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2009-10 Macedonian First Football League Season

127 games

Final

Champion

Renova

55 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Metalurg Skopje

6.54 points above expected

47 points · 40.46 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Milano Kumanove

11.69 points below expected

6 points · 17.69 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Renova 26 17 4 5 55 45 21 +24 52.04 +2.96
2 Rabotnicki 26 15 5 6 50 38 20 +18 49.71 +0.29
3 Metalurg Skopje 26 12 11 3 47 32 16 +16 40.46 +6.54
4 Pelister 26 11 6 9 39 28 27 +1 33.55 +5.45
5 Sileks 26 8 8 10 32 29 33 -4 34.16 -2.16
6 Vardar* 26 9 6 11 30 31 25 +6 28.73 +1.27
7 Teteks 26 8 6 12 30 31 30 +1 30.64 -0.64
8 Turnovo* 26 8 5 13 26 27 35 -8 30.13 -4.13
9 Makedonija GP 10 5 4 1 19 23 5 +18 17.39 +1.61
10 Sloga Jugomagnat 10 3 2 5 11 9 14 -5 9.86 +1.14
11 Milano Kumanove 26 1 3 22 6 14 81 -67 17.69 -11.69

* Point deductions: Turnovo (-3 pts), Vardar (-3 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Metalurg Skopje 47 40.46 +6.54
2 Pelister 39 33.55 +5.45
3 Renova 55 52.04 +2.96
4 Makedonija GP 19 17.39 +1.61
5 Vardar 30 28.73 +1.27

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Milano Kumanove 6 17.69 -11.69
2 Turnovo 26 30.13 -4.13
3 Sileks 32 34.16 -2.16
4 Teteks 30 30.64 -0.64
5 Rabotnicki 50 49.71 +0.29

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Metalurg Skopje 5 Nov 22 – Mar 21 1 in 86
2 Rabotnicki 4 Aug 12 – Sep 13 1 in 27
3 Renova 6 Oct 4 – Nov 22 1 in 20
4 Milano Kumanove 1 Nov 22 – Nov 22 1 in 13
5 Sileks 2 Dec 6 – Dec 9 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Milano Kumanove 12 Aug 1 – Nov 7 1 in 2,189
2 Rabotnicki 3 Apr 24 – May 9 1 in 86
3 Turnovo 3 Feb 28 – Mar 24 1 in 37
4 Renova 2 May 12 – May 15 1 in 15
5 Vardar 3 Aug 16 – Sep 21 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Metalurg Skopje 14 Nov 22 – May 15 1 in 73
2 Milano Kumanove 3 Mar 24 – Apr 3 1 in 45
3 Vardar 6 Apr 3 – May 15 1 in 35
4 Rabotnicki 12 Aug 2 – Nov 7 1 in 21
5 Teteks 6 Apr 18 – May 15 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sileks 5 Mar 7 – Apr 18 1 in 17
2 Metalurg Skopje 7 Aug 2 – Sep 27 1 in 15
3 Turnovo 7 Feb 28 – Apr 18 1 in 13
4 Rabotnicki 3 Apr 24 – May 9 1 in 9
5 Teteks 4 Aug 1 – Sep 13 1 in 5

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Renova 1407 55 -104 6 10.2 -4.2
Rabotnicki 1362 50 -42 6 8.4 -2.4
Metalurg Skopje 1439 44 +70 13 8.1 +4.9
Pelister 1268 39 +20 7 5.5 +1.5
Vardar 1335 33 +126 11 6.7 +4.3
Sileks 1209 32 -54 4 6.0 -2.0
Teteks 1276 30 +56 9 7.3 +1.7
Turnovo 1102 29 -36 4 5.9 -1.9
Makedonija GP 1446 19 +48 11 9.5 +1.5
Sloga Jugomagnat 1146 11 +3 6 5.8 +0.2
Milano Kumanove 862 6 -58 0 2.2 -2.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team MG MS MK PEL RAB REN SIL SJ TET TUR VAR
Makedonija GP —
0-1-0
1.77
1-0-0
2.48
0-1-0
2.22
0-1-0
0.95
0-0-1
0.90
1-0-0
2.28
1-0-0
2.29
0-1-0
1.49
1-0-0
1.57
1-0-0
1.74
Metalurg Skopje
0-1-0
0.98
 —
2-1-0
7.41
1-0-2
4.93
1-2-0
2.86
2-0-1
2.97
2-1-0
4.48
1-0-0
1.32
1-2-0
4.89
1-2-0
4.55
1-2-0
4.93
Milano Kumanove
0-0-1
0.33
0-1-2
1.01
 —
1-1-1
1.97
0-0-3
2.03
0-0-3
1.99
0-1-2
2.04
0-0-1
1.00
0-0-3
2.53
0-0-3
2.44
0-0-3
1.89
Pelister
0-1-0
0.55
2-0-1
3.34
1-1-1
6.33
 —
2-0-1
2.66
0-1-2
2.11
1-1-1
3.82
0-1-0
1.98
2-1-0
4.38
1-0-2
4.24
2-0-1
4.65
Rabotnicki
0-1-0
1.80
0-2-1
5.40
3-0-0
6.37
1-0-2
5.61
 —
2-0-1
3.26
0-1-2
6.25
1-0-0
2.06
3-0-0
6.16
3-0-0
5.68
2-1-0
6.27
Renova
1-0-0
1.85
1-0-2
5.31
3-0-0
6.46
2-1-0
6.20
1-0-2
5.00
 —
2-1-0
5.82
1-0-0
2.26
3-0-0
6.50
2-1-0
6.30
1-1-1
6.39
Sileks
0-0-1
0.49
0-1-2
3.77
2-1-0
6.28
1-1-1
4.43
2-1-0
2.04
0-1-2
2.46
 —
1-0-0
2.03
1-1-1
4.13
1-1-1
4.92
0-1-2
3.51
Sloga Jugomagnat
0-0-1
0.49
0-0-1
1.43
1-0-0
1.75
0-1-0
0.78
0-0-1
0.70
0-0-1
0.52
0-0-1
0.73
 —
1-0-0
1.46
0-1-0
1.32
1-0-0
1.39
Teteks
0-1-0
1.26
0-2-1
3.36
3-0-0
5.76
0-1-2
3.86
0-0-3
2.12
0-0-3
1.81
1-1-1
4.11
0-0-1
1.28
 —
3-0-0
3.38
1-1-1
3.94
Turnovo
0-0-1
1.18
0-2-1
3.72
3-0-0
5.87
2-0-1
4.01
0-0-3
2.60
0-1-2
2.04
1-1-1
3.33
0-1-0
1.43
0-0-3
4.87
 —
2-0-1
4.05
Vardar
0-0-1
1.01
0-2-1
3.33
3-0-0
6.43
1-0-2
3.60
0-1-2
2.02
1-1-1
1.90
2-1-0
4.74
0-0-1
1.36
1-1-1
4.31
1-0-2
4.19
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.85 +14.4
Allowed 0.18 -3.4
Differential 0.51 +4.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.87%12.99%5.91%3.15%1.97%1.97%33.86%
112.99%12.60%3.94%4.72%0.79%0.79%35.83%
25.91%3.94%3.15%0.79%0.39%—14.17%
33.15%4.72%0.79%—0.39%—9.06%
41.97%0.79%0.39%0.39%——3.54%
5+1.97%0.79%———0.79%3.54%
Total33.86%35.83%14.17%9.06%3.54%3.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 1.20 +0.00
SD 1.33 1.33 2.06
CV 1.11 1.11 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min -1 -1 -8

Games Played: 127

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%10.00%————30.00%
110.00%10.00%————20.00%
210.00%—10.00%———20.00%
3———————
4—10.00%————10.00%
5+20.00%—————20.00%
Total60.00%30.00%10.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.30 0.50 +1.80
SD 2.63 0.71 2.82
CV 1.14 1.41 —
Max 8 2 +8
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 10

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.08%——3.85%——26.92%
119.23%15.38%3.85%3.85%——42.31%
2—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
37.69%3.85%————11.54%
47.69%—————7.69%
5+—————3.85%3.85%
Total57.69%23.08%7.69%7.69%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 0.58 +0.62
SD 1.30 0.99 1.60
CV 1.09 1.71 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%19.23%7.69%15.38%11.54%61.54%
1—3.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%7.69%26.92%
2——3.85%—3.85%—7.69%
33.85%—————3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total7.69%7.69%26.92%15.38%23.08%19.23%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.54 3.12 -2.58
SD 0.81 1.84 2.18
CV 1.51 0.59 —
Max 3 8 +3
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%15.38%—7.69%——34.62%
123.08%7.69%3.85%3.85%——38.46%
2—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
33.85%7.69%——3.85%—15.38%
4———————
5+———————
Total38.46%38.46%7.69%11.54%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.04 +0.04
SD 1.06 1.15 1.46
CV 0.98 1.11 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%7.69%———15.38%
119.23%19.23%7.69%———46.15%
211.54%11.54%————23.08%
37.69%3.85%————11.54%
4———————
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total38.46%46.15%15.38%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 0.77 +0.69
SD 1.14 0.71 1.52
CV 0.78 0.92 —
Max 5 2 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
123.08%7.69%3.85%3.85%——38.46%
211.54%—3.85%———15.38%
3—15.38%7.69%———23.08%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total46.15%30.77%19.23%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 0.81 +0.92
SD 1.31 0.90 1.62
CV 0.76 1.11 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%15.38%——3.85%34.62%
17.69%23.08%—7.69%——38.46%
23.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
33.85%—————3.85%
43.85%3.85%————7.69%
5+———————
Total23.08%46.15%19.23%7.69%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.27 -0.15
SD 1.18 1.15 1.93
CV 1.06 0.91 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%10.00%—10.00%——30.00%
120.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%—60.00%
2———————
310.00%—————10.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total40.00%20.00%10.00%20.00%10.00%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.90 1.40 -0.50
SD 0.88 1.51 1.90
CV 0.97 1.08 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 10

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%23.08%——3.85%—38.46%
111.54%7.69%7.69%11.54%——38.46%
27.69%—3.85%———11.54%
3———————
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+3.85%3.85%————7.69%
Total34.62%34.62%15.38%11.54%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.15 +0.04
SD 1.58 1.16 2.03
CV 1.32 1.00 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—26.92%11.54%7.69%——46.15%
13.85%15.38%————19.23%
27.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
3—7.69%————7.69%
4———3.85%——3.85%
5+———————
Total11.54%57.69%15.38%15.38%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 1.35 -0.31
SD 1.18 0.89 1.49
CV 1.14 0.66 —
Max 4 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%23.08%———3.85%34.62%
17.69%15.38%3.85%3.85%——30.77%
211.54%——3.85%——15.38%
3—7.69%————7.69%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+3.85%————3.85%7.69%
Total34.62%46.15%3.85%7.69%—7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 0.92 +0.23
SD 1.41 1.23 1.99
CV 1.22 1.33 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min -1 -1 -5

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Makedonija GP 1446 19 17.39 +1.61 75.0% 8 11 15 18 19 23 25
Metalurg Skopje 1439 47 40.46 +6.54 88.0% 27 32 36 40 44 51 61
Renova 1407 55 52.04 +2.96 74.0% 40 43 48 51 56 63 68
Rabotnicki 1362 50 49.71 +0.29 55.0% 32 40 47 50 53 58 62
Vardar 1335 30 28.73 +1.27 67.0% 15 20 25 28 32 39 49
Teteks 1276 30 30.64 -0.64 51.0% 13 22 26 30 34 41 45
Pelister 1268 39 33.55 +5.45 86.0% 16 24 30 34 36 42 48
Sileks 1209 32 34.16 -2.16 38.0% 18 25 31 34 38 42 48
Sloga Jugomagnat 1146 11 9.86 +1.14 65.0% 2 4 7 10 12 16 18
Turnovo 1102 26 30.13 -4.13 20.0% 13 18 27 31 34 39 46
Milano Kumanove 862 6 17.69 -11.69 0.0% 8 9 14 17 21 26 32

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 23% * Slight Edge: 23% to 31% * Clear Edge: 31% to 38% * Strong Edge: 38% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+22.83%
No Edge
49.61%23.62%26.77%
Elo Value
Home Edge
197 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
077.88500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.51 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.40+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.12 * Tight Race: 0.12 to 0.25 * Comfortable: 0.25 to 0.36 * Runaway: 0.36 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.1
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
59%
Renova, 1st of 11
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.22/gm
Tight Race
00.260.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.29 * Some Luck: 4.29 to 6.44 * Lucky: 6.44 to 8.58 * Wild Swing: 8.58 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.77 * Close: 0.77 to 1.16 * Off: 1.16 to 1.55 * Way Off: 1.55 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 11 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 11 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 11 * As Expected: 11 to 17.6 * Several Outliers: 17.6 to 24.2 * Many Outliers: 24.2 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.72 points
Some Luck
05.3713
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.91
Close
00.972
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.45%
88.00%
Metalurg Skopje
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.55%
0.00%
Milano Kumanove
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 11
Minimal Outliers
01.111

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.9 * Moderate Separation: 1.9 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.3 * Wide Separation: 2.3 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 70.5% * Clear Edge: 70.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 93% * Clear Edge: 93% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 56.5% * Some Drama: 56.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.
Gini Index
0.27
Lopsided
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 174.23
2.46
Wide Separation
11.92.12.32.75
Interquartile Edge
77%
Clear Edge
50%65%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
97%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
61%
Frequent
0%54%100%
Blowouts
Expected
17%
Occasional
0%22%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.43 * Slight Separation: 0.43 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.65 * Near-Lock: 0.65 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 18% * Upset-Prone: 18% to 21% * Very Upset-Prone: 21% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 16.5% * Very Shaky: 16.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.55
Highly Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.44
Slight Separation
00.430.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.78
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.17
Weak Carryover
00.410.571
Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Upset-Prone
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
13%
As Expected
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.77
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.14
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.117
Well Within Noise
00.1460.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011
Renova59.00%34.00%7.00%————————
Rabotnicki37.00%49.00%11.00%2.00%—1.00%—————
Metalurg Skopje4.00%11.00%43.00%27.00%10.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%———
Pelister—2.00%10.00%21.00%20.00%23.00%15.00%8.00%1.00%——
Sileks—2.00%15.00%21.00%25.00%12.00%15.00%9.00%—1.00%—
Vardar——5.00%6.00%10.00%25.00%17.00%30.00%7.00%——
Teteks—1.00%7.00%15.00%19.00%12.00%23.00%19.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%
Turnovo—1.00%2.00%8.00%16.00%23.00%23.00%18.00%5.00%3.00%1.00%
Makedonija GP——————1.00%8.00%42.00%44.00%5.00%
Sloga Jugomagnat————————2.00%18.00%80.00%
Milano Kumanove—————1.00%5.00%7.00%41.00%33.00%13.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Metalurg Skopje 100% — —
Pelister 99.00% 1.00% —
Rabotnicki 100% — —
Renova 100% — —
Vardar 93.00% 7.00% —
Sileks 99.00% — 1.00%
Teteks 96.00% 2.00% 2.00%
Turnovo 91.00% 5.00% 4.00%
Milano Kumanove 13.00% 41.00% 46.00%
Makedonija GP 9.00% 42.00% 49.00%
Sloga Jugomagnat — 2.00% 98.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2009-08-01 Makedonija GP D 2-259.8 1219 1329 33.47% 25.22% 41.31%-0.16 +0.7 1
2009-08-01 @ Teteks D 2-259.8 1329 1219 41.31% 25.22% 33.47%+0.16 -0.7 1
2009-08-01 Renova L 0-243.0 1293 1323 44.59% 25.16% 30.25%+0.24 -48.3 0
2009-08-01 @ Milano Kumanove W 2-043.0 1323 1293 30.25% 25.16% 44.59%-0.24 +48.3 3
2009-08-01 Sloga Jugomagnat D 0-048.9 1226 1141 57.78% 24.31% 17.90%+0.83 -5.8 1
2009-08-01 @ Pelister D 0-048.9 1141 1226 17.90% 24.31% 57.78%-0.83 +5.8 1
2009-08-01 Vardar D 1-154.0 1254 1279 45.24% 25.14% 29.62%+0.27 -1.9 1
2009-08-01 @ Sileks D 1-154.0 1279 1254 29.62% 25.14% 45.24%-0.27 +1.9 1
2009-08-02 Metalurg Skopje D 1-154.3 1309 1235 56.65% 24.44% 18.91%+0.77 -4.8 1
2009-08-02 @ Rabotnicki D 1-154.3 1235 1309 18.91% 24.44% 56.65%-0.77 +4.8 1
2009-08-09 Makedonija GP W 1-039.4 1372 1328 53.45% 24.72% 21.83%+0.62 +14.6 6
2009-08-09 @ Renova L 0-139.4 1328 1372 21.83% 24.72% 53.45%-0.62 -14.6 1
2009-08-09 Pelister L 1-252.4 1240 1221 50.76% 24.90% 24.34%+0.50 -27.0 1
2009-08-09 @ Metalurg Skopje W 2-152.4 1221 1240 24.34% 24.90% 50.76%-0.50 +27.0 4
2009-08-09 Teteks W 3-140.7 1281 1220 55.34% 24.56% 20.10%+0.71 +22.2 4
2009-08-09 @ Vardar L 1-340.7 1220 1281 20.10% 24.56% 55.34%-0.71 -22.2 1
2009-08-09 Turnovo D 1-153.6 1147 1242 35.48% 25.24% 39.27%-0.09 +0.4 2
2009-08-09 @ Sloga Jugomagnat D 1-153.6 1242 1147 39.27% 25.24% 35.48%+0.09 -0.4 1
2009-08-12 Rabotnicki L 0-241.5 1245 1304 40.63% 25.23% 34.14%+0.10 -44.8 0
2009-08-12 @ Milano Kumanove W 2-041.5 1304 1245 34.14% 25.23% 40.63%-0.10 +44.8 4
2009-08-16 Metalurg Skopje D 1-153.8 1242 1213 51.84% 24.83% 23.32%+0.54 -3.6 2
2009-08-16 @ Turnovo D 1-153.8 1213 1242 23.32% 24.83% 51.84%-0.54 +3.6 2
2009-08-16 Milano Kumanove W 3-140.9 1248 1200 53.93% 24.68% 21.39%+0.64 +23.4 7
2009-08-16 @ Pelister L 1-340.9 1200 1248 21.39% 24.68% 53.93%-0.64 -23.4 0
2009-08-16 Renova W 2-148.7 1349 1386 43.63% 25.18% 31.19%+0.21 +18.3 7
2009-08-16 @ Rabotnicki L 1-248.7 1386 1349 31.19% 25.18% 43.63%-0.21 -18.3 6
2009-08-16 Sloga Jugomagnat W 2-141.7 1252 1147 59.59% 24.09% 16.32%+0.93 +10.7 4
2009-08-16 @ Sileks L 1-241.7 1147 1252 16.32% 24.09% 59.59%-0.93 -10.7 2
2009-08-16 Vardar W 5-035.0 1314 1303 49.74% 24.96% 25.30%+0.45 +72.7 4
2009-08-16 @ Makedonija GP L 0-535.0 1303 1314 25.30% 24.96% 49.74%-0.45 -72.7 4
2009-08-23 Pelister W 3-033.0 1367 1271 58.82% 24.19% 16.98%+0.89 +32.2 10
2009-08-23 @ Rabotnicki L 0-333.0 1271 1367 16.98% 24.19% 58.82%-0.89 -32.2 7
2009-08-23 Sileks D 2-259.6 1217 1263 42.45% 25.20% 32.35%+0.16 -0.9 3
2009-08-23 @ Metalurg Skopje D 2-259.6 1263 1217 32.35% 25.20% 42.45%-0.16 +0.9 5
2009-08-23 Turnovo L 0-240.9 1177 1238 40.27% 25.24% 34.49%+0.08 -44.5 0
2009-08-23 @ Milano Kumanove W 2-040.9 1238 1177 34.49% 25.24% 40.27%-0.08 +44.5 5
2009-08-30 Teteks W 1-041.5 1137 1198 40.39% 25.23% 34.37%+0.09 +21.0 5
2009-08-30 @ Sloga Jugomagnat L 0-141.5 1198 1137 34.37% 25.23% 40.39%-0.09 -21.0 1
2009-08-30 Vardar W 3-246.4 1368 1230 62.44% 23.66% 13.89%+1.10 +8.8 9
2009-08-30 @ Renova L 2-346.4 1230 1368 13.89% 23.66% 62.44%-1.10 -8.8 4
2009-09-13 Metalurg Skopje D 0-048.6 1177 1216 43.36% 25.19% 31.45%+0.20 -1.6 2
2009-09-13 @ Teteks D 0-048.6 1216 1177 31.45% 25.19% 43.36%-0.20 +1.6 4
2009-09-13 Milano Kumanove W 4-030.4 1263 1132 61.93% 23.75% 14.32%+1.06 +36.2 8
2009-09-13 @ Sileks L 0-430.4 1132 1263 14.32% 23.75% 61.93%-1.06 -36.1 0
2009-09-13 Rabotnicki L 0-240.1 1283 1400 32.57% 25.21% 42.22%-0.20 -37.9 5
2009-09-13 @ Turnovo W 2-040.1 1400 1283 42.22% 25.21% 32.57%+0.20 +37.9 13
2009-09-13 Renova D 1-154.5 1239 1377 29.81% 25.14% 45.05%-0.30 +1.8 8
2009-09-13 @ Pelister D 1-154.5 1377 1239 45.05% 25.14% 29.81%+0.30 -1.8 10
2009-09-13 Sloga Jugomagnat W 4-134.2 1386 1158 68.93% 22.21% 8.87%+1.56 +14.8 7
2009-09-13 @ Makedonija GP L 1-434.2 1158 1386 8.87% 22.21% 68.93%-1.56 -14.8 5
2009-09-18 Sileks D 1-156.3 1437 1300 62.46% 23.66% 13.88%+1.10 -6.5 14
2009-09-18 @ Rabotnicki D 1-156.3 1300 1437 13.88% 23.66% 62.46%-1.10 +6.4 9
2009-09-19 Teteks L 1-541.3 1096 1175 37.82% 25.25% 36.93%-0.01 -67.1 0
2009-09-19 @ Milano Kumanove W 5-141.3 1175 1096 36.93% 25.25% 37.82%+0.01 +67.1 5
2009-09-20 Makedonija GP D 0-049.6 1217 1401 24.33% 24.90% 50.78%-0.54 +3.7 5
2009-09-20 @ Metalurg Skopje D 0-049.6 1401 1217 50.78% 24.90% 24.33%+0.54 -3.7 8
2009-09-20 Turnovo L 1-251.6 1241 1245 47.88% 25.04% 27.07%+0.37 -25.7 8
2009-09-20 @ Pelister W 2-151.6 1245 1241 27.07% 25.04% 47.88%-0.37 +25.7 8
2009-09-21 Vardar W 1-042.3 1143 1221 37.89% 25.25% 36.86%+0.00 +22.1 8
2009-09-21 @ Sloga Jugomagnat L 0-142.3 1221 1143 36.86% 25.25% 37.89%+0.00 -22.1 4
2009-09-26 Milano Kumanove W 8-027.1 1398 1029 76.17% 19.39% 4.44%+2.27 +21.4 11
2009-09-26 @ Makedonija GP L 0-827.1 1029 1398 4.44% 19.39% 76.17%-2.27 -21.4 0
2009-09-27 Metalurg Skopje D 0-048.7 1199 1221 45.68% 25.12% 29.20%+0.29 -2.2 5
2009-09-27 @ Vardar D 0-048.7 1221 1199 29.20% 25.12% 45.68%-0.29 +2.2 6
2009-09-27 Pelister W 1-036.5 1306 1215 58.34% 24.25% 17.41%+0.86 +12.0 12
2009-09-27 @ Sileks L 0-136.5 1215 1306 17.41% 24.25% 58.34%-0.86 -12.0 8
2009-09-27 Rabotnicki L 0-139.7 1242 1431 23.78% 24.86% 51.36%-0.56 -15.7 5
2009-09-27 @ Teteks W 1-039.7 1431 1242 51.36% 24.86% 23.78%+0.56 +15.7 17
2009-09-27 Renova D 2-260.5 1271 1375 34.27% 25.23% 40.50%-0.13 +0.5 9
2009-09-27 @ Turnovo D 2-260.5 1375 1271 40.50% 25.23% 34.27%+0.13 -0.5 11
2009-10-03 Makedonija GP D 1-158.9 1447 1419 51.72% 24.84% 23.44%+0.54 -3.5 18
2009-10-03 @ Rabotnicki D 1-158.9 1419 1447 23.44% 24.84% 51.72%-0.54 +3.5 12
2009-10-04 Sileks W 2-039.2 1271 1318 42.32% 25.21% 32.47%+0.16 +37.8 12
2009-10-04 @ Turnovo L 0-239.2 1318 1271 32.47% 25.21% 42.32%-0.16 -37.8 12
2009-10-04 Sloga Jugomagnat W 3-137.1 1374 1165 67.69% 22.55% 9.76%+1.46 +11.5 14
2009-10-04 @ Renova L 1-337.1 1165 1374 9.76% 22.55% 67.69%-1.46 -11.5 8
2009-10-04 Teteks W 3-143.4 1203 1226 45.44% 25.13% 29.42%+0.28 +30.3 11
2009-10-04 @ Pelister L 1-343.4 1226 1203 29.42% 25.13% 45.44%-0.28 -30.3 5
2009-10-04 Vardar L 0-433.4 1008 1197 23.70% 24.86% 51.45%-0.57 -55.9 0
2009-10-04 @ Milano Kumanove W 4-033.4 1197 1008 51.45% 24.86% 23.70%+0.57 +55.9 8
2009-10-18 Metalurg Skopje L 0-143.0 1154 1223 39.14% 25.24% 35.61%+0.04 -23.1 8
2009-10-18 @ Sloga Jugomagnat W 1-043.0 1223 1154 35.61% 25.24% 39.14%-0.04 +23.1 9
2009-10-18 Pelister D 0-050.5 1422 1233 66.32% 22.89% 10.79%+1.36 -8.4 13
2009-10-18 @ Makedonija GP D 0-050.5 1233 1422 10.79% 22.89% 66.32%-1.36 +8.4 12
2009-10-18 Rabotnicki L 1-245.7 1253 1443 23.64% 24.85% 51.50%-0.57 -14.7 8
2009-10-18 @ Vardar W 2-145.7 1443 1253 51.50% 24.85% 23.64%+0.57 +14.7 21
2009-10-18 Renova L 0-538.2 1280 1386 34.09% 25.23% 40.68%-0.14 -91.8 12
2009-10-18 @ Sileks W 5-038.2 1386 1280 40.68% 25.23% 34.09%+0.14 +91.8 17
2009-10-18 Turnovo W 1-044.1 1196 1309 33.07% 25.22% 41.72%-0.18 +24.3 8
2009-10-18 @ Teteks L 0-144.1 1309 1196 41.72% 25.22% 33.07%+0.18 -24.3 12
2009-10-24 Makedonija GP L 0-142.2 1285 1414 30.90% 25.17% 43.92%-0.26 -19.3 12
2009-10-24 @ Turnovo W 1-042.2 1414 1285 43.92% 25.17% 30.90%+0.26 +19.3 16
2009-10-24 Metalurg Skopje W 3-138.3 1478 1246 69.07% 22.16% 8.76%+1.57 +10.3 20
2009-10-24 @ Renova L 1-338.3 1246 1478 8.76% 22.16% 69.07%-1.57 -10.3 9
2009-10-25 Teteks W 1-040.4 1189 1220 44.33% 25.16% 30.50%+0.23 +19.1 15
2009-10-25 @ Sileks L 0-140.4 1220 1189 30.50% 25.16% 44.33%-0.23 -19.1 8
2009-10-25 Vardar W 1-039.3 1242 1238 48.84% 25.00% 26.16%+0.41 +16.9 15
2009-10-25 @ Pelister L 0-139.3 1238 1242 26.16% 25.00% 48.84%-0.41 -16.9 8
2009-10-26 Sloga Jugomagnat L 0-334.4 952 1130 24.89% 24.93% 50.18%-0.51 -44.5 0
2009-10-26 @ Milano Kumanove W 3-034.4 1130 952 50.18% 24.93% 24.89%+0.51 +44.5 11
2009-11-01 Milano Kumanove W 4-026.5 1236 907 74.35% 20.24% 5.41%+2.07 +13.7 12
2009-11-01 @ Metalurg Skopje L 0-426.5 907 1236 5.41% 20.24% 74.35%-2.07 -13.7 0
2009-11-01 Rabotnicki L 0-332.4 1175 1458 15.23% 23.92% 60.85%-1.04 -29.3 11
2009-11-01 @ Sloga Jugomagnat W 3-032.4 1458 1175 60.85% 23.92% 15.23%+1.04 +29.3 24
2009-11-01 Renova L 0-136.9 1201 1488 14.97% 23.87% 61.16%-1.06 -10.5 8
2009-11-01 @ Teteks W 1-036.9 1488 1201 61.16% 23.87% 14.97%+1.06 +10.5 23
2009-11-01 Sileks W 2-031.7 1433 1208 68.73% 22.26% 9.00%+1.54 +12.2 19
2009-11-01 @ Makedonija GP L 0-231.7 1208 1433 9.00% 22.26% 68.73%-1.54 -12.2 15
2009-11-01 Turnovo L 1-347.6 1221 1265 42.70% 25.20% 32.10%+0.17 -40.4 8
2009-11-01 @ Vardar W 3-147.6 1265 1221 32.10% 25.20% 42.70%-0.17 +40.4 15
2009-11-04 Milano Kumanove W 4-023.7 1498 893 84.53% 14.11% 1.36%+3.47 +3.0 26
2009-11-04 @ Renova L 0-423.7 893 1498 1.36% 14.11% 84.53%-3.47 -3.0 0
2009-11-04 Rabotnicki D 1-156.1 1250 1487 18.96% 24.44% 56.59%-0.81 +4.8 13
2009-11-04 @ Metalurg Skopje D 1-156.1 1487 1250 56.59% 24.44% 18.96%+0.81 -4.8 25
2009-11-04 Sileks W 3-143.0 1181 1195 46.61% 25.09% 28.30%+0.32 +29.4 11
2009-11-04 @ Vardar L 1-343.0 1195 1181 28.30% 25.09% 46.61%-0.32 -29.4 15
2009-11-07 Milano Kumanove W 5-127.3 1482 890 84.15% 14.40% 1.45%+3.41 +2.7 28
2009-11-07 @ Rabotnicki L 1-527.3 890 1482 1.45% 14.40% 84.15%-3.41 -2.7 0
2009-11-08 Metalurg Skopje W 3-035.2 1259 1255 48.92% 25.00% 26.08%+0.42 +46.2 18
2009-11-08 @ Pelister L 0-335.2 1255 1259 26.08% 25.00% 48.92%-0.42 -46.2 13
2009-11-08 Vardar W 1-039.9 1191 1210 45.94% 25.12% 28.95%+0.30 +18.3 11
2009-11-08 @ Teteks L 0-139.9 1210 1191 28.95% 25.12% 45.94%-0.30 -18.3 11
2009-11-22 Pelister W 3-047.1 888 1305 7.87% 21.76% 70.37%-1.73 +106.7 3
2009-11-22 @ Milano Kumanove L 0-347.1 1305 888 70.37% 21.76% 7.87%+1.73 -106.7 18
2009-11-22 Rabotnicki W 2-045.4 1501 1485 50.40% 24.92% 24.68%+0.48 +30.5 29
2009-11-22 @ Renova L 0-245.4 1485 1501 24.68% 24.92% 50.40%-0.48 -30.5 28
2009-11-22 Turnovo W 3-039.4 1208 1306 35.18% 25.24% 39.57%-0.10 +63.8 16
2009-11-22 @ Metalurg Skopje L 0-339.4 1306 1208 39.57% 25.24% 35.18%+0.10 -63.8 15
2009-11-29 Metalurg Skopje L 0-141.6 1166 1272 33.99% 25.23% 40.78%-0.14 -20.8 15
2009-11-29 @ Sileks W 1-041.6 1272 1166 40.78% 25.23% 33.99%+0.14 +20.8 19
2009-11-29 Milano Kumanove W 3-135.9 1242 994 70.06% 21.86% 8.08%+1.66 +9.5 18
2009-11-29 @ Turnovo L 1-335.9 994 1242 8.08% 21.86% 70.06%-1.66 -9.5 3
2009-11-29 Rabotnicki W 1-049.7 1198 1454 17.33% 24.24% 58.44%-0.91 +32.6 21
2009-11-29 @ Pelister L 0-149.7 1454 1198 58.44% 24.24% 17.33%+0.91 -32.6 28
2009-11-29 Renova D 1-156.3 1192 1532 11.53% 23.11% 65.36%-1.33 +7.3 12
2009-11-29 @ Vardar D 1-156.3 1532 1192 65.36% 23.11% 11.53%+1.33 -7.2 30
2009-12-05 Turnovo W 1-035.6 1422 1252 64.98% 23.19% 11.83%+1.26 +8.5 31
2009-12-05 @ Rabotnicki L 0-135.6 1252 1422 11.83% 23.19% 64.98%-1.26 -8.5 18
2009-12-06 Pelister W 1-034.5 1525 1231 72.60% 20.97% 6.43%+1.89 +4.6 33
2009-12-06 @ Renova L 0-134.5 1231 1525 6.43% 20.97% 72.60%-1.89 -4.6 21
2009-12-06 Sileks L 1-439.9 985 1145 27.03% 25.04% 47.93%-0.42 -40.1 3
2009-12-06 @ Milano Kumanove W 4-139.9 1145 985 47.93% 25.04% 27.03%+0.42 +40.1 18
2009-12-06 Teteks W 4-032.0 1293 1209 57.64% 24.33% 18.03%+0.82 +44.4 22
2009-12-06 @ Metalurg Skopje L 0-432.0 1209 1293 18.03% 24.33% 57.64%-0.82 -44.4 11
2009-12-09 Milano Kumanove W 6-028.7 1165 945 68.37% 22.36% 9.26%+1.52 +34.9 14
2009-12-09 @ Teteks L 0-628.7 945 1165 9.26% 22.36% 68.37%-1.52 -34.9 3
2009-12-09 Pelister W 4-351.7 1243 1226 50.45% 24.92% 24.64%+0.48 +14.1 21
2009-12-09 @ Turnovo L 3-451.7 1226 1243 24.64% 24.92% 50.45%-0.48 -14.1 21
2009-12-09 Rabotnicki W 2-046.6 1185 1430 18.29% 24.36% 57.35%-0.85 +60.5 21
2009-12-09 @ Sileks L 0-246.6 1430 1185 57.35% 24.36% 18.29%+0.85 -60.5 31
2009-12-12 Teteks W 3-138.1 1370 1200 64.97% 23.19% 11.84%+1.26 +13.8 34
2009-12-12 @ Rabotnicki L 1-338.1 1200 1370 11.84% 23.19% 64.97%-1.26 -13.8 14
2009-12-13 Vardar FW47.0 1337 1199 62.47% 23.66% 13.87%+1.10 +0.0 25
2009-12-13 @ Metalurg Skopje FL47.0 1199 1337 13.87% 23.66% 62.47%-1.10 +0.0 12
2009-12-13 Sileks D 1-153.8 1212 1246 44.11% 25.17% 30.72%+0.23 -1.6 22
2009-12-13 @ Pelister D 1-153.8 1246 1212 30.72% 25.17% 44.11%-0.23 +1.6 22
2009-12-13 Turnovo W 3-246.1 1529 1257 71.44% 21.40% 7.16%+1.78 +4.6 36
2009-12-13 @ Renova L 2-346.1 1257 1529 7.16% 21.40% 71.44%-1.78 -4.6 21
2010-02-05 Renova D 0-052.1 1247 1534 14.98% 23.87% 61.15%-1.06 +6.8 23
2010-02-05 @ Sileks D 0-052.1 1534 1247 61.15% 23.87% 14.98%+1.06 -6.8 37
2010-02-05 Turnovo L 0-143.8 1199 1253 41.45% 25.22% 33.33%+0.13 -24.2 12
2010-02-05 @ Vardar W 1-043.8 1253 1199 33.33% 25.22% 41.45%-0.13 +24.2 24
2010-02-27 Milano Kumanove W 2-029.8 1175 910 71.07% 21.53% 7.40%+1.75 +10.0 15
2010-02-27 @ Vardar L 0-229.8 910 1175 7.40% 21.53% 71.07%-1.75 -10.0 3
2010-02-28 Pelister L 1-250.7 1186 1211 45.28% 25.14% 29.59%+0.27 -24.5 14
2010-02-28 @ Teteks W 2-150.7 1211 1186 29.59% 25.14% 45.28%-0.27 +24.5 25
2010-02-28 Turnovo W 3-036.3 1254 1277 45.56% 25.13% 29.31%+0.28 +50.7 26
2010-02-28 @ Sileks L 0-336.3 1277 1254 29.31% 25.13% 45.56%-0.28 -50.7 24
2010-03-06 Vardar W 1-034.2 1384 1185 66.97% 22.73% 10.30%+1.41 +7.4 37
2010-03-06 @ Rabotnicki L 0-134.2 1185 1384 10.30% 22.73% 66.97%-1.41 -7.4 15
2010-03-07 Sileks W 3-140.7 1527 1305 68.50% 22.33% 9.17%+1.53 +10.8 40
2010-03-07 @ Renova L 1-340.7 1305 1527 9.17% 22.33% 68.50%-1.53 -10.8 26
2010-03-07 Teteks L 0-245.3 1226 1161 55.73% 24.53% 19.75%+0.72 -58.8 24
2010-03-07 @ Turnovo W 2-045.3 1161 1226 19.75% 24.53% 55.73%-0.72 +58.8 17
2010-03-21 Pelister W 1-041.5 1178 1235 40.89% 25.23% 33.88%+0.10 +20.7 18
2010-03-21 @ Vardar L 0-141.5 1235 1178 33.88% 25.23% 40.89%-0.10 -20.7 25
2010-03-21 Renova W 3-155.7 1337 1538 22.55% 24.78% 52.68%-0.62 +48.4 28
2010-03-21 @ Metalurg Skopje L 1-355.7 1538 1337 52.68% 24.78% 22.55%+0.62 -48.4 40
2010-03-21 Sileks D 1-153.9 1220 1294 38.55% 25.25% 36.20%+0.02 -0.3 18
2010-03-21 @ Teteks D 1-153.9 1294 1220 36.20% 25.25% 38.55%-0.02 +0.3 27
2010-03-24 Metalurg Skopje D 0-050.0 900 1386 5.60% 20.40% 74.00%-2.08 +10.6 4
2010-03-24 @ Milano Kumanove D 0-050.0 1386 900 74.00% 20.40% 5.60%+2.08 -10.6 29
2010-03-24 Teteks W 1-034.1 1489 1220 71.30% 21.45% 7.26%+1.77 +5.2 43
2010-03-24 @ Renova L 0-134.1 1220 1489 7.26% 21.45% 71.30%-1.77 -5.2 18
2010-03-24 Vardar L 0-144.5 1167 1199 44.40% 25.16% 30.43%+0.24 -25.5 24
2010-03-24 @ Turnovo W 1-044.5 1199 1167 30.43% 25.16% 44.40%-0.24 +25.5 21
2010-03-27 Teteks W 2-140.7 1391 1215 65.42% 23.09% 11.49%+1.29 +7.8 40
2010-03-27 @ Rabotnicki L 1-240.7 1215 1391 11.49% 23.09% 65.42%-1.29 -7.8 18
2010-03-28 Milano Kumanove D 1-155.3 1294 910 76.83% 19.06% 4.12%+2.35 -10.0 28
2010-03-28 @ Sileks D 1-155.3 910 1294 4.12% 19.06% 76.83%-2.35 +10.0 5
2010-03-28 Turnovo D 1-154.9 1375 1142 69.21% 22.12% 8.66%+1.58 -8.3 30
2010-03-28 @ Metalurg Skopje D 1-154.9 1142 1375 8.66% 22.12% 69.21%-1.58 +8.3 25
2010-03-28 Vardar W 1-039.6 1214 1224 47.21% 25.07% 27.72%+0.35 +17.7 28
2010-03-28 @ Pelister L 0-139.6 1224 1214 27.72% 25.07% 47.21%-0.35 -17.7 21
2010-04-03 Metalurg Skopje D 0-049.3 1206 1367 27.01% 25.04% 47.95%-0.42 +2.9 22
2010-04-03 @ Vardar D 0-049.3 1367 1206 47.95% 25.04% 27.01%+0.42 -2.9 31
2010-04-03 Pelister D 2-259.7 921 1232 13.24% 23.53% 63.23%-1.19 +5.0 6
2010-04-03 @ Milano Kumanove D 2-259.7 1232 921 63.23% 23.53% 13.24%+1.19 -5.0 29
2010-04-03 Rabotnicki L 0-136.8 1150 1399 17.95% 24.32% 57.73%-0.87 -12.4 25
2010-04-03 @ Turnovo W 1-036.8 1399 1150 57.73% 24.32% 17.95%+0.87 +12.4 43
2010-04-03 Renova L 0-137.1 1207 1495 14.89% 23.86% 61.25%-1.07 -10.5 18
2010-04-03 @ Teteks W 1-037.1 1495 1207 61.25% 23.86% 14.89%+1.07 +10.5 46
2010-04-11 Milano Kumanove W 3-025.8 1364 925 79.02% 17.84% 3.14%+2.63 +5.8 34
2010-04-11 @ Metalurg Skopje L 0-325.8 925 1364 3.14% 17.84% 79.02%-2.63 -5.8 6
2010-04-11 Sileks W 1-041.7 1227 1284 40.89% 25.23% 33.88%+0.10 +20.7 32
2010-04-11 @ Pelister L 0-141.7 1284 1227 33.88% 25.23% 40.89%-0.10 -20.7 28
2010-04-11 Turnovo W 2-029.5 1505 1138 76.11% 19.42% 4.47%+2.27 +5.9 49
2010-04-11 @ Renova L 0-229.5 1138 1505 4.47% 19.42% 76.11%-2.27 -5.9 25
2010-04-11 Vardar D 1-155.3 1411 1209 67.21% 22.67% 10.12%+1.42 -7.8 44
2010-04-11 @ Rabotnicki D 1-155.3 1209 1411 10.12% 22.67% 67.21%-1.42 +7.8 23
2010-04-18 Metalurg Skopje L 0-142.5 1264 1370 34.00% 25.23% 40.77%-0.14 -20.8 28
2010-04-18 @ Sileks W 1-042.5 1370 1264 40.77% 25.23% 34.00%+0.14 +20.8 37
2010-04-18 Rabotnicki L 0-229.0 920 1403 5.66% 20.44% 73.90%-2.06 -7.6 6
2010-04-18 @ Milano Kumanove W 2-029.0 1403 920 73.90% 20.44% 5.66%+2.06 +7.6 47
2010-04-18 Renova W 2-049.0 1217 1511 14.44% 23.77% 61.79%-1.10 +65.0 26
2010-04-18 @ Vardar L 0-249.0 1511 1217 61.79% 23.77% 14.44%+1.10 -65.0 49
2010-04-18 Teteks L 0-143.2 1132 1197 39.83% 25.24% 34.93%+0.07 -23.4 25
2010-04-18 @ Turnovo W 1-043.2 1197 1132 34.93% 25.24% 39.83%-0.07 +23.4 21
2010-04-23 Milano Kumanove W 1-029.0 1446 912 82.37% 15.69% 1.95%+3.11 +1.2 52
2010-04-23 @ Renova L 0-129.0 912 1446 1.95% 15.69% 82.37%-3.11 -1.2 6
2010-04-24 Sileks L 1-257.1 1411 1243 64.82% 23.22% 11.96%+1.25 -34.0 47
2010-04-24 @ Rabotnicki W 2-157.1 1243 1411 11.96% 23.22% 64.82%-1.25 +34.0 31
2010-04-25 Pelister W 1-035.9 1391 1248 62.85% 23.59% 13.55%+1.12 +9.6 40
2010-04-25 @ Metalurg Skopje L 0-135.9 1248 1391 13.55% 23.59% 62.85%-1.12 -9.6 32
2010-04-25 Vardar D 1-153.9 1220 1282 40.24% 25.24% 34.53%+0.08 -0.7 22
2010-04-25 @ Teteks D 1-153.9 1282 1220 34.53% 25.24% 40.24%-0.08 +0.7 27
2010-04-30 Rabotnicki W 1-045.7 1238 1377 29.68% 25.14% 45.18%-0.31 +25.9 35
2010-04-30 @ Pelister L 0-145.7 1377 1238 45.18% 25.14% 29.68%+0.31 -25.9 47
2010-04-30 Teteks L 2-441.5 911 1219 13.44% 23.57% 62.98%-1.17 -13.9 6
2010-04-30 @ Milano Kumanove W 4-241.5 1219 911 62.98% 23.57% 13.44%+1.17 +13.9 25
2010-05-09 Metalurg Skopje L 1-252.2 1351 1400 42.02% 25.21% 32.76%+0.15 -23.0 47
2010-05-09 @ Rabotnicki W 2-152.2 1400 1351 32.76% 25.21% 42.02%-0.15 +23.0 43
2010-05-09 Milano Kumanove W 2-139.0 1108 897 67.82% 22.51% 9.66%+1.47 +6.5 28
2010-05-09 @ Turnovo L 1-239.0 897 1108 9.66% 22.51% 67.82%-1.47 -6.6 6
2010-05-09 Pelister W 3-139.1 1447 1264 65.90% 22.99% 11.11%+1.33 +13.0 55
2010-05-09 @ Renova L 1-339.1 1264 1447 11.11% 22.99% 65.90%-1.33 -13.0 35
2010-05-09 Sileks W 2-038.7 1233 1277 42.76% 25.20% 32.05%+0.17 +37.4 28
2010-05-09 @ Teteks L 0-238.7 1277 1233 32.05% 25.20% 42.76%-0.17 -37.4 31
2010-05-12 Renova W 1-046.3 1423 1460 43.65% 25.18% 31.17%+0.21 +19.4 46
2010-05-12 @ Metalurg Skopje L 0-146.3 1460 1423 31.17% 25.18% 43.65%-0.21 -19.4 55
2010-05-12 Teteks D 0-049.0 1251 1271 45.96% 25.12% 28.93%+0.30 -2.3 36
2010-05-12 @ Pelister D 0-049.0 1271 1251 28.93% 25.12% 45.96%-0.30 +2.3 29
2010-05-12 Turnovo D 1-154.0 1239 1115 61.36% 23.84% 14.80%+1.03 -6.1 32
2010-05-12 @ Sileks D 1-154.0 1115 1239 14.80% 23.84% 61.36%-1.03 +6.2 29
2010-05-12 Vardar L 0-528.2 890 1283 8.90% 22.22% 68.88%-1.60 -28.3 6
2010-05-12 @ Milano Kumanove W 5-028.2 1283 890 68.88% 22.22% 8.90%+1.60 +28.3 30
2010-05-15 Metalurg Skopje D 0-050.6 1273 1443 25.93% 24.99% 49.08%-0.47 +3.2 30
2010-05-15 @ Teteks D 0-050.6 1443 1273 49.08% 24.99% 25.93%+0.47 -3.2 47
2010-05-15 Pelister L 0-140.6 1121 1249 31.08% 25.18% 43.74%-0.25 -19.4 29
2010-05-15 @ Turnovo W 1-040.6 1249 1121 43.74% 25.18% 31.08%+0.25 +19.4 39
2010-05-15 Rabotnicki L 0-151.8 1441 1328 60.33% 23.99% 15.68%+0.97 -33.7 55
2010-05-15 @ Renova W 1-051.8 1328 1441 15.68% 23.99% 60.33%-0.97 +33.7 50
2010-05-15 Sileks W 2-034.6 1311 1233 57.03% 24.40% 18.57%+0.79 +24.0 33
2010-05-15 @ Vardar L 0-234.6 1233 1311 18.57% 24.40% 57.03%-0.79 -24.0 32

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2009-11-22 7.87% @ Milano Kumanove 888 3 Pelister 1305 0
2 2010-04-24 11.96% Sileks 1243 2 @ Rabotnicki 1411 1
3 2010-04-18 14.44% @ Vardar 1217 2 Renova 1511 0
4 2010-05-15 15.68% Rabotnicki 1328 1 @ Renova 1441 0
5 2009-11-29 17.33% @ Pelister 1198 1 Rabotnicki 1454 0
6 2009-12-09 18.29% @ Sileks 1185 2 Rabotnicki 1430 0
7 2010-03-07 19.75% Teteks 1161 2 @ Turnovo 1226 0
8 2010-03-21 22.55% @ Metalurg Skopje 1337 3 Renova 1538 1
9 2009-08-09 24.34% Pelister 1221 2 @ Metalurg Skopje 1240 1
10 2009-09-20 27.07% Turnovo 1245 2 @ Pelister 1241 1
11 2010-02-28 29.59% Pelister 1211 2 @ Teteks 1186 1
12 2010-04-30 29.68% @ Pelister 1238 1 Rabotnicki 1377 0
13 2009-08-01 30.25% Renova 1323 2 @ Milano Kumanove 1293 0
14 2010-03-24 30.43% Vardar 1199 1 @ Turnovo 1167 0
15 2009-11-01 32.10% Turnovo 1265 3 @ Vardar 1221 1
16 2010-05-09 32.76% Metalurg Skopje 1400 2 @ Rabotnicki 1351 1
17 2009-10-18 33.07% @ Teteks 1196 1 Turnovo 1309 0
18 2010-02-05 33.33% Turnovo 1253 1 @ Vardar 1199 0
19 2009-08-12 34.14% Rabotnicki 1304 2 @ Milano Kumanove 1245 0
20 2009-08-23 34.49% Turnovo 1238 2 @ Milano Kumanove 1177 0
21 2010-04-18 34.93% Teteks 1197 1 @ Turnovo 1132 0
22 2009-11-22 35.18% @ Metalurg Skopje 1208 3 Turnovo 1306 0
23 2009-10-18 35.61% Metalurg Skopje 1223 1 @ Sloga Jugomagnat 1154 0
24 2009-09-19 36.93% Teteks 1175 5 @ Milano Kumanove 1096 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2009-11-22 106.69 @ Milano Kumanove 3 888 7.87% Pelister 0 1305 70.37% 21.76%
2 2009-10-18 91.78 Renova 5 1386 40.68% @ Sileks 0 1280 34.09% 25.23%
3 2009-08-16 72.65 @ Makedonija GP 5 1314 49.74% Vardar 0 1303 25.30% 24.96%
4 2009-09-19 67.11 Teteks 5 1175 36.93% @ Milano Kumanove 1 1096 37.82% 25.25%
5 2010-04-18 64.95 @ Vardar 2 1217 14.44% Renova 0 1511 61.79% 23.77%
6 2009-11-22 63.81 @ Metalurg Skopje 3 1208 35.18% Turnovo 0 1306 39.57% 25.24%
7 2009-12-09 60.46 @ Sileks 2 1185 18.29% Rabotnicki 0 1430 57.35% 24.36%
8 2010-03-07 58.85 Teteks 2 1161 19.75% @ Turnovo 0 1226 55.73% 24.53%
9 2009-10-04 55.88 Vardar 4 1197 51.45% @ Milano Kumanove 0 1008 23.70% 24.86%
10 2010-02-28 50.72 @ Sileks 3 1254 45.56% Turnovo 0 1277 29.31% 25.13%
11 2010-03-21 48.38 @ Metalurg Skopje 3 1337 22.55% Renova 1 1538 52.68% 24.78%
12 2009-08-01 48.34 Renova 2 1323 30.25% @ Milano Kumanove 0 1293 44.59% 25.16%
13 2009-11-08 46.24 @ Pelister 3 1259 48.92% Metalurg Skopje 0 1255 26.08% 25.00%
14 2009-08-12 44.84 Rabotnicki 2 1304 34.14% @ Milano Kumanove 0 1245 40.63% 25.23%
15 2009-08-23 44.54 Turnovo 2 1238 34.49% @ Milano Kumanove 0 1177 40.27% 25.24%
16 2009-10-26 44.53 Sloga Jugomagnat 3 1130 50.18% @ Milano Kumanove 0 952 24.89% 24.93%
17 2009-12-06 44.36 @ Metalurg Skopje 4 1293 57.64% Teteks 0 1209 18.03% 24.33%
18 2009-11-01 40.41 Turnovo 3 1265 32.10% @ Vardar 1 1221 42.70% 25.20%
19 2009-12-06 40.12 Sileks 4 1145 47.93% @ Milano Kumanove 1 985 27.03% 25.04%
20 2009-09-13 37.91 Rabotnicki 2 1400 42.22% @ Turnovo 0 1283 32.57% 25.21%
21 2009-10-04 37.82 @ Turnovo 2 1271 42.32% Sileks 0 1318 32.47% 25.21%
22 2010-05-09 37.43 @ Teteks 2 1233 42.76% Sileks 0 1277 32.05% 25.20%
23 2009-09-13 36.15 @ Sileks 4 1263 61.93% Milano Kumanove 0 1132 14.32% 23.75%
24 2009-12-09 34.93 @ Teteks 6 1165 68.37% Milano Kumanove 0 945 9.26% 22.36%
25 2010-04-24 34.01 Sileks 2 1243 11.96% @ Rabotnicki 1 1411 64.82% 23.22%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2009-09-27 60.5 @ Turnovo 2 1271 34.27% Renova 2 1375 40.50% 25.23%
2 2009-08-01 59.8 @ Teteks 2 1219 33.47% Makedonija GP 2 1329 41.31% 25.22%
3 2010-04-03 59.7 @ Milano Kumanove 2 921 13.24% Pelister 2 1232 63.23% 23.53%
4 2009-08-23 59.6 @ Metalurg Skopje 2 1217 42.45% Sileks 2 1263 32.35% 25.20%
5 2009-10-03 58.9 @ Rabotnicki 1 1447 51.72% Makedonija GP 1 1419 23.44% 24.84%
6 2010-04-24 57.1 Sileks 2 1243 11.96% @ Rabotnicki 1 1411 64.82% 23.22%
7 2009-09-18 56.3 @ Rabotnicki 1 1437 62.46% Sileks 1 1300 13.88% 23.66%
8 2009-11-29 56.3 @ Vardar 1 1192 11.53% Renova 1 1532 65.36% 23.11%
9 2009-11-04 56.1 @ Metalurg Skopje 1 1250 18.96% Rabotnicki 1 1487 56.59% 24.44%
10 2010-03-21 55.7 @ Metalurg Skopje 3 1337 22.55% Renova 1 1538 52.68% 24.78%
11 2010-03-28 55.3 @ Sileks 1 1294 76.83% Milano Kumanove 1 910 4.12% 19.06%
12 2010-04-11 55.3 @ Rabotnicki 1 1411 67.21% Vardar 1 1209 10.12% 22.67%
13 2010-03-28 54.9 @ Metalurg Skopje 1 1375 69.21% Turnovo 1 1142 8.66% 22.12%
14 2009-09-13 54.5 @ Pelister 1 1239 29.81% Renova 1 1377 45.05% 25.14%
15 2009-08-02 54.3 @ Rabotnicki 1 1309 56.65% Metalurg Skopje 1 1235 18.91% 24.44%
16 2009-08-01 54.0 @ Sileks 1 1254 45.24% Vardar 1 1279 29.62% 25.14%
17 2010-05-12 54.0 @ Sileks 1 1239 61.36% Turnovo 1 1115 14.80% 23.84%
18 2010-03-21 53.9 @ Teteks 1 1220 38.55% Sileks 1 1294 36.20% 25.25%
19 2010-04-25 53.9 @ Teteks 1 1220 40.24% Vardar 1 1282 34.53% 25.24%
20 2009-08-16 53.8 @ Turnovo 1 1242 51.84% Metalurg Skopje 1 1213 23.32% 24.83%
21 2009-12-13 53.8 @ Pelister 1 1212 44.11% Sileks 1 1246 30.72% 25.17%
22 2009-08-09 53.6 @ Sloga Jugomagnat 1 1147 35.48% Turnovo 1 1242 39.27% 25.24%
23 2009-08-09 52.4 Pelister 2 1221 24.34% @ Metalurg Skopje 1 1240 50.76% 24.90%
24 2010-05-09 52.2 Metalurg Skopje 2 1400 32.76% @ Rabotnicki 1 1351 42.02% 25.21%
25 2010-02-05 52.1 @ Sileks 0 1247 14.98% Renova 0 1534 61.15% 23.87%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2009-11-04 23.7 @ Renova 4 1498 84.53% Milano Kumanove 0 893 1.36% 14.11%
2 2010-04-11 25.8 @ Metalurg Skopje 3 1364 79.02% Milano Kumanove 0 925 3.14% 17.84%
3 2009-11-01 26.5 @ Metalurg Skopje 4 1236 74.35% Milano Kumanove 0 907 5.41% 20.24%
4 2009-09-26 27.1 @ Makedonija GP 8 1398 76.17% Milano Kumanove 0 1029 4.44% 19.39%
5 2009-11-07 27.3 @ Rabotnicki 5 1482 84.15% Milano Kumanove 1 890 1.45% 14.40%
6 2010-05-12 28.2 Vardar 5 1283 68.88% @ Milano Kumanove 0 890 8.90% 22.22%
7 2009-12-09 28.7 @ Teteks 6 1165 68.37% Milano Kumanove 0 945 9.26% 22.36%
8 2010-04-18 29.0 Rabotnicki 2 1403 73.90% @ Milano Kumanove 0 920 5.66% 20.44%
9 2010-04-23 29.0 @ Renova 1 1446 82.37% Milano Kumanove 0 912 1.95% 15.69%
10 2010-04-11 29.5 @ Renova 2 1505 76.11% Turnovo 0 1138 4.47% 19.42%
11 2010-02-27 29.8 @ Vardar 2 1175 71.07% Milano Kumanove 0 910 7.40% 21.53%
12 2009-09-13 30.4 @ Sileks 4 1263 61.93% Milano Kumanove 0 1132 14.32% 23.75%
13 2009-11-01 31.7 @ Makedonija GP 2 1433 68.73% Sileks 0 1208 9.00% 22.26%
14 2009-12-06 32.0 @ Metalurg Skopje 4 1293 57.64% Teteks 0 1209 18.03% 24.33%
15 2009-11-01 32.4 Rabotnicki 3 1458 60.85% @ Sloga Jugomagnat 0 1175 15.23% 23.92%
16 2009-08-23 33.0 @ Rabotnicki 3 1367 58.82% Pelister 0 1271 16.98% 24.19%
17 2009-10-04 33.4 Vardar 4 1197 51.45% @ Milano Kumanove 0 1008 23.70% 24.86%
18 2010-03-24 34.1 @ Renova 1 1489 71.30% Teteks 0 1220 7.26% 21.45%
19 2009-09-13 34.2 @ Makedonija GP 4 1386 68.93% Sloga Jugomagnat 1 1158 8.87% 22.21%
20 2010-03-06 34.2 @ Rabotnicki 1 1384 66.97% Vardar 0 1185 10.30% 22.73%
21 2009-10-26 34.4 Sloga Jugomagnat 3 1130 50.18% @ Milano Kumanove 0 952 24.89% 24.93%
22 2009-12-06 34.5 @ Renova 1 1525 72.60% Pelister 0 1231 6.43% 20.97%
23 2010-05-15 34.6 @ Vardar 2 1311 57.03% Sileks 0 1233 18.57% 24.40%
24 2009-08-16 35.0 @ Makedonija GP 5 1314 49.74% Vardar 0 1303 25.30% 24.96%
25 2009-11-08 35.2 @ Pelister 3 1259 48.92% Metalurg Skopje 0 1255 26.08% 25.00%