarVVV-VenloVitesseVolendamWillem IIZwolle
ADO Den Haag
Almere City
Cambuur
De Graafschap
Den Bosch
Dordrecht
Emmen
Excelsior
FC Eindhoven
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
MVV Maastricht
NAC Breda
NEC Nijmegen
RKC Waalwijk
Roda JC Kerkrade
TOP Oss
Telstar
VVV-Venlo
Vitesse
Volendam
Willem II
Zwolle
Loser →
↓ Winner
ADO Den HaagAlmere CityCambuurDe GraafschapDen BoschDordrechtEmmenExcelsiorFC EindhovenFortuna SittardGo Ahead EaglesGroningenHeerenveenHelmond SportHeracles AlmeloMVV MaastrichtNAC BredaNEC NijmegenRKC WaalwijkRoda JC KerkradeTOP OssTelstarVVV-VenloVitesseVolendamWillem IIZwolle
ADO Den Haag100.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%
Almere City66.7%3.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%
Cambuur0.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
De Graafschap0.0%1.00%0.0%3.00%50.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Den Bosch
Dordrecht
Emmen33.3%3.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Excelsior100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%3.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%
FC Eindhoven0.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Fortuna Sittard50.0%4.00%33.3%3.00%50.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%
Go Ahead Eagles0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%
Groningen100.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Heerenveen100.0%1.00%
Helmond Sport100.0%1.00%
Heracles Almelo50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
MVV Maastricht0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
NAC Breda50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%
NEC Nijmegen100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
RKC Waalwijk100.0%1.00%
Roda JC Kerkrade100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%3.00%
TOP Oss
Telstar0.0%1.00%
VVV-Venlo0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%33.3%3.00%0.0%1.00%
Vitesse100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Volendam50.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%3.00%0.0%2.00%
Willem II100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%
Zwolle100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
ADO Den HaagAlmere CityCambuurDe GraafschapDen BoschDordrechtEmmenExcelsiorFC EindhovenFortuna SittardGo Ahead EaglesGroningenHeerenveenHelmond SportHeracles AlmeloMVV MaastrichtNAC BredaNEC NijmegenRKC WaalwijkRoda JC KerkradeTOP OssTelstarVVV-VenloVitesseVolendamWillem IIZwolle
ADO Den Haag0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%
Almere City0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Cambuur100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
De Graafschap0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Den Bosch
Dordrecht
Emmen0.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Excelsior100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%3.00%0.0%1.00%
FC Eindhoven0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Fortuna Sittard50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Go Ahead Eagles33.3%3.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Groningen100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Heerenveen100.0%1.00%
Helmond Sport0.0%1.00%
Heracles Almelo100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
MVV Maastricht0.0%1.00%
NAC Breda100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%
NEC Nijmegen50.0%2.00%
RKC Waalwijk100.0%1.00%
Roda JC Kerkrade0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
TOP Oss
Telstar0.0%1.00%
VVV-Venlo100.0%1.00%
Vitesse100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%
Volendam100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%0.0%1.00%
Willem II100.0%1.00%100.0%3.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%66.7%3.00%
Zwolle100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team Quarterfinals Semifinals Finals
Willem II 69.57% 44.44% 29.84%
Emmen — 56.55% 23.87%
Almere City 64.17% 29.18% 17.24%
NAC Breda 62.21% 29.39% 11.84%
VVV-Venlo 30.43% 14.36% 7.06%
FC Eindhoven 35.83% 12.02% 5.83%
MVV Maastricht 37.79% 14.06% 4.32%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Almere CityEmmenFC EindhovenMVV MaastrichtNAC BredaVVV-VenloWillem II
Almere City
Emmen
FC Eindhoven
MVV Maastricht
NAC Breda
VVV-Venlo
Willem II
Loser →
↓ Winner
Almere CityEmmenFC EindhovenMVV MaastrichtNAC BredaVVV-VenloWillem II
Almere City
Emmen62.8%37.79%52.8%62.21%
FC Eindhoven
MVV Maastricht37.2%37.79%
NAC Breda47.2%62.21%
VVV-Venlo
Willem II
Loser →
↓ Winner
Almere CityEmmenFC EindhovenMVV MaastrichtNAC BredaVVV-VenloWillem II
Almere City58.2%16.43%
Emmen41.8%16.43%53.5%6.71%55.8%8.07%35.2%25.34%
FC Eindhoven46.5%6.71%
MVV Maastricht
NAC Breda
VVV-Venlo44.2%8.07%
Willem II64.8%25.34%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2022-08-05 Sparta Rotterdam D 0-0 1822 1812 45.5% 24.9% 29.6% -0.9 1
2022-08-05 @ Heerenveen D 0-0 1812 1822 29.6% 24.9% 45.5% +0.9 1
2022-08-06 Ajax L 2-3 1793 2082 13.3% 21.0% 65.7% -3.4 0
2022-08-06 @ Fortuna Sittard W 3-2 2082 1793 65.7% 21.0% 13.3% +3.4 3
2022-08-06 Emmen W 4-1 1988 1863 59.2% 22.9% 17.9% +11.8 3
2022-08-06 @ PSV Eindhoven L 1-4 1863 1988 17.9% 22.9% 59.2% -11.8 0
2022-08-06 Excelsior L 0-2 1819 1809 45.6% 24.9% 29.5% -20.8 0
2022-08-06 @ Cambuur W 2-0 1809 1819 29.5% 24.9% 45.6% +20.8 3
2022-08-06 Utrecht D 2-2 1811 1853 38.4% 25.1% 36.4% -0.1 1
2022-08-06 @ RKC Waalwijk D 2-2 1853 1811 36.4% 25.1% 38.4% +0.1 1
2022-08-07 Feyenoord L 2-5 1842 1980 25.9% 24.5% 49.5% -14.2 0
2022-08-07 @ Vitesse W 5-2 1980 1842 49.5% 24.5% 25.9% +14.2 3
2022-08-07 Go Ahead Eagles W 2-0 1940 1805 60.2% 22.6% 17.1% +9.2 3
2022-08-07 @ Alkmaar L 0-2 1805 1940 17.1% 22.6% 60.2% -9.2 0
2022-08-07 Twente L 0-1 1809 1913 29.9% 24.9% 45.2% -8.0 0
2022-08-07 @ NEC Nijmegen W 1-0 1913 1809 45.2% 24.9% 29.9% +8.0 3
2022-08-07 Volendam D 2-2 1811 1817 43.5% 25.0% 31.5% -0.5 1
2022-08-07 @ Groningen D 2-2 1817 1811 31.5% 25.0% 43.5% +0.5 1
2022-08-12 Vitesse W 3-1 1829 1828 44.4% 25.0% 30.7% +13.3 6
2022-08-12 @ Excelsior L 1-3 1828 1829 30.7% 25.0% 44.4% -13.3 0
2022-08-13 Cambuur D 0-0 1853 1798 51.3% 24.3% 24.4% -1.6 2
2022-08-13 @ Utrecht D 0-0 1798 1853 24.4% 24.3% 51.3% +1.6 1
2022-08-13 Heerenveen D 0-0 1994 1821 63.9% 21.6% 14.5% -3.1 4
2022-08-13 @ Feyenoord D 0-0 1821 1994 14.5% 21.6% 63.9% +3.1 2
2022-08-13 PSV Eindhoven L 2-5 1796 2000 19.4% 23.3% 57.3% -11.0 0
2022-08-13 @ Go Ahead Eagles W 5-2 2000 1796 57.3% 23.3% 19.4% +11.0 6
2022-08-13 RKC Waalwijk D 1-1 1852 1811 49.4% 24.5% 26.0% -1.2 1
2022-08-13 @ Emmen D 1-1 1811 1852 26.0% 24.5% 49.4% +1.2 2
2022-08-14 Alkmaar L 2-3 1813 1949 26.1% 24.6% 49.3% -6.4 1
2022-08-14 @ Sparta Rotterdam W 3-2 1949 1813 49.3% 24.6% 26.1% +6.4 6
2022-08-14 Fortuna Sittard W 3-0 1921 1789 59.8% 22.7% 17.4% +13.6 6
2022-08-14 @ Twente L 0-3 1789 1921 17.4% 22.7% 59.8% -13.6 0
2022-08-14 Groningen W 6-1 2085 1811 72.4% 18.4% 9.2% +9.3 6
2022-08-14 @ Ajax L 1-6 1811 2085 9.2% 18.4% 72.4% -9.3 1
2022-08-14 NEC Nijmegen L 1-4 1817 1801 46.4% 24.8% 28.8% -25.9 1
2022-08-14 @ Volendam W 4-1 1801 1817 28.8% 24.8% 46.4% +25.9 3
2022-08-20 Cambuur L 1-4 1776 1800 40.9% 25.1% 34.0% -23.4 0
2022-08-20 @ Fortuna Sittard W 4-1 1800 1776 34.0% 25.1% 40.9% +23.4 4
2022-08-20 Heerenveen L 0-4 1815 1824 42.9% 25.0% 32.0% -37.7 0
2022-08-20 @ Vitesse W 4-0 1824 1815 32.0% 25.0% 42.9% +37.7 5
2022-08-20 Utrecht W 3-2 1850 1851 44.0% 25.0% 31.0% +7.3 4
2022-08-20 @ Emmen L 2-3 1851 1850 31.0% 25.0% 44.0% -7.3 2
2022-08-21 Ajax L 0-1 1807 2094 13.4% 21.1% 65.5% -3.8 1
2022-08-21 @ Sparta Rotterdam W 1-0 2094 1807 65.5% 21.1% 13.4% +3.8 9
2022-08-21 Feyenoord L 0-1 1813 1991 21.7% 23.8% 54.4% -6.1 2
2022-08-21 @ RKC Waalwijk W 1-0 1991 1813 54.4% 23.8% 21.7% +6.1 7
2022-08-21 Go Ahead Eagles W 1-0 1802 1785 46.5% 24.8% 28.7% +7.7 4
2022-08-21 @ Groningen L 0-1 1785 1802 28.7% 24.8% 46.5% -7.7 0
2022-08-26 Groningen D 1-1 1827 1809 46.5% 24.8% 28.7% -0.9 4
2022-08-26 @ NEC Nijmegen D 1-1 1809 1827 28.7% 24.8% 46.5% +0.9 5
2022-08-27 Emmen W 4-0 1997 1858 60.6% 22.5% 16.8% +17.2 10
2022-08-27 @ Feyenoord L 0-4 1858 1997 16.8% 22.5% 60.6% -17.2 4
2022-08-27 Fortuna Sittard W 2-1 1862 1752 57.5% 23.3% 19.2% +5.1 8
2022-08-27 @ Heerenveen L 1-2 1752 1862 19.2% 23.3% 57.5% -5.1 0
2022-08-27 RKC Waalwijk D 2-2 1777 1807 40.1% 25.1% 34.8% -0.2 1
2022-08-27 @ Vitesse D 2-2 1807 1777 34.8% 25.1% 40.1% +0.2 3
2022-08-27 Sparta Rotterdam L 0-1 1777 1803 40.6% 25.1% 34.3% -10.1 0
2022-08-27 @ Go Ahead Eagles W 1-0 1803 1777 34.3% 25.1% 40.6% +10.1 4
2022-08-28 Ajax L 0-2 1844 2098 15.5% 22.1% 62.4% -8.4 2
2022-08-28 @ Utrecht W 2-0 2098 1844 62.4% 22.1% 15.5% +8.4 12
2022-08-28 Alkmaar L 0-1 1823 1956 26.5% 24.6% 48.9% -7.2 4
2022-08-28 @ Cambuur W 1-0 1956 1823 48.9% 24.6% 26.5% +7.2 9
2022-08-28 PSV Eindhoven L 1-6 1843 2011 22.7% 24.0% 53.2% -23.1 6
2022-08-28 @ Excelsior W 6-1 2011 1843 53.2% 24.0% 22.7% +23.1 9
2022-08-28 Twente W 1-0 1791 1934 25.3% 24.4% 50.2% +12.0 4
2022-08-28 @ Volendam L 0-1 1934 1791 50.2% 24.4% 25.3% -12.0 6
2022-08-31 Excelsior W 4-0 1922 1820 56.8% 23.4% 19.8% +20.0 9
2022-08-31 @ Twente L 0-4 1820 1922 19.8% 23.4% 56.8% -20.0 6
2022-08-31 Volendam W 7-1 2034 1803 69.0% 19.8% 11.2% +13.7 12
2022-08-31 @ PSV Eindhoven L 1-7 1803 2034 11.2% 19.8% 69.0% -13.7 4
2022-09-01 NEC Nijmegen D 1-1 1963 1826 60.4% 22.6% 17.0% -2.4 10
2022-09-01 @ Alkmaar D 1-1 1826 1963 17.0% 22.6% 60.4% +2.4 5
2022-09-02 Utrecht L 3-4 1747 1836 31.9% 25.0% 43.1% -7.3 0
2022-09-02 @ Fortuna Sittard W 4-3 1836 1747 43.1% 25.0% 31.9% +7.3 5
2022-09-03 Cambuur W 4-0 2107 1816 73.6% 17.8% 8.6% +8.4 15
2022-09-03 @ Ajax L 0-4 1816 2107 8.6% 17.8% 73.6% -8.4 4
2022-09-03 Feyenoord L 3-4 1767 2014 16.0% 22.2% 61.8% -4.0 0
2022-09-03 @ Go Ahead Eagles W 4-3 2014 1767 61.8% 22.2% 16.0% +4.0 13
2022-09-03 PSV Eindhoven W 2-1 1942 2048 29.8% 24.9% 45.4% +10.4 12
2022-09-03 @ Twente L 1-2 2048 1942 45.4% 24.9% 29.8% -10.4 12
2022-09-03 Volendam W 4-0 1813 1790 47.3% 24.7% 27.9% +27.0 7
2022-09-03 @ Sparta Rotterdam L 0-4 1790 1813 27.9% 24.7% 47.3% -26.9 4
2022-09-04 Alkmaar L 0-3 1841 1960 28.0% 24.8% 47.3% -20.7 4
2022-09-04 @ Emmen W 3-0 1960 1841 47.3% 24.8% 28.0% +20.7 13
2022-09-04 Excelsior W 5-2 1807 1800 45.1% 24.9% 29.9% +15.9 6
2022-09-04 @ RKC Waalwijk L 2-5 1800 1807 29.9% 24.9% 45.1% -15.9 6
2022-09-04 NEC Nijmegen D 0-0 1867 1828 49.2% 24.6% 26.2% -1.3 9
2022-09-04 @ Heerenveen D 0-0 1828 1867 26.2% 24.6% 49.2% +1.3 6
2022-09-04 Vitesse L 0-1 1810 1777 48.6% 24.6% 26.8% -11.7 5
2022-09-04 @ Groningen W 1-0 1777 1810 26.8% 24.6% 48.6% +11.6 4
2022-09-09 Go Ahead Eagles L 2-3 1763 1763 44.2% 25.0% 30.9% -9.6 4
2022-09-09 @ Volendam W 3-2 1763 1763 30.9% 25.0% 44.2% +9.6 3
2022-09-10 Emmen W 2-1 1784 1820 39.2% 25.1% 35.7% +8.6 9
2022-09-10 @ Excelsior L 1-2 1820 1784 35.7% 25.1% 39.2% -8.6 4
2022-09-10 Fortuna Sittard D 1-1 1830 1740 55.3% 23.7% 21.0% -1.8 7
2022-09-10 @ NEC Nijmegen D 1-1 1740 1830 21.0% 23.7% 55.3% +1.8 1
2022-09-10 Heerenveen W 5-0 2115 1866 70.5% 19.2% 10.3% +12.7 18
2022-09-10 @ Ajax L 0-5 1866 2115 10.3% 19.2% 70.5% -12.8 9
2022-09-11 Groningen L 0-1 1807 1799 45.4% 24.9% 29.7% -11.0 4
2022-09-11 @ Cambuur W 1-0 1799 1807 29.7% 24.9% 45.4% +11.0 8
2022-09-11 RKC Waalwijk W 1-0 2037 1823 67.6% 20.3% 12.0% +3.4 15
2022-09-11 @ PSV Eindhoven L 0-1 1823 2037 12.0% 20.3% 67.6% -3.4 6
2022-09-11 Sparta Rotterdam W 3-0 2018 1840 64.4% 21.5% 14.2% +11.1 16
2022-09-11 @ Feyenoord L 0-3 1840 2018 14.2% 21.5% 64.4% -11.1 7
2022-09-11 Twente D 1-1 1981 1953 47.9% 24.7% 27.4% -1.1 14
2022-09-11 @ Alkmaar D 1-1 1953 1981 27.4% 24.7% 47.9% +1.1 13
2022-09-11 Vitesse W 1-0 1843 1789 51.2% 24.3% 24.5% +6.8 8
2022-09-11 @ Utrecht L 0-1 1789 1843 24.5% 24.3% 51.2% -6.7 4
2022-09-16 NEC Nijmegen D 0-0 1850 1828 47.1% 24.8% 28.1% -1.1 9
2022-09-16 @ Utrecht D 0-0 1828 1850 28.1% 24.8% 47.1% +1.1 8
2022-09-17 Cambuur W 5-1 1819 1796 47.2% 24.8% 28.0% +22.5 9
2022-09-17 @ RKC Waalwijk L 1-5 1796 1819 28.0% 24.8% 47.2% -22.5 4
2022-09-17 Excelsior W 1-0 1742 1792 37.1% 25.1% 37.7% +9.5 4
2022-09-17 @ Fortuna Sittard L 0-1 1792 1742 37.7% 25.1% 37.1% -9.5 9
2022-09-17 Groningen W 2-1 1829 1810 46.8% 24.8% 28.4% +7.2 10
2022-09-17 @ Sparta Rotterdam L 1-2 1810 1829 28.4% 24.8% 46.8% -7.2 8
2022-09-17 Volendam D 1-1 1782 1753 48.0% 24.7% 27.3% -1.1 5
2022-09-17 @ Vitesse D 1-1 1753 1782 27.3% 24.7% 48.0% +1.1 5
2022-09-18 Ajax W 2-1 1980 2128 24.8% 24.4% 50.8% +11.4 17
2022-09-18 @ Alkmaar L 1-2 2128 1980 50.8% 24.4% 24.8% -11.4 18
2022-09-18 Emmen W 2-0 1772 1811 38.8% 25.1% 36.1% +17.4 6
2022-09-18 @ Go Ahead Eagles L 0-2 1811 1772 36.1% 25.1% 38.8% -17.4 4
2022-09-18 Feyenoord W 4-3 2041 2029 45.7% 24.9% 29.4% +6.8 18
2022-09-18 @ PSV Eindhoven L 3-4 2029 2041 29.4% 24.9% 45.7% -6.9 16
2022-09-18 Twente W 2-1 1853 1954 30.3% 24.9% 44.8% +10.3 12
2022-09-18 @ Heerenveen L 1-2 1954 1853 44.8% 24.9% 30.3% -10.3 13
2022-10-01 Alkmaar L 1-4 1802 1991 20.7% 23.6% 55.6% -13.5 8
2022-10-01 @ Groningen W 4-1 1991 1802 55.6% 23.6% 20.7% +13.5 20
2022-10-01 Go Ahead Eagles D 1-1 2116 1790 76.1% 16.6% 7.3% -3.9 19
2022-10-01 @ Ajax D 1-1 1790 2116 7.3% 16.6% 76.1% +3.9 7
2022-10-01 PSV Eindhoven W 3-0 1774 2048 14.2% 21.5% 64.3% +40.7 7
2022-10-01 @ Cambuur L 0-3 2048 1774 64.3% 21.5% 14.2% -40.7 18
2022-10-01 Vitesse W 3-0 1944 1781 62.9% 21.9% 15.2% +11.9 16
2022-10-01 @ Twente L 0-3 1781 1944 15.2% 21.9% 62.9% -11.9 5
2022-10-02 Feyenoord D 1-1 1829 2022 20.3% 23.5% 56.1% +1.9 9
2022-10-02 @ NEC Nijmegen D 1-1 2022 1829 56.1% 23.5% 20.3% -1.9 17
2022-10-02 Heerenveen D 0-0 1794 1863 34.5% 25.1% 40.4% +0.3 5
2022-10-02 @ Emmen D 0-0 1863 1794 40.4% 25.1% 34.5% -0.3 13
2022-10-02 Sparta Rotterdam D 2-2 1842 1836 44.9% 24.9% 30.1% -0.6 10
2022-10-02 @ RKC Waalwijk D 2-2 1836 1842 30.1% 24.9% 44.9% +0.6 11
2022-10-02 Utrecht L 0-1 1783 1849 34.9% 25.1% 39.9% -9.0 9
2022-10-02 @ Excelsior W 1-0 1849 1783 39.9% 25.1% 34.9% +9.0 12
2022-10-02 Volendam W 2-0 1751 1754 43.8% 25.0% 31.2% +15.5 7
2022-10-02 @ Fortuna Sittard L 0-2 1754 1751 31.2% 25.0% 43.8% -15.5 5
2022-10-07 RKC Waalwijk L 2-3 1789 1841 36.9% 25.1% 38.0% -8.4 8
2022-10-07 @ Groningen W 3-2 1841 1789 38.0% 25.1% 36.9% +8.4 13
2022-10-08 Ajax L 2-4 1739 2112 9.1% 18.3% 72.6% -3.7 5
2022-10-08 @ Volendam W 4-2 2112 1739 72.6% 18.3% 9.1% +3.7 22
2022-10-08 Emmen W 3-1 1837 1794 49.8% 24.5% 25.8% +11.5 14
2022-10-08 @ Sparta Rotterdam L 1-3 1794 1837 25.8% 24.5% 49.8% -11.5 5
2022-10-08 Excelsior D 1-1 1831 1774 51.5% 24.3% 24.2% -1.4 10
2022-10-08 @ NEC Nijmegen D 1-1 1774 1831 24.2% 24.3% 51.5% +1.4 10
2022-10-09 Alkmaar L 1-2 1858 2005 24.9% 24.4% 50.7% -6.5 12
2022-10-09 @ Utrecht W 2-1 2005 1858 50.7% 24.4% 24.9% +6.5 23
2022-10-09 Cambuur D 0-0 1794 1815 41.3% 25.1% 33.6% -0.4 8
2022-10-09 @ Go Ahead Eagles D 0-0 1815 1794 33.6% 25.1% 41.3% +0.4 8
2022-10-09 Fortuna Sittard L 1-2 1769 1767 44.5% 24.9% 30.6% -10.2 5
2022-10-09 @ Vitesse W 2-1 1767 1769 30.6% 24.9% 44.5% +10.2 10
2022-10-09 PSV Eindhoven L 0-1 1863 2007 25.2% 24.4% 50.3% -6.9 13
2022-10-09 @ Heerenveen W 1-0 2007 1863 50.3% 24.4% 25.2% +6.9 21
2022-10-09 Twente W 2-0 2020 1955 52.5% 24.1% 23.4% +12.2 20
2022-10-09 @ Feyenoord L 0-2 1955 2020 23.4% 24.1% 52.5% -12.2 16
2022-10-14 Volendam D 1-1 1783 1735 50.4% 24.4% 25.2% -1.3 6
2022-10-14 @ Emmen D 1-1 1735 1783 25.2% 24.4% 50.4% +1.3 6
2022-10-15 Heerenveen D 1-1 1793 1856 35.4% 25.1% 39.5% +0.2 9
2022-10-15 @ Go Ahead Eagles D 1-1 1856 1793 39.5% 25.1% 35.4% -0.2 14
2022-10-15 RKC Waalwijk D 0-0 1777 1850 34.0% 25.1% 40.9% +0.4 11
2022-10-15 @ Fortuna Sittard D 0-0 1850 1777 40.9% 25.1% 34.0% -0.4 14
2022-10-15 Vitesse L 0-3 1815 1759 51.4% 24.3% 24.3% -33.5 8
2022-10-15 @ Cambuur W 3-0 1759 1815 24.3% 24.3% 51.4% +33.5 8
2022-10-16 Excelsior W 7-1 2116 1775 77.1% 16.1% 6.8% +7.9 25
2022-10-16 @ Ajax L 1-7 1775 2116 6.8% 16.1% 77.1% -7.9 10
2022-10-16 Feyenoord L 1-3 2011 2033 41.3% 25.1% 33.6% -16.7 23
2022-10-16 @ Alkmaar W 3-1 2033 2011 33.6% 25.1% 41.3% +16.7 23
2022-10-16 Groningen W 3-0 1943 1781 62.9% 21.9% 15.2% +11.9 19
2022-10-16 @ Twente L 0-3 1781 1943 15.2% 21.9% 62.9% -11.9 8
2022-10-16 NEC Nijmegen W 2-0 1848 1829 46.7% 24.8% 28.5% +14.4 17
2022-10-16 @ Sparta Rotterdam L 0-2 1829 1848 28.5% 24.8% 46.7% -14.4 10
2022-10-16 Utrecht W 6-1 2014 1851 62.9% 21.9% 15.2% +15.8 24
2022-10-16 @ PSV Eindhoven L 1-6 1851 2014 15.2% 21.9% 62.9% -15.8 12
2022-10-22 Ajax L 1-4 1849 2124 14.1% 21.5% 64.4% -9.3 14
2022-10-22 @ RKC Waalwijk W 4-1 2124 1849 64.4% 21.5% 14.1% +9.3 28
2022-10-22 Emmen W 2-1 1792 1781 45.6% 24.9% 29.5% +7.4 11
2022-10-22 @ Vitesse L 1-2 1781 1792 29.5% 24.9% 45.6% -7.4 6
2022-10-22 Fortuna Sittard D 1-1 2049 1777 72.2% 18.5% 9.3% -3.6 24
2022-10-22 @ Feyenoord D 1-1 1777 2049 9.3% 18.5% 72.2% +3.5 12
2022-10-23 Alkmaar W 2-1 1767 1995 17.5% 22.8% 59.8% +13.2 13
2022-10-23 @ Excelsior L 1-2 1995 1767 59.8% 22.8% 17.5% -13.2 23
2022-10-23 Go Ahead Eagles D 3-3 1815 1794 47.0% 24.8% 28.2% -0.6 11
2022-10-23 @ NEC Nijmegen D 3-3 1794 1815 28.2% 24.8% 47.0% +0.6 10
2022-10-23 Heerenveen L 1-3 1736 1856 28.0% 24.8% 47.2% -12.3 6
2022-10-23 @ Volendam W 3-1 1856 1736 47.2% 24.8% 28.0% +12.3 17
2022-10-23 PSV Eindhoven W 4-2 1769 2030 15.0% 21.9% 63.1% +21.4 11
2022-10-23 @ Groningen L 2-4 2030 1769 63.1% 21.9% 15.0% -21.4 24
2022-10-23 Sparta Rotterdam W 3-1 1835 1863 40.4% 25.1% 34.5% +14.5 15
2022-10-23 @ Utrecht L 1-3 1863 1835 34.5% 25.1% 40.4% -14.5 17
2022-10-23 Twente L 0-1 1782 1955 22.2% 23.9% 53.9% -6.2 8
2022-10-23 @ Cambuur W 1-0 1955 1782 53.9% 23.9% 22.2% +6.2 22
2022-10-29 Excelsior W 3-1 1794 1780 46.0% 24.9% 29.1% +12.7 13
2022-10-29 @ Go Ahead Eagles L 1-3 1780 1794 29.1% 24.9% 46.0% -12.7 13
2022-10-29 Fortuna Sittard W 3-1 1848 1781 52.8% 24.1% 23.1% +10.5 20
2022-10-29 @ Sparta Rotterdam L 1-3 1781 1848 23.1% 24.1% 52.8% -10.5 12
2022-10-29 Utrecht L 1-2 1868 1850 46.6% 24.8% 28.6% -10.6 17
2022-10-29 @ Heerenveen W 2-1 1850 1868 28.6% 24.8% 46.6% +10.6 18
2022-10-30 Groningen D 0-0 1774 1790 42.0% 25.1% 32.9% -0.5 7
2022-10-30 @ Emmen D 0-0 1790 1774 32.9% 25.1% 42.0% +0.5 12
2022-10-30 NEC Nijmegen W 3-0 2008 1814 65.8% 21.0% 13.2% +10.3 27
2022-10-30 @ PSV Eindhoven L 0-3 1814 2008 13.2% 21.0% 65.8% -10.3 11
2022-10-30 RKC Waalwijk W 3-0 1961 1840 58.8% 23.0% 18.2% +14.2 25
2022-10-30 @ Twente L 0-3 1840 1961 18.2% 23.0% 58.8% -14.2 14
2022-10-30 Volendam W 2-1 1982 1724 71.1% 18.9% 9.9% +2.6 26
2022-10-30 @ Alkmaar L 1-2 1724 1982 9.9% 18.9% 71.1% -2.6 6
2022-11-04 NEC Nijmegen L 0-1 1775 1804 40.2% 25.1% 34.6% -10.0 8
2022-11-04 @ Cambuur W 1-0 1804 1775 34.6% 25.1% 40.2% +10.0 14
2022-11-05 Emmen L 0-1 1770 1773 43.8% 25.0% 31.2% -10.7 12
2022-11-05 @ Fortuna Sittard W 1-0 1773 1770 31.2% 25.0% 43.8% +10.7 10
2022-11-05 Heerenveen L 0-1 1768 1857 31.8% 25.0% 43.2% -8.3 13
2022-11-05 @ Excelsior W 1-0 1857 1768 43.2% 25.0% 31.8% +8.3 20
2022-11-05 Sparta Rotterdam L 0-4 1800 1859 35.9% 25.1% 39.0% -32.8 11
2022-11-05 @ Vitesse W 4-0 1859 1800 39.0% 25.1% 35.9% +32.8 23
2022-11-06 Alkmaar W 3-1 1826 1984 23.7% 24.2% 52.1% +20.2 17
2022-11-06 @ RKC Waalwijk L 1-3 1984 1826 52.1% 24.2% 23.7% -20.2 26
2022-11-06 Feyenoord L 0-2 1721 2046 11.3% 19.9% 68.7% -6.0 6
2022-11-06 @ Volendam W 2-0 2046 1721 68.7% 19.9% 11.3% +6.0 27
2022-11-06 Go Ahead Eagles D 1-1 1975 1807 63.5% 21.7% 14.8% -2.7 26
2022-11-06 @ Twente D 1-1 1807 1975 14.8% 21.7% 63.5% +2.7 14
2022-11-06 Groningen W 2-1 1861 1791 53.1% 24.1% 22.9% +6.0 21
2022-11-06 @ Utrecht L 1-2 1791 1861 22.9% 24.1% 53.1% -6.0 12
2022-11-06 PSV Eindhoven L 1-2 2133 2018 58.1% 23.1% 18.8% -12.8 28
2022-11-06 @ Ajax W 2-1 2018 2133 18.8% 23.1% 58.1% +12.8 30
2022-11-09 Vitesse D 2-2 2121 1767 77.9% 15.7% 6.4% -3.0 29
2022-11-09 @ Ajax D 2-2 1767 2121 6.4% 15.7% 77.9% +3.0 12
2022-11-10 Cambuur W 1-0 2052 1765 73.3% 18.0% 8.7% +2.4 30
2022-11-10 @ Feyenoord L 0-1 1765 2052 8.7% 18.0% 73.3% -2.4 8
2022-11-11 Twente D 1-1 1892 1973 32.9% 25.1% 42.0% +0.5 24
2022-11-11 @ Sparta Rotterdam D 1-1 1973 1892 42.0% 25.1% 32.9% -0.5 27
2022-11-12 Ajax D 3-3 1784 2118 10.9% 19.6% 69.5% +2.0 11
2022-11-12 @ Emmen D 3-3 2118 1784 69.5% 19.6% 10.9% -2.0 30
2022-11-12 Alkmaar L 0-1 2031 1964 52.8% 24.1% 23.1% -12.5 30
2022-11-12 @ PSV Eindhoven W 1-0 1964 2031 23.1% 24.1% 52.8% +12.5 29
2022-11-12 Utrecht L 0-4 1715 1867 24.4% 24.3% 51.2% -24.1 6
2022-11-12 @ Volendam W 4-0 1867 1715 51.2% 24.3% 24.4% +24.1 24
2022-11-13 Cambuur W 2-1 1866 1763 56.8% 23.4% 19.8% +5.3 23
2022-11-13 @ Heerenveen L 1-2 1763 1866 19.8% 23.4% 56.8% -5.3 8
2022-11-13 Excelsior W 5-1 2054 1759 73.9% 17.7% 8.4% +6.9 33
2022-11-13 @ Feyenoord L 1-5 1759 2054 8.4% 17.7% 73.9% -6.9 13
2022-11-13 Fortuna Sittard L 2-3 1785 1760 47.5% 24.7% 27.8% -10.2 12
2022-11-13 @ Groningen W 3-2 1760 1785 27.8% 24.7% 47.5% +10.2 15
2022-11-13 RKC Waalwijk W 6-1 1814 1846 39.8% 25.1% 35.1% +32.9 17
2022-11-13 @ NEC Nijmegen L 1-6 1846 1814 35.1% 25.1% 39.8% -32.9 17
2022-11-13 Vitesse D 2-2 1810 1770 49.4% 24.5% 26.1% -0.9 15
2022-11-13 @ Go Ahead Eagles D 2-2 1770 1810 26.1% 24.5% 49.4% +0.9 13
2023-01-06 Emmen W 2-0 1972 1786 65.1% 21.2% 13.7% +7.3 30
2023-01-06 @ Twente L 0-2 1786 1972 13.7% 21.2% 65.1% -7.4 11
2023-01-07 Go Ahead Eagles L 0-2 1770 1809 38.8% 25.1% 36.0% -18.3 15
2023-01-07 @ Fortuna Sittard W 2-0 1809 1770 36.0% 25.1% 38.8% +18.3 18
2023-01-07 Heerenveen D 0-0 1813 1871 36.0% 25.1% 38.8% +0.1 18
2023-01-07 @ RKC Waalwijk D 0-0 1871 1813 38.8% 25.1% 36.0% -0.2 24
2023-01-07 Sparta Rotterdam D 0-0 2019 1892 59.4% 22.9% 17.8% -2.5 31
2023-01-07 @ PSV Eindhoven D 0-0 1892 2019 17.8% 22.9% 59.4% +2.5 25
2023-01-07 Vitesse D 1-1 1976 1771 66.9% 20.6% 12.5% -3.0 30
2023-01-07 @ Alkmaar D 1-1 1771 1976 12.5% 20.6% 66.9% +3.0 14
2023-01-08 Ajax D 1-1 1847 2116 14.5% 21.6% 63.8% +2.7 18
2023-01-08 @ NEC Nijmegen D 1-1 2116 1847 63.8% 21.6% 14.5% -2.7 31
2023-01-08 Feyenoord D 1-1 1891 2061 22.5% 24.0% 53.5% +1.6 25
2023-01-08 @ Utrecht D 1-1 2061 1891 53.5% 24.0% 22.5% -1.7 34
2023-01-08 Groningen W 1-0 1753 1774 41.2% 25.1% 33.7% +8.8 16
2023-01-08 @ Excelsior L 0-1 1774 1753 33.7% 25.1% 41.2% -8.8 12
2023-01-08 Volendam L 0-3 1758 1691 52.7% 24.1% 23.2% -34.2 8
2023-01-08 @ Cambuur W 3-0 1691 1758 23.2% 24.1% 52.7% +34.2 9
2023-01-14 Alkmaar L 0-2 1871 1973 30.1% 24.9% 45.0% -15.1 24
2023-01-14 @ Heerenveen W 2-0 1973 1871 45.0% 24.9% 30.1% +15.1 33
2023-01-14 Excelsior W 1-0 1895 1761 60.0% 22.7% 17.3% +4.9 28
2023-01-14 @ Sparta Rotterdam L 0-1 1761 1895 17.3% 22.7% 60.0% -4.9 16
2023-01-14 RKC Waalwijk W 2-1 1725 1813 32.0% 25.0% 43.0% +9.9 12
2023-01-14 @ Volendam L 1-2 1813 1725 43.0% 25.0% 32.0% -9.9 18
2023-01-14 Twente D 0-0 2113 1980 60.0% 22.7% 17.3% -2.6 32
2023-01-14 @ Ajax D 0-0 1980 2113 17.3% 22.7% 60.0% +2.6 31
2023-01-15 Cambuur D 0-0 1779 1723 51.3% 24.3% 24.4% -1.6 12
2023-01-15 @ Emmen D 0-0 1723 1779 24.4% 24.3% 51.3% +1.6 9
2023-01-15 Feyenoord L 0-3 1766 2059 13.0% 20.9% 66.1% -10.1 12
2023-01-15 @ Groningen W 3-0 2059 1766 66.1% 20.9% 13.0% +10.2 37
2023-01-15 NEC Nijmegen D 0-0 1774 1850 33.6% 25.1% 41.3% +0.4 15
2023-01-15 @ Vitesse D 0-0 1850 1774 41.3% 25.1% 33.6% -0.4 19
2023-01-15 PSV Eindhoven D 2-2 1752 2016 14.8% 21.8% 63.4% +2.0 16
2023-01-15 @ Fortuna Sittard D 2-2 2016 1752 63.4% 21.8% 14.8% -2.0 32
2023-01-15 Utrecht D 2-2 1827 1892 35.0% 25.1% 39.9% +0.2 19
2023-01-15 @ Go Ahead Eagles D 2-2 1892 1827 39.9% 25.1% 35.0% -0.2 26
2023-01-20 Volendam W 2-0 1756 1735 47.0% 24.8% 28.2% +14.3 19
2023-01-20 @ Excelsior L 0-2 1735 1756 28.2% 24.8% 47.0% -14.3 12
2023-01-21 Emmen W 3-1 1849 1777 53.3% 24.0% 22.7% +10.3 22
2023-01-21 @ NEC Nijmegen L 1-3 1777 1849 22.7% 24.0% 53.3% -10.3 12
2023-01-21 Sparta Rotterdam L 0-3 1725 1900 22.1% 23.9% 54.0% -16.9 9
2023-01-21 @ Cambuur W 3-0 1900 1725 54.0% 23.9% 22.1% +16.9 31
2023-01-21 Vitesse W 1-0 2014 1774 69.7% 19.5% 10.7% +3.0 35
2023-01-21 @ PSV Eindhoven L 0-1 1774 2014 10.7% 19.5% 69.7% -3.0 15
2023-01-22 Ajax D 1-1 2070 2110 38.5% 25.1% 36.3% -0.1 38
2023-01-22 @ Feyenoord D 1-1 2110 2070 36.3% 25.1% 38.5% +0.1 33
2023-01-22 Fortuna Sittard W 3-1 1988 1754 69.3% 19.7% 11.0% +5.1 36
2023-01-22 @ Alkmaar L 1-3 1754 1988 11.0% 19.7% 69.3% -5.1 16
2023-01-22 Groningen W 3-1 1856 1755 56.5% 23.5% 20.0% +9.2 27
2023-01-22 @ Heerenveen L 1-3 1755 1856 20.0% 23.5% 56.5% -9.2 12
2023-01-22 Utrecht W 2-0 1982 1892 55.4% 23.7% 20.9% +11.1 34
2023-01-22 @ Twente L 0-2 1892 1982 20.9% 23.7% 55.4% -11.1 26
2023-01-24 PSV Eindhoven W 1-0 1767 2017 15.8% 22.2% 62.1% +14.4 15
2023-01-24 @ Emmen L 0-1 2017 1767 62.1% 22.2% 15.8% -14.4 35
2023-01-24 RKC Waalwijk D 0-0 1916 1803 57.9% 23.2% 18.9% -2.4 32
2023-01-24 @ Sparta Rotterdam D 0-0 1803 1916 18.9% 23.2% 57.9% +2.4 19
2023-01-25 Alkmaar L 1-4 1827 1994 22.9% 24.1% 53.0% -14.7 19
2023-01-25 @ Go Ahead Eagles W 4-1 1994 1827 53.0% 24.1% 22.9% +14.7 39
2023-01-25 Excelsior W 1-0 1881 1771 57.6% 23.2% 19.1% +5.4 29
2023-01-25 @ Utrecht L 0-1 1771 1881 19.1% 23.2% 57.6% -5.4 19
2023-01-25 Heerenveen W 2-0 1749 1865 28.4% 24.8% 46.8% +21.3 19
2023-01-25 @ Fortuna Sittard L 0-2 1865 1749 46.8% 24.8% 28.4% -21.3 27
2023-01-25 NEC Nijmegen W 2-0 2069 1860 67.2% 20.5% 12.3% +6.6 41
2023-01-25 @ Feyenoord L 0-2 1860 2069 12.3% 20.5% 67.2% -6.6 22
2023-01-25 Twente D 2-2 1771 1993 17.9% 22.9% 59.2% +1.7 16
2023-01-25 @ Vitesse D 2-2 1993 1771 59.2% 22.9% 17.9% -1.7 35
2023-01-26 Cambuur L 0-1 1746 1708 49.2% 24.6% 26.3% -11.8 12
2023-01-26 @ Groningen W 1-0 1708 1746 26.3% 24.6% 49.2% +11.8 12
2023-01-26 Volendam D 1-1 2110 1721 80.1% 14.4% 5.5% -4.2 34
2023-01-26 @ Ajax D 1-1 1721 2110 5.5% 14.4% 80.1% +4.2 13
2023-01-28 Emmen W 2-0 1806 1781 47.4% 24.7% 27.9% +14.2 22
2023-01-28 @ RKC Waalwijk L 0-2 1781 1806 27.9% 24.7% 47.4% -14.2 15
2023-01-28 Go Ahead Eagles W 2-0 2003 1812 65.5% 21.1% 13.4% +7.2 38
2023-01-28 @ PSV Eindhoven L 0-2 1812 2003 13.4% 21.1% 65.5% -7.2 19
2023-01-28 Sparta Rotterdam D 1-1 1853 1914 35.6% 25.1% 39.2% +0.2 23
2023-01-28 @ NEC Nijmegen D 1-1 1914 1853 39.2% 25.1% 35.6% -0.2 33
2023-01-28 Utrecht D 5-5 2008 1886 58.8% 23.0% 18.2% -1.1 40
2023-01-28 @ Alkmaar D 5-5 1886 2008 18.2% 23.0% 58.8% +1.1 30
2023-01-28 Vitesse L 1-3 1844 1773 53.2% 24.1% 22.8% -20.6 27
2023-01-28 @ Heerenveen W 3-1 1773 1844 22.8% 24.1% 53.2% +20.6 19
2023-01-29 Ajax L 1-4 1765 2106 10.5% 19.4% 70.1% -6.8 19
2023-01-29 @ Excelsior W 4-1 2106 1765 70.1% 19.4% 10.5% +6.8 37
2023-01-29 Feyenoord D 1-1 1992 2076 32.4% 25.1% 42.5% +0.5 36
2023-01-29 @ Twente D 1-1 2076 1992 42.5% 25.1% 32.4% -0.5 42
2023-01-29 Fortuna Sittard L 1-2 1720 1770 37.2% 25.1% 37.7% -8.9 12
2023-01-29 @ Cambuur W 2-1 1770 1720 37.7% 25.1% 37.2% +8.9 22
2023-01-29 Groningen W 3-2 1725 1734 42.9% 25.0% 32.1% +7.5 16
2023-01-29 @ Volendam L 2-3 1734 1725 32.1% 25.0% 42.9% -7.5 12
2023-02-01 Go Ahead Eagles W 3-1 1820 1805 46.1% 24.8% 29.0% +12.7 25
2023-02-01 @ RKC Waalwijk L 1-3 1805 1820 29.0% 24.8% 46.1% -12.7 19
2023-02-03 Sparta Rotterdam D 0-0 1779 1914 26.2% 24.6% 49.2% +1.3 23
2023-02-03 @ Fortuna Sittard D 0-0 1914 1779 49.2% 24.6% 26.2% -1.3 34
2023-02-04 Alkmaar D 1-1 1733 2007 14.2% 21.5% 64.4% +2.8 17
2023-02-04 @ Volendam D 1-1 2007 1733 64.4% 21.5% 14.2% -2.8 41
2023-02-04 Heerenveen W 1-0 1888 1823 52.4% 24.2% 23.4% +6.5 33
2023-02-04 @ Utrecht L 0-1 1823 1888 23.4% 24.2% 52.4% -6.5 27
2023-02-04 RKC Waalwijk D 0-0 1758 1832 33.8% 25.1% 41.1% +0.4 20
2023-02-04 @ Excelsior D 0-0 1832 1758 41.1% 25.1% 33.8% -0.4 26
2023-02-04 Vitesse D 2-2 1767 1793 40.6% 25.1% 34.3% -0.2 16
2023-02-04 @ Emmen D 2-2 1793 1767 34.3% 25.1% 40.6% +0.2 20
2023-02-05 Ajax L 0-5 1711 2113 8.0% 17.3% 74.7% -9.6 12
2023-02-05 @ Cambuur W 5-0 2113 1711 74.7% 17.3% 8.0% +9.7 40
2023-02-05 NEC Nijmegen W 1-0 1793 1853 35.7% 25.1% 39.2% +9.8 22
2023-02-05 @ Go Ahead Eagles L 0-1 1853 1793 39.2% 25.1% 35.7% -9.8 23
2023-02-05 PSV Eindhoven D 2-2 2076 2010 52.5% 24.1% 23.3% -1.2 43
2023-02-05 @ Feyenoord D 2-2 2010 2076 23.3% 24.1% 52.5% +1.2 39
2023-02-05 Twente D 1-1 1727 1992 14.8% 21.7% 63.5% +2.7 13
2023-02-05 @ Groningen D 1-1 1992 1727 63.5% 21.7% 14.8% -2.7 37
2023-02-10 Excelsior W 5-0 2004 1759 70.2% 19.4% 10.5% +13.0 44
2023-02-10 @ Alkmaar L 0-5 1759 2004 10.5% 19.4% 70.2% -13.0 20
2023-02-11 Cambuur D 0-0 1843 1701 60.9% 22.5% 16.6% -2.7 24
2023-02-11 @ NEC Nijmegen D 0-0 1701 1843 16.6% 22.5% 60.9% +2.7 13
2023-02-11 Fortuna Sittard L 0-1 1767 1780 42.4% 25.1% 32.6% -10.4 16
2023-02-11 @ Emmen W 1-0 1780 1767 32.6% 25.1% 42.4% +10.4 26
2023-02-11 Groningen W 6-0 2011 1730 73.0% 18.1% 8.9% +12.9 42
2023-02-11 @ PSV Eindhoven L 0-6 1730 2011 8.9% 18.1% 73.0% -12.9 13
2023-02-12 Feyenoord L 1-2 1817 2074 15.3% 21.9% 62.8% -4.1 27
2023-02-12 @ Heerenveen W 2-1 2074 1817 62.8% 21.9% 15.3% +4.1 46
2023-02-12 Go Ahead Eagles W 2-1 1913 1802 57.6% 23.2% 19.1% +5.1 37
2023-02-12 @ Sparta Rotterdam L 1-2 1802 1913 19.1% 23.2% 57.6% -5.1 22
2023-02-12 RKC Waalwijk W 3-1 2123 1832 73.6% 17.8% 8.6% +3.8 43
2023-02-12 @ Ajax L 1-3 1832 2123 8.6% 17.8% 73.6% -3.8 26
2023-02-12 Utrecht W 2-0 1794 1894 30.4% 24.9% 44.7% +20.5 23
2023-02-12 @ Vitesse L 0-2 1894 1794 44.7% 24.9% 30.4% -20.5 33
2023-02-12 Volendam W 3-0 1989 1735 70.9% 19.1% 10.1% +7.7 40
2023-02-12 @ Twente L 0-3 1735 1989 10.1% 19.1% 70.9% -7.7 17
2023-02-17 Fortuna Sittard W 3-1 1828 1791 49.1% 24.6% 26.3% +11.7 29
2023-02-17 @ RKC Waalwijk L 1-3 1791 1828 26.3% 24.6% 49.1% -11.7 26
2023-02-18 Alkmaar W 2-1 2079 2017 52.0% 24.2% 23.8% +6.2 49
2023-02-18 @ Feyenoord L 1-2 2017 2079 23.8% 24.2% 52.0% -6.2 44
2023-02-18 Emmen D 1-1 1717 1757 38.6% 25.1% 36.2% -0.1 14
2023-02-18 @ Groningen D 1-1 1757 1717 36.2% 25.1% 38.6% +0.1 17
2023-02-18 Vitesse W 2-0 1728 1814 32.2% 25.0% 42.8% +19.8 20
2023-02-18 @ Volendam L 0-2 1814 1728 42.8% 25.0% 32.2% -19.8 23
2023-02-19 Heerenveen L 1-2 1704 1813 29.4% 24.9% 45.8% -7.4 13
2023-02-19 @ Cambuur W 2-1 1813 1704 45.8% 24.9% 29.4% +7.4 30
2023-02-19 NEC Nijmegen L 0-3 1746 1841 31.1% 25.0% 43.9% -22.5 20
2023-02-19 @ Excelsior W 3-0 1841 1746 43.9% 25.0% 31.1% +22.5 27
2023-02-19 PSV Eindhoven D 2-2 1874 2024 24.5% 24.3% 51.1% +1.0 34
2023-02-19 @ Utrecht D 2-2 2024 1874 51.1% 24.3% 24.5% -1.0 43
2023-02-19 Sparta Rotterdam W 4-0 2126 1918 67.1% 20.5% 12.3% +12.6 46
2023-02-19 @ Ajax L 0-4 1918 2126 12.3% 20.5% 67.1% -12.6 37
2023-02-19 Twente W 2-0 1797 1997 19.7% 23.4% 56.9% +25.2 25
2023-02-19 @ Go Ahead Eagles L 0-2 1997 1797 56.9% 23.4% 19.7% -25.2 40
2023-02-24 Utrecht L 0-3 1905 1875 48.2% 24.7% 27.1% -31.7 37
2023-02-24 @ Sparta Rotterdam W 3-0 1875 1905 27.1% 24.7% 48.2% +31.7 37
2023-02-25 Cambuur W 2-1 2011 1697 75.3% 17.0% 7.7% +2.0 47
2023-02-25 @ Alkmaar L 1-2 1697 2011 7.7% 17.0% 75.3% -2.0 13
2023-02-25 Excelsior W 3-0 1717 1723 43.3% 25.0% 31.7% +22.8 17
2023-02-25 @ Groningen L 0-3 1723 1717 31.7% 25.0% 43.3% -22.8 20
2023-02-25 RKC Waalwijk L 1-4 1820 1840 41.4% 25.1% 33.5% -23.6 30
2023-02-25 @ Heerenveen W 4-1 1840 1820 33.5% 25.1% 41.4% +23.6 32
2023-02-25 Volendam W 3-0 1863 1747 58.2% 23.1% 18.7% +14.5 30
2023-02-25 @ NEC Nijmegen L 0-3 1747 1863 18.7% 23.1% 58.2% -14.5 20
2023-02-26 Ajax L 1-2 1794 2139 10.4% 19.3% 70.4% -2.7 23
2023-02-26 @ Vitesse W 2-1 2139 1794 70.4% 19.3% 10.4% +2.7 49
2023-02-26 Feyenoord L 2-4 1779 2085 12.3% 20.5% 67.2% -5.1 26
2023-02-26 @ Fortuna Sittard W 4-2 2085 1779 67.2% 20.5% 12.3% +5.1 52
2023-02-26 Go Ahead Eagles D 2-2 1757 1822 35.0% 25.1% 39.9% +0.2 18
2023-02-26 @ Emmen D 2-2 1822 1757 39.9% 25.1% 35.0% -0.2 26
2023-02-26 Twente W 3-1 2023 1972 50.8% 24.4% 24.8% +11.2 46
2023-02-26 @ PSV Eindhoven L 1-3 1972 2023 24.8% 24.4% 50.8% -11.2 40
2023-03-03 Alkmaar L 0-1 1792 2013 17.9% 22.9% 59.2% -5.1 23
2023-03-03 @ Vitesse W 1-0 2013 1792 59.2% 22.9% 17.9% +5.1 50
2023-03-03 Fortuna Sittard L 1-2 1906 1774 60.0% 22.7% 17.3% -13.2 37
2023-03-03 @ Utrecht W 2-1 1774 1906 17.3% 22.7% 60.0% +13.2 29
2023-03-04 Emmen W 3-1 1733 1757 40.9% 25.1% 34.0% +14.4 23
2023-03-04 @ Volendam L 1-3 1757 1733 34.0% 25.1% 40.9% -14.4 18
2023-03-04 Groningen W 1-0 2090 1739 77.7% 15.8% 6.5% +1.7 55
2023-03-04 @ Feyenoord L 0-1 1739 2090 6.5% 15.8% 77.7% -1.7 17
2023-03-04 Heerenveen D 3-3 1961 1796 63.1% 21.9% 15.0% -1.7 41
2023-03-04 @ Twente D 3-3 1796 1961 15.0% 21.9% 63.1% +1.7 31
2023-03-05 Go Ahead Eagles W 4-1 1695 1822 27.1% 24.7% 48.2% +26.8 16
2023-03-05 @ Cambuur L 1-4 1822 1695 48.2% 24.7% 27.1% -26.8 26
2023-03-05 NEC Nijmegen W 1-0 2142 1878 71.6% 18.7% 9.6% +2.7 52
2023-03-05 @ Ajax L 0-1 1878 2142 9.6% 18.7% 71.6% -2.7 30
2023-03-05 PSV Eindhoven L 0-1 1864 2034 22.5% 24.0% 53.5% -6.3 32
2023-03-05 @ RKC Waalwijk W 1-0 2034 1864 53.5% 24.0% 22.5% +6.3 49
2023-03-05 Sparta Rotterdam L 1-4 1701 1873 22.2% 24.0% 53.8% -14.3 20
2023-03-05 @ Excelsior W 4-1 1873 1701 53.8% 24.0% 22.2% +14.3 40
2023-03-11 Excelsior W 2-0 1742 1686 51.4% 24.3% 24.3% +12.6 21
2023-03-11 @ Emmen L 0-2 1686 1742 24.3% 24.3% 51.4% -12.6 20
2023-03-11 Groningen W 1-0 2018 1738 72.9% 18.2% 8.9% +2.5 53
2023-03-11 @ Alkmaar L 0-1 1738 2018 8.9% 18.2% 72.9% -2.5 17
2023-03-11 Twente L 0-3 1787 1959 22.3% 24.0% 53.7% -17.1 29
2023-03-11 @ Fortuna Sittard W 3-0 1959 1787 53.7% 24.0% 22.3% +17.1 44
2023-03-11 Vitesse W 3-1 1888 1787 56.6% 23.4% 19.9% +9.2 43
2023-03-11 @ Sparta Rotterdam L 1-3 1787 1888 19.9% 23.4% 56.6% -9.2 23
2023-03-12 Ajax L 2-4 1798 2144 10.3% 19.2% 70.5% -4.2 31
2023-03-12 @ Heerenveen W 4-2 2144 1798 70.5% 19.2% 10.3% +4.2 55
2023-03-12 Cambuur W 5-2 2041 1721 75.6% 16.8% 7.5% +4.1 52
2023-03-12 @ PSV Eindhoven L 2-5 1721 2041 7.5% 16.8% 75.6% -4.1 16
2023-03-12 Utrecht D 2-2 1875 1893 41.7% 25.1% 33.2% -0.3 31
2023-03-12 @ NEC Nijmegen D 2-2 1893 1875 33.2% 25.1% 41.7% +0.3 38
2023-03-12 Volendam W 2-1 2092 1747 77.3% 16.0% 6.7% +1.7 58
2023-03-12 @ Feyenoord L 1-2 1747 2092 6.7% 16.0% 77.3% -1.7 23
2023-03-17 Fortuna Sittard W 2-1 1746 1770 40.8% 25.1% 34.1% +8.3 26
2023-03-17 @ Volendam L 1-2 1770 1746 34.1% 25.1% 40.8% -8.3 29
2023-03-18 Go Ahead Eagles L 1-2 1893 1795 56.3% 23.5% 20.2% -12.5 38
2023-03-18 @ Utrecht W 2-1 1795 1893 20.2% 23.5% 56.3% +12.5 29
2023-03-18 NEC Nijmegen L 1-3 1857 1875 41.8% 25.1% 33.1% -16.8 32
2023-03-18 @ RKC Waalwijk W 3-1 1875 1857 33.1% 25.1% 41.8% +16.8 34
2023-03-18 Sparta Rotterdam L 0-2 1755 1897 25.5% 24.5% 50.0% -13.2 21
2023-03-18 @ Emmen W 2-0 1897 1755 50.0% 24.5% 25.5% +13.2 46
2023-03-19 Alkmaar W 2-1 1976 2021 38.0% 25.1% 36.9% +8.8 47
2023-03-19 @ Twente L 1-2 2021 1976 36.9% 25.1% 38.0% -8.8 53
2023-03-19 Cambuur W 4-1 1674 1717 38.1% 25.1% 36.8% +21.6 23
2023-03-19 @ Excelsior L 1-4 1717 1674 36.8% 25.1% 38.1% -21.6 16
2023-03-19 Feyenoord L 2-3 2149 2093 51.3% 24.3% 24.4% -10.9 55
2023-03-19 @ Ajax W 3-2 2093 2149 24.4% 24.3% 51.3% +10.9 61
2023-03-19 Heerenveen L 0-2 1735 1794 36.0% 25.1% 38.9% -17.3 17
2023-03-19 @ Groningen W 2-0 1794 1735 38.9% 25.1% 36.0% +17.3 34
2023-03-19 PSV Eindhoven D 1-1 1777 2045 14.6% 21.7% 63.7% +2.7 24
2023-03-19 @ Vitesse D 1-1 2045 1777 63.7% 21.7% 14.6% -2.7 53
2023-04-01 Emmen L 1-2 1696 1742 37.7% 25.1% 37.1% -9.0 16
2023-04-01 @ Cambuur W 2-1 1742 1696 37.1% 25.1% 37.7% +9.0 24
2023-04-01 Heerenveen D 1-1 2012 1811 66.4% 20.8% 12.8% -3.0 54
2023-04-01 @ Alkmaar D 1-1 1811 2012 12.8% 20.8% 66.4% +3.0 35
2023-04-01 PSV Eindhoven L 2-4 1891 2042 24.5% 24.3% 51.1% -9.9 34
2023-04-01 @ NEC Nijmegen W 4-2 2042 1891 51.1% 24.3% 24.5% +9.9 56
2023-04-01 Twente D 0-0 1695 1985 13.2% 21.0% 65.8% +3.3 24
2023-04-01 @ Excelsior D 0-0 1985 1695 65.8% 21.0% 13.2% -3.3 48
2023-04-01 Vitesse W 1-0 1840 1780 51.9% 24.2% 23.8% +6.6 35
2023-04-01 @ RKC Waalwijk L 0-1 1780 1840 23.8% 24.2% 51.9% -6.6 24
2023-04-02 Ajax D 0-0 1808 2138 11.1% 19.8% 69.2% +3.7 30
2023-04-02 @ Go Ahead Eagles D 0-0 2138 1808 69.2% 19.8% 11.1% -3.7 56
2023-04-02 Feyenoord L 1-3 1910 2104 20.3% 23.5% 56.2% -9.3 46
2023-04-02 @ Sparta Rotterdam W 3-1 2104 1910 56.2% 23.5% 20.3% +9.3 64
2023-04-02 Groningen W 3-1 1762 1718 49.9% 24.5% 25.6% +11.5 32
2023-04-02 @ Fortuna Sittard L 1-3 1718 1762 25.6% 24.5% 49.9% -11.5 17
2023-04-02 Volendam D 0-0 1881 1754 59.4% 22.9% 17.8% -2.5 39
2023-04-02 @ Utrecht D 0-0 1754 1881 17.8% 22.9% 59.4% +2.5 27
2023-04-07 Utrecht L 1-2 1706 1878 22.3% 24.0% 53.7% -5.9 17
2023-04-07 @ Groningen W 2-1 1878 1706 53.7% 24.0% 22.3% +5.9 42
2023-04-08 Excelsior W 4-0 2052 1698 77.9% 15.7% 6.4% +6.1 59
2023-04-08 @ PSV Eindhoven L 0-4 1698 2052 6.4% 15.7% 77.9% -6.1 24
2023-04-08 Go Ahead Eagles W 2-0 1773 1812 38.9% 25.1% 36.0% +17.3 27
2023-04-08 @ Vitesse L 0-2 1812 1773 36.0% 25.1% 38.9% -17.3 30
2023-04-08 Sparta Rotterdam L 0-1 2009 1901 57.4% 23.3% 19.3% -13.5 54
2023-04-08 @ Alkmaar W 1-0 1901 2009 19.3% 23.3% 57.4% +13.5 49
2023-04-08 Volendam W 2-1 1814 1756 51.6% 24.3% 24.1% +6.3 38
2023-04-08 @ Heerenveen L 1-2 1756 1814 24.1% 24.3% 51.6% -6.3 27
2023-04-09 Cambuur W 4-0 1982 1687 73.9% 17.7% 8.4% +8.2 51
2023-04-09 @ Twente L 0-4 1687 1982 8.4% 17.7% 73.9% -8.2 16
2023-04-09 Fortuna Sittard W 4-0 2134 1773 78.4% 15.4% 6.2% +5.9 59
2023-04-09 @ Ajax L 0-4 1773 2134 6.2% 15.4% 78.4% -5.9 32
2023-04-09 NEC Nijmegen D 0-0 1751 1882 26.7% 24.6% 48.6% +1.3 25
2023-04-09 @ Emmen D 0-0 1882 1751 48.6% 24.6% 26.7% -1.3 35
2023-04-09 RKC Waalwijk W 5-1 2114 1847 71.8% 18.6% 9.5% +7.9 67
2023-04-09 @ Feyenoord L 1-5 1847 2114 9.5% 18.6% 71.8% -7.9 35
2023-04-14 Go Ahead Eagles W 2-1 1692 1794 30.2% 24.9% 44.9% +10.3 27
2023-04-14 @ Excelsior L 1-2 1794 1692 44.9% 24.9% 30.2% -10.3 30
2023-04-15 Groningen W 2-1 1839 1701 60.6% 22.6% 16.9% +4.5 38
2023-04-15 @ RKC Waalwijk L 1-2 1701 1839 16.9% 22.6% 60.6% -4.5 17
2023-04-15 Heerenveen W 4-0 1914 1820 55.8% 23.6% 20.6% +20.7 52
2023-04-15 @ Sparta Rotterdam L 0-4 1820 1914 20.6% 23.6% 55.8% -20.7 38
2023-04-16 Alkmaar L 0-3 1767 1995 17.4% 22.7% 59.9% -13.6 32
2023-04-16 @ Fortuna Sittard W 3-0 1995 1767 59.9% 22.7% 17.4% +13.6 57
2023-04-16 Emmen W 3-1 2140 1752 80.0% 14.5% 5.5% +2.3 62
2023-04-16 @ Ajax L 1-3 1752 2140 5.5% 14.5% 80.0% -2.3 25
2023-04-16 Feyenoord L 0-3 1679 2121 6.7% 15.9% 77.4% -4.8 16
2023-04-16 @ Cambuur W 3-0 2121 1679 77.4% 15.9% 6.7% +4.8 70
2023-04-16 PSV Eindhoven L 2-3 1750 2058 12.2% 20.5% 67.3% -3.1 27
2023-04-16 @ Volendam W 3-2 2058 1750 67.3% 20.5% 12.2% +3.1 62
2023-04-16 Twente W 1-0 1884 1990 29.7% 24.9% 45.4% +11.0 45
2023-04-16 @ Utrecht L 0-1 1990 1884 45.4% 24.9% 29.7% -11.0 51
2023-04-16 Vitesse L 1-4 1880 1791 55.3% 23.7% 21.0% -30.1 35
2023-04-16 @ NEC Nijmegen W 4-1 1791 1880 21.0% 23.7% 55.3% +30.1 30
2023-04-19 RKC Waalwijk W 3-2 1784 1844 35.8% 25.1% 39.0% +8.7 33
2023-04-19 @ Go Ahead Eagles L 2-3 1844 1784 39.0% 25.1% 35.8% -8.8 38
2023-04-21 Cambuur W 2-0 1747 1674 53.5% 24.0% 22.5% +11.8 30
2023-04-21 @ Volendam L 0-2 1674 1747 22.5% 24.0% 53.5% -11.8 16
2023-04-22 Emmen L 2-3 1800 1750 50.6% 24.4% 25.0% -10.8 38
2023-04-22 @ Heerenveen W 3-2 1750 1800 25.0% 24.4% 50.6% +10.8 28
2023-04-22 Excelsior D 0-0 1821 1703 58.5% 23.1% 18.5% -2.4 31
2023-04-22 @ Vitesse D 0-0 1703 1821 18.5% 23.1% 58.5% +2.4 28
2023-04-23 Ajax W 3-0 2061 2142 32.9% 25.1% 42.1% +28.4 65
2023-04-23 @ PSV Eindhoven L 0-3 2142 2061 42.1% 25.1% 32.9% -28.4 62
2023-04-23 Fortuna Sittard W 2-0 1793 1754 49.3% 24.6% 26.1% +13.5 36
2023-04-23 @ Go Ahead Eagles L 0-2 1754 1793 26.1% 24.6% 49.3% -13.4 32
2023-04-23 RKC Waalwijk W 3-0 2009 1835 64.0% 21.6% 14.4% +11.3 60
2023-04-23 @ Alkmaar L 0-3 1835 2009 14.4% 21.6% 64.0% -11.3 38
2023-04-23 Sparta Rotterdam D 3-3 1979 1935 49.9% 24.5% 25.6% -0.8 52
2023-04-23 @ Twente D 3-3 1935 1979 25.6% 24.5% 49.9% +0.8 53
2023-04-23 Utrecht W 3-1 2126 1895 69.0% 19.8% 11.2% +5.2 73
2023-04-23 @ Feyenoord L 1-3 1895 2126 11.2% 19.8% 69.0% -5.2 45
2023-04-25 NEC Nijmegen L 0-1 1696 1850 24.1% 24.3% 51.6% -6.7 17
2023-04-25 @ Groningen W 1-0 1850 1696 51.6% 24.3% 24.1% +6.7 38
2023-05-05 Volendam W 4-1 1824 1759 52.4% 24.2% 23.4% +15.0 41
2023-05-05 @ RKC Waalwijk L 1-4 1759 1824 23.4% 24.2% 52.4% -15.0 30
2023-05-06 Alkmaar D 0-0 2114 2020 55.8% 23.6% 20.6% -2.1 63
2023-05-06 @ Ajax D 0-0 2020 2114 20.6% 23.6% 55.8% +2.1 61
2023-05-06 Heerenveen L 2-3 1857 1789 52.8% 24.1% 23.1% -11.2 38
2023-05-06 @ NEC Nijmegen W 3-2 1789 1857 23.1% 24.1% 52.8% +11.2 41
2023-05-06 PSV Eindhoven L 0-1 1936 2089 24.2% 24.3% 51.5% -6.7 53
2023-05-06 @ Sparta Rotterdam W 1-0 2089 1936 51.5% 24.3% 24.2% +6.7 68
2023-05-06 Utrecht L 0-3 1662 1890 17.4% 22.7% 59.9% -13.6 16
2023-05-06 @ Cambuur W 3-0 1890 1662 59.9% 22.7% 17.4% +13.6 48
2023-05-07 Feyenoord L 0-2 1705 2131 7.2% 16.5% 76.3% -3.6 28
2023-05-07 @ Excelsior W 2-0 2131 1705 76.3% 16.5% 7.2% +3.6 76
2023-05-07 Groningen D 1-1 1806 1689 58.3% 23.1% 18.6% -2.2 37
2023-05-07 @ Go Ahead Eagles D 1-1 1689 1806 18.6% 23.1% 58.3% +2.2 18
2023-05-07 Twente L 0-3 1761 1978 18.3% 23.0% 58.7% -14.2 28
2023-05-07 @ Emmen W 3-0 1978 1761 58.7% 23.0% 18.3% +14.2 55
2023-05-07 Vitesse W 2-0 1740 1818 33.2% 25.1% 41.7% +19.4 35
2023-05-07 @ Fortuna Sittard L 0-2 1818 1740 41.7% 25.1% 33.2% -19.4 31
2023-05-12 NEC Nijmegen W 4-0 1992 1846 61.4% 22.3% 16.3% +16.6 58
2023-05-12 @ Twente L 0-4 1846 1992 16.3% 22.3% 61.4% -16.6 38
2023-05-13 Excelsior D 0-0 1800 1701 56.3% 23.5% 20.2% -2.2 42
2023-05-13 @ Heerenveen D 0-0 1701 1800 20.2% 23.5% 56.3% +2.2 29
2023-05-13 RKC Waalwijk W 2-0 1904 1839 52.5% 24.1% 23.4% +12.2 51
2023-05-13 @ Utrecht L 0-2 1839 1904 23.4% 24.1% 52.5% -12.2 41
2023-05-13 Sparta Rotterdam W 2-1 1744 1929 21.1% 23.7% 55.2% +12.3 33
2023-05-13 @ Volendam L 1-2 1929 1744 55.2% 23.7% 21.1% -12.3 53
2023-05-14 Cambuur W 2-0 1799 1648 61.8% 22.2% 16.0% +8.6 34
2023-05-14 @ Vitesse L 0-2 1648 1799 16.0% 22.2% 61.8% -8.6 16
2023-05-14 Emmen W 5-1 2022 1746 72.5% 18.3% 9.1% +7.6 64
2023-05-14 @ Alkmaar L 1-5 1746 2022 9.1% 18.3% 72.5% -7.6 28
2023-05-14 Fortuna Sittard W 2-1 2096 1760 76.8% 16.2% 7.0% +1.8 71
2023-05-14 @ PSV Eindhoven L 1-2 1760 2096 7.0% 16.2% 76.8% -1.8 35
2023-05-14 Go Ahead Eagles W 3-0 2135 1804 76.4% 16.4% 7.1% +5.2 79
2023-05-14 @ Feyenoord L 0-3 1804 2135 7.1% 16.4% 76.4% -5.2 37
2023-05-16 Ajax L 2-3 1692 2112 7.4% 16.7% 75.9% -1.8 18
2023-05-16 @ Groningen W 3-2 2112 1692 75.9% 16.7% 7.4% +1.8 66
2023-05-21 Alkmaar L 0-3 1829 2030 19.7% 23.4% 57.0% -15.2 38
2023-05-21 @ NEC Nijmegen W 3-0 2030 1829 57.0% 23.4% 19.7% +15.2 67
2023-05-21 Cambuur W 4-1 1917 1640 72.6% 18.3% 9.1% +5.8 56
2023-05-21 @ Sparta Rotterdam L 1-4 1640 1917 9.1% 18.3% 72.6% -5.8 16
2023-05-21 Feyenoord L 1-3 1739 2140 8.0% 17.3% 74.6% -3.6 28
2023-05-21 @ Emmen W 3-1 2140 1739 74.6% 17.3% 8.0% +3.6 82
2023-05-21 Fortuna Sittard W 3-0 1704 1758 36.6% 25.1% 38.3% +26.4 32
2023-05-21 @ Excelsior L 0-3 1758 1704 38.3% 25.1% 36.6% -26.4 35
2023-05-21 Groningen W 6-0 1808 1690 58.4% 23.1% 18.5% +27.5 37
2023-05-21 @ Vitesse L 0-6 1690 1808 18.5% 23.1% 58.4% -27.5 18
2023-05-21 Heerenveen D 3-3 2098 1798 74.3% 17.5% 8.2% -2.3 72
2023-05-21 @ PSV Eindhoven D 3-3 1798 2098 8.2% 17.5% 74.3% +2.3 43
2023-05-21 Twente L 0-5 1826 2009 21.3% 23.8% 54.9% -26.4 41
2023-05-21 @ RKC Waalwijk W 5-0 2009 1826 54.9% 23.8% 21.3% +26.4 61
2023-05-21 Utrecht W 3-1 2114 1916 66.1% 20.9% 13.0% +6.0 69
2023-05-21 @ Ajax L 1-3 1916 2114 13.0% 20.9% 66.1% -6.0 51
2023-05-21 Volendam W 3-0 1799 1756 49.7% 24.5% 25.8% +19.3 40
2023-05-21 @ Go Ahead Eagles L 0-3 1756 1799 25.8% 24.5% 49.7% -19.3 33
2023-05-28 Ajax W 3-1 2035 2120 32.5% 25.1% 42.5% +17.0 64
2023-05-28 @ Twente L 1-3 2120 2035 42.5% 25.1% 32.5% -17.1 69
2023-05-28 Emmen W 3-2 1910 1735 64.1% 21.6% 14.4% +3.7 54
2023-05-28 @ Utrecht L 2-3 1735 1910 14.4% 21.6% 64.1% -3.7 28
2023-05-28 Excelsior W 3-2 1737 1730 45.1% 24.9% 30.0% +7.1 36
2023-05-28 @ Volendam L 2-3 1730 1737 30.0% 24.9% 45.1% -7.1 32
2023-05-28 Go Ahead Eagles W 2-0 1800 1818 41.7% 25.1% 33.2% +16.3 46
2023-05-28 @ Heerenveen L 0-2 1818 1800 33.2% 25.1% 41.7% -16.3 40
2023-05-28 NEC Nijmegen D 1-1 1731 1814 32.7% 25.1% 42.2% +0.5 36
2023-05-28 @ Fortuna Sittard D 1-1 1814 1731 42.2% 25.1% 32.7% -0.5 39
2023-05-28 PSV Eindhoven L 1-2 2045 2095 37.1% 25.1% 37.7% -8.9 67
2023-05-28 @ Alkmaar W 2-1 2095 2045 37.7% 25.1% 37.1% +8.9 75
2023-05-28 RKC Waalwijk W 4-0 1634 1800 22.9% 24.1% 53.0% +44.9 19
2023-05-28 @ Cambuur L 0-4 1800 1634 53.0% 24.1% 22.9% -44.9 41
2023-05-28 Sparta Rotterdam L 0-5 1662 1923 15.1% 21.9% 63.0% -19.0 18
2023-05-28 @ Groningen W 5-0 1923 1662 63.0% 21.9% 15.1% +19.0 59
2023-05-28 Vitesse L 0-1 2144 1835 74.9% 17.2% 7.9% -16.8 82
2023-05-28 @ Feyenoord W 1-0 1835 2144 7.9% 17.2% 74.9% +16.8 40

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2023-05-31 Emmen L 1-2 1731 1732 44.1% 25.0% 30.9% -10.1 0-1
2023-05-31 @ NAC Breda W 2-1 1732 1731 30.9% 25.0% 44.1% +10.1 1-0
2023-06-01 Sparta Rotterdam L 1-2 1914 1942 40.3% 25.1% 34.6% -9.4 0-1
2023-06-01 @ Utrecht W 2-1 1942 1914 34.6% 25.1% 40.3% +9.4 1-0
2023-06-01 Twente L 1-2 1816 2052 16.8% 22.5% 60.7% -4.5 0-1
2023-06-01 @ Heerenveen W 2-1 2052 1816 60.7% 22.5% 16.8% +4.5 1-0
2023-06-03 NAC Breda W 2-0 1742 1721 47.0% 24.8% 28.2% +14.3 2-0
2023-06-03 @ Emmen L 0-2 1721 1742 28.2% 24.8% 47.0% -14.3 0-2
2023-06-04 Heerenveen W 4-0 2057 1812 70.1% 19.4% 10.5% +10.6 2-0
2023-06-04 @ Twente L 0-4 1812 2057 10.5% 19.4% 70.1% -10.6 0-2
2023-06-04 Utrecht W 2-1 1951 1904 50.3% 24.4% 25.3% +6.5 2-0
2023-06-04 @ Sparta Rotterdam L 1-2 1904 1951 25.3% 24.4% 50.3% -6.5 0-2
2023-06-06 Emmen W 2-0 1770 1756 46.0% 24.9% 29.2% +14.7 1-0
2023-06-06 @ Almere City L 0-2 1756 1770 29.2% 24.9% 46.0% -14.7 2-1
2023-06-08 Twente D 1-1 1958 2068 29.2% 24.9% 46.0% +0.9 2-0-1
2023-06-08 @ Sparta Rotterdam D 1-1 2068 1958 46.0% 24.9% 29.2% -0.9 2-0-1
2023-06-11 Sparta Rotterdam W 1-0 2067 1958 57.4% 23.3% 19.3% +5.5 3-0-1
2023-06-11 @ Twente L 0-1 1958 2067 19.3% 23.3% 57.4% -5.5 2-1-1
2023-06-11 Almere City L 1-2 1741 1784 38.2% 25.1% 36.6% -9.1 2-2
2023-06-11 @ Emmen W 2-1 1784 1741 36.6% 25.1% 38.2% +9.1 2-0

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2023-05-28 7.89% Vitesse 1835 1 @ Feyenoord 2144 0
2 2022-10-01 14.22% @ Cambuur 1774 3 PSV Eindhoven 2048 0
3 2022-10-23 15.05% @ Groningen 1769 4 PSV Eindhoven 2030 2
4 2023-01-24 15.78% @ Emmen 1767 1 PSV Eindhoven 2017 0
5 2023-03-03 17.33% Fortuna Sittard 1774 2 @ Utrecht 1906 1
6 2022-10-23 17.48% @ Excelsior 1767 2 Alkmaar 1995 1
7 2022-11-06 18.75% PSV Eindhoven 2018 2 @ Ajax 2133 1
8 2023-04-08 19.32% Sparta Rotterdam 1901 1 @ Alkmaar 2009 0
9 2023-02-19 19.74% @ Go Ahead Eagles 1797 2 Twente 1997 0
10 2023-03-18 20.21% Go Ahead Eagles 1795 2 @ Utrecht 1893 1
11 2023-04-16 20.98% Vitesse 1791 4 @ NEC Nijmegen 1880 1
12 2023-05-13 21.08% @ Volendam 1744 2 Sparta Rotterdam 1929 1
13 2023-01-28 22.78% Vitesse 1773 3 @ Heerenveen 1844 1
14 2023-05-28 22.91% @ Cambuur 1634 4 RKC Waalwijk 1800 0
15 2023-05-06 23.05% Heerenveen 1789 3 @ NEC Nijmegen 1857 2
16 2022-11-12 23.12% Alkmaar 1964 1 @ PSV Eindhoven 2031 0
17 2023-01-08 23.21% Volendam 1691 3 @ Cambuur 1758 0
18 2022-11-06 23.70% @ RKC Waalwijk 1826 3 Alkmaar 1984 1
19 2022-10-15 24.27% Vitesse 1759 3 @ Cambuur 1815 0
20 2023-03-19 24.37% Feyenoord 2093 3 @ Ajax 2149 2
21 2022-09-18 24.83% @ Alkmaar 1980 2 Ajax 2128 1
22 2023-04-22 24.97% Emmen 1750 3 @ Heerenveen 1800 2
23 2022-08-28 25.34% @ Volendam 1791 1 Twente 1934 0
24 2023-01-26 26.26% Cambuur 1708 1 @ Groningen 1746 0
25 2022-09-04 26.81% Vitesse 1777 1 @ Groningen 1810 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2023-05-28 44.93 @ Cambuur 4 1634 22.91% RKC Waalwijk 0 1800 53.01% 24.08%
2 2022-10-01 40.72 @ Cambuur 3 1774 14.22% PSV Eindhoven 0 2048 64.28% 21.50%
3 2022-08-20 37.66 Heerenveen 4 1824 32.05% @ Vitesse 0 1815 42.92% 25.03%
4 2023-01-08 34.20 Volendam 3 1691 23.21% @ Cambuur 0 1758 52.67% 24.13%
5 2022-10-15 33.51 Vitesse 3 1759 24.27% @ Cambuur 0 1815 51.43% 24.30%
6 2022-11-13 32.94 @ NEC Nijmegen 6 1814 39.77% RKC Waalwijk 1 1846 35.10% 25.13%
7 2022-11-05 32.82 Sparta Rotterdam 4 1859 38.97% @ Vitesse 0 1800 35.89% 25.14%
8 2023-02-24 31.71 Utrecht 3 1875 27.13% @ Sparta Rotterdam 0 1905 48.21% 24.66%
9 2023-04-16 30.12 Vitesse 4 1791 20.98% @ NEC Nijmegen 1 1880 55.33% 23.70%
10 2023-04-23 28.38 @ PSV Eindhoven 3 2061 32.85% Ajax 0 2142 42.08% 25.07%
11 2023-05-21 27.51 @ Vitesse 6 1808 58.44% Groningen 0 1690 18.49% 23.07%
12 2022-09-03 26.95 @ Sparta Rotterdam 4 1813 47.33% Volendam 0 1790 27.92% 24.74%
13 2023-03-05 26.76 @ Cambuur 4 1695 27.09% Go Ahead Eagles 1 1822 48.25% 24.66%
14 2023-05-21 26.37 Twente 5 2009 54.92% @ RKC Waalwijk 0 1826 21.31% 23.77%
15 2023-05-21 26.36 @ Excelsior 3 1704 36.59% Fortuna Sittard 0 1758 38.26% 25.15%
16 2022-08-14 25.88 NEC Nijmegen 4 1801 28.81% @ Volendam 1 1817 46.36% 24.82%
17 2023-02-19 25.18 @ Go Ahead Eagles 2 1797 19.74% Twente 0 1997 56.85% 23.41%
18 2022-11-12 24.11 Utrecht 4 1867 51.24% @ Volendam 0 1715 24.44% 24.32%
19 2023-02-25 23.64 RKC Waalwijk 4 1840 33.46% @ Heerenveen 1 1820 41.45% 25.09%
20 2022-08-20 23.41 Cambuur 4 1800 33.99% @ Fortuna Sittard 1 1776 40.91% 25.11%
21 2022-08-28 23.10 PSV Eindhoven 6 2011 53.24% @ Excelsior 1 1843 22.71% 24.04%
22 2023-02-25 22.84 @ Groningen 3 1717 43.27% Excelsior 0 1723 31.71% 25.02%
23 2022-09-17 22.52 @ RKC Waalwijk 5 1819 47.23% Cambuur 1 1796 28.02% 24.75%
24 2023-02-19 22.48 NEC Nijmegen 3 1841 43.93% @ Excelsior 0 1746 31.09% 24.98%
25 2023-03-19 21.58 @ Excelsior 4 1674 38.07% Cambuur 1 1717 36.78% 25.15%