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2025-26 Macedonian First Football League Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Vardar

83 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Vardar

16.72 points above expected

83 points · 66.28 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Shkupi

18.91 points below expected

1 points · 19.91 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Vardar 33 26 5 2 83 80 21 +59 66.28 +16.72
2 Shkendija 33 23 5 5 74 67 30 +37 63.91 +10.09
3 Struga 33 19 5 9 62 68 28 +40 64.29 -2.29
4 Sileks 33 16 5 12 53 56 36 +20 59.86 -6.86
5 Tikvesh 33 14 6 13 48 59 47 +12 46.14 +1.86
6 Arsimi 33 13 7 13 46 50 53 -3 44.75 +1.25
7 KF Bashkimi 1947 33 11 9 13 42 40 54 -14 42.04 -0.04
8 Pelister 33 10 10 13 40 41 42 -1 34.45 +5.55
9 AP Brera Strumica 33 10 10 13 40 46 56 -10 36.38 +3.62
10 Makedonija GP 33 9 7 17 34 42 57 -15 39.12 -5.12
11 Rabotnicki 33 9 6 18 33 45 58 -13 38.56 -5.56
12 Shkupi 33 0 1 32 1 15 127 -112 19.91 -18.91

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Vardar 83 66.28 +16.72
2 Shkendija 74 63.91 +10.09
3 Pelister 40 34.45 +5.55
4 AP Brera Strumica 40 36.38 +3.62
5 Tikvesh 48 46.14 +1.86

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Shkupi 1 19.91 -18.91
2 Sileks 53 59.86 -6.86
3 Rabotnicki 33 38.56 -5.56
4 Makedonija GP 34 39.12 -5.12
5 Struga 62 64.29 -2.29

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rabotnicki 4 Mar 10 – Apr 5 1 in 832
2 Vardar 10 Oct 5 – Feb 21 1 in 326
3 Shkendija 7 Dec 1 – Mar 5 1 in 177
4 Arsimi 2 Nov 23 – Nov 28 1 in 19
5 AP Brera Strumica 2 Sep 22 – Sep 28 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shkupi 24 Oct 24 – May 24 1 in 2,569
2 Struga 4 May 3 – May 23 1 in 245
3 Rabotnicki 7 Nov 4 – Feb 15 1 in 46
4 Pelister 6 Aug 31 – Oct 5 1 in 42
5 Sileks 3 Sep 16 – Sep 28 1 in 28

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vardar 20 Aug 8 – Feb 28 1 in 235
2 Pelister 6 Oct 30 – Feb 12 1 in 45
3 Rabotnicki 4 Mar 10 – Apr 5 1 in 44
4 AP Brera Strumica 4 Sep 22 – Oct 25 1 in 31
5 Struga 9 Aug 9 – Oct 5 1 in 30

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shkupi 33 Aug 8 – May 24 1 in 277
2 Rabotnicki 13 Sep 21 – Feb 15 1 in 82
3 Struga 5 Feb 10 – Mar 3 1 in 71
4 Makedonija GP 8 Oct 25 – Feb 12 1 in 22
5 Sileks 5 Apr 27 – May 25 1 in 20

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Vardar 1574 83 +115 15 10.0 +5.0
Shkendija 1445 74 -36 7 9.3 -2.3
Struga 1361 62 -61 3 8.2 -5.2
Sileks 1288 50 -93 1 7.2 -6.2
Tikvesh 1297 48 -11 8 7.9 +0.1
Arsimi 1214 46 +61 11 6.4 +4.6
KF Bashkimi 1947 1134 42 +6 5 4.8 +0.2
Pelister 1219 40 +46 11 8.1 +2.9
AP Brera Strumica 1161 40 +23 7 6.1 +0.9
Makedonija GP 1131 34 +51 10 6.1 +3.9
Rabotnicki 1164 33 -20 5 8.1 -3.1
Shkupi 734 1 -81 0 2.0 -2.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABS ARS KB1 MG PEL RAB SHK SHK SIL STR TIK VAR
AP Brera Strumica —
3-0-0
3.11
1-2-0
3.61
0-2-1
4.29
0-0-3
4.57
1-1-1
4.47
0-1-2
1.78
3-0-0
5.82
0-1-2
2.43
2-1-0
1.59
0-1-2
3.02
0-1-2
1.87
Arsimi
0-0-3
5.29
 —
1-2-0
4.12
1-1-1
4.79
2-1-0
5.19
0-1-2
4.87
1-1-1
2.24
3-0-0
6.79
2-0-1
2.70
1-0-2
3.00
1-1-1
3.82
1-0-2
2.69
KF Bashkimi 1947
0-2-1
4.78
0-2-1
4.27
 —
1-2-0
4.49
2-0-1
4.47
2-0-1
5.15
1-0-2
2.18
3-0-0
6.64
1-1-1
2.20
0-0-3
2.74
1-1-1
4.21
0-1-2
1.93
Makedonija GP
1-2-0
4.10
1-1-1
3.60
0-2-1
3.90
 —
1-1-1
3.94
2-1-0
4.45
0-0-3
2.23
3-0-0
6.18
1-0-2
2.23
0-0-3
2.62
0-0-3
3.60
0-0-3
1.86
Pelister
3-0-0
3.82
0-1-2
3.21
1-0-2
3.92
1-1-1
4.45
 —
1-1-1
4.20
1-1-1
1.40
3-0-0
5.55
0-2-1
1.93
0-1-2
1.52
0-2-1
2.83
0-1-2
2.09
Rabotnicki
1-1-1
3.93
2-1-0
3.52
1-0-2
3.24
0-1-2
3.94
1-1-1
4.19
 —
0-0-3
2.11
2-1-0
6.26
1-0-2
2.07
1-0-2
2.03
0-1-2
4.09
0-0-3
1.65
Shkendija
2-1-0
6.66
1-1-1
6.18
2-0-1
6.25
3-0-0
6.19
1-1-1
7.06
3-0-0
6.30
 —
3-0-0
6.85
2-1-0
4.85
2-1-0
3.68
3-0-0
5.60
1-0-2
3.77
Shkupi
0-0-3
2.61
0-0-3
1.66
0-0-3
1.79
0-0-3
2.24
0-0-3
2.87
0-1-2
2.16
0-0-3
1.64
 —
0-0-3
1.57
0-0-3
0.90
0-0-3
1.90
0-0-3
1.39
Sileks
2-1-0
5.98
1-0-2
5.71
1-1-1
6.21
2-0-1
6.18
1-2-0
6.49
2-0-1
6.34
0-1-2
3.54
3-0-0
6.89
 —
1-0-2
3.46
3-0-0
4.58
0-0-3
2.91
Struga
0-1-2
6.86
2-0-1
5.40
3-0-0
5.68
3-0-0
5.79
2-1-0
6.93
2-0-1
6.40
0-1-2
4.71
3-0-0
7.64
2-0-1
4.93
 —
2-0-1
6.08
0-2-1
3.77
Tikvesh
2-1-0
5.37
1-1-1
4.56
1-1-1
4.19
3-0-0
4.79
1-2-0
5.57
2-1-0
4.29
0-0-3
2.79
3-0-0
6.56
0-0-3
3.82
1-0-2
2.33
 —
0-0-3
2.59
Vardar
2-1-0
6.56
2-0-1
5.72
2-1-0
6.51
3-0-0
6.57
2-1-0
6.33
3-0-0
6.80
2-0-1
4.62
3-0-0
7.11
3-0-0
5.48
1-2-0
4.62
3-0-0
5.82
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.94 +12.1
Allowed 0.84 -7.1
Differential 0.92 +4.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.57%8.33%5.56%4.04%1.52%3.54%29.55%
18.33%7.58%6.57%3.54%2.02%1.77%29.80%
25.56%6.57%3.03%1.01%1.26%0.25%17.68%
34.04%3.54%1.01%2.02%0.76%—11.36%
41.52%2.02%1.26%0.76%——5.56%
5+3.54%1.77%0.25%——0.51%6.06%
Total29.55%29.80%17.68%11.36%5.56%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.53 +0.00
SD 1.58 1.58 2.47
CV 1.03 1.03 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min -1 -1 -7

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%6.06%—6.06%3.03%33.33%
16.06%12.12%6.06%——3.03%27.27%
26.06%6.06%6.06%3.03%——21.21%
3—3.03%—3.03%3.03%—9.09%
4——3.03%3.03%——6.06%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total24.24%30.30%21.21%9.09%9.09%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.70 -0.30
SD 1.46 1.57 2.17
CV 1.04 0.93 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%9.09%6.06%—3.03%3.03%24.24%
115.15%12.12%9.09%—6.06%3.03%45.45%
2——3.03%———3.03%
36.06%3.03%—3.03%——12.12%
43.03%—6.06%3.03%——12.12%
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total27.27%27.27%24.24%6.06%9.09%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.52 1.61 -0.09
SD 1.46 1.50 2.21
CV 0.96 0.93 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%6.06%3.03%3.03%6.06%36.36%
13.03%12.12%6.06%3.03%——24.24%
29.09%9.09%3.03%—3.03%—24.24%
3—3.03%6.06%3.03%——12.12%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total21.21%36.36%21.21%9.09%6.06%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.64 -0.42
SD 1.17 1.50 2.03
CV 0.96 0.91 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%12.12%12.12%6.06%——33.33%
1—15.15%9.09%3.03%3.03%3.03%33.33%
26.06%6.06%———3.03%15.15%
33.03%3.03%—3.03%——9.09%
43.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
5+———————
Total15.15%39.39%24.24%12.12%3.03%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.73 -0.45
SD 1.28 1.51 2.09
CV 1.01 0.87 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%9.09%6.06%3.03%3.03%—36.36%
19.09%6.06%12.12%3.03%3.03%—33.33%
26.06%6.06%3.03%———15.15%
33.03%——6.06%——9.09%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total36.36%24.24%21.21%12.12%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.27 -0.03
SD 1.50 1.26 2.04
CV 1.21 0.99 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%9.09%9.09%——33.33%
13.03%3.03%6.06%15.15%3.03%—30.30%
26.06%6.06%6.06%———18.18%
36.06%——3.03%3.03%—12.12%
4———3.03%——3.03%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total24.24%18.18%21.21%30.30%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.76 -0.39
SD 1.52 1.30 2.15
CV 1.11 0.74 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%3.03%—6.06%——15.15%
118.18%9.09%3.03%———30.30%
26.06%15.15%—3.03%——24.24%
33.03%9.09%3.03%———15.15%
4—6.06%————6.06%
5+3.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
Total36.36%45.45%9.09%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.03 0.91 +1.12
SD 1.70 0.91 1.90
CV 0.84 1.01 —
Max 7 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.06%9.09%15.15%3.03%27.27%60.61%
1—3.03%6.06%3.03%3.03%12.12%27.27%
2———3.03%6.06%—9.09%
3———————
4———————
5+—————3.03%3.03%
Total—9.09%15.15%21.21%12.12%42.42%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.42 3.82 -3.39
SD 0.71 2.04 2.12
CV 1.67 0.53 —
Max 2 7 +0
Min -1 -1 -7

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%6.06%9.09%———24.24%
112.12%3.03%12.12%6.06%——33.33%
2—3.03%——3.03%—6.06%
39.09%6.06%3.03%3.03%——21.21%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+6.06%3.03%———3.03%12.12%
Total39.39%21.21%24.24%9.09%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.06 +0.61
SD 1.71 1.20 2.18
CV 1.02 1.13 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min -1 -1 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%9.09%3.03%———15.15%
13.03%9.09%6.06%3.03%——21.21%
218.18%6.06%3.03%3.03%3.03%—33.33%
39.09%6.06%————15.15%
46.06%—————6.06%
5+9.09%—————9.09%
Total48.48%30.30%12.12%6.06%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.06 0.85 +1.21
SD 1.52 1.06 2.16
CV 0.74 1.25 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%12.12%—6.06%—3.03%30.30%
19.09%3.03%3.03%6.06%6.06%—27.27%
23.03%6.06%6.06%———15.15%
33.03%3.03%——3.03%—9.09%
43.03%3.03%————6.06%
5+9.09%3.03%————12.12%
Total36.36%30.30%9.09%12.12%9.09%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.79 1.42 +0.36
SD 1.90 1.66 2.87
CV 1.06 1.16 —
Max 6 7 +6
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%————12.12%
121.21%3.03%————24.24%
26.06%15.15%6.06%———27.27%
36.06%6.06%————12.12%
4—6.06%3.03%———9.09%
5+6.06%9.09%————15.15%
Total45.45%45.45%9.09%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.42 0.64 +1.79
SD 1.92 0.65 1.93
CV 0.79 1.03 —
Max 7 2 +7
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Vardar 1574 83 66.28 +16.72 98.0% 50 52 62 66 71 81 85
Shkendija 1445 74 63.91 +10.09 94.0% 50 54 58 64 69 76 82
Struga 1361 62 64.29 -2.29 43.0% 49 54 59 64 69 77 79
Tikvesh 1297 48 46.14 +1.86 66.0% 31 34 41 46 51 58 62
Sileks 1288 53 59.86 -6.86 15.0% 38 48 56 60 65 70 77
Pelister 1219 40 34.45 +5.55 83.0% 19 23 29 35 39 46 52
Arsimi 1214 46 44.75 +1.25 58.0% 27 34 40 45 49 56 63
Rabotnicki 1164 33 38.56 -5.56 23.0% 22 27 34 38 44 50 55
AP Brera Strumica 1161 40 36.38 +3.62 77.0% 20 25 31 36 40 49 51
KF Bashkimi 1947 1134 42 42.04 -0.04 53.0% 23 30 36 42 47 56 62
Makedonija GP 1131 34 39.12 -5.12 27.0% 24 27 33 39 44 49 55
Shkupi 734 1 19.91 -18.91 0.0% 7 12 17 20 23 28 29

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 23% * Slight Edge: 23% to 31% * Clear Edge: 31% to 38% * Strong Edge: 38% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+5.05%
No Edge
42.93%19.19%37.88%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 19.32 Elo pts.
136 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.30 goals
Neutral
-2+0.14+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.12 * Tight Race: 0.12 to 0.25 * Comfortable: 0.25 to 0.36 * Runaway: 0.36 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.6
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
35%
Vardar, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.27/gm
Comfortable
00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.57 * Some Luck: 5.57 to 8.36 * Lucky: 8.36 to 11.15 * Wild Swing: 11.15 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.05 * Close: 1.05 to 1.57 * Off: 1.57 to 2.09 * Way Off: 2.09 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.65 points
Lucky
06.9717
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.83
Pinpoint
01.313
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
98.00%
Vardar
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
0.00%
Shkupi
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.9 * Moderate Separation: 1.9 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.3 * Wide Separation: 2.3 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 70.5% * Clear Edge: 70.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 93% * Clear Edge: 93% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 56.5% * Some Drama: 56.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.
Gini Index
0.23
Lopsided
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 205.39
2.69
Wide Separation
11.92.12.32.75
Interquartile Edge
71%
Clear Edge
50%65%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 98%
99%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
53%
Few
0%46%100%
Blowouts
Expected
26%
Very Frequent
0%31%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.43 * Slight Separation: 0.43 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.65 * Near-Lock: 0.65 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 18% * Upset-Prone: 18% to 21% * Very Upset-Prone: 21% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 16.5% * Very Shaky: 16.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.54
Highly Predictable
00.552
Matchup Imbalance
0.43
Slight Separation
00.430.5
Strangeness
Expected
2.14
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.55
Some Carryover
00.410.571
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Upset-Prone
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
Very Shaky
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.59
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.99
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.049
Well Within Noise
00.1140.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Vardar35.00%32.00%19.00%10.00%2.00%2.00%——————
Shkendija25.00%30.00%21.00%19.00%3.00%2.00%——————
Struga29.00%25.00%24.00%22.00%————————
Sileks11.00%12.00%30.00%34.00%10.00%2.00%—1.00%————
Tikvesh—1.00%2.00%4.00%30.00%25.00%14.00%9.00%10.00%5.00%——
Arsimi——4.00%5.00%19.00%22.00%21.00%13.00%9.00%4.00%3.00%—
KF Bashkimi 1947———5.00%10.00%14.00%20.00%17.00%12.00%12.00%10.00%—
Pelister————3.00%5.00%6.00%14.00%16.00%26.00%28.00%2.00%
AP Brera Strumica————6.00%6.00%10.00%19.00%12.00%25.00%21.00%1.00%
Makedonija GP———1.00%6.00%13.00%15.00%16.00%18.00%12.00%18.00%1.00%
Rabotnicki————11.00%9.00%14.00%11.00%23.00%16.00%15.00%1.00%
Shkupi——————————5.00%95.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Shkendija 100% — —
Sileks 99.00% 1.00% —
Struga 100% — —
Vardar 100% — —
Shkupi 95.00% — 5.00%
Tikvesh 76.00% 19.00% 5.00%
Arsimi 71.00% 22.00% 7.00%
KF Bashkimi 1947 49.00% 29.00% 22.00%
Makedonija GP 36.00% 34.00% 30.00%
Rabotnicki 35.00% 34.00% 31.00%
AP Brera Strumica 23.00% 31.00% 46.00%
Pelister 16.00% 30.00% 54.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2025-08-08 Shkupi W 5-137.6 1267 1197 51.78% 20.26% 27.96%+0.66 +36.3 3
2025-08-08 @ Shkendija L 1-537.6 1197 1267 27.96% 20.26% 51.78%-0.66 -36.3 0
2025-08-08 Pelister W 4-138.9 1245 1167 52.77% 20.22% 27.00%+0.72 +27.3 3
2025-08-08 @ Vardar L 1-438.9 1167 1245 27.00% 20.22% 52.77%-0.72 -27.3 0
2025-08-09 Arsimi D 1-154.2 1255 1255 42.54% 20.45% 37.02%+0.14 -0.5 1
2025-08-09 @ KF Bashkimi 1947 D 1-154.2 1255 1255 37.02% 20.45% 42.54%-0.14 +0.5 1
2025-08-09 Makedonija GP W 2-038.2 1223 1203 45.38% 20.42% 34.21%+0.29 +27.2 3
2025-08-09 @ Struga L 0-238.2 1203 1223 34.21% 20.42% 45.38%-0.29 -27.2 0
2025-08-10 Rabotnicki D 0-050.1 1200 1230 38.23% 20.46% 41.32%-0.08 +0.3 1
2025-08-10 @ Tikvesh D 0-050.1 1230 1200 41.32% 20.46% 38.23%+0.08 -0.3 1
2025-08-11 AP Brera Strumica W 5-031.1 1306 1172 59.09% 19.88% 21.02%+1.13 +42.0 3
2025-08-11 @ Sileks L 0-531.1 1172 1306 21.02% 19.88% 59.09%-1.13 -42.0 0
2025-08-15 Struga L 1-248.1 1255 1251 43.18% 20.44% 36.38%+0.18 -16.4 1
2025-08-15 @ Arsimi W 2-148.1 1251 1255 36.38% 20.44% 43.18%-0.18 +16.4 6
2025-08-15 Vardar L 1-244.7 1200 1272 32.47% 20.39% 47.14%-0.39 -13.0 1
2025-08-15 @ Tikvesh W 2-144.7 1272 1200 47.14% 20.39% 32.47%+0.39 +13.0 6
2025-08-16 Shkendija L 1-340.8 1176 1303 25.74% 20.17% 54.09%-0.80 -18.5 0
2025-08-16 @ Makedonija GP W 3-140.8 1303 1176 54.09% 20.17% 25.74%+0.80 +18.5 6
2025-08-16 KF Bashkimi 1947 L 0-239.8 1229 1254 38.99% 20.46% 40.55%-0.04 -30.2 1
2025-08-16 @ Rabotnicki W 2-039.8 1254 1229 40.55% 20.46% 38.99%+0.04 +30.2 4
2025-08-17 Sileks FL48.5 1161 1348 19.70% 19.77% 60.53%-1.23 +0.0 0
2025-08-17 @ Shkupi FW48.5 1348 1161 60.53% 19.77% 19.70%+1.23 +0.0 6
2025-08-18 Pelister L 1-247.1 1130 1140 41.17% 20.46% 38.37%+0.07 -15.8 0
2025-08-18 @ AP Brera Strumica W 2-147.1 1140 1130 38.37% 20.46% 41.17%-0.07 +15.8 3
2025-08-22 Rabotnicki W 2-036.4 1267 1199 51.55% 20.27% 28.18%+0.64 +23.1 9
2025-08-22 @ Struga L 0-236.4 1199 1267 28.18% 20.27% 51.55%-0.64 -23.1 1
2025-08-22 AP Brera Strumica D 2-259.2 1285 1114 62.71% 19.58% 17.71%+1.40 -3.1 7
2025-08-22 @ Vardar D 2-259.2 1114 1285 17.71% 19.58% 62.71%-1.40 +3.1 1
2025-08-23 Makedonija GP W 3-030.9 1348 1157 64.50% 19.39% 16.10%+1.55 +20.5 9
2025-08-23 @ Sileks L 0-330.9 1157 1348 16.10% 19.39% 64.50%-1.55 -20.5 0
2025-08-24 Arsimi D 0-050.6 1322 1239 53.43% 20.20% 26.38%+0.76 -2.7 7
2025-08-24 @ Shkendija D 0-050.6 1239 1322 26.38% 20.20% 53.43%-0.76 +2.7 2
2025-08-25 Tikvesh W 3-140.4 1284 1187 55.12% 20.12% 24.76%+0.86 +17.9 7
2025-08-25 @ KF Bashkimi 1947 L 1-340.4 1187 1284 24.76% 20.12% 55.12%-0.86 -17.9 1
2025-08-25 Shkupi W 2-039.1 1156 1161 41.75% 20.45% 37.80%+0.10 +29.5 6
2025-08-25 @ Pelister L 0-239.1 1161 1156 37.80% 20.45% 41.75%-0.10 -29.5 0
2025-08-29 Vardar L 2-443.9 1132 1282 23.27% 20.04% 56.69%-0.97 -15.2 0
2025-08-29 @ Shkupi W 4-243.9 1282 1132 56.69% 20.04% 23.27%+0.97 +15.2 10
2025-08-30 Sileks L 0-138.6 1242 1369 25.81% 20.17% 54.02%-0.79 -11.4 2
2025-08-30 @ Arsimi W 1-038.6 1369 1242 54.02% 20.17% 25.81%+0.79 +11.4 12
2025-08-30 Struga L 0-538.8 1302 1290 44.24% 20.43% 35.33%+0.23 -78.3 7
2025-08-30 @ KF Bashkimi 1947 W 5-038.8 1290 1302 35.33% 20.43% 44.24%-0.23 +78.3 12
2025-08-31 Pelister W 2-147.9 1137 1185 35.72% 20.44% 43.85%-0.21 +16.6 3
2025-08-31 @ Makedonija GP L 1-247.9 1185 1137 43.85% 20.44% 35.72%+0.21 -16.6 6
2025-08-31 AP Brera Strumica D 0-049.9 1169 1118 49.47% 20.33% 30.20%+0.52 -1.9 2
2025-08-31 @ Tikvesh D 0-049.9 1118 1169 30.20% 20.33% 49.47%-0.52 +1.9 2
2025-09-12 KF Bashkimi 1947 W 2-142.7 1319 1224 54.83% 20.13% 25.03%+0.84 +10.5 10
2025-09-12 @ Shkendija L 1-242.7 1224 1319 25.03% 20.13% 54.83%-0.84 -10.5 7
2025-09-12 Makedonija GP W 1-036.1 1297 1153 60.11% 19.81% 20.08%+1.20 +9.1 13
2025-09-12 @ Vardar L 0-136.1 1153 1297 20.08% 19.81% 60.11%-1.20 -9.1 3
2025-09-13 Shkupi W 1-041.0 1119 1116 42.94% 20.45% 36.61%+0.16 +15.2 5
2025-09-13 @ AP Brera Strumica L 0-141.0 1116 1119 36.61% 20.45% 42.94%-0.16 -15.2 0
2025-09-13 Rabotnicki W 3-137.6 1380 1176 65.61% 19.26% 15.13%+1.64 +11.5 15
2025-09-13 @ Sileks L 1-337.6 1176 1380 15.13% 19.26% 65.61%-1.64 -11.5 1
2025-09-14 Arsimi L 0-435.2 1168 1230 33.89% 20.41% 45.70%-0.31 -51.2 6
2025-09-14 @ Pelister W 4-035.2 1230 1168 45.70% 20.41% 33.89%+0.31 +51.2 5
2025-09-14 Tikvesh W 3-030.7 1368 1167 65.41% 19.29% 15.30%+1.63 +19.5 15
2025-09-14 @ Struga L 0-330.7 1167 1368 15.30% 19.29% 65.41%-1.63 -19.5 2
2025-09-16 Sileks W 2-153.3 1214 1391 20.55% 19.84% 59.60%-1.17 +21.9 10
2025-09-16 @ KF Bashkimi 1947 L 1-253.3 1391 1214 59.60% 19.84% 20.55%+1.17 -21.9 15
2025-09-16 AP Brera Strumica W 2-038.5 1144 1135 43.88% 20.44% 35.68%+0.21 +28.1 6
2025-09-16 @ Makedonija GP L 0-238.5 1135 1144 35.68% 20.44% 43.88%-0.21 -28.1 5
2025-09-17 Shkendija D 1-155.9 1388 1330 50.34% 20.31% 29.35%+0.57 -1.9 16
2025-09-17 @ Struga D 1-155.9 1330 1388 29.35% 20.31% 50.34%-0.57 +1.9 11
2025-09-17 Shkupi W 1-039.2 1147 1101 48.80% 20.35% 30.85%+0.48 +13.2 5
2025-09-17 @ Tikvesh L 0-139.2 1101 1147 30.85% 20.35% 48.80%-0.48 -13.2 0
2025-09-18 Vardar L 1-443.2 1281 1306 38.94% 20.46% 40.60%-0.04 -37.0 5
2025-09-18 @ Arsimi W 4-143.2 1306 1281 40.60% 20.46% 38.94%+0.04 +37.0 16
2025-09-18 Pelister W 3-035.1 1165 1117 48.95% 20.35% 30.70%+0.49 +36.1 4
2025-09-18 @ Rabotnicki L 0-335.1 1117 1165 30.70% 20.35% 48.95%-0.49 -36.1 6
2025-09-20 Makedonija GP L 0-237.0 1088 1172 30.93% 20.35% 48.72%-0.48 -25.0 0
2025-09-20 @ Shkupi W 2-037.0 1172 1088 48.72% 20.35% 30.93%+0.48 +25.0 9
2025-09-21 Tikvesh W 1-035.4 1332 1161 62.72% 19.58% 17.70%+1.40 +8.1 14
2025-09-21 @ Shkendija L 0-135.4 1161 1332 17.70% 19.58% 62.72%-1.40 -8.2 5
2025-09-21 Rabotnicki W 3-139.2 1343 1201 59.99% 19.82% 20.19%+1.19 +15.0 19
2025-09-21 @ Vardar L 1-339.2 1201 1343 20.19% 19.82% 59.99%-1.19 -15.0 4
2025-09-22 Arsimi W 2-151.3 1106 1244 24.62% 20.11% 55.27%-0.87 +20.4 8
2025-09-22 @ AP Brera Strumica L 1-251.3 1244 1106 55.27% 20.11% 24.62%+0.87 -20.4 5
2025-09-22 Struga L 1-347.5 1370 1386 40.19% 20.46% 39.36%+0.02 -26.8 15
2025-09-22 @ Sileks W 3-147.5 1386 1370 39.36% 20.46% 40.19%-0.02 +26.8 19
2025-09-23 KF Bashkimi 1947 L 1-241.5 1081 1236 22.86% 20.01% 57.13%-1.00 -9.7 6
2025-09-23 @ Pelister W 2-141.5 1236 1081 57.13% 20.01% 22.86%+1.00 +9.7 13
2025-09-24 Shkendija L 0-137.2 1186 1340 22.89% 20.01% 57.10%-0.99 -10.3 4
2025-09-24 @ Rabotnicki W 1-037.2 1340 1186 57.10% 20.01% 22.89%+0.99 +10.3 17
2025-09-27 Shkupi W 4-242.2 1224 1063 61.78% 19.67% 18.55%+1.33 +12.4 8
2025-09-27 @ Arsimi L 2-442.2 1063 1224 18.55% 19.67% 61.78%-1.33 -12.4 0
2025-09-27 Makedonija GP W 2-147.8 1153 1197 36.18% 20.44% 43.38%-0.19 +16.5 8
2025-09-27 @ Tikvesh L 1-247.8 1197 1153 43.38% 20.44% 36.18%+0.19 -16.5 9
2025-09-28 AP Brera Strumica L 3-457.3 1175 1127 49.11% 20.34% 30.55%+0.50 -16.9 4
2025-09-28 @ Rabotnicki W 4-357.3 1127 1175 30.55% 20.34% 49.11%-0.50 +17.0 11
2025-09-28 Sileks W 2-040.3 1350 1343 43.55% 20.44% 36.01%+0.20 +28.3 20
2025-09-28 @ Shkendija L 0-240.3 1343 1350 36.01% 20.44% 43.55%-0.20 -28.3 15
2025-09-29 Vardar D 0-050.8 1245 1358 27.41% 20.24% 52.35%-0.69 +2.5 14
2025-09-29 @ KF Bashkimi 1947 D 0-050.8 1358 1245 52.35% 20.24% 27.41%+0.69 -2.5 20
2025-09-29 Pelister W 2-029.5 1413 1071 74.81% 17.52% 7.67%+2.66 +6.8 22
2025-09-29 @ Struga L 0-229.5 1071 1413 7.67% 17.52% 74.81%-2.66 -6.8 6
2025-10-03 Arsimi W 4-144.4 1181 1236 34.73% 20.43% 44.84%-0.27 +41.5 12
2025-10-03 @ Makedonija GP L 1-444.4 1236 1181 44.84% 20.43% 34.73%+0.27 -41.5 8
2025-10-04 KF Bashkimi 1947 D 1-153.9 1144 1248 28.51% 20.28% 51.21%-0.62 +2.0 12
2025-10-04 @ AP Brera Strumica D 1-153.9 1248 1144 51.21% 20.28% 28.51%+0.62 -2.0 15
2025-10-04 Rabotnicki D 1-153.8 1051 1158 28.03% 20.26% 51.70%-0.65 +2.1 1
2025-10-04 @ Shkupi D 1-153.8 1158 1051 51.70% 20.26% 28.03%+0.65 -2.1 5
2025-10-05 Tikvesh W 1-036.1 1314 1169 60.27% 19.79% 19.94%+1.21 +9.1 18
2025-10-05 @ Sileks L 0-136.1 1169 1314 19.94% 19.79% 60.27%-1.21 -9.1 8
2025-10-05 Struga D 2-261.9 1356 1420 33.61% 20.41% 45.98%-0.33 +0.8 21
2025-10-05 @ Vardar D 2-261.9 1420 1356 45.98% 20.41% 33.61%+0.33 -0.8 23
2025-10-05 Vardar L 1-237.9 1065 1357 11.89% 18.71% 69.40%-2.01 -5.3 6
2025-10-05 @ Pelister W 2-137.9 1357 1065 69.40% 18.71% 11.89%+2.01 +5.3 24
2025-10-06 Shkendija D 0-050.7 1059 1378 10.41% 18.37% 71.22%-2.21 +6.6 7
2025-10-06 @ Pelister D 0-050.7 1378 1059 71.22% 18.37% 10.41%+2.21 -6.6 21
2025-10-24 Shkupi W 4-135.2 1246 1053 64.69% 19.37% 15.93%+1.56 +17.1 18
2025-10-24 @ KF Bashkimi 1947 L 1-435.2 1053 1246 15.93% 19.37% 64.69%-1.56 -17.1 1
2025-10-24 Arsimi L 3-454.0 1160 1195 37.55% 20.45% 42.00%-0.12 -13.6 8
2025-10-24 @ Tikvesh W 4-354.0 1195 1160 42.00% 20.45% 37.55%+0.12 +13.6 11
2025-10-25 Makedonija GP D 0-050.0 1156 1222 33.31% 20.40% 46.28%-0.34 +1.3 6
2025-10-25 @ Rabotnicki D 0-050.0 1222 1156 46.28% 20.40% 33.31%+0.34 -1.2 13
2025-10-25 AP Brera Strumica L 2-458.2 1419 1146 70.76% 18.46% 10.78%+2.15 -40.1 23
2025-10-25 @ Struga W 4-258.2 1146 1419 10.78% 18.46% 70.76%-2.15 +40.1 15
2025-10-26 Pelister W 3-135.9 1324 1066 69.71% 18.65% 11.64%+2.04 +9.0 21
2025-10-26 @ Sileks L 1-335.9 1066 1324 11.64% 18.65% 69.71%-2.04 -9.0 7
2025-10-27 Vardar L 0-145.5 1372 1362 43.90% 20.44% 35.66%+0.21 -17.6 21
2025-10-27 @ Shkendija W 1-045.5 1362 1372 35.66% 20.44% 43.90%-0.21 +17.6 27
2025-10-29 Rabotnicki D 2-259.0 1208 1158 49.40% 20.34% 30.26%+0.52 -1.2 12
2025-10-29 @ Arsimi D 2-259.0 1158 1208 30.26% 20.34% 49.40%-0.52 +1.2 7
2025-10-29 KF Bashkimi 1947 D 1-154.1 1221 1263 36.62% 20.45% 42.93%-0.16 +0.5 14
2025-10-29 @ Makedonija GP D 1-154.1 1263 1221 42.93% 20.45% 36.62%+0.16 -0.5 19
2025-10-30 Tikvesh D 0-049.9 1057 1146 30.30% 20.34% 49.37%-0.52 +1.9 8
2025-10-30 @ Pelister D 0-049.9 1146 1057 49.37% 20.34% 30.30%+0.52 -1.9 9
2025-10-30 Struga L 1-236.9 1036 1379 9.23% 18.05% 72.73%-2.39 -4.1 1
2025-10-30 @ Shkupi W 2-136.9 1379 1036 72.73% 18.05% 9.23%+2.39 +4.1 26
2025-10-31 Shkendija L 2-346.3 1186 1354 21.47% 19.91% 58.62%-1.10 -8.7 15
2025-10-31 @ AP Brera Strumica W 3-246.3 1354 1186 58.62% 19.91% 21.47%+1.10 +8.7 24
2025-10-31 Sileks W 2-145.9 1380 1332 48.93% 20.35% 30.72%+0.49 +12.4 30
2025-10-31 @ Vardar L 1-245.9 1332 1380 30.72% 20.35% 48.93%-0.49 -12.4 21
2025-11-03 KF Bashkimi 1947 W 4-250.6 1207 1262 34.79% 20.43% 44.79%-0.26 +26.2 15
2025-11-03 @ Arsimi L 2-450.6 1262 1207 44.79% 20.43% 34.79%+0.26 -26.2 19
2025-11-04 Struga L 0-235.2 1222 1383 22.16% 19.96% 57.88%-1.05 -18.8 14
2025-11-04 @ Makedonija GP W 2-035.2 1383 1222 57.88% 19.96% 22.16%+1.05 +18.8 29
2025-11-04 Tikvesh L 0-241.1 1159 1144 44.54% 20.43% 35.03%+0.25 -33.7 7
2025-11-04 @ Rabotnicki W 2-041.1 1144 1159 35.03% 20.43% 44.54%-0.25 +33.7 12
2025-11-05 Sileks D 3-363.4 1177 1320 24.08% 20.08% 55.84%-0.91 +1.8 16
2025-11-05 @ AP Brera Strumica D 3-363.4 1320 1177 55.84% 20.08% 24.08%+0.91 -1.8 22
2025-11-08 Rabotnicki W 2-141.7 1236 1125 56.61% 20.04% 23.35%+0.96 +9.8 22
2025-11-08 @ KF Bashkimi 1947 L 1-241.7 1125 1236 23.35% 20.04% 56.61%-0.96 -9.8 7
2025-11-08 Arsimi W 4-031.2 1402 1233 62.48% 19.60% 17.92%+1.38 +29.5 32
2025-11-08 @ Struga L 0-431.2 1233 1402 17.92% 19.60% 62.48%-1.38 -29.5 15
2025-11-09 AP Brera Strumica W 1-045.9 1059 1179 26.59% 20.21% 53.20%-0.74 +20.9 11
2025-11-09 @ Pelister L 0-145.9 1179 1059 53.20% 20.21% 26.59%+0.74 -20.9 16
2025-11-09 Tikvesh W 3-137.4 1392 1178 66.44% 19.16% 14.41%+1.72 +11.0 33
2025-11-09 @ Vardar L 1-337.4 1178 1392 14.41% 19.16% 66.44%-1.72 -11.0 12
2025-11-10 Makedonija GP W 7-235.2 1363 1203 61.69% 19.67% 18.64%+1.32 +26.1 27
2025-11-10 @ Shkendija L 2-735.2 1203 1363 18.64% 19.67% 61.69%-1.32 -26.1 14
2025-11-10 Shkupi W 5-131.4 1318 1031 71.65% 18.28% 10.07%+2.26 +14.2 25
2025-11-10 @ Sileks L 1-531.4 1031 1318 10.07% 18.28% 71.65%-2.26 -14.2 1
2025-11-15 Shkendija L 1-236.4 1017 1389 8.00% 17.64% 74.35%-2.60 -3.6 1
2025-11-15 @ Shkupi W 2-136.4 1389 1017 74.35% 17.64% 8.00%+2.60 +3.6 30
2025-11-21 Sileks L 1-241.8 1177 1332 22.73% 20.00% 57.27%-1.00 -9.6 14
2025-11-21 @ Makedonija GP W 2-141.8 1332 1177 57.27% 20.00% 22.73%+1.00 +9.6 28
2025-11-22 Vardar L 0-232.5 1158 1403 14.96% 19.24% 65.80%-1.66 -13.2 16
2025-11-22 @ AP Brera Strumica W 2-032.5 1403 1158 65.80% 19.24% 14.96%+1.66 +13.2 36
2025-11-23 Shkendija W 3-044.8 1204 1393 19.55% 19.76% 60.69%-1.25 +64.7 18
2025-11-23 @ Arsimi L 0-344.8 1393 1204 60.69% 19.76% 19.55%+1.25 -64.7 30
2025-11-23 KF Bashkimi 1947 W 3-040.5 1167 1246 31.65% 20.37% 47.98%-0.44 +52.1 15
2025-11-23 @ Tikvesh L 0-340.5 1246 1167 47.98% 20.37% 31.65%+0.44 -52.1 22
2025-11-24 Struga L 1-335.9 1115 1431 10.57% 18.41% 71.02%-2.18 -8.2 7
2025-11-24 @ Rabotnicki W 3-135.9 1431 1115 71.02% 18.41% 10.57%+2.18 +8.2 35
2025-11-25 Pelister L 0-335.9 1014 1080 33.32% 20.40% 46.28%-0.34 -38.6 1
2025-11-25 @ Shkupi W 3-035.9 1080 1014 46.28% 20.40% 33.32%+0.34 +38.6 14
2025-11-28 Arsimi L 1-349.4 1342 1269 52.25% 20.24% 27.51%+0.68 -33.5 28
2025-11-28 @ Sileks W 3-149.4 1269 1342 27.51% 20.24% 52.25%-0.68 +33.5 21
2025-11-29 Tikvesh L 0-434.7 1145 1219 32.23% 20.38% 47.38%-0.40 -49.1 16
2025-11-29 @ AP Brera Strumica W 4-034.7 1219 1145 47.38% 20.38% 32.23%+0.40 +49.1 18
2025-11-29 Makedonija GP D 1-153.8 1118 1167 35.63% 20.44% 43.93%-0.22 +0.7 15
2025-11-29 @ Pelister D 1-153.8 1167 1118 43.93% 20.44% 35.63%+0.22 -0.7 15
2025-11-30 KF Bashkimi 1947 W 6-029.2 1439 1194 68.86% 18.80% 12.35%+1.95 +30.4 38
2025-11-30 @ Struga L 0-629.2 1194 1439 12.35% 18.80% 68.86%-1.95 -30.4 22
2025-11-30 Shkupi W 6-127.9 1416 975 79.42% 15.95% 4.63%+3.39 +7.8 39
2025-11-30 @ Vardar L 1-627.9 975 1416 4.63% 15.95% 79.42%-3.39 -7.8 1
2025-12-01 Rabotnicki W 1-034.0 1328 1107 66.97% 19.08% 13.95%+1.77 +6.5 33
2025-12-01 @ Shkendija L 0-134.0 1107 1328 13.95% 19.08% 66.97%-1.77 -6.5 7
2025-12-05 Vardar L 1-239.3 1166 1424 14.07% 19.10% 66.82%-1.76 -6.2 15
2025-12-05 @ Makedonija GP W 2-139.3 1424 1166 66.82% 19.10% 14.07%+1.76 +6.2 42
2025-12-05 Struga L 0-137.7 1268 1470 18.40% 19.65% 61.95%-1.34 -8.4 18
2025-12-05 @ Tikvesh W 1-037.7 1470 1268 61.95% 19.65% 18.40%+1.34 +8.5 41
2025-12-06 Shkendija L 1-339.4 1163 1334 21.20% 19.89% 58.90%-1.12 -15.7 22
2025-12-06 @ KF Bashkimi 1947 W 3-139.4 1334 1163 58.90% 19.89% 21.20%+1.12 +15.7 36
2025-12-07 Sileks L 0-331.2 1101 1309 17.86% 19.60% 62.55%-1.39 -22.5 7
2025-12-07 @ Rabotnicki W 3-031.2 1309 1101 62.55% 19.60% 17.86%+1.39 +22.5 31
2025-12-07 AP Brera Strumica L 1-340.4 967 1096 25.63% 20.16% 54.21%-0.81 -18.5 1
2025-12-07 @ Shkupi W 3-140.4 1096 967 54.21% 20.16% 25.63%+0.81 +18.5 19
2025-12-08 Pelister D 3-363.4 1302 1119 63.83% 19.47% 16.71%+1.49 -2.7 22
2025-12-08 @ Arsimi D 3-363.4 1119 1302 16.71% 19.47% 63.83%-1.49 +2.7 16
2026-02-10 Struga W 2-048.2 1350 1478 25.67% 20.17% 54.16%-0.80 +40.0 39
2026-02-10 @ Shkendija L 0-248.2 1478 1350 54.16% 20.17% 25.67%+0.80 -40.0 41
2026-02-10 Tikvesh L 0-627.5 949 1260 10.83% 18.47% 70.70%-2.15 -26.8 1
2026-02-10 @ Shkupi W 6-027.5 1260 949 70.70% 18.47% 10.83%+2.15 +26.8 21
2026-02-11 KF Bashkimi 1947 D 0-050.5 1331 1148 63.85% 19.46% 16.69%+1.49 -4.9 32
2026-02-11 @ Sileks D 0-050.5 1148 1331 16.69% 19.46% 63.85%-1.49 +4.9 23
2026-02-11 Arsimi W 5-137.5 1430 1299 58.77% 19.90% 21.32%+1.11 +28.7 45
2026-02-11 @ Vardar L 1-537.5 1299 1430 21.32% 19.90% 58.77%-1.11 -28.7 22
2026-02-12 Makedonija GP D 1-153.8 1114 1160 36.04% 20.44% 43.52%-0.20 +0.6 20
2026-02-12 @ AP Brera Strumica D 1-153.8 1160 1114 43.52% 20.44% 36.04%+0.20 -0.6 16
2026-02-12 Rabotnicki W 4-140.0 1122 1078 48.46% 20.36% 31.18%+0.46 +30.8 19
2026-02-12 @ Pelister L 1-440.0 1078 1122 31.18% 20.36% 48.46%-0.46 -30.8 7
2026-02-14 Shkendija L 1-440.8 1287 1390 28.58% 20.28% 51.14%-0.62 -28.7 21
2026-02-14 @ Tikvesh W 4-140.8 1390 1287 51.14% 20.28% 28.58%+0.62 +28.7 42
2026-02-15 Sileks L 2-359.3 1438 1326 56.75% 20.03% 23.21%+0.97 -19.8 41
2026-02-15 @ Struga W 3-259.3 1326 1438 23.21% 20.03% 56.75%-0.97 +19.8 35
2026-02-15 Vardar L 0-327.3 1047 1459 6.54% 17.05% 76.41%-2.89 -8.4 7
2026-02-15 @ Rabotnicki W 3-027.3 1459 1047 76.41% 17.05% 6.54%+2.89 +8.4 48
2026-02-16 AP Brera Strumica L 0-246.0 1271 1115 61.27% 19.71% 19.02%+1.29 -45.0 22
2026-02-16 @ Arsimi W 2-046.0 1115 1271 19.02% 19.71% 61.27%-1.29 +45.0 23
2026-02-16 Shkupi W 3-029.3 1160 922 68.27% 18.89% 12.84%+1.89 +16.5 19
2026-02-16 @ Makedonija GP L 0-329.3 922 1160 12.84% 18.89% 68.27%-1.89 -16.5 1
2026-02-17 Pelister W 1-041.1 1153 1153 42.54% 20.45% 37.01%+0.14 +15.4 26
2026-02-17 @ KF Bashkimi 1947 L 0-141.1 1153 1153 37.01% 20.45% 42.54%-0.14 -15.4 19
2026-02-20 Rabotnicki L 3-459.8 1160 1039 57.73% 19.97% 22.30%+1.03 -19.7 23
2026-02-20 @ AP Brera Strumica W 4-359.8 1039 1160 22.30% 19.97% 57.73%-1.03 +19.6 10
2026-02-21 Struga D 1-154.9 1137 1419 12.54% 18.84% 68.62%-1.93 +5.4 20
2026-02-21 @ Pelister D 1-154.9 1419 1137 68.62% 18.84% 12.54%+1.93 -5.3 42
2026-02-21 KF Bashkimi 1947 W 1-033.3 1467 1168 72.43% 18.11% 9.46%+2.35 +4.5 51
2026-02-21 @ Vardar L 0-133.3 1168 1467 9.46% 18.11% 72.43%-2.35 -4.5 26
2026-02-22 Arsimi L 0-328.4 905 1226 10.35% 18.35% 71.30%-2.22 -13.4 1
2026-02-22 @ Shkupi W 3-028.4 1226 905 71.30% 18.35% 10.35%+2.22 +13.4 25
2026-02-22 Shkendija L 1-247.3 1346 1419 32.43% 20.39% 47.18%-0.39 -13.0 35
2026-02-22 @ Sileks W 2-147.3 1419 1346 47.18% 20.39% 32.43%+0.39 +13.0 45
2026-02-23 Tikvesh L 0-139.6 1176 1258 31.25% 20.36% 48.39%-0.46 -13.4 19
2026-02-23 @ Makedonija GP W 1-039.6 1258 1176 48.39% 20.36% 31.25%+0.46 +13.4 24
2026-02-27 AP Brera Strumica L 0-241.5 1164 1140 45.75% 20.41% 33.84%+0.31 -34.4 26
2026-02-27 @ KF Bashkimi 1947 W 2-041.5 1140 1164 33.84% 20.41% 45.75%-0.31 +34.4 26
2026-02-28 Shkupi W 3-031.0 1059 892 62.31% 19.62% 18.07%+1.37 +22.8 13
2026-02-28 @ Rabotnicki L 0-331.0 892 1059 18.07% 19.62% 62.31%-1.37 -22.8 1
2026-02-28 Vardar D 1-159.6 1413 1472 34.28% 20.42% 45.30%-0.29 +0.9 43
2026-02-28 @ Struga D 1-159.6 1472 1413 45.30% 20.42% 34.28%+0.29 -1.0 52
2026-03-01 Makedonija GP D 1-154.0 1239 1163 52.60% 20.23% 27.17%+0.70 -2.3 26
2026-03-01 @ Arsimi D 1-154.0 1163 1239 27.17% 20.23% 52.60%-0.70 +2.3 20
2026-03-01 Sileks L 0-141.1 1271 1333 33.90% 20.41% 45.68%-0.31 -14.3 24
2026-03-01 @ Tikvesh W 1-041.1 1333 1271 45.68% 20.41% 33.90%+0.31 +14.3 38
2026-03-02 Pelister W 2-137.8 1432 1143 71.79% 18.25% 9.96%+2.27 +4.4 48
2026-03-02 @ Shkendija L 1-237.8 1143 1432 9.96% 18.25% 71.79%-2.27 -4.4 20
2026-03-03 Struga D 0-051.0 1175 1414 15.37% 19.30% 65.33%-1.62 +5.3 27
2026-03-03 @ AP Brera Strumica D 0-051.0 1414 1175 65.33% 19.30% 15.37%+1.62 -5.3 44
2026-03-03 KF Bashkimi 1947 L 0-231.4 869 1129 13.92% 19.08% 67.00%-1.77 -12.3 1
2026-03-03 @ Shkupi W 2-031.4 1129 869 67.00% 19.08% 13.92%+1.77 +12.3 29
2026-03-04 Tikvesh L 0-536.9 1237 1257 39.65% 20.46% 39.89%-0.01 -71.6 26
2026-03-04 @ Arsimi W 5-036.9 1257 1237 39.89% 20.46% 39.65%+0.01 +71.6 27
2026-03-04 Rabotnicki W 3-140.6 1165 1081 53.48% 20.20% 26.32%+0.76 +18.9 23
2026-03-04 @ Makedonija GP L 1-340.6 1081 1165 26.32% 20.20% 53.48%-0.76 -18.9 13
2026-03-05 Sileks D 0-050.5 1138 1347 17.75% 19.58% 62.66%-1.40 +4.7 21
2026-03-05 @ Pelister D 0-050.5 1347 1138 62.66% 19.58% 17.75%+1.40 -4.7 39
2026-03-05 Shkendija L 0-150.8 1471 1436 47.31% 20.39% 32.30%+0.40 -18.8 52
2026-03-05 @ Vardar W 1-050.8 1436 1471 32.30% 20.39% 47.31%-0.40 +18.8 51
2026-03-07 Shkupi W 5-023.5 1409 857 83.31% 14.06% 2.62%+4.21 +5.2 47
2026-03-07 @ Struga L 0-523.5 857 1409 2.62% 14.06% 83.31%-4.21 -5.2 1
2026-03-08 Makedonija GP W 2-040.7 1141 1184 36.50% 20.45% 43.05%-0.17 +32.7 32
2026-03-08 @ KF Bashkimi 1947 L 0-240.7 1184 1141 43.05% 20.45% 36.50%+0.17 -32.7 23
2026-03-08 Pelister W 1-034.9 1329 1143 64.07% 19.44% 16.49%+1.51 +7.6 30
2026-03-08 @ Tikvesh L 0-134.9 1143 1329 16.49% 19.44% 64.07%-1.51 -7.6 21
2026-03-09 AP Brera Strumica D 1-155.5 1455 1180 70.88% 18.44% 10.68%+2.17 -5.8 52
2026-03-09 @ Shkendija D 1-155.5 1180 1455 10.68% 18.44% 70.88%-2.17 +5.8 28
2026-03-09 Vardar L 0-141.8 1343 1452 27.83% 20.26% 51.91%-0.67 -12.1 39
2026-03-09 @ Sileks W 1-041.8 1452 1343 51.91% 20.26% 27.83%+0.67 +12.1 55
2026-03-10 Arsimi W 1-045.3 1062 1165 28.64% 20.29% 51.08%-0.62 +20.1 16
2026-03-10 @ Rabotnicki L 0-145.3 1165 1062 51.08% 20.29% 28.64%+0.62 -20.1 26
2026-03-14 Makedonija GP W 3-029.4 1414 1151 70.06% 18.59% 11.35%+2.08 +14.7 50
2026-03-14 @ Struga L 0-329.4 1151 1414 11.35% 18.59% 70.06%-2.08 -14.7 23
2026-03-14 AP Brera Strumica W 1-033.8 1464 1186 71.11% 18.39% 10.49%+2.19 +5.0 58
2026-03-14 @ Vardar L 0-133.8 1186 1464 10.49% 18.39% 71.11%-2.19 -5.0 28
2026-03-15 Shkupi W 6-024.3 1336 852 81.07% 15.23% 3.71%+3.71 +8.9 33
2026-03-15 @ Tikvesh L 0-624.3 852 1336 3.71% 15.23% 81.07%-3.71 -8.9 1
2026-03-15 Arsimi W 1-032.9 1449 1145 72.70% 18.05% 9.25%+2.38 +4.4 55
2026-03-15 @ Shkendija L 0-132.9 1145 1449 9.25% 18.05% 72.70%-2.38 -4.4 26
2026-03-16 Rabotnicki L 1-250.9 1174 1083 54.42% 20.15% 25.43%+0.82 -20.1 32
2026-03-16 @ KF Bashkimi 1947 W 2-150.9 1083 1174 25.43% 20.15% 54.42%-0.82 +20.1 19
2026-03-16 Pelister D 0-050.5 1330 1135 64.89% 19.35% 15.76%+1.58 -5.2 40
2026-03-16 @ Sileks D 0-050.5 1135 1330 15.76% 19.35% 64.89%-1.58 +5.2 22
2026-03-20 Sileks W 2-046.8 1103 1325 16.65% 19.46% 63.89%-1.50 +46.8 22
2026-03-20 @ Rabotnicki L 0-246.8 1325 1103 63.89% 19.46% 16.65%+1.50 -46.8 40
2026-03-20 AP Brera Strumica W 6-133.5 1345 1181 62.10% 19.64% 18.26%+1.35 +30.6 36
2026-03-20 @ Tikvesh L 1-633.5 1181 1345 18.26% 19.64% 62.10%-1.35 -30.6 28
2026-03-21 Vardar W 1-051.8 1141 1469 9.93% 18.24% 71.82%-2.28 +27.8 29
2026-03-21 @ Arsimi L 0-151.8 1469 1141 71.82% 18.24% 9.93%+2.28 -27.8 58
2026-03-21 Shkendija L 0-133.4 1137 1454 10.52% 18.40% 71.09%-2.19 -5.0 23
2026-03-21 @ Makedonija GP W 1-033.4 1454 1137 71.09% 18.40% 10.52%+2.19 +5.0 58
2026-03-22 Struga L 0-231.6 1140 1429 12.11% 18.75% 69.13%-1.98 -10.8 22
2026-03-22 @ Pelister W 2-031.6 1429 1140 69.13% 18.75% 12.11%+1.98 +10.8 53
2026-03-23 KF Bashkimi 1947 L 2-342.1 843 1154 10.83% 18.47% 70.70%-2.15 -4.6 1
2026-03-23 @ Shkupi W 3-242.1 1154 843 70.70% 18.47% 10.83%+2.15 +4.6 35
2026-04-02 Tikvesh D 2-259.6 1159 1376 17.09% 19.51% 63.40%-1.46 +3.2 36
2026-04-02 @ KF Bashkimi 1947 D 2-259.6 1376 1159 63.40% 19.51% 17.09%+1.46 -3.2 37
2026-04-03 Arsimi W 2-146.6 1150 1169 39.91% 20.46% 39.63%+0.01 +15.3 31
2026-04-03 @ AP Brera Strumica L 1-246.6 1169 1150 39.63% 20.46% 39.91%-0.01 -15.3 29
2026-04-03 Shkupi W 6-024.8 1278 838 79.38% 15.97% 4.65%+3.38 +11.3 43
2026-04-03 @ Sileks L 0-624.8 838 1278 4.65% 15.97% 79.38%-3.38 -11.3 1
2026-04-04 Pelister L 1-256.9 1458 1130 74.13% 17.70% 8.16%+2.57 -27.0 58
2026-04-04 @ Shkendija W 2-156.9 1130 1458 8.16% 17.70% 74.13%-2.57 +27.0 25
2026-04-04 Makedonija GP W 5-131.6 1441 1132 73.05% 17.97% 8.98%+2.43 +12.7 61
2026-04-04 @ Vardar L 1-531.6 1132 1441 8.98% 17.97% 73.05%-2.43 -12.7 23
2026-04-05 Rabotnicki L 1-256.4 1439 1149 71.85% 18.24% 9.91%+2.28 -26.3 53
2026-04-05 @ Struga W 2-156.4 1149 1439 9.91% 18.24% 71.85%-2.28 +26.3 25
2026-04-07 AP Brera Strumica D 0-049.9 1162 1166 42.02% 20.45% 37.53%+0.12 -0.4 37
2026-04-07 @ KF Bashkimi 1947 D 0-049.9 1166 1162 37.53% 20.45% 42.02%-0.12 +0.4 32
2026-04-07 Sileks L 0-343.3 1373 1290 53.38% 20.20% 26.43%+0.75 -57.3 37
2026-04-07 @ Tikvesh W 3-043.3 1290 1373 26.43% 20.20% 53.38%-0.75 +57.3 46
2026-04-08 Vardar D 0-051.4 1157 1454 11.58% 18.64% 69.78%-2.05 +6.2 26
2026-04-08 @ Pelister D 0-051.4 1454 1157 69.78% 18.64% 11.58%+2.05 -6.2 62
2026-04-08 Shkendija L 0-330.7 1176 1431 14.20% 19.12% 66.68%-1.74 -18.2 25
2026-04-08 @ Rabotnicki W 3-030.7 1431 1176 66.68% 19.12% 14.20%+1.74 +18.2 61
2026-04-09 Struga L 0-324.8 827 1413 2.68% 14.14% 83.17%-4.18 -3.3 1
2026-04-09 @ Shkupi W 3-024.8 1413 827 83.17% 14.14% 2.68%+4.18 +3.3 56
2026-04-09 Arsimi L 0-141.3 1119 1153 37.63% 20.45% 41.91%-0.11 -15.6 23
2026-04-09 @ Makedonija GP W 1-041.3 1153 1119 41.91% 20.45% 37.63%+0.11 +15.6 32
2026-04-11 KF Bashkimi 1947 W 1-035.1 1347 1161 64.05% 19.44% 16.51%+1.51 +7.6 49
2026-04-11 @ Sileks L 0-135.1 1161 1347 16.51% 19.44% 64.05%-1.51 -7.7 37
2026-04-11 Rabotnicki W 1-033.2 1448 1157 71.87% 18.23% 9.89%+2.28 +4.7 65
2026-04-11 @ Vardar L 0-133.2 1157 1448 9.89% 18.23% 71.87%-2.28 -4.7 25
2026-04-13 Tikvesh L 1-253.5 1416 1315 55.52% 20.10% 24.38%+0.89 -20.5 56
2026-04-13 @ Struga W 2-153.5 1315 1416 24.38% 20.10% 55.52%-0.89 +20.5 40
2026-04-13 Shkupi W 6-023.1 1450 824 85.44% 12.78% 1.79%+4.75 +4.0 64
2026-04-13 @ Shkendija L 0-623.1 824 1450 1.79% 12.78% 85.44%-4.75 -4.0 1
2026-04-14 Pelister W 1-040.9 1169 1163 43.38% 20.44% 36.18%+0.19 +15.1 35
2026-04-14 @ Arsimi L 0-140.9 1163 1169 36.18% 20.44% 43.38%-0.19 -15.1 26
2026-04-14 Makedonija GP D 1-153.8 1166 1103 50.90% 20.29% 28.81%+0.60 -2.0 33
2026-04-14 @ AP Brera Strumica D 1-153.8 1103 1166 28.81% 20.29% 50.90%-0.60 +2.0 24
2026-04-17 AP Brera Strumica W 4-029.9 1355 1164 64.50% 19.39% 16.11%+1.55 +26.8 52
2026-04-17 @ Sileks L 0-429.9 1164 1355 16.11% 19.39% 64.50%-1.55 -26.8 33
2026-04-17 Shkendija L 1-442.1 1336 1454 26.85% 20.22% 52.93%-0.73 -27.2 40
2026-04-17 @ Tikvesh W 4-142.1 1454 1336 52.93% 20.22% 26.85%+0.73 +27.2 67
2026-04-18 Makedonija GP W 2-037.1 1148 1105 48.32% 20.36% 31.32%+0.46 +25.3 29
2026-04-18 @ Pelister L 0-237.1 1105 1148 31.32% 20.36% 48.32%-0.46 -25.3 24
2026-04-18 Vardar L 0-723.7 820 1453 2.11% 13.33% 84.56%-4.52 -5.6 1
2026-04-18 @ Shkupi W 7-023.7 1453 820 84.56% 13.33% 2.11%+4.52 +5.6 68
2026-04-19 Struga L 0-429.7 1154 1396 15.16% 19.27% 65.57%-1.64 -25.3 37
2026-04-19 @ KF Bashkimi 1947 W 4-029.7 1396 1154 65.57% 19.27% 15.16%+1.64 +25.3 59
2026-04-19 Arsimi W 2-040.2 1153 1184 38.09% 20.46% 41.45%-0.09 +31.7 28
2026-04-19 @ Rabotnicki L 0-240.2 1184 1153 41.45% 20.46% 38.09%+0.09 -31.7 35
2026-04-24 Shkupi W 5-130.4 1152 814 74.64% 17.57% 7.79%+2.63 +11.0 38
2026-04-24 @ Arsimi L 1-530.4 814 1152 7.79% 17.57% 74.64%-2.63 -11.0 1
2026-04-25 Rabotnicki W 2-150.0 1080 1185 28.44% 20.28% 51.28%-0.63 +19.0 27
2026-04-25 @ Makedonija GP L 1-250.0 1185 1080 51.28% 20.28% 28.44%+0.63 -19.0 28
2026-04-26 Pelister L 0-141.3 1137 1173 37.44% 20.45% 42.11%-0.12 -15.5 33
2026-04-26 @ AP Brera Strumica W 1-041.3 1173 1137 42.11% 20.45% 37.44%+0.12 +15.5 32
2026-04-26 Tikvesh W 7-033.7 1458 1309 60.68% 19.76% 19.56%+1.24 +54.1 71
2026-04-26 @ Vardar L 0-733.7 1309 1458 19.56% 19.76% 60.68%-1.24 -54.1 40
2026-04-27 Sileks W 2-040.9 1421 1381 47.97% 20.37% 31.66%+0.44 +25.5 62
2026-04-27 @ Struga L 0-240.9 1381 1421 31.66% 20.37% 47.97%-0.44 -25.5 52
2026-04-27 KF Bashkimi 1947 L 2-362.2 1481 1128 75.39% 17.36% 7.25%+2.74 -26.0 67
2026-04-27 @ Shkendija W 3-262.2 1128 1481 7.25% 17.36% 75.39%-2.74 +26.0 40
2026-05-01 Makedonija GP L 0-427.8 803 1099 11.67% 18.66% 69.67%-2.04 -19.7 1
2026-05-01 @ Shkupi W 4-027.8 1099 803 69.67% 18.66% 11.67%+2.04 +19.7 30
2026-05-01 Shkendija D 1-157.6 1356 1455 29.12% 20.30% 50.58%-0.59 +1.9 53
2026-05-01 @ Sileks D 1-157.6 1455 1356 50.58% 20.30% 29.12%+0.59 -1.9 68
2026-05-02 Vardar L 0-231.0 1155 1512 8.58% 17.84% 73.57%-2.49 -7.7 40
2026-05-02 @ KF Bashkimi 1947 W 2-031.0 1512 1155 73.57% 17.84% 8.58%+2.49 +7.7 74
2026-05-02 Pelister D 3-363.0 1166 1189 39.25% 20.46% 40.29%-0.03 +0.0 29
2026-05-02 @ Rabotnicki D 3-363.0 1189 1166 40.29% 20.46% 39.25%+0.03 -0.1 33
2026-05-03 AP Brera Strumica L 0-152.1 1447 1122 73.92% 17.76% 8.32%+2.54 -28.6 62
2026-05-03 @ Struga W 1-052.1 1122 1447 8.32% 17.76% 73.92%-2.54 +28.6 36
2026-05-03 Arsimi D 1-154.0 1254 1163 54.37% 20.16% 25.48%+0.81 -2.6 41
2026-05-03 @ Tikvesh D 1-154.0 1163 1254 25.48% 20.16% 54.37%-0.81 +2.6 39
2026-05-09 Shkupi W 7-025.6 1188 783 77.90% 16.54% 5.56%+3.13 +15.8 36
2026-05-09 @ Pelister L 0-725.6 783 1188 5.56% 16.54% 77.90%-3.13 -15.8 1
2026-05-09 Struga W 3-147.9 1453 1418 47.30% 20.39% 32.31%+0.40 +22.5 71
2026-05-09 @ Shkendija L 1-347.9 1418 1453 32.31% 20.39% 47.30%-0.40 -22.5 62
2026-05-09 Sileks W 2-145.6 1520 1358 61.89% 19.66% 18.45%+1.34 +8.0 77
2026-05-09 @ Vardar L 1-245.6 1358 1520 18.45% 19.66% 61.89%-1.34 -8.0 53
2026-05-10 KF Bashkimi 1947 D 1-153.8 1166 1147 45.17% 20.42% 34.41%+0.28 -0.9 40
2026-05-10 @ Arsimi D 1-153.8 1147 1166 34.41% 20.42% 45.17%-0.28 +0.9 41
2026-05-10 Rabotnicki D 2-258.9 1150 1166 40.37% 20.46% 39.17%+0.03 -0.1 37
2026-05-10 @ AP Brera Strumica D 2-258.9 1166 1150 39.17% 20.46% 40.37%-0.03 +0.1 30
2026-05-10 Tikvesh L 1-438.3 1119 1252 25.13% 20.14% 54.73%-0.84 -25.7 30
2026-05-10 @ Makedonija GP W 4-138.3 1252 1119 54.73% 20.14% 25.13%+0.84 +25.7 44
2026-05-15 Vardar L 0-144.6 1396 1528 25.23% 20.14% 54.62%-0.83 -11.2 62
2026-05-15 @ Struga W 1-044.6 1528 1396 54.62% 20.14% 25.23%+0.83 +11.2 80
2026-05-15 Arsimi L 0-149.3 1350 1165 63.99% 19.45% 16.56%+1.50 -24.9 53
2026-05-15 @ Sileks W 1-049.3 1165 1350 16.56% 19.45% 63.99%-1.50 +24.9 43
2026-05-15 AP Brera Strumica W 2-137.5 1475 1150 73.93% 17.76% 8.32%+2.54 +3.7 74
2026-05-15 @ Shkendija L 1-237.5 1150 1475 8.32% 17.76% 73.93%-2.54 -3.7 37
2026-05-16 Makedonija GP D 3-362.9 1148 1093 49.91% 20.32% 29.77%+0.55 -1.1 42
2026-05-16 @ KF Bashkimi 1947 D 3-362.9 1093 1148 29.77% 20.32% 49.91%-0.55 +1.1 31
2026-05-16 Pelister D 2-259.2 1278 1204 52.22% 20.25% 27.53%+0.68 -1.6 45
2026-05-16 @ Tikvesh D 2-259.2 1204 1278 27.53% 20.25% 52.22%-0.68 +1.6 37
2026-05-17 Rabotnicki L 0-726.2 768 1166 7.01% 17.26% 75.73%-2.79 -20.0 1
2026-05-17 @ Shkupi W 7-026.2 1166 768 75.73% 17.26% 7.01%+2.79 +20.0 33
2026-05-23 Struga W 1-048.9 1190 1385 18.99% 19.71% 61.30%-1.29 +23.9 46
2026-05-23 @ Arsimi L 0-148.9 1385 1190 61.30% 19.71% 18.99%+1.29 -23.8 62
2026-05-23 Shkendija W 3-045.2 1539 1479 50.57% 20.30% 29.13%+0.58 +34.6 83
2026-05-23 @ Vardar L 0-345.2 1479 1539 29.13% 20.30% 50.57%-0.58 -34.6 74
2026-05-24 Shkupi W 6-025.3 1147 748 77.63% 16.64% 5.73%+3.08 +14.1 40
2026-05-24 @ AP Brera Strumica L 0-625.3 748 1147 5.73% 16.64% 77.63%-3.08 -14.1 1
2026-05-24 KF Bashkimi 1947 W 1-038.8 1206 1147 50.47% 20.30% 29.23%+0.58 +12.6 40
2026-05-24 @ Pelister L 0-138.8 1147 1206 29.23% 20.30% 50.47%-0.58 -12.7 42
2026-05-25 Tikvesh L 1-342.1 1186 1276 30.19% 20.33% 49.47%-0.52 -21.2 33
2026-05-25 @ Rabotnicki W 3-142.1 1276 1186 49.47% 20.33% 30.19%+0.52 +21.2 48
2026-05-25 Sileks W 4-256.1 1094 1325 16.01% 19.38% 64.61%-1.56 +36.7 34
2026-05-25 @ Makedonija GP L 2-456.1 1325 1094 64.61% 19.38% 16.01%+1.56 -36.7 53

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2026-04-27 7.25% KF Bashkimi 1947 1128 3 @ Shkendija 1481 2
2 2026-04-04 8.16% Pelister 1130 2 @ Shkendija 1458 1
3 2026-05-03 8.32% AP Brera Strumica 1122 1 @ Struga 1447 0
4 2026-04-05 9.91% Rabotnicki 1149 2 @ Struga 1439 1
5 2026-03-21 9.93% @ Arsimi 1141 1 Vardar 1469 0
6 2025-10-25 10.78% AP Brera Strumica 1146 4 @ Struga 1419 2
7 2026-05-25 16.01% @ Makedonija GP 1094 4 Sileks 1325 2
8 2026-05-15 16.56% Arsimi 1165 1 @ Sileks 1350 0
9 2026-03-20 16.65% @ Rabotnicki 1103 2 Sileks 1325 0
10 2026-05-23 18.99% @ Arsimi 1190 1 Struga 1385 0
11 2026-02-16 19.02% AP Brera Strumica 1115 2 @ Arsimi 1271 0
12 2025-11-23 19.55% @ Arsimi 1204 3 Shkendija 1393 0
13 2025-09-16 20.55% @ KF Bashkimi 1947 1214 2 Sileks 1391 1
14 2026-02-20 22.30% Rabotnicki 1039 4 @ AP Brera Strumica 1160 3
15 2026-02-15 23.21% Sileks 1326 3 @ Struga 1438 2
16 2026-04-13 24.38% Tikvesh 1315 2 @ Struga 1416 1
17 2025-09-22 24.62% @ AP Brera Strumica 1106 2 Arsimi 1244 1
18 2026-03-16 25.43% Rabotnicki 1083 2 @ KF Bashkimi 1947 1174 1
19 2026-02-10 25.67% @ Shkendija 1350 2 Struga 1478 0
20 2026-04-07 26.43% Sileks 1290 3 @ Tikvesh 1373 0
21 2025-11-09 26.59% @ Pelister 1059 1 AP Brera Strumica 1179 0
22 2025-11-28 27.51% Arsimi 1269 3 @ Sileks 1342 1
23 2026-04-25 28.44% @ Makedonija GP 1080 2 Rabotnicki 1185 1
24 2026-03-10 28.64% @ Rabotnicki 1062 1 Arsimi 1165 0
25 2025-09-28 30.55% AP Brera Strumica 1127 4 @ Rabotnicki 1175 3

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-08-30 78.27 Struga 5 1290 35.33% @ KF Bashkimi 1947 0 1302 44.24% 20.43%
2 2026-03-04 71.58 Tikvesh 5 1257 39.89% @ Arsimi 0 1237 39.65% 20.46%
3 2025-11-23 64.69 @ Arsimi 3 1204 19.55% Shkendija 0 1393 60.69% 19.76%
4 2026-04-07 57.31 Sileks 3 1290 26.43% @ Tikvesh 0 1373 53.38% 20.20%
5 2026-04-26 54.10 @ Vardar 7 1458 60.68% Tikvesh 0 1309 19.56% 19.76%
6 2025-11-23 52.10 @ Tikvesh 3 1167 31.65% KF Bashkimi 1947 0 1246 47.98% 20.37%
7 2025-09-14 51.16 Arsimi 4 1230 45.70% @ Pelister 0 1168 33.89% 20.41%
8 2025-11-29 49.10 Tikvesh 4 1219 47.38% @ AP Brera Strumica 0 1145 32.23% 20.38%
9 2026-03-20 46.83 @ Rabotnicki 2 1103 16.65% Sileks 0 1325 63.89% 19.46%
10 2026-02-16 44.95 AP Brera Strumica 2 1115 19.02% @ Arsimi 0 1271 61.27% 19.71%
11 2025-08-11 41.98 @ Sileks 5 1306 59.09% AP Brera Strumica 0 1172 21.02% 19.88%
12 2025-10-03 41.46 @ Makedonija GP 4 1181 34.73% Arsimi 1 1236 44.84% 20.43%
13 2025-10-25 40.09 AP Brera Strumica 4 1146 10.78% @ Struga 2 1419 70.76% 18.46%
14 2026-02-10 39.99 @ Shkendija 2 1350 25.67% Struga 0 1478 54.16% 20.17%
15 2025-11-25 38.62 Pelister 3 1080 46.28% @ Shkupi 0 1014 33.32% 20.40%
16 2025-09-18 36.95 Vardar 4 1306 40.60% @ Arsimi 1 1281 38.94% 20.46%
17 2026-05-25 36.67 @ Makedonija GP 4 1094 16.01% Sileks 2 1325 64.61% 19.38%
18 2025-08-08 36.34 @ Shkendija 5 1267 51.78% Shkupi 1 1197 27.96% 20.26%
19 2025-09-18 36.10 @ Rabotnicki 3 1165 48.95% Pelister 0 1117 30.70% 20.35%
20 2026-05-23 34.55 @ Vardar 3 1539 50.57% Shkendija 0 1479 29.13% 20.30%
21 2026-02-27 34.43 AP Brera Strumica 2 1140 33.84% @ KF Bashkimi 1947 0 1164 45.75% 20.41%
22 2025-11-04 33.66 Tikvesh 2 1144 35.03% @ Rabotnicki 0 1159 44.54% 20.43%
23 2025-11-28 33.51 Arsimi 3 1269 27.51% @ Sileks 1 1342 52.25% 20.24%
24 2026-03-08 32.72 @ KF Bashkimi 1947 2 1141 36.50% Makedonija GP 0 1184 43.05% 20.45%
25 2026-04-19 31.72 @ Rabotnicki 2 1153 38.09% Arsimi 0 1184 41.45% 20.46%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-11-05 63.4 @ AP Brera Strumica 3 1177 24.08% Sileks 3 1320 55.84% 20.08%
2 2025-12-08 63.4 @ Arsimi 3 1302 63.83% Pelister 3 1119 16.71% 19.47%
3 2026-05-02 63.0 @ Rabotnicki 3 1166 39.25% Pelister 3 1189 40.29% 20.46%
4 2026-05-16 62.9 @ KF Bashkimi 1947 3 1148 49.91% Makedonija GP 3 1093 29.77% 20.32%
5 2026-04-27 62.2 KF Bashkimi 1947 3 1128 7.25% @ Shkendija 2 1481 75.39% 17.36%
6 2025-10-05 61.9 @ Vardar 2 1356 33.61% Struga 2 1420 45.98% 20.41%
7 2026-02-20 59.8 Rabotnicki 4 1039 22.30% @ AP Brera Strumica 3 1160 57.73% 19.97%
8 2026-02-28 59.6 @ Struga 1 1413 34.28% Vardar 1 1472 45.30% 20.42%
9 2026-04-02 59.6 @ KF Bashkimi 1947 2 1159 17.09% Tikvesh 2 1376 63.40% 19.51%
10 2026-02-15 59.3 Sileks 3 1326 23.21% @ Struga 2 1438 56.75% 20.03%
11 2025-08-22 59.2 @ Vardar 2 1285 62.71% AP Brera Strumica 2 1114 17.71% 19.58%
12 2026-05-16 59.2 @ Tikvesh 2 1278 52.22% Pelister 2 1204 27.53% 20.25%
13 2025-10-29 59.0 @ Arsimi 2 1208 49.40% Rabotnicki 2 1158 30.26% 20.34%
14 2026-05-10 58.9 @ AP Brera Strumica 2 1150 40.37% Rabotnicki 2 1166 39.17% 20.46%
15 2025-10-25 58.2 AP Brera Strumica 4 1146 10.78% @ Struga 2 1419 70.76% 18.46%
16 2026-05-01 57.6 @ Sileks 1 1356 29.12% Shkendija 1 1455 50.58% 20.30%
17 2025-09-28 57.3 AP Brera Strumica 4 1127 30.55% @ Rabotnicki 3 1175 49.11% 20.34%
18 2026-04-04 56.9 Pelister 2 1130 8.16% @ Shkendija 1 1458 74.13% 17.70%
19 2026-04-05 56.4 Rabotnicki 2 1149 9.91% @ Struga 1 1439 71.85% 18.24%
20 2026-05-25 56.1 @ Makedonija GP 4 1094 16.01% Sileks 2 1325 64.61% 19.38%
21 2025-09-17 55.9 @ Struga 1 1388 50.34% Shkendija 1 1330 29.35% 20.31%
22 2026-03-09 55.5 @ Shkendija 1 1455 70.88% AP Brera Strumica 1 1180 10.68% 18.44%
23 2026-02-21 54.9 @ Pelister 1 1137 12.54% Struga 1 1419 68.62% 18.84%
24 2025-08-09 54.2 @ KF Bashkimi 1947 1 1255 42.54% Arsimi 1 1255 37.02% 20.45%
25 2025-10-29 54.1 @ Makedonija GP 1 1221 36.62% KF Bashkimi 1947 1 1263 42.93% 20.45%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-04-13 23.1 @ Shkendija 6 1450 85.44% Shkupi 0 824 1.79% 12.78%
2 2026-03-07 23.5 @ Struga 5 1409 83.31% Shkupi 0 857 2.62% 14.06%
3 2026-04-18 23.7 Vardar 7 1453 84.56% @ Shkupi 0 820 2.11% 13.33%
4 2026-03-15 24.3 @ Tikvesh 6 1336 81.07% Shkupi 0 852 3.71% 15.23%
5 2026-04-03 24.8 @ Sileks 6 1278 79.38% Shkupi 0 838 4.65% 15.97%
6 2026-04-09 24.8 Struga 3 1413 83.17% @ Shkupi 0 827 2.68% 14.14%
7 2026-05-24 25.3 @ AP Brera Strumica 6 1147 77.63% Shkupi 0 748 5.73% 16.64%
8 2026-05-09 25.6 @ Pelister 7 1188 77.90% Shkupi 0 783 5.56% 16.54%
9 2026-05-17 26.2 Rabotnicki 7 1166 75.73% @ Shkupi 0 768 7.01% 17.26%
10 2026-02-15 27.3 Vardar 3 1459 76.41% @ Rabotnicki 0 1047 6.54% 17.05%
11 2026-02-10 27.5 Tikvesh 6 1260 70.70% @ Shkupi 0 949 10.83% 18.47%
12 2026-05-01 27.8 Makedonija GP 4 1099 69.67% @ Shkupi 0 803 11.67% 18.66%
13 2025-11-30 27.9 @ Vardar 6 1416 79.42% Shkupi 1 975 4.63% 15.95%
14 2026-02-22 28.4 Arsimi 3 1226 71.30% @ Shkupi 0 905 10.35% 18.35%
15 2025-11-30 29.2 @ Struga 6 1439 68.86% KF Bashkimi 1947 0 1194 12.35% 18.80%
16 2026-02-16 29.3 @ Makedonija GP 3 1160 68.27% Shkupi 0 922 12.84% 18.89%
17 2026-03-14 29.4 @ Struga 3 1414 70.06% Makedonija GP 0 1151 11.35% 18.59%
18 2025-09-29 29.5 @ Struga 2 1413 74.81% Pelister 0 1071 7.67% 17.52%
19 2026-04-19 29.7 Struga 4 1396 65.57% @ KF Bashkimi 1947 0 1154 15.16% 19.27%
20 2026-04-17 29.9 @ Sileks 4 1355 64.50% AP Brera Strumica 0 1164 16.11% 19.39%
21 2026-04-24 30.4 @ Arsimi 5 1152 74.64% Shkupi 1 814 7.79% 17.57%
22 2025-09-14 30.7 @ Struga 3 1368 65.41% Tikvesh 0 1167 15.30% 19.29%
23 2026-04-08 30.7 Shkendija 3 1431 66.68% @ Rabotnicki 0 1176 14.20% 19.12%
24 2025-08-23 30.9 @ Sileks 3 1348 64.50% Makedonija GP 0 1157 16.10% 19.39%
25 2026-02-28 31.0 @ Rabotnicki 3 1059 62.31% Shkupi 0 892 18.07% 19.62%