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2021-22 Macedonian First Football League Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Shkupi

76 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Shkupi

11.34 points above expected

76 points · 64.66 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Pelister

14.19 points below expected

14 points · 28.19 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Shkupi 33 23 7 3 76 66 21 +45 64.66 +11.34
2 AP Brera Strumica 33 19 7 7 64 55 32 +23 53.98 +10.02
3 Shkendija 33 16 13 4 61 49 25 +24 62.01 -1.01
4 Makedonija GP 33 17 6 10 57 46 44 +2 46.99 +10.01
5 Renova 33 12 12 9 48 42 29 +13 48.89 -0.89
6 Struga 33 12 11 10 47 33 33 0 50.90 -3.90
7 Bregalnica Shtip 33 12 9 12 45 45 47 -2 42.37 +2.63
8 Rabotnicki 33 13 4 16 43 29 35 -6 42.86 +0.14
9 Skopje 33 9 8 16 35 27 45 -18 38.73 -3.73
10 Tikvesh 33 9 7 17 34 36 38 -2 36.52 -2.52
11 Borec 33 5 6 22 21 25 66 -41 29.79 -8.79
12 Pelister 33 2 8 23 14 16 54 -38 28.19 -14.19

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Shkupi 76 64.66 +11.34
2 AP Brera Strumica 64 53.98 +10.02
3 Makedonija GP 57 46.99 +10.01
4 Bregalnica Shtip 45 42.37 +2.63
5 Rabotnicki 43 42.86 +0.14

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Pelister 14 28.19 -14.19
2 Borec 21 29.79 -8.79
3 Struga 47 50.90 -3.90
4 Skopje 35 38.73 -3.73
5 Tikvesh 34 36.52 -2.52

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Makedonija GP 6 Dec 8 – Mar 9 1 in 629
2 Shkupi 6 Sep 19 – Oct 29 1 in 43
3 Bregalnica Shtip 3 Oct 2 – Oct 24 1 in 20
4 Renova 3 Sep 12 – Sep 26 1 in 12
5 AP Brera Strumica 3 Aug 15 – Aug 22 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Pelister 5 Oct 16 – Nov 21 1 in 43
2 Borec 5 Oct 24 – Nov 28 1 in 35
3 Makedonija GP 3 Sep 12 – Sep 26 1 in 18
4 Rabotnicki 3 Oct 3 – Oct 24 1 in 15
5 Struga 3 Mar 9 – Mar 18 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Makedonija GP 13 Dec 5 – Apr 16 1 in 107
2 AP Brera Strumica 8 Oct 2 – Dec 5 1 in 31
3 Bregalnica Shtip 5 Aug 8 – Aug 28 1 in 24
4 Shkendija 11 Oct 24 – Feb 27 1 in 13
5 Skopje 5 Sep 26 – Oct 30 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Pelister 23 Aug 8 – Mar 14 1 in 742
2 Struga 6 Sep 19 – Oct 30 1 in 47
3 Borec 10 Sep 19 – Dec 5 1 in 18
4 Bregalnica Shtip 6 Mar 19 – Apr 22 1 in 11
5 Skopje 7 Dec 12 – Mar 19 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Shkupi 1410 76 -23 8 9.6 -1.6
AP Brera Strumica 1301 64 -5 9 7.8 +1.2
Shkendija 1358 61 -6 8 8.9 -0.9
Makedonija GP 1234 57 -41 4 6.5 -2.5
Renova 1233 48 +43 10 7.3 +2.7
Struga 1209 47 +61 11 6.7 +4.3
Bregalnica Shtip 1127 45 +14 6 5.2 +0.8
Rabotnicki 1163 43 -20 6 7.6 -1.6
Skopje 1101 35 +34 9 6.2 +2.8
Tikvesh 1148 34 +14 7 7.8 -0.8
Borec 967 21 -55 3 4.8 -1.8
Pelister 958 14 -17 4 4.2 -0.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABS BOR BS MG PEL RAB REN SHK SHK SKO STR TIK
AP Brera Strumica —
2-1-0
6.11
1-1-1
5.79
1-0-2
4.63
2-1-0
6.38
3-0-0
4.91
3-0-0
4.42
2-1-0
3.41
0-0-3
2.99
1-1-1
5.69
1-2-0
4.54
3-0-0
5.35
Borec
0-1-2
2.20
—
0-1-2
2.99
0-1-2
2.85
2-0-1
4.04
0-0-3
2.73
0-0-3
2.91
0-1-2
1.40
0-0-3
1.49
1-1-1
3.75
1-1-1
2.55
1-0-2
3.43
Bregalnica Shtip
1-1-1
2.49
2-1-0
5.30
—
1-1-1
3.28
2-0-1
5.40
0-0-3
4.47
0-1-2
3.87
0-2-1
2.49
1-1-1
2.49
1-1-1
3.88
1-1-1
3.07
3-0-0
4.82
Makedonija GP
2-0-1
3.59
2-1-0
5.39
1-1-1
4.98
—
3-0-0
5.31
2-0-1
4.68
2-1-0
3.38
0-0-3
2.63
1-1-1
2.47
2-1-0
4.88
1-1-1
4.20
1-0-2
4.92
Pelister
0-1-2
1.99
1-0-2
4.19
1-0-2
2.88
0-0-3
2.98
—
0-1-2
2.32
0-2-1
1.93
0-1-2
1.88
0-0-3
2.10
0-1-2
2.81
0-0-3
2.29
0-2-1
3.40
Rabotnicki
0-0-3
3.34
3-0-0
5.53
3-0-0
3.77
1-0-2
3.56
2-1-0
5.97
—
0-2-1
3.34
1-0-2
2.12
0-0-3
2.05
1-0-2
5.16
0-1-2
3.92
2-0-1
5.19
Renova
0-0-3
3.80
3-0-0
5.33
2-1-0
4.36
0-1-2
4.85
1-2-0
6.39
1-2-0
4.89
—
1-1-1
2.59
0-1-2
2.12
1-2-0
4.88
1-1-1
4.29
2-1-0
4.54
Shkendija
0-1-2
4.82
2-1-0
7.01
1-2-0
5.77
3-0-0
5.62
2-1-0
6.48
2-0-1
6.17
1-1-1
5.69
—
0-3-0
4.29
3-0-0
5.96
1-2-0
4.99
1-2-0
6.34
Shkupi
3-0-0
5.27
3-0-0
6.91
1-1-1
5.80
1-1-1
5.79
3-0-0
6.27
3-0-0
6.25
2-1-0
6.18
0-3-0
3.94
—
2-1-0
6.12
2-0-1
5.06
3-0-0
6.85
Skopje
1-1-1
2.61
1-1-1
4.49
1-1-1
4.36
0-1-2
3.39
2-1-0
5.43
2-0-1
3.10
0-2-1
3.36
0-0-3
2.33
0-1-2
2.17
—
1-0-2
2.83
1-0-2
4.60
Struga
0-2-1
3.70
1-1-1
5.71
1-1-1
5.16
1-1-1
4.04
3-0-0
5.99
2-1-0
4.31
1-1-1
3.93
0-2-1
3.25
1-0-2
3.20
2-0-1
5.43
—
0-2-1
5.21
Tikvesh
0-0-3
2.91
2-0-1
4.82
0-0-3
3.41
2-0-1
3.31
1-2-0
4.85
1-0-2
3.06
0-1-2
3.70
0-2-1
2.00
0-0-3
1.54
2-0-1
3.63
1-2-0
3.03
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.88 +11.9
Allowed 0.67 -11.4
Differential 0.91 +6.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.61%10.10%6.82%2.78%0.76%1.26%32.32%
110.10%12.63%8.84%2.78%1.77%0.51%36.62%
26.82%8.84%1.01%1.01%0.76%0.25%18.69%
32.78%2.78%1.01%0.51%——7.07%
40.76%1.77%0.76%———3.28%
5+1.26%0.51%0.25%———2.02%
Total32.32%36.62%18.69%7.07%3.28%2.02%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.18 +0.00
SD 1.18 1.18 1.77
CV 0.99 0.99 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%3.03%—3.03%——21.21%
19.09%6.06%6.06%3.03%3.03%—27.27%
29.09%21.21%—3.03%——33.33%
33.03%—3.03%———6.06%
4—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
5+6.06%—————6.06%
Total42.42%33.33%12.12%9.09%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 0.97 +0.70
SD 1.38 1.10 1.81
CV 0.83 1.14 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%12.12%6.06%15.15%—6.06%42.42%
13.03%15.15%15.15%3.03%3.03%3.03%42.42%
23.03%6.06%—3.03%——12.12%
3—3.03%————3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%36.36%21.21%21.21%3.03%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.76 2.00 -1.24
SD 0.79 1.39 1.79
CV 1.05 0.70 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%6.06%6.06%3.03%—3.03%30.30%
16.06%9.09%12.12%—3.03%—30.30%
23.03%9.09%3.03%——3.03%18.18%
36.06%3.03%3.03%3.03%——15.15%
4—6.06%————6.06%
5+———————
Total27.27%33.33%24.24%6.06%3.03%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.42 -0.06
SD 1.25 1.37 1.90
CV 0.91 0.96 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——6.06%3.03%3.03%—12.12%
121.21%18.18%6.06%6.06%6.06%—57.58%
26.06%12.12%————18.18%
3—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total27.27%39.39%15.15%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.33 +0.06
SD 1.09 1.24 1.85
CV 0.78 0.93 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%21.21%21.21%3.03%3.03%3.03%63.64%
1—9.09%12.12%3.03%——24.24%
23.03%3.03%3.03%—3.03%—12.12%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total15.15%33.33%36.36%6.06%6.06%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.48 1.64 -1.15
SD 0.71 1.19 1.35
CV 1.47 0.73 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%18.18%15.15%3.03%——42.42%
112.12%6.06%9.09%3.03%——30.30%
29.09%15.15%————24.24%
33.03%—————3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.30%39.39%24.24%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 1.06 -0.18
SD 0.89 0.90 1.49
CV 1.02 0.85 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%15.15%3.03%———30.30%
16.06%21.21%9.09%———36.36%
212.12%9.09%3.03%———24.24%
3———————
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
Total30.30%51.52%18.18%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 0.88 +0.39
SD 1.33 0.70 1.39
CV 1.04 0.79 —
Max 5 2 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%—————18.18%
112.12%15.15%9.09%———36.36%
212.12%9.09%3.03%—3.03%—27.27%
36.06%6.06%—3.03%——15.15%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total51.52%30.30%12.12%3.03%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 0.76 +0.73
SD 1.06 1.00 1.31
CV 0.72 1.32 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%—————15.15%
112.12%6.06%3.03%—3.03%—24.24%
215.15%6.06%——3.03%—24.24%
39.09%12.12%3.03%———24.24%
43.03%3.03%————6.06%
5+6.06%—————6.06%
Total60.61%27.27%6.06%—6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 0.64 +1.36
SD 1.39 1.06 1.75
CV 0.70 1.66 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%15.15%9.09%3.03%—3.03%45.45%
112.12%9.09%9.09%3.03%3.03%3.03%39.39%
23.03%6.06%————9.09%
3———————
4—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
5+———————
Total30.30%33.33%21.21%6.06%3.03%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.82 1.36 -0.55
SD 1.04 1.39 1.73
CV 1.28 1.02 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%12.12%6.06%—3.03%—30.30%
124.24%24.24%—9.09%——57.58%
2———————
3—6.06%————6.06%
43.03%—3.03%———6.06%
5+———————
Total36.36%42.42%9.09%9.09%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.00 +0.00
SD 1.06 1.06 1.54
CV 1.06 1.06 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%18.18%9.09%———36.36%
13.03%12.12%15.15%3.03%——33.33%
26.06%9.09%—6.06%——21.21%
36.06%—————6.06%
4———————
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total27.27%39.39%24.24%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.15 -0.06
SD 1.16 0.94 1.62
CV 1.06 0.82 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Shkupi 1410 76 64.66 +11.34 97.0% 48 53 60 65 68 76 84
Shkendija 1358 61 62.01 -1.01 46.0% 46 50 57 62 67 72 85
AP Brera Strumica 1301 64 53.98 +10.02 96.0% 37 44 48 54 59 64 78
Makedonija GP 1234 57 46.99 +10.01 94.0% 30 35 42 47 52 59 68
Renova 1233 48 48.89 -0.89 46.0% 23 37 44 49 54 61 68
Struga 1209 47 50.90 -3.90 31.0% 27 37 45 52 57 62 71
Rabotnicki 1163 43 42.86 +0.14 47.0% 27 31 37 44 47 55 60
Tikvesh 1148 34 36.52 -2.52 41.0% 23 26 32 36 40 49 62
Bregalnica Shtip 1127 45 42.37 +2.63 71.0% 29 32 37 42 47 53 62
Skopje 1101 35 38.73 -3.73 29.0% 16 27 34 39 44 48 61
Borec 967 21 29.79 -8.79 13.0% 16 19 25 30 35 39 45
Pelister 958 14 28.19 -14.19 1.0% 13 18 23 27 33 40 48

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 23% * Slight Edge: 23% to 31% * Clear Edge: 31% to 38% * Strong Edge: 38% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+23.74%
Slight Edge
49.49%24.75%25.76%
Elo Value
Home Edge
210 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
084.08600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.48 goals
Neutral
-2+0.40+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.12 * Tight Race: 0.12 to 0.25 * Comfortable: 0.25 to 0.36 * Runaway: 0.36 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.3
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
58%
Shkupi, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.36/gm
Runaway
00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.67 * Some Luck: 5.67 to 8.51 * Lucky: 8.51 to 11.34 * Wild Swing: 11.34 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.14 * Close: 1.14 to 1.71 * Off: 1.71 to 2.28 * Way Off: 2.28 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.37 points
Some Luck
07.0918
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.67
Pinpoint
01.433
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
97.00%
Shkupi
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
1.00%
Pelister
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.9 * Moderate Separation: 1.9 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.3 * Wide Separation: 2.3 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 70.5% * Clear Edge: 70.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 93% * Clear Edge: 93% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 56.5% * Some Drama: 56.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Lopsided
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 138.35
2.35
Wide Separation
11.92.12.32.75
Interquartile Edge
68%
Slight Edge
50%65%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
93%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
65%
Very Frequent
0%60%100%
Blowouts
Expected
15%
Rare
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.43 * Slight Separation: 0.43 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.65 * Near-Lock: 0.65 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 18% * Upset-Prone: 18% to 21% * Very Upset-Prone: 21% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 16.5% * Very Shaky: 16.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.56
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.42
Very Even
00.430.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.12
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.49
Some Carryover
00.410.571
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Very Upset-Prone
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
14%
As Expected
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.15
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.26
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.114
Well Within Noise
00.1180.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Shkupi58.00%21.00%12.00%7.00%1.00%1.00%——————
AP Brera Strumica6.00%18.00%21.00%24.00%11.00%10.00%5.00%4.00%1.00%———
Shkendija30.00%39.00%20.00%3.00%5.00%3.00%——————
Makedonija GP2.00%2.00%7.00%18.00%16.00%14.00%15.00%12.00%8.00%2.00%4.00%—
Renova2.00%8.00%14.00%12.00%25.00%11.00%14.00%2.00%9.00%2.00%1.00%—
Struga2.00%7.00%19.00%24.00%14.00%12.00%8.00%4.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%
Bregalnica Shtip——3.00%7.00%9.00%14.00%18.00%21.00%13.00%10.00%4.00%1.00%
Rabotnicki—3.00%2.00%3.00%9.00%21.00%16.00%14.00%15.00%10.00%6.00%1.00%
Skopje—1.00%1.00%1.00%4.00%9.00%11.00%20.00%14.00%25.00%8.00%6.00%
Tikvesh—1.00%1.00%1.00%5.00%2.00%9.00%16.00%19.00%24.00%16.00%6.00%
Borec————1.00%1.00%2.00%4.00%12.00%12.00%32.00%36.00%
Pelister—————2.00%2.00%3.00%3.00%13.00%28.00%49.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
AP Brera Strumica 99.00% 1.00% —
Shkendija 100% — —
Shkupi 100% — —
Renova 88.00% 11.00% 1.00%
Struga 90.00% 8.00% 2.00%
Makedonija GP 86.00% 10.00% 4.00%
Bregalnica Shtip 72.00% 23.00% 5.00%
Rabotnicki 68.00% 25.00% 7.00%
Skopje 47.00% 39.00% 14.00%
Tikvesh 35.00% 43.00% 22.00%
Borec 8.00% 24.00% 68.00%
Pelister 7.00% 16.00% 77.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2021-08-08 Borec W 1-036.9 1200 1151 54.01% 25.11% 20.89%+0.63 +8.2 3
2021-08-08 @ Rabotnicki L 0-136.9 1151 1200 20.89% 25.11% 54.01%-0.63 -8.2 0
2021-08-08 Pelister W 1-037.5 1196 1166 51.87% 25.40% 22.73%+0.54 +8.8 3
2021-08-08 @ Makedonija GP L 0-137.5 1166 1196 22.73% 25.40% 51.87%-0.54 -8.8 0
2021-08-08 Shkendija D 0-048.7 1128 1286 27.11% 25.88% 47.01%-0.35 +1.6 1
2021-08-08 @ Tikvesh D 0-048.7 1286 1128 47.01% 25.88% 27.11%+0.35 -1.6 1
2021-08-08 Shkupi D 0-048.5 1113 1225 33.00% 26.19% 40.81%-0.13 +0.6 1
2021-08-08 @ Bregalnica Shtip D 0-048.5 1225 1113 40.81% 26.19% 33.00%+0.13 -0.6 1
2021-08-08 Skopje D 1-153.8 1147 1184 43.53% 26.10% 30.37%+0.23 -0.9 1
2021-08-08 @ Renova D 1-153.8 1184 1147 30.37% 26.10% 43.53%-0.23 +0.9 1
2021-08-08 Struga D 1-153.9 1175 1240 39.59% 26.22% 34.19%+0.09 -0.4 1
2021-08-08 @ AP Brera Strumica D 1-153.9 1240 1175 34.19% 26.22% 39.59%-0.09 +0.4 1
2021-08-15 Bregalnica Shtip D 0-049.0 1185 1113 56.45% 24.71% 18.85%+0.74 -3.1 2
2021-08-15 @ Skopje D 0-049.0 1113 1185 18.85% 24.71% 56.45%-0.74 +3.1 2
2021-08-15 Makedonija GP W 2-034.7 1224 1205 50.63% 25.55% 23.82%+0.49 +17.3 4
2021-08-15 @ Shkupi L 0-234.7 1205 1224 23.82% 25.55% 50.63%-0.49 -17.3 3
2021-08-15 Pelister W 1-035.8 1240 1157 57.69% 24.47% 17.84%+0.80 +7.1 4
2021-08-15 @ Struga L 0-135.8 1157 1240 17.84% 24.47% 57.69%-0.80 -7.1 0
2021-08-15 Rabotnicki W 2-036.6 1175 1208 43.93% 26.08% 29.99%+0.24 +20.8 4
2021-08-15 @ AP Brera Strumica L 0-236.6 1208 1175 29.99% 26.08% 43.93%-0.24 -20.8 3
2021-08-15 Renova L 1-255.2 1284 1147 62.89% 23.23% 13.88%+1.06 -19.1 1
2021-08-15 @ Shkendija W 2-155.2 1147 1284 13.88% 23.23% 62.89%-1.06 +19.1 4
2021-08-15 Tikvesh W 2-144.2 1143 1129 49.94% 25.62% 24.44%+0.47 +8.8 3
2021-08-15 @ Borec L 1-244.2 1129 1143 24.44% 25.62% 49.94%-0.47 -8.8 1
2021-08-18 AP Brera Strumica L 0-239.0 1120 1195 38.15% 26.24% 35.61%+0.04 -25.0 1
2021-08-18 @ Tikvesh W 2-039.0 1195 1120 35.61% 26.24% 38.15%-0.04 +25.0 7
2021-08-18 Borec W 2-034.7 1166 1152 49.96% 25.62% 24.42%+0.47 +17.7 7
2021-08-18 @ Renova L 0-234.7 1152 1166 24.42% 25.62% 49.96%-0.47 -17.7 3
2021-08-18 Shkendija D 3-363.4 1117 1265 28.27% 25.97% 45.76%-0.31 +0.8 3
2021-08-18 @ Bregalnica Shtip D 3-363.4 1265 1117 45.76% 25.97% 28.27%+0.31 -0.8 2
2021-08-18 Shkupi L 0-238.4 1150 1241 35.81% 26.24% 37.94%-0.04 -23.9 0
2021-08-18 @ Pelister W 2-038.4 1241 1150 37.94% 26.24% 35.81%+0.04 +23.8 7
2021-08-18 Skopje W 5-136.5 1187 1182 48.97% 25.72% 25.31%+0.43 +28.8 6
2021-08-18 @ Makedonija GP L 1-536.5 1182 1187 25.31% 25.72% 48.97%-0.43 -28.8 2
2021-08-18 Struga D 0-048.7 1187 1248 40.25% 26.21% 33.54%+0.11 -0.5 4
2021-08-18 @ Rabotnicki D 0-048.7 1248 1187 33.54% 26.21% 40.25%-0.11 +0.5 5
2021-08-22 Bregalnica Shtip D 1-153.9 1134 1117 50.30% 25.58% 24.12%+0.48 -1.9 4
2021-08-22 @ Borec D 1-153.9 1117 1134 24.12% 25.58% 50.30%-0.48 +1.9 4
2021-08-22 Makedonija GP W 4-031.8 1264 1216 53.96% 25.12% 20.92%+0.63 +29.4 5
2021-08-22 @ Shkendija L 0-431.8 1216 1264 20.92% 25.12% 53.96%-0.63 -29.4 6
2021-08-22 Pelister W 1-037.6 1153 1126 51.49% 25.45% 23.06%+0.53 +8.9 5
2021-08-22 @ Skopje L 0-137.6 1126 1153 23.06% 25.45% 51.49%-0.53 -8.9 0
2021-08-22 Renova W 2-143.5 1220 1183 52.71% 25.29% 22.00%+0.58 +8.1 10
2021-08-22 @ AP Brera Strumica L 1-243.5 1183 1220 22.00% 25.29% 52.71%-0.58 -8.1 7
2021-08-22 Shkupi W 4-245.8 1248 1265 46.05% 25.95% 28.00%+0.32 +15.3 8
2021-08-22 @ Struga L 2-445.8 1265 1248 28.00% 25.95% 46.05%-0.32 -15.3 7
2021-08-22 Tikvesh W 2-141.7 1187 1095 58.51% 24.30% 17.19%+0.84 +6.5 7
2021-08-22 @ Rabotnicki L 1-241.7 1095 1187 17.19% 24.30% 58.51%-0.84 -6.5 1
2021-08-28 AP Brera Strumica W 3-254.2 1119 1229 33.34% 26.20% 40.46%-0.12 +12.4 7
2021-08-28 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 2-354.2 1229 1119 40.46% 26.20% 33.34%+0.12 -12.4 10
2021-08-28 Borec W 3-247.7 1187 1132 54.66% 25.01% 20.34%+0.66 +7.2 9
2021-08-28 @ Makedonija GP L 2-347.7 1132 1187 20.34% 25.01% 54.66%-0.66 -7.2 4
2021-08-28 Rabotnicki D 1-153.9 1175 1193 45.96% 25.96% 28.08%+0.31 -1.2 8
2021-08-28 @ Renova D 1-153.9 1193 1175 28.08% 25.96% 45.96%-0.31 +1.3 8
2021-08-28 Shkendija D 2-260.1 1117 1294 25.00% 25.68% 49.32%-0.44 +1.3 1
2021-08-28 @ Pelister D 2-260.1 1294 1117 49.32% 25.68% 25.00%+0.44 -1.3 6
2021-08-28 Skopje W 4-135.5 1250 1162 58.20% 24.37% 17.43%+0.82 +16.2 10
2021-08-28 @ Shkupi L 1-435.5 1162 1250 17.43% 24.37% 58.20%-0.82 -16.2 5
2021-08-28 Struga D 1-154.0 1089 1263 25.25% 25.71% 49.04%-0.43 +1.7 2
2021-08-28 @ Tikvesh D 1-154.0 1263 1089 49.04% 25.71% 25.25%+0.43 -1.7 9
2021-09-12 Bregalnica Shtip W 2-033.1 1194 1132 55.55% 24.86% 19.59%+0.70 +14.6 11
2021-09-12 @ Rabotnicki L 0-233.1 1132 1194 19.59% 24.86% 55.55%-0.70 -14.6 7
2021-09-12 Makedonija GP W 4-137.7 1216 1194 50.96% 25.51% 23.53%+0.51 +21.0 13
2021-09-12 @ AP Brera Strumica L 1-437.7 1194 1216 23.53% 25.51% 50.96%-0.51 -21.0 9
2021-09-12 Pelister W 2-144.5 1125 1118 49.06% 25.71% 25.23%+0.43 +9.1 7
2021-09-12 @ Borec L 1-244.5 1118 1125 25.23% 25.71% 49.06%-0.43 -9.1 1
2021-09-12 Renova L 0-238.7 1091 1174 36.97% 26.25% 36.78%+0.00 -24.4 2
2021-09-12 @ Tikvesh W 2-038.7 1174 1091 36.78% 26.25% 36.97%+0.00 +24.4 11
2021-09-12 Skopje W 1-034.9 1262 1146 60.90% 23.76% 15.34%+0.95 +6.2 12
2021-09-12 @ Struga L 0-134.9 1146 1262 15.34% 23.76% 60.90%-0.95 -6.2 5
2021-09-14 Shkupi D 0-049.3 1293 1266 51.46% 25.45% 23.09%+0.53 -2.3 7
2021-09-14 @ Shkendija D 0-049.3 1266 1293 23.09% 25.45% 51.46%-0.53 +2.3 11
2021-09-19 AP Brera Strumica D 0-048.6 1109 1237 30.89% 26.12% 42.99%-0.21 +0.9 2
2021-09-19 @ Pelister D 0-048.6 1237 1109 42.99% 26.12% 30.89%+0.21 -0.9 14
2021-09-19 Borec W 3-029.2 1268 1134 62.59% 23.31% 14.10%+1.04 +15.7 14
2021-09-19 @ Shkupi L 0-329.2 1134 1268 14.10% 23.31% 62.59%-1.04 -15.7 7
2021-09-19 Rabotnicki L 0-240.7 1173 1209 43.56% 26.09% 30.34%+0.23 -27.7 9
2021-09-19 @ Makedonija GP W 2-040.7 1209 1173 30.34% 26.09% 43.56%-0.23 +27.7 14
2021-09-19 Shkendija L 0-236.1 1139 1290 27.99% 25.95% 46.06%-0.32 -19.7 5
2021-09-19 @ Skopje W 2-036.1 1290 1139 46.06% 25.95% 27.99%+0.32 +19.7 10
2021-09-19 Struga W 1-041.6 1198 1268 38.96% 26.23% 34.81%+0.07 +12.4 14
2021-09-19 @ Renova L 0-141.6 1268 1198 34.81% 26.23% 38.96%-0.07 -12.4 12
2021-09-19 Tikvesh W 2-033.4 1117 1066 54.25% 25.07% 20.67%+0.64 +15.3 10
2021-09-19 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 0-233.4 1066 1117 20.67% 25.07% 54.25%-0.64 -15.3 2
2021-09-26 Bregalnica Shtip W 5-237.8 1211 1132 57.19% 24.57% 18.24%+0.77 +14.6 17
2021-09-26 @ Renova L 2-537.8 1132 1211 18.24% 24.57% 57.19%-0.77 -14.6 10
2021-09-26 Makedonija GP W 3-037.2 1051 1145 35.39% 26.24% 38.37%-0.05 +36.5 5
2021-09-26 @ Tikvesh L 0-337.2 1145 1051 38.37% 26.24% 35.39%+0.05 -36.5 9
2021-09-26 Pelister D 1-154.6 1237 1110 61.87% 23.51% 14.62%+1.00 -3.6 15
2021-09-26 @ Rabotnicki D 1-154.6 1110 1237 14.62% 23.51% 61.87%-1.00 +3.6 3
2021-09-26 Shkendija D 1-154.4 1255 1310 41.04% 26.19% 32.77%+0.14 -0.6 13
2021-09-26 @ Struga D 1-154.4 1310 1255 32.77% 26.19% 41.04%-0.14 +0.6 11
2021-09-26 Shkupi L 1-346.6 1236 1284 41.97% 26.16% 31.88%+0.17 -23.3 14
2021-09-26 @ AP Brera Strumica W 3-146.6 1284 1236 31.88% 26.16% 41.97%-0.17 +23.3 17
2021-09-26 Skopje L 0-241.8 1118 1120 48.10% 25.80% 26.11%+0.39 -30.1 7
2021-09-26 @ Borec W 2-041.8 1120 1118 26.11% 25.80% 48.10%-0.39 +30.1 8
2021-10-02 AP Brera Strumica D 0-048.6 1150 1213 39.84% 26.22% 33.94%+0.10 -0.5 9
2021-10-02 @ Skopje D 0-048.6 1213 1150 33.94% 26.22% 39.84%-0.10 +0.5 15
2021-10-02 Borec W 3-027.1 1311 1088 69.70% 20.88% 9.42%+1.46 +10.4 14
2021-10-02 @ Shkendija L 0-327.1 1088 1311 9.42% 20.88% 69.70%-1.46 -10.4 7
2021-10-02 Renova D 1-153.8 1109 1225 32.36% 26.18% 41.46%-0.15 +0.6 10
2021-10-02 @ Makedonija GP D 1-153.8 1225 1109 41.46% 26.18% 32.36%+0.15 -0.6 18
2021-10-02 Struga W 1-044.2 1118 1255 29.70% 26.06% 44.24%-0.25 +14.9 13
2021-10-02 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 0-144.2 1255 1118 44.24% 26.06% 29.70%+0.25 -14.9 13
2021-10-02 Tikvesh D 0-048.7 1114 1087 51.49% 25.45% 23.06%+0.53 -2.3 4
2021-10-02 @ Pelister D 0-048.7 1087 1114 23.06% 25.45% 51.49%-0.53 +2.3 6
2021-10-03 Rabotnicki W 2-033.2 1307 1233 56.76% 24.65% 18.59%+0.75 +14.0 20
2021-10-03 @ Shkupi L 0-233.2 1233 1307 18.59% 24.65% 56.76%-0.75 -14.0 15
2021-10-15 Skopje L 0-147.4 1219 1149 56.31% 24.73% 18.96%+0.73 -18.3 15
2021-10-15 @ Rabotnicki W 1-047.4 1149 1219 18.96% 24.73% 56.31%-0.73 +18.3 12
2021-10-16 Borec D 1-154.9 1240 1078 64.98% 22.60% 12.42%+1.17 -4.1 14
2021-10-16 @ Struga D 1-154.9 1078 1240 12.42% 22.60% 64.98%-1.17 +4.1 8
2021-10-16 Makedonija GP W 4-137.4 1133 1109 51.09% 25.49% 23.42%+0.51 +20.9 16
2021-10-16 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 1-437.4 1109 1133 23.42% 25.49% 51.09%-0.51 -20.9 10
2021-10-16 Pelister W 2-031.6 1225 1112 60.62% 23.82% 15.55%+0.94 +11.9 21
2021-10-16 @ Renova L 0-231.6 1112 1225 15.55% 23.82% 60.62%-0.94 -11.9 4
2021-10-16 Shkendija W 2-149.6 1213 1321 33.57% 26.21% 40.22%-0.11 +13.0 18
2021-10-16 @ AP Brera Strumica L 1-249.6 1321 1213 40.22% 26.21% 33.57%+0.11 -13.0 14
2021-10-16 Shkupi L 0-136.5 1090 1321 19.50% 24.85% 55.65%-0.70 -7.7 6
2021-10-16 @ Tikvesh W 1-036.5 1321 1090 55.65% 24.85% 19.50%+0.70 +7.7 23
2021-10-23 Renova W 2-142.3 1329 1237 58.63% 24.28% 17.09%+0.84 +6.5 26
2021-10-23 @ Shkupi L 1-242.3 1237 1329 17.09% 24.28% 58.63%-0.84 -6.5 21
2021-10-24 AP Brera Strumica L 1-245.7 1082 1226 28.79% 26.01% 45.20%-0.29 -10.1 8
2021-10-24 @ Borec W 2-145.7 1226 1082 45.20% 26.01% 28.79%+0.29 +10.1 21
2021-10-24 Bregalnica Shtip L 0-338.1 1100 1154 41.15% 26.19% 32.66%+0.14 -38.5 4
2021-10-24 @ Pelister W 3-038.1 1154 1100 32.66% 26.19% 41.15%-0.14 +38.5 19
2021-10-24 Rabotnicki W 2-032.1 1308 1201 60.05% 23.96% 15.99%+0.91 +12.2 17
2021-10-24 @ Shkendija L 0-232.1 1201 1308 15.99% 23.96% 60.05%-0.91 -12.2 15
2021-10-24 Struga D 1-153.9 1088 1236 28.41% 25.98% 45.61%-0.30 +1.2 11
2021-10-24 @ Makedonija GP D 1-153.9 1236 1088 45.61% 25.98% 28.41%+0.30 -1.2 15
2021-10-24 Tikvesh W 2-141.8 1168 1082 57.95% 24.42% 17.63%+0.81 +6.7 15
2021-10-24 @ Skopje L 1-241.8 1082 1168 17.63% 24.42% 57.95%-0.81 -6.7 6
2021-10-29 Bregalnica Shtip W 5-029.7 1336 1192 63.40% 23.08% 13.52%+1.08 +24.2 29
2021-10-29 @ Shkupi L 0-529.7 1192 1336 13.52% 23.08% 63.40%-1.08 -24.2 19
2021-10-30 AP Brera Strumica D 0-048.9 1235 1236 48.03% 25.80% 26.17%+0.39 -1.7 16
2021-10-30 @ Struga D 0-048.9 1236 1235 26.17% 25.80% 48.03%-0.39 +1.7 22
2021-10-30 Makedonija GP L 0-240.8 1061 1090 44.60% 26.04% 29.36%+0.27 -28.2 4
2021-10-30 @ Pelister W 2-040.8 1090 1061 29.36% 26.04% 44.60%-0.27 +28.2 14
2021-10-30 Rabotnicki L 0-140.6 1072 1189 32.33% 26.18% 41.49%-0.16 -11.7 8
2021-10-30 @ Borec W 1-040.6 1189 1072 41.49% 26.18% 32.33%+0.16 +11.7 18
2021-10-30 Renova D 0-048.6 1174 1230 40.87% 26.19% 32.93%+0.13 -0.6 16
2021-10-30 @ Skopje D 0-048.6 1230 1174 32.93% 26.19% 40.87%-0.13 +0.6 22
2021-10-30 Tikvesh D 1-155.7 1320 1075 71.33% 20.19% 8.48%+1.57 -4.9 18
2021-10-30 @ Shkendija D 1-155.7 1075 1320 8.48% 20.19% 71.33%-1.57 +4.9 7
2021-11-06 AP Brera Strumica L 0-338.9 1200 1238 43.34% 26.10% 30.55%+0.22 -40.1 18
2021-11-06 @ Rabotnicki W 3-038.9 1238 1200 30.55% 26.10% 43.34%-0.22 +40.1 25
2021-11-06 Borec W 2-143.9 1080 1060 50.67% 25.54% 23.79%+0.49 +8.7 10
2021-11-06 @ Tikvesh L 1-243.9 1060 1080 23.79% 25.54% 50.67%-0.49 -8.7 8
2021-11-06 Shkendija L 0-142.5 1231 1315 36.81% 26.25% 36.94%+0.00 -12.9 22
2021-11-06 @ Renova W 1-042.5 1315 1231 36.94% 26.25% 36.81%+0.00 +12.9 21
2021-11-06 Shkupi W 2-153.9 1118 1360 18.63% 24.66% 56.71%-0.75 +17.4 17
2021-11-06 @ Makedonija GP L 1-253.9 1360 1118 56.71% 24.66% 18.63%+0.75 -17.4 29
2021-11-06 Skopje W 2-145.0 1168 1174 47.52% 25.84% 26.63%+0.37 +9.5 22
2021-11-06 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 1-245.0 1174 1168 26.63% 25.84% 47.52%-0.37 -9.5 16
2021-11-06 Struga L 0-137.4 1033 1233 22.54% 25.37% 52.08%-0.55 -8.8 4
2021-11-06 @ Pelister W 1-037.4 1233 1033 52.08% 25.37% 22.54%+0.55 +8.8 19
2021-11-20 Makedonija GP L 1-252.4 1164 1135 51.74% 25.42% 22.84%+0.54 -16.0 16
2021-11-20 @ Skopje W 2-152.4 1135 1164 22.84% 25.42% 51.74%-0.54 +16.0 20
2021-11-21 Bregalnica Shtip W 1-034.2 1328 1177 64.03% 22.90% 13.08%+1.12 +5.3 24
2021-11-21 @ Shkendija L 0-134.2 1177 1328 13.08% 22.90% 64.03%-1.12 -5.3 22
2021-11-21 Pelister W 5-025.5 1342 1024 76.07% 17.87% 6.06%+1.92 +10.2 32
2021-11-21 @ Shkupi L 0-525.5 1024 1342 6.06% 17.87% 76.07%-1.92 -10.2 4
2021-11-21 Rabotnicki W 1-035.9 1242 1160 57.50% 24.51% 17.99%+0.79 +7.2 22
2021-11-21 @ Struga L 0-135.9 1160 1242 17.99% 24.51% 57.50%-0.79 -7.2 18
2021-11-21 Renova L 1-438.4 1052 1218 26.19% 25.80% 48.01%-0.39 -22.9 8
2021-11-21 @ Borec W 4-138.4 1218 1052 48.01% 25.80% 26.19%+0.39 +22.9 25
2021-11-21 Tikvesh W 3-244.0 1278 1089 67.23% 21.84% 10.94%+1.30 +4.0 28
2021-11-21 @ AP Brera Strumica L 2-344.0 1089 1278 10.94% 21.84% 67.23%-1.30 -4.0 10
2021-11-27 AP Brera Strumica L 1-250.3 1241 1282 42.83% 26.13% 31.04%+0.20 -13.7 25
2021-11-27 @ Renova W 2-150.3 1282 1241 31.04% 26.13% 42.83%-0.20 +13.7 31
2021-11-28 Borec W 2-140.1 1172 1029 63.38% 23.09% 13.53%+1.08 +5.2 25
2021-11-28 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 1-240.1 1029 1172 13.53% 23.09% 63.38%-1.08 -5.2 8
2021-11-28 Rabotnicki W 2-037.9 1085 1153 39.11% 26.23% 34.66%+0.07 +23.3 13
2021-11-28 @ Tikvesh L 0-237.9 1153 1085 34.66% 26.23% 39.11%-0.07 -23.3 18
2021-11-28 Shkendija L 1-244.5 1151 1333 24.41% 25.62% 49.97%-0.47 -8.8 20
2021-11-28 @ Makedonija GP W 2-144.5 1333 1151 49.97% 25.62% 24.41%+0.47 +8.8 27
2021-11-28 Skopje D 0-048.5 1014 1148 30.08% 26.08% 43.84%-0.24 +1.1 5
2021-11-28 @ Pelister D 0-048.5 1148 1014 43.84% 26.08% 30.08%+0.24 -1.1 17
2021-11-28 Struga W 4-030.6 1353 1249 59.73% 24.03% 16.23%+0.89 +23.4 35
2021-11-28 @ Shkupi L 0-430.6 1249 1353 16.23% 24.03% 59.73%-0.89 -23.4 22
2021-12-04 Renova D 0-048.6 1130 1227 35.02% 26.23% 38.75%-0.06 +0.3 19
2021-12-04 @ Rabotnicki D 0-048.6 1227 1130 38.75% 26.23% 35.02%+0.06 -0.3 26
2021-12-05 Bregalnica Shtip D 0-049.5 1296 1177 61.15% 23.69% 15.15%+0.97 -3.9 32
2021-12-05 @ AP Brera Strumica D 0-049.5 1177 1296 15.15% 23.69% 61.15%-0.97 +3.9 26
2021-12-05 Makedonija GP D 1-153.7 1023 1142 32.04% 26.17% 41.80%-0.17 +0.7 9
2021-12-05 @ Borec D 1-153.7 1142 1023 41.80% 26.17% 32.04%+0.17 -0.7 21
2021-12-05 Pelister W 2-136.3 1342 1015 76.60% 17.58% 5.81%+1.96 +2.1 30
2021-12-05 @ Shkendija L 1-236.3 1015 1342 5.81% 17.58% 76.60%-1.96 -2.1 5
2021-12-05 Shkupi L 1-339.6 1147 1376 19.76% 24.90% 55.35%-0.69 -12.8 17
2021-12-05 @ Skopje W 3-139.6 1376 1147 55.35% 24.90% 19.76%+0.69 +12.8 38
2021-12-05 Tikvesh D 0-049.3 1226 1108 61.04% 23.72% 15.24%+0.96 -3.9 23
2021-12-05 @ Struga D 0-049.3 1108 1226 15.24% 23.72% 61.04%-0.96 +3.9 14
2021-12-08 AP Brera Strumica W 4-144.6 1142 1292 28.07% 25.96% 45.97%-0.32 +35.5 24
2021-12-08 @ Makedonija GP L 1-444.6 1292 1142 45.97% 25.96% 28.07%+0.32 -35.5 32
2021-12-08 Borec L 1-347.5 1013 1024 46.84% 25.90% 27.26%+0.35 -25.5 5
2021-12-08 @ Pelister W 3-147.5 1024 1013 27.26% 25.90% 46.84%-0.35 +25.5 12
2021-12-08 Rabotnicki L 1-253.0 1181 1130 54.26% 25.07% 20.67%+0.64 -16.7 26
2021-12-08 @ Bregalnica Shtip W 2-153.0 1130 1181 20.67% 25.07% 54.26%-0.64 +16.7 22
2021-12-08 Shkendija D 1-156.4 1389 1344 53.54% 25.18% 21.28%+0.61 -2.4 39
2021-12-08 @ Shkupi D 1-156.4 1344 1389 21.28% 25.18% 53.54%-0.61 +2.4 31
2021-12-08 Struga W 1-042.2 1134 1222 36.41% 26.25% 37.34%-0.02 +13.0 20
2021-12-08 @ Skopje L 0-142.2 1222 1134 37.34% 26.25% 36.41%+0.02 -13.1 23
2021-12-08 Tikvesh D 1-154.5 1227 1112 60.79% 23.78% 15.43%+0.95 -3.5 27
2021-12-08 @ Renova D 1-154.5 1112 1227 15.43% 23.78% 60.79%-0.95 +3.4 15
2021-12-11 Bregalnica Shtip L 1-346.1 1115 1164 41.81% 26.16% 32.03%+0.17 -23.2 15
2021-12-11 @ Tikvesh W 3-146.1 1164 1115 32.03% 26.16% 41.81%-0.17 +23.2 29
2021-12-12 Makedonija GP L 1-250.4 1147 1177 44.33% 26.06% 29.62%+0.26 -14.1 22
2021-12-12 @ Rabotnicki W 2-150.4 1177 1147 29.62% 26.06% 44.33%-0.26 +14.0 27
2021-12-12 Pelister W 1-031.1 1257 988 72.96% 19.44% 7.60%+1.68 +3.0 35
2021-12-12 @ AP Brera Strumica L 0-131.1 988 1257 7.60% 19.44% 72.96%-1.68 -3.0 5
2021-12-12 Shkupi L 0-328.4 1050 1387 12.04% 22.42% 65.54%-1.20 -13.4 12
2021-12-12 @ Borec W 3-028.4 1387 1050 65.54% 22.42% 12.04%+1.20 +13.4 42
2021-12-12 Skopje W 1-033.0 1347 1147 67.98% 21.56% 10.46%+1.35 +4.2 34
2021-12-12 @ Shkendija L 0-133.0 1147 1347 10.46% 21.56% 67.98%-1.35 -4.2 20
2021-12-14 Renova W 1-039.3 1209 1223 46.38% 25.93% 27.69%+0.33 +10.4 26
2021-12-14 @ Struga L 0-139.3 1223 1209 27.69% 25.93% 46.38%-0.33 -10.4 27
2022-02-12 Renova L 1-250.6 1188 1213 45.01% 26.02% 28.97%+0.28 -14.2 29
2022-02-12 @ Bregalnica Shtip W 2-150.6 1213 1188 28.97% 26.02% 45.01%-0.28 +14.2 30
2022-02-13 AP Brera Strumica W 2-141.6 1400 1260 63.12% 23.16% 13.72%+1.07 +5.2 45
2022-02-13 @ Shkupi L 1-241.6 1260 1400 13.72% 23.16% 63.12%-1.07 -5.2 35
2022-02-13 Borec D 1-154.4 1143 1036 60.03% 23.96% 16.00%+0.91 -3.3 21
2022-02-13 @ Skopje D 1-154.4 1036 1143 16.00% 23.96% 60.03%-0.91 +3.3 13
2022-02-13 Rabotnicki L 0-235.9 985 1133 28.31% 25.97% 45.71%-0.31 -19.9 5
2022-02-13 @ Pelister W 2-035.9 1133 985 45.71% 25.97% 28.31%+0.31 +19.9 25
2022-02-13 Struga W 3-137.7 1351 1219 62.37% 23.37% 14.26%+1.03 +9.5 37
2022-02-13 @ Shkendija L 1-337.7 1219 1351 14.26% 23.37% 62.37%-1.03 -9.5 26
2022-02-13 Tikvesh W 1-035.2 1191 1092 59.29% 24.13% 16.58%+0.87 +6.7 30
2022-02-13 @ Makedonija GP L 0-135.2 1092 1191 16.58% 24.13% 59.29%-0.87 -6.7 15
2022-02-19 Shkendija L 0-328.8 1040 1360 12.96% 22.85% 64.19%-1.13 -14.4 13
2022-02-19 @ Borec W 3-028.8 1360 1040 64.19% 22.85% 12.96%+1.13 +14.4 40
2022-02-20 Bregalnica Shtip D 1-154.1 1210 1173 52.58% 25.31% 22.11%+0.57 -2.2 27
2022-02-20 @ Struga D 1-154.1 1173 1210 22.11% 25.31% 52.58%-0.57 +2.2 30
2022-02-20 Makedonija GP L 0-146.4 1227 1198 51.77% 25.41% 22.81%+0.54 -17.0 30
2022-02-20 @ Renova W 1-046.4 1198 1227 22.81% 25.41% 51.77%-0.54 +17.0 33
2022-02-20 Pelister W 1-034.5 1085 965 61.35% 23.64% 15.01%+0.98 +6.1 18
2022-02-20 @ Tikvesh L 0-134.5 965 1085 15.01% 23.64% 61.35%-0.98 -6.1 5
2022-02-20 Shkupi L 0-136.3 1153 1405 17.75% 24.45% 57.80%-0.80 -7.1 25
2022-02-20 @ Rabotnicki W 1-036.3 1405 1153 57.80% 24.45% 17.75%+0.80 +7.1 48
2022-02-20 Skopje W 5-030.1 1254 1140 60.76% 23.79% 15.45%+0.95 +27.6 38
2022-02-20 @ AP Brera Strumica L 0-530.1 1140 1254 15.45% 23.79% 60.76%-0.95 -27.6 21
2022-02-26 Bregalnica Shtip W 2-143.4 1215 1176 52.95% 25.26% 21.79%+0.59 +8.0 36
2022-02-26 @ Makedonija GP L 1-243.4 1176 1215 21.79% 25.26% 52.95%-0.59 -8.0 30
2022-02-27 AP Brera Strumica D 0-050.4 1375 1282 58.67% 24.27% 17.06%+0.84 -3.5 41
2022-02-27 @ Shkendija D 0-050.4 1282 1375 17.06% 24.27% 58.67%-0.84 +3.5 39
2022-02-27 Rabotnicki L 0-144.0 1112 1146 43.93% 26.08% 29.99%+0.24 -14.8 21
2022-02-27 @ Skopje W 1-044.0 1146 1112 29.99% 26.08% 43.93%-0.24 +14.8 28
2022-02-27 Struga L 0-138.0 1025 1207 24.41% 25.62% 49.97%-0.47 -9.4 13
2022-02-27 @ Borec W 1-038.0 1207 1025 49.97% 25.62% 24.41%+0.47 +9.4 30
2022-02-27 Tikvesh W 3-241.6 1412 1092 76.22% 17.79% 5.99%+1.93 +2.0 51
2022-02-27 @ Shkupi L 2-341.6 1092 1412 5.99% 17.79% 76.22%-1.93 -2.0 18
2022-02-28 Renova D 1-154.2 959 1210 17.82% 24.47% 57.71%-0.80 +3.0 6
2022-02-28 @ Pelister D 1-154.2 1210 959 57.71% 24.47% 17.82%+0.80 -3.0 31
2022-03-05 Skopje W 3-033.7 1089 1097 47.25% 25.86% 26.88%+0.36 +27.8 21
2022-03-05 @ Tikvesh L 0-333.7 1097 1089 26.88% 25.86% 47.25%-0.36 -27.8 21
2022-03-09 Borec W 5-026.4 1285 1016 73.00% 19.42% 7.58%+1.69 +13.2 42
2022-03-09 @ AP Brera Strumica L 0-526.4 1016 1285 7.58% 19.42% 73.00%-1.69 -13.2 13
2022-03-09 Makedonija GP L 1-347.9 1217 1223 47.45% 25.85% 26.70%+0.37 -25.8 30
2022-03-09 @ Struga W 3-147.9 1223 1217 26.70% 25.85% 47.45%-0.37 +25.8 39
2022-03-09 Pelister W 2-138.6 1168 962 68.50% 21.36% 10.14%+1.38 +3.9 33
2022-03-09 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 1-238.6 962 1168 10.14% 21.36% 68.50%-1.38 -3.9 6
2022-03-09 Shkendija W 2-153.3 1160 1371 21.45% 25.21% 53.34%-0.60 +16.4 31
2022-03-09 @ Rabotnicki L 1-253.3 1371 1160 53.34% 25.21% 21.45%+0.60 -16.4 41
2022-03-09 Shkupi D 0-049.8 1207 1414 21.82% 25.26% 52.92%-0.59 +2.5 32
2022-03-09 @ Renova D 0-049.8 1414 1207 52.92% 25.26% 21.82%+0.59 -2.5 52
2022-03-12 Rabotnicki W 2-029.3 1412 1177 70.62% 20.50% 8.89%+1.52 +6.7 55
2022-03-12 @ Shkupi L 0-229.3 1177 1412 8.89% 20.50% 70.62%-1.52 -6.7 31
2022-03-13 Borec W 3-028.2 1171 1003 65.55% 22.42% 12.03%+1.21 +13.4 36
2022-03-13 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 0-328.2 1003 1171 12.03% 22.42% 65.55%-1.21 -13.4 13
2022-03-13 Skopje D 1-155.0 1249 1070 66.39% 22.13% 11.48%+1.25 -4.3 40
2022-03-13 @ Makedonija GP D 1-155.0 1070 1249 11.48% 22.13% 66.39%-1.25 +4.3 22
2022-03-13 Struga W 1-035.3 1299 1191 60.10% 23.95% 15.95%+0.91 +6.4 45
2022-03-13 @ AP Brera Strumica L 0-135.3 1191 1299 15.95% 23.95% 60.10%-0.91 -6.4 30
2022-03-13 Tikvesh W 2-138.2 1355 1117 70.81% 20.41% 8.78%+1.53 +3.3 44
2022-03-13 @ Shkendija L 1-238.2 1117 1355 8.78% 20.41% 70.81%-1.53 -3.3 21
2022-03-14 Pelister D 0-050.3 1210 958 71.81% 19.97% 8.22%+1.60 -5.6 33
2022-03-14 @ Renova D 0-050.3 958 1210 8.22% 19.97% 71.81%-1.60 +5.6 7
2022-03-18 Shkupi L 1-339.8 1184 1419 19.31% 24.81% 55.88%-0.71 -12.5 30
2022-03-18 @ Struga W 3-139.8 1419 1184 55.88% 24.81% 19.31%+0.71 +12.5 58
2022-03-19 AP Brera Strumica L 1-244.1 1114 1305 23.46% 25.50% 51.04%-0.51 -8.5 21
2022-03-19 @ Tikvesh W 2-144.1 1305 1114 51.04% 25.50% 23.46%+0.51 +8.5 48
2022-03-19 Bregalnica Shtip W 2-043.5 963 1185 20.44% 25.03% 54.53%-0.66 +33.5 10
2022-03-19 @ Pelister L 0-243.5 1185 963 54.53% 25.03% 20.44%+0.66 -33.5 36
2022-03-19 Makedonija GP L 0-135.6 989 1245 17.52% 24.39% 58.09%-0.82 -7.0 13
2022-03-19 @ Borec W 1-035.6 1245 989 58.09% 24.39% 17.52%+0.82 +7.0 43
2022-03-19 Rabotnicki W 2-143.6 1204 1170 52.33% 25.34% 22.32%+0.56 +8.2 36
2022-03-19 @ Renova L 1-243.6 1170 1204 22.32% 25.34% 52.33%-0.56 -8.2 31
2022-03-19 Shkendija L 0-231.6 1074 1358 15.34% 23.75% 60.91%-0.95 -11.7 22
2022-03-19 @ Skopje W 2-031.6 1358 1074 60.91% 23.75% 15.34%+0.95 +11.7 47
2022-04-02 Struga L 1-347.6 1162 1172 46.99% 25.88% 27.12%+0.35 -25.5 31
2022-04-02 @ Rabotnicki W 3-147.6 1172 1162 27.12% 25.88% 46.99%-0.35 +25.5 33
2022-04-03 Borec D 0-051.7 1370 982 79.97% 15.65% 4.38%+2.25 -6.5 48
2022-04-03 @ Shkendija D 0-051.7 982 1370 4.38% 15.65% 79.97%-2.25 +6.5 14
2022-04-03 Pelister W 2-028.1 1252 997 72.00% 19.89% 8.11%+1.61 +6.1 46
2022-04-03 @ Makedonija GP L 0-228.1 997 1252 8.11% 19.89% 72.00%-1.61 -6.1 10
2022-04-03 Renova D 2-259.9 1151 1212 40.15% 26.21% 33.64%+0.11 -0.3 37
2022-04-03 @ Bregalnica Shtip D 2-259.9 1212 1151 33.64% 26.21% 40.15%-0.11 +0.3 37
2022-04-03 Skopje L 1-256.8 1314 1062 71.76% 19.99% 8.24%+1.60 -21.3 48
2022-04-03 @ AP Brera Strumica W 2-156.8 1062 1314 8.24% 19.99% 71.76%-1.60 +21.3 25
2022-04-03 Tikvesh W 1-030.6 1431 1105 76.51% 17.63% 5.86%+1.95 +2.2 61
2022-04-03 @ Shkupi L 0-130.6 1105 1431 5.86% 17.63% 76.51%-1.95 -2.2 21
2022-04-06 AP Brera Strumica D 1-154.6 989 1292 14.04% 23.29% 62.67%-1.05 +3.7 15
2022-04-06 @ Borec D 1-154.6 1292 989 62.67% 23.29% 14.04%+1.05 -3.7 49
2022-04-06 Makedonija GP L 0-143.9 1213 1258 42.37% 26.14% 31.49%+0.19 -14.4 37
2022-04-06 @ Renova W 1-043.9 1258 1213 31.49% 26.14% 42.37%-0.19 +14.4 49
2022-04-06 Rabotnicki L 0-340.6 1151 1136 50.04% 25.61% 24.35%+0.47 -45.2 37
2022-04-06 @ Bregalnica Shtip W 3-040.6 1136 1151 24.35% 25.61% 50.04%-0.47 +45.2 34
2022-04-06 Shkendija L 0-229.3 991 1363 10.22% 21.41% 68.37%-1.37 -7.8 10
2022-04-06 @ Pelister W 2-029.3 1363 991 68.37% 21.41% 10.22%+1.37 +7.8 51
2022-04-06 Shkupi D 0-050.2 1084 1433 11.35% 22.06% 66.59%-1.27 +4.8 26
2022-04-06 @ Skopje D 0-050.2 1433 1084 66.59% 22.06% 11.35%+1.27 -4.8 62
2022-04-06 Struga W 2-039.1 1103 1197 35.42% 26.24% 38.35%-0.05 +25.1 24
2022-04-06 @ Tikvesh L 0-239.1 1197 1103 38.35% 26.24% 35.42%+0.05 -25.1 33
2022-04-10 Borec W 3-131.2 1428 992 82.37% 14.14% 3.49%+2.48 +2.0 65
2022-04-10 @ Shkupi L 1-331.2 992 1428 3.49% 14.14% 82.37%-2.48 -2.0 15
2022-04-10 Bregalnica Shtip D 1-155.0 1272 1106 65.33% 22.49% 12.18%+1.19 -4.1 50
2022-04-10 @ Makedonija GP D 1-155.0 1106 1272 12.18% 22.49% 65.33%-1.19 +4.1 38
2022-04-10 Pelister W 2-027.1 1289 983 75.30% 18.28% 6.42%+1.86 +4.7 52
2022-04-10 @ AP Brera Strumica L 0-227.1 983 1289 6.42% 18.28% 75.30%-1.86 -4.7 10
2022-04-10 Renova D 1-155.6 1371 1198 65.88% 22.31% 11.81%+1.22 -4.2 52
2022-04-10 @ Shkendija D 1-155.6 1198 1371 11.81% 22.31% 65.88%-1.22 +4.2 38
2022-04-10 Skopje W 1-035.7 1172 1088 57.78% 24.45% 17.77%+0.80 +7.1 36
2022-04-10 @ Struga L 0-135.7 1088 1172 17.77% 24.45% 57.78%-0.80 -7.1 26
2022-04-10 Tikvesh W 1-036.7 1182 1128 54.52% 25.03% 20.45%+0.65 +8.1 37
2022-04-10 @ Rabotnicki L 0-136.7 1128 1182 20.45% 25.03% 54.52%-0.65 -8.1 24
2022-04-16 Rabotnicki W 1-036.1 1268 1190 57.17% 24.57% 18.26%+0.77 +7.3 53
2022-04-16 @ Makedonija GP L 0-136.1 1190 1268 18.26% 24.57% 57.17%-0.77 -7.3 37
2022-04-16 Shkupi L 0-131.0 978 1430 7.09% 18.96% 73.94%-1.75 -2.8 10
2022-04-16 @ Pelister W 1-031.0 1430 978 73.94% 18.96% 7.09%+1.75 +2.8 68
2022-04-16 Struga W 2-042.5 990 1180 23.67% 25.53% 50.80%-0.50 +31.5 18
2022-04-16 @ Borec L 0-242.5 1180 990 50.80% 25.53% 23.67%+0.50 -31.5 36
2022-04-17 AP Brera Strumica L 0-142.0 1202 1293 35.93% 26.24% 37.83%-0.03 -12.7 38
2022-04-17 @ Renova W 1-042.0 1293 1202 37.83% 26.24% 35.93%+0.03 +12.7 55
2022-04-17 Shkendija D 0-049.3 1110 1367 17.38% 24.36% 58.26%-0.82 +3.4 39
2022-04-17 @ Bregalnica Shtip D 0-049.3 1367 1110 58.26% 24.36% 17.38%+0.82 -3.4 53
2022-04-17 Tikvesh L 1-249.9 1081 1120 43.18% 26.11% 30.71%+0.21 -13.8 26
2022-04-17 @ Skopje W 2-149.9 1120 1081 30.71% 26.11% 43.18%-0.21 +13.8 27
2022-04-22 Bregalnica Shtip W 2-139.1 1306 1113 67.45% 21.75% 10.79%+1.32 +4.1 58
2022-04-22 @ AP Brera Strumica L 1-239.1 1113 1306 10.79% 21.75% 67.45%-1.32 -4.1 39
2022-04-22 Skopje L 0-148.4 1182 1067 60.80% 23.78% 15.42%+0.95 -19.6 37
2022-04-22 @ Rabotnicki W 1-048.4 1067 1182 15.42% 23.78% 60.80%-0.95 +19.6 29
2022-04-23 Borec W 5-030.0 1134 1022 60.52% 23.85% 15.63%+0.93 +27.9 30
2022-04-23 @ Tikvesh L 0-530.0 1022 1134 15.63% 23.85% 60.52%-0.93 -27.9 18
2022-04-23 Makedonija GP W 3-139.4 1364 1275 58.21% 24.37% 17.43%+0.82 +11.4 56
2022-04-23 @ Shkendija L 1-339.4 1275 1364 17.43% 24.37% 58.21%-0.82 -11.4 53
2022-04-23 Pelister W 4-027.9 1148 975 65.85% 22.32% 11.83%+1.22 +17.2 39
2022-04-23 @ Struga L 0-427.9 975 1148 11.83% 22.32% 65.85%-1.22 -17.2 10
2022-04-23 Renova W 2-029.4 1433 1190 71.22% 20.23% 8.55%+1.56 +6.4 71
2022-04-23 @ Shkupi L 0-229.4 1190 1433 8.55% 20.23% 71.22%-1.56 -6.4 38
2022-04-30 Rabotnicki W 1-032.9 1375 1163 68.95% 21.18% 9.86%+1.41 +4.0 59
2022-04-30 @ Shkendija L 0-132.9 1163 1375 9.86% 21.18% 68.95%-1.41 -4.0 37
2022-04-30 Shkupi W 4-149.6 1109 1440 12.40% 22.59% 65.01%-1.17 +48.1 42
2022-04-30 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 1-449.6 1440 1109 65.01% 22.59% 12.40%+1.17 -48.1 71
2022-05-01 AP Brera Strumica W 1-041.1 1264 1310 42.20% 26.15% 31.65%+0.18 +11.5 56
2022-05-01 @ Makedonija GP L 0-141.1 1310 1264 31.65% 26.15% 42.20%-0.18 -11.5 58
2022-05-01 Skopje W 1-042.3 994 1087 35.61% 26.24% 38.15%-0.04 +13.3 21
2022-05-01 @ Borec L 0-142.3 1087 994 38.15% 26.24% 35.61%+0.04 -13.3 29
2022-05-01 Struga D 1-154.0 1183 1165 50.48% 25.56% 23.96%+0.49 -1.9 39
2022-05-01 @ Renova D 1-154.0 1165 1183 23.96% 25.56% 50.48%-0.49 +1.9 40
2022-05-01 Tikvesh D 1-154.0 958 1162 22.18% 25.32% 52.50%-0.57 +2.2 11
2022-05-01 @ Pelister D 1-154.0 1162 958 52.50% 25.32% 22.18%+0.57 -2.2 31
2022-05-04 Borec W 2-139.9 1159 1007 64.08% 22.88% 13.04%+1.12 +5.0 40
2022-05-04 @ Rabotnicki L 1-239.9 1007 1159 13.04% 22.88% 64.08%-1.12 -5.0 21
2022-05-04 Bregalnica Shtip W 1-038.2 1167 1157 49.46% 25.67% 24.87%+0.45 +9.5 43
2022-05-04 @ Struga L 0-138.2 1157 1167 24.87% 25.67% 49.46%-0.45 -9.5 42
2022-05-04 Makedonija GP D 1-155.9 1392 1275 60.93% 23.75% 15.32%+0.95 -3.5 72
2022-05-04 @ Shkupi D 1-155.9 1275 1392 15.32% 23.75% 60.93%-0.95 +3.5 57
2022-05-04 Pelister W 4-240.9 1074 961 60.64% 23.82% 15.54%+0.94 +9.2 32
2022-05-04 @ Skopje L 2-440.9 961 1074 15.54% 23.82% 60.64%-0.94 -9.2 11
2022-05-04 Renova L 0-144.5 1160 1181 45.46% 25.99% 28.55%+0.30 -15.2 31
2022-05-04 @ Tikvesh W 1-044.5 1181 1160 28.55% 25.99% 45.46%-0.30 +15.2 42
2022-05-04 Shkendija W 4-249.5 1298 1379 37.40% 26.25% 36.35%+0.02 +18.7 61
2022-05-04 @ AP Brera Strumica L 2-449.5 1379 1298 36.35% 26.25% 37.40%-0.02 -18.7 59
2022-05-08 Borec W 2-146.7 951 1002 41.54% 26.17% 32.29%+0.16 +11.0 14
2022-05-08 @ Pelister L 1-246.7 1002 951 32.29% 26.17% 41.54%-0.16 -11.0 21
2022-05-08 Rabotnicki W 2-140.2 1317 1164 64.25% 22.83% 12.92%+1.13 +5.0 64
2022-05-08 @ AP Brera Strumica L 1-240.2 1164 1317 12.92% 22.83% 64.25%-1.13 -5.0 40
2022-05-08 Shkupi D 0-051.1 1360 1388 44.66% 26.04% 29.30%+0.27 -1.2 60
2022-05-08 @ Shkendija D 0-051.1 1388 1360 29.30% 26.04% 44.66%-0.27 +1.2 73
2022-05-08 Skopje W 2-031.5 1197 1083 60.68% 23.81% 15.51%+0.94 +11.8 45
2022-05-08 @ Renova L 0-231.5 1083 1197 15.51% 23.81% 60.68%-0.94 -11.8 32
2022-05-08 Struga L 1-351.1 1279 1177 59.57% 24.07% 16.36%+0.89 -31.5 57
2022-05-08 @ Makedonija GP W 3-151.1 1177 1279 16.36% 24.07% 59.57%-0.89 +31.5 46
2022-05-08 Tikvesh W 1-038.4 1148 1144 48.67% 25.74% 25.58%+0.42 +9.7 45
2022-05-08 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 0-138.4 1144 1148 25.58% 25.74% 48.67%-0.42 -9.7 31
2022-05-15 AP Brera Strumica W 3-033.1 1389 1322 56.02% 24.78% 19.19%+0.72 +20.9 76
2022-05-15 @ Shkupi L 0-333.1 1322 1389 19.19% 24.78% 56.02%-0.72 -20.9 64
2022-05-15 Bregalnica Shtip W 4-141.8 1071 1158 36.55% 26.25% 37.21%-0.01 +30.0 35
2022-05-15 @ Skopje L 1-441.8 1158 1071 37.21% 26.25% 36.55%+0.01 -30.0 45
2022-05-15 Makedonija GP W 2-149.4 1135 1247 32.89% 26.19% 40.92%-0.14 +13.2 34
2022-05-15 @ Tikvesh L 1-249.4 1247 1135 40.92% 26.19% 32.89%+0.14 -13.2 57
2022-05-15 Pelister W 2-138.8 1159 962 67.76% 21.64% 10.60%+1.34 +4.1 43
2022-05-15 @ Rabotnicki L 1-238.8 962 1159 10.60% 21.64% 67.76%-1.34 -4.0 14
2022-05-15 Renova L 1-534.9 991 1208 20.86% 25.10% 54.04%-0.63 -24.5 21
2022-05-15 @ Borec W 5-134.9 1208 991 54.04% 25.10% 20.86%+0.63 +24.5 48
2022-05-15 Shkendija D 1-154.5 1208 1359 27.99% 25.95% 46.06%-0.32 +1.3 47
2022-05-15 @ Struga D 1-154.5 1359 1208 46.06% 25.95% 27.99%+0.32 -1.3 61

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2022-04-03 8.24% Skopje 1062 2 @ AP Brera Strumica 1314 1
2 2022-04-30 12.40% @ Bregalnica Shtip 1109 4 Shkupi 1440 1
3 2021-08-15 13.88% Renova 1147 2 @ Shkendija 1284 1
4 2022-04-22 15.42% Skopje 1067 1 @ Rabotnicki 1182 0
5 2022-05-08 16.36% Struga 1177 3 @ Makedonija GP 1279 1
6 2021-11-06 18.63% @ Makedonija GP 1118 2 Shkupi 1360 1
7 2021-10-15 18.96% Skopje 1149 1 @ Rabotnicki 1219 0
8 2022-03-19 20.44% @ Pelister 963 2 Bregalnica Shtip 1185 0
9 2021-12-08 20.67% Rabotnicki 1130 2 @ Bregalnica Shtip 1181 1
10 2022-03-09 21.45% @ Rabotnicki 1160 2 Shkendija 1371 1
11 2022-02-20 22.81% Makedonija GP 1198 1 @ Renova 1227 0
12 2021-11-20 22.84% Makedonija GP 1135 2 @ Skopje 1164 1
13 2022-04-16 23.67% @ Borec 990 2 Struga 1180 0
14 2022-04-06 24.35% Rabotnicki 1136 3 @ Bregalnica Shtip 1151 0
15 2021-09-26 26.11% Skopje 1120 2 @ Borec 1118 0
16 2022-03-09 26.70% Makedonija GP 1223 3 @ Struga 1217 1
17 2022-04-02 27.12% Struga 1172 3 @ Rabotnicki 1162 1
18 2021-12-08 27.26% Borec 1024 3 @ Pelister 1013 1
19 2021-12-08 28.07% @ Makedonija GP 1142 4 AP Brera Strumica 1292 1
20 2022-05-04 28.55% Renova 1181 1 @ Tikvesh 1160 0
21 2022-02-12 28.97% Renova 1213 2 @ Bregalnica Shtip 1188 1
22 2021-10-30 29.36% Makedonija GP 1090 2 @ Pelister 1061 0
23 2021-12-12 29.62% Makedonija GP 1177 2 @ Rabotnicki 1147 1
24 2021-10-02 29.70% @ Bregalnica Shtip 1118 1 Struga 1255 0
25 2022-02-27 29.99% Rabotnicki 1146 1 @ Skopje 1112 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2022-04-30 48.07 @ Bregalnica Shtip 4 1109 12.40% Shkupi 1 1440 65.01% 22.59%
2 2022-04-06 45.19 Rabotnicki 3 1136 24.35% @ Bregalnica Shtip 0 1151 50.04% 25.61%
3 2021-11-06 40.09 AP Brera Strumica 3 1238 30.55% @ Rabotnicki 0 1200 43.34% 26.10%
4 2021-10-24 38.48 Bregalnica Shtip 3 1154 32.66% @ Pelister 0 1100 41.15% 26.19%
5 2021-09-26 36.46 @ Tikvesh 3 1051 35.39% Makedonija GP 0 1145 38.37% 26.24%
6 2021-12-08 35.47 @ Makedonija GP 4 1142 28.07% AP Brera Strumica 1 1292 45.97% 25.96%
7 2022-03-19 33.55 @ Pelister 2 963 20.44% Bregalnica Shtip 0 1185 54.53% 25.03%
8 2022-04-16 31.53 @ Borec 2 990 23.67% Struga 0 1180 50.80% 25.53%
9 2022-05-08 31.45 Struga 3 1177 16.36% @ Makedonija GP 1 1279 59.57% 24.07%
10 2021-09-26 30.08 Skopje 2 1120 26.11% @ Borec 0 1118 48.10% 25.80%
11 2022-05-15 30.05 @ Skopje 4 1071 36.55% Bregalnica Shtip 1 1158 37.21% 26.25%
12 2021-08-22 29.44 @ Shkendija 4 1264 53.96% Makedonija GP 0 1216 20.92% 25.12%
13 2021-08-18 28.79 @ Makedonija GP 5 1187 48.97% Skopje 1 1182 25.31% 25.72%
14 2021-10-30 28.25 Makedonija GP 2 1090 29.36% @ Pelister 0 1061 44.60% 26.04%
15 2022-04-23 27.87 @ Tikvesh 5 1134 60.52% Borec 0 1022 15.63% 23.85%
16 2022-03-05 27.77 @ Tikvesh 3 1089 47.25% Skopje 0 1097 26.88% 25.86%
17 2021-09-19 27.72 Rabotnicki 2 1209 30.34% @ Makedonija GP 0 1173 43.56% 26.09%
18 2022-02-20 27.56 @ AP Brera Strumica 5 1254 60.76% Skopje 0 1140 15.45% 23.79%
19 2022-03-09 25.75 Makedonija GP 3 1223 26.70% @ Struga 1 1217 47.45% 25.85%
20 2022-04-02 25.54 Struga 3 1172 27.12% @ Rabotnicki 1 1162 46.99% 25.88%
21 2021-12-08 25.48 Borec 3 1024 27.26% @ Pelister 1 1013 46.84% 25.90%
22 2022-04-06 25.10 @ Tikvesh 2 1103 35.42% Struga 0 1197 38.35% 26.24%
23 2021-08-18 25.01 AP Brera Strumica 2 1195 35.61% @ Tikvesh 0 1120 38.15% 26.24%
24 2022-05-15 24.46 Renova 5 1208 54.04% @ Borec 1 991 20.86% 25.10%
25 2021-09-12 24.43 Renova 2 1174 36.78% @ Tikvesh 0 1091 36.97% 26.25%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2021-08-18 63.4 @ Bregalnica Shtip 3 1117 28.27% Shkendija 3 1265 45.76% 25.97%
2 2021-08-28 60.1 @ Pelister 2 1117 25.00% Shkendija 2 1294 49.32% 25.68%
3 2022-04-03 59.9 @ Bregalnica Shtip 2 1151 40.15% Renova 2 1212 33.64% 26.21%
4 2022-04-03 56.8 Skopje 2 1062 8.24% @ AP Brera Strumica 1 1314 71.76% 19.99%
5 2021-12-08 56.4 @ Shkupi 1 1389 53.54% Shkendija 1 1344 21.28% 25.18%
6 2022-05-04 55.9 @ Shkupi 1 1392 60.93% Makedonija GP 1 1275 15.32% 23.75%
7 2021-10-30 55.7 @ Shkendija 1 1320 71.33% Tikvesh 1 1075 8.48% 20.19%
8 2022-04-10 55.6 @ Shkendija 1 1371 65.88% Renova 1 1198 11.81% 22.31%
9 2021-08-15 55.2 Renova 2 1147 13.88% @ Shkendija 1 1284 62.89% 23.23%
10 2022-03-13 55.0 @ Makedonija GP 1 1249 66.39% Skopje 1 1070 11.48% 22.13%
11 2022-04-10 55.0 @ Makedonija GP 1 1272 65.33% Bregalnica Shtip 1 1106 12.18% 22.49%
12 2021-10-16 54.9 @ Struga 1 1240 64.98% Borec 1 1078 12.42% 22.60%
13 2021-09-26 54.6 @ Rabotnicki 1 1237 61.87% Pelister 1 1110 14.62% 23.51%
14 2022-04-06 54.6 @ Borec 1 989 14.04% AP Brera Strumica 1 1292 62.67% 23.29%
15 2021-12-08 54.5 @ Renova 1 1227 60.79% Tikvesh 1 1112 15.43% 23.78%
16 2022-05-15 54.5 @ Struga 1 1208 27.99% Shkendija 1 1359 46.06% 25.95%
17 2021-09-26 54.4 @ Struga 1 1255 41.04% Shkendija 1 1310 32.77% 26.19%
18 2022-02-13 54.4 @ Skopje 1 1143 60.03% Borec 1 1036 16.00% 23.96%
19 2021-08-28 54.2 @ Bregalnica Shtip 3 1119 33.34% AP Brera Strumica 2 1229 40.46% 26.20%
20 2022-02-28 54.2 @ Pelister 1 959 17.82% Renova 1 1210 57.71% 24.47%
21 2022-02-20 54.1 @ Struga 1 1210 52.58% Bregalnica Shtip 1 1173 22.11% 25.31%
22 2021-08-28 54.0 @ Tikvesh 1 1089 25.25% Struga 1 1263 49.04% 25.71%
23 2022-05-01 54.0 @ Renova 1 1183 50.48% Struga 1 1165 23.96% 25.56%
24 2022-05-01 54.0 @ Pelister 1 958 22.18% Tikvesh 1 1162 52.50% 25.32%
25 2021-08-08 53.9 @ AP Brera Strumica 1 1175 39.59% Struga 1 1240 34.19% 26.22%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2021-11-21 25.5 @ Shkupi 5 1342 76.07% Pelister 0 1024 6.06% 17.87%
2 2022-03-09 26.4 @ AP Brera Strumica 5 1285 73.00% Borec 0 1016 7.58% 19.42%
3 2021-10-02 27.1 @ Shkendija 3 1311 69.70% Borec 0 1088 9.42% 20.88%
4 2022-04-10 27.1 @ AP Brera Strumica 2 1289 75.30% Pelister 0 983 6.42% 18.28%
5 2022-04-23 27.9 @ Struga 4 1148 65.85% Pelister 0 975 11.83% 22.32%
6 2022-04-03 28.1 @ Makedonija GP 2 1252 72.00% Pelister 0 997 8.11% 19.89%
7 2022-03-13 28.2 @ Bregalnica Shtip 3 1171 65.55% Borec 0 1003 12.03% 22.42%
8 2021-12-12 28.4 Shkupi 3 1387 65.54% @ Borec 0 1050 12.04% 22.42%
9 2022-02-19 28.8 Shkendija 3 1360 64.19% @ Borec 0 1040 12.96% 22.85%
10 2021-09-19 29.2 @ Shkupi 3 1268 62.59% Borec 0 1134 14.10% 23.31%
11 2022-03-12 29.3 @ Shkupi 2 1412 70.62% Rabotnicki 0 1177 8.89% 20.50%
12 2022-04-06 29.3 Shkendija 2 1363 68.37% @ Pelister 0 991 10.22% 21.41%
13 2022-04-23 29.4 @ Shkupi 2 1433 71.22% Renova 0 1190 8.55% 20.23%
14 2021-10-29 29.7 @ Shkupi 5 1336 63.40% Bregalnica Shtip 0 1192 13.52% 23.08%
15 2022-04-23 30.0 @ Tikvesh 5 1134 60.52% Borec 0 1022 15.63% 23.85%
16 2022-02-20 30.1 @ AP Brera Strumica 5 1254 60.76% Skopje 0 1140 15.45% 23.79%
17 2021-11-28 30.6 @ Shkupi 4 1353 59.73% Struga 0 1249 16.23% 24.03%
18 2022-04-03 30.6 @ Shkupi 1 1431 76.51% Tikvesh 0 1105 5.86% 17.63%
19 2022-04-16 31.0 Shkupi 1 1430 73.94% @ Pelister 0 978 7.09% 18.96%
20 2021-12-12 31.1 @ AP Brera Strumica 1 1257 72.96% Pelister 0 988 7.60% 19.44%
21 2022-04-10 31.2 @ Shkupi 3 1428 82.37% Borec 1 992 3.49% 14.14%
22 2022-05-08 31.5 @ Renova 2 1197 60.68% Skopje 0 1083 15.51% 23.81%
23 2021-10-16 31.6 @ Renova 2 1225 60.62% Pelister 0 1112 15.55% 23.82%
24 2022-03-19 31.6 Shkendija 2 1358 60.91% @ Skopje 0 1074 15.34% 23.75%
25 2021-08-22 31.8 @ Shkendija 4 1264 53.96% Makedonija GP 0 1216 20.92% 25.12%