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1901-02 Irish League Season

56 games

Final

Champion

Linfield

24 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Linfield

5.50 points above expected

24 points · 18.50 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

St Columbs Court

5.96 points below expected

1 points · 6.96 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Linfield 14 12 0 2 24 38 10 +28 18.50 +5.50
2 Glentoran 14 10 1 3 21 43 22 +21 18.63 +2.37
3 Lisburn Distillery 14 8 3 3 19 38 20 +18 19.15 -0.15
4 Cliftonville 14 7 2 5 16 24 14 +10 16.25 -0.25
5 Derry Celtic 14 5 2 7 12 23 26 -3 9.42 +2.58
6 Belfast Celtic 14 4 4 6 12 22 25 -3 12.85 -0.85
7 Ulster 14 2 3 9 7 22 44 -22 10.24 -3.24
8 St Columbs Court 14 0 1 13 1 13 62 -49 6.96 -5.96

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Linfield 24 18.50 +5.50
2 Derry Celtic 12 9.42 +2.58
3 Glentoran 21 18.63 +2.37
4 Lisburn Distillery 19 19.15 -0.15
5 Cliftonville 16 16.25 -0.25

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 St Columbs Court 1 6.96 -5.96
2 Ulster 7 10.24 -3.24
3 Belfast Celtic 12 12.85 -0.85
4 Cliftonville 16 16.25 -0.25
5 Lisburn Distillery 19 19.15 -0.15

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Glentoran 6 Sep 14 – Oct 19 1 in 73
2 Linfield 6 Aug 31 – Oct 5 1 in 58
3 Lisburn Distillery 4 Oct 12 – Nov 2 1 in 11
4 Derry Celtic 2 Oct 26 – Nov 2 1 in 3
5 Cliftonville 3 Nov 23 – Dec 7 1 in 2

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 St Columbs Court 8 Oct 12 – Dec 14 1 in 12
2 Linfield 2 Oct 12 – Oct 19 1 in 8
3 Cliftonville 2 Sep 7 – Sep 14 1 in 8
4 Glentoran 1 Sep 7 – Sep 7 1 in 5
5 Ulster 4 Oct 26 – Nov 30 1 in 3

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Belfast Celtic 4 Sep 7 – Sep 28 1 in 22
2 Glentoran 6 Sep 14 – Oct 19 1 in 12
3 Linfield 6 Aug 31 – Oct 5 1 in 11
4 Lisburn Distillery 6 Oct 12 – Nov 30 1 in 7
5 St Columbs Court 1 Oct 5 – Oct 5 1 in 3

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ulster 11 Sep 7 – Nov 30 1 in 80
2 St Columbs Court 14 Aug 31 – Dec 14 1 in 24
3 Lisburn Distillery 3 Nov 23 – Dec 7 1 in 10
4 Glentoran 2 Oct 26 – Nov 2 1 in 4
5 Linfield 2 Oct 12 – Oct 19 1 in 4

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Linfield 1782 24 +97 10 8.0 +2.0
Glentoran 1667 21 +16 7 7.4 -0.4
Lisburn Distillery 1664 19 -42 6 7.2 -1.2
Cliftonville 1633 16 +10 7 6.2 +0.8
Derry Celtic 1492 12 +44 5 3.4 +1.6
Belfast Celtic 1446 12 -48 3 4.0 -1.0
Ulster 1252 7 -24 2 2.3 -0.3
St Columbs Court 1063 1 -53 0 1.6 -1.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BC CLI DC GLE LIN LD SCC ULS
Belfast Celtic —
0-1-1
1.93
1-0-1
3.17
0-0-2
2.05
0-0-2
1.29
0-2-0
1.39
2-0-0
4.52
1-1-0
3.05
Cliftonville
1-1-0
3.77
 —
1-0-1
4.34
0-1-1
2.93
1-0-1
1.58
0-0-2
2.87
2-0-0
4.30
2-0-0
3.72
Derry Celtic
1-0-1
2.52
1-0-1
1.36
 —
1-0-1
1.29
0-0-2
1.25
0-1-1
1.22
2-0-0
3.16
0-1-1
2.75
Glentoran
2-0-0
3.65
1-1-0
2.76
1-0-1
4.41
 —
0-0-2
3.48
2-0-0
2.52
2-0-0
4.75
2-0-0
4.76
Linfield
2-0-0
4.41
1-0-1
4.12
2-0-0
4.45
2-0-0
2.22
 —
1-0-1
2.21
2-0-0
5.21
2-0-0
4.71
Lisburn Distillery
0-2-0
4.31
2-0-0
2.83
1-1-0
4.48
0-0-2
3.18
1-0-1
3.49
 —
2-0-0
4.61
2-0-0
4.71
St Columbs Court
0-0-2
1.18
0-0-2
1.40
0-0-2
2.54
0-0-2
0.96
0-0-2
0.50
0-0-2
1.09
 —
0-1-1
1.81
Ulster
0-1-1
2.65
0-0-2
1.99
1-1-0
2.95
0-0-2
0.94
0-0-2
0.99
0-0-2
0.99
1-1-0
3.89
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.83 +6.6
Allowed 0.84 -4.1
Differential 0.98 +2.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%2.68%5.36%4.46%4.46%—20.54%
12.68%7.14%7.14%2.68%2.68%6.25%28.57%
25.36%7.14%1.79%0.89%1.79%2.68%19.64%
34.46%2.68%0.89%1.79%1.79%—11.61%
44.46%2.68%1.79%1.79%——10.71%
5+—6.25%2.68%———8.93%
Total20.54%28.57%19.64%11.61%10.71%8.93%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.99 1.99 +0.00
SD 1.82 1.82 2.86
CV 0.92 0.92 —
Max 10 10 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 56

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%—7.14%7.14%14.29%—42.86%
1—14.29%—7.14%——21.43%
2—7.14%—7.14%——14.29%
3———————
47.14%—————7.14%
5+—7.14%7.14%———14.29%
Total21.43%28.57%14.29%21.43%14.29%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.57 1.79 -0.21
SD 2.03 1.42 2.78
CV 1.29 0.80 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%—14.29%———21.43%
114.29%—21.43%———35.71%
27.14%—————7.14%
321.43%——7.14%——28.57%
4———————
5+—7.14%————7.14%
Total50.00%7.14%35.71%7.14%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.71 1.00 +0.71
SD 1.49 1.11 2.02
CV 0.87 1.11 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—14.29%——7.14%—21.43%
1—7.14%14.29%—7.14%7.14%35.71%
214.29%7.14%7.14%———28.57%
3——7.14%———7.14%
4———————
5+—7.14%————7.14%
Total14.29%35.71%28.57%—14.29%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.86 -0.21
SD 1.78 1.51 2.64
CV 1.08 0.81 —
Max 7 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——7.14%———7.14%
1——7.14%——7.14%14.29%
2—14.29%————14.29%
3—14.29%—7.14%——21.43%
414.29%7.14%7.14%———28.57%
5+—7.14%7.14%———14.29%
Total14.29%42.86%28.57%7.14%—7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.07 1.57 +1.50
SD 1.82 1.28 2.62
CV 0.59 0.82 —
Max 7 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———7.14%——7.14%
17.14%—7.14%———14.29%
221.43%—————21.43%
314.29%7.14%————21.43%
414.29%7.14%7.14%———28.57%
5+—7.14%————7.14%
Total57.14%21.43%14.29%7.14%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.71 0.71 +2.00
SD 1.44 0.99 1.96
CV 0.53 1.39 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%—7.14%———14.29%
1—14.29%7.14%7.14%——28.57%
2—21.43%————21.43%
3———————
4—7.14%—7.14%——14.29%
5+—14.29%7.14%———21.43%
Total7.14%57.14%21.43%14.29%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.71 1.43 +1.29
SD 2.70 0.85 2.70
CV 1.00 0.60 —
Max 10 3 +8
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——7.14%14.29%14.29%—35.71%
1—7.14%—7.14%7.14%21.43%42.86%
2—————14.29%14.29%
3————7.14%—7.14%
4———————
5+———————
Total—7.14%7.14%21.43%28.57%35.71%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 4.43 -3.50
SD 0.92 2.31 2.10
CV 0.99 0.52 —
Max 3 10 +0
Min 0 1 -8

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%—7.14%——14.29%
1—14.29%——7.14%14.29%35.71%
2—7.14%7.14%—14.29%7.14%35.71%
3————7.14%—7.14%
4———7.14%——7.14%
5+———————
Total—28.57%7.14%14.29%28.57%21.43%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.57 3.14 -1.57
SD 1.09 1.70 1.87
CV 0.69 0.54 —
Max 4 6 +1
Min 0 1 -5

Games Played: 14

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Linfield 1782 24 18.50 +5.50 99.0% 11 14 16 18 20 23 25
Glentoran 1667 21 18.63 +2.37 83.0% 11 14 17 19 20 23 24
Lisburn Distillery 1664 19 19.15 -0.15 57.0% 12 15 17 19 21 24 26
Cliftonville 1633 16 16.25 -0.25 47.0% 9 11 14 17 18 22 23
Derry Celtic 1492 12 9.42 +2.58 84.0% 3 4 8 9 11 15 19
Belfast Celtic 1446 12 12.85 -0.85 43.0% 5 8 11 13 15 17 19
Ulster 1252 7 10.24 -3.24 9.0% 4 6 9 10 12 14 17
St Columbs Court 1063 1 6.96 -5.96 2.0% 1 3 5 7 8 11 14

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+17.86%
Clear Edge
51.79%14.29%33.93%
Elo Value
Home Edge
140 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
062.71400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.59 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.45+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 4th * Longshot: 5th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.7
Open
12348
Champion Preseason Odds
29%
Linfield, 1st of 8
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.21/gm
Comfortable
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.25 * Some Luck: 2.25 to 3.38 * Lucky: 3.38 to 4.5 * Wild Swing: 4.5 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.75 * Close: 0.75 to 1.12 * Off: 1.12 to 1.5 * Way Off: 1.5 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 8 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 8 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 8 * As Expected: 8 to 12.8 * Several Outliers: 12.8 to 17.6 * Many Outliers: 17.6 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.34 points
Some Luck
02.817
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Close
00.942
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 93.75%
99.00%
Linfield
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected
2.00%
St Columbs Court
06.25%50
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 8
Minimal Outliers
00.88

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.29
Lopsided
00.190.250.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 241.35
2.19
Strong Separation
11.852.253
Interquartile Edge
82%
Wide Edge
50%70%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 99%
98%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
39%
Few
0%40%100%
Blowouts
Expected
41%
Very Frequent
0%38%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.47
Highly Predictable
00.492
Matchup Imbalance
0.53
Lopsided
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.62
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.25
Weak Carryover
00.470.620.761
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Shaky Favorites
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.2 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.2 to 0.3 * Above Noise: 0.3 to 0.4 * Well Above Noise: 0.4 and up.
Probability calibration
0.51
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.09
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.141
Well Within Noise
00.2010.5

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678
Linfield29.00%27.00%20.00%18.00%6.00%———
Glentoran29.00%24.00%29.00%14.00%3.00%1.00%——
Lisburn Distillery29.00%33.00%27.00%7.00%4.00%———
Cliftonville13.00%13.00%16.00%35.00%15.00%6.00%2.00%—
Derry Celtic——4.00%5.00%12.00%31.00%31.00%17.00%
Belfast Celtic—3.00%4.00%16.00%44.00%21.00%7.00%5.00%
Ulster———4.00%15.00%30.00%41.00%10.00%
St Columbs Court———1.00%1.00%11.00%19.00%68.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Belfast Celtic 100%
Cliftonville 100%
Derry Celtic 100%
Glentoran 100%
Linfield 100%
Lisburn Distillery 100%
St Columbs Court 100%
Ulster 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1901-08-31 Glentoran L 1-357.8 1510 1575 46.53% 15.15% 38.31%-0.02 -55.3 0
1901-08-31 @ Belfast Celtic W 3-157.8 1575 1510 38.31% 15.15% 46.53%+0.02 +55.3 2
1901-08-31 St Columbs Court W 3-043.3 1504 1502 55.34% 15.14% 29.52%+0.46 +62.6 2
1901-08-31 @ Cliftonville L 0-343.3 1502 1504 29.52% 15.14% 55.34%-0.46 -62.6 0
1901-08-31 Ulster L 1-248.9 1356 1468 39.89% 15.15% 44.97%-0.35 -28.0 0
1901-08-31 @ Derry Celtic W 2-148.9 1468 1356 44.97% 15.15% 39.89%+0.35 +28.0 2
1901-08-31 Lisburn Distillery W 2-055.1 1463 1622 33.40% 15.13% 51.47%-0.69 +69.9 2
1901-08-31 @ Linfield L 0-255.1 1622 1463 51.47% 15.13% 33.40%+0.69 -69.9 0
1901-09-07 Linfield L 1-561.9 1631 1533 65.65% 15.09% 19.26%+1.14 -140.0 2
1901-09-07 @ Glentoran W 5-161.9 1533 1631 19.26% 15.09% 65.65%-1.14 +140.0 4
1901-09-07 Cliftonville W 2-156.3 1553 1566 53.41% 15.15% 31.45%+0.35 +22.8 2
1901-09-07 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-256.3 1566 1553 31.45% 15.15% 53.41%-0.35 -22.8 2
1901-09-07 Derry Celtic L 0-249.6 1439 1328 66.87% 15.08% 18.05%+1.24 -90.2 0
1901-09-07 @ St Columbs Court W 2-049.6 1328 1439 18.05% 15.08% 66.87%-1.24 +90.2 2
1901-09-07 Belfast Celtic D 1-163.2 1496 1455 59.89% 15.13% 24.99%+0.74 -6.0 3
1901-09-07 @ Ulster D 1-163.2 1455 1496 24.99% 15.13% 59.89%-0.74 +6.0 1
1901-09-14 Derry Celtic W 2-145.9 1461 1418 60.11% 15.13% 24.77%+0.75 +18.4 3
1901-09-14 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-245.9 1418 1461 24.77% 15.13% 60.11%-0.75 -18.4 2
1901-09-14 Glentoran L 1-262.3 1543 1491 61.19% 15.12% 23.69%+0.82 -41.2 2
1901-09-14 @ Cliftonville W 2-162.3 1491 1543 23.69% 15.12% 61.19%-0.82 +41.2 4
1901-09-14 Ulster W 4-254.1 1673 1490 72.34% 15.01% 12.65%+1.75 +15.4 6
1901-09-14 @ Linfield L 2-454.1 1490 1673 12.65% 15.01% 72.34%-1.75 -15.4 3
1901-09-14 Lisburn Distillery L 2-1039.8 1349 1575 25.28% 15.09% 59.63%-1.17 -92.0 0
1901-09-14 @ St Columbs Court W 10-239.8 1575 1349 59.63% 15.09% 25.28%+1.17 +91.9 4
1901-09-21 Derry Celtic W 4-037.9 1688 1400 77.85% 14.87% 7.28%+2.50 +22.3 8
1901-09-21 @ Linfield L 0-437.9 1400 1688 7.28% 14.87% 77.85%-2.50 -22.3 2
1901-09-21 Belfast Celtic D 1-170.1 1667 1479 72.65% 15.01% 12.35%+1.78 -10.8 5
1901-09-21 @ Lisburn Distillery D 1-170.1 1479 1667 12.35% 15.01% 72.65%-1.78 +10.8 4
1901-09-21 Glentoran L 0-432.1 1257 1532 20.29% 15.05% 64.66%-1.51 -58.4 0
1901-09-21 @ St Columbs Court W 4-032.1 1532 1257 64.66% 15.05% 20.29%+1.51 +58.4 6
1901-09-21 Cliftonville L 0-348.8 1474 1502 51.58% 15.15% 33.27%+0.25 -101.8 3
1901-09-21 @ Ulster W 3-048.8 1502 1474 33.27% 15.15% 51.58%-0.25 +101.8 4
1901-09-28 Cliftonville D 0-065.4 1490 1604 39.63% 15.15% 45.23%-0.36 +1.0 5
1901-09-28 @ Belfast Celtic D 0-065.4 1604 1490 45.23% 15.15% 39.63%+0.36 -1.0 5
1901-09-28 Ulster W 5-244.0 1590 1373 74.44% 14.97% 10.59%+2.00 +17.8 8
1901-09-28 @ Glentoran L 2-544.0 1373 1590 10.59% 14.97% 74.44%-2.00 -17.8 3
1901-09-28 Derry Celtic W 5-140.2 1656 1377 77.45% 14.88% 7.67%+2.43 +19.5 7
1901-09-28 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-540.2 1377 1656 7.67% 14.88% 77.45%-2.43 -19.5 2
1901-09-28 Linfield L 1-339.1 1199 1711 6.04% 14.69% 79.27%-3.20 -8.4 0
1901-09-28 @ St Columbs Court W 3-139.1 1711 1199 79.27% 14.69% 6.04%+3.20 +8.5 10
1901-10-05 Linfield L 0-348.3 1491 1719 25.12% 15.09% 59.80%-1.18 -54.2 5
1901-10-05 @ Belfast Celtic W 3-048.3 1719 1491 59.80% 15.09% 25.12%+1.18 +54.2 12
1901-10-05 Cliftonville W 2-053.6 1358 1603 23.28% 15.07% 61.64%-1.30 +83.1 4
1901-10-05 @ Derry Celtic L 0-253.6 1603 1358 61.64% 15.07% 23.28%+1.30 -83.1 5
1901-10-05 Glentoran L 1-269.4 1676 1608 62.76% 15.11% 22.13%+0.93 -42.3 7
1901-10-05 @ Lisburn Distillery W 2-169.4 1608 1676 22.13% 15.11% 62.76%-0.93 +42.3 10
1901-10-05 St Columbs Court D 1-155.7 1355 1190 71.08% 15.03% 13.89%+1.62 -10.2 4
1901-10-05 @ Ulster D 1-155.7 1190 1355 13.89% 15.03% 71.08%-1.62 +10.2 1
1901-10-12 Linfield W 3-061.0 1520 1773 22.40% 15.07% 62.53%-1.36 +122.4 7
1901-10-12 @ Cliftonville L 0-361.0 1773 1520 62.53% 15.07% 22.40%+1.36 -122.4 12
1901-10-12 Derry Celtic W 4-145.2 1650 1441 73.96% 14.98% 11.06%+1.94 +21.4 12
1901-10-12 @ Glentoran L 1-445.2 1441 1650 11.06% 14.98% 73.96%-1.94 -21.4 4
1901-10-12 Belfast Celtic L 2-540.7 1200 1437 24.16% 15.08% 60.76%-1.24 -38.2 1
1901-10-12 @ St Columbs Court W 5-240.7 1437 1200 60.76% 15.08% 24.16%+1.24 +38.2 7
1901-10-12 Lisburn Distillery L 3-455.5 1345 1634 18.99% 15.03% 65.98%-1.61 -13.4 4
1901-10-12 @ Ulster W 4-355.5 1634 1345 65.98% 15.03% 18.99%+1.61 +13.4 9
1901-10-19 Belfast Celtic W 4-041.1 1672 1475 73.20% 14.99% 11.81%+1.85 +35.4 14
1901-10-19 @ Glentoran L 0-441.1 1475 1672 11.81% 14.99% 73.20%-1.85 -35.3 7
1901-10-19 Linfield W 2-159.8 1647 1651 54.64% 15.14% 30.22%+0.42 +22.0 11
1901-10-19 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-259.8 1651 1647 30.22% 15.14% 54.64%-0.42 -22.0 12
1901-10-19 Cliftonville L 1-532.5 1162 1642 7.18% 14.75% 78.07%-2.97 -18.2 1
1901-10-19 @ St Columbs Court W 5-132.5 1642 1162 78.07% 14.75% 7.18%+2.97 +18.2 9
1901-10-19 Derry Celtic D 2-261.8 1331 1420 43.23% 15.15% 41.62%-0.18 -0.2 5
1901-10-19 @ Ulster D 2-261.8 1420 1331 41.62% 15.15% 43.23%+0.18 +0.2 5
1901-10-26 Ulster W 6-134.0 1440 1331 66.66% 15.08% 18.26%+1.22 +54.1 9
1901-10-26 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-634.0 1331 1440 18.26% 15.08% 66.66%-1.22 -54.1 5
1901-10-26 Lisburn Distillery L 1-267.4 1660 1669 54.05% 15.14% 30.81%+0.39 -36.6 9
1901-10-26 @ Cliftonville W 2-167.4 1669 1660 30.81% 15.14% 54.05%-0.39 +36.6 13
1901-10-26 St Columbs Court W 7-127.7 1420 1144 77.32% 14.89% 7.80%+2.41 +28.7 7
1901-10-26 @ Derry Celtic L 1-727.7 1144 1420 7.80% 14.89% 77.32%-2.41 -28.7 1
1901-10-26 Glentoran W 2-057.1 1629 1707 44.68% 15.15% 40.17%-0.11 +56.3 14
1901-10-26 @ Linfield L 0-257.1 1707 1629 40.17% 15.15% 44.68%+0.11 -56.3 14
1901-11-02 Belfast Celtic W 3-255.6 1448 1494 49.22% 15.15% 35.63%+0.12 +24.1 9
1901-11-02 @ Derry Celtic L 2-355.6 1494 1448 35.63% 15.15% 49.22%-0.12 -24.1 9
1901-11-02 Cliftonville D 3-381.1 1651 1624 58.34% 15.13% 26.53%+0.64 -3.4 15
1901-11-02 @ Glentoran D 3-381.1 1624 1651 26.53% 15.13% 58.34%-0.64 +3.4 10
1901-11-02 St Columbs Court W 4-132.9 1706 1115 84.43% 14.19% 1.38%+4.65 +2.8 15
1901-11-02 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-432.9 1115 1706 1.38% 14.19% 84.43%-4.65 -2.8 1
1901-11-02 Linfield L 1-440.3 1277 1685 10.48% 14.87% 74.65%-2.46 -20.3 5
1901-11-02 @ Ulster W 4-140.3 1685 1277 74.65% 14.87% 10.48%+2.46 +20.3 16
1901-11-23 Lisburn Distillery D 0-067.9 1470 1708 23.97% 15.08% 60.95%-1.25 +7.1 10
1901-11-23 @ Belfast Celtic D 0-067.9 1708 1470 60.95% 15.08% 23.97%+1.25 -7.1 16
1901-11-23 Ulster W 1-036.2 1627 1256 80.61% 14.72% 4.67%+3.09 +4.0 12
1901-11-23 @ Cliftonville L 0-136.2 1256 1627 4.67% 14.72% 80.61%-3.09 -4.0 5
1901-11-23 Linfield L 0-152.2 1473 1706 24.56% 15.08% 60.35%-1.21 -19.4 9
1901-11-23 @ Derry Celtic W 1-052.2 1706 1473 60.35% 15.08% 24.56%+1.21 +19.4 18
1901-11-23 St Columbs Court W 7-127.9 1648 1112 83.78% 14.34% 1.88%+4.26 +7.0 17
1901-11-23 @ Glentoran L 1-727.9 1112 1648 1.88% 14.34% 83.78%-4.26 -7.0 1
1901-11-30 Belfast Celtic W 2-044.8 1631 1477 70.32% 15.04% 14.64%+1.54 +22.8 14
1901-11-30 @ Cliftonville L 0-244.8 1477 1631 14.64% 15.04% 70.32%-1.54 -22.8 10
1901-11-30 Lisburn Distillery D 1-170.3 1453 1701 22.95% 15.07% 61.98%-1.32 +6.7 10
1901-11-30 @ Derry Celtic D 1-170.3 1701 1453 61.98% 15.07% 22.95%+1.32 -6.7 17
1901-11-30 St Columbs Court W 3-028.7 1725 1105 84.72% 14.11% 1.17%+4.86 +2.8 20
1901-11-30 @ Linfield L 0-328.7 1105 1725 1.17% 14.11% 84.72%-4.86 -2.8 1
1901-11-30 Glentoran L 2-444.7 1252 1655 10.82% 14.88% 74.30%-2.42 -13.2 5
1901-11-30 @ Ulster W 4-244.7 1655 1252 74.30% 14.88% 10.82%+2.42 +13.3 19
1901-12-07 Derry Celtic W 1-046.6 1654 1460 73.04% 15.00% 11.96%+1.83 +10.0 16
1901-12-07 @ Cliftonville L 0-146.6 1460 1654 11.96% 15.00% 73.04%-1.83 -10.0 10
1901-12-07 Lisburn Distillery W 3-159.5 1668 1695 51.72% 15.15% 33.13%+0.26 +41.3 21
1901-12-07 @ Glentoran L 1-359.5 1695 1668 33.13% 15.15% 51.72%-0.26 -41.3 17
1901-12-07 Belfast Celtic W 4-040.8 1728 1454 77.21% 14.89% 7.90%+2.39 +24.1 22
1901-12-07 @ Linfield L 0-440.8 1454 1728 7.90% 14.89% 77.21%-2.39 -24.1 10
1901-12-07 Ulster L 3-451.8 1103 1239 36.46% 15.14% 48.40%-0.53 -24.0 1
1901-12-07 @ St Columbs Court W 4-351.8 1239 1103 48.40% 15.14% 36.46%+0.53 +24.0 7
1901-12-14 St Columbs Court W 4-024.5 1430 1079 80.06% 14.76% 5.19%+2.95 +16.0 12
1901-12-14 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-424.5 1079 1430 5.19% 14.76% 80.06%-2.95 -16.0 1
1901-12-14 Glentoran W 2-167.0 1450 1709 21.82% 15.06% 63.12%-1.40 +42.5 12
1901-12-14 @ Derry Celtic L 1-267.0 1709 1450 63.12% 15.06% 21.82%+1.40 -42.5 21
1901-12-14 Cliftonville W 2-051.8 1752 1664 64.72% 15.10% 20.18%+1.07 +30.7 24
1901-12-14 @ Linfield L 0-251.8 1664 1752 20.18% 15.10% 64.72%-1.07 -30.6 16
1901-12-14 Ulster W 5-134.8 1653 1263 81.12% 14.68% 4.20%+3.23 +10.8 19
1901-12-14 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-534.8 1263 1653 4.20% 14.68% 81.12%-3.23 -10.8 7

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1901-09-07 18.05% Derry Celtic 1328 2 @ St Columbs Court 1439 0
2 1901-09-07 19.26% Linfield 1533 5 @ Glentoran 1631 1
3 1901-12-14 21.82% @ Derry Celtic 1450 2 Glentoran 1709 1
4 1901-10-05 22.13% Glentoran 1608 2 @ Lisburn Distillery 1676 1
5 1901-10-12 22.40% @ Cliftonville 1520 3 Linfield 1773 0
6 1901-10-05 23.28% @ Derry Celtic 1358 2 Cliftonville 1603 0
7 1901-09-14 23.69% Glentoran 1491 2 @ Cliftonville 1543 1
8 1901-10-26 30.81% Lisburn Distillery 1669 2 @ Cliftonville 1660 1
9 1901-09-21 33.27% Cliftonville 1502 3 @ Ulster 1474 0
10 1901-08-31 33.40% @ Linfield 1463 2 Lisburn Distillery 1622 0
11 1901-08-31 38.31% Glentoran 1575 3 @ Belfast Celtic 1510 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1901-09-07 140.02 Linfield 5 1533 19.26% @ Glentoran 1 1631 65.65% 15.09%
2 1901-10-12 122.37 @ Cliftonville 3 1520 22.40% Linfield 0 1773 62.53% 15.07%
3 1901-09-21 101.77 Cliftonville 3 1502 33.27% @ Ulster 0 1474 51.58% 15.15%
4 1901-09-14 91.95 Lisburn Distillery 10 1575 59.63% @ St Columbs Court 2 1349 25.28% 15.09%
5 1901-09-07 90.24 Derry Celtic 2 1328 18.05% @ St Columbs Court 0 1439 66.87% 15.08%
6 1901-10-05 83.06 @ Derry Celtic 2 1358 23.28% Cliftonville 0 1603 61.64% 15.07%
7 1901-08-31 69.92 @ Linfield 2 1463 33.40% Lisburn Distillery 0 1622 51.47% 15.13%
8 1901-08-31 62.59 @ Cliftonville 3 1504 55.34% St Columbs Court 0 1502 29.52% 15.14%
9 1901-09-21 58.39 Glentoran 4 1532 64.66% @ St Columbs Court 0 1257 20.29% 15.05%
10 1901-10-26 56.29 @ Linfield 2 1629 44.68% Glentoran 0 1707 40.17% 15.15%
11 1901-08-31 55.31 Glentoran 3 1575 38.31% @ Belfast Celtic 1 1510 46.53% 15.15%
12 1901-10-05 54.19 Linfield 3 1719 59.80% @ Belfast Celtic 0 1491 25.12% 15.09%
13 1901-10-26 54.14 @ Belfast Celtic 6 1440 66.66% Ulster 1 1331 18.26% 15.08%
14 1901-12-14 42.52 @ Derry Celtic 2 1450 21.82% Glentoran 1 1709 63.12% 15.06%
15 1901-10-05 42.30 Glentoran 2 1608 22.13% @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1676 62.76% 15.11%
16 1901-12-07 41.28 @ Glentoran 3 1668 51.72% Lisburn Distillery 1 1695 33.13% 15.15%
17 1901-09-14 41.24 Glentoran 2 1491 23.69% @ Cliftonville 1 1543 61.19% 15.12%
18 1901-10-12 38.23 Belfast Celtic 5 1437 60.76% @ St Columbs Court 2 1200 24.16% 15.08%
19 1901-10-26 36.59 Lisburn Distillery 2 1669 30.81% @ Cliftonville 1 1660 54.05% 15.14%
20 1901-10-19 35.35 @ Glentoran 4 1672 73.20% Belfast Celtic 0 1475 11.81% 14.99%
21 1901-12-14 30.65 @ Linfield 2 1752 64.72% Cliftonville 0 1664 20.18% 15.10%
22 1901-10-26 28.71 @ Derry Celtic 7 1420 77.32% St Columbs Court 1 1144 7.80% 14.89%
23 1901-08-31 27.97 Ulster 2 1468 44.97% @ Derry Celtic 1 1356 39.89% 15.15%
24 1901-11-02 24.08 @ Derry Celtic 3 1448 49.22% Belfast Celtic 2 1494 35.63% 15.15%
25 1901-12-07 24.08 @ Linfield 4 1728 77.21% Belfast Celtic 0 1454 7.90% 14.89%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1901-11-02 81.1 @ Glentoran 3 1651 58.34% Cliftonville 3 1624 26.53% 15.13%
2 1901-11-30 70.3 @ Derry Celtic 1 1453 22.95% Lisburn Distillery 1 1701 61.98% 15.07%
3 1901-09-21 70.1 @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1667 72.65% Belfast Celtic 1 1479 12.35% 15.01%
4 1901-10-05 69.4 Glentoran 2 1608 22.13% @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1676 62.76% 15.11%
5 1901-11-23 67.9 @ Belfast Celtic 0 1470 23.97% Lisburn Distillery 0 1708 60.95% 15.08%
6 1901-10-26 67.4 Lisburn Distillery 2 1669 30.81% @ Cliftonville 1 1660 54.05% 15.14%
7 1901-12-14 67.0 @ Derry Celtic 2 1450 21.82% Glentoran 1 1709 63.12% 15.06%
8 1901-09-28 65.4 @ Belfast Celtic 0 1490 39.63% Cliftonville 0 1604 45.23% 15.15%
9 1901-09-07 63.2 @ Ulster 1 1496 59.89% Belfast Celtic 1 1455 24.99% 15.13%
10 1901-09-14 62.3 Glentoran 2 1491 23.69% @ Cliftonville 1 1543 61.19% 15.12%
11 1901-09-07 61.9 Linfield 5 1533 19.26% @ Glentoran 1 1631 65.65% 15.09%
12 1901-10-19 61.8 @ Ulster 2 1331 43.23% Derry Celtic 2 1420 41.62% 15.15%
13 1901-10-12 61.0 @ Cliftonville 3 1520 22.40% Linfield 0 1773 62.53% 15.07%
14 1901-10-19 59.8 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1647 54.64% Linfield 1 1651 30.22% 15.14%
15 1901-12-07 59.5 @ Glentoran 3 1668 51.72% Lisburn Distillery 1 1695 33.13% 15.15%
16 1901-08-31 57.8 Glentoran 3 1575 38.31% @ Belfast Celtic 1 1510 46.53% 15.15%
17 1901-10-26 57.1 @ Linfield 2 1629 44.68% Glentoran 0 1707 40.17% 15.15%
18 1901-09-07 56.3 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1553 53.41% Cliftonville 1 1566 31.45% 15.15%
19 1901-10-05 55.7 @ Ulster 1 1355 71.08% St Columbs Court 1 1190 13.89% 15.03%
20 1901-11-02 55.6 @ Derry Celtic 3 1448 49.22% Belfast Celtic 2 1494 35.63% 15.15%
21 1901-10-12 55.5 Lisburn Distillery 4 1634 65.98% @ Ulster 3 1345 18.99% 15.03%
22 1901-08-31 55.1 @ Linfield 2 1463 33.40% Lisburn Distillery 0 1622 51.47% 15.13%
23 1901-09-14 54.1 @ Linfield 4 1673 72.34% Ulster 2 1490 12.65% 15.01%
24 1901-10-05 53.6 @ Derry Celtic 2 1358 23.28% Cliftonville 0 1603 61.64% 15.07%
25 1901-11-23 52.2 Linfield 1 1706 60.35% @ Derry Celtic 0 1473 24.56% 15.08%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1901-12-14 24.5 @ Belfast Celtic 4 1430 80.06% St Columbs Court 0 1079 5.19% 14.76%
2 1901-10-26 27.7 @ Derry Celtic 7 1420 77.32% St Columbs Court 1 1144 7.80% 14.89%
3 1901-11-23 27.9 @ Glentoran 7 1648 83.78% St Columbs Court 1 1112 1.88% 14.34%
4 1901-11-30 28.7 @ Linfield 3 1725 84.72% St Columbs Court 0 1105 1.17% 14.11%
5 1901-09-21 32.1 Glentoran 4 1532 64.66% @ St Columbs Court 0 1257 20.29% 15.05%
6 1901-10-19 32.5 Cliftonville 5 1642 78.07% @ St Columbs Court 1 1162 7.18% 14.75%
7 1901-11-02 32.9 @ Lisburn Distillery 4 1706 84.43% St Columbs Court 1 1115 1.38% 14.19%
8 1901-10-26 34.0 @ Belfast Celtic 6 1440 66.66% Ulster 1 1331 18.26% 15.08%
9 1901-12-14 34.8 @ Lisburn Distillery 5 1653 81.12% Ulster 1 1263 4.20% 14.68%
10 1901-11-23 36.2 @ Cliftonville 1 1627 80.61% Ulster 0 1256 4.67% 14.72%
11 1901-09-21 37.9 @ Linfield 4 1688 77.85% Derry Celtic 0 1400 7.28% 14.87%
12 1901-09-28 39.1 Linfield 3 1711 79.27% @ St Columbs Court 1 1199 6.04% 14.69%
13 1901-09-14 39.8 Lisburn Distillery 10 1575 59.63% @ St Columbs Court 2 1349 25.28% 15.09%
14 1901-09-28 40.2 @ Lisburn Distillery 5 1656 77.45% Derry Celtic 1 1377 7.67% 14.88%
15 1901-11-02 40.3 Linfield 4 1685 74.65% @ Ulster 1 1277 10.48% 14.87%
16 1901-10-12 40.7 Belfast Celtic 5 1437 60.76% @ St Columbs Court 2 1200 24.16% 15.08%
17 1901-12-07 40.8 @ Linfield 4 1728 77.21% Belfast Celtic 0 1454 7.90% 14.89%
18 1901-10-19 41.1 @ Glentoran 4 1672 73.20% Belfast Celtic 0 1475 11.81% 14.99%
19 1901-08-31 43.3 @ Cliftonville 3 1504 55.34% St Columbs Court 0 1502 29.52% 15.14%
20 1901-09-28 44.0 @ Glentoran 5 1590 74.44% Ulster 2 1373 10.59% 14.97%
21 1901-11-30 44.7 Glentoran 4 1655 74.30% @ Ulster 2 1252 10.82% 14.88%
22 1901-11-30 44.8 @ Cliftonville 2 1631 70.32% Belfast Celtic 0 1477 14.64% 15.04%
23 1901-10-12 45.2 @ Glentoran 4 1650 73.96% Derry Celtic 1 1441 11.06% 14.98%
24 1901-09-14 45.9 @ Belfast Celtic 2 1461 60.11% Derry Celtic 1 1418 24.77% 15.13%
25 1901-12-07 46.6 @ Cliftonville 1 1654 73.04% Derry Celtic 0 1460 11.96% 15.00%