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2013-14 Macedonian First Football League Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Rabotnicki

62 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Pelister

13.28 points above expected

52 points · 38.72 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Gostivar

13.61 points below expected

15 points · 28.61 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rabotnicki 33 18 8 7 62 66 35 +31 55.61 +6.39
2 Turnovo 33 18 6 9 60 61 33 +28 56.07 +3.93
3 Metalurg Skopje 33 16 11 6 59 48 29 +19 56.89 +2.11
4 Shkendija 33 16 9 8 57 53 32 +21 44.10 +12.90
5 Vardar 33 15 11 7 56 55 32 +23 61.27 -5.27
6 Pelister 33 14 10 9 52 40 40 0 38.72 +13.28
7 Bregalnica Shtip 33 11 11 11 44 34 34 0 44.37 -0.37
8 Renova 33 10 14 9 44 42 46 -4 43.70 +0.30
9 Gorno Lisice 33 9 12 12 39 34 37 -3 41.09 -2.09
10 Makedonija GP 33 9 5 19 32 40 56 -16 42.37 -10.37
11 Napredok 33 3 9 21 18 27 75 -48 27.39 -9.39
12 Gostivar 33 3 6 24 15 19 70 -51 28.61 -13.61

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Pelister 52 38.72 +13.28
2 Shkendija 57 44.10 +12.90
3 Rabotnicki 62 55.61 +6.39
4 Turnovo 60 56.07 +3.93
5 Metalurg Skopje 59 56.89 +2.11

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Gostivar 15 28.61 -13.61
2 Makedonija GP 32 42.37 -10.37
3 Napredok 18 27.39 -9.39
4 Vardar 56 61.27 -5.27
5 Gorno Lisice 39 41.09 -2.09

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Pelister 4 Nov 3 – Nov 27 1 in 465
2 Shkendija 7 Apr 12 – May 18 1 in 204
3 Metalurg Skopje 4 Apr 6 – Apr 23 1 in 54
4 Turnovo 4 Nov 24 – Dec 8 1 in 19
5 Renova 2 Aug 25 – Aug 28 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Gostivar 9 Mar 26 – May 11 1 in 109
2 Makedonija GP 4 Aug 4 – Aug 25 1 in 60
3 Napredok 9 Mar 23 – May 4 1 in 58
4 Vardar 2 Mar 15 – Mar 23 1 in 22
5 Metalurg Skopje 2 Nov 24 – Nov 27 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Renova 8 Aug 18 – Oct 6 1 in 160
2 Pelister 6 Nov 3 – Dec 8 1 in 32
3 Metalurg Skopje 12 Aug 4 – Oct 26 1 in 22
4 Vardar 13 Sep 29 – Mar 9 1 in 14
5 Makedonija GP 5 Aug 28 – Sep 29 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Napredok 21 Oct 20 – May 4 1 in 33
2 Bregalnica Shtip 7 Oct 30 – Dec 8 1 in 25
3 Makedonija GP 6 Sep 29 – Nov 3 1 in 23
4 Vardar 4 Mar 9 – Mar 26 1 in 22
5 Gorno Lisice 7 Mar 16 – Apr 19 1 in 14

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Rabotnicki 1424 62 +5 9 8.6 +0.4
Turnovo 1381 60 +23 10 7.4 +2.6
Metalurg Skopje 1397 59 +9 9 7.9 +1.1
Shkendija 1416 57 +87 15 9.8 +5.2
Vardar 1398 56 -9 8 8.7 -0.7
Pelister 1217 52 -33 2 4.6 -2.6
Renova 1211 44 +0 8 6.3 +1.7
Bregalnica Shtip 1258 44 -13 5 7.0 -2.0
Gorno Lisice 1204 39 +8 7 7.4 -0.4
Makedonija GP 1160 32 -25 6 6.8 -0.8
Napredok 989 18 -16 4 3.7 +0.3
Gostivar 976 15 -38 1 3.8 -2.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BS GL GOS MG MS NAP PEL RAB REN SHK TUR VAR
Bregalnica Shtip —
1-2-0
3.97
3-0-0
5.59
0-1-2
4.91
1-1-1
3.06
2-1-0
5.43
1-1-1
4.39
0-1-2
2.94
0-1-2
4.11
1-1-1
3.99
2-0-1
2.92
0-2-1
2.93
Gorno Lisice
0-2-1
4.14
—
1-2-0
5.71
3-0-0
4.18
0-1-2
2.48
2-1-0
5.95
0-1-2
4.03
1-1-1
2.69
0-2-1
3.68
2-0-1
3.98
0-1-2
2.67
0-1-2
2.06
Gostivar
0-0-3
2.65
0-2-1
2.48
—
0-0-3
2.43
1-0-2
2.08
0-1-2
4.68
0-1-2
2.88
1-0-2
2.12
1-1-1
2.23
0-1-2
3.05
0-0-3
1.74
0-0-3
1.72
Makedonija GP
2-1-0
3.23
0-0-3
3.95
3-0-0
5.76
—
0-1-2
2.81
2-0-1
5.40
0-1-2
3.88
0-0-3
3.04
1-0-2
3.62
0-1-2
4.23
1-0-2
3.05
0-1-2
2.97
Metalurg Skopje
1-1-1
5.08
2-1-0
5.72
2-0-1
6.13
2-1-0
5.33
—
2-1-0
6.55
1-1-1
5.39
1-2-0
4.18
1-2-0
5.48
1-1-1
5.45
1-1-1
4.61
2-0-1
3.94
Napredok
0-1-2
2.74
0-1-2
2.26
2-1-0
3.43
1-0-2
2.75
0-1-2
1.73
—
0-1-2
3.16
0-0-3
2.35
0-2-1
3.14
0-1-2
2.56
0-1-2
1.81
0-0-3
1.49
Pelister
1-1-1
3.74
2-1-0
4.10
2-1-0
5.33
2-1-0
4.26
1-1-1
2.78
2-1-0
4.99
—
1-0-2
3.08
1-0-2
3.53
1-1-1
3.21
1-1-1
2.20
0-2-1
2.20
Rabotnicki
2-1-0
5.20
1-1-1
5.50
2-0-1
6.16
3-0-0
5.11
0-2-1
3.95
3-0-0
5.89
2-0-1
5.04
—
1-2-0
4.79
1-1-1
4.74
1-0-2
3.72
2-1-0
3.99
Renova
2-1-0
4.03
1-2-0
4.44
1-1-1
6.01
2-0-1
4.48
0-2-1
2.67
1-2-0
5.00
2-0-1
4.59
0-2-1
3.33
—
0-1-2
3.74
1-1-1
2.59
0-2-1
2.39
Shkendija
1-1-1
4.15
1-0-2
4.15
2-1-0
5.13
2-1-0
3.88
1-1-1
2.70
2-1-0
5.66
1-1-1
4.94
1-1-1
3.39
2-1-0
4.41
—
1-0-2
2.93
2-1-0
2.12
Turnovo
1-0-2
5.21
2-1-0
5.51
3-0-0
6.52
2-0-1
5.08
1-1-1
3.53
2-1-0
6.46
1-1-1
6.01
2-0-1
4.39
1-1-1
5.58
2-0-1
5.23
—
1-1-1
3.22
Vardar
1-2-0
5.20
2-1-0
6.16
3-0-0
6.54
2-1-0
5.16
1-0-2
4.18
3-0-0
6.84
1-2-0
6.01
0-1-2
4.13
1-2-0
5.82
0-1-2
6.11
1-1-1
4.91
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.81 +10.4
Allowed 0.86 -9.6
Differential 0.96 +5.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%6.57%6.06%4.04%3.28%0.76%32.83%
16.57%10.61%6.82%4.55%0.51%1.01%30.05%
26.06%6.82%5.56%0.76%0.76%0.25%20.20%
34.04%4.55%0.76%—0.25%0.25%9.85%
43.28%0.51%0.76%0.25%——4.80%
5+0.76%1.01%0.25%0.25%——2.27%
Total32.83%30.05%20.20%9.85%4.80%2.27%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.31 +0.00
SD 1.29 1.29 1.98
CV 0.99 0.99 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%12.12%3.03%6.06%3.03%—39.39%
16.06%15.15%3.03%6.06%——30.30%
29.09%6.06%3.03%———18.18%
39.09%3.03%————12.12%
4———————
5+———————
Total39.39%36.36%9.09%12.12%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.03 +0.00
SD 1.05 1.13 1.75
CV 1.01 1.10 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%12.12%15.15%3.03%——39.39%
19.09%15.15%6.06%———30.30%
26.06%3.03%12.12%———21.21%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total27.27%36.36%33.33%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.12 -0.09
SD 1.07 0.86 1.47
CV 1.04 0.76 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%12.12%12.12%15.15%12.12%—57.58%
13.03%9.09%12.12%——6.06%30.30%
23.03%—3.03%3.03%——9.09%
3—3.03%————3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total12.12%24.24%27.27%18.18%12.12%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.58 2.12 -1.55
SD 0.79 1.41 1.73
CV 1.38 0.66 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%12.12%3.03%3.03%——27.27%
13.03%3.03%15.15%12.12%3.03%3.03%39.39%
2—12.12%3.03%3.03%3.03%—21.21%
33.03%6.06%————9.09%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total18.18%33.33%21.21%18.18%6.06%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.70 -0.48
SD 1.05 1.31 1.75
CV 0.87 0.77 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%——3.03%——21.21%
115.15%9.09%9.09%3.03%——36.36%
29.09%9.09%6.06%—3.03%—27.27%
33.03%6.06%————9.09%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total48.48%27.27%15.15%6.06%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 0.88 +0.58
SD 1.20 1.08 1.56
CV 0.83 1.23 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%3.03%18.18%3.03%12.12%3.03%51.52%
1—6.06%—15.15%3.03%—24.24%
2—3.03%9.09%3.03%——15.15%
33.03%—3.03%—3.03%—9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.15%12.12%30.30%21.21%18.18%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.82 2.27 -1.45
SD 1.01 1.46 1.82
CV 1.24 0.64 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%3.03%—3.03%9.09%—27.27%
118.18%9.09%9.09%3.03%——39.39%
26.06%9.09%9.09%———24.24%
3—3.03%————3.03%
43.03%—3.03%———6.06%
5+———————
Total39.39%24.24%21.21%6.06%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.21 +0.00
SD 1.08 1.29 1.82
CV 0.89 1.07 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%3.03%3.03%——21.21%
13.03%12.12%3.03%3.03%——21.21%
212.12%6.06%6.06%———24.24%
36.06%6.06%3.03%———15.15%
46.06%——3.03%——9.09%
5+3.03%—3.03%3.03%——9.09%
Total36.36%33.33%18.18%12.12%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.06 +0.94
SD 1.64 1.03 1.90
CV 0.82 0.97 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%6.06%——3.03%3.03%30.30%
13.03%21.21%6.06%3.03%—3.03%36.36%
23.03%9.09%3.03%——3.03%18.18%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
43.03%—6.06%———9.09%
5+———————
Total30.30%39.39%15.15%3.03%3.03%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.39 -0.12
SD 1.23 1.58 1.98
CV 0.97 1.13 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.21%3.03%6.06%6.06%—3.03%39.39%
1—3.03%3.03%3.03%——9.09%
29.09%6.06%3.03%———18.18%
36.06%12.12%3.03%———21.21%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total48.48%24.24%15.15%9.09%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 0.97 +0.64
SD 1.56 1.24 2.28
CV 0.97 1.28 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%9.09%———21.21%
19.09%9.09%6.06%———24.24%
29.09%9.09%3.03%—3.03%—24.24%
36.06%6.06%———3.03%15.15%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+—6.06%————6.06%
Total39.39%36.36%18.18%—3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 1.00 +0.85
SD 1.48 1.17 1.97
CV 0.80 1.17 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%—3.03%3.03%——18.18%
19.09%15.15%9.09%6.06%——39.39%
26.06%9.09%6.06%———21.21%
36.06%3.03%————9.09%
43.03%3.03%————6.06%
5+3.03%3.03%————6.06%
Total39.39%33.33%18.18%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 0.97 +0.70
SD 1.47 0.98 1.94
CV 0.88 1.01 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Rabotnicki 1424 62 55.61 +6.39 85.0% 40 43 51 55 60 66 73
Shkendija 1416 57 44.10 +12.90 97.0% 29 31 39 43 49 56 63
Vardar 1398 56 61.27 -5.27 27.0% 46 51 55 61 67 73 74
Metalurg Skopje 1397 59 56.89 +2.11 61.0% 41 44 52 57 63 68 73
Turnovo 1381 60 56.07 +3.93 69.0% 40 44 51 56 62 67 76
Bregalnica Shtip 1258 44 44.37 -0.37 51.0% 30 32 40 44 49 53 59
Pelister 1217 52 38.72 +13.28 99.0% 20 29 35 38 43 48 53
Renova 1211 44 43.70 +0.30 56.0% 27 30 39 44 48 55 59
Gorno Lisice 1204 39 41.09 -2.09 43.0% 27 30 35 41 46 54 56
Makedonija GP 1160 32 42.37 -10.37 6.0% 24 32 37 42 46 54 61
Napredok 989 18 27.39 -9.39 2.0% 17 20 24 27 30 36 45
Gostivar 976 15 28.61 -13.61 1.0% 15 19 24 29 33 38 43

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 23% * Slight Edge: 23% to 31% * Clear Edge: 31% to 38% * Strong Edge: 38% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+22.22%
No Edge
46.97%28.28%24.75%
Elo Value
Home Edge
157 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
078.52400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.60 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.50+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.12 * Tight Race: 0.12 to 0.25 * Comfortable: 0.25 to 0.36 * Runaway: 0.36 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.4
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
12%
Rabotnicki, 4th of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.06/gm
Photo Finish
00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.39 * Some Luck: 5.39 to 8.09 * Lucky: 8.09 to 10.78 * Wild Swing: 10.78 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.23 * Close: 1.23 to 1.85 * Off: 1.85 to 2.47 * Way Off: 2.47 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.25 points
Lucky
06.7417
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.83
Close
01.544
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.00%
Pelister
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
1.00%
Gostivar
050
Season Outliers
Expected
4 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.9 * Moderate Separation: 1.9 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.3 * Wide Separation: 2.3 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 70.5% * Clear Edge: 70.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 93% * Clear Edge: 93% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 56.5% * Some Drama: 56.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Even
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 158.00
2.18
Strong Separation
11.92.12.32.75
Interquartile Edge
76%
Clear Edge
50%65%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
93%
Even
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
57%
Some Drama
0%55%100%
Blowouts
Expected
20%
Frequent
0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.43 * Slight Separation: 0.43 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.65 * Near-Lock: 0.65 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 18% * Upset-Prone: 18% to 21% * Very Upset-Prone: 21% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 16.5% * Very Shaky: 16.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.42
Very Even
00.430.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.68
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.49
Some Carryover
00.410.571
Upset Rate
Expected
17%
As Expected
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Shaky Favorites
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.70
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.99
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.069
Well Within Noise
00.1210.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Rabotnicki12.00%27.00%26.00%15.00%11.00%4.00%2.00%3.00%————
Turnovo20.00%21.00%13.00%23.00%7.00%10.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%———
Metalurg Skopje26.00%18.00%24.00%8.00%13.00%4.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%———
Shkendija—3.00%8.00%10.00%12.00%12.00%15.00%18.00%10.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%
Vardar41.00%29.00%16.00%9.00%4.00%—1.00%—————
Pelister———3.00%5.00%9.00%14.00%16.00%20.00%24.00%6.00%3.00%
Bregalnica Shtip—1.00%3.00%7.00%18.00%23.00%16.00%9.00%15.00%3.00%4.00%1.00%
Renova—1.00%5.00%10.00%19.00%11.00%15.00%13.00%11.00%9.00%6.00%—
Gorno Lisice——1.00%8.00%10.00%10.00%13.00%13.00%19.00%18.00%6.00%2.00%
Makedonija GP1.00%—4.00%7.00%1.00%16.00%16.00%21.00%16.00%11.00%6.00%1.00%
Napredok—————1.00%—1.00%3.00%10.00%33.00%52.00%
Gostivar——————2.00%1.00%4.00%19.00%35.00%39.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Rabotnicki 100% —
Vardar 100% —
Metalurg Skopje 99.00% 1.00%
Turnovo 99.00% 1.00%
Shkendija 78.00% 22.00%
Bregalnica Shtip 77.00% 23.00%
Renova 74.00% 26.00%
Makedonija GP 66.00% 34.00%
Gorno Lisice 55.00% 45.00%
Pelister 47.00% 53.00%
Gostivar 3.00% 97.00%
Napredok 2.00% 98.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2013-08-04 Bregalnica Shtip L 0-145.0 1211 1239 42.10% 29.75% 28.15%+0.33 -15.5 0
2013-08-04 @ Gostivar W 1-045.0 1239 1211 28.15% 29.75% 42.10%-0.33 +15.5 3
2013-08-04 Gorno Lisice W 1-042.0 1150 1211 37.41% 29.97% 32.62%+0.11 +12.9 3
2013-08-04 @ Pelister L 0-142.0 1211 1150 32.62% 29.97% 37.41%-0.11 -12.9 0
2013-08-04 Makedonija GP W 4-138.4 1392 1303 55.92% 27.49% 16.60%+1.07 +17.3 3
2013-08-04 @ Vardar L 1-438.4 1303 1392 16.60% 27.49% 55.92%-1.07 -17.3 0
2013-08-04 Rabotnicki D 0-048.6 1339 1271 53.62% 28.07% 18.32%+0.93 -3.1 1
2013-08-04 @ Metalurg Skopje D 0-048.6 1271 1339 18.32% 28.07% 53.62%-0.93 +3.1 1
2013-08-04 Renova D 1-152.0 1178 1207 41.90% 29.76% 28.33%+0.32 -1.0 1
2013-08-04 @ Napredok D 1-152.0 1207 1178 28.33% 29.76% 41.90%-0.32 +1.0 1
2013-08-04 Turnovo L 0-339.6 1241 1289 39.20% 29.91% 30.89%+0.19 -40.4 0
2013-08-04 @ Shkendija W 3-039.6 1289 1241 30.89% 29.91% 39.20%-0.19 +40.3 3
2013-08-10 Makedonija GP W 1-040.5 1274 1286 44.25% 29.57% 26.18%+0.43 +11.0 4
2013-08-10 @ Rabotnicki L 0-140.5 1286 1274 26.18% 29.57% 44.25%-0.43 -11.0 0
2013-08-11 Gostivar W 4-030.1 1336 1196 60.89% 25.90% 13.20%+1.39 +21.5 4
2013-08-11 @ Metalurg Skopje L 0-430.1 1196 1336 13.20% 25.90% 60.89%-1.39 -21.5 0
2013-08-11 Napredok W 4-029.7 1330 1177 62.07% 25.46% 12.47%+1.48 +20.3 6
2013-08-11 @ Turnovo L 0-429.7 1177 1330 12.47% 25.46% 62.07%-1.48 -20.3 1
2013-08-11 Pelister L 1-252.9 1208 1163 51.14% 28.59% 20.27%+0.79 -17.2 1
2013-08-11 @ Renova W 2-152.9 1163 1208 20.27% 28.59% 51.14%-0.79 +17.2 6
2013-08-11 Shkendija D 1-152.5 1254 1200 52.13% 28.39% 19.48%+0.85 -2.5 4
2013-08-11 @ Bregalnica Shtip D 1-152.5 1200 1254 19.48% 28.39% 52.13%-0.85 +2.5 1
2013-08-11 Vardar D 2-259.0 1198 1409 19.49% 28.40% 52.11%-0.85 +1.9 1
2013-08-11 @ Gorno Lisice D 2-259.0 1409 1198 52.11% 28.40% 19.49%+0.85 -1.9 4
2013-08-18 Bregalnica Shtip L 0-239.2 1157 1252 32.67% 29.97% 37.36%-0.11 -24.4 1
2013-08-18 @ Napredok W 2-039.2 1252 1157 37.36% 29.97% 32.67%+0.11 +24.4 7
2013-08-18 Gorno Lisice L 0-148.1 1275 1200 54.34% 27.89% 17.76%+0.98 -19.2 0
2013-08-18 @ Makedonija GP W 1-048.1 1200 1275 17.76% 27.89% 54.34%-0.98 +19.2 4
2013-08-18 Metalurg Skopje D 0-047.8 1203 1357 25.20% 29.46% 45.34%-0.48 +1.7 2
2013-08-18 @ Shkendija D 0-047.8 1357 1203 45.34% 29.46% 25.20%+0.48 -1.7 5
2013-08-18 Rabotnicki W 2-041.4 1174 1285 30.50% 29.90% 39.61%-0.21 +28.0 3
2013-08-18 @ Gostivar L 0-241.4 1285 1174 39.61% 29.90% 30.50%+0.21 -28.0 4
2013-08-18 Renova D 1-154.7 1407 1191 67.51% 23.07% 9.43%+1.88 -4.9 5
2013-08-18 @ Vardar D 1-154.7 1191 1407 9.43% 23.07% 67.51%-1.88 +4.8 2
2013-08-18 Turnovo D 0-047.8 1180 1350 23.45% 29.21% 47.33%-0.59 +2.0 7
2013-08-18 @ Pelister D 0-047.8 1350 1180 47.33% 29.21% 23.45%+0.59 -2.0 7
2013-08-25 Gorno Lisice D 2-258.2 1257 1219 50.28% 28.75% 20.97%+0.74 -1.7 5
2013-08-25 @ Rabotnicki D 2-258.2 1219 1257 20.97% 28.75% 50.28%-0.74 +1.7 5
2013-08-25 Makedonija GP W 2-147.8 1196 1255 37.67% 29.96% 32.37%+0.12 +12.1 5
2013-08-25 @ Renova L 1-247.8 1255 1196 32.37% 29.96% 37.67%-0.12 -12.1 0
2013-08-25 Napredok D 0-049.5 1356 1132 68.03% 22.81% 9.16%+1.93 -5.5 6
2013-08-25 @ Metalurg Skopje D 0-049.5 1132 1356 9.16% 22.81% 68.03%-1.93 +5.5 2
2013-08-25 Pelister W 3-031.7 1276 1182 56.45% 27.34% 16.21%+1.10 +20.1 10
2013-08-25 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 0-331.7 1182 1276 16.21% 27.34% 56.45%-1.10 -20.1 7
2013-08-25 Shkendija D 0-047.4 1202 1205 45.39% 29.45% 25.16%+0.49 -1.7 4
2013-08-25 @ Gostivar D 0-047.4 1205 1202 25.16% 29.45% 45.39%-0.49 +1.7 3
2013-08-25 Vardar W 2-041.3 1348 1403 38.40% 29.94% 31.65%+0.15 +23.8 10
2013-08-25 @ Turnovo L 0-241.3 1403 1348 31.65% 29.94% 38.40%-0.15 -23.8 5
2013-08-28 Bregalnica Shtip W 1-038.1 1379 1296 55.22% 27.67% 17.11%+1.03 +7.7 8
2013-08-28 @ Vardar L 0-138.1 1296 1379 17.11% 27.67% 55.22%-1.03 -7.7 10
2013-08-28 Gostivar W 3-037.3 1138 1201 37.26% 29.97% 32.77%+0.10 +35.5 5
2013-08-28 @ Napredok L 0-337.3 1201 1138 32.77% 29.97% 37.26%-0.10 -35.5 4
2013-08-28 Metalurg Skopje D 2-258.3 1162 1350 21.61% 28.88% 49.51%-0.70 +1.6 8
2013-08-28 @ Pelister D 2-258.3 1350 1162 49.51% 28.88% 21.61%+0.70 -1.6 7
2013-08-28 Rabotnicki D 2-257.8 1206 1256 39.10% 29.92% 30.98%+0.19 -0.4 4
2013-08-28 @ Shkendija D 2-257.8 1256 1206 30.98% 29.92% 39.10%-0.19 +0.4 6
2013-08-28 Renova L 1-252.0 1221 1208 47.35% 29.21% 23.44%+0.59 -16.1 5
2013-08-28 @ Gorno Lisice W 2-152.0 1208 1221 23.44% 29.21% 47.35%-0.59 +16.1 8
2013-08-28 Turnovo W 2-151.3 1243 1372 28.26% 29.76% 41.98%-0.32 +14.6 3
2013-08-28 @ Makedonija GP L 1-251.3 1372 1243 41.98% 29.76% 28.26%+0.32 -14.6 10
2013-08-31 Renova D 0-047.7 1256 1224 49.62% 28.86% 21.51%+0.71 -2.4 7
2013-08-31 @ Rabotnicki D 0-047.7 1224 1256 21.51% 28.86% 49.62%-0.71 +2.4 9
2013-09-01 Gorno Lisice D 1-153.8 1357 1205 62.01% 25.48% 12.51%+1.47 -4.1 11
2013-09-01 @ Turnovo D 1-153.8 1205 1357 12.51% 25.48% 62.01%-1.47 +4.1 6
2013-09-01 Makedonija GP D 0-047.9 1289 1258 49.43% 28.90% 21.68%+0.70 -2.4 11
2013-09-01 @ Bregalnica Shtip D 0-047.9 1258 1289 21.68% 28.90% 49.43%-0.70 +2.4 4
2013-09-01 Napredok W 3-249.1 1206 1173 49.64% 28.86% 21.50%+0.71 +8.4 7
2013-09-01 @ Shkendija L 2-349.1 1173 1206 21.50% 28.86% 49.64%-0.71 -8.4 5
2013-09-01 Pelister D 1-152.0 1165 1163 45.89% 29.40% 24.71%+0.51 -1.6 5
2013-09-01 @ Gostivar D 1-152.0 1163 1165 24.71% 29.40% 45.89%-0.51 +1.6 9
2013-09-01 Vardar W 3-038.5 1348 1386 40.68% 29.84% 29.48%+0.26 +32.9 10
2013-09-01 @ Metalurg Skopje L 0-338.5 1386 1348 29.48% 29.84% 40.68%-0.26 -32.9 8
2013-09-15 Bregalnica Shtip L 0-338.3 1209 1286 35.21% 30.00% 34.79%+0.01 -37.3 6
2013-09-15 @ Gorno Lisice W 3-038.3 1286 1209 34.79% 30.00% 35.21%-0.01 +37.3 14
2013-09-15 Gostivar W 4-028.7 1354 1163 65.32% 24.09% 10.58%+1.71 +17.1 11
2013-09-15 @ Vardar L 0-428.7 1163 1354 10.58% 24.09% 65.32%-1.71 -17.0 5
2013-09-15 Metalurg Skopje D 1-153.0 1260 1381 29.22% 29.83% 40.96%-0.27 +0.9 5
2013-09-15 @ Makedonija GP D 1-153.0 1381 1260 40.96% 29.83% 29.22%+0.27 -0.8 11
2013-09-15 Rabotnicki L 1-345.3 1165 1254 33.54% 29.99% 36.47%-0.07 -21.5 5
2013-09-15 @ Napredok W 3-145.3 1254 1165 36.47% 29.99% 33.54%+0.07 +21.5 10
2013-09-15 Shkendija W 1-041.5 1165 1214 39.14% 29.91% 30.95%+0.19 +12.4 12
2013-09-15 @ Pelister L 0-141.5 1214 1165 30.95% 29.91% 39.14%-0.19 -12.4 7
2013-09-15 Turnovo W 4-252.0 1226 1353 28.47% 29.78% 41.75%-0.31 +22.6 12
2013-09-15 @ Renova L 2-452.0 1353 1226 41.75% 29.78% 28.47%+0.31 -22.6 11
2013-09-21 Turnovo W 5-350.8 1275 1331 38.29% 29.95% 31.77%+0.15 +17.5 13
2013-09-21 @ Rabotnicki L 3-550.8 1331 1275 31.77% 29.95% 38.29%-0.15 -17.5 11
2013-09-22 Gorno Lisice W 2-139.4 1380 1172 66.86% 23.38% 9.76%+1.83 +4.1 14
2013-09-22 @ Metalurg Skopje L 1-239.4 1172 1380 9.76% 23.38% 66.86%-1.83 -4.1 6
2013-09-22 Makedonija GP L 0-141.3 1146 1261 30.03% 29.87% 40.10%-0.23 -12.2 5
2013-09-22 @ Gostivar W 1-041.3 1261 1146 40.10% 29.87% 30.03%+0.23 +12.2 8
2013-09-22 Pelister D 2-257.7 1143 1177 41.23% 29.81% 28.96%+0.28 -0.7 6
2013-09-22 @ Napredok D 2-257.7 1177 1143 28.96% 29.81% 41.23%-0.28 +0.7 13
2013-09-22 Renova D 0-048.4 1324 1249 54.38% 27.88% 17.73%+0.98 -3.2 15
2013-09-22 @ Bregalnica Shtip D 0-048.4 1249 1324 17.73% 27.88% 54.38%-0.98 +3.2 13
2013-09-22 Vardar W 3-149.7 1202 1371 23.60% 29.24% 47.16%-0.58 +27.8 10
2013-09-22 @ Shkendija L 1-349.7 1371 1202 47.16% 29.24% 23.60%+0.58 -27.8 11
2013-09-28 Bregalnica Shtip W 3-143.7 1313 1320 44.77% 29.52% 25.71%+0.46 +17.7 14
2013-09-28 @ Turnovo L 1-343.7 1320 1313 25.71% 29.52% 44.77%-0.46 -17.7 15
2013-09-29 Gostivar D 2-257.9 1168 1134 49.75% 28.84% 21.40%+0.71 -1.6 7
2013-09-29 @ Gorno Lisice D 2-257.9 1134 1168 21.40% 28.84% 49.75%-0.71 +1.6 6
2013-09-29 Metalurg Skopje D 1-153.0 1252 1385 27.78% 29.72% 42.50%-0.34 +1.1 14
2013-09-29 @ Renova D 1-153.0 1385 1252 42.50% 29.72% 27.78%+0.34 -1.1 15
2013-09-29 Napredok W 3-028.9 1343 1143 66.16% 23.71% 10.13%+1.78 +12.5 14
2013-09-29 @ Vardar L 0-328.9 1143 1343 10.13% 23.71% 66.16%-1.78 -12.5 6
2013-09-29 Rabotnicki W 1-044.5 1178 1293 30.03% 29.87% 40.09%-0.23 +15.0 16
2013-09-29 @ Pelister L 0-144.5 1293 1178 40.09% 29.87% 30.03%+0.23 -15.0 13
2013-09-29 Shkendija D 0-047.8 1273 1230 50.96% 28.63% 20.42%+0.78 -2.6 9
2013-09-29 @ Makedonija GP D 0-047.8 1230 1273 20.42% 28.63% 50.96%-0.78 +2.7 11
2013-10-05 Bregalnica Shtip W 3-036.4 1278 1303 42.45% 29.73% 27.82%+0.34 +31.5 16
2013-10-05 @ Rabotnicki L 0-336.4 1303 1278 27.82% 29.73% 42.45%-0.34 -31.5 15
2013-10-06 Gorno Lisice L 0-343.0 1232 1166 53.46% 28.10% 18.43%+0.92 -51.8 11
2013-10-06 @ Shkendija W 3-043.0 1166 1232 18.43% 28.10% 53.46%-0.92 +51.8 10
2013-10-06 Makedonija GP W 2-150.9 1130 1271 26.83% 29.64% 43.53%-0.39 +15.1 9
2013-10-06 @ Napredok L 1-250.9 1271 1130 43.53% 29.64% 26.83%+0.39 -15.1 9
2013-10-06 Renova D 1-151.9 1136 1253 29.70% 29.85% 40.44%-0.25 +0.8 7
2013-10-06 @ Gostivar D 1-151.9 1253 1136 40.44% 29.85% 29.70%+0.25 -0.8 15
2013-10-06 Turnovo W 1-039.6 1384 1331 51.97% 28.43% 19.60%+0.84 +8.7 18
2013-10-06 @ Metalurg Skopje L 0-139.6 1331 1384 19.60% 28.43% 51.97%-0.84 -8.7 14
2013-10-06 Vardar L 1-245.5 1193 1355 24.32% 29.34% 46.34%-0.53 -9.8 16
2013-10-06 @ Pelister W 2-145.5 1355 1193 46.34% 29.34% 24.32%+0.53 +9.8 17
2013-10-19 Rabotnicki D 1-153.8 1365 1309 52.32% 28.35% 19.32%+0.86 -2.6 18
2013-10-19 @ Vardar D 1-153.8 1309 1365 19.32% 28.35% 52.32%-0.86 +2.6 17
2013-10-20 Gostivar W 5-132.4 1322 1137 64.93% 24.27% 10.80%+1.68 +14.5 17
2013-10-20 @ Turnovo L 1-532.4 1137 1322 10.80% 24.27% 64.93%-1.68 -14.5 7
2013-10-20 Metalurg Skopje D 0-048.5 1271 1392 29.21% 29.83% 40.96%-0.27 +1.0 16
2013-10-20 @ Bregalnica Shtip D 0-048.5 1392 1271 40.96% 29.83% 29.21%+0.27 -1.0 19
2013-10-20 Napredok W 2-034.1 1218 1145 54.15% 27.94% 17.91%+0.96 +15.1 13
2013-10-20 @ Gorno Lisice L 0-234.1 1145 1218 17.91% 27.94% 54.15%-0.96 -15.1 9
2013-10-20 Pelister D 0-047.9 1256 1183 54.14% 27.94% 17.92%+0.96 -3.2 10
2013-10-20 @ Makedonija GP D 0-047.9 1183 1256 17.92% 27.94% 54.14%-0.96 +3.2 17
2013-10-20 Shkendija L 1-350.9 1252 1180 54.10% 27.95% 17.95%+0.96 -31.2 15
2013-10-20 @ Renova W 3-150.9 1180 1252 17.95% 27.95% 54.10%-0.96 +31.2 14
2013-10-26 Metalurg Skopje D 1-153.6 1312 1391 34.87% 30.00% 35.13%-0.01 +0.0 18
2013-10-26 @ Rabotnicki D 1-153.6 1391 1312 35.13% 30.00% 34.87%+0.01 -0.0 20
2013-10-27 Gostivar W 2-140.4 1272 1122 61.81% 25.56% 12.63%+1.46 +5.4 19
2013-10-27 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 1-240.4 1122 1272 12.63% 25.56% 61.81%-1.46 -5.4 7
2013-10-27 Napredok W 2-033.5 1221 1130 56.09% 27.44% 16.47%+1.08 +14.0 18
2013-10-27 @ Renova L 0-233.5 1130 1221 16.47% 27.44% 56.09%-1.08 -14.0 9
2013-10-27 Pelister D 2-258.2 1233 1186 51.28% 28.57% 20.16%+0.80 -1.8 14
2013-10-27 @ Gorno Lisice D 2-258.2 1186 1233 20.16% 28.57% 51.28%-0.80 +1.8 18
2013-10-27 Shkendija W 3-138.8 1337 1212 59.49% 26.40% 14.12%+1.30 +10.5 20
2013-10-27 @ Turnovo L 1-338.8 1212 1337 14.12% 26.40% 59.49%-1.30 -10.5 14
2013-10-27 Vardar L 1-345.2 1252 1362 30.64% 29.90% 39.46%-0.20 -20.2 10
2013-10-27 @ Makedonija GP W 3-145.2 1362 1252 39.46% 29.90% 30.64%+0.20 +20.2 21
2013-10-30 Bregalnica Shtip W 2-040.0 1201 1277 35.31% 30.00% 34.69%+0.01 +25.4 17
2013-10-30 @ Shkendija L 0-240.0 1277 1201 34.69% 30.00% 35.31%-0.01 -25.4 19
2013-10-30 Gorno Lisice W 2-032.7 1383 1231 61.94% 25.51% 12.55%+1.47 +10.8 24
2013-10-30 @ Vardar L 0-232.7 1231 1383 12.55% 25.51% 61.94%-1.47 -10.8 14
2013-10-30 Metalurg Skopje W 3-152.1 1117 1391 14.61% 26.64% 58.75%-1.25 +33.5 10
2013-10-30 @ Gostivar L 1-352.1 1391 1117 58.75% 26.64% 14.61%+1.25 -33.5 20
2013-10-30 Rabotnicki L 2-353.9 1232 1312 34.85% 30.00% 35.16%-0.01 -12.1 10
2013-10-30 @ Makedonija GP W 3-253.9 1312 1232 35.16% 30.00% 34.85%+0.01 +12.1 21
2013-10-30 Renova L 0-438.9 1188 1235 39.46% 29.90% 30.64%+0.20 -53.0 18
2013-10-30 @ Pelister W 4-038.9 1235 1188 30.64% 29.90% 39.46%-0.20 +53.0 21
2013-10-30 Turnovo D 2-258.5 1116 1347 17.79% 27.90% 54.30%-0.97 +2.1 10
2013-10-30 @ Napredok D 2-258.5 1347 1116 54.30% 27.90% 17.79%+0.97 -2.2 21
2013-11-02 Gostivar W 2-031.4 1324 1150 63.92% 24.71% 11.37%+1.61 +9.7 24
2013-11-02 @ Rabotnicki L 0-231.4 1150 1324 11.37% 24.71% 63.92%-1.61 -9.7 10
2013-11-03 Makedonija GP W 1-039.7 1220 1220 45.71% 29.42% 24.87%+0.50 +10.5 17
2013-11-03 @ Gorno Lisice L 0-139.7 1220 1220 24.87% 29.42% 45.71%-0.50 -10.6 10
2013-11-03 Napredok D 2-258.8 1252 1118 60.30% 26.12% 13.58%+1.35 -2.8 20
2013-11-03 @ Bregalnica Shtip D 2-258.8 1118 1252 13.58% 26.12% 60.30%-1.35 +2.9 11
2013-11-03 Pelister L 0-247.7 1345 1135 66.94% 23.34% 9.72%+1.84 -43.0 21
2013-11-03 @ Turnovo W 2-047.7 1135 1345 9.72% 23.34% 66.94%-1.84 +43.0 21
2013-11-03 Shkendija W 2-033.0 1358 1227 60.07% 26.20% 13.74%+1.34 +11.8 23
2013-11-03 @ Metalurg Skopje L 0-233.0 1227 1358 13.74% 26.20% 60.07%-1.34 -11.8 17
2013-11-03 Vardar D 0-048.7 1288 1393 31.28% 29.93% 38.79%-0.17 +0.6 22
2013-11-03 @ Renova D 0-048.7 1393 1288 38.79% 29.93% 31.28%+0.17 -0.6 25
2013-11-10 Bregalnica Shtip W 1-042.5 1178 1249 36.09% 29.99% 33.92%+0.05 +13.3 24
2013-11-10 @ Pelister L 0-142.5 1249 1178 33.92% 29.99% 36.09%-0.05 -13.3 20
2013-11-10 Gostivar W 4-031.7 1215 1140 54.34% 27.89% 17.76%+0.97 +28.5 20
2013-11-10 @ Shkendija L 0-431.7 1140 1215 17.76% 27.89% 54.34%-0.97 -28.5 10
2013-11-10 Metalurg Skopje L 0-233.8 1121 1370 16.44% 27.43% 56.13%-1.08 -14.0 11
2013-11-10 @ Napredok W 2-033.8 1370 1121 56.13% 27.43% 16.44%+1.08 +14.0 26
2013-11-10 Rabotnicki W 1-044.3 1231 1334 31.63% 29.94% 38.43%-0.15 +14.5 20
2013-11-10 @ Gorno Lisice L 0-144.3 1334 1231 38.43% 29.94% 31.63%+0.15 -14.5 24
2013-11-10 Renova W 2-148.7 1210 1289 34.91% 30.00% 35.10%+0.00 +12.8 13
2013-11-10 @ Makedonija GP L 1-248.7 1289 1210 35.10% 30.00% 34.91%+0.00 -12.8 22
2013-11-10 Turnovo D 1-154.3 1393 1302 56.08% 27.44% 16.48%+1.08 -3.2 26
2013-11-10 @ Vardar D 1-154.3 1302 1393 16.48% 27.44% 56.08%-1.08 +3.2 22
2013-11-23 Shkendija W 5-032.5 1319 1243 54.51% 27.85% 17.63%+0.99 +34.9 27
2013-11-23 @ Rabotnicki L 0-532.5 1243 1319 17.63% 27.85% 54.51%-0.99 -34.9 20
2013-11-24 Gorno Lisice D 0-047.8 1276 1245 49.40% 28.90% 21.70%+0.70 -2.4 23
2013-11-24 @ Renova D 0-047.8 1245 1276 21.70% 28.90% 49.40%-0.70 +2.4 21
2013-11-24 Makedonija GP W 5-135.6 1305 1222 55.24% 27.67% 17.09%+1.03 +22.9 25
2013-11-24 @ Turnovo L 1-535.6 1222 1305 17.09% 27.67% 55.24%-1.03 -22.9 13
2013-11-24 Napredok D 0-047.2 1112 1107 46.28% 29.35% 24.37%+0.53 -1.8 11
2013-11-24 @ Gostivar D 0-047.2 1107 1112 24.37% 29.35% 46.28%-0.53 +1.8 12
2013-11-24 Pelister L 2-457.4 1384 1192 65.48% 24.02% 10.50%+1.73 -32.8 26
2013-11-24 @ Metalurg Skopje W 4-257.4 1192 1384 10.50% 24.02% 65.48%-1.73 +32.8 27
2013-11-24 Vardar D 1-153.0 1236 1390 25.28% 29.47% 45.26%-0.48 +1.5 21
2013-11-24 @ Bregalnica Shtip D 1-153.0 1390 1236 45.26% 29.47% 25.28%+0.48 -1.5 27
2013-11-27 Bregalnica Shtip W 3-036.4 1199 1237 40.69% 29.84% 29.47%+0.26 +32.9 16
2013-11-27 @ Makedonija GP L 0-336.4 1237 1199 29.47% 29.84% 40.69%-0.26 -32.9 21
2013-11-27 Gostivar W 1-035.7 1224 1110 58.43% 26.75% 14.83%+1.23 +6.7 30
2013-11-27 @ Pelister L 0-135.7 1110 1224 14.83% 26.75% 58.43%-1.23 -6.7 11
2013-11-27 Metalurg Skopje W 3-035.7 1388 1351 50.22% 28.76% 21.02%+0.74 +25.2 30
2013-11-27 @ Vardar L 0-335.7 1351 1388 21.02% 28.76% 50.22%-0.74 -25.2 26
2013-11-27 Rabotnicki D 1-152.8 1274 1354 34.72% 30.00% 35.28%-0.01 +0.0 24
2013-11-27 @ Renova D 1-152.8 1354 1274 35.28% 30.00% 34.72%+0.01 -0.0 28
2013-11-27 Shkendija D 0-047.1 1109 1208 32.09% 29.95% 37.96%-0.13 +0.5 13
2013-11-27 @ Napredok D 0-047.1 1208 1109 37.96% 29.95% 32.09%+0.13 -0.5 21
2013-11-27 Turnovo L 0-240.4 1248 1328 34.76% 30.00% 35.25%-0.01 -25.5 21
2013-11-27 @ Gorno Lisice W 2-040.4 1328 1248 35.25% 30.00% 34.76%+0.01 +25.5 28
2013-11-30 Napredok W 4-345.7 1354 1110 69.68% 21.96% 8.36%+2.06 +3.2 31
2013-11-30 @ Rabotnicki L 3-445.7 1110 1354 8.36% 21.96% 69.68%-2.06 -3.2 13
2013-12-01 Gorno Lisice D 1-152.1 1205 1222 43.37% 29.65% 26.97%+0.39 -1.2 22
2013-12-01 @ Bregalnica Shtip D 1-152.1 1222 1205 26.97% 29.65% 43.37%-0.39 +1.2 22
2013-12-01 Makedonija GP W 1-036.9 1326 1232 56.33% 27.37% 16.30%+1.10 +7.4 29
2013-12-01 @ Metalurg Skopje L 0-136.9 1232 1326 16.30% 27.37% 56.33%-1.10 -7.4 16
2013-12-01 Pelister D 0-047.3 1208 1231 42.68% 29.71% 27.62%+0.35 -1.2 22
2013-12-01 @ Shkendija D 0-047.3 1231 1208 27.62% 29.71% 42.68%-0.35 +1.2 31
2013-12-01 Renova W 4-032.5 1354 1274 54.95% 27.74% 17.31%+1.01 +27.8 31
2013-12-01 @ Turnovo L 0-432.5 1274 1354 17.31% 27.74% 54.95%-1.01 -27.8 24
2013-12-03 Vardar L 1-240.7 1103 1413 12.47% 25.46% 62.07%-1.48 -5.4 11
2013-12-03 @ Gostivar W 2-140.7 1413 1103 62.07% 25.46% 12.47%+1.48 +5.3 33
2013-12-08 Bregalnica Shtip W 3-141.1 1246 1203 50.80% 28.66% 20.54%+0.77 +14.8 27
2013-12-08 @ Renova L 1-341.1 1203 1246 20.54% 28.66% 50.80%-0.77 -14.8 22
2013-12-08 Gostivar W 4-030.0 1225 1098 59.66% 26.34% 14.00%+1.31 +22.8 19
2013-12-08 @ Makedonija GP L 0-430.0 1098 1225 14.00% 26.34% 59.66%-1.31 -22.8 11
2013-12-08 Metalurg Skopje D 0-047.7 1224 1333 30.75% 29.91% 39.35%-0.20 +0.7 23
2013-12-08 @ Gorno Lisice D 0-047.7 1333 1224 39.35% 29.91% 30.75%+0.20 -0.7 30
2013-12-08 Napredok W 4-030.1 1232 1106 59.57% 26.37% 14.06%+1.30 +22.9 34
2013-12-08 @ Pelister L 0-430.1 1106 1232 14.06% 26.37% 59.57%-1.30 -22.9 13
2013-12-08 Rabotnicki W 3-036.2 1381 1357 48.66% 29.02% 22.32%+0.66 +26.5 34
2013-12-08 @ Turnovo L 0-336.2 1357 1381 22.32% 29.02% 48.66%-0.66 -26.5 31
2013-12-08 Shkendija D 0-050.1 1419 1207 67.13% 23.25% 9.62%+1.85 -5.4 34
2013-12-08 @ Vardar D 0-050.1 1207 1419 9.62% 23.25% 67.13%-1.85 +5.4 23
2014-03-01 Gorno Lisice L 0-236.9 1075 1224 25.82% 29.53% 44.65%-0.45 -20.5 11
2014-03-01 @ Gostivar W 2-036.9 1224 1075 44.65% 29.53% 25.82%+0.45 +20.5 26
2014-03-01 Pelister W 4-032.3 1331 1255 54.47% 27.86% 17.66%+0.98 +28.3 34
2014-03-01 @ Rabotnicki L 0-432.3 1255 1331 17.66% 27.86% 54.47%-0.98 -28.4 34
2014-03-01 Renova W 1-037.8 1332 1261 54.07% 27.96% 17.97%+0.96 +8.0 33
2014-03-01 @ Metalurg Skopje L 0-137.8 1261 1332 17.97% 27.96% 54.07%-0.96 -8.0 27
2014-03-01 Turnovo W 2-045.5 1189 1408 18.76% 28.20% 53.04%-0.90 +35.4 25
2014-03-01 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 0-245.5 1408 1189 53.04% 28.20% 18.76%+0.90 -35.4 34
2014-03-01 Vardar L 0-134.4 1083 1413 11.42% 24.74% 63.84%-1.60 -5.2 13
2014-03-01 @ Napredok W 1-034.4 1413 1083 63.84% 24.74% 11.42%+1.60 +5.2 37
2014-03-02 Makedonija GP W 3-036.4 1212 1248 40.99% 29.82% 29.19%+0.27 +32.6 26
2014-03-02 @ Shkendija L 0-336.4 1248 1212 29.19% 29.82% 40.99%-0.27 -32.6 19
2014-03-09 Gostivar W 3-028.7 1252 1055 65.95% 23.81% 10.24%+1.76 +12.6 30
2014-03-09 @ Renova L 0-328.7 1055 1252 10.24% 23.81% 65.95%-1.76 -12.6 11
2014-03-09 Metalurg Skopje D 0-049.4 1372 1340 49.61% 28.87% 21.52%+0.71 -2.4 35
2014-03-09 @ Turnovo D 0-049.4 1340 1372 21.52% 28.87% 49.61%-0.71 +2.4 34
2014-03-09 Napredok W 3-137.9 1215 1078 60.60% 26.01% 13.39%+1.37 +9.9 22
2014-03-09 @ Makedonija GP L 1-337.9 1078 1215 13.39% 26.01% 60.60%-1.37 -10.0 13
2014-03-09 Pelister D 1-154.8 1419 1227 65.45% 24.03% 10.51%+1.72 -4.6 38
2014-03-09 @ Vardar D 1-154.8 1227 1419 10.51% 24.03% 65.45%-1.72 +4.6 35
2014-03-09 Rabotnicki D 1-152.6 1224 1359 27.48% 29.70% 42.82%-0.36 +1.1 26
2014-03-09 @ Bregalnica Shtip D 1-152.6 1359 1224 42.82% 29.70% 27.48%+0.36 -1.1 35
2014-03-09 Shkendija W 2-145.5 1245 1245 45.69% 29.42% 24.89%+0.50 +10.0 29
2014-03-09 @ Gorno Lisice L 1-245.5 1245 1245 24.89% 29.42% 45.69%-0.50 -10.0 26
2014-03-15 Bregalnica Shtip L 1-255.1 1343 1225 58.76% 26.64% 14.60%+1.25 -19.3 34
2014-03-15 @ Metalurg Skopje W 2-155.1 1225 1343 14.60% 26.64% 58.76%-1.25 +19.3 29
2014-03-15 Vardar W 2-150.4 1358 1414 38.19% 29.95% 31.86%+0.14 +12.0 38
2014-03-15 @ Rabotnicki L 1-250.4 1414 1358 31.86% 29.95% 38.19%-0.14 -12.0 38
2014-03-16 Gorno Lisice D 1-152.1 1068 1255 21.80% 28.92% 49.28%-0.69 +2.1 14
2014-03-16 @ Napredok D 1-152.1 1255 1068 49.28% 28.92% 21.80%+0.69 -2.1 30
2014-03-16 Renova D 0-047.5 1235 1265 41.71% 29.78% 28.51%+0.31 -1.1 27
2014-03-16 @ Shkendija D 0-047.5 1265 1235 28.51% 29.78% 41.71%-0.31 +1.1 31
2014-03-16 Turnovo L 0-134.2 1042 1370 11.52% 24.82% 63.66%-1.59 -5.2 11
2014-03-16 @ Gostivar W 1-034.2 1370 1042 63.66% 24.82% 11.52%+1.59 +5.2 38
2014-03-18 Makedonija GP W 2-145.2 1231 1225 46.47% 29.33% 24.21%+0.54 +9.7 38
2014-03-18 @ Pelister L 1-245.2 1225 1231 24.21% 29.33% 46.47%-0.54 -9.7 22
2014-03-22 Bregalnica Shtip W 4-031.0 1370 1244 59.51% 26.39% 14.10%+1.30 +22.9 41
2014-03-22 @ Rabotnicki L 0-431.0 1244 1370 14.10% 26.39% 59.51%-1.30 -23.0 29
2014-03-23 Gorno Lisice W 2-033.6 1375 1253 59.25% 26.48% 14.27%+1.28 +12.2 41
2014-03-23 @ Turnovo L 0-233.6 1253 1375 14.27% 26.48% 59.25%-1.28 -12.2 30
2014-03-23 Gostivar L 0-150.5 1266 1037 68.50% 22.57% 8.93%+1.96 -23.2 31
2014-03-23 @ Renova W 1-050.5 1037 1266 8.93% 22.57% 68.50%-1.96 +23.2 14
2014-03-23 Makedonija GP W 2-144.4 1241 1215 48.85% 28.99% 22.16%+0.67 +9.1 41
2014-03-23 @ Pelister L 1-244.4 1215 1241 22.16% 28.99% 48.85%-0.67 -9.1 22
2014-03-23 Napredok W 2-029.3 1323 1070 70.32% 21.62% 8.06%+2.11 +6.6 37
2014-03-23 @ Metalurg Skopje L 0-229.3 1070 1323 8.06% 21.62% 70.32%-2.11 -6.6 14
2014-03-23 Shkendija L 1-256.5 1402 1234 63.45% 24.90% 11.64%+1.58 -20.6 38
2014-03-23 @ Vardar W 2-156.5 1234 1402 11.64% 24.90% 63.45%-1.58 +20.6 30
2014-03-26 Metalurg Skopje L 1-534.3 1060 1330 14.92% 26.79% 58.29%-1.22 -20.2 14
2014-03-26 @ Gostivar W 5-134.3 1330 1060 58.29% 26.79% 14.92%+1.22 +20.2 40
2014-03-26 Pelister L 1-341.3 1064 1250 21.80% 28.92% 49.27%-0.69 -15.5 14
2014-03-26 @ Napredok W 3-141.3 1250 1064 49.27% 28.92% 21.80%+0.69 +15.5 44
2014-03-26 Rabotnicki W 3-149.2 1254 1393 27.05% 29.66% 43.29%-0.38 +26.0 33
2014-03-26 @ Shkendija L 1-349.2 1393 1254 43.29% 29.66% 27.05%+0.38 -26.0 41
2014-03-26 Turnovo W 1-046.9 1222 1387 23.92% 29.29% 46.79%-0.56 +16.9 32
2014-03-26 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 0-146.9 1387 1222 46.79% 29.29% 23.92%+0.56 -16.9 41
2014-03-26 Vardar D 2-258.6 1206 1381 22.95% 29.13% 47.91%-0.62 +1.4 23
2014-03-26 @ Makedonija GP D 2-258.6 1381 1206 47.91% 29.13% 22.95%+0.62 -1.4 39
2014-03-27 Gorno Lisice D 1-152.3 1243 1240 46.00% 29.38% 24.62%+0.52 -1.6 32
2014-03-27 @ Renova D 1-152.3 1240 1243 24.62% 29.38% 46.00%-0.52 +1.6 31
2014-03-29 Makedonija GP W 2-032.2 1367 1208 62.64% 25.24% 12.13%+1.52 +10.4 44
2014-03-29 @ Rabotnicki L 0-232.2 1208 1367 12.13% 25.24% 62.64%-1.52 -10.4 23
2014-03-30 Bregalnica Shtip D 0-047.5 1242 1238 46.12% 29.37% 24.51%+0.52 -1.8 32
2014-03-30 @ Gorno Lisice D 0-047.5 1238 1242 24.51% 29.37% 46.12%-0.52 +1.8 33
2014-03-30 Gostivar W 2-029.8 1266 1040 68.22% 22.71% 9.06%+1.94 +7.6 47
2014-03-30 @ Pelister L 0-229.8 1040 1266 9.06% 22.71% 68.22%-1.94 -7.6 14
2014-03-30 Napredok W 6-026.2 1380 1048 75.88% 18.40% 5.72%+2.62 +12.3 42
2014-03-30 @ Vardar L 0-626.2 1048 1380 5.72% 18.40% 75.88%-2.62 -12.2 14
2014-03-30 Renova D 2-259.3 1350 1241 57.90% 26.91% 15.19%+1.20 -2.6 41
2014-03-30 @ Metalurg Skopje D 2-259.3 1241 1350 15.19% 26.91% 57.90%-1.20 +2.6 33
2014-03-30 Shkendija L 0-246.6 1371 1280 56.03% 27.46% 16.51%+1.08 -37.1 41
2014-03-30 @ Turnovo W 2-046.6 1280 1371 16.51% 27.46% 56.03%-1.08 +37.1 36
2014-04-05 Bregalnica Shtip L 0-245.6 1317 1240 54.64% 27.82% 17.54%+0.99 -36.4 36
2014-04-05 @ Shkendija W 2-045.6 1240 1317 17.54% 27.82% 54.64%-0.99 +36.4 36
2014-04-05 Vardar L 0-230.5 1032 1392 10.02% 23.61% 66.37%-1.79 -8.5 14
2014-04-05 @ Gostivar W 2-030.5 1392 1032 66.37% 23.61% 10.02%+1.79 +8.5 45
2014-04-06 Gorno Lisice W 1-036.6 1348 1240 57.76% 26.95% 15.28%+1.19 +6.9 44
2014-04-06 @ Metalurg Skopje L 0-136.6 1240 1348 15.28% 26.95% 57.76%-1.19 -6.9 32
2014-04-06 Pelister W 2-146.7 1244 1273 41.85% 29.77% 28.38%+0.31 +11.0 36
2014-04-06 @ Renova L 1-246.7 1273 1244 28.38% 29.77% 41.85%-0.31 -11.0 47
2014-04-06 Rabotnicki L 0-231.0 1036 1377 10.87% 24.32% 64.81%-1.68 -9.2 14
2014-04-06 @ Napredok W 2-031.0 1377 1036 64.81% 24.32% 10.87%+1.68 +9.2 47
2014-04-06 Turnovo L 1-246.4 1197 1333 27.35% 29.68% 42.97%-0.37 -10.7 23
2014-04-06 @ Makedonija GP W 2-146.4 1333 1197 42.97% 29.68% 27.35%+0.37 +10.7 44
2014-04-12 Gostivar W 3-025.2 1386 1024 77.85% 17.16% 4.99%+2.81 +5.4 50
2014-04-12 @ Rabotnicki L 0-325.2 1024 1386 4.99% 17.16% 77.85%-2.81 -5.4 14
2014-04-12 Metalurg Skopje L 1-346.0 1262 1355 33.06% 29.98% 36.96%-0.09 -21.3 47
2014-04-12 @ Pelister W 3-146.0 1355 1262 36.96% 29.98% 33.06%+0.09 +21.3 47
2014-04-12 Napredok W 4-025.5 1344 1027 74.92% 18.99% 6.09%+2.53 +9.0 47
2014-04-12 @ Turnovo L 0-425.5 1027 1344 6.09% 18.99% 74.92%-2.53 -9.0 14
2014-04-12 Renova W 5-134.6 1401 1255 61.42% 25.71% 12.87%+1.43 +17.5 48
2014-04-12 @ Vardar L 1-534.6 1255 1401 12.87% 25.71% 61.42%-1.43 -17.5 36
2014-04-12 Shkendija L 0-241.5 1233 1281 39.35% 29.91% 30.75%+0.20 -27.9 32
2014-04-12 @ Gorno Lisice W 2-041.5 1281 1233 30.75% 29.91% 39.35%-0.20 +27.9 39
2014-04-13 Makedonija GP L 1-254.2 1277 1187 56.00% 27.47% 16.54%+1.08 -18.6 36
2014-04-13 @ Bregalnica Shtip W 2-154.2 1187 1277 16.54% 27.47% 56.00%-1.08 +18.6 26
2014-04-19 Bregalnica Shtip L 1-339.5 1018 1258 17.05% 27.65% 55.29%-1.03 -12.5 14
2014-04-19 @ Napredok W 3-139.5 1258 1018 55.29% 27.65% 17.05%+1.03 +12.5 39
2014-04-19 Gorno Lisice W 1-038.4 1241 1205 50.01% 28.80% 21.19%+0.73 +9.3 50
2014-04-19 @ Pelister L 0-138.4 1205 1241 21.19% 28.80% 50.01%-0.73 -9.3 32
2014-04-19 Rabotnicki L 2-640.7 1237 1392 25.19% 29.46% 45.35%-0.48 -27.0 36
2014-04-19 @ Renova W 6-240.7 1392 1237 45.35% 29.46% 25.19%+0.48 +27.0 53
2014-04-19 Shkendija L 1-344.9 1205 1309 31.50% 29.94% 38.57%-0.16 -20.6 26
2014-04-19 @ Makedonija GP W 3-144.9 1309 1205 38.57% 29.94% 31.50%+0.16 +20.6 42
2014-04-19 Turnovo L 1-239.7 1019 1353 11.18% 24.56% 64.25%-1.63 -4.8 14
2014-04-19 @ Gostivar W 2-139.7 1353 1019 64.25% 24.56% 11.18%+1.63 +4.8 50
2014-04-19 Vardar W 2-150.2 1376 1418 40.09% 29.87% 30.03%+0.23 +11.5 50
2014-04-19 @ Metalurg Skopje L 1-250.2 1418 1376 30.03% 29.87% 40.09%-0.23 -11.5 48
2014-04-23 Gostivar W 3-027.2 1271 1014 70.62% 21.46% 7.92%+2.14 +9.4 42
2014-04-23 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 0-327.2 1014 1271 7.92% 21.46% 70.62%-2.14 -9.4 14
2014-04-23 Makedonija GP W 3-142.0 1196 1185 47.11% 29.24% 23.65%+0.57 +16.6 35
2014-04-23 @ Gorno Lisice L 1-342.0 1185 1196 23.65% 29.24% 47.11%-0.57 -16.5 26
2014-04-23 Metalurg Skopje L 1-256.1 1419 1387 49.54% 28.88% 21.58%+0.70 -16.7 53
2014-04-23 @ Rabotnicki W 2-156.1 1387 1419 21.58% 28.88% 49.54%-0.70 +16.7 53
2014-04-23 Napredok W 4-025.3 1329 1005 75.38% 18.71% 5.91%+2.57 +8.7 45
2014-04-23 @ Shkendija L 0-425.3 1005 1329 5.91% 18.71% 75.38%-2.57 -8.7 14
2014-04-23 Pelister D 0-049.8 1407 1250 62.39% 25.33% 12.28%+1.50 -4.6 49
2014-04-23 @ Vardar D 0-049.8 1250 1407 12.28% 25.33% 62.39%-1.50 +4.6 51
2014-04-23 Renova D 1-153.8 1358 1210 61.58% 25.65% 12.78%+1.44 -4.0 51
2014-04-23 @ Turnovo D 1-153.8 1210 1358 12.78% 25.65% 61.58%-1.44 +4.0 37
2014-04-26 Bregalnica Shtip W 1-042.5 1214 1280 36.86% 29.98% 33.16%+0.08 +13.1 40
2014-04-26 @ Renova L 0-142.5 1280 1214 33.16% 29.98% 36.86%-0.08 -13.1 42
2014-04-26 Gorno Lisice W 1-034.6 1402 1213 65.26% 24.12% 10.62%+1.71 +4.8 52
2014-04-26 @ Vardar L 0-134.6 1213 1402 10.62% 24.12% 65.26%-1.71 -4.8 35
2014-04-26 Makedonija GP L 1-341.8 997 1168 23.33% 29.19% 47.48%-0.59 -16.4 14
2014-04-26 @ Napredok W 3-141.8 1168 997 47.48% 29.19% 23.33%+0.59 +16.4 29
2014-04-26 Rabotnicki L 1-246.9 1255 1402 26.02% 29.55% 44.43%-0.44 -10.3 51
2014-04-26 @ Pelister W 2-146.9 1402 1255 44.43% 29.55% 26.02%+0.44 +10.3 56
2014-04-26 Shkendija L 0-329.2 1004 1338 11.22% 24.59% 64.18%-1.63 -13.9 14
2014-04-26 @ Gostivar W 3-029.2 1338 1004 64.18% 24.59% 11.22%+1.63 +13.9 48
2014-04-26 Turnovo L 1-255.6 1404 1354 51.68% 28.49% 19.84%+0.82 -17.3 53
2014-04-26 @ Metalurg Skopje W 2-155.6 1354 1404 19.84% 28.49% 51.68%-0.82 +17.3 54
2014-05-04 Gostivar W 2-139.1 1184 990 65.65% 23.95% 10.41%+1.74 +4.4 32
2014-05-04 @ Makedonija GP L 1-239.1 990 1184 10.41% 23.95% 65.65%-1.74 -4.4 14
2014-05-04 Metalurg Skopje L 0-142.2 1267 1387 29.39% 29.84% 40.77%-0.26 -12.0 42
2014-05-04 @ Bregalnica Shtip W 1-042.2 1387 1267 40.77% 29.84% 29.39%+0.26 +12.0 56
2014-05-04 Napredok W 4-132.9 1208 980 68.38% 22.63% 8.99%+1.95 +9.2 38
2014-05-04 @ Gorno Lisice L 1-432.9 980 1208 8.99% 22.63% 68.38%-1.95 -9.2 14
2014-05-04 Pelister W 1-036.3 1371 1245 59.64% 26.35% 14.02%+1.31 +6.4 57
2014-05-04 @ Turnovo L 0-136.3 1245 1371 14.02% 26.35% 59.64%-1.31 -6.4 51
2014-05-04 Renova W 5-031.1 1352 1228 59.43% 26.42% 14.15%+1.30 +28.4 51
2014-05-04 @ Shkendija L 0-531.1 1228 1352 14.15% 26.42% 59.43%-1.30 -28.4 40
2014-05-04 Vardar W 3-146.2 1412 1407 46.38% 29.34% 24.28%+0.54 +16.9 59
2014-05-04 @ Rabotnicki L 1-346.2 1407 1412 24.28% 29.34% 46.38%-0.54 -16.9 52
2014-05-11 Bregalnica Shtip D 1-152.2 1238 1255 43.51% 29.64% 26.85%+0.39 -1.2 52
2014-05-11 @ Pelister D 1-152.2 1255 1238 26.85% 29.64% 43.51%-0.39 +1.2 43
2014-05-11 Gorno Lisice W 2-031.4 1429 1217 67.15% 23.24% 9.61%+1.86 +8.1 62
2014-05-11 @ Rabotnicki L 0-231.4 1217 1429 9.61% 23.24% 67.15%-1.86 -8.1 38
2014-05-11 Makedonija GP W 4-245.8 1199 1189 46.97% 29.26% 23.77%+0.57 +14.9 43
2014-05-11 @ Renova L 2-445.8 1189 1199 23.77% 29.26% 46.97%-0.57 -14.9 32
2014-05-11 Napredok L 2-356.8 986 971 47.54% 29.18% 23.27%+0.60 -15.3 14
2014-05-11 @ Gostivar W 3-256.8 971 986 23.27% 29.18% 47.54%-0.60 +15.3 17
2014-05-11 Shkendija L 1-255.1 1399 1380 47.94% 29.13% 22.94%+0.62 -16.3 56
2014-05-11 @ Metalurg Skopje W 2-155.1 1380 1399 22.94% 29.13% 47.94%-0.62 +16.3 54
2014-05-11 Turnovo W 2-147.6 1390 1378 47.21% 29.23% 23.56%+0.58 +9.5 55
2014-05-11 @ Vardar L 1-247.6 1378 1390 23.56% 29.23% 47.21%-0.58 -9.5 57
2014-05-18 Gostivar D 1-154.1 1209 971 69.21% 22.21% 8.58%+2.02 -5.1 39
2014-05-18 @ Gorno Lisice D 1-154.1 971 1209 8.58% 22.21% 69.21%-2.02 +5.1 15
2014-05-18 Metalurg Skopje L 1-341.1 1174 1382 19.72% 28.46% 51.82%-0.83 -14.2 32
2014-05-18 @ Makedonija GP W 3-141.1 1382 1174 51.82% 28.46% 19.72%+0.83 +14.2 59
2014-05-18 Pelister W 4-030.2 1397 1237 62.69% 25.21% 12.10%+1.52 +19.7 57
2014-05-18 @ Shkendija L 0-430.2 1237 1397 12.10% 25.21% 62.69%-1.52 -19.7 52
2014-05-18 Rabotnicki W 1-046.0 1368 1437 36.31% 29.99% 33.70%+0.06 +13.2 60
2014-05-18 @ Turnovo L 0-146.0 1437 1368 33.70% 29.99% 36.31%-0.06 -13.2 62
2014-05-18 Renova D 0-047.6 986 1214 18.06% 27.99% 53.95%-0.95 +3.2 18
2014-05-18 @ Napredok D 0-047.6 1214 986 53.95% 27.99% 18.06%+0.95 -3.2 44
2014-05-18 Vardar D 0-048.5 1256 1399 26.49% 29.60% 43.90%-0.41 +1.5 44
2014-05-18 @ Bregalnica Shtip D 0-048.5 1399 1256 43.90% 29.60% 26.49%+0.41 -1.5 56

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2014-03-23 8.93% Gostivar 1037 1 @ Renova 1266 0
2 2013-11-03 9.72% Pelister 1135 2 @ Turnovo 1345 0
3 2013-11-24 10.50% Pelister 1192 4 @ Metalurg Skopje 1384 2
4 2014-03-23 11.64% Shkendija 1234 2 @ Vardar 1402 1
5 2014-03-15 14.60% Bregalnica Shtip 1225 2 @ Metalurg Skopje 1343 1
6 2013-10-30 14.61% @ Gostivar 1117 3 Metalurg Skopje 1391 1
7 2014-03-30 16.51% Shkendija 1280 2 @ Turnovo 1371 0
8 2014-04-13 16.54% Makedonija GP 1187 2 @ Bregalnica Shtip 1277 1
9 2014-04-05 17.54% Bregalnica Shtip 1240 2 @ Shkendija 1317 0
10 2013-08-18 17.76% Gorno Lisice 1200 1 @ Makedonija GP 1275 0
11 2013-10-20 17.95% Shkendija 1180 3 @ Renova 1252 1
12 2013-10-06 18.43% Gorno Lisice 1166 3 @ Shkendija 1232 0
13 2014-03-01 18.76% @ Bregalnica Shtip 1189 2 Turnovo 1408 0
14 2014-04-26 19.84% Turnovo 1354 2 @ Metalurg Skopje 1404 1
15 2013-08-11 20.27% Pelister 1163 2 @ Renova 1208 1
16 2014-04-23 21.58% Metalurg Skopje 1387 2 @ Rabotnicki 1419 1
17 2014-05-11 22.94% Shkendija 1380 2 @ Metalurg Skopje 1399 1
18 2014-05-11 23.27% Napredok 971 3 @ Gostivar 986 2
19 2013-08-28 23.44% Renova 1208 2 @ Gorno Lisice 1221 1
20 2013-09-22 23.60% @ Shkendija 1202 3 Vardar 1371 1
21 2014-03-26 23.92% @ Bregalnica Shtip 1222 1 Turnovo 1387 0
22 2013-10-06 26.83% @ Napredok 1130 2 Makedonija GP 1271 1
23 2014-03-26 27.05% @ Shkendija 1254 3 Rabotnicki 1393 1
24 2013-08-04 28.15% Bregalnica Shtip 1239 1 @ Gostivar 1211 0
25 2013-08-28 28.26% @ Makedonija GP 1243 2 Turnovo 1372 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2013-10-30 52.98 Renova 4 1235 30.64% @ Pelister 0 1188 39.46% 29.90%
2 2013-10-06 51.83 Gorno Lisice 3 1166 18.43% @ Shkendija 0 1232 53.46% 28.10%
3 2013-11-03 43.02 Pelister 2 1135 9.72% @ Turnovo 0 1345 66.94% 23.34%
4 2013-08-04 40.35 Turnovo 3 1289 30.89% @ Shkendija 0 1241 39.20% 29.91%
5 2013-09-15 37.34 Bregalnica Shtip 3 1286 34.79% @ Gorno Lisice 0 1209 35.21% 30.00%
6 2014-03-30 37.15 Shkendija 2 1280 16.51% @ Turnovo 0 1371 56.03% 27.46%
7 2014-04-05 36.36 Bregalnica Shtip 2 1240 17.54% @ Shkendija 0 1317 54.64% 27.82%
8 2013-08-28 35.49 @ Napredok 3 1138 37.26% Gostivar 0 1201 32.77% 29.97%
9 2014-03-01 35.44 @ Bregalnica Shtip 2 1189 18.76% Turnovo 0 1408 53.04% 28.20%
10 2013-11-23 34.89 @ Rabotnicki 5 1319 54.51% Shkendija 0 1243 17.63% 27.85%
11 2013-10-30 33.50 @ Gostivar 3 1117 14.61% Metalurg Skopje 1 1391 58.75% 26.64%
12 2013-09-01 32.87 @ Metalurg Skopje 3 1348 40.68% Vardar 0 1386 29.48% 29.84%
13 2013-11-27 32.86 @ Makedonija GP 3 1199 40.69% Bregalnica Shtip 0 1237 29.47% 29.84%
14 2013-11-24 32.75 Pelister 4 1192 10.50% @ Metalurg Skopje 2 1384 65.48% 24.02%
15 2014-03-02 32.62 @ Shkendija 3 1212 40.99% Makedonija GP 0 1248 29.19% 29.82%
16 2013-10-05 31.48 @ Rabotnicki 3 1278 42.45% Bregalnica Shtip 0 1303 27.82% 29.73%
17 2013-10-20 31.22 Shkendija 3 1180 17.95% @ Renova 1 1252 54.10% 27.95%
18 2013-11-10 28.49 @ Shkendija 4 1215 54.34% Gostivar 0 1140 17.76% 27.89%
19 2014-05-04 28.40 @ Shkendija 5 1352 59.43% Renova 0 1228 14.15% 26.42%
20 2014-03-01 28.35 @ Rabotnicki 4 1331 54.47% Pelister 0 1255 17.66% 27.86%
21 2013-08-18 28.00 @ Gostivar 2 1174 30.50% Rabotnicki 0 1285 39.61% 29.90%
22 2014-04-12 27.86 Shkendija 2 1281 30.75% @ Gorno Lisice 0 1233 39.35% 29.91%
23 2013-12-01 27.84 @ Turnovo 4 1354 54.95% Renova 0 1274 17.31% 27.74%
24 2013-09-22 27.81 @ Shkendija 3 1202 23.60% Vardar 1 1371 47.16% 29.24%
25 2014-04-19 26.95 Rabotnicki 6 1392 45.35% @ Renova 2 1237 25.19% 29.46%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2014-03-30 59.3 @ Metalurg Skopje 2 1350 57.90% Renova 2 1241 15.19% 26.91%
2 2013-08-11 59.0 @ Gorno Lisice 2 1198 19.49% Vardar 2 1409 52.11% 28.40%
3 2013-11-03 58.8 @ Bregalnica Shtip 2 1252 60.30% Napredok 2 1118 13.58% 26.12%
4 2014-03-26 58.6 @ Makedonija GP 2 1206 22.95% Vardar 2 1381 47.91% 29.13%
5 2013-10-30 58.5 @ Napredok 2 1116 17.79% Turnovo 2 1347 54.30% 27.90%
6 2013-08-28 58.3 @ Pelister 2 1162 21.61% Metalurg Skopje 2 1350 49.51% 28.88%
7 2013-08-25 58.2 @ Rabotnicki 2 1257 50.28% Gorno Lisice 2 1219 20.97% 28.75%
8 2013-10-27 58.2 @ Gorno Lisice 2 1233 51.28% Pelister 2 1186 20.16% 28.57%
9 2013-09-29 57.9 @ Gorno Lisice 2 1168 49.75% Gostivar 2 1134 21.40% 28.84%
10 2013-08-28 57.8 @ Shkendija 2 1206 39.10% Rabotnicki 2 1256 30.98% 29.92%
11 2013-09-22 57.7 @ Napredok 2 1143 41.23% Pelister 2 1177 28.96% 29.81%
12 2013-11-24 57.4 Pelister 4 1192 10.50% @ Metalurg Skopje 2 1384 65.48% 24.02%
13 2014-05-11 56.8 Napredok 3 971 23.27% @ Gostivar 2 986 47.54% 29.18%
14 2014-03-23 56.5 Shkendija 2 1234 11.64% @ Vardar 1 1402 63.45% 24.90%
15 2014-04-23 56.1 Metalurg Skopje 2 1387 21.58% @ Rabotnicki 1 1419 49.54% 28.88%
16 2014-04-26 55.6 Turnovo 2 1354 19.84% @ Metalurg Skopje 1 1404 51.68% 28.49%
17 2014-03-15 55.1 Bregalnica Shtip 2 1225 14.60% @ Metalurg Skopje 1 1343 58.76% 26.64%
18 2014-05-11 55.1 Shkendija 2 1380 22.94% @ Metalurg Skopje 1 1399 47.94% 29.13%
19 2014-03-09 54.8 @ Vardar 1 1419 65.45% Pelister 1 1227 10.51% 24.03%
20 2013-08-18 54.7 @ Vardar 1 1407 67.51% Renova 1 1191 9.43% 23.07%
21 2013-11-10 54.3 @ Vardar 1 1393 56.08% Turnovo 1 1302 16.48% 27.44%
22 2014-04-13 54.2 Makedonija GP 2 1187 16.54% @ Bregalnica Shtip 1 1277 56.00% 27.47%
23 2014-05-18 54.1 @ Gorno Lisice 1 1209 69.21% Gostivar 1 971 8.58% 22.21%
24 2013-10-30 53.9 Rabotnicki 3 1312 35.16% @ Makedonija GP 2 1232 34.85% 30.00%
25 2013-09-01 53.8 @ Turnovo 1 1357 62.01% Gorno Lisice 1 1205 12.51% 25.48%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2014-04-12 25.2 @ Rabotnicki 3 1386 77.85% Gostivar 0 1024 4.99% 17.16%
2 2014-04-23 25.3 @ Shkendija 4 1329 75.38% Napredok 0 1005 5.91% 18.71%
3 2014-04-12 25.5 @ Turnovo 4 1344 74.92% Napredok 0 1027 6.09% 18.99%
4 2014-03-30 26.2 @ Vardar 6 1380 75.88% Napredok 0 1048 5.72% 18.40%
5 2014-04-23 27.2 @ Bregalnica Shtip 3 1271 70.62% Gostivar 0 1014 7.92% 21.46%
6 2013-09-15 28.7 @ Vardar 4 1354 65.32% Gostivar 0 1163 10.58% 24.09%
7 2014-03-09 28.7 @ Renova 3 1252 65.95% Gostivar 0 1055 10.24% 23.81%
8 2013-09-29 28.9 @ Vardar 3 1343 66.16% Napredok 0 1143 10.13% 23.71%
9 2014-04-26 29.2 Shkendija 3 1338 64.18% @ Gostivar 0 1004 11.22% 24.59%
10 2014-03-23 29.3 @ Metalurg Skopje 2 1323 70.32% Napredok 0 1070 8.06% 21.62%
11 2013-08-11 29.7 @ Turnovo 4 1330 62.07% Napredok 0 1177 12.47% 25.46%
12 2014-03-30 29.8 @ Pelister 2 1266 68.22% Gostivar 0 1040 9.06% 22.71%
13 2013-12-08 30.0 @ Makedonija GP 4 1225 59.66% Gostivar 0 1098 14.00% 26.34%
14 2013-08-11 30.1 @ Metalurg Skopje 4 1336 60.89% Gostivar 0 1196 13.20% 25.90%
15 2013-12-08 30.1 @ Pelister 4 1232 59.57% Napredok 0 1106 14.06% 26.37%
16 2014-05-18 30.2 @ Shkendija 4 1397 62.69% Pelister 0 1237 12.10% 25.21%
17 2014-04-05 30.5 Vardar 2 1392 66.37% @ Gostivar 0 1032 10.02% 23.61%
18 2014-03-22 31.0 @ Rabotnicki 4 1370 59.51% Bregalnica Shtip 0 1244 14.10% 26.39%
19 2014-04-06 31.0 Rabotnicki 2 1377 64.81% @ Napredok 0 1036 10.87% 24.32%
20 2014-05-04 31.1 @ Shkendija 5 1352 59.43% Renova 0 1228 14.15% 26.42%
21 2013-11-02 31.4 @ Rabotnicki 2 1324 63.92% Gostivar 0 1150 11.37% 24.71%
22 2014-05-11 31.4 @ Rabotnicki 2 1429 67.15% Gorno Lisice 0 1217 9.61% 23.24%
23 2013-08-25 31.7 @ Bregalnica Shtip 3 1276 56.45% Pelister 0 1182 16.21% 27.34%
24 2013-11-10 31.7 @ Shkendija 4 1215 54.34% Gostivar 0 1140 17.76% 27.89%
25 2014-03-29 32.2 @ Rabotnicki 2 1367 62.64% Makedonija GP 0 1208 12.13% 25.24%