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2011-12 Macedonian First Football League Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Vardar

76 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Vardar

15.84 points above expected

76 points · 60.16 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

11 Oktomvri

16.65 points below expected

16 points · 32.65 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Vardar 33 22 10 1 76 50 15 +35 60.16 +15.84
2 Metalurg Skopje 33 19 10 4 67 53 16 +37 63.80 +3.20
3 Shkendija 33 20 6 7 66 53 28 +25 61.58 +4.42
4 Renova 33 13 13 7 52 56 38 +18 54.47 -2.47
5 Bregalnica Shtip 33 13 6 14 45 51 47 +4 40.85 +4.15
6 Sileks 33 13 3 17 42 42 51 -9 41.25 +0.75
7 Napredok 33 12 6 15 42 37 51 -14 36.08 +5.92
8 Rabotnicki 33 11 8 14 41 50 45 +5 49.24 -8.24
9 Turnovo 33 10 8 15 38 34 42 -8 37.37 +0.63
10 Teteks 33 8 11 14 35 23 48 -25 31.37 +3.63
11 Ohrid 33 6 8 19 26 26 62 -36 38.34 -12.34
12 11 Oktomvri 33 3 7 23 16 26 58 -32 32.65 -16.65

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Vardar 76 60.16 +15.84
2 Napredok 42 36.08 +5.92
3 Shkendija 66 61.58 +4.42
4 Bregalnica Shtip 45 40.85 +4.15
5 Teteks 35 31.37 +3.63

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 11 Oktomvri 16 32.65 -16.65
2 Ohrid 26 38.34 -12.34
3 Rabotnicki 41 49.24 -8.24
4 Renova 52 54.47 -2.47
5 Turnovo 38 37.37 +0.63

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bregalnica Shtip 4 Oct 22 – Nov 19 1 in 56
2 Vardar 6 Dec 11 – Mar 31 1 in 35
3 Sileks 4 Oct 1 – Oct 29 1 in 32
4 Shkendija 5 Aug 21 – Sep 25 1 in 25
5 Rabotnicki 3 Mar 14 – Mar 28 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rabotnicki 8 Oct 1 – Nov 27 1 in 2,781
2 Ohrid 7 Mar 25 – Apr 22 1 in 169
3 11 Oktomvri 4 Jul 30 – Aug 20 1 in 36
4 Teteks 4 Oct 29 – Nov 22 1 in 30
5 Napredok 4 Oct 22 – Nov 19 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vardar 31 Jul 30 – May 16 1 in 8,649
2 Bregalnica Shtip 9 Oct 1 – Dec 3 1 in 92
3 Ohrid 7 Sep 17 – Nov 4 1 in 30
4 Turnovo 5 Apr 15 – May 13 1 in 27
5 11 Oktomvri 3 Nov 5 – Nov 24 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ohrid 13 Mar 25 – May 23 1 in 63
2 Rabotnicki 8 Oct 1 – Nov 27 1 in 38
3 Renova 6 Aug 6 – Sep 17 1 in 32
4 Turnovo 9 Aug 30 – Nov 5 1 in 26
5 11 Oktomvri 14 Nov 28 – May 6 1 in 22

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Vardar 1519 76 -1 8 9.1 -1.1
Metalurg Skopje 1528 67 -14 9 9.3 -0.3
Shkendija 1458 66 -38 9 9.2 -0.2
Renova 1443 52 +63 10 6.5 +3.5
Bregalnica Shtip 1317 45 -18 6 7.6 -1.6
Napredok 1293 42 +61 9 6.1 +2.9
Sileks 1208 42 -45 3 5.5 -2.5
Rabotnicki 1319 41 +31 8 7.6 +0.4
Turnovo 1263 38 +25 10 7.2 +2.8
Teteks 1163 35 +60 10 5.0 +5.0
Ohrid 1060 26 -99 1 5.2 -4.2
11 Oktomvri 1046 16 -25 3 4.3 -1.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team 1O BS MS NAP OHR RAB REN SHK SIL TET TUR VAR
11 Oktomvri —
0-0-3
2.38
0-1-2
1.86
0-1-2
3.28
1-1-1
3.69
0-1-2
2.52
0-1-2
2.36
0-2-1
1.96
0-0-3
3.44
1-0-2
3.64
1-0-2
3.52
0-0-3
2.76
Bregalnica Shtip
3-0-0
5.91
—
0-1-2
1.79
2-0-1
4.92
2-1-0
4.60
2-0-1
2.81
1-2-0
2.74
0-0-3
2.05
1-0-2
3.80
1-0-2
5.60
1-2-0
4.97
0-0-3
2.29
Metalurg Skopje
2-1-0
6.53
2-1-0
6.54
—
2-1-0
6.45
2-1-0
6.00
2-1-0
5.13
1-1-1
5.18
1-1-1
4.86
2-1-0
6.52
3-0-0
6.24
2-1-0
6.05
0-1-2
3.98
Napredok
2-1-0
4.98
1-0-2
3.34
0-1-2
1.90
—
2-0-1
3.37
0-1-2
2.92
0-1-2
2.55
1-1-1
2.17
2-0-1
4.09
2-0-1
5.03
2-0-1
3.41
0-1-2
2.79
Ohrid
1-1-1
4.55
0-1-2
3.67
0-1-2
2.28
1-0-2
4.87
—
1-0-2
3.33
0-1-2
3.00
0-0-3
2.15
1-0-2
3.58
1-2-0
4.24
1-2-0
4.42
0-0-3
2.59
Rabotnicki
2-1-0
5.79
1-0-2
5.46
0-1-2
3.11
2-1-0
5.34
2-0-1
4.93
—
2-0-1
3.92
1-0-2
2.87
1-0-2
4.49
0-3-0
6.00
0-1-2
4.62
0-1-2
3.12
Renova
2-1-0
5.99
0-2-1
5.53
1-1-1
3.08
2-1-0
5.73
2-1-0
5.27
1-0-2
4.31
—
0-1-2
3.06
2-0-1
5.41
1-2-0
6.32
2-1-0
5.23
0-3-0
3.15
Shkendija
1-2-0
6.34
3-0-0
6.28
1-1-1
3.39
1-1-1
6.11
3-0-0
6.16
2-0-1
5.41
2-1-0
5.21
—
3-0-0
5.52
1-1-1
6.43
2-0-1
6.15
1-0-2
4.85
Sileks
3-0-0
4.82
2-0-1
4.44
0-1-2
1.82
1-0-2
4.15
2-0-1
4.68
2-0-1
3.75
1-0-2
2.85
0-0-3
2.75
—
1-1-1
4.32
1-0-2
5.09
0-1-2
2.63
Teteks
2-0-1
4.60
2-0-1
2.71
0-0-3
2.10
1-0-2
3.23
0-2-1
4.01
0-3-0
2.30
0-2-1
2.00
1-1-1
1.90
1-1-1
3.94
—
1-0-2
3.50
0-2-1
2.09
Turnovo
2-0-1
4.72
0-2-1
3.29
0-1-2
2.23
1-0-2
4.85
0-2-1
3.82
2-1-0
3.63
0-1-2
3.01
1-0-2
2.18
2-0-1
3.16
2-0-1
4.77
—
0-1-2
1.55
Vardar
3-0-0
5.58
3-0-0
6.01
2-1-0
4.27
2-1-0
5.50
3-0-0
5.75
2-1-0
5.15
0-3-0
5.11
2-0-1
3.38
2-1-0
5.62
1-2-0
6.26
2-1-0
6.80
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.62 +11.3
Allowed 0.88 -10.8
Differential 0.90 +6.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.60%9.34%6.82%3.28%2.02%0.76%31.82%
19.34%10.61%7.83%2.78%1.26%1.01%32.83%
26.82%7.83%4.04%2.27%—0.25%21.21%
33.28%2.78%2.27%———8.33%
42.02%1.26%———0.25%3.54%
5+0.76%1.01%0.25%—0.25%—2.27%
Total31.82%32.83%21.21%8.33%3.54%2.27%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.27 +0.00
SD 1.25 1.25 1.88
CV 0.98 0.98 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%21.21%15.15%12.12%——51.52%
1—12.12%6.06%6.06%3.03%—27.27%
23.03%—6.06%6.06%——15.15%
3—3.03%————3.03%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total9.09%36.36%27.27%24.24%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.79 1.76 -0.97
SD 1.02 1.03 1.55
CV 1.30 0.59 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%—3.03%——18.18%
16.06%6.06%18.18%3.03%——33.33%
29.09%3.03%6.06%9.09%——27.27%
3—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total21.21%30.30%33.33%15.15%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.42 +0.12
SD 1.09 1.00 1.41
CV 0.71 0.70 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%6.06%3.03%———21.21%
118.18%18.18%3.03%———39.39%
29.09%9.09%————18.18%
39.09%—————9.09%
43.03%3.03%————6.06%
5+6.06%—————6.06%
Total57.58%36.36%6.06%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 0.48 +1.12
SD 1.50 0.62 1.76
CV 0.93 1.28 —
Max 6 2 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%3.03%3.03%9.09%3.03%33.33%
112.12%9.09%6.06%3.03%3.03%3.03%36.36%
26.06%6.06%3.03%3.03%——18.18%
39.09%—————9.09%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total36.36%24.24%12.12%9.09%12.12%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.55 -0.42
SD 1.08 1.64 2.32
CV 0.97 1.06 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%9.09%18.18%3.03%3.03%3.03%48.48%
13.03%9.09%6.06%6.06%3.03%3.03%30.30%
23.03%6.06%3.03%——3.03%15.15%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total21.21%27.27%27.27%9.09%6.06%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.79 1.88 -1.09
SD 0.93 1.75 2.04
CV 1.18 0.93 —
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%15.15%3.03%3.03%——27.27%
13.03%15.15%9.09%6.06%——33.33%
26.06%3.03%3.03%3.03%——15.15%
3—9.09%3.03%———12.12%
43.03%3.03%———3.03%9.09%
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total18.18%48.48%18.18%12.12%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.52 1.36 +0.15
SD 1.42 1.11 1.72
CV 0.94 0.82 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%—3.03%—3.03%—21.21%
112.12%12.12%6.06%3.03%—3.03%36.36%
26.06%—12.12%3.03%——21.21%
33.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+3.03%6.06%————9.09%
Total42.42%21.21%24.24%6.06%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.70 1.15 +0.55
SD 1.65 1.30 2.18
CV 0.97 1.13 —
Max 7 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%6.06%6.06%3.03%——24.24%
112.12%3.03%3.03%3.03%——21.21%
218.18%9.09%6.06%———33.33%
36.06%—6.06%———12.12%
43.03%6.06%————9.09%
5+———————
Total48.48%24.24%21.21%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 0.85 +0.76
SD 1.25 0.97 1.68
CV 0.78 1.15 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—12.12%9.09%6.06%——27.27%
16.06%9.09%15.15%3.03%6.06%—39.39%
23.03%18.18%————21.21%
3—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+——3.03%———3.03%
Total12.12%42.42%30.30%9.09%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.55 -0.27
SD 1.21 1.03 1.77
CV 0.95 0.67 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%6.06%12.12%3.03%9.09%3.03%51.52%
19.09%12.12%6.06%——3.03%30.30%
26.06%6.06%3.03%———15.15%
3—3.03%————3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%27.27%21.21%3.03%9.09%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.70 1.45 -0.76
SD 0.85 1.52 1.90
CV 1.22 1.05 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%15.15%9.09%3.03%——36.36%
19.09%12.12%15.15%———36.36%
2—15.15%3.03%3.03%——21.21%
33.03%—————3.03%
4———————
5+————3.03%—3.03%
Total21.21%42.42%27.27%6.06%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.27 -0.24
SD 1.10 0.98 1.23
CV 1.07 0.77 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%3.03%————21.21%
121.21%9.09%————30.30%
212.12%18.18%3.03%———33.33%
36.06%—3.03%———9.09%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total60.61%33.33%6.06%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.52 0.45 +1.06
SD 1.20 0.62 1.17
CV 0.79 1.36 —
Max 5 2 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Metalurg Skopje 1528 67 63.80 +3.20 71.0% 51 52 59 63 68 75 85
Vardar 1519 76 60.16 +15.84 100.0% 45 49 56 60 64 71 76
Shkendija 1458 66 61.58 +4.42 74.0% 44 49 57 61 67 74 77
Renova 1443 52 54.47 -2.47 37.0% 36 42 48 55 60 65 78
Rabotnicki 1319 41 49.24 -8.24 15.0% 34 37 44 48 55 62 65
Bregalnica Shtip 1317 45 40.85 +4.15 79.0% 25 30 37 41 44 51 59
Napredok 1293 42 36.08 +5.92 87.0% 21 25 32 36 40 46 50
Turnovo 1263 38 37.37 +0.63 59.0% 24 26 32 37 41 48 57
Sileks 1208 42 41.25 +0.75 55.0% 28 31 35 42 46 52 55
Teteks 1163 35 31.37 +3.63 78.0% 19 21 28 31 35 42 44
Ohrid 1060 26 38.34 -12.34 4.0% 21 27 33 39 42 50 51
11 Oktomvri 1046 16 32.65 -16.65 1.0% 10 22 27 33 37 43 50

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 23% * Slight Edge: 23% to 31% * Clear Edge: 31% to 38% * Strong Edge: 38% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+29.29%
Slight Edge
52.53%24.24%23.23%
Elo Value
Home Edge
204 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0104.84600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.60 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.51+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.12 * Tight Race: 0.12 to 0.25 * Comfortable: 0.25 to 0.36 * Runaway: 0.36 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.7
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
27%
Vardar, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.27/gm
Comfortable
00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.37 * Some Luck: 5.37 to 8.06 * Lucky: 8.06 to 10.74 * Wild Swing: 10.74 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.17 * Close: 1.17 to 1.75 * Off: 1.75 to 2.34 * Way Off: 2.34 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.42 points
Lucky
06.7117
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Close
01.463
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
Vardar
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
1.00%
11 Oktomvri
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.9 * Moderate Separation: 1.9 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.3 * Wide Separation: 2.3 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 70.5% * Clear Edge: 70.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 93% * Clear Edge: 93% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 56.5% * Some Drama: 56.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Top-Heavy
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 164.27
2.28
Strong Separation
11.92.12.32.75
Interquartile Edge
81%
Wide Edge
50%65%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
94%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
64%
Very Frequent
0%57%100%
Blowouts
Expected
17%
Occasional
0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.43 * Slight Separation: 0.43 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.65 * Near-Lock: 0.65 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 18% * Upset-Prone: 18% to 21% * Very Upset-Prone: 21% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 16.5% * Very Shaky: 16.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.55
Highly Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.45
Slight Separation
00.430.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.59
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.12
Weak Carryover
00.410.571
Upset Rate
Expected
14%
Chalky
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
14%
As Expected
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.09
Borderline
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.42
Very Underconfident
0.4579951.001.54201
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.119
Near Noise Ceiling
00.1160.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Vardar27.00%18.00%31.00%12.00%9.00%3.00%——————
Metalurg Skopje35.00%31.00%26.00%4.00%4.00%———————
Shkendija26.00%30.00%21.00%15.00%5.00%3.00%——————
Renova7.00%20.00%10.00%32.00%17.00%6.00%5.00%2.00%—1.00%——
Bregalnica Shtip——2.00%6.00%12.00%14.00%20.00%24.00%8.00%6.00%5.00%3.00%
Sileks———6.00%10.00%26.00%13.00%13.00%11.00%7.00%11.00%3.00%
Napredok————5.00%9.00%13.00%9.00%18.00%19.00%13.00%14.00%
Rabotnicki5.00%1.00%9.00%20.00%24.00%17.00%13.00%4.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%—
Turnovo——1.00%3.00%3.00%8.00%12.00%15.00%23.00%13.00%12.00%10.00%
Teteks————1.00%1.00%5.00%9.00%6.00%20.00%25.00%33.00%
Ohrid———2.00%8.00%12.00%14.00%15.00%13.00%15.00%9.00%12.00%
11 Oktomvri————2.00%1.00%5.00%9.00%17.00%17.00%24.00%25.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Metalurg Skopje 100% — —
Renova 99.00% 1.00% —
Shkendija 100% — —
Vardar 100% — —
Rabotnicki 93.00% 6.00% 1.00%
Bregalnica Shtip 78.00% 14.00% 8.00%
Sileks 68.00% 18.00% 14.00%
Ohrid 51.00% 28.00% 21.00%
Turnovo 42.00% 36.00% 22.00%
Napredok 36.00% 37.00% 27.00%
11 Oktomvri 17.00% 34.00% 49.00%
Teteks 16.00% 26.00% 58.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2011-07-30 Ohrid W 2-034.5 1352 1307 55.98% 24.64% 19.38%+0.74 +18.5 3
2011-07-30 @ Renova L 0-234.5 1307 1352 19.38% 24.64% 55.98%-0.74 -18.5 0
2011-07-30 Shkendija W 2-149.7 1270 1390 35.08% 25.69% 39.22%-0.07 +16.2 3
2011-07-30 @ Turnovo L 1-249.7 1390 1270 39.22% 25.69% 35.08%+0.07 -16.2 0
2011-07-30 Sileks W 1-040.9 1220 1291 41.89% 25.65% 32.46%+0.17 +14.9 3
2011-07-30 @ Napredok L 0-140.9 1291 1220 32.46% 25.65% 41.89%-0.17 -14.9 0
2011-07-30 Teteks W 2-033.1 1358 1274 59.78% 24.04% 16.18%+0.92 +15.7 3
2011-07-30 @ Metalurg Skopje L 0-233.1 1274 1358 16.18% 24.04% 59.78%-0.92 -15.7 0
2011-07-30 Vardar L 0-147.6 1291 1255 55.05% 24.76% 20.20%+0.69 -22.8 0
2011-07-30 @ 11 Oktomvri W 1-047.6 1255 1291 20.20% 24.76% 55.05%-0.69 +22.9 3
2011-07-31 Bregalnica Shtip W 2-141.4 1356 1254 61.41% 23.73% 14.86%+1.01 +7.3 3
2011-07-31 @ Rabotnicki L 1-241.4 1254 1356 14.86% 23.73% 61.41%-1.01 -7.3 0
2011-08-06 Napredok L 0-146.6 1247 1235 52.41% 25.04% 22.54%+0.57 -21.9 0
2011-08-06 @ Bregalnica Shtip W 1-046.6 1235 1247 22.54% 25.04% 52.41%-0.57 +21.9 6
2011-08-06 Renova W 2-148.5 1276 1370 38.62% 25.70% 35.68%+0.05 +15.1 3
2011-08-06 @ Sileks L 1-248.5 1370 1276 35.68% 25.70% 38.62%-0.05 -15.1 3
2011-08-06 Turnovo W 1-036.4 1373 1287 60.08% 23.99% 15.94%+0.94 +8.2 6
2011-08-06 @ Metalurg Skopje L 0-136.4 1287 1373 15.94% 23.99% 60.08%-0.94 -8.2 3
2011-08-07 11 Oktomvri W 3-030.7 1374 1269 61.72% 23.67% 14.62%+1.03 +20.8 3
2011-08-07 @ Shkendija L 0-330.7 1269 1374 14.62% 23.67% 61.72%-1.03 -20.8 0
2011-08-09 Ohrid D 1-154.0 1258 1288 47.33% 25.43% 27.24%+0.37 -1.8 1
2011-08-09 @ Teteks D 1-154.0 1288 1258 27.24% 25.43% 47.33%-0.37 +1.8 1
2011-08-09 Rabotnicki W 1-042.3 1278 1363 39.95% 25.69% 34.36%+0.10 +15.6 6
2011-08-09 @ Vardar L 0-142.3 1363 1278 34.36% 25.69% 39.95%-0.10 -15.6 3
2011-08-13 Bregalnica Shtip D 0-050.0 1355 1225 63.85% 23.18% 12.97%+1.15 -5.6 4
2011-08-13 @ Renova D 0-050.0 1225 1355 12.97% 23.18% 63.85%-1.15 +5.6 1
2011-08-13 Metalurg Skopje L 0-141.8 1248 1382 33.08% 25.66% 41.26%-0.14 -15.1 0
2011-08-13 @ 11 Oktomvri W 1-041.8 1382 1248 41.26% 25.66% 33.08%+0.14 +15.1 9
2011-08-13 Shkendija W 3-144.7 1347 1394 45.15% 25.54% 29.31%+0.28 +22.5 6
2011-08-13 @ Rabotnicki L 1-344.7 1394 1347 29.31% 25.54% 45.15%-0.28 -22.5 3
2011-08-13 Sileks W 2-035.4 1290 1291 50.88% 25.18% 23.94%+0.51 +22.1 4
2011-08-13 @ Ohrid L 0-235.4 1291 1290 23.94% 25.18% 50.88%-0.51 -22.1 3
2011-08-13 Vardar L 0-145.2 1256 1294 46.42% 25.48% 28.10%+0.33 -19.7 6
2011-08-13 @ Napredok W 1-045.2 1294 1256 28.10% 25.48% 46.42%-0.33 +19.7 9
2011-08-14 Teteks L 0-147.1 1278 1257 53.47% 24.94% 21.59%+0.62 -22.3 3
2011-08-14 @ Turnovo W 1-047.1 1257 1278 21.59% 24.94% 53.47%-0.62 +22.3 4
2011-08-20 11 Oktomvri W 1-037.3 1256 1233 53.66% 24.92% 21.42%+0.63 +10.7 6
2011-08-20 @ Turnovo L 0-137.3 1233 1256 21.42% 24.92% 53.66%-0.63 -10.7 0
2011-08-20 Ohrid W 3-144.2 1231 1312 40.46% 25.68% 33.86%+0.11 +25.1 4
2011-08-20 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 1-344.2 1312 1231 33.86% 25.68% 40.46%-0.11 -25.1 4
2011-08-20 Sileks D 1-154.1 1279 1269 52.13% 25.07% 22.80%+0.56 -2.7 5
2011-08-20 @ Teteks D 1-154.1 1269 1279 22.80% 25.07% 52.13%-0.56 +2.7 4
2011-08-21 Napredok W 3-029.7 1372 1237 64.25% 23.08% 12.67%+1.18 +18.1 6
2011-08-21 @ Shkendija L 0-329.7 1237 1372 12.67% 23.08% 64.25%-1.18 -18.1 6
2011-08-21 Rabotnicki D 0-051.6 1397 1370 54.02% 24.88% 21.10%+0.65 -3.4 10
2011-08-21 @ Metalurg Skopje D 0-051.6 1370 1397 21.10% 24.88% 54.02%-0.65 +3.4 7
2011-08-21 Renova D 0-049.9 1313 1350 46.49% 25.48% 28.03%+0.33 -1.9 10
2011-08-21 @ Vardar D 0-049.9 1350 1313 28.03% 25.48% 46.49%-0.33 +1.8 5
2011-08-27 Bregalnica Shtip W 2-143.5 1272 1256 52.80% 25.01% 22.20%+0.59 +10.4 7
2011-08-27 @ Sileks L 1-243.5 1256 1272 22.20% 25.01% 52.80%-0.59 -10.4 4
2011-08-27 Metalurg Skopje L 0-434.6 1219 1393 27.84% 25.47% 46.69%-0.34 -47.3 6
2011-08-27 @ Napredok W 4-034.6 1393 1219 46.69% 25.47% 27.84%+0.34 +47.3 13
2011-08-27 Vardar L 0-242.8 1287 1311 48.04% 25.39% 26.57%+0.39 -38.2 4
2011-08-27 @ Ohrid W 2-042.8 1311 1287 26.57% 25.39% 48.04%-0.39 +38.2 13
2011-08-28 Shkendija L 0-243.9 1352 1390 46.24% 25.49% 28.27%+0.33 -37.0 5
2011-08-28 @ Renova W 2-043.9 1390 1352 28.27% 25.49% 46.24%-0.33 +37.0 9
2011-08-30 Teteks W 4-034.8 1222 1276 44.18% 25.58% 30.24%+0.25 +50.5 3
2011-08-30 @ 11 Oktomvri L 0-434.8 1276 1222 30.24% 25.58% 44.18%-0.25 -50.5 5
2011-08-30 Turnovo D 1-155.2 1373 1267 61.85% 23.64% 14.51%+1.04 -4.6 8
2011-08-30 @ Rabotnicki D 1-155.2 1267 1373 14.51% 23.64% 61.85%-1.04 +4.6 7
2011-09-10 Bregalnica Shtip W 3-141.5 1226 1245 48.59% 25.35% 26.06%+0.42 +20.5 8
2011-09-10 @ Teteks L 1-341.5 1245 1226 26.06% 25.35% 48.59%-0.42 -20.5 4
2011-09-10 Napredok L 0-245.7 1271 1171 61.28% 23.76% 14.96%+1.00 -47.6 7
2011-09-10 @ Turnovo W 2-045.7 1171 1271 14.96% 23.76% 61.28%-1.00 +47.6 9
2011-09-10 Rabotnicki L 2-354.2 1272 1369 38.36% 25.70% 35.94%+0.04 -15.1 3
2011-09-10 @ 11 Oktomvri W 3-254.2 1369 1272 35.94% 25.70% 38.36%-0.04 +15.1 11
2011-09-10 Renova W 2-142.5 1441 1315 63.51% 23.26% 13.23%+1.13 +6.5 16
2011-09-10 @ Metalurg Skopje L 1-242.5 1315 1441 13.23% 23.26% 63.51%-1.13 -6.5 5
2011-09-10 Sileks W 2-142.5 1350 1282 58.24% 24.30% 17.45%+0.84 +8.4 16
2011-09-10 @ Vardar L 1-242.5 1282 1350 17.45% 24.30% 58.24%-0.84 -8.4 7
2011-09-11 Ohrid W 2-031.2 1427 1249 67.52% 22.16% 10.32%+1.39 +10.2 12
2011-09-11 @ Shkendija L 0-231.2 1249 1427 10.32% 22.16% 67.52%-1.39 -10.2 4
2011-09-17 11 Oktomvri W 1-039.5 1219 1257 46.24% 25.49% 28.26%+0.33 +13.4 12
2011-09-17 @ Napredok L 0-139.5 1257 1219 28.26% 25.49% 46.24%-0.33 -13.4 3
2011-09-17 Metalurg Skopje D 0-050.3 1239 1447 23.98% 25.19% 50.84%-0.51 +2.8 5
2011-09-17 @ Ohrid D 0-050.3 1447 1239 50.84% 25.19% 23.98%+0.51 -2.8 17
2011-09-17 Shkendija L 1-441.4 1274 1437 29.21% 25.54% 45.25%-0.29 -31.7 7
2011-09-17 @ Sileks W 4-141.4 1437 1274 45.25% 25.54% 29.21%+0.29 +31.7 15
2011-09-17 Teteks D 1-155.2 1384 1246 64.46% 23.03% 12.51%+1.19 -5.1 12
2011-09-17 @ Rabotnicki D 1-155.2 1246 1384 12.51% 23.03% 64.46%-1.19 +5.1 9
2011-09-17 Turnovo D 0-049.5 1308 1224 59.83% 24.03% 16.13%+0.93 -4.7 6
2011-09-17 @ Renova D 0-049.5 1224 1308 16.13% 24.03% 59.83%-0.93 +4.7 8
2011-09-18 Vardar L 2-352.3 1225 1358 33.22% 25.67% 41.12%-0.14 -13.6 4
2011-09-18 @ Bregalnica Shtip W 3-252.3 1358 1225 41.12% 25.67% 33.22%+0.14 +13.6 19
2011-09-24 Napredok W 4-029.1 1379 1232 65.15% 22.85% 12.00%+1.23 +22.5 15
2011-09-24 @ Rabotnicki L 0-429.1 1232 1379 12.00% 22.85% 65.15%-1.23 -22.5 12
2011-09-24 Ohrid L 1-251.6 1229 1241 49.44% 25.30% 25.26%+0.45 -19.6 8
2011-09-24 @ Turnovo W 2-151.6 1241 1229 25.26% 25.30% 49.44%-0.45 +19.6 8
2011-09-24 Renova L 0-339.3 1244 1303 43.48% 25.60% 30.91%+0.22 -51.1 3
2011-09-24 @ 11 Oktomvri W 3-039.3 1303 1244 30.91% 25.60% 43.48%-0.22 +51.1 9
2011-09-24 Sileks W 3-028.9 1444 1242 69.22% 21.59% 9.19%+1.51 +13.1 20
2011-09-24 @ Metalurg Skopje L 0-328.9 1242 1444 9.19% 21.59% 69.22%-1.51 -13.2 7
2011-09-24 Vardar D 0-049.5 1251 1372 34.96% 25.69% 39.34%-0.08 +0.4 10
2011-09-24 @ Teteks D 0-049.5 1372 1251 39.34% 25.69% 34.96%+0.08 -0.4 20
2011-09-25 Bregalnica Shtip W 1-032.9 1469 1211 72.70% 20.22% 7.08%+1.78 +3.6 18
2011-09-25 @ Shkendija L 0-132.9 1211 1469 7.08% 20.22% 72.70%-1.78 -3.7 4
2011-10-01 Metalurg Skopje D 1-155.1 1208 1458 19.85% 24.70% 55.45%-0.71 +3.4 5
2011-10-01 @ Bregalnica Shtip D 1-155.1 1458 1208 55.45% 24.70% 19.85%+0.71 -3.4 21
2011-10-01 Rabotnicki W 3-144.9 1354 1401 45.15% 25.54% 29.31%+0.28 +22.5 12
2011-10-01 @ Renova L 1-344.9 1401 1354 29.31% 25.54% 45.15%-0.28 -22.5 15
2011-10-01 Shkendija W 2-043.3 1371 1473 37.63% 25.70% 36.67%+0.02 +30.8 23
2011-10-01 @ Vardar L 0-243.3 1473 1371 36.67% 25.70% 37.63%-0.02 -30.8 18
2011-10-01 Teteks W 4-034.2 1210 1252 45.79% 25.51% 28.69%+0.31 +48.4 15
2011-10-01 @ Napredok L 0-434.2 1252 1210 28.69% 25.51% 45.79%-0.31 -48.5 10
2011-10-01 Turnovo W 3-248.1 1229 1209 53.24% 24.96% 21.80%+0.61 +9.7 10
2011-10-01 @ Sileks L 2-348.1 1209 1229 21.80% 24.96% 53.24%-0.61 -9.7 8
2011-10-02 11 Oktomvri D 1-154.0 1261 1193 58.30% 24.30% 17.41%+0.85 -3.9 9
2011-10-02 @ Ohrid D 1-154.0 1193 1261 17.41% 24.30% 58.30%-0.85 +3.9 4
2011-10-15 Ohrid L 1-256.0 1379 1257 63.14% 23.35% 13.51%+1.11 -24.5 15
2011-10-15 @ Rabotnicki W 2-156.0 1257 1379 13.51% 23.35% 63.14%-1.11 +24.5 12
2011-10-15 Renova D 1-154.5 1258 1377 35.19% 25.70% 39.12%-0.07 +0.3 16
2011-10-15 @ Napredok D 1-154.5 1377 1258 39.12% 25.70% 35.19%+0.07 -0.3 13
2011-10-15 Shkendija W 2-044.9 1203 1442 20.91% 24.85% 54.24%-0.66 +42.5 13
2011-10-15 @ Teteks L 0-244.9 1442 1203 54.24% 24.85% 20.91%+0.66 -42.5 18
2011-10-15 Sileks L 1-250.5 1197 1238 45.83% 25.51% 28.65%+0.31 -18.3 4
2011-10-15 @ 11 Oktomvri W 2-150.5 1238 1197 28.65% 25.51% 45.83%-0.31 +18.3 13
2011-10-15 Vardar D 1-158.7 1454 1402 56.72% 24.53% 18.75%+0.77 -3.6 22
2011-10-15 @ Metalurg Skopje D 1-158.7 1402 1454 18.75% 24.53% 56.72%-0.77 +3.6 24
2011-10-16 Bregalnica Shtip D 2-259.5 1199 1211 49.56% 25.29% 25.15%+0.46 -1.7 9
2011-10-16 @ Turnovo D 2-259.5 1211 1199 25.15% 25.29% 49.56%-0.46 +1.7 6
2011-10-22 11 Oktomvri W 2-033.6 1213 1178 54.84% 24.78% 20.38%+0.68 +19.3 9
2011-10-22 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 0-233.6 1178 1213 20.38% 24.78% 54.84%-0.68 -19.3 4
2011-10-22 Napredok W 3-140.2 1282 1259 53.60% 24.92% 21.48%+0.63 +17.5 15
2011-10-22 @ Ohrid L 1-340.2 1259 1282 21.48% 24.92% 53.60%-0.63 -17.5 16
2011-10-22 Rabotnicki W 2-148.4 1257 1354 38.19% 25.70% 36.11%+0.04 +15.2 16
2011-10-22 @ Sileks L 1-248.4 1354 1257 36.11% 25.70% 38.19%-0.04 -15.2 15
2011-10-22 Teteks D 2-261.0 1377 1246 63.89% 23.17% 12.94%+1.15 -3.8 14
2011-10-22 @ Renova D 2-261.0 1246 1377 12.94% 23.17% 63.89%-1.15 +3.8 14
2011-10-22 Turnovo W 3-028.1 1406 1198 69.58% 21.46% 8.96%+1.53 +12.8 27
2011-10-22 @ Vardar L 0-328.1 1198 1406 8.96% 21.46% 69.58%-1.53 -12.8 9
2011-10-23 Metalurg Skopje W 2-041.4 1399 1451 44.56% 25.57% 29.88%+0.26 +26.4 21
2011-10-23 @ Shkendija L 0-241.4 1451 1399 29.88% 25.57% 44.56%-0.26 -26.3 22
2011-10-29 11 Oktomvri W 2-028.8 1418 1159 72.80% 20.18% 7.02%+1.78 +6.8 30
2011-10-29 @ Vardar L 0-228.8 1159 1418 7.02% 20.18% 72.80%-1.78 -6.8 4
2011-10-29 Metalurg Skopje L 0-237.4 1250 1424 27.84% 25.47% 46.69%-0.34 -24.9 14
2011-10-29 @ Teteks W 2-037.4 1424 1250 46.69% 25.47% 27.84%+0.34 +24.9 25
2011-10-29 Napredok W 2-143.0 1272 1241 54.46% 24.83% 20.71%+0.67 +9.8 19
2011-10-29 @ Sileks L 1-243.0 1241 1272 20.71% 24.83% 54.46%-0.67 -9.8 16
2011-10-29 Rabotnicki W 3-253.5 1232 1339 36.84% 25.70% 37.46%-0.01 +14.9 12
2011-10-29 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 2-353.5 1339 1232 37.46% 25.70% 36.84%+0.01 -14.8 15
2011-10-29 Renova D 2-260.7 1299 1373 41.53% 25.66% 32.82%+0.15 -0.6 16
2011-10-29 @ Ohrid D 2-260.7 1373 1299 32.82% 25.66% 41.53%-0.15 +0.6 15
2011-10-30 Turnovo W 2-029.4 1426 1185 71.69% 20.65% 7.66%+1.69 +7.5 24
2011-10-30 @ Shkendija L 0-229.4 1185 1426 7.66% 20.65% 71.69%-1.69 -7.5 9
2011-11-04 Teteks W 1-035.9 1298 1225 58.85% 24.20% 16.94%+0.88 +8.7 19
2011-11-04 @ Ohrid L 0-135.9 1225 1298 16.94% 24.20% 58.85%-0.88 -8.7 14
2011-11-05 Bregalnica Shtip L 0-145.7 1231 1247 49.11% 25.32% 25.57%+0.44 -20.6 16
2011-11-05 @ Napredok W 1-045.7 1247 1231 25.57% 25.32% 49.11%-0.44 +20.6 15
2011-11-05 Metalurg Skopje L 1-242.6 1177 1449 17.90% 24.39% 57.71%-0.82 -8.6 9
2011-11-05 @ Turnovo W 2-142.6 1449 1177 57.71% 24.39% 17.90%+0.82 +8.6 28
2011-11-05 Shkendija D 2-260.4 1152 1433 17.17% 24.25% 58.58%-0.86 +3.0 5
2011-11-05 @ 11 Oktomvri D 2-260.4 1433 1152 58.58% 24.25% 17.17%+0.86 -3.0 25
2011-11-05 Sileks W 2-033.1 1373 1282 60.51% 23.91% 15.58%+0.96 +15.2 18
2011-11-05 @ Renova L 0-233.1 1282 1373 15.58% 23.91% 60.51%-0.96 -15.2 19
2011-11-05 Vardar L 1-250.5 1324 1425 37.71% 25.70% 36.58%+0.02 -15.7 15
2011-11-05 @ Rabotnicki W 2-150.5 1425 1324 36.58% 25.70% 37.71%-0.02 +15.7 33
2011-11-19 11 Oktomvri D 0-051.4 1458 1155 75.25% 19.04% 5.71%+2.00 -7.9 29
2011-11-19 @ Metalurg Skopje D 0-051.4 1155 1458 5.71% 19.04% 75.25%-2.00 +7.9 6
2011-11-19 Napredok W 5-131.3 1441 1211 71.03% 20.91% 8.06%+1.64 +12.5 36
2011-11-19 @ Vardar L 1-531.3 1211 1441 8.06% 20.91% 71.03%-1.64 -12.5 16
2011-11-19 Ohrid W 1-040.0 1267 1307 45.97% 25.50% 28.53%+0.32 +13.5 22
2011-11-19 @ Sileks L 0-140.0 1307 1267 28.53% 25.50% 45.97%-0.32 -13.5 19
2011-11-19 Renova W 3-254.7 1268 1389 34.86% 25.69% 39.44%-0.08 +15.4 18
2011-11-19 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 2-354.7 1389 1268 39.44% 25.69% 34.86%+0.08 -15.4 18
2011-11-19 Turnovo L 0-342.4 1216 1169 56.19% 24.61% 19.20%+0.75 -63.8 14
2011-11-19 @ Teteks W 3-042.4 1169 1216 19.20% 24.61% 56.19%-0.75 +63.8 12
2011-11-20 Rabotnicki W 2-033.4 1430 1308 63.14% 23.35% 13.51%+1.11 +13.3 28
2011-11-20 @ Shkendija L 0-233.4 1308 1430 13.51% 23.35% 63.14%-1.11 -13.3 15
2011-11-22 Bregalnica Shtip D 0-049.4 1294 1283 52.21% 25.06% 22.72%+0.57 -3.1 20
2011-11-22 @ Ohrid D 0-049.4 1283 1294 22.72% 25.06% 52.21%-0.57 +3.1 19
2011-11-22 Teteks W 4-028.8 1280 1152 63.66% 23.23% 13.11%+1.14 +24.5 25
2011-11-22 @ Sileks L 0-428.8 1152 1280 13.11% 23.23% 63.66%-1.14 -24.5 14
2011-11-22 Vardar D 0-052.7 1373 1453 40.63% 25.68% 33.69%+0.12 -0.7 19
2011-11-22 @ Renova D 0-052.7 1453 1373 33.69% 25.68% 40.63%-0.12 +0.7 37
2011-11-23 Metalurg Skopje L 0-142.3 1295 1450 30.34% 25.58% 44.07%-0.24 -14.2 15
2011-11-23 @ Rabotnicki W 1-042.3 1450 1295 44.07% 25.58% 30.34%+0.24 +14.1 32
2011-11-23 Shkendija D 0-049.9 1198 1443 20.27% 24.77% 54.96%-0.69 +3.7 17
2011-11-23 @ Napredok D 0-049.9 1443 1198 54.96% 24.77% 20.27%+0.69 -3.7 29
2011-11-24 Turnovo W 2-037.4 1163 1232 42.14% 25.64% 32.22%+0.17 +27.9 9
2011-11-24 @ 11 Oktomvri L 0-237.4 1232 1163 32.22% 25.64% 42.14%-0.17 -27.9 12
2011-11-26 Napredok W 2-029.5 1464 1202 72.98% 20.10% 6.92%+1.80 +6.7 35
2011-11-26 @ Metalurg Skopje L 0-229.5 1202 1464 6.92% 20.10% 72.98%-1.80 -6.7 17
2011-11-26 Ohrid W 2-032.5 1454 1291 66.44% 22.48% 11.07%+1.31 +10.9 40
2011-11-26 @ Vardar L 0-232.5 1291 1454 11.07% 22.48% 66.44%-1.31 -10.9 20
2011-11-26 Sileks W 3-142.0 1286 1305 48.76% 25.34% 25.90%+0.42 +20.4 22
2011-11-26 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 1-342.0 1305 1286 25.90% 25.34% 48.76%-0.42 -20.4 25
2011-11-27 Rabotnicki W 1-041.1 1205 1281 41.15% 25.67% 33.18%+0.14 +15.2 15
2011-11-27 @ Turnovo L 0-141.1 1281 1205 33.18% 25.67% 41.15%-0.14 -15.1 15
2011-11-27 Renova D 2-263.5 1440 1372 58.22% 24.31% 17.47%+0.84 -2.9 30
2011-11-27 @ Shkendija D 2-263.5 1372 1440 17.47% 24.31% 58.22%-0.84 +2.9 20
2011-11-28 11 Oktomvri W 1-040.2 1128 1191 42.93% 25.62% 31.45%+0.20 +14.6 17
2011-11-28 @ Teteks L 0-140.2 1191 1128 31.45% 25.62% 42.93%-0.20 -14.5 9
2011-12-03 11 Oktomvri W 3-137.9 1266 1177 60.31% 23.95% 15.75%+0.95 +13.3 18
2011-12-03 @ Rabotnicki L 1-337.9 1177 1266 15.75% 23.95% 60.31%-0.95 -13.3 9
2011-12-03 Metalurg Skopje D 1-158.1 1375 1471 38.49% 25.70% 35.81%+0.05 -0.2 21
2011-12-03 @ Renova D 1-158.1 1471 1375 35.81% 25.70% 38.49%-0.05 +0.2 36
2011-12-03 Teteks W 2-030.2 1306 1142 66.51% 22.46% 11.03%+1.32 +10.9 25
2011-12-03 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 0-230.2 1142 1306 11.03% 22.46% 66.51%-1.32 -10.9 17
2011-12-03 Turnovo W 1-038.8 1195 1220 48.00% 25.39% 26.61%+0.39 +12.8 20
2011-12-03 @ Napredok L 0-138.8 1220 1195 26.61% 25.39% 48.00%-0.39 -12.8 15
2011-12-03 Vardar D 1-156.0 1284 1465 27.11% 25.42% 47.46%-0.37 +1.8 26
2011-12-03 @ Sileks D 1-156.0 1465 1284 47.46% 25.42% 27.11%+0.37 -1.8 41
2011-12-05 Shkendija L 1-247.6 1280 1437 30.02% 25.57% 44.41%-0.26 -13.2 20
2011-12-05 @ Ohrid W 2-147.6 1437 1280 44.41% 25.57% 30.02%+0.26 +13.2 33
2011-12-10 Napredok D 2-259.3 1163 1208 45.44% 25.53% 29.03%+0.30 -1.1 10
2011-12-10 @ 11 Oktomvri D 2-259.3 1208 1163 29.03% 25.53% 45.44%-0.30 +1.1 21
2011-12-10 Ohrid W 6-030.3 1471 1266 69.36% 21.54% 9.10%+1.52 +24.9 39
2011-12-10 @ Metalurg Skopje L 0-630.3 1266 1471 9.10% 21.54% 69.36%-1.52 -24.9 20
2011-12-10 Rabotnicki D 1-153.5 1131 1279 31.22% 25.61% 43.17%-0.21 +1.0 18
2011-12-10 @ Teteks D 1-153.5 1279 1131 43.17% 25.61% 31.22%+0.21 -1.0 19
2011-12-10 Renova L 0-140.1 1207 1375 28.65% 25.51% 45.84%-0.31 -13.5 15
2011-12-10 @ Turnovo W 1-040.1 1375 1207 45.84% 25.51% 28.65%+0.31 +13.5 24
2011-12-11 Bregalnica Shtip W 3-031.7 1463 1317 65.09% 22.86% 12.04%+1.23 +17.3 44
2011-12-11 @ Vardar L 0-331.7 1317 1463 12.04% 22.86% 65.09%-1.23 -17.3 25
2011-12-11 Sileks W 2-141.3 1450 1286 66.49% 22.47% 11.04%+1.32 +5.5 36
2011-12-11 @ Shkendija L 1-241.3 1286 1450 11.04% 22.47% 66.49%-1.32 -5.5 26
2012-03-11 11 Oktomvri D 1-155.3 1389 1162 70.79% 21.01% 8.20%+1.62 -6.3 25
2012-03-11 @ Renova D 1-155.3 1162 1389 8.20% 21.01% 70.79%-1.62 +6.3 11
2012-03-11 Metalurg Skopje D 1-156.6 1281 1496 23.24% 25.12% 51.64%-0.54 +2.6 27
2012-03-11 @ Sileks D 1-156.6 1496 1281 51.64% 25.12% 23.24%+0.54 -2.6 40
2012-03-11 Rabotnicki D 1-153.7 1209 1278 42.16% 25.64% 32.19%+0.18 -0.9 22
2012-03-11 @ Napredok D 1-153.7 1278 1209 32.19% 25.64% 42.16%-0.18 +0.9 20
2012-03-11 Shkendija L 2-353.3 1300 1456 30.25% 25.58% 44.17%-0.25 -12.6 25
2012-03-11 @ Bregalnica Shtip W 3-253.3 1456 1300 44.17% 25.58% 30.25%+0.25 +12.6 39
2012-03-11 Teteks W 1-030.7 1480 1132 77.61% 17.80% 4.59%+2.22 +2.3 47
2012-03-11 @ Vardar L 0-130.7 1132 1480 4.59% 17.80% 77.61%-2.22 -2.3 18
2012-03-11 Turnovo D 0-049.0 1242 1193 56.28% 24.59% 19.12%+0.75 -3.9 21
2012-03-11 @ Ohrid D 0-049.0 1193 1242 19.12% 24.59% 56.28%-0.75 +3.9 16
2012-03-14 Bregalnica Shtip W 1-035.4 1493 1287 69.44% 21.51% 9.05%+1.52 +4.7 43
2012-03-14 @ Metalurg Skopje L 0-135.4 1287 1493 9.05% 21.51% 69.44%-1.52 -4.7 25
2012-03-14 Ohrid L 0-338.5 1169 1238 42.18% 25.64% 32.18%+0.18 -49.8 11
2012-03-14 @ 11 Oktomvri W 3-038.5 1238 1169 32.18% 25.64% 42.18%-0.18 +49.8 24
2012-03-14 Renova W 5-141.5 1279 1382 37.37% 25.70% 36.93%+0.01 +49.0 23
2012-03-14 @ Rabotnicki L 1-541.5 1382 1279 36.93% 25.70% 37.37%-0.01 -49.0 25
2012-03-14 Sileks W 2-147.2 1197 1283 39.86% 25.69% 34.45%+0.09 +14.7 19
2012-03-14 @ Turnovo L 1-247.2 1283 1197 34.45% 25.69% 39.86%-0.09 -14.7 27
2012-03-21 Napredok W 1-040.9 1130 1208 40.93% 25.67% 33.40%+0.13 +15.2 21
2012-03-21 @ Teteks L 0-140.9 1208 1130 33.40% 25.67% 40.93%-0.13 -15.2 22
2012-03-22 Vardar L 0-153.5 1468 1483 49.24% 25.31% 25.45%+0.44 -20.7 39
2012-03-22 @ Shkendija W 1-053.5 1483 1468 25.45% 25.31% 49.24%-0.44 +20.7 50
2012-03-24 Napredok W 4-028.7 1333 1193 64.67% 22.97% 12.35%+1.20 +23.1 28
2012-03-24 @ Renova L 0-428.7 1193 1333 12.35% 22.97% 64.67%-1.20 -23.1 22
2012-03-25 11 Oktomvri W 2-030.4 1268 1119 65.40% 22.78% 11.82%+1.25 +11.7 30
2012-03-25 @ Sileks L 0-230.4 1119 1268 11.82% 22.78% 65.40%-1.25 -11.7 11
2012-03-25 Metalurg Skopje W 1-047.6 1503 1498 51.60% 25.12% 23.28%+0.54 +11.4 53
2012-03-25 @ Vardar L 0-147.6 1498 1503 23.28% 25.12% 51.60%-0.54 -11.4 43
2012-03-25 Rabotnicki L 0-145.5 1287 1328 45.96% 25.50% 28.53%+0.31 -19.5 24
2012-03-25 @ Ohrid W 1-045.5 1328 1287 28.53% 25.50% 45.96%-0.31 +19.5 26
2012-03-25 Teteks D 0-051.3 1447 1145 75.24% 19.04% 5.72%+2.00 -7.9 40
2012-03-25 @ Shkendija D 0-051.3 1145 1447 5.72% 19.04% 75.24%-2.00 +7.9 22
2012-03-25 Turnovo D 1-154.1 1283 1212 58.54% 24.26% 17.20%+0.86 -4.0 26
2012-03-25 @ Bregalnica Shtip D 1-154.1 1212 1283 17.20% 24.26% 58.54%-0.86 +4.0 20
2012-03-28 Bregalnica Shtip L 0-139.3 1107 1279 28.21% 25.49% 46.30%-0.33 -13.4 11
2012-03-28 @ 11 Oktomvri W 1-039.3 1279 1107 46.30% 25.49% 28.21%+0.33 +13.4 29
2012-03-28 Ohrid W 3-036.8 1170 1268 38.11% 25.70% 36.18%+0.03 +44.3 25
2012-03-28 @ Napredok L 0-336.8 1268 1170 36.18% 25.70% 38.11%-0.03 -44.3 24
2012-03-28 Renova L 1-536.6 1153 1356 24.54% 25.24% 50.23%-0.48 -35.6 22
2012-03-28 @ Teteks W 5-136.6 1356 1153 50.23% 25.24% 24.54%+0.48 +35.6 31
2012-03-28 Shkendija D 0-056.0 1487 1440 56.17% 24.61% 19.22%+0.74 -3.9 44
2012-03-28 @ Metalurg Skopje D 0-056.0 1440 1487 19.22% 24.61% 56.17%-0.74 +3.9 41
2012-03-28 Sileks W 2-033.6 1347 1280 58.22% 24.31% 17.47%+0.84 +16.8 29
2012-03-28 @ Rabotnicki L 0-233.6 1280 1347 17.47% 24.31% 58.22%-0.84 -16.8 30
2012-03-28 Vardar L 1-243.1 1216 1515 15.77% 23.95% 60.28%-0.95 -7.7 20
2012-03-28 @ Turnovo W 2-143.1 1515 1216 60.28% 23.95% 15.77%+0.95 +7.7 56
2012-03-31 11 Oktomvri D 1-155.4 1364 1094 73.48% 19.88% 6.64%+1.84 -6.8 30
2012-03-31 @ Rabotnicki D 1-155.4 1094 1364 6.64% 19.88% 73.48%-1.84 +6.8 12
2012-03-31 Bregalnica Shtip W 2-141.5 1522 1292 71.04% 20.91% 8.05%+1.64 +3.9 59
2012-03-31 @ Vardar L 1-241.5 1292 1522 8.05% 20.91% 71.04%-1.64 -3.9 29
2012-03-31 Teteks D 0-050.7 1392 1118 73.70% 19.78% 6.52%+1.86 -7.6 32
2012-03-31 @ Renova D 0-050.7 1118 1392 6.52% 19.78% 73.70%-1.86 +7.6 23
2012-04-01 Napredok D 1-156.9 1483 1214 73.36% 19.93% 6.71%+1.83 -6.7 45
2012-04-01 @ Metalurg Skopje D 1-156.9 1214 1483 6.71% 19.93% 73.36%-1.83 +6.7 26
2012-04-01 Ohrid W 1-033.4 1444 1224 70.38% 21.17% 8.46%+1.59 +4.4 44
2012-04-01 @ Shkendija L 0-133.4 1224 1444 8.46% 21.17% 70.38%-1.59 -4.4 24
2012-04-01 Turnovo L 0-147.8 1263 1208 56.98% 24.50% 18.52%+0.78 -23.6 30
2012-04-01 @ Sileks W 1-047.8 1208 1263 18.52% 24.50% 56.98%-0.78 +23.6 23
2012-04-07 Bregalnica Shtip L 1-351.8 1358 1288 58.42% 24.28% 17.30%+0.85 -39.4 30
2012-04-07 @ Rabotnicki W 3-151.8 1288 1358 17.30% 24.28% 58.42%-0.85 +39.4 32
2012-04-08 Metalurg Skopje L 1-437.9 1219 1476 19.21% 24.61% 56.18%-0.74 -22.4 24
2012-04-08 @ Ohrid W 4-137.9 1476 1219 56.18% 24.61% 19.21%+0.74 +22.4 48
2012-04-08 Renova L 0-140.9 1232 1384 30.62% 25.59% 43.78%-0.23 -14.2 23
2012-04-08 @ Turnovo W 1-040.9 1384 1232 43.78% 25.59% 30.62%+0.23 +14.2 35
2012-04-08 Shkendija L 0-231.9 1125 1448 14.07% 23.52% 62.42%-1.07 -13.8 23
2012-04-08 @ Teteks W 2-031.9 1448 1125 62.42% 23.52% 14.07%+1.07 +13.8 47
2012-04-08 Sileks L 1-343.2 1100 1240 32.36% 25.65% 41.99%-0.17 -24.3 12
2012-04-08 @ 11 Oktomvri W 3-143.2 1240 1100 41.99% 25.65% 32.36%+0.17 +24.3 33
2012-04-08 Vardar D 0-051.6 1221 1526 15.27% 23.83% 60.90%-0.98 +5.0 27
2012-04-08 @ Napredok D 0-051.6 1526 1221 60.90% 23.83% 15.27%+0.98 -5.0 60
2012-04-11 11 Oktomvri W 3-241.2 1399 1076 76.32% 18.50% 5.19%+2.10 +2.3 38
2012-04-11 @ Renova L 2-341.2 1076 1399 5.19% 18.50% 76.32%-2.10 -2.3 12
2012-04-11 Napredok W 3-246.0 1328 1226 61.43% 23.72% 14.84%+1.01 +6.9 35
2012-04-11 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 2-346.0 1226 1328 14.84% 23.72% 61.43%-1.01 -6.9 27
2012-04-11 Ohrid W 4-026.8 1521 1197 76.43% 18.44% 5.13%+2.11 +9.2 63
2012-04-11 @ Vardar L 0-426.8 1197 1521 5.13% 18.44% 76.43%-2.11 -9.2 24
2012-04-11 Rabotnicki W 1-040.6 1264 1318 44.18% 25.58% 30.24%+0.25 +14.1 36
2012-04-11 @ Sileks L 0-140.6 1318 1264 30.24% 25.58% 44.18%-0.25 -14.1 30
2012-04-11 Teteks W 5-025.2 1498 1111 79.45% 16.74% 3.81%+2.41 +8.1 51
2012-04-11 @ Metalurg Skopje L 0-525.2 1111 1498 3.81% 16.74% 79.45%-2.41 -8.1 23
2012-04-12 Turnovo W 2-138.9 1462 1218 71.89% 20.56% 7.54%+1.71 +3.7 50
2012-04-12 @ Shkendija L 1-238.9 1218 1462 7.54% 20.56% 71.89%-1.71 -3.7 23
2012-04-14 Renova W 3-146.2 1304 1401 38.27% 25.70% 36.03%+0.04 +26.3 33
2012-04-14 @ Rabotnicki L 1-346.2 1401 1304 36.03% 25.70% 38.27%-0.04 -26.3 38
2012-04-14 Vardar D 0-050.9 1103 1531 8.55% 21.22% 70.23%-1.58 +7.0 24
2012-04-14 @ Teteks D 0-050.9 1531 1103 70.23% 21.22% 8.55%+1.58 -7.0 64
2012-04-15 Bregalnica Shtip W 2-146.7 1278 1334 43.89% 25.59% 30.52%+0.24 +13.4 39
2012-04-15 @ Sileks L 1-246.7 1334 1278 30.52% 25.59% 43.89%-0.24 -13.4 35
2012-04-15 Metalurg Skopje D 1-156.0 1214 1506 16.25% 24.06% 59.69%-0.92 +4.2 24
2012-04-15 @ Turnovo D 1-156.0 1506 1214 59.69% 24.06% 16.25%+0.92 -4.2 52
2012-04-15 Napredok L 1-250.8 1188 1219 47.15% 25.44% 27.41%+0.36 -18.8 24
2012-04-15 @ Ohrid W 2-150.8 1219 1188 27.41% 25.44% 47.15%-0.36 +18.8 30
2012-04-15 Shkendija D 1-155.0 1074 1465 10.14% 22.07% 67.79%-1.41 +5.8 13
2012-04-15 @ 11 Oktomvri D 1-155.0 1465 1074 67.79% 22.07% 10.14%+1.41 -5.8 51
2012-04-21 Sileks W 1-036.6 1375 1291 59.74% 24.05% 16.21%+0.92 +8.3 41
2012-04-21 @ Renova L 0-136.6 1291 1375 16.21% 24.05% 59.74%-0.92 -8.3 39
2012-04-21 Turnovo D 0-052.9 1524 1218 75.41% 18.96% 5.63%+2.01 -7.9 65
2012-04-21 @ Vardar D 0-052.9 1218 1524 5.63% 18.96% 75.41%-2.01 +7.9 25
2012-04-22 11 Oktomvri W 3-024.5 1502 1080 81.02% 15.77% 3.20%+2.59 +4.1 55
2012-04-22 @ Metalurg Skopje L 0-324.5 1080 1502 3.20% 15.77% 81.02%-2.59 -4.1 13
2012-04-22 Ohrid W 2-030.6 1321 1169 65.60% 22.72% 11.67%+1.26 +11.5 38
2012-04-22 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 0-230.6 1169 1321 11.67% 22.72% 65.60%-1.26 -11.5 24
2012-04-22 Rabotnicki W 1-037.3 1460 1330 63.77% 23.20% 13.03%+1.15 +6.8 54
2012-04-22 @ Shkendija L 0-137.3 1330 1460 13.03% 23.20% 63.77%-1.15 -6.8 33
2012-04-22 Teteks W 2-139.9 1238 1110 63.63% 23.24% 13.14%+1.14 +6.5 33
2012-04-22 @ Napredok L 1-239.9 1110 1238 13.14% 23.24% 63.63%-1.14 -6.5 24
2012-04-29 Bregalnica Shtip D 2-261.6 1383 1333 56.53% 24.56% 18.91%+0.76 -2.7 42
2012-04-29 @ Renova D 2-261.6 1333 1383 18.91% 24.56% 56.53%-0.76 +2.7 39
2012-04-29 Metalurg Skopje L 0-338.0 1324 1506 26.88% 25.41% 47.71%-0.38 -35.2 33
2012-04-29 @ Rabotnicki W 3-038.0 1506 1324 47.71% 25.41% 26.88%+0.38 +35.2 58
2012-04-29 Napredok W 2-144.5 1226 1244 48.81% 25.34% 25.85%+0.43 +11.8 28
2012-04-29 @ Turnovo L 1-244.5 1244 1226 25.85% 25.34% 48.81%-0.43 -11.7 33
2012-04-29 Ohrid D 0-048.5 1104 1157 44.27% 25.58% 30.15%+0.25 -1.4 25
2012-04-29 @ Teteks D 0-048.5 1157 1104 30.15% 25.58% 44.27%-0.25 +1.4 25
2012-04-29 Shkendija L 1-441.3 1283 1466 26.82% 25.41% 47.77%-0.38 -29.6 39
2012-04-29 @ Sileks W 4-141.3 1466 1283 47.77% 25.41% 26.82%+0.38 +29.6 57
2012-04-29 Vardar L 0-132.6 1075 1516 8.04% 20.90% 71.06%-1.64 -4.2 13
2012-04-29 @ 11 Oktomvri W 1-032.6 1516 1075 71.06% 20.90% 8.04%+1.64 +4.2 68
2012-05-06 11 Oktomvri W 2-030.1 1232 1071 66.27% 22.53% 11.20%+1.30 +11.1 36
2012-05-06 @ Napredok L 0-230.1 1071 1232 11.20% 22.53% 66.27%-1.30 -11.1 13
2012-05-06 Rabotnicki D 2-264.4 1520 1288 71.12% 20.88% 8.00%+1.65 -4.8 69
2012-05-06 @ Vardar D 2-264.4 1288 1520 8.00% 20.88% 71.12%-1.65 +4.8 34
2012-05-06 Renova W 4-034.5 1496 1380 62.63% 23.47% 13.90%+1.08 +25.9 60
2012-05-06 @ Shkendija L 0-434.5 1380 1496 13.90% 23.47% 62.63%-1.08 -25.9 42
2012-05-06 Sileks W 1-034.2 1542 1254 74.47% 19.42% 6.11%+1.93 +3.1 61
2012-05-06 @ Metalurg Skopje L 0-134.2 1254 1542 6.11% 19.42% 74.47%-1.93 -3.1 39
2012-05-06 Teteks L 1-256.7 1335 1102 71.21% 20.84% 7.95%+1.66 -27.2 39
2012-05-06 @ Bregalnica Shtip W 2-156.7 1102 1335 7.95% 20.84% 71.21%-1.66 +27.2 28
2012-05-06 Turnovo D 1-153.5 1159 1238 40.77% 25.67% 33.56%+0.13 -0.6 26
2012-05-06 @ Ohrid D 1-153.5 1238 1159 33.56% 25.67% 40.77%-0.13 +0.6 29
2012-05-12 Metalurg Skopje W 1-051.6 1354 1545 26.02% 25.35% 48.63%-0.42 +20.5 45
2012-05-12 @ Renova L 0-151.6 1545 1354 48.63% 25.35% 26.02%+0.42 -20.5 61
2012-05-13 Bregalnica Shtip W 3-247.1 1522 1308 69.98% 21.31% 8.71%+1.56 +4.1 63
2012-05-13 @ Shkendija L 2-347.1 1308 1522 8.71% 21.31% 69.98%-1.56 -4.1 39
2012-05-13 Napredok W 4-136.6 1293 1243 56.45% 24.57% 18.98%+0.76 +22.2 37
2012-05-13 @ Rabotnicki L 1-436.6 1243 1293 18.98% 24.57% 56.45%-0.76 -22.2 36
2012-05-13 Ohrid W 3-144.3 1060 1158 38.16% 25.70% 36.14%+0.03 +26.4 16
2012-05-13 @ 11 Oktomvri L 1-344.3 1158 1060 36.14% 25.70% 38.16%-0.03 -26.4 26
2012-05-13 Teteks W 2-140.4 1238 1130 62.06% 23.59% 14.35%+1.05 +7.0 32
2012-05-13 @ Turnovo L 1-240.4 1130 1238 14.35% 23.59% 62.06%-1.05 -7.0 28
2012-05-13 Vardar L 1-244.6 1250 1515 18.50% 24.49% 57.01%-0.78 -8.9 39
2012-05-13 @ Sileks W 2-144.6 1515 1250 57.01% 24.49% 18.50%+0.78 +8.9 72
2012-05-16 11 Oktomvri W 2-033.4 1122 1087 55.00% 24.76% 20.24%+0.69 +19.2 31
2012-05-16 @ Teteks L 0-233.4 1087 1122 20.24% 24.76% 55.00%-0.69 -19.1 16
2012-05-16 Rabotnicki L 0-235.8 1132 1315 26.77% 25.40% 47.82%-0.39 -24.2 26
2012-05-16 @ Ohrid W 2-035.8 1315 1132 47.82% 25.40% 26.77%+0.39 +24.2 40
2012-05-16 Renova D 1-160.5 1524 1375 65.35% 22.79% 11.85%+1.24 -5.3 73
2012-05-16 @ Vardar D 1-160.5 1375 1524 11.85% 22.79% 65.35%-1.24 +5.3 46
2012-05-16 Shkendija W 1-049.6 1524 1526 50.77% 25.19% 24.04%+0.51 +11.7 64
2012-05-16 @ Metalurg Skopje L 0-149.6 1526 1524 24.04% 25.19% 50.77%-0.51 -11.8 63
2012-05-16 Sileks W 3-033.8 1221 1242 48.54% 25.36% 26.10%+0.41 +34.4 39
2012-05-16 @ Napredok L 0-333.8 1242 1221 26.10% 25.36% 48.54%-0.41 -34.4 39
2012-05-16 Turnovo W 2-142.3 1304 1246 57.34% 24.44% 18.21%+0.80 +8.7 42
2012-05-16 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 1-242.3 1246 1304 18.21% 24.44% 57.34%-0.80 -8.7 32
2012-05-20 Bregalnica Shtip W 2-142.5 1536 1313 70.59% 21.08% 8.33%+1.61 +4.1 67
2012-05-20 @ Metalurg Skopje L 1-242.5 1313 1536 8.33% 21.08% 70.59%-1.61 -4.1 42
2012-05-20 Napredok W 5-030.2 1380 1256 63.39% 23.29% 13.32%+1.12 +30.7 49
2012-05-20 @ Renova L 0-530.2 1256 1380 13.32% 23.29% 63.39%-1.12 -30.7 39
2012-05-20 Ohrid W 5-237.1 1207 1107 61.24% 23.76% 14.99%+1.00 +15.5 42
2012-05-20 @ Sileks L 2-537.1 1107 1207 14.99% 23.76% 61.24%-1.00 -15.5 26
2012-05-20 Teteks D 0-050.0 1339 1142 68.90% 21.70% 9.40%+1.48 -6.7 41
2012-05-20 @ Rabotnicki D 0-050.0 1142 1339 9.40% 21.70% 68.90%-1.48 +6.7 32
2012-05-20 Turnovo L 1-245.1 1067 1237 28.50% 25.50% 46.00%-0.32 -12.7 16
2012-05-20 @ 11 Oktomvri W 2-145.1 1237 1067 46.00% 25.50% 28.50%+0.32 +12.7 35
2012-05-20 Vardar W 1-049.1 1514 1519 50.45% 25.22% 24.33%+0.49 +11.9 66
2012-05-20 @ Shkendija L 0-149.1 1519 1514 24.33% 25.22% 50.45%-0.49 -11.9 73
2012-05-23 11 Oktomvri W 4-131.4 1309 1055 72.49% 20.31% 7.20%+1.76 +8.6 45
2012-05-23 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 1-431.4 1055 1309 7.20% 20.31% 72.49%-1.76 -8.6 16
2012-05-23 Metalurg Skopje W 2-156.5 1507 1540 46.92% 25.46% 27.63%+0.35 +12.4 76
2012-05-23 @ Vardar L 1-256.5 1540 1507 27.63% 25.46% 46.92%-0.35 -12.4 67
2012-05-23 Rabotnicki W 5-455.8 1249 1333 40.21% 25.68% 34.11%+0.11 +13.3 38
2012-05-23 @ Turnovo L 4-555.8 1333 1249 34.11% 25.68% 40.21%-0.11 -13.3 41
2012-05-23 Renova L 1-731.9 1092 1411 14.32% 23.59% 62.09%-1.05 -32.2 26
2012-05-23 @ Ohrid W 7-131.9 1411 1092 62.09% 23.59% 14.32%+1.05 +32.2 52
2012-05-23 Shkendija W 3-046.0 1225 1526 15.59% 23.91% 60.50%-0.96 +68.3 42
2012-05-23 @ Napredok L 0-346.0 1526 1225 60.50% 23.91% 15.59%+0.96 -68.3 66
2012-05-23 Sileks W 2-146.5 1148 1223 41.45% 25.66% 32.89%+0.15 +14.2 35
2012-05-23 @ Teteks L 1-246.5 1223 1148 32.89% 25.66% 41.45%-0.15 -14.2 42

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2012-05-06 7.95% Teteks 1102 2 @ Bregalnica Shtip 1335 1
2 2011-10-15 13.51% Ohrid 1257 2 @ Rabotnicki 1379 1
3 2011-09-10 14.96% Napredok 1171 2 @ Turnovo 1271 0
4 2012-05-23 15.59% @ Napredok 1225 3 Shkendija 1526 0
5 2012-04-07 17.30% Bregalnica Shtip 1288 3 @ Rabotnicki 1358 1
6 2012-04-01 18.52% Turnovo 1208 1 @ Sileks 1263 0
7 2011-11-19 19.20% Turnovo 1169 3 @ Teteks 1216 0
8 2011-07-30 20.20% Vardar 1255 1 @ 11 Oktomvri 1291 0
9 2011-10-15 20.91% @ Teteks 1203 2 Shkendija 1442 0
10 2011-08-14 21.59% Teteks 1257 1 @ Turnovo 1278 0
11 2011-08-06 22.54% Napredok 1235 1 @ Bregalnica Shtip 1247 0
12 2011-09-24 25.26% Ohrid 1241 2 @ Turnovo 1229 1
13 2012-03-22 25.45% Vardar 1483 1 @ Shkendija 1468 0
14 2011-11-05 25.57% Bregalnica Shtip 1247 1 @ Napredok 1231 0
15 2012-05-12 26.02% @ Renova 1354 1 Metalurg Skopje 1545 0
16 2011-08-27 26.57% Vardar 1311 2 @ Ohrid 1287 0
17 2012-04-15 27.41% Napredok 1219 2 @ Ohrid 1188 1
18 2011-08-13 28.10% Vardar 1294 1 @ Napredok 1256 0
19 2011-08-28 28.27% Shkendija 1390 2 @ Renova 1352 0
20 2012-03-25 28.53% Rabotnicki 1328 1 @ Ohrid 1287 0
21 2011-10-15 28.65% Sileks 1238 2 @ 11 Oktomvri 1197 1
22 2011-09-24 30.91% Renova 1303 3 @ 11 Oktomvri 1244 0
23 2012-03-14 32.18% Ohrid 1238 3 @ 11 Oktomvri 1169 0
24 2011-11-19 34.86% @ Bregalnica Shtip 1268 3 Renova 1389 2
25 2011-07-30 35.08% @ Turnovo 1270 2 Shkendija 1390 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-05-23 68.30 @ Napredok 3 1225 15.59% Shkendija 0 1526 60.50% 23.91%
2 2011-11-19 63.77 Turnovo 3 1169 19.20% @ Teteks 0 1216 56.19% 24.61%
3 2011-09-24 51.05 Renova 3 1303 30.91% @ 11 Oktomvri 0 1244 43.48% 25.60%
4 2011-08-30 50.48 @ 11 Oktomvri 4 1222 44.18% Teteks 0 1276 30.24% 25.58%
5 2012-03-14 49.82 Ohrid 3 1238 32.18% @ 11 Oktomvri 0 1169 42.18% 25.64%
6 2012-03-14 48.97 @ Rabotnicki 5 1279 37.37% Renova 1 1382 36.93% 25.70%
7 2011-10-01 48.45 @ Napredok 4 1210 45.79% Teteks 0 1252 28.69% 25.51%
8 2011-09-10 47.59 Napredok 2 1171 14.96% @ Turnovo 0 1271 61.28% 23.76%
9 2011-08-27 47.31 Metalurg Skopje 4 1393 46.69% @ Napredok 0 1219 27.84% 25.47%
10 2012-03-28 44.30 @ Napredok 3 1170 38.11% Ohrid 0 1268 36.18% 25.70%
11 2011-10-15 42.52 @ Teteks 2 1203 20.91% Shkendija 0 1442 54.24% 24.85%
12 2012-04-07 39.42 Bregalnica Shtip 3 1288 17.30% @ Rabotnicki 1 1358 58.42% 24.28%
13 2011-08-27 38.19 Vardar 2 1311 26.57% @ Ohrid 0 1287 48.04% 25.39%
14 2011-08-28 36.98 Shkendija 2 1390 28.27% @ Renova 0 1352 46.24% 25.49%
15 2012-03-28 35.61 Renova 5 1356 50.23% @ Teteks 1 1153 24.54% 25.24%
16 2012-04-29 35.21 Metalurg Skopje 3 1506 47.71% @ Rabotnicki 0 1324 26.88% 25.41%
17 2012-05-16 34.40 @ Napredok 3 1221 48.54% Sileks 0 1242 26.10% 25.36%
18 2012-05-23 32.16 Renova 7 1411 62.09% @ Ohrid 1 1092 14.32% 23.59%
19 2011-09-17 31.71 Shkendija 4 1437 45.25% @ Sileks 1 1274 29.21% 25.54%
20 2011-10-01 30.81 @ Vardar 2 1371 37.63% Shkendija 0 1473 36.67% 25.70%
21 2012-05-20 30.65 @ Renova 5 1380 63.39% Napredok 0 1256 13.32% 23.29%
22 2012-04-29 29.64 Shkendija 4 1466 47.77% @ Sileks 1 1283 26.82% 25.41%
23 2011-11-24 27.94 @ 11 Oktomvri 2 1163 42.14% Turnovo 0 1232 32.22% 25.64%
24 2012-05-06 27.21 Teteks 2 1102 7.95% @ Bregalnica Shtip 1 1335 71.21% 20.84%
25 2012-05-13 26.39 @ 11 Oktomvri 3 1060 38.16% Ohrid 1 1158 36.14% 25.70%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-05-06 64.4 @ Vardar 2 1520 71.12% Rabotnicki 2 1288 8.00% 20.88%
2 2011-11-27 63.5 @ Shkendija 2 1440 58.22% Renova 2 1372 17.47% 24.31%
3 2012-04-29 61.6 @ Renova 2 1383 56.53% Bregalnica Shtip 2 1333 18.91% 24.56%
4 2011-10-22 61.0 @ Renova 2 1377 63.89% Teteks 2 1246 12.94% 23.17%
5 2011-10-29 60.7 @ Ohrid 2 1299 41.53% Renova 2 1373 32.82% 25.66%
6 2012-05-16 60.5 @ Vardar 1 1524 65.35% Renova 1 1375 11.85% 22.79%
7 2011-11-05 60.4 @ 11 Oktomvri 2 1152 17.17% Shkendija 2 1433 58.58% 24.25%
8 2011-10-16 59.5 @ Turnovo 2 1199 49.56% Bregalnica Shtip 2 1211 25.15% 25.29%
9 2011-12-10 59.3 @ 11 Oktomvri 2 1163 45.44% Napredok 2 1208 29.03% 25.53%
10 2011-10-15 58.7 @ Metalurg Skopje 1 1454 56.72% Vardar 1 1402 18.75% 24.53%
11 2011-12-03 58.1 @ Renova 1 1375 38.49% Metalurg Skopje 1 1471 35.81% 25.70%
12 2012-04-01 56.9 @ Metalurg Skopje 1 1483 73.36% Napredok 1 1214 6.71% 19.93%
13 2012-05-06 56.7 Teteks 2 1102 7.95% @ Bregalnica Shtip 1 1335 71.21% 20.84%
14 2012-03-11 56.6 @ Sileks 1 1281 23.24% Metalurg Skopje 1 1496 51.64% 25.12%
15 2012-05-23 56.5 @ Vardar 2 1507 46.92% Metalurg Skopje 1 1540 27.63% 25.46%
16 2011-10-15 56.0 Ohrid 2 1257 13.51% @ Rabotnicki 1 1379 63.14% 23.35%
17 2011-12-03 56.0 @ Sileks 1 1284 27.11% Vardar 1 1465 47.46% 25.42%
18 2012-03-28 56.0 @ Metalurg Skopje 0 1487 56.17% Shkendija 0 1440 19.22% 24.61%
19 2012-04-15 56.0 @ Turnovo 1 1214 16.25% Metalurg Skopje 1 1506 59.69% 24.06%
20 2012-05-23 55.8 @ Turnovo 5 1249 40.21% Rabotnicki 4 1333 34.11% 25.68%
21 2012-03-31 55.4 @ Rabotnicki 1 1364 73.48% 11 Oktomvri 1 1094 6.64% 19.88%
22 2012-03-11 55.3 @ Renova 1 1389 70.79% 11 Oktomvri 1 1162 8.20% 21.01%
23 2011-08-30 55.2 @ Rabotnicki 1 1373 61.85% Turnovo 1 1267 14.51% 23.64%
24 2011-09-17 55.2 @ Rabotnicki 1 1384 64.46% Teteks 1 1246 12.51% 23.03%
25 2011-10-01 55.1 @ Bregalnica Shtip 1 1208 19.85% Metalurg Skopje 1 1458 55.45% 24.70%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-04-22 24.5 @ Metalurg Skopje 3 1502 81.02% 11 Oktomvri 0 1080 3.20% 15.77%
2 2012-04-11 25.2 @ Metalurg Skopje 5 1498 79.45% Teteks 0 1111 3.81% 16.74%
3 2012-04-11 26.8 @ Vardar 4 1521 76.43% Ohrid 0 1197 5.13% 18.44%
4 2011-10-22 28.1 @ Vardar 3 1406 69.58% Turnovo 0 1198 8.96% 21.46%
5 2012-03-24 28.7 @ Renova 4 1333 64.67% Napredok 0 1193 12.35% 22.97%
6 2011-10-29 28.8 @ Vardar 2 1418 72.80% 11 Oktomvri 0 1159 7.02% 20.18%
7 2011-11-22 28.8 @ Sileks 4 1280 63.66% Teteks 0 1152 13.11% 23.23%
8 2011-09-24 28.9 @ Metalurg Skopje 3 1444 69.22% Sileks 0 1242 9.19% 21.59%
9 2011-09-24 29.1 @ Rabotnicki 4 1379 65.15% Napredok 0 1232 12.00% 22.85%
10 2011-10-30 29.4 @ Shkendija 2 1426 71.69% Turnovo 0 1185 7.66% 20.65%
11 2011-11-26 29.5 @ Metalurg Skopje 2 1464 72.98% Napredok 0 1202 6.92% 20.10%
12 2011-08-21 29.7 @ Shkendija 3 1372 64.25% Napredok 0 1237 12.67% 23.08%
13 2012-05-06 30.1 @ Napredok 2 1232 66.27% 11 Oktomvri 0 1071 11.20% 22.53%
14 2011-12-03 30.2 @ Bregalnica Shtip 2 1306 66.51% Teteks 0 1142 11.03% 22.46%
15 2012-05-20 30.2 @ Renova 5 1380 63.39% Napredok 0 1256 13.32% 23.29%
16 2011-12-10 30.3 @ Metalurg Skopje 6 1471 69.36% Ohrid 0 1266 9.10% 21.54%
17 2012-03-25 30.4 @ Sileks 2 1268 65.40% 11 Oktomvri 0 1119 11.82% 22.78%
18 2012-04-22 30.6 @ Bregalnica Shtip 2 1321 65.60% Ohrid 0 1169 11.67% 22.72%
19 2011-08-07 30.7 @ Shkendija 3 1374 61.72% 11 Oktomvri 0 1269 14.62% 23.67%
20 2012-03-11 30.7 @ Vardar 1 1480 77.61% Teteks 0 1132 4.59% 17.80%
21 2011-09-11 31.2 @ Shkendija 2 1427 67.52% Ohrid 0 1249 10.32% 22.16%
22 2011-11-19 31.3 @ Vardar 5 1441 71.03% Napredok 1 1211 8.06% 20.91%
23 2012-05-23 31.4 @ Bregalnica Shtip 4 1309 72.49% 11 Oktomvri 1 1055 7.20% 20.31%
24 2011-12-11 31.7 @ Vardar 3 1463 65.09% Bregalnica Shtip 0 1317 12.04% 22.86%
25 2012-04-08 31.9 Shkendija 2 1448 62.42% @ Teteks 0 1125 14.07% 23.52%