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2006-07 Macedonian First Football League Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Pobeda (1st)

71 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Pobeda (1st)

15.02 points above expected

71 points · 55.98 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Vellazerimi 77

16.94 points below expected

9 points · 25.94 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Pobeda (1st) 33 21 8 4 71 71 40 +31 55.98 +15.02
2 Rabotnicki 33 19 10 4 67 75 25 +50 68.08 -1.08
3 Makedonija GP 33 18 10 5 64 65 29 +36 65.31 -1.31
4 Vardar 33 17 8 8 59 60 34 +26 62.47 -3.47
5 Renova 33 17 8 8 59 54 31 +23 55.85 +3.15
6 Pelister 33 14 3 16 45 37 32 +5 41.00 +4.00
7 Napredok 33 12 9 12 45 47 47 0 38.30 +6.70
8 Bashkimi 33 12 6 15 42 54 57 -3 40.62 +1.38
9 Sileks 33 12 5 16 41 52 48 +4 44.96 -3.96
10 Shkendija 33 10 8 15 38 39 63 -24 36.46 +1.54
11 Bregalnica Shtip 33 3 4 26 13 19 97 -78 18.76 -5.76
12 Vellazerimi 77 33 2 3 28 9 22 92 -70 25.94 -16.94

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Pobeda (1st) 71 55.98 +15.02
2 Napredok 45 38.30 +6.70
3 Pelister 45 41.00 +4.00
4 Renova 59 55.85 +3.15
5 Shkendija 38 36.46 +1.54

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Vellazerimi 77 9 25.94 -16.94
2 Bregalnica Shtip 13 18.76 -5.76
3 Sileks 41 44.96 -3.96
4 Vardar 59 62.47 -3.47
5 Makedonija GP 64 65.31 -1.31

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Pobeda (1st) 7 Apr 22 – May 27 1 in 213
2 Renova 6 Apr 4 – Apr 29 1 in 110
3 Shkendija 3 May 6 – May 16 1 in 22
4 Bashkimi 3 Oct 29 – Nov 11 1 in 15
5 Pelister 4 Mar 11 – Apr 4 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vellazerimi 77 17 Dec 10 – May 27 1 in 342
2 Bregalnica Shtip 11 Nov 11 – Apr 4 1 in 56
3 Makedonija GP 2 Mar 4 – Mar 11 1 in 35
4 Pelister 5 Apr 22 – May 16 1 in 27
5 Sileks 4 Oct 29 – Nov 19 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Pobeda (1st) 18 Oct 14 – Apr 15 1 in 270
2 Renova 10 Mar 14 – May 13 1 in 73
3 Shkendija 5 Nov 26 – Mar 4 1 in 25
4 Rabotnicki 17 Nov 19 – May 13 1 in 18
5 Makedonija GP 13 Aug 6 – Nov 11 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rabotnicki 3 Apr 1 – Apr 7 1 in 39
2 Makedonija GP 3 Sep 10 – Sep 24 1 in 15
3 Sileks 6 Oct 29 – Dec 3 1 in 15
4 Bashkimi 7 Mar 14 – Apr 22 1 in 14
5 Napredok 8 Sep 24 – Nov 11 1 in 10

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Pobeda (1st) 1591 71 +88 15 8.2 +6.8
Rabotnicki 1610 67 -20 6 9.8 -3.8
Makedonija GP 1524 64 +3 8 8.2 -0.2
Renova 1522 59 -11 10 10.2 -0.2
Vardar 1418 56 -68 5 8.0 -3.0
Pelister 1293 45 -55 3 5.6 -2.6
Bashkimi 1290 42 +76 9 5.3 +3.7
Napredok 1324 42 +18 9 7.8 +1.2
Sileks 1348 41 -6 9 8.4 +0.6
Shkendija 1188 38 +30 9 6.0 +3.0
Bregalnica Shtip 918 13 -8 3 3.4 -0.4
Vellazerimi 77 935 9 -49 0 2.9 -2.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BAS BS MG NAP PEL P( RAB REN SHK SIL VAR V7
Bashkimi —
3-0-0
6.52
0-2-1
1.83
1-0-2
4.21
1-0-2
4.94
0-1-2
2.51
0-1-2
2.23
0-1-2
2.98
1-1-1
3.98
2-0-1
4.23
1-0-2
2.53
3-0-0
5.61
Bregalnica Shtip
0-0-3
1.88
—
0-0-3
1.47
0-0-3
3.00
0-1-2
1.37
0-1-2
1.05
0-0-3
1.72
1-0-2
1.04
0-0-3
2.34
0-0-3
1.31
0-1-2
1.41
2-1-0
3.66
Makedonija GP
1-2-0
6.56
3-0-0
7.03
—
2-0-1
6.70
3-0-0
6.76
0-2-1
4.87
1-1-1
3.84
1-1-1
4.72
1-2-0
6.53
3-0-0
6.47
0-2-1
5.18
3-0-0
7.21
Napredok
2-0-1
4.14
3-0-0
5.39
1-0-2
1.70
—
0-2-1
3.59
0-1-2
2.08
0-2-1
1.38
0-2-1
2.00
1-1-1
4.86
2-1-0
3.61
0-0-3
1.91
3-0-0
4.95
Pelister
2-0-1
3.40
2-1-0
7.04
0-0-3
1.63
1-2-0
4.76
—
1-0-2
2.53
1-0-2
1.84
0-0-3
3.62
3-0-0
4.74
1-0-2
3.53
0-0-3
2.88
3-0-0
5.48
Pobeda (1st)
2-1-0
5.87
2-1-0
7.45
1-2-0
3.49
2-1-0
6.30
2-0-1
5.83
—
1-1-1
2.55
2-0-1
3.85
2-1-0
5.56
2-1-0
5.37
2-0-1
3.35
3-0-0
6.83
Rabotnicki
2-1-0
6.13
3-0-0
6.74
1-1-1
4.51
1-2-0
7.05
2-0-1
6.55
1-1-1
5.81
—
1-2-0
5.86
2-1-0
7.24
2-0-1
5.90
1-2-0
4.64
3-0-0
7.12
Renova
2-1-0
5.41
2-0-1
7.44
1-1-1
3.64
1-2-0
6.37
3-0-0
4.73
1-0-2
4.49
0-2-1
2.50
—
1-0-2
5.71
2-0-1
5.23
2-1-0
2.75
2-1-0
6.45
Shkendija
1-1-1
4.37
3-0-0
6.03
0-2-1
1.86
1-1-1
3.48
0-0-3
3.60
0-1-2
2.83
0-1-2
1.19
2-0-1
2.64
—
1-1-1
3.02
0-1-2
1.93
2-0-1
5.63
Sileks
1-0-2
4.11
3-0-0
7.13
0-0-3
1.91
0-1-2
4.74
2-0-1
4.83
0-1-2
2.99
1-0-2
2.47
1-0-2
3.14
1-1-1
5.32
—
2-1-0
2.55
1-1-1
6.05
Vardar
2-0-1
5.83
2-1-0
7.00
1-2-0
3.17
3-0-0
6.49
3-0-0
5.47
1-0-2
4.99
0-2-1
3.70
0-1-2
5.59
2-1-0
6.47
0-1-2
5.81
—
3-0-0
6.72
Vellazerimi 77
0-0-3
2.74
0-1-2
4.68
0-0-3
1.22
0-0-3
3.43
0-0-3
2.94
0-0-3
1.56
0-0-3
1.38
0-1-2
1.98
1-0-2
2.73
1-1-1
2.31
0-0-3
1.71
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.89 +10.5
Allowed 0.86 -7.6
Differential 0.95 +4.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%6.06%7.32%6.06%1.77%2.27%29.04%
16.06%9.09%6.82%2.02%0.76%1.77%26.52%
27.32%6.82%5.05%2.78%0.76%0.51%23.23%
36.06%2.02%2.78%1.01%0.25%—12.12%
41.77%0.76%0.76%0.25%——3.54%
5+2.27%1.77%0.51%——1.01%5.56%
Total29.04%26.52%23.23%12.12%3.54%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.49 1.49 +0.00
SD 1.52 1.52 2.39
CV 1.02 1.02 —
Max 10 10 +10
Min -1 -1 -10

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%3.03%9.09%9.09%3.03%—27.27%
19.09%6.06%3.03%3.03%3.03%3.03%27.27%
23.03%6.06%9.09%6.06%——24.24%
3——6.06%———6.06%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+3.03%6.06%———3.03%12.12%
Total18.18%24.24%27.27%18.18%6.06%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 1.70 -0.09
SD 1.90 1.38 2.54
CV 1.18 0.81 —
Max 8 5 +7
Min -1 -1 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%—9.09%24.24%12.12%9.09%60.61%
13.03%6.06%9.09%6.06%3.03%3.03%30.30%
2—3.03%—3.03%——6.06%
3———————
4———————
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total9.09%12.12%18.18%33.33%15.15%12.12%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.58 2.94 -2.36
SD 1.00 1.97 2.43
CV 1.74 0.67 —
Max 5 8 +4
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%6.06%6.06%———15.15%
13.03%15.15%————18.18%
215.15%9.09%9.09%3.03%——36.36%
312.12%3.03%3.03%3.03%——21.21%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+6.06%—————6.06%
Total42.42%33.33%18.18%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.97 0.88 +1.09
SD 1.31 0.93 1.79
CV 0.67 1.06 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%—9.09%—6.06%—27.27%
16.06%3.03%12.12%3.03%—3.03%27.27%
29.09%6.06%9.09%3.03%——27.27%
3—6.06%—3.03%——9.09%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+3.03%————3.03%6.06%
Total33.33%15.15%30.30%9.09%6.06%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.39 +0.00
SD 1.52 1.43 2.22
CV 1.09 1.03 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min -1 -1 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%15.15%12.12%———33.33%
112.12%—18.18%3.03%——33.33%
215.15%6.06%3.03%———24.24%
36.06%—————6.06%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total42.42%21.21%33.33%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 0.97 +0.15
SD 1.05 0.95 1.68
CV 0.94 0.98 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
112.12%12.12%3.03%———27.27%
23.03%9.09%9.09%———21.21%
33.03%6.06%15.15%—3.03%—27.27%
43.03%3.03%6.06%———12.12%
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total24.24%36.36%36.36%—3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.15 1.21 +0.94
SD 1.30 0.93 1.37
CV 0.61 0.77 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%—3.03%3.03%——18.18%
16.06%15.15%6.06%———27.27%
29.09%—————9.09%
315.15%3.03%6.06%3.03%——27.27%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+9.09%3.03%3.03%———15.15%
Total54.55%21.21%18.18%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 0.76 +1.52
SD 1.96 0.97 2.28
CV 0.86 1.28 —
Max 8 3 +8
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%6.06%3.03%6.06%——18.18%
112.12%18.18%6.06%———36.36%
29.09%6.06%3.03%3.03%——21.21%
315.15%—————15.15%
43.03%——3.03%——6.06%
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total42.42%33.33%12.12%12.12%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 0.94 +0.70
SD 1.29 1.03 1.83
CV 0.79 1.10 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%9.09%9.09%—3.03%33.33%
1—12.12%6.06%——9.09%27.27%
26.06%15.15%6.06%—3.03%—30.30%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+———————
Total15.15%36.36%24.24%9.09%3.03%12.12%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.91 -0.73
SD 1.07 1.67 2.18
CV 0.91 0.87 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%15.15%12.12%3.03%——33.33%
13.03%3.03%12.12%3.03%——21.21%
26.06%6.06%6.06%——3.03%21.21%
36.06%—3.03%3.03%——12.12%
43.03%3.03%————6.06%
5+3.03%—3.03%———6.06%
Total24.24%27.27%36.36%9.09%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.45 +0.12
SD 1.60 1.25 2.19
CV 1.02 0.86 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%3.03%3.03%——18.18%
16.06%12.12%——3.03%—21.21%
212.12%12.12%6.06%9.09%——39.39%
39.09%3.03%————12.12%
4———————
5+3.03%3.03%———3.03%9.09%
Total36.36%36.36%9.09%12.12%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.79 1.00 +0.79
SD 1.90 1.17 2.34
CV 1.06 1.17 —
Max 10 4 +10
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%12.12%9.09%15.15%—15.15%54.55%
1—6.06%6.06%6.06%—3.03%21.21%
2—3.03%—6.06%6.06%3.03%18.18%
33.03%—————3.03%
4———————
5+—————3.03%3.03%
Total6.06%21.21%15.15%27.27%6.06%24.24%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.64 2.76 -2.12
SD 0.93 2.09 2.29
CV 1.46 0.76 —
Max 3 10 +3
Min -1 -1 -10

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Rabotnicki 1610 67 68.08 -1.08 49.0% 53 57 63 68 72 80 83
Pobeda (1st) 1591 71 55.98 +15.02 98.0% 37 43 51 56 61 67 78
Makedonija GP 1524 64 65.31 -1.31 47.0% 50 55 61 65 70 76 83
Renova 1522 59 55.85 +3.15 73.0% 38 45 51 55 60 67 74
Vardar 1418 59 62.47 -3.47 35.0% 46 51 57 62 66 75 79
Sileks 1348 41 44.96 -3.96 34.0% 28 33 40 45 50 58 61
Napredok 1324 45 38.30 +6.70 88.0% 25 28 34 38 42 48 60
Pelister 1293 45 41.00 +4.00 75.0% 28 30 36 41 45 53 62
Bashkimi 1290 42 40.62 +1.38 65.0% 25 29 36 40 45 52 62
Shkendija 1188 38 36.46 +1.54 64.0% 25 27 31 36 41 47 56
Vellazerimi 77 935 9 25.94 -16.94 0.0% 14 18 22 26 30 34 38
Bregalnica Shtip 918 13 18.76 -5.76 17.0% 6 9 15 19 22 28 35

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 23% * Slight Edge: 23% to 31% * Clear Edge: 31% to 38% * Strong Edge: 38% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+27.78%
Slight Edge
53.54%20.71%25.76%
Elo Value
Home Edge
170 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
099.11500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.78 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.58+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.12 * Tight Race: 0.12 to 0.25 * Comfortable: 0.25 to 0.36 * Runaway: 0.36 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.0
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
3%
Pobeda (1st), 5th of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.12/gm
Tight Race
00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.37 * Some Luck: 5.37 to 8.05 * Lucky: 8.05 to 10.73 * Wild Swing: 10.73 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.86 * Close: 0.86 to 1.29 * Off: 1.29 to 1.72 * Way Off: 1.72 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.37 points
Some Luck
06.7117
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Close
01.072.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
98.00%
Pobeda (1st)
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
0.00%
Vellazerimi 77
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.9 * Moderate Separation: 1.9 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.3 * Wide Separation: 2.3 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 70.5% * Clear Edge: 70.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 93% * Clear Edge: 93% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 56.5% * Some Drama: 56.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.
Gini Index
0.22
Lopsided
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 229.30
2.55
Wide Separation
11.92.12.32.75
Interquartile Edge
82%
Wide Edge
50%65%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 99%
98%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
54%
Few
0%47%100%
Blowouts
Expected
26%
Very Frequent
0%30%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.43 * Slight Separation: 0.43 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.65 * Near-Lock: 0.65 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 18% * Upset-Prone: 18% to 21% * Very Upset-Prone: 21% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 16.5% * Very Shaky: 16.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.50
Highly Predictable
00.532
Matchup Imbalance
0.53
Lopsided
00.430.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.45
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.68
Near-Lock
00.410.571
Upset Rate
Expected
16%
As Expected
0%19%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
14%
As Expected
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.73
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.12
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.064
Well Within Noise
00.1110.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Pobeda (1st)3.00%11.00%16.00%26.00%28.00%9.00%3.00%1.00%3.00%———
Rabotnicki48.00%30.00%13.00%8.00%1.00%———————
Makedonija GP27.00%31.00%23.00%11.00%7.00%—1.00%—————
Vardar16.00%21.00%29.00%22.00%8.00%2.00%2.00%—————
Renova6.00%6.00%12.00%25.00%27.00%15.00%6.00%1.00%2.00%———
Pelister——2.00%—8.00%19.00%20.00%18.00%13.00%20.00%——
Napredok———2.00%3.00%9.00%14.00%17.00%32.00%17.00%6.00%—
Bashkimi——2.00%2.00%6.00%12.00%17.00%24.00%22.00%10.00%5.00%—
Sileks—1.00%3.00%3.00%12.00%25.00%25.00%17.00%7.00%6.00%1.00%—
Shkendija———1.00%—9.00%12.00%19.00%16.00%32.00%11.00%—
Bregalnica Shtip———————1.00%—3.00%18.00%78.00%
Vellazerimi 77———————2.00%5.00%12.00%59.00%22.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Makedonija GP 100% — —
Pelister 67.00% 33.00% —
Pobeda (1st) 97.00% 3.00% —
Rabotnicki 100% — —
Renova 98.00% 2.00% —
Vardar 100% — —
Sileks 86.00% 13.00% 1.00%
Bashkimi 63.00% 32.00% 5.00%
Napredok 45.00% 49.00% 6.00%
Shkendija 41.00% 48.00% 11.00%
Vellazerimi 77 2.00% 17.00% 81.00%
Bregalnica Shtip 1.00% 3.00% 96.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2006-08-06 Bashkimi W 2-036.6 1333 1325 53.14% 21.89% 24.97%+0.63 +26.6 3
2006-08-06 @ Shkendija L 0-236.6 1325 1333 24.97% 21.89% 53.14%-0.63 -26.6 0
2006-08-06 Bregalnica Shtip D 0-049.9 1301 1289 53.63% 21.87% 24.50%+0.65 -3.6 1
2006-08-06 @ Vellazerimi 77 D 0-049.9 1289 1301 24.50% 21.87% 53.63%-0.65 +3.7 1
2006-08-06 Makedonija GP L 0-135.5 1155 1465 15.52% 21.09% 63.38%-1.24 -9.3 0
2006-08-06 @ Pelister W 1-035.5 1465 1155 63.38% 21.09% 15.52%+1.24 +9.3 3
2006-08-06 Pobeda (1st) W 2-144.2 1459 1369 61.70% 21.28% 17.02%+1.11 +9.5 3
2006-08-06 @ Vardar L 1-244.2 1369 1459 17.02% 21.28% 61.70%-1.11 -9.5 0
2006-08-06 Rabotnicki W 2-151.6 1350 1469 36.26% 22.18% 41.56%-0.12 +20.1 3
2006-08-06 @ Sileks L 1-251.6 1469 1350 41.56% 22.18% 36.26%+0.12 -20.1 0
2006-08-06 Renova D 1-153.5 1088 1356 18.95% 21.48% 59.57%-0.99 +4.7 1
2006-08-06 @ Napredok D 1-153.5 1356 1088 59.57% 21.48% 18.95%+0.99 -4.7 1
2006-08-18 Pelister W 1-031.6 1449 1146 75.58% 18.49% 5.93%+2.36 +3.6 3
2006-08-18 @ Rabotnicki L 0-131.6 1146 1449 5.93% 18.49% 75.58%-2.36 -3.6 0
2006-08-20 Makedonija GP L 2-351.4 1292 1475 27.95% 22.01% 50.03%-0.49 -13.9 1
2006-08-20 @ Bregalnica Shtip W 3-251.4 1475 1292 50.03% 22.01% 27.95%+0.49 +13.9 6
2006-08-20 Napredok W 3-241.6 1359 1093 73.81% 19.06% 7.13%+2.15 +3.9 3
2006-08-20 @ Pobeda (1st) L 2-341.6 1093 1359 7.13% 19.06% 73.81%-2.15 -3.9 1
2006-08-20 Shkendija L 1-252.4 1352 1360 51.23% 21.97% 26.80%+0.53 -24.0 1
2006-08-20 @ Renova W 2-152.4 1360 1352 26.80% 21.97% 51.23%-0.53 +24.0 6
2006-08-20 Sileks W 1-042.1 1299 1370 42.92% 22.17% 34.91%+0.16 +18.5 3
2006-08-20 @ Bashkimi L 0-142.1 1370 1299 34.91% 22.17% 42.92%-0.16 -18.5 3
2006-08-20 Vardar L 0-141.7 1297 1469 29.29% 22.06% 48.66%-0.43 -16.1 1
2006-08-20 @ Vellazerimi 77 W 1-041.7 1469 1297 48.66% 22.06% 29.29%+0.43 +16.1 6
2006-08-27 Vellazerimi 77 FW47.2 1089 1281 26.79% 21.97% 51.24%-0.55 +0.0 4
2006-08-27 @ Napredok FL47.2 1281 1089 51.24% 21.97% 26.79%+0.55 +0.0 1
2006-08-27 Bashkimi W 2-042.8 1142 1317 28.91% 22.05% 49.04%-0.44 +46.1 3
2006-08-27 @ Pelister L 0-242.8 1317 1142 49.04% 22.05% 28.91%+0.44 -46.1 3
2006-08-27 Bregalnica Shtip D 1-156.6 1485 1278 70.43% 19.94% 9.63%+1.80 -7.4 7
2006-08-27 @ Vardar D 1-156.6 1278 1485 9.63% 19.94% 70.43%-1.80 +7.4 2
2006-08-27 Pobeda (1st) D 1-155.7 1384 1363 54.59% 21.82% 23.59%+0.70 -3.5 7
2006-08-27 @ Shkendija D 1-155.7 1363 1384 23.59% 21.82% 54.59%-0.70 +3.5 4
2006-08-27 Rabotnicki W 3-040.4 1489 1453 56.29% 21.72% 21.99%+0.79 +34.7 9
2006-08-27 @ Makedonija GP L 0-340.4 1453 1489 21.99% 21.72% 56.29%-0.79 -34.7 3
2006-08-27 Renova W 3-034.6 1352 1328 54.98% 21.80% 23.23%+0.72 +36.3 6
2006-08-27 @ Sileks L 0-334.6 1328 1352 23.23% 21.80% 54.98%-0.72 -36.4 1
2006-09-10 Makedonija GP D 2-262.1 1271 1523 20.43% 21.60% 57.97%-0.90 +3.2 4
2006-09-10 @ Bashkimi D 2-262.1 1523 1271 57.97% 21.60% 20.43%+0.90 -3.2 10
2006-09-10 Napredok W 5-129.8 1478 1089 79.14% 17.02% 3.84%+2.87 +6.8 10
2006-09-10 @ Vardar L 1-529.8 1089 1478 3.84% 17.02% 79.14%-2.87 -6.8 4
2006-09-10 Pelister W 1-035.0 1291 1189 62.78% 21.16% 16.06%+1.19 +9.6 4
2006-09-10 @ Renova L 0-135.0 1189 1291 16.06% 21.16% 62.78%-1.19 -9.6 3
2006-09-10 Rabotnicki L 0-338.4 1286 1418 34.42% 22.16% 43.42%-0.19 -50.2 2
2006-09-10 @ Bregalnica Shtip W 3-038.4 1418 1286 43.42% 22.16% 34.42%+0.19 +50.2 6
2006-09-10 Shkendija W 3-039.2 1281 1380 39.06% 22.19% 38.75%+0.00 +55.2 4
2006-09-10 @ Vellazerimi 77 L 0-339.2 1380 1281 38.75% 22.19% 39.06%+0.00 -55.2 7
2006-09-10 Sileks W 1-041.3 1367 1388 49.56% 22.03% 28.41%+0.46 +15.7 7
2006-09-10 @ Pobeda (1st) L 0-141.3 1388 1367 28.41% 22.03% 49.56%-0.46 -15.7 6
2006-09-17 Bashkimi W 3-245.1 1468 1274 69.64% 20.11% 10.26%+1.72 +5.6 9
2006-09-17 @ Rabotnicki L 2-345.1 1274 1468 10.26% 20.11% 69.64%-1.72 -5.6 4
2006-09-17 Bregalnica Shtip W 7-039.8 1082 1236 31.57% 22.11% 46.32%-0.32 +141.2 7
2006-09-17 @ Napredok L 0-739.8 1236 1082 46.32% 22.11% 31.57%+0.32 -141.2 2
2006-09-17 Pobeda (1st) W 1-046.4 1179 1382 25.54% 21.92% 52.54%-0.61 +26.0 6
2006-09-17 @ Pelister L 0-146.4 1382 1179 52.54% 21.92% 25.54%+0.61 -26.0 7
2006-09-17 Renova D 1-157.9 1520 1301 71.20% 19.76% 9.04%+1.87 -7.6 11
2006-09-17 @ Makedonija GP D 1-157.9 1301 1520 9.04% 19.76% 71.20%-1.87 +7.6 5
2006-09-17 Vardar L 0-240.9 1325 1484 30.84% 22.10% 47.06%-0.35 -31.7 7
2006-09-17 @ Shkendija W 2-040.9 1484 1325 47.06% 22.10% 30.84%+0.35 +31.7 13
2006-09-17 Vellazerimi 77 D 1-155.2 1372 1336 56.30% 21.72% 21.98%+0.79 -3.9 7
2006-09-17 @ Sileks D 1-155.2 1336 1372 21.98% 21.72% 56.30%-0.79 +3.9 5
2006-09-24 Bashkimi L 0-534.0 1094 1269 28.97% 22.05% 48.98%-0.44 -70.4 2
2006-09-24 @ Bregalnica Shtip W 5-034.0 1269 1094 48.98% 22.05% 28.97%+0.44 +70.4 7
2006-09-24 Makedonija GP D 1-158.5 1356 1513 31.22% 22.11% 46.68%-0.34 +1.7 8
2006-09-24 @ Pobeda (1st) D 1-158.5 1513 1356 46.68% 22.11% 31.22%+0.34 -1.7 12
2006-09-24 Pelister L 0-149.9 1340 1205 65.45% 20.82% 13.72%+1.38 -32.1 5
2006-09-24 @ Vellazerimi 77 W 1-049.9 1205 1340 13.72% 20.82% 65.45%-1.38 +32.1 9
2006-09-24 Rabotnicki D 1-156.3 1308 1474 30.08% 22.08% 47.84%-0.39 +1.9 6
2006-09-24 @ Renova D 1-156.3 1474 1308 47.84% 22.08% 30.08%+0.39 -1.9 10
2006-09-24 Shkendija D 2-258.9 1223 1293 43.12% 22.17% 34.71%+0.17 -0.7 8
2006-09-24 @ Napredok D 2-258.9 1293 1223 34.71% 22.17% 43.12%-0.17 +0.7 8
2006-09-24 Sileks L 0-155.4 1516 1368 66.40% 20.68% 12.91%+1.45 -32.6 13
2006-09-24 @ Vardar W 1-055.4 1368 1516 12.91% 20.68% 66.40%-1.45 +32.6 10
2006-10-01 Bregalnica Shtip W 3-134.5 1294 1024 73.99% 19.01% 7.00%+2.17 +7.0 11
2006-10-01 @ Shkendija L 1-334.5 1024 1294 7.00% 19.01% 73.99%-2.17 -7.0 2
2006-10-01 Napredok D 3-364.2 1401 1222 68.63% 20.30% 11.07%+1.63 -4.3 11
2006-10-01 @ Sileks D 3-364.2 1222 1401 11.07% 20.30% 68.63%-1.63 +4.3 9
2006-10-01 Renova L 0-344.0 1339 1310 55.47% 21.77% 22.77%+0.75 -74.9 7
2006-10-01 @ Bashkimi W 3-044.0 1310 1339 22.77% 21.77% 55.47%-0.75 +74.9 9
2006-10-01 Vardar L 1-243.4 1237 1483 21.01% 21.65% 57.34%-0.86 -11.5 9
2006-10-01 @ Pelister W 2-143.4 1483 1237 57.34% 21.65% 21.01%+0.86 +11.5 16
2006-10-01 Vellazerimi 77 W 3-032.5 1511 1308 70.20% 19.99% 9.81%+1.77 +16.5 15
2006-10-01 @ Makedonija GP L 0-332.5 1308 1511 9.81% 19.99% 70.20%-1.77 -16.5 5
2006-10-03 Pobeda (1st) W 2-036.4 1472 1358 63.74% 21.05% 15.21%+1.25 +17.2 13
2006-10-03 @ Rabotnicki L 0-236.4 1358 1472 15.21% 21.05% 63.74%-1.25 -17.2 8
2006-10-14 Bashkimi W 3-246.3 1341 1264 60.40% 21.40% 18.19%+1.03 +9.6 11
2006-10-14 @ Pobeda (1st) L 2-346.3 1264 1341 18.19% 21.40% 60.40%-1.03 -9.6 7
2006-10-15 Makedonija GP D 2-269.3 1495 1527 48.18% 22.07% 29.75%+0.39 -1.5 17
2006-10-15 @ Vardar D 2-269.3 1527 1495 29.75% 22.07% 48.18%-0.39 +1.5 16
2006-10-15 Pelister D 0-049.3 1227 1226 52.32% 21.93% 25.75%+0.59 -3.3 10
2006-10-15 @ Napredok D 0-049.3 1226 1227 25.75% 21.93% 52.32%-0.59 +3.3 10
2006-10-15 Rabotnicki L 0-337.2 1292 1489 26.20% 21.95% 51.86%-0.58 -40.2 5
2006-10-15 @ Vellazerimi 77 W 3-037.2 1489 1292 51.86% 21.95% 26.20%+0.58 +40.2 16
2006-10-15 Renova W 1-050.1 1017 1385 11.67% 20.44% 67.89%-1.58 +33.3 5
2006-10-15 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 0-150.1 1385 1017 67.89% 20.44% 11.67%+1.58 -33.3 9
2006-10-15 Sileks W 2-148.4 1301 1397 39.55% 22.19% 38.27%+0.02 +18.8 14
2006-10-15 @ Shkendija L 1-248.4 1397 1301 38.27% 22.19% 39.55%-0.02 -18.8 11
2006-10-21 Vardar D 1-164.0 1529 1493 56.27% 21.72% 22.01%+0.79 -3.9 17
2006-10-21 @ Rabotnicki D 1-164.0 1493 1529 22.01% 21.72% 56.27%-0.79 +3.9 18
2006-10-22 Bregalnica Shtip W 4-025.9 1378 1050 76.69% 18.08% 5.23%+2.51 +11.3 14
2006-10-22 @ Sileks L 0-425.9 1050 1378 5.23% 18.08% 76.69%-2.51 -11.3 5
2006-10-22 Napredok W 2-138.4 1529 1223 75.70% 18.45% 5.86%+2.38 +3.4 19
2006-10-22 @ Makedonija GP L 1-238.4 1223 1529 5.86% 18.45% 75.70%-2.38 -3.4 10
2006-10-22 Pobeda (1st) L 2-357.7 1352 1350 52.41% 21.92% 25.66%+0.59 -23.2 9
2006-10-22 @ Renova W 3-257.7 1350 1352 25.66% 21.92% 52.41%-0.59 +23.2 14
2006-10-22 Shkendija W 3-038.1 1229 1320 40.24% 22.19% 37.58%+0.05 +53.8 13
2006-10-22 @ Pelister L 0-338.1 1320 1229 37.58% 22.19% 40.24%-0.05 -53.8 14
2006-10-22 Vellazerimi 77 W 2-035.9 1254 1251 52.56% 21.92% 25.52%+0.60 +27.1 10
2006-10-22 @ Bashkimi L 0-235.9 1251 1254 25.52% 21.92% 52.56%-0.60 -27.1 5
2006-10-25 Bashkimi W 3-031.4 1497 1281 70.99% 19.81% 9.20%+1.85 +15.4 21
2006-10-25 @ Vardar L 0-331.4 1281 1497 9.20% 19.81% 70.99%-1.85 -15.4 10
2006-10-25 Makedonija GP D 2-262.2 1266 1532 19.15% 21.49% 59.36%-0.98 +3.5 15
2006-10-25 @ Shkendija D 2-262.2 1532 1266 59.36% 21.49% 19.15%+0.98 -3.5 20
2006-10-25 Pelister W 2-033.8 1389 1283 63.10% 21.13% 15.77%+1.21 +17.8 17
2006-10-25 @ Sileks L 0-233.8 1283 1389 15.77% 21.13% 63.10%-1.21 -17.8 13
2006-10-25 Pobeda (1st) D 1-153.7 1039 1373 13.78% 20.83% 65.38%-1.38 +6.1 6
2006-10-25 @ Bregalnica Shtip D 1-153.7 1373 1039 65.38% 20.83% 13.78%+1.38 -6.1 15
2006-10-25 Rabotnicki D 0-051.8 1220 1525 15.89% 21.14% 62.97%-1.21 +6.2 11
2006-10-25 @ Napredok D 0-051.8 1525 1220 62.97% 21.14% 15.89%+1.21 -6.2 18
2006-10-25 Renova D 1-153.7 1224 1329 38.27% 22.19% 39.54%-0.03 +0.1 6
2006-10-25 @ Vellazerimi 77 D 1-153.7 1329 1224 39.54% 22.19% 38.27%+0.03 -0.1 10
2006-10-28 Shkendija W 5-134.3 1519 1269 72.92% 19.32% 7.76%+2.05 +14.2 21
2006-10-28 @ Rabotnicki L 1-534.3 1269 1519 7.76% 19.32% 72.92%-2.05 -14.2 15
2006-10-29 Bregalnica Shtip W 3-028.2 1265 1045 71.24% 19.75% 9.01%+1.87 +15.1 16
2006-10-29 @ Pelister L 0-328.2 1045 1265 9.01% 19.75% 71.24%-1.87 -15.1 6
2006-10-29 Napredok W 2-141.8 1266 1226 56.69% 21.69% 21.61%+0.82 +11.8 13
2006-10-29 @ Bashkimi L 1-241.8 1226 1266 21.61% 21.69% 56.69%-0.82 -11.8 11
2006-10-29 Sileks W 3-144.9 1529 1407 64.38% 20.97% 14.65%+1.30 +14.4 23
2006-10-29 @ Makedonija GP L 1-344.9 1407 1529 14.65% 20.97% 64.38%-1.30 -14.4 17
2006-10-29 Vardar W 3-045.8 1329 1513 27.77% 22.01% 50.22%-0.50 +68.4 13
2006-10-29 @ Renova L 0-345.8 1513 1329 50.22% 22.01% 27.77%+0.50 -68.4 21
2006-10-29 Vellazerimi 77 W 3-030.6 1367 1224 66.06% 20.74% 13.20%+1.42 +21.9 18
2006-10-29 @ Pobeda (1st) L 0-330.6 1224 1367 13.20% 20.74% 66.06%-1.42 -21.9 6
2006-11-05 Napredok D 0-050.6 1397 1214 68.90% 20.25% 10.85%+1.66 -7.8 14
2006-11-05 @ Renova D 0-050.6 1214 1397 10.85% 20.25% 68.90%-1.66 +7.8 12
2006-11-05 Pelister W 2-033.3 1543 1280 73.62% 19.12% 7.26%+2.13 +8.4 26
2006-11-05 @ Makedonija GP L 0-233.3 1280 1543 7.26% 19.12% 73.62%-2.13 -8.4 16
2006-11-05 Shkendija W 6-135.7 1278 1255 54.80% 21.81% 23.39%+0.71 +48.7 16
2006-11-05 @ Bashkimi L 1-635.7 1255 1278 23.39% 21.81% 54.80%-0.71 -48.7 15
2006-11-05 Sileks W 6-242.4 1533 1393 65.88% 20.76% 13.35%+1.41 +20.4 24
2006-11-05 @ Rabotnicki L 2-642.4 1393 1533 13.35% 20.76% 65.88%-1.41 -20.4 17
2006-11-05 Vardar W 3-254.3 1389 1444 45.20% 22.14% 32.66%+0.26 +15.7 21
2006-11-05 @ Pobeda (1st) L 2-354.3 1444 1389 32.66% 22.14% 45.20%-0.26 -15.7 21
2006-11-05 Vellazerimi 77 W 5-144.1 1030 1202 29.17% 22.05% 48.78%-0.43 +72.6 9
2006-11-05 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 1-544.1 1202 1030 48.78% 22.05% 29.17%+0.43 -72.6 6
2006-11-11 Bashkimi L 0-149.0 1372 1327 57.31% 21.65% 21.04%+0.85 -28.2 17
2006-11-11 @ Sileks W 1-049.0 1327 1372 21.04% 21.65% 57.31%-0.85 +28.2 19
2006-11-11 Bregalnica Shtip W 3-026.5 1552 1103 81.24% 15.94% 2.82%+3.22 +4.5 29
2006-11-11 @ Makedonija GP L 0-326.5 1103 1552 2.82% 15.94% 81.24%-3.22 -4.5 9
2006-11-11 Pobeda (1st) D 2-259.6 1222 1405 27.93% 22.01% 50.05%-0.49 +1.8 13
2006-11-11 @ Napredok D 2-259.6 1405 1222 50.05% 22.01% 27.93%+0.49 -1.8 22
2006-11-11 Rabotnicki W 2-050.1 1272 1554 17.77% 21.36% 60.87%-1.07 +56.4 19
2006-11-11 @ Pelister L 0-250.1 1554 1272 60.87% 21.36% 17.77%+1.07 -56.4 24
2006-11-11 Renova L 1-538.7 1207 1389 27.93% 22.01% 50.06%-0.49 -46.2 15
2006-11-11 @ Shkendija W 5-138.7 1389 1207 50.06% 22.01% 27.93%+0.49 +46.2 17
2006-11-11 Vellazerimi 77 W 3-027.6 1429 1130 75.38% 18.56% 6.06%+2.34 +10.1 24
2006-11-11 @ Vardar L 0-327.6 1130 1429 6.06% 18.56% 75.38%-2.34 -10.1 6
2006-11-19 Makedonija GP W 3-262.0 1497 1556 44.73% 22.14% 33.13%+0.24 +15.9 27
2006-11-19 @ Rabotnicki L 2-362.0 1556 1497 33.13% 22.14% 44.73%-0.24 -15.9 29
2006-11-19 Napredok L 1-344.8 1120 1224 38.31% 22.19% 39.50%-0.03 -32.6 6
2006-11-19 @ Vellazerimi 77 W 3-144.8 1224 1120 39.50% 22.19% 38.31%+0.03 +32.6 16
2006-11-19 Pelister L 1-253.2 1355 1328 55.26% 21.78% 22.96%+0.74 -25.7 19
2006-11-19 @ Bashkimi W 2-153.2 1328 1355 22.96% 21.78% 55.26%-0.74 +25.7 22
2006-11-19 Shkendija W 4-239.7 1403 1160 72.55% 19.42% 8.03%+2.01 +7.2 25
2006-11-19 @ Pobeda (1st) L 2-439.7 1160 1403 8.03% 19.42% 72.55%-2.01 -7.2 15
2006-11-19 Sileks W 3-034.2 1435 1344 61.77% 21.27% 16.96%+1.12 +27.6 20
2006-11-19 @ Renova L 0-334.2 1344 1435 16.96% 21.27% 61.77%-1.12 -27.6 17
2006-11-19 Vardar L 0-330.3 1098 1439 13.38% 20.77% 65.86%-1.42 -22.2 9
2006-11-19 @ Bregalnica Shtip W 3-030.3 1439 1098 65.86% 20.77% 13.38%+1.42 +22.2 27
2006-11-26 Bashkimi D 1-159.2 1540 1329 70.70% 19.88% 9.42%+1.82 -7.4 30
2006-11-26 @ Makedonija GP D 1-159.2 1329 1540 9.42% 19.88% 70.70%-1.82 +7.5 20
2006-11-26 Bregalnica Shtip W 8-026.0 1513 1076 80.85% 16.15% 2.99%+3.15 +12.1 30
2006-11-26 @ Rabotnicki L 0-826.0 1076 1513 2.99% 16.15% 80.85%-3.15 -12.0 9
2006-11-26 Pobeda (1st) D 2-260.7 1316 1410 39.81% 22.19% 38.01%+0.03 -0.1 18
2006-11-26 @ Sileks D 2-260.7 1410 1316 38.01% 22.19% 39.81%-0.03 +0.1 26
2006-11-26 Renova L 1-250.4 1354 1463 37.62% 22.19% 40.19%-0.06 -18.5 22
2006-11-26 @ Pelister W 2-150.4 1463 1354 40.19% 22.19% 37.62%+0.06 +18.5 23
2006-11-26 Vardar L 1-342.9 1257 1461 25.43% 21.91% 52.65%-0.62 -23.4 16
2006-11-26 @ Napredok W 3-142.9 1461 1257 52.65% 21.91% 25.43%+0.62 +23.4 30
2006-11-26 Vellazerimi 77 W 2-033.4 1153 1087 59.37% 21.49% 19.14%+0.97 +21.1 18
2006-11-26 @ Shkendija L 0-233.4 1087 1153 19.14% 21.49% 59.37%-0.97 -21.2 6
2006-12-03 Makedonija GP L 0-252.0 1482 1533 45.74% 22.13% 32.13%+0.28 -43.4 23
2006-12-03 @ Renova W 2-052.0 1533 1482 32.13% 22.13% 45.74%-0.28 +43.4 33
2006-12-03 Napredok L 1-244.0 1064 1233 29.55% 22.07% 48.38%-0.41 -15.3 9
2006-12-03 @ Bregalnica Shtip W 2-144.0 1233 1064 48.38% 22.07% 29.55%+0.41 +15.3 19
2006-12-03 Pelister W 2-142.9 1410 1335 60.26% 21.42% 18.32%+1.02 +10.2 29
2006-12-03 @ Pobeda (1st) L 1-242.9 1335 1410 18.32% 21.42% 60.26%-1.02 -10.2 22
2006-12-03 Rabotnicki L 1-346.5 1337 1525 27.20% 21.99% 50.81%-0.53 -24.8 20
2006-12-03 @ Bashkimi W 3-146.5 1525 1337 50.81% 21.99% 27.20%+0.53 +24.8 33
2006-12-03 Shkendija D 0-051.5 1484 1174 75.90% 18.37% 5.73%+2.40 -9.7 31
2006-12-03 @ Vardar D 0-051.5 1174 1484 5.73% 18.37% 75.90%-2.40 +9.7 19
2006-12-03 Sileks W 2-152.4 1066 1316 20.63% 21.62% 57.75%-0.89 +26.8 9
2006-12-03 @ Vellazerimi 77 L 1-252.4 1316 1066 57.75% 21.62% 20.63%+0.89 -26.8 18
2006-12-09 Renova W 3-040.0 1550 1438 63.57% 21.07% 15.36%+1.24 +25.2 36
2006-12-09 @ Rabotnicki L 0-340.0 1438 1550 15.36% 21.07% 63.57%-1.24 -25.2 23
2006-12-10 Bregalnica Shtip W 8-128.5 1312 1048 73.64% 19.11% 7.25%+2.13 +22.1 23
2006-12-10 @ Bashkimi L 1-828.5 1048 1312 7.25% 19.11% 73.64%-2.13 -22.1 9
2006-12-10 Napredok W 2-145.5 1184 1249 43.90% 22.16% 33.94%+0.20 +17.1 22
2006-12-10 @ Shkendija L 1-245.5 1249 1184 33.94% 22.16% 43.90%-0.20 -17.1 19
2006-12-10 Pobeda (1st) D 0-059.3 1576 1421 66.99% 20.59% 12.42%+1.50 -7.3 34
2006-12-10 @ Makedonija GP D 0-059.3 1421 1576 12.42% 20.59% 66.99%-1.50 +7.3 30
2006-12-10 Vardar W 3-258.1 1290 1475 27.65% 22.00% 50.35%-0.51 +22.4 21
2006-12-10 @ Sileks L 2-358.1 1475 1290 50.35% 22.00% 27.65%+0.51 -22.4 31
2006-12-10 Vellazerimi 77 W 1-032.1 1325 1093 71.96% 19.57% 8.47%+1.95 +5.2 25
2006-12-10 @ Pelister L 0-132.1 1093 1325 8.47% 19.57% 71.96%-1.95 -5.2 9
2006-12-17 Bashkimi D 2-261.3 1413 1334 60.62% 21.38% 17.99%+1.05 -3.7 24
2006-12-17 @ Renova D 2-261.3 1334 1413 17.99% 21.38% 60.62%-1.05 +3.7 24
2006-12-17 Makedonija GP L 0-527.6 1088 1569 6.63% 18.84% 74.52%-2.24 -17.9 9
2006-12-17 @ Vellazerimi 77 W 5-027.6 1569 1088 74.52% 18.84% 6.63%+2.24 +17.9 37
2006-12-17 Pelister W 2-142.4 1452 1330 64.39% 20.97% 14.64%+1.30 +8.3 34
2006-12-17 @ Vardar L 1-242.4 1330 1452 14.64% 20.97% 64.39%-1.30 -8.3 25
2006-12-17 Rabotnicki D 1-163.2 1428 1575 32.39% 22.13% 45.48%-0.28 +1.4 31
2006-12-17 @ Pobeda (1st) D 1-163.2 1575 1428 45.48% 22.13% 32.39%+0.28 -1.4 37
2006-12-17 Shkendija L 0-334.8 1026 1201 28.91% 22.05% 49.05%-0.44 -43.6 9
2006-12-17 @ Bregalnica Shtip W 3-034.8 1201 1026 49.05% 22.05% 28.91%+0.44 +43.6 25
2006-12-17 Sileks W 2-039.3 1231 1312 41.71% 22.18% 36.11%+0.11 +35.9 22
2006-12-17 @ Napredok L 0-239.3 1312 1231 36.11% 22.18% 41.71%-0.11 -35.9 21
2007-03-03 Vellazerimi 77 W 5-025.0 1574 1070 82.94% 14.93% 2.12%+3.54 +5.3 40
2007-03-03 @ Rabotnicki L 0-525.0 1070 1574 2.12% 14.93% 82.94%-3.54 -5.3 9
2007-03-04 Bregalnica Shtip W 3-025.5 1409 983 80.48% 16.35% 3.16%+3.09 +5.1 27
2007-03-04 @ Renova L 0-325.5 983 1409 3.16% 16.35% 80.48%-3.09 -5.1 9
2007-03-04 Napredok D 2-259.5 1322 1267 58.23% 21.58% 20.18%+0.90 -3.2 26
2007-03-04 @ Pelister D 2-259.5 1267 1322 20.18% 21.58% 58.23%-0.90 +3.3 23
2007-03-04 Pobeda (1st) D 2-261.4 1338 1429 40.11% 22.19% 37.71%+0.04 -0.2 25
2007-03-04 @ Bashkimi D 2-261.4 1429 1338 37.71% 22.19% 40.11%-0.04 +0.2 32
2007-03-04 Shkendija D 0-049.6 1276 1245 55.77% 21.75% 22.48%+0.77 -4.2 22
2007-03-04 @ Sileks D 0-049.6 1245 1276 22.48% 21.75% 55.77%-0.77 +4.2 26
2007-03-04 Vardar L 0-258.6 1587 1460 64.74% 20.92% 14.34%+1.32 -59.9 37
2007-03-04 @ Makedonija GP W 2-058.6 1460 1587 14.34% 20.92% 64.74%-1.32 +59.9 37
2007-03-10 Bashkimi L 2-345.7 1064 1337 18.54% 21.44% 60.02%-1.02 -9.8 9
2007-03-10 @ Vellazerimi 77 W 3-245.7 1337 1064 60.02% 21.44% 18.54%+1.02 +9.8 28
2007-03-11 Makedonija GP W 1-051.0 1271 1527 20.08% 21.58% 58.35%-0.92 +28.7 26
2007-03-11 @ Napredok L 0-151.0 1527 1271 58.35% 21.58% 20.08%+0.92 -28.7 37
2007-03-11 Pelister L 0-143.7 1249 1319 43.18% 22.16% 34.65%+0.17 -22.0 26
2007-03-11 @ Shkendija W 1-043.7 1319 1249 34.65% 22.16% 43.18%-0.17 +22.0 29
2007-03-11 Rabotnicki L 0-254.8 1520 1579 44.69% 22.14% 33.16%+0.24 -42.6 37
2007-03-11 @ Vardar W 2-054.8 1579 1520 33.16% 22.14% 44.69%-0.24 +42.6 43
2007-03-11 Renova W 1-041.9 1430 1414 53.98% 21.85% 24.17%+0.67 +13.7 35
2007-03-11 @ Pobeda (1st) L 0-141.9 1414 1430 24.17% 21.85% 53.98%-0.67 -13.7 27
2007-03-11 Sileks L 0-232.6 978 1272 16.77% 21.25% 61.98%-1.15 -18.8 9
2007-03-11 @ Bregalnica Shtip W 2-032.6 1272 978 61.98% 21.25% 16.77%+1.15 +18.8 25
2007-03-14 Vardar FL51.2 1347 1478 34.63% 22.16% 43.20%-0.19 +0.0 28
2007-03-14 @ Bashkimi FW51.2 1478 1347 43.20% 22.16% 34.63%+0.19 +0.0 40
2007-03-14 Bregalnica Shtip W 3-132.1 1443 959 82.35% 15.29% 2.35%+3.43 +2.2 38
2007-03-14 @ Pobeda (1st) L 1-332.1 959 1443 2.35% 15.29% 82.35%-3.43 -2.2 9
2007-03-14 Napredok W 4-032.9 1622 1299 76.46% 18.17% 5.37%+2.48 +11.7 46
2007-03-14 @ Rabotnicki L 0-432.9 1299 1622 5.37% 18.17% 76.46%-2.48 -11.7 26
2007-03-14 Shkendija W 2-031.2 1498 1227 74.04% 18.99% 6.97%+2.17 +8.0 40
2007-03-14 @ Makedonija GP L 0-231.2 1227 1498 6.97% 18.99% 74.04%-2.17 -8.0 26
2007-03-14 Sileks W 2-035.0 1341 1291 57.78% 21.62% 20.61%+0.88 +22.6 32
2007-03-14 @ Pelister L 0-235.0 1291 1341 20.61% 21.62% 57.78%-0.88 -22.6 25
2007-03-14 Vellazerimi 77 W 3-026.6 1401 1055 77.46% 17.77% 4.77%+2.61 +7.9 30
2007-03-14 @ Renova L 0-326.6 1055 1401 4.77% 17.77% 77.46%-2.61 -7.9 9
2007-04-01 Bashkimi W 1-041.2 1288 1347 44.61% 22.15% 33.25%+0.23 +17.8 29
2007-04-01 @ Napredok L 0-141.2 1347 1288 33.25% 22.15% 44.61%-0.23 -17.9 28
2007-04-01 Makedonija GP L 1-244.6 1268 1506 21.83% 21.71% 56.47%-0.82 -11.9 25
2007-04-01 @ Sileks W 2-144.6 1506 1268 56.47% 21.71% 21.83%+0.82 +11.9 43
2007-04-01 Pelister L 0-427.7 957 1363 9.65% 19.94% 70.41%-1.81 -21.1 9
2007-04-01 @ Bregalnica Shtip W 4-027.7 1363 957 70.41% 19.94% 9.65%+1.81 +21.1 35
2007-04-01 Pobeda (1st) L 2-440.1 1047 1446 10.04% 20.05% 69.92%-1.76 -9.0 9
2007-04-01 @ Vellazerimi 77 W 4-240.1 1446 1047 69.92% 20.05% 10.04%+1.76 +9.0 41
2007-04-01 Rabotnicki D 1-158.7 1219 1634 9.27% 19.83% 70.90%-1.85 +7.5 27
2007-04-01 @ Shkendija D 1-158.7 1634 1219 70.90% 19.83% 9.27%+1.85 -7.5 47
2007-04-01 Renova D 1-159.2 1478 1408 59.69% 21.47% 18.84%+0.99 -4.7 41
2007-04-01 @ Vardar D 1-159.2 1408 1478 18.84% 21.47% 59.69%-0.99 +4.7 31
2007-04-04 Bashkimi W 3-033.5 1518 1329 69.29% 20.18% 10.54%+1.69 +17.6 46
2007-04-04 @ Makedonija GP L 0-333.5 1329 1518 10.54% 20.18% 69.29%-1.69 -17.6 28
2007-04-04 Bregalnica Shtip W 4-024.2 1413 935 82.15% 15.42% 2.43%+3.39 +5.0 34
2007-04-04 @ Renova L 0-424.2 935 1413 2.43% 15.42% 82.15%-3.39 -5.0 9
2007-04-04 Napredok D 0-057.6 1626 1306 76.37% 18.20% 5.43%+2.46 -9.8 48
2007-04-04 @ Rabotnicki D 0-057.6 1306 1626 5.43% 18.20% 76.37%-2.46 +9.8 30
2007-04-04 Shkendija W 1-033.5 1473 1226 72.76% 19.36% 7.88%+2.03 +4.8 44
2007-04-04 @ Vardar L 0-133.5 1226 1473 7.88% 19.36% 72.76%-2.03 -4.8 27
2007-04-04 Sileks W 1-034.5 1454 1256 69.92% 20.05% 10.04%+1.75 +6.2 44
2007-04-04 @ Pobeda (1st) L 0-134.5 1256 1454 10.04% 20.05% 69.92%-1.75 -6.1 25
2007-04-04 Vellazerimi 77 W 2-028.2 1384 1038 77.49% 17.76% 4.75%+2.62 +5.4 38
2007-04-04 @ Pelister L 0-228.2 1038 1384 4.75% 17.76% 77.49%-2.62 -5.4 9
2007-04-07 Makedonija GP D 1-156.1 1222 1536 15.24% 21.05% 63.71%-1.26 +5.7 28
2007-04-07 @ Shkendija D 1-156.1 1536 1222 63.71% 21.05% 15.24%+1.26 -5.7 47
2007-04-07 Napredok W 2-034.7 1418 1315 62.79% 21.16% 16.05%+1.19 +18.1 37
2007-04-07 @ Renova L 0-234.7 1315 1418 16.05% 21.16% 62.79%-1.19 -18.1 30
2007-04-07 Pelister D 0-050.0 930 1390 7.40% 19.18% 73.42%-2.12 +9.0 10
2007-04-07 @ Bregalnica Shtip D 0-050.0 1390 930 73.42% 19.18% 7.40%+2.12 -9.0 39
2007-04-07 Pobeda (1st) L 1-237.3 1032 1461 8.66% 19.64% 71.70%-1.93 -5.0 9
2007-04-07 @ Vellazerimi 77 W 2-137.3 1461 1032 71.70% 19.64% 8.66%+1.93 +5.0 47
2007-04-07 Rabotnicki D 0-056.6 1312 1616 15.95% 21.15% 62.90%-1.21 +6.2 29
2007-04-07 @ Bashkimi D 0-056.6 1616 1312 62.90% 21.15% 15.95%+1.21 -6.2 49
2007-04-07 Vardar D 2-260.8 1250 1478 22.86% 21.77% 55.36%-0.76 +2.7 26
2007-04-07 @ Sileks D 2-260.8 1478 1250 55.36% 21.77% 22.86%+0.76 -2.7 45
2007-04-15 Bashkimi W 4-034.8 1297 1318 49.68% 22.03% 28.29%+0.46 +56.0 33
2007-04-15 @ Napredok L 0-434.8 1318 1297 28.29% 22.03% 49.68%-0.46 -56.0 29
2007-04-15 Bregalnica Shtip W 4-129.7 1466 940 83.57% 14.53% 1.90%+3.67 +2.5 50
2007-04-15 @ Pobeda (1st) L 1-429.7 940 1466 1.90% 14.53% 83.57%-3.67 -2.5 10
2007-04-15 Renova L 0-147.6 1381 1436 45.15% 22.14% 32.72%+0.26 -22.8 39
2007-04-15 @ Pelister W 1-047.6 1436 1381 32.72% 22.14% 45.15%-0.26 +22.8 40
2007-04-15 Shkendija W 3-030.4 1610 1227 78.91% 17.13% 3.96%+2.83 +6.5 52
2007-04-15 @ Rabotnicki L 0-330.4 1227 1610 3.96% 17.13% 78.91%-2.83 -6.5 28
2007-04-15 Sileks W 2-032.1 1530 1253 74.34% 18.90% 6.76%+2.21 +7.8 50
2007-04-15 @ Makedonija GP L 0-232.1 1253 1530 6.76% 18.90% 74.34%-2.21 -7.8 26
2007-04-15 Vellazerimi 77 W 10-025.9 1475 1027 81.20% 15.97% 2.84%+3.21 +14.1 48
2007-04-15 @ Vardar L 0-1025.9 1027 1475 2.84% 15.97% 81.20%-3.21 -14.1 9
2007-04-18 Bashkimi D 1-153.4 1221 1262 47.07% 22.10% 30.83%+0.34 -1.8 29
2007-04-18 @ Shkendija D 1-153.4 1262 1221 30.83% 22.10% 47.07%-0.34 +1.8 30
2007-04-18 Makedonija GP L 0-526.3 1013 1538 5.33% 18.14% 76.53%-2.50 -14.3 9
2007-04-18 @ Vellazerimi 77 W 5-026.3 1538 1013 76.53% 18.14% 5.33%+2.50 +14.3 53
2007-04-18 Napredok W 2-037.4 1358 1353 52.76% 21.91% 25.33%+0.61 +26.9 42
2007-04-18 @ Pelister L 0-237.4 1353 1358 25.33% 21.91% 52.76%-0.61 -26.9 33
2007-04-18 Pobeda (1st) W 4-358.5 1459 1468 51.11% 21.98% 26.91%+0.53 +13.1 43
2007-04-18 @ Renova L 3-458.5 1468 1459 26.91% 21.98% 51.11%-0.53 -13.1 50
2007-04-18 Rabotnicki L 0-138.2 1245 1617 11.48% 20.40% 68.12%-1.60 -7.0 26
2007-04-18 @ Sileks W 1-038.2 1617 1245 68.12% 20.40% 11.48%+1.60 +7.0 55
2007-04-18 Vardar L 0-228.1 937 1489 4.63% 17.67% 77.70%-2.66 -5.3 10
2007-04-18 @ Bregalnica Shtip W 2-028.1 1489 937 77.70% 17.67% 4.63%+2.66 +5.2 51
2007-04-21 Vellazerimi 77 W 5-023.8 1624 999 86.12% 12.74% 1.14%+4.25 +2.7 58
2007-04-21 @ Rabotnicki L 0-523.8 999 1624 1.14% 12.74% 86.12%-4.25 -2.7 9
2007-04-22 Bregalnica Shtip W 4-023.3 1552 932 86.02% 12.82% 1.16%+4.22 +2.2 56
2007-04-22 @ Makedonija GP L 0-423.3 932 1552 1.16% 12.82% 86.02%-4.22 -2.2 10
2007-04-22 Pelister W 3-143.2 1455 1385 59.77% 21.46% 18.77%+0.99 +18.0 53
2007-04-22 @ Pobeda (1st) L 1-343.2 1385 1455 18.77% 21.46% 59.77%-0.99 -18.0 42
2007-04-22 Renova L 0-155.1 1495 1472 54.78% 21.81% 23.41%+0.71 -27.0 51
2007-04-22 @ Vardar W 1-055.1 1472 1495 23.41% 21.81% 54.78%-0.71 +27.0 46
2007-04-22 Shkendija W 2-140.1 1326 1219 63.17% 21.12% 15.71%+1.21 +8.9 36
2007-04-22 @ Napredok L 1-240.1 1219 1326 15.71% 21.12% 63.17%-1.21 -8.9 29
2007-04-22 Sileks L 1-448.1 1264 1238 55.15% 21.79% 23.06%+0.73 -62.8 30
2007-04-22 @ Bashkimi W 4-148.1 1238 1264 23.06% 21.79% 55.15%-0.73 +62.8 29
2007-04-29 Bashkimi L 2-347.7 996 1201 25.41% 21.91% 52.68%-0.62 -12.8 9
2007-04-29 @ Vellazerimi 77 W 3-247.7 1201 996 52.68% 21.91% 25.41%+0.62 +12.8 33
2007-04-29 Makedonija GP W 2-049.6 1499 1554 45.22% 22.14% 32.64%+0.26 +33.2 49
2007-04-29 @ Renova L 0-249.6 1554 1499 32.64% 22.14% 45.22%-0.26 -33.2 56
2007-04-29 Napredok W 4-032.8 1473 1335 65.66% 20.79% 13.54%+1.39 +29.3 56
2007-04-29 @ Pobeda (1st) L 0-432.8 1335 1473 13.54% 20.79% 65.66%-1.39 -29.3 36
2007-04-29 Rabotnicki L 0-325.4 930 1626 2.21% 15.08% 82.71%-3.51 -3.5 10
2007-04-29 @ Bregalnica Shtip W 3-025.4 1626 930 82.71% 15.08% 2.21%+3.51 +3.5 61
2007-04-29 Shkendija W 6-030.8 1301 1210 61.69% 21.28% 17.03%+1.11 +52.9 32
2007-04-29 @ Sileks L 0-630.8 1210 1301 17.03% 21.28% 61.69%-1.11 -52.9 29
2007-04-29 Vardar L 1-251.2 1367 1467 38.85% 22.19% 38.96%-0.01 -19.0 42
2007-04-29 @ Pelister W 2-151.2 1467 1367 38.96% 22.19% 38.85%+0.01 +19.0 54
2007-05-05 Renova D 1-168.7 1630 1532 62.30% 21.22% 16.49%+1.15 -5.4 62
2007-05-05 @ Rabotnicki D 1-168.7 1532 1630 16.49% 21.22% 62.30%-1.15 +5.4 50
2007-05-06 Bregalnica Shtip W 2-136.0 1214 926 74.85% 18.74% 6.42%+2.27 +3.7 36
2007-05-06 @ Bashkimi L 1-236.0 926 1214 6.42% 18.74% 74.85%-2.27 -3.7 10
2007-05-06 Pelister W 2-036.1 1521 1348 68.25% 20.38% 11.38%+1.60 +13.1 59
2007-05-06 @ Makedonija GP L 0-236.1 1348 1521 11.38% 20.38% 68.25%-1.60 -13.1 42
2007-05-06 Pobeda (1st) L 2-364.7 1487 1502 50.29% 22.01% 27.71%+0.49 -22.4 54
2007-05-06 @ Vardar W 3-264.7 1502 1487 27.71% 22.01% 50.29%-0.49 +22.4 59
2007-05-06 Sileks W 2-038.7 1306 1354 46.17% 22.12% 31.71%+0.30 +32.4 39
2007-05-06 @ Napredok L 0-238.7 1354 1306 31.71% 22.12% 46.17%-0.30 -32.4 32
2007-05-06 Vellazerimi 77 W 4-240.2 1157 984 68.29% 20.37% 11.34%+1.60 +10.1 32
2007-05-06 @ Shkendija L 2-440.2 984 1157 11.34% 20.37% 68.29%-1.60 -10.1 9
2007-05-13 Bashkimi W 2-031.0 1538 1217 76.37% 18.20% 5.43%+2.46 +6.2 53
2007-05-13 @ Renova L 0-231.0 1217 1538 5.43% 18.20% 76.37%-2.46 -6.2 36
2007-05-13 Makedonija GP W 1-050.2 1525 1534 51.06% 21.98% 26.96%+0.53 +15.0 62
2007-05-13 @ Pobeda (1st) L 0-150.2 1534 1525 26.96% 21.98% 51.06%-0.53 -15.0 59
2007-05-13 Napredok W 2-035.4 1464 1338 64.72% 20.93% 14.36%+1.32 +16.3 57
2007-05-13 @ Vardar L 0-235.4 1338 1464 14.36% 20.93% 64.72%-1.32 -16.3 39
2007-05-13 Rabotnicki L 0-241.2 1335 1624 17.14% 21.29% 61.56%-1.12 -19.2 42
2007-05-13 @ Pelister W 2-041.2 1624 1335 61.56% 21.29% 17.14%+1.12 +19.2 65
2007-05-13 Shkendija L 1-241.3 922 1167 21.14% 21.66% 57.20%-0.86 -11.5 10
2007-05-13 @ Bregalnica Shtip W 2-141.3 1167 922 57.20% 21.66% 21.14%+0.86 +11.5 35
2007-05-13 Sileks L 2-537.7 973 1321 12.91% 20.68% 66.41%-1.46 -15.7 9
2007-05-13 @ Vellazerimi 77 W 5-237.7 1321 973 66.41% 20.68% 12.91%+1.46 +15.7 35
2007-05-16 Bregalnica Shtip W 3-025.4 1337 911 80.47% 16.36% 3.17%+3.09 +5.1 38
2007-05-16 @ Sileks L 0-325.4 911 1337 3.17% 16.36% 80.47%-3.09 -5.1 10
2007-05-16 Pelister W 1-042.5 1211 1316 38.27% 22.19% 39.54%-0.03 +20.5 39
2007-05-16 @ Bashkimi L 0-142.5 1316 1211 39.54% 22.19% 38.27%+0.03 -20.5 42
2007-05-16 Pobeda (1st) L 1-269.6 1644 1540 62.87% 21.15% 15.98%+1.19 -29.1 65
2007-05-16 @ Rabotnicki W 2-169.6 1540 1644 15.98% 21.15% 62.87%-1.19 +29.1 65
2007-05-16 Renova W 2-157.1 1179 1544 11.86% 20.48% 67.66%-1.56 +31.3 38
2007-05-16 @ Shkendija L 1-257.1 1544 1179 67.66% 20.48% 11.86%+1.56 -31.3 53
2007-05-16 Vardar D 1-163.1 1519 1480 56.56% 21.70% 21.74%+0.81 -4.0 60
2007-05-16 @ Makedonija GP D 1-163.1 1480 1519 21.74% 21.70% 56.56%-0.81 +4.0 58
2007-05-16 Vellazerimi 77 W 3-133.2 1322 958 78.20% 17.46% 4.35%+2.72 +4.3 42
2007-05-16 @ Napredok L 1-333.2 958 1322 4.35% 17.46% 78.20%-2.72 -4.3 9
2007-05-20 Bashkimi W 5-133.3 1569 1232 77.10% 17.92% 4.98%+2.56 +9.0 68
2007-05-20 @ Pobeda (1st) L 1-533.3 1232 1569 4.98% 17.92% 77.10%-2.56 -9.0 39
2007-05-20 Napredok W 2-142.3 1515 1326 69.30% 20.17% 10.52%+1.69 +6.1 63
2007-05-20 @ Makedonija GP L 1-242.3 1326 1515 10.52% 20.17% 69.30%-1.69 -6.1 42
2007-05-20 Rabotnicki D 0-062.5 1484 1614 34.71% 22.17% 43.12%-0.18 +1.0 59
2007-05-20 @ Vardar D 0-062.5 1614 1484 43.12% 22.17% 34.71%+0.18 -1.0 66
2007-05-20 Shkendija W 2-140.5 1295 1210 61.18% 21.33% 17.49%+1.08 +9.8 45
2007-05-20 @ Pelister L 1-240.5 1210 1295 17.49% 21.33% 61.18%-1.08 -9.8 38
2007-05-20 Sileks W 2-143.0 1513 1342 68.07% 20.41% 11.52%+1.58 +6.6 56
2007-05-20 @ Renova L 1-243.0 1342 1513 11.52% 20.41% 68.07%-1.58 -6.6 38
2007-05-20 Vellazerimi 77 W 2-144.5 906 953 46.18% 22.12% 31.70%+0.30 +16.2 13
2007-05-20 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 1-244.5 953 906 31.70% 22.12% 46.18%-0.30 -16.2 9
2007-05-27 Bregalnica Shtip W 2-027.4 1320 922 79.49% 16.86% 3.66%+2.92 +4.1 45
2007-05-27 @ Napredok L 0-227.4 922 1320 3.66% 16.86% 79.49%-2.92 -4.1 13
2007-05-27 Makedonija GP D 3-377.5 1613 1521 61.85% 21.26% 16.89%+1.12 -3.2 67
2007-05-27 @ Rabotnicki D 3-377.5 1521 1613 16.89% 21.26% 61.85%-1.12 +3.3 64
2007-05-27 Pelister W 2-143.0 1335 1305 55.68% 21.76% 22.56%+0.76 +12.2 41
2007-05-27 @ Sileks L 1-243.0 1305 1335 22.56% 21.76% 55.68%-0.76 -12.2 45
2007-05-27 Pobeda (1st) L 0-233.8 1200 1578 11.16% 20.33% 68.51%-1.63 -12.8 38
2007-05-27 @ Shkendija W 2-033.8 1578 1200 68.51% 20.33% 11.16%+1.63 +12.9 71
2007-05-27 Renova L 0-130.1 937 1519 3.98% 17.15% 78.87%-2.84 -2.4 9
2007-05-27 @ Vellazerimi 77 W 1-030.1 1519 937 78.87% 17.15% 3.98%+2.84 +2.4 59
2007-05-27 Vardar W 4-150.7 1223 1485 19.45% 21.52% 59.03%-0.96 +67.0 42
2007-05-27 @ Bashkimi L 1-450.7 1485 1223 59.03% 21.52% 19.45%+0.96 -67.0 59

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2006-10-15 11.67% @ Bregalnica Shtip 1017 1 Renova 1385 0
2 2007-05-16 11.86% @ Shkendija 1179 2 Renova 1544 1
3 2006-09-24 12.91% Sileks 1368 1 @ Vardar 1516 0
4 2006-09-24 13.72% Pelister 1205 1 @ Vellazerimi 77 1340 0
5 2007-03-04 14.34% Vardar 1460 2 @ Makedonija GP 1587 0
6 2007-05-16 15.98% Pobeda (1st) 1540 2 @ Rabotnicki 1644 1
7 2006-11-11 17.77% @ Pelister 1272 2 Rabotnicki 1554 0
8 2007-05-27 19.45% @ Bashkimi 1223 4 Vardar 1485 1
9 2007-03-11 20.08% @ Napredok 1271 1 Makedonija GP 1527 0
10 2006-12-03 20.63% @ Vellazerimi 77 1066 2 Sileks 1316 1
11 2006-11-11 21.04% Bashkimi 1327 1 @ Sileks 1372 0
12 2006-10-01 22.77% Renova 1310 3 @ Bashkimi 1339 0
13 2006-11-19 22.96% Pelister 1328 2 @ Bashkimi 1355 1
14 2007-04-22 23.06% Sileks 1238 4 @ Bashkimi 1264 1
15 2007-04-22 23.41% Renova 1472 1 @ Vardar 1495 0
16 2006-09-17 25.54% @ Pelister 1179 1 Pobeda (1st) 1382 0
17 2006-10-22 25.66% Pobeda (1st) 1350 3 @ Renova 1352 2
18 2006-08-20 26.80% Shkendija 1360 2 @ Renova 1352 1
19 2006-12-10 27.65% @ Sileks 1290 3 Vardar 1475 2
20 2007-05-06 27.71% Pobeda (1st) 1502 3 @ Vardar 1487 2
21 2006-10-29 27.77% @ Renova 1329 3 Vardar 1513 0
22 2006-08-27 28.91% @ Pelister 1142 2 Bashkimi 1317 0
23 2006-11-05 29.17% @ Bregalnica Shtip 1030 5 Vellazerimi 77 1202 1
24 2006-09-17 31.57% @ Napredok 1082 7 Bregalnica Shtip 1236 0
25 2006-12-03 32.13% Makedonija GP 1533 2 @ Renova 1482 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2006-09-17 141.16 @ Napredok 7 1082 31.57% Bregalnica Shtip 0 1236 46.32% 22.11%
2 2006-10-01 74.93 Renova 3 1310 22.77% @ Bashkimi 0 1339 55.47% 21.77%
3 2006-11-05 72.60 @ Bregalnica Shtip 5 1030 29.17% Vellazerimi 77 1 1202 48.78% 22.05%
4 2006-09-24 70.39 Bashkimi 5 1269 48.98% @ Bregalnica Shtip 0 1094 28.97% 22.05%
5 2006-10-29 68.43 @ Renova 3 1329 27.77% Vardar 0 1513 50.22% 22.01%
6 2007-05-27 67.04 @ Bashkimi 4 1223 19.45% Vardar 1 1485 59.03% 21.52%
7 2007-04-22 62.85 Sileks 4 1238 23.06% @ Bashkimi 1 1264 55.15% 21.79%
8 2007-03-04 59.91 Vardar 2 1460 14.34% @ Makedonija GP 0 1587 64.74% 20.92%
9 2006-11-11 56.39 @ Pelister 2 1272 17.77% Rabotnicki 0 1554 60.87% 21.36%
10 2007-04-15 56.01 @ Napredok 4 1297 49.68% Bashkimi 0 1318 28.29% 22.03%
11 2006-09-10 55.16 @ Vellazerimi 77 3 1281 39.06% Shkendija 0 1380 38.75% 22.19%
12 2006-10-22 53.85 @ Pelister 3 1229 40.24% Shkendija 0 1320 37.58% 22.19%
13 2007-04-29 52.93 @ Sileks 6 1301 61.69% Shkendija 0 1210 17.03% 21.28%
14 2006-09-10 50.25 Rabotnicki 3 1418 43.42% @ Bregalnica Shtip 0 1286 34.42% 22.16%
15 2006-11-05 48.74 @ Bashkimi 6 1278 54.80% Shkendija 1 1255 23.39% 21.81%
16 2006-11-11 46.18 Renova 5 1389 50.06% @ Shkendija 1 1207 27.93% 22.01%
17 2006-08-27 46.13 @ Pelister 2 1142 28.91% Bashkimi 0 1317 49.04% 22.05%
18 2006-12-17 43.64 Shkendija 3 1201 49.05% @ Bregalnica Shtip 0 1026 28.91% 22.05%
19 2006-12-03 43.44 Makedonija GP 2 1533 32.13% @ Renova 0 1482 45.74% 22.13%
20 2007-03-11 42.61 Rabotnicki 2 1579 33.16% @ Vardar 0 1520 44.69% 22.14%
21 2006-10-15 40.23 Rabotnicki 3 1489 51.86% @ Vellazerimi 77 0 1292 26.20% 21.95%
22 2006-08-27 36.35 @ Sileks 3 1352 54.98% Renova 0 1328 23.23% 21.80%
23 2006-12-17 35.93 @ Napredok 2 1231 41.71% Sileks 0 1312 36.11% 22.18%
24 2006-08-27 34.68 @ Makedonija GP 3 1489 56.29% Rabotnicki 0 1453 21.99% 21.72%
25 2006-10-15 33.30 @ Bregalnica Shtip 1 1017 11.67% Renova 0 1385 67.89% 20.44%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-05-27 77.5 @ Rabotnicki 3 1613 61.85% Makedonija GP 3 1521 16.89% 21.26%
2 2007-05-16 69.6 Pobeda (1st) 2 1540 15.98% @ Rabotnicki 1 1644 62.87% 21.15%
3 2006-10-15 69.3 @ Vardar 2 1495 48.18% Makedonija GP 2 1527 29.75% 22.07%
4 2007-05-05 68.7 @ Rabotnicki 1 1630 62.30% Renova 1 1532 16.49% 21.22%
5 2007-05-06 64.7 Pobeda (1st) 3 1502 27.71% @ Vardar 2 1487 50.29% 22.01%
6 2006-10-01 64.2 @ Sileks 3 1401 68.63% Napredok 3 1222 11.07% 20.30%
7 2006-10-21 64.0 @ Rabotnicki 1 1529 56.27% Vardar 1 1493 22.01% 21.72%
8 2006-12-17 63.2 @ Pobeda (1st) 1 1428 32.39% Rabotnicki 1 1575 45.48% 22.13%
9 2007-05-16 63.1 @ Makedonija GP 1 1519 56.56% Vardar 1 1480 21.74% 21.70%
10 2007-05-20 62.5 @ Vardar 0 1484 34.71% Rabotnicki 0 1614 43.12% 22.17%
11 2006-10-25 62.2 @ Shkendija 2 1266 19.15% Makedonija GP 2 1532 59.36% 21.49%
12 2006-09-10 62.1 @ Bashkimi 2 1271 20.43% Makedonija GP 2 1523 57.97% 21.60%
13 2006-11-19 62.0 @ Rabotnicki 3 1497 44.73% Makedonija GP 2 1556 33.13% 22.14%
14 2007-03-04 61.4 @ Bashkimi 2 1338 40.11% Pobeda (1st) 2 1429 37.71% 22.19%
15 2006-12-17 61.3 @ Renova 2 1413 60.62% Bashkimi 2 1334 17.99% 21.38%
16 2007-04-07 60.8 @ Sileks 2 1250 22.86% Vardar 2 1478 55.36% 21.77%
17 2006-11-26 60.7 @ Sileks 2 1316 39.81% Pobeda (1st) 2 1410 38.01% 22.19%
18 2006-11-11 59.6 @ Napredok 2 1222 27.93% Pobeda (1st) 2 1405 50.05% 22.01%
19 2007-03-04 59.5 @ Pelister 2 1322 58.23% Napredok 2 1267 20.18% 21.58%
20 2006-12-10 59.3 @ Makedonija GP 0 1576 66.99% Pobeda (1st) 0 1421 12.42% 20.59%
21 2006-11-26 59.2 @ Makedonija GP 1 1540 70.70% Bashkimi 1 1329 9.42% 19.88%
22 2007-04-01 59.2 @ Vardar 1 1478 59.69% Renova 1 1408 18.84% 21.47%
23 2006-09-24 58.9 @ Napredok 2 1223 43.12% Shkendija 2 1293 34.71% 22.17%
24 2007-04-01 58.7 @ Shkendija 1 1219 9.27% Rabotnicki 1 1634 70.90% 19.83%
25 2007-03-04 58.6 Vardar 2 1460 14.34% @ Makedonija GP 0 1587 64.74% 20.92%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-04-22 23.3 @ Makedonija GP 4 1552 86.02% Bregalnica Shtip 0 932 1.16% 12.82%
2 2007-04-21 23.8 @ Rabotnicki 5 1624 86.12% Vellazerimi 77 0 999 1.14% 12.74%
3 2007-04-04 24.2 @ Renova 4 1413 82.15% Bregalnica Shtip 0 935 2.43% 15.42%
4 2007-03-03 25.0 @ Rabotnicki 5 1574 82.94% Vellazerimi 77 0 1070 2.12% 14.93%
5 2007-04-29 25.4 Rabotnicki 3 1626 82.71% @ Bregalnica Shtip 0 930 2.21% 15.08%
6 2007-05-16 25.4 @ Sileks 3 1337 80.47% Bregalnica Shtip 0 911 3.17% 16.36%
7 2007-03-04 25.5 @ Renova 3 1409 80.48% Bregalnica Shtip 0 983 3.16% 16.35%
8 2006-10-22 25.9 @ Sileks 4 1378 76.69% Bregalnica Shtip 0 1050 5.23% 18.08%
9 2007-04-15 25.9 @ Vardar 10 1475 81.20% Vellazerimi 77 0 1027 2.84% 15.97%
10 2006-11-26 26.0 @ Rabotnicki 8 1513 80.85% Bregalnica Shtip 0 1076 2.99% 16.15%
11 2007-04-18 26.3 Makedonija GP 5 1538 76.53% @ Vellazerimi 77 0 1013 5.33% 18.14%
12 2006-11-11 26.5 @ Makedonija GP 3 1552 81.24% Bregalnica Shtip 0 1103 2.82% 15.94%
13 2007-03-14 26.6 @ Renova 3 1401 77.46% Vellazerimi 77 0 1055 4.77% 17.77%
14 2007-05-27 27.4 @ Napredok 2 1320 79.49% Bregalnica Shtip 0 922 3.66% 16.86%
15 2006-11-11 27.6 @ Vardar 3 1429 75.38% Vellazerimi 77 0 1130 6.06% 18.56%
16 2006-12-17 27.6 Makedonija GP 5 1569 74.52% @ Vellazerimi 77 0 1088 6.63% 18.84%
17 2007-04-01 27.7 Pelister 4 1363 70.41% @ Bregalnica Shtip 0 957 9.65% 19.94%
18 2007-04-18 28.1 Vardar 2 1489 77.70% @ Bregalnica Shtip 0 937 4.63% 17.67%
19 2006-10-29 28.2 @ Pelister 3 1265 71.24% Bregalnica Shtip 0 1045 9.01% 19.75%
20 2007-04-04 28.2 @ Pelister 2 1384 77.49% Vellazerimi 77 0 1038 4.75% 17.76%
21 2006-12-10 28.5 @ Bashkimi 8 1312 73.64% Bregalnica Shtip 1 1048 7.25% 19.11%
22 2007-04-15 29.7 @ Pobeda (1st) 4 1466 83.57% Bregalnica Shtip 1 940 1.90% 14.53%
23 2006-09-10 29.8 @ Vardar 5 1478 79.14% Napredok 1 1089 3.84% 17.02%
24 2007-05-27 30.1 Renova 1 1519 78.87% @ Vellazerimi 77 0 937 3.98% 17.15%
25 2006-11-19 30.3 Vardar 3 1439 65.86% @ Bregalnica Shtip 0 1098 13.38% 20.77%