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2007-08 Macedonian First Football League Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Rabotnicki

79 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Milano Kumanove

17.52 points above expected

66 points · 48.48 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Cementarnica 55

8.30 points below expected

24 points · 32.30 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rabotnicki 33 24 7 2 79 48 11 +37 71.88 +7.12
2 Milano Kumanove 33 21 3 9 66 74 36 +38 48.48 +17.52
3 Pelister 33 17 7 9 58 42 27 +15 48.57 +9.43
4 Vardar 33 12 11 10 47 44 39 +5 53.42 -6.42
5 Renova 33 13 8 12 47 33 33 0 53.31 -6.31
6 Pobeda (1st) 33 12 9 12 45 48 45 +3 51.62 -6.62
7 Makedonija GP 33 13 5 15 44 34 42 -8 46.62 -2.62
8 Napredok 33 11 9 13 42 38 49 -11 39.00 +3.00
9 Sileks 33 10 11 12 41 33 36 -3 43.66 -2.66
10 Bashkimi 33 8 6 19 30 40 63 -23 31.61 -1.61
11 Shkendija 33 7 5 21 26 23 54 -31 29.71 -3.71
12 Cementarnica 55 33 5 9 19 24 24 46 -22 32.30 -8.30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Milano Kumanove 66 48.48 +17.52
2 Pelister 58 48.57 +9.43
3 Rabotnicki 79 71.88 +7.12
4 Napredok 42 39.00 +3.00
5 Bashkimi 30 31.61 -1.61

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Cementarnica 55 24 32.30 -8.30
2 Pobeda (1st) 45 51.62 -6.62
3 Vardar 47 53.42 -6.42
4 Renova 47 53.31 -6.31
5 Shkendija 26 29.71 -3.71

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bashkimi 3 Apr 2 – Apr 13 1 in 294
2 Rabotnicki 8 Sep 15 – Nov 4 1 in 45
3 Pelister 4 Apr 20 – May 4 1 in 30
4 Milano Kumanove 4 Oct 20 – Nov 10 1 in 28
5 Makedonija GP 3 Apr 26 – May 11 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vardar 5 Apr 26 – May 31 1 in 321
2 Shkendija 7 Aug 12 – Sep 30 1 in 107
3 Bashkimi 7 Nov 4 – Mar 1 1 in 101
4 Makedonija GP 3 Sep 2 – Sep 23 1 in 32
5 Pelister 2 Apr 6 – Apr 12 1 in 29

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Milano Kumanove 8 Aug 5 – Sep 30 1 in 449
2 Bashkimi 5 Mar 22 – Apr 13 1 in 164
3 Rabotnicki 27 Aug 7 – Apr 19 1 in 95
4 Vardar 9 Sep 2 – Nov 4 1 in 20
5 Shkendija 4 Nov 11 – Dec 9 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Renova 5 Dec 9 – Mar 16 1 in 22
2 Shkendija 11 Aug 5 – Oct 21 1 in 18
3 Pobeda (1st) 4 Oct 7 – Oct 28 1 in 16
4 Cementarnica 55 9 Sep 30 – Dec 2 1 in 12
5 Bashkimi 11 Nov 4 – Mar 30 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Rabotnicki 1607 76 -23 10 10.5 -0.5
Milano Kumanove 1503 66 +32 9 8.3 +0.7
Pelister 1468 58 +46 10 6.8 +3.2
Renova 1400 47 +13 7 7.1 -0.1
Vardar 1323 47 -133 0 6.9 -6.9
Pobeda (1st) 1392 45 +74 7 5.6 +1.4
Makedonija GP 1354 44 +57 12 7.6 +4.4
Napredok 1328 42 +35 10 6.7 +3.3
Sileks 1366 41 +41 10 7.2 +2.8
Bashkimi 1260 30 -26 4 6.6 -2.6
Cementarnica 55 1172 24 -73 2 5.5 -3.5
Shkendija 1125 23 -43 4 4.4 -0.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BAS C5 MG MK NAP PEL P( RAB REN SHK SIL VAR
Bashkimi —
0-1-2
5.08
1-0-2
2.48
0-1-2
2.48
1-0-2
3.20
1-1-1
1.73
1-0-2
2.40
1-0-2
1.51
0-2-1
2.01
1-0-2
4.21
1-0-2
4.13
1-1-1
2.31
Cementarnica 55
2-1-0
3.22
—
0-0-3
2.33
1-0-2
3.39
1-1-1
4.10
0-0-3
3.22
0-1-2
1.86
0-1-2
1.36
1-0-2
2.94
0-2-1
5.26
0-1-2
2.65
0-2-1
1.91
Makedonija GP
2-0-1
5.84
3-0-0
6.01
—
1-0-2
3.27
2-0-1
5.28
0-0-3
3.61
1-0-2
3.33
0-1-2
1.46
1-0-2
3.56
2-1-0
6.22
0-2-1
4.96
1-1-1
3.19
Milano Kumanove
2-1-0
5.90
2-0-1
4.88
2-0-1
5.07
—
2-0-1
5.43
1-0-2
3.44
2-0-1
4.46
0-0-3
2.03
3-0-0
2.94
3-0-0
6.03
2-1-0
3.84
2-1-0
4.33
Napredok
2-0-1
5.11
1-1-1
4.19
1-0-2
3.03
1-0-2
2.87
—
0-2-1
2.92
1-1-1
3.43
0-1-2
1.93
1-1-1
2.64
2-0-1
5.58
1-2-0
3.07
1-1-1
3.70
Pelister
1-1-1
6.64
3-0-0
5.08
3-0-0
4.72
2-0-1
4.84
1-2-0
5.43
—
1-1-1
4.19
0-2-1
2.01
0-1-2
3.31
2-0-1
6.26
2-0-1
3.91
2-0-1
3.05
Pobeda (1st)
2-0-1
5.93
2-1-0
6.52
2-0-1
4.98
1-0-2
3.86
1-1-1
4.88
1-1-1
4.10
—
1-1-1
3.06
0-1-2
5.06
1-1-1
5.73
1-1-1
5.40
0-2-1
4.52
Rabotnicki
2-0-1
6.92
2-1-0
7.12
2-1-0
6.94
3-0-0
6.32
2-1-0
6.44
1-2-0
6.35
1-1-1
5.28
—
3-0-0
6.25
3-0-0
7.21
3-0-0
6.86
2-1-0
5.35
Renova
1-2-0
6.35
2-0-1
5.38
2-0-1
4.74
0-0-3
5.40
1-1-1
5.69
2-1-0
5.00
2-1-0
3.25
0-0-3
2.10
—
3-0-0
6.47
0-2-1
4.11
0-1-2
3.41
Shkendija
2-0-1
4.09
1-2-0
3.05
0-1-2
2.12
0-0-3
2.34
1-0-2
2.74
1-0-2
2.09
1-1-1
2.62
0-0-3
1.23
0-0-3
1.88
—
0-1-2
3.40
1-0-2
2.61
Sileks
2-0-1
4.18
2-1-0
5.67
1-2-0
3.35
0-1-2
4.48
0-2-1
5.23
1-0-2
4.37
1-1-1
2.90
0-0-3
1.54
1-2-0
4.19
2-1-0
4.90
—
0-1-2
2.70
Vardar
1-1-1
6.02
1-2-0
6.46
1-1-1
5.12
0-1-2
4.01
1-1-1
4.59
1-0-2
5.27
1-2-0
3.78
0-1-2
2.95
2-1-0
4.88
2-0-1
5.74
2-1-0
5.63
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.52 +8.6
Allowed 0.73 -10.2
Differential 0.93 +7.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.62%6.57%3.54%1.26%0.25%34.34%
111.62%10.61%6.57%2.02%2.02%1.26%34.09%
26.57%6.57%1.01%0.51%0.51%—15.15%
33.54%2.02%0.51%—1.52%0.25%7.83%
41.26%2.02%0.51%1.52%—0.25%5.56%
5+0.25%1.26%—0.25%0.25%1.01%3.03%
Total34.34%34.09%15.15%7.83%5.56%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 1.20 +0.00
SD 1.33 1.33 1.84
CV 1.11 1.11 —
Max 9 9 +8
Min -1 -1 -8

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%12.12%9.09%9.09%3.03%—39.39%
16.06%9.09%6.06%3.03%—3.03%27.27%
29.09%—3.03%—3.03%—15.15%
3—3.03%——9.09%—12.12%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+————3.03%—3.03%
Total21.21%27.27%18.18%12.12%18.18%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.91 -0.70
SD 1.34 1.59 1.85
CV 1.11 0.83 —
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%21.21%18.18%3.03%——48.48%
16.06%18.18%9.09%——3.03%36.36%
23.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
33.03%———3.03%—6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%42.42%30.30%3.03%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 1.39 -0.67
SD 0.88 1.12 1.38
CV 1.20 0.80 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%12.12%15.15%3.03%—3.03%42.42%
118.18%6.06%3.03%—6.06%—33.33%
23.03%6.06%————9.09%
39.09%—————9.09%
4—3.03%———3.03%6.06%
5+———————
Total39.39%27.27%18.18%3.03%6.06%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.27 -0.24
SD 1.21 1.48 1.97
CV 1.18 1.17 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%3.03%—6.06%——15.15%
19.09%—9.09%3.03%3.03%—24.24%
23.03%15.15%3.03%3.03%——24.24%
39.09%6.06%————15.15%
49.09%—3.03%———12.12%
5+3.03%6.06%————9.09%
Total39.39%30.30%15.15%12.12%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.24 1.09 +1.15
SD 1.89 1.16 2.48
CV 0.84 1.06 —
Max 9 4 +8
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%12.12%3.03%6.06%——36.36%
16.06%12.12%6.06%3.03%6.06%3.03%36.36%
26.06%9.09%————15.15%
3—3.03%————3.03%
4———6.06%——6.06%
5+———3.03%——3.03%
Total27.27%36.36%9.09%18.18%6.06%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.48 -0.33
SD 1.30 1.39 1.63
CV 1.13 0.94 —
Max 5 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%12.12%—3.03%——24.24%
121.21%12.12%9.09%3.03%——45.45%
26.06%6.06%————12.12%
36.06%3.03%6.06%———15.15%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total45.45%33.33%15.15%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 0.82 +0.45
SD 1.10 0.92 1.48
CV 0.86 1.12 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%6.06%9.09%—6.06%—33.33%
13.03%15.15%6.06%———24.24%
29.09%6.06%——3.03%—18.18%
3————3.03%—3.03%
4—9.09%—6.06%——15.15%
5+—3.03%———3.03%6.06%
Total24.24%39.39%15.15%6.06%12.12%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.33 +0.09
SD 1.58 1.34 1.88
CV 1.11 1.00 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min -1 -1 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.21%3.03%3.03%———27.27%
124.24%—————24.24%
212.12%12.12%————24.24%
39.09%3.03%————12.12%
43.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
5+—————3.03%3.03%
Total69.70%21.21%6.06%——3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 0.30 +1.12
SD 1.35 0.64 1.27
CV 0.95 2.10 —
Max 4 2 +4
Min -1 -1 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%9.09%3.03%9.09%——36.36%
19.09%9.09%9.09%6.06%——33.33%
215.15%9.09%————24.24%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total42.42%30.30%12.12%15.15%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.00 +0.00
SD 0.94 1.09 1.62
CV 0.94 1.09 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%21.21%12.12%3.03%3.03%—42.42%
112.12%12.12%6.06%3.03%6.06%3.03%42.42%
2—3.03%————3.03%
3————3.03%—3.03%
4———3.03%——3.03%
5+—————6.06%6.06%
Total15.15%36.36%18.18%9.09%12.12%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.64 1.58 -0.94
SD 0.99 1.50 1.43
CV 1.56 0.95 —
Max 4 5 +1
Min -1 -1 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%15.15%3.03%—3.03%—33.33%
19.09%21.21%9.09%—3.03%—42.42%
29.09%6.06%—3.03%——18.18%
33.03%—————3.03%
4———3.03%——3.03%
5+———————
Total33.33%42.42%12.12%6.06%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.09 -0.09
SD 0.97 1.13 1.42
CV 0.97 1.03 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%12.12%3.03%———33.33%
115.15%12.12%6.06%3.03%—3.03%39.39%
23.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
3—3.03%———3.03%6.06%
4—6.06%————6.06%
5+—6.06%————6.06%
Total36.36%42.42%12.12%3.03%—6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.18 +0.15
SD 1.55 1.76 2.20
CV 1.17 1.49 —
Max 6 9 +5
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Rabotnicki 1607 79 71.88 +7.12 91.0% 58 61 68 72 76 82 86
Milano Kumanove 1503 66 48.48 +17.52 100.0% 28 35 44 49 53 61 66
Pelister 1468 58 48.57 +9.43 100.0% 35 38 45 49 53 57 58
Renova 1400 47 53.31 -6.31 16.0% 40 42 49 53 58 64 69
Pobeda (1st) 1392 45 51.62 -6.62 19.0% 33 39 47 51 57 63 67
Sileks 1366 41 43.66 -2.66 37.0% 22 31 39 43 48 54 59
Makedonija GP 1354 44 46.62 -2.62 36.0% 33 35 42 47 51 57 60
Napredok 1328 42 39.00 +3.00 69.0% 26 29 34 39 44 51 55
Vardar 1323 47 53.42 -6.42 22.0% 34 42 48 53 59 66 71
Bashkimi 1260 30 31.61 -1.61 46.0% 17 21 27 31 35 41 51
Cementarnica 55 1172 24 32.30 -8.30 12.0% 18 20 27 32 37 42 44
Shkendija 1125 26 29.71 -3.71 30.0% 13 20 25 30 34 41 47

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 23% * Slight Edge: 23% to 31% * Clear Edge: 31% to 38% * Strong Edge: 38% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+41.92%
Strong Edge
59.60%22.73%17.68%
Elo Value
Home Edge
256 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0155.20800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.83 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.61+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.12 * Tight Race: 0.12 to 0.25 * Comfortable: 0.25 to 0.36 * Runaway: 0.36 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.2
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
91%
Rabotnicki, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.39/gm
Runaway
00.380.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.34 * Some Luck: 5.34 to 8.01 * Lucky: 8.01 to 10.68 * Wild Swing: 10.68 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.18 * Close: 1.18 to 1.77 * Off: 1.77 to 2.36 * Way Off: 2.36 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.52 points
Some Luck
06.6717
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Close
01.483
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
Milano Kumanove
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
12.00%
Cementarnica 55
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.9 * Moderate Separation: 1.9 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.3 * Wide Separation: 2.3 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 70.5% * Clear Edge: 70.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 93% * Clear Edge: 93% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 56.5% * Some Drama: 56.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Even
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 134.40
2.09
Moderate Separation
11.92.12.32.75
Interquartile Edge
65%
Slight Edge
50%65%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
94%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
65%
Very Frequent
0%58%100%
Blowouts
Expected
17%
Occasional
0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.43 * Slight Separation: 0.43 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.65 * Near-Lock: 0.65 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 18% * Upset-Prone: 18% to 21% * Very Upset-Prone: 21% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 16.5% * Very Shaky: 16.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.52
Highly Predictable
00.542
Matchup Imbalance
0.52
Lopsided
00.430.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.19
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.40
Weak Carryover
00.410.571
Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Chalky
0%18%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
11%
Solid Favorites
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.21 * Well Above Noise: 0.21 and up.
Probability calibration
0.60
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.05
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.094
Well Within Noise
00.1070.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Rabotnicki91.00%7.00%2.00%—————————
Milano Kumanove1.00%8.00%21.00%12.00%13.00%14.00%12.00%7.00%4.00%2.00%4.00%2.00%
Pelister—7.00%15.00%13.00%17.00%18.00%14.00%9.00%5.00%2.00%——
Vardar2.00%29.00%17.00%14.00%15.00%11.00%6.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%——
Renova4.00%23.00%13.00%25.00%10.00%12.00%6.00%5.00%2.00%———
Pobeda (1st)2.00%21.00%16.00%10.00%14.00%13.00%9.00%9.00%4.00%2.00%——
Makedonija GP—4.00%10.00%9.00%15.00%17.00%17.00%12.00%7.00%8.00%1.00%—
Napredok———5.00%5.00%6.00%14.00%15.00%20.00%20.00%11.00%4.00%
Sileks—1.00%6.00%12.00%11.00%7.00%19.00%19.00%16.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%
Bashkimi—————1.00%1.00%8.00%15.00%18.00%29.00%28.00%
Shkendija—————1.00%1.00%2.00%7.00%16.00%37.00%36.00%
Cementarnica 55——————1.00%11.00%18.00%27.00%14.00%29.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Pelister 93.00% 7.00% —
Pobeda (1st) 94.00% 6.00% —
Rabotnicki 100% — —
Renova 98.00% 2.00% —
Vardar 97.00% 3.00% —
Makedonija GP 84.00% 15.00% 1.00%
Sileks 75.00% 20.00% 5.00%
Milano Kumanove 88.00% 6.00% 6.00%
Napredok 45.00% 40.00% 15.00%
Cementarnica 55 12.00% 45.00% 43.00%
Bashkimi 10.00% 33.00% 57.00%
Shkendija 4.00% 23.00% 73.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2007-08-05 Bashkimi W 3-030.2 1449 1318 68.46% 21.22% 10.32%+1.12 +14.5 3
2007-08-05 @ Makedonija GP L 0-330.2 1318 1449 10.32% 21.22% 68.46%-1.12 -14.5 0
2007-08-05 Milano Kumanove L 1-258.3 1447 1164 77.26% 17.81% 4.93%+1.71 -28.9 0
2007-08-05 @ Renova W 2-158.3 1164 1447 4.93% 17.81% 77.26%-1.71 +28.9 3
2007-08-05 Shkendija D 1-155.3 1294 1260 60.66% 22.91% 16.43%+0.74 -4.3 1
2007-08-05 @ Cementarnica 55 D 1-155.3 1260 1294 16.43% 22.91% 60.66%-0.74 +4.3 1
2007-08-05 Sileks W 1-038.9 1321 1349 54.43% 23.68% 21.90%+0.50 +10.7 3
2007-08-05 @ Pelister L 0-138.9 1349 1321 21.90% 23.68% 54.43%-0.50 -10.7 0
2007-08-07 Napredok W 5-134.1 1388 1336 62.33% 22.63% 15.04%+0.81 +22.8 3
2007-08-07 @ Vardar L 1-534.1 1336 1388 15.04% 22.63% 62.33%-0.81 -22.8 0
2007-08-07 Rabotnicki D 0-058.9 1472 1501 54.31% 23.69% 22.00%+0.49 -3.4 1
2007-08-07 @ Pobeda (1st) D 0-058.9 1501 1472 22.00% 23.69% 54.31%-0.49 +3.4 1
2007-08-12 Cementarnica 55 W 5-137.1 1193 1289 46.14% 24.21% 29.66%+0.23 +40.9 6
2007-08-12 @ Milano Kumanove L 1-537.1 1289 1193 29.66% 24.21% 46.14%-0.23 -40.9 1
2007-08-12 Pelister D 1-155.7 1313 1331 55.51% 23.57% 20.92%+0.54 -3.2 1
2007-08-12 @ Napredok D 1-155.7 1331 1313 20.92% 23.57% 55.51%-0.54 +3.2 4
2007-08-12 Pobeda (1st) W 2-149.2 1463 1469 56.81% 23.43% 19.76%+0.58 +9.2 6
2007-08-12 @ Makedonija GP L 1-249.2 1469 1463 19.76% 23.43% 56.81%-0.58 -9.2 1
2007-08-12 Renova W 3-035.4 1505 1418 65.22% 22.05% 12.73%+0.95 +17.9 4
2007-08-12 @ Rabotnicki L 0-335.4 1418 1505 12.73% 22.05% 65.22%-0.95 -17.9 0
2007-08-12 Sileks L 0-244.6 1304 1338 53.74% 23.74% 22.52%+0.47 -41.8 0
2007-08-12 @ Bashkimi W 2-044.6 1338 1304 22.52% 23.74% 53.74%-0.47 +41.8 3
2007-08-12 Vardar L 0-144.4 1264 1411 39.30% 24.35% 36.35%+0.03 -17.0 1
2007-08-12 @ Shkendija W 1-044.4 1411 1264 36.35% 24.35% 39.30%-0.03 +17.1 6
2007-08-19 Bashkimi W 2-139.1 1460 1262 72.75% 19.80% 7.45%+1.38 +3.6 4
2007-08-19 @ Pobeda (1st) L 1-239.1 1262 1460 7.45% 19.80% 72.75%-1.38 -3.6 0
2007-08-19 Makedonija GP W 2-149.6 1400 1473 49.20% 24.06% 26.74%+0.32 +11.9 3
2007-08-19 @ Renova L 1-249.6 1473 1400 26.74% 24.06% 49.20%-0.32 -11.9 6
2007-08-19 Milano Kumanove D 0-052.4 1428 1233 72.54% 19.88% 7.58%+1.37 -7.3 7
2007-08-19 @ Vardar D 0-052.4 1233 1428 7.58% 19.88% 72.54%-1.37 +7.3 7
2007-08-19 Napredok D 1-156.5 1380 1310 63.83% 22.34% 13.83%+0.88 -4.9 4
2007-08-19 @ Sileks D 1-156.5 1310 1380 13.83% 22.34% 63.83%-0.88 +4.9 2
2007-08-19 Rabotnicki L 0-140.8 1248 1523 23.09% 23.79% 53.11%-0.47 -11.2 1
2007-08-19 @ Cementarnica 55 W 1-040.8 1523 1248 53.11% 23.79% 23.09%+0.47 +11.2 7
2007-08-19 Shkendija W 3-029.0 1334 1247 65.25% 22.04% 12.71%+0.95 +17.8 7
2007-08-19 @ Pelister L 0-329.0 1247 1334 12.71% 22.04% 65.25%-0.95 -17.9 1
2007-08-25 Pelister W 3-035.4 1241 1352 44.17% 24.27% 31.56%+0.17 +39.4 10
2007-08-25 @ Milano Kumanove L 0-335.4 1352 1241 31.56% 24.27% 44.17%-0.17 -39.4 7
2007-08-25 Vardar W 1-041.8 1534 1421 67.22% 21.56% 11.22%+1.05 +5.8 10
2007-08-25 @ Rabotnicki L 0-141.8 1421 1534 11.22% 21.56% 67.22%-1.05 -5.8 7
2007-08-26 Cementarnica 55 W 1-033.3 1461 1237 74.20% 19.22% 6.58%+1.48 +3.3 9
2007-08-26 @ Makedonija GP L 0-133.3 1237 1461 6.58% 19.22% 74.20%-1.48 -3.3 1
2007-08-26 Napredok W 4-137.6 1258 1315 51.15% 23.94% 24.91%+0.39 +27.5 3
2007-08-26 @ Bashkimi L 1-437.6 1315 1258 24.91% 23.94% 51.15%-0.39 -27.5 2
2007-08-26 Renova D 0-055.8 1463 1412 62.28% 22.64% 15.08%+0.81 -5.1 5
2007-08-26 @ Pobeda (1st) D 0-055.8 1412 1463 15.08% 22.64% 62.28%-0.81 +5.1 4
2007-08-26 Sileks L 0-143.8 1229 1375 39.47% 24.35% 36.18%+0.04 -17.1 1
2007-08-26 @ Shkendija W 1-043.8 1375 1229 36.18% 24.35% 39.47%-0.04 +17.1 7
2007-09-02 Bashkimi D 1-157.0 1417 1286 68.50% 21.21% 10.29%+1.12 -5.8 5
2007-09-02 @ Renova D 1-157.0 1286 1417 10.29% 21.21% 68.50%-1.12 +5.8 4
2007-09-02 Makedonija GP W 4-142.4 1415 1464 52.01% 23.88% 24.11%+0.41 +26.7 10
2007-09-02 @ Vardar L 1-442.4 1464 1415 24.11% 23.88% 52.01%-0.41 -26.7 9
2007-09-02 Milano Kumanove D 0-052.0 1392 1280 67.10% 21.59% 11.31%+1.04 -6.2 8
2007-09-02 @ Sileks D 0-052.0 1280 1392 11.31% 21.59% 67.10%-1.04 +6.2 11
2007-09-02 Pobeda (1st) L 0-237.8 1234 1458 28.78% 24.17% 47.05%-0.27 -25.2 1
2007-09-02 @ Cementarnica 55 W 2-037.8 1458 1234 47.05% 24.17% 28.78%+0.27 +25.2 8
2007-09-02 Shkendija W 2-031.3 1287 1212 64.27% 22.25% 13.48%+0.90 +13.0 5
2007-09-02 @ Napredok L 0-231.3 1212 1287 13.48% 22.25% 64.27%-0.90 -13.0 1
2007-09-04 Rabotnicki D 0-054.7 1313 1540 28.49% 24.15% 47.36%-0.28 +1.9 8
2007-09-04 @ Pelister D 0-054.7 1540 1313 47.36% 24.15% 28.49%+0.28 -1.9 11
2007-09-15 Napredok W 3-139.3 1286 1300 55.96% 23.53% 20.52%+0.55 +16.5 14
2007-09-15 @ Milano Kumanove L 1-339.3 1300 1286 20.52% 23.53% 55.96%-0.55 -16.5 5
2007-09-15 Sileks W 4-138.4 1538 1386 69.91% 20.79% 9.30%+1.20 +11.0 14
2007-09-15 @ Rabotnicki L 1-438.4 1386 1538 9.30% 20.79% 69.91%-1.20 -11.0 8
2007-09-16 Cementarnica 55 W 2-029.3 1411 1209 73.02% 19.70% 7.29%+1.40 +7.0 8
2007-09-16 @ Renova L 0-229.3 1209 1411 7.29% 19.70% 73.02%-1.40 -7.0 1
2007-09-16 Pelister L 0-249.6 1437 1315 67.89% 21.38% 10.73%+1.08 -52.0 9
2007-09-16 @ Makedonija GP W 2-049.6 1315 1437 10.73% 21.38% 67.89%-1.08 +52.0 11
2007-09-16 Shkendija W 1-034.4 1292 1199 65.64% 21.95% 12.41%+0.97 +6.4 7
2007-09-16 @ Bashkimi L 0-134.4 1199 1292 12.41% 21.95% 65.64%-0.97 -6.4 1
2007-09-16 Vardar D 0-057.4 1484 1442 61.43% 22.79% 15.79%+0.77 -5.0 9
2007-09-16 @ Pobeda (1st) D 0-057.4 1442 1484 15.79% 22.79% 61.43%-0.77 +5.0 11
2007-09-23 Bashkimi W 3-034.4 1202 1298 46.19% 24.20% 29.61%+0.23 +37.5 4
2007-09-23 @ Cementarnica 55 L 0-334.4 1298 1202 29.61% 24.20% 46.19%-0.23 -37.5 7
2007-09-23 Makedonija GP W 1-039.6 1375 1385 56.30% 23.49% 20.21%+0.56 +10.0 11
2007-09-23 @ Sileks L 0-139.6 1385 1375 20.21% 23.49% 56.30%-0.56 -10.0 9
2007-09-23 Milano Kumanove L 1-346.2 1193 1303 44.36% 24.26% 31.38%+0.18 -30.7 1
2007-09-23 @ Shkendija W 3-146.2 1303 1193 31.38% 24.26% 44.36%-0.18 +30.7 17
2007-09-23 Pobeda (1st) D 1-159.0 1367 1479 44.13% 24.27% 31.60%+0.17 -1.1 12
2007-09-23 @ Pelister D 1-159.0 1479 1367 31.60% 24.27% 44.13%-0.17 +1.1 10
2007-09-23 Renova W 1-040.9 1447 1418 60.17% 22.99% 16.84%+0.72 +8.5 14
2007-09-23 @ Vardar L 0-140.9 1418 1447 16.84% 22.99% 60.17%-0.72 -8.5 8
2007-09-25 Rabotnicki L 0-238.9 1284 1549 24.08% 23.88% 52.04%-0.43 -21.8 5
2007-09-25 @ Napredok W 2-038.9 1549 1284 52.04% 23.88% 24.08%+0.43 +21.8 17
2007-09-30 Milano Kumanove D 2-260.2 1260 1334 49.13% 24.07% 26.80%+0.32 -1.5 8
2007-09-30 @ Bashkimi D 2-260.2 1334 1260 26.80% 24.07% 49.13%-0.32 +1.5 18
2007-09-30 Napredok W 1-034.7 1375 1262 67.22% 21.56% 11.22%+1.05 +5.8 12
2007-09-30 @ Makedonija GP L 0-134.7 1262 1375 11.22% 21.56% 67.22%-1.05 -5.8 5
2007-09-30 Pelister W 1-038.3 1410 1366 61.61% 22.75% 15.64%+0.78 +7.9 11
2007-09-30 @ Renova L 0-138.3 1366 1410 15.64% 22.75% 61.61%-0.78 -7.9 12
2007-09-30 Shkendija W 2-027.7 1571 1162 82.58% 14.76% 2.66%+2.20 +2.3 20
2007-09-30 @ Rabotnicki L 0-227.7 1162 1571 2.66% 14.76% 82.58%-2.20 -2.3 1
2007-09-30 Sileks W 1-039.2 1480 1385 65.85% 21.90% 12.25%+0.98 +6.3 13
2007-09-30 @ Pobeda (1st) L 0-139.2 1385 1480 12.25% 21.90% 65.85%-0.98 -6.3 11
2007-09-30 Vardar D 2-261.1 1239 1455 29.85% 24.21% 45.94%-0.24 +1.1 5
2007-09-30 @ Cementarnica 55 D 2-261.1 1455 1239 45.94% 24.21% 29.85%+0.24 -1.1 15
2007-10-07 Bashkimi W 6-130.1 1454 1259 72.58% 19.86% 7.56%+1.37 +14.1 18
2007-10-07 @ Vardar L 1-630.1 1259 1454 7.56% 19.86% 72.58%-1.37 -14.1 8
2007-10-07 Cementarnica 55 W 2-139.4 1358 1240 67.53% 21.48% 10.99%+1.07 +5.3 15
2007-10-07 @ Pelister L 1-239.4 1240 1358 10.99% 21.48% 67.53%-1.07 -5.3 5
2007-10-07 Makedonija GP D 0-050.3 1160 1381 29.18% 24.19% 46.64%-0.26 +1.7 2
2007-10-07 @ Shkendija D 0-050.3 1381 1160 46.64% 24.19% 29.18%+0.26 -1.7 13
2007-10-07 Pobeda (1st) D 1-156.8 1256 1486 28.13% 24.14% 47.74%-0.29 +1.8 6
2007-10-07 @ Napredok D 1-156.8 1486 1256 47.74% 24.14% 28.13%+0.29 -1.8 14
2007-10-07 Renova D 0-053.4 1378 1418 53.16% 23.79% 23.05%+0.45 -3.1 12
2007-10-07 @ Sileks D 0-053.4 1418 1378 23.05% 23.79% 53.16%-0.45 +3.1 12
2007-10-08 Rabotnicki L 1-250.8 1335 1573 27.16% 24.09% 48.76%-0.32 -12.0 18
2007-10-08 @ Milano Kumanove W 2-150.8 1573 1335 48.76% 24.09% 27.16%+0.32 +12.0 23
2007-10-11 Milano Kumanove W 3-030.9 1379 1323 62.68% 22.56% 14.75%+0.83 +20.5 16
2007-10-11 @ Makedonija GP L 0-330.9 1323 1379 14.75% 22.56% 62.68%-0.83 -20.6 18
2007-10-11 Napredok W 2-139.2 1421 1258 70.60% 20.56% 8.84%+1.24 +4.3 15
2007-10-11 @ Renova L 1-239.2 1258 1421 8.84% 20.56% 70.60%-1.24 -4.3 6
2007-10-11 Pelister W 1-038.1 1468 1363 66.60% 21.72% 11.68%+1.02 +6.0 21
2007-10-11 @ Vardar L 0-138.1 1363 1468 11.68% 21.72% 66.60%-1.02 -6.0 15
2007-10-11 Rabotnicki L 0-433.4 1245 1585 17.02% 23.02% 59.96%-0.72 -30.6 8
2007-10-11 @ Bashkimi W 4-033.4 1585 1245 59.96% 23.02% 17.02%+0.72 +30.6 26
2007-10-11 Shkendija D 1-157.7 1484 1162 79.09% 16.85% 4.06%+1.87 -7.5 15
2007-10-11 @ Pobeda (1st) D 1-157.7 1162 1484 4.06% 16.85% 79.09%-1.87 +7.5 3
2007-10-11 Sileks D 1-155.2 1235 1375 40.20% 24.34% 35.45%+0.06 -0.4 6
2007-10-11 @ Cementarnica 55 D 1-155.2 1375 1235 35.45% 24.34% 40.20%-0.06 +0.4 13
2007-10-20 Makedonija GP W 3-036.2 1616 1400 73.77% 19.40% 6.84%+1.45 +9.5 29
2007-10-20 @ Rabotnicki L 0-336.2 1400 1616 6.84% 19.40% 73.77%-1.45 -9.5 16
2007-10-20 Pobeda (1st) W 4-039.6 1303 1477 35.39% 24.34% 40.27%-0.07 +62.2 21
2007-10-20 @ Milano Kumanove L 0-439.6 1477 1303 40.27% 24.34% 35.39%+0.07 -62.2 15
2007-10-21 Bashkimi W 1-033.6 1357 1214 69.30% 20.98% 9.73%+1.16 +5.0 18
2007-10-21 @ Pelister L 0-133.6 1214 1357 9.73% 20.98% 69.30%-1.16 -5.0 8
2007-10-21 Cementarnica 55 W 2-141.4 1254 1234 59.31% 23.11% 17.58%+0.68 +8.3 9
2007-10-21 @ Napredok L 1-241.4 1234 1254 17.58% 23.11% 59.31%-0.68 -8.3 6
2007-10-21 Renova L 0-235.7 1169 1425 25.08% 23.95% 50.96%-0.39 -22.6 3
2007-10-21 @ Shkendija W 2-035.7 1425 1169 50.96% 23.95% 25.08%+0.39 +22.6 18
2007-10-21 Vardar D 1-159.1 1376 1474 45.91% 24.21% 29.88%+0.22 -1.4 14
2007-10-21 @ Sileks D 1-159.1 1474 1376 29.88% 24.21% 45.91%-0.22 +1.4 22
2007-10-27 Renova W 3-037.3 1365 1448 47.91% 24.13% 27.96%+0.28 +35.8 24
2007-10-27 @ Milano Kumanove L 0-337.3 1448 1365 27.96% 24.13% 47.91%-0.28 -35.8 18
2007-10-28 Cementarnica 55 W 1-039.3 1147 1226 48.33% 24.11% 27.57%+0.30 +12.9 6
2007-10-28 @ Shkendija L 0-139.3 1226 1147 27.57% 24.11% 48.33%-0.30 -12.9 6
2007-10-28 Makedonija GP W 5-457.3 1209 1390 34.43% 24.33% 41.24%-0.10 +15.2 11
2007-10-28 @ Bashkimi L 4-557.3 1390 1209 41.24% 24.33% 34.43%+0.10 -15.2 16
2007-10-28 Pelister L 2-360.2 1374 1362 58.61% 23.21% 18.18%+0.65 -21.5 14
2007-10-28 @ Sileks W 3-260.2 1362 1374 18.18% 23.21% 58.61%-0.65 +21.5 21
2007-10-28 Pobeda (1st) W 4-248.1 1625 1415 73.48% 19.51% 7.01%+1.43 +5.2 32
2007-10-28 @ Rabotnicki L 2-448.1 1415 1625 7.01% 19.51% 73.48%-1.43 -5.2 15
2007-10-28 Vardar D 0-052.1 1262 1475 30.16% 24.22% 45.62%-0.23 +1.5 10
2007-10-28 @ Napredok D 0-052.1 1475 1262 45.62% 24.22% 30.16%+0.23 -1.5 23
2007-11-04 Bashkimi W 4-346.0 1353 1224 68.29% 21.27% 10.44%+1.11 +4.7 17
2007-11-04 @ Sileks L 3-446.0 1224 1353 10.44% 21.27% 68.29%-1.11 -4.7 11
2007-11-04 Makedonija GP W 4-137.3 1409 1375 60.72% 22.90% 16.38%+0.74 +19.1 18
2007-11-04 @ Pobeda (1st) L 1-437.3 1375 1409 16.38% 22.90% 60.72%-0.74 -19.1 16
2007-11-04 Milano Kumanove L 1-247.2 1213 1400 33.59% 24.32% 42.09%-0.13 -14.3 6
2007-11-04 @ Cementarnica 55 W 2-147.2 1400 1213 42.09% 24.32% 33.59%+0.13 +14.2 27
2007-11-04 Napredok D 1-156.4 1384 1264 67.71% 21.43% 10.86%+1.07 -5.7 22
2007-11-04 @ Pelister D 1-156.4 1264 1384 10.86% 21.43% 67.71%-1.07 +5.7 11
2007-11-04 Rabotnicki L 0-151.3 1412 1630 29.51% 24.20% 46.29%-0.25 -13.7 18
2007-11-04 @ Renova W 1-051.3 1630 1412 46.29% 24.20% 29.51%+0.25 +13.7 35
2007-11-04 Shkendija W 4-129.8 1474 1159 78.72% 17.05% 4.23%+1.83 +4.8 26
2007-11-04 @ Vardar L 1-429.8 1159 1474 4.23% 17.05% 78.72%-1.83 -4.8 6
2007-11-10 Vardar W 1-044.8 1415 1479 50.27% 24.00% 25.73%+0.36 +12.2 30
2007-11-10 @ Milano Kumanove L 0-144.8 1479 1415 25.73% 24.00% 50.27%-0.36 -12.2 26
2007-11-11 Cementarnica 55 D 0-057.5 1644 1199 83.90% 13.88% 2.22%+2.34 -9.0 36
2007-11-11 @ Rabotnicki D 0-057.5 1199 1644 2.22% 13.88% 83.90%-2.34 +9.0 7
2007-11-11 Pelister W 1-045.6 1155 1378 28.93% 24.17% 46.90%-0.27 +19.7 9
2007-11-11 @ Shkendija L 0-145.6 1378 1155 46.90% 24.17% 28.93%+0.27 -19.7 22
2007-11-11 Pobeda (1st) L 3-453.5 1220 1428 30.77% 24.25% 44.99%-0.21 -12.3 11
2007-11-11 @ Bashkimi W 4-353.5 1428 1220 44.99% 24.25% 30.77%+0.21 +12.3 21
2007-11-11 Renova W 2-145.6 1356 1398 52.84% 23.82% 23.34%+0.44 +10.6 19
2007-11-11 @ Makedonija GP L 1-245.6 1398 1356 23.34% 23.82% 52.84%-0.44 -10.6 18
2007-11-11 Sileks W 2-145.7 1269 1357 47.24% 24.16% 28.60%+0.26 +12.5 14
2007-11-11 @ Napredok L 1-245.7 1357 1269 28.60% 24.16% 47.24%-0.26 -12.6 17
2007-11-24 Rabotnicki D 0-063.3 1466 1635 36.18% 24.35% 39.47%-0.05 +0.3 27
2007-11-24 @ Vardar D 0-063.3 1635 1466 39.47% 24.35% 36.18%+0.05 -0.3 37
2007-11-25 Bashkimi W 2-031.3 1282 1207 64.21% 22.27% 13.53%+0.90 +13.0 17
2007-11-25 @ Napredok L 0-231.3 1207 1282 13.53% 22.27% 64.21%-0.90 -13.0 11
2007-11-25 Makedonija GP L 0-143.0 1208 1367 37.58% 24.36% 38.07%-0.01 -16.5 7
2007-11-25 @ Cementarnica 55 W 1-043.0 1367 1208 38.07% 24.36% 37.58%+0.01 +16.5 22
2007-11-25 Milano Kumanove W 3-036.2 1358 1427 49.68% 24.04% 26.29%+0.34 +34.1 25
2007-11-25 @ Pelister L 0-336.2 1427 1358 26.29% 24.04% 49.68%-0.34 -34.1 30
2007-11-25 Pobeda (1st) W 2-039.0 1387 1441 51.54% 23.91% 24.54%+0.40 +22.2 21
2007-11-25 @ Renova L 0-239.0 1441 1387 24.54% 23.91% 51.54%-0.40 -22.2 21
2007-11-25 Shkendija D 1-155.9 1345 1174 71.08% 20.40% 8.51%+1.27 -6.3 18
2007-11-25 @ Sileks D 1-155.9 1174 1345 8.51% 20.40% 71.08%-1.27 +6.3 10
2007-12-02 Cementarnica 55 W 4-344.4 1419 1191 74.39% 19.14% 6.47%+1.49 +2.9 24
2007-12-02 @ Pobeda (1st) L 3-444.4 1191 1419 6.47% 19.14% 74.39%-1.49 -2.8 7
2007-12-02 Napredok W 2-146.0 1181 1295 43.82% 24.28% 31.90%+0.16 +13.7 13
2007-12-02 @ Shkendija L 1-246.0 1295 1181 31.90% 24.28% 43.82%-0.16 -13.7 17
2007-12-02 Pelister W 1-042.1 1635 1392 75.21% 18.78% 6.01%+1.55 +3.0 40
2007-12-02 @ Rabotnicki L 0-142.1 1392 1635 6.01% 18.78% 75.21%-1.55 -3.0 25
2007-12-02 Renova L 1-342.4 1194 1410 29.92% 24.22% 45.86%-0.23 -22.6 11
2007-12-02 @ Bashkimi W 3-142.4 1410 1194 45.86% 24.22% 29.92%+0.23 +22.5 24
2007-12-02 Sileks W 4-030.7 1393 1339 62.52% 22.59% 14.88%+0.82 +27.1 33
2007-12-02 @ Milano Kumanove L 0-430.7 1339 1393 14.88% 22.59% 62.52%-0.82 -27.1 18
2007-12-02 Vardar D 1-159.1 1383 1467 47.82% 24.13% 28.05%+0.28 -1.8 23
2007-12-02 @ Makedonija GP D 1-159.1 1467 1383 28.05% 24.13% 47.82%-0.28 +1.8 28
2007-12-09 Bashkimi W 1-035.9 1194 1172 59.62% 23.07% 17.31%+0.69 +8.7 16
2007-12-09 @ Shkendija L 0-135.9 1172 1194 17.31% 23.07% 59.62%-0.69 -8.7 11
2007-12-09 Makedonija GP W 1-039.2 1389 1381 58.20% 23.26% 18.54%+0.64 +9.2 28
2007-12-09 @ Pelister L 0-139.2 1381 1389 18.54% 23.26% 58.20%-0.64 -9.2 23
2007-12-09 Milano Kumanove W 2-148.6 1281 1420 40.41% 24.34% 35.25%+0.06 +14.8 20
2007-12-09 @ Napredok L 1-248.6 1420 1281 35.25% 24.34% 40.41%-0.06 -14.8 33
2007-12-09 Pobeda (1st) D 0-056.2 1469 1421 61.88% 22.71% 15.41%+0.79 -5.0 29
2007-12-09 @ Vardar D 0-056.2 1421 1469 15.41% 22.71% 61.88%-0.79 +5.0 25
2007-12-09 Rabotnicki L 1-249.3 1311 1638 18.17% 23.21% 58.62%-0.67 -8.5 18
2007-12-09 @ Sileks W 2-149.3 1638 1311 58.62% 23.21% 18.17%+0.67 +8.6 43
2007-12-09 Renova W 1-046.8 1189 1432 26.49% 24.05% 49.47%-0.35 +20.6 10
2007-12-09 @ Cementarnica 55 L 0-146.8 1432 1189 49.47% 24.05% 26.49%+0.35 -20.6 24
2007-12-16 Cementarnica 55 L 0-243.1 1163 1209 52.38% 23.85% 23.77%+0.43 -40.9 11
2007-12-16 @ Bashkimi W 2-043.1 1209 1163 23.77% 23.85% 52.38%-0.43 +40.9 13
2007-12-16 Napredok W 3-031.5 1646 1296 80.28% 16.17% 3.55%+1.97 +4.6 46
2007-12-16 @ Rabotnicki L 0-331.5 1296 1646 3.55% 16.17% 80.28%-1.97 -4.6 20
2007-12-16 Pelister W 2-145.0 1426 1399 60.13% 22.99% 16.88%+0.72 +8.0 28
2007-12-16 @ Pobeda (1st) L 1-245.0 1399 1426 16.88% 22.99% 60.13%-0.72 -8.0 28
2007-12-16 Shkendija W 1-032.8 1405 1203 72.99% 19.71% 7.30%+1.40 +3.7 36
2007-12-16 @ Milano Kumanove L 0-132.8 1203 1405 7.30% 19.71% 72.99%-1.40 -3.7 16
2007-12-16 Sileks D 1-156.4 1372 1303 63.78% 22.35% 13.86%+0.88 -4.9 24
2007-12-16 @ Makedonija GP D 1-156.4 1303 1372 13.86% 22.35% 63.78%-0.88 +4.9 19
2007-12-16 Vardar D 0-055.4 1412 1463 51.70% 23.90% 24.39%+0.40 -2.8 25
2007-12-16 @ Renova D 0-055.4 1463 1412 24.39% 23.90% 51.70%-0.40 +2.8 30
2008-03-01 Bashkimi W 4-236.0 1409 1122 77.43% 17.73% 4.84%+1.73 +3.5 39
2008-03-01 @ Milano Kumanove L 2-436.0 1122 1409 4.84% 17.73% 77.43%-1.73 -3.5 11
2008-03-02 Cementarnica 55 W 1-033.6 1466 1250 73.79% 19.39% 6.82%+1.45 +3.5 33
2008-03-02 @ Vardar L 0-133.6 1250 1466 6.82% 19.39% 73.79%-1.45 -3.5 13
2008-03-02 Makedonija GP W 1-040.4 1291 1367 48.79% 24.09% 27.13%+0.31 +12.8 23
2008-03-02 @ Napredok L 0-140.4 1367 1291 27.13% 24.09% 48.79%-0.31 -12.8 24
2008-03-02 Pobeda (1st) W 1-043.5 1308 1434 42.10% 24.32% 33.58%+0.11 +15.1 22
2008-03-02 @ Sileks L 0-143.5 1434 1308 33.58% 24.32% 42.10%-0.11 -15.1 28
2008-03-02 Rabotnicki L 1-243.0 1199 1651 9.98% 21.09% 68.93%-1.16 -4.8 16
2008-03-02 @ Shkendija W 2-143.0 1651 1199 68.93% 21.09% 9.98%+1.16 +4.8 49
2008-03-02 Renova D 1-158.0 1391 1409 55.49% 23.57% 20.94%+0.53 -3.2 29
2008-03-02 @ Pelister D 1-158.0 1409 1391 20.94% 23.57% 55.49%-0.53 +3.2 26
2008-03-08 Milano Kumanove W 1-043.6 1656 1412 75.26% 18.76% 5.98%+1.56 +3.0 52
2008-03-08 @ Rabotnicki L 0-143.6 1412 1656 5.98% 18.76% 75.26%-1.56 -3.0 39
2008-03-09 Napredok W 4-134.2 1419 1304 67.37% 21.52% 11.11%+1.06 +13.2 31
2008-03-09 @ Pobeda (1st) L 1-434.2 1304 1419 11.11% 21.52% 67.37%-1.06 -13.2 23
2008-03-09 Pelister L 0-144.2 1247 1387 40.15% 24.34% 35.50%+0.06 -17.3 13
2008-03-09 @ Cementarnica 55 W 1-044.2 1387 1247 35.50% 24.34% 40.15%-0.06 +17.3 32
2008-03-09 Shkendija W 4-131.7 1354 1195 70.42% 20.62% 8.96%+1.23 +10.6 27
2008-03-09 @ Makedonija GP L 1-431.7 1195 1354 8.96% 20.62% 70.42%-1.23 -10.6 16
2008-03-09 Sileks D 1-157.3 1412 1323 65.39% 22.01% 12.60%+0.95 -5.2 27
2008-03-09 @ Renova D 1-157.3 1323 1412 12.60% 22.01% 65.39%-0.95 +5.2 23
2008-03-09 Vardar D 1-155.5 1119 1470 16.17% 22.86% 60.97%-0.76 +4.3 12
2008-03-09 @ Bashkimi D 1-155.5 1470 1119 60.97% 22.86% 16.17%+0.76 -4.3 34
2008-03-15 Bashkimi W 1-030.9 1659 1123 86.80% 11.80% 1.40%+2.70 +0.6 55
2008-03-15 @ Rabotnicki L 0-130.9 1123 1659 1.40% 11.80% 86.80%-2.70 -0.6 12
2008-03-16 Pobeda (1st) FW48.3 1184 1433 25.90% 24.01% 50.09%-0.36 +0.0 19
2008-03-16 @ Shkendija FL48.3 1433 1184 50.09% 24.01% 25.90%+0.36 +0.0 31
2008-03-16 Cementarnica 55 W 2-031.0 1328 1229 66.14% 21.83% 12.03%+0.99 +11.7 26
2008-03-16 @ Sileks L 0-231.0 1229 1328 12.03% 21.83% 66.14%-0.99 -11.6 13
2008-03-16 Makedonija GP W 5-032.0 1409 1365 61.64% 22.75% 15.61%+0.78 +34.9 42
2008-03-16 @ Milano Kumanove L 0-532.0 1365 1409 15.61% 22.75% 61.64%-0.78 -34.9 27
2008-03-16 Renova W 3-144.0 1291 1407 43.57% 24.29% 32.15%+0.15 +23.9 26
2008-03-16 @ Napredok L 1-344.0 1407 1291 32.15% 24.29% 43.57%-0.15 -23.9 27
2008-03-16 Vardar W 2-149.0 1405 1465 50.64% 23.98% 25.38%+0.37 +11.4 35
2008-03-16 @ Pelister L 1-249.0 1465 1405 25.38% 23.98% 50.64%-0.37 -11.4 34
2008-03-22 Milano Kumanove W 4-141.0 1433 1444 56.18% 23.50% 20.32%+0.56 +23.1 34
2008-03-22 @ Pobeda (1st) L 1-441.0 1444 1433 20.32% 23.50% 56.18%-0.56 -23.1 42
2008-03-22 Napredok D 0-050.3 1218 1315 46.09% 24.21% 29.71%+0.23 -1.6 14
2008-03-22 @ Cementarnica 55 D 0-050.3 1315 1218 29.71% 24.21% 46.09%-0.23 +1.6 27
2008-03-22 Pelister D 0-050.5 1123 1416 21.16% 23.60% 55.24%-0.54 +3.6 13
2008-03-22 @ Bashkimi D 0-050.5 1416 1123 55.24% 23.60% 21.16%+0.54 -3.6 36
2008-03-22 Rabotnicki D 0-059.6 1330 1659 17.93% 23.17% 58.91%-0.68 +4.4 28
2008-03-22 @ Makedonija GP D 0-059.6 1659 1330 58.91% 23.17% 17.93%+0.68 -4.4 56
2008-03-22 Shkendija W 1-032.5 1383 1184 72.82% 19.77% 7.41%+1.38 +3.8 30
2008-03-22 @ Renova L 0-132.5 1184 1383 7.41% 19.77% 72.82%-1.38 -3.8 19
2008-03-22 Sileks W 1-037.0 1454 1340 67.29% 21.54% 11.17%+1.05 +5.8 37
2008-03-22 @ Vardar L 0-137.0 1340 1454 11.17% 21.54% 67.29%-1.05 -5.7 26
2008-03-29 Makedonija GP W 1-039.6 1655 1335 78.99% 16.91% 4.11%+1.86 +2.0 59
2008-03-29 @ Rabotnicki L 0-139.6 1335 1655 4.11% 16.91% 78.99%-1.86 -2.0 28
2008-03-29 Napredok W 3-030.2 1421 1316 66.59% 21.72% 11.69%+1.02 +16.4 45
2008-03-29 @ Milano Kumanove L 0-330.2 1316 1421 11.69% 21.72% 66.59%-1.02 -16.4 27
2008-03-30 Bashkimi D 0-051.9 1387 1126 76.15% 18.35% 5.50%+1.62 -8.0 31
2008-03-30 @ Renova D 0-051.9 1126 1387 5.50% 18.35% 76.15%-1.62 +8.0 14
2008-03-30 Cementarnica 55 D 1-157.4 1456 1216 75.07% 18.84% 6.09%+1.54 -7.0 35
2008-03-30 @ Pobeda (1st) D 1-157.4 1216 1456 6.09% 18.84% 75.07%-1.54 +7.0 15
2008-03-30 Shkendija W 1-032.1 1412 1180 74.68% 19.01% 6.31%+1.51 +3.2 39
2008-03-30 @ Pelister L 0-132.1 1180 1412 6.31% 19.01% 74.68%-1.51 -3.2 19
2008-03-30 Sileks W 2-141.8 1460 1334 68.11% 21.32% 10.56%+1.10 +5.1 40
2008-03-30 @ Vardar L 1-241.8 1334 1460 10.56% 21.32% 68.11%-1.10 -5.1 26
2008-04-02 Milano Kumanove L 0-147.2 1329 1438 44.55% 24.26% 31.20%+0.18 -18.8 26
2008-04-02 @ Sileks W 1-047.2 1438 1329 31.20% 24.26% 44.55%-0.18 +18.9 48
2008-04-02 Pelister L 0-142.0 1223 1416 32.87% 24.30% 42.83%-0.15 -14.9 15
2008-04-02 @ Cementarnica 55 W 1-042.0 1416 1223 42.83% 24.30% 32.87%+0.15 +14.9 42
2008-04-02 Pobeda (1st) W 2-045.2 1134 1449 19.19% 23.35% 57.46%-0.62 +44.5 17
2008-04-02 @ Bashkimi L 0-245.2 1449 1134 57.46% 23.35% 19.19%+0.62 -44.5 35
2008-04-02 Rabotnicki D 0-058.5 1300 1657 15.71% 22.77% 61.52%-0.79 +5.0 28
2008-04-02 @ Napredok D 0-058.5 1657 1300 61.52% 22.77% 15.71%+0.79 -5.0 60
2008-04-02 Vardar W 1-048.4 1177 1465 21.71% 23.66% 54.64%-0.52 +22.5 22
2008-04-02 @ Shkendija L 0-148.4 1465 1177 54.64% 23.66% 21.71%+0.52 -22.5 40
2008-04-03 Makedonija GP W 2-033.6 1379 1333 61.80% 22.72% 15.48%+0.79 +14.8 34
2008-04-03 @ Renova L 0-233.6 1333 1379 15.48% 22.72% 61.80%-0.79 -14.8 28
2008-04-05 Napredok W 1-037.2 1318 1305 58.69% 23.20% 18.11%+0.66 +9.0 31
2008-04-05 @ Makedonija GP L 0-137.2 1305 1318 18.11% 23.20% 58.69%-0.66 -9.0 28
2008-04-05 Shkendija W 4-025.7 1456 1199 75.97% 18.44% 5.60%+1.61 +10.0 51
2008-04-05 @ Milano Kumanove L 0-425.7 1199 1456 5.60% 18.44% 75.97%-1.61 -10.0 22
2008-04-05 Sileks W 1-038.3 1652 1310 79.93% 16.38% 3.69%+1.94 +1.8 63
2008-04-05 @ Rabotnicki L 0-138.3 1310 1652 3.69% 16.38% 79.93%-1.94 -1.8 26
2008-04-06 Bashkimi L 1-354.5 1430 1179 75.71% 18.56% 5.73%+1.59 -49.4 42
2008-04-06 @ Pelister W 3-154.5 1179 1430 5.73% 18.56% 75.71%-1.59 +49.4 20
2008-04-06 Cementarnica 55 D 1-157.1 1442 1208 74.78% 18.97% 6.25%+1.52 -6.9 41
2008-04-06 @ Vardar D 1-157.1 1208 1442 6.25% 18.97% 74.78%-1.52 +6.9 16
2008-04-06 Renova L 0-151.8 1404 1394 58.47% 23.23% 18.31%+0.65 -24.0 35
2008-04-06 @ Pobeda (1st) W 1-051.8 1394 1404 18.31% 23.23% 58.47%-0.65 +24.0 37
2008-04-12 Pelister W 2-144.1 1418 1381 60.92% 22.87% 16.21%+0.75 +7.7 40
2008-04-12 @ Renova L 1-244.1 1381 1418 16.21% 22.87% 60.92%-0.75 -7.7 42
2008-04-13 Rabotnicki FL52.9 1189 1654 9.38% 20.83% 69.79%-1.21 +0.0 22
2008-04-13 @ Shkendija FW52.9 1654 1189 69.79% 20.83% 9.38%+1.21 +0.0 66
2008-04-13 Makedonija GP W 2-033.4 1380 1327 62.44% 22.61% 14.95%+0.81 +14.3 38
2008-04-13 @ Pobeda (1st) L 0-233.4 1327 1380 14.95% 22.61% 62.44%-0.81 -14.3 31
2008-04-13 Milano Kumanove W 2-152.8 1215 1466 25.59% 23.99% 50.42%-0.38 +19.8 19
2008-04-13 @ Cementarnica 55 L 1-252.8 1466 1215 50.42% 23.99% 25.59%+0.38 -19.8 51
2008-04-13 Napredok D 0-051.0 1308 1296 58.65% 23.20% 18.15%+0.65 -4.3 27
2008-04-13 @ Sileks D 0-051.0 1296 1308 18.15% 23.20% 58.65%-0.65 +4.3 29
2008-04-13 Vardar W 2-042.3 1228 1435 30.91% 24.25% 44.83%-0.20 +35.7 23
2008-04-13 @ Bashkimi L 0-242.3 1435 1228 44.83% 24.25% 30.91%+0.20 -35.7 41
2008-04-19 Bashkimi W 2-139.2 1447 1264 71.86% 20.13% 8.01%+1.32 +3.9 54
2008-04-19 @ Milano Kumanove L 1-239.2 1264 1447 8.01% 20.13% 71.86%-1.32 -3.9 23
2008-04-19 Cementarnica 55 W 2-031.3 1654 1235 82.97% 14.51% 2.52%+2.24 +2.2 69
2008-04-19 @ Rabotnicki L 0-231.3 1235 1654 2.52% 14.51% 82.97%-2.24 -2.2 19
2008-04-20 Pobeda (1st) W 4-033.5 1373 1395 55.17% 23.61% 21.22%+0.52 +37.2 45
2008-04-20 @ Pelister L 0-433.5 1395 1373 21.22% 23.61% 55.17%-0.52 -37.2 38
2008-04-20 Renova W 3-143.0 1400 1425 54.69% 23.65% 21.65%+0.51 +17.3 44
2008-04-20 @ Vardar L 1-343.0 1425 1400 21.65% 23.65% 54.69%-0.51 -17.3 40
2008-04-20 Shkendija W 4-346.0 1300 1189 67.03% 21.61% 11.36%+1.04 +5.1 32
2008-04-20 @ Napredok L 3-446.0 1189 1300 11.36% 21.61% 67.03%-1.04 -5.1 22
2008-04-20 Sileks D 0-051.0 1313 1304 58.26% 23.25% 18.49%+0.64 -4.2 32
2008-04-20 @ Makedonija GP D 0-051.0 1304 1313 18.49% 23.25% 58.26%-0.64 +4.2 28
2008-04-23 Makedonija GP W 2-032.3 1411 1308 66.40% 21.77% 11.83%+1.01 +11.5 48
2008-04-23 @ Pelister L 0-232.3 1308 1411 11.83% 21.77% 66.40%-1.01 -11.5 32
2008-04-23 Milano Kumanove L 1-256.9 1408 1451 52.78% 23.82% 23.40%+0.44 -20.6 40
2008-04-23 @ Renova W 2-156.9 1451 1408 23.40% 23.82% 52.78%-0.44 +20.6 57
2008-04-23 Napredok W 1-039.5 1233 1305 49.20% 24.06% 26.74%+0.32 +12.6 22
2008-04-23 @ Cementarnica 55 L 0-139.5 1305 1233 26.74% 24.06% 49.20%-0.32 -12.6 32
2008-04-23 Rabotnicki W 1-056.7 1260 1656 13.03% 22.13% 64.83%-0.94 +26.4 26
2008-04-23 @ Bashkimi L 0-156.7 1656 1260 64.83% 22.13% 13.03%+0.94 -26.4 69
2008-04-23 Sileks L 1-249.2 1184 1308 42.49% 24.31% 33.20%+0.12 -17.1 22
2008-04-23 @ Shkendija W 2-149.2 1308 1184 33.20% 24.31% 42.49%-0.12 +17.1 31
2008-04-23 Vardar L 0-245.6 1357 1417 50.78% 23.97% 25.25%+0.37 -39.8 38
2008-04-23 @ Pobeda (1st) W 2-045.6 1417 1357 25.25% 23.97% 50.78%-0.37 +39.8 47
2008-04-26 Bashkimi W 1-037.1 1293 1286 58.04% 23.28% 18.68%+0.63 +9.3 35
2008-04-26 @ Napredok L 0-137.1 1286 1293 18.68% 23.28% 58.04%-0.63 -9.3 26
2008-04-26 Cementarnica 55 W 2-031.5 1325 1245 64.67% 22.17% 13.16%+0.92 +12.7 34
2008-04-26 @ Sileks L 0-231.5 1245 1325 13.16% 22.17% 64.67%-0.92 -12.7 22
2008-04-26 Pelister L 1-356.0 1457 1422 60.76% 22.89% 16.34%+0.74 -40.6 47
2008-04-26 @ Vardar W 3-156.0 1422 1457 16.34% 22.89% 60.76%-0.74 +40.6 51
2008-04-26 Pobeda (1st) W 2-141.2 1471 1318 70.00% 20.76% 9.24%+1.21 +4.5 60
2008-04-26 @ Milano Kumanove L 1-241.2 1318 1471 9.24% 20.76% 70.00%-1.21 -4.5 38
2008-04-26 Renova W 2-038.2 1630 1387 75.20% 18.79% 6.02%+1.55 +5.7 72
2008-04-26 @ Rabotnicki L 0-238.2 1387 1630 6.02% 18.79% 75.20%-1.55 -5.7 40
2008-04-26 Shkendija W 1-033.5 1297 1167 68.38% 21.25% 10.37%+1.11 +5.3 35
2008-04-26 @ Makedonija GP L 0-133.5 1167 1297 10.37% 21.25% 68.38%-1.11 -5.3 22
2008-05-03 Makedonija GP L 0-152.5 1416 1302 67.27% 21.55% 11.18%+1.05 -27.4 47
2008-05-03 @ Vardar W 1-052.5 1302 1416 11.18% 21.55% 67.27%-1.05 +27.4 38
2008-05-03 Rabotnicki W 2-052.6 1313 1635 18.53% 23.26% 58.21%-0.65 +45.0 41
2008-05-03 @ Pobeda (1st) L 0-252.6 1635 1313 58.21% 23.26% 18.53%+0.65 -45.0 72
2008-05-04 Milano Kumanove W 3-254.1 1463 1476 56.05% 23.52% 20.43%+0.56 +9.0 54
2008-05-04 @ Pelister L 2-354.1 1476 1463 20.43% 23.52% 56.05%-0.56 -9.0 60
2008-05-04 Napredok D 0-052.0 1382 1302 64.65% 22.17% 13.18%+0.92 -5.7 41
2008-05-04 @ Renova D 0-052.0 1302 1382 13.18% 22.17% 64.65%-0.92 +5.7 36
2008-05-04 Shkendija D 1-155.0 1233 1162 63.90% 22.33% 13.77%+0.88 -4.9 23
2008-05-04 @ Cementarnica 55 D 1-155.0 1162 1233 13.77% 22.33% 63.90%-0.88 +4.9 23
2008-05-04 Sileks W 2-036.0 1277 1338 50.61% 23.98% 25.41%+0.37 +22.8 29
2008-05-04 @ Bashkimi L 0-236.0 1338 1277 25.41% 23.98% 50.61%-0.37 -22.8 34
2008-05-11 Bashkimi W 4-353.7 1167 1300 41.23% 24.33% 34.43%+0.09 +13.5 26
2008-05-11 @ Shkendija L 3-453.7 1300 1167 34.43% 24.33% 41.23%-0.09 -13.5 29
2008-05-11 Cementarnica 55 W 2-030.9 1330 1228 66.37% 21.78% 11.85%+1.00 +11.5 41
2008-05-11 @ Makedonija GP L 0-230.9 1228 1330 11.85% 21.78% 66.37%-1.00 -11.5 23
2008-05-11 Pelister D 0-062.8 1590 1472 67.60% 21.46% 10.94%+1.07 -6.3 73
2008-05-11 @ Rabotnicki D 0-062.8 1472 1590 10.94% 21.46% 67.60%-1.07 +6.3 55
2008-05-11 Pobeda (1st) W 4-351.6 1308 1358 51.85% 23.89% 24.25%+0.41 +10.2 39
2008-05-11 @ Napredok L 3-451.6 1358 1308 24.25% 23.89% 51.85%-0.41 -10.2 41
2008-05-11 Renova W 3-034.4 1315 1376 50.63% 23.98% 25.39%+0.37 +33.1 37
2008-05-11 @ Sileks L 0-334.4 1376 1315 25.39% 23.98% 50.63%-0.37 -33.1 41
2008-05-11 Vardar W 9-135.5 1467 1389 64.49% 22.21% 13.30%+0.91 +38.5 63
2008-05-11 @ Milano Kumanove L 1-935.5 1389 1467 13.30% 22.21% 64.49%-0.91 -38.5 47
2008-05-18 Cementarnica 55 D 1-155.2 1286 1216 63.87% 22.34% 13.80%+0.88 -4.9 30
2008-05-18 @ Bashkimi D 1-155.2 1216 1286 13.80% 22.34% 63.87%-0.88 +4.9 24
2008-05-18 Makedonija GP W 2-033.7 1505 1341 70.69% 20.54% 8.78%+1.25 +8.5 66
2008-05-18 @ Milano Kumanove L 0-233.7 1341 1505 8.78% 20.54% 70.69%-1.25 -8.5 41
2008-05-18 Napredok W 1-036.1 1478 1318 70.44% 20.62% 8.94%+1.23 +4.6 58
2008-05-18 @ Pelister L 0-136.1 1318 1478 8.94% 20.62% 70.44%-1.23 -4.6 39
2008-05-18 Rabotnicki L 1-251.9 1350 1584 27.66% 24.11% 48.22%-0.31 -12.2 47
2008-05-18 @ Vardar W 2-151.9 1584 1350 48.22% 24.11% 27.66%+0.31 +12.2 76
2008-05-18 Shkendija W 2-029.5 1343 1180 70.59% 20.57% 8.84%+1.24 +8.5 44
2008-05-18 @ Renova L 0-229.5 1180 1343 8.84% 20.57% 70.59%-1.24 -8.6 26
2008-05-18 Sileks D 1-156.3 1348 1348 57.37% 23.37% 19.27%+0.61 -3.6 42
2008-05-18 @ Pobeda (1st) D 1-156.3 1348 1348 19.27% 23.37% 57.37%-0.61 +3.6 38
2008-05-31 Bashkimi W 3-030.1 1332 1281 62.24% 22.65% 15.12%+0.81 +21.0 44
2008-05-31 @ Makedonija GP L 0-330.1 1281 1332 15.12% 22.65% 62.24%-0.81 -21.0 30
2008-05-31 Milano Kumanove W 3-149.6 1596 1514 64.86% 22.13% 13.01%+0.93 +10.9 79
2008-05-31 @ Rabotnicki L 1-349.6 1514 1596 13.01% 22.13% 64.86%-0.93 -10.9 66
2008-05-31 Pelister W 2-150.8 1352 1483 41.55% 24.33% 34.12%+0.10 +14.4 41
2008-05-31 @ Sileks L 1-250.8 1483 1352 34.12% 24.33% 41.55%-0.10 -14.4 58
2008-05-31 Pobeda (1st) L 1-539.0 1172 1344 35.60% 24.35% 40.05%-0.07 -47.1 26
2008-05-31 @ Shkendija W 5-139.0 1344 1172 40.05% 24.35% 35.60%+0.07 +47.1 45
2008-05-31 Renova L 0-338.3 1221 1351 41.58% 24.33% 34.10%+0.10 -48.8 24
2008-05-31 @ Cementarnica 55 W 3-038.3 1351 1221 34.10% 24.33% 41.58%-0.10 +48.8 47
2008-05-31 Vardar W 5-345.2 1313 1338 54.77% 23.65% 21.59%+0.51 +14.6 42
2008-05-31 @ Napredok L 3-545.2 1338 1313 21.59% 23.65% 54.77%-0.51 -14.6 47

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2007-08-05 4.93% Milano Kumanove 1164 2 @ Renova 1447 1
2 2008-04-06 5.73% Bashkimi 1179 3 @ Pelister 1430 1
3 2007-09-16 10.73% Pelister 1315 2 @ Makedonija GP 1437 0
4 2008-05-03 11.18% Makedonija GP 1302 1 @ Vardar 1416 0
5 2008-04-23 13.03% @ Bashkimi 1260 1 Rabotnicki 1656 0
6 2008-04-26 16.34% Pelister 1422 3 @ Vardar 1457 1
7 2007-10-28 18.18% Pelister 1362 3 @ Sileks 1374 2
8 2008-04-06 18.31% Renova 1394 1 @ Pobeda (1st) 1404 0
9 2008-05-03 18.53% @ Pobeda (1st) 1313 2 Rabotnicki 1635 0
10 2008-04-02 19.19% @ Bashkimi 1134 2 Pobeda (1st) 1449 0
11 2008-04-02 21.71% @ Shkendija 1177 1 Vardar 1465 0
12 2007-08-12 22.52% Sileks 1338 2 @ Bashkimi 1304 0
13 2008-04-23 23.40% Milano Kumanove 1451 2 @ Renova 1408 1
14 2007-12-16 23.77% Cementarnica 55 1209 2 @ Bashkimi 1163 0
15 2008-04-23 25.25% Vardar 1417 2 @ Pobeda (1st) 1357 0
16 2008-04-13 25.59% @ Cementarnica 55 1215 2 Milano Kumanove 1466 1
17 2007-12-09 26.49% @ Cementarnica 55 1189 1 Renova 1432 0
18 2007-11-11 28.93% @ Shkendija 1155 1 Pelister 1378 0
19 2008-04-13 30.91% @ Bashkimi 1228 2 Vardar 1435 0
20 2008-04-02 31.20% Milano Kumanove 1438 1 @ Sileks 1329 0
21 2007-09-23 31.38% Milano Kumanove 1303 3 @ Shkendija 1193 1
22 2008-04-23 33.20% Sileks 1308 2 @ Shkendija 1184 1
23 2008-05-31 34.10% Renova 1351 3 @ Cementarnica 55 1221 0
24 2007-10-28 34.43% @ Bashkimi 1209 5 Makedonija GP 1390 4
25 2007-10-20 35.39% @ Milano Kumanove 1303 4 Pobeda (1st) 1477 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-10-20 62.17 @ Milano Kumanove 4 1303 35.39% Pobeda (1st) 0 1477 40.27% 24.34%
2 2007-09-16 52.04 Pelister 2 1315 10.73% @ Makedonija GP 0 1437 67.89% 21.38%
3 2008-04-06 49.39 Bashkimi 3 1179 5.73% @ Pelister 1 1430 75.71% 18.56%
4 2008-05-31 48.81 Renova 3 1351 34.10% @ Cementarnica 55 0 1221 41.58% 24.33%
5 2008-05-31 47.14 Pobeda (1st) 5 1344 40.05% @ Shkendija 1 1172 35.60% 24.35%
6 2008-05-03 45.04 @ Pobeda (1st) 2 1313 18.53% Rabotnicki 0 1635 58.21% 23.26%
7 2008-04-02 44.49 @ Bashkimi 2 1134 19.19% Pobeda (1st) 0 1449 57.46% 23.35%
8 2007-08-12 41.83 Sileks 2 1338 22.52% @ Bashkimi 0 1304 53.74% 23.74%
9 2007-08-12 40.88 @ Milano Kumanove 5 1193 46.14% Cementarnica 55 1 1289 29.66% 24.21%
10 2007-12-16 40.87 Cementarnica 55 2 1209 23.77% @ Bashkimi 0 1163 52.38% 23.85%
11 2008-04-26 40.61 Pelister 3 1422 16.34% @ Vardar 1 1457 60.76% 22.89%
12 2008-04-23 39.76 Vardar 2 1417 25.25% @ Pobeda (1st) 0 1357 50.78% 23.97%
13 2007-08-25 39.44 @ Milano Kumanove 3 1241 44.17% Pelister 0 1352 31.56% 24.27%
14 2008-05-11 38.51 @ Milano Kumanove 9 1467 64.49% Vardar 1 1389 13.30% 22.21%
15 2007-09-23 37.50 @ Cementarnica 55 3 1202 46.19% Bashkimi 0 1298 29.61% 24.20%
16 2008-04-20 37.19 @ Pelister 4 1373 55.17% Pobeda (1st) 0 1395 21.22% 23.61%
17 2007-10-27 35.82 @ Milano Kumanove 3 1365 47.91% Renova 0 1448 27.96% 24.13%
18 2008-04-13 35.73 @ Bashkimi 2 1228 30.91% Vardar 0 1435 44.83% 24.25%
19 2008-03-16 34.88 @ Milano Kumanove 5 1409 61.64% Makedonija GP 0 1365 15.61% 22.75%
20 2007-11-25 34.07 @ Pelister 3 1358 49.68% Milano Kumanove 0 1427 26.29% 24.04%
21 2008-05-11 33.11 @ Sileks 3 1315 50.63% Renova 0 1376 25.39% 23.98%
22 2007-09-23 30.67 Milano Kumanove 3 1303 31.38% @ Shkendija 1 1193 44.36% 24.26%
23 2007-10-11 30.62 Rabotnicki 4 1585 59.96% @ Bashkimi 0 1245 17.02% 23.02%
24 2007-08-05 28.93 Milano Kumanove 2 1164 4.93% @ Renova 1 1447 77.26% 17.81%
25 2007-08-26 27.48 @ Bashkimi 4 1258 51.15% Napredok 1 1315 24.91% 23.94%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-11-24 63.3 @ Vardar 0 1466 36.18% Rabotnicki 0 1635 39.47% 24.35%
2 2008-05-11 62.8 @ Rabotnicki 0 1590 67.60% Pelister 0 1472 10.94% 21.46%
3 2007-09-30 61.1 @ Cementarnica 55 2 1239 29.85% Vardar 2 1455 45.94% 24.21%
4 2007-09-30 60.2 @ Bashkimi 2 1260 49.13% Milano Kumanove 2 1334 26.80% 24.07%
5 2007-10-28 60.2 Pelister 3 1362 18.18% @ Sileks 2 1374 58.61% 23.21%
6 2008-03-22 59.6 @ Makedonija GP 0 1330 17.93% Rabotnicki 0 1659 58.91% 23.17%
7 2007-10-21 59.1 @ Sileks 1 1376 45.91% Vardar 1 1474 29.88% 24.21%
8 2007-12-02 59.1 @ Makedonija GP 1 1383 47.82% Vardar 1 1467 28.05% 24.13%
9 2007-09-23 59.0 @ Pelister 1 1367 44.13% Pobeda (1st) 1 1479 31.60% 24.27%
10 2007-08-07 58.9 @ Pobeda (1st) 0 1472 54.31% Rabotnicki 0 1501 22.00% 23.69%
11 2008-04-02 58.5 @ Napredok 0 1300 15.71% Rabotnicki 0 1657 61.52% 22.77%
12 2007-08-05 58.3 Milano Kumanove 2 1164 4.93% @ Renova 1 1447 77.26% 17.81%
13 2008-03-02 58.0 @ Pelister 1 1391 55.49% Renova 1 1409 20.94% 23.57%
14 2007-10-11 57.7 @ Pobeda (1st) 1 1484 79.09% Shkendija 1 1162 4.06% 16.85%
15 2007-11-11 57.5 @ Rabotnicki 0 1644 83.90% Cementarnica 55 0 1199 2.22% 13.88%
16 2007-09-16 57.4 @ Pobeda (1st) 0 1484 61.43% Vardar 0 1442 15.79% 22.79%
17 2008-03-30 57.4 @ Pobeda (1st) 1 1456 75.07% Cementarnica 55 1 1216 6.09% 18.84%
18 2007-10-28 57.3 @ Bashkimi 5 1209 34.43% Makedonija GP 4 1390 41.24% 24.33%
19 2008-03-09 57.3 @ Renova 1 1412 65.39% Sileks 1 1323 12.60% 22.01%
20 2008-04-06 57.1 @ Vardar 1 1442 74.78% Cementarnica 55 1 1208 6.25% 18.97%
21 2007-09-02 57.0 @ Renova 1 1417 68.50% Bashkimi 1 1286 10.29% 21.21%
22 2008-04-23 56.9 Milano Kumanove 2 1451 23.40% @ Renova 1 1408 52.78% 23.82%
23 2007-10-07 56.8 @ Napredok 1 1256 28.13% Pobeda (1st) 1 1486 47.74% 24.14%
24 2008-04-23 56.7 @ Bashkimi 1 1260 13.03% Rabotnicki 0 1656 64.83% 22.13%
25 2007-08-19 56.5 @ Sileks 1 1380 63.83% Napredok 1 1310 13.83% 22.34%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2008-04-05 25.7 @ Milano Kumanove 4 1456 75.97% Shkendija 0 1199 5.60% 18.44%
2 2007-09-30 27.7 @ Rabotnicki 2 1571 82.58% Shkendija 0 1162 2.66% 14.76%
3 2007-08-19 29.0 @ Pelister 3 1334 65.25% Shkendija 0 1247 12.71% 22.04%
4 2007-09-16 29.3 @ Renova 2 1411 73.02% Cementarnica 55 0 1209 7.29% 19.70%
5 2008-05-18 29.5 @ Renova 2 1343 70.59% Shkendija 0 1180 8.84% 20.57%
6 2007-11-04 29.8 @ Vardar 4 1474 78.72% Shkendija 1 1159 4.23% 17.05%
7 2007-10-07 30.1 @ Vardar 6 1454 72.58% Bashkimi 1 1259 7.56% 19.86%
8 2008-05-31 30.1 @ Makedonija GP 3 1332 62.24% Bashkimi 0 1281 15.12% 22.65%
9 2007-08-05 30.2 @ Makedonija GP 3 1449 68.46% Bashkimi 0 1318 10.32% 21.22%
10 2008-03-29 30.2 @ Milano Kumanove 3 1421 66.59% Napredok 0 1316 11.69% 21.72%
11 2007-12-02 30.7 @ Milano Kumanove 4 1393 62.52% Sileks 0 1339 14.88% 22.59%
12 2007-10-11 30.9 @ Makedonija GP 3 1379 62.68% Milano Kumanove 0 1323 14.75% 22.56%
13 2008-03-15 30.9 @ Rabotnicki 1 1659 86.80% Bashkimi 0 1123 1.40% 11.80%
14 2008-05-11 30.9 @ Makedonija GP 2 1330 66.37% Cementarnica 55 0 1228 11.85% 21.78%
15 2008-03-16 31.0 @ Sileks 2 1328 66.14% Cementarnica 55 0 1229 12.03% 21.83%
16 2007-09-02 31.3 @ Napredok 2 1287 64.27% Shkendija 0 1212 13.48% 22.25%
17 2007-11-25 31.3 @ Napredok 2 1282 64.21% Bashkimi 0 1207 13.53% 22.27%
18 2008-04-19 31.3 @ Rabotnicki 2 1654 82.97% Cementarnica 55 0 1235 2.52% 14.51%
19 2007-12-16 31.5 @ Rabotnicki 3 1646 80.28% Napredok 0 1296 3.55% 16.17%
20 2008-04-26 31.5 @ Sileks 2 1325 64.67% Cementarnica 55 0 1245 13.16% 22.17%
21 2008-03-09 31.7 @ Makedonija GP 4 1354 70.42% Shkendija 1 1195 8.96% 20.62%
22 2008-03-16 32.0 @ Milano Kumanove 5 1409 61.64% Makedonija GP 0 1365 15.61% 22.75%
23 2008-03-30 32.1 @ Pelister 1 1412 74.68% Shkendija 0 1180 6.31% 19.01%
24 2008-04-23 32.3 @ Pelister 2 1411 66.40% Makedonija GP 0 1308 11.83% 21.77%
25 2008-03-22 32.5 @ Renova 1 1383 72.82% Shkendija 0 1184 7.41% 19.77%