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2023-24 Eredivisie Season

306 games · 4 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

PSV Eindhoven

91 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

PSV Eindhoven

15.40 points above expected

91 points · 75.60 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Volendam

8.92 points below expected

19 points · 27.92 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 PSV Eindhoven 34 29 4 1 91 111 21 +90 75.60 +15.40
2 Feyenoord 34 26 6 2 84 92 26 +66 72.18 +11.82
3 Twente 34 21 6 7 69 69 36 +33 66.30 +2.70
4 Alkmaar 34 19 8 7 65 70 39 +31 63.00 +2.00
5 Ajax 34 15 11 8 56 74 61 +13 62.17 -6.17
6 NEC Nijmegen 34 14 11 9 53 68 51 +17 45.24 +7.76
7 Utrecht 34 13 11 10 50 49 47 +2 44.69 +5.31
8 Sparta Rotterdam 34 14 7 13 49 51 48 +3 50.10 -1.10
9 Go Ahead Eagles 34 12 10 12 46 47 46 +1 45.29 +0.71
10 Fortuna Sittard 34 9 11 14 38 37 56 -19 33.75 +4.25
11 Heerenveen 34 10 7 17 37 53 70 -17 39.68 -2.68
12 Zwolle 34 9 9 16 36 45 67 -22 42.28 -6.28
13 Almere City 34 7 13 14 34 33 59 -26 36.86 -2.86
14 Heracles Almelo 34 9 6 19 33 41 74 -33 41.49 -8.49
15 RKC Waalwijk 34 7 8 19 29 38 56 -18 33.42 -4.42
16 Excelsior 34 6 11 17 29 50 73 -23 33.97 -4.97
17 Vitesse 34 6 6 22 24 30 74 -44 15.60 +8.40
18 Volendam 34 4 7 23 19 34 88 -54 27.92 -8.92

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The full Promotion / Relegation tab has matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Semifinals

Go Ahead Eagles 2
NEC Nijmegen 1
Sparta Rotterdam 3
Utrecht 1

Finals

Go Ahead Eagles 2
Utrecht 1

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
PSV Eindhoven 2192 91 75.60 +15.40 99.5% 54 65 71 76 80 86 97
Feyenoord 2158 84 72.18 +11.82 97.2% 46 61 68 72 77 83 98
Twente 2029 69 66.30 +2.70 67.4% 39 55 62 66 71 77 92
Alkmaar 1994 65 63.00 +2.00 63.7% 34 51 58 63 68 74 91
Ajax 1978 56 62.17 -6.17 21.0% 32 51 57 62 67 73 86
Sparta Rotterdam 1893 49 50.10 -1.10 46.7% 22 38 45 50 55 62 80
NEC Nijmegen 1892 53 45.24 +7.76 87.6% 19 34 40 45 50 57 74
Utrecht 1858 50 44.69 +5.31 79.5% 21 33 40 45 49 56 74
Go Ahead Eagles 1850 46 45.29 +0.71 57.2% 16 34 40 45 50 57 71
Zwolle 1782 36 42.28 -6.28 20.6% 17 31 37 42 47 54 67
Heerenveen 1776 37 39.68 -2.68 38.3% 15 28 35 40 44 52 72
Excelsior 1769 29 33.97 -4.97 26.2% 12 23 29 34 39 45 57
RKC Waalwijk 1766 29 33.42 -4.42 29.7% 11 23 29 33 38 45 64
Almere City 1740 34 36.86 -2.86 37.8% 12 26 32 37 41 49 62
Heracles Almelo 1726 33 41.49 -8.49 13.2% 17 30 37 41 46 53 74
Fortuna Sittard 1725 38 33.75 +4.25 75.7% 10 23 29 34 38 45 61
Vitesse 1684 24 15.60 +8.40 8.9% -8 5 11 16 20 27 41
Volendam 1606 19 27.92 -8.92 9.1% 7 18 24 28 32 39 56

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AJA ALK AC EXC FEY FS GAE HEE HA NN PE RW SR TWE UTR VIT VOL ZWO
Ajax —
0-0-2
2.56
1-1-0
4.09
0-2-0
4.44
0-0-2
2.13
0-2-0
4.39
1-1-0
3.78
1-0-1
4.10
2-0-0
4.02
1-1-0
3.90
0-1-1
1.68
2-0-0
4.36
1-1-0
3.63
1-0-1
2.42
1-0-1
3.84
1-1-0
4.39
2-0-0
4.54
1-1-0
3.96
Alkmaar
2-0-0
2.92
 —
1-1-0
4.38
1-1-0
4.51
0-0-2
2.11
2-0-0
4.44
2-0-0
3.82
1-1-0
4.29
0-1-1
4.15
1-0-1
3.67
0-0-2
1.63
2-0-0
4.24
1-1-0
3.60
1-0-1
2.40
0-2-0
4.00
2-0-0
4.23
2-0-0
4.78
1-1-0
3.89
Almere City
0-1-1
1.46
0-1-1
1.22
 —
1-1-0
2.74
0-0-2
1.07
0-1-1
3.00
0-2-0
2.13
0-1-1
2.35
0-1-1
2.85
0-1-1
2.08
0-0-2
0.91
1-1-0
2.94
1-0-1
1.97
0-0-2
1.30
1-1-0
2.18
1-1-0
2.98
1-1-0
3.52
1-0-1
2.13
Excelsior
0-2-0
1.15
0-1-1
1.10
0-1-1
2.74
 —
0-0-2
0.79
0-1-1
2.78
0-1-1
1.95
2-0-0
2.30
1-0-1
2.14
1-0-1
1.89
0-0-2
0.61
0-2-0
2.70
1-0-1
1.86
0-0-2
1.15
0-2-0
2.41
0-1-1
2.86
1-0-1
3.14
0-0-2
2.34
Feyenoord
2-0-0
3.38
2-0-0
3.38
2-0-0
4.54
2-0-0
4.90
 —
1-1-0
4.77
2-0-0
4.50
2-0-0
4.48
2-0-0
4.72
1-1-0
4.44
0-1-1
2.31
2-0-0
4.83
1-1-0
3.90
0-1-1
3.31
2-0-0
4.24
2-0-0
4.74
1-1-0
5.16
2-0-0
4.61
Fortuna Sittard
0-2-0
1.19
0-0-2
1.16
1-1-0
2.48
1-1-0
2.70
0-1-1
0.89
 —
0-1-1
2.11
0-1-1
2.36
1-1-0
2.47
0-1-1
1.85
0-1-1
0.68
2-0-0
2.64
0-0-2
1.84
0-0-2
1.07
0-1-1
2.19
1-0-1
2.95
2-0-0
3.05
1-0-1
2.10
Go Ahead Eagles
0-1-1
1.74
0-0-2
1.70
0-2-0
3.36
1-1-0
3.56
0-0-2
1.10
1-1-0
3.38
 —
2-0-0
2.96
1-0-1
2.99
0-2-0
2.99
0-0-2
1.12
2-0-0
3.70
1-1-0
2.34
0-0-2
1.71
0-0-2
2.86
2-0-0
3.48
2-0-0
3.69
0-2-0
2.64
Heerenveen
1-0-1
1.45
0-1-1
1.29
1-1-0
3.14
0-0-2
3.18
0-0-2
1.12
1-1-0
3.13
0-0-2
2.52
 —
2-0-0
2.30
0-1-1
2.40
0-0-2
0.86
1-1-0
3.16
0-0-2
2.07
0-1-1
1.25
1-0-1
2.28
1-0-1
3.21
1-0-1
3.69
1-1-0
2.53
Heracles Almelo
0-0-2
1.52
1-1-0
1.40
1-1-0
2.63
1-0-1
3.35
0-0-2
0.93
0-1-1
3.01
1-0-1
2.50
0-0-2
3.18
 —
1-0-1
2.67
0-0-2
0.91
1-0-1
3.21
1-0-1
2.27
0-1-1
1.32
0-0-2
2.63
1-0-1
3.27
0-2-0
3.63
1-0-1
2.99
NEC Nijmegen
0-1-1
1.63
1-0-1
1.87
1-1-0
3.42
1-0-1
3.62
0-1-1
1.16
1-1-0
3.66
0-2-0
2.49
1-1-0
3.09
1-0-1
2.83
 —
1-0-1
1.12
1-0-1
3.48
1-1-0
2.31
1-1-0
1.40
1-0-1
2.72
1-0-1
3.67
1-1-0
3.82
1-1-0
3.05
PSV Eindhoven
1-1-0
3.84
2-0-0
3.91
2-0-0
4.75
2-0-0
5.13
1-1-0
3.18
1-1-0
5.03
2-0-0
4.49
2-0-0
4.80
2-0-0
4.75
1-0-1
4.48
 —
2-0-0
4.79
2-0-0
4.27
2-0-0
3.60
1-1-0
4.34
2-0-0
4.58
2-0-0
5.06
2-0-0
4.63
RKC Waalwijk
0-0-2
1.22
0-0-2
1.33
0-1-1
2.54
0-2-0
2.78
0-0-2
0.84
0-0-2
2.84
0-0-2
1.82
0-1-1
2.33
1-0-1
2.29
1-0-1
2.02
0-0-2
0.88
 —
0-1-1
1.72
1-0-1
1.05
0-2-0
1.81
2-0-0
2.49
1-0-1
3.23
1-1-0
2.35
Sparta Rotterdam
0-1-1
1.87
0-1-1
1.91
1-0-1
3.53
1-0-1
3.65
0-1-1
1.65
2-0-0
3.66
0-1-1
3.15
2-0-0
3.43
1-0-1
3.22
0-1-1
3.19
0-0-2
1.33
1-1-0
3.80
 —
0-1-1
1.63
1-0-1
3.04
2-0-0
3.81
2-0-0
4.10
1-0-1
3.14
Twente
1-0-1
3.06
1-0-1
3.08
2-0-0
4.27
2-0-0
4.44
1-1-0
2.19
2-0-0
4.55
2-0-0
3.81
1-1-0
4.33
1-1-0
4.26
0-1-1
4.16
0-0-2
1.91
1-0-1
4.57
1-1-0
3.91
 —
0-1-1
4.23
2-0-0
4.51
2-0-0
4.74
2-0-0
4.16
Utrecht
1-0-1
1.68
0-2-0
1.54
0-1-1
3.31
0-2-0
3.07
0-0-2
1.33
1-1-0
3.31
2-0-0
2.63
1-0-1
3.21
2-0-0
2.87
1-0-1
2.76
0-1-1
1.25
0-2-0
3.70
1-0-1
2.47
1-1-0
1.33
 —
1-1-0
3.86
1-0-1
3.54
1-0-1
3.01
Vitesse
0-1-1
1.20
0-0-2
1.36
0-1-1
2.51
1-1-0
2.63
0-0-2
0.91
1-0-1
2.53
0-0-2
2.02
1-0-1
2.30
1-0-1
2.22
1-0-1
1.85
0-0-2
1.08
0-0-2
3.01
0-0-2
1.71
0-0-2
1.09
0-1-1
1.68
 —
1-1-0
3.15
0-1-1
2.22
Volendam
0-0-2
1.07
0-0-2
0.88
0-1-1
1.99
1-0-1
2.34
0-1-1
0.58
0-0-2
2.44
0-0-2
1.83
1-0-1
1.82
0-2-0
1.87
0-1-1
1.70
0-0-2
0.66
1-0-1
2.26
0-0-2
1.46
0-0-2
0.92
1-0-1
1.97
0-1-1
2.33
 —
0-1-1
1.75
Zwolle
0-1-1
1.57
0-1-1
1.63
1-0-1
3.36
2-0-0
3.15
0-0-2
1.03
1-0-1
3.39
0-2-0
2.85
0-1-1
2.95
1-0-1
2.49
0-1-1
2.46
0-0-2
1.00
0-1-1
3.14
1-0-1
2.35
0-0-2
1.39
1-0-1
2.48
1-1-0
3.28
1-1-0
3.78
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.88 +8.7
Allowed 0.84 -10.4
Differential 0.97 +5.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.90%4.90%5.56%3.92%3.10%1.80%24.18%
14.90%10.46%5.72%4.90%1.96%1.47%29.41%
25.56%5.72%7.84%1.96%1.31%0.65%23.04%
33.92%4.90%1.96%1.63%0.33%—12.75%
43.10%1.96%1.31%0.33%——6.70%
5+1.80%1.47%0.65%———3.92%
Total24.18%29.41%23.04%12.75%6.70%3.92%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 1.62 +0.00
SD 1.42 1.42 2.27
CV 0.88 0.88 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 306

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.94%—2.94%—2.94%2.94%11.76%
1—5.88%2.94%2.94%——11.76%
25.88%8.82%23.53%2.94%—2.94%44.12%
32.94%2.94%5.88%—2.94%—14.71%
4—11.76%2.94%———14.71%
5+2.94%—————2.94%
Total14.71%29.41%38.24%5.88%5.88%5.88%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.18 1.79 +0.38
SD 1.27 1.39 2.19
CV 0.58 0.77 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.94%5.88%——2.94%2.94%14.71%
1—11.76%5.88%——2.94%20.59%
211.76%8.82%5.88%———26.47%
314.71%2.94%2.94%2.94%——23.53%
48.82%2.94%————11.76%
5+—2.94%————2.94%
Total38.24%35.29%14.71%2.94%2.94%5.88%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.06 1.15 +0.91
SD 1.35 1.37 2.30
CV 0.65 1.20 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.71%—5.88%5.88%2.94%2.94%32.35%
18.82%17.65%5.88%2.94%8.82%2.94%47.06%
22.94%5.88%5.88%2.94%——17.65%
3———————
4———————
5+2.94%—————2.94%
Total29.41%23.53%17.65%11.76%11.76%5.88%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.74 -0.76
SD 1.00 1.66 2.06
CV 1.03 0.95 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.88%—2.94%8.82%5.88%—23.53%
1—11.76%8.82%8.82%——29.41%
2—2.94%14.71%—11.76%2.94%32.35%
35.88%—————5.88%
45.88%——2.94%——8.82%
5+———————
Total17.65%14.71%26.47%20.59%17.65%2.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 2.15 -0.68
SD 1.19 1.44 2.06
CV 0.81 0.67 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.82%—————8.82%
111.76%—5.88%———17.65%
28.82%5.88%8.82%———23.53%
32.94%8.82%5.88%———17.65%
411.76%—5.88%———17.65%
5+5.88%8.82%————14.71%
Total50.00%23.53%26.47%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.71 0.76 +1.94
SD 1.71 0.85 1.86
CV 0.63 1.12 —
Max 6 2 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
017.65%2.94%8.82%8.82%8.82%—47.06%
18.82%5.88%2.94%2.94%2.94%—23.53%
2—2.94%5.88%2.94%——11.76%
3—8.82%—2.94%——11.76%
4—2.94%————2.94%
5+——2.94%———2.94%
Total26.47%23.53%20.59%17.65%11.76%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.65 -0.56
SD 1.36 1.37 1.96
CV 1.25 0.83 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.82%2.94%5.88%8.82%——26.47%
15.88%17.65%2.94%8.82%—2.94%38.24%
28.82%2.94%2.94%2.94%——17.65%
35.88%—2.94%———8.82%
42.94%2.94%————5.88%
5+—2.94%————2.94%
Total32.35%29.41%14.71%20.59%—2.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.35 +0.03
SD 1.30 1.30 2.07
CV 0.94 0.96 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—2.94%8.82%8.82%—2.94%23.53%
1—8.82%5.88%5.88%2.94%2.94%26.47%
28.82%—5.88%8.82%——23.53%
38.82%5.88%2.94%5.88%——23.53%
42.94%—————2.94%
5+———————
Total20.59%17.65%23.53%29.41%2.94%5.88%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 2.06 -0.50
SD 1.19 1.74 2.50
CV 0.76 0.85 —
Max 4 8 +4
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.94%8.82%8.82%5.88%8.82%5.88%41.18%
1—5.88%—8.82%5.88%—20.59%
22.94%11.76%8.82%—2.94%—26.47%
3—2.94%2.94%———5.88%
4———————
5+5.88%—————5.88%
Total11.76%29.41%20.59%14.71%17.65%5.88%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 2.18 -0.97
SD 1.37 1.55 2.50
CV 1.13 0.71 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—2.94%2.94%2.94%2.94%—11.76%
12.94%14.71%5.88%2.94%——26.47%
25.88%2.94%11.76%2.94%——23.53%
311.76%8.82%—5.88%2.94%—29.41%
4—5.88%————5.88%
5+——2.94%———2.94%
Total20.59%35.29%23.53%14.71%5.88%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.50 +0.50
SD 1.26 1.16 1.86
CV 0.63 0.77 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
15.88%8.82%—2.94%——17.65%
214.71%2.94%2.94%———20.59%
35.88%14.71%————20.59%
417.65%—2.94%———20.59%
5+8.82%8.82%2.94%———20.59%
Total52.94%35.29%8.82%2.94%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.26 0.62 +2.65
SD 1.80 0.78 2.06
CV 0.55 1.26 —
Max 8 3 +8
Min 1 0 -2

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.94%17.65%2.94%5.88%2.94%—32.35%
12.94%14.71%5.88%8.82%2.94%—35.29%
25.88%5.88%5.88%8.82%——26.47%
3—2.94%————2.94%
4———————
5+2.94%—————2.94%
Total14.71%41.18%14.71%23.53%5.88%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.65 -0.53
SD 1.09 1.18 1.74
CV 0.98 0.71 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.94%—14.71%—2.94%—20.59%
111.76%8.82%17.65%———38.24%
25.88%5.88%8.82%—2.94%—23.53%
3—2.94%2.94%———5.88%
42.94%5.88%2.94%———11.76%
5+———————
Total23.53%23.53%47.06%—5.88%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.41 +0.09
SD 1.24 1.05 1.76
CV 0.82 0.74 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.94%11.76%—2.94%——17.65%
18.82%2.94%5.88%———17.65%
25.88%14.71%5.88%———26.47%
311.76%11.76%—5.88%——29.41%
4—2.94%2.94%———5.88%
5+——2.94%———2.94%
Total29.41%44.12%17.65%8.82%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.03 1.06 +0.97
SD 1.49 0.92 1.64
CV 0.73 0.87 —
Max 7 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.88%8.82%11.76%2.94%——29.41%
111.76%17.65%———2.94%32.35%
22.94%5.88%5.88%—2.94%—17.65%
3—2.94%2.94%2.94%——8.82%
42.94%—2.94%2.94%——8.82%
5+—2.94%————2.94%
Total23.53%38.24%23.53%8.82%2.94%2.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.38 +0.06
SD 1.40 1.21 1.74
CV 0.97 0.87 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.88%11.76%11.76%2.94%2.94%8.82%44.12%
1—8.82%5.88%11.76%2.94%2.94%32.35%
22.94%5.88%2.94%2.94%——14.71%
3—5.88%2.94%———8.82%
4———————
5+———————
Total8.82%32.35%23.53%17.65%5.88%11.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 2.18 -1.29
SD 0.98 1.55 2.01
CV 1.11 0.71 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.94%8.82%5.88%2.94%8.82%2.94%32.35%
12.94%11.76%8.82%8.82%8.82%2.94%44.12%
2—2.94%2.94%—2.94%5.88%14.71%
3—2.94%2.94%2.94%——8.82%
4———————
5+———————
Total5.88%26.47%20.59%14.71%20.59%11.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 2.59 -1.59
SD 0.92 1.65 1.83
CV 0.92 0.64 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—2.94%5.88%2.94%2.94%2.94%17.65%
15.88%14.71%11.76%11.76%—5.88%50.00%
25.88%5.88%11.76%———23.53%
3—2.94%————2.94%
4——2.94%———2.94%
5+2.94%—————2.94%
Total14.71%26.47%32.35%14.71%2.94%8.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.97 -0.65
SD 1.09 1.57 2.21
CV 0.83 0.79 —
Max 5 7 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 34

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 PSV Eindhoven 91 75.60 +15.40
2 Feyenoord 84 72.18 +11.82
3 Vitesse 24 15.60 +8.40
4 NEC Nijmegen 53 45.24 +7.76
5 Utrecht 50 44.69 +5.31

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Volendam 19 27.92 -8.92
2 Heracles Almelo 33 41.49 -8.49
3 Zwolle 36 42.28 -6.28
4 Ajax 56 62.17 -6.17
5 Excelsior 29 33.97 -4.97

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 PSV Eindhoven 17 Aug 12 – Jan 13 1 in 3,733
2 NEC Nijmegen 3 Dec 6 – Dec 15 1 in 56
3 Utrecht 4 Feb 4 – Feb 23 1 in 40
4 RKC Waalwijk 2 Sep 16 – Sep 24 1 in 36
5 Feyenoord 7 Aug 27 – Oct 21 1 in 32

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ajax 5 Sep 17 – Oct 29 1 in 138
2 Heracles Almelo 4 Apr 14 – May 12 1 in 127
3 Excelsior 6 Feb 2 – Mar 10 1 in 100
4 Heerenveen 5 Aug 27 – Sep 30 1 in 48
5 Vitesse 5 Aug 19 – Sep 27 1 in 45

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Utrecht 15 Oct 22 – Feb 23 1 in 7,776
2 NEC Nijmegen 7 Dec 6 – Feb 3 1 in 129
3 PSV Eindhoven 26 Aug 12 – Mar 17 1 in 76
4 Almere City 6 Sep 30 – Nov 12 1 in 48
5 Zwolle 6 Dec 17 – Feb 11 1 in 39

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Almere City 12 Feb 25 – May 19 1 in 86
2 Ajax 7 Aug 19 – Oct 29 1 in 75
3 Zwolle 8 Feb 11 – Apr 3 1 in 43
4 Alkmaar 6 Dec 17 – Feb 10 1 in 40
5 Excelsior 11 Jan 27 – Apr 6 1 in 33

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112131415161718
PSV Eindhoven57.06%26.06%10.85%4.35%1.41%0.27%————————————
Feyenoord29.34%36.86%19.43%9.75%3.73%0.68%0.17%0.03%——0.01%———————
Twente7.59%18.55%29.35%23.95%14.43%4.16%1.29%0.36%0.14%0.09%0.07%0.02%——————
Alkmaar3.46%10.00%20.27%28.08%24.82%8.35%2.93%1.12%0.52%0.26%0.10%0.04%0.04%0.01%————
Ajax2.50%8.03%17.92%25.49%29.45%9.58%4.16%1.50%0.73%0.27%0.22%0.09%0.03%0.02%0.01%———
NEC Nijmegen0.02%0.03%0.29%1.37%4.29%12.21%15.33%14.21%12.23%10.91%9.04%7.20%5.38%3.59%2.13%1.34%0.38%0.05%
Utrecht0.01%0.05%0.20%0.87%3.26%10.68%14.09%14.31%12.78%11.87%9.69%7.96%5.96%3.53%2.56%1.60%0.57%0.01%
Sparta Rotterdam0.01%0.32%1.26%3.99%10.06%25.02%18.55%13.20%9.36%6.66%4.46%2.98%2.08%1.04%0.70%0.25%0.06%—
Go Ahead Eagles—0.06%0.23%1.17%3.93%11.89%14.55%14.69%13.18%11.15%9.11%6.97%5.38%3.66%2.35%1.25%0.42%0.01%
Fortuna Sittard————0.15%0.42%1.21%2.38%4.06%5.01%6.79%9.38%11.64%13.31%15.39%15.70%12.81%1.75%
Heerenveen—0.01%0.03%0.17%0.80%3.24%5.76%7.41%9.56%11.36%11.92%11.84%10.88%10.26%8.05%5.62%2.85%0.24%
Zwolle—0.02%0.12%0.42%1.75%5.77%8.93%10.86%12.36%12.25%12.10%10.31%8.55%6.90%4.98%3.35%1.23%0.10%
Almere City———0.05%0.29%1.46%2.94%4.62%6.14%7.81%9.49%11.79%12.84%13.19%12.83%10.07%5.92%0.56%
Heracles Almelo0.01%0.01%0.05%0.33%1.45%5.14%7.42%10.32%11.02%11.57%11.25%11.10%10.07%8.31%5.90%4.09%1.81%0.15%
RKC Waalwijk———0.01%0.09%0.60%1.22%2.11%3.40%4.59%6.92%8.45%10.99%14.43%15.28%16.66%13.29%1.96%
Excelsior————0.09%0.45%1.29%2.60%3.81%5.21%6.90%9.07%11.45%13.42%16.19%16.10%11.75%1.67%
Vitesse—————————0.02%0.06%0.09%0.20%0.46%1.19%2.90%10.36%84.72%
Volendam—————0.08%0.16%0.28%0.71%0.97%1.87%2.71%4.51%7.87%12.44%21.07%38.55%8.78%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+11.11%
Slight Edge
43.14%24.84%32.03%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 38.76 Elo pts.
148 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.29 goals
Neutral
-2+0.26+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 9th * Longshot: 10th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.4
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
57%
PSV Eindhoven, 1st of 18
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.21/gm
Tight Race
00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.53 * Some Luck: 5.53 to 8.3 * Lucky: 8.3 to 11.07 * Wild Swing: 11.07 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.42 * Close: 1.42 to 2.13 * Off: 2.13 to 2.84 * Way Off: 2.84 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 18 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 18 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 18 * As Expected: 18 to 28.8 * Several Outliers: 28.8 to 39.6 * Many Outliers: 39.6 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.97 points
Some Luck
06.9217
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.33
Pinpoint
01.784
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 97.22%
99.49%
PSV Eindhoven
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 2.78%
8.90%
Vitesse
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 18
Minimal Outliers
01.89

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.23
Top-Heavy
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
2.30
Wide Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
79%
Clear Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
97%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
51%
Very Frequent
0%49%100%
Blowouts
Expected
26%
Very Frequent
0%27%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.54
Highly Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.43
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.08
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.77
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
17%
Chalky
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Solid Favorites
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.15 * Above Noise: 0.15 to 0.2 * Well Above Noise: 0.2 and up.
Probability calibration
0.22
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.34
Very Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.069
Well Within Noise
00.0990.25

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff Direct relegation
Ajax 100% — —
Alkmaar 100% — —
Feyenoord 100% — —
PSV Eindhoven 100% — —
Twente 100% — —
Sparta Rotterdam 99.69% 0.25% 0.06%
Go Ahead Eagles 98.32% 1.25% 0.43%
NEC Nijmegen 98.23% 1.34% 0.43%
Utrecht 97.82% 1.60% 0.58%
Zwolle 95.32% 3.35% 1.33%
Heracles Almelo 93.95% 4.09% 1.96%
Heerenveen 91.29% 5.62% 3.09%
Almere City 83.45% 10.07% 6.48%
Fortuna Sittard 69.74% 15.70% 14.56%
RKC Waalwijk 68.09% 16.66% 15.25%
Volendam 31.60% 21.07% 47.33%
Vitesse 2.02% 2.90% 95.08%
Excelsior — 100% —
Loser →
↓ Winner
ADO Den HaagAlmere CityCambuurDe GraafschapDordrechtEmmenExcelsiorFC EindhovenFortuna SittardGroningenHeerenveenHelmond SportHeracles AlmeloMVV MaastrichtNAC BredaNEC NijmegenRKC WaalwijkRoda JC KerkradeTOP OssTelstarUtrechtVVV-VenloVitesseVolendamWillem IIZwolle
ADO Den Haag
Almere City
Cambuur
De Graafschap
Dordrecht
Emmen
Excelsior
FC Eindhoven
Fortuna Sittard
Groningen
Heerenveen
Helmond Sport
Heracles Almelo
MVV Maastricht
NAC Breda
NEC Nijmegen
RKC Waalwijk
Roda JC Kerkrade
TOP Oss
Telstar
Utrecht
VVV-Venlo
Vitesse
Volendam
Willem II
Zwolle
Loser →
↓ Winner
ADO Den HaagAlmere CityCambuurDe GraafschapDordrechtEmmenExcelsiorFC EindhovenFortuna SittardGroningenHeerenveenHelmond SportHeracles AlmeloMVV MaastrichtNAC BredaNEC NijmegenRKC WaalwijkRoda JC KerkradeTelstarUtrechtVVV-VenloVitesseVolendamWillem IIZwolle
ADO Den Haag100.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%
Almere City66.7%3.00%0.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%
Cambuur33.3%3.00%33.3%3.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%
De Graafschap100.0%1.00%25.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%
Dordrecht0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Emmen50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Excelsior0.0%2.00%66.7%3.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%
FC Eindhoven0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Fortuna Sittard0.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%75.0%4.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%
Groningen33.3%3.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%3.00%100.0%4.00%
Heerenveen100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%
Helmond Sport100.0%1.00%
Heracles Almelo100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
MVV Maastricht0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%
NAC Breda0.0%2.00%33.3%3.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%
NEC Nijmegen0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
RKC Waalwijk100.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%3.00%100.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%3.00%100.0%1.00%
Roda JC Kerkrade50.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%3.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Telstar
Utrecht100.0%1.00%
VVV-Venlo0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Vitesse100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Volendam50.0%2.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Willem II100.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Zwolle100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
ADO Den HaagAlmere CityCambuurDe GraafschapDordrechtEmmenExcelsiorFC EindhovenFortuna SittardGroningenHeerenveenHelmond SportHeracles AlmeloMVV MaastrichtNAC BredaNEC NijmegenRKC WaalwijkRoda JC KerkradeTelstarUtrechtVVV-VenloVitesseVolendamWillem IIZwolle
ADO Den Haag0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Almere City100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Cambuur0.0%1.00%
De Graafschap100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Dordrecht50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Emmen100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Excelsior0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
FC Eindhoven
Fortuna Sittard100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Groningen100.0%2.00%33.3%3.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%
Heerenveen0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Helmond Sport
Heracles Almelo33.3%3.00%0.0%1.00%
MVV Maastricht100.0%1.00%
NAC Breda100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%
NEC Nijmegen0.0%1.00%
RKC Waalwijk100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%0.0%1.00%
Roda JC Kerkrade100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Telstar
Utrecht100.0%1.00%
VVV-Venlo
Vitesse0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Volendam100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%
Willem II100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Zwolle0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team Quarterfinals Semifinals Finals
Roda JC Kerkrade 64.97% 40.69% 24.24%
Excelsior — 47.79% 22.01%
ADO Den Haag 53.71% 29.16% 14.35%
Dordrecht 59.73% 27.48% 14.27%
De Graafschap 46.29% 23.05% 10.41%
NAC Breda 35.03% 16.78% 8.27%
Emmen 40.27% 15.05% 6.45%
Loser →
↓ Winner
ADO Den HaagDe GraafschapDordrechtEmmenExcelsiorNAC BredaRoda JC Kerkrade
ADO Den Haag
De Graafschap
Dordrecht
Emmen
Excelsior
NAC Breda
Roda JC Kerkrade
Loser →
↓ Winner
ADO Den HaagDe GraafschapDordrechtEmmenExcelsiorNAC BredaRoda JC Kerkrade
ADO Den Haag54.3%53.71%
De Graafschap49.8%46.29%
Dordrecht
Emmen
Excelsior45.7%53.71%50.2%46.29%
NAC Breda
Roda JC Kerkrade
Loser →
↓ Winner
ADO Den HaagDe GraafschapDordrechtEmmenExcelsiorNAC BredaRoda JC Kerkrade
ADO Den Haag
De Graafschap
Dordrecht53.5%12.81%
Emmen42.3%7.16%
Excelsior46.5%12.81%57.7%7.16%51.9%8.06%39.2%19.76%
NAC Breda48.1%8.06%
Roda JC Kerkrade60.8%19.76%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2023-08-11 Vitesse L 1-2 1753 1826 32.2% 26.0% 41.9% -6.8 0
2023-08-11 @ Volendam W 2-1 1826 1753 41.9% 26.0% 32.2% +6.8 3
2023-08-12 Heracles Almelo W 4-1 1999 1859 59.4% 23.1% 17.5% +9.8 3
2023-08-12 @ Ajax L 1-4 1859 1999 17.5% 23.1% 59.4% -9.8 0
2023-08-12 RKC Waalwijk W 3-1 1792 1762 46.2% 25.6% 28.1% +10.6 3
2023-08-12 @ Heerenveen L 1-3 1762 1792 28.1% 25.6% 46.2% -10.6 0
2023-08-12 Sparta Rotterdam L 1-2 1837 1896 34.0% 26.1% 40.0% -7.1 0
2023-08-12 @ Zwolle W 2-1 1896 1837 40.0% 26.1% 34.0% +7.1 3
2023-08-12 Utrecht W 2-0 1992 1856 59.0% 23.2% 17.8% +8.2 3
2023-08-12 @ PSV Eindhoven L 0-2 1856 1992 17.8% 23.2% 59.0% -8.1 0
2023-08-13 Excelsior L 3-4 1802 1737 50.7% 25.0% 24.2% -9.0 0
2023-08-13 @ NEC Nijmegen W 4-3 1737 1802 24.2% 25.0% 50.7% +9.0 3
2023-08-13 Fortuna Sittard D 0-0 2004 1746 70.7% 18.7% 10.6% -3.2 1
2023-08-13 @ Feyenoord D 0-0 1746 2004 10.6% 18.7% 70.7% +3.2 1
2023-08-13 Go Ahead Eagles W 5-1 1951 1793 61.3% 22.5% 16.2% +11.7 3
2023-08-13 @ Alkmaar L 1-5 1793 1951 16.2% 22.5% 61.3% -11.7 0
2023-08-13 Twente L 1-4 1787 1984 18.9% 23.6% 57.5% -10.5 0
2023-08-13 @ Almere City W 4-1 1984 1787 57.5% 23.6% 18.9% +10.5 3
2023-08-18 NEC Nijmegen W 2-1 1849 1793 49.7% 25.2% 25.1% +5.6 3
2023-08-18 @ Heracles Almelo L 1-2 1793 1849 25.1% 25.2% 49.7% -5.6 0
2023-08-19 Ajax D 2-2 1746 2008 14.3% 21.4% 64.3% +1.8 4
2023-08-19 @ Excelsior D 2-2 2008 1746 64.3% 21.4% 14.3% -1.8 4
2023-08-19 Almere City W 2-1 1750 1776 38.5% 26.1% 35.4% +7.3 4
2023-08-19 @ Fortuna Sittard L 1-2 1776 1750 35.4% 26.1% 38.5% -7.3 0
2023-08-19 PSV Eindhoven L 1-3 1832 2000 21.4% 24.4% 54.2% -8.4 3
2023-08-19 @ Vitesse W 3-1 2000 1832 54.2% 24.4% 21.4% +8.4 6
2023-08-19 Volendam W 4-1 1782 1747 46.9% 25.6% 27.5% +14.7 3
2023-08-19 @ Go Ahead Eagles L 1-4 1747 1782 27.5% 25.6% 46.9% -14.7 0
2023-08-20 Alkmaar L 1-3 1752 1963 17.8% 23.2% 59.1% -7.0 0
2023-08-20 @ RKC Waalwijk W 3-1 1963 1752 59.1% 23.2% 17.8% +7.0 6
2023-08-20 Feyenoord D 2-2 1903 2001 28.9% 25.7% 45.4% +0.5 4
2023-08-20 @ Sparta Rotterdam D 2-2 2001 1903 45.4% 25.7% 28.9% -0.5 2
2023-08-20 Heerenveen L 0-2 1848 1803 48.3% 25.4% 26.3% -18.6 0
2023-08-20 @ Utrecht W 2-0 1803 1848 26.3% 25.4% 48.3% +18.6 6
2023-08-20 Zwolle W 3-1 1994 1830 61.9% 22.2% 15.8% +6.2 6
2023-08-20 @ Twente L 1-3 1830 1994 15.8% 22.2% 61.9% -6.3 0
2023-08-26 Fortuna Sittard D 2-2 1748 1757 41.0% 26.0% 33.0% -0.2 5
2023-08-26 @ Excelsior D 2-2 1757 1748 33.0% 26.0% 41.0% +0.2 5
2023-08-26 RKC Waalwijk W 3-0 1787 1745 47.9% 25.4% 26.6% +17.0 3
2023-08-26 @ NEC Nijmegen L 0-3 1745 1787 26.6% 25.4% 47.9% -17.0 0
2023-08-27 Almere City W 6-1 2000 1769 68.4% 19.8% 11.8% +10.3 5
2023-08-27 @ Feyenoord L 1-6 1769 2000 11.8% 19.8% 68.4% -10.3 0
2023-08-27 Sparta Rotterdam L 1-3 1821 1903 30.9% 25.9% 43.2% -11.4 6
2023-08-27 @ Heerenveen W 3-1 1903 1821 43.2% 25.9% 30.9% +11.4 7
2023-08-27 Utrecht W 1-0 1824 1830 41.4% 26.0% 32.6% +7.3 3
2023-08-27 @ Zwolle L 0-1 1830 1824 32.6% 26.0% 41.4% -7.3 0
2023-09-01 NEC Nijmegen D 1-1 1915 1804 56.2% 23.9% 19.9% -1.7 8
2023-09-01 @ Sparta Rotterdam D 1-1 1804 1915 19.9% 23.9% 56.2% +1.7 4
2023-09-02 Excelsior W 3-1 1855 1748 55.8% 24.0% 20.2% +7.9 6
2023-09-02 @ Heracles Almelo L 1-3 1748 1855 20.2% 24.0% 55.8% -7.9 5
2023-09-02 Heerenveen W 3-2 1796 1810 40.3% 26.0% 33.6% +6.7 6
2023-09-02 @ Go Ahead Eagles L 2-3 1810 1796 33.6% 26.0% 40.3% -6.7 6
2023-09-02 PSV Eindhoven L 0-4 1728 2009 13.2% 20.7% 66.1% -11.3 0
2023-09-02 @ RKC Waalwijk W 4-0 2009 1728 66.1% 20.7% 13.2% +11.3 9
2023-09-02 Zwolle L 1-2 1758 1831 32.0% 26.0% 42.0% -6.8 0
2023-09-02 @ Almere City W 2-1 1831 1758 42.0% 26.0% 32.0% +6.8 6
2023-09-03 Ajax D 0-0 1757 2007 15.1% 21.9% 63.1% +2.5 6
2023-09-03 @ Fortuna Sittard D 0-0 2007 1757 63.1% 21.9% 15.1% -2.5 5
2023-09-03 Alkmaar L 0-2 1824 1970 23.5% 24.9% 51.6% -10.5 3
2023-09-03 @ Vitesse W 2-0 1970 1824 51.6% 24.9% 23.5% +10.5 9
2023-09-03 Feyenoord L 1-5 1822 2010 19.6% 23.8% 56.5% -14.1 0
2023-09-03 @ Utrecht W 5-1 2010 1822 56.5% 23.8% 19.6% +14.1 8
2023-09-03 Twente L 0-2 1732 2000 13.9% 21.2% 64.9% -6.3 0
2023-09-03 @ Volendam W 2-0 2000 1732 64.9% 21.2% 13.9% +6.3 9
2023-09-16 Heerenveen W 6-1 2024 1803 67.5% 20.2% 12.4% +10.8 11
2023-09-16 @ Feyenoord L 1-6 1803 2024 12.4% 20.2% 67.5% -10.8 6
2023-09-16 NEC Nijmegen W 4-0 2020 1806 66.8% 20.4% 12.8% +10.9 12
2023-09-16 @ PSV Eindhoven L 0-4 1806 2020 12.8% 20.4% 66.8% -10.9 4
2023-09-16 RKC Waalwijk L 0-2 1813 1716 54.6% 24.3% 21.1% -20.7 3
2023-09-16 @ Vitesse W 2-0 1716 1813 21.1% 24.3% 54.6% +20.7 3
2023-09-16 Utrecht L 1-3 1863 1808 49.5% 25.2% 25.3% -16.5 6
2023-09-16 @ Heracles Almelo W 3-1 1808 1863 25.3% 25.2% 49.5% +16.5 3
2023-09-16 Volendam W 3-1 1760 1726 46.8% 25.6% 27.6% +10.4 9
2023-09-16 @ Fortuna Sittard L 1-3 1726 1760 27.6% 25.6% 46.8% -10.4 0
2023-09-17 Ajax W 3-1 2007 2004 42.6% 25.9% 31.5% +11.6 12
2023-09-17 @ Twente L 1-3 2004 2007 31.5% 25.9% 42.6% -11.6 5
2023-09-17 Almere City D 0-0 1740 1752 40.6% 26.0% 33.4% -0.3 6
2023-09-17 @ Excelsior D 0-0 1752 1740 33.4% 26.0% 40.6% +0.3 1
2023-09-17 Go Ahead Eagles D 1-1 1838 1803 46.9% 25.6% 27.5% -0.8 7
2023-09-17 @ Zwolle D 1-1 1803 1838 27.5% 25.6% 46.9% +0.9 7
2023-09-17 Sparta Rotterdam W 2-0 1980 1913 51.1% 25.0% 23.9% +10.7 12
2023-09-17 @ Alkmaar L 0-2 1913 1980 23.9% 25.0% 51.1% -10.7 8
2023-09-22 Fortuna Sittard W 3-0 1804 1770 46.8% 25.6% 27.6% +17.5 10
2023-09-22 @ Go Ahead Eagles L 0-3 1770 1804 27.6% 25.6% 46.8% -17.5 9
2023-09-23 Excelsior L 0-3 1792 1739 49.3% 25.2% 25.5% -27.5 6
2023-09-23 @ Heerenveen W 3-0 1739 1792 25.5% 25.2% 49.3% +27.5 9
2023-09-23 Heracles Almelo D 2-2 1715 1846 25.1% 25.2% 49.7% +0.8 1
2023-09-23 @ Volendam D 2-2 1846 1715 49.7% 25.2% 25.1% -0.8 7
2023-09-23 PSV Eindhoven L 0-4 1752 2031 13.3% 20.8% 65.9% -11.4 1
2023-09-23 @ Almere City W 4-0 2031 1752 65.9% 20.8% 13.3% +11.4 15
2023-09-23 Utrecht W 3-0 1795 1825 38.1% 26.1% 35.9% +21.5 7
2023-09-23 @ NEC Nijmegen L 0-3 1825 1795 35.9% 26.1% 38.1% -21.5 3
2023-09-24 Alkmaar L 0-3 1837 1991 22.8% 24.7% 52.5% -14.8 7
2023-09-24 @ Zwolle W 3-0 1991 1837 52.5% 24.7% 22.8% +14.8 15
2023-09-24 Twente W 1-0 1737 2018 13.2% 20.7% 66.1% +12.9 6
2023-09-24 @ RKC Waalwijk L 0-1 2018 1737 66.1% 20.7% 13.2% -12.9 12
2023-09-24 Vitesse W 1-0 1902 1793 56.1% 23.9% 20.0% +4.8 11
2023-09-24 @ Sparta Rotterdam L 0-1 1793 1902 20.0% 23.9% 56.1% -4.8 3
2023-09-27 Feyenoord L 0-4 1993 2035 36.2% 26.1% 37.7% -28.2 5
2023-09-27 @ Ajax W 4-0 2035 1993 37.7% 26.1% 36.2% +28.2 14
2023-09-27 Go Ahead Eagles W 3-0 2042 1821 67.4% 20.2% 12.4% +8.1 18
2023-09-27 @ PSV Eindhoven L 0-3 1821 2042 12.4% 20.2% 67.4% -8.1 10
2023-09-27 Vitesse W 1-0 2005 1788 67.2% 20.3% 12.6% +3.0 15
2023-09-27 @ Twente L 0-1 1788 2005 12.6% 20.3% 67.2% -3.0 3
2023-09-28 Heracles Almelo D 1-1 2006 1845 61.6% 22.4% 16.0% -2.1 16
2023-09-28 @ Alkmaar D 1-1 1845 2006 16.0% 22.4% 61.6% +2.1 8
2023-09-30 Almere City L 0-2 1803 1741 50.5% 25.1% 24.5% -19.3 3
2023-09-30 @ Utrecht W 2-0 1741 1803 24.5% 25.1% 50.5% +19.3 4
2023-09-30 Go Ahead Eagles W 3-1 2063 1813 70.0% 19.0% 10.9% +4.2 17
2023-09-30 @ Feyenoord L 1-3 1813 2063 10.9% 19.0% 70.0% -4.2 10
2023-09-30 Heerenveen W 1-0 2008 1765 69.5% 19.3% 11.2% +2.7 18
2023-09-30 @ Twente L 0-1 1765 2008 11.2% 19.3% 69.5% -2.7 6
2023-09-30 Volendam W 3-1 2050 1716 76.8% 15.6% 7.6% +2.8 21
2023-09-30 @ PSV Eindhoven L 1-3 1716 2050 7.6% 15.6% 76.8% -2.8 1
2023-10-01 Fortuna Sittard W 4-0 2004 1753 70.2% 19.0% 10.9% +9.1 19
2023-10-01 @ Alkmaar L 0-4 1753 2004 10.9% 19.0% 70.2% -9.1 9
2023-10-01 Sparta Rotterdam W 2-1 1767 1907 24.1% 25.0% 50.8% +9.7 12
2023-10-01 @ Excelsior L 1-2 1907 1767 50.8% 25.0% 24.1% -9.7 11
2023-10-01 Vitesse L 1-3 1816 1785 46.5% 25.6% 27.9% -15.6 7
2023-10-01 @ NEC Nijmegen W 3-1 1785 1816 27.9% 25.6% 46.5% +15.6 6
2023-10-01 Zwolle W 2-1 1848 1822 45.6% 25.7% 28.7% +6.2 11
2023-10-01 @ Heracles Almelo L 1-2 1822 1848 28.7% 25.7% 45.6% -6.2 7
2023-10-06 Utrecht W 1-0 1713 1784 32.4% 26.0% 41.7% +8.8 4
2023-10-06 @ Volendam L 0-1 1784 1713 41.7% 26.0% 32.4% -8.8 3
2023-10-07 Excelsior D 0-0 1801 1777 45.5% 25.7% 28.8% -0.8 7
2023-10-07 @ Vitesse D 0-0 1777 1801 28.8% 25.7% 45.5% +0.8 13
2023-10-07 Heracles Almelo W 4-0 1809 1854 35.9% 26.1% 38.0% +29.3 13
2023-10-07 @ Go Ahead Eagles L 0-4 1854 1809 38.0% 26.1% 35.9% -29.3 11
2023-10-07 NEC Nijmegen D 1-1 1762 1801 36.8% 26.1% 37.1% +0.0 7
2023-10-07 @ Heerenveen D 1-1 1801 1762 37.1% 26.1% 36.8% -0.0 8
2023-10-07 RKC Waalwijk W 1-0 1760 1750 43.6% 25.9% 30.6% +6.9 7
2023-10-07 @ Almere City L 0-1 1750 1760 30.6% 25.9% 43.6% -6.9 6
2023-10-08 Alkmaar L 1-2 1964 2013 35.3% 26.1% 38.6% -7.3 5
2023-10-08 @ Ajax W 2-1 2013 1964 38.6% 26.1% 35.3% +7.3 22
2023-10-08 Feyenoord L 0-2 1816 2068 14.9% 21.8% 63.2% -6.8 7
2023-10-08 @ Zwolle W 2-0 2068 1816 63.2% 21.8% 14.9% +6.8 20
2023-10-08 PSV Eindhoven L 0-4 1897 2053 22.6% 24.7% 52.8% -19.2 11
2023-10-08 @ Sparta Rotterdam W 4-0 2053 1897 52.8% 24.7% 22.6% +19.2 24
2023-10-08 Twente L 0-3 1743 2011 13.9% 21.2% 64.8% -9.2 9
2023-10-08 @ Fortuna Sittard W 3-0 2011 1743 64.8% 21.2% 13.9% +9.2 21
2023-10-21 Almere City D 1-1 1801 1767 46.8% 25.6% 27.6% -0.8 9
2023-10-21 @ NEC Nijmegen D 1-1 1767 1801 27.6% 25.6% 46.8% +0.8 8
2023-10-21 Fortuna Sittard W 3-1 2072 1734 77.0% 15.5% 7.5% +2.7 27
2023-10-21 @ PSV Eindhoven L 1-3 1734 2072 7.5% 15.5% 77.0% -2.7 9
2023-10-21 Heerenveen W 3-0 2020 1762 70.7% 18.7% 10.6% +6.8 25
2023-10-21 @ Alkmaar L 0-3 1762 2020 10.6% 18.7% 70.7% -6.8 7
2023-10-21 Vitesse W 4-0 2074 1800 72.1% 18.0% 9.8% +8.2 23
2023-10-21 @ Feyenoord L 0-4 1800 2074 9.8% 18.0% 72.1% -8.2 7
2023-10-21 Volendam W 2-1 1743 1722 45.1% 25.7% 29.2% +6.3 9
2023-10-21 @ RKC Waalwijk L 1-2 1722 1743 29.2% 25.7% 45.1% -6.3 4
2023-10-22 Ajax W 4-3 1775 1957 20.2% 24.0% 55.8% +9.8 6
2023-10-22 @ Utrecht L 3-4 1957 1775 55.8% 24.0% 20.2% -9.8 5
2023-10-22 Sparta Rotterdam D 0-0 1838 1878 36.6% 26.1% 37.3% +0.0 14
2023-10-22 @ Go Ahead Eagles D 0-0 1878 1838 37.3% 26.1% 36.6% -0.0 12
2023-10-22 Twente D 2-2 1825 2020 19.0% 23.6% 57.4% +1.3 12
2023-10-22 @ Heracles Almelo D 2-2 2020 1825 57.4% 23.6% 19.0% -1.3 22
2023-10-22 Zwolle L 2-4 1777 1809 37.7% 26.1% 36.2% -11.9 13
2023-10-22 @ Excelsior W 4-2 1809 1777 36.2% 26.1% 37.7% +11.9 10
2023-10-27 Zwolle D 1-1 1792 1821 38.0% 26.1% 35.9% -0.1 8
2023-10-27 @ Vitesse D 1-1 1821 1792 35.9% 26.1% 38.0% +0.1 11
2023-10-28 Go Ahead Eagles D 0-0 1768 1838 32.3% 26.0% 41.7% +0.4 9
2023-10-28 @ Almere City D 0-0 1838 1768 41.7% 26.0% 32.3% -0.5 15
2023-10-28 Heracles Almelo W 3-0 1756 1826 32.4% 26.0% 41.6% +24.0 10
2023-10-28 @ Heerenveen L 0-3 1826 1756 41.6% 26.0% 32.4% -24.0 12
2023-10-28 RKC Waalwijk W 2-0 1878 1749 58.2% 23.4% 18.4% +8.4 15
2023-10-28 @ Sparta Rotterdam L 0-2 1749 1878 18.4% 23.4% 58.2% -8.4 9
2023-10-28 Utrecht D 0-0 1732 1785 34.7% 26.1% 39.2% +0.2 10
2023-10-28 @ Fortuna Sittard D 0-0 1785 1732 39.2% 26.1% 34.7% -0.2 7
2023-10-29 Ajax W 5-2 2075 1947 58.1% 23.4% 18.5% +8.9 30
2023-10-29 @ PSV Eindhoven L 2-5 1947 2075 18.5% 23.4% 58.1% -8.9 5
2023-10-29 Excelsior W 3-1 1716 1766 35.2% 26.1% 38.8% +13.6 7
2023-10-29 @ Volendam L 1-3 1766 1716 38.8% 26.1% 35.2% -13.5 13
2023-10-29 Feyenoord W 2-1 2019 2083 33.3% 26.0% 40.7% +8.1 25
2023-10-29 @ Twente L 1-2 2083 2019 40.7% 26.0% 33.3% -8.1 23
2023-11-02 Volendam W 2-0 1938 1729 66.4% 20.6% 13.0% +5.9 8
2023-11-02 @ Ajax L 0-2 1729 1938 13.0% 20.6% 66.4% -5.9 7
2023-11-04 Alkmaar D 1-1 1752 2027 13.5% 20.9% 65.5% +2.5 14
2023-11-04 @ Excelsior D 1-1 2027 1752 65.5% 20.9% 13.5% -2.5 26
2023-11-04 Feyenoord L 1-2 1741 2074 10.5% 18.7% 70.8% -2.3 9
2023-11-04 @ RKC Waalwijk W 2-1 2074 1741 70.8% 18.7% 10.5% +2.3 26
2023-11-04 PSV Eindhoven L 0-6 1802 2084 13.1% 20.7% 66.2% -16.5 12
2023-11-04 @ Heracles Almelo W 6-0 2084 1802 66.2% 20.7% 13.1% +16.5 33
2023-11-04 Vitesse W 5-1 1838 1791 48.4% 25.4% 26.2% +18.2 18
2023-11-04 @ Go Ahead Eagles L 1-5 1791 1838 26.2% 25.4% 48.4% -18.2 8
2023-11-05 Almere City L 1-2 1886 1768 57.1% 23.7% 19.2% -10.7 15
2023-11-05 @ Sparta Rotterdam W 2-1 1768 1886 19.2% 23.7% 57.1% +10.7 12
2023-11-05 Fortuna Sittard W 2-0 1821 1732 53.8% 24.5% 21.8% +9.8 14
2023-11-05 @ Zwolle L 0-2 1732 1821 21.8% 24.5% 53.8% -9.8 10
2023-11-05 Heerenveen W 4-1 1944 1780 62.0% 22.2% 15.8% +8.8 11
2023-11-05 @ Ajax L 1-4 1780 1944 15.8% 22.2% 62.0% -8.8 10
2023-11-05 Twente D 1-1 1785 2027 15.5% 22.1% 62.4% +2.2 8
2023-11-05 @ Utrecht D 1-1 2027 1785 62.4% 22.1% 15.5% -2.2 26
2023-11-05 Volendam D 3-3 1800 1723 52.2% 24.8% 23.0% -0.8 10
2023-11-05 @ NEC Nijmegen D 3-3 1723 1800 23.0% 24.8% 52.2% +0.8 8
2023-11-10 Heracles Almelo W 4-1 1722 1785 33.3% 26.0% 40.7% +19.9 13
2023-11-10 @ Fortuna Sittard L 1-4 1785 1722 40.7% 26.0% 33.3% -19.9 12
2023-11-11 Go Ahead Eagles L 0-1 1739 1856 26.6% 25.4% 48.0% -6.2 9
2023-11-11 @ RKC Waalwijk W 1-0 1856 1739 48.0% 25.4% 26.6% +6.2 21
2023-11-11 Heerenveen L 1-3 1773 1771 42.6% 25.9% 31.5% -14.6 8
2023-11-11 @ Vitesse W 3-1 1771 1773 31.5% 25.9% 42.6% +14.6 13
2023-11-11 NEC Nijmegen D 3-3 2025 1799 67.9% 20.0% 12.1% -1.6 27
2023-11-11 @ Twente D 3-3 1799 2025 12.1% 20.0% 67.9% +1.6 11
2023-11-12 Ajax D 2-2 1779 1953 20.8% 24.2% 54.9% +1.2 13
2023-11-12 @ Almere City D 2-2 1953 1779 54.9% 24.2% 20.8% -1.1 12
2023-11-12 Alkmaar W 1-0 2077 2025 49.1% 25.3% 25.6% +6.0 29
2023-11-12 @ Feyenoord L 0-1 2025 2077 25.6% 25.3% 49.1% -6.0 26
2023-11-12 Excelsior D 2-2 1787 1755 46.6% 25.6% 27.8% -0.6 9
2023-11-12 @ Utrecht D 2-2 1755 1787 27.8% 25.6% 46.6% +0.6 15
2023-11-12 Sparta Rotterdam L 1-4 1724 1876 23.0% 24.8% 52.2% -12.6 8
2023-11-12 @ Volendam W 4-1 1876 1724 52.2% 24.8% 23.0% +12.6 18
2023-11-12 Zwolle W 4-0 2100 1831 71.7% 18.2% 10.1% +8.4 36
2023-11-12 @ PSV Eindhoven L 0-4 1831 2100 10.1% 18.2% 71.7% -8.4 14
2023-11-25 Feyenoord L 2-4 1755 2083 10.8% 18.9% 70.3% -3.7 15
2023-11-25 @ Excelsior W 4-2 2083 1755 70.3% 18.9% 10.8% +3.7 32
2023-11-25 Fortuna Sittard W 3-0 1785 1742 48.0% 25.4% 26.5% +16.9 16
2023-11-25 @ Heerenveen L 0-3 1742 1785 26.5% 25.4% 48.0% -16.9 13
2023-11-25 PSV Eindhoven L 0-3 2023 2109 30.4% 25.9% 43.7% -18.9 27
2023-11-25 @ Twente W 3-0 2109 2023 43.7% 25.9% 30.4% +18.9 39
2023-11-25 RKC Waalwijk L 1-2 1823 1732 53.8% 24.4% 21.7% -10.2 14
2023-11-25 @ Zwolle W 2-1 1732 1823 21.7% 24.4% 53.8% +10.2 12
2023-11-25 Vitesse W 5-0 1952 1759 64.8% 21.2% 13.9% +14.8 15
2023-11-25 @ Ajax L 0-5 1759 1952 13.9% 21.2% 64.8% -14.8 8
2023-11-26 Go Ahead Eagles D 1-1 1801 1862 33.6% 26.0% 40.4% +0.3 12
2023-11-26 @ NEC Nijmegen D 1-1 1862 1801 40.4% 26.0% 33.6% -0.3 22
2023-11-26 Heracles Almelo L 0-5 1780 1765 44.2% 25.8% 30.0% -40.5 13
2023-11-26 @ Almere City W 5-0 1765 1780 30.0% 25.8% 44.2% +40.5 15
2023-11-26 Utrecht L 1-2 1888 1786 55.2% 24.1% 20.6% -10.4 18
2023-11-26 @ Sparta Rotterdam W 2-1 1786 1888 20.6% 24.1% 55.2% +10.4 12
2023-11-26 Volendam W 3-0 2019 1712 74.7% 16.7% 8.6% +5.3 29
2023-11-26 @ Alkmaar L 0-3 1712 2019 8.6% 16.7% 74.7% -5.3 8
2023-12-01 Almere City W 3-0 1802 1739 50.5% 25.1% 24.4% +15.8 19
2023-12-01 @ Heerenveen L 0-3 1739 1802 24.4% 25.1% 50.5% -15.8 13
2023-12-02 Excelsior D 2-2 1743 1751 41.0% 26.0% 33.0% -0.2 13
2023-12-02 @ RKC Waalwijk D 2-2 1751 1743 33.0% 26.0% 41.0% +0.2 16
2023-12-02 Sparta Rotterdam L 0-1 1806 1878 32.2% 26.0% 41.9% -7.2 15
2023-12-02 @ Heracles Almelo W 1-0 1878 1806 41.9% 26.0% 32.2% +7.2 21
2023-12-02 Vitesse W 3-1 1725 1744 39.6% 26.1% 34.4% +12.4 16
2023-12-02 @ Fortuna Sittard L 1-3 1744 1725 34.4% 26.1% 39.6% -12.4 8
2023-12-02 Zwolle L 0-5 1706 1813 27.9% 25.6% 46.5% -28.4 8
2023-12-02 @ Volendam W 5-0 1813 1706 46.5% 25.6% 27.9% +28.4 17
2023-12-03 Ajax L 1-2 1801 1967 21.6% 24.4% 53.9% -4.9 12
2023-12-03 @ NEC Nijmegen W 2-1 1967 1801 53.9% 24.4% 21.6% +4.9 18
2023-12-03 Alkmaar D 1-1 1797 2024 16.6% 22.6% 60.8% +2.1 13
2023-12-03 @ Utrecht D 1-1 2024 1797 60.8% 22.6% 16.6% -2.1 30
2023-12-03 PSV Eindhoven L 1-2 2086 2128 36.4% 26.1% 37.5% -7.5 32
2023-12-03 @ Feyenoord W 2-1 2128 2086 37.5% 26.1% 36.4% +7.5 42
2023-12-03 Twente L 1-3 1862 2004 23.9% 25.0% 51.1% -9.2 22
2023-12-03 @ Go Ahead Eagles W 3-1 2004 1862 51.1% 25.0% 23.9% +9.2 30
2023-12-06 Ajax L 2-3 1742 1972 16.4% 22.6% 61.0% -3.6 13
2023-12-06 @ RKC Waalwijk W 3-2 1972 1742 61.0% 22.6% 16.4% +3.6 21
2023-12-06 NEC Nijmegen L 1-2 2022 1796 67.9% 20.0% 12.1% -12.4 30
2023-12-06 @ Alkmaar W 2-1 1796 2022 12.1% 20.0% 67.9% +12.4 15
2023-12-07 Heerenveen W 2-0 2135 1818 75.5% 16.3% 8.2% +3.5 45
2023-12-07 @ PSV Eindhoven L 0-2 1818 2135 8.2% 16.3% 75.5% -3.5 19
2023-12-07 Volendam W 3-1 2079 1678 81.3% 13.1% 5.6% +1.9 35
2023-12-07 @ Feyenoord L 1-3 1678 2079 5.6% 13.1% 81.3% -1.9 8
2023-12-08 Excelsior W 4-2 2014 1752 71.1% 18.5% 10.4% +3.5 33
2023-12-08 @ Twente L 2-4 1752 2014 10.4% 18.5% 71.1% -3.5 16
2023-12-09 Almere City W 4-1 2010 1724 73.0% 17.6% 9.4% +5.0 33
2023-12-09 @ Alkmaar L 1-4 1724 2010 9.4% 17.6% 73.0% -5.0 13
2023-12-09 NEC Nijmegen L 1-3 1841 1809 46.6% 25.6% 27.8% -15.7 17
2023-12-09 @ Zwolle W 3-1 1809 1841 27.8% 25.6% 46.6% +15.7 18
2023-12-09 Sparta Rotterdam W 2-1 1975 1885 53.8% 24.5% 21.7% +4.9 24
2023-12-09 @ Ajax L 1-2 1885 1975 21.7% 24.5% 53.8% -4.9 21
2023-12-10 Heracles Almelo W 2-0 1731 1799 32.8% 26.0% 41.2% +16.4 11
2023-12-10 @ Vitesse L 0-2 1799 1731 41.2% 26.0% 32.8% -16.4 15
2023-12-10 RKC Waalwijk W 1-0 1737 1739 42.0% 26.0% 32.0% +7.2 19
2023-12-10 @ Fortuna Sittard L 0-1 1739 1737 32.0% 26.0% 42.0% -7.2 13
2023-12-10 Utrecht L 0-2 1853 1799 49.4% 25.2% 25.4% -19.0 22
2023-12-10 @ Go Ahead Eagles W 2-0 1799 1853 25.4% 25.2% 49.4% +19.0 16
2023-12-15 Fortuna Sittard W 4-1 1824 1744 52.6% 24.7% 22.7% +12.5 21
2023-12-15 @ NEC Nijmegen L 1-4 1744 1824 22.7% 24.7% 52.6% -12.5 19
2023-12-16 Go Ahead Eagles D 1-1 1748 1834 30.4% 25.9% 43.8% +0.6 17
2023-12-16 @ Excelsior D 1-1 1834 1748 43.8% 25.9% 30.4% -0.6 23
2023-12-16 RKC Waalwijk D 1-1 1818 1732 53.3% 24.6% 22.1% -1.4 17
2023-12-16 @ Utrecht D 1-1 1732 1818 22.1% 24.6% 53.3% +1.4 14
2023-12-16 Volendam L 1-2 1815 1676 59.3% 23.1% 17.6% -11.1 19
2023-12-16 @ Heerenveen W 2-1 1676 1815 17.6% 23.1% 59.3% +11.1 11
2023-12-17 Feyenoord L 0-4 1782 2081 12.2% 20.0% 67.7% -10.4 15
2023-12-17 @ Heracles Almelo W 4-0 2081 1782 67.7% 20.0% 12.2% +10.4 38
2023-12-17 PSV Eindhoven L 0-4 2015 2139 25.9% 25.3% 48.8% -21.6 33
2023-12-17 @ Alkmaar W 4-0 2139 2015 48.8% 25.3% 25.9% +21.6 48
2023-12-17 Twente D 2-2 1880 2017 24.5% 25.1% 50.4% +0.9 22
2023-12-17 @ Sparta Rotterdam D 2-2 2017 1880 50.4% 25.1% 24.5% -0.9 34
2023-12-17 Vitesse W 5-0 1719 1748 38.1% 26.1% 35.8% +34.5 16
2023-12-17 @ Almere City L 0-5 1748 1719 35.8% 26.1% 38.1% -34.5 11
2023-12-17 Zwolle D 2-2 1980 1825 61.0% 22.6% 16.4% -1.5 25
2023-12-17 @ Ajax D 2-2 1825 1980 16.4% 22.6% 61.0% +1.5 18
2024-01-12 Heracles Almelo L 1-2 1733 1772 36.7% 26.1% 37.2% -7.5 14
2024-01-12 @ RKC Waalwijk W 2-1 1772 1733 37.2% 26.1% 36.7% +7.5 18
2024-01-13 Alkmaar W 2-1 2016 1993 45.4% 25.7% 28.9% +6.2 37
2024-01-13 @ Twente L 1-2 1993 2016 28.9% 25.7% 45.4% -6.2 33
2024-01-13 Excelsior W 3-1 2160 1749 82.0% 12.7% 5.4% +1.8 51
2024-01-13 @ PSV Eindhoven L 1-3 1749 2160 5.4% 12.7% 82.0% -1.8 17
2024-01-13 Heerenveen D 2-2 1827 1803 45.4% 25.7% 28.9% -0.5 19
2024-01-13 @ Zwolle D 2-2 1803 1827 28.9% 25.7% 45.4% +0.5 20
2024-01-13 Sparta Rotterdam L 0-2 1732 1881 23.2% 24.8% 52.0% -10.4 19
2024-01-13 @ Fortuna Sittard W 2-0 1881 1732 52.0% 24.8% 23.2% +10.4 25
2024-01-14 Ajax L 2-3 1833 1979 23.6% 24.9% 51.5% -5.0 23
2024-01-14 @ Go Ahead Eagles W 3-2 1979 1833 51.5% 24.9% 23.6% +5.0 28
2024-01-14 Almere City L 0-1 1687 1753 32.9% 26.0% 41.1% -7.3 11
2024-01-14 @ Volendam W 1-0 1753 1687 41.1% 26.0% 32.9% +7.3 19
2024-01-14 NEC Nijmegen D 2-2 2091 1837 70.4% 18.8% 10.7% -2.1 39
2024-01-14 @ Feyenoord D 2-2 1837 2091 10.7% 18.8% 70.4% +2.1 22
2024-01-14 Utrecht D 0-0 1713 1816 28.3% 25.6% 46.1% +0.9 12
2024-01-14 @ Vitesse D 0-0 1816 1713 46.1% 25.6% 28.3% -0.9 18
2024-01-19 Heerenveen W 3-0 1747 1804 34.2% 26.1% 39.8% +23.2 20
2024-01-19 @ Excelsior L 0-3 1804 1747 39.8% 26.1% 34.2% -23.2 20
2024-01-20 Twente W 1-0 1839 2023 20.0% 24.0% 56.0% +11.2 25
2024-01-20 @ NEC Nijmegen L 0-1 2023 1839 56.0% 24.0% 20.0% -11.2 37
2024-01-20 Volendam D 1-1 1780 1680 55.0% 24.2% 20.8% -1.5 19
2024-01-20 @ Heracles Almelo D 1-1 1680 1780 20.8% 24.2% 55.0% +1.5 12
2024-01-20 Zwolle D 2-2 1987 1826 61.6% 22.4% 16.1% -1.6 34
2024-01-20 @ Alkmaar D 2-2 1826 1987 16.1% 22.4% 61.6% +1.6 20
2024-01-21 Feyenoord L 1-2 1714 2089 8.8% 17.0% 74.2% -1.9 12
2024-01-21 @ Vitesse W 2-1 2089 1714 74.2% 17.0% 8.8% +1.9 42
2024-01-21 Go Ahead Eagles L 0-2 1892 1828 50.5% 25.1% 24.4% -19.3 25
2024-01-21 @ Sparta Rotterdam W 2-0 1828 1892 24.4% 25.1% 50.5% +19.4 26
2024-01-21 PSV Eindhoven D 1-1 1815 2162 9.9% 18.1% 71.9% +2.9 19
2024-01-21 @ Utrecht D 1-1 2162 1815 71.9% 18.1% 9.9% -2.9 52
2024-01-21 RKC Waalwijk W 4-1 1984 1726 70.7% 18.7% 10.6% +5.7 31
2024-01-21 @ Ajax L 1-4 1726 1984 10.6% 18.7% 70.7% -5.7 14
2024-01-24 Fortuna Sittard D 0-0 1760 1722 47.4% 25.5% 27.1% -1.0 20
2024-01-24 @ Almere City D 0-0 1722 1760 27.1% 25.5% 47.4% +1.0 20
2024-01-26 Vitesse W 1-0 1828 1712 56.8% 23.8% 19.5% +4.7 23
2024-01-26 @ Zwolle L 0-1 1712 1828 19.5% 23.8% 56.8% -4.7 12
2024-01-27 Ajax L 2-4 1778 1989 17.8% 23.1% 59.1% -6.3 19
2024-01-27 @ Heracles Almelo W 4-2 1989 1778 59.1% 23.1% 17.8% +6.3 34
2024-01-27 Almere City W 2-0 2159 1760 81.2% 13.1% 5.7% +2.3 55
2024-01-27 @ PSV Eindhoven L 0-2 1760 2159 5.7% 13.1% 81.2% -2.3 20
2024-01-27 Sparta Rotterdam D 1-1 1720 1872 22.9% 24.7% 52.3% +1.3 15
2024-01-27 @ RKC Waalwijk D 1-1 1872 1720 52.3% 24.7% 22.9% -1.3 26
2024-01-27 Utrecht D 1-1 1770 1818 35.4% 26.1% 38.5% +0.1 21
2024-01-27 @ Excelsior D 1-1 1818 1770 38.5% 26.1% 35.4% -0.1 20
2024-01-28 Alkmaar D 2-2 1781 1985 18.3% 23.4% 58.3% +1.4 21
2024-01-28 @ Heerenveen D 2-2 1985 1781 58.3% 23.4% 18.3% -1.4 35
2024-01-28 Fortuna Sittard L 0-1 1681 1723 36.4% 26.1% 37.5% -7.9 12
2024-01-28 @ Volendam W 1-0 1723 1681 37.5% 26.1% 36.4% +7.9 23
2024-01-28 NEC Nijmegen D 2-2 1848 1850 41.9% 26.0% 32.1% -0.3 27
2024-01-28 @ Go Ahead Eagles D 2-2 1850 1848 32.1% 26.0% 41.9% +0.3 26
2024-01-28 Twente D 0-0 2091 2011 52.6% 24.7% 22.7% -1.5 43
2024-01-28 @ Feyenoord D 0-0 2011 2091 22.7% 24.7% 52.6% +1.5 38
2024-02-02 Excelsior W 2-1 1757 1770 40.4% 26.0% 33.6% +7.0 23
2024-02-02 @ Almere City L 1-2 1770 1757 33.6% 26.0% 40.4% -7.0 21
2024-02-03 Heerenveen D 3-3 1730 1782 34.9% 26.1% 39.0% +0.1 24
2024-02-03 @ Fortuna Sittard D 3-3 1782 1730 39.0% 26.1% 34.9% -0.1 22
2024-02-03 Heracles Almelo W 3-1 1850 1772 52.4% 24.7% 22.8% +8.9 29
2024-02-03 @ NEC Nijmegen L 1-3 1772 1850 22.8% 24.7% 52.4% -8.9 19
2024-02-03 PSV Eindhoven D 1-1 1996 2161 21.6% 24.4% 54.0% +1.5 35
2024-02-03 @ Ajax D 1-1 2161 1996 54.0% 24.4% 21.6% -1.5 56
2024-02-03 RKC Waalwijk W 3-0 2013 1721 73.5% 17.3% 9.1% +5.7 41
2024-02-03 @ Twente L 0-3 1721 2013 9.1% 17.3% 73.5% -5.7 15
2024-02-04 Feyenoord L 0-1 1984 2090 27.9% 25.6% 46.5% -6.5 35
2024-02-04 @ Alkmaar W 1-0 2090 1984 46.5% 25.6% 27.9% +6.4 46
2024-02-04 Go Ahead Eagles L 0-2 1708 1847 24.2% 25.0% 50.8% -10.8 12
2024-02-04 @ Vitesse W 2-0 1847 1708 50.8% 25.0% 24.2% +10.8 30
2024-02-04 Volendam W 4-2 1818 1673 60.0% 22.9% 17.2% +6.1 23
2024-02-04 @ Utrecht L 2-4 1673 1818 17.2% 22.9% 60.0% -6.1 12
2024-02-04 Zwolle L 0-2 1871 1833 47.4% 25.5% 27.1% -18.3 26
2024-02-04 @ Sparta Rotterdam W 2-0 1833 1871 27.1% 25.5% 47.4% +18.3 26
2024-02-09 NEC Nijmegen W 2-0 1715 1859 23.8% 24.9% 51.3% +19.6 18
2024-02-09 @ RKC Waalwijk L 0-2 1859 1715 51.3% 24.9% 23.8% -19.6 29
2024-02-10 Alkmaar D 0-0 1764 1977 17.6% 23.1% 59.3% +2.2 24
2024-02-10 @ Almere City D 0-0 1977 1764 59.3% 23.1% 17.6% -2.2 36
2024-02-10 Twente L 0-3 1763 2019 14.7% 21.7% 63.6% -9.7 21
2024-02-10 @ Excelsior W 3-0 2019 1763 63.6% 21.7% 14.7% +9.7 44
2024-02-10 Vitesse W 3-2 1763 1697 50.9% 25.0% 24.1% +5.1 22
2024-02-10 @ Heracles Almelo L 2-3 1697 1763 24.1% 25.0% 50.9% -5.1 12
2024-02-11 Ajax W 3-2 1782 1997 17.5% 23.0% 59.5% +10.5 25
2024-02-11 @ Heerenveen L 2-3 1997 1782 59.5% 23.0% 17.5% -10.5 35
2024-02-11 Fortuna Sittard W 4-0 1824 1731 54.2% 24.4% 21.4% +18.3 26
2024-02-11 @ Utrecht L 0-4 1731 1824 21.4% 24.4% 54.2% -18.3 24
2024-02-11 PSV Eindhoven L 1-5 1667 2160 5.2% 12.4% 82.4% -3.2 12
2024-02-11 @ Volendam W 5-1 2160 1667 82.4% 12.4% 5.2% +3.2 59
2024-02-11 Sparta Rotterdam W 2-0 2096 1852 69.5% 19.3% 11.2% +5.0 49
2024-02-11 @ Feyenoord L 0-2 1852 2096 11.2% 19.3% 69.5% -5.0 26
2024-02-11 Zwolle D 1-1 1858 1851 43.2% 25.9% 30.9% -0.5 31
2024-02-11 @ Go Ahead Eagles D 1-1 1851 1858 30.9% 25.9% 43.2% +0.5 27
2024-02-16 Heracles Almelo W 2-0 2163 1768 81.0% 13.3% 5.8% +2.3 62
2024-02-16 @ PSV Eindhoven L 0-2 1768 2163 5.8% 13.3% 81.0% -2.3 22
2024-02-17 Alkmaar L 1-2 1712 1975 14.2% 21.4% 64.4% -3.2 24
2024-02-17 @ Fortuna Sittard W 2-1 1975 1712 64.4% 21.4% 14.2% +3.2 39
2024-02-17 Almere City L 0-1 1851 1766 53.2% 24.6% 22.2% -10.7 27
2024-02-17 @ Zwolle W 1-0 1766 1851 22.2% 24.6% 53.2% +10.7 27
2024-02-17 Excelsior W 4-2 1848 1753 54.3% 24.4% 21.4% +7.5 29
2024-02-17 @ Sparta Rotterdam L 2-4 1753 1848 21.4% 24.4% 54.3% -7.5 21
2024-02-17 Go Ahead Eagles L 0-2 1793 1858 33.1% 26.0% 40.9% -13.9 25
2024-02-17 @ Heerenveen W 2-0 1858 1793 40.9% 26.0% 33.1% +13.9 34
2024-02-18 NEC Nijmegen D 2-2 1986 1840 60.2% 22.8% 17.0% -1.5 36
2024-02-18 @ Ajax D 2-2 1840 1986 17.0% 22.8% 60.2% +1.5 30
2024-02-18 RKC Waalwijk W 1-0 2101 1735 79.0% 14.4% 6.6% +1.4 52
2024-02-18 @ Feyenoord L 0-1 1735 2101 6.6% 14.4% 79.0% -1.4 18
2024-02-18 Utrecht L 0-1 2028 1843 64.1% 21.5% 14.4% -12.5 44
2024-02-18 @ Twente W 1-0 1843 2028 14.4% 21.5% 64.1% +12.5 29
2024-02-18 Volendam D 1-1 1692 1664 46.0% 25.7% 28.4% -0.8 13
2024-02-18 @ Vitesse D 1-1 1664 1692 28.4% 25.7% 46.0% +0.8 13
2024-02-23 Heracles Almelo W 1-0 1855 1766 53.8% 24.5% 21.8% +5.2 32
2024-02-23 @ Utrecht L 0-1 1766 1855 21.8% 24.5% 53.8% -5.2 22
2024-02-24 Fortuna Sittard L 0-1 1734 1709 45.6% 25.7% 28.7% -9.4 18
2024-02-24 @ RKC Waalwijk W 1-0 1709 1734 28.7% 25.7% 45.6% +9.4 27
2024-02-24 PSV Eindhoven L 1-7 1841 2166 10.9% 19.0% 70.1% -11.1 27
2024-02-24 @ Zwolle W 7-1 2166 1841 70.1% 19.0% 10.9% +11.1 65
2024-02-24 Sparta Rotterdam W 2-0 1841 1855 40.3% 26.0% 33.7% +14.1 33
2024-02-24 @ NEC Nijmegen L 0-2 1855 1841 33.7% 26.0% 40.3% -14.1 29
2024-02-25 Ajax W 2-0 1978 1985 41.3% 26.0% 32.7% +13.8 42
2024-02-25 @ Alkmaar L 0-2 1985 1978 32.7% 26.0% 41.3% -13.8 36
2024-02-25 Feyenoord L 0-2 1777 2103 10.9% 19.0% 70.1% -4.8 27
2024-02-25 @ Almere City W 2-0 2103 1777 70.1% 19.0% 10.9% +4.8 55
2024-02-25 Go Ahead Eagles W 3-0 2016 1872 59.9% 22.9% 17.2% +11.4 47
2024-02-25 @ Twente L 0-3 1872 2016 17.2% 22.9% 59.9% -11.4 34
2024-02-25 Heerenveen L 0-4 1665 1779 27.0% 25.5% 47.5% -22.4 13
2024-02-25 @ Volendam W 4-0 1779 1665 47.5% 25.5% 27.0% +22.4 28
2024-02-25 Vitesse L 1-2 1746 1691 49.5% 25.2% 25.3% -9.5 21
2024-02-25 @ Excelsior W 2-1 1691 1746 25.3% 25.2% 49.5% +9.5 16
2024-03-01 NEC Nijmegen L 2-5 1642 1855 17.6% 23.1% 59.3% -8.5 13
2024-03-01 @ Volendam W 5-2 1855 1642 59.3% 23.1% 17.6% +8.5 36
2024-03-02 Alkmaar D 1-1 1841 1992 23.0% 24.8% 52.2% +1.3 30
2024-03-02 @ Sparta Rotterdam D 1-1 1992 1841 52.2% 24.8% 23.0% -1.3 43
2024-03-02 RKC Waalwijk W 1-0 1860 1724 59.0% 23.2% 17.8% +4.3 37
2024-03-02 @ Go Ahead Eagles L 0-1 1724 1860 17.8% 23.2% 59.0% -4.3 18
2024-03-02 Twente L 1-2 1701 2027 10.8% 18.9% 70.2% -2.4 16
2024-03-02 @ Vitesse W 2-1 2027 1701 70.2% 18.9% 10.8% +2.4 50
2024-03-03 Almere City D 2-2 1760 1772 40.6% 26.0% 33.4% -0.2 23
2024-03-03 @ Heracles Almelo D 2-2 1772 1760 33.4% 26.0% 40.6% +0.2 28
2024-03-03 Excelsior W 5-2 1718 1736 39.7% 26.1% 34.2% +15.1 30
2024-03-03 @ Fortuna Sittard L 2-5 1736 1718 34.2% 26.1% 39.7% -15.1 21
2024-03-03 Feyenoord D 2-2 2177 2107 51.3% 24.9% 23.8% -0.9 66
2024-03-03 @ PSV Eindhoven D 2-2 2107 2177 23.8% 24.9% 51.3% +0.9 56
2024-03-03 Utrecht W 2-0 1971 1860 56.2% 23.9% 19.9% +9.0 39
2024-03-03 @ Ajax L 0-2 1860 1971 19.9% 23.9% 56.2% -9.0 32
2024-03-03 Zwolle W 2-0 1801 1830 38.2% 26.1% 35.7% +14.7 31
2024-03-03 @ Heerenveen L 0-2 1830 1801 35.7% 26.1% 38.2% -14.7 27
2024-03-08 PSV Eindhoven L 0-1 1864 2176 11.6% 19.5% 68.9% -2.8 37
2024-03-08 @ Go Ahead Eagles W 1-0 2176 1864 68.9% 19.5% 11.6% +2.7 69
2024-03-09 Sparta Rotterdam W 2-1 2030 1842 64.3% 21.4% 14.3% +3.2 53
2024-03-09 @ Twente L 1-2 1842 2030 14.3% 21.4% 64.3% -3.3 30
2024-03-09 Utrecht D 1-1 1773 1851 31.3% 25.9% 42.8% +0.5 29
2024-03-09 @ Almere City D 1-1 1851 1773 42.8% 25.9% 31.3% -0.5 33
2024-03-09 Vitesse W 3-1 1720 1698 45.2% 25.7% 29.1% +10.9 21
2024-03-09 @ RKC Waalwijk L 1-3 1698 1720 29.1% 25.7% 45.2% -10.9 16
2024-03-10 Excelsior W 4-0 1991 1721 71.7% 18.2% 10.1% +8.4 46
2024-03-10 @ Alkmaar L 0-4 1721 1991 10.1% 18.2% 71.7% -8.4 21
2024-03-10 Fortuna Sittard D 2-2 1980 1734 69.8% 19.1% 11.1% -2.1 40
2024-03-10 @ Ajax D 2-2 1734 1980 11.1% 19.1% 69.8% +2.1 31
2024-03-10 Heerenveen W 2-0 1864 1816 48.6% 25.3% 26.1% +11.5 39
2024-03-10 @ NEC Nijmegen L 0-2 1816 1864 26.1% 25.3% 48.6% -11.5 31
2024-03-10 Heracles Almelo W 3-0 2108 1760 77.8% 15.1% 7.1% +4.3 59
2024-03-10 @ Feyenoord L 0-3 1760 2108 7.1% 15.1% 77.8% -4.3 23
2024-03-10 Volendam D 1-1 1815 1634 63.7% 21.6% 14.7% -2.3 28
2024-03-10 @ Zwolle D 1-1 1634 1815 14.7% 21.6% 63.7% +2.3 14
2024-03-15 Go Ahead Eagles W 2-0 1756 1862 27.9% 25.6% 46.5% +18.1 26
2024-03-15 @ Heracles Almelo L 0-2 1862 1756 46.5% 25.6% 27.9% -18.0 37
2024-03-16 Almere City D 1-1 1687 1773 30.4% 25.9% 43.8% +0.6 17
2024-03-16 @ Vitesse D 1-1 1773 1687 43.8% 25.9% 30.4% -0.6 30
2024-03-16 RKC Waalwijk D 1-1 1713 1731 39.7% 26.1% 34.2% -0.2 22
2024-03-16 @ Excelsior D 1-1 1731 1713 34.2% 26.1% 39.7% +0.2 22
2024-03-16 Zwolle W 3-1 1736 1813 31.5% 25.9% 42.6% +14.6 34
2024-03-16 @ Fortuna Sittard L 1-3 1813 1736 42.6% 25.9% 31.5% -14.6 28
2024-03-17 Ajax D 2-2 1839 1978 24.2% 25.0% 50.7% +0.9 31
2024-03-17 @ Sparta Rotterdam D 2-2 1978 1839 50.7% 25.0% 24.2% -0.9 41
2024-03-17 Alkmaar L 0-4 1636 1999 9.3% 17.5% 73.3% -7.6 14
2024-03-17 @ Volendam W 4-0 1999 1636 73.3% 17.5% 9.3% +7.6 49
2024-03-17 Feyenoord L 2-3 1804 2113 11.7% 19.7% 68.6% -2.5 31
2024-03-17 @ Heerenveen W 3-2 2113 1804 68.6% 19.7% 11.7% +2.5 62
2024-03-17 NEC Nijmegen W 1-0 1851 1875 38.8% 26.1% 35.1% +7.7 36
2024-03-17 @ Utrecht L 0-1 1875 1851 35.1% 26.1% 38.8% -7.7 39
2024-03-17 Twente W 1-0 2178 2033 60.0% 22.9% 17.1% +4.2 72
2024-03-17 @ PSV Eindhoven L 0-1 2033 2178 17.1% 22.9% 60.0% -4.1 53
2024-03-30 Excelsior W 3-0 1844 1713 58.5% 23.3% 18.2% +12.1 40
2024-03-30 @ Go Ahead Eagles L 0-3 1713 1844 18.2% 23.3% 58.5% -12.1 22
2024-03-30 Fortuna Sittard W 4-0 1840 1750 53.8% 24.5% 21.8% +18.6 34
2024-03-30 @ Sparta Rotterdam L 0-4 1750 1840 21.8% 24.5% 53.8% -18.6 34
2024-03-30 Heerenveen D 1-1 1731 1802 32.3% 26.0% 41.7% +0.4 23
2024-03-30 @ RKC Waalwijk D 1-1 1802 1731 41.7% 26.0% 32.3% -0.4 32
2024-03-30 PSV Eindhoven W 3-1 1868 2183 11.4% 19.4% 69.2% +21.8 42
2024-03-30 @ NEC Nijmegen L 1-3 2183 1868 69.2% 19.4% 11.4% -21.8 72
2024-03-30 Vitesse W 2-0 2007 1688 75.6% 16.2% 8.1% +3.4 52
2024-03-30 @ Alkmaar L 0-2 1688 2007 8.1% 16.2% 75.6% -3.4 17
2024-03-31 Ajax L 1-3 1798 1977 20.4% 24.1% 55.5% -8.0 28
2024-03-31 @ Zwolle W 3-1 1977 1798 55.5% 24.1% 20.4% +8.0 44
2024-03-31 Heracles Almelo W 1-0 2029 1774 70.5% 18.8% 10.7% +2.5 56
2024-03-31 @ Twente L 0-1 1774 2029 10.7% 18.8% 70.5% -2.5 26
2024-03-31 Utrecht W 4-2 2115 1859 70.6% 18.8% 10.6% +3.6 65
2024-03-31 @ Feyenoord L 2-4 1859 2115 10.6% 18.8% 70.6% -3.6 36
2024-03-31 Volendam D 1-1 1772 1628 59.9% 22.9% 17.2% -2.0 31
2024-03-31 @ Almere City D 1-1 1628 1772 17.2% 22.9% 59.9% +2.0 15
2024-04-02 NEC Nijmegen D 1-1 1732 1889 22.4% 24.6% 53.0% +1.4 35
2024-04-02 @ Fortuna Sittard D 1-1 1889 1732 53.0% 24.6% 22.4% -1.4 43
2024-04-02 PSV Eindhoven L 0-2 1701 2161 6.0% 13.6% 80.3% -2.4 22
2024-04-02 @ Excelsior W 2-0 2161 1701 80.3% 13.6% 6.0% +2.4 75
2024-04-02 Sparta Rotterdam L 1-4 1684 1858 20.9% 24.2% 54.9% -11.6 17
2024-04-02 @ Vitesse W 4-1 1858 1684 54.9% 24.2% 20.9% +11.6 37
2024-04-03 Alkmaar W 5-0 1771 2010 15.8% 22.2% 62.0% +53.8 29
2024-04-03 @ Heracles Almelo L 0-5 2010 1771 62.0% 22.2% 15.8% -53.8 52
2024-04-03 Twente D 3-3 1802 2031 16.4% 22.6% 61.0% +1.3 33
2024-04-03 @ Heerenveen D 3-3 2031 1802 61.0% 22.6% 16.4% -1.3 57
2024-04-03 Zwolle W 5-1 1855 1790 50.8% 25.0% 24.2% +17.0 39
2024-04-03 @ Utrecht L 1-5 1790 1855 24.2% 25.0% 50.8% -17.1 28
2024-04-04 Almere City D 0-0 1731 1770 36.7% 26.1% 37.2% +0.0 24
2024-04-04 @ RKC Waalwijk D 0-0 1770 1731 37.2% 26.1% 36.7% -0.0 32
2024-04-04 Feyenoord D 0-0 1630 2119 5.3% 12.6% 82.1% +4.0 16
2024-04-04 @ Volendam D 0-0 2119 1630 82.1% 12.6% 5.3% -4.0 66
2024-04-04 Go Ahead Eagles D 1-1 1985 1856 58.3% 23.4% 18.3% -1.8 45
2024-04-04 @ Ajax D 1-1 1856 1985 18.3% 23.4% 58.3% +1.8 41
2024-04-06 Alkmaar W 5-1 2163 1956 66.1% 20.7% 13.2% +9.4 78
2024-04-06 @ PSV Eindhoven L 1-5 1956 2163 13.2% 20.7% 66.1% -9.4 52
2024-04-06 Excelsior W 2-1 1773 1698 52.0% 24.8% 23.2% +5.2 31
2024-04-06 @ Zwolle L 1-2 1698 1773 23.2% 24.8% 52.0% -5.2 22
2024-04-06 Fortuna Sittard W 2-0 2030 1733 73.9% 17.1% 8.9% +3.8 60
2024-04-06 @ Twente L 0-2 1733 2030 8.9% 17.1% 73.9% -3.9 35
2024-04-06 Heracles Almelo L 1-2 1870 1825 48.2% 25.4% 26.4% -9.3 37
2024-04-06 @ Sparta Rotterdam W 2-1 1825 1870 26.4% 25.4% 48.2% +9.3 32
2024-04-07 Ajax W 6-0 2115 1983 58.5% 23.3% 18.2% +23.1 69
2024-04-07 @ Feyenoord L 0-6 1983 2115 18.2% 23.3% 58.5% -23.1 45
2024-04-07 Almere City D 1-1 1858 1770 53.5% 24.5% 22.0% -1.4 42
2024-04-07 @ Go Ahead Eagles D 1-1 1770 1858 22.0% 24.5% 53.5% +1.4 33
2024-04-07 NEC Nijmegen L 0-3 1673 1888 17.5% 23.0% 59.5% -11.6 17
2024-04-07 @ Vitesse W 3-0 1888 1673 59.5% 23.0% 17.5% +11.6 46
2024-04-07 RKC Waalwijk W 3-2 1634 1731 29.0% 25.7% 45.3% +8.4 19
2024-04-07 @ Volendam L 2-3 1731 1634 45.3% 25.7% 29.0% -8.4 24
2024-04-07 Utrecht L 2-3 1803 1872 32.5% 26.0% 41.5% -6.5 33
2024-04-07 @ Heerenveen W 3-2 1872 1803 41.5% 26.0% 32.5% +6.5 42
2024-04-12 Volendam W 4-0 1693 1643 48.9% 25.3% 25.8% +21.6 25
2024-04-12 @ Excelsior L 0-4 1643 1693 25.8% 25.3% 48.9% -21.6 19
2024-04-13 RKC Waalwijk W 3-2 1947 1723 67.7% 20.0% 12.2% +2.6 55
2024-04-13 @ Alkmaar L 2-3 1723 1947 12.2% 20.0% 67.7% -2.6 24
2024-04-13 Sparta Rotterdam L 2-3 1772 1861 30.0% 25.8% 44.2% -6.1 33
2024-04-13 @ Almere City W 3-2 1861 1772 44.2% 25.8% 30.0% +6.1 40
2024-04-13 Vitesse W 6-0 2173 1661 87.3% 9.3% 3.4% +3.4 81
2024-04-13 @ PSV Eindhoven L 0-6 1661 2173 3.4% 9.3% 87.3% -3.4 17
2024-04-14 Feyenoord L 0-1 1729 2138 7.6% 15.6% 76.8% -1.7 35
2024-04-14 @ Fortuna Sittard W 1-0 2138 1729 76.8% 15.6% 7.6% +1.7 72
2024-04-14 Go Ahead Eagles W 2-1 1878 1856 45.3% 25.7% 29.0% +6.3 45
2024-04-14 @ Utrecht L 1-2 1856 1878 29.0% 25.7% 45.3% -6.3 42
2024-04-14 Heerenveen L 0-2 1834 1796 47.3% 25.5% 27.2% -18.3 32
2024-04-14 @ Heracles Almelo W 2-0 1796 1834 27.2% 25.5% 47.3% +18.3 36
2024-04-14 Twente W 2-1 1960 2034 32.0% 25.9% 42.1% +8.3 48
2024-04-14 @ Ajax L 1-2 2034 1960 42.1% 25.9% 32.0% -8.3 60
2024-04-14 Zwolle D 2-2 1900 1778 57.4% 23.6% 19.0% -1.3 47
2024-04-14 @ NEC Nijmegen D 2-2 1778 1900 19.0% 23.6% 57.4% +1.3 32
2024-04-24 Almere City W 3-1 2025 1766 70.9% 18.6% 10.5% +4.0 63
2024-04-24 @ Twente L 1-3 1766 2025 10.5% 18.6% 70.9% -4.0 33
2024-04-24 Excelsior D 2-2 1969 1715 70.4% 18.9% 10.7% -2.1 49
2024-04-24 @ Ajax D 2-2 1715 1969 10.7% 18.9% 70.4% +2.1 26
2024-04-25 Feyenoord L 1-3 1850 2139 12.7% 20.4% 66.9% -5.0 42
2024-04-25 @ Go Ahead Eagles W 3-1 2139 1850 66.9% 20.4% 12.7% +5.0 75
2024-04-25 PSV Eindhoven L 0-8 1815 2176 9.3% 17.5% 73.1% -14.8 36
2024-04-25 @ Heerenveen W 8-0 2176 1815 73.1% 17.5% 9.3% +14.8 84
2024-04-28 Alkmaar L 0-3 1898 1950 34.9% 26.1% 39.0% -21.0 47
2024-04-28 @ NEC Nijmegen W 3-0 1950 1898 39.0% 26.1% 34.9% +21.1 58
2024-04-28 Fortuna Sittard W 3-2 1658 1727 32.5% 26.0% 41.5% +7.8 20
2024-04-28 @ Vitesse L 2-3 1727 1658 41.5% 26.0% 32.5% -7.8 35
2024-04-28 Heracles Almelo W 3-1 1779 1816 37.0% 26.1% 36.9% +13.1 35
2024-04-28 @ Zwolle L 1-3 1816 1779 36.9% 26.1% 37.0% -13.1 32
2024-04-28 Utrecht D 2-2 1720 1885 21.8% 24.5% 53.8% +1.1 25
2024-04-28 @ RKC Waalwijk D 2-2 1885 1720 53.8% 24.5% 21.8% -1.1 46
2024-04-28 Volendam W 1-0 1867 1621 69.7% 19.2% 11.1% +2.6 43
2024-04-28 @ Sparta Rotterdam L 0-1 1621 1867 11.1% 19.2% 69.7% -2.6 19
2024-05-03 Go Ahead Eagles D 0-0 1720 1845 25.7% 25.3% 49.0% +1.2 36
2024-05-03 @ Fortuna Sittard D 0-0 1845 1720 49.0% 25.3% 25.7% -1.2 43
2024-05-03 Heerenveen D 1-1 1762 1800 36.8% 26.1% 37.1% +0.0 34
2024-05-03 @ Almere City D 1-1 1800 1762 37.1% 26.1% 36.8% -0.0 37
2024-05-05 Ajax L 1-4 1619 1967 9.9% 18.1% 72.0% -5.3 19
2024-05-05 @ Volendam W 4-1 1967 1619 72.0% 18.1% 9.9% +5.3 52
2024-05-05 RKC Waalwijk L 0-5 1803 1721 52.8% 24.7% 22.5% -47.0 32
2024-05-05 @ Heracles Almelo W 5-0 1721 1803 22.5% 24.7% 52.8% +47.0 28
2024-05-05 Sparta Rotterdam W 4-2 2191 1869 75.8% 16.2% 8.0% +2.6 87
2024-05-05 @ PSV Eindhoven L 2-4 1869 2191 8.0% 16.2% 75.8% -2.6 43
2024-05-05 Twente W 2-1 1971 2029 33.9% 26.0% 40.0% +8.0 61
2024-05-05 @ Alkmaar L 1-2 2029 1971 40.0% 26.0% 33.9% -8.0 63
2024-05-05 Vitesse W 1-0 1884 1666 67.2% 20.3% 12.5% +3.0 49
2024-05-05 @ Utrecht L 0-1 1666 1884 12.5% 20.3% 67.2% -3.0 20
2024-05-05 Zwolle W 5-0 2144 1793 78.0% 14.9% 7.0% +6.8 78
2024-05-05 @ Feyenoord L 0-5 1793 2144 7.0% 14.9% 78.0% -6.8 35
2024-05-06 NEC Nijmegen L 0-3 1717 1877 22.1% 24.6% 53.3% -14.5 26
2024-05-06 @ Excelsior W 3-0 1877 1717 53.3% 24.6% 22.1% +14.5 50
2024-05-12 Alkmaar L 0-3 1844 1979 24.7% 25.1% 50.2% -15.9 43
2024-05-12 @ Go Ahead Eagles W 3-0 1979 1844 50.2% 25.1% 24.7% +15.9 64
2024-05-12 Almere City W 3-0 1972 1762 66.5% 20.6% 13.0% +8.5 55
2024-05-12 @ Ajax L 0-3 1762 1972 13.0% 20.6% 66.5% -8.5 34
2024-05-12 Feyenoord L 2-3 1892 2151 14.4% 21.5% 64.1% -3.1 50
2024-05-12 @ NEC Nijmegen W 3-2 2151 1892 64.1% 21.5% 14.4% +3.1 81
2024-05-12 Heracles Almelo W 4-0 1702 1756 34.6% 26.1% 39.3% +30.0 29
2024-05-12 @ Excelsior L 0-4 1756 1702 39.3% 26.1% 34.6% -30.0 32
2024-05-12 PSV Eindhoven D 1-1 1721 2194 5.7% 13.2% 81.1% +3.5 37
2024-05-12 @ Fortuna Sittard D 1-1 2194 1721 81.1% 13.2% 5.7% -3.5 88
2024-05-12 Sparta Rotterdam L 0-1 1887 1867 44.9% 25.8% 29.3% -9.3 49
2024-05-12 @ Utrecht W 1-0 1867 1887 29.3% 25.8% 44.9% +9.3 46
2024-05-12 Vitesse L 1-3 1800 1663 59.1% 23.1% 17.7% -19.1 37
2024-05-12 @ Heerenveen W 3-1 1663 1800 17.7% 23.1% 59.1% +19.1 23
2024-05-12 Volendam W 7-2 2021 1613 81.8% 12.8% 5.5% +3.5 66
2024-05-12 @ Twente L 2-7 1613 2021 5.5% 12.8% 81.8% -3.5 19
2024-05-12 Zwolle D 1-1 1768 1786 39.8% 26.1% 34.2% -0.2 29
2024-05-12 @ RKC Waalwijk D 1-1 1786 1768 34.2% 26.1% 39.8% +0.2 36
2024-05-19 Ajax D 2-2 1682 1980 12.2% 20.0% 67.8% +2.0 24
2024-05-19 @ Vitesse D 2-2 1980 1682 67.8% 20.0% 12.2% -2.0 56
2024-05-19 Excelsior W 4-0 2154 1732 82.6% 12.3% 5.1% +3.8 84
2024-05-19 @ Feyenoord L 0-4 1732 2154 5.1% 12.3% 82.6% -3.8 29
2024-05-19 Fortuna Sittard D 0-0 1726 1724 42.5% 25.9% 31.6% -0.5 33
2024-05-19 @ Heracles Almelo D 0-0 1724 1726 31.6% 25.9% 42.5% +0.5 38
2024-05-19 Go Ahead Eagles L 1-2 1610 1828 17.3% 22.9% 59.8% -3.9 19
2024-05-19 @ Volendam W 2-1 1828 1610 59.8% 22.9% 17.3% +4.0 46
2024-05-19 Heerenveen W 2-1 1876 1781 54.4% 24.3% 21.2% +4.8 49
2024-05-19 @ Sparta Rotterdam L 1-2 1781 1876 21.2% 24.3% 54.4% -4.8 37
2024-05-19 NEC Nijmegen L 1-4 1753 1889 24.6% 25.1% 50.2% -13.4 34
2024-05-19 @ Almere City W 4-1 1889 1753 50.2% 25.1% 24.6% +13.4 53
2024-05-19 RKC Waalwijk W 3-1 2190 1768 82.6% 12.3% 5.1% +1.7 91
2024-05-19 @ PSV Eindhoven L 1-3 1768 2190 5.1% 12.3% 82.6% -1.7 29
2024-05-19 Twente L 1-2 1786 2025 15.8% 22.2% 62.0% -3.6 36
2024-05-19 @ Zwolle W 2-1 2025 1786 62.0% 22.2% 15.8% +3.6 69
2024-05-19 Utrecht D 3-3 1995 1877 57.0% 23.7% 19.3% -1.1 65
2024-05-19 @ Alkmaar D 3-3 1877 1995 19.3% 23.7% 57.0% +1.1 50

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2024-05-22 Excelsior L 1-2 1743 1728 44.2% 25.8% 30.0% -8.7 0-1
2024-05-22 @ ADO Den Haag W 2-1 1728 1743 30.0% 25.8% 44.2% +8.7 1-0
2024-05-23 Go Ahead Eagles L 1-2 1902 1832 51.4% 24.9% 23.7% -9.8 0-1
2024-05-23 @ NEC Nijmegen W 2-1 1832 1902 23.7% 24.9% 51.4% +9.8 1-0
2024-05-23 Utrecht W 3-1 1881 1878 42.6% 25.9% 31.5% +11.6 1-0
2024-05-23 @ Sparta Rotterdam L 1-3 1878 1881 31.5% 25.9% 42.6% -11.6 0-1
2024-05-25 ADO Den Haag W 7-1 1737 1734 42.6% 25.9% 31.5% +30.6 2-0
2024-05-25 @ Excelsior L 1-7 1734 1737 31.5% 25.9% 42.6% -30.6 0-2
2024-05-26 Go Ahead Eagles L 1-2 1867 1842 45.6% 25.7% 28.7% -8.9 0-2
2024-05-26 @ Utrecht W 2-1 1842 1867 28.7% 25.7% 45.6% +8.9 2-0
2024-05-28 Excelsior W 6-2 1777 1768 43.5% 25.9% 30.7% +17.6 1-0
2024-05-28 @ NAC Breda L 2-6 1768 1777 30.7% 25.9% 43.5% -17.6 2-1
2024-06-02 NAC Breda W 4-1 1750 1794 36.0% 26.1% 38.0% +18.9 3-1
2024-06-02 @ Excelsior L 1-4 1794 1750 38.0% 26.1% 36.0% -18.9 1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2024-03-30 11.39% @ NEC Nijmegen 1868 3 PSV Eindhoven 2183 1
2 2023-12-06 12.13% NEC Nijmegen 1796 2 @ Alkmaar 2022 1
3 2023-09-24 13.16% @ RKC Waalwijk 1737 1 Twente 2018 0
4 2024-02-18 14.39% Utrecht 1843 1 @ Twente 2028 0
5 2024-04-03 15.78% @ Heracles Almelo 1771 5 Alkmaar 2010 0
6 2024-02-11 17.49% @ Heerenveen 1782 3 Ajax 1997 2
7 2023-12-16 17.62% Volendam 1676 2 @ Heerenveen 1815 1
8 2024-05-12 17.73% Vitesse 1663 3 @ Heerenveen 1800 1
9 2023-11-05 19.23% Almere City 1768 2 @ Sparta Rotterdam 1886 1
10 2024-01-20 20.01% @ NEC Nijmegen 1839 1 Twente 2023 0
11 2023-10-22 20.15% @ Utrecht 1775 4 Ajax 1957 3
12 2023-11-26 20.62% Utrecht 1786 2 @ Sparta Rotterdam 1888 1
13 2023-09-16 21.10% RKC Waalwijk 1716 2 @ Vitesse 1813 0
14 2023-11-25 21.71% RKC Waalwijk 1732 2 @ Zwolle 1823 1
15 2024-02-17 22.21% Almere City 1766 1 @ Zwolle 1851 0
16 2024-05-05 22.54% RKC Waalwijk 1721 5 @ Heracles Almelo 1803 0
17 2024-05-23 * 23.68% Go Ahead Eagles 1832 2 @ NEC Nijmegen 1902 1
18 2024-02-09 23.76% @ RKC Waalwijk 1715 2 NEC Nijmegen 1859 0
19 2023-10-01 24.14% @ Excelsior 1767 2 Sparta Rotterdam 1907 1
20 2023-08-13 24.25% Excelsior 1737 4 @ NEC Nijmegen 1802 3
21 2024-01-21 24.40% Go Ahead Eagles 1828 2 @ Sparta Rotterdam 1892 0
22 2023-09-30 24.46% Almere City 1741 2 @ Utrecht 1803 0
23 2024-02-25 25.28% Vitesse 1691 2 @ Excelsior 1746 1
24 2023-09-16 25.31% Utrecht 1808 3 @ Heracles Almelo 1863 1
25 2023-12-10 25.35% Utrecht 1799 2 @ Go Ahead Eagles 1853 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2024-04-03 53.78 @ Heracles Almelo 5 1771 15.78% Alkmaar 0 2010 61.98% 22.24%
2 2024-05-05 46.96 RKC Waalwijk 5 1721 22.54% @ Heracles Almelo 0 1803 52.80% 24.66%
3 2023-11-26 40.54 Heracles Almelo 5 1765 29.99% @ Almere City 0 1780 44.20% 25.81%
4 2023-12-17 34.51 @ Almere City 5 1719 38.10% Vitesse 0 1748 35.81% 26.08%
5 2024-05-12 30.03 @ Excelsior 4 1702 34.61% Heracles Almelo 0 1756 39.33% 26.06%
6 2023-10-07 29.27 @ Go Ahead Eagles 4 1809 35.90% Heracles Almelo 0 1854 38.02% 26.09%
7 2023-12-02 28.39 Zwolle 5 1813 46.51% @ Volendam 0 1706 27.89% 25.60%
8 2023-09-27 28.22 Feyenoord 4 2035 37.72% @ Ajax 0 1993 36.19% 26.09%
9 2023-09-23 27.51 Excelsior 3 1739 25.48% @ Heerenveen 0 1792 49.27% 25.25%
10 2023-10-28 24.02 @ Heerenveen 3 1756 32.38% Heracles Almelo 0 1826 41.64% 25.98%
11 2024-01-19 23.19 @ Excelsior 3 1747 34.16% Heerenveen 0 1804 39.79% 26.05%
12 2024-04-07 23.06 @ Feyenoord 6 2115 58.49% Ajax 0 1983 18.19% 23.31%
13 2024-02-25 22.43 Heerenveen 4 1779 47.52% @ Volendam 0 1665 27.00% 25.48%
14 2024-03-30 21.76 @ NEC Nijmegen 3 1868 11.39% PSV Eindhoven 1 2183 69.22% 19.39%
15 2023-12-17 21.64 PSV Eindhoven 4 2139 48.84% @ Alkmaar 0 2015 25.85% 25.31%
16 2024-04-12 21.60 @ Excelsior 4 1693 48.90% Volendam 0 1643 25.79% 25.30%
17 2023-09-23 21.45 @ NEC Nijmegen 3 1795 38.06% Utrecht 0 1825 35.86% 26.09%
18 2024-04-28 21.05 Alkmaar 3 1950 38.98% @ NEC Nijmegen 0 1898 34.95% 26.07%
19 2023-09-16 20.66 RKC Waalwijk 2 1716 21.10% @ Vitesse 0 1813 54.62% 24.28%
20 2023-11-10 19.89 @ Fortuna Sittard 4 1722 33.30% Heracles Almelo 1 1785 40.68% 26.02%
21 2024-02-09 19.59 @ RKC Waalwijk 2 1715 23.76% NEC Nijmegen 0 1859 51.31% 24.93%
22 2024-01-21 19.35 Go Ahead Eagles 2 1828 24.40% @ Sparta Rotterdam 0 1892 50.54% 25.06%
23 2023-09-30 19.33 Almere City 2 1741 24.46% @ Utrecht 0 1803 50.47% 25.07%
24 2023-10-08 19.25 PSV Eindhoven 4 2053 52.75% @ Sparta Rotterdam 0 1897 22.58% 24.67%
25 2024-05-12 19.15 Vitesse 3 1663 17.73% @ Heerenveen 1 1800 59.14% 23.13%