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2010-11 Macedonian First Football League Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Shkendija

72 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Shkendija

13.41 points above expected

72 points · 58.59 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Pelister

11.56 points below expected

18 points · 29.56 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Shkendija 33 21 9 3 72 65 23 +42 58.59 +13.41
2 Metalurg Skopje 33 17 10 6 61 48 24 +24 59.70 +1.30
3 Renova 33 17 9 7 60 54 31 +23 57.46 +2.54
4 Rabotnicki 33 15 10 8 55 53 31 +22 57.09 -2.09
5 Sileks 33 13 8 12 47 36 38 -2 43.25 +3.75
6 Turnovo 33 13 6 14 45 32 35 -3 41.67 +3.33
7 Teteks 33 12 8 13 44 38 36 +2 48.03 -4.03
8 Bregalnica Shtip 33 12 5 16 41 33 46 -13 33.90 +7.10
9 Skopje 33 9 10 14 37 36 39 -3 39.76 -2.76
10 Napredok 33 10 7 16 37 30 48 -18 40.56 -3.56
11 Vardar* 33 9 5 19 29 24 41 -17 37.12 -8.12
12 Pelister 33 5 3 25 18 25 82 -57 29.56 -11.56

* Point deductions: Vardar (-3 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Shkendija 72 58.59 +13.41
2 Bregalnica Shtip 41 33.90 +7.10
3 Sileks 47 43.25 +3.75
4 Turnovo 45 41.67 +3.33
5 Renova 60 57.46 +2.54

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Pelister 18 29.56 -11.56
2 Vardar 29 37.12 -8.12
3 Teteks 44 48.03 -4.03
4 Napredok 37 40.56 -3.56
5 Skopje 37 39.76 -2.76

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sileks 4 Sep 25 – Oct 23 1 in 281
2 Bregalnica Shtip 4 Oct 2 – Oct 30 1 in 193
3 Napredok 3 Nov 6 – Nov 20 1 in 41
4 Rabotnicki 4 Nov 20 – Dec 11 1 in 36
5 Metalurg Skopje 5 Mar 5 – Apr 2 1 in 25

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vardar 6 Sep 18 – Oct 30 1 in 220
2 Teteks 3 Nov 13 – Nov 27 1 in 24
3 Metalurg Skopje 2 Oct 2 – Oct 16 1 in 20
4 Sileks 2 Oct 30 – Nov 7 1 in 16
5 Turnovo 3 Oct 2 – Oct 23 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shkendija 21 Nov 7 – May 28 1 in 122
2 Sileks 6 Sep 11 – Oct 23 1 in 48
3 Teteks 7 Aug 3 – Sep 18 1 in 30
4 Renova 9 Apr 11 – May 28 1 in 22
5 Rabotnicki 8 Nov 13 – Mar 15 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Metalurg Skopje 5 May 7 – May 28 1 in 47
2 Napredok 10 Apr 6 – May 28 1 in 32
3 Sileks 6 Oct 30 – Dec 4 1 in 19
4 Teteks 5 Nov 13 – Dec 11 1 in 13
5 Turnovo 7 Apr 9 – May 17 1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Shkendija 1510 72 +26 11 10.0 +1.0
Metalurg Skopje 1431 61 -10 5 8.3 -3.3
Renova 1422 60 +40 9 7.6 +1.4
Rabotnicki 1424 55 -15 5 7.7 -2.7
Teteks 1243 44 +30 10 7.1 +2.9
Sileks 1285 44 +2 9 8.3 +0.7
Turnovo 1237 42 +26 7 4.5 +2.5
Bregalnica Shtip 1202 41 -36 7 7.3 -0.3
Skopje 1210 37 +15 7 7.0 +0.0
Napredok 1121 37 -49 1 4.9 -3.9
Vardar 1195 32 -1 7 7.3 -0.3
Pelister 997 18 -27 3 3.3 -0.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BS MS NAP PEL RAB REN SHK SIL SKO TET TUR VAR
Bregalnica Shtip —
0-0-3
1.96
1-1-1
3.32
2-0-1
4.90
0-0-3
2.24
1-0-2
2.46
1-0-2
2.92
0-1-2
3.08
2-1-0
4.03
2-0-1
2.44
2-0-1
3.95
1-2-0
3.32
Metalurg Skopje
3-0-0
6.42
—
2-0-1
5.67
2-1-0
6.80
0-2-1
3.93
1-1-1
4.80
0-2-1
4.00
1-0-2
5.32
2-1-0
6.10
1-2-0
5.61
2-1-0
6.14
3-0-0
5.16
Napredok
1-1-1
4.97
1-0-2
2.63
—
2-1-0
5.75
1-1-1
3.39
1-0-2
2.39
0-1-2
2.36
1-1-1
3.58
1-0-2
4.39
1-1-1
4.35
0-1-2
3.73
1-0-2
3.55
Pelister
1-0-2
3.45
0-1-2
1.61
0-1-2
2.57
—
1-0-2
2.32
0-0-3
2.52
0-0-3
1.58
0-0-3
3.00
1-0-2
2.53
0-1-2
2.69
1-0-2
3.47
1-0-2
3.51
Rabotnicki
3-0-0
6.10
1-2-0
4.36
1-1-1
4.90
2-0-1
6.08
—
0-3-0
3.71
0-1-2
3.98
0-1-2
5.50
1-2-0
5.79
2-0-1
5.15
3-0-0
5.77
2-0-1
5.17
Renova
2-0-1
5.88
1-1-1
3.49
2-0-1
5.94
3-0-0
5.78
0-3-0
4.57
—
1-1-1
4.52
2-0-1
5.67
1-1-1
5.34
2-1-0
5.52
0-2-1
5.28
3-0-0
5.52
Shkendija
2-0-1
5.40
1-2-0
4.33
2-1-0
6.01
3-0-0
6.80
2-1-0
4.31
1-1-1
3.77
—
2-1-0
5.80
1-2-0
5.76
1-1-1
4.94
3-0-0
5.30
3-0-0
5.80
Sileks
2-1-0
5.21
2-0-1
2.99
1-1-1
4.73
3-0-0
5.31
2-1-0
2.80
1-0-2
2.65
0-1-2
2.52
—
0-2-1
4.05
1-2-0
3.02
0-0-3
4.49
1-0-2
4.72
Skopje
0-1-2
4.26
0-1-2
2.25
2-0-1
3.89
2-0-1
5.79
0-2-1
2.54
1-1-1
2.97
0-2-1
2.54
1-2-0
4.23
—
1-0-2
3.33
1-0-2
4.44
1-1-1
3.66
Teteks
1-0-2
5.87
0-2-1
2.72
1-1-1
3.94
2-1-0
5.67
1-0-2
3.18
0-1-2
2.80
1-1-1
3.37
0-2-1
5.27
2-0-1
4.96
—
2-0-1
3.97
2-0-1
5.13
Turnovo
1-0-2
4.35
0-1-2
2.21
2-1-0
4.56
2-0-1
4.81
0-0-3
2.56
1-2-0
3.01
0-0-3
2.99
3-0-0
3.80
2-0-1
3.84
1-0-2
4.32
—
1-2-0
4.78
Vardar
0-2-1
4.98
0-0-3
3.16
2-0-1
4.74
2-0-1
4.77
1-0-2
3.13
0-0-3
2.80
0-0-3
2.57
2-0-1
3.57
1-1-1
4.64
1-0-2
3.16
0-2-1
3.50
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.87 +10.9
Allowed 0.74 -8.3
Differential 0.93 +5.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.58%10.61%8.08%3.54%1.01%1.26%32.07%
110.61%12.12%7.07%3.28%1.77%0.25%35.10%
28.08%7.07%2.53%0.51%0.51%—18.69%
33.54%3.28%0.51%0.51%——7.83%
41.01%1.77%0.51%——0.25%3.54%
5+1.26%0.25%——0.25%1.01%2.78%
Total32.07%35.10%18.69%7.83%3.54%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.19 +0.00
SD 1.23 1.23 1.87
CV 1.03 1.03 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min -1 -1 -7

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%6.06%21.21%3.03%—3.03%42.42%
112.12%3.03%3.03%6.06%3.03%—27.27%
26.06%6.06%3.03%———15.15%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
43.03%—3.03%———6.06%
5+—————3.03%3.03%
Total33.33%18.18%30.30%9.09%3.03%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.36 -0.39
SD 1.24 1.56 2.15
CV 1.28 1.14 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min -1 -1 -7

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%6.06%—3.03%——21.21%
118.18%12.12%9.09%———39.39%
23.03%12.12%6.06%———21.21%
39.09%3.03%————12.12%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total48.48%33.33%15.15%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 0.73 +0.73
SD 1.23 0.84 1.61
CV 0.84 1.15 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%15.15%—3.03%—6.06%33.33%
112.12%12.12%12.12%3.03%6.06%—45.45%
29.09%6.06%——3.03%—18.18%
3—3.03%————3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.30%36.36%12.12%6.06%9.09%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 1.45 -0.55
SD 0.80 1.52 1.82
CV 0.89 1.05 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%9.09%12.12%12.12%6.06%6.06%48.48%
13.03%6.06%6.06%9.09%9.09%3.03%36.36%
26.06%3.03%—3.03%——12.12%
3———————
4———————
5+————3.03%—3.03%
Total12.12%18.18%18.18%24.24%18.18%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.76 2.48 -1.73
SD 1.03 1.58 1.91
CV 1.36 0.64 —
Max 5 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%3.03%9.09%3.03%——21.21%
19.09%18.18%9.09%———36.36%
29.09%6.06%6.06%———21.21%
36.06%9.09%————15.15%
4———————
5+6.06%—————6.06%
Total36.36%36.36%24.24%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 0.94 +0.67
SD 1.52 0.86 2.03
CV 0.95 0.92 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%3.03%12.12%———21.21%
115.15%18.18%—3.03%3.03%—39.39%
29.09%6.06%3.03%———18.18%
3—3.03%————3.03%
43.03%6.06%3.03%———12.12%
5+6.06%—————6.06%
Total39.39%36.36%18.18%3.03%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 0.94 +0.70
SD 1.50 1.00 1.98
CV 0.91 1.06 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%6.06%————9.09%
112.12%15.15%3.03%———30.30%
215.15%3.03%6.06%———24.24%
315.15%9.09%—3.03%——27.27%
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+———————
Total45.45%42.42%9.09%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.97 0.70 +1.27
SD 1.16 0.77 1.35
CV 0.59 1.10 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%12.12%6.06%3.03%3.03%—33.33%
13.03%12.12%9.09%3.03%——27.27%
212.12%12.12%3.03%———27.27%
3—6.06%3.03%———9.09%
4———————
5+—————3.03%3.03%
Total24.24%42.42%21.21%6.06%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.12 -0.06
SD 1.06 1.05 1.52
CV 1.00 0.94 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min -1 -1 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%18.18%3.03%6.06%——39.39%
19.09%12.12%12.12%———33.33%
26.06%3.03%3.03%———12.12%
33.03%3.03%—3.03%——9.09%
4—3.03%———3.03%6.06%
5+———————
Total30.30%39.39%18.18%9.09%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.18 -0.09
SD 1.21 1.16 1.44
CV 1.11 0.98 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%18.18%9.09%———36.36%
16.06%15.15%6.06%3.03%——30.30%
26.06%15.15%——3.03%—24.24%
33.03%—3.03%———6.06%
4———————
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total24.24%51.52%18.18%3.03%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.09 +0.06
SD 1.28 0.91 1.56
CV 1.11 0.84 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%12.12%12.12%9.09%——39.39%
112.12%12.12%3.03%6.06%——33.33%
212.12%3.03%————15.15%
33.03%—————3.03%
43.03%3.03%————6.06%
5+—————3.03%3.03%
Total36.36%30.30%15.15%15.15%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 1.03 -0.09
SD 1.17 1.13 1.86
CV 1.25 1.10 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%18.18%12.12%—3.03%—39.39%
115.15%9.09%12.12%6.06%——42.42%
23.03%9.09%—3.03%——15.15%
3———————
4———————
5+—————3.03%3.03%
Total24.24%36.36%24.24%9.09%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.70 1.21 -0.52
SD 0.77 1.11 1.30
CV 1.10 0.92 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min -1 -1 -4

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Shkendija 1510 72 58.59 +13.41 94.0% 36 47 53 58 64 73 79
Metalurg Skopje 1431 61 59.70 +1.30 57.0% 37 47 54 60 66 72 75
Rabotnicki 1424 55 57.09 -2.09 45.0% 36 43 52 57 63 69 75
Renova 1422 60 57.46 +2.54 67.0% 37 42 52 57 62 71 75
Sileks 1285 47 43.25 +3.75 78.0% 28 32 38 43 47 57 63
Teteks 1243 44 48.03 -4.03 29.0% 31 36 43 48 53 59 65
Turnovo 1237 45 41.67 +3.33 72.0% 25 29 37 41 46 53 64
Skopje 1210 37 39.76 -2.76 42.0% 22 28 35 40 44 51 55
Bregalnica Shtip 1202 41 33.90 +7.10 88.0% 19 23 28 34 39 44 47
Vardar 1195 29 37.12 -8.12 13.0% 19 26 33 37 41 50 54
Napredok 1121 37 40.56 -3.56 33.0% 18 28 35 40 45 52 59
Pelister 997 18 29.56 -11.56 3.0% 15 20 25 29 34 42 51

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 23% * Slight Edge: 23% to 31% * Clear Edge: 31% to 38% * Strong Edge: 38% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+32.83%
Clear Edge
55.05%22.73%22.22%
Elo Value
Home Edge
187 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0114.52500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.65 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.61+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.12 * Tight Race: 0.12 to 0.25 * Comfortable: 0.25 to 0.36 * Runaway: 0.36 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.3
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
23%
Shkendija, 3rd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.33/gm
Comfortable
00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.87 * Some Luck: 5.87 to 8.81 * Lucky: 8.81 to 11.74 * Wild Swing: 11.74 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.31 * Close: 1.31 to 1.97 * Off: 1.97 to 2.63 * Way Off: 2.63 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.48 points
Some Luck
07.3418
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
01.644
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
94.00%
Shkendija
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
3.00%
Pelister
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.9 * Moderate Separation: 1.9 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.3 * Wide Separation: 2.3 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 70.5% * Clear Edge: 70.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 93% * Clear Edge: 93% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 56.5% * Some Drama: 56.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Even
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 148.68
1.94
Moderate Separation
11.92.12.32.75
Interquartile Edge
78%
Wide Edge
50%65%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
95%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
61%
Frequent
0%58%100%
Blowouts
Expected
16%
Occasional
0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.43 * Slight Separation: 0.43 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.65 * Near-Lock: 0.65 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 18% * Upset-Prone: 18% to 21% * Very Upset-Prone: 21% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 16.5% * Very Shaky: 16.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.55
Highly Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.43
Very Even
00.430.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.82
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.23
Weak Carryover
00.410.571
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Very Upset-Prone
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
Very Shaky
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.82
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.94
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.073
Well Within Noise
00.1140.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Shkendija23.00%23.00%21.00%16.00%10.00%5.00%—1.00%1.00%———
Metalurg Skopje29.00%28.00%15.00%17.00%5.00%4.00%2.00%—————
Renova17.00%27.00%22.00%14.00%8.00%7.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%———
Rabotnicki25.00%18.00%20.00%17.00%11.00%5.00%1.00%2.00%—1.00%——
Sileks1.00%1.00%6.00%6.00%7.00%22.00%14.00%18.00%13.00%4.00%5.00%3.00%
Turnovo1.00%—3.00%6.00%9.00%15.00%17.00%15.00%11.00%12.00%8.00%3.00%
Teteks4.00%2.00%10.00%12.00%28.00%11.00%11.00%10.00%7.00%4.00%1.00%—
Bregalnica Shtip————1.00%1.00%8.00%13.00%13.00%20.00%25.00%19.00%
Skopje——1.00%4.00%8.00%11.00%18.00%13.00%11.00%18.00%10.00%6.00%
Napredok—1.00%2.00%5.00%9.00%13.00%12.00%10.00%18.00%15.00%9.00%6.00%
Vardar———3.00%3.00%6.00%12.00%12.00%17.00%15.00%21.00%11.00%
Pelister————1.00%—3.00%4.00%8.00%11.00%21.00%52.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Metalurg Skopje 100% — —
Rabotnicki 99.00% 1.00% —
Renova 99.00% 1.00% —
Shkendija 99.00% 1.00% —
Teteks 88.00% 11.00% 1.00%
Sileks 75.00% 17.00% 8.00%
Turnovo 66.00% 23.00% 11.00%
Napredok 52.00% 33.00% 15.00%
Skopje 55.00% 29.00% 16.00%
Vardar 36.00% 32.00% 32.00%
Bregalnica Shtip 23.00% 33.00% 44.00%
Pelister 8.00% 19.00% 73.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2010-07-31 Bregalnica Shtip W 1-034.4 1238 1133 63.47% 22.23% 14.30%+1.17 +6.5 3
2010-07-31 @ Napredok L 0-134.4 1133 1238 14.30% 22.23% 63.47%-1.17 -6.5 0
2010-07-31 Metalurg Skopje L 1-252.6 1328 1381 46.46% 24.17% 29.37%+0.33 -16.5 0
2010-07-31 @ Vardar W 2-152.6 1381 1328 29.37% 24.17% 46.46%-0.33 +16.5 3
2010-07-31 Pelister W 2-033.4 1357 1288 60.25% 22.84% 16.91%+0.98 +14.3 3
2010-07-31 @ Renova L 0-233.4 1288 1357 16.91% 22.84% 60.25%-0.98 -14.3 0
2010-07-31 Sileks W 4-034.3 1210 1259 47.00% 24.15% 28.85%+0.35 +43.0 3
2010-07-31 @ Turnovo L 0-434.3 1259 1210 28.85% 24.15% 47.00%-0.35 -43.0 0
2010-08-02 Rabotnicki L 0-143.2 1234 1336 39.69% 24.35% 35.96%+0.06 -15.4 0
2010-08-02 @ Skopje W 1-043.2 1336 1234 35.96% 24.35% 39.69%-0.06 +15.4 3
2010-08-03 Teteks D 0-049.5 1221 1292 44.01% 24.27% 31.73%+0.23 -1.1 1
2010-08-03 @ Shkendija D 0-049.5 1292 1221 31.73% 24.27% 44.01%-0.23 +1.1 1
2010-08-07 Shkendija W 2-147.2 1127 1219 41.07% 24.33% 34.60%+0.12 +13.1 3
2010-08-07 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 1-247.2 1219 1127 34.60% 24.33% 41.07%-0.12 -13.1 1
2010-08-07 Skopje W 3-028.6 1397 1218 69.20% 20.74% 10.06%+1.57 +12.6 6
2010-08-07 @ Metalurg Skopje L 0-328.6 1218 1397 10.06% 20.74% 69.20%-1.57 -12.6 0
2010-08-07 Turnovo D 0-050.8 1371 1253 64.61% 21.98% 13.41%+1.24 -5.0 4
2010-08-07 @ Renova D 0-050.8 1253 1371 13.41% 21.98% 64.61%-1.24 +5.0 4
2010-08-07 Vardar W 1-041.6 1216 1311 40.73% 24.34% 34.93%+0.10 +14.0 3
2010-08-07 @ Sileks L 0-141.6 1311 1216 34.93% 24.34% 40.73%-0.10 -14.0 0
2010-08-09 Napredok D 0-050.5 1352 1245 63.64% 22.20% 14.16%+1.18 -4.8 4
2010-08-09 @ Rabotnicki D 0-050.5 1245 1352 14.16% 22.20% 63.64%-1.18 +4.8 4
2010-08-09 Teteks D 1-155.0 1273 1293 50.64% 23.93% 25.42%+0.51 -2.1 1
2010-08-09 @ Pelister D 1-155.0 1293 1273 25.42% 23.93% 50.64%-0.51 +2.1 2
2010-08-14 Bregalnica Shtip W 2-030.2 1295 1140 67.51% 21.24% 11.25%+1.44 +9.7 5
2010-08-14 @ Teteks L 0-230.2 1140 1295 11.25% 21.24% 67.51%-1.44 -9.7 3
2010-08-14 Metalurg Skopje L 0-141.5 1250 1410 31.70% 24.26% 44.04%-0.24 -12.9 4
2010-08-14 @ Napredok W 1-041.5 1410 1250 44.04% 24.26% 31.70%+0.24 +12.9 9
2010-08-14 Pelister W 3-033.5 1258 1271 51.40% 23.88% 24.72%+0.54 +29.0 7
2010-08-14 @ Turnovo L 0-333.5 1271 1258 24.72% 23.88% 51.40%-0.54 -29.0 1
2010-08-14 Renova L 0-242.2 1297 1366 44.31% 24.26% 31.43%+0.24 -31.7 0
2010-08-14 @ Vardar W 2-042.2 1366 1297 31.43% 24.26% 44.31%-0.24 +31.7 7
2010-08-14 Sileks W 2-144.7 1206 1230 50.11% 23.97% 25.92%+0.48 +10.4 3
2010-08-14 @ Skopje L 1-244.7 1230 1206 25.92% 23.97% 50.11%-0.48 -10.4 3
2010-08-15 Rabotnicki W 3-038.7 1206 1347 34.35% 24.33% 41.32%-0.14 +43.5 4
2010-08-15 @ Shkendija L 0-338.7 1347 1206 41.32% 24.33% 34.35%+0.14 -43.5 4
2010-08-21 Bregalnica Shtip W 2-031.1 1242 1130 64.10% 22.10% 13.81%+1.21 +11.9 4
2010-08-21 @ Pelister L 0-231.1 1130 1242 13.81% 22.10% 64.10%-1.21 -11.9 3
2010-08-21 Napredok D 1-154.6 1219 1237 50.96% 23.91% 25.13%+0.52 -2.1 4
2010-08-21 @ Sileks D 1-154.6 1237 1219 25.13% 23.91% 50.96%-0.52 +2.1 5
2010-08-21 Shkendija D 1-156.8 1423 1250 68.77% 20.87% 10.36%+1.53 -5.2 10
2010-08-21 @ Metalurg Skopje D 1-156.8 1250 1423 10.36% 20.87% 68.77%-1.53 +5.2 5
2010-08-21 Skopje D 1-156.3 1398 1216 69.42% 20.67% 9.91%+1.58 -5.3 8
2010-08-21 @ Renova D 1-156.3 1216 1398 9.91% 20.67% 69.42%-1.58 +5.3 4
2010-08-21 Teteks L 1-253.4 1303 1305 52.79% 23.76% 23.45%+0.60 -18.4 4
2010-08-21 @ Rabotnicki W 2-153.4 1305 1303 23.45% 23.76% 52.79%-0.60 +18.4 8
2010-08-23 Vardar FW47.5 1287 1266 55.37% 23.50% 21.13%+0.73 +0.0 10
2010-08-23 @ Turnovo FL47.5 1266 1287 21.13% 23.50% 55.37%-0.73 +0.0 0
2010-08-28 Metalurg Skopje D 0-051.5 1323 1417 40.89% 24.33% 34.77%+0.11 -0.5 9
2010-08-28 @ Teteks D 0-051.5 1417 1323 34.77% 24.33% 40.89%-0.11 +0.5 11
2010-08-28 Pelister W 1-037.5 1266 1254 54.25% 23.62% 22.13%+0.67 +9.6 3
2010-08-28 @ Vardar L 0-137.5 1254 1266 22.13% 23.62% 54.25%-0.67 -9.6 4
2010-08-28 Rabotnicki L 0-236.9 1118 1285 30.84% 24.24% 44.92%-0.28 -23.9 3
2010-08-28 @ Bregalnica Shtip W 2-036.9 1285 1118 44.92% 24.24% 30.84%+0.28 +23.9 7
2010-08-28 Renova W 1-044.7 1239 1393 32.51% 24.29% 43.21%-0.21 +16.5 8
2010-08-28 @ Napredok L 0-144.7 1393 1239 43.21% 24.29% 32.51%+0.21 -16.5 8
2010-08-28 Turnovo W 3-035.4 1221 1287 44.81% 24.24% 30.95%+0.26 +34.8 7
2010-08-28 @ Skopje L 0-335.4 1287 1221 30.95% 24.24% 44.81%-0.26 -34.8 10
2010-08-29 Sileks W 3-031.6 1255 1217 57.11% 23.30% 19.60%+0.81 +23.7 8
2010-08-29 @ Shkendija L 0-331.6 1217 1255 19.60% 23.30% 57.11%-0.81 -23.8 4
2010-09-11 Bregalnica Shtip W 1-030.4 1418 1094 77.76% 17.22% 5.02%+2.34 +2.2 14
2010-09-11 @ Metalurg Skopje L 0-130.4 1094 1418 5.02% 17.22% 77.76%-2.34 -2.2 3
2010-09-11 Rabotnicki L 0-339.8 1245 1309 44.98% 24.23% 30.78%+0.27 -46.6 4
2010-09-11 @ Pelister W 3-039.8 1309 1245 30.78% 24.23% 44.98%-0.27 +46.6 10
2010-09-11 Shkendija W 1-035.8 1376 1279 62.81% 22.37% 14.82%+1.13 +6.7 11
2010-09-11 @ Renova L 0-135.8 1279 1376 14.82% 22.37% 62.81%-1.13 -6.7 8
2010-09-11 Skopje W 1-037.3 1275 1256 55.10% 23.53% 21.36%+0.71 +9.3 6
2010-09-11 @ Vardar L 0-137.3 1256 1275 21.36% 23.53% 55.10%-0.71 -9.4 7
2010-09-11 Teteks D 0-049.5 1194 1323 35.91% 24.35% 39.74%-0.08 +0.3 5
2010-09-11 @ Sileks D 0-049.5 1323 1194 39.74% 24.35% 35.91%+0.08 -0.3 10
2010-09-12 Napredok W 1-037.9 1252 1255 52.63% 23.78% 23.60%+0.60 +10.2 13
2010-09-12 @ Turnovo L 0-137.9 1255 1252 23.60% 23.78% 52.63%-0.60 -10.2 8
2010-09-18 Metalurg Skopje D 2-263.4 1355 1420 44.91% 24.24% 30.85%+0.27 -0.8 11
2010-09-18 @ Rabotnicki D 2-263.4 1420 1355 30.85% 24.24% 44.91%-0.27 +0.8 15
2010-09-18 Pelister W 2-033.0 1247 1198 58.24% 23.14% 18.62%+0.87 +15.6 10
2010-09-18 @ Skopje L 0-233.0 1198 1247 18.62% 23.14% 58.24%-0.87 -15.6 4
2010-09-18 Renova D 1-156.2 1322 1383 45.47% 24.22% 30.32%+0.29 -1.2 11
2010-09-18 @ Teteks D 1-156.2 1383 1322 30.32% 24.22% 45.47%-0.29 +1.2 12
2010-09-18 Sileks D 2-260.4 1092 1194 39.81% 24.35% 35.85%+0.07 -0.2 4
2010-09-18 @ Bregalnica Shtip D 2-260.4 1194 1092 35.85% 24.35% 39.81%-0.07 +0.2 6
2010-09-18 Vardar W 2-145.5 1245 1284 48.19% 24.09% 27.72%+0.40 +11.0 11
2010-09-18 @ Napredok L 1-245.5 1284 1245 27.72% 24.09% 48.19%-0.40 -11.0 6
2010-09-19 Turnovo W 3-032.7 1272 1262 54.09% 23.64% 22.27%+0.66 +26.5 11
2010-09-19 @ Shkendija L 0-332.7 1262 1272 22.27% 23.64% 54.09%-0.66 -26.5 13
2010-09-25 Bregalnica Shtip W 2-027.7 1384 1092 76.14% 18.02% 5.84%+2.17 +4.9 15
2010-09-25 @ Renova L 0-227.7 1092 1384 5.84% 18.02% 76.14%-2.17 -4.9 4
2010-09-25 Metalurg Skopje D 0-050.1 1182 1421 22.55% 23.67% 53.78%-0.66 +2.9 5
2010-09-25 @ Pelister D 0-050.1 1421 1182 53.78% 23.67% 22.55%+0.66 -2.9 16
2010-09-25 Napredok W 1-037.6 1262 1256 53.71% 23.68% 22.61%+0.65 +9.8 13
2010-09-25 @ Skopje L 0-137.6 1256 1262 22.61% 23.68% 53.71%-0.65 -9.8 11
2010-09-25 Rabotnicki W 2-041.3 1194 1355 31.67% 24.26% 44.07%-0.25 +31.5 9
2010-09-25 @ Sileks L 0-241.3 1355 1194 44.07% 24.26% 31.67%+0.25 -31.5 11
2010-09-25 Shkendija L 0-243.1 1274 1299 49.99% 23.98% 26.04%+0.48 -35.1 6
2010-09-25 @ Vardar W 2-043.1 1299 1274 26.04% 23.98% 49.99%-0.48 +35.1 14
2010-09-26 Teteks W 1-041.3 1236 1321 42.10% 24.31% 33.59%+0.15 +13.5 16
2010-09-26 @ Turnovo L 0-141.3 1321 1236 33.59% 24.31% 42.10%-0.15 -13.5 11
2010-10-02 Pelister W 3-138.7 1246 1185 59.43% 22.97% 17.61%+0.94 +12.9 14
2010-10-02 @ Napredok L 1-338.7 1185 1246 17.61% 22.97% 59.43%-0.94 -12.9 5
2010-10-02 Renova D 1-156.3 1323 1389 44.74% 24.24% 31.02%+0.26 -1.1 12
2010-10-02 @ Rabotnicki D 1-156.3 1389 1323 31.02% 24.24% 44.74%-0.26 +1.1 16
2010-10-02 Sileks L 1-257.9 1418 1226 70.13% 20.44% 9.43%+1.64 -23.9 16
2010-10-02 @ Metalurg Skopje W 2-157.9 1226 1418 9.43% 20.44% 70.13%-1.64 +23.9 12
2010-10-02 Turnovo W 1-043.9 1087 1249 31.42% 24.26% 44.33%-0.26 +16.8 7
2010-10-02 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 0-143.9 1249 1087 44.33% 24.26% 31.42%+0.26 -16.8 16
2010-10-02 Vardar W 3-247.0 1308 1238 60.24% 22.84% 16.92%+0.98 +6.8 14
2010-10-02 @ Teteks L 2-347.0 1238 1308 16.92% 22.84% 60.24%-0.98 -6.8 6
2010-10-03 Skopje W 1-036.4 1334 1272 59.49% 22.96% 17.55%+0.94 +7.9 17
2010-10-03 @ Shkendija L 0-136.4 1272 1334 17.55% 22.96% 59.49%-0.94 -7.9 13
2010-10-16 Bregalnica Shtip L 1-255.7 1232 1104 65.37% 21.80% 12.83%+1.29 -22.5 6
2010-10-16 @ Vardar W 2-155.7 1104 1232 12.83% 21.80% 65.37%-1.29 +22.4 10
2010-10-16 Metalurg Skopje W 1-040.8 1390 1394 52.51% 23.79% 23.70%+0.59 +10.2 19
2010-10-16 @ Renova L 0-140.8 1394 1390 23.70% 23.79% 52.51%-0.59 -10.2 16
2010-10-16 Rabotnicki L 0-240.6 1233 1322 41.55% 24.32% 34.12%+0.13 -30.1 16
2010-10-16 @ Turnovo W 2-040.6 1322 1233 34.12% 24.32% 41.55%-0.13 +30.1 15
2010-10-16 Shkendija D 1-155.1 1259 1342 42.49% 24.30% 33.21%+0.17 -0.7 15
2010-10-16 @ Napredok D 1-155.1 1342 1259 33.21% 24.30% 42.49%-0.17 +0.7 18
2010-10-16 Sileks L 1-346.8 1172 1250 43.24% 24.29% 32.47%+0.20 -26.9 5
2010-10-16 @ Pelister W 3-146.8 1250 1172 32.47% 24.29% 43.24%-0.20 +26.9 15
2010-10-16 Teteks W 1-040.0 1264 1315 46.84% 24.16% 29.01%+0.34 +12.1 16
2010-10-16 @ Skopje L 0-140.0 1315 1264 29.01% 24.16% 46.84%-0.34 -12.1 14
2010-10-23 Napredok W 2-142.8 1302 1258 57.77% 23.21% 19.02%+0.85 +8.0 17
2010-10-23 @ Teteks L 1-242.8 1258 1302 19.02% 23.21% 57.77%-0.85 -8.0 15
2010-10-23 Renova W 2-040.8 1276 1400 36.65% 24.35% 39.00%-0.05 +28.6 18
2010-10-23 @ Sileks L 0-240.8 1400 1276 39.00% 24.35% 36.65%+0.05 -28.6 19
2010-10-23 Skopje W 1-043.5 1126 1276 33.02% 24.30% 42.68%-0.19 +16.3 13
2010-10-23 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 0-143.5 1276 1126 42.68% 24.30% 33.02%+0.19 -16.3 16
2010-10-23 Turnovo W 3-028.4 1384 1202 69.38% 20.68% 9.94%+1.58 +12.4 19
2010-10-23 @ Metalurg Skopje L 0-328.4 1202 1384 9.94% 20.68% 69.38%-1.58 -12.4 16
2010-10-24 Pelister W 4-132.6 1342 1146 70.43% 20.34% 9.24%+1.66 +9.7 21
2010-10-24 @ Shkendija L 1-432.6 1146 1342 9.24% 20.34% 70.43%-1.66 -9.7 5
2010-10-24 Vardar W 2-030.9 1352 1209 66.55% 21.50% 11.95%+1.37 +10.3 18
2010-10-24 @ Rabotnicki L 0-230.9 1209 1352 11.95% 21.50% 66.55%-1.37 -10.3 6
2010-10-30 Napredok W 4-248.3 1142 1250 38.96% 24.35% 36.68%+0.04 +21.2 16
2010-10-30 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 2-448.3 1250 1142 36.68% 24.35% 38.96%-0.04 -21.2 15
2010-10-30 Renova L 0-137.7 1136 1372 22.82% 23.70% 53.49%-0.65 -9.9 5
2010-10-30 @ Pelister W 1-037.7 1372 1136 53.49% 23.70% 22.82%+0.65 +9.9 22
2010-10-30 Turnovo L 0-246.5 1305 1190 64.32% 22.05% 13.63%+1.23 -44.2 18
2010-10-30 @ Sileks W 2-046.5 1190 1305 13.63% 22.05% 64.32%-1.23 +44.2 19
2010-10-30 Vardar W 1-033.0 1396 1199 70.47% 20.32% 9.21%+1.67 +4.2 22
2010-10-30 @ Metalurg Skopje L 0-133.0 1199 1396 9.21% 20.32% 70.47%-1.67 -4.2 6
2010-10-31 Skopje D 1-155.9 1362 1260 63.22% 22.28% 14.49%+1.16 -4.3 19
2010-10-31 @ Rabotnicki D 1-155.9 1260 1362 14.49% 22.28% 63.22%-1.16 +4.3 17
2010-11-03 Shkendija W 1-040.3 1310 1352 47.92% 24.10% 27.97%+0.39 +11.7 20
2010-11-03 @ Teteks L 0-140.3 1352 1310 27.97% 24.10% 47.92%-0.39 -11.7 21
2010-11-06 Metalurg Skopje D 0-050.5 1264 1401 34.94% 24.34% 40.73%-0.12 +0.5 18
2010-11-06 @ Skopje D 0-050.5 1401 1264 40.73% 24.34% 34.94%+0.12 -0.5 23
2010-11-06 Pelister W 3-027.5 1322 1126 70.38% 20.35% 9.26%+1.66 +11.6 23
2010-11-06 @ Teteks L 0-327.5 1126 1322 9.26% 20.35% 70.38%-1.66 -11.6 5
2010-11-06 Rabotnicki W 2-040.2 1229 1358 35.95% 24.35% 39.70%-0.08 +29.0 18
2010-11-06 @ Napredok L 0-240.2 1358 1229 39.70% 24.35% 35.95%+0.08 -29.0 19
2010-11-06 Renova W 2-041.2 1234 1382 33.40% 24.31% 42.29%-0.18 +30.5 22
2010-11-06 @ Turnovo L 0-241.2 1382 1234 42.29% 24.31% 33.40%+0.18 -30.5 22
2010-11-07 Bregalnica Shtip W 2-029.9 1340 1164 69.04% 20.79% 10.17%+1.55 +8.8 24
2010-11-07 @ Shkendija L 0-229.9 1164 1340 10.17% 20.79% 69.04%-1.55 -8.8 16
2010-11-07 Sileks W 2-146.3 1195 1261 44.72% 24.24% 31.03%+0.26 +12.0 9
2010-11-07 @ Vardar L 1-246.3 1261 1195 31.03% 24.24% 44.72%-0.26 -12.0 18
2010-11-13 Napredok L 1-257.2 1400 1258 66.48% 21.52% 12.00%+1.37 -22.8 23
2010-11-13 @ Metalurg Skopje W 2-157.2 1258 1400 12.00% 21.52% 66.48%-1.37 +22.8 21
2010-11-13 Shkendija D 1-155.9 1329 1349 50.60% 23.94% 25.46%+0.50 -2.1 20
2010-11-13 @ Rabotnicki D 1-155.9 1349 1329 25.46% 23.94% 50.60%-0.50 +2.0 25
2010-11-13 Skopje D 0-049.6 1249 1265 51.09% 23.90% 25.01%+0.53 -2.4 19
2010-11-13 @ Sileks D 0-049.6 1265 1249 25.01% 23.90% 51.09%-0.53 +2.4 19
2010-11-13 Teteks W 1-044.8 1155 1334 29.33% 24.17% 46.50%-0.34 +17.5 19
2010-11-13 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 0-144.8 1334 1155 46.50% 24.17% 29.33%+0.34 -17.5 23
2010-11-13 Turnovo W 2-040.4 1114 1265 33.00% 24.30% 42.70%-0.19 +30.8 8
2010-11-13 @ Pelister L 0-240.4 1265 1114 42.70% 24.30% 33.00%+0.19 -30.7 22
2010-11-13 Vardar W 4-028.7 1351 1207 66.67% 21.47% 11.86%+1.38 +19.4 25
2010-11-13 @ Renova L 0-428.7 1207 1351 11.86% 21.47% 66.67%-1.38 -19.4 9
2010-11-20 Pelister W 2-033.5 1172 1145 56.00% 23.43% 20.57%+0.76 +17.1 22
2010-11-20 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 0-233.5 1145 1172 20.57% 23.43% 56.00%-0.76 -17.1 8
2010-11-20 Rabotnicki L 0-147.2 1316 1327 51.71% 23.85% 24.43%+0.55 -19.2 23
2010-11-20 @ Teteks W 1-047.2 1327 1316 24.43% 23.85% 51.71%-0.55 +19.2 23
2010-11-20 Renova L 0-143.6 1267 1371 39.61% 24.35% 36.04%+0.06 -15.4 19
2010-11-20 @ Skopje W 1-043.6 1371 1267 36.04% 24.35% 39.61%-0.06 +15.4 28
2010-11-20 Sileks W 1-036.8 1281 1246 56.76% 23.34% 19.90%+0.80 +8.8 24
2010-11-20 @ Napredok L 0-136.8 1246 1281 19.90% 23.34% 56.76%-0.80 -8.8 19
2010-11-21 Metalurg Skopje W 3-035.7 1351 1377 49.86% 23.99% 26.15%+0.47 +30.4 28
2010-11-21 @ Shkendija L 0-335.7 1377 1351 26.15% 23.99% 49.86%-0.47 -30.4 23
2010-11-21 Turnovo D 1-154.5 1187 1234 47.28% 24.14% 28.58%+0.36 -1.5 10
2010-11-21 @ Vardar D 1-154.5 1234 1187 28.58% 24.14% 47.28%-0.36 +1.5 23
2010-11-27 Bregalnica Shtip W 3-136.6 1346 1189 67.60% 21.22% 11.18%+1.45 +8.3 26
2010-11-27 @ Rabotnicki L 1-336.6 1189 1346 11.18% 21.22% 67.60%-1.45 -8.4 22
2010-11-27 Napredok W 5-031.2 1386 1290 62.70% 22.39% 14.91%+1.12 +29.8 31
2010-11-27 @ Renova L 0-531.2 1290 1386 14.91% 22.39% 62.70%-1.12 -29.8 24
2010-11-27 Shkendija D 1-155.3 1238 1382 33.89% 24.32% 41.79%-0.16 +0.6 20
2010-11-27 @ Sileks D 1-155.3 1382 1238 41.79% 24.32% 33.89%+0.16 -0.6 29
2010-11-27 Skopje W 1-038.3 1236 1252 51.04% 23.90% 25.06%+0.52 +10.7 26
2010-11-27 @ Turnovo L 0-138.3 1252 1236 25.06% 23.90% 51.04%-0.52 -10.7 19
2010-11-27 Teteks W 1-037.0 1347 1297 58.35% 23.13% 18.52%+0.88 +8.2 26
2010-11-27 @ Metalurg Skopje L 0-137.0 1297 1347 18.52% 23.13% 58.35%-0.88 -8.2 23
2010-11-27 Vardar L 1-250.5 1128 1186 45.84% 24.20% 29.96%+0.30 -16.3 8
2010-11-27 @ Pelister W 2-150.5 1186 1128 29.96% 24.20% 45.84%-0.30 +16.3 13
2010-12-04 Pelister W 3-026.7 1355 1112 73.33% 19.26% 7.41%+1.91 +9.2 29
2010-12-04 @ Rabotnicki L 0-326.7 1112 1355 7.41% 19.26% 73.33%-1.91 -9.2 8
2010-12-04 Sileks D 1-155.1 1289 1238 58.40% 23.12% 18.48%+0.88 -3.4 24
2010-12-04 @ Teteks D 1-155.1 1238 1289 18.48% 23.12% 58.40%-0.88 +3.4 21
2010-12-04 Turnovo L 0-147.1 1260 1246 54.52% 23.60% 21.88%+0.68 -20.1 24
2010-12-04 @ Napredok W 1-047.1 1246 1260 21.88% 23.60% 54.52%-0.68 +20.1 29
2010-12-04 Vardar W 1-036.3 1241 1202 57.25% 23.28% 19.47%+0.82 +8.6 22
2010-12-04 @ Skopje L 0-136.3 1202 1241 19.47% 23.28% 57.25%-0.82 -8.6 13
2010-12-05 Metalurg Skopje L 1-246.2 1181 1355 29.92% 24.20% 45.88%-0.32 -11.7 22
2010-12-05 @ Bregalnica Shtip W 2-146.2 1355 1181 45.88% 24.20% 29.92%+0.32 +11.7 29
2010-12-05 Renova W 4-142.3 1381 1416 48.79% 24.05% 27.16%+0.43 +26.4 32
2010-12-05 @ Shkendija L 1-442.3 1416 1381 27.16% 24.05% 48.79%-0.43 -26.4 31
2010-12-11 Bregalnica Shtip W 3-138.3 1242 1169 60.52% 22.79% 16.69%+1.00 +12.2 24
2010-12-11 @ Sileks L 1-338.3 1169 1242 16.69% 22.79% 60.52%-1.00 -12.3 22
2010-12-11 Napredok W 2-145.5 1193 1240 47.33% 24.13% 28.54%+0.36 +11.2 16
2010-12-11 @ Vardar L 1-245.5 1240 1193 28.54% 24.13% 47.33%-0.36 -11.2 24
2010-12-11 Rabotnicki L 0-148.7 1367 1364 53.34% 23.71% 22.95%+0.63 -19.7 29
2010-12-11 @ Metalurg Skopje W 1-048.7 1364 1367 22.95% 23.71% 53.34%-0.63 +19.7 32
2010-12-11 Shkendija L 0-142.4 1266 1407 34.27% 24.33% 41.40%-0.14 -13.8 29
2010-12-11 @ Turnovo W 1-042.4 1407 1266 41.40% 24.33% 34.27%+0.14 +13.8 35
2010-12-11 Skopje W 5-457.4 1103 1250 33.42% 24.31% 42.27%-0.17 +13.9 11
2010-12-11 @ Pelister L 4-557.4 1250 1103 42.27% 24.31% 33.42%+0.17 -13.9 22
2010-12-11 Teteks W 2-142.0 1389 1285 63.38% 22.25% 14.37%+1.17 +6.2 34
2010-12-11 @ Renova L 1-242.0 1285 1389 14.37% 22.25% 63.38%-1.17 -6.1 24
2011-03-05 Pelister W 4-026.6 1347 1116 72.59% 19.55% 7.86%+1.84 +12.7 32
2011-03-05 @ Metalurg Skopje L 0-426.6 1116 1347 7.86% 19.55% 72.59%-1.84 -12.7 11
2011-03-05 Renova W 3-150.1 1157 1396 22.58% 23.67% 53.75%-0.66 +32.4 25
2011-03-05 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 1-350.1 1396 1157 53.75% 23.67% 22.58%+0.66 -32.4 34
2011-03-05 Sileks D 0-051.0 1383 1254 65.49% 21.77% 12.74%+1.30 -5.2 33
2011-03-05 @ Rabotnicki D 0-051.0 1254 1383 12.74% 21.77% 65.49%-1.30 +5.2 25
2011-03-05 Skopje W 2-034.9 1229 1236 52.12% 23.82% 24.06%+0.57 +19.5 27
2011-03-05 @ Napredok L 0-234.9 1236 1229 24.06% 23.82% 52.12%-0.57 -19.5 22
2011-03-05 Turnovo W 1-037.0 1279 1253 55.93% 23.44% 20.63%+0.75 +9.1 27
2011-03-05 @ Teteks L 0-137.0 1253 1279 20.63% 23.44% 55.93%-0.75 -9.1 29
2011-03-06 Vardar W 3-135.9 1421 1205 71.70% 19.89% 8.41%+1.77 +6.2 38
2011-03-06 @ Shkendija L 1-335.9 1205 1421 8.41% 19.89% 71.70%-1.77 -6.2 16
2011-03-12 Bregalnica Shtip W 2-032.8 1243 1190 58.75% 23.07% 18.18%+0.90 +15.3 32
2011-03-12 @ Turnovo L 0-232.8 1190 1243 18.18% 23.07% 58.75%-0.90 -15.3 25
2011-03-12 Metalurg Skopje L 0-143.6 1259 1360 39.98% 24.34% 35.68%+0.07 -15.5 25
2011-03-12 @ Sileks W 1-043.6 1360 1259 35.68% 24.34% 39.98%-0.07 +15.5 35
2011-03-12 Napredok D 1-154.3 1104 1248 33.82% 24.32% 41.86%-0.16 +0.6 12
2011-03-12 @ Pelister D 1-154.3 1248 1104 41.86% 24.32% 33.82%+0.16 -0.6 28
2011-03-12 Rabotnicki D 1-156.8 1363 1378 51.20% 23.89% 24.91%+0.53 -2.2 35
2011-03-12 @ Renova D 1-156.8 1378 1363 24.91% 23.89% 51.20%-0.53 +2.2 34
2011-03-12 Shkendija D 3-365.2 1216 1427 25.53% 23.94% 50.53%-0.51 +1.3 23
2011-03-12 @ Skopje D 3-365.2 1427 1216 50.53% 23.94% 25.53%+0.51 -1.3 39
2011-03-12 Teteks W 2-038.1 1198 1288 41.50% 24.32% 34.18%+0.13 +25.9 19
2011-03-12 @ Vardar L 0-238.1 1288 1198 34.18% 24.32% 41.50%-0.13 -25.9 27
2011-03-15 Pelister W 2-139.7 1244 1104 66.27% 21.58% 12.15%+1.35 +5.2 28
2011-03-15 @ Sileks L 1-239.7 1104 1244 12.15% 21.58% 66.27%-1.35 -5.2 12
2011-03-15 Renova W 2-036.2 1375 1361 54.60% 23.59% 21.81%+0.69 +18.0 38
2011-03-15 @ Metalurg Skopje L 0-236.2 1361 1375 21.81% 23.59% 54.60%-0.69 -18.0 35
2011-03-15 Skopje W 2-142.5 1262 1218 57.82% 23.20% 18.98%+0.85 +7.9 30
2011-03-15 @ Teteks L 1-242.5 1218 1262 18.98% 23.20% 57.82%-0.85 -8.0 23
2011-03-15 Turnovo W 2-141.2 1380 1259 64.85% 21.92% 13.22%+1.26 +5.7 37
2011-03-15 @ Rabotnicki L 1-241.2 1259 1380 13.22% 21.92% 64.85%-1.26 -5.7 32
2011-03-15 Vardar D 0-049.2 1174 1224 46.85% 24.16% 29.00%+0.34 -1.6 26
2011-03-15 @ Bregalnica Shtip D 0-049.2 1224 1174 29.00% 24.16% 46.85%-0.34 +1.6 20
2011-03-16 Napredok W 3-029.2 1426 1247 69.17% 20.75% 10.08%+1.56 +12.6 42
2011-03-16 @ Shkendija L 0-329.2 1247 1426 10.08% 20.75% 69.17%-1.56 -12.6 28
2011-03-19 Bregalnica Shtip L 0-342.6 1210 1173 57.03% 23.31% 19.66%+0.81 -57.4 23
2011-03-19 @ Skopje W 3-042.6 1173 1210 19.66% 23.31% 57.03%-0.81 +57.4 29
2011-03-19 Metalurg Skopje L 1-345.2 1253 1393 34.39% 24.33% 41.28%-0.14 -22.5 32
2011-03-19 @ Turnovo W 3-145.2 1393 1253 41.28% 24.33% 34.39%+0.14 +22.5 41
2011-03-19 Rabotnicki W 1-044.7 1226 1386 31.72% 24.26% 44.01%-0.24 +16.7 23
2011-03-19 @ Vardar L 0-144.7 1386 1226 44.01% 24.26% 31.72%+0.24 -16.7 37
2011-03-19 Shkendija L 0-134.7 1099 1439 14.10% 22.18% 63.72%-1.20 -6.4 12
2011-03-19 @ Pelister W 1-034.7 1439 1099 63.72% 22.18% 14.10%+1.20 +6.4 45
2011-03-19 Sileks W 3-138.4 1343 1249 62.51% 22.43% 15.06%+1.11 +11.1 38
2011-03-19 @ Renova L 1-338.4 1249 1343 15.06% 22.43% 62.51%-1.11 -11.2 28
2011-03-19 Teteks W 1-039.1 1235 1270 48.70% 24.06% 27.24%+0.42 +11.5 31
2011-03-19 @ Napredok L 0-139.1 1270 1235 27.24% 24.06% 48.70%-0.42 -11.5 30
2011-04-02 Bregalnica Shtip W 3-028.7 1416 1230 69.67% 20.59% 9.74%+1.60 +12.2 44
2011-04-02 @ Metalurg Skopje L 0-328.7 1230 1416 9.74% 20.59% 69.67%-1.60 -12.2 29
2011-04-02 Pelister W 2-030.1 1246 1093 67.36% 21.28% 11.35%+1.43 +9.8 34
2011-04-02 @ Napredok L 0-230.1 1093 1246 11.35% 21.28% 67.36%-1.43 -9.8 12
2011-04-02 Sileks W 2-141.0 1354 1238 64.42% 22.02% 13.56%+1.23 +5.8 41
2011-04-02 @ Renova L 1-241.0 1238 1354 13.56% 22.02% 64.42%-1.23 -5.8 28
2011-04-02 Skopje D 1-156.1 1369 1152 71.74% 19.87% 8.39%+1.77 -5.7 38
2011-04-02 @ Rabotnicki D 1-156.1 1152 1369 8.39% 19.87% 71.74%-1.77 +5.7 24
2011-04-02 Vardar D 1-154.7 1231 1243 51.56% 23.86% 24.57%+0.55 -2.2 33
2011-04-02 @ Turnovo D 1-154.7 1243 1231 24.57% 23.86% 51.56%-0.55 +2.2 24
2011-04-03 Teteks W 3-137.3 1445 1259 69.70% 20.58% 9.72%+1.60 +7.2 48
2011-04-03 @ Shkendija L 1-337.3 1259 1445 9.72% 20.58% 69.70%-1.60 -7.2 30
2011-04-05 Metalurg Skopje W 2-152.7 1232 1428 27.24% 24.06% 48.70%-0.43 +17.2 31
2011-04-05 @ Sileks L 1-252.7 1428 1232 48.70% 24.06% 27.24%+0.43 -17.2 44
2011-04-05 Rabotnicki L 1-345.8 1245 1364 37.40% 24.36% 38.25%-0.02 -24.0 24
2011-04-05 @ Vardar W 3-145.8 1364 1245 38.25% 24.36% 37.40%+0.02 +24.0 41
2011-04-05 Renova W 2-042.7 1158 1360 26.55% 24.02% 49.43%-0.47 +34.8 27
2011-04-05 @ Skopje L 0-242.7 1360 1158 49.43% 24.02% 26.55%+0.47 -34.8 41
2011-04-05 Turnovo L 1-440.8 1083 1228 33.68% 24.31% 42.01%-0.16 -31.3 12
2011-04-05 @ Pelister W 4-140.8 1228 1083 42.01% 24.31% 33.68%+0.16 +31.3 36
2011-04-06 Shkendija L 0-235.7 1218 1452 22.99% 23.72% 53.30%-0.64 -18.8 29
2011-04-06 @ Bregalnica Shtip W 2-035.7 1452 1218 53.30% 23.72% 22.99%+0.64 +18.8 51
2011-04-06 Teteks D 1-154.9 1256 1252 53.48% 23.70% 22.82%+0.64 -2.5 35
2011-04-06 @ Napredok D 1-154.9 1252 1256 22.82% 23.70% 53.48%-0.64 +2.5 31
2011-04-09 Bregalnica Shtip L 0-245.0 1254 1199 58.86% 23.05% 18.09%+0.90 -40.7 31
2011-04-09 @ Teteks W 2-045.0 1199 1254 18.09% 23.05% 58.86%-0.90 +40.7 32
2011-04-09 Napredok D 0-049.7 1260 1254 53.67% 23.68% 22.65%+0.64 -2.9 37
2011-04-09 @ Turnovo D 0-049.7 1254 1260 22.65% 23.68% 53.67%-0.64 +2.9 36
2011-04-09 Pelister L 1-258.3 1388 1052 78.36% 16.91% 4.73%+2.40 -26.0 41
2011-04-09 @ Rabotnicki W 2-158.3 1052 1388 4.73% 16.91% 78.36%-2.40 +26.0 15
2011-04-09 Skopje W 2-138.8 1411 1193 71.80% 19.85% 8.35%+1.77 +3.6 47
2011-04-09 @ Metalurg Skopje L 1-238.8 1193 1411 8.35% 19.85% 71.80%-1.77 -3.6 27
2011-04-10 Sileks W 1-033.8 1471 1249 72.05% 19.76% 8.19%+1.80 +3.7 54
2011-04-10 @ Shkendija L 0-133.8 1249 1471 8.19% 19.76% 72.05%-1.80 -3.7 31
2011-04-11 Vardar W 1-034.8 1325 1221 63.41% 22.24% 14.35%+1.17 +6.5 44
2011-04-11 @ Renova L 0-134.8 1221 1325 14.35% 22.24% 63.41%-1.17 -6.5 24
2011-04-16 Bregalnica Shtip FW47.2 1245 1240 53.61% 23.69% 22.71%+0.64 +0.0 34
2011-04-16 @ Sileks FL47.2 1240 1245 22.71% 23.69% 53.61%-0.64 +0.0 32
2011-04-16 Metalurg Skopje L 0-139.6 1214 1414 26.77% 24.03% 49.20%-0.46 -11.3 24
2011-04-16 @ Vardar W 1-039.6 1414 1214 49.20% 24.03% 26.77%+0.46 +11.3 50
2011-04-16 Rabotnicki L 0-538.6 1256 1362 39.34% 24.35% 36.31%+0.05 -67.4 36
2011-04-16 @ Napredok W 5-038.6 1362 1256 36.31% 24.35% 39.34%-0.05 +67.4 44
2011-04-16 Renova L 0-532.0 1078 1332 21.02% 23.49% 55.48%-0.74 -40.7 15
2011-04-16 @ Pelister W 5-032.0 1332 1078 55.48% 23.49% 21.02%+0.74 +40.7 47
2011-04-16 Shkendija D 2-262.1 1189 1475 18.17% 23.07% 58.76%-0.91 +2.6 28
2011-04-16 @ Skopje D 2-262.1 1475 1189 58.76% 23.07% 18.17%+0.91 -2.6 55
2011-04-16 Teteks L 0-244.8 1257 1213 57.68% 23.22% 19.10%+0.84 -40.0 37
2011-04-16 @ Turnovo W 2-044.8 1213 1257 19.10% 23.22% 57.68%-0.84 +40.0 34
2011-04-22 Vardar W 2-029.3 1472 1203 74.86% 18.61% 6.53%+2.05 +5.5 58
2011-04-22 @ Shkendija L 0-229.3 1203 1472 6.53% 18.61% 74.86%-2.05 -5.5 24
2011-04-23 Napredok W 4-133.2 1372 1189 69.50% 20.64% 9.85%+1.59 +10.4 50
2011-04-23 @ Renova L 1-433.2 1189 1372 9.85% 20.64% 69.50%-1.59 -10.4 36
2011-04-23 Pelister W 5-024.5 1426 1037 80.79% 15.55% 3.66%+2.69 +6.8 53
2011-04-23 @ Metalurg Skopje L 0-524.5 1037 1426 3.66% 15.55% 80.79%-2.69 -6.8 15
2011-04-23 Sileks L 0-243.9 1253 1245 53.88% 23.66% 22.46%+0.65 -37.5 34
2011-04-23 @ Teteks W 2-043.9 1245 1253 22.46% 23.66% 53.88%-0.65 +37.5 37
2011-04-23 Skopje D 0-049.6 1240 1192 58.16% 23.15% 18.69%+0.87 -3.8 33
2011-04-23 @ Bregalnica Shtip D 0-049.6 1192 1240 18.69% 23.15% 58.16%-0.87 +3.8 29
2011-04-23 Turnovo W 3-136.1 1429 1217 71.43% 19.99% 8.59%+1.74 +6.4 47
2011-04-23 @ Rabotnicki L 1-336.1 1217 1429 8.59% 19.99% 71.43%-1.74 -6.4 37
2011-04-29 Bregalnica Shtip D 1-154.5 1198 1236 48.32% 24.08% 27.60%+0.41 -1.7 25
2011-04-29 @ Vardar D 1-154.5 1236 1198 27.60% 24.08% 48.32%-0.41 +1.7 34
2011-04-29 Metalurg Skopje L 1-243.8 1179 1432 21.04% 23.49% 55.46%-0.74 -8.7 36
2011-04-29 @ Napredok W 2-143.8 1432 1179 55.46% 23.49% 21.04%+0.74 +8.7 56
2011-04-29 Renova D 1-155.1 1210 1383 30.15% 24.21% 45.64%-0.31 +1.2 38
2011-04-29 @ Turnovo D 1-155.1 1383 1210 45.64% 24.21% 30.15%+0.31 -1.2 51
2011-04-29 Shkendija L 1-335.2 1030 1478 8.43% 19.90% 71.67%-1.78 -6.2 15
2011-04-29 @ Pelister W 3-135.2 1478 1030 71.67% 19.90% 8.43%+1.78 +6.2 61
2011-04-29 Sileks D 1-154.6 1196 1283 41.84% 24.32% 33.84%+0.14 -0.6 30
2011-04-29 @ Skopje D 1-154.6 1283 1196 33.84% 24.32% 41.84%-0.14 +0.6 38
2011-04-29 Teteks W 2-139.2 1435 1216 71.90% 19.81% 8.29%+1.78 +3.5 50
2011-04-29 @ Rabotnicki L 1-239.2 1216 1435 8.29% 19.81% 71.90%-1.78 -3.5 34
2011-05-07 Pelister W 4-026.6 1238 1024 71.54% 19.95% 8.52%+1.75 +13.8 37
2011-05-07 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 0-426.6 1024 1238 8.52% 19.95% 71.54%-1.75 -13.8 15
2011-05-07 Rabotnicki D 2-264.4 1382 1439 45.89% 24.20% 29.91%+0.30 -1.0 52
2011-05-07 @ Renova D 2-264.4 1439 1382 29.91% 24.20% 45.89%-0.30 +0.9 51
2011-05-07 Turnovo D 1-157.0 1441 1212 72.52% 19.58% 7.90%+1.84 -5.8 57
2011-05-07 @ Metalurg Skopje D 1-157.0 1212 1441 7.90% 19.58% 72.52%-1.84 +5.8 39
2011-05-07 Vardar L 0-149.0 1284 1196 61.94% 22.54% 15.52%+1.08 -22.6 38
2011-05-07 @ Sileks W 1-049.0 1196 1284 15.52% 22.54% 61.94%-1.08 +22.6 28
2011-05-08 Napredok W 4-131.5 1484 1170 77.26% 17.47% 5.27%+2.29 +5.3 64
2011-05-08 @ Shkendija L 1-431.5 1170 1484 5.27% 17.47% 77.26%-2.29 -5.3 36
2011-05-09 Skopje W 2-143.2 1212 1195 54.93% 23.55% 21.52%+0.70 +8.9 37
2011-05-09 @ Teteks L 1-243.2 1195 1212 21.52% 23.55% 54.93%-0.70 -8.9 30
2011-05-14 Bregalnica Shtip D 0-049.2 1165 1252 41.89% 24.32% 33.79%+0.15 -0.7 37
2011-05-14 @ Napredok D 0-049.2 1252 1165 33.79% 24.32% 41.89%-0.15 +0.7 38
2011-05-14 Metalurg Skopje D 1-160.0 1440 1435 53.49% 23.70% 22.82%+0.64 -2.5 52
2011-05-14 @ Rabotnicki D 1-160.0 1435 1440 22.82% 23.70% 53.49%-0.64 +2.5 58
2011-05-14 Shkendija L 0-234.9 1218 1489 19.38% 23.26% 57.36%-0.84 -16.2 39
2011-05-14 @ Turnovo W 2-034.9 1489 1218 57.36% 23.26% 19.38%+0.84 +16.2 67
2011-05-14 Sileks L 2-347.9 1010 1261 21.34% 23.53% 55.13%-0.73 -8.4 15
2011-05-14 @ Pelister W 3-247.9 1261 1010 55.13% 23.53% 21.34%+0.73 +8.3 41
2011-05-14 Skopje D 0-049.5 1219 1186 56.55% 23.37% 20.09%+0.78 -3.4 29
2011-05-14 @ Vardar D 0-049.5 1186 1219 20.09% 23.37% 56.55%-0.78 +3.5 31
2011-05-14 Teteks W 4-240.4 1381 1221 67.79% 21.16% 11.05%+1.46 +7.4 55
2011-05-14 @ Renova L 2-440.4 1221 1381 11.05% 21.16% 67.79%-1.46 -7.4 37
2011-05-17 Napredok W 2-140.6 1269 1164 63.50% 22.23% 14.28%+1.17 +6.1 44
2011-05-17 @ Sileks L 1-240.6 1164 1269 14.28% 22.23% 63.50%-1.17 -6.1 37
2011-05-17 Pelister W 4-132.4 1190 1002 69.81% 20.54% 9.65%+1.61 +10.2 34
2011-05-17 @ Skopje L 1-432.4 1002 1190 9.65% 20.54% 69.81%-1.61 -10.2 15
2011-05-17 Rabotnicki W 2-149.3 1505 1437 60.13% 22.85% 17.01%+0.98 +7.2 70
2011-05-17 @ Shkendija L 1-249.3 1437 1505 17.01% 22.85% 60.13%-0.98 -7.2 52
2011-05-17 Renova D 0-053.6 1438 1388 58.35% 23.13% 18.52%+0.88 -3.8 59
2011-05-17 @ Metalurg Skopje D 0-053.6 1388 1438 18.52% 23.13% 58.35%-0.88 +3.8 56
2011-05-17 Turnovo W 1-036.0 1252 1201 58.45% 23.11% 18.43%+0.88 +8.2 41
2011-05-17 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 0-136.0 1201 1252 18.43% 23.11% 58.45%-0.88 -8.2 39
2011-05-17 Vardar W 2-143.8 1214 1215 52.83% 23.76% 23.41%+0.60 +9.5 40
2011-05-17 @ Teteks L 1-243.8 1215 1214 23.41% 23.76% 52.83%-0.60 -9.5 29
2011-05-21 Bregalnica Shtip W 7-030.6 1430 1261 68.53% 20.94% 10.52%+1.52 +29.2 55
2011-05-21 @ Rabotnicki L 0-730.6 1261 1430 10.52% 20.94% 68.53%-1.52 -29.1 41
2011-05-21 Shkendija D 1-160.7 1392 1513 37.08% 24.35% 38.56%-0.03 +0.1 57
2011-05-21 @ Renova D 1-160.7 1513 1392 38.56% 24.35% 37.08%+0.03 -0.1 71
2011-05-21 Sileks W 2-037.7 1193 1275 42.55% 24.30% 33.15%+0.17 +25.3 42
2011-05-21 @ Turnovo L 0-237.7 1275 1193 33.15% 24.30% 42.55%-0.17 -25.3 44
2011-05-21 Skopje L 1-348.0 1158 1200 47.90% 24.10% 28.00%+0.39 -29.3 37
2011-05-21 @ Napredok W 3-148.0 1200 1158 28.00% 24.10% 47.90%-0.39 +29.3 37
2011-05-21 Teteks D 1-156.9 1434 1223 71.34% 20.02% 8.64%+1.74 -5.6 60
2011-05-21 @ Metalurg Skopje D 1-156.9 1223 1434 8.64% 20.02% 71.34%-1.74 +5.6 41
2011-05-21 Vardar W 1-045.7 992 1206 25.19% 23.91% 50.90%-0.53 +18.9 18
2011-05-21 @ Pelister L 0-145.7 1206 992 50.90% 23.91% 25.19%+0.53 -18.9 29
2011-05-28 Metalurg Skopje D 2-268.6 1513 1428 61.62% 22.60% 15.79%+1.06 -3.0 72
2011-05-28 @ Shkendija D 2-268.6 1428 1513 15.79% 22.60% 61.62%-1.06 +3.0 61
2011-05-28 Napredok W 1-035.6 1187 1129 59.16% 23.01% 17.83%+0.92 +8.0 32
2011-05-28 @ Vardar L 0-135.6 1129 1187 17.83% 23.01% 59.16%-0.92 -8.0 37
2011-05-28 Pelister W 6-129.1 1229 1010 71.83% 19.84% 8.33%+1.78 +13.8 44
2011-05-28 @ Teteks L 1-629.1 1010 1229 8.33% 19.84% 71.83%-1.78 -13.8 18
2011-05-28 Rabotnicki W 2-044.5 1250 1459 25.72% 23.96% 50.32%-0.51 +35.3 47
2011-05-28 @ Sileks L 0-244.5 1459 1250 50.32% 23.96% 25.72%+0.51 -35.3 55
2011-05-28 Renova L 1-441.2 1231 1392 31.67% 24.26% 44.07%-0.25 -29.9 41
2011-05-28 @ Bregalnica Shtip W 4-141.2 1392 1231 44.07% 24.26% 31.67%+0.25 +29.9 60
2011-05-28 Turnovo L 1-253.1 1229 1218 54.17% 23.63% 22.20%+0.67 -18.9 37
2011-05-28 @ Skopje W 2-153.1 1218 1229 22.20% 23.63% 54.17%-0.67 +18.8 45

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2011-04-09 4.73% Pelister 1052 2 @ Rabotnicki 1388 1
2 2010-10-02 9.43% Sileks 1226 2 @ Metalurg Skopje 1418 1
3 2010-11-13 12.00% Napredok 1258 2 @ Metalurg Skopje 1400 1
4 2010-10-16 12.83% Bregalnica Shtip 1104 2 @ Vardar 1232 1
5 2010-10-30 13.63% Turnovo 1190 2 @ Sileks 1305 0
6 2011-05-07 15.52% Vardar 1196 1 @ Sileks 1284 0
7 2011-04-09 18.09% Bregalnica Shtip 1199 2 @ Teteks 1254 0
8 2011-04-16 19.10% Teteks 1213 2 @ Turnovo 1257 0
9 2011-03-19 19.66% Bregalnica Shtip 1173 3 @ Skopje 1210 0
10 2010-12-04 21.88% Turnovo 1246 1 @ Napredok 1260 0
11 2011-05-28 22.20% Turnovo 1218 2 @ Skopje 1229 1
12 2011-04-23 22.46% Sileks 1245 2 @ Teteks 1253 0
13 2011-03-05 22.58% @ Bregalnica Shtip 1157 3 Renova 1396 1
14 2010-12-11 22.95% Rabotnicki 1364 1 @ Metalurg Skopje 1367 0
15 2010-08-21 23.45% Teteks 1305 2 @ Rabotnicki 1303 1
16 2010-11-20 24.43% Rabotnicki 1327 1 @ Teteks 1316 0
17 2011-05-21 25.19% @ Pelister 992 1 Vardar 1206 0
18 2011-05-28 25.72% @ Sileks 1250 2 Rabotnicki 1459 0
19 2010-09-25 26.04% Shkendija 1299 2 @ Vardar 1274 0
20 2011-04-05 26.55% @ Skopje 1158 2 Renova 1360 0
21 2011-04-05 27.24% @ Sileks 1232 2 Metalurg Skopje 1428 1
22 2011-05-21 28.00% Skopje 1200 3 @ Napredok 1158 1
23 2010-11-13 29.33% @ Bregalnica Shtip 1155 1 Teteks 1334 0
24 2010-07-31 29.37% Metalurg Skopje 1381 2 @ Vardar 1328 1
25 2010-11-27 29.96% Vardar 1186 2 @ Pelister 1128 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2011-04-16 67.40 Rabotnicki 5 1362 36.31% @ Napredok 0 1256 39.34% 24.35%
2 2011-03-19 57.42 Bregalnica Shtip 3 1173 19.66% @ Skopje 0 1210 57.03% 23.31%
3 2010-09-11 46.60 Rabotnicki 3 1309 30.78% @ Pelister 0 1245 44.98% 24.23%
4 2010-10-30 44.22 Turnovo 2 1190 13.63% @ Sileks 0 1305 64.32% 22.05%
5 2010-08-15 43.50 @ Shkendija 3 1206 34.35% Rabotnicki 0 1347 41.32% 24.33%
6 2010-07-31 42.97 @ Turnovo 4 1210 47.00% Sileks 0 1259 28.85% 24.15%
7 2011-04-09 40.71 Bregalnica Shtip 2 1199 18.09% @ Teteks 0 1254 58.86% 23.05%
8 2011-04-16 40.67 Renova 5 1332 55.48% @ Pelister 0 1078 21.02% 23.49%
9 2011-04-16 39.95 Teteks 2 1213 19.10% @ Turnovo 0 1257 57.68% 23.22%
10 2011-04-23 37.53 Sileks 2 1245 22.46% @ Teteks 0 1253 53.88% 23.66%
11 2011-05-28 35.31 @ Sileks 2 1250 25.72% Rabotnicki 0 1459 50.32% 23.96%
12 2010-09-25 35.10 Shkendija 2 1299 26.04% @ Vardar 0 1274 49.99% 23.98%
13 2010-08-28 34.79 @ Skopje 3 1221 44.81% Turnovo 0 1287 30.95% 24.24%
14 2011-04-05 34.76 @ Skopje 2 1158 26.55% Renova 0 1360 49.43% 24.02%
15 2011-03-05 32.43 @ Bregalnica Shtip 3 1157 22.58% Renova 1 1396 53.75% 23.67%
16 2010-08-14 31.69 Renova 2 1366 31.43% @ Vardar 0 1297 44.31% 24.26%
17 2010-09-25 31.55 @ Sileks 2 1194 31.67% Rabotnicki 0 1355 44.07% 24.26%
18 2011-04-05 31.34 Turnovo 4 1228 42.01% @ Pelister 1 1083 33.68% 24.31%
19 2010-11-13 30.75 @ Pelister 2 1114 33.00% Turnovo 0 1265 42.70% 24.30%
20 2010-11-06 30.52 @ Turnovo 2 1234 33.40% Renova 0 1382 42.29% 24.31%
21 2010-11-21 30.37 @ Shkendija 3 1351 49.86% Metalurg Skopje 0 1377 26.15% 23.99%
22 2010-10-16 30.08 Rabotnicki 2 1322 34.12% @ Turnovo 0 1233 41.55% 24.32%
23 2011-05-28 29.87 Renova 4 1392 44.07% @ Bregalnica Shtip 1 1231 31.67% 24.26%
24 2010-11-27 29.80 @ Renova 5 1386 62.70% Napredok 0 1290 14.91% 22.39%
25 2011-05-21 29.30 Skopje 3 1200 28.00% @ Napredok 1 1158 47.90% 24.10%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2011-05-28 68.6 @ Shkendija 2 1513 61.62% Metalurg Skopje 2 1428 15.79% 22.60%
2 2011-03-12 65.2 @ Skopje 3 1216 25.53% Shkendija 3 1427 50.53% 23.94%
3 2011-05-07 64.4 @ Renova 2 1382 45.89% Rabotnicki 2 1439 29.91% 24.20%
4 2010-09-18 63.4 @ Rabotnicki 2 1355 44.91% Metalurg Skopje 2 1420 30.85% 24.24%
5 2011-04-16 62.1 @ Skopje 2 1189 18.17% Shkendija 2 1475 58.76% 23.07%
6 2011-05-21 60.7 @ Renova 1 1392 37.08% Shkendija 1 1513 38.56% 24.35%
7 2010-09-18 60.4 @ Bregalnica Shtip 2 1092 39.81% Sileks 2 1194 35.85% 24.35%
8 2011-05-14 60.0 @ Rabotnicki 1 1440 53.49% Metalurg Skopje 1 1435 22.82% 23.70%
9 2011-04-09 58.3 Pelister 2 1052 4.73% @ Rabotnicki 1 1388 78.36% 16.91%
10 2010-10-02 57.9 Sileks 2 1226 9.43% @ Metalurg Skopje 1 1418 70.13% 20.44%
11 2010-12-11 57.4 @ Pelister 5 1103 33.42% Skopje 4 1250 42.27% 24.31%
12 2010-11-13 57.2 Napredok 2 1258 12.00% @ Metalurg Skopje 1 1400 66.48% 21.52%
13 2011-05-07 57.0 @ Metalurg Skopje 1 1441 72.52% Turnovo 1 1212 7.90% 19.58%
14 2011-05-21 56.9 @ Metalurg Skopje 1 1434 71.34% Teteks 1 1223 8.64% 20.02%
15 2010-08-21 56.8 @ Metalurg Skopje 1 1423 68.77% Shkendija 1 1250 10.36% 20.87%
16 2011-03-12 56.8 @ Renova 1 1363 51.20% Rabotnicki 1 1378 24.91% 23.89%
17 2010-08-21 56.3 @ Renova 1 1398 69.42% Skopje 1 1216 9.91% 20.67%
18 2010-10-02 56.3 @ Rabotnicki 1 1323 44.74% Renova 1 1389 31.02% 24.24%
19 2010-09-18 56.2 @ Teteks 1 1322 45.47% Renova 1 1383 30.32% 24.22%
20 2011-04-02 56.1 @ Rabotnicki 1 1369 71.74% Skopje 1 1152 8.39% 19.87%
21 2010-10-31 55.9 @ Rabotnicki 1 1362 63.22% Skopje 1 1260 14.49% 22.28%
22 2010-11-13 55.9 @ Rabotnicki 1 1329 50.60% Shkendija 1 1349 25.46% 23.94%
23 2010-10-16 55.7 Bregalnica Shtip 2 1104 12.83% @ Vardar 1 1232 65.37% 21.80%
24 2010-11-27 55.3 @ Sileks 1 1238 33.89% Shkendija 1 1382 41.79% 24.32%
25 2010-10-16 55.1 @ Napredok 1 1259 42.49% Shkendija 1 1342 33.21% 24.30%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2011-04-23 24.5 @ Metalurg Skopje 5 1426 80.79% Pelister 0 1037 3.66% 15.55%
2 2011-03-05 26.6 @ Metalurg Skopje 4 1347 72.59% Pelister 0 1116 7.86% 19.55%
3 2011-05-07 26.6 @ Bregalnica Shtip 4 1238 71.54% Pelister 0 1024 8.52% 19.95%
4 2010-12-04 26.7 @ Rabotnicki 3 1355 73.33% Pelister 0 1112 7.41% 19.26%
5 2010-11-06 27.5 @ Teteks 3 1322 70.38% Pelister 0 1126 9.26% 20.35%
6 2010-09-25 27.7 @ Renova 2 1384 76.14% Bregalnica Shtip 0 1092 5.84% 18.02%
7 2010-10-23 28.4 @ Metalurg Skopje 3 1384 69.38% Turnovo 0 1202 9.94% 20.68%
8 2010-08-07 28.6 @ Metalurg Skopje 3 1397 69.20% Skopje 0 1218 10.06% 20.74%
9 2010-11-13 28.7 @ Renova 4 1351 66.67% Vardar 0 1207 11.86% 21.47%
10 2011-04-02 28.7 @ Metalurg Skopje 3 1416 69.67% Bregalnica Shtip 0 1230 9.74% 20.59%
11 2011-05-28 29.1 @ Teteks 6 1229 71.83% Pelister 1 1010 8.33% 19.84%
12 2011-03-16 29.2 @ Shkendija 3 1426 69.17% Napredok 0 1247 10.08% 20.75%
13 2011-04-22 29.3 @ Shkendija 2 1472 74.86% Vardar 0 1203 6.53% 18.61%
14 2010-11-07 29.9 @ Shkendija 2 1340 69.04% Bregalnica Shtip 0 1164 10.17% 20.79%
15 2011-04-02 30.1 @ Napredok 2 1246 67.36% Pelister 0 1093 11.35% 21.28%
16 2010-08-14 30.2 @ Teteks 2 1295 67.51% Bregalnica Shtip 0 1140 11.25% 21.24%
17 2010-09-11 30.4 @ Metalurg Skopje 1 1418 77.76% Bregalnica Shtip 0 1094 5.02% 17.22%
18 2011-05-21 30.6 @ Rabotnicki 7 1430 68.53% Bregalnica Shtip 0 1261 10.52% 20.94%
19 2010-10-24 30.9 @ Rabotnicki 2 1352 66.55% Vardar 0 1209 11.95% 21.50%
20 2010-08-21 31.1 @ Pelister 2 1242 64.10% Bregalnica Shtip 0 1130 13.81% 22.10%
21 2010-11-27 31.2 @ Renova 5 1386 62.70% Napredok 0 1290 14.91% 22.39%
22 2011-05-08 31.5 @ Shkendija 4 1484 77.26% Napredok 1 1170 5.27% 17.47%
23 2010-08-29 31.6 @ Shkendija 3 1255 57.11% Sileks 0 1217 19.60% 23.30%
24 2011-04-16 32.0 Renova 5 1332 55.48% @ Pelister 0 1078 21.02% 23.49%
25 2011-05-17 32.4 @ Skopje 4 1190 69.81% Pelister 1 1002 9.65% 20.54%