2012-13 Macedonian First Football League Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Vardar

68 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Turnovo

10.80 points above expected

63 points · 52.20 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Sileks

9.32 points below expected

23 points · 32.32 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Vardar	33	20	8	5	68	71	21	+50	67.35	+0.65
2	Metalurg Skopje	33	18	9	6	63	48	28	+20	61.89	+1.11
3	Turnovo	33	17	12	4	63	49	31	+18	52.20	+10.80
4	Rabotnicki	33	16	5	12	53	47	42	+5	47.43	+5.57
5	Shkendija*	33	13	8	12	44	52	49	+3	51.08	-7.08
6	Bregalnica Shtip	33	12	7	14	43	37	35	+2	46.53	-3.53
7	Napredok	33	12	7	14	43	29	39	-10	43.45	-0.45
8	Renova	33	12	7	14	43	35	46	-11	48.40	-5.40
9	Drita	33	11	7	15	40	35	50	-15	38.50	+1.50
10	Pelister	33	9	10	14	37	27	36	-9	28.54	+8.46
11	Teteks	33	6	7	20	25	22	47	-25	29.37	-4.37
12	Sileks	33	6	5	22	23	33	61	-28	32.32	-9.32

* Point deductions: Shkendija (-3 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Turnovo	63	52.20	+10.80
2	Pelister	37	28.54	+8.46
3	Rabotnicki	53	47.43	+5.57
4	Drita	40	38.50	+1.50
5	Metalurg Skopje	63	61.89	+1.11

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Sileks	23	32.32	-9.32
2	Shkendija	44	51.08	-7.08
3	Renova	43	48.40	-5.40
4	Teteks	25	29.37	-4.37
5	Bregalnica Shtip	43	46.53	-3.53

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Rabotnicki	4	Dec 8 – Mar 16	1 in 46
2	Pelister	2	May 19 – May 29	1 in 29
3	Metalurg Skopje	5	Mar 17 – Apr 14	1 in 19
4	Vardar	6	Apr 21 – May 19	1 in 15
5	Shkendija	3	Sep 23 – Oct 7	1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Shkendija	4	May 15 – Jun 2	1 in 143
2	Napredok	6	Apr 20 – May 19	1 in 56
3	Teteks	5	Aug 12 – Sep 3	1 in 37
4	Renova	3	Sep 23 – Oct 7	1 in 33
5	Rabotnicki	3	Sep 23 – Oct 7	1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Turnovo	13	Sep 16 – Dec 9	1 in 249
2	Pelister	6	Dec 2 – Mar 31	1 in 136
3	Metalurg Skopje	13	Mar 17 – Jun 2	1 in 44
4	Napredok	6	Nov 11 – Mar 6	1 in 18
5	Renova	6	Dec 8 – Apr 3	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Napredok	12	Mar 10 – May 19	1 in 567
2	Shkendija	6	Nov 18 – Mar 12	1 in 77
3	Metalurg Skopje	3	Oct 21 – Oct 31	1 in 15
4	Drita	7	Nov 24 – Mar 31	1 in 12
5	Sileks	9	Mar 10 – May 4	1 in 10

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Vardar	1546	68	+45	13	9.6	+3.4
Metalurg Skopje	1482	63	+30	11	8.7	+2.3
Turnovo	1403	63	-10	7	7.9	-0.9
Rabotnicki	1372	53	-2	10	8.6	+1.4
Shkendija	1317	47	-53	1	6.9	-5.9
Napredok	1217	43	-3	6	4.1	+1.9
Bregalnica Shtip	1313	43	-15	6	7.8	-1.8
Renova	1265	43	-10	5	6.9	-1.9
Drita	1233	40	+40	10	5.6	+4.4
Pelister	1166	37	-2	7	6.3	+0.7
Teteks	1161	25	+4	4	5.4	-1.4
Sileks	1128	23	-23	4	5.4	-1.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BS	DRI	MS	NAP	PEL	RAB	REN	SHK	SIL	TET	TUR	VAR
Bregalnica Shtip	—	3-0-0 5.00	0-0-3 3.48	0-0-3 4.35	1-1-1 5.49	1-1-1 3.75	0-1-2 4.02	2-1-0 3.82	2-0-1 5.06	3-0-0 5.97	0-1-2 3.49	0-2-1 2.71
Drita	0-0-3 3.31	—	1-0-2 2.59	2-1-0 3.25	1-2-0 5.24	1-1-1 3.16	0-1-2 3.33	1-1-1 3.19	2-0-1 4.31	3-0-0 5.68	0-1-2 2.86	0-0-3 2.25
Metalurg Skopje	3-0-0 4.81	2-0-1 5.73	—	2-1-0 5.84	3-0-0 6.96	1-1-1 5.73	2-0-1 5.72	0-1-2 4.31	2-1-0 6.57	1-2-0 6.32	1-1-1 4.55	1-2-0 3.87
Napredok	3-0-0 3.93	0-1-2 5.06	0-1-2 2.51	—	2-0-1 4.91	1-0-2 4.28	1-1-1 3.38	1-1-1 3.60	2-1-0 4.78	1-1-1 5.96	0-1-2 3.52	1-0-2 2.10
Pelister	1-1-1 2.82	0-2-1 3.05	0-0-3 1.48	1-0-2 3.40	—	1-0-2 2.27	2-1-0 2.72	1-1-1 1.63	1-0-2 4.35	1-1-1 3.72	0-3-0 2.52	1-1-1 1.23
Rabotnicki	1-1-1 4.53	1-1-1 5.17	1-1-1 2.59	2-0-1 4.00	2-0-1 6.08	—	2-0-1 3.64	0-1-2 3.12	3-0-0 5.65	2-1-0 6.07	1-0-2 3.22	1-0-2 2.24
Renova	2-1-0 4.27	2-1-0 4.96	1-0-2 2.60	1-1-1 4.93	0-1-2 5.59	1-0-2 4.63	—	1-1-1 3.33	1-1-1 5.20	3-0-0 6.16	0-1-2 4.36	0-0-3 2.63
Shkendija	0-1-2 4.48	1-1-1 5.10	2-1-0 3.96	1-1-1 4.68	1-1-1 6.78	2-1-0 5.17	1-1-1 4.97	—	3-0-0 6.03	1-0-2 5.97	0-1-2 4.28	1-0-2 3.44
Sileks	1-0-2 3.23	1-0-2 3.98	0-1-2 1.83	0-1-2 3.51	2-0-1 3.94	0-0-3 2.69	1-1-1 3.12	0-0-3 2.33	—	1-0-2 4.10	0-1-2 2.78	0-1-2 1.40
Teteks	0-0-3 2.37	0-0-3 2.64	0-2-1 2.04	1-1-1 2.37	1-1-1 4.57	0-1-2 2.29	0-0-3 2.19	2-0-1 2.37	2-0-1 4.18	—	0-1-2 2.49	0-1-2 1.69
Turnovo	2-1-0 4.79	2-1-0 5.48	1-1-1 3.73	2-1-0 4.77	0-3-0 5.80	2-0-1 5.06	2-1-0 3.95	2-1-0 4.02	2-1-0 5.52	2-1-0 5.88	—	0-1-2 2.60
Vardar	1-2-0 5.60	3-0-0 6.09	0-2-1 4.41	2-0-1 6.29	1-1-1 7.24	2-0-1 6.11	3-0-0 5.75	2-0-1 4.87	2-1-0 7.06	2-1-0 6.70	2-1-0 5.72	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.68	+8.6
Allowed	0.69	-10.7
Differential	0.87	+6.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.08%	9.60%	8.33%	3.79%	1.77%	0.51%	32.07%
1	9.60%	12.63%	7.07%	3.28%	0.25%	0.76%	33.59%
2	8.33%	7.07%	2.53%	1.77%	0.76%	—	20.45%
3	3.79%	3.28%	1.77%	—	0.25%	0.25%	9.34%
4	1.77%	0.25%	0.76%	0.25%	—	—	3.03%
5+	0.51%	0.76%	—	0.25%	—	—	1.52%
Total	32.07%	33.59%	20.45%	9.34%	3.03%	1.52%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.22	1.22	+0.00
SD	1.18	1.18	1.80
CV	0.96	0.96	—
Max	6	6	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	27.27%
1	12.12%	12.12%	18.18%	3.03%	—	—	45.45%
2	15.15%	—	—	3.03%	—	—	18.18%
3	6.06%	—	—	—	—	—	6.06%
4	—	—	—	3.03%	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	42.42%	21.21%	24.24%	12.12%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.12	1.06	+0.06
SD	0.99	1.09	1.52
CV	0.89	1.03	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.03%	9.09%	9.09%	3.03%	9.09%	—	33.33%
1	9.09%	12.12%	9.09%	3.03%	—	—	33.33%
2	6.06%	12.12%	6.06%	—	3.03%	—	27.27%
3	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	6.06%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.21%	36.36%	24.24%	6.06%	12.12%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.06	1.52	-0.45
SD	0.93	1.25	1.80
CV	0.88	0.83	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.03%	12.12%	6.06%	—	—	—	21.21%
1	15.15%	24.24%	—	—	—	—	39.39%
2	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
3	3.03%	3.03%	9.09%	—	—	—	15.15%
4	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	—	—	6.06%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	48.48%	18.18%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	0.85	+0.61
SD	1.18	0.71	1.32
CV	0.81	0.84	—
Max	4	2	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	15.15%	6.06%	3.03%	—	42.42%
1	15.15%	9.09%	6.06%	—	—	—	30.30%
2	9.09%	9.09%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	24.24%
3	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	30.30%	24.24%	9.09%	3.03%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.88	1.18	-0.30
SD	0.89	1.10	1.59
CV	1.02	0.93	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.12%	18.18%	9.09%	—	—	—	39.39%
1	15.15%	15.15%	6.06%	6.06%	—	—	42.42%
2	3.03%	6.06%	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	15.15%
3	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.30%	42.42%	18.18%	6.06%	3.03%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.82	1.09	-0.27
SD	0.81	1.01	1.18
CV	0.99	0.93	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	12.12%	6.06%	6.06%	—	—	24.24%
1	9.09%	12.12%	3.03%	3.03%	—	3.03%	30.30%
2	18.18%	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	30.30%
3	3.03%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	—	12.12%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	3.03%	—	—	3.03%
Total	30.30%	36.36%	15.15%	15.15%	—	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.42	1.27	+0.15
SD	1.17	1.23	1.79
CV	0.82	0.97	—
Max	5	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	6.06%	15.15%	9.09%	3.03%	—	42.42%
1	6.06%	9.09%	—	9.09%	—	—	24.24%
2	9.09%	9.09%	3.03%	—	—	—	21.21%
3	3.03%	6.06%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	3.03%	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	30.30%	21.21%	18.18%	3.03%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.06	1.39	-0.33
SD	1.14	1.17	1.87
CV	1.08	0.84	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.03%	6.06%	—	6.06%	—	—	15.15%
1	12.12%	15.15%	9.09%	6.06%	—	3.03%	45.45%
2	—	6.06%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	15.15%
3	9.09%	3.03%	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	18.18%
4	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	24.24%	36.36%	18.18%	15.15%	3.03%	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.58	1.48	+0.09
SD	1.23	1.37	1.94
CV	0.78	0.92	—
Max	5	6	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	12.12%	12.12%	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	42.42%
1	3.03%	6.06%	18.18%	3.03%	—	—	30.30%
2	3.03%	6.06%	3.03%	6.06%	—	—	18.18%
3	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%	3.03%
4	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	—	—	6.06%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.15%	24.24%	36.36%	15.15%	3.03%	6.06%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.85	-0.85
SD	1.15	1.30	1.75
CV	1.15	0.70	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.15%	15.15%	18.18%	6.06%	3.03%	—	57.58%
1	3.03%	6.06%	9.09%	6.06%	3.03%	—	27.27%
2	3.03%	6.06%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
3	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
4	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	27.27%	27.27%	12.12%	6.06%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.67	1.42	-0.76
SD	0.99	1.20	1.73
CV	1.48	0.84	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.15%	—	3.03%	—	—	3.03%	21.21%
1	6.06%	18.18%	—	—	—	3.03%	27.27%
2	18.18%	12.12%	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	36.36%
3	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	12.12%
4	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	48.48%	33.33%	9.09%	—	3.03%	6.06%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.48	0.94	+0.55
SD	1.06	1.37	1.84
CV	0.72	1.46	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.12%	6.06%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
1	9.09%	12.12%	6.06%	—	—	—	27.27%
2	6.06%	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	—	12.12%
3	9.09%	9.09%	3.03%	—	—	—	21.21%
4	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	6.06%	6.06%	—	—	—	—	12.12%
Total	51.52%	36.36%	9.09%	3.03%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.15	0.64	+1.52
SD	1.72	0.78	1.94
CV	0.80	1.23	—
Max	6	3	+5
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Vardar	1546	68	67.35	+0.65	55.0%	47	56	63	68	72	76	84
Metalurg Skopje	1482	63	61.89	+1.11	57.0%	43	51	57	62	66	71	77
Turnovo	1403	63	52.20	+10.80	96.0%	35	41	47	51	56	63	66
Rabotnicki	1372	53	47.43	+5.57	77.0%	32	36	42	47	53	58	69
Shkendija	1317	44	51.08	-7.08	12.0%	33	42	48	50	54	61	69
Bregalnica Shtip	1313	43	46.53	-3.53	34.0%	29	36	42	46	51	58	62
Renova	1265	43	48.40	-5.40	22.0%	31	37	44	48	53	58	62
Drita	1233	40	38.50	+1.50	62.0%	20	25	32	38	44	51	58
Napredok	1217	43	43.45	-0.45	52.0%	28	32	39	43	48	54	59
Pelister	1166	37	28.54	+8.46	93.0%	15	18	25	28	31	38	43
Teteks	1161	25	29.37	-4.37	30.0%	16	20	25	29	34	41	49
Sileks	1128	23	32.32	-9.32	10.0%	18	22	29	32	35	42	46

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 23% * Slight Edge: 23% to 31% * Clear Edge: 31% to 38% * Strong Edge: 38% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+30.30%

Slight Edge

53.54%23.23%23.23%

Elo Value

Home Edge

210 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0108.70600

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.65 goals

Home-Tilted

-2+0.52+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.12 * Tight Race: 0.12 to 0.25 * Comfortable: 0.25 to 0.36 * Runaway: 0.36 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.9

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

69%

Vardar, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.15/gm

Tight Race

00.220.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.22 * Some Luck: 5.22 to 7.83 * Lucky: 7.83 to 10.44 * Wild Swing: 10.44 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.06 * Close: 1.06 to 1.59 * Off: 1.59 to 2.11 * Way Off: 2.11 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

5.92 points

Some Luck

06.5216

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.00

Pinpoint

01.323

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

96.00%

Turnovo

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

10.00%

Sileks

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.9 * Moderate Separation: 1.9 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.3 * Wide Separation: 2.3 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 70.5% * Clear Edge: 70.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 93% * Clear Edge: 93% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 56.5% * Some Drama: 56.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.

Gini Index

0.17

Balanced

00.170.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 131.08

1.86

Coin-Flip Parity

11.92.12.32.75

Interquartile Edge

73%

Clear Edge

50%65%78%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 93%

92%

Even

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

61%

Frequent

0%59%100%

Blowouts

Expected

14%

Rare

0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.43 * Slight Separation: 0.43 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.65 * Near-Lock: 0.65 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 18% * Upset-Prone: 18% to 21% * Very Upset-Prone: 21% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 16.5% * Very Shaky: 16.5% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.56

Predictable

00.572

Matchup Imbalance

0.44

Slight Separation

00.430.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.94

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.75

Near-Lock

00.410.571

Upset Rate

Expected

22%

Very Upset-Prone

0%22%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

16%

Shaky Favorites

0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.

Probability calibration

0.04

Miscalibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.91

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.062

Well Within Noise

00.1140.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Vardar	69.00%	25.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Metalurg Skopje	24.00%	49.00%	16.00%	3.00%	6.00%	—	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Turnovo	2.00%	12.00%	30.00%	16.00%	13.00%	16.00%	6.00%	2.00%	3.00%	—	—	—
Rabotnicki	1.00%	2.00%	12.00%	16.00%	14.00%	13.00%	17.00%	9.00%	10.00%	5.00%	1.00%	—
Shkendija	3.00%	7.00%	15.00%	19.00%	24.00%	13.00%	14.00%	4.00%	—	1.00%	—	—
Bregalnica Shtip	—	3.00%	9.00%	13.00%	11.00%	12.00%	23.00%	15.00%	11.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%
Napredok	—	—	4.00%	6.00%	10.00%	10.00%	22.00%	25.00%	14.00%	5.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Renova	1.00%	2.00%	10.00%	19.00%	16.00%	25.00%	5.00%	11.00%	10.00%	1.00%	—	—
Drita	—	—	2.00%	6.00%	5.00%	6.00%	7.00%	22.00%	18.00%	21.00%	10.00%	3.00%
Pelister	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	10.00%	16.00%	38.00%	34.00%
Teteks	—	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	5.00%	8.00%	15.00%	26.00%	43.00%
Sileks	—	—	—	—	—	2.00%	2.00%	6.00%	16.00%	34.00%	22.00%	18.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Metalurg Skopje	100%	—	—
Renova	89.00%	11.00%	—
Shkendija	99.00%	1.00%	—
Turnovo	97.00%	3.00%	—
Vardar	100%	—	—
Bregalnica Shtip	86.00%	13.00%	1.00%
Rabotnicki	84.00%	15.00%	1.00%
Napredok	77.00%	19.00%	4.00%
Drita	48.00%	39.00%	13.00%
Sileks	10.00%	50.00%	40.00%
Teteks	8.00%	23.00%	69.00%
Pelister	2.00%	26.00%	72.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2012-08-11	Napredok	D 1-1	56.5	1382	1284	62.73%	22.03%	15.23%	+0.98	-3.1	1
2012-08-11	@ Renova	D 1-1	56.5	1284	1382	15.23%	22.03%	62.73%	-0.98	+3.1	1
2012-08-12	Bregalnica Shtip	L 0-1	46.1	1280	1299	50.08%	24.11%	25.81%	+0.43	-14.0	0
2012-08-12	@ Drita	W 1-0	46.1	1299	1280	25.81%	24.11%	50.08%	-0.43	+14.0	3
2012-08-12	Metalurg Skopje	L 0-2	36.0	1232	1440	25.31%	24.05%	50.64%	-0.47	-15.3	0
2012-08-12	@ Sileks	W 2-0	36.0	1440	1232	50.64%	24.05%	25.31%	+0.47	+15.3	3
2012-08-12	Rabotnicki	W 3-2	47.0	1424	1301	65.01%	21.43%	13.57%	+1.10	+4.1	3
2012-08-12	@ Vardar	L 2-3	47.0	1301	1424	13.57%	21.43%	65.01%	-1.10	-4.1	0
2012-08-12	Shkendija	D 1-1	55.1	1109	1385	18.65%	22.98%	58.38%	-0.80	+2.5	1
2012-08-12	@ Pelister	D 1-1	55.1	1385	1109	58.38%	22.98%	18.65%	+0.80	-2.5	1
2012-08-12	Turnovo	L 0-1	44.0	1200	1266	44.06%	24.51%	31.43%	+0.20	-12.5	0
2012-08-12	@ Teteks	W 1-0	44.0	1266	1200	31.43%	24.51%	44.06%	-0.20	+12.5	3
2012-08-18	Drita	D 2-2	61.5	1297	1266	55.94%	23.39%	20.67%	+0.66	-1.7	1
2012-08-18	@ Rabotnicki	D 2-2	61.5	1266	1297	20.67%	23.39%	55.94%	-0.66	+1.7	1
2012-08-18	Renova	L 0-3	33.8	1188	1379	27.21%	24.24%	48.56%	-0.39	-23.5	0
2012-08-18	@ Teteks	W 3-0	33.8	1379	1188	48.56%	24.24%	27.21%	+0.39	+23.5	4
2012-08-18	Shkendija	W 3-2	54.1	1278	1382	38.70%	24.64%	36.66%	+0.02	+9.7	6
2012-08-18	@ Turnovo	L 2-3	54.1	1382	1278	36.66%	24.64%	38.70%	-0.02	-9.7	1
2012-08-19	Pelister	W 1-0	29.7	1455	1111	80.10%	15.01%	4.89%	+2.15	+1.5	6
2012-08-19	@ Metalurg Skopje	L 0-1	29.7	1111	1455	4.89%	15.01%	80.10%	-2.15	-1.5	1
2012-08-19	Sileks	W 2-0	31.4	1313	1217	62.54%	22.08%	15.38%	+0.97	+9.7	6
2012-08-19	@ Bregalnica Shtip	L 0-2	31.4	1217	1313	15.38%	22.08%	62.54%	-0.97	-9.7	0
2012-08-19	Vardar	W 1-0	45.1	1287	1429	33.41%	24.58%	42.01%	-0.16	+12.1	4
2012-08-19	@ Napredok	L 0-1	45.1	1429	1287	42.01%	24.58%	33.41%	+0.16	-12.1	3
2012-08-25	Turnovo	D 0-0	51.7	1402	1288	64.18%	21.66%	14.16%	+1.06	-3.7	5
2012-08-25	@ Renova	D 0-0	51.7	1288	1402	14.16%	21.66%	64.18%	-1.06	+3.7	7
2012-08-26	Bregalnica Shtip	W 1-0	45.9	1110	1323	24.74%	23.99%	51.27%	-0.50	+14.3	4
2012-08-26	@ Pelister	L 0-1	45.9	1323	1110	51.27%	23.99%	24.74%	+0.50	-14.3	6
2012-08-26	Metalurg Skopje	W 1-0	44.9	1373	1457	41.55%	24.59%	33.86%	+0.12	+10.2	4
2012-08-26	@ Shkendija	L 0-1	44.9	1457	1373	33.86%	24.59%	41.55%	-0.12	-10.2	6
2012-08-26	Napredok	W 3-0	33.8	1268	1299	48.57%	24.24%	27.19%	+0.37	+23.5	4
2012-08-26	@ Drita	L 0-3	33.8	1299	1268	27.19%	24.24%	48.57%	-0.37	-23.5	4
2012-08-26	Rabotnicki	L 3-5	50.7	1207	1295	40.97%	24.61%	34.43%	+0.10	-16.3	0
2012-08-26	@ Sileks	W 5-3	50.7	1295	1207	34.43%	24.61%	40.97%	-0.10	+16.3	4
2012-08-26	Teteks	W 4-0	25.9	1416	1164	74.70%	17.80%	7.50%	+1.72	+8.7	6
2012-08-26	@ Vardar	L 0-4	25.9	1164	1416	7.50%	17.80%	74.70%	-1.72	-8.7	0
2012-08-29	Metalurg Skopje	W 2-0	42.5	1292	1446	31.71%	24.52%	43.77%	-0.22	+23.5	10
2012-08-29	@ Turnovo	L 0-2	42.5	1446	1292	43.77%	24.52%	31.71%	+0.22	-23.5	6
2012-08-29	Pelister	W 2-1	38.5	1312	1124	70.18%	19.71%	10.11%	+1.41	+3.2	7
2012-08-29	@ Rabotnicki	L 1-2	38.5	1124	1312	10.11%	19.71%	70.18%	-1.41	-3.2	4
2012-08-29	Shkendija	D 0-0	50.8	1308	1383	42.85%	24.56%	32.59%	+0.16	-0.7	7
2012-08-29	@ Bregalnica Shtip	D 0-0	50.8	1383	1308	32.59%	24.56%	42.85%	-0.16	+0.7	5
2012-08-29	Sileks	W 1-0	35.0	1275	1191	61.44%	22.34%	16.22%	+0.92	+5.4	7
2012-08-29	@ Napredok	L 0-1	35.0	1191	1275	16.22%	22.34%	61.44%	-0.92	-5.4	0
2012-08-29	Vardar	L 0-2	45.8	1399	1425	49.16%	24.19%	26.65%	+0.39	-25.9	5
2012-08-29	@ Renova	W 2-0	45.8	1425	1399	26.65%	24.19%	49.16%	-0.39	+25.9	9
2012-08-30	Drita	L 1-2	47.2	1155	1291	34.25%	24.60%	41.15%	-0.13	-9.7	0
2012-08-30	@ Teteks	W 2-1	47.2	1291	1155	41.15%	24.60%	34.25%	+0.13	+9.7	7
2012-09-02	Bregalnica Shtip	W 2-1	42.3	1423	1308	64.27%	21.63%	14.10%	+1.06	+4.5	9
2012-09-02	@ Metalurg Skopje	L 1-2	42.3	1308	1423	14.10%	21.63%	64.27%	-1.06	-4.5	7
2012-09-02	Napredok	W 2-0	40.5	1121	1281	31.04%	24.49%	44.47%	-0.24	+23.9	7
2012-09-02	@ Pelister	L 0-2	40.5	1281	1121	44.47%	24.49%	31.04%	+0.24	-23.8	7
2012-09-02	Rabotnicki	W 5-1	34.9	1384	1315	59.92%	22.68%	17.41%	+0.84	+17.3	8
2012-09-02	@ Shkendija	L 1-5	34.9	1315	1384	17.41%	22.68%	59.92%	-0.84	-17.3	7
2012-09-02	Renova	L 2-4	51.2	1301	1373	43.21%	24.54%	32.25%	+0.17	-18.0	7
2012-09-02	@ Drita	W 4-2	51.2	1373	1301	32.25%	24.54%	43.21%	-0.17	+18.0	8
2012-09-02	Turnovo	W 5-1	34.1	1451	1315	66.06%	21.11%	12.82%	+1.16	+12.9	12
2012-09-02	@ Vardar	L 1-5	34.1	1315	1451	12.82%	21.11%	66.06%	-1.16	-12.9	10
2012-09-03	Teteks	W 2-1	42.3	1185	1146	56.89%	23.24%	19.87%	+0.71	+6.2	3
2012-09-03	@ Sileks	L 1-2	42.3	1146	1185	19.87%	23.24%	56.89%	-0.71	-6.2	0
2012-09-15	Metalurg Skopje	W 2-0	41.3	1297	1427	35.03%	24.62%	40.35%	-0.10	+22.1	10
2012-09-15	@ Rabotnicki	L 0-2	41.3	1427	1297	40.35%	24.62%	35.03%	+0.10	-22.1	9
2012-09-15	Sileks	W 2-0	29.1	1391	1192	71.04%	19.37%	9.59%	+1.46	+6.0	11
2012-09-15	@ Renova	L 0-2	29.1	1192	1391	9.59%	19.37%	71.04%	-1.46	-6.0	3
2012-09-16	Bregalnica Shtip	W 2-0	34.9	1302	1303	52.30%	23.88%	23.82%	+0.51	+14.5	13
2012-09-16	@ Turnovo	L 0-2	34.9	1303	1302	23.82%	23.88%	52.30%	-0.51	-14.5	7
2012-09-16	Drita	W 4-0	29.1	1464	1283	69.71%	19.88%	10.41%	+1.38	+12.4	15
2012-09-16	@ Vardar	L 0-4	29.1	1283	1464	10.41%	19.88%	69.71%	-1.38	-12.5	7
2012-09-16	Pelister	W 2-0	34.1	1139	1145	51.78%	23.94%	24.28%	+0.49	+14.7	3
2012-09-16	@ Teteks	L 0-2	34.1	1145	1139	24.28%	23.94%	51.78%	-0.49	-14.7	7
2012-09-16	Shkendija	W 3-1	47.2	1257	1401	33.10%	24.57%	42.33%	-0.17	+19.8	10
2012-09-16	@ Napredok	L 1-3	47.2	1401	1257	42.33%	24.57%	33.10%	+0.17	-19.9	8
2012-09-22	Napredok	W 3-2	46.3	1405	1277	65.45%	21.30%	13.25%	+1.13	+4.0	12
2012-09-22	@ Metalurg Skopje	L 2-3	46.3	1277	1405	13.25%	21.30%	65.45%	-1.13	-4.0	10
2012-09-22	Turnovo	D 0-0	50.0	1270	1317	46.59%	24.38%	29.04%	+0.29	-1.2	8
2012-09-22	@ Drita	D 0-0	50.0	1317	1270	29.04%	24.38%	46.59%	-0.29	+1.2	14
2012-09-23	Rabotnicki	W 2-0	36.0	1289	1319	48.65%	24.23%	27.12%	+0.37	+16.2	10
2012-09-23	@ Bregalnica Shtip	L 0-2	36.0	1319	1289	27.12%	24.23%	48.65%	-0.37	-16.2	10
2012-09-23	Renova	W 3-1	50.4	1130	1397	19.47%	23.16%	57.38%	-0.75	+25.7	10
2012-09-23	@ Pelister	L 1-3	50.4	1397	1130	57.38%	23.16%	19.47%	+0.75	-25.7	11
2012-09-23	Teteks	W 4-1	31.4	1381	1154	73.01%	18.56%	8.43%	+1.59	+6.4	11
2012-09-23	@ Shkendija	L 1-4	31.4	1154	1381	8.43%	18.56%	73.01%	-1.59	-6.4	3
2012-09-23	Vardar	D 0-0	51.1	1186	1476	17.45%	22.69%	59.87%	-0.87	+3.0	4
2012-09-23	@ Sileks	D 0-0	51.1	1476	1186	59.87%	22.69%	17.45%	+0.87	-3.1	16
2012-09-29	Shkendija	L 0-3	42.8	1371	1388	50.41%	24.08%	25.52%	+0.44	-38.5	11
2012-09-29	@ Renova	W 3-0	42.8	1388	1371	25.52%	24.08%	50.41%	-0.44	+38.5	14
2012-09-30	Bregalnica Shtip	W 2-1	45.5	1273	1305	48.44%	24.25%	27.32%	+0.36	+8.1	13
2012-09-30	@ Napredok	L 1-2	45.5	1305	1273	27.32%	24.25%	48.44%	-0.36	-8.1	10
2012-09-30	Metalurg Skopje	L 0-1	36.7	1148	1409	19.93%	23.25%	56.81%	-0.73	-6.6	3
2012-09-30	@ Teteks	W 1-0	36.7	1409	1148	56.81%	23.25%	19.93%	+0.73	+6.6	15
2012-09-30	Pelister	W 3-1	33.3	1473	1156	78.66%	15.81%	5.53%	+2.03	+2.8	19
2012-09-30	@ Vardar	L 1-3	33.3	1156	1473	5.53%	15.81%	78.66%	-2.03	-2.8	10
2012-09-30	Rabotnicki	W 3-0	32.5	1318	1303	54.13%	23.65%	22.22%	+0.59	+19.8	17
2012-09-30	@ Turnovo	L 0-3	32.5	1303	1318	22.22%	23.65%	54.13%	-0.59	-19.8	10
2012-09-30	Sileks	W 2-1	41.3	1269	1189	61.06%	22.43%	16.51%	+0.90	+5.2	11
2012-09-30	@ Drita	L 1-2	41.3	1189	1269	16.51%	22.43%	61.06%	-0.90	-5.2	4
2012-10-07	Drita	D 1-1	54.5	1153	1274	36.22%	24.63%	39.14%	-0.06	+0.2	11
2012-10-07	@ Pelister	D 1-1	54.5	1274	1153	39.14%	24.63%	36.22%	+0.06	-0.2	12
2012-10-07	Napredok	L 0-1	46.7	1283	1281	52.72%	23.83%	23.45%	+0.53	-14.6	10
2012-10-07	@ Rabotnicki	W 1-0	46.7	1281	1283	23.45%	23.83%	52.72%	-0.53	+14.6	16
2012-10-07	Renova	W 4-0	31.7	1416	1332	61.33%	22.37%	16.30%	+0.91	+19.5	18
2012-10-07	@ Metalurg Skopje	L 0-4	31.7	1332	1416	16.30%	22.37%	61.33%	-0.91	-19.5	11
2012-10-07	Teteks	W 2-0	29.6	1297	1141	67.70%	20.59%	11.71%	+1.26	+7.4	13
2012-10-07	@ Bregalnica Shtip	L 0-2	29.6	1141	1297	11.71%	20.59%	67.70%	-1.26	-7.4	3
2012-10-07	Turnovo	D 1-1	54.8	1183	1338	31.72%	24.52%	43.76%	-0.22	+0.7	5
2012-10-07	@ Sileks	D 1-1	54.8	1338	1183	43.76%	24.52%	31.72%	+0.22	-0.7	18
2012-10-07	Vardar	W 2-1	51.9	1426	1476	46.13%	24.40%	29.47%	+0.28	+8.7	17
2012-10-07	@ Shkendija	L 1-2	51.9	1476	1426	29.47%	24.40%	46.13%	-0.28	-8.7	19
2012-10-20	Bregalnica Shtip	W 2-0	34.6	1313	1304	53.42%	23.74%	22.84%	+0.56	+14.0	14
2012-10-20	@ Renova	L 0-2	34.6	1304	1313	22.84%	23.74%	53.42%	-0.56	-14.0	13
2012-10-21	Metalurg Skopje	D 1-1	61.1	1468	1435	56.07%	23.37%	20.56%	+0.67	-2.2	20
2012-10-21	@ Vardar	D 1-1	61.1	1435	1468	20.56%	23.37%	56.07%	-0.67	+2.2	19
2012-10-21	Napredok	W 1-0	37.1	1337	1295	57.11%	23.20%	19.69%	+0.72	+6.5	21
2012-10-21	@ Turnovo	L 0-1	37.1	1295	1337	19.69%	23.20%	57.11%	-0.72	-6.5	16
2012-10-21	Pelister	W 2-0	32.9	1184	1153	55.95%	23.39%	20.67%	+0.66	+12.8	8
2012-10-21	@ Sileks	L 0-2	32.9	1153	1184	20.67%	23.39%	55.95%	-0.66	-12.8	11
2012-10-21	Rabotnicki	D 1-1	54.4	1134	1269	34.33%	24.60%	41.06%	-0.13	+0.4	4
2012-10-21	@ Teteks	D 1-1	54.4	1269	1134	41.06%	24.60%	34.33%	+0.13	-0.4	11
2012-10-21	Shkendija	D 2-2	62.4	1274	1435	30.95%	24.49%	44.56%	-0.25	+0.6	13
2012-10-21	@ Drita	D 2-2	62.4	1435	1274	44.56%	24.49%	30.95%	+0.25	-0.6	18
2012-10-28	Drita	L 0-1	51.7	1438	1275	68.28%	20.39%	11.32%	+1.29	-18.4	19
2012-10-28	@ Metalurg Skopje	W 1-0	51.7	1275	1438	11.32%	20.39%	68.28%	-1.29	+18.4	16
2012-10-28	Renova	W 3-0	35.1	1268	1327	45.03%	24.46%	30.51%	+0.24	+25.8	14
2012-10-28	@ Rabotnicki	L 0-3	35.1	1327	1268	30.51%	24.46%	45.03%	-0.24	-25.8	14
2012-10-28	Sileks	W 1-0	32.1	1434	1197	73.70%	18.25%	8.04%	+1.64	+2.6	21
2012-10-28	@ Shkendija	L 0-1	32.1	1197	1434	8.04%	18.25%	73.70%	-1.64	-2.6	8
2012-10-28	Teteks	W 2-0	29.5	1289	1134	67.63%	20.62%	11.76%	+1.25	+7.4	19
2012-10-28	@ Napredok	L 0-2	29.5	1134	1289	11.76%	20.62%	67.63%	-1.25	-7.5	4
2012-10-28	Turnovo	D 1-1	54.8	1140	1344	25.78%	24.10%	50.11%	-0.45	+1.5	12
2012-10-28	@ Pelister	D 1-1	54.8	1344	1140	50.11%	24.10%	25.78%	+0.45	-1.5	22
2012-10-28	Vardar	D 1-1	57.0	1290	1465	29.13%	24.38%	46.48%	-0.32	+1.0	14
2012-10-28	@ Bregalnica Shtip	D 1-1	57.0	1465	1290	46.48%	24.38%	29.13%	+0.32	-1.0	21
2012-10-31	Drita	W 3-0	32.8	1291	1293	52.19%	23.89%	23.92%	+0.51	+21.1	17
2012-10-31	@ Bregalnica Shtip	L 0-3	32.8	1293	1291	23.92%	23.89%	52.19%	-0.51	-21.1	16
2012-10-31	Pelister	W 3-1	33.3	1437	1142	77.35%	16.50%	6.15%	+1.92	+3.2	24
2012-10-31	@ Shkendija	L 1-3	33.3	1142	1437	6.15%	16.50%	77.35%	-1.92	-3.2	12
2012-10-31	Renova	W 2-0	35.0	1296	1301	51.84%	23.93%	24.23%	+0.49	+14.7	22
2012-10-31	@ Napredok	L 0-2	35.0	1301	1296	24.23%	23.93%	51.84%	-0.49	-14.7	14
2012-10-31	Sileks	D 1-1	57.1	1419	1194	72.87%	18.62%	8.51%	+1.59	-4.3	20
2012-10-31	@ Metalurg Skopje	D 1-1	57.1	1194	1419	8.51%	18.62%	72.87%	-1.59	+4.3	9
2012-10-31	Teteks	D 0-0	51.1	1342	1127	72.21%	18.90%	8.89%	+1.54	-4.7	23
2012-10-31	@ Turnovo	D 0-0	51.1	1127	1342	8.89%	18.90%	72.21%	-1.54	+4.7	5
2012-10-31	Vardar	L 0-2	38.6	1294	1464	29.76%	24.42%	45.82%	-0.29	-17.4	14
2012-10-31	@ Rabotnicki	W 2-0	38.6	1464	1294	45.82%	24.42%	29.76%	+0.29	+17.4	24
2012-11-03	Teteks	W 1-0	33.0	1286	1131	67.64%	20.61%	11.75%	+1.25	+3.9	17
2012-11-03	@ Renova	L 0-1	33.0	1131	1286	11.75%	20.61%	67.64%	-1.25	-3.9	5
2012-11-04	Bregalnica Shtip	W 2-1	48.5	1199	1312	37.29%	24.64%	38.07%	-0.02	+10.5	12
2012-11-04	@ Sileks	L 1-2	48.5	1312	1199	38.07%	24.64%	37.29%	+0.02	-10.5	17
2012-11-04	Metalurg Skopje	L 0-1	36.2	1139	1415	18.63%	22.97%	58.39%	-0.80	-6.2	12
2012-11-04	@ Pelister	W 1-0	36.2	1415	1139	58.39%	22.97%	18.63%	+0.80	+6.2	23
2012-11-04	Napredok	W 1-0	35.9	1482	1311	68.89%	20.18%	10.93%	+1.33	+3.7	27
2012-11-04	@ Vardar	L 0-1	35.9	1311	1482	10.93%	20.18%	68.89%	-1.33	-3.7	22
2012-11-04	Rabotnicki	W 1-0	38.1	1272	1277	51.83%	23.93%	24.24%	+0.49	+7.8	19
2012-11-04	@ Drita	L 0-1	38.1	1277	1272	24.24%	23.93%	51.83%	-0.49	-7.8	14
2012-11-04	Turnovo	L 1-2	57.9	1440	1338	63.12%	21.94%	14.95%	+1.00	-16.2	24
2012-11-04	@ Shkendija	W 2-1	57.9	1338	1440	14.95%	21.94%	63.12%	-1.00	+16.2	26
2012-11-11	Drita	D 1-1	55.4	1307	1280	55.57%	23.45%	20.99%	+0.65	-2.2	23
2012-11-11	@ Napredok	D 1-1	55.4	1280	1307	20.99%	23.45%	55.57%	-0.65	+2.2	20
2012-11-11	Pelister	W 1-0	32.7	1302	1132	68.81%	20.21%	10.98%	+1.32	+3.7	20
2012-11-11	@ Bregalnica Shtip	L 0-1	32.7	1132	1302	10.98%	20.21%	68.81%	-1.32	-3.7	12
2012-11-11	Renova	W 2-0	33.1	1354	1290	59.36%	22.79%	17.85%	+0.82	+11.2	29
2012-11-11	@ Turnovo	L 0-2	33.1	1290	1354	17.85%	22.79%	59.36%	-0.82	-11.2	17
2012-11-11	Shkendija	L 0-1	50.6	1421	1424	52.10%	23.90%	24.00%	+0.50	-14.5	23
2012-11-11	@ Metalurg Skopje	W 1-0	50.6	1424	1421	24.00%	23.90%	52.10%	-0.50	+14.5	27
2012-11-11	Sileks	W 1-0	35.7	1269	1209	59.01%	22.86%	18.13%	+0.80	+6.0	17
2012-11-11	@ Rabotnicki	L 0-1	35.7	1209	1269	18.13%	22.86%	59.01%	-0.80	-6.0	12
2012-11-11	Vardar	D 0-0	51.1	1128	1485	12.85%	21.12%	66.03%	-1.18	+3.9	6
2012-11-11	@ Teteks	D 0-0	51.1	1485	1128	66.03%	21.12%	12.85%	+1.18	-3.9	28
2012-11-16	Teteks	W 1-0	33.1	1282	1131	67.29%	20.73%	11.98%	+1.23	+4.0	23
2012-11-16	@ Drita	L 0-1	33.1	1131	1282	11.98%	20.73%	67.29%	-1.23	-4.0	6
2012-11-17	Rabotnicki	W 1-0	43.4	1129	1275	32.80%	24.56%	42.64%	-0.18	+12.2	15
2012-11-17	@ Pelister	L 0-1	43.4	1275	1129	42.64%	24.56%	32.80%	+0.18	-12.2	17
2012-11-18	Bregalnica Shtip	L 0-3	46.3	1438	1306	65.79%	21.20%	13.01%	+1.15	-48.8	27
2012-11-18	@ Shkendija	W 3-0	46.3	1306	1438	13.01%	21.20%	65.79%	-1.15	+48.8	23
2012-11-18	Napredok	L 0-2	39.1	1203	1305	38.97%	24.64%	36.39%	+0.03	-21.5	12
2012-11-18	@ Sileks	W 2-0	39.1	1305	1203	36.39%	24.64%	38.97%	-0.03	+21.5	26
2012-11-18	Renova	W 3-0	29.1	1481	1279	71.27%	19.28%	9.45%	+1.48	+8.6	31
2012-11-18	@ Vardar	L 0-3	29.1	1279	1481	9.45%	19.28%	71.27%	-1.48	-8.6	17
2012-11-18	Turnovo	D 1-1	57.7	1407	1365	57.10%	23.20%	19.69%	+0.71	-2.4	24
2012-11-18	@ Metalurg Skopje	D 1-1	57.7	1365	1407	19.69%	23.20%	57.10%	-0.71	+2.4	30
2012-11-24	Drita	W 2-0	35.1	1271	1286	50.54%	24.06%	25.40%	+0.44	+15.3	20
2012-11-24	@ Renova	L 0-2	35.1	1286	1271	25.40%	24.06%	50.54%	-0.44	-15.3	23
2012-11-25	Metalurg Skopje	L 0-1	47.0	1354	1404	46.16%	24.40%	29.43%	+0.28	-13.0	23
2012-11-25	@ Bregalnica Shtip	W 1-0	47.0	1404	1354	29.43%	24.40%	46.16%	-0.28	+13.0	27
2012-11-25	Pelister	W 1-0	32.4	1327	1141	70.05%	19.76%	10.19%	+1.40	+3.4	29
2012-11-25	@ Napredok	L 0-1	32.4	1141	1327	10.19%	19.76%	70.05%	-1.40	-3.4	15
2012-11-25	Shkendija	D 1-1	55.6	1263	1389	35.52%	24.63%	39.86%	-0.08	+0.2	18
2012-11-25	@ Rabotnicki	D 1-1	55.6	1389	1263	39.86%	24.63%	35.52%	+0.08	-0.2	28
2012-11-25	Sileks	W 2-1	45.7	1127	1182	45.60%	24.43%	29.97%	+0.26	+8.8	9
2012-11-25	@ Teteks	L 1-2	45.7	1182	1127	29.97%	24.43%	45.60%	-0.26	-8.8	12
2012-11-25	Vardar	D 0-0	54.1	1367	1490	36.05%	24.63%	39.32%	-0.07	+0.2	31
2012-11-25	@ Turnovo	D 0-0	54.1	1490	1367	39.32%	24.63%	36.05%	+0.07	-0.2	32
2012-12-02	Napredok	D 2-2	63.1	1389	1330	58.91%	22.88%	18.21%	+0.80	-1.9	29
2012-12-02	@ Shkendija	D 2-2	63.1	1330	1389	18.21%	22.88%	58.91%	-0.80	+1.9	30
2012-12-02	Rabotnicki	W 2-1	40.6	1417	1263	67.59%	20.63%	11.78%	+1.25	+3.7	30
2012-12-02	@ Metalurg Skopje	L 1-2	40.6	1263	1417	11.78%	20.63%	67.59%	-1.25	-3.7	18
2012-12-02	Renova	W 1-0	42.1	1173	1286	37.42%	24.64%	37.94%	-0.02	+11.2	15
2012-12-02	@ Sileks	L 0-1	42.1	1286	1173	37.94%	24.64%	37.42%	+0.02	-11.2	20
2012-12-02	Teteks	W 2-1	43.6	1137	1136	52.56%	23.85%	23.59%	+0.52	+7.2	18
2012-12-02	@ Pelister	L 1-2	43.6	1136	1137	23.59%	23.85%	52.56%	-0.52	-7.2	9
2012-12-02	Turnovo	D 1-1	56.4	1341	1368	49.21%	24.18%	26.60%	+0.39	-1.4	24
2012-12-02	@ Bregalnica Shtip	D 1-1	56.4	1368	1341	26.60%	24.18%	49.21%	-0.39	+1.4	32
2012-12-04	Vardar	L 0-1	40.3	1271	1490	24.08%	23.91%	52.01%	-0.52	-7.8	23
2012-12-04	@ Drita	W 1-0	40.3	1490	1271	52.01%	23.91%	24.08%	+0.52	+7.8	35
2012-12-08	Bregalnica Shtip	W 3-1	44.1	1259	1340	42.01%	24.58%	33.41%	+0.13	+16.5	21
2012-12-08	@ Rabotnicki	L 1-3	44.1	1340	1259	33.41%	24.58%	42.01%	-0.13	-16.5	24
2012-12-08	Pelister	D 0-0	50.3	1275	1145	65.57%	21.26%	13.17%	+1.13	-3.9	21
2012-12-08	@ Renova	D 0-0	50.3	1145	1275	13.17%	21.26%	65.57%	-1.13	+3.8	19
2012-12-09	Drita	W 2-1	41.4	1369	1263	63.45%	21.85%	14.70%	+1.02	+4.7	35
2012-12-09	@ Turnovo	L 1-2	41.4	1263	1369	14.70%	21.85%	63.45%	-1.02	-4.7	23
2012-12-09	Shkendija	W 3-0	42.1	1129	1387	20.23%	23.31%	56.46%	-0.71	+42.5	12
2012-12-09	@ Teteks	L 0-3	42.1	1387	1129	56.46%	23.31%	20.23%	+0.71	-42.6	29
2012-12-09	Sileks	W 5-0	26.2	1498	1184	78.43%	15.93%	5.64%	+2.01	+7.8	38
2012-12-09	@ Vardar	L 0-5	26.2	1184	1498	5.64%	15.93%	78.43%	-2.01	-7.8	15
2012-12-16	Metalurg Skopje	D 1-1	56.9	1332	1421	40.84%	24.61%	34.55%	+0.09	-0.4	31
2012-12-16	@ Napredok	D 1-1	56.9	1421	1332	34.55%	24.61%	40.84%	-0.09	+0.4	31
2013-03-02	Turnovo	W 2-0	39.0	1276	1374	39.62%	24.63%	35.75%	+0.05	+20.1	24
2013-03-02	@ Rabotnicki	L 0-2	39.0	1374	1276	35.75%	24.63%	39.62%	-0.05	-20.1	35
2013-03-03	Drita	W 4-0	35.2	1176	1258	41.80%	24.59%	33.62%	+0.13	+36.4	18
2013-03-03	@ Sileks	L 0-4	35.2	1258	1176	33.62%	24.59%	41.80%	-0.13	-36.4	23
2013-03-03	Teteks	D 0-0	52.0	1421	1172	74.54%	17.87%	7.58%	+1.70	-5.0	32
2013-03-03	@ Metalurg Skopje	D 0-0	52.0	1172	1421	7.58%	17.87%	74.54%	-1.70	+5.0	13
2013-03-06	Napredok	L 0-1	47.1	1323	1332	51.42%	23.97%	24.60%	+0.48	-14.3	24
2013-03-06	@ Bregalnica Shtip	W 1-0	47.1	1332	1323	24.60%	23.97%	51.42%	-0.48	+14.3	34
2013-03-06	Vardar	D 0-0	51.5	1149	1505	12.90%	21.15%	65.95%	-1.18	+3.9	20
2013-03-06	@ Pelister	D 0-0	51.5	1505	1149	65.95%	21.15%	12.90%	+1.18	-3.9	39
2013-03-07	Renova	L 1-2	55.2	1345	1271	60.40%	22.57%	17.03%	+0.87	-15.6	29
2013-03-07	@ Shkendija	W 2-1	55.2	1271	1345	17.03%	22.57%	60.40%	-0.87	+15.6	24
2013-03-10	Bregalnica Shtip	L 0-2	37.8	1176	1309	34.66%	24.61%	40.73%	-0.11	-19.6	13
2013-03-10	@ Teteks	W 2-0	37.8	1309	1176	40.73%	24.61%	34.66%	+0.11	+19.6	27
2013-03-10	Metalurg Skopje	W 1-0	44.5	1286	1416	35.02%	24.62%	40.36%	-0.10	+11.7	27
2013-03-10	@ Renova	L 0-1	44.5	1416	1286	40.36%	24.62%	35.02%	+0.10	-11.7	32
2013-03-10	Pelister	D 1-1	55.0	1222	1152	59.97%	22.66%	17.37%	+0.85	-2.7	24
2013-03-10	@ Drita	D 1-1	55.0	1152	1222	17.37%	22.66%	59.97%	-0.85	+2.7	21
2013-03-10	Rabotnicki	L 0-2	45.2	1346	1296	57.98%	23.05%	18.97%	+0.75	-30.0	34
2013-03-10	@ Napredok	W 2-0	45.2	1296	1346	18.97%	23.05%	57.98%	-0.75	+30.0	27
2013-03-10	Sileks	W 3-1	36.5	1353	1213	66.49%	20.98%	12.53%	+1.19	+6.9	38
2013-03-10	@ Turnovo	L 1-3	36.5	1213	1353	12.53%	20.98%	66.49%	-1.19	-6.9	18
2013-03-12	Shkendija	W 6-1	33.9	1501	1329	69.03%	20.13%	10.84%	+1.34	+13.2	42
2013-03-12	@ Vardar	L 1-6	33.9	1329	1501	10.84%	20.13%	69.03%	-1.34	-13.2	29
2013-03-16	Teteks	W 1-0	32.8	1326	1157	68.78%	20.22%	11.00%	+1.32	+3.7	30
2013-03-16	@ Rabotnicki	L 0-1	32.8	1157	1326	11.00%	20.22%	68.78%	-1.32	-3.7	13
2013-03-17	Drita	W 2-1	41.1	1316	1219	62.59%	22.07%	15.34%	+0.98	+4.9	32
2013-03-17	@ Shkendija	L 1-2	41.1	1219	1316	15.34%	22.07%	62.59%	-0.98	-4.9	24
2013-03-17	Renova	D 0-0	50.5	1329	1298	55.91%	23.40%	20.69%	+0.66	-2.5	28
2013-03-17	@ Bregalnica Shtip	D 0-0	50.5	1298	1329	20.69%	23.40%	55.91%	-0.66	+2.5	28
2013-03-17	Sileks	W 2-1	45.6	1155	1206	46.08%	24.41%	29.51%	+0.28	+8.7	24
2013-03-17	@ Pelister	L 1-2	45.6	1206	1155	29.51%	24.41%	46.08%	-0.28	-8.7	18
2013-03-17	Turnovo	D 0-0	50.7	1316	1360	46.89%	24.36%	28.75%	+0.31	-1.2	35
2013-03-17	@ Napredok	D 0-0	50.7	1360	1316	28.75%	24.36%	46.89%	-0.31	+1.2	39
2013-03-17	Vardar	W 3-2	60.0	1405	1515	37.86%	24.64%	37.50%	-0.01	+9.9	35
2013-03-17	@ Metalurg Skopje	L 2-3	60.0	1515	1405	37.50%	24.64%	37.86%	+0.01	-9.9	42
2013-03-30	Bregalnica Shtip	W 3-0	31.2	1505	1326	69.50%	19.96%	10.54%	+1.36	+9.7	45
2013-03-30	@ Vardar	L 0-3	31.2	1326	1505	10.54%	19.96%	69.50%	-1.36	-9.6	28
2013-03-30	Rabotnicki	W 3-1	42.2	1301	1330	48.84%	24.21%	26.95%	+0.38	+13.9	31
2013-03-30	@ Renova	L 1-3	42.2	1330	1301	26.95%	24.21%	48.84%	-0.38	-13.9	30
2013-03-31	Metalurg Skopje	L 1-2	45.5	1214	1415	26.14%	24.14%	49.72%	-0.44	-7.8	24
2013-03-31	@ Drita	W 2-1	45.5	1415	1214	49.72%	24.14%	26.14%	+0.44	+7.8	38
2013-03-31	Napredok	W 1-0	44.1	1153	1315	30.82%	24.48%	44.70%	-0.25	+12.7	16
2013-03-31	@ Teteks	L 0-1	44.1	1315	1153	44.70%	24.48%	30.82%	+0.25	-12.7	35
2013-03-31	Pelister	D 2-2	62.5	1362	1164	70.94%	19.41%	9.65%	+1.46	-3.0	40
2013-03-31	@ Turnovo	D 2-2	62.5	1164	1362	9.65%	19.41%	70.94%	-1.46	+3.0	25
2013-03-31	Shkendija	L 2-3	53.0	1197	1321	35.92%	24.63%	39.45%	-0.07	-9.6	18
2013-03-31	@ Sileks	W 3-2	53.0	1321	1197	39.45%	24.63%	35.92%	+0.07	+9.6	35
2013-04-03	Bregalnica Shtip	W 2-1	43.7	1359	1317	57.12%	23.20%	19.68%	+0.72	+6.1	43
2013-04-03	@ Turnovo	L 1-2	43.7	1317	1359	19.68%	23.20%	57.12%	-0.72	-6.1	28
2013-04-03	Drita	L 1-2	55.1	1302	1206	62.49%	22.09%	15.41%	+0.97	-16.0	35
2013-04-03	@ Napredok	W 2-1	55.1	1206	1302	15.41%	22.09%	62.49%	-0.97	+16.0	27
2013-04-03	Pelister	W 1-0	31.4	1422	1167	74.92%	17.70%	7.39%	+1.73	+2.4	41
2013-04-03	@ Metalurg Skopje	L 0-1	31.4	1167	1422	7.39%	17.70%	74.92%	-1.73	-2.4	25
2013-04-03	Rabotnicki	L 1-2	60.7	1514	1316	71.01%	19.39%	9.61%	+1.46	-17.9	45
2013-04-03	@ Vardar	W 2-1	60.7	1316	1514	9.61%	19.39%	71.01%	-1.46	+17.9	33
2013-04-03	Sileks	W 3-0	28.2	1330	1187	66.65%	20.93%	12.42%	+1.19	+11.4	38
2013-04-03	@ Shkendija	L 0-3	28.2	1187	1330	12.42%	20.93%	66.65%	-1.19	-11.4	18
2013-04-03	Teteks	W 3-1	36.0	1314	1166	67.13%	20.78%	12.09%	+1.22	+6.6	34
2013-04-03	@ Renova	L 1-3	36.0	1166	1314	12.09%	20.78%	67.13%	-1.22	-6.6	16
2013-04-06	Rabotnicki	L 0-2	43.4	1321	1334	50.89%	24.03%	25.08%	+0.46	-26.7	34
2013-04-06	@ Renova	W 2-0	43.4	1334	1321	25.08%	24.03%	50.89%	-0.46	+26.7	36
2013-04-07	Napredok	D 0-0	49.4	1176	1286	37.85%	24.64%	37.50%	-0.01	-0.0	19
2013-04-07	@ Sileks	D 0-0	49.4	1286	1176	37.50%	24.64%	37.85%	+0.01	+0.0	36
2013-04-07	Shkendija	W 2-1	51.2	1159	1342	28.23%	24.32%	47.45%	-0.35	+12.6	19
2013-04-07	@ Teteks	L 1-2	51.2	1342	1159	47.45%	24.32%	28.23%	+0.35	-12.6	38
2013-04-07	Vardar	D 1-1	58.1	1311	1497	27.80%	24.29%	47.91%	-0.37	+1.2	29
2013-04-07	@ Bregalnica Shtip	D 1-1	58.1	1497	1311	47.91%	24.29%	27.80%	+0.37	-1.2	46
2013-04-09	Metalurg Skopje	L 0-2	35.9	1222	1425	25.91%	24.12%	49.97%	-0.45	-15.6	27
2013-04-09	@ Drita	W 2-0	35.9	1425	1222	49.97%	24.12%	25.91%	+0.45	+15.6	44
2013-04-10	Turnovo	D 1-1	54.9	1164	1365	26.16%	24.14%	49.70%	-0.43	+1.4	26
2013-04-10	@ Pelister	D 1-1	54.9	1365	1164	49.70%	24.14%	26.16%	+0.43	-1.4	44
2013-04-13	Pelister	L 0-1	52.9	1495	1166	79.32%	15.45%	5.23%	+2.08	-20.6	46
2013-04-13	@ Vardar	W 1-0	52.9	1166	1495	5.23%	15.45%	79.32%	-2.08	+20.6	29
2013-04-13	Renova	D 1-1	55.7	1329	1294	56.34%	23.33%	20.33%	+0.68	-2.3	39
2013-04-13	@ Shkendija	D 1-1	55.7	1294	1329	20.33%	23.33%	56.34%	-0.68	+2.3	35
2013-04-13	Teteks	D 0-0	50.3	1286	1172	64.19%	21.65%	14.16%	+1.06	-3.7	37
2013-04-13	@ Napredok	D 0-0	50.3	1172	1286	14.16%	21.65%	64.19%	-1.06	+3.7	20
2013-04-14	Bregalnica Shtip	D 1-1	56.3	1360	1312	57.84%	23.07%	19.08%	+0.75	-2.5	37
2013-04-14	@ Rabotnicki	D 1-1	56.3	1312	1360	19.08%	23.07%	57.84%	-0.75	+2.5	30
2013-04-14	Drita	W 4-0	27.9	1363	1207	67.75%	20.57%	11.67%	+1.26	+14.0	47
2013-04-14	@ Turnovo	L 0-4	27.9	1207	1363	11.67%	20.57%	67.75%	-1.26	-14.0	27
2013-04-14	Sileks	W 3-0	26.1	1440	1176	75.48%	17.43%	7.09%	+1.77	+6.3	47
2013-04-14	@ Metalurg Skopje	L 0-3	26.1	1176	1440	7.09%	17.43%	75.48%	-1.77	-6.3	19
2013-04-20	Napredok	W 2-1	43.8	1297	1282	54.07%	23.66%	22.27%	+0.58	+6.8	38
2013-04-20	@ Renova	L 1-2	43.8	1282	1297	22.27%	23.66%	54.07%	-0.58	-6.8	37
2013-04-21	Bregalnica Shtip	D 0-0	49.5	1186	1314	35.34%	24.62%	40.04%	-0.09	+0.3	30
2013-04-21	@ Pelister	D 0-0	49.5	1314	1186	40.04%	24.62%	35.34%	+0.09	-0.3	31
2013-04-21	Metalurg Skopje	D 1-1	55.8	1175	1447	19.08%	23.07%	57.85%	-0.77	+2.5	21
2013-04-21	@ Teteks	D 1-1	55.8	1447	1175	57.85%	23.07%	19.08%	+0.77	-2.5	48
2013-04-21	Rabotnicki	W 1-0	40.2	1327	1358	48.58%	24.24%	27.18%	+0.37	+8.6	42
2013-04-21	@ Shkendija	L 0-1	40.2	1358	1327	27.18%	24.24%	48.58%	-0.37	-8.6	37
2013-04-21	Turnovo	L 1-2	44.7	1170	1377	25.34%	24.06%	50.61%	-0.47	-7.6	19
2013-04-21	@ Sileks	W 2-1	44.7	1377	1170	50.61%	24.06%	25.34%	+0.47	+7.6	50
2013-04-21	Vardar	L 1-3	39.6	1193	1475	18.18%	22.87%	58.95%	-0.82	-9.9	27
2013-04-21	@ Drita	W 3-1	39.6	1475	1193	58.95%	22.87%	18.18%	+0.82	+9.9	49
2013-04-27	Shkendija	L 0-3	39.5	1276	1335	44.84%	24.47%	30.69%	+0.23	-34.9	37
2013-04-27	@ Napredok	W 3-0	39.5	1335	1276	30.69%	24.47%	44.84%	-0.23	+34.9	45
2013-04-27	Sileks	W 2-1	36.9	1485	1162	78.94%	15.66%	5.40%	+2.05	+1.6	52
2013-04-27	@ Vardar	L 1-2	36.9	1162	1485	5.40%	15.66%	78.94%	-2.05	-1.6	19
2013-04-28	Drita	W 1-0	33.8	1314	1183	65.65%	21.24%	13.12%	+1.14	+4.4	34
2013-04-28	@ Bregalnica Shtip	L 0-1	33.8	1183	1314	13.12%	21.24%	65.65%	-1.14	-4.4	27
2013-04-28	Pelister	W 1-0	33.2	1349	1187	68.26%	20.40%	11.34%	+1.29	+3.8	40
2013-04-28	@ Rabotnicki	L 0-1	33.2	1187	1349	11.34%	20.40%	68.26%	-1.29	-3.8	30
2013-04-28	Renova	W 3-1	38.4	1444	1304	66.48%	20.99%	12.54%	+1.19	+6.9	51
2013-04-28	@ Metalurg Skopje	L 1-3	38.4	1304	1444	12.54%	20.99%	66.48%	-1.19	-6.9	38
2013-04-28	Teteks	W 2-0	28.8	1385	1178	71.60%	19.15%	9.25%	+1.50	+5.8	53
2013-04-28	@ Turnovo	L 0-2	28.8	1178	1385	9.25%	19.15%	71.60%	-1.50	-5.8	21
2013-05-04	Bregalnica Shtip	L 0-1	40.2	1160	1318	31.30%	24.50%	44.20%	-0.23	-9.6	19
2013-05-04	@ Sileks	W 1-0	40.2	1318	1160	44.20%	24.50%	31.30%	+0.23	+9.6	37
2013-05-04	Pelister	W 2-0	34.2	1179	1183	51.89%	23.92%	24.19%	+0.50	+14.7	30
2013-05-04	@ Drita	L 0-2	34.2	1183	1179	24.19%	23.92%	51.89%	-0.50	-14.7	30
2013-05-04	Rabotnicki	L 0-2	39.1	1241	1353	37.49%	24.64%	37.87%	-0.02	-20.9	37
2013-05-04	@ Napredok	W 2-0	39.1	1353	1241	37.87%	24.64%	37.49%	+0.02	+20.9	43
2013-05-04	Turnovo	L 0-2	40.7	1297	1391	40.13%	24.62%	35.24%	+0.07	-22.0	38
2013-05-04	@ Renova	W 2-0	40.7	1391	1297	35.24%	24.62%	40.13%	-0.07	+22.0	56
2013-05-07	Metalurg Skopje	D 1-1	58.4	1370	1451	41.97%	24.58%	33.45%	+0.13	-0.5	46
2013-05-07	@ Shkendija	D 1-1	58.4	1451	1370	33.45%	24.58%	41.97%	-0.13	+0.5	52
2013-05-07	Vardar	L 0-3	30.5	1172	1486	15.70%	22.18%	62.12%	-0.98	-14.4	21
2013-05-07	@ Teteks	W 3-0	30.5	1486	1172	62.12%	22.18%	15.70%	+0.98	+14.4	55
2013-05-11	Renova	W 3-1	37.0	1501	1275	72.94%	18.59%	8.47%	+1.59	+4.5	58
2013-05-11	@ Vardar	L 1-3	37.0	1275	1501	8.47%	18.59%	72.94%	-1.59	-4.6	38
2013-05-11	Shkendija	D 1-1	57.9	1413	1370	57.23%	23.18%	19.59%	+0.72	-2.4	57
2013-05-11	@ Turnovo	D 1-1	57.9	1370	1413	19.59%	23.18%	57.23%	-0.72	+2.4	47
2013-05-12	Drita	W 2-0	29.4	1374	1193	69.67%	19.90%	10.43%	+1.38	+6.6	46
2013-05-12	@ Rabotnicki	L 0-2	29.4	1193	1374	10.43%	19.90%	69.67%	-1.38	-6.6	30
2013-05-12	Napredok	W 2-0	29.1	1452	1220	73.34%	18.41%	8.25%	+1.62	+5.1	55
2013-05-12	@ Metalurg Skopje	L 0-2	29.1	1220	1452	8.25%	18.41%	73.34%	-1.62	-5.1	37
2013-05-12	Sileks	L 2-4	52.8	1168	1151	54.43%	23.61%	21.96%	+0.60	-22.0	30
2013-05-12	@ Pelister	W 4-2	52.8	1151	1168	21.96%	23.61%	54.43%	-0.60	+22.0	22
2013-05-12	Teteks	W 2-0	29.3	1328	1158	68.86%	20.19%	10.95%	+1.33	+6.9	40
2013-05-12	@ Bregalnica Shtip	L 0-2	29.3	1158	1328	10.95%	20.19%	68.86%	-1.33	-6.9	21
2013-05-15	Bregalnica Shtip	W 2-1	47.0	1270	1335	44.18%	24.50%	31.32%	+0.21	+9.1	41
2013-05-15	@ Renova	L 1-2	47.0	1335	1270	31.32%	24.50%	44.18%	-0.21	-9.1	40
2013-05-15	Drita	L 1-2	51.8	1173	1187	50.73%	24.04%	25.23%	+0.45	-13.3	22
2013-05-15	@ Sileks	W 2-1	51.8	1187	1173	25.23%	24.04%	50.73%	-0.45	+13.3	33
2013-05-15	Pelister	D 0-0	49.4	1151	1146	52.94%	23.80%	23.26%	+0.54	-2.1	22
2013-05-15	@ Teteks	D 0-0	49.4	1146	1151	23.26%	23.80%	52.94%	-0.54	+2.1	31
2013-05-15	Rabotnicki	D 1-1	59.4	1457	1381	60.63%	22.52%	16.85%	+0.88	-2.8	56
2013-05-15	@ Metalurg Skopje	D 1-1	59.4	1381	1457	16.85%	22.52%	60.63%	-0.88	+2.8	47
2013-05-15	Turnovo	L 0-2	36.0	1215	1410	26.69%	24.19%	49.12%	-0.41	-16.0	37
2013-05-15	@ Napredok	W 2-0	36.0	1410	1215	49.12%	24.19%	26.69%	+0.41	+16.0	60
2013-05-15	Vardar	L 0-1	46.5	1372	1505	34.60%	24.61%	40.79%	-0.12	-10.4	47
2013-05-15	@ Shkendija	W 1-0	46.5	1505	1372	40.79%	24.61%	34.60%	+0.12	+10.4	61
2013-05-19	Metalurg Skopje	L 2-4	57.0	1426	1454	49.02%	24.20%	26.78%	+0.38	-20.0	60
2013-05-19	@ Turnovo	W 4-2	57.0	1454	1426	26.78%	24.20%	49.02%	-0.38	+20.0	59
2013-05-19	Napredok	W 4-0	26.0	1516	1199	78.62%	15.83%	5.55%	+2.02	+6.2	64
2013-05-19	@ Vardar	L 0-4	26.0	1199	1516	5.55%	15.83%	78.62%	-2.02	-6.2	37
2013-05-19	Renova	W 1-0	42.8	1148	1279	34.91%	24.62%	40.47%	-0.11	+11.7	34
2013-05-19	@ Pelister	L 0-1	42.8	1279	1148	40.47%	24.62%	34.91%	+0.11	-11.7	41
2013-05-19	Shkendija	W 4-3	53.9	1326	1362	47.97%	24.28%	27.74%	+0.35	+7.6	43
2013-05-19	@ Bregalnica Shtip	L 3-4	53.9	1362	1326	27.74%	24.28%	47.97%	-0.35	-7.6	47
2013-05-19	Sileks	W 3-2	43.1	1383	1159	72.80%	18.65%	8.55%	+1.58	+2.5	50
2013-05-19	@ Rabotnicki	L 2-3	43.1	1159	1383	8.55%	18.65%	72.80%	-1.58	-2.5	22
2013-05-19	Teteks	W 2-0	32.3	1200	1149	58.12%	23.02%	18.86%	+0.76	+11.8	36
2013-05-19	@ Drita	L 0-2	32.3	1149	1200	18.86%	23.02%	58.12%	-0.76	-11.8	22
2013-05-29	Bregalnica Shtip	W 2-1	49.7	1193	1333	33.54%	24.59%	41.88%	-0.15	+11.4	40
2013-05-29	@ Napredok	L 1-2	49.7	1333	1193	41.88%	24.59%	33.54%	+0.15	-11.4	43
2013-05-29	Drita	D 1-1	55.1	1267	1212	58.56%	22.94%	18.50%	+0.78	-2.6	42
2013-05-29	@ Renova	D 1-1	55.1	1212	1267	18.50%	22.94%	58.56%	-0.78	+2.6	37
2013-05-29	Pelister	L 0-1	50.6	1354	1160	70.66%	19.52%	9.82%	+1.44	-18.9	47
2013-05-29	@ Shkendija	W 1-0	50.6	1160	1354	9.82%	19.52%	70.66%	-1.44	+18.9	37
2013-05-29	Rabotnicki	W 3-0	34.7	1406	1386	54.74%	23.57%	21.69%	+0.61	+19.4	63
2013-05-29	@ Turnovo	L 0-3	34.7	1386	1406	21.69%	23.57%	54.74%	-0.61	-19.4	50
2013-05-29	Sileks	W 4-0	32.6	1137	1157	49.98%	24.12%	25.90%	+0.42	+29.5	25
2013-05-29	@ Teteks	L 0-4	32.6	1157	1137	25.90%	24.12%	49.98%	-0.42	-29.5	22
2013-05-29	Vardar	D 1-1	64.1	1474	1522	46.42%	24.39%	29.19%	+0.29	-1.0	60
2013-05-29	@ Metalurg Skopje	D 1-1	64.1	1522	1474	29.19%	24.39%	46.42%	-0.29	+1.0	65
2013-06-02	Metalurg Skopje	L 2-3	54.9	1322	1473	32.21%	24.54%	43.25%	-0.20	-8.8	43
2013-06-02	@ Bregalnica Shtip	W 3-2	54.9	1473	1322	43.25%	24.54%	32.21%	+0.20	+8.8	63
2013-06-02	Napredok	L 1-2	51.5	1179	1204	49.38%	24.17%	26.45%	+0.40	-13.0	37
2013-06-02	@ Pelister	W 2-1	51.5	1204	1179	26.45%	24.17%	49.38%	-0.40	+13.0	43
2013-06-02	Renova	D 2-2	60.6	1127	1265	34.00%	24.60%	41.40%	-0.14	+0.3	23
2013-06-02	@ Sileks	D 2-2	60.6	1265	1127	41.40%	24.60%	34.00%	+0.14	-0.3	43
2013-06-02	Shkendija	W 3-1	45.5	1214	1335	36.32%	24.64%	39.04%	-0.06	+18.6	40
2013-06-02	@ Drita	L 1-3	45.5	1335	1214	39.04%	24.64%	36.32%	+0.06	-18.6	47
2013-06-02	Teteks	W 3-1	35.0	1367	1166	71.11%	19.35%	9.55%	+1.47	+5.2	53
2013-06-02	@ Rabotnicki	L 1-3	35.0	1166	1367	9.55%	19.35%	71.11%	-1.47	-5.2	25
2013-06-02	Turnovo	W 5-0	37.4	1523	1426	62.65%	22.05%	15.29%	+0.98	+22.7	68
2013-06-02	@ Vardar	L 0-5	37.4	1426	1523	15.29%	22.05%	62.65%	-0.98	-22.6	63

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2013-04-13	5.23%	Pelister	1166	1	@ Vardar	1495	0
2	2013-04-03	9.61%	Rabotnicki	1316	2	@ Vardar	1514	1
3	2013-05-29	9.82%	Pelister	1160	1	@ Shkendija	1354	0
4	2012-10-28	11.32%	Drita	1275	1	@ Metalurg Skopje	1438	0
5	2012-11-18	13.01%	Bregalnica Shtip	1306	3	@ Shkendija	1438	0
6	2012-11-04	14.95%	Turnovo	1338	2	@ Shkendija	1440	1
7	2013-04-03	15.41%	Drita	1206	2	@ Napredok	1302	1
8	2013-03-07	17.03%	Renova	1271	2	@ Shkendija	1345	1
9	2013-03-10	18.97%	Rabotnicki	1296	2	@ Napredok	1346	0
10	2012-09-23	19.47%	@ Pelister	1130	3	Renova	1397	1
11	2012-12-09	20.23%	@ Teteks	1129	3	Shkendija	1387	0
12	2013-05-12	21.96%	Sileks	1151	4	@ Pelister	1168	2
13	2012-10-07	23.45%	Napredok	1281	1	@ Rabotnicki	1283	0
14	2012-11-11	24.00%	Shkendija	1424	1	@ Metalurg Skopje	1421	0
15	2013-03-06	24.60%	Napredok	1332	1	@ Bregalnica Shtip	1323	0
16	2012-08-26	24.74%	@ Pelister	1110	1	Bregalnica Shtip	1323	0
17	2013-04-06	25.08%	Rabotnicki	1334	2	@ Renova	1321	0
18	2013-05-15	25.23%	Drita	1187	2	@ Sileks	1173	1
19	2012-09-29	25.52%	Shkendija	1388	3	@ Renova	1371	0
20	2012-08-12	25.81%	Bregalnica Shtip	1299	1	@ Drita	1280	0
21	2013-06-02	26.45%	Napredok	1204	2	@ Pelister	1179	1
22	2012-08-29	26.65%	Vardar	1425	2	@ Renova	1399	0
23	2013-05-19	26.78%	Metalurg Skopje	1454	4	@ Turnovo	1426	2
24	2013-04-07	28.23%	@ Teteks	1159	2	Shkendija	1342	1
25	2012-11-25	29.43%	Metalurg Skopje	1404	1	@ Bregalnica Shtip	1354	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2012-11-18	48.82	Bregalnica Shtip	3	1306	13.01%	@ Shkendija	0	1438	65.79%	21.20%
2	2012-12-09	42.55	@ Teteks	3	1129	20.23%	Shkendija	0	1387	56.46%	23.31%
3	2012-09-29	38.49	Shkendija	3	1388	25.52%	@ Renova	0	1371	50.41%	24.08%
4	2013-03-03	36.40	@ Sileks	4	1176	41.80%	Drita	0	1258	33.62%	24.59%
5	2013-04-27	34.87	Shkendija	3	1335	30.69%	@ Napredok	0	1276	44.84%	24.47%
6	2013-03-10	30.01	Rabotnicki	2	1296	18.97%	@ Napredok	0	1346	57.98%	23.05%
7	2013-05-29	29.53	@ Teteks	4	1137	49.98%	Sileks	0	1157	25.90%	24.12%
8	2013-04-06	26.72	Rabotnicki	2	1334	25.08%	@ Renova	0	1321	50.89%	24.03%
9	2012-08-29	25.94	Vardar	2	1425	26.65%	@ Renova	0	1399	49.16%	24.19%
10	2012-10-28	25.82	@ Rabotnicki	3	1268	45.03%	Renova	0	1327	30.51%	24.46%
11	2012-09-23	25.74	@ Pelister	3	1130	19.47%	Renova	1	1397	57.38%	23.16%
12	2012-09-02	23.85	@ Pelister	2	1121	31.04%	Napredok	0	1281	44.47%	24.49%
13	2012-08-18	23.54	Renova	3	1379	48.56%	@ Teteks	0	1188	27.21%	24.24%
14	2012-08-29	23.54	@ Turnovo	2	1292	31.71%	Metalurg Skopje	0	1446	43.77%	24.52%
15	2012-08-26	23.53	@ Drita	3	1268	48.57%	Napredok	0	1299	27.19%	24.24%
16	2013-06-02	22.66	@ Vardar	5	1523	62.65%	Turnovo	0	1426	15.29%	22.05%
17	2012-09-15	22.07	@ Rabotnicki	2	1297	35.03%	Metalurg Skopje	0	1427	40.35%	24.62%
18	2013-05-04	21.98	Turnovo	2	1391	35.24%	@ Renova	0	1297	40.13%	24.62%
19	2013-05-12	21.96	Sileks	4	1151	21.96%	@ Pelister	2	1168	54.43%	23.61%
20	2012-11-18	21.48	Napredok	2	1305	36.39%	@ Sileks	0	1203	38.97%	24.64%
21	2012-10-31	21.14	@ Bregalnica Shtip	3	1291	52.19%	Drita	0	1293	23.92%	23.89%
22	2013-05-04	20.86	Rabotnicki	2	1353	37.87%	@ Napredok	0	1241	37.49%	24.64%
23	2013-04-13	20.58	Pelister	1	1166	5.23%	@ Vardar	0	1495	79.32%	15.45%
24	2013-03-02	20.12	@ Rabotnicki	2	1276	39.62%	Turnovo	0	1374	35.75%	24.63%
25	2013-05-19	20.04	Metalurg Skopje	4	1454	26.78%	@ Turnovo	2	1426	49.02%	24.20%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2013-05-29	64.1	@ Metalurg Skopje	1	1474	46.42%	Vardar	1	1522	29.19%	24.39%
2	2012-12-02	63.1	@ Shkendija	2	1389	58.91%	Napredok	2	1330	18.21%	22.88%
3	2013-03-31	62.5	@ Turnovo	2	1362	70.94%	Pelister	2	1164	9.65%	19.41%
4	2012-10-21	62.4	@ Drita	2	1274	30.95%	Shkendija	2	1435	44.56%	24.49%
5	2012-08-18	61.5	@ Rabotnicki	2	1297	55.94%	Drita	2	1266	20.67%	23.39%
6	2012-10-21	61.1	@ Vardar	1	1468	56.07%	Metalurg Skopje	1	1435	20.56%	23.37%
7	2013-04-03	60.7	Rabotnicki	2	1316	9.61%	@ Vardar	1	1514	71.01%	19.39%
8	2013-06-02	60.6	@ Sileks	2	1127	34.00%	Renova	2	1265	41.40%	24.60%
9	2013-03-17	60.0	@ Metalurg Skopje	3	1405	37.86%	Vardar	2	1515	37.50%	24.64%
10	2013-05-15	59.4	@ Metalurg Skopje	1	1457	60.63%	Rabotnicki	1	1381	16.85%	22.52%
11	2013-05-07	58.4	@ Shkendija	1	1370	41.97%	Metalurg Skopje	1	1451	33.45%	24.58%
12	2013-04-07	58.1	@ Bregalnica Shtip	1	1311	27.80%	Vardar	1	1497	47.91%	24.29%
13	2012-11-04	57.9	Turnovo	2	1338	14.95%	@ Shkendija	1	1440	63.12%	21.94%
14	2013-05-11	57.9	@ Turnovo	1	1413	57.23%	Shkendija	1	1370	19.59%	23.18%
15	2012-11-18	57.7	@ Metalurg Skopje	1	1407	57.10%	Turnovo	1	1365	19.69%	23.20%
16	2012-10-31	57.1	@ Metalurg Skopje	1	1419	72.87%	Sileks	1	1194	8.51%	18.62%
17	2012-10-28	57.0	@ Bregalnica Shtip	1	1290	29.13%	Vardar	1	1465	46.48%	24.38%
18	2013-05-19	57.0	Metalurg Skopje	4	1454	26.78%	@ Turnovo	2	1426	49.02%	24.20%
19	2012-12-16	56.9	@ Napredok	1	1332	40.84%	Metalurg Skopje	1	1421	34.55%	24.61%
20	2012-08-11	56.5	@ Renova	1	1382	62.73%	Napredok	1	1284	15.23%	22.03%
21	2012-12-02	56.4	@ Bregalnica Shtip	1	1341	49.21%	Turnovo	1	1368	26.60%	24.18%
22	2013-04-14	56.3	@ Rabotnicki	1	1360	57.84%	Bregalnica Shtip	1	1312	19.08%	23.07%
23	2013-04-21	55.8	@ Teteks	1	1175	19.08%	Metalurg Skopje	1	1447	57.85%	23.07%
24	2013-04-13	55.7	@ Shkendija	1	1329	56.34%	Renova	1	1294	20.33%	23.33%
25	2012-11-25	55.6	@ Rabotnicki	1	1263	35.52%	Shkendija	1	1389	39.86%	24.63%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2012-08-26	25.9	@ Vardar	4	1416	74.70%	Teteks	0	1164	7.50%	17.80%
2	2013-05-19	26.0	@ Vardar	4	1516	78.62%	Napredok	0	1199	5.55%	15.83%
3	2013-04-14	26.1	@ Metalurg Skopje	3	1440	75.48%	Sileks	0	1176	7.09%	17.43%
4	2012-12-09	26.2	@ Vardar	5	1498	78.43%	Sileks	0	1184	5.64%	15.93%
5	2013-04-14	27.9	@ Turnovo	4	1363	67.75%	Drita	0	1207	11.67%	20.57%
6	2013-04-03	28.2	@ Shkendija	3	1330	66.65%	Sileks	0	1187	12.42%	20.93%
7	2013-04-28	28.8	@ Turnovo	2	1385	71.60%	Teteks	0	1178	9.25%	19.15%
8	2012-09-15	29.1	@ Renova	2	1391	71.04%	Sileks	0	1192	9.59%	19.37%
9	2012-09-16	29.1	@ Vardar	4	1464	69.71%	Drita	0	1283	10.41%	19.88%
10	2012-11-18	29.1	@ Vardar	3	1481	71.27%	Renova	0	1279	9.45%	19.28%
11	2013-05-12	29.1	@ Metalurg Skopje	2	1452	73.34%	Napredok	0	1220	8.25%	18.41%
12	2013-05-12	29.3	@ Bregalnica Shtip	2	1328	68.86%	Teteks	0	1158	10.95%	20.19%
13	2013-05-12	29.4	@ Rabotnicki	2	1374	69.67%	Drita	0	1193	10.43%	19.90%
14	2012-10-28	29.5	@ Napredok	2	1289	67.63%	Teteks	0	1134	11.76%	20.62%
15	2012-10-07	29.6	@ Bregalnica Shtip	2	1297	67.70%	Teteks	0	1141	11.71%	20.59%
16	2012-08-19	29.7	@ Metalurg Skopje	1	1455	80.10%	Pelister	0	1111	4.89%	15.01%
17	2013-05-07	30.5	Vardar	3	1486	62.12%	@ Teteks	0	1172	15.70%	22.18%
18	2013-03-30	31.2	@ Vardar	3	1505	69.50%	Bregalnica Shtip	0	1326	10.54%	19.96%
19	2012-08-19	31.4	@ Bregalnica Shtip	2	1313	62.54%	Sileks	0	1217	15.38%	22.08%
20	2012-09-23	31.4	@ Shkendija	4	1381	73.01%	Teteks	1	1154	8.43%	18.56%
21	2013-04-03	31.4	@ Metalurg Skopje	1	1422	74.92%	Pelister	0	1167	7.39%	17.70%
22	2012-10-07	31.7	@ Metalurg Skopje	4	1416	61.33%	Renova	0	1332	16.30%	22.37%
23	2012-10-28	32.1	@ Shkendija	1	1434	73.70%	Sileks	0	1197	8.04%	18.25%
24	2013-05-19	32.3	@ Drita	2	1200	58.12%	Teteks	0	1149	18.86%	23.02%
25	2012-11-25	32.4	@ Napredok	1	1327	70.05%	Pelister	0	1141	10.19%	19.76%