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2020-21 Macedonian First Football League Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Shkendija

75 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Struga

9.88 points above expected

57 points · 47.12 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Sileks

10.94 points below expected

36 points · 46.94 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Shkendija 33 22 9 2 75 69 26 +43 65.65 +9.35
2 Shkupi 33 16 11 6 59 41 24 +17 53.71 +5.29
3 Struga 33 15 12 6 57 39 24 +15 47.12 +9.88
4 Makedonija GP 33 16 7 10 55 53 43 +10 49.84 +5.16
5 Rabotnicki 33 11 15 7 48 45 39 +6 47.42 +0.58
6 Pelister 33 12 9 12 45 34 38 -4 39.96 +5.04
7 AP Brera Strumica 33 12 5 16 41 32 36 -4 38.38 +2.62
8 Borec 33 11 7 15 40 32 36 -4 42.81 -2.81
9 Sileks 33 10 6 17 36 49 45 +4 46.94 -10.94
10 Renova 33 8 12 13 36 36 46 -10 40.26 -4.26
11 Vardar 33 7 10 16 31 32 60 -28 39.63 -8.63
12 Belasica 33 4 5 24 17 23 68 -45 26.82 -9.82

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Struga 57 47.12 +9.88
2 Shkendija 75 65.65 +9.35
3 Shkupi 59 53.71 +5.29
4 Makedonija GP 55 49.84 +5.16
5 Pelister 45 39.96 +5.04

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sileks 36 46.94 -10.94
2 Belasica 17 26.82 -9.82
3 Vardar 31 39.63 -8.63
4 Renova 36 40.26 -4.26
5 Borec 40 42.81 -2.81

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 AP Brera Strumica 3 Mar 13 – Apr 3 1 in 67
2 Belasica 2 Nov 7 – Nov 22 1 in 40
3 Shkendija 8 Mar 14 – Apr 28 1 in 30
4 Pelister 3 Feb 28 – Mar 7 1 in 29
5 Struga 3 May 1 – May 16 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Belasica 7 Aug 9 – Sep 27 1 in 182
2 Pelister 6 Nov 7 – Dec 9 1 in 140
3 Sileks 3 Sep 12 – Sep 27 1 in 112
4 Renova 4 Aug 31 – Sep 27 1 in 42
5 Borec 5 Apr 4 – Apr 25 1 in 34

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shkendija 17 Aug 9 – Dec 13 1 in 66
2 AP Brera Strumica 6 Feb 28 – Apr 3 1 in 44
3 Pelister 6 Dec 13 – Mar 7 1 in 38
4 Shkupi 10 Oct 3 – Dec 12 1 in 35
5 Struga 9 Apr 4 – May 16 1 in 31

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Pelister 10 Sep 27 – Dec 9 1 in 41
2 Rabotnicki 8 Sep 19 – Nov 29 1 in 31
3 Renova 9 Aug 31 – Nov 22 1 in 31
4 Vardar 10 Feb 21 – Apr 18 1 in 30
5 Sileks 8 Dec 6 – Mar 6 1 in 27

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Shkendija 1509 75 -20 10 10.4 -0.4
Shkupi 1375 59 +17 7 7.4 -0.4
Struga 1402 57 +62 13 7.4 +5.6
Makedonija GP 1326 55 +26 7 6.7 +0.3
Rabotnicki 1327 48 +2 7 6.8 +0.2
Pelister 1265 45 +16 10 6.9 +3.1
AP Brera Strumica 1280 41 +0 7 7.6 -0.6
Borec 1233 40 +19 7 5.7 +1.3
Sileks 1276 36 -10 7 7.6 -0.6
Renova 1226 36 -22 5 6.7 -1.7
Vardar 1096 31 -37 3 4.8 -1.8
Belasica 1036 17 -54 0 3.9 -3.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABS BEL BOR MG PEL RAB REN SHK SHK SIL STR VAR
AP Brera Strumica —
1-1-1
5.49
2-0-1
3.88
2-0-1
2.99
1-0-2
3.88
1-1-1
2.93
0-1-2
4.09
0-0-3
1.85
0-1-2
2.95
2-0-1
3.03
2-1-0
3.45
1-0-2
4.22
Belasica
1-1-1
2.69
—
0-1-2
2.32
0-0-3
2.50
0-0-3
2.51
0-2-1
2.74
1-1-1
2.39
0-0-3
1.56
1-0-2
2.09
1-0-2
2.87
0-0-3
2.08
0-0-3
2.63
Borec
1-0-2
4.26
2-1-0
5.89
—
1-1-1
3.18
1-1-1
4.19
0-1-2
3.71
1-1-1
4.34
0-1-2
2.11
0-0-3
3.31
2-1-0
3.05
1-0-2
3.86
2-0-1
4.47
Makedonija GP
1-0-2
5.16
3-0-0
5.69
1-1-1
4.97
—
2-1-0
4.77
2-1-0
4.11
2-0-1
4.53
0-0-3
3.04
0-2-1
3.80
2-0-1
4.70
1-1-1
4.06
2-1-0
4.89
Pelister
2-0-1
4.25
3-0-0
5.69
1-1-1
3.95
0-1-2
3.40
—
0-1-2
3.68
2-1-0
4.39
1-0-2
2.24
0-1-2
2.81
1-1-1
3.56
1-1-1
3.38
1-2-0
4.07
Rabotnicki
1-1-1
5.24
1-2-0
5.43
2-1-0
4.43
0-1-2
4.02
2-1-0
4.47
—
2-1-0
4.46
0-2-1
2.32
1-1-1
3.28
1-1-1
4.22
0-2-1
4.03
1-2-0
4.62
Renova
2-1-0
4.05
1-1-1
5.81
1-1-1
3.79
1-0-2
3.62
0-1-2
3.74
0-1-2
3.68
—
0-1-2
2.05
1-1-1
2.72
1-1-1
3.34
0-2-1
3.48
1-2-0
3.81
Shkendija
3-0-0
6.43
3-0-0
6.80
2-1-0
6.15
3-0-0
5.12
2-0-1
6.02
1-2-0
5.89
2-1-0
6.20
—
0-3-0
5.14
2-1-0
5.86
1-1-1
5.52
3-0-0
5.78
Shkupi
2-1-0
5.22
2-0-1
6.18
3-0-0
4.83
1-2-0
4.35
2-1-0
5.36
1-1-1
4.87
1-1-1
5.46
0-3-0
3.03
—
3-0-0
4.60
0-1-2
4.46
1-1-1
5.14
Sileks
1-0-2
5.13
2-0-1
5.33
0-1-2
5.11
1-0-2
3.46
1-1-1
4.58
1-1-1
3.93
1-1-1
4.81
0-1-2
2.36
0-0-3
3.54
—
0-1-2
4.46
3-0-0
4.64
Struga
0-1-2
4.70
3-0-0
6.16
2-0-1
4.28
1-1-1
4.07
1-1-1
4.77
1-2-0
4.11
1-2-0
4.68
1-1-1
2.67
2-1-0
3.68
2-1-0
3.69
—
1-2-0
5.42
Vardar
2-0-1
3.94
3-0-0
5.55
1-0-2
3.69
0-1-2
3.27
0-2-1
4.08
0-2-1
3.53
0-2-1
4.33
0-0-3
2.43
1-1-1
3.02
0-0-3
3.50
0-2-1
2.79
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.64 +9.9
Allowed 0.74 -9.7
Differential 0.92 +6.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.61%9.85%6.57%3.28%0.25%0.76%31.31%
19.85%11.62%6.82%5.81%—0.51%34.60%
26.57%6.82%4.55%1.26%0.25%—19.44%
33.28%5.81%1.26%0.51%0.76%0.25%11.87%
40.25%—0.25%0.76%——1.26%
5+0.76%0.51%—0.25%——1.52%
Total31.31%34.60%19.44%11.87%1.26%1.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.22 +0.00
SD 1.17 1.17 1.67
CV 0.95 0.95 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%24.24%9.09%———42.42%
19.09%6.06%6.06%6.06%——27.27%
26.06%12.12%—3.03%——21.21%
33.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%45.45%18.18%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.09 -0.12
SD 1.02 0.91 1.36
CV 1.05 0.84 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%9.09%21.21%12.12%—3.03%48.48%
16.06%6.06%9.09%18.18%——39.39%
2—3.03%6.06%———9.09%
3———————
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+———————
Total9.09%18.18%39.39%30.30%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.70 2.06 -1.36
SD 0.88 1.17 1.54
CV 1.27 0.57 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%18.18%6.06%3.03%——36.36%
16.06%9.09%12.12%6.06%——33.33%
212.12%12.12%3.03%———27.27%
33.03%—————3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.30%39.39%21.21%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.09 -0.12
SD 0.88 0.95 1.43
CV 0.91 0.87 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%3.03%—3.03%—3.03%21.21%
13.03%3.03%9.09%3.03%——18.18%
29.09%18.18%6.06%6.06%——39.39%
36.06%12.12%——3.03%—21.21%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.30%36.36%15.15%12.12%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 1.30 +0.30
SD 1.06 1.29 1.72
CV 0.66 0.99 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%9.09%—9.09%——33.33%
118.18%6.06%6.06%9.09%——39.39%
29.09%—6.06%3.03%——18.18%
3—6.06%3.03%———9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total42.42%21.21%15.15%21.21%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.15 -0.12
SD 0.95 1.20 1.49
CV 0.92 1.04 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%—6.06%———21.21%
19.09%21.21%6.06%3.03%——39.39%
26.06%6.06%9.09%———21.21%
3—12.12%——3.03%3.03%18.18%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.30%39.39%21.21%3.03%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.18 +0.18
SD 1.03 1.18 1.21
CV 0.75 1.00 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%9.09%3.03%3.03%——33.33%
16.06%15.15%3.03%15.15%——39.39%
23.03%6.06%——3.03%—12.12%
33.03%3.03%3.03%3.03%3.03%—15.15%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.30%33.33%9.09%21.21%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.39 -0.30
SD 1.04 1.30 1.38
CV 0.95 0.93 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%3.03%3.03%———12.12%
112.12%18.18%————30.30%
29.09%12.12%3.03%———24.24%
39.09%9.09%————18.18%
4———3.03%——3.03%
5+3.03%6.06%—3.03%——12.12%
Total39.39%48.48%6.06%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 0.79 +1.30
SD 1.57 0.82 1.57
CV 0.75 1.04 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%6.06%6.06%———30.30%
121.21%9.09%6.06%———36.36%
29.09%—6.06%———15.15%
33.03%12.12%————15.15%
4———3.03%——3.03%
5+———————
Total51.52%27.27%18.18%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 0.73 +0.52
SD 1.15 0.88 1.23
CV 0.92 1.20 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%18.18%6.06%3.03%——33.33%
13.03%9.09%15.15%6.06%——33.33%
2—3.03%3.03%3.03%——9.09%
33.03%6.06%3.03%———12.12%
43.03%——3.03%——6.06%
5+6.06%—————6.06%
Total21.21%36.36%27.27%15.15%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 1.36 +0.12
SD 1.68 0.99 2.13
CV 1.13 0.73 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%9.09%6.06%———27.27%
115.15%21.21%3.03%———39.39%
29.09%9.09%3.03%———21.21%
36.06%3.03%3.03%———12.12%
4———————
5+———————
Total42.42%42.42%15.15%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 0.73 +0.45
SD 0.98 0.72 1.23
CV 0.83 0.99 —
Max 3 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%9.09%12.12%6.06%3.03%3.03%36.36%
19.09%15.15%6.06%3.03%—6.06%39.39%
26.06%—9.09%———15.15%
33.03%3.03%—3.03%——9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total21.21%27.27%27.27%12.12%3.03%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.82 -0.85
SD 0.95 1.63 2.06
CV 0.98 0.90 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Shkendija 1509 75 65.65 +9.35 92.0% 48 54 60 65 71 76 81
Struga 1402 57 47.12 +9.88 93.0% 29 37 42 46 53 58 65
Shkupi 1375 59 53.71 +5.29 81.0% 39 43 50 53 58 65 74
Rabotnicki 1327 48 47.42 +0.58 57.0% 31 35 43 48 52 58 66
Makedonija GP 1326 55 49.84 +5.16 76.0% 33 39 44 48 55 63 67
AP Brera Strumica 1280 41 38.38 +2.62 73.0% 22 27 34 37 42 54 65
Sileks 1276 36 46.94 -10.94 4.0% 29 37 43 46 52 57 62
Pelister 1265 45 39.96 +5.04 81.0% 25 30 36 39 44 51 55
Borec 1233 40 42.81 -2.81 43.0% 27 34 39 42 47 52 57
Renova 1226 36 40.26 -4.26 29.0% 22 27 35 41 46 52 57
Vardar 1096 31 39.63 -8.63 10.0% 24 29 35 38 44 51 60
Belasica 1036 17 26.82 -9.82 6.0% 12 17 22 26 31 38 43

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 23% * Slight Edge: 23% to 31% * Clear Edge: 31% to 38% * Strong Edge: 38% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+10.10%
No Edge
41.41%27.27%31.31%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 35.21 Elo pts.
198 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.13 goals
Neutral
-2+0.18+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.12 * Tight Race: 0.12 to 0.25 * Comfortable: 0.25 to 0.36 * Runaway: 0.36 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.5
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
81%
Shkendija, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.48/gm
Runaway
00.280.8/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.51 * Some Luck: 5.51 to 8.26 * Lucky: 8.26 to 11.01 * Wild Swing: 11.01 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.45 * Close: 1.45 to 2.18 * Off: 2.18 to 2.91 * Way Off: 2.91 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.00 points
Some Luck
06.8817
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Close
01.824
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
93.00%
Struga
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
4.00%
Sileks
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.9 * Moderate Separation: 1.9 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.3 * Wide Separation: 2.3 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 70.5% * Clear Edge: 70.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 93% * Clear Edge: 93% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 56.5% * Some Drama: 56.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Even
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 127.62
2.03
Moderate Separation
11.92.12.32.75
Interquartile Edge
65%
Even
50%65%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 93%
94%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
65%
Very Frequent
0%63%100%
Blowouts
Expected
10%
Rare
0%13%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.43 * Slight Separation: 0.43 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.65 * Near-Lock: 0.65 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 18% * Upset-Prone: 18% to 21% * Very Upset-Prone: 21% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 16.5% * Very Shaky: 16.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.33
Very Even
00.430.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.10
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
-0.08
Weak Carryover
00.410.571
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Upset-Prone
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Very Shaky
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.01
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.04
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.167
Near Noise Ceiling
00.1220.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Shkendija81.00%15.00%3.00%—1.00%———————
Shkupi6.00%32.00%20.00%20.00%9.00%6.00%1.00%4.00%2.00%———
Struga1.00%10.00%18.00%6.00%16.00%14.00%12.00%11.00%5.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%
Makedonija GP8.00%14.00%13.00%13.00%10.00%12.00%18.00%4.00%5.00%1.00%2.00%—
Rabotnicki3.00%10.00%17.00%11.00%18.00%12.00%7.00%7.00%7.00%4.00%4.00%—
Pelister—2.00%3.00%8.00%6.00%4.00%10.00%18.00%14.00%16.00%12.00%7.00%
AP Brera Strumica1.00%3.00%2.00%4.00%3.00%4.00%6.00%13.00%14.00%22.00%22.00%6.00%
Borec—2.00%5.00%12.00%6.00%13.00%14.00%16.00%16.00%11.00%4.00%1.00%
Sileks—11.00%10.00%13.00%15.00%18.00%12.00%6.00%8.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%
Renova——4.00%9.00%10.00%9.00%7.00%11.00%13.00%12.00%18.00%7.00%
Vardar—1.00%5.00%4.00%6.00%6.00%13.00%7.00%15.00%20.00%20.00%3.00%
Belasica—————2.00%—3.00%1.00%6.00%14.00%74.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Shkendija 100% — —
Shkupi 98.00% 2.00% —
Makedonija GP 92.00% 6.00% 2.00%
Struga 88.00% 10.00% 2.00%
Rabotnicki 85.00% 11.00% 4.00%
Sileks 85.00% 11.00% 4.00%
Borec 68.00% 27.00% 5.00%
Pelister 51.00% 30.00% 19.00%
Vardar 42.00% 35.00% 23.00%
Renova 50.00% 25.00% 25.00%
AP Brera Strumica 36.00% 36.00% 28.00%
Belasica 5.00% 7.00% 88.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2020-08-08 Borec L 0-146.0 1308 1251 47.96% 28.16% 23.88%+0.47 -15.9 0
2020-08-08 @ Vardar W 1-046.0 1251 1308 23.88% 28.16% 47.96%-0.47 +15.9 3
2020-08-09 AP Brera Strumica W 1-041.0 1274 1276 40.20% 28.83% 30.97%+0.17 +11.4 3
2020-08-09 @ Pelister L 0-141.0 1276 1274 30.97% 28.83% 40.20%-0.17 -11.4 0
2020-08-09 Rabotnicki W 2-146.8 1271 1272 40.25% 28.83% 30.92%+0.17 +10.8 3
2020-08-09 @ Makedonija GP L 1-246.8 1272 1271 30.92% 28.83% 40.25%-0.17 -10.7 0
2020-08-09 Shkendija D 2-259.3 1281 1320 35.02% 28.93% 36.05%-0.02 +0.0 1
2020-08-09 @ Shkupi D 2-259.3 1320 1281 36.05% 28.93% 35.02%+0.02 -0.0 1
2020-08-09 Sileks L 0-639.6 1276 1283 39.52% 28.86% 31.63%+0.14 -71.3 0
2020-08-09 @ Belasica W 6-039.6 1283 1276 31.63% 28.86% 39.52%-0.14 +71.3 3
2020-08-09 Struga D 0-048.2 1277 1264 42.26% 28.72% 29.03%+0.24 -1.0 1
2020-08-09 @ Renova D 0-048.2 1264 1277 29.03% 28.72% 42.26%-0.24 +1.0 1
2020-08-14 Pelister D 2-259.9 1354 1286 49.31% 27.97% 22.72%+0.52 -1.4 4
2020-08-14 @ Sileks D 2-259.9 1286 1354 22.72% 27.97% 49.31%-0.52 +1.4 4
2020-08-15 Belasica W 2-034.6 1262 1204 47.99% 28.16% 23.85%+0.47 +17.6 3
2020-08-15 @ Rabotnicki L 0-234.6 1204 1262 23.85% 28.16% 47.99%-0.47 -17.6 0
2020-08-16 Makedonija GP W 3-143.1 1281 1281 40.44% 28.82% 30.74%+0.18 +18.5 4
2020-08-16 @ Shkupi L 1-343.1 1281 1281 30.74% 28.82% 40.44%-0.18 -18.5 3
2020-08-16 Renova D 1-153.2 1267 1276 39.30% 28.87% 31.84%+0.13 -0.5 4
2020-08-16 @ Borec D 1-153.2 1276 1267 31.84% 28.87% 39.30%-0.13 +0.5 2
2020-08-16 Struga W 2-035.2 1320 1265 47.70% 28.20% 24.10%+0.46 +17.7 4
2020-08-16 @ Shkendija L 0-235.2 1265 1320 24.10% 28.20% 47.70%-0.46 -17.7 1
2020-08-16 Vardar L 0-142.8 1265 1292 36.67% 28.92% 34.41%+0.04 -12.9 0
2020-08-16 @ AP Brera Strumica W 1-042.8 1292 1265 34.41% 28.92% 36.67%-0.04 +12.9 3
2020-08-21 Shkupi L 0-235.3 1187 1300 25.50% 28.39% 46.11%-0.39 -18.5 0
2020-08-21 @ Belasica W 2-035.3 1300 1187 46.11% 28.39% 25.50%+0.39 +18.5 7
2020-08-22 AP Brera Strumica W 2-036.1 1276 1252 43.72% 28.61% 27.67%+0.30 +19.8 5
2020-08-22 @ Renova L 0-236.1 1252 1276 27.67% 28.61% 43.72%-0.30 -19.8 0
2020-08-22 Shkendija L 0-141.0 1263 1337 30.15% 28.79% 41.06%-0.20 -11.2 3
2020-08-22 @ Makedonija GP W 1-041.0 1337 1263 41.06% 28.79% 30.15%+0.20 +11.2 7
2020-08-23 Borec W 1-041.6 1247 1266 37.77% 28.91% 33.32%+0.08 +12.0 4
2020-08-23 @ Struga L 0-141.6 1266 1247 33.32% 28.91% 37.77%-0.08 -12.0 4
2020-08-23 Rabotnicki D 0-048.3 1287 1279 41.57% 28.76% 29.67%+0.22 -0.9 5
2020-08-23 @ Pelister D 0-048.3 1279 1287 29.67% 28.76% 41.57%-0.22 +0.9 4
2020-08-23 Sileks L 0-437.0 1305 1353 33.81% 28.92% 37.27%-0.06 -43.5 3
2020-08-23 @ Vardar W 4-037.0 1353 1305 37.27% 28.92% 33.81%+0.06 +43.5 7
2020-08-29 Belasica W 2-143.2 1252 1168 51.12% 27.68% 21.20%+0.60 +8.0 6
2020-08-29 @ Makedonija GP L 1-243.2 1168 1252 21.20% 27.68% 51.12%-0.60 -8.0 0
2020-08-29 Struga W 1-041.8 1232 1259 36.77% 28.92% 34.30%+0.04 +12.3 3
2020-08-29 @ AP Brera Strumica L 0-141.8 1259 1232 34.30% 28.92% 36.77%-0.04 -12.3 4
2020-08-29 Vardar D 1-153.2 1280 1262 42.99% 28.67% 28.34%+0.27 -1.0 5
2020-08-29 @ Rabotnicki D 1-153.2 1262 1280 28.34% 28.67% 42.99%-0.27 +1.0 4
2020-08-30 Pelister W 1-040.0 1318 1286 44.75% 28.52% 26.73%+0.34 +10.2 10
2020-08-30 @ Shkupi L 0-140.0 1286 1318 26.73% 28.52% 44.75%-0.34 -10.2 5
2020-08-31 Borec D 1-153.9 1349 1254 52.34% 27.45% 20.21%+0.65 -2.3 8
2020-08-31 @ Shkendija D 1-153.9 1254 1349 20.21% 27.45% 52.34%-0.65 +2.3 5
2020-08-31 Renova W 3-140.4 1396 1296 53.02% 27.32% 19.66%+0.68 +12.9 10
2020-08-31 @ Sileks L 1-340.4 1296 1396 19.66% 27.32% 53.02%-0.68 -12.9 5
2020-09-12 Shkendija L 0-330.9 1160 1346 18.33% 26.95% 54.72%-0.76 -20.4 0
2020-09-12 @ Belasica W 3-030.9 1346 1160 54.72% 26.95% 18.33%+0.76 +20.4 11
2020-09-12 Sileks W 2-044.0 1247 1409 20.41% 27.50% 52.09%-0.64 +32.1 7
2020-09-12 @ Struga L 0-244.0 1409 1247 52.09% 27.50% 20.41%+0.64 -32.1 10
2020-09-13 AP Brera Strumica W 2-036.5 1257 1245 42.13% 28.73% 29.14%+0.24 +20.6 8
2020-09-13 @ Borec L 0-236.5 1245 1257 29.14% 28.73% 42.13%-0.24 -20.6 3
2020-09-13 Makedonija GP D 0-048.2 1276 1260 42.71% 28.69% 28.60%+0.26 -1.1 6
2020-09-13 @ Pelister D 0-048.2 1260 1276 28.60% 28.69% 42.71%-0.26 +1.1 7
2020-09-13 Rabotnicki L 0-144.1 1283 1279 41.01% 28.79% 30.20%+0.20 -14.0 5
2020-09-13 @ Renova W 1-044.1 1279 1283 30.20% 28.79% 41.01%-0.20 +14.0 8
2020-09-13 Shkupi W 1-043.9 1263 1328 31.33% 28.85% 39.82%-0.15 +13.7 7
2020-09-13 @ Vardar L 0-143.9 1328 1263 39.82% 28.85% 31.33%+0.15 -13.7 10
2020-09-19 Struga D 1-153.4 1293 1279 42.45% 28.71% 28.84%+0.25 -0.9 9
2020-09-19 @ Rabotnicki D 1-153.4 1279 1293 28.84% 28.71% 42.45%-0.25 +0.9 8
2020-09-19 Vardar W 2-147.4 1261 1276 38.31% 28.90% 32.79%+0.10 +11.2 10
2020-09-19 @ Makedonija GP L 1-247.4 1276 1261 32.79% 28.90% 38.31%-0.10 -11.2 7
2020-09-20 AP Brera Strumica W 2-141.9 1367 1224 57.54% 26.23% 16.24%+0.90 +6.3 14
2020-09-20 @ Shkendija L 1-241.9 1224 1367 16.24% 26.23% 57.54%-0.90 -6.3 3
2020-09-20 Borec L 1-253.7 1377 1277 52.96% 27.33% 19.71%+0.68 -16.3 10
2020-09-20 @ Sileks W 2-153.7 1277 1377 19.71% 27.33% 52.96%-0.68 +16.3 11
2020-09-20 Pelister L 0-234.3 1140 1275 23.08% 28.04% 48.89%-0.51 -17.1 0
2020-09-20 @ Belasica W 2-034.3 1275 1140 48.89% 28.04% 23.08%+0.51 +17.1 9
2020-09-20 Renova W 4-352.3 1315 1269 46.52% 28.34% 25.14%+0.41 +8.5 13
2020-09-20 @ Shkupi L 3-452.3 1269 1315 25.14% 28.34% 46.52%-0.41 -8.5 5
2020-09-26 Rabotnicki D 0-048.4 1294 1292 40.67% 28.81% 30.52%+0.18 -0.8 12
2020-09-26 @ Borec D 0-048.4 1292 1294 30.52% 28.81% 40.67%-0.18 +0.8 10
2020-09-27 Belasica W 3-137.4 1265 1123 57.54% 26.23% 16.24%+0.90 +10.9 10
2020-09-27 @ Vardar L 1-337.4 1123 1265 16.24% 26.23% 57.54%-0.90 -10.9 0
2020-09-27 Makedonija GP L 1-345.4 1260 1272 38.89% 28.88% 32.23%+0.12 -22.0 5
2020-09-27 @ Renova W 3-145.4 1272 1260 32.23% 28.88% 38.89%-0.12 +22.0 13
2020-09-27 Shkendija L 1-343.4 1292 1373 29.34% 28.74% 41.92%-0.23 -17.9 9
2020-09-27 @ Pelister W 3-143.4 1373 1292 41.92% 28.74% 29.34%+0.23 +17.9 17
2020-09-27 Shkupi W 2-039.3 1280 1323 34.37% 28.92% 36.71%-0.04 +24.3 11
2020-09-27 @ Struga L 0-239.3 1323 1280 36.71% 28.92% 34.37%+0.04 -24.3 13
2020-09-27 Sileks W 1-046.5 1218 1361 22.30% 27.90% 49.81%-0.54 +16.4 6
2020-09-27 @ AP Brera Strumica L 0-146.5 1361 1218 49.81% 27.90% 22.30%+0.54 -16.4 10
2020-10-03 AP Brera Strumica D 0-048.3 1293 1234 48.16% 28.14% 23.71%+0.48 -1.9 11
2020-10-03 @ Rabotnicki D 0-048.3 1234 1293 23.71% 28.14% 48.16%-0.48 +1.9 7
2020-10-03 Borec W 3-035.3 1299 1293 41.31% 28.78% 29.92%+0.21 +30.5 16
2020-10-03 @ Shkupi L 0-335.3 1293 1299 29.92% 28.78% 41.31%-0.21 -30.4 12
2020-10-03 Renova D 1-152.9 1112 1238 23.98% 28.18% 47.84%-0.46 +1.7 1
2020-10-03 @ Belasica D 1-152.9 1238 1112 47.84% 28.18% 23.98%+0.46 -1.7 6
2020-10-03 Sileks D 1-155.1 1391 1344 46.64% 28.33% 25.04%+0.41 -1.5 18
2020-10-03 @ Shkendija D 1-155.1 1344 1391 25.04% 28.33% 46.64%-0.41 +1.5 11
2020-10-03 Struga W 2-037.9 1294 1304 39.10% 28.87% 32.03%+0.13 +22.0 16
2020-10-03 @ Makedonija GP L 0-237.9 1304 1294 32.03% 28.87% 39.10%-0.13 -22.0 11
2020-10-04 Vardar D 1-153.2 1274 1276 40.23% 28.83% 30.94%+0.17 -0.6 10
2020-10-04 @ Pelister D 1-153.2 1276 1274 30.94% 28.83% 40.23%-0.17 +0.6 11
2020-10-17 Shkendija L 1-538.0 1277 1389 25.52% 28.39% 46.09%-0.39 -29.3 11
2020-10-17 @ Vardar W 5-138.0 1389 1277 46.09% 28.39% 25.52%+0.39 +29.3 21
2020-10-18 Belasica W 3-029.0 1282 1113 60.10% 25.45% 14.45%+1.03 +16.3 14
2020-10-18 @ Struga L 0-329.0 1113 1282 14.45% 25.45% 60.10%-1.03 -16.3 1
2020-10-18 Makedonija GP W 2-149.2 1262 1316 32.94% 28.90% 38.16%-0.09 +12.5 15
2020-10-18 @ Borec L 1-249.2 1316 1262 38.16% 28.90% 32.94%+0.09 -12.5 16
2020-10-18 Pelister D 0-048.0 1237 1274 35.31% 28.93% 35.77%-0.01 +0.0 7
2020-10-18 @ Renova D 0-048.0 1274 1237 35.77% 28.93% 35.31%+0.01 -0.0 11
2020-10-18 Rabotnicki W 4-352.4 1346 1291 47.65% 28.20% 24.14%+0.45 +8.2 14
2020-10-18 @ Sileks L 3-452.4 1291 1346 24.14% 28.20% 47.65%-0.45 -8.2 11
2020-10-18 Shkupi L 0-140.1 1236 1329 27.83% 28.63% 43.54%-0.29 -10.5 7
2020-10-18 @ AP Brera Strumica W 1-040.1 1329 1236 43.54% 28.63% 27.83%+0.29 +10.5 19
2020-10-24 Sileks W 1-042.7 1340 1354 38.51% 28.89% 32.60%+0.11 +11.8 22
2020-10-24 @ Shkupi L 0-142.7 1354 1340 32.60% 28.89% 38.51%-0.11 -11.8 14
2020-10-25 AP Brera Strumica W 3-139.9 1303 1226 50.45% 27.79% 21.76%+0.57 +14.1 19
2020-10-25 @ Makedonija GP L 1-339.9 1226 1303 21.76% 27.79% 50.45%-0.57 -14.1 7
2020-10-25 Borec D 2-259.0 1097 1275 19.04% 27.15% 53.80%-0.72 +1.9 2
2020-10-25 @ Belasica D 2-259.0 1275 1097 53.80% 27.15% 19.04%+0.72 -1.9 16
2020-10-25 Rabotnicki D 1-155.2 1419 1283 56.85% 26.42% 16.74%+0.86 -3.0 22
2020-10-25 @ Shkendija D 1-155.2 1283 1419 16.74% 26.42% 56.85%-0.86 +3.0 12
2020-10-25 Renova D 3-362.3 1247 1237 41.94% 28.74% 29.32%+0.23 -0.5 12
2020-10-25 @ Vardar D 3-362.3 1237 1247 29.32% 28.74% 41.94%-0.23 +0.5 8
2020-10-25 Struga D 1-153.3 1274 1298 37.03% 28.92% 34.05%+0.05 -0.2 12
2020-10-25 @ Pelister D 1-153.3 1298 1274 34.05% 28.92% 37.03%-0.05 +0.2 15
2020-11-07 Belasica L 1-252.8 1212 1099 54.37% 27.03% 18.60%+0.75 -16.7 7
2020-11-07 @ AP Brera Strumica W 2-152.8 1099 1212 18.60% 27.03% 54.37%-0.75 +16.7 5
2020-11-07 Pelister W 3-035.3 1273 1273 40.44% 28.82% 30.74%+0.18 +31.1 19
2020-11-07 @ Borec L 0-335.3 1273 1273 30.74% 28.82% 40.44%-0.18 -31.1 12
2020-11-07 Shkendija L 1-339.7 1237 1416 18.98% 27.14% 53.88%-0.72 -12.5 8
2020-11-07 @ Renova W 3-139.7 1416 1237 53.88% 27.14% 18.98%+0.72 +12.5 25
2020-11-07 Shkupi D 2-259.6 1286 1352 31.31% 28.85% 39.84%-0.15 +0.4 13
2020-11-07 @ Rabotnicki D 2-259.6 1352 1286 39.84% 28.85% 31.31%+0.15 -0.4 23
2020-11-07 Vardar D 2-259.2 1298 1247 47.27% 28.25% 24.48%+0.44 -1.2 16
2020-11-07 @ Struga D 2-259.2 1247 1298 24.48% 28.25% 47.27%-0.44 +1.2 13
2020-11-08 Makedonija GP L 0-340.0 1342 1318 43.80% 28.61% 27.59%+0.30 -40.4 14
2020-11-08 @ Sileks W 3-040.0 1318 1342 27.59% 28.61% 43.80%-0.30 +40.4 22
2020-11-21 Vardar L 0-242.2 1304 1248 47.81% 28.18% 24.00%+0.46 -29.9 19
2020-11-21 @ Borec W 2-042.2 1248 1304 24.00% 28.18% 47.81%-0.46 +29.9 16
2020-11-22 Belasica L 0-148.7 1302 1116 61.76% 24.88% 13.36%+1.12 -19.7 14
2020-11-22 @ Sileks W 1-048.7 1116 1302 13.36% 24.88% 61.76%-1.12 +19.7 8
2020-11-22 Makedonija GP L 1-343.6 1286 1358 30.52% 28.81% 40.67%-0.18 -18.4 13
2020-11-22 @ Rabotnicki W 3-143.6 1358 1286 40.67% 28.81% 30.52%+0.18 +18.4 25
2020-11-22 Pelister W 3-253.3 1195 1242 33.81% 28.92% 37.28%-0.06 +11.7 10
2020-11-22 @ AP Brera Strumica L 2-353.3 1242 1195 37.28% 28.92% 33.81%+0.06 -11.7 12
2020-11-22 Renova W 1-038.0 1297 1225 49.82% 27.90% 22.29%+0.54 +8.8 19
2020-11-22 @ Struga L 0-138.0 1225 1297 22.29% 27.90% 49.82%-0.54 -8.8 8
2020-11-22 Shkupi D 1-156.1 1428 1351 50.37% 27.81% 21.83%+0.57 -2.0 26
2020-11-22 @ Shkendija D 1-156.1 1351 1428 21.83% 27.81% 50.37%-0.57 +2.0 24
2020-11-28 AP Brera Strumica W 2-034.2 1278 1207 49.68% 27.92% 22.40%+0.54 +16.7 19
2020-11-28 @ Vardar L 0-234.2 1207 1278 22.40% 27.92% 49.68%-0.54 -16.7 10
2020-11-29 Borec W 1-043.1 1216 1274 32.32% 28.88% 38.80%-0.12 +13.4 11
2020-11-29 @ Renova L 0-143.1 1274 1216 38.80% 28.88% 32.32%+0.12 -13.4 19
2020-11-29 Rabotnicki D 2-258.8 1135 1268 23.36% 28.08% 48.56%-0.49 +1.3 9
2020-11-29 @ Belasica D 2-258.8 1268 1135 48.56% 28.08% 23.36%+0.49 -1.3 14
2020-11-29 Shkendija D 1-155.1 1306 1426 24.69% 28.28% 47.03%-0.43 +1.6 20
2020-11-29 @ Struga D 1-155.1 1426 1306 47.03% 28.28% 24.69%+0.43 -1.6 27
2020-11-29 Shkupi D 0-049.9 1376 1353 43.63% 28.62% 27.75%+0.30 -1.2 26
2020-11-29 @ Makedonija GP D 0-049.9 1353 1376 27.75% 28.62% 43.63%-0.30 +1.2 25
2020-11-29 Sileks L 1-247.4 1231 1282 33.24% 28.91% 37.85%-0.08 -11.3 12
2020-11-29 @ Pelister W 2-147.4 1282 1231 37.85% 28.91% 33.24%+0.08 +11.3 17
2020-12-02 Belasica W 3-135.5 1354 1137 64.59% 23.80% 11.61%+1.28 +7.8 28
2020-12-02 @ Shkupi L 1-335.5 1137 1354 11.61% 23.80% 64.59%-1.28 -7.8 9
2020-12-02 Makedonija GP W 5-037.1 1425 1375 47.00% 28.28% 24.71%+0.43 +42.3 30
2020-12-02 @ Shkendija L 0-537.1 1375 1425 24.71% 28.28% 47.00%-0.43 -42.3 26
2020-12-02 Pelister W 1-038.8 1267 1219 46.72% 28.32% 24.96%+0.42 +9.7 17
2020-12-02 @ Rabotnicki L 0-138.8 1219 1267 24.96% 28.32% 46.72%-0.42 -9.7 12
2020-12-02 Renova L 0-141.8 1190 1229 34.91% 28.93% 36.16%-0.02 -12.4 10
2020-12-02 @ AP Brera Strumica W 1-041.8 1229 1190 36.16% 28.93% 34.91%+0.02 +12.4 14
2020-12-02 Struga W 2-148.9 1261 1308 33.87% 28.92% 37.21%-0.06 +12.3 22
2020-12-02 @ Borec L 1-248.9 1308 1261 37.21% 28.92% 33.87%+0.06 -12.3 20
2020-12-02 Vardar W 1-041.2 1293 1295 40.33% 28.82% 30.84%+0.17 +11.4 20
2020-12-02 @ Sileks L 0-141.2 1295 1293 30.84% 28.82% 40.33%-0.17 -11.4 19
2020-12-05 Shkendija L 0-234.5 1273 1467 17.69% 26.75% 55.56%-0.80 -13.6 22
2020-12-05 @ Borec W 2-034.5 1467 1273 55.56% 26.75% 17.69%+0.80 +13.6 33
2020-12-06 AP Brera Strumica D 1-153.5 1295 1177 54.97% 26.89% 18.14%+0.77 -2.7 21
2020-12-06 @ Struga D 1-153.5 1177 1295 18.14% 26.89% 54.97%-0.77 +2.7 11
2020-12-06 Makedonija GP L 1-337.9 1129 1333 16.91% 26.48% 56.61%-0.85 -11.3 9
2020-12-06 @ Belasica W 3-137.9 1333 1129 56.61% 26.48% 16.91%+0.85 +11.3 29
2020-12-06 Rabotnicki D 0-048.3 1283 1276 41.46% 28.77% 29.78%+0.21 -0.9 20
2020-12-06 @ Vardar D 0-048.3 1276 1283 29.78% 28.77% 41.46%-0.21 +0.9 18
2020-12-06 Shkupi L 1-340.0 1210 1362 21.34% 27.71% 50.95%-0.59 -13.9 12
2020-12-06 @ Pelister W 3-140.0 1362 1210 50.95% 27.71% 21.34%+0.59 +13.9 31
2020-12-06 Sileks D 0-048.2 1242 1305 31.68% 28.86% 39.46%-0.14 +0.6 15
2020-12-06 @ Renova D 0-048.2 1305 1242 39.46% 28.86% 31.68%+0.14 -0.6 21
2020-12-09 Belasica W 2-026.9 1481 1118 75.65% 18.20% 6.14%+2.01 +4.4 36
2020-12-09 @ Shkendija L 0-226.9 1118 1481 6.14% 18.20% 75.65%-2.01 -4.4 9
2020-12-09 Borec W 2-149.7 1180 1259 29.54% 28.75% 41.71%-0.22 +13.4 14
2020-12-09 @ AP Brera Strumica L 1-249.7 1259 1180 41.71% 28.75% 29.54%+0.22 -13.4 22
2020-12-09 Pelister W 2-141.4 1344 1196 58.13% 26.06% 15.81%+0.93 +6.1 32
2020-12-09 @ Makedonija GP L 1-241.4 1196 1344 15.81% 26.06% 58.13%-0.93 -6.1 12
2020-12-09 Renova W 3-141.5 1277 1242 45.12% 28.49% 26.40%+0.35 +16.5 21
2020-12-09 @ Rabotnicki L 1-341.5 1242 1277 26.40% 28.49% 45.12%-0.35 -16.5 15
2020-12-09 Struga D 0-048.5 1304 1293 42.06% 28.73% 29.21%+0.24 -1.0 22
2020-12-09 @ Sileks D 0-048.5 1293 1304 29.21% 28.73% 42.06%-0.24 +1.0 22
2020-12-09 Vardar D 1-154.4 1376 1282 52.28% 27.46% 20.25%+0.65 -2.3 32
2020-12-09 @ Shkupi D 1-154.4 1282 1376 20.25% 27.46% 52.28%-0.65 +2.3 21
2020-12-12 Shkupi D 0-048.8 1226 1374 21.80% 27.80% 50.39%-0.57 +2.3 16
2020-12-12 @ Renova D 0-048.8 1374 1226 50.39% 27.80% 21.80%+0.57 -2.3 33
2020-12-13 Belasica W 1-037.4 1190 1113 50.27% 27.82% 21.90%+0.56 +8.7 15
2020-12-13 @ Pelister L 0-137.4 1113 1190 21.90% 27.82% 50.27%-0.56 -8.7 9
2020-12-13 Makedonija GP D 2-259.6 1285 1350 31.31% 28.85% 39.84%-0.15 +0.4 22
2020-12-13 @ Vardar D 2-259.6 1350 1285 39.84% 28.85% 31.31%+0.15 -0.4 33
2020-12-13 Rabotnicki W 2-147.0 1294 1294 40.51% 28.82% 30.68%+0.18 +10.7 25
2020-12-13 @ Struga L 1-247.0 1294 1294 30.68% 28.82% 40.51%-0.18 -10.7 21
2020-12-13 Shkendija L 0-134.6 1193 1485 11.44% 23.68% 64.88%-1.30 -4.7 14
2020-12-13 @ AP Brera Strumica W 1-034.6 1485 1193 64.88% 23.68% 11.44%+1.30 +4.7 39
2020-12-13 Sileks W 2-039.6 1246 1303 32.46% 28.89% 38.66%-0.11 +25.3 25
2020-12-13 @ Borec L 0-239.6 1303 1246 38.66% 28.89% 32.46%+0.11 -25.3 22
2020-12-16 AP Brera Strumica L 1-252.4 1278 1189 51.77% 27.56% 20.67%+0.63 -16.0 22
2020-12-16 @ Sileks W 2-152.4 1189 1278 20.67% 27.56% 51.77%-0.63 +16.0 17
2020-12-16 Borec W 2-146.3 1283 1271 42.07% 28.73% 29.20%+0.24 +10.3 24
2020-12-16 @ Rabotnicki L 1-246.3 1271 1283 29.20% 28.73% 42.07%-0.24 -10.3 25
2020-12-16 Pelister L 0-151.6 1490 1198 70.56% 21.03% 8.41%+1.65 -21.9 39
2020-12-16 @ Shkendija W 1-051.6 1198 1490 8.41% 21.03% 70.56%-1.65 +21.9 18
2020-12-16 Renova L 2-358.6 1350 1228 55.37% 26.79% 17.84%+0.79 -16.1 33
2020-12-16 @ Makedonija GP W 3-258.6 1228 1350 17.84% 26.79% 55.37%-0.79 +16.0 19
2020-12-16 Struga L 1-253.0 1371 1304 49.17% 27.99% 22.83%+0.52 -15.3 33
2020-12-16 @ Shkupi W 2-153.0 1304 1371 22.83% 27.99% 49.17%-0.52 +15.3 28
2020-12-16 Vardar L 0-330.8 1105 1285 18.80% 27.09% 54.11%-0.73 -20.9 9
2020-12-16 @ Belasica W 3-030.8 1285 1105 54.11% 27.09% 18.80%+0.73 +20.9 25
2021-02-13 Rabotnicki L 0-140.0 1205 1293 28.39% 28.67% 42.93%-0.27 -10.7 17
2021-02-13 @ AP Brera Strumica W 1-040.0 1293 1205 42.93% 28.67% 28.39%+0.27 +10.7 27
2021-02-21 Belasica L 2-453.7 1244 1084 59.33% 25.70% 14.97%+0.99 -27.8 19
2021-02-21 @ Renova W 4-253.7 1084 1244 14.97% 25.70% 59.33%-0.99 +27.8 12
2021-02-21 Makedonija GP D 1-153.9 1320 1334 38.51% 28.89% 32.60%+0.11 -0.4 29
2021-02-21 @ Struga D 1-153.9 1334 1320 32.60% 28.89% 38.51%-0.11 +0.4 34
2021-02-21 Pelister D 2-259.3 1306 1220 51.37% 27.63% 20.99%+0.61 -1.6 26
2021-02-21 @ Vardar D 2-259.3 1220 1306 20.99% 27.63% 51.37%-0.61 +1.6 19
2021-02-21 Shkendija L 1-243.6 1262 1468 16.77% 26.43% 56.80%-0.86 -6.5 22
2021-02-21 @ Sileks W 2-143.6 1468 1262 56.80% 26.43% 16.77%+0.86 +6.5 42
2021-02-21 Shkupi L 0-140.3 1261 1356 27.57% 28.60% 43.82%-0.30 -10.5 25
2021-02-21 @ Borec W 1-040.3 1356 1261 43.82% 28.60% 27.57%+0.30 +10.4 36
2021-02-27 Sileks D 1-153.4 1304 1256 46.86% 28.30% 24.84%+0.42 -1.5 28
2021-02-27 @ Rabotnicki D 1-153.4 1256 1304 24.84% 28.30% 46.86%-0.42 +1.5 23
2021-02-28 AP Brera Strumica D 0-049.3 1367 1194 60.49% 25.32% 14.19%+1.05 -3.9 37
2021-02-28 @ Shkupi D 0-049.3 1194 1367 14.19% 25.32% 60.49%-1.05 +3.9 18
2021-02-28 Borec D 0-048.7 1334 1251 51.13% 27.68% 21.19%+0.60 -2.4 35
2021-02-28 @ Makedonija GP D 0-048.7 1251 1334 21.19% 27.68% 51.13%-0.60 +2.4 26
2021-02-28 Renova W 3-142.4 1222 1216 41.23% 28.78% 29.99%+0.21 +18.2 22
2021-02-28 @ Pelister L 1-342.4 1216 1222 29.99% 28.78% 41.23%-0.21 -18.2 19
2021-02-28 Struga L 1-241.4 1111 1319 16.63% 26.38% 57.00%-0.87 -6.4 12
2021-02-28 @ Belasica W 2-141.4 1319 1111 57.00% 26.38% 16.63%+0.87 +6.4 32
2021-02-28 Vardar W 2-143.4 1474 1304 60.24% 25.41% 14.36%+1.04 +5.6 45
2021-02-28 @ Shkendija L 1-243.4 1304 1474 14.36% 25.41% 60.24%-1.04 -5.6 26
2021-03-03 Belasica W 2-141.0 1253 1105 58.07% 26.07% 15.85%+0.93 +6.1 29
2021-03-03 @ Borec L 1-241.0 1105 1253 15.85% 26.07% 58.07%-0.93 -6.1 12
2021-03-03 Makedonija GP W 2-151.9 1198 1332 23.21% 28.06% 48.73%-0.50 +15.2 21
2021-03-03 @ AP Brera Strumica L 1-251.9 1332 1198 48.73% 28.06% 23.21%+0.50 -15.2 35
2021-03-03 Pelister L 0-146.9 1326 1240 51.36% 27.64% 21.00%+0.61 -16.8 32
2021-03-03 @ Struga W 1-046.9 1240 1326 21.00% 27.64% 51.36%-0.61 +16.8 25
2021-03-03 Shkendija D 0-051.3 1302 1480 19.06% 27.16% 53.78%-0.72 +2.8 29
2021-03-03 @ Rabotnicki D 0-051.3 1480 1302 53.78% 27.16% 19.06%+0.72 -2.8 46
2021-03-03 Shkupi L 0-139.9 1257 1363 26.33% 28.48% 45.19%-0.36 -10.1 23
2021-03-03 @ Sileks W 1-039.9 1363 1257 45.19% 28.48% 26.33%+0.36 +10.1 40
2021-03-03 Vardar W 3-039.2 1198 1299 26.94% 28.54% 44.52%-0.33 +40.9 22
2021-03-03 @ Renova L 0-339.2 1299 1198 44.52% 28.54% 26.94%+0.33 -40.9 26
2021-03-06 Sileks W 1-038.3 1317 1247 49.48% 27.95% 22.57%+0.53 +8.9 38
2021-03-06 @ Makedonija GP L 0-138.3 1247 1317 22.57% 27.95% 49.48%-0.53 -8.9 23
2021-03-07 AP Brera Strumica D 0-047.8 1099 1213 25.35% 28.37% 46.28%-0.40 +1.6 13
2021-03-07 @ Belasica D 0-047.8 1213 1099 46.28% 28.37% 25.35%+0.40 -1.6 22
2021-03-07 Borec W 1-040.9 1257 1259 40.18% 28.83% 30.99%+0.17 +11.4 28
2021-03-07 @ Pelister L 0-140.9 1259 1257 30.99% 28.83% 40.18%-0.17 -11.4 29
2021-03-07 Rabotnicki L 0-243.5 1373 1305 49.23% 27.99% 22.78%+0.52 -30.6 40
2021-03-07 @ Shkupi W 2-043.5 1305 1373 22.78% 27.99% 49.23%-0.52 +30.6 32
2021-03-07 Renova D 0-051.4 1477 1239 66.31% 23.07% 10.63%+1.38 -4.8 47
2021-03-07 @ Shkendija D 0-051.4 1239 1477 10.63% 23.07% 66.31%-1.38 +4.8 23
2021-03-07 Struga D 1-153.3 1258 1309 33.30% 28.91% 37.79%-0.08 +0.3 27
2021-03-07 @ Vardar D 1-153.3 1309 1258 37.79% 28.91% 33.30%+0.08 -0.3 33
2021-03-13 AP Brera Strumica L 0-244.0 1336 1211 55.64% 26.73% 17.64%+0.81 -34.0 32
2021-03-13 @ Rabotnicki W 2-044.0 1211 1336 17.64% 26.73% 55.64%-0.81 +34.0 25
2021-03-14 Belasica W 1-035.2 1248 1101 58.00% 26.10% 15.91%+0.92 +6.5 32
2021-03-14 @ Borec L 0-135.2 1101 1248 15.91% 26.10% 58.00%-0.92 -6.5 13
2021-03-14 Pelister W 1-035.9 1472 1268 63.39% 24.28% 12.34%+1.21 +5.1 50
2021-03-14 @ Shkendija L 0-135.9 1268 1472 12.34% 24.28% 63.39%-1.21 -5.1 28
2021-03-14 Renova D 0-048.5 1309 1244 48.86% 28.04% 23.10%+0.50 -2.0 34
2021-03-14 @ Struga D 0-048.5 1244 1309 23.10% 28.04% 48.86%-0.50 +2.0 24
2021-03-14 Sileks L 0-341.3 1326 1238 51.58% 27.60% 20.83%+0.62 -46.2 38
2021-03-14 @ Makedonija GP W 3-041.3 1238 1326 20.83% 27.60% 51.58%-0.62 +46.2 26
2021-03-14 Vardar W 2-034.3 1342 1258 51.18% 27.67% 21.15%+0.60 +15.9 43
2021-03-14 @ Shkupi L 0-234.3 1258 1342 21.15% 27.67% 51.18%-0.60 -15.9 27
2021-03-20 Makedonija GP L 1-248.2 1246 1279 35.80% 28.93% 35.27%+0.01 -12.0 24
2021-03-20 @ Renova W 2-148.2 1279 1246 35.27% 28.93% 35.80%-0.01 +12.0 41
2021-03-20 Rabotnicki D 1-153.5 1094 1302 16.62% 26.37% 57.00%-0.87 +3.0 14
2021-03-20 @ Belasica D 1-153.5 1302 1094 57.00% 26.37% 16.62%+0.87 -3.0 33
2021-03-20 Shkendija L 1-634.1 1242 1477 14.70% 25.57% 59.73%-1.01 -22.1 27
2021-03-20 @ Vardar W 6-134.1 1477 1242 59.73% 25.57% 14.70%+1.01 +22.1 53
2021-03-20 Shkupi L 1-343.5 1284 1358 30.25% 28.79% 40.96%-0.20 -18.3 26
2021-03-20 @ Sileks W 3-143.5 1358 1284 40.96% 28.79% 30.25%+0.20 +18.3 46
2021-03-20 Struga W 1-043.5 1245 1306 31.94% 28.87% 39.20%-0.13 +13.5 28
2021-03-20 @ AP Brera Strumica L 0-143.5 1306 1245 39.20% 28.87% 31.94%+0.13 -13.5 34
2021-03-21 Pelister D 0-048.1 1254 1263 39.26% 28.87% 31.87%+0.13 -0.5 33
2021-03-21 @ Borec D 0-048.1 1263 1254 31.87% 28.87% 39.26%-0.13 +0.6 29
2021-04-03 AP Brera Strumica L 1-250.9 1291 1259 44.81% 28.52% 26.67%+0.34 -14.2 41
2021-04-03 @ Makedonija GP W 2-150.9 1259 1291 26.67% 28.52% 44.81%-0.34 +14.2 31
2021-04-04 Belasica W 3-135.9 1293 1097 62.66% 24.55% 12.79%+1.17 +8.6 37
2021-04-04 @ Struga L 1-335.9 1097 1293 12.79% 24.55% 62.66%-1.17 -8.6 14
2021-04-04 Borec W 2-145.0 1299 1254 46.45% 28.35% 25.20%+0.41 +9.2 36
2021-04-04 @ Rabotnicki L 1-245.0 1254 1299 25.20% 28.35% 46.45%-0.41 -9.2 33
2021-04-04 Renova L 1-254.4 1376 1234 57.52% 26.23% 16.25%+0.90 -17.5 46
2021-04-04 @ Shkupi W 2-154.4 1234 1376 16.25% 26.23% 57.52%-0.90 +17.5 27
2021-04-04 Sileks W 2-141.4 1499 1266 65.94% 23.23% 10.83%+1.36 +4.2 56
2021-04-04 @ Shkendija L 1-241.4 1266 1499 10.83% 23.23% 65.94%-1.36 -4.2 26
2021-04-04 Vardar W 2-035.2 1264 1220 46.26% 28.37% 25.37%+0.40 +18.5 32
2021-04-04 @ Pelister L 0-235.2 1220 1264 25.37% 28.37% 46.26%-0.40 -18.5 27
2021-04-10 Pelister W 3-142.2 1308 1282 43.97% 28.59% 27.44%+0.31 +17.0 39
2021-04-10 @ Rabotnicki L 1-342.2 1282 1308 27.44% 28.59% 43.97%-0.31 -17.0 32
2021-04-11 Makedonija GP L 0-232.4 1088 1277 18.12% 26.88% 55.00%-0.78 -13.9 14
2021-04-11 @ Belasica W 2-032.4 1277 1088 55.00% 26.88% 18.12%+0.78 +13.9 44
2021-04-11 Shkendija L 0-331.1 1252 1504 13.62% 25.03% 61.35%-1.10 -15.4 27
2021-04-11 @ Renova W 3-031.1 1504 1252 61.35% 25.03% 13.62%+1.10 +15.4 59
2021-04-11 Shkupi L 0-140.8 1273 1359 28.72% 28.70% 42.58%-0.26 -10.8 31
2021-04-11 @ AP Brera Strumica W 1-040.8 1359 1273 42.58% 28.70% 28.72%+0.26 +10.8 49
2021-04-11 Struga L 0-141.5 1244 1302 32.47% 28.89% 38.64%-0.11 -11.8 33
2021-04-11 @ Borec W 1-041.5 1302 1244 38.64% 28.89% 32.47%+0.11 +11.8 40
2021-04-11 Vardar W 6-034.2 1262 1202 48.33% 28.11% 23.56%+0.48 +48.3 29
2021-04-11 @ Sileks L 0-634.2 1202 1262 23.56% 28.11% 48.33%-0.48 -48.3 27
2021-04-14 AP Brera Strumica W 1-035.3 1519 1262 67.85% 22.36% 9.79%+1.47 +4.0 62
2021-04-14 @ Shkendija L 0-135.3 1262 1519 9.79% 22.36% 67.85%-1.47 -4.0 31
2021-04-14 Belasica L 0-150.2 1370 1074 70.85% 20.88% 8.27%+1.67 -21.9 49
2021-04-14 @ Shkupi W 1-050.2 1074 1370 8.27% 20.88% 70.85%-1.67 +21.9 17
2021-04-14 Borec W 2-144.4 1291 1233 48.11% 28.15% 23.75%+0.47 +8.8 47
2021-04-14 @ Makedonija GP L 1-244.4 1233 1291 23.75% 28.15% 48.11%-0.47 -8.8 33
2021-04-14 Rabotnicki D 1-153.8 1313 1325 38.89% 28.88% 32.24%+0.12 -0.4 41
2021-04-14 @ Struga D 1-153.8 1325 1313 32.24% 28.88% 38.89%-0.12 +0.4 40
2021-04-14 Renova D 1-152.8 1153 1236 29.09% 28.72% 42.18%-0.24 +0.9 28
2021-04-14 @ Vardar D 1-152.8 1236 1153 42.18% 28.72% 29.09%+0.24 -0.9 28
2021-04-14 Sileks W 3-253.7 1265 1310 34.14% 28.92% 36.94%-0.05 +11.6 35
2021-04-14 @ Pelister L 2-353.7 1310 1265 36.94% 28.92% 34.14%+0.05 -11.6 29
2021-04-17 Sileks W 2-149.4 1235 1299 31.63% 28.86% 39.51%-0.14 +12.8 31
2021-04-17 @ Renova L 1-249.4 1299 1235 39.51% 28.86% 31.63%+0.14 -12.8 29
2021-04-18 Makedonija GP D 2-259.6 1325 1300 43.94% 28.59% 27.47%+0.31 -0.8 41
2021-04-18 @ Rabotnicki D 2-259.6 1300 1325 27.47% 28.59% 43.94%-0.31 +0.8 48
2021-04-18 Pelister W 3-034.1 1313 1277 45.32% 28.47% 26.22%+0.36 +27.5 44
2021-04-18 @ Struga L 0-334.1 1277 1313 26.22% 28.47% 45.32%-0.36 -27.5 35
2021-04-18 Shkendija L 0-325.3 1096 1523 6.33% 18.47% 75.19%-1.98 -6.6 17
2021-04-18 @ Belasica W 3-025.3 1523 1096 75.19% 18.47% 6.33%+1.98 +6.6 65
2021-04-18 Shkupi L 0-138.9 1224 1348 24.28% 28.22% 47.50%-0.45 -9.5 33
2021-04-18 @ Borec W 1-038.9 1348 1224 47.50% 28.22% 24.28%+0.45 +9.5 52
2021-04-18 Vardar W 3-031.0 1258 1154 53.47% 27.23% 19.31%+0.70 +21.4 34
2021-04-18 @ AP Brera Strumica L 0-331.0 1154 1258 19.31% 27.23% 53.47%-0.70 -21.4 28
2021-04-24 AP Brera Strumica W 3-251.5 1286 1280 41.30% 28.78% 29.92%+0.21 +9.9 32
2021-04-24 @ Sileks L 2-351.5 1280 1286 29.92% 28.78% 41.30%-0.21 -10.0 34
2021-04-25 Belasica W 1-038.6 1133 1090 46.18% 28.38% 25.44%+0.39 +9.8 31
2021-04-25 @ Vardar L 0-138.6 1090 1133 25.44% 28.38% 46.18%-0.39 -9.8 17
2021-04-25 Borec W 3-135.3 1530 1214 72.32% 20.10% 7.58%+1.77 +4.8 68
2021-04-25 @ Shkendija L 1-335.3 1214 1530 7.58% 20.10% 72.32%-1.77 -4.8 33
2021-04-25 Rabotnicki W 2-036.9 1357 1325 44.86% 28.51% 26.63%+0.34 +19.2 55
2021-04-25 @ Shkupi L 0-236.9 1325 1357 26.63% 28.51% 44.86%-0.34 -19.2 41
2021-04-25 Renova W 1-040.7 1249 1248 40.65% 28.81% 30.54%+0.18 +11.3 38
2021-04-25 @ Pelister L 0-140.7 1248 1249 30.54% 28.81% 40.65%-0.18 -11.3 31
2021-04-25 Struga L 2-353.5 1301 1340 34.88% 28.93% 36.19%-0.02 -11.1 48
2021-04-25 @ Makedonija GP W 3-253.5 1340 1301 36.19% 28.93% 34.88%+0.02 +11.1 47
2021-04-28 Pelister W 3-034.1 1290 1260 44.39% 28.56% 27.06%+0.32 +28.2 51
2021-04-28 @ Makedonija GP L 0-334.1 1260 1290 27.06% 28.56% 44.39%-0.32 -28.2 38
2021-04-28 Renova D 1-153.1 1270 1237 44.91% 28.51% 26.58%+0.35 -1.3 35
2021-04-28 @ AP Brera Strumica D 1-153.1 1237 1270 26.58% 28.51% 44.91%-0.35 +1.3 32
2021-04-28 Shkendija L 3-546.3 1305 1534 15.11% 25.76% 59.13%-0.98 -8.6 41
2021-04-28 @ Rabotnicki W 5-346.3 1534 1305 59.13% 25.76% 15.11%+0.98 +8.6 71
2021-04-28 Shkupi D 0-049.8 1352 1376 37.02% 28.92% 34.06%+0.05 -0.2 48
2021-04-28 @ Struga D 0-049.8 1376 1352 34.06% 28.92% 37.02%-0.05 +0.2 56
2021-04-28 Sileks L 1-337.3 1080 1296 16.05% 26.15% 57.80%-0.91 -10.8 17
2021-04-28 @ Belasica W 3-137.3 1296 1080 57.80% 26.15% 16.05%+0.91 +10.8 35
2021-04-28 Vardar W 2-034.1 1210 1143 49.16% 28.00% 22.85%+0.52 +17.0 36
2021-04-28 @ Borec L 0-234.1 1143 1210 22.85% 28.00% 49.16%-0.52 -17.0 31
2021-05-01 AP Brera Strumica W 3-144.3 1232 1269 35.38% 28.93% 35.69%-0.01 +20.7 41
2021-05-01 @ Pelister L 1-344.3 1269 1232 35.69% 28.93% 35.38%+0.01 -20.6 35
2021-05-01 Belasica W 3-136.6 1238 1069 60.12% 25.44% 14.43%+1.03 +9.7 35
2021-05-01 @ Renova L 1-336.6 1069 1238 14.43% 25.44% 60.12%-1.03 -9.7 17
2021-05-01 Borec D 1-153.5 1306 1227 50.68% 27.76% 21.57%+0.58 -2.1 36
2021-05-01 @ Sileks D 1-153.5 1227 1306 21.57% 27.76% 50.68%-0.58 +2.1 37
2021-05-01 Makedonija GP D 0-049.6 1377 1318 48.17% 28.14% 23.69%+0.48 -1.9 57
2021-05-01 @ Shkupi D 0-049.6 1318 1377 23.69% 28.14% 48.17%-0.48 +1.9 52
2021-05-01 Rabotnicki L 1-338.8 1126 1297 19.62% 27.31% 53.07%-0.69 -12.9 31
2021-05-01 @ Vardar W 3-138.8 1297 1126 53.07% 27.31% 19.62%+0.69 +12.9 44
2021-05-01 Struga L 0-251.0 1543 1351 62.26% 24.70% 13.04%+1.15 -37.4 71
2021-05-01 @ Shkendija W 2-051.0 1351 1543 13.04% 24.70% 62.26%-1.15 +37.4 51
2021-05-09 AP Brera Strumica L 0-232.3 1060 1248 18.15% 26.89% 54.96%-0.77 -13.9 17
2021-05-09 @ Belasica W 2-032.3 1248 1060 54.96% 26.89% 18.15%+0.77 +13.9 38
2021-05-09 Pelister D 0-049.3 1375 1253 55.37% 26.79% 17.83%+0.79 -3.1 58
2021-05-09 @ Shkupi D 0-049.3 1253 1375 17.83% 26.79% 55.37%-0.79 +3.1 42
2021-05-09 Renova W 2-037.7 1229 1248 37.83% 28.91% 33.26%+0.08 +22.7 40
2021-05-09 @ Borec L 0-237.7 1248 1229 33.26% 28.91% 37.83%-0.08 -22.7 35
2021-05-09 Shkendija L 3-453.3 1320 1506 18.35% 26.95% 54.70%-0.76 -6.5 52
2021-05-09 @ Makedonija GP W 4-353.3 1506 1320 54.70% 26.95% 18.35%+0.76 +6.5 74
2021-05-09 Sileks W 3-143.2 1310 1304 41.23% 28.78% 29.99%+0.21 +18.2 47
2021-05-09 @ Rabotnicki L 1-343.2 1304 1310 29.99% 28.78% 41.23%-0.21 -18.2 36
2021-05-09 Vardar W 1-032.1 1389 1113 69.38% 21.62% 8.99%+1.57 +3.6 54
2021-05-09 @ Struga L 0-132.1 1113 1389 8.99% 21.62% 69.38%-1.57 -3.6 31
2021-05-16 Belasica W 2-029.6 1256 1046 63.95% 24.06% 11.99%+1.24 +9.3 45
2021-05-16 @ Pelister L 0-229.6 1046 1256 11.99% 24.06% 63.95%-1.24 -9.3 17
2021-05-16 Borec W 3-142.4 1262 1251 41.93% 28.74% 29.33%+0.23 +17.9 41
2021-05-16 @ AP Brera Strumica L 1-342.4 1251 1262 29.33% 28.74% 41.93%-0.23 -17.9 40
2021-05-16 Makedonija GP L 0-232.0 1109 1313 16.91% 26.48% 56.61%-0.85 -13.0 31
2021-05-16 @ Vardar W 2-032.0 1313 1109 56.61% 26.48% 16.91%+0.85 +13.0 55
2021-05-16 Rabotnicki D 1-153.3 1225 1328 26.66% 28.52% 44.82%-0.34 +1.2 36
2021-05-16 @ Renova D 1-153.3 1328 1225 44.82% 28.52% 26.66%+0.34 -1.2 48
2021-05-16 Shkupi D 1-159.2 1512 1372 57.32% 26.29% 16.39%+0.89 -3.0 75
2021-05-16 @ Shkendija D 1-159.2 1372 1512 16.39% 26.29% 57.32%-0.89 +3.0 59
2021-05-16 Struga L 0-140.5 1286 1392 26.26% 28.47% 45.26%-0.36 -10.1 36
2021-05-16 @ Sileks W 1-040.5 1392 1286 45.26% 28.47% 26.26%+0.36 +10.1 57

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2021-04-14 8.27% Belasica 1074 1 @ Shkupi 1370 0
2 2020-12-16 8.41% Pelister 1198 1 @ Shkendija 1490 0
3 2021-05-01 13.04% Struga 1351 2 @ Shkendija 1543 0
4 2020-11-22 13.36% Belasica 1116 1 @ Sileks 1302 0
5 2021-02-21 14.97% Belasica 1084 4 @ Renova 1244 2
6 2021-04-04 16.25% Renova 1234 2 @ Shkupi 1376 1
7 2021-03-13 17.64% AP Brera Strumica 1211 2 @ Rabotnicki 1336 0
8 2020-12-16 17.84% Renova 1228 3 @ Makedonija GP 1350 2
9 2020-11-07 18.60% Belasica 1099 2 @ AP Brera Strumica 1212 1
10 2020-09-20 19.71% Borec 1277 2 @ Sileks 1377 1
11 2020-09-12 20.41% @ Struga 1247 2 Sileks 1409 0
12 2020-12-16 20.67% AP Brera Strumica 1189 2 @ Sileks 1278 1
13 2021-03-14 20.83% Sileks 1238 3 @ Makedonija GP 1326 0
14 2021-03-03 21.00% Pelister 1240 1 @ Struga 1326 0
15 2020-09-27 22.30% @ AP Brera Strumica 1218 1 Sileks 1361 0
16 2021-03-07 22.78% Rabotnicki 1305 2 @ Shkupi 1373 0
17 2020-12-16 22.83% Struga 1304 2 @ Shkupi 1371 1
18 2021-03-03 23.21% @ AP Brera Strumica 1198 2 Makedonija GP 1332 1
19 2020-08-08 23.88% Borec 1251 1 @ Vardar 1308 0
20 2020-11-21 24.00% Vardar 1248 2 @ Borec 1304 0
21 2021-04-03 26.67% AP Brera Strumica 1259 2 @ Makedonija GP 1291 1
22 2021-03-03 26.94% @ Renova 1198 3 Vardar 1299 0
23 2020-11-08 27.59% Makedonija GP 1318 3 @ Sileks 1342 0
24 2020-12-09 29.54% @ AP Brera Strumica 1180 2 Borec 1259 1
25 2020-09-13 30.20% Rabotnicki 1279 1 @ Renova 1283 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2020-08-09 71.33 Sileks 6 1283 31.63% @ Belasica 0 1276 39.52% 28.86%
2 2021-04-11 48.32 @ Sileks 6 1262 48.33% Vardar 0 1202 23.56% 28.11%
3 2021-03-14 46.23 Sileks 3 1238 20.83% @ Makedonija GP 0 1326 51.58% 27.60%
4 2020-08-23 43.51 Sileks 4 1353 37.27% @ Vardar 0 1305 33.81% 28.92%
5 2020-12-02 42.29 @ Shkendija 5 1425 47.00% Makedonija GP 0 1375 24.71% 28.28%
6 2021-03-03 40.92 @ Renova 3 1198 26.94% Vardar 0 1299 44.52% 28.54%
7 2020-11-08 40.40 Makedonija GP 3 1318 27.59% @ Sileks 0 1342 43.80% 28.61%
8 2021-05-01 37.39 Struga 2 1351 13.04% @ Shkendija 0 1543 62.26% 24.70%
9 2021-03-13 33.97 AP Brera Strumica 2 1211 17.64% @ Rabotnicki 0 1336 55.64% 26.73%
10 2020-09-12 32.10 @ Struga 2 1247 20.41% Sileks 0 1409 52.09% 27.50%
11 2020-11-07 31.07 @ Borec 3 1273 40.44% Pelister 0 1273 30.74% 28.82%
12 2021-03-07 30.60 Rabotnicki 2 1305 22.78% @ Shkupi 0 1373 49.23% 27.99%
13 2020-10-03 30.45 @ Shkupi 3 1299 41.31% Borec 0 1293 29.92% 28.78%
14 2020-11-21 29.87 Vardar 2 1248 24.00% @ Borec 0 1304 47.81% 28.18%
15 2020-10-17 29.34 Shkendija 5 1389 46.09% @ Vardar 1 1277 25.52% 28.39%
16 2021-04-28 28.21 @ Makedonija GP 3 1290 44.39% Pelister 0 1260 27.06% 28.56%
17 2021-02-21 27.81 Belasica 4 1084 14.97% @ Renova 2 1244 59.33% 25.70%
18 2021-04-18 27.52 @ Struga 3 1313 45.32% Pelister 0 1277 26.22% 28.47%
19 2020-12-13 25.27 @ Borec 2 1246 32.46% Sileks 0 1303 38.66% 28.89%
20 2020-09-27 24.33 @ Struga 2 1280 34.37% Shkupi 0 1323 36.71% 28.92%
21 2021-05-09 22.67 @ Borec 2 1229 37.83% Renova 0 1248 33.26% 28.91%
22 2021-03-20 22.13 Shkendija 6 1477 59.73% @ Vardar 1 1242 14.70% 25.57%
23 2020-10-03 22.05 @ Makedonija GP 2 1294 39.10% Struga 0 1304 32.03% 28.87%
24 2020-09-27 21.98 Makedonija GP 3 1272 32.23% @ Renova 1 1260 38.89% 28.88%
25 2021-04-14 21.93 Belasica 1 1074 8.27% @ Shkupi 0 1370 70.85% 20.88%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2020-10-25 62.3 @ Vardar 3 1247 41.94% Renova 3 1237 29.32% 28.74%
2 2020-08-14 59.9 @ Sileks 2 1354 49.31% Pelister 2 1286 22.72% 27.97%
3 2020-11-07 59.6 @ Rabotnicki 2 1286 31.31% Shkupi 2 1352 39.84% 28.85%
4 2020-12-13 59.6 @ Vardar 2 1285 31.31% Makedonija GP 2 1350 39.84% 28.85%
5 2021-04-18 59.6 @ Rabotnicki 2 1325 43.94% Makedonija GP 2 1300 27.47% 28.59%
6 2020-08-09 59.3 @ Shkupi 2 1281 35.02% Shkendija 2 1320 36.05% 28.93%
7 2021-02-21 59.3 @ Vardar 2 1306 51.37% Pelister 2 1220 20.99% 27.63%
8 2020-11-07 59.2 @ Struga 2 1298 47.27% Vardar 2 1247 24.48% 28.25%
9 2021-05-16 59.2 @ Shkendija 1 1512 57.32% Shkupi 1 1372 16.39% 26.29%
10 2020-10-25 59.0 @ Belasica 2 1097 19.04% Borec 2 1275 53.80% 27.15%
11 2020-11-29 58.8 @ Belasica 2 1135 23.36% Rabotnicki 2 1268 48.56% 28.08%
12 2020-12-16 58.6 Renova 3 1228 17.84% @ Makedonija GP 2 1350 55.37% 26.79%
13 2020-11-22 56.1 @ Shkendija 1 1428 50.37% Shkupi 1 1351 21.83% 27.81%
14 2020-10-25 55.2 @ Shkendija 1 1419 56.85% Rabotnicki 1 1283 16.74% 26.42%
15 2020-10-03 55.1 @ Shkendija 1 1391 46.64% Sileks 1 1344 25.04% 28.33%
16 2020-11-29 55.1 @ Struga 1 1306 24.69% Shkendija 1 1426 47.03% 28.28%
17 2020-12-09 54.4 @ Shkupi 1 1376 52.28% Vardar 1 1282 20.25% 27.46%
18 2021-04-04 54.4 Renova 2 1234 16.25% @ Shkupi 1 1376 57.52% 26.23%
19 2020-08-31 53.9 @ Shkendija 1 1349 52.34% Borec 1 1254 20.21% 27.45%
20 2021-02-21 53.9 @ Struga 1 1320 38.51% Makedonija GP 1 1334 32.60% 28.89%
21 2021-04-14 53.8 @ Struga 1 1313 38.89% Rabotnicki 1 1325 32.24% 28.88%
22 2020-09-20 53.7 Borec 2 1277 19.71% @ Sileks 1 1377 52.96% 27.33%
23 2021-02-21 53.7 Belasica 4 1084 14.97% @ Renova 2 1244 59.33% 25.70%
24 2021-04-14 53.7 @ Pelister 3 1265 34.14% Sileks 2 1310 36.94% 28.92%
25 2020-12-06 53.5 @ Struga 1 1295 54.97% AP Brera Strumica 1 1177 18.14% 26.89%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2021-04-18 25.3 Shkendija 3 1523 75.19% @ Belasica 0 1096 6.33% 18.47%
2 2020-12-09 26.9 @ Shkendija 2 1481 75.65% Belasica 0 1118 6.14% 18.20%
3 2020-10-18 29.0 @ Struga 3 1282 60.10% Belasica 0 1113 14.45% 25.45%
4 2021-05-16 29.6 @ Pelister 2 1256 63.95% Belasica 0 1046 11.99% 24.06%
5 2020-12-16 30.8 Vardar 3 1285 54.11% @ Belasica 0 1105 18.80% 27.09%
6 2020-09-12 30.9 Shkendija 3 1346 54.72% @ Belasica 0 1160 18.33% 26.95%
7 2021-04-18 31.0 @ AP Brera Strumica 3 1258 53.47% Vardar 0 1154 19.31% 27.23%
8 2021-04-11 31.1 Shkendija 3 1504 61.35% @ Renova 0 1252 13.62% 25.03%
9 2021-05-16 32.0 Makedonija GP 2 1313 56.61% @ Vardar 0 1109 16.91% 26.48%
10 2021-05-09 32.1 @ Struga 1 1389 69.38% Vardar 0 1113 8.99% 21.62%
11 2021-05-09 32.3 AP Brera Strumica 2 1248 54.96% @ Belasica 0 1060 18.15% 26.89%
12 2021-04-11 32.4 Makedonija GP 2 1277 55.00% @ Belasica 0 1088 18.12% 26.88%
13 2021-03-20 34.1 Shkendija 6 1477 59.73% @ Vardar 1 1242 14.70% 25.57%
14 2021-04-18 34.1 @ Struga 3 1313 45.32% Pelister 0 1277 26.22% 28.47%
15 2021-04-28 34.1 @ Makedonija GP 3 1290 44.39% Pelister 0 1260 27.06% 28.56%
16 2021-04-28 34.1 @ Borec 2 1210 49.16% Vardar 0 1143 22.85% 28.00%
17 2020-11-28 34.2 @ Vardar 2 1278 49.68% AP Brera Strumica 0 1207 22.40% 27.92%
18 2021-04-11 34.2 @ Sileks 6 1262 48.33% Vardar 0 1202 23.56% 28.11%
19 2020-09-20 34.3 Pelister 2 1275 48.89% @ Belasica 0 1140 23.08% 28.04%
20 2021-03-14 34.3 @ Shkupi 2 1342 51.18% Vardar 0 1258 21.15% 27.67%
21 2020-12-05 34.5 Shkendija 2 1467 55.56% @ Borec 0 1273 17.69% 26.75%
22 2020-08-15 34.6 @ Rabotnicki 2 1262 47.99% Belasica 0 1204 23.85% 28.16%
23 2020-12-13 34.6 Shkendija 1 1485 64.88% @ AP Brera Strumica 0 1193 11.44% 23.68%
24 2020-08-16 35.2 @ Shkendija 2 1320 47.70% Struga 0 1265 24.10% 28.20%
25 2021-03-14 35.2 @ Borec 1 1248 58.00% Belasica 0 1101 15.91% 26.10%