‹ ›

1928-29 Irish League Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Belfast Celtic

48 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Belfast Celtic

4.96 points above expected

48 points · 43.04 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Queens Island

6.70 points below expected

7 points · 13.70 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Belfast Celtic 26 22 4 0 48 116 23 +93 43.04 +4.96
2 Linfield 26 19 1 6 39 88 44 +44 37.23 +1.77
3 Glentoran 26 15 3 8 33 82 62 +20 30.33 +2.67
4 Lisburn Distillery 26 15 2 9 32 71 58 +13 28.05 +3.95
5 Coleraine 26 13 4 9 30 63 53 +10 27.69 +2.31
6 Ballymena 26 10 8 8 28 64 54 +10 27.89 +0.11
7 Bangor 26 10 6 10 26 49 54 -5 24.07 +1.93
8 Glenavon 26 8 8 10 24 61 63 -2 22.99 +1.01
9 Ards 26 9 5 12 23 55 64 -9 21.70 +1.30
10 Newry Town 26 9 4 13 22 47 58 -11 28.16 -6.16
11 Portadown 26 10 2 14 22 52 76 -24 23.01 -1.01
12 Larne 26 8 4 14 20 51 72 -21 22.54 -2.54
13 Cliftonville 26 3 4 19 10 32 73 -41 13.60 -3.60
14 Queens Island 26 2 3 21 7 53 130 -77 13.70 -6.70

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Belfast Celtic 48 43.04 +4.96
2 Lisburn Distillery 32 28.05 +3.95
3 Glentoran 33 30.33 +2.67
4 Coleraine 30 27.69 +2.31
5 Bangor 26 24.07 +1.93

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Queens Island 7 13.70 -6.70
2 Newry Town 22 28.16 -6.16
3 Cliftonville 10 13.60 -3.60
4 Larne 20 22.54 -2.54
5 Portadown 22 23.01 -1.01

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Belfast Celtic 11 Aug 22 – Nov 3 1 in 33
2 Linfield 9 Dec 8 – Jan 26 1 in 25
3 Glentoran 5 Nov 14 – Dec 15 1 in 24
4 Coleraine 4 Oct 27 – Dec 1 1 in 19
5 Bangor 3 Jan 5 – Jan 19 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Glentoran 4 Oct 13 – Nov 3 1 in 48
2 Larne 5 Dec 8 – Dec 26 1 in 34
3 Portadown 4 Oct 27 – Nov 17 1 in 28
4 Bangor 4 Sep 1 – Sep 29 1 in 17
5 Ards 4 Aug 20 – Sep 8 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ballymena 12 Aug 25 – Nov 17 1 in 544
2 Glenavon 9 Oct 20 – Dec 22 1 in 532
3 Bangor 7 Dec 29 – Mar 30 1 in 67
4 Glentoran 7 Aug 20 – Oct 6 1 in 31
5 Coleraine 5 Aug 22 – Sep 15 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Portadown 8 Oct 20 – Dec 15 1 in 77
2 Larne 9 Nov 3 – Dec 26 1 in 47
3 Newry Town 4 Oct 20 – Nov 10 1 in 34
4 Bangor 7 Sep 1 – Oct 20 1 in 29
5 Ballymena 4 Dec 29 – Jan 26 1 in 26

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Belfast Celtic 1939 48 +30 8 8.2 -0.2
Linfield 1721 39 -11 6 7.3 -1.3
Glentoran 1584 33 -16 5 6.1 -1.1
Lisburn Distillery 1590 32 +1 6 5.9 +0.1
Coleraine 1506 30 +0 7 5.1 +1.9
Ballymena 1492 28 -50 3 6.2 -3.2
Bangor 1497 26 +23 7 5.4 +1.6
Glenavon 1464 24 -2 5 4.8 +0.2
Ards 1512 23 +57 7 4.5 +2.5
Newry Town 1482 22 -31 4 6.3 -2.3
Portadown 1405 22 +24 4 2.8 +1.2
Larne 1397 20 +24 5 3.3 +1.7
Cliftonville 1241 10 +6 3 2.3 +0.7
Queens Island 1172 7 -55 0 1.7 -1.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARD BAL BAN BC CLI COL GLE GLE LAR LIN LD NT POR QI
Ards —
0-0-2
1.97
1-0-1
2.58
0-0-2
0.60
1-1-0
4.23
1-1-0
2.22
0-1-1
2.46
1-0-1
2.11
2-0-0
2.33
0-0-2
1.29
0-0-2
2.09
1-1-0
2.15
1-0-1
2.27
1-1-0
3.45
Ballymena
2-0-0
3.70
—
0-1-1
3.50
0-0-2
1.21
1-0-1
4.58
0-2-0
2.70
0-2-0
3.68
1-1-0
2.38
1-1-0
3.11
1-0-1
1.59
1-0-1
3.09
0-1-1
3.01
1-0-1
3.72
2-0-0
4.66
Bangor
1-0-1
3.09
1-1-0
2.16
—
0-1-1
0.67
2-0-0
4.06
0-1-1
2.51
0-2-0
2.90
0-0-2
2.32
1-1-0
3.34
0-0-2
1.43
1-0-1
2.19
1-0-1
2.38
2-0-0
2.83
1-0-1
4.16
Belfast Celtic
2-0-0
5.09
2-0-0
4.46
1-1-0
5.02
—
2-0-0
5.27
2-0-0
4.63
1-1-0
5.07
1-1-0
4.78
2-0-0
4.99
1-1-0
4.17
2-0-0
4.82
2-0-0
4.74
2-0-0
4.51
2-0-0
5.14
Cliftonville
0-1-1
1.43
1-0-1
1.09
0-0-2
1.60
0-0-2
0.44
—
0-0-2
1.30
0-0-2
1.72
0-0-2
1.08
0-1-1
1.72
0-0-2
0.75
0-0-2
1.33
1-1-0
1.09
0-0-2
1.67
1-1-0
2.60
Coleraine
0-1-1
3.44
0-2-0
2.96
1-1-0
3.15
0-0-2
1.05
2-0-0
4.37
—
1-0-1
3.66
2-0-0
2.44
0-0-2
3.53
2-0-0
1.61
1-0-1
2.63
0-0-2
3.09
2-0-0
3.38
2-0-0
4.40
Glenavon
1-1-0
3.20
0-2-0
1.99
0-2-0
2.76
0-1-1
0.62
2-0-0
3.95
1-0-1
2.01
—
0-0-2
1.96
0-1-1
2.72
0-0-2
1.19
0-0-2
2.38
1-1-0
2.20
1-0-1
3.11
2-0-0
4.00
Glentoran
1-0-1
3.56
0-1-1
3.28
2-0-0
3.35
0-1-1
0.90
2-0-0
4.59
0-0-2
3.22
2-0-0
3.71
—
1-0-1
3.98
1-0-1
2.08
1-1-0
2.98
2-0-0
2.54
1-0-1
3.85
2-0-0
4.57
Larne
0-0-2
3.33
0-1-1
2.55
0-1-1
2.32
0-0-2
0.70
1-1-0
3.95
2-0-0
2.13
1-1-0
2.94
1-0-1
1.69
—
1-0-1
1.13
0-0-2
2.15
1-0-1
2.30
0-0-2
2.84
1-0-1
3.97
Linfield
2-0-0
4.38
1-0-1
4.08
2-0-0
4.24
0-1-1
1.50
2-0-0
4.94
0-0-2
4.06
2-0-0
4.48
1-0-1
3.58
1-0-1
4.54
—
2-0-0
3.94
2-0-0
3.99
2-0-0
4.31
2-0-0
5.04
Lisburn Distillery
2-0-0
3.58
1-0-1
2.57
1-0-1
3.47
0-0-2
0.86
2-0-0
4.34
1-0-1
3.04
2-0-0
3.28
0-1-1
2.68
2-0-0
3.52
0-0-2
1.72
—
1-0-1
2.77
1-1-0
3.38
2-0-0
4.54
Newry Town
0-1-1
3.51
1-1-0
2.65
1-0-1
3.29
0-0-2
0.94
0-1-1
4.58
2-0-0
2.57
0-1-1
3.46
0-0-2
3.12
1-0-1
3.37
0-0-2
1.68
1-0-1
2.89
—
1-0-1
3.10
2-0-0
4.64
Portadown
1-0-1
3.39
1-0-1
1.94
0-0-2
2.83
0-0-2
1.17
2-0-0
4.00
0-0-2
2.28
1-0-1
2.55
1-0-1
1.82
2-0-0
2.82
0-0-2
1.37
0-1-1
2.29
1-0-1
2.56
—
1-1-0
3.68
Queens Island
0-1-1
2.21
0-0-2
1.02
1-0-1
1.51
0-0-2
0.56
0-1-1
3.07
0-0-2
1.27
0-0-2
1.66
0-0-2
1.10
1-0-1
1.70
0-0-2
0.64
0-0-2
1.13
0-0-2
1.04
0-1-1
1.99
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.79 +4.5
Allowed 0.73 -3.9
Differential 0.96 +2.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
01.10%2.75%2.20%1.65%1.37%2.47%11.54%
12.75%3.30%6.59%3.30%2.20%3.30%21.43%
22.20%6.59%8.24%4.95%3.30%1.65%26.92%
31.65%3.30%4.95%2.20%2.75%2.75%17.58%
41.37%2.20%3.30%2.75%1.10%0.82%11.54%
5+2.47%3.30%1.65%2.75%0.82%—10.99%
Total11.54%21.43%26.92%17.58%11.54%10.99%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.43 2.43 +0.00
SD 1.83 1.83 2.73
CV 0.75 0.75 —
Max 10 10 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%—7.69%——11.54%
1—11.54%7.69%3.85%—3.85%26.92%
2—7.69%3.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%26.92%
3——7.69%——3.85%11.54%
43.85%7.69%—3.85%3.85%—19.23%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total3.85%34.62%19.23%19.23%11.54%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.12 2.46 -0.35
SD 1.42 1.70 2.33
CV 0.67 0.69 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%—3.85%—3.85%15.38%
1—3.85%3.85%3.85%—3.85%15.38%
23.85%3.85%19.23%7.69%——34.62%
33.85%——3.85%——7.69%
43.85%—7.69%———11.54%
5+3.85%——11.54%——15.38%
Total19.23%11.54%30.77%30.77%—7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.46 2.08 +0.38
SD 1.96 1.49 2.65
CV 0.80 0.72 —
Max 7 6 +7
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%——3.85%—11.54%
13.85%—15.38%7.69%3.85%—30.77%
23.85%11.54%11.54%——3.85%30.77%
33.85%3.85%—3.85%——11.54%
4——7.69%3.85%3.85%—15.38%
5+———————
Total15.38%19.23%34.62%15.38%11.54%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.88 2.08 -0.19
SD 1.24 1.57 1.92
CV 0.66 0.76 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—————3.85%
13.85%3.85%————7.69%
2——7.69%———7.69%
37.69%7.69%7.69%———23.08%
43.85%3.85%————7.69%
5+23.08%11.54%15.38%———50.00%
Total42.31%26.92%30.77%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 4.46 0.88 +3.58
SD 2.39 0.86 2.40
CV 0.54 0.98 —
Max 10 2 +8
Min 0 0 +0

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.54%3.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%30.77%
1—3.85%11.54%3.85%7.69%7.69%34.62%
2—3.85%7.69%—7.69%—19.23%
3——3.85%3.85%3.85%—11.54%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+———————
Total—19.23%30.77%11.54%26.92%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 2.81 -1.58
SD 1.14 1.36 1.79
CV 0.93 0.48 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 1 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—7.69%3.85%——15.38%
1——11.54%—3.85%3.85%19.23%
27.69%3.85%7.69%3.85%——23.08%
3—7.69%7.69%3.85%——19.23%
4—3.85%3.85%3.85%——11.54%
5+——3.85%7.69%——11.54%
Total11.54%15.38%42.31%23.08%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.42 2.04 +0.38
SD 2.00 1.18 2.23
CV 0.83 0.58 —
Max 9 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%————3.85%
13.85%15.38%—3.85%7.69%—30.77%
23.85%—11.54%11.54%——26.92%
3—3.85%7.69%3.85%7.69%3.85%26.92%
4———————
5+—3.85%——7.69%—11.54%
Total7.69%26.92%19.23%19.23%23.08%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.35 2.42 -0.08
SD 1.67 1.60 1.87
CV 0.71 0.66 —
Max 8 7 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———3.85%—3.85%7.69%
13.85%—3.85%———7.69%
2—3.85%11.54%3.85%—3.85%23.08%
3—7.69%7.69%—7.69%—23.08%
43.85%3.85%11.54%3.85%—3.85%26.92%
5+—3.85%—7.69%——11.54%
Total7.69%19.23%34.62%19.23%7.69%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.15 2.38 +0.77
SD 2.07 1.50 2.64
CV 0.66 0.63 —
Max 10 6 +7
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——3.85%—7.69%—11.54%
13.85%—15.38%3.85%—3.85%26.92%
23.85%7.69%11.54%11.54%—3.85%38.46%
3————3.85%—3.85%
4——3.85%7.69%3.85%—15.38%
5+————3.85%—3.85%
Total7.69%7.69%34.62%23.08%19.23%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.96 2.77 -0.81
SD 1.34 1.68 2.06
CV 0.68 0.61 —
Max 5 7 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——7.69%——3.85%11.54%
1——7.69%———7.69%
2—3.85%3.85%—3.85%—11.54%
33.85%7.69%11.54%———23.08%
43.85%7.69%3.85%7.69%——23.08%
5+3.85%15.38%3.85%———23.08%
Total11.54%34.62%38.46%7.69%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.38 1.69 +1.69
SD 2.16 1.16 2.85
CV 0.64 0.68 —
Max 8 5 +7
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%————3.85%
111.54%——3.85%—3.85%19.23%
23.85%7.69%3.85%11.54%——26.92%
3—3.85%7.69%3.85%—11.54%26.92%
4—3.85%—3.85%——7.69%
5+3.85%3.85%—7.69%——15.38%
Total19.23%23.08%11.54%30.77%—15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.73 2.23 +0.50
SD 1.66 1.82 2.32
CV 0.61 0.81 —
Max 7 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%————7.69%
13.85%7.69%7.69%7.69%3.85%7.69%38.46%
23.85%15.38%7.69%3.85%3.85%—34.62%
33.85%———7.69%—11.54%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+———3.85%——3.85%
Total11.54%30.77%19.23%15.38%15.38%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 2.23 -0.42
SD 1.27 1.70 2.06
CV 0.70 0.76 —
Max 6 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——3.85%——7.69%11.54%
13.85%—3.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%23.08%
2—19.23%3.85%3.85%7.69%—34.62%
3—3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%7.69%23.08%
4———3.85%——3.85%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total3.85%26.92%15.38%19.23%15.38%19.23%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 2.92 -0.92
SD 1.33 1.94 2.59
CV 0.66 0.66 —
Max 6 7 +5
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——3.85%——11.54%15.38%
1——3.85%——7.69%11.54%
2—3.85%3.85%7.69%15.38%7.69%38.46%
3——3.85%3.85%3.85%11.54%23.08%
4————3.85%7.69%11.54%
5+———————
Total—3.85%15.38%11.54%23.08%46.15%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.04 5.00 -2.96
SD 1.22 2.62 2.75
CV 0.60 0.52 —
Max 4 10 +1
Min 0 1 -8

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Belfast Celtic 1939 48 43.04 +4.96 98.0% 36 37 41 43 45 48 51
Linfield 1721 39 37.23 +1.77 69.0% 28 30 35 38 40 42 44
Lisburn Distillery 1590 32 28.05 +3.95 88.0% 16 20 25 28 31 35 39
Glentoran 1584 33 30.33 +2.67 81.0% 20 23 28 30 33 36 40
Ards 1512 23 21.70 +1.30 70.0% 13 15 19 21 24 30 35
Coleraine 1506 30 27.69 +2.31 73.0% 19 22 25 28 31 33 36
Bangor 1497 26 24.07 +1.93 71.0% 12 17 21 24 27 31 41
Ballymena 1492 28 27.89 +0.11 55.0% 17 20 25 28 31 33 40
Newry Town 1482 22 28.16 -6.16 7.0% 18 22 25 29 30 35 39
Glenavon 1464 24 22.99 +1.01 65.0% 12 15 21 23 26 30 33
Portadown 1405 22 23.01 -1.01 41.0% 12 14 21 23 26 30 34
Larne 1397 20 22.54 -2.54 36.0% 11 14 19 23 26 30 35
Cliftonville 1241 10 13.60 -3.60 21.0% 6 8 11 13 16 20 22
Queens Island 1172 7 13.70 -6.70 3.0% 6 8 11 14 16 20 24

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+12.64%
Slight Edge
48.35%15.93%35.71%
Elo Value
Home Edge
122 Elo
0.008 goals per Elo point
044.14400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.53 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.36+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.2
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
93%
Belfast Celtic, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.35/gm
Runaway
00.220.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.29 * Some Luck: 3.29 to 4.94 * Lucky: 4.94 to 6.59 * Wild Swing: 6.59 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.37 * Close: 1.37 to 2.05 * Off: 2.05 to 2.74 * Way Off: 2.74 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.44 points
Some Luck
04.1210
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.43
Close
01.714
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
98.00%
Belfast Celtic
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
3.00%
Queens Island
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.22
Top-Heavy
00.190.250.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 186.70
2.26
Wide Separation
11.852.253
Interquartile Edge
70%
Even
50%70%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 98%
99%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
51%
Some Drama
0%42%100%
Blowouts
Expected
30%
Frequent
0%36%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.50
Highly Predictable
00.532
Matchup Imbalance
0.45
Notable Separation
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.82
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.60
Some Carryover
00.470.620.761
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
16%
As Expected
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.60
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.10
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.055
Well Within Noise
00.1160.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Belfast Celtic93.00%7.00%————————————
Linfield6.00%74.00%11.00%5.00%2.00%2.00%————————
Glentoran—7.00%29.00%17.00%16.00%15.00%4.00%6.00%2.00%3.00%—1.00%——
Lisburn Distillery—4.00%17.00%18.00%15.00%6.00%14.00%8.00%6.00%9.00%2.00%1.00%——
Coleraine—1.00%10.00%17.00%18.00%15.00%11.00%11.00%4.00%10.00%2.00%1.00%——
Ballymena—2.00%14.00%11.00%17.00%14.00%18.00%8.00%6.00%3.00%3.00%2.00%2.00%—
Bangor—1.00%3.00%7.00%4.00%8.00%8.00%14.00%20.00%10.00%12.00%12.00%1.00%—
Glenavon———4.00%3.00%9.00%9.00%13.00%18.00%14.00%15.00%10.00%3.00%2.00%
Ards—1.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%6.00%4.00%8.00%8.00%13.00%26.00%18.00%10.00%1.00%
Newry Town1.00%3.00%9.00%15.00%15.00%12.00%15.00%11.00%10.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%—
Portadown——2.00%3.00%3.00%4.00%10.00%11.00%13.00%21.00%14.00%8.00%8.00%3.00%
Larne——3.00%2.00%5.00%9.00%7.00%9.00%13.00%9.00%10.00%22.00%7.00%4.00%
Cliftonville—————————1.00%8.00%10.00%36.00%45.00%
Queens Island———————1.00%—2.00%6.00%14.00%32.00%45.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Ards 100%
Ballymena 100%
Bangor 100%
Belfast Celtic 100%
Cliftonville 100%
Coleraine 100%
Glenavon 100%
Glentoran 100%
Larne 100%
Linfield 100%
Lisburn Distillery 100%
Newry Town 100%
Portadown 100%
Queens Island 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1928-08-20 Ards W 3-037.4 1466 1434 54.68% 16.86% 28.47%+0.62 +27.9 2
1928-08-20 @ Bangor L 0-337.4 1434 1466 28.47% 16.86% 54.68%-0.62 -27.9 0
1928-08-20 Larne L 0-147.9 1437 1505 41.31% 16.89% 41.80%-0.19 -14.0 0
1928-08-20 @ Glenavon W 1-047.9 1505 1437 41.80% 16.89% 41.31%+0.19 +14.0 2
1928-08-20 Cliftonville W 2-034.3 1488 1341 66.49% 16.64% 16.87%+1.56 +12.0 2
1928-08-20 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-234.3 1341 1488 16.87% 16.64% 66.49%-1.56 -12.0 0
1928-08-20 Glentoran L 0-158.1 1572 1502 59.07% 16.80% 24.13%+0.93 -19.3 0
1928-08-20 @ Newry Town W 1-058.1 1502 1572 24.13% 16.80% 59.07%-0.93 +19.3 2
1928-08-21 Portadown L 1-643.4 1423 1483 42.49% 16.90% 40.61%-0.13 -52.2 0
1928-08-21 @ Queens Island W 6-143.4 1483 1423 40.61% 16.90% 42.49%+0.13 +52.2 2
1928-08-22 Belfast Celtic L 0-345.4 1488 1712 21.93% 16.67% 61.41%-1.47 -22.1 0
1928-08-22 @ Ballymena W 3-045.4 1712 1488 61.41% 16.67% 21.93%+1.47 +22.1 2
1928-08-22 Coleraine L 0-261.1 1675 1476 70.50% 16.48% 13.03%+1.99 -43.5 0
1928-08-22 @ Linfield W 2-061.1 1476 1675 13.03% 16.48% 70.50%-1.99 +43.5 2
1928-08-25 Linfield L 2-450.4 1406 1631 21.75% 16.66% 61.58%-1.48 -11.7 0
1928-08-25 @ Ards W 4-250.4 1631 1406 61.58% 16.66% 21.75%+1.48 +11.7 2
1928-08-25 Queens Island W 5-035.3 1734 1371 78.71% 15.75% 5.54%+3.33 +9.7 4
1928-08-25 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-535.3 1371 1734 5.54% 15.75% 78.71%-3.33 -9.7 0
1928-08-25 Bangor L 0-140.4 1329 1493 28.51% 16.79% 54.70%-0.98 -10.2 0
1928-08-25 @ Cliftonville W 1-040.4 1493 1329 54.70% 16.79% 28.51%+0.98 +10.2 4
1928-08-25 Glenavon W 4-140.7 1520 1423 61.90% 16.75% 21.35%+1.15 +18.2 4
1928-08-25 @ Coleraine L 1-440.7 1423 1520 21.35% 16.75% 61.90%-1.15 -18.2 0
1928-08-25 Lisburn Distillery D 2-266.7 1521 1500 53.40% 16.87% 29.74%+0.54 -1.3 3
1928-08-25 @ Glentoran D 2-266.7 1500 1521 29.74% 16.87% 53.40%-0.54 +1.3 3
1928-08-25 Ballymena D 2-265.3 1519 1466 57.17% 16.83% 26.00%+0.79 -1.8 3
1928-08-25 @ Larne D 2-265.3 1466 1519 26.00% 16.83% 57.17%-0.79 +1.8 1
1928-08-25 Newry Town W 1-051.3 1535 1553 48.33% 16.89% 34.78%+0.22 +12.1 4
1928-08-25 @ Portadown L 0-151.3 1553 1535 34.78% 16.89% 48.33%-0.22 -12.1 0
1928-09-01 Coleraine D 3-370.1 1467 1538 40.95% 16.89% 42.15%-0.21 +0.1 2
1928-09-01 @ Ballymena D 3-370.1 1538 1467 42.15% 16.89% 40.95%+0.21 -0.0 5
1928-09-01 Glentoran L 1-353.9 1504 1520 48.51% 16.89% 34.60%+0.23 -26.2 4
1928-09-01 @ Bangor W 3-153.9 1520 1504 34.60% 16.89% 48.51%-0.23 +26.2 5
1928-09-01 Ards W 3-247.5 1404 1394 52.00% 16.88% 31.13%+0.44 +9.8 2
1928-09-01 @ Glenavon L 2-347.5 1394 1404 31.13% 16.88% 52.00%-0.44 -9.8 0
1928-09-01 Cliftonville W 3-032.9 1643 1319 77.24% 15.95% 6.81%+3.01 +7.4 4
1928-09-01 @ Linfield L 0-332.9 1319 1643 6.81% 15.95% 77.24%-3.01 -7.4 0
1928-09-01 Lisburn Distillery W 6-352.9 1541 1501 55.57% 16.85% 27.58%+0.68 +18.3 2
1928-09-01 @ Newry Town L 3-652.9 1501 1541 27.58% 16.85% 55.57%-0.68 -18.3 3
1928-09-01 Belfast Celtic L 0-746.4 1547 1743 24.81% 16.73% 58.45%-1.24 -54.6 4
1928-09-01 @ Portadown W 7-046.4 1743 1547 58.45% 16.73% 24.81%+1.24 +54.6 6
1928-09-01 Larne L 2-447.1 1361 1517 29.54% 16.81% 53.65%-0.91 -15.3 0
1928-09-01 @ Queens Island W 4-247.1 1517 1361 53.65% 16.81% 29.54%+0.91 +15.3 5
1928-09-08 Ballymena L 1-247.3 1384 1467 39.15% 16.89% 43.96%-0.32 -12.6 0
1928-09-08 @ Ards W 2-147.3 1467 1384 43.96% 16.89% 39.15%+0.32 +12.6 4
1928-09-08 Newry Town W 7-145.5 1798 1559 73.06% 16.33% 10.61%+2.32 +17.8 8
1928-09-08 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-745.5 1559 1798 10.61% 16.33% 73.06%-2.32 -17.8 2
1928-09-08 Glenavon L 0-140.9 1312 1414 36.45% 16.87% 46.68%-0.48 -12.6 0
1928-09-08 @ Cliftonville W 1-040.9 1414 1312 46.68% 16.87% 36.45%+0.48 +12.6 4
1928-09-08 Queens Island W 4-348.3 1538 1346 70.01% 16.50% 13.49%+1.93 +4.5 7
1928-09-08 @ Coleraine L 3-448.3 1346 1538 13.49% 16.50% 70.01%-1.93 -4.5 0
1928-09-08 Linfield W 2-161.0 1546 1651 36.20% 16.87% 46.93%-0.49 +14.7 7
1928-09-08 @ Glentoran L 1-261.0 1651 1546 46.93% 16.87% 36.20%+0.49 -14.7 4
1928-09-08 Portadown L 3-466.0 1532 1492 55.63% 16.85% 27.52%+0.69 -15.9 5
1928-09-08 @ Larne W 4-366.0 1492 1532 27.52% 16.85% 55.63%-0.69 +15.9 6
1928-09-08 Bangor W 1-045.7 1483 1477 51.39% 16.88% 31.73%+0.41 +11.2 5
1928-09-08 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-145.7 1477 1483 31.73% 16.88% 51.39%-0.41 -11.2 4
1928-09-15 Cliftonville W 4-028.3 1480 1299 69.21% 16.54% 14.26%+1.84 +19.5 6
1928-09-15 @ Ballymena L 0-428.3 1299 1480 14.26% 16.54% 69.21%-1.84 -19.5 0
1928-09-15 Larne W 7-144.3 1816 1516 76.18% 16.07% 7.75%+2.81 +13.2 10
1928-09-15 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-744.3 1516 1816 7.75% 16.07% 76.18%-2.81 -13.2 5
1928-09-15 Glentoran L 3-457.7 1427 1561 32.27% 16.84% 50.90%-0.73 -9.9 4
1928-09-15 @ Glenavon W 4-357.7 1561 1427 50.90% 16.84% 32.27%+0.73 +9.9 9
1928-09-15 Lisburn Distillery W 3-254.2 1636 1494 66.08% 16.65% 17.27%+1.52 +5.8 6
1928-09-15 @ Linfield L 2-354.2 1494 1636 17.27% 16.65% 66.08%-1.52 -5.8 5
1928-09-15 Bangor W 2-148.0 1541 1466 59.60% 16.80% 23.61%+0.97 +8.1 4
1928-09-15 @ Newry Town L 1-248.0 1466 1541 23.61% 16.80% 59.60%-0.97 -8.1 4
1928-09-15 Coleraine L 2-360.3 1508 1542 46.10% 16.90% 37.00%+0.08 -13.7 6
1928-09-15 @ Portadown W 3-260.3 1542 1508 37.00% 16.90% 46.10%-0.08 +13.7 9
1928-09-15 Ards D 4-465.4 1341 1372 46.59% 16.90% 36.52%+0.11 -0.4 1
1928-09-15 @ Queens Island D 4-465.4 1372 1341 36.52% 16.90% 46.59%-0.11 +0.4 1
1928-09-29 Portadown L 1-246.1 1372 1495 33.78% 16.85% 49.37%-0.64 -11.1 1
1928-09-29 @ Ards W 2-146.1 1495 1372 49.37% 16.85% 33.78%+0.64 +11.1 8
1928-09-29 Linfield L 1-349.9 1458 1642 26.24% 16.76% 57.01%-1.14 -15.5 4
1928-09-29 @ Bangor W 3-149.9 1642 1458 57.01% 16.76% 26.24%+1.14 +15.5 8
1928-09-29 Queens Island W 4-245.9 1280 1341 42.27% 16.90% 40.83%-0.14 +20.2 2
1928-09-29 @ Cliftonville L 2-445.9 1341 1280 40.83% 16.90% 42.27%+0.14 -20.2 1
1928-09-29 Belfast Celtic L 1-450.5 1556 1829 17.41% 16.52% 66.07%-1.87 -15.1 9
1928-09-29 @ Coleraine W 4-150.5 1829 1556 66.07% 16.52% 17.41%+1.87 +15.1 12
1928-09-29 Ballymena D 2-268.5 1571 1500 59.21% 16.80% 23.99%+0.94 -2.0 10
1928-09-29 @ Glentoran D 2-268.5 1500 1571 23.99% 16.80% 59.21%-0.94 +2.0 7
1928-09-29 Newry Town W 4-362.0 1503 1549 44.42% 16.90% 38.69%-0.02 +11.5 7
1928-09-29 @ Larne L 3-462.0 1549 1503 38.69% 16.90% 44.42%+0.02 -11.5 4
1928-09-29 Glenavon W 3-248.3 1488 1417 59.23% 16.80% 23.97%+0.94 +7.8 7
1928-09-29 @ Lisburn Distillery L 2-348.3 1417 1488 23.97% 16.80% 59.23%-0.94 -7.8 4
1928-10-06 Lisburn Distillery W 5-355.4 1502 1496 51.38% 16.88% 31.74%+0.41 +15.4 9
1928-10-06 @ Ballymena L 3-555.4 1496 1502 31.74% 16.88% 51.38%-0.41 -15.4 7
1928-10-06 Ards W 3-039.3 1844 1361 82.08% 15.03% 2.89%+4.31 +3.1 14
1928-10-06 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-339.3 1361 1844 2.89% 15.03% 82.08%-4.31 -3.1 1
1928-10-06 Bangor D 2-260.8 1409 1443 46.17% 16.90% 36.93%+0.09 -0.5 5
1928-10-06 @ Glenavon D 2-260.8 1443 1409 36.93% 16.90% 46.17%-0.09 +0.5 5
1928-10-06 Coleraine W 2-047.8 1515 1541 47.17% 16.89% 35.94%+0.15 +23.4 9
1928-10-06 @ Larne L 0-247.8 1541 1515 35.94% 16.89% 47.17%-0.15 -23.4 9
1928-10-06 Linfield L 3-464.9 1538 1657 34.15% 16.86% 48.99%-0.62 -10.4 4
1928-10-06 @ Newry Town W 4-364.9 1657 1538 48.99% 16.86% 34.15%+0.62 +10.4 10
1928-10-06 Cliftonville W 2-138.1 1506 1300 70.96% 16.45% 12.58%+2.04 +4.6 10
1928-10-06 @ Portadown L 1-238.1 1300 1506 12.58% 16.45% 70.96%-2.04 -4.6 2
1928-10-06 Glentoran L 2-444.4 1321 1569 19.60% 16.60% 63.80%-1.67 -10.7 1
1928-10-06 @ Queens Island W 4-244.4 1569 1321 63.80% 16.60% 19.60%+1.67 +10.6 12
1928-10-13 Larne W 4-044.1 1358 1538 26.63% 16.76% 56.60%-1.11 +66.1 3
1928-10-13 @ Ards L 0-444.1 1538 1358 56.60% 16.76% 26.63%+1.11 -66.1 9
1928-10-13 Ballymena D 2-264.4 1443 1517 40.46% 16.89% 42.65%-0.24 +0.1 6
1928-10-13 @ Bangor D 2-264.4 1517 1443 42.65% 16.89% 40.46%+0.24 -0.1 10
1928-10-13 Belfast Celtic L 0-535.8 1295 1847 4.11% 15.16% 80.73%-4.15 -7.1 2
1928-10-13 @ Cliftonville W 5-035.8 1847 1295 80.73% 15.16% 4.11%+4.15 +7.1 16
1928-10-13 Newry Town L 1-257.1 1517 1527 49.38% 16.89% 33.73%+0.28 -15.4 9
1928-10-13 @ Coleraine W 2-157.1 1527 1517 33.73% 16.89% 49.38%-0.28 +15.4 6
1928-10-13 Portadown L 1-261.6 1579 1510 58.99% 16.80% 24.20%+0.93 -18.1 12
1928-10-13 @ Glentoran W 2-161.6 1510 1579 24.20% 16.80% 58.99%-0.93 +18.1 12
1928-10-13 Glenavon W 4-141.9 1668 1409 74.17% 16.25% 9.58%+2.48 +8.7 12
1928-10-13 @ Linfield L 1-441.9 1409 1668 9.58% 16.25% 74.17%-2.48 -8.6 5
1928-10-13 Queens Island W 5-028.1 1481 1310 68.44% 16.57% 14.99%+1.76 +25.2 9
1928-10-13 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-528.1 1310 1481 14.99% 16.57% 68.44%-1.76 -25.2 1
1928-10-20 Linfield W 4-265.0 1517 1676 29.09% 16.80% 54.11%-0.94 +25.9 12
1928-10-20 @ Ballymena L 2-465.0 1676 1517 54.11% 16.80% 29.09%+0.94 -25.9 12
1928-10-20 Glentoran W 6-041.7 1854 1561 75.89% 16.10% 8.01%+2.76 +16.5 18
1928-10-20 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-641.7 1561 1854 8.01% 16.10% 75.89%-2.76 -16.5 12
1928-10-20 Ards D 2-263.2 1502 1424 59.95% 16.79% 23.26%+1.00 -2.1 10
1928-10-20 @ Coleraine D 2-263.2 1424 1502 23.26% 16.79% 59.95%-1.00 +2.1 4
1928-10-20 Cliftonville D 2-258.8 1472 1288 69.42% 16.53% 14.05%+1.86 -3.3 10
1928-10-20 @ Larne D 2-258.8 1288 1472 14.05% 16.53% 69.42%-1.86 +3.3 3
1928-10-20 Glenavon D 1-160.3 1543 1400 66.15% 16.65% 17.20%+1.53 -3.9 7
1928-10-20 @ Newry Town D 1-160.3 1400 1543 17.20% 16.65% 66.15%-1.53 +3.9 6
1928-10-20 Lisburn Distillery D 3-371.2 1528 1506 53.53% 16.87% 29.60%+0.54 -1.1 13
1928-10-20 @ Portadown D 3-371.2 1506 1528 29.60% 16.87% 53.53%-0.54 +1.1 10
1928-10-20 Bangor W 2-149.1 1285 1443 29.19% 16.80% 54.00%-0.93 +16.7 3
1928-10-20 @ Queens Island L 1-249.1 1443 1285 54.00% 16.80% 29.19%+0.93 -16.7 6
1928-10-27 Newry Town D 1-161.0 1426 1539 35.09% 16.86% 48.04%-0.56 +1.0 5
1928-10-27 @ Ards D 1-161.0 1539 1426 48.04% 16.86% 35.09%+0.56 -1.0 8
1928-10-27 Portadown W 4-254.8 1427 1527 36.71% 16.87% 46.42%-0.46 +22.5 8
1928-10-27 @ Bangor L 2-454.8 1527 1427 46.42% 16.87% 36.71%+0.46 -22.5 13
1928-10-27 Coleraine L 1-339.0 1292 1500 23.52% 16.70% 59.78%-1.34 -14.0 3
1928-10-27 @ Cliftonville W 3-139.0 1500 1292 59.78% 16.70% 23.52%+1.34 +14.0 12
1928-10-27 Ballymena D 1-160.4 1404 1543 31.64% 16.83% 51.53%-0.77 +1.5 7
1928-10-27 @ Glenavon D 1-160.4 1543 1404 51.53% 16.83% 31.64%+0.77 -1.5 13
1928-10-27 Larne L 4-569.6 1545 1469 59.75% 16.79% 23.46%+0.98 -16.8 12
1928-10-27 @ Glentoran W 5-469.6 1469 1545 23.46% 16.79% 59.75%-0.98 +16.8 12
1928-10-27 Queens Island W 8-133.5 1650 1302 78.21% 15.82% 5.97%+3.21 +11.8 14
1928-10-27 @ Linfield L 1-833.5 1302 1650 5.97% 15.82% 78.21%-3.21 -11.8 3
1928-10-27 Belfast Celtic L 0-149.7 1507 1871 11.09% 16.18% 72.73%-2.61 -4.3 10
1928-10-27 @ Lisburn Distillery W 1-049.7 1871 1507 72.73% 16.18% 11.09%+2.61 +4.3 20
1928-11-03 Cliftonville W 4-133.3 1427 1278 66.75% 16.63% 16.62%+1.58 +14.5 7
1928-11-03 @ Ards L 1-433.3 1278 1427 16.62% 16.63% 66.75%-1.58 -14.5 3
1928-11-03 Bangor W 7-246.0 1875 1449 80.67% 15.39% 3.94%+3.84 +4.8 22
1928-11-03 @ Belfast Celtic L 2-746.0 1449 1875 3.94% 15.39% 80.67%-3.84 -4.8 8
1928-11-03 Glentoran W 5-252.2 1514 1528 48.83% 16.89% 34.28%+0.25 +23.9 14
1928-11-03 @ Coleraine L 2-552.2 1528 1514 34.28% 16.89% 48.83%-0.25 -23.9 12
1928-11-03 Lisburn Distillery L 1-352.6 1485 1503 48.37% 16.89% 34.74%+0.22 -26.1 12
1928-11-03 @ Larne W 3-152.6 1503 1485 34.74% 16.89% 48.37%-0.22 +26.1 12
1928-11-03 Ballymena D 2-268.8 1538 1541 50.21% 16.89% 32.90%+0.33 -1.0 9
1928-11-03 @ Newry Town D 2-268.8 1541 1538 32.90% 16.89% 50.21%-0.33 +1.0 14
1928-11-03 Linfield L 1-255.0 1505 1662 29.33% 16.80% 53.87%-0.93 -9.8 13
1928-11-03 @ Portadown W 2-155.0 1662 1505 53.87% 16.80% 29.33%+0.93 +9.8 16
1928-11-03 Glenavon L 4-843.9 1290 1405 34.67% 16.86% 48.47%-0.58 -26.2 3
1928-11-03 @ Queens Island W 8-443.9 1405 1290 48.47% 16.86% 34.67%+0.58 +26.2 9
1928-11-07 Belfast Celtic D 2-275.6 1672 1880 23.56% 16.70% 59.74%-1.34 +2.1 17
1928-11-07 @ Linfield D 2-275.6 1880 1672 59.74% 16.70% 23.56%+1.34 -2.1 23
1928-11-10 Queens Island W 7-336.6 1542 1264 75.20% 16.16% 8.64%+2.64 +7.8 16
1928-11-10 @ Ballymena L 3-736.6 1264 1542 8.64% 16.16% 75.20%-2.64 -7.8 3
1928-11-10 Larne W 2-147.5 1444 1459 48.71% 16.89% 34.40%+0.24 +11.3 10
1928-11-10 @ Bangor L 1-247.5 1459 1444 34.40% 16.89% 48.71%-0.24 -11.3 12
1928-11-10 Newry Town D 2-259.6 1263 1537 17.35% 16.52% 66.13%-1.88 +2.9 4
1928-11-10 @ Cliftonville D 2-259.6 1537 1263 66.13% 16.52% 17.35%+1.88 -2.9 10
1928-11-10 Portadown W 3-148.2 1432 1495 41.98% 16.89% 41.12%-0.16 +22.7 11
1928-11-10 @ Glenavon L 1-348.2 1495 1432 41.12% 16.89% 41.98%+0.16 -22.7 13
1928-11-14 Ards W 3-144.0 1504 1442 58.25% 16.82% 24.94%+0.87 +14.8 14
1928-11-14 @ Glentoran L 1-344.0 1442 1504 24.94% 16.82% 58.25%-0.87 -14.8 7
1928-11-17 Lisburn Distillery L 0-147.0 1427 1529 36.52% 16.87% 46.61%-0.47 -12.6 7
1928-11-17 @ Ards W 1-047.0 1529 1427 46.61% 16.87% 36.52%+0.47 +12.6 14
1928-11-17 Glenavon D 1-171.3 1878 1454 80.60% 15.41% 4.00%+3.82 -6.4 24
1928-11-17 @ Belfast Celtic D 1-171.3 1454 1878 4.00% 15.41% 80.60%-3.82 +6.4 12
1928-11-17 Glentoran L 2-441.5 1266 1519 19.15% 16.58% 64.26%-1.71 -10.4 4
1928-11-17 @ Cliftonville W 4-241.5 1519 1266 64.26% 16.58% 19.15%+1.71 +10.4 16
1928-11-17 Bangor W 2-147.2 1538 1456 60.39% 16.78% 22.83%+1.03 +7.9 16
1928-11-17 @ Coleraine L 1-247.2 1456 1538 22.83% 16.78% 60.39%-1.03 -7.9 10
1928-11-17 Linfield L 0-441.6 1448 1674 21.71% 16.66% 61.63%-1.49 -28.6 12
1928-11-17 @ Larne W 4-041.6 1674 1448 61.63% 16.66% 21.71%+1.49 +28.6 19
1928-11-17 Ballymena L 3-558.8 1472 1550 39.88% 16.89% 43.23%-0.28 -18.7 13
1928-11-17 @ Portadown W 5-358.8 1550 1472 43.23% 16.89% 39.88%+0.28 +18.7 18
1928-11-17 Newry Town L 1-239.0 1256 1534 16.98% 16.51% 66.51%-1.91 -6.0 3
1928-11-17 @ Queens Island W 2-139.0 1534 1256 66.51% 16.51% 16.98%+1.91 +6.0 12
1928-12-01 Bangor W 2-147.0 1414 1448 46.17% 16.90% 36.93%+0.09 +12.0 9
1928-12-01 @ Ards L 1-247.0 1448 1414 36.93% 16.90% 46.17%-0.09 -12.0 10
1928-12-01 Ballymena W 3-255.9 1871 1569 76.32% 16.05% 7.62%+2.84 +2.7 26
1928-12-01 @ Belfast Celtic L 2-355.9 1569 1871 7.62% 16.05% 76.32%-2.84 -2.7 18
1928-12-01 Lisburn Distillery L 0-136.0 1255 1541 16.35% 16.48% 67.17%-1.98 -6.2 4
1928-12-01 @ Cliftonville W 1-036.0 1541 1255 67.17% 16.48% 16.35%+1.98 +6.2 16
1928-12-01 Linfield W 2-058.4 1546 1703 29.39% 16.81% 53.81%-0.92 +33.2 18
1928-12-01 @ Coleraine L 0-258.4 1703 1546 53.81% 16.81% 29.39%+0.92 -33.2 19
1928-12-01 Newry Town W 5-147.6 1529 1540 49.28% 16.89% 33.83%+0.27 +35.2 18
1928-12-01 @ Glentoran L 1-547.6 1540 1529 33.83% 16.89% 49.28%-0.27 -35.2 12
1928-12-01 Glenavon D 2-261.7 1419 1461 45.06% 16.90% 38.04%+0.02 -0.4 13
1928-12-01 @ Larne D 2-261.7 1461 1419 38.04% 16.90% 45.06%-0.02 +0.4 13
1928-12-01 Queens Island D 2-258.0 1453 1250 70.83% 16.46% 12.71%+2.03 -3.5 14
1928-12-01 @ Portadown D 2-258.0 1250 1453 12.71% 16.46% 70.83%-2.03 +3.5 4
1928-12-08 Larne W 2-039.4 1566 1419 66.54% 16.63% 16.82%+1.56 +12.0 20
1928-12-08 @ Ballymena L 0-239.4 1419 1566 16.82% 16.63% 66.54%-1.56 -12.0 13
1928-12-08 Cliftonville W 2-136.4 1436 1249 69.62% 16.52% 13.86%+1.89 +5.0 12
1928-12-08 @ Bangor L 1-236.4 1249 1436 13.86% 16.52% 69.62%-1.89 -5.0 4
1928-12-08 Coleraine W 2-051.1 1461 1579 34.39% 16.86% 48.76%-0.60 +30.4 15
1928-12-08 @ Glenavon L 0-251.1 1579 1461 48.76% 16.86% 34.39%+0.60 -30.4 18
1928-12-08 Ards W 6-140.5 1669 1426 73.29% 16.31% 10.39%+2.35 +14.8 21
1928-12-08 @ Linfield L 1-640.5 1426 1669 10.39% 16.31% 73.29%-2.35 -14.8 9
1928-12-08 Glentoran L 2-363.1 1548 1565 48.44% 16.89% 34.67%+0.22 -14.3 16
1928-12-08 @ Lisburn Distillery W 3-263.1 1565 1548 34.67% 16.89% 48.44%-0.22 +14.3 20
1928-12-08 Portadown W 2-041.0 1505 1450 57.38% 16.83% 25.79%+0.81 +17.6 14
1928-12-08 @ Newry Town L 0-241.0 1450 1505 25.79% 16.83% 57.38%-0.81 -17.6 14
1928-12-08 Belfast Celtic L 2-1039.8 1253 1874 2.83% 14.70% 82.47%-4.72 -5.1 4
1928-12-08 @ Queens Island W 10-239.8 1874 1253 82.47% 14.70% 2.83%+4.72 +5.1 28
1928-12-12 Coleraine W 2-154.0 1533 1549 48.65% 16.89% 34.46%+0.24 +11.3 18
1928-12-12 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-254.0 1549 1533 34.46% 16.89% 48.65%-0.24 -11.3 18
1928-12-15 Glenavon D 1-158.9 1411 1492 39.58% 16.89% 43.54%-0.29 +0.3 10
1928-12-15 @ Ards D 1-158.9 1492 1411 43.54% 16.89% 39.58%+0.29 -0.3 16
1928-12-15 Portadown W 6-039.2 1879 1432 81.22% 15.26% 3.52%+4.02 +7.3 30
1928-12-15 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-639.2 1432 1879 3.52% 15.26% 81.22%-4.02 -7.3 14
1928-12-15 Linfield L 1-534.2 1244 1684 7.47% 15.81% 76.72%-3.24 -8.7 4
1928-12-15 @ Cliftonville W 5-134.2 1684 1244 76.72% 15.81% 7.47%+3.24 +8.7 23
1928-12-15 Ballymena D 0-064.1 1537 1578 45.16% 16.90% 37.95%+0.03 -0.6 19
1928-12-15 @ Coleraine D 0-064.1 1578 1537 37.95% 16.90% 45.16%-0.03 +0.6 21
1928-12-15 Bangor W 4-036.8 1579 1441 65.76% 16.66% 17.58%+1.49 +23.7 22
1928-12-15 @ Glentoran L 0-436.8 1441 1579 17.58% 16.66% 65.76%-1.49 -23.7 12
1928-12-15 Queens Island L 2-356.2 1407 1248 67.51% 16.60% 15.88%+1.66 -19.7 13
1928-12-15 @ Larne W 3-256.2 1248 1407 15.88% 16.60% 67.51%-1.66 +19.7 6
1928-12-15 Newry Town W 4-147.8 1545 1522 53.51% 16.87% 29.62%+0.54 +24.3 20
1928-12-15 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-447.8 1522 1545 29.62% 16.87% 53.51%-0.54 -24.3 14
1928-12-22 Ards W 4-246.7 1579 1412 68.15% 16.58% 15.27%+1.73 +8.5 23
1928-12-22 @ Ballymena L 2-446.7 1412 1579 15.27% 16.58% 68.15%-1.73 -8.5 10
1928-12-22 Lisburn Distillery W 3-153.9 1417 1569 30.00% 16.81% 53.18%-0.88 +28.5 14
1928-12-22 @ Bangor L 1-353.9 1569 1417 53.18% 16.81% 30.00%+0.88 -28.5 20
1928-12-22 Cliftonville W 5-130.0 1491 1236 74.00% 16.26% 9.74%+2.45 +11.3 18
1928-12-22 @ Glenavon L 1-530.0 1236 1491 9.74% 16.26% 74.00%-2.45 -11.3 4
1928-12-22 Glentoran W 4-363.0 1693 1603 61.24% 16.77% 21.99%+1.10 +7.1 25
1928-12-22 @ Linfield L 3-463.0 1603 1693 21.99% 16.77% 61.24%-1.10 -7.1 22
1928-12-22 Belfast Celtic L 1-350.1 1498 1886 9.77% 16.07% 74.16%-2.82 -6.2 14
1928-12-22 @ Newry Town W 3-150.1 1886 1498 74.16% 16.07% 9.77%+2.82 +6.2 32
1928-12-22 Larne W 2-142.9 1425 1387 55.40% 16.85% 27.76%+0.67 +9.4 16
1928-12-22 @ Portadown L 1-242.9 1387 1425 27.76% 16.85% 55.40%-0.67 -9.4 13
1928-12-22 Coleraine L 3-936.0 1268 1537 17.75% 16.54% 65.71%-1.84 -21.4 6
1928-12-22 @ Queens Island W 9-336.0 1537 1268 65.71% 16.54% 17.75%+1.84 +21.4 21
1928-12-25 Queens Island W 3-240.7 1403 1246 67.35% 16.61% 16.04%+1.64 +5.4 12
1928-12-25 @ Ards L 2-340.7 1246 1403 16.04% 16.61% 67.35%-1.64 -5.4 6
1928-12-25 Newry Town W 4-251.9 1446 1492 44.40% 16.90% 38.70%-0.02 +19.3 16
1928-12-25 @ Bangor L 2-451.9 1492 1446 38.70% 16.90% 44.40%+0.02 -19.3 14
1928-12-25 Ballymena W 3-260.1 1224 1587 11.14% 16.18% 72.68%-2.61 +21.2 6
1928-12-25 @ Cliftonville L 2-360.1 1587 1224 72.68% 16.18% 11.14%+2.61 -21.3 23
1928-12-25 Portadown W 3-143.8 1558 1434 64.48% 16.69% 18.83%+1.37 +11.5 23
1928-12-25 @ Coleraine L 1-343.8 1434 1558 18.83% 16.69% 64.48%-1.37 -11.5 16
1928-12-25 Glenavon W 7-350.5 1595 1503 61.50% 16.76% 21.74%+1.12 +18.5 24
1928-12-25 @ Glentoran L 3-750.5 1503 1595 21.74% 16.76% 61.50%-1.12 -18.5 18
1928-12-25 Belfast Celtic L 2-745.6 1378 1893 5.02% 15.39% 79.59%-3.85 -6.0 13
1928-12-25 @ Larne W 7-245.6 1893 1378 79.59% 15.39% 5.02%+3.85 +6.0 34
1928-12-25 Linfield L 2-360.5 1540 1700 29.07% 16.80% 54.13%-0.94 -9.3 20
1928-12-25 @ Lisburn Distillery W 3-260.5 1700 1540 54.13% 16.80% 29.07%+0.94 +9.3 27
1928-12-26 Glentoran W 3-050.1 1566 1614 44.14% 16.90% 38.96%-0.03 +36.4 25
1928-12-26 @ Ballymena L 0-350.1 1614 1566 38.96% 16.90% 44.14%+0.03 -36.4 24
1928-12-26 Coleraine W 3-255.7 1899 1570 77.45% 15.93% 6.63%+3.05 +2.3 36
1928-12-26 @ Belfast Celtic L 2-355.7 1570 1899 6.63% 15.93% 77.45%-3.05 -2.3 23
1928-12-26 Lisburn Distillery L 3-462.3 1484 1531 44.26% 16.90% 38.84%-0.02 -12.9 18
1928-12-26 @ Glenavon W 4-362.3 1531 1484 38.84% 16.90% 44.26%+0.02 +12.9 22
1928-12-26 Bangor W 4-145.1 1709 1465 73.36% 16.31% 10.33%+2.36 +9.3 29
1928-12-26 @ Linfield L 1-445.1 1465 1709 10.33% 16.31% 73.36%-2.36 -9.3 16
1928-12-26 Larne W 2-141.6 1472 1372 62.28% 16.75% 20.98%+1.18 +7.3 16
1928-12-26 @ Newry Town L 1-241.6 1372 1472 20.98% 16.75% 62.28%-1.18 -7.3 13
1928-12-26 Ards L 1-446.6 1423 1409 52.50% 16.87% 30.63%+0.48 -39.8 16
1928-12-26 @ Portadown W 4-146.6 1409 1423 30.63% 16.87% 52.50%-0.48 +39.8 14
1928-12-26 Cliftonville D 3-360.4 1241 1245 50.08% 16.89% 33.03%+0.32 -0.8 7
1928-12-26 @ Queens Island D 3-360.4 1245 1241 33.03% 16.89% 50.08%-0.32 +0.8 7
1928-12-29 Belfast Celtic L 2-648.7 1449 1901 6.99% 15.74% 77.27%-3.34 -6.9 14
1928-12-29 @ Ards W 6-248.7 1901 1449 77.27% 15.74% 6.99%+3.34 +6.9 38
1928-12-29 Glenavon D 3-367.3 1456 1471 48.62% 16.89% 34.49%+0.23 -0.6 17
1928-12-29 @ Bangor D 3-367.3 1471 1456 34.49% 16.89% 48.62%-0.23 +0.6 19
1928-12-29 Portadown L 1-241.4 1246 1383 31.89% 16.83% 51.27%-0.76 -10.6 7
1928-12-29 @ Cliftonville W 2-141.4 1383 1246 51.27% 16.83% 31.89%+0.76 +10.6 18
1928-12-29 Larne L 1-259.2 1567 1365 70.76% 16.46% 12.77%+2.02 -21.8 23
1928-12-29 @ Coleraine W 2-159.2 1365 1567 12.77% 16.46% 70.76%-2.02 +21.8 15
1928-12-29 Queens Island W 10-331.9 1578 1240 77.78% 15.88% 6.34%+3.12 +9.2 26
1928-12-29 @ Glentoran L 3-1031.9 1240 1578 6.34% 15.88% 77.78%-3.12 -9.2 7
1928-12-29 Newry Town W 3-147.8 1719 1480 73.04% 16.33% 10.63%+2.31 +6.8 31
1928-12-29 @ Linfield L 1-347.8 1480 1719 10.63% 16.33% 73.04%-2.31 -6.8 16
1928-12-29 Ballymena W 5-152.1 1544 1602 42.70% 16.90% 40.40%-0.11 +40.9 24
1928-12-29 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-552.1 1602 1544 40.40% 16.90% 42.70%+0.11 -40.9 25
1929-01-05 Bangor L 1-260.1 1561 1455 62.86% 16.73% 20.41%+1.23 -19.3 25
1929-01-05 @ Ballymena W 2-160.1 1455 1561 20.41% 16.73% 62.86%-1.23 +19.3 19
1929-01-05 Cliftonville W 4-035.1 1908 1236 85.31% 13.66% 1.03%+5.86 +1.4 40
1929-01-05 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-435.1 1236 1908 1.03% 13.66% 85.31%-5.86 -1.4 7
1929-01-05 Linfield L 2-356.5 1472 1725 19.10% 16.58% 64.31%-1.71 -6.4 19
1929-01-05 @ Glenavon W 3-256.5 1725 1472 64.31% 16.58% 19.10%+1.71 +6.4 33
1929-01-05 Ards L 2-351.8 1386 1442 43.12% 16.90% 39.98%-0.09 -12.9 15
1929-01-05 @ Larne W 3-251.8 1442 1386 39.98% 16.90% 43.12%+0.09 +13.0 16
1929-01-05 Coleraine W 3-045.9 1473 1545 40.67% 16.89% 42.44%-0.23 +39.1 18
1929-01-05 @ Newry Town L 0-345.9 1545 1473 42.44% 16.89% 40.67%+0.23 -39.1 23
1929-01-05 Glentoran L 2-449.3 1394 1587 25.18% 16.74% 58.09%-1.22 -13.3 18
1929-01-05 @ Portadown W 4-249.3 1587 1394 58.09% 16.74% 25.18%+1.22 +13.3 28
1929-01-05 Lisburn Distillery L 2-341.9 1231 1585 11.66% 16.22% 72.13%-2.53 -4.0 7
1929-01-05 @ Queens Island W 3-241.9 1585 1231 72.13% 16.22% 11.66%+2.53 +4.0 26
1929-01-12 Queens Island W 2-029.8 1474 1227 73.53% 16.30% 10.18%+2.38 +7.5 21
1929-01-12 @ Bangor L 0-229.8 1227 1474 10.18% 16.30% 73.53%-2.38 -7.5 7
1929-01-19 Glenavon D 2-266.2 1542 1465 59.81% 16.79% 23.40%+0.99 -2.1 26
1929-01-19 @ Ballymena D 2-266.2 1465 1542 23.40% 16.79% 59.81%-0.99 +2.1 20
1929-01-19 Lisburn Distillery W 6-145.4 1909 1589 77.09% 15.97% 6.94%+2.98 +10.0 42
1929-01-19 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-645.4 1589 1909 6.94% 15.97% 77.09%-2.98 -10.0 26
1929-01-19 Cliftonville W 4-237.5 1506 1234 74.86% 16.19% 8.95%+2.59 +5.1 25
1929-01-19 @ Coleraine L 2-437.5 1234 1506 8.95% 16.19% 74.86%-2.59 -5.1 7
1929-01-19 Glentoran L 2-350.0 1373 1600 21.65% 16.66% 61.70%-1.49 -7.1 15
1929-01-19 @ Larne W 3-250.0 1600 1373 61.70% 16.66% 21.65%+1.49 +7.1 30
1929-01-19 Ards L 1-256.7 1512 1455 57.71% 16.82% 25.47%+0.83 -17.8 18
1929-01-19 @ Newry Town W 2-156.7 1455 1512 25.47% 16.82% 57.71%-0.83 +17.8 18
1929-01-19 Bangor L 3-454.7 1380 1482 36.60% 16.87% 46.52%-0.47 -11.0 18
1929-01-19 @ Portadown W 4-354.7 1482 1380 46.52% 16.87% 36.60%+0.47 +11.0 23
1929-01-19 Linfield L 2-835.2 1220 1732 5.09% 15.40% 79.51%-3.83 -7.2 7
1929-01-19 @ Queens Island W 8-235.2 1732 1220 79.51% 15.40% 5.09%+3.83 +7.2 35
1929-01-26 Newry Town L 0-155.8 1540 1494 56.33% 16.84% 26.83%+0.73 -18.4 26
1929-01-26 @ Ballymena W 1-055.8 1494 1540 26.83% 16.84% 56.33%-0.73 +18.4 20
1929-01-26 Belfast Celtic D 0-069.4 1493 1919 8.01% 15.88% 76.11%-3.13 +6.3 24
1929-01-26 @ Bangor D 0-069.4 1919 1493 76.11% 15.88% 8.01%+3.13 -6.3 43
1929-01-26 Ards D 1-154.4 1229 1472 20.06% 16.61% 63.33%-1.63 +3.4 8
1929-01-26 @ Cliftonville D 1-154.4 1472 1229 63.33% 16.61% 20.06%+1.63 -3.4 19
1929-01-26 Queens Island W 5-445.6 1468 1212 73.97% 16.26% 9.77%+2.45 +3.3 22
1929-01-26 @ Glenavon L 4-545.6 1212 1468 9.77% 16.26% 73.97%-2.45 -3.3 7
1929-01-26 Coleraine L 2-367.3 1607 1511 61.79% 16.76% 21.45%+1.14 -18.0 30
1929-01-26 @ Glentoran W 3-267.3 1511 1607 21.45% 16.76% 61.79%-1.14 +18.0 27
1929-01-26 Portadown W 5-140.0 1739 1369 78.94% 15.71% 5.34%+3.38 +6.3 37
1929-01-26 @ Linfield L 1-540.0 1369 1739 5.34% 15.71% 78.94%-3.38 -6.3 18
1929-01-26 Larne W 2-142.1 1579 1366 71.43% 16.43% 12.14%+2.10 +4.4 28
1929-01-26 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-242.1 1366 1579 12.14% 16.43% 71.43%-2.10 -4.4 15
1929-01-30 Newry Town W 3-255.4 1471 1513 44.99% 16.90% 38.11%+0.02 +11.7 24
1929-01-30 @ Glenavon L 2-355.4 1513 1471 38.11% 16.90% 44.99%-0.02 -11.7 20
1929-01-30 Portadown W 7-341.9 1583 1363 71.92% 16.40% 11.68%+2.16 +10.4 30
1929-01-30 @ Lisburn Distillery L 3-741.9 1363 1583 11.68% 16.40% 71.92%-2.16 -10.4 18
1929-02-02 Glentoran W 4-365.3 1469 1589 34.06% 16.86% 49.09%-0.62 +14.1 21
1929-02-02 @ Ards L 3-465.3 1589 1469 49.09% 16.86% 34.06%+0.62 -14.1 30
1929-02-02 Linfield W 5-044.5 1913 1745 68.23% 16.57% 15.20%+1.73 +25.5 45
1929-02-02 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-544.5 1745 1913 15.20% 16.57% 68.23%-1.73 -25.5 37
1929-02-02 Lisburn Distillery W 5-362.7 1529 1594 41.80% 16.89% 41.31%-0.17 +19.3 29
1929-02-02 @ Coleraine L 3-562.7 1594 1529 41.31% 16.89% 41.80%+0.17 -19.3 30
1929-02-02 Bangor D 4-468.6 1362 1499 31.85% 16.83% 51.32%-0.76 +0.8 16
1929-02-02 @ Larne D 4-468.6 1499 1362 51.32% 16.83% 31.85%+0.76 -0.8 25
1929-02-02 Glenavon W 3-254.2 1353 1482 32.79% 16.84% 50.36%-0.70 +14.8 20
1929-02-02 @ Portadown L 2-354.2 1482 1353 50.36% 16.84% 32.79%+0.70 -14.8 24
1929-02-02 Ballymena L 0-727.5 1209 1522 14.35% 16.38% 69.26%-2.20 -33.2 7
1929-02-02 @ Queens Island W 7-027.5 1522 1209 69.26% 16.38% 14.35%+2.20 +33.2 28
1929-02-09 Cliftonville W 4-131.8 1575 1233 77.97% 15.86% 6.17%+3.16 +5.6 32
1929-02-09 @ Glentoran L 1-431.8 1233 1575 6.17% 15.86% 77.97%-3.16 -5.6 8
1929-02-09 Ards W 6-351.8 1575 1483 61.37% 16.76% 21.86%+1.11 +14.9 32
1929-02-09 @ Lisburn Distillery L 3-651.8 1483 1575 21.86% 16.76% 61.37%-1.11 -14.9 21
1929-02-09 Queens Island W 4-235.9 1501 1176 77.29% 15.94% 6.76%+3.02 +3.9 22
1929-02-09 @ Newry Town L 2-435.9 1176 1501 6.76% 15.94% 77.29%-3.02 -3.9 7
1929-02-20 Coleraine W 5-148.7 1468 1549 39.50% 16.89% 43.61%-0.30 +43.6 23
1929-02-20 @ Ards L 1-548.7 1549 1468 43.61% 16.89% 39.50%+0.30 -43.6 29
1929-02-23 Portadown L 1-356.5 1555 1367 69.69% 16.51% 13.80%+1.89 -37.2 28
1929-02-23 @ Ballymena W 3-156.5 1367 1555 13.80% 16.51% 69.69%-1.89 +37.2 22
1929-02-23 Belfast Celtic L 1-349.1 1468 1939 6.34% 15.64% 78.02%-3.49 -4.1 24
1929-02-23 @ Glenavon W 3-149.1 1939 1468 78.02% 15.64% 6.34%+3.49 +4.1 47
1929-02-25 Ballymena W 6-041.2 1720 1518 70.71% 16.47% 12.82%+2.01 +25.9 39
1929-02-25 @ Linfield L 0-641.2 1518 1720 12.82% 16.47% 70.71%-2.01 -25.9 28
1929-02-26 Larne L 3-448.9 1227 1363 32.04% 16.84% 51.12%-0.75 -9.8 8
1929-02-26 @ Cliftonville W 4-348.9 1363 1227 51.12% 16.84% 32.04%+0.75 +9.8 18
1929-02-27 Belfast Celtic D 2-275.7 1581 1943 11.19% 16.18% 72.62%-2.60 +3.7 33
1929-02-27 @ Glentoran D 2-275.7 1943 1581 72.62% 16.18% 11.19%+2.60 -3.7 48
1929-03-18 Cliftonville L 1-255.3 1505 1217 75.64% 16.12% 8.23%+2.72 -23.4 22
1929-03-18 @ Newry Town W 2-155.3 1217 1505 8.23% 16.12% 75.64%-2.72 +23.4 10
1929-03-27 Larne L 1-268.2 1745 1372 79.06% 15.69% 5.24%+3.41 -24.5 39
1929-03-27 @ Linfield W 2-168.2 1372 1745 5.24% 15.69% 79.06%-3.41 +24.5 20
1929-03-30 Coleraine D 2-266.0 1498 1505 49.77% 16.89% 33.34%+0.30 -0.9 26
1929-03-30 @ Bangor D 2-266.0 1505 1498 33.34% 16.89% 49.77%-0.30 +0.9 30

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1929-03-27 5.24% Larne 1372 2 @ Linfield 1745 1
2 1929-03-18 8.23% Cliftonville 1217 2 @ Newry Town 1505 1
3 1928-12-25 11.14% @ Cliftonville 1224 3 Ballymena 1587 2
4 1928-12-29 12.77% Larne 1365 2 @ Coleraine 1567 1
5 1928-08-22 13.03% Coleraine 1476 2 @ Linfield 1675 0
6 1929-02-23 13.80% Portadown 1367 3 @ Ballymena 1555 1
7 1928-12-15 15.88% Queens Island 1248 3 @ Larne 1407 2
8 1929-01-05 20.41% Bangor 1455 2 @ Ballymena 1561 1
9 1929-01-26 21.45% Coleraine 1511 3 @ Glentoran 1607 2
10 1928-10-27 23.46% Larne 1469 5 @ Glentoran 1545 4
11 1928-08-20 24.13% Glentoran 1502 1 @ Newry Town 1572 0
12 1928-10-13 24.20% Portadown 1510 2 @ Glentoran 1579 1
13 1929-01-19 25.47% Ards 1455 2 @ Newry Town 1512 1
14 1928-10-13 26.63% @ Ards 1358 4 Larne 1538 0
15 1929-01-26 26.83% Newry Town 1494 1 @ Ballymena 1540 0
16 1928-09-08 27.52% Portadown 1492 4 @ Larne 1532 3
17 1928-10-20 29.09% @ Ballymena 1517 4 Linfield 1676 2
18 1928-10-20 29.19% @ Queens Island 1285 2 Bangor 1443 1
19 1928-12-01 29.39% @ Coleraine 1546 2 Linfield 1703 0
20 1928-12-22 30.00% @ Bangor 1417 3 Lisburn Distillery 1569 1
21 1928-12-26 30.63% Ards 1409 4 @ Portadown 1423 1
22 1929-02-02 32.79% @ Portadown 1353 3 Glenavon 1482 2
23 1928-10-13 33.73% Newry Town 1527 2 @ Coleraine 1517 1
24 1929-02-02 34.06% @ Ards 1469 4 Glentoran 1589 3
25 1928-12-08 34.39% @ Glenavon 1461 2 Coleraine 1579 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1928-10-13 66.11 @ Ards 4 1358 26.63% Larne 0 1538 56.60% 16.76%
2 1928-09-01 54.64 Belfast Celtic 7 1743 58.45% @ Portadown 0 1547 24.81% 16.73%
3 1928-08-21 52.22 Portadown 6 1483 40.61% @ Queens Island 1 1423 42.49% 16.90%
4 1929-02-20 43.58 @ Ards 5 1468 39.50% Coleraine 1 1549 43.61% 16.89%
5 1928-08-22 43.48 Coleraine 2 1476 13.03% @ Linfield 0 1675 70.50% 16.48%
6 1928-12-29 40.88 @ Lisburn Distillery 5 1544 42.70% Ballymena 1 1602 40.40% 16.90%
7 1928-12-26 39.79 Ards 4 1409 30.63% @ Portadown 1 1423 52.50% 16.87%
8 1929-01-05 39.13 @ Newry Town 3 1473 40.67% Coleraine 0 1545 42.44% 16.89%
9 1929-02-23 37.20 Portadown 3 1367 13.80% @ Ballymena 1 1555 69.69% 16.51%
10 1928-12-26 36.44 @ Ballymena 3 1566 44.14% Glentoran 0 1614 38.96% 16.90%
11 1928-12-01 35.21 @ Glentoran 5 1529 49.28% Newry Town 1 1540 33.83% 16.89%
12 1928-12-01 33.22 @ Coleraine 2 1546 29.39% Linfield 0 1703 53.81% 16.81%
13 1929-02-02 33.18 Ballymena 7 1522 69.26% @ Queens Island 0 1209 14.35% 16.38%
14 1928-12-08 30.37 @ Glenavon 2 1461 34.39% Coleraine 0 1579 48.76% 16.86%
15 1928-11-17 28.62 Linfield 4 1674 61.63% @ Larne 0 1448 21.71% 16.66%
16 1928-12-22 28.46 @ Bangor 3 1417 30.00% Lisburn Distillery 1 1569 53.18% 16.81%
17 1928-08-20 27.87 @ Bangor 3 1466 54.68% Ards 0 1434 28.47% 16.86%
18 1928-11-03 26.24 Glenavon 8 1405 48.47% @ Queens Island 4 1290 34.67% 16.86%
19 1928-09-01 26.18 Glentoran 3 1520 34.60% @ Bangor 1 1504 48.51% 16.89%
20 1928-11-03 26.12 Lisburn Distillery 3 1503 34.74% @ Larne 1 1485 48.37% 16.89%
21 1929-02-25 25.88 @ Linfield 6 1720 70.71% Ballymena 0 1518 12.82% 16.47%
22 1928-10-20 25.87 @ Ballymena 4 1517 29.09% Linfield 2 1676 54.11% 16.80%
23 1929-02-02 25.53 @ Belfast Celtic 5 1913 68.23% Linfield 0 1745 15.20% 16.57%
24 1928-10-13 25.21 @ Lisburn Distillery 5 1481 68.44% Queens Island 0 1310 14.99% 16.57%
25 1929-03-27 24.51 Larne 2 1372 5.24% @ Linfield 1 1745 79.06% 15.69%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1929-02-27 75.7 @ Glentoran 2 1581 11.19% Belfast Celtic 2 1943 72.62% 16.18%
2 1928-11-07 75.6 @ Linfield 2 1672 23.56% Belfast Celtic 2 1880 59.74% 16.70%
3 1928-11-17 71.3 @ Belfast Celtic 1 1878 80.60% Glenavon 1 1454 4.00% 15.41%
4 1928-10-20 71.2 @ Portadown 3 1528 53.53% Lisburn Distillery 3 1506 29.60% 16.87%
5 1928-09-01 70.1 @ Ballymena 3 1467 40.95% Coleraine 3 1538 42.15% 16.89%
6 1928-10-27 69.6 Larne 5 1469 23.46% @ Glentoran 4 1545 59.75% 16.79%
7 1929-01-26 69.4 @ Bangor 0 1493 8.01% Belfast Celtic 0 1919 76.11% 15.88%
8 1928-11-03 68.8 @ Newry Town 2 1538 50.21% Ballymena 2 1541 32.90% 16.89%
9 1929-02-02 68.6 @ Larne 4 1362 31.85% Bangor 4 1499 51.32% 16.83%
10 1928-09-29 68.5 @ Glentoran 2 1571 59.21% Ballymena 2 1500 23.99% 16.80%
11 1929-03-27 68.2 Larne 2 1372 5.24% @ Linfield 1 1745 79.06% 15.69%
12 1928-12-29 67.3 @ Bangor 3 1456 48.62% Glenavon 3 1471 34.49% 16.89%
13 1929-01-26 67.3 Coleraine 3 1511 21.45% @ Glentoran 2 1607 61.79% 16.76%
14 1928-08-25 66.7 @ Glentoran 2 1521 53.40% Lisburn Distillery 2 1500 29.74% 16.87%
15 1929-01-19 66.2 @ Ballymena 2 1542 59.81% Glenavon 2 1465 23.40% 16.79%
16 1928-09-08 66.0 Portadown 4 1492 27.52% @ Larne 3 1532 55.63% 16.85%
17 1929-03-30 66.0 @ Bangor 2 1498 49.77% Coleraine 2 1505 33.34% 16.89%
18 1928-09-15 65.4 @ Queens Island 4 1341 46.59% Ards 4 1372 36.52% 16.90%
19 1928-08-25 65.3 @ Larne 2 1519 57.17% Ballymena 2 1466 26.00% 16.83%
20 1929-02-02 65.3 @ Ards 4 1469 34.06% Glentoran 3 1589 49.09% 16.86%
21 1928-10-20 65.0 @ Ballymena 4 1517 29.09% Linfield 2 1676 54.11% 16.80%
22 1928-10-06 64.9 Linfield 4 1657 48.99% @ Newry Town 3 1538 34.15% 16.86%
23 1928-10-13 64.4 @ Bangor 2 1443 40.46% Ballymena 2 1517 42.65% 16.89%
24 1928-12-15 64.1 @ Coleraine 0 1537 45.16% Ballymena 0 1578 37.95% 16.90%
25 1928-10-20 63.2 @ Coleraine 2 1502 59.95% Ards 2 1424 23.26% 16.79%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1929-02-02 27.5 Ballymena 7 1522 69.26% @ Queens Island 0 1209 14.35% 16.38%
2 1928-10-13 28.1 @ Lisburn Distillery 5 1481 68.44% Queens Island 0 1310 14.99% 16.57%
3 1928-09-15 28.3 @ Ballymena 4 1480 69.21% Cliftonville 0 1299 14.26% 16.54%
4 1929-01-12 29.8 @ Bangor 2 1474 73.53% Queens Island 0 1227 10.18% 16.30%
5 1928-12-22 30.0 @ Glenavon 5 1491 74.00% Cliftonville 1 1236 9.74% 16.26%
6 1929-02-09 31.8 @ Glentoran 4 1575 77.97% Cliftonville 1 1233 6.17% 15.86%
7 1928-12-29 31.9 @ Glentoran 10 1578 77.78% Queens Island 3 1240 6.34% 15.88%
8 1928-09-01 32.9 @ Linfield 3 1643 77.24% Cliftonville 0 1319 6.81% 15.95%
9 1928-11-03 33.3 @ Ards 4 1427 66.75% Cliftonville 1 1278 16.62% 16.63%
10 1928-10-27 33.5 @ Linfield 8 1650 78.21% Queens Island 1 1302 5.97% 15.82%
11 1928-12-15 34.2 Linfield 5 1684 76.72% @ Cliftonville 1 1244 7.47% 15.81%
12 1928-08-20 34.3 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1488 66.49% Cliftonville 0 1341 16.87% 16.64%
13 1929-01-05 35.1 @ Belfast Celtic 4 1908 85.31% Cliftonville 0 1236 1.03% 13.66%
14 1929-01-19 35.2 Linfield 8 1732 79.51% @ Queens Island 2 1220 5.09% 15.40%
15 1928-08-25 35.3 @ Belfast Celtic 5 1734 78.71% Queens Island 0 1371 5.54% 15.75%
16 1928-10-13 35.8 Belfast Celtic 5 1847 80.73% @ Cliftonville 0 1295 4.11% 15.16%
17 1929-02-09 35.9 @ Newry Town 4 1501 77.29% Queens Island 2 1176 6.76% 15.94%
18 1928-12-01 36.0 Lisburn Distillery 1 1541 67.17% @ Cliftonville 0 1255 16.35% 16.48%
19 1928-12-22 36.0 Coleraine 9 1537 65.71% @ Queens Island 3 1268 17.75% 16.54%
20 1928-12-08 36.4 @ Bangor 2 1436 69.62% Cliftonville 1 1249 13.86% 16.52%
21 1928-11-10 36.6 @ Ballymena 7 1542 75.20% Queens Island 3 1264 8.64% 16.16%
22 1928-12-15 36.8 @ Glentoran 4 1579 65.76% Bangor 0 1441 17.58% 16.66%
23 1928-08-20 37.4 @ Bangor 3 1466 54.68% Ards 0 1434 28.47% 16.86%
24 1929-01-19 37.5 @ Coleraine 4 1506 74.86% Cliftonville 2 1234 8.95% 16.19%
25 1928-10-06 38.1 @ Portadown 2 1506 70.96% Cliftonville 1 1300 12.58% 16.45%