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1927-28 Irish League Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Belfast Celtic

45 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Newry Town

5.87 points above expected

33 points · 27.13 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Queens Island

6.96 points below expected

17 points · 23.96 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Belfast Celtic 26 20 5 1 45 101 35 +66 39.26 +5.74
2 Linfield 26 18 5 3 41 88 34 +54 35.43 +5.57
3 Newry Town 26 13 7 6 33 55 30 +25 27.13 +5.87
4 Larne 26 13 4 9 30 63 55 +8 30.35 -0.35
5 Glentoran 26 12 5 9 29 63 65 -2 28.34 +0.66
6 Coleraine 26 12 3 11 27 57 60 -3 24.22 +2.78
7 Lisburn Distillery 26 9 7 10 25 45 44 +1 27.64 -2.64
8 Portadown 26 10 3 13 23 61 58 +3 24.74 -1.74
9 Glenavon 26 9 5 12 23 63 68 -5 24.07 -1.07
10 Bangor 26 9 5 12 23 57 69 -12 22.30 +0.70
11 Ards 26 8 5 13 21 54 69 -15 25.59 -4.59
12 Queens Island 26 5 7 14 17 46 70 -24 23.96 -6.96
13 Barn 26 5 4 17 14 38 91 -53 13.82 +0.18
14 Cliftonville 26 5 3 18 13 29 72 -43 17.15 -4.15

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Newry Town 33 27.13 +5.87
2 Belfast Celtic 45 39.26 +5.74
3 Linfield 41 35.43 +5.57
4 Coleraine 27 24.22 +2.78
5 Bangor 23 22.30 +0.70

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Queens Island 17 23.96 -6.96
2 Ards 21 25.59 -4.59
3 Cliftonville 13 17.15 -4.15
4 Lisburn Distillery 25 27.64 -2.64
5 Portadown 23 24.74 -1.74

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Larne 5 Aug 27 – Sep 24 1 in 72
2 Linfield 7 Nov 5 – Dec 24 1 in 27
3 Cliftonville 2 Oct 29 – Nov 5 1 in 17
4 Belfast Celtic 8 Dec 27 – Mar 29 1 in 14
5 Coleraine 2 Oct 15 – Oct 29 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Portadown 7 Oct 1 – Nov 19 1 in 438
2 Bangor 5 Sep 24 – Oct 29 1 in 326
3 Cliftonville 7 Sep 3 – Oct 15 1 in 270
4 Larne 3 Dec 31 – Jan 21 1 in 28
5 Glenavon 4 Jan 25 – Feb 18 1 in 27

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Newry Town 8 Oct 1 – Dec 3 1 in 87
2 Bangor 6 Dec 3 – Dec 27 1 in 84
3 Barn 4 Oct 8 – Nov 5 1 in 40
4 Belfast Celtic 23 Sep 10 – Mar 29 1 in 38
5 Queens Island 4 Nov 19 – Dec 17 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Queens Island 8 Dec 24 – Jan 28 1 in 67
2 Newry Town 6 Dec 3 – Dec 27 1 in 35
3 Bangor 5 Sep 24 – Oct 29 1 in 25
4 Portadown 7 Oct 1 – Nov 19 1 in 24
5 Larne 5 Nov 5 – Dec 17 1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Belfast Celtic 1873 45 +63 10 8.1 +1.9
Linfield 1798 41 +45 9 7.4 +1.6
Newry Town 1628 33 +45 8 6.6 +1.4
Larne 1527 30 +9 7 6.9 +0.1
Glentoran 1524 29 +26 7 4.7 +2.3
Coleraine 1482 27 +7 5 4.8 +0.2
Lisburn Distillery 1500 25 -47 4 5.2 -1.2
Bangor 1465 23 +38 6 5.3 +0.7
Portadown 1492 23 -27 3 5.0 -2.0
Glenavon 1417 23 -59 2 3.7 -1.7
Ards 1414 21 -59 2 3.5 -1.5
Queens Island 1395 17 -6 4 4.6 -0.6
Barn 1214 14 -17 2 2.3 -0.3
Cliftonville 1272 13 -8 2 2.1 -0.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARD BAN BAR BC CLI COL GLE GLE LAR LIN LD NT POR QI
Ards —
0-1-1
3.18
2-0-0
4.30
0-0-2
1.13
2-0-0
3.78
0-0-2
3.03
1-0-1
3.19
1-1-0
2.57
0-0-2
2.51
0-1-1
1.32
0-1-1
2.64
0-1-1
2.82
1-0-1
2.73
1-0-1
2.74
Bangor
1-1-0
2.43
 —
1-0-1
4.00
0-0-2
1.02
0-1-1
3.68
2-0-0
2.74
2-0-0
2.28
0-0-2
2.30
1-0-1
1.95
0-0-2
1.47
0-1-1
2.38
1-1-0
2.42
1-0-1
2.59
0-1-1
2.51
Barn
0-0-2
1.32
1-0-1
1.62
 —
0-0-2
0.75
1-0-1
2.12
0-0-2
1.68
0-1-1
1.71
1-0-1
1.34
0-1-1
1.09
0-1-1
1.06
1-0-1
1.22
0-0-2
1.02
0-0-2
1.71
1-1-0
1.73
Belfast Celtic
2-0-0
4.49
2-0-0
4.62
2-0-0
4.90
 —
2-0-0
5.00
1-0-1
4.03
2-0-0
4.35
2-0-0
4.17
2-0-0
3.63
0-2-0
3.15
1-1-0
4.49
2-0-0
4.13
1-1-0
4.36
1-1-0
4.84
Cliftonville
0-0-2
1.83
1-1-0
1.92
1-0-1
3.49
0-0-2
0.65
 —
1-0-1
2.03
0-0-2
2.29
0-0-2
2.08
0-1-1
1.30
0-0-2
1.16
0-0-2
1.66
0-0-2
1.33
1-0-1
2.32
1-1-0
2.01
Coleraine
2-0-0
2.57
0-0-2
2.87
2-0-0
3.93
1-0-1
1.59
1-0-1
3.58
 —
1-1-0
3.06
1-0-1
2.20
2-0-0
1.84
0-0-2
1.37
0-0-2
2.78
0-0-2
2.46
1-1-0
2.50
1-1-0
2.59
Glenavon
1-0-1
2.41
0-0-2
3.32
1-1-0
3.90
0-0-2
1.27
2-0-0
3.32
0-1-1
2.55
 —
0-1-1
2.26
1-0-1
1.88
0-0-2
1.63
2-0-0
2.41
1-1-0
2.29
0-1-1
2.59
1-0-1
3.08
Glentoran
0-1-1
3.04
2-0-0
3.30
1-0-1
4.28
0-0-2
1.44
2-0-0
3.53
1-0-1
3.41
1-1-0
3.35
 —
1-0-1
2.63
0-0-2
2.44
1-1-0
2.66
0-1-1
2.74
2-0-0
3.07
1-1-0
3.51
Larne
2-0-0
3.10
1-0-1
3.66
1-1-0
4.54
0-0-2
1.98
1-1-0
4.32
0-0-2
3.77
1-0-1
3.73
1-0-1
2.98
 —
1-0-1
1.74
1-1-0
2.73
1-1-0
3.16
1-0-1
3.10
2-0-0
3.14
Linfield
1-1-0
4.29
2-0-0
4.14
1-1-0
4.58
0-2-0
2.45
2-0-0
4.46
2-0-0
4.24
2-0-0
3.99
2-0-0
3.17
1-0-1
3.87
 —
0-1-1
3.87
1-0-1
3.58
2-0-0
4.12
2-0-0
3.89
Lisburn Distillery
1-1-0
2.97
1-1-0
3.23
1-0-1
4.40
0-1-1
1.14
2-0-0
3.96
2-0-0
2.83
0-0-2
3.20
0-1-1
2.95
0-1-1
2.87
1-1-0
1.74
 —
0-1-1
3.12
0-0-2
3.18
1-0-1
3.10
Newry Town
1-1-0
2.79
0-1-1
3.19
2-0-0
4.60
0-0-2
1.49
2-0-0
4.30
2-0-0
3.15
0-1-1
3.32
1-1-0
2.86
0-1-1
2.45
1-0-1
2.03
1-1-0
2.48
 —
2-0-0
2.98
1-1-0
3.05
Portadown
1-0-1
2.88
1-0-1
3.01
2-0-0
3.90
0-1-1
1.26
1-0-1
3.28
0-1-1
3.10
1-1-0
3.02
0-0-2
2.54
1-0-1
2.51
0-0-2
1.50
2-0-0
2.43
0-0-2
2.62
 —
1-0-1
3.12
Queens Island
1-0-1
2.86
1-1-0
3.10
0-1-1
3.88
0-1-1
0.80
0-1-1
3.60
0-1-1
3.01
1-0-1
2.53
0-1-1
2.10
0-0-2
2.47
0-0-2
1.73
1-0-1
2.51
0-1-1
2.55
1-0-1
2.49
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.83 +4.6
Allowed 0.72 -4.5
Differential 0.95 +2.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.30%1.65%4.95%2.47%1.37%1.65%15.38%
11.65%8.24%4.12%4.12%2.47%3.57%24.18%
24.95%4.12%3.85%4.40%1.92%2.75%21.98%
32.47%4.12%4.40%2.75%1.92%1.92%17.58%
41.37%2.47%1.92%1.92%0.55%1.37%9.62%
5+1.65%3.57%2.75%1.92%1.37%—11.26%
Total15.38%24.18%21.98%17.58%9.62%11.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.25 2.25 +0.00
SD 1.77 1.77 2.61
CV 0.79 0.79 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%7.69%7.69%——26.92%
1—7.69%3.85%—3.85%—15.38%
23.85%————7.69%11.54%
3—15.38%—3.85%3.85%7.69%30.77%
4———3.85%—3.85%7.69%
5+—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
Total11.54%30.77%15.38%15.38%7.69%19.23%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.08 2.65 -0.58
SD 1.81 2.33 2.64
CV 0.87 0.88 —
Max 7 8 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——7.69%3.85%——11.54%
13.85%15.38%———3.85%23.08%
2—3.85%3.85%7.69%7.69%3.85%26.92%
3—11.54%———3.85%15.38%
4——3.85%7.69%—7.69%19.23%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total3.85%34.62%15.38%19.23%7.69%19.23%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.19 2.65 -0.46
SD 1.41 1.94 2.10
CV 0.65 0.73 —
Max 5 8 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——3.85%—3.85%7.69%15.38%
1—7.69%3.85%15.38%—15.38%42.31%
23.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%7.69%30.77%
3——3.85%3.85%——7.69%
4———————
5+———3.85%——3.85%
Total3.85%15.38%15.38%26.92%7.69%30.77%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 3.50 -2.04
SD 1.10 2.14 2.68
CV 0.76 0.61 —
Max 5 8 +2
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
13.85%7.69%————11.54%
27.69%3.85%7.69%3.85%——23.08%
33.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
43.85%3.85%—3.85%——11.54%
5+15.38%3.85%7.69%7.69%3.85%—38.46%
Total34.62%23.08%19.23%19.23%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.88 1.35 +2.54
SD 2.14 1.26 2.42
CV 0.55 0.94 —
Max 8 4 +8
Min 1 0 -1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——23.08%3.85%—3.85%30.77%
1—7.69%3.85%7.69%7.69%11.54%38.46%
23.85%7.69%—3.85%—3.85%19.23%
3——7.69%3.85%——11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total3.85%15.38%34.62%19.23%7.69%19.23%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 2.77 -1.65
SD 0.99 1.63 2.00
CV 0.89 0.59 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——3.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%19.23%
13.85%3.85%7.69%11.54%3.85%—30.77%
27.69%—3.85%———11.54%
33.85%—7.69%3.85%——15.38%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+—3.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%—19.23%
Total15.38%11.54%30.77%23.08%15.38%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.19 2.31 -0.12
SD 1.94 1.59 2.83
CV 0.88 0.69 —
Max 6 7 +5
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—3.85%3.85%3.85%—15.38%
1—3.85%———3.85%7.69%
23.85%3.85%7.69%7.69%7.69%—30.77%
3—3.85%3.85%3.85%7.69%7.69%26.92%
4—3.85%3.85%3.85%——11.54%
5+—3.85%—3.85%——7.69%
Total7.69%19.23%19.23%23.08%19.23%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.42 2.62 -0.19
SD 1.63 1.50 2.26
CV 0.67 0.57 —
Max 7 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—3.85%———7.69%
1—7.69%———11.54%19.23%
27.69%3.85%3.85%7.69%—7.69%30.77%
3—7.69%7.69%———15.38%
43.85%3.85%3.85%—3.85%3.85%19.23%
5+——3.85%—3.85%—7.69%
Total15.38%23.08%23.08%7.69%7.69%23.08%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.42 2.50 -0.08
SD 1.42 2.00 2.50
CV 0.59 0.80 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—3.85%——3.85%11.54%
1—3.85%3.85%7.69%——15.38%
27.69%7.69%3.85%7.69%——26.92%
33.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%7.69%—26.92%
4——3.85%7.69%——11.54%
5+—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
Total15.38%19.23%26.92%26.92%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.42 2.12 +0.31
SD 1.60 1.56 2.36
CV 0.66 0.74 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%————7.69%
13.85%11.54%————15.38%
23.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
37.69%7.69%——3.85%—19.23%
4—11.54%————11.54%
5+3.85%15.38%—3.85%7.69%—30.77%
Total23.08%53.85%3.85%7.69%11.54%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.38 1.31 +2.08
SD 2.26 1.26 2.08
CV 0.67 0.96 —
Max 8 4 +7
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—3.85%7.69%3.85%—19.23%
1—11.54%11.54%3.85%3.85%—30.77%
27.69%3.85%7.69%3.85%——23.08%
37.69%—7.69%3.85%——19.23%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total23.08%19.23%30.77%19.23%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.69 +0.04
SD 1.43 1.26 2.24
CV 0.83 0.74 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%3.85%3.85%3.85%——26.92%
17.69%7.69%3.85%———19.23%
23.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
33.85%3.85%———3.85%11.54%
47.69%7.69%————15.38%
5+—3.85%3.85%3.85%——11.54%
Total38.46%30.77%15.38%11.54%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.12 1.15 +0.96
SD 1.93 1.29 2.11
CV 0.91 1.12 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%————7.69%
1—11.54%7.69%7.69%7.69%—34.62%
23.85%7.69%——7.69%3.85%23.08%
3——7.69%—3.85%—11.54%
4——3.85%——3.85%7.69%
5+3.85%3.85%7.69%———15.38%
Total7.69%30.77%26.92%7.69%19.23%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.35 2.23 +0.12
SD 1.83 1.48 2.39
CV 0.78 0.66 —
Max 7 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%3.85%——3.85%15.38%
1—7.69%11.54%3.85%7.69%3.85%34.62%
23.85%—3.85%7.69%—3.85%19.23%
33.85%—3.85%7.69%—3.85%19.23%
4——7.69%—3.85%—11.54%
5+———————
Total11.54%11.54%30.77%19.23%11.54%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 2.69 -0.92
SD 1.27 1.85 2.23
CV 0.72 0.69 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Belfast Celtic 1873 45 39.26 +5.74 94.0% 31 32 37 39 41 46 50
Linfield 1798 41 35.43 +5.57 91.0% 26 27 33 35 38 43 46
Newry Town 1628 33 27.13 +5.87 91.0% 14 19 25 27 30 35 38
Larne 1527 30 30.35 -0.35 56.0% 21 25 28 30 32 36 38
Glentoran 1524 29 28.34 +0.66 60.0% 19 21 25 28 31 36 40
Lisburn Distillery 1500 25 27.64 -2.64 31.0% 17 20 24 28 31 34 37
Portadown 1492 23 24.74 -1.74 40.0% 14 17 21 25 28 32 37
Coleraine 1482 27 24.22 +2.78 79.0% 10 16 22 25 27 30 36
Bangor 1465 23 22.30 +0.70 64.0% 11 16 19 21 25 30 35
Glenavon 1417 23 24.07 -1.07 47.0% 14 17 21 24 27 30 34
Ards 1414 21 25.59 -4.59 14.0% 14 19 23 26 29 31 36
Queens Island 1395 17 23.96 -6.96 9.0% 12 16 21 24 27 31 36
Cliftonville 1272 13 17.15 -4.15 16.0% 9 12 15 17 20 22 23
Barn 1214 14 13.82 +0.18 53.0% 6 8 11 14 16 20 22

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+21.98%
Strong Edge
51.65%18.68%29.67%
Elo Value
Home Edge
129 Elo
0.008 goals per Elo point
077.63400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.68 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.60+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.7
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
72%
Belfast Celtic, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.15/gm
Tight Race
00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.26 * Some Luck: 3.26 to 4.9 * Lucky: 4.9 to 6.53 * Wild Swing: 6.53 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.52 * Close: 1.52 to 2.28 * Off: 2.28 to 3.04 * Way Off: 3.04 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.83 points
Some Luck
04.0810
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.43
Pinpoint
01.904
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
94.00%
Belfast Celtic
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
9.00%
Queens Island
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Balanced
00.190.250.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 176.83
2.01
Moderate Separation
11.852.253
Interquartile Edge
66%
Even
50%70%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 98%
98%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
45%
Few
0%44%100%
Blowouts
Expected
30%
Very Frequent
0%34%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.54
Highly Predictable
00.552
Matchup Imbalance
0.46
Notable Separation
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.86
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.46
Weak Carryover
00.470.620.761
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Very Upset-Prone
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.35
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.04
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.085
Well Within Noise
00.1150.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Belfast Celtic72.00%24.00%3.00%1.00%——————————
Linfield23.00%47.00%13.00%7.00%4.00%4.00%—2.00%——————
Newry Town—7.00%8.00%16.00%12.00%11.00%13.00%7.00%12.00%3.00%6.00%4.00%1.00%—
Larne1.00%8.00%27.00%24.00%13.00%12.00%5.00%7.00%—1.00%1.00%1.00%——
Glentoran4.00%7.00%11.00%15.00%11.00%15.00%11.00%8.00%8.00%3.00%4.00%3.00%——
Coleraine——3.00%1.00%9.00%5.00%22.00%6.00%18.00%13.00%6.00%9.00%4.00%4.00%
Lisburn Distillery—5.00%15.00%17.00%11.00%8.00%10.00%9.00%6.00%13.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%—
Portadown—1.00%6.00%1.00%12.00%13.00%13.00%9.00%8.00%11.00%13.00%8.00%5.00%—
Glenavon——4.00%3.00%6.00%6.00%11.00%15.00%15.00%16.00%9.00%11.00%3.00%1.00%
Bangor——1.00%5.00%4.00%5.00%2.00%12.00%9.00%8.00%15.00%25.00%10.00%4.00%
Ards—1.00%5.00%7.00%10.00%8.00%10.00%16.00%9.00%13.00%16.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%
Queens Island——4.00%3.00%8.00%13.00%3.00%9.00%13.00%13.00%12.00%12.00%8.00%2.00%
Barn—————————1.00%5.00%4.00%24.00%66.00%
Cliftonville————————2.00%5.00%11.00%18.00%43.00%21.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Ards 100%
Bangor 100%
Barn 100%
Belfast Celtic 100%
Cliftonville 100%
Coleraine 100%
Glenavon 100%
Glentoran 100%
Larne 100%
Linfield 100%
Lisburn Distillery 100%
Newry Town 100%
Portadown 100%
Queens Island 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1927-08-20 Bangor D 1-162.2 1495 1500 55.18% 19.75% 25.07%+0.57 -2.3 1
1927-08-20 @ Ards D 1-162.2 1500 1495 25.07% 19.75% 55.18%-0.57 +2.3 1
1927-08-20 Cliftonville W 4-142.7 1500 1468 59.11% 19.67% 21.22%+0.85 +19.0 2
1927-08-20 @ Coleraine L 1-442.7 1468 1500 21.22% 19.67% 59.11%-0.85 -19.0 0
1927-08-20 Belfast Celtic L 1-357.8 1529 1649 40.17% 19.80% 40.03%-0.33 -22.9 0
1927-08-20 @ Larne W 3-157.8 1649 1529 40.03% 19.80% 40.17%+0.33 +22.9 2
1927-08-20 Glentoran W 6-145.4 1534 1542 54.70% 19.76% 25.54%+0.54 +35.2 2
1927-08-20 @ Linfield L 1-645.4 1542 1534 25.54% 19.76% 54.70%-0.54 -35.2 0
1927-08-20 Glenavon L 3-560.4 1452 1409 60.15% 19.64% 20.21%+0.93 -27.8 0
1927-08-20 @ Newry Town W 5-360.4 1409 1452 20.21% 19.64% 60.15%-0.93 +27.8 2
1927-08-20 Barn W 5-132.2 1497 1305 71.42% 18.97% 9.60%+2.09 +11.9 2
1927-08-20 @ Portadown L 1-532.2 1305 1497 9.60% 18.97% 71.42%-2.09 -11.9 0
1927-08-20 Lisburn Distillery L 1-263.4 1563 1557 56.39% 19.73% 23.88%+0.65 -17.8 0
1927-08-20 @ Queens Island W 2-163.4 1557 1563 23.88% 19.73% 56.39%-0.65 +17.8 2
1927-08-27 Queens Island L 2-460.9 1502 1546 50.49% 19.80% 29.71%+0.27 -24.9 1
1927-08-27 @ Bangor W 4-260.9 1546 1502 29.71% 19.80% 50.49%-0.27 +24.9 2
1927-08-27 Linfield D 1-157.7 1293 1569 21.00% 19.37% 59.63%-1.54 +3.0 1
1927-08-27 @ Barn D 1-157.7 1569 1293 59.63% 19.37% 21.00%+1.54 -3.0 3
1927-08-27 Newry Town W 3-251.6 1672 1424 74.21% 18.61% 7.18%+2.52 +2.7 4
1927-08-27 @ Belfast Celtic L 2-351.6 1424 1672 7.18% 18.61% 74.21%-2.52 -2.7 0
1927-08-27 Portadown W 2-150.3 1449 1509 48.33% 19.81% 31.85%+0.13 +11.0 2
1927-08-27 @ Cliftonville L 1-250.3 1509 1449 31.85% 19.81% 48.33%-0.13 -10.9 2
1927-08-27 Coleraine D 2-264.4 1437 1519 45.45% 19.82% 34.73%-0.03 -0.6 3
1927-08-27 @ Glenavon D 2-264.4 1519 1437 34.73% 19.82% 45.45%+0.03 +0.6 3
1927-08-27 Ards D 0-059.8 1507 1493 57.22% 19.71% 23.06%+0.71 -3.0 1
1927-08-27 @ Glentoran D 0-059.8 1493 1507 23.06% 19.71% 57.22%-0.71 +3.0 2
1927-08-27 Lisburn Distillery W 3-046.4 1506 1575 47.25% 19.82% 32.93%+0.07 +32.7 2
1927-08-27 @ Larne L 0-346.4 1575 1506 32.93% 19.82% 47.25%-0.07 -32.7 2
1927-09-03 Queens Island W 7-147.2 1496 1570 46.48% 19.82% 33.71%+0.03 +52.5 4
1927-09-03 @ Ards L 1-747.2 1570 1496 33.71% 19.82% 46.48%-0.03 -52.5 2
1927-09-03 Belfast Celtic W 3-266.0 1519 1674 35.24% 19.75% 45.01%-0.60 +13.8 5
1927-09-03 @ Coleraine L 2-366.0 1674 1519 45.01% 19.75% 35.24%+0.60 -13.8 4
1927-09-03 Barn W 4-027.9 1504 1296 72.29% 18.87% 8.83%+2.22 +13.2 3
1927-09-03 @ Glentoran L 0-427.9 1296 1504 8.83% 18.87% 72.29%-2.22 -13.2 1
1927-09-03 Bangor W 3-252.4 1539 1477 61.95% 19.58% 18.46%+1.08 +6.5 4
1927-09-03 @ Larne L 2-352.4 1477 1539 18.46% 19.58% 61.95%-1.08 -6.5 1
1927-09-03 Cliftonville W 5-141.2 1566 1460 65.78% 19.41% 14.81%+1.43 +17.8 5
1927-09-03 @ Linfield L 1-541.2 1460 1566 14.81% 19.41% 65.78%-1.43 -17.8 2
1927-09-03 Lisburn Distillery W 4-042.5 1421 1542 40.02% 19.80% 40.18%-0.33 +50.1 2
1927-09-03 @ Newry Town L 0-442.5 1542 1421 40.18% 19.80% 40.02%+0.33 -50.1 2
1927-09-03 Glenavon W 3-249.4 1498 1436 61.96% 19.58% 18.46%+1.08 +6.5 4
1927-09-03 @ Portadown L 2-349.4 1436 1498 18.46% 19.58% 61.96%-1.08 -6.5 3
1927-09-10 Newry Town W 2-147.5 1471 1471 55.59% 19.74% 24.67%+0.60 +8.8 3
1927-09-10 @ Bangor L 1-247.5 1471 1471 24.67% 19.74% 55.59%-0.60 -8.8 2
1927-09-10 Ards L 1-340.8 1283 1549 22.03% 19.42% 58.55%-1.46 -13.8 1
1927-09-10 @ Barn W 3-140.8 1549 1283 58.55% 19.42% 22.03%+1.46 +13.8 6
1927-09-10 Portadown D 1-168.0 1660 1504 69.28% 19.18% 11.54%+1.81 -4.8 5
1927-09-10 @ Belfast Celtic D 1-168.0 1504 1660 11.54% 19.18% 69.28%-1.81 +4.8 5
1927-09-10 Glentoran L 0-248.5 1442 1517 46.29% 19.82% 33.89%+0.01 -29.7 2
1927-09-10 @ Cliftonville W 2-048.5 1517 1442 33.89% 19.82% 46.29%-0.01 +29.7 5
1927-09-10 Lisburn Distillery L 0-352.4 1533 1492 60.02% 19.65% 20.34%+0.92 -54.9 5
1927-09-10 @ Coleraine W 3-052.4 1492 1533 20.34% 19.65% 60.02%-0.92 +54.9 4
1927-09-10 Linfield L 3-558.3 1430 1584 35.33% 19.75% 44.92%-0.59 -17.4 3
1927-09-10 @ Glenavon W 5-358.3 1584 1430 44.92% 19.75% 35.33%+0.59 +17.4 7
1927-09-10 Larne L 1-358.0 1518 1545 52.47% 19.79% 27.74%+0.39 -28.8 2
1927-09-10 @ Queens Island W 3-158.0 1545 1518 27.74% 19.79% 52.47%-0.39 +28.8 6
1927-09-17 Larne L 1-263.3 1562 1574 54.34% 19.76% 25.90%+0.51 -17.2 6
1927-09-17 @ Ards W 2-163.3 1574 1562 25.90% 19.76% 54.34%-0.51 +17.2 8
1927-09-17 Cliftonville W 2-146.9 1269 1412 36.92% 19.77% 43.30%-0.50 +14.0 3
1927-09-17 @ Barn L 1-246.9 1412 1269 43.30% 19.77% 36.92%+0.50 -14.0 2
1927-09-17 Bangor L 1-355.0 1478 1480 55.51% 19.75% 24.74%+0.59 -30.4 5
1927-09-17 @ Coleraine W 3-155.0 1480 1478 24.74% 19.75% 55.51%-0.59 +30.4 5
1927-09-17 Glenavon W 3-248.5 1547 1412 67.86% 19.29% 12.86%+1.65 +4.7 7
1927-09-17 @ Glentoran L 2-348.5 1412 1547 12.86% 19.29% 67.86%-1.65 -4.7 3
1927-09-17 Belfast Celtic D 2-273.5 1601 1656 49.11% 19.81% 31.08%+0.18 -1.0 8
1927-09-17 @ Linfield D 2-273.5 1656 1601 31.08% 19.81% 49.11%-0.18 +1.0 6
1927-09-17 Queens Island W 4-144.1 1463 1489 52.58% 19.78% 27.63%+0.40 +23.8 4
1927-09-17 @ Newry Town L 1-444.1 1489 1463 27.63% 19.78% 52.58%-0.40 -23.8 2
1927-09-17 Lisburn Distillery W 2-046.9 1509 1547 51.22% 19.80% 28.98%+0.31 +20.2 7
1927-09-17 @ Portadown L 0-246.9 1547 1509 28.98% 19.80% 51.22%-0.31 -20.2 4
1927-09-24 Portadown L 2-461.4 1510 1529 53.41% 19.78% 26.81%+0.45 -26.2 5
1927-09-24 @ Bangor W 4-261.4 1529 1510 26.81% 19.78% 53.41%-0.45 +26.2 9
1927-09-24 Glentoran W 6-250.0 1657 1552 65.63% 19.42% 14.94%+1.42 +15.2 8
1927-09-24 @ Belfast Celtic L 2-650.0 1552 1657 14.94% 19.42% 65.63%-1.42 -15.2 7
1927-09-24 Ards L 0-244.9 1398 1545 36.27% 19.77% 43.96%-0.54 -24.3 2
1927-09-24 @ Cliftonville W 2-044.9 1545 1398 43.96% 19.77% 36.27%+0.54 +24.3 8
1927-09-24 Barn D 3-362.1 1408 1283 67.10% 19.34% 13.56%+1.57 -2.7 4
1927-09-24 @ Glenavon D 3-362.1 1283 1408 13.56% 19.34% 67.10%-1.57 +2.7 4
1927-09-24 Newry Town W 2-043.4 1591 1486 65.64% 19.42% 14.94%+1.42 +11.3 10
1927-09-24 @ Larne L 0-243.4 1486 1591 14.94% 19.42% 65.64%-1.42 -11.3 4
1927-09-24 Lisburn Distillery D 0-064.3 1600 1527 63.05% 19.54% 17.40%+1.18 -4.1 9
1927-09-24 @ Linfield D 0-064.3 1527 1600 17.40% 19.54% 63.05%-1.18 +4.1 5
1927-09-24 Coleraine D 3-367.0 1465 1448 57.58% 19.71% 22.71%+0.74 -1.7 3
1927-09-24 @ Queens Island D 3-367.0 1448 1465 22.71% 19.71% 57.58%-0.74 +1.7 6
1927-10-01 Newry Town D 0-061.5 1570 1475 64.81% 19.46% 15.73%+1.34 -4.4 9
1927-10-01 @ Ards D 0-061.5 1475 1570 15.73% 19.46% 64.81%-1.34 +4.4 5
1927-10-01 Belfast Celtic L 0-834.8 1286 1672 12.32% 18.76% 68.92%-2.39 -34.3 4
1927-10-01 @ Barn W 8-034.8 1672 1286 68.92% 18.76% 12.32%+2.39 +34.3 10
1927-10-01 Glenavon L 1-446.4 1374 1405 52.00% 19.79% 28.21%+0.36 -40.4 2
1927-10-01 @ Cliftonville W 4-146.4 1405 1374 28.21% 19.79% 52.00%-0.36 +40.4 6
1927-10-01 Larne W 3-261.7 1449 1603 35.47% 19.76% 44.77%-0.59 +13.7 8
1927-10-01 @ Coleraine L 2-361.7 1603 1449 44.77% 19.76% 35.47%+0.59 -13.7 10
1927-10-01 Lisburn Distillery W 4-147.2 1537 1531 56.34% 19.73% 23.93%+0.65 +21.1 9
1927-10-01 @ Glentoran L 1-447.2 1531 1537 23.93% 19.73% 56.34%-0.65 -21.1 5
1927-10-01 Bangor W 8-449.1 1596 1484 66.23% 19.39% 14.38%+1.48 +12.6 11
1927-10-01 @ Linfield L 4-849.1 1484 1596 14.38% 19.39% 66.23%-1.48 -12.6 5
1927-10-01 Queens Island L 2-464.0 1556 1464 64.61% 19.47% 15.92%+1.32 -31.6 9
1927-10-01 @ Portadown W 4-264.0 1464 1556 15.92% 19.47% 64.61%-1.32 +31.6 5
1927-10-08 Glentoran L 0-250.7 1471 1558 44.80% 19.82% 35.38%-0.07 -28.9 5
1927-10-08 @ Bangor W 2-050.7 1558 1471 35.38% 19.82% 44.80%+0.07 +28.9 11
1927-10-08 Lisburn Distillery W 2-152.4 1252 1510 22.82% 19.45% 57.73%-1.40 +18.2 6
1927-10-08 @ Barn L 1-252.4 1510 1252 57.73% 19.45% 22.82%+1.40 -18.2 5
1927-10-08 Cliftonville W 5-137.8 1706 1333 78.72% 17.59% 3.69%+3.50 +4.6 12
1927-10-08 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-537.8 1333 1706 3.69% 17.59% 78.72%-3.50 -4.6 2
1927-10-08 Ards W 2-048.6 1445 1565 40.15% 19.80% 40.05%-0.33 +26.4 8
1927-10-08 @ Glenavon L 0-248.6 1565 1445 40.05% 19.80% 40.15%+0.33 -26.4 9
1927-10-08 Portadown W 4-359.5 1589 1524 62.25% 19.57% 18.17%+1.11 +6.3 12
1927-10-08 @ Larne L 3-459.5 1524 1589 18.17% 19.57% 62.25%-1.11 -6.3 9
1927-10-08 Coleraine W 4-036.5 1480 1463 57.46% 19.71% 22.83%+0.73 +31.3 7
1927-10-08 @ Newry Town L 0-436.5 1463 1480 22.83% 19.71% 57.46%-0.73 -31.4 8
1927-10-08 Linfield L 1-453.6 1495 1609 41.01% 19.80% 39.19%-0.28 -32.9 5
1927-10-08 @ Queens Island W 4-153.6 1609 1495 39.19% 19.80% 41.01%+0.28 +32.9 13
1927-10-15 Coleraine L 0-157.6 1539 1432 65.80% 19.41% 14.79%+1.43 -22.0 9
1927-10-15 @ Ards W 1-057.6 1432 1539 14.79% 19.41% 65.80%-1.43 +22.0 10
1927-10-15 Bangor W 2-042.4 1270 1442 32.93% 19.72% 47.36%-0.73 +30.3 8
1927-10-15 @ Barn L 0-242.4 1442 1270 47.36% 19.72% 32.93%+0.73 -30.3 5
1927-10-15 Lisburn Distillery L 0-240.5 1329 1491 34.17% 19.74% 46.09%-0.66 -23.2 2
1927-10-15 @ Cliftonville W 2-040.5 1491 1329 46.09% 19.74% 34.17%+0.66 +23.2 7
1927-10-15 Belfast Celtic L 3-463.4 1472 1711 24.81% 19.52% 55.67%-1.25 -8.2 8
1927-10-15 @ Glenavon W 4-363.4 1711 1472 55.67% 19.52% 24.81%+1.25 +8.2 14
1927-10-15 Queens Island W 3-252.1 1587 1462 67.11% 19.34% 13.55%+1.57 +4.9 13
1927-10-15 @ Glentoran L 2-352.1 1462 1587 13.55% 19.34% 67.11%-1.57 -4.9 5
1927-10-15 Larne L 3-475.3 1642 1595 60.54% 19.63% 19.83%+0.96 -17.7 13
1927-10-15 @ Linfield W 4-375.3 1595 1642 19.83% 19.63% 60.54%-0.96 +17.7 14
1927-10-15 Newry Town L 0-157.1 1518 1511 56.44% 19.73% 23.83%+0.66 -18.9 9
1927-10-15 @ Portadown W 1-057.1 1511 1518 23.83% 19.73% 56.44%-0.66 +18.9 9
1927-10-29 Cliftonville L 2-358.1 1412 1305 65.75% 19.42% 14.83%+1.43 -19.7 5
1927-10-29 @ Bangor W 3-258.1 1305 1412 14.83% 19.42% 65.75%-1.43 +19.7 4
1927-10-29 Ards W 8-348.5 1719 1517 71.99% 18.91% 9.10%+2.17 +10.4 16
1927-10-29 @ Belfast Celtic L 3-848.5 1517 1719 9.10% 18.91% 71.99%-2.17 -10.4 9
1927-10-29 Portadown W 5-248.6 1454 1499 50.29% 19.80% 29.91%+0.25 +22.0 12
1927-10-29 @ Coleraine L 2-548.6 1499 1454 29.91% 19.80% 50.29%-0.25 -22.0 9
1927-10-29 Lisburn Distillery W 2-150.7 1464 1515 49.53% 19.81% 30.67%+0.21 +10.6 10
1927-10-29 @ Glenavon L 1-250.7 1515 1464 30.67% 19.81% 49.53%-0.21 -10.6 7
1927-10-29 Glentoran W 3-259.4 1613 1592 57.98% 19.70% 22.32%+0.77 +7.7 16
1927-10-29 @ Larne L 2-359.4 1592 1613 22.32% 19.70% 57.98%-0.77 -7.7 13
1927-10-29 Linfield W 1-055.2 1530 1624 43.73% 19.82% 36.45%-0.13 +13.0 11
1927-10-29 @ Newry Town L 0-155.2 1624 1530 36.45% 19.82% 43.73%+0.13 -13.0 13
1927-10-29 Barn D 2-259.0 1457 1300 69.34% 19.17% 11.48%+1.82 -3.6 6
1927-10-29 @ Queens Island D 2-259.0 1300 1457 11.48% 19.17% 69.34%-1.82 +3.6 9
1927-11-05 Portadown W 3-145.7 1506 1477 58.83% 19.68% 21.49%+0.83 +13.6 11
1927-11-05 @ Ards L 1-345.7 1477 1506 21.49% 19.68% 58.83%-0.83 -13.6 9
1927-11-05 Larne D 1-159.8 1304 1621 17.32% 19.18% 63.51%-1.86 +3.7 10
1927-11-05 @ Barn D 1-159.8 1621 1304 63.51% 19.18% 17.32%+1.86 -3.7 17
1927-11-05 Lisburn Distillery D 2-273.4 1729 1504 73.18% 18.76% 8.06%+2.35 -4.1 17
1927-11-05 @ Belfast Celtic D 2-273.4 1504 1729 8.06% 18.76% 73.18%-2.35 +4.1 8
1927-11-05 Queens Island W 2-147.9 1325 1454 38.89% 19.79% 41.32%-0.40 +13.5 6
1927-11-05 @ Cliftonville L 1-247.9 1454 1325 41.32% 19.79% 38.89%+0.40 -13.5 6
1927-11-05 Bangor L 2-458.4 1474 1392 63.76% 19.51% 16.73%+1.24 -31.1 10
1927-11-05 @ Glenavon W 4-258.4 1392 1474 16.73% 19.51% 63.76%-1.24 +31.1 7
1927-11-05 Newry Town D 1-166.8 1584 1543 60.01% 19.65% 20.35%+0.92 -3.1 14
1927-11-05 @ Glentoran D 1-166.8 1543 1584 20.35% 19.65% 60.01%-0.92 +3.1 12
1927-11-05 Coleraine W 7-039.0 1611 1476 67.89% 19.28% 12.83%+1.65 +31.7 15
1927-11-05 @ Linfield L 0-739.0 1476 1611 12.83% 19.28% 67.89%-1.65 -31.7 12
1927-11-12 Belfast Celtic L 2-649.6 1423 1725 18.57% 19.25% 62.18%-1.74 -18.4 7
1927-11-12 @ Bangor W 6-249.6 1725 1423 62.18% 19.25% 18.57%+1.74 +18.4 19
1927-11-12 Glentoran W 5-466.3 1444 1581 37.77% 19.78% 42.45%-0.46 +12.6 14
1927-11-12 @ Coleraine L 4-566.3 1581 1444 42.45% 19.78% 37.77%+0.46 -12.6 14
1927-11-12 Ards W 2-045.0 1508 1520 54.32% 19.76% 25.92%+0.51 +18.4 10
1927-11-12 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-245.0 1520 1508 25.92% 19.76% 54.32%-0.51 -18.4 11
1927-11-12 Barn W 6-236.0 1546 1308 73.79% 18.67% 7.54%+2.45 +8.0 14
1927-11-12 @ Newry Town L 2-636.0 1308 1546 7.54% 18.67% 73.79%-2.45 -8.0 10
1927-11-12 Linfield L 1-450.9 1463 1643 31.95% 19.70% 48.34%-0.79 -26.8 9
1927-11-12 @ Portadown W 4-150.9 1643 1463 48.34% 19.70% 31.95%+0.79 +26.8 17
1927-11-12 Glenavon L 2-358.8 1440 1443 55.36% 19.75% 24.89%+0.58 -16.6 6
1927-11-12 @ Queens Island W 3-258.8 1443 1440 24.89% 19.75% 55.36%-0.58 +16.6 12
1927-11-19 Coleraine L 2-642.3 1300 1457 34.92% 19.75% 45.33%-0.62 -31.6 10
1927-11-19 @ Barn W 6-242.3 1457 1300 45.33% 19.75% 34.92%+0.62 +31.6 16
1927-11-19 Queens Island D 3-376.2 1744 1424 77.06% 18.05% 4.89%+3.09 -3.8 20
1927-11-19 @ Belfast Celtic D 3-376.2 1424 1744 4.89% 18.05% 77.06%-3.09 +3.8 7
1927-11-19 Newry Town L 0-240.5 1339 1554 27.55% 19.61% 52.85%-1.07 -19.3 6
1927-11-19 @ Cliftonville W 2-040.5 1554 1339 52.85% 19.61% 27.55%+1.07 +19.3 16
1927-11-19 Larne W 4-366.5 1460 1617 34.91% 19.75% 45.34%-0.62 +13.5 14
1927-11-19 @ Glenavon L 3-466.5 1617 1460 45.34% 19.75% 34.91%+0.62 -13.5 17
1927-11-19 Portadown W 3-143.8 1568 1436 67.63% 19.30% 13.06%+1.62 +8.7 16
1927-11-19 @ Glentoran L 1-343.8 1436 1568 13.06% 19.30% 67.63%-1.62 -8.7 9
1927-11-19 Ards W 8-450.7 1670 1501 70.05% 19.11% 10.84%+1.91 +9.7 19
1927-11-19 @ Linfield L 4-850.7 1501 1670 10.84% 19.11% 70.05%-1.91 -9.7 11
1927-11-19 Bangor W 3-035.0 1526 1405 66.91% 19.35% 13.75%+1.55 +15.3 12
1927-11-19 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-335.0 1405 1526 13.75% 19.35% 66.91%-1.55 -15.3 7
1927-12-03 Ards W 4-357.2 1390 1492 42.66% 19.81% 37.53%-0.19 +11.6 9
1927-12-03 @ Bangor L 3-457.2 1492 1390 37.53% 19.81% 42.66%+0.19 -11.6 11
1927-12-03 Portadown L 1-244.5 1268 1428 34.57% 19.74% 45.69%-0.64 -11.7 10
1927-12-03 @ Barn W 2-144.5 1428 1268 45.69% 19.74% 34.57%+0.64 +11.7 11
1927-12-03 Larne W 7-044.4 1740 1603 67.98% 19.28% 12.74%+1.66 +31.5 22
1927-12-03 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-744.4 1603 1740 12.74% 19.28% 67.98%-1.66 -31.5 17
1927-12-03 Coleraine W 2-044.0 1319 1488 33.33% 19.73% 46.95%-0.71 +30.1 8
1927-12-03 @ Cliftonville L 0-244.0 1488 1319 46.95% 19.73% 33.33%+0.71 -30.1 16
1927-12-03 Newry Town D 0-061.5 1473 1573 42.94% 19.81% 37.25%-0.17 -0.5 15
1927-12-03 @ Glenavon D 0-061.5 1573 1473 37.25% 19.81% 42.94%+0.17 +0.5 17
1927-12-03 Linfield L 1-556.1 1577 1679 42.58% 19.81% 37.61%-0.19 -43.8 16
1927-12-03 @ Glentoran W 5-156.1 1679 1577 37.61% 19.81% 42.58%+0.19 +43.8 21
1927-12-03 Queens Island L 2-365.0 1542 1427 66.36% 19.38% 14.26%+1.49 -19.9 12
1927-12-03 @ Lisburn Distillery W 3-265.0 1427 1542 14.26% 19.38% 66.36%-1.49 +19.9 9
1927-12-10 Glentoran W 5-251.1 1480 1533 49.30% 19.81% 30.89%+0.19 +22.6 13
1927-12-10 @ Ards L 2-551.1 1533 1480 30.89% 19.81% 49.30%-0.19 -22.6 16
1927-12-10 Glenavon W 5-352.5 1458 1473 54.03% 19.77% 26.20%+0.49 +13.6 18
1927-12-10 @ Coleraine L 3-552.5 1473 1458 26.20% 19.77% 54.03%-0.49 -13.6 15
1927-12-10 Barn W 2-035.1 1723 1256 81.09% 16.68% 2.23%+4.23 +1.7 23
1927-12-10 @ Linfield L 0-235.1 1256 1723 2.23% 16.68% 81.09%-4.23 -1.7 10
1927-12-10 Larne D 2-269.4 1522 1572 49.67% 19.81% 30.53%+0.21 -1.1 13
1927-12-10 @ Lisburn Distillery D 2-269.4 1572 1522 30.53% 19.81% 49.67%-0.21 +1.1 18
1927-12-10 Belfast Celtic L 0-156.5 1574 1771 29.65% 19.66% 50.69%-0.93 -10.9 17
1927-12-10 @ Newry Town W 1-056.5 1771 1574 50.69% 19.66% 29.65%+0.93 +10.9 24
1927-12-10 Cliftonville W 5-029.4 1439 1349 64.44% 19.48% 16.07%+1.30 +28.3 13
1927-12-10 @ Portadown L 0-529.4 1349 1439 16.07% 19.48% 64.44%-1.30 -28.3 8
1927-12-10 Bangor D 1-157.2 1447 1401 60.49% 19.63% 19.87%+0.96 -3.2 10
1927-12-10 @ Queens Island D 1-157.2 1401 1447 19.87% 19.63% 60.49%-0.96 +3.2 10
1927-12-17 Larne W 4-363.3 1404 1573 33.41% 19.73% 46.86%-0.71 +13.9 12
1927-12-17 @ Bangor L 3-463.3 1573 1404 46.86% 19.73% 33.41%+0.71 -13.9 18
1927-12-17 Glentoran W 3-256.4 1255 1510 23.02% 19.46% 57.52%-1.38 +17.2 12
1927-12-17 @ Barn L 2-356.4 1510 1255 57.52% 19.46% 23.02%+1.38 -17.2 16
1927-12-17 Coleraine W 2-150.7 1782 1472 76.72% 18.13% 5.15%+3.01 +2.0 26
1927-12-17 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-250.7 1472 1782 5.15% 18.13% 76.72%-3.01 -2.0 18
1927-12-17 Linfield L 1-344.6 1321 1725 11.24% 18.64% 70.13%-2.53 -7.5 8
1927-12-17 @ Cliftonville W 3-144.6 1725 1321 70.13% 18.64% 11.24%+2.53 +7.5 25
1927-12-17 Portadown D 1-159.7 1459 1468 54.67% 19.76% 25.57%+0.53 -2.2 16
1927-12-17 @ Glenavon D 1-159.7 1468 1459 25.57% 19.76% 54.67%-0.53 +2.2 14
1927-12-17 Newry Town D 1-165.4 1521 1563 50.68% 19.80% 29.52%+0.28 -1.6 14
1927-12-17 @ Lisburn Distillery D 1-165.4 1563 1521 29.52% 19.80% 50.68%-0.28 +1.6 18
1927-12-17 Ards W 3-041.1 1444 1503 48.55% 19.81% 31.64%+0.15 +31.6 12
1927-12-17 @ Queens Island L 0-341.1 1503 1444 31.64% 19.81% 48.55%-0.15 -31.6 13
1927-12-24 Barn W 3-134.9 1471 1272 71.84% 18.93% 9.23%+2.15 +6.3 15
1927-12-24 @ Ards L 1-334.9 1272 1471 9.23% 18.93% 71.84%-2.15 -6.3 12
1927-12-24 Cliftonville W 5-238.0 1493 1314 70.73% 19.05% 10.23%+2.00 +8.5 18
1927-12-24 @ Glentoran L 2-538.0 1314 1493 10.23% 19.05% 70.73%-2.00 -8.5 8
1927-12-24 Queens Island W 2-148.5 1559 1476 63.87% 19.51% 16.62%+1.25 +6.2 20
1927-12-24 @ Larne L 1-248.5 1476 1559 16.62% 19.51% 63.87%-1.25 -6.2 12
1927-12-24 Glenavon W 3-041.1 1733 1457 75.41% 18.40% 6.19%+2.74 +7.1 27
1927-12-24 @ Linfield L 0-341.1 1457 1733 6.19% 18.40% 75.41%-2.74 -7.1 16
1927-12-24 Coleraine W 4-037.3 1519 1470 60.80% 19.62% 19.58%+0.98 +27.4 16
1927-12-24 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-437.3 1470 1519 19.58% 19.62% 60.80%-0.98 -27.4 18
1927-12-24 Bangor D 2-265.6 1564 1418 68.62% 19.23% 12.15%+1.74 -3.5 19
1927-12-24 @ Newry Town D 2-265.6 1418 1564 12.15% 19.23% 68.62%-1.74 +3.5 13
1927-12-24 Belfast Celtic L 4-565.1 1470 1784 17.51% 19.19% 63.30%-1.84 -5.9 14
1927-12-24 @ Portadown W 5-465.1 1784 1470 63.30% 19.19% 17.51%+1.84 +5.9 28
1927-12-26 Coleraine W 3-143.3 1422 1442 53.28% 19.78% 26.95%+0.44 +16.5 15
1927-12-26 @ Bangor L 1-343.3 1442 1422 26.95% 19.78% 53.28%-0.44 -16.5 18
1927-12-26 Linfield D 1-172.0 1790 1740 60.94% 19.62% 19.44%+1.00 -3.3 29
1927-12-26 @ Belfast Celtic D 1-172.0 1740 1790 19.44% 19.62% 60.94%-1.00 +3.3 28
1927-12-26 Barn W 3-243.2 1305 1265 59.86% 19.65% 20.49%+0.91 +7.1 10
1927-12-26 @ Cliftonville L 2-343.2 1265 1305 20.49% 19.65% 59.86%-0.91 -7.1 12
1927-12-26 Glentoran D 2-264.3 1450 1502 49.40% 19.81% 30.79%+0.20 -1.1 17
1927-12-26 @ Glenavon D 2-264.3 1502 1450 30.79% 19.81% 49.40%-0.20 +1.0 19
1927-12-26 Ards W 5-247.7 1565 1477 64.25% 19.49% 16.26%+1.28 +13.0 22
1927-12-26 @ Larne L 2-547.7 1477 1565 16.26% 19.49% 64.25%-1.28 -13.0 15
1927-12-26 Portadown L 1-261.7 1547 1464 63.81% 19.51% 16.68%+1.24 -20.1 16
1927-12-26 @ Lisburn Distillery W 2-161.7 1464 1547 16.68% 19.51% 63.81%-1.24 +20.1 16
1927-12-26 Newry Town D 0-060.9 1470 1561 44.16% 19.82% 36.03%-0.11 -0.7 13
1927-12-26 @ Queens Island D 0-060.9 1561 1470 36.03% 19.82% 44.16%+0.11 +0.7 20
1927-12-27 Cliftonville W 3-136.4 1464 1312 69.03% 19.20% 11.77%+1.78 +7.9 17
1927-12-27 @ Ards L 1-336.4 1312 1464 11.77% 19.20% 69.03%-1.78 -7.9 10
1927-12-27 Glenavon L 2-445.1 1258 1449 30.59% 19.68% 49.74%-0.87 -16.4 12
1927-12-27 @ Barn W 4-245.1 1449 1258 49.74% 19.68% 30.59%+0.87 +16.4 19
1927-12-27 Queens Island W 2-041.3 1426 1469 50.57% 19.80% 29.63%+0.27 +20.6 20
1927-12-27 @ Coleraine L 0-241.3 1469 1426 29.63% 19.80% 50.57%-0.27 -20.6 13
1927-12-27 Belfast Celtic L 0-250.0 1503 1787 20.19% 19.34% 60.47%-1.60 -14.8 19
1927-12-27 @ Glentoran W 2-050.0 1787 1503 60.47% 19.34% 20.19%+1.60 +14.8 31
1927-12-27 Linfield W 3-269.8 1526 1743 27.40% 19.60% 53.00%-1.08 +15.9 18
1927-12-27 @ Lisburn Distillery L 2-369.8 1743 1526 53.00% 19.60% 27.40%+1.08 -15.9 28
1927-12-27 Larne D 0-064.6 1562 1578 53.75% 19.77% 26.48%+0.47 -2.3 21
1927-12-27 @ Newry Town D 0-064.6 1578 1562 26.48% 19.77% 53.75%-0.47 +2.3 23
1927-12-27 Bangor L 0-154.3 1484 1438 60.48% 19.63% 19.89%+0.96 -20.2 16
1927-12-27 @ Portadown W 1-054.3 1438 1484 19.89% 19.63% 60.48%-0.96 +20.2 17
1927-12-31 Linfield L 1-548.3 1459 1727 21.73% 19.41% 58.86%-1.48 -24.9 17
1927-12-31 @ Bangor W 5-148.3 1727 1459 58.86% 19.41% 21.73%+1.48 +24.9 30
1927-12-31 Barn W 6-032.3 1802 1242 82.95% 15.69% 1.35%+4.95 +2.9 33
1927-12-31 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-632.3 1242 1802 1.35% 15.69% 82.95%-4.95 -2.9 12
1927-12-31 Cliftonville W 7-130.9 1465 1304 69.57% 19.15% 11.28%+1.85 +20.0 21
1927-12-31 @ Glenavon L 1-730.9 1304 1465 11.28% 19.15% 69.57%-1.85 -20.0 10
1927-12-31 Coleraine L 0-257.4 1581 1447 67.79% 19.29% 12.92%+1.64 -42.8 23
1927-12-31 @ Larne W 2-057.4 1447 1581 12.92% 19.29% 67.79%-1.64 +42.8 22
1927-12-31 Glentoran D 1-163.5 1542 1488 61.29% 19.61% 19.10%+1.03 -3.4 19
1927-12-31 @ Lisburn Distillery D 1-163.5 1488 1542 19.10% 19.61% 61.29%-1.03 +3.3 20
1927-12-31 Ards W 5-353.1 1559 1472 64.17% 19.49% 16.33%+1.28 +9.0 23
1927-12-31 @ Newry Town L 3-553.1 1472 1559 16.33% 19.49% 64.17%-1.28 -9.0 17
1927-12-31 Portadown L 2-652.1 1448 1464 53.85% 19.77% 26.38%+0.48 -45.7 13
1927-12-31 @ Queens Island W 6-252.1 1464 1448 26.38% 19.77% 53.85%-0.48 +45.7 18
1928-01-07 Glenavon W 4-356.3 1463 1485 53.16% 19.78% 27.06%+0.43 +8.8 19
1928-01-07 @ Ards L 3-456.3 1485 1463 27.06% 19.78% 53.16%-0.43 -8.8 21
1928-01-07 Belfast Celtic L 0-240.6 1284 1805 6.16% 17.71% 76.14%-3.44 -4.8 10
1928-01-07 @ Cliftonville W 2-040.6 1805 1284 76.14% 17.71% 6.16%+3.44 +4.8 35
1928-01-07 Newry Town L 1-258.2 1489 1568 45.88% 19.82% 34.30%-0.01 -14.8 22
1928-01-07 @ Coleraine W 2-158.2 1568 1489 34.30% 19.82% 45.88%+0.01 +14.8 25
1928-01-07 Bangor W 5-455.5 1491 1434 61.59% 19.60% 18.81%+1.05 +6.4 22
1928-01-07 @ Glentoran L 4-555.5 1434 1491 18.81% 19.60% 61.59%-1.05 -6.4 17
1928-01-07 Queens Island W 1-045.0 1752 1403 78.02% 17.80% 4.18%+3.31 +1.8 32
1928-01-07 @ Linfield L 0-145.0 1403 1752 4.18% 17.80% 78.02%-3.31 -1.8 13
1928-01-07 Barn W 6-129.3 1539 1239 76.34% 18.21% 5.44%+2.93 +8.4 21
1928-01-07 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-629.3 1239 1539 5.44% 18.21% 76.34%-2.93 -8.4 12
1928-01-07 Larne W 3-256.4 1510 1538 52.40% 19.79% 27.81%+0.39 +9.3 20
1928-01-07 @ Portadown L 2-356.4 1538 1510 27.81% 19.79% 52.40%-0.39 -9.3 23
1928-01-14 Glentoran D 4-469.7 1401 1498 43.39% 19.81% 36.80%-0.15 -0.3 14
1928-01-14 @ Queens Island D 4-469.7 1498 1401 36.80% 19.81% 43.39%+0.15 +0.3 23
1928-01-14 Linfield D 1-169.4 1472 1754 20.46% 19.35% 60.19%-1.58 +3.1 20
1928-01-14 @ Ards D 1-169.4 1754 1472 60.19% 19.35% 20.46%+1.58 -3.1 33
1928-01-21 Belfast Celtic L 1-450.0 1475 1809 15.91% 19.08% 65.01%-1.99 -14.6 20
1928-01-21 @ Ards W 4-150.0 1809 1475 65.01% 19.08% 15.91%+1.99 +14.6 37
1928-01-21 Queens Island W 5-352.4 1231 1400 33.24% 19.72% 47.04%-0.72 +22.0 14
1928-01-21 @ Barn L 3-552.4 1400 1231 47.04% 19.72% 33.24%+0.72 -22.0 14
1928-01-21 Bangor D 1-154.3 1280 1427 36.22% 19.76% 44.01%-0.54 +0.6 11
1928-01-21 @ Cliftonville D 1-154.3 1427 1280 44.01% 19.76% 36.22%+0.54 -0.6 18
1928-01-21 Larne W 2-151.7 1498 1528 52.09% 19.79% 28.12%+0.37 +9.9 25
1928-01-21 @ Glentoran L 1-251.7 1528 1498 28.12% 19.79% 52.09%-0.37 -9.9 23
1928-01-21 Newry Town W 3-045.1 1751 1583 70.01% 19.11% 10.88%+1.90 +12.3 35
1928-01-21 @ Linfield L 0-345.1 1583 1751 10.88% 19.11% 70.01%-1.90 -12.3 25
1928-01-21 Glenavon L 1-359.5 1547 1476 62.82% 19.55% 17.62%+1.16 -34.3 21
1928-01-21 @ Lisburn Distillery W 3-159.5 1476 1547 17.62% 19.55% 62.82%-1.16 +34.3 23
1928-01-21 Coleraine D 1-162.1 1519 1475 60.32% 19.64% 20.05%+0.95 -3.2 21
1928-01-21 @ Portadown D 1-162.1 1475 1519 20.05% 19.64% 60.32%-0.95 +3.2 23
1928-01-24 Cliftonville W 2-031.7 1519 1280 73.80% 18.67% 7.53%+2.45 +5.9 25
1928-01-24 @ Larne L 0-231.7 1280 1519 7.53% 18.67% 73.80%-2.45 -5.9 11
1928-01-25 Glenavon W 4-041.3 1824 1510 76.83% 18.10% 5.06%+3.04 +7.6 39
1928-01-25 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-441.3 1510 1824 5.06% 18.10% 76.83%-3.04 -7.6 23
1928-01-28 Glenavon W 5-143.5 1427 1503 46.22% 19.82% 33.96%+0.01 +36.5 20
1928-01-28 @ Bangor L 1-543.5 1503 1427 33.96% 19.82% 46.22%-0.01 -36.5 23
1928-01-28 Linfield L 1-450.7 1478 1763 20.13% 19.33% 60.53%-1.61 -18.0 23
1928-01-28 @ Coleraine W 4-150.7 1763 1478 60.53% 19.33% 20.13%+1.61 +18.0 37
1928-01-28 Barn W 7-129.3 1525 1253 75.25% 18.43% 6.32%+2.71 +11.5 27
1928-01-28 @ Larne L 1-729.3 1253 1525 6.32% 18.43% 75.25%-2.71 -11.5 14
1928-01-28 Belfast Celtic L 0-347.1 1513 1832 17.16% 19.16% 63.68%-1.87 -18.5 21
1928-01-28 @ Lisburn Distillery W 3-047.1 1832 1513 63.68% 19.16% 17.16%+1.87 +18.5 41
1928-01-28 Glentoran W 6-143.3 1571 1508 62.07% 19.58% 18.35%+1.09 +26.4 27
1928-01-28 @ Newry Town L 1-643.3 1508 1571 18.35% 19.58% 62.07%-1.09 -26.4 25
1928-01-28 Ards W 7-242.3 1516 1461 61.35% 19.61% 19.05%+1.03 +22.9 23
1928-01-28 @ Portadown L 2-742.3 1461 1516 19.05% 19.61% 61.35%-1.03 -22.8 20
1928-01-28 Cliftonville D 1-153.8 1378 1274 65.59% 19.42% 14.99%+1.41 -4.1 15
1928-01-28 @ Queens Island D 1-153.8 1274 1378 14.99% 19.42% 65.59%-1.41 +4.1 12
1928-02-02 Barn W 3-134.0 1463 1241 73.00% 18.79% 8.21%+2.32 +5.6 22
1928-02-02 @ Bangor L 1-334.0 1241 1463 8.21% 18.79% 73.00%-2.32 -5.6 14
1928-02-11 Lisburn Distillery D 3-367.6 1438 1495 48.80% 19.81% 31.38%+0.16 -0.8 21
1928-02-11 @ Ards D 3-367.6 1495 1438 31.38% 19.81% 48.80%-0.16 +0.8 22
1928-02-11 Newry Town L 1-338.2 1236 1597 13.92% 18.92% 67.17%-2.20 -9.1 14
1928-02-11 @ Barn W 3-138.2 1597 1236 67.17% 18.92% 13.92%+2.20 +9.1 29
1928-02-11 Queens Island L 0-250.1 1466 1374 64.61% 19.47% 15.92%+1.32 -40.8 23
1928-02-11 @ Glenavon W 2-050.1 1374 1466 15.92% 19.47% 64.61%-1.32 +40.8 17
1928-02-11 Coleraine W 3-144.4 1481 1460 58.01% 19.70% 22.30%+0.77 +14.0 27
1928-02-11 @ Glentoran L 1-344.4 1460 1481 22.30% 19.70% 58.01%-0.77 -14.0 23
1928-02-15 Portadown W 4-147.9 1606 1539 62.49% 19.56% 17.94%+1.13 +16.4 31
1928-02-15 @ Newry Town L 1-447.9 1539 1606 17.94% 19.56% 62.49%-1.13 -16.4 23
1928-02-18 Lisburn Distillery D 1-161.0 1469 1495 52.56% 19.78% 27.65%+0.40 -1.9 23
1928-02-18 @ Bangor D 1-161.0 1495 1469 27.65% 19.78% 52.56%-0.40 +1.9 23
1928-02-18 Barn W 6-128.7 1446 1227 72.87% 18.80% 8.33%+2.30 +12.7 25
1928-02-18 @ Coleraine L 1-628.7 1227 1446 8.33% 18.80% 72.87%-2.30 -12.7 14
1928-02-18 Glenavon W 4-246.8 1536 1426 66.06% 19.40% 14.54%+1.46 +8.6 29
1928-02-18 @ Larne L 2-446.8 1426 1536 14.54% 19.40% 66.06%-1.46 -8.6 23
1928-02-18 Cliftonville W 3-030.7 1623 1278 77.85% 17.84% 4.30%+3.27 +5.0 33
1928-02-18 @ Newry Town L 0-330.7 1278 1623 4.30% 17.84% 77.85%-3.27 -4.9 12
1928-02-18 Glentoran L 2-462.1 1522 1495 58.57% 19.68% 21.75%+0.81 -28.6 23
1928-02-18 @ Portadown W 4-262.1 1495 1522 21.75% 19.68% 58.57%-0.81 +28.6 29
1928-02-18 Belfast Celtic L 0-641.5 1415 1850 9.58% 18.41% 72.01%-2.77 -20.5 17
1928-02-18 @ Queens Island W 6-041.5 1850 1415 72.01% 18.41% 9.58%+2.77 +20.6 43
1928-03-10 Ards W 3-036.5 1459 1437 58.00% 19.70% 22.30%+0.77 +23.5 27
1928-03-10 @ Coleraine L 0-336.5 1437 1459 22.30% 19.70% 58.00%-0.77 -23.5 21
1928-03-10 Linfield L 1-355.7 1545 1781 25.13% 19.53% 55.34%-1.23 -15.5 29
1928-03-10 @ Larne W 3-155.7 1781 1545 55.34% 19.53% 25.13%+1.23 +15.5 39
1928-03-19 Larne D 3-363.9 1273 1529 23.03% 19.46% 57.51%-1.38 +1.7 13
1928-03-19 @ Cliftonville D 3-363.9 1529 1273 57.51% 19.46% 23.03%+1.38 -1.7 30
1928-03-27 Portadown W 2-151.4 1796 1494 76.44% 18.19% 5.37%+2.95 +2.1 41
1928-03-27 @ Linfield L 1-251.4 1494 1796 5.37% 18.19% 76.44%-2.95 -2.1 23
1928-03-28 Cliftonville W 3-241.6 1497 1275 73.02% 18.78% 8.20%+2.33 +3.1 25
1928-03-28 @ Lisburn Distillery L 2-341.6 1275 1497 8.20% 18.78% 73.02%-2.33 -3.1 13
1928-03-29 Bangor W 5-355.9 1871 1467 79.57% 17.30% 3.13%+3.74 +1.8 45
1928-03-29 @ Belfast Celtic L 3-555.9 1467 1871 3.13% 17.30% 79.57%-3.74 -1.8 23

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1927-12-31 12.92% Coleraine 1447 2 @ Larne 1581 0
2 1927-12-03 14.26% Queens Island 1427 3 @ Lisburn Distillery 1542 2
3 1927-10-15 14.79% Coleraine 1432 1 @ Ards 1539 0
4 1927-10-29 14.83% Cliftonville 1305 3 @ Bangor 1412 2
5 1927-10-01 15.92% Queens Island 1464 4 @ Portadown 1556 2
6 1928-02-11 15.92% Queens Island 1374 2 @ Glenavon 1466 0
7 1927-12-26 16.68% Portadown 1464 2 @ Lisburn Distillery 1547 1
8 1927-11-05 16.73% Bangor 1392 4 @ Glenavon 1474 2
9 1928-01-21 17.62% Glenavon 1476 3 @ Lisburn Distillery 1547 1
10 1927-10-15 19.83% Larne 1595 4 @ Linfield 1642 3
11 1927-12-27 19.89% Bangor 1438 1 @ Portadown 1484 0
12 1927-08-20 20.21% Glenavon 1409 5 @ Newry Town 1452 3
13 1927-09-10 20.34% Lisburn Distillery 1492 3 @ Coleraine 1533 0
14 1928-02-18 21.75% Glentoran 1495 4 @ Portadown 1522 2
15 1927-10-08 22.82% @ Barn 1252 2 Lisburn Distillery 1510 1
16 1927-12-17 23.02% @ Barn 1255 3 Glentoran 1510 2
17 1927-10-15 23.83% Newry Town 1511 1 @ Portadown 1518 0
18 1927-08-20 23.88% Lisburn Distillery 1557 2 @ Queens Island 1563 1
19 1927-09-17 24.74% Bangor 1480 3 @ Coleraine 1478 1
20 1927-11-12 24.89% Glenavon 1443 3 @ Queens Island 1440 2
21 1927-09-17 25.90% Larne 1574 2 @ Ards 1562 1
22 1927-12-31 26.38% Portadown 1464 6 @ Queens Island 1448 2
23 1927-09-24 26.81% Portadown 1529 4 @ Bangor 1510 2
24 1927-12-27 27.40% @ Lisburn Distillery 1526 3 Linfield 1743 2
25 1927-09-10 27.74% Larne 1545 3 @ Queens Island 1518 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1927-09-10 54.94 Lisburn Distillery 3 1492 20.34% @ Coleraine 0 1533 60.02% 19.65%
2 1927-09-03 52.53 @ Ards 7 1496 46.48% Queens Island 1 1570 33.71% 19.82%
3 1927-09-03 50.14 @ Newry Town 4 1421 40.02% Lisburn Distillery 0 1542 40.18% 19.80%
4 1927-12-31 45.72 Portadown 6 1464 26.38% @ Queens Island 2 1448 53.85% 19.77%
5 1927-12-03 43.82 Linfield 5 1679 37.61% @ Glentoran 1 1577 42.58% 19.81%
6 1927-12-31 42.84 Coleraine 2 1447 12.92% @ Larne 0 1581 67.79% 19.29%
7 1928-02-11 40.76 Queens Island 2 1374 15.92% @ Glenavon 0 1466 64.61% 19.47%
8 1927-10-01 40.40 Glenavon 4 1405 28.21% @ Cliftonville 1 1374 52.00% 19.79%
9 1928-01-28 36.47 @ Bangor 5 1427 46.22% Glenavon 1 1503 33.96% 19.82%
10 1927-08-20 35.22 @ Linfield 6 1534 54.70% Glentoran 1 1542 25.54% 19.76%
11 1927-10-01 34.32 Belfast Celtic 8 1672 68.92% @ Barn 0 1286 12.32% 18.76%
12 1928-01-21 34.30 Glenavon 3 1476 17.62% @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1547 62.82% 19.55%
13 1927-10-08 32.91 Linfield 4 1609 39.19% @ Queens Island 1 1495 41.01% 19.80%
14 1927-08-27 32.67 @ Larne 3 1506 47.25% Lisburn Distillery 0 1575 32.93% 19.82%
15 1927-11-05 31.70 @ Linfield 7 1611 67.89% Coleraine 0 1476 12.83% 19.28%
16 1927-11-19 31.63 Coleraine 6 1457 45.33% @ Barn 2 1300 34.92% 19.75%
17 1927-12-17 31.61 @ Queens Island 3 1444 48.55% Ards 0 1503 31.64% 19.81%
18 1927-10-01 31.57 Queens Island 4 1464 15.92% @ Portadown 2 1556 64.61% 19.47%
19 1927-12-03 31.51 @ Belfast Celtic 7 1740 67.98% Larne 0 1603 12.74% 19.28%
20 1927-10-08 31.35 @ Newry Town 4 1480 57.46% Coleraine 0 1463 22.83% 19.71%
21 1927-11-05 31.15 Bangor 4 1392 16.73% @ Glenavon 2 1474 63.76% 19.51%
22 1927-09-17 30.37 Bangor 3 1480 24.74% @ Coleraine 1 1478 55.51% 19.75%
23 1927-10-15 30.31 @ Barn 2 1270 32.93% Bangor 0 1442 47.36% 19.72%
24 1927-12-03 30.08 @ Cliftonville 2 1319 33.33% Coleraine 0 1488 46.95% 19.73%
25 1927-09-10 29.74 Glentoran 2 1517 33.89% @ Cliftonville 0 1442 46.29% 19.82%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1927-11-19 76.2 @ Belfast Celtic 3 1744 77.06% Queens Island 3 1424 4.89% 18.05%
2 1927-10-15 75.3 Larne 4 1595 19.83% @ Linfield 3 1642 60.54% 19.63%
3 1927-09-17 73.5 @ Linfield 2 1601 49.11% Belfast Celtic 2 1656 31.08% 19.81%
4 1927-11-05 73.4 @ Belfast Celtic 2 1729 73.18% Lisburn Distillery 2 1504 8.06% 18.76%
5 1927-12-26 72.0 @ Belfast Celtic 1 1790 60.94% Linfield 1 1740 19.44% 19.62%
6 1927-12-27 69.8 @ Lisburn Distillery 3 1526 27.40% Linfield 2 1743 53.00% 19.60%
7 1928-01-14 69.7 @ Queens Island 4 1401 43.39% Glentoran 4 1498 36.80% 19.81%
8 1927-12-10 69.4 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1522 49.67% Larne 2 1572 30.53% 19.81%
9 1928-01-14 69.4 @ Ards 1 1472 20.46% Linfield 1 1754 60.19% 19.35%
10 1927-09-10 68.0 @ Belfast Celtic 1 1660 69.28% Portadown 1 1504 11.54% 19.18%
11 1928-02-11 67.6 @ Ards 3 1438 48.80% Lisburn Distillery 3 1495 31.38% 19.81%
12 1927-09-24 67.0 @ Queens Island 3 1465 57.58% Coleraine 3 1448 22.71% 19.71%
13 1927-11-05 66.8 @ Glentoran 1 1584 60.01% Newry Town 1 1543 20.35% 19.65%
14 1927-11-19 66.5 @ Glenavon 4 1460 34.91% Larne 3 1617 45.34% 19.75%
15 1927-11-12 66.3 @ Coleraine 5 1444 37.77% Glentoran 4 1581 42.45% 19.78%
16 1927-09-03 66.0 @ Coleraine 3 1519 35.24% Belfast Celtic 2 1674 45.01% 19.75%
17 1927-12-24 65.6 @ Newry Town 2 1564 68.62% Bangor 2 1418 12.15% 19.23%
18 1927-12-17 65.4 @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1521 50.68% Newry Town 1 1563 29.52% 19.80%
19 1927-12-24 65.1 Belfast Celtic 5 1784 63.30% @ Portadown 4 1470 17.51% 19.19%
20 1927-12-03 65.0 Queens Island 3 1427 14.26% @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1542 66.36% 19.38%
21 1927-12-27 64.6 @ Newry Town 0 1562 53.75% Larne 0 1578 26.48% 19.77%
22 1927-08-27 64.4 @ Glenavon 2 1437 45.45% Coleraine 2 1519 34.73% 19.82%
23 1927-09-24 64.3 @ Linfield 0 1600 63.05% Lisburn Distillery 0 1527 17.40% 19.54%
24 1927-12-26 64.3 @ Glenavon 2 1450 49.40% Glentoran 2 1502 30.79% 19.81%
25 1927-10-01 64.0 Queens Island 4 1464 15.92% @ Portadown 2 1556 64.61% 19.47%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1927-09-03 27.9 @ Glentoran 4 1504 72.29% Barn 0 1296 8.83% 18.87%
2 1928-02-18 28.7 @ Coleraine 6 1446 72.87% Barn 1 1227 8.33% 18.80%
3 1928-01-07 29.3 @ Lisburn Distillery 6 1539 76.34% Barn 1 1239 5.44% 18.21%
4 1928-01-28 29.3 @ Larne 7 1525 75.25% Barn 1 1253 6.32% 18.43%
5 1927-12-10 29.4 @ Portadown 5 1439 64.44% Cliftonville 0 1349 16.07% 19.48%
6 1928-02-18 30.7 @ Newry Town 3 1623 77.85% Cliftonville 0 1278 4.30% 17.84%
7 1927-12-31 30.9 @ Glenavon 7 1465 69.57% Cliftonville 1 1304 11.28% 19.15%
8 1928-01-24 31.7 @ Larne 2 1519 73.80% Cliftonville 0 1280 7.53% 18.67%
9 1927-08-20 32.2 @ Portadown 5 1497 71.42% Barn 1 1305 9.60% 18.97%
10 1927-12-31 32.3 @ Belfast Celtic 6 1802 82.95% Barn 0 1242 1.35% 15.69%
11 1928-02-02 34.0 @ Bangor 3 1463 73.00% Barn 1 1241 8.21% 18.79%
12 1927-10-01 34.8 Belfast Celtic 8 1672 68.92% @ Barn 0 1286 12.32% 18.76%
13 1927-12-24 34.9 @ Ards 3 1471 71.84% Barn 1 1272 9.23% 18.93%
14 1927-11-19 35.0 @ Lisburn Distillery 3 1526 66.91% Bangor 0 1405 13.75% 19.35%
15 1927-12-10 35.1 @ Linfield 2 1723 81.09% Barn 0 1256 2.23% 16.68%
16 1927-11-12 36.0 @ Newry Town 6 1546 73.79% Barn 2 1308 7.54% 18.67%
17 1927-12-27 36.4 @ Ards 3 1464 69.03% Cliftonville 1 1312 11.77% 19.20%
18 1927-10-08 36.5 @ Newry Town 4 1480 57.46% Coleraine 0 1463 22.83% 19.71%
19 1928-03-10 36.5 @ Coleraine 3 1459 58.00% Ards 0 1437 22.30% 19.70%
20 1927-12-24 37.3 @ Lisburn Distillery 4 1519 60.80% Coleraine 0 1470 19.58% 19.62%
21 1927-10-08 37.8 @ Belfast Celtic 5 1706 78.72% Cliftonville 1 1333 3.69% 17.59%
22 1927-12-24 38.0 @ Glentoran 5 1493 70.73% Cliftonville 2 1314 10.23% 19.05%
23 1928-02-11 38.2 Newry Town 3 1597 67.17% @ Barn 1 1236 13.92% 18.92%
24 1927-11-05 39.0 @ Linfield 7 1611 67.89% Coleraine 0 1476 12.83% 19.28%
25 1927-10-15 40.5 Lisburn Distillery 2 1491 46.09% @ Cliftonville 0 1329 34.17% 19.74%