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2023-24 Macedonian First Football League Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Shkendija

64 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Shkendija

7.79 points above expected

64 points · 56.21 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Makedonija GP

10.70 points below expected

29 points · 39.70 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Shkendija 33 18 10 5 64 55 27 +28 56.21 +7.79
2 Struga 33 20 4 9 64 56 33 +23 61.63 +2.37
3 Shkupi 33 17 11 5 62 42 23 +19 62.01 -0.01
4 Tikvesh 33 12 8 13 44 41 40 +1 45.32 -1.32
5 Sileks 33 10 13 10 43 36 40 -4 45.55 -2.55
6 AP Brera Strumica 33 11 9 13 42 34 33 +1 39.99 +2.01
7 Voska Sport 33 10 12 11 42 37 41 -4 44.88 -2.88
8 Rabotnicki 33 12 6 15 42 29 34 -5 40.07 +1.93
9 Gostivar 33 9 15 9 42 32 38 -6 36.04 +5.96
10 Vardar 33 10 7 16 37 28 43 -15 35.17 +1.83
11 Makedonija GP 33 8 5 20 29 29 44 -15 39.70 -10.70
12 Bregalnica Shtip 33 6 10 17 28 27 50 -23 37.27 -9.27

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Shkendija 64 56.21 +7.79
2 Gostivar 42 36.04 +5.96
3 Struga 64 61.63 +2.37
4 AP Brera Strumica 42 39.99 +2.01
5 Rabotnicki 42 40.07 +1.93

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Makedonija GP 29 39.70 -10.70
2 Bregalnica Shtip 28 37.27 -9.27
3 Voska Sport 42 44.88 -2.88
4 Sileks 43 45.55 -2.55
5 Tikvesh 44 45.32 -1.32

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 AP Brera Strumica 4 Aug 6 – Aug 24 1 in 71
2 Shkendija 4 Aug 6 – Aug 27 1 in 52
3 Voska Sport 4 Apr 21 – May 4 1 in 43
4 Struga 4 Sep 4 – Sep 27 1 in 16
5 Vardar 2 Oct 22 – Oct 29 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Makedonija GP 7 Dec 2 – Mar 10 1 in 516
2 Voska Sport 4 Sep 17 – Oct 1 1 in 40
3 Shkupi 2 May 1 – May 4 1 in 20
4 Tikvesh 3 Dec 3 – Feb 18 1 in 16
5 Rabotnicki 4 Mar 6 – Mar 31 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Gostivar 17 Sep 24 – Mar 16 1 in 48,984
2 Rabotnicki 7 Apr 7 – May 12 1 in 44
3 Sileks 8 Aug 13 – Oct 1 1 in 40
4 Shkupi 12 Aug 13 – Nov 5 1 in 26
5 Struga 11 Nov 29 – Mar 31 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 AP Brera Strumica 9 Aug 27 – Nov 4 1 in 38
2 Makedonija GP 7 Dec 2 – Mar 10 1 in 15
3 Voska Sport 6 Mar 6 – Apr 13 1 in 13
4 Bregalnica Shtip 8 Oct 22 – Dec 10 1 in 13
5 Shkendija 3 Oct 22 – Nov 5 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Shkendija 1324 64 +16 12 8.8 +3.2
Struga 1333 64 -5 6 8.9 -2.9
Shkupi 1313 62 -21 7 8.9 -1.9
Tikvesh 1190 44 -4 5 5.8 -0.8
Sileks 1182 43 -5 5 6.7 -1.7
Voska Sport 1203 42 +27 11 8.0 +3.0
AP Brera Strumica 1162 42 +10 8 7.0 +1.0
Rabotnicki 1154 42 +6 8 6.5 +1.5
Gostivar 1132 42 +9 5 4.4 +0.6
Vardar 1124 37 +20 8 5.8 +2.2
Makedonija GP 1118 29 -17 4 6.2 -2.2
Bregalnica Shtip 1081 28 -34 2 5.5 -3.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABS BS GOS MG RAB SHK SHK SIL STR TIK VAR VS
AP Brera Strumica —
0-2-1
4.93
0-1-2
4.07
2-0-1
4.69
1-1-1
4.71
0-2-1
2.33
0-1-2
2.24
1-1-1
3.23
2-0-1
2.19
1-0-2
3.42
2-0-1
4.94
2-1-0
4.09
Bregalnica Shtip
1-2-0
3.31
—
1-1-1
4.76
0-0-3
3.46
1-0-2
4.38
0-1-2
2.28
1-1-1
2.43
1-2-0
3.83
0-1-2
2.12
1-0-2
3.15
0-1-2
4.79
0-1-2
3.18
Gostivar
2-1-0
4.14
1-1-1
3.45
—
1-0-2
4.28
1-2-0
4.09
0-2-1
2.06
1-1-1
2.45
0-2-1
2.82
1-0-2
1.93
1-1-1
3.83
1-2-0
4.60
0-3-0
3.01
Makedonija GP
1-0-2
3.54
3-0-0
4.76
2-0-1
3.96
—
0-1-2
3.76
0-1-2
3.03
0-1-2
2.30
1-1-1
3.18
0-0-3
2.78
1-1-1
4.21
0-0-3
4.08
0-0-3
4.18
Rabotnicki
1-1-1
3.50
2-0-1
3.81
0-2-1
4.09
2-1-0
4.45
—
0-0-3
3.07
1-0-2
2.15
2-0-1
3.16
0-1-2
2.68
2-0-1
4.18
1-0-2
4.92
1-1-1
3.19
Shkendija
1-2-0
6.01
2-1-0
6.07
1-2-0
6.32
2-1-0
5.18
3-0-0
5.16
—
1-1-1
3.49
2-0-1
5.46
1-0-2
4.39
2-0-1
4.73
2-1-0
5.62
1-2-0
5.41
Shkupi
2-1-0
6.10
1-1-1
5.86
1-1-1
5.85
2-1-0
6.08
2-0-1
6.24
1-1-1
4.72
—
0-2-1
5.01
2-1-0
3.56
1-2-0
5.96
3-0-0
6.47
2-1-0
5.08
Sileks
1-1-1
5.00
0-2-1
4.37
1-2-0
5.44
1-1-1
5.04
1-0-2
5.05
1-0-2
2.82
1-2-0
3.20
—
1-1-1
2.50
1-1-1
3.79
1-2-0
5.36
1-1-1
3.73
Struga
1-0-2
6.17
2-1-0
6.28
2-0-1
6.47
3-0-0
5.49
2-1-0
5.57
2-0-1
3.81
0-1-2
4.66
1-1-1
5.81
—
2-0-1
4.98
2-0-1
5.98
3-0-0
5.89
Tikvesh
2-0-1
4.79
2-0-1
5.08
1-1-1
4.35
1-1-1
3.96
1-0-2
4.00
1-0-2
3.48
0-2-1
2.38
1-1-1
4.42
1-0-2
3.22
—
1-1-1
4.42
1-2-0
4.36
Vardar
1-0-2
3.27
2-1-0
3.42
0-2-1
3.63
3-0-0
4.13
2-0-1
3.30
0-1-2
2.65
0-0-3
1.96
0-2-1
2.90
1-0-2
2.33
1-1-1
3.76
—
0-0-3
3.75
Voska Sport
0-1-2
4.10
2-1-0
5.06
0-3-0
5.23
3-0-0
3.99
1-1-1
5.01
0-2-1
2.90
0-1-2
3.15
1-1-1
4.48
0-0-3
2.46
0-2-1
3.84
3-0-0
4.45
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.82 +11.3
Allowed 0.76 -14.2
Differential 0.96 +7.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%12.12%6.57%2.53%0.51%—32.83%
112.12%11.62%7.32%2.78%0.76%0.25%34.85%
26.57%7.32%5.05%2.78%0.25%—21.97%
32.53%2.78%2.78%——0.25%8.33%
40.51%0.76%0.25%———1.52%
5+—0.25%—0.25%——0.51%
Total32.83%34.85%21.97%8.33%1.52%0.51%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 1.13 +0.00
SD 1.05 1.05 1.45
CV 0.93 0.93 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%24.24%3.03%———36.36%
19.09%18.18%3.03%6.06%——36.36%
29.09%9.09%—3.03%——21.21%
33.03%—————3.03%
4———————
5+———3.03%——3.03%
Total30.30%51.52%6.06%12.12%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.00 +0.03
SD 1.10 0.94 1.29
CV 1.07 0.94 —
Max 5 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%12.12%12.12%3.03%3.03%—42.42%
16.06%9.09%12.12%3.03%3.03%—33.33%
2—12.12%9.09%3.03%——24.24%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%33.33%33.33%9.09%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.82 1.52 -0.70
SD 0.81 1.09 1.29
CV 0.99 0.72 —
Max 2 4 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%3.03%3.03%6.06%——30.30%
19.09%18.18%6.06%3.03%6.06%—42.42%
212.12%6.06%9.09%———27.27%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total39.39%27.27%18.18%9.09%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.15 -0.18
SD 0.77 1.23 1.45
CV 0.79 1.07 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%33.33%3.03%6.06%——45.45%
112.12%9.09%12.12%3.03%——36.36%
2—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
33.03%—3.03%——3.03%9.09%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total18.18%48.48%21.21%9.09%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 1.33 -0.45
SD 1.08 1.08 1.39
CV 1.23 0.81 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%9.09%15.15%3.03%——39.39%
121.21%6.06%12.12%———39.39%
29.09%——6.06%——15.15%
3—6.06%————6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total42.42%21.21%27.27%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 1.03 -0.15
SD 0.89 1.05 1.42
CV 1.02 1.01 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%3.03%3.03%———15.15%
115.15%12.12%9.09%———36.36%
215.15%6.06%9.09%———30.30%
33.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
4—6.06%————6.06%
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total42.42%33.33%24.24%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 0.82 +0.85
SD 1.31 0.81 1.46
CV 0.79 0.99 —
Max 6 2 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
024.24%3.03%6.06%———33.33%
118.18%6.06%3.03%3.03%——30.30%
26.06%3.03%3.03%———12.12%
39.09%6.06%9.09%———24.24%
4———————
5+———————
Total57.58%18.18%21.21%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 0.70 +0.58
SD 1.18 0.92 1.32
CV 0.93 1.32 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%15.15%3.03%———33.33%
16.06%18.18%6.06%3.03%—3.03%36.36%
23.03%12.12%6.06%———21.21%
3——6.06%———6.06%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+———————
Total24.24%45.45%24.24%3.03%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.21 -0.12
SD 1.04 1.17 1.32
CV 0.95 0.96 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%3.03%———15.15%
115.15%—12.12%———27.27%
29.09%12.12%6.06%6.06%——33.33%
33.03%15.15%3.03%———21.21%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total36.36%33.33%24.24%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.70 1.00 +0.70
SD 1.07 0.94 1.40
CV 0.63 0.94 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%12.12%6.06%———24.24%
112.12%12.12%9.09%6.06%——39.39%
23.03%9.09%6.06%6.06%——24.24%
36.06%3.03%3.03%———12.12%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%36.36%24.24%12.12%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.21 +0.03
SD 0.97 0.99 1.36
CV 0.78 0.82 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%12.12%15.15%6.06%3.03%—42.42%
118.18%9.09%3.03%3.03%——33.33%
26.06%3.03%6.06%6.06%——21.21%
33.03%—————3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%24.24%24.24%15.15%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 1.30 -0.45
SD 0.87 1.19 1.60
CV 1.03 0.91 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%12.12%6.06%6.06%——36.36%
13.03%21.21%—3.03%——27.27%
26.06%12.12%3.03%3.03%3.03%—27.27%
3——6.06%———6.06%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total24.24%45.45%15.15%12.12%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.24 -0.12
SD 1.08 1.06 1.47
CV 0.97 0.85 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Struga 1333 64 61.63 +2.37 65.0% 40 51 56 62 66 74 79
Shkendija 1324 64 56.21 +7.79 93.0% 37 44 53 57 61 65 73
Shkupi 1313 62 62.01 -0.01 51.0% 42 47 57 62 67 73 84
Voska Sport 1203 42 44.88 -2.88 37.0% 28 33 41 45 50 56 59
Tikvesh 1190 44 45.32 -1.32 45.0% 25 34 40 46 50 57 66
Sileks 1182 43 45.55 -2.55 40.0% 24 32 41 45 51 59 63
AP Brera Strumica 1162 42 39.99 +2.01 66.0% 24 28 35 39 44 53 57
Rabotnicki 1154 42 40.07 +1.93 63.0% 22 28 33 39 45 54 61
Gostivar 1132 42 36.04 +5.96 83.0% 14 25 32 36 40 47 51
Vardar 1124 37 35.17 +1.83 68.0% 17 24 31 35 39 45 57
Makedonija GP 1118 29 39.70 -10.70 4.0% 21 30 35 39 44 50 58
Bregalnica Shtip 1081 28 37.27 -9.27 9.0% 24 27 33 37 41 49 55

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 23% * Slight Edge: 23% to 31% * Clear Edge: 31% to 38% * Strong Edge: 38% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+32.83%
Clear Edge
52.53%27.78%19.70%
Elo Value
Home Edge
228 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0118.44600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.53 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.52+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.12 * Tight Race: 0.12 to 0.25 * Comfortable: 0.25 to 0.36 * Runaway: 0.36 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.4
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
11%
Shkendija, 3rd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.65 * Some Luck: 5.65 to 8.47 * Lucky: 8.47 to 11.3 * Wild Swing: 11.3 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.49 * Close: 1.49 to 2.23 * Off: 2.23 to 2.97 * Way Off: 2.97 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.23 points
As Expected
07.0618
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Close
01.864
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
93.00%
Shkendija
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
4.00%
Makedonija GP
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.9 * Moderate Separation: 1.9 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.3 * Wide Separation: 2.3 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 70.5% * Clear Edge: 70.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 93% * Clear Edge: 93% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 56.5% * Some Drama: 56.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.
Gini Index
0.14
Balanced
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 85.69
1.65
Coin-Flip Parity
11.92.12.32.75
Interquartile Edge
64%
Even
50%65%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
81%
Even
50%85%100%
Close Games
Expected
72%
Very Frequent
0%70%100%
Blowouts
Expected 9%
8%
Rare
0%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.43 * Slight Separation: 0.43 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.65 * Near-Lock: 0.65 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 18% * Upset-Prone: 18% to 21% * Very Upset-Prone: 21% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 16.5% * Very Shaky: 16.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.42
Very Even
00.430.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.62
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.65
Strong Carryover
00.410.571
Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Upset-Prone
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
16%
Shaky Favorites
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.81
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.13
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.071
Well Within Noise
00.1120.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Shkendija11.00%27.00%32.00%15.00%9.00%2.00%3.00%—1.00%———
Struga39.00%35.00%16.00%5.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%—————
Shkupi50.00%24.00%15.00%8.00%—2.00%1.00%—————
Tikvesh—4.00%8.00%15.00%18.00%15.00%13.00%4.00%8.00%8.00%5.00%2.00%
Sileks—3.00%9.00%19.00%11.00%15.00%17.00%10.00%3.00%6.00%5.00%2.00%
AP Brera Strumica—1.00%4.00%8.00%10.00%7.00%10.00%13.00%20.00%11.00%7.00%9.00%
Voska Sport—2.00%7.00%13.00%20.00%18.00%8.00%18.00%5.00%3.00%4.00%2.00%
Rabotnicki—2.00%5.00%6.00%8.00%14.00%11.00%9.00%6.00%10.00%13.00%16.00%
Gostivar——1.00%3.00%4.00%4.00%9.00%10.00%20.00%14.00%21.00%14.00%
Vardar——1.00%1.00%2.00%5.00%7.00%11.00%10.00%24.00%10.00%29.00%
Makedonija GP—2.00%—5.00%11.00%13.00%9.00%15.00%10.00%7.00%17.00%11.00%
Bregalnica Shtip——2.00%2.00%4.00%4.00%11.00%10.00%17.00%17.00%18.00%15.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Shkendija 100% — —
Shkupi 100% — —
Struga 100% — —
Voska Sport 91.00% 3.00% 6.00%
Sileks 87.00% 6.00% 7.00%
Tikvesh 85.00% 8.00% 7.00%
AP Brera Strumica 73.00% 11.00% 16.00%
Makedonija GP 65.00% 7.00% 28.00%
Rabotnicki 61.00% 10.00% 29.00%
Bregalnica Shtip 50.00% 17.00% 33.00%
Gostivar 51.00% 14.00% 35.00%
Vardar 37.00% 24.00% 39.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2023-08-06 Gostivar W 2-025.8 1299 1112 73.24% 16.10% 10.66%+1.34 +3.2 3
2023-08-06 @ Struga L 0-225.8 1112 1299 10.66% 16.10% 73.24%-1.34 -3.2 0
2023-08-06 Makedonija GP W 1-036.6 1174 1175 51.52% 26.73% 21.75%+0.52 +3.9 3
2023-08-06 @ Tikvesh L 0-136.6 1175 1174 21.75% 26.73% 51.52%-0.52 -3.9 0
2023-08-06 Shkendija L 0-144.5 1220 1264 45.76% 28.33% 25.92%+0.33 -7.0 0
2023-08-06 @ Voska Sport W 1-044.5 1264 1220 25.92% 28.33% 45.76%-0.33 +7.0 3
2023-08-06 Sileks W 2-144.4 1154 1192 46.48% 28.16% 25.36%+0.35 +4.2 3
2023-08-06 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 1-244.4 1192 1154 25.36% 28.16% 46.48%-0.35 -4.2 0
2023-08-06 Vardar W 1-035.8 1144 1126 53.94% 25.87% 20.20%+0.60 +3.6 3
2023-08-06 @ AP Brera Strumica L 0-135.8 1126 1144 20.20% 25.87% 53.94%-0.60 -3.6 0
2023-08-07 Shkupi W 3-145.0 1147 1308 29.64% 29.09% 41.27%-0.19 +10.5 3
2023-08-07 @ Rabotnicki L 1-345.0 1308 1147 41.27% 29.09% 29.64%+0.19 -10.5 0
2023-08-13 Bregalnica Shtip W 1-036.0 1171 1158 53.33% 26.09% 20.57%+0.58 +3.7 3
2023-08-13 @ Makedonija GP L 0-136.0 1158 1171 20.57% 26.09% 53.33%-0.58 -3.7 3
2023-08-13 Rabotnicki W 2-031.0 1188 1158 55.50% 25.25% 19.25%+0.65 +6.5 3
2023-08-13 @ Sileks L 0-231.0 1158 1188 19.25% 25.25% 55.50%-0.65 -6.5 3
2023-08-13 Shkupi L 0-139.2 1123 1297 27.95% 28.81% 43.24%-0.25 -4.8 0
2023-08-13 @ Vardar W 1-039.2 1297 1123 43.24% 28.81% 27.95%+0.25 +4.8 3
2023-08-13 Tikvesh L 0-337.4 1109 1178 42.27% 28.96% 28.77%+0.22 -18.0 0
2023-08-13 @ Gostivar W 3-037.4 1178 1109 28.77% 28.96% 42.27%-0.22 +18.0 6
2023-08-13 Voska Sport W 2-034.9 1148 1213 42.82% 28.88% 28.30%+0.23 +9.2 6
2023-08-13 @ AP Brera Strumica L 0-234.9 1213 1148 28.30% 28.88% 42.82%-0.23 -9.2 0
2023-08-20 Gostivar W 2-140.4 1154 1091 59.58% 23.46% 16.96%+0.80 +2.8 6
2023-08-20 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 1-240.4 1091 1154 16.96% 23.46% 59.58%-0.80 -2.8 0
2023-08-20 Makedonija GP W 1-037.5 1151 1175 48.55% 27.64% 23.81%+0.42 +4.2 6
2023-08-20 @ Rabotnicki L 0-137.5 1175 1151 23.81% 27.64% 48.55%-0.42 -4.2 3
2023-08-20 Shkendija L 1-249.7 1196 1271 41.45% 29.07% 29.48%+0.19 -6.1 6
2023-08-20 @ Tikvesh W 2-149.7 1271 1196 29.48% 29.07% 41.45%-0.19 +6.1 6
2023-08-20 Sileks D 1-156.2 1302 1195 64.75% 20.86% 14.38%+0.99 -1.7 4
2023-08-20 @ Shkupi D 1-156.2 1195 1302 14.38% 20.86% 64.75%-0.99 +1.7 4
2023-08-20 Vardar W 3-244.4 1204 1118 62.27% 22.15% 15.58%+0.90 +2.4 3
2023-08-20 @ Voska Sport L 2-344.4 1118 1204 15.58% 22.15% 62.27%-0.90 -2.4 0
2023-08-21 AP Brera Strumica L 1-254.8 1302 1157 68.91% 18.59% 12.50%+1.16 -8.9 3
2023-08-21 @ Struga W 2-154.8 1157 1302 12.50% 18.59% 68.91%-1.16 +8.9 9
2023-08-23 Bregalnica Shtip W 2-028.0 1277 1157 66.18% 20.10% 13.72%+1.05 +4.4 9
2023-08-23 @ Shkendija L 0-228.0 1157 1277 13.72% 20.10% 66.18%-1.05 -4.4 6
2023-08-23 Rabotnicki W 2-034.9 1088 1156 42.48% 28.93% 28.59%+0.22 +9.3 3
2023-08-23 @ Gostivar L 0-234.9 1156 1088 28.59% 28.93% 42.48%-0.22 -9.3 6
2023-08-23 Shkupi D 0-048.1 1170 1300 33.64% 29.44% 36.93%-0.05 +0.1 4
2023-08-23 @ Makedonija GP D 0-048.1 1300 1170 36.93% 29.44% 33.64%+0.05 -0.1 5
2023-08-23 Sileks D 2-259.4 1115 1196 40.63% 29.17% 30.20%+0.17 -0.2 1
2023-08-23 @ Vardar D 2-259.4 1196 1115 30.20% 29.17% 40.63%-0.17 +0.2 5
2023-08-24 Tikvesh W 2-033.2 1166 1190 48.48% 27.66% 23.87%+0.42 +8.0 12
2023-08-24 @ AP Brera Strumica L 0-233.2 1190 1166 23.87% 27.66% 48.48%-0.42 -8.0 6
2023-08-27 AP Brera Strumica W 1-037.4 1153 1174 48.81% 27.56% 23.62%+0.43 +4.2 9
2023-08-27 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 0-137.4 1174 1153 23.62% 27.56% 48.81%-0.43 -4.2 12
2023-08-27 Gostivar W 3-131.3 1300 1097 74.81% 15.18% 10.01%+1.41 +2.6 8
2023-08-27 @ Shkupi L 1-331.3 1097 1300 10.01% 15.18% 74.81%-1.41 -2.6 3
2023-08-27 Makedonija GP D 2-260.6 1197 1171 54.96% 25.47% 19.57%+0.63 -0.9 6
2023-08-27 @ Sileks D 2-260.6 1171 1197 19.57% 25.47% 54.96%-0.63 +0.9 5
2023-08-27 Shkendija L 1-247.2 1146 1282 32.92% 29.40% 37.68%-0.07 -5.2 6
2023-08-27 @ Rabotnicki W 2-147.2 1282 1146 37.68% 29.40% 32.92%+0.07 +5.2 12
2023-08-27 Voska Sport D 1-153.9 1182 1206 48.40% 27.68% 23.92%+0.41 -0.8 7
2023-08-27 @ Tikvesh D 1-153.9 1206 1182 23.92% 27.68% 48.40%-0.41 +0.8 4
2023-09-02 Bregalnica Shtip W 2-030.3 1207 1157 57.99% 24.19% 17.82%+0.74 +6.0 7
2023-09-02 @ Voska Sport L 0-230.3 1157 1207 17.82% 24.19% 57.99%-0.74 -6.0 9
2023-09-02 Makedonija GP W 2-145.1 1115 1171 44.07% 28.66% 27.26%+0.27 +4.5 4
2023-09-02 @ Vardar L 1-245.1 1171 1115 27.26% 28.66% 44.07%-0.27 -4.5 5
2023-09-02 Rabotnicki D 0-049.1 1170 1141 55.29% 25.34% 19.37%+0.65 -1.3 13
2023-09-02 @ AP Brera Strumica D 0-049.1 1141 1170 19.37% 25.34% 55.29%-0.65 +1.3 7
2023-09-02 Shkupi D 0-049.2 1287 1303 49.51% 27.36% 23.13%+0.45 -1.0 13
2023-09-02 @ Shkendija D 0-049.2 1303 1287 23.13% 27.36% 49.51%-0.45 +0.9 9
2023-09-02 Sileks L 1-248.5 1095 1196 37.77% 29.40% 32.83%+0.08 -5.7 3
2023-09-02 @ Gostivar W 2-148.5 1196 1095 32.83% 29.40% 37.77%-0.08 +5.7 9
2023-09-04 Tikvesh W 3-134.4 1293 1181 65.28% 20.59% 14.14%+1.01 +3.9 6
2023-09-04 @ Struga L 1-334.4 1181 1293 14.14% 20.59% 65.28%-1.01 -3.9 7
2023-09-16 AP Brera Strumica W 1-031.9 1304 1168 67.86% 19.18% 12.97%+1.12 +2.2 12
2023-09-16 @ Shkupi L 0-131.9 1168 1304 12.97% 19.18% 67.86%-1.12 -2.2 13
2023-09-17 Gostivar W 3-027.7 1167 1089 61.33% 22.62% 16.05%+0.86 +7.7 8
2023-09-17 @ Makedonija GP L 0-327.7 1089 1167 16.05% 22.62% 61.33%-0.86 -7.7 3
2023-09-17 Shkendija W 2-146.6 1201 1286 40.13% 29.22% 30.64%+0.15 +4.9 12
2023-09-17 @ Sileks L 1-246.6 1286 1201 30.64% 29.22% 40.13%-0.15 -4.9 13
2023-09-17 Struga L 1-342.1 1151 1297 31.43% 29.30% 39.27%-0.12 -8.6 9
2023-09-17 @ Bregalnica Shtip W 3-142.1 1297 1151 39.27% 29.30% 31.43%+0.12 +8.7 9
2023-09-17 Vardar W 1-034.3 1177 1120 58.86% 23.79% 17.34%+0.77 +3.1 10
2023-09-17 @ Tikvesh L 0-134.3 1120 1177 17.34% 23.79% 58.86%-0.77 -3.1 4
2023-09-17 Voska Sport W 2-035.1 1142 1213 42.08% 28.99% 28.94%+0.21 +9.4 10
2023-09-17 @ Rabotnicki L 0-235.1 1213 1142 28.94% 28.99% 42.08%-0.21 -9.4 7
2023-09-24 Bregalnica Shtip W 2-141.4 1180 1142 56.48% 24.85% 18.68%+0.69 +3.1 13
2023-09-24 @ Tikvesh L 1-241.4 1142 1180 18.68% 24.85% 56.48%-0.69 -3.1 9
2023-09-24 Gostivar L 0-241.9 1117 1081 56.14% 24.99% 18.87%+0.68 -15.4 4
2023-09-24 @ Vardar W 2-041.9 1081 1117 18.87% 24.99% 56.14%-0.68 +15.4 6
2023-09-24 Makedonija GP W 1-032.8 1281 1175 64.60% 20.94% 14.45%+0.99 +2.5 16
2023-09-24 @ Shkendija L 0-132.8 1175 1281 14.45% 20.94% 64.60%-0.99 -2.5 8
2023-09-24 Rabotnicki W 1-031.3 1306 1152 69.85% 18.05% 12.09%+1.20 +2.0 12
2023-09-24 @ Struga L 0-131.3 1152 1306 12.09% 18.05% 69.85%-1.20 -2.0 10
2023-09-24 Shkupi L 2-353.6 1204 1306 37.58% 29.41% 33.01%+0.07 -5.4 7
2023-09-24 @ Voska Sport W 3-253.6 1306 1204 33.01% 29.41% 37.58%-0.07 +5.4 15
2023-09-24 Sileks D 1-153.7 1166 1206 46.30% 28.20% 25.50%+0.34 -0.7 14
2023-09-24 @ AP Brera Strumica D 1-153.7 1206 1166 25.50% 28.20% 46.30%-0.34 +0.7 13
2023-09-27 Struga L 0-142.2 1198 1308 36.55% 29.45% 34.01%+0.04 -5.9 7
2023-09-27 @ Voska Sport W 1-042.2 1308 1198 34.01% 29.45% 36.55%-0.04 +5.9 15
2023-09-30 AP Brera Strumica W 1-036.3 1172 1166 52.48% 26.40% 21.12%+0.55 +3.8 11
2023-09-30 @ Makedonija GP L 0-136.3 1166 1172 21.12% 26.40% 52.48%-0.55 -3.8 14
2023-10-01 Shkendija D 2-259.7 1097 1283 26.58% 28.50% 44.92%-0.30 +0.4 7
2023-10-01 @ Gostivar D 2-259.7 1283 1097 44.92% 28.50% 26.58%+0.30 -0.4 17
2023-10-01 Struga W 2-033.3 1311 1314 51.32% 26.80% 21.88%+0.51 +7.4 18
2023-10-01 @ Shkupi L 0-233.3 1314 1311 21.88% 26.80% 51.32%-0.51 -7.4 15
2023-10-01 Tikvesh W 1-037.9 1150 1183 47.19% 27.99% 24.82%+0.37 +4.4 13
2023-10-01 @ Rabotnicki L 0-137.9 1183 1150 24.82% 27.99% 47.19%-0.37 -4.4 13
2023-10-01 Vardar D 0-049.2 1139 1101 56.44% 24.86% 18.70%+0.69 -1.4 10
2023-10-01 @ Bregalnica Shtip D 0-049.2 1101 1139 18.70% 24.86% 56.44%-0.69 +1.4 5
2023-10-01 Voska Sport W 4-241.0 1207 1192 53.51% 26.03% 20.46%+0.58 +5.3 16
2023-10-01 @ Sileks L 2-441.0 1192 1207 20.46% 26.03% 53.51%-0.58 -5.4 7
2023-10-04 Struga W 1-038.2 1283 1306 48.54% 27.64% 23.82%+0.42 +4.2 20
2023-10-04 @ Shkendija L 0-138.2 1306 1283 23.82% 27.64% 48.54%-0.42 -4.2 15
2023-10-07 Gostivar L 0-146.9 1162 1097 59.74% 23.38% 16.87%+0.81 -8.5 14
2023-10-07 @ AP Brera Strumica W 1-046.9 1097 1162 16.87% 23.38% 59.74%-0.81 +8.5 10
2023-10-07 Makedonija GP W 2-142.5 1187 1176 53.06% 26.19% 20.75%+0.57 +3.5 10
2023-10-07 @ Voska Sport L 1-242.5 1176 1187 20.75% 26.19% 53.06%-0.57 -3.5 11
2023-10-07 Rabotnicki W 2-143.5 1138 1154 49.44% 27.38% 23.18%+0.45 +3.9 13
2023-10-07 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 1-243.5 1154 1138 23.18% 27.38% 49.44%-0.45 -3.9 13
2023-10-07 Shkupi D 1-153.7 1179 1319 32.30% 29.37% 38.33%-0.09 +0.2 14
2023-10-07 @ Tikvesh D 1-153.7 1319 1179 38.33% 29.37% 32.30%+0.09 -0.2 19
2023-10-08 Shkendija L 0-234.4 1103 1287 26.82% 28.56% 44.61%-0.29 -8.8 5
2023-10-08 @ Vardar W 2-034.4 1287 1103 44.61% 28.56% 26.82%+0.29 +8.8 23
2023-10-08 Sileks W 2-029.2 1302 1212 62.72% 21.92% 15.36%+0.92 +5.0 18
2023-10-08 @ Struga L 0-229.2 1212 1302 15.36% 21.92% 62.72%-0.92 -5.0 16
2023-10-22 AP Brera Strumica D 1-156.7 1296 1153 68.65% 18.73% 12.62%+1.15 -1.9 24
2023-10-22 @ Shkendija D 1-156.7 1153 1296 12.62% 18.73% 68.65%-1.15 +1.9 15
2023-10-22 Bregalnica Shtip W 1-030.6 1319 1141 72.24% 16.68% 11.08%+1.30 +1.8 22
2023-10-22 @ Shkupi L 0-130.6 1141 1319 11.08% 16.68% 72.24%-1.30 -1.8 13
2023-10-22 Struga L 0-335.1 1172 1307 32.99% 29.41% 37.60%-0.07 -15.0 11
2023-10-22 @ Makedonija GP W 3-035.1 1307 1172 37.60% 29.41% 32.99%+0.07 +15.0 21
2023-10-22 Tikvesh W 1-035.5 1207 1179 55.23% 25.36% 19.41%+0.64 +3.5 19
2023-10-22 @ Sileks L 0-135.5 1179 1207 19.41% 25.36% 55.23%-0.64 -3.5 14
2023-10-22 Vardar L 0-146.7 1150 1094 58.75% 23.84% 17.40%+0.77 -8.4 13
2023-10-22 @ Rabotnicki W 1-046.7 1094 1150 17.40% 23.84% 58.75%-0.77 +8.4 8
2023-10-22 Voska Sport D 1-153.4 1106 1191 40.06% 29.23% 30.71%+0.15 -0.3 11
2023-10-22 @ Gostivar D 1-153.4 1191 1106 30.71% 29.23% 40.06%-0.15 +0.3 11
2023-10-28 Bregalnica Shtip D 0-049.8 1211 1140 60.49% 23.03% 16.48%+0.83 -1.7 20
2023-10-28 @ Sileks D 0-049.8 1140 1211 16.48% 23.03% 60.49%-0.83 +1.6 14
2023-10-29 AP Brera Strumica W 1-038.6 1102 1155 44.53% 28.58% 26.89%+0.29 +4.7 11
2023-10-29 @ Vardar L 0-138.6 1155 1102 26.89% 28.58% 44.53%-0.29 -4.7 15
2023-10-29 Rabotnicki W 3-024.6 1320 1142 72.38% 16.60% 11.02%+1.30 +4.8 25
2023-10-29 @ Shkupi L 0-324.6 1142 1320 11.02% 16.60% 72.38%-1.30 -4.8 13
2023-10-29 Struga W 2-151.4 1105 1322 23.49% 27.51% 49.00%-0.43 +6.9 14
2023-10-29 @ Gostivar L 1-251.4 1322 1105 49.00% 27.51% 23.49%+0.43 -6.9 21
2023-10-29 Tikvesh D 1-153.9 1157 1176 49.23% 27.45% 23.33%+0.44 -0.8 12
2023-10-29 @ Makedonija GP D 1-153.9 1176 1157 23.33% 27.45% 49.23%-0.44 +0.8 15
2023-10-29 Voska Sport D 1-156.1 1294 1191 64.27% 21.12% 14.61%+0.97 -1.7 25
2023-10-29 @ Shkendija D 1-156.1 1191 1294 14.61% 21.12% 64.27%-0.97 +1.7 12
2023-11-01 Vardar W 4-024.2 1315 1107 75.31% 14.88% 9.81%+1.44 +5.5 24
2023-11-01 @ Struga L 0-424.2 1107 1315 9.81% 14.88% 75.31%-1.44 -5.5 11
2023-11-04 AP Brera Strumica D 1-154.8 1192 1150 56.97% 24.64% 18.40%+0.71 -1.3 13
2023-11-04 @ Voska Sport D 1-154.8 1150 1192 18.40% 24.64% 56.97%-0.71 +1.3 16
2023-11-04 Gostivar D 2-261.1 1177 1112 59.68% 23.41% 16.90%+0.80 -1.1 16
2023-11-04 @ Tikvesh D 2-261.1 1112 1177 16.90% 23.41% 59.68%-0.80 +1.1 15
2023-11-04 Makedonija GP L 2-356.2 1141 1157 49.63% 27.33% 23.04%+0.45 -6.6 14
2023-11-04 @ Bregalnica Shtip W 3-256.2 1157 1141 23.04% 27.33% 49.63%-0.45 +6.6 15
2023-11-04 Sileks W 1-039.5 1137 1209 41.88% 29.01% 29.10%+0.20 +5.0 16
2023-11-04 @ Rabotnicki L 0-139.5 1209 1137 29.10% 29.01% 41.88%-0.20 -5.0 20
2023-11-05 Shkendija W 2-142.7 1321 1292 55.26% 25.35% 19.39%+0.65 +3.3 27
2023-11-05 @ Struga L 1-242.7 1292 1321 19.39% 25.35% 55.26%-0.65 -3.3 25
2023-11-05 Vardar W 2-024.8 1325 1101 76.74% 14.03% 9.23%+1.50 +2.7 28
2023-11-05 @ Shkupi L 0-224.8 1101 1325 9.23% 14.03% 76.74%-1.50 -2.7 11
2023-11-11 Bregalnica Shtip W 1-037.3 1113 1135 48.81% 27.56% 23.63%+0.43 +4.2 18
2023-11-11 @ Gostivar L 0-137.3 1135 1113 23.63% 27.56% 48.81%-0.43 -4.2 14
2023-11-11 Struga W 2-150.1 1152 1324 28.23% 28.86% 42.91%-0.24 +6.3 19
2023-11-11 @ AP Brera Strumica L 1-250.1 1324 1152 42.91% 28.86% 28.23%+0.24 -6.3 27
2023-11-11 Tikvesh W 1-032.6 1289 1175 65.45% 20.49% 14.06%+1.02 +2.4 28
2023-11-11 @ Shkendija L 0-132.6 1175 1289 14.06% 20.49% 65.45%-1.02 -2.4 16
2023-11-11 Voska Sport L 1-248.8 1099 1191 39.00% 29.32% 31.68%+0.11 -5.8 11
2023-11-11 @ Vardar W 2-148.8 1191 1099 31.68% 29.32% 39.00%-0.11 +5.8 16
2023-11-12 Rabotnicki L 0-146.0 1163 1142 54.35% 25.71% 19.94%+0.61 -8.0 15
2023-11-12 @ Makedonija GP W 1-046.0 1142 1163 19.94% 25.71% 54.35%-0.61 +8.0 19
2023-11-12 Shkupi W 2-148.4 1204 1328 34.51% 29.46% 36.04%-0.02 +5.5 23
2023-11-12 @ Sileks L 1-248.4 1328 1204 36.04% 29.46% 34.51%+0.02 -5.5 28
2023-11-25 Shkendija D 2-259.6 1131 1292 29.58% 29.09% 41.34%-0.19 +0.3 15
2023-11-25 @ Bregalnica Shtip D 2-259.6 1292 1131 41.34% 29.09% 29.58%+0.19 -0.3 29
2023-11-26 AP Brera Strumica W 1-036.0 1173 1158 53.57% 26.01% 20.43%+0.59 +3.7 19
2023-11-26 @ Tikvesh L 0-136.0 1158 1173 20.43% 26.01% 53.57%-0.59 -3.7 19
2023-11-26 Gostivar D 0-049.1 1150 1118 55.78% 25.14% 19.08%+0.66 -1.4 20
2023-11-26 @ Rabotnicki D 0-049.1 1118 1150 19.08% 25.14% 55.78%-0.66 +1.4 19
2023-11-26 Makedonija GP W 1-030.9 1322 1155 71.22% 17.27% 11.51%+1.25 +1.9 31
2023-11-26 @ Shkupi L 0-130.9 1155 1322 11.51% 17.27% 71.22%-1.25 -1.9 15
2023-11-29 Bregalnica Shtip D 1-154.4 1154 1131 54.66% 25.59% 19.75%+0.62 -1.1 20
2023-11-29 @ AP Brera Strumica D 1-154.4 1131 1154 19.75% 25.59% 54.66%-0.62 +1.2 16
2023-11-29 Rabotnicki W 2-027.3 1291 1149 68.64% 18.74% 12.62%+1.15 +4.0 32
2023-11-29 @ Shkendija L 0-227.3 1149 1291 12.62% 18.74% 68.64%-1.15 -4.0 20
2023-11-29 Shkupi D 0-048.5 1119 1324 24.62% 27.93% 47.45%-0.38 +0.8 20
2023-11-29 @ Gostivar D 0-048.5 1324 1119 47.45% 27.93% 24.62%+0.38 -0.8 32
2023-11-29 Sileks W 1-038.8 1153 1210 44.08% 28.66% 27.25%+0.27 +4.7 18
2023-11-29 @ Makedonija GP L 0-138.8 1210 1153 27.25% 28.66% 44.08%-0.27 -4.7 23
2023-11-29 Struga L 1-338.8 1093 1318 22.75% 27.20% 50.04%-0.47 -6.6 11
2023-11-29 @ Vardar W 3-138.8 1318 1093 50.04% 27.20% 22.75%+0.47 +6.6 30
2023-11-29 Tikvesh L 0-340.2 1197 1177 54.24% 25.75% 20.01%+0.61 -21.8 16
2023-11-29 @ Voska Sport W 3-040.2 1177 1197 20.01% 25.75% 54.24%-0.61 +21.8 22
2023-12-02 Vardar L 0-147.0 1158 1086 60.59% 22.98% 16.43%+0.84 -8.6 18
2023-12-02 @ Makedonija GP W 1-047.0 1086 1158 16.43% 22.98% 60.59%-0.84 +8.6 14
2023-12-03 AP Brera Strumica W 1-036.8 1145 1153 50.52% 27.06% 22.43%+0.48 +4.0 23
2023-12-03 @ Rabotnicki L 0-136.8 1153 1145 22.43% 27.06% 50.52%-0.48 -4.0 20
2023-12-03 Gostivar D 1-155.5 1205 1120 62.17% 22.20% 15.63%+0.89 -1.6 24
2023-12-03 @ Sileks D 1-155.5 1120 1205 15.63% 22.20% 62.17%-0.89 +1.6 21
2023-12-03 Shkendija W 1-036.4 1323 1295 55.24% 25.36% 19.41%+0.64 +3.5 35
2023-12-03 @ Shkupi L 0-136.4 1295 1323 19.41% 25.36% 55.24%-0.64 -3.5 32
2023-12-03 Struga L 2-352.6 1198 1324 34.21% 29.45% 36.34%-0.03 -5.0 22
2023-12-03 @ Tikvesh W 3-252.6 1324 1198 36.34% 29.45% 34.21%+0.03 +5.0 33
2023-12-03 Voska Sport D 2-259.7 1132 1175 45.85% 28.31% 25.84%+0.33 -0.5 17
2023-12-03 @ Bregalnica Shtip D 2-259.7 1175 1132 25.84% 28.31% 45.85%-0.33 +0.5 17
2023-12-06 Vardar W 3-243.6 1203 1095 64.84% 20.82% 14.34%+1.00 +2.2 27
2023-12-06 @ Sileks L 2-343.6 1095 1203 14.34% 20.82% 64.84%-1.00 -2.2 14
2023-12-06 Voska Sport W 1-031.4 1329 1176 69.82% 18.07% 12.11%+1.20 +2.0 36
2023-12-06 @ Struga L 0-131.4 1176 1329 12.11% 18.07% 69.82%-1.20 -2.0 17
2023-12-09 Makedonija GP W 1-037.6 1121 1150 47.89% 27.81% 24.30%+0.40 +4.3 24
2023-12-09 @ Gostivar L 0-137.6 1150 1121 24.30% 27.81% 47.89%-0.40 -4.3 18
2023-12-10 Bregalnica Shtip W 2-136.2 1331 1131 74.50% 15.36% 10.14%+1.40 +1.5 39
2023-12-10 @ Struga L 1-236.2 1131 1331 10.14% 15.36% 74.50%-1.40 -1.5 17
2023-12-10 Rabotnicki W 3-246.7 1174 1149 54.84% 25.52% 19.64%+0.63 +3.1 20
2023-12-10 @ Voska Sport L 2-346.7 1149 1174 19.64% 25.52% 54.84%-0.63 -3.1 23
2023-12-10 Shkupi L 0-139.2 1149 1327 27.60% 28.74% 43.66%-0.26 -4.8 20
2023-12-10 @ AP Brera Strumica W 1-039.2 1327 1149 43.66% 28.74% 27.60%+0.26 +4.8 38
2023-12-10 Sileks W 3-135.3 1292 1205 62.30% 22.13% 15.57%+0.90 +4.4 35
2023-12-10 @ Shkendija L 1-335.3 1205 1292 15.57% 22.13% 62.30%-0.90 -4.4 27
2023-12-10 Tikvesh W 2-036.3 1093 1193 37.82% 29.40% 32.78%+0.08 +10.3 17
2023-12-10 @ Vardar L 0-236.3 1193 1093 32.78% 29.40% 37.82%-0.08 -10.3 22
2024-02-17 Vardar D 1-154.4 1126 1103 54.51% 25.64% 19.84%+0.62 -1.1 25
2024-02-17 @ Gostivar D 1-154.4 1103 1126 19.84% 25.64% 54.51%-0.62 +1.2 18
2024-02-18 AP Brera Strumica L 0-146.8 1201 1144 58.76% 23.84% 17.40%+0.77 -8.4 27
2024-02-18 @ Sileks W 1-046.8 1144 1201 17.40% 23.84% 58.76%-0.77 +8.5 23
2024-02-18 Shkendija L 0-140.2 1145 1296 30.84% 29.24% 39.92%-0.14 -5.2 18
2024-02-18 @ Makedonija GP W 1-040.2 1296 1145 39.92% 29.24% 30.84%+0.14 +5.2 38
2024-02-18 Struga D 0-048.4 1146 1333 26.52% 28.49% 45.00%-0.30 +0.7 24
2024-02-18 @ Rabotnicki D 0-048.4 1333 1146 45.00% 28.49% 26.52%+0.30 -0.7 40
2024-02-18 Tikvesh W 2-145.0 1130 1183 44.50% 28.58% 26.91%+0.29 +4.4 20
2024-02-18 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 1-245.0 1183 1130 26.91% 28.58% 44.50%-0.29 -4.4 22
2024-02-18 Voska Sport W 3-025.5 1332 1177 69.93% 18.01% 12.06%+1.20 +5.4 41
2024-02-18 @ Shkupi L 0-325.5 1177 1332 12.06% 18.01% 69.93%-1.20 -5.4 20
2024-02-24 Shkupi D 2-261.5 1332 1337 51.00% 26.90% 22.10%+0.50 -0.7 41
2024-02-24 @ Struga D 2-261.5 1337 1332 22.10% 26.90% 51.00%-0.50 +0.7 42
2024-02-25 Bregalnica Shtip W 2-033.3 1104 1134 47.63% 27.88% 24.49%+0.39 +8.2 21
2024-02-25 @ Vardar L 0-233.3 1134 1104 24.49% 27.88% 47.63%-0.39 -8.2 20
2024-02-25 Gostivar D 2-263.3 1301 1124 72.23% 16.68% 11.08%+1.30 -1.5 39
2024-02-25 @ Shkendija D 2-263.3 1124 1301 11.08% 16.68% 72.23%-1.30 +1.5 26
2024-02-25 Makedonija GP W 3-030.1 1153 1140 53.29% 26.11% 20.60%+0.58 +10.1 26
2024-02-25 @ AP Brera Strumica L 0-330.1 1140 1153 20.60% 26.11% 53.29%-0.58 -10.1 18
2024-02-25 Rabotnicki W 2-030.9 1179 1146 55.78% 25.14% 19.08%+0.66 +6.4 25
2024-02-25 @ Tikvesh L 0-230.9 1146 1179 19.08% 25.14% 55.78%-0.66 -6.4 24
2024-02-25 Sileks D 0-048.5 1171 1193 48.85% 27.55% 23.60%+0.43 -0.9 21
2024-02-25 @ Voska Sport D 0-048.5 1193 1171 23.60% 27.55% 48.85%-0.43 +0.9 28
2024-03-03 AP Brera Strumica W 2-033.6 1126 1163 46.71% 28.11% 25.18%+0.36 +8.4 29
2024-03-03 @ Gostivar L 0-233.6 1163 1126 25.18% 28.11% 46.71%-0.36 -8.4 26
2024-03-03 Bregalnica Shtip W 2-031.6 1140 1126 53.38% 26.07% 20.54%+0.58 +6.9 27
2024-03-03 @ Rabotnicki L 0-231.6 1126 1140 20.54% 26.07% 53.38%-0.58 -6.9 20
2024-03-03 Struga D 0-048.3 1194 1332 32.54% 29.38% 38.08%-0.09 +0.2 29
2024-03-03 @ Sileks D 0-048.3 1332 1194 38.08% 29.38% 32.54%+0.09 -0.2 42
2024-03-03 Tikvesh D 0-051.7 1338 1185 69.71% 18.13% 12.16%+1.19 -2.2 43
2024-03-03 @ Shkupi D 0-051.7 1185 1338 12.16% 18.13% 69.71%-1.19 +2.2 26
2024-03-03 Vardar W 3-024.2 1300 1112 73.28% 16.07% 10.64%+1.34 +4.6 42
2024-03-03 @ Shkendija L 0-324.2 1112 1300 10.64% 16.07% 73.28%-1.34 -4.6 21
2024-03-03 Voska Sport L 1-250.6 1130 1171 46.21% 28.22% 25.56%+0.34 -6.6 18
2024-03-03 @ Makedonija GP W 2-150.6 1171 1130 25.56% 28.22% 46.21%-0.34 +6.6 24
2024-03-06 Gostivar D 1-154.8 1177 1134 57.07% 24.59% 18.34%+0.71 -1.3 25
2024-03-06 @ Voska Sport D 1-154.8 1134 1177 18.34% 24.59% 57.07%-0.71 +1.3 30
2024-03-06 Makedonija GP W 2-136.0 1331 1123 75.28% 14.90% 9.82%+1.44 +1.4 45
2024-03-06 @ Struga L 1-236.0 1123 1331 9.82% 14.90% 75.28%-1.44 -1.4 18
2024-03-06 Rabotnicki W 1-038.0 1108 1147 46.45% 28.17% 25.38%+0.35 +4.5 24
2024-03-06 @ Vardar L 0-138.0 1147 1108 25.38% 28.17% 46.45%-0.35 -4.5 27
2024-03-06 Shkendija D 0-048.1 1155 1305 30.97% 29.26% 39.77%-0.14 +0.3 27
2024-03-06 @ AP Brera Strumica D 0-048.1 1305 1155 39.77% 29.26% 30.97%+0.14 -0.3 43
2024-03-06 Shkupi D 0-048.6 1119 1336 23.55% 27.53% 48.92%-0.43 +0.9 21
2024-03-06 @ Bregalnica Shtip D 0-048.6 1336 1119 48.92% 27.53% 23.55%+0.43 -0.9 44
2024-03-06 Sileks W 1-036.8 1187 1194 50.79% 26.97% 22.24%+0.49 +4.0 29
2024-03-06 @ Tikvesh L 0-136.8 1194 1187 22.24% 26.97% 50.79%-0.49 -4.0 29
2024-03-10 AP Brera Strumica W 3-132.3 1333 1155 72.32% 16.63% 11.04%+1.30 +2.9 48
2024-03-10 @ Struga L 1-332.3 1155 1333 11.04% 16.63% 72.32%-1.30 -2.9 27
2024-03-10 Bregalnica Shtip W 2-140.2 1191 1120 60.50% 23.02% 16.48%+0.83 +2.7 32
2024-03-10 @ Tikvesh L 1-240.2 1120 1191 16.48% 23.02% 60.50%-0.83 -2.7 21
2024-03-10 Makedonija GP W 1-034.0 1190 1122 60.12% 23.20% 16.68%+0.82 +2.9 32
2024-03-10 @ Sileks L 0-134.0 1122 1190 16.68% 23.20% 60.12%-0.82 -2.9 18
2024-03-10 Rabotnicki W 3-241.2 1335 1142 73.77% 15.79% 10.44%+1.37 +1.5 47
2024-03-10 @ Shkupi L 2-341.2 1142 1335 10.44% 15.79% 73.77%-1.37 -1.5 27
2024-03-10 Vardar D 0-048.9 1136 1112 54.63% 25.60% 19.77%+0.62 -1.3 31
2024-03-10 @ Gostivar D 0-048.9 1112 1136 19.77% 25.60% 54.63%-0.62 +1.3 25
2024-03-10 Voska Sport D 0-051.1 1304 1176 67.08% 19.61% 13.31%+1.08 -2.0 44
2024-03-10 @ Shkendija D 0-051.1 1176 1304 13.31% 19.61% 67.08%-1.08 +2.0 26
2024-03-16 AP Brera Strumica W 2-141.3 1193 1152 56.80% 24.71% 18.49%+0.70 +3.1 35
2024-03-16 @ Sileks L 1-241.3 1152 1193 18.49% 24.71% 56.80%-0.70 -3.1 27
2024-03-16 Gostivar D 0-048.4 1117 1134 49.42% 27.39% 23.19%+0.45 -0.9 22
2024-03-16 @ Bregalnica Shtip D 0-048.4 1134 1117 23.19% 27.39% 49.42%-0.45 +1.0 32
2024-03-16 Shkendija D 1-153.7 1114 1302 26.37% 28.45% 45.18%-0.31 +0.6 26
2024-03-16 @ Vardar D 1-153.7 1302 1114 45.18% 28.45% 26.37%+0.31 -0.6 45
2024-03-16 Shkupi D 0-048.3 1178 1336 29.92% 29.13% 40.94%-0.17 +0.4 27
2024-03-16 @ Voska Sport D 0-048.3 1336 1178 40.94% 29.13% 29.92%+0.17 -0.4 48
2024-03-16 Tikvesh W 1-039.6 1119 1194 41.45% 29.07% 29.48%+0.19 +5.0 21
2024-03-16 @ Makedonija GP L 0-139.6 1194 1119 29.48% 29.07% 41.45%-0.19 -5.0 32
2024-03-17 Struga L 1-244.8 1141 1336 25.70% 28.26% 46.03%-0.34 -4.3 27
2024-03-17 @ Rabotnicki W 2-144.8 1336 1141 46.03% 28.26% 25.70%+0.34 +4.3 51
2024-03-30 Sileks D 1-154.1 1189 1196 50.74% 26.99% 22.28%+0.49 -0.9 33
2024-03-30 @ Tikvesh D 1-154.1 1196 1189 22.28% 26.99% 50.74%-0.49 +0.9 36
2024-03-30 Vardar W 3-023.3 1336 1114 76.55% 14.15% 9.30%+1.49 +3.9 51
2024-03-30 @ Shkupi L 0-323.3 1114 1336 9.30% 14.15% 76.55%-1.49 -3.9 26
2024-03-31 Bregalnica Shtip W 4-129.1 1302 1117 73.04% 16.21% 10.74%+1.33 +4.0 48
2024-03-31 @ Shkendija L 1-429.1 1117 1302 10.74% 16.21% 73.04%-1.33 -4.0 22
2024-03-31 Makedonija GP L 1-444.6 1135 1124 53.09% 26.18% 20.73%+0.57 -18.1 32
2024-03-31 @ Gostivar W 4-144.6 1124 1135 20.73% 26.18% 53.09%-0.57 +18.1 24
2024-03-31 Rabotnicki W 2-142.3 1149 1137 53.23% 26.13% 20.64%+0.57 +3.5 30
2024-03-31 @ AP Brera Strumica L 1-242.3 1137 1149 20.64% 26.13% 53.23%-0.57 -3.5 27
2024-03-31 Voska Sport W 3-132.9 1340 1178 70.65% 17.60% 11.75%+1.23 +3.1 54
2024-03-31 @ Struga L 1-332.9 1178 1340 11.75% 17.60% 70.65%-1.23 -3.1 27
2024-04-06 Gostivar D 0-049.9 1197 1117 61.50% 22.53% 15.97%+0.87 -1.7 37
2024-04-06 @ Sileks D 0-049.9 1117 1197 15.97% 22.53% 61.50%-0.87 +1.7 33
2024-04-07 AP Brera Strumica W 3-136.9 1188 1152 56.17% 24.97% 18.85%+0.68 +5.5 36
2024-04-07 @ Tikvesh L 1-336.9 1152 1188 18.85% 24.97% 56.17%-0.68 -5.5 30
2024-04-07 Rabotnicki D 1-154.7 1175 1133 56.98% 24.63% 18.39%+0.71 -1.3 28
2024-04-07 @ Voska Sport D 1-154.7 1133 1175 18.39% 24.63% 56.98%-0.71 +1.3 28
2024-04-07 Shkendija D 1-153.6 1142 1306 29.27% 29.04% 41.69%-0.20 +0.4 25
2024-04-07 @ Makedonija GP D 1-153.6 1306 1142 41.69% 29.04% 29.27%+0.20 -0.4 49
2024-04-07 Shkupi W 1-045.5 1113 1340 22.54% 27.11% 50.35%-0.48 +7.5 25
2024-04-07 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 0-145.5 1340 1113 50.35% 27.11% 22.54%+0.48 -7.5 51
2024-04-07 Struga W 1-045.6 1110 1343 22.03% 26.87% 51.10%-0.50 +7.6 29
2024-04-07 @ Vardar L 0-145.6 1343 1110 51.10% 26.87% 22.03%+0.50 -7.6 54
2024-04-13 Makedonija GP W 3-131.9 1332 1142 73.51% 15.94% 10.55%+1.35 +2.7 54
2024-04-13 @ Shkupi L 1-331.9 1142 1332 10.55% 15.94% 73.51%-1.35 -2.7 25
2024-04-13 Tikvesh W 2-145.9 1119 1194 41.52% 29.06% 29.42%+0.19 +4.8 36
2024-04-13 @ Gostivar L 1-245.9 1194 1119 29.42% 29.06% 41.52%-0.19 -4.8 36
2024-04-13 Voska Sport W 1-037.6 1147 1174 48.06% 27.77% 24.17%+0.40 +4.3 33
2024-04-13 @ AP Brera Strumica L 0-137.6 1174 1147 24.17% 27.77% 48.06%-0.40 -4.3 28
2024-04-14 Bregalnica Shtip D 2-264.0 1335 1120 75.97% 14.49% 9.54%+1.47 -1.7 55
2024-04-14 @ Struga D 2-264.0 1120 1335 9.54% 14.49% 75.97%-1.47 +1.7 26
2024-04-14 Sileks W 6-130.6 1305 1195 65.05% 20.71% 14.24%+1.00 +8.9 52
2024-04-14 @ Shkendija L 1-630.6 1195 1305 14.24% 20.71% 65.05%-1.00 -8.9 37
2024-04-14 Vardar W 2-031.5 1134 1118 53.76% 25.93% 20.31%+0.59 +6.8 31
2024-04-14 @ Rabotnicki L 0-231.5 1118 1134 20.31% 25.93% 53.76%-0.59 -6.8 29
2024-04-20 Rabotnicki L 0-144.9 1122 1141 49.07% 27.49% 23.44%+0.44 -7.4 26
2024-04-20 @ Bregalnica Shtip W 1-044.9 1141 1122 23.44% 27.49% 49.07%-0.44 +7.4 34
2024-04-21 AP Brera Strumica D 1-153.8 1124 1151 47.99% 27.79% 24.22%+0.40 -0.8 37
2024-04-21 @ Gostivar D 1-153.8 1151 1124 24.22% 27.79% 47.99%-0.40 +0.8 34
2024-04-21 Shkendija W 2-148.4 1189 1314 34.29% 29.45% 36.25%-0.03 +5.5 39
2024-04-21 @ Tikvesh L 1-248.4 1314 1189 36.25% 29.45% 34.29%+0.03 -5.5 52
2024-04-21 Shkupi D 0-048.3 1186 1335 31.12% 29.27% 39.61%-0.13 +0.3 38
2024-04-21 @ Sileks D 0-048.3 1335 1186 39.61% 29.27% 31.12%+0.13 -0.3 55
2024-04-21 Struga L 0-138.5 1140 1334 25.78% 28.29% 45.93%-0.33 -4.5 25
2024-04-21 @ Makedonija GP W 1-038.5 1334 1140 45.93% 28.29% 25.78%+0.33 +4.5 58
2024-04-21 Voska Sport L 0-143.7 1111 1170 43.74% 28.72% 27.54%+0.26 -6.7 29
2024-04-21 @ Vardar W 1-043.7 1170 1111 27.54% 28.72% 43.74%-0.26 +6.8 31
2024-04-28 Bregalnica Shtip W 4-028.8 1176 1114 59.41% 23.54% 17.05%+0.79 +10.8 34
2024-04-28 @ Voska Sport L 0-428.8 1114 1176 17.05% 23.54% 59.41%-0.79 -10.8 26
2024-04-28 Gostivar W 4-129.1 1309 1123 73.10% 16.18% 10.72%+1.34 +3.9 55
2024-04-28 @ Shkendija L 1-429.1 1123 1309 10.72% 16.18% 73.10%-1.34 -3.9 37
2024-04-28 Makedonija GP D 1-154.3 1149 1135 53.36% 26.08% 20.56%+0.58 -1.1 35
2024-04-28 @ Rabotnicki D 1-154.3 1135 1149 20.56% 26.08% 53.36%-0.58 +1.1 26
2024-04-28 Sileks L 2-359.9 1338 1186 69.64% 18.17% 12.19%+1.19 -8.5 58
2024-04-28 @ Struga W 3-259.9 1186 1338 12.19% 18.17% 69.64%-1.19 +8.5 41
2024-04-28 Tikvesh W 3-243.0 1335 1194 68.39% 18.88% 12.73%+1.14 +1.9 58
2024-04-28 @ Shkupi L 2-343.0 1194 1335 12.73% 18.88% 68.39%-1.14 -1.9 39
2024-04-28 Vardar W 2-030.3 1152 1104 57.67% 24.33% 18.00%+0.73 +6.0 37
2024-04-28 @ AP Brera Strumica L 0-230.3 1104 1152 18.00% 24.33% 57.67%-0.73 -6.0 29
2024-05-01 AP Brera Strumica W 3-242.4 1312 1158 69.91% 18.02% 12.07%+1.20 +1.8 58
2024-05-01 @ Shkendija L 2-342.4 1158 1312 12.07% 18.02% 69.91%-1.20 -1.8 37
2024-05-01 Rabotnicki L 0-146.6 1195 1147 57.63% 24.35% 18.02%+0.73 -8.3 41
2024-05-01 @ Sileks W 1-046.6 1147 1195 18.02% 24.35% 57.63%-0.73 +8.3 38
2024-05-01 Shkupi W 2-040.9 1119 1337 23.43% 27.49% 49.09%-0.44 +13.9 40
2024-05-01 @ Gostivar L 0-240.9 1337 1119 49.09% 27.49% 23.43%+0.44 -13.9 58
2024-05-01 Struga W 3-253.7 1192 1330 32.62% 29.39% 37.99%-0.08 +5.4 42
2024-05-01 @ Tikvesh L 2-353.7 1330 1192 37.99% 29.39% 32.62%+0.08 -5.4 58
2024-05-01 Vardar L 0-339.7 1104 1098 52.33% 26.45% 21.22%+0.54 -21.2 26
2024-05-01 @ Bregalnica Shtip W 3-039.7 1098 1104 21.22% 26.45% 52.33%-0.54 +21.2 32
2024-05-01 Voska Sport L 0-239.7 1136 1187 44.81% 28.52% 26.67%+0.30 -13.0 26
2024-05-01 @ Makedonija GP W 2-039.7 1187 1136 26.67% 28.52% 44.81%-0.30 +12.9 37
2024-05-04 Bregalnica Shtip D 1-155.2 1156 1082 60.82% 22.87% 16.31%+0.84 -1.5 38
2024-05-04 @ AP Brera Strumica D 1-155.2 1082 1156 16.31% 22.87% 60.82%-0.84 +1.5 27
2024-05-04 Gostivar W 1-030.1 1324 1133 73.69% 15.84% 10.48%+1.36 +1.7 61
2024-05-04 @ Struga L 0-130.1 1133 1324 10.48% 15.84% 73.69%-1.36 -1.7 40
2024-05-04 Makedonija GP W 1-036.6 1119 1123 51.12% 26.86% 22.02%+0.50 +3.9 35
2024-05-04 @ Vardar L 0-136.6 1123 1119 22.02% 26.86% 51.12%-0.50 -3.9 26
2024-05-04 Shkendija L 0-242.5 1323 1314 52.72% 26.32% 20.97%+0.56 -14.7 58
2024-05-04 @ Shkupi W 2-042.5 1314 1323 20.97% 26.32% 52.72%-0.56 +14.7 61
2024-05-04 Sileks W 2-142.4 1200 1187 53.38% 26.08% 20.55%+0.58 +3.5 40
2024-05-04 @ Voska Sport L 1-242.4 1187 1200 20.55% 26.08% 53.38%-0.58 -3.5 41
2024-05-04 Tikvesh W 3-139.9 1156 1198 46.02% 28.27% 25.71%+0.34 +7.4 41
2024-05-04 @ Rabotnicki L 1-339.9 1198 1156 25.71% 28.27% 46.02%-0.34 -7.4 42
2024-05-12 AP Brera Strumica D 0-051.5 1308 1155 69.78% 18.10% 12.13%+1.19 -2.2 59
2024-05-12 @ Shkupi D 0-051.5 1155 1308 12.13% 18.10% 69.78%-1.19 +2.2 39
2024-05-12 Bregalnica Shtip W 2-141.4 1119 1084 56.14% 24.99% 18.87%+0.68 +3.2 29
2024-05-12 @ Makedonija GP L 1-241.4 1084 1119 18.87% 24.99% 56.14%-0.68 -3.2 27
2024-05-12 Rabotnicki D 0-048.3 1131 1163 47.39% 27.94% 24.67%+0.38 -0.8 41
2024-05-12 @ Gostivar D 0-048.3 1163 1131 24.67% 27.94% 47.39%-0.38 +0.8 42
2024-05-12 Struga L 0-242.5 1329 1326 52.00% 26.57% 21.44%+0.53 -14.5 61
2024-05-12 @ Shkendija W 2-042.5 1326 1329 21.44% 26.57% 52.00%-0.53 +14.5 64
2024-05-12 Vardar D 1-155.0 1183 1123 59.15% 23.66% 17.19%+0.78 -1.4 42
2024-05-12 @ Sileks D 1-155.0 1123 1183 17.19% 23.66% 59.15%-0.78 +1.4 36
2024-05-12 Voska Sport D 0-048.6 1190 1204 49.91% 27.24% 22.85%+0.46 -1.0 43
2024-05-12 @ Tikvesh D 0-048.6 1204 1190 22.85% 27.24% 49.91%-0.46 +1.0 41
2024-05-18 Gostivar D 1-155.3 1205 1130 60.87% 22.84% 16.29%+0.85 -1.5 42
2024-05-18 @ Voska Sport D 1-155.3 1130 1205 16.29% 22.84% 60.87%-0.85 +1.5 42
2024-05-18 Makedonija GP W 5-341.2 1157 1122 56.01% 25.04% 18.95%+0.67 +4.7 42
2024-05-18 @ AP Brera Strumica L 3-541.2 1122 1157 18.95% 25.04% 56.01%-0.67 -4.7 29
2024-05-18 Shkendija L 0-236.0 1164 1314 30.91% 29.25% 39.84%-0.14 -9.9 42
2024-05-18 @ Rabotnicki W 2-036.0 1314 1164 39.84% 29.25% 30.91%+0.14 +9.9 64
2024-05-18 Shkupi L 1-253.8 1341 1306 56.06% 25.02% 18.92%+0.67 -7.7 64
2024-05-18 @ Struga W 2-153.8 1306 1341 18.92% 25.02% 56.06%-0.67 +7.7 62
2024-05-18 Sileks D 1-153.3 1081 1182 37.78% 29.40% 32.82%+0.08 -0.2 28
2024-05-18 @ Bregalnica Shtip D 1-153.3 1182 1081 32.82% 29.40% 37.78%-0.08 +0.1 43
2024-05-18 Tikvesh D 2-259.5 1125 1189 42.89% 28.87% 28.25%+0.24 -0.3 37
2024-05-18 @ Vardar D 2-259.5 1189 1125 28.25% 28.87% 42.89%-0.24 +0.3 44

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2024-04-28 12.19% Sileks 1186 3 @ Struga 1338 2
2 2023-08-21 12.50% AP Brera Strumica 1157 2 @ Struga 1302 1
3 2023-12-02 16.43% Vardar 1086 1 @ Makedonija GP 1158 0
4 2023-10-07 16.87% Gostivar 1097 1 @ AP Brera Strumica 1162 0
5 2023-10-22 17.40% Vardar 1094 1 @ Rabotnicki 1150 0
6 2024-02-18 17.40% AP Brera Strumica 1144 1 @ Sileks 1201 0
7 2024-05-01 18.02% Rabotnicki 1147 1 @ Sileks 1195 0
8 2023-09-24 18.87% Gostivar 1081 2 @ Vardar 1117 0
9 2024-05-18 18.92% Shkupi 1306 2 @ Struga 1341 1
10 2023-11-12 19.94% Rabotnicki 1142 1 @ Makedonija GP 1163 0
11 2023-11-29 20.01% Tikvesh 1177 3 @ Voska Sport 1197 0
12 2024-03-31 20.73% Makedonija GP 1124 4 @ Gostivar 1135 1
13 2024-05-04 20.97% Shkendija 1314 2 @ Shkupi 1323 0
14 2024-05-01 21.22% Vardar 1098 3 @ Bregalnica Shtip 1104 0
15 2024-05-12 21.44% Struga 1326 2 @ Shkendija 1329 0
16 2024-04-07 22.03% @ Vardar 1110 1 Struga 1343 0
17 2024-04-07 22.54% @ Bregalnica Shtip 1113 1 Shkupi 1340 0
18 2023-11-04 23.04% Makedonija GP 1157 3 @ Bregalnica Shtip 1141 2
19 2024-05-01 23.43% @ Gostivar 1119 2 Shkupi 1337 0
20 2024-04-20 23.44% Rabotnicki 1141 1 @ Bregalnica Shtip 1122 0
21 2023-10-29 23.49% @ Gostivar 1105 2 Struga 1322 1
22 2024-03-03 25.56% Voska Sport 1171 2 @ Makedonija GP 1130 1
23 2023-08-06 25.92% Shkendija 1264 1 @ Voska Sport 1220 0
24 2024-05-01 26.67% Voska Sport 1187 2 @ Makedonija GP 1136 0
25 2024-04-21 27.54% Voska Sport 1170 1 @ Vardar 1111 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2023-11-29 21.77 Tikvesh 3 1177 20.01% @ Voska Sport 0 1197 54.24% 25.75%
2 2024-05-01 21.19 Vardar 3 1098 21.22% @ Bregalnica Shtip 0 1104 52.33% 26.45%
3 2024-03-31 18.06 Makedonija GP 4 1124 20.73% @ Gostivar 1 1135 53.09% 26.18%
4 2023-08-13 18.00 Tikvesh 3 1178 28.77% @ Gostivar 0 1109 42.27% 28.96%
5 2023-09-24 15.38 Gostivar 2 1081 18.87% @ Vardar 0 1117 56.14% 24.99%
6 2023-10-22 15.04 Struga 3 1307 37.60% @ Makedonija GP 0 1172 32.99% 29.41%
7 2024-05-04 14.67 Shkendija 2 1314 20.97% @ Shkupi 0 1323 52.72% 26.32%
8 2024-05-12 14.52 Struga 2 1326 21.44% @ Shkendija 0 1329 52.00% 26.57%
9 2024-05-01 13.89 @ Gostivar 2 1119 23.43% Shkupi 0 1337 49.09% 27.49%
10 2024-05-01 12.95 Voska Sport 2 1187 26.67% @ Makedonija GP 0 1136 44.81% 28.52%
11 2024-04-28 10.78 @ Voska Sport 4 1176 59.41% Bregalnica Shtip 0 1114 17.05% 23.54%
12 2023-08-07 10.55 @ Rabotnicki 3 1147 29.64% Shkupi 1 1308 41.27% 29.09%
13 2023-12-10 10.31 @ Vardar 2 1093 37.82% Tikvesh 0 1193 32.78% 29.40%
14 2024-02-25 10.09 @ AP Brera Strumica 3 1153 53.29% Makedonija GP 0 1140 20.60% 26.11%
15 2024-05-18 9.87 Shkendija 2 1314 39.84% @ Rabotnicki 0 1164 30.91% 29.25%
16 2023-09-17 9.38 @ Rabotnicki 2 1142 42.08% Voska Sport 0 1213 28.94% 28.99%
17 2023-08-23 9.29 @ Gostivar 2 1088 42.48% Rabotnicki 0 1156 28.59% 28.93%
18 2023-08-13 9.21 @ AP Brera Strumica 2 1148 42.82% Voska Sport 0 1213 28.30% 28.88%
19 2023-08-21 8.91 AP Brera Strumica 2 1157 12.50% @ Struga 1 1302 68.91% 18.59%
20 2024-04-14 8.90 @ Shkendija 6 1305 65.05% Sileks 1 1195 14.24% 20.71%
21 2023-10-08 8.82 Shkendija 2 1287 44.61% @ Vardar 0 1103 26.82% 28.56%
22 2023-09-17 8.66 Struga 3 1297 39.27% @ Bregalnica Shtip 1 1151 31.43% 29.30%
23 2023-12-02 8.64 Vardar 1 1086 16.43% @ Makedonija GP 0 1158 60.59% 22.98%
24 2023-10-07 8.55 Gostivar 1 1097 16.87% @ AP Brera Strumica 0 1162 59.74% 23.38%
25 2024-04-28 8.51 Sileks 3 1186 12.19% @ Struga 2 1338 69.64% 18.17%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2024-04-14 64.0 @ Struga 2 1335 75.97% Bregalnica Shtip 2 1120 9.54% 14.49%
2 2024-02-25 63.3 @ Shkendija 2 1301 72.23% Gostivar 2 1124 11.08% 16.68%
3 2024-02-24 61.5 @ Struga 2 1332 51.00% Shkupi 2 1337 22.10% 26.90%
4 2023-11-04 61.1 @ Tikvesh 2 1177 59.68% Gostivar 2 1112 16.90% 23.41%
5 2023-08-27 60.6 @ Sileks 2 1197 54.96% Makedonija GP 2 1171 19.57% 25.47%
6 2024-04-28 59.9 Sileks 3 1186 12.19% @ Struga 2 1338 69.64% 18.17%
7 2023-10-01 59.7 @ Gostivar 2 1097 26.58% Shkendija 2 1283 44.92% 28.50%
8 2023-12-03 59.7 @ Bregalnica Shtip 2 1132 45.85% Voska Sport 2 1175 25.84% 28.31%
9 2023-11-25 59.6 @ Bregalnica Shtip 2 1131 29.58% Shkendija 2 1292 41.34% 29.09%
10 2024-05-18 59.5 @ Vardar 2 1125 42.89% Tikvesh 2 1189 28.25% 28.87%
11 2023-08-23 59.4 @ Vardar 2 1115 40.63% Sileks 2 1196 30.20% 29.17%
12 2023-10-22 56.7 @ Shkendija 1 1296 68.65% AP Brera Strumica 1 1153 12.62% 18.73%
13 2023-08-20 56.2 @ Shkupi 1 1302 64.75% Sileks 1 1195 14.38% 20.86%
14 2023-11-04 56.2 Makedonija GP 3 1157 23.04% @ Bregalnica Shtip 2 1141 49.63% 27.33%
15 2023-10-29 56.1 @ Shkendija 1 1294 64.27% Voska Sport 1 1191 14.61% 21.12%
16 2023-12-03 55.5 @ Sileks 1 1205 62.17% Gostivar 1 1120 15.63% 22.20%
17 2024-05-18 55.3 @ Voska Sport 1 1205 60.87% Gostivar 1 1130 16.29% 22.84%
18 2024-05-04 55.2 @ AP Brera Strumica 1 1156 60.82% Bregalnica Shtip 1 1082 16.31% 22.87%
19 2024-05-12 55.0 @ Sileks 1 1183 59.15% Vardar 1 1123 17.19% 23.66%
20 2023-08-21 54.8 AP Brera Strumica 2 1157 12.50% @ Struga 1 1302 68.91% 18.59%
21 2023-11-04 54.8 @ Voska Sport 1 1192 56.97% AP Brera Strumica 1 1150 18.40% 24.64%
22 2024-03-06 54.8 @ Voska Sport 1 1177 57.07% Gostivar 1 1134 18.34% 24.59%
23 2024-04-07 54.7 @ Voska Sport 1 1175 56.98% Rabotnicki 1 1133 18.39% 24.63%
24 2023-11-29 54.4 @ AP Brera Strumica 1 1154 54.66% Bregalnica Shtip 1 1131 19.75% 25.59%
25 2024-02-17 54.4 @ Gostivar 1 1126 54.51% Vardar 1 1103 19.84% 25.64%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2024-03-30 23.3 @ Shkupi 3 1336 76.55% Vardar 0 1114 9.30% 14.15%
2 2023-11-01 24.2 @ Struga 4 1315 75.31% Vardar 0 1107 9.81% 14.88%
3 2024-03-03 24.2 @ Shkendija 3 1300 73.28% Vardar 0 1112 10.64% 16.07%
4 2023-10-29 24.6 @ Shkupi 3 1320 72.38% Rabotnicki 0 1142 11.02% 16.60%
5 2023-11-05 24.8 @ Shkupi 2 1325 76.74% Vardar 0 1101 9.23% 14.03%
6 2024-02-18 25.5 @ Shkupi 3 1332 69.93% Voska Sport 0 1177 12.06% 18.01%
7 2023-08-06 25.8 @ Struga 2 1299 73.24% Gostivar 0 1112 10.66% 16.10%
8 2023-11-29 27.3 @ Shkendija 2 1291 68.64% Rabotnicki 0 1149 12.62% 18.74%
9 2023-09-17 27.7 @ Makedonija GP 3 1167 61.33% Gostivar 0 1089 16.05% 22.62%
10 2023-08-23 28.0 @ Shkendija 2 1277 66.18% Bregalnica Shtip 0 1157 13.72% 20.10%
11 2024-04-28 28.8 @ Voska Sport 4 1176 59.41% Bregalnica Shtip 0 1114 17.05% 23.54%
12 2024-03-31 29.1 @ Shkendija 4 1302 73.04% Bregalnica Shtip 1 1117 10.74% 16.21%
13 2024-04-28 29.1 @ Shkendija 4 1309 73.10% Gostivar 1 1123 10.72% 16.18%
14 2023-10-08 29.2 @ Struga 2 1302 62.72% Sileks 0 1212 15.36% 21.92%
15 2024-02-25 30.1 @ AP Brera Strumica 3 1153 53.29% Makedonija GP 0 1140 20.60% 26.11%
16 2024-05-04 30.1 @ Struga 1 1324 73.69% Gostivar 0 1133 10.48% 15.84%
17 2023-09-02 30.3 @ Voska Sport 2 1207 57.99% Bregalnica Shtip 0 1157 17.82% 24.19%
18 2024-04-28 30.3 @ AP Brera Strumica 2 1152 57.67% Vardar 0 1104 18.00% 24.33%
19 2023-10-22 30.6 @ Shkupi 1 1319 72.24% Bregalnica Shtip 0 1141 11.08% 16.68%
20 2024-04-14 30.6 @ Shkendija 6 1305 65.05% Sileks 1 1195 14.24% 20.71%
21 2023-11-26 30.9 @ Shkupi 1 1322 71.22% Makedonija GP 0 1155 11.51% 17.27%
22 2024-02-25 30.9 @ Tikvesh 2 1179 55.78% Rabotnicki 0 1146 19.08% 25.14%
23 2023-08-13 31.0 @ Sileks 2 1188 55.50% Rabotnicki 0 1158 19.25% 25.25%
24 2023-08-27 31.3 @ Shkupi 3 1300 74.81% Gostivar 1 1097 10.01% 15.18%
25 2023-09-24 31.3 @ Struga 1 1306 69.85% Rabotnicki 0 1152 12.09% 18.05%