2001 NFL Season

248 regular-season games · 12 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

New England Patriots

1st Super Bowl

Runner-Up

St. Louis Rams

3rd SB App.

Last Appearance: 1999

Biggest Overachiever

Chicago Bears

3.90 wins above expected

13 wins · 9.10 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Carolina Panthers

5.19 wins below expected

1 wins · 6.19 expected wins

Final Standings

Regular-season records by division. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive means the team overachieved, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Pittsburgh Steelers Division	13	3	.812	—	352	212	+140	10.16	+2.84
2	Baltimore Ravens Playoffs	10	6	.625	3	303	265	+38	9.85	+0.15
3	Cleveland Browns	7	9	.438	6	285	319	-34	6.19	+0.81
4	Tennessee Titans	7	9	.438	6	336	388	-52	7.77	-0.77
5	Jacksonville Jaguars	6	10	.375	7	294	286	+8	7.84	-1.84
6	Cincinnati Bengals	6	10	.375	7	226	309	-83	5.79	+0.21

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	New England Patriots Division	11	5	.688	—	371	272	+99	8.42	+2.58
2	Miami Dolphins Playoffs	11	5	.688	—	344	290	+54	9.35	+1.65
3	New York Jets Playoffs	10	6	.625	1	308	295	+13	8.63	+1.37
4	Indianapolis Colts	6	10	.375	5	413	486	-73	7.57	-1.57
5	Buffalo Bills	3	13	.188	8	265	420	-155	5.59	-2.59

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Oakland Raiders Division	10	6	.625	—	399	327	+72	10.62	-0.62
2	Seattle Seahawks	9	7	.562	1	301	324	-23	7.62	+1.38
3	Denver Broncos	8	8	.500	2	340	339	+1	8.72	-0.72
4	Kansas City Chiefs	6	10	.375	4	320	344	-24	6.86	-0.86
5	San Diego Chargers	5	11	.312	5	332	321	+11	7.91	-2.91

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Chicago Bears Division	13	3	.812	—	338	203	+135	9.10	+3.90
2	Green Bay Packers Playoffs	12	4	.750	1	390	266	+124	10.15	+1.85
3	Tampa Bay Buccaneers Playoffs	9	7	.562	4	324	280	+44	8.82	+0.18
4	Minnesota Vikings	5	11	.312	8	290	390	-100	7.01	-2.01
5	Detroit Lions	2	14	.125	11	270	424	-154	5.36	-3.36

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Philadelphia Eagles Division	11	5	.688	—	343	208	+135	9.97	+1.03
2	Washington Redskins	8	8	.500	3	256	303	-47	7.02	+0.98
3	New York Giants	7	9	.438	4	294	321	-27	8.58	-1.58
4	Arizona Cardinals	7	9	.438	4	295	343	-48	5.57	+1.43
5	Dallas Cowboys	5	11	.312	6	246	338	-92	6.60	-1.60

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	St. Louis Rams Division	14	2	.875	—	503	273	+230	10.88	+3.12
2	San Francisco 49ers Playoffs	12	4	.750	2	409	282	+127	9.03	+2.97
3	New Orleans Saints	7	9	.438	7	333	409	-76	8.02	-1.02
4	Atlanta Falcons	7	9	.438	7	291	377	-86	6.78	+0.22
5	Carolina Panthers	1	15	.062	13	253	410	-157	6.19	-5.19

Playoff Bracket

The path each team took through the postseason — reconstructed from actual playoff games, not the simulation.

AFC

Wild Card Round

Oakland Raiders 38

New York Jets 24

Jan 12

Baltimore Ravens 20

Miami Dolphins 3

Jan 13

Divisional Round

New England Patriots 16

Oakland Raiders 13

Jan 19

Pittsburgh Steelers 27

Baltimore Ravens 10

Jan 20

Conference Championship

New England Patriots 24

Pittsburgh Steelers 17

Jan 27

NFC

Wild Card Round

Philadelphia Eagles 31

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 9

Jan 12

Green Bay Packers 25

San Francisco 49ers 15

Jan 13

Divisional Round

Philadelphia Eagles 33

Chicago Bears 19

Jan 19

St. Louis Rams 45

Green Bay Packers 17

Jan 20

Conference Championship

St. Louis Rams 29

Philadelphia Eagles 24

Jan 27

Super Bowl

New England Patriots 20

St. Louis Rams 17

Feb 3

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort; use the dropdown to filter by Conference or Division. Luck is the team's actual outcome minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Conference	Division	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
St. Louis Rams	NFC	NFC West	1726	14	10.88	+3.12	98.63%	4	8	10	11	12	14	16
Pittsburgh Steelers	AFC	AFC Central	1668	13	10.16	+2.84	97.29%	2	7	9	10	11	13	16
Chicago Bears	NFC	NFC Central	1646	13	9.10	+3.90	99.35%	2	6	8	9	10	12	16
Green Bay Packers	NFC	NFC Central	1641	12	10.15	+1.85	89.80%	3	7	9	10	11	13	16
Philadelphia Eagles	NFC	NFC East	1634	11	9.97	+1.03	79.38%	1	7	9	10	11	13	16
San Francisco 49ers	NFC	NFC West	1626	12	9.03	+2.97	96.99%	2	6	8	9	10	12	16
New England Patriots	AFC	AFC East	1615	11	8.42	+2.58	94.98%	1	5	7	8	10	12	15
Oakland Raiders	AFC	AFC West	1593	10	10.62	-0.62	46.85%	4	8	9	11	12	13	16
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	NFC	NFC Central	1587	9	8.82	+0.18	63.98%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
Baltimore Ravens	AFC	AFC Central	1579	10	9.85	+0.15	63.26%	0	7	9	10	11	13	16
Miami Dolphins	AFC	AFC East	1575	11	9.35	+1.65	87.22%	2	6	8	9	11	12	16
New York Jets	AFC	AFC East	1559	10	8.63	+1.37	83.98%	2	6	7	9	10	12	15
Washington Redskins	NFC	NFC East	1524	8	7.02	+0.98	79.07%	0	4	6	7	8	10	14
Tennessee Titans	AFC	AFC Central	1496	7	7.77	-0.77	45.30%	1	5	6	8	9	11	14
Denver Broncos	AFC	AFC West	1491	8	8.72	-0.72	45.58%	2	6	7	9	10	12	16
Seattle Seahawks	AFC	AFC West	1490	9	7.62	+1.38	83.33%	1	4	6	8	9	11	15
Jacksonville Jaguars	AFC	AFC Central	1480	6	7.84	-1.84	24.43%	1	5	7	8	9	11	15
Indianapolis Colts	AFC	AFC East	1468	6	7.57	-1.57	28.77%	1	5	6	8	9	11	14
Kansas City Chiefs	AFC	AFC West	1462	6	6.86	-0.86	43.89%	1	4	6	7	8	10	14
New York Giants	NFC	NFC East	1461	7	8.58	-1.58	29.29%	2	5	7	9	10	12	15
Cleveland Browns	AFC	AFC Central	1423	7	6.19	+0.81	75.78%	0	3	5	6	7	9	13
New Orleans Saints	NFC	NFC West	1413	7	8.02	-1.02	39.17%	1	5	7	8	9	11	15
Arizona Cardinals	NFC	NFC East	1407	7	5.57	+1.43	85.19%	0	3	4	6	7	9	14
San Diego Chargers	AFC	AFC West	1406	5	7.91	-2.91	10.98%	1	5	7	8	9	11	15
Minnesota Vikings	NFC	NFC Central	1405	5	7.01	-2.01	21.72%	1	4	6	7	8	10	15
Atlanta Falcons	NFC	NFC West	1387	7	6.78	+0.22	65.54%	0	4	5	7	8	10	14
Dallas Cowboys	NFC	NFC East	1384	5	6.60	-1.60	28.69%	0	4	5	7	8	10	14
Cincinnati Bengals	AFC	AFC Central	1375	6	5.79	+0.21	65.78%	0	3	4	6	7	9	12
Buffalo Bills	AFC	AFC East	1341	3	5.59	-2.59	12.65%	0	3	4	6	7	9	13
Detroit Lions	NFC	NFC Central	1339	2	5.36	-3.36	5.24%	0	2	4	5	7	8	12
Carolina Panthers	NFC	NFC West	1299	1	6.19	-5.19	0.37%	0	3	5	6	7	9	13

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record (row vs column) and below it the expected number of wins the model predicted based on each individual game's win probability. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than half a win in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin. The first matrix for each division covers within-division games; the second (when shown) covers games against teams outside that division — aggregated by division when there are many opponents, broken out team-by-team when there are few.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within AFC Central

Team	Ravens	Bengals	Browns	Jaguars	Steelers	Titans
Baltimore Ravens	—	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	0-2 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
Cincinnati Bengals	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
Cleveland Browns	2-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Jacksonville Jaguars	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
Tennessee Titans	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	—

AFC Central vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Baltimore Ravens	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	2-2 (2.4 exp.)	—	—
Cincinnati Bengals	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-2 (1.3 exp.)	—	—
Cleveland Browns	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-2 (1.0 exp.)	—	—
Jacksonville Jaguars	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	1-2 (1.1 exp.)	—	—
Pittsburgh Steelers	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	3-0 (2.1 exp.)	—	—
Tennessee Titans	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	3-1 (1.9 exp.)	—	—

Within AFC East

Team	Bills	Colts	Dolphins	Patriots	Jets
Buffalo Bills	—	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)
New England Patriots	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
New York Jets	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—

AFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Buffalo Bills	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—	—	1-3 (1.6 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	2-1 (1.4 exp.)	—	—	1-3 (1.6 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	3-0 (1.7 exp.)	—	—	2-2 (2.4 exp.)
New England Patriots	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	—	3-1 (2.2 exp.)
New York Jets	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	—	—	2-2 (1.9 exp.)

Within AFC West

Team	Broncos	Chiefs	Raiders	Chargers	Seahawks
Denver Broncos	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	—

AFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Denver Broncos	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-2 (1.5 exp.)	—	3-1 (2.5 exp.)	—
Kansas City Chiefs	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	—	1-3 (2.0 exp.)	—
Oakland Raiders	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-2 (1.6 exp.)	—	3-1 (2.8 exp.)	—
San Diego Chargers	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—	2-2 (1.9 exp.)	—
Seattle Seahawks	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-3 (2.1 exp.)	—

Within NFC Central

Team	Bears	Lions	Packers	Vikings	Buccaneers
Chicago Bears	—	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)
Detroit Lions	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—

NFC Central vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC East	NFC West
Chicago Bears	3-1 (2.2 exp.)	—	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)
Detroit Lions	0-4 (1.6 exp.)	—	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	3-1 (2.5 exp.)	—	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	—	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	—	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)

Within NFC East

Team	Cardinals	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Redskins
Arizona Cardinals	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)
Dallas Cowboys	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)
New York Giants	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
Washington Redskins	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—

NFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC West
Arizona Cardinals	—	—	3-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Dallas Cowboys	—	—	0-4 (1.5 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
New York Giants	—	—	2-2 (1.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	—	—	3-1 (2.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
Washington Redskins	—	—	2-2 (1.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)

Within NFC West

Team	Falcons	Panthers	Saints	49ers	Rams
Atlanta Falcons	—	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.3 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)
St. Louis Rams	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—

NFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East
Atlanta Falcons	—	1-3 (1.8 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	—	0-4 (1.4 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	—	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	—	4-0 (2.2 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
St. Louis Rams	—	4-0 (2.6 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)

Scoring Distribution

Histograms of points scored and allowed, a home-vs-away score scatter (marker size grows with how often that exact score happened), and summary stats — all driven by the team filter below. Default view is league-wide.

Filter by team:

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	—
Mean allowed	—
StdDev scored	—
StdDev allowed	—
Correlation (home vs away score)	—
Sample size (games)	—

Actual vs. Point Differential

How points translated into wins. Teams above the cluster overperformed their points differential (often called Pythagorean luck), while teams below underperformed. Hover for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams furthest from where the simulation said they'd land — a fast read of the Luck column on top of the main season summary above.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Chicago Bears	13	9.10	+3.90
2	St. Louis Rams	14	10.88	+3.12
3	San Francisco 49ers	12	9.03	+2.97
4	Pittsburgh Steelers	13	10.16	+2.84
5	New England Patriots	11	8.42	+2.58

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Carolina Panthers	1	6.19	-5.19
2	Detroit Lions	2	5.36	-3.36
3	San Diego Chargers	5	7.91	-2.91
4	Buffalo Bills	3	5.59	-2.59
5	Minnesota Vikings	5	7.01	-2.01

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/T/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Washington Redskins	5	Oct 21 – Nov 25	1 in 174
2	Arizona Cardinals	3	Nov 18 – Dec 2	1 in 54
3	Chicago Bears	6	Sep 23 – Nov 4	1 in 36
4	St. Louis Rams	6	Sep 9 – Oct 21	1 in 31
5	Cleveland Browns	3	Sep 23 – Oct 7	1 in 21

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Carolina Panthers	15	Sep 23 – Jan 6	1 in 2,037
2	San Diego Chargers	9	Nov 4 – Dec 30	1 in 384
3	Detroit Lions	12	Sep 9 – Dec 9	1 in 261
4	Jacksonville Jaguars	5	Sep 30 – Nov 4	1 in 68
5	Oakland Raiders	3	Dec 22 – Jan 6	1 in 27

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we add up those probabilities over home games and compare to actual home wins — and do the same on the road. The bar height is (home wins above expected) minus (road wins above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real Coors-style edge. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between divisions, leagues, and the overall NFL view. Rows are sorted by the simulation's average finish (best at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6
Pittsburgh Steelers	44.21%	28.05%	15.25%	7.69%	3.75%	1.05%
Baltimore Ravens	35.84%	30.63%	17.89%	9.50%	4.86%	1.28%
Jacksonville Jaguars	8.47%	16.02%	23.57%	23.30%	17.88%	10.76%
Tennessee Titans	8.46%	16.13%	23.10%	24.19%	17.24%	10.88%
Cleveland Browns	1.90%	5.54%	11.46%	19.38%	29.09%	32.63%
Cincinnati Bengals	1.12%	3.63%	8.73%	15.94%	27.18%	43.40%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Miami Dolphins	40.53%	25.95%	17.99%	11.47%	4.06%
New York Jets	24.83%	26.73%	23.23%	17.63%	7.58%
New England Patriots	20.68%	24.71%	24.47%	21.05%	9.09%
Indianapolis Colts	12.52%	18.23%	24.40%	28.52%	16.33%
Buffalo Bills	1.44%	4.38%	9.91%	21.33%	62.94%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Oakland Raiders	60.89%	22.37%	10.03%	5.02%	1.69%
Denver Broncos	17.54%	28.74%	24.69%	17.57%	11.46%
San Diego Chargers	9.29%	20.78%	24.26%	24.61%	21.06%
Seattle Seahawks	8.01%	17.05%	23.74%	25.66%	25.54%
Kansas City Chiefs	4.27%	11.06%	17.28%	27.14%	40.25%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Green Bay Packers	47.20%	28.16%	16.13%	6.71%	1.80%
Chicago Bears	25.55%	29.27%	26.68%	14.52%	3.98%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	21.42%	27.97%	27.10%	17.82%	5.69%
Minnesota Vikings	5.23%	12.20%	22.31%	37.60%	22.66%
Detroit Lions	0.60%	2.40%	7.78%	23.35%	65.87%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Philadelphia Eagles	58.94%	25.35%	10.14%	4.20%	1.37%
New York Giants	26.29%	35.92%	20.86%	11.71%	5.22%
Washington Redskins	7.41%	17.89%	28.83%	27.86%	18.01%
Dallas Cowboys	5.41%	14.01%	24.62%	29.90%	26.06%
Arizona Cardinals	1.95%	6.83%	15.55%	26.33%	49.34%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
St. Louis Rams	65.31%	23.01%	8.41%	2.61%	0.66%
San Francisco 49ers	20.23%	35.35%	24.15%	13.50%	6.77%
New Orleans Saints	9.79%	23.50%	30.20%	22.63%	13.88%
Atlanta Falcons	3.12%	10.87%	21.22%	31.60%	33.19%
Carolina Panthers	1.55%	7.27%	16.02%	29.66%	45.50%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Oakland Raiders	27.41%	19.03%	13.71%	9.55%	7.77%	5.90%	4.32%	3.46%	2.68%	2.02%	1.52%	1.05%	0.70%	0.56%	0.26%	0.06%
Pittsburgh Steelers	18.93%	16.45%	12.86%	10.70%	9.19%	7.26%	6.09%	4.58%	3.44%	2.98%	2.33%	1.91%	1.40%	0.98%	0.52%	0.38%
Baltimore Ravens	14.71%	13.73%	12.49%	10.90%	9.62%	8.40%	6.41%	5.70%	4.54%	3.76%	3.09%	2.58%	1.77%	1.17%	0.69%	0.44%
Miami Dolphins	10.31%	11.69%	11.67%	10.57%	9.22%	8.48%	7.70%	6.20%	5.88%	4.94%	4.06%	3.57%	2.48%	1.80%	0.96%	0.47%
Denver Broncos	6.39%	6.86%	7.31%	9.27%	8.28%	8.95%	8.43%	8.24%	7.67%	6.63%	5.58%	4.90%	4.55%	3.46%	2.38%	1.10%
New York Jets	5.41%	6.84%	8.67%	8.20%	9.07%	8.77%	8.47%	7.81%	7.95%	6.40%	6.08%	5.45%	4.19%	3.21%	2.45%	1.03%
New England Patriots	4.05%	5.76%	7.54%	7.32%	8.46%	9.00%	7.77%	8.16%	7.99%	7.04%	6.77%	6.50%	4.99%	4.03%	3.10%	1.52%
San Diego Chargers	2.63%	3.64%	4.53%	6.36%	6.37%	7.16%	7.79%	7.75%	8.40%	8.08%	8.01%	7.92%	7.00%	6.22%	5.31%	2.83%
Jacksonville Jaguars	1.97%	3.66%	4.64%	5.15%	6.14%	6.57%	7.52%	8.24%	7.53%	8.63%	8.30%	7.37%	7.40%	6.40%	5.07%	5.41%
Tennessee Titans	2.62%	3.33%	4.02%	4.86%	6.36%	6.15%	7.61%	7.88%	8.00%	8.50%	8.65%	7.71%	7.22%	6.46%	5.40%	5.23%
Indianapolis Colts	1.89%	3.18%	4.31%	4.99%	5.54%	6.51%	7.02%	7.78%	8.69%	8.43%	9.07%	9.18%	7.45%	6.64%	5.99%	3.33%
Seattle Seahawks	2.03%	3.14%	3.79%	5.19%	5.69%	6.20%	7.20%	8.02%	8.01%	7.63%	8.30%	8.64%	7.97%	7.76%	6.65%	3.78%
Kansas City Chiefs	1.07%	1.43%	2.18%	3.03%	3.81%	4.39%	4.82%	5.91%	6.87%	7.43%	8.49%	9.34%	10.52%	12.26%	11.58%	6.87%
Cleveland Browns	0.30%	0.68%	1.13%	1.81%	1.97%	2.53%	3.73%	4.30%	4.68%	7.10%	7.46%	7.81%	11.49%	12.09%	13.08%	19.84%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.15%	0.35%	0.65%	1.16%	1.26%	1.85%	2.90%	3.16%	4.05%	5.57%	6.36%	7.78%	10.12%	12.27%	15.22%	27.15%
Buffalo Bills	0.13%	0.23%	0.50%	0.94%	1.25%	1.88%	2.22%	2.81%	3.62%	4.86%	5.93%	8.29%	10.75%	14.69%	21.34%	20.56%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15
St. Louis Rams	32.04%	20.37%	14.73%	9.84%	7.38%	4.88%	3.71%	2.68%	1.74%	0.98%	0.73%	0.51%	0.28%	0.09%	0.04%
Green Bay Packers	18.24%	17.17%	14.19%	12.01%	9.66%	7.24%	6.04%	4.63%	3.72%	2.59%	1.82%	1.21%	0.79%	0.51%	0.18%
Philadelphia Eagles	16.72%	17.05%	16.09%	11.12%	9.69%	8.38%	5.90%	4.17%	3.67%	2.44%	1.84%	1.24%	0.87%	0.63%	0.19%
Chicago Bears	7.69%	10.21%	9.87%	10.34%	10.98%	10.17%	9.45%	8.05%	6.58%	5.41%	4.37%	3.16%	1.82%	1.30%	0.60%
San Francisco 49ers	7.50%	8.57%	9.85%	11.35%	10.99%	10.10%	9.00%	8.41%	6.27%	5.17%	4.36%	3.16%	2.53%	1.87%	0.87%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	6.34%	8.56%	9.11%	10.14%	9.92%	9.35%	9.53%	8.49%	7.63%	6.42%	5.00%	4.01%	2.59%	1.92%	0.99%
New York Giants	4.96%	7.33%	8.91%	10.15%	10.26%	11.45%	8.98%	8.20%	7.78%	6.23%	5.39%	4.05%	2.88%	2.08%	1.35%
New Orleans Saints	2.89%	4.04%	5.53%	7.45%	8.65%	8.49%	9.62%	10.25%	8.92%	8.23%	6.87%	6.43%	5.59%	4.53%	2.51%
Washington Redskins	0.80%	1.50%	3.22%	3.92%	4.96%	6.32%	7.31%	8.17%	11.05%	9.57%	9.90%	10.83%	8.51%	7.44%	6.50%
Minnesota Vikings	1.12%	1.97%	2.56%	3.68%	4.82%	5.60%	7.23%	8.18%	8.80%	10.10%	11.15%	11.24%	8.93%	8.01%	6.61%
Atlanta Falcons	0.72%	1.22%	1.98%	3.28%	3.91%	5.49%	6.24%	7.61%	8.35%	10.20%	10.03%	10.92%	10.81%	10.63%	8.61%
Dallas Cowboys	0.55%	0.97%	2.04%	2.95%	3.79%	5.12%	6.34%	7.24%	9.06%	9.81%	10.59%	10.62%	10.76%	9.86%	10.30%
Carolina Panthers	0.26%	0.54%	0.96%	1.93%	2.60%	3.37%	4.95%	6.17%	6.86%	9.08%	10.35%	11.40%	13.84%	14.55%	13.14%
Arizona Cardinals	0.10%	0.31%	0.63%	1.22%	1.42%	2.50%	3.27%	4.67%	5.42%	7.40%	9.01%	10.91%	13.87%	16.67%	22.60%
Detroit Lions	0.07%	0.19%	0.33%	0.62%	0.97%	1.54%	2.43%	3.08%	4.15%	6.37%	8.59%	10.31%	15.93%	19.91%	25.51%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31
St. Louis Rams	18.37%	13.65%	11.14%	9.05%	7.87%	6.64%	5.03%	4.62%	3.53%	3.77%	2.75%	2.27%	2.04%	1.84%	1.38%	1.28%	0.86%	0.89%	0.61%	0.54%	0.42%	0.37%	0.25%	0.35%	0.19%	0.08%	0.07%	0.07%	0.04%	0.02%	0.01%
Oakland Raiders	14.90%	12.53%	9.93%	9.32%	7.48%	6.19%	5.14%	4.83%	4.34%	3.46%	3.22%	2.70%	2.31%	2.12%	2.01%	1.59%	1.47%	1.03%	1.15%	0.70%	0.83%	0.70%	0.53%	0.38%	0.32%	0.30%	0.27%	0.10%	0.08%	0.05%	0.02%
Green Bay Packers	10.04%	9.40%	7.78%	8.13%	7.38%	6.90%	5.78%	5.64%	4.87%	4.67%	3.76%	3.39%	3.03%	3.14%	2.25%	2.46%	1.78%	1.74%	1.52%	1.44%	1.01%	0.77%	0.67%	0.69%	0.38%	0.49%	0.30%	0.32%	0.14%	0.12%	0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	9.60%	9.57%	8.41%	8.29%	6.49%	6.67%	5.78%	5.27%	4.95%	4.23%	3.70%	3.77%	3.36%	2.74%	2.29%	2.08%	1.97%	1.70%	1.60%	1.23%	1.14%	1.08%	0.98%	0.83%	0.79%	0.36%	0.44%	0.17%	0.26%	0.15%	0.10%
Philadelphia Eagles	8.31%	8.80%	8.48%	7.86%	7.53%	7.51%	5.71%	5.38%	4.79%	4.92%	3.83%	4.09%	3.11%	2.90%	2.39%	2.43%	1.65%	2.02%	1.39%	1.43%	0.87%	0.95%	0.82%	0.77%	0.47%	0.51%	0.45%	0.27%	0.18%	0.14%	0.04%
Baltimore Ravens	7.51%	7.53%	7.26%	6.82%	6.56%	6.23%	6.15%	5.20%	5.18%	4.31%	4.57%	3.76%	3.86%	2.86%	3.12%	2.55%	2.79%	1.98%	1.91%	1.50%	1.83%	1.20%	1.34%	0.94%	0.80%	0.65%	0.69%	0.36%	0.24%	0.17%	0.13%
Miami Dolphins	4.88%	5.52%	6.09%	5.78%	5.83%	5.49%	5.62%	5.29%	5.10%	4.50%	4.88%	4.18%	4.24%	3.48%	3.37%	3.04%	3.34%	2.54%	2.71%	2.17%	2.36%	1.64%	1.83%	1.34%	1.25%	1.15%	0.83%	0.57%	0.39%	0.31%	0.28%
Chicago Bears	3.33%	4.19%	5.00%	5.01%	5.05%	5.07%	5.12%	5.02%	5.02%	5.68%	4.72%	4.98%	4.19%	4.70%	3.90%	4.26%	2.91%	3.47%	2.66%	3.03%	1.84%	2.41%	1.78%	1.84%	1.34%	1.04%	0.70%	0.81%	0.46%	0.34%	0.13%
San Francisco 49ers	3.65%	3.86%	4.73%	4.11%	4.75%	4.82%	5.43%	5.44%	5.30%	5.49%	4.41%	5.03%	4.16%	4.57%	3.98%	4.20%	2.83%	3.30%	2.66%	3.31%	1.97%	2.32%	1.74%	1.76%	1.49%	1.16%	1.08%	1.15%	0.56%	0.45%	0.29%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	3.24%	3.04%	4.19%	4.19%	4.69%	4.41%	5.12%	4.62%	5.08%	4.70%	4.64%	4.47%	4.35%	4.60%	4.01%	4.34%	3.39%	3.75%	3.13%	3.73%	2.51%	2.59%	2.02%	2.31%	1.62%	1.50%	1.04%	1.12%	0.62%	0.66%	0.32%
New York Giants	2.37%	2.56%	3.48%	3.90%	3.96%	4.35%	4.69%	4.97%	4.42%	5.46%	4.64%	5.46%	3.88%	5.02%	3.84%	4.33%	3.31%	4.31%	3.30%	3.41%	2.69%	2.81%	2.12%	2.48%	1.84%	1.69%	1.33%	1.27%	0.95%	0.78%	0.38%
Denver Broncos	2.78%	3.36%	3.44%	3.93%	3.84%	4.13%	4.36%	5.05%	4.24%	4.31%	4.86%	4.38%	4.76%	3.99%	4.19%	3.83%	4.35%	3.55%	3.97%	2.46%	3.08%	2.54%	2.70%	2.52%	2.29%	1.81%	1.75%	1.13%	1.18%	0.69%	0.53%
New York Jets	2.64%	2.64%	3.49%	3.55%	4.12%	4.44%	4.37%	4.25%	4.87%	4.30%	4.74%	4.63%	4.50%	4.10%	4.58%	3.79%	4.33%	3.46%	3.33%	3.13%	3.30%	3.03%	2.75%	2.31%	2.29%	1.79%	1.64%	1.25%	1.24%	0.65%	0.49%
New England Patriots	1.65%	2.32%	2.93%	2.93%	3.60%	3.89%	3.65%	4.33%	4.38%	4.35%	4.73%	4.65%	4.47%	3.88%	4.15%	3.94%	4.29%	3.77%	4.12%	2.96%	3.78%	3.62%	3.53%	2.52%	2.67%	1.91%	2.09%	1.53%	1.87%	0.89%	0.60%
New Orleans Saints	1.15%	1.62%	1.83%	2.26%	2.62%	2.93%	3.51%	3.69%	3.81%	4.18%	4.16%	4.41%	4.28%	4.70%	4.61%	4.76%	4.33%	4.49%	3.93%	4.18%	3.25%	3.78%	3.00%	3.25%	2.72%	3.33%	2.35%	2.74%	1.72%	1.66%	0.75%
San Diego Chargers	1.02%	1.53%	1.70%	2.16%	2.51%	2.53%	2.88%	3.38%	3.43%	3.29%	3.91%	3.77%	4.23%	3.99%	4.24%	4.32%	4.36%	3.99%	4.01%	3.62%	4.72%	3.76%	4.58%	3.52%	3.56%	3.07%	3.41%	2.84%	2.65%	1.49%	1.53%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.78%	1.20%	1.53%	2.01%	2.65%	2.51%	2.47%	3.03%	3.39%	3.36%	2.87%	4.01%	4.13%	3.85%	4.18%	4.08%	4.67%	4.15%	4.58%	3.88%	4.32%	4.09%	4.21%	3.47%	3.96%	3.44%	3.44%	2.62%	2.81%	1.94%	2.37%
Tennessee Titans	0.84%	1.57%	1.66%	1.91%	2.14%	2.22%	2.70%	2.34%	3.26%	3.40%	3.48%	3.66%	4.26%	3.48%	4.03%	4.08%	4.46%	4.41%	4.00%	4.47%	4.87%	4.29%	3.93%	3.57%	3.60%	3.44%	3.55%	2.67%	3.12%	2.29%	2.30%
Indianapolis Colts	0.68%	1.09%	1.24%	1.80%	1.84%	2.22%	2.81%	2.51%	2.89%	3.07%	3.79%	3.50%	3.60%	3.58%	4.19%	3.77%	4.67%	4.56%	4.62%	4.44%	4.76%	4.47%	4.88%	3.91%	3.90%	3.57%	3.62%	3.07%	3.00%	2.16%	1.79%
Seattle Seahawks	0.67%	1.13%	1.63%	1.76%	2.02%	2.10%	2.47%	2.90%	3.04%	2.77%	3.65%	3.26%	3.99%	3.62%	4.21%	4.00%	4.43%	3.93%	4.25%	3.77%	4.87%	4.23%	4.55%	3.70%	4.11%	3.68%	4.03%	3.39%	3.41%	2.20%	2.23%
Washington Redskins	0.28%	0.47%	0.68%	0.88%	1.18%	1.72%	1.64%	2.08%	2.01%	2.63%	2.90%	2.57%	3.15%	3.79%	3.56%	4.22%	4.12%	4.95%	4.97%	5.16%	4.27%	4.92%	4.81%	5.75%	4.47%	4.55%	4.44%	4.36%	3.33%	3.80%	2.34%
Minnesota Vikings	0.34%	0.62%	0.85%	0.97%	1.10%	1.50%	1.73%	1.65%	2.46%	2.20%	2.61%	2.59%	3.07%	3.59%	3.77%	3.91%	4.16%	4.37%	4.34%	5.37%	4.16%	5.41%	4.51%	6.34%	4.25%	5.35%	4.17%	4.57%	3.47%	4.03%	2.54%
Atlanta Falcons	0.13%	0.39%	0.69%	0.71%	0.90%	1.07%	1.53%	1.61%	1.87%	1.86%	2.26%	2.81%	2.56%	3.15%	3.49%	3.55%	3.40%	4.33%	4.63%	5.15%	4.47%	5.12%	4.41%	5.65%	4.92%	5.27%	5.14%	5.91%	4.62%	5.21%	3.19%
Kansas City Chiefs	0.37%	0.58%	0.71%	0.66%	1.23%	1.08%	1.60%	1.48%	2.02%	2.07%	2.53%	2.14%	2.79%	2.56%	3.44%	3.34%	3.95%	3.14%	3.97%	4.02%	4.90%	4.41%	5.24%	4.72%	5.78%	5.35%	5.94%	5.42%	5.93%	4.54%	4.09%
Dallas Cowboys	0.18%	0.27%	0.39%	0.58%	0.89%	1.01%	1.20%	1.65%	1.50%	1.74%	2.20%	2.23%	2.85%	3.42%	3.08%	3.40%	3.38%	4.76%	4.29%	5.13%	4.32%	5.16%	5.03%	5.27%	5.27%	5.60%	5.17%	5.31%	4.51%	6.04%	4.17%
Carolina Panthers	0.10%	0.12%	0.16%	0.35%	0.32%	0.56%	0.96%	0.83%	1.26%	1.27%	1.36%	1.65%	1.93%	2.48%	2.83%	2.91%	2.85%	3.59%	3.68%	4.52%	4.22%	5.41%	4.53%	5.90%	5.64%	6.84%	6.13%	7.77%	6.52%	7.62%	5.69%
Cleveland Browns	0.07%	0.19%	0.27%	0.42%	0.60%	0.59%	0.87%	0.98%	0.96%	1.12%	1.37%	1.70%	1.88%	1.95%	2.31%	2.36%	2.82%	3.06%	3.87%	3.16%	4.49%	3.94%	4.70%	4.66%	6.00%	5.82%	6.56%	6.51%	7.81%	7.61%	11.35%
Arizona Cardinals	0.04%	0.04%	0.08%	0.22%	0.15%	0.39%	0.45%	0.57%	0.57%	0.75%	0.88%	1.11%	1.36%	1.85%	1.80%	2.14%	2.25%	2.65%	2.85%	3.57%	3.98%	4.00%	4.56%	5.65%	5.55%	6.59%	6.78%	8.55%	8.22%	11.85%	10.55%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.04%	0.11%	0.06%	0.20%	0.37%	0.31%	0.54%	0.61%	0.58%	0.78%	1.01%	1.16%	1.48%	1.57%	1.87%	1.88%	2.55%	2.52%	2.61%	2.76%	3.96%	3.42%	4.76%	4.25%	6.08%	5.84%	6.99%	6.51%	9.87%	9.64%	15.67%
Buffalo Bills	0.04%	0.06%	0.12%	0.14%	0.18%	0.34%	0.39%	0.48%	0.55%	0.82%	0.93%	0.94%	1.34%	1.18%	1.62%	1.64%	2.28%	1.74%	2.75%	2.62%	3.57%	3.49%	4.94%	4.21%	6.32%	6.45%	8.08%	7.88%	11.02%	9.84%	14.04%
Detroit Lions	—	0.04%	0.05%	0.10%	0.15%	0.18%	0.30%	0.30%	0.33%	0.54%	0.64%	0.73%	0.84%	1.30%	1.31%	1.52%	2.05%	1.85%	2.59%	3.14%	3.24%	4.07%	4.30%	5.14%	6.13%	7.37%	7.52%	9.76%	9.78%	12.66%	12.07%

Win Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed). Click a division in the legend to toggle it.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Across the 10,000 regular-season simulations, the probability that each team finished as each playoff seed (or missed the playoffs entirely). Rows sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed; teams that more often missed the playoffs sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Oakland Raiders	27.41%	19.34%	14.14%	9.33%	7.38%	5.84%	16.56%
Pittsburgh Steelers	18.93%	16.05%	9.23%	13.39%	10.14%	7.50%	24.76%
Baltimore Ravens	14.71%	12.94%	8.19%	14.28%	10.73%	8.83%	30.32%
Miami Dolphins	10.31%	12.70%	17.52%	6.68%	7.61%	7.71%	37.47%
Denver Broncos	6.39%	6.00%	5.15%	10.93%	9.27%	9.13%	53.13%
New York Jets	5.41%	7.26%	12.16%	6.20%	7.93%	8.27%	52.77%
New England Patriots	4.05%	6.15%	10.48%	5.59%	7.53%	8.49%	57.71%
San Diego Chargers	2.63%	3.36%	3.30%	7.09%	6.75%	7.48%	69.39%
Tennessee Titans	2.62%	3.30%	2.54%	5.49%	6.70%	6.55%	72.80%
Seattle Seahawks	2.03%	2.96%	3.02%	5.37%	6.15%	6.41%	74.06%
Jacksonville Jaguars	1.97%	3.56%	2.94%	5.96%	6.67%	6.91%	71.99%
Indianapolis Colts	1.89%	3.55%	7.08%	3.35%	4.63%	6.04%	73.46%
Kansas City Chiefs	1.07%	1.49%	1.71%	3.07%	4.01%	4.44%	84.21%
Cleveland Browns	0.30%	0.72%	0.88%	1.70%	2.03%	2.70%	91.67%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.15%	0.37%	0.60%	0.99%	1.36%	1.88%	94.65%
Buffalo Bills	0.13%	0.25%	1.06%	0.58%	1.11%	1.82%	95.05%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
St. Louis Rams	32.04%	20.24%	13.03%	11.07%	7.91%	4.96%	10.75%
Green Bay Packers	18.24%	17.14%	11.82%	13.22%	10.49%	7.47%	21.62%
Philadelphia Eagles	16.72%	18.44%	23.78%	6.27%	7.04%	7.28%	20.47%
Chicago Bears	7.69%	10.25%	7.61%	11.41%	11.43%	10.65%	40.96%
San Francisco 49ers	7.50%	7.20%	5.53%	15.06%	12.30%	10.58%	41.83%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	6.34%	8.35%	6.73%	11.20%	10.90%	9.73%	46.75%
New York Giants	4.96%	7.65%	13.68%	7.52%	8.99%	10.65%	46.55%
New Orleans Saints	2.89%	3.54%	3.36%	8.82%	9.29%	8.98%	63.12%
Minnesota Vikings	1.12%	2.11%	2.00%	3.75%	4.81%	5.78%	80.43%
Washington Redskins	0.80%	1.81%	4.80%	2.93%	4.53%	6.04%	79.09%
Atlanta Falcons	0.72%	1.11%	1.29%	3.45%	4.15%	5.73%	83.55%
Dallas Cowboys	0.55%	1.11%	3.75%	2.00%	3.32%	4.82%	84.45%
Carolina Panthers	0.26%	0.50%	0.79%	1.98%	2.70%	3.37%	90.40%
Arizona Cardinals	0.10%	0.37%	1.48%	0.75%	1.22%	2.37%	93.71%
Detroit Lions	0.07%	0.18%	0.35%	0.57%	0.92%	1.59%	96.32%

Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed

Empirical cumulative distribution: for each seed in each conference, the probability that a team holding that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability — day by day. Pick a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces every team's game-by-game Elo trajectory through their playoff run — teams eliminated early have short lines, deeper runs extend further right; click a team in the legend to isolate it. Net Elo Change summarizes the same data as one bar per team from first playoff game to last, sorted biggest gain to biggest loss.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

Across 10,000 simulations starting from preseason Elo, every team had a chance to make the playoffs based on how the regular-season Monte Carlo played out. The default view sums those simulations up: what fraction of them had each team making the playoffs, advancing each round, and winning the title. The round buttons switch to heatmaps showing how often every pair of teams faced off in each round across all sims.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl
St. Louis Rams	80.07%	80.07%	55.24%	36.35%	24.06%
Pittsburgh Steelers	62.80%	62.80%	40.69%	26.05%	13.09%
Green Bay Packers	62.03%	62.03%	33.73%	16.30%	9.05%
Philadelphia Eagles	63.82%	63.82%	34.08%	15.79%	8.94%
Oakland Raiders	68.78%	68.78%	38.48%	19.35%	8.03%
Chicago Bears	42.97%	42.97%	22.49%	10.77%	6.48%
Baltimore Ravens	51.56%	51.56%	26.31%	13.21%	5.22%
San Francisco 49ers	43.47%	39.51%	18.50%	8.84%	5.11%
Miami Dolphins	45.43%	45.43%	23.13%	11.05%	4.32%
New England Patriots	32.09%	29.67%	16.90%	8.98%	3.87%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	38.56%	34.84%	15.95%	6.62%	3.38%
New York Jets	34.56%	31.21%	15.11%	7.16%	2.57%
Denver Broncos	34.48%	26.77%	10.72%	4.02%	1.23%
New York Giants	40.84%	27.44%	7.98%	2.35%	0.74%
Tennessee Titans	21.28%	14.59%	5.51%	2.32%	0.69%
Jacksonville Jaguars	22.48%	14.55%	5.37%	1.99%	0.62%
Indianapolis Colts	21.10%	13.85%	5.01%	1.70%	0.54%
Seattle Seahawks	20.95%	13.39%	4.95%	1.84%	0.53%
Washington Redskins	18.30%	10.56%	3.41%	1.19%	0.51%
Kansas City Chiefs	13.23%	7.41%	2.64%	0.96%	0.24%
New Orleans Saints	30.45%	14.58%	3.21%	0.67%	0.20%
San Diego Chargers	24.62%	13.42%	3.62%	0.99%	0.20%
Dallas Cowboys	13.89%	5.50%	1.25%	0.30%	0.09%
Minnesota Vikings	16.34%	7.59%	2.02%	0.43%	0.08%
Cleveland Browns	7.31%	3.40%	0.89%	0.24%	0.08%
Atlanta Falcons	14.62%	5.50%	1.08%	0.20%	0.07%
Cincinnati Bengals	4.83%	1.86%	0.46%	0.11%	0.03%
Arizona Cardinals	5.82%	2.25%	0.51%	0.10%	0.02%
Carolina Panthers	8.84%	2.36%	0.38%	0.08%	0.01%
Detroit Lions	3.43%	0.98%	0.17%	0.01%	—
Buffalo Bills	4.57%	1.31%	0.21%	0.03%	—

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		0.47%	0.37%	0.48%	2.98%	1.51%	1.50%	1.05%	2.16%	1.61%	1.98%	2.23%	1.65%	2.77%	1.96%	1.19%
Buffalo Bills	0.06%		0.03%	0.02%	0.12%	0.07%	0.04%	0.05%	0.10%	0.04%	0.05%	0.07%	0.06%	0.09%	0.04%	0.09%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.10%	0.03%		0.05%	0.16%	0.09%	0.08%	0.06%	0.13%	0.07%	0.09%	0.11%	0.10%	0.16%	0.07%	0.04%
Cleveland Browns	0.26%	0.06%			0.28%	0.22%	0.06%	0.10%	0.18%	0.14%	0.26%	0.28%	0.12%	0.27%	0.10%	0.05%
Denver Broncos	1.79%	0.27%	0.29%	0.44%		1.03%	1.21%	0.45%	1.36%	1.00%	1.33%	1.33%	1.16%	0.81%	0.68%	1.23%
Indianapolis Colts	0.90%	0.22%	0.23%	0.23%	0.67%		0.63%	0.41%	1.01%	0.45%	0.67%	0.62%	0.54%	0.77%	0.47%	0.59%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.88%	0.16%	0.12%	0.17%	1.09%	0.63%		0.42%	0.77%	0.61%	0.83%	0.82%	0.68%	0.95%	0.63%	0.26%
Kansas City Chiefs	0.48%	0.10%	0.13%	0.23%	0.43%	0.32%	0.41%		0.45%	0.32%	0.55%	0.43%	0.30%	0.28%	0.11%	0.31%
Miami Dolphins	2.21%	0.45%	0.40%	0.59%	2.13%	1.80%	1.72%	0.85%		1.81%	2.48%	1.61%	1.40%	2.00%	1.50%	1.47%
New England Patriots	2.01%	0.29%	0.32%	0.46%	2.07%	1.12%	1.39%	0.76%	1.99%		1.75%	1.53%	1.78%	1.53%	1.19%	1.28%
New York Jets	1.79%	0.29%	0.24%	0.48%	1.86%	1.18%	1.51%	0.89%	2.10%	1.33%		1.14%	1.34%	1.94%	1.12%	1.33%
Oakland Raiders	2.44%	0.44%	0.54%	0.61%	2.46%	1.26%	1.50%	1.03%	1.86%	1.52%	1.54%		1.71%	1.94%	1.36%	1.82%
Pittsburgh Steelers	2.47%	0.41%	0.39%	0.64%	3.34%	1.70%	1.91%	1.33%	2.59%	2.02%	2.34%	2.40%		2.44%	2.27%	1.57%
San Diego Chargers	0.94%	0.16%	0.16%	0.18%	0.74%	0.60%	0.64%	0.19%	0.66%	0.49%	0.69%	0.53%	0.48%		0.29%	0.68%
Seattle Seahawks	1.03%	0.16%	0.15%	0.19%	0.58%	0.61%	0.59%	0.29%	0.77%	0.64%	0.77%	0.82%	0.64%	0.46%		0.70%
Tennessee Titans	0.76%	0.13%	0.12%	0.16%	1.19%	0.55%	0.27%	0.50%	0.97%	0.57%	0.69%	0.74%	0.48%	0.78%	0.76%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		0.19%	0.06%	0.16%	0.06%	0.04%	0.09%	0.18%	0.17%	0.18%	0.18%	0.13%	0.07%	0.20%	0.07%
Atlanta Falcons	0.04%		0.06%	0.40%	0.24%	0.04%	0.33%	0.30%	0.36%	0.64%	0.34%	0.27%	0.17%	0.28%	0.20%
Carolina Panthers	0.02%	0.03%		0.10%	0.08%	0.05%	0.18%	0.12%	0.15%	0.29%	0.11%	0.09%	0.08%	0.20%	0.10%
Chicago Bears	0.53%	1.42%	0.94%		1.16%	0.30%	2.56%	0.95%	3.32%	3.16%	2.27%	3.27%	1.66%	2.16%	1.33%
Dallas Cowboys	0.06%	0.23%	0.15%	0.27%		0.05%	0.24%	0.18%	0.54%	0.59%	0.38%	0.28%	0.21%	0.48%	0.18%
Detroit Lions	0.02%	0.02%	0.06%	0.03%	0.04%		0.05%	0.03%	0.10%	0.14%	0.05%	0.07%	0.03%	0.06%	0.03%
Green Bay Packers	0.49%	1.71%	1.02%	2.47%	1.17%	0.28%		1.40%	3.44%	3.47%	2.03%	3.70%	1.57%	2.60%	1.30%
Minnesota Vikings	0.12%	0.36%	0.23%	0.19%	0.29%	0.05%	0.24%		0.68%	0.69%	0.42%	0.30%	0.23%	0.31%	0.25%
New Orleans Saints	0.23%	0.28%	0.21%	0.78%	0.54%	0.12%	0.96%	0.65%		1.44%	0.84%	0.54%	0.41%	0.85%	0.30%
New York Giants	0.28%	0.96%	0.78%	1.11%	0.77%	0.30%	1.27%	1.29%	1.85%		1.72%	1.47%	0.65%	1.54%	0.84%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.79%	1.57%	1.18%	2.29%	1.89%	0.38%	1.95%	2.06%	2.90%	5.20%		2.71%	1.13%	2.70%	1.91%
San Francisco 49ers	0.57%	0.92%	0.50%	2.87%	0.99%	0.30%	3.15%	1.64%	2.39%	3.37%	2.48%		1.18%	2.99%	1.46%
St. Louis Rams	0.52%	1.45%	0.83%	3.11%	1.27%	0.44%	3.01%	1.90%	2.75%	3.10%	2.05%	2.49%		3.38%	1.49%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.29%	1.33%	0.80%	1.54%	1.10%	0.25%	1.68%	0.79%	2.77%	2.82%	1.98%	2.57%	1.34%		0.89%
Washington Redskins	0.08%	0.48%	0.42%	0.75%	0.45%	0.10%	0.64%	0.49%	0.88%	0.92%	0.86%	0.77%	0.45%	0.66%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		0.26%	0.12%	0.36%	1.83%	1.31%	1.25%	0.61%	3.27%	2.06%	2.39%	4.62%	4.73%	1.12%	1.08%	1.30%
Buffalo Bills	0.06%						0.02%		0.02%		0.01%	0.06%	0.02%	0.01%	0.01%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.04%	0.01%			0.07%	0.01%			0.04%		0.04%	0.12%	0.04%	0.03%	0.05%	0.01%
Cleveland Browns	0.07%	0.01%			0.05%	0.06%	0.06%	0.01%	0.12%	0.04%	0.12%	0.18%	0.11%	0.02%	0.02%	0.02%
Denver Broncos	1.44%	0.02%	0.11%	0.11%		0.49%	0.42%	0.22%	1.48%	0.58%	0.95%	2.38%	1.18%	0.56%	0.36%	0.42%
Indianapolis Colts	0.58%	0.01%	0.03%	0.05%	0.53%		0.26%	0.17%	0.31%	0.22%	0.37%	0.87%	0.64%	0.38%	0.34%	0.25%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.69%	0.02%	0.03%	0.04%	0.50%	0.29%		0.08%	0.74%	0.32%	0.54%	1.03%	0.54%	0.19%	0.12%	0.24%
Kansas City Chiefs	0.40%	0.03%	0.03%	0.01%	0.21%	0.11%	0.10%		0.39%	0.11%	0.20%	0.47%	0.30%	0.10%	0.05%	0.13%
Miami Dolphins	3.29%	0.10%	0.13%	0.39%	2.12%	0.88%	1.08%	0.73%		1.16%	1.87%	4.81%	3.19%	1.27%	0.94%	1.17%
New England Patriots	2.66%	0.05%	0.12%	0.17%	1.42%	0.59%	0.86%	0.39%	1.61%		1.10%	3.42%	2.42%	0.71%	0.67%	0.71%
New York Jets	2.25%	0.07%	0.11%	0.16%	1.30%	0.39%	0.65%	0.45%	1.72%	0.75%		2.92%	2.08%	0.90%	0.76%	0.60%
Oakland Raiders	4.81%	0.19%	0.29%	0.54%	3.94%	2.11%	1.94%	1.08%	5.23%	3.65%	3.67%		5.11%	2.23%	1.95%	1.74%
Pittsburgh Steelers	7.47%	0.24%	0.35%	0.54%	3.01%	1.89%	1.97%	0.84%	5.50%	3.00%	3.60%	6.76%		1.77%	1.71%	2.04%
San Diego Chargers	0.35%	0.03%	0.03%	0.04%	0.28%	0.17%	0.20%	0.03%	0.39%	0.17%	0.39%	0.75%	0.44%		0.16%	0.19%
Seattle Seahawks	0.55%	0.06%	0.01%	0.04%	0.39%	0.28%	0.18%	0.05%	0.71%	0.32%	0.40%	0.83%	0.65%	0.22%		0.26%
Tennessee Titans	0.59%		0.04%	0.06%	0.40%	0.26%	0.19%	0.11%	0.77%	0.39%	0.45%	1.08%	0.66%	0.29%	0.22%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals				0.06%		0.01%	0.10%	0.05%	0.01%	0.01%	0.06%	0.03%	0.11%	0.07%
Atlanta Falcons	0.01%			0.03%	0.01%	0.01%	0.18%	0.05%	0.07%	0.14%	0.22%	0.07%	0.18%	0.09%	0.02%
Carolina Panthers				0.02%	0.01%		0.07%		0.01%	0.13%	0.09%		0.04%	0.01%
Chicago Bears	0.11%	0.38%	0.22%		0.44%	0.02%	4.15%	0.48%	1.13%	2.56%	4.22%	2.06%	4.07%	2.02%	0.63%
Dallas Cowboys		0.05%	0.02%	0.13%			0.21%	0.06%	0.09%	0.09%	0.18%	0.13%	0.16%	0.12%	0.01%
Detroit Lions				0.03%			0.03%			0.03%	0.04%	0.01%	0.02%	0.01%
Green Bay Packers	0.39%	0.78%	0.36%	4.50%	0.84%	0.15%		0.88%	1.90%	3.69%	6.43%	3.34%	5.13%	3.91%	1.43%
Minnesota Vikings	0.05%	0.10%	0.01%	0.18%	0.06%	0.01%	0.27%		0.10%	0.26%	0.35%	0.13%	0.27%	0.16%	0.07%
New Orleans Saints	0.02%	0.14%	0.04%	0.34%	0.10%	0.03%	0.42%	0.06%		0.36%	0.59%	0.24%	0.57%	0.27%	0.03%
New York Giants	0.04%	0.23%	0.12%	0.95%	0.05%	0.03%	1.47%	0.39%	0.48%		1.29%	0.79%	1.14%	0.88%	0.12%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.25%	0.70%	0.28%	4.03%	0.84%	0.26%	6.22%	1.15%	2.07%	3.47%		4.15%	5.93%	3.60%	1.13%
San Francisco 49ers	0.14%	0.26%	0.13%	2.01%	0.32%	0.07%	2.75%	0.45%	0.82%	1.89%	3.37%		3.89%	1.69%	0.71%
St. Louis Rams	0.54%	1.45%	0.60%	6.37%	1.18%	0.20%	8.83%	1.55%	3.73%	4.74%	9.49%	8.42%		5.80%	2.34%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.17%	0.31%	0.20%	1.54%	0.36%	0.02%	2.98%	0.33%	0.79%	1.87%	2.92%	1.22%	2.58%		0.66%
Washington Redskins	0.02%	0.02%		0.29%	0.04%		0.62%	0.12%	0.17%	0.22%	0.49%	0.42%	0.74%	0.26%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		0.02%	0.05%	0.11%	1.00%	0.45%	0.37%	0.26%	1.98%	1.28%	1.29%	3.25%	1.92%	0.46%	0.51%	0.26%
Buffalo Bills					0.01%								0.01%			0.01%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.01%				0.01%				0.03%	0.01%	0.01%	0.04%
Cleveland Browns	0.01%				0.04%	0.02%	0.01%		0.02%	0.01%	0.01%	0.07%	0.02%	0.01%	0.01%	0.01%
Denver Broncos	0.57%	0.02%	0.02%	0.03%		0.15%	0.13%	0.08%	0.43%	0.32%	0.43%	0.50%	0.98%	0.09%	0.10%	0.17%
Indianapolis Colts	0.23%			0.02%	0.16%		0.04%	0.04%	0.10%	0.12%	0.07%	0.39%	0.37%	0.05%	0.07%	0.04%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.22%			0.01%	0.17%	0.11%		0.02%	0.21%	0.20%	0.19%	0.40%	0.22%	0.06%	0.14%	0.04%
Kansas City Chiefs	0.16%		0.01%	0.03%	0.02%	0.03%	0.01%		0.11%	0.10%	0.13%	0.10%	0.17%		0.03%	0.06%
Miami Dolphins	1.94%	0.01%	0.05%	0.08%	0.68%	0.23%	0.44%	0.27%		0.80%	0.55%	2.45%	2.44%	0.32%	0.35%	0.44%
New England Patriots	1.49%		0.06%	0.01%	0.79%	0.17%	0.39%	0.15%	0.80%		0.47%	2.12%	1.77%	0.20%	0.24%	0.32%
New York Jets	1.17%	0.01%	0.05%	0.06%	0.54%	0.22%	0.26%	0.09%	0.67%	0.34%		1.76%	1.34%	0.21%	0.23%	0.21%
Oakland Raiders	3.77%	0.01%	0.04%	0.12%	0.93%	0.57%	0.85%	0.18%	2.71%	1.92%	1.90%		4.62%	0.41%	0.40%	0.92%
Pittsburgh Steelers	2.90%	0.10%	0.05%	0.15%	2.10%	1.14%	0.72%	0.51%	4.20%	2.33%	2.44%	7.16%		0.67%	0.94%	0.64%
San Diego Chargers	0.11%		0.01%	0.02%	0.06%	0.09%	0.03%	0.01%	0.15%	0.10%	0.09%	0.11%	0.18%		0.01%	0.02%
Seattle Seahawks	0.33%				0.05%	0.07%	0.06%	0.02%	0.31%	0.19%	0.16%	0.26%	0.33%	0.01%		0.05%
Tennessee Titans	0.19%	0.01%	0.01%	0.01%	0.14%	0.06%	0.07%	0.05%	0.36%	0.20%	0.21%	0.52%	0.27%	0.14%	0.08%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals				0.02%			0.02%			0.01%	0.01%		0.03%	0.01%
Atlanta Falcons				0.04%			0.03%	0.01%		0.01%	0.05%	0.01%	0.01%	0.04%
Carolina Panthers				0.01%			0.02%					0.01%	0.03%	0.01%
Chicago Bears	0.03%	0.15%	0.06%		0.16%	0.01%	1.64%	0.12%	0.27%	0.56%	2.33%	1.03%	3.33%	0.88%	0.20%
Dallas Cowboys			0.01%				0.07%	0.01%	0.02%		0.02%	0.04%	0.08%	0.05%
Detroit Lions												0.01%
Green Bay Packers	0.05%	0.13%	0.08%	1.81%	0.14%	0.02%		0.18%	0.56%	0.83%	3.60%	2.02%	5.28%	1.19%	0.41%
Minnesota Vikings		0.01%		0.04%			0.06%		0.03%	0.02%	0.08%	0.03%	0.14%	0.01%	0.01%
New Orleans Saints				0.03%	0.04%		0.11%	0.02%		0.06%	0.16%	0.04%	0.15%	0.02%	0.04%
New York Giants		0.03%		0.22%			0.43%	0.07%	0.08%		0.25%	0.27%	0.82%	0.15%	0.03%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.05%	0.19%	0.04%	2.18%	0.07%	0.02%	3.21%	0.20%	0.52%	0.69%		1.93%	4.94%	1.43%	0.32%
San Francisco 49ers	0.06%	0.04%	0.03%	1.13%	0.06%		1.72%	0.19%	0.17%	0.51%	1.74%		1.83%	1.18%	0.18%
St. Louis Rams	0.21%	0.24%	0.05%	5.51%	0.41%	0.09%	8.98%	0.72%	0.72%	2.53%	8.53%	3.25%		4.21%	0.90%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.01%	0.08%	0.03%	0.59%	0.06%	0.01%	0.99%	0.05%	0.15%	0.38%	1.36%	0.89%	1.89%		0.13%
Washington Redskins		0.01%		0.14%	0.01%	0.01%	0.15%	0.02%	0.02%	0.03%	0.16%	0.13%	0.36%	0.15%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Dallas Cowboys	Denver Broncos	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	Minnesota Vikings	New England Patriots	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Philadelphia Eagles	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Tennessee Titans	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals													0.01%											0.01%
Atlanta Falcons																		0.02%			0.03%	0.01%		0.01%
Baltimore Ravens	0.03%	0.03%				0.52%			0.02%			0.90%					0.03%		0.05%	0.16%			0.99%			0.47%		1.49%	0.42%		0.11%
Carolina Panthers													0.01%
Chicago Bears			0.90%					0.03%		0.35%			0.12%	0.16%	0.10%	0.82%		0.58%			0.48%	1.16%		1.35%	0.07%		0.16%			0.20%
Cincinnati Bengals												0.01%								0.02%
Cleveland Browns												0.02%											0.01%			0.01%		0.04%
Dallas Cowboys			0.03%							0.01%								0.01%			0.01%			0.02%			0.01%
Denver Broncos						0.10%			0.01%			0.19%					0.02%		0.02%	0.03%			0.23%			0.12%		0.37%	0.13%		0.01%
Green Bay Packers			1.15%	0.01%			0.01%	0.03%		0.37%			0.14%	0.21%	0.11%	1.06%		0.79%			0.66%	1.97%		1.81%	0.17%		0.24%			0.32%
Indianapolis Colts						0.07%						0.14%					0.01%		0.01%	0.02%			0.07%			0.06%		0.11%	0.04%		0.01%
Jacksonville Jaguars						0.03%			0.01%			0.08%							0.02%	0.06%			0.11%			0.08%		0.15%	0.07%		0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs						0.02%						0.04%								0.01%			0.03%			0.03%		0.08%	0.03%
Miami Dolphins	0.02%	0.02%				0.46%			0.04%			0.80%					0.02%		0.06%	0.19%			0.69%			0.35%		1.27%	0.35%		0.05%
Minnesota Vikings			0.01%							0.03%								0.01%				0.01%		0.02%
New England Patriots		0.01%				0.43%			0.01%			0.61%					0.05%		0.04%	0.16%			0.54%			0.43%		1.16%	0.39%		0.04%
New Orleans Saints			0.01%										0.01%	0.01%		0.05%		0.01%			0.01%	0.05%		0.02%	0.02%		0.01%
New York Giants			0.09%							0.03%			0.03%	0.01%		0.05%		0.06%			0.05%	0.13%		0.24%			0.03%			0.02%
New York Jets		0.01%				0.26%			0.01%			0.42%					0.05%		0.06%	0.17%			0.50%			0.17%		0.62%	0.21%		0.09%
Oakland Raiders		0.04%			0.04%	0.87%			0.05%			1.49%					0.07%		0.05%	0.32%			1.33%			0.60%		2.41%	0.60%		0.16%
Philadelphia Eagles			1.31%				0.03%	0.01%		0.59%			0.19%	0.19%	0.06%	0.97%		0.81%			0.67%	1.63%		2.04%	0.09%		0.15%			0.20%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.03%	0.02%			0.02%	1.43%			0.05%		0.01%	2.26%					0.09%		0.15%	0.43%			2.09%			1.28%		4.16%	0.88%		0.19%
San Diego Chargers						0.01%						0.05%											0.04%			0.02%		0.07%	0.01%
San Francisco 49ers			0.76%	0.01%			0.01%			0.23%			0.10%	0.10%	0.07%	0.69%		0.38%			0.46%	0.96%		1.01%	0.06%		0.12%			0.15%
Seattle Seahawks					0.01%	0.05%			0.01%			0.09%					0.01%			0.01%			0.12%			0.03%		0.16%	0.04%
St. Louis Rams			3.28%				0.02%	0.09%		1.04%			0.50%	0.56%	0.36%	2.62%		2.07%			1.88%	4.52%		5.67%	0.30%		0.49%			0.66%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers			0.39%	0.01%			0.01%			0.12%			0.04%	0.12%	0.02%	0.42%		0.30%			0.30%	0.76%		0.68%	0.07%		0.09%			0.05%
Tennessee Titans						0.04%						0.15%							0.01%	0.03%			0.10%			0.08%		0.20%	0.07%		0.01%
Washington Redskins			0.06%							0.02%			0.01%	0.01%		0.05%		0.07%			0.04%	0.12%		0.08%	0.01%		0.01%			0.03%

Actual Bracket Simulation

With the actual playoff bracket fixed in place, this second simulation re-runs each matchup 10,000 times and tallies how often each team advanced past each round and won the title. The right-most column shows what actually happened. Round buttons switch to matchup heatmaps for that round.

Team	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl	Actual Outcome
St. Louis Rams	100.00%	66.21%	42.41%	26.53%	Eliminated in Super Bowl
Pittsburgh Steelers	100.00%	64.52%	39.16%	18.23%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Chicago Bears	100.00%	53.12%	21.95%	11.04%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
New England Patriots	100.00%	55.73%	25.35%	10.16%	Won Super Bowl
Philadelphia Eagles	61.01%	28.28%	12.05%	6.38%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Green Bay Packers	57.75%	23.48%	10.86%	6.13%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Oakland Raiders	59.94%	26.75%	11.63%	5.14%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
San Francisco 49ers	42.25%	17.18%	7.85%	4.48%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Miami Dolphins	53.92%	20.80%	9.43%	3.93%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Baltimore Ravens	46.08%	18.58%	8.48%	3.41%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	38.99%	11.73%	4.88%	2.40%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
New York Jets	40.06%	13.62%	5.95%	2.17%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Miami Dolphins	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders
Baltimore Ravens		46.08%
Miami Dolphins	53.92%
New York Jets				40.06%
Oakland Raiders			59.94%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Green Bay Packers	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Green Bay Packers			57.75%
Philadelphia Eagles				61.01%
San Francisco 49ers	42.25%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers		38.99%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers
Baltimore Ravens			8.11%			10.47%
Miami Dolphins			9.41%			11.39%
New England Patriots	10.08%	12.46%			33.19%
New York Jets						13.62%
Oakland Raiders			26.75%
Pittsburgh Steelers	17.42%	20.66%		26.44%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Bears	Green Bay Packers	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Chicago Bears		11.90%	32.73%	8.49%
Green Bay Packers	10.63%				12.85%
Philadelphia Eagles	28.28%
San Francisco 49ers	7.97%				9.21%
St. Louis Rams		22.37%		16.58%		27.26%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers					11.73%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers
Baltimore Ravens			2.51%	1.69%	2.31%	1.97%
Miami Dolphins			2.92%	1.90%	2.25%	2.36%
New England Patriots	3.11%	3.42%		4.08%		14.74%
New York Jets	1.22%	1.41%	3.32%
Oakland Raiders	2.54%	2.80%				6.29%
Pittsburgh Steelers	3.23%	3.74%	21.63%		10.56%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Bears	Green Bay Packers	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Chicago Bears		3.40%		2.55%	12.37%	3.63%
Green Bay Packers	3.46%		2.82%		2.76%	1.82%
Philadelphia Eagles		3.17%		2.24%	6.64%
San Francisco 49ers	2.35%		2.07%		2.03%	1.40%
St. Louis Rams	22.83%	4.73%	11.34%	3.51%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2.53%	1.32%		1.03%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Chicago Bears	Green Bay Packers	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Philadelphia Eagles	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Baltimore Ravens		0.91%	0.35%					0.48%		0.25%	1.21%	0.21%
Chicago Bears	0.95%			1.22%	2.83%	0.70%	1.38%		3.96%
Green Bay Packers	0.49%			0.68%	1.69%	0.49%	0.66%		2.12%
Miami Dolphins		1.01%	0.46%					0.56%		0.22%	1.41%	0.27%
New England Patriots		2.55%	1.15%					1.44%		0.72%	3.65%	0.65%
New York Jets		0.55%	0.28%					0.27%		0.16%	0.77%	0.14%
Oakland Raiders		1.30%	0.49%					0.63%		0.44%	2.11%	0.17%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.56%			0.56%	1.68%	0.43%	0.72%		2.43%
Pittsburgh Steelers		4.59%	2.00%					2.29%		1.58%	6.73%	1.04%
San Francisco 49ers	0.42%			0.39%	1.34%	0.28%	0.53%		1.52%
St. Louis Rams	2.39%			2.46%	6.96%	1.75%	3.00%		9.97%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.26%			0.19%	0.69%	0.13%	0.20%		0.93%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, the opponent they most often faced and defeated at each round across all bracket simulations. Each step shows two numbers: Matchup % is the fraction of this team's wins in this round that came against this opponent; Win % is the head-to-head probability they beat this opponent when the two meet. Note: fixed early-round matchups against bracket-determined opponents will show 100% Matchup — that's because those pairings are decided by the bracket.

St. Louis Rams 26.53% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Matchup

41.17%

Win Prob

69.92%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

53.83%

Win Prob

64.86%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

37.58%

Win Prob

59.70%

Pittsburgh Steelers 18.23% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. New York Jets

Matchup

40.98%

Win Prob

66.00%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

55.23%

Win Prob

59.47%

→

Super Bowl

vs. St. Louis Rams

Matchup

36.92%

Win Prob

40.30%

Chicago Bears 11.04% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

61.62%

Win Prob

53.65%

→

Conference Championship

vs. St. Louis Rams

Matchup

56.36%

Win Prob

35.14%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

35.87%

Win Prob

46.32%

New England Patriots 10.16% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Oakland Raiders

Matchup

59.55%

Win Prob

55.37%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

58.15%

Win Prob

40.53%

→

Super Bowl

vs. St. Louis Rams

Matchup

35.93%

Win Prob

34.40%

Philadelphia Eagles 6.38% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

61.01%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

46.35%

→

Conference Championship

vs. St. Louis Rams

Matchup

55.10%

Win Prob

36.93%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

38.09%

Win Prob

51.48%

Green Bay Packers 6.13% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

57.75%

→

Divisional Round

vs. St. Louis Rams

Matchup

54.73%

Win Prob

36.48%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

31.86%

Win Prob

50.44%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

34.58%

Win Prob

51.46%

Oakland Raiders 5.14% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. New York Jets

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

59.94%

→

Divisional Round

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

44.63%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

54.08%

Win Prob

37.33%

→

Super Bowl

vs. St. Louis Rams

Matchup

41.05%

Win Prob

41.29%

San Francisco 49ers 4.48% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

42.25%

→

Divisional Round

vs. St. Louis Rams

Matchup

53.61%

Win Prob

35.71%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

29.94%

Win Prob

47.96%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

33.93%

Win Prob

49.03%

Miami Dolphins 3.93% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Baltimore Ravens

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

53.92%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

54.76%

Win Prob

35.54%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

30.97%

Win Prob

46.06%

→

Super Bowl

vs. St. Louis Rams

Matchup

35.88%

Win Prob

36.43%

Baltimore Ravens 3.41% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Miami Dolphins

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

46.08%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

56.35%

Win Prob

37.54%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

29.60%

Win Prob

44.66%

→

Super Bowl

vs. St. Louis Rams

Matchup

35.48%

Win Prob

33.61%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2.40% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

38.99%

→

Divisional Round

vs. St. Louis Rams

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

30.08%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

51.84%

Win Prob

41.07%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

38.75%

Win Prob

47.21%

New York Jets 2.17% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Oakland Raiders

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

40.06%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

34.00%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

55.80%

Win Prob

44.86%

→

Super Bowl

vs. St. Louis Rams

Matchup

35.48%

Win Prob

30.56%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Pick a team from the dropdown — it filters every table on this tab. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2001-09-23	Denver Broncos	L 17-38	1401.99	1550.89	33.89%	65.85%	-23.03	0-1
2001-09-30	Atlanta Falcons	L 14-34	1378.96	1457.91	43.40%	56.34%	-28.77	0-2
2001-10-07	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 21-20	1350.19	1571.68	18.63%	81.12%	+12.01	1-2
2001-10-14	@ Chicago Bears	L 13-20	1362.20	1501.14	26.91%	72.83%	-10.56	1-3
2001-10-21	Kansas City Chiefs	W 24-16	1351.64	1468.52	38.14%	61.61%	+25.81	2-3
2001-10-28	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 3-17	1377.45	1415.82	39.65%	60.10%	-21.99	2-4
2001-11-04	Philadelphia Eagles	L 7-21	1355.46	1544.92	28.87%	70.87%	-16.03	2-5
2001-11-11	New York Giants	L 10-17	1339.43	1525.55	29.27%	70.48%	-11.49	2-6
2001-11-18	Detroit Lions	W 45-38	1327.94	1359.75	50.15%	49.60%	+19.45	3-6
2001-11-25	@ San Diego Chargers	W 20-17	1347.39	1482.81	27.31%	72.43%	+18.58	4-6
2001-12-02	@ Oakland Raiders	W 34-31	1365.97	1654.69	13.46%	86.29%	+22.14	5-6
2001-12-09	Washington Redskins	L 10-20	1388.11	1484.02	41.02%	58.73%	-19.23	5-7
2001-12-15	@ New York Giants	L 13-17	1368.88	1462.41	32.35%	67.40%	-9.60	5-8
2001-12-23	Dallas Cowboys	W 17-10	1359.28	1394.18	49.71%	50.04%	+19.62	6-8
2001-12-30	@ Carolina Panthers	W 30-7	1378.90	1350.46	49.11%	50.64%	+35.98	7-8
2002-01-06	@ Washington Redskins	L 17-20	1414.88	1515.91	31.42%	68.33%	-8.07	7-9
2001-09-09	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 13-16	1443.76	1478.24	40.19%	59.56%	-10.32	0-1
2001-09-23	Carolina Panthers	W 24-16	1433.44	1527.19	41.33%	58.42%	+24.47	1-1
2001-09-30	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 34-14	1457.91	1378.96	56.34%	43.40%	+28.78	2-1
2001-10-07	Chicago Bears	L 3-31	1486.69	1454.73	59.21%	40.54%	-46.42	2-2
2001-10-14	San Francisco 49ers	L 31-37	1440.27	1507.17	45.12%	54.63%	-16.37	2-3
2001-10-21	@ New Orleans Saints	W 20-13	1423.90	1546.81	28.77%	70.98%	+27.81	3-3
2001-11-04	New England Patriots	L 10-24	1451.71	1498.01	48.07%	51.68%	-26.65	3-4
2001-11-11	Dallas Cowboys	W 20-13	1425.06	1429.02	54.15%	45.60%	+17.88	4-4
2001-11-18	@ Green Bay Packers	W 23-20	1442.94	1600.49	24.86%	74.89%	+19.21	5-4
2001-11-25	@ Carolina Panthers	W 10-7	1462.15	1382.01	56.51%	43.24%	+11.10	6-4
2001-12-02	St. Louis Rams	L 6-35	1473.25	1641.54	31.44%	68.31%	-25.11	6-5
2001-12-09	New Orleans Saints	L 10-28	1448.14	1513.22	45.38%	54.37%	-28.53	6-6
2001-12-16	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 27-41	1419.61	1421.17	44.81%	54.93%	-24.85	6-7
2001-12-23	Buffalo Bills	W 33-30	1394.76	1339.19	62.44%	37.31%	+9.58	7-7
2001-12-30	@ Miami Dolphins	L 14-21	1404.34	1548.55	26.32%	73.43%	-10.33	7-8
2002-01-06	@ St. Louis Rams	L 13-31	1394.01	1719.42	11.18%	88.57%	-7.04	7-9
2001-09-09	Chicago Bears	W 17-6	1594.93	1446.79	73.86%	25.89%	+12.74	1-0
2001-09-23	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 10-21	1607.67	1445.91	67.49%	32.26%	-33.16	1-1
2001-09-30	@ Denver Broncos	W 20-13	1574.51	1573.92	45.12%	54.63%	+21.41	2-1
2001-10-07	Tennessee Titans	W 26-7	1595.92	1511.30	66.26%	33.49%	+21.65	3-1
2001-10-14	@ Green Bay Packers	L 23-31	1617.57	1596.45	48.06%	51.69%	-20.15	3-2
2001-10-21	@ Cleveland Browns	L 14-24	1597.42	1437.85	67.22%	32.53%	-31.48	3-3
2001-10-28	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 18-17	1565.94	1473.70	67.23%	32.51%	+4.82	4-3
2001-11-04	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 13-10	1570.76	1594.50	41.68%	58.07%	+14.90	5-3
2001-11-12	@ Tennessee Titans	W 16-10	1585.66	1497.52	57.64%	42.11%	+15.29	6-3
2001-11-18	Cleveland Browns	L 17-27	1600.95	1447.90	74.40%	25.35%	-34.85	6-4
2001-11-25	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 24-21	1566.10	1466.12	59.29%	40.46%	+10.39	7-4
2001-12-02	Indianapolis Colts	W 39-27	1576.49	1461.08	70.09%	29.66%	+15.24	8-4
2001-12-16	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 21-26	1591.73	1651.70	46.11%	53.64%	-15.28	8-5
2001-12-23	Cincinnati Bengals	W 16-0	1576.45	1348.62	81.67%	18.08%	+10.74	9-5
2001-12-29	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 10-22	1587.19	1578.76	46.24%	53.51%	-23.74	9-6
2002-01-07	Minnesota Vikings	W 19-3	1563.45	1421.03	73.23%	26.52%	+15.74	10-6
2001-09-09	New Orleans Saints	L 6-24	1506.28	1500.09	55.59%	44.16%	-34.94	0-1
2001-09-23	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 26-42	1471.34	1582.66	30.15%	69.60%	-17.89	0-2
2001-09-30	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 3-20	1453.45	1484.84	50.21%	49.54%	-30.67	0-3
2001-10-07	New York Jets	L 36-42	1422.78	1489.78	45.10%	54.65%	-16.38	0-4
2001-10-18	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 13-10	1406.40	1490.68	33.53%	66.22%	+16.99	1-4
2001-10-28	@ San Diego Chargers	L 24-27	1423.39	1532.97	30.37%	69.38%	-7.80	1-5
2001-11-04	Indianapolis Colts	L 14-30	1415.59	1505.86	41.81%	57.94%	-24.79	1-6
2001-11-11	@ New England Patriots	L 11-21	1390.80	1524.66	27.49%	72.26%	-12.90	1-7
2001-11-18	Seattle Seahawks	L 20-23	1377.90	1473.10	41.12%	58.63%	-10.56	1-8
2001-11-25	Miami Dolphins	L 27-34	1367.34	1542.61	30.58%	69.17%	-12.00	1-9
2001-12-02	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 0-35	1355.34	1567.14	19.49%	80.26%	-17.11	1-10
2001-12-09	Carolina Panthers	W 25-24	1338.23	1362.76	51.20%	48.55%	+7.20	2-10
2001-12-16	New England Patriots	L 9-12	1345.43	1576.14	24.25%	75.50%	-6.24	2-11
2001-12-23	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 30-33	1339.19	1394.76	37.31%	62.44%	-9.58	2-12
2001-12-30	@ New York Jets	W 14-9	1329.61	1572.92	16.80%	82.95%	+27.48	3-12
2002-01-06	@ Miami Dolphins	L 7-34	1357.09	1558.88	20.41%	79.34%	-15.74	3-13
2001-09-09	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 24-13	1499.15	1515.76	42.68%	57.07%	+28.04	1-0
2001-09-23	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 16-24	1527.19	1433.44	58.42%	41.33%	-24.48	1-1
2001-09-30	Green Bay Packers	L 7-28	1502.71	1583.68	43.12%	56.63%	-29.29	1-2
2001-10-07	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 14-24	1473.42	1486.96	43.12%	56.63%	-20.21	1-3
2001-10-14	New Orleans Saints	L 25-27	1453.21	1537.88	42.60%	57.15%	-8.93	1-4
2001-10-21	@ Washington Redskins	L 14-17	1444.28	1369.58	55.74%	44.01%	-14.30	1-5
2001-10-28	New York Jets	L 12-13	1429.98	1495.86	45.26%	54.49%	-6.71	1-6
2001-11-04	@ Miami Dolphins	L 6-23	1423.27	1556.84	27.53%	72.22%	-16.84	1-7
2001-11-11	@ St. Louis Rams	L 14-48	1406.43	1639.38	17.65%	82.10%	-15.27	1-8
2001-11-18	San Francisco 49ers	L 22-25	1391.16	1526.68	35.64%	64.11%	-9.15	1-9
2001-11-25	Atlanta Falcons	L 7-10	1382.01	1462.15	43.24%	56.51%	-11.10	1-10
2001-12-02	@ New Orleans Saints	L 23-27	1370.91	1505.08	27.46%	72.29%	-8.15	1-11
2001-12-09	@ Buffalo Bills	L 24-25	1362.76	1338.23	48.55%	51.20%	-7.19	1-12
2001-12-23	St. Louis Rams	L 32-38	1355.57	1703.24	14.04%	85.71%	-5.11	1-13
2001-12-30	Arizona Cardinals	L 7-30	1350.46	1378.90	50.64%	49.11%	-35.98	1-14
2002-01-06	New England Patriots	L 6-38	1314.48	1599.09	19.01%	80.74%	-15.96	1-15
2001-09-09	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 6-17	1446.79	1594.93	25.89%	73.86%	-12.73	0-1
2001-09-23	Minnesota Vikings	W 17-10	1434.06	1487.73	47.01%	52.74%	+20.67	1-1
2001-10-07	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 31-3	1454.73	1486.69	40.54%	59.21%	+46.41	2-1
2001-10-14	Arizona Cardinals	W 20-13	1501.14	1362.20	72.83%	26.91%	+10.56	3-1
2001-10-21	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 24-0	1511.70	1462.58	52.09%	47.66%	+34.60	4-1
2001-10-28	San Francisco 49ers	W 37-31	1546.30	1523.55	57.93%	41.82%	+15.19	5-1
2001-11-04	Cleveland Browns	W 27-21	1561.49	1469.33	67.22%	32.53%	+11.81	6-1
2001-11-11	Green Bay Packers	L 12-20	1573.30	1577.84	54.06%	45.68%	-22.65	6-2
2001-11-18	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 27-24	1550.65	1555.57	44.34%	55.41%	+14.22	7-2
2001-11-25	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 13-6	1564.87	1485.94	56.34%	43.41%	+17.02	8-2
2001-12-02	Detroit Lions	W 13-10	1581.89	1335.44	83.20%	16.55%	+4.25	9-2
2001-12-09	@ Green Bay Packers	L 7-17	1586.14	1600.39	43.02%	56.73%	-20.16	9-3
2001-12-16	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 27-3	1565.98	1580.85	52.59%	47.16%	+34.24	10-3
2001-12-23	@ Washington Redskins	W 20-15	1600.22	1481.54	61.85%	37.89%	+12.56	11-3
2001-12-30	@ Detroit Lions	W 24-0	1612.78	1334.73	80.15%	19.60%	+14.25	12-3
2002-01-06	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 33-13	1627.03	1498.60	71.63%	28.12%	+18.66	13-3
2001-09-09	New England Patriots	W 23-17	1427.09	1474.61	47.89%	51.86%	+18.82	1-0
2001-09-23	Baltimore Ravens	W 21-10	1445.91	1607.67	32.26%	67.49%	+33.16	2-0
2001-09-30	@ San Diego Chargers	L 14-28	1479.07	1510.06	40.67%	59.08%	-22.56	2-1
2001-10-07	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-16	1456.51	1515.51	36.85%	62.90%	-16.39	2-2
2001-10-14	Cleveland Browns	W 24-14	1440.12	1460.31	51.82%	47.93%	+22.46	3-2
2001-10-21	Chicago Bears	L 0-24	1462.58	1511.70	47.66%	52.09%	-34.60	3-3
2001-10-28	@ Detroit Lions	W 31-27	1427.98	1393.97	49.91%	49.83%	+14.77	4-3
2001-11-11	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 13-30	1442.75	1456.19	43.13%	56.62%	-26.36	4-4
2001-11-18	Tennessee Titans	L 7-20	1416.39	1482.23	45.27%	54.48%	-24.19	4-5
2001-11-25	@ Cleveland Browns	L 0-18	1392.20	1482.75	32.73%	67.02%	-20.59	4-6
2001-12-02	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 13-16	1371.61	1569.41	27.90%	71.85%	-7.17	4-7
2001-12-09	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 10-14	1364.44	1441.49	43.67%	56.07%	-12.95	4-8
2001-12-16	@ New York Jets	L 14-15	1351.49	1564.48	19.38%	80.36%	-2.87	4-9
2001-12-23	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 0-16	1348.62	1576.45	18.08%	81.67%	-10.74	4-10
2001-12-30	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 26-23	1337.88	1676.65	14.67%	85.08%	+21.83	5-10
2002-01-06	@ Tennessee Titans	W 23-21	1359.71	1511.33	25.50%	74.25%	+15.55	6-10
2001-09-09	Seattle Seahawks	L 6-9	1394.83	1475.47	43.17%	56.58%	-11.08	0-1
2001-09-23	Detroit Lions	W 24-14	1383.75	1473.92	41.82%	57.92%	+27.13	1-1
2001-09-30	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 23-14	1410.88	1548.63	27.05%	72.70%	+32.30	2-1
2001-10-07	San Diego Chargers	W 20-16	1443.18	1532.62	41.93%	57.82%	+17.13	3-1
2001-10-14	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 14-24	1460.31	1440.12	47.93%	51.82%	-22.46	3-2
2001-10-21	Baltimore Ravens	W 24-14	1437.85	1597.42	32.53%	67.22%	+31.48	4-2
2001-11-04	@ Chicago Bears	L 21-27	1469.33	1561.49	32.53%	67.22%	-11.81	4-3
2001-11-11	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 12-15	1457.52	1579.60	37.43%	62.31%	-9.62	4-4
2001-11-18	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 27-17	1447.90	1600.95	25.35%	74.40%	+34.85	5-4
2001-11-25	Cincinnati Bengals	W 18-0	1482.75	1392.20	67.02%	32.73%	+20.59	6-4
2001-12-02	Tennessee Titans	L 15-31	1503.34	1487.40	56.97%	42.78%	-33.75	6-5
2001-12-09	@ New England Patriots	L 16-27	1469.59	1560.04	32.74%	67.01%	-16.11	6-6
2001-12-16	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 10-15	1453.48	1454.43	54.58%	45.17%	-18.08	6-7
2001-12-23	@ Green Bay Packers	L 7-30	1435.40	1597.41	24.38%	75.37%	-17.35	6-8
2001-12-30	@ Tennessee Titans	W 41-38	1418.05	1529.17	30.18%	69.57%	+17.85	7-8
2002-01-06	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-28	1435.90	1654.82	18.86%	80.89%	-12.82	7-9
2001-09-09	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 6-10	1476.20	1541.71	45.31%	54.43%	-13.43	0-1
2001-09-23	San Diego Chargers	L 21-32	1462.77	1484.72	51.57%	48.18%	-25.35	0-2
2001-09-30	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 18-40	1437.42	1550.89	29.89%	69.85%	-20.79	0-3
2001-10-07	@ Oakland Raiders	L 21-28	1416.63	1582.91	23.93%	75.82%	-9.40	0-4
2001-10-15	Washington Redskins	W 9-7	1407.23	1378.16	58.81%	40.94%	+8.59	1-4
2001-10-28	Arizona Cardinals	W 17-3	1415.82	1377.45	60.10%	39.65%	+21.99	2-4
2001-11-04	@ New York Giants	L 24-27	1437.81	1516.76	34.22%	65.53%	-8.79	2-5
2001-11-11	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 13-20	1429.02	1425.06	45.60%	54.15%	-17.88	2-6
2001-11-18	Philadelphia Eagles	L 3-36	1411.14	1589.58	30.19%	69.55%	-25.73	2-7
2001-11-22	Denver Broncos	L 24-26	1385.41	1512.53	36.76%	62.99%	-7.70	2-8
2001-12-02	@ Washington Redskins	W 20-14	1377.71	1510.18	27.65%	72.10%	+26.15	3-8
2001-12-09	New York Giants	W 20-13	1403.86	1484.59	43.15%	56.59%	+22.18	4-8
2001-12-16	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 3-29	1426.04	1446.40	42.16%	57.59%	-31.86	4-9
2001-12-23	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 10-17	1394.18	1359.28	50.04%	49.71%	-19.62	4-10
2001-12-30	San Francisco 49ers	W 27-21	1374.56	1623.40	22.39%	77.36%	+28.07	5-10
2002-01-06	@ Detroit Lions	L 10-15	1402.63	1320.48	56.79%	42.95%	-18.81	5-11
2001-09-10	New York Giants	W 31-20	1528.26	1535.20	53.72%	46.03%	+22.63	1-0
2001-09-23	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 38-17	1550.89	1401.99	65.85%	33.89%	+23.03	2-0
2001-09-30	Baltimore Ravens	L 13-20	1573.92	1574.51	54.63%	45.12%	-21.41	2-1
2001-10-07	Kansas City Chiefs	W 20-6	1552.51	1501.73	61.79%	37.95%	+21.05	3-1
2001-10-14	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 21-34	1573.56	1453.42	62.05%	37.70%	-33.14	3-2
2001-10-21	@ San Diego Chargers	L 10-27	1540.42	1502.10	50.54%	49.21%	-30.87	3-3
2001-10-28	New England Patriots	W 31-20	1509.55	1520.94	53.08%	46.66%	+22.94	4-3
2001-11-05	@ Oakland Raiders	L 28-38	1532.49	1631.09	31.72%	68.03%	-14.88	4-4
2001-11-11	San Diego Chargers	W 26-16	1517.61	1517.49	54.73%	45.02%	+21.10	5-4
2001-11-18	Washington Redskins	L 10-17	1538.71	1449.87	66.80%	32.95%	-26.18	5-5
2001-11-22	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 26-24	1512.53	1385.41	62.99%	36.76%	+7.71	6-5
2001-12-02	@ Miami Dolphins	L 10-21	1520.24	1554.61	40.20%	59.55%	-19.76	6-6
2001-12-09	Seattle Seahawks	W 20-7	1500.48	1468.03	59.28%	40.47%	+21.63	7-6
2001-12-16	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 23-26	1522.11	1428.00	58.47%	41.28%	-15.01	7-7
2001-12-30	Oakland Raiders	W 23-17	1507.10	1629.23	37.43%	62.32%	+22.61	8-7
2002-01-06	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 10-29	1529.71	1429.39	59.34%	40.41%	-38.31	8-8
2001-09-09	@ Green Bay Packers	L 6-28	1503.09	1524.92	41.95%	57.80%	-29.17	0-1
2001-09-23	@ Cleveland Browns	L 14-24	1473.92	1383.75	57.92%	41.82%	-27.13	0-2
2001-10-08	St. Louis Rams	L 0-35	1446.79	1597.15	33.71%	66.04%	-29.57	0-3
2001-10-14	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 26-31	1417.22	1462.47	38.71%	61.04%	-12.83	0-4
2001-10-21	Tennessee Titans	L 24-27	1404.39	1503.61	40.56%	59.18%	-10.42	0-5
2001-10-28	Cincinnati Bengals	L 27-31	1393.97	1427.98	49.83%	49.91%	-14.77	0-6
2001-11-04	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 13-21	1379.20	1508.36	28.04%	71.71%	-11.76	0-7
2001-11-11	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 17-20	1367.44	1547.87	29.95%	69.79%	-7.69	0-8
2001-11-18	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 38-45	1359.75	1327.94	49.60%	50.15%	-19.45	0-9
2001-11-22	Green Bay Packers	L 27-29	1340.30	1581.28	23.18%	76.57%	-4.86	0-10
2001-12-02	@ Chicago Bears	L 10-13	1335.44	1581.89	16.55%	83.20%	-4.26	0-11
2001-12-09	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 12-15	1331.18	1576.58	16.63%	83.11%	-4.27	0-12
2001-12-16	Minnesota Vikings	W 27-24	1326.91	1494.37	31.54%	68.21%	+17.50	1-12
2001-12-23	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 14-47	1344.41	1666.98	11.34%	88.40%	-9.68	1-13
2001-12-30	Chicago Bears	L 0-24	1334.73	1612.78	19.60%	80.15%	-14.25	1-14
2002-01-06	Dallas Cowboys	W 15-10	1320.48	1402.63	42.95%	56.79%	+18.81	2-14
2001-09-09	Detroit Lions	W 28-6	1524.92	1503.09	57.80%	41.95%	+29.17	1-0
2001-09-24	Washington Redskins	W 37-0	1554.09	1464.16	66.94%	32.81%	+29.59	2-0
2001-09-30	@ Carolina Panthers	W 28-7	1583.68	1502.71	56.63%	43.12%	+29.29	3-0
2001-10-07	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 10-14	1612.97	1538.07	55.77%	43.98%	-16.52	3-1
2001-10-14	Baltimore Ravens	W 31-23	1596.45	1617.57	51.69%	48.06%	+20.14	4-1
2001-10-21	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 13-35	1616.59	1475.30	64.87%	34.88%	-45.06	4-2
2001-11-04	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 21-20	1571.53	1554.18	57.17%	42.58%	+6.31	5-2
2001-11-11	@ Chicago Bears	W 20-12	1577.84	1573.30	45.68%	54.06%	+22.65	6-2
2001-11-18	Atlanta Falcons	L 20-23	1600.49	1442.94	74.89%	24.86%	-19.21	6-3
2001-11-22	@ Detroit Lions	W 29-27	1581.28	1340.30	76.57%	23.18%	+4.87	7-3
2001-12-03	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 28-21	1586.15	1455.74	63.43%	36.32%	+14.24	8-3
2001-12-09	Chicago Bears	W 17-7	1600.39	1586.14	56.73%	43.02%	+20.17	9-3
2001-12-16	@ Tennessee Titans	L 20-26	1620.56	1487.39	63.80%	35.95%	-23.15	9-4
2001-12-23	Cleveland Browns	W 30-7	1597.41	1435.40	75.37%	24.38%	+17.35	10-4
2001-12-30	Minnesota Vikings	W 24-13	1614.76	1431.98	77.50%	22.25%	+10.95	11-4
2002-01-06	@ New York Giants	W 34-25	1625.71	1476.54	65.89%	33.86%	+15.06	12-4
2001-09-09	@ New York Jets	W 45-24	1548.69	1516.05	49.72%	50.03%	+33.97	1-0
2001-09-23	Buffalo Bills	W 42-26	1582.66	1471.34	69.60%	30.15%	+17.89	2-0
2001-09-30	@ New England Patriots	L 13-44	1600.55	1435.82	67.86%	31.88%	-55.96	2-1
2001-10-14	Oakland Raiders	L 18-23	1544.59	1592.30	47.86%	51.89%	-15.86	2-2
2001-10-21	New England Patriots	L 17-38	1528.73	1479.11	61.64%	38.11%	-41.84	2-3
2001-10-25	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 35-28	1486.89	1442.71	51.38%	48.37%	+18.97	3-3
2001-11-04	@ Buffalo Bills	W 30-14	1505.86	1415.59	57.94%	41.81%	+24.79	4-3
2001-11-11	Miami Dolphins	L 24-27	1530.65	1573.67	48.54%	51.21%	-12.46	4-4
2001-11-18	@ New Orleans Saints	L 20-34	1518.19	1507.75	46.53%	53.22%	-25.80	4-5
2001-11-25	San Francisco 49ers	L 21-40	1492.39	1535.83	48.48%	51.27%	-31.31	4-6
2001-12-02	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 27-39	1461.08	1576.49	29.66%	70.09%	-15.24	4-7
2001-12-10	@ Miami Dolphins	L 6-41	1445.84	1574.37	28.11%	71.64%	-24.67	4-8
2001-12-16	Atlanta Falcons	W 41-27	1421.17	1419.61	54.93%	44.81%	+24.85	5-8
2001-12-23	New York Jets	L 28-29	1446.02	1567.35	37.54%	62.21%	-5.56	5-9
2001-12-30	@ St. Louis Rams	L 17-42	1440.46	1708.35	14.91%	84.83%	-11.07	5-10
2002-01-06	Denver Broncos	W 29-10	1429.39	1529.71	40.41%	59.34%	+38.31	6-10
2001-09-09	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 21-3	1501.64	1514.29	52.90%	46.85%	+29.45	1-0
2001-09-23	Tennessee Titans	W 13-6	1531.09	1528.84	55.03%	44.72%	+17.54	2-0
2001-09-30	Cleveland Browns	L 14-23	1548.63	1410.88	72.70%	27.05%	-32.31	2-1
2001-10-07	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 15-24	1516.32	1427.78	57.69%	42.05%	-25.64	2-2
2001-10-18	Buffalo Bills	L 10-13	1490.68	1406.40	66.22%	33.53%	-16.98	2-3
2001-10-28	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 17-18	1473.70	1565.94	32.51%	67.23%	-4.83	2-4
2001-11-04	@ Tennessee Titans	L 24-28	1468.87	1484.84	42.77%	56.97%	-12.68	2-5
2001-11-11	Cincinnati Bengals	W 30-13	1456.19	1442.75	56.62%	43.13%	+26.36	3-5
2001-11-18	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-20	1482.55	1589.21	30.72%	69.03%	-16.43	3-6
2001-11-25	Baltimore Ravens	L 21-24	1466.12	1566.10	40.46%	59.29%	-10.38	3-7
2001-12-03	Green Bay Packers	L 21-28	1455.74	1586.15	36.32%	63.43%	-14.25	3-8
2001-12-09	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 14-10	1441.49	1364.44	56.07%	43.67%	+12.94	4-8
2001-12-16	@ Cleveland Browns	W 15-10	1454.43	1453.48	45.17%	54.58%	+18.08	5-8
2001-12-23	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 33-3	1472.51	1476.88	44.42%	55.33%	+44.90	6-8
2001-12-30	Kansas City Chiefs	L 26-30	1517.41	1454.07	63.48%	36.27%	-18.81	6-9
2002-01-06	@ Chicago Bears	L 13-33	1498.60	1627.03	28.12%	71.63%	-18.65	6-10
2001-09-09	Oakland Raiders	L 24-27	1493.94	1561.48	45.03%	54.72%	-11.56	0-1
2001-09-23	New York Giants	L 3-13	1482.38	1512.58	50.38%	49.37%	-23.60	0-2
2001-09-30	@ Washington Redskins	W 45-13	1458.78	1434.57	48.50%	51.24%	+42.95	1-2
2001-10-07	@ Denver Broncos	L 6-20	1501.73	1552.51	37.95%	61.79%	-21.06	1-3
2001-10-14	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 17-20	1480.67	1531.90	47.36%	52.39%	-12.15	1-4
2001-10-21	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 16-24	1468.52	1351.64	61.61%	38.14%	-25.81	1-5
2001-10-25	Indianapolis Colts	L 28-35	1442.71	1486.89	48.37%	51.38%	-18.97	1-6
2001-11-04	@ San Diego Chargers	W 25-20	1423.74	1540.77	29.47%	70.28%	+23.28	2-6
2001-11-11	@ New York Jets	L 7-27	1447.02	1525.95	34.22%	65.53%	-22.70	2-7
2001-11-25	Seattle Seahawks	W 19-7	1424.32	1483.66	46.20%	53.55%	+27.49	3-7
2001-11-29	Philadelphia Eagles	L 10-23	1451.81	1581.17	36.46%	63.29%	-19.49	3-8
2001-12-09	@ Oakland Raiders	L 26-28	1432.32	1632.55	20.56%	79.19%	-4.32	3-9
2001-12-16	Denver Broncos	W 26-23	1428.00	1522.11	41.28%	58.47%	+15.01	4-9
2001-12-23	San Diego Chargers	W 20-17	1443.01	1429.23	56.67%	43.08%	+11.06	5-9
2001-12-30	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 30-26	1454.07	1517.41	36.27%	63.48%	+18.80	6-9
2002-01-06	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 18-21	1472.87	1478.74	44.20%	55.55%	-11.35	6-10
2001-09-09	@ Tennessee Titans	W 31-23	1536.04	1552.75	42.67%	57.08%	+23.92	1-0
2001-09-23	Oakland Raiders	W 18-15	1559.96	1573.04	52.84%	46.91%	+12.04	2-0
2001-09-30	@ St. Louis Rams	L 10-42	1572.00	1557.68	47.08%	52.67%	-39.47	2-1
2001-10-07	New England Patriots	W 30-10	1532.53	1491.79	60.42%	39.32%	+26.07	3-1
2001-10-14	@ New York Jets	L 17-21	1558.60	1506.15	52.56%	47.18%	-15.58	3-2
2001-10-28	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 24-20	1543.02	1486.56	53.14%	46.61%	+13.82	4-2
2001-11-04	Carolina Panthers	W 23-6	1556.84	1423.27	72.22%	27.53%	+16.83	5-2
2001-11-11	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 27-24	1573.67	1530.65	51.21%	48.54%	+12.46	6-2
2001-11-18	New York Jets	L 0-24	1586.13	1548.64	59.98%	39.77%	-43.52	6-3
2001-11-25	@ Buffalo Bills	W 34-27	1542.61	1367.34	69.17%	30.58%	+12.00	7-3
2001-12-02	Denver Broncos	W 21-10	1554.61	1520.24	59.55%	40.20%	+19.76	8-3
2001-12-10	Indianapolis Colts	W 41-6	1574.37	1445.84	71.64%	28.11%	+24.67	9-3
2001-12-16	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 0-21	1599.04	1566.20	49.75%	50.00%	-33.78	9-4
2001-12-22	@ New England Patriots	L 13-20	1565.26	1582.37	42.61%	57.14%	-16.71	9-5
2001-12-30	Atlanta Falcons	W 21-14	1548.55	1404.34	73.43%	26.32%	+10.33	10-5
2002-01-06	Buffalo Bills	W 34-7	1558.88	1357.09	79.34%	20.41%	+15.74	11-5
2001-09-09	Carolina Panthers	L 13-24	1515.76	1499.15	57.07%	42.68%	-28.03	0-1
2001-09-23	@ Chicago Bears	L 10-17	1487.73	1434.06	52.74%	47.01%	-20.68	0-2
2001-09-30	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 20-16	1467.05	1555.14	42.12%	57.63%	+17.08	1-2
2001-10-07	@ New Orleans Saints	L 15-28	1484.13	1516.22	40.52%	59.23%	-21.66	1-3
2001-10-14	Detroit Lions	W 31-26	1462.47	1417.22	61.04%	38.71%	+12.83	2-3
2001-10-21	Green Bay Packers	W 35-13	1475.30	1616.59	34.88%	64.87%	+45.07	3-3
2001-10-28	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 14-41	1520.37	1519.39	45.18%	54.57%	-34.79	3-4
2001-11-11	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 17-48	1485.58	1560.94	34.68%	65.07%	-28.64	3-5
2001-11-19	New York Giants	W 28-16	1456.94	1537.04	43.24%	56.51%	+29.00	4-5
2001-11-25	Chicago Bears	L 6-13	1485.94	1564.87	43.41%	56.34%	-17.03	4-6
2001-12-02	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 16-21	1468.91	1624.66	25.05%	74.69%	-8.31	4-7
2001-12-09	Tennessee Titans	W 42-24	1460.60	1521.16	46.02%	53.73%	+33.77	5-7
2001-12-16	@ Detroit Lions	L 24-27	1494.37	1326.91	68.21%	31.54%	-17.49	5-8
2001-12-23	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 3-33	1476.88	1472.51	55.33%	44.42%	-44.90	5-9
2001-12-30	@ Green Bay Packers	L 13-24	1431.98	1614.76	22.25%	77.50%	-10.95	5-10
2002-01-07	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 3-19	1421.03	1563.45	26.52%	73.23%	-15.74	5-11
2001-09-09	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 17-23	1474.61	1427.09	51.86%	47.89%	-18.82	0-1
2001-09-23	New York Jets	L 3-10	1455.79	1482.08	50.95%	48.80%	-19.97	0-2
2001-09-30	Indianapolis Colts	W 44-13	1435.82	1600.55	31.88%	67.86%	+55.97	1-2
2001-10-07	@ Miami Dolphins	L 10-30	1491.79	1532.53	39.32%	60.42%	-26.07	1-3
2001-10-14	San Diego Chargers	W 29-26	1465.72	1515.49	47.57%	52.18%	+13.39	2-3
2001-10-21	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 38-17	1479.11	1528.73	38.11%	61.64%	+41.83	3-3
2001-10-28	@ Denver Broncos	L 20-31	1520.94	1509.55	46.66%	53.08%	-22.93	3-4
2001-11-04	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 24-10	1498.01	1451.71	51.68%	48.07%	+26.65	4-4
2001-11-11	Buffalo Bills	W 21-11	1524.66	1390.80	72.26%	27.49%	+12.90	5-4
2001-11-18	St. Louis Rams	L 17-24	1537.56	1654.66	38.11%	61.64%	-14.95	5-5
2001-11-25	New Orleans Saints	W 34-17	1522.61	1533.55	53.15%	46.60%	+28.47	6-5
2001-12-02	@ New York Jets	W 17-16	1551.08	1592.16	39.28%	60.47%	+8.96	7-5
2001-12-09	Cleveland Browns	W 27-16	1560.04	1469.59	67.01%	32.74%	+16.10	8-5
2001-12-16	@ Buffalo Bills	W 12-9	1576.14	1345.43	75.50%	24.25%	+6.23	9-5
2001-12-22	Miami Dolphins	W 20-13	1582.37	1565.26	57.14%	42.61%	+16.72	10-5
2002-01-06	@ Carolina Panthers	W 38-6	1599.09	1314.48	80.74%	19.01%	+15.96	11-5
2001-09-09	@ Buffalo Bills	W 24-6	1500.09	1506.28	44.16%	55.59%	+34.94	1-0
2001-09-30	@ New York Giants	L 13-21	1535.03	1536.19	44.87%	54.88%	-18.81	1-1
2001-10-07	Minnesota Vikings	W 28-15	1516.22	1484.13	59.23%	40.52%	+21.66	2-1
2001-10-14	@ Carolina Panthers	W 27-25	1537.88	1453.21	57.15%	42.60%	+8.93	3-1
2001-10-21	Atlanta Falcons	L 13-20	1546.81	1423.90	70.98%	28.77%	-27.82	3-2
2001-10-28	@ St. Louis Rams	W 34-31	1518.99	1658.07	26.90%	72.85%	+18.69	4-2
2001-11-04	New York Jets	L 9-16	1537.68	1502.57	59.65%	40.10%	-23.37	4-3
2001-11-11	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 27-28	1514.31	1520.13	44.21%	55.54%	-6.56	4-4
2001-11-18	Indianapolis Colts	W 34-20	1507.75	1518.19	53.22%	46.53%	+25.80	5-4
2001-11-25	@ New England Patriots	L 17-34	1533.55	1522.61	46.60%	53.15%	-28.47	5-5
2001-12-02	Carolina Panthers	W 27-23	1505.08	1370.91	72.29%	27.46%	+8.14	6-5
2001-12-09	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 28-10	1513.22	1448.14	54.37%	45.38%	+28.54	7-5
2001-12-17	St. Louis Rams	L 21-34	1541.76	1684.71	34.67%	65.08%	-18.54	7-6
2001-12-23	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 21-48	1523.22	1546.61	41.73%	58.02%	-32.14	7-7
2001-12-30	Washington Redskins	L 10-40	1491.08	1468.98	57.84%	41.91%	-46.93	7-8
2002-01-06	San Francisco 49ers	L 0-38	1444.15	1595.33	33.60%	66.15%	-30.71	7-9
2001-09-10	@ Denver Broncos	L 20-31	1535.20	1528.26	46.03%	53.72%	-22.62	0-1
2001-09-23	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 13-3	1512.58	1482.38	49.37%	50.38%	+23.61	1-1
2001-09-30	New Orleans Saints	W 21-13	1536.19	1535.03	54.88%	44.87%	+18.81	2-1
2001-10-07	Washington Redskins	W 23-9	1555.00	1391.62	75.51%	24.24%	+13.45	3-1
2001-10-14	@ St. Louis Rams	L 14-15	1568.45	1626.72	36.94%	62.81%	-5.48	3-2
2001-10-22	Philadelphia Eagles	L 9-10	1562.97	1559.67	55.18%	44.57%	-8.17	3-3
2001-10-28	@ Washington Redskins	L 21-35	1554.80	1383.88	68.63%	31.12%	-38.04	3-4
2001-11-04	Dallas Cowboys	W 27-24	1516.76	1437.81	65.53%	34.22%	+8.79	4-4
2001-11-11	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 17-10	1525.55	1339.43	70.48%	29.27%	+11.49	5-4
2001-11-19	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 16-28	1537.04	1456.94	56.51%	43.24%	-29.00	5-5
2001-11-25	Oakland Raiders	L 10-28	1508.04	1631.24	37.28%	62.46%	-23.45	5-6
2001-12-09	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 13-20	1484.59	1403.86	56.59%	43.15%	-22.18	5-7
2001-12-15	Arizona Cardinals	W 17-13	1462.41	1368.88	67.40%	32.35%	+9.60	6-7
2001-12-23	Seattle Seahawks	W 27-24	1472.01	1478.26	53.82%	45.93%	+11.79	7-7
2001-12-30	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 21-24	1483.80	1611.09	28.25%	71.50%	-7.26	7-8
2002-01-06	Green Bay Packers	L 25-34	1476.54	1625.71	33.86%	65.89%	-15.07	7-9
2001-09-09	Indianapolis Colts	L 24-45	1516.05	1548.69	50.03%	49.72%	-33.97	0-1
2001-09-23	@ New England Patriots	W 10-3	1482.08	1455.79	48.80%	50.95%	+19.97	1-1
2001-10-01	San Francisco 49ers	L 17-19	1502.05	1474.69	58.57%	41.18%	-12.27	1-2
2001-10-07	@ Buffalo Bills	W 42-36	1489.78	1422.78	54.65%	45.10%	+16.37	2-2
2001-10-14	Miami Dolphins	W 21-17	1506.15	1558.60	47.18%	52.56%	+15.58	3-2
2001-10-21	St. Louis Rams	L 14-34	1521.73	1632.20	39.01%	60.74%	-25.87	3-3
2001-10-28	@ Carolina Panthers	W 13-12	1495.86	1429.98	54.49%	45.26%	+6.71	4-3
2001-11-04	@ New Orleans Saints	W 16-9	1502.57	1537.68	40.10%	59.65%	+23.38	5-3
2001-11-11	Kansas City Chiefs	W 27-7	1525.95	1447.02	65.53%	34.22%	+22.69	6-3
2001-11-18	@ Miami Dolphins	W 24-0	1548.64	1586.13	39.77%	59.98%	+43.52	7-3
2001-12-02	New England Patriots	L 16-17	1592.16	1551.08	60.47%	39.28%	-8.95	7-4
2001-12-09	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-18	1583.21	1632.97	38.09%	61.66%	-18.73	7-5
2001-12-16	Cincinnati Bengals	W 15-14	1564.48	1351.49	80.36%	19.38%	+2.87	8-5
2001-12-23	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 29-28	1567.35	1446.02	62.21%	37.54%	+5.57	9-5
2001-12-30	Buffalo Bills	L 9-14	1572.92	1329.61	82.95%	16.80%	-27.48	9-6
2002-01-06	@ Oakland Raiders	W 24-22	1545.44	1606.62	36.55%	63.19%	+13.24	10-6
2001-09-09	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 27-24	1561.48	1493.94	54.72%	45.03%	+11.56	1-0
2001-09-23	@ Miami Dolphins	L 15-18	1573.04	1559.96	46.91%	52.84%	-12.04	1-1
2001-09-30	Seattle Seahawks	W 38-14	1561.00	1449.70	69.59%	30.16%	+21.91	2-1
2001-10-07	Dallas Cowboys	W 28-21	1582.91	1416.63	75.82%	23.93%	+9.39	3-1
2001-10-14	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 23-18	1592.30	1544.59	51.89%	47.86%	+15.86	4-1
2001-10-28	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 20-10	1608.16	1567.84	50.82%	48.93%	+22.93	5-1
2001-11-05	Denver Broncos	W 38-28	1631.09	1532.49	68.03%	31.72%	+14.87	6-1
2001-11-11	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 27-34	1645.96	1444.79	72.24%	27.51%	-28.30	6-2
2001-11-18	San Diego Chargers	W 34-24	1617.66	1496.39	70.79%	28.96%	+13.58	7-2
2001-11-25	@ New York Giants	W 28-10	1631.24	1508.04	62.46%	37.28%	+23.45	8-2
2001-12-02	Arizona Cardinals	L 31-34	1654.69	1365.97	86.29%	13.46%	-22.14	8-3
2001-12-09	Kansas City Chiefs	W 28-26	1632.55	1432.32	79.19%	20.56%	+4.32	9-3
2001-12-15	@ San Diego Chargers	W 13-6	1636.87	1440.24	71.71%	28.03%	+11.00	10-3
2001-12-22	Tennessee Titans	L 10-13	1647.87	1510.53	72.65%	27.10%	-18.64	10-4
2001-12-30	@ Denver Broncos	L 17-23	1629.23	1507.10	62.32%	37.43%	-22.61	10-5
2002-01-06	New York Jets	L 22-24	1606.62	1545.44	63.19%	36.55%	-13.23	10-6
2001-09-09	St. Louis Rams	L 17-20	1528.00	1529.85	54.45%	45.30%	-13.97	0-1
2001-09-23	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 27-3	1514.03	1486.55	48.98%	50.77%	+36.86	1-1
2001-09-30	Dallas Cowboys	W 40-18	1550.89	1437.42	69.85%	29.89%	+20.79	2-1
2001-10-07	Arizona Cardinals	L 20-21	1571.68	1350.19	81.12%	18.63%	-12.01	2-2
2001-10-22	@ New York Giants	W 10-9	1559.67	1562.97	44.57%	55.18%	+8.17	3-2
2001-10-28	Oakland Raiders	L 10-20	1567.84	1608.16	48.93%	50.82%	-22.92	3-3
2001-11-04	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 21-7	1544.92	1355.46	70.87%	28.87%	+16.02	4-3
2001-11-11	Minnesota Vikings	W 48-17	1560.94	1485.58	65.07%	34.68%	+28.64	5-3
2001-11-18	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 36-3	1589.58	1411.14	69.55%	30.19%	+25.72	6-3
2001-11-25	Washington Redskins	L 3-13	1615.30	1476.05	72.87%	26.88%	-34.13	6-4
2001-11-29	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 23-10	1581.17	1451.81	63.29%	36.46%	+19.49	7-4
2001-12-09	San Diego Chargers	W 24-14	1600.66	1452.37	73.88%	25.87%	+12.14	8-4
2001-12-16	@ Washington Redskins	W 20-6	1612.80	1503.25	60.61%	39.14%	+21.71	9-4
2001-12-22	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 3-13	1634.51	1599.98	49.99%	49.76%	-23.42	9-5
2001-12-30	New York Giants	W 24-21	1611.09	1483.80	71.50%	28.25%	+7.26	10-5
2002-01-06	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 17-13	1618.35	1602.49	47.30%	52.44%	+15.54	11-5
2001-09-09	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 3-21	1514.29	1501.64	46.85%	52.90%	-29.45	0-1
2001-09-30	@ Buffalo Bills	W 20-3	1484.84	1453.45	49.54%	50.21%	+30.67	1-1
2001-10-07	Cincinnati Bengals	W 16-7	1515.51	1456.51	62.90%	36.85%	+16.39	2-1
2001-10-14	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 20-17	1531.90	1480.67	52.39%	47.36%	+12.16	3-1
2001-10-21	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 17-10	1544.06	1540.65	45.52%	54.23%	+21.25	4-1
2001-10-29	Tennessee Titans	W 34-7	1565.31	1514.02	61.86%	37.88%	+29.19	5-1
2001-11-04	Baltimore Ravens	L 10-13	1594.50	1570.76	58.07%	41.68%	-14.90	5-2
2001-11-11	@ Cleveland Browns	W 15-12	1579.60	1457.52	62.31%	37.43%	+9.61	6-2
2001-11-18	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 20-7	1589.21	1482.55	69.03%	30.72%	+16.43	7-2
2001-11-25	@ Tennessee Titans	W 34-24	1605.64	1506.42	59.19%	40.56%	+19.02	8-2
2001-12-02	Minnesota Vikings	W 21-16	1624.66	1468.91	74.69%	25.05%	+8.31	9-2
2001-12-09	New York Jets	W 18-7	1632.97	1583.21	61.66%	38.09%	+18.73	10-2
2001-12-16	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 26-21	1651.70	1591.73	53.64%	46.11%	+15.28	11-2
2001-12-23	Detroit Lions	W 47-14	1666.98	1344.41	88.40%	11.34%	+9.67	12-2
2001-12-30	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 23-26	1676.65	1337.88	85.08%	14.67%	-21.83	12-3
2002-01-06	Cleveland Browns	W 28-7	1654.82	1435.90	80.89%	18.86%	+12.83	13-3
2001-09-09	Washington Redskins	W 30-3	1443.13	1505.75	45.73%	54.02%	+41.59	1-0
2001-09-23	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 32-21	1484.72	1462.77	48.18%	51.57%	+25.34	2-0
2001-09-30	Cincinnati Bengals	W 28-14	1510.06	1479.07	59.08%	40.67%	+22.56	3-0
2001-10-07	@ Cleveland Browns	L 16-20	1532.62	1443.18	57.82%	41.93%	-17.13	3-1
2001-10-14	@ New England Patriots	L 26-29	1515.49	1465.72	52.18%	47.57%	-13.39	3-2
2001-10-21	Denver Broncos	W 27-10	1502.10	1540.42	49.21%	50.54%	+30.87	4-2
2001-10-28	Buffalo Bills	W 27-24	1532.97	1423.39	69.38%	30.37%	+7.80	5-2
2001-11-04	Kansas City Chiefs	L 20-25	1540.77	1423.74	70.28%	29.47%	-23.28	5-3
2001-11-11	@ Denver Broncos	L 16-26	1517.49	1517.61	45.02%	54.73%	-21.10	5-4
2001-11-18	@ Oakland Raiders	L 24-34	1496.39	1617.66	28.96%	70.79%	-13.58	5-5
2001-11-25	Arizona Cardinals	L 17-20	1482.81	1347.39	72.43%	27.31%	-18.58	5-6
2001-12-02	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 10-13	1464.23	1456.18	46.19%	53.56%	-11.86	5-7
2001-12-09	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 14-24	1452.37	1600.66	25.87%	73.88%	-12.13	5-8
2001-12-15	Oakland Raiders	L 6-13	1440.24	1636.87	28.03%	71.71%	-11.01	5-9
2001-12-23	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 17-20	1429.23	1443.01	43.08%	56.67%	-11.06	5-10
2001-12-30	Seattle Seahawks	L 22-25	1418.17	1466.47	47.78%	51.97%	-12.26	5-11
2001-09-09	Atlanta Falcons	W 16-13	1478.24	1443.76	59.56%	40.19%	+10.32	1-0
2001-09-23	St. Louis Rams	L 26-30	1488.56	1543.82	46.78%	52.97%	-13.87	1-1
2001-10-01	@ New York Jets	W 19-17	1474.69	1502.05	41.18%	58.57%	+12.27	2-1
2001-10-07	Carolina Panthers	W 24-14	1486.96	1473.42	56.63%	43.12%	+20.21	3-1
2001-10-14	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 37-31	1507.17	1440.27	54.63%	45.12%	+16.38	4-1
2001-10-28	@ Chicago Bears	L 31-37	1523.55	1546.30	41.82%	57.93%	-15.19	4-2
2001-11-04	Detroit Lions	W 21-13	1508.36	1379.20	71.71%	28.04%	+11.77	5-2
2001-11-11	New Orleans Saints	W 28-27	1520.13	1514.31	55.54%	44.21%	+6.55	6-2
2001-11-18	@ Carolina Panthers	W 25-22	1526.68	1391.16	64.11%	35.64%	+9.15	7-2
2001-11-25	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 40-21	1535.83	1492.39	51.27%	48.48%	+31.31	8-2
2001-12-02	Buffalo Bills	W 35-0	1567.14	1355.34	80.26%	19.49%	+17.12	9-2
2001-12-09	@ St. Louis Rams	L 14-27	1584.26	1666.65	33.77%	65.98%	-18.06	9-3
2001-12-16	Miami Dolphins	W 21-0	1566.20	1599.04	50.00%	49.75%	+33.78	10-3
2001-12-22	Philadelphia Eagles	W 13-3	1599.98	1634.51	49.76%	49.99%	+23.42	11-3
2001-12-30	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 21-27	1623.40	1374.56	77.36%	22.39%	-28.07	11-4
2002-01-06	@ New Orleans Saints	W 38-0	1595.33	1444.15	66.15%	33.60%	+30.72	12-4
2001-09-09	@ Cleveland Browns	W 9-6	1475.47	1394.83	56.58%	43.17%	+11.08	1-0
2001-09-23	Philadelphia Eagles	L 3-27	1486.55	1514.03	50.77%	48.98%	-36.85	1-1
2001-09-30	@ Oakland Raiders	L 14-38	1449.70	1561.00	30.16%	69.59%	-21.92	1-2
2001-10-07	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 24-15	1427.78	1516.32	42.05%	57.69%	+25.64	2-2
2001-10-14	Denver Broncos	W 34-21	1453.42	1573.56	37.70%	62.05%	+33.14	3-2
2001-10-28	Miami Dolphins	L 20-24	1486.56	1543.02	46.61%	53.14%	-13.81	3-3
2001-11-04	@ Washington Redskins	L 14-27	1472.75	1421.92	52.33%	47.42%	-27.96	3-4
2001-11-11	Oakland Raiders	W 34-27	1444.79	1645.96	27.51%	72.24%	+28.31	4-4
2001-11-18	@ Buffalo Bills	W 23-20	1473.10	1377.90	58.63%	41.12%	+10.56	5-4
2001-11-25	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 7-19	1483.66	1424.32	53.55%	46.20%	-27.48	5-5
2001-12-02	San Diego Chargers	W 13-10	1456.18	1464.23	53.56%	46.19%	+11.85	6-5
2001-12-09	@ Denver Broncos	L 7-20	1468.03	1500.48	40.47%	59.28%	-21.63	6-6
2001-12-16	Dallas Cowboys	W 29-3	1446.40	1426.04	57.59%	42.16%	+31.86	7-6
2001-12-23	@ New York Giants	L 24-27	1478.26	1472.01	45.93%	53.82%	-11.79	7-7
2001-12-30	@ San Diego Chargers	W 25-22	1466.47	1418.17	51.97%	47.78%	+12.27	8-7
2002-01-06	Kansas City Chiefs	W 21-18	1478.74	1472.87	55.55%	44.20%	+11.34	9-7
2001-09-09	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 20-17	1529.85	1528.00	45.30%	54.45%	+13.97	1-0
2001-09-23	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 30-26	1543.82	1488.56	52.97%	46.78%	+13.86	2-0
2001-09-30	Miami Dolphins	W 42-10	1557.68	1572.00	52.67%	47.08%	+39.47	3-0
2001-10-08	@ Detroit Lions	W 35-0	1597.15	1446.79	66.04%	33.71%	+29.57	4-0
2001-10-14	New York Giants	W 15-14	1626.72	1568.45	62.81%	36.94%	+5.48	5-0
2001-10-21	@ New York Jets	W 34-14	1632.20	1521.73	60.74%	39.01%	+25.87	6-0
2001-10-28	New Orleans Saints	L 31-34	1658.07	1518.99	72.85%	26.90%	-18.69	6-1
2001-11-11	Carolina Panthers	W 48-14	1639.38	1406.43	82.10%	17.65%	+15.28	7-1
2001-11-18	@ New England Patriots	W 24-17	1654.66	1537.56	61.64%	38.11%	+14.94	8-1
2001-11-26	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 17-24	1669.60	1541.35	71.61%	28.14%	-28.06	8-2
2001-12-02	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 35-6	1641.54	1473.25	68.31%	31.44%	+25.11	9-2
2001-12-09	San Francisco 49ers	W 27-14	1666.65	1584.26	65.98%	33.77%	+18.06	10-2
2001-12-17	@ New Orleans Saints	W 34-21	1684.71	1541.76	65.08%	34.67%	+18.53	11-2
2001-12-23	@ Carolina Panthers	W 38-32	1703.24	1355.57	85.71%	14.04%	+5.11	12-2
2001-12-30	Indianapolis Colts	W 42-17	1708.35	1440.46	84.83%	14.91%	+11.07	13-2
2002-01-06	Atlanta Falcons	W 31-13	1719.42	1394.01	88.57%	11.18%	+7.04	14-2
2001-09-09	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 10-6	1541.71	1476.20	54.43%	45.31%	+13.43	1-0
2001-09-30	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 16-20	1555.14	1467.05	57.63%	42.12%	-17.07	1-1
2001-10-07	Green Bay Packers	W 14-10	1538.07	1612.97	43.98%	55.77%	+16.52	2-1
2001-10-14	@ Tennessee Titans	L 28-31	1554.59	1489.66	54.35%	45.40%	-13.94	2-2
2001-10-21	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-17	1540.65	1544.06	54.23%	45.52%	-21.26	2-3
2001-10-28	Minnesota Vikings	W 41-14	1519.39	1520.37	54.57%	45.18%	+34.79	3-3
2001-11-04	@ Green Bay Packers	L 20-21	1554.18	1571.53	42.58%	57.17%	-6.31	3-4
2001-11-11	@ Detroit Lions	W 20-17	1547.87	1367.44	69.79%	29.95%	+7.70	4-4
2001-11-18	Chicago Bears	L 24-27	1555.57	1550.65	55.41%	44.34%	-14.22	4-5
2001-11-26	@ St. Louis Rams	W 24-17	1541.35	1669.60	28.14%	71.61%	+28.06	5-5
2001-12-02	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 16-13	1569.41	1371.61	71.85%	27.90%	+7.17	6-5
2001-12-09	Detroit Lions	W 15-12	1576.58	1331.18	83.11%	16.63%	+4.27	7-5
2001-12-16	@ Chicago Bears	L 3-27	1580.85	1565.98	47.16%	52.59%	-34.24	7-6
2001-12-23	New Orleans Saints	W 48-21	1546.61	1523.22	58.02%	41.73%	+32.15	8-6
2001-12-29	Baltimore Ravens	W 22-10	1578.76	1587.19	53.51%	46.24%	+23.73	9-6
2002-01-06	Philadelphia Eagles	L 13-17	1602.49	1618.35	52.44%	47.30%	-15.54	9-7
2001-09-09	Miami Dolphins	L 23-31	1552.75	1536.04	57.08%	42.67%	-23.91	0-1
2001-09-23	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 6-13	1528.84	1531.09	44.72%	55.03%	-17.54	0-2
2001-10-07	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 7-26	1511.30	1595.92	33.49%	66.26%	-21.64	0-3
2001-10-14	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 31-28	1489.66	1554.59	45.40%	54.35%	+13.95	1-3
2001-10-21	@ Detroit Lions	W 27-24	1503.61	1404.39	59.18%	40.56%	+10.41	2-3
2001-10-29	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-34	1514.02	1565.31	37.88%	61.86%	-29.18	2-4
2001-11-04	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 28-24	1484.84	1468.87	56.97%	42.77%	+12.68	3-4
2001-11-12	Baltimore Ravens	L 10-16	1497.52	1585.66	42.11%	57.64%	-15.29	3-5
2001-11-18	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 20-7	1482.23	1416.39	54.48%	45.27%	+24.19	4-5
2001-11-25	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 24-34	1506.42	1605.64	40.56%	59.19%	-19.02	4-6
2001-12-02	@ Cleveland Browns	W 31-15	1487.40	1503.34	42.78%	56.97%	+33.76	5-6
2001-12-09	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 24-42	1521.16	1460.60	53.73%	46.02%	-33.77	5-7
2001-12-16	Green Bay Packers	W 26-20	1487.39	1620.56	35.95%	63.80%	+23.14	6-7
2001-12-22	@ Oakland Raiders	W 13-10	1510.53	1647.87	27.10%	72.65%	+18.64	7-7
2001-12-30	Cleveland Browns	L 38-41	1529.17	1418.05	69.57%	30.18%	-17.84	7-8
2002-01-06	Cincinnati Bengals	L 21-23	1511.33	1359.71	74.25%	25.50%	-15.56	7-9
2001-09-09	@ San Diego Chargers	L 3-30	1505.75	1443.13	54.02%	45.73%	-41.59	0-1
2001-09-24	@ Green Bay Packers	L 0-37	1464.16	1554.09	32.81%	66.94%	-29.59	0-2
2001-09-30	Kansas City Chiefs	L 13-45	1434.57	1458.78	51.24%	48.50%	-42.95	0-3
2001-10-07	@ New York Giants	L 9-23	1391.62	1555.00	24.24%	75.51%	-13.46	0-4
2001-10-15	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 7-9	1378.16	1407.23	40.94%	58.81%	-8.58	0-5
2001-10-21	Carolina Panthers	W 17-14	1369.58	1444.28	44.01%	55.74%	+14.30	1-5
2001-10-28	New York Giants	W 35-21	1383.88	1554.80	31.12%	68.63%	+38.04	2-5
2001-11-04	Seattle Seahawks	W 27-14	1421.92	1472.75	47.42%	52.33%	+27.95	3-5
2001-11-18	@ Denver Broncos	W 17-10	1449.87	1538.71	32.95%	66.80%	+26.18	4-5
2001-11-25	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 13-3	1476.05	1615.30	26.88%	72.87%	+34.13	5-5
2001-12-02	Dallas Cowboys	L 14-20	1510.18	1377.71	72.10%	27.65%	-26.16	5-6
2001-12-09	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 20-10	1484.02	1388.11	58.73%	41.02%	+19.23	6-6
2001-12-16	Philadelphia Eagles	L 6-20	1503.25	1612.80	39.14%	60.61%	-21.71	6-7
2001-12-23	Chicago Bears	L 15-20	1481.54	1600.22	37.89%	61.85%	-12.56	6-8
2001-12-30	@ New Orleans Saints	W 40-10	1468.98	1491.08	41.91%	57.84%	+46.93	7-8
2002-01-06	Arizona Cardinals	W 20-17	1515.91	1414.88	68.33%	31.42%	+8.07	8-8

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from each team's perspective, controlled by the team filter above. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2002-01-13	@ Miami Dolphins	W 20-3	1579.19	1574.62	45.81%	54.19%	+33.02	1-0
2002-01-20	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-27	1612.21	1667.65	37.44%	62.56%	-22.82	1-1
2002-01-19	Philadelphia Eagles	L 19-33	1645.69	1660.64	52.70%	47.30%	-29.15	0-1
2002-01-13	San Francisco 49ers	W 25-15	1640.77	1626.05	56.93%	43.07%	+20.13	1-0
2002-01-20	@ St. Louis Rams	L 17-45	1660.90	1726.46	36.09%	63.91%	-28.22	1-1
2002-01-13	Baltimore Ravens	L 3-20	1574.62	1579.19	54.19%	45.81%	-33.02	0-1
2002-01-19	Oakland Raiders	W 16-13	1615.05	1615.66	54.75%	45.25%	+11.58	1-0
2002-01-27	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 24-17	1626.63	1690.46	36.32%	63.68%	+24.90	2-0
2002-02-03	@ St. Louis Rams	W 20-17	1651.53	1766.64	34.02%	65.98%	+16.89	3-0
2002-01-12	@ Oakland Raiders	L 24-38	1558.68	1593.39	40.28%	59.72%	-22.27	0-1
2002-01-12	New York Jets	W 38-24	1593.39	1558.68	59.72%	40.28%	+22.27	1-0
2002-01-19	@ New England Patriots	L 13-16	1615.66	1615.05	45.25%	54.75%	-11.58	1-1
2002-01-12	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 31-9	1633.89	1586.95	61.40%	38.60%	+26.75	1-0
2002-01-19	@ Chicago Bears	W 33-19	1660.64	1645.69	47.30%	52.70%	+29.15	2-0
2002-01-27	@ St. Louis Rams	L 24-29	1689.79	1754.68	36.18%	63.82%	-11.96	2-1
2002-01-20	Baltimore Ravens	W 27-10	1667.65	1612.21	62.56%	37.44%	+22.81	1-0
2002-01-27	New England Patriots	L 17-24	1690.46	1626.63	63.68%	36.32%	-24.90	1-1
2002-01-13	@ Green Bay Packers	L 15-25	1626.05	1640.77	43.07%	56.93%	-20.13	0-1
2002-01-20	Green Bay Packers	W 45-17	1726.46	1660.90	63.91%	36.09%	+28.22	1-0
2002-01-27	Philadelphia Eagles	W 29-24	1754.68	1689.79	63.82%	36.18%	+11.96	2-0
2002-02-03	New England Patriots	L 17-20	1766.64	1651.53	65.98%	34.02%	-16.89	2-1
2002-01-12	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 9-31	1586.95	1633.89	38.60%	61.40%	-26.75	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2001-12-02	13.46%	Arizona Cardinals	1365.97	34	@ Oakland Raiders	1654.69	31
2	2001-12-30	14.67%	@ Cincinnati Bengals	1337.88	26	Pittsburgh Steelers	1676.65	23
3	2001-12-30	16.80%	Buffalo Bills	1329.61	14	@ New York Jets	1572.92	9
4	2001-10-07	18.63%	Arizona Cardinals	1350.19	21	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1571.68	20
5	2001-12-30	22.39%	@ Dallas Cowboys	1374.56	27	San Francisco 49ers	1623.40	21
6	2001-11-18	24.86%	Atlanta Falcons	1442.94	23	@ Green Bay Packers	1600.49	20
7	2001-11-18	25.35%	Cleveland Browns	1447.90	27	@ Baltimore Ravens	1600.95	17
8	2002-01-06	25.50%	Cincinnati Bengals	1359.71	23	@ Tennessee Titans	1511.33	21
9	2001-11-25	26.88%	Washington Redskins	1476.05	13	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1615.30	3
10	2001-10-28	26.90%	New Orleans Saints	1518.99	34	@ St. Louis Rams	1658.07	31
11	2001-09-30	27.05%	Cleveland Browns	1410.88	23	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	1548.63	14
12	2001-12-22	27.10%	Tennessee Titans	1510.53	13	@ Oakland Raiders	1647.87	10
13	2001-11-25	27.31%	Arizona Cardinals	1347.39	20	@ San Diego Chargers	1482.81	17
14	2001-11-11	27.51%	@ Seattle Seahawks	1444.79	34	Oakland Raiders	1645.96	27
15	2001-12-02	27.65%	Dallas Cowboys	1377.71	20	@ Washington Redskins	1510.18	14
16	2001-11-26	28.14%	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1541.35	24	@ St. Louis Rams	1669.60	17
17	2001-10-21	28.77%	Atlanta Falcons	1423.90	20	@ New Orleans Saints	1546.81	13
18	2001-11-04	29.47%	Kansas City Chiefs	1423.74	25	@ San Diego Chargers	1540.77	20
19	2001-12-30	30.18%	Cleveland Browns	1418.05	41	@ Tennessee Titans	1529.17	38
20	2001-10-28	31.12%	@ Washington Redskins	1383.88	35	New York Giants	1554.80	21
21	2001-12-16	31.54%	@ Detroit Lions	1326.91	27	Minnesota Vikings	1494.37	24
22	2001-09-30	31.88%	@ New England Patriots	1435.82	44	Indianapolis Colts	1600.55	13
23	2001-09-23	32.26%	@ Cincinnati Bengals	1445.91	21	Baltimore Ravens	1607.67	10
24	2001-10-21	32.53%	@ Cleveland Browns	1437.85	24	Baltimore Ravens	1597.42	14
25	2001-11-18	32.95%	Washington Redskins	1449.87	17	@ Denver Broncos	1538.71	10

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	2001-09-30	55.97	@ New England Patriots	44	1435.82	31.88%	Indianapolis Colts	13	1600.55	67.86%
2	2001-12-30	46.93	Washington Redskins	40	1468.98	41.91%	@ New Orleans Saints	10	1491.08	57.84%
3	2001-10-07	46.42	Chicago Bears	31	1454.73	40.54%	@ Atlanta Falcons	3	1486.69	59.21%
4	2001-10-21	45.07	@ Minnesota Vikings	35	1475.30	34.88%	Green Bay Packers	13	1616.59	64.87%
5	2001-12-23	44.90	Jacksonville Jaguars	33	1472.51	44.42%	@ Minnesota Vikings	3	1476.88	55.33%
6	2001-11-18	43.52	New York Jets	24	1548.64	39.77%	@ Miami Dolphins	0	1586.13	59.98%
7	2001-09-30	42.95	Kansas City Chiefs	45	1458.78	48.50%	@ Washington Redskins	13	1434.57	51.24%
8	2001-10-21	41.84	New England Patriots	38	1479.11	38.11%	@ Indianapolis Colts	17	1528.73	61.64%
9	2001-09-09	41.59	@ San Diego Chargers	30	1443.13	45.73%	Washington Redskins	3	1505.75	54.02%
10	2001-09-30	39.47	@ St. Louis Rams	42	1557.68	52.67%	Miami Dolphins	10	1572.00	47.08%
11	2002-01-06	38.31	@ Indianapolis Colts	29	1429.39	40.41%	Denver Broncos	10	1529.71	59.34%
12	2001-10-28	38.04	@ Washington Redskins	35	1383.88	31.12%	New York Giants	21	1554.80	68.63%
13	2001-09-23	36.86	Philadelphia Eagles	27	1514.03	48.98%	@ Seattle Seahawks	3	1486.55	50.77%
14	2001-12-30	35.98	Arizona Cardinals	30	1378.90	49.11%	@ Carolina Panthers	7	1350.46	50.64%
15	2001-09-09	34.94	New Orleans Saints	24	1500.09	44.16%	@ Buffalo Bills	6	1506.28	55.59%
16	2001-11-18	34.85	Cleveland Browns	27	1447.90	25.35%	@ Baltimore Ravens	17	1600.95	74.40%
17	2001-10-28	34.79	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	41	1519.39	54.57%	Minnesota Vikings	14	1520.37	45.18%
18	2001-10-21	34.60	Chicago Bears	24	1511.70	52.09%	@ Cincinnati Bengals	0	1462.58	47.66%
19	2001-12-16	34.24	@ Chicago Bears	27	1565.98	52.59%	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	3	1580.85	47.16%
20	2001-11-25	34.13	Washington Redskins	13	1476.05	26.88%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	3	1615.30	72.87%
21	2001-09-09	33.97	Indianapolis Colts	45	1548.69	49.72%	@ New York Jets	24	1516.05	50.03%
22	2001-12-16	33.78	@ San Francisco 49ers	21	1566.20	50.00%	Miami Dolphins	0	1599.04	49.75%
23	2001-12-09	33.77	@ Minnesota Vikings	42	1460.60	46.02%	Tennessee Titans	24	1521.16	53.73%
24	2001-12-02	33.76	Tennessee Titans	31	1487.40	42.78%	@ Cleveland Browns	15	1503.34	56.97%
25	2001-09-23	33.16	@ Cincinnati Bengals	21	1445.91	32.26%	Baltimore Ravens	10	1607.67	67.49%