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2008-09 Macedonian First Football League Season

165 games

Final

Champion

Makedonija GP

61 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Makedonija GP

8.86 points above expected

61 points · 52.14 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Napredok

10.44 points below expected

21 points · 31.44 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Makedonija GP 30 17 10 3 61 43 15 +28 52.14 +8.86
2 Milano Kumanove 30 17 4 9 55 48 35 +13 46.88 +8.12
3 Renova 30 14 12 4 54 41 23 +18 45.23 +8.77
4 Rabotnicki 30 13 8 9 47 40 25 +15 49.95 -2.95
5 Vardar 30 11 12 7 45 35 23 +12 43.90 +1.10
6 Turnovo 30 9 10 11 37 25 39 -14 34.62 +2.38
7 Sileks 30 9 9 12 36 38 41 -3 37.65 -1.65
8 Pobeda (1st) 30 8 8 14 32 31 47 -16 36.45 -4.45
9 Metalurg Skopje 30 6 11 13 29 25 35 -10 33.30 -4.30
10 Pelister 30 7 7 16 28 25 42 -17 36.10 -8.10
11 Napredok 30 4 9 17 21 26 52 -26 31.44 -10.44

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Makedonija GP 61 52.14 +8.86
2 Renova 54 45.23 +8.77
3 Milano Kumanove 55 46.88 +8.12
4 Turnovo 37 34.62 +2.38
5 Vardar 45 43.90 +1.10

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Napredok 21 31.44 -10.44
2 Pelister 28 36.10 -8.10
3 Pobeda (1st) 32 36.45 -4.45
4 Metalurg Skopje 29 33.30 -4.30
5 Rabotnicki 47 49.95 -2.95

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Makedonija GP 5 Nov 12 – Dec 13 1 in 120
2 Vardar 5 Aug 3 – Sep 20 1 in 80
3 Renova 3 Sep 14 – Sep 28 1 in 16
4 Rabotnicki 4 Nov 15 – Dec 6 1 in 8
5 Sileks 2 Mar 1 – Mar 8 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sileks 4 Mar 23 – Apr 18 1 in 43
2 Rabotnicki 3 Mar 8 – Mar 23 1 in 41
3 Pelister 3 Oct 19 – Nov 2 1 in 27
4 Napredok 4 Aug 31 – Oct 5 1 in 22
5 Pobeda (1st) 3 Aug 3 – Aug 24 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Metalurg Skopje 6 Apr 12 – May 10 1 in 39
2 Renova 8 Dec 14 – Apr 18 1 in 13
3 Rabotnicki 8 Aug 3 – Oct 18 1 in 12
4 Vardar 7 Mar 8 – Apr 26 1 in 10
5 Pobeda (1st) 5 Apr 22 – May 17 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vardar 10 Oct 18 – Mar 1 1 in 82
2 Napredok 13 Mar 8 – May 31 1 in 32
3 Pobeda (1st) 9 Nov 9 – Mar 8 1 in 24
4 Pelister 8 Oct 19 – Dec 7 1 in 19
5 Sileks 8 Aug 3 – Oct 5 1 in 19

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Makedonija GP 1441 58 -11 8 8.8 -0.8
Milano Kumanove 1379 55 +35 12 7.3 +4.7
Renova 1433 54 +21 9 8.2 +0.8
Rabotnicki 1396 47 +12 9 7.2 +1.8
Vardar 1335 45 +4 6 6.0 +0.0
Turnovo 1265 37 -9 5 6.2 -1.2
Sileks 1287 36 +53 10 5.8 +4.2
Pobeda (1st) 1249 32 +15 8 6.7 +1.3
Metalurg Skopje 1248 29 -31 2 5.6 -3.6
Pelister 1228 28 -5 5 7.0 -2.0
Napredok 1169 21 -43 1 5.0 -4.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team MG MS MK NAP PEL P( RAB REN SIL TUR VAR
Makedonija GP —
2-1-0
5.13
0-1-2
4.13
1-1-1
5.24
2-1-0
5.95
3-0-0
5.83
2-1-0
3.41
1-2-0
4.84
2-1-0
5.30
2-1-0
5.53
2-1-0
5.11
Metalurg Skopje
0-1-2
2.97
—
0-0-3
3.54
2-1-0
4.51
1-1-1
3.32
1-1-1
3.57
0-0-3
3.20
0-2-1
2.32
2-1-0
2.93
0-2-1
3.52
0-2-1
2.71
Milano Kumanove
2-1-0
3.93
3-0-0
4.56
—
1-1-1
4.83
2-0-1
5.61
2-1-0
5.48
1-0-2
3.28
1-0-2
3.47
2-1-0
5.20
1-0-2
5.77
2-0-1
4.71
Napredok
1-1-1
2.91
0-1-2
3.63
1-1-1
3.26
—
1-0-2
3.14
1-1-1
4.39
0-2-1
3.09
0-0-3
2.63
0-1-2
3.27
0-1-2
3.44
0-1-2
2.65
Pelister
0-1-2
2.27
1-1-1
4.79
1-0-2
2.54
2-0-1
4.96
—
0-0-3
3.79
0-1-2
2.67
1-0-2
3.44
1-0-2
3.46
1-2-0
4.84
0-2-1
3.91
Pobeda (1st)
0-0-3
2.38
1-1-1
4.53
0-1-2
2.70
1-1-1
3.69
3-0-0
4.32
—
0-2-1
2.17
0-1-2
3.59
1-0-2
3.22
2-0-1
4.58
0-2-1
4.08
Rabotnicki
0-1-2
4.69
3-0-0
4.93
2-0-1
4.82
1-2-0
5.05
2-1-0
5.55
1-2-0
6.03
—
0-0-3
3.77
1-1-1
5.68
2-1-0
5.89
1-0-2
4.07
Renova
0-2-1
3.29
1-2-0
5.92
2-0-1
4.67
3-0-0
5.60
2-0-1
4.62
2-1-0
4.52
3-0-0
4.36
—
0-3-0
5.29
1-2-0
4.74
0-2-1
3.81
Sileks
0-1-2
2.91
0-1-2
5.22
0-1-2
2.97
2-1-0
4.87
2-0-1
4.69
2-0-1
4.88
1-1-1
2.53
0-3-0
2.87
—
1-0-2
3.96
1-1-1
2.87
Turnovo
0-1-2
2.64
1-2-0
4.58
2-0-1
2.42
2-1-0
4.68
0-2-1
3.29
1-0-2
3.51
0-1-2
2.32
0-2-1
3.38
2-0-1
4.14
—
1-1-1
3.57
Vardar
0-1-2
3.03
1-2-0
5.46
1-0-2
3.41
2-1-0
5.52
1-2-0
4.14
1-2-0
3.97
2-0-1
4.01
1-2-0
4.27
1-1-1
5.29
1-1-1
4.54
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.77 +13.5
Allowed 0.72 -9.5
Differential 0.92 +6.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.91%11.52%6.97%2.42%1.21%0.61%33.64%
111.52%15.15%3.94%4.24%1.21%0.30%36.36%
26.97%3.94%3.64%0.91%0.91%0.30%16.67%
32.42%4.24%0.91%0.61%——8.18%
41.21%1.21%0.91%———3.33%
5+0.61%0.30%0.30%——0.61%1.82%
Total33.64%36.36%16.67%8.18%3.33%1.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.14 +0.00
SD 1.18 1.18 1.71
CV 1.04 1.04 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min -1 -1 -6

Games Played: 165

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%6.67%3.33%———20.00%
120.00%20.00%————40.00%
216.67%3.33%————20.00%
33.33%——3.33%——6.67%
43.33%3.33%————6.67%
5+3.33%————3.33%6.67%
Total56.67%33.33%3.33%3.33%—3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.40 0.47 +0.93
SD 1.35 0.78 1.51
CV 0.97 1.66 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min -1 -1 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%26.67%6.67%—3.33%—40.00%
16.67%26.67%3.33%3.33%——40.00%
23.33%6.67%6.67%———16.67%
33.33%—————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%60.00%16.67%3.33%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 1.17 -0.33
SD 0.83 0.87 1.32
CV 1.00 0.75 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%3.33%10.00%—3.33%—26.67%
120.00%3.33%3.33%6.67%3.33%—36.67%
23.33%3.33%————6.67%
33.33%10.00%3.33%———16.67%
4—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
5+3.33%—3.33%———6.67%
Total40.00%23.33%23.33%6.67%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.60 1.17 +0.43
SD 1.54 1.23 2.05
CV 0.97 1.06 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%20.00%6.67%3.33%—3.33%40.00%
13.33%23.33%6.67%3.33%—3.33%40.00%
23.33%——3.33%6.67%—13.33%
3—6.67%————6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.33%50.00%13.33%10.00%6.67%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.87 1.73 -0.87
SD 0.90 1.60 1.76
CV 1.04 0.92 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%16.67%13.33%6.67%——50.00%
16.67%3.33%3.33%10.00%3.33%—26.67%
26.67%—6.67%———13.33%
3—10.00%————10.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.67%30.00%23.33%16.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 1.40 -0.57
SD 1.02 1.16 1.59
CV 1.22 0.83 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%6.67%6.67%6.67%—3.33%33.33%
16.67%10.00%16.67%3.33%——36.67%
26.67%6.67%6.67%——3.33%23.33%
3—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.33%26.67%33.33%10.00%—6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.57 -0.53
SD 0.93 1.33 1.66
CV 0.90 0.85 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%13.33%6.67%———30.00%
113.33%10.00%6.67%3.33%——33.33%
213.33%—3.33%———16.67%
36.67%3.33%—3.33%——13.33%
43.33%3.33%————6.67%
5+———————
Total46.67%30.00%16.67%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 0.83 +0.50
SD 1.24 0.95 1.63
CV 0.93 1.14 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%3.33%————13.33%
123.33%23.33%—6.67%——53.33%
2—6.67%6.67%———13.33%
33.33%6.67%————10.00%
43.33%3.33%————6.67%
5+—————3.33%3.33%
Total40.00%43.33%6.67%6.67%—3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 0.73 +0.60
SD 1.15 0.91 1.30
CV 0.87 1.24 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min -1 -1 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%10.00%10.00%6.67%——40.00%
16.67%10.00%—3.33%3.33%—23.33%
23.33%10.00%6.67%6.67%——26.67%
3———————
43.33%—3.33%———6.67%
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total26.67%33.33%20.00%16.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.37 -0.10
SD 1.57 1.16 1.97
CV 1.24 0.85 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%6.67%6.67%3.33%6.67%—36.67%
116.67%16.67%3.33%6.67%3.33%—46.67%
26.67%3.33%3.33%———13.33%
3——3.33%———3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total36.67%26.67%16.67%10.00%10.00%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 1.30 -0.47
SD 0.79 1.34 1.63
CV 0.95 1.03 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%13.33%6.67%———40.00%
13.33%20.00%————23.33%
213.33%3.33%——3.33%—20.00%
36.67%6.67%————13.33%
4——3.33%———3.33%
5+———————
Total43.33%43.33%10.00%—3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 0.77 +0.40
SD 1.21 0.90 1.43
CV 1.03 1.17 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Makedonija GP 1441 61 52.14 +8.86 94.0% 40 41 48 52 56 62 70
Renova 1433 54 45.23 +8.77 90.0% 30 33 41 45 50 57 65
Rabotnicki 1396 47 49.95 -2.95 38.0% 35 38 45 50 54 62 63
Milano Kumanove 1379 55 46.88 +8.12 93.0% 34 36 43 47 51 56 61
Vardar 1335 45 43.90 +1.10 62.0% 27 32 40 44 48 54 59
Sileks 1287 36 37.65 -1.65 41.0% 24 26 33 37 41 48 56
Turnovo 1265 37 34.62 +2.38 69.0% 20 26 30 35 39 44 48
Pobeda (1st) 1249 32 36.45 -4.45 21.0% 24 27 33 36 39 45 54
Metalurg Skopje 1248 29 33.30 -4.30 31.0% 15 24 29 33 38 43 48
Pelister 1228 28 36.10 -8.10 9.0% 23 26 31 35 40 46 52
Napredok 1169 21 31.44 -10.44 5.0% 13 21 27 31 36 42 47

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 23% * Slight Edge: 23% to 31% * Clear Edge: 31% to 38% * Strong Edge: 38% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+39.39%
Strong Edge
54.55%30.30%15.15%
Elo Value
Home Edge
182 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0147.19500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.87 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.81+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.12 * Tight Race: 0.12 to 0.25 * Comfortable: 0.25 to 0.36 * Runaway: 0.36 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.9
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
39%
Makedonija GP, 1st of 11
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.20/gm
Tight Race
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.98 * Some Luck: 4.98 to 7.47 * Lucky: 7.47 to 9.96 * Wild Swing: 9.96 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.38 * Close: 1.38 to 2.07 * Off: 2.07 to 2.77 * Way Off: 2.77 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 11 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 11 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 11 * As Expected: 11 to 17.6 * Several Outliers: 17.6 to 24.2 * Many Outliers: 24.2 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.41 points
Some Luck
06.2316
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.09
Pinpoint
01.734
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.45%
94.00%
Makedonija GP
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.55%
5.00%
Napredok
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 11
Minimal Outliers
01.111

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.9 * Moderate Separation: 1.9 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.3 * Wide Separation: 2.3 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 70.5% * Clear Edge: 70.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 93% * Clear Edge: 93% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 56.5% * Some Drama: 56.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Even
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 90.41
1.84
Coin-Flip Parity
11.92.12.32.75
Interquartile Edge
69%
Slight Edge
50%65%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
83%
Even
50%85%100%
Close Games
Expected
64%
Very Frequent
0%61%100%
Blowouts
Expected
12%
Rare
0%15%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.43 * Slight Separation: 0.43 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.65 * Near-Lock: 0.65 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 18% * Upset-Prone: 18% to 21% * Very Upset-Prone: 21% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 16.5% * Very Shaky: 16.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.56
Highly Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.47
Notable Separation
00.430.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.04
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.32
Weak Carryover
00.410.571
Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Chalky
0%19%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
13%
As Expected
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.14
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.10
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.040
Well Within Noise
00.1100.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011
Makedonija GP39.00%25.00%21.00%7.00%7.00%1.00%—————
Milano Kumanove16.00%14.00%21.00%16.00%17.00%6.00%6.00%2.00%2.00%——
Renova8.00%16.00%15.00%21.00%14.00%10.00%7.00%2.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%
Rabotnicki26.00%27.00%17.00%13.00%7.00%3.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%——
Vardar7.00%10.00%14.00%19.00%22.00%11.00%5.00%4.00%7.00%1.00%—
Turnovo—1.00%1.00%4.00%4.00%14.00%12.00%14.00%13.00%23.00%14.00%
Sileks3.00%2.00%4.00%5.00%10.00%21.00%16.00%15.00%9.00%7.00%8.00%
Pobeda (1st)—3.00%1.00%3.00%4.00%13.00%19.00%19.00%20.00%11.00%7.00%
Metalurg Skopje—1.00%1.00%4.00%4.00%9.00%12.00%11.00%17.00%18.00%23.00%
Pelister1.00%1.00%4.00%6.00%9.00%8.00%11.00%14.00%16.00%19.00%11.00%
Napredok——1.00%2.00%2.00%4.00%8.00%17.00%12.00%18.00%36.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Makedonija GP 100% — —
Milano Kumanove 98.00% 2.00% —
Rabotnicki 99.00% 1.00% —
Vardar 92.00% 8.00% —
Renova 93.00% 6.00% 1.00%
Pobeda (1st) 62.00% 31.00% 7.00%
Sileks 76.00% 16.00% 8.00%
Pelister 54.00% 35.00% 11.00%
Turnovo 50.00% 36.00% 14.00%
Metalurg Skopje 42.00% 35.00% 23.00%
Napredok 34.00% 30.00% 36.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2008-08-03 Pobeda (1st) W 3-033.7 1287 1314 49.80% 30.52% 19.67%+0.66 +22.9 3
2008-08-03 @ Vardar L 0-333.7 1314 1287 19.67% 30.52% 49.80%-0.66 -22.9 0
2008-08-03 Rabotnicki D 1-153.5 1288 1397 39.44% 32.13% 28.43%+0.21 -0.8 1
2008-08-03 @ Napredok D 1-153.5 1397 1288 28.43% 32.13% 39.44%-0.21 +0.7 1
2008-08-03 Sileks D 0-048.5 1316 1304 54.17% 29.27% 16.55%+0.87 -3.1 1
2008-08-03 @ Renova D 0-048.5 1304 1316 16.55% 29.27% 54.17%-0.87 +3.1 1
2008-08-03 Turnovo W 4-031.7 1298 1276 55.28% 28.90% 15.82%+0.93 +24.6 3
2008-08-03 @ Makedonija GP L 0-431.7 1276 1298 15.82% 28.90% 55.28%-0.93 -24.6 0
2008-08-06 Metalurg Skopje W 2-140.8 1355 1252 63.32% 25.46% 11.22%+1.37 +4.5 3
2008-08-06 @ Milano Kumanove L 1-240.8 1252 1355 11.22% 25.46% 63.32%-1.37 -4.5 0
2008-08-09 Makedonija GP D 3-364.7 1397 1322 60.70% 26.71% 12.58%+1.22 -2.3 2
2008-08-09 @ Rabotnicki D 3-364.7 1322 1397 12.58% 26.71% 60.70%-1.22 +2.3 4
2008-08-10 Milano Kumanove D 0-048.3 1307 1359 46.76% 31.18% 22.06%+0.52 -2.0 2
2008-08-10 @ Sileks D 0-048.3 1359 1307 22.06% 31.18% 46.76%-0.52 +2.0 4
2008-08-10 Napredok D 0-047.5 1247 1288 48.21% 30.89% 20.90%+0.59 -2.2 1
2008-08-10 @ Metalurg Skopje D 0-047.5 1288 1247 20.90% 30.89% 48.21%-0.59 +2.2 2
2008-08-10 Renova L 0-148.0 1291 1313 50.43% 30.37% 19.20%+0.69 -17.0 0
2008-08-10 @ Pobeda (1st) W 1-048.0 1313 1291 19.20% 30.37% 50.43%-0.69 +17.0 4
2008-08-10 Turnovo W 3-137.5 1342 1251 62.24% 25.99% 11.77%+1.31 +8.3 3
2008-08-10 @ Pelister L 1-337.5 1251 1342 11.77% 25.99% 62.24%-1.31 -8.3 0
2008-08-23 Pelister W 3-034.7 1310 1351 48.18% 30.89% 20.93%+0.59 +24.1 6
2008-08-23 @ Vardar L 0-334.7 1351 1310 20.93% 30.89% 48.18%-0.59 -24.1 3
2008-08-24 Metalurg Skopje W 2-031.9 1324 1245 61.09% 26.54% 12.37%+1.24 +10.1 7
2008-08-24 @ Makedonija GP L 0-231.9 1245 1324 12.37% 26.54% 61.09%-1.24 -10.1 1
2008-08-24 Pobeda (1st) W 5-237.2 1361 1274 61.84% 26.19% 11.98%+1.29 +10.3 7
2008-08-24 @ Milano Kumanove L 2-537.2 1274 1361 11.98% 26.19% 61.84%-1.29 -10.3 0
2008-08-24 Rabotnicki D 0-047.7 1243 1395 33.23% 32.33% 34.44%-0.03 +0.1 1
2008-08-24 @ Turnovo D 0-047.7 1395 1243 34.44% 32.33% 33.23%+0.03 -0.1 3
2008-08-24 Sileks D 1-153.3 1290 1305 51.14% 30.18% 18.68%+0.72 -2.4 3
2008-08-24 @ Napredok D 1-153.3 1305 1290 18.68% 30.18% 51.14%-0.72 +2.4 3
2008-08-30 Renova W 3-140.7 1334 1330 53.38% 29.53% 17.09%+0.83 +12.1 9
2008-08-30 @ Vardar L 1-340.7 1330 1334 17.09% 29.53% 53.38%-0.83 -12.1 4
2008-08-31 Makedonija GP D 1-153.5 1308 1335 49.79% 30.53% 19.69%+0.66 -2.2 4
2008-08-31 @ Sileks D 1-153.5 1335 1308 19.69% 30.53% 49.79%-0.66 +2.2 8
2008-08-31 Napredok W 1-038.4 1264 1287 50.18% 30.43% 19.39%+0.68 +8.3 3
2008-08-31 @ Pobeda (1st) L 0-138.4 1287 1264 19.39% 30.43% 50.18%-0.68 -8.3 3
2008-08-31 Rabotnicki D 1-154.1 1326 1395 44.69% 31.53% 23.77%+0.43 -1.5 4
2008-08-31 @ Pelister D 1-154.1 1395 1326 23.77% 31.53% 44.69%-0.43 +1.5 4
2008-08-31 Turnovo D 1-152.8 1235 1243 52.01% 29.94% 18.05%+0.77 -2.5 2
2008-08-31 @ Metalurg Skopje D 1-152.8 1243 1235 18.05% 29.94% 52.01%-0.77 +2.5 2
2008-09-13 Metalurg Skopje W 1-033.3 1397 1233 68.76% 22.51% 8.73%+1.71 +3.6 7
2008-09-13 @ Rabotnicki L 0-133.3 1233 1397 8.73% 22.51% 68.76%-1.71 -3.6 2
2008-09-14 Pelister W 3-140.9 1318 1325 52.04% 29.93% 18.03%+0.77 +12.7 7
2008-09-14 @ Renova L 1-340.9 1325 1318 18.03% 29.93% 52.04%-0.77 -12.7 4
2008-09-14 Pobeda (1st) W 5-031.2 1337 1272 59.66% 27.18% 13.16%+1.16 +25.2 11
2008-09-14 @ Makedonija GP L 0-531.2 1272 1337 13.16% 27.18% 59.66%-1.16 -25.2 3
2008-09-14 Sileks W 1-039.7 1245 1305 45.77% 31.36% 22.87%+0.48 +9.5 5
2008-09-14 @ Turnovo L 0-139.7 1305 1245 22.87% 31.36% 45.77%-0.48 -9.5 4
2008-09-14 Vardar L 1-352.7 1372 1346 55.63% 28.78% 15.60%+0.95 -30.0 7
2008-09-14 @ Milano Kumanove W 3-152.7 1346 1372 15.60% 28.78% 55.63%-0.95 +30.0 12
2008-09-20 Napredok W 4-241.1 1376 1279 62.79% 25.73% 11.48%+1.34 +7.2 15
2008-09-20 @ Vardar L 2-441.1 1279 1376 11.48% 25.73% 62.79%-1.34 -7.2 3
2008-09-21 Metalurg Skopje W 2-031.6 1312 1229 61.48% 26.35% 12.17%+1.27 +9.9 7
2008-09-21 @ Pelister L 0-231.6 1229 1312 12.17% 26.35% 61.48%-1.27 -9.9 2
2008-09-21 Milano Kumanove W 1-038.8 1330 1342 51.61% 30.05% 18.34%+0.75 +7.9 10
2008-09-21 @ Renova L 0-138.8 1342 1330 18.34% 30.05% 51.61%-0.75 -7.9 7
2008-09-21 Rabotnicki D 0-048.4 1296 1400 40.00% 32.08% 27.92%+0.24 -0.9 5
2008-09-21 @ Sileks D 0-048.4 1400 1296 27.92% 32.08% 40.00%-0.24 +0.9 8
2008-09-21 Turnovo W 2-143.6 1247 1255 51.99% 29.94% 18.07%+0.76 +7.3 6
2008-09-21 @ Pobeda (1st) L 1-243.6 1255 1247 18.07% 29.94% 51.99%-0.76 -7.3 5
2008-09-27 Pobeda (1st) D 2-261.6 1401 1254 67.29% 23.35% 9.36%+1.61 -3.3 9
2008-09-27 @ Rabotnicki D 2-261.6 1254 1401 9.36% 23.35% 67.29%-1.61 +3.3 7
2008-09-28 Pelister W 3-140.4 1334 1322 54.13% 29.29% 16.58%+0.87 +11.7 10
2008-09-28 @ Milano Kumanove L 1-340.4 1322 1334 16.58% 29.29% 54.13%-0.87 -11.7 7
2008-09-28 Renova L 1-252.7 1272 1338 45.01% 31.49% 23.51%+0.45 -14.6 3
2008-09-28 @ Napredok W 2-152.7 1338 1272 23.51% 31.49% 45.01%-0.45 +14.6 13
2008-09-28 Sileks W 2-036.8 1219 1295 43.76% 31.67% 24.57%+0.39 +18.9 5
2008-09-28 @ Metalurg Skopje L 0-236.8 1295 1219 24.57% 31.67% 43.76%-0.39 -18.9 5
2008-09-28 Vardar W 1-040.2 1362 1384 50.42% 30.37% 19.21%+0.69 +8.2 14
2008-09-28 @ Makedonija GP L 0-140.2 1384 1362 19.21% 30.37% 50.42%-0.69 -8.2 15
2008-10-05 Makedonija GP FL46.7 1353 1370 50.90% 30.24% 18.85%+0.71 +0.0 13
2008-10-05 @ Renova FW46.7 1370 1353 18.85% 30.24% 50.90%-0.71 +0.0 17
2008-10-05 Metalurg Skopje W 3-139.2 1258 1238 55.01% 28.99% 15.99%+0.92 +11.3 10
2008-10-05 @ Pobeda (1st) L 1-339.2 1238 1258 15.99% 28.99% 55.01%-0.92 -11.3 5
2008-10-05 Napredok W 5-030.4 1345 1257 61.93% 26.14% 11.93%+1.29 +22.7 13
2008-10-05 @ Milano Kumanove L 0-530.4 1257 1345 11.93% 26.14% 61.93%-1.29 -22.7 3
2008-10-05 Sileks W 3-139.1 1311 1276 56.59% 28.42% 14.99%+1.00 +10.7 10
2008-10-05 @ Pelister L 1-339.1 1276 1311 14.99% 28.42% 56.59%-1.00 -10.6 5
2008-10-07 Turnovo W 2-030.9 1375 1247 65.61% 24.27% 10.12%+1.51 +8.0 18
2008-10-07 @ Vardar L 0-230.9 1247 1375 10.12% 24.27% 65.61%-1.51 -8.0 5
2008-10-18 Pobeda (1st) W 2-143.6 1265 1269 52.50% 29.80% 17.71%+0.79 +7.2 8
2008-10-18 @ Sileks L 1-243.6 1269 1265 17.71% 29.80% 52.50%-0.79 -7.2 10
2008-10-18 Vardar W 2-036.3 1398 1383 54.45% 29.18% 16.37%+0.89 +13.4 12
2008-10-18 @ Rabotnicki L 0-236.3 1383 1398 16.37% 29.18% 54.45%-0.89 -13.4 18
2008-10-19 Milano Kumanove D 0-049.7 1370 1368 53.11% 29.61% 17.28%+0.82 -3.0 18
2008-10-19 @ Makedonija GP D 0-049.7 1368 1370 17.28% 29.61% 53.11%-0.82 +3.0 14
2008-10-19 Pelister W 3-143.2 1235 1321 42.37% 31.85% 25.78%+0.33 +16.9 6
2008-10-19 @ Napredok L 1-343.2 1321 1235 25.78% 31.85% 42.37%-0.33 -17.0 10
2008-10-19 Renova D 0-047.4 1239 1353 38.76% 32.17% 29.07%+0.19 -0.7 6
2008-10-19 @ Turnovo D 0-047.4 1353 1239 29.07% 32.17% 38.76%-0.19 +0.7 14
2008-10-26 Makedonija GP W 1-042.3 1252 1367 38.45% 32.19% 29.36%+0.17 +11.4 9
2008-10-26 @ Napredok L 0-142.3 1367 1252 29.36% 32.19% 38.45%-0.17 -11.4 18
2008-10-26 Metalurg Skopje D 1-155.3 1370 1227 66.98% 23.52% 9.50%+1.60 -4.5 19
2008-10-26 @ Vardar D 1-155.3 1227 1370 9.50% 23.52% 66.98%-1.60 +4.4 6
2008-10-26 Pobeda (1st) L 0-149.1 1304 1262 57.43% 28.10% 14.47%+1.04 -18.9 10
2008-10-26 @ Pelister W 1-049.1 1262 1304 14.47% 28.10% 57.43%-1.04 +18.9 13
2008-10-26 Rabotnicki W 1-041.8 1353 1411 46.08% 31.31% 22.62%+0.49 +9.4 17
2008-10-26 @ Renova L 0-141.8 1411 1353 22.62% 31.31% 46.08%-0.49 -9.4 12
2008-10-26 Turnovo W 3-028.9 1371 1239 66.01% 24.06% 9.93%+1.54 +11.5 17
2008-10-26 @ Milano Kumanove L 0-328.9 1239 1371 9.93% 24.06% 66.01%-1.54 -11.5 6
2008-11-01 Milano Kumanove W 4-034.3 1402 1382 54.98% 29.00% 16.02%+0.91 +24.9 15
2008-11-01 @ Rabotnicki L 0-434.3 1382 1402 16.02% 29.00% 54.98%-0.91 -24.9 17
2008-11-02 Napredok W 3-249.3 1227 1263 48.75% 30.77% 20.48%+0.61 +7.7 9
2008-11-02 @ Turnovo L 2-349.3 1263 1227 20.48% 30.77% 48.75%-0.61 -7.7 9
2008-11-02 Pelister W 2-032.6 1356 1285 60.23% 26.93% 12.84%+1.20 +10.5 21
2008-11-02 @ Makedonija GP L 0-232.6 1285 1356 12.84% 26.93% 60.23%-1.20 -10.5 10
2008-11-02 Renova D 1-152.6 1231 1363 36.18% 32.29% 31.52%+0.08 -0.3 7
2008-11-02 @ Metalurg Skopje D 1-152.6 1363 1231 31.52% 32.29% 36.18%-0.08 +0.3 18
2008-11-02 Vardar D 0-047.8 1273 1366 41.53% 31.94% 26.53%+0.30 -1.1 9
2008-11-02 @ Sileks D 0-047.8 1366 1273 26.53% 31.94% 41.53%-0.30 +1.1 20
2008-11-08 Napredok D 1-156.4 1427 1255 69.38% 22.15% 8.47%+1.75 -4.7 16
2008-11-08 @ Rabotnicki D 1-156.4 1255 1427 8.47% 22.15% 69.38%-1.75 +4.7 10
2008-11-09 Makedonija GP D 1-152.7 1235 1366 36.25% 32.29% 31.46%+0.09 -0.3 10
2008-11-09 @ Turnovo D 1-152.7 1366 1235 31.46% 32.29% 36.25%-0.09 +0.3 22
2008-11-09 Milano Kumanove L 0-144.4 1231 1358 36.88% 32.27% 30.85%+0.11 -13.4 7
2008-11-09 @ Metalurg Skopje W 1-044.4 1358 1231 30.85% 32.27% 36.88%-0.11 +13.4 20
2008-11-09 Renova D 1-153.0 1272 1363 41.69% 31.92% 26.38%+0.31 -1.0 10
2008-11-09 @ Sileks D 1-153.0 1363 1272 26.38% 31.92% 41.69%-0.31 +1.0 19
2008-11-09 Vardar D 0-047.9 1281 1367 42.42% 31.84% 25.73%+0.34 -1.3 14
2008-11-09 @ Pobeda (1st) D 0-047.9 1367 1281 25.73% 31.84% 42.42%-0.34 +1.3 21
2008-11-12 Metalurg Skopje L 1-254.8 1260 1217 57.43% 28.10% 14.47%+1.04 -17.8 10
2008-11-12 @ Napredok W 2-154.8 1217 1260 14.47% 28.10% 57.43%-1.04 +17.8 10
2008-11-12 Pelister D 0-047.4 1235 1275 48.22% 30.89% 20.90%+0.59 -2.2 11
2008-11-12 @ Turnovo D 0-047.4 1275 1235 20.90% 30.89% 48.22%-0.59 +2.2 11
2008-11-12 Pobeda (1st) W 2-141.6 1364 1279 61.63% 26.28% 12.09%+1.27 +4.9 22
2008-11-12 @ Renova L 1-241.6 1279 1364 12.09% 26.28% 61.63%-1.27 -4.9 14
2008-11-12 Rabotnicki W 2-038.9 1367 1422 46.37% 31.25% 22.38%+0.50 +17.5 25
2008-11-12 @ Makedonija GP L 0-238.9 1422 1367 22.38% 31.25% 46.37%-0.50 -17.5 16
2008-11-12 Sileks W 1-035.1 1371 1270 63.10% 25.57% 11.33%+1.36 +4.9 23
2008-11-12 @ Milano Kumanove L 0-135.1 1270 1371 11.33% 25.57% 63.10%-1.36 -4.9 10
2008-11-15 Turnovo W 4-132.8 1404 1232 69.42% 22.12% 8.45%+1.75 +8.0 19
2008-11-15 @ Rabotnicki L 1-432.8 1232 1404 8.45% 22.12% 69.42%-1.75 -8.0 11
2008-11-16 Makedonija GP L 0-143.6 1235 1384 33.74% 32.33% 33.94%-0.01 -12.6 10
2008-11-16 @ Metalurg Skopje W 1-043.6 1384 1235 33.94% 32.33% 33.74%+0.01 +12.6 28
2008-11-16 Milano Kumanove D 0-047.9 1274 1376 40.38% 32.05% 27.57%+0.25 -1.0 15
2008-11-16 @ Pobeda (1st) D 0-047.9 1376 1274 27.57% 32.05% 40.38%-0.25 +1.0 24
2008-11-16 Napredok W 7-133.8 1266 1242 55.43% 28.85% 15.73%+0.94 +29.5 13
2008-11-16 @ Sileks L 1-733.8 1242 1266 15.73% 28.85% 55.43%-0.94 -29.5 10
2008-11-16 Vardar D 0-047.9 1277 1368 41.78% 31.91% 26.30%+0.31 -1.2 12
2008-11-16 @ Pelister D 0-047.9 1368 1277 26.30% 31.91% 41.78%-0.31 +1.2 22
2008-11-22 Pelister W 3-029.5 1412 1276 66.37% 23.86% 9.77%+1.56 +11.2 22
2008-11-22 @ Rabotnicki L 0-329.5 1276 1412 9.77% 23.86% 66.37%-1.56 -11.2 12
2008-11-23 Metalurg Skopje W 1-037.1 1225 1223 53.08% 29.62% 17.30%+0.82 +7.5 14
2008-11-23 @ Turnovo L 0-137.1 1223 1225 17.30% 29.62% 53.08%-0.82 -7.5 10
2008-11-23 Pobeda (1st) W 2-036.1 1213 1273 45.69% 31.37% 22.94%+0.47 +17.9 13
2008-11-23 @ Napredok L 0-236.1 1273 1213 22.94% 31.37% 45.69%-0.47 -17.9 15
2008-11-23 Sileks W 4-135.2 1397 1295 63.21% 25.52% 11.27%+1.37 +11.1 31
2008-11-23 @ Makedonija GP L 1-435.2 1295 1397 11.27% 25.52% 63.21%-1.37 -11.2 13
2008-11-23 Vardar D 1-155.0 1369 1369 52.87% 29.68% 17.44%+0.81 -2.6 23
2008-11-23 @ Renova D 1-155.0 1369 1369 17.44% 29.68% 52.87%-0.81 +2.6 23
2008-11-29 Milano Kumanove L 2-455.8 1372 1377 52.32% 29.85% 17.83%+0.78 -25.6 23
2008-11-29 @ Vardar W 4-255.8 1377 1372 17.83% 29.85% 52.32%-0.78 +25.6 27
2008-11-30 Makedonija GP L 1-249.9 1256 1408 33.24% 32.33% 34.43%-0.03 -11.7 15
2008-11-30 @ Pobeda (1st) W 2-149.9 1408 1256 34.43% 32.33% 33.24%+0.03 +11.7 34
2008-11-30 Rabotnicki L 0-141.3 1215 1423 25.97% 31.87% 42.16%-0.34 -10.4 10
2008-11-30 @ Metalurg Skopje W 1-041.3 1423 1215 42.16% 31.87% 25.97%+0.34 +10.4 25
2008-11-30 Renova L 0-145.6 1265 1366 40.32% 32.06% 27.62%+0.25 -14.3 12
2008-11-30 @ Pelister W 1-045.6 1366 1265 27.62% 32.06% 40.32%-0.25 +14.3 26
2008-11-30 Turnovo W 4-030.5 1284 1232 58.39% 27.71% 13.89%+1.09 +21.6 16
2008-11-30 @ Sileks L 0-430.5 1232 1284 13.89% 27.71% 58.39%-1.09 -21.6 14
2008-12-06 Sileks W 3-030.4 1434 1306 65.65% 24.25% 10.10%+1.51 +11.7 28
2008-12-06 @ Rabotnicki L 0-330.4 1306 1434 10.10% 24.25% 65.65%-1.51 -11.7 16
2008-12-07 Pelister W 1-038.8 1205 1250 47.56% 31.02% 21.42%+0.56 +9.0 13
2008-12-07 @ Metalurg Skopje L 0-138.8 1250 1205 21.42% 31.02% 47.56%-0.56 -9.0 12
2008-12-07 Pobeda (1st) W 1-038.4 1210 1244 49.03% 30.71% 20.27%+0.62 +8.6 17
2008-12-07 @ Turnovo L 0-138.4 1244 1210 20.27% 30.71% 49.03%-0.62 -8.6 15
2008-12-07 Renova W 3-141.9 1402 1381 55.23% 28.92% 15.85%+0.93 +11.2 30
2008-12-07 @ Milano Kumanove L 1-341.9 1381 1402 15.85% 28.92% 55.23%-0.93 -11.2 26
2008-12-07 Vardar D 1-152.5 1231 1346 38.44% 32.19% 29.37%+0.17 -0.6 14
2008-12-07 @ Napredok D 1-152.5 1346 1231 29.37% 32.19% 38.44%-0.17 +0.6 24
2008-12-13 Makedonija GP L 0-148.4 1347 1420 44.16% 31.61% 24.23%+0.41 -15.3 24
2008-12-13 @ Vardar W 1-048.4 1420 1347 24.23% 31.61% 44.16%-0.41 +15.3 37
2008-12-14 Metalurg Skopje D 2-259.7 1294 1214 61.18% 26.50% 12.33%+1.25 -2.8 17
2008-12-14 @ Sileks D 2-259.7 1214 1294 12.33% 26.50% 61.18%-1.25 +2.8 14
2008-12-14 Milano Kumanove W 2-041.7 1241 1414 30.50% 32.26% 37.24%-0.14 +25.4 15
2008-12-14 @ Pelister L 0-241.7 1414 1241 37.24% 32.26% 30.50%+0.14 -25.4 30
2008-12-14 Napredok W 1-033.7 1370 1230 66.65% 23.71% 9.64%+1.57 +4.0 29
2008-12-14 @ Renova L 0-133.7 1230 1370 9.64% 23.71% 66.65%-1.57 -4.0 14
2008-12-14 Rabotnicki D 0-048.3 1235 1446 25.72% 31.84% 42.43%-0.35 +1.3 16
2008-12-14 @ Pobeda (1st) D 0-048.3 1446 1235 42.43% 31.84% 25.72%+0.35 -1.3 29
2009-03-01 Milano Kumanove W 3-146.7 1226 1388 31.85% 32.30% 35.85%-0.08 +21.4 17
2009-03-01 @ Napredok L 1-346.7 1388 1226 35.85% 32.30% 31.85%+0.08 -21.4 30
2009-03-01 Pelister W 1-036.8 1291 1267 55.53% 28.81% 15.66%+0.94 +6.8 20
2009-03-01 @ Sileks L 0-136.8 1267 1291 15.66% 28.81% 55.53%-0.94 -6.8 15
2009-03-01 Pobeda (1st) W 2-143.9 1217 1236 50.61% 30.32% 19.07%+0.70 +7.7 17
2009-03-01 @ Metalurg Skopje L 1-243.9 1236 1217 19.07% 30.32% 50.61%-0.70 -7.7 16
2009-03-01 Renova D 1-157.0 1435 1374 59.33% 27.32% 13.35%+1.15 -3.5 38
2009-03-01 @ Makedonija GP D 1-157.0 1374 1435 13.35% 27.32% 59.33%-1.15 +3.5 30
2009-03-01 Vardar W 1-041.7 1219 1332 38.85% 32.17% 28.98%+0.19 +11.3 20
2009-03-01 @ Turnovo L 0-141.7 1332 1219 28.98% 32.17% 38.85%-0.19 -11.3 24
2009-03-08 Makedonija GP W 1-042.8 1367 1431 45.21% 31.45% 23.34%+0.45 +9.6 33
2009-03-08 @ Milano Kumanove L 0-142.8 1431 1367 23.34% 31.45% 45.21%-0.45 -9.6 38
2009-03-08 Napredok W 1-036.9 1260 1247 54.27% 29.24% 16.49%+0.88 +7.1 18
2009-03-08 @ Pelister L 0-136.9 1247 1260 16.49% 29.24% 54.27%-0.88 -7.1 17
2009-03-08 Rabotnicki W 2-150.5 1320 1444 37.26% 32.26% 30.48%+0.13 +11.0 27
2009-03-08 @ Vardar L 1-250.5 1444 1320 30.48% 32.26% 37.26%-0.13 -11.0 29
2009-03-08 Sileks L 1-252.2 1229 1298 44.62% 31.55% 23.83%+0.43 -14.5 16
2009-03-08 @ Pobeda (1st) W 2-152.2 1298 1229 23.83% 31.55% 44.62%-0.43 +14.5 23
2009-03-08 Turnovo W 1-033.6 1377 1230 67.28% 23.35% 9.36%+1.61 +3.9 33
2009-03-08 @ Renova L 0-133.6 1230 1377 9.36% 23.35% 67.28%-1.61 -3.9 20
2009-03-15 Milano Kumanove W 2-040.3 1226 1376 33.57% 32.33% 34.11%-0.02 +23.9 23
2009-03-15 @ Turnovo L 0-240.3 1376 1226 34.11% 32.33% 33.57%+0.02 -23.9 33
2009-03-15 Napredok W 1-033.1 1422 1240 70.23% 21.64% 8.12%+1.81 +3.3 41
2009-03-15 @ Makedonija GP L 0-133.1 1240 1422 8.12% 21.64% 70.23%-1.81 -3.3 17
2009-03-15 Pelister W 2-035.8 1214 1267 46.67% 31.20% 22.13%+0.52 +17.4 19
2009-03-15 @ Pobeda (1st) L 0-235.8 1267 1214 22.13% 31.20% 46.67%-0.52 -17.4 18
2009-03-15 Renova L 1-355.0 1433 1381 58.42% 27.70% 13.88%+1.10 -31.3 29
2009-03-15 @ Rabotnicki W 3-155.0 1381 1433 13.88% 27.70% 58.42%-1.10 +31.3 36
2009-03-15 Vardar D 1-152.4 1224 1331 39.61% 32.11% 28.27%+0.22 -0.8 18
2009-03-15 @ Metalurg Skopje D 1-152.4 1331 1224 28.27% 32.11% 39.61%-0.22 +0.8 28
2009-03-23 Makedonija GP L 0-239.7 1250 1425 30.09% 32.24% 37.68%-0.15 -21.9 18
2009-03-23 @ Pelister W 2-039.7 1425 1250 37.68% 32.24% 30.09%+0.15 +21.9 44
2009-03-23 Metalurg Skopje D 1-156.2 1412 1223 70.82% 21.29% 7.89%+1.85 -4.9 37
2009-03-23 @ Renova D 1-156.2 1223 1412 7.89% 21.29% 70.82%-1.85 +4.9 19
2009-03-23 Rabotnicki W 1-041.4 1353 1402 47.09% 31.12% 21.79%+0.54 +9.1 36
2009-03-23 @ Milano Kumanove L 0-141.4 1402 1353 21.79% 31.12% 47.09%-0.54 -9.1 29
2009-03-23 Sileks W 2-034.2 1332 1312 55.02% 28.99% 15.99%+0.92 +13.1 31
2009-03-23 @ Vardar L 0-234.2 1312 1332 15.99% 28.99% 55.02%-0.92 -13.1 23
2009-03-23 Turnovo D 0-047.5 1237 1250 51.37% 30.12% 18.51%+0.74 -2.7 18
2009-03-23 @ Napredok D 0-047.5 1250 1237 18.51% 30.12% 51.37%-0.74 +2.7 24
2009-04-03 Pelister W 2-029.9 1393 1228 68.85% 22.46% 8.69%+1.71 +6.7 32
2009-04-03 @ Rabotnicki L 0-229.9 1228 1393 8.69% 22.46% 68.85%-1.71 -6.7 18
2009-04-04 Metalurg Skopje W 4-027.7 1407 1228 70.02% 21.77% 8.21%+1.79 +11.9 40
2009-04-04 @ Renova L 0-427.7 1228 1407 8.21% 21.77% 70.02%-1.79 -11.9 19
2009-04-04 Napredok W 2-031.0 1345 1234 64.07% 25.08% 10.85%+1.42 +8.7 34
2009-04-04 @ Vardar L 0-231.0 1234 1345 10.85% 25.08% 64.07%-1.42 -8.7 18
2009-04-04 Pobeda (1st) W 3-136.4 1362 1232 65.80% 24.17% 10.03%+1.52 +6.9 39
2009-04-04 @ Milano Kumanove L 1-336.4 1232 1362 10.03% 24.17% 65.80%-1.52 -6.9 19
2009-04-04 Sileks W 2-031.8 1447 1299 67.35% 23.32% 9.33%+1.62 +7.3 47
2009-04-04 @ Makedonija GP L 0-231.8 1299 1447 9.33% 23.32% 67.35%-1.62 -7.3 23
2009-04-12 Makedonija GP D 1-153.6 1216 1454 22.72% 31.33% 45.96%-0.50 +1.6 20
2009-04-12 @ Metalurg Skopje D 1-153.6 1454 1216 45.96% 31.33% 22.72%+0.50 -1.6 48
2009-04-12 Milano Kumanove D 1-152.6 1225 1369 34.57% 32.33% 33.10%+0.02 -0.1 19
2009-04-12 @ Napredok D 1-152.6 1369 1225 33.10% 32.33% 34.57%-0.02 +0.1 40
2009-04-12 Renova D 2-258.9 1225 1419 27.63% 32.06% 40.31%-0.26 +0.6 20
2009-04-12 @ Pobeda (1st) D 2-258.9 1419 1225 40.31% 32.06% 27.63%+0.26 -0.6 41
2009-04-12 Sileks W 1-038.9 1253 1292 48.34% 30.86% 20.80%+0.59 +8.8 27
2009-04-12 @ Turnovo L 0-138.9 1292 1253 20.80% 30.86% 48.34%-0.59 -8.8 23
2009-04-12 Vardar D 0-047.3 1221 1354 36.04% 32.30% 31.66%+0.08 -0.3 19
2009-04-12 @ Pelister D 0-047.3 1354 1221 31.66% 32.30% 36.04%-0.08 +0.3 35
2009-04-18 Metalurg Skopje L 0-344.2 1283 1218 59.72% 27.15% 13.13%+1.17 -53.3 23
2009-04-18 @ Sileks W 3-044.2 1218 1283 13.13% 27.15% 59.72%-1.17 +53.3 23
2009-04-18 Napredok W 3-027.6 1419 1225 71.18% 21.07% 7.75%+1.87 +8.5 44
2009-04-18 @ Renova L 0-327.6 1225 1419 7.75% 21.07% 71.18%-1.87 -8.5 19
2009-04-18 Pelister W 4-133.0 1369 1221 67.38% 23.30% 9.32%+1.62 +8.9 43
2009-04-18 @ Milano Kumanove L 1-433.0 1221 1369 9.32% 23.30% 67.38%-1.62 -9.0 19
2009-04-18 Pobeda (1st) W 3-027.1 1453 1225 73.86% 19.40% 6.74%+2.06 +7.1 51
2009-04-18 @ Makedonija GP L 0-327.1 1225 1453 6.74% 19.40% 73.86%-2.06 -7.1 20
2009-04-18 Turnovo W 3-136.7 1400 1262 66.51% 23.79% 9.71%+1.57 +6.6 35
2009-04-18 @ Rabotnicki L 1-336.7 1262 1400 9.71% 23.79% 66.51%-1.57 -6.6 27
2009-04-22 Makedonija GP D 1-153.7 1217 1460 22.21% 31.21% 46.58%-0.53 +1.7 20
2009-04-22 @ Napredok D 1-153.7 1460 1217 46.58% 31.21% 22.21%+0.53 -1.7 52
2009-04-22 Metalurg Skopje D 1-152.5 1218 1271 46.64% 31.20% 22.16%+0.52 -1.7 21
2009-04-22 @ Pobeda (1st) D 1-152.5 1271 1218 22.16% 31.20% 46.64%-0.52 +1.7 24
2009-04-22 Renova W 1-046.4 1212 1427 25.17% 31.76% 43.07%-0.37 +15.0 22
2009-04-22 @ Pelister L 0-146.4 1427 1212 43.07% 31.76% 25.17%+0.37 -15.0 44
2009-04-22 Sileks L 1-257.5 1406 1230 69.79% 21.90% 8.30%+1.78 -20.6 35
2009-04-22 @ Rabotnicki W 2-157.5 1230 1406 8.30% 21.90% 69.79%-1.78 +20.6 26
2009-04-22 Vardar D 1-152.8 1255 1354 40.69% 32.02% 27.29%+0.26 -0.9 28
2009-04-22 @ Turnovo D 1-152.8 1354 1255 27.29% 32.02% 40.69%-0.26 +0.9 36
2009-04-26 Napredok W 1-035.6 1273 1219 58.65% 27.61% 13.74%+1.11 +6.0 27
2009-04-26 @ Metalurg Skopje L 0-135.6 1219 1273 13.74% 27.61% 58.65%-1.11 -6.0 20
2009-04-26 Pelister D 0-052.1 1458 1227 74.17% 19.21% 6.63%+2.08 -5.8 53
2009-04-26 @ Makedonija GP D 0-052.1 1227 1458 6.63% 19.21% 74.17%-2.08 +5.8 23
2009-04-26 Pobeda (1st) L 2-359.3 1251 1217 56.54% 28.44% 15.02%+0.99 -16.7 26
2009-04-26 @ Sileks W 3-259.3 1217 1251 15.02% 28.44% 56.54%-0.99 +16.7 24
2009-04-26 Rabotnicki W 2-037.1 1355 1386 49.36% 30.63% 20.01%+0.64 +16.0 39
2009-04-26 @ Vardar L 0-237.1 1386 1355 20.01% 30.63% 49.36%-0.64 -16.0 35
2009-04-26 Turnovo L 1-256.9 1378 1254 65.22% 24.48% 10.30%+1.49 -19.6 43
2009-04-26 @ Milano Kumanove W 2-156.9 1254 1378 10.30% 24.48% 65.22%-1.49 +19.6 31
2009-04-29 Metalurg Skopje D 2-258.4 1233 1279 47.45% 31.05% 21.50%+0.55 -1.4 24
2009-04-29 @ Pelister D 2-258.4 1279 1233 21.50% 31.05% 47.45%-0.55 +1.4 28
2009-04-29 Milano Kumanove W 2-035.5 1370 1358 54.17% 29.28% 16.56%+0.87 +13.5 38
2009-04-29 @ Rabotnicki L 0-235.5 1358 1370 16.56% 29.28% 54.17%-0.87 -13.5 43
2009-04-29 Pobeda (1st) D 1-152.6 1213 1233 50.54% 30.34% 19.12%+0.70 -2.3 21
2009-04-29 @ Napredok D 1-152.6 1233 1213 19.12% 30.34% 50.54%-0.70 +2.3 25
2009-04-29 Renova D 1-153.4 1274 1412 35.25% 32.32% 32.43%+0.05 -0.2 32
2009-04-29 @ Turnovo D 1-153.4 1412 1274 32.43% 32.32% 35.25%-0.05 +0.2 45
2009-04-30 Sileks L 0-247.5 1371 1234 66.45% 23.82% 9.73%+1.56 -39.8 39
2009-04-30 @ Vardar W 2-047.5 1234 1371 9.73% 23.82% 66.45%-1.56 +39.8 29
2009-05-02 Turnovo W 1-034.0 1452 1274 69.99% 21.79% 8.22%+1.79 +3.3 56
2009-05-02 @ Makedonija GP L 0-134.0 1274 1452 8.22% 21.79% 69.99%-1.79 -3.3 32
2009-05-03 Napredok W 4-241.1 1274 1210 59.52% 27.24% 13.24%+1.16 +8.4 32
2009-05-03 @ Sileks L 2-441.1 1210 1274 13.24% 27.24% 59.52%-1.16 -8.4 21
2009-05-03 Pelister W 2-143.1 1236 1231 53.35% 29.54% 17.11%+0.83 +7.0 28
2009-05-03 @ Pobeda (1st) L 1-243.1 1231 1236 17.11% 29.54% 53.35%-0.83 -7.0 24
2009-05-03 Rabotnicki W 1-039.5 1412 1383 56.02% 28.63% 15.34%+0.97 +6.7 48
2009-05-03 @ Renova L 0-139.5 1383 1412 15.34% 28.63% 56.02%-0.97 -6.7 38
2009-05-03 Vardar W 1-038.1 1344 1331 54.32% 29.22% 16.45%+0.88 +7.1 46
2009-05-03 @ Milano Kumanove L 0-138.1 1331 1344 16.45% 29.22% 54.32%-0.88 -7.1 39
2009-05-09 Renova D 0-049.1 1324 1419 41.27% 31.97% 26.76%+0.29 -1.1 40
2009-05-09 @ Vardar D 0-049.1 1419 1324 26.76% 31.97% 41.27%-0.29 +1.1 49
2009-05-10 Makedonija GP L 0-149.7 1377 1456 43.35% 31.73% 24.92%+0.37 -15.1 38
2009-05-10 @ Rabotnicki W 1-049.7 1456 1377 24.92% 31.73% 43.35%-0.37 +15.1 59
2009-05-10 Metalurg Skopje D 1-153.1 1270 1281 51.72% 30.02% 18.26%+0.75 -2.5 33
2009-05-10 @ Turnovo D 1-153.1 1281 1270 18.26% 30.02% 51.72%-0.75 +2.5 29
2009-05-10 Napredok W 3-138.9 1224 1202 55.31% 28.89% 15.80%+0.93 +11.2 27
2009-05-10 @ Pelister L 1-338.9 1202 1224 15.80% 28.89% 55.31%-0.93 -11.2 21
2009-05-10 Sileks W 3-246.6 1352 1282 60.14% 26.97% 12.89%+1.19 +5.0 49
2009-05-10 @ Milano Kumanove L 2-346.6 1282 1352 12.89% 26.97% 60.14%-1.19 -5.0 32
2009-05-17 Milano Kumanove W 4-137.7 1420 1357 59.54% 27.23% 13.23%+1.16 +13.3 52
2009-05-17 @ Renova L 1-437.7 1357 1420 13.23% 27.23% 59.54%-1.16 -13.3 49
2009-05-17 Pelister W 1-036.0 1277 1235 57.32% 28.14% 14.53%+1.04 +6.3 35
2009-05-17 @ Sileks L 0-136.0 1235 1277 14.53% 28.14% 57.32%-1.04 -6.3 27
2009-05-17 Rabotnicki L 0-146.6 1283 1361 43.42% 31.72% 24.87%+0.38 -15.1 29
2009-05-17 @ Metalurg Skopje W 1-046.6 1361 1283 24.87% 31.72% 43.42%-0.38 +15.1 41
2009-05-17 Turnovo W 2-034.9 1242 1268 49.99% 30.48% 19.53%+0.67 +15.7 31
2009-05-17 @ Pobeda (1st) L 0-234.9 1268 1242 19.53% 30.48% 49.99%-0.67 -15.7 33
2009-05-17 Vardar D 0-052.7 1471 1323 67.35% 23.32% 9.33%+1.62 -5.0 60
2009-05-17 @ Makedonija GP D 0-052.7 1323 1471 9.33% 23.32% 67.35%-1.62 +5.0 41
2009-05-27 Makedonija GP W 2-042.0 1343 1466 37.52% 32.24% 30.24%+0.14 +22.0 52
2009-05-27 @ Milano Kumanove L 0-242.0 1466 1343 30.24% 32.24% 37.52%-0.14 -22.0 60
2009-05-27 Metalurg Skopje W 1-035.9 1328 1268 59.22% 27.37% 13.41%+1.14 +5.8 44
2009-05-27 @ Vardar L 0-135.9 1268 1328 13.41% 27.37% 59.22%-1.14 -5.8 29
2009-05-27 Napredok W 2-031.9 1252 1191 59.33% 27.32% 13.35%+1.15 +10.9 36
2009-05-27 @ Turnovo L 0-231.9 1191 1252 13.35% 27.32% 59.33%-1.15 -10.9 21
2009-05-27 Sileks D 2-262.4 1433 1283 67.56% 23.20% 9.24%+1.63 -3.4 53
2009-05-27 @ Renova D 2-262.4 1283 1433 9.24% 23.20% 67.56%-1.63 +3.4 36
2009-05-28 Pobeda (1st) W 2-031.2 1377 1258 64.75% 24.73% 10.52%+1.46 +8.4 44
2009-05-28 @ Rabotnicki L 0-231.2 1258 1377 10.52% 24.73% 64.75%-1.46 -8.4 31
2009-05-31 Milano Kumanove L 0-145.6 1262 1365 40.13% 32.07% 27.79%+0.24 -14.2 29
2009-05-31 @ Metalurg Skopje W 1-045.6 1365 1262 27.79% 32.07% 40.13%-0.24 +14.2 55
2009-05-31 Rabotnicki L 0-141.0 1180 1385 26.34% 31.92% 41.74%-0.32 -10.5 21
2009-05-31 @ Napredok W 1-041.0 1385 1180 41.74% 31.92% 26.34%+0.32 +10.5 47
2009-05-31 Renova D 1-158.2 1444 1430 54.38% 29.21% 16.42%+0.88 -2.8 61
2009-05-31 @ Makedonija GP D 1-158.2 1430 1444 16.42% 29.21% 54.38%-0.88 +2.8 54
2009-05-31 Turnovo D 2-258.4 1229 1263 48.97% 30.72% 20.31%+0.62 -1.5 28
2009-05-31 @ Pelister D 2-258.4 1263 1229 20.31% 30.72% 48.97%-0.62 +1.5 37
2009-05-31 Vardar D 1-152.7 1250 1334 42.68% 31.81% 25.51%+0.35 -1.2 32
2009-05-31 @ Pobeda (1st) D 1-152.7 1334 1250 25.51% 31.81% 42.68%-0.35 +1.2 45

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2009-04-22 8.30% Sileks 1230 2 @ Rabotnicki 1406 1
2 2009-04-30 9.73% Sileks 1234 2 @ Vardar 1371 0
3 2009-04-26 10.30% Turnovo 1254 2 @ Milano Kumanove 1378 1
4 2009-04-18 13.13% Metalurg Skopje 1218 3 @ Sileks 1283 0
5 2009-03-15 13.88% Renova 1381 3 @ Rabotnicki 1433 1
6 2008-10-26 14.47% Pobeda (1st) 1262 1 @ Pelister 1304 0
7 2008-11-12 14.47% Metalurg Skopje 1217 2 @ Napredok 1260 1
8 2009-04-26 15.02% Pobeda (1st) 1217 3 @ Sileks 1251 2
9 2008-09-14 15.60% Vardar 1346 3 @ Milano Kumanove 1372 1
10 2008-11-29 17.83% Milano Kumanove 1377 4 @ Vardar 1372 2
11 2008-08-10 19.20% Renova 1313 1 @ Pobeda (1st) 1291 0
12 2008-09-28 23.51% Renova 1338 2 @ Napredok 1272 1
13 2009-03-08 23.83% Sileks 1298 2 @ Pobeda (1st) 1229 1
14 2008-12-13 24.23% Makedonija GP 1420 1 @ Vardar 1347 0
15 2009-05-17 24.87% Rabotnicki 1361 1 @ Metalurg Skopje 1283 0
16 2009-05-10 24.92% Makedonija GP 1456 1 @ Rabotnicki 1377 0
17 2009-04-22 25.17% @ Pelister 1212 1 Renova 1427 0
18 2008-11-30 27.62% Renova 1366 1 @ Pelister 1265 0
19 2009-05-31 27.79% Milano Kumanove 1365 1 @ Metalurg Skopje 1262 0
20 2008-12-14 30.50% @ Pelister 1241 2 Milano Kumanove 1414 0
21 2008-11-09 30.85% Milano Kumanove 1358 1 @ Metalurg Skopje 1231 0
22 2009-03-01 31.85% @ Napredok 1226 3 Milano Kumanove 1388 1
23 2009-03-15 33.57% @ Turnovo 1226 2 Milano Kumanove 1376 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2009-04-18 53.35 Metalurg Skopje 3 1218 13.13% @ Sileks 0 1283 59.72% 27.15%
2 2009-04-30 39.79 Sileks 2 1234 9.73% @ Vardar 0 1371 66.45% 23.82%
3 2009-03-15 31.26 Renova 3 1381 13.88% @ Rabotnicki 1 1433 58.42% 27.70%
4 2008-09-14 30.05 Vardar 3 1346 15.60% @ Milano Kumanove 1 1372 55.63% 28.78%
5 2008-11-16 29.52 @ Sileks 7 1266 55.43% Napredok 1 1242 15.73% 28.85%
6 2008-11-29 25.57 Milano Kumanove 4 1377 17.83% @ Vardar 2 1372 52.32% 29.85%
7 2008-12-14 25.38 @ Pelister 2 1241 30.50% Milano Kumanove 0 1414 37.24% 32.26%
8 2008-09-14 25.21 @ Makedonija GP 5 1337 59.66% Pobeda (1st) 0 1272 13.16% 27.18%
9 2008-11-01 24.88 @ Rabotnicki 4 1402 54.98% Milano Kumanove 0 1382 16.02% 29.00%
10 2008-08-03 24.59 @ Makedonija GP 4 1298 55.28% Turnovo 0 1276 15.82% 28.90%
11 2008-08-23 24.13 @ Vardar 3 1310 48.18% Pelister 0 1351 20.93% 30.89%
12 2009-03-15 23.87 @ Turnovo 2 1226 33.57% Milano Kumanove 0 1376 34.11% 32.33%
13 2008-08-03 22.91 @ Vardar 3 1287 49.80% Pobeda (1st) 0 1314 19.67% 30.52%
14 2008-10-05 22.68 @ Milano Kumanove 5 1345 61.93% Napredok 0 1257 11.93% 26.14%
15 2009-05-27 21.97 @ Milano Kumanove 2 1343 37.52% Makedonija GP 0 1466 30.24% 32.24%
16 2009-03-23 21.90 Makedonija GP 2 1425 37.68% @ Pelister 0 1250 30.09% 32.24%
17 2008-11-30 21.63 @ Sileks 4 1284 58.39% Turnovo 0 1232 13.89% 27.71%
18 2009-03-01 21.39 @ Napredok 3 1226 31.85% Milano Kumanove 1 1388 35.85% 32.30%
19 2009-04-22 20.57 Sileks 2 1230 8.30% @ Rabotnicki 1 1406 69.79% 21.90%
20 2009-04-26 19.63 Turnovo 2 1254 10.30% @ Milano Kumanove 1 1378 65.22% 24.48%
21 2008-10-26 18.88 Pobeda (1st) 1 1262 14.47% @ Pelister 0 1304 57.43% 28.10%
22 2008-09-28 18.87 @ Metalurg Skopje 2 1219 43.76% Sileks 0 1295 24.57% 31.67%
23 2008-11-23 17.89 @ Napredok 2 1213 45.69% Pobeda (1st) 0 1273 22.94% 31.37%
24 2008-11-12 17.80 Metalurg Skopje 2 1217 14.47% @ Napredok 1 1260 57.43% 28.10%
25 2008-11-12 17.54 @ Makedonija GP 2 1367 46.37% Rabotnicki 0 1422 22.38% 31.25%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2008-08-09 64.7 @ Rabotnicki 3 1397 60.70% Makedonija GP 3 1322 12.58% 26.71%
2 2009-05-27 62.4 @ Renova 2 1433 67.56% Sileks 2 1283 9.24% 23.20%
3 2008-09-27 61.6 @ Rabotnicki 2 1401 67.29% Pobeda (1st) 2 1254 9.36% 23.35%
4 2008-12-14 59.7 @ Sileks 2 1294 61.18% Metalurg Skopje 2 1214 12.33% 26.50%
5 2009-04-26 59.3 Pobeda (1st) 3 1217 15.02% @ Sileks 2 1251 56.54% 28.44%
6 2009-04-12 58.9 @ Pobeda (1st) 2 1225 27.63% Renova 2 1419 40.31% 32.06%
7 2009-04-29 58.4 @ Pelister 2 1233 47.45% Metalurg Skopje 2 1279 21.50% 31.05%
8 2009-05-31 58.4 @ Pelister 2 1229 48.97% Turnovo 2 1263 20.31% 30.72%
9 2009-05-31 58.2 @ Makedonija GP 1 1444 54.38% Renova 1 1430 16.42% 29.21%
10 2009-04-22 57.5 Sileks 2 1230 8.30% @ Rabotnicki 1 1406 69.79% 21.90%
11 2009-03-01 57.0 @ Makedonija GP 1 1435 59.33% Renova 1 1374 13.35% 27.32%
12 2009-04-26 56.9 Turnovo 2 1254 10.30% @ Milano Kumanove 1 1378 65.22% 24.48%
13 2008-11-08 56.4 @ Rabotnicki 1 1427 69.38% Napredok 1 1255 8.47% 22.15%
14 2009-03-23 56.2 @ Renova 1 1412 70.82% Metalurg Skopje 1 1223 7.89% 21.29%
15 2008-11-29 55.8 Milano Kumanove 4 1377 17.83% @ Vardar 2 1372 52.32% 29.85%
16 2008-10-26 55.3 @ Vardar 1 1370 66.98% Metalurg Skopje 1 1227 9.50% 23.52%
17 2008-11-23 55.0 @ Renova 1 1369 52.87% Vardar 1 1369 17.44% 29.68%
18 2009-03-15 55.0 Renova 3 1381 13.88% @ Rabotnicki 1 1433 58.42% 27.70%
19 2008-11-12 54.8 Metalurg Skopje 2 1217 14.47% @ Napredok 1 1260 57.43% 28.10%
20 2008-08-31 54.1 @ Pelister 1 1326 44.69% Rabotnicki 1 1395 23.77% 31.53%
21 2009-04-22 53.7 @ Napredok 1 1217 22.21% Makedonija GP 1 1460 46.58% 31.21%
22 2009-04-12 53.6 @ Metalurg Skopje 1 1216 22.72% Makedonija GP 1 1454 45.96% 31.33%
23 2008-08-03 53.5 @ Napredok 1 1288 39.44% Rabotnicki 1 1397 28.43% 32.13%
24 2008-08-31 53.5 @ Sileks 1 1308 49.79% Makedonija GP 1 1335 19.69% 30.53%
25 2009-04-29 53.4 @ Turnovo 1 1274 35.25% Renova 1 1412 32.43% 32.32%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2009-04-18 27.1 @ Makedonija GP 3 1453 73.86% Pobeda (1st) 0 1225 6.74% 19.40%
2 2009-04-18 27.6 @ Renova 3 1419 71.18% Napredok 0 1225 7.75% 21.07%
3 2009-04-04 27.7 @ Renova 4 1407 70.02% Metalurg Skopje 0 1228 8.21% 21.77%
4 2008-10-26 28.9 @ Milano Kumanove 3 1371 66.01% Turnovo 0 1239 9.93% 24.06%
5 2008-11-22 29.5 @ Rabotnicki 3 1412 66.37% Pelister 0 1276 9.77% 23.86%
6 2009-04-03 29.9 @ Rabotnicki 2 1393 68.85% Pelister 0 1228 8.69% 22.46%
7 2008-10-05 30.4 @ Milano Kumanove 5 1345 61.93% Napredok 0 1257 11.93% 26.14%
8 2008-12-06 30.4 @ Rabotnicki 3 1434 65.65% Sileks 0 1306 10.10% 24.25%
9 2008-11-30 30.5 @ Sileks 4 1284 58.39% Turnovo 0 1232 13.89% 27.71%
10 2008-10-07 30.9 @ Vardar 2 1375 65.61% Turnovo 0 1247 10.12% 24.27%
11 2009-04-04 31.0 @ Vardar 2 1345 64.07% Napredok 0 1234 10.85% 25.08%
12 2008-09-14 31.2 @ Makedonija GP 5 1337 59.66% Pobeda (1st) 0 1272 13.16% 27.18%
13 2009-05-28 31.2 @ Rabotnicki 2 1377 64.75% Pobeda (1st) 0 1258 10.52% 24.73%
14 2008-09-21 31.6 @ Pelister 2 1312 61.48% Metalurg Skopje 0 1229 12.17% 26.35%
15 2008-08-03 31.7 @ Makedonija GP 4 1298 55.28% Turnovo 0 1276 15.82% 28.90%
16 2009-04-04 31.8 @ Makedonija GP 2 1447 67.35% Sileks 0 1299 9.33% 23.32%
17 2008-08-24 31.9 @ Makedonija GP 2 1324 61.09% Metalurg Skopje 0 1245 12.37% 26.54%
18 2009-05-27 31.9 @ Turnovo 2 1252 59.33% Napredok 0 1191 13.35% 27.32%
19 2008-11-02 32.6 @ Makedonija GP 2 1356 60.23% Pelister 0 1285 12.84% 26.93%
20 2008-11-15 32.8 @ Rabotnicki 4 1404 69.42% Turnovo 1 1232 8.45% 22.12%
21 2009-04-18 33.0 @ Milano Kumanove 4 1369 67.38% Pelister 1 1221 9.32% 23.30%
22 2009-03-15 33.1 @ Makedonija GP 1 1422 70.23% Napredok 0 1240 8.12% 21.64%
23 2008-09-13 33.3 @ Rabotnicki 1 1397 68.76% Metalurg Skopje 0 1233 8.73% 22.51%
24 2009-03-08 33.6 @ Renova 1 1377 67.28% Turnovo 0 1230 9.36% 23.35%
25 2008-08-03 33.7 @ Vardar 3 1287 49.80% Pobeda (1st) 0 1314 19.67% 30.52%