2024-25 Eredivisie Season

306 games · 4 promotion-playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

PSV Eindhoven

79 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Ajax

14.59 points above expected

78 points · 63.41 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Willem II

16.07 points below expected

26 points · 42.07 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	PSV Eindhoven	34	25	4	5	79	103	39	+64	76.2	+2.85
2	Ajax	34	24	6	4	78	67	32	+35	63.4	+14.59
3	Feyenoord	34	20	8	6	68	76	38	+38	71.3	-3.35
4	Utrecht	34	18	10	6	64	62	45	+17	49.8	+14.23
5	Alkmaar	34	16	9	9	57	58	37	+21	59.1	-2.07
6	Twente	34	15	9	10	54	62	49	+13	60.9	-6.90
7	Go Ahead Eagles	34	14	9	11	51	57	55	+2	46.6	+4.36
8	NEC Nijmegen	34	12	7	15	43	51	46	+5	48.0	-5.03
9	Heerenveen	34	12	7	15	43	42	57	-15	38.3	+4.72
10	Zwolle	34	10	11	13	41	43	51	-8	39.4	+1.65
11	Fortuna Sittard	34	11	8	15	41	37	54	-17	35.7	+5.33
12	Sparta Rotterdam	34	9	12	13	39	39	43	-4	45.2	-6.22
13	Groningen	34	10	9	15	39	40	53	-13	41.1	-2.06
14	Heracles Almelo	34	9	11	14	38	42	63	-21	34.4	+3.64
15	NAC Breda	34	8	9	17	33	34	58	-24	35.6	-2.58
16	Willem II	34	6	8	20	26	34	56	-22	42.1	-16.07
17	RKC Waalwijk	34	6	7	21	25	44	74	-30	32.9	-7.93
18	Almere City	34	4	10	20	22	23	64	-41	29.3	-7.30

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The full Promotion / Relegation tab has matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Semifinals

Alkmaar 4

Heerenveen 1

Twente 3

NEC Nijmegen 2

Finals

Alkmaar 3

Twente 2

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
PSV Eindhoven	2113	79	76.15	+2.85	68.7%	48	65	72	76	81	87	97
Feyenoord	2050	68	71.35	-3.35	33.0%	42	60	67	72	76	82	94
Ajax	1990	78	63.41	+14.59	98.6%	33	52	59	63	68	75	89
Twente	1945	54	60.90	-6.90	18.9%	34	49	56	61	66	73	86
Alkmaar	1940	57	59.07	-2.07	41.4%	32	47	54	59	64	71	84
Utrecht	1914	64	49.77	+14.23	97.7%	25	38	45	50	55	62	78
NEC Nijmegen	1857	43	48.03	-5.03	26.9%	18	36	43	48	53	60	74
Go Ahead Eagles	1851	51	46.64	+4.36	74.9%	19	35	42	47	52	59	72
Sparta Rotterdam	1846	39	45.22	-6.22	21.5%	16	33	40	45	50	57	71
Zwolle	1812	41	39.35	+1.65	62.4%	13	28	34	39	44	51	68
Groningen	1800	39	41.06	-2.06	41.4%	16	29	36	41	46	53	68
Heerenveen	1782	43	38.28	+4.72	77.3%	16	27	33	38	43	50	67
Heracles Almelo	1753	38	34.36	+3.64	72.9%	11	23	30	34	39	46	61
Fortuna Sittard	1742	41	35.67	+5.33	79.9%	9	24	31	36	40	47	62
RKC Waalwijk	1728	25	32.93	-7.93	13.7%	9	22	28	33	37	44	63
Willem II	1723	26	42.07	-16.07	1.3%	18	31	37	42	47	54	76
NAC Breda	1718	33	35.58	-2.58	38.9%	9	24	31	36	40	47	61
Almere City	1681	22	29.30	-7.30	15.4%	8	19	25	29	34	41	55

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AJA	ALK	AC	FEY	FS	GAE	GRO	HEE	HA	NB	NN	PE	RW	SR	TWE	UTR	WI	ZWO
Ajax	—	0-1-1 3.05	2-0-0 4.86	2-0-0 2.18	2-0-0 4.22	1-1-0 3.67	1-1-0 3.83	2-0-0 4.04	2-0-0 4.32	1-0-1 4.32	1-0-1 3.72	2-0-0 1.90	2-0-0 4.35	1-1-0 3.99	1-1-0 2.81	0-1-1 3.67	2-0-0 4.18	2-0-0 4.25
Alkmaar	1-1-0 2.42	—	1-1-0 4.42	0-0-2 2.04	1-0-1 4.35	1-1-0 3.47	1-1-0 3.70	1-0-1 4.11	1-0-1 4.20	1-1-0 4.15	1-1-0 3.53	0-1-1 1.74	1-1-0 4.20	1-0-1 3.79	2-0-0 2.68	0-1-1 3.49	1-0-1 3.74	2-0-0 4.04
Almere City	0-0-2 0.93	0-1-1 1.27	—	0-0-2 0.81	0-1-1 2.39	0-1-1 1.67	0-2-0 2.00	1-0-1 2.05	0-1-1 2.55	0-1-1 2.27	1-1-0 1.65	0-0-2 0.78	0-0-2 2.53	0-1-1 1.69	0-0-2 1.19	1-0-1 1.42	1-0-1 1.94	0-1-1 2.10
Feyenoord	0-0-2 3.32	2-0-0 3.45	2-0-0 5.03	—	1-1-0 4.85	2-0-0 4.13	1-1-0 4.34	1-0-1 4.77	2-0-0 4.88	1-1-0 4.76	0-2-0 4.13	0-0-2 2.41	2-0-0 5.00	1-1-0 4.19	2-0-0 3.23	1-0-1 4.04	0-2-0 4.26	2-0-0 4.56
Fortuna Sittard	0-0-2 1.41	1-0-1 1.32	1-1-0 3.05	0-1-1 0.95	—	1-0-1 2.20	1-0-1 2.33	1-1-0 2.61	1-1-0 2.81	1-0-1 2.82	0-0-2 2.19	0-0-2 0.81	2-0-0 2.85	0-1-1 2.09	0-1-1 1.38	1-1-0 1.69	1-1-0 2.40	0-0-2 2.64
Go Ahead Eagles	0-1-1 1.86	0-1-1 2.04	1-1-0 3.89	0-0-2 1.48	1-0-1 3.28	—	2-0-0 2.99	1-0-1 3.29	1-0-1 3.52	1-1-0 3.58	2-0-0 2.61	1-0-1 1.20	1-0-1 3.43	2-0-0 2.77	0-1-1 1.90	0-2-0 2.56	1-0-1 3.05	0-2-0 3.16
Groningen	0-1-1 1.71	0-1-1 1.83	0-2-0 3.49	0-1-1 1.32	1-0-1 3.12	0-0-2 2.50	—	1-0-1 3.02	1-1-0 2.99	1-1-0 3.17	1-0-1 2.27	0-0-2 1.00	2-0-0 3.21	1-0-1 2.47	0-1-1 1.57	0-0-2 2.25	2-0-0 2.45	0-1-1 2.79
Heerenveen	0-0-2 1.55	1-0-1 1.50	1-0-1 3.43	1-0-1 1.00	0-1-1 2.83	1-0-1 2.19	1-0-1 2.42	—	0-1-1 2.95	2-0-0 2.78	1-0-1 2.21	1-0-1 0.84	0-1-1 3.18	1-0-1 2.13	0-1-1 1.51	0-1-1 2.15	2-0-0 2.57	0-2-0 2.57
Heracles Almelo	0-0-2 1.34	1-0-1 1.43	1-1-0 2.89	0-0-2 0.92	0-1-1 2.62	1-0-1 1.97	0-1-1 2.45	1-1-0 2.49	—	1-1-0 2.49	1-0-1 1.90	0-0-2 0.88	0-2-0 2.87	0-2-0 2.12	1-0-1 1.36	0-1-1 1.76	1-1-0 2.39	1-0-1 2.45
NAC Breda	1-0-1 1.35	0-1-1 1.47	1-1-0 3.20	0-1-1 1.01	1-0-1 2.62	0-1-1 1.92	0-1-1 2.28	0-0-2 2.67	0-1-1 2.95	—	1-0-1 1.88	0-0-2 0.83	1-0-1 2.92	1-1-0 2.21	1-0-1 1.35	0-0-2 2.02	0-2-0 2.40	1-0-1 2.41
NEC Nijmegen	1-0-1 1.84	0-1-1 1.97	0-1-1 3.92	0-2-0 1.49	2-0-0 3.28	0-0-2 2.81	1-0-1 3.18	1-0-1 3.26	1-0-1 3.62	1-0-1 3.64	—	0-1-1 1.27	2-0-0 3.65	0-1-1 2.95	0-0-2 1.98	1-0-1 2.58	0-1-1 3.16	2-0-0 3.24
PSV Eindhoven	0-0-2 3.60	1-1-0 3.82	2-0-0 5.07	2-0-0 3.05	2-0-0 5.03	1-0-1 4.50	2-0-0 4.78	1-0-1 4.99	2-0-0 4.92	2-0-0 5.00	1-1-0 4.41	—	2-0-0 4.86	2-0-0 4.48	2-0-0 3.78	1-1-0 4.35	1-1-0 4.63	1-0-1 4.99
RKC Waalwijk	0-0-2 1.33	0-1-1 1.44	2-0-0 2.90	0-0-2 0.83	0-0-2 2.62	1-0-1 2.03	0-0-2 2.26	1-1-0 2.28	0-2-0 2.58	1-0-1 2.53	0-0-2 1.86	0-0-2 0.94	—	0-1-1 1.99	0-1-1 1.35	0-0-2 1.66	1-0-1 2.02	0-1-1 2.33
Sparta Rotterdam	0-1-1 1.60	1-0-1 1.76	1-1-0 3.87	0-1-1 1.44	1-1-0 3.41	0-0-2 2.73	1-0-1 2.97	1-0-1 3.34	0-2-0 3.37	0-1-1 3.25	1-1-0 2.50	0-0-2 1.22	1-1-0 3.50	—	0-1-1 2.03	0-1-1 2.42	2-0-0 2.81	0-1-1 3.02
Twente	0-1-1 2.64	0-0-2 2.75	2-0-0 4.52	0-0-2 2.24	1-1-0 4.27	1-1-0 3.63	1-1-0 4.02	1-1-0 4.09	1-0-1 4.29	1-0-1 4.30	2-0-0 3.53	0-0-2 1.76	1-1-0 4.31	1-1-0 3.46	—	1-0-1 3.24	2-0-0 3.75	0-2-0 3.93
Utrecht	1-1-0 1.84	1-1-0 2.02	1-0-1 4.21	1-0-1 1.56	0-1-1 3.85	0-2-0 2.89	2-0-0 3.23	1-1-0 3.34	1-1-0 3.79	2-0-0 3.50	1-0-1 2.88	0-1-1 1.32	2-0-0 3.89	1-1-0 3.05	1-0-1 2.20	—	2-0-0 3.16	1-1-0 3.24
Willem II	0-0-2 1.44	1-0-1 1.79	1-0-1 3.55	0-2-0 1.39	0-1-1 3.08	1-0-1 2.46	0-0-2 2.99	0-0-2 2.90	0-1-1 3.03	0-2-0 3.08	1-1-0 2.33	0-1-1 1.11	1-0-1 3.47	0-0-2 2.62	0-0-2 1.78	0-0-2 2.28	—	1-0-1 2.60
Zwolle	0-0-2 1.39	0-0-2 1.55	1-1-0 3.37	0-0-2 1.16	2-0-0 2.79	0-2-0 2.29	1-1-0 2.65	0-2-0 2.88	1-0-1 2.99	1-0-1 3.04	0-0-2 2.23	1-0-1 0.84	1-1-0 3.11	1-1-0 2.42	0-2-0 1.64	0-1-1 2.22	1-0-1 2.82	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.92%	7.52%	6.37%	3.92%	0.98%	1.47%	24.18%
1	7.52%	13.07%	7.03%	2.78%	2.29%	1.14%	33.82%
2	6.37%	7.03%	6.54%	2.29%	0.49%	0.82%	23.53%
3	3.92%	2.78%	2.29%	1.63%	0.16%	0.16%	10.95%
4	0.98%	2.29%	0.49%	0.16%	—	—	3.92%
5+	1.47%	1.14%	0.82%	0.16%	—	—	3.59%
Total	24.18%	33.82%	23.53%	10.95%	3.92%	3.59%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.49
Mean allowed	1.49
StdDev scored	1.34
StdDev allowed	1.34
Mean total goals/game	2.99
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.150
Sample size (games)	306

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	2.94%	2.94%	—	5.88%
1	11.76%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	23.53%
2	26.47%	11.76%	11.76%	—	—	—	50.00%
3	2.94%	5.88%	2.94%	—	—	—	11.76%
4	2.94%	—	—	2.94%	—	—	5.88%
5+	2.94%	—	—	—	—	—	2.94%
Total	47.06%	23.53%	20.59%	5.88%	2.94%	—	100%

Ajax — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.97
Mean allowed	0.94
StdDev scored	1.06
StdDev allowed	1.10
Mean total goals/game	2.91
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.236
Games played	34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.88%	8.82%	—	—	—	—	14.71%
1	14.71%	5.88%	11.76%	2.94%	—	—	35.29%
2	5.88%	11.76%	11.76%	2.94%	—	—	32.35%
3	8.82%	—	2.94%	2.94%	—	—	14.71%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	2.94%	—	—	—	—	2.94%
Total	35.29%	29.41%	26.47%	8.82%	—	—	100%

Alkmaar — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.71
Mean allowed	1.09
StdDev scored	1.59
StdDev allowed	1.00
Mean total goals/game	2.79
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.074
Games played	34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.82%	17.65%	5.88%	11.76%	—	5.88%	50.00%
1	5.88%	11.76%	5.88%	2.94%	5.88%	2.94%	35.29%
2	2.94%	—	8.82%	—	—	—	11.76%
3	2.94%	—	—	—	—	—	2.94%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	20.59%	29.41%	20.59%	14.71%	5.88%	8.82%	100%

Almere City — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.68
Mean allowed	1.88
StdDev scored	0.81
StdDev allowed	1.68
Mean total goals/game	2.56
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.118
Games played	34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.88%	—	5.88%	2.94%	—	—	14.71%
1	2.94%	14.71%	5.88%	—	—	—	23.53%
2	11.76%	5.88%	2.94%	2.94%	—	—	23.53%
3	5.88%	—	8.82%	—	—	—	14.71%
4	2.94%	8.82%	—	—	—	—	11.76%
5+	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	11.76%
Total	29.41%	35.29%	29.41%	5.88%	—	—	100%

Feyenoord — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.24
Mean allowed	1.12
StdDev scored	1.65
StdDev allowed	0.91
Mean total goals/game	3.35
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.001
Games played	34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.88%	8.82%	5.88%	8.82%	—	2.94%	32.35%
1	14.71%	11.76%	2.94%	5.88%	8.82%	—	44.12%
2	2.94%	2.94%	5.88%	—	—	—	11.76%
3	5.88%	—	2.94%	—	—	—	8.82%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	2.94%	—	—	—	2.94%
Total	29.41%	23.53%	20.59%	14.71%	8.82%	2.94%	100%

Fortuna Sittard — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.09
Mean allowed	1.59
StdDev scored	1.14
StdDev allowed	1.44
Mean total goals/game	2.68
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.162
Games played	34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.94%	2.94%	8.82%	5.88%	—	—	20.59%
1	11.76%	8.82%	—	—	—	2.94%	23.53%
2	2.94%	8.82%	11.76%	5.88%	2.94%	—	32.35%
3	5.88%	—	5.88%	2.94%	—	2.94%	17.65%
4	—	2.94%	—	—	—	—	2.94%
5+	2.94%	—	—	—	—	—	2.94%
Total	26.47%	23.53%	26.47%	14.71%	2.94%	5.88%	100%

Go Ahead Eagles — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.68
Mean allowed	1.62
StdDev scored	1.25
StdDev allowed	1.41
Mean total goals/game	3.29
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.038
Games played	34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.82%	11.76%	5.88%	2.94%	—	5.88%	35.29%
1	8.82%	11.76%	5.88%	8.82%	2.94%	—	38.24%
2	2.94%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	14.71%
3	—	2.94%	—	—	—	—	2.94%
4	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	5.88%
5+	—	2.94%	—	—	—	—	2.94%
Total	20.59%	41.18%	17.65%	11.76%	2.94%	5.88%	100%

Groningen — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.18
Mean allowed	1.56
StdDev scored	1.38
StdDev allowed	1.44
Mean total goals/game	2.74
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.188
Games played	34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	8.82%	8.82%	11.76%	—	—	29.41%
1	8.82%	14.71%	5.88%	5.88%	—	2.94%	38.24%
2	5.88%	8.82%	2.94%	—	—	—	17.65%
3	—	5.88%	—	2.94%	—	—	8.82%
4	2.94%	—	2.94%	—	—	—	5.88%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	17.65%	38.24%	20.59%	20.59%	—	2.94%	100%

Heerenveen — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.24
Mean allowed	1.68
StdDev scored	1.16
StdDev allowed	1.65
Mean total goals/game	2.91
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.214
Games played	34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.82%	8.82%	—	2.94%	2.94%	2.94%	26.47%
1	2.94%	17.65%	2.94%	2.94%	11.76%	—	38.24%
2	5.88%	11.76%	5.88%	—	—	2.94%	26.47%
3	—	—	—	—	2.94%	—	2.94%
4	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	5.88%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	17.65%	38.24%	14.71%	5.88%	17.65%	5.88%	100%

Heracles Almelo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.24
Mean allowed	1.85
StdDev scored	1.07
StdDev allowed	1.56
Mean total goals/game	3.09
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.057
Games played	34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.94%	8.82%	5.88%	5.88%	2.94%	2.94%	29.41%
1	8.82%	20.59%	8.82%	5.88%	2.94%	—	47.06%
2	2.94%	8.82%	2.94%	2.94%	2.94%	—	20.59%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	2.94%	—	—	—	—	2.94%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	14.71%	41.18%	17.65%	14.71%	8.82%	2.94%	100%

NAC Breda — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.00
Mean allowed	1.71
StdDev scored	0.89
StdDev allowed	1.31
Mean total goals/game	2.71
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.182
Games played	34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.94%	11.76%	8.82%	—	—	2.94%	26.47%
1	8.82%	8.82%	14.71%	—	2.94%	—	35.29%
2	—	5.88%	2.94%	2.94%	—	—	11.76%
3	14.71%	—	—	5.88%	—	—	20.59%
4	—	2.94%	—	—	—	—	2.94%
5+	2.94%	—	—	—	—	—	2.94%
Total	29.41%	29.41%	26.47%	8.82%	2.94%	2.94%	100%

NEC Nijmegen — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	1.35
StdDev scored	1.42
StdDev allowed	1.25
Mean total goals/game	2.85
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.273
Games played	34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	2.94%	2.94%	—	—	—	5.88%
1	—	2.94%	—	2.94%	—	—	5.88%
2	5.88%	8.82%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	26.47%
3	11.76%	14.71%	5.88%	2.94%	—	—	35.29%
4	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	5.88%
5+	8.82%	8.82%	2.94%	—	—	—	20.59%
Total	26.47%	44.12%	17.65%	11.76%	—	—	100%

PSV Eindhoven — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	3.03
Mean allowed	1.15
StdDev scored	1.62
StdDev allowed	0.96
Mean total goals/game	4.18
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.315
Games played	34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.94%	—	14.71%	11.76%	2.94%	—	32.35%
1	—	8.82%	14.71%	—	2.94%	5.88%	32.35%
2	5.88%	—	8.82%	8.82%	—	—	23.53%
3	—	2.94%	—	—	—	—	2.94%
4	—	2.94%	—	—	—	—	2.94%
5+	2.94%	—	—	2.94%	—	—	5.88%
Total	11.76%	14.71%	38.24%	23.53%	5.88%	5.88%	100%

RKC Waalwijk — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.29
Mean allowed	2.18
StdDev scored	1.36
StdDev allowed	1.36
Mean total goals/game	3.47
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.258
Games played	34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.94%	8.82%	11.76%	2.94%	—	—	26.47%
1	2.94%	29.41%	8.82%	2.94%	2.94%	—	47.06%
2	2.94%	8.82%	2.94%	—	—	—	14.71%
3	5.88%	2.94%	—	—	—	—	8.82%
4	2.94%	—	—	—	—	—	2.94%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	17.65%	50.00%	23.53%	5.88%	2.94%	—	100%

Sparta Rotterdam — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.15
Mean allowed	1.26
StdDev scored	1.02
StdDev allowed	0.93
Mean total goals/game	2.41
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.425
Games played	34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	2.94%	2.94%	—	—	—	5.88%
1	8.82%	14.71%	11.76%	2.94%	—	2.94%	41.18%
2	17.65%	5.88%	8.82%	2.94%	—	2.94%	38.24%
3	—	—	2.94%	2.94%	—	—	5.88%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	5.88%	—	2.94%	—	—	—	8.82%
Total	32.35%	23.53%	29.41%	8.82%	—	5.88%	100%

Twente — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.82
Mean allowed	1.44
StdDev scored	1.31
StdDev allowed	1.52
Mean total goals/game	3.26
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.096
Games played	34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	17.65%
1	11.76%	8.82%	—	—	—	—	20.59%
2	2.94%	14.71%	8.82%	—	—	5.88%	32.35%
3	—	5.88%	8.82%	5.88%	—	—	20.59%
4	5.88%	2.94%	—	—	—	—	8.82%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.47%	38.24%	23.53%	5.88%	—	5.88%	100%

Utrecht — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.82
Mean allowed	1.32
StdDev scored	1.22
StdDev allowed	1.27
Mean total goals/game	3.15
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.175
Games played	34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.94%	11.76%	14.71%	—	2.94%	—	32.35%
1	5.88%	17.65%	14.71%	5.88%	—	—	44.12%
2	2.94%	2.94%	2.94%	5.88%	—	2.94%	17.65%
3	2.94%	—	—	—	—	—	2.94%
4	—	2.94%	—	—	—	—	2.94%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	14.71%	35.29%	32.35%	11.76%	2.94%	2.94%	100%

Willem II — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.00
Mean allowed	1.65
StdDev scored	0.95
StdDev allowed	1.25
Mean total goals/game	2.65
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.000
Games played	34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.94%	14.71%	5.88%	—	2.94%	2.94%	29.41%
1	5.88%	20.59%	5.88%	—	—	2.94%	35.29%
2	5.88%	2.94%	5.88%	—	2.94%	—	17.65%
3	2.94%	8.82%	—	2.94%	—	—	14.71%
4	—	2.94%	—	—	—	—	2.94%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	17.65%	50.00%	17.65%	2.94%	5.88%	5.88%	100%

Zwolle — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.26
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	1.14
StdDev allowed	1.42
Mean total goals/game	2.76
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.160
Games played	34

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Ajax	78	63.4	+14.59
2	Utrecht	64	49.8	+14.23
3	Fortuna Sittard	41	35.7	+5.33
4	Heerenveen	43	38.3	+4.72
5	Go Ahead Eagles	51	46.6	+4.36

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Willem II	26	42.1	-16.07
2	RKC Waalwijk	25	32.9	-7.93
3	Almere City	22	29.3	-7.30
4	Twente	54	60.9	-6.90
5	Sparta Rotterdam	39	45.2	-6.22

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Utrecht	6	Aug 24 – Oct 20	1 in 476
2	Ajax	10	Dec 15 – Mar 9	1 in 102
3	Alkmaar	5	Nov 24 – Dec 21	1 in 35
4	Heerenveen	2	Dec 8 – Dec 14	1 in 34
5	PSV Eindhoven	10	Aug 10 – Oct 26	1 in 32

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Willem II	8	Feb 15 – Apr 27	1 in 1,419
2	Sparta Rotterdam	6	Oct 26 – Dec 7	1 in 780
3	Groningen	6	Sep 22 – Nov 3	1 in 274
4	RKC Waalwijk	8	Aug 10 – Oct 5	1 in 171
5	Alkmaar	3	Sep 29 – Oct 19	1 in 59

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Utrecht	8	Aug 11 – Oct 20	1 in 34
2	Fortuna Sittard	5	Sep 28 – Nov 2	1 in 30
3	Ajax	14	Dec 15 – Apr 13	1 in 29
4	Heracles Almelo	6	Jan 11 – Feb 8	1 in 25
5	Sparta Rotterdam	7	Mar 2 – Apr 27	1 in 23

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sparta Rotterdam	13	Sep 28 – Jan 19	1 in 978
2	Willem II	17	Jan 12 – May 18	1 in 499
3	Alkmaar	7	Mar 2 – Apr 24	1 in 237
4	PSV Eindhoven	4	Feb 1 – Mar 1	1 in 174
5	NAC Breda	15	Jan 25 – May 18	1 in 120

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18
PSV Eindhoven	64.27%	24.90%	7.37%	2.33%	0.88%	0.17%	0.07%	—	0.01%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Ajax	4.77%	15.45%	30.57%	23.96%	14.04%	6.20%	2.59%	1.21%	0.66%	0.26%	0.13%	0.07%	0.07%	—	—	0.01%	—	0.01%
Feyenoord	27.15%	43.05%	17.84%	7.71%	3.03%	0.83%	0.28%	0.04%	0.04%	0.03%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Utrecht	0.07%	0.60%	2.35%	5.93%	11.72%	19.01%	15.53%	13.15%	9.49%	7.50%	4.93%	3.62%	2.52%	1.76%	0.87%	0.50%	0.32%	0.13%
Alkmaar	1.40%	6.55%	17.02%	23.65%	23.86%	12.95%	6.37%	3.71%	2.14%	1.18%	0.63%	0.28%	0.11%	0.09%	0.02%	0.03%	0.01%	—
Twente	2.30%	8.69%	21.71%	25.69%	21.28%	10.30%	5.07%	2.32%	1.27%	0.69%	0.37%	0.14%	0.07%	0.05%	0.04%	0.01%	—	—
Go Ahead Eagles	0.01%	0.23%	0.91%	2.71%	6.22%	11.28%	14.91%	13.70%	12.42%	10.39%	8.38%	6.20%	4.21%	3.32%	2.43%	1.56%	0.79%	0.33%
NEC Nijmegen	0.01%	0.38%	1.31%	4.11%	8.45%	14.11%	15.57%	14.21%	11.93%	8.77%	6.92%	4.97%	3.49%	2.33%	1.57%	1.02%	0.63%	0.22%
Heerenveen	—	—	0.01%	0.27%	0.59%	2.08%	3.47%	5.43%	6.75%	8.31%	9.70%	10.65%	10.69%	10.79%	10.77%	9.02%	7.15%	4.32%
Zwolle	—	0.01%	0.08%	0.28%	1.04%	2.96%	4.53%	6.22%	7.97%	8.91%	10.77%	11.03%	10.70%	9.96%	8.48%	7.77%	5.73%	3.56%
Fortuna Sittard	—	—	0.02%	0.11%	0.20%	0.90%	1.86%	2.69%	4.31%	5.79%	7.02%	9.02%	11.12%	11.68%	12.23%	12.47%	11.71%	8.87%
Sparta Rotterdam	0.01%	0.09%	0.52%	1.74%	4.63%	9.15%	12.18%	13.17%	12.40%	11.40%	9.44%	7.74%	6.14%	4.49%	3.22%	2.02%	1.11%	0.55%
Groningen	—	0.03%	0.10%	0.52%	1.45%	3.84%	6.51%	8.26%	9.99%	10.72%	11.23%	10.47%	9.94%	8.44%	6.89%	5.35%	3.98%	2.28%
Heracles Almelo	—	—	—	0.04%	0.16%	0.42%	1.22%	2.20%	3.20%	4.44%	5.96%	7.61%	9.72%	10.97%	13.23%	14.06%	14.78%	11.99%
NAC Breda	—	—	—	0.10%	0.31%	0.83%	1.57%	2.81%	4.09%	5.43%	7.29%	8.37%	10.34%	12.03%	12.10%	12.72%	12.34%	9.67%
Willem II	0.01%	0.01%	0.19%	0.80%	2.01%	4.47%	7.22%	9.09%	10.53%	11.56%	10.99%	10.45%	9.16%	7.66%	5.86%	5.07%	3.26%	1.66%
RKC Waalwijk	—	0.01%	—	0.05%	0.12%	0.40%	0.76%	1.38%	2.03%	3.13%	4.40%	6.28%	7.59%	10.23%	12.82%	15.38%	18.16%	17.26%
Almere City	—	—	—	—	0.01%	0.10%	0.29%	0.41%	0.77%	1.49%	1.84%	3.10%	4.13%	6.20%	9.47%	13.01%	20.03%	39.15%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Promotion Playoff Bracket

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. Two-leg ties show their aggregate score with each leg listed below the matchup card.

Semifinals

Alkmaar 4

Heerenveen 1

Twente 3

NEC Nijmegen 2

Finals

Alkmaar 3

Twente 2

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team	Same level	Won relegation playoff	Lost relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Feyenoord	100%	—	—	—
PSV Eindhoven	100%	—	—	—
Ajax	100%	<0.1%	—	<0.1%
Twente	100%	—	<0.1%	—
Alkmaar	100%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
Utrecht	99.1%	0.3%	0.2%	0.4%
NEC Nijmegen	98.1%	0.5%	0.5%	0.9%
Go Ahead Eagles	97.3%	0.7%	0.8%	1.1%
Sparta Rotterdam	96.3%	0.9%	1.1%	1.7%
Willem II	90.0%	1.1%	4.0%	4.9%
Groningen	88.4%	2.1%	3.3%	6.3%
Zwolle	82.9%	2.9%	4.9%	9.3%
Heerenveen	79.5%	3.2%	5.8%	11.5%
Fortuna Sittard	67.0%	3.5%	8.9%	20.6%
NAC Breda	65.3%	2.9%	9.8%	22.0%
Heracles Almelo	59.2%	4.2%	9.8%	26.8%
RKC Waalwijk	49.2%	4.1%	11.3%	35.4%
Almere City	27.8%	2.2%	10.8%	59.2%

Loser → ↓ Winner	ADO Den Haag	Ajax	Alkmaar	Almere City	Cambuur	De Graafschap	Den Bosch	Dordrecht	Emmen	Excelsior	FC Eindhoven	Fortuna Sittard	Go Ahead Eagles	Groningen	Heerenveen	Helmond Sport	Heracles Almelo	MVV Maastricht	NAC Breda	NEC Nijmegen	RKC Waalwijk	Roda JC Kerkrade	Sparta Rotterdam	TOP Oss	Telstar	Twente	Utrecht	VVV-Venlo	Volendam	Willem II	Zwolle
ADO Den Haag
Ajax
Alkmaar
Almere City
Cambuur
De Graafschap
Den Bosch
Dordrecht
Emmen
Excelsior
FC Eindhoven
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Helmond Sport
Heracles Almelo
MVV Maastricht
NAC Breda
NEC Nijmegen
RKC Waalwijk
Roda JC Kerkrade
Sparta Rotterdam
TOP Oss
Telstar
Twente
Utrecht
VVV-Venlo
Volendam
Willem II
Zwolle

Loser → ↓ Winner	ADO Den Haag	Almere City	Cambuur	De Graafschap	Den Bosch	Dordrecht	Emmen	Excelsior	FC Eindhoven	Fortuna Sittard	Go Ahead Eagles	Groningen	Heerenveen	Helmond Sport	Heracles Almelo	MVV Maastricht	NAC Breda	NEC Nijmegen	RKC Waalwijk	Roda JC Kerkrade	Sparta Rotterdam	TOP Oss	Telstar	Utrecht	VVV-Venlo	Volendam	Willem II	Zwolle
ADO Den Haag		103.00%								80.00%	12.00%	27.00%	69.00%		92.00%		104.00%	5.00%	108.00%		12.00%			1.00%			37.00%	34.00%
Ajax					1.00%
Alkmaar				1.00%																						2.00%
Almere City	66.00%		40.00%	62.00%	20.00%	48.00%	54.00%	16.00%	17.00%					29.00%		38.00%				72.00%			35.00%		5.00%	51.00%
Cambuur		75.00%								67.00%	7.00%	24.00%	38.00%		74.00%		82.00%	3.00%	80.00%		6.00%						20.00%	42.00%
De Graafschap		92.00%								75.00%	7.00%	26.00%	42.00%		86.00%		86.00%	2.00%	95.00%		9.00%			2.00%			25.00%	38.00%
Den Bosch		13.00%								17.00%	2.00%	3.00%	8.00%		14.00%		6.00%		15.00%		1.00%						7.00%	7.00%
Dordrecht		98.00%								65.00%	5.00%	22.00%	44.00%		82.00%		68.00%	2.00%	112.00%		6.00%			1.00%			29.00%	45.00%
Emmen		51.00%								35.00%	3.00%	15.00%	26.00%		52.00%		44.00%	1.00%	56.00%		3.00%						18.00%	26.00%
Excelsior		57.00%								44.00%		14.00%	21.00%		38.00%		45.00%	3.00%	44.00%		5.00%						19.00%	26.00%
FC Eindhoven		13.00%								8.00%	1.00%	2.00%	3.00%		10.00%		10.00%	1.00%	14.00%		1.00%						4.00%	5.00%
Fortuna Sittard	79.00%		63.00%	61.00%	23.00%	61.00%	62.00%	30.00%	16.00%					52.00%		39.00%				54.00%			40.00%		10.00%	81.00%
Go Ahead Eagles	19.00%		10.00%	12.00%		10.00%	9.00%	4.00%	5.00%					6.00%		7.00%				7.00%			5.00%		1.00%	8.00%
Groningen	34.00%		34.00%	45.00%	13.00%	31.00%	31.00%	11.00%	5.00%					14.00%		24.00%				30.00%			21.00%		5.00%	32.00%
Heerenveen	64.00%		52.00%	67.00%	20.00%	53.00%	54.00%	18.00%	14.00%					30.00%		23.00%				66.00%		1.00%	34.00%		5.00%	45.00%
Helmond Sport		22.00%								26.00%	1.00%	8.00%	9.00%		11.00%		25.00%	1.00%	21.00%		1.00%						4.00%	6.00%
Heracles Almelo	85.00%		78.00%	91.00%	23.00%	66.00%	84.00%	28.00%	21.00%					29.00%		44.00%				63.00%		3.00%	51.00%		12.00%	84.00%
MVV Maastricht		25.00%								19.00%	1.00%	6.00%	10.00%		18.00%		22.00%		23.00%		1.00%						5.00%	10.00%
NAC Breda	53.00%		63.00%	69.00%	24.00%	66.00%	61.00%	14.00%	12.00%					43.00%		36.00%				63.00%		1.00%	28.00%		12.00%	70.00%
NEC Nijmegen	10.00%		9.00%	9.00%	1.00%	7.00%	6.00%	4.00%	3.00%					3.00%		5.00%				4.00%			3.00%		1.00%	7.00%
RKC Waalwijk	72.00%		92.00%	102.00%	32.00%	81.00%	60.00%	27.00%	13.00%					46.00%		50.00%				70.00%		1.00%	47.00%		10.00%	83.00%
Roda JC Kerkrade		49.00%								33.00%	5.00%	9.00%	16.00%		34.00%		33.00%	4.00%	45.00%		7.00%						12.00%	20.00%
Sparta Rotterdam	13.00%		19.00%	19.00%	6.00%	10.00%	7.00%	6.00%	2.00%					14.00%		5.00%				8.00%			12.00%		2.00%	15.00%
TOP Oss		1.00%																										1.00%
Telstar		38.00%								30.00%	4.00%	10.00%	17.00%		39.00%		41.00%	2.00%	36.00%		4.00%			1.00%			17.00%	21.00%
Twente							1.00%
Utrecht	7.00%		8.00%	3.00%	1.00%	6.00%	3.00%	2.00%	2.00%					2.00%		2.00%				2.00%			1.00%			5.00%
VVV-Venlo		3.00%								4.00%		1.00%	3.00%		5.00%		1.00%	2.00%	2.00%								2.00%	2.00%
Volendam		108.00%								73.00%	5.00%	38.00%	50.00%		89.00%		90.00%	4.00%	101.00%		8.00%			1.00%			46.00%	44.00%
Willem II	29.00%		29.00%	24.00%	8.00%	31.00%	26.00%	10.00%	3.00%					18.00%		14.00%				25.00%			15.00%		3.00%	27.00%
Zwolle	54.00%		46.00%	43.00%	12.00%	48.00%	44.00%	16.00%	17.00%					20.00%		31.00%				43.00%			28.00%		3.00%	45.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	ADO Den Haag	Alkmaar	Almere City	Cambuur	De Graafschap	Den Bosch	Dordrecht	Emmen	Excelsior	FC Eindhoven	Fortuna Sittard	Go Ahead Eagles	Groningen	Heerenveen	Helmond Sport	Heracles Almelo	MVV Maastricht	NAC Breda	NEC Nijmegen	RKC Waalwijk	Roda JC Kerkrade	Sparta Rotterdam	TOP Oss	Telstar	Twente	Utrecht	VVV-Venlo	Volendam	Willem II	Zwolle
ADO Den Haag		1.00%	46.00%								35.00%	3.00%	28.00%	29.00%		42.00%		52.00%	6.00%	54.00%		12.00%			1.00%	1.00%			29.00%	21.00%
Ajax	1.00%
Alkmaar							1.00%
Almere City	25.00%			24.00%	23.00%	9.00%	20.00%	16.00%	17.00%	1.00%					12.00%		15.00%				16.00%			14.00%			6.00%	27.00%
Cambuur			44.00%								38.00%	6.00%	11.00%	17.00%		46.00%		37.00%	4.00%	41.00%		5.00%							18.00%	19.00%
De Graafschap			36.00%								40.00%	5.00%	17.00%	28.00%		35.00%		30.00%	1.00%	36.00%		5.00%				1.00%			19.00%	20.00%
Den Bosch			5.00%								3.00%		2.00%	4.00%		6.00%		5.00%	1.00%	7.00%									1.00%	1.00%
Dordrecht			38.00%								43.00%	2.00%	12.00%	25.00%		55.00%		38.00%	2.00%	56.00%		5.00%				2.00%			13.00%	21.00%
Emmen			20.00%								15.00%		1.00%	13.00%		14.00%		20.00%		13.00%		2.00%				1.00%			8.00%	7.00%
Excelsior			33.00%								53.00%	4.00%	16.00%	37.00%		38.00%		36.00%	3.00%	54.00%		4.00%				2.00%			16.00%	18.00%
FC Eindhoven			5.00%								2.00%			3.00%		2.00%		3.00%		2.00%									1.00%	1.00%
Fortuna Sittard	45.00%			30.00%	46.00%	12.00%	43.00%	25.00%	31.00%	4.00%					10.00%		11.00%				28.00%			24.00%			1.00%	45.00%
Go Ahead Eagles	9.00%			7.00%	8.00%	1.00%	9.00%	5.00%	4.00%	1.00%					1.00%		3.00%				8.00%			3.00%				13.00%
Groningen	22.00%			29.00%	20.00%	8.00%	28.00%	11.00%	22.00%	2.00%					6.00%		7.00%				14.00%			10.00%				26.00%
Heerenveen	42.00%			35.00%	49.00%	9.00%	35.00%	21.00%	21.00%	4.00%					9.00%		10.00%				19.00%			21.00%			4.00%	43.00%
Helmond Sport			7.00%								3.00%		1.00%	5.00%		8.00%		11.00%		6.00%		3.00%							4.00%	5.00%
Heracles Almelo	50.00%			44.00%	40.00%	17.00%	64.00%	36.00%	29.00%	2.00%					16.00%		13.00%				25.00%			19.00%			6.00%	60.00%
MVV Maastricht			7.00%								9.00%	2.00%	2.00%	4.00%		15.00%		6.00%		9.00%									4.00%	3.00%
NAC Breda	34.00%			34.00%	30.00%	10.00%	29.00%	25.00%	27.00%	3.00%					12.00%		10.00%				20.00%			22.00%			2.00%	31.00%
NEC Nijmegen	7.00%			5.00%	7.00%		3.00%	5.00%	4.00%						6.00%						4.00%			3.00%			1.00%	6.00%
RKC Waalwijk	49.00%			40.00%	34.00%	12.00%	48.00%	35.00%	25.00%	9.00%					18.00%		18.00%				35.00%			31.00%			2.00%	50.00%
Roda JC Kerkrade			12.00%								18.00%	1.00%	6.00%	9.00%		13.00%		12.00%		12.00%						2.00%			5.00%	2.00%
Sparta Rotterdam	10.00%			6.00%	11.00%	2.00%	11.00%	9.00%	6.00%						6.00%		2.00%				7.00%			7.00%			1.00%	13.00%
TOP Oss
Telstar			23.00%								11.00%	4.00%	7.00%	13.00%		23.00%		16.00%	2.00%	20.00%		1.00%							9.00%	10.00%
Twente
Utrecht	6.00%			6.00%	4.00%		2.00%	2.00%							2.00%		2.00%				4.00%		1.00%	3.00%			1.00%
VVV-Venlo		1.00%	3.00%										1.00%	2.00%						1.00%										1.00%
Volendam			49.00%								46.00%	4.00%	21.00%	35.00%		44.00%		60.00%	2.00%	69.00%		10.00%				2.00%			23.00%	33.00%
Willem II	9.00%			10.00%	8.00%	3.00%	16.00%	11.00%	12.00%	1.00%					4.00%		3.00%				5.00%			7.00%			1.00%	22.00%
Zwolle	40.00%			26.00%	34.00%	11.00%	38.00%	26.00%	14.00%	4.00%					7.00%		11.00%				9.00%			17.00%			1.00%	50.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team	Quarterfinals	Semifinals	Finals
Willem II	—	52.0%	25.0%
ADO Den Haag	55.0%	32.0%	16.0%
Cambuur	69.0%	35.0%	16.0%
Dordrecht	52.0%	23.0%	15.0%
De Graafschap	48.0%	25.0%	14.0%
Telstar	45.0%	23.0%	12.0%
Den Bosch	31.0%	10.0%	2.0%

Loser → ↓ Winner	ADO Den Haag	Cambuur	De Graafschap	Den Bosch	Dordrecht	Telstar	Willem II
ADO Den Haag
Cambuur
De Graafschap
Den Bosch
Dordrecht
Telstar
Willem II

Loser → ↓ Winner	De Graafschap	Dordrecht	Willem II
ADO Den Haag
Cambuur
De Graafschap			25.00%
Den Bosch
Dordrecht			23.00%
Telstar
Willem II	23.00%	29.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	ADO Den Haag	Cambuur	Den Bosch	Telstar	Willem II
ADO Den Haag					8.00%
Cambuur					11.00%
De Graafschap
Den Bosch					1.00%
Dordrecht
Telstar					7.00%
Willem II	7.00%	10.00%	3.00%	5.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2024-08-09	NAC Breda	W 4-1	1818	1770	50.6%	25.7%	23.8%	+9.3	3
2024-08-09	@ Groningen	L 1-4	1770	1818	23.8%	25.7%	50.6%	-9.3	0
2024-08-10	Alkmaar	L 0-1	1753	1940	21.6%	23.9%	54.5%	-3.6	0
2024-08-10	@ Almere City	W 1-0	1940	1753	54.5%	23.9%	21.6%	+3.6	3
2024-08-10	Willem II	D 1-1	2029	1825	72.4%	13.4%	14.3%	-1.9	1
2024-08-10	@ Feyenoord	D 1-1	1825	2029	14.3%	13.4%	72.4%	+1.8	1
2024-08-10	Twente	L 1-2	1857	1945	31.2%	28.7%	40.1%	-4.8	0
2024-08-10	@ NEC Nijmegen	W 2-1	1945	1857	40.1%	28.7%	31.2%	+4.9	3
2024-08-10	RKC Waalwijk	W 5-1	2052	1783	80.0%	8.7%	11.3%	+4.5	3
2024-08-10	@ PSV Eindhoven	L 1-5	1783	2052	11.3%	8.7%	80.0%	-4.5	0
2024-08-11	Heerenveen	W 1-0	1919	1782	63.4%	18.9%	17.7%	+2.8	3
2024-08-11	@ Ajax	L 0-1	1782	1919	17.7%	18.9%	63.4%	-2.8	0
2024-08-11	Fortuna Sittard	L 0-2	1831	1754	54.9%	23.7%	21.4%	-14.6	0
2024-08-11	@ Go Ahead Eagles	W 2-0	1754	1831	21.4%	23.7%	54.9%	+14.6	3
2024-08-11	Heracles Almelo	D 0-0	1859	1752	59.1%	21.4%	19.5%	-1.4	1
2024-08-11	@ Sparta Rotterdam	D 0-0	1752	1859	19.5%	21.4%	59.1%	+1.4	1
2024-08-11	Zwolle	W 1-0	1838	1787	51.0%	25.5%	23.5%	+4.0	3
2024-08-11	@ Utrecht	L 0-1	1787	1838	23.5%	25.5%	51.0%	-4.0	0
2024-08-16	Almere City	W 3-0	1769	1749	46.5%	27.2%	26.3%	+12.2	6
2024-08-16	@ Fortuna Sittard	L 0-3	1749	1769	26.3%	27.2%	46.5%	-12.2	0
2024-08-17	NEC Nijmegen	W 1-0	1944	1852	56.9%	22.6%	20.4%	+3.4	6
2024-08-17	@ Alkmaar	L 0-1	1852	1944	20.4%	22.6%	56.9%	-3.4	0
2024-08-17	Utrecht	D 1-1	1779	1842	34.5%	29.0%	36.5%	+0.0	1
2024-08-17	@ Heerenveen	D 1-1	1842	1779	36.5%	29.0%	34.5%	-0.1	4
2024-08-17	Groningen	L 1-2	1778	1827	36.6%	29.0%	34.4%	-5.5	0
2024-08-17	@ RKC Waalwijk	W 2-1	1827	1778	34.4%	29.0%	36.6%	+5.5	6
2024-08-17	Sparta Rotterdam	D 1-1	1950	1857	57.1%	22.5%	20.4%	-1.2	4
2024-08-17	@ Twente	D 1-1	1857	1950	20.4%	22.5%	57.1%	+1.2	2
2024-08-18	PSV Eindhoven	L 1-3	1753	2056	14.9%	14.5%	70.6%	-3.6	1
2024-08-18	@ Heracles Almelo	W 3-1	2056	1753	70.6%	14.5%	14.9%	+3.6	6
2024-08-18	Ajax	W 2-1	1761	1922	23.7%	25.6%	50.7%	+6.9	3
2024-08-18	@ NAC Breda	L 1-2	1922	1761	50.7%	25.6%	23.7%	-6.9	3
2024-08-18	Go Ahead Eagles	W 2-0	1827	1817	45.1%	27.6%	27.3%	+8.7	4
2024-08-18	@ Willem II	L 0-2	1817	1827	27.3%	27.6%	45.1%	-8.7	0
2024-08-18	Feyenoord	L 1-5	1783	2028	18.0%	19.3%	62.7%	-8.5	0
2024-08-18	@ Zwolle	W 5-1	2028	1783	62.7%	19.3%	18.0%	+8.5	4
2024-08-24	PSV Eindhoven	L 1-7	1737	2060	14.0%	12.9%	73.2%	-8.7	0
2024-08-24	@ Almere City	W 7-1	2060	1737	73.2%	12.9%	14.0%	+8.7	9
2024-08-24	Utrecht	L 1-2	1768	1842	33.0%	28.9%	38.1%	-5.1	3
2024-08-24	@ NAC Breda	W 2-1	1842	1768	38.1%	28.9%	33.0%	+5.1	7
2024-08-24	Zwolle	W 1-0	1849	1775	54.4%	23.9%	21.7%	+3.6	3
2024-08-24	@ NEC Nijmegen	L 0-1	1775	1849	21.7%	23.9%	54.4%	-3.6	0
2024-08-25	RKC Waalwijk	W 2-0	1808	1773	48.8%	26.4%	24.8%	+7.9	3
2024-08-25	@ Go Ahead Eagles	L 0-2	1773	1808	24.8%	26.4%	48.8%	-7.9	0
2024-08-25	Alkmaar	D 0-0	1832	1947	28.1%	27.9%	44.0%	+0.5	7
2024-08-25	@ Groningen	D 0-0	1947	1832	44.0%	27.9%	28.1%	-0.5	7
2024-08-25	Willem II	D 1-1	1750	1836	31.5%	28.7%	39.8%	+0.2	2
2024-08-25	@ Heracles Almelo	D 1-1	1836	1750	39.8%	28.7%	31.5%	-0.2	5
2024-08-25	Feyenoord	D 1-1	1858	2036	22.3%	24.5%	53.2%	+1.0	3
2024-08-25	@ Sparta Rotterdam	D 1-1	2036	1858	53.2%	24.5%	22.3%	-1.0	5
2024-08-30	Alkmaar	L 0-3	1765	1946	22.0%	24.2%	53.7%	-10.2	0
2024-08-30	@ RKC Waalwijk	W 3-0	1946	1765	53.7%	24.2%	22.0%	+10.1	10
2024-08-31	Groningen	D 1-1	1728	1833	29.2%	28.3%	42.5%	+0.4	1
2024-08-31	@ Almere City	D 1-1	1833	1728	42.5%	28.3%	29.2%	-0.4	8
2024-08-31	NEC Nijmegen	L 0-3	1781	1852	33.4%	29.0%	37.7%	-14.8	6
2024-08-31	@ Fortuna Sittard	W 3-0	1852	1781	37.7%	29.0%	33.4%	+14.8	6
2024-08-31	NAC Breda	W 4-0	1779	1763	46.0%	27.4%	26.7%	+16.1	4
2024-08-31	@ Heerenveen	L 0-4	1763	1779	26.7%	27.4%	46.0%	-16.1	3
2024-08-31	Sparta Rotterdam	L 1-2	1835	1859	40.1%	28.7%	31.2%	-5.8	5
2024-08-31	@ Willem II	W 2-1	1859	1835	31.2%	28.7%	40.1%	+5.8	6
2024-09-01	Go Ahead Eagles	W 3-0	2068	1816	78.2%	9.8%	12.1%	+4.5	12
2024-09-01	@ PSV Eindhoven	L 0-3	1816	2068	12.1%	9.8%	78.2%	-4.5	3
2024-09-01	Twente	W 2-1	1847	1949	29.5%	28.3%	42.1%	+6.0	10
2024-09-01	@ Utrecht	L 1-2	1949	1847	42.1%	28.3%	29.5%	-6.0	4
2024-09-01	Heracles Almelo	W 3-0	1771	1750	46.7%	27.1%	26.2%	+12.1	3
2024-09-01	@ Zwolle	L 0-3	1750	1771	26.2%	27.1%	46.7%	-12.1	2
2024-09-14	Heerenveen	W 9-1	1957	1795	66.8%	16.9%	16.4%	+14.2	13
2024-09-14	@ Alkmaar	L 1-9	1795	1957	16.4%	16.9%	66.8%	-14.2	4
2024-09-14	Feyenoord	D 2-2	1832	2035	20.5%	22.7%	56.8%	+0.9	9
2024-09-14	@ Groningen	D 2-2	2035	1832	56.8%	22.7%	20.5%	-0.9	6
2024-09-14	Fortuna Sittard	W 1-0	1747	1766	40.8%	28.6%	30.6%	+5.1	6
2024-09-14	@ NAC Breda	L 0-1	1766	1747	30.6%	28.6%	40.8%	-5.1	6
2024-09-14	NEC Nijmegen	W 2-0	2073	1867	72.6%	13.2%	14.2%	+3.9	15
2024-09-14	@ PSV Eindhoven	L 0-2	1867	2073	14.2%	13.2%	72.6%	-3.9	6
2024-09-14	Zwolle	D 1-1	1943	1783	66.5%	17.0%	16.5%	-1.6	5
2024-09-14	@ Twente	D 1-1	1783	1943	16.5%	17.0%	66.5%	+1.6	4
2024-09-15	Almere City	D 0-0	1738	1729	45.0%	27.7%	27.4%	-0.6	3
2024-09-15	@ Heracles Almelo	D 0-0	1729	1738	27.4%	27.7%	45.0%	+0.6	2
2024-09-15	Go Ahead Eagles	L 1-2	1865	1812	51.5%	25.3%	23.2%	-7.0	6
2024-09-15	@ Sparta Rotterdam	W 2-1	1812	1865	23.2%	25.3%	51.5%	+7.0	6
2024-09-15	RKC Waalwijk	W 3-0	1830	1755	54.5%	23.9%	21.6%	+9.9	8
2024-09-15	@ Willem II	L 0-3	1755	1830	21.6%	23.9%	54.5%	-9.9	0
2024-09-17	Heerenveen	W 2-0	1941	1781	66.6%	17.0%	16.4%	+4.8	8
2024-09-17	@ Twente	L 0-2	1781	1941	16.4%	17.0%	66.6%	-4.8	4
2024-09-18	Fortuna Sittard	W 5-0	1915	1761	65.7%	17.5%	16.8%	+11.5	6
2024-09-18	@ Ajax	L 0-5	1761	1915	16.8%	17.5%	65.7%	-11.5	6
2024-09-20	Alkmaar	L 1-2	1785	1971	21.7%	23.9%	54.4%	-3.4	4
2024-09-20	@ Zwolle	W 2-1	1971	1785	54.4%	23.9%	21.7%	+3.4	16
2024-09-21	Ajax	D 1-1	1819	1926	28.9%	28.2%	43.0%	+0.4	7
2024-09-21	@ Go Ahead Eagles	D 1-1	1926	1819	43.0%	28.2%	28.9%	-0.4	7
2024-09-21	Heracles Almelo	L 1-2	1863	1737	61.8%	19.9%	18.3%	-7.9	6
2024-09-21	@ NEC Nijmegen	W 2-1	1737	1863	18.3%	19.9%	61.8%	+7.9	6
2024-09-21	Sparta Rotterdam	L 1-2	1745	1858	28.2%	28.0%	43.8%	-4.5	0
2024-09-21	@ RKC Waalwijk	W 2-1	1858	1745	43.8%	28.0%	28.2%	+4.5	9
2024-09-21	Willem II	W 3-2	1853	1840	45.6%	27.5%	26.9%	+4.1	13
2024-09-21	@ Utrecht	L 2-3	1840	1853	26.9%	27.5%	45.6%	-4.1	8
2024-09-22	Twente	L 0-5	1729	1946	19.6%	21.6%	58.7%	-14.2	2
2024-09-22	@ Almere City	W 5-0	1946	1729	58.7%	21.6%	19.6%	+14.2	11
2024-09-22	NAC Breda	W 2-0	2034	1752	81.5%	7.8%	10.8%	+2.7	9
2024-09-22	@ Feyenoord	L 0-2	1752	2034	10.8%	7.8%	81.5%	-2.7	6
2024-09-22	PSV Eindhoven	L 1-3	1749	2077	13.8%	12.5%	73.7%	-3.2	6
2024-09-22	@ Fortuna Sittard	W 3-1	2077	1749	73.7%	12.5%	13.8%	+3.2	18
2024-09-22	Groningen	W 2-1	1776	1833	35.3%	29.0%	35.7%	+5.4	7
2024-09-22	@ Heerenveen	L 1-2	1833	1776	35.7%	29.0%	35.3%	-5.4	9
2024-09-27	Heerenveen	W 2-1	1745	1781	38.4%	28.9%	32.7%	+5.0	9
2024-09-27	@ Heracles Almelo	L 1-2	1781	1745	32.7%	28.9%	38.4%	-5.0	7
2024-09-28	Feyenoord	D 1-1	1855	2037	22.0%	24.2%	53.8%	+1.0	7
2024-09-28	@ NEC Nijmegen	D 1-1	2037	1855	53.8%	24.2%	22.0%	-1.0	10
2024-09-28	Fortuna Sittard	D 1-1	1863	1746	60.5%	20.6%	18.9%	-1.3	10
2024-09-28	@ Sparta Rotterdam	D 1-1	1746	1863	18.9%	20.6%	60.5%	+1.3	7
2024-09-28	PSV Eindhoven	L 0-2	1835	2080	18.0%	19.3%	62.7%	-5.4	8
2024-09-28	@ Willem II	W 2-0	2080	1835	62.7%	19.3%	18.0%	+5.4	21
2024-09-29	Utrecht	L 1-2	1974	1857	60.6%	20.6%	18.8%	-7.8	16
2024-09-29	@ Alkmaar	W 2-1	1857	1974	18.8%	20.6%	60.6%	+7.8	16
2024-09-29	Go Ahead Eagles	L 0-1	1828	1819	45.0%	27.7%	27.4%	-6.7	9
2024-09-29	@ Groningen	W 1-0	1819	1828	27.4%	27.7%	45.0%	+6.7	10
2024-09-29	Ajax	L 0-2	1740	1926	21.7%	24.0%	54.3%	-6.9	0
2024-09-29	@ RKC Waalwijk	W 2-0	1926	1740	54.3%	24.0%	21.7%	+6.9	10
2024-09-29	NAC Breda	W 1-0	1960	1749	73.2%	12.8%	14.0%	+2.0	14
2024-09-29	@ Twente	L 0-1	1749	1960	14.0%	12.8%	73.2%	-2.0	6
2024-09-29	Almere City	W 1-0	1781	1715	53.3%	24.5%	22.3%	+3.8	7
2024-09-29	@ Zwolle	L 0-1	1715	1781	22.3%	24.5%	53.3%	-3.8	2
2024-10-04	Willem II	L 0-1	1711	1830	27.7%	27.8%	44.6%	-4.7	2
2024-10-04	@ Almere City	W 1-0	1830	1711	44.6%	27.8%	27.7%	+4.7	11
2024-10-05	NEC Nijmegen	W 1-0	1747	1856	28.7%	28.1%	43.2%	+6.5	9
2024-10-05	@ NAC Breda	L 0-1	1856	1747	43.2%	28.1%	28.7%	-6.5	7
2024-10-05	Sparta Rotterdam	W 2-1	2085	1861	74.8%	11.8%	13.4%	+1.8	24
2024-10-05	@ PSV Eindhoven	L 1-2	1861	2085	13.4%	11.8%	74.8%	-1.8	10
2024-10-05	RKC Waalwijk	W 3-2	1865	1733	62.6%	19.4%	18.0%	+2.6	19
2024-10-05	@ Utrecht	L 2-3	1733	1865	18.0%	19.4%	62.6%	-2.6	0
2024-10-06	Groningen	W 3-1	1933	1821	59.8%	21.1%	19.2%	+5.1	13
2024-10-06	@ Ajax	L 1-3	1821	1933	19.2%	21.1%	59.8%	-5.1	9
2024-10-06	Twente	W 2-1	2036	1962	54.4%	23.9%	21.7%	+3.4	13
2024-10-06	@ Feyenoord	L 1-2	1962	2036	21.7%	23.9%	54.4%	-3.4	14
2024-10-06	Alkmaar	W 1-0	1748	1966	19.5%	21.4%	59.1%	+8.1	10
2024-10-06	@ Fortuna Sittard	L 0-1	1966	1748	59.1%	21.4%	19.5%	-8.1	16
2024-10-06	Heracles Almelo	W 4-1	1826	1750	54.6%	23.8%	21.6%	+8.3	13
2024-10-06	@ Go Ahead Eagles	L 1-4	1750	1826	21.6%	23.8%	54.6%	-8.4	9
2024-10-06	Zwolle	D 1-1	1776	1785	42.4%	28.3%	29.3%	-0.4	8
2024-10-06	@ Heerenveen	D 1-1	1785	1776	29.3%	28.3%	42.4%	+0.4	8
2024-10-19	PSV Eindhoven	L 1-2	1958	2087	26.6%	27.3%	46.1%	-4.2	16
2024-10-19	@ Alkmaar	W 2-1	2087	1958	46.1%	27.3%	26.6%	+4.2	27
2024-10-19	Feyenoord	L 1-5	1834	2039	20.3%	22.5%	57.1%	-10.0	13
2024-10-19	@ Go Ahead Eagles	W 5-1	2039	1834	57.1%	22.5%	20.3%	+10.1	16
2024-10-19	Heerenveen	W 3-0	1850	1776	54.4%	23.9%	21.7%	+10.0	10
2024-10-19	@ NEC Nijmegen	L 0-3	1776	1850	21.7%	23.9%	54.4%	-10.0	8
2024-10-19	Twente	D 2-2	1731	1959	18.9%	20.7%	60.3%	+1.0	1
2024-10-19	@ RKC Waalwijk	D 2-2	1959	1731	60.3%	20.7%	18.9%	-1.0	15
2024-10-19	Almere City	D 2-2	1860	1707	65.5%	17.6%	16.8%	-1.2	11
2024-10-19	@ Sparta Rotterdam	D 2-2	1707	1860	16.8%	17.6%	65.5%	+1.2	3
2024-10-20	Utrecht	L 0-1	1816	1867	36.2%	29.0%	34.8%	-5.8	9
2024-10-20	@ Groningen	W 1-0	1867	1816	34.8%	29.0%	36.2%	+5.7	22
2024-10-20	Ajax	L 3-4	1742	1938	21.0%	23.2%	55.8%	-3.0	9
2024-10-20	@ Heracles Almelo	W 4-3	1938	1742	55.8%	23.2%	21.0%	+3.0	16
2024-10-20	Fortuna Sittard	D 0-0	1835	1756	55.1%	23.6%	21.3%	-1.2	12
2024-10-20	@ Willem II	D 0-0	1756	1835	21.3%	23.6%	55.1%	+1.2	11
2024-10-20	NAC Breda	L 1-2	1785	1753	48.3%	26.6%	25.1%	-6.7	8
2024-10-20	@ Zwolle	W 2-1	1753	1785	25.1%	26.6%	48.3%	+6.7	12
2024-10-25	NEC Nijmegen	W 1-0	1708	1860	24.4%	26.2%	49.4%	+7.2	6
2024-10-25	@ Almere City	L 0-1	1860	1708	49.4%	26.2%	24.4%	-7.2	10
2024-10-26	Groningen	W 1-0	1757	1810	35.9%	29.0%	35.1%	+5.6	14
2024-10-26	@ Fortuna Sittard	L 0-1	1810	1757	35.1%	29.0%	35.9%	-5.6	9
2024-10-26	Sparta Rotterdam	W 2-0	1766	1858	30.6%	28.6%	40.8%	+11.8	11
2024-10-26	@ Heerenveen	L 0-2	1858	1766	40.8%	28.6%	30.6%	-11.8	11
2024-10-26	RKC Waalwijk	W 4-1	1760	1732	47.8%	26.8%	25.5%	+10.0	15
2024-10-26	@ NAC Breda	L 1-4	1732	1760	25.5%	26.8%	47.8%	-10.0	1
2024-10-26	Zwolle	W 6-0	2091	1779	84.4%	6.1%	9.5%	+6.3	30
2024-10-26	@ PSV Eindhoven	L 0-6	1779	2091	9.5%	6.1%	84.4%	-6.3	8
2024-10-27	Willem II	W 1-0	1941	1834	59.2%	21.4%	19.4%	+3.2	19
2024-10-27	@ Ajax	L 0-1	1834	1941	19.4%	21.4%	59.2%	-3.2	12
2024-10-27	Go Ahead Eagles	D 2-2	1954	1824	62.4%	19.5%	18.1%	-1.1	17
2024-10-27	@ Alkmaar	D 2-2	1824	1954	18.1%	19.5%	62.4%	+1.1	14
2024-10-27	Heracles Almelo	W 5-0	1958	1739	74.2%	12.2%	13.6%	+8.5	18
2024-10-27	@ Twente	L 0-5	1739	1958	13.6%	12.2%	74.2%	-8.5	9
2024-10-27	Feyenoord	L 0-2	1873	2049	22.4%	24.6%	53.0%	-7.1	22
2024-10-27	@ Utrecht	W 2-0	2049	1873	53.0%	24.6%	22.4%	+7.1	19
2024-10-30	Ajax	L 0-2	2057	1944	59.9%	21.0%	19.1%	-15.5	19
2024-10-30	@ Feyenoord	W 2-0	1944	2057	19.1%	21.0%	59.9%	+15.5	22
2024-11-02	PSV Eindhoven	W 3-2	1959	2098	25.7%	26.9%	47.4%	+6.2	25
2024-11-02	@ Ajax	L 2-3	2098	1959	47.4%	26.9%	25.7%	-6.2	30
2024-11-02	Alkmaar	W 3-2	2041	1953	56.4%	22.9%	20.7%	+3.1	22
2024-11-02	@ Feyenoord	L 2-3	1953	2041	20.7%	22.9%	56.4%	-3.1	17
2024-11-02	Heerenveen	W 3-0	1763	1778	41.4%	28.5%	30.1%	+13.7	17
2024-11-02	@ Fortuna Sittard	L 0-3	1778	1763	30.1%	28.5%	41.4%	-13.7	11
2024-11-02	NAC Breda	W 2-0	1730	1770	37.8%	28.9%	33.2%	+10.2	12
2024-11-02	@ Heracles Almelo	L 0-2	1770	1730	33.2%	28.9%	37.8%	-10.2	15
2024-11-02	Twente	L 0-1	1830	1966	25.9%	27.0%	47.1%	-4.4	12
2024-11-02	@ Willem II	W 1-0	1966	1830	47.1%	27.0%	25.9%	+4.4	21
2024-11-03	Zwolle	D 2-2	1825	1772	51.3%	25.4%	23.3%	-0.7	15
2024-11-03	@ Go Ahead Eagles	D 2-2	1772	1825	23.3%	25.4%	51.3%	+0.7	9
2024-11-03	Groningen	W 6-0	1853	1805	50.6%	25.7%	23.7%	+21.0	13
2024-11-03	@ NEC Nijmegen	L 0-6	1805	1853	23.7%	25.7%	50.6%	-21.0	9
2024-11-03	Almere City	W 2-0	1722	1715	44.6%	27.8%	27.6%	+8.8	4
2024-11-03	@ RKC Waalwijk	L 0-2	1715	1722	27.6%	27.8%	44.6%	-8.8	6
2024-11-03	Utrecht	L 1-4	1847	1866	40.8%	28.6%	30.6%	-14.5	11
2024-11-03	@ Sparta Rotterdam	W 4-1	1866	1847	30.6%	28.6%	40.8%	+14.5	25
2024-11-08	Heracles Almelo	W 1-0	1880	1740	63.8%	18.7%	17.5%	+2.8	28
2024-11-08	@ Utrecht	L 0-1	1740	1880	17.5%	18.7%	63.8%	-2.8	12
2024-11-09	Sparta Rotterdam	W 1-0	1784	1832	36.6%	29.0%	34.4%	+5.5	12
2024-11-09	@ Groningen	L 0-1	1832	1784	34.4%	29.0%	36.6%	-5.5	11
2024-11-09	PSV Eindhoven	L 0-3	1760	2092	13.6%	12.2%	74.3%	-5.3	15
2024-11-09	@ NAC Breda	W 3-0	2092	1760	74.3%	12.2%	13.6%	+5.3	33
2024-11-09	NEC Nijmegen	L 0-3	1731	1874	25.2%	26.6%	48.1%	-11.7	4
2024-11-09	@ RKC Waalwijk	W 3-0	1874	1731	48.1%	26.6%	25.2%	+11.7	16
2024-11-09	Fortuna Sittard	W 3-1	1773	1776	43.2%	28.1%	28.7%	+7.9	12
2024-11-09	@ Zwolle	L 1-3	1776	1773	28.7%	28.1%	43.2%	-7.8	17
2024-11-10	Willem II	L 1-2	1950	1826	61.5%	20.0%	18.4%	-7.9	17
2024-11-10	@ Alkmaar	W 2-1	1826	1950	18.4%	20.0%	61.5%	+7.9	15
2024-11-10	Feyenoord	L 1-4	1706	2044	13.3%	11.7%	75.0%	-4.3	6
2024-11-10	@ Almere City	W 4-1	2044	1706	75.0%	11.7%	13.3%	+4.3	25
2024-11-10	Go Ahead Eagles	W 1-0	1764	1824	34.9%	29.0%	36.1%	+5.7	14
2024-11-10	@ Heerenveen	L 0-1	1824	1764	36.1%	29.0%	34.9%	-5.7	15
2024-11-10	Ajax	D 2-2	1970	1966	44.4%	27.8%	27.8%	-0.4	22
2024-11-10	@ Twente	D 2-2	1966	1970	27.8%	27.8%	44.4%	+0.4	26
2024-11-23	Heerenveen	W 3-0	2048	1770	81.0%	8.0%	10.9%	+3.9	28
2024-11-23	@ Feyenoord	L 0-3	1770	2048	10.9%	8.0%	81.0%	-3.9	14
2024-11-23	Twente	L 1-2	1768	1970	20.6%	22.8%	56.6%	-3.2	17
2024-11-23	@ Fortuna Sittard	W 2-1	1970	1768	56.6%	22.8%	20.6%	+3.2	25
2024-11-23	Almere City	W 3-0	1819	1702	60.5%	20.6%	18.9%	+8.4	18
2024-11-23	@ Go Ahead Eagles	L 0-3	1702	1819	18.9%	20.6%	60.5%	-8.4	6
2024-11-23	RKC Waalwijk	D 2-2	1738	1719	46.4%	27.2%	26.4%	-0.5	13
2024-11-23	@ Heracles Almelo	D 2-2	1719	1738	26.4%	27.2%	46.4%	+0.5	5
2024-11-23	Groningen	W 5-0	2097	1789	83.9%	6.4%	9.7%	+5.5	36
2024-11-23	@ PSV Eindhoven	L 0-5	1789	2097	9.7%	6.4%	83.9%	-5.5	12
2024-11-24	Zwolle	W 2-0	1966	1781	69.9%	14.9%	15.2%	+4.3	29
2024-11-24	@ Ajax	L 0-2	1781	1966	15.2%	14.9%	69.9%	-4.3	12
2024-11-24	Utrecht	L 1-2	1885	1883	44.0%	27.9%	28.1%	-6.2	16
2024-11-24	@ NEC Nijmegen	W 2-1	1883	1885	28.1%	27.9%	44.0%	+6.2	31
2024-11-24	Alkmaar	L 1-2	1827	1942	28.0%	27.9%	44.1%	-4.4	11
2024-11-24	@ Sparta Rotterdam	W 2-1	1942	1827	44.1%	27.9%	28.0%	+4.4	20
2024-11-24	NAC Breda	D 2-2	1834	1755	55.1%	23.5%	21.3%	-0.8	16
2024-11-24	@ Willem II	D 2-2	1755	1834	21.3%	23.5%	55.1%	+0.8	16
2024-11-29	RKC Waalwijk	D 1-1	1766	1719	50.4%	25.8%	23.9%	-0.8	15
2024-11-29	@ Heerenveen	D 1-1	1719	1766	23.9%	25.8%	50.4%	+0.8	6
2024-11-30	Fortuna Sittard	D 1-1	2052	1765	81.9%	7.5%	10.6%	-2.2	29
2024-11-30	@ Feyenoord	D 1-1	1765	2052	10.6%	7.5%	81.9%	+2.2	18
2024-11-30	Willem II	W 2-0	1784	1833	36.5%	29.0%	34.5%	+10.5	15
2024-11-30	@ Groningen	L 0-2	1833	1784	34.5%	29.0%	36.5%	-10.5	16
2024-11-30	Almere City	W 1-0	1755	1694	52.6%	24.8%	22.6%	+3.8	19
2024-11-30	@ NAC Breda	L 0-1	1694	1755	22.6%	24.8%	52.6%	-3.8	6
2024-11-30	Sparta Rotterdam	W 1-0	1777	1822	37.0%	29.0%	34.0%	+5.5	15
2024-11-30	@ Zwolle	L 0-1	1822	1777	34.0%	29.0%	37.0%	-5.5	11
2024-12-01	Heracles Almelo	W 1-0	1946	1737	73.0%	13.0%	14.0%	+2.0	23
2024-12-01	@ Alkmaar	L 0-1	1737	1946	14.0%	13.0%	73.0%	-2.0	13
2024-12-01	Ajax	L 1-2	1879	1970	30.8%	28.6%	40.6%	-4.8	16
2024-12-01	@ NEC Nijmegen	W 2-1	1970	1879	40.6%	28.6%	30.8%	+4.8	32
2024-12-01	Go Ahead Eagles	W 3-2	1973	1827	64.6%	18.2%	17.2%	+2.4	28
2024-12-01	@ Twente	L 2-3	1827	1973	17.2%	18.2%	64.6%	-2.4	18
2024-12-01	PSV Eindhoven	L 2-5	1889	2102	19.9%	21.9%	58.2%	-6.5	31
2024-12-01	@ Utrecht	W 5-2	2102	1889	58.2%	21.9%	19.9%	+6.5	39
2024-12-04	Utrecht	D 2-2	1975	1883	57.0%	22.6%	20.4%	-0.9	33
2024-12-04	@ Ajax	D 2-2	1883	1975	20.4%	22.6%	57.0%	+0.9	32
2024-12-06	Twente	W 6-1	2109	1976	62.8%	19.3%	17.9%	+10.4	42
2024-12-06	@ PSV Eindhoven	L 1-6	1976	2109	17.9%	19.3%	62.8%	-10.4	28
2024-12-07	NEC Nijmegen	W 5-0	1825	1874	36.4%	29.0%	34.6%	+24.5	21
2024-12-07	@ Go Ahead Eagles	L 0-5	1874	1825	34.6%	29.0%	36.4%	-24.5	16
2024-12-07	Fortuna Sittard	D 2-2	1735	1767	39.0%	28.8%	32.2%	-0.2	14
2024-12-07	@ Heracles Almelo	D 2-2	1767	1735	32.2%	28.8%	39.0%	+0.1	19
2024-12-07	Feyenoord	L 2-3	1720	2050	13.6%	12.3%	74.1%	-1.7	6
2024-12-07	@ RKC Waalwijk	W 3-2	2050	1720	74.1%	12.3%	13.6%	+1.7	32
2024-12-07	NAC Breda	L 0-2	1817	1759	52.0%	25.1%	22.9%	-14.1	11
2024-12-07	@ Sparta Rotterdam	W 2-0	1759	1817	22.9%	25.1%	52.0%	+14.1	22
2024-12-08	Ajax	W 2-1	1948	1974	39.9%	28.7%	31.4%	+4.9	26
2024-12-08	@ Alkmaar	L 1-2	1974	1948	31.4%	28.7%	39.9%	-4.9	33
2024-12-08	Utrecht	L 1-3	1690	1884	21.1%	23.4%	55.5%	-5.8	6
2024-12-08	@ Almere City	W 3-1	1884	1690	55.5%	23.4%	21.1%	+5.8	35
2024-12-08	Zwolle	D 0-0	1794	1782	45.4%	27.5%	27.1%	-0.6	16
2024-12-08	@ Groningen	D 0-0	1782	1794	27.1%	27.5%	45.4%	+0.6	16
2024-12-08	Heerenveen	L 1-2	1823	1765	52.0%	25.0%	22.9%	-7.0	16
2024-12-08	@ Willem II	W 2-1	1765	1823	22.9%	25.0%	52.0%	+7.0	18
2024-12-13	Willem II	L 0-1	1783	1816	38.9%	28.8%	32.3%	-6.0	16
2024-12-13	@ Zwolle	W 1-0	1816	1783	32.3%	28.8%	38.9%	+6.0	19
2024-12-14	Heracles Almelo	W 5-2	2052	1735	84.7%	5.9%	9.4%	+2.4	35
2024-12-14	@ Feyenoord	L 2-5	1735	2052	9.4%	5.9%	84.7%	-2.4	14
2024-12-14	RKC Waalwijk	W 3-2	1768	1719	50.8%	25.6%	23.6%	+3.6	22
2024-12-14	@ Fortuna Sittard	L 2-3	1719	1768	23.6%	25.6%	50.8%	-3.6	6
2024-12-14	PSV Eindhoven	W 1-0	1772	2119	12.8%	11.0%	76.2%	+9.5	21
2024-12-14	@ Heerenveen	L 0-1	2119	1772	76.2%	11.0%	12.8%	-9.5	42
2024-12-15	Almere City	W 3-0	1969	1684	81.7%	7.6%	10.6%	+3.8	36
2024-12-15	@ Ajax	L 0-3	1684	1969	10.6%	7.6%	81.7%	-3.8	6
2024-12-15	Alkmaar	L 1-2	1773	1953	22.1%	24.3%	53.5%	-3.5	22
2024-12-15	@ NAC Breda	W 2-1	1953	1773	53.5%	24.3%	22.1%	+3.5	29
2024-12-15	Sparta Rotterdam	D 1-1	1850	1803	50.5%	25.7%	23.8%	-0.8	17
2024-12-15	@ NEC Nijmegen	D 1-1	1803	1850	23.8%	25.7%	50.5%	+0.8	12
2024-12-15	Groningen	W 2-0	1965	1794	68.1%	16.0%	15.9%	+4.5	31
2024-12-15	@ Twente	L 0-2	1794	1965	15.9%	16.0%	68.1%	-4.5	16
2024-12-15	Go Ahead Eagles	D 3-3	1889	1849	49.5%	26.1%	24.4%	-0.5	36
2024-12-15	@ Utrecht	D 3-3	1849	1889	24.4%	26.1%	49.5%	+0.5	22
2024-12-20	Zwolle	D 1-1	1715	1777	34.7%	29.0%	36.3%	+0.0	7
2024-12-20	@ RKC Waalwijk	D 1-1	1777	1715	36.3%	29.0%	34.7%	-0.0	17
2024-12-21	Twente	W 1-0	1957	1970	41.8%	28.4%	29.8%	+5.0	32
2024-12-21	@ Alkmaar	L 0-1	1970	1957	29.8%	28.4%	41.8%	-5.0	31
2024-12-21	Heerenveen	W 3-0	1680	1781	29.6%	28.4%	42.0%	+17.5	9
2024-12-21	@ Almere City	L 0-3	1781	1680	42.0%	28.4%	29.6%	-17.5	21
2024-12-21	NAC Breda	W 2-1	1850	1770	55.2%	23.5%	21.3%	+3.3	25
2024-12-21	@ Go Ahead Eagles	L 1-2	1770	1850	21.3%	23.5%	55.2%	-3.3	22
2024-12-22	Feyenoord	W 3-0	2110	2054	51.7%	25.2%	23.1%	+10.7	45
2024-12-22	@ PSV Eindhoven	L 0-3	2054	2110	23.1%	25.2%	51.7%	-10.7	35
2024-12-22	Ajax	L 0-2	1804	1973	22.9%	25.1%	52.0%	-7.3	12
2024-12-22	@ Sparta Rotterdam	W 2-0	1973	1804	52.0%	25.1%	22.9%	+7.3	39
2024-12-22	Fortuna Sittard	L 2-5	1889	1771	60.7%	20.5%	18.8%	-16.6	36
2024-12-22	@ Utrecht	W 5-2	1771	1889	18.8%	20.5%	60.7%	+16.6	25
2024-12-22	NEC Nijmegen	W 4-1	1822	1849	39.6%	28.8%	31.6%	+12.0	22
2024-12-22	@ Willem II	L 1-4	1849	1822	31.6%	28.8%	39.6%	-12.0	17
2025-01-10	Go Ahead Eagles	L 0-3	1788	1853	34.2%	29.0%	36.8%	-15.1	25
2025-01-10	@ Fortuna Sittard	W 3-0	1853	1788	36.8%	29.0%	34.2%	+15.1	28
2025-01-11	RKC Waalwijk	W 2-1	1981	1715	79.6%	8.9%	11.5%	+1.5	42
2025-01-11	@ Ajax	L 1-2	1715	1981	11.5%	8.9%	79.6%	-1.5	7
2025-01-11	Sparta Rotterdam	D 1-1	1733	1796	34.4%	29.0%	36.5%	+0.1	15
2025-01-11	@ Heracles Almelo	D 1-1	1796	1733	36.5%	29.0%	34.4%	-0.1	13
2025-01-11	Alkmaar	D 2-2	2120	1962	66.3%	17.1%	16.5%	-1.2	46
2025-01-11	@ PSV Eindhoven	D 2-2	1962	2120	16.5%	17.1%	66.3%	+1.2	33
2025-01-11	NEC Nijmegen	L 0-1	1777	1837	34.9%	29.0%	36.1%	-5.6	17
2025-01-11	@ Zwolle	W 1-0	1837	1777	36.1%	29.0%	34.9%	+5.6	20
2025-01-12	Utrecht	L 1-2	2044	1872	68.0%	16.1%	15.9%	-8.4	35
2025-01-12	@ Feyenoord	W 2-1	1872	2044	15.9%	16.1%	68.0%	+8.4	39
2025-01-12	Almere City	D 0-0	1789	1698	56.9%	22.6%	20.5%	-1.3	17
2025-01-12	@ Groningen	D 0-0	1698	1789	20.5%	22.6%	56.9%	+1.3	10
2025-01-12	Heerenveen	L 2-4	1766	1764	44.0%	27.9%	28.1%	-9.7	22
2025-01-12	@ NAC Breda	W 4-2	1764	1766	28.1%	27.9%	44.0%	+9.7	24
2025-01-12	Willem II	W 6-2	1965	1834	62.6%	19.4%	18.0%	+7.3	34
2025-01-12	@ Twente	L 2-6	1834	1965	18.0%	19.4%	62.6%	-7.3	22
2025-01-18	Groningen	W 2-1	1868	1788	55.3%	23.5%	21.2%	+3.4	31
2025-01-18	@ Go Ahead Eagles	L 1-2	1788	1868	21.2%	23.5%	55.3%	-3.3	17
2025-01-18	Alkmaar	D 0-0	1881	1963	31.9%	28.8%	39.3%	+0.2	40
2025-01-18	@ Utrecht	D 0-0	1963	1881	39.3%	28.8%	31.9%	-0.2	34
2025-01-18	Feyenoord	D 1-1	1826	2035	20.1%	22.2%	57.7%	+1.2	23
2025-01-18	@ Willem II	D 1-1	2035	1826	57.7%	22.2%	20.1%	-1.2	36
2025-01-18	PSV Eindhoven	W 3-1	1771	2119	12.8%	10.9%	76.3%	+15.6	20
2025-01-18	@ Zwolle	L 1-3	2119	1771	76.3%	10.9%	12.8%	-15.6	46
2025-01-19	Heracles Almelo	L 0-2	1699	1733	38.7%	28.9%	32.4%	-11.4	10
2025-01-19	@ Almere City	W 2-0	1733	1699	32.4%	28.9%	38.7%	+11.4	18
2025-01-19	Ajax	L 0-2	1774	1982	20.2%	22.3%	57.6%	-6.3	24
2025-01-19	@ Heerenveen	W 2-0	1982	1774	57.6%	22.3%	20.2%	+6.3	45
2025-01-19	Twente	W 2-1	1757	1972	19.7%	21.7%	58.6%	+7.6	25
2025-01-19	@ NAC Breda	L 1-2	1972	1757	58.6%	21.7%	19.7%	-7.6	34
2025-01-19	Fortuna Sittard	W 4-1	1843	1773	53.8%	24.2%	22.0%	+8.5	23
2025-01-19	@ NEC Nijmegen	L 1-4	1773	1843	22.0%	24.2%	53.8%	-8.5	25
2025-01-19	RKC Waalwijk	D 1-1	1796	1714	55.6%	23.3%	21.1%	-1.1	14
2025-01-19	@ Sparta Rotterdam	D 1-1	1714	1796	21.1%	23.3%	55.6%	+1.1	8
2025-01-24	Utrecht	D 1-1	1744	1881	25.8%	26.9%	47.2%	+0.7	19
2025-01-24	@ Heracles Almelo	D 1-1	1881	1744	47.2%	26.9%	25.8%	-0.7	41
2025-01-25	Heerenveen	W 1-0	1784	1767	46.1%	27.3%	26.6%	+4.5	20
2025-01-25	@ Groningen	L 0-1	1767	1784	26.6%	27.3%	46.1%	-4.5	24
2025-01-25	NAC Breda	W 3-2	2104	1764	86.7%	4.9%	8.5%	+0.9	49
2025-01-25	@ PSV Eindhoven	L 2-3	1764	2104	8.5%	4.9%	86.7%	-1.0	25
2025-01-26	Sparta Rotterdam	L 1-2	1963	1795	67.6%	16.4%	16.1%	-8.4	34
2025-01-26	@ Alkmaar	W 2-1	1795	1963	16.1%	16.4%	67.6%	+8.4	17
2025-01-26	Zwolle	L 1-4	1764	1787	40.4%	28.7%	31.0%	-14.3	25
2025-01-26	@ Fortuna Sittard	W 4-1	1787	1764	31.0%	28.7%	40.4%	+14.3	23
2025-01-26	Willem II	W 2-0	1715	1827	28.3%	28.0%	43.7%	+12.4	11
2025-01-26	@ RKC Waalwijk	L 0-2	1827	1715	43.7%	28.0%	28.3%	-12.4	23
2025-01-28	Groningen	D 1-1	1745	1789	37.2%	29.0%	33.8%	-0.1	20
2025-01-28	@ Heracles Almelo	D 1-1	1789	1745	33.8%	29.0%	37.2%	+0.1	21
2025-01-31	Heracles Almelo	D 1-1	1763	1745	46.4%	27.2%	26.4%	-0.6	26
2025-01-31	@ NAC Breda	D 1-1	1745	1763	26.4%	27.2%	46.4%	+0.6	21
2025-02-01	Fortuna Sittard	D 2-2	1763	1750	45.6%	27.5%	27.0%	-0.4	25
2025-02-01	@ Heerenveen	D 2-2	1750	1763	27.0%	27.5%	45.6%	+0.4	26
2025-02-01	PSV Eindhoven	D 3-3	1851	2105	17.5%	18.6%	63.9%	+0.9	24
2025-02-01	@ NEC Nijmegen	D 3-3	2105	1851	63.9%	18.6%	17.5%	-0.9	50
2025-02-01	Utrecht	D 3-3	1801	1880	32.3%	28.9%	38.9%	+0.1	24
2025-02-01	@ Zwolle	D 3-3	1880	1801	38.9%	28.9%	32.3%	-0.1	42
2025-02-02	Feyenoord	W 2-1	1988	2034	37.0%	29.0%	34.0%	+5.2	48
2025-02-02	@ Ajax	L 1-2	2034	1988	34.0%	29.0%	37.0%	-5.2	36
2025-02-02	RKC Waalwijk	L 1-4	1688	1727	37.9%	28.9%	33.1%	-13.7	10
2025-02-02	@ Almere City	W 4-1	1727	1688	33.1%	28.9%	37.9%	+13.7	14
2025-02-02	Twente	D 2-2	1871	1965	30.6%	28.6%	40.8%	+0.2	32
2025-02-02	@ Go Ahead Eagles	D 2-2	1965	1871	40.8%	28.6%	30.6%	-0.2	35
2025-02-02	Groningen	W 1-0	1803	1789	45.8%	27.4%	26.8%	+4.5	20
2025-02-02	@ Sparta Rotterdam	L 0-1	1789	1803	26.8%	27.4%	45.8%	-4.5	21
2025-02-02	Alkmaar	L 0-2	1815	1954	25.6%	26.8%	47.6%	-8.2	23
2025-02-02	@ Willem II	W 2-0	1954	1815	47.6%	26.8%	25.6%	+8.2	37
2025-02-08	Sparta Rotterdam	W 3-0	2029	1808	74.5%	12.1%	13.5%	+5.2	39
2025-02-08	@ Feyenoord	L 0-3	1808	2029	13.5%	12.1%	74.5%	-5.2	20
2025-02-08	NEC Nijmegen	W 2-1	1784	1852	33.9%	29.0%	37.1%	+5.5	24
2025-02-08	@ Groningen	L 1-2	1852	1784	37.1%	29.0%	33.9%	-5.5	24
2025-02-08	Go Ahead Eagles	W 4-2	1745	1872	26.9%	27.4%	45.7%	+9.9	24
2025-02-08	@ Heracles Almelo	L 2-4	1872	1745	45.7%	27.4%	26.9%	-9.9	32
2025-02-08	Willem II	D 1-1	2104	1807	82.8%	7.0%	10.2%	-2.2	51
2025-02-08	@ PSV Eindhoven	D 1-1	1807	2104	10.2%	7.0%	82.8%	+2.2	24
2025-02-09	Zwolle	W 2-0	1963	1801	66.7%	16.9%	16.4%	+4.8	40
2025-02-09	@ Alkmaar	L 0-2	1801	1963	16.4%	16.9%	66.7%	-4.7	24
2025-02-09	Ajax	L 0-2	1750	1993	18.0%	19.4%	62.5%	-5.4	26
2025-02-09	@ Fortuna Sittard	W 2-0	1993	1750	62.5%	19.4%	18.0%	+5.4	51
2025-02-09	Twente	D 3-3	1762	1964	20.6%	22.8%	56.7%	+0.7	26
2025-02-09	@ Heerenveen	D 3-3	1964	1762	56.7%	22.8%	20.6%	-0.7	36
2025-02-09	NAC Breda	W 5-0	1741	1763	40.4%	28.6%	30.9%	+22.5	17
2025-02-09	@ RKC Waalwijk	L 0-5	1763	1741	30.9%	28.6%	40.4%	-22.5	26
2025-02-09	Almere City	L 0-1	1880	1674	72.6%	13.2%	14.2%	-9.3	42
2025-02-09	@ Utrecht	W 1-0	1674	1880	14.2%	13.2%	72.6%	+9.3	13
2025-02-14	Sparta Rotterdam	W 1-0	1862	1803	52.2%	24.9%	22.8%	+3.9	35
2025-02-14	@ Go Ahead Eagles	L 0-1	1803	1862	22.8%	24.9%	52.2%	-3.9	20
2025-02-15	Feyenoord	D 0-0	1740	2034	15.4%	15.2%	69.4%	+2.0	27
2025-02-15	@ NAC Breda	D 0-0	2034	1740	69.4%	15.2%	15.4%	-1.9	40
2025-02-15	Utrecht	D 2-2	2101	1871	75.6%	11.3%	13.1%	-1.5	52
2025-02-15	@ PSV Eindhoven	D 2-2	1871	2101	13.1%	11.3%	75.6%	+1.5	43
2025-02-15	Groningen	L 1-3	1809	1790	46.5%	27.2%	26.3%	-11.2	24
2025-02-15	@ Willem II	W 3-1	1790	1809	26.3%	27.2%	46.5%	+11.2	27
2025-02-16	Heracles Almelo	W 4-0	1999	1755	77.2%	10.4%	12.5%	+6.1	54
2025-02-16	@ Ajax	L 0-4	1755	1999	12.5%	10.4%	77.2%	-6.1	24
2025-02-16	Almere City	D 2-2	1846	1683	67.0%	16.7%	16.3%	-1.2	25
2025-02-16	@ NEC Nijmegen	D 2-2	1683	1846	16.3%	16.7%	67.0%	+1.2	14
2025-02-16	RKC Waalwijk	W 2-0	1964	1763	71.9%	13.7%	14.5%	+4.0	39
2025-02-16	@ Twente	L 0-2	1763	1964	14.5%	13.7%	71.9%	-4.0	17
2025-02-16	Heerenveen	D 1-1	1796	1763	48.5%	26.5%	25.0%	-0.7	25
2025-02-16	@ Zwolle	D 1-1	1763	1796	25.0%	26.5%	48.5%	+0.7	27
2025-02-22	Almere City	W 2-1	2032	1685	87.3%	4.5%	8.2%	+1.0	43
2025-02-22	@ Feyenoord	L 1-2	1685	2032	8.2%	4.5%	87.3%	-1.0	14
2025-02-23	Go Ahead Eagles	W 2-0	2005	1866	63.7%	18.7%	17.6%	+5.2	57
2025-02-23	@ Ajax	L 0-2	1866	2005	17.6%	18.7%	63.7%	-5.2	35
2025-02-23	NEC Nijmegen	W 2-0	1968	1845	61.3%	20.2%	18.5%	+5.6	42
2025-02-23	@ Twente	L 0-2	1845	1968	18.5%	20.2%	61.3%	-5.6	25
2025-02-23	Fortuna Sittard	W 1-0	1967	1745	74.7%	11.9%	13.4%	+1.9	43
2025-02-23	@ Alkmaar	L 0-1	1745	1967	13.4%	11.9%	74.7%	-1.9	26
2025-02-28	Fortuna Sittard	L 1-2	1759	1743	46.1%	27.3%	26.6%	-6.4	17
2025-02-28	@ RKC Waalwijk	W 2-1	1743	1759	26.6%	27.3%	46.1%	+6.4	29
2025-03-01	NEC Nijmegen	D 0-0	2033	1840	71.0%	14.2%	14.8%	-2.0	44
2025-03-01	@ Feyenoord	D 0-0	1840	2033	14.8%	14.2%	71.0%	+2.0	26
2025-03-01	PSV Eindhoven	W 3-2	1860	2100	18.2%	19.8%	62.0%	+7.5	38
2025-03-01	@ Go Ahead Eagles	L 2-3	2100	1860	62.0%	19.8%	18.2%	-7.5	52
2025-03-01	Twente	D 1-1	1801	1973	22.8%	24.9%	52.3%	+0.9	28
2025-03-01	@ Groningen	D 1-1	1973	1801	52.3%	24.9%	22.8%	-1.0	43
2025-03-01	NAC Breda	W 1-0	1872	1742	62.4%	19.5%	18.1%	+2.9	46
2025-03-01	@ Utrecht	L 0-1	1742	1872	18.1%	19.5%	62.4%	-2.9	27
2025-03-02	Ajax	L 0-1	1684	2010	13.8%	12.6%	73.7%	-2.0	14
2025-03-02	@ Almere City	W 1-0	2010	1684	73.7%	12.6%	13.8%	+2.0	60
2025-03-02	Alkmaar	W 3-1	1764	1969	20.3%	22.5%	57.1%	+13.0	30
2025-03-02	@ Heerenveen	L 1-3	1969	1764	57.1%	22.5%	20.3%	-13.0	43
2025-03-02	Zwolle	W 4-2	1749	1796	36.9%	29.0%	34.1%	+8.0	27
2025-03-02	@ Heracles Almelo	L 2-4	1796	1749	34.1%	29.0%	36.9%	-8.0	25
2025-03-02	Willem II	W 4-0	1799	1798	43.8%	28.0%	28.2%	+17.0	23
2025-03-02	@ Sparta Rotterdam	L 0-4	1798	1799	28.2%	28.0%	43.8%	-17.0	24
2025-03-07	Sparta Rotterdam	D 1-1	1739	1816	32.7%	28.9%	38.4%	+0.2	28
2025-03-07	@ NAC Breda	D 1-1	1816	1739	38.4%	28.9%	32.7%	-0.2	24
2025-03-08	Heracles Almelo	W 1-0	1749	1757	42.5%	28.3%	29.2%	+4.9	32
2025-03-08	@ Fortuna Sittard	L 0-1	1757	1749	29.2%	28.3%	42.5%	-4.9	27
2025-03-08	Heerenveen	W 2-1	2092	1777	84.6%	6.0%	9.4%	+1.1	55
2025-03-08	@ PSV Eindhoven	L 1-2	1777	2092	9.4%	6.0%	84.6%	-1.1	30
2025-03-09	Go Ahead Eagles	L 2-3	1842	1868	39.8%	28.7%	31.4%	-5.5	26
2025-03-09	@ NEC Nijmegen	W 3-2	1868	1842	31.4%	28.7%	39.8%	+5.5	41
2025-03-09	Almere City	W 1-0	1972	1682	82.3%	7.3%	10.4%	+1.4	46
2025-03-09	@ Twente	L 0-1	1682	1972	10.4%	7.3%	82.3%	-1.4	14
2025-03-09	Utrecht	L 2-3	1781	1875	30.4%	28.5%	41.0%	-4.5	24
2025-03-09	@ Willem II	W 3-2	1875	1781	41.0%	28.5%	30.4%	+4.5	49
2025-03-09	Ajax	L 0-1	1788	2012	19.1%	21.0%	59.9%	-3.1	25
2025-03-09	@ Zwolle	W 1-0	2012	1788	59.9%	21.0%	19.1%	+3.1	63
2025-03-14	NAC Breda	D 1-1	1680	1740	35.0%	29.0%	35.9%	+0.0	15
2025-03-14	@ Almere City	D 1-1	1740	1680	35.9%	29.0%	35.0%	-0.0	29
2025-03-15	Heracles Almelo	D 1-1	1776	1752	47.1%	27.0%	25.9%	-0.7	31
2025-03-15	@ Heerenveen	D 1-1	1752	1776	25.9%	27.0%	47.1%	+0.7	28
2025-03-15	PSV Eindhoven	L 0-3	1753	2093	13.2%	11.5%	75.4%	-5.1	17
2025-03-15	@ RKC Waalwijk	W 3-0	2093	1753	75.4%	11.5%	13.2%	+5.1	58
2025-03-15	Zwolle	D 1-1	1816	1784	48.2%	26.6%	25.2%	-0.7	25
2025-03-15	@ Sparta Rotterdam	D 1-1	1784	1816	25.2%	26.6%	48.2%	+0.7	26
2025-03-15	NEC Nijmegen	L 0-1	1880	1836	50.0%	25.9%	24.1%	-7.2	49
2025-03-15	@ Utrecht	W 1-0	1836	1880	24.1%	25.9%	50.0%	+7.2	29
2025-03-16	Alkmaar	D 2-2	2015	1956	52.2%	24.9%	22.8%	-0.7	64
2025-03-16	@ Ajax	D 2-2	1956	2015	22.8%	24.9%	52.2%	+0.7	44
2025-03-16	Willem II	W 1-0	1873	1776	57.7%	22.2%	20.1%	+3.3	44
2025-03-16	@ Go Ahead Eagles	L 0-1	1776	1873	20.1%	22.2%	57.7%	-3.3	24
2025-03-16	Fortuna Sittard	W 1-0	1802	1754	50.6%	25.7%	23.7%	+4.0	31
2025-03-16	@ Groningen	L 0-1	1754	1802	23.7%	25.7%	50.6%	-4.0	32
2025-03-16	Feyenoord	L 2-6	1974	2031	35.3%	29.0%	35.7%	-14.3	46
2025-03-16	@ Twente	W 6-2	2031	1974	35.7%	29.0%	35.3%	+14.3	47
2025-03-29	Sparta Rotterdam	L 0-3	1750	1815	34.3%	29.0%	36.7%	-15.1	32
2025-03-29	@ Fortuna Sittard	W 3-0	1815	1750	36.7%	29.0%	34.3%	+15.1	28
2025-03-29	Groningen	D 1-1	1740	1806	34.0%	29.0%	37.0%	+0.1	30
2025-03-29	@ NAC Breda	D 1-1	1806	1740	37.0%	29.0%	34.0%	-0.1	32
2025-03-29	Alkmaar	D 3-3	1843	1957	28.2%	28.0%	43.8%	+0.3	30
2025-03-29	@ NEC Nijmegen	D 3-3	1957	1843	43.8%	28.0%	28.2%	-0.3	45
2025-03-29	Almere City	L 0-2	1773	1680	57.1%	22.5%	20.4%	-15.0	24
2025-03-29	@ Willem II	W 2-0	1680	1773	20.4%	22.5%	57.1%	+15.0	18
2025-03-29	RKC Waalwijk	W 2-0	1785	1748	49.1%	26.3%	24.6%	+7.9	29
2025-03-29	@ Zwolle	L 0-2	1748	1785	24.6%	26.3%	49.1%	-7.9	17
2025-03-30	Go Ahead Eagles	W 3-2	2045	1877	67.7%	16.3%	16.0%	+2.2	50
2025-03-30	@ Feyenoord	L 2-3	1877	2045	16.0%	16.3%	67.7%	-2.2	44
2025-03-30	Twente	W 2-1	1753	1959	20.3%	22.4%	57.3%	+7.5	31
2025-03-30	@ Heracles Almelo	L 1-2	1959	1753	57.3%	22.4%	20.3%	-7.5	46
2025-03-30	Ajax	L 0-2	2099	2015	55.8%	23.2%	21.0%	-14.8	58
2025-03-30	@ PSV Eindhoven	W 2-0	2015	2099	21.0%	23.2%	55.8%	+14.8	67
2025-03-30	Heerenveen	W 2-0	1873	1775	57.8%	22.2%	20.1%	+6.2	52
2025-03-30	@ Utrecht	L 0-2	1775	1873	20.1%	22.2%	57.8%	-6.2	31
2025-04-01	RKC Waalwijk	D 2-2	1957	1740	73.9%	12.4%	13.7%	-1.4	46
2025-04-01	@ Alkmaar	D 2-2	1740	1957	13.7%	12.4%	73.9%	+1.4	18
2025-04-02	Groningen	W 4-1	2047	1806	76.9%	10.5%	12.6%	+4.0	53
2025-04-02	@ Feyenoord	L 1-4	1806	2047	12.6%	10.5%	76.9%	-4.0	32
2025-04-04	Willem II	W 3-1	1769	1758	45.2%	27.6%	27.2%	+7.5	34
2025-04-04	@ Heerenveen	L 1-3	1758	1769	27.2%	27.6%	45.2%	-7.5	24
2025-04-05	Feyenoord	L 0-1	1955	2051	30.2%	28.5%	41.3%	-5.0	46
2025-04-05	@ Alkmaar	W 1-0	2051	1955	41.3%	28.5%	30.2%	+5.0	56
2025-04-05	Zwolle	D 2-2	1695	1793	30.0%	28.5%	41.5%	+0.3	19
2025-04-05	@ Almere City	D 2-2	1793	1695	41.5%	28.5%	30.0%	-0.3	30
2025-04-05	PSV Eindhoven	L 1-3	1802	2084	16.0%	16.2%	67.8%	-4.0	32
2025-04-05	@ Groningen	W 3-1	2084	1802	67.8%	16.2%	16.0%	+4.0	61
2025-04-05	Fortuna Sittard	D 1-1	1952	1735	74.0%	12.4%	13.7%	-1.9	47
2025-04-05	@ Twente	D 1-1	1735	1952	13.7%	12.4%	74.0%	+1.9	33
2025-04-06	NAC Breda	W 3-1	2029	1740	82.2%	7.4%	10.5%	+2.2	70
2025-04-06	@ Ajax	L 1-3	1740	2029	10.5%	7.4%	82.2%	-2.2	30
2025-04-06	Utrecht	D 2-2	1875	1879	43.0%	28.2%	28.8%	-0.3	45
2025-04-06	@ Go Ahead Eagles	D 2-2	1879	1875	28.8%	28.2%	43.0%	+0.3	53
2025-04-06	Heracles Almelo	D 0-0	1741	1760	40.9%	28.6%	30.6%	-0.4	19
2025-04-06	@ RKC Waalwijk	D 0-0	1760	1741	30.6%	28.6%	40.9%	+0.3	32
2025-04-06	NEC Nijmegen	W 2-0	1830	1844	41.6%	28.4%	29.9%	+9.4	31
2025-04-06	@ Sparta Rotterdam	L 0-2	1844	1830	29.9%	28.4%	41.6%	-9.4	30
2025-04-11	RKC Waalwijk	W 2-1	1834	1741	57.2%	22.5%	20.3%	+3.2	33
2025-04-11	@ NEC Nijmegen	L 1-2	1741	1834	20.3%	22.5%	57.2%	-3.2	19
2025-04-12	Feyenoord	L 0-2	1737	2056	14.1%	13.1%	72.8%	-3.9	33
2025-04-12	@ Fortuna Sittard	W 2-0	2056	1737	72.8%	13.1%	14.1%	+3.8	59
2025-04-12	Go Ahead Eagles	D 1-1	1737	1874	25.8%	27.0%	47.2%	+0.7	31
2025-04-12	@ NAC Breda	D 1-1	1874	1737	47.2%	27.0%	25.8%	-0.7	46
2025-04-12	Almere City	W 5-0	2088	1696	90.4%	2.9%	6.7%	+3.5	64
2025-04-12	@ PSV Eindhoven	L 0-5	1696	2088	6.7%	2.9%	90.4%	-3.5	19
2025-04-12	Heerenveen	W 3-1	1839	1776	52.8%	24.7%	22.5%	+6.2	34
2025-04-12	@ Sparta Rotterdam	L 1-3	1776	1839	22.5%	24.7%	52.8%	-6.2	34
2025-04-13	Alkmaar	W 1-0	1761	1950	21.4%	23.7%	54.9%	+7.7	35
2025-04-13	@ Heracles Almelo	L 0-1	1950	1761	54.9%	23.7%	21.4%	-7.7	46
2025-04-13	Groningen	W 3-1	1879	1798	55.4%	23.4%	21.2%	+5.8	56
2025-04-13	@ Utrecht	L 1-3	1798	1879	21.2%	23.4%	55.4%	-5.8	32
2025-04-13	Ajax	L 1-2	1751	2032	16.0%	16.3%	67.7%	-2.3	24
2025-04-13	@ Willem II	W 2-1	2032	1751	67.7%	16.3%	16.0%	+2.3	73
2025-04-13	Twente	D 1-1	1793	1950	24.0%	25.8%	50.2%	+0.8	31
2025-04-13	@ Zwolle	D 1-1	1950	1793	50.2%	25.8%	24.0%	-0.8	48
2025-04-19	Almere City	W 2-1	1770	1692	55.0%	23.6%	21.4%	+3.4	37
2025-04-19	@ Heerenveen	L 1-2	1692	1770	21.4%	23.6%	55.0%	-3.4	19
2025-04-20	Ajax	W 4-0	1885	2034	24.7%	26.3%	49.0%	+25.6	59
2025-04-20	@ Utrecht	L 0-4	2034	1885	49.0%	26.3%	24.7%	-25.6	73
2025-04-23	Heracles Almelo	W 4-1	1792	1769	47.1%	27.0%	25.9%	+10.1	35
2025-04-23	@ Groningen	L 1-4	1769	1792	25.9%	27.0%	47.1%	-10.1	35
2025-04-24	NAC Breda	D 1-1	1942	1738	72.4%	13.4%	14.3%	-1.9	47
2025-04-24	@ Alkmaar	D 1-1	1738	1942	14.3%	13.4%	72.4%	+1.9	32
2025-04-24	PSV Eindhoven	L 1-3	1949	2091	25.3%	26.7%	48.0%	-7.0	48
2025-04-24	@ Twente	W 3-1	2091	1949	48.0%	26.7%	25.3%	+7.0	67
2025-04-25	Zwolle	W 4-0	2060	1794	79.8%	8.8%	11.4%	+5.5	62
2025-04-25	@ Feyenoord	L 0-4	1794	2060	11.4%	8.8%	79.8%	-5.5	31
2025-04-25	Utrecht	L 0-4	1738	1911	22.7%	24.9%	52.4%	-13.7	19
2025-04-25	@ RKC Waalwijk	W 4-0	1911	1738	52.4%	24.9%	22.7%	+13.7	62
2025-04-27	Sparta Rotterdam	D 1-1	2008	1846	66.9%	16.8%	16.3%	-1.6	74
2025-04-27	@ Ajax	D 1-1	1846	2008	16.3%	16.8%	66.9%	+1.6	35
2025-04-27	Go Ahead Eagles	D 0-0	1689	1874	21.8%	24.0%	54.2%	+1.2	20
2025-04-27	@ Almere City	D 0-0	1874	1689	54.2%	24.0%	21.8%	-1.2	47
2025-04-27	Willem II	W 1-0	1733	1748	41.4%	28.5%	30.1%	+5.0	36
2025-04-27	@ Fortuna Sittard	L 0-1	1748	1733	30.1%	28.5%	41.4%	-5.0	24
2025-04-27	NEC Nijmegen	W 1-0	1774	1837	34.4%	29.0%	36.6%	+5.8	40
2025-04-27	@ Heerenveen	L 0-1	1837	1774	36.6%	29.0%	34.4%	-5.8	33
2025-05-03	RKC Waalwijk	W 6-1	1802	1724	55.0%	23.6%	21.4%	+13.1	38
2025-05-03	@ Groningen	L 1-6	1724	1802	21.4%	23.6%	55.0%	-13.1	19
2025-05-03	Feyenoord	L 1-4	1758	2066	14.7%	14.1%	71.2%	-5.0	35
2025-05-03	@ Heracles Almelo	W 4-1	2066	1758	71.2%	14.1%	14.7%	+5.0	65
2025-05-03	Willem II	D 1-1	1832	1743	56.5%	22.9%	20.7%	-1.2	34
2025-05-03	@ NEC Nijmegen	D 1-1	1743	1832	20.7%	22.9%	56.5%	+1.2	25
2025-05-03	Fortuna Sittard	W 4-1	2098	1738	88.3%	4.0%	7.7%	+2.2	70
2025-05-03	@ PSV Eindhoven	L 1-4	1738	2098	7.7%	4.0%	88.3%	-2.2	36
2025-05-04	Alkmaar	L 0-3	1872	1941	33.8%	29.0%	37.2%	-15.0	47
2025-05-04	@ Go Ahead Eagles	W 3-0	1941	1872	37.2%	29.0%	33.8%	+15.0	50
2025-05-04	Zwolle	L 1-3	1740	1788	36.6%	29.0%	34.4%	-9.5	32
2025-05-04	@ NAC Breda	W 3-1	1788	1740	34.4%	29.0%	36.6%	+9.5	34
2025-05-04	Twente	L 0-2	1847	1942	30.4%	28.5%	41.1%	-9.5	35
2025-05-04	@ Sparta Rotterdam	W 2-0	1942	1847	41.1%	28.5%	30.4%	+9.5	51
2025-05-09	Heracles Almelo	L 1-2	1744	1753	42.3%	28.3%	29.4%	-6.1	25
2025-05-09	@ Willem II	W 2-1	1753	1744	29.4%	28.3%	42.3%	+6.1	38
2025-05-10	Sparta Rotterdam	L 0-3	1690	1838	24.8%	26.4%	48.9%	-11.5	20
2025-05-10	@ Almere City	W 3-0	1838	1690	48.9%	26.4%	24.8%	+11.5	38
2025-05-10	NAC Breda	W 1-0	1736	1730	44.4%	27.8%	27.8%	+4.7	39
2025-05-10	@ Fortuna Sittard	L 0-1	1730	1736	27.8%	27.8%	44.4%	-4.7	32
2025-05-10	Heerenveen	W 3-1	1711	1779	33.8%	29.0%	37.2%	+9.6	22
2025-05-10	@ RKC Waalwijk	L 1-3	1779	1711	37.2%	29.0%	33.8%	-9.6	40
2025-05-11	NEC Nijmegen	L 0-3	2007	1831	68.7%	15.7%	15.6%	-24.6	74
2025-05-11	@ Ajax	W 3-0	1831	2007	15.6%	15.7%	68.7%	+24.6	37
2025-05-11	Groningen	W 3-0	1956	1816	63.8%	18.7%	17.5%	+7.6	53
2025-05-11	@ Alkmaar	L 0-3	1816	1956	17.5%	18.7%	63.8%	-7.6	38
2025-05-11	PSV Eindhoven	L 2-3	2071	2100	39.3%	28.8%	31.9%	-5.5	65
2025-05-11	@ Feyenoord	W 3-2	2100	2071	31.9%	28.8%	39.3%	+5.5	73
2025-05-11	Utrecht	W 2-0	1952	1924	47.6%	26.8%	25.6%	+8.2	54
2025-05-11	@ Twente	L 0-2	1924	1952	25.6%	26.8%	47.6%	-8.2	62
2025-05-11	Go Ahead Eagles	D 1-1	1798	1857	35.0%	29.0%	36.0%	+0.0	35
2025-05-11	@ Zwolle	D 1-1	1857	1798	36.0%	29.0%	35.0%	-0.0	48
2025-05-14	Fortuna Sittard	D 1-1	1678	1741	34.6%	29.0%	36.4%	+0.1	21
2025-05-14	@ Almere City	D 1-1	1741	1678	36.4%	29.0%	34.6%	-0.0	40
2025-05-14	RKC Waalwijk	W 2-0	2065	1721	87.1%	4.6%	8.3%	+1.9	68
2025-05-14	@ Feyenoord	L 0-2	1721	2065	8.3%	4.6%	87.1%	-1.9	22
2025-05-14	Heerenveen	W 1-0	1857	1770	56.4%	22.9%	20.7%	+3.4	51
2025-05-14	@ Go Ahead Eagles	L 0-1	1770	1857	20.7%	22.9%	56.4%	-3.5	40
2025-05-14	Ajax	D 2-2	1808	1982	22.6%	24.8%	52.7%	+0.7	39
2025-05-14	@ Groningen	D 2-2	1982	1808	52.7%	24.8%	22.6%	-0.7	75
2025-05-14	NAC Breda	W 3-0	1855	1726	62.3%	19.6%	18.1%	+7.9	40
2025-05-14	@ NEC Nijmegen	L 0-3	1726	1855	18.1%	19.6%	62.3%	-7.9	32
2025-05-14	Heracles Almelo	W 4-1	2106	1760	87.2%	4.5%	8.2%	+2.3	76
2025-05-14	@ PSV Eindhoven	L 1-4	1760	2106	8.2%	4.5%	87.2%	-2.3	38
2025-05-14	Alkmaar	L 2-3	1960	1963	43.1%	28.1%	28.7%	-5.8	54
2025-05-14	@ Twente	W 3-2	1963	1960	28.7%	28.1%	43.1%	+5.8	56
2025-05-14	Sparta Rotterdam	D 1-1	1916	1849	53.4%	24.4%	22.2%	-1.0	63
2025-05-14	@ Utrecht	D 1-1	1849	1916	22.2%	24.4%	53.4%	+1.0	39
2025-05-14	Zwolle	L 1-2	1738	1798	35.0%	29.0%	35.9%	-5.3	25
2025-05-14	@ Willem II	W 2-1	1798	1738	35.9%	29.0%	35.0%	+5.3	38
2025-05-18	Twente	W 2-0	1981	1954	47.7%	26.8%	25.5%	+8.2	78
2025-05-18	@ Ajax	L 0-2	1954	1981	25.5%	26.8%	47.7%	-8.2	54
2025-05-18	Almere City	D 1-1	1969	1678	82.3%	7.3%	10.4%	-2.2	57
2025-05-18	@ Alkmaar	D 1-1	1678	1969	10.4%	7.3%	82.3%	+2.2	22
2025-05-18	Utrecht	D 0-0	1741	1915	22.6%	24.7%	52.7%	+1.1	41
2025-05-18	@ Fortuna Sittard	D 0-0	1915	1741	52.7%	24.7%	22.6%	-1.1	64
2025-05-18	Feyenoord	W 2-0	1766	2067	15.0%	14.6%	70.4%	+17.2	43
2025-05-18	@ Heerenveen	L 0-2	2067	1766	70.4%	14.6%	15.0%	-17.2	68
2025-05-18	NEC Nijmegen	L 1-2	1757	1863	29.1%	28.2%	42.7%	-4.6	38
2025-05-18	@ Heracles Almelo	W 2-1	1863	1757	42.7%	28.2%	29.1%	+4.6	43
2025-05-18	Willem II	D 1-1	1718	1733	41.4%	28.5%	30.1%	-0.3	33
2025-05-18	@ NAC Breda	D 1-1	1733	1718	30.1%	28.5%	41.4%	+0.3	26
2025-05-18	Go Ahead Eagles	W 5-3	1719	1861	25.3%	26.7%	48.0%	+9.7	25
2025-05-18	@ RKC Waalwijk	L 3-5	1861	1719	48.0%	26.7%	25.3%	-9.7	51
2025-05-18	PSV Eindhoven	L 1-3	1850	2108	17.2%	18.2%	64.6%	-4.4	39
2025-05-18	@ Sparta Rotterdam	W 3-1	2108	1850	64.6%	18.2%	17.2%	+4.4	79
2025-05-18	Groningen	W 2-0	1803	1809	42.8%	28.2%	29.0%	+9.1	41
2025-05-18	@ Zwolle	L 0-2	1809	1803	29.0%	28.2%	42.8%	-9.1	39

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2024-05-22	Heerenveen	W 4-1	1929	1788	64.0%	18.6%	17.5%	+6.4	1-0
2024-05-22	@ Alkmaar	L 1-4	1788	1929	17.5%	18.6%	64.0%	-6.3	0-1
2024-05-22	NEC Nijmegen	W 3-2	1946	1860	56.2%	23.0%	20.8%	+3.1	1-0
2024-05-22	@ Twente	L 2-3	1860	1946	20.8%	23.0%	56.2%	-3.1	0-1
2024-05-25	Twente	W 3-2	1936	1949	41.6%	28.4%	29.9%	+4.5	2-0
2024-05-25	@ Alkmaar	L 2-3	1949	1936	29.9%	28.4%	41.6%	-4.5	1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2025-01-18	12.80%	@ Zwolle	1771	3	PSV Eindhoven	2119	1
2	2024-12-14	12.84%	@ Heerenveen	1772	1	PSV Eindhoven	2119	0
3	2025-02-09	14.18%	Almere City	1674	1	@ Utrecht	1880	0
4	2025-05-18	15.02%	@ Heerenveen	1766	2	Feyenoord	2067	0
5	2025-05-11	15.64%	NEC Nijmegen	1831	3	@ Ajax	2007	0
6	2025-01-12	15.89%	Utrecht	1872	2	@ Feyenoord	2044	1
7	2025-01-26	16.07%	Sparta Rotterdam	1795	2	@ Alkmaar	1963	1
8	2025-03-01	18.25%	@ Go Ahead Eagles	1860	3	PSV Eindhoven	2100	2
9	2024-09-21	18.33%	Heracles Almelo	1737	2	@ NEC Nijmegen	1863	1
10	2024-11-10	18.44%	Willem II	1826	2	@ Alkmaar	1950	1
11	2024-12-22	18.80%	Fortuna Sittard	1771	5	@ Utrecht	1889	2
12	2024-09-29	18.83%	Utrecht	1857	2	@ Alkmaar	1974	1
13	2024-10-30	19.11%	Ajax	1944	2	@ Feyenoord	2057	0
14	2024-10-06	19.48%	@ Fortuna Sittard	1748	1	Alkmaar	1966	0
15	2025-01-19	19.70%	@ NAC Breda	1757	2	Twente	1972	1
16	2025-03-30	20.28%	@ Heracles Almelo	1753	2	Twente	1959	1
17	2025-03-02	20.35%	@ Heerenveen	1764	3	Alkmaar	1969	1
18	2025-03-29	20.37%	Almere City	1680	2	@ Willem II	1773	0
19	2025-03-30	20.97%	Ajax	2015	2	@ PSV Eindhoven	2099	0
20	2024-08-11	21.43%	Fortuna Sittard	1754	2	@ Go Ahead Eagles	1831	0
21	2025-04-13	21.45%	@ Heracles Almelo	1761	1	Alkmaar	1950	0
22	2024-12-08	22.93%	Heerenveen	1765	2	@ Willem II	1823	1
23	2024-12-07	22.94%	NAC Breda	1759	2	@ Sparta Rotterdam	1817	0
24	2024-09-15	23.25%	Go Ahead Eagles	1812	2	@ Sparta Rotterdam	1865	1
25	2024-08-18	23.67%	@ NAC Breda	1761	2	Ajax	1922	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2025-04-20	25.56	@ Utrecht	4	1885	24.70%	Ajax	0	2034	49.00%
2	2025-05-11	24.58	NEC Nijmegen	3	1831	15.64%	@ Ajax	0	2007	68.71%
3	2024-12-07	24.52	@ Go Ahead Eagles	5	1825	36.42%	NEC Nijmegen	0	1874	34.56%
4	2025-02-09	22.54	@ RKC Waalwijk	5	1741	40.42%	NAC Breda	0	1763	30.93%
5	2024-11-03	21.05	@ NEC Nijmegen	6	1853	50.62%	Groningen	0	1805	23.73%
6	2024-12-21	17.52	@ Almere City	3	1680	29.60%	Heerenveen	0	1781	42.03%
7	2025-05-18	17.17	@ Heerenveen	2	1766	15.02%	Feyenoord	0	2067	70.37%
8	2025-03-02	16.97	@ Sparta Rotterdam	4	1799	43.78%	Willem II	0	1798	28.25%
9	2024-12-22	16.57	Fortuna Sittard	5	1771	18.80%	@ Utrecht	2	1889	60.67%
10	2024-08-31	16.12	@ Heerenveen	4	1779	46.00%	NAC Breda	0	1763	26.65%
11	2025-01-18	15.59	@ Zwolle	3	1771	12.80%	PSV Eindhoven	1	2119	76.26%
12	2024-10-30	15.49	Ajax	2	1944	19.11%	@ Feyenoord	0	2057	59.93%
13	2025-03-29	15.13	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1815	36.73%	@ Fortuna Sittard	0	1750	34.26%
14	2025-01-10	15.10	Go Ahead Eagles	3	1853	36.81%	@ Fortuna Sittard	0	1788	34.18%
15	2025-03-29	15.00	Almere City	2	1680	20.37%	@ Willem II	0	1773	57.12%
16	2025-05-04	14.98	Alkmaar	3	1941	37.23%	@ Go Ahead Eagles	0	1872	33.78%
17	2024-08-31	14.84	NEC Nijmegen	3	1852	37.69%	@ Fortuna Sittard	0	1781	33.36%
18	2025-03-30	14.77	Ajax	2	2015	20.97%	@ PSV Eindhoven	0	2099	55.84%
19	2024-08-11	14.60	Fortuna Sittard	2	1754	21.43%	@ Go Ahead Eagles	0	1831	54.89%
20	2024-11-03	14.46	Utrecht	4	1866	30.58%	@ Sparta Rotterdam	1	1847	40.83%
21	2025-01-26	14.34	Zwolle	4	1787	30.99%	@ Fortuna Sittard	1	1764	40.35%
22	2025-03-16	14.28	Feyenoord	6	2031	35.67%	@ Twente	2	1974	35.30%
23	2024-09-14	14.23	@ Alkmaar	9	1957	66.76%	Heerenveen	1	1795	16.38%
24	2024-09-22	14.21	Twente	5	1946	58.73%	@ Almere City	0	1729	19.63%
25	2024-12-07	14.06	NAC Breda	2	1759	22.94%	@ Sparta Rotterdam	0	1817	52.01%