1951 NFL Season

72 regular-season games · 2 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Los Angeles Rams

2nd Title

Last Title: 1945

Runner-Up

Cleveland Browns (1st)

2nd Appearance

Last Appearance: 1950

Biggest Overachiever

Cleveland Browns (1st)

2.52 wins above expected

11 wins · 8.48 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Philadelphia Eagles

2.46 wins below expected

4 wins · 6.46 expected wins

Final Standings

Regular-season records by division. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive means the team overachieved, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Cleveland Browns (1st) Division	11	1	0	.917	—	331	152	+179	8.48	+2.52
2	New York Giants	9	2	1	.792	1.5	254	161	+93	7.74	+1.76
3	Washington Redskins	5	7	0	.417	6	183	296	-113	4.12	+0.88
4	Pittsburgh Steelers	4	7	1	.375	6.5	183	235	-52	5.38	-0.88
5	Philadelphia Eagles	4	8	0	.333	7	234	264	-30	6.46	-2.46
6	Chicago Cardinals	3	9	0	.250	8	210	287	-77	4.35	-1.35

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Los Angeles Rams Division	8	4	0	.667	—	392	261	+131	7.95	+0.05
2	San Francisco 49ers	7	4	1	.625	0.5	255	205	+50	5.91	+1.59
3	Detroit Lions	7	4	1	.625	0.5	336	259	+77	6.80	+0.70
4	Chicago Bears	7	5	0	.583	1	286	282	+4	7.48	-0.48
5	Green Bay Packers	3	9	0	.250	5	254	375	-121	3.56	-0.56
6	New York Yanks	1	9	2	.167	6	241	382	-141	3.77	-1.77

Playoff Bracket

The path each team took through the postseason — reconstructed from actual playoff games, not the simulation.

NFL Championship Game

Los Angeles Rams 24

Cleveland Browns (1st) 17

Dec 23

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort; use the dropdown to filter by Conference or Division. Luck is the team's actual outcome minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Conference	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Cleveland Browns (1st)	East	1759	11	8.48	+2.52	99.27%	2	6	7	8	9	11	12
New York Giants	East	1655	9.5	7.74	+1.76	90.74%	2	5	6	7	8	10	12
Los Angeles Rams	West	1610	8	7.95	+0.05	70.38%	2	5	7	8	9	10	12
Detroit Lions	West	1560	7.5	6.80	+0.70	72.79%	1	4	5	6	8	9	12
San Francisco 49ers	West	1549	7.5	5.91	+1.59	88.48%	0	3	4	6	7	8	11
Chicago Bears	West	1498	7	7.48	-0.48	58.36%	1	4	6	7	8	10	12
Philadelphia Eagles	East	1490	4	6.46	-2.46	16.36%	1	3	5	6	7	9	11
Pittsburgh Steelers	East	1449	4.5	5.38	-0.88	37.80%	0	2	4	5	6	8	11
Chicago Cardinals	East	1419	3	4.35	-1.35	38.91%	0	2	3	4	5	7	11
Washington Redskins	East	1407	5	4.12	+0.88	86.43%	0	1	3	4	5	6	10
New York Yanks	West	1319	2	3.77	-1.77	28.00%	0	1	2	3	4	6	10
Green Bay Packers	West	1285	3	3.56	-0.56	59.28%	0	1	2	3	4	6	9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record (row vs column) and below it the expected number of wins the model predicted based on each individual game's win probability. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than half a win in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin. The first matrix for each division covers within-division games; the second (when shown) covers games against teams outside that division — aggregated by division when there are many opponents, broken out team-by-team when there are few.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within East

Team	Cardinals	(1st)	Giants	Eagles	Steelers	Redskins
Chicago Cardinals	—	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)
Cleveland Browns (1st)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)
New York Giants	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-0-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	0-1-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Washington Redskins	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—

East vs. Outside Teams

Team	Bears	Lions	Packers	Rams	Yanks	49ers
Chicago Cardinals	2-0 (0.6 exp.)	—	—	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.3 exp.)
Cleveland Browns (1st)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	—	—	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.7 exp.)
New York Giants	—	—	—	—	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	—
Philadelphia Eagles	—	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	—	1-0 (0.6 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	—	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—	—	0-1 (0.5 exp.)
Washington Redskins	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.2 exp.)	—	—

Within West

Team	Bears	Lions	Packers	Rams	Yanks	49ers
Chicago Bears	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)
Detroit Lions	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-0-1 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
New York Yanks	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-1-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	—	0-1-1 (0.5 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	2-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-0-1 (1.3 exp.)	—

West vs. Outside Teams

Team	Cardinals	(1st)	Giants	Eagles	Steelers	Redskins
Chicago Bears	0-2 (1.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	—	—	—	1-0 (0.7 exp.)
Detroit Lions	—	—	—	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.5 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	—	—	—	1-0 (0.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—
Los Angeles Rams	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	—	—	—	0-1 (0.7 exp.)
New York Yanks	—	—	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	—	—	—
San Francisco 49ers	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.2 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	—

Scoring Distribution

Histograms of points scored and allowed, a home-vs-away score scatter (marker size grows with how often that exact score happened), and summary stats — all driven by the team filter below. Default view is league-wide.

Filter by team:

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	—
Mean allowed	—
StdDev scored	—
StdDev allowed	—
Correlation (home vs away score)	—
Sample size (games)	—

Actual vs. Point Differential

How points translated into wins. Teams above the cluster overperformed their points differential (often called Pythagorean luck), while teams below underperformed. Hover for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams furthest from where the simulation said they'd land — a fast read of the Luck column on top of the main season summary above.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Cleveland Browns (1st)	11	8.48	+2.52
2	New York Giants	9.5	7.74	+1.76
3	San Francisco 49ers	7.5	5.91	+1.59
4	Washington Redskins	5	4.12	+0.88
5	Detroit Lions	7.5	6.80	+0.70

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Philadelphia Eagles	4	6.46	-2.46
2	New York Yanks	2	3.77	-1.77
3	Chicago Cardinals	3	4.35	-1.35
4	Pittsburgh Steelers	4.5	5.38	-0.88
5	Green Bay Packers	3	3.56	-0.56

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/T/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Cleveland Browns (1st)	11	Oct 7 – Dec 16	1 in 90
2	Green Bay Packers	2	Oct 7 – Oct 14	1 in 22
3	Washington Redskins	2	Oct 21 – Oct 28	1 in 13
4	Detroit Lions	4	Nov 4 – Nov 22	1 in 12
5	San Francisco 49ers	3	Dec 2 – Dec 16	1 in 10

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Philadelphia Eagles	3	Oct 14 – Oct 28	1 in 47
2	Chicago Cardinals	5	Oct 14 – Nov 11	1 in 25
3	Green Bay Packers	7	Nov 4 – Dec 16	1 in 17
4	Pittsburgh Steelers	3	Oct 7 – Oct 21	1 in 12
5	New York Yanks	4	Oct 28 – Nov 18	1 in 6

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we add up those probabilities over home games and compare to actual home wins — and do the same on the road. The bar height is (home wins above expected) minus (road wins above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real Coors-style edge. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between divisions, leagues, and the overall NFL view. Rows are sorted by the simulation's average finish (best at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6
Cleveland Browns (1st)	53.37%	27.45%	12.60%	4.68%	1.61%	0.29%
New York Giants	29.80%	34.97%	20.22%	9.74%	4.03%	1.24%
Philadelphia Eagles	11.17%	21.61%	29.92%	20.70%	11.40%	5.20%
Pittsburgh Steelers	4.05%	10.10%	19.65%	28.81%	23.38%	14.01%
Chicago Cardinals	0.94%	3.44%	9.65%	19.70%	31.25%	35.02%
Washington Redskins	0.67%	2.43%	7.96%	16.37%	28.33%	44.24%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6
Los Angeles Rams	42.82%	28.58%	17.29%	8.45%	2.38%	0.48%
Chicago Bears	32.42%	30.40%	20.89%	11.53%	3.79%	0.97%
Detroit Lions	16.06%	23.20%	27.39%	22.29%	8.34%	2.72%
San Francisco 49ers	7.94%	14.83%	24.95%	32.12%	14.91%	5.25%
New York Yanks	0.54%	1.84%	4.97%	13.39%	35.12%	44.14%
Green Bay Packers	0.22%	1.15%	4.51%	12.22%	35.46%	46.44%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Cleveland Browns (1st)	34.23%	20.21%	14.80%	11.23%	8.18%	5.12%	3.19%	1.70%	0.82%	0.36%	0.11%	0.05%
Los Angeles Rams	20.55%	19.97%	16.90%	13.29%	10.55%	7.31%	5.27%	3.19%	1.51%	0.84%	0.42%	0.20%
New York Giants	15.94%	17.05%	17.19%	15.47%	11.28%	8.79%	5.96%	3.82%	2.31%	1.30%	0.69%	0.20%
Chicago Bears	13.84%	16.79%	15.02%	15.23%	12.04%	10.04%	6.87%	4.77%	2.55%	1.68%	0.75%	0.42%
Detroit Lions	6.25%	9.86%	11.78%	12.41%	13.39%	13.18%	11.51%	9.26%	5.40%	3.88%	2.07%	1.01%
Philadelphia Eagles	4.72%	7.40%	9.98%	11.82%	13.77%	13.80%	11.97%	10.46%	7.07%	4.72%	2.93%	1.36%
San Francisco 49ers	2.58%	4.34%	6.69%	8.74%	11.38%	14.00%	14.36%	14.02%	9.60%	7.31%	4.31%	2.67%
Pittsburgh Steelers	1.27%	2.77%	4.24%	5.88%	9.04%	10.80%	13.71%	15.22%	13.38%	10.07%	8.18%	5.44%
Chicago Cardinals	0.26%	0.72%	1.30%	2.53%	3.85%	5.85%	9.43%	11.16%	16.08%	16.54%	17.55%	14.73%
Washington Redskins	0.22%	0.44%	1.04%	1.68%	3.21%	4.68%	7.49%	10.40%	15.00%	16.38%	21.21%	18.25%
New York Yanks	0.10%	0.31%	0.69%	1.05%	1.83%	3.27%	5.48%	8.11%	12.96%	19.07%	21.26%	25.87%
Green Bay Packers	0.04%	0.14%	0.37%	0.67%	1.48%	3.16%	4.76%	7.89%	13.32%	17.85%	20.52%	29.80%

Win Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed). Click a division in the legend to toggle it.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Across the 10,000 regular-season simulations, the probability that each team finished as each playoff seed (or missed the playoffs entirely). Rows sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed; teams that more often missed the playoffs sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Cleveland Browns (1st)	53.37%	46.63%
New York Giants	29.80%	70.20%
Philadelphia Eagles	11.17%	88.83%
Pittsburgh Steelers	4.05%	95.95%
Chicago Cardinals	0.94%	99.06%
Washington Redskins	0.67%	99.33%

Team	1 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Los Angeles Rams	42.82%	57.18%
Chicago Bears	32.42%	67.58%
Detroit Lions	16.06%	83.94%
San Francisco 49ers	7.94%	92.06%
New York Yanks	0.54%	99.46%
Green Bay Packers	0.22%	99.78%

Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed

Empirical cumulative distribution: for each seed in each conference, the probability that a team holding that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability — day by day. Pick a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces every team's game-by-game Elo trajectory through their playoff run — teams eliminated early have short lines, deeper runs extend further right; click a team in the legend to isolate it. Net Elo Change summarizes the same data as one bar per team from first playoff game to last, sorted biggest gain to biggest loss.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

Across 10,000 simulations starting from preseason Elo, every team had a chance to make the playoffs based on how the regular-season Monte Carlo played out. The default view sums those simulations up: what fraction of them had each team making the playoffs, advancing each round, and winning the title. The round buttons switch to heatmaps showing how often every pair of teams faced off in each round across all sims.

Team	Made Playoffs	Won Super Bowl
Cleveland Browns (1st)	53.37%	41.12%
New York Giants	29.80%	18.60%
Los Angeles Rams	42.82%	17.35%
Chicago Bears	32.42%	8.67%
Detroit Lions	16.06%	5.11%
Philadelphia Eagles	11.17%	4.57%
San Francisco 49ers	7.94%	2.58%
Pittsburgh Steelers	4.05%	1.45%
Chicago Cardinals	0.94%	0.29%
Washington Redskins	0.67%	0.18%
New York Yanks	0.54%	0.05%
Green Bay Packers	0.22%	0.03%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Bears	Chicago Cardinals	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	New York Giants	New York Yanks	Philadelphia Eagles	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Francisco 49ers	Washington Redskins
Chicago Bears		0.16%	2.97%				2.72%		1.89%	0.86%		0.07%
Chicago Cardinals	0.05%			0.11%		0.11%					0.02%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	13.98%			7.13%	0.10%	16.17%		0.36%			3.38%
Detroit Lions		0.18%	1.94%				1.70%		0.81%	0.43%		0.05%
Green Bay Packers			0.02%				0.01%
Los Angeles Rams		0.25%	6.28%				5.99%		3.40%	1.18%		0.25%
New York Giants	6.88%			2.90%	0.06%	7.06%		0.10%			1.60%
New York Yanks			0.02%						0.01%	0.01%		0.01%
Philadelphia Eagles	2.04%			0.62%	0.01%	1.59%		0.02%			0.29%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.73%			0.18%	0.01%	0.45%		0.01%			0.07%
San Francisco 49ers		0.06%	1.02%				0.78%		0.49%	0.12%		0.11%
Washington Redskins	0.07%			0.01%	0.01%	0.09%

Actual Bracket Simulation

With the actual playoff bracket fixed in place, this second simulation re-runs each matchup 10,000 times and tallies how often each team advanced past each round and won the title. The right-most column shows what actually happened. Round buttons switch to matchup heatmaps for that round.

Team	Won Super Bowl
Cleveland Browns (1st)	70.03%
Los Angeles Rams	29.97%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Los Angeles Rams
Cleveland Browns (1st)		70.03%
Los Angeles Rams	29.97%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, the opponent they most often faced and defeated at each round across all bracket simulations. Each step shows two numbers: Matchup % is the fraction of this team's wins in this round that came against this opponent; Win % is the head-to-head probability they beat this opponent when the two meet. Note: fixed early-round matchups against bracket-determined opponents will show 100% Matchup — that's because those pairings are decided by the bracket.

Cleveland Browns (1st) 70.03% chance to win

Super Bowl

vs. Los Angeles Rams

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

70.03%

Los Angeles Rams 29.97% chance to win

Super Bowl

vs. Cleveland Browns (1st)

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

29.97%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Pick a team from the dropdown — it filters every table on this tab. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1951-09-30	@ Green Bay Packers	W 31-20	1553.52	1348.22	72.80%	21.38%	+11.97	1-0
1951-10-07	@ Chicago Cardinals	L 14-28	1565.49	1464.19	61.01%	33.12%	-36.91	1-1
1951-10-14	New York Yanks	W 24-21	1528.58	1383.77	66.33%	27.82%	+8.06	2-1
1951-10-21	San Francisco 49ers	W 13-7	1536.64	1483.24	54.61%	39.50%	+15.96	3-1
1951-10-28	@ Detroit Lions	W 28-23	1552.60	1519.85	51.73%	42.38%	+15.57	4-1
1951-11-04	@ Washington Redskins	W 27-0	1568.17	1402.47	68.69%	25.46%	+22.21	5-1
1951-11-11	Detroit Lions	L 28-41	1590.38	1518.04	57.20%	36.92%	-33.40	5-2
1951-11-18	Green Bay Packers	W 24-13	1556.98	1345.77	73.37%	20.81%	+11.66	6-2
1951-11-25	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 21-42	1568.64	1703.18	29.02%	65.12%	-22.22	6-3
1951-12-02	Los Angeles Rams	L 17-42	1546.42	1574.60	43.03%	51.08%	-35.32	6-4
1951-12-09	@ New York Yanks	W 45-21	1511.10	1347.11	68.50%	25.65%	+21.09	7-4
1951-12-16	Chicago Cardinals	L 14-24	1532.19	1385.14	66.59%	27.56%	-34.01	7-5
1951-09-30	Philadelphia Eagles	L 14-17	1473.35	1585.34	31.77%	62.36%	-9.16	0-1
1951-10-07	Chicago Bears	W 28-14	1464.19	1565.49	33.12%	61.01%	+36.90	1-1
1951-10-14	@ New York Giants	L 17-28	1501.09	1572.22	37.08%	57.03%	-20.34	1-2
1951-10-21	@ Washington Redskins	L 3-7	1480.75	1359.48	63.51%	30.62%	-20.52	1-3
1951-10-28	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 14-28	1460.23	1443.38	49.47%	44.64%	-30.15	1-4
1951-11-04	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 17-34	1430.08	1661.18	18.99%	75.21%	-13.25	1-5
1951-11-11	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 21-45	1416.83	1574.76	26.32%	67.83%	-21.63	1-6
1951-11-18	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 27-21	1395.20	1514.93	30.81%	63.32%	+25.07	2-6
1951-11-25	New York Giants	L 0-10	1420.27	1596.68	24.31%	69.85%	-12.93	2-7
1951-12-02	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 28-49	1407.34	1725.40	12.45%	81.82%	-9.72	2-8
1951-12-09	Washington Redskins	L 17-20	1397.62	1419.33	43.94%	50.16%	-12.48	2-9
1951-12-16	@ Chicago Bears	W 24-14	1385.14	1532.19	27.56%	66.59%	+34.01	3-9
1951-09-30	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 10-24	1628.28	1438.36	71.26%	22.91%	-43.07	0-1
1951-10-07	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 38-23	1585.21	1606.89	43.95%	50.16%	+31.62	1-1
1951-10-14	Washington Redskins	W 45-0	1616.83	1380.54	75.66%	18.54%	+21.05	2-1
1951-10-21	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 17-0	1637.88	1460.14	69.99%	24.17%	+16.76	3-1
1951-10-28	New York Giants	W 14-13	1654.64	1602.52	54.44%	39.68%	+6.54	4-1
1951-11-04	@ Chicago Cardinals	W 34-17	1661.18	1430.08	75.21%	18.99%	+13.25	5-1
1951-11-11	Philadelphia Eagles	W 20-17	1674.43	1560.36	62.62%	31.51%	+9.09	6-1
1951-11-18	@ New York Giants	W 10-0	1683.52	1616.34	56.50%	37.62%	+19.66	7-1
1951-11-25	Chicago Bears	W 42-21	1703.18	1568.64	65.12%	29.02%	+22.22	8-1
1951-12-02	Chicago Cardinals	W 49-28	1725.40	1407.34	81.82%	12.45%	+9.73	9-1
1951-12-09	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 28-0	1735.13	1436.28	80.55%	13.70%	+12.35	10-1
1951-12-16	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 24-9	1747.48	1501.84	76.47%	17.74%	+11.65	11-1
1951-09-30	Washington Redskins	W 35-17	1481.29	1429.19	54.43%	39.68%	+27.75	1-0
1951-10-08	New York Yanks	W 37-10	1509.04	1412.93	60.34%	33.79%	+29.16	2-0
1951-10-14	Los Angeles Rams	L 21-27	1538.20	1575.28	41.77%	52.34%	-16.82	2-1
1951-10-21	New York Yanks	T 24-24	1521.38	1375.71	66.43%	27.72%	-1.53	2-1
1951-10-28	Chicago Bears	L 23-28	1519.85	1552.60	42.38%	51.73%	-15.56	2-2
1951-11-04	@ Green Bay Packers	W 24-17	1504.29	1387.73	62.93%	31.20%	+13.75	3-2
1951-11-11	@ Chicago Bears	W 41-28	1518.04	1590.38	36.92%	57.20%	+33.40	4-2
1951-11-18	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 28-10	1551.44	1551.27	47.08%	47.03%	+32.59	5-2
1951-11-22	Green Bay Packers	W 52-35	1584.03	1334.11	76.83%	17.38%	+12.15	6-2
1951-12-02	San Francisco 49ers	L 10-20	1596.18	1488.23	61.85%	32.28%	-31.62	6-3
1951-12-09	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 24-22	1564.56	1609.92	40.61%	53.50%	+12.28	7-3
1951-12-16	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 17-21	1576.84	1532.05	53.42%	40.69%	-17.34	7-4
1951-09-30	Chicago Bears	L 20-31	1348.22	1553.52	21.38%	72.80%	-11.97	0-1
1951-10-07	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 35-33	1336.25	1491.30	26.65%	67.50%	+15.42	1-1
1951-10-14	Philadelphia Eagles	W 37-24	1351.67	1608.44	16.82%	77.39%	+45.13	2-1
1951-10-21	Los Angeles Rams	L 0-28	1396.80	1592.10	22.36%	71.81%	-19.95	2-2
1951-10-28	@ New York Yanks	W 29-27	1376.85	1377.23	47.00%	47.11%	+10.88	3-2
1951-11-04	Detroit Lions	L 17-24	1387.73	1504.29	31.20%	62.93%	-13.75	3-3
1951-11-11	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-28	1373.98	1444.08	37.22%	56.89%	-28.21	3-4
1951-11-18	@ Chicago Bears	L 13-24	1345.77	1556.98	20.81%	73.37%	-11.66	3-5
1951-11-22	@ Detroit Lions	L 35-52	1334.11	1584.03	17.38%	76.83%	-12.15	3-6
1951-12-02	New York Yanks	L 28-31	1321.96	1334.27	45.29%	48.82%	-12.84	3-7
1951-12-09	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 19-31	1309.12	1519.85	20.86%	73.32%	-12.20	3-8
1951-12-16	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 14-42	1296.92	1597.64	13.58%	80.68%	-12.24	3-9
1951-09-28	New York Yanks	W 54-14	1575.92	1443.91	64.82%	29.32%	+30.97	1-0
1951-10-07	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 23-38	1606.89	1585.21	50.16%	43.95%	-31.61	1-1
1951-10-14	@ Detroit Lions	W 27-21	1575.28	1538.20	52.34%	41.77%	+16.82	2-1
1951-10-21	@ Green Bay Packers	W 28-0	1592.10	1396.80	71.81%	22.36%	+19.94	3-1
1951-10-28	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 17-44	1612.04	1467.29	66.32%	27.82%	-55.67	3-2
1951-11-04	San Francisco 49ers	W 23-16	1556.37	1522.96	51.82%	42.29%	+18.39	4-2
1951-11-11	Chicago Cardinals	W 45-21	1574.76	1416.83	67.83%	26.32%	+21.62	5-2
1951-11-18	New York Yanks	W 48-21	1596.38	1348.07	76.69%	17.51%	+15.43	6-2
1951-11-25	@ Washington Redskins	L 21-31	1611.81	1406.27	72.82%	21.36%	-37.21	6-3
1951-12-02	@ Chicago Bears	W 42-17	1574.60	1546.42	51.08%	43.03%	+35.32	7-3
1951-12-09	Detroit Lions	L 22-24	1609.92	1564.56	53.50%	40.61%	-12.28	7-4
1951-12-16	Green Bay Packers	W 42-14	1597.64	1296.92	80.68%	13.58%	+12.23	8-4
1951-10-01	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	T 13-13	1551.99	1490.63	55.71%	38.41%	-0.67	0-0
1951-10-07	@ Washington Redskins	W 35-14	1551.32	1401.44	66.91%	27.23%	+20.90	1-0
1951-10-14	Chicago Cardinals	W 28-17	1572.22	1501.09	57.03%	37.08%	+20.34	2-0
1951-10-21	Philadelphia Eagles	W 26-24	1592.56	1563.32	51.23%	42.88%	+9.96	3-0
1951-10-28	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 13-14	1602.52	1654.64	39.68%	54.44%	-6.54	3-1
1951-11-04	New York Yanks	W 37-31	1595.98	1366.35	75.07%	19.12%	+7.92	4-1
1951-11-11	Washington Redskins	W 28-14	1603.90	1380.26	74.53%	19.66%	+12.44	5-1
1951-11-18	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 0-10	1616.34	1683.52	37.62%	56.50%	-19.66	5-2
1951-11-25	@ Chicago Cardinals	W 10-0	1596.68	1420.27	69.85%	24.31%	+12.92	6-2
1951-12-02	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 14-0	1609.60	1452.88	67.69%	26.46%	+16.60	7-2
1951-12-09	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 23-7	1626.20	1523.77	61.15%	32.98%	+21.93	8-2
1951-12-16	@ New York Yanks	W 27-17	1648.13	1326.02	82.08%	12.20%	+6.58	9-2
1951-09-28	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 14-54	1443.91	1575.92	29.32%	64.82%	-30.98	0-1
1951-10-08	@ Detroit Lions	L 10-37	1412.93	1509.04	33.79%	60.34%	-29.16	0-2
1951-10-14	@ Chicago Bears	L 21-24	1383.77	1528.58	27.82%	66.33%	-8.06	0-3
1951-10-21	@ Detroit Lions	T 24-24	1375.71	1521.38	27.72%	66.43%	+1.52	0-3
1951-10-28	Green Bay Packers	L 27-29	1377.23	1376.85	47.11%	47.00%	-10.88	0-4
1951-11-04	@ New York Giants	L 31-37	1366.35	1595.98	19.12%	75.07%	-7.92	0-5
1951-11-11	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 14-19	1358.43	1504.57	27.66%	66.48%	-10.36	0-6
1951-11-18	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 21-48	1348.07	1596.38	17.51%	76.69%	-15.43	0-7
1951-11-25	San Francisco 49ers	T 10-10	1332.64	1489.86	26.40%	67.75%	+1.63	0-7
1951-12-02	@ Green Bay Packers	W 31-28	1334.27	1321.96	48.82%	45.29%	+12.84	1-7
1951-12-09	Chicago Bears	L 21-45	1347.11	1511.10	25.65%	68.50%	-21.09	1-8
1951-12-16	New York Giants	L 17-27	1326.02	1648.13	12.20%	82.08%	-6.58	1-9
1951-09-30	@ Chicago Cardinals	W 17-14	1585.34	1473.35	62.36%	31.77%	+9.16	1-0
1951-10-06	San Francisco 49ers	W 21-14	1594.50	1481.44	62.49%	31.63%	+13.94	2-0
1951-10-14	@ Green Bay Packers	L 24-37	1608.44	1351.67	77.39%	16.82%	-45.12	2-1
1951-10-21	@ New York Giants	L 24-26	1563.32	1592.56	42.88%	51.23%	-9.96	2-2
1951-10-28	Washington Redskins	L 23-27	1553.36	1380.01	69.52%	24.64%	-22.46	2-3
1951-11-04	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 34-13	1530.90	1473.53	55.16%	38.95%	+29.46	3-3
1951-11-11	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 17-20	1560.36	1674.43	31.51%	62.62%	-9.09	3-4
1951-11-18	Detroit Lions	L 10-28	1551.27	1551.44	47.03%	47.08%	-32.59	3-5
1951-11-25	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 13-17	1518.68	1433.83	58.86%	35.25%	-19.05	3-6
1951-12-02	@ Washington Redskins	W 35-21	1499.63	1443.48	54.99%	39.12%	+24.14	4-6
1951-12-09	New York Giants	L 7-23	1523.77	1626.20	32.98%	61.15%	-21.93	4-7
1951-12-16	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 9-24	1501.84	1747.48	17.74%	76.47%	-11.64	4-8
1951-10-01	New York Giants	T 13-13	1490.63	1551.99	38.41%	55.71%	+0.67	0-0
1951-10-07	@ Green Bay Packers	L 33-35	1491.30	1336.25	67.50%	26.65%	-15.42	0-1
1951-10-14	San Francisco 49ers	L 24-28	1475.88	1467.50	48.26%	45.85%	-15.74	0-2
1951-10-21	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 0-17	1460.14	1637.88	24.17%	69.99%	-16.76	0-3
1951-10-28	@ Chicago Cardinals	W 28-14	1443.38	1460.23	44.64%	49.47%	+30.15	1-3
1951-11-04	Philadelphia Eagles	L 13-34	1473.53	1530.90	38.95%	55.16%	-29.45	1-4
1951-11-11	Green Bay Packers	W 28-7	1444.08	1373.98	56.89%	37.22%	+28.20	2-4
1951-11-18	Washington Redskins	L 7-22	1472.28	1367.82	61.41%	32.72%	-38.45	2-5
1951-11-25	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 17-13	1433.83	1518.68	35.25%	58.86%	+19.05	3-5
1951-12-02	@ New York Giants	L 0-14	1452.88	1609.60	26.46%	67.69%	-16.60	3-6
1951-12-09	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 0-28	1436.28	1735.13	13.70%	80.55%	-12.35	3-7
1951-12-16	@ Washington Redskins	W 20-10	1423.93	1431.81	45.92%	48.19%	+24.86	4-7
1951-09-30	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 24-10	1438.36	1628.28	22.91%	71.26%	+43.08	1-0
1951-10-06	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 14-21	1481.44	1594.50	31.63%	62.49%	-13.94	1-1
1951-10-14	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 28-24	1467.50	1475.88	45.85%	48.26%	+15.74	2-1
1951-10-21	@ Chicago Bears	L 7-13	1483.24	1536.64	39.50%	54.61%	-15.95	2-2
1951-10-28	Los Angeles Rams	W 44-17	1467.29	1612.04	27.82%	66.32%	+55.67	3-2
1951-11-04	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 16-23	1522.96	1556.37	42.29%	51.82%	-18.39	3-3
1951-11-11	New York Yanks	W 19-14	1504.57	1358.43	66.48%	27.66%	+10.36	4-3
1951-11-18	Chicago Cardinals	L 21-27	1514.93	1395.20	63.32%	30.81%	-25.07	4-4
1951-11-25	@ New York Yanks	T 10-10	1489.86	1332.64	67.75%	26.40%	-1.63	4-4
1951-12-02	@ Detroit Lions	W 20-10	1488.23	1596.18	32.28%	61.85%	+31.62	5-4
1951-12-09	Green Bay Packers	W 31-19	1519.85	1309.12	73.32%	20.86%	+12.20	6-4
1951-12-16	Detroit Lions	W 21-17	1532.05	1576.84	40.69%	53.42%	+17.34	7-4
1951-09-30	@ Detroit Lions	L 17-35	1429.19	1481.29	39.68%	54.43%	-27.75	0-1
1951-10-07	New York Giants	L 14-35	1401.44	1551.32	27.23%	66.91%	-20.90	0-2
1951-10-14	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 0-45	1380.54	1616.83	18.54%	75.66%	-21.06	0-3
1951-10-21	Chicago Cardinals	W 7-3	1359.48	1480.75	30.62%	63.51%	+20.53	1-3
1951-10-28	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 27-23	1380.01	1553.36	24.64%	69.52%	+22.46	2-3
1951-11-04	Chicago Bears	L 0-27	1402.47	1568.17	25.46%	68.69%	-22.21	2-4
1951-11-11	@ New York Giants	L 14-28	1380.26	1603.90	19.66%	74.53%	-12.44	2-5
1951-11-18	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 22-7	1367.82	1472.28	32.72%	61.41%	+38.45	3-5
1951-11-25	Los Angeles Rams	W 31-21	1406.27	1611.81	21.36%	72.82%	+37.21	4-5
1951-12-02	Philadelphia Eagles	L 21-35	1443.48	1499.63	39.12%	54.99%	-24.15	4-6
1951-12-09	@ Chicago Cardinals	W 20-17	1419.33	1397.62	50.16%	43.94%	+12.48	5-6
1951-12-16	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-20	1431.81	1423.93	48.19%	45.92%	-24.85	5-7

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from each team's perspective, controlled by the team filter above. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1951-12-23	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 17-24	1759.13	1609.87	70.25%	29.75%	-28.57	0-1
1951-12-23	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 24-17	1609.87	1759.13	29.75%	70.25%	+28.57	1-0

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1951-10-14	16.82%	@ Green Bay Packers	1351.67	37	Philadelphia Eagles	1608.44	24
2	1951-11-25	21.36%	@ Washington Redskins	1406.27	31	Los Angeles Rams	1611.81	21
3	1951-09-30	22.91%	@ San Francisco 49ers	1438.36	24	Cleveland Browns (1st)	1628.28	10
4	1951-10-28	24.64%	Washington Redskins	1380.01	27	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1553.36	23
5	1951-10-07	26.65%	@ Green Bay Packers	1336.25	35	Pittsburgh Steelers	1491.30	33
6	1951-12-16	27.56%	Chicago Cardinals	1385.14	24	@ Chicago Bears	1532.19	14
7	1951-10-28	27.82%	@ San Francisco 49ers	1467.29	44	Los Angeles Rams	1612.04	17
8	1951-12-23 *	29.75%	@ Los Angeles Rams	1609.87	24	Cleveland Browns (1st)	1759.13	17
9	1951-10-21	30.62%	@ Washington Redskins	1359.48	7	Chicago Cardinals	1480.75	3
10	1951-11-18	30.81%	Chicago Cardinals	1395.20	27	@ San Francisco 49ers	1514.93	21
11	1951-12-02	32.28%	San Francisco 49ers	1488.23	20	@ Detroit Lions	1596.18	10
12	1951-11-18	32.72%	Washington Redskins	1367.82	22	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1472.28	7
13	1951-10-07	33.12%	@ Chicago Cardinals	1464.19	28	Chicago Bears	1565.49	14
14	1951-11-25	35.25%	Pittsburgh Steelers	1433.83	17	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1518.68	13
15	1951-11-11	36.92%	Detroit Lions	1518.04	41	@ Chicago Bears	1590.38	28
16	1951-12-09	40.61%	Detroit Lions	1564.56	24	@ Los Angeles Rams	1609.92	22
17	1951-12-16	40.69%	@ San Francisco 49ers	1532.05	21	Detroit Lions	1576.84	17
18	1951-10-07	43.95%	Cleveland Browns (1st)	1585.21	38	@ Los Angeles Rams	1606.89	23
19	1951-10-28	44.64%	Pittsburgh Steelers	1443.38	28	@ Chicago Cardinals	1460.23	14
20	1951-10-14	45.85%	San Francisco 49ers	1467.50	28	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1475.88	24
21	1951-12-16	45.92%	Pittsburgh Steelers	1423.93	20	@ Washington Redskins	1431.81	10
22	1951-10-28	47.00%	Green Bay Packers	1376.85	29	@ New York Yanks	1377.23	27

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	1951-10-28	55.67	@ San Francisco 49ers	44	1467.29	27.82%	Los Angeles Rams	17	1612.04	66.32%
2	1951-10-14	45.13	@ Green Bay Packers	37	1351.67	16.82%	Philadelphia Eagles	24	1608.44	77.39%
3	1951-09-30	43.08	@ San Francisco 49ers	24	1438.36	22.91%	Cleveland Browns (1st)	10	1628.28	71.26%
4	1951-11-18	38.45	Washington Redskins	22	1367.82	32.72%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	7	1472.28	61.41%
5	1951-11-25	37.21	@ Washington Redskins	31	1406.27	21.36%	Los Angeles Rams	21	1611.81	72.82%
6	1951-10-07	36.91	@ Chicago Cardinals	28	1464.19	33.12%	Chicago Bears	14	1565.49	61.01%
7	1951-12-02	35.32	Los Angeles Rams	42	1574.60	51.08%	@ Chicago Bears	17	1546.42	43.03%
8	1951-12-16	34.01	Chicago Cardinals	24	1385.14	27.56%	@ Chicago Bears	14	1532.19	66.59%
9	1951-11-11	33.40	Detroit Lions	41	1518.04	36.92%	@ Chicago Bears	28	1590.38	57.20%
10	1951-11-18	32.59	Detroit Lions	28	1551.44	47.08%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	10	1551.27	47.03%
11	1951-12-02	31.62	San Francisco 49ers	20	1488.23	32.28%	@ Detroit Lions	10	1596.18	61.85%
12	1951-10-07	31.62	Cleveland Browns (1st)	38	1585.21	43.95%	@ Los Angeles Rams	23	1606.89	50.16%
13	1951-09-28	30.98	@ Los Angeles Rams	54	1575.92	64.82%	New York Yanks	14	1443.91	29.32%
14	1951-10-28	30.15	Pittsburgh Steelers	28	1443.38	44.64%	@ Chicago Cardinals	14	1460.23	49.47%
15	1951-11-04	29.46	Philadelphia Eagles	34	1530.90	55.16%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	13	1473.53	38.95%
16	1951-10-08	29.16	@ Detroit Lions	37	1509.04	60.34%	New York Yanks	10	1412.93	33.79%
17	1951-12-23 *	28.57	@ Los Angeles Rams	24	1609.87	29.75%	Cleveland Browns (1st)	17	1759.13	70.25%
18	1951-11-11	28.21	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	28	1444.08	56.89%	Green Bay Packers	7	1373.98	37.22%
19	1951-09-30	27.75	@ Detroit Lions	35	1481.29	54.43%	Washington Redskins	17	1429.19	39.68%
20	1951-11-18	25.07	Chicago Cardinals	27	1395.20	30.81%	@ San Francisco 49ers	21	1514.93	63.32%
21	1951-12-16	24.86	Pittsburgh Steelers	20	1423.93	45.92%	@ Washington Redskins	10	1431.81	48.19%
22	1951-12-02	24.15	Philadelphia Eagles	35	1499.63	54.99%	@ Washington Redskins	21	1443.48	39.12%
23	1951-10-28	22.46	Washington Redskins	27	1380.01	24.64%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	23	1553.36	69.52%
24	1951-11-25	22.22	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	42	1703.18	65.12%	Chicago Bears	21	1568.64	29.02%
25	1951-11-04	22.21	Chicago Bears	27	1568.17	68.69%	@ Washington Redskins	0	1402.47	25.46%