Home / Leagues / NFL / 1950

1950 NFL Season

78 regular-season games · 4 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Cleveland Browns (1st)

1st Title

Runner-Up

Los Angeles Rams

3rd Appearance

Last Appearance: 1949

Biggest Overachiever

New York Giants

3.76 wins above expected

10 wins · 6.24 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

San Francisco 49ers

2.83 wins below expected

3 wins · 5.83 expected wins

Final Standings

Regular-season records by division. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive means the team overachieved, negative means they underperformed.

# Team W L T Pct GB PF PA PD SimW vsSim
1 Cleveland Browns (1st) Division 10 2 0 .833 310 144 +166 8.47 +1.53
2 New York Giants Playoffs 10 2 0 .833 268 150 +118 6.24 +3.76
3 Philadelphia Eagles 6 6 0 .500 4 254 141 +113 8.39 -2.39
4 Pittsburgh Steelers 6 6 0 .500 4 180 195 -15 5.16 +0.84
5 Chicago Cardinals 5 7 0 .417 5 233 287 -54 5.25 -0.25
6 Washington Redskins 3 9 0 .250 7 232 326 -94 4.30 -1.30
# Team W L T Pct GB PF PA PD SimW vsSim
1 Los Angeles Rams Division 9 3 0 .750 466 309 +157 7.82 +1.18
2 Chicago Bears Playoffs 9 3 0 .750 279 207 +72 8.31 +0.69
3 New York Yanks 7 5 0 .583 2 366 367 -1 5.04 +1.96
4 Detroit Lions 6 6 0 .500 3 321 285 +36 6.10 -0.10
5 San Francisco 49ers 3 9 0 .250 6 213 300 -87 5.83 -2.83
6 Green Bay Packers 3 9 0 .250 6 244 406 -162 3.44 -0.44
7 Baltimore Colts (1st) 1 11 0 .083 8 213 462 -249 3.65 -2.65

Playoff Bracket

The path each team took through the postseason — reconstructed from actual playoff games, not the simulation.

Division Playoff

Cleveland Browns (1st) 8
New York Giants 3

Dec 17

Los Angeles Rams 24
Chicago Bears 14

Dec 17

NFL Championship Game

Cleveland Browns (1st) 30
Los Angeles Rams 28

Dec 24

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort; use the dropdown to filter by Conference or Division. Luck is the team's actual outcome minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Conference Division Elo Actual Avg. Wins Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Cleveland Browns (1st) East 1724 10 8.47 +1.53 92.60% 2 6 7 8 9 11 12
Chicago Bears West 1647 9 8.31 +0.69 78.39% 2 6 7 8 9 11 12
Los Angeles Rams West 1645 9 7.82 +1.18 87.33% 1 5 7 8 9 10 12
Philadelphia Eagles East 1637 6 8.39 -2.39 10.96% 2 6 7 8 9 11 12
New York Giants East 1629 10 6.24 +3.76 99.70% 0 4 5 6 7 9 12
Pittsburgh Steelers East 1508 6 5.16 +0.84 80.71% 0 3 4 5 6 8 12
Detroit Lions West 1491 6 6.10 -0.10 60.55% 0 3 5 6 7 9 12
Chicago Cardinals East 1479 5 5.25 -0.25 57.45% 0 3 4 5 6 8 11
New York Yanks West 1433 7 5.04 +1.96 94.32% 0 2 4 5 6 8 11
San Francisco 49ers West 1413 3 5.83 -2.83 6.66% 0 3 5 6 7 8 11
Washington Redskins East 1396 3 4.30 -1.30 31.24% 0 2 3 4 5 7 9
Green Bay Packers West 1264 3 3.44 -0.44 54.30% 0 1 2 3 4 6 9
Baltimore Colts (1st) West 1235 1 3.65 -2.65 7.15% 0 1 3 4 5 6 10

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record (row vs column) and below it the expected number of wins the model predicted based on each individual game's win probability. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than half a win in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin. The first matrix for each division covers within-division games; the second (when shown) covers games against teams outside that division — aggregated by division when there are many opponents, broken out team-by-team when there are few.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within East

Team Cardinals (1st) Giants Eagles Steelers Redskins
Chicago Cardinals
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
Cleveland Browns (1st)
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
0-2
(1.4 exp.)
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
2-0
(1.7 exp.)
New York Giants
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(0.6 exp.)
2-0
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
0-2
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(1.5 exp.)
2-0
(1.7 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(0.4 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
Washington Redskins
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
0-2
(0.3 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.3 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)

East vs. Outside Teams

Team (1st) Bears Lions Packers Rams Yanks 49ers
Chicago Cardinals
1-0
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
Cleveland Browns (1st)
1-0
(0.8 exp.)
1-0
(0.8 exp.)
New York Giants
1-0
(0.7 exp.)
1-0
(0.8 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles
1-0
(0.8 exp.)
1-0
(0.7 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers
1-0
(0.7 exp.)
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
Washington Redskins
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
0-1
(0.7 exp.)

Within West

Team (1st) Bears Lions Packers Rams Yanks 49ers
Baltimore Colts (1st)
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
0-1
(0.2 exp.)
0-1
(0.2 exp.)
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
Chicago Bears
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
1-1
(1.7 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
Detroit Lions
1-0
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
Green Bay Packers
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
1-1
(0.3 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.3 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams
1-0
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.7 exp.)
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
New York Yanks
1-0
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
2-0
(0.7 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers
1-0
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(1.2 exp.)

West vs. Outside Teams

Team Cardinals (1st) Giants Eagles Steelers Redskins
Baltimore Colts (1st)
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
0-1
(0.2 exp.)
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
0-1
(0.2 exp.)
0-1
(0.2 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
Chicago Bears
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
Detroit Lions
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
Green Bay Packers
1-0
(0.3 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
New York Yanks
0-1
(0.2 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers
0-1
(0.2 exp.)

Scoring Distribution

Histograms of points scored and allowed, a home-vs-away score scatter (marker size grows with how often that exact score happened), and summary stats — all driven by the team filter below. Default view is league-wide.

Summary Statistics

Mean scored
Mean allowed
StdDev scored
StdDev allowed
Correlation (home vs away score)
Sample size (games)

Actual vs. Point Differential

How points translated into wins. Teams above the cluster overperformed their points differential (often called Pythagorean luck), while teams below underperformed. Hover for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams furthest from where the simulation said they'd land — a fast read of the Luck column on top of the main season summary above.

Top Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 New York Giants 10 6.24 +3.76
2 New York Yanks 7 5.04 +1.96
3 Cleveland Browns (1st) 10 8.47 +1.53
4 Los Angeles Rams 9 7.82 +1.18
5 Pittsburgh Steelers 6 5.16 +0.84

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 San Francisco 49ers 3 5.83 -2.83
2 Baltimore Colts (1st) 1 3.65 -2.65
3 Philadelphia Eagles 6 8.39 -2.39
4 Washington Redskins 3 4.30 -1.30
5 Green Bay Packers 3 3.44 -0.44

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/T/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 New York Yanks 5 Sep 29 – Oct 29 1 in 42
2 New York Giants 6 Nov 5 – Dec 10 1 in 30
3 Pittsburgh Steelers 3 Nov 5 – Nov 23 1 in 24
4 Green Bay Packers 2 Sep 24 – Oct 1 1 in 19
5 Los Angeles Rams 6 Oct 15 – Nov 19 1 in 8

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 San Francisco 49ers 5 Sep 17 – Oct 12 1 in 72
2 Philadelphia Eagles 4 Nov 19 – Dec 10 1 in 66
3 Washington Redskins 8 Sep 24 – Nov 19 1 in 54
4 Green Bay Packers 6 Oct 8 – Nov 19 1 in 10
5 Baltimore Colts (1st) 6 Sep 17 – Oct 29 1 in 8

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we add up those probabilities over home games and compare to actual home wins — and do the same on the road. The bar height is (home wins above expected) minus (road wins above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real Coors-style edge. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between divisions, leagues, and the overall NFL view. Rows are sorted by the simulation's average finish (best at top).

Team123456
Cleveland Browns (1st)44.80%32.91%13.66%5.66%2.33%0.64%
Philadelphia Eagles41.34%33.69%15.35%6.59%2.32%0.71%
New York Giants7.96%16.45%27.28%22.43%16.15%9.73%
Chicago Cardinals3.13%7.49%17.61%23.71%24.86%23.20%
Pittsburgh Steelers2.06%6.38%16.07%23.14%26.34%26.01%
Washington Redskins0.71%3.08%10.03%18.47%28.00%39.71%
Team1234567
Chicago Bears54.96%25.97%11.06%5.09%1.95%0.76%0.21%
Los Angeles Rams30.02%34.68%18.25%9.95%4.79%1.85%0.46%
Detroit Lions7.55%17.77%25.43%20.65%14.97%9.22%4.41%
San Francisco 49ers4.55%12.21%21.59%24.42%18.95%12.38%5.90%
New York Yanks2.39%6.65%13.75%19.98%23.72%20.16%13.35%
Baltimore Colts (1st)0.45%1.69%5.75%11.85%20.62%30.82%28.82%
Green Bay Packers0.08%1.03%4.17%8.06%15.00%24.81%46.85%
Team12345678910111213
Cleveland Browns (1st)26.52%21.16%18.08%13.30%7.78%4.96%3.60%1.95%1.47%0.73%0.28%0.14%0.03%
Chicago Bears24.45%25.97%15.31%13.21%7.37%5.39%3.03%2.37%1.28%0.79%0.46%0.24%0.13%
Philadelphia Eagles26.03%18.43%18.75%13.08%8.72%6.22%3.92%2.26%1.34%0.68%0.39%0.15%0.03%
Los Angeles Rams13.41%16.74%17.05%16.79%11.22%8.53%5.94%4.08%2.83%1.82%0.90%0.47%0.22%
New York Giants3.41%4.74%7.98%9.51%13.46%12.60%11.82%9.94%8.85%7.42%5.30%3.74%1.23%
Detroit Lions2.20%4.56%7.37%10.11%12.49%13.35%10.88%10.43%8.30%7.39%6.00%3.93%2.99%
San Francisco 49ers1.35%2.87%4.84%7.33%10.67%11.72%13.13%12.04%10.93%9.10%7.10%5.22%3.70%
Chicago Cardinals1.32%1.87%3.69%4.58%7.61%9.19%10.61%12.41%11.68%12.32%10.83%9.93%3.96%
Pittsburgh Steelers0.57%1.42%2.87%4.13%7.42%8.59%10.80%11.50%13.22%12.06%13.15%10.22%4.05%
New York Yanks0.46%1.44%2.42%4.30%6.47%7.76%9.97%10.67%12.28%12.57%12.25%10.18%9.23%
Washington Redskins0.19%0.42%0.89%2.07%3.22%5.87%7.81%10.20%12.28%13.90%14.47%18.27%10.41%
Baltimore Colts (1st)0.07%0.31%0.54%1.02%2.19%3.29%4.80%7.34%8.42%12.06%15.30%19.13%25.53%
Green Bay Packers0.02%0.07%0.21%0.57%1.38%2.53%3.69%4.81%7.12%9.16%13.57%18.38%38.49%

Win Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed). Click a division in the legend to toggle it.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Across the 10,000 regular-season simulations, the probability that each team finished as each playoff seed (or missed the playoffs entirely). Rows sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed; teams that more often missed the playoffs sit toward the bottom.

Team1 SeedMissed Playoffs
Cleveland Browns (1st)44.80%55.20%
Philadelphia Eagles41.34%58.66%
New York Giants7.96%92.04%
Chicago Cardinals3.13%96.87%
Pittsburgh Steelers2.06%97.94%
Washington Redskins0.71%99.29%
Team1 SeedMissed Playoffs
Chicago Bears54.96%45.04%
Los Angeles Rams30.02%69.98%
Detroit Lions7.55%92.45%
San Francisco 49ers4.55%95.45%
New York Yanks2.39%97.61%
Baltimore Colts (1st)0.45%99.55%
Green Bay Packers0.08%99.92%

Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed

Empirical cumulative distribution: for each seed in each conference, the probability that a team holding that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability — day by day. Pick a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces every team's game-by-game Elo trajectory through their playoff run — teams eliminated early have short lines, deeper runs extend further right; click a team in the legend to isolate it. Net Elo Change summarizes the same data as one bar per team from first playoff game to last, sorted biggest gain to biggest loss.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

Across 10,000 simulations starting from preseason Elo, every team had a chance to make the playoffs based on how the regular-season Monte Carlo played out. The default view sums those simulations up: what fraction of them had each team making the playoffs, advancing each round, and winning the title. The round buttons switch to heatmaps showing how often every pair of teams faced off in each round across all sims.

Team Made Playoffs Won Super Bowl
Cleveland Browns (1st) 44.80% 31.54%
Philadelphia Eagles 41.34% 24.58%
Chicago Bears 54.96% 22.43%
Los Angeles Rams 30.02% 11.70%
New York Giants 7.96% 4.48%
Detroit Lions 7.55% 1.84%
Chicago Cardinals 3.13% 1.32%
Pittsburgh Steelers 2.06% 0.86%
San Francisco 49ers 4.55% 0.65%
New York Yanks 2.39% 0.31%
Washington Redskins 0.71% 0.24%
Baltimore Colts (1st) 0.45% 0.05%
Green Bay Packers 0.08%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Baltimore Colts (1st)Chicago BearsChicago CardinalsCleveland Browns (1st)Detroit LionsGreen Bay PackersLos Angeles RamsNew York GiantsNew York YanksPhiladelphia EaglesPittsburgh SteelersSan Francisco 49ersWashington Redskins
Baltimore Colts (1st)0.01%0.01%0.01%0.02%
Chicago Bears0.80%7.88%2.10%10.66%0.73%0.26%
Chicago Cardinals0.43%0.19%0.50%0.09%0.11%
Cleveland Browns (1st)0.20%16.49%2.71%0.04%9.62%0.88%1.60%
Detroit Lions0.12%0.56%0.27%0.86%0.03%
Los Angeles Rams0.79%4.54%1.02%4.75%0.44%0.16%
New York Giants0.04%2.32%0.33%1.32%0.06%0.41%
New York Yanks0.04%0.08%0.01%0.16%0.01%0.01%
Philadelphia Eagles0.16%12.73%2.37%0.04%6.62%1.01%1.65%
Pittsburgh Steelers0.43%0.11%0.19%0.04%0.09%
San Francisco 49ers0.05%0.19%0.07%0.31%0.02%0.01%
Washington Redskins0.13%0.07%0.04%

Actual Bracket Simulation

With the actual playoff bracket fixed in place, this second simulation re-runs each matchup 10,000 times and tallies how often each team advanced past each round and won the title. The right-most column shows what actually happened. Round buttons switch to matchup heatmaps for that round.

Team Won Super Bowl
New York Giants 55.02%
Chicago Bears 44.98%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Chicago BearsNew York Giants
Chicago Bears44.98%
New York Giants55.02%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, the opponent they most often faced and defeated at each round across all bracket simulations. Each step shows two numbers: Matchup % is the fraction of this team's wins in this round that came against this opponent; Win % is the head-to-head probability they beat this opponent when the two meet. Note: fixed early-round matchups against bracket-determined opponents will show 100% Matchup — that's because those pairings are decided by the bracket.

New York Giants 55.02% chance to win
Super Bowl
vs. Chicago Bears
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
55.02%
Chicago Bears 44.98% chance to win
Super Bowl
vs. New York Giants
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
44.98%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Pick a team from the dropdown — it filters every table on this tab. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
1950-09-17 Washington Redskins L 14-38 1433.93 1453.38 54.56% 44.69% -43.33 0-1
1950-09-24 Cleveland Browns (1st) L 0-31 1390.60 1642.69 23.94% 75.32% -21.71 0-2
1950-10-02 @ Chicago Cardinals L 13-55 1368.89 1490.10 26.45% 72.81% -27.90 0-3
1950-10-15 Philadelphia Eagles L 14-24 1340.99 1686.74 15.51% 83.74% -7.99 0-4
1950-10-22 @ Los Angeles Rams L 27-70 1333.00 1573.20 15.34% 83.91% -16.41 0-5
1950-10-29 @ San Francisco 49ers L 14-17 1316.59 1439.78 26.23% 73.03% -7.39 0-6
1950-11-05 Green Bay Packers W 41-21 1309.20 1324.24 55.19% 44.07% +31.99 1-6
1950-11-12 @ Pittsburgh Steelers L 7-17 1341.19 1479.10 24.62% 74.63% -12.68 1-7
1950-11-19 New York Giants L 20-55 1328.51 1544.48 27.93% 71.33% -26.89 1-8
1950-11-26 @ Washington Redskins L 28-38 1301.62 1341.10 36.53% 62.72% -18.77 1-9
1950-12-03 Detroit Lions L 21-45 1282.85 1473.32 30.98% 68.28% -24.69 1-10
1950-12-10 @ New York Yanks L 14-51 1258.16 1409.55 23.21% 76.05% -22.99 1-11
1950-09-17 @ Los Angeles Rams W 24-20 1616.54 1559.04 50.15% 49.11% +15.93 1-0
1950-09-24 @ San Francisco 49ers W 32-20 1632.47 1540.88 55.03% 44.22% +24.87 2-0
1950-10-01 @ Green Bay Packers L 21-31 1657.34 1339.74 81.50% 17.75% -41.76 2-1
1950-10-08 Chicago Cardinals W 27-6 1615.58 1518.00 70.08% 29.18% +21.76 3-1
1950-10-15 Green Bay Packers W 28-14 1637.34 1350.45 87.09% 12.17% +7.42 4-1
1950-10-29 @ New York Yanks L 27-38 1644.76 1476.40 65.49% 33.76% -35.19 4-2
1950-11-05 @ Detroit Lions W 35-21 1609.57 1438.79 65.80% 33.45% +20.35 5-2
1950-11-12 New York Yanks W 28-20 1629.92 1511.59 72.48% 26.77% +12.33 6-2
1950-11-19 San Francisco 49ers W 17-0 1642.25 1426.76 81.97% 17.28% +11.62 7-2
1950-11-26 Los Angeles Rams W 24-14 1653.87 1658.16 56.71% 42.55% +21.84 8-2
1950-12-03 @ Chicago Cardinals L 10-20 1675.71 1478.82 69.06% 30.19% -35.38 8-3
1950-12-10 Detroit Lions W 6-3 1640.33 1498.01 75.10% 24.15% +6.81 9-3
1950-09-24 Philadelphia Eagles L 7-45 1537.69 1605.83 47.58% 51.68% -47.59 0-1
1950-10-02 Baltimore Colts (1st) W 55-13 1490.10 1368.89 72.81% 26.45% +27.90 1-1
1950-10-08 @ Chicago Bears L 6-27 1518.00 1615.58 29.18% 70.08% -21.76 1-2
1950-10-15 @ Cleveland Browns (1st) L 24-34 1496.24 1654.36 22.52% 76.73% -11.60 1-3
1950-10-22 @ Washington Redskins W 38-28 1484.64 1399.10 54.17% 45.09% +23.15 2-3
1950-10-29 New York Giants W 17-3 1507.79 1524.54 54.95% 44.31% +26.91 3-3
1950-11-05 Cleveland Browns (1st) L 7-10 1534.70 1667.09 38.54% 60.72% -10.85 3-4
1950-11-12 @ New York Giants L 21-51 1523.85 1504.79 44.64% 54.62% -39.68 3-5
1950-11-19 @ Philadelphia Eagles W 14-10 1484.17 1712.13 16.28% 82.97% +26.89 4-5
1950-11-23 Pittsburgh Steelers L 17-28 1511.06 1491.77 59.99% 39.27% -32.24 4-6
1950-12-03 Chicago Bears W 20-10 1478.82 1675.71 30.19% 69.06% +35.38 5-6
1950-12-10 @ Pittsburgh Steelers L 7-28 1514.20 1472.36 47.90% 51.36% -35.61 5-7
1950-09-16 @ Philadelphia Eagles W 35-10 1588.52 1660.00 32.38% 66.88% +54.17 1-0
1950-09-24 @ Baltimore Colts (1st) W 31-0 1642.69 1390.60 75.32% 23.94% +21.71 2-0
1950-10-01 New York Giants L 0-6 1664.40 1496.06 77.74% 21.52% -30.85 2-1
1950-10-07 @ Pittsburgh Steelers W 30-17 1633.55 1478.66 63.74% 35.52% +20.81 3-1
1950-10-15 Chicago Cardinals W 34-24 1654.36 1496.24 76.73% 22.52% +11.61 4-1
1950-10-22 @ New York Giants L 13-17 1665.97 1503.57 64.72% 34.53% -20.98 4-2
1950-10-29 Pittsburgh Steelers W 45-7 1644.99 1481.69 77.25% 22.01% +22.10 5-2
1950-11-05 @ Chicago Cardinals W 10-7 1667.09 1534.70 60.72% 38.54% +10.85 6-2
1950-11-12 San Francisco 49ers W 34-14 1677.94 1437.96 83.89% 15.36% +11.20 7-2
1950-11-19 Washington Redskins W 20-14 1689.14 1344.72 90.21% 9.05% +3.62 8-2
1950-12-03 Philadelphia Eagles W 13-7 1692.76 1666.39 60.96% 38.30% +15.24 9-2
1950-12-10 @ Washington Redskins W 45-21 1708.00 1411.53 79.65% 19.60% +15.65 10-2
1950-09-17 @ Green Bay Packers W 45-7 1450.43 1339.23 57.79% 41.46% +41.51 1-0
1950-09-24 Pittsburgh Steelers W 10-7 1491.94 1446.45 63.52% 35.73% +10.06 2-0
1950-09-29 @ New York Yanks L 21-44 1502.00 1363.21 61.59% 37.67% -47.86 2-1
1950-10-08 San Francisco 49ers W 24-7 1454.14 1477.83 53.96% 45.30% +30.32 3-1
1950-10-15 Los Angeles Rams L 28-30 1484.46 1562.61 46.14% 53.11% -10.59 3-2
1950-10-22 @ San Francisco 49ers L 27-28 1473.87 1432.01 47.90% 51.36% -7.78 3-3
1950-10-29 @ Los Angeles Rams L 24-65 1466.09 1589.60 26.19% 73.06% -27.30 3-4
1950-11-05 Chicago Bears L 21-35 1438.79 1609.57 33.45% 65.80% -20.35 3-5
1950-11-19 Green Bay Packers W 24-21 1418.44 1277.34 74.97% 24.28% +6.85 4-5
1950-11-23 New York Yanks W 49-14 1425.29 1482.14 49.20% 50.05% +48.03 5-5
1950-12-03 @ Baltimore Colts (1st) W 45-21 1473.32 1282.85 68.28% 30.98% +24.69 6-5
1950-12-10 @ Chicago Bears L 3-6 1498.01 1640.33 24.15% 75.10% -6.82 6-6
1950-09-17 Detroit Lions L 7-45 1339.23 1450.43 41.46% 57.79% -41.51 0-1
1950-09-24 Washington Redskins W 35-21 1297.72 1496.71 29.94% 69.32% +42.02 1-1
1950-10-01 Chicago Bears W 31-21 1339.74 1657.34 17.75% 81.50% +41.76 2-1
1950-10-08 New York Yanks L 31-44 1381.50 1411.07 53.12% 46.14% -31.05 2-2
1950-10-15 @ Chicago Bears L 14-28 1350.45 1637.34 12.17% 87.09% -7.43 2-3
1950-10-19 @ New York Yanks L 17-35 1343.02 1457.62 27.19% 72.06% -18.78 2-4
1950-11-05 @ Baltimore Colts (1st) L 21-41 1324.24 1309.20 44.07% 55.19% -31.99 2-5
1950-11-12 Los Angeles Rams L 14-45 1292.25 1626.12 16.43% 82.83% -14.91 2-6
1950-11-19 @ Detroit Lions L 21-24 1277.34 1418.44 24.28% 74.97% -6.85 2-7
1950-11-26 San Francisco 49ers W 25-21 1270.49 1415.14 36.88% 62.38% +20.21 3-7
1950-12-03 @ Los Angeles Rams L 14-51 1290.70 1636.31 8.99% 90.26% -8.93 3-8
1950-12-10 @ San Francisco 49ers L 14-30 1281.77 1394.93 27.36% 71.90% -17.81 3-9
1950-09-17 Chicago Bears L 20-24 1559.04 1616.54 49.11% 50.15% -15.94 0-1
1950-09-22 New York Yanks W 45-28 1543.10 1377.86 77.44% 21.82% +14.66 1-1
1950-10-01 @ San Francisco 49ers W 35-14 1557.76 1516.01 47.88% 51.37% +38.17 2-1
1950-10-07 @ Philadelphia Eagles L 20-56 1595.93 1653.42 34.16% 65.09% -33.32 2-2
1950-10-15 @ Detroit Lions W 30-28 1562.61 1484.46 53.11% 46.14% +10.59 3-2
1950-10-22 Baltimore Colts (1st) W 70-27 1573.20 1333.00 83.91% 15.34% +16.40 4-2
1950-10-29 Detroit Lions W 65-24 1589.60 1466.09 73.06% 26.19% +27.30 5-2
1950-11-05 San Francisco 49ers W 28-21 1616.90 1447.18 77.87% 21.38% +9.22 6-2
1950-11-12 @ Green Bay Packers W 45-14 1626.12 1292.25 82.83% 16.43% +14.91 7-2
1950-11-19 @ New York Yanks W 43-35 1641.03 1499.27 61.99% 37.27% +17.13 8-2
1950-11-26 @ Chicago Bears L 14-24 1658.16 1653.87 42.55% 56.71% -21.85 8-3
1950-12-03 Green Bay Packers W 51-14 1636.31 1290.70 90.26% 8.99% +8.93 9-3
1950-09-17 @ Pittsburgh Steelers W 18-7 1464.20 1478.30 39.98% 59.27% +31.86 1-0
1950-10-01 @ Cleveland Browns (1st) W 6-0 1496.06 1664.40 21.52% 77.74% +30.85 2-0
1950-10-08 @ Washington Redskins W 21-17 1526.91 1412.42 58.25% 41.00% +13.32 3-0
1950-10-15 Pittsburgh Steelers L 6-17 1540.23 1457.85 68.24% 31.02% -36.66 3-1
1950-10-22 Cleveland Browns (1st) W 17-13 1503.57 1665.97 34.53% 64.72% +20.97 4-1
1950-10-29 @ Chicago Cardinals L 3-17 1524.54 1507.79 44.31% 54.95% -26.91 4-2
1950-11-05 Washington Redskins W 24-21 1497.63 1367.03 73.85% 25.41% +7.16 5-2
1950-11-12 Chicago Cardinals W 51-21 1504.79 1523.85 54.62% 44.64% +39.69 6-2
1950-11-19 @ Baltimore Colts (1st) W 55-20 1544.48 1328.51 71.33% 27.93% +26.89 7-2
1950-11-26 Philadelphia Eagles W 7-3 1571.37 1685.24 41.09% 58.17% +18.85 8-2
1950-12-03 New York Yanks W 51-7 1590.22 1434.11 76.53% 22.73% +24.55 9-2
1950-12-10 @ Philadelphia Eagles W 9-7 1614.77 1651.14 36.95% 62.31% +14.28 10-2
1950-09-17 @ San Francisco 49ers W 21-17 1351.28 1567.46 17.23% 82.03% +26.58 1-0
1950-09-22 @ Los Angeles Rams L 28-45 1377.86 1543.10 21.82% 77.44% -14.65 1-1
1950-09-29 Detroit Lions W 44-21 1363.21 1502.00 37.67% 61.59% +47.86 2-1
1950-10-08 @ Green Bay Packers W 44-31 1411.07 1381.50 46.14% 53.12% +31.05 3-1
1950-10-12 San Francisco 49ers W 29-24 1442.12 1447.51 56.55% 42.70% +15.50 4-1
1950-10-19 Green Bay Packers W 35-17 1457.62 1343.02 72.06% 27.19% +18.78 5-1
1950-10-29 Chicago Bears W 38-27 1476.40 1644.76 33.76% 65.49% +35.19 6-1
1950-11-12 @ Chicago Bears L 20-28 1511.59 1629.92 26.77% 72.48% -12.32 6-2
1950-11-19 Los Angeles Rams L 35-43 1499.27 1641.03 37.27% 61.99% -17.13 6-3
1950-11-23 @ Detroit Lions L 14-49 1482.14 1425.29 50.05% 49.20% -48.03 6-4
1950-12-03 @ New York Giants L 7-51 1434.11 1590.22 22.73% 76.53% -24.56 6-5
1950-12-10 Baltimore Colts (1st) W 51-14 1409.55 1258.16 76.05% 23.21% +22.99 7-5
1950-09-16 Cleveland Browns (1st) L 10-35 1660.00 1588.52 66.88% 32.38% -54.17 0-1
1950-09-24 @ Chicago Cardinals W 45-7 1605.83 1537.69 51.68% 47.58% +47.59 1-1
1950-10-07 Los Angeles Rams W 56-20 1653.42 1595.93 65.09% 34.16% +33.32 2-1
1950-10-15 @ Baltimore Colts (1st) W 24-14 1686.74 1340.99 83.74% 15.51% +8.00 3-1
1950-10-22 @ Pittsburgh Steelers W 17-10 1694.74 1494.51 69.47% 29.79% +12.82 4-1
1950-10-29 Washington Redskins W 35-3 1707.56 1375.96 89.58% 9.67% +8.93 5-1
1950-11-05 Pittsburgh Steelers L 7-9 1716.49 1459.59 85.12% 14.14% -19.50 5-2
1950-11-12 @ Washington Redskins W 33-0 1696.99 1359.86 83.08% 16.17% +15.14 6-2
1950-11-19 Chicago Cardinals L 10-14 1712.13 1484.17 82.97% 16.28% -26.89 6-3
1950-11-26 @ New York Giants L 3-7 1685.24 1571.37 58.17% 41.09% -18.85 6-4
1950-12-03 @ Cleveland Browns (1st) L 7-13 1666.39 1692.76 38.30% 60.96% -15.25 6-5
1950-12-10 New York Giants L 7-9 1651.14 1614.77 62.31% 36.95% -14.27 6-6
1950-09-17 New York Giants L 7-18 1478.30 1464.20 59.27% 39.98% -31.85 0-1
1950-09-24 @ Detroit Lions L 7-10 1446.45 1491.94 35.73% 63.52% -10.06 0-2
1950-10-01 @ Washington Redskins W 26-7 1436.39 1454.70 39.40% 59.85% +42.27 1-2
1950-10-07 Cleveland Browns (1st) L 17-30 1478.66 1633.55 35.52% 63.74% -20.81 1-3
1950-10-15 @ New York Giants W 17-6 1457.85 1540.23 31.02% 68.24% +36.66 2-3
1950-10-22 Philadelphia Eagles L 10-17 1494.51 1694.74 29.79% 69.47% -12.82 2-4
1950-10-29 @ Cleveland Browns (1st) L 7-45 1481.69 1644.99 22.01% 77.25% -22.10 2-5
1950-11-05 @ Philadelphia Eagles W 9-7 1459.59 1716.49 14.14% 85.12% +19.51 3-5
1950-11-12 Baltimore Colts (1st) W 17-7 1479.10 1341.19 74.63% 24.62% +12.67 4-5
1950-11-23 @ Chicago Cardinals W 28-17 1491.77 1511.06 39.27% 59.99% +32.24 5-5
1950-12-03 Washington Redskins L 7-24 1524.01 1359.87 77.33% 21.93% -51.65 5-6
1950-12-10 Chicago Cardinals W 28-7 1472.36 1514.20 51.36% 47.90% +35.61 6-6
1950-09-17 New York Yanks L 17-21 1567.46 1351.28 82.03% 17.23% -26.58 0-1
1950-09-24 Chicago Bears L 20-32 1540.88 1632.47 44.22% 55.03% -24.87 0-2
1950-10-01 Los Angeles Rams L 14-35 1516.01 1557.76 51.37% 47.88% -38.18 0-3
1950-10-08 @ Detroit Lions L 7-24 1477.83 1454.14 45.30% 53.96% -30.32 0-4
1950-10-12 @ New York Yanks L 24-29 1447.51 1442.12 42.70% 56.55% -15.50 0-5
1950-10-22 Detroit Lions W 28-27 1432.01 1473.87 51.36% 47.90% +7.77 1-5
1950-10-29 Baltimore Colts (1st) W 17-14 1439.78 1316.59 73.03% 26.23% +7.40 2-5
1950-11-05 @ Los Angeles Rams L 21-28 1447.18 1616.90 21.38% 77.87% -9.22 2-6
1950-11-12 @ Cleveland Browns (1st) L 14-34 1437.96 1677.94 15.36% 83.89% -11.20 2-7
1950-11-19 @ Chicago Bears L 0-17 1426.76 1642.25 17.28% 81.97% -11.62 2-8
1950-11-26 @ Green Bay Packers L 21-25 1415.14 1270.49 62.38% 36.88% -20.21 2-9
1950-12-10 Green Bay Packers W 30-14 1394.93 1281.77 71.90% 27.36% +17.81 3-9
1950-09-17 @ Baltimore Colts (1st) W 38-14 1453.38 1433.93 44.69% 54.56% +43.33 1-0
1950-09-24 @ Green Bay Packers L 21-35 1496.71 1297.72 69.32% 29.94% -42.01 1-1
1950-10-01 Pittsburgh Steelers L 7-26 1454.70 1436.39 59.85% 39.40% -42.28 1-2
1950-10-08 New York Giants L 17-21 1412.42 1526.91 41.00% 58.25% -13.32 1-3
1950-10-22 Chicago Cardinals L 28-38 1399.10 1484.64 45.09% 54.17% -23.14 1-4
1950-10-29 @ Philadelphia Eagles L 3-35 1375.96 1707.56 9.67% 89.58% -8.93 1-5
1950-11-05 @ New York Giants L 21-24 1367.03 1497.63 25.41% 73.85% -7.17 1-6
1950-11-12 Philadelphia Eagles L 0-33 1359.86 1696.99 16.17% 83.08% -15.14 1-7
1950-11-19 @ Cleveland Browns (1st) L 14-20 1344.72 1689.14 9.05% 90.21% -3.62 1-8
1950-11-26 Baltimore Colts (1st) W 38-28 1341.10 1301.62 62.72% 36.53% +18.77 2-8
1950-12-03 @ Pittsburgh Steelers W 24-7 1359.87 1524.01 21.93% 77.33% +51.66 3-8
1950-12-10 Cleveland Browns (1st) L 21-45 1411.53 1708.00 19.60% 79.65% -15.65 3-9

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from each team's perspective, controlled by the team filter above. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
1950-12-17 @ Los Angeles Rams L 14-24 1647.14 1645.24 42.58% 57.42% -21.67 0-1
1950-12-17 New York Giants W 8-3 1723.65 1629.05 70.16% 29.84% +10.74 1-0
1950-12-24 Los Angeles Rams W 30-28 1734.39 1666.91 66.79% 33.21% +7.56 2-0
1950-12-17 Chicago Bears W 24-14 1645.24 1647.14 57.42% 42.58% +21.67 1-0
1950-12-24 @ Cleveland Browns (1st) L 28-30 1666.91 1734.39 33.21% 66.79% -7.56 1-1
1950-12-17 @ Cleveland Browns (1st) L 3-8 1629.05 1723.65 29.84% 70.16% -10.74 0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1950-11-05 14.14% Pittsburgh Steelers 1459.59 9 @ Philadelphia Eagles 1716.49 7
2 1950-11-19 16.28% Chicago Cardinals 1484.17 14 @ Philadelphia Eagles 1712.13 10
3 1950-09-17 17.23% New York Yanks 1351.28 21 @ San Francisco 49ers 1567.46 17
4 1950-10-01 17.75% @ Green Bay Packers 1339.74 31 Chicago Bears 1657.34 21
5 1950-10-01 21.52% New York Giants 1496.06 6 @ Cleveland Browns (1st) 1664.40 0
6 1950-12-03 21.93% Washington Redskins 1359.87 24 @ Pittsburgh Steelers 1524.01 7
7 1950-09-24 29.94% @ Green Bay Packers 1297.72 35 Washington Redskins 1496.71 21
8 1950-12-03 30.19% @ Chicago Cardinals 1478.82 20 Chicago Bears 1675.71 10
9 1950-10-15 31.02% Pittsburgh Steelers 1457.85 17 @ New York Giants 1540.23 6
10 1950-09-16 32.38% Cleveland Browns (1st) 1588.52 35 @ Philadelphia Eagles 1660.00 10
11 1950-10-29 33.76% @ New York Yanks 1476.40 38 Chicago Bears 1644.76 27
12 1950-10-22 34.53% @ New York Giants 1503.57 17 Cleveland Browns (1st) 1665.97 13
13 1950-11-26 36.88% @ Green Bay Packers 1270.49 25 San Francisco 49ers 1415.14 21
14 1950-12-10 36.95% New York Giants 1614.77 9 @ Philadelphia Eagles 1651.14 7
15 1950-09-29 37.67% @ New York Yanks 1363.21 44 Detroit Lions 1502.00 21
16 1950-11-23 39.27% Pittsburgh Steelers 1491.77 28 @ Chicago Cardinals 1511.06 17
17 1950-10-01 39.40% Pittsburgh Steelers 1436.39 26 @ Washington Redskins 1454.70 7
18 1950-09-17 39.98% New York Giants 1464.20 18 @ Pittsburgh Steelers 1478.30 7
19 1950-11-26 41.09% @ New York Giants 1571.37 7 Philadelphia Eagles 1685.24 3
20 1950-09-17 44.69% Washington Redskins 1453.38 38 @ Baltimore Colts (1st) 1433.93 14
21 1950-10-08 46.14% New York Yanks 1411.07 44 @ Green Bay Packers 1381.50 31
22 1950-10-01 47.88% Los Angeles Rams 1557.76 35 @ San Francisco 49ers 1516.01 14
23 1950-11-23 49.20% @ Detroit Lions 1425.29 49 New York Yanks 1482.14 14

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1950-09-16 54.17 Cleveland Browns (1st) 35 1588.52 32.38% @ Philadelphia Eagles 10 1660.00 66.88%
2 1950-12-03 51.66 Washington Redskins 24 1359.87 21.93% @ Pittsburgh Steelers 7 1524.01 77.33%
3 1950-11-23 48.03 @ Detroit Lions 49 1425.29 49.20% New York Yanks 14 1482.14 50.05%
4 1950-09-29 47.86 @ New York Yanks 44 1363.21 37.67% Detroit Lions 21 1502.00 61.59%
5 1950-09-24 47.59 Philadelphia Eagles 45 1605.83 51.68% @ Chicago Cardinals 7 1537.69 47.58%
6 1950-09-17 43.33 Washington Redskins 38 1453.38 44.69% @ Baltimore Colts (1st) 14 1433.93 54.56%
7 1950-10-01 42.28 Pittsburgh Steelers 26 1436.39 39.40% @ Washington Redskins 7 1454.70 59.85%
8 1950-09-24 42.02 @ Green Bay Packers 35 1297.72 29.94% Washington Redskins 21 1496.71 69.32%
9 1950-10-01 41.76 @ Green Bay Packers 31 1339.74 17.75% Chicago Bears 21 1657.34 81.50%
10 1950-09-17 41.51 Detroit Lions 45 1450.43 57.79% @ Green Bay Packers 7 1339.23 41.46%
11 1950-11-12 39.69 @ New York Giants 51 1504.79 54.62% Chicago Cardinals 21 1523.85 44.64%
12 1950-10-01 38.18 Los Angeles Rams 35 1557.76 47.88% @ San Francisco 49ers 14 1516.01 51.37%
13 1950-10-15 36.66 Pittsburgh Steelers 17 1457.85 31.02% @ New York Giants 6 1540.23 68.24%
14 1950-12-10 35.61 @ Pittsburgh Steelers 28 1472.36 51.36% Chicago Cardinals 7 1514.20 47.90%
15 1950-12-03 35.38 @ Chicago Cardinals 20 1478.82 30.19% Chicago Bears 10 1675.71 69.06%
16 1950-10-29 35.19 @ New York Yanks 38 1476.40 33.76% Chicago Bears 27 1644.76 65.49%
17 1950-10-07 33.32 @ Philadelphia Eagles 56 1653.42 65.09% Los Angeles Rams 20 1595.93 34.16%
18 1950-11-23 32.24 Pittsburgh Steelers 28 1491.77 39.27% @ Chicago Cardinals 17 1511.06 59.99%
19 1950-11-05 31.99 @ Baltimore Colts (1st) 41 1309.20 55.19% Green Bay Packers 21 1324.24 44.07%
20 1950-09-17 31.86 New York Giants 18 1464.20 39.98% @ Pittsburgh Steelers 7 1478.30 59.27%
21 1950-10-08 31.05 New York Yanks 44 1411.07 46.14% @ Green Bay Packers 31 1381.50 53.12%
22 1950-10-01 30.85 New York Giants 6 1496.06 21.52% @ Cleveland Browns (1st) 0 1664.40 77.74%
23 1950-10-08 30.32 @ Detroit Lions 24 1454.14 53.96% San Francisco 49ers 7 1477.83 45.30%
24 1950-10-02 27.90 @ Chicago Cardinals 55 1490.10 72.81% Baltimore Colts (1st) 13 1368.89 26.45%
25 1950-10-29 27.30 @ Los Angeles Rams 65 1589.60 73.06% Detroit Lions 24 1466.09 26.19%