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2024-25 Macedonian First Football League Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Shkendija

70 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Shkendija

8.39 points above expected

70 points · 61.61 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Voska Sport

12.08 points below expected

4 points · 16.08 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Shkendija 33 20 10 3 70 59 30 +29 61.61 +8.39
2 Sileks 33 19 10 4 67 57 19 +38 59.27 +7.73
3 Rabotnicki 33 15 11 7 56 38 21 +17 55.24 +0.76
4 Struga 33 13 12 8 51 41 37 +4 48.39 +2.61
5 Vardar 33 12 9 12 45 37 37 0 37.11 +7.89
6 Pelister 33 10 9 14 39 26 38 -12 34.83 +4.17
7 Shkupi 33 10 8 15 38 47 47 0 47.54 -9.54
8 Tikvesh 33 7 13 13 34 25 31 -6 37.48 -3.48
9 AP Brera Strumica 33 9 7 17 34 41 56 -15 34.65 -0.65
10 Besa Doberdoll 33 9 6 18 33 34 53 -19 35.06 -2.06
11 Gostivar* 33 12 12 9 30 36 34 +2 34.74 -4.74
12 Voska Sport* 33 5 7 21 4 25 63 -38 16.08 -12.08

* Point deductions: Gostivar (-18 pts), Voska Sport (-18 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Shkendija 70 61.61 +8.39
2 Vardar 45 37.11 +7.89
3 Sileks 67 59.27 +7.73
4 Pelister 39 34.83 +4.17
5 Struga 51 48.39 +2.61

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Voska Sport 4 16.08 -12.08
2 Shkupi 38 47.54 -9.54
3 Gostivar 30 34.74 -4.74
4 Tikvesh 34 37.48 -3.48
5 Besa Doberdoll 33 35.06 -2.06

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shkupi 5 Dec 3 – Mar 2 1 in 102
2 Besa Doberdoll 2 Mar 9 – Mar 15 1 in 50
3 Pelister 3 Apr 27 – May 7 1 in 43
4 Struga 3 Oct 30 – Nov 9 1 in 25
5 Gostivar 4 Nov 3 – Nov 27 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shkupi 5 Oct 30 – Nov 27 1 in 399
2 Voska Sport 8 Apr 6 – May 18 1 in 291
3 Gostivar 5 Apr 27 – May 18 1 in 118
4 Besa Doberdoll 5 Nov 24 – Feb 16 1 in 86
5 Rabotnicki 3 May 7 – May 17 1 in 47

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vardar 14 Feb 22 – May 18 1 in 1,511
2 Rabotnicki 13 Aug 11 – Nov 3 1 in 125
3 Struga 9 Mar 31 – May 17 1 in 59
4 Sileks 13 Sep 25 – Feb 16 1 in 28
5 Gostivar 13 Oct 27 – Mar 9 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shkupi 11 Mar 5 – May 11 1 in 191
2 Tikvesh 15 Aug 25 – Dec 3 1 in 183
3 Besa Doberdoll 12 Oct 27 – Mar 5 1 in 28
4 Struga 6 Apr 19 – May 17 1 in 15
5 AP Brera Strumica 10 Dec 3 – Apr 6 1 in 10

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Shkendija 1283 70 +1 8 8.9 -0.9
Sileks 1361 67 +28 9 9.4 -0.4
Rabotnicki 1179 56 +3 4 6.8 -2.8
Struga 1169 51 +3 5 6.4 -1.4
Gostivar 1012 48 -173 0 5.5 -5.5
Vardar 1226 45 +78 13 8.2 +4.8
Pelister 1029 39 +62 10 6.2 +3.8
Shkupi 1082 38 -15 5 6.7 -1.7
AP Brera Strumica 1023 34 +67 10 5.4 +4.6
Tikvesh 1094 34 +31 8 7.5 +0.5
Besa Doberdoll 1053 33 +70 9 5.7 +3.3
Voska Sport 833 22 -155 0 4.8 -4.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABS BD GOS PEL RAB SHK SHK SIL STR TIK VAR VS
AP Brera Strumica —
2-0-1
3.66
0-1-2
1.91
2-1-0
3.71
1-1-1
2.56
0-0-3
2.19
1-0-2
3.08
0-0-3
2.77
0-2-1
2.56
0-1-2
3.65
2-0-1
4.22
1-1-1
4.45
Besa Doberdoll
1-0-2
4.43
—
1-2-0
2.20
1-0-2
3.83
0-1-2
2.71
0-0-3
2.74
1-1-1
2.39
0-0-3
1.77
1-0-2
3.15
1-1-1
3.47
1-1-1
3.63
2-0-1
4.75
Gostivar
2-1-0
6.31
0-2-1
5.97
—
0-2-1
5.52
0-1-2
4.41
1-1-1
3.06
3-0-0
4.26
1-1-1
2.93
1-2-0
4.61
1-1-1
5.45
1-1-1
4.71
2-0-1
5.52
Pelister
0-1-2
4.39
2-0-1
4.28
1-2-0
2.64
—
0-1-2
2.24
0-0-3
1.96
1-1-1
2.25
1-1-1
2.11
0-1-2
2.49
2-1-0
3.49
1-0-2
4.33
2-1-0
4.67
Rabotnicki
1-1-1
5.58
2-1-0
5.45
2-1-0
3.69
2-1-0
5.95
—
0-2-1
3.26
1-1-1
4.48
1-2-0
3.72
1-0-2
4.43
3-0-0
5.58
0-1-2
5.93
2-1-0
5.74
Shkendija
3-0-0
6.01
3-0-0
5.42
1-1-1
5.06
3-0-0
6.24
1-2-0
4.85
—
1-2-0
5.64
1-1-1
4.43
0-2-1
5.52
2-1-0
5.94
2-1-0
6.17
3-0-0
6.33
Shkupi
2-0-1
5.03
1-1-1
5.78
0-0-3
3.83
1-1-1
5.91
1-1-1
3.61
0-2-1
2.53
—
0-0-3
3.11
2-1-0
3.42
1-1-1
5.20
1-0-2
4.98
1-1-1
5.47
Sileks
3-0-0
5.38
3-0-0
6.47
1-1-1
5.23
1-1-1
6.11
0-2-1
4.37
1-1-1
3.66
3-0-0
5.00
—
2-1-0
5.46
0-3-0
6.13
2-1-0
6.30
3-0-0
5.57
Struga
1-2-0
5.59
2-0-1
4.96
0-2-1
3.50
2-1-0
5.66
2-0-1
3.66
1-2-0
2.62
0-1-2
4.68
0-1-2
2.70
—
2-1-0
4.53
1-1-1
4.73
2-1-0
5.46
Tikvesh
2-1-0
4.46
1-1-1
4.63
1-1-1
2.70
0-1-2
4.60
0-0-3
2.56
0-1-2
2.25
1-1-1
2.93
0-3-0
2.09
0-1-2
3.56
—
0-2-1
4.05
2-1-0
4.14
Vardar
1-0-2
3.87
1-1-1
4.52
1-1-1
3.48
2-0-1
3.77
2-1-0
2.25
0-1-2
2.02
2-0-1
3.14
0-1-2
1.95
1-1-1
3.40
1-2-0
4.06
—
1-1-1
3.87
Voska Sport
1-1-1
3.65
1-0-2
3.36
1-0-2
2.67
0-1-2
3.45
0-1-2
2.42
0-0-3
1.88
1-1-1
2.65
0-0-3
2.61
0-1-2
2.68
0-1-2
3.95
1-1-1
4.22
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.61 +12.3
Allowed 0.62 -10.4
Differential 0.87 +8.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%10.35%5.30%4.04%1.26%0.51%35.10%
110.35%12.12%5.30%4.29%1.77%0.25%34.09%
25.30%5.30%1.52%1.77%0.25%—14.14%
34.04%4.29%1.77%1.52%0.51%—12.12%
41.26%1.77%0.25%0.51%——3.79%
5+0.51%0.25%————0.76%
Total35.10%34.09%14.14%12.12%3.79%0.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.18 +0.00
SD 1.19 1.19 1.71
CV 1.01 1.01 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%15.15%—3.03%—30.30%
16.06%12.12%12.12%9.09%3.03%—42.42%
2—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
33.03%3.03%6.06%—3.03%—15.15%
43.03%——3.03%——6.06%
5+———————
Total18.18%24.24%36.36%12.12%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.70 -0.45
SD 1.23 1.19 1.70
CV 0.99 0.70 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%18.18%6.06%——6.06%42.42%
16.06%6.06%6.06%6.06%3.03%—27.27%
2—9.09%—9.09%——18.18%
33.03%—6.06%———9.09%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total21.21%36.36%18.18%15.15%3.03%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.61 -0.58
SD 1.13 1.39 1.77
CV 1.10 0.87 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%3.03%3.03%15.15%——39.39%
112.12%12.12%6.06%———30.30%
29.09%3.03%6.06%———18.18%
3—6.06%————6.06%
43.03%3.03%————6.06%
5+———————
Total42.42%27.27%15.15%15.15%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.03 +0.06
SD 1.18 1.10 1.78
CV 1.08 1.07 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%15.15%3.03%3.03%3.03%—42.42%
118.18%9.09%6.06%6.06%6.06%—45.45%
2—3.03%————3.03%
36.06%—3.03%———9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total42.42%27.27%12.12%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.79 1.15 -0.36
SD 0.89 1.33 1.62
CV 1.13 1.15 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.21%9.09%6.06%———36.36%
115.15%12.12%3.03%———30.30%
29.09%6.06%—3.03%——18.18%
36.06%6.06%————12.12%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total51.52%36.36%9.09%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 0.64 +0.52
SD 1.15 0.78 1.35
CV 1.00 1.23 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%——3.03%——15.15%
115.15%15.15%—6.06%——36.36%
29.09%12.12%————21.21%
33.03%3.03%3.03%3.03%——12.12%
46.06%—3.03%3.03%——12.12%
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total45.45%33.33%6.06%15.15%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.79 0.91 +0.88
SD 1.36 1.07 1.58
CV 0.76 1.18 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%12.12%———30.30%
13.03%9.09%9.09%6.06%——27.27%
23.03%3.03%—6.06%——12.12%
39.09%12.12%—6.06%3.03%—30.30%
4———————
5+———————
Total24.24%33.33%21.21%18.18%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.42 +0.00
SD 1.23 1.15 1.60
CV 0.86 0.80 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%6.06%————24.24%
112.12%12.12%3.03%———27.27%
29.09%9.09%——3.03%—21.21%
36.06%6.06%————12.12%
43.03%6.06%————9.09%
5+6.06%—————6.06%
Total54.55%39.39%3.03%—3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 0.58 +1.15
SD 1.51 0.83 1.70
CV 0.87 1.44 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%3.03%6.06%3.03%——21.21%
121.21%21.21%—6.06%3.03%—51.52%
23.03%6.06%3.03%3.03%——15.15%
33.03%——3.03%——6.06%
4—6.06%————6.06%
5+———————
Total36.36%36.36%9.09%15.15%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.12 +0.12
SD 1.06 1.17 1.54
CV 0.85 1.04 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.21%27.27%3.03%———51.52%
16.06%12.12%3.03%6.06%——27.27%
23.03%9.09%3.03%———15.15%
33.03%——3.03%——6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%48.48%9.09%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.76 0.94 -0.18
SD 0.94 0.90 1.10
CV 1.24 0.96 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%12.12%3.03%3.03%3.03%—33.33%
19.09%12.12%6.06%6.06%3.03%—36.36%
212.12%—3.03%———15.15%
36.06%6.06%3.03%———15.15%
4———————
5+———————
Total39.39%30.30%15.15%9.09%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.12 +0.00
SD 1.05 1.22 1.75
CV 0.94 1.09 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%15.15%6.06%21.21%6.06%—54.55%
1—12.12%9.09%—3.03%3.03%27.27%
26.06%—————6.06%
3—9.09%—3.03%——12.12%
4———————
5+———————
Total12.12%36.36%15.15%24.24%9.09%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.76 1.91 -1.15
SD 1.03 1.33 1.87
CV 1.36 0.70 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Sileks 1361 67 59.27 +7.73 86.0% 38 49 55 59 63 71 75
Shkendija 1283 70 61.61 +8.39 87.0% 43 48 55 62 67 75 78
Vardar 1226 45 37.11 +7.89 89.0% 24 27 33 37 41 48 51
Rabotnicki 1179 56 55.24 +0.76 61.0% 35 45 50 54 60 66 72
Struga 1169 51 48.39 +2.61 65.0% 33 37 43 48 53 60 64
Tikvesh 1094 34 37.48 -3.48 31.0% 21 24 33 37 42 49 56
Shkupi 1082 38 47.54 -9.54 10.0% 34 36 42 48 52 58 64
Besa Doberdoll 1053 33 35.06 -2.06 40.0% 17 24 30 35 40 46 47
Pelister 1029 39 34.83 +4.17 76.0% 23 26 30 35 39 44 53
AP Brera Strumica 1023 34 34.65 -0.65 49.0% 20 23 30 35 40 46 56
Gostivar 1012 30 34.74 -4.74 28.0% 18 21 30 35 40 45 49
Voska Sport 833 4 16.08 -12.08 4.0% 2 6 11 15 20 28 33

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 23% * Slight Edge: 23% to 31% * Clear Edge: 31% to 38% * Strong Edge: 38% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+15.66%
No Edge
43.43%28.79%27.78%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 54.85 Elo pts.
228 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.28 goals
Neutral
-2+0.24+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.12 * Tight Race: 0.12 to 0.25 * Comfortable: 0.25 to 0.36 * Runaway: 0.36 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.5
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
53%
Shkendija, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.09/gm
Photo Finish
00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.51 * Some Luck: 5.51 to 8.26 * Lucky: 8.26 to 11.01 * Wild Swing: 11.01 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.15 * Close: 1.15 to 1.73 * Off: 1.73 to 2.3 * Way Off: 2.3 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.41 points
Some Luck
06.8817
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Close
01.443
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
89.00%
Vardar
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
4.00%
Voska Sport
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.9 * Moderate Separation: 1.9 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.3 * Wide Separation: 2.3 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 70.5% * Clear Edge: 70.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 93% * Clear Edge: 93% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 56.5% * Some Drama: 56.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.
Gini Index
0.22
Lopsided
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 141.14
2.42
Wide Separation
11.92.12.32.75
Interquartile Edge
72%
Clear Edge
50%65%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
95%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
65%
Very Frequent
0%62%100%
Blowouts
Expected
16%
Occasional
0%15%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.43 * Slight Separation: 0.43 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.65 * Near-Lock: 0.65 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 18% * Upset-Prone: 18% to 21% * Very Upset-Prone: 21% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 16.5% * Very Shaky: 16.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.40
Very Even
00.430.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.90
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.14
Weak Carryover
00.410.571
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Very Upset-Prone
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Very Shaky
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.92
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.91
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.092
Well Within Noise
00.1200.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Shkendija53.00%25.00%16.00%4.00%—2.00%——————
Sileks32.00%35.00%20.00%11.00%1.00%——1.00%————
Rabotnicki11.00%27.00%30.00%17.00%12.00%2.00%————1.00%—
Struga4.00%6.00%17.00%25.00%21.00%14.00%7.00%4.00%1.00%—1.00%—
Vardar———7.00%9.00%10.00%15.00%20.00%20.00%8.00%10.00%1.00%
Pelister——2.00%2.00%4.00%10.00%11.00%17.00%17.00%17.00%19.00%1.00%
Shkupi—7.00%13.00%26.00%24.00%11.00%10.00%7.00%2.00%———
Tikvesh——1.00%6.00%6.00%19.00%10.00%19.00%13.00%11.00%13.00%2.00%
AP Brera Strumica——1.00%—8.00%9.00%15.00%9.00%19.00%18.00%17.00%4.00%
Besa Doberdoll———1.00%7.00%12.00%16.00%11.00%12.00%27.00%12.00%2.00%
Gostivar———1.00%8.00%11.00%16.00%12.00%16.00%17.00%19.00%—
Voska Sport—————————2.00%8.00%90.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Shkendija 100% — —
Shkupi 100% — —
Sileks 100% — —
Rabotnicki 99.00% — 1.00%
Struga 99.00% — 1.00%
Vardar 81.00% 8.00% 11.00%
Besa Doberdoll 59.00% 27.00% 14.00%
Tikvesh 74.00% 11.00% 15.00%
Gostivar 64.00% 17.00% 19.00%
Pelister 63.00% 17.00% 20.00%
AP Brera Strumica 61.00% 18.00% 21.00%
Voska Sport — 2.00% 98.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2024-08-11 Gostivar D 1-152.4 1036 1089 35.31% 30.52% 34.17%+0.01 -0.1 1
2024-08-11 @ Pelister D 1-152.4 1089 1036 34.17% 30.52% 35.31%-0.01 +0.1 1
2024-08-11 Shkendija L 1-345.5 1125 1162 37.60% 30.49% 31.91%+0.08 -27.8 0
2024-08-11 @ Besa Doberdoll W 3-145.5 1162 1125 31.91% 30.49% 37.60%-0.08 +27.8 3
2024-08-11 Sileks W 1-040.6 1097 1107 41.24% 30.34% 28.42%+0.20 +13.9 3
2024-08-11 @ Rabotnicki L 0-140.6 1107 1097 28.42% 30.34% 41.24%-0.20 -13.9 0
2024-08-11 Tikvesh W 1-038.4 1160 1111 48.62% 29.61% 21.77%+0.45 +11.3 3
2024-08-11 @ Struga L 0-138.4 1111 1160 21.77% 29.61% 48.62%-0.45 -11.3 0
2024-08-11 Vardar W 3-141.7 1101 1086 44.54% 30.09% 25.37%+0.31 +20.9 3
2024-08-11 @ AP Brera Strumica L 1-341.7 1086 1101 25.37% 30.09% 44.54%-0.31 -20.9 0
2024-08-11 Voska Sport D 3-361.8 1157 1115 47.79% 29.73% 22.48%+0.42 -1.4 1
2024-08-11 @ Shkupi D 3-361.8 1115 1157 22.48% 29.73% 47.79%-0.42 +1.4 1
2024-08-18 AP Brera Strumica W 4-035.6 1093 1122 38.73% 30.46% 30.81%+0.11 +52.8 3
2024-08-18 @ Sileks L 0-435.6 1122 1093 30.81% 30.46% 38.73%-0.11 -52.8 3
2024-08-18 Besa Doberdoll W 1-037.5 1171 1097 51.53% 29.13% 19.34%+0.56 +10.3 6
2024-08-18 @ Struga L 0-137.5 1097 1171 19.34% 29.13% 51.53%-0.56 -10.3 0
2024-08-18 Pelister W 1-039.0 1065 1036 46.33% 29.91% 23.77%+0.37 +12.2 3
2024-08-18 @ Vardar L 0-139.0 1036 1065 23.77% 29.91% 46.33%-0.37 -12.2 1
2024-08-18 Rabotnicki D 1-152.9 1189 1111 52.06% 29.03% 18.91%+0.59 -3.1 4
2024-08-18 @ Shkendija D 1-152.9 1111 1189 18.91% 29.03% 52.06%-0.59 +3.1 4
2024-08-18 Shkupi W 2-039.4 1089 1155 33.38% 30.52% 36.10%-0.05 +31.2 4
2024-08-18 @ Gostivar L 0-239.4 1155 1089 36.10% 30.52% 33.38%+0.05 -31.1 1
2024-08-18 Voska Sport W 2-146.7 1100 1117 40.34% 30.39% 29.27%+0.17 +13.4 3
2024-08-18 @ Tikvesh L 1-246.7 1117 1100 29.27% 30.39% 40.34%-0.17 -13.4 1
2024-08-25 Gostivar L 0-240.6 1103 1120 40.37% 30.39% 29.24%+0.17 -33.8 1
2024-08-25 @ Voska Sport W 2-040.6 1120 1103 29.24% 30.39% 40.37%-0.17 +33.8 7
2024-08-25 Shkendija L 0-236.5 1069 1186 26.73% 30.22% 43.05%-0.27 -25.1 3
2024-08-25 @ AP Brera Strumica W 2-036.5 1186 1069 43.05% 30.22% 26.73%+0.27 +25.1 7
2024-08-25 Sileks W 1-045.1 1024 1146 26.12% 30.17% 43.72%-0.30 +19.1 4
2024-08-25 @ Pelister L 0-145.1 1146 1024 43.72% 30.17% 26.12%+0.30 -19.1 3
2024-08-25 Struga W 2-039.4 1114 1181 33.26% 30.51% 36.22%-0.05 +31.2 7
2024-08-25 @ Rabotnicki L 0-239.4 1181 1114 36.22% 30.51% 33.26%+0.05 -31.2 6
2024-08-25 Tikvesh W 1-041.2 1087 1113 39.04% 30.45% 30.52%+0.12 +14.7 3
2024-08-25 @ Besa Doberdoll L 0-141.2 1113 1087 30.52% 30.45% 39.04%-0.12 -14.7 3
2024-08-25 Vardar W 3-032.9 1124 1077 48.46% 29.63% 21.91%+0.45 +31.2 4
2024-08-25 @ Shkupi L 0-332.9 1077 1124 21.91% 29.63% 48.46%-0.45 -31.2 3
2024-08-31 AP Brera Strumica W 2-032.9 1150 1044 54.96% 28.40% 16.64%+0.71 +17.0 9
2024-08-31 @ Struga L 0-232.9 1044 1150 16.64% 28.40% 54.96%-0.71 -17.0 3
2024-08-31 Gostivar D 0-047.4 1099 1154 34.98% 30.52% 34.49%+0.00 -0.0 4
2024-08-31 @ Tikvesh D 0-047.4 1154 1099 34.49% 30.52% 34.98%+0.00 +0.0 8
2024-08-31 Pelister W 2-031.1 1211 1043 60.92% 26.61% 12.46%+0.98 +13.0 10
2024-08-31 @ Shkendija L 0-231.1 1043 1211 12.46% 26.61% 60.92%-0.98 -13.0 4
2024-08-31 Rabotnicki D 0-047.4 1101 1145 36.64% 30.51% 32.85%+0.05 -0.4 4
2024-08-31 @ Besa Doberdoll D 0-047.4 1145 1101 32.85% 30.51% 36.64%-0.05 +0.4 8
2024-08-31 Shkupi W 2-147.2 1127 1155 38.76% 30.46% 30.78%+0.12 +13.9 6
2024-08-31 @ Sileks L 1-247.2 1155 1127 30.78% 30.46% 38.76%-0.12 -13.9 4
2024-08-31 Voska Sport L 1-346.0 1046 1070 39.43% 30.43% 30.14%+0.14 -28.8 3
2024-08-31 @ Vardar W 3-146.0 1070 1046 30.14% 30.43% 39.43%-0.14 +28.8 4
2024-09-15 Besa Doberdoll W 3-253.8 1027 1101 32.30% 30.50% 37.20%-0.09 +15.1 6
2024-09-15 @ AP Brera Strumica L 2-353.8 1101 1027 37.20% 30.50% 32.30%+0.09 -15.1 4
2024-09-15 Shkendija D 1-152.5 1141 1224 31.12% 30.47% 38.41%-0.12 +0.6 5
2024-09-15 @ Shkupi D 1-152.5 1224 1141 38.41% 30.47% 31.12%+0.12 -0.6 11
2024-09-15 Sileks L 0-337.6 1098 1141 36.79% 30.51% 32.71%+0.05 -45.8 4
2024-09-15 @ Voska Sport W 3-037.6 1141 1098 32.71% 30.51% 36.79%-0.05 +45.8 9
2024-09-15 Struga D 1-152.6 1030 1167 24.41% 29.99% 45.61%-0.36 +1.9 5
2024-09-15 @ Pelister D 1-152.6 1167 1030 45.61% 29.99% 24.41%+0.36 -1.9 10
2024-09-15 Tikvesh W 3-140.5 1145 1098 48.45% 29.63% 21.92%+0.45 +18.6 11
2024-09-15 @ Rabotnicki L 1-340.5 1098 1145 21.92% 29.63% 48.45%-0.45 -18.6 4
2024-09-15 Vardar D 1-153.3 1154 1017 57.98% 27.58% 14.44%+0.84 -4.2 9
2024-09-15 @ Gostivar D 1-153.3 1017 1154 14.44% 27.58% 57.98%-0.84 +4.2 4
2024-09-22 AP Brera Strumica D 1-153.2 1164 1042 56.57% 27.98% 15.45%+0.78 -3.9 12
2024-09-22 @ Rabotnicki D 1-153.2 1042 1164 15.45% 27.98% 56.57%-0.78 +3.9 7
2024-09-22 Gostivar L 1-252.0 1187 1150 47.27% 29.79% 22.94%+0.40 -19.2 9
2024-09-22 @ Sileks W 2-152.0 1150 1187 22.94% 29.79% 47.27%-0.40 +19.2 12
2024-09-22 Pelister L 2-357.1 1086 1031 49.34% 29.50% 21.16%+0.48 -18.8 4
2024-09-22 @ Besa Doberdoll W 3-257.1 1031 1086 21.16% 29.50% 49.34%-0.48 +18.8 8
2024-09-22 Shkupi L 0-340.1 1165 1142 45.54% 29.99% 24.46%+0.34 -54.0 10
2024-09-22 @ Struga W 3-040.1 1142 1165 24.46% 29.99% 45.54%-0.34 +54.0 8
2024-09-22 Vardar L 0-146.7 1080 1021 49.80% 29.43% 20.77%+0.50 -21.2 4
2024-09-22 @ Tikvesh W 1-046.7 1021 1080 20.77% 29.43% 49.80%-0.50 +21.2 7
2024-09-22 Voska Sport W 5-132.3 1224 1052 61.15% 26.53% 12.32%+0.99 +20.3 14
2024-09-22 @ Shkendija L 1-532.3 1052 1224 12.32% 26.53% 61.15%-0.99 -20.3 4
2024-09-25 Besa Doberdoll D 1-153.2 1196 1067 57.23% 27.80% 14.97%+0.81 -4.1 9
2024-09-25 @ Shkupi D 1-153.2 1067 1196 14.97% 27.80% 57.23%-0.81 +4.1 5
2024-09-25 Rabotnicki D 0-047.4 1050 1160 27.65% 30.29% 42.06%-0.24 +1.4 9
2024-09-25 @ Pelister D 0-047.4 1160 1050 42.06% 30.29% 27.65%+0.24 -1.4 13
2024-09-25 Shkendija W 3-145.6 1169 1244 32.16% 30.50% 37.35%-0.09 +27.6 15
2024-09-25 @ Gostivar L 1-345.6 1244 1169 37.35% 30.50% 32.16%+0.09 -27.6 14
2024-09-25 Sileks L 0-139.7 1043 1168 25.83% 30.14% 44.03%-0.31 -13.0 7
2024-09-25 @ Vardar W 1-039.7 1168 1043 44.03% 30.14% 25.83%+0.31 +13.0 12
2024-09-25 Struga D 1-152.4 1032 1111 31.65% 30.48% 37.87%-0.11 +0.5 5
2024-09-25 @ Voska Sport D 1-152.4 1111 1032 37.87% 30.48% 31.65%+0.11 -0.5 11
2024-09-25 Tikvesh D 0-047.3 1046 1059 40.90% 30.36% 28.74%+0.18 -1.2 8
2024-09-25 @ AP Brera Strumica D 0-047.3 1059 1046 28.74% 30.36% 40.90%-0.18 +1.2 5
2024-09-29 Gostivar D 2-258.2 1111 1196 30.73% 30.45% 38.82%-0.14 +0.5 12
2024-09-29 @ Struga D 2-258.2 1196 1111 38.82% 30.45% 30.73%+0.14 -0.5 16
2024-09-29 Pelister W 4-034.7 1045 1052 41.67% 30.32% 28.02%+0.21 +49.3 11
2024-09-29 @ AP Brera Strumica L 0-434.7 1052 1045 28.02% 30.32% 41.67%-0.21 -49.3 9
2024-09-29 Shkupi W 2-147.4 1159 1192 38.09% 30.48% 31.44%+0.09 +14.1 16
2024-09-29 @ Rabotnicki L 1-247.4 1192 1159 31.44% 30.48% 38.09%-0.09 -14.1 9
2024-09-29 Sileks D 0-047.4 1060 1180 26.33% 30.18% 43.48%-0.29 +1.7 6
2024-09-29 @ Tikvesh D 0-047.4 1180 1060 43.48% 30.18% 26.33%+0.29 -1.7 13
2024-09-29 Vardar W 4-028.5 1216 1030 62.48% 26.03% 11.49%+1.06 +22.7 17
2024-09-29 @ Shkendija L 0-428.5 1030 1216 11.49% 26.03% 62.48%-1.06 -22.7 7
2024-09-29 Voska Sport W 1-038.7 1071 1033 47.45% 29.77% 22.78%+0.41 +11.8 8
2024-09-29 @ Besa Doberdoll L 0-138.7 1033 1071 22.78% 29.77% 47.45%-0.41 -11.8 5
2024-10-05 AP Brera Strumica W 3-139.3 1178 1094 52.63% 28.92% 18.45%+0.61 +16.2 12
2024-10-05 @ Shkupi L 1-339.3 1094 1178 18.45% 28.92% 52.63%-0.61 -16.2 11
2024-10-05 Besa Doberdoll D 1-153.1 1196 1083 55.66% 28.22% 16.12%+0.74 -3.8 17
2024-10-05 @ Gostivar D 1-153.1 1083 1196 16.12% 28.22% 55.66%-0.74 +3.8 9
2024-10-05 Rabotnicki L 0-235.1 1021 1173 22.83% 29.78% 47.39%-0.43 -22.2 5
2024-10-05 @ Voska Sport W 2-035.1 1173 1021 47.39% 29.78% 22.83%+0.43 +22.2 19
2024-10-05 Shkendija D 0-047.5 1179 1239 34.25% 30.52% 35.22%-0.02 +0.1 14
2024-10-05 @ Sileks D 0-047.5 1239 1179 35.22% 30.52% 34.25%+0.02 -0.1 18
2024-10-05 Struga L 1-439.7 1007 1111 28.35% 30.34% 41.31%-0.22 -32.1 7
2024-10-05 @ Vardar W 4-139.7 1111 1007 41.31% 30.34% 28.35%+0.22 +32.1 15
2024-10-05 Tikvesh D 0-047.3 1002 1061 34.43% 30.52% 35.05%-0.02 +0.1 10
2024-10-05 @ Pelister D 0-047.3 1061 1002 35.05% 30.52% 34.43%+0.02 -0.1 7
2024-10-20 Gostivar W 1-040.2 1195 1192 42.98% 30.22% 26.80%+0.25 +13.3 22
2024-10-20 @ Rabotnicki L 0-140.2 1192 1195 26.80% 30.22% 42.98%-0.25 -13.3 17
2024-10-20 Shkendija D 0-047.7 1061 1239 20.27% 29.33% 50.40%-0.54 +3.1 8
2024-10-20 @ Tikvesh D 0-047.7 1239 1061 50.40% 29.33% 20.27%+0.54 -3.1 19
2024-10-20 Shkupi D 0-047.8 1002 1194 19.00% 29.05% 51.96%-0.60 +3.4 11
2024-10-20 @ Pelister D 0-047.8 1194 1002 51.96% 29.05% 19.00%+0.60 -3.4 13
2024-10-20 Sileks L 1-442.7 1143 1179 37.76% 30.49% 31.76%+0.08 -39.4 15
2024-10-20 @ Struga W 4-142.7 1179 1143 31.76% 30.49% 37.76%-0.08 +39.4 17
2024-10-20 Vardar W 2-142.1 1087 975 55.56% 28.25% 16.20%+0.73 +8.3 12
2024-10-20 @ Besa Doberdoll L 1-242.1 975 1087 16.20% 28.25% 55.56%-0.73 -8.3 7
2024-10-20 Voska Sport D 1-152.8 1078 999 52.12% 29.02% 18.86%+0.59 -3.1 12
2024-10-20 @ AP Brera Strumica D 1-152.8 999 1078 18.86% 29.02% 52.12%-0.59 +3.1 6
2024-10-27 AP Brera Strumica W 4-135.7 1179 1075 54.76% 28.44% 16.80%+0.70 +21.1 20
2024-10-27 @ Gostivar L 1-435.7 1075 1179 16.80% 28.44% 54.76%-0.70 -21.0 12
2024-10-27 Besa Doberdoll W 2-032.4 1218 1095 56.68% 27.95% 15.37%+0.78 +15.9 20
2024-10-27 @ Sileks L 0-232.4 1095 1218 15.37% 27.95% 56.68%-0.78 -15.9 12
2024-10-27 Pelister D 1-152.4 1002 1006 42.05% 30.29% 27.66%+0.22 -1.2 7
2024-10-27 @ Voska Sport D 1-152.4 1006 1002 27.66% 30.29% 42.05%-0.22 +1.2 12
2024-10-27 Rabotnicki D 0-048.1 966 1208 15.03% 27.82% 57.15%-0.82 +4.5 8
2024-10-27 @ Vardar D 0-048.1 1208 966 57.15% 27.82% 15.03%+0.82 -4.5 23
2024-10-27 Struga D 1-153.3 1236 1104 57.54% 27.71% 14.75%+0.82 -4.1 20
2024-10-27 @ Shkendija D 1-153.3 1104 1236 14.75% 27.71% 57.54%-0.82 +4.1 16
2024-10-27 Tikvesh W 3-138.0 1191 1065 56.96% 27.87% 15.17%+0.79 +13.6 16
2024-10-27 @ Shkupi L 1-338.0 1065 1191 15.17% 27.87% 56.96%-0.79 -13.6 8
2024-10-30 AP Brera Strumica L 0-141.4 971 1054 31.15% 30.47% 38.38%-0.12 -14.9 8
2024-10-30 @ Vardar W 1-041.4 1054 971 38.38% 30.47% 31.15%+0.12 +14.9 15
2024-10-30 Besa Doberdoll W 2-141.0 1232 1079 59.47% 27.11% 13.42%+0.91 +7.0 23
2024-10-30 @ Shkendija L 1-241.0 1079 1232 13.42% 27.11% 59.47%-0.91 -7.0 12
2024-10-30 Pelister D 0-048.7 1200 1007 62.98% 25.83% 11.18%+1.09 -5.7 21
2024-10-30 @ Gostivar D 0-048.7 1007 1200 11.18% 25.83% 62.98%-1.09 +5.7 13
2024-10-30 Rabotnicki D 1-152.8 1234 1204 46.45% 29.89% 23.66%+0.37 -2.1 21
2024-10-30 @ Sileks D 1-152.8 1204 1234 23.66% 29.89% 46.45%-0.37 +2.0 24
2024-10-30 Shkupi W 3-149.7 1000 1204 17.95% 28.78% 53.26%-0.65 +36.7 10
2024-10-30 @ Voska Sport L 1-349.7 1204 1000 53.26% 28.78% 17.95%+0.65 -36.7 16
2024-10-30 Struga L 0-142.5 1051 1108 34.73% 30.52% 34.74%-0.01 -16.1 8
2024-10-30 @ Tikvesh W 1-042.5 1108 1051 34.74% 30.52% 34.73%+0.01 +16.1 19
2024-11-03 Gostivar L 0-143.9 1167 1194 39.00% 30.45% 30.55%+0.12 -17.5 16
2024-11-03 @ Shkupi W 1-043.9 1194 1167 30.55% 30.45% 39.00%-0.12 +17.5 24
2024-11-03 Shkendija D 0-047.6 1206 1239 38.14% 30.47% 31.38%+0.10 -0.6 25
2024-11-03 @ Rabotnicki D 0-047.6 1239 1206 31.38% 30.47% 38.14%-0.10 +0.6 24
2024-11-03 Sileks L 0-138.4 1069 1232 21.64% 29.59% 48.77%-0.48 -11.3 15
2024-11-03 @ AP Brera Strumica W 1-038.4 1232 1069 48.77% 29.59% 21.64%+0.48 +11.3 24
2024-11-03 Struga L 1-248.6 1072 1124 35.47% 30.52% 34.00%+0.01 -15.4 12
2024-11-03 @ Besa Doberdoll W 2-148.6 1124 1072 34.00% 30.52% 35.47%-0.01 +15.4 22
2024-11-03 Tikvesh D 0-047.4 1037 1035 42.90% 30.23% 26.87%+0.25 -1.6 11
2024-11-03 @ Voska Sport D 0-047.4 1035 1037 26.87% 30.23% 42.90%-0.25 +1.6 9
2024-11-03 Vardar W 1-038.0 1013 956 49.60% 29.46% 20.94%+0.49 +11.0 16
2024-11-03 @ Pelister L 0-138.0 956 1013 20.94% 29.46% 49.60%-0.49 -11.0 8
2024-11-09 AP Brera Strumica W 4-347.1 1239 1057 62.09% 26.18% 11.73%+1.04 +5.7 27
2024-11-09 @ Shkendija L 3-447.1 1057 1239 11.73% 26.18% 62.09%-1.04 -5.7 15
2024-11-09 Besa Doberdoll D 0-047.3 1036 1057 39.87% 30.41% 29.72%+0.15 -1.0 10
2024-11-09 @ Tikvesh D 0-047.3 1057 1036 29.72% 30.41% 39.87%-0.15 +1.0 13
2024-11-09 Pelister W 1-033.4 1243 1024 65.18% 24.90% 9.92%+1.20 +5.4 27
2024-11-09 @ Sileks L 0-133.4 1024 1243 9.92% 24.90% 65.18%-1.20 -5.4 16
2024-11-09 Rabotnicki W 1-043.0 1139 1205 33.47% 30.52% 36.02%-0.05 +16.5 25
2024-11-09 @ Struga L 0-143.0 1205 1139 36.02% 30.52% 33.47%+0.05 -16.5 25
2024-11-09 Shkupi W 3-258.1 945 1150 17.86% 28.76% 53.39%-0.66 +20.1 11
2024-11-09 @ Vardar L 2-358.1 1150 945 53.39% 28.76% 17.86%+0.66 -20.2 16
2024-11-09 Voska Sport W 4-028.8 1212 1036 61.55% 26.38% 12.07%+1.01 +23.9 27
2024-11-09 @ Gostivar L 0-428.8 1036 1212 12.07% 26.38% 61.55%-1.01 -23.9 11
2024-11-24 Besa Doberdoll W 4-134.9 1189 1058 57.43% 27.74% 14.83%+0.82 +18.8 28
2024-11-24 @ Rabotnicki L 1-434.9 1058 1189 14.83% 27.74% 57.43%-0.82 -18.8 13
2024-11-24 Shkendija L 0-136.3 1018 1245 16.13% 28.22% 55.64%-0.75 -8.8 16
2024-11-24 @ Pelister W 1-036.3 1245 1018 55.64% 28.22% 16.13%+0.75 +8.8 30
2024-11-24 Sileks L 0-236.5 1130 1249 26.53% 30.20% 43.27%-0.28 -24.9 16
2024-11-24 @ Shkupi W 2-036.5 1249 1130 43.27% 30.20% 26.53%+0.28 +25.0 30
2024-11-24 Struga D 1-152.5 1052 1156 28.34% 30.34% 41.32%-0.22 +1.1 16
2024-11-24 @ AP Brera Strumica D 1-152.5 1156 1052 41.32% 30.34% 28.34%+0.22 -1.1 26
2024-11-24 Tikvesh W 1-033.9 1235 1035 63.59% 25.59% 10.82%+1.12 +6.0 30
2024-11-24 @ Gostivar L 0-133.9 1035 1235 10.82% 25.59% 63.59%-1.12 -6.0 10
2024-11-24 Vardar D 0-047.6 1012 965 48.40% 29.64% 21.96%+0.44 -2.7 12
2024-11-24 @ Voska Sport D 0-047.6 965 1012 21.96% 29.64% 48.40%-0.44 +2.7 12
2024-11-27 AP Brera Strumica L 0-144.2 1039 1053 40.77% 30.37% 28.86%+0.18 -18.1 13
2024-11-27 @ Besa Doberdoll W 1-044.2 1053 1039 28.86% 30.37% 40.77%-0.18 +18.1 19
2024-11-27 Gostivar L 0-231.3 968 1241 13.00% 26.90% 60.10%-0.96 -13.5 12
2024-11-27 @ Vardar W 2-031.3 1241 968 60.10% 26.90% 13.00%+0.96 +13.5 33
2024-11-27 Pelister W 1-035.3 1155 1010 58.77% 27.33% 13.89%+0.88 +7.7 29
2024-11-27 @ Struga L 0-135.3 1010 1155 13.89% 27.33% 58.77%-0.88 -7.6 16
2024-11-27 Rabotnicki L 0-234.2 1030 1208 20.23% 29.32% 50.45%-0.54 -20.1 10
2024-11-27 @ Tikvesh W 2-034.2 1208 1030 50.45% 29.32% 20.23%+0.54 +20.2 31
2024-11-27 Shkupi W 2-031.7 1254 1105 59.13% 27.22% 13.65%+0.89 +14.2 33
2024-11-27 @ Shkendija L 0-231.7 1105 1254 13.65% 27.22% 59.13%-0.89 -14.2 16
2024-11-27 Voska Sport W 4-131.6 1274 1009 68.63% 23.25% 8.12%+1.40 +10.1 33
2024-11-27 @ Sileks L 1-431.6 1009 1274 8.12% 23.25% 68.63%-1.40 -10.1 12
2024-12-03 Besa Doberdoll W 1-040.9 1002 1021 40.06% 30.40% 29.54%+0.16 +14.3 19
2024-12-03 @ Pelister L 0-140.9 1021 1002 29.54% 30.40% 40.06%-0.16 -14.3 13
2024-12-03 Rabotnicki L 1-340.7 1071 1228 22.31% 29.70% 47.99%-0.45 -18.9 19
2024-12-03 @ AP Brera Strumica W 3-140.7 1228 1071 47.99% 29.70% 22.31%+0.45 +18.9 34
2024-12-03 Shkendija L 0-135.1 999 1268 13.27% 27.03% 59.70%-0.94 -7.3 12
2024-12-03 @ Voska Sport W 1-035.1 1268 999 59.70% 27.03% 13.27%+0.94 +7.3 36
2024-12-03 Sileks D 0-047.9 1255 1284 38.70% 30.46% 30.84%+0.11 -0.8 34
2024-12-03 @ Gostivar D 0-047.9 1284 1255 30.84% 30.46% 38.70%-0.11 +0.8 34
2024-12-03 Struga W 3-145.3 1091 1162 32.65% 30.51% 36.85%-0.07 +27.4 19
2024-12-03 @ Shkupi L 1-345.3 1162 1091 36.85% 30.51% 32.65%+0.07 -27.4 29
2024-12-03 Tikvesh D 1-152.4 954 1009 35.03% 30.52% 34.45%+0.00 -0.0 13
2024-12-03 @ Vardar D 1-152.4 1009 954 34.45% 30.52% 35.03%+0.00 +0.0 11
2024-12-08 AP Brera Strumica W 2-038.3 1009 1052 36.80% 30.51% 32.70%+0.05 +29.1 14
2024-12-08 @ Tikvesh L 0-238.3 1052 1009 32.70% 30.51% 36.80%-0.05 -29.1 19
2024-12-08 Gostivar D 0-048.0 1275 1254 45.31% 30.02% 24.67%+0.33 -2.1 37
2024-12-08 @ Shkendija D 0-048.0 1254 1275 24.67% 30.02% 45.31%-0.33 +2.0 35
2024-12-08 Pelister W 3-027.6 1247 1016 66.03% 24.52% 9.45%+1.25 +14.1 37
2024-12-08 @ Rabotnicki L 0-327.6 1016 1247 9.45% 24.52% 66.03%-1.25 -14.1 19
2024-12-08 Shkupi L 0-140.2 1007 1118 27.45% 30.28% 42.28%-0.25 -13.6 13
2024-12-08 @ Besa Doberdoll W 1-040.2 1118 1007 42.28% 30.28% 27.45%+0.25 +13.6 22
2024-12-08 Vardar W 1-031.0 1285 954 73.19% 20.73% 6.08%+1.69 +3.1 37
2024-12-08 @ Sileks L 0-131.0 954 1285 6.08% 20.73% 73.19%-1.69 -3.1 13
2024-12-08 Voska Sport W 2-141.2 1135 992 58.61% 27.39% 14.01%+0.87 +7.3 32
2024-12-08 @ Struga L 1-241.2 992 1135 14.01% 27.39% 58.61%-0.87 -7.3 12
2025-02-16 AP Brera Strumica D 0-047.3 1002 1023 39.83% 30.41% 29.76%+0.15 -1.0 20
2025-02-16 @ Pelister D 0-047.3 1023 1002 29.76% 30.41% 39.83%-0.15 +1.0 20
2025-02-16 Besa Doberdoll W 2-036.9 984 993 41.46% 30.33% 28.21%+0.20 +26.1 15
2025-02-16 @ Voska Sport L 0-236.9 993 984 28.21% 30.33% 41.46%-0.20 -26.1 13
2025-02-16 Rabotnicki W 2-041.9 1132 1261 25.34% 30.09% 44.57%-0.33 +36.5 25
2025-02-16 @ Shkupi L 0-241.9 1261 1132 44.57% 30.09% 25.34%+0.33 -36.5 37
2025-02-16 Shkendija L 1-239.5 951 1273 10.43% 25.30% 64.27%-1.17 -5.4 13
2025-02-16 @ Vardar W 2-139.5 1273 951 64.27% 25.30% 10.43%+1.17 +5.4 40
2025-02-16 Struga W 1-036.4 1256 1142 55.76% 28.19% 16.04%+0.74 +8.8 38
2025-02-16 @ Gostivar L 0-136.4 1142 1256 16.04% 28.19% 55.76%-0.74 -8.7 32
2025-02-16 Tikvesh D 1-154.5 1288 1038 67.49% 23.83% 8.69%+1.33 -5.9 38
2025-02-16 @ Sileks D 1-154.5 1038 1288 8.69% 23.83% 67.49%-1.33 +5.9 15
2025-02-22 Vardar L 0-245.9 1134 946 62.56% 26.00% 11.44%+1.06 -48.7 32
2025-02-22 @ Struga W 2-045.9 946 1134 11.44% 26.00% 62.56%-1.06 +48.7 16
2025-02-23 Gostivar D 0-048.7 967 1265 11.62% 26.11% 62.26%-1.07 +5.6 14
2025-02-23 @ Besa Doberdoll D 0-048.7 1265 967 62.26% 26.11% 11.62%+1.07 -5.6 39
2025-02-23 Pelister L 1-252.0 1044 1001 48.00% 29.70% 22.30%+0.43 -19.4 15
2025-02-23 @ Tikvesh W 2-152.0 1001 1044 22.30% 29.70% 48.00%-0.43 +19.4 23
2025-02-23 Shkupi L 1-244.8 1024 1168 23.64% 29.89% 46.47%-0.39 -11.4 20
2025-02-23 @ AP Brera Strumica W 2-144.8 1168 1024 46.47% 29.89% 23.64%+0.39 +11.4 28
2025-02-23 Sileks W 4-246.5 1279 1282 42.19% 30.28% 27.53%+0.23 +19.9 43
2025-02-23 @ Shkendija L 2-446.5 1282 1279 27.53% 30.28% 42.19%-0.23 -19.9 38
2025-02-23 Voska Sport W 1-033.5 1224 1011 64.71% 25.11% 10.18%+1.18 +5.6 40
2025-02-23 @ Rabotnicki L 0-133.5 1011 1224 10.18% 25.11% 64.71%-1.18 -5.6 15
2025-03-01 Besa Doberdoll D 0-047.4 995 972 45.43% 30.00% 24.57%+0.34 -2.1 17
2025-03-01 @ Vardar D 0-047.4 972 995 24.57% 30.00% 45.43%-0.34 +2.1 15
2025-03-02 AP Brera Strumica W 3-142.5 1005 1012 41.61% 30.32% 28.07%+0.21 +22.5 18
2025-03-02 @ Voska Sport L 1-342.5 1012 1005 28.07% 30.32% 41.61%-0.21 -22.5 20
2025-03-02 Pelister W 3-137.0 1180 1021 60.05% 26.92% 13.04%+0.94 +11.8 31
2025-03-02 @ Shkupi L 1-337.0 1021 1180 13.04% 26.92% 60.05%-0.94 -11.8 23
2025-03-02 Rabotnicki D 0-047.9 1259 1230 46.36% 29.90% 23.73%+0.37 -2.3 40
2025-03-02 @ Gostivar D 0-047.9 1230 1259 23.73% 29.90% 46.36%-0.37 +2.3 41
2025-03-02 Struga W 3-136.7 1262 1085 61.65% 26.35% 12.00%+1.02 +10.8 41
2025-03-02 @ Sileks L 1-336.7 1085 1262 12.00% 26.35% 61.65%-1.02 -10.8 32
2025-03-02 Tikvesh W 1-032.2 1299 1025 69.29% 22.91% 7.80%+1.44 +4.2 46
2025-03-02 @ Shkendija L 0-132.2 1025 1299 7.80% 22.91% 69.29%-1.44 -4.2 15
2025-03-05 Gostivar L 0-135.1 990 1257 13.37% 27.09% 59.54%-0.93 -7.4 20
2025-03-05 @ AP Brera Strumica W 1-035.1 1257 990 59.54% 27.09% 13.37%+0.93 +7.4 43
2025-03-05 Shkendija W 3-042.8 1074 1303 15.98% 28.17% 55.85%-0.76 +64.2 35
2025-03-05 @ Struga L 0-342.8 1303 1074 55.85% 28.17% 15.98%+0.76 -64.2 46
2025-03-05 Shkupi W 1-046.7 1021 1191 20.94% 29.46% 49.59%-0.51 +21.2 18
2025-03-05 @ Tikvesh L 0-146.7 1191 1021 49.59% 29.46% 20.94%+0.51 -21.1 31
2025-03-05 Sileks L 0-529.2 975 1273 11.61% 26.11% 62.28%-1.07 -28.3 15
2025-03-05 @ Besa Doberdoll W 5-029.2 1273 975 62.28% 26.11% 11.61%+1.07 +28.3 44
2025-03-05 Vardar L 0-246.7 1232 992 66.75% 24.18% 9.07%+1.29 -51.3 41
2025-03-05 @ Rabotnicki W 2-046.7 992 1232 9.07% 24.18% 66.75%-1.29 +51.3 20
2025-03-05 Voska Sport W 1-040.9 1009 1028 40.10% 30.40% 29.50%+0.16 +14.3 26
2025-03-05 @ Pelister L 0-140.9 1028 1009 29.50% 30.40% 40.10%-0.16 -14.3 18
2025-03-09 AP Brera Strumica D 2-260.5 1265 982 69.89% 22.59% 7.52%+1.48 -4.6 44
2025-03-09 @ Gostivar D 2-260.5 982 1265 7.52% 22.59% 69.89%-1.48 +4.6 21
2025-03-09 Besa Doberdoll L 2-360.6 1170 946 65.53% 24.75% 9.73%+1.22 -24.0 31
2025-03-09 @ Shkupi W 3-260.6 946 1170 9.73% 24.75% 65.53%-1.22 +24.0 18
2025-03-09 Pelister W 1-033.5 1239 1023 64.85% 25.05% 10.10%+1.19 +5.5 49
2025-03-09 @ Shkendija L 0-133.5 1023 1239 10.10% 25.05% 64.85%-1.19 -5.5 26
2025-03-09 Vardar D 1-154.6 1301 1044 68.09% 23.53% 8.39%+1.37 -6.0 45
2025-03-09 @ Sileks D 1-154.6 1044 1301 8.39% 23.53% 68.09%-1.37 +6.0 21
2025-03-09 Voska Sport W 1-035.9 1138 1013 56.86% 27.90% 15.24%+0.79 +8.3 38
2025-03-09 @ Struga L 0-135.9 1013 1138 15.24% 27.90% 56.86%-0.79 -8.4 18
2025-03-10 Tikvesh W 1-035.5 1181 1042 58.19% 27.52% 14.30%+0.85 +7.9 44
2025-03-10 @ Rabotnicki L 0-135.5 1042 1181 14.30% 27.52% 58.19%-0.85 -7.9 18
2025-03-14 Shkendija D 1-152.9 1050 1244 18.75% 28.99% 52.26%-0.61 +3.1 22
2025-03-14 @ Vardar D 1-152.9 1244 1050 52.26% 28.99% 18.75%+0.61 -3.1 50
2025-03-15 Gostivar W 2-154.0 1034 1260 16.19% 28.25% 55.56%-0.75 +22.0 21
2025-03-15 @ Tikvesh L 1-254.0 1260 1034 55.56% 28.25% 16.19%+0.75 -22.0 44
2025-03-15 Pelister L 0-148.4 1146 1018 57.20% 27.80% 14.99%+0.80 -23.9 31
2025-03-15 @ Shkupi W 1-048.4 1018 1146 14.99% 27.80% 57.20%-0.80 +23.9 29
2025-03-15 Rabotnicki D 1-152.8 1005 1189 19.69% 29.21% 51.10%-0.57 +2.9 19
2025-03-15 @ Voska Sport D 1-152.8 1189 1005 51.10% 29.21% 19.69%+0.57 -2.9 45
2025-03-15 Sileks L 0-230.5 987 1295 11.11% 25.78% 63.10%-1.11 -11.6 21
2025-03-15 @ AP Brera Strumica W 2-030.5 1295 987 63.10% 25.78% 11.11%+1.11 +11.6 48
2025-03-15 Struga W 3-257.4 970 1147 20.40% 29.36% 50.25%-0.53 +19.1 21
2025-03-15 @ Besa Doberdoll L 2-357.4 1147 970 50.25% 29.36% 20.40%+0.53 -19.1 38
2025-03-29 Vardar L 1-346.5 1042 1053 41.09% 30.35% 28.56%+0.19 -29.7 29
2025-03-29 @ Pelister W 3-146.5 1053 1042 28.56% 30.35% 41.09%-0.19 +29.7 25
2025-03-31 AP Brera Strumica W 2-138.2 1241 976 68.69% 23.22% 8.09%+1.41 +4.1 53
2025-03-31 @ Shkendija L 1-238.2 976 1241 8.09% 23.22% 68.69%-1.41 -4.1 21
2025-03-31 Besa Doberdoll W 1-033.9 1186 989 63.29% 25.71% 11.00%+1.10 +6.1 48
2025-03-31 @ Rabotnicki L 0-133.9 989 1186 11.00% 25.71% 63.29%-1.10 -6.1 21
2025-03-31 Shkupi D 0-047.4 1127 1122 43.27% 30.20% 26.53%+0.26 -1.6 39
2025-03-31 @ Struga D 0-047.4 1122 1127 26.53% 30.20% 43.27%-0.26 +1.7 32
2025-03-31 Tikvesh D 1-154.5 1307 1056 67.59% 23.77% 8.63%+1.34 -5.9 49
2025-03-31 @ Sileks D 1-154.5 1056 1307 8.63% 23.77% 67.59%-1.34 +5.9 22
2025-03-31 Voska Sport L 0-246.5 1238 1008 66.02% 24.52% 9.46%+1.25 -50.9 44
2025-03-31 @ Gostivar W 2-046.5 1008 1238 9.46% 24.52% 66.02%-1.25 +50.9 22
2025-04-05 Pelister W 4-135.4 1126 1012 55.76% 28.20% 16.05%+0.74 +20.2 42
2025-04-05 @ Struga L 1-435.4 1012 1126 16.05% 28.20% 55.76%-0.74 -20.2 29
2025-04-06 Gostivar W 2-153.4 983 1187 17.95% 28.78% 53.27%-0.65 +21.2 24
2025-04-06 @ Besa Doberdoll L 1-253.4 1187 983 53.27% 28.78% 17.95%+0.65 -21.2 44
2025-04-06 Rabotnicki D 0-047.4 1124 1192 33.18% 30.51% 36.31%-0.06 +0.3 33
2025-04-06 @ Shkupi D 0-047.4 1192 1124 36.31% 30.51% 33.18%+0.06 -0.3 49
2025-04-06 Shkendija L 0-137.7 1062 1245 19.75% 29.22% 51.03%-0.56 -10.5 22
2025-04-06 @ Tikvesh W 1-037.7 1245 1062 51.03% 29.22% 19.75%+0.56 +10.5 56
2025-04-06 Sileks L 1-241.7 1059 1301 15.01% 27.81% 57.18%-0.82 -7.8 22
2025-04-06 @ Voska Sport W 2-141.7 1301 1059 57.18% 27.81% 15.01%+0.82 +7.8 52
2025-04-06 Vardar L 0-236.7 971 1083 27.49% 30.28% 42.23%-0.25 -25.6 21
2025-04-06 @ AP Brera Strumica W 2-036.7 1083 971 42.23% 30.28% 27.49%+0.25 +25.6 28
2025-04-13 AP Brera Strumica L 1-252.1 992 946 48.32% 29.65% 22.03%+0.44 -19.5 29
2025-04-13 @ Pelister W 2-152.1 946 992 22.03% 29.65% 48.32%-0.44 +19.5 24
2025-04-13 Besa Doberdoll W 5-026.5 1309 1005 71.43% 21.74% 6.83%+1.57 +15.8 55
2025-04-13 @ Sileks L 0-526.5 1005 1309 6.83% 21.74% 71.43%-1.57 -15.8 24
2025-04-13 Shkupi W 3-140.8 1166 1124 47.82% 29.72% 22.46%+0.42 +19.0 47
2025-04-13 @ Gostivar L 1-340.8 1124 1166 22.46% 29.72% 47.82%-0.42 -19.0 33
2025-04-13 Struga L 0-146.4 1192 1146 48.29% 29.66% 22.06%+0.44 -20.7 49
2025-04-13 @ Rabotnicki W 1-046.4 1146 1192 22.06% 29.66% 48.29%-0.44 +20.7 45
2025-04-13 Tikvesh D 2-258.4 1108 1051 49.60% 29.46% 20.94%+0.49 -2.0 29
2025-04-13 @ Vardar D 2-258.4 1051 1108 20.94% 29.46% 49.60%-0.49 +2.0 23
2025-04-13 Voska Sport W 4-028.1 1256 1051 63.98% 25.42% 10.59%+1.14 +20.9 59
2025-04-13 @ Shkendija L 0-428.1 1051 1256 10.59% 25.42% 63.98%-1.14 -20.9 22
2025-04-19 AP Brera Strumica W 2-142.8 1053 965 53.08% 28.82% 18.10%+0.63 +9.2 26
2025-04-19 @ Tikvesh L 1-242.8 965 1053 18.10% 28.82% 53.08%-0.63 -9.2 24
2025-04-19 Gostivar D 1-152.5 1167 1185 40.17% 30.40% 29.43%+0.16 -0.9 46
2025-04-19 @ Struga D 1-152.5 1185 1167 29.43% 30.40% 40.17%-0.16 +0.9 48
2025-04-19 Pelister W 2-139.7 1171 972 63.48% 25.63% 10.89%+1.11 +5.7 52
2025-04-19 @ Rabotnicki L 1-239.7 972 1171 10.89% 25.63% 63.48%-1.11 -5.7 29
2025-04-19 Shkendija L 2-345.1 989 1276 12.18% 26.45% 61.37%-1.02 -6.0 24
2025-04-19 @ Besa Doberdoll W 3-245.1 1276 989 61.37% 26.45% 12.18%+1.02 +6.0 62
2025-04-19 Sileks L 1-242.5 1105 1324 16.70% 28.41% 54.88%-0.72 -8.5 33
2025-04-19 @ Shkupi W 2-142.5 1324 1105 54.88% 28.41% 16.70%+0.72 +8.6 58
2025-04-19 Vardar L 0-336.2 1030 1106 32.03% 30.49% 37.48%-0.09 -41.6 22
2025-04-19 @ Voska Sport W 3-036.2 1106 1030 37.48% 30.49% 32.03%+0.09 +41.6 32
2025-04-26 Besa Doberdoll W 3-136.9 1148 983 60.59% 26.73% 12.68%+0.96 +11.4 35
2025-04-26 @ Vardar L 1-336.9 983 1148 12.68% 26.73% 60.59%-0.96 -11.4 24
2025-04-27 Rabotnicki L 0-339.7 1186 1176 43.80% 30.16% 26.04%+0.28 -52.3 48
2025-04-27 @ Gostivar W 3-039.7 1176 1186 26.04% 30.16% 43.80%-0.28 +52.3 55
2025-04-27 Shkupi D 3-363.0 1283 1097 62.40% 26.06% 11.54%+1.06 -3.1 63
2025-04-27 @ Shkendija D 3-363.0 1097 1283 11.54% 26.06% 62.40%-1.06 +3.1 34
2025-04-27 Struga D 0-048.9 1333 1166 60.78% 26.66% 12.56%+0.97 -5.3 59
2025-04-27 @ Sileks D 0-048.9 1166 1333 12.56% 26.66% 60.78%-0.97 +5.3 47
2025-04-27 Tikvesh W 1-044.1 966 1063 29.38% 30.39% 40.22%-0.18 +17.9 32
2025-04-27 @ Pelister L 0-144.1 1063 966 40.22% 30.39% 29.38%+0.18 -17.9 26
2025-04-28 Voska Sport W 3-035.9 956 988 38.24% 30.47% 31.29%+0.10 +40.9 27
2025-04-28 @ AP Brera Strumica L 0-335.9 988 956 31.29% 30.47% 38.24%-0.10 -40.9 22
2025-05-03 Vardar L 0-238.9 1100 1159 34.37% 30.52% 35.11%-0.02 -30.1 34
2025-05-03 @ Shkupi W 2-038.9 1159 1100 35.11% 30.52% 34.37%+0.02 +30.1 38
2025-05-04 AP Brera Strumica W 2-147.0 971 997 39.13% 30.44% 30.43%+0.13 +13.8 27
2025-05-04 @ Besa Doberdoll L 1-247.0 997 971 30.43% 30.44% 39.13%-0.13 -13.8 27
2025-05-04 Pelister L 0-343.3 1133 984 59.14% 27.22% 13.64%+0.89 -67.5 48
2025-05-04 @ Gostivar W 3-043.3 984 1133 13.64% 27.22% 59.14%-0.89 +67.4 35
2025-05-04 Shkendija D 1-152.7 1171 1279 27.83% 30.30% 41.87%-0.23 +1.2 48
2025-05-04 @ Struga D 1-152.7 1279 1171 41.87% 30.30% 27.83%+0.23 -1.2 64
2025-05-04 Sileks D 0-048.0 1229 1328 29.03% 30.38% 40.59%-0.19 +1.1 56
2025-05-04 @ Rabotnicki D 0-048.0 1328 1229 40.59% 30.38% 29.03%+0.19 -1.1 60
2025-05-04 Tikvesh L 0-335.3 948 1045 29.24% 30.39% 40.37%-0.19 -39.0 22
2025-05-04 @ Voska Sport W 3-035.3 1045 948 40.37% 30.39% 29.24%+0.19 +39.0 29
2025-05-06 Struga D 0-047.6 1189 1172 44.80% 30.07% 25.13%+0.32 -1.9 39
2025-05-06 @ Vardar D 0-047.6 1172 1189 25.13% 30.07% 44.80%-0.32 +2.0 49
2025-05-07 Besa Doberdoll W 1-036.6 1084 985 54.18% 28.58% 17.24%+0.67 +9.3 32
2025-05-07 @ Tikvesh L 0-136.6 985 1084 17.24% 28.58% 54.18%-0.67 -9.3 27
2025-05-07 Gostivar W 3-027.1 1327 1066 68.33% 23.41% 8.27%+1.38 +12.2 63
2025-05-07 @ Sileks L 0-327.1 1066 1327 8.27% 23.41% 68.33%-1.38 -12.2 48
2025-05-07 Rabotnicki W 2-144.6 1278 1230 48.61% 29.61% 21.78%+0.45 +10.7 67
2025-05-07 @ Shkendija L 1-244.6 1230 1278 21.78% 29.61% 48.61%-0.45 -10.7 56
2025-05-07 Shkupi W 4-356.5 983 1070 30.66% 30.45% 38.89%-0.14 +15.2 30
2025-05-07 @ AP Brera Strumica L 3-456.5 1070 983 38.89% 30.45% 30.66%+0.14 -15.2 34
2025-05-07 Voska Sport W 3-029.8 1052 909 58.60% 27.39% 14.01%+0.87 +21.1 38
2025-05-07 @ Pelister L 0-329.8 909 1052 14.01% 27.39% 58.60%-0.87 -21.1 22
2025-05-11 AP Brera Strumica D 1-153.6 1174 998 61.53% 26.39% 12.08%+1.01 -4.9 50
2025-05-11 @ Struga D 1-153.6 998 1174 12.08% 26.39% 61.53%-1.01 +4.9 31
2025-05-11 Pelister D 0-049.7 1339 1073 68.71% 23.21% 8.08%+1.41 -6.8 64
2025-05-11 @ Sileks D 0-049.7 1073 1339 8.08% 23.21% 68.71%-1.41 +6.8 39
2025-05-11 Shkendija L 0-330.6 1054 1289 15.51% 28.00% 56.48%-0.79 -23.2 48
2025-05-11 @ Gostivar W 3-030.6 1289 1054 56.48% 28.00% 15.51%+0.79 +23.2 70
2025-05-11 Tikvesh D 1-152.4 1054 1093 37.36% 30.50% 32.15%+0.07 -0.4 35
2025-05-11 @ Shkupi D 1-152.4 1093 1054 32.15% 30.50% 37.36%-0.07 +0.4 33
2025-05-11 Vardar L 0-146.1 1219 1187 46.64% 29.87% 23.49%+0.38 -20.1 56
2025-05-11 @ Rabotnicki W 1-046.1 1187 1219 23.49% 29.87% 46.64%-0.38 +20.1 42
2025-05-11 Voska Sport W 3-031.4 976 887 53.11% 28.82% 18.07%+0.63 +26.6 30
2025-05-11 @ Besa Doberdoll L 0-331.4 887 976 18.07% 28.82% 53.11%-0.63 -26.6 22
2025-05-17 Besa Doberdoll L 1-446.4 1080 1002 51.91% 29.06% 19.03%+0.58 -50.8 39
2025-05-17 @ Pelister W 4-146.4 1002 1080 19.03% 29.06% 51.91%-0.58 +50.8 33
2025-05-17 Rabotnicki W 3-257.9 1003 1199 18.63% 28.96% 52.41%-0.62 +19.8 34
2025-05-17 @ AP Brera Strumica L 2-357.9 1199 1003 52.41% 28.96% 18.63%+0.62 -19.8 56
2025-05-17 Sileks L 1-347.4 1312 1332 39.95% 30.41% 29.65%+0.15 -29.0 70
2025-05-17 @ Shkendija W 3-147.4 1332 1312 29.65% 30.41% 39.95%-0.15 +29.0 67
2025-05-17 Struga D 3-361.5 1093 1169 32.07% 30.49% 37.44%-0.09 +0.3 34
2025-05-17 @ Tikvesh D 3-361.5 1169 1093 37.44% 30.49% 32.07%+0.09 -0.3 51
2025-05-18 Gostivar W 3-028.9 1207 1031 61.63% 26.35% 12.01%+1.02 +18.2 45
2025-05-18 @ Vardar L 0-328.9 1031 1207 12.01% 26.35% 61.63%-1.02 -18.2 48
2025-05-18 Shkupi L 0-331.7 861 1054 18.85% 29.01% 52.13%-0.61 -27.6 22
2025-05-18 @ Voska Sport W 3-031.7 1054 861 52.13% 29.01% 18.85%+0.61 +27.6 38

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2025-03-05 9.07% Vardar 992 2 @ Rabotnicki 1232 0
2 2025-03-31 9.46% Voska Sport 1008 2 @ Gostivar 1238 0
3 2025-03-09 9.73% Besa Doberdoll 946 3 @ Shkupi 1170 2
4 2025-02-22 11.44% Vardar 946 2 @ Struga 1134 0
5 2025-05-04 13.64% Pelister 984 3 @ Gostivar 1133 0
6 2025-03-15 14.99% Pelister 1018 1 @ Shkupi 1146 0
7 2025-03-05 15.98% @ Struga 1074 3 Shkendija 1303 0
8 2025-03-15 16.19% @ Tikvesh 1034 2 Gostivar 1260 1
9 2024-11-09 17.86% @ Vardar 945 3 Shkupi 1150 2
10 2024-10-30 17.95% @ Voska Sport 1000 3 Shkupi 1204 1
11 2025-04-06 17.95% @ Besa Doberdoll 983 2 Gostivar 1187 1
12 2025-05-17 18.63% @ AP Brera Strumica 1003 3 Rabotnicki 1199 2
13 2025-05-17 19.03% Besa Doberdoll 1002 4 @ Pelister 1080 1
14 2025-03-15 20.40% @ Besa Doberdoll 970 3 Struga 1147 2
15 2024-09-22 20.77% Vardar 1021 1 @ Tikvesh 1080 0
16 2025-03-05 20.94% @ Tikvesh 1021 1 Shkupi 1191 0
17 2024-09-22 21.16% Pelister 1031 3 @ Besa Doberdoll 1086 2
18 2025-04-13 22.03% AP Brera Strumica 946 2 @ Pelister 992 1
19 2025-04-13 22.06% Struga 1146 1 @ Rabotnicki 1192 0
20 2025-02-23 22.30% Pelister 1001 2 @ Tikvesh 1044 1
21 2024-09-22 22.94% Gostivar 1150 2 @ Sileks 1187 1
22 2025-05-11 23.49% Vardar 1187 1 @ Rabotnicki 1219 0
23 2024-09-22 24.46% Shkupi 1142 3 @ Struga 1165 0
24 2025-02-16 25.34% @ Shkupi 1132 2 Rabotnicki 1261 0
25 2025-04-27 26.04% Rabotnicki 1176 3 @ Gostivar 1186 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-05-04 67.45 Pelister 3 984 13.64% @ Gostivar 0 1133 59.14% 27.22%
2 2025-03-05 64.17 @ Struga 3 1074 15.98% Shkendija 0 1303 55.85% 28.17%
3 2024-09-22 53.98 Shkupi 3 1142 24.46% @ Struga 0 1165 45.54% 29.99%
4 2024-08-18 52.85 @ Sileks 4 1093 38.73% AP Brera Strumica 0 1122 30.81% 30.46%
5 2025-04-27 52.31 Rabotnicki 3 1176 26.04% @ Gostivar 0 1186 43.80% 30.16%
6 2025-03-05 51.32 Vardar 2 992 9.07% @ Rabotnicki 0 1232 66.75% 24.18%
7 2025-03-31 50.88 Voska Sport 2 1008 9.46% @ Gostivar 0 1238 66.02% 24.52%
8 2025-05-17 50.80 Besa Doberdoll 4 1002 19.03% @ Pelister 1 1080 51.91% 29.06%
9 2024-09-29 49.31 @ AP Brera Strumica 4 1045 41.67% Pelister 0 1052 28.02% 30.32%
10 2025-02-22 48.71 Vardar 2 946 11.44% @ Struga 0 1134 62.56% 26.00%
11 2024-09-15 45.84 Sileks 3 1141 32.71% @ Voska Sport 0 1098 36.79% 30.51%
12 2025-04-19 41.57 Vardar 3 1106 37.48% @ Voska Sport 0 1030 32.03% 30.49%
13 2025-04-28 40.90 @ AP Brera Strumica 3 956 38.24% Voska Sport 0 988 31.29% 30.47%
14 2024-10-20 39.39 Sileks 4 1179 31.76% @ Struga 1 1143 37.76% 30.49%
15 2025-05-04 38.95 Tikvesh 3 1045 40.37% @ Voska Sport 0 948 29.24% 30.39%
16 2024-10-30 36.73 @ Voska Sport 3 1000 17.95% Shkupi 1 1204 53.26% 28.78%
17 2025-02-16 36.52 @ Shkupi 2 1132 25.34% Rabotnicki 0 1261 44.57% 30.09%
18 2024-08-25 33.81 Gostivar 2 1120 29.24% @ Voska Sport 0 1103 40.37% 30.39%
19 2024-10-05 32.10 Struga 4 1111 41.31% @ Vardar 1 1007 28.35% 30.34%
20 2024-08-25 31.24 @ Shkupi 3 1124 48.46% Vardar 0 1077 21.91% 29.63%
21 2024-08-25 31.21 @ Rabotnicki 2 1114 33.26% Struga 0 1181 36.22% 30.51%
22 2024-08-18 31.15 @ Gostivar 2 1089 33.38% Shkupi 0 1155 36.10% 30.52%
23 2025-05-03 30.09 Vardar 2 1159 35.11% @ Shkupi 0 1100 34.37% 30.52%
24 2025-03-29 29.68 Vardar 3 1053 28.56% @ Pelister 1 1042 41.09% 30.35%
25 2024-12-08 29.05 @ Tikvesh 2 1009 36.80% AP Brera Strumica 0 1052 32.70% 30.51%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-04-27 63.0 @ Shkendija 3 1283 62.40% Shkupi 3 1097 11.54% 26.06%
2 2024-08-11 61.8 @ Shkupi 3 1157 47.79% Voska Sport 3 1115 22.48% 29.73%
3 2025-05-17 61.5 @ Tikvesh 3 1093 32.07% Struga 3 1169 37.44% 30.49%
4 2025-03-09 60.6 Besa Doberdoll 3 946 9.73% @ Shkupi 2 1170 65.53% 24.75%
5 2025-03-09 60.5 @ Gostivar 2 1265 69.89% AP Brera Strumica 2 982 7.52% 22.59%
6 2025-04-13 58.4 @ Vardar 2 1108 49.60% Tikvesh 2 1051 20.94% 29.46%
7 2024-09-29 58.2 @ Struga 2 1111 30.73% Gostivar 2 1196 38.82% 30.45%
8 2024-11-09 58.1 @ Vardar 3 945 17.86% Shkupi 2 1150 53.39% 28.76%
9 2025-05-17 57.9 @ AP Brera Strumica 3 1003 18.63% Rabotnicki 2 1199 52.41% 28.96%
10 2025-03-15 57.4 @ Besa Doberdoll 3 970 20.40% Struga 2 1147 50.25% 29.36%
11 2024-09-22 57.1 Pelister 3 1031 21.16% @ Besa Doberdoll 2 1086 49.34% 29.50%
12 2025-05-07 56.5 @ AP Brera Strumica 4 983 30.66% Shkupi 3 1070 38.89% 30.45%
13 2025-03-09 54.6 @ Sileks 1 1301 68.09% Vardar 1 1044 8.39% 23.53%
14 2025-02-16 54.5 @ Sileks 1 1288 67.49% Tikvesh 1 1038 8.69% 23.83%
15 2025-03-31 54.5 @ Sileks 1 1307 67.59% Tikvesh 1 1056 8.63% 23.77%
16 2025-03-15 54.0 @ Tikvesh 2 1034 16.19% Gostivar 1 1260 55.56% 28.25%
17 2024-09-15 53.8 @ AP Brera Strumica 3 1027 32.30% Besa Doberdoll 2 1101 37.20% 30.50%
18 2025-05-11 53.6 @ Struga 1 1174 61.53% AP Brera Strumica 1 998 12.08% 26.39%
19 2025-04-06 53.4 @ Besa Doberdoll 2 983 17.95% Gostivar 1 1187 53.27% 28.78%
20 2024-09-15 53.3 @ Gostivar 1 1154 57.98% Vardar 1 1017 14.44% 27.58%
21 2024-10-27 53.3 @ Shkendija 1 1236 57.54% Struga 1 1104 14.75% 27.71%
22 2024-09-22 53.2 @ Rabotnicki 1 1164 56.57% AP Brera Strumica 1 1042 15.45% 27.98%
23 2024-09-25 53.2 @ Shkupi 1 1196 57.23% Besa Doberdoll 1 1067 14.97% 27.80%
24 2024-10-05 53.1 @ Gostivar 1 1196 55.66% Besa Doberdoll 1 1083 16.12% 28.22%
25 2024-08-18 52.9 @ Shkendija 1 1189 52.06% Rabotnicki 1 1111 18.91% 29.03%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-04-13 26.5 @ Sileks 5 1309 71.43% Besa Doberdoll 0 1005 6.83% 21.74%
2 2025-05-07 27.1 @ Sileks 3 1327 68.33% Gostivar 0 1066 8.27% 23.41%
3 2024-12-08 27.6 @ Rabotnicki 3 1247 66.03% Pelister 0 1016 9.45% 24.52%
4 2025-04-13 28.1 @ Shkendija 4 1256 63.98% Voska Sport 0 1051 10.59% 25.42%
5 2024-09-29 28.5 @ Shkendija 4 1216 62.48% Vardar 0 1030 11.49% 26.03%
6 2024-11-09 28.8 @ Gostivar 4 1212 61.55% Voska Sport 0 1036 12.07% 26.38%
7 2025-05-18 28.9 @ Vardar 3 1207 61.63% Gostivar 0 1031 12.01% 26.35%
8 2025-03-05 29.2 Sileks 5 1273 62.28% @ Besa Doberdoll 0 975 11.61% 26.11%
9 2025-05-07 29.8 @ Pelister 3 1052 58.60% Voska Sport 0 909 14.01% 27.39%
10 2025-03-15 30.5 Sileks 2 1295 63.10% @ AP Brera Strumica 0 987 11.11% 25.78%
11 2025-05-11 30.6 Shkendija 3 1289 56.48% @ Gostivar 0 1054 15.51% 28.00%
12 2024-12-08 31.0 @ Sileks 1 1285 73.19% Vardar 0 954 6.08% 20.73%
13 2024-08-31 31.1 @ Shkendija 2 1211 60.92% Pelister 0 1043 12.46% 26.61%
14 2024-11-27 31.3 Gostivar 2 1241 60.10% @ Vardar 0 968 13.00% 26.90%
15 2025-05-11 31.4 @ Besa Doberdoll 3 976 53.11% Voska Sport 0 887 18.07% 28.82%
16 2024-11-27 31.6 @ Sileks 4 1274 68.63% Voska Sport 1 1009 8.12% 23.25%
17 2024-11-27 31.7 @ Shkendija 2 1254 59.13% Shkupi 0 1105 13.65% 27.22%
18 2025-05-18 31.7 Shkupi 3 1054 52.13% @ Voska Sport 0 861 18.85% 29.01%
19 2025-03-02 32.2 @ Shkendija 1 1299 69.29% Tikvesh 0 1025 7.80% 22.91%
20 2024-09-22 32.3 @ Shkendija 5 1224 61.15% Voska Sport 1 1052 12.32% 26.53%
21 2024-10-27 32.4 @ Sileks 2 1218 56.68% Besa Doberdoll 0 1095 15.37% 27.95%
22 2024-08-25 32.9 @ Shkupi 3 1124 48.46% Vardar 0 1077 21.91% 29.63%
23 2024-08-31 32.9 @ Struga 2 1150 54.96% AP Brera Strumica 0 1044 16.64% 28.40%
24 2024-11-09 33.4 @ Sileks 1 1243 65.18% Pelister 0 1024 9.92% 24.90%
25 2025-02-23 33.5 @ Rabotnicki 1 1224 64.71% Voska Sport 0 1011 10.18% 25.11%